EPA 430/K-94/030
           UNITED NATIONS
       ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME
ENVIRONMENTAL  EFFECTS
  OF  OZONE  DEPLETION:

     1994   ASSESSMENT
     Pursuant to Article 6 of the Montreal Protocol
      on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer
           under the Auspices of the
    United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
             November 1994
                           Recycled/Recyclable
                           Printed with Soy/Canola Ink on paper that
                           contains at laast SO«fc recycled fttwc

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The UNEP Environmental Effects Panel was sponsored by the Netherlands
Ministry of Housing, Physical Planning and the Environment, the Federal
Ministry for Research and Technology (BMFT) of the Federal Republic of
Germany, and the United States Environmental Protection Agency.  Additional
staffing support was provided by the College of Natural Sciences, University of
Hawai'i at Manoa.
Copies of the report are available from:
      United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
      P.O. Box 30552
      Nairobi
      KENYA                        —- -

      J.C. van der Leun
      Institute of Dermatology
      State University Hospital Utrecht
      Heidelberglaan 100
      NL-3584 CX Utrecht
      THE  NETHERLANDS

      M. Tevini
      Botanisches Institut  II der Universitat Karlsruhe
      Kaiserstrasse  12
      D-7500 Karlsruhe 1
      FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY

      A.H. Teramura
      College of Natural Sciences
      2545 The Mall, Bilger Hall 102
      Honolulu, Hawai'i 96822
      USA
 ISBN  92-807-1457-0

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                          CONTENTS


                                                               Page

 INTRODUCTION AND EXECUTIVE SUMMARY                          j

 CHAPTER 1.  CHANGES IN ULTRAVIOLET RADIATION REACHING THE
    EARTH'S  SURFACE                                             -|
    S. Madronich (USA), R.L McKenzie (New Zealand), MM. Caldwell (USA), and
    L.O. Bjorn (Sweden)

 CHAPTER 2.  EFFECTS OF INCREASED SOLAR ULTRAVIOLET
    RADIATION ON HUMAN HEALTH                                23
    J.D. Longstreth (USA), F.R. de Guijl (The Netherlands), M.L. Kripke (USA), Y.
    Takizawa (Japan), and J.C. van der Leun (The Netherlands)

 CHAPTER 3.  EFFECTS OF INCREASED SOLAR ULTRAVIOLET
    RADIATION ON TERRESTRIAL PLANTS                          49
    MM. Caldwell (USA), A.M. Teramura (USA), M. Tevini (FRG), J.F. Born man
    (Sweden), L.O. Bjorn (Sweden), and C. Kuiandaivelu (India)

 CHAPTER 4.  EFFECTS OF INCREASED SOLAR ULTRAVIOLET
    RADIATION ON AQUATIC ECOSYSTEMS                         65
    D.-P. Hader (FRG), R.G. Worrest (USA), H.D. Kumar (India), and R.C. Smith
    (USA)

 CHAPTER 5.  EFFECTS OF INCREASED SOLAR ULTRAVIOLET
    RADIATION ON BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES                      79
    R.G. Zepp (USA), T. V. Callaghan (UK), and D.J. Erickson

 CHAPTER 6.  EFFECTS OF INCREASED SOLAR ULTRAVIOLET
    RADIATION ON TROPOSPHERIC  COMPOSITION  AND  AIR
    QUALITY                                                     95
    X. Tang (China) and S. Madronich (USA)

 CHAPTER 7.  EFFECT OF INCREASED SOLAR ULTRAVIOLET
   •RADIATION ON MATERIALS                                    101
. •  . A.L /.'•:': cJy (USA), M.B. Amin (Saudi Arabia), S.H. Hamid (Saudi Arabia),
    X. Hu (China), and A. Torikai (Japan)

 APPENDIX A.   LIST OF AUTHORS AND CONTRIBUTORS

 APPENDIX B.   LIST OF EXPERT REVIEWERS

 APPENDIX C.   LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS USED

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                   ENVIRONMENTAL  EFFECTS   OF
                             OZONE   DEPLETION:
                              1994  ASSESSMENT
                                    INTRODUCTION

   The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer requires, in Article 6 periodic
 assessments of available scientific, environmental, technical  and economic information. The assessments
    oo!i  n* fnLCf \ CVery f°Ur years> In fact' assessments were made in 1989, 1991 and, the present one
 in 1994. This 1994-Assessment on Environmental Effects is written so that it can be read without having'
 the earlier reports at hand.                                                                  °

   The provisions in the Montreal Protocol and its amendments in London (1990) and Copenhagen  (1992)
 nave brought about a marked decrease in production and use of ozone depleting chemicals. However  the
 ozone  layer is still becoming thinner, and this is expected to continue until about 1998  Thereafter' a
 gradual recovery is predicted, but the layer will be damaged for half a century to come. These predictions
 were made by the Atmospheric Science Panel on the basis of a fairly optimistic scenario, including the
 assumptions that there will be full and worldwide compliance with the Copenhagen amendments that no  -
 ozone  depleting chemicals were overlooked, and that there will be no new threats to the ozone layer.

   The present assessment deals with the consequences during the coming decades: the changes in solar
 ultraviolet radiation reaching the Earth's surface, and the  effects on humans, animals, plants  micro-
 organisms, air quality and materials. A welcome new element, compared with the earlier assessments is a
 special  chapter on biogeochemical cycles. The main questions from a policy point of view are now- what
 will be the most important effects, and what can  be done to prevent or mitigate these?

   These questions are  more difficult to answer than those posed initially when the problem of ozone
 depletion arose Then the question was, will there be any  effects so detrimental as to necessitate
protection of the  ozone layer? In principle, this could be answered by giving one or two clear-cut
 examples The present questions  are much broader, and require quantitative knowledge on all effects  of
potential importance.

   Organized science recently paid special attention to the problems posed by ozone depletion  SCOPE
the Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment (formed by the International Council of
S?*   noo!oT)J)r0dLlCed^V? fe^°rtS °n  Effccts of Increased Ultraviolet Radiation, one on  Biological
Systems (1992) and one on Glo^l i-o-.; :-..-rr.< (1993). SCOPE urges that thr-c i-.ortan* and
complicated problems require r. '•_  •• :;;...':..n •..•••  •;-:,.^ y: .,x.:], .-•_.,-iiv.  ;ill,' a ^a;o- e\.x>.n;i..,i.

   Reality is far from these gr        '    .   -,  ...wh on effect. .         .:  • ,  p, ,,.'  ••   •  ,n i0,v
that !t  does not even allow ful'            :  ' . rt ,.:arch capacit) ,  -ialie. Uiis mu.l^d 7?rmvers to
urgent  questions cannot be give.  ...      ,.. ;,!	!,{ [,. possible. We are glad that in spite of'il.ese
limitations, saenufic  understand , 
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                                EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY

   A change in the composition of the stratosphere becomes relevant to society only if it has noticeable
effects. This places the assessment of effects in a pivotal role in the problem of ozone  depletion.

   Decreases in the quantity of total-column ozone, as now observed in many places,  tend to cause
increased penetration  of solar  UV-B radiation (290-315 nm) to the Earth's surface. UV-B radiation is
the most energetic component  of sunlight reaching the surface. It has profound effects on human health,
animals, plants, microorganisms,  materials and on air quality. Thus any perturbation which leads to an  -
increase in UV-B radiation demands careful  consideration of the possible consequences. This is the topic
of the present assessment made by the Panel on Environmental Effects of Ozone Depletion.

   The assessment is given in seven chapters, summarized as follows:

Changes  in Utraviolet  Radiation

   The quality and quantity of UV measurements has increased greatly in the last few years. Variations
among measurements  from different instruments are diminishing toward the 5% level.  Long-term trend
detection  is still a problem, with little  historical data available for baseline estimation.

   Enhanced UV levels are  clearly associated with the Antarctic springtime  ozone reductions.
Measurements show that maximum UV levels at the South Pole are reached well before the summer
solstice, and  DNA-damaging radiation at Palmer Station, Antarctica (64°S)  during the springtime ozone
depletion can exceed  maximum summer values at San Diego, USA (32°N).  UV increases at mid-latitudes
are smaller. However, increases associated with the record low ozone column of 1992/93 in the northern
hemisphere are evident when examined on a wavelength-specific basis.

   Measurements in Argentina, Chile, New Zealand,  and Australia show  relatively high UV levels
compared to corresponding  northern hemispheric latitudes, with differences  in both  stratospheric ozone
and tropospheric pollutants  likely to be playing a role. Tropospheric ozone  and aerosols can reduce  global
UV-B irradiances appreciably.  At some locations, tropospheric pollution may have  increased since
pre-industrial times, leading to decreases  in  surface- uVTadiation.  However, recent trends  in tropospheric
pollution probably had only minor effects on UV trends relative to the effect of stratospheric ozone
reductions.

   Global ozone  measurements  from satellites over 1979/93 imply significant UV-B increases at high
and mid-latitudes of both  hemispheres, but only small changes in the tropics. Such estimates however
assume that cloud cover and tropospheric pollution  have remained constant over these years. Under the
current CFC phase-out schedules, global UV levels are predicted to peak  around the  turn of the century in
association with peak  loading of chlorine  in the stratosphere and the concomitant ozone reductions. The
recovery to pre-ozone depletion levels is  expected to take place gradually over the next 50 years.

Effects  on  Human  and  Animal Health

   The increase in UV-B  radiation associated with stratospheric ozone depletion is  likely to have a
substantial  impact on  human health. Potential risks include increases in the incidence of and morbidity
from eye diseases, skin cancer, and infectious diseases. Quantitative estimates of risk are available for
some effects, (e.g., skin cancer), but other (e.g., infectious diseases) are  associated with considerable
uncertainty at the present  time.

   UV radiation has been  shown in experimental systems to damage the cornea and lens  of the eye. Chronic
exposure to UV-B (resulting in  a high,  cumulative, lifetime dose)  is one of several  factors clearly
associated with the risk of cataract of the cortical and posterior subcapsular forms. The 1989 Report
noted that a 1% increase in  stratospheric ozone  depletion has been  predicted to be associated with a  0.6 to
0.8% increase in cataract; this estimate, although crude, has not been improved upon  in the intervening
years.

   Some components  of the  immune system arc present in the skin, which makes the immune system
accessible  to UV radiation. Experiments in animals show that UV exposure  decreases the immune
response to skin cancers, infectious agents, and other antigens and can lead to unresponsiveness upon
repeated challenges. Studies in human subjects also indicate that exposure to UV-B  radiation can suppress
the induction of some immune responses. The importance of these immune  effects for infectious diseases
in humans is unknown. However, in areas of the world where infectious diseases already pose a significant

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 challenge to human health and in persons with impaired immune function, the added insult of UV-B
 induced immune suppression could be significant.

    In susceptible  (light-skinned) populations, UV-B radiation is the key risk  factor for development of
 non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC). Using information derived from animal experiments and human
 epidemiology, it is estimated that a sustained 1% decrease in stratospheric ozone will result in an increase
 in NMSC incidence-of approximately 2%. The relationship between UV-B exposure and melanoma skin
 cancer is less well understood and  appears to differ fundamentally from that of NMSC.  Epidemiologic
 data indicate that  the  risk of melanoma increases with sunlight exposure,  especially during childhood.
 There is, however, uncertainty  about the relative importance of UV-B radiation, which directly determines
 the magnitude of  the increase in melanoma that would result from ozone depletion.

 Effects  on  Terrestrial  Plants

    Physiological and developmental processes of plants are affected by UV-B  radiation, even by the
 amount  of UV-B  in present-day sunlight. Plants also  have several mechanisms to ameliorate or repair
 these  effects and may  acclimate to  a certain  extent to increased levels of UV-B. Nevertheless, plant
 growth can be directly affected by UV-B radiation.

   Response to UV-B also varies considerably among species and also cultivars of the same  species. In
 agriculture, this will necessitate using more UV-B-tolerant cultivars and breeding new ones. In forests and
 grasslands, this will likely result in changes in species composition; therefore there are implications for
 the biodiversity in different ecosystems.

   Indirect changes caused by UV-B (such as changes in plant form, biomass allocation to parts of the
 plant,  timing of developmental  phases and secondary metabolism) may be equally, or sometimes more,
 important than damaging effects of UV-B. These changes can have important implications for plant '
 competitive balance, herbivory,  plant pathogens, and  biogeochemical  cycles. These ecosystem-level effects
 can be anticipated, but not easily predicted or evaluated. Research at the ecosystem level for solar UV-B
 is barely beginning. Other factors, including those involved in climate change such as increasing CC>2 also
 interact with UV-B. Such reactions  are not easily predictedr^ut are of obvious importance in both
 agriculture and in nonagricultural ecosystems.

 Effects  on Aquatic Ecosystems

   More than 30% of the world's animal protein for human consumption comes from the sea, and in many
 countries, particularly  the developing countries, this percentage is significantly higher. As a result, it  is
 important to know how increased levels of exposure to solar UV-B radiation might affect the productivity
 of aquatic systems.

   In  addition, the oceans play a key role with respect to global warming.  Marine phytoplankton are a
 major  sink for atmospheric carbon dioxide, and they have a decisive role in the development  of future
 trends of carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere.

   Phytoplankton  form the foundation  of aquatic food webs. Marine phytoplankton  are not uniformly
 distributed throughout the oceans of the world. The highest concentrations are  found at high  latitudes
 while,  with the exception of upwelling  areas on the  continental shelves, the tropics  and subtropics have  10
 to 100 times lower concentrations. In  addition  to nutrients,  temperature, salinity and light  availability,
 the high levels of  exposure to solar UV-B radiation that  normally occur within the  tropics and subtrop'ics
 may  play a role in phytoplankton distributions.

   Phytoplankton productivity is limited to the euphotic zone, the upper layer of the water column in
which  there is sufficient sunlight to  support net productivity. The position  of the organisms  in the
euphoric  zone is influenced by the action of wind and waves. In addition, many phytoplankton are capable
of active  movements that enhance their productivity and, therefore,  their survival. Exposure to solar UV-B
nul.'t.on has been  shown to affect both orientation  mechanisms and motility in phytoplankton, resulting in
reduced survival rates for these organisms.

   Researchers have measured the increase in, and penetration of, UV-B radiation in Antarctic waters, and
have provided conclusive evidence of direct ozone-related effects within natural phytoplankton
communities. Making use of the space and time  variability of the UV-B front associated with the
Antarctic ozone hole, researchers assessed phytoplankton productivity within the  hole compared to that
outside the hole. The results show a direct reduction in phytoplankton production due to ozone-related
increases  in UV-B.  One study has indicated a  6 - 12 % reduction  in the marginal  ice zone.

                                                 iv

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   Solar UV-B radiation has been found to cause damage to early developmental stages offish, shrimp,
crab, amphibians and other animals. The most severe effects are decreased reproductive capacity and
impaired larval development.  Even at current levels, solar UV-B  radiation is a limiting factor, and small
increases in UV-B  exposure could result in significant  reduction in the size  of the population of
consumer  organisms.

   Although  there is  overwhelming  evidence  that  increased  UV-B  exposure  is  harmful  to  aquatic
ecosystems, the potential damage can only  be roughly estimated at the present time.

Effects  on Biogeochemical Cycles

   Increases in solar UV radiation could affect terrestrial and aquatic biogeochemical cycles thus altering
both sources and sinks of greenhouse and chemically-important trace gases e.g., carbon dioxide (COo),
carbon monoxide (CO), carbonyl sulfide (COS) and possibly other gases, including ozone. These potential
changes would contribute to biosphere-atmosphere  feedbacks that attenuate  or reinforce the  atmospheric
buildup of these gases.

   In terrestrial ecosystems increased UV-B could modify both the production and decomposition of plant
matter with concomitant changes in the uptake and release  of atmospherically-important trace gases.
Decomposition processes can be accelerated when UV-B  photodegrades surface litter, or retarded when the
dominant  effect is  on the chemical composition of  living tissues  resulting in reduced biodegradabilty of
buried litter. Primary production can be reduced by  enhanced UV-B, but the  effect is variable between
species and even cultivars of some crops. Likewise,  photoproduction of CO  from plant matter is species
dependent and occurs more efficiently from dead than living matter.

   In aquatic  ecosystems solar UV-B radiation also might have significant impacts. Studies  in several
locations have  shown that reductions in current levels of solar UV-B result in enhanced primary
production, and Antarctic experiments under the ozone hole demonstrated that primary production is
inhibited by enhanced UV-B.  In addition to its effects  on primary production, solar UV radiation can
reduce bacterioplankton growth in the upper ocean with potentially important effects on marine
biogeochemical cycles. Solar UV radiation stimulates-dae. degradation of aquatic dissolved organic matter
(DOM) resulting in loss of UV absorption and formation of disolved inorganic carbon (DIG),  CO, and
organic substrates that are readily mineralized or taken up by aquatic microorganisms.  Aquatic  nitrogen
cycling can be  affected by enhanced  UV-B  through  inhibition of nitrifying bacteria and
photodecomposition of simple inorganic species such as nitrate. The marine  sulfur  cycle may be affected
by UV-B radiation resulting in possible changes in  the sea-to-air  emissions of COS and dimethylsulfide
(DMS), two gases  that are degraded to sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere and troposphere,  respectively.

   New research  on the environmental fate and impact  of the hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) and
hydrochlorofluorocarbon (HCFC) substitutes  for CFCs has  focused on trifluoroacetate (TFA), a
tropospheric oxidation product of certain HFCs and HCFCs. TFA is mildly toxic to most marine and
freshwater phytoplankton. The results indicate that TFA, although it may  become globally distributed with
increased usage of alternative  fluorocarbons, is not  likely to  accumulate in soils and organisms. Although
resistant to chemical degradation, very recent evidence indicates that TFA can  be broken down by
microorganisms.

Effects  on  Air Quality

   Reductions  of stratospheric ozone and  the concomitant increases of UV-B radiation penetrating to the
lower atmosphere result in  higher photodissociation rates of key trace gases  that control the chemical
reactivity of the troposphere. This can increase both production and destruction of ozone (03) and related
oxidants such as hydrogen peroxide (H2O2), which are  known to have adverse effects on human  health,
terrestrial plants,  and outdoor materials. Changes in the  atmospheric concentrations of the hydroxyl
radical (OH) may  change the atmospheric lifetimes of climatically important gases such as methane
(CH4) and the CFC substitutes.

   Trends in the photodissociation  rate coefficient  of  tropospheric 03, of about +0.36±0.04% per year
in the northern hemisphere and +0.40+0.05% per year in the  southern hemisphere, have been estimated
from satellite measurements of the ozone column between 1979 and 1992. The corresponding model-
calculated changes  in tropospheric chemical composition are non-linear and sensitive  to the prevailing
levels of nitrogen oxides (NOX). In polluted regions (high NOX), tropospheric 03 is expected to
increase, reaching potentially harmfula concentrations earlier in the day, and  leading to more frequent

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 exceedance of oxidant standards for air quality in urban areas where 03 levels are routinely near such air
 quality thresholds. In more pristine regions (lower NOX), 03  increases can be lower or even  negative.
 Other oxidants, such as H2O2 and OH, are projected to increase for both polluted and pristine regions.
 Changes to H2O2 concentrations may have some impact on the geographical distribution of acid
 precipitation.  Rural regions may become more urban-like  and  the percentage of areas with remote
 tropospheric conditions may  decline.

    Increases in  OH concentrations  cause a nearly proportionate decrease  in the steady state  tropospheric
 concentrations of CH4 and CFC substitutes such as the HCFCs and HFCs. Thus, the measured reductions
 in the ozone column (TOMS, 1979-92) are likely to have moderated CH4 increases over the past decade,
 and may account for about 1/3 of the  slowing of the global CH4 trends.

    Increased tropospheric reactivity could also lead to increased production  of particulates such  as cloud
 condensation nuclei, from the oxidation and subsequent nucleation of sulfur of both antropogenic and
 natural origin (e.g. carbonyl sulfide and dimethylsulfide). While these processes are still not fully
 understood, they  exemplify the possibility of complex feedbacks between  stratospheric ozone reductions,
 tropospheric, chemistry, and climate change.

 Effects  on Materials

    Synthetic polymers,  naturally occurring biopolymers,  as well as  some other materials of commercial
 interest are adversely affected by solar UV radiation. Application  of these materials, particularly
 plastics, in situations which demand routine exposure  to sunlight is  only possible through  the  use of light-
 stabilizers and/or surface treatments to protect them  from sunlight. Any increase in solar UV-B content
 due to partial ozone depletion will therefore  accelerate the photogradation rates of these materials,
 limiting their service lifetimes outdoors.

    The nature and the extent  of such damage due to increased UV-B radiation in sunlight  is quantified in
 action spectra. In spite of the several  polymer action spectra available in  the  research literature the
 information is often inadequate to  make reliable  estimates-©f-the increased damage. However, it is clear
 from the available data  that the shorter UV-B  wavelengths processes are mainly responsible for
 photodamagc  ranging from discoloration  to loss  of mechanical  integrity. The molecular level
 interpretation  of these changes remain  unclear in  many instances.

    The use of higher levels of conventional light-stabilizers in polymer formulations will undoubtedly be
 attempted as a means of mitigating the effects of increased UV levels in sunlight.  However, such an
 approach assumes that a) these stabilizers continue to be effective under spectrally-altered sunlight
 conditions; b) they are themselves photostable  on  exposure to UV-rich sunlight; and c) they can be
 sufficiently effective at low enough  concentrations to  serve the purpose. Experimental data bearing on
 these issues is sparse. Ongoing research, particularly that  relating to extreme-environment exposure of
 polymers, is expected to shed  more light on these questions. Substitution of the affected materials  by more
 photostable plastics and other materials also remains an attractive  possibility. Both these approaches  will
 add to the cost of plastic products  in  target applications.

 Key areas of  uncertainty

 •  Effects on  human health (infectious diseases,  vaccination efficacy, cataract, melanoma)
 •  Effects on food production (fisheries, agriculture.)  and on natural ecosystems (aquatic, terrestrial)
 •  Links between  ozone depletion and global warming by interactions between atmosphere and biosphere
   (phytoplankton, forests)
   The increases in UV-B radiation already observed and expected in the future will have consequences of
significant magnitude in several respects. This applies to the UV-B  increases predicted on the basis of the
niost favorable scenario of ozone depletion; it applies even more if ozone  depletion would be greater, for
instance, due to incomplete  compliance to the phaseout agreed for  ozone  depleting chemicals. This
strongly supports continued  determination to protect the ozone layer.

   In many areas the uncertainties about effects are still so great that quantitative predictions are not
possible. Incompleteness of knowledge does not diminish the concerns for the consequences, e.g., an
increase in infectious diseases or disturbance of natural ecosystems. Some of these consequences of ozone
                                                 VI

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depletion may well be more serious than the effects now quantifiable. Further investigations are necessary
in order to achieve more certainty about such effects  and,  if necessary, about possibilities for protection
"- mitigation.
or
                                                  VII

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                                   CHAPTER  1
            CHANGES   IN  ULTRAVIOLET  RADIATION
                REACHING  THE EARTH'S  SURFACE

                         S. Madronich (USA), R. L McKenzie (New Zealand),
                          M. M. Caldwell (USA), and L O. Bjorn (Sweden)
Summary

   The quality and quantity of UV measurements has increased greatly in the last few years. Variations
among measurements from different instruments are diminishing toward the 5 percent level. Long term trend
detection is still a problem, with little historical data available for baseline estimation.

   Enhanced UV levels are clearly associated with the Antarctic springtime ozone reductions.
Measurements show that maximum UV levels at the South Pole are reached well before the summer
solstice, and DNA-damaging radiation at Palmer Station, Antarctica (64°S) during the springtime ozone
depletion can exceed maximum summer values at San Diego, USA (32°N). UV increases at mid-latitudes are
smaller. However, increases associated with the record low ozone column of 1992/93 in the northern
hemisphere are evident when examined on a wavelength-specific basis.
   Measurements in Argentina, Chile, New Zealand, and Australia show relatively high UV levels
compared to corresponding northern hemispheric latitudes, with differences in both stratospheric ozone
and tropospheric pollutants likely to be playing a role. Tropospheric ozone and aerosols can reduce global
UV-B irradiances appreciably. At some locations, tropospheric pollution has increased since pre-inclustrial
times, leading to decreases in surface UV radiation. However, recent trends in tropospheric pollution
probably had only minor effects on UV trends relative to the effect of stratospheric ozone reductions.
   Global ozone measurements from satellites over 1979/93 imply significant UV-B increases at high and
midlatitudes of both hemispheres, but only small changes in the tropics. Such estimates however assume
that cloud cover and tropospheric pollution have remained constant over these years. Under the current
CFC phase-out schedules, global UV levels are predicted to peak around the turn of the century in
association with peak loading of chlorine in the stratosphere and the concomitant ozone reductions. The
recovery to pre-ozone depletion levels is expected to take place gradually over the next 50 years.
Introduction

   Reductions in stratospheric ozone (O3) allow more solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation to reach the earth's
lower atmosphere and surface. UV radiation affects many chemical and biological processes, and its
increases are of concern because of potential adverse effects on the biosphere, on tropospheric air quality,
and on materials such as wood and plastics. The UV wavelengths most affected by Os reductions are in the
UV-B (280-315 run) band with some effect also in the UV-A (315-400 nm) (see Figure 1.1). Radiation at
shorter wavelengths is absorbed completely by even relatively small amounts of O$ and by atmospheric
oxygen (O2).

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280
                                        300     320     340
                                         Wavelength,  nm
 Ffg. 1.1. Increases in UV radiation in response to a 1 percent decrease in the total ozone column near 300 DU (1 DU =
        2.69x1016 molec cm'2). Solid lines (right scale) give spectral irradiance changes, dotted lines (left scale) give
        percent changes. Values are for overhead sun (thick lines) and for a solar zenith angle of 70° (thin lines)  From
        Madronich [1993c].

   Accurate characterization of environmental UV radiation is difficult because of large geographical and
 temporal variations. However, significant progress has been made in recent years. Geographical and
 seasonal variations are now better understood in terms of earth-sun geometric factors, 0% amounts,
 cloudiness, various local and regional pollutants, and surface elevation and reflectivity. UV increases
 associated with recent 0$ reductions have also been detected.

   This update to the UNEP [1989,1991] reports addresses the state of knowledge on environmental UV
 radiation as of August 1994, emphasizing the sensitivity to 03 changes for different biological and
 chemical photo-processes, the measurements of UV radiation at ground level and possible causes for its
 variations, and the implications of measured global 0$ trends for UV radiation.


 The Biological  Effectiveness  of UV Radiation

 Weighted UV Radiation and its Sensitivity to Ozone Changes

   Various biological and chemical photo-processes respond differently to  different parts of the UV
 spectrum. The relative effectiveness of different wavelengths must be known in order to assess the responses
 to O3 changes. The effective UV irradiance, E, or dose rate (exposure), is given by

                        E = jF(X)W(X)d?v
 where W(X) is the weighting function, or action spectrum,  for a specific biological or chemical effect, and F(A)
 is the spectral irradiance, either computed or measured, for a given time and location. Hourly, daily, and
 yearly weighted doses may then be computed by time-integration of the dose rates.

   The weighting procedure is required because solar UV-B increases steeply towards longer wavelengths,
 whereas the biological effectiveness often increases toward shorter wavelengths. As a result, weighted UV
 irradiances computed with different action spectra have different responses to atmospheric O3 changes. A
 commonly used measure of this dependence is the radiation amplification factor (RAF),  defined by

                       AE/E = -RAF (AO3/O3)             (percent rule)
where AO3/O3 is the percent change in the ozone column, and AE/E is the corresponding percent increase in
weighted irradiance (instantaneous or an a time-integrated basis e.g., daily, yearly). The RAFs give the

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increase of available effective radiation in response to Os reductions. They do not however measure the
ultimate biological response, since this often depends non-linearly on the radiation exposure, and other
factors, such as repair, time in the life cycle, whether the cell is dividing, etc., may also be important.

   A compilation of RAFs for different biological and chemical processes is given in Table 1.1. The RAFs
are useful for comparing the sensitivity of different processes to 03 changes. Action spectra that decrease
strongly with increasing UV-B wavelengths have larger RAFs, while spectra with a significant UV-A tail
tend to be less sensitive.

   Several uncertainties in RAF values exist. In many cases, the original data used to derive action spectra
are highly variable. For many spectra, insufficient data exist at the longer wavelengths, and if an
exponential tail is used for extrapolation, the RAFs are significantly reduced (as indicated by the
bracketed values in Table 1.1). The RAFs depend somewhat on the total O3 column, the altitude of the 03
perturbation, and the solar zenith angle (and therefore on latitude and season). They are, however,
essentially independent of cloud cover, surface albedo, or local pollution.

   The simple "percent rule" given above is valid only for small 03 changes. For large 03 changes, a more
accurate relation is

                        E2/Ei = [ (03)i / (03)2 I8**           (power rule)
where  EI and £2 are the weighted irradiances corresponding respectively to ozone columns (03)1 and (03)2-
Figure  1.2 demonstrates the non-linear dependence of erythemal radiation on ozone reductions.
             0)
             9)
             Q.
                200
                150
    100
5   50
O
                -50
                                                   — Power RAF
                                                   D Measured
                                                                               1.1
                                    a   a
                                           a
       -60      -50      -40      -30
                            Ozone Change,
                                                              -20
•10
Fig. 1.2. Dependence of erythemally weighted UV radiation on O3 column changes. Measuremurib i
       February 1991 to 12 December 1992. Adapted from Booth and Madronich [1994].
0
                                                                      : V;uirt Poie, 1

-------
Table 1.1. Radiation Amplification Factors (RAFs) at 30°N.
Effect


Skin
•Erythema reference
•Skin cancer in SKH-1 hairless mice (Utrecht)
"SKH-1 corrected for human skin transmission
Elastosis
Photocarcinogenesis, skin edema
Photocarcinogenesis (based on STSL)
Photocarcinogenesis (based on PTR)
Melanogenesis
Erythema
•Melanoma in fish
DNA Related
'Generalized DNA damage
Mutagenicity and Fibroblast killing

Fibroblast killing
Cyclobutane pyrimidine dimer formation
(fr-4) photoproduct formation
HIV-1 activation
Eyes
Damage to cornea
Damage to lens (cataract)

January
(290DU)

1.1
1.5
1.2
1.1
1.6
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.7
0.1
2.2
[1.7] 2.2

0.3
[2.0] 2.4
[2.3] 2.7
[0.1] 4.4

1.2
0.8
DAP 	
July
(305DU)

1.2
1.4
1.1
1.2
1.5
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
0.1
2.1
[2.7] 2.0

0.6
[2.1] 2.3
[2.3] 2.5
[0.1] 3.3

1.1
0.7
	 — — 	 . 	 .



McKinlay and Diffey, 1987
deGruijl et al., 1993
deGruijl and van der Leun, 1994 —
Kligman and Sayre, 1991
Cole et al., 1986
Kelfkens et al., 1990
Kelfkens et al., 1990
Parrish et al., 1982
Parrish et al., 1982
Setlow et al.., 993
Setlow, 1974
Zoizer and Kiefer, 1984; Peak
etal.,1984
Keyse et al., 1983
Chan et al., 1986
Chan et al., 1986
Stein et al, 1989

Pitts et al, 1977
Pitts et al, 1977
Other effects  on  animal cells
   'Occupational exposure limit
   Immune suppression
   •Cell mortality in Chinese hamster
   •Substrate binding in Chinese hamster
  1.4            1.5         ACGIH, 1991
[0.4] 1.0        [0.4] 0.8 •      DeFabo and Noonan, 1983
          _____              Banrud et al, 1993
                            Banrud et al, 1993
Membrane Damage
Glyrine leakage from E, coli
Alanine leakage from £. coli
Membrane bound K*-stimulated ATPase inactiv.
Plants
Generalized plant spectrum
Inhibition of growth of cress seedlings
Isoflavonoid formation in bean
Inhibition of phytochrome induced anthocyanin
synthesis in mustard
Anthocyanin formation in maize
Anthocyanin formation in sorghum
Photosynthetic electron transport
Photosynthetic electron transport
Overall photosynthesis in leaf of Rumex patientia
•DN'A damage in Alfalfa
Phytoplankton
Inhibition of motility (Euglena graalis)
'Inhibition of photosynthesis (Phaeodactylum sp.)
•Inhibition of photosynthesis (Prorocentrum micans)
'Inhibition of photosynthesis, in Antarctic community
•Inhibition of photosynthesis
(NoJtilaria spitmigeiia cyanobacteria)
Tropospherlc photolysis
•O3 + hv -> O(fD) +• O2
•O3 + hv -> O(3P) + O,
•H,O2 +• hv -» OH + OH
•HNO3 •(- hv -» OH + NO2
*NO2 + hv -» O(3P) + NO
•HCHO + hv -> H + CHO
•HCHO+ hv -^ H2-f CO

0.2
0.4
[0.3] 2.1
2.0
[3.6] 3.8
[0.1] 2.7

1.5
0.2
1.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.5

1.9
0.2
0.3
0.8
0.2
2.1
0.1
0.4
1.1
0.0
0.5
0.2

0.2
0.4
[0.3] 1.6
1.6
3.0
• [0.1] 2.3

1.4
0.2
0.9
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.6

1.5
0.3
0.4
0.8
0.2
1.8
0.1
0.4
1.0
0.0
0.5
0.2

Sharma and Jagger, 1979
Sharma and Jagger, 1979
Imbrie and Murphy, 1982
Caldwelletal, 1986
Steinmetz and Wellmann, 1986
Wellmann, 1985

Wellmann, 1985
Beggs and Wellmann, 1985
Yatsuhashi et al, 1982
Jones and Kok, 1966
Bornman et al., 1984
Rundel, 1983
Quaite et al, 1992

Hader and Worrest, 1991
Cullen et al, 1992
Cullen et al, 1992
Boucher and Prezelin, 1994
Hader et al, 1994
Madronich and Granier, 1994
Madronich and Granier, 1994
Madronich and Granier, 1994
Madronich and Granier, 1994
Madronich and Granier, 1994
Madronich and Granier, 1994
Madronich and Granier, 1994

-------
Table 1.1. Radiation Amplification Factors (RAFs) at 30°N. (Continued)
    Effect
                                              	  RAF  —
                                              January        July
                                              (290DU)        (305DU)
Reference
Aqueous photochemistry
*CO production (Suvvannee River)
•COS production (Gulf of Mexico)
•COS production (North Sea)
*Photodegradation of nitrate ions
•Photodegradation of DOC (Biscayne Bay)
•Photoproduction of H2O2 in freshwater
Materials damage
Yellowness induction in poly vinly chloride
Yellowness induction in polycarbonate
Other weighting functions
Temple U. Robertson-Berger meter
•Solar Light Robertson-Berger meter (Model 501)
•ozone cross section (273 K)
•UV-A (315-400 nm)
•UV-B (280-315 nm)
•UV-B' (280-320 nm)
•simple exponential decay, one decade per 14 nm.
0.3
0.2
0.6
1.1
1.3
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.8
1.2
0.8
0.03
1.25
0.87
1.00
0.3
0.2
0.6
1.0
1.1
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.7
1.1
0.8
0.02
0.99
0.71
1.00
Valentine and Zepp, 1993
Zepp and Andreae, 1994
Zepp and Andreae, 1994 --
Zepp et al., 1987
Kieber et al., 1990
Cooper et al., 1988
Andrady et al., 1989
Andrady et al., 1989
Urbach et al., 1974
M. Morys, priv. comm. 1994
Updated from UNEP (1991). (') denotes change or new entry. Values in brackets show effect of extrapolating original data to
400 nm with an exponential tail, for cases where the effect is larger than 0.2 RAF units. RAFs computed on basis of daily
integral.

Limitations of Biological Action Spectra

   Commonly used weighting functions are based on biglogical action spectra. Frequently a weighting
function at the effects level is the composite of more than one spectrum at the molecular level, and is
modified by absorbing molecules filtering the radiation before it reaches its target. Therefore the
weighting functions, and data derived from them such as the RAFs of Table 1, depend on various
independent factors and should be used with caution, taking into account the conditions under which the
experiments were performed.  When labels such as "DNA-effective radiation" are used, this simply
describes the integrated irradiance potentially effective in causing effects (e.g., naked DNA damage) but
does not necessarily mean that the effect (DNA damage) will ensue. The actual effect will depend on the
sensitivity  of the particular organism and several other factors.

   Traditionally, action spectra have been developed for very different purposes than evaluating
biological effects of 03 reductions. Action spectra allow the photobiologist to draw some conclusions
regarding the biological pigment or molecule that absorbs the radiation and mediates the effect within an
organism. The criteria often used to develop action spectra are directed to this traditional use  in
photobiology and these, along with many technical constraints, limit the usefulness of action spectra as
weighting functions. A photobiologist may v.'ish to know how an absorbing molecule is acting, with as little
interference by other substances in the organ;v.;-. -••- < »-^:.iMe, e.g., how DNA is ?Hso:bing radiation and
acting to mediate an effect. However, for evaV .,j.t. t!cr:, c '•,'-, n.;.:ction it is more
important to know how a molecule such as P'\ -\ Li I'- ".•:>!n.;.-.! stat-j within the c-,  •;.-;- is affected by the
radiation and how its effect nry be ?'*,.-d b)  ll - :r.:tmly of other absorbing rr.v.  ,. ui-=

   Action ,;--,cU-a are usually developed by exposing the biological material to radiation of only one
waveleii£lh (o: a ".arrow range of wavelengths) at a time and then measuring the effect. Again, for
traditional  photobiological purposes this is quite suitable. However, organisms in nature are exposed
simultaneously to radiation at all wavelengths in the entire solar spectrum reaching the earth's surface,
and the radiation in the UV-A  and visible wavebands is orders of magnitude more intense than in  the LIV-
ES. Under such conditions several chromophores may be acting to cause interacting effects in the organism.
For example, the UV-A and visible radiation can ameliorate the effects of UV-B in many organisms [e.g.,
Caldwell and Flint, 1994]. For practical purposes, action spectra are usually developed with only hours of
irradiation  at each wavelength: whereas in nature organisms are usually exposed over periods of days,
months or longer to the full sunlight spectrum. This too can cause interacting effects that might not be
predicted from an action spectrum.

-------
    Another limitation of UV-B action spectra is that they may be arbitrarily restricted to a certain
 waveband where data were collected. While these still serve the traditional photobiological purposes,
 they can limit the usefulness for the 03 reduction question. For example, if data for action spectra are
 restricted to the UV-B, but in reality there is some, even very low, effectiveness in the UV-A, this can
 change the resulting radiation amplification factors when these action spectra are used  as weiehtine
 functions.                                                        '                        6

    These limitations and qualifications of weighting functions based on action spectra must be borne in mind
 when considering the significance of biologically effective radiation. Use of such weighting functions is
 still more appropriate than the use of unweighted UV-B radiation, but qualification is required. In this
 chapter, several weighting functions are employed in considering the effect of O3 reduction on the global
 distribution of "effective" UV radiation.  While these are illustrative, they need to be interpreted with a
 knowledge of the uncertainties inherent in the weighting functions.


 Measurements of  Environmental  UV  Radiation

 Data Quality

    Measurements of environmental UV radiation still present some difficulty, especially for the detection
 of long-term trends since high accuracy and stability are required. Significant advances have been made
 recently in assessing data quality through instrument characterizations, intercomparisons, and data re-
 analysis.

    Several intercomparisons among different spectre-radiometers showed substantial differences among
 instruments [Gardiner et al, 1993; McKenzie et al, 1993; Kirk et al, 1994], especially at  the shortest
 wavelengths where the solar spectrum is  steepest, and therefore problems of dynamic range, stray light
 rejection, and wavelength calibration are most severe. At the present time, agreement to no better than
 about ±5 percent can be expected for wavelengths longer thaa-ca, 310 run, and the agreement is worse at
 shorter wavelengths.

    Intercomparisons with broad-band and filter instruments  are more difficult, due in part to calibration
 ambiguities that arise when the spectral shape of the solar spectrum changes under different solar zenith
 angle, O3 column, and other atmospheric  conditions [DeLuisi and Harris, 1983]. Extensive re-examination
 has been carried out for the most commonly used broad-band  instrument, the Robertson-Berger (RB) meter.
 Its temperature coefficient (ca. 1 percent K'1) has been determined [Johnsen and Moan, 1991; Dichter et al.,
 1993; Blumthaler, 1993], and a new generation of temperature-stabilized instruments is now available. The
 spectral response of the RB instruments was found to be stable over more than a decade, although with some
 differences between different instruments [DeLuisi et al., 1992]. A review of calibration records by Kennedy
 and Sharp [1992] did not identify any significant problems. However, DeLuisi [19937 found calibration
 shifts in the long-term data record of the RB meter located at  Mauna Loa. The magnitude, timing, and
 direction of these shifts are such as to produce an apparent negative trend in UV comparable to the
 decreasing UV trends reported by Scotto et al. [1988] for RB meters located in the continental USA over
 1975-85. Smith and Ryan [1993] have also identified substantial variations between different RB
 instruments. Until a full re-analysis of the calibrations of the  RB meter network is carried out, trends
 derived from RB meters must be viewed with caution.

