United States        Office of Air Quality
Environmental Protection   Planning and Standards
Agency           Research Triangle Park NC 27711
                                                EPA-450/4-91-003b
                                                February 1991
             Air
<>EPA      National Air Quality and
             Emissions Trends Report,
             1989

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                               EPA-450/4-91-003
National Air Quality and
Emissions Trends Report,
             1989
   Executive Summary
             and
  Chapter 4 - Excerpts
U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
         Office of Air and Radiation
     Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
         Technical Support Division
    Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
           February 1991

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                                DISCLAIMER
   This report has been reviewed by the Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, and has been approved for publication.
Mention of trade names or commercial products is not intended to constitute
endorsement or recommendation for use.
 Note:  Pages are numbered as they appear in the original report.
                                       11

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                                   PREFACE
    This report contains Chapters 1 and 4 of the seventeenth annual report of air
pollution trends issued by the U. S. Environmental Protection Agency. The report is
prepared by the Technical Support Division and is directed toward both the technical
air pollution audience and the interested general public. This report contains copies of
the nonattainment maps in Chapter 4 which were produced in color in the original
report. The  Division solicits comments on this report and welcomes suggestions  on
our trend techniques, interpretations, conclusions, and methods of presentation.
Please forward any response to Dr. Thomas C. Curran, (MD-14) U.  S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Technical Support Division, Research Triangle Park North
Carolina 27711.
                                      in

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        NATIONAL AIR QUALITY AND EMISSIONS TRENDS REPORT. 1989

                           1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


 1.1    INTRODUCTION

       This is the seventeenth  annual report1"16 documenting air pollution trends in the
 United States for those pollutants that have National Ambient Air Quality Standards
 (NAAQS).  These standards have been promulgated by the U.  S. Environmental
 Protection Agency (EPA) to protect public health and welfare. There are two types of
 NAAQS, primary and secondary.  Primary standards are designed to protect public
 health, while secondary standards protect public welfare,  including effects of air pollution
 on vegetation, materials and visibility. This report focuses on comparisons with the
 primary standards in effect in 1989 to examine changes in air pollution levels over time,
 and to summarize current air pollution status. There are six pollutants that have
 NAAQS: particulate matter (formerly as total suspended paniculate (TSP) and now as
 PM10 which emphasizes the smaller particles), sulfur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide
 (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3) and lead (Pb).  It is important to note that the
 discussions of ozone in this report refer to ground level, or tropospheric, ozone and not
 to stratospheric ozone. Ozone in the stratosphere, miles  above the earth, is a beneficial
 screen from the sun's ultraviolet rays. Ozone at ground level, in the air we breathe, is a
 health  and  environmental concern.
       The  trends in ambient air quality that follow are
 presented as boxplots, which display the 5th, 10th,
 25th, 50th (median), 75th, 90th and 95th percentiles of
 the data, as well as the composite average. The 5th,
 10th and 25th percentiles depict the "cleaner" sites,
 while the 75th, 90th and 95th depict the "higher" sites
 and the median and average describe the "typical"
 sites.   For example, the 90th percentile means that 90
 percent of the sites had concentrations less than or
 equal to that value, and only 10 percent of the sites
 had concentrations that were higher. Boxplots
 simultaneously illustrate  trends in the "cleaner",
 "typical" and "higher" sites.
      The ambient air quality trends presented  in this report are based upon actual
direct measurements.  These air quality trends are supplemented with trends for
 nationwide emissions, which  are based upon the best available engineering
calculations. Chapter 4 of this  report includes a detailed listing of selected 1989 air
quality  summary statistics for every metropolitan statistical area (MSA) in the nation and
 maps highlighting the largest MSAs. Chapter 5  presents 1980-89 trends for 14 cities.



)




* 	 	 750, PERCENTILE





                                       1-1

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1.2    MAJOR FINDINGS
  PARTICULATE WAITER
      AIR QUALITY

      Total Suspended Particulates (TSP)
      1982-89*: geometric mean: 1 percent decrease (1648 sites)
      1988-89: geometric mean: 5 percent decrease (1014 sites)
            * 8-year period (see comments)
      1988-89: arithmetic mean: 3 percent decrease (357 sites)

      EMISSIONS

      1982-89: 1 percent increase (TSP)
            (Note: 10-year 1980-89 change was 15 percent decrease)
      1988-89: 4 percent decrease (TSP); 3 percent decrease (PM10)

      COMMENTS

      The 1980-81 TSP data were affected by a change in sampling filters, therefore,
      these years are shaded to indicate the uncertainty in the TSP measurements.
      The highest average and peak 24-hour PM10 concentrations are seen in Regions
      IX and X. The 1988 TSP and PM10  air quality levels were affected by generally
      drier conditions and higher than normal forest  fire activity.

      PM EFFECTS

      Based on studies of human populations exposed to  high concentrations of
      particles (often in the presence of sulfur dioxide), and laboratory studies of
      animals and humans, the major effects of concern for human health include
      effects on breathing and respiratory symptoms, aggravation of existing respiratory
      and cardiovascular disease, alterations in the  body's defense systems against
      foreign materials, damage to lung tissues, carcinogenesis, and premature
      mortality. The major subgroups of the population that appear likely to be  most
      sensitive to the effects of particulate matter include individuals with chronic
      obstructive pulmonary or cardiovascular disease, individuals with influenza,
      asthmatics, the elderly, and children.  Particulate matter causes material soiling
      and is responsible for substantial visibility impairment in many parts of the U.S.

