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EVALUATING CLEANER TECHNOLOGIES

     WORKSHOP ON IDENTIFYING
    A RISK RANKING FRAMEWORK
               June 30-July 1,1993
                Washington, DC
       PROCEEDINGS DOCUMENT
                 Submitted to:

        Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxics
        U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
             Washington, DC 20460
                Submitted by:

           Eastern Research Group, Inc.
              110 Hartwell Avenue
              Lexington, MA 02173
                July 8,1994

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 PANEL SESSION II: METHODS FOR EVALUATION
      Basic Principles of Risk Assessment  .
      and Related Issues
      Dorothy Patton, EPA Risk Assessment Forum
PANEL SESSION HI: INSTITUTIONAL APPLICATIONS
                                      CONTENTS
  ACRONYMS   _____ ........                                                  .
                               ................ ................... ....... vi

  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY _____
                                ............. ••' ....... ....... . .... ---- . ..vu
  INTRODUCTION ... ....................... .

  PANEL SESSION I: USER NEEDS  ........................

       Product and Process Design ..........................                 4
       Sill Hoffman, Motorola, Inc.                  ...... " ' * * " ..... '

       Product Purchasing ____ . ................
       Arthur Weissman, Green Seal              « • • • • ........ .......... ....... 6

       Risk Ranking as a Regulatoiy Tool  ......... ..... ____  .....            s
       Richard Kimetie, Monsanto Corporation                      ...... " "
       Mark Rossi, Massachusetts Toxics Use Reduction Institute
      Life Cycle Assessment  ................ :.........                      ^
      Frank Consoli, Scott Paper Company                     .......... ....... 16

                                                                           t '  •"
      Process Design and Substitute Assessment . . ____                           1»
      Libby Parker, EPA Design for the Environment Program  '•"'••"••:'."".• ....... *•*•
                                                     •>	...20

      The EPS Scoring System	  .....                              2i
      Sven-Olof Ryding, Federation of Swedish Industries and "	! '  	
     Axel Wenblad, AB Volvo Corporation

      The GW System		  .....                     24
     Barbara Glenn,  George Washington University      	     '	''

     The Michigan Critical Materials Register	                        26
     GaryHulburt, Michigan Department of Natural Resources '"	


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                               CONTENTS (cent)
                          	
PANEL RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS	•	JU



ISSUES IN RANKING AND SCORING SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT ...... v	31

      Gary Davis, Center for Clean Products and Clean Technologies,

      University of Tennessee


                                                                         33
      Purpose of the System  	•	"
                         leuvuuiuuvii^ ~-r—	• • •'	'' 33



      Measures of Exposure  	•	; ''
     Selection of Health and Environmental Impacts ...	<	


                                                  	..33
                                                                         34
      Missing Data .......................... ............... * ........ '"

                                                                         1/f
      Aggregation and Weighting of Impacts ..... ...... ...... ..... ,.....• ..... ->


      „  ,  .                                           .......... ......35
      Conclusion  ............. ............... ..........




 INTRODUCTION TO BREAKOUT SESSIONS  .............. ................. 35





                                                           - ; • •' ...... ' * ' 37
BREAKOUT SESSIONS



            ut Groups


            Presentations on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a
       Breakout Groups I, H, and m  ..... . ........ ...... • * • ---- ..... ....... 37
             Risk Ranking System .............................. .......... 3V


             Discussion on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework

             for a Risk Ranking System .............. ........ ... • •: ......... 3y



       Breakout Groups IV, V, and VI ---- . ................................. 40


             Presentations on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a

             Risk Ranking System ............... .......... • • • ...... ; ------ 40



             Discussion on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework

             for a Risk Ranking System ............................... ..... 42
                                        -11-

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                           CONTENTS (cent.)
Breakout Groups Vn, Vm, and IX	;........... 44

       Presentations on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a     ,
       Risk Ranking System ......:..	.	 ^.................. 44

       Discussion on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework
       for a Risk Ranking System	<	 46

Next Steps: Breakout Group Recommendations .		48

       Development of a Work Plan,
       Validation of the System  			48

       Centralized Coordination, Development of a
       Draft Risk Ranking Model for Review		...	.... 49

       Framework Development: Strategic Action Plans ..... .„	,....... 50

       Review of Existing Systems  	....;.„	52

       Case Studies	<:	52

       Assessment of Valuation Procedures	 52

       Detailed Assessment Procedures	.53

       Clarify the Relationship Between
       Sustainable Development and Pollution Prevention	53

       Consensus on System Components	          53
                                                i*.
      Separate Framework Development from Data Ranking	.54

      Data Needs		              54

      Training	         55

      Communication and Information Exchange	55

      Development of a National Strategy: A Workshop Series  	.55

      Legislative Reform	,	_       55

      Foster Public-Private Partnerships	57
                                -m-

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                                CONTENTS (cont)
CONCLUDING REMARKS			 57

APPENDIX A: Workshop Agenda	*	 A-l

APPENDIX B: List of Participants	 B-l

APPENDIX C: Mission Statement	*	 C-l

APPENDIX D: Background Materials	'," *	'  D

APPENDIX E:  Overheads from the Product and                                   _
              Process Design Presentation	•	• •	• E-1

APPENDIX F:  Overheads from the Risk Ranking as
              a Regulatory Tool Presentations:
              (1) Overview of Regulatory Issues
              (2) State Regulatory Use	>•	•	• F'l

APPENDIX G: Overheads from the EPS Scoring                                pi
              System Presentations		> • •'. G-l

APPENDIX H: Overheads from the Michigan Critical
              Materials Register Presentation	  H-l

APPENDIX I:  Critical Issues in the Development of
              Human Health and Environmental
              Risk Ranking and Scoring Systems	• • > 1-1
              Gary A. Davis and Sheila Jones,
              Center for Clean Products and Clean Technologies

APPENDIX!:  Graphic Representations of Two
              Risk Ranking Frameworks	••; J-l

APPENDIX K: Health Impacts and Life Cycle Assessment  	......		 K-l
              Anders Schmidt, Lisbeth Engel Hansen,
              and Allan Astrup Jensen,
              dk-TEKNIK
              Jens Erik Jelnes,
              Danish Technological Institute
                                        -IV-

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                                                                                              1
                                  CONTENTS (cont)
APPENDIX L:
Computerized Data as a Tool for
Substitution Analyses	
/. Niemda, Danish Environmental Protection Agency
L. Seedotff, COWIcomidt, Denmark
APPENDIX M: PROBAS:  The Danish Product Register
              Data Base—A National Register of Chemical
              Substances and Products	
              Mori-Ann Ffyvholm, Paul Andersen, Inge D. Beck"
              and Nanna P. Brandoiff
              Danish National Institute of Occupational Health
                                                             M-l
                                      -v-

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                                   ACRONYMS

EPA         U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
EPS         Environmental Priority Strategies
GW         George Washington University
ISO         International Organization for Standardization
LCjo         lethal concentration (median-level concentration, a standard measure of toxicity)
LCA        life cycle assessment
MIT         Massachusetts Institute of Technology
NAS        National Academy of Sciences
NGO        nongovernmental organization
OECD      Organization  for Economic Cooperation and Development
OPPT       Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxics                          \
SETAC      Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
TRI         Toxic Release Inventory
TSCA       Toxic Substances Control Act
                                          -VI-

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                                  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


         Risk ranking has emerged as an important tool for achieving pollution prevention.
  Although a number of different systems currently rank the relative importance of environmental
  risks and impacts, a comprehensive system broad enough for use by diverse industrial sectors,
  comparative risk analysts, product designers, consumers, and others involved in pollution
  prevention has yet to be developed. The Workshop on Developing a Risk Ranking Framework,
  held June 30 and July 1,1993, convened approximately 90 people working in pollution
  prevention, life cycle assessment, design for the environment, risk assessment, chemical ranking,
  and toxics substitution to discuss development of a risk ranking framework, including:

        •      How environmental  risks associated with chemicals,  products, and processes can
               be best assessed.                                          '.

        •      What methods exist or need to be developed to rank enviroiamental risks.
        •      What specific actions are needed to develop a comprehensive risk ranking system
               or systems.                                                         6 *
 Characteristics of a Risk Ranking Framework
       Workshop participants agreed that a risk ranking framework should have the following
 characteristics:
              Flexibility
              Transparency
              Dynamic quality
Iterative structure
Practicality
Multiple-use orientation
       A risk ranking system should be flexible enough to incorporate new (data and concerns
and serve a variety of purposes. A transparent framework is one that would ensure that all steps
involved in using the system are readily identifiable, thus facilitating ease of use and system
evaluation and replication. A framework should also be dynamic so that (1) decisions can be
                                           vu

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changed if necessary based on new data, and (2) the system can still be used if toxic chemical use
is reduced, product design is improved, and/or new products are introduced.

       An iterative framework is one that provides companies with mechanisms for using
product assessment results as feedback for needed changes in analytical and/or valuation
methods.  The system also must be a practical tool that people find useable. A risk ranking
framework must also accommodate multiple uses, including development or redesign of products;
evaluation of processes; prioritization of information; dissemination of information regarding
products, industry segments, and processes; and support for monitoring and regulation.. More
specific uses might include serving as an evaluation tool for smaller companies (with few
resources for other modes of assessment) and product labeling.
 Objectives of a Risk Ranking System

        Key objectives of a risk ranking system discussed at the workshop included:

        •      Facilitating evaluations of the potential human health and environmental risks
               that product systems, materials, and human activities pose.
        •      Identifying areas for which more detailed analysis is warranted.
        •      Assessing the potential for evaluation of alternatives.
        •      Empowering industry to make environmental protection decisions and increase
               environmental protection efforts.
        •      Aiding environmental decision-making at both global  and local levels.
        •      Enabling prioritization of environmental issues.
        •      Incorporating adaptability for various use contexts (e.g., a single chemical with
               multiple uses, a single use cluster with multiple chemical options).
        •     Promoting sustainable  development.
                                             ym

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  Development of Health and Environmental Criteria

         Workshop participants suggested development of criteria in several health and
  environmental risk categories, including:
                Human health
                Ecological health
                Environmental fate
                Resource depletion
                Energy usage
Sustainability
Energy usage
Ozone depletion
Global warming
Other indirect releases
  Criteria for Assessing a Risk Ranking System

        A risk ranking framework should provide a systematic method for evaluating
  environmental risks, agreed many workshop participants. Criteria suggested for assessing risk
  ranking methodologies included:

        •     Consideration of data quality and data gaps
        •     Reproducibility of objective results
        •     Sensitivity of the  system (robustness)
        •    , Uncertainty of the system; error analysis
        •     Validation of the system
        •     Definition and measurement of success
Issues in Framework Development

       Workshop participants identified several important issues in developing a risk ranking
framework.  One issue was how to proceed with risk ranking if only limited data are available.
Does one proceed as if a chemical or process is highly toxic until more data are available proving
otherwise, or as if the chemical or process is environmentally benign until proven otherwise?
                                           IX

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       Another issue was the relationship between life cycle assessment (LCA) and comparative
risk assessment, and clarification of the particular role that each plays regarding environmental
risks. Should comparative risk assessments of chemicals and processes be expanded to
incorporate new information from LCA, or should LCA be expanded to include comparative risk
assessment?

       Participants also raised the issue of how a risk ranking framework and health and
environmental criteria should be evaluated. Many agreed that evaluation of a ranking system
should focus on how successfully it can be used as a tool for making decisions rather than on
how strictly it adheres to a specific ranking methodology. In addition, while all participants
agreed that health and environmental criteria must be evaluated, some suggested that political
and socioeconomic factors also must be considered.  Another issue was how a risk ranking
system could be developed for diverse purposes such as screening, detailed analysis, and
 decisionmaking.
 Possible Risk Ranking Frameworks

        Participants offered two possible frameworks for a risk ranking system.  The first
 framework focused on assessment of risks and recommended clearly separating the objective (i.e.,
 data analysis) from the subjective (Le., ranking) aspects of the framework.  Because various
 stakeholders have different values, this approach suggests that scientific data be used to develop
 assessment techniques rather than actual ranked lists.  Assessment of risks should first occur
 within the same categories of impact (e.g., human health, ecological, resource depletion, or
 social/economic) prior to further evaluation.

         The second framework focused on environmental valuation, which involves weighing the
  relative importance of risks or impacts based on the assessments conducted. While the
  assessments provide the decisionmaker with a better understanding of the  implications of a
  potential action (e.g., development of a new product, choice of a new  material  or process,
  promulgation of a new  regulation), valuation explicitly involves setting priorities. Like the
                                              x

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  assessment approach described above, the valuation approach also clearly distinguishes between
  environmental analysis and environmental ranking.
  Strategies for Framework Development
        Workshop participants developed three general strategies for developing a risk ranking
  framework:
               The first strategy involved development of a "strawman" framework by either EPA
               workgroups or another small group established by the steering committee. Other
               workshop participants would then review and critique this strawman framework
               The enure group, which might be expanded to include additional members, could
               meet again to finalize individual parts of the framework and consolidate it A
                                  SUggCSted to develop and Produce a definitive, formalized
              The second strategy for framework development recommended that the steering
              committee identify areas needing further work and form small workgroups
              composed of people with a particular interest in these areas. The steerine
              committee would need to determine how to separate the issues into workable
               pieces  for each of the groups.  The entire group could then come together for
              presentations and discussion of the different areas and to perform further work.
                               .nV°lved brfnging devel°Pers ^d users of risk ranking systems
              together and applying an already existing system in a hypothetical situation  The
              advantage of using an existing system would be that people could readily see
              where additions  work is needed and how a system should look when finished; this

              Sdl^h1^^
              could then begin developing the weaker areas identified. Case studies could be
              developed using an existing or strawman system for practical application.



       Workshop participants agreed that different parts of these three strategies could be

combined to determine more specifically what the next steps should be. Unification of language
and definitions could occur as part of the framework development effort.
                                          XI

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Identification of Next Steps
    A key purpose of the workshop was to identity "next steps" needed toward development of a
risk ranking system. There .was consensus on four steps:

       •      Disseminate information on existing tools and ranking systems
       •      Unify language/definitions for risk ranking
       •      Expand the steering committee
       •      Develop a draft risk ranking framework

       Some participants suggested that EPA or another organization should establish a central
 coordinating center to administer development of risk ranking frameworks.  Such a center could
 also .serve as a liaison between workgroups (e.g., groups focusing on risk assessment, lifecycle
 analysis, or design for the environment).  Another important endeavor identified was further
 development of methodologies for assessing  and ranking risks and impacts.
                                             xn

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   INTRODUCTION
         Mark Greenwood, director of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA's) Office
  of Pollution Prevention and Toxics, opened the meeting, Evaluating Cleaner Technologies:
  Workshop on Identifying a Risk Ranking Framework, by noting that EPA's work in the area of
  pollution prevention has matured over time into a more fundamental examination of how
  pollution prevention is carried out and how interested parties can collaborate to improve
  pollution prevention efforts. An important issue involves how environment considerations can
  be factored into the design of manufacturing technologies, processes, and products.  The design
 for the environment ethic is not only an EPA program, but a broader effort that many people are
  attempting to practice in a meaningful way.

        To implement design for the environment through pollution prevention, fundamental
 values must be defined.  A person or a company must decide which issues are most important
 from an environmental point of view, thus establishing "environmental value points." To this end,
 EPA has focused on, among other things, how to prioritize and compare risks and how to better
 analyze these issues.

       EPA began developing tools for comparative risk analysis to set priorities under the Toxic
 Substances Control Act (TSCA), and sought and received feedback on the usefulness of these
 tools.  During the process of sharing this information,  the Agency found that many others also
 were trying to develop systems and analyses for prioritization and comparative risk ranking
 While  the purposes of these systems might differ, the basic goal is the same: to sort through a
 sea of information and attempt to develop relative values regarding what issue or effect is more
 important than another.

       This workshop on developing a risk ranking framework brought together many people
from industry, government, academia, and environmental organizations working in similar areas
Goals of the workshop included the following:

       •      Identify key components of existing relative risk ranking systems.
      •      Discuss uses of such systems.
                                          -1-

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      •     Specify actions needed to develop risk ranking systems further and identify
             existing work that can contribute to developing a comprehensive risk ranking
             system or systems.

The purpose of the workshop was not to produce a master system that everyone could use, since
development of a final, comprehensive system will take time.  Rather, a key goal of the workshop
was to encourage a coordination of international efforts in developing a useful system or systems
for risk ranking across industries.

       Workshop facilitator Abby Arnold, environmental dispute mediator at Resolve, reviewed
the agenda for the workshop, which included panel discussions on user needs, methods for
evaluation, and institutional applications;  a presentation on issues in the development of ranking
and scoring systems; facilitated discussion sessions; and breakout group sessions.   The purpose
of the breakout sessions was to involve workshop participants with diverse interests in the process
 of developing a risk ranking system by addressing several key questions, including:

        •      When conducting an environmental evaluation of technologies and products, what
               criteria should  be included in a ranking system?
        •      What work needs to be done to develop such criteria?
        •      What are some of the next steps that individuals, organizations, and companies
                   take to develop a ranking system both nationally and internationally/
can
        •      Is one system appropriate, or is a series of different ranking systems needed?

        After the breakout sessions, individual groups reported back to the entire workshop
  forum with their deliberations regarding these and other key questions that arose during the
  workshop. The entire group then discussed the breakout group reports and identified possible
  next steps. This proceedings document summarizes  the workshop activities, focusing on
  discussions generated from the breakout groups' deliberations and on appropriate next  steps
  identified by workshop participants to develop a framework for environmental risk ranking and
  impact assessment.
                                             -2-

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        The document's appendices include additional relevant information, including the
  workshop agenda, a list of workshop participants, a mission statement, background materials,
  graphic representations of two possible risk ranking frameworks, overheads! used by some of'the
  speakers in their presentations, and published papers describing various risk ranking systems.
 PANEL SESSION I: USER NEEDS

        Bob Ferrone of Digital Equipment Corporation began the panel discussion by providing
 background on the origins of the workshop. Mr. Ferrone and Alex Wenblad of AB Volvo
 Corporation sowed the seed for this workshop at a presentation Mr. Wenblad gave at the
 Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) on mercury in lighting. Mr. Ferrone, noting that
 the presentation included information on the Swedish approach to a risk scoring system, said that
 bringing together an international group on the subject would be productive, and Mr. Wenblad
 agreed.  Mr. Ferrone then talked with Claudia O'Brien and Mark Greenwood of EPA about
 involving the Agency in convening such a group to  explore the issues of environment and
 technology and the role of risk ranking systems.

       Fran Irwin of the World Wildlife Fund, the  panel moderator, said that over the past 15
 years a number of workshop participants have been involved in developing ways to evaluate
 cleaner technologies, including ranking systems. The new element in the workshop, she said, was
 that a demand for better tools for evaluating technologies is emerging, as indicated by the
 response to this workshop. People using these evaluation tools  are asking how to design and
 produce products in an environmentally sound way  and how to label products so that customers,
whether institutions or individuals,  can make better choices. In traditional manufacturing, by
contrast, manufacturers focus on which chemicals and products to produce and use outside of an
environmental context.  The panel members addressed three questions, including:

      •      How are questions about evaluating cleaner technologies framed from different
             perspectives (e.g., a product or process designer, an ecolabeling group or
             consumer buying a product, a regulator or group promoting regulations)?
technokT .^te'°f'the-art methods

                             -3-
                                                information tools for evaluating cleaner

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      •     How can technologies be evaluated better?

      Each panelist's presentation concerning user needs is summarized below.
Product and Process Design

       Bill Hoffman of Motorola, Inc., said that while he could not speak for all industry, or
even for Motorola, he would give his own views on developing a framework for a risk scoring
system for material and product use and development. Overheads from his presentations are
provided in Appendix E.  First, Mr. Hoffman described briefly how products generally are
designed. Currently, many products are designed by multifunctional work teams that include
people from all the different aspects of a product's life cycle: mechanical design, electrical design,
finance, production, manufacturing, perhaps maintenance, as well as others. Hus approach,
however, works only in large companies with sufficient resources for such a team approach.  In
 small companies, a multifunctional individual might have to cover all of these different areas
 himself or herself.  In such cases, knowledge of environmental issues may be minimal, since small
 companies typically lack an environmental professional on the team. The point person in the
 smaller company therefore needs an "intelligent advisor," which, for example, could be a
 software system that scores a product's environmental risk and helps identify areas that need
 improvement.

        The three primary industry users of a risk rating system include the design engineer, the
 environmental and safety professional, and management, each with somewhat different needs.
 Most of these people do not have time to add a new dimension, such as an in-depth evaluation
 of environmental impacts, to their product development cycle or to their duties. Instead of
 spending time learning a whole new system in these different areas, the designer wants to know
 what the environmentally preferred materials are.  Rather than be told in a general manner that
 he or she should recycle  and use less hazardous chemicals, the designer wants to know which
  chemical to use and how to design for demanufacture, recycling, and disassembly.  Hie designer
  also wants to know how altering these processes for environmental reasons would affect the
  quality of a product and what the tradeoffs would be.  Will a recyclable material pass the drop

                                             -4-

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  also wants to know how altering these processes for environmental reasons would affect the
  quality of a product and what the tradeoffs would be. Will a recyclable material pass the drop
  test?  Will it function properly? How much will it cost? How much wiU it add to the design
  cycle time? A common assumption is that when environmental  concerns are included in the
  manufacturing process, costs increase, but this assumption  is not accurate.  Costs can be reduced
  because environmental concerns are included (e.g., waste minimization).  For example, the
  current cost of recycled paper (i.e., deinked rather than bleached paper) could prohibit people
  from using it. If enough of it is used,  however, the market can be altered so that the recycled
  paper will be produced in larger mills, thereby reducing the cost.

        The environmental and safety professional* another primary user of risk ranking systems,
  traditionally has been involved in product design, focusing on a product's potential effects on
  waste disposal and safety conditions. An environmental and safety professional's questions might
  include:  What are the  EPA guidelines?  What are the rules, regulations, and restrictions on
  using this material? How should it be handled? Does it require special equipment or facilities?
 How should it be disposed of?  If it is  toxic, can it be incinerated? Landfilled? Put down the
 drain?  What are the cleanup procedures and costs if the material is spilled?  A relatively new
 question from these professionals is: What are the life cycles and environmental impacts?

       Management, the third primary user of risk ranking systems, is concerned with cost.
 Management's questions focus on issues of marketing and profit:  Can we produce an
 environmentally sound product at the same costs? Will it sell as an environmental product?  If it
 costs more to make this a low-impact product, will it still sell?  If it does sell, what are possible
 future liabilities?

       Currently, the environmental and safety professional  is more concerned with the
 environmental impact of a product than the other two primary users of risk ranking systems.  As
 environmental issues become more important, however, designers, too, will want to improve their
products and will need a measure of environmental impact.  A risk scoring system can provide a
place to start, a reference point, and can help designers set goals for improving their products.
                                           -5-

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       A ranking scheme should be user friendly, yet comprehensive. It must be easy to
understand.  A designer does not want to have to perform a complicated analysis each time a
small change is made in a product; the general rules and principles should be easy to remember
and apply in conducting analyses to identify areas that need improvement. Yet the system also
must be complex enough to represent the full impact; a system that is too simple will not capture
the interactions between manufacturing processes, design,  and environmental impacts throughout
a product's entire life cycle.  In addition, the system must be able to impart general principles
that can be applied to most situations.

       To incorporate these life cycle issues  in a risk ranking system, the most ambitious projects
would require data about every aspect of a product's life cycle, which is problematic because
often the manufacture of a product is not a closed system. A product's life cycle could  affect
different types of industries and other products worldwide. Thus, in practice, the scope of a life
cycle impact assessment often needs to be limited. The limits of what to examine typically have
been set at the factory door (i.e.,  restricted to the manufacturer's direct contact with the
 product). But because the heaviest impacts  often occur beyond the factory door, issues such as
 recycling and the toxicity of the chemicals being used also are now considered.  By limiting the
 scope of the analysis, a designer can understand the impacts  directly associated with a product's
 design.                                                                        ;
 Product Purchasing

        Arthur Weissman of Green Seal discussed the choices people make in purchasing
 products. Some standards for environmentally preferable products have been developed and
 made public and more continue to be developed. An important question is, are the right
 standards being set in terms of overall impact on the environment (i.e., standards for products
 that have the most impact)?  A ranking system would help focus on areas with the most risk, but
 we must remember that environmental risk and impact are only one factor in purchasing a
 product.  Companies and governments must consider many other factors in their decision-making
  process, such as price, performance, and other factors (e.g., aesthetics).  A ranking system is only
  a tool and is not in itself a decision model.

                                             -6-

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        A ranking system needs to be understandable by its various users. Pilot tests should be
 conducted to explore whether a system accommodates the end user.  System users can include
 consumers (i.e., the general public), who have been exposed to confusing environmental claims
 for products. Most consumers seek to reduce the environmental impact of their purchases.
 According to recent market research and other studies, environmentally conscious consumers
 comprise up to 80 percent of the American public.  While this percentage does not reflect
 possible higher costs for environmentally preferable products, the percentage drops only slightly
 when higher cost is considered.  Another user is the purchaser in the marketplace, such as a
 materials purchaser for an organization or a government body with a procurement plan (such as
 the White House, which currently is developing a "green" procurement plan). A third category of
 users is the manufacturers  who want to make an environmentally preferable product.  These
 companies also are procurers; they look for suppliers that offer environmentally preferable
 products, technologies, or materials. A final group of users includes national and international
 organizations that perform labeling of environmentally preferable products in an attempt to
 reduce the environmental impact of products through market forces.

        Each  user group wants certain information.  The general public wants to know which
 products in a given category (e.g., bags, automobiles, cleaners) have the; least environmental
 impact. The more educated consumers might want to know what specific impacts are  being
 reduced.  Purchasers tend to want similar information as consumers.  Manufacturers have a
 range of information needs. For a product that is not integral to  their line, manufacturers, like
 the public and purchasers, want to know generally which  product has less impact than  another.
 But for a product that is their own or is integral to their product line, manufacturers want to
 know what specific environmental impacts and potential liabilities are atssociated with that
 product or material.  Labeling organizations want to know all of this information: which products
 in the marketplace generally have the greatest environmental impacts, which products also exhibit
 a range of impacts suitable  for environmental labeling within a particular product line, and what
 the specific impacts are.

