United States/Canada
          Air Quality
           Agreement
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 GOVERNMENT OF
 THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
 AND GOVERNMENT OF CANADA
President Bush and Prime Minister Mulroney
sign the U.S.-Canada Air Quality Agreement on March 13,1991.

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United States/Canada
Air Quality Agreement
PROGRESS REPORT
March 1992

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Table  of Contents
Executive Summary	1
Preface	5

SECTION I
Introduction	7
  History of the Agreement	7
  The Air Quality Committee: Current Activities   	9

SECTION H
Progress: Specific Programs and Objectives	11
  Overview	11
  Sulphur Dioxide	 12
  Nitrogen Oxides	19
  Compliance Monitoring   	22
  Prevention of Significant Deterioration and Visibility Protection	23

SECTION IE
Progress: Scientific and Technical Activities
and Economic Research	27
  Overview	27
  Emission Inventories	28
  Atmospheric Modeling	29
  Deposition and Air Concentration Monitoring Networks and Results   	34
  Effects Research and Monitoring	40
    Aquatics	40
    Forests  	45
    Materials and Cultural Resources	50
    Human Health	52
  Quality Assurance	54
  Control Technologies	55
  Market-Based Mechanisms  	57

SECTION IV
Conclusion	59

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APPENDIX A
United States-Canada Air Quality Committee   	61
  Canadian Members	61
  U.S. Members  	61
  Subcommittee on Program Monitoring and Reporting   	62
  Subcommittee on Scientific Cooperation	62
  Terms of Reference
   U.S.-Canada Air Quality Committee—Terms of Reference  	63
   Subcommittee on Program Monitoring and Reporting—Terms of Reference  . .  .64
   Subcommittee on Scientific Cooperation—Terms of Reference   	65
APPENDIX B
Agreement between the Government of the United States of America
and the Government of Canada on Air Quality	67
  Annex 1	74
  Annex 2	77

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Executive  Summary
         The  Canada-United  States  Air
         Quality   Agreement,  signed
         March 13, 1991, marked a new
         era of cooperation aimed at help-
ing to guarantee cleaner air and a healthier
environment for millions of Canadians and
Americans. The signatures of the Canadian
Prime Minister and the American Presi-
dent served to underline its  significance.
Now, one year later, progress has been
made by each country, individually  and
together. A forum for discussion has been
established; programs to resolve domestic
and transboundary air quality issues are
being developed, and  information about
them is being shared; lessons learned from
existing and past programs also are being
shared; and the pursuit of data compatibil-
ity between countries is under way.

THE AIR QUALITY COMMITTEE

   A Canada-US. Air Quality Committee
and two working subcommittees were cre-
ated in 1991. One subcommittee oversees the
implementation of the Agreement  and
works on, among  other things, emission
inventories, control technologies, and mar-
ket-based   mechanisms.  The  second
subcommittee focuses on scientific and tech-
nical activities, including atmospheric and
effects research and monitoring. The com-
mittee and the two subcommittees met in
1991, and more meetings are planned for
1992. The subcommittees will meet on a
regular basis to exchange information and
initiate  the programs  called for in the
Agreement.

   The United States and Canada are shar-
ing information on the implementation of
their respective control programs, including
the use of market-based control mecha-
nisms in the United States to achieve
more cost-effective emissions reductions.

Sulphur Dioxide Emission
Reduction Goals and Program
  Canada has committed to reduce sul-
phur  dioxide  (SOa)  emissions  by  40
percent from 1980 levels in the seven east-
ernmost provinces to 2.3 million tonnes (1
tonne is equal to 1.1 tons) by 1994. About
80 percent of these reductions are now in
place. A permanent national cap also has
been set for sulphur dioxide emissions at
3.2 million tonnes by the year 2000.
  Specific milestones achieved in  1991
include:

  m  A commitment by  New Brunswick
     and Ontario utilities to equip nearly
     1,800 megawatts of power plant ca-
     pacity with wet limestone scrubbers.

  ffi  The completion of major new facili-
     ties at Canadian smelters notably at
     Rouen  Noranda, Quebec, and at
     Timmins, Ontario, which has led to
     more efficient capture of sulphur di-
     oxide as sulphuric acid for resale.

  m  Construction and  testing  of  new
     power plant combustion and emis-
     sion control technologies at sites in
     Nova Scotia and Saskatchewan.

  a  The beginning of work between  the
     federal  and  provincial governments
     towards the development of agree-
     ments for the year 2000 national cap.

  The United States is committed to re-
ducing annual SC*2 emissions by about 10

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million  tons by  the year 2000  and  to
achieving a permanent national cap of 8.95
million tons of sulphur dioxide per year
for electric utilities by 2010. For the United
States, this is about a 40 percent reduction
in emissions from 1980 levels. The emis-
sions reductions  required by the  U.S.
control program begin on January 1,1995.
Phase I of the control program, which runs
through 1999, will contribute to annual re-
ductions  in  SQz  from 1980  levels  of
approximately 5 million tons. Finally, annual
industrial emissions of sulphur dioxide in
the United States are not to exceed 5.6 mil-
lion tons.
   In 1991, the United States promulgated
final rules on the auction and direct sale of
SO2  emission  allowances and  proposed
rules in four areas of critical importance to
the acid rain program: sulphur dioxide al-
lowances, acid rain permits, continuous
emissions monitoring, and excess emis-
sions. The United States is in the process of
developing the remaining rules to imple-
ment the acid rain control program.

Nitrogen Oxides Programs
   Both countries are seeking to reduce ni-
trogen oxides (NOx) emissions from both
stationary (e.g., power plants) and mobile
(e.g., passenger cars) sources.
   In Canada, the commitment is to reduce
NOx emissions at stationary sources by
100,000 tonnes from a forecasted emission
level of 970,000 tonnes in the year  2000.
Measures to achieve these reductions are
being developed and implemented under
Canada's National Management Plan  for
controlling NOx and VOC emissions that
cause smog.
   In the United States, a NOx control pro-
gram is being implemented to reduce total
annual emissions of NOx by about 2 mil-
lion tons from 1980 levels. Rules are being
developed to reduce NOx emissions from
power plants and additional sources subject
to the ozone non-attainment provisions of
the Clean Air Act

   Both  countries are  tightening automo-
bile  NOx  emissions  standards.  In the
United  States, regulations  implementing
tighter standards for passenger cars were
promulgated in  June  1991,  to take effect
beginning in the 1994 model year. In Can-
ada,  Transport  Canada announced  in
February 1992 a formal  agreement with
major automobile manufacturers on vol-
untary  compliance  with standards for
passenger cars.  The agreement provides
for a  phase-in of equivalent standards in
the same time frame as that  required by
the U.S.  Clean Air Act.

Scientific and Technical Cooperation

   In this report,  the two countries focused
primarily on scientific and technical activi-
ties related to acidic deposition including:

   * Emission inventories:  the coordina-
     tion of emission  inventory develop-
     ment relative to sulphur  dioxide and
     nitrogen oxides for  1980, 1985, and
     1990 (preliminary) are included.

   • Atmospheric modeling:  cooperation
     between the two countries regarding
     atmospheric model application, evalu-
     ation,  and development is described.
     Historical and projected deposition
     levels, including levels assuming full
     implementation of the Canadian and
     U.S. acid rain  control  programs are
     included.

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   a Deposition monitoring: the monitor-
     ing of wet and dry deposition of sul-
     phur  and  nitrogen  compounds  is
     carried  out by  federal,  provincial,
     state,  and  private  sector  groups.
     Maps of deposition levels and trends
     information are included.

   a Effects research and monitoring: the ef-
     fects of acidic  deposition  on lakes
     and streams, forests, materials, and
     human  health are discussed. Effects
     monitoring is discussed in several areas.

   & Control  technologies:  the report dis-
     cusses the efforts of the two coun-
     tries in developing  and deploying
     pollution control technologies aimed
     at reducing acidic deposition.

   a Market-based incentives:   the  U.S.
     acid rain control program is employ-
     ing incentives to help reduce the cost
     of  emissions reductions.  The  two
     countries are discussing the historical
     and potential uses of these incentives
     to achieve environmental protection at
     lower costs to society.

   Future cooperative  efforts  related  to
acidic deposition include:

   @ Providing up-to-date inventories  of
     total sulphur dioxide and  nitrogen
     oxides emissions.

   a Measuring air quality and deposition
     and refining the predictive capabili-
     ties of atmospheric models.

   • Recording the chemical and biologi-
     cal  improvements in surface waters
     and responses to changing deposition.
   m Determining the role  of  nitrogen
     deposition in ecosystem processes
     and the  implications for control of
     acidification of surface waters.

   • Resolving the role of acidic deposi-
     tion in damage to forests.

   m Evaluating human health effects of
     acidic aerosols and related pollutants.

   Much of this work will be carried out
jointly or cooperatively by Canadian and
American scientists over the  next several
years.  Progress in these  and other areas
will be reported in the next  progress re-
port in 1994.

CONCLUSION
   This is the first progress report under the
Canada-US. Air Quality Agreement. Since
the signing of the Agreement in March 1991,
the two countries have  taken significant
steps towards  implementing the Agree-
ment.  They  have  formed a bilateral  Air
Quality Committee and two subcommittees
to assist in carrying out the terms of the
Agreement. They have initiated, continued,
and expanded  relationships in a variety of
areas related to North American air qual-
ity. Most importantly, there  has been a
free exchange  of people and  information
across  their border. While such exchanges
occurred prior to  the signing of the Air
Quality Agreement, the number of con-
tacts  and  degree  of cooperation  and
exchange of information has increased sig-
nificantly, to the benefit of both countries.
Each Party is pleased with the cooperation
the implementation of the Agreement has
fostered.

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Preface
           On March 13,1991, Canada and
           the United States signed a bi-
           lateral  Agreement  on  Air
           Quality. The Agreement pro-
vides the two countries with a practical
and flexible instrument to deal with shared
problems of transboundary air pollution.
This document is being issued in fulfill-
ment of the provisions in the Agreement
that call for a report on progress in its im-
plementation within a year of its entry into
force. The next progress report is due in
1994, and reports will follow every  two
years thereafter.

  Canada and the United States share a
long tradition of cooperation on environ-
mental matters,  most  notably on water
quality issues under the Boundary Waters
Treaty of 1909 and the Great Lakes Water
Quality Agreement of 1978, as amended in
1987. The Air Quality Agreement builds on
that cooperation.  It recognizes that air pol-
lution, like water  pollution,  respects  no
international boundaries. The Agreement
calls for the establishment of a bilateral air
quality committee to oversee and report on
its implementation of the Agreement. Annex
1 of the Agreement covers specific programs
and  objectives and contains  targets  and
timetables for reducing sulphur dioxide and
nitrogen oxides, the primary acid rain pre-
cursors. This represents a fundamental step
in the resolution of a mutual environmental
problem. Finally, Annex 2 of the Agree-
ment contains  provisions for cooperation
on a variety of technical activities related
to air pollution.
  This report contains information on the
Air Quality Agreement itself and initial ac-
tivities of the Air Quality Committee. The
report  provides background  information
on the air pollution programs in both Can-
ada and the United States and discusses
progress in implementing the specific ob-
jectives in the Agreement. The subject that
is at the center of the current obligations
and scientific work is acid rain; therefore,
the focus of this first report is on our re-
spective acid rain control programs and
associated scientific  and technical activi-
ties. However, the Agreement is a flexible
one,  such that additional pollutants may
be added at a later date upon agreement
by the  two Parties. Finally, the report ad-
dresses the future in  terms of what we
hope to accomplish both individually and
cooperatively under the Agreement.
  It  is with a shared sense of friendship
and  commitment  to  protecting public
health  and the environment that we em-
bark on this important endeavor.
The United States-Canada
Air Quality Committee

March 1992

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SECTION  I
 Introduction
           On March 13,1991, Prime Min-
           ister Mulroney and President
           Bush signed a bilateral Air
           Quality Agreement in Ottawa.
 The Agreement is composed of a main body
 and two annexes. The body contains 16 Ar-
 ticles, covering a wide variety of topics in-
 cluding general  and specific  objectives;
 assessment, notification, and  mitigation;
 the establishment of a bilateral Air Qual-
 ity Committee; and procedures for con-
 sultations,  referrals,  and  settlement of
 disputes. Annex 1 contains specific pro-
 grams and objectives concerning sulphur
 dioxide and nitrogen oxides, which were
 designed to address acidic deposition in
 both countries. Annex 2 relates to scien-
 tific and technical activities and economic
 research. The full text of the  Agreement
 can be found as Appendix B to  this report.

 HISTORY OF THE AGREEMENT
   Canada  and the United States share a
 long  tradition  of cooperation  on eco-
 nomic,  political,   and  environmental
 issues. The two countries share the longest
 undefended border in the world and are
 each other's largest trading partner. Since
 pollution knows no boundaries, they also
 share  transboundary transport of  pollu-
 tion. For many years, the two countries
 have  worked together on environmental
 issues, most notably on  water quality is-
 sues under the Boundary Waters Treaty of
 1909 and the Great Lakes Water Quality
 Agreement of 1978, as amended in 1987.
   The seeds for an agreement on air qual-
 ity were sown in 1978, when Canada and
 the United States established the Bilateral
 Research Consultation Group  (BRCG) to
facilitate  information exchange, coordi-
nate research,  and develop a  scientific
data base on acid rain. The BRCG's first
report  in  1979 showed  large  areas of
North America sensitive to acidic deposi-
tion (a  term used to incorporate both wet
and dry deposition of acidic compounds).

  In 1980, Canada and the United States
signed  a Memorandum of Intent (MOD
Concerning Transboundary Air Pollution.
The MOI stated the intention of both na-
tions to develop a bilateral agreement and
vigorously enforce existing air pollution
legislation. The MOI also established work
groups to develop the scientific and techni-
cal basis for an agreement. In 1981, formal
negotiations began on a bilateral agreement,
but these negotiations broke off in 1982. In
1983, the MOI work groups published their
reports.

  Throughout the 1980s, both countries
conducted research and assessment pro-
grams on the causes and effects of acidic
deposition and on the potential conse-
quences of control actions. In Canada, this
work was conducted under the auspices
of  the  federal/provincial Research and
Monitoring   Coordinating    Committee
(RMCC). In the United States, the National
Acid Precipitation Assessment  Program
(NAPAP), a legislatively mandated 10-year
program created in 1980, was the focal point
for acid rain research. The RMCC published
"The 1990 Canadian Long-Range Transport
of Air Pollutants and Acid Deposition As-
sessment Report," and NAPAP published
the  "Integrated  Assessment  Report" in
1991, as well as 27 State of  Science and
Technology Reports in 1990 and 1991. The

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                       RMCC and NAPAP held bilateral annual
                       technical coordination and review meet-
                       ings  throughout  most  of  the  1980s,
                       producing a joint science report in 1987.

                         In 1985, Canada established a sulphur
                       dioxide control program in eastern Canada
                       that called for a reduction in 1980 emis-
                       sions  by 1994 to a level of 2.3  million
                       tonnes. Canada had earlier committed to
                       cut emissions by at least 30 percent as part
                       of its  commitment under the United Na-
                       tion's  Economic Commission for Europe's
                       Convention on Long-Range Transbound-
                       ary Air Pollution  (LRTAP). The United
                       States, meanwhile, continued to  control
                       sulphur dioxide emissions as a result of its
ambient air quality  program  under the
Clean  Air  Act  and  its amendments
through 1977, and to carry out research
under NAPAP.
  During the mid-1980s,  dialogue on the
acid rain  issue continued at the highest
levels of government. Prime Minister Mul-
roney and President Reagan, meeting in
1985, appointed Special Envoys  to study
the issue of acid rain. The Special Envoys
(William Davis of Canada  and Drew Lewis
of the United States) published their report
in early 1986. It recognized acid rain as a
serious transboundary problem and called
for  the United States to embark on a pro-
gram of  technology development and
deployment aimed at demonstrating tech-
nologies that could reduce emissions of
sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxides from
coal-burning  electric power plants. The
United States  subsequently initiated the
Clean Coal Technology Program, a 5-year,
$5 billion  program jointly funded by the
public  and  private sectors. This period
also was  marked by enhanced U.S. re-
search on the causes and effects of acid
rain and by the growing emergence of a
consensus on the need to reduce precursor
emissions.

  The achievement of the present Air Qual-
ity  Agreement can  be  traced  back  to
February 10,1989, when President Bush met
with Prime Minister Mulroney  in Ottawa.
The President committed the United States
to negotiate an air quality agreement with
Canada in conjunction with his proposal to
amend the Clean Air Act. Informal dis-
cussions  were held  between the two
governments during 1989 and  1990. For-
mal negotiations began in August 1990,
and concluded in December of the same
year, one  month  after  President  Bush
8

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signed the Clean Air Act amendments into
law in the United States. The Agreement
was signed by the two leaders in Ottawa
on March 13,1991.
  Thus, the signing of the Agreement was
the culmination of over 10 years of discus-
sions on the issue of transboundary air
pollution, especially acid rain. The period
in between was marked by ongoing research
programs, technology development, intermit-
tent attempts at negotiating an agreement on
air quality,  and the development of acid rain
control programs.
   Article VIII of the Air Quality Agree-
 ment established a  bilateral Air Quality
 Committee to (1) review progress made in
 the implementation of the Agreement;  (2)
 prepare and submit to the two governments
 progress reports on the implementation of
 the agreement; (3) refer each progress report
 to the International Joint Commission for
 the  solicitation  of public comments and
 preparation of a synthesis  of views pre-
 sented during comments; and (4) release
 the  progress report to the public after its
 submission to the two governments.
   The Air Quality Committee is composed
 of nine representatives from each govern-
 ment and has two subcommittees to assist
 in carrying out its work. Subcommittee 1 is
 responsible for overseeing the implementa-
 tion of the specific programs and objectives
 contained in Annex 1 of the Agreement. It
 is also responsible  for related work on
emission inventories, control technologies,
and  market-based mechanisms.  Subcom-
mittee 2 provides a forum for discussion
on many of the scientific and technical ac-
tivities,  including   atmospheric  effects
research and monitoring, covered in An-
nex 2 of the Agreement. The membership
of the Air  Quality Committee, as well as
the terms of reference for  the committee
and  two subcommittees, are included in
Appendix A to this report.
   Initially,  the Air Quality Committee fo-
cused on achievements in implementing the
specific programs and objectives contained
in the Agreement, assessing current coop-
erative endeavors,  and discussing areas
where cooperation could be initiated or ex-
panded. The Air Quality Committee met
for the first time on November 26,1991, in
Washington, DC. That meeting focused on
relevant national  and  bilateral activities
and topics  to be addressed in this first pro-
gress report. The two subcommittees met in
November  1991 to discuss topics such as the
implementation of respective emission re-
duction programs and atmospheric deposition
and effects  research and monitoring.

   The Agreement calls for each Party to
notify the other of a proposed action, activ-
ity,  or project likely to cause significant
transboundary air  pollution, and, as ap-
propriate,  to take  measures to avoid or
mitigate the potential risk posed by such
action, activity, or project. Both countries
have started to work on the criteria to be
used  to implement this provision  of the
Agreement.
 The initial focus of

  the Air Quality

 Committee has been

 on achievements in

  implementing the

  specific programs

   and objectives

  contained in the

Agreement, assessing

 current cooperative

   endeavors, and

  discussing areas

  where cooperation

 could be initiated or

     expanded.

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SECTION  II
Progress:  Specific
Programs  and Objectives
OVERVIEW
     In signing the Air Quality Agreement,
     Canada and the United States com-
     mitted to specific programs and ob-
     jectives designed to produce cleaner
air and a healthier environment for Cana-
dians and Americans. Annex 1 to the main
Agreement sets out the commitments that
each country has made to control acid rain
precursors:  sulphur dioxide (SQz) and ni-
trogen oxides (NOx). SOa is the primary
pollutant involved in the formation of acid
rain, or acidic deposition (a more  exact
term that incorporates both wet and dry
deposition  of  acidic species). NOx also
plays an important role in the formation of
acidic deposition. It plays a predominant
role in certain regions and in certain acidic
episodes. The emission reduction pro-
grams included in Annex 1 cover both sta-
tionary sources (e.g., smelters, electric utility
plants, and industrial commercial boilers) for
SO2 and NOx reductions and mobile sources
(e.g., motor vehicles) for NOx reductions.

  The Annex 1 obligations recognize the
different approaches taken by Canada and
the United States in their efforts to reduce
the effects of acidic deposition.

  Canada and the United States control air
pollution by using several  approaches.
Two important approaches will be de-
scribed here. The first, adopted primarily
to protect human health, sets limits for spe-
cific  pollutants as  concentrations in air,
e.g., parts per million of air, or micrograms
per cubic meter of air. Both countries have
air concentration limits for sulphur dioxide
and nitrogen oxides, and  each has been
relatively successful in attaining these air
quality limits.