 Geographical and Seasonal Variations

 High Latitudes

   Very little UV irradiance data in the Antarctic are available before the discovery of the springtime O3
 hole. Baker-Blocker et al. [1984] reported measurements over 1979-81, but because their broad-band
 instrument was heavily weighted in the UV-A, no conclusions can be drawn about the pre-ozone hole UV-B
 record. The number of Antarctic UV measurements has increased greatly in recent years [Lubin and
 Frederick,  1989, 1991; Lubin et al, 1989, 1992; Stamnes et al,  1990, 1992; Frederick and Alberts, 1991; Smith
 et  al., 1992a,b; Beaglehole and Carter, 1992a,b; Booth et al, 1993, 1994;  Roy et al, 1994; Frederick  and
 Lubin, 1994; Helbling et al, 1994]. The  effect of the O3 hole on UV levels is now clearly established. Figure
 1.3 shows the UV radiation in two different wavelength bands, 298-303 run (very sensitive to O3) and 338-
342 run (relatively insensitive to O3), measured at the south pole between early 1991 and early 1994. While

-------
 the 338-342 run band maximizes near summer solstice as expected, the 298-303 run values reach their highest
 values in November, and show clearly the effects of the 03 hole. Figure 1.4a shows that 1991 springtime
 DNA-damage-weighted UV radiation measured at the south pole was much higher than measurements
 obtained in Barrow, Alaska, for the same solar zenith angle. Visible radiation measurements at the same
 locations (Figure 1.4b) effectively demonstrate that the higher UV at the south pole was not due to other
 atmospheric factors such as less cloud cover. Although the natural UV levels at high latitudes are usually
 smaller than at low latitudes, measurements now show (see Figure 1.5) that during the springtime ozone
 depletion the DNA-damaging radiation at Palmer Station, Antarctica (64°S) can exceed maximum summer
 values at San Diego, USA (32°N).
                   1.4

               S  1.2

               8  1.0
               I
               TJ
               g  0.8
               i
               2  0.6
               !
               g  0.4
               00
               o>
               CM
                   0.2
 0.0
  Jan-91

180
                                      Jan-92
                                     Jan-93
                  Jan-94
                  160 -
                  140 -
              I  12°  '
              £  100  •
              •o
                   80  -
               £
              (N
              «?
              ee
              M
              rt
60

40

20

 0
 Jan-91
                                      Jan-92
Jan-93
                                                        Jan-94
Fig. 1.3. Hourly irradiance integrated over 298-303 nm (top) and over 338-342 nm (bottom), at the South Pole between
       1991 and 1994. Vertical dotted lines mark the summer solstices. From Booth et al. [1994].

-------
                 65
                            70         75        80        86

                                            Solar Zenith Angle (Dagrat)
                             00
                                                  100
               14000
                             TO
75        80         «S

      Solar Zenith Angl* (D*gr««)
                                                                                        100
Rg. 1.4. Comparison of 1991 springtime radiation at South Pole and Barrow (Alaska), (a) DNA-weighted UV irradiance' (b)
       400-600 nm integrated irradiance. From Booth et al. [1993].

   Northern hemisphere polar regions experienced anomalously low O3 levels in 1992 and 1993 (see below).
Spectral measurements obtained at Barrow during the spring of 1991-94 show the expected increases in UV
radiation associated with low O3/ and a return to more normal levels in 1994 [R. Booth, private
communication, 1994].

Other Latitudes

   Measurements at many locations are providing a more clear characterization of the geographical
variations of ground-level UV. The RB meter network [Scotto et al, 1975, 1988; Cotton, 1990] has confirmed
the general higher UV-B levels al lower latitudes in the US. Other RB meter mo-r-fuiements also confirm
the broad latitudinal  differences, e.g., in Russia [Garadzha  and Nezval, 1987],  Switzerland [Blmnthaler
and Ambach, 1990], Malaysia [Ilyas, 1987], and New Zealand [Zheng and Basher, 1993], though detailed
comparisons of local effects (e.g., pollution, cloudiness) has not yet been carried  out. Multifilter
measurements at 39°N, 77°W have been made since 1975 by Correll et al. [1992] and are continuing, but direct
comparison to other instruments is difficult because of the different spectral response.

-------
                            10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
                                         Solar Zenith Angle (degrees)
 Fig. 1.5. DNA-weighted noon irradiances measured in 1993 at Palmer Station, Antarctica (64°S) and in San Dieqo USA
       (32°N). (Courtesy R. Booth, 1994).                                                        '

   Spectral measurements show higher summertime values of UV-A and UV-B radiation in Lauder (New
 Zealand) and Melbourne (Australia)  compared to Neuherberg (Germany) [Seckmeyer and McKenzie, 1992;
 McKenzie et al., 1993], due to the yearly cycle of the suivearth  distance, and to lower stratospheric O3
 levels in the southern hemisphere and higher tropospheric pollutant levels (O3 and aerosols) in Germany.'
 Enhanced southern hemisphere UV-B levels are also evident from measurements in Ushuaia, Argentina
 (55°S) [Diaz et al, 1991,1994; Frederick et al, 1993b], where in December 1991 the average noontime clear
 sky radiation at 306.5 nm was 45 percent larger than calculated from the O3 climatology of the previous
 decade.

   Additional mid-latitude spectral measurements [Bais et al., 1993,1994; Gardiner et al.,  1993;
 Blumthaler, 1993; Blumthaler et al., 1993,  1994; Seckmeyer et a/.,'1994; Booth et al., 1993; /to, 1993; Kerr
 and McElroy,  1993; Kirk et al., 1994; Cabrera et al, 1994} have recently  contributed to a growing UV data
 base, and systematic compilation of the data, though not yet achieved, should provide a reasonable picture
 of mid-latitude UV distributions.

 Other Factors Affecting UV

 Clouds

   The importance of clouds to surface UV is well established. Analysis of the long-term RB meter data
 from various  locations in the US shows that monthly average UV levels are red^.-rd by 10-50 percent,
 depending on season and location [Frederick and Snell, 1990; Frederick et a}., If .J..j. Empirical
 parameterizations based on the fraction of occluded sky observed frci.; HIL s-iilv.ce have been developed in
 Malaysia,  the United States, Sweden, and Australia  [llyas, 1987; Cutc'tM, 19SO;  Josefsson, 1986; Paltridge
 and Barton, 1978; Ito, 1993]. The results are scattered and non-linear, with as much as 70-80 percent
 reductions at  full cover, and average reductions in the 10-50 percent range. The parameterizations should be
 viewed as highly approximate and applicable only to the cloud types that are characteristic of the
 different locations of the studies.

Aerosols

   Tropospheric aerosols, e.g., sulfate, reduce UV levels significantly in polluted regions [Liu et al., 1991].
Seckmeyer and McKenzie [1992J estimated that aerosols had only a minor effect in the contrast between UV
irradiances in New Zealand and Germany. However, Seckmeyer et al. [1994] measured substantial UV-A

-------
 and UV-B reductions on a day with high turbidity, compared to a day with low turbidity. Cabrera et al.
 [1994] found larger UV-A gradients with elevation in relatively polluted areas compared to pristine
 regions of Chile. Justus and Murphey [1994] analyzed RB meter data over 1980-84 for Atlanta, Georgia, and
 attributed the observed 10 percent decrease to local or regional aerosols. Thus, although an effect appears
 to exist, its magnitude is still not well defined.

    The effect of stratospheric sulfate aerosols on surface UV irradiance has been of increased interest since
 the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in June 1991. Scattering of the incoming UV radiation by the aerosol may
 decrease surface irradiance at long wavelengths, but may also change the photon pathlengths through
 stratospheric Oj, resulting in increased surface irradiance under some conditions (short wavelengths, large
 solar zenith angle [Michelangeti et al., 1992; Davies 1993]).  The net effect on biologically weighted
 radiation is expected to be a relatively small decrease  [Madronich et al, 1991; Vogelmann et a!., 1992].
 Spectral measurements show a marked increase in the diffuse/direct UV ratio but little effect  on  the total
 radiation [McKenzie, 1993; Blumthaler and Ambach, 1994]. Stratospheric aerosols also  influence surface
 UV levels indirectly through their effects on  stratospheric  O3 chemistry.

 Tropospheric Ozone and other Gaseous Pollutants

    Bruhl and Crutzen [1989] suggested that tropospheric O3 may be a somewhat more effective absorber of
 UV radiation than stratospheric O3/ due to enhancement of photon pathlengths by scattering in
 tropospheric air. Frederick et al. [1993a] found a negative correlation between surface O3 concentrations and
 RB meter readings in Chicago  (USA). Cabrera et al. [1994] found larger increases with surface elevation for
 UV-B than for UV-A, consistent with a larger tropospheric O3 column at the lower elevations. Other
 tropospheric gases (especially NO2 and SO2) may attenuate UV in some urban areas [Frederick et al.,
 1993a; Bais et al., 19937, but are probably not important in less polluted regions.

 Surface Albedo and Elevation

    Surface reflections affect UV radiation both through direct reflections toward a  target, and by
 enhancing the diffuse down-welling radiation. The relatively sparse measurements of surface reflectivity
 (albedo) in the UV range have been reviewed recently by Madronich [1993a,b] and Blumthaler  [1993].
 Values usually fall below 10 percent for vegetation, but are  highly variable for ice (7-75 percent) and snow
 (20-100 percent). High reflections may be of some importance to the geographical and seasonal UV
 distributions because they apply preferentially to colder climates.

  _ UV levels are expected to be increase with increasing surface elevation above sea level because of the
 thinner overhead atmosphere. Measurements at remote locations in Chile show increases of 4-10 percent per
 km [Cabrera et al., 1994], in agreement with model calculations for unpolluted air [Madronich,  1993a].
 Other locations show much larger vertical gradients, up to 40 percent per km near Santiago, Chile [Cabrera
 et al., 1994], and 9-23 percent per km in the Swiss Alps [Blumthaler, 1993], presumably because  the lower
 elevations experience more tropospheric ozone, aerosol turbidity, and possibly lower surface albedo.

 Detection of Long-Term UV Changes

    Several long-term records have been obtained using RB meters, and are subject to the  cautions mentioned
 above. In Moscow, Garadzha and Nezval [1987] found a 12 percent decrease in the RB meter measurements of
 UV radiation over 1968-83, with a concurrent 15 percent increase in turbidity and a 13 percent increase in
 cloudiness. RB meter measurements taken over 1974-85 at eight different sites in the USA showed UV
 decreases of 0.5 percent and 1.1 percent per year [Scotto et al., 1988]. RB meter data obtained at a station in
 the Swiss Alps (3.6 km above sea level, 47°N) showed increases of 0.710.2 percent per year over 1981-89
[Blumthaler and Ambach, 1990], persisting at 0.7±0.3 percent per year over 1981-91 [Blumthaler, 1993].
Zheng and Basher [29937 have found increases of about 0.6 percent per year in RB meter data over 1981-90 in
New Zealand, anticorrelated with O3 column  data. Increases at high elevations and southern latitudes,
together with possible decreases in industrialized northern hemisphere regions, are  consistent with a role
of local pollution, although RB meter calibration shifts may have  also played a role (see above).
                                                10

-------
    Multi-filter measurements by CorrelLet al. [1992] dver 1975-90 at a single site in Maryland (USA)
 indicate that the maximum monthly mean UV-B irradiance was 13 percent higher in 1983-89 than for the
 entire data record, with an overall increase of 35 percent from 1977/78 to 1985, much larger than expected
 from actual 03 reductions. However lower values were observed after 1987, and may be indicative of the
 role of the atmospheric factors such as cloud variability.

    Kerr and McElroy [1993] monitored spectral UV radiation in Toronto (Canada) from early 1989 through
 August 1993, a period during which ozone levels changed by -4.1 percent per year during winter (December-
 March)  and by -1.8 percent per year in summer (May-August). The corresponding UV changes were strongly
 wavelength-dependent, as shown in Figure 1.6, with the greatest increments occurring at the shortest
 wavelengths as expected from ozone reductions. Using a similar instrument, Zerefos et al. [1994] found
 statistically significant increases of +9.7 percent per year at 305 run and +0.1% per year at 325 nm at
 Thessaloniki (Greece) between November 1990 and November 1993. These large increases span a relatively
 short time and are influenced by the anomalously low ozone of 1992/93, so that they are better interpreted
 as a perturbation rather than a trend [Michaels et al., 1994; Kerr and McElroy, 1994], but they demonstrate
 that ozone-induced changes in UV can be detected over a period of several years despite variability due to
 cloudiness and local pollution, particularly at the shortest wavelengths.

    Seckmeyer et al. [1994] found larger UV-B and simultaneously lower UV-A levels in 1993 relative to
 1992 in  Germany. The UV-A changes  were attributed to the different average cloud cover, and  the UV-B
 enhancements are consistent with independently measured lower 03 values, 322 Dobson Units (DU) in 1993
 compared to 342 DU in 1992, May-July averages. Enhanced peak RB meter values, measured in Innsbruck
 (Austria) during 1993 winter/spring, were also found by Blumthaler et al. [1994].

    Limited evidence for long-term changes in the spectral distribution of surface UV radiation comes also
 from data collected by ground-based O3 monitoring networks (see above). Most of these determine O3
 through a measurement of the ratio of UV at several wavelengths, either from the direct solar beam or the
 zenith sky. Long-term negative trends in O3 reported by such networks are therefore indicative of long-term
 shifts of surface UV towards shorter wavelengths.   —°— -

    Trend  detection remains a problem due to the sparsity of reliable long-term data. It is likely that the
 opportunity to measure the historical natural UV baseline levels (i.e., pre-ozone  depletion) has already
 been lost over most of the globe, and will not return until the ozone layer returns to its natural state.

 Evaluation  of Radiative Models

    The  geographical coverage possible with radiative transfer models is  limited only by the available
 atmospheric data which, if derived from satellites, can span the entire globe. Therefore, such models are
 an important complement to UV measurements. Models are also an essential aid in identifying the causes of
 observed UV changes, to carry out sensitivity studies, and ultimately to predict future UV environments
 under different atmospheric Oj reduction scenarios.

    The theory of scattering and absorption of atmospheric radiation is well established, and there is no
 scientific doubt that, all other factors being held constant, 03 reductions  are accompanied by predictable
 increases in surface UV radiation. However, models require as input the optical characteristics of the
 atmosphere, and if these are poorly known, as is often the case  with pollutants and clouds, model-
 calculated irradiances can be in serious error.

   For cloud-free and low-aerosol sky conditions and known O3 column, model irradiances generally fall
 within the experimental errors of both broad-band meters [e.g., Jokela, 1993] and spectroradiometers [e.g.,
McKenzie et al., 1993; Kirk et al., 1994; Zeng et al, 1994; Wang and Lenoble, 1994]. The theoretical
 relationship between O3 reductions and UV increases has also been confirmed in numerous studies [Stamnes
et al., 1988, 1990,  1992; Roy et al., 1990, 1994; McKenzie et al., 1991; Smith et al, 1992b; Seckmeyer and
McKenzie, 1992; Bais et al., 1993; Frederick et al,  1993b; Holm-Hansen et al, 1993].
                                                11

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                      ~  10  -
                                                      SUMMER1M3


                                                      WINTER.wz-o.
                                                    WINTER  RATIO
                                                    SUMMER RATIO
                                                    WINTER RATIO
                                                    020NE  ABSORPTION  1
                                 i-rr-
                                    300    305
         ]  I I  I ! j  ( i  I ~
310   315    320    325
                                         WAVELENGTH  (nm)
Fig. 1.6. Impact of low ozone over Toronto, Canada in 1992/1993 compared with earlier years. The top panel shows the
       median daily UV spectral irradiance for the summers of 1989 and 1993, and the winters of 1989-90 and 1992-93
       I  <£o dle .panel shows sPectral irradiance ratios for summer (1993 divided by 1989) and winter (1992-93 divided
       by 1989-90). The bottom panel compares the observed changes as a function of wavelength with the ozone
       absorption spectrum; the log of the winter ratio is used because the transmission of UV radiation depends on the
       exponent of the ozone absorption coefficient. Adapted from Kerr and McElroy [1993].
                                               12

-------
    Validation of the models is still a problem in the presence of clouds and tropospheric pollutants.
 Commonly used UV models are incompatible with the empirical formulations based on fractional cloud
 cover discussed in section above, either because they don't consider clouds at all, or idealize them as hori-
 zontal layers of homogeneous vertical optical depth that do not allow for partial coverage nor for realistic
 cloud morphology [Frederick and Lubin, 1988; Madronich 1990, 1993a,b]. Use of satellite images to estimate
 both areal coverage and optical depths is promising [Lubin et al, 1994; Gautier et al, 1994] but requires
 additional development and evaluation.  Other highly variable factors such as aerosols and gaseous pollu-
 tants are seldom well characterized, which presents some difficulty for accurate modeling [Liu et al., 1991].


 Trends in Ozone  and Implications  for UV Radiation

 Ozone Trends

    The recent changes observed in atmospheric O3 are described in the WMO [1994] report and summarized
 only briefly here. Measurements of the total O3 column are made mainly by optical means from ground-
 based and satellite-based instruments. In addition, vertical profiles of O3 concentrations are made from
 balloon-borne instruments.  The rather large data set has elucidated the geographical and seasonal
 distribution of O3. Ground-based Dobson instruments, developed in the 1920's, have increased in number and
 have been providing fairly wide geographic coverage since the 1960's. Other instruments, including the M-
 83 and M-124 filter ozonometer, the Brewer, and the SAOZ spectrometer, have shorter data records. True
 global coverage began in the late 1970's with the deployment of the Nimbus 7 satellite carrying  the Total
 Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) and the Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet spectrometer (SBUV). The
 SBUV instrument ceased functioning in June 1990 and the TOMS in May 1993. The Nimbus 7 TOMS data
 have been analyzed extensively, and the version 6 data appear to be reliable at least  through May 1990,
 but there  is concern about additional calibration drifts after that date. SBUV/2  (on the NOAA-11
 satellite) was launched in January 1989 and another TOMS instrument was launched in August 1991 (on the
 Russian Meteor 3 satellite). Both of these  instruments ase-still functioning. The combined SBUV and
 SBUV/2 data records appear to be suitable for trend determinations. The Meteor 3 TOMS data have not yet
 been properly assessed for consistency with the earlier systems. Other satellite O3 monitoring systems
 (TOVS, LIMS, SAGE I and n) are at the present time less suitable due to incomplete detection of the total
 O3  column, and some still unresolved calibration issues.

    Statistically  significant negative trends in total O3 are found at all latitudes except possibly  in the
 tropics, where ground-based measurement show no trend. Recent Dobson trends are larger (more negative) than
 long-term trends, suggesting greater O3 reductions in the more recent years. The years 1992 and 1993, in
 particular, exhibited large negative anomalies in O3/ possibly related to the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo, with
 record low values measured at northern mid-latitudes. Total O3 in early 1994 has largely returned to the
 trends observed before the Pinatubo eruption. The springtime Antarctic O3 loss, first observed in the late
 1970's, has continued as an annual event,  and record low values (for the first time less than 100 DU) were
 observed at the  South Pole in late September and early October 1993. The 1992 and 1993 O3 holes appeared
 earlier and covered larger areas than those of earlier years.

    Tropospheric O3 accounts for about l/10th of the total O3, and tends to be highly variable, being
 associated with  more polluted regions. Surface O3 concentrations in Europe may have increased '.-4 fold since
 last century,  and doubled since the 19.50's. However, surface values may not be representative of the free
 troposphere. Analysis of vertical profiles from O3 sondes indicates increases of about 10 percent per decade in
 the northern mid-latitudes, with strong regional patterns and  largest increases over European and Japanese
 stations [WMO,  1994]. There is also some evidence for a slowing of the trends during the 1980's. In-the
 southern hemisphere, surface O3 levels show little or no trends, except for the polar regions where a decrease
 of about 7 percent per decade has been reported.

 Calculated UV Radiation  Trends

   The Nimbus-7 TOMS O3  data (version 6) over 1979/92 have been analyzed by Madronich and de Gruijl
[1993,1994] to infer the corresponding changes in UV radiation weighted by several biological action
spectra. The TOMS data after May 1990 may be affected by a  calibration drift which is not considered  in
the version 6 data.  Here, the calculations of biologically weighted UV changes are repeated using the
combined SBUV and SBUV/2 data, from January 1979 through December 1993.

                                                13

-------
    The procedure to calculate trends in biologically effective doses is essentially unchanged. Briefly, the
 atmosphere is taken to be cloudless and aerosol-free, with 10 percent surface albedo, and standard ve'rtical
 profile of O3 scaled to the total column from SBUV(/2). The down-welling spectral irradiance is calculated
 at 1 run intervals (279.5-399.5 run), then integrated over wavelength using several biological action spectra
 to compute dose rates. This is repeated every 15 minutes for the 15th day of each month of the O3 data
 record flanuary 1979-December 1993) in 10° latitude increments from 70°S to 70°N. The results are time-
 integrated to compute daily and yearly doses, and trends with their standard deviations are calculated by
 linear least-squares fitting.

    Figure 1.7 shows the trends in daily doses for UV radiation weighted by the action spectrum for in vitro
 DNA damage [Setlow, 1974]. The results are generally similar to those obtained with TOMS data over
 1979-89 [Madronich, 1992] and over 1979-92 [Madronich and de Gruijl, 1993, 1994]. Relative increases
 (percent per decade, Figure 1.7a) are significant in both hemispheres at middle and high latitudes, and are
 largest in winter and spring. The relative increases in the tropics are small and probably not significant
 Daily dose increments (J m"2 day-1 per decade, Figure l.Tb) are shifted toward summer and lower latitudes
 i.e., toward higher natural UV levels.

    Table 1.2 summarizes the increases over the 15-year SBUV(/2) data record for the annual doses for DNA
 damage, erythema induction in humans [McKinlay and Diffey, 1987], and skin cancer induction in
 laboratory mice [de Gruijl et al, 1993] (see also Table 1.1). The largest increases are observed at high
 latitudes of the southern hemisphere. Significant increases are also found in the northern high latitudes
 and the mid-latitudes of both hemispheres.

   Some regions, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere, have experienced increased tropospheric
 pollution (mostly sulfate  aerosol and ozone) during the  last century. It has been estimated that the
 corresponding UV (DNA-weighted) could have been reduced by 6-18 percent from the sulfate aerosol
 increases [Liu et al, 1991] and by 3-10 percent from the tropospheric ozone increases [UNEP, 1991] in some
 industrialized regions. However, no direct information exists on pre-industrial stratospheric ozone,
 precluding accurate estimates of the net UV changes. More-recent tropospheric ozone trends in
 industrialized regions are estimated to contribute at most 2 percent per decade to the DNA-weighted UV
compared to +5 to +11 percent per decade from mid-latitude ozone reductions f UNEP, 1991]. Sulfur emissions
nave recently decreased in some regions while increasing in others [NRC, 1986], and the corresponding UV
changes are expected to reflect such local variations.
                                   DHA dally don twnd, X/d««dt, SBUV(/2)79-93
                             -60 -
                             -90
                        a.
                                      234567
                                                Month
8  9  10  11  12
                                               14

-------
                                   DMA dally dec* f«nd. J m-'/d«cad«, SBUV(/2)70-93
                              -90
                          b.
                                       234567
                                                 Month
              8  9  10 11 12
 Fig. 1.7. Trends in daily DNA-damaging radiation based on SBUV(/2) total O3 measurements over 1979-93. Heavy shading
        indicates regions where trends differ from zero by less than one standard deviation (1a), light shading by more
        than 10 but less than 2a (a) Fractional trends, in percent per decade relative to 1979-93 average values; (b)
        energy trends, J m'2 day1 per decade with action spectrum normalization at 300 nm.

 Table 1.2: Annual UV exposures estimated from stratospheric ozone measurements between 1979 and
 1993(a).
            Latitude
             65N
             55 N
             45 N
             35 N
             25N
             15 N
              5N
              55
             15 S
             255
             355
             45 S
             55 S
             655
Erythema
annual
dose
(MJ m-2)
0.47
0.68
1.01
1.46
1.94
2.35
2.58
2.58
2.34
1.95
1.49
1.06
0.73
0.51
Percent
Erythema
induction
5.6±2.1
6.6±1.8
8.6±1.9
7.9±1.9
6.0±1.9
4.0+1.5
2.6+1.7
3.2+1.5
1.8+1.4
5.4±1.5
8.0±1.5
8.0+3.9
10.7+2.8
20.4+4.4
Percent increase during 1979-1993
             DNA
             damage
             10.3±3.8
             11.6+3.3
             14.5±3.3
             13.0+.3.1
             9.6±3.0
             6.3±2.4
             4.1±2.7
             5.1±2.3
             2.8+2.1
             8.7+2.4
             13.2+2.4
             13.6+3.2
             18.815.1
             37.2+8.2
Skin
cancer
 7.9+2.9
 8.9±2.5
11.1+2.4
 9.8±2.3
 7.1+2.2
 4.7+1.7
 3.0+2.0
 3.0+1.7
 2.0±1.6
 6.4±1.8
 9.8±1.8
10.2+2.4
14.2±3.8
27.1+6.1
(a) Computed using monthly and zonally averaged ozone column data measured from SBUV and SBUV/2
      satellite instruments between January 1979 and December 1993. Annual doses (only erythemal is
      shown) are 1979-93 averages. Percent changes are expressed relative to the 1979-93 annual
      averages. Uncertainties are one standard deviation.
   Long term changes in cloud cover may also affect ground-level UV radiation. Surface observations at a
few continental and marine locations suggest some long term cloudiness increases, but there is yet no
confidence that such changes have occurred on global scales [IPCC, 1991]. The implications of such changes
for surface UV levels have not been quantified. Global space-based observations of clouds [e.g., Rossow et
O.L, 1991] are becoming available, but the record is still of insufficient length for trend detection.
                                                 15

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 Future Trends

    With continued full compliance to the Montreal Protocol and its amendments, it is expected that
 stratospheric chlorine will peak around the year 1998, with a slow recovery over the subsequent 50 years
 IWMO, 1994]. Model simulations of stratospheric ozone indicate that the peak global ozone depletions will
 also occur in the next several years, with recovery over the next half-century. Relative to 1960, the
 maximum ozone depletion expected at northern mid-latitudes is 12-13 percent in winter/spring, and 6-7
 percent in summer/fall. The depletion at southern mid-latitudes will be approximately 11 percent (all
 seasons). However, it should be noted that there are some differences among the predictions of different
 models, and between modeled and observed trends to date. Furthermore, model predictions may be altered
 significantly by events such as volcanic eruptions of magnitude comparable to that of Mt. Pinatubo.

    The corresponding changes in biologically-weighted UV irradiances can be estimated using the RAFs in
 Table 1.1. The estimated UV increases for erythema induction and DNA damage are, respectively, 15-17
 and 29-32 percent (northern hemisphere mid-latitudes, winter/spring), 8-9 and 12-15 percent (northern
 hemisphere mid-latitudes, summer/fall), and 15 and 25 percent (southern mid-latitudes, all seasons).

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                                       CHAPTER  2


    EFFECTS  OF  INCREASED  SOLAR  ULTRAVIOLET
                  RADIATION  ON  HUMAN  HEALTH

               J.D. Longstreth  (USA), F.R. de Gruijl (The Netherlands), M.L Kripke (USA),
                     Y. Takizawa (Japan), and J.C. van der Leun (The Netherlands)
Summary

   The increase in UV-B associated with stratospheric ozone depletion is likely to have a substantial
impact on human health. Potential risks include increases in the incidence of, and morbidity  from, eye
diseases, skin cancer, and infectious diseases. Quantitative estimates of risk are available for some effects
(e.g., skin cancer), while for others (e.g., infectious diseases), quantitative estimates are not  possible due
to a lack of sufficient data.

   UV radiation has been shown in experimental systems to damage the cornea and lens of the eye. Chronic
exposure  to  UV-B (resulting in a high, cumulative, lifetime dose) is one of several factors clearly
associated with the risk of cataract  of the cortical and posterior subcapsular forms. Estimates of the
effect of ozone depletion on cataract have been made, but are still highly uncertain. (As stated in the  1989
report, [van der Leun,  et al., 1989] these estimates predict an approximately 0.5 % increase in cataract for
each 1% sustained decrease in ozone.)

   Some components of the immune system are presentjn the skin, which makes the immune system
accessible to UV radiation.  Experiments in animals show that UV exposure decreases the immune
response to skin cancers, infectious agents, and other antigens and can lead to unresponsiveness upon
repeated challenges. Suppressed immunity may occur either locally in sun-exposed skin or systematically,
at non-exposed sites. Studies in human subjects also indicate that  exposure to UV-B radiation car.
suppress the induction of some immune responses and may cause systemic alterations in immune function.
The importance of these immune effects for infectious diseases in humans  in unknown. However, in areas of
the world where infectious diseases already pose a significant challenge  to human health, and in persons
with impaired immune function, the added insult of UV-B-induced immune  suppression could be
significant.

   In susceptible (light-skinned) populations, the cumulative lifetime  exposure to UV-B radiation is the
key risk factor for development of non-melanoma skin  cancer (NMSC). This knowledge has permitted  the
development of quantitative risk estimates for increases in the incidence of NMSC resulting from ozone
depletion.  Using information derived from  animal experiments and human  epidemiology, it  is estimated
that a sustained 1% decrease in  stratospheric ozone will result in an increase of NMSC'incidence of
approximately 2.0% The relationship between UV-B exposure and melanoma skin cancer is less well
understood and appears  to differ fundamentally from that of NMSC in that it is not apparently a function
of cumulative lifetime dose but may be related to the  accumulation impact  of multiple high  dose
exposures such as those  received in  sunburns. Epidemiologic data indicate that the risk of melanoma
increases with an increase in episodes of intense sunlight exposure, (i.e. sunburn)  especially during
childhood. There is, however, unceirrnLy about hosv the relationship between these exposures  and
melanoma should be modeled so tVu die estimates of the increase in melanoma that would result from
ozone depletion arc much less certain.
Introduction

   As presented in detail in chapter 1, solar ultraviolet radiation (UVR)  illuminates nearly everything and
everyone on the earth's surface not  covered or shadowed. With stratospheric ozone depletion, increases in
the ambient levels of a particular type of ultraviolet radiation known as UV-B are likely to occur. In
humans and animals, the primary (i.e., direct) effects of increases in UV-B on health are manifest through
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 those organs which are exposed to sunlight, i.e., eyes and skin. These effects occur because of the
 absorption of UV-B photons by molecules in these organs and the resulting tranfer of energy to produce
 changes that may be either  beneficial or adverse.  A direct beneficial influence of exposure is the formation
 of Vitamin D in the skin, a process important to  the  maintenance of bone tissue. Direct adverse effects of
 exposure to UV-B include snow blindness, cataract, sunburn, "aging" of the skin, photodermatoses and skin
 cancer. Some effects may have both beneficial or adverse elements, depending  on how they are expressed.
 This applies, for instance, to the influences of UV-B radiation on the immune system. The resulting
 suppression of immune reactions  in  the skin is beneficial in patients suffering from psoriasis,  (a
 hyperproliferativc skin disorder) but adverse when it affects the immune  defense against skin tumors or
 infectious  agents. In addition, there  may be indirect beneficial or adverse effects. An example  indirect
 adverse effect could be the increase in disease associated with  the potential decrease in food production
 discussed in chapter 3.

    The question to  be addressed by the present chapter is, what will be the human health consequences of an
 increase in the UV-B radiation reaching the surface of the earth? One cannot simply say that all effects of
 UV-B radiation will change  in proportion to  the increase in radiation, because in many  cases, the
 relationship between the amount of exposure and effect is non-linear. For example,  expos!.:.--;  of the skin
 to UV-B radiation  results in a hyperproliferation  of skin cells and increased  piumrru production
 providing  the skin with efficient protection against sunburn through  the  increase" in the UV absorbing
 molecules, keratin and melanin. The  hyperproliferation of skin cells may, however, also render the skin
 more susceptible to cancer. In some instances, the modifying influences may be so strong that greater doses
 of radiation lead to smaller effects.

    For example, photodermatoses are skin diseases where  the skin lesions  are caused by light.  Solar UV-B
 radiation is the predominant causative agent for several of these diseases. Although many patients and their
 doctors expect an aggravation of these diseases with a decreased ozone layer, there are reasons to question
 this expectation. In the  first place, these diseases generally occur less frequently and with less severity in
 sunny areas of the world. Second,  many patients with photodermatoses are treated effectively by regular
 exposures  to low-dose UV-B radiation during winter.  Because depletion of the ozone layer will increase
 UV-B irradiance, especially in winter, this  may improve  the patients' condition [van der Leun and de
 Grttijl, 1993].                                         ~^~ '

    Due to such complications, and due to the limited knowledge  we have on some of the effects of UV-B
 radiation on humans, the overall consequences of an increase of UV-B irradiance  on health cannot be
 predicted in a straightforward manner. This section, therefore, presents both  qualitative and quantitative
 answers to the question of what the consequences  of stratospheric ozone  depletion and its accompanying
 increase in  UV-B may be for human health. Quantitative estimates of UV-B effects are presented for
 non-melanoma skin  cancer; however,  the impact of UV-B exposure on other effects has been treated
 qualitatively. It should be stressed that the dependence on qualitative estimates for some effects does  not
 imply  that these are less significant; indeed, the quantitative estimates should  be  treated  very cautiously
 because they involve many assumptions, are based on data mainly from the United  States, and may not be
 representative of all regions of the world.

 Ocular  Effects

 Background
   ,!Vrl',a".*  Vlc bcst d°cumented short-term ocular  effect of exposure to UV radiation (especially UV-B
f • '  %  \  C)  !<•{>' .'.toLeratoconjunctivitis ('snow blindness' and 'welder eyes'), i.e., an inflammatory
1  ,  •'    •"«• H\',u!:mg) of the surface of the eyeball.  Extraordinarily painful, one episode should be
si::.Ki<'ht tu induce behavior modification to prevent recurrences, e.g., the use of proper eye protection.
The effects of long-term or chronic  exposures, e.g.,  pterygium or cataract,  are less well  documented  in
part because they result after many years of exposure, and, in part, at least  for cataract, because many other
factors are known to have etiologic role. For such endpoints, as  with endpoints such as  NMSC, causality
has to be inferred from epidemiological studies supported by animal experiments. For a much more
detailed review of this  subject, the reader is referred  to  Pitts and Kleinstein [1993].

Epidemiological Data

   Epidemiological  data indicate that chronic sunlight  exposure is  associated with pterygium,  an
outgrowth of the conjunctiva (outermost mucous layer) over the neighboring cornea (overlying the lens),
and with climatic droplet keratopathy, a degeneration of the cornea! stroma (fibrous layer of tissue  of the
cornea) with droplet-shaped deposits [Doughty and  Cullen, 1989, and Hollows,  1989J. Climatic  droplet


                                                  24

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keratopathy can be a major cause of blindness. Both of these conditions are common in certain
geographical locations, especially in  snowy or sandy areas.

   Sun exposure is also thought to be a contributing factor in the  development of cataract, an opacity in
the crystalline lens of the eye (for an extended analysis, see Dolin 1994). The World Health Organization
(WHO) estimated in 1985 that cataract was  the main cause of avoidable  blindness, responsible  for 17
million cases of blindness worldwide (about half of the total)  [Maitchouk, 1985}.

   The etiology of cataract in humans is multifactorial; increased  relative risks are associated not only_
with increased  exposure to UV-B, but also with increasing age, diabetes, renal failure, severe diarrhea,
heavy smoking, hypertension, high alcohol consumption, excessive heat, and malnutrition  [e.g., Harding
and. Van Heyningen,  1987J. The increase in  relative risk associated with increased  UV-B  exposure is 1.3
to 3.5-fold, compared to diabetes which  has a relative risk increase of approximately 10-fold. However,
because of the nearly universal exposure of humans to solar UV  radiation, the size of the population
likely to be affected  by this factor is significantly, greater than for any of the other factors (except age)
listed above.

   In comparing epidemiologies! studies,  two things must be  kept in mind: 1) there are differences in the
precise definition of cataract since the form of the disease can vary from  small opacities which  do not
impair vision to a completely opaque lens with severe loss of vision,  (furthermore, there can  be variation
between clinicians, and techniques; future studies would benefit  from standardization of classifications)
and 2) there are different types of cataract that show differing associations to the factors discussed above.
Exposure  to solar UV  radiation appears specifically to  increase the risk of cortical  opacities  (including
opacities not impairing  vision): a clear UV dose-related trend in risk was established in a well designed,
cross-sectional  study of Chesapeake Bay watermen [Taylor et al.,  1988]. This UV exposure-associated
increased risk of cortical opacities was confirmed for  the male population in the Beaver Dam Eye Study
(an odds ratio of 1.36 between numbers with 'high versus low exposures',  95 percent confidence interval
1.07-1.79), but the risks of other types of lens opacities, i.e., nuclear and posterior subcapsular cataract,
were not detectably increased by UV exposure [Cruickshanks et al.,  1992].

   The relationship between sunlight exposure and vision-impairing  cortical cataract was  confirmed  in a
large case-control study drawn from three Italian optKaTmology clinics [Italian-American Study Group, '
1991]. Increased odds ratios for cortical cataract were found for working outdoors (1.75,  1.15-2.65)  and
spending leisure time in sunlight (1.45, 1.09-1.93); these increased odds ratios were also  found for the
mixed  cataract, but not for posterior subcapsular  and nuclear cataract. However, posterior subcapsular
cataract is  relatively  rare, making detection of risk in a small population difficult. In a  special
case-control study in the Chesapeake Bay area on 168 surgical cases  involving this type of cataract, a
highly significant (p = 0.006)  positive trend was established between  risk  and exposure to  ambient UV
radiation [Bochow et al., 1989].

   The relationship between geographical location (latitude)  and prevalence of cataracts  has  also been
attributed to ambient UV radiation;  e.g.,  in Aborigines [Hollow and Moran,  1981] and in  the North
American  population  [Hiller et al., 1983J. The latter study provided the basis for the USEPA risk estimates
for increases in cataract from ozone  depletion [USEPA 1987].

Experimental Data

   There is ample experimental evidence that UV radiation can damage the lens and that in rabbits the
active portion of the solar spectrum  lies in the UV-B region [Pitts  et al.,  1977]. In albino mice,  regular
UV-B  exposure (1 to 2 months of daily exposure) can disrupt the  anterior (frontal) part  of the  lens,
resulting in opacities [Jose and Pitts, 1985]. Hi<<.h dose, daily  UV-A exposure also induced opacities in the
anterior lens of nocturnal animals ?nd squirrels [Zi^an ct al., 1991]. However, experimentally-induced
opacities in animals are located cent rally i" »::•;• aiuu-'or lens (the irradiated  zone), whereas human
anterior cortical cataracts tend to form in the periphery (the  equatorial region) of the lens. Also,
microscopic examination of experimental cataract commonly  shows marked  disruption of the lens
epithelium and inward folding of the underlying cortical fibers, which is not seen in human cataract. These
differences, while possibly attributable  to  differences between  animals and humans  in geometry, level of
exposure and/or ocular structure, contribute to the uncertainty associated with extrapolating from data in
mice to human cataract risk.

Solar UV Exposure of the Human Eye

   The exposure of the unprotected eyes to  solar UV radiation is significantly influenced  by  the shielding
from the eyebrows and eyelids (through squinting) and is strongly dependent on the direction of the line of
                                                  25

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 sight. Highly reflecting surfaces  increase  the exposure dramatically; for example, the risk of
 photokcratoconjunctivitis is strongly increased over snow surfaces [Sliney, 1987J. This variability in
 exposure can seriously complicate studies  in which eye exposures in different environments are compared
 unless careful exposure  measurements are  made.  [Rosenthal et al., 1991].

    In humans, the anterior eye is not only exposed to light entering along the line of sight, but also to
 light impinging from very oblique angles. Coroneo [1993] drew attention to the phenomenon in which
 impinging (UV) light, especially that entering the eye at a very oblique angle, can be focussed onto the
 overlying periphery of the  cornea and the  lens; this would intensify  the light while it is traversing the
 cornea and the lens in a direction roughly perpendicular to the line  of sight. This phenomenon could
 explain not only the sites of preference for pterygium and climatic droplet keratopathy, but also why many
 conical cataracts occur in the  nasal quadrant of the lens [Schein et al., 1994, Adamson et al., 1991, Hollow,
 1989, and personal communication with Dr. B. Klein for the Beaver Dam Eye Study].

 Impact of Ozone Depletion on Eye  Conditions

    In view of present data, it  is prudent to consider that a depletion of the ozone layer could be associated
 with an increase in the incidence  of cataract and other ocular effects of UV-B, e.g., pterygium and snow
 blindness.  It is, however, difficult to estimate the magnitude of the increase without adequate information
 on the wavelength dependence of these effects and proper dose-response relationships.  In the case of
 cataract, by assuming a certain wavelength  dependence and with some additional assumptions, one can
 produce an estimate based on epidemiological data (e.g., an estimate from EPA based on  Killer et al.,
 [1985], cited in van der Leun [1989], and one from van der Leun and de Gruijl,  [1993], based  on Taylor et al.,
 [1988], and Pitts et al. [1977]: 0.3-0.6% and 0.5% increase in cataract, respectively, for every 1%  decrease
 in ozone) but such an estimate has  a high degree of uncertainty. A similar  quantitative estimate is not yet
 possible  for snow blindness, pterygium and climatic droplet keratopathy because of the inadequacy of
 cpidemiologic information and experimental data. Nevertheless, it  is prudent public  health policy to
 indicate to medical personnel and the lay  public  that these are effects which  may well  increase with
 increased exposure to UV-B.

 Immunologlcal Effects                        ~*~'

 Background

   Through a variety of complex, delicately balanced mechanisms, the immune system  helps maintain
 health by protecting the  host against infectious diseases and some cancers. The two most important of
 these mechanisms arc 1) humoral immunity, involving the production of antibodies that can neutralize
 toxins, kill microorganisms, prevent infection,  and assist  in the elimination of infectious agents,  and 2)
 cellular immunity,  involving the production of chemical mediators (cytokines) by lymphocytes which
 activate other cells  of the lymphoid system to  kill pathogens, virus-infected cells, and cancer cells.  These
 two arms of the immune response, humoral and cellular, are  delicately balanced, and some  cytokines
 involved in activating one pathway tend to inhibit the other. A severe imbalance in either direction can lead
 to pathological conditions, such as  allergies  and inflammatory  and autoimmune diseases.

   Because skin is  an important immunological organ, the immune system  is vulnerable to  modification by
 environmental agents, including UV-B  radiation.  Demonstrations that systemic immunity can be perturbed
 by exposing skin to UV-B  radiation raise the concern that ozone  depletion might adversely influence
 immunity to infectious  diseases.

