EPA-450/5-80-004 Carcinogen Assessment Group's Final Report on Population Risk to Ambient Benzene Exposures by Dr. Roy E. Albert, Chairman Carcinogen Assessment Group U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY Office of Air, Noise, and Radiation Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711 January 10, 1979 ------- DISCLAIMER This report has been reviewed by the Strategies and Air Standards Division of the Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, EPA, and approved for publication. Mention of trade names or commercial products is not intended to constitute endorsement or recommen- dation for use. Copies of this report are available through the Library Services Office (MD-35), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711, or from National; Technical Information Services, 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield, Virginia 22161. ------- CONTENTS I Summary 1 II Introduction 3 III General Approach to Utilizing Epidemiological Studies to Predict Lifetime Probability of Cancer Deaths Due to Benzene 4 A. Mathematical Model„Employed 4 B. Estimation of Lifetime Probability of Death Due to Various Forms of Leukemia for a Member of the U.S. Population 6 IV Epidemiological Studies Utilized 7 A. Infante (1977) 3 B. Askoy (1974, 1976, 1977) ... 13 C. Ott, et al. (1977) 17 V Estimation of Expected Number of Leukemia Deaths Due to Environmental Exposure to Benzene 21 VI Bibliography 30 VII APPENDIX - Mutagenic Risks of Benzene Exposure 31 ------- TABLES 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Data Utilized to Estimate Lifetime Probability of Death Due to Various Forms of Leukemia 24 Lifetime Probability of Death in U.S. Population Due to Leukemia Type Upon Which Relative Risk in Each of the Epidemiological Studies is Based . . Summary of Data Used to Estimate Lifetime Probability of a Leukemia Death Per ppm Benzene Lifetime Exposure . 25 26 Source Specific Benzene Caused Leukemia Deaths/Year Based on Table 1-1 of SRI Benzene Exposure Document. Total Exposure of People Residing in Various Locations, and Resulting Estimated Benzene Caused Leukemia Deaths/Year - Based on Table 1-2 of SRI Benzene Exposure Document .... . . 27 Confidence Limits on Total Benzene Caused Leukemia Deaths/Year (Assumes "One-Hit" Model is the True Dose Response Relationship) 27 29 IV ------- CARCINOGEN ASSESSMENT GROUP'S FINAL REPORT ON POPULATION RISK TO AMBIENT BENZENE EXPOSURES I. Summary There 1s substantial epidemiological evidence that benzene is a human leukemogen. However, no validated animal model has yet been developed for benzene as a carcinogen. There are several large series of case reports indicating a high risk of leukemia in individuals who developed aplastic anemia consequent to benzene exposure. In addition there are a number of epidemiological studies in the rubber, chemical and shoe industries that demonstrate an excess risk of leukemia associated with benzene exposure. Three of these epidemiological studies provide enough. information about exposure to benzene and the occurrence of leukemia to allow us to make crude quantitative estimates of the leukemia risk associated with current general population exposures to benzene in the United States. .These studies were conducted by Infante et al, (1977), Ott, et al ,, (1977) and Askoy et al.,. (1977, 1976, 1974). ". The Infante study, which showed an excess incidence of leukemia, is not yet completely analyzed by the au.thors. Hence, some assumptions made about the average duration and magnitude of exposures are necessary. The Ott study indicated a marginal excess myelogenous leukemia risk with ------- relatively well-documented exposures. The Askoy studies indicated a marked increase in non-lymphatic leukemia to individuals using benzene based adhesives in small shoe making shops, however, the exposure data in this situation was difficult t6 evaluate. A linear non-threshold model was used to estimate the leukemia risk to the low average levels of about one part per billion to which the general population is exposed. The slope parameter of this model was taken as the geometric mean of the slope parameter estimates obtained from the three epidemiological studies. Using this extrapolation model, we estimated, that the number of cases of leukemia per year in the general population clue to ambient atmospheric benzene is about 90 with a 952 confidence interval from 34 to 235 assuming a precision of within two fold in the exposure estimate. This is from .23% to 1.62% of the total leukemia deaths in the United States based upon 1973 vital statistics. . The purpose of this calculation is to obtain a rough estimate of the carcinogenic hazard to benzene in the entire United States population. To do this lifetime averages of benzene exposure were estimated and these were combined with the non-threshold linear model of risk as a function of lifetime average exposure. In this report no attempt has been made to estimate the' risks to selected sub-populations who may have greater or less than average exposure or sensitivity to benzene although it is certain that such groups exist. -2- ------- II. Introduction The Carcinogen Assessment Group (CAG) has been asked by the Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (OAQPS) to estimate the carcinogenic risk to the United States population of ambien.t benzene concentrations. This type of information is useful in judging the overall contribution of benzene emissions to the national rates of cancer mortality, and will be used by OAQPS in the decision whether to regulate benzene. As the basis for this estimation, the CAG is