United States
                     Environmental Protection
                     Agency
 National Risk Management
 Research Laboratory
 Ada, OK 74820
                      Research and Development
 EPA/600/SR-99/110
January 2000
4>EPA         Project  Summary
                     Analytic Element  Modeling of
                     Coastal Aquifers
                     Mark Bakker, Stephen R. Kraemer, Willem J. de Lange, and Otto D.L. Strack
                       Four topics were studied concerning
                     the modeling of groundwater flow  in
                     coastal aquifers with analytic elements:
                     (1) practical  experience was obtained
                     by constructing a groundwater model
                     of the shallow aquifers below the
                     Delmarva  Peninsula USA using the
                     commercial  program  MVAEM;  (2) a
                     significant increase in performance was
                     obtained by  implementing the theory
                     for variable density flow in a computer
                     program that ran on a supercomputer
                     using  vectorization;  (3)  a  new
                     representation for the density variation
                     was developed that can  simulate the
                     change from brackish  to fresh water
                     more accurately; and (4) it was shown
                     that for a  specific example of a bell-
                     shaped transition zone  a Dupuit model
                     gives accurate results unless the bell-
                     shape is too narrow compared to the
                     thickness of  the aquifer.
                       This Project Summary was developed
                     by EPA's  National Risk  Management
                     Research  Laboratory's  Subsurface
                     Protection and Remediation Division,
                     Ada, OK, to announce  key findings of
                     the research project that is fully
                     documented in a separate report of the
                     same title (see Project Report ordering
                     information at back).

                     Introduction
                       Salt water intrusion is a potential threat
                     to drinking  water supplies in the coastal
                     areas of the USA. Cities along the coast
                     are  increasing  their  pumping   of
                     groundwater, which may  result  in  an
                     increase of chlorides in the well water due
                     to the  upconing of brackish groundwater.
Even a small concentration of chlorides
(> 0.2 grams/liter) will violate the drinking
water standard.  To compare,  sea water
contains about 18 grams of chlorides per
liter.  The potential upconing of brackish
groundwater may  be  studied by the
simulation of groundwater  flow  with
numerical  models that are  designed
specifically for the  modeling  of flow  in
coastal  aquifers.
  Groundwater flow in coastal aquifers is
affected by the difference  in density
between fresh and salt  water. The fresh
water is separated from the  salt water
through a brackish transition zone, in which
the salinity (and thus the density) of the
water varies from that of salt water to that
of fresh water; salt water is approximately
2.5% heavier than fresh  water.  The
modeling of the flow generated by variations
in density, the variable  density flow, was
the subject of this project. Specifically, it
was investigated whether groundwater flow
in coastal aquifers can be modeled under
the Dupuit approximation in combination
with analytic elements.

The Dupuit Approximation
  The construction of numerical models of
three-dimensional variable density flow is
limited by the availability of density  data
and by the speed of digital computers. The
Dupuit approximation may be  adopted  to
reduce the computation time and for the
usual reason of simplicity. The resistance
to flow in the vertical direction is neglected
in  Dupuit models,  and vertical flow  is
governed by continuity  of flow only; this
leads to a hydrostatic pressure  distribution
in  the vertical  direction.  The  Dupuit