 Immunomodulaiory Effects of UV-B Radiation

 _  There is nov. ,>it,p!e evidence that exposure of humans  and  experimental animals to UV-B radiation
 from a.rilficial or lutHiral  sources, can modify the immune system both at the site of exposure (locally) as
well as sy.temicaliy, mainly by decreasing cellular immune  responses [Hersey et al., 1983; Morison, 1989;
Kripke, 19S4, 1990; DeFabo and Nooncm, 1993; Cruz and Bergstresser, 1988]. The immunosuppressive effects
of UV-B radiation have been shown to  play an important role in determining the outcome of both
melanoma [Donawbo and Kripke,  1991] and non-melanoma skin cancer [Kripke, 1984;  1990; Fisher and
Kripke, 1982], certain infectious diseases [Jeevan and Kripke,, 1993], and some forms of autoimmunity
 [Ansel et al., 1985} and allergy, e.g., delayed type hypersensitivity [Kripke, 1984; Cruz and Bergstresser, 1988,
 Noonan et al., 1981] in laboratory animal models of these diseases. Furthermore,  introduction of a foreign
substance (antigen) during a critical period after  UV irradiation can lead  to  immunological tolerance,
rendering the host  unresponsive to re-introduction of the same antigen at a later time [Kripke, 1984].
                                                 26

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                                      CHAPTER 2
    EFFECTS  OF  INCREASED  SOLAR  ULTRAVIOLET
                  RADIATION  ON  HUMAN  HEALTH

              J.D. Longstreth (USA), F.R. de Gruijl (The Netherlands), M.L Kripke (USA),
                     Y. Takizawa (Japan), and J. C. van der Leun (The Netherlands)
Summary

   The increase in UV-B associated with stratospheric ozone depletion is likely to have a substantial
impact on human health. Potential risks include increases in the incidence of, and morbidity from, eye
diseases, skin cancer, and infectious diseases. Quantitative estimates of risk are available for some effects
(e.g., skin cancer), while for others (e.g., infectious diseases), quantitative estimates are not possible due
to a lack of sufficient data.

   UV radiation has been shown in experimental systems to damage the cornea and lens of the eye. Chronic
exposure to UV-B (resulting in a high, cumulative, lifetime dose) is one of several factors clearly
associated with the risk  of cataract of the cortical  and posterior subcapsular forms. Estimates of the
effect of ozone depletion on cataract have been made, but are still highly uncertain. (As stated in the 1989
report, [van der Leun, et al., 1989] these  estimates predict an approximately 0.5 % increase in cataract for
each 1% sustained decrease in ozone.)

   Some components of the immune system are presenijn_the skin, which makes the immune system
accessible to UV radiation.  Experiments in animals show  that UV exposure decreases the immune
response to  skin cancers, infectious agents, and other antigens and can lead to unresponsiveness upon
repeated challenges. Suppressed immunity may occur either locally in sun-exposed skin or systematically,
at non-exposed sites. Studies in human subjects also indicate that exposure to UV-B radiation can
suppress the induction of some  immune responses and may cause systemic alterations in immune function.
The importance of these immune effects for infectious diseases in humans in unknown. However,  in areas of
the world where infectious diseases already pose a significant challenge to human health,  and in persons
with impaired immune function, the added insult of UV-B-induced immune suppression could be
significant.

   In  susceptible (light-skinned) populations, the  cumulative lifetime exposure  to UV-B radiation is  the
key risk factor for development  of non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC). This knowledge has permitted the
development of quantitative risk estimates for increases in the incidence of NMSC resulting from ozone
depletion. Using information derived from animal  experiments and human epidemiology, it is estimated
that a sustained 1% decrease in stratospheric  ozone will result in an increase of NMSC incidence of
approximately  2.0% The relationship between UV-B exposure and melanoma skin cancer is less  well
understood  and appears  to differ fundamentally from that  of NMSC in that  it is not apparently a function
of cumulative lifetime dose but may be related to the accumulation impact of multiple high dose
exposures such as those  received in sunburns. Epidcmiologic data indicate that the risk of melanoma
increase: with  an increase in episodes of intense sunlight exposure, (i.e. sunburn) especially during
childhood. There is, however, uncertainty  about how the relationship  between these: exposures and
melano.T.A should be  modeled so that the estimates of the  increase in melanoma that would result from
ozone depletion are much less  certain.
Introduction

   As presented in detail in chapter 1, solar ultraviolet radiation (UVR) illuminates nearly everything and
everyone on the earth's surface not  covered or shadowed. With stratospheric ozone depletion, increases in
the ambient levels of a particular type of ultraviolet radiation known as UV-B are likely to occur. In
humans and animals, the primary (i.e., direct) effects of increases in  UV-B on health are manifest through
                                              23

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those organs which are exposed to sunlight, i.e., eyes and skin. These effects occur because of the
absorption of UV-B photons by molecules in these organs and the resulting tranfer of energy to produce
changes that may  be either beneficial or adverse. A direct beneficial influence of exposure  is the  formation
of Vitamin D in the skin, a process important to the  maintenance of bone tissue. Direct adverse  effects of
exposure to UV-B include snow blindness, cataract, sunburn, "aging" of the skin, photodermatoses and skin
cancer. Some effects may have both beneficial or adverse elements, depending  on how they are expressed.
This applies, for instance, to the influences of UV-B radiation on the immune system. The resulting
suppression of immune reactions in the  skin is  beneficial in patients suffering from psoriasis, (a
hypcrproliferative skin disorder) but adverse when it affects the immune defense against skin tumors or
infectious agents.  In addition, there may be indirect beneficial or adverse effects. An example indirect
adverse  effect could be  the  increase in disease associated with the potential decrease in food production
discussed in chapter 3.

   The  question to be addressed by the present chapter is, what will be the human health consequences of an
increase in the UV-B radiation reaching  the surface of the earth? One  cannot simply say that all  effects of
UV-B radiation will change in proportion to the increase in radiation,  because in many cases, the
relationship between the amount of exposure  and effect is non-linear. For example,  exposure of the skin
to UV-B radiation results in a hyperproliferation of skin  cells and increased  pigment production
providing the skin with  efficient protection against sunburn through the increase in the UV absorbing
molecules, keratin and melanin. The hyperproliferation of skin cells may, however, also render the skin
more susceptible to cancer. In some instances, the modifying influences may be so strong that greater doses
of radiation  lead  to smaller effects.

   For  example, photodermatoses are skin diseases where the  skin lesions are caused by light. Solar UV-B
radiation is the predominant causative agent for several of these  diseases. Although many patients and their
doctors  expect an  aggravation of these diseases with a decreased  ozone  layer,  there are reasons to question
this expectation. In the first place, these diseases generally occur less frequently and with less severity  in
sunny areas of the world. Second,  many patients with  photodermatoses  are treated effectively by regular
exposures to low-dose UV-B radiation during winter.  Because depletion of the ozone layer will increase
UV-B irradiance, especially in winter, this may improve the patients' condition [van der Leun and tie
Gntijl, 1993].                                          ~'" '

   Due to such complications, and due to the limited knowledge we have on  some of the effects of UV-B
radiation on humans, the overall consequences of an increase of UV-B irradiance on  health  cannot be
predicted in a straightforward manner. This  section, therefore, presents both  qualitative  and quantitative
answers  to the question of what the consequences of stratospheric ozone depletion and its accompanying
increase in UV-B  may be for human health. Quantitative estimates of UV-B  effects  are presented for
non-melanoma skin cancer; however, the impact of UV-B exposure on other effects  has been treated
qualitatively.  It should be stressed that the dependence on qualitative estimates for some effects does not
imply that these arc less significant; indeed,  the quantitative estimates should be treated very cautiously
because they involve many assumptions, are based on data mainly  from the United States,  and may not be
representative of all regions of the world.

Ocular  Effects

Background

   Perhaps the best documented short-term ocular effect of exposure  to UV radiation (especially  UV-B
and UV-C) is photokeratoconjunctivitis ('snow blindness' and 'welder eyes'),  i.e., an inflammatory
reaction (a reddening) of the surface of the  eyeball. Extraordinarily painful, one episode  should be
sufficient to induce behavior modification to prevent  recurrences, e.g.,  the use of proper eye protection.
The effects of long-term or chronic exposures, e.g., pterygium or cataract, are less  well documented in
part because  they result after many years  of exposure,  and, in part, at least for cataract, because many other
factors arc  known  to have etiologic role.  For such endpoints, as  with endpoints such as  NMSC, causality
has to be inferred from epidemiological studies supported by animal experiments. For a much more
detailed review  of this subject, the reader is  referred to Pitts and Kleinstein [1993].

Epidemiological Data

   Epidemiological data indicate  that chronic sunlight exposure  is associated with  pterygium, an
outgrowth of the conjunctiva (outermost  mucous layer) over the neighboring cornea (overlying the lens),
and with climatic droplet keratopathy, a  degeneration  of the cornea! stroma (fibrous layer of tissue of the
cornea)  with droplet-shaped deposits  [Doughty and Culhn, 1989, and. Hollows, 1989J. Climatic droplet
                                                 24

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keratopathy can be a major cause of blindness. Both of these conditions are common in certain
geographical locations, especially in snowy  or sandy areas.

   Sun exposure is also thought to be a contributing factor in the development of cataract, an opacity in
the crystalline lens of the  eye (for an extended analysis,  see Dolin 1994}. The World Health Organization
(WHO)  estimated in 1985  that cataract was the main cause of avoidable blindness, responsible for 17
million cases of blindness worldwide (about half of the total) [Maitchouk, 1985J.

   The etiology of cataract in humans is multifactorial; increased relative risks are associated not only
with increased exposure to  UV-B, but also  with increasing age, diabetes, renal failure, severe  diarrhea, ~~
heavy smoking, hypertension, high alcohol consumption, excessive heat, and malnutrition [e.g., Harding
and Van Heyninjen, 1987]. The increase in relative risk associated with increased UV-B exposure is 1.3
to 3.5-fold, compared to diabetes which has  a relative risk increase of approximately 10-fold. However,
because of the nearly universal exposure of humans to solar UV radiation, the size of the population
likely to  be affected by this factor is significantly greater than for any  of the  other factors (except age)
listed above.

   In comparing epidemiological s'udies, two things must  be kept  in mind: 1) there are differences in the
precise definition of cataract since the form of the disease can vary from small opacities which do not
impair vision to a completely opaque lens with severe loss of vision,  (furthermore, there can be  variation
between  clinicians, and techniques; future studies would benefit from  standardization of classifications)
and 2) there are different types of cataract that show differing associations to the factors discussed above.
Exposure to solar  UV radiation appears specifically to increase the risk of  cortical  opacities (including
opacities not impairing vision):  a clear UV  dose-related trend  in risk was established in a well designed,
cross-sectional  study of Chesapeake Bay watermen [Taylor et al., 1988]. This  UV exposure-associated
increased risk of cortical opacities  was confirmed for the male population in the Beaver Dam  Eye Study
(an odds ratio of 1.36 between numbers with  'high versus low exposures', 95 percent confidence interval'
1.07-1.79), but the risks  of other types of lens opacities,  i.e., nuclear  and posterior subcapsular cataract,
were not detectably increased by UV exposure [Cruickshanks et al.,  1992].

   The relationship between sunlight exposure and  vision-impairing  cortical cataract was confirmed  in a
large case-control study drawn  from three Italian optEatmology clinics  [Italian-American Study Group,  '
1991]. Increased odds ratios for cortical  cataract were found for working outdoors (1.75, 1.15-2.65)  and
spending leisure time in sunlight (1.45,  1.09-1.93); these increased odds ratios were also found for the
mixed  cataract, but not for posterior subcapsular and nuclear  cataract. However, posterior subcapsular
cataract is relatively rare, making  detection of risk in a small population difficult.  In a special
case-control study in  the Chesapeake Bay area on 168 surgical cases involving this type  of cataract, a
highly  significant (p = 0.006) positive trend was established between risk and  exposure to ambient UV
radiation  [Bochow et al., 1989].

   The relationship between geographical location (latitude) and prevalence of cataracts has also been
attributed to ambient UV radiation; e.g., in Aborigines  [Hollow and Moran, 1981] and in the North
American population [Hitter, et al., 1983J. The latter study provided the basis for the USEPA risk estimates
for increases in cataract from ozone depletion [USEPA 1987].

Experimental Data

   There is ample experimental  evidence that  UV radiation  can damage the lens and that in rabbits the
active portion of the solar spectrum lies in the UV-B region [Pitts  et al., 1977]. In albino  mice,  regular
UV-B exposure (1 to 2 months of daily exposure) can disrupt the  anterior (frontal) part of the  lens,
resulting in opacities  [Jose and Pitts, 1985]. High dose, daily UV-A exposure  also induced opacities in the
anterior lens of nocturnal  animals and squirrels [Zigman et al., 1991]. However, experimentally-induced
opacities  in animals are located  centrally in  the anterior lens (the irradiated zone), whereas human
anterior cortical cataracts  tend  to form in the periphery (the  equatorial region) of the lens.  Also,
microscopic examination of experimental cataract commonly shows marked disruption of the  lens
epithelium and inward folding of the underlying cortical fibers, which is not seen  in human cataract. These
differences, while possibly attributable to differences between animals and humans in geometry, level of
exposure and/or ocular structure,  contribute  to the uncertainty associated with extrapolating from data in
mice to human cataract risk.

Solar UV Exposure of the  Human Eye

   The exposure of the unprotected eyes to solar UV radiation is significantly influenced by the shielding
from the eyebrows and eyelids (through squinting) and is strongly dependent on the direction of the line of

                                                 25

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 sight. Highly reflecting surfaces increase the exposure dramatically;  for example, the risk of
 photokcratoconjunctivitis  is strongly increased over snow surfaces  [Sliney, 1987]. This variability in
 exposure can seriously complicate  studies in which eye exposures in different environments are compared
 unless careful exposure measurements are made.  [Kosenthal et al., 1991].

    In humans, the anterior eye is not only exposed to light entering along the line of sight, but also to
 light impinging from very oblique angles. Coroneo [1993] drew attention to the phenomenon in which
 impinging  (UV) light, especially that entering the eye at a very oblique angle, can be focussed onto the
 overlying periphery of the cornea and the lens; this would intensify the light while it is traversing the
 cornea and the lens in a direction roughly perpendicular to the line of sight. This phenomenon could
 explain not only the sites  of preference  for pterygium and climatic  droplet keratopathy, but also why many
 cortical cataracts occur in the  nasal quadrant of the lens [Scbein  et al., 1994, Adamson et al., 1991, Hollow,
 1989, and  personal communication with Dr. B. Klein for the Beaver Dam Eye Study].

 Impact of Ozone Depletion on Eye Conditions

    In view of present data, it  is prudent to consider that a depletion  of the ozone layer could be associated
 with  an increase in the incidence of cataract and  other ocular effects of UV-B, e.g., pterygium and snow
 blindness.  It  is, however, difficult to estimate the magnitude of the increase without adequate information
 on the wavelength dependence of these  effects and proper dose-response relationships. In the case of
 cataract, by assuming a certain wavelength dependence and with some additional  assumptions, one can
 produce an estimate based on epidemiological data (e.g., an estimate  from EPA based on  Hiller et  al.,
 [1985], cited in van der Leun [1989], and one from van der Leun and de Gruijl, [1993], based  on Taylor et al.,
 [1988], and Pitts ct al. [1977]: 0.3-0.6% and 0.5% increase in cataract, respectively, for every 1% decrease
 in ozone) but such an estimate has a high degree of uncertainty.  A similar quantitative estimate is not yet
 possible for snow blindness, pterygium and climatic droplet keratopathy because of the inadequacy of
 epidemiologic information and experimental data.  Nevertheless, it is prudent public health policy to
 indicate to medical personnel  and the lay public  that these are effects  which may well increase with
 increased exposure to UV-B.

 Immunological  Effects                        ~"~

 Background

   Through a variety of complex, delicately balanced mechanisms, the immune system helps maintain
 health by protecting the host against infectious diseases and some cancers. The two most important of
 these mechanisms are 1) humoral immunity, involving the production  of antibodies that can neutralize
 toxins, kill microorganisms, prevent infection,  and assist in the elimination of infectious agents, and 2)
 cellular immunity,  involving the production of chemical mediators (cytokines) by lymphocytes which
 activate other cells of the lymphoid system to kill pathogens, virus-infected cells, and cancer cells.  These
 two arms of the immune response, humoral and cellular, are delicately balanced,  and some  cytokines
 involved in activating one  pathway tend  to inhibit the other. A severe  imbalance  in either direction can lead
 to pathological conditions, such as allergies and  inflammatory  and autoimmune diseases.

   Because skin is an important immunological organ, the immune system is vulnerable to  modification by
 environmental agents, including UV-B radiation.  Demonstrations that  systemic immunity can be  perturbed
 by exposing skin to UV-B radiation raise the concern that ozone depletion might adversely influence
 immunity to  infectious diseases.

 Immunomodub.tory Effects of UV-B Radiation

    flive is now ample evidcn • i!i.-t exposure of humans and  experimental animals to UV-B radiation
 fti, !  ar.ifiual or natural sources ca: modify the  immune system  both at the site of exposure (locally)  as
 v-.!i as systemically, mainly by decreasing cellular immune responses [Hersey et-al, 1983; Morison, 1989;
 Kripke, 1984, 1990; DeFabo and Nosnan, 1993; Cruz and Bergstresser, 1988]. The  immunosuppressive effects
 Ot UV-B radiation  have been shown to play an important role in determining the  outcome of both
 melanoma  [Donavrbo and Kripke, 1991] and non-melanoma skin cancer [Kripke,  1984; 1990; Fisher and
 Kripke, 1982],  certain infectious diseases [Jeevan and  Kripke, 1993], and some forms of autoimmunity
 [Ansel et al., 1985] and allergy, e.g., delayed type  hypersensitivity [Kripke, 1984; Cruz and Bergstresser, 1988,
 Noonan et  al., 1981] in laboratory animal models of these diseases.  Furthermore, introduction of a foreign
substance (antigen) during a critical period after UV irradiation can lead to immunological tolerance,
 rendering the host unresponsive to re-introduction of the same antigen at a later  time [Kripke,  1984].
                                                 26

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    In addition to these systemic effects on immune responses, UV-B irradiation can also inhibit local
 inflammatory responses within UV-irradiated  skin; thus, the response elicited by injection of antigen into
 the skin of sensitized individuals (delayed hypersensitivity response) may be diminished in UV-irradiated
 skin [Morison, 1989]. Such local effects of UV irradiation can also decrease resistance to the growth of
 cancer cells, including melanomas [Donawho and Kripke, 1991].

    Information on the  UV-induced alterations in immune function in humans is fairly limited and is drawn
 principally from  experimental studies of the  impact of UV exposure on natural killer cell activity,
 contact allergy (e.g., poison ivy) and  delayed hypersensitivity responses (e.g., the tuberculin skin  test    -
 reaction)  [Hersey et al., 1983;  Morison, 1989; Toshikawa et al.,  1990; Cooper et nl., 1992].

 Mechanisms

    In recent years, many advances have been made in our understanding of the cellular and molecular
 mechanisms involved in modulation of immune responses by UV-B exposure. Studies with mice provide
 strong evidence that at least some  of the immunomodulatory effects  of  UV irradiation result from the
 production  and release  of immunologically-active cytokines  and other substances from cells in  the skin
 Interlcukins 1 and 10 (IL-1, IL-10),  tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha, urocanic acid (UCA), and
 prostaglandins have all been suggested as  contributors to the altered immune responses observed in
 UV-irradiated animals [DeFabo and, Noonan, 1983,  1993; Rivets and Ullrich, 1992, 1994a; Noonan et al
 1988; Vermeer and Streilein, 1990; Luger cm A Schwartz, 1990J.

    The ability of UV-irradiated keratinocytes  to produce IL-10 [Rivas and Ullrich,  1992] is particularly
 noteworthy, because this cytokiue preferentially decreases delayed hypersensitivity responses, leaving
 humoral responses undiminished [Mossman et al.,  1991 J. IL-10 is thought to alter the cells that initially
 take up antigens  (mainly macrophages, epidermal Langerhans cells, and dendritic cells in lymphoid organs)
 and inhibit  their  ability to stimulate the subset of murine helper T lymphocytes responsible for generating
 delayed hypersensitivity responses (Thl cells),  while leaving  intact their  ability to stimulate Th2
 lymphocytes, which are  involved in  antibody formation and suppression of Thl'cells [Ullrich,  1994; Rivas
 and Ullrich, 1994]. Figure 2.1 presents one possible model for  how these various factors and events may
 operate in UV-B induced immunosuppression.      —-—
                     UV


                    SKIN
                            LOCAL
                      ENVIRONMENT
      DNA
       tUCA
CYTOKINES

   (IL-10)

    Other
  Mediators


   c-UCA
LC, altered antigen
   presentation

 inflammatory cells
                               DISTANT
                                 SITES
                                                                                  Altered antigen
                                                                                   presentation
                                                      DTH suppress!;-:.                   r.,..
                                                         antibodies

Fig. 2.1. Model for UV-B Induced Immunosuppression. (See text for details; Cm and Dotysiresser, 1988' Kripke  1984'
       DeFabo andNoonan, 1993; Lugerand Schwartz, 1990; Rivas and Ullrich, 1994)

   There is also evidence that the cis-photoisomer of UCA can alter the ability of antigen-presenting
cells to stimulate T lymphocytes  [Noonan et al., 1988] and that TNF-alpha [Vermeer and Streilein, 1990]
can alter the migration pattern of antigen-presenting cells in the skin (epidermal Langerhans cells). Direct
exposure of epidermal Langerhans cells to UV-B  radiation may also alter their antigen-presenting activity
[Stmon et at.,  1990; 1991], and UV irradiation  of the skin induces an inflammatory response  that attracts
other types of antigen-presenting cells into the UV-irradiated site [Cooper et al.  1993].
                                                 27

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   Thus, UV radiation appears to alter the induction of immune responses by perturbing the balance of
factors that normally regulate the immune response and by altering the activity and distribution of the cells
responsible for triggering these immune  responses. The mechanisms involved in the local inhibition of
delayed hypersensitivity and tumor resistance are unknown, but they are likely to involve local
modifications of cytokines and other mediators [Luger and Schwartz,  1990] and changes in the expression
of adhesion molecules on cells of various types in the skin [Krutmann et al., 1992J.

   The molecular events that initiate  photoimmunological effects are incompletely understood. Studies in
the mouse [Kripke et at., 1992; Tarosh et al., 1994] and the opossum [Applegate et al., 1989] demonstrated   -
that increasing the repair of UV-specific lesions in  DNA abrogated the suppression of contact allergy and
delayed hypersensitivity reactions, implying that UV-induced DNA damage is an essential initiating step.
These authors hypothesized that DNA damage may trigger the production of immunoregulatory cytokines in
the skin [Kripke et al., 1992].

   Another mechanism by which UV irradiation could initiate immunosuppression is by converting
trans-UCA to its cis-isomer. Trans-UCA is present in large quantity  in mammalian epidermis; the more
soluble cis-isomer is  formed upon absorption  of UV radiation. There is considerable  evidence that
cis-UCA suppresses certain immune reactions in mice, suggesting that UCA may also mediate some of the
immunomodulatory effects of UV irradiation [DeFabo and  Noonan, 1983, 1993].

Wavelength Dependence of Immune Suppression

   The two molecular mechanisms proposed for initiating immune suppression (DNA damage and UCA
isomerization) imply  different wavelength dependencies, which in turn, give different  Radiation
Amplification Factors (RAFs); see Chapter  1).  If DNA damage were the sole mechanism by  which  UV
radiation caused  immune suppression,  then the percent increase in innumosuppressive UV radiation per
percent ozone depletion  (RAF) would be between 1.2 and 1.7. On the other hand, if UCA isomerization
were the sole  mechanism, the RAF would be between 0.4 and 0.8  (See Table 1, Chapter 1). The most
detailed action spectrum for immune suppression was determined for systemic suppression of contact
allergy in the  BALB/c (albino) mouse strain, using wavelengths between 254 and 320 nm [DeFcibo and
Noonan,  1983] (See Figure 2.2). Another action spectrum-for local suppression of contact allergy in a
different mouse strain has also been measured [Elmets et al., 1985]. However, neither action spectrum can
distinguish  among the two proposed mechanisms or a composite  mechanism with absolute certainty, partly
because of a lack of detailed information concerning the effect of wavelengths >320 nm. At  present, there
is no information available on the action spectrum for immune suppression in  humans.
                                                28

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          10
     $  0.01
       0.00 i
      0.0001
                                                            _L
                                                                                 suppression DTH
                                                                                 absorption UCA
                                                                                 in vivo t- •*• c-UCA
                                                                                 in vivo pyr. dimers
            250  260  270
280  290   300   310  320

         wavelength (nm)
                                                      330   340  350  360   370
Fig. 2.2. Action spectra of possible importance to immunosuppression: suppression of CH (-o-) and absorption UCA (....)
        [DeFabo and Noonan, 1983], in vivo trans- --> cis-UCA (*) [Gibbs et al., 1993], pyrimidine dimers in skin
        [Freeman et al., 1989]

Infectious and  Other  Diseases           — =--

   The finding that UV-B irradiation of laboratory animals and humans could impair  the induction and
elicitation of certain types of immune responses raised concerns that immunity to infectious agents  might
also be impaired. Theoretically,  UV-B irradiation could  affect  the pathogenesis of infectious diseases by
modifying the defense mechanisms  of the host to a microbial pathogen or by  directly activating an
infectious organism present within  exposed skin. Evidence for both effects has been provided in model
systems, but data in humans are still very limited.

Effects of UV in Experimental Models

Viral diseases

   Because  of the ability of UV radiation to activate herpes simplex virus (HSV) infection in humans
[Perna et al. 1991], experimental models of this infection have  been studied extensively. Exposure to UV
radiation triggered active disease in mice with latent HSV infection, decreased the delayed hypersensitivity
response, induced suppressor  T cells to HSV, and impaired resistance to initial infection [reviewed in
Jeevan and  Kripke, 1993 J. UV irradiation also decreased cellular immunity to reovirus infection in mice;
however, clearance of systemic virus was unimpaired, suggesting  that antibody may be more important than
cellular immunity in controlling this infection [Letvin et al., 1981]. Reports that the AIDS virus could be
detected in  epidermal Langerhans cells in the skin of HIV+ persons  [Tschachler et al,  1987] raised concern
that UV-B irradiation might accelerate the course of this disease. Although there is no  evidence to
support this possibility in humans, one study in mice suggested that the course of an AIDS-like immune
deficiency was accelerated by chronic UV irradiation [Brozek et al., 1992]. The study showed that
UV-irradiated mice developed antibodies against a murine retrovirus earlier than  non-irradiated control',
suggestive of more rapid disease progression.

Virus activation by UV

   In addition to decreasing host resistance  to infection by means of its  immunomodulatory effects, UV-B
radiation has the ability to activate latent viruses contained within cells exposed directly to  UV. This
phenomenon, which has been  demonstrated in vitro [Zmudzka and Beer, 1990; Schmitt et al., 1989], would
be expected  to affect viruses  present in  cells  of the skin, such  as papillomaviruses, herpes simplex virus,
and  perhaps HIV, which can be present in epidermal Langerhans cells [Tschachler et al., 1987]. In vivo
                                                  29

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activation of HIV in the skin has been demonstrated in transgenic mouse models, in which UV irradiation
turned on genes involved in virus activation and replication in the skin [Morrey et al., 1991; Vogel er al.,
1992]. These studies have raised the concern that exposure of HIV-infected persons to UV radiation early
in the course of infection, when the virus is present in the skin,  might accelerate  the course of AIDS.
However, there  is at present no experimental evidence to support this possibility. Thus, the likely impact
of increased UV-B  radiation on HIV infection resulting from viral activation remains unknown.

Parasitic infections

   UV-B induced immunosuppression has been shown to  have an impact on leishmaniasis [Ginnnini, 1986;
Gio-nnini and De Fabo, 1987], malaria (B. Ward, personal communication) and trichinosis  [Goettsch et al.,
1994J, but not on  schistosomiasis [Jeevan et al., 1992]. Leishmaniasis, a tropical parasitical disease  has
been studied in some depth using a mouse model. In humans, the  parasites are deposited intradermally by
infected sandflies, where they induce ulcerating, cutaneous lesions. The infection  may be limited to the skin
or can progress to a systemic disease, which may be fatal.  In  different mouse  strains, the organism  can
produce  either a self-limiting disease controlled by cellular  immunity or a progressive, lethal infection.
The outcome depends upon what type of immune response the particular strain of mouse mounts against the
parasite:  a Thl response leads to immunity, whereas a Th2 response leads to disease progression. UV
irradiation of mice  before and  after infection through exposed tail skin  improved the appearance  of the
resulting skin lesions, but decreased the  delayed hypersensitivity (Thl-type) response to the parasites
thereby decreasing clearance of the organism [Giannini, 1986].  The mortality rate was increased in infected
and UV-irradiated mice, which also exhibited decreased  resistance to reinfection with the parasite
[Giiir.nini and DeFabo, 1987].  Thus, in this model, although  there was a  reduction in the size and severity  of
the skin  lesions  in  UV-irradiated mice, the pathogenicity of the disease was  increased. Similar decreases
in the clearance  of parasites have also been observed in rodent models of both trichinosis and malaria, but
not in  schistosomiasis [Goettsch et  al., 1994; B.  Ward, personal communication; Jeevan et al. 1992].

Bacterial infections

     The impact of UV-B exposures on  immunity to mycobacterial infection in  mice has been studied
extensively. Infection of UV irradiated mice in  the hind footpad with  Mycobacterium bovis BCG or M.
lefruemurium resulted in a decreased delayed hypersensitivity response and delayed the clearance of
bacteria from the lymphoid organs. Furthermore,  macrophages from the spleen and peritoneal cavity of
UV-irradiated  mice had a reduced ability to ingest M. bovis.  A single high dose of UV radiation given 3
days before infection accelerated the rate of death from M. lepraemurium [Jeevan and Kripke, 1993J.
Similar results were obtained in a  mouse model of Lyme  disease.  UV-irradiated mice infected with
Borrelia.  burgdorfcri exhibited a decreased delayed hypersensitivity response, decreases in certain subclasses
of anti-Borre/w antibodies, and increased numbers of organisms  in the joints  [Brown et al., 1994; E.  Brown,
unpublished  data,].

Fungal Infections

   The only model of fungal infection studied to date is systemic  Candida, albicans infection in mice.
Candida  is an  opportunistic fungus normally present on the skin, which causes systemic disease in
immunosuppressed persons. Exposure of mice to a single  high dose of UV-B radiation one day before a
lethal intravenous injection of  Candida  significantly reduced  their survival time.  Lower doses  of UV
                                             response to this organism, but lud no effect on the
                                             '  J9Q3; D ;:/;/», ci fi!., 1989].
              ....  injection  __  	
radiation decreased the delayed hyper;
outcome of systemic disease [Denkins

Autoimmune and other diseases

   The possibility exists  that UV-B could reduce some R	 of rutuirnmunity, by virtue of its ability to
attenuate cell-mediated immunity. However, studies in exp"i!;n;'niul models of autoimmune diseases are
quite limited and only serve to underscore  the complexity t>f the  situation. In a study of the effects of
UV-B irradiation on the development of autoimmune hemolytic  anemia in autoimmune strains of mice,
UV-B irradiation accelerated and exacerbated the disease process [Ansel et al., 1985J. In another study
using a different strain of autoimmune mice, chronic  UV irradiation seemed  to have no effect on the
pathogcncsis  of this disease  [Strickland,  1984].

   In humans, UV-B is  used therapeutically for the treatment of certain skin diseases, such as psoriasis,
which seem to have an immunological component. On the other hand,  one autoimmune disease, systemic
lupus erythematosis is aggravated by UV exposure, and UV is involved in the pathogenesis of some
photoallcrgic and photosensitivity diseases. Thus, increased UV-B radiation is likely to have varied, and
                                                  30

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even opposing, effects on autoimmune ahd: other diseases, and it is presently not possible to make any
predictions as to its impact.

Effects of UV on Human Diseases

   Of course, the crucial question regarding the significance of increased UV-B radiation is whether the
findings in animal studies apply to humans. It is clear that exposure of humans to natural or artificial
sources  of UV-B radiation impairs the activity of T lymphocytes, decreases the activity of natural killer
cells, decreases the number of epidermal Langerhans cells, and abrogates the induction of the contact   ~"
allergy response to chemicals applied onto the irradiated skin [Morison, et al., 1979; Hersey, et al., 1983;
Toshikawa, et al., 1990; Cooper, et al., 1992]. Furthermore, most of these immunological effects occur even
in persons with darkly pigmented skin, implying  that pigmentation does not confer complete protection
against UV-induced immune suppression [Scbeibner, et al., 1986; Vermeer et al., 1991J so that the
population potentially  at risk for an impact on infectious diseases is far greater than that for skin cancer.

   There  is evidence both in murine  models [Streilein and Bergstresser, 1988; Noonan and Hoffman, 1994]
and humans [Yoshikawa et al.,  1990] for genetic differences in susceptibility to UV-induced  immune
suppression unrelated to pigmentation. Such differences may be important determinants of risk for skin
cancer development  and susceptibility to UV-induced modifications of infectious diseases.  .

   The  effects of UV-B radiation on infectious disease processes are likely to be  complex  and
unpredictable. Historically, UV radiation was used to treat a variety of skin diseases, most  notably skin
tuberculosis, and in recent  years,  UV-B radiation has been used to treat psoriasis, acne, and other
cutaneous diseases. On the  other  hand, sunlight exposure was thought to aggravate pulmonary tuberculosis
and scarring from smallpox [van  der Leun and de Gruijl, 1993J. There  is also considerable evidence that
exposure to sunlight and to UV radiation can trigger the  appearance of cutaneous lesions caused  by herpes
simplex  virus  types 1 and 2 in persons already harboring a latent infection [Klein and Linnemann, 1986;
Spruance, 1985;  Wheeler, 1975],  and exposure to UV radiation has been reported to increase the severity
of skin lesions associated with  herpes zoster  infection [Szigeti et al., 1976J. UV radiation may also be a
contributing factor to  papillomavirus infections in  immunosuppressed  patients,  since such individuals have
a high incidence of viral warts on sun-exposed body s'i&r"[Boyle et al.,  1984; Dyall-Smith and Varigos,
1985J. Whether these effects are a result of virus  activation or immune  suppression by UV or both is not
clear.

   One approach to addressing the effect of UV-B radiation on resistance of humans  to infection is to
analyze  the effect of UV on a  cell-mediated immune response against microbial antigens. Healthy
contacts  of leprosy patients often exhibit a delayed hypersensitivity response  upon intradermal injection
of lepromin,  an antigen prepared from leprosy bacilli. Exposure of the injection  site  to UV-B radiation
before and after inoculation of lepromin markedly reduced the size of the skin test reaction and
granulomatous response and decreased the number of T lymphocytes within the reaction site, compared  to
the reaction site in unexposed skin of the same subject [Cestari et al., 1994]. This study demonstrates that
exposure to UV-B radiation can diminish the cutaneous immune response to an infectious  microorganism
in humans; however, it does not address the question of whether UV-B irradiation  would also exacerbate
the disease process in  persons  suffering from leprosy or  other mycobacterial infections.

   Obviously, it will be very difficult to assess the role of UV-B radiation on natural infections in human
populations. Based on  current knowledge, we would predict  that an effect of UV-B radiation would
manifest itself as  an increase  in the severity  or duration of disease  and not necessarily as an increase in
disease incidence except possibly where reactivation of a  latent  virus is  reflected as incidence. Since
infectious diseases are influenced  by  many host and  environmental factors, the effect of UV-B radiation on
a given  disease process may be difficult to discern from epidemiological studies. Clearly, more
information is  needed on this subject.  The growing evidence that the balance of Th?L- and Th2-type immune
responses plays an important role in dcu-nnining the outcome of various infectious diseases, and the
suggestion from animal studies that UV irradiation may shift this balance toward a Th2-type response
suggests  that  Uv radiation may indeed influence the pathogenesis  of some diseases. It may  also influence
the outcome  of vaccination against infections. Whether this influence is beneficial or harmful will
probably depend on  what type of immune response is most  effective in protecting against a particular
microorganism. Thus, it is  presently  difficult to predict both the direction and magnitude of an effect of
UV-B radiation on a particular disease process.

   This possibility is borne out in a  study in mice demonstrating that UV irradiation could prevent the
induction of an autoimmune demyelinating  disease, experimental allergic encephalomyelitis, in mice
[Hauser et al., 1984] which is a Thl-dependent disease.
                                                  31

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    For example, photodermatoses are skin diseases where the skin lesions are caused by light. Solar UV-B
 radiation is the predominant causative agent for several of these diseases. Although many patients and their
 doctors  expect an aggravation of these diseases with a decreased ozone layer, there are reasons to question
 this expectation. In the  first place, these diseases agenerally occur less frequently and with less severity in
 sunny areas of the world. Second, many patients with photodermatoses are treated effectively by regular
 exposures to low-dose UV-B radiation during winter. Because depletion of the ozone layer will increase
 UV-B irradiancc, especially in winter, this  may improve the patients'  condition [van der Lettn and de
 Gruijl, 1993].

    UV dose-response and wavelength studies for immunosuppressive effects of UV radiation in  humans are
 essential  for making quantitative predictions.  More important still is understanding the significance of
 these immunological effects for the pathogenesis of human diseases. In spite of its central importance to
 the analysis of the consequences of stratospheric ozone depletion for human health, information to address
 the latter issue  is difficult and  expensive to obtain and is thus almost totally lacking.

 Skin  Cancer

 Background

    UV radiation damages  DNA (i.e., is genotoxic). This may lead to faulty replication of DNA in a
 daughter cell, i.e., fixation of a mutation. Mutations in certain key genes (proto-oncogenes or tumor
 suppressor genes) that regulate  the cell cycle, cell differentiation, and cell death (apoptosis) can lead to
 formation of a cancer cell. Recent research is beginning to reveal how these steps relate to  the course of
 UV-induced tumor formation.

    Animal data and human epidemiologic  studies clearly  indicate that excessive exposure  to UV radiation
 is associated with skin cancer in humans. (See IARC [1992] for a comprehensive overview). The involvement
 of DNA damage, for instance, was elegantly demonstrated  in opossums (Monodelphis domestica] which have
 an enzyme (photolyas) that reverses certain types of UV-induced DNA damage (cyclobutane pyrimidine
 dimers) upon exposure to  UV-A and visible light; UV-A plus visible light treatments counteracted the UV
 induction of skin tumors (both  squamous cell carcinomas and-melanomas). It is also known  that xeroderma
 pigmcntosum (XP)  patients whose cells are deficient in the repair of UV-induced DNA damage have
 dramatically increased risks of skin cancer (both squamous and basal cell carcinomas, and melanoma). [This
 observation is, however,  complicated by the fact that individuals with other kinds of defects in DNA repair
 (e.g., Cockayne's syndrome and trichothiodystrophy), do not have an increased risk of skin cancer.] One
 interpretation of this seeming contradiction is that deficiencies in the repair of genes that are  normally
 inactive, e.g., XP, leads to skin cancer, whereas deficient repair of active genes, as in Cockayne's
 syndrome, is related to developmental and  degenerative effects.

 Non-Melanoma  Skin Cancer

    There are two main types of non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC): basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and
 squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). In most countries, reporting of these tumors to a cancer registry is either
 not required or  inadequately standardized, resulting in inadequate cancer registry data and an inability to
 track  trends in incidence or mortality. Where  good medical care  is available,  the overall mortality is
 thought  to be less than 1 percent. Although BCC typically represents  80 percent of NMSC, the mortality
 is mainly due to SCC.

   SCC  has a convincing and clear-cut relationship to UV-B radiation, whereas that for BCC is somewhat
 less compelling.  The causative role of sunlight  in SCC is supported  by the observations that a) SCC occurs
 predominantly on the most sun-exposed parts of the skin, face, neck and hands; and b) in comparable
 populations the incidence of SCC is highest in geographic  areas with the most sunlight. The observation
 that SCC occurs predominantly in fair-skinned people is consistent with this conclusion. The risk of
 developing SCC appears  strongly related to  the total dose of sunlight received in the course of a lifetime.
 In addition, in animal models, exposure to  UV radiation is associated with the development-of SCC and
 not BCC.

   The evidence is less clear-cut with  BCC, which rarely appears on the well-exposed backs of the hands,
 but instead occurs more on the face and neck areas, with a  fair percentage developing on the trunk. Also,'a
 person's most recent history of sun exposure (the preceding 10 to 20 years) relates better to the risk of
 developing SCC than BCC. [Vitasa, et al., 1990]. This may be interpreted to mean that UV  radiation is
somehow related to an "early event" in the development of BCC, after which other "events"  (including
growth) must occur before the tumor develops.
                                                 32

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                             I  -3
                           o.oi-
                           0.001-
|   0.0001



   0.00001
                        0.000001-
                                                                    \ melanoma
                                                       SCUP-m
                              250
                                           300
                                                        350
                                                  wavelength (nm)
                                               400
                                                            •450
Fig. 2.3. Action spectra for cancer in animal models: Melanoma in fish [Setlow et al., 1993], non-melanoma skin cancer in
       mice - SCUP-m [DeGruijI et al., 1993], and in humans -SCUP-h [DeGruijI and van der Leun, 1994]
   Important molecular evidence for the role of UV-B in the induction of these tumors is that large
percentages (>50 percent) of SCC and BCC in humane-bear UV-specific mutations (i.e., at dipyrimidine •
sites where cytosine is replaced by thymine, a C-to-T transition) in their p53 tumor suppressor gene. This
constitutes the most direct evidence that UV radiation causes skin cancer in humans. Furthermore, it was
found that in mice these  types of mutations already exist in  the precursor  lesions of SCC, implying that
UV irradiation can be an  early event in the development of the tumor. Strikingly, it has recently' been
shown that certain UV-related mutations (tandem transitions of CC-to-TT) can be detected in sun-exposed
skin  of skin cancer patients (17/24 in Australia), but are virtually non-existent in unexposed  skin (1/20).
            et al., 1994].
   Information on the wavelength dependence of the UV induction of cancer is crucial for quantitative
risk assessments; however, it would be both impractical  and unethical to derive such information from
experiments in humans. Several groups have developed such action spectra based on tumorigenesis in
hairless mice, with the most complete spectrum being that published by De Gruijl and his colleagues
[1993], and presented as the  Skin Cancer Utrecht-Philadelphia (SCUP) action spectra (see Figure 2.3).
The carcinogenicity for wavelengths over 340 nm was somewhat higher than expected from constructed
action spectra (mutagenicity corrected for epidermal transmission), which could be due to an increased
level of indirect-, radical-mediated damage in vivo. More recently, the SCUP action spectrum  has  been
cwc-ctcd for differences in epidermal transmission between mouse and human, thus a SCUP-h was derived
ft  ... the SCUP-m action spectrum ('h' standing for human and 'm' for nuuine). [De Gruijl and van der
Lcitn, 1994]. This correction nv.:.o U- c;-;::;u',_.  ;! to represent a crude average, because the epidermal
transmission will vary both, in In...,...-, ?,ud incuse from one individual  to another, and it will decrease under
regular UV exposure.