using three epidemiological studies that show a relationship between excess mortality due to leukemia and benzene'-exposure. Each of these studies have strengths and weaknesses that will be discussed, but taken together they represent convincing evidence that benzene is a -human carcinogen. To date, no clear evidence exists implicating benzene as a carcinogen from animal experiments. A study is in progress at New York University that appears to suggest that inhaled benzene is causing leukemia in rats. At the present time it is felt that it would be premature to base a risk extrapolation on this preliminary data. However, at the completion of this study the CAG will update the present risk analysis to take account of this new information. -3- ------- III. General Approach to Utilizing Epidemiologfcal Studies to Predict Lifetime Probability'of Cancer Deaths Due to Benzene As was noted in the benzene health document (Goldstein, et al., 1977), very little information exists that can be utilized to obtain a dose response relationship between benzene and leukemia in humans or animals. However, if a number of simplifying assumptions are made, it is possible to construct crude dose response models * whose parameters can be estimated using vital statistics, epidemiological studies, historical workplace benzene ".standards and-monitoring data, and a recent environmental benzene exposure study (.Mara and Lee, 1978). A- Mathematical Model Employed We assume that for low exposures the lifetime probability of death from leukemia may be represented by the linear equation P * A+Bx where A is the rate in the absence of benzene- exposure and x is the average lifetime exposure to atmospheric benzene expressed in ppm. The term Bis the change in the leukemia rate for each Increase of one ppm of benzene in the air. -4- ------- If we make the assumption that, "R", the relative risk of leukemia for benzene exposed workers compared to the genera] population Is independent of the length or age of exposure but depends only upon the total exposure, it follows that R s £2 -A * B {XT -±-£21 P1 A + Bxi Rpl - A + B (xi + x2) Or P! » A + Bxj so that B = Pi(R-l)/x2 where: xj. = ambient level exposure to benzene xe «• industrial level exposure to benzene P! * the lifetime probability of dying of leukemia with no or negligible benzene exposure To use this model estimates of R and x2 must be obtained from the epidemiological studies. The exposure values Xl are derived in the exposure study conducted by SRI dated May 1978 and will be discussed where they are utilized. The estimate of the lifetime probability of death due to different types of leukemia, Plf is discussed in detail in the next section. -5- ------- B. Estimation of Lifetime Probability of Death Due to Various Forms of Leukemia for a Member of the U.S. Population The data utilized to estimate the lifetime probability of death due to various forms of leukemia is shown in Table 1, which was taken from "Vital Statistics of the United States 1973 Volume II - Mortality Part A." The second and third columns (total deaths and total death rate in 1973) were taken from page 1-184 and 1-8, respectively and uti.lized to derive column four, total U.S. population in each of the age classes. The total number of deaths in 1973 due to each of the types of leukemia listed by the 8th ICD code 204 - lymphatic 205 - rayeloid 206 - monocytic 207 - other and unspecified are shown in columns five through eight. The age specific death rates for each type of leukemia are estimated by dividing the total number of deaths due to that type by the total number of people in that age class. -6- ------- In the appendix of a 1978 CAG document on population risk due to coke ovens a method referred to as the "constant segmented model11 is derived that allows one to estimate the lifetime probability of death due to a disease given the age-specific incidence rates for the disease and all sources of death. This model was employed-using the data in Table 1 to obtain the lifetime probabilities of leukemia that approximate as closely as possible the type of leukemia that the relative risk estimates were based upon in each epidemiological study. These lifetime probabilities are shown in Table 2, and will be used subsequently to estimate lifetime probabilities of leukemia death for each unit of exposure to the general population for each of the epidemiological studies. IV. Epidemiological Studies Utilized Each of the epidemiological studies is discussed in general. The relative risks are modified in each of the studies to represent a most likely rather than a conservative lower limit as usually is the case where the primary aim of epidemiological workers is to establish with little doubt a "statistically significant" elevated relative risk. Estimates of the average lifetime exposure are also made using as much data as is available. This information is then utilized employing the previously discussed mathematical model to estimate the lifetime probability of leukemia for each unit of exposure. -7- ------- A. Infante (1977) 1. Description of Infante Study (1977) In a retrospective study of mortality in a cohort of 74-8 white male workers in two Ohio plants manufacturing a natural rubber cast film product, Infante et al., (1977) observed a statistically significant higher rate of leukemia than in either of two control groups. The leukemia mortality rate was 5.06 times higher than the general U.S. white male population standardized for age and time period of the cohort exposure, and 4.74 times higher than a cohort of 1447 white males employed at an Ohio fibrous-glass 'construction