  The second approach aims to reduce the
total amount of pollutant falling on a given
area, and is associated with protecting eco-
systems  against the negative  effects of
pollution. Loadings can be expressed as
weight of pollutant per unit of land  area
per unit  of time. For example, Canada has
a target loading for the eastern part of the
country  of 20  kilograms of wet sulphate
per hectare of land per year. This particular
loading was developed in  the early 1980s
to protect moderately sensitive surface wa-
ters against the effects of acidification. In
the United States, the dean Air Act (CAA)
as amended in 1990 limits national  SOa
emissions without  reference to units of
land area. The acid rain control provisions
of the CAA are designed to substantially
reduce and eventually place a  cap on an-
nual emissions of SOa. These provisions
reflect, in part, a desire to  reduce deposi-
tion to sensitive aquatic resources so  that
acidification of lakes and streams would be
reversed  or slowed down.

  In concept, "total" loading involves both
wet and  dry deposition. Due to the lack of
information on the dry deposition compo-
nent, the early development of the total
loading concept focused on wet deposition
alone. This approach is probably more ap-
propriate for Canada and for regions of the
United States where dry deposition rates are
low, and less appropriate for areas where
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                       the relative contribution of dry deposition
                       to overall deposition is larger and/or more
                       regionally variable.
                         Both countries have experienced acidifi-
                       cation of surface waters in geographically
                       diverse areas, which  led to policies de-
                       signed to reduce the deposition of sulphur
                       compounds on watersheds. A concern also is
                       shared for the effect of acidic deposition on
                       forests and forest soils, and on materials,
                       and for the potential health threat posed
                       by elevated levels of acidic aerosols in the
                       atmosphere. In the United States, there
                       also has been a great concern about the ad-
                       verse   effect  of  air  concentrations  of
                       sulphate particles on visibility in  the east-
                       ern part of  the United States and in
                       national parks and wilderness areas of the
                       west (e.g., Glacier National  Park,  the
                       Grand Canyon).

                         In the sections that follow, the obligations
                       of the two governments relating to specific
                       programs and objectives are summarized,
and  progress  toward  the fulfillment  of
those obligations is noted. Areas  covered
include emission reduction goals,  affected
sources, timing of  reductions, geographic
domain, methods used to achieve reduc-
tions,  and   emissions   monitoring.   In
addition, a discussion of "prevention  of
significant  deterioration" and visibility
protection in the context of the Air Quality
Agreement is included.

SULPHUR DIOXIDE

Overview of Obligation/
Emission Reduction Goals
  Both countries have undertaken obliga-
tions to reduce  emissions  of  sulphur
dioxide from stationary sources and to im-
plement caps on those emissions. In this
report, short tons ("tons") and metric tons
("tonnes") are used. One ton is equal to 0.9
tonnes. Conversely, one tonne is equal to
1.1 tons. In accordance with Annex 1, Can-
ada is obligated to reduce  SO2 emissions in
22

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the seven easternmost provinces to 2.3 mil-
lion  tonnes per  year  by  1994,  and to
maintain an  annual cap  of 2.3  million
tonnes on those emissions through Decem-
ber  31,  1999.  Furthermore, Canada  is
committed  to achieving a  permanent na-
tional cap on SO2 emissions of 3.2 million
tonnes per year  by the year 2000. The
United States is committed  to reducing an-
nual SOa emissions by  approximately 10
million tons below 1980 levels by the year
2000, with the exception of sources repow-
ering   with   qualifying   clean   coal
technologies and those receiving bonus al-
lowances in  accordance with provisions
contained in the CAA. The United States'
commitment represents a reduction of ap-
proximately 40 percent in SOi emissions
compared to 1980, the base year  used in
both Canada and the United States for
measuring  progress in their respective
acid rain control programs. In addition,
the United States is committed to achiev-
ing  a  permanent national cap  of 8.95
million  tons of SO2 per year for electric
utilities by 2010.  Finally, the United States
is committed to ensuring that industrial
emissions of SOz do not exceed 5.6 million
tons, in accordance with provisions con-
tained in the CAA.

   Trends and targets for SC>2 emissions in
Canada and the United States are in Figure
1, which illustrates the  long-term down-
ward trend in emissions in both countries.

Implementation Overview

   Canada

   In 1985, the federal government and the
governments of  the seven easternmost
provinces agreed to establish a program to
reduce emissions of SOa.
                                          Figure 1
 I
 •5
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 o
 CO
 CO
 2 ;
 uu
 s
 CO
   40
  CO
  c
  o
 CO
   20
 CO
 CO
    10
 
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   The Eastern  Canada  program requires
 that total annual SOa emissions from the
 provinces east of Saskatchewan be reduced
 to 2.3 million tonnes by the end of 1994, a de-
 crease of about 40 percent from the 1980
 level of 3.8 million tonnes. Each province
 agreed to a specific overall reduction target
 and timetable. In essence, a "bubble" has been
 placed over each province, and the province
 left to decide how to  achieve the reduction
 needed to stay within the 'bubble" or emis-
 sion cap. The 1980 emission levels and the
 1994 targets are contained in Figure 2.
   In general, control  efforts have been di-
 rected at major SOa sources, such as non-fer-
 rous metal smelters and fossil fuel burning
 power plants, where  the largest and most
 cost-effective reductions  can  be achieved.
 These sources emitted about 62 and 20 per-
 cent, respectively,  of  Canada's SOa  emis-
 sions in 1985. As a result, six  large copper,
 nickel, and zinc smelters; one iron ore sin-
 tering plant; and three provincial electrical
 utilities are responsible for implementing
 the major portion of the control program.
   In the case of smelters, provinces have
 established  regulated emission levels  for
 each individual smelter. However, electric
 utilities in most provinces have been allo-
 cated a specified share of the provincial
 cap  for 1994,  and have been allowed to
 trade freely among their various power
 plants and  generating units within the
 province to meet their allocation. The form
 of control imposed allows these source sec-
 tors to choose among the range of poten-
 tial   control  options,   including   such
 methods as  process changes in the case of
 smelters, fuel switching or energy conser-
 vation programs to reduce electricity de-
 mand  in the  case of power  plants, or
back-end control  technologies in  either
case. Some of the provincial programs also
contain controls for other sectors, such as
limits on the sulphur content of heavy fuel
oil in Ontario and Quebec, and regulated
emission limits for pulp mills and refiner-
ies in Quebec.
   Between 1987 and 1994, the major emit-
ters will invest about $1.7 billion in capital
projects to reduce their SOa emissions. The
average annual investment over the period
is $248 million per year, but, during the fi-
nal four years, the investment in capital
projects will be approximately $352 mil-
lion per year.

   Investments in capital projects will con-
tinue beyond the end of 1993. For example,
Ontario  Hydro  will  continue to  invest
about $206 million a  year in  abatement
projects from 1994 to the end of 1998 in or-
der  to  keep  emissions  below the limit
while allowing  for  growth in electrical
generation. Nova Scotia Power will  invest
another $170  million between 1994 and
2010 for the same reason.

   Since  the  signing of  the Air  Quality
Agreement in 1991, considerable progress
has been  made  towards meeting the 2.3
million tonne target for 1994. During the
past  year, remedial measures  to reduce
emissions from  existing SOa  sources  in
eastern Canada included:

  m  Awarding of contracts for wet lime-
     stone scrubbers for two of the four
     500  MWe  generating units at  the
     Lambton power plant in Ontario.

  B  Release of a revised supply/demand
     plan by Ontario Hydro,  which fea-
     tures increased reliance on existing
     facilities and, linked to their life ex-
     tension, the possible retrofit of up to

-------
10 units with flue gas desulphuriza-
tion (FGD, or "scrubbers").

Commencement of operation of a new
ore processing mill at the Inco smelter
at Sudbury, Ontario, to remove con-
centrated sulphur (phyrrhotite) from
the ore before it enters  the smelter,
and the completion of the first of two
flash furnaces that will  allow much
higher  recovery  of  SO2  in the
smelter's acid plant.

Completion of major changes in 1990
to the smelting process at the No-
randa, Quebec, smelter that substan-
tially   increase  the  efficiency  of
sulphur capture at the new acid plant
installed in 1989.

Enactment  of  a sulphur in fuel oil
limit of 1.5 percent for the  power
plant at Tracy, Quebec, and 2.0 per-
cent for existing industrial boilers in
Quebec.

Acceleration of demand management
and efficiency programs by Canadian
electric utilities to forestall the need
for new generating capacity and to
reduce fossil fuel consumption.

Beginning of a $187 million project to
modernize  Hudson  Bay  Mining and
Smelting's   Flin  Flon,  Manitoba,
smelter. As part of the project, there
will be a replacement  of the current
zinc plant  by  a zinc pressure leach
plant. This  will reduce SOa emissions
by 25 percent, from 293,000 to 220,000
tonnes, allowing Manitoba to meet its
new emission limit by 1994.
    SUBMISSION REDUCTION GOALS
   iCanada
   ^s • "SQz emissions reduction in 7 easternmost provinces
    -ZT  to 2.3 million tonnes by 1994
    JTH Maintenance of 2.3 million tonne annual cap through
       —December 1999
       I T'ermanent national annual cap on SOa emissions of
        " 3.2 million tonnes by the year 2000

            States
         SQz emissions reduction by 10 million tons from 1980
  •**"*"•••   levels by the year 2000
         Permanent national cap of 8.95 million tons for
        ^electric utilities by the year 2010
         Cap of 5.6 million tons for industrial source emissions
  •  Decision  to  convert  the  315  MWe
     Dalhousie power  plant  in  New
     Brunswick to an orimulsion fuel and
     install a scrubber.

  At new  sources in Eastern Canada,
measures are being taken to minimize ad-
ditional SOz emissions and to ensure that
provincial caps are not exceeded. During
the past year:

  a  Tenders were awarded for an SQz
     scrubber at the 450 MWe coal-fired
     Belledune power plant under construc-
     tion in northern New Brunswick.

  a  A 1.5 percent sulphur content limit
     for heavy fuel oil was enacted in
     Quebec for all new industrial boilers.

  •  Construction proceeded on the  165
     MWe fluidized bed power plant at
                                                                                               15

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TABLE 1. Annual SO
Newfoundland
Power Generation
Total
Prince Edward Island
Power Generation
Total
Nova Scotia
Power Generation
Total
New Brunswick
Primary Metals
Power Generation
Total
Quebec
Primary Metals
Total
Ontario
Primary Metals3
Power Generation
Total
Manitoba
Primary Metals3
Total
Eastern Canada
Primary Metals3
Power Generation
Other
Total
2 Emissions and Targets for Eastern Canada (kilotonnes)
EMISSIONS
I9601
18
56
2
5
125
193
13
122
220
641
1,098
1,031
398
1,764
463
484
2,148
665
1,007
3,820
19851
22
43
3
130
170
17
94
138
483
693
899
337
1,457
459
469
1,858
583
532
2,973
19901
23
47
2
3
143
178
8
141
187
189
396
730
195
1,250
489
505
1,416
504
646
2,566
TARGETS
1994
45
5
204
185
6004
885
550
2,4742
Notes:
1 Numbers for 1980 and 1985 are taken from Environment Canada Report RPS 5/AP/3, March 1990. Estimates for 1990 are prelimi-
nary numbers based on submissions from provinces.
2 The 1994 Eastern Canada limit is 2,300 kilotonnes. The current total of agreed-to objectives is 2,474 kilotonnes; the remaining 174
kilotonnes is expected to be allocated sometime in 1992 through amendment of the current federal/provincial agreements.
3 Primary metal includes non-ferrous smelters and iron ore benefidation but excludes aluminum production.
4 The target for Quebec of 600 kilotonnes is for the year 1990; the province opted to complete its reduction program in 1990 rather
than in 1994.

16

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     Point Aconi, Nova Scotia, which will
     have 90 percent SOa removal capac-
     ity  and NOx  emissions at least 30
     percent below current new  source
     standards.

   The 1990 data on Canadian SOa emis-
sions indicate that emissions  in Eastern
Canada are  now within about 16 percent
of the program target of 2.3 million tonnes
by 1994.
   A new program that will aim at allow-
ing Canada  to maintain a national cap of
3.2 million tonnes by December 31,1999, is
being developed. Reductions currently oc-
curring under the  Eastern Canada pro-
gram also are contributing to a decline in
SO2 emissions nationally towards the 3.2
million tonne level. Emissions  nationally
in Canada were 4.6 million tonnes in 1980
and by 1990 had declined to 3.5 million
tonnes, or nearly 80 percent of the reduc-
tion needed  to reach the 3.2 million tonne
target. More information on the national
program should be available for the next
progress report.

   United States
   The U.S.  SOa emission reductions will
be implemented primarily through the use
of an innovative system  of SOa emission
allowances.  Each  allowance  permits  its
holder to emit one ton of SOa during or af-
ter a given year. Allowances will be allo-
cated to affected utility  units  based  on
their historic fuel use and  emission rates
specified in  the CAA amendments. Once
allocated, allowances are fully marketable.
They can be sold  to other  parties or
banked for  future  use. The primary  re-
quirement of the acid rain program is that
sources hold a sufficient number of allow-
ances at the  end  of the  year to cover their
annual emissions. At the end of the year,
emissions data will be compared to emis-
sion  allowance  holdings  to  determine
compliance. If a unit fails to hold a suffi-
cient number of allowances  to cover its
emissions, it must pay an excess emissions
fee of $2,000/ton for every ton in excess of
the allowances held. In addition, the non-
complying unit  would have to forfeit al-
lowances from the next year's allocation to
offset the excess emissions.

   Affected Sources, Timing,
   and Cost of Reductions

   The U.S. SOa emission reductions will
be implemented  in two phases, which will
entail  a  tightening  of  the restrictions
placed on fossil fuel-fired electric generat-
ing  plants. The first phase  commences
January 1, 1995, and the  second phase
commences January 1, 2000. In the first
phase, 261  units  at 110 electric utility
plants in 21 eastern states will be affected.
These sources will be allocated the number
of allowances specified in the CAA. The al-
locations were calculated on  the basis of
each unit  emitting at 2.5 pounds SOa per
million British Thermal Units (BTUs) heat
input. At  the end  of 1995 and  each year
thereafter, these Phase I units  must hold a
sufficient number of allowances to cover
their annual emissions.

   In Phase II, approximately 2,500 electric
generating units serving generators with
capacities  of 25 megawatts or greater (in-
cluding those covered under Phase I) will
be allocated allowances based on a series
of formulas contained in  the legislation.
This allocation will result in a substantial
reduction in allowable utility emissions of
SOa. In 2010,when the program is fully imple-
mented, the annual allocation of allowances
                                                                                                     17

-------
                       will result in a national  emission cap on
                       utility units of 8.95 million tons. Under the
                       acid rain program, new utility units, includ-
                       ing those smaller than 25 megawatts, will
                       not be allocated emission allowances but will
                       be required to obtain allowances from others
                       to cover their emissions.
                         The market-based allowance system has
                       been estimated to reduce costs of compliance
                       with acid rain control provisions by approxi-
                       mately 20 percent compared to traditional
                       "command and  control"  approaches.  The
                       costs of the acid rain control program in the
                       United States have been  estimated at ap-
                       proximately $1 billion a year in Phase I and
                       approximately $4 billion a  year in Phase II.
                       Therefore, the potential cost savings from
                       using a market-based system are signifi-
                       cant.  The market-based  approach  was
                       given added support in 1991  when the Chi-
                       cago  Board   of  Trade   announced  its
                       intention to establish  a futures market in
                       emission allowances.

                         Geographic Domain of
                         Control/Deposition Patterns
                         The United States acid rain control pro-
                       gram applies to the 48 contiguous states
                       and the District of Columbia (Hawaii and
                       Alaska are not covered). All sources  that
                       meet defined criteria will be subject to the
                       requirements articulated in Title IV of the
                       CAA. As noted above, the  sources affected
                       in Phase I that will have to undergo emis-
                       sion reductions  starting  in 1995 are  all
                       located in the eastern part of the country
                       where most older, higher  emitting plants
                       are  located. The states with  the largest
                       number of affected  units and  required
                       emission reductions are Ohio, Indiana, Il-
                       linois, Pennsylvania,  and  West Virginia.
                       Early indications suggest that some sources
                       in these states will choose to control beyond
 the  requirements  of  the legislation, and
 will sell their excess allowances to units in
 their own or other states where the cost ef-
 fectiveness of emission reductions is lower.

   Analyses conducted under the auspices
 of NAPAP suggest that emissions trading,
 which is designed to increase economic ef-
 ficiency in achieving emission reductions,
 would  not lead to broad regional differ-
 ences in deposition patterns compared to
 an approach that would not allow trading.
 One of the practical reasons for this is that
 emissions of sulphur dioxide in the United
 States are heavily concentrated in the mid-
 western part of the country, and switching
 emission reductions among sources would
 not result in dramatic changes over thou-
 sands of square miles in the United States
 and Canada. Once the emission reduction
 program in the United States is imple-
 mented and actual trading has taken place,
 the United States will conduct analyses of
 the  economic and environmental conse-
 quences of trading.

  Compliance Methods

  Under  the  U.S.  acid rain control pro-
 gram, a source can decrease its emissions
 to meet the number of allowances it holds,
 increase the number of allowances it holds
 up  to the level of its legal  level  of emis-
 sions, or combine  these two options. If a
 source chooses to  reduce its emissions to
 meet the number of allowances it holds, it
 has several options available to it. These in-
 clude   employing  energy  conservation
 measures, increasing reliance on renewable
 energy, reducing utilization, employing pol-
lution control technologies, or switching to
lower sulphur fuel. If a  source chooses to
increase its allowance holdings to  the level
of its emissions, it can transfer them  from
18

-------
another unit in its system that has an ex-
cess; buy allowances from a broker or from
another utility that may have exceeded its
control  requirements (thus having allow-
ances available to sell);  buy  allowances
from an industrial plant or unaffected util-
ity that elects to opt into the allowance
system; or, buy allowances through a legisla-
tively required EPA-sponsored allowance
auction  and sale program. The method(s)
that any individual source selects  to com-
ply with the requirements of the law will
be determined by the source. While the
government will  eventually evaluate the
impact of compliance decisions, it  will not
dictate which compliance measures sources
must select.

   Since Phase I of the acid rain control
program does  not require emission reduc-
tions until 1995, it is too early to report on
actual compliance decisions. However, it is
apparent that a significant number of utili-
ties are making plans to install scrubbers to
comply  with Phase I  reduction require-
ments. A good deal of specific information
on Phase I reduction decisions is likely to
be available by the time the next progress
report is published in 1994.

Progress in Implementing Sulphur
Dioxide Obligations

   The past year has been an active one in
terms of implementing the acid rain  con-
trol  provisions  of the  CAA  and   the
requirements of Annex 1 of the Air Quality
Agreement. Under the U.S. system, Con-
gress sets  out the requirements of  the
program, and the executive branch of gov-
ernment is responsible for developing and
promulgating the regulations that define
how the law will be implemented.  The ex-
ecutive  branch has the responsibility to
promulgate regulations implementing the
acid rain  control program. In December
1991, EPA promulgated final rules on the
auction and direct sale of allowances and
proposed  rules in four areas of critical im-
portance  to  the  acid  rain  program:
sulphur dioxide allowances, acid rain per-
mits, continuous emission monitoring, and
excess emissions.
   Future  regulations include the allow-
ance allocation rule, which sets forth the
initial allocation of allowances  that each
utility  unit will  receive and the "opt-in"
rule, under which industrial sources will
be given an opportunity to opt-in to the al-
lowance system. These rules are all subject
to public  review and  comment periods
within the United States, and most are ex-
pected to  be finalized by the end of 1992.
By the next Air Quality Agreement pro-
gress report,  there will  be  significant
movement toward Phase I compliance. For
example,  by  February 1993, all Phase I
sources will be required to submit permit
applications and compliance plans,  mak-
ing it  much clearer how Phase  I  units
intend  to comply  with their emission lim-
its. Additionally, all Phase I units will have
to install continuous emission monitors by
the end of 1993.

NITROGEN OXIDES

   Canada
   Under  Annex  1  of the  Air Quality
Agreement, Canada committed to reduce
its nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions  from
stationary  sources by 100,000 tonnes from
a forecast  emission level of 970,000 tonnes
in the year 2000. In addition, Canada is
committed to implementation  of more
stringent  NOx emission  standards for
                                                                                                    19

-------
                      light, medium, and heavy duty vehicles
                      through the period 1996 to 1998.
                         Canadian NOx emissions were 1.9 mil-
                      lion tonnes in 1985, with 63 percent origi-
                      nating from mobile sources, mainly light
                      and heavy duty vehicles and off-road die-
                      sel equipment. Major stationary sources
                      include power plants, boilers and heaters,
                      pipeline compressors, and gas turbines. If
                      no further controls other  than  those  al-
                      ready in place are implemented, it is esti-
                      mated that by 2000, NOx emissions from
                      stationary  sources  will rise to 970,000
                      tonnes from a level of 707,000 tonnes in
                      1985, and those from mobile sources will
                      drop to 960,000 tonnes from a level of 1.18
                      million tonnes in 1985.