   In relation to a depletion of the ozone layer, it is important to quantify  how much more carcinogenic
UV radiation reaches the ground level for each percent  decrease in  ozone.  For NMSC,  annual doses are
assumed to  be an appropriate  measure, and personal doses are assumed to be proportional to ambient
doses.  This  increase  in carcinogenic  dose is expressed by the Radiation Amplification Factor  (RAF),  which
equals 1.4 for SCUP-m-weighted UV doses and 1.2 for SCUP-h-weighted  UV doses (i.e., 1.4 or 1.2
percent more carcinogenic UV radiation for each percentage decrease in ozone; see also Chapter 1).
Next, the relationship between skin cancer incidence and an increase in carcinogenic UV radiation must be
determined. For stationary situations,  this is estimated  from incidence data in comparable populations
living at different geographical locations under different levels of solar UV exposure comparable in
genetic composition, lifestyle, etc.).  Estimates  for the white population in  die United States predict that
for every 1 percent increase in annual carcinogenic  UV radiation, the SCC  incidence over a human

                                                  33

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 lifetime will ultimately rise by 2.5±0.7 percent, and the BCC by  1.4±0.4 percent, based on SCUP-h (for
 SCUP-m-weighted doses, the numbers are virtually the same). These latter numbers are referred to as the
 Biological  Amplification Factors  (BAF). Multiplying the RAF and BAF gives the overall Amplification
 Factor (AF), the ultimate, predicted increase in skin cancer for each percent decrease in ozone.  For SCC,
 AF equals  3.0±0.8 percent; for BCC, AF is  1.7±0.5 percent, and for all nonmelanoma skin cancers
 combined,  AF is 2.0±0.5 percent. With approximately 1.2 million new cases each year worldwide
 [Longstreth et al., 1991], this would amount to 250,000  additional cases each year from a sustained  10
 percent decrease in average ozone concentration  [for more detail, see Madronich and De Gruijl, 1993].

    It is also worth noting here that there are subpopulations of individuals at very high risk of developing
 NMSC, who will be greatly affected by an increase in ambient UV-B radiation. As noted above, persons
 with the rare genetic disorder XP are exquisitely susceptible to the development of UV-induced NMSC
 early in life and often die of this disease. A  much larger population at high risk are  renal allograft
 recipients and other immunosuppressed individuals, who tend to develop  multiple, aggressive, and often
 fatal SCC on sun-exposed skin at a relatively young age. Increased  UV-B radiation is likely to be
 especially hazardous  for such high-risk persons [Glover et al., 1994].

    In reality, the projections  suggest not a sustained decrease, but rather a transient seasonal decrease in
 ozone that will  vary substantially over the globe,  reaching its maximum in early spring at the poles. The
 concentration of ozone in the stratosphere is projected to reach a minimum  around the year 1998, and will
 normalize to 1980 levels around the middle  of the next century (see Chapter 1). Increases in UV-B
 associated with  these  ozone losses are likely  to cause a delayed transient  increase in skin cancer incidence.
 Besides knowledge of the UV dose dependency, information on the time dependency of the response after
 changes in  the ambient UV load is also needed. Such information is not ^available for human populations,
 and additional hypotheses must be introduced to extend the model to time-dependent responses. To a
 certain extent, animal experiments can assist  in providing  this extension of the model [De Gruijl and, van
 der Leun, 1991], however, certain assumptions as to how the animal  data translate to human responses are
still required. Although more  work should be done in this area, a plausible model estimates that a steady
increase in  nonmelanoma skin  cancers will occur even under the most recent international agreement with
regard to the phase-out of ozone-depleting substances, reaching a 25 percent higher level in the year  2050
in comparison to 1980 at approximately 50 degrees NL [Slater et al., 1992] see Figure 2.4.

 Melanoma

   Cutaneous melanoma (CM) is the result  of the neoplastic transformation of melanocytes, the
pigment-producing cells in  mammalian epidermis. There are four different categories  of CM in humans: 1)
superficial spreading  melanoma (SSM)  2) nodular melanoma (NM) 3)  lentigo maiigna melanoma (LMM)
also known as Hutchinson's melanotic freckle) and 4) unclassified melanoma.

   The etiology of LMM appears to be similar to that of NMSC in relation to sun exposure, whereas that
of SSM  and NM appears to be different in that it appears linked  more with intermittent, intense
exposures (i.e., severe sunburns) and/or exposures in childhood (for a comprehensive overview, see IARC
1992;  USEPA, 1987; IBMC, 1992; or Elwood, 1993).
                                                34

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              700
              600
              500
            '
             .400
            s
            § 300
            -200
            CO
            1  100
                                                                                      Montreal
                          London

                        Copenhagen
1950
                                       2000
2050
2100
                                                 year
 Fig. 2.4. Estimated increase in NMSC incidence under 3 CFC-phaseout scenarios. [Slaper et al,, 1993]

    In the case of SSM and NM, evidence supporting an etiologie relationship with solar (UV) radiation
 includes:                                           	*	

  1) the  fact that in general, people light-skinned individuals who are more sensitive to sunburn run a higher
    risk; in such individuals irregularities in pigmentation, i.e., freckles, a  high number of moles  (nevi),
    and/or atypical  nevi, contribute  especially strongly to the risk.
  2) high levels of solar exposure during  childhood (before ages  of 15-20 years, and possibly especialiv
    intense intermittent exposures) is strongly associated with increased risk (e.g., Holman and Armstrong,
    1984), and increases the number of nevi (potential precursor lesions) that a  person develops (Gallagher
    et al., 1990).
  3) the  risk is  often higher for indoor workers than for outdoor workers, and can  be associated with
    (intense) intermittent exposure to the sun in leisure time.
  4) positive correlations between ambient UV levels (e.g., latitudinal gradients)  and  CM in sensitive
    populations.
  5) high risk  in XP patients who are deficient in repairing DNA damage  inflicted by UV radiation (see
    £ 11) . J. ).
  6) mutations in the N-ras gene at di-pyrimidine sites (the target  sites, of UV-B  radiation in DNA) in
    SSM and  NM occurring in sun-exposed skin (Van't Veer et  al., 1989).

    The hypothesis that intermittent UV exposure is important for the  risk  of CM was largely inferred
 from the locations of CM over the body (relatively large numbers on irregularly  exposed  sites) and more
 occurences in  indoor workers than in outdoor workers. Later confirmation of this hypothesis is, however,
. solely based on studies in which patients and control groups were  retrospectively interviewed; thus, these
 studies  are vulnerable to recall-bias-after having contracted a CM, people tend  to remember more
 sunburns than before [Weinstock  et al., 1991].

    In the U.S., incidence rates for CM among white-skinned populations  during  the decade from 1974 to
 1986  increased at an average yearly rate  of 34 percent (varying from -2 to -7 1/4 %. Increases in mortality
 during that time period showed  a similar trend, although a slower rate. More recently, Scotto  et.al. [1991]
 have analyzed trends in skin melanoma death rates by cohort for fair-skinned ("white") males and females
 over a 35-year period (1950-1984) and observed upward trends for older men and women (over 40) and
 downward trends for the younger cohorts. Assuming no life-style changes  and constant UV radiation levels,
 these  authors project that the 2 to 3 percent  upward trend in mortality per annum observed since 1950 will
 discontinue and bend downward by the second decade of the 21st century.
                                                   35

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   This information is critical to assessing the risks of stratospheric ozone depletion, which would clearly
need to incorporate cohort data and age-specific trend analyses into the baseline data used in such an
activity. This same sort of cohort analysis information is also critical to estimating the potential
increases in non-melanoma skin cancer; unfortunately most countries are not collecting sufficient data on
non-melanoma skin cancer to be  able to perform such trend and cohort analyses.

Animal Models for Melanoma

   In the past few years, several animal models have been developed in which primary cutaneous melanomas '
can be induced by UV radiation alone or in combination with cancer-inducing chemicals. The most
interesting of these involves the induction of melanoma by UV-B radiation in Monodelpbis domestic^, the
grey, short-tailed, South American opossum [Ley et aL, 1989J; see below.

   Another animal model in which melanomas can be induced with UV radiation is the tropical fish model
of Sctlow [Setlow et aL, 1989]; see below.

   As described in the 1991 UNEP panel report  [Longstreth et al., 1991], primary melanomas can be
induced in mice using a combination of UV radiation and chemicals, but UV radiation  alone has so far
been ineffective [Romerdahl et al., 1989]. These and more recent studies [Donawho and Kripke,  1991;
Hasan et al.s 1992] indicate that UV radiation may play several different roles in the induction of murine
melanomas, including that of an  initiator, a tumor promoter, and a co-carcinogen that contributes to
melanoma development by means of its immunosuppressive effects.

   The animal models are instructive because  they demonstrate that UV radiation can contribute to the
induction of melanotic tumors in a variety of ways. However, they are not very helpful for assessing
increases in  melanoma incidence  in humans  exposed to increased UV-B radiation. In the opossum model,
the dose-response and wavelength data are inadequate for making such calculations, and extrapolation  of
the information from  the fish model to humans  is obviously fraught with difficulties.

Wavelength   Dependency of Melanoma

   Animal experiments have not yet yielded  results that unambiguously indicate mechanism(s) by which the
UV radiation may be causing CM in humans. The wavelength dependence of the induction of CM is
important for risk assessments, but conclusive data are not available, and the wavelength dependence cannot
be confidently constructed from presumed mechanisms.

   In hybrid fish of the genus Xiphophorus a single, early in life UV-A exposure is quite efficient in
evoking melanomas; a UV-B exposure is only 10 to 50 times more effective (per J/m^, i.e., this action
spectrum is  relatively  flat when compared with the SCUP action spectra, see Figure 2.3; Setlow et al.,
1993). These experiments were, however, contaminated by the aquarium lighting. This lighting contributed
to a high background occurrence  of melanomas (in about 25% of the fish), and possibly even counteracted
the induction of melanomas by UV-B radiation the fish have photolyase). In the  opossum Monodelpbis
domcstica, melanomas can be induced by chronic  broadband combined UV-B/UV-A exposure; such tumors
do not develop when the animals are kept solely  under yellow light. Visible light exposure after each UV
exposure counteracts the development  of the UV-induced melanomas, which would indicate  that UV-
induccd di-pyrimidine dimers cause melanom:-:. If th'-se dinars are the main DNA lesions causing mela-
nomas in human skin, then the reversal b, ;'. '  '.  ':'••'' : '•- nr<: !i'--'?ly to occur (humans appear not to have
photolyase,  [Li et al,  1993] although thi> i, ;. .  ".; of:,   .  •. :.L,,;vcrsy). The action spc-ii.um  in humans
could then follow the  induction of ihc.,; ];NA lesions in '.I... >!;-\, and would presumably i-.-•-. '  :. \
SCUP  action spectra more than the one found for the ni.-.'.Miomas in fish (for comparis.,:i ;,cc i ,>•••  ,'..-'...

   It is conceivable that UV radiation  may contribute in various ways to  the induction of melari'.     .••:,.:
that  the specific  mechanisms differ in the two animal models. Although  it is difficult to induce >   ' 's...;un
in mice by UV irradiation, it can be done quite  efficiently with exposure to chemical  carcinogens, and
concomitant UV exposure can then promote the  melanomagenesis.

   How these experimental data should be extrapolated to humans is, of course, very much an open
question. CM in humans  may well have a multifactorial etiology. Although UV  radiation is  likely to play a
dominant role, (e.g., initiating precursor lesions during youth and suppressing immunity to the  tumor  cells
as a  result of a sunburn in the final stage of tumor development), other factors may affect expression of
the UV effect.
                                                36

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Related  Issues

   The majority of this chapter has been devoted to a review of the potential human health effect of the
increased  ultraviolet radiation which may result from stratospheric ozone depletion. There are, however,
other health issues  associated with this stratospheric ozone depletion. This section addresses four such
issues. First, animal populations  beyond humans are potentially affected by increased UVR which can lead
to impacts on agricultural productivity. Second, the effects on human health of increased UVR, can be
potentially mitigated by appropriate changes in behavior. Third, although most ozone depleting substances
(ODSs) are scheduled for complete phase out by 1995, methyl bromide is not yet subject to  complete  "~
phase out. Its toxicity is of some concern, so has been included in this dicussion. Fourth, the chemicals
which replace  ODSs may themselves have toxicity, so a brief synopsis of information known about them is
also  presented.

Effects on Animals

   Animals of several species develop skin cancer, mainly SCC, in sparsely haired, light-colored  areas of
the skin. This  includes cows, goats, sheep, cats and dogs [Etnmett,  1973; Dorn et al, 1971; Nikula et al.,
1992]. The body distribution is consistent with sunlight as the etiologic agent; UV-B is implicated by
extrapolation from  studies  with  laboratory animals.  Cancers  of the eye also occur in many animal species,
including  horses, sheep, swine, cats, and dogs,  and are particularly frequent  in cattle [Harris, 1981]. In rats,
mice, hamster, and  the opossum (Monodelphis domesticus), studies on the induction of skin  cancer with
mainly UV-B  radiation have sometimes induced ocular tumors as well [Ley  et al.,  1989]; [Blum, 1943];
[Freeman  and Knox, 1964]. Photokeratitis and cataract have been induced experimentally in  rabbits, with
the most effective wavelengths falling mainly within the UV-B range [Pitts et al., 1977]. Bovine infectious
keratoconjunctivitis, an eye infection caused by the bacterium Moraxella bovis, is triggered and aggravated
by UV-B irradiation of the eye [Hughes, et al., 1965].

   In animals  in which  these effects occur under natural conditions, an increase in UV-B irradiation would
be expected to exacerbate them. However, it is not possible to estimate the magnitude of such effects
because of the paucity of information on dose-response_arid wavelength dependence and on possible
behaviorial modifications.

Mitigation/Amelioration

   The  effects of increased UV-B exposure on human health may,  in principle, be mitigated  by reducing
the exposure time to sunlight.  Being indoors gives a practically complete  protection. Limiting exposure
during the hours of maximal UV-B  irradiance,  that is,  between 2 hours before and 2 hours after solar noon
is  especially effective.

   Even while outdoors, there are  still  possibilities for protection. An important protection is offered by
constitutional  skin pigmentation. Dark-skinned people are better protected  against skin cancer and sunburn
than light-skinned individuals, but their pigment does not seem to protect them against some of the
suppressive effects of UV-B radiation on the immune  system.

   Changes in behavior  also offer many possibilities for  mitigation. Many clothing fabrics give good
protection. Hats are especially effective  because  they  offer some protection of the facial skin  and the
eyes,  two  body sites at comparatively high risk. Sun glasses of appropriate material also  provide good
protection  for the eyes.  Being in the shade of buildings or trees also reduces the UV-B dose  received.

   Sunscreens may  be a useful addition, especially for  occasions when  an unusually high exposure is
expected, such as a  holiday in a sunnier area. Sunscreens are effective against sunburn. To some extent, they
may  also be protective  against skin cancer, as long as they are not used to prolong the exposure. Several
experimental results suggest that the effectiveness of sunscreens against the effects of UV-B radiation  on
the immune system is limited. Continuous use of sunscreens with  a high protection factor is  sometimes
advocated, but it may be counterproductive;  such "sunblocks" also  block both the formation of Vitamin
D3 in the  skin and the body's own defense systems, such as adaptation to the UV environment by thickening
of the outer skin layers and tanning.

Methyl Bromide

   Methyl  bromide (MeBr) is discussed here because of its potential contribution to ozone depletion and
its adverse effects on living organisms. Despite its ozone-depletion potential, current revisions to the
Montreal Protocol do not require phase-out of MeBr,  rather production is limited to the amount
produced in 1991. A variety of countries have taken unilateral action which range in level of severity; for

                                                 37

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 example, the Netherlands banned all soil uses in  1992, Denmark and Italy plan a total phase out in  1998
 and 2000, respectively, the  US will ban production and importation in January 2001, and Canada plans a
 25% reduction in 1998 [US EPA, 1994]

    McBr is a colorless, generally odorless, ozone-depleting gas which is widely used for fumigation of soil
 (77%), commodities and quarantine facilities (12%) and sub-surface structures (5%). Current uses result in
 significant releases  to  the atmosphere. Methyl bromide is  toxic by all routes of exposure.  Immediate
 effects from acute exposures show a dose-dependent increase in severity ranging from dizziness, headache,
 nausea, contact burns  to the eyes and skin, respiratory irritation, venticular fibrillation, pulmonary edema  -
 (sometimes delayed for several days), convulsions, coma and death. The Time-Weighted Average
 occupational limit recommended in  the United States  by the American Conference  of Government
 Industrial Hygienists is 5 ppm. Signs of toxicity in humans following chronic exposure  have included
 persistent numbness in the hands and legs, impaired superficial sensation, muscle weakness, unsteadiness of
 gait, and depressed or absent distal tendon reflexes; however, once exposure has ceased, symptoms generally
 disappear and recovery is complete [HSDB 1994].

    Animals show similar signs of toxicity. Studies on horses, goats, cows and cattle  fed  hay or food
 contaminated with various levels of MeBr (ranging from 170 to 8400 ppm) displayed symptoms which
 ranged in a dose-dependent fashion and included  difficulty in walking, incoordinate^ movement and gait,
 listlcssness, inability to rise, and even death.  MeBr is also  toxic to aquatic species with acute and chronic
 toxicity to salt water species occurring at levels as low as  11  and 6.4 mg/1, respectively. A similar level
 for acute toxicity was found for fresh water species [HSDB  1994].

 Toxicity of CFC Substitutes

    As  the production  of fully halogenated chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) ceases pursuant to  the provisions
 of the  Montreal Protocol and the London and Copenhagen Amendments, a variety of potential CFC
 substitutes arc likely to be  introduced into the environment. The toxicity of these chemicals is  of interest:
 clearly, we do not want to introduce chemicals as replacements which are more problematic than those we
 are replacing. Table 2.1 summarizes what is currently known about the toxicology of the more common
  /9.S .  stitutcs: hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and hydrochterofluorocarbons (HCFCs), and terpenes. Most
 of this information has been drawn from references found either in the open literature or submitted to EPA
 under  the requirements of TSCA. In those cases with a sufficient database, EPA has derived a Reference
 Concentration (RfC), which is the concentration,  at which  exposure for a lifetime should be without
 adverse effect. The process  of deriving these numbers basically involves selection of a No Observed Adverse
 Effect  Level (NOAEL) and  dividing it by an uncertainty factor that reflects differences in individual
sensitivity, differences in species responsiveness, and inadequacies in the database (such as the lack of a
two-generation reproduction study or a Lowest Observed Adverse Effect Level [LOAEL]).

   Several chemicals have been the focus of extensive animal studies. The conclusions of such studies can
promote a basis for determining the adverse human effects  of these compounds. For example, HCFC-141b
/!TMO   J?ined t0 decrcase reproductive performance; HCFC-124 has had transient central nervous system
(CNS)  effects; and HCFC-22 exposure has increased liver,  kidney, adrenal, and pituitary weights  On the
Other hand, HFC-134a, HCFC-142b, and HCFC-152a have shown no signs of adverse effects.

  TABLE 2.1. Update on Potential CFC Substitutes
   UntMIUAL
   d-Limonene
   CASRN: 5989-27-5
   alpha-Pinene
   CASRN: 80-56-8
                                 ADVERSE EFFECTS
                                 according to 'he EPA_documgntatjon an ! ioview;_qf_jho in^.ljtion RfC
EPA revicv/sd the date for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the m/--  •••'. di.l-t.jS3 n^ces^ary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) \\--j •••:>' b-en me1, (EPA 1993). The compound is listed on FDA's Generally
Rega.-.J •; as Uafo (GRAS) list and is approved for use as a food additive (Opdyke
1975). A chronic bioassay involving exposure via oral administration resulted in
kidney damage in the male rats (NTP 1990); however, the mechanism involves
alpha2uglobulin which has been judged an inappropriate endpoint for effects
occurring in humans (USEPA 1991)
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). The compound is listed on FDA's Generally
Regarded as Safe (GRAS) list and is approved for use as a food additive (Opdyke
1975). EPA has judged that there are no chronic studies by inhalation or oral
routes of exposure which are adequate to the development of an RfC. Contact
hypersensitivity studies in humans suggest that this compound is a contact
allergen. (Cachao et al. 1986)
                                                 38

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 beta-Pinene
 CASRN: 127-9193
 EPA reviewed the data'for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
 the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
 (RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). The compound is listed on FDA's Generally
 Regarded as Safe (GRAS) list and is approved for use as a food additive (Opdyke
 1975). EPA has judged that there are no chronic studies by inhalation or oral
 routes of exposure which are adequate to the development of an RfC. Contact
 hypersensitivity studies in humans suggest that this compound is a contact
 allergen. (Cacnao et al. 1986)
 1,1-Dich!oro-2,2,2-
 trifluoroethane
 HCFC-123
 CASRN: 306-83-2
 EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and derived a verified inhalation     -
 reference concentration (RfC) of 10 mg/cu m (1.6 ppm)(EPA1992) based on a
 chronic inhalation bioassay in which rats were administered the compound at 0,
 300,1,000 or 5,000 ppm 6 hours/day 5 days/week for 2 years (Malley 1990). The
 study identified a NOAEL (1,000 ppm) and a LOAEL (5,000 ppm) with the critical
 effects being increased relative liver weight, focal histopathology in the liver, an
 effect on lipid metabolism, and at high concentrations (5,000 ppm), CNS
 depression. The European Center for Ecotoxicology and Toxicology has
 completed a review of this chemical (ECETOC I994).
Chlorod'rfluoromethan e
HCFC-22
CASRN: 74-45-6
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and derived a verified inhalation
reference concentration (RfC) of 50 mg/cu m (14 ppm)(EPA1992; EPA1994)
based on a chronic inhalation bioassay in which rats were administered the
compound at 0,1,000, 10,000 or 50,000 ppm 5 hours/day 5 days/week for slightly
more than 2 years (Tinston et al. 1981). The study identified a NOAEL (10,000
ppm) and a LOAEL (50,000) with the critical effects being increased liver, kidney,
adrenal and pituitary weights.
2-Chloro-1,1,1,2-
tetrafluoroethane
HCFC-124
CASRN: 2837-89-0
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and derived a verified inhalation
reference concentration (RfC) of 300 mg/cu m (143 ppm)(EPA1992; EPA1994)
based on a subchronic inhalation bioassay in which rats were administered the
compound at 0, 5,000, 15,000 or 50,000 ppm 6 hours/day, 5 days/week for 90
days (Malley 1991). The study identified a NOAEL (15,000 ppm) and a LOAEL
(50,000 ppm) with the critical effects being transient CNS effects. The European
Center for Ecotoxicology and Toxicology has completed a recent review of this
chemical (ECETOC 19941. .	
1,1,1,2-Tetrafluoro-ethane
HFC-134a
CASRN: 811-97-2
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and derived a verified inhalation ref-
erence concentration (RfC) of 100 mg/cu m (71 ppm)(EPA1992; EPA1994) based
on a chronic inhalation bioassay in which rats were administered the compound at
0, 2,500,10,000 or 50,000 ppm 6 hours/day, 5 days/week for 2 years (Hext and
Mould 1991). The study identified a NOAEL (50,000 ppm) but not a LOAEL.	
1,1 -Dichloro-1 -f luoroethane
HCFC-141b
CASRN: 1717-00-6
1 -Chloro-1,1 -difluoroethane
HCFC-142b
CASRN: 75-68-3
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and derived a verified inhalation
reference concentration (RfC) of 100 mg/cu m (21 ppm)(EPA1992; EPA1994)
based on the interim report of a 2 generation reproduction study in which rats were
administered the compound by inhalation at 0, 2,000, 8,000 or 20,000 ppm 6
hours/day, 7 days/week for  10 weeks prior to first mating, unexposed for a short
interval around parturition, then exposed with the same regiment through a
second mating and delivery  until the F1B offspring were 4 days old (Brooker et al.
1992). The study defined a NOAEL (8,000 ppm) and a LOAEL (20,000 ppm) with
the critical effect being decreased reproductive performance.
1,1-Difluoroethane
HCFC-152a
CASRN 75-37-6
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and derived a verified Inhalation ref-
erence concentration (RfC) of 50 ing/eu m (12 ppm)(EPA1992; EPA1994) based
on a chronic inhalation bioassay in which rats were administered the compound at
0, 1,000, 10,000 or 20,000 ppm 6 hours/day, 5 days/week for 80 weeks (Seckar et
al. 1986). The study jdgntjfied_a_NOAEL jgO.OOgppm) but not a LOAEL.	
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and derived a verified JiVfel
reference concentration (RfC) of 40 mg/cu m (15 ppm)(EPA199^; EPA1994)
based on a chronic inhalation bioassay in which ra;s were administered the
compound at C, 2.CCO, 10,000 or 25,000 ppm 6 hours/day, 5 days/week for 2
years (McAlc: '* and Schneider 1992). The study identified a NOAEL (25,000 ppm)
but not a LOALl.
Pentafluoroethane
HFC-125
CASRN: 354-33-6
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). The acute inhalation toxicity of
pentafluoroethane is very low with a 4 hour LC50 of 709,000 ppm (Panepinto
1990). Developmental toxicity studies in rats and rabbits have revealed no
toxicity at 15,000 ppm and only slight anesthetic effects in rats at 50,000 ppm
(Masters et ai. 1992;  Masters et al. 1992)  The compound is a cardiac sensitizer in
dogs at concentration above 100,000 ppm (Hardy et al.  1992). The  European
Center for Ecotoxicology and Toxicology cf Chemicals has completed a recent
review of this chemnical (ECETOC 1994).
                                                39

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1,3-D!chloro-1,1,2,2.3-
pentafluoropropane
HCFC225cb
CASRN: 507-55-1
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). Several short-term inhalation studies either
of HCFC-225cb in rats at concentrations as high as 41,216 ppm for four hours
(Jackson et al. 1992) or of the mixed isomers (HCFC-225cb;HCFC-225ca) in mice
at concentrations as high as 13,000 ppm for four weeks (Frame et al. 1992)
induced changes in lipid and carbohydrate metabolism at several concentrations.
However, these effects were reversible after a 14 day recovery period.
1,1-Dichlor-2,2,3,3,3-
pentafluoropropane
HCFC225ca
CASRN: 507-55-1
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). Several short-term inhalation studies either
of HCFC-225cb in rats at concentrations as high as 46,527 ppm for four hours
(Jackson et al. 1992) or of the mixed isomers (HCFC-225cb;HCFC-225ca) in mice
at concentrations as high as 13,000 ppm for four weeks (Frame et al. 1992)
induced changes in lipid and carbohydrate metabolism at several concentrations.
However, these effects were reversible after a 14 day recovery period.
Trifluoromethane
HFC-23
CASRN: 75-46-7
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). A subchronic inhalation study in rats at
10,000 ppm or dogs at 5,000 ppm 6 hours/day 7 days/week for 90 days showed no
adverse effects in either species (Leuschner et al. 1983). Cardiac sensitization
testing in dogs at concentrations as high as 300,000 ppm revealed no activity
(Hardy 1992)
Difluoromethane
R-32; FC-32
CASRN: 75-10-5
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). Exposure of rats to 200,000 ppm 6
hours/day, 5 days/week for 2 weeks  revealed no treatment related effects (Moore
1976). Cardiac sensitization testing in dogs revealed that rare individuals were
sensitive at concentrations of 250,000 (1/12) (Mullin 1993).	
1,1,1-Trifluoroethane
HCFC 143a
CASRN: 420-46-2
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). Exposure of rats to 1, 2,000,10,000, or
39,000 ppm 6 hours/day 5 days/week for 4 weeks showed testicular effects in
animal exposed nose-only but no effects in animals given whole body inhalation
exposures leading to the conclusions that the finding with nose-only exposures
may be related to stress (Warheit et al. 1991,1992)
1,1.1,2,3.3,3-
Heptafluoropropane
(HCF-227ea)
CASRN: 43-89-0
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). No data were found.
Perfluorobutane
FC-3-1-10
CASRN: 355-35-9
Perfluorohexane
FC-5-1-14
CASRN: 355-42-0
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). A subchronic (90 day) inhalation exposure
of rats  to 0, 5,000,15,000 or 50,000 ppm 6 hours/day, 5 days/week induced no
exposure related adverse effects (Kenny et al.  1992) suggesting that 50,000 ppm
is a NOAEL for this compound. Cardiac sensitization testing in dogs at
concentrations as high as 170,000 ppm reveal  no activity as a sensitizer (Hardy
and Kieran 1992)	
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (FPA 1993). Acute exposures as high as 79,000 ppm for
4 hours were not lethal to rats (Jackson et al. 1992) nor is the compound a cardiac
sensitizer in dogs at levels as high as 400,000 ppm (Hardy and Kieran 1992).
Bromodifluoromethane
FM-100
CASRN: 1511-62-2
EPA reviewed the data for this chemical and determined that the requirements for
the minimal database necessary to develop an inhalation reference concentration
(RfC) have not been met (EPA 1993). However, in a developmental toxicity study
of rats exposed to 0, 1,000, 4,000, or 10000 ppm 6 hours/day on gestation days
6-15, a NOAEL of 4,000 and a LOAEL of 10,000 ppm were observed for both
developmental and maternal toxicity (Nemec 1991b). A similar NOAEL for rabbits
can be derived from Nemec (1991c). Cardiac sensitization potential testing in
doqs revealed a NOAEL of 3,000 com.
                                                40

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Zicgler, A., D. J.  Lefell, S. Kunala, H. W. Sharma, M. Gailani, J. A. Simon, P.  E.  Shapiro, P. E. Bale,  and '
   D. E. Brash (1993) Mutation hotspots due to sunlight in the p53 gene of nonmelanoma skin cancers
   Proc. Nad. Acad.  Sci. USA 90:4216-4220.

Zigman, S., T. Paxia,  T.  McDaniel, M. F. Lou, and N-T Yu (1991) Effect of chronic near-ultraviolet
   radiation on the gray  squirrel lens  in vivo, Invest. Ophthalmol. Vis.  Sci. 32:1723-1732

Zmudzka, B.  Z. and J. B. Beer (1990) Activation of human immunodeficiency virus by ultraviolet radiation
Photochem. Photobiol. 6:1153-1162.
                                               48

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                                      CHAPTER  3
    EFFECTS  OF  INCREASED  SOLAR  ULTRAVIOLET
            RADIATION  ON  TERRESTRIAL   PLANTS
          MM. Caldwell (USA), A.H. Teramura (USA), M. Tevini (FRC ), J.F. Bornman (Sweden),
                          LO. Bjorn (Sweden), and G. Kulandaivelu (India)
Summary

   Physiological and developmental processes of plants are affected by UV-B radiation, even by the
amount of UV-B in present-day sunlight. Plants also have several mechanisms to ameliorate or repair
these effects and may acclimate to a certain extent to increased levels of UV-B.  Nevertheless,  plant
growth can be directly affected by UV-B radiation. Response to UV-B also varies considerably among
species and also cultivars of the same species. In agriculture, this will necessitate using more UV-B-
tolerant cultivars and breeding new ones. In forests and grasslands, this will likely result in changes in
species composition; therefore there are implications for the  biodiversity in different ecosystems. Indirect
changes caused by UV-B (such as changes in plant form, biomass allocation to parts of the plant, timing of
developmental phases and secondary metabolism) may be equally, or sometimes more, important than
damaging  effects of UV-B. These changes can have important implications  for plant competitive balance,
herbivory,  plant pathogens, and biogeochemical cycles-JThese ecosystem-level effects can be anticipated,
but not easily predicted or evaluated. Research at the ecosystem level for solar UV-B is barely beginning.'
Other factors, including those involved  in climate change such as increasing CO2 also interact with  UV-B.
Such reactions are not easily predicted, but are of obvious importance in both agriculture and in
nonagricultual ecosystems.
Introduction

   Since the first reports of potential stratospheric ozone reduction over 20 years ago (e.g., [Johnston,
1971; Crutzen, 1972]}, UV-B (280-315 nm) effects on higher plants have been the subject of considerable
research. Approximately 350 papers have appeared, but the majority of these deal with herbaceous,
agricultural plants under laboratory or glasshouse conditions. Fewer than 5% of the studies have been
conducted under field conditions, and fewer still with plants from forests and other nonagricultural
systems. While the laboratory and glasshouse studies provide information on mechanisms  and processes of
L'V-B action,  only the field studies can provide realistic assessments of what will happen as  the
stratospheric ozone layer thins.

   Several reviews of this literature have appeared  in the last five years [Bornman, 1989;  Caldwell et al.,
1989; Tevini and Teramura, 1989; Krupa and Kickert, 1989; Tevini, 1993; Bornman and Teramura, 1993;
Caldwell and Flint, 1993, 1994a, 1994b; Tevini, 1994; Teramura and Ziska, 1994; Teramura and Sullivan,
1994]. The present chapter provides an overview with interpretation of the results for both agriculture and
other ecosystems such as forests, grasslands, etc. It also includes a brief consideration of the potential
effects of the breakdown products of new man-made chemicals being brought into use which are less
offending to the ozone layer.

   Figure 3.1 shows some of the effects  of UV-B radiation on plant processes.
                                             49

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                                         Whole Plant Growth
Rg.3.1. The influence of UV-B radiation on plant processes.

The Biological Effectiveness of  Changes in  Sunlight

   As explained in Chapter 1, the biological effectiveness of UV-B solar radiation needs to be considered
in assessing what ozone reduction, and the resulting changes in solar radiation, potentially mean for plants
and other organisms. The biological weighting functions used for this purpose often come from action
spectra. Action spectra assumed to be relevant for plants (Figure 3.2) all indicate that the shorter UV-B
wavelengths arc  the most important. However, the relative importance of shorter vs longer UV-B
wavelengths (the slopes in Figure 3.2) vary considerably. Depending on these slopes, the Radiation
Amplifications Factors  (discussed in Chapter 1) vary enormously. Action spectra  that do not decrease
sharply with increasing wavelength result in small RAF values. Thus, the evaluation of weighting functions
(and therefore action spectra) is critical. There is evidence that action spectra for many plant functions
arc steep indicating that ozone reduction translates  into large increases in effective solar UV-B
[Caliiwcll,  1971; Setlow 1974].  Some more recent spectra developed specifically for evaluating the ozone
reduction problem show  flatter slopes (and therefore  lower RAF values) than the  earlier work [Caldwell et
ill,, 1986; Steinmueller, 1986; Quaite et a,L, 1992].  Still,  these spectra are sufficiently steep so that ozone
reduction must be taken seriously. Biological weighting  functions also are  needed to relate solar UV to
UV from artificial sources used in experiments.
                                                 50

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                                PLANT
                                380 DU
DNA
180DU
Plant
growth
Alfalfa
                       100  -r
                 0)

                 I
                 C
                 as
                 CT

                    0.0001
                                                                                T  1000
                                     100   ^
                                           E
                                           v
                                          N  '
                       0.1  --
                                                                                --  10
                                                                                          8
                      001  --
                     0.001  --
                                                                                -•  1
                                                                                    0.1
                           280   290   300   310   320   330   340   350    360
                                              Wavelength [nm]
Fig.3.2. Action spectra for DNA damage [Setlow, 1974], DNA dimer formation (a type of DNA damage) in alfalfa seedlings
        [Quaite etal., 1992a], growth inhibition in seedlings [Steinmuller, 1986], and generalized plant responses
        [Caldwell, 1971]. The generalized plant action spectrum was developed from action spectra available in 1971 for
        several processes of higher and lower plants. It has been widely used for calculating UV irradiance in
        experiments with higher plants. Solar spectral irradiance at 360 and 180 Dobson Units (DU) of atmospheric
        ozone is also shown. (A Dobson Unit is an expression used for describing thickness of the ozone layer at
        standard temperature and pressure; 1 mm ozone layer thickness is equivalent to 100 DU.)  The solar irradiance is
        calculated for latitude 49° N at solar noon on Julian date 173 using the model of Green et al., [1980].
   Apart  from action spectrum considerations, it is important in  experiments to  maintain a realistic
balance between  different spectral regions  since both UV-A (315-400 nm) and visible (400-700 nm)
radiation can have strong ameliorating  effects on responses of plants to UV-B  [Caldwell et al.,  1994]. In
growth  chamber and greenhouse experiments, the visible and UV-A radiation is usually much less than in
sunlight. Thus, even if realistic levels of UV-B  are used in simulating ozone reduction,  the  plant response
may be exaggerated relative  to field conditions. Even under field conditions, if applied UV-B is not
adjusted downward during cloudy periods,  the UV-B sensitivity may  be unduly pronounced. Unfortunately,
the most expensive and  difficult experiments, i.e.,  those conducted in the field with UV-B  supplements'
adjusted for cloudiness and other atmospheric conditions, are seldom undertaken.
                                                  51

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    As indicated in subsequent sections, another approach which achieves appropriate spectral balance is to
 filter existing solar radiation to modify the UV-B component. This has been done either with materials
 such as plastic filters or using ozone gas as a filter  [Tevini et al., 1990]. For the latter system, in identical
 growth chambers, different UV-B levels can be achieved by filtering sunlight using  ozone (the  ozone gas is
 passed through an envelope of UV-transparent Plexiglas). In these growth chambers other factors such as
 temperature and CO2 can be controlled. This is a considerable technical improvement on other UV-B
 modification experiments using filtering materials such as glass, plastic films, etc.  Growth and other
 responses of intact seedlings can be evaluated in these chambers, but they are too  small for larger plants.
 Of course,  all  these UV-B  filtering approaches  can only result in lowering, but not increasing, solar UV-
 B under the particular conditions experienced.

 Plant Growth Responses

 General Effects in Individual Plants

    Enhanced UV-B  radiation  can have  many direct and indirect effects on plants including inhibition of
 photosynthesis, DMA damage, changes in morphology, phenology, and biomass accumulation. Most of the
 work to date has concentrated on crop plants from  temperate regions, whereas little has been done on
 tropical and nonagricultural plants. Sensitivity to UV-B radiation, defined  as the relative change induced
 by UV-B  on plant growth,  morphology, or yield, depends  on plant species, cultivar, developmental stage
 and experimental  conditions.

 Plant Growth

    In many plant species reduced leaf area and/or stem growth have been found in studies carried out in
 growth chambers,  greenhouses and in the field [Tevini and  Teramura, 1989; Johanson et al., 1994]. Studies
 where the ozone  filter technique with special growth chambers -under solar radiation (in Portugal at  39°
 latitude) showed that higher solar UV-B (close  to ambient levels) can result in  smaller plants with reduced
 leaf area compared with plants under reduced UV-B levels [Tevini etui., 1990, 1991a; Mark, 1992]. These
 observations correspond with results obtained in other studies  with artificial  UV-B  in  greenhouses, growth
 chambers  [Tevini and Iwanzik, 1986] and in the  field [Teramura and Murali, 1986]. To provide differently
 filtered solar UV-B  on a relatively larger  scale, different  thicknesses of UV-transparent Plexiglas have
 been used in greenhouses. The greenhouses (also located in  Portugal) were covered with either 3 or 5 mm
 Plexiglas,  providing a 10% difference in weighted solar UV-B. Even with this small difference in solar
 UV-B attenuation, reductions in growth of different cultivars of bean were observed under the higher level
 of solar UV-B (with  the 3-mm Plexiglas).

   Two studies on rice cultivars from different geographical regions were carried out in greenhouses with
 an enhanced daily  dose of UV-B  radiation using lamps [Teramura et al.,  1991J. Of 16 rice cultivars  native
 to the Philippines, India, Thailand, China, Vietnam, Nepal  and Sri Lanka, about one third showed
statistically significant decreases  in  total biomass and leaf area. Tiller number, correlated with yield, was
reduced in 6 of the cultivars (Figure 3.3). The Sri Lanka cultivar, Kurkaruppan, however, showed increases
in both total biomass and tiller number, indicating that selective breeding might be a  successful tool for
obtaining  UV-B tolerant cultivars [Teramura, et  al., 1991].  In another study with rice cultivars  from the
Philippines,  total biomass changes were  different among cultivars, with IR74 being  the most sensitive and
IR64 the least sensitive  [Figure 3.3; Barnes  et al., 1993]. Field experiments are currently underway in the
Philippines using  modulated UV-B lamp systems which should provide some realistic estimates of rice
cultivar response to  UV-B radiation.
                                                 52

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                        Biomass
Leaf Area
                                                                       Tiller Number
 Fig. 3.3.A. Summary of a greenhouse study examining 16 rice cultivars grown with and without UV-B radiation simulating a
          20% ozone depletion over the equator. The proportion of cultivars which has significantly reduced biomass,
          leaf area, and tiller number are shown in peroents [Teramura et al,, 1991].
                        Biomass
                                                Leaf Area
                                                                       Tiller Number
 Fig. 3.3 B. Selected data from a study examining 22 rice cultivaTrgrown with and without UV-B radiation simulating a 5% -
          reduction in stratospheric ozone in Spring for the Philippines. The proportion of cultivars with significantly
          reduced total weight, leaf area, and tiller number are shown in percents [Barnes et al., 1993].