                                      1-2

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  110
           TSP AIR  QUALITY
      CONCENTRATION UG/M3           ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
  100-
  90-
  80 -
  70-
  60 -
  50 -
  40-
  30 -
  20-
  10
   0

                                        1648 SITES

WOffWA/OTWG
The PM10 NAAQS replaced EPA's earlier TSP standard in 1987. PM10
focuses on those particles with aerodynamic diameters smaller than 10
micrometers, which are likely to be responsible for adverse health effects
because of their ability to reach the lower regions of the respiratory tract.
PM10 appears to represent essentially all of the particulate emissions
from transportation sources and most of the emissions in the other
traditional categories.  However, fugitive PM10 emissions are 8 times
more than the total of all traditional particulate matter sources categories.
                           1-3

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SULFUR DIOXIDE (SOJ
    AIR QUALITY

    1980-89: arithmetic mean: 24 percent decrease (409 sites)
            24-hour second high: 26 percent decrease (405 sites)
            24-hour exceedances: 95 percent decrease (405 sites)

    1988-89: arithmetic mean: 3 percent decrease (513 sites)

    EMISSIONS fSOx)

    1980-89: 10 percent decrease

    1988-89: 1 percent increase

    COMMENTS

    The vast majority of SO2 monitoring sites do not show any exceedances of the
    24-hour NAAQS and the exceedance trend is dominated by source oriented
    sites.  The decrease in sulfur oxides emissions from 1980 to 1989 reflects
    reductions at coal-fired power plants.  The increase in sulfur oxides emissions
    between 1988 and 1989 is due to increased emissions from fuel combustion.
    The difference between the air quality trends and the emission trends result
    from the historical ambient monitoring networks being population-oriented while
    the major emission sources tend to be in less populated areas.

    SO3 EFFECTS

    The major health effects of concern associated with high exposures to SO2
    include effects on breathing, respiratory illness and symptoms, alterations in the
    lung's defenses, aggravation of existing respiratory and cardiovascular disease,
    and mortality.  The major subgroups of the population most sensitive to SO2
    include asthmatics and individuals with chronic lung disease (such as bronchitis
    or emphysema) or cardiovascular disease. Children and the elderly may also
    be sensitive.  Sulfur dioxide produces foliar damage on trees and agriculture
    crops and acts as a precursor to acidic precipitation.
                                  1-4

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           SO2 AIR QUALITY
       CONCENTRATION, PPM                     ANNUAL MEAN
 MWH/V07WG

Almost all monitors in U.S. urban areas meet EPA's ambient SO2
standards, which apply to ground level concentrations.  Most ambient
SO2 monitors are population oriented rather than source oriented.
Dispersion models are commonly used to assess ambient SO2 problems
around point sources because it is frequently impractical to operate
enough monitors to provide a complete air quality assessment. Current
concerns about sulfur dioxide focus on major emitters, total atmospheric
loadings, and the possible need for a shorter-term (i.e. 1-hour) standard.
Two-thirds of all national SOX emissions are generated by electric utilities
(93 percent of which come from coal fired power plants). The majority of
these emissions, however, are produced by a small number of facilities.
Fifty individual plants in 15 states account for one-half of all power plant
emissions.
                           1-5

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AIR QUALITY

1980-89: 8-hour second high: 25 percent decrease (280 sites)
         8-hour exceedances: 80 percent decrease (280 sites)

1988-89: 8-hour second high: 1 percent decrease (355 sites)

EMISSIONS

1980-89: 23 percent decrease

1988-89: 6 percent decrease

COMMENTS

While there is general agreement between the air quality and emission changes
over this 10-year period, it should be recognized that the emission changes
reflect estimated national totals while the ambient CO monitors are frequently
located to identify problems.  The mix of vehicles and the change in vehicle
miles of travel in an area around a typical CO monitoring site may differ from
the national averages.

CO EFFECTS

Carbon  monoxide enters the bloodstream and disrupts the delivery of oxygen to
the body's organs and tissues.  The health threat from carbon monoxide is
serious for those who suffer from cardiovascular disease, particularly those with
angina or peripheral vascular disease.  Healthy individuals also are affected.
Exposure to elevated carbon monoxide levels is associated with impairment of
visual perception, manual dexterity,  learning ability and performance  of complex
tasks.
                                1-6

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             CO AIR  QUALITY
     CONCENTRATION, PPM
SECOND HIGHEST 8-HOUR AVERAGE

WORTH NOTING

Transportation sources account for approximately two-thirds of the
nation's CO emissions.  Emissions from highway vehicles decreased 33
percent during the 1980-89 period, despite a 39 percent increase in
vehicle miles of travel. Estimated nationwide CO emissions decreased 6
percent between 1988 and 1989, due mostly to decreased forest fire
activity in 1989.  CO emissions from highway vehicles decreased 4
percent between 1988 and 1989.