products factory. These results were based on a 75% follow-up of the vital status of the workers. A total of 160 deaths were observed and of these there were 7 leukemia deaths, four of which were acute myelogenous, one chronic myelogenous, and two monocytic leukemia. As with virtually all epidemiological studies, the Infante study has various strengths and shortcomings. Among its strengths are; (1) the worker exposures are said to have been almost exclusively restricted to benzene, since it is used throughout the plant as the principal solvent in all major processes; (2) the individuals in the cohort all worked before 1950 and were followed until 1975, thus allowing long latency diseases to be observed, and (3) acute -8- ------- myelogenous leukemia was observed, which is the same cell type of leukemia observed in other studies where workers have had known benzene exposures. The disadvantages of relying on this study for determining general population risks are: (1) the authors essentially give no estimate of worker exposures except to say that the levels were -less than the prevailing recommended occupational limits at the time various monitoring surveys were made; (2) the members of the cohort study actually worked at two separate plants (Akron and St. Mary's, Ohio). Air monitoring information in the .former plant is almost non-existent (Baier, 1977), and therefore the exposure to half of the members of the cohort is almost completely unknown. However, it is known (Young 1977) that the crude rates (leukemia cases/total people in the cohort) are similar in the two locations; (3) Warren et al., (1977) claimed that over 400 workers known to be exposed to low benzene levels were deliberately excluded from the cohort. In spite of these problems, it is felt that this study is the least flawed of the three utilized. 2. Estimation of the .Relative Risk In an update, published as a letter to the editor in Lancet (Benzene and Leukemia. October 14, 1977) Infante et al., note that: -9- ------- (1) Sakol (1977) has supplied additional Information that at least two more cases of leukemia known to exist, but not reported on death certificates, were probably in Infante's cohort; (2) Due to a more complete follow-up, the expected number of deaths due to leukemia in their cohort was reduced from 1.38 to 1.25. Using this supplemental information, the new relative risk due to total leukemia is estimated to be R * (7+2)/1.25 = 7.20 3. Estimation of Average Occupational Exposure Information about the plant benzene levels is contained in the Appendix to the testimony of Baler at the OSHA benzene hearings (Baler, 1977). From the opening of the factory in 1940 until 1946, no; mom"toring records were available. Following the installation of new ventilation equipment in 1946, a survey showed that levels in "most areas" in the plant ranged from 0 to 15 ppm and that all areas had less than the maximum safe limit of 100 ppm which prevailed at that time. From this information, one can guess that the average exposure to all people in the plant before 19.46 is probably not much more than 100 ppm, and not less than 15 ppm. -10- ------- Benzene levels were monitored after 1946 at various plant locations but: they were all instantaneous samples and no reliable information Is available about how many man-hours were spent at those locations or whether protective masks were worn. These are case reports of exposures to 1000 ppm for short time intervals. Since the average levels were generally close to the occupational standard, we will make the assumption that the average worker exposure was the same as the prevailing recommended occupational limits. These are tabulated below along with the time weighted average for the 36 years of the total exposure period. Time No. of Average Time-Weighted Interval Cases Exposure (oom) Averaae ( nnm\ 1940-46 1947 1948-56 1957-68 1969-75 (7) (1) (9) (12) (7) 100-15 50 39.9-23.3 35 25 10 -11- ------- The actual levels to which the workers were exposed was a subject of heated debate at the OSHA benzene hearings. The CAG would like to see a realistic estimate of the population weighted average exposure and its uncertainty limits. The time-weighted averages for occupational exposure must be converted to a continuous exposure lifetime basis. It will be assumed that the maximum likely lifetime exposure would result if a worker entered the factory in 1940 and was exposed for 35 years to the occupational limit of benzene. This exposure would result in a time-weighted average of 40.36 ppm for 35 years. The least likely exposure is assumed to occur if a worker .started in 1950 and was exposed to the occupational limit, which results in a time-weighted average of 23.7 ppm for 25 years. The equivalent continuous lifetime exposures corresponding to these work place exposure estimates are: High estimate: 40.36 x 240 x 1. x 35 = 4.4ppm Low estimate: 23.7 x 240 x 1 x 25 - l.Sppm 365 3 70 The geometric mean of the high-low exposures, /4.4xl.8 = 2.81, is taken to be the best estimate of the lifetime average for workers in the cohort. -12- ------- *• Estimation of Lifetime Probability of Leukemia Per Unit of Exposure The change in the leukemia rate per lifetime average ppm in the atmosphere is derived from the previously discussed equation: B = P! (R-U/x2 which gives us an estimate B = .006732 x (7.20-D/2.81 = .014854 B. Askoy (1974, 1976, 1977) 1. Description of Askoy Studies Askoy (1977, 1976, 1974) has reported his observations of the occurrence of leukemia and aplastic anemia cases at two medical institutions in Istanbul over a period from 1967 to 1975. He has compared the