    The molecular basis for many of the changes observed following UV-B exposure is not yet well defined.
 Responses may result from direct damage to essential cell components and by UV-B  absorbed by specific
 photoreceptors or growth regulators [Ensminger and Schdfer, 1992; Ballare et al., In press]. Preliminary
 experiments suggest that flavins may function as UV-B photoreceptors for the induction of pigment
 synthesis and inhibition of elongation [Ensminger and Schdfer, 1992; Ballare et al., In press]. Elongation
 growth is influenced by the auxin, indole acetic acid, which absorbs in the UV-B range and could be
 photodegraded by high levels of UV-B  radiation. Oxidative enzymes, such as the peroxidases, are increased
 by enhanced UV-B radiation, and may be involved in plant hormone regulated growth responses, as shown  in
 sunflower [Ros 1990]. The levels of another plant hormone, ethylene, which causes greater radial growth and
 less elongation, are increased after irradiation with UV-B in, e.g.,  sunflower seedlings  [Ros 1990] and
 cultured shoots of pear plants [Predieri ct al. 1993].

 Flowering

    Ultraviolet-B radiation can alter both the  time of flowering [Caldwell, 1968; Ziska et al., 1992; Saile-
 Mark, 1993; Staxen and  Bornman, 1994] as well as the number of flowers in certain species. For example,
 Rau et al., [1988] found  substantial decreases in flowering from UV-B irradiation. Differences in timing '
 of flowering may  have important consequences for the availability of pollinators. The reproductive parts
 of plants, such as  pollen  and ovules, are rather well shielded from solar UV-B  radiation. For example
 anther walls can absorb more than 98% of incident UV-B  [Flint and Caldwell, 1983]. In addition, the
pollen wall  contains UV-B  absorbing  compounds affording protection during pollination. Only after
 transfer to the stigma  might pollen be susceptible to solar UV-B  radiation. Germinating pollen  can  be
sensitive at this time to UV-B [Flint and  Caldvell, 1984]. The overall significance of this in the context
of the ozone reduction problem is unclear and needs to be assessed.
                                                  53

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 Limitation of Growth Chamber Studies

    In growth chambers and greenhouses the radiation conditions are usually quite different from those in
 the field. For example,  the visible radiation which is used in photosynthesis (400 to 700 nm,
 photosynthetically active radiation, PAR) and the UV-B/UV-A/PAR ratios are different from those  in
 the field. As mentioned earlier, if UV-A and PAR are low, the effects of UV-B may be much more severe
 (see above). In addition, other factors, such as temperature, water and nutrients differ from conditions in
 the field and this can alter response to UV-B radiation. However,  experiments in controlled conditions
 arc usually necessary as a first step in defining plant response  to specific combinations of UV-B and other
 environmental factors. It is, however, important that these studies conducted under controlled  conditions
 be verified as much as possible under field conditions.

 Translating Whole-Plant Reactions to Ecosystem Responses

   Plants compose most of the living mass in terrestrial ecosystems. Although there can be  effects of UV-
 B directly on microbes and animal life (e.g., [Blaustein et al., 1994; Gehrke et ul.,  In press], see also
 Chapters 2 and 4), most of the ecosystem-level responses of solar  UV-B are anticipated to  be mediated
 through the effects on plants. As shown in Figure 3.4,  the major anticipated effects of increased solar UV-
 B on agricultural and nonagricultural ecosystems (such as forests, grasslands, savannahs, deserts, tundra,
 etc.) may result from changes in plant growth and form  and secondary chemical composition. Although the
 principal processes may  be the same in highly managed agroecosystems and in nonagricultural ecosystems,
 their importance is thought to  be different. Therefore, different schemes are presented for each in Figure
 3.4. Some  forest systems, such  as plantations, can be considered as  agricultural systems for these purposes.
            Agriculture
Forests, -grasslands, deserts, etc.
                                                       species
                                                     composition
                                                     (biodiversity)
Fig. 3.4. Possible important consequences of increased solar UV-B in highly managed systems such as agricultural and
       forest plantation systems and in nonagricultural, less intensively managed ecosystems.
                                                 54

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 Competitive Balance

    In forests, grasslands, etc., overall primary plant productivity may not be greatly affected by ozone
 reduction even if the growth of some plants is diminished. However, since plant species differ greatly in
 growth  responsivity to UV-B, it is anticipated that a productivity reduction of one species will  probably
 lead  to  increased productivity of another, more UV-tolerant species.  This is conceivable because more
 resources (e.g., light, moisture and nutrients) will be available  to the tolerant species. Thus,  the overall
 productivity of the system may well remain about the same while species composition may change.
 However, a change in the balance of species could have far-reaching consequences for many ecosystems.
    Another mechanism whereby the competitive balance of plant species can be changed by increased UV-B
 is through changes in plant form. Even if plant production per se is not affected by increased UV-B,
 changes in plant  form can result in changes in which species  can more effectively compete for sunlight.
 This  phenomenon has been demonstrated in several experiments. For  example,  in a five-year field study
 using modulated  UV-B lamp systems, the competitive balance of two species (wheat and a common weed,
 wild  oat) could be changed even though the increased UV-B had no effect on production and growth of
 these species if grown by themselves [Barnes et */., 1988]. A quantitative analysis of competition for
 sunlight in the mixed stands with and without supplemental UV-B showed that subtle changes in  plant form
 of the two species were  sufficient to change the balance of competition for sunlight which is necessary for
 photosynthesis [Ryel et */., 1990]. Therefore, one species can achieve some advantage over the other because
 one captures more sunlight for photosynthesis. In these experiments, the wheat benefited from increased
 UV-B and the weed suffered. However, in other mixtures of crop and weeds, the situation could well be
 reversed. Also, other changes in plant form, such as greater allocation of biomass to roots, might change
 competitive effectiveness of individual species  for soil moisture and nutrients.

    In grasslands  and forests that are not managed intensively, similar changes in species composition may
 be experienced. Of course, in forests this  would take rfoTig time to be realized. Also, if there are only a -
 few tree species present  and  they all are sensitive to solar UV-B and experience growth reduction,  overall
 forest productivity could decrease. Ecosystem-level  experiments with nonagricultural systems are only
 beginning [Johanson et al., In press].

 Timing of Life Phases

   The timing of life phases  of plants is a combination of response to environmental factors and the
 genetic constitution of the plant. This timing of events such as flowering, entering and breaking of
 dormancy, and even  senescence is important not only to the individual plant, but also in how plants  interact
 with  other plants and animals. For example, a shift in the timing of flowering can mean that a plant
 species might not have sufficient insect pollinators available at  the new time of flowering either because
 the insects are not present or because other plant species are attracting these pollinators. Such changes
 could also conceivably be important in agricultural systems, but intervention with management options may
 make these changes less important. As indicated earlier in this chapter,  increased UV-B  has been  shown to
 advance or delay  (depending on  species) the time of flowering in plants. There is little work at present on
 flowering responses and  virtually nothing  on other potential effects of UV-B on life phase timing.

 Plant Secondary Metabolism

   Another pathway  by which increased solar UV-B can have an influence at the ecosystem level is through
 changes in secondary metabolism of plant tissues. Increased UV-B  can alter secondary chemical
 composition. It has been shown repeatedly that flavonoids and related phenolic compounds increase when
 plants are exposed to increased UV-B. Apart from the UV-B protection afforded by increases of these
 compounds, there are many other ecological implications of changes in these and related compounds.
These compounds are important  for plants in deterring insects and other herbivores from consuming plant
 tissues and they play  a role in resistance to pathogens. For example, McCloud and Berenbaum [1994] have
shown that UV-B  can increase fiiranocoumarin content of plant  tissue which, in  turn, results in slower
development of certain insect larvae during early life stages of the larvae. In some legume, conifer and in

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 one woody dicotyledon (Vitis vinifera) UV-B has been shown to induce phytoalexin synthesis [Beggs
 Wellmann  1994}; some  phytoalexins are considered to be toxic to humans and many animal species, e.g.,
 coumestol a compound with estrogenic properties which is induced in bean plants exposed to UV-B [Beaas
 etal.1985].                                                                                     •**

    Secondary compounds that are important as structural materials in plants, such as lignin, are also
 related to flavonoids and phenolic compounds. If the ratio of lignin to cellulose in  plant tissues changes,
 it can alter the rate of decomposition. This  has very important implications for biogeochemical cycles as  "
 discussed in Chapter 5.

    Overall, the consequences of increased solar UV-B  in forests, grasslands and other nonagricultural
 ecosystems  may involve several complex pathways (Figure 3.4) rather than simply a reduction in overall
 ecosystem primary productivity. However, the effects of these more involved pathways are difficult to
 predict without conducting experiments with assemblages of plant species and long-term study of
 ecosystem- responses. This has, thus far, received very little attention  in actual research.

    Further discussion of implications  for specific types of ecosystems follows later  in this chapter.

 UV  Protection  and  Adaptive Responses

 UV Penetration

    Structural and biochemical changes induced by enhanced levels of UV-B radiation ultimately modify the
 penetration of UV radiation into the plant. For example, the induction of UV-screening pigments,
 typically flavonoids and certain other phenolic compounds, will reduce the  penetration of UV-B radiation
 to underlying tissues. Increased wax on leaf surfaces also can contribute to reduced penetration of UV due
 to increased reflection from the leaf surface,  although reflection for most leaves is usually not more than
 10% [Robberecht et al., 1980]. At the structural level, increased: length of inner leaf cells or  increases in
 cell number, both palisade and spongy mesophyll, influence the penetration and spectral distribution of
 UV radiation across a leaf. Direct measurements of UV penetration have been done  using a fibre optic
 microprobc [Bornman and Vogelmann, 1988; Day et al, 1992, 1993; see also Bornman and Teramura 1993;
 DcLucia et al., 1992; Cen and Bornman, 1993]. Ultraviolet radiation  penetration varies among different
 plant species and this should be reflected in the sensitivity of these species.  Penetration of UV-B was
 found to be greatest in herbaceous dicotyledons (broad-leaved plants) and was progressively less in woody
 dicotyledons, grasses and conifers [Day et al.  1992]. The UV penetration also changes with leaf age;
 younger leaves attenuate UV-B radiation less than do the more mature leaves, as was shown for some
 conifers [DeLitcia et al. 1991, DeLucia et al. 1992].

 Protection and Repair

   Although different species exhibit different UV-B attenuation depending  on pigments (such as
 flavonoids) and leaf structure, the level of attenuation can also change as more UV-B-absorbing pigments
 arc synthesized in response  to UV-B  exposure. Species also differ  in their ability  to increase  UV-B-
 absorbing pigment levels. Increased levels of flavonoids have been shown to directly reduce the levels of
 damage by UV-B [Tevini et al., 1991b]. The link between flavonoid levels and UV-B sensitivity is most vivid
 in extreme cases.  For example, Li et al. [1993] showed that mutants of a mustard species, Arabidopsis
 thalianti,  that lacked flavonoids  were  extremely sensitive to the  UV radiation. An  anthocynanin-deficient
 mutant of maize was found to be more sensitive to DNA damage by UV-B than the normal plants
 [Sttipleton and Wnlbot 1994]. In cabbage leaves, flavonoids were shown to accumulate in the epidermal
 layers in response to mild  UV-B exposure. The flavonoids protected the underlying tissues from DNA
damage in the form of thymine dimer formation [Beggs and Wellmann 1994]. In addition to adaptive
responses involving  pigment induction, changes in surface  waxes and certain leaf structural characteristics
may also contribute to reducing penetration of UV into the plant tissues. Increases in scavengers of free
radicals  and active oxygen species may also  mitigate the negative effects  of UV radiation [see  Bornman
and Teramura, 1993J.
                                                56

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    Another characteristic of plants is  the ability to repair damage. This may be exemplified by the
 replacement of damaged components, e.g., proteins, or by the light and dark processes involved in repair of
 DNA damage.  Under illumination, the enzyme DNA photolyase repairs the UV-induced production of
 pyrimidine dimers.  Both visible and UV-A radiation drive this repair, underlining again the importance of
 a balanced spectral  regime for experiments  not conducted in the field. A very effective repair capacity by
 DNA-photolyase in several plant  systems (cell cultures, isolated leaves, seedlings and mature  plants of
 several species) has  been demonstrated [Buchholz et al., In press; McLennan 1987], To date, little research
 has been done  on induction of pyrimidine dimers in plants; a recent exception is the work of Quaite et al.
 [1992 a,b] on  alfalfa seedlings.

 Interaction  of  UV-B and  Other Factors

    Plants in nature seldom are affected by only a single stress factor, such as  UV-B  radiation. Instead,
 plants typically respond to several factors acting in concert.  Therefore, it is important to keep in mind
 that the  effectiveness of UV-B radiation can be greatly modified by some of these other factors, in some
 cases aggravating, and in some cases  ameliorating the overall UV effect.

    Water stress commonly occurs in nature. In a field  study specifically designed to test the interaction
 between  UV-B  radiation and water stress, Sullivan and Teramura [1990] demonstrated that UV-B  mediated
 reductions in photosynthesis and growth were observed only in well-watered soybeans. When soybeans were
 water stressed, the same UV-B dose produced no significant effect on either photosynthesis or  growth. The
 interpretation of these observations was that water stress produced a large reduction  in photosynthesis and
 growth that thereby masked the UV-B effect. Furthermore, water stressed plants produced a higher
 concentration of leaf flavonoids, which in turn, provided greater UV-B protection.

    Increases of atmospheric CO2 and global warming  are anticipated in scenarios of future climate
 change. Model  calculations predict that the average gk&al temperature will  rise by 1.5 - 4.5°  and that
 atmospheric CO2 concentration will double by the latter part of the next century [Intergovernmental Panel
 on Climate Change  1992]. When studied independently, plant growth responses to changes in UV-B
 radiation and atmospheric CO2 concentration generally are thought to be in opposite directions, thereby
 leading some to the hypothesis of a canceling of effects. To date, only a few experiments have  been
 specifically designed to examine this important interaction. The first such study [Teramura et al., 1990b]
 included  two cereal  crops (rice  and wheat) and one legume (soybean). In that study, the increase in growth
 and seed yield resulting from a CO2 enrichment was eliminated by UV-B radiation in rice, reduced in wheat
 and unaffected in soybean. This suggests that overestimates in production may be made for cereal  crops if
 CO2 enrichment is  considered without UV-B radiation.

    In loblolly pine, Sullivan and Teramura [1994] reported that the combined effects of UV-B and  CO
 produce changes in  the proportion of dry matter in roots compared with aboveground shoots. At present-
 day levels of CO2, UV-B caused more shoot production than roots, while the same UV-B dose resulted in
 more roots at elevated levels of CO2. The implications of these changes is that plant competition and,
 therefore, ultimately community composition might be altered by these changes in allocation  patterns, as
 described earlier.

   As mentioned above, global climate change will likely include increased global mean  temperatures in
 addition  to increased  UV-B radiation. Unfortunately,  only, very limited information is  available on the
 consequences of these combined effects. In a study with sunflower and maize seedlings in the ozone-filter
 cuvette system mentioned earlier, Tevini et al. [1991b] found that photosynthesis was unaffected (maize) or
 declined (sunflower) with higher temperature when the UV-B in sunlight was attenuated with the ozone
 filter. In  contrast, overall seedling production was greater at higher temperatures in both species under
conditions approaching  ambient solar UV-B. This observation might be attributed to accelerated plant
development at the  higher temperature.

   Many metals such as cadmium, nickel, copper and lead, which can accumulate to high concentrations
from human activities, are  toxic to plants. The  stress imposed by high levels of metals may be  further
compounded with increased UV-B radiation. Dube and Bornman [1992] showed that in spruce (Picea abies)
                                                57

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with low levels of supplemental UV-B, the effect of the addition of cadmium was greater than for either
stress alone for some of the parameters measured. Mobilization of the essential trace element zinc can be
reduced by UV-B radiation [Ambler et al., 1975].

   The degree of susceptibility of plants to disease and insect attack may change under elevated levels of
UV-B  radiation. These effects will vary among species, cultivar and plant age. For example,  certain
diseases may be less damaging to the plant under conditions of high UV-B, while the severity of others may
be increased. The latter was shown in a study where sugar beet grown under elevated levels of UV-B
radiation was infected with a fungus  Cercospora  beticola leading to a deleterious additive effect from the
two stress factors [Panagofoulos et al., 1992]. The timing of infection is also of importance. Plants first
exposed to UV-B radiation may be more susceptible to subsequent infection as shown in a study of
cucumber infected with Colleotrichum lagenarium and Cladosporittm  cucumerinum prior to UV-B exposure
[Orth et al.,  1990]. Infection after UV exposure  had no effect on the severity of the disease.

   Interaction of UV-B with tropospheric air pollutants is also of concern although little  work has been
thus far conducted in this area. One field study of soybean plants showed them to be sensitive to ozone in
the air. However, they were not sensitive to UV-B supplements from lamps under the particular test
conditions and there were no significant interactions of supplemental UV-B and ozone  [Miller et al.,
1994].

Implications for  Agriculture, Forests  and Other  Ecosystems

Crops

   One of the primary concerns of future increases in solar UV-B radiation is  its potential  effect on
global  agriculture. Despite the enormous potential  consequences, we cannot yet make a quantitative
prediction of anticipated  effects  resulting  from stratospheric^ ozone depletion. This results from the
limitation in the controlled-environment studies as discussed earlier and the overall paucity  of
experiments performed in field trials. Even in comparisons of field  studies, there are large differences in
temperature, precipitation, soil types, etc.  from year to year  and in different locations. This adds to the
difficulty in making  generalizations about the effects.

   A six-year field experiment was conducted to evaluate the effects of UV-B supplementation in two
commercially grown  soybean cultivars [Teramura et al., 1990a]. These cultivars were specifically selected
for their contrasting  UV-B sensitivity previously determined by screening over 50 soybean cultivars under
greenhouse conditions.  (For perspective, nearly 2 out  of 3 of the cultivars screened for UV-B sensitivity in
the greenhouse exhibited sensitivity  to UV-B.)  In the field  experiments, artificial lamps with selected
filters were used in addition to the normal solar radiation. Plants were exposed to  either ambient levels of
solar UV-B or ambient  radiation supplemented with UV-B emitted by the lamps. When evaluated over the
entire six-year period, yield in the sensitive cultivar was reduced by 19 to 25%, in four of the six  years
(Figure 3.5). The other two years were characterized as hot and dry and all plants in the field  experienced
considerable water stress. As shown in subsequent field and greenhouse  studies, the effectiveness of UV-B
radiation is masked when the plants were subjected to other stresses such as drought (see section above).
   In the same study, while  the sensitive soybean cultivar exhibited decreased yield, production increased by
4 to 22% in the tolerant soybean cultivar.  Such cultivar differences in the response  to UV-B  radiation may
be important in future plant breeding considerations,  since it suggests that UV-B tolerance already
naturally exists in the modern soybean germplasm. A number of studies have shown that in addition to the
wide range of sensitivity found among species, an impressive  array of cultivar responses also have been
observed. Figure 3.3 shows the proportion of sensitive rice cultivars screened under greenhouse conditions.
Note that in this example, UV-B radiation elicits both positive as well as negative  responses in  rice.
Similarly, wide-ranging cultivar differences  have been reported in a number of plant ranging from crops
such as soybean to forest tree species such as loblolly  pine.
                                                 58

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                                                        Year
 Fig. 3.5 Summary of yields in a 6-year field study using two soybean cultivars: Essex previously identified as UV-B
        sensitive and Williams, UV-B tolerant. The studies utilized filtered fluorescent sun lamps to simulate a 25%
        ozone depletion over College Park, Maryland (39° NJatiiude). Values presented above represent percent
        changes from control plants receiving only ambient levels of UV-B radiation [Teramura era/., 1990a] Asterisks'
        represent years with drought.

    In addition to quantitative changes in crop yield, evidence exists for qualitative changes as well. For
 instance, in the study mentioned above, UV-B radiation also resulted in small changes on the order of 1 to
 5% in the protein and oil content of the  soybean seed.

    A wide range of experimental protocols and  methodologies have been used by different investigators
 which complicates the  assessment  of overall effects of elevated UV-B on crops. Several experiments
 reveal effects of UV-B  and several  do not.  Because of the  relatively  few field  studies  that have  been
 conducted, a  quantitative  prediction of the potential consequences  for global food production resulting
 from increased solar UV-B is not now possible.

 Forests

    Despite  the fact that over two  thirds of global terrestrial  productivity occurs in forest ecosystems,
 little  information exists on the effects of UV-B radiation on forest tree species. Tropical forests, though
 representing nearly one half of global productivity and  much  of the total tree species diversity, have
 received very little attention thus far in  respect to the ozone  reduction problem. Although little ozone
 reduction has thus far occurred in  the tropics, only a small decrease of ozone at these  latitudes results in
 an  absolute increase of UV-B since  solar UV-B is already very intense (see Chapter 1). One recent study
 showed that excluding  existing solar UV-B  with filters can result in increased growth  of some tropical'
 tree species [Senrles and, Caldwell,  in press]. However, for  the most  part, the  effects of UV-B radiation  on
 tropical tree species have been  largely ignored.

    Fortunately,  there is some information for midtemperate latitude tree species. Because  they are long
 lived, trees present a unique opportunity to observe the longer-term accumulative aspects of UV-B
 exposure. In one field study using loblolly pine [Sullivan and Teramura, 1992], seedlings from several
 different geographic regions were grown  for three consecutive years  under UV-B lamps in a field
experiment. Seedlings were exposed to either ambient solar UV-B or  ambient levels  supplemented with
                                                  59

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 the  UV-B  from lamps, similar to the soybean study above. After only the first year of UV-B exposure,
 reductions were observed in biomass of seedlings derived from several geographic areas. By the end of the
 third year, these biomass reductions were several-fold larger. These overall growth reductions were
 generally associated with small decreases in both roots and shoots, but not necessarily accompanied by
 reductions in photosynthesis. This may be due to changes in needle growth or shifts of allocation as has
 been found for some crop species. Therefore, these results suggest that the UV-B effects may be
 accumulative in long-lived plants such as trees, and that even small changes  in  UV-B  radiation might have
 significant  effects over the  life time of the  trees. Even in the absence of direct UV-B effects on tree
 biomass, UV-B radiation may still have ecological implications.  Changes in plant architecture or biomass
 allocation could result in alterations  in tree seedling competition, ultimately affecting patterns of forest
 succession.

 Other Ecosystems

   Although absolute UV-B irradiance is naturally very low in subarctic and Arctic ecosystems such as
 tundra, there is experimental evidence that  the plants in such a system react to increases in  UV-B
 associated with realistic levels of ozone depletion. In  a recent field study in  northern Sweden, natural
 dwarf shrub vegetation containing two evergreen species (Emfetrum hermaphroditum and Vaccinium vitis
 ifaa.) and two  deciduous species (V. myrtillus and V. ulijrinosum) was exposed to artificially enhanced
 UV-B radiation. Leaf thickness was  increased (V. vitis idaa.) or decreased (the deciduous species) while
 stem growth over a two-year period  was retarded more in evergreen species than in deciduous species. This
 suggests that a UV-B increase over an extended time could result in species composition changes
 [Johnmon et al. In press]. Not only  growth inhibitions, but also  species-specific  morphological changes
 have been observed, which, with time, may result in altered community composition.

 Chemical Effects  of Ozone  Depleting  Substances  and
 Breakdown  Products of  Replacement  Substances

   Trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) is a breakdown product of HFC134a, HCFC123 and 124 [WMO/UNEP
 1994] that is anticipated to achieve a final average concentration less than one  thousandth of that required
 for toxicity of plants,  making general  impacts on the earth's vegetation by TFA unlikely. Substantially
 higher concentrations  of TFA may occur in areas with low precipitation since the same quantity of TFA
 would be concentrated in less  rainfall. Toxic concentrations in soils could conceivably build up in areas
 with high evaporation rate  or lacking runoff, where salt stress excludes vegetation except for very
 specialized  species. Although plants  in such areas are of minor importance both  economically and for
 global primary production,  some are essential for migratory birds and other wildlife.  Further
 investigations should therefore be focused on such areas and species.

 Conclusion

   Mechanisms of UV-B action on plant systems are reasonably well understood when compared with our
 ability to assc!* potential  consequences of enhanced UV-B at the level of ecosystems. As global change
 involves not only increased  solar UV-B, but also increased atmospheric CO; concentrations and
 temperature chj-r.gcs, realistic assessments of the effect of si^iD^.-iteric ozone  reduction need to  consider
 intending  fdc:o:s. Effects of enhanced UV-B on terrcstjlr.1 i.:u;-,y.stcms  are anticipated,  both in
 agriculture, and in nonagricultural areas such as  forests, tundra, etc., but prediction of exact consequences,
 and sometimes even the direction of these changes, is not currently possible.

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                                        CHAPTER 4
     EFFECTS  OF  INCREASED  SOLAR  ULTRAVIOLET
            RADIATION   ON   AQUATIC   ECOSYSTEMS

             D.-P. Hader (FRG), R.C. Worrest (USA), H.D. Kumar (India), and R.C. Smith (USA)
 Summary
 SeaweeriMn            f       U                     '                    °f finfish> shellf^ and
 seaweed. More than 30% of the world's animal protein for human consumption comes from the sea and in
 many countries, particularly the developing countries, this percentage is significantly higher  As a 'result it
 is important to know how increased levels of exposure to solar UV-B radiation (280-315 nm) might   '
 affect the productivity of aquatic systems.

    In addition, the oceans play a key role with respect to global warming. Marine phytoplankton are a
 major sink for atmospheric carbon dioxide, and they have a decisive role in the development of future
 trends or carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere.  The relative importance of the net uptake  of
 carbon dioxide by the biological pump in the ocean and by the terrestrial biosphere is a topic of much
 current research.                                                                r

    Phytoplankton form the foundation  on which the very survival of aquatic food webs depends Marine
 pnytoplankton are not uniformly distributed throughout the oceans of the world. The highest concentrations
 are found at high latitudes while, with  the exception of upwelling areas on the continental shelves  the
 tropics and subtropics have 10 to 100  times lower concentrations. In addition to nutrients, temperature
 salinity and light availability, the high  levels of exposure to solar  UV-B radiation that normally occur
 witrun the  tropics and subtropics may play a role in phytoplankton distributions.

    A major loss in primary biomass productivity may have significant consequences for the intricate food
 web in aquadc ecosystems and  affect food productivity. It has been estimated that a 16% ozone depiction
 could result in a 5% loss  in phytoplankton, which equals a loss of about 7 million tons of fish per year
 Biological effects of small changes in UV-B  exposure may be difficult to determine because  the
 biological uncertainties and variations are large, and the  baseline productivity for pre-ozone-loss eras is
 not well  established.

    Phytoplankton  productivity  is limited to the euphoric zone, the upper layer of the water column in
 which there is sufficient sunlight to support net productivity. The position of the organisms in the
 euphoric  zone is influenced by the action of wind and waves. In addition, many phytoplankton  are capable
 of active  movements that enhance their productivity and, therefore, their survival. Like humans
 phytoplankton cannot perceive, and thereby avoid, UV-B radiation. Exposure  to solar  UV-B radiation has
 been shown to affect both orientation mechanisms and motility in phytoplankton, resulting in  reduced
 survival rates for these organisms.

    Researchers have directly measured the increase in, and penetration of, UV-B radiation in Antarctic
 waters, and have provided conclusive evidence of direct ozone-related effects within natural phytoplankton
 communities. Making use of the space and time variability of the UV-B front  associated with  the
 Antarctic  ozone hole, researchers assessed phvtoplankton productivity within the  hole compared to that
 outside the hole. The results show a direct reduction in phytoplankton production due to ozone-related
 increases  in UV-B. One study has indicated a 6 - 12 % reduction in the marginal  ice zone.

   In recent years, there has been an increased interest in  UV-B effects on macroalgae and seagrasses In
 contrast to  the phytoplankton,  most macrophytes are  attached to their growing site, thereby restrictine
 them to specific growth areas and the resultant exposure to UV-B radiation. Recent studies have
 demonstrated that photosynthesis is inhibited in many red, brown, and  green benthic algae.
rr,h           radiationuhas been, found to "use damage to early developmental stages of fish, shrimp,
crab, amphibians and other animals. The most severe effects are decreased reproductive capacity and
impaired larval development. Even at current levels,  solar UV-B radiation is  a limiting factor', and small
increases in UV-B exposure could result in significant reduction in the size of the population of
                                             65

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 consumer organisms. At high latitudes (over 40°N) the late-spring increases in UV-B  exposure may affect
 some species because the UV-B enhancement occurs at critical phases of their development. Even small
 increases or temporary fluctuations in UV-B  may affect relatively sensitive species.

    Recent studies have addressed the potential impact of chlorofluorocarbon substitutes and their
 degradation products. Some  HFCs and HCFCs, notably HFC134a, HCFC123, and HCFC124, are
 degraded generating  trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) as their main product. TFA is mildly toxic to most marine
 and freshwater phytoplankton. It is still speculative if TFA is concentrated in the food  web. Even if
 produced well  into the next  century, TFA is unlikely to reach toxic levels for oceanic  phytoplankton;
 however, it could reach toxic levels in restricted aquatic  systems.

    Although there is overwhelming evidence that increased UV-B exposure is harmful  to aquatic
 ecosystems, the potential damage can only be roughly  estimated at the present time.
 Introduction

    Aquatic ecosystems balance terrestrial ecosystems in biomass production which are assumed to
 incorporate large amounts of atmospheric carbon into organic  material with estimates between 90 and 100
 gigatons (Gt, 10'tons) annually  [Houghton and. Woodwell, 1989; Siejenthaler and Sarmiento, 1993].
 Therefore it  is important to know what effect increased solar UV-B irradiation has on marine productivity
 and on the whole ecosystem depending on this productivity as well as climatological processes linked with
 it [Smith, 1989; Prezelin etal., 1993]. As only 0.5 % of the water surface is freshwater, the marine systems
 are by far the most important in  the context of global carbon cycles. On the  other hand, a recent workshop
 on freshwater ecosystems convincingly demonstrated that lakes  are excellent  model systems for studying
 larger marine environments, and many of these systems are locally important.

    Since most macroalgae are restricted to coastal areas, the largest share in biomass production can  be
 attributed to phytoplankton. Phytoplankton constitute the basis for the intricate food web in the oceans
 and thus arc  a prerequisite for the crop of fish, crustaceans_and mollusks. Furthermore, as they are
 responsible for the uptake of half of the carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, any reduction  in the uptake
 capacity would result in an increase in the greenhouse effect, with subsequent impacts on global climate
 change. Recent investigations indicate that many aquatic ecosystems are under considerable UV-B stress
 even at current levels [Hader, 1993a;  Cullen and Lesser, 1991; Smith et al., 1992]. Being dependent on solar
 energy for photosynthesis, phytoplankton are restricted to the upper layers in the water column  where they
 arc exposed to high levels of short wavelength radiation. The subject  of UV-B effects on aquatic
 ecosystems has been covered in a number of recent reviews [Hader, 1993b; Acevedo and Nolan, 1993;  Weiler
 and Penhale,  1994; Cullen and Neale,  1994; U.S. DOE, 1993; SCOPE,  1992a,b; Holm-Hansen et al., 1993a,b;
 Tevtttt,  1993; Eiggs and Joyner, 1994;  Williamson and, Zagarese, 1994; Karentz et  al., 1994; Smith and Cullen,


 Primary producers

   Solar UV-B radiation has been found to affect DNA, to impair photosynthesis, enzyme activity and
 nitrogen incorporation, to bleach cellular pigments and to inhibit motility and orientation [Dohler et al,
 1991; Hader et al., 1989, 1991; Worrest and Hader, 1989; Hader and Worrest,  1991]. DNA is one of the
 targets of radiation, but in addition a host of other chromophores and proteins  are affected.  Thus, UV-B
 does not damage one key target in phytoplankton but has many deleterious effects  which differ in their
 action spectra. The action spectra are further complicated by antagonistic and  repair processes stimulated
 by UV-A and visible radiation. Figure  4.1 shows the action spectrum based on irradiance  response curves of
 UV inhibition of photosynthetic  oxygen production in a mass biomass producer, the cyanobacterium
 Ciodttlariti spumijjena, isolated from the Baltic Sea.

   In order to evaluate the effects of solar UV-B radiation on aquatic ecosystems  a number of basic
questions need to be answered:

    •What is  the  expected spectral distribution at the surface of the water on a  global basis as  a function
     of important physical, chemical, bio-optical, biological and  environmental parameters, e.g. time of
     day, season, ozone concentration, during the decades to come?

    •What is  the  spectral  penetration of solar short wavelength radiation as a function of depth in
     different water  types?
                                                66

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     •What is the vertical distributitin of the aquatic organisms in: the water column for major water types?

     •What is the biologically and spectrally weighted sensitivity of the  organisms  affected  by solar UV-B?

     •What are the extent and limits of UV repair and adaptation as well as the effects of other
      environmental factors in mitigating or augmenting UV effects?
             x   0.00175

             E   0.00150 4-   T

            2   0.00125 -•

             >   0.00100 --
             o
             §   0.00075 -•
            'o
            £   0.00050 -•
             o>

             E   0.00025 -•
             3
            O
                 0.00000
250     275     300      325     350

                       Wavelength   [nm]
                                                                              375
400
 Fig. 4.1. Action spectrum for the inhibition of photosynthesis in the cyanobacterium Nodularia spumigena

 Global distribution

    Phytoplankton are not uniformly distributed in the oceans of the world (Figure 4.2); the highest
 concentrations are found in the high latitude regions while the tropics and subtropics show 10 to 100
 times lower concentrations (with the exception of the upwelling areas on the continental shelves and near
 the equator). In addition to other factors including nutrients,  light availability and water column  stability
 UV-B radiation may play a role in this, as irradiance here is about several  times higher than in
 circumpolar areas [ffider, 1993b]. In temperate oceans phytoplankton blooms occur in spring and are
 reduced during summer. Sometimes there is a second bloom in autumn. Judging from this general pattern
.significant increases m  solar UV-B irradiation are  expected to have detrimental effects on phytoplankton
 productivity. Field studies conducted under  the Antarctic ozone hole have demonstrated some  impact on
 primary productivity. Since depletions in  global stratospheric ozone are expected to continue at  all
 latitudes well into the next century [Stolanki et */., 1992] the effects of increased UV-B on marine primary
 productivity may also be relevant outside polar regions. The influence of  UV-B on the abundance and
 distribution of phytoplankton remains a key uncertainty.

    In the last few years the role of nano- and picoplankton have been investigated. In the past  their
 existence was grossly underestimated because of their small size and technical problems during harvesting-
 today their contribution to the total biomass  is estimated to be at least 40 %. A similarly important role
 and significant biomass  productivity has been found for bacterioplankton which  are responsible for
 degradation and cycling of organic matter in the  sea. UV-B has been shown to strongly affect both
  ,ejn^fn^°n' 3S WCil aS the extracellular enzyme activity  of bacteria in subsurface waters [Herndl  et
 a.1., 1993J. There are also indications of large populations of viral particles (107 per ml) in the oceans the
 significance of which is not yet clear. The work of several workers [Karentz et al, 1994] suggests that
 small  organisms (bacterial and microalgae),  because of their size  and short generation times  are likely to
 be  more  susceptible to UV stress than larger organisms. As a consequence,  UV-B may play a key role in
 niche separation, lower  food web processes and species composition shifts.
                                                 67

-------
                                     °Cean'C ^^ production based uP°n an °Ptical model and satellite derived
 Vertical distribution

    The transparency of the water strongly depends on the water type [Piazena and Hdder, 19941- in coastal
 waters with high seston (particulate substances) and gelbstqff (yellow dissolved organic substances)
 concentrations UV-B may penetrate less  than  1 m to theTTl level; in contrast, in clear  oceanic waters
 ^oo^Fc011 C°t SC      KnS of meters has  been  shown (Figure 4.3) [Smith and Baker, 1979; Smith et al
 lyy^j. Several recent papers contain information  on bottom-ice algae and transmission of UV through ice
 [Ryan et al.,  1992;  Weiler and Penhale, 1994]. Until recently there  were few  in-water optical sensors
 wi*;.? fno^iY measuinZ UV-*  as a fiction of depth in aquatic systems. Recent  comparisons by
 KirK et al. [1994] suggest that several  commercial instruments can,  with care, be used to obtain
 quantitative underwater UV-B information. This is an important advance in studying the effects of solar
 snort wavelength irradiation on aquatic ecosystems as it will permit more accurate estimates of the  UV-B
 exposures that aquatic organisms receive.
F19. 4.3.
Anjarotic wate,
                                                       S, 73- 37' W) under thin overcast, so.ar zenith ang.e
                                                 68

-------
   Phytoplankton productivity is limited to the euphoric ;zbne, the  top layer of the water column, the
lower limit of which is defined as the depth where photosynthesis balances respiration (typically the depth
to which incident PAR (photosynthetic active radiation) irradiance  is reduced to the  0.1 % level  of surface
radiation). The position of the organisms in the euphotic zone is influenced by  physical  processes, e.g.,
wind, waves and mixing. In addition, many phytoplankton are capable of active movements, and daily
vertical migrations of up to 15 m have been measured. Light and gravity are employed to  guide the
organisms to depths of optimal irradiation resulting  in typical vertical distribution patterns found in both
freshwater and marine ecosystems  [Lindholm, 1992; Eggersdorfer and. Hader, 1991a,b]. Solar UV-B
irradiation has been shown to affect both motility and the orientation mechanisms in phytoplankton    "
[Hader, 1993a,b].  Organisms not actively motile,  such as cya'nobacteria, diatoms and  even bacteria employ
buoyancy to control their vertical  position in the water column by producing gas vacuoles or oil droplets
[Walsby, 1987; Walsby et al., 1992; Gosink et al., 1993].

   Phytoplankton use various bands in the visible  and UV-A range to orient with respect to light wh:,le
UV-B is not used for photoorientation; thus, they are in a situation similar to humans. Phytoplankton are
not able to  perceive the detrimental radiation and cannot escape over-exposure if UV-B levels increase.

   Field studies  in Ghana showed that the percentage of motile filaments  and linear velocity of several
cyanobacteria as well as  their orientation mechanisms with respect to light are affected within minutes by
solar radiation. The damage  was only partially repaired and only after short exposure times. In contrast,  -
longer exposure  times even resulted in increasing damage over a 24-h period [Donkor et al., 1993a,b].
Work carried out in India has indicated that solar UV-B affects the  nitrogenase  activity and carbon
dioxide uptake in rice paddy cyanobacteria [Tyagi  et al., 1991,  1992]. Some cyanobacteria, however,
characterized by a brown color, seem to be better adapted to high solar radiation than closely related green
forms.

Carbon dioxide  uptake and its role in global  warming

   The oceans play a key role with respect to global warming. A long-term global warming of surface air
temperature by 1.5  - 4.5°C is predicted for  a doubling of the CO2 concentration accompanied with a 1-m
rise in sea level by 2080  [IPCC, 1990, Weaver,  1993].-te-m&rme phytoplankton are a major sink for
atmospheric CO2 they have  a decisive role in future trends of carbon dioxide concentrations in the
atmosphere as  well as in terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems  (Figure 4.4)  [Bowes, 1993; Melillo  et al., 1993].

   Before  the  onset of anthropogenic carbon release the uptake and release of atmospheric carbon were
balanced and the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere was constant for extended periods of time. The
increase in  fossil fuel burning and deforestation results in an additional  release of about  7 Gt of carbon
into the atmosphere. However, long-term measurements indicate an annual deposit in the atmosphere of
only 3 Gt. It can be assumed that  the remaining 4  Gt  are taken out of the global  atmosphere by a net uptake
by the biological pump in the ocean, a net uptake  of CO2 by the  terrestrial biosphere or a combination of
both. The relative importance of the two uptake modes is the topic of much current research [Lampitt et
al., 1993; Toggweikr, 1993].

                                Atmosphere: 735
Fig. 4.4. Annual carbon fluxes (in Gt) of natural and anthropogenic on'gin and the sizes of major reservoirs [after Houghton
       andWoodwell, 1989]

                                                 69

-------
   Historical Secchi disk measurements (qualitative estimate of light transmission in the water) in the
North Pacific show no evidence of a significant increase in phytoplankton biomass during this century
[Falkowski and Wilson, 1992]. Though Secchi disk measurements are a surprisingly sensitive measure for
phytoplankton biomass they do not reflect phytoplankton productivity. In contrast to terrestrial systems
phytoplankton possess a very low standing crop with a high productivity. Under optimal conditions daily
productivity may even  equal  the existing biomass. Therefore it is difficult to exactly predict the loss  in
carbon sink from decreases  in phytoplankton biornass, and this remains a key uncertainty.

Antarctic productivity

   Smith  et al. [1992] directly measured the increase in and penetration of UV-B into Antarctic waters
and provided the first conclusive evidence of direct ozone-related effects on natural  phytoplankton
communities. Making use of the space and time variability of the UV-B front [Smith and Baker, 1989]
associated with the polar vortex-driven ozone hole,  they quantitatively evaluated phytoplankton production
inside (ozone column thickness as low as 150 Dobson units, DU) compared to outside (300 DU) the hole.
These workers suggest that the ozone-related damage to phytoplankton result in reduction in primary
productivity by 6 -  12 % within the marginal ice zone of the Southern Ocean, and  other estimates of
different Antarctic areas range from 6  - 23 % [Weiler and Penkale, 1994; Holm-Hansen et al., 1993a].  The
work of Smith and coworkers is distinguished by the inclusion of direct in-situ measurement of both
incident and in-water UV-B so that quantitative evaluation of biological  dose as a function of depth and
time could be  made [Smith et al.,  1992; Prezelin et al., 1994]. An important result from this work is the
quantitative  measurement of a direct ozone-related negative impact on phytoplankton production in the
Southern  Ocean which is directly linked to human activities in the Northern Hemisphere. Recently, there
has also been  increasing interest in the Arctic as  there are indications for a potentially developing Arctic
ozone  hole [Manney et al., 1994].