The most recent assessment of the CO problem in the U.S. found 41
areas failing to meet the CO NAAQS in 1988-89. This is three fewer
areas than for the 1987-88 time period.
                          1-7

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AIR QUALITY

1980-89: annual mean: 5 percent decrease (148 sites)

1988-89: annual mean: 2 percent decrease (200 sites)

EMISSIONS fNOx)

1980-89: 5 percent decrease

1988-89: 1 percent decrease

COMMENTS

The national trend in annual mean NO2 concentrations in the late 1980's
continues to be flat.  The two  primary source categories of nitrogen oxide
emissions, and their contribution in 1989, are fuel combustion (56 percent) and
transportation (40 percent).

NO, EFFECTS

Nitrogen oxides can irritate the lungs and lower resistance to respiratory
infections such as influenza.  The effects of short-term exposures are still under
study, but continued or frequent exposure to concentrations higher than those
normally found in the ambient air can cause pulmonary edema. Nitrogen
dioxide acts as a precursor to acidic precipitation and plays a key role in
nitrogen loading of forests and ecosystems.
                                1-8

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  0.07
          NO2 AIR QUALITY
      CONCENTRATION, PPM                 ANNUAL MEAN

^•^••••^









I



n

i

••••^•w*



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!
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4
M-

1
148 SITES
.__ _._^.____ 	 NAAQS
i n M n i
: : **« 5 si f{
: : : : } M si
: : s: s | sf
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n L U u u j =

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f T V T f i T
Los Angeles, CA, which reported an annual mean of 0.057 ppm in 1989,
is the only urban area that has recorded violations of the annual NO2
NAAQS of 0.053 ppm during the past 10 years.
                      1-9

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OZONE
    AIR QUALITY

    1980-89: second highest daily max 1-hour: 14 percent decrease (431 sites)
             exceedance days: 53 percent decrease
    1988-89: second highest daily max 1-hour: 15 percent decrease (581 sites)

    EMISSIONS (VOC)

    1980-89: 19 percent decrease
    1988-89: 5 percent decrease

    COMMENTS

    The volatile organic compound (VOC) emission  estimates represent annual
    totals.  While these are the best national numbers now available, ozone is
    predominantly a warm weather problem and seasonal emission trends would be
    preferable. Previously, VOC emissions  from highway vehicles were estimated
    using nationwide annual temperatures and nationwide average Reid Vapor
    Pressure (RVP).  This year's estimates  are based on statewide average
    monthly temperatures and statewide RVP.  NOX emissions, another factor in
    ozone formation, decreased 5 percent between  1980 and 1989.

    O, EFFECTS

    The reactivity of ozone causes health problems because it tends to  break down
    biological tissues and cells. Recent scientific evidence indicates that high levels
    of ozone not only affect people with impaired respiratory systems, such as
    asthmatics, but healthy adults and children, as well.  Exposure to ozone for only
    several  hours at relatively low concentrations has been found to significantly
    reduce lung function in normal, healthy people during periods of exercise.  This
    decrease in lung function generally is accompanied by symptoms including chest
    pain, coughing, sneezing and pulmonary congestion. Though less well
    established in humans, animal studies have demonstrated that repeated
    exposure to ozone for months to years can produce permanent structural
    damage in the lungs and accelerate the rate of lung function loss.  Ozone is
    responsible each year for agricultural crop yield  loss in the U.S. of several billion
    dollars and causes noticeable foliar damage in many crops and species of trees.
    Forest and ecosystem damage may  result from  high ambient ozone levels.

                                   1-10

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        OZONE AIR  QUALITY
       CONCENTRATION, PPM
SECOND HIGH DAILY MAX 1-HOUR
WORTH NOTING

The relatively high ozone concentrations in both 1983 and 1988 are likely
attributed in part to hot, dry, stagnant conditions in some areas of the
country that were more conducive to ozone formation than other years.
Meteorological conditions in the summer of 1989 were less conducive to
ozone formation than 1983 and 1988. Between 1980 and 1989, VOC
emissions from highway vehicles are estimated to have decreased 34
percent, despite a 39 percent increase in vehicle miles of travel during
this time period. Nationwide VOC emissions decreased 5 percent
between 1988 and 1989 due to the ongoing Federal Motor Vehicle
Control Program (FMVCP) and new measures to lower Reid Vapor
Pressure (RVP) in gasoline. Preliminary 1990 data indicate that ozone
levels are likely to be slightly lower than those in 1989.
                          l-ll

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LEAD(Pb)




    AIR QUALITY

    1980-89: maximum quarterly average: 87 percent decrease (189 sites)

    1988-89: maximum quarterly average: 14 percent decrease (245 sites)

    EMISSIONS

    1980-89: 90 percent decrease in total lead emissions
           (96 percent decrease in lead emissions from transportation sources)

    1988-89: 5 percent decrease in total  lead emissions
           (15 percent decrease in lead emissions from transportation sources)

    COMMENTS

    The ambient lead trends presented here primarily represent general urban
    conditions predominantly reflecting automotive sources. Ambient trends are
    also presented for a small number of lead monitoring sites (19) in the vicinity of
    point sources of lead such as primary and secondary lead smelters.