                         Emission reductions will be achieved
                      through the implementation of  the Man-
                      agement Plan for Nitrogen Oxides (NOx)
                      and Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs).
                      The federal-provincial plan was developed
                      by the Canadian Council of Ministers of
                      the Environment and adopted in principle
                      in November 1990.
  The NOx/VOC Management Plan is di-
rected specifically at reducing the expo-
sure  of  Canadians  and  the  Canadian
environment to excessive concentrations of
ground-level ozone. The plan also is in-
tended to ensure that Canada meets its in-
ternational  obligations for NOx controls.
These are found  in  the United Nations
Economic Commission for Europe NOx
Protocol of 1988 (under the Convention on
LRTAP) and the Canada-United States Air
Quality Agreement of 1991. It  must be
noted that because ground-level ozone is
regional in nature, national NOx emission
reduction targets were not viewed as ap-
propriate control criteria. Consequently,
there are no national emission reduction
targets set out in the NOx/VOC Manage-
ment Plan.
  Measures identified in the NOx/VOC
Management Plan for mobile sources in-
clude a  more stringent standard of 0.4
grams per mile (gpm) of NOx for cars and
trucks by 1994, a 5 g/BHP-hr standard for
heavy duty trucks (already in place  on a
voluntary basis) by 1994 and tighter stand-
ards of 4 g/BHP-hr by 1998, standards for
off-road  diesel equipment, and  a cap on
NOx emissions  from rail transport. Re-
garding the more stringent NOx standard
for passenger cars, Transport Canada an-
nounced on February 20, 1992, a formal
agreement with major automobile manu-
facturers on  voluntary  compliance  with
standards  equivalent  to  those in  the
United States for 1994 and 1995, pending
introduction of a regulation under the Mo-
tor Vehicle Safety Act for the 1996 model
year.
   Control measures proposed for new sta-
tionary  sources include more  stringent
NOx emission limits for power plants, tur-
20

-------
bines,  industrial-commercial  boilers and
heaters, and large stationary reciprocating
engines. In addition, provinces are devel-
oping remedial NOx reduction programs
for major existing stationary NOx sources
in  ozone  non-attainment areas.  These
sources include power plants, commercial
iron and steel mills, and refineries.
   The NOx reduction program is now be-
ing formalized in federal-provincial agree-
ments  that will allocate responsibility for
achieving emission  reductions  and  for
monitoring and reporting of results.
   It is expected that reduction of NOx
emissions nationally from all sources will
amount to about  175,000 tonnes by  the
year 2000. This represents a 7.2 percent re-
duction from the 1985 emission level.  Re-
ductions in key source areas that have the
greatest effect  on  acidification will  be
greater than the national average.
   A second phase of the NOx/VOC Man-
agement Plan will  be developed by 1995.
More NOx emission reductions are likely
to be required  in this second phase and
will form the basis for the program to meet
the commitment in the Air Quality Agree-
ment for further annual  national emission
reduction  requirements  from stationary
sources to be achieved by 2000 and/or
2005.

   United States
   Under  Annex 1 of  the Air  Quality
Agreement, the United States is obligated
to implement a NOx control program with
a view to a reduction of total annual emis-
sions of NOx of approximately 2 million
tons from 1980 levels of 21 million tons.
The emission reductions will come from
both stationary sources (electric  utility
plants) and mobile sources (motor  vehi-
cles), and will be achieved by setting new
emission limits for these sources. Unlike
the emission limits for SO2, which are de-
fined in terms of total tons, the emission
limits for NOx are set in a more traditional
manner. For electric utility boilers, the lim-
its are set as pounds of NOx per million
BTUs, while for automobiles, they are set
as grams of NOx per mile; unlike the SOz
control program, there are no tonnage lim-
its on the amount of NOx that can be emit-
ted.  In  the absence  of new controls, the
NOx emissions from electric utility plants
were projected to be approximately 2 mil-
lion tons higher in the year 2000 than they
were in 1980. Mobile sources are projected
to experience a real decline in emissions by
the year 2000 compared to 1980, such that
the  actual  emission reductions  from all
sources are likely to be well over 2 million
tons.
  The  NOx  control provisions in  the
United States are specified in both Title II
(mobile sources) and Title IV (acid deposi-
tion control) of the CAA; parallel require-
ments are spelled out in Annex 1 of the Air
Quality Agreement. Substantial NOx con-
trol  also is expected under Title I  of the
CAA, but the magnitude and location of
these reductions is subject to future state
and federal discussions.

  Under the mobile source provisions, the
gpm for NOx limits will  be phased-in
starting with the 1994 model year for light
duty vehicles and some light duty trucks,
and  will be fully implemented by the 1996
model year for light duty vehicles and the
1997 model year for light duty trucks. The
NOx limits for heavy duty  trucks will be
phased-in beginning in 1991 and will be
fully implemented by 1998. The standard
will  be  0.4 gpm for light  duty vehicles
                                                                                                     22

-------
                       (which  includes  passenger  cars).  The
                       standard for cars represents about a 60 per-
                       cent decrease from the current standard.
                         Regulations implementing  this provi-
                       sion of the CAA were promulgated in June
                       1991. In addition, the useful life of pollu-
                       tion control equipment has been extended
                       from 50,000 miles to 100,000 miles. Con-
                       gress, in the  law, also required EPA to
                       make a determination by the end of 1999
                       whether or not there is a need to further re-
                       duce NOx emissions from vehicles (i.e., to
                       go down to 0.2 gpm from 0.4 gpm). The
                       NOx control provisions will affect all auto-
                       mobiles  sold  in the United  States, with
                       some areas (e.g., California) adopting even
                       stricter standards.
                         Under the  U.S. acid rain  control pro-
                       gram, the new standards must be set for
                       different classes of boilers used in the pro-
                       duction  of electricity. These requirements
                       also will be implemented in two phases.
                       EPA will establish Phase I emission limita-
                       tions to be met by two types of boilers by
                       1995. Subsequent  regulations for affected
                       units not subject to the Phase I NOx  limits
                       will be met in Phase II. The rules to imple-
                       ment the Phase I  NOx  requirements cur-
                       rently are being developed.

                       COMPLIANCE MONITORING
                         In Annex 1 of  the Air Quality Agree-
                       ment, Canada  and  the  United  States
                       undertook certain obligations  regarding
                       the  monitoring of emissions from electric
                       utility units and  other major  stationary
                       sources.  For all new electric utility units
                       and existing units greater than 25 MWe,
                       Canada is required to estimate emissions
                       of SOa and NOx using a method compara-
                       ble in effectiveness to continuous emission
                       monitors and  to investigate the feasibility
of using continuous emission monitoring
systems. Continuous emission monitoring
(CEM) is the measurement on a continu-
ous basis of pollutants emitted into the
atmosphere in exhaust gases from combus-
tion   processes  or as by-products  of
industrial processes. This requirement be-
comes effective January 1, 1995. For the
United States, the requirement is that, by
January 1, 1995, each new electric utility
unit and each electric utility unit greater
than 25 MWe that existed at the time of the
signing of the CAA amendments (Novem-
ber 15,1990) emitting SO2 or NOx install and
operate continuous emission  monitoring
systems or alternative systems approved by
the Administrator of EPA, to the extent re-
quired by section  412  of  the  CAA. The
Parties agreed to consult, as appropriate,
concerning the implementation of these re-
quirements.  For other  major stationary
sources, such as smelters  and  industrial
boilers, Canada and the United States have
agreed to work toward  utilizing compara-
bly   effective   methods  of  emission
estimation for SO2 and NOx.

   Canada

   SO2 and NOx emissions are being con-
tinuously monitored at several  Canadian
power plants, although the majority  of
plants are not yet being monitored. The
1981  Federal Thermal Power Generation
Emissions—National Guidelines for New
Stationary Sources recommends that a con-
tinuous monitoring system for SOa and
NOx be installed on each new source.

   The current revision of this national
standard, being  prepared  as part of the
NOx/VOC Management Plan, will include
a requirement for continuous NOx emis-
sion  monitoring at new  power  plants.
22

-------
Some provinces (e.g., Saskatchewan) have
programs to install  continuous emission
monitors on their existing power plants.
   Canada will be further evaluating actions
required to fulfill its commitments under the
Agreement and will report in more detail on
its SOa and NOx compliance monitoring
programs in the second progress report. The
United States is sharing information with
Canada on the implementation of the CEM
requirements of the CAA in order to assist
Canada in its evaluation.

   United States
   In  December 1991,  EPA  proposed  a
CEM rule as part of its overall implemen-
tation of the acid rain control provisions of
the CAA as amended in 1990. Equipment
required by the proposed rule must be in-
stalled, certified, and operational by No-
vember 15,1993, for Phase I affected units,
and by January 1,1995, for Phase II units.
CEMs are an important component of the
SO2  market-based allowance system that
will  be utilized,  helping  to  ensure that
complete and accurate emissions data are
available.
   Under the proposed rule, the owner or
operator of a unit regulated under Phase I
or Phase II (or a unit that opts-in to the
program) and any new unit must install  a
CEM system on the unit unless otherwise
specified in the regulation. A CEM system
generally might include:

   m a sulphur dioxide pollutant concen-
     tration monitor;

   BJ a nitrogen oxides pollutant  concen-
     tration monitor;

   ig a volumetric flow monitor;

   a an opacity monitor;
   n a diluent gas monitor; and

   n a data acquisition and handling sys-
     tem (computer-based) for recording
     and performing calculations with the
     data.

   Regarding the methods used to estimate
emissions from major stationary  sources
other than  electric utility units,  Canada
and the United States work together on
these issues as  part of their joint work on
emission inventories. In general, it can be
said that the two countries' approaches to
estimating emissions  from these  sources
are  both  compatible and   comparable.
Work continues on refining these methods.
These  types of emissions are important,
because, for example, non-utility  source
emissions of sulphur dioxide represent ap-
proximately 70  percent of total sulphur di-
oxide emissions in Canada, and 25 percent
of total sulphur dioxide emissions in the
United States.

PREVENTION OF SIGNIFICANT
DETERIORATION AND
VISIBILITY PROTECTION
   Annex 1 of the Air Quality Agreement
contains provisions on prevention  of sig-
nificant deterioration (PSD) and visibility
protection  with respect  to  sources  that
could cause significant transboundary air
pollution. Canada is obligated to develop
programs by January 1, 1995, while the
United States is obligated to  continue its
PSD and visibility protection programs
relative to transboundary effects to the ex-
tent required by the CAA.

   Subcommittee  1  of the bilateral  Air
Quality Committee is responsible for pro-
viding a forum for discussion on  issues
                                                                                                    23

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                       relative  to  the  implementation of  the
                       Agreement's provisions on PSD and visi-
                       bility  protection.  The  United  States is
                       sharing information with Canada on the de-
                       velopment and  implementation of  these
                       programs in the United States as a means of
                       helping Canada in the development of its
                       own PSD and visibility protection programs.

                          In this section, a brief description of the
                       PSD and visibility programs in the United
                       States is presented. For analyses of histori-
                       cal and present visibility conditions in the
                       United States and expected changes result-
                       ing from changes in sulphate concentrations,
                       please refer to  the NAPAP State of Science
                       Report No. 24 and  the 1990 Integrated
                       Assessment.

                       Prevention of Significant
                       Deterioration

                          The U.S. PSD program was designed to
                       keep air in areas with clean air clean. The
                       basic goals of  the PSD program are (1) to
                       ensure that economic growth will occur in
                       harmony with the preservation of existing
                       clean air resources; (2) to protect the public
                       health and welfare from any adverse effect
                       that might occur even at air pollution lev-
                       els lower  than the National  Ambient  Air
                       Quality Standards (NAAQS); and (3) to
                       preserve, protect, and enhance the air qual-
                       ity in areas of  special natural recreational,
                       scenic,  or historic value, such as national
                       parks and wilderness areas (called "Class I
                       areas"). The primary provisions of the PSD
                       regulations require that major new station-
                       ary sources  and  major modifications to
                       existing sources  be  carefully  reviewed
                       prior to construction  to ensure compliance
                       with the NAAQS, the applicable PSD air
                       quality increments, and the requirement to
                       apply the best available control technology
(BACT) to minimize the projects' emis-
sions of air pollutants.

   No new major source or major modifi-
cation  subject to PSD  review may  be
constructed without a permit. To obtain a
PSD permit an applicant must  (1) apply
BACT; (2) conduct an ambient air  quality
analysis; (3) analyze impacts to soils, vege-
tation, and  visibility;  (4)  not adversely
impact a Class I area; and (5) undergo an
adequate public review process.

   Briefly, a "major stationary  source" is
any source belonging to a list of 28 source
categories which emits or has the potential
to emit 100 tons per year or more of any
pollutant subject  to regulation  under the
Act (both sulphur dioxide and nitrogen ox-
ides are covered),  or any other  source
which  emits or has the potential to emit
such pollutants in  amounts  equal to  or
greater than 250 tons per year.

   A "major modification" is generally a
physical change or a change in the method
of operation of a major stationary source
which  would  result in a "significant" net
increase in the emissions of any regulated
pollutant. The quantity of net emission in-
crease that qualifies as "significant" varies
by pollutant but generally is about 40 tons
per year.

Visibility Protection Program

   Sulphur dioxide is  the primary  pollut-
ant associated with visibility degradation.
Sulphate particles are responsible for over
50 percent of visibility degradation in the
eastern part of the United States, and are
important in the western part of the coun-
try, which has a large number of national
parks and wilderness areas.
24

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   In 1977, Congress amended the CAA by
adding section 169A, which charged EPA
with developing regulations  to protect
visibility in certain national parks and wil-
derness areas. "Mandatory Class I Federal
areas"  are certain national parks, wilder-
ness   areas,   and  international  parks.
Congress, at that time, set forth a national
goal of preventing any future and remedy-
ing any  existing visibility impairment in
those areas caused by manmade pollution.
It is known  mat fine particulate matter,
either  emitted directly by manmade and
natural sources  or formed in  the atmos-
phere by reactions of gaseous  precursors,
is the major cause of visibility impairment.

   In 1979, EPA identified 156  mandatory
Class I areas  where  visibility  was deter-
mined  to be an important air quality-related
value.  In December  1980,  EPA promul-
gated  visibility  regulations  to assure
progress  toward meeting  the national
goal. The regulations promulgated by EPA
address visibility impairment that can be
traced  to a single source or a small group
of sources.

  A visibility monitoring program was es-
tablished which tracks atmospheric light
extinction levels along with  fine particle
pollution levels in many parks and wilder-
ness areas. EPA works cooperatively with
the other federal agencies that administer
the parks and wilderness areas (e.g.,  the
National Park Service and the Forest Serv-
ice) in establishing monitoring programs
and  reviewing visibility  data on impair-
ment.  EPA  also  is  planning  to  track
improvements in  visual  air quality  ex-
pected from the implementation of  the
program to reduce acid deposition in  the
East. This effort will cover areas outside of
the national park and wilderness system.

   EPA also is conducting research on re-
gional transport of pollution which affects
visual air quality. The large regional reduc-
tions  in  SOa emissions  were  achieved
under the acid rain control provisions of
the CAA that were enacted, in part, to re-
duce sulphate-based visibility impairment.
EPA will continue to develop techniques
to analyze regional transport of visibility-
impairing pollutants. Under the CAA,  the
Grand Canyon Commission, consisting of
seven western states, was formed to study
regional transport in the desert southwest
and make  program recommendations  to
EPA regarding visibility protection.
                                                                                                    25

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SECTION III
Progress:   Scientific and
Technical Activities  and
Economic Research
OVERVIEW

    In Annex 2 of the Air Quality Agree-
    ment, Canada and the United States
    have agreed to coordinate certain ac-
    tivities and  to cooperate on others.
Specifically, they  have agreed to coordi-
nate monitoring networks and emission in-
ventory activities and  to  cooperate on
effects monitoring, effects research, atmos-
pheric modeling, control technologies, and
analyses of market-based mechanisms  to
achieve environmental goals. The two Par-
ties have agreed that, initially, the primary
focus of these activities will be on acidic
deposition and its precursors.

  Both  countries have had active pro-
grams in  most of  these  technical and
scientific areas over the past decade. Given
the importance of acid rain as both a do-
mestic and bilateral issue,  both countries
conducted extensive research programs in
the 1980s on the causes and the effects of
acidic deposition. As noted earlier, in Can-
ada this program was coordinated by the
federal/provincial Research and Monitor-
ing Coordinating Committee (RMCC). The
RMCC  was  composed of Environment
Canada and the 10 provincial ministries of
the Environment. In 1990, the RMCC pub-
lished   its  summary analyses  in an
eight-volume report titled, "The 1990 Cana-
dian Long-Range Transport of Air Pollutants
and Acid Deposition  Assessment Report."
The report includes an executive summary
and volumes on emissions and controls, at-
mospheric science, aquatic effects, terrestrial
effects, human health effects, socio-economic
studies, and quality assurance.

  In the United States, the focal point for
acid rain research was NAPAP, a federal
interagency effort that included EPA; the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Admini-
stration;  the Council  on  Environmental
Quality; and the Departments of Energy,
Agriculture, and Interior. NAPAP spent 10
years and over $500 million studying the
causes and the effects of acid rain and exam-
ining the potential effects of various control
strategies. In 1990, NAPAP produced 27
State of Science and Technology Reports
and an Integrated Assessment. The effects
categories examined included aquatic, ter-
restrial  (forests  and  crops), materials,
visibility, and human health; other areas
included emissions monitoring and projec-
tions;  atmospheric processes, modeling
and deposition; control technologies; and
economic and valuation analyses. NAPAP
was reauthorized under the CAA amend-
ments of  1990 to coordinate monitoring
activities, identify research gaps, and re-
port on the status and effectiveness of the
acid deposition control program. NAPAP
must periodically report its findings to the
President and Congress.

  Canada and the United States both con-
duct  a  wide variety of  scientific  and
technical activities related to acidic deposi-
                                                                                       27

-------
 During the past year,

   the two countries

 have met to discuss a

   variety of topics

  related to emission

     inventories,

    including the

 production of a 1990

     inventory,

    integration of

  Canadian and U.S.

  emission data and

 projections of future

     emissions.
 tion. For example, emission inventories are
 developed, atmospheric models are used to
 plot deposition and air concentration maps,
 deposition and air concentration monitoring
 sites are maintained, the mechanisms of pol-
 lutants  acting on  the  environment  are
 studied in the laboratory and in the field,
 and there is monitoring of the effects on the
 environment (e.g., surface water sampling).
 This report contains some key information
 and highlights in all of these areas, in addi-
 tion  to  the  development  of  pollution
 reduction technologies and the use of mar-
 ket-based   incentives.   More  detailed,
 in-depth information on most of these top-
 ics can be found in the publications of the
 RMCCandNAPAP.
   Throughout this report,  the terms "acid
 rain" and "acidic  deposition" are  both
 used. "Acid rain" is a simple term that has
 been  used for  many years  and  gained
 widespread public recognition. The sci-
 ence  of acidification processes is more
 complex than the term "acid rain" implies.
 The problem of acidification  goes beyond
 the acidity of rain; it also  includes the
 acidifying effects of chemicals that are in
 the air  or involved in deposition to the
 earth's  surface  when it is  not  raining.
 "Acidic  deposition" incorporates both wet
 and dry conditions. While many chemicals
 are involved  in acidic deposition,  it is the
 sulphur and  nitrogen compounds of the
 overall deposition problem  that are central
 to most of the scientific questions that arise,
 and are therefore the focus of this report.

 EMISSION INVENTORIES

   In Annex 2 of the Air Quality Agree-
 ment,  Canada  and  the  United States
agreed  to coordinate  emission inventory
activities for the purpose of ". . .determin-
 ing and reporting air emissions levels, his-
 torical trends, and projections with respect
 to the achievement of the general and spe-
 cific   objectives  set  forth   in   [the]
 Agreement. . .". In Annex 2, the two Par-
 ties also agreed to the use of measurement
 and estimation procedures of comparable
 effectiveness and to the use of compatible
 data  management  procedures, formats,
 and methods.
   Emission inventories are  estimates of
 emissions of various pollutants that are
 used for air quality management purposes.
 National  emission inventories are collected
 for a number of pollutants, including sul-
 phur dioxide and nitrogen oxides. Emissions
 of pollutants are usually broken down by
 amount from different source  categories,
 including stationary sources (e.g.,  electric
 power plants, smelters, factories),  mobile
 sources (e.g., cars and trucks), and  natural
 sources (e.g., volcanoes, vegetation). Emis-
 sion inventories are calculated by a variety
 of methods, including mass balance, data
 from  monitors, and the application  of
 emission factors to various sources. The
 development of emission inventories is an
 evolutionary process, with constant devel-
 opment of new methods and enhancement
 of older ones. For example, the U.S. pro-
 gram  to  install continuous   emission
 monitors on all the units affected  by the
 acid rain control provisions of the CAA
 will provide a high degree of precision to a
 substantial portion  of the United  States'
sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxides emis-
sions inventories.

  Canada  and  the  United  States have
worked together to produce emission in-
ventories before and are continuing  to
work together. The most significant coop-
eration  to  date  occurred   during  the
28

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compilation  of  the  1985 inventory  devel-
oped  under the auspices of NAPAP.  The
NAPAP Inventory contained information on
both Canadian and US. emissions for a vari-
ety of pollutants, including sulphur dioxide
and nitrogen oxides. During the past year, the
two countries have met to discuss a variety of
topics related to emission inventories, includ-
ing the production of a  1990 inventory,
integration of Canadian and US. emission
data in the US. Air Information Retrieval Sys-
tem  (AIRS), and  projections  of  future
emissions. They have agreed to meet every
six months on a continuing basis to carry out
their work pursuant to the Agreement.
   Canadian and U.S. SQz and NOx emis-
sions data for the years 1980 and 1985 and
preliminary estimates  for 1990  are  in-
cluded in Tables 2 and 3.