   In situ incubations of natural phytoplankton assemblages in Antarctic waters indicated that UV-B
under the ozone hole (150 DU) impaired photosynthesis  by about 4.9 % while  UV-A was responsible for
about 6.2 % inhibition [Holm-Hansen et al., 1993a]. Similar ratios were found for tropical waters
[Hclbling et al., 1992], and screening of most UV <378 nmjresults in an increase in photosynthesis  by 10 to
20 %. However, no significant decreases in stratospheric ozone have been detected in the tropics.
Phytoplankton from below the mixing layer in tropical waters were very sensitive to solar radiation while
surface plankton showed a high adaptation.

   Recently McMinn et al. [1994], using high-resolution stratigraphic sequences from anoxic basins in
Antarctic fjords, present findings suggesting that there have been no compositional changes in diatoms
during the past 20 years of ozone  hole development. They add that their findings are not necessarily
applicable to the marginal ice edge and sea-ice communities nor are they relevant  to non-diatom
components of Antarctic phytoplankton communities. The ecological consequences of UV-B  on
phytoplankton communities remains a key uncertainty, and high latitude regions with relatively large
decreases  in ozone  provide opportunities to quantitatively explore these consequences.

Screening pigments

   The induction of screening pigments has been found in marine and freshwater organisms [Karentz et al.,
1991]. The pigment scytonemin has been isolated from cyanobacteria where it is induced  by UV [Garcia-
Pichel and Castenholz, 1991]. IP. addition, cyanobacteria as well as eukaryotic phytoplankton use  several
water soluble,  UV-absorbing  mycosporines as screening pigments. Other phytoplankton  use carotenoids to
dissipate the excess  radiation energy from the photosynthetic pigments,  and some have been found to even
tolerate the  unfiltered solar radiation  at the water surface in tropical  oceans.

Macroalgae and seagrasses

   In recent years there has been an increased interest in  UV-B effects on macroalgae and seagrasses. In
contrast to the phytoplankton, most macrophytes are attached to their  growing site; therefore they are
restricted to certain depth zones above, below or within the tidal zone. It is  thought that this zonation is
mainly caused  by the visible light penetrating to this depth [tuning,  1985]. If the UV-B/PAR ratio
increases, the algae will be exposed to  enhanced short wavelength radiation to which they may not be
adapted. In recent studies no effect on respiration  was found while photosynthesis was inhibited in many
red, brown and green benthic algae. When using PAM (pulse amplitude modulation)  fluorescence
measurements, deep-water benthic  algae were most  sensitive  while intertidal algae  were  least sensitive
[HSder et al., 1994a,b; Larkum and Wood, 1993; Maegawa et al.,  1993]. As in phytoplankton, the
                                                 70

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 occurrence and induction by UV of screening pigments'lnas been recorded in tropical red aleae [Wood
 1989].                          -.---•


 Primary  and  secondary consumers

 Food webs

    Phytoplankton are the basis for  the intricate marine food webs; thus, any losses in biomass production
 necessarily cause  decreases in biomass at the next higher trophic levels. Eventually these losses are  relayed
 through all levels of the food web, ultimately leading to losses in fisheries yield [Nixon,  1988; Gucinski et
 al., 1990]. In addition to these indirect effects, solar UV-B radiation has been  found to cause damage to
 early  developmental stages of fish, shrimp, crab and other animals. The most severe effects are decreased
 reproductive capacity and impaired  larval development [U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1987]. Even
 at current levels, solar UV-B radiation  is a limiting factor, and small increases in UV-B exposure  could
 result in significant reductions in the size of the consumer community [Damkaer,  1982J.

    In a recent ecosystem study an interesting effect was encountered: After some lag time, algal growth in
 an  artificial stream  was higher under UV-B than  in the control. The explanation  of this  surprising result
 was that the grazers, larval chironomids, were more sensitive to UV-B than their food, the algae [Bothwell
 et a,L, 1994]. The result  of this experiment reinforces the fact  that predictions  of  responses by ecosystems
 to elevated UV-B exposure should  not  be based  solely on  single-species assessments.

 Invertebrates

    Marine invertebrates  differ greatly in their sensitivity to UV-B radiation  [Hunter et ml., 1982]. One
 crustacean has been found to suffer about 50 %  mortality at current UV-B irradiances at the sea surface.
 Other shrimp larvae tolerate irradiances higher  than  those  predicted for a 16  % ozone depletion
 [Damkaer and Dey, 1983]. The adult crustacean Tkysanoessa raschii has a threshold sensitivity exceeding
 levels expected for  anticipated ozone levels in spring. However, in summer a  50  %  mortality cumulative
 radiation dose for about  half the species examined would._be_ reached in less than 5 days assuming a 16 %
 ozone depletion.  UV-B kills  most individuals of the common  copepod Acartia clausii in culture and also
 reduces fecundity in the  survivors. Similar inhibitions have been found in shrimp-like crustaceans and crab
 larvae in the Pacific Northwest. At  high latitudes (over 40°N) the recently recorded late-spring increases
 in UV-B may affect some species as the UV-B  enhancement occurs at critical phases of their
 development. Even sustained small increases or  temporary fluctuations in UV-B  may affect especially
 sensitive  species.

    Benthic organisms are also affected by UV-B radiation:  cleavage in sea urchin  eggs is impaired by
 ultraviolet radiation [El  Sayed, 1988aj.  Marine organisms associated with  coral reefs, such as sponges,
 bryozoans and tunicates  are similarly impaired. Melanins seem  to serve as absorbing pigments since, e.g.,
 several colored corals withstand high levels of radiation by production of  the  protective pigment S-320.'
 Corals differ in their UV-B. sensitivity depending on the depth  at which they grow [Siebeck and Bobm,
 1987J; also, the amount of the UV absorbing pigments decreases with depth [Maragos, 1972; Jokiel and
 York, 1982]. UV-B radiation seems to exert an oxidative stress on these invertebrate organisms as shown in
 sea anemones and octocorals [Shick et al, 1991].

   Gleason and Wellington [1993] observed  coral bleaching in the Bahamas that is not explained by
 increases in seawater temperature. Instead  they showed that UV radiation under calm, clear water column
 conditions induced bleaching of reef-building corals. With  increasing depth, colonies  of Motastrea
 annularis showed a gradual reduction in mycosporine amino acids, indicating that deeper water colonies
 may be particularly vulnerable to sudden increases in  UV radiation. Transplant experiments indicated that
 the organisms could not  adapt to higher UV  levels within a period of 21 days.

   Freshwater crustaceans are also affected by solar UV-B.  It is interesting to  note,  however, that
 Daphnia species from an alpine lake, where UV-B radiation is higher than in lowland lakes, are  more
 intensely colored  and tolerate higher UV-B doses [Siebeck and Bobm, 1987; Hessen, 1994].

 Vertebrates

   Enhanced solar UV-B radiation directly reduces the growth and survival of  larval  fish [Hunter et  al,
 1982J. Based on these data for a region of the North American Pacific coastal  shelf in June, a 16 %  ozone
reduction would result in increases in larval mortality of 50 %,  82 % and 100 % at the 0.5-m depth  for
anchovy larvae of ages 2, 4 and 12 days, respectively. Anchovy larvae occur in many regions coincident wi±
high radiation levels between June and August with a peak in July. Because virtually all anchovy larvae in the

                                                 71

-------
 shelf areas described occur within the upper 0.5 m, a 16 % ozone reduction level could lead to large
 increases  in larval mortality.

    Little and Fabacher [1994], comparing the sensitivity of rainbow trout and two  threatened salmonids to
 UV-B  radiation, have shown that UV-B is an additional, and often important, environmental stress.
 Inhabiting shallow headwater streams and lakes in high altitude locations, these fish showed considerable
 variability in response to simulated increases in UV-B with some showing skin injury as well as apparent
 suppression of their immune system.

    Williamson ct al. [1994], studying the impact of short-term exposure to UV-B radiation on
 zooplankton communities in north  temperate lakes, suggest that UV-B in  relatively clear lakes may
 prevent some species of zooplankton from fully exploiting warmer surface  waters during periods of
 summer stratification. As a consequence, UV-B may be responsible for altering their ecological
 interactions with food resources, predators and other environmental variables.

    Increased UV-B radiation may be responsible for recent population declines  of some amphibians
 [Blaurtcin et al., 1994]. Species of amphibians differ in their ability to repair UV-B induced damage  to
 their eggs or oocytes. The eggs of some frog species withstand exposure to  sunlight better than those  of
 some other frog species. The populations of certain species that lay their eggs in open water, strongly
 exposed to sunlight, have suffered drastic declines [Blaustein et al., 1994].  The egg-laying behavior and
 enzymatic repair activities suggest that certain amphibian species have become adapted in such a way  as to
 minimize  exposure of their  eggs to  UV-B radiation.

 Effects  of  substitutes  and  their degradation  products

  _  Some HFCs and HCFCs, notably HFC134a, HCFC123  and HCFC124, are  degraded generating
 trifluoroacetic acid (TFA, CF3COOH) as their main product. TFA is neither photolyzed nor does it
 undergo any other physicochemical degradation. It is apparently not metabolized by plants,  but
 microorganisms such as  methanogens, sulfate reducers and aerobic soil bacteria have been shown to degrade
 TFA [Visschcr et al., 1994]. Thus, TFA may be a global contaminant persistent over long times. Current
 levels in an industrialized area are 0.01 - 0.05 ng/m3 in ^(Southern Germany)  and 40 times these values
 are predicted for the year 2010. Further research is currently being  conducted to  determine whether these
 results  reflect the global situation. Even with the event of continued production well into the next century,
 TFA is  unlikely to reach toxic levels for phytoplankton in the oceans.  In environmental niches such as
 vernal pools, TFA could be expected to accumulate to higher levels than elsewhere. The magnitude  of this
 concentration effect should be similar to that observed for other solutes, which is in the ranee of 5  -  10
 fold [Ckumlcy, 1994].

    TFA is mildly toxic to  most marine and freshwater phytoplankton tested so far  (EC50 1200 to 2400
 mg/1). However, the freshwater green alga, Selenastrum  capricornutum, showed an EC50 of 4.8 mg/1
 [Groeneveld, 1992]. Bioaccumulation factors have not been established for phytoplankton organisms; thus,
 it is still uncertain whether or not TFA is concentrated in the food web.

 Consequences

    Though there is overwhelming evidence that increased UV-B is harmful  to aquatic ecosystems,
 quantitative estimates are rudimentary at this stage. There is pressing need  to increase our efforts to
 understand the possible  long-term effects  on aquatic ecosystems on a global scale. In order to evaluate the
 current productivity in the oceans and a possible decrease in the future, combined satellite and surface data
 arc important  tools. Additional focus on important biomass producers such as diatoms, dinoflagellates
 and cyanobacteria is necessary. A major loss in primary  biomass productivity may have significant
 consequences for the intricate food web in aquatic ecosystems and affect food productivity. It has been
 estimated  that a  16 % ozone depletion could result in a  5 % loss in phytoplankton which would cause  a
 reduction  in fishery and  aquaculture yields of about 7 % which equals a loss of about 7 million tons of fish
per year [Nixon, 1988].  Consequences of increased  solar UV-B levels may be further complicated by
 unpredicted feedback loops and other changing factors such  as temperature, salinity, CO  concentration
and different irradiation  patterns caused by changing cloud cover.

    However,  biological  effects  of small changes in UV-B may be difficult to determine because the
 biological  uncertainties and variations are large and furthermore the baseline productivity for pre-ozone-
loss eras is not well established. Figure 4.5 summarizes  the effects  of UV-B on phytoplankton with their
expected ecosystem consequences.
                                                72

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                Vertical distribution
                in the water column
Competition
between species ?
Reduced btomass
production?
Reduced carton
dioxide sink ?
                         Temperature
                         Increase?
                           Food web in
                           the ocean?
                       Species diversity ?
        Global
        consequences
Fig.4.5. Effects of enhanced solar UV-B on phytoplankton.

   The second major impact of decreased phytoplankton productivity may be a reduced sink capacity for
atmospheric carbon dioxide which results in a faster development of the greenhouse effect and global
climate change.

   Prokaryotic microorganisms such as cyanobacteria and root nodule  bacteria are capable of fixing
atmospheric nitrogen in contrast to higher  plants which can only utilize ammonia, nitrate or  nitrite.
Decreased nitrogen assimilation by prokaryotic microorganisms may lead to a nitrogen deficiency for
higher plant ecosystems, such as  rice paddies. Consequently, losses  in nitrogen fixation due to increases in
UV-B  radiation may need to be compensated for by artificial nitrogen fertilization.

   Both macroalgae  and phytoplankton release organic  sulfur compounds such as dimethylsulfide (DMS)
which enter the atmosphere and serve as cloud condensation nuclei.  Changes in DMS production msy affect
the atmospheric radiation balance. The time frame of the predicted changes in  the ozone layer  may not be
sufficient for genetic adaptation to higher  UV-B levels. Since different species differ in their sensitivity
toward solar short wavelength radiation, shifts in species diversity may be a consequence. As a  general  rule,
UV seems to affect smaller phytoplankton more than larger  organisms. As primary feeders prey by size and
not by species preference, this effect may also alter the subsequent links in the food web.

References

Acevedo, J. and C. Nolan, Environmental UV Radiation, Commission of the European Communities,
   Directorate-General XII for Science, Research and  Development, Brussels, 1993.

Biggs, R.H. and M.E.B. Joyner (eds.), Stratospheric Ozone Depletion/UV-B Radiation in the Biosphere,
   NATO  ASI Series, vol. 118,  Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 1994.

Blaustein, A.R., P.O. Hoffman, D.G.  Hokit, J.M. Kiesecker, S.C. Walls, and J.B. Hays, UV repair and
   resistance to solar UV-B  in amphibian eggs: a link  to population  declines? Proc. Natl. Acad  Sci  91
   1791-1795, 1994.                                                                        '    '

Bothwell, M.L., D.M.J. Sherbot, and C.M.  Pollock, Ecosystem response to solar ultraviolet-B radiation:
   Influence of trophic level interactions, Science, 256, 97-100, 1994.

Bowes, G., Facing the inevitable: plants and increasing  atmospheric CO2, Ann. Rev. Plant Phvsiol. Plant
   Mol. Biol., 44, 309-332, 1993.

Byers, M., A computation of global oceanic net primary productivity from satellite derived data, UCSB Thesis
   Dec.  1994.

Chumley, F.G., Workshop on the environmental fate of trifluoroacetic acid (TFA), 3-4 March 1994,
   Miami Beach,  FL. AFEAS Administrative Organization: SPA-AFEAS Inc., Washington,  1994.

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Cullen, J.J. and M.P. Lesser, Inhibition of photosynthesis by ultraviolet radiation as a function of dose and
   dosage rate: results for a marine diatom, Marine Biol., Ill, 183-190,  1991.
Cullen, J.J. and  P.J. Neale, Ultraviolet radiation, ozone depletion,  and  marine photosynthesis,
   Photosynthesis Res., 39, 303-320, 1994.
Damkaer, D.M., Possible influence of solar UV radiation in the evolution of marine zooplankton, pp.
   701-706, in The Role of Solar Ultraviolet Radiation in Marine Ecosystems, Calkins, J. (ed.), Plenum
   Press, New York, 1982.
Damkaer, D.M. and D.B. Dcy, UV damage and photo-reactivation potentials of larval shrimp, Pandalus
   platyceros, and adult euphausiids, Thysanoessa raschiif, Oecologia, 60, 169-175, 1983.
Dohlcr, G., Hagmeier, E., Grigoleit, E., and Krause, K.-D., Impact of solar UV radiation on uptake  of
   15N-ammonia and 15N-nitrate by marine diatoms and natural phytoplankton, Biol. Phys. Pfl. 187, 293-
   303,  1991.
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                                      CHAPTER  5


    EFFECTS  OF  INCREASED  SOLAR  ULTRAVIOLET
        RADIATION  ON  BIOGEOCHEMICAL   CYCLES
                    R. G. Zepp (USA), T. V. Callaghan (UK), andD. J. Erickson (USA)
Summary

   Increases in solar UV radiation could affect terrestrial and aquatic biogeochemical cycles thus altering
both sources and sinks of greenhouse and chemically-important trace gases [e.g., carbon dioxide (CC>2),
carbon monoxide (CO), carbonyl sulfide (COS) and possibly other gases]. These potential changes would
contribute to biosphere-atmosphere feedbacks that  attenuate or reinforce the atmospheric buildup of these
gases. Current research discussed here focuses on effects of enhanced UV-B on biological and geochemical
processes in terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems.

   In terrestrial ecosystems increased  UV-B could modify both the production and decomposition of plant
matter with concomitant changes in the uptake and release of atmospherically-important trace gases.
Decomposition processes can be accelerated when UV-B photodegrades surface litter, or retarded when the
dominant effect involves changes in the chemical composition of living tissues that reduce the
biodegradability of buried litter. These changes in  decomposition  can affect microbial production of
carbon dioxide and other trace gases,  and also may affScr the availability of nutrients essential for plant  •
growth. Primary production can be reduced by enhanced UV-B, but the effect is variable between species
and even cultivars of some crops. Likewise, the effects of enhanced UV-B on photoproduction of CO from
plant matter is species dependent and occurs more efficiently from  dead than living matter. The often-
individualistic response of plant  species to enhanced UV-B  can result in changed competitive balances
between co-occurring species  such as crops and weeds. Long-lived species in natural ecosystems that can
accumulate  UV-B damage may be slow to acclimate/adapt and replacement by immigration may be
restrained.

   In aquatic ecosystems other investigations have shown that solar UV-B radiation also might have
significant impacts. Studies in several  different locations  have shown that reductions in current levels  of
solar UV-B  result in  enhanced primary production,  and Antarctic experiments under the ozone hole
demonstrated that primary production is inhibited by enhanced  UV-B. In addition to its effects on primary
production, solar UV radiation can reduce bacterioplankton growth in the upper ocean with potentially
important effects on  marine biogeochemical cycles.  Decomposition processes can be retarded when
bacterial activity is suppressed by enhanced UV-B radiation or stimulated when solar UV radiation
photodegrades aquatic dissolved  organic matter (DOM). Photodegradation of DOM results in  loss of  UV
absorption and formation of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIG),  CO, and organic substrates that are readily
mineralized  or taken up by aquatic microorganisms.  The marine sulfur cycle may be affected by  UV-B
radiation resulting in possible changes in the sea-to-air emissions of COS  and dimethylsulfide (DMS),
two gases that are degraded to sulfate aerosols in the  stratosphere  and troposphere,  respectively. UV-B
radiation induces the photoreaction of marine DOM to form COS, and it potentially can affect fluxes of
COS and DMS through  effects on phytoplankton that produce organosulfur precursors, on bacteria that
consume DMS, and on photooxidation of DMS. Early modeling efforts to simulate these interactions have
appeared during the past two  years.

   New research on  the environmental fate and impact of the hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) and
hydrochlorofluorocarbon (HCFC) substitutes for CFCs has focused on trifluoroacetic acid (TFA), a
tropospheric oxidation product of certain HFCs and HCFCs. These results  indicate that TFA, although it

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may become globally distributed with increased usage of alternative fluorocarbons, is not likely to
accumulate in soils and organisms. Although resistant to chemical degradation, very recent evidence
indicates that TFA can be broken down by microorganisms.
Introduction

   The term "biogeochemical cycles" is used here to  refer to the complex interaction of biological,
chemical, and physical processes that control the exchange and recycling of matter and energy at and  near
the Earth's surface. Research on biogeochemical cycles focuses on the  transport and transformation of
substances in the natural environment.  Global biogeochemical cycles strongly influence  atmospheric
composition through their effects on the biospheric uptake and release  of greenhouse gases and gases that
actively participate in atmospheric chemical reactions. The latter will  be referred to as  "chemically-
active" gases in this chapter. On the  other hand, the Earth's climate and die nutrients derived from
atmospheric deposition  are of great  importance to the sustainability of the biosphere. Atmospheric
composition, climate, and the biosphere are coupled by strong interactions, including feedbacks that
reinforce or attenuate climate change. A large fraction of most greenhouse and chemically active gases in
the atmosphere  is derived from biogeochemical processes in terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems
[IPCC,1992].
   Solar radiation, directly or indirectly, provides the primary driving force for biogeochemical cycles.
Most of the solar radiation that reaches land or water is converted into thermal energy, but a significant
part, especially that in the  ultraviolet and visible region, is  diverted into photochemical and
photobiological  processes that  affect global biogeochemical cycles. Therefore, these processes are
sensitive to changes in ground-level  solar radiation that result from global changes in stratospheric ozone,
cloud cover,  aerosols, and other factors. Declines  in stratospheric ozone and, by  implication,  increases in
solar UV-B radiation reaching the Earth's surface have been particularly pronounced during the past  few
years. These changes, coupled with a number of recent  findings that document the effects of UV-B
radiation on  biogeochemical cycles,  have prompted this new section in the UNEP  report on
Environmental Effects of Ozone Depletion.
   The principal goals of this section are to describe recent investigations of the effects of changing solar
UV-B  radiation  on terrestrial and aquatic biogeochemical cycles,  but we note review papers in the text
that provide  useful background information on this subject. Research  related to biogeochemical cycles —
such as effects of UV-B radiation on photosynthesis, plant physiology,  and aquatic trophic dynamics  -- are
reviewed elsewhere in this report. In addition,  excellent  overviews of global biogeochemical cycles are
available as background  to this section [Butcher et al., 1992; SMesinger, 1991]. The cycles of various
elements are discussed separately within this report, but it should be emphasized that biogeochemical
cycles arc tightly interwoven  and  are subject to significant feedback interactions, including those that
affect ozone  concentration- and ground-level UV-B radiation.

Terrestria!  E^ooy^,,;,^

Carbon and Ni:'ufi: ••? Cycles

Plant responses

   Given the central role of plant biology  in biogeochemical cycling,  understanding UV-B effects on
plants  is of critical importance. Here we briefly consider aspects of these effects  that are relevant to
biogeochemical  cycles;  a much more detailed discussion of plant responses appears in Chapter 3.  Most
studies of the interactions of UV-B and plants have been conducted under artificial light conditions  in
growth chambers or greenhouses [Tevini and Teramura, 1991; Krufa and Kickert, 1989; SCOPE,1992;1993]
that may not mimic the spectral characteristics  of ozone-dependent UV-B  changes occurring  in solar
radiation that reaches the ground. However, these studies have provided insights into general UV-B effects
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 on physiological responses of higher plants and on alteration of growth rates and yields of crop plants.
 Fewer studies address growth responses of long-lived species or primary production  and phytomass in
 natural ecosystems. As discussed in more detail in Chapter 3 of this report, responses to  UV-B radiation
 are variable between species and even between cultivars of the same species. In general, however, it seems
 that those species experiencing naturally high fluxes of UV-B  radiation (e.g.,  alpine and tropical) are
 better adapted to withstand increases in  UV-B than those from regions currently exposed  to low levels of
 UV-B. For example, growth chamber studies of various plants  from the Arctic and lower latitude alpine.
 regions indicated that the arctic species, living where UV-B radiation is  lower,  exhibited significantly
 higher photosynthetic inhibition than the low-latitude species where solar UV-B flux is high [Caldwell et
 al., 1982].

    The few field studies that have been conducted indicate lower plant sensitivity to UV-B than that
 observed under growth chamber and greenhouse conditions [SCOPE, 1993], probably in part because of the
 higher flux of photorepairing solar radiation in the UV-A and other spectral regions and the plant
 development effects that are prevalent in the field. Multi-season field  studies  of loblolly pines, however,
 have shown statistically  significant reductions of growth under enhanced UV-B  radiation that corresponded
 to 16% and 25% decreases in total ozone [Sullivan and Teramura, 1991]. Moreover, the UV-B  effects on
 growth accumulated over 3 years of exposure. Photosynthesis quantum yields were generally reduced in the
 loblolly experiments and the effect was attributable to direct effects on photosystem II. Field studies  on
 Swedish subarctic heath vegetation  indicated greater reductions in growth of shoots in two dominant
 evergreen dwarf shrubs which accumulated damage, than in two deciduous dwarf shrubs  [Johanson et al
 1994].

   Reviews of UV-B radiation effects on  plants [Tevini and Teramura.,1991; Krupn and Kickert, 1989;
 SCOPE,  1993] refer to publications that show these effects to be on plant morphology and flowering as
 well as  growth and photosynthesis. Particular effects _rnry_ among species,  among cultivars  of a  species  and
 among local populations of a species. These changes  can alter  the competitive balance in mixed species
 stands, resulting in significant changes in species  composition and thus in primary productivity. Rapid
 global warming is predicted to cause similar effects. Changes in primary production affect the  flow of
 CC>2 through the biosphere,  but do not necessarily affect carbon storage. However, any changes  in the
 composition of species in plant communities driven by increased UV-B - particularly in  the
 representation of different life forms - could significantly affect  the amount of carbon stored  in
 phytomass. For example, any shift from UV-B sensitive evergreens to deciduous  dwarf shrubs [ implied from
 work by Johanson et al. 1994] or trees could reduce carbon storage during winter while decreasing growth in
 general and would increase the amount of CC>2 circulating in the atmosphere. Any sensitivity of the ground
 layer to UV-B, particularly mosses [Gehrke,  1992; Sonesson and Callaghan, 1994], would alter their carbon
 storage and could also increase  the temperature  of soil, which they insulate, thereby stimulating microbial
 activity and CC>2 release to the atmosphere. Stresses caused by increased  UV-B radiation, in combination
 with climatic change, may affect species  composition and herbivory and enhance susceptibility of plants to
 insects, disease and  fire. Because high latitudes are experiencing particularly large  increases in  solar UV-
 B radiation,  UV-B  stresses of high-latitude forests may reinforce their transient release of carbon to the
 atmosphere in response  to  climate change [Smith  and Shttgart,  1993].
   Likely UV-B increases due to stratospheric ozone depletion  are not the only environmental  changes.
 Increases in concentrations of atmospheric CO2 are well documented and, as they generally stimulate
 plant productivity, at least in the short term, the  balance between UV-B and CC>2 interactions  could
 possibly be a particularly important determinant of carbon cycling.

   Very little  is known  about the  effects of enhanced solar UV radiation  on the terrestrial nitrogen cycle.
 This lack  of information is of concern because changes in terrestrial nitrogen cycling would likely affect
 the release of N2O, a gas  that is predominantly derived from terrestrial systems  [IPCC, 1992].  N^O is an
important greenhouse gas and it also participates in stratospheric processes that control the ozone layer.
The changes in species composition that are  discussed above and in Chapter 3  would likely affect nitrogen
cycling in terrestrial ecosystems, e.g.,  possibly via UV-B effects on  symbiotic association  between higher
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plants with mycorrhizae and nitrogen fixing bacteria in root nodules. In the above-cited study of the
subarctic dwarf shrub, Vaccinium uliginosum [Gehrke et nl., 1994], it was found that plants exposed to
enhanced UV-B  had much  higher levels of leachable ammonia in the  litter than the controls, indicating
possible  effects  on ammoniafication.

Litter decomposition

   For many systems, site fertility is largely dependent on decomposition processes that release nutrients "
bound within non-living organic matter (NLOM). Therefore, changes in plant litter production and/or
subsequent degradation of litter, resulting from higher UV-B levels, may have significant impacts on
nutrient cycling. Decomposition of NLOM is carried out by saprophytic fungi and bacteria.

   UV-B can potentially affect litter decomposition in several ways: (1) by changing the quantity of litter
that is available for decomposition; (2)  by altering root/shoot  ratios that determine where, i.e., below
ground or on the surface, and how efficiently plant matter is decomposed ;  (3) by photoinhibition of biota
that decompose  surface  litter; (4) by photodecomposition of surface litter  and; (5)  by changes in chemical
composition of litter that alter its microbial decomposition. In comparison to studies of effects of
enhanced solar UV-B radiation on plant morphology and flowering, growth and photosynthesis, little is
known about the effects on decomposition.
   Recent field studies in northern Sweden confirmed that  enhanced UV-B radiation had significant effects
on the quality and decomposition of litter from the subarctic dwarf shrub,  Vaccinium uliginosum [Gehrke et
«/., 1994; Jones et at., 1994]. The leaves  of the shrub were richer in soluble carbohydrates and tannins than in
the controls and  the initial decomposition rate of the leaves mixed with  soil from  the  field site
[expressed as micrograms CC>2 per gram dry weight (g DW) per hour] was reduced  (Figure 5.1). Additional
studies in microcosms further showed that leaf litter obtained from the shrubs grown under enhanced UV-B
contained more leachable ammonia and less  cellulose ancHignin than did the litter  from the control
shrubs. Fungal communities were affected and  fungal and microbial activity was  also significantly reduced
on the plant leaves that  were exposed to enhanced UV-B, such that less CC>2 was emitted to the
atmosphere, i.e., soil carbon storage was increased. The changes in chemical composition of leaves may
involve photoreactions  of lignocellulose materials. UV irradiation of lignocellulose  materials results in
dimcrization, oligomerization, and quinone formation through photoreactions that  involve carbonyl and
phenolic functional groups  [see Heitner and Scaiano, 1993 for review}.
   In contrast to the inhibiting effects of UV-B  radiation on biotic  decomposition of litter,  other studies
indicate that direct exposure of litter to enhanced UV-B increases its decomposition rate  [see Moorhead
and CMcighan, 1994 for review]. Moorhead and Callaghan [1994] have used ±e CENTURY model to
simulate  potential effects of UV-B induced litter degradation on nutrient dynamics and soil carbon
storage. Results  of the simulations indicated that the increased surface litter degradation rate substantially
decreased the surface litter  and lignin pool sizes. The simulations indicated, however, that these changes
had little effect on pool sizes of the passive and slow-cycling organic matter in the soil. It was concluded,
therefore, that enhanced UV-B may have little effect on long-term nutrient cycles since it is through
formation of resistant soil organic matter (SOM) complexes that nutrients are sequestered.
   In summary,  decomposition processes can be accelerated when UV-B photodegrades surface litter, or
retarded  when the dominant effect involves changes in the chemical composition  of living tissues that
reduce the biodegradability  of buried litter.  These changes in decomposition can affect microbial
production of carbon dioxide and other trace gases, and also may affect the availability of nutrients
essential  for plant growth. Factors that determine  the net effect  are poorly understood.  In those
ecosystems where decomposition is retarded by increased UV-B, any  additive or synergistic interactions
with increasing levels of CO2  which have also  been shown to retard decomposition  [Couteaux et al. 1991]
could lead  to increased  carbon storage in soils but lower primary production.  Such effects are often
overlooked when feedbacks from warming soils  due  to climate change are calculated.
                                                 82

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                  o
                   s
ISO

180 H

110

 00

 70

 50
                        30
                                                                    control
                                                                    UV
                                   10
                    ao
30
day
                                                           40
50
                                                                            60
Fig. 5.1. Respiration rates of microorganisms feeding on plant litter from Vaccinium uliginosum leaves grown under
       enhanced vs. ambient UV-B radiation in the field [Gehrke era/., 1994\. Data represent 12 replicates of
       experiments. Results indicate that enhanced UV-B exposure reduced the litter decomposition rate.


Trace Gas Exchange Dynamics

   In the above discussions, effects of enhanced UV-B~rnrthe exchange of carbon dioxide between
terrestrial ecosystems and  the atmosphere were emphasized. In  addition to uptake of CC>2, plants are
known to release the chemically important gases CO and non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs), to  the
atmosphere and  to take up nitrogen oxides (NOX) and COS [7PCC, 1992},

   Isoprene and other NMHCs react in the troposphere to produce ozone, other oxidants and aerosols. In
addition, CO and NMHCs are important scavengers of OH radicals in the troposphere  (Chapter 6) and
changes in OH concentrations may affect the concentration of the greenhouse gases, methane and CPCs.
The- direct effects of UV-B on release of NMHCs, such as  isoprene, are unknown, but it is known that
biogenic  emissions from vegetation are  species dependent. Thus, even  if direct effects of UV-B  radiation
have little effect, changes  in the species composition of plant communities, driven by increased  UV-B  and
climatic stressors, could  affect net fluxes of these  chemically-important gases.

   Laboratory studies have shown that senescent and dead  leaves from temperate deciduous plants and
tropical grasses photoproduce CO  much more rapidly than living plant leaves [Tarr et a.l.,1994].
Wavelength  studies (>300 nm) indicate  that UV-B radiation produces CO from the leaves with the highest
efficiency, although UV-A radiation also induces CO formation. The action spectra vary significantly
from one species to another. The  flux of CO from  living  and non-living plant matter is sufficiently great
that it may be a major global source  of this chemically active gas [IPCC,  1992]. As discussed below, UV-B
radiation also  affects the production of CO in aquatic ecosystems.

   Current research indicates that uptake by terrestrial plants is the major global sink for COS  [Bates et
a.1., 1992]. Moreover, within-canopy uptake of the NOX from soils occurs in tropical humid forests. Based
on the known effects of UV-B on plant  growth and photosynthesis  that are discussed above, it is  likely that
changes in UV-B radiation would selectively affect plant uptake of COS and NOX. To date, however, there
are no experimental data that confirm this possibility. COS, a gas  that is considered to  be one of the
major sources of sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere during periods of quiescent volcanic activity
[Crutzen, 1976], is discussed in more detail below. NOX, like NMHCs and CO, also participates in
tropospheric chemical processes that affect concentrations of tropospheric ozone, methane, and CFCs
                                                 83

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(sec Chapter 6). Thus, both COS and NOX, like CO, may be involved in feedbacks that affect ground-level
UV-B radiation and climate change.

Aquatic  Ecosystems

Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles

Responses of photosynthetic organisms

   Upper ocean carbon cycling is intimately tied to  both the UV-B induced stresses to extant
phytoplankton communities as well as the complicated interaction of DOM with UV-B radiation. The
most direct effect of increased UV-B fluxes on upper ocean carbon cycling  would be through changes in
phytoplankton community fecundity and structure. Other indirect effects involving trophic level
interactions  may also affect ecosystem productivity [Both-well et al., 1994}.  In this section we discuss the
possible role of these changes in aquatic carbon cycling. Phytoplankton responses are considered in much
greater detail in Chapter 4.
   Laboratory and field studies with photosynthetic organisms obtained  from aquatic ecosystems in
different locations indicate  that reductions in  current levels of solar UV-B result in enhanced primary
production [for recent review see Karentz et al., 1994]. Antarctic experiments under the ozone  hole
demonstrated that primary production is inhibited by enhanced UV-B. Figure 5.2 shows the observed
decreased phytoplankton production associated with a 33% decrease in column ozone abundance during
austral spring of 1990 in Antarctica  [Smith et al., 1992]. The  net impact of a reduction in primary
production on the ocean sink for atmospheric  CO2 is uncertain. Most  primary production is recycled in
the upper layer of the sea. Only a  fraction of the upper ocean paniculate  organic carbon (POC) and
dissolved organic carbon (DOC) actually is exported from the upper ocean into intermediate and deep
water. On a global basis this "new production" is estimated, to ,be about  10 Gt C [1 gigaton  (Gt) of carbon
equals 10" g] and it is believed that most of this POC and DOC is remineralized  in the  top km of the
sea [Sicgenthalcr and. Sarmiento, 1993]. About 0.2 Gt C of POC reaches the bottom sediments annually
where long-term carbon storage takes place. Taking into account biological removal as well as vertical
water transport of the dissolved inorganic carbon (DIG), the amount of anthropogenic CO2  taken up by
the ocean annually has been estimated to be about 2 Gt in recent years \_Siegentbaler and Sarmiento, 1993].
Additional field and  modeling studies are  required to come up  with reliable estimates of the impacts of
enhanced UV-B  radiation on this oceanic sink.

   As in the case of terrestrial  plants, aquatic photosynthetic organisms (algae, cyanobacteria) differ
substantially in their tolerances  to UV-B exposure and  changes  in the ratio of UV-B:UV-A:PAR [UNEP,
1991; SCOPE, 1993; Prezelin et al., 1994; Weiler and Penhale, 1994]. Evidence has been presented that  the
balance  between photosynthesis, photoinhibition, and photorepair processes  for natural communities of
photosynthetic organisms has been perturbed by ozone depletion over Antarctica. This perturbation may
result in  changes in the competitive balance of species over time  [Prezelin  et al., 1994; Weiler an A Penhale,
1994]. A recent study has indicated, however,  tint con positional changes in the diatom component of the
Antarctic phytoplankton community over the past 20 years h?.ve cannot be  differentiated from natural
variability [McMinn et al., 1994].

   Marine phytoplankton produce NMHCs [Bonsang et al., 1988; Donahue and Prinn, 1990], but the
effects of UV-B radiation on their photoproduction is unknown. As noted  earlier in this chapter and
elsewhere in this report, these compounds interact with  the hydroxyl radical [Donahue and Prinn,  1990]
which in turn plays a dominant role in maintenance of the oxidizing capacity of the atmosphere.
Phytoplankton, as well as higher plants and bacteria, produce other non-volatile hydrocarbons that are
highly resistant to biodegradation [for review see de Leeuw and Largeau, 1993], but the effects  of enhanced
UV on production of these biomacromolecules have  not been examined.
                                                84

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                                       Production  [mg C nf3 h"1]
                                 0     0.1    0.2     0.3    0.4     0.5    0.6
Fig. 5.2. Average values for in situ phytoplankton productivity versus depth (m) within the marginal ice zone of the
        Beliinghausen Sea in austral spring of 1990 in which reduced productivity inside ozone hole is compared with
        productivity outside hole. Integrated over depth in the water column, reductions in productivity ranged from 6 to
        12%. On an annual basis, this range corresponds to an estimated annual productivity loss of 7 to 14 teragrams
        which is 2 to 4% of production in the Antarctic marginaLice zone and about 0.1% of global phytoplankton •
        production [Smith et al., 1992\.

   A large fraction of the sea surface is covered by an organic microlayer that may have significant effects
on air-sea gas exchange. The  sea surface microlayer is fully exposed to solar  UV radiation and thus may be
particularly susceptible  to effects of enhanced  UV radiation  [Duce and  Liss, 1995].
   As in the case of terrestrial ecosystems, few data are available on the effects  of UV radiation on
aquatic biota involved in  the  nitrogen cycle. Changes in species  composition noted above are likely to
affect nitrogen cycling, and  suppression of assimilatory nitrate reduction by phytoplankton has been
demonstrated [UNEP,  1991J. The effects  of UV-B on decomposition processes that are discussed below
also  are likely to perturb aquatic nitrogen cycling. Moreover, solar UV-B radiation is mainly  responsible
for the photodegradation of nitrate in water [Zafiriou and True, 1979; Zepp et al., 1987]; among other
species, hydroxyl radicals  are  produced in  this photoreaction. Nitrite is also degraded by solar UV
radiation to form nitric oxide (NO), hydroxyl radicals, and other products,  but  this reaction is mainly
induced by UV-A radiation  [Zafiriou. and  Bonncau, 1987\. Effects of UV-B  on marine nitrogen cycling
could affect sea-to-air exchange of N2O and NO. However, the role of the ocean as a source  of
atmospheric N2O is poorly defined [IPCC, 1992; Butcher et al., 1992}.

Decomposition

   Enhanced UV radiation may affect the  decomposition of POC and DOC through  its effects on
bacterial activity and through photodegradation of DOC. Freshwater and marine bacteria from  both
freshwaters and the sea  are impacted by changes in  solar UV radiation [for review see Karentz et al. ,1994}
and  action spectra indicate  that UV-B  radiation is mainly involved [Calkins  and Barcelo, 1982]. This has
been confirmed by field studies which indicate that current levels of solar UV radiation reduce
bacterioplankton growth in the upper ocean [Herndl et al., 1993]. This effect may retard the decomposition
of labile organic matter in the upper ocean. Effects on other biogeochemical cycles are discussed below.
                                                  85

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    That aquatic DOM is photoreactive has been established by numerous  studies [Kouassi et al., 1990,  1992;
 Frimmel and Bauer, 1987;'Kieber et al., 1990; Francko, 1990; Mopper et al., 1991;  Valentine and Zepp, 1993;
 Miller and Zepp, 1994]. Evidence for such photoreactivity derives in part from observed changes in the
 electronic absorption spectrum of the  organic matter as well as in the  fluorescence intensity and spectrum.
 The sunlight-induced decrease in absorbance is not accompanied by a corresponding change  in dissolved
 organic carbon content (DOC), although conversion to various UV-transparent products does  occur (see
 below). These spectral changes involve greater bleaching of the ultraviolet part of DOM spectra than the
 visible part {Kouassi et al., 1992; Miller and Zepp,  1994]. Thus, photodegradation  of DOM may result in
 deeper penetration of solar  UV (compared to visible) radiation into  the sea and freshwaters.