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approximation  is reasonable for flow in
aquifers of large horizontal  extend, also
referred to as aquifers with shallow flow or
regional flow. It is  possible to  construct
regional  groundwater flow models  of
coastal aquifers by  adopting the Dupuit
approximation. The Dupuit theory for
variable density flow may be combined
with any method to model Dupuit flow in a
single density model. The  flow field is
modeled  with analytic elements for this
project.
  The Dupuit theory for variable density
flow assumes that the density distribution
in the aquifer is known at some time. In
practice,  the density is known  only at a
number of isolated  points. We  represent
the density distribution  with  a three-
dimensional function that  interpolates
between the points of known density. We
use  the  multiquadric  radial   basis
interpolatorforthis purpose. It is noted that
the multiquadric interpolator is  a form of
Kriging; the interpolator  is identical  to
Kriging with a linear variogram if the shape
factor in  the interpolator is  set equal to
zero.
  The density distribution (and thus the
flow field) changes over time as the salt
moves with the groundwater flow. The flow
is incompressible in our model  and  the
flow field represents the flow at a given
time.  The  evolution  of the density
distribution in the aquifer may be simulated
by numerical integration  through time.
During each time step, the velocity field is
fixed  and the salt  is  moved  with the
groundwater flow. At the end of a time step
the velocity field corresponding to the new
density distribution  is computed and the
process is  repeated. This procedure is
also  known  as successive  steady-state
solutions.  Second order processes that
affect the salinity distribution,  such as
diffusion, are neglected. It may be expected
that this is reasonable for relatively short
times, on the order  of 25  years, as is of
interest for most engineering problems.
  The Dupuit theory for variable density
has been implemented  in  the proprietary
computer program  MVAEM prior to this
study. MVAEM has been used successfully
to  simulate  piezometric heads  in  multi-
aquifer systems in the coastal aquifers of
The Netherlands. The computation time
involved in the construction of these large
regional models was significant. Multi-layer
models that include thousands  of points
where the salinity is  specified take on the
order of hours to compute a solution on a
high end  PC (in 1996). A large  portion of
the computation time is used to compute
the effect of the variation in density on the
flow. The computation times ofthetransient
simulations involve a repeated computation
of the solution at different times plus  a
large number of evaluations of the velocity
in the aquifer and is of the order of days or
more, as compared to the hours it takes to
obtain one steady-state  solution. These
large computation  times  diminish  the
practicality of the modeling  approach.
  The use of a Dupuit model to simulate
variable density flow raises a  number of
additional  issues. Transient simulations
require an accurate representation  of the
velocity field and the numerical integration
requires an analysis of  stability and
convergence.  Furthermore, it must be
investigated how accurate a Dupuit model
is to simulate the change  of a salt
distribution over time as compared to  a
model in which the vertical resistance to
flow  is not neglected. Dupuit models are
generally used for regional  (shallow) flow
and  may  become  inaccurate when  the
shallowflowassumption is not appropriate,
for example near a partially penetrating
well where the flow field changes rapidly
over a distance of several times the aquifer
thickness.  And finally, the assessment of
the upconing of saltwater belowa pumping
well needs analysis of the physical stability
of the transition zone itself.  A selection of
the  issues raised above has  been
investigated in this  project.

Objectives
  The  objective  of this  report  is  to
investigate the performance of the Dupuit
theory for variable density flow combined
with  analytic   elements  to  model
groundwater flow in coastal aquifers. The
four specific areas  of interest are (1) the
application of a Dupuit analytic  element
model to simulate flow in a coastal aquifer
of the USA, (2) the increase in performance
that may  be  obtained  by using  a
supercomputer,  (3) the representation of
the density distribution, and (4) the error
introduced  by  adopting  the  Dupuit
approximation.

Results  and Conclusions

Topic  1.  The analytic element
modeling of groundwater flow in
the first confined aquifer beneath
the Delmarva Peninsula.
  An  analytic  element  model  was
constructed to simulate ground-water flow
in the  shallow  aquifers  beneath  the
Delmarva  Peninsula   (DELaware,
MARyland, VirginiA). The modeling of the
Delmarva peninsula was greatly hampered
by the unavailability of measurements of
the salinity of the groundwater. Only six
measurements  were obtained  (from
available records) of brackish orsaltwater.
All other measurements indicated fresh
water. The six measurements  were
insufficientto construct a three-dimensional
picture of the salinity distribution below the
Delmarva  Peninsula. To  overcome this
problem,  publications of  salinity in  the
Chesapeake Bay and the  Atlantic Ocean
were used to construct a conceptual model
of the salinity distribution  below  the
peninsula. This distribution results  in  a
horizontal variation from fresh water on the
peninsula  to salt water in the bay and
ocean. The variation inthevertical direction
is assumed to be negligible. This is known
to be unrealistic, but there  are not enough
data to propose otherwise.
  The resulting model of the  fresh water
head was compared to nine measurements
of the head on the eastern  part of the
peninsula  (the counties of Sussex, DE,
Wicomico, MD, and Worchester, MD). The
comparison showed that the simulation of
fresh water  heads  in  that area  are
reasonable, but general  conclusions for
the entire model cannot  be  drawn.
Additional data (head,  discharge  and
chloride measurements) are necessary to
calibrate the model and to improve the
conceptual model of the density distribution.
The  modeling study demonstrated  the
many challenges in building groundwater
models of flow systems in coastal aquifers.
The biggest constraints in the Chesapeake
Bay area were the availability of density
data and  water table measurements. To
assess the full capabilities of the approach,
it should be applied to an area where more
data are available, perhaps an area outside
the United States.