ATMOSPHERIC MODELING
   In Annex 2 of the Air Quality Agree-
ment,  Canada and the United States
agreed to exchange information with re-
spect to their development and refinement
of atmospheric models for purposes of de-
termining  source-receptor  relationships
and transboundary transport and deposi-
tion of air pollutants. In this report, results
from  linear (Lagrangian)  and  complex

TABLE 2. Cana<
CANADA
Utility
Industrial
Other
Total
UNITED STATES
Utility
Industrial
Other
Total
ia/U.S. SOa Emission Estimates (106 tonnes/ tons/year)
1980
Millions of
tonnes
0.8
3.6
0.3
4.7
Millions of
tons
0.9
4.0
0.3
5.2
1985
Millions of
tonnes
0.7
2.8
0.2
3.7
Millions of
tons
0.8
3.1
0.2
4.1
19901
Millions of
tonnes
0.8
2.8
0.1
3.7
Millions of
tons
0.9
3.1
0.1
4.1

—••.,,.;:..;.. 1980 • .... : .-..
Millions of
tonnes
15.5
6.2
1.7
23.4
Millions of
tons
17.0
6.8
1.9
25.7
1985
Millions of
tonnes
14.2
5.4
1.5
23.1
Millions of
tons
15.6
5.9
1.7
23.2
19901
Millions of
tonnes
14.2
5.4
1.6
21.2
Millions of
tons
15.6
5.9
1.8
23.3
1 - Preliminary.
References:
U.S. Data - National Air Pollutant Emission Estimates, 1940-1990 (EPA-450/4-91-02, November 1991).
Canadian Data - Development of the 1980 NAPAP Emissions Inventory (EPA/600 /7-86/-57a, December 1986).
The 1985 NAPAP Emissions Inventory (Version 2): Development of the Annual Data and Modelers Tapes (EPA-600/7-89-012a,
November 1989).

                                                                                                     29

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TABLE 3. Annual NC
(106 tonnes/ tons/year
CANADA
Utility
Industrial
Mobile2
Other
Total
UNITED STATES
Utility
Industrial
Mobile2
Other
Total
)x Emission Estimates for Canada and the United States
1980
Millions of
tonnes
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.6
1.8
Millions of
tons
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.7
2.0
1985
Millions of
tonnes
0.3
0.4
0.8
0.4
1.9
Millions of
tons
0.3
0.4
0.9
0.5
2.1
i 19901
Millions of
tonnes
0.3
0.4
0.7
0.5
1.9
Millions of
tons
0.3
0.4
0.8
0.6
2.1

1980
Millions of
tonnes
6.4
3.8
7.9
2.8
20.9
Millions of
tons
7.0
4.2
8.7
3.1
23.0
1985
Millions of
tonnes
6.7
3.4
7.0
2.8
19.9
Millions of
tons
7.4
3.7
7.7
3.1
21.9
i 	 	 19901
Millions of
tonnes
7.3
3.9
5.6
2.8
19.6
Millions of
tons
8.0
4.3
6.2
3.1
21.6
1 - Preliminary.
2 - Mobile - The United States has only highway vehicles - other transportation categories are included
under other; Canada has all transportation categories included under mobile.
References:
U5. Data -National Air Pollutant Emission Estimates, 1940-1990 (EPA-450/4-91-02, November 1991).
Canadian Data - Development of the 1980 NAPAP Emissions Inventory (EPA/600/7-86/-57a. December 1986).
The 1985 NAPAP Emissions Inventory (Version 2): Development of the Annual Data and Modelers Tapes (EPA-600/7-89-012a,
November 1989).

                       non-linear (Eulerian) models used in the
                       assessment of acidic deposition and pro-
                       gress in the evaluation of Eulerian models
                       arc presented.
                          In the sections that follow, the following
                       are discussed:  atmospheric model applica-
                       tion, atmospheric model evaluation, and
                       atmospheric model development.

                          Atmospheric Model Application

                          Canada and the United States have de-
                       veloped strong acid deposition modeling
                       programs over the past several years and
are in a good position to meet the objec-
tives of the Air Quality Agreement.

   Models are used to characterize regional
source-receptor relationships, including those
of the transboundary transport of pollutants.
Efforts are under way to exchange informa-
tion on the use of atmospheric models to
augment monitoring data. The augmenta-
tion of data  also  is  intended to help
provide more timely estimates of atmos-
pheric deposition and air quality for  the
assessment of current and estimation of fu-
ture ecological effects. Information also is
30

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 Figure 2a
Wet SO4 deposition data 1982-1986 (kg/ha/yr). Current conditions—the
observed 5-year (1982-1986) mean deposition values.
being exchanged regarding the use of at-
mospheric models to anticipate trends in
air and  precipitation concentrations that
would be expected in the annual and sea-
sonal time series from the monitoring data.

   Atmospheric  models  have played an
important role in assessment and applica-
tion studies  in  both countries.  A  major
assessment effort by Canada was com-
pleted in 1990; the results were published
in the  "1990 Canadian Long-Range Trans-
port of Air Pollutants and Acid Deposition
Assessment" report. Canadian estimates of
current and future wet  sulphate deposi-
tion, assuming  full U.S. and  Canadian
control programs, are shown in Figure 2.
The Canadian analysis, which was  based
on the Ontario  Ministry of the Environ-
ment's long-range transport model, shows
that, when the control programs in both
countries are fully implemented, wet sul-
phate deposition for the most part will be
less than 20 kg/ha/year in the acid-sensi-
tive regions  of  Eastern  Canada. In  the
United States, atmospheric models used in
the 1990  NAPAP Integrated Assessment
were described in a 1989  NAPAP publica-
tion with applications and  performance
evaluation status, ("Models  Planned  for
Use in the  NAPAP Integrated  Assess-
ment"). U.S. estimates of current, future, and
relative (percentage change)  wet sulphate
deposition, assuming full implementation of
U.S. and Canadian  control programs,  are
shown in Figure 3.

   Efforts  have begun  under the Agree-
ment to identify and resolve differences in
the details of the estimates of current and
projected wet sulphate deposition from the
respective assessments. Additional efforts       predictions of deposition under conditions of full implementation of
also have begun to study and extend  the the S°2 C0ntr°l Pr°8mm in Eastern Canada and a 10 million ton (9 million
wet deposition estimates  to total sulphate metnc tmms) reduction in 198° emissions in the United States.
 Figure 2b
                                                            31

-------
 Wei sulphate deposition for 1982-85 (kg/ha) from monitoring
 sites (imlh smoothing-kriging).
RADM. wet sulphate deposition for 1982-85 (kg/ha) from
monitoring sites (with smoothing-kriging).
                       deposited. This coordinated review is ex-
                       pected to result in a consistent assessment
                       of the effect of the combined Canadian and
                       U.S. control programs on air quality and
                       deposition. Efforts also have begun to de-
                       velop a common approach to the best use
                       of  the different  atmospheric modeling
                       tools for assessment purposes.
                         Planning is under way between EPA and
                       Canadian federal and provincial agencies to
                       exchange  atmospheric model estimates of
                       the transboundary effect of SOa emission
                       controls in both  countries on sulphate
                       deposition reductions in Canada and the
                       United States, respectively.

                         In the  near future, information  will be
                       exchanged on atmospheric  model esti-
                       mates  of nitrogen deposition. This work
                       will augment continuing efforts related to
            wet sulphate, dry sulphur dioxide deposi-
            tion, and sulphate air concentrations.

            Atmospheric Model Evaluation

               The two countries have been cooperat-
            ing in a multi-year, bi-national Eulerian
            Model Evaluation Field Study  (EMEFS)
            since 1985. The Preliminary EMEFS Evalu-
            ation of the advanced  acidic deposition
            models developed in the two countries,
            the  Regional  Acid  Deposition  Model
            (RADM) in the United States and the Acid
            Deposition and  Oxidant Model  (ADOM)
            in Canada, has been completed. Results for
            RADM were  presented in the NAPAP
            State of Science and Technology  Report
            No. 5. Improvements to both ADOM and
            RADM stemming from the findings of the
            preliminary evaluation  have  been com-
            pleted in 1991. The large under-prediction
32

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                                     kg - SO4/ha
                                          0-10
                                          10-20
                                          20-30
                                          30-40
                                              kg - SOWha
                                                   0-10
                                             I   I   10-20
                                                   20-30
                                                   >30
RADM wet sulphate deposition for 1982-85 (kg/ha).
          RADM wet sulphate deposition for 2010 (kg/ha).
of sulphate deposition in the earlier ver-
sions'  predictions  has  been  virtually
eliminated for both models.

   Phase 1 of the EMEFS program will be
completed in 1992. Two joint workshops
were held in 1991 to exchange and discuss
model evaluation results. Diagnostic prob-
ing of the ADOM and RADM models will
continue to be jointly coordinated through
the EMEFS process. This diagnostic analy-
sis is based on comparisons against special
Canadian and U.S. aircraft  and  surface
measurements collected under EMEFS.

   Plans for the cooperative work of Phase
2  of the bi-national  EMEFS evaluation
have been  developed and  priorities  for
specific test periods established. Phase 2 is
expected to continue through 1993. The
emphasis of the RADM and ADOM evalu-
ation is expected to shift from sulphur to
nitrogen and ozone. Although several of
the key issues regarding sulphur have been
successfully dealt with in the improvements
stemming from the Preliminary and Phase 1
evaluation work, sulphur predictions will
continue to be examined because of the im-
portance of sulphur in  the Air Quality
Agreement.

   Cooperative work on the evaluation of
the atmospheric models will be expanded
under  the  Agreement  to  include  the
evaluation of models used to estimate sea-
sonal and annual  averages  of sulphur
deposition and  ambient sulphate concen-
trations for assessment purposes.
                                                                                                     33

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                       Atmospheric Model Development

                          Longer range plans for model develop-
                       ment also are  being coordinated  with
                       bi-national participation. A North American
                       Consortium on Advanced Modeling of Re-
                       gional Air Quality (CAMRAQ) is a major
                       vehicle for this coordination and informa-
                       tion exchange. CAMRAQ includes several
                       industrial research organizations as well as
                       federal, provincial, and state agencies. The
                       model development efforts will set a high
                       priority on the extension of acid deposition
                       models  to  incorporate regional  particu-
                       lates. Explicit inclusion of particulates will
                       produce atmospheric models  that give  a
                       more accurate assessment of visibility pro-
                       tection and air quality deterioration. This
                       development  effort will directly  support
                       visibility protection efforts called for in the
                       Agreement.
          Wei deposition
         monitoring site.
DEPOSITION AND AIR
CONCENTRATION MONITORING
NETWORKS AND RESULTS

   In Annex 2 of the Air Quality Agree-
ment, Canada and the United States have
agreed to coordinate  their air  pollutant
monitoring activities for the purpose of de-
termining and reporting on air  pollutant
concentrations and deposition. Since the
deposition of sulphur and nitrogen com-
pounds is linked to both acidic deposition
and acidifying emissions, it is the focus of
the discussion in this section. The simple
measure of acidity, pH, offers a limited ap-
preciation of the deposition phenomenon
and is therefore not used in this discussion.

   Acid deposition is traditionally consid-
ered in terms of wet and dry components.
Wet deposition is the product of the con-
34

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centration of a species in precipitation and
the amount of precipitation. Trends in wet
deposition therefore reflect the trends in
both   concentration   and   precipitation
amount. Sulphate and nitrate wet deposition
has been monitored intensively in Canada
and the United States throughout the 1980s
by federal, state, provincial, and industrial
monitoring networks, and results are re-
ported here.
  Dry deposition is not amenable to such
monitoring methods. Moreover, studies are
hindered because cost-effective direct meas-
urement  systems are  not available.  Dry
deposition is estimated in the  United States
by the inferential approach for the 50-station
National Dry Deposition Network (NDDN)
and for the 9-station National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration  (NOAA)  re-
search network. In Canada, dry deposition is
determined at 11 sites using  a  similar  ap-
proach. The  inferential  approach  used to
calculate dry deposition in Canada and in
the United States determines deposition flux
as a product of measured concentration and
as a modeled deposition velocity based on
measurements of meteorological  variables
and physical/biological surface conditions,
and provides relevant information at a rea-
sonable cost. Other approaches to measuring
dry deposition,  such  as eddy  correlation,
throughfall, and gradient processes, are in the
exploratory phase  of  development.  Al-
though the latter "direct" flux measure-
ments have not been used in routine moni-
toring programs, they are used at selected
sites in the United States for comparison to
inferential measurements.

  Monitoring networks are important in the
context of the Air Quality Agreement. Spe-
cifically,  data on the  concentration  and
deposition of acidic compounds and ozone
will be collected to:
  •  assess the effectiveness of emission re-
     duction requirements;

  m  support aquatic and terrestrial effects
     monitoring and research;

  m  determine regions of the continent at
     risk;

  m  assess materials damage;

  m  perform  model  maintenance  and
     application;

  m  determine transboundary impacts; and

  •  support water quality determinations.

  Environment Canada monitors wet and
dry deposition within the Canadian Air and
Precipitation Monitoring Network  (CAP-
MoN). Most provincial Ministries  of  the
Environment in Canada also carry out wet
deposition monitoring. The combined fed-
eral and provincial wet deposition data are
archived centrally in the National Chemistry
Data Base (NATCHem).
  As a result of the CAA, the United States
created the Clean Air Status and Trends Net-
work (CASTNET), which  reflects a multi-
agency, multi-program approach to large-scale
monitoring and assessment. The participants in
CASTNET include federal and state agencies
and universities. The CASTNET program will
provide a means to coordinate with Canada
the monitoring of acid deposition and facili-
tate the exchange of information as agreed to
in the Air Quality Agreement.
  In the United States, the existing Na-
tional  Atmospheric Deposition  Program/
National  Trends  Network (NADP/NTN)
Wet deposition data

from the largest and

most geographically

  diverse of these

networks have been

combined to produce

 maps showing the

 spatial patterns of

 wet deposition in

   eastern North

     America.
                                                                                                       35

-------
                          Figure 4
                         1980 wet SO* deposition—sea salt corrected (kg/ha/y).
                         1984 wet SO* deposition—sea salt corrected (kg/ha/y).
                         '.988 wet SO* deposition—sea salt corrected (kg/ha/y).
 will be relied  upon  to provide  the basic
 framework  for the wet deposition moni-
 toring data. The CASTNET program will
 place additional  wet and dry deposition
 monitoring  sites in  areas  of the  United
 States that are  currently  under repre-
 sented.   These   areas  include  sensitive
 ecosystems, such as high  elevation  sites
 and coastal regions. The expanded NDDN
 (CASTNET), NOAA  network,  and  the
 NADP/NTN will provide weekly total ni-
 trogen and  sulphur deposition, ozone, and
 sulphur dioxide  concentration data. These
 data will be combined with data from the Ca-
 nadian  networks  to  estimate  the  spatial
 patterns  of  total deposition across North
 America.

   In the  United States, a number of sta-
 tions offering detailed  daily measures of
 wet and dry deposition parameters will be
 operated  by NOAA under their new At-
 mospheric Integrated Research Monitoring
 Network  (AIRMoN). This network is de-
 signed to provide a  timely indication  of
 the localized effects of emission controls
 on the atmosphere and on deposition from
 it, for a smaller number of sites selected to
 reveal the  consequences  of controls  in
 some areas of special interest.

   Wet deposition data from the largest and
 most  geographically diverse of these net-
 works have been combined to  produce
 maps showing  the spatial patterns of wet
 deposition in eastern North America. Figure
4 shows the annual wet deposition distri-
butions of sulphate (corrected for sea salt
within 100 km of the ocean) across eastern
North America for the years 1980, 1984,
and 1988. Figure  5 shows the correspond-
36

-------
ing distributions of nitrate.  The annual
patterns  (separated  by 4-year intervals)
provide  a  useful  baseline for assessing
possible  spatial and  temporal changes
throughout the 1980s and future changes
in the patterns. It is worth noting that the
patterns  represent regional-scale  deposi-
tion and are based on measurements taken
away from large emission sources.
   Deposition   monitoring,  like  atmos-
pheric  model  development  and  the
production of emission inventories, is an
evolutionary  process. Refinements in the
collection and analysis of data have led to
continuing improvements in the produc-
tion of deposition maps, and future work
will lead to even more improvements.
   Air concentration and dry deposition of
sulphate and nitrate have not been  moni-
tored in  the United States and Canada to
the extent  that wet  deposition has been.
Figure 6 shows the existing air concentra-
tion and dry deposition monitoring sites
and displays median SO2 air concentration
values recorded in 1989 at these sites in the
United States and Canada. The map shows
that relatively higher levels  (generally
above 10 |o.g/m ) of SO2 were found in a
roughly  rectangular area bounded  by
southern New York,  northern  Virginia,
central Illinois, and northern Illinois. Con-
centrations generally decline as one moves
away from this region. The concentration
data are used to calculate dry deposition
using the inferential approach.
   The  values in   Figure  6  should  be
viewed as snapshots; they represent data
only from  1989, and are the products of
two different sampling time periods.  The
Canadian sites monitor on a  daily basis,
                                           Figure 5
1980 wet NO3 deposition (kg/ha/y).
1984 wet NO3 deposition (kg/ha/y).
                                          1988 wet NOs deposition (kg/ha/y).
                                                                                                      37

-------
 Figure 6
                                                                                 • NDDN
                                                                                 • NOAA
                                                                                 A CAPMON
                                                                                 • NDDN and NOAA
                                                                                 T NDDN, NOAA
                                                                                   and CAPMON
Median 1989 SOz air concentrations (\igfnf) at CAPMoN and NDDN sites. At Penn State, the CAPMoN value appears
above the NDDN values.
                        while the U.S. sites operate on a weekly
                        schedule. These different sampling periods
                        could lead to systematic differences in the
                        data  reported by the networks. However,
                        at  Pennsylvania State  University, Cana-
                        dian   and  U.S.  sampling instruments
                        operate within about 15 km of each other.
                        The maps for 1989 indicate that, for the an-
                        nual  medians at least, the networks' data
                        are comparable.  Actual  dry  deposition
                        fluxes have not been calculated from the
                        air concentration data for the 1989 moni-
                        toring  period. The  patterns  for  dry
                        deposition could be substantially different
                        than  those for the air concentrations.
   Figures 7 and 8 are simple bar charts of
annual wet deposition of sulphate and ni-
trate, respectively, at seven sites across
North America. It is apparent from these
figures  that  annual  wet  deposition  is
highly variable on a year-to-year and site-
to-site basis. This variability is related not
only to annual variations in emissions, but
also  to  variations in meteorology—espe-
cially wind and precipitation patterns. As
a result, it is entirely possible for emissions
to remain roughly constant over several
years while the deposition varies consider-
ably. This natural variability has major
implications on the length of time required
to detect long-term trends in  deposition.
38

-------
  Figure?
     ELA
                                                                Kejimkujik
      80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87
Annual wet deposition of sea salt corrected sulphate (kg h y ) at four CAPMoN sites in Canada
and three NADP/NTN sites in the United States.
 Figure 8
     ELA
Kejimkujik
      80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87
Annual wet deposition of nitrate (kg h' y' ) at four CAPMoN sites in Canada and three
NADP/NTN sites in the United States.
                                                                                                           39

-------
A strong correlation

    supports the

  hypothesis that

 sulphate deposition

has Itad a direct effect

 on the chemistry of

  surface wafers in

many parts of North

      America.
US. and Canadian scientists are currently
working on a common trends analysis ap-
proach for both countries.
   In Canada, trends in concentration data
for sulphate and nitrate in precipitation
have been analyzed at five CAPMoN sites.
The trends were determined using CAP-
MoN data in a best-fit time series model
that accounted for inherent seasonal cy-
cles, long-term cycles, long-term  trends,
and the relationship between precipitation
depth and concentration. The relationship
between  the  modeled  and calculated
means is quite good.
   Sulphate in precipitation at the Cana-
dian sites  generally decreased from the
early to late 1980s (roughly 1986-1987), af-
ter which time it  stayed  approximately
constant to 1990. In contrast, nitrate con-
centrations showed no significant trend
upward or downward at three of the five
sites, increased dramatically from 1981
through 1990 at the fourth site, and cycled
through a  decrease and an increase at the
fifth site. It remains for researchers to es-
tablish the linkage between these  trends
and trends in emissions and meteorology.
   The goal is to be able to describe total
sulphur deposition. Research is currently
ongoing so that wet and  dry deposition
fluxes in kg/ha can be combined to give
total deposition.
                          In Annex 2 of the Air Quality Agree-
                        ment,  Canada and  the  United  States
                        agreed to cooperate and exchange infor-
                        mation with respect to (a) their monitoring
                        of the effects of changes in air pollutant
                        concentrations and  deposition with  re-
spect to changes in various effects catego-
ries, and (b) their determination of any
effects of atmospheric pollution on human
health  and ecosystems. In the  following
sections, the effects of acidic deposition on
aquatic systems, forests,  human health,
and materials are discussed. Programs to
protect visibility were discussed in an ear-
lier section of this report.
   It was the observations of aquatic ef-
fects  in  the  1970s  that initiated  the
widespread scientific and political interest
in acidic deposition. Because research be-
gan relatively  early,  understanding  the
impact of acidic deposition on aquatic re-
sources is in many ways more developed
than for other ecosystem components.