    The photoinduced fading of DOM  is  accompanied by the formation of a variety of organic and
 inorganic compounds. The photoproducts of the  biologically refractory DOM in natural waters are DIG
 [Miller and Zepp,  1994]; low molecular weight compounds that are biologically labile, e.g.,  formaldehyde,
 acctaldehyde, and  the alpha-keto acid,  glyoxylate [Kieber et al., 1989]; the trace gases, CO and  COS; and
 other unidentified species. Photoproduction rates of these compounds are greatest near the surface of
 inland and coastal  waters and least for  open ocean waters. Francko [1990] has reviewed the rather sparse
 literature on effects of solar radiation  on the bioavailability of DOM. DIG is the major product  from the
 photodegradation of DOM derived from  a coastal estuary and two rivers, including DOM in the
 Mississippi River plume,  Gulf of Mexico [Miller and Zepp, 1994]. The formation rate of DIG is at least
 an order of magnitude greater than that of other photoproducts. Mopper et al. [1991] have argued  that
 photodegradation  may limit the  lifetime of biologically refractory DOM in the  ocean.
    UV-B radiation was mainly responsible for the photodegradation  of DOM in Biscayne Bay (Miami),
 Florida, other coastal waters and the open sea [Kieber et al., 1990; Mopper et al., 1991]. and  also induces the
 photoproduction of COS  in near coastal seawater [Zepp and Andrcae,  1994]  (Figure 5.3). Although solar
 UV radiation is predominantly responsible for DOM pho_tQdegradation, the action spectra vary from one
 region to another and  action tails well  into the UV-A region in some cases [Valentine and Zepp, 1993;
 Zepp and Andreae,  1994] (Figure 5.3).

    Photochemical  reactions  of DOM in  the surface ocean produce dissolved gases that are supersaturated
 with respect to an equilibrium  state with observed atmospheric concentrations. This imbalance, or
 'dis-cquilbria', drives the flux of these  trace gases to the atmosphere from  the ocean. In  order  to  predict
 quantitatively the effects of  decreases in stratospheric ozone and enhanced UV-B radiation on  the
 photoproduction of these gases, action spectra are required. The air-sea exchange of gases  also is affected
 by changes in wind speed caused by climate change. Wind speed affects sea-to-air transfer coefficients as
 well as vertical  mixing in the upper ocean. To provide a framework for estimation of the flux and
 distribution of CO and COS in the upper ocean, Najjar et al. [1994]  have  described a model that takes
 into account photoproduction,  turbulent  mixing and chemical and biotic sinks for CO and COS in the
 upper ocean.

   DOM photoreactions are believed to  be the main source of CO in seawater; its loss has  been ascribed
primarily to microbial  metabolism. As a result of  these two processes, CO emissions from the sea follow
a diurnal  pattern with maximum near  surface  ocean concentrations'greatly exceeding saturation during
daylight. Although  the sea is thought to  be a net source of CO, great uncertainty exists regarding the
strength of this  source. Estimates range  from 10 Tg/y up to 200 Tg/y [Erickson, 1989; IPCC, 1992].
Photodegradation of DOM in wetlands and near coastal  waters may be an important regional source of CO
 [Valentine and  Zepp, 1993].  Action spectra and quantum yields for CO photoproduction were found to be
similar for water obtained from several wetland and near coastal sites in North America.  For wavelengths >
300 nm, the greatest action  for CO production was in the UV-B region, but the  spectra  tailed  out well
into the  UV-A  region.

   Interrelationships among biogeochemical processes in the ocean and atmosphere  can sometimes lead  to
feedbacks. Such a  feedback  relationship involving marine CO and  tropospheric ozone illustrates a possible
feedback between ozone depletion and  air-sea exchange of trace gases  [Erickson, 1989].
                                                 86

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                          3.5E-7
                            3E-7

                       c- 2.5E-7
                            2E-7
                       iZ
                       8  1-5E-7
                       §
                       9-   1E7

                       *    5E-8

                               0
                                  300     320      340     360
                                             Wavelength, nm
380
Fig. 5.3. Comparison of action spectra for the photoproduction of COS in seawater obtained from coastal regions of the
       North Sea (Q) and Gulf of Mexico (•). North Sea water was obtained near Bremerhaven, Germany (54°N, 8°E)
       and Gulf of Mexico water near Turkey Point, Florida (30°N, 84.5°W). Samples used in the action spectra studios
       were studied within 12 hours of the time of collection [Zepp andAndreae, 1994\.

Sulfur Cycle                                   ~~~

   Increased UV-B can influence  the sulfur cycle (Figure  5.4) via impacts on both aquatic and terrestrial
ecosystems. Changes in the sea-to-air transfer of DMS and COS may influence the radiative balance of the
atmosphere. As noted in a previous section,, the growth and productivity of oceanic phytoplankton as well
bacterioplankton growth may be affected  by  a variety of stressors including increased UV-B. Production  of
dimethylsulfonium  propionate (DMSP),  the  precursor compound of DMS,  by phytoplankton such as
coccolithophorids provides the primary  source  (up to 90%)  of sulfur for cloud condensation nuclei in the
remote marine atmosphere. On a  global scale,  marine emissions of DMS account for about 15% of the
total atmospheric sulfur input [Bates et al., 1992]. Because  the main sources of DMS in seawater are
particular species of phytoplankton,  any alteration in the fecundity and species distribution of
phytoplankton communities could have  a  direct effect on the surface ocean  DMS concentration and
subsequently the sea-to-air flux of DMS.  In addition to its effects on phytoplankton,  UV-B radiation may
affect the loss of DMS through microbial [Kiene and Bates, 1990] and  photooxidative degradation. UV-B
induced changes in these various upper  oceanic processes that affect DMS may result in changes in net sea-
to-air  flux.
   Field  studies  have indicated that a variety of processes  affect  the atmospheric concentrations of COS
[Andreae and Ferek, 1992]. These studies show that COS is formed primarily by photochemical processes in
the upper layers of the ocean.  Zepp and Andreae [1994] have found that the photochemical formation of
COS from dissolved organosulfur compounds in sea water can be  photosensitized by  DOM. Because rates
of photosensitized  reactions are generally  much more rapid in coastal waters than in the open sea [Kieber
et al., 1990; Zafiriou and Dister, 1991],  these results help to explain why concentrations of COS have been
observed to be highest in coastal regions [Andreae and Ferek, 1992]. Global estimates of COS  production
recently have been derived using Coastal  Zone Color Scanner satellite  data and general circulation models
[Erickson and Eaton, 1993]. Wavelength studies of COS formation in coastal seawater samples  have
confirmed that COS is predominantly formed by the action of middle UV radiation (280-340 nm), but
that action spectra  for the  North Sea and Gulf of Mexico differed significantly beyond 320 nm [Zepp and
Andreae, 1994] (Figure 5.3).
                                                87

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                                           Hydrolysisl Hydrogen
                                                      Sulfide
                                                     Bacteria
Fig. 5.4. Biogeochemical processes affecting the global sulfur cycle [adapted from SCOPE, 1993\


Oxygen Cycle

   The previously-discussed effects of UV-B  radiation on photosynthesis and microbial decomposition
also can affect the oxygen cycle in both aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. Photooxidation of marine and
freshwater DOM leads to consumption of oxygen as it is combined with the DOM carbon. DOM
photooxidation also is accompanied by  reduction of oxygen to form superoxide  [Zafiriou and Dister,
1991], which dismutcs (i.e., disproportionates) to form hydrogen peroxide. Other reactive oxygen species
arc produced on absorption of UV radiation by freshwater and marine chromophores [see Waite et al., 1988
and Blough and Zepp, 1994, for reviews]. Hydrogen  peroxide, through interactions with marine biota and
chemical  constituents, is oxidized back  to oxygen or reduced  to water. Action spectra for the
photoproduction of hydrogen peroxide in sea water and freshwaters indicate that solar UV radiation is
most effective [Moore et al.,  1993]. Action is most pronounced in the UV-B region, although UV-A
radiation also is involved. A model that describes the upper ocean distribution of hydrogen peroxide has
been developed [Sikorski and Zika, 1993].

Metals  Cycles

   Field  and laboratory studies over the last 5 years have indicated that solar UV radiation  enhances the
reductive dissolution of iron and manganese oxides/hydroxides in oxygenated natural waters  [Faust, 1994;
Sulzbcrgcr, 1994; Waite et al., 1994]. Reductive dissolution converts the thermodynamically stable, but
biologically  unavailable,   oxides of these trace metals into more bioavailable forms, and thus may help
control marine productivity in parts of the ocean that are limited by iron  or manganese. The action spectra
for iron photodissolution processes have not been determined and likely are variable. Light enhances the
dissolution of an amorphous manganese oxide in seawater and this process helps account for the surface
                                                 88

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 maxima in dissolved manganese ( Mn[II]) observed in the ocean [Sunda and. Huntsman, 1990]. UV-B
 radiation  inhibits the microbial oxidation of soluble Mn[II] to low-solubility Mn[IV] oxides  [Sunda and
 Huntsman, 1990].  In most of these cases, the presence of aquatic DOM was shown to be essential for the
 occurrence of photodissolution. That naturally occurring organic compounds are capable of inducing or
 assisting the photodissolution of iron and manganese oxides has been confirmed in a number of laboratory
 studies using organic acids that are present in fresh and marine waters, e.g. humic, fulvic and
 hydroxycarboxylic acids [Watte et al., 1994].

 CFC  Substitutes

    Considerable research on the development of suitable CFC substitutes has taken place during the past
 few years. This research  has included intense studies of  the atmospheric fate and impact of HFC and
 HCFC substitutes  for CFCs [see AFEAS, 1994 and Wellington et al, 1994 for reviews]. In addition to
 evaluations of the ozone  depletion potentials of these substitutes, studies have included initial evaluations
 of potential  impacts of deposition of selected atmospheric degradation products of  HCFCs and HFCs.
 TFA, the  major atmospheric degradation product of HCFC-123, HCFC-124, and HCFC-134a was
 selected for study,  because it is resistant to abiotic degradation, including atmospheric decomposition,
 and likely to become globally  distributed. Measurements of TFA in  the present environment are sparse!
 During late 1993 and early 1994, TFA was detected in the atmosphere near Tuebingen, Germany and on
 spruce needles in Sweden. It is most likely that the source of this TFA was atmospheric degradation of the
 anesthetic, halothane. Models indicate  that most of the TFA formed  from HCFCs and HFCs should be
 deposited  in the ocean, where it will be diluted to very low concentrations. Up to 30% may be deposited on
 land.  Recent  field studies have shown that TFA, a hydrophilic  substance,  is not likely to accumulate in
 most  soils or biota, although accumulation  in acidic organic soils may be possible. Evidence is now
 emerging that TFA  may be degradable by microorganisms [ Visscher et  al.,  1994] and that, even at high
 concentrations,  it  appears not to significantly inhibiTthe-metabolism of acetate. Additional research is-
 currently underway  to  better elucidate the biospheric fate and impacts of TFA and potential effects of TFA
 on biogeochemical  cycles.

 Conclusions

    Potential effects  of enhanced UV-B radiation on terrestrial and aquatic carbon,  nitrogen, sulfur,
 oxygen, and metal cycles have been identified. These effects and companion effects on biogeochemical
 cycles in the atmosphere may result in feedbacks that either reinforce or attenuate the buildup of
 greenhouse gases and aerosols in the atmosphere. Radiation amplification factors shown in Chapter 1 for
 some  of the aquatic photochemical  processes discussed in this section indicate that they are
 approximately as sensitive to changes in the stratospheric ozone layer as the effects  on health, plants, and
 tropospheric   photolysis.

   Increasing UV-B radiation has the potential to change the quantities and chemical species of carbon
 that are exchanged  between the atmosphere and  terrestrial biosphere and also the carbon that is stored in
 soils and aquatic systems. The effects of UV-B on carbon storage and carbon fluxes on land are complex,
 varying between ecosystems, species  and even crop cultivars. In some  systems, UV-B  can, for example,
 increase carbon storage in soils, whereas in others it can enhance the degradation of lignin in soil organic
 matter and the  photoproduction of chemically-important gases such as carbon monoxide.. Responses of
 plants to UV-B have been shown to increase over time; impacts on natural ecosystems may be subtle but
 may lead to species  shifts in the long term. Consequently, there is a need for research on the impacts of
 UV-B radiation on  biogeochemical cycling to develop a new focus, in addition to investigations to
 determine short term physiological responses. This focus  should address  long-term productivity responses
 under natural conditions.

   Laboratory and field experiments in aquatic ecosystems have shown that enhanced UV-B has a variety of
 effects on  biogeochemical  cycles. For example, photosynthesis  has been  suppressed  by ozone depletion
and enhanced UV-B radiation over the  Antarctic. Moreover, recent studies indicate that  photodegradation
                                                89

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of DOM in the upper ocean has multiple effects on biogeochemical cycles, ranging from changes in the
penetration of UV-B into the sea to enhanced formation of DIG and CO. Sulfur cycling in marine  systems
also might be affected by changes in UV-B radiation with resulting effects on the sea to air fluxes  of COS
and DMS. Metal  cycles  and bioavailability, especially those of the  trace nutrients, iron and manganese, are
sensitive to UV changes as  well. Models designed to simulate these effects and their interactions with
changing climatic conditions are just beginning  to be developed.

   The results discussed here suggest that changing UV-B  radiation may affect global biogeochemical
cycles and related feedback  interactions. It should be emphasized that evaluations of regional and global
scale effects require the development of appropriate models and observational approaches. Earth system
models that incorporate solar UV-B radiation as a forcing  variable are required in order to integrate,
evaluate and  predict ecosystem  effects and related feedbacks on a global scale.

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Andreac, M.O. and R.J. Ferek,   Photochemical  production  of carbonyl sulfide in seawater  and its emission
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Bates, T.S., B.K. Lamb, A. Guenther, J. Dignon, and R.E. Stoiber, Sulfur emissions to the atmosphere from
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94

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                                     CHAPTER 6
                  EFFECTS OF INCREASED SOLAR
        ULTRAVIOLET RADIATION ON TROPOSPHERIC
                  COMPOSITION AND AIR  QUALITY
                            X. Tang (China) and S. Madronich (USA)
Summary

   Reductions of stratospheric ozone and the concomitant increases of UV-B radiation penetrating to the
lower atmosphere result in higher photodissociation rates of key trace gases that control the chemical
reactivity of the troposphere. This can increase both production and destruction of tropospheric ozone (O3)
and related oxidants such as hydrogen peroxide (H2C>2), which are known to have adverse effects on human
health, terrestrial plants, and outdoor materials. Changes in the atmospheric concentrations of the hydroxyl
radical (OH) may change the atmospheric lifetimes of climatically important gases such as methane (CHi)
and the CFC substitutes.

   Trends in the photodissociation rate coefficient of tropospheric 03, of about +0.32±0.04 percent per year in
the northern hemisphere and +0.40+0.05 percent per year in the southern hemisphere, have been estimated
from satellite measurements of the ozone column between 1979 and 1992. The corresponding model-
calculated changes in tropospheric chemical composition are non-linear and sensitive to the prevailing levels
of nitrogen oxides (NOX). In polluted regions (high NOX), tropospheric O3 is expected to increase, reaching
potentially harmfully concentrations earlier in the day, and leading to more frequent exceedance of oxidant
standards for air quality in urban areas where O3 levels are routinely near such air quality thresholds.  In
more pristine regions (lower NOX), O3 increases can be lower or even negative. Other oxidants, such as H2O2
and OH, are projected to increase for both polluted and pristine regions. Changes to H2O2 concentrations
may have some impact on the geographical distribution of acid precipitation. Rural regions may become
more urban-like and the percentage of areas with remote tropospheric conditions may decline.

   Increases in OH concentrations cause a nearly  proportionate decrease in the steady state tropospheric
concentrations of CH4 and CFC substitutes such as the HCFCs and HFCs. Thus, the measured reductions in
the ozone column (TOMS, 1979-92) are likely to have moderated Crtj increases over the past decade, and may
account for about 1/3 of the slowing of the global CHi trends.

   Increased tropospheric reactivity could also lead to changes in the production of particulates such as cloud
condensation nuclei, from the oxidation and si il.-=,er»ipui i "ideation of sulfur of both anthropogenic and
rici! urcil origin (e.g., carbonyl sulftdc and dim.:-!u_> '
-------
   UV-B enhancements (resulting from stratospheric O3 reductions, see Chapter 1) are expected to affect
tropospheric oxidant concentrations on many geographical scales. Tropospheric O3 is a major constituent of
the photochemical smog encountered in many polluted urban environments, and is known to have adverse
effects on human health [Lippmann, 1991] and outdoor materials [Andrady, 1993]. On broader suburban and
rural scales, oxidants including O3 and H2Q2 cause damage to vegetation and play a role in the acidification
of rain [Penkett et al., 1979; Mailer, 1989; NAPAP, 1991]. Global-scale changes in tropospheric O3 are of concern
both because O3 is a major greenhouse gas, and because it is the chemical precursor of the OH radical, the
principal cleaning (oxidizing) agent of the global troposphere. Changes in OH concentrations affect directly  -
the rate of removal of many other atmospheric gases involved in climate and ozone chemistry, including
methane (CH4) and the hydrogen-containing CFC substitutes (e.g., HFCs, HCFCs) [WMO, 1994].


Photodissociation Rate Response to Increased UV-B

   The rates of some chemical reactions in the troposphere depend directly on the amount of available UV-B
[Leighton, 1961]. The reaction rate coefficient, or J value, is given by the expression
                        J = J F(X)0(X)<)>(X) dX
where X is the wavelength (nm), F( X) is the spectral actinic flux (quanta cm-2 s'1 nnr1), c?( X) is the molecular
absorption cross section (cm2 molec'1), and <(>( X) is the photodissociation quantum yield (molec quanta'1).
   The spectral actinic flux in the UV-B region is a strong function of the ozone column. The most sensitive J
values for key reactions are listed in Table 1 of Chapter 1.  Comparable sensitivities have been calculated by
Madronich and Granier [1994] and Fuglestvedt et al. [19947, though for different locations and times.
Madronich and Granier [1994] calculated the trends in Ji, the O3 photodissociation rate coefficient, associated
with the 1979-1992 TOMS O3 column data record.  Figure 1 shows that the global Jx has increased by about
0.36±0.04 percent per year, with slightly higher values in the southern hemisphere (0.4010.05 percent per
year) than in the northern hemisphere (0.32± 0.05 percent per year).
                                J0  changes relative to  1979-1992  average
                       10
                 _o
                 JJ
                 .o
                   O(1D) + O2,
       computed using ozone column measurements from the Nimbus 7 satellite (TOMS, version 6 data).  Values are
       given as monthly deviations from the corresponding 1979-1992 averages. Thick solid curve is the area-weighted
       global average, thin solid line and dotted line are respectively the southern hemisphere and northern hemisphere
       area-weighted averages. Values next to legend are linear trends, and their corresponding uncertainties,
       expressed as percent per year relative to the 1979 intercept. From Madronich and Granier [1994].
                                                96

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                                      -          .
Changes in Tropospheric Chemical Composition

Changes in Os, ^262 and HOX

   Translating changes in J values to changes in atmospheric chemical composition is not straightforward
because tropospheric chemistry is highly non-linear.  Of special interest are the concentrations of important
oxidants such as 03, H^O^ and OH, which react with various gases in the troposphere. In particular, the OH
radical is the most important cleansing agent of the troposphere.                                    "~

       The photochemical production of tropospheric O$ is due almost exclusively to the photodissociation
                       NO2 + hv(X<420nm)  -»  NO + O(3P)
    followed rapidly by recombination of the atom with molecular oxygen,

                       O(3P) + O2  -» Os .
    Ozone loss occurs when its photodissociation,

                       O3  + hv(X<320nm) -> O^D) + O2
    is followed by reaction of O(^D), usually with water vapor:

                       O(JD) + H2O -4 OH +  OH
    These last two reaction are also the main source of tropospheric OH radicals [Levy, 1971]. Additional loss
of 03 may occur through the catalytic cycle
OH
                              O3 -» HO2 + O2

                       HO2 + O3 -> OH + 2 O2 ~°~ "
   as well as other reactions. The net ozone production/destruction depends sensitively on the amounts and
partitioning of the NOX (= NO + NC^) and HOX (= OH + HOj) species, which are in turn determined by
complex sequences of reactions involving carbon monoxide (CO) and hydrocarbons, as well as other
tropospheric compounds. Detailed discussions of these reaction sequences are beyond the scope here (but see
for example [Finlayson-Pitts and Pitts, 1986]), although some of the non-linearities that they induce may
already be evident from the well-known reactions

                       OH + CO +O2 -> HO2  + CO2

                       HO2 + NO -» OH + NO2

                       O3 + NO -> O2 + NO2
    The HOX  species are ultimately removed by termination reactions, leading to the formation of oxidants
such as hydrogen peroxide, e.g.

                       HO2 + HO2 -> H2O2 + O2.

   Consideration of the above reactions under scenarios of enhanced UV-B radiation shows that both
increased production and increased destruction of tropospheric O3 are possible. The sign and magnitude of
the net effect are complex functions of the concentrations of various compounds (especially O3, H2O, NOX,
CO, and hydrocarbons), and may well be different for different chemical regimes (e.g., polluted vs. pristine).

   Estimates of the tropospheric response to UV. changes are still a matter of active research and the results
appear to be sensitive to model formulation. Liu and Trainer [1988] used a simple zero-dimensional
chemistry model to derive the changes in O3 and OH as a function of prescribed NOX concentrations. They
found that a 20 percent loss of stratospheric ozone at northern mid-latitudes could reduce tropospheric O3 by
10-35 percent for NOx levels between 0.01 to 0.10 ppbv (parts per billion by volume), while O3 increases
substantially when NOX levels are higher than 0.1-0.2 ppbv (e.g., in many rural and most urban regions).
Different results were obtained by Thompson et al., [1991] using a one-dimensional model for different

                                               97

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 chemical regimes, with decreases in trope-spheric O3 concentrations for all regions considered, including
 relatively polluted areas.

    Modeling studies also show that OH concentrations respond to changes in Ji in a complex way.  For a one
 percent increase in Jj, the OH concentration increased by about 0.9 percent at low NOX and by 0.3 percent at
 high NOX [Liu and Trainer, 1988]; by 0.3 percent for marine low latitudes and 0.7 percent for urban mid-
 latitude regions [Thompson et al. 1991]; and by 0.5-1.0 percent when averaged globally and annually based on
 a recent three-dimensional model [Fuglestvedt et al., 1994].

    H2O2 levels are projected to increase globally [Thompson et al., 1989, 1991; Fuglestvedt et al., 1994]. For
 scenarios with higher NO*, significantly larger H2O2 (and HO2) levels were calculated for rural and
 continental conditions, while for the remote regions only a slight increase was obtained.

    Thus, it may be concluded from current models that enhanced UV will increase the OH, HO2 and H2O2
 concentrations, but the exact amount of the increase remains unclear, with results apparently being sensitive
 to model formulation. Model-calculated changes in tropospheric 03 appear to be very sensitive to the NOX
 levels of specific regions. Some O3 is also transported downward from the stratosphere, so that decreases of
 stratospheric O3 could result in lower O3 input from the stratosphere to the troposphere, but quantitative
 assessments of this effect have not been made. Measurements by Schnell et al. [1991] show that Antarctic
 surface O3 decreased by 17 percent over 1976-89 during spring and summer, and were attributed to increased
 UV-B levels associated with the O3 hole, rather than reduced downward transport from the stratosphere.

    Many environmental concerns related to urban and regional air quality are likely to be affected by
 increased oxidant concentrations. Urban and surrounding areas routinely experience high NOX and volatile
 organic carbon concentrations due to anthropogenic emissions, which leads to very reactive chemistry and
 generates high levels of ozone and other oxidants through the photo- chemical smog formation process.
 Some of these oxidants, such as formaldehyde, HCHO, can produce odd-hydrogen radicals upon absorption
 of UV-B [Finlayson-Pitts and Pitts, 1986], providing additional chemical channels that could contribute to
 increased urban reactivity with future increases in UV-B. Increased UV-B radiation could produce even
 higher levels of urban ozone, as well as potentially harmful concentrations of ozone earlier in the day, and
 nearer to emission sources and population centers [Gery et al., 1987; Whitten and Gery, 1986]. It was suggested
 by Gery et al. [1987] that, if UV levels are increased, significantly more stringent regulation of volatile organic
 emissions will be required in urban locations to maintain photochemical oxidants below air quality standards.
 De Leeuw and Van Rheineck Leyssius [19917 have similarly estimated that, given constant emissions, air
 quality violations will be much more frequent in European urban areas if UV levels increase.

    Because increased UV-B would make the lower troposphere more reactive, some rural regions may
 become more urban-like and the percentage of areas with remote tropospheric conditions may decline; this
 will change the global distribution of polluted areas [Gery, 1993]. On the global scale, the increased
 tropospheric  reactivity caused by UV-B radiation could lead to increases in global aerosol production,
 providing additional condensation nuclei to the lower stratosphere where heterogeneous ozone destruction
 processes could become more important in non-polar regions [Gery, 1993].
         is the most important oxidant of sulfur(IV) in the aqueous phase when the pH is less than about 4.5
[Penkett et al, 1979] and has attracted increasing attention over the past decade, because it was identified as
one of the dominant trace species in polar ice [Neftel et al., 1984] and its concentrations have increased by 50
percent over the past 200 years, with most of the increase occurring in the past 20 years [Sigg et al, 1991].
Potential changes to H2O2 concentrations would be interesting with respect to the formation of acidic
precipitation. The predicted substantial increase in H2O2 concentrations over large geographical areas caused
by increased UV-B levels in troposphere [Gery et al, 1987; Fuglestvedt et al, 1994] may have some impact on
the geographical distribution of acid precipitation. However, no quantitative estimates of these effects are vet
available.

Changes in Cfy Lifetime
   UV-related increases in tropospheric OH may affect the concentration of other important gases. Methane
is removed from the atmosphere primarily via the reaction

                        OH + CH4 -» CH3 + H2O
                                                98

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                                   ..,       .,
with a lifetime of about 10 years. Pre-industrial atmospheric CHi concentrations were near 600 ppbv, but
increased emissions (most likely due to human activities) have brought the current value near 1,800 ppbv.
Recent measurements of the rate of CHi increases show that the trend has slowed in the past decade from
about 14 ppbv per year to about 9 ppbv per year.  It has been proposed that the slowing of the CHi trend may
be partly due to the increased OH resulting from tropospheric UV increases [Madronich and Granier, 1992,
1994; Fuglestvedt et al., 1994].  Increase in OH concentrations will decrease the steady state CH4 concentration
by nearly the same proportion.  The time-dependent response of CH4 depends on the detailed scenario for_
OH increase. Madronich and Grainer [1992,1994J used the 1979-92 O3 column measurements (Nimbus 7
TOMS), to calculate the global increase of Ji (see Figure 6.1) and assumed a corresponding linear OH
increases at a rate of 0.36 percent per year beginning in 1979. In this scenario, in 1993 the CHj is reduced by
about 35 ppbv from the value it would have achieved without the OH increases, which may be compared
with a measured atmospheric increase of about 150 ppbv over the same time [Khalil et al., 1993; Steele et al.,
1992]. Three-dimensional model results obtained by Fuglestvedt et al. [1994] are roughly comparable,
suggesting that about 1/3 of the slowing is due to the increased UV levels.

Effects of Changes in Emissions from Natural Ecosystems

   As mentioned in previous chapters, both natural terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems are likely to be affected
by UV radiation changes.  For example, increased penetration of UV radiation into the oceans is expected to
affect both the viability of living organisms, and the photochemical processing of non-living organic and
inorganic matter. Thus, changes may be expected in the ocean-to-atmosphere emissions of various gases
including carbon monoxide (CO), carbonyl sulfide (COS), dimethyl sulfide (DMS), and other carbon and
sulfur compounds [Najjar et al.,  1994]. Some of these species are believed to be the primary source of natural
sulfate aerosols, which have roles in the destruction of ozone, climate change, and acidification of
precipitation. For example, aerosols formed by DMS oxidation are believed to influence the ability of marine
clouds to reflect incoming solar radiation, and may thuTfnfluence climate [Charlson et al., 1987]. Another
example is COS, which is believed to  be a major source of sulfur atoms to the stratosphere and of the resulting
natural stratospheric sulfate aerosol layer. Current theories of stratospheric 03 chemistry suggest that
aerosols may play a role in the destruction of 03, so that UV-induced increases in emissions of, e.g., COS, may
constitute a yet unquantified positive feedback on stratospheric Os depletion.

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    Stratospheric Ozone Depletion/UV-B Radiation in the Biosphere, Gainsville, H. Biggs (ed.), NATO ARW Series
    Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1994.
 Moller, D., The possible role of H2O2 in new-type forest decline, Atmos. Environ., 23, 1625-1627, 1989.
 NAPAP, Add Deposition: State of Science and Technology, Volume I, National Acid Precipitation Assessment
    Program, Washington, D. C., 1991.
 Najjar, R. G., D. J. Erickson and S. Madronich, Modeling the air-sea fluxes of gases formed from the
    decomposition of dissolved organic matter: Carbonyl sulfide and carbon monoxide, in The Role of Non-
    living Organic Matter in the Earth's Carbon Cycle, (R. Zepp and C. Sonntak, eds.), John Wiley, New York,
    1994, in press.

 Neftel, A., P. Jacob and D. Klockow, Measurements of hydrogen peroxide in polar ice samples, Nature, 311,
    43-45,  1984.
 Penkett, S. A., B. M. R. Jones, K. A. Brice and A. E. J. Eggletton, The importance of atmospheric ozone and
    hydrogen peroxide in the oxidation of sulfur dioxide in cloud and rain water, Atmos. Environ., 15, 123-137,

 Schnell, R. C., S. C. Liu, S. J. Oltmans, R. S. Stone, D. J. Hoffman, E. G. Dutton, T. Deshler, W. T. Sturges, J. W.
    Harder, S. D. Sewell, M. Trainer and J. M. Harris, Decrease of summer tropospheric ozone concentrations
    in Antarctica, Nature, 351, 726-729, 1991.
 Sigg, A. and A. Neftel, Evidence for a 50% increase in ^Q^ver.the past 200 years from a Greenland ice core
    Nature, 351, 557-559, 1991.
 Steele, L.P., E. J. Dlugokencky, P.M. Lang, P.P. Tans, R.C. Martin and K.A. Masarie, Slowing down of the
    global accumulation of atmospheric methane during the 1980s, Nature, 358, 313-316, 1992.
 Thompson, A.M., M.A. Owens and R.W. Stewart, Sensitivity of tropospheric hydrogen peroxide to global
    chemical and climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 16, 53, 1989.
 Thompson, A. M., M. A. Huntley and R. W. Stewart, Perturbation to tropospheric oxidants, 1985-2035.  1.
    Calculations of ozone and OH in chemically coherent regions, Atmos. Envir., 25A, 1837, 1991.
 Whitten, G.Z. and M.W. Gery, The interaction of photochemical processes in the  stratosphere and
    troposphere, in Effects of Changes in Stratospheric Ozone and Global Climate, vol.2, Stratospheric Ozone, UNEP,
WMO, Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion, World Meteorol. Org., in press, 1994.
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                                        CHAPTER 7
       EFFECTS OF INCREASED  SOLAR ULTRAVIOLET
                         RADIATION ON  MATERIALS

                       A.L Andrady (USA), M.B. Amin (Saudi Arabia), S.H. Hamid
                         (Saudi Arabia), X. Hu (China,), and A. Torikai (Japan).
Summary

   Synthetic polymers, naturally-occurring biopolymers, as well as some other materials of commercial interest are
adversely affected by solar UV radiation. Applications of these materials, particularly plastics, in situations which
demand routine exposure to sunlight is only possible through the use of light-stabilizers and/or surface
treatments to protect them from sunlight. Any increase in solar UV content due to partial ozone depletion will
therefore accelerate the photodegradation rates of these materials, limiting their service lifetimes outdoors.

   The nature and the extent of such damage due to increased UV radiation in sunlight is quantified in action
spectra. In spite of the several action spectra for polymers, reported in the research literature, the information is
often inadequate to make reliable estimates of the increased damage. The specific formulation of the polymer
material, the damage criterion employed, and even the manner in which data is interpreted, can often influence
the results. However, it is clear from the available data that the shorter wavelength UV-B processes are mainly
responsible for photodamage ranging from discoloration to loss of mechanical integrity in polymers exposed to
solar radiation.  The molecular level interpretation of thesejchanges remain unclear in many instances.

   The use of higher levels of conventional light stabilizers in polymer formulations will likely be employed to
mitigate the effects of increased UV levels in sunlight. However, such an approach assumes that a) these stabilizers
continue to be effective under spectrally- altered sunlight conditions; b) they are themselves photostable on
exposure to UV-rich sunlight; and c) they can be sufficiently effective at low enough concentrations to
economically serve the purpose. Experimental data bearing on these issues is sparse.  On-going research,
particularly those relating to extreme-environment exposure of polymers, is expected to shed more light on these
unresolved questions. Substitution of the affected materials by more photostable varieties of plastics and other
materials also remains an attractive possibility. Both these approaches will add to the cost of plastic products in
target applications. With plastics rapidly displacing conventional materials in numerous applications, this is an
important consideration particularly in the developing world.
Introduction

   Most synthetic polymers as well as naturally - occurring biopolymers are readily affected by solar ultraviolet
(UV) radiation. The deleterious effects of UV-B on polymers (plastics and rubber) are well known, and in
applications which demand routine exposure to solar radiation, photo-stabilizers are commonly used in polymer
products to ensure adequate lifetimes. Wood and other biopolymeric materials are similarly affected; surface
coating of wood is employed to control the light-induced damage. Applications of particular interest are building
products which account for nearly a third of the plastics production in the US as well as in Western Europe. The
consistent trend towards increased use of plastics in buildings at the expense of more traditional materials of
construction such as metal, glass, mortar, and wood, is a global one and is particularly strong in developing
countries with a high demand for low-cost housing. In addition to use in building, polymeric materials are used in
numerous other applications where they are routinely exposed to solar radiation (Table 7.1).

   The outdoor service lifetimes of plastics building materials, even under present exposure conditions, are
determined by their susceptibility to UV-B radiation in terrestrial sunlight. Therefore, a partial depletion of the
stratospheric ozone layer, and the resulting increase in UV-B content in sunlight reaching the earth's surface, will
have a definite impact on the use of materials in outdoor applications. As both synthetic polymers and biomaterials
will undergo light-induced chemical changes, consequent deterioration in useful properties might be expected at

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significantly fester rates under such conditions. These changes might be mitigated at least in part, however, by the
use of higher levels of conventional stabilizers in polymer formulations, by the use of new high-efficiency stabilizer
systems, and by the substitution of better UV-resistant types of polymers for outdoor applications of interest. The
effectiveness of some of these strategies have not been demonstrated for exposure conditions involving spectrally-
altered, UV-B rich sunlight. Increased cost associated with each approach, and their effectiveness, may alter the
economics of the use of plastics and rubber in building construction.

Table 7.1. Materials Routinely Exposed to Solar UV-B Radiation.
1.      Building Materials:  Plastics - Pipes, water storage tanks, window/door frames, siding, gutters, roofing,
        glazing, exterior fascia, cable coverings, and conduits. Wood used in buildings.
2.      Outdoor Furniture and Surfaces: Stadium seats, park benches, beach furniture and artificial turf.
3.      Transportation Applications:  Composites, other polymers, and wood, used in Aircrafts, Automobiles,
        and Marine Vessels. Automotive and aircraft tires.
4.      Agricultural Applications:  Greenhouse coverings, mulch films, and irrigation hoses.
5.      Coatings and Paints:  Coatings for protection of outdoor surfaces, outdoor artwork, dyes, highway
        pavement markings, and road signs.
6.      Textile Products: Fabrics used outdoors (e.g. sails), geomembranes, netting and commercial fishing
        gear.
7.      Biopolymcrs:  Wool, human hair, Chitin/Chitosan*.
8.      Packaging:  Heavy-duty sacs.
9.      MisceUaneous:   Resins for restoration of outdoor statues, leather products, solar panel materials, paper or
        paperboard products used outdoors.

      * Shell of crabs and shrimp is composed of Chitin, the second most abundant biopolymer. Chitosans occur
        in the cell wall of fungi.
   Severity of the impact of increased UV-B levels on the outdoor lifetimes of materials depend on both the
geographic location of exposure and the susceptibility of the particular material to UV-B radiation. While the
higher latitudes will experience the high levels of ozone depletion, the high ambient temperatures in the near-
equator regions will tend to severely magnify the effect of even a very marginal increase in solar UV-B in these
regions. The effects of a uniquely harsh combination of high levels of solar UV-B from spectrally altered sunlight,
and the high temperatures leading to severe heat build-up in materials exposed outdoors, on the lifetime of
building products at these latitudes is not well understood.

   The cost advantage offered by durable plastic building products have made them popular in developing
countries including those in near-equator regions. Wood and natural materials have long been the conventional
building materials for dwellings in these regions. With the lifetimes of both plastics and wood affected by UV-B
increase, a partial ozone depletion will have very significant socio-economic impacts on these populations.

   To make a realistic assessment of the impact of a partial ozone-layer depletion on materials, several key types of
data arc needed. These are, a) the spectral sensitivity of plastics and biomaterials of interest, b) dose -response data
to estimate the increased damage to be  anticipated as a result of the UV-B increment in terrestrial sunlight, and c)
data on the effectiveness  of conventional and new types of light stabilizers in specific polymers, under exposure to
spectrally-altered sunlight. Only a fraction of the needed data is currently available, and a reliable quantitative
assessment is therefore difficult at the present time. However, spectral sensitivity data on several relevant polymers,
data on high-UV desert exposures of polymers,  and some preliminary information on stabilizer effectiveness, have
been reported in recent years. The availability of such data continues to increase the reliability of the assessment
process.


UV-lnduced Damage to Polymers

   The chemistry of UV-induced damage to polymers is not completely understood. The basic chemical processes
that occur in key polymers exposed to solar UV-B radiation, however, have been broadly identified.

   Discoloration of materials due to formation  of colored chemical species from photoreactions is a primary
consequence of exposure of polymers to UV radiation. While mechanical properties also suffer on continued
exposure, the rate of discoloration often determines the service life of the product. In the case  of poly( vinyl
chloride), (PVC), typical formulations used in the building applications ( for instance in siding, and in window

                                                 102

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frames), the predominant change caused by UV-B is the discoloration resulting from photo-dehydrochlorination
of the polymer [ Andrady et. al. ,1989,  Andrady et. al. ,1990]. The yellowing obtained is uneven and gradually
increases with prolonged exposure. Adequate stabilization with an opacifier (rutile titania) controls the rate of
discoloration  in white profiles used in siding, window frames and pipes [Titow, 1984 ]. Polycarbonates used in
glazing also undergoes yellowing [ Andrady et. al., 1992 ], but due to a combination of photo-Fries
rearrangement (shown below) and oxidative reactions [ Factor and Chu, 1980 ] . In this reaction the bisphenol A
units photoisomerize into phenyl salicylate units and possibly to dihydroxybenzophenone units. The use of UV
absorbers in the formulation is necessary to control rate of yellowing [ Davis and Sims, 1983 ].
                                                UV-B
                      Photo-Fries  Rearrangement  of  Polycarbonate

   Wood and paper also undergo yellowing discoloration on exposure to solar UV-B [ Andrady et.al., 1991;
ForsskM et.al., 1993, Heitner, 1993], when the lignin component in wood undergoes photodegradation. In a
study involving 75 varieties of commercially important wood, 65 percent were found to discolor due to UV light
[Sanderman et.al., 1962 ]. On exposure to UV radiation, the fractions of both holocellulose and lignin reduce and
that of extractives increase, but the percent reduction in lignin is relatively higher than that of cellulose [ Hon,
1993 ]. Cellulose in wood has been shown to undergo a free radical mediated degradation on exposure to
wavelengths < 340 run. Electron spin resonance spectroscopjc data suggest scission of the GS - C6 bond in
glucose units in the molecule during irradiation [ Hon, 1981 ].

   Wool readily undergoes light induced yellowing due to solar UV-B radiation. The amino acid residues,
particularly tryptophan, histidine and cystine, degrade extensively on irradiation. Some free radical mediated main-
chain scission of wool molecules also accompany photoyellowing [Launer, 1965 ]. Role  of UV-B radiation in
generating free-radicals in human hair has also been reported [ Jahan et.al. 1987}. Presence  of free-radicals often
leads to degradation in polymer materials.

   Both photo-initiated thermooxidative processes and photodegradation reactions may lead to chain-scission in
polymers exposed to solar radiation. These are often free-radical processes and may also  involve concurrent cross
linking. As the desirable mechanical properties of polymers are a consequence of their long chain-like molecular
structure, chain scission leads to deterioration of these properties. This in turn impacts their outdoor service lives.
Polyethylene films exposed to solar UV-B radiation readily loose their extensibility and strength [ Hamid et. al.
1988; ], as well as their average molecular weight [ Andrady et. al., 1993 ]. While the change in UV-induced loss
in elongation was shown to generally correlate with  the development of carbonyl functionalities,  it is preferable to
use both measures when predictions of weatherability of polyethylene is attempted [ Tidjani et.al., 1993 ]. In
polyethylene, photoinitiation is thought to originate from polymer-oxygen complexes while  in polypropylene the
initiation is via photolysis of tertiery hydroperoxide groups [Gugumus, 1994 ]. Solar UV-B is also known to
degrade polystyrene foam [ Andrady et. al., 1991 ], a popular packaging and material. These changes in bulk
mechanical properties  reflect changes in macromolecular chain scission ( and/or cross linking) resulting from
photodegradation. Changes in viscosity or gel permeation characteristics of polymers have been used [ Torikai
et.al., 1993a; Andrady et. al., 1993 ] to establish molecular level changes during photodegradation.

   It has been suggested that unless the  ozone losses exceed an arbitrary value of 15 percent in summer months,
the increased deleterious effects on polymers might be minimal [ Prickett, 1994 ]. These conclusions based on
biologically effective UV doses and the geographic variations of terrestrial UV currently  observed, do not take into
account the synergistk effects of the temperature in  polymer photodegradation. In near-equator regions (for
instance, in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia) where the ambient air temperatures  can be as high as 50 C, even a very  small
increase in UV-B levels can translate into significant increases in the rate of degradation. A more reliable
assessment must be based on activation spectra of relevant polymer formulations.
                                                 103

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 Spectral Sensitivity

    The spectral sensitivity of polymers is determined from exposure experiments using monochromatic radiation,
 or from exposures to filtered xenon sources ( whose spectral irradiance distribution is designed to closely
 approximate terrestrial sunlight at unit air mass) and a series of cut-on filters. Early experimental data is of limited
 value because of incomplete descriptions of the polymer formulations and processing techniques used in sample
 preparation, and because mercury vapor lamps were used as sources in these studies. Such lamps emit short
 wavelength UV radiation not typically found in terrestrial sunlight.