       Little information is available about the life cycles of chemicals and products, the uses
and misuses of products, and product disposal.  While frameworks for this information, such as
risk assessment and life cycle assessment (LCA) have been used for approximately 15 years, they

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are very controversial, and LCA is quite preliminary.  Even less integrated information is
available about the combined impacts of products or technologies.  While some information is
available about specific chemical ingredients, emissions from various manufacturing processes,
and impacts from resource extraction or disposal activities, such data for a given material  or
product are not integrated or ranked, and their environmental impact is not well studied.
Environmental information is not readily available in a form that allows for comparisons.

       In'the short term, basic data needed for a risk ranking system must be collected, such as
information about energy and material flows and emissions. These data must be provided in a
readily usable form for all end users with varied needs.  Consumers want a means to identify and
avoid high-impact products, with the aid of consumer education. Manufacturers want specific
quantitative information about the relative impacts of their materials and technologies. Labeling
organizations want quantitative information about the relative impacts  of materials,  technologies,
and products.
 Risk Ranking as a Regulatory Tool

        Richard Kimerle of Monsanto Corporation said that risk ranking, in addition to its other
 functions, can be used to guide regulatory priority setting and decision-making. A key element in
 the proposed Environmental Risk Reduction Act of 1993, risk ranking can play an important role
 in many regulatory guidance and compliance programs.  It can provide a means for listing and
 delisting chemicals; help in prioritizing which chemicals need additional testing and regulatory
 consideration;  and contribute to risk assessments, product life cycle assessments, and product
 labeling efforts.                                                                [

        Criteria in a risk ranking system should be risk based and should include exposure as well
 as effects data, said Mr. Kimerle. Currently, most risk criteria focus on chemicals, toxicity data,
 threshold levels, fate of pollutants, and exposure, all of which are important.  But additional
 criteria need to be included, such as data on environmental  risks and  effects other than those
 associated with chemicals  (e.g., other types of stressors) as well as energy, natural resource,
 global, and habitat considerations.

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         Risk ranking can help justify decisions to reduce the use of toxic substances and
  exposures to environmental hazards.  Use of a risk ranking system, however, might raise certain
  issues. For example, if a comprehensive risk assessment is not performed, should the use of a
  risk ranking system be considered as only a screening tool? Should quantitative or qualitative
  (i.e., high, medium, low) rankings be used? How can system users be instiucted to apply the
  system properly to avoid misuse?  Must a minimum data base first be developed before a risk
  ranking system can be used?

         To be used for regulatory purposes, a single technical framework needs to be developed
  that is scientifically sound and is consistent  across EPA offices and state, federal, and
  international boundaries.  A window of opportunity currently exists to establish such a risk
  ranking system that can provide a new basis for regulatory decisions, priorities, guidance, and
  compliance.  Overheads from Mr. Kmerle's presentation are provided In Appendix F.

        Mark Rossi of the Toxic Use Reduction Institute then discussed how states might use a
  relative risk ranking system, using the Massachusetts Toxic Use Reduction program as an
  example. Appendix F also includes overheads from Mr. Rossi's presentation.  States can use a
  risk ranking system for several purposes, he said, including identifying "user segments" (i.e.,
 production units targeted for toxics use reduction), prioritizing resource allocations, and selecting
 chemicals as candidates for restriction. For these purposes, a useful risk ranking  system should
 allow for broad participation and account for both toxic chemical use and emissions.

       Factors to consider in identifying and prioritizing user segments include:

       •     The amounts and toxicity of toxic substances used by user segments.
       •     The amount of toxic substances disposed of, discharged,  or released to water
              land, air, or workplaces by users.                                        '
       •     The social, health, and economic benefits and costs of targeting particular user
              segments.


       In setting resource priorities, a risk ranking system could assist in allocating funds and
personnel in research, education, and technical assistance efforts.  Such resource priorities

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currently are based on legal requirements, amounts of chemical releases and transfers, or
regional needs. Priority often has been given to work involving alternatives to ozone-depleting
chemicals.  While all these considerations are important, resource allocation should also be based
on a better understanding of the comparative risks of using toxic chemicals.

       Chemical restriction refers to any policy that encourages or directs a company to
eliminate production, use, or distribution of a chemical (or class of chemicals) or of a product
that contains the chemical.  To use a risk ranking system for chemical restriction purposes, states
would need to know how a screening tool, such as a risk ranking system, could be tailored to
regional needs.

       The Massachusetts Toxics Use Reduction program mandates that the state identify users
of toxic substances^  The program includes an administrative council and an advisory board. The
council is responsible for identifying priority user segments based on recommendations from the
Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) and the Office of Technical
Assistance (both state agencies), as well as from the Massachusetts Toxics Use Reduction
Institute, a private organization which includes both industry and public interest advisory boards.
The council includes representatives from state agencies such  as the DEP, the Department of
 Public Health, and the Office of Economic Affairs.  The state advisory board provides a forum
 for discussing the direction of the Toxic Use Reduction program and develops recommendations
 for the program. Fifteen representatives from business, government, environmental groups,
 labor, health policy groups, publicly owned treatment works (POTWs), and the general public
 comprise the state advisory board.
  PANEL SESSION II: METHODS FOR EVALUATION

        Frank Field of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, moderator for Panel Session II,
  summarized the three types of methodologies currently available for developing risk ranking
  systems—risk assessment, life cycle assessment (LCA), and process design/substitute assessment.
  Dr. Field said that these methods can be characterized according to three broad professional
                                            -10-

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  areas: risk assessment is based on scientific study, LCA originated within the engineering  •
  discipline, and process design/substitute assessment arose from design and management concepts.

        Risk assessment, based on biological science and statistics, quantifies dose and associated
  response characteristics of biological populations exposed to a variety of environmental stimuli.
  Scientists have developed general principles of risk assessment that are used to predict the
  behavior of biological systems.  An extensive risk assessment often includes a quantitative
  description of a complex system (e.g., the environment). Using this quantitative description, a
  risk assessor attempts to define the extent of hazard represented by a change in the system so
  that appropriate action can be taken to protect the system if necessary,; Scientists have raised
  serious questions, however, about the appropriateness of applying atomistic scientific methods,
  such as risk assessments addressing a single hazard, to large complex systems in which synergy'
  between  individual effects may be occurring. Risk assessments generally do not provide guidance
  regarding appropriate actions when several hazards are  present simultaneously.

        LCA is designed to classify and quantify the flow of resources associated with an
 industrial activity. LCA extends the engineer's scope by considering source flows throughout a
 product's lifetime, both upstream (i.e., resources consumed) and downstream (i.e., wastes
 generated) when evaluating a process.  Using LCA, processes that reap local benefit but are
 globally harmful (or vice versa) can be identified, and alternatives can be devised.  The
 magnitude of data generated by even* simple LCA, however, can be daunting. Guidelines are
 needed to reduce these data to a manageable set of indicators of performance.  Also, LCA
 generally  does not provide decision-makers with enough  information to choose alternative
 processes reflecting a variety of changes in environmental effects.  Developers of an important
 component of LCA, called impact assessment, recommend using other impact assessment tools
 (e.g, human and ecological risk assessment) in conjunction with LCA to help assess and develop
 environmental improvement opportunities.

       Process design/substitute assessment, unlike risk assessment and LCA, does address
tradeoffs among competing alternatives.  This method reflects how designers and managers
develop modes of action in the face of competing objectives and conflicting and uncertain
information.  Process design/substitute assessment focuses on the development of "use clusters"
                                          -11-

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within an industrial process, elements of which can be used interchangeably to accomplish a
specific task. Process design/substitute assessment uses some LCA principles, identifies particular
indicators of performance and cost for each member of a use cluster, and ranks the members
according to their potential for environmental risk.  Such a ranking, however, reflects the
strategic objectives of the participants; such objectives may conflict with one another among
different stakeholders. In addition, this method does not outline which strategy is most
appropriate.

       All three of these analytical methods are powerful tools, but none provides a
comprehensive method for environmental ranking.  Each method relies on information .outside of
its field of expertise  to address the issue of valuation and ranking of risks, lliis issue is further
complicated when interested stakeholders have different concerns. In the end, analytical
methodologies alone, such as those described here, cannot resolve the problem of environmental
 risk and impact ranking. Procedural methods-how the information developed in analytical
 methods is applied-are at least as important an element in the development of risk valuation
 methods as analytical methods. To a large extent, the compatibility of analytical methods with
 the institutions that will be making procedural decisions will determine the success of risk
 ranking methods.                                                          ,

        Panel members then described the risk assessment, LCA, and process design/substitute
 assessment methodologies in more detail, as presented below, addressing the following questions:

        •      What is the methodology (i.e., what problem does it address, what is it based on,
               what is not addressed)?
        •      How is the method used (i.e., what are the data and analytical requirements,  what
               expertise is needed)?
         •     What are the strengths and weaknesses  of using the methodology to evaluate
               environmental performance?
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   Basic Principles of Risk Assessment and Related Issues

         Dorothy Patton ofEPA's Risk Assessment Forum said that risk can be addressed in many
   ways, and that the paradigm in which risk is described must be clearly identified.  She presented
   EPA's approach for addressing risk and discussed issues that should be considered in conducting
   a risk assessment.

         In 1983, the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) provided a definition of risk
  assessment which EPA has used to develop risk assessment guidelines and for other purposes.
  The NAS defined risk assessment in terms of characterizing adverse effects of human exposure to
  environmental hazards. While this assessment of risk is scientific, NAS also recognized
  nonscientific issues associated with risk, including analysis of perceived risk, comparisons of risk,
  the economic and social implications  of regulatory actions, control options, and technological
  feasibility.  The NAS defined these nonscientific areas as risk management, which is part of the
  overall process in considering risk.

        Over the past 2 years, EPA has been working on a comparable paradigm for ecological
  effects.  While differing somewhat from the human risk assessment paradigm,  the ecological
 approach uses the same basic process for characterizing chemical or nonchemical stresses or
 exposures.  Other methodologies, however, might define these issues differently.

       The NAS system focuses on information derived from scientific studies  in the laboratory
 and the field.  In the risk assessment process, information is collected from many scientific
 disciplines-biology, chemistry, geology, statistics, modeling, and science policy-to  produce a
 risk characterization that is used with relevant nonscientific information to reach decisions on
 environmental hazard and control options.

       This risk assessment system incorporates information on exposure and effects
Information on effects is obtained from laboratory work as well  as from human studies, usually
occupational exposure studies. These studies define effects such as cancer, birth defects and
neurological effects; examine whether an association exists between effects and  exposure to a,
                                          -13-

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particular chemical; and identify the level at which those effects occur. Some uncertainty,
however, always is associated with such information.                                .

       Information on environmental exposure involves studying populations (human and other
systems) that might be exposed to chemicals at levels of concern. Since animal and
epidemiologic studies often are based on populations exposed to very high levels, the actual
exposure level people experience in everyday life should be compared carefully with the high
exposure levels of these studies, and the known combination of effects and exposure levels should
be examined. Environmental exposures may be low and the level at which effects occur high.  In
this case there is little basis for concern.  In other situations, however, exposure might exceed
 the level at which exposures are known to cause effects in well-studied populations (e.g, animals,
 occupational exposure).  While few would dispute that a risk exists in that case, a debate might
 arise regarding how to control the risk.                                           ;

        When the levels of everyday exposure and effect are close to the known levels that might
 result in risk, determining just how close the exposed population is to the risk levels is difficult.
 In these cases, the uncertainties typically result in controversy regarding what the risk really is.
 Often a debate ensues about what to do given the information available, and more study is called
 for.

         While this risk assessment methodology examines hazard in terms of controlled animal
  and human studies with a known combination of exposed organisms and effects (or a lack of
  effects), it also studies exposure levels for the general population, including ambient levels,
  exposure through diet, and the duration of exposure.  All this information, including
  uncertainties and assumptions in the  analysis, is combined to characterize the risk.

         Policy also is a major factor in risk assessment. While not part of the original NAS
  paradigm, policy involves making choices regarding how  to handle uncertainties in the risk
  assessment process.  The policy choice that people are most keenly aware of involves the use of
  animal data to provide information about humans. EPA, other regulatory agencies, and many
  others in the scientific community use information from animal studies to make assumptions
                                              -14-

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   regarding exposed humans in comparable circumstances.  Others, however, do not believe that
   animal studies should be used to make predictions about human health.

         Another policy choice in the risk assessment process is which pDpulation to study.  If the
   average population is characterized, the assessment will include a larger number of people but a
   smaller risk.  If higher risks are studied, a smaller number of people will be characterized.
   Should studies focus  on special subpopulations, such as children, the elderly, or the
   disadvantaged?  Such decisions, however, often are not identified as policy issues in the risk
  assessment process.

         To summarize, the risk  assessment process involves two areas.  The first area is scientific
  information (e.g., human studies, animal .studies, studies of subcellular  systems, genetic studies
  metabolic studies, chemistry, and data on ground-water movement) used to describe effects,
  potential exposure,  and the relationship between them. EPA guidelines and the NAS process
  call for gathering all this information and analyzing the total situation.  In describing risk, both
  qualitative and quantitative information is used, and there is always uncertainty.  The second
  area is policy: the labeling of assumptions and policy choices involved in the risk assessment
 process.

        The source of the risk assessment information also is important.  An assessment should
 be based on all relevant scientific disciplines and all available studies  on a particular topic (e g
 not just one study of the LC50 of a chemical or one study on tumors in one population)  The   '
 source of information also  includes the perspective from which the risk assessment has been
 conducted (e.g., a regulatory agency, industry, environmental group, or academia). Another
 factor is the scope of the risk assessment in terms of expertise and cost. A 10-year, multibillion-
 dollar dioxm study, for example,  is not comparable to a 3-day monitoring study at a Superfund
 site.

       Finally, for any ranking system, risk assessment terminology must be defined because of
the many different meanings and uses of the term risk.  The elements  involved in risk perception
assessment, management, and ranking must be clearly, described.
                                          -15-

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Life Cycle Assessment                                                          ;

       Frank Consoli of Scott Paper Company said that life cycle assessment (LCA) originated
as an engineering approach to classify and quantify the flows of resources associated with an
industrial activity. Life cycle assessment is a cradle-to-grave system encompassing raw material
acquisition through impact of a product.  For bath tissue, for example, LCA would include an
analysis of harvesting and forestry practices, manufacturing processes, distribution and
transportation, use and maintenance, reuse, and waste management (e.g, recycling, composting).

       LCA can be viewed as a three-step process.  The first step in LCA is the inventory stage,
 in which the environmental burdens associated with a system are evaluated by identifying and
 quantifying, where possible, energy and material usage and releases throughout the entire life
 cycle. Approximately 90 to 95 percent of people conducting LCAs agree on most of the
 methodologies available for this type of evaluation.

        The second stage of LCA is the impact assessment, which involves using the information
 from the first stage to assess the overall environmental impact of the materials and releases. The
 third stage of LCA can be thought of as the improvement stage; the goal is to enhance
 opportunities for environmental improvement.

         LCA began in the early 1970s as an inventory methodology, which then expanded to
  include impact assessment and improvement.  Many companies and other organizations now try
  to use LCA in a variety of ways. Attempts to evaluate products through LCA must begin with a
  systems analysis. A simple industrial system analysis includes a definition of the system itself
  (e.g., what is occurring in the system), the system environment, and the boundaries of the system.
  The goal of the LCA inventory phase is to examine a system's inputs and outputs across
  boundaries. Relevant inputs typically include raw materials and  energy, and outputs include
   emissions, effluents, and the product itself.

          When first developed, the LCA impact assessment method involved simply adding up the
   various elements; many people believe, however, that this method is not scientifically valid. The
   sheer  magnitude of data generated by even the simplest of these evaluations can be .daunting,
                                             -16-

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   and guidelines must be developed to reduce these data to a manageable set of performance
   mdrcators. Current approaches under development involve defining types of impacts and impact
   categories and identifying areas that are not included in the assessment. In this way, a
   framework for impact assessment is set and the scope of the assessment is limited to a workable
   number of measurable categories of major impacts. The three main impact categories identified
   are:

         •      Human health
         •      Ecological health
         •      Resource depletion

  Social impacts  (e.g., the creation of towns, roads, and other infrastructure to support a product's
  manufacture) also may be an important category in some systems.

        A process known as characterization can translate the information from the inventory
 phase (e.g., emission types in pounds) into impact areas. Risk assessment or other scientific
 approaches can assist in impact categorization and analysis.  Details of the characterization
 process are beyond the scope of this discussion.

        Once impacts are known, a valuation process is critical in deciding what actions to take
 Because values might change over time and with a different set of people, the focus should be on
 defining a valuation method, rather than values themselves, using decision-making theories and
 processes.

       Currently, the goals, inventory stage, and first phase of classification involved in impact
 assessment are fairly well defined.  Other aspects of impact assessment have been defined only
conceptually, and improvement analysis  has not yet been documented. Tfce Society of
Emaronmental Toxicology and Chemistry (SETAC) and others are working to standardize life
cycle protocols.
                                          -17-

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      LCA is more than a means to make broad, public marketing claims, according to Mr.
ConsolL Life cycle assessment has the power to change the way product design is viewed
conceptually.


Process Design and Substitute Assessment

       libby Parker, ofEPA's Design for the Environment Program, discussed the background
 of the program.  A few years ago, BPA's Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxics (OPPT)
 streamled its program for easting chemicals to focus resources earner in the research process
 on chemicals with higher risk.  This effort integrated all the disciplines and areas needed to
 identify and evaluate risk management options-factors s«ch as risk assessment, performance,
 and cost  The result was a means to screen and organize information about a single chenucal
 across  different use categories. Tnis is important because risk management options and exposure
 scenarios both vary depending on use category.

        The next step was to focus on alternatives within a use category.  Ihis effort was in part a
  response to industry "leapfrogging- from one chemical to another.  That is, when one chenncal
  becomes regulated, industry typically substitutes a different chemical, resulting in an inefficient
  way to expend society's resources. Thus, from a regulatory point of view, EPA began.developmg
  a way to examine substitute chemicals a, the beginning of an analysis  and to determine whether
  industry should be encouraged to use a different chemical or, when a less toxic substitute is no,
  available, to manage a particular risk better.  This method, known as  the m ctoer m-fc* is a
  way to organize complex information, no, necessarily to provide definitive answers; the valuafon
  process (e.g., cost-benefit analysis) must follow this screening method.

         BPA has been examining multimedia risk issues in a regulatory context for some time.
   These issues are complex, and the tradeoffs often are difficult to sort out (e.g., between human
   heal* and ecological risks).  One of OPPTs goals is to provide public access to risk informauon
   by working with various industry groups using EPA's methodology to elucidate tradeoffs under
   specific circumstances. The use cluster method is based on the assumption that a set of
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Richard Leukroth
Biologistfioxicologist
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW
Washington, DC 20460
202-260-7319
Fax: 202-260-1216

Steven Lewis
Toxicology Associate
Exxon Biomedical Sciences, Inc.
MettlersRoad(CN-2350)
East Millstone, NJ  08875-2350
908-873-6063
Fax:908-873-6009

 Kathryn Lindquist
 Director of Marketing
 Taylor-DeJongh, Inc.
 2000 M Street, NW - 7th Floor
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-775-0899
 Fax:202-775-1668

 John Markham
 Senior Program Officer
 International Development
 Research Centre
 250 Albert Street
 P.O. Box 8500
 Ottawa, Ontario K1G3H9
 Canada
 613-236-6163
 Fax: 613-567-7748

 James McCarron
  Director
  TNT Technology Company
  2121 West University Drive
  Suite 123
  Tempe, AZ  85281
  602-966-9891
  Fax: 602-968-9469
Douglas McTavish
Director,, Great Lakes Regional Office
InternationalJoint Commission
100 Ouellette Avenue
8th Floor        ,
Windsor, Ontario  N9A6T3
Canada
519-257-6715
Fax:519-257-6740

Jed Meline
Chemical Engineer
Economic, Exposure and
Technology Division
 Design for the Environment Program
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW(TS-779)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-0695
 Fax:202-260-0981

 Harry Milman
 Senior Science Advisor
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (TS-796)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-1292
 Fax: 301-871-5586

 Bruce Mintz
 Chief, Exposure Assessment &
  Environmental Fate Section
  Human Risk Assessment Branch
  U S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW(WH-586)
  Washington, DC 20460
  202-260-9569
  Fax: 202-260-5394

  Victor Morgenroth
  Principle Administrator
  Environmental Health and
  Safety Division
  Organisation of Economic
  Co-Operation and Development
  2  Rue Andre-Pascal
  75775 Cedex 16
   Paris, France
   33-1-4524-9775
   Fax:33-1-4524-1675
Cheryl Morton
Manager, Government Relations
SOCMA
1330 Connecticut Avenue, NW
Suite 2IOO
Washington, DC 20036
202-822-6758
Fax: 202-659-1699

Claudia O'Brien
Design for the Environment Program
Office of Pollution
Prevention and Toxics
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW (TS-779)
Washington, DC 20460
202-250-0688
 Fax:202-260-0981

 Deborah Oberst
 Director, Product Stewardship
 Environmental Health and Safety
 General Ellectric
 One Plastics Avenue
 Pittsfield, MA 01201
 413-448-4827
 Fax: 413-448-6550

 Libby Parker
 Chief
 Design for the Environment Program
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW  (TS-779)
 Washington, DC 20460
  202-260-0686
  Fax: 202-260-0981

  Lynne Patenaude
  Proji2Ct Engineer
  Solid Waste Management Division
  Environment Canada
  Ottawa, Ontario K1AOH3
  Canada
  819-997-3718
  Fax:819-953-6881
                                                  B-4

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   Stephen Greene
   Corporate Environmental Manager
   Polaroid Corporation
   575 Technology Square - 1A
   Cambridge, MA 02139
   617-577-4106
   Fax: 617-577-2052

  Mark Greenwood
  Director, Office of Pollution
  Prevention and Toxic Substances
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW(TS-779)
  Washington, DC 20460
  202-260-3810
  Fax:202-260-0981

  Wayne Hansen
  Group Leader
  Environmental Science Group
  Los Alamos National Laboratory
  P.O. Box 1663 (MS-J495)
  Los Alamos, NM 87545
 505-667-3331
 Fax: 505-665-3866

 Trisha Hasch
 Conference Manager
 Eastern Research Group, Inc.
 110 Hartwell Avenue
 Lexington, MA 02173-3198
 617-674-7321
 Fax: 617-674-2906

 Bill Hoffman
 Project Manager
 Corporate Manufacturing
 Research Center
 Motorola, Inc.
 1301 East Algonquin Road
 Room 1014
Schaumburg, IL 60196
708-576-7739
Fax:708-576-2111
  Yoshitaka Hoshikawa
  Director
  Japan Chemical Industry Association
  3-2-6 Kasumigaseki
  Chiyoda-ku
  Tokyo, Japan
  81-3-3580-1381
  Fax:81-3-3580-1383

  Gary Hurlburt
  Toxicologist
  Surface Water Quality Division
  Michigan Department of
  Natural Resources
  P.O. Box 30273
  Lansing, Ml 48909
  517-335-3312
  Fax: 517-373-9958

  Fran Irwin
  World Wildlife Fund
  1250 24th Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20037
 202-778-9646
 Fax: 202-293-9345

 Michael Jayjock
 Rohm and Haas Company
 727 Morristown Road
 Spring House, PA 19477
 215-641-7480
 Fax: 215-283-2554

 Allan Astrup Jensen
 Head of Department
 Department of Environmental
 Impact Assessment
 dk-Teknik
 15 Gladsaxe Mollevej
 DK-2860
Soborg, Denmark
45-3-969-6511     .   ,
Fax: 45-3-969-6002
   Patrick Kennedy
   Supervisory Chemist  .
   Office of Pollution     ;
   Prevention and Toxics
   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
   401 M Street, SW (TS-779)
   Washington, DC 20460
   202-260-3916    '
   Fax: 202-260-0981    j

   Raymond Kent
   Chemist
   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW(TS-778)
  Washington, DC 20460
  202-260-7974      ,  '•.
  Fax:202-260-1216

  Gregory Keoleian
  Assistant Research Scientist
  National Pollution
  Prevention Center
  University of Michigan
  Dana Building
  430 East University
  Ann Arbor, Ml 48109-1115
  313-764-3194
  Fax:313-936-2195

  Richard Kimerle
  Senior Fellow          !
  Monsanto Corporation   ,
 800 North Lindbergh Boulevard
 St. Louis, MO 63167
 314-694-3286
 Fax:314-694-1531

 Celeste Kuta
 Procter and Gamble
 Ivorydale Technical Center
 Cincinnati, OH  45217        :
 513-627-4849          :
 Fax:513-627-6291      ,-.