    LEAD EFFECTS

    Exposure to lead can occur through multiple pathways, including air, diet and
    ingestion of lead in soil and dust. Lead accumulates in the body in  blood, bone,
    and soft tissue.  Because it  is not readily excreted, lead also affects the
    kidneys, nervous system, and blood-forming organs.  Excessive exposure to
    lead may cause neurological impairments such as seizures, mental  retardation,
    and/or behavioral disorders. Even at  low doses, lead exposure is associated
    with changes in fundamental enzymatic, energy transfer and homeostatic
    mechanisms in the body.  Infants and children are especially susceptible to low
    doses of lead, often suffering central  nervous system damage. Recent studies
    have also shown that lead may be a  factor in high blood pressure and
    subsequent heart disease.
                                  1-12

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           LEAD AIR QUALITY
     CONCENTRATION UG/M3        MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
WORTH NOTING

Ambient lead (Pb) concentrations in urban areas throughout the country
have shown major improvements.  In 1989, unleaded gasoline sales
accounted for 89 percent of the total gasoline market - up from 82
percent in 1988. The drop in Pb consumption and subsequent Pb
emissions since 1980 was brought about by the increased use of
unleaded gasoline in catalyst-equipped cars and the reduced Pb content
in leaded gasoline.  The largest single year drop in average lead
concentrations, 42 percent, occurs as expected between 1985 and 1986,
because of the shift of the lead content in leaded gasoline in those
years.
                          1-13

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1.3   SOME PERSPECTIVE

      A 10-year time period is convenient for considering ambient air pollution trends
because monitoring networks underwent many changes around 1980. However, it is
important not to overlook some of the earlier control efforts in the air pollution field.
Emission estimates are useful in examining  longer term trends. Between 1970 and
1989, lead clearly shows the most impressive decrease (-96 percent) but
improvements are also seen for total suspended particulate (-61 percent), sulfur
oxides (-26 percent), carbon monoxide (-40  percent), and volatile  organic compounds
(-31 percent).  Only nitrogen oxides did not show improvement with emissions
estimated to have increased 8 percent, due  primarily to increased fuel combustion by
stationary sources and motor vehicles.  It is  also important to realize that many of
these reductions occurred even in the face of growth of emissions sources.  More
detailed information is contained in a companion report.17
   COMPARISON OF  1970 AND 1989 EMISSIONS
    MILLION METRIC TONS/YEAR
   120


   100 h
    80 -
    60 -
    40 -
    20 -
                                         THOUSAND

                                       METRIC TONS/YEAR
                                    250
          TSP
SOx
NOx
                               1970   1989
voc
                                                              LEAD
                                   1-14

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      While it is important to recognize that progress has been made, it is also
important not to lose sight of the magnitude of the air pollution problem that still
remains. About 84 million people in the U.S. reside in counties which did  not meet at
least one air quality standard during 1989.  The 67 million people living in  counties
that exceeded the ozone standard in 1989 is 45 million fewer than in 1988.
Meteorological conditions in  1988 were more conducive to ozone formation than
conditions in 1989. Also, beginning in summer 1989, gasoline evaporative emissions
were reduced as a result of fuel volatility regulations which lowered the Reid vapor
pressure in gasoline.  These statistics, and associated qualifiers and limitations, are
discussed in Chapter 4.


     People in counties with measured 1989 air quality above
           primary  National Ambient Air Quality Standards

 pollutant
 Any NAAQS


           0          20

  Note: Based on 1987 county population data and only 1989 air quality data.
 40          60
millions of people
80
100
      Finally, it should be recognized that this report focuses on those pollutants that
have National Ambient Air Quality Standards. With the passage of the Clean Air Act
Amendments  of 1990, additional control programs are being put in place to solve the
remaining nonattainment problems for these pollutants.
                                    1-15

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1.4   REFERENCES

      1.  The National Air Monitoring Program: Air Quality and Emissions Trends -
Annual Report. EPA-450/1 -73-001 a and b, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, July
1973.

      2.  Monitoring and Air Quality Trends  Report. 1972. EPA-450/1-73-004, U. S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,  December 1973.

      3.  Monitoring and Air Quality Trends  Report. 1973. EPA-450/1-74-007, U. S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,  October 1974.

      4.  Monitoring and Air Quality Trends  Report. 1974. EPA-450/1-76-001, U. S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,  February 1976.

      5.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1975. EPA-450/1-76-002,
U. S. Environmental  Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,  November 1976.

      6.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1976.
EPA-450/1-77-002, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle  Park, NC 27711, December 1977.

      7.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1977.
EPA-450/2-78-052, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle  Park, NC 27711, December 1978.

      8.  1980 Ambient Assessment - Air Portion. EPA-450/4-81-014,
U. S. Environmental  Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,  February 1981.

      9.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1981.
EPA-450/4-83-011, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle  Park, NC 27711, April 1983.

      10.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report.  1982.
EPA-450/4-84-002, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle  Park, NC 27711, March 1984.
                                     1-16

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      11-  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1983.
EPA-450/4-84-029, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, April 1985.

      12.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1984.
EPA-450/4-86-001, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, April 1986.

      13.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1985.
EPA-450/4-87-001, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, February 1987.

      14.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1986.
EPA-450/4-88-001, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, February 1988.

      15.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1987.
EPA-450/4-89-001, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, March 1989.

      16.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1988.
EPA-450/4-90-002, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, March 1990.

      17.  National Air Pollutant Emission Estimates. 1940-1989.
EPA-450/4-91-004, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, February 1991.
                                    1-17

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    TABLE 2-1. National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) in Effect in 1989.