types of leukemia seen in shoe workers, who work with benzene solvents in small unventilated shops, with the types of leukemia observed in people with no known exposure to benzene. He has also tabulated the exposure duration of patients with different types of leukemia. He found that in shoe workers there were 34 cases of leukemia observed in the nine years from 1967 to 1975. Based on "official records" which show that in Istanbul ..there are 28,500 workers in the shoe, slipper and handbag industry, he calculates that the annual incidence -13- ------- rate of leukemia 1s 13 per 100,000, which is significantly higher than 6 per 100,000, the rate in the general population. The calculation is based on crude rates with no age adjustment. He also found that the types of leukemias occurring in people exposed to benzene are different than for those with no known exposure. In a sample of 50 non-exposed leukemia patients, approximately 50 percent had chronic leukemia, but in 40 benzene-exposed patients only 5 percent had chronic leukemia. Also, in the exposed group preleukemia and acute erythroleukemia accounted for 34 percent of the cases, whereas in the non-exposed group only 6% of the cases were of those types. The concentration of benzene to which the workers were exposed was estimated only in terms of the maximum concentrations existing at the times when benzene was being; used in the shops. At the OSHA benzene hearings in 1977 Dr. Askoy stated that the concentrations outside working hours ranged between 15 and 30 ppm and reached a maximum of between 150 and 210 ppm when adhesives containing benzene were being used. -14- ------- 2. Estimation of Relative Risk. A total of 26 patients with leukemia were observed in the 6 2/3 year period from 1966 to September 1973 in a group of 28,500 Instanbul shoe workers exposed chronically to benzene. This was felt to be an underestimate of the true number of leukemia cases among the shoe workers during the period with Askoy subsequently being aware of two additional cases. However, three of the twenty-eight total cases were lymphoblastic or lymphoid leukemia, not thought to be as- sociated with benzene exposure. Eliminating these three cases, an estimate of the yearly incidence rate is I = (26+2-3) x IPS = 13.15 per 100,000 per year 28,500 x 6..67 - The total incidence rate of leukemia in Turkey is thought to be about 2,,5 to 3.0 per 100,000 Askoy (.1977). However from Askoy*s non-exposed patient group we estimate that 48% based on 24 out of 50 are non-lymphoblastic or lymphoid leukemia. In addition, the national rate which is based on the total population was felt by Cooke (1954) to be about twice that experienced for the relatively young group of benzene-exposed shoe workers who had a average age at diagnosis of 34.2 years. Using this information we estimate that the yearly incidence rate of non-lymphoblastic or lymphoid leukemia in the Turkish population of the same age structure as the benzene exposed shoe workers is -15- ------- I 3 (2.5+3.0) x 24 x 1 - .66 per 100,000 2 50 2 An estimate of the relative risk for benzene exposed shoe workers is thus R = 13.15 = 19.92 .66 3. Estimation of Lifetime Average Exposure It was noted that the benzene levels were 15 to 30 ppm outside working hours and 150 to 210 ppm during working hours when benzene was in use in the typical small shoe manufacturing shop. We will assume that the average working hour exposure to benzene was the geometric mean of the midpoint of the two intervals or X7 3 \H5 + 30) x (150 + 210) = 63.6 ppm sJ 2 ~~ 2 In addition we will assume: (1) ft ten hour working day (2) A 300 day working year (3) An average age at the end of the observation period of 50 years (4) An a-verage of 9.7 years of exposure; this is the average length of exposure for the leukemia cases in Askoy's series. -16- ------- These assumptions lead to a lifetime average exposure estimate of X2 = 63.6 x (10) x (300) x (9.7) = 4.22 ppm 2? JBT BIT 4. Estimation of Lifetime Probability of Leukemia Per Unit of Exposure The change in the leukemia rate per lifetime average ppm in the atmosphere is derived from the previously discussed equation: B = Pi(R-l)/x2 which gives us an estimate B * .004517 x (19.92-1)74.22 - .020252 C. Ott, et al., (1977) 1• Description of Qtt Study The long-term mortality patterns and associated exposure estimation of a cohort of 594 workers exposed to benzene were reported by Ott, et al., (1977). The workers were employed in three production areas of the company, which had been in operation for varying times since 1920. Each job category was assigned an average exposure range as accurately as the historical air monitoring data permitted. The concentrations ranged from less than 2 ppm (8-hour time weighted average) to greater than 25 ppm. ^The analysis covered employees with known benzene exposure who -17 ------- worked from January 1, 1940 through 1973. A total of 53 employees with known exposure to arsenicals, vinyl chloride and asbestos in addition to their benzene exposure was omit- ted from the formal cohort of people exposed to benzene. The benzene exposure of each person was evaluated and ex-pressed as the product of parts per million times months of exposure. For the 91 deceased people with exposure to benzene alone, 45% of them had exposures between 0 and 499 ppm-months and 35% had exposures greater than 1000 ppm- months. The results of the analysis of mortality by cause of death showed no statistically significant excess of mortality compared to the U.S. white male age-specific mortality rates. Three cases of leukemia were observed where 0.8 cases were expected, a situation of borderline statistical significance (p<0.047). All three were my- elocytic leukemia, two of them acute, which latter is the type associated with benzene exposure of shoe workers (Askoy, 1976) and other occupations (Yigliani, 1976). 