 Leslie Lake
 Research Toxicologist
 S.C. Johnson & Son, Inc.
 1525 Howe Street
 Racine, Wl 53403
414-631-2955
Fax: 414-631-3752
                                               B-3

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Murray Cohn
Division Director
U.S. Consumer Product
Safety Commission
(HS-590)
Washington, DC  20207
301-504-0994
Fax:301-504-0124

Frank Consoii
Manager of Packaging Technology
Scott Paper Company
Scott Plaza 2
Philadelphia, PA 19113
215-522-5467
Fax:215-522-7132

Cristina Cortinas De Nava
Advisor
 Institute Nacional de Ecologia
 RioElba20,Piso14
 D.F., Mexico 06500
 525-553-97-04
 Fax: 525-553-97-53

 Joseph Cotruvo
 Director
 Chemical Screening and
 Risk Assessment Division
 Office of Pollution
 Prevention and Toxics
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (TS-788)
 Washington, DC  20460
 202-260-3442
 Fax: 202-260-1216

  Bruce Cranford
  Program Manager
  Office of Industrial Technologies
  U.S. Department of Energy
  1000 Independence Avenue, SW
  Forrestal Building
  Washington, DC 20585
  202-586-9496
  Fax:202-586-7114
Gary Davis
Center for Clean Products and
Clean Technologies
Energy, Environment and
Resources Center
University of Tennessee
327 South Stadium Hall
Knoxville.TN  37996-0710
615-974-4251
Fax:615-974-1838

Patricia Dillon
Research Associate
Center for Environmental Management
Tufts University
474 Boston Avenue
 Medford, MA 01860
 617-627-3486
 Fax:617-627-3084

 Richard Drawbaugh
 Director
 Environment, Safety &
 Occupational Health
 Human Systems Center/XRE
 2510 Kennedy Circle
 Brooks AFB.TX 78235-5120
 210-536-4466
 Fax:210-536-4475

 Gordon Dumil
 Chairman, United States Section
 International Joint Commission
  1250 23rd Street, NW-#100
 Washington, DC  20440
  202-736-9000
  Fax:202-736-9015

  Roger Ferenbaugh
  Program Manager, Research &
  Development
  Environmental Management Division
  Waste Minimization/
  Research & Development
  Los Alamos National Laboratory
  P.O. Box 1663
  (EM-DO/MS-K572)
  Los Alamos, NM  87545
  505-667-0811
  Fax: 505-665-8195
Robert Ferrone
Digital Equipment Corporation
111 Powder Mil! Road
(MS02-3/B16)
Maynard, MA 01754
508-493-5146
Fax: JiOB-493-8353

Fran k Field
Director, Materials Systems Laboratory
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
77 Massachusetts Avenue
Room E40-227
Cambridge, MA 02142
617-253-2146
 Fax:617-253-7140

 Daniiel Fort
 Section Chief
 Chemical Engineering Branch
 Office of Prevention
 Pesticides & Toxic Substances
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW(TS-779)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-1694
 Fax:202-260-0981

 Roger Garrett
 Director, Senior Scientist Staff
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (TS-796)
 Wasihington, DC  20460
 202-260-1256
  Fax: 202-260-1283

  Emma Lou George
  Environmental Scientist
  Office o-f Research and Development
  Risk Reduction Engineering Laboratory
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  26 West Martin Luther King Drive
  (MS-466)
  Cincinnati, OH 45268
  513-569-7578
   Fax: 513-569-7549

   Barbara Glenn
   7407 Birch Avenue
   Ta!tomaPark,MD 20912
   301-585-8955
                                                    B-2

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                     Evaluating Cleaner
      EPA
Workshop on Identifying a Framework for the Future
of Human Health and Environmental Risk Ranking
Washington, DC
June 30-July 1,1993

Participant List
  Braden Allenby
  Research Director
  Technology and Environment
  AT&T
  131 Morristown Road (B2176)
  Basking Ridge, NJ ^07920
  908-204-8440
  Fax: 908-204-8217

  Victoria Allies
  President
 TNT Technology Company
 2121 West University Drive
 Suite 123
 Tempe, AZ 85281
 602-966-9891
 Fax: 602-968-9469

 EarleAmey
 Assistant Chief
 Branch of Materials
 U.S. Bureau of Mines
 810 Seventh Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20241
 202-501-9580
 Fax: 202-501-3747

 Abby Arnold
 Facilitator
 Resolve
 1250 24th Street, NW
Washington, DC  20037
202-778-9653
Fax:202-293-9211
             Zebra Aydin
             Transnational Corporations and
             Management Division of the
             United Nations Department on
             Economic and Social Development
             2 United Nations Plaza
             Room 2002
             New York, NY 10017
             212-963-8811
             Fax:212-293-9211

             JackAzar
             Manager, Environmental Design and
             Resource Conservation
             Xerox Corporation
             800 Phillips Road
             Building 317
            Webster, NY  14580
            716-422-9506
            Fax: 716-422-8217

            Donald Barnes
            Staff Director
            Science Advisory Board
            U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
            401 M Street, SW(A-101)
            Washington, DC  20460
            202-260-4126
            Fax: 202-260-9232
  Dennis Berry      :
  Manager, Environmental
  Technologies Support Office
  Sandia National Laboratories
  P.O. Box 5800
  Department 6602
  Albuquerque, NM 87185
  505-844-0234
  Fax:505-844-8170

  Gregory Biddinger
  Ecotoxicology Associate
  Section Head Ecotox Consulting
  Exxon Biomedical Sciences
  Mettlers Road (CN-2350)
 East Millstone, NJ 08875-2350
 908-873-6030
 Fax: 908-873-6009

 Nicolaas Bouwes
 Economist
 Office of Pollution
 Prevention and Toxics
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW(TS-779)
 Washington, DC 20460 !
 202-260-1567        :
 Fax: 202-260-0981

 Claudette Cofta
 Chemical Manufacturers Association
 2501 M Street, NW     ;
 Washington, DC 20037
202-887-1278
Fax: 202-887-1237
                                                                        > Printed on Recycled Paper
                                         B-l

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    APPENDIX B
LIST OF PARHdPANTS

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Agenda-Page Two
 WEDNESDAY   JUNE 30 (continued)
       11-15AM   PANEL SESSION IIMNSTITUTIONAL APPLICATIONS
                 MODERATOR: Bob Ferrone, Digital Equipment Corporation
                          ,  rt  i                                  ....  Sven-Olof Ryding
                 Volvo Scoring System .......................... Federation of Swedish Industries
                                                                           Axel Wenblad
                                                          AB Volvo Corporation Headquarters
GW System ...........
Michigan Critical Materials Register
        12-.15PM   Lunch
          1:15PM
          3-.OOPM
          3:30PM
          4:30PM
      5:00-6:OOPM
      6:00-9:OOPM

      THURSDAY
         7:OOAM
          8:30AM
        10:OOAM
          10-.15AM
          11:OOAM
   12:00-1 :OOPM
           1:15PM
          2:15PM
           2:30PM
           3:15PM
           4:30PM
          5:OOPM
Issues in Ranking and Scoring Systems Development

Breakout Sessions
Break
Breakout Sessions (continued)
Adjourn
Reception
Administrative Assistance for Breakout Groups

 JULY 1
 Continental Breakfast
 Facilitated Panel Session—Question 1
 Break
 Question 1 (continued)
 Facilitated Panel Session—Question 2
 Lunch
 Question 2 (continued)
  Break
  Facilitated Small Group Discussion-Question 3
  Facilitated Discussion
  Wrap-up
  Adjourn
                                                                    ...... Barbara Glenn
                                                              George Washington University
                                                            Gary Davis
                                                                         CteanTecMogles
                                                                    University of Tennessee
                                            A-2

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   EPA
                              * Framework for the Future
            Health and Environmental Risk Ranking
Washington, DC
June 30-July 1,1993
                Agenda


    TUESDAY   JUNE 29

   6:00-8:OOPM   Advance Check-in

WEDNESDAY   JUNE 30

      7:OOAM   Continental Breakfast and Check-in

       8.-30AM   Welcome Address	                                 :
                                	Mark Greenwood
               c  ....                                                     U.S. EPA
               Facilitator Introduction
                                  	AbbyArnold

      8:45AM   PANEL SESSION MJSER NEEDS
               MODERATOR: Franlrwin, World Wildlife Fund

               ProductandProcess Design	

               _  t                                            Motorola Corporation
               Purchasing	
                             	Arthur Weissman
              _   , ,.                                                 Green Seal
              Regulations/Legislation....
                                      	Richard Kimerle
                                                              Monsanto Corporation

                                                        _  .  ,,       Mark Rossi
    9:45AM   Break                                      Tox,cs Use Reduction Institute


    10:15AM   PANEL SESSION II-METHODS FOR EVALUATION

              AERATOR:  Frank Field, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
              RiskAssessment....
                                  	•	Dorothy Patton
             i» *.  ,                                                   U.S. EPA
             Life Cycle Assessment....
                                    	 FrankConsoli
                                                             Scott Paper Company
             Process Design/Substitute Assessment
                                             	 Libby Parker
                                                                     ; U.S. EPA
                                   A-l

                                  (over)
                                            ) Printed on Recycled Paper

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   APPENDIX A
WORKSHOP AGENDA

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APPENDICES

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       •      Further develop a risk ranking framework.

       •      Further develop methods for assessing and ranking risks and impacts.

       •      Identity data requirements and gather information.

       •      Disseminate information on existing systems.

       •      Reach consensus on:

                     common language/definitions
                     impact categories/criteria
                     valuation procedures

       •      Develop case studies.

       •      Expand the steering committee (to perform specific tasks, such as developing a
              work plan, and to include broader representation, e.g., from additional industries,
              small businesses, more NGOs, user groups, and international perspectives).


       An important aspect of this workshop, said a workshop participant, was that people

working on different types of systems, such as life cycle analysis, design for the environment, and

risk assessment, have convened. Maintaining a liaison among these people is key to developing

an effective risk ranking system.
                                          -58-

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U.S. and European governments have not invested a lot of money into these areas.  Instead,
pollution prevention has been consumer-driven, industry has seen the value of this work, and
governments have promoted it. Industry might want to retain its partnership in this area, rather
than shift pollution prevention to the regulatory arena.

       An electronics industry member said that this industry is moving forward in the area of
pollution prevention and risk ranking in part because the industry is driven by ISO, Germany, the
Netherlands, and Sweden,  While the United States generally is far behind in its environmental
regulatory approaches, a recently proposed amendment would base EPA's budget priorities on
scientific elements of environmental risk rather than on public perception. In the short term,
EPA should determine whether resources are available to organize another workshop.  In the
long term, EPA must determine how the Agency will participate in whatever framework or
system is established, and where resources will come from for developing a national
environmental strategy.
      Foster Public-Private Partnerships

      EPA and industry need a sense of partnership to ensure a risk ranking system's i success,
said a workshop participant.  Once the tools have been developed, a partnership could be
encouraged through case study applications or workshops on use of the tools.  Finally, the
formation of a group of experts representing the various environmental risks or impact criteria
was recommended to monitor specific data needs and to ensure that the data arid framework
components work together.       ,                      .
CONCLUDING REMARKS

       Workshop facilitator Abby Arnold summarized the broad recommendations of workshop
participants:
                                          -57-

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             Examine industrial metabolism studies.
             Identify institutional barriers.
             Analyze inventory data of the LCA or EPS models, identify the issues and
             problems associated with the data, and determine how to work with the models as
             they evolve.
      Legislative Reform

      Legislative reform is necessary to earmark resources for pollution prevention and risk
ranking activities because priorities conflict with some existing environmental laws, said a
workshop participant.  In addition, EPA policy reforms are needed to move from an agenda
driven by legislation to a set of priorities focusing on risk ranking or life cycle analysis. Only
after legislative and policy reforms are made can a specific plan of implementation, including
funding and other resources, be developed for a risk ranking system.

       In the absence of legislative and policy changes, would industry and other institutions still
use a risk ranking framework, asked a workshop attendee. An Exxon employee said that his
company already uses such  a framework and would continue to do so, even though perhaps 80
percent of the company's environmental resources are directed toward regulatory compliance
rather than innovations such as pollution prevention. Legislative reform might shift the balance
more toward innovation. According to another workshop participant, pollution prevention
systems might be valuable even in the current legislative climate because of customer preference.

       Legislation typically determines priorities, regardless of how certain issues rank as relative
 risks, one participant said.  But as risk-based decision-making is emphasized and definitions of
 risk and other important concepts are incorporated into a risk ranking system, then legislation
 and policy might move in that direction.  Also, a substantial, ongoing financial commitment for
 this work is necessary, said a participant.

        Illustration of early successes can help move risk ranking and pollution prevention
 forward without a major financial commitment, someone commented.  Legislative mandates have
 not sparked the development of risk ranking and life cycle assessment,  another participant said;

                                           -56-

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         Training
        EPA could train system users to ensure that they understand the system and how to apply
  it.  The training should decentralize the pollution prevention process by preparing users to return
  to their own organizations and use the system for their own applications.  Flow charts for users
  could be developed, outlining step-by-step procedures.  Individuals with expertise in specific areas
  could develop different parts of the flow charts.
        Communication and Information Exchange

        Users of a risk ranking system should participate in developing the system's framework,
 said one group. In addition, the system should incorporate international input and acceptance
 from the beginning; otherwise, some countries could follow a completely different track than the
 system being developed. A final recommendation by this group was to identify one or more
 institutions that could act as a standards organization to ensure consistency and incorporate
 future improvements of the system to keep it viable.
       Development of a National Strategy: A Workshop Series

       Initiating a workshop series focusing on formulation of a national strategy similar to the
Dutch approach, among other issues, was recommended by another group. The Dutch
environmental policy plan, created by government, industry, and nongovernmental organizations
(NGOs), establishes the goal of achieving a sustainable national economy by the next generation.
The plan includes programs for measuring the performance and/or toxicity of materials, policies
for different sectors, covenants, and specific goal-oriented projects.

       Other workshops could be held to:

       •     Reach agreement on risk ranking terminology.
       •     Develop a broad system similar to the EPS system.
                                          -55-

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      Separate Framework Development from Data Ranking

      As a risk ranking system is being developed, the process of creating a framework should
be kept separate from the process of ranking data, one group suggested.  Otherw-se, the
     r   r		i w.. n*+0rvmtin
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         Detailed Assessment Procedures

         Another group recommended focusing on developing a detailed procedure for assessment
  and dedszon-making rather than screening, since screening procedures already exist and the
  elements of screening are not as critical. Once a better system for detailed assessment is
  developed, the elements in this system could be incorporated into screening procedures.



        C^*te Relationship Between sustainable Development and PO

        Perhaps a multidisciplinary advisory group could address the relationship of sustainable
 development to pollution prevention work, one group suggested.
       Consensus on System Components

       A group recommended reaching a consensus on categories for environmental impacts and
on valuauon procedures, even though no, every category or criteria would be used in every
assessment,  Jndustry, regulators, and environmentalists migl,, choose different criteria, J,
everyone would agree that the criteria all belong in the overall system.                  ;

      Other system components to be developed include:
             A mechanism to measure progress.                                     :
             A method for developing benchmarks.
                                         -53-

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framework. Also, the scientific data base should begin to be compiled, focusing initially on
identifying existing data and needs rather than pursuing new data collection.
       Review of Existing Systems

       A short-term next step suggested by another group was to collect data and disseminate
 information on existing tools and assessment methodologies for both life cycle and environmental
 assessment, focusing on procedures to consider in future system development (see Appendices I
 andK)  Risk and impact criteria should be defined from these state^f-tiie-art procedures. This
 information, which should be disseminated before another meeting is convened, would serve as a
 benchmark in developing a risk ranking system. Also, existing statistical and modeling techmques
 should be evaluated to determine whether they might help fill data gaps.
        Case Studies

        A workshop could be held to study hypothetical case studies of different existing systems
  to identify problems and successes and to learn how the systems work to specific circumstances.
  One case study could focus on the internal needs of a company, another could prioritize
  resources in a government program, and a third could evaluate confer products. Areas could
  be identified in which data are needed and where classification schemes and criteria could be
  harmonized.
         Assessment of Valuation Procedures

         A workshop could be held to identify and evaluate valuation approaches. One method
   might be to focus on tiers (e.g., low, medium, and high) rather than numerical rankings. All
   subsequent workshops should have an international focus, most groups agreed.
                                             -52-

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                                                                                      have
                Develop strategic action plans based on the issues discussed at this
                                                 "«** — ^ies, addition^
         Another group recommended a workshop to develop a conceptual framework document
  for people to use and critique. A goal of such a workshop would be to reach consensus on a
  conceptual framework, as well as on associated terms and definitions. To prepare for such a
  workshop, adequate knowledge of existing systems and how they are used would be needed This
  workshop, which could take place within a year, in turn would lead to additional workshops on
  an overall, global ranking system. For example, a subsequent workshop should focus on
  developing a comprehensive chemical ranking and scoring system.  Approximately 40 such
  systems currently exist.

        The framework should include logical building blocks for ranking as well as
  comprehensive criteria for selecting relevant areas and adding others, according to one group
  Specific scientific data should be compiled separately. The framework could include  an online
  data base of:                                                                     ;

        •      Information on experts in various, relevant fields
        •      Centralized information on existing methodologies and data bases
        •      Ways to  access the data

 The system should be broad and include end user options that a flexible framework could
 address in a single, comparative ranking. The framework and scientific data base together would
 guide pollution prevention and ranking applications.

       This group also identified short-term next steps for achieving the system they described
A first-cut scoping process should be performed to develop  the framework. The focus should be
on developing generic tools that can be used for a variety of applications. Perhaps the
framework should be defined for a single application and then broadened into a generic
                                          -51-

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       This six-step process hopefully would encourage a diversity of groups to use the system.

The ultimate goal is to move toward a national or international standard so that people evaluate

risks in the same way, make similar assessments, and reach similar conclusions on how to

minimize and ameliorate environmental impacts.                     \
       Framework Development: Strategic Action Plans


       The overall goal is to create a framework or tool for decision-making that enhances

environmental quality, said one group member; development of a risk ranking or scoring system

is not an endpoint in itself. Another workshop should be held to develop a conceptual

framework further.  The next steps recommended by this group were:


       B      Gather and disseminate information about existing systems and other baseline
              information prior to the next workshop.

       •      Develop a draft model or working papers for a conceptual framework. Circulate
              it in advance of the next workshop for critique at the meeting.

       B      Discuss the following issues at the meeting:

                     Develop an overall model built on existing frameworks (e.g., LCA, EPS,
                     the Dutch national environmental policy).

                     Clarify system applications and users, including how different user groups
                     would use the model.

                     Develop feedback mechanisms to enhance a decision-making tool.

                     Identify data requirements, including whether existing data are appropriate
                     and available, what new data is needed, and whether different data sets
                     can be used together in one model.

                     Identify institutional barriers (e.g., current regulatory policy); integrate
                     institutional components (e.g., international systems, ISO standards) as
                     well as economic and social issues.

                     Establish  partnerships and stakeholders:  Who should the partners be?
                     What public-private and international partnerships should be developed?
                      Should further work be coordinated by one organization or a consortium
                      of groups and which ones?  Who will be responsible for ongoing work,
                                            -50-

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         Develop a more detailed framework, through a conceptual framework committee
         or another means.  In developing the framework, address issues such as:

               the role of exposure in a ranking system                     :
               social issues
               specific evaluation techniques
               making the framework flexible so it can be modified for different uses

        Validate the framework, once established,  through case studies that test its
        boundaries. Determine whether the model works for large-scale goals, such as
        national policy planning, as well as small-scale  applications, such as choosing
        specific materials to manufacture a product.  Publishing these case studies could
        provide valuable incentives for continuing pollution prevention and risk rankine
        work.                                                         ,

        Develop methods to test the system's success (i.e., whether it has accomplished
        short- and long-term goals).
 Centralized Coordination, Development of a Draft Risk Ranking Model for Review


 Another group identified six steps in a risk ranking process:


 •     Establish a central coordination center administered by EPA or another
       organization to develop one or more generic conceptual framework(s) for
       evaluating health and environmental consequences of products and processes.

 •     Gather all relevant information from state, local, and federal governments,
       industry, academia, and international organizations.  (Sweden's compilation of 70
       data bases should be included in the collection.)

 •     Develop a draft risk ranking model for further evaluation.

 •     Hold additional workshops to critique the draft model and propose modifications
       as appropriate to address outstanding issues.

•     Submit a refined model to stakeholder groups for review, including public interest
       groups, academia, industry, government, and anyone else interested in the results
       beek feedback from these people on the model's usefulness.

•      Distribute the risk ranking model to user groups for evaluation Provide
       assistance on how the system works and can be adapted to specific situations
       This step would be continuous, with ongoing feedback between the system's
       developers and users  to improve the model.
                                    -49-

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goal must be addressed. Methods must be developed to evaluate whether the process is working.
If human health is not at the core of the system, said another attendee, the system probably has
less chance of being used; if socioeconomic issues are not addressed in the system, decision-
makers will be less inclined to use it.
Next Steps; Breakout Group Recommendations

       An important goal of the workshop, according to Libby Parker, director of EPA's Design
for the Environment Program, was to produce a plan of action—a concrete series of next steps.
The workshop should be a catalyst for further action. The workshop first ifocused on what type
of risk ranking system would be useful for making decisions and identifying problems (e.g., data
gaps, .data quality). The next task was to plan how to develop this system further, including
identifying possible next steps, such as whether additional meetings should be held and what
 topics they should cover. Summarized below are workshop participants' recommended next steps
 for further developing a risk ranking system.
        Development of a Work Plan, Validation of the System

        While many diverse points of view were expressed at the workshop, fundamental
 agreement was reached on the principles and the overall framework of a risk ranking system.
 The process of developing such a system involves defining the purpose and scope, which leads to
 an overall assessment. In the assessment phase, one can begin with the assessment and move on
 to a value system, or begin with a value system and move on to the assessment. Then
 improvement opportunities are considered, which could lead back to the beginning of the
 process. The process is iterative.

         One group suggested several specific next steps, including:

         •     Develop  a work plan based on workshop participants'  recommendations and
               disseminate this plan (either through another workshop or by mail) to workshop
               attendees for feedback.  The Steering Committee should take this step.
                                            -48-

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        A risk ranking system should provide a set of tools for different levels within an economy
  to help understand the manifestations of risks and to control them at the appropriate level most
  efficiently, another participant said.  This process, while it is extremely complex, is what must be
  done to move toward sustainability.  The Bureau of Mines, for example, is examining industrial
  metabolism studies (mass flow balances across an industry or industries, such as cobalt in the
  superconductor industry) of various metals within the global economy. This examination goes
  beyond wriat most LCA analyses presently do. The question remains:  How do we integrate
  these types of studies and impacts and develop policies to reduce risk as a whole?

        Another person commented that the definition of LCA seems to be evolving. While
 some see it as a tool  to bring sustainable development to the forefront, others see LCA as a local
 decision-making process at the corporate level.  Used effectively, LCA can lead to policy
 decision-making from the bottom up.  LCA also can be used to demonstrate that a business-as-
 usual approach is not working and to help define sustainable development.  The real solutions to
 environmental problems probably will take place at the national or international level; LCA
 cannot address this level, but is moving in the right direction. Sustainable development will take
 time.

       If risk ranking is a direct tool for sustainable development, the elements of sustainable
 development should be defined, said a workshop participant. Another workshop member
 responded that developing a risk ranking system was complex enough, and this workshop focuses
 on further development of such a system or systems.  Once this occurs, then the issue of
 sustainable development should be addressed. Another participant said that risk is different
 from sustainable development; depending on how sustainability is defined, some risky processes
 and industries  might be sustainable.                                              .
                                                                               !
       The effect of inadequate data on LCA also was raised, Because of the paucity of data,
 most LCAs would be conducted on default values.  Selection of these default values, therefore, is
 important.
       An attendee emphasized the importance of validating a ranking system or model once it
has been developed.  Whatever the goal—sustainable development or lowering the incidence of
disease in a public health context—the question of whether the model actually accomplishes the

                                          -47-

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       •     Information dissemination to consumers
       •     Monitoring and regulatory support

       In addition, the system should allow the user to divide impacts iinto more specific
classifications and perform analysis within impact categories, said the Group IX representatives.
Also, a common set of principles should be established that can be applied to both the chemicals
approach and the materials/products approach, although the actual procedures for each might
differ.  The group also felt that the criteria list should be quite extensive; even if not all the
criteria are used, this comprehensive list would serve as a safety net. 'The group recognized,
however, that making choices and decisions becomes  increasingly difficult as more criteria are
added to the system.

       Group IX also recommended that the framework explicitly recognize the limitations of
life cycle assessment. The likelihood is small that any given product sysfStn contributes in a
major way to a global or even regional problem. Since a particular product system is just one
small part of a larger scheme, a single life cycle assessment will not allow for global  decision-
making. From a societal standpoint, the implications of numerous life cycle analyses need to be
synthesized to understand the global impacts.

        Finally, people in Group IX involved in chemical ranking thoujght that consideration of
life cycle information in a chemical ranking system would be a useful and significant extension of
 current systems.
        Discussion on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a Risk Ranking System

        The impacts of risk ranking on company viability were discussed.  Large corporations are
 threatening to stop buying from small businesses unless they become part of a quality control
 program.  In the face of such demands, small companies now could be asked to rank chemicals
 and design new products differently with extremely limited technical resources.

        According to a workshop participant, one group's conclusion that human health effects
 are more important than ecological effects really is a valuation issue to be decided at the end of
 the ranking and scoring process, rather than at the start.
                                             -46-

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         Group VIH identified the purposes of a risk ranking system as:

         •     Protection of human health, with a secondary level of protecting all living
               organisms
         •     Empowerment of industry to make environmental decisions
         •     Reduction of the use of toxic chemicals
         "     Promotion of sustainable development
         •     Examination of alternatives for long-range planning

        Regarding criteria, the group noted that different types of people will rank criteria
 differently; what the government ranks first might be ranked last by the public. This
 phenomenon presents an interesting problem.

        Group VIH also identified three ways that pollution prevention can contribute to
 sustainable development. The first is to replace  a nonrenewable resource with a renewable
 material, if possible.  The second is to find a nonrenewable resource that is not as scarce as the
 original material, if a suitable renewable resource cannot be found. The third method is to
 eliminate the use of the material altogether, if possible.  If the scope of life cycle analysis is
 broad enough, according to this group, sustainability could be included in it because LCA
 evaluates all possible substitutions.

       Group IX focused on the philosophy and psychology behind risk ranking.  The group felt
 that consistency of thought process was important in providing a systematic evaluation method
 regardless of whether the goal is chemical ranking or assessment of a product or process. The
 ranking system should provide a systematic procedure for thinking about what will be considered
and how. The ranking system also should be part of a decision-making.framework. The system
would need a broad set of generic uses, including:

       •      Product development
       •      Evaluation of processes from a risk perspective
                                          -45-

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decide whether to undercoat with a polymer or another material, but it will not influence
whether Volvo continues to make cars.

       Another respondent said that two parameters pull together the diverse issues regarding
chemicals or materials used versus types of product use. The first is that, .given access to the
same generic data, both types of investigations could be conducted. Hie socond is the time
element—whether one is seeking results immediately or into the next century will in part
determine the focus of an analysis.