POLLUTANT  PRIMARY (HEALTH RELATED)     SECONDARY (WELFARE RELATED)
PM,
            Averaging Time
              Standard Level                     Standard Level
              Concentration*    Averaging Time    Concentration
 Annual
Arithmetic
  Mean"
                24-hourb
 50
               150 jig/m3
                                                               Same as Primary
                                                               Same as Primary
SO,
 Annual
Arithmetic
  Mean
(0.03 ppm)
 80 ng/m3
S-hour*
1300 u,g/m3
(0.50 ppm)
                24-hour0
               (0.14 ppm)
               365 u.g/m3
CO
 8-hour0
 9 ppm
(10 mg/m3}
                                                               No Secondary Standard
                 1-hour0
               35 ppm
               (40 mg/m3)
                                                               No Secondary Standard
NO,
 Annual
Arithmetic
  Mean
 0.053 ppm
(100 u.g/m3)
                                                               Same as Primary
             Maximum Daily
                 1-hour
                Averaged
               0.12 ppm
              (235 u.g/m3)
                                 Same as Primary
Pb
Maximum
Quarterly
Average
 1.5 u.g/m3
                                                               Same as Primary
       Parenthetical value is an approximately equivalent concentration.

       TSP was the indicator pollutant for the original particulate matter (PM) standards. This
       standard has been replaced with the new PM10 standard and it is no longer in effect. New PM
       standards were promulgated in 1987, using PM10 (particles less than 10u in diameter) as the
       new indicator pollutant.  The annual standard is attained when the expected annual arithmetic
       mean concentration is less than or equal to 50 u,g/m3; the 24-hour standard is attained when
       the expected number of days per calendar year above 150 u.g/m3 is equal to or less than  1; as
       determined in accordance with Appendix K of the PM NAAQS.

       Not to be exceeded more than once  per year.

       The standard is attained when the expected number of days per calendar year with maximum
       hourly average concentrations above 0.12 ppm is equal to or less than 1, as determined in
       accordance with Appendix H of the Ozone NAAQS.
                                          2-2

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4.  AIR QUALITY STATUS OF METROPOLITAN AREAS, 1989

    This  chapter provides  general  information  on the  current  air  quality status of
metropolitan areas1 within the United States.  Four different summaries are presented in
the following sections.  First,  maps depicting the areas failing to meet the National
Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ozone, carbon monoxide  and particulate
matter are presented.  Next, an estimate is provided of the number of  people living in
counties which did not meet the NAAQS based on 1989 air quality data. Third, pollutant-
specific maps are presented to provide the reader with a geographical view of how peak
1989 air quality levels varied throughout the 90 largest  Metropolitan Statistical  Areas
(MSAs) in the continental United States. Finally, the peak pollutant-specific statistics are
listed for each MSA with 1989 air quality monitoring data.
4.1    Areas Not Meeting Ozone, Carbon Monoxide and Particulate Matter NAAQS
       On   August   16,   1990  the   U.S.
Environmental  Protection Agency listed2  those
metropolitan areas which failed to meet  the
ozone and carbon monoxide NAAQS based on
ambient monitoring data for 1987 through  1989.
The  areas  include Consolidated Metropolitan
Statistical Areas (CMSA), which are composed of
groups of MSAs, and individual MSAs and non-
metropolitan counties.

       Attainment of  the ozone standard  is
determined  using the three most recent years of
air quality monitoring data. These data showed
that 96 areas, mostly major metropolitan areas,
failed to meet the ozone standard for the  years
1987-89, a decrease of 5 areas as compared to
the 1986-88 period. Figure 4-1, "Areas Failing to
Meet the Ozone  NAAQS Based on 1987-89
Data,"  displays the 96  areas failing  to meet the
ozone standard based on 1987-89 monitoring
data.   The areas on  the  map are  shaded
according to the area classifications in the Clean
Air Act  Amendments  of  1990.  These  area
classes are  based on the ozone design value for
that area. The ozone design value serves  as an
indicator of the magnitude of the  problem  in
terms of peak concentrations.   Typically, the
ozone design value would be the fourth highest
daily  maximum value  during the  three  year
period.
    For  carbon  monoxide,  attainment of the
standard is determined using the two most recent
years  of  monitoring  data.    The  area
classifications are based on the CO design value
which is evaluated by computing the second
maximum 8-hour concentration for each year and
then using the  higher  of  these  two values.
Figure 4-2, "Areas Failing to Meet the Carbon
Monoxide  NAAQS  Based on  1988-89  Data,"
shows  the  41  areas that failed to  meet the
carbon monoxide standard for the years 1988-89.
Seven areas from last year's list now  meet the
carbon monoxide NAAQS, while four new areas
failed to meet the standard in 1989.