2. Estimation of Relative Risk In Ott's cohort 3 deaths due to non-lymphocytic non- monocytic leukemia were observed with only .8 expected. An estimation of the relative risk of non-lymphocytic - monocytic leukemia is thus R 3 3/.8 = 3.75 -18- ------- 3. Estimation of Lifetime Average Exposure Ott estimated the ppm-months of exposure of each individual in his cohort from work history data and plant hygiene benzene measurement surveys. The most complete presentation of this data is given in Ott1s (1977) table 7 # which is used to estimate the average level of exposure. It is assumed that the average exposure in each of the exposure intervals is equal to the midpoint of the first two intervals and is equal to the lower limit plus 1/2 of the interval width for the open or third classification. The total average ppnfi-months is obtained by taking the average of the three classifications weighted by the expected value of the number of deaths in each classification giving the value (250 x 65.1 + 750 x 16.2 + 1250 x 32.8)/{65.1 + 16.2 + 32.8} = 608.46 ppm x months The average lifetime exposure is obtained by using the following assumptions: (1) An'eight hour working day (2) A 240 day working year (3) An average age at the end of the observation period of 65 years which gives the lifetime estimate of (608.46) x (8 ) x (240) x (1 ) = .171 ppm ( 12 ) (14) (365) (65) ------- 4. Estimation of Lifetime Probability of Leukemia Per Unit of Exposure The change in the leukemia rate per lifetime average ppm in the atmosphere is derived from the previously discussed equation: B * Pi(R-l)/X2 which gives us an estimate B » .002884 x (3.75-U)/.17 = .04638 D. Summary of Results The total leukemic response has been based on different classifications of leukemia for the three studies. A summary of the type of response utilized is given in Table 3. It would have been preferable to have applied a uniform method of classification for all the studies. However, due to the lack of specific detail in the presented papers this was not possible. Even with this added source of variability the resulting slope estimates B, which have the physical meaning of the total probability of deaths due to 1 ppm of benzene in the air breathed over an individual lifetime, were remarkably consistent between studies. The geometric mean of the three estimates ic . B =3J.014854x.020252x»046380 = .024074 -20- ------- The estimated log mean Is log-jQB = -1.618453, with the estimated variance of this mean being 0"log B = .021785 V. Estimation of Expected Number of Leukemia Deaths Due to Environmental Exposure to Benzene The SRI in their exposure document expressed exposure to the U.S.' population in two ways. The first method assumed a static population living around the point sources and gave total ppb-person years for each of the point source classifications in Table 1-1. If exposure units fn 106 ppb-person years are denoted as D, the expected number of leukemia deaths per year may be estimated approximately by the relationship ND =» .024074 x 0x103/70.96 = .3392620 where .024074 is the geometric mean of the slope parameter taken from the three studies, and 70.96 is the average expected life of a randomly drawn person living in the United States based on 1973 vital statistics. Using Table I-rl and the above equation the number of leukemia deaths per year are estimated for the various point sources .and are shown in Table 4. -21- ------- The second method employed to estimate exposure did not make the over-simplified assumption that the human population was static. Instead an attempt was made to follow a typical individual through a typical day in order to obtain his average exposure. The exposure estimates derived on this basis are shown in Table 1-2 of the SRI document and were utilized in conjunction with the above equation to derive the estimated number of leukemia deaths per year shown in Table 5. We note that approximately a total of 90 cases of leukemia per year could be expected due to benzene exposure. In a recent CAG document on ROM's, a method was developed to obtain confidence intervals for estimates based upon the assumptions that each .epidemic!ogical study gave an unbiased estimate of the true slope parameter and the estimates were distributed log normally. Adding the additional assumption that the exposure estimates are also log-normally distributed we derive the relationship that the 35% confidence interval for the log of the number of leukemia deaths per year is ^ 1.953289 + F.083689 + Iog2u -22- ------- where we are 95% confident that the true exposure is between (u-1) x 100% and (u-l)-l x 100% of the exposure estimate. The confidence limits derived from this relationship for various assumed values of u are shown in Table.6. -23- ------- •H 3 rt LO eoors-Ot>-ot~-ot~-<—i CO O t/) Ci o O O o .0=5 S U -c- "2 »-< O eo o a . O 0*i E =; -H O •4J -i 0) l-< VW • H O tn O OCi f~.I-.f~. ce H 4-> II o c, eocoor--i—( OS i—IT—IPJC-Ji—l>-(»Hr-lr-l»—It—IT—I w. o t. o o C3 O •H S X C C5 0) 4J 4-> O rt H ci CO o 01 o U1O o > to: < o c? T-( urs o I I I I O u-5 O o L.O o i i i i LTS o tn c -24- ------- TABLE 2 - Lifetime Probability of Death in. U.S. Population Due to Leukemia Type Upon VThich Relative Risk in Each of the Epidemiclogical Studies is Based. Epidemiological ( Study Infante Ott As key JCD Codes Utilized 204-207 205 2.0 5-10 7 Type of Leukemia Total Leukemia Myelogenous Non-Lymphatic Lifetime Probability of Death Due to Type of Leukemia .006732 .002884 .004517 -25- ------- t3 53 C. O O X in -3 W CO O "3 O S3 Q S LTi CO CM CM CO to •H E 4-> £1. a : E rt -H Z* 0) O O •p s U) o O K3 O co 0=3 4-J CJ en U-l •a tu o a U-l 4-> -rt >>T-< O ^- ^ c O C3 CD E ^> «•* E O C 3 ^i O W &. PS 0) CO 3 c3 tn j- o O CM > X o o C3 -H o CM CM tn tn •H O C3 si > -H •H 4-) 4-> cn CNI V o -26- ------- TABLE 4 - Source Specific "Benzene Caused Leukemia • Deaths/Year Based on Table 1-1 of SRI Benzene Exposure Document9 tource o£ cposure leraical inufacturing Iqke Ovens ?etroleum lefineries toitoiaobile Emissions Gasoline Ser- vice Stations Self Service Gasoline A Exposure in 10° 10 ' Expected Number of Benzene Cau. x pp -Person Years Leukemia Deaths/Year 8.5 .2 2.5 150.0 19-. 