       A participant expressed concern about narrowing the focus of pollution prevention to risk
reduction opportunities  because this limits the scope of action. Another person commented that
the EPS system superimposes a broader global framework of identifying priority issues on the life
cycle assessment concept, thus allowing this modified LCA to measure impacts on priority issues
involved in sustainability.  In contrast, LCA used outside the EPS system only focuses on impacts
without identifying priorities.
 Breakout Groups VII, VIII, and IX

        Presentations on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a Risk Ranking System

        Group VII focused on criteria development using a "simple" example and a more complex
 example.  The simple example was a single chemical with multiple uses; the more complex
 example was a use cluster and multiple chemicals or materials.  For the simple example, the
 group concluded that, taking a global view, risk ranking itself will-not be able to accomplish
 pollution prevention. Chemical substitution becomes a subset of evaluating design options and
 alternatives because the substitution affects the entire product development process.  For the
 more complex example, the group felt that a framework incorporating a life cycle analysis should
 be developed that would evaluate all alternatives, not only chemical substitutes—a holistic
  approach to identifying options. The application or use of a particular chemical or material is
  the primary driving force in defining the scope of the analysis.  The EPS system moves toward a
  holistic approach by examining the relationship between technical and socioeconomic issues.
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  ranking methodologies.  Opportunities for pollution prevention could then be incorporated into
  the analysis. Much more detail would be needed when specific activities are considered. Public
  policy applications, however, probably would need to be more complex from the start, since they
  require a state or multistate focus rather than concentrating on a single company.    '

        A cooperative agreement between EPA and industries or individual corporations was
  recommended to identity problem areas and possible improvements. Someone suggested that
  more emphasis be placed on changing the end use of a product rather  than focusing only on
  changing the material or substance used in manufacturing that product. Another participant
  responded that design and manufacture have been the focus rather than use, based on an
  assumption that end users are indiscreet in their handling and use of products.  Marketing
  strategies can be used, however, to promote certain products.  For example,  energy usage during
  the lifetime of a product may be a selling point even though it is external to the actual
  manufacture of a product. In this way, usage can be brought into a life cycle analysis.  The
  question still  remains whether changing the use of products  can be emphasized, thus placing
 more responsibility on the end user to prevent pollution.

       The issue of where to place risk highlights two concepts of risk,  a workshop participant
 said. The first is a very localized concept that involves various specific methodologies. The
 second is a broader concept of risk that involves .determining what prevents us from moving
 toward sustainability as an economy. For example, a localized approach to risk for automobiles
 would evaluate issues such as how automobiles are manufactured, and the use of solvents in
 paint. But this approach does not  address sustainability issues such as the amount of fossil fuel
 that automobiles consume, the living patterns they have fostered, the impacts of paving large
 areas for driving, and the resources used.  While it is important to address localized risk, unless
 risk ranking is put in the context of achieving sustainability, the seriousness of the problem is not
 addressed fully.                                                      :       f

       Someone responded that perceiving life cycle assessment as localized is a misconception;
global questions, such as ecological health and resource depletion, are very much involved in
examining improvement opportunities, for functional use.  Another individual  disagreed, saying
that LCA does not address the larger issues of whether economies can be sustained using the
level of resources that we have been using on national or global scales.  LCA might help Volvo

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correctly ranked high in one use category and low in another. Activities in which pollution
prevention and risk reduction opportunities exist should be targeted, rather than focusing only on
where the greatest need (or risk) exists. This is supported by the fact that little legislation exists
for pollution prevention because it is a cross-media concern, according; to this group; therefore
EPA must look toward  corporate decision-making to accomplish pollution, prevention rather than
using the traditional regulatory approach to define what is in the best interests of society.

       Group VI also felt that the decision-aiding aspects of a ranking system should be
emphasized more than  specific methodologies for ranking because corporations need to focus on
decision-making in pollution prevention activities.
       Discussion on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a Risk Ranking System

       A workshop participant commented that Group V seemed to imply that two separate
 systems  should exist-a chemical-based and a process-based system-yet the group also said that
 the chemical-based system would fit into the process-based system. A Group V member clarified
 that the group identified two basic purposes—priority-based and process-based—rather than two
 separate systems, and recognized that the final system would need to be capable of being used in
 both ways.

        Another participant commented that the chemical-oriented approach seems to allow an
 evaluation of process, because once a particular chemical is identified as a risk, the focus is on
 pollution prevention techniques associated with that chemical's use or use cluster.  One is then
 working in a different framework.

         The distinction between two types of ranking applications is a,n  important one, said a
  workshop participant. One application is priority setting or screening,  and the other is decision-
  making.  The screening application requires much less stringency regarding data quality and the
  process in general because the implication is that there will be further  analysis. For decision-
  making, much greater care must be taken because the ranking can eliminate or select products.
  Another participant concurred that for prioritizing purposes, a ranking system could be simpler,
  and that the emphasis would be on understanding where the risks are  rather than on distinct

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          Group V thought that chemical risk ranking systems would be part of life cycle analyses,
   that the purpose of a risk ranking system varies depending on the organization and its goals, and
   that no single ranking system can achieve everything. While a ranking system should be designed
   to meet the needs of a specific organization, it still should be generic, said the group's
   representative. Its purpose could be defined by a set of elements, such as exposure, function,
   cost, and toxicity, which would be harmonized. The group's concept of harmonizing involved'
   using criteria identified for each purpose in any subsequent life cycle analysis, resource
   prioritization, or alternative evaluation.  Group V also raised a philosophical question regarding
   a ranking system: Is a product considered innocent until proven guilty, or guilty until proven
  innocent?

         Group VI first assumed that the goal was to develop a single, generic system that could
  be adjusted to incorporate different purposes. As discussion continued, however, the group
  concluded that a ranking system could have two fundamentally different purposes, each of which
  would result in the design of different systems in terms of components and functionality.  The
  first purpose would be to identify high-priority needs for pollution prevention (e.g., current risks)
  The second purpose would be to identify pollution prevention opportunities (i.e., areas  of
  greatest risk reduction potential). The GW and Michigan systems seem to excel in prioritizing
  areas for action. The EPS system seems to address achieving pollution prevention.  Very
  different systems will be developed depending on which of these goals or functions the system is
 to accomplish.

        People who are most concerned about prioritizing needs or identifying risk levels tend to
 focus on chemicals, while process-oriented people are more concerned with pollution prevention
 opportunities, said the group representative. The prioritizing approach focuses on concerns of
 the general public, and the process approach emphasizes the corporate perspective. Whether
 action occurs at the corporate level  or in a regulatory setting, public concerns should be
 incorporated.  With a process-oriented approach, financial considerations and health risks are
 emphasized more than with the prioritizing approach.

      Individual chemical risks must be evaluated in the context of their specific uses since the
uses define services, and pollution prevention involves  the way changes are made in providing
basic services, said the Group VI representative.  The group thought that a chemical might be

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prioritization (e.g., human health versus resource depletion). Developing countries probably will
not have the resources to act on all the environmental fronts identified  While human health
would take precedence in these countries, developed countries might address all the
environmental categories.

       Participants discussed whether techniques used in other disciplines (such as sociology and
economics) should be considered as scientific methods and included in the risk assessment stage
of risk ranking. People agreed that at the risk assessment stage, reaching a broad-based
consensus is the goal; small groups of people who conduct risk management at the regional or
local level can focus on more specific issues.

       The issue of whether a  ranking scheme can be used across use categories was raised (e.g.,
materials used in automobile manufacturing versus pesticide use in food production).  One
participant responded that as a prioritization tool for resource allocation, a ranking scheme could
probably be used across use categories; another said that much more subjectivity would be
involved in ranking across uses, A third respondent stated that a ranking system is tailored to
one use category, but that if a linkage can be found between categories, then the system can
become a single ranking.
Breakout Groups IV, V, and VI
                                           \
       Presentations on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a RiskRanldng System

       Group IV concurred with other groups that the framework for a ranking system needs to
be broad and generic enough to be used for ranking and scoring of specific chemicals as well as
for comprehensive life cycle impact assessments.  The framework needs to be useable for
multiple purposes and by different types of users.  Socioeconomic issues should not be ignored
completely, this group suggested; links between different areas of concern (e.g., technical and
societal) should be explored. Agreement might be reached best at the largest level of
aggregation, such as the purpose of the system.
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       •     Human health
       •     Ecological health
       •     Aesthetic values
       •     Resources                                     '
       •     Energy use
       •     Indirect potential risks
       "     Unknown risks

The last category, unknown risks, describes detrimental effects that are not measurable or
quantifiable resulting from a particular process. In comparing two alternative production
processes, one might want to use the process without any releases, even though a particular
detrimental effect cannot be associated with the release.

       After the general risk categories are defined, matrices or lists of criteria would be
developed to identify further potential impacts associated with a particular process. The specific
process being evaluated then would need to be examined closely to determine whether additional
criteria should be added. The group strongly suggested that results or rankings should not  be
       f  *              • ,     ' - *  *  (' '  » . f -" '   _    '     ,'.     *• "'.  t' '•*••'•    - -     '
aggregated between individual categories.  While aggregation might be possible in  some cases, it
would not work in others. In the final analysis, however, one must examine all the rankings from
all the risk categories  and criteria, and mesh them with political considerations to  make a final,
informed, rational decision on how to proceed.
       Discussion on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a Risk Ranking System

       The relationship of a ranking scheme to societal issues (such as jobs and health) needs to
be clarified, and its relationship to cultural issues should be acknowledged, said a workshop
participant. Risk ranking frameworks might differ between countries, given different valuations
between resources and societal needs.  Someone responded that, first, the ranking scheme is
specifically an environmental tool, and thus societal issues should not be part of the framework.
Second, societal values would be expressed through the different stakeholders, who influence

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      •      The framework needs to be generic enough to enable decision-making at both the
             global and local levels and to accommodate the different priorities and issues
             identified by various groups.
      •      The system should contain rules for making rational and consistent decisions
             based on available information.
      •      The system should enable prioritization of environmental issues.
      •      The system should be a vehicle for resource allocation (e.g., money, jobs, natural
             resources), which is very important for government agencies and companies.

      Regarding risk and impact criteria, Group H emphasized the importance of respecting
categories specific to various fields (e.g., chemicals should not be ranked along with waste
impacts) at this stage in the development of a risk ranking system.  At this initial stage, the group
felt that different ranking and assessment methods should be established for different criteria
categories (e.g., human impact, ecological impact, resource use), and that these methods should
remain separate rather than be aggregated.   Also, stakeholders with different values about
technologies, processes, improvements, and/or resources need a model that enhances different
types of decision-making, said the group's representative. Rather than a single ranking system
with a list of the 100 most important items, users need techniques and methods to weigh and
rank different impacts or risks.

       These models  and techniques should have a clearly defined purpose and scope, which
would direct the other steps and methods in the process, such as further defining the scope of
the analysis and identifying areas for further study.  The first part of the method should be based
on scientific protocols, analogous to risk assessment  (see Figure 1 in Aj>pendix J); and the second
part, similar to risk management, should allow stakeholders to rank and valuate the information
from the first step (see Figure 2 in Appendix J). The group felt that these two steps could not
be joined. This two-tiered process would lead to identification of improvement opportunities and
control options and would facilitate decision-making.

       Group m thought a generic model that included all potential impacts would be most
useful; these impacts  could be tailored for a particular purpose.  In developing a generic model,
the group felt that specific criteria would be difficult to define; insteacl, more general risk
categories first could be defined, such as:
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 BREAKOUT SESSIONS

       A representative from each of the nine breakout groups summarized their discussions on
 the purpose, framework, criteria, and next steps for a risk ranking system. Three groups at a
 time gave presentations on purpose, criteria, and framework, followed by a discussion among all
 workshop participants. All breakout groups then presented recommendations for next steps in
 developing a risk ranking system, interspersed by questions and discussions from the entire
 workshop group. A summary of these presentations and discussions follows.
Breakout Groups I, II, and III

      Presentations on Purpose, Criteria, and Framework for a Risk Ranking System

      Group I identified several purposes of a ranking system, including:

      •     Providing a means to demonstrate and measure success.
      •     Communicating and educating the public, companies, government, and others
             about environmental priority issues and prospective decisions.
      •     Helping to  balance short- and long-term environmental goals.
      •     Accommodating different levels of analysis, from screening to detailed decision-
             making involving the use of chemicals or raw materials.
      »     Assisting in evaluating tradeoffs.

      Group I also identified several important generic elements of a risk ranking framework:

      «     The system  should be flexible because future issues and forthcoming data sets are
            unknown. A dynamic system is needed that is able to incorporate new
            developments so that decisions can be changed when new information is available.
      •     The system  must be a practical tool that people find useable.
      »     The current framework for comparative risk assessment should be expanded by
            incorporating life cycle, cradle-to-grave impacts in addition to toxic chemicals.
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       •     What are some of the next steps that need to be taken to develop a framework
             for ranking?              •

       Ms. Arnold advised the breakout groups to begin by addressing the purpose of the
ranking system, which perhaps could be clarified by asking, what is the framework being
developed?  Should it be an international or national framework?  Should it be an industry
sector framework? Should it be for regulatory affairs or research and development?  Should
more than one framework be identified, depending on the application needed?

       Ms. Arnold suggested that determining the purpose also might involve identifying the
audience and understanding the results being sought. For example, is the purpose of the ranking
system or framework to assist design engineers in considering the environment, or to aid
environmentalists in considering technology? The purpose should be focused on pollution
prevention and on human health or environmental risk ranking, and leus focus should be placed
on environmental restoration or waste management, Ms. Arnold said. The focus should be on
including environmental considerations in the design of a product, a production process, or
valuation, rather than on how much cleanup is required at a site before it is considered to be
clean.  Good waste management, however, could help close the pollution prevention cycle, since
the whole lifecycle of chemicals or products is being examined, from cradle to grave.

       After defining the purpose of a ranking system and framework, the breakout groups
should identify criteria for at least one framework. In determining what criteria should be used,
the breakout group should consider the role of different interested parties, such as industry,
labor,  or environmentalists, and ask what the criteria should be. The groups' would then try to
address the other questions posed regarding problems, obstacles, work needed to develop
criteria, and .next steps, including the issues raised by Mr. Davis, such as types of impacts,
measures of exposure,  data gaps, and aggregation of impacts. Different breakout groups
probably will return with different approaches, perspectives, and methodologies, Ms. Arnold said.
She also asked each breakout group to designate one member as a reporter who would
 summarize the group's discussions when the entire workshop group reconvened.
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 impact valuation every time he or she designs a product, and thus aggregation may be
 appropriate for a ranking system used for this purpose. But if a system is used for regulatory or
 policy purposes, then the decision to aggregate or not is a political one; aggregation may or may
 not be appropriate depending on the type of decision to be made.  We must realize that a
 perfect, scientific approach to aggregation and weighting cannot be devised.
 Conclusion

       Mr. Davis concluded by emphasizing that the development of a comprehensive human
 health and environmental risk ranking and scoring system is in its infancy.  An appropriate
 framework for such a system is only beginning to be addressed.  Most people agree that simple,
 readily usable tools are needed. The issues of aggregation of impacts and of whose value system
 (e.g., the scientific community, the general public) is used in the valuation process are very
 important.  The number of chemical ranking and scoring systems being developed has
 proliferated; perhaps a consensus based on such systems can result.  A chemical ranking and
 scoring system can be a component of a comprehensive human health and environmental risk
 ranking system.
INTRODUCTION TO BREAKOUT SESSIONS

      Abby Arnold, workshop facilitator, said that the goal of the breakout sessions was to
attempt to answer several questions, including:

      •      What is the purpose of the ranking system?
      »      In developing a framework for a ranking system, what criteria should be included?
      •      What are some of the problems associated with developing a ranking system?
             What are the obstacles for using certain criteria?
      »      What work needs to be done to develop the criteria and to address the problems?
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scoring systems because site-specific risk assessments are not conducted for these systems.
Surrogates for exposure frequently are used, such as the amount of chemicals released into the
environment, the use or production of chemicals, and measures of environmental fate, such as
persistence and bioaccumulation.  Similarly, with life cycle impact assessment, it is very difficult
to be site-specific given the complex nature of product systems, and thus surrogates for exposure
are used. People often refer to life cycle impact assessment as an attribute of a product system,
but life cycle impact assessment also is a means of measuring environmental impact.
Missing Data

       How missing data is handled is a critical issue for both chemical ranking and scoring
systems and life cycle impact assessments.  The issue of data gaps is especially important for life
cycle impact  assessment because this type of system is more data-intensive than chemical ranking
and scoring systems, and yet much less data are available for life cycle impact assessment.  Also,
the broad measures of environmental impact in life cycle assessment are not typically tested or
regulated (e.g., global warming).

       Approaches to missing data vary widely among different systems.  Some systems use the
most sensitive indicator to determine impact.  Other systems provide alternative indicators of
impacts from which one can choose or default to a particular indicator if data on other indicators
are not available.  Some systems use quantitative structure-activity relationships to fill data gaps.
This approach involves  determining the  likely toxicity of a chemical, based on its chemical
structure, using models and expert judgment. Whatever type of system is developed, the issue of
missing data must be considered.
 Aggregation and Weighting of Impacts

        A major issue is whether the many widely divergent impacts considered in relative risk
 ranking systems should be aggregated across impact categories.  Whether or not to aggregate
 depends on the purpose of the system. A designer of a product does mot want to undergo

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 Purpose of the System

        To a large degree, the purpose of the system determines how the system is developed.
 Chemical ranking and scoring and life cycle impact assessment have had very different purposes.
 Chemical ranking and scoring systems have been developed for regulatory purposes, priority
 setting, and occasionally for impact assessment.  Examples of chemical ranking and scoring
 systems for regulatory purposes include the Superfund Reportable Quantities System, the
 Michigan Critical Materials Registry, and the GW system. The EPA Use Cluster Scoring
 System, developed for evaluating substitute chemicals, is an example of a priority-setting system,
 as is the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry's system for ranking priority
 chemicals at Superfund sites in the United States, and a Dutch system for priority setting.  Life
 cycle impact assessment systems also have been developed for a variety of purposes, including
 product improvement, which is a primary goal, product design (such as the Environmental
 Priority Strategies, or EPS, system used by Volvo), setting public policy, and environmental
 labeling.
 Selection of Health and Environmental Impacts

       The different impacts included in a system are extremely important. All systems divide
 impacts into two categories—human health and the environment. With chemical ranking and
 scoring systems, only the direct toxic effects of chemicals are included, whereas in life cycle
 impact assessment, additional types of impacts are included, such as ozone depletion, global
 warming, acid rain, eutrophication of lakes and streams, and oxygen depletion of water. Since
 chemical ranking and scoring is an important part of life cycle impact assessment, the two
 different systems could converge in some areas.
Measures of Exposure

       Measures of exposure are critical because risk is determined by exposure as well as
toxicity. Certain generic measures of exposure are included in most chemical ranking and

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concerns should have been dealt with all along. The goal of pollution prevention must be kept in
mind as ranking and scoring systems are developed; these systems are tools to achieve this goal.

       Several years ago, the University began working with EPA's Risk Reduction Engineering
Laboratory in Cincinnati on a project involving safe substitutes for toxic chemicals. To conduct
evaluations of potential substitutes, a priority list of chemicals was needed. The staff began
developing a ranking and scoring system, since no consensus existed. This system is still being
developed, as is most everyone else's system. This workshop is important because it is one of the
first meetings attended by people developing a chemical ranking and scoring system as well as
people involved in life cycle impact assessment. One goal of the workshop is to bring these two
groups of people closer together.

       EPA has been evaluating chemical ranking and scoring systems to improve the Agency's
methodologies. It has identified over 40 such systems that are in use or have been developed for
a wide variety of purposes.  EPA also has been involved with SETAC in developing of a
methodology for life cycle impact assessment. Common issues exist between chemical ranking
and scoring systems and life cycle impact assessment, and these issues must be addressed in
attempting to develop consensus, scientifically and otherwise, for a uniform framework and
methodology.  These common issues include:

       •     What is the purpose of the system?
       •     What human health and environmental impacts are included in the system?
              Should potency and severity of effect be included?
       •     What types of measures of exposure are included in the  system?
       •     How is missing data handled in the system?
       •     Should the different impacts be aggregated and weighted?

       Each of these issues is discussed briefly below.
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 Without specific data, product designers have difficulty commenting on the system; they simply
 say, "that's interesting," and "come back when you have the data." Another point made was that
 ranking of environmental risks or impacts could vary for different industries (e.g., the automobile
 versus the paper industry) and this variety should somehow be incorporated into a ranking
 system.

       Three criteria for the development of an environmental risk ranking system can be
 identified, said one panelist:

       •     Corporate commitment to environmental protection must exist.
       •     The system must be a tool that answers the users' questions, not only the scientists'
              questions.
       •     The system needs to be readily usable and understandable.

       Panelists also raised the issue of regulatory versus nonregulatory motivations for industry
 to implement pollution prevention. Companies might be motivated to adopt a life cycle-based
 philosophy if proposed product-related legislation would affect them, as is the case in Sweden.
 Instituting life cycle and risk ranking approaches before legislation is passed might cost
 companies less than figuring out how to comply with regulations after their passage.  Tools such
 as risk ranking and life cycle analysis, according to several participants, gradually are changing
 the way people think about product development.
ISSUES IN RANKING AND SCORING SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT

       Gary Davis of the Center for Clean Products and Clean Technologies at the University of
Tennessee gave a presentation on issues commonly encountered in developing risk ranking
systems (also see his paper on this subject in Appendix I).  Development of risk ranking systems,
he said, is a revolutionary approach to protecting the environment.  For years, pollution has been
addressed by controlling the discharge of pollutants from the end of the pipe and out of the
stack. With the pollution prevention approach, environmental concerns are beginning to be
addressed in the board room and at the designer's drawing table; perhaps this is where such
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information from suppliers who might have been affected by the pollution prevention measures
instituted.  Thus, in the process of ranking these chemicals, data is being stimulated for
reevaluation.
PANEL RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS

       In responding to questions from workshop participants, some panelists said that the
greatest impact of ranking systems likely will be in the design of products and processes.  Other
panelists emphasized that, in addition to the toxicity and environmental fate of chemicals, other
factors must be considered in a ranking process; decisions are made based on the relative rank of
all factors (e.g., costs as well as benefits).

       If a substance or group of substances has a known high risk, some panelists suggested it
should not even be included in a ranking system. Instead it should not be used at all if
alternatives are available; corporate policy can support such decisions.  Panelists also
emphasized that an international ranking system should be a goal; currently risks often are
ranked on a national scale.
       Panelists stressed the need for a system that can be replicated on a daily basis by industry
staff, since experts cannot be consulted.each time an environmental category must be evaluated
and ranked.  Thus, background data needs to be provided to system users. In addition,
institutional learning must be built into a ranking system, allowing for feedback from within an
organization (e.g., does the system actually provide a meaningful way to make decisions and/or
provide answers that make sense to the people using the  system?) as well as beyond an
organization (e.g., does a feedback mechanism exist to determine whether the system is helping
to improve the environment?).

       A workshop participant responded that a feedback loop does erast; once companies have
been identified as having a large use or release of a hazardous substance  or product, these
companies tend to look for alternatives to reduce the use or release.  Also, at Volvo, providing
actual data to designers has been an important feedback  mechanism for the EPS ranking system.

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 data and the use data can be used in the risk estimation process. To this end, the register has
 stimulated annual compilations of use and environmental release data, particularly for water.
 This information has been used as a comparison to and supplement for EPA's Toxic Release
 Inventory (TRI). Every Michigan business that discharges wastewater to the waters of the state
 must file an annual report on the use, discharge, and disposal of chemicals.  In Michigan,
 approximately 200 businesses report TRI information and 4,600 report information to the Critical
 Materials Register. The combined information from both data bases provides a much more
 comprehensive representation of potential exposure to hazardous chemicals  in the Michigan
 environment.
       The register also has been used to develop a list of hazardous wastes in Michigan, to
identify additional storage requirements for certain chemicals, to develop a ranking and scoring
scheme for contamination sites to supplement the Michigan Superfund program, and to enhance
pollution prevention efforts. Since the credibility of any program rests on acceptance of its
scientific validity, an advisory committee of environmental specialists from academia, industry,
government, and public interest groups reviews each step in the Critical Materials Register
process.

       The register has been used for pollution prevention efforts to estimate potential
exposures for particular chemicals. In a joint project between the Automobile Manufacturers
Association and the Michigan Department of Natural Resources, both TRI and Register data
were used to develop a list of chemicals recommended for pollution prevention opportunities in
the automobile industry. The chemicals and their volumes  released into the environment  were
used in an  assessment of potential exposure to identify which chemicals were used in large
quantities and/or were  released at levels of concern. A relative ranking of over a hundred
chemicals was developed based on this information as well  as hazard information and
environmental fate properties of the chemicals based on Register criteria.  Chemicals were rated
as, high, moderate, or low levels of concern.

       Based in part on the automobile industry's own list of chemicals, another list was
developed of over 60 chemicals that the industry will evaluate from a pollution prevention
perspective over the next 4 years. The list will then be reviewed, in part based on new

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in a ranking system simply because there are more data points to which a score is attributed. In
contrast, a chemical for which very little data exists often scores low in a ranking system, not
necessarily because it is not hazardous, but because the data base is so limited that a good
estimation of the hazard is  unavailable.
       To address this issue of data availability, the Critical Materials Register incorporates a
threshold approach.  In evaluating acute toxicity, for example, the system uses a dose-oriented
approach, but not the quantitative dose-response relationship typically used in the risk
assessment process to calculate acceptable permit limits or occupational exposures. The
register's dose information provides a threshold for ranking that identifies and characterizes a
hazard as slight, extreme, or somewhere in between.  The chemicals in the register meet
thresholds in a variety of categories, rather than a single numerical threshold level, since data
availability  might ftever be adequate to develop a numeric ranking scheme.

       The register evaluates carcinogenicity in a similar manner. Rather than examine potency
directly, the system reviews the relationship between the strength of the; evidence and the quality
of the data. The better the quality of the data, the higher the weight ol: evidence is ranked (e.g.,
a known carcinogen in humans would be ranked high). The lowest scores reflect evidence that is
only suggestive (e.g., data from animal studies  only, rather than human  studies, for a chemical
that is a tumor promoter rather than an initiator of cancer).

       Since toxicity has been studied in much greater depth than environmental fate, the latter
presents  greater data quality issues in a ranking system. The Critical Materials Register uses the
categories of bioaccumulation and bioconcentration to develop values in the area of
environmental fate.  Data may be collected either in the field or in;a laboratory.  The register
also includes data on persistence, but in a simplistic manner because evaluation of persistence
data was poor at the time this scoring system was last revised in 1987.

       The Critical Materials Register, while not a complete risk estimation process,  does
provide a system for hazard identification  and exposure assessment.  Once this type of
information is compiled, it can be linked with use information, such as generation of a chemical,
discharge, disposal, environmental media,  and contaminant  type, and both the risk assessment

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control perspective that have been identified as contaminants in the Great Lakes Basin,
particularly the Great Lakes System. The register provides a methodology to screen or prioritize
thousands of chemicals that industry produces and uses.