    Table 7.2 summarizes the available data on spectral sensitivity of polymeric materials. Data on UV-A sensitive
 materials arc not included  because ozone depletion is expected to mainly affect the UV-B region of the solar
 spectrum. Data generated  using a borosilicate-filtered xenon source, with cut-on filters to separate the effect of
 different spectral regions allow the identification of spectral regions most effective in bringing about the damage
 of interest. Such activation spectra will be source-specific, and those reported in the Table are specific for filtered -
 xenon source spectrum and the indicated damage criterion only. Spectral sensitivity can also be studied in
 experiments where materials are exposed to monochromatic radiation. Using either experimental approach it is
 possible to estimate the damage obtained per available photon, and plot as a function of wavelength of exposure,
 to obtain an action spectrum. Information from the two approaches should agree in instances where there is no
 significant synergism or mutual cancellation of effects obtained at different wavelengths. In the case of PVC, the
 yellowing discoloration brought about by the UV-B region of the solar spectrum is offset to some extent by the
 photoblcaching of chromophores afforded by the SOOnm - 600 nm band of visible light [ Andrady et. al., 1989].
 In spite of the high quantum efficiency of photobleaching reaction [ Decker et. al, 1988 ] relative to that of
 yellowing, this apparantly plays only a minor role in the overall photodegradation process, and the
 monochromatic wavelength sensitivity data was consistent with activation spectra for yellowing under white light [
 Andradyet.nl., 1989a ]. Figure 7.1 illustrates the action spectra of common polymer formulations for yellowing.
                           -42.5 -
                            -45-
                           -47.5-
                       d
                       3

                       I
                       o
                       •3    -50-
                              250
D    Hevsprint paper

O    Leian polycarbonate

o    Rigid PVC vith no TiOa

A    Rigid PYC vith 2.5» TUO2
                                      275
                                             300
                                                     325
                                                            350
                                        Wavelength [nm]

Fig. 7.1. Spectral sensitivity of selected polymeric materials.

   Scission (and sometimes cross linking) of macromolecular chains making up the polymer, is a common
consequence of photodegradation. These changes result in a drastic reductions in the mechanical integrity of the
polymer and therefore influence their useful lifetimes outdoors. Recently' the action spectra for chain scission in
several polymers including polystyrene [ Torikai et.al., 1993b ], polyethylene [ Andrady et. al. 1994 ], and
polycarbonate [ Torikai et. al., 1993a} have been reported. Activation spectra based on tensile properties of
materials are of particular interest as the mechanical integrity of plastics is frequently measured in terms of tensile
properties. Figure 7.2 shows relevant data for (ethylene - carbon monoxide (~1 %) } copolymer film exposed to
white light from a xenon source [ Andrady et. al. 1994 ]; a sharp transition from almost no effect to drastic
deterioration is obtained around 330 nm. The standard error associated with elongation at break measurements is
generally large, and the scatter in Figure 7.2 is not unusual. A more fundamental measure of chain-scission is the
change in solution viscosity, resulting from a change in average molecular weight. Recently viscosity data on
polycarbonate [ Torikai et. al., 1993a ], and polystyrene [ Torikai et.al., 1993b ] were reported, with either 300
nm or 280 nm - 300 nm being identified as the wavelengths most effective in causing chain scission. A quantum
yield of 0 -1 x 10"^ scission events per photon was reported for polycarbonate.
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Table 7.2.      Reported Spectral Sensitivity Data on Materials
POLYMER FORMULATION  DAMAGE CRITERION    MAXIMUM
Polyehtylene [PE]
 LLDPE Base Polymer
 LLDPE + Flame retardant
 HDPE + Flame retardant
 LDPE Base Polymer

Poly(vinyl chloride) [PVC]
  Base Polymer film
  Rigid PVC + titania
  Base polymer film

Polypropylene [PP]
  Base Polymer Film
  PP + Flame retardant
  PP molded pieces

Polystyrene [PS]
  Base Polymer
  PS + Flame retardant (I)
  PS + Flame retardant (II)
  Base Polymer
  PS + Flame retardant (I)
  PS -i- Flame retardant (II)
  PS (photodegradable)

Polycarbonate [PC]
  Base Polymer
  PC extruded sheet
  PC + photostabilizer

Poly(methyl metha-crylate)
[PMMAJ
  Base Polymer

Copolymers and Blends
  ECO copolymer (1% CO)

  PC/PMMA Blend
                          EFFECT

Optical Density (UV/Vis)    260*

Optical Density (UV/Vis)    300
Discoloration               310
Discoloration (Y.I.)           320
Discoloration (Y.I.)         310 - 325
Spectroscopy (FTIR)        355 - 385
Spectroscopy (FTIR)        260 - 280
Chain Scission (GPC)       260 - 280
Extensibility (Tensile)       315 -330
Optical Density (UV/Vis)    260 - 320
Optical Density (UV/Vis)      280
Optical Density (UV/Vis)      310
Chain Scission (GPC)         280
Chain Scission (GPC)         300
Chain Scission (GPC)         300
Discoloration              320 - 345
Chain Scission (Vise.)        280 - 320
Discoloration (Y.I.)           280
Discoloration (Y.I.)         310 - 340
Chain Scission (Vise.)          300
Optical Density (UV/Vis)   280 - 340
Extensibility (Tensile)         <320
Chain Scission (Vise.)        <280
                                                                      SOURCE


                                                                      Torikai. (1993c)


                                                                      Hirtet.al(1967)
                                                                      Hirt (1967)
                                                                      Andrady(1989)
                                                                      Martin (1971)
                                                                      Torikai (1993b)

                                                                      Andrady(1994)
                                                                      Torikai (1993b)
                                                                      Andrady(1994)
                                                                      Torikai (1993a)
                                                                      Andrady(1994)
                                                                      Andrady(1994)
                                                                      Mitsuoka(1993)
                                                                      Aoki (1992)
                                                                      Andrady(1994)
                                                                      Osawa(1991)
Biopolymers
  Wood Pulp (mechanical)
  Wood Pulp (refiner pulp)
  Wool
                                        Andrady(1991)
                                        Forsskahl (1993)
                                        Launer(1965)
                                        Lennox  (1971)
                             Discoloration (Y.I.)         334 -354
                             Brightness (UV/Vis)       450 - 500
                             Discoloration (Y.I.)          290 - 311
                             Discoloration (Y.I.)           280*
NOTES.
1. Column 1 abbreviations. LLDPE - Linear Low Density Polyethylene, HDPE - High Density Polyethylene, LDPE - Low
Density Polyethylene, PMMA - Poly(methyl methacrylate), ECO - copolymer of ethylenc and carbon monoxide.
2. Column 2 abbreviations. UV/Vis. : UV - Visible Spectroscopy, Y.I.: Yellowness Index, FTIR: Fourier Transform Infra-red
Spectroscopy, GPC: Gel Permeation Chromatography.
3. Column 3. Wavelength interval in the white light (filtered xenon - source ) spectrum at which maximum damage was
obtained. Single wavelengths refer to data from monochromatic exposure experiments, and indicate the wavelength at which
maximum damage was obtained. A '*' indicates that this was also the shortest wavelength used in the experiment.
                                                105

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                               1000
                            —  800-

                            1
                            CO  600
                            13
                            a
                            •5  4QO
                                200-
260    280    300    320    340    360

        Cut-on Wavelength of Filter (nm)
                                                                             380
Rg. 7.2. Elongation at break for (ethylene -carbon monoxide) copolymer films exposed behind cut-on filters to a white light
        source (Borosilicate-fittered Xenon source).


   Activation spectra for yellowing of biopolymeric materials such as wood pulp [Andrady et.al. 1991 ] and wool
[Lennox ct.nl. 1971 ] have also been reported. With wool and paper made from mechanical pulps, premature
yellowing takes place on exposure to solar UV-B light. Figure 7.3 shows the activation spectrum for yellowing of
newsprint paper made from pinewood (Pinus taeda,) exposed to white light from a xenon source.

                                ..&,.., .3.0
                                        «9  300   320   310   3«p   3JQ  <#p
                                 * «  *       ••SpfctrBVRegrqn'ofrlrrrkiiatfonlCmd'


Fig. 7.3. Activation spectrum for yellowing of newsprint paper exposed to a white light source ( Borosilicate-filtered Xenon
        source).

   Increased rates of UV-B induced degradation of polymers may also affect post-consumer plastic waste
management technologies such as recycling and photodegradable polymers. Depending on the geographic
location, plastics in the litter stream will undergo higher extents of photodegradation prior to collection for
recycling. The significance of this incremental exposure on recyclate quality is not clear at this time.

Responses to  increased Solar UV Radiation

   In principal, there are two basic approaches to maintaining current service lives of selected materials in  spite of
a moderate increase in UV levels in sunlight. One is to substitute materials; more photoresistant, albeit more
expensive, polymers or other materials might be used for those applications that demand routine exposure to
sunlight. For instance, the PVC formulations used in exterior profile (for instance in window frames) might be
replaced with better weather-resistant copolymers such as (acrylonitrile - butadiene - styrene), or with PVC -
capped \vith films or layers of selected polymers with superior weatherability  [ Moore, 1994 ]. Alternatively, an
effort might be made to use conventional or novel light - stabilizers to address the problem. Polymers such as
                                                  106

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PVC are inherently photolabile, and their oiifijpor use is possible only due to the effectiveness of light- and heat-
stabilizer technology, with impressive classes of photostabilizers such as hindered amine systems (HALS) being
recently developed [ Al-Malaika et.al. 1983 ]. It is likely and certainly not unreasonable to expect the polymer
industry worldwide to explore the full capability of stabilizers to address the problem of increased solar UV-B
component. The cost of UV stabilizer systems is a very significant component of the cost of plastic formulations
used in outdoor applications; with polyethylene greenhouse film formulations, as much as 30 percent of the
compound cost might be  ascribed to the photostabilizer. Increasing levels of stabilizer will therefore have a
definite impact on the economics of plastics use in outdoor applications.

   The basic question then would be whether increasing levels of conventional photostabilizers in common
polymer formulations will result in a concomitant increase in the service life of materials exposed to spectrally -
altered, UV-rich sunlight? Early investigations of the issue in CIAP (Climatic Impact Assessment Program)
assumed that such an approach will  be successful and even calculated (based on Beer - Lambert Law) factor
increases in stabilizer needed to offset a given increase in total UV radiation levels [ Shultz et.al., 1975 ]. These
calculations, however, were not based on experimental data pertaining to specific stabilizer / polymer
combinations.  Some data is also available from industry sources and in technical literature on the effectiveness of
higher levels of photostabilizer in typical formulations in increasing the service life of polymers. However, this data
pertains almost exclusively to photodamage to materials from sunlight with present-day levels of UV-B. The effect
of increasing levels of a common type of photostabilizer in polyethylene film is shown in Figure 7.4 to illustrate
the efficiency of the additive in maintaining service life, and to show that the protective action can be a non-linear
function at high levels of the additive. This data is on Chimasorb 944 LD stabilized LDPE films exposed for a
three year period under desert conditions in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia [Humid et.al. 1994]. The high ambient
temperatures in desert locations will further exacerbate the problem of maintaining reasonable lifetimes for plastic
products exposed to sunlight with increased UV-B component. In an empirical study on LDPE weathering under
desert conditions  Hamid  et.al. [ Hamid et.al. 1991 ] found the elongation at break to be a sensitive indicator of
the extent of weathering.  The study found  total UV-B as well as total sunlight to correlate particularly well with
changes in properties of the polymer on exposure. Another relevant study was carried out by Bauer et.al. [ Bauer
et.al. 1990, 1992 ] on photo-degradation of organic coatings photostabilized by HALS compounds. A "Harsh"
exposure involving high-intensity short-wave UV radiation, and an "Ambient" exposure with simulated solar
radiation were used to rank a series  of HALS. The rankingjaf.the effectiveness of different stabilizers was very
different under the two exposure conditions. Some commercial HALS compounds  are known to be photolyzed
on exposure to short wavelength  UV radiation [ Al-Malaika et.al., 1983; Chen et.al., 1988 ].
                                          30.0
                                          ZO.O-
                                           10.0-
                                                             o
                                                          o     o
                                           0.0-
                                                   Percent UV St»bili»r
Fig. 7.4. Solar UV radiation needed to reduce the elongation at break by 50 percent, of LDPE films containing different
        levels of UV stabilizer.

   Hitherto, there was little need to address the question of spectrally-altered sunlight and its effect on
weathering of materials. The efficiency and effectiveness of conventional stabilizers under spectrally-altered
sunlight has not been studied and therefore remains essentially unknown.

   Increase in levels of photostabilizers may offset the increased rate of photodegradation caused by higher solar
UV levels resulting from a partial ozone depletion. However, the effect of higher stabilizer levels on other useful
properties of the material must also be considered; at least in the case of rigid PVC profile formulations increased
                                                  107

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 titania levels can lead to several negative consequences [ Mastro, 1983 ]. An attractive alternative is the use of
 improved grades, specially coated grades, of rutile to obtain higher levels of protection at low levels of additive [
 Day, 1990 ]. The relative importance of different approaches to mitigation, including the use of alternate materials
 of superior UV resistance, will invariably be determined by the costs associated with each strategy. Insufficiant
 data is available to estimate these costs and therefore the impact on building materials industry at this time.

    In the case of biomatcrials, the mitigation of the effects of higher UV levels in sunlight is considerably more
 difficult. While wood surfaces can be treated either with coatings or other stabilizers, the same is generally not
 true of paper made of mechanical pulps. Light - induced yellowing and the related loss in brightness is a key factor-
 limiting the use of mechanical pulpsf Hcmmingson et.al., 1989 ]. With materials such as wool, chitins, natural
 fibers used in netting and cordage, die impact of damage due to increased solar UV levels has not been established
 with any degree of certainty. While UV-induced degradation reactions in these materials are known, the extent to
 which such changes interfere with the performance of these materials, or affect the economic value of these
 materials ( specially with wool or paper) has not been comprehensively addressed.

 Conclusions

    Both naturally occurring biopolymer materials as well as synthetic polymers undergo degradation reactions on
 exposure to solar UV-B radiation. With synthetic polymers, it is the effective photostabilization that ensures
 adequate lifetimes for products used outdoors even under present exposure conditions. Any increase in the UV-B
 content of terrestrial sunlight must therefore reduce the service life of products based on these materials.

    Some relevant action spectra for typical formulations of common polymers are available. In spite of many
 recent pertinent contributions in the literature, a complete understanding of the wavelength sensitivity of key
 formulations used in building applications has not been achieved. To be useful in models assessing damage, the
 action spectra have to address relevant formulations of more common polymers, and pertain to those properties
 (often mechanical properties) of interest to end-users. In the case of biomaterials routinely exposed to sunlight,
 even less data is available; action spectra are known only for  a few of these.

    With synthetic polymers there is a likelihood that either increasing the levels of conventional stabilizers, or the
 use of novel stabilizers, will alleviate some of the deleterious ejects- of increased UV-B in sunlight. However,
 insufficient data on weathering studies based on spectrally altered white light, precludes confirmation of the
 efficacy of this strategy. Intensity - dependence of the key light stabilizers for polymers, under different and
 relevant light - temperature domains has not yet  been reported. Therefore  the economic feasibility of this primary
 industry response to stratospheric ozone depletion, cannot be realistically assessed at this time.

 References

 Al-Malaika, S., and G. Scott (1983). Photostabilization of Polyolefins. In "Degradation and Stabilization of
    Pofyoleftns", Ed.  N.S. Allen, Applied Science Publishers (New York) p 283 - 335

 Andrady, A.L., K. Fucki, and A. Torikai (1989) Photodegradation of rigid PVC  formulations I. Wavelength
   sensitivity of light induced yellowing by monochromatic light. J. Appl.  Polym. Sci. 37: 935 - 946

Andrady, A.L., N.D. Searle(1989a) Photodegradation of rigid PVC formulations.  Spectral Sensitivity to light-
   induced yellowing by polychromatic light. 37:2789 - 2802

Andrady, A.L., K. Fueki, and A. Torikai (1990) Photodegradation of rigid PVC  formulations III. Wavelength
   sensitivity of the photoyellowing reaction in processed PVC formulations. J. Appl. Polym. Sci. 39: 763 - 766

Andrady, A.L., V. Parthasarthy, Y. Song, K. Fueki, and A. Torikai 1991) Photoyellowing of Mechanical Pulps  I.
   Wavelength sensitivity to light-induced yellowing by monochromatic radiation. TAPPI Journal, 74(8):162  -
    168

Andrady, A.L., N.D. Searle, and L.F. Crewdson (1992). Wavelength  sensitivity of stabilized and unstabilized
   polycarbonate to solar-simulated radiation. Polym. Deg. Stab., 35:235 - 247

Andrady, A.L. (1994). Unpublished data.

Aoki, H., M. Niregi, T. Saito, T. Akahori, S. Kobayashi, Z. Osawa and Z. Li (1992). Photodegradation behavior
   of photodegradablc  polymer. Ethylene-carbon monoxide copolymer. Polym. Preprints Japan XL426

Bauer, D.R., J.L. Herlock, D.F. Mielewski, M.C.P. Peck, and R.O. Carter  (1990). Photostabilization and
   Photodegradation in organic coatings containing a hindered amine Light Stabilizer V. Infra-red spectroscopic
   measurements of hindered amine effectiveness. Polym. Deg. Stab., 28:39-51
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Bauer, D.R., J.L. Herlock, and D.F. Mielewski (1992): Phptostabilization  and photodegradation in organic
   coatings containing a hindered amine Light Stabilizer VII. HALS effectiveness in  acrylic melamine coatings
   having different free radical formation rates. Polym. Deg. Stab., 36:9 -15
Chen, J., X. Hu, L. Chu, and L. Shen, (1988). Quenching of oxygen by nitroxyl radicals, and the photostabilizing
   effectiveness of hindered amines. Photogr. Sci. Photochem. (Chinese) 1: 1-10
Davis, A. and D. Sims (1983) " Weathering of Polymers ". Applied Science Publishers, New York, pp 157
Day, R.E. (1990) The role of titanium dioxide pigments in the  degradation and stabilization of polymers in tne
   plastics industry. Polym. Deg. Stab., 29(1):73 - 92
Decker, C., (1984) Photodegradation of PVC. In "Degradation and Stabilization ofPVC". Ed. E.D. Owen.
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Factor, A., W.V. Ligon, RJ. May, and F.H Greenberg (1987). Recent Advances in Polycarbonate
   Photodegradation. In "Advances in Stabilization and Controlled Degradation of Polymers II". Ed. A.V Patsis.
   Technomic Publishing Company. Lancaster Pa. p 45 - 58.
Forsskahl, L, and H. Tylli (1993). Action spectra in the UV and visible region of light-induced changes in various
   refiner pulps. In "Photochemistry ofLignocellulosic Materials ".ACS Symposium Ser., 531: 45 - 59, American
   Chemical Society, Washington DC.
Gugumus, F. (1993). Re-evaluation of the stabilization mechanisms of various light stabilizer classes. Polym. Deg.
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Hamid, S.H., A.G. Maadhah, F.S. Quereshi, and M.B. Amin, (1988) Weather-induced Degradation of
   Polyethylene: Infra-red Spectroscopic Study. Arabian J. Sci., 13(4):503 - 531
Hamid, S.H., and W. Pritchard (1991) Mathematical modelling of weather-induced degradation of polymer
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Heitner, C. (1993) Light-induced yellowing of wood-containing  papers. In "Photochemistry ofLignocellulosic
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Hemmingson,  J.A., and H. Wong (1989) Characterization of photo-chemically degraded newsprint solubles by
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   Shiraishi. Marcel  Dekker, Inc. New York, pp 525 - 556
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   hair. Photochem. Photobiol. 45(4):543 - 546
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   mcthacrylatc). Polym. Deg. Stab. 34:75 - 84
Prickett, J.E. (1994) Effect of stratospheric ozone depletion on terrestrial UV radiation: a review and analysis in
   relation to polymer photodegradation. Polym. Deg. Stab.,. 43:353 - 362.
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   Werkst., 20:245 -285
Scarlc, N.D. (1994) Unpublished data.
Shultz, A.R., D.A. Gordon, and W.L. Hawkins. (1975) Economic and social measures of biologic and climatic
   change. Climatic Impact Assessment Program (CLAP) Monograph 6, DOT-TST-75-56: 3.239 Sept.
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   polyethylene. J. Appl. Polym. Sci., 47:211 - 216.
Titow, W.V. (1984) PVC Technology. Fourth Edition. Alsevier Apllied Science Publishers. New York.
Torikai, A., T. Mitsuoka, and K. Fueki (1993a) Wavelength sensitivity of the photo-induced reactions in
   polycarbonate. J. Polymer  Sci. A: Chemistry ED., 31: 2785 - 2788
Torikai, A.,  H. Kato, K. Fueki, Y. Suzuki, A. Okisaki, and M. Nagata, (1993b). Photodegradation of polymer
   materials containing flame-cut agents. J. Appl. Polym. Sci., 50:2185 -2190
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   Preprints. Japan, 42: 2045  - 2047
                                               110

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            APPENDIX A
LIST OF AUTHORS AND CONTRIBUTORS

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             ENVIRONMENTAL  EFFECTS  PANEL MEMBERS
Mohamed B. Amin, Ph.D.
Research Institute
King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals
Dharhran 31261
SAUDI ARABIA
TEL:      966-3-860-3239
FAX:     966-3-860-2266

Anthony Andrady, Ph.D.
Dept. of Polymer Science
Research Triangle Institute
3040 Cornwallis Road
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709-
2194
USA
TEL:      1-919-541-6713
FAX:     1-919-541-5985
E-Mail:   andrady@rcc.rti.org

Lars Olof Bjorn, Ph.D.
Plant Physiology
Lund University
P.O. Box 117
S-22100 Lund
SWEDEN
TEL:      46-46-107797
FAX:     46-46-104113
E-Mail:   Iars_olof.bjorn@fysbot.lu.se

Janet F. Bornman, Ph.D.
Plant Physiology
Lund University
P.O. Box 117
S-22100 Lund
SWEDEN
TEL:      46-46-108167
FAX:     46-46-104113
E-Mail:   janet.bornman@fysbot.lu.se

Martyn Caldwell, Ph.D.
Ecology Center
Utah State University
Logan, Utah 84322-5230
USA
TEL:      1-801-797-2557
FAX:     1-801-797-3796
E-Mail:   mmc@cc.usu.edu

Terry Callaghan, Ph.D.
University of Manchester
Centre of Arctic Ecology
Williamson Building
Oxford Road, Manchester Ml 3 GP1
UNITED KINGDOM
TEL:      44-61-275-3877
FAX:     44-61-275-3938
 Frank R. de Gruijl, Ph.D.
 Inst. Dermatology
 University Hospital Utrecht
 Heidelberglaan 100
 NL-3584 CX Utrecht
 THE NETHERLANDS
 TEL:      31-30-507386
 FAX:      31-30-518328

 David Erickson,  Ph.D.
 National Center for Atmospheric Research
 1850 Table Mesa Drive
 P.O.  Box 3000
 Boulder, Colorado 80307
 USA
 TEL:      1-303-497-1424
 FAX:      1-303-497-1400
 E-Mail:   erickson@acd.ucar.edu

 Donat-P. Hader, Ph.D.
 Institut fur Botanik und Pharmazeutische
 Biologic
 der Universitat Erlangen-Niirnberg
 Staudtstrafle  5
 D-91058 Erlangen
"GERMANY
 TEL:      49-9131-858216
 FAX:      49-9131-858215
 E-Mail:   haeder@botanikl-pc.biologic.uni-
           erlangen.de

 Haleem Hamid,  Ph.D.
 Research Institute
 King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals
 Dhahran 31261
 SAUDI ARABIA
 TEL:      966-3-860-3840 or  3810
 FAX:      966-3-860-2259 or  3989

 Xingzhou Hu, Ph.D.
 Research Institute of Chemistry
 Academia Sinica
 Beijing
 CHINA
 TEL:      86-1-256-2893
 FAX:      86-1-256-9564

 Margaret L. Kripke, Ph.D.
 Department of Immunology
 Box 178
 The University of Texas
 M.D. Anderson Cancer Center
 1515 Holcombe Boulevard
 Houston, Texas 77030-4095
 USA
 TEL:      1-713-792-8578
 FAX:      1-713-794-1322

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G. Kulandaivelu, Ph.D.
School of Biological  Sciences
Madurai Kamaraj University
Madurai 625021
INDIA
TEL:       91-452-85485
FAX:      91-452-85239

H. D. Kumar, Ph.D.
Centre of Advanced Study in Botany
Banaras Hindu University
C-l/1 Jodhpur Colony
P.O. Box 5014
Varanasi-221005
INDIA
TEL:       91-542-312-275 (residence)
FAX:      91-542-311693 or 312059

Janice D. Longstreth, Ph.D.
Waste Policy  Institute
Quince Diamond Executive  Center
555 Quince Orchard Road, Suite 600
Gaithersburg,  Maryland 20878-1437
USA
TEL:       1-301-990-3034
FAX:      1-301-990-6150

Sasha Madronich, Ph.D.
Atmospheric Chemistry Division
National Center for Atmospheric Research
P.O. Box 3000
1850 Table Mesa Drive
Boulder, Colorado 80307-3000
USA
TEL:       1-303-497-1430
FAX:      1-303-497-1400
E-Mail:    sasha@acd.ucar.edu

Richard L. McKenzie, D.Phil.
National Institute of Water  and Atmospheric
Research
NIWA, Lauder
Central Otago 9182
NEW ZEALAND
TEL:       64-3-447-3411
FAX:      64-3-447-3348
E-Mail:    mckenzie@wao.greta.cri.nz

Raymond C. Smith, Ph.D.
Center for  Remote Sensing and Environmental
Optics
University  of California
Santa Barbara, California 93106
USA
TEL:       1-805-893-4709 (or 4339)
FAX:      1-805-893-2579
E-Mail:    ray@crseo.ucsb.edu
 Yukio Takizawa, M.D.
 Akita University School of Medicine
 1-1-1 Hondo
 Akita 010
 JAPAN
 TEL:      81-188-33-1166  ext. 3259
 FAX:      81-188-36-2609

 Xiaoyan Tang, Ph.D.
 Co-chair, UNEP Effects Panel
 Center of Environmental Sciences
 Peking University
 Beijing 100871
 CHINA
 TEL:      86-1-250-1925,
 FAX:      86-1-250-1927
 E-Mail:    tangxy@bepc2.ihep.ac.cn

 Alan H. Teramura, Ph.D.
 Office  of the Dean
 University of Hawaii  at Manoa
 College of Natural Sciences
 Bilger  Hall 102, 2545  The Mall
 Honolulu, Hawaii 96822
 USA
 TEL:      1-808-956-6451
 FAX:      1-808-956-9111
 E-Mail:    teramura@uhunix.uhcc.hawaii.edu

-Manfred Tevini, Ph.D.
 Co-chair, UNEP Effects Panel
 Inst. f. Botanik II
 Kaiserstrasse  12
 D-76128 Karlsruhe
 GERMANY
 TEL:      49-721-608-3841
 FAX:      49-721-608-4878
 E-Mail:    dbo5@ibm.3090.rz.uni-
           karlsruhe .dbp.de

 Ayako Torikai, Ph.D.
 Department of Applied  Chemistry
 Faculty of Engineering
 Nagoya University
 Furo-Cho, Chikusa-ku
 Nagoya 464-01
 JAPAN
 TEL:      81-52-789-3212
 FAX:      81-52-789-3791

 Jan C. van der Leun, Ph.D.
 Co-chair, UNEP Effects Panel
 Inst. Dermatology
 University Hospital Utrecht
 Heidelberglaan 100
 NL-3584 CX Utrecht
 THE NETHERLANDS
 TEL:      31-30-507386
 FAX:      31-30-518328

-------
Robert C. Worrest, Ph.D.
Consortium for International Earth Science
Information Network (CIESIN)
1747 Pennsylvania Ave., NW
Suite 200
Washington, DC 20006
USA
TEL:       1-202-775-6614
FAX:      1-202-775-6622
E-Mail:    robert.worrest@ciesin.org

Richard G. Zcpp, Ph.D.
United States Environmental Protection Agency
Environmental Research Laboratory
960 College Station Road
Athens, Georgia 30605-2720
USA
TEL:       1-706-546-3428
FAX:      1-706-546-3636
E-Mail:    rzepp@athens.ath.epa.gov

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        APPENDIX B
LIST OF EXPERT REVIEWERS

-------
                        LIST OF EXPERT REVIEWERS
Prof. Mcinrat O. Andrcac
Max-Planck Institut fiiir Chemie
Postfach 3060
D-55020 Mainz
GERMANY
Phone  49  6131 305 420
Fax    49  6131 305 487

Dr. Bruce  K. Armstrong
Director
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare
GPO Box  570
Canberra,- ACT 2601
AUSTRALIA
Phone  61  6 243 5001
Fax    61  6 257 1470

Dr. P. J. Aucamp
Chief Director: Forensic and Research Services
Department of Health
Private  Bag X828
Pretoria 0001
SOUTH AFRICA
Phone  27 12  3120218
Fax    27 12 215392

Dr. Carlos L. Ballare
Dept. de Ecologia-IFEVA
Facultad de Agronomia, Universidad de Buenos
Aires
Avda. San Martin 4453
(1417)  Buenos Aires
       ARGENTINA
Phone  54  1 522 0903
Fax    54  1 51 1384
Alt (Phone and Fax)  54 1 501 4692

Dr. Safa Baydoun
Atomic Energy Commission
P.O. Box 6091
Damascus
SYRIA
Phone  963 11 6668114
Fax    963 11 6620317

Prof. Michel Boko
Laboratory of Climatology
UNB -  FLASH - DGAT
B.P. 03 - 1122
Cotonou
BENIN
Fax    229 33 1981
 Dr. J.P. Cesarini
 INSERM
 Foundation Ophtalmologique
 Adolphe de Rothschild
 25-29, Rue Manin                      _
 F-57940 Paris  Cedex 19
 FRANCE
 Phone   33 1 48036565
 Fax     33 1 48036870
 Telex   215306

 Dr. Forrest G. Chumley
 Research Manager
 Environmental  Biotechnology Group
 DuPont Central Research and Development
 The DuPont Company
 P.O.  Box 6101
 U.S.A.
 Phone  1 302 451 3336
 Fax    1 302 451 9138
 MCI  Mail    460 0019
 Internet      chumley@esvax.dnet.dupont.com

 Dr. Thomas P. Coohill
 Ultraviolet Consultants
 652 East 14th  Street
"Bowling Green, KY 42101
 USA
 Phone/Fax    1  502 782 1351

 Prof. J.E. Costa Martins
 Photobiology Division,  Department
 of Dermatology
 University of Sao  Paulo
 R. Peixoto Gomide, 996
 Conjunto 240
 CEP-01409 Sao Paulo
 Brazil
 Phone        55 11 289 1002
 Fax          55 11 283 5409

 Dr. Anthony P. Cullen
 School of Optometry
 University of Waterloo
 Waterloo, Ontario N2L SGI
 CANADA
 Phone   1 519 885 1211
 Fax     1 519 725 0784

 Dr. S. M. Cayless
 Department of the Environment
 Global Atmosphere Division
 43 Marsham Street
 London SW1P SPY
 UNITED KINGDOM
 Phone 44 71 276 8396
 Fax   44 71 276 8509

-------
 Prof. Giinter Dohler
 Botanisches Institut
 Siessmayerstrasse 70
 D-6000 Frankfurt
 GERMANY
 Phone 49 69 798 4745

 Prof. Edward DeFabo
 George Washington University Medical Center
 Ross Hail, Room 113
 2300 I St., NW
 Washington, D.C. 20037
 U.S.A.
 Phone/Fax    1 202 994 3975

 Dr. Michael J. Doughty
 School of Optometry
 University of Waterloo
 Waterloo,  Ontario N2L 3G1
 CANADA
 Phone  519  885 1211
 Fax    519  725 0784
 Telex   069  55259

 Gunars Duburs, Ph.D.
 Latvian Intitule of Organic Synthesis
 21 Aizkraukles
 LV-1006  Riga
 LATVIA
 Phone  371-2-551232
 Fax   371-2-553493

 Dr. Alex E. S. Green
 ICAAS Clean  Combustion Laboratory
 University of  Florida
 P.O  Box  112050
 Gainesville, Florida 32611 - 2050
 U.S.A.
 Phone  1  904 392 2001
 Fax    1  904  392 2027

 Dr. R. Guicherit
 TNO Institute of Environmental Studies
 P.O. Box 6011
 NL-2600  JA Delft
 NETHERLANDS
 Phone  31 15  696187
 Fax    31 15  616812
Telex  38071

Dr. Mohammad Ilyas
Astronomy and Atmospheric Research Unit
 University  of Science of Malaysia
 Pulau Pinang 11800
MALAYSIA
 Phone 60 4 6572859
Fax   60 4 6576155
 Dr. John Jagger
 7532 Mason Dells Drive
 Dallas, TX 75230
 U.S.A.
 Phone 1 214 692 6292

 Dr. H. van Loveren
 National  Institute for Public Health and
 Environmental Protection
 P.O. Box 1
 NL-3720 BA Bilthoven
 NETHERLANDS
 Phone 31 30 749111

 Dr. All G. Maadhah
 Manager
 Division I, Research  Institute
 King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals
 Dhahran 31261
 SAUDI ARABIA
 Phone 966 3 860 3319
 Fax   966 3 860 2266

 Mack McFarland, Ph.D.
 Science Co-ordinator
 Environmental Programs
 DuPont Chemicals
 Fluorochemicals
 Wilmington, DE  19898
Phone 1-302-774-5076
Fax   1-302-774-8416

Prof. A. J. McMichael
Epidemiolody Unit
Keppel Street
London WC1E 7HT
UNITED KINGDOM
Phone 44 71 927 2254
Fax   44 71 580 6897

Dr. Giuliana Moreno
Lab. de Biophysique
INSERM U 201, CNRS URA 481
Museum National d'Histoire  Naturelle
43 rue Cuvier
F-75 231 Paris Cedex 05
FRANCE
Phone 33 1 40793691
Fax   33 1 40793705

Dr. Gillian Murphy
Department of Dermatology
Beaumont  Hospital
Beaumont Avenue
Dublin 9
IRELAND
Phone 353 1 8375058
Fax   353 1 8368215

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Mr. David Olszyk
Research Ecologist
US-EPA
Environmental Research Laboratory
200 SW 35th Street
Corvallis, Oregon 97333
U.S.A.
Fax    1 503 754 4397

Hugh M. Pitcher,  Ph.D
Pacific Northwest Laboratory, Suite 900
901 D Street, NW
Washington,  B.C. 20015
USA
Phone  1-202-646-7815
Fax    1-202-646-5233

Donald  G. Pitts, OD, Ph.D.
6943 S. Jamestown Avenue
Tulsa, OK 74136-2611
U.S.A.
Phone  1 918 494 6779
Fax    1 918 488 9690

Dr. Barbara Prezelin
Department  of Biological Sciences
University of Southern California
Santa Barbara, CA 93106
USA
Phone  1 805 893 2979
Fax    1 805 893 4724

Prof. Dr. Werner Rau
Botanischcs Institut der Universitat Miinchen
Menzinger-Strasse 67
D-80638 MQnchen
GERMANY
Phone  49 89 17861 238
Fax    49 89 1782 274

Prof. Henning Rodhe
Department of Meteorology
University of Stockholm
S-10691 Stockholm
SWEDEN
Phone  46 8  16 43 42
Fax    46 8  15 92 95

Dr. Norma D. Searle
114 Vcntnor F
Deerficld Beach,  Florida  33442
U.S.A.
Phone/Fax   1  305 480 8938

Dr. Zdenek  Sestak
Institute of Experimental  Botany
Academy of Sciences of the Czech  Repablic
Na Karlovce  la
CZ-16000 Praha  6
CZECH REPUBLIC
Phone 42 2  311  1032
Fax   42 2  24310113
 Dr. Richard B. Setlow
 Biology Department
 Brookhaven National Laboratory
 Upton, Long Island, NY 11973
 U.S.A.
 Phone 1  516 282 3391
 Fax   1  516 282 3407

 Dr. Richard Soulen                      ~"
 Technical  and Management Services, Inc.
 P.O. Box 388
 Bloomfield  Hills, Michigan 48303
 U.S.A.
 Phone 1  810 642 6568
 Fax   1  810 258 6769

 Dr. Hugh R. Taylor
 Ringland Anderson Professor of Ophthalmology
 Melbourne University
 Department of Ophthalmology
 32 Gisborne Street
 East Melbourne
 VIC. 3002
 AUSTRALIA
 Phone 613 665 9564
 Fax   613 662 3859

 Dr. F. Urbach
 Temple University Medical Practices
"220 Commerce  Dr., Suite 120
 Fort Washington PA  19034
 U.S.A.
 Phone 1  215 643 2411
 Fax   1  215 643 6188

 Dr. K. Victoria
 Karolinska Institute of Environmental Medicine
 Box 210
 S-17177 Stockholm
 SWEDEN
 Phone 46 8 7286400
 Fax   46 8 33 6981

 Prof. Alan R, Wellburn
 IEBS (Biol. Sci.)
 Lancaster  University
 Lancaster  LAI 4YQ
 UNITED  KINGDOM
 Phone 44 524  593838
 Fax   44 524  843854

 Prof. Dr.  Eckard Wellmann
 Biologisches Institut II  de  Universitat
 Schanzlestrasse I
 D-7800 Freiburg
 GERMANY
 Phone 49 761 203 2664
 Telex 77274070  UF

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      APPENDIX C
LIST  OF ABBREVIATIONS

-------
                                LIST  OF  ABBREVIATIONS
AF        Amplification Factor
AIDS      acquired immunodeficiency disease syndrome
BAF       Biological  Amplification  Factor
BCC      basal  cell  carcinoma                                                                _
CFG      chlorofluorocarbon
CM       cutaneous melanoma
CO       carbon monoxide.  A chemically-reactive trace gas that is believed to play an important role in
           controlling the oxidizing capacity of the free troposphere.
COS      carbonyl sulfide. The most concentrated sulfur containing gas in the troposphere.  COS is
           believed to be a source of background sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere.
CO2      carbon dioxide
CZCS     coastal zone color scanner
DIG       Dissolved inorganic carbon.  Total concentration of dissolved inorganic carbon in water,
           expressed in  units of grams  carbon per liter
DMS      dimethyl sulfide.  The major volatile sulfur compound of biogenic origin emitted from the
           ocean into  the atmosphere.   DMS reacts in the  troposphere to produce sulfate aerosols.
DNA      deoxyribonucleic  acid
DOC      Dissolved organic carbon.  Total concentration of dissolved organic substances in water,
           expressed in units of grams carbon per liter
DOM     Dissolved organic matter.  Total concentration of dissolved organic substances in water,
           usually expressed in units of grams carbon per liter
DU       Dobson Unit (2.69 x 1019 molecules cm-2)
EC5Q     concentration resulting in 50% of specified effect
g DW     Grams per dry weight
Gt        Gigaton. 10$ tons (IQlS grams)        —— -
HCFC     Hydrochlorofluorocarbon.  The class of industrially produced compounds containing carbon,
           hydrogen, chlorine and fluorine.  Can be used as chlorofluorocarbon substitutes.
HFC      Hydrofluorocarbon. The class of industrially produced compounds containing carbon, hydrogen
           and fluorine.  Can be used as chlorofluorocarbon substitutes
HIV       human immunodeficiency virus
HSV      herpes simplex  virus
ISLSCP   International Satellite Land  Surface  Climatology Project
IL-1, 10   Interleukin -1, 10
McBr     methyl bromide
NLOM    Non living organic matter in the environment, e.g. litter, detritus
NMHC   Non methane hydrocarbons.   Volatile hydrocarbons emitted from terrestrial plants and marine
           phytoplankton that participate in various tropospheric  chemical reactions
NMSC     non-melanoma skin cancer
NO       Nitric oxide.  A highly reactive trace nitrogen species that participates in a variety of
           chemical reactions in the troposphere
NOX      Nitrogen oxides.  Reactive nitrogen-containing  species,  nitric oxide and nitrogen dioxide,
           that play an important  role in tropospheric chemistry
N2O      Nitrous oxide.  An important greenhouse gas that also participates in stratospheric reactions
           that deplete ozone
PAM      pulse  amplitude modulation
PAR       Photosynthetically  active radiation.  Generally defined as electromagnetic radiation in the
           400 to 700 nm range
POC      Particulate  organic carbon.  Total concentration of paniculate organic substances in water,
           expressed in units of grams carbon per liter
RAF       Radiative  Amplification Factor
SBUV     Solar  Backscatter Ultraviolet (instrument)
SCC       squamous  cell carcinoma
SCUP     skin cancer utrecht'- Philadelphia
SOM      Soil organic matter
SP        xeroderma pigmentosum

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TFA
Tg
Thl, 2
TNF
TOMS
UCA
UNEP
USEPA
UV
UV-A

UV-B

WHO
WMO
Trifluoroacetic acid.  A tropospheric oxidafiorf product of certain HFCs and HCFCs
Teragrani. 1Q12 grams                  .'•'
T-helper  1, 2 lymphocyte
 Tumor necrosis factor - alpha
Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer
urocanic  acid
United Nations Environment Programme
United States Environmental Protection Agency
ultraviolet
Ultraviolet-A radiation.  Electromagnetic radiation of wavelengths in the  315 to 400 nm
range
Ultraviolet-B radiation.  Electromagnetic radiation of wavelengths in the  280 to 315 nm
range
World Health Organization
World Meteorological  Organization

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