    With passage of the 1990 Amendments to
the Clean Air Act, 73 areas failed to meet the
NAAQS for particulate matter.  Sixty  of these
areas were previously classified as "Group I,"
meaning that the  area had a high probability of
not  attaining the  NAAQS  and  that  State
Implementation Plans were required to attain the
NAAQS. An additional 13 areas with measured
violations of the PM10 NAAQS  through  calendar
year 1988 have been identified, as specified by
the act.  Figure 4-3 displays the counties within
the contiguous U.S. that contain these 73 areas.
The map displays counties which are completely
non-attainment or counties only parts  of which
are non-attainment.   A total  of 81   separate
counties are involved for PM10.
                                         4-1

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4-2  Population Estimates For Counties Not Meeting NAAQS, 1989
    Figure 4-4 provides an estimate of the number of
people living in counties in which the levels of the
pollutant-specific primary health  NAAQS were not
met by  measured  air  quality  in  1989.   These
estimates use a  single-year interpretation  of the
NAAQS to indicate the current extent of the problem
for  each pollutant. Table 4-1 lists the selected air
quality  statistics  and  their  associated  NAAQS.
Figure 4-4 clearly demonstrates that  O3 was the
most pervasive air pollution problem in 1989 for the
United States with an estimated 66.7 million people
living  in counties which  did not  meet  the O3
standard.  However, this estimate is substantially
lower than last year's 1988 estimate of 112 million
people. This large decrease is likely due in part to
meteorological  conditions  in  1989  being  less
conducive to ozone formation than 1988 (recall the
hot, dry summer in the eastern U.S.), and to new
and ongoing emission control programs. Between
1988 and 1989, implementation of gasoline volatility
regulations  lowered  the   average  Reid  Vapor
Pressure (RVP) of regular unleaded gasoline  from
10.0 to 8.9 pounds per square inch  (psi).  Carbon
monoxide follows, with 33.6 million people; PM10 with
27.4 million people; NO2 with 8.5  millfon people; Pb
with 1.6 million people  and  SO2 with 0.9  million
people. A total of 84 million persons resided in
counties not meeting at least one air quality standard
during  1989 (out of a total 1987 population of 243
million). In contrast to the last annual report which
used 1986 county population data, these estimates
are based on more current 1987 estimates. Thus,
the 1 percent growth in total U.S.  population since
1986 is reflected  in these estimates.   Also, the
estimate  for  PM10 is considered  a lower bound
estimate, because the PM10 monitoring network is
still evolving.

   These population estimates  are intended  to
provide a relative measure of  the extent of the
problem for each pollutant.  The limitations of this
indicator should be recognized. An individual living
in a county that violates an air quality standard may
not actually be  exposed  to unhealthy air.  For
example, if CO violations were confined to a traffic-
congested center city location during evening rush
hours in the winter, it is possible that an individual
may never be  in that area, or may be there only at
other times  of the day or during  other seasons.
However,  it  is  worth noting  that ozone, which
appears to be  the most pervasive pollution problem
by this  measure, is also the pollutant most  likely to
have fairly uniform concentrations throughout an
area.
                                          40          60
                                          millions of people
              Note: Based on 1987 count/ population data and only 1989 air quality data.
                                                                80
                                                                          100
           Figure 4-4.  Number of persons living in counties with air quality
           levels above the primary national ambient air quality standards in
           1989 (based on 1987 population data).

                                              4-5

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Table 4-1.   Selected Air Quality Summary Statistics and Their Associated National
            Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)*
POLLUTANT
Paniculate Matter (PM10)
Sulfur Dioxide (SO2)

Carbon Monoxide (CO)
Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2)
Ozone (O3)
Lead (Pb)
STATISTIC
annual arithmetic mean
annual arithmetic mean
second highest 24-hour
average
second highest
nonoverlapping
8-hour average
annual arithmetic mean
second highest daily
maximum 1 -hour average
maximum quarterly
average
PRIMARY NAAQS
50 M.g/m3
0.03 ppm
0.14 ppm
9 ppm
0.053 ppm
0.12 ppm
1 .5 ^ig/m3
Hg/m3 = micrograms per cubic meter ppm = parts per million
'Single year interpretation. For a detailed listing of the NAAQS see Table 2-1.
                                      4-6

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4L3    Air Quality Levels in Metropolitan Statistical Areas
   This section provides information for general air
pollution audiences  on 1989 air quality levels in
each  Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) in the
United States.    For those  large  MSAs  with
populations greater than 500,000, the 1989 annual
air  quality  statistics   are   also   displayed
geographically on three-dimensional maps.

   The general concept of a metropolitan area is
one of a  large population center, with adjacent
communities  which  have  a  high  degree  of
economic  and social  integration with  the urban
center.  Metropolitan Statistical Areas contain a
central county(ies), and any adjacent counties with
at least 50 percent of their  population in the
urbanized  area.1  Although MSAs compose only 16
percent of the land area in the U.S., they account
for 77 percent  of  the  population.   Table 4-2
displays the  population distribution of the  340
MSAs, based on 1987 population estimates.1  The
New  York,  NY  MSA  is  the  nation's  largest
metropolitan area with a 1987 population in excess
of 8 million.  The smallest MSA is Enid, OK with a
population of 60,000.
4.3.1  Metropolitan  Statistical  Area Air
       Quality Maps, 1989

   Figures 4-4 through 4-10 introduce air quality
maps of the United States that show at a glance
how  air quality  varies among the largest  MSAs
within the contiguous United States. To enable the
reader to distinguish individual urban  areas, only
the 90 MSAs within the continental  U.S. having
populations greater than 500,000 are shown. Two
large MSAs, Honolulu, HI and San Juan, PR are
not shown. However, neither area has exceeded
any of the NAAQS during 1989.  In each map, a
spike is plotted at the  city location on the map
surface.  This represents   the  highest pollutant
concentration recorded in 1989,  corresponding to
the appropriate air quality standard.  Each spike is
projected onto a back-drop for comparison with the
level of the standard.  The backdrop also provides
an east-west profile  of concentration variability
throughout the country.
TABLE 4-2.  Population Distribution of Metropolitan Statistical Areas Based on 1987
               Population Estimates
POPULATION RANGE
< 100,000
100,000 < population < 250,000
250,000 < population <_ 500,000
500,000 < population < 1 ,000,000
1,000,000 < population ^ 2,000,000
population > 2,000,000
NUMBER OF
MSA'S
27
148
73
48
26
18
TOTAL POPULATION
2,274,000
23,513,000
25,218,000
34,367,000
38,685,000
65,747,000
TOTAL 340 189,804,000
                                             4-7