       The register was developed in the 1970s because the state of Michigan saw a need, from a
regulatory standpoint, to reduce the number of chemicals of concern to a manageable size. After
the original register list of 73 chemicals was subjectively developed in 1971, department staff
wanted to remove the subjectivity in the decision-making process, provide consistency and a
framework for the selection of chemicals, and highlight properties of concern about chemicals.  A
decision-tree approach was initiated in 1977 for critical areas, such as carcinogenicity or acute
and chronic toxicity. By 1987, chemicals on the register were  selected from eight major areas:

       •      Acute toxicity
       •      Carcinogenicity
       •      Mutagenicity                                                           .
       •      Reproductive and development effects
       •      Bioaccumulation
       •      Other toxicity (including subacute and chronic toxicity, and phytotoxicity)
       •      Physical/chemical properties
       •      Environmental fate

       The register now is based on extensive review of the scientific literature for physical,
chemical, and lexicological properties of commercial chemicals., Chemicals reviewed include
those with well-recognized adverse effects or those of specific concern in Michigan. The review
process incorporates a hazard assessment methodology to develop a level of concern for each
chemical evaluated (see Appendix H).

       Sufficiency of evidence and data quality are common issues in any ranking system.
Certain chemicals, such as lead, cadmium,  arsenic, and polychlorinated biphenyls, have been
studied in great detail.  A chemical which has been researched extensively tends to score higher
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sunsetting if it scored high in:  (1) toxicity and release and/or production (excluding pesticides),
or (2) toxicity and persistence or bioaccumulation (including pesticides).

       Two general principles guided the GW system's development. First, chemicals that pose
the most hazard (1) are highly toxic (although not necessarily persistent) upon acute or chronic
exposure, and (2) could be released in large quantities. These chemicals pose risks through
short-term  intentional or accidental releases.  The second principle was; that hazards also exist
with other  types of chemicals from long-term, low-level exposures, such as the continuous release
from a frequently used household product or a continuous emission to the environment.

       The GW system has been used to evaluate a set of 45 chemicals, 19 of which are
generally considered hazardous and are subject to various management activities, and 26 of which
were chosen randomly from a set of 800 chemicals relevant to the Great Lakes Basin.  The
evaluation, based on various data sets, electronic data bases, and summary documents, found that
14 of the 19 chemicals identified as hazardous have already been targeted for use reduction and
selected as sunset candidates. Also, 3 of the 26 randomly selected chemicals had been selected
previously for sunsetting.

       An  advantage of the GW system is its simplicity.  A quantitative basis was omitted
intentionally from the system (i.e., the chemicals were not ranked numerically) so that the effect
and exposure endpoint that selected a chemical  as a candidate could be; readily identified.
Another advantage is the system's flexibility—a wide variety of data cart be used.  The greatest
limitation of the system is its data requirements. Approximately  10 of the 45 chemicals evaluated
thus far could not be scored because of a lack of data. Use of the GW system would be
optimized by access to a good computerized data system  with complete records on study design
and outcomes and by linking the system to a program designed to fill data gaps.
The Michigan Critical Materials Register

       Gary Hulburt of the Michigan Department of Natural Resources said that the Michigan
Critical Materials Register lists chemicals of high environmental concern from a water pollution

                                           -26-

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for sunsetting.  Sunsetting is the term used to identity particularly persistent, toxic chemicals for
restriction, phaseout, and eventual banning of their manufacture, use, transport, storage,
discharge, and disposal. Under the GW system, manufacturing processes and products are
considered, as well as individual chemicals, and specific time frames are set for performing the
sunsetting objectives.  Sunset chemicals are chosen based on an evaluation of their toxicity and
the potential for exposure to the chemical.

       Selection of chemical candidates is a two-tiered process. The first tier is the scoring
system, which involves specific criteria for exposure and toxicity.  A large number of chemicals
are reviewed, but not in depth; thus this tier is not resource intensive.  The second tier is.a
resource-intensive review stage in which a small group of chemicals are identified as sunset
candidates and data validating the selection of these chemicals are evaluated. Socioeconomic
considerations and alternative  products and processes also are reviewed.  The result of this two-
tiered assessment is a set of sunset strategies that are product- and use-oriented and guided by a
presumption of a ban.

       A variety of endpoints can be used to consider a chemical as a candidate for sunsetting.
Both exposure and effect parameters are included in the GW system, and both qualitative and
quantitative criteria are used to evaluate the parameters.   The exposure parameters are
bioaccumulation, persistence, and release and/or production volume, which are combined with
several effect parameters, which include:

       »      Ecological disruption.
       •      Acute and chronic aquatic toxicity (based on potency).
       •      Acute and chronic terrestrial and avian nonmammalian  toxicity (based on potency
              and an assessment of severity).
       •      Acute and chronic mammalian toxicity, including reproductive and developmental
              effects (based on a weight of evidence evaluation and on potency).

       The chemical being evaluated then is classified as a high, medium, or low hazard,  or as an
unknown hazard if no data is available. A chemical would be selected as a candidate for
                                           -25-

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expressed uncertainty about how to implement the new environmental polity, Volvo approached
the Federation of Industries and the Swedish Environmental Research ]Institute to help develop a
system that would meet the designers' needs (i.e., a system that is applicable in daily decision-
making).  Hie Volvo designers wanted an index that could be multiplied with a quantity or other
measurement of material to obtain an environmental value that would allow for comparisons
among various processes and materials. This led to the development of the EPS system.
Probably several such systems will be needed rather than a single system to achieve the desired
goals, said Mr. Wenblad.

       The EPS system has many potential applications, including strategic planning, product
design (as discussed above), process waste minimization, optimization of wztste recycling, and
environmental auditing. The goal of the EPS system is to identify the environmental impacts of
different materials and sources of energy. Average values or specific values based on data from
producers can be used. For a Volvo automobile, examples of these two basic inputs into the
system are the steel or aluminum used to construct the hood (materials) and gasoline required to
run the car (energy). Calculations also can be made for various types of fuels as energy options
(e.g., methanol, diesel,  and ethanol).  Other aspects can be factored in,  such as the state of the
economy and safety requirements.

       An example of using the EPS system for strategic planning is the comparison of
environmental impacts  of an electric car using an on-board gas turbine generator with that of a
current Volvo family car.  Additional  calculations can be made using the EPS system, such as
values for using different energy sources (e.g., gasoline, versus electrical energy from a power
plant using oil, versus electrical energy from a hydropower plant, versus energy from a
combination of these sources). The EPS system was used as a tool in the development of an
actual electric car.
The GW System
       Barbara Glenn of George Washington University (GW) discussed the criteria and system
that GW developed to identify chemicals in the Great Lakes Basin to serve as suitable candidates

                                           -24-

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       The first step—defining the study's purpose—is key to the EPS system.  If the focus is on
environmental load information, then an inventory analysis might suffice. If the focus is on
specific environmental impact categories, impact classification and characterization would provide
this information.  If the goal is to attempt a holistic environmental impact assessment, then
aggregation and valuation of impacts also are needed.

       Aft6r a materials and process inventory is conducted, the environmental load values are
calculated by first defining the unit effect of the activity being evaluated on each of the five
safeguard subjects.  The unit effects are then valuated using a method similar to the willingness-
to-pay concept (i.e., individuals or society decide how much money or effort they are willing to
allocate to avoid the environmental problems identified).  Because this step is associated with
monetary trends, aggregated information can be weighted. A value is then set that reflects any
changes in unit effects.  Finally, the change in safeguard subjects (i.e., change in the
                                                                        >
environment) resulting from a particular resource depletion, pollution emission, or human
activity related to product manufacturing is estimated.

       By quantifying environmental impacts of an activity, one can estimate the value of using a
given chemical or process or compare a product's overall impact with that of other products.
Since the EPS system can include actual costs, managers will find it useful.  Cost differences  can
be calculated using values such as whether cost savings or additional expenses will result from
various environmental improvements. In addition, public interest information (e.g., the
environmentally motivated degree of paper recycling)  can be included in this system.

       Information on uncertainty is then included in the process through sensitivity and error
analysis. Identifying which area has the greatest relative sensitivity (compared to another area
included in the analysis) may indicate that the reliability of certain types of information can be
increased.  Error analysis  can be used to identify the probability that the statistical significance of
one environmental impact is greater than that of another.

       In discussing the practical applications of the EPS system, Mr: Wenblad said that Volvo
developed an environmental policy in 1989 that was not entirely new to the company's
production and environmental staff, but was a new concept for design staff. When the designers

                                           -23-  .

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       The EPS system categorizes information on environmental impacts into five safeguard
subjects:
       •      Human health
       •      Biological diversity
       •      Production
       •      Resources
       •      Aesthetic values

       An important goal of the EPS system is to provide a simple way to weight environmental
impacts on these safeguard subjects based on a common scale represented by a single unit or
number. The system measures human health by excess death, morbidity, and nuisance (with
different values given to each). Biological diversity includes extinction and threatened extinction.
Biological production is measured by an activity's impact on the production of seed, meat, fish,
wood, or freshwater.  EPS measures natural resources based on resulting impacts on the other
safeguard areas if the natural resources consumed by an activity were restored.  Aesthetics are
valued on a case-by-case basis.

       The EPS system uses a stepwise calculation and assessment procedure, said Mr. Ryding,
and follows SETAC terminology: inventory analysis, impact assessment, and improvement
assessment. The process begins by defining the study's purpose. The next step is a material and
process inventory. Using numbers obtained in the inventory and information on impacts, a  table
of key environmental load indices is developed as an initial reflection of the impact of
construction materials and manufacturing processes on natural resources, raw materials,
emissions to air, soil, and/or water, and/or waste generation.  Environmental load values then are
calculated for use by product designers (environmental load index X quantity = environmental
load value).  The higher the environmental load value, the greater the environmental impact.
Sensitivity and error analyses also are then performed to avoid making; false conclusions because
of uncertainty of data.  The last step is to make comparisons and evaluations of environmental
impacts. The EPS process is discussed in more detail below.
                                           -22-

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The EPS Scoring System

       Sven-Olof Ryding of the Federation of Swedish Industries and Axel Wenblad of AB
Volvo Corporation described the Environmental Priority Strategies (EPS) system for product
design, which is a conceptual method for ascribing numeric values to various types of
environmental impacts included in life cycle assessments.  Overheads from Mr. Ryding and Mr.
Wenblad's presentations are provided in Appendix G. The EPS system supports an ongoing
Swedish project called the Product Ecology Project, which is being refined by Volvo and 11 other
companies. Mr. Ryding presented the framework for the EPS system and associated assumptions
in conducting evaluations. Mr. Wenblad then discussed the practical applications of the EPS
system.

      EPS developers identified specific criteria that environmental impact valuation methods
should meet, based on discussions with product designers and on international studies of
environmentally sound product development. These criteria,  which the EPS system strives to
include, are:

      •     A global approach (to address the international nature of raw material acquisition
             and trade), as well as a regional or local approach.
      •     Ability to replicate procedures (i.e., calculations should be able to be repeated
             with each valuation method).
      •     Allowance  for sensitivity and error analysis.
      "     Support and validation for judgments about  environmental effects.
      •      Flexibility (i.e., new scientific findings and inventory data should be incorporated
             easily).
      •      Transparency and consistency (i.e., all separate calculation steps should be clear).
                                          -21-

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information, energy impacts, resource conservation, global issues, or other areas that help
characterize a particular use application and associated tradeoffs. Thus, a use cluster assessment
of substitutes includes several tiers. This approach depends heavily on the development of the
science of comparative risk assessment.  The DfE program is conducting related pilot projects
with several industry groups.
PANEL SESSION HI:  INSTITUTIONAL APPLICATIONS

       As products become more complex, designers must reexamine ithe interplay between cost,
reliability, quality, and marketability for their products in the global marketplace, said Robert
Ferrone of Digital Equipment Corporation, moderator for Panel Session 1H. In today's
competitive climate, designers often must compress the timeframe in which a product is brought
to market.  Consequently, a plan for production and distribution must be developed as early as
possible in the product design stage.  The product development process is further complicated by
the need to consider global environmental factors.

       Given the lack of definitive decision tools in the area of environmental risk and impact
assessment, designers are learning to integrate environmental considerations into product design
by experimentation.  As a result, companies and researchers are beginning to develop their own
environmental ranking systems to assess the environmental risks and impacts of their products.
Three examples of ranking systems that have been developed by industry and researchers—the
EPS Scoring System, the GW System, and the Michigan Critical Materials Register—are
described below. Other ranking systems are discussed in several appendices (Appendices D, I, J,
K, L, and M). Panel members considered the following questions in their presentations on the
ranking systems they have developed:

        •     What barriers have slowed the introduction of ranking systems?
        •     Is it possible to develop an international  ranking system?
                                           -20-

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 substitutes exists for use in performing a function. Once a particular function is defined, which
 can be done in a variety of ways, a set of substitutes also can be defined, and a tradeoff analysis
 can be performed. Paint stripping is a good example of the importance of defining function.
 The set of substitutes for paint stripping is not the same for different types of uses, such as
 household and commercial use.  For example, sandblasting and other commercial techniques
 probably would not be used to strip paint off household furniture.

        Once function is defined, whether for processes or chemicals, different ways to
 accomplish the function often are identified that previously were ignored. In the case of dry
 cleaning, for example, the process of defining function has led to the consideration and
 evaluation of nonsolvent alternatives.  Focusing on the use cluster, or array of substitutes,  creates
 a kind of synergism that differs from more traditional approaches to pollution prevention  (e.g.,
 waste minimization in a particular technological area).  The use cluster approach also is useful in
 integrating a wide variety of issues (e.g., scientists' concerns with risk and industry's concern with
 accomplishing  a task). Use cluster analysis considers the type of people affected (such as  users
 of a product, manufacturers, environmental groups, and regulators) in examining a function and
 the variety of available options. Tradeoffs associated with a particular application are examined
 so that everyone can agree on and understand them.

       Use cluster analysis might involve  a quick compilation of known information or a study
 design to perform further work. In the printing industry, for example, products are being tested
 to generate actual performance data, and risk assessment and characterization professionals  are
 providing comparative risk information. The industry then can review this risk information and
 the concerns associated with a particular chemical  use; If, for example, industry wanted to use a
 particular chemical substitute  (e.g., terpene instead of a solvent) that has associated ecological
 risks (e.g., aquatic toxicity from terpenes), then industry might decide to use the substitute  but
 manage the accompanying risks.

       Some principles of life  cycle assessment are incorporated into use cluster analysis—risks
from the manufacture of a chemical, the product under consideration, the particular use
application, and examination of disposal methods.  In addition, information on control
mechanisms and alternatives are evaluated. Additional areas  also can be included, such as cost
                                           -19-

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  Dorothy Patton
  Executive Director and Chair
  Risk Assessment Forum
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW
  Washington, DC 20460
  202-260-6743                -
  Fax:202-260-3955

  Ward Penberthy
  Chief, Chemical Engineering Branch
  Office of Prevention
  Pesticides & Toxic Substances
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW(TS-779)
 Washington, DC  20460
 202-260-1730
 Fax: 202-260-0981

 Lena  Perenius
 Principal Technica^Officer
 National Chemicals Inspectorate
 P.O. Box 1384
 Solna, Sweden S-171 27
 46-8-730-5700
 Fax: 46-8-735-7698

 Peter  Preuss
 Director
 Office of Science Planning &
 Regulatory Evaluation
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M  Street, SW
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-7669
 Fax: 202-260-0106

 Beth Quay
 Director, Environmental Technical
 Affairs
 The Coca-Cola Company
One Coca-Cola Plaza
Atlanta, GA  30313
404-676-6629
Fax: 404-515-4280
  Peter Radeck!
  Coordinator
  EPA Center for Clean Industrial
  Treatment Technology
  Michigan Technological University
  1400 Townsend Drive
  Houghton, Ml 49931
  906-487-3143
  Fax: 906-487-3292

  Ann Robinson
  Advisor
  International Programme on
  Chemical Safety
  World Health Organization
  80 Quebec Avenue - #601
  Toronto, Ontario M6P 4B7
  Canada
 416-762-6488
  Fax:416-762-6488

 Mark Rossi
 Research Associate
 Toxics Use Reduction Institute
 University of Massachusetts @ Lowell
 One University Avenue
 Lowell, MA 01854
 508-934-3297
 Fax: 508-453-2332

 Sven-Olof Ryding
 Assistant Professor/
 Senior Scientific Advisor
 Environment & Energy Department
 Federation of Swedish Industries
 Box 5501
 S-11485
 Stockholm, Sweden
 46-8-783-8111
 Fax:46-8-662-3595

 Jacinthe Seguin
 Head, Programs & Policies
 Office of Waste Management
 Environment Canada
 Ottawa, Ontario K1A OH3
 Canada
819-953-1112
Fax:819-953-6881
  Jamine Sekutowskf
  Technical Manager
  AT&T Bell Labs
  P.O. Box 900
  Princeton, NJ 08542
  60,9-639-2501
  Fax: 609-639-2851

  Ken Sexton
  Director, Office of Health Research
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW(RD-683)
  Waishington, DC 20460
 202-260-5900
  Fax:202-260-0744

  Karen Shapiro
 Research Associate
 Tellus institute
 11 Arlington Street
 Boston, MA 02116
 6r/-266-5400
 Fax: 617-266-8303

 Anne Smith
 Vico President
 Decision Focus, Inc.
 1155 Connecticut Avenue, NW - #400
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-429-6506
 Fax: 202-466-3428

 Hum Sipitzer
 Associate Director
 ILSI Risk Science Institute
 112616th Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-659-3306
 Fax:202-659-8654

 Sharon Stahl
 Design for the Environment
 Office of Pollution
 Prevention and Toxics
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW(TS-792)
Washington, DC 20460
202-260-2718
Fax:202-260-1764
                                                  B-5

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Richard Thomas
Director, Toxicology and Risk
Assessment
National Academy of Sciences
2101 Constitution Avenue, NW
Room HA 354
Washington, DC 20418
202-334-2616
Fax:202-334-2752

Maria LivIaTosato
Doctor in Chemistry/Director of Research
Instituto Superiore di Sanita'
ViaieRegina Elena 299
Roma, Italy 00161
39-6-4990-790
Fax: 39-6-4440-140

Roger Tregunno
Department of the Environment
43 Marsham Street - Room A3-34
Romney House
London, England SW1P3PY
71-276-8326
Fax:71-276-8333

Tina Vaarsberg
Consultant
Environment, Technology and
Science Policy
Sandia National Laboratories
480 L'Enfant Plaza, SW
Suite 11-135
Washington, DC 20024-2197
202-646-4451
Fax:202-646-4402

 Bruce Vigon
 Research Leader
 Battelle
 505 King Avenue
 Columbus, OH 43201
 614-424-4463
 Fax:614-424-3321
Vanessa Vu
Deputy Director
Health & Environmental Review
Division
Office of Pollution
Prevention and Toxics
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW
Washington, DC 20460
202-260-1243
Fax: 202-260-1283

Randy Watkins
Senior Member of Technical Staff
Sandia National Laboratories
Box 5800
Albuquerque, NM 87185
505-844-3387
Fax:505-844-0116

Mary Ellen Weber
Director of Economics,
Exposure, and Technology Division
Office of Pollution
Prevention and Toxics
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW (TS-779)
Washington, DC  20460
202-260-0667
 Fax: 202-260-0981

Arthur Weissman
Vice President of
 Standards and Planning
 Green Seal
 1250 23rd Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20037
 202-331-7337
 Fax:202-331-7533
AxelWenblad
Director, Environmental Affairs
AB Volvo Corporation Headquarters
S-40508
Gothenburg, Sweden
46-3-159-1966
Fax:46-3-159-1044      ;

James Wilson
Regulatory Issues Director
Monsanto Corporation
800 North Lindbergh Boulevard
St. Louis, MO 63167
314-694-8879
Fax: 314-694-8808

R.S. Woodward
United Kingdom Health &
Safety Executive         '•
Chepstow Place - Room 456
HPDC2 Baynards House
London, England  W2 4TF
44-7-124-3626
Fax: 44-7-124-3603      :

Joseph Yang
Mobil Oil Corporation
P.O. Box 1029
Princeton, NJ 08543
609-737-5547
 Fax: 609-737-5570

John Young
 Scientific Director
 The Hampshire Research Institute
 1600 Cameron Street
 Suite 100
 Alexandria, VA 22314
 703-683-6695
 Fax: 703-684-7704
                                               B-6

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    APPENDIX C
MISSION STATEMENT

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EPA
Evaluating Cleaner

Workshop on Identifying a Framework for the Future
of Human Health and Environmental Risk Ranking
           Washington, DC
           June 30-July 1,1993
           Mission Statement
           Our goal is to establish a network of people who are interested
           nr^0™^**?*"?*0™ °f technol°gfe*, Processes and
           *v^±'  TlSef * deVel°P a Simple' Seneric methodology for
           evaluating technologies, processes and products that can be
           translated to multiple uses.  In order to develop our
           methodology, we will:
               •    Identify the linkages between and strengths and
                    weaknesses of existing tools for environmental
                    evaluation, including life cycle assessment, substitute
                    assessment, and risk assessment.
               •    Identify how different frameworks for evaluating the
                    environmental impacts of technologies and products
                    fit into a scheme of valuation and decision making.
               •    Make transparent the environmental  value choices
                    that are involved when one process or product is
                    chosen over another.
                           c-i

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      APPENDIX D
BACKGROUND MATERIALS

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EPA
                                                    I
        Evaluating Cleaner Tg
Workshop on Identifying a Framework for the Future
of Human Health and Environmental Risk Ranking
        Background Materials
                    D-l
                                   > Printed on Recycled Paper

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                                INTRODUCTION

                             TABLE OF CONTENTS



                                                             	  1
Life Cycle Assessment  	• •	• • ' '	
                                                                 	  2
Health Risk Assessment 	'
                                                                               3
Cleaner Technologies Substitute Assessment	
                                                                        	  4
Congressional Record - Risk Reduction	

Summarized from Supporting Environmental Quality: 	• • •  • •	
Developing an Infrastructure for Design

Examples of Existing Ranking Systems:
                                J_  .	  11
EPA Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxics  	•.	
Use Cluster Scoring System
                                                                      	  12
German Ecological-Controlling System  	
                                                                               13
 Michigan Critical Materials Register Program	
                                                                               14
 Swedish EPS Enviro-Accounting Method	

 Criteria to Identify Chemical Candidates for	
 Sunsetting in the Great Lakes Basin                                        !
                                                                                16
 United Kingdom Priority Scheme for Existing Substances	,	

 GWU Chart on Comparison of 8 Ranking Schemes by GWU	•:	
                                       D-2

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                                Life Cycle Assessment*


                     £CA) IS m °bjeCtlVe Pr°cess to evaluate the environmental burdens
,*n    n             ' Pr°CeSS' °r activity by iden%in9 and quantifying energy and material
usage and environmental releases; to assess the impact of those energy and material usW^d
releases on  the environment; and to  evaluated implement ^ortunffief to  effTrt
ZIT^T0^6"13-  The assessme"t i^'"des ^entire life cycle oHhe producf
process, or act.v.ty, encompassing extracting and processing  raw
transportation, and distribution; use/re-use/maintenance; recycling;
A complete life-cycle assessment consists of the following separate, burt interrelated components:
                               An °bJeCtiVe' data'based Proc«* of quantifying energy and
             raw material requirements, air emissions, waterborne effluents, solid waste and
             other environmental releases incurred throughout the  life cycle of  a product,

             Life-Cycle Impact Analysis - A technical, quantitative, and/or qualitative process
             to characterize and assess the effects of the environmental loadings identified in
             the  inventory  component.   The assessment should address human  health
             ecological health, and resource depletion
             {-^-Cyc/e /mprovemenf Analysis - A systematic evaluation of the needs and
             opportunit.es to reduce the environmental burden associated with energy and raw
             material use and waste emissions throughout the whole life cycle of a product
             process, or activity. This  analysis may include both quantitative and qualitative
                        imProvement- such » ch^ges in product design, raw material use
                     processing, consumer use, and waste management.
            °entS
                             UP
                                              approach that, when combined with other
                                      information  needed  to  maximize  environmental


          * *    r  ;.7."- could assist LCA practitioners in the impact and improvement
  	   nt stages by facilitating the assessment of the environmental impacts    impr°Vement
the evaluation and selection of improvement opportunities.
                                           Society for Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry.
                                     D-3

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                              Health Risk Assessment                             .

        risk assessment is a characterization of the potential adverse health effects pf human
  poues^to^nvi%nmen;Sa. hazards. Health risk assessments consist of *efo^,n^ basic
Cements: hazard identification, dose response assessment, exposure assessment, and  nsk
characterization.

                          a qualitative assessment of whether there is a relationship between
a  hm ted w            and an effect.  In assessing the likelihood that a substance causes
toxic TSaliSng evidence is considered, including human evidence, evdence from
animal studies, and any supporting evidence.

In the dose-response assessment, one attempts to identify a quantitative relationship between
    maanttude of a response and the dose of the stressor inducing such a response. Since data
    TeKavaHa^e on the Sects of chemicals at the level of environmental exposure, usually one
       ^^ft^Ihe measured data and infer the response at lower (environmental) levels.
       SHS^^S^^ extrapolate the dose-response relationship, and drffering results
will be obtained depending on the model chosen.

The exposure assessment looks at the levels of exposure people are likely to ^Perience in the
real world  The exposure assessment must consider where the substance is found, the routes
of exposure (e g  Sr, water, food), the number of people who are exposed, and the'magnitude
dumtion ^d^ ng of the exposure. One also must decide whether to conduct t^ exposure
SSme^forTheierage population, orfor the population that is most exposed or that ,s most
 at risk.

 The risk characterization  integrates and  summarizes the information foundI in^the hazard
 Identification, dose response assessment, and exposure assessment to develop  publicDearth
 ^eeflmato. The risk characterization defines the significance of the risk but also presents
 ?he Sumptions, uncertainties, and scientific judgements that were used to develop the nsk
 estimate.

 Ecological Risk Assessment utilizes a different framework based on comparable principles but
 different terminology and a different approach.
                                         D-4

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                      Cleaner Technologies Substitute Assessment

 EPA's  Design for the Environment Program has developed a methodology for examining
 substitute chemicals, processes, and technologies. This methodology currently is being applied
 in the DfE program's cooperative industry projects. Each project has identified, with the help of
 industry partners, problem environmental areas for which  companies  would like  to  seek
 substitutes.                                                 .    .        •

 The first step in the methodology is to identify use clusters for the product or industry at issue
 A "use  cluster" is a set of chemicals, processes, and technologies that can substitute for one
 another in order to  perform a  specific function (e.g., metal parts cleaning).  Next all of the
 industry use clusters are ranked using an EPA system that incorporates factors such as human
 and ecological risks, exposure,  regulatory interest, and pollution prevention opportunities  The
 scoring system helps to  prioritize and  direct research into more  environmentally beneficial
 alternatives.  Where the company knows that they want to  target research into one process
 these first two steps  are not needed.