Terrain Sensitivity and Regions of
Concern

   Canada
   Approximately  4 million km2 (43 per-
cent of Canada's land area) is considered
potentially sensitive to changes in chemis-
try and biology as a  result of changes in
acidic deposition chemistry.  These sensi-
tive areas correspond, to a major degree, to
the Canadian Shield. The coincidence of
sensitive terrain and elevated acidic depo-
sition defines the area of primary concern.
In Canada, it is restricted to the southeast-
ern portion of the country (Figure 9).

   United States
   Those  areas where lakes  and streams
would be expected to change in response to
changes in sulphur and nitrogen deposition
are  New  England, the Adirondacks, the
Mid-Atlantic Highlands, the  Mid-Atlantic
Coastal Plain, the Southeastern Highlands,

-------
 Florida, the upper Midwest, and portions
 of the West (Figure 9).

 Sulphate Deposition versus Surface
 Water Concentrations

   Sulphate concentrations  in  many dilute
 surface waters are controlled by the magni-
 tude of sulphur deposition. A plot of median
 regional wet sulphate deposition versus me-
 dian surface water sulphate  concentration
 yields a positive relationship (Figure 10). Ex-
 ceptions are easily explained such as regions
 receiving high dry deposition (e.g., Sud-
 bury), or regions having sulphate-absorbing
soils  (e.g.,  Southeastern  Highlands). The
relatively small  scatter  of the  remaining
points in Figure 10 reflects regional differ-
ences in the relative magnitude of wet and
dry deposition, climate geological sources of
sulphate, terrain physiography, and other
system variables.

   The strong correlation evident in Figure
10 supports the hypothesis that sulphate
deposition has had a direct effect on the
chemistry of surface waters in many parts of
North America. Surface waters react to the
increased sulphate in one or more of the fol-
lowing ways:  decreasing acid neutralizing
  Figure 9
                                                                        LAB
           WEST
  United States Regions

    NE   - New England
    ADR  - Adirondacks
    UMW -UpperMidwest
    MAH  - Mid-Atlantic Highlands
    MAC  - Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain
    SEH  - Southeastern Highlands
    FLA  - Florida
    WEST -West
                   Canadian Regions

                    ONT   - Ontario
                    QUE   -Quebec
                    LAB   - Labrador
                    NF    - Newfoundland
                    NB    - New Brunswick
                    NS    - Nova Scotia
Location of Canadian and United States regions of concern. Markers indicate general location of
region rather than specific points. More regions are indicated than discussed specifically in the text.
Data for all regions listed are available for assessment of change.
                                                                                                              41

-------
   Can. Lakes

   U.S. Lakes

   U.S. Streams
Figure 10

i
Sj 200 —
§
2 150 —
O
O
o
O 100 —
O
CO
eW 50 —
"O
0)
2

(



High dry o
deposition ** -*

• "
• a
m •
• m
Jfm-^
•• p i m
•Tt ™ .^^^ J
• •" ^^^^ - B S04
^" r_^ r-* adsorbing
• ^"^^^CTi 	 • — regions
1 1 1 1 1 1
3 5 10 15 20 25 30 3
Wet SO4 Deposition (kg/ha/yr)











5

                      Relationship between median sulphate concentrations in lakes and wet sulphate deposition.
                       capacity (ANC) and pH, increasing base
                       cations, and/or decreasing organic anions.
                       Surface waters with an ANC 5 0  n.eq/L
                       are defined as acidic, while those with ANC
                       £ 50 fieq/L are defined as extremely sensi-
                       tive to acidification. In addition  to the
                       influence of sulphate deposition, the ANC
                       of surface waters  can increase with in-
                       creasing base cations and/or decreasing
                       organic anions.

                       Current Chemical Conditions in
                       Regions of Concern

                          Canada
                          Lakes in the Atlantic provinces of Can-
                       ada and Quebec generally have lower base
                       cation and ANC concentrations than those
in Ontario primarily due to differing ter-
rain geology. Thus, lakes in the Atlantic
and Quebec  regions  are  typically  more
sensitive to acidic deposition than lakes in
either Ontario or the eastern United States.
The Sudbury region in Ontario also has
acidic lakes localized around a large emit-
ter of sulphur dioxide. There are in the
order of  > 14,000 acidic lakes >1 ha in size
and > 31,000 acidic lakes > 0.18 ha in size in
southeastern Canada.  Regional acidification
of eastern Canadian lakes is primarily due to
sulphate deposition, not organic acids.

   United States

   Within the  regions shown on Figure 9,8
percent of the streams and 4 percent of the
42

-------
lakes were acidic and about 20 percent of
both lakes and streams had ANC below 50
H.eq/L. Florida had the highest proportion
of acidic surface waters among the Na-
tional  Surface  Water  Survey  (NSWS)
regions (39 percent of the streams and 23
percent of the lakes), followed by the Adi-
rondacks (14 percent  of lakes)  and  the
Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain (12 percent of
streams). The remaining regions have < 10
percent acidic surface waters and the west-
ern  United  States  and the Southeastern
Highlands have < 1 percent. Organic acids
and sulphate from acid mine drainage sig-
nificantly contribute to the acidification of
waters in some areas, particularly Florida
(organics) and the mid-Appalachians (acid
mine drainage). However, atmospherically
deposited sulphate is the dominant anion
in 75 percent of the acidic lakes and almost
50 percent  of the acidic streams. Overall,
there were  1,180  acidic (ANC<0)  lakes
larger than 4 ha and 4,520 acidic streams in
the assessed regions, representing an acidic
lake area of 263 km2 and 7,900 km of acidic
stream length.
   The above  assessments  reflect average
conditions. Acidic deposition contributes
to episodic depressions of ANC that occur
during high flow periods associated with
rainstorms and snowmelt. When these epi-
sodes are taken  into account, the number
of acidic lakes and streams in many areas
will increase up to threefold (including areas
of the western United States).

   Differences in the chemical variability of
U.S.  and  Canadian  surface  waters  are
largely due to much greater geological di-
versity in the United States.

Current Conditions:
Biological Response

   Acidification of aquatic ecosystems causes
adverse effects on many aquatic organisms.
A direct effect is the toxicity of hydrogen ion,
which can be accentuated if calcium concen-
trations are low. Toxic concentrations of
aluminum occur in many chronically or epi-
sodically acidified surface waters as well.
Indirect effects of acidification are usually
changes in organisms caused by interactions
                                                                                                      43

-------
                       with other directly impacted organisms, e.g.,
                       starvation  through  disappearance of other
                       food organisms.
                         Damage to fish populations often be-
                       gins to occur  when pH<6.0.  Minnow
                       species and other  smaller fishes are  fre-
                       quently more sensitive than  many sport
                       fishes. Successful reproduction can occur
                       in formerly non-reproducing populations
                       by reversing acidification.

                         Applications of fish  response models
                       suggest that U.S. waters having acid-base
                       chemistry unsuitable  for the survival of
                       acid-sensitive fish species range  from < 5
                       percent in areas such as the  Upper Mid-
                       west to near 60 percent for upper  stream
                       reaches  in the Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain.
                       Brook trout is one of the species most widely
                       distributed in waters sensitive to  acidic
                       deposition and  is also an important sport
                       fish in these regions. An estimated 13 to 14
                       percent of the NSWS lakes in the Adiron-
                       dacks classified  as potential  brook  trout
                       habitat currently have acid-base chemistry
                       unsuitable for brook trout survival.

                       Case Studies: Canada and the
                       United States

                         Ontario
                         The chemical condition of surface  wa-
                       ters can improve under decreased sulphur
                       deposition. An illustrative case is the sur-
                       face  waters  near   Sudbury,  Ontario.
                       Sulphur dioxide emissions from the smelt-
                       ers at Sudbury, in central Ontario, declined
                       from about 2.2 x 106 tonnes in 1950  to 1972
                       to about 0.6 x 106 tonnes by 1979 to 1985.
                       Due to the replacement of short stacks by a
                       single tall stack (1972), local deposition has
                       decreased by as much as 75 percent. Sev-
                       eral lakes  near  Sudbury  have  shown
substantial decreases  in lake  water sul-
phate; increases in pH; and decreases in
Al, Cu, Ni, and Zn. Since 1986, the sul-
phate and pH trends in Sudbury area lakes
have stabilized. These changes  in sulphate
and pH also were found in lakes outside
the immediate influence of the smelters.
The decrease in SOa emissions  at Sudbury
has resulted in a rapid reversal of chemical
acidification. However, evidence for  the
reversal of biological effects is less exten-
sive, e.g., trout populations in a few lakes
relatively  remote from the smelters have
responded positively to an increase in pH.
   The Algoma area of central  Ontario lies
west of and outside the direct influence of the
Sudbury smelters. Lakes in Algoma respond
rapidly  to changes in  reduced  sulphate
deposition with either increased pH and
ANC or decreased base cations. Two lakes
without fish  in 1979  developed  white
sucker populations by 1986 through inva-
sion from downstream populations when
lake pH approached 5.5.

   Plastic Lake is a sensitive lake in south-
central Ontario.  ANC decreased in Plastic
Lake between 1979 and 1985  by about 2
H-eq-L^yr'1. There was a contemporaneous
pH and base cation decline, but no signifi-
cant change in sulphate. Dissolved organic
carbon also decreased and water transpar-
ency increased as the lake became more
acidic. Major  biological changes also oc-
curred  in Plastic Lake, although the pH
decreased only from 5.8 to 5.6. It is likely
that 75 to 80 percent of the original ANC of
Plastic  Lake may have been  lost before
studies began in 1979. Since 1985, the pH
and ANC of Plastic Lake have remained
constant despite a sharp decrease in  sul-
phate  and  H+  deposition in  southern
Ontario in  the  past  decade.  This  is ex-
44

-------
plained by continuing release of sulphate
and acidity previously stored in wetland
areas in the catchment.

  Nova Scotia
  One-third of  the available Atlantic
salmon habitat in Nova Scotia has been
lost due to acidification since 1950. In Nova
Scotian rivers with pH>5.0, juvenile At-
lantic  salmon are present at population
densities which are normal for the region
(20 to 30 fish/100 m).  No juveniles are
found in rivers with pH < 5.0 except those
that have some tributaries with higher pH.
Liming of headwater lakes may be used in
some  cases to achieve a short-term restora-
tion of acidified salmon habitat in Nova
Scotia. The limed lakes release ANC to the
downstream habitat. The major disadvan-
tage is that most Nova Scotian lakes have a
turnover time of less than one year, hence
annual reapplication of lime is required.

  Adirondack Mountains
  The chemistry  of  16 lakes  has been
monitored  since 1982. Most lakes  exhibit
decreasing  sulphate concentrations consis-
tent with decreases in sulphur deposition
in the 1980s; however, increasing  lake
water nitrate levels could not be attributed
to change in deposition. None of the Adi-
rondack lakes exhibit the increase in ANC
expected from a decrease in sulphate; in
fact, ANC declined in four lakes. Increases
in nitrate and uncertainty in the trends for
base cations and aluminum confound the
simple expectation that ANC will increase
as sulphate concentrations decrease in Adi-
rondack lakes.

  Catskill Mountains
  The Catskill  Mountains  are  in  a  high
deposition  region  of southern New York
where streams are the primary aquatic re-
source; eight streams have been monitored
there  since  1983.  Other source  water
streams for the New York City water sup-
ply have data records extending back to
1915. Catskill streams show large short-term
variability, long-term decreases in sulphate
and increases  in  nitrate, and little overall
trend in ANC or pH. Sulphate concentra-
tions have been decreasing since circa 1970,
consistent with the timing of maximal sul-
phur deposition in the northeastern United
States, while  nitrate  concentrations  have
been increasing since circa 1970.

FORESTS
   Large  areas of forests  in  the United
States and Canada are  routinely exposed
to acidic  deposition, sulphur dioxide, ox-
ides  of  nitrogen, and  other pollutants.
There is general agreement that the major-
ity of forests  in  North  America are not
extensively affected by  acidic deposition.
In the east, only certain tree species in ar-
eas receiving the highest load of pollutants
via fog or clouds are experiencing damage.

   The North American
   Maple Project
   The  North  American  Maple  Project
(NAMP) was implemented under a Memo-
randum   of   Understanding   between
Forestry Canada and the U.S. Department
of  Agriculture (USDA), with significant
collaboration of agencies at the provincial
and state level.
   The purpose of NAMP was  to deter-
mine the rate of change in sugar maple
condition over time. A network of 166 five-
plot clusters was established in  84 active
sugarbushes (tapped stands) and in 82 un-
managed, natural stands in Canada and in
                                                                                                    45

-------
                         Figure 11
                                                                  A  Non-sugarbush NAMP Stand
                                                                  •  Sugarbush NAMP Stand
                                                                   Note: Locations approximate. Indicate distribution only.
                       Distribution of plot clusters for the North American Maple Project (1988/1989).
                       the United States from Wisconsin in the
                       west to Nova Scotia in the east (Figure 11).
                       In 1990, 93 percent of sugar maples  were
                       found to be in a healthy condition. Only 7
                       percent of sugar maples evaluated had 20
                       percent or more crown dieback. There was
                       no significant difference between crown
                       condition in sugarbushes versus unmanaged
                       forest stands. There was no relationship be-
                       tween crown condition and wet  sulphate
                       deposition. Natural causes such as drought
                       and abnormal winters appear to be the
                       most  likely causes of sugar maple decline
                       although the role of acidic deposition and
                       ozone as predisposing factors cannot be
                       ruled out at this time.
Current State of Forests

   Canada
   The health of Canada's forests has been
monitored nationally since 1984 by the Acid
Rain  National  Early  Warning  System
(ARNEWS).  A common set  of  measure-
ments is used at 103 permanent sample plots
located in all 10 provinces  to detect early
signs of air pollution damage in Canada's
forests.

   Data on tree mortality and crown condi-
tion for 16 conifers and 9 hardwoods indi-
cate that there is no evidence of a national
decline in Canadian forest health. With the
exception of white birch in southern New
46

-------
Brunswick, tree mortality was within "nor-
mal" ranges (1 to 3 percent) and was attrib-
uted  to  natural  stresses.  Balsam  fir
mortality  in  Eastern Canada exceeded 3
percent due to the spruce budworm.
  No sugar maple mortality was recorded
by ARNEWS in the Maritimes. Sugar maple
mortality was 1 percent annually in Quebec
and 3 percent annually in Ontario. In some
localized areas, mortality reached 25 percent
in certain  years. The general crown condi-
tion of sugar maples declined in Ontario be-
tween 1986 and 1990. This was attributed to
severe drought conditions.
   Mortality of white birch in southwest-
ern New  Brunswick was 11 percent be-
tween 1982 and  1990. Air pollutants are
implicated as contributing factors predis-
posing white birch to decline.

   United States
   In  1990 the U.S. Forest  Service,  with
EPA and state forestry agencies, initiated a
National  Forest Health  Monitoring Pro-
gram.  Currently, the program is opera-
tional in 10 eastern and 2 western states,
with data collected from over 1,000 perma-
nently established plots. Initial results for
the  six  New England  states in  1990
showed  the  forests to  be in generally
healthy  condition,  with  no  unknown
health  problems. The  National Forest
Health Monitoring Program is designed to
be fully  compatible with the Canadian
ARNEWS.

   There is no evidence of  an overall or
pervasive decline in forests  in the United
States, due to acidic  deposition or  any
other stress factor. Moreover, there is no
case of forest decline in which acidic depo-
sition is known to be a predominant cause.
Only in cases where forests are frequently
exposed  to highly acidic fog or  cloud
water is there evidence that acidic deposi-
tion is a significant contributing factor to
observed forest health problems. Research
continues to  assess the  interactive effects
involving air pollution and drought, pest
infestation, and other stress factors.

  The USDA Forest Service has reported
widespread reductions  in  average tree
growth rates within diameter classes in
natural pine stands in the Southeast. Simi-
lar growth rate reductions have not been
observed in plantations.  Occurrence of the
reported tree growth reductions in natural
pine stands is an expected consequence of
historical  land  use patterns, increases in
stand  age and competition, and  other
natural factors. However, data analyses
constructed to date have  not determined
whether  the  tree  growth reductions are
greater or less than would be expected in
the absence of acidic deposition and asso-
ciated pollutants.

  Efforts to evaluate pine growth trends
at the stand level have identified  unex-
plained variation  but have been  severely
                                                                                                      47

-------
                       limited by the nature of the available data.
                       Whether acidic deposition or  other  air
                       quality  factors are significantly  affecting
                       the health and productivity of  southern
                       pines remains to be determined. A survey
                       of visible  symptoms of  stress indicated
                       that  the crowns of most southern pine
                       trees are healthy. However, ambient levels
                       of ozone have altered seedling growth and
                       physiology of some pine  families in con-
                       trolled experiments.
                          Effects of acidity on above-ground pine
                       tissue in controlled experiments are gener-
                       ally  non-significant.  Available evidence
                       does not support the hypothesis that acidic
                       deposition has caused aluminum toxicity
                       or nutrient deficiencies in southern pines.

                          Ozone stress is the predominant factor
                       in a decline of ponderosa and Jeffrey pines
                       in the San Bernardino Mountains near Los
                       Angeles and in part of the Sierra Nevada
                       Mountains. Ozone also may be contribut-
                       ing to red spruce decline at high elevations
                       and is causing visible injury to foliage on
                       sensitive genotypes of eastern white pine,
                       black cherry, and many other species.

                          The extent to which ozone is affecting for-
                       est productivity and ecosystem diversity re-
                       mains to be determined. Experiments with
                       seedlings have shown  that many species
                       across the United States have genotypes that
                       are adversely affected by ambient levels of
                       ozone. It is difficult to  extrapolate  confi-
                       dently the experimental results, because ma-
                       ture trees in forest stands may respond to
                       ozone differently than seedlings grown un-
                       der experimental conditions. In  areas out-
                       side  the Los   Angeles  Basin,  effects  of
ambient ozone on tree species have not
been shown to  cause forest health prob-
lems other than visible injury and growth
loss in sensitive individual trees.

Ecosystems/Watersheds/Soils

   The flux of SO4/NO3 from  the atmos-
phere through  the  forest  ecosystem  to
aquatic ecosystems has been monitored and
studied intensively at a number of calibrated
watersheds. In northeastern North America,
six such watersheds have been operating for
different periods of time. Data have helped
demonstrate that controlling emissions to re-
duce SO4  deposition may  reduce  SO4
leaching from podzolic soils. This suggests
that the deposition of strong mineral acids is
contributing to the leaching of base cations
from some  Canadian  soils. Over the long
term, this may reduce the fertility of some
soils.

   Long-term changes in the chemistry of
some sensitive soils is expected from acidic
deposition. It is uncertain whether this will
result in reduced forest health, how much
of the forest resource  will be impacted, or
how long it will  take to occur.  Modeling
studies  suggest  that acidic  deposition
could  have  measurable  effects on  the
chemistry  of  some  southern  U.S.  soils
within 50  years. Whether such changes
will  actually occur or affect  forest growth
remains  to  be determined.  Beneficial  ef-
fects  on  soil fertility  due  to nitrogen
deposition may offset adverse effects due
to accelerated leaching of base cations in
the short term, followed by long-term de-
creases in nutrient status of the soils.
48

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Individual Forestry Case Studies

   Coastal Fog and Tree Decline at
   Low Elevations
   Two tree species growing along coastal
regions of eastern North America have
been in decline since the early 1980s. His-
torical evidence indicates that there have
been increases in fog acidity (five- to ten-
fold) and NOs concentrations since 1939,
but no change  in SO*. Compared with
mountain cloud chemistry in the North-
east, these coastal fogs are  up  to  three
times higher in the ionic concentrations
and lower in pH.

   Foliar decline symptoms have been ob-
served on red spruce trees growing at a mid-
coast site in Maine where acidic deposition
in fog is greatest. Foliar browning and leaf
fall early in the season have been observed
on white birches in coastal southwestern
New  Brunswick  since  1979.  Insects and
pathogens have been discounted as causal
agents. The area has recently experienced
high fog frequencies during the  summer.
Studies  have demonstrated a relationship
between hydrogen and NOs concentrations
in fog and incidence of foliar browning.

   The condition of white birch deterio-
rated  markedly between  1982 and 1987
and then stabilized until 1990. In 1987, all
trees examined were exhibiting some de-
gree of decline. Twig and branch dieback
reached 50 percent by 1987. Mortality in-
creased to 11 percent in 1990 (Figure 12).