Topic 2.   The reduction of
computation time by the  use of a
supercomputer.
  The Dupuit approximation  for variable
density flowwas implemented in an existing
analytic element model (SLWL) that was
written in FORTRAN. The variable density
routines  were written to  run  on  the
CrayC916, a vector machine. The Dupuit
formulation for variable density flow, as
well as the analytic element formulation for
groundwater flow, are suited  ideally for
implementation on supercomputers.  Both
formulations  result  in large sums  of
complicated functions that  are easily
vectorizable.  The  performance  of  the
vectorized code was an order of magnitude
better than the un-vectorized  code. The
vectorized code performed at a speed of
over 300 billion floating point operations
per second (300 Gflops).
  It  is noted  that high  performance
computing seems to move away fromvector
machines to massively parallel machines.
This  will have  no adverse effect  on the

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implementation of analytic element codes
on supercomputers.  The large  sums  of
complicated functions can just as easily be
modified to run  on  massively  parallel
machines as on vector machines.

Topic 3. An accurate
representation of the density
distribution.
  Forthe investigation ofthefirsttwo topics,
the density distribution was represented
by the  three-dimensional  multiquadric
interpolator function. The  multiquadric
interpolator includes a shape factor A that
controlsthe smoothness ofthe interpolator.
In practice, A is often chosen close to zero.
The main reason forthis choice is to improve
control ofthe interpolator, especially at the
transition from brackish water of variable
density to fresh or salt water of constant
density.  It  was  demonstrated  that this
choice will result in reasonable simulations
of the density (and thus the fresh water
head, as was the objective of the modeling
study ofthe Delmarva Peninsula), but that
the resulting velocity vectorwas unrealistic
near  the points  where the  density  is
specified. This makes it difficultto simulate
the change of the salinity distribution
through time; during such a simulation the
salt moves  with the groundwater and the
velocities have to be accurate.
  A new function to represent the density
was introduced to solve this problem. The
representation consists  of a  number  of
surfaces of constant density; the elevations
ofthe surfaces are approximated with two-
dimensional multiquadric interpolators and
the density varies linearly between them. It
was shown that the smoothness parameter
A  in the two-dimensional  multiquadric
interpolator must be  of  the order of the
average distance between control points
to obtain reasonable results forthe velocity
field. It is noted that this was not practical
for the original  three-dimensional
interpolator.

Topic 4. Implications of adopting
the Dupuit approximation for
variable density flow.
  The new density distribution was used to
compare a  Dupuit solution with  an exact
solution, a  solution in which the vertical
resistance to flow is  not neglected.  The
problem chosen for comparison consisted
of a bell-shaped transition zone.  An exact
solution was derived and compared to the
Dupuit solution. The comparison showed
that forthis specific case the Dupuit solution
overestimates the specific discharge vector
and that the flow field becomes inaccurate
when the width ofthe bell-shaped transition
zone is  less than two times the thickness
ofthe aquifer.
  The newdensity distribution, as proposed
under "Topic 3," represents the transition
from variable density zones  (brackish
water) to constant density zones (fresh or
salt water) accurately. The newdistribution
does introduce complications that remain
to be resolved,  however, such as  the
intersection ofthe transition zone with the
base ortop ofthe aquifer. The new density
distribution  is  highly  useful for  the
comparison of Dupuit solutions with exact
solutions, because it is relatively easy to
obtain exact solutions for flow in the vertical
plane corresponding to the new density
distribution. A comparison between exact
and  Dupuit  solutions may  be used to
determine the full range of applicability of
the Dupuit approximation for variable
density flow.

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 Mark Bakker was with the University of Minnesota during this project but is currently with
   the University of Nebraska, Omaha, NE68182.
 Willem J. de Lange is with the National Institute  of Inland Water Management RIZA,
   Lelystad,  The Netherlands.
 Otto D.L Stack is with the University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455.
 Stephen R. Kraemer was the EPA Project Officer while at the  EPA National Risk
   Management Research Laboratory in Ada, OK 74820, and is currently at the EPA
   National Exposure Research Laboratory in Athens, GA 30605.
 The complete report, entitled "Analytic Element Modeling of Coastal Aquifers" (Order No.
   PB2000-101970; Cost: $29.50, subject to change) will be available from:
         National Technical Information Service
         5285 Port Royal Road
         Springfield, VA 22161
         Telephone: 703-487-4650
 An electronic version of this Project Summary and the Full Report  will be available for
   download on the Internet at (http://www.epa.gov/ada/kerrcenter.html)
United States
Environmental Protection Agency
Technology Transfer and Support Division (CERI)
Cincinnati, OH 45268
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