 Finally,  a substitute  assessment is  conducted for the high priority use clusters.  Through a
 process of collecting information on currently existing alternatives and through a search for other
 promising options, the DfE program lists all alternatives in a "use cluster tree"  for chemicals
 processes, and technologies that can substitute for one another in performing a particular
 function. Drop-in substitutes tend to be rare. Therefore, it is essential to compare systematically
 the trade-offs associated with different alternatives.

 Cleaner Technology Substitute Assessments (CTSAs) are intended to provide a flexible format
for systematic comparison of the trade-off issues associated with alternatives. Traditional trade-
 offs such as cost and performance are brought together with environmental trade-offs, including
comparative nsk,  releases, energy impact, and resource conservation for each  alternative  A
completed CTSA  should provide all the information that a designer needs to decide  amona
alternatives.                                                                           a
                                       D-5

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             Congressional Utcord
V?£££?     PROCEEDINGS AND DEBATES OF THE 103 * CONGRESS, FIRST SESSION
                     .—-——-—--=S=2S=======
                      WASHINGTON, January 22,1993
Vol 139
                                Senate
                             RISK REDUCTION
    *• Mr, MOYNIHAN.  Mr.  President,
   environmental decisions are difficult in
   say   circumstance,  and especially so
   •when the economy is weak and:there is
   competition for resources both, in the
   private sector and Government. People
   want a clean environment, but they don't
   want to pay more than is necessary.
      We cant do everything at once. The
   question of  priorities  arises almost
   unbidden. We would rather not have to
   think this way, but there you are. The
   choice is not between, having priorities or
   not having them. Rather it is between
   setting them consciously or setting them
   by default.  Thus, I rise   todery to
   introduce a bill that seeks to establish the
   framework  needed  to    ensure  that
   information needed by an informed and
   involved public to set workable priorities.
   This legislation, the Environmental Risk
   Reduction Act of 1993, is an update of
   the Environmental Risk Reduction Act of
   Z991.
      I am.convinced that risk ranking and
   cost-benefit analyses are valuable  tools
                                                                 L
                                       for making environmental decisions. They
                                       offer the means to set  priorities and to
                                       measure success. They are not our only
                                       tools, but nor can   they be ignored. It
                                       took over half a century for the dedicated
                                       public  servants in. the Bureau of Labor
                                       Statistics and the Council of Economic
                                       Advisors to  learn-  how  to  fashion
                                       economic indicators, ft wfll no doubt take
                                       a long time to develop reliable method-
                                       ology to assess costs and benefits of
                                       environmental regulations, and to reEably
                                       measure  the ..risks  associated  with
                                       environmental exposures. But this is no
                                       reason  not to begin. If we dorft  start
                                       now we wfll riever learn. And it must not
                                       be forgotten that there are  sonle things
                                       that science cannot tell us. Values, for
                                       instance: Do we care  more about this
                                       species or that one? Or fairness.  Some
                                       questions are a matter    tor the legal
                                       system, not the scientists.
                                           But we do have problems. Dining the
                                        Presidential campaign and transition,
                                        much discussion focused on the economy,
                                        getting and keeping it going. Dr.   Paul
                                     S550
                                       D-6

-------
   Portney  of Resources for the  Future
   testified at a hearing last  September on
   my bill S. 2132, the Environmental Risk
   Reduction Act that    compliance  with
   environmental laws was  about  $130
   bflKon  per year-something    like  2.2
   percent   of   GNP.  Our  nest  closest
   competitors in terms of  environmental
   protection, perhaps not surprisingly, are
   Germany and Japan,    each spending
   about 1.6 to 1.8 percent of GNP. 'While
   this may  not  be  too much   money to
   spend on environmental protection it is
   too much to spend unwisely. Obviously,
   we are  seeing  a new trend.  Federal
   environmental laws are being questioned.
   State and local governments are signaling
   that they can't afford to comply with all
  environmental laws. Their resources are
  finite and must  make do for competing
  needs; for example,  mflintflfrrfng roads
  and buildings,  providing social services.
  and schooling.
     Dr. Edward Hayes of the Ohio State
  University   testified  last September
  before the  Committee on Environment
  and Public Works about the experience in
  his State.  The city of Columbus, OH,
 recently set out to analyze with as much
  precision  as  possible  the  impact  of
 Federal environment laws during recent
  years. City leaders wanted to know what
 effect those changes would have on  the
 city's budget. The findings were reported
 in "Environmental Legislation:     The
 Increasing   Costs   of  Regulatory
 Compliance to the city of Columbus." It
 turns  out   that   new  environmental
 initiatives win cost  the city of Columbus
 an additional $1.6 bflEon over the next
 decade-an  extra $856  per  year of
increased local fees or taxes for  evtry
household in the city by the year  2000
A followup  study,  "Ohio Metropolitan
   Area  Cost Report for Environmental
   CompfeTice," slipwed a similar impact in
   eight other Ohio cities.
      As iar as we can tell this pattern is
   being repeated in other places.  Just
   other places. Just this week a bipartisan
   group of 114 naayiora from towns and
   aaes across the United States sent each
   Member of Congress a letter and  report
   warning of an impending fiscal crisis in
   trying to pay forthe  increasing costs of
   environmental inandates.  The President
   and "Vice President  were sent a copy of
   the letter  and  report  when they took
   office yesterday.   The editorial in the
  January 8 issue of Science alerts us to the
  "growing  questioning of the factual basis
  for Federal command and control actions,"
  all because of conaans over regulatory
  costs.                                *
     The message is clear. State and local
  obligating them to spend their  resources
  on Federal requirements. They will want
  proof that there is. a    problem and
  confidence that  ihe legislated solutions
 will solve it.   California's  threat to give
 enforcement   of its   drinking  water
 program back to  EPA last spring speaks
 volumes.   The%  imosr   environmentally
 advanced State in  the Union close to
 rcbelhon-a  semiring   prospect.  The
 Saence editorial  suggests that we are
 seeing the "beguuiing of a revolt."
    Clearly risk ranking and cost-benefit
 analyses aren't the sole  factors for
 dedaontnaking.  Social  concems~who
 should bear risk  for whose benefit-
 pubEc preference, basic fairness must be
 considered, too. Truth be told, I  suspect
 that environmental d
-------
field, but we are being   overtaken by
events. The questions  that are key to
making decisions about the environment
are  slowly  but surely becoming more
knowable.                       .  .
   There are those who discount relative
risk ranking entirely because the assump-
tions needed to assess risk are myriad.
Facts often seem scarce. What   ***™
exposed to? What results  does tins pro-
duce? What portion of the population is
affected? Or might be affected? There are
no  precise answers to these questions.
 And so risk assessments ate controversial,
 at times very controversial. But we cannot
 forget that knowledge need not be preos e
 to be  usefuL
     Relative risk ranking and cost benefit
 analyses are tools. Crude tools   today,
 yes, but perhaps they are sufficient in
 some cuesunrt activity  "A" as more
 risky than activity "B." If costs or political
 realities dictate  That we should control
 "BM before "A" then great. But let us have
 the courage    and foresight to make a
  conscious decision. In public. With people
 watching.   History shows Hurt crude
  tools -give way to more refined  ones.
  Experience  teaches.
     Tin introducing the Envnonmental
  Risk Reduction Act, to help us learn how
   best  to   practice   the   trades   of
  environmental  risk  assessment   and
  cost/benefit  analyses. The bul wfll put
into law the major findings of the 1990
-Reducing  Riak" report by EPA's Science
Advisory Board [SAB].  I  agree  with
former EPA     Administrator  waiiam
Rally's belief that science can lend roach
needed   coherence; order,  and integrity
to costly and  controversial  decisions.
   America's  environmental laws are  a
large and diverse lot. We have only two
decades of experience on this subject, and
we are still learning, feeling our  way.
The relative risk ranking and cost/benefit
 analyses called for in this   bfll provide
 some common ground for looking at our
 erwironmental laws. The     bill also
 provides the public and Congress with
 access to the findings. The  "Reduction
 Risk" report states that "relative risk data
 and  risk assessment   techniques should
 inform (the public) judgment as much as
 possible." Not  dictate it, but inform it.
    All   this  wfll  take  time,  decades
 perhaps. But tec us take heart. Questions
 that seem difficult now can with a certain
 amount of effort yield to the   scientific
 method.
     I urge my colleagues to support this
 bill and ask unanimous consent that  the
  text of this bfll and the Science editorial
  be printed in the Record at  this time.
    There being no objection, the material
  ordered to be printed in the Record,  as
  follows:  (jMJCt available)
                                             D-8

-------
                Summarized from "Supporting Environmental Quality:
                      Developing an Infrastructure for Design"1
                                By Braden Allenby


       ^ I2S Q^^V'-onmental Management (TQEM) and related technical programs to
             * 'S unaooePtable for  governments and  private firms to continue to relv
               ST!**^ know to be inade<"Jate <**" " ""—I*. *K & *


approaches such as -We oyole assessment- (LOA)' or "DesigJ i
                     methods be9in to i"oorporate »• -«
                       "* Criti0al * ^ (U- ^""mentally appropriate)
      DFE and similar methods cannot be implemented by private fii-ms without the creation

               hSiV
                                   D-9

-------
      There are several fundamental reasons for this situation, which are inherent in the
structure of our economy:

      1.
2
                  r            post vsJue Judgments
              that have yet to be resolved-or,  in many cases,  even 'dentrfied  Thus for
              eTampteaS analysis of the desirability of substituting ind.um ^ bis "*h£*p *
              lead solder in printed wiring board assemblies lead directly  to  difficun nsK
              dilribution questions.6 Environmental impacts of increased use of bismuth and
              indium would fall on localities where mining  and processmg occurred  (some
              outsideThe UnLd States), whereas benefits would accrue pnmanly o localities
              nSfanSs Incinerators where the  electronic items containing aHoys ^ouW
              be deposited.  This asymmetrical geographic distr.but.on of nsks and benefits
              evidentthroughoutthe environmental area (e.g., in waste d.sposal patterns in and
              among nations), clearly raises unresolved value quest.ons.

        3     Anv economy is defined in large part through the legal infrastructure that supporte
              f DFE ^green" manufacturing potentially constitute a far more fundamental
              change in the economic structure than most  people recognize. Accordingly, rt
              should come  as no surprise that implementation  of such PractlC6S 'f f**
              number of fundamental legal questions and, converse^ many ex.st.ng  legal
              Sures have at least the potential to affect private DFE act,vit.es.

         Obviously, existing environmental laws that presuppose linear manufacturing activities







  components, subassemblies, and products.
                                          D-10

-------
wrona-   hh     Social 9oals embodied in these legal structur«s-and many othe/s-^re






SUMMARY
                                ras.
a DFE inf astruct    and                          tO
a ui-t intrastructure, and begin  working aggressively to provide such an
Partnering among stakeholders both in the Unrted States and in othVnatior^
European Community and Japan, should be integral to any such effort'
                                                                   requin
                                                                         uro
                                                                         the
                                                                         *•

                                D-ll

-------
1     Total Quality Environmental Management, Spring 1993, p. 303-308.



Prevention Review 3(3):1 67-80.
                                                                           Ausubel
3      Robert V. Ayers, 'Industrial Metabolism," in Technology 'and
and H.E Sladovick%ds. Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1989,
4      SETAC (Society of Environmental Toxicology ^anc I Chemtetry), A Technical Framework for
L/fe-Cyc/e Assessments, Washington, DC: The SETAC Foundation, 1991.







 the activities of the AEA DFE Task Force, chaired by the author.
6.
              , Design for Environment (died In note 2).
                                        D-12

-------
                       EXAMPLES OF EXISTING RANKING SYSTEMS

                      EPA Office of Pollution Prevention and Tadca;
                              Use Cluster Scoring System






                                                                   Determining which
                                           d
  to identify potential risks is a tem       tak
  concerns] is a promising approach to prtoL^a chfmS? °r ""£"* chemlcals ** potential
  been developed in the pit   An eSe of 2 ™  f "T S?veral rankl"9 ^terns have
  Ranking System (HRS) which is used KPA^^ °Peratlonal ranking system is the Hazard
  for Superfund site cleanups  Howete? vlvTet L^ Sltef °n the Natlonal Prioritles "« (NPL)
  concerns of chemicals thatsubsTSo^
  duster Scoring System (UCSS) is a^tem th^                    or US6'  Th° ^e


                                                     (OPPT) has elated chemic^s

 offices, government agencies ! oMrrtere^ ^D^ieT-^f ^ T °n the request of other EpA
 selected materials, such as those on the K?n ?     f ^ °f a targ6ted effort to ev^"ate
 createdamanageabtesetlf chemio^                                "PP™* has
 has not comprehensively addressed potent I tScilstfel  ?^f  ?r^ reaCt'V6 process tnat
 w.ll use in the future to systematically ideX and Srll        UCSS ls one too! that oppT
 of chemicals in commerce.   aT'Ca"y iaen^ ™d screen concerns relied to a greater number
  seto                                               chemicals and uses, rather than
The scoring algorithm uses readify a\S                      method * determine risk.
used in similar applications.  It is no^ded^o^^^ ^ **. ?r°UpS Of chemicals
does it generate precise risk numbers              s"bstrtute for a detailed risk analysis, nor
                                     D-13

-------
                 German Ecological-Controlling System'
-. The
            ogical-conUoUIng method Jsused
                 ^^
improvement.
sr-.sasBftSB3a.-ssr
criteria:
  known.
          compliance with laws and regulations
          public demands
          'normal1 ecological effects
               -air pollution
               -water pollution
               -soil pollution
               -toxicity
          ecological risk potential
          internal environmental cost
          product life cycle
               -obtaining raw materials
               -initial production
               -use
               -waste disposal
                -recycling
          waste rate/added value
  (A rating of "A" is shown in red, "B" in yellow, and
                                                          Ecological
                               D-14

-------
                         Michigan Critical Materials Register Program
    Overview
  unique list of
  Advisory Committeo



                                                • from academia,

                                            Director of the DNR to provide advice on the

   •|~ — - —•—• • ••»•*-•• wwi i%wi wi i LI its LcurnmiiTBO nfr\\iif+Ao 41*** **.»*^.^i*i^mt*t-                      *owi n iiOol







 Scoring                      .,-,".'•
                                                       ^
   1 987, contains 28S ootnpound   rdm  of o,   T  l'S'Ster' based on c"'teria rsvised



       *a "level of concern" of 5 In two or more criteria
        an additive "level of concern" greater than 15
                                                            support document  may  be
P.O. Box 30273, Lansing  Michigan 489(2.        Resources, Surface Water Quality Division,
                                       D-15

-------
                       Swedish EPS Enviro-Accounting Method*
the quality of life.
the following possible safeguard subjects:

              •     human health
              •     biological diversity
              •     production
              •     resources
              •     aesthetic values
 Production is measured based on the amount ol ^""£^ MP '         resources according to
  compare it with other products.
   Swedish Environmental Research Institute. Draft Report, 1992.
                                            D-16

-------
                      Criteria to Identify Chemical Candidates Ifor
                         Sunsettlng in the Great Lakes Basin*

Potential exposure is assessed in three categories:
aCCUmUlate ln the  «
Ind
                                                                       - biota  for
            the persistence of the chemical in the environment
            the amount of the chemical that is produced and/or released to the environment.
   im"acte
                                                                          of growth
                                      Chr°nic Chemical Sin9ular
            terrestrial and avian, non-mammalian species

     or
                                                 lnoludsd
                                                 HIGH in
                                                                               in

                                   D-17

-------
             United Kingdom Priority Scheme for Existing Substances'
requiring minimum direct expert input.

                  scheme focussing on human heatth e«ec* u«lizes four .ftp. of data to
                       for a chemical substance:
    Priori*
            toxicity
            physico-chemical properties
            tonnage
            use pattern
                                                           "*"
                                                                        *
                                                                                 °"
%tt£Z££3L pa^eters are used:

       •     toxicity (aquatic organisms and mammals)
       •     potential for bioaccumulation
       •     degradation
       •     use pattern
       •     quantity produced of imported

                           ,u, each parameter is multiplied to give a final total score.  In
                           PO«aflyPThTmost influential parameter; however, no  s,,

 parameter can dominate the scheme.
 presented in a priority list.
  Association, 071-276-8321.
                                        D-18

-------
       Comparison  of
Great Lakes
Woler Quality
Agreement
(Annex '1
List of
Substances
1989.
(GLWOA)

Wei-notional
Joint
Commission
of the United
Slates and
Canada
Binoliono!
Objectives
Committee.
   Effluent
   Monitoring
   Priority Po&jlanfs
   List(1989)
   Update Draft
   (EMPPL)
                        Ontario
                        Ministry of the
                        Environment.
                                        •   Ranking  schemes  by  George  Washington  University
                                               	
                                            Compiled from:
                                            1986  Working
                                            List of
                                            Chemicals in
                                            the Great Lakes
                                           Basin.  Ontario
                                           MSA Inventory
                                           (1989).
                                           U.S. EPA Toxics
                                           Release Inventory
                                           Oalabose(l989).
    294  substances
   (listed.

    Consists of
    hazardous
    chemicals delected
   in efftjents
   or surface
   waters,  of
   30lenlid concern
   but not yet
   detected,  or idenlified
   in certain
   industrial sectors.
                                                                         To identify
                                                                         substances for
                                                                         development of
                                                                         Specific Objectives.

                                                                         List #1  Substances
                                                                         present  and toxic in
                                                                         the Great Lakes.

                                                                        Usl #2 Candidates
                                                                        for oddtional
                                                                        study.

                                                                        List jfZ Candidates
                                                                        for additional
                                                                        monitoring in the
                                                                        Great Lakes  system.
   'Development
   of chemical
   specific monitoring
   regulations under
   MSA.
                                                          I Classification

                                                           Substances
                                                           classified
                                                           according  to
                                                           occurunce  in the
                                                          Great Lakes
                                                          Basin and
                                                          whelhir  data  is
                                                          sufficiimt to
                                                          define them as
                                                          toxic.
     1. Chemicals
    receive a
    score f«r
    each
    'parameter.
    !    •-
    2. Subslonces
    are not
    prioritized
    within the
    fat
                                                      [Remarks
                                                           	
                                                      Estimated. Smiled or
                                                      qualified data as
                                                      wet as  SAR and
                                                      nondefinitive tests
                                                          be used to
                                                      substantiate potential
                                                      toxicity.

                                                      Professional judgement
                                                     is used  to
                                                     evaluate the
                                                     adequacy/utility of
                                                     individual studies.
   Chemicals ore placed
   on the fsf if
   exposure criteria are
   met ,ond any one of
   the parameter scores
   equals or exceeds
   a specified value.

   Qualifier tags are
   used to mark scores
   based on
   questionable date
   or SAR.
Candidate-
Substances
List for Bans
or
Phase-Outs.
1992



Ontario
Ministry of the
Environment.




List of 2 1 primary
and 46 secondary
substances that are
highly hazardous
and present in or
discharged to
Ontario's surface
waters.
Michigan
Critical
Materials
Register
(MCMS)
                      Michigan
                      Department of'
                      Natural
                      Resources
SSiXtif ?<£
 Chemicals of  high
 environmental
 concern from a
 water petition
 perspective which
 may be used.
 discharged and/or
 disposed of in
 Michigan.

More than 400
chemicals are listed.
                                                                  Identifies
                                                                  candidate
                                                                  substances for
                                                                  multimedia
                                                                  release
                                                                  reduction,
                                                                  banning and/or
                                                                  phase-out.
Establishes a
fat of Critical
Materials for
which businesses
must report use
and/or discharge
information.
                                                                                                 Chemicals were
                                                                                                 Bsted if they
                                                                                                 were given the
                                                                                                 highest possible
                                                                                                 score for  one or
                                                                                                 more toxidfy
                                                                                                parameters and.
                                                                                                were defined as
                                                                                                persistent and
                                                                                                bioac-
                                                                                                cumulalive.
  Chemicals
  receive a score
  for each
  parameter.

  Chemicals ore
  placed on the
  list if
 "sufficient
 evidence" exists
 for any
 parameters or if
 a specified
 total score or
 combination of
 scores is
 attained.

Substances ore
not prioritized
within the list.
                                                                      Criteria   to
                                                                             Chemicals were
                                                                             screened using the
                                                                             MOE Scoring System.
 Study design &
 reporting must
 approximate certain
 guidelines to be
used in hazard
assessment.

SAR not used.
                                                                                                                     Chemical

-------
Chenicoteof
Environmental
Relevance
(BOA I & I)
|Soc!ely of
 German Chemists
 (GOCh) Advisory
 Commillee on
 Existing
 Chemicals of
 Environmental
 Relevance
  WWS Scoring
  System
  (WHS)
   Directorate Genera!
   for Environmental
   Prolection-
   Nalherlonds
    Toxic Substances
    Control Act
    Scoring System
    (TSCA)
     Comprehensive
     Environmsnlol
     Response.
     Compensation.
     and UobiSly
     Acl of 1980:
     Supeffund
      Amendments
      and
      Reovlhorizalion
      Acl of 1985.
      (CERCIA)
      Reporloble
      Ouonlily
      Ranking
      Process
(Substances  of
[environmental
Irdevonce  selecled
 from other priority
 Ists of  chemicals
 which occur in the
 environment and ore
 induslrialy
 important.

 List t Substances
 rating high  for
  environmental
  exposures.
  persistence.  &
  jiotegicol effect.

  Ustfc
  nondegrodobte
  substances rating
  high for effect
  potential or high
  environmental
   exposure.
   378 chemicals
   compiled from
   international and
   national isls
   of chemicals
   known or suspected
    to be hazardous
    to the environment
    or to humans,  or
    of high exposure
    potential.
     Environmental
     Protection
     Agency.
     Office of Toxic
     Substances.
     Existing  Chemicals
     (Program
      Environmental
      Protection
      Agency.
      Emergency
      Response
      Division.
       Office of Sold
       Waste and
       Emergency,
       Response.
     Chemicals ore
     not Esled.

     Scoring system is
     used on a
     continual basis.
      List of about 724
      CERCIA hazardous
      substances and
      I waste slreams
      identified by the
      statutes and
      adjusted reporlable
       quantities.
                                                                        rpose
                                                                      lot List
Indentifies
existing chemicals
of health or
environmental
Irdevonce for
which to
I consider regutolcry
1 action.
                                                                                                         Remarks
   Priorilization of
   chemicals for
   investigation &
   development of
   environmental and
   health policies.
     204 chemicals  scored
     by the EPA Office of
     Toxic Substances (as
     of 6/89).

     Chemicals scored to
     assess hazard  and
     identify data gaps.
     _	.

     The ranking process
      establishes the
      reporlable
      quantities (ROs) for
      CERCIA hazardous
      substances that
      triggers
     Inolificalion
      requirements  to the
      National  Response
       Center upon release
       of the materials.
LJOssmyuim" I
	 -4-
Chemicals receive The
a score for '"d
ea
Ch
sel
on
sc
CO
fo
&
pt




















:h paromeler. of
im|
emicols Pr
ecled based so
specific
ore Pe
mbinolions '«*
r exposure °'
effect b»
ramelers. Pr
&
or
S
d
f
	 	
Ihemicals
receive a score
for each
parameter.
End scores ore
calculated by
combining media
specific
exposure &
effect scores &
subtracting from
the maximum
score
attainable.
Lower scores
represent higher

Ssl
kjdes chemico's 1
industrial
portonce and (hose
Bsenl or probably
in the environment
slicides,
irgonic chemicals
nalurd origin. '
products of
eduction.
unstable chemicals
e excluded.
AR used to score
nernicols with
ogs.
_^— —?—.—— —^———1
^ change of 1 in a
score value reflects
a change of one
order of magnitude
n the exposure or
effect levels:
SAR used to estimate
criteria values.
Opportunity provided
to review exceptions.





hazard. 1
'
1 	 .
I Chemicals
receive a score
for each para-
meter.
Scores ore
SAR is used to
estimate paromeler
values and the
score is tagged.
1
rot weighed or 1
I combined. 1
1 	 1 	




i
Substances are
scored for
several
oaramelers. RO
|is assigned









based on the
lowest RO scored
in any
parameter. RO
con be adjusted
up one category
based on
degrodobiSly
characteristics.
1
Some RQs hove osen
assigned on Ihe
basis of chemica'
structure
similarity.









                                                                           D-20

-------
hTable 3-2 Parameters and Types of Evidence Used to Evaluate 1
Chemicals in Existing Screening Programs.

Exposure
Acute Lethal Toxicity
Aquatic Animal
Terrestrial Animal
Other Acute
Terrestrial Animal
Chronic /Sub- chronic
ToxicqLty
Aquatic Animal
Terrestrial Animal
Aquatic Plant
Terrestrial Plant
Reproductive Toxicity
Developmental
Toxicity
Genetic Toxicity
Carcinogenicity
Chemical /Physical
Characteristics
Environmental
Transport
Bio -accumulation
Persistence
Flammability
Reactivity
Corrosivity
Tainting/Aesthetics
Production
Use
IJC
M,Q

P
P



P
P
P

W
P,W
W
W


M







MOE
M,Q

P
P



P,W
P
P
P
P
P,S
W
W

M,E
M,E
M






CMR


P
P

P,Q

P
P/Q/S
P
Q
P,W
P,W
W,S
W


M,E
M
M
M
M
P


BUA
M,Q

P
P









Q,W
W


M,E
M




M


Q

I?
P

P

P
P


p

W
W


M,E
M





M,E
TSCA
-
M,Q

P
P

P/S

P
P,S


P,S
W
w,s
W


M,E
M,E




M
.
JCERC
=T==i=^=

P
P

J


P/S


P,S
P,S

W.P










D-21

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Legend
 M*-
 £-

CAP-
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             Ministry of the Environment Scoring System.
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       - Comprehensive Environmental Response and Chemical
        Liability Act.