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PM10

ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
     Figure 4-5.   United States map of the highest annual arithmetic mean PM10
                 concentration by MSA, 1989.
     The map for PM10 shows the 1989 maximum annual arithmetic means in
     metropolitan areas greater than 500,000 population. Concentrations above the
     level of the annual mean PM10 standard of 50 ug/m3 are found in 13 of these
     metropolitan areas.
                                     4-8

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SULFUR DIOXIDE
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
     Figure 4-6.   United States map of the highest annual arithmetic mean sulfur
                  dioxide concentration by MSA, 1989.
     The map for sulfur dioxide shows maximum annual mean concentrations in
     1989.  Among these large metropolitan areas,  the higher concentrations are
     found in the heavily populated Midwest and Northeast and near point sources
     in the west. All these large urban areas have ambient air quality concentrations
     lower than the current annual standard of 80 ug/m3 (0.03 ppm). Because this
     map only represents areas with population greater than one half million, it
     does not reflect air quality in the vicinity of smelters or large power plants in
     rural areas.
                                       4-9

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SULFUR DIOXIDE

2ND MAX  24-HR AVG
      Figure 4-7.    United  States map of  the highest second maximum  24-hour
                   average sulfur dioxide concentration by MSA, 1989.
      The map for sulfur dioxide shows the highest second highest 24-hour average
      sulfur dioxide concentration by MSA in 1989.  All of these large urban areas
      have ambient concentrations below the 24-hour NAAQS of 365 ug/m3 (0.14
      ppm).
                                      4-10

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CARBON MONOXIDE

2ND MAX 8-HR AVG
       Figure 4-8.   United   States   map   of  the  highest  second   maximum
                   nonoverlapping 8-hour average carbon monoxide concentration
                   by MSA, 1989.
       The map for carbon monoxide shows the highest second highest 8-hour value
       recorded in 1989. Twenty of these urban areas in all geographic regions have
       air  quality exceeding the 9  ppm  level of the  standard.    The highest
       concentration recorded in 1989 is found in Los Angeles, CA.
                                       4-11

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                                                                              «0
NITROGEN DIOXIDE

ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
     Figure 4-9.    United  States map of  the  highest annual  arithmetic mean
                  nitrogen dioxide concentration by MSA, 1989.
     The map for nitrogen dioxide displays the maximum annual mean measured
     in the nation's largest metropolitan areas during 1989. Los Angeles, California,
     with an annual NO2 mean of 0.057 ppm is the  only area in the country
     exceeding the NO2 air quality standard of 0.053 ppm.
                                     4-12

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OZONE

2ND DAILY MAX 1-HR AVG
       Figure 4-10.  United States map of the highest second daily maximum 1-hour
                   average ozone concentration by MSA, 1989.
       The ozone map shows the second highest daily maximum 1-hour concentration
       in the 90 largest metropolitan areas in the Continental U.S. As shown, 38 of
       these  areas did not  meet the 0.12  ppm  standard in 1989.  The highest
       concentrations are observed in Southern California, but high levels also persist
       in the Texas Gulf Coast, Northeast  Corridor,  and other  heavily populated
       regions.
                                       4-13

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LEAD
MAX QUARTERLY MEAN
     Figure 4-11.   United States map of the highest maximum quarterly average
                  lead concentration by MSA, 1989.
     The map for Pb displays maximum quarterly average concentrations in the
     nation's largest metropolitan areas. Exceedances of the Pb NAAQS are found
     in four areas in the vicinity of nonferrous smelters or other point sources of
     lead.  The two highest concentrations are found at a site near a primary lead
     smelter  in Herculaneum, MO  (St. Louis MSA) and  at a site in Leeds, AL
     (Birmingham MSA).  Because of the switch to unleaded gasoline,  areas
     primarily affected by automotive lead emissions show levels below the current
     standard of 1.5 ug/m:>.
                                      4-14

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4.3.2   Metropolitan Statistical Area Air Quality Summary, 1989
    Table 4-3 presents a summary of 1989 air quality
for each Metropolitan  Statistical Area (MSA) in the
United States.  The air quality levels reported  for
each  metropolitan  area are  the  highest  levels
measured from all available sites within the MSA.
The MSAs are listed  alphabetically,  with the 1987
population estimate and air quality statistics for each
pollutant.   Concentrations above the level  of the
respective NAAQS are shown in bold type.