   Red Spruce Decline at High
   Elevations
   There is experimental evidence that acidic
deposition and associated pollutants can alter
the resistance of red spruce to winter injury;
  Figure 12
    100 —
          1982  1983  1984  1985   1986  1987  1988  1989   1990
                                Year
                No Dieback                    Twig Dieback
                Twig and Branch Dieback
Dead
Birch decline.

through this  mechanism, acidic deposition
may have  contributed to red spruce de-
cline at high elevations in the northern Ap-
palachians.  Evidence of red spruce decline
and  pollutant involvement in the southern
Appalachians is less substantial.
   Red spruce that grows in the cloud-ex-
posed  forests of  the northeastern U.S.
mountains has been declining for 30 years.
Repeated, severe winter injury was the pri-
mary inciting factor. With wind stress, in-
sect  pests,  and fungal pathogens,  it has
served to sustain the decline.

   Exposure-response experiments  have
provided support for the hypothesis that
air pollution (particularly acids in cloud
                                                                                                      49

-------
water) has a role in the decline. Some re-
sults  with  seedlings  and  branches  of
mature trees indicate that airborne chemi-
cals at current levels can reduce the cold
tolerance  of this species, which was al-
ready marginal in its ability to survive low
temperatures and other stresses. Other re-
sults with seedlings show that ambient or
near-ambient levels of  acidic mist and
ozone can, under some conditions, cause
direct injury to needles and unfavorable al-
terations in biochemical and physiological
processes. At present, it is not clear which,
if any, of these effects are occurring in the
field.
   The current condition of red spruce in
the southern Appalachians is not agreed
upon by all investigators. Localized mor-
tality  has  been reported, while  more
extensive surveys suggest that recent mor-
tality has been low relative to mortality in
the North. At present, areas of agreement
are: (1) there was a deterioration of crown
condition in the late 1980s, and (2) there is
a recent decrease in growth at the highest
elevations. Ongoing research has focused
on the ability of acidic deposition to exac-
erbate nutritional stress through above-
and, especially, below-ground effects.  At
present,  there is little available evidence
suggesting that the condition of red spruce
in the southern  Appalachians has deterio-
rated because of acid deposition  and/or
associated pollutants.

Agriculture

   Agricultural  crops  are  exposed  regu-
larly to acid deposition, sulphur dioxide,
and ozone over large areas of North Amer-
ica. Acid deposition and sulphur dioxide
have been shown in laboratory or field ex-
posure studies  to  have the potential  at
higher than ambient doses to affect mar-
ketability, growth, and yield of a number
of important species.
  There is general agreement that acidic
precipitation at current levels has not been
responsible for crop yield reductions on a
regional basis in Canada or in the United
States. There is, however, the potential for
foliar injury in southern California. Cur-
rent levels of NOx and  SOz also do not
appear to be affecting agricultural produc-
tivity on a regional basis.
  The greatest concern  is the impact of
ozone on agricultural production in the
United States and in Canada. Research re-
sults indicate  that,  depending on species,
location, and exposure, yield reductions in
crops have ranged from 0 to 56 percent at
ambient ozone concentrations.

MATERIALS AND CULTURAL
RESOURCES
  The effect of acidic deposition on vari-
ous materials has been a concern in both
countries. It is difficult  to make general-
ized  statements about acidic  deposition
and materials damage because materials
are subject to a variety of  stresses.

  NAPAP  concluded that  pollution  is
causing degradation of  materials beyond
that associated with natural  weathering.
Documented  sensitive materials  include
carbonate stone and galvanized steel.  Car-
bonate stone  has  been used  in many
cultural materials,  like  statues, monu-
ments, significant  public  buildings,  and
gravestones, while galvanized steel is used
in a multitude of end-uses. Research under
NAPAP and other programs confirmed
that rates of metals corrosion and carbon-
ate stone dissolution are accelerated by dry

-------
 and wet deposition of acids. For carbonate
 stone and certain metals, such as galva-
 nized  steel,  reactions   with   sulphur
 dioxide, wet deposited acids, and natural
 acidity from dissolved carbon dioxide all
 contribute to stone erosion and metal cor-
 rosion. Results from laboratory and field
 experiments indicate that pH 4 may be a
 critical level of acid exposure for marbles,
 limestones, and  bronzes.  In addition to
 wet deposition induced corrosion/erosion,
 dry deposition reacts with  stone surfaces
 to form black crusts which disfigure  the
 surfaces and cause disintegration and spal-
 ling  of the stone.  Similarly, the green
 patina on bronzes in urban environments
 is largely  composed of copper  sulphate
 compounds.

   Research has provided the quantitative
 data  that help define the contributions of
 wet and dry acidic  deposition (including
 rainfall acidity  caused by atmospheric
 carbon dioxide) to the corrosion of galva-
 nized steel and  the erosion of carbonate
 stone test samples under the ambient envi-
 ronmental  conditions at field exposure
 sites.  The separate effects of these environ-
 mental variables  have been expressed in
 the form of dose-response functions for the
 corrosion  of galvanized steel and  the
 chemical   erosion  of  carbonate stone.
 Weathering effects  on complex  shapes
 (sculpture,  cornices, bridges) are far more
 severe than for flat surfaces (walls, roofs,
 test specimens). Laboratory experiments
and   measurements  at  buildings  and
 monuments indicate  that available dose-
response functions  represent  minimum
corrosion rates and minimum contributions
from  deposition  to weathering/corrosion.
However, to date, these dose-response func-
tions have not been validated to the extent
 that they can be used to predict accurately
 the incremental change to structural com-
 ponents of those materials resulting from a
 change in one  of the important environ-
 mental variables.

   The fact that the corrosion depends on
 more than just the effects of sulphur dioxide
 indicates that a specified decrease in the sul-
 phur dioxide level will not lead to the same
 decrease in the corrosion/weathering.

   Other materials that  have been studied
 and discussed  in the NAPAP documents
 include wood and painted surfaces.  One
 concern important to consumers is the im-
 pact  of acidic  deposition on automotive
 finishes. Damage in the form of spotting
 has been  observed  in  some laboratory
 simulations, but comprehensive studies of
 the effects of weathering and acidic pollut-
 ants on automotive  paints have not been
 published.  NAPAP-supported   research
 corroborated the fact that aluminum-flake
 maintenance paints may be susceptible to
 degradation  caused  by  acidic deposition.
 The uptake of  SO2 for  these paints is in-
 creased relative to that  of inert substrates
 and some other paint formulations. Some
 leaching of the aluminum in these  paints
 was detected in runoff  studies. Based on
 these  results,  automotive   formulations
 containing aluminum flake would also be
 expected  to have  similar  reactivity to
 acidic deposition.

   In some cases, preservation methods are
 available to prevent environmental dam-
 age to cultural  materials,  notably the use
of protective coatings for metals, such as
lacquers or wax. However,  once severe
corrosion has occurred, it is difficult to re-
store   the  original   luster   of  bronze
sculptures.  Theoretically,  all  outdoor
                                                                                                       51

-------
                       bronzes could be protected from corrosion
                       by expenditures of $10 to $100 million per
                       year in the United States. In contrast to
                       metal corrosion control, there are no gener-
                       ally accepted methods to prevent stone
                       decay accelerated by  either wet  or  dry
                       deposition. For many non-cultural  materi-
                       als,   economic   costs  from  materials
                       degradation involves factors such as serv-
                       ice-life cycle, maintenance practices,  and
                       behavioral variables.

                         In the  United States, the areas  having
                       the largest numbers of cultural materials
                       coincide with the regions of highest acidic
                       deposition.  Most of the nation's  historic
                       battlefields,  especially those  with many
                       commemorative monuments, are  located
                       east of the Mississippi River. It is estimated
                       that some 15 to 50 percent of historic stone
                       buildings are sensitive to attack by atmos-
                       pheric  acids; 20,000  to  50,000  outdoor
                       monuments  are exposed nationwide; and
                       about one-third of  the approximately 100
                       million grave markers are made from acid-
                       sensitive materials.
                       HUMAN HEALTH

                          Due to the complexity of atmospheric
                        transformation processes involved in  the
                        development of acidic aerosols, a wide ar-
                        ray of pollutants are  involved, including
                        sulphur oxides, nitrogen oxides, volatile
                        organic compounds, ozone (Oa),  and or-
                        ganic  acids. Only  the  effects  of acidic
                        aerosols will be discussed here. Major re-
                        views of these other pollutants are readily
                        available.
Health Effects

   Acidic aerosols are acidic particles sus-
pended in a gas having a net acidity. As
such, they are complex mixtures having sub-
stantial geographic and temporal variability.
Understanding the health risk of acidic aero-
sols requires integration of knowledge of
exposure, susceptible sub-populations, and
exposure-response  relationships.  The cur-
rent primary concerns for health risks center
on acidic  sulphates and  the potential for
acute  effects on the pulmonary function of
asthmatics, effects on clearance of particles
from the respiratory tract, an increased inci-
dence of acute bronchitis in children, and
suggestions of premature mortality in sen-
sitive  populations.  The  sparsity   of
information on other acidic  species pre-
cludes their discussion, but indicates that
further research may be warranted.

   Animal toxicology and human clinical
studies have shown that the potency rank-
ing  of sulphate  aerosols  is  HzSCU  >
NH4SO4 > (NH4>2SO4. Therefore, most of
these controlled studies have used H2SO4.
These data suggest that hydrogen ion (H*)
is the species of concern and that the spe-
cific compound also has an influence. This
also implies that measurement of ambient
H+ alone will  not be fully predictive of ef-
fects  on  a  population.  Animal studies,
correlated to  some human studies, have
led to a hypothesis that chronic exposure
to H2SO4 may contribute to the develop-
ment  of  chronic  bronchitis.  Supporting
evidence in animals includes findings of
slowed mucociliary clearance and struc-
52

-------
 tural alterations of the lung, some of which
 persist after chronic  exposure ceases. Re-
 search with laboratory  animals also has
 demonstrated that H2SO4 can synergisti-
 cally interact with OB and other particles.
 Thus, other co-occurring pollutants can en-
 hance the effects of acidic aerosols.
   Controlled human exposure  studies of
 the acute effects  of HfeSCU on pulmonary
 function have provided varying concentra-
 tion-response relationships, with differences
 between studies  perhaps reflecting differ-
 ences in aerosols, exposure regimes, exercise
 levels, and human subjects studied. Gener-
 ally, healthy volunteers are not affected at
 H2SO4 concentrations high above ambient
 levels. Several (but not all) studies indicate
 that asthmatics can be susceptible to expo-
 sures  from  100  to 1,000 ng/m3
 Preliminary results using 68 Hg/m3
 suggest  that adolescent asthmatics  are
 more sensitive. There is further evidence
 that concomitant exposure to other pollut-
 ants such  as SO2 (0.5 ppm)  or Cb  (0.12
 ppm) may enhance the irritative bronchial
 response  to  acidic  aerosols.  Acute expo-
 sure to HaSQi also slows clearance of test
 particles from the airways of  healthy and
 asthmatic humans. For example, a 1-hour
 exposure  to 100 |ig/m3  H2SO4 substan-
 tially depressed clearance. This effect  is of
 concern since it implies that inhaled parti-
 cles and natural debris that are normally
 cleared by the respiratory tract may build
 up. Although the evidence from clinical
 studies is highly suggestive of adverse ef-
 fects  of acute  HaSO4  exposures,  it  is
 important to recognize that much remains
 to be confirmed.

  A recent  study  in Canada observed
small decreases in children's lung function
that occurred during times of high air pol-
 lution. Acid levels reached a maximum of
 about 50  n-g/m3 (1 hour  average), and
 ozone levels were as high as 143 ppb.

   One Canadian study compared the respi-
 ratory health of 7- to 12-year-old children
 from two  communities, one experiencing
 high, and  one experiencing low levels of
 long-range transported  air pollution. Chil-
 dren in the community with higher levels
 of  pollution  had statistically  significant
 lower levels of forced  vital capacity and
 forced expiratory volume. While it was not
 possible to attribute the effect to a specific
 pollutant, it is noted that the two commu-
 nities differed  far more in  their sulphate
 exposures  than they did in other measures
 of pollutants. In a second Canadian study,
 the health  comparison was conducted in a
 total of 10 communities, and it also demon-
 strated a small but  statistically significant
 decrement  in the same lung functions. Chil-
 dren in the more polluted area also had a
 higher incidence of  upper respiratory in-
 fections. It is  believed  that the observed
 difference  is likely due to the coexistence
 of acidic aerosols and other pollutants, i.e.,
 O3,PMio,SO2.
   The Six-Cities Study in the United States
has examined the relationship between air
pollution and health for the past decade.
Although direct measurements of airborne
acidity  were  not  performed during the
main study, subsequent measurements re-
vealed periods of  high aerosol acidity in
several cities and at varying times. Using
these data  and reanalyses of the original
symptoms prevalence data, it was observed
that acid concentrations were directly associ-
ated   with   an  increased  prevalence  in
reported bronchitis in children.
                                                                                                       53

-------
                          Along the eastern Canadian-US,  trans-
                        boundary areas, aerosol acidity is dominated
                        by acidic sulphates (i.e., sulphuric acid
                        [HaSCU]   and   ammonium   bisulphate
                        [NH4HSO4]). The level of acidic aerosols
                        during weather episodes  also may have a
                        distinct diumal  pattern,  with peak acid
                        levels occurring in  daylight hours, espe-
                        cially in  the summer  season. Current
                        measurement and  population exposure
                        data  for acidic aerosols  are  sparse. The
                        highest reported short-term (1- to 12-hour)
                        values ranged up to 30 to  50 M-g/m3 FfeSQi
                        (or equivalent HfcSOi). Such peaks are in-
                        frequent, but 24-hour values  of 5  to  15
                        p.g/m  may  occur  with regularity. The
                        highest peaks occur downwind of  major
                        SOz  emissions, from either large  single
                        sources or urban source  areas. However,
                        these data are insufficient to estimate with
                        much precision human exposure patterns
                        for acidic aerosols across the transbound-
                        ary area.

                        QUALITY ASSURANCE

                          Canada

                          In order to ensure credibility of data in
                        the Acid Rain  Program, inter-laboratory
                        studies are routinely carried out. This ex-
                        ternal quality assurance program has ad-
                        dressed the laboratory measurement process
                        and audits  the  long-term performance of
                        laboratories. Three inter-laboratory perform-
                        ance evaluation studies (10 samples for about
                        22 constituents) have been presented  annu-
                        ally, since 1982, in addition to one study on
                        vegetation annually (10 samples for about 25
                        constituents). The routine provision of these
                        studies is believed to have created an atmos-
                        phere conducive to improvements  to the
                        measurement process.
r£

| 40 _



  20 —
          (•) Each value equals the percentage of
             biased parameters plus percentage of
             flagged results (Maximum score 200%).
                                I
                               .). |
                                Poor
                                Moderate
                               Satisfactory
          \    \   \    I   I   I    I
      1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991
          LRTAP Studies No. 1 to 22 (1983 -1990)
Impact of external QA on the performance of
one laboratory.

   Evidence  from  these studies during
1990 and 1991 indicates that improvements
in  the measurement process continue to
take place. An example of how one labora-
tory's performance has  improved due to
participation in a quality assurance pro-
gram is shown in Figure 13. The data base
management  system  that  has  archived
over  30  large  inter-comparison  studies is
viewed  as a valuable resource for use by
data  users. This  information  base  in-
cludes   inter-laboratory  results  from
over 100  Canadian and 25 American
laboratories.

   United States

   Quality assurance was an integral part
of the NAPAP process.  Information on a
number of quality assurance activities can
be found in the NAPAP documents.
54

-------
   In 1990 and 1991, EPA conducted per-
 formance audits on 50 percent of the 3,700
 air samplers being operated by 169 air pol-
 lution control agencies in the United States
 as part of the State and Local Air Monitor-
 ing Network. In these audits, which began
 in 1975, each agency received performance
 evaluation samples that they introduced as
 blind unknowns into their CO, NCh, SQz,
 Oa, Pb, and PM-10 samplers. Similar audits
 also were done on the large variety of sta-
 tionary sources that emit toxic and acidic
 pollutants. Other audits included special
 studies measuring the deposition of toxic
 compounds into the Great Lakes and on
 several large-scale acid precipitation moni-
 toring networks.


 CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES

   In Article VII of the Air Quality Agree-
 ment, Canada and the United  States have
 agreed to "exchange, on a regular basis and
 through  the Air Quality Committee estab-
 lished under Article VIE, information on.. .
 technologies, measures and mechanisms for
 controlling emissions."   Annex 2 further
 specifies that the two countries  agree to co-
 operate and exchange information regarding
 their development and  demonstration  of
 technologies and measures for  controlling
 emissions of air pollutants, in particular
 acidic deposition precursors, subject to their
 respective laws, regulations, and  policies.

  Canada

  In general, control efforts  in  Canada
have been directed towards the non-fer-
rous smelters  and fossil  fuel burning
power plants which produced about 60
and 20 percent, respectively, of Canada's
SO2 emissions in 1985.
   In  conjunction with  government, the
targeted smelters have researched, devel-
oped, and are implementing major techno-
logical improvements including increased
phyrrotite rejection, advanced milling and
beneficiation, zinc pressure leaching, and
advanced   smelting  processes.  Sulphur
emissions are being effectively captured as
liquid SQz and acid; both are marketable
products.  By  1994, these new facilities,
costing nearly $900 million, will enable the
smelters to meet their targets.
   The federal and   provincial  govern-
ments, in  cooperation with  the  electric
power utilities, continue  to conduct re-
search and development on  fuels, ad-
vanced combustion, and  flue gas control
technologies. Areas of recent research and
development  on SO2 control for power
plants include the following:

  •  Development of furnace sorbent in-
     jection systems and  tests in Ontario
     and Saskatchewan.

  «  Trial  burns of low sulphur fuels and
     flue  gas  conditioning systems  in
     Ontario.

  •  Trial  burns of Orimulsion (water-bi-
     tumen blend) fuel in New Brunswick.

  •  Development and  trials of  a low
    NOx/SOx (LNS) burner in Alberta.

  •  Development and   testing  of  the
    SONOx process in Ontario.

  • Development and trials of the Un-
    ion Carbide CANSOLVE process in
    Alberta.

  « Development and operation of an at-
    mospheric fluidized bed combustion
    demonstration unit to burn high sul-
    The original

 recommendation for

a multi-billion dollar

     clean coal

   demonstration

  program came in

 1986 from the U.S.

   and Canadian

 Special Envoys on

  Acid Rain after

 studying ways to

  resolve concerns

  between the two

  nations over the

  transboundary

problem of acid rain.
                                                                                                    55

-------
                            phur coal, petroleum coke, oil shale,
                            wood  waste, and other  fuels  at
                            Chatham, New Brunswick.

                          Government/industry  research  pro-
                       grams on SO2 and NOx emission control
                       are expected to continue in the coming
                       years. Canada's Green Plan contains a ma-
                       jor initiative on "Technology for Solutions"
                       to assist in these further research efforts.

                          United States
                          While the United States had a pollution
                       control technology program for many
                       years, the original  recommendation for a
                       multi-billion dollar clean coal demonstra-
                       tion program came in 1986  from the U.S.
                       and Canadian Special Envoys  on  Acid
                       Rain after studying ways to resolve con-
                       cerns between the two nations over the
                       transboundary problem of acid rain.  Con-
                       sensus was  that demonstration of innova-
                       tive control technologies should lead to
                       some near-term reductions in sulphur di-
                       oxide and  nitrogen  oxides, and,  sub-
                       sequently, in acid rain.
                          Begun  by  Congress in  1986 and ex-
                       panded by two Presidential  administra-
                       tions, the Clean Coal Technology (CCT)
                       Program is expected to finance more than
                       $5 billion of projects when completed in
                       the 1990s. The resulting power generating
                       and  pollution  control  technologies are
                       products of years of research and develop-
                       ment in numerous government and pri-
                       vate   laboratories.  Lead  by  the  U.S.
                       Department of Energy, the CCT is a co-
                       funded effort by government and industry
                       to demonstrate the utility and merit of new
                       coal burning processes in a series of full-
                       scale commercial  facilities. Canada was
                       represented on the Innovative Coal Tech-
                       nology Assessment Panel, set up  to pro-
vide advice and recommendations on pro-
jects.  The program  will take the most
promising  of the advanced  coal-based
technologies and, over the next decade and
beyond, move them  into the commercial
marketplace.
   CCT represents a  fundamental change
in coal-fired power plant technology. Pro-
jects in the CCT offer lower sulphur diox-
ide and/or nitrogen oxides emission levels
than  does conventional  pulverized coal
combustion.  Some  offer   substantially
lower  emissions  than  even  scrubber-
equipped  plants. In many cases, emission
reductions and  cost improvements  are
achieved concurrently  as these technolo-
gies are  expected to operate  more effi-
ciently than conventional plants.  Finally,
while  conventional  scrubbing produces
large amounts of solid waste which must
be disposed of, some clean  coal technolo-
gies also are very low waste generators or
provide easily recycled waste.

   The CCT is being implemented through
a  total of five competitive solicitations,
four of which have been completed. Each
solicitation maintains a strong emphasis
on mitigation of the acid rain precursor
emissions of sulphur dioxide and nitrogen
oxides, consistent  with the recommenda-
tions of the U.S. and  Canadian Special En-
voys on  Acid Rain. Objectives  include
demonstrating  the  feasibility of  future
commercial applications and significant re-
duction of sulphur dioxide and/or nitro-
gen  oxides   from   existing   facilities;
providing future energy needs in an envi-
ronmentally acceptable manner; and demon-
strating technologies capable  of retrofitting,
repowering, or  replacing  existing facilities
while  achieving  all of  the above. Projects
vary in design, in target percent emissions
56

-------
reduction, and in commercial application
and availability. Percent reduction, for ex-
ample, ranges from 70 to 99 percent for
sulphur dioxide and 50 to 95 percent for
nitrogen oxides.