0 ' TOTAL 2.33 .07 .85 5.0.89 6.44 -54 61.67 Mara, Susan J. and Shonh S. Lee. Assessment of-Human Exposures to Atmospheric Benzene. SRI International for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. Publication No. EPA-450/3-78-031. June 1978. . -27- ------- TABLE 5 - Total Exposure of People Residing in Various Locations, and Resulting Estimated Benzene- Caused Leukemia Deaths/Year - Based on Table 1-2 of SRI Benzene Exposure Document9 Vicinity of Residence Chemical Manufacturing Coke Ovens * » Petroleum Refineries Urban Areas TOTAL Exposure in . 106ppb-Person Years 10.0 .2 4.5 250.0 264.7 Expected Number of Benzene-Caused Leukemia Deaths/Year 3.39 .07 1.53 84.80 89.30 aMara, Susan J. and Shonh S. Lee. Assessment of Human Exposures to Atmospheric Benzene. SRI International for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. Publication No. EPA-450/3-78-031. -28- ------- TABLE 6 - Confidence Limits-on Total Benzene Caused Leukemia Deaths Per Year (Assumes "One-Hit" Model is the True Dose Response Relationship) Level of Precision Assumed for Exposure Estimate C.U-1) x 100% 95% Confidence Limits Lower Upper Limit Limit 0%: 10% 50% 100% 1000% 46.1 . 45.8 41.2 34.3 7.5 174.8 176.0 195.9 254.9 1081.7 *Assumes no error in exposure estimate. -29- ------- Bib!iography Cancer Risk of Benzene Askoy, M. (1977) "Testimony of Mazaffer Askoy, M.D. to Occupational Safety and Health Administration, U.S. Department of Labor," July 13, 1977, 13 pp. Askoy, M. (1976) "Types Leukemia In Chronic Benzene "Poisoning. A Study in Thirty-Four Parts," Acta Haemat, 5_i, 65-72. Askoy, M., Erdem, S., and Oincol, G. (1974) "Leukemia in Shoe-Workers Exposed Chronically to Benzene, Blood, 44 (6), 837-841. ' Askoy. M., Erden, S., Dincol, K., Kepyuksel, T., and Dincol, G. (1974) "Chronic Exposure to Benzene as a possible Contributary Etiologic Factor in Hodgkin's Disease, Blut, 28_, 293_-29J3. Baler, E.J. "Statement of the National Institutes of Occupational Safety and Health," Exhibit 84A, OSHA Benzene Hearings, July 19-Aug 10, 1977. Cooke, J.V. (1954) "The Occurrence of Leukemia," Blood 9, 340. Goldstein, B.D., Snyder, C.A., Snyder, R., and R. and S. R. Wolman, "Review of Benzene Toxicity," Prepared for EPA, August 18, 1977. Infante, P.F., Rinsky, R.A., Wagoner, J.K., and Young, R.J. (1977) "Benzene and Leukaemia (Letter to the Editor), Lancet. 867-869, October 22, 1977. Infante, P.F., Rinsky, R.A., Wagoner, J.K., and Young, R.J. (1977) "Leukemia in Benzene Workers,' " Lancet, 76-78, July 9, 1977. Ott, M.G., Townsend, J.C., Fishback, W.A., and Langer, R.A. (1977) "Mortality Among Individuals Occupationally Exposed to Benzene," Exhibit 154, OSHA Benzene Hearings, July 9- August 10, 1977. Sakol, M.J. (1977) "Testimony of Marvin J. Sakol, M.D., to Occupational Safety and Health Administration, U.S. Department of Labor". -30- ------- VII. APPENDIX Mutagenlc Risks of Benzene Exposure Summary In addition to the risk from.leukemia, benzene exposure is also likely to induce inherited mutations. The magnitude of this risk can not be estimated because of the uncertain quantitative relationship between heritable mutations and chromosome aberrations which have been consistently observed in exposed workers. Review of Experimental Results Benzene was found to be non-mutagenic in the Ames' test for point rautational effects (Simmon et al., 1977; Shahin, 1977; and Lyon, 1975). However, it is possible that a human metabolic activation enzyme system or a mammalian body fluid activation system would cause it to be mutagenic. Somatic chromosomal aberrations have been demonstrated in animals and humans. In rabbits, Kiss! ing and Speck, 1971 reported the induction of cytogenetic damage vn vivo by subcutaneous injection of 0,2 ng/kg day benzene. The frequency of metaphase spreads showing aberrations (mostly gaps and breaks) increased from 5.9% to 57.8% after an average exposure interval of 18 weeks. Two months after discontinuance of the benzene treatment, cytogenetic damage was still observed. -31- ------- Dobrokhotov (1972) exposed rats to 0.2 g/kg day benzene and 0.8 g/kg day toluene, and found similar rates of chromosomal aberrations in the two chemicals given separately, and an additive effect when given together. Chromatic deletions in metaphase chromosomes of bone-marrow cells have been found in rats given single doses of benzene subcutaneously at 2 ml/kg (Philip and Jensen, 1970). Deletions have also been observed in rats given benzene at Ig/kg day, subcutaneously, for 12 days. A dominant lethal and j_n vivo cytogenetics combined test has been performed with rats dosed intraperitoneally with 0.5 ml/kg benzene (Lyon; 1975). . No dominant lethality was found but increases were found in chromatic and chromosomal aberrations. Lyon (1975) also found increased micronuclei counts 6 hours after the final