M- Measurement
Q- Qualitative
p- potency
W- WOE
S- Severity of  Effect
E- Estimate
                                D-22

-------
                                                          1
          APPENDIX E
OVERHEADS FROM THE PRODUCT AND
  PROCESS DESIGN PRESENTATION

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-------
      STATE REGULATORY USE
     Evaluating Cleaner
Technologies: User Needs in
   a Toxics Use Reduction
         Program
        Mark Rossi

 Massachusetts Toxics Use
     Reduction Institute
             F-19

-------
State Uses for a Relative Risk
Ranking Systems
     To identify resource
     allocation priorities —
     research, technical
     assistance, and education

     To identify priority user
     segments

     To identify candidates for
     chemical restrictions
               F-20

-------
Resource Allocation
Research, education and
technical assistance priorities
need to be based on a better
understanding of the
comparative risks of using toxic
chemicals.
               F-21

-------

Resource prortes are
currently based on:

 •   legal requirements

 •   amount of chemical
     releases and transfers

     "biggest bang for buck"

     regional needs

     alternatives to ozone
     depleting chemicals
              F-22

-------
                               1
      User Segment

A set of no fewer than five
toxics users who employ a
  similar production unit.
           F-23

-------
Considerations for identifying
priority user segments include:

     amounts of toxic
     substances used by the
     user segment in  the
     production units of
     concern and their toxicity

     amounts of toxic
     substances disposed of,
     discharged, or released to
     water, land, air  or
     workplaces within facilities

     the social, health, and
     economic benefits and
     costs of targeting the user
     segment
               F-24

-------
                                  1
Chemical Restriction
Any policy that encourages or
directs a company to eliminate
production, uses, or distribution
of a chemical (or class of
chemicals) or product which
contains the chemical.
              F-25

-------
Information Users
     Massachusetts Department of
     Environmental Protection
     (DEP)

     Massachusetts Office of
     Technical Assistance (OTA)

     Massachusetts Toxics Use
     Reduction Institute (TURI)

     Massachusetts Advisory
     Board on Toxics Use
     Reduction

     Toxics Use Reduction
     Administrative Council
               F-26

-------
Priority User Segments
    Administrative Council is
    responsible for identifying
    priority user segments
    based on recommendations
    from DEP, OTA, and
    TURI.

    Administrative Council
    consists of "Secretaries"
    and "Commissioners" from
    state agencies such as
    DEP, DPH, and Economic
    Affairs.
            F-27

-------
Advisory Board on Toxics Use
Reduction
     15 individuals from
     business, government,
     environmental groups,
     labor, health policy
     groups, POTWs, and the
     general public.

     Provide a forum for
     discussing direction of the
     TURA program.

     Develops recommendations
     on the TUR program.
              F-28

-------
Toxics Use Reduction Institute
    Industry Advisory Board

    Public Interest Advisory
    Board
              F-29

-------
Information Needs ~
 Resource Allocation
How can the difference in
risks between use and
emissions be accounted
for?
          F-30

-------
Massachusetts Toxic Chemical Use
Data (1990)
Total Use
Billion
Pounds

1.229
Manufactured 0.126    10.25%
Processed

Otherwise
 Used
0.963    7836%

0.140    11.39%
               F-31

-------
  Information Needs —
     User Segments
How can the difference in risks
between production processes
be accounted for?
            F-32

-------
   Information Needs —
   Chemical Restrictions
How does changing the
threshold levels effect the
screening process?  Need for
"scenario analysis".

How can a screening tool be
tailored to regional needs?
            F-33

-------

-------
                    APPENDIX G
OVERHEADS FROM THE EPS SCORING SYSTEM PRESENTATIONS

-------

-------
                   The EPS System
                Environmental Priority Strategies
                      in Product Design
 Environmental Load Index x Quantity = Environmental Load Value
Product Ecology Project
Federation of Swedish Industries
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deficiency
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 Conventional Material

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-------
                  APPENDIX H
OVERHEADS FROM THE MICHIGAN CRITICAL MATERIALS
            REGISTER PRESENTATION

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             APPENDIX I
CRITICAL ISSUES IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
  HUMAN HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL
  RISK RANKING AND SCORING SYSTEMS

-------

-------
          CRITICAL ISSUES  IN THE  DEVELOPMENT OF
               HUMAN HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL
               RISK RANKING AND  SCORING SYSTEMS

           Prepared for the Workshop on Identifying the
           Framework for the Future of Human Health and
                    Environmental Risk Ranking
              Washington, D.C., June 30-July 1, 195)3

                     Gary A.  Davis, Director
                 Sheila Jones, Research Assistant
         Center for Clean Products  and Clean Technologies
                     University of Tennessee
                       Knoxville, Tennessee
 INTRODUCTION

     The development of overall human health and environmental
 risk ranking systems is in its infancy, although elements of such
 ranking systems are being used in several fields today.  Chemical
 ranking has received the most attention, and there are several
 systems in use for purposes such as setting regulatory priorities
 and ranking contaminated sites for cleanup. Yet,  there is still
 no scientific consensus on this one area of overall ranking.

     This paper discusses the important elements of human health
 and environmental risk ranking systems, with a focus on chemical
 ranking and scoring systems.  It highlights important issues  that
 must be addressed in the development of any such system.  These
 issues include:

          the purpose of the ranking and scoring system
          the human health and environmental impacts included
          whether potency and severity of impacts is taken into
          account
          whether measures of exposure are included
          the use of aggregation and weighting of different
          impacts
     •    how missing data is handled

     There are two basic types of ranking and scoring systems
that are being used: chemical risk systems and life cycle  impact
assessment systems.  We have identified more than  40 chemical
ranking and scoring systems and discuss some of the elements of
these systems in this paper.   Overall ranking and scoring
methodologies have been taken up by the field of  life cycle
assessment.  We have identified some of the methodologies being
developed for life cycle impact assessment and discuss elements
of these in this paper.
                              1-1

-------
PURPOSE OF THE RANKING AND  SCORING SYSTEM

     The purpose of the  ranking and scoring system is the
principal issue in the development of  a system.  The intended use
of the system affects all of  the aspects of the  system,  including
the human health and environmental impacts considered, the use of
aggregation and weighting,  and how missing data  is handled.'

Chemical Ranking and Scoring  Systems

     Most of the ranking and  scoring systems that we have  :
identified are for chemical risk.  Chemical ranking and scoring
systems are typically used  as screening tools,  as a rapid
assessment of relative chemical hazards. They consider the toxic
effects of chemicals and some measure of exposure, but are not
intended to serve as a detailed risk assessment. They usually
function by assigning a  score to each of several impact
parameters  (human health and  environmental endpoints) in
conjunction with potential  exposure parameters.    '

     Chemical ranking and  scoring systems have been.developed for
three broad purposes:

     •    Regulatory action
     •    Priority  setting
     •    Impact evaluations

Regulatory Action

     The need for the regulation of chemicals of concern has been
the driving  force behind the  development of many chemical  ranking
and scoring  systems.                           /             •
                                                              [15]'
     Examples include:

     CERCLA Section 102 Reportable Quantity Ranking  Process
     Releases of certain chemicals at threshold  quantities must
     be reported to the Environmental Protection Agency.  These
     reportable quantities  (RQ's) were established through a
     scoring process taking into account the  environmental and
     human health hazards of the chemicals on the  CERCLA list.

     Michigan Critical Materials Register  [103: The ranking
     process results in a list of chemicals that may threaten
     water quality in Michigan. Chemicals  included in the
     register are considered to pose a high degree of
     environmental concern, and companies  must report their use
     and discharge of these chemicals.

* The superscript numbers refer to the numbered references at  the end of this
paper. A more complete bibliography of chemical ranking  and scoring system
references is also attached.
                                  1-2

-------
   .  .Ontario Ministry of the Environment  (MOE) Candidate
     Substance List for Bans or Phase-outs  I5]: This ranking
     system identifies;chemical substances  for release reduction,
     bans, or phase outs.

     George Washington University  C7]: The scoring system
     developed by GWU is intended  to serve  as a tool for
     pollution prevention in the Great Lakes region through the
     identification of chemical substances  for Sunsetting  (bans
     or phase-outs) and other regulatory or non-regulatory
     activities.'

     .CERCLA Hazard. Ranking System  tie]:  EPA developed  the HRS  to
     meet the requirements of CERCLA for listing priority
     hazardous substance sites to be included on the National
     Priority List for cleanup. The HRS is  more of site-specific
     risk assessment than a chemical ranking and scoring system.

Priority Setting

     Several ranking and scoring systems have been developed
specifically for assessing chemical hazards for priority setting
for non-regulatory purposes. Examples include:

     EPA Design for the Environment Program Use Cluster Scoring
     System [17]: This system is aimed at measuring potential
.. ..  health and environmental risks of chemicals that are used in
     industry clusters (i.e.,  certain common industrial,
     processes) as a way of evaluating the benefits of
     substitutes for those chemicals.  The relative risk scores
     are provided to industry as a means of encouraging the
     voluntary adoption of pollution prevention measures.

     WMS Scoring System [9-14]  :  This system was developed by the
     Directorate General for Environmental Protection of the
     Netherlands Ministry of Housing,  Physical Planning,  and the
     Environment.  It was intended for use in industry,
     government,  and academia for the selection of a limited
     number of chemicals as priorities for further investigation.

    .Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR)  [2) :
     The Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act (SARA)  of
     1986 required the ATSDR to prepare a list,  in order of
     priority,  of the hazardous substances commonly found at
     National  Priority List sites that pose  the  most  significant
     potential human health threats. Substances  on this priority
     list become candidates for the preparation  of toxicological
     profile reports prepared by ATSDR.

     University of Tennessee Chemical  Ranking System U3]: The UT
     Center for Clean Products and Clean Technologies has
     developed a ranking system to prioritize chemicals for
                                1-3

-------
     substitutes assessments. The system has also been used to
     rank the overall hazards of state Toxic Release Inventory
     releases.

linpact Evaluation

     At least one scoring system is being developed to evaluate
the potential impacts of chemical releases:

     Toxics Release Inventory Environmental Indicators
     Methodology I1]:  This system under development by Abt
     Associates for the EPA Office of Pollution Prevention and
     Toxics will be used to evaluate TRI releases and derive a
     value to indicate the overall impacts.of those releases by
     all facilities and to each environmental medium. Annual
     calculations of the indicator numbers allow a comparison of
     potential TRI impacts from year to year.

Life Cycle Impact Assessment

     Life Cycle Assessment is a holistic approach to evaluating
the human health and environmental burdens associated with a
product or process life cycle. A full LCA includes a quantitative
inventory of resource and energy inputs and pollutant outputs and
some form of impact assessment. Life cycle impact assessment
attempts to assess the full  range of environmental and health
impacts of product systems.

     Life cycle impact assessment methodology involves three
steps:

     •    classification: the process of assignment  and  initial
          aggregation of life cycle inventory data into
          categories of  impacts based upon  impact chains
     •    characterization:  the assessment  of the potential
          magnitude of the impadts within each  impact category
     •    valuation: the process of assigning relative values
          and/or weights to  different impacts

     LCA has  several uses, although its uses are more limited  if
some form of  impact  assessment  is not included.  LCA  can  be used
for internal  product improvements, for designing new products,
for setting public policy  on products and  materials, and for
environmental labeling.  Clearly, the  different  uses  of LCA create
different needs for  impact assessment. An  LCA used  for internal
product improvement, for example, might  simply  use  the inventory
component and operate  on a "less-is-best"  approach.  An LCA used
for setting public policy  on materials  or  products  would need to
include some  framework for assessing  and comparing  the
significance  of environmental  releases  and resource and  energy,
use of the  different products  and  materials being compared.
                                 1-4

-------
     Following  are examples of some of the life cycle  impact
assessment methodologies  in development .or use:

     EPS-Enviro-Accounting Method  [123:  The EPS method is being
     developed  by the Swedish Environmental Research Institute
     and the Swedish Federation of Industries as a tool  to assess
     the health and ecological effects associated with the entire
     life-cycle of a product, process, or activity.  The main
     objective  of the EPS Method is to provide one overall
     economic measure of resource depletion and potential health
     and environmental impacts throughout the life cycle.

     Critical Volumes Approach: This approach has been embodied
     in some of the LCA software packages developed in Western
     Europe, such as SIMAPRO, developed by the Centre  of
     Environmental Science at Leiden University in the
     Netherlands, and Okobilanz, developed by the Swiss  Federal
     Environmental Agency. In this approach, specific  pollutant
     amounts from the inventory are aggregated by dividing by a
     regulatory standard for that pollutant (expressed in mass of
     pollutant  per volume of air or water) and summing the
     resulting  volume figures and expressing the result  as total
     volume of  air or water polluted at regulatory standards.


HUMAN HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS CONSIDERED

Chemical Risk

     In order to assess the potential or actual hazard associated
with a particular chemical substance,  scoring and ranking schemes
include criteria for scoring the toxicity of a chemical  to
terrestrial mammals,  non-mammalian terrestrial species,  non-
mammalian aquatic organisms, and/or plants. The toxicity of
chemicals to these organisms is used to evaluate potential
effects to human health and the environment.  Several  scoring
systems do not  determine an overall score for human health
effects, but the data obtained for acute effects on mammalian
species, as well as chronic effects such as carcinogenicity and
mutagenicity, are used to assess human health effects.    For the
purpose of this paper,  acute and chronic mammalian toxicity data
are considered  as surrogates for human health effects,  as they
are in most ranking and scoring systems.   Ecological effects
typically include acute toxicity to terrestrial mammals, non-
mammalian terrestrial species,  aquatic organisms and plants.
Some scoring/ranking systems include bioaccumulation and/or
persistence in  the environmental effects category,  but these are
discussed as factors affecting exposure within the framework of
this paper.                              -.._.        ;
                                 1-5

-------
Human Health Effects






system are varied.  Examples  include:
°
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      reproduction damage/teratogenicity .

      EPA Design for the Environment Program Use Cluster Scoring
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                                  1-6

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Environmental Impacts

     Environmental impacts are those that occur in terrestrial
mammalian and non-mammalian species, aquatic organisms and plants
as the result of chemical exposure.  Most ranking systems
evaluate effects through the use of toxicity test data.

     "Schmallenberg" System t181:  This  system was  developed by a
     group of French and German officials and scientists and
     includes many endpoints to assess ecological effects.   These
     are acute, subacute and chronic effects in species ranging
     from algae and plants to earthworms, birds and fish.

     George Washington University System [7]: The GWU system
     includes acute and chronic toxicity to aquatic organisms as
     well as terrestrial and aviari, non-mammalian species.

     EPA Toxics Release Inventory Environmental Indicators
     Methodology [1): This draft methodology determines a score
     for ecological effects based'on a matrix which combines_
     aquatic toxicity and bioaccumulation.  Aquatic toxicity  is
     scored according to data on the LCSO or life cycle/chronic
     NOAEL or other measures such as the Acute or Chronic Ambient
     Water Quality Criteria  (AWQC). Bioconcentration is based on
     the water solubility, Log KOB/  or bioconcentration factor
     (BCF) .

     EPA Design for the Environment Use Cluster Scoring System
     1171:  scores  ecological hazard on the  basis of  Aquatic Water
     Qua'lity Criteria  (acute and chronic) or Aquatic Toxicity
     Reportable Quantities.

     Michigan Critical Materials Register  t101:  scores acute and
     chronic effects on aquatic organisms  (fish, .invertebrates,
     amphibians), acute and chronic effects on terrestrial
     animals, and plants.

Table 3 summarizes endpoint selection for evaluating
environmental impacts in four scoring systems.
                                 1-8

-------
1-9

-------
Life Cycle Impact Assessment

     Life cycle impact assessment goes beyond direct chemical
toxicological impacts to include several other environmental
impacts as shown in Table 3. These impacts are often expressed in
terms of the quantity of certain environmental stressors that can
produce the impact of concern through an impact chain, such as
acidification chemicals, biological oxygen demand, and smog
producing chemicals. Energy use is often used as a surrogate for
the environmental impacts of resource depletion and environmental
impacts resulting from energy production.
J.CtiJJ.C J .
-=»——• —
Natural
Environment
~^^=====^=
Atmosphere
ozone depletion
crreenhouse effect
smog
Water
eutrophication
oxygen depletion
turbidity
Soil
erosion
salinity
Other
species extinction
habitat loss

=======^=^=^=:==^===
Human
Health
	
Acute Effects
accidents
noise
odor










1 s=== 	
=r^=====^^=s=:=s=
Natural
Resources
==== =s=s=
Stock
fossil fuels
minerals
Flow
water
soil fertility
trees
land (space)







      Following is an example of impacts included in a life cycle
 impact assessment system:

      Swedish EPS System [121:  five  "safeguard subjects" have been
      identified in order to provide a base on which to describe
      and value impact types.  These include biodiversity,
      production, human health, resources and aesthetics. "Unit
      effects" is the term used to describe effects on these five
      subjects. By assigning an "environmental load index"
       (expressed in ELU per kg of the product or material being
      considered) for use'of natural resources and energy, as well
                                 1-10

-------
      as for pollutant emissions, environmental indices for
      materials and processes can be calculated.  These indices
      for materials and processes can then be used to calculate an
      overall environmental load value  (ELU) for the entire life
      cycle of a particular product, process or activity.


 ISSUES OP POTENCY AND SEVERITY

 Chemical Risk

 Potency

      The dose required to elicit a toxic effect is referred to as
 potency.  Data regarding the potency of chemicals in test
 organisms are frequently used to assess acute and chronic effects
 to terrestrial and aquatic plant and animal species.  Potency is
 used in most scoring systems to evaluate acute effects in aquatic
 and terrestrial species.   Data regarding the potency of chemicals
 required to elicit carcinogenic effects,  as well  as other chronic
 effects,  are often limited.   Many scoring/ranking systems assign
 scores  for carcinogenicity based only on the weight of'tha
 evidence that the  chemical is a carcinogen.   Examples include-
     The Michigan Critical  Materials  Register t103
     The German  Existing Chemicals  of Environmental  Relevance
     List  I  and  II (DBA)  [3-4]
     The Ontario Ministry of  the  Environment  (MOE) system t51
     A few systems  include both weight-of-the-evidence  and
potency data. For example:

     George Washington University  m : assigns a .score according
     to a matrix which includes a weight-of-the-evidence
     classification as well as a potency factor  (1/ED10) which
     has been used to assign reportable quantities for
     carcinogens by the CERCLA Section 102 program.

     EPA DfE Use Cluster Scoring System I17]:  weight-of-the-
     evidence is combined with the reportable quantity potencv
     factor or the qx*.                                        *

     CERCLA Hazard Ranking System [16]: assigns values  based on
     weight-of-evidence and the potency slope factor  (a/)  or  an
     estimate based on the ED10.                     '

Severity

     How adverse is an adverse effect? Severity of effects, which
is the degree of a biological response,  is not always considered
in ranking schemes.  Within any human health effects category  for
instance,  there may be a range of severity.  Neurol-oxicity  for
                                Ml

-------
example, can include anything from a temporary narcotic effect to
long-term irreversible brain damage.

     Some systems do include severity when assigning scores to
chemical substances.  For example:

     Toxic Substances Control Act Scoring System [11]:  includes
     severity in several parameters.  For example, for the
     nonlethal acute toxicity parameter, the dose score is
     multiplied by the severity score to arrive at a final score
     in this category.  The severity of .effects are scored
     according to whether the effect is life-threatening or
     severe, moderately serious, mild or no effects are observed
     at high doses.

     Michigan Critical Materials Register tlo]:  includes severity
     in several parameters.  For .example, a score for  "other
     toxicity"  (chronic or subchronic) to terrestrial  animals
     includes severity ranging from adverse effects to severe
     effects.  Examples of each effect classification  are_
     provided to guide decisions  iri response to the question  of
     how severe is  the effect. For  example, "moderate  effects"
     include effects  such as degenerative or necrotic  changes
     with no apparent decrement of  organ functions; or
     reversible, slight changes in  organ function.

 Life Cvele  Impact Assessment

     The potency of human health  and  environmental  impacts  other
 than those  caused directly by  chemicals  is  often  taken into
 account in  life cycle impact assessment  by  the use  of the  impact
 equivalency concept,  where a reference substance  is assigned a
 unit impact of  1  and other substances are given a multiplier
 based  upon  the  potency of their impact as compared  to the
 reference  substance.  Thus, compounds  that produce global warming
 can be expressed  and summed  in terms  of CO2 equivalents, which
 gives  an overall  indication  of the global warming potency.

      Severity of  impacts may be considered  within impact
 categories  in deciding how to measure the  impact. For instance,
 impacts on endangered species can be measured by habitat
 destruction or actual species loss.
 EXPOSURE MEASURES

 Chemical Risk
      Any type of risk assessment includes an"assessment of both
 toxicity and exposure. Factors affecting exposure to chemicals
 released into the environment may include physicochemical
 properties, environmental transport, persistence,
                                 1-12

-------
bioaccumulation, actual measured releases, production and import
volume, use volume, probability and intensity of worker exposure
frequency and intensity of consumer exposure, and/or the
population in the area where releases occur. Since ranking and
scoring systems are usually not site-specific, they usually
include some type of surrogate for exposure, such as
environmental releases, when those are known, or a generic
exposure calculation. Examples include:

     WMS- Scoring System [9-"':  assigns  scores for  environmental
     exposure according to use volume,  percentage release to the
     environment,  degradation in air,  soil and/or water,  relative
     occurrence in these media and bioconcentration.   Exposure
     via products  is also scored,  and this includes use patterns
     exposure frequency and intensity of exposure.

     George Washington University ™ : assesses exposure according
     to the bioaccumulation,  persistence,  and release or
     production volume.                            ,

     Michigan Critical Materials  Register fl«: scores chemical
     exposure according to  bioaccumulation,  persistence,  and a
     few physicochemical  properties  such as  flammabilitv
     reactivity, and corrosivity.

     The Ontario Ministry of  the Environment  (MOE)  Scoring System
       : includes environmental transport, environmental
     persistence and bioaccumulation.

     German  (UBA) System  »•«: includes bioaccumulation,
     persistence and production volume.

     EPA Toxics  Release Inventory Environmental Indicators
     Methodology ™ : attempts., to use facility-specific data and
     generic models  to estimate a, "surrogate  dose" which is a
     measure related to .amount of chemical an individual might be
     exposed to  in order to estimate human exposure,.  A separate
     evaluation  is conducted for each release pathway allowing
     comparisons across media. The level of uncertainty is
     included in the^scoring for exposure.  Exposure of aquatic
     life is obtained by estimates.of the ambient water
     concentration value.  Table 4 summarizes surrogates for
    exposure potential for six scoring systems
                              1-13

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1-14

-------
 Life Cycle Impact Assessment

      Life cycle impact assessment typically uses some
 generic exposure assumption. The inventory usua ly dStene
 whach environmental medium pollutants are released into  and it
 is  assumed that they can exert their effects in that medium  J
 refinement of this approach for chemical releases would be to
 incorporate modeling of chemical distribution af ler release  such
 a^  S%£5£2 ™dd ——ion after rife
AGGREGATION AND WEIGHTING  OF HEALTH AND  ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS

Chemical Risk

     The chemical ranking  and scoring schemes reviewed  nrO
human health and environmental effecEs as wJ?l Is JxposSS
manner in which these parameters are combined to g ve  an
ranking or risk categorization varies tremendousl?   Fc?
     Michigan Critical Materials Register t10' :   chemical
     selection is based on combinations of scores in the various
     parameters.  For example, selection for the Register may
     occur if a chemical scores a ' 5 '  in two or more criteria
     These crxteria include all of the health, environmental and




                                                        exposur,

    carcinogenicity and c) mutagenicity.

    Ontario Ministry of the Environment System  ™ - substances
    are selected on the basis of combinations of  scores X
    tOXICltV. r5(=T-HT Ol-on^a =»,^1 l^^ _________ -i .  .   •  _  s=>*"^JJ-*=& J-J1
rZ  •  -I    "   .  l-"e Dasis °r combinations of scores  in
toxxdty, persistence and bioaccumulation. For exlmr>l£
substance is placed on the primary list if I- scopes a'
in any one of the seven toxicity categories  mS has a
persistence of a half-life of 50 days and it has a
bioconcentration factor of more than 500.

Once scores are obtained for each of the various exposure
                                                            '10'
                               1-15

-------
                            it scores HIGH
and effects parameters, chemicals may be placed into categories,
such as selected or non- selected chemicals, or they may be  ranked
in order of priority.

     n^cro-rization may be accomplished by determining an overall
concern score of high, medium or low, or- by selecting  chemicals
according ?o combinlt ions of numerical scores in  the exposure and
effects categories.  For example:

     George Washington University Method  [71 : assigns scores of ^
     highfmedium or low in several  toxicity categories,  release
     and production, persistence and bioaccumulation. ; A  chemical
     S sllected ae /candidate for  Sunsetting  i^l)  it  scores
     HIGH in any toxicity category and HIGH  in  release and
     production (excluding pesticides) OR if JO   .J^scorea
     in any acute or chronic  toxicity category  and HIGH  in
     persistence OR bioaccumulation  (including  pesticides)

     WMS-Scoring System C9'141 : categorizes chemicals into  three
     areas of  priority by plotting  an  image  point .  The  image
     poin? is  determined after each chemical has been 'assigned a
     rank for  exposure and  effects  and these two are plotted  in a
     two-dimensional  diagram.

     Ontario Ministry of the Environment Candidate Substances
     List  fir  Bans  o? Phase-outs « , numerical  scores are
     assigned for environmental transport', persistence and
     bioaccumulation as well as seven categories for toxicity.
      Combinations of scores in these categories  result in  the
      inclusion of the chemical on the primary or secondary lists.

      A quantitative approach has been used by other ranking
 schemes to prioritize chemicals in order of their potential
       ^to hSman and environmental health.  For example:

      University of Tennessee Method [13J :  uses an algorithm which
      includes both additive and multiplicative parameters  to
      determine an overall hazard value for each  chemical.   The
      ctemicS rank indicates its hazard relative to the  other
      chemicals that are scored.

      ATSDR Method [2] : places 275 substance's in order  of  hazard
      potential based  on the total score.  The  total  score  is
      obtained by the  following formula:
      Total score = NPL frequency + Toxicity
       (1800 max pts)
(600 pts)
                                 (600 pts)
                      (600 total pts)
                1-16

-------
t
            Chemical score =  Human risk reduction potential
                                 +
                           Ecological risk reduction potential
            1 '        '      ' •      +•                       .
                           EPA interest
                   Chemical sc°re  for the entire cluster  is  then added

                        P?evention Potential cluster score  (the mean of

                                   tia11 chemical scores and the  higSer of
                                   ecological risk reduction  potential

                                                                    1

 Life Cycle Impact Asseggm<=>ni-

 ,.., As jf .ft were not  difficult enough to weight  and agqreaate the»
 different direct chemical  impact categories  (eTg. ,  carcinoaeniSitv
 versus acute LC50 for fish),  in life cycle impact  kssessmenf non/



                            ^^^^^^
        °1"°n
                     =urren*y for  summing environmental releiee .
HOW MISSING DATA IS HANDLED


Chemical Risk             .