  There are currently 42 active projects in
the CCT Program. Three projects have
been completed. There are 19 projects in
the design phase or under  construction
and 10 in operation. The remaining 10 pro-
jects are in negotiation. By the year 2000,
of the 33 projects selected under the first
three CCT solicitations, 30 will have com-
pleted  operation  and  be commercially
available. Approximately six of the nine
projects selected should have completed
their operational phase and also be com-
mercially  available.  The  schedules  for
Round 4 projects are tentative and subject
to final negotiation. When the projects are
completed, the sponsors and participants
will be in a position to use the information
and experience gained during demonstra-
tions to promote and market the technolo-
gies in commercial applications.

  Total project costs through the first four
solicitations under the program amount to
approximately $4.4 billion, which includes
a government share of $1.8 billion.

  Canada and the United States hold an
annual meeting  on control  technologies
under a Memorandum  of Understanding.
During this meeting, all CCT publications
(Program Update, Comprehensive Reports
to Congress, Topical  reports,  etc.)  are
made available to  the Canadian repre-
sentatives.  Canadian agencies participat-
ing in the exchange include CANMET and
the Alberta Research Council.
MARKET-BASED MECHANISMS

  In Annex 2 of the Air Quality Agreement,
Canada and the United States agreed to coop-
erate and exchange information regarding
their analysis of market-based mechanisms,
including emissions trading.

  Each country is exploring the use of
market-based  incentives  for  environ-
mental  policy,  because,  in  appropriate
applications, these tools offer the promise
of achieving environmental goals more ef-
fectively at less cost. In the United States,
market-based incentives are  currently in
use in the acid rain control  program (as
described above in this report) and in the
program to phase out chlorofluorocarbon
(CFC) production. Market incentives also
were  used  successfully   to  phase  out
leaded gasoline.

  Within  the mandate of the Canadian
Council of Ministers of the Environment
(CCME) is the consideration  of non-regu-
latory  mechanisms  for   managing  air
emissions  in Canada such as the use of
emissions trading. To this end, two work-
ing groups were established under CCME,
one for NOx/VOC and one  for SC>2. The
two groups developed in the  fall of 1991 a
policy paper entitled "Emission Trading:
A Canadian  Policy Framework." This pa-
per summarizes the concept of emission
trading  and  the results of a consultant's
study on some of the U.S. experience with
emission trading, but it mainly focuses on
policy, administrative, and program  de-
sign issues. This preliminary work is being
followed up with a more detailed exami-
nation of the design of trading systems for
NOx/VOCs  in  the  Lower Eraser Valley
                                                                                                    57

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                        Region of British Columbia and for NOx in
                        the Ontario portion of the Windsor-Que-
                        bec  corridor.  Work  is  under  way to
                        examine  the feasibility and design of na-
                        tional or  regional emission trading systems
                        as a means of managing  the national SQz
                        emission  cap. The work is expected to be
                        completed by the end of 1992.

                           Canada and the United States are hold-
                        ing a series of meetings to share analyses
                        of market-based incentives  for  environ-
                        mental   protection.   Following   initial
                        consultations in Ottawa in December 1990,
                        EPA hosted a meeting on this topic in De-
                        cember 1991 in Washington, attended by
                        Environment Canada  and representatives
                        of several agencies of each government.
                        The  meeting  discussed  the  experience
                        gained in the United States in implementa-
                        tion of the lead phase down and the acid
                        rain programs, as well as plans for emis-
sion trading in southern California to ad-
dress urban air quality. Canada indicated
its interest in using market incentives to
address regional acid rain and urban air
quality issues, the latter particularly in the
Vancouver and Windsor- Quebec areas.
  The two countries will continue meeting
and sharing information on market-based
incentives on an ongoing basis. The Decem-
ber 1991 meeting identified as key areas for
future  cooperation  and  information  ex-
change acid rain, urban ozone, Great Lakes
water quality, and options for cost-effective
greenhouse gas emissions abatement. Since
each of these issues can involve emission
sources and/or pollution dispersion across a
shared border, the possibility of including
both U.S. and Canadian sources in a market-
based  incentive  program  also  will  be
expanded.
58

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SECTION  IV
 Conclusion
         This is the first progress report un-
         der the United States-Canada Air
         Quality Agreement. Since the sign-
         ing of the  Agreement in March
 1991, the two countries have taken significant
 steps towards  fulfilling the  letter and the
 spirit of the Agreement. They have formed a
 bilateral Air Quality Committee and two sub-
 committees to assist in carrying out the terms
 of the Agreement. They have initiated, contin-
 ued, and expanded working relationships in a
 variety of areas related to North American air
 quality.  Most importantly, there has been a
 free exchange  of people  and information
 across our borders. While such exchanges oc-
 curred prior to  the signing of the Air Quality
 Agreement, the number of contacts  and the
 degree of cooperation and exchange of infor-
 mation have increased significantly, to the
 benefit of both countries.
  Canada and the United States are making
 considerable progress in implementing pro-
 grams aimed at the  reduction of sulphur
 dioxide and nitrogen oxides. In Canada, the
 Eastern Canada Acid Rain Control Program
 is well on its way toward meeting its goals
 in 1994.  In the United States, there has been
 considerable progress in promulgating the
 regulations that will implement the acid rain
 control provisions of the CAA. Both coun-
 tries are sharing information with the other
 on a variety of issues related to program im-
 plementation,  including   the  use  of
 market-based incentives  to  achieve  more
 cost-effective emission reductions.
  Both countries are continuing a variety of
scientific and technical activities and are co-
ordinating/cooperating with one another in
a number of areas, including emission inven-
tories, atmospheric  modeling,  deposition
 monitoring, effects research and monitoring,
 human health, and control technologies.
   The next progress report under the Air
 Quality Agreement is due out in 1994. Over
 the next two years, Canada and the United
 States will continue  to implement their re-
 spective control programs  and to share
 information with one another on their re-
 spective experiences as  they  approach
 important emission reduction milestones.
   Future research and monitoring efforts
 related  to acidic deposition include the
 following:

  m  Providing up-to-date inventories of
     total sulphur dioxide and nitrogen
     oxides emissions.

  •  Measuring air quality and deposition
     values and refining the predictive ca-
     pabilities of atmospheric models.

  m  Recording the chemical and biological
     improvements in surface waters and
     responses to changing deposition.

  •  Determining the  role  of  nitrogen
     deposition  in  ecosystem processes
     and  the implications for control of
     acidification of surface waters.

  m  Resolving the role of acidic deposi-
     tion in the forest decline problem.

  a  Evaluating the human health effects of
     acid aerosols and related pollutants.

   Much of this work will be carried out
jointly or cooperatively by Canadian and
American  scientists over the next  several
years. Progress in these areas will be re-
ported in 1994.
                                                                                                   59

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 APPENDIX  A
United States-Canada
Air  Quality Committee
CANADIAN MEMBERS
Co-chair
Peter M. Higgins
Assistant Deputy Minister
Conservation and Protection
Environment Canada
H.A. (Tony) Clarke
Director General
Environmental Protection
Environment Canada

Phil Merilees
Director General
Atmospheric Research Directorate
Environment Canada

John Lowe
Director, International Trade
and U.S. Relations
Energy Policy Branch
Energy, Mines and Resources

David McLellan
Deputy Director
U.S. Transboundary Division
External Affairs and International Trade
Canada

Larry Lechner
Director, Air and Land Protection Branch
Saskatchewan Environment and
Public Safety

EdPiche
Director, Air Resources Branch
Ontario Ministry of the Environment
Laval Lapointe
Acid Rain Coordinator
Ministrere de 1'Environment
Gouvernement du Quebec

Creighton Brisco
Manager, Air Quality Branch
Nova Scotia Department of the
Environment
U.S. MEMBERS

Co-chair
Richard J. Smith
Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary
Bureau of Oceans and International
Environmental and Scientific Affairs
Department of State

Robert H. Pines
Deputy Assistant Secretary for
Canadian Affairs
Department of State

Eileen Claussen
Director, Office of Atmospheric and
Indoor Air Programs
Environmental Protection Agency

David Kee
Director, Air and Radiation Division
Region 5
Environmental Protection Agency

Howard Gruenspecht
Associate Deputy Undersecretary for
Program Analysis
Department of Energy
                                                                                 61

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                      Richard Williamson
                      Associate Deputy Assistant
                      Secretary for International Affairs
                      Department of Energy

                      Edward Cassidy
                      Deputy Chief of Staff and Deputy
                      Assistant Secretary for Policy
                      Department of Interior

                      Bruce Hicks
                      Director, Air Resources Laboratory
                      Department of Commerce/NOAA

                      Scott Farrow
                      Associate Director for Pollution Control
                      and Prevention
                      Council of Environmental Quality
SUBCOMMITTEE  ON PROGRAM
MONITORING
AND REPORTING
Co-chairs:
Wayne Draper
Associate Director (Air)
Industrial Programs Branch
Environment Canada

Brian McLean
Director, Acid Rain Division
Office of Atmospheric and Indoor Air
Programs
Office of Air and Radiation
Environmental Protection Agency

SUBCOMMITTEE  ON SCIENTIFIC
COOPERATION
Co-chairs:
Tom Brydges
Director, Environmental Integration
Services Branch
Atmospheric Environment Service
Environment Canada

Jack Puzak
Deputy Director, Office of Modeling,
Monitoring Systems, and Quality
Assurance
Office of Research and Development
Environmental Protection Agency
62

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TERMS OF REFERENCE
U.S.-Canada Air Quality Committee
  1. Review progress made in the imple-
     mentation of the Agreement, includ-
     ing its general and specific objectives.
  2. Prepare and submit to the Parties a
     progress  report within  a year after
     entry into force of the Agreement and
     at least every two years thereafter.
  3. Refer each progress report to the In-
     ternational Joint Commission for ac-
     tion in accordance with Article IX of
     the Agreement.
4. Release each progress report to the
   public after its submission to the Parties.

5. Establish reporting subcommittees
   as required to fulfill the above
   responsibilities.

6. Meet at least once a year and addi-
   tionally at the request of either Party.

7. Not release, without the consent of the
   owner, any information identified to it
   as proprietary information under the
   laws of the place where such informa-
   tion has been acquired.
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TERMS OF REFERENCE
Subcommittee on Program
Monitoring and Reporting
  1. Coordinate activities as  outlined in
     paragraph 2 of Annex 2 to the Agree-
     ment for the purpose of determining
     and reporting on air emission levels,
     historical trends, and projections.
  2. Cooperate and exchange information
     on development and demonstration
     of technologies and measures for con-
     trolling emissions of air pollutants, in
     particular, acidic deposition precur-
     sors, subject to respective laws,  regu-
     lations, and policies, as  set forth in
     subparagraph 3(d) of Annex 2 to the
     Agreement.
  3. Cooperate  and exchange information
     on  their analysis  of market-based
     mechanisms, including emission trad-
     ing, as set forth in paragraph 3(e) of
     Annex 2 to the Agreement.
  4. Cooperate  and exchange information
     with respect to economic research that
     the Parties may agree upon for pur-
     poses  of supporting the  general and
     specific objectives of the Agreement, as
     set forth in paragraph 3(f) of Annex 2
     to the Agreement.
5.  Develop and revise, as necessary, rec-
   ommendations to  the  Air Quality
   Committee on operational guidelines
   for implementation of  Article V(2),
   and cooperate and exchange informa-
   tion regarding implementation of sec-
   tions 3 and 4 of  Annex 1  to  the
   Agreement.

6.  Assist the Air Quality Committee in
   reviewing progress made in the im-
   plementation of the Agreement, in-
   cluding  its  general  and  specific
   objectives,  as required under Article
   VIII of the Agreement, with respect to
   areas within its purview.

7.  Prepare necessary input on issue areas
   within its purview for the reports of
   the Air Quality Committee required
   under Article VIII of the  Agreement.

8.  Support the Air Quality Committee
   in its preparation of the report re-
   quired under Article VIII.

9.  Establish  ad hoc bilateral working
   groups as may be required to fulfill
   the above responsibilities.

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TERMS OF REFERENCE
Subcommittee on
Scientific Cooperation
   1. Coordinate air pollutant monitoring
     activities as set forth in paragraph 1
     of Annex 2 to the Agreement for the
     purpose  of determining and report-
     ing on air pollutant  concentrations
     and deposition.
   2. Cooperate and  exchange information
     on  their  monitoring of the effects of
     changes in air pollutant concentration
     and  deposition,  with  respect  to
     changes in  various effects  categories,
     e.g., aquatic ecosystems, visibility, and
     forests, as set forth  in subparagraph
     3(a) of Annex 2 to the Agreement.
  3. Cooperate and exchange information
     on their determination of any effects
     of atmospheric pollution on human
     health and ecosystems, as set forth in
     subparagraph 3(b) of Annex 2 to the
     Agreement.
  4. Cooperate and exchange information
     on the development and refinement
     of atmospheric models for purposes
   of determining source receptor rela-
   tionships  and transboundary trans-
   port and deposition of air pollutants,
   as set forth in subparagraph 3(c) of
   Annex 2 to the Agreement.

5. Consult on approaches to, and share in-
   formation  and results of research on,
   methods to  mitigate the impacts of
   acidic deposition, including  the envi-
   ronmental  effects and economic aspects
   of such methods, as set forth in para-
   graph 4 of Annex 2 to the Agreement.

6. Cooperate  and exchange  information
   with respect to any other scientific or
   technical activities that the Parties ask it
   to undertake to support the general and
   specific objectives of the Agreement.

7. Prepare  the necessary scientific input
   for the  reports of the Air Quality
   Committee as required under Article
   VIII of the  Agreement.

8. Establish ad  hoc bilateral  working
   groups as  may be required to fulfill
   the above responsibilities.
                                                                                                     65

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 AP P END IX  B
 Agreement  between the
 Government of the United
 States  of America and the
 Government of Canada  on
 Air  Quality
 T
he Government of the United
States of America and the Gov-
ernment of Canada, hereinafter
referred to as "the Parties,"
  Convinced that transboundary air pollu-
tion can cause significant harm to natural
resources of vital environmental, cultural
and economic importance, and to human
health in both countries;

  Desiring that emissions of air pollutants
from sources within their countries not re-
sult in significant transboundary air
pollution;

  Convinced that transboundary air pollu-
tion can effectively be reduced through
cooperative or coordinated action provid-
ing  for controlling  emissions  of air
pollutants in both countries;

  Recalling the efforts they have made to
control air pollution and the improved air
quality that has resulted from such efforts
in both countries;

  Intending to address air-related issues
of a global nature, such as climate change
and stratospheric ozone depletion, in other
fora;
  Reaffirming Principle 21 of the Stock-
holm Declaration, which provides  that
"States have, in accordance with the Char-
ter  of the United  Nations and  the
principles of international law, the sover-
eign right to exploit their own resources
pursuant to their own environmental poli-
cies, and the responsibility to ensure that
activities within their jurisdiction  or con-
trol  do not cause damage  to  the
environment of other States or of areas be-
yond the limits of national jurisdiction";

  Noting their tradition of environmental
cooperation as reflected in the Boundary
Waters Treaty of  1909, the Trail  Smelter
Arbitration of 1941, the Great Lakes Water
Quality Agreement of 1978, as amended,
the Memorandum of Intent  Concerning
Transboundary Air Pollution of 1980, the
1986 Joint Report of the Special Envoys on
Acid Rain, as well as the ECE Convention
on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollu-
tion of 1979;

  Convinced that a healthy environment
is essential to assure the well-being of pres-
ent and future generations in the  United
States and  Canada, as well as  of  the
global community;
                                                                         67

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                          Have agreed as follows:

                       ARTICLE I

                       Definitions
                          For the purposes of this Agreement:
                          1. "Air pollution"  means the introduc-
                            tion by man, directly or indirectly, of
                            substances into the air  resulting in
                            deleterious effects of such a nature as
                            to endanger human health, harm liv-
                            ing  resources and  ecosystems and
                            material property and impair or in-
                            terfere with  amenities and other le-
                            gitimate uses of the environment, and
                            "air pollutants" shall be construed ac-
                            cordingly;
                          2. "Transboundary air pollution" means
                            air pollution whose physical origin is
                            situated wholly or in part within the
                            area  under  the jurisdiction  of one
                            Party and which has adverse effects,
                            other than effects of a global nature,
                            in the area under the jurisdiction of
                            the other Party;
                          3. "Boundary Waters Treaty" means the
                            Treaty Relating to Boundary Waters
                            and  Questions  Arising  along  the
                            Boundary between the United States
                            and Canada, signed at Washington
                            on January 11,1909;
                          4. "International   Joint   Commission"
                            means  the  International Joint Com-
                            mission established by the Boundary
                            Waters Treaty.

                       ARTICLE II

                       Purpose
                          The purpose of the Parties is to estab-
                       lish, by this  Agreement, a practical and
effective instrument to address shared con-
cerns regarding transboundary air pollution.

ARTICLE III

General Air Quality Objective
   1. The general objective of the Parties is
     to control transboundary air pollu-
     tion between the two countries.
   2. To this end, the Parties shall:
     (a) in accordance with Article IV, estab-
         lish specific objectives for emissions
         limitations or reductions of air pol-
         lutants and  adopt the necessary
         programs and other measures to
         implement such specific objectives;
     (b) in accordance with Article V, un-
         dertake environmental impact assess-
         ment, prior  notification, and, as
         appropriate, mitigation measures;
     (c) carry out coordinated or coopera-
         tive   scientific   and   technical
         activities, and economic research, in
         accordance with Article VI, and ex-
         change information, in accordance
         with Article VII;
     (d) establish  institutional   arrange-
         ments, in accordance with Articles
         VIII and IX; and
     (e) review and assess progress, con-
         sult, address issues of concern,
         and settle disputes, in accordance
         with Articles X, XI, XII, and XIII.

ARTICLE IV

 Specific Air Quality Objectives
   1. Each  Party shall  establish specific
     objectives,  which  it  undertakes to
     achieve, for emissions limitations or
     reductions of such air pollutants as
     the  Parties  agree  to address.  Such
     specific objectives will be set forth in
     annexes to this Agreement.
68

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   2. Each  Party's specific objectives for
     emissions limitations or reductions of
     sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxides,
     which will  reduce  transboundary
     flows of these acidic deposition pre-
     cursors, are set forth in Annex 1. Spe-
     cific objectives for  such other air
     pollutants as the Parties agree to ad-
     dress should take into account, as ap-
     propriate,  the activities  undertaken
     pursuant to Article VI.

   3. Each Party shall adopt the programs
     and other measures necessary to im-
     plement  its  specific  objectives  set
     forth in any annexes.

   4. If either Party has concerns about the
     programs or other measures of the
     other Party referred to in paragraph
     3, it may request consultations in ac-
     cordance with Article XI.

ARTICLE V

Assessment, Notification, and
Mitigation

  1. Each Party shall, as appropriate and
     as  required by  its laws,  regulations
     and policies, assess those proposed
     actions, activities and projects within
     the area under its jurisdiction that, if
     carried out, would be likely to cause
     significant  transboundary air pollu-
     tion, including consideration of ap-
     propriate mitigation measures.

  2. Each Party shall  notify the other
     Party concerning a proposed action,
     activity or  project  subject to assess-
     ment under paragraph 1  as early as
     practicable  in advance of a decision
     concerning such action,  activity or
     project  and shall  consult with the
      other Party at its request in accord-
      ance with Article XI.
   3.  In addition, each Party shall, at the
      request of the other Party, consult in
      accordance with Article XI  concern-
      ing any continuing actions, activities
      or projects that  may be causing sig-
      nificant transboundary  air  pollu-
      tion, as well as concerning changes to
      its laws, regulations or policies that,
      if carried out,  would be  likely to
      significantly affect transboundary air
      pollution.

   4.  Consultation pursuant to paragraphs
      2 and 3 concerning actions, activities
      or projects that would be likely to
      cause or may be causing significant
      transboundary air pollution  shall in-
      clude consideration of appropriate
      mitigation measures.

   5.  Each Party shall, as appropriate, take
      measures to avoid or mitigate the po-
      tential risk posed by  actions, activi-
      ties or projects that would be likely to
      cause or may  be causing significant
      transboundary air pollution.

   6.  If either Party becomes aware of an
      air pollution problem  that is of joint
      concern and requires  an immediate
      response, it shall notify and consult
      the other Party forthwith.

ARTICLE VI

Scientific and Technical Activities
and Economic Research
  1. The Parties shall carry out scientific
     and technical activities, and economic
     research, as set  forth in Annex 2, in or-
     der to improve their understanding of
     transboundary  air pollution concerns
                                                                                                     69

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                            and to increase their  capability to
                            control such pollution.
                         2. In implementing this Article, the Par-
                            ties may seek the advice of the Inter-
                            national Joint Commission regarding
                            the conduct of monitoring activities.