dosing of rats at 0.05 and 0.25 ml/kg/day after two days of dosing intraperitoneally. In patients with benzene-induced aplastic anemia, lymphocyte chromosome damage has been found (Pollini and Colombi, 1964). Polini et a!., (1964) later found a 70% incidence of heteroploid chromosomal patterns in the blood lymphocytes and bone marrow parenchyma cells of each of four subjects with benzene-induced blood dyscrasias. Similar patient studies of benzene exposed individuals with -32- ------- persistent chromosomal alterations associated with blood dyscrasias have also been reported by others (Forni and Moreo, 1967, 1969; Hartwich et al., 1969; Khan and Khan, 1973; Sellzel and Kelemen, 1971; Forni et aU, (1971); Tough and Court Brown, 1965}. Vigiliani and Forni (1969) found a significant increase of chromosomal aberrations in pheripheral lymphocytes of workers exposed to benzene, but not in those exposed to xylene and toluene. Some of these aberrations persisted for several years after recovery from benzene hemopathy. They suggested that toxicity to the bone marrow might result in cells with an abnormal number of chromosomes and that proliferation of these cells could then give rise to an advantaged leukemic clone. Forni et aK, (1971) examined chromosomal aberrations in 34 workers in a rotogravure plant and.compared these to 24 matched controls, and found a significantly higher number of both stable and unstable aberrations in 10 benzene-exposed workers but a number comparable to controls in all of the 24 toluene-exposed workers. A recent report (Kilian and Daniels, 1978) on.52 workers exposed to benzene for one month to 26 years (mean of 56.6 months) found chromosomal aberrations (chromosome breaks, dicentric chromosomes, trans!ocations and exchange figures) -33- ------- in peripheral lymphocytes at 2-3 times the rates found in controls. In this study, the 8 hour average time-weighted benzene exposure was 2-3 ppm, the average concentration determined by 15 minute sampling was 25 ppm and the peak concentration was 50 ppm. The same laboratory reported on the monitoring of 471 peripheral lymphocyte cultures from 290 Texas Division benzene workers between 1965 and 1978 {Benge et a!.,.1978). A group of 972 "preemployment examinees" who were judged, on the basis of the history taken at the time, to have had negligible exposure to known chromosome-breaking agents were used as controls. Rates of chromosomal abnormalities were found not to be increased in the exposed group over the control group. The time-weighted average benzene concentrations were estimated to have been below 50 ppm prior to 1972 and well below 10 ppm from 1973 to the present time. A report by Picciano (1978) which is a further analysis of the Kilian and Daniel (1978) and Benge (1978) study comparing the information on benzene exposed individuals to a 44-person group seen for preemployment examination. Workers exposed to three different levels of benzene at less than 10 ppm for several years showed a dose response relationship. The types of aberrations detected are similar to those reported for higher benzene exposures by (Tough et -34- ------- al., 1970). The workers were monitored for urinary excretion of phenol which is a primary metabolite of benzene. All workers had no detectable phenol which indicated no recent exposure to benzene. Exposures for the dose-response relationship were 0, less than 1, 1-2.5 and greater than 2.5 ppm. Fredga et al., (1978) performed a study on 65 workers, occupationally handling motor fuels. A moderate, but statistically significant, increase in frequency of chro- mosome aberrations was found in road tanker drivers and industrial workers, but not in ship tanker crews and gaso- line station staff. The estimated exposure dose was 60 ppm or less. The dose absorbed will be reported in a subsequent study. Conclusions Ample evidence exists that benzene causes chromosomal aberrations in animals and humans exposed to benzene. This evidence was reviewed above. However, since this is a somatic cell effect as opposed to a germinal cell effect it is difficult to estimate the heritable risk to future generations from such evidence. These chromosomal aber- rations probably involve breaks in DNA and therefore are heritable" events if they occur in the germinal cells, although the experiments to prove that point have not been decisive. -35- ------- It is generally recognized that rings, dicentrics, translocatlons and exchange figures are heritable, but chromosome breaks could be caused from toxicity of somatic cells and therefore may not be heritable. The former lesions should be used as indicators that genetic damage to future generations may have occurred. At the current time quantitative estimates of heritable genetic damage due to benzene cannot be made from data on the frequency of somatic mutations, although this damage may be occurring at concentrations as low as 1 ppm in air. -36- ------- Bibliography Mutagenicity: Benzene Benge, M.C., J.R. Venable, D.J. Picciano and D.J..Killian (1977) "Cytogenetic study of 290 workers exposed to benzene." Report Dow Chemical U.S.A. 1977. Dobrokhotov, V.B. (1972) "The mutagenic influence of benzene and toluene under experimental conditions," Gig. Sanit; 37:36-39. Forni, A., and L. Moreo (1967) "Cytogenetic studies in a case of benzene leukaemia," Eur. Jour. Cancer, 3:251-255. Forni, A., and L. Moreo. 