        In the case of O3, the problem is pervasive,
and the high values associated with the pollutant can
reflect a large  part of  the MSA.. However in many
cases, peak ozone concentrations occur downwind
of  major  urban areas, e.g.,  peak   ozone  levels
attributed  to the Chicago  metropolitan area are
recorded in and near  Racine,   Wisconsin.   In
contrast, high  CO values  generally  are  highly
localized and reflect areas with heavy traffic. The
scale of measurement for the pollutants - PM10, SO:2
and NO2 - falls somewhere in between.  Finally,
while  Pb  measurements  generally  reflect  Pb
concentrations  near  roadways  in the  MSA, if a
monitor is  located  near a  point source of lead
emissions  it can produce  readings substantially
higher.  Such  is the  case  in  several MSAs.   Pb
monitors located near  a point source  are footnoted
accordingly in Table 4-3.

    The pollutant-specific statistics reported  in this
Section are summarized in Table  4-1, with their
associated  primary  NAAQS concentrations for a
single year of  data.  For example, if an MSA has
three ozone monitors  in 1989 with second  highest
daily hourly maxima of  0.15ppm, 0.14 ppm and 0.12
ppm,  the  highest of  these, 0.15 ppm, would  be
reported for that MSA for 1989.

    The same annual  data  completeness  criteria
used  in the  air quality  trends  data  base  for
continuous data was used here  for the calculation of
annual  means,  (i.e.,  50 percent of the required
samples for SO2 and NO2). If some data have been
collected at one or more sites, but none of these
sites meet  the  annual data completeness criteria,
then the reader  will  be advised that there are
insufficient data to calculate  the annual mean. With
respect to the summary statistics; on air quality levels
with averaging  times less than or equal to 24-hours,
all sites are included, even if they do not meet the
annual data completeness requirement.

    For PM10 and Pb, the arithmetic mean statistics
are based on 24-hour measurements,  which are
typically  obtained  from  a  systematic  sampling
schedule.   In  contrast to  the  trends analyses in
Section 3 which used a more relaxed indicator, only
maximum quarterly average Pb concentrations and
weighted PM10 annual means  meeting the AIRS
validity criteria  are displayed in Table 4-3.

       This summary provides  the reader with
information  on how air  quality varied  among the
nation's metropolitan areas in 1989.  The highest air
quality  levels  measured  in   each   MSA  are
summarized  for each  pollutant  monitored in 1989.
Individual MSAs are listed to provide more extensive
spatial coverage for large metropolitan complexes.
        The reader  is  cautioned  that  this
     summary  Is not adequate In  Itself to
     numerically rank MSAs according to their
     air quality.   To rank properly  the air
     pollution severity among different MSAs,
     data on population characteristics; dally
     population   mobility,   transportation
     patterns,   industrial   composition,
     emission   inventories,  meteorological
     factors and, most important, the spatial
     representativeness  of  the  monitoring
     sites would  also be needed.
4.4    REFERENCES

       1. Statistical Abstract of the United States.
1989. U.  S.  Department   of  Commerce,  U.  S.
Bureau of the Census, Appendix II.

       2.  "EPA  Lists Places  Failing  To Meet
Ozone or Carbon  Monoxide  Standards",  Press
Release, U.S. Environmental Protection  Agency,
Washington, D.C., August 16, 1990.
                                             4-15

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 1. REPORT NO.
      EPA 450/4-91-003B
                                       TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                               (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
    Executive Summary and Chapter 4 Excerpts from the
    National Air Quality and Emissions Trends
            1989	
              T. Curran, R. Faoro, T. Fitz-Simons, N. Frank,
     W. Freas, B. Beard, W. Frietsche, and W. F. Hunt, Jr.
                                                               8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
 9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS

     U. S. Environmental Protection Agency
     Office of Air and Radiation
     Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
     Research Triangle Park, NC 27711

 12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
                                                               3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
                                                                 5. REPORT DATE
                                                                6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
                                                               10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                                                               11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
                                                                13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                                                14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
               Y NOTES
     H  Hintnn
                      The computer graphics were prepared by W. Freas and the typing by
 16. ABSTRACT
             This report presents national and regional trends in air quality from 1980 through
     1989 for total suspended paniculate, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide,
     ozone and lead.  Air quality trends are also presented for  14 metropolitan areas.  Both
     national and regional trends in each of these pollutants are examined.  National air quality
     trends are also presented for both the National Air Monitoring Sites (NAMS) and other site
     categories.   In addition to ambient  air quality, trends are also presented  for annual
     nationwide  emissions.    These emissions  are  estimated  using the  best available
     engineering  calculations;  the   ambient  levels  presented   are   averages  of  direct
     measurements.

     This report also includes a section, Air Quality  Levels in Metropolitan Statistical Areas
     (MSAs).  Its  purpose is to provide interested  members of the  air pollution control
     community, the private sector and the general public with greatly simplified air pollution
     information. Air quality statistics are presented for each of the pollutants for all MSAs with
     data in  1989.
17.
                                  KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                   DESCRIPTORS
                                                 b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                                                              c.  COSATI Field/Group
     Air Pollution Trends  Air Pollution
     Emission Trends    Metropolitan
     Carbon Monoxide
     Nitrogen Dioxide
     Ozone
     Sulfur Dioxide
     Total Suspended Particulates
     Lead
                      Statistical Area (MSA)
                    Air Quality Standards
                    National Air Monitoring
                     Stations (NAMS)
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
                                                 19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report)
    Release Unlimited
                                                20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)
                                                                             21. NO. OF PAGES

                                                                                  .48	
22. PRICE

EPA Form 2220-1 (Rev. 4-77)    PREVIOUS EDITION is OBSOLETE

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