                        ARTICLE VII

                       Exchange of Information
                         1. The Parties agree to exchange, on a
                            regular basis and through  the Air
                            Quality Committee established under
                            Article VIII, information on:
                            (a) monitoring;
                            (b) emissions;
                            (c) technologies, measures and mecha-
                                nisms for controlling emissions;
                            (d) atmospheric processes; and
                            (e) effects of air pollutants,
                            as provided in Annex 2.
                          2. Notwithstanding  any  other  provi-
                            sions  of this Agreement,  the Air
                            Quality Committee and the Interna-
                            tional Joint Commission shall not re-
                            lease, without  the consent of  the
                            owner, any information identified to
                            them as proprietary information un-
                            der the laws of the place where such
                            information has been acquired.

                        ARTICLE VIII

                        The Air Quality Committee
                          1. The  Parties agree  to  establish and
                            maintain a bilateral Air Quality Com-
                            mittee to assist in the implementation
                            of this Agreement. The Committee
                            shall be composed of an equal num-
                            ber of members representing  each
                            Party. It may be supported by sub-
                            committees, as appropriate.
  2.  The Committee's responsibilities shall
     include:

     (a) reviewing progress made in the
        implementation of  this Agree-
        ment, including its  general and
        specific objectives;
     (b) preparing and submitting to the
        Parties a progress report within a
        year after entry into force of this
        Agreement and at least every two
        years thereafter;
     (c) referring each progress report to
        the International Joint  Commis-
        sion for action in accordance with
        Article IX of this agreement; and
     (d) releasing each progress report to
        the public after its submission to
        the Parties.
  3. The  Committee  shall  meet  at least
     once a year and additionally at the
     request of either Party.

ARTICLE IX

Responsibilities of the International
Joint Commission
  1. The International Joint  Commission is
     hereby given, by a Reference pursuant
     to Article IX of  the Boundary Waters
     Treaty, the following responsibilities for
     the sole purpose of assisting the Parties in
     the implementation of this Agreement:

     (a)  to invite  comments,  including
         through public hearings as appro-
         priate,  on each progress  report
         prepared by the Air Quality Com-
         mittee pursuant to Article VIII;
     (b)  to submit to the Parties a synthesis
         of the views presented pursuant to
         sub-paragraph (a), as well as the re-
         cord of such views if either Party so
         requests; and
70

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     (c)  to release the synthesis of views
         to the public after its submission
         to the Parties.
  2. In addition, the parties shall consider
     such other joint references to the In-
     ternational Joint Commission as may
     be appropriate for the effective im-
     plementation of this Agreement.

ARTICLE X

Review and Assessment
  1. Following the receipt of each progress
     report submitted to them by  the Air
     Quality  Committee in  accordance
     with Article VIII and the views pre-
     sented  to  the  International  Joint
     Commission on that report in  accord-
     ance with Article IX, the Parties shall
     consult on the contents of the pro-
     gress report, including any  recom-
     mendations therein.
  2. The Parties shall conduct a compre-
     hensive  review and assessment of
     this Agreement, and its implementa-
     tion, during the fifth year after its en-
     try into  force and every five years
     thereafter, unless otherwise agreed.
  3. Following the consultations referred
     to in paragraph 1, as well as the re-
     view and assessment referred  to in
     paragraph  2, the Parties  shall  con-
     sider such action as may be appropri-
     ate, including:
     (a) the modification of this Agreement;
     (b) the modification of existing  poli-
        cies, programs or measures.
ARTICLE XI

Consultations
   The Parties shall consult, at the request
of either Party, on any matter within the
scope of this Agreement. Such consultations
shall commence as soon as practicable, but
in any event not later than 30 days from
the date of receipt of the request for con-
sultations, unless otherwise agreed by the
Parties.

ARTICLE XII

Referrals
   With respect to cases other  than  those
subject to Article XIII, if, after consultations
in accordance with Article XI, an issue re-
mains concerning a proposed or continuing
action, activity, or project that is causing or
would be likely to cause significant trans-
boundary air pollution, the Parties shall
refer  the matter to  an appropriate  third
party in accordance with agreed terms of
reference.

ARTICLE XIII

Settlement of Disputes
  1. If, after consultations in accordance
     with Article XI, a dispute remains be-
     tween the Parties over the interpreta-
     tion  or the implementation of this
     Agreement, they shall seek to resolve
     such  dispute  by negotiations be-
     tween them.  Such negotiations shall
     commence as soon as practicable, but
     in any event not later than 90 days
     from the  date  of receipt  of the re-
     quest for negotiation,  unless other-
     wise agreed by the Parties.
                                                                                                      71

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                         2.  If a dispute is not resolved through ne-
                            gotiation, the Parties  shall consider
                            whether to submit that dispute to the
                            International Joint Commission in ac-
                            cordance with either Article IX or Arti-
                            cle X of the Boundary Waters Treaty. If,
                            after such consideration, the Parties do
                            not  elect either of those options, they
                            shall, at the request of either Party, sub-
                            mit  the dispute to another agreed form
                            of dispute resolution.

                       ARTICLE XIV

                       Implementation
                         1.  The obligations undertaken  under
                            this Agreement shall be subject to the
                            availability of appropriated funds in
                            accordance with the respective con-
                            stitutional procedures of the Parties.
                         2.  The Parties shall seek:
                            (a)  the appropriation of funds required
                                to implement this Agreement;
                            (b)  the enactment of any additional
                                legislation that may be necessary
                                to implement this Agreement;
                            (c)  the cooperation of State and Pro-
                                vincial Governments as necessary
                                to implement this Agreement.
                         3.  In implementing this Agreement, the
                            Parties  shall,  as appropriate,  consult
                            with State or Provincial Governments,
                            interested organizations, and the public.
ARTICLE XV

Existing Rights and Obligations
  Nothing in  this  Agreement  shall be
deemed to diminish the rights and obliga-
tions of the Parties in  other international
agreements between them, including those
contained in the Boundary Waters Treaty
and the Great Lakes Water Quality Agree-
ment of 1978, as amended.

ARTICLE XVI

Entry into Force, Amendment,
Termination
  1. This Agreement, including Annexes 1
     and 2, shall enter into force upon sig-
     nature by the Parties.
  2. This Agreement may be amended at
     any time by agreement of the Parties
     in writing.
  3. Either  Party  may  terminate  this
     agreement upon  one year's written
     notice  to  the other Party,  in which
     case any annexes will also terminate.
  4. Annexes constitute an integral part of
     this Agreement, except that, if an an-
     nex so provides, either Party may ter-
     minate  such  annex in  accordance
     with the terms of that annex.
72

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IN WITNESS WHEREOF, the under-
signed have signed this Agreement.
DONE in duplicate, at Ottawa, this
13th day of March, 1991, in the English
and French languages, each version
being equally authentic.
        v/
FOR THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

POUR LE  GOUVERNEMENT DBS
ESTAS-UNIS D'AMERIQUE
EN FOIDE QUOI, les soussignes ont
signe le present Accord.
FATT en deux exemplaires a OTTAWA,
ce 13e jour de mars, 1991, en langues
anglaise et francaise, les deux ver-
sions faisant egalement foi.
FOR THE GOVERNMENT OF
CANADA

POUR LE GOUVERNEMENT
DU CANADA
                                                                                       73

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                       ANNEX 1
                       Specific Objectives Concerning
                       Sulphur Dioxide and Nitrogen
                       Oxides

                       1. Sulphur Dioxide
                         A. For the United States:1
                         1. Reduction of annual sulphur  dioxide
                            emissions by approximately 10 million
                            tons2 from 1980 levels in  accordance
                            with Tifle IV of the dean Air Act3 i.e.,
                            reduction of annual sulphur dioxide
                            emissions to approximately 10  mil-
                            lion tons  below 1980 levels by  2000
                            (with the exception of sources repow-
                            ering with qualifying clean coal tech-
                            nology in  accordance with section 409
                            of the Clean Air Act, and  sources re-
                            ceiving bonus allowances  in  accord-
                            ance with sections 405(a)(2) and (3) of
                            the Clean Air Act).
                         2. Achievement of a permanent national
                            emission cap of 8.95 million  tons of
                            sulphur dioxide per year  for electric
                            utilities by  2010, to the  extent re-
                            quired by Title IV  of the Clean Air
                            Act.
                         3. Promulgation  of new  or  revised
                            standards or such other action under
                            the Clean Air Act as the Administrator
                            of the U.S. Environmental Protection
                            Agency (EPA) deems appropriate, to
                            the extent required by section 406 of
                            the Clean Air  Act Amendments  of
                            1990 (P. L. 101-549), aimed at limiting
                            sulphur dioxide  emissions from in-
                            dustrial sources in the event that the
     Administrator  of  EPA  determines
     that  annual sulphur dioxide emis-
     sions from  industrial sources may
     reasonably be expected to exceed 5.6
     million tons.
  B. For Canada:
  1. Reduction of sulphur dioxide emis-
     sions in the seven easternmost Prov-
     inces to 23 million tonnes per year by
     1994 and the achievement of a cap on
     sulphur dioxide emissions in the seven
     easternmost  Provinces at 2.3 million
     tonnes per year from 1995 through De-
     cember 31,1999.
  2. Achievement of a  permanent  na-
     tional emissions cap of 3.2 million
     tonnes per year by 2000.

2. Nitrogen Oxides
  A. For the United States1:
     With a view to a reduction of total
     annual emissions of nitrogen oxides
     by approximately 2 million tons from
     1980 emission levels by 2000:
  1. Stationary Sources
     Implementation of the following ni-
     trogen oxides  control program for
     electric utility boilers to the extent re-
     quired by Title IV of the Clean Air Act:
     (a)  By January  1, 1995, tangentially
         fired  boilers  must meet an allow-
         able emission rate of 0.45 Ib/mmBtu,
         and dry  bottom wall-fired boilers
         must meet an allowable emission
         rate of 050  Ib/mmBtu (unless the
         Administrator of EPA determines
         that these rates cannot be achieved
         using low NOx burner technology).
                          1 - Applies only to reductions in emissions in the 48 contiguous states and the District of Columbia.
                          2 - 1 ton = 0.91 tonnes (metric tons).
                          3 - All references to the Clean Air Act refer to the Act as amended November 15,1990.
74

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      (b) By January 1,1997, EPA must set
          allowable emission limitations for:

          •  wet bottom wall-fired boilers;
          •  cyclones;
          •  units applying cell burner tech-
             nology; and
          •  all other types of utility boilers.
   2. Mobile Sources
      Implementation of the following mo-
      bile source  nitrogen  oxides  control
      program to the extent required by Ti-
      tle II of the Clean Air Act:

      (a)  Light Duty Trucks  (LOT) (up to
          6,000 Ibs gross vehicle weight rat-
          ing  (GVWR))  and  Light Duty
          Vehicles  (LDV)—standards  for
          model years after 1993:

LDTs (0 to
3,750 Ibs
Loaded
Vehicle
Weight
(LVW)) and
LDVs
Diesel LDTs
(0 to 3,750
Ibs LVW)
and LDVs
(before 2004)
LDTs (3,751
to 5,750 Ibs
LVW)
5 yrs/50,000
miles (useful
life)
0.4 grams per
mile (gpm)
1.0 gpm
0.7 gpm4
10 yrs/100,000
miles
0.6 gpm
1.25 gpm
0.97 gpm
In model year 1994, 40 percent of each manufac-
turer's sales  volume must meet  the  above
standards. In 1995, the percentage shall increase to
80 percent and, after 1995, to 100 percent.
      (b)  Light  Duty Trucks  more than
          6,000 Ibs GVWR (after model year
          1995):

LDTs (3,751
to 5,750 Ibs
Test Weight
(TW))
LDTs (over
5,750 Ibs TW)
Gasoline
5yrs/50,000
miles
0.7 gpm
1.1 gpm
Gasoline and
Diesel
llyrs/
120,000 miles
0.98 gpm
1.53 gpm
In model year 1996,50 percent of each manufac-
turer's sales volume must meet the above
standards.  Thereafter,  100  percent of  each
manufacturer's  sales volume  must meet the
standard,

      (c) Heavy  Duty  Trucks  (HDT)  of
         more than 8,500 Ibs GVWR (after
         model year 1990):

HDT (effective
model year 1991s)
HDT (model year
1998 and later)
Gasoline and Diesel
Engines
5.0 grams per brake
horsepower-hour5
(gbhp-hr)
4.0 gbhp-hr
                                                         Useful life5:
Gasoline Engines
Diesel Engines
Light heavy-duty
Medium heavy-duty
Heavy heavy-duty
8 yrs/1 10,000 miles
8 yrs/ 11 0,000 miles
8 yrs/185,000 miles
8 yrs/290,000 miles
   4 - This standard does not apply to diesd-fuded LDTs (3,751 to 5,750 Ibs LVW).
   5 - As set forth in EPA regulations in effect as of the entry into force of this Agreement.
                                                                                                                75

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                         B. For Canada:
                           1. Stationary Sources

                              (a) As an interim requirement, reduc-
                                  tion, by 2000, of annual national
                                  emissions of nitrogen oxides from
                                  stationary  sources  by  100,000
                                  tonnes below the year 2000 fore-
                                  cast level of 970,000 tonnes.
                              (b) By January 1, 1995, development
                                  of further annual  national emis-
                                  sion reduction requirements from
                                  stationary sources  to be achieved
                                  by 2000 and/or 2005.
                           2. Mobile Sources

                              (a) Implementation of a more stringent
                                  mobile source nitrogen oxides con-
                                  trol program for gasoline-powered
                                  vehicles  with standards no  less
                                  stringent than the following:
                                  Light  Duty Vehicles (up to 6,000
                                  Ibs GVWR) (By model year 1996
                                  for passenger cars; by model year
                                  1996 for light duty trucks6):

Cars and Light Duty
Trucks (0 to 3,750 Ibs
LVW)
Light Duty Trucks
(3,751 to 5,750 Ibs
LVW)
5 yrs/80,000
kilometers (useful
life)
0.4 gpm
0.7 gpm
         Medium Duty Vehicles (6,001 to
         8,500 Ibs GVWR) (By model year
         19976):

0 to 3,750 Ibs LVW
3,751 to 5,750 Ibs
LVW
Over 5,750 Ibs LVW
5yrs/80,000
kilometers (useful
life)
0.4 gpm
0.7 gpm
1.1 gpm
         Heavy Duty Vehicles (over 8,500
         Ibs GVWR) (By model year 19986):

Over 8,500 Ibs
GVWR
8yrs/110,000
kilometers (useful
life)
4.0 gbhp-hr
     (b) Implementation of a more stringent
         mobile source nitrogen oxides con-
         trol  program  for  diesel-powered
         vehicles and  engines with stand-
         ards, to the extent possible, no less
         stringent than the standards for the
         respective duty classes of gasoline-
         powered vehicles and engines.

3. Compliance Monitoring
   A. Utility Units

   1. For the United States:

     Requirement that, by January 1, 1995,
     each new electric utility unit and each
     electric  utility  unit  greater than 25
     MWe existing on the date of enactment
     of the Clean Air Act amendments of
                            6 - The Government of Canada will propose this effective date; the final effective date is subject to the
                               procedures and outcome of the regulation development process.
76

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      1990  (November 15, 1990) emitting
      sulphur  dioxide  or nitrogen  oxides
      install and operate continuous emis-
      sion monitoring  systems  or  alterna-
      tive   systems   approved   by   the
      Administrator of EPA, to the extent re-
      quired by section 412 of the dean Air
      Act.
   Z For Canada:

      Requirement that, by January 1,1995,
      Canada estimate sulphur dioxide and
      nitrogen  oxides emissions from each
      new electric utility unit and each exist-
      ing electric utility unit greater than 25
      MWe using a method of comparable
      effectiveness to continuous emission
      monitoring, as well as investigate the
      feasibility of using and implement,
      where appropriate, continuous emis-
      sion monitoring systems.
   3. For Both Parties:
      The Parties shall consult, as appropri-
      ate, concerning the implementation of
      the above.
   B. Other Major Stationary Sources
      Requirement that the Parties work to-
      wards utilizing comparably effective
      methods  of emission estimation for
      sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxides
      emissions from all  major industrial
     boilers and  process sources, includ-
     ing smelters.

4. Prevention of Air Quality
   Deterioration and Visibility
   Protection
   Recognizing the importance of preventing
significant air quality deterioration and pro-
tecting visibility, particularly for international
 parks, national, state, and provincial parks,
 and designated wilderness areas:
   A. For the United States:
      Requirement that the United States
      maintain means for preventing sig-
      nificant air quality deterioration and
      protecting visibility, to the extent re-
      quired by  Part C of Title I of the
      Clean Air Act, with respect to sources
      that  could cause  significant  trans-
      boundary air pollution.
   B. For Canada:
      Requirement that Canada, by January
      1,1995, develop and implement means
      affording levels  of prevention of sig-
      nificant air quality deterioration  and
      protection of visibility comparable to
      those in paragraph A above, with re-
      spect to  sources that could cause sig-
      nificant transboundary air pollution.
   C For Both Parties:
     The Parties shall consult, as appropri-
     ate, concerning  the implementation
     of the above.

ANNEX 2

Scientific and Technical Activities
and Economic Research

   For the purpose of determining and report-
ing  on  air pollutant  concentrations  and
deposition, the Parties agree to  coordinate
their air pollutant monitoring activities through:
     (a)  coordination of existing networks;
     (b)  additions to monitoring tasks of
         existing networks of those air pol-
         lutants  that  the  Parties  agree
         should be monitored for the pur-
         poses of this Agreement;
                                                                                                      77

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                             (c) addition of stations or networks
                                 where no existing monitoring fa-
                                 cility can perform a  necessary
                                 function for  purposes of  this
                                 Agreement;
                             (d) the use of compatible data manage-
                                 ment  procedures,  formats,  and
                                 methods; and
                             (e) the exchange of monitoring data.
                           2. For the  purpose of determining and
                             reporting air emissions levels, histori-
                             cal trends, and projections  with re-
                             spect to  the  achievement of  the
                             general  and specific objectives set
                             forth in this Agreement, the Parties
                             agree to  coordinate  their  activities
                             through:
                             (a) identification  of such air emis-
                                 sions information that  the Parties
                                 agree should be exchanged for the
                                 purposes of this Agreement;
                             (b) the use of measurement and esti-
                                 mation procedures of comparable
                                 effectiveness;
                             (c) the  use of compatible  data man-
                                 agement procedures, formats, and
                                 methods; and
                             (d) the exchange of air emission infor-
                                 mation.
                         3.   The  Parties agree to cooperate and
                              exchange information with respect to:
                              (a)  their monitoring of the effects of
                                  changes in air  pollutant  concen-
                                  trations  and   deposition  with
                                  respect to changes in  various ef-
                                  fects  categories,   e.g.,   aquatic
                                  ecosystems, visibility, and forests;
     (b) their determination of any effects
        of atmospheric pollution on hu-
        man health and ecosystems, e.g.,
        research on health effects of acid
        aerosols, research on  the  long-
        term effects of low concentrations of
        air pollutants on ecosystems, possi-
        bly in a critical loads framework;

     (c) their  development  and  refine-
        ment  of atmospheric models for
        purposes of determining source
        receptor relationships and  trans-
        boundary transport and deposition
        of air pollutants;

     (d) their development and demon-
        stration  of  technologies  and
        measures  for  controlling  emis-
        sions of air pollutants, in particular
        acidic deposition precursors, subject
        to their respective laws, regulations
        and policies;

     (e) their  analysis of market-based
        mechanisms,  including emission
         trading; and

     (f)  any other  scientific and technical
         activities  or  economic  research
         that the Parties may agree upon
         for  purposes  of  supporting the
         general and specific objectives of
         this Agreement.

4. The Parties further  agree to consult on
   approaches to,  and share information
   and results of research on,  methods  to
   mitigate the impacts  of  acidic deposi-
   tion, including  the environmental ef-
   fects and  economic  aspects  of  such
   methods.
78

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Article IX of the United States-Canada Air Quality Agreement assigns the Interna-
tional Joint Commission the responsibility of soliciting comments on this Progress
Report. You may send written comments to either of the following:
IN THE UNITED STATES

Secretary, U.S. Section
International Joint Commission
1250 23rd Street, NW
Suite 100
Washington, DC 20440
 IN CANADA
Secretary, Canadian Section
International Joint Commission
100 Metcalfe Street
18th Floor
Ottawa, Ontario K1P5M1
If you are interested in obtaining information on the scientific and technical issues
of acid deposition, contact:
IN THE UNITED STATES

National Acid Precipitation
Assessment Program
722 Jackson Place, NW
Washington, DC 20503
 IN CANADA

Environmental Integration
Services Branch
Environment Canada
4905 Dufferin Street
Downsview, Ontario M3H5T4
If you are interested in obtaining information on the acid deposition control
programs, contact:
IN THE UNITED STATES

Acid Rain Division
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Mail Code: 6204J
401 M Street, SW
Washington, DC 20460
 IN CANADA

Acid Rain Program
Industrial Programs Branch
Environment Canada
351 St. Joseph Boulevard
Place Vincent Massey - 13th Floor
Hull, Quebec K1AOH3~

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