1969. "Chromosome studies in a case of benzene-induced erythroleukaemia." Cancer, 3:251-255. Forni, A., et al. (1971a) "Chromosome studies in workers exposed to benzene or toluene or both," Arch. Environ. Health, 22:373-378. Forni, A., et al. (1971b) "Chromosome changes and their evolution in subjects with past exposure to benzene," Arch. Environ. Health, 23:385-391. Fredga, K., Reitalu, J. and Berlin, M. Chromosome studies in workers exposed to benzene. Report #771018 of the Institute of Genetics, Univ. of Lund and Department of Env. Health, University of Lund, Sweden. Haberlandt, W., and B. Mente 1971 "Deviation on number and structure of chromosomes in industrial workers exposed to benzene," Zbl. Arfaeitsmed, 21:338-341. Hartwich, G., and G. Schwanitz (1972) "Chromosomenuntersuchungen nach chronischer Benzol-Exposition." Dtsch. Med. Wschr. 97:45-49. Hartwich, G., et al. (1969) "Chromsome anomalies in a case of benzene leukemia." Ger. Med. Monthly, 14:449-450. Khan, H., and M. H. Khan (1973) "Cytogenetic studies following chronic exposure to benzene," Arch. Toxikol., 31:39-49. "™ Kilian, D. J., and R. C. Daniel (1978) "A Cytogenetic study of workers exposed to benzene in the Texas Division of Dow Chemical, U.S.A.," Feb. 27, 1978, Dow Chemical, Freeport, Texas. Kiss!ing, M., and B. Speck (1971) "Chromosomal aberrations in experimental benzene intoxication," Helv. Med. Acta, 36:59-66. -37- ------- Koizumi, A., et al. (1974) "Cytokinetic and cytogenetic changes in cultured human leucocytes and HeLa cells induced by benzene," Ind. Health (Japan), 12:23-29. Ltapkalo, A.A. (1973) "Genetic activity of benzene and toluene," Gig Tr. Prof. Zabol„, 17:24-28. Lyon, J.P. (1975) "Mutagenicity Studies with Benzene," Ph.D. Thesis, University of California Philip, P., and M.K. Jensen. (1970) "Benzene-induced chromosome abnormalities in rat bone marrow cells," Acta. Pathol. Microbiol. Scand. Sect. A., 78:489-490. Picciano, D. (1978) Unpublished report. Pollini, G., and R. Colombi (1964) "Lymphocyte chromosome damage in benzene blood dyscrasia," Me_d. Lav. 55:641-654. Pollini, G., et al. (1964) "Relationship between chromosomal alterations and severity of benzol blood dyscrasia," Med. Lav. 55:735-751.2 Sellyei, M., and E. Kelemen (1971) Chromosome study in a case if granulocytic leukemia with "Pelgerisation" 7 years after benzene pancytopenia. Eur. Jour. Cancer, 7:83-85. Shahin, M.M. (1977) Unpublished results.. The University of Alberta, Canada. Cited in Mutation Research 47:75-97 (1978). Simmon, V.F., et al. (1977) "Mutagenic activity of chemicals identified in drinking water." Second International Conf. on Environmental Mutagens, Edinburgh, Scotland, July 1977. Tough, I.M., and W.M. Court Brown (1965). "Chromosome aberrations and exposure to ambient benzene, "Lancet, 1:684. Tough, I.M., et al. (1970) "Chromosome studies in workers exposed to atmospheric benzene. The possible influence of age," Eur. Jour. Cancer, 6:49-55. Yigliani, E.G., and A. Forni. 1969. Benzene, chromosome changes and leukemia," Jour. Occup. Med., 11:148-149. Yigliani, E.G., and A. Forni (1976) "Benzene and leukemia " Environ. Res., 11:122-127. Vigliani, E.G., and G. Sanita (1964) "Benzene and leukemia." N.E. Jour. Med., 271:872-876. -38- ------- Warren, E.W., VanVoorhee, R.F., and Sampson, A.F., "Post. Hearing Brief of API, NPRA, and Individual Member Companies Regarding the Proposed Revised Permanent Standards for Occuopation Exposure to Benzene," OSHA Docket Mo. H-059 September 22, 1977. Young-, R.J. National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, Personal Communication, October, 1977. -39- ------- TECHNICAL REPORT DATA (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing} HfrPORTNO. EPA-450/5-80-004 'TITLE AND SUBTITLE "Carcinogen Assessment Group's Final Report on Population Risk to Ambient Benzene Exposures" 5. REPORT DATE AUTHOB(S) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO. Roy E. Albert 'PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Research and Development 401 M Street, S.W. Washington, D.C. 20460 January 1979 6. PFiRFOHMING ORGANIZATION CODE 10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO. 11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO. 2. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS Environmental Protection Agency Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards and Office of Research and Development Research Triangle Pa r k, N.C. 27713 13. TYPE OF Final 14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE EPA 200/04 s.SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES jhis report supercedes all findings and conclusions in the September 1978 report entitled "Carcinogen Assessment Group's Final Report on Population Risk to Ambient Benzene Exposures." 6. ABSTRACT This report is one of three reports which were prepared by E.P.A. to determine what regulatory action should be taken by E.P.A. to control sources of atmospheric emissions of benzene. This report estimates from three epidemiological studies the leukemia risk associated with current general population exposures to benzene in the United States. These studies were conducted by Infante, et al., (1977), Ott et al., (1977), and Askoy et al., (1977, 1976, 1974). The original report has received extensive review by the interested public and E.P.A.'s Science Advisory^ Board. All comments received on this first report were reviewed and considered in preparation of this report. KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS DESCRIPTORS Benzene Air pollution Populations Health effects Risk ).IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS COSATI Held/Group 13B 13. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT Unlimited 19. SECURITY CLASS , Unclassified Report} 20»SECURITY CLASS (Thispage) Unclassified 22. PRICE EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73) ------- |