                                   1-17

-------
     Examples of systems that use qualitative (SAR) and/or
ouantiSSvS  (^MO structure-activity relationshxps for predxctxng

the effects of chemical exposure include:

     "Schmallenberg" system [18] :  states what minimum data  set  is


     5s ?«£&£?.=£


     sJmi-quantitative in nature, must be -considered.-

     German  (DBA)  scoring system .»•«: allows the Assignment of


     S^SrSS^S^                       -   ™-
     use of  negative scores was  avoided  in all but a few  cases.
                 o

     obtainSb?e through the use of QSARs  for estimation.
                                                                by
      concern .
      OSARs  when used appropriately, can be used to supplement
      QSAKS, wnen ub    FF £   purposes of screening chemxcals for
 QSARs .


      Other systems avoid the use of QSARs to fill  data gaps by













 can be lowered by filling data gaps.
  CONCLUSIONS


      Th^-re is currently no scientific consensus on human health and

  environmental SsTranLng and scoring ^temSpedYSa?thouS the   9
  =t,r)  =<-or-ina chemical risk are much more developed, althougn tne

  approac£esgvar? considerably. Given the interest in chemical rankxng
                                   1-18

-------
and scoring, and the many potential users, an important first step in
filling in the framework for overall health and environmental ranking
and scoring would be to attempt to develop a consensus system for
ranking and scoring chemical risk.

     Life cycle impact assessment methodologies are much less
developed at present, and the approaches being used vary dramatically
Some important policy questions about the uses of such methodologies
and the framewprk for decision-making must be resolved before a
scientific consensus can begin to be developed on the details of such
overall ranking and scoring systems.
                                1-19

-------
REFERENCES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
 6.
 7.
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 10.
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Behret, H.  (Ed.).   (1989).  Existing Chemicals of Environmental
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Behret, H.  (Ed.).   (1989).  Existing Chemicals of Environmental
Relevance II, Selection Criteria and Second  Priority List.  Gdch-
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Candidate Substances List for Bans or Phase-Outs.   (1992).
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Criteria Working Group of A.R.E.T.S.   (1992) .  A  Critique of  the
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Foran, J. A.,  Glenn, B. S.   (1993).   Criteria to  Identify
Chemical  Candidates for Sunset ting in  the  Great Lakes  Basin.
Washington   DC:  The George Washington  University,  Environmental
Health and  Policy  Program,  Department of Health Care Sciences.
Gios, N., Moller, M.,  Haegh, G. S., & Kolset, K.   	
Existing Chemicals: Systematic Data Collection and Handling for
Priority Setting.  Oslo, Norway:  Center for Industrial Research.

Konemann, H. & Visser, R.   (1988).  Selection of chemicals with
high hazard potential:  Part 1:  WMS-Scoring System.
Chemosphere, 17, 1905-1919.

Michigan Critical Materials Registry  (Criteria and Support
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O'Bryan, T.R. & Ross, R.H.   (1988).
Hazard and Exposure Identification.
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Steen, B. & Ryding, S.   (1992).   The>  EPS Enviro-Accounting
Method.  Goteborg,  Sweden:  Swedish Environmental  Research
Institute  (IVL).
                                      Chemical Scoring System for
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                                   1-20

-------
13.
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Schultz, T. W., Bartmess,  J. E.,  & Davis,  G. A.   (1993).
Characterization and Assessment  of Chemical  Pollutants:   Exposure
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Timmer, M., Konemann, H.  & Visser, R.   (1988).
chemicals with high hazard potential:   Part  2:
System.  Chemosphere, 17, 1921-1934.
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WMS-Scoring
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.   (1985,  1986,  and 1989).
Technical Background Document to Support Rule  Making Pursuant to
CERCLA Section 102  (Vols. 1-3).

U.S. Environmental'Protection Agency.   (Dec. 14,  1990).   Hazard
Ranking System; Final Report.  (40 CFR Part 300).   Federal
Register  (55:241, pp. 51532-51667).  Washington,  DC:  U.S.
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U.S. Environmental Protection. Agency Office of Pollution
Prevention arid Toxiqs, Chemical Engineering Branch.   (1993).
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Weiss, M., Kordel, W., Kuhnen-Clausen, D., Lange,  A.  W.,  &  Klein,
W.   (1988) . Priority Setting of Existing Chemicals.   Chemosphere,
17, 1419-1443.     '
                                 1-21

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                              APPENDIX A

                 SCORING AND RANKING SYSTEMS IDENTIFIED


Abt Associates, Inc.   (1992).  Toxics Release Inventory Environmental
Indicators Methodology.   (Draft Report).  Bethesda, MD:  U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency Office of Pollution Prevention and
Toxics.

Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry.   (1992).  Support
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Will Be The Subject Of Toxicological Profiles.  Washington, DC:  U.S.
Public Health Service.

Behret, H. (Ed.).   (1989).  Existing Chemicals of Environmental
Relevance.  GDCh-Advisory Committee on Existing Chemicals of
Environmental Relevance.  New York:  VCH.

Behret, H. (Ed.).   (1989).  Existing Chemicals of Environmental
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Advisory Committee on  Existing Chemicals of Environmental Relevance.
New York: VCH.

Bouchard, D.   (1991).   Review of Region VII TRI Strategy.   (Memo, EPA
Region VII).

Candidate Substances List for Bans or Phase-Outs..   (1992).  Ontario
Ministry of the Environment.

Criteria Identifying High Risk Pollutants.   (1991).  Environmental
Reporter  (pp. 463-465).  Washington, DC:  Bureau of National Affairs,
Inc.

Crutcher, M. R., & Parker,  F. L.   (1990).  A Classification System f«^
Hazardous Chemical Wastes.  Superfund 90, Hazardous Materials Control"*
Research Institutes, llth Annual National Conference,  222-225.

Environmental Protection Agency.   (Dec. 14, 1990).  Hazard  Ranking
System; Final Rule.    Federal Register  (40  CFR Part 300).

Foran, J. A. & Glenn,  B.  S.   (1993).. Criteria to  Identify  Chemical
Candidates for Sunsetting in  the Great Lakes Basin.  Washington, DC:
The George Washington  University, Environmental Health and  Policy
Program, Department of Health Care  Sciences.

Gjos, N., Moller, M.,  Haegh, G. S.,  & Kolset, K.   (1989).   Existing
Chemicals:  Systematic Data Collection and  Handling for Priority
Setting.  Oslo, Norway:  Center for  Industrial Research.

Gustafsson, L. & Ljung, E.   (1990).  Substances and Preparations
Dangerous for  the Environment:  A System for Classification,  Labelling
                                  1-22

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and Safety Data Sheets.  Miljorapport:  Nordic Council of Ministers.

Halfon, E., & Reggiani, M. G.   (1986).  Notes on Ranking Chemicals  for
Environmental Hazard.  Environ. Sci.  Technol. 20, 1173-1179.

Hallstedt, P.A., Puskar, M. A., & Levine, S. P.   (1986).  Application
of the Hazard Ranking System to the Prioritization of Organic
Compounds Identified at Hazardous Waste Remedial Action Sites.
Hazardous Waste and Hazardous Materials, 3(2), 221-232.

Hawley, K. A., &  Napier, B. A.   (1985).  A Ranking System  for
Hazardous Sites & With Mixed Radioactive and Hazardous Wastes  (Comment
Draft Report).  Richland, WA: U.S. Department of Energy, DOS,  PNL.

Hutchinson, W. R., & Hoffman, J. L.   (1983).  A Ground Water Pollution
Priority System   (N.J. Geographical Open File, Report No. 83-4).
Trenton, NJ: Division of Water Resources.

International.Joint Commission's Binational Objective Development
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Lists 1, 2, 3.

Jones, T. D., Walsh, P. J., Watson, A. P., Owen, B. A., Barnthouse, L.
W. ,  Sanders, D. A.  (1987).  Chemical Scoring by a Rapid Screen of
Hazard  (RASH) Method.  Risk Analysis, 8(1), 99+

Klein, W., Kordel, W., Klein, A. W., Kuhnen-Clausen, D., &  Weiss, M.
(1988) .  Systematic Approach for Environmental Hazard Ranking  of New
Chemicals.  Chemosphere, 17, 1445-1462.

Konemann, H. & Visser, R.   (1988).  Selection of chemicals  with high
hazard potential:  Part 1:  WMS-Scoring System.  Chemosphere,  17,
1905-1919.

Laskowski, P. A., Goring, C. A. I., McCall, P.J., &  Swann, R.L.
(1982).  Principles of Environmental Risk Analysis: Terrestrial
Environment.  R. Conway  (Ed.), Environ Risk Analysis for Chemicals,
pp.  198-240.  New York:  Van Nostrand Reinhold.

Michigan Critical Materials Registry.   (Criteria and Support
Documents).  (1987). Michigan Department of Natural Resources.

Morgenstern, R., Clay, D., Emison, G., Hanmer, R., & Williams, M.
(1987).  USEPA Unfinished Business Report:  A Comparative Assessment
of Environmental Problems.  Washington, DC:  U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency.

O'Bryan, T.R. & Ross, R.H.   (1988).  Chemical Scoring System for
Hazard and Exposure Identification.  J. Toxicol. Env., Health,  1, 119-
34.

Ontario Municipal Industrial Strategy for Abatement  (MISA)  Effluent
                                  1-23

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Monitoring Priority Pollutants List.
Ministry of the Environment.
(1987,  1988,  1989).   Ontario
Pavia, R., & Harris, L.,  (Eds.).   (1985).  Coastal Hazardous Waste
Site Review, 30 June 1985.  Seattle, WA: Ocean Assessments Division,
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Rechard, R. P., Wilkinson, G. F., & Schreiber, J. D.  (1991). User's
Manual for SRS88: 'Site Ranking System for Chemical and Radioactive
Waste   (SAND87-2815, DOE/HWP-26). Albuquerque, NM: Sandia National
Laboratories.

Sampaolo, A. & Binetti, R.   (1986).  Elaboration of a Practical Method
for Priority Selections and Risk Assessment among Existing Chemicals.
Reg. Toxicol. & Pharmacol, 6, 129-154.

Schultz, T. W., Bartmess, J. E., & Davis, G. A.   (1993).
Characterization and Assessment of Chemical Pollutants:  Exposure and
Impact Analyses.  Knoxville, TN:  University of Tennessee.

Silka, L. R., & Swearingen, T. L.   (1978).  A Manual for Evaluating
Contamination Potential of Surface Impoundments.  (EPA 570/9-78-003).
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Steen, B. & Ryding, S.   (1992).  The EPS Enviro-Accounting Method.
Goteborg, Sweden: Swedish Environmental Research Institute  (IVL).

U.S. Department of Defense.   (1991).  User's Manual for the Defense
Priority Model  (FY 1992 version).  Office of Deputy Assistant
Secretary of Defense.   (Environment).

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  Hazardous Air Pollutants:
Proposed Regulations Governing Constructed, Reconstructed and Modified!
Major Sources  (40 CFR.Part 63).

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.   (1985). , A Ranking System for
Clean Water Act Section 307 (a) List of Priority Pollutants.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.   (1985, 1986, and 1989).
Technical Background Document to Support,Rule Making Pursuant to
CERCLA Section 102  (Vols. 1-3).

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Air Quality Planning
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Category Ranking System:  Development and Methodology.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Air Quality Planning
Standards.   (1991).  National Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air
Pollutants for Source Categories: Proposed Regulations Governing
Compliance Extensions for Early Reductions of Hazardous Air
Pollutants.
                                   1-24

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U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Environmental Criteria
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U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Health and
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U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Pollution Prevention
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(1988) .  Priority Setting of Existing Chemicals.  Chemosphere, 17,
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Richland, WA:  Pacific Northwest Laboratory.
                                  1-25

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                      APPENDIX J
GRAMIC REFRESENTAHONS OF TWO RISK RANKING CTAMEWORKS

-------

-------
                Framework for Assessment and Ranking
   in
   05
   Crt
   CD
   W
   O5
   3
   CD
          Human
          Impacts
            Health
       Descriptor
         Purpose/
          Scope
  Ecological
  Impacts
Resource and
   other
Environmental
  Impacts

                                                            Ranking
                                                            Systems
 Social/
Economic
Impacts
np«rri JmPaCt   Resource Depletion   Social/Economic
Descriptor       Descriptor         Impact Descriptor
 U)
       Environmental
    Valuation or Weighing
                Involvement
                of Stakeholders
CO
CD
3
CD
  Improvement Opportunities
           Options
           Selection
                               j-i

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        Proposed Framework for Environmental Valuation
    Economic
  Consequences
                           Prospective

                             Action
                  Performance
                  Consequences
Environmental
Consequences
•o
o
£1
4_>
0>
z:
Don't Know
 
 cc.
                             Overall
                             Valuation
                                         No
                                                           CD
                                                           <

                                                           CO
                                                           fD

                                                           >
                                                           n
                                                           r-c

                                                           O
                           implement Action
                         Evaluate Consequences
                                 J-2

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               APPENDIX K
HEALTH IMPACTS AND LIFE CTCLE ASSESSMENT

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                                                                   ,992:9,
    Health impacts and Life Cycle Assessment
    Amte Schmidt®, Jens Erik ,e,nes», Lisbe* Enge, Ha^en' and  Allan As.n.p
   Summary

©: dk-TEKNIK, Gladsaxe M<,IIevej 15, 2860 S0borg, Denmark
                      '
                                                                 14I,

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The
1.      Introduction

T ife Cvcle Assessment (LCA) is rapidly becoming an important tool in environmental


S£S!fe last fel years has shown the need for a more m-depth hazard
evaluation of the data reported in the inventories.

         from collecting data in relation  to the impacts in a materials' life cycle (the
             /^S ^o Evaluation of this information (the life-cycle  assessment) has
obeen      on vSy few occasions, although it is a great wish from potential users
of LC?s The majorlplanation is probably that this step today cannot be performed
on a folly scientific basis. No commonly accepted  method has been developed, and
tofore more caution in defining  system boundaries  and stating omissions and
JSwe sourcl of misinterpretation  must be observed when taking this  step than
 when presenting the life-cycle analysis.

 1.1     Lack of scientific basis in health assessment

 The lack of scientific basis may be divided into two categories, namely a lack of data
 and A?subjSve evaluation  of the available information. These two. issues  are
 discussed briefly below.

  1J.1   Lack of data

  Lack of data may be encountered both in the analysis and the assessment phase. With




  S^cteLd. are without great importance with respect to  *+™™^
  energy and  raw materials, but  seen from  the evaluation side they  may be very
  tmoortant  These substances' may of course also prove to be of no importance, but if
  S aTnot lisSl any where in u inventory the importance will never be determined
  S^ack  of Information  is especially  important  when  assessing the  potential
  occupational health impacts.

  With  respect to evaluation of the potential impacts on  the health of the general
  populatio^he inventories are not very specific as they are ^«*^*££
  environmental impacts. For instance, many inventories accounts for the totol emission
  of hydrocarbons per kg material, but there is no specification of these hydrocarbons.
  As ther^S a very great difference between the  potential  impact  of a carcinogenic
  fub Sice e g Ae, and a relatively innocent compound like heptane. This lack
  of s^ificity make any health evaluation impossible When assessing  he : potent^
  healSTimpacts it is therefore necessary to make a supplemented data collection to fill
  in the information gaps of  a "regular" inventory. The supplementary data are often
  quaTi Ltive by Mature and will thus only provide  sufficient information for a hazard
   identification.
                                      K-2

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           Coverall t^c*vrf                   P™««- » insufficient  when
A 2
         Subjective evaluation
* Age of information,
* Test design and methods, and
* Reproducibility of results between laboratories
                                                                Which results
                                                ^
                                    K-3

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2.      Reports with an approach to health impact assessment

Although it is agreed upon by LCA-practitioners that a clear-cut evaluation of a Hfe-
c^cSSlysis STfaSte, some attempts to perform an evaluation have been mad^
The background for these attempts is that only in very rare cases is it possMe to
lonclude anything from a life-cycle analysis, and therefore * is a strong wish from aU
potential users of life-cycle assessments (authorities, consumers, producers) to have
a tool for interpretation of the life-cycle analyses.

The following discussion is mainly focused on the assessment of the impacts.

2.1     The BUS- and BUWAL-reportsIA3

These Swiss  reports are commisioned by the Swiss Environmental Protection Agency
mundes^t rJ^Umweltsschutz) with the  aim of  producing  a system where  it is
possMe to choose the most environmental friendly packaging among  a  number-of
atenudves.  The reports do not evaluate the potential health impacts of each emiss^n
fiTSaU,  but aggregates'the relation  between each  emission quantity  and  he
corresponding  MIC-value (Maximal Immission Concentration) according  to  the
following formula:
             Emission Quantity (mg/feg)
      Maximal Immision Concentration (mg/m3)
= Critical Volume (m3/kg)
 The "Critical Volume" reached by the formula should thus represent the theoretical
 amount of air necessary to dilute to a "safe" concentration the emissions to air from
 one Wo of material throughout its life-cycle. Lack of a Swiss MIC-value4  on  an
 emisSon is at first handled by using German standards' (VDI-guidelmes). If no Swiss
 o^rmaL MIC-value is found, a proportional interpolation of Occupational Exposure
 Limits (MAK-Werte) is used.

 A similar approach is used for evaluation of the emissions to water. In this context
 however, the limit values are taken from Swiss legislation on waste water emissions

 Together with aggregated data on energy consumption and generation_ of solid waste
 these elements are considered to constitute an ecological profile per kilo of a given
 material  Specifying different products or, preferably,  a functional unit then yields
 Sr^ssibiSty of calculation  of the overall  impact this functional  unit may have
 LSout the life-cycle. In order to be more environmentally friendly a material must
 perform  better  in  all four elements (critical  volumes in air and water, energy
 consumption, generated volume of solid waste).

  Use of legislative standards in the overall  assessment of a material causes a number
  of problems. As the methodology allegedly describes the environmental impacts it is
  not very transparent how the effects are divided into health and environmental effects
  and the methodology can thus not be used for a health assessment without a scrutiny
                                        K-4

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  2.7.7    Ecological scarcity and eco-points
         the actual level of antropogenic emissions of this pollutant on the other hand'

















The calculation of the "Ecofactor" is done according to, the formula



        Ecofactor =  1/Fk * F/Fk * c
                                     K-5

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        - emissions to air,
        - emissions to water,
        - energy consumption and
        - waste generation.

The final result is a number of Ecopoints that should be comparable between different
materials and products.






     'suf a nail L the methodology as a whole or as a basis for assessing human
      Impacts is not suitable for the Nordic (or any scientifically based) study.
 2.2    The DTI-report on PVC and selected alternative materials

                »                                                   ss


 a voluntary reduction of the consumption of PVC.





            S  Furthermore the Danish authorities underlines the necessity -of
            occupational health assessment in the overall evaluation and ^ was thus
           to develop an integrated method for assessing the environmental impact of
  the following elements:

  * Consumption of resources (including energy)
  * Potential exposure in the work environment
  * Potential effects in the work environment
  * Potential exposure in the natural environment
  * Potential effects in the natural environment
  * Risk of accidents.

  The overall methodology has been summarized elsewhere9, and the present review
  therefore focuses on the assessment of potential health impacts.

  As  no "regular"  life-cycle analysis applies to the work environment the basis chosen
  for the assessment is qualitative to a large extent.  The principle in the asses ™nti
  that a consultation of experts and review of literature sources is performed in order
  to  creTn the Materials for possible impacts. In those cases where the occupational
  hea^mTmpact T were  considered to be  of  possible importance a more  extensive
                                      K-6

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 documentation of the potential impacts was established. Finely,  both exposure and
 effects were scored in one of the four categories:
                 Potential for severe impact
                 Potential for some impact
                 No potential for impact
                 Insufficient data for evaluation
 The authors of the report are aware that this methodology has a number of serious
 limitations of which the major considerations are: Problem areas may be forgotten or
 maybe no longer exists, only available (= old) literature is used, variations between
 plants and  countries are not documented, and  focus is  on materials and  not on
 products.

 As the methodology is expert-based the subjectivity of the assessment may become a
 dominant feature of this methodology. This subjectivity will be more pronounced with
 decreasuig amounts and quality of the data. However,  the documentation  of the
 potential exposure and effects in critical elements is very transparent  and therefore a
 suitable basis for discussion. If more detailed and up-to-date inventories including the
 work environment, could be produced  some of the subjectivity associated with the
me hodology would disappear. The remaining subjectivity which is related to the effect
evaluation would not be so important as there is full transparency in the documentation
tor the assessment
                       10
 2.3     The EPS-system

 Z?e,?PSQ~SySjem (Environmental Priority Strategies in Product Design) was developed
 by the Swedish Environmental Research  Institute in  order to give designers and
•££? T£ the P^1^ °f asse^"g the total impacts of a product fronf cradle to
 grave   The model is based  on aggregation of four impact elements: Resource (raw

 Sh   H enefgy'     } SCardty Md th£ CffeCt °f emissions to Jiir' soil a"d *ater °"
 health and environment. One emission or situation may  have several impacts,  e.g  on
 the foCwTng^a      acidification- Each of these situations are treatedI  seperatlly in


For the effect-indices a combination of several  figures is used: Intensity or frequency
of an  effect, extent and duration  of the effect, contribution to the  total effect in

fac'torTh;^ •? drTg thC  emiSSi°n by °ne Wei*ht unit' ^  an a^essment
factor  that considers the degree of inconvenience of a  negative effect with a given
intensity and limits in time and space.

If a substance is contributing to several problems an index is calculated for each
problem and these indexes are added  to get the  total index for the substance. The

                       1S r!^ by the emitted am°unt ^ M "Environmental
                                    a materia1' a Pr°duet' °r Jl process'the
                                   K-7

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the conclusion.

24     The Danish Materials Technology Development Programme"
 ^necessary. Such a development is presented in the present report.

 2.5     Development of environmentally friendly products12

 The Technical University of Denmark,  Institute for Product Development and the










  critical elements in the life-cycle of the chosen alternative.
The life
               inventory should include both raw materials, additives, auxiliaries, and
                 the relevant processes. There is therefore a ne^ for more mform^on
  than normally generated in a life cycle analysis.

  The inventory screening is based on Danish regulations for the external environment
                      t "All compounds and their potential effects, i.e., carcmogemci-
                                       K-8

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   Al'J^h gyi'  ne"rotoxlclty' ^production toxicity, corrosion  and irritation are listed
   Also the classification and R-sentences are noted in the list. The effects are graded in
   three classes with corrosion and irritation in the lowest category, allergy  neurotoxici-
   ty, genotoxicity, and  systemic effects  in  the middle  category  and c^cer
   reproduction toxicity in the highest and most serious category6 do an^ng  ™

  HoweveTfhi^ *"  — ^ *"» * ^^ ™nt of **
  However, this screening step is not meant for decision-making,,
^   i
hygielts
                         Pr0file' ** P016"^ effects m more thoroughly evaluated
                          ^fential eXP°SUre (eXp°SUre Wa*S' ma£nitud*> is «nS
                          this step is performed by  toxicologists  and industrial
 In step 4, the number and exposure level of chemical compunds in different effect
 categories are counted, and the best alternative should be the one wi*£ ^smallS
 number of compounds in the highest category.

 The final step in the methodology is rather superficial as the number of chemicals in
 each category is the  only parameter used for choosing the right: alternative  No
 consideration is given to e.g., the potency of the carcinogenic cLpounds a^d £e
 potent^ for exposure is only described very briefly. An experienced LcologS may

      6                   "      tive' but U is ^ doub^ul Aether a de%neT
                                  *****                             '
2.6    Environmental Risk Management

The Danish company COWI Consult has developed a framework for environmental
nsk management13. This framework is based on a life cycle analysis aTd XTbo^

IT?Sf oS relT  t? lmPaCt im° aCCOUnt' ^ P^"- ^V°lves ^k
1) A list of all relations between a given industrial activity and  the environment fan
inventory)  is made, and 2) The  inventory is  elaborated into  a
environmental and human health  relations including priority
ranking is performed on the basis  of the following matrix-
                                   K-9

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                Assessment
                parameters.
                                                        No protection
              Very good
              protection
                Dispersion in
                working
                environment
Occupational
health/safety
                                                        Reproduction
                                                        and cancer risks
                          Irritation,
                          illness
               Effect on,
               health
                Dispersion
                 cale
                                                        Reproduction
                                                        and cancer risks
                           Irritation,
                           illness
                Effect on
                health
                               As for "Amount" under health impact, other
                               parameters unchanged
Amount x
probability
Each of the three relation to human health impact is assigned three assessment
posters, each of which may have the score  1, 2 or 3.  Reasons should be given
Sv and briefly for each score assigned, and the total assessment score for each
Son * obSned by multiplying the three assessment scores. If more than one score
Is oSed Tm a given activity, i.e., there are more than one emission, the worst
score is taken as the indicator of the impact.
The priority ranking system is basically very similar to the screening
will be described  later.  As the system  is meant as a tool for enviromental risk
             in industries the author emphasize that it is not an exact system,  but
          ogic^l framework for the assessment proces. In this context the absence of
         criSria for exposure and effects assessment is of less importance. However,
            Lessment in lifecycle context the development of such catena is crucial.
 2.7     Other methods

 As life-cycle assessment is a fairly new discipline
 health assessment may exist. One such method will soon be published by the Tellus
 Sfutet i uTA. Their method has been developed in a study on the environmental
 impacts of packaging materials, but no information is available at present.
                                      K-10

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  2.6     Conclusion                      ,        .

  Under all circumstances should the goal definition of each of the above mentioned
  reports be kept in mind when discussing the methodology and the results. The reports
  discussed above have all been criticized because of the methodology, the results, or
  both. Some of the criticism has forgotten to take the goal definition into account, and
  it must  be  realized  that  a 100% objective  assessment  methodology cannot  be
  developed.  It is  however  necessary  to make attempts to assess and compare the
  potential impacts of a material or product, as the life-cycle concept otherwise lose its
  value. If the "hired-gun"-criticism shall be avoided, it is necessjiry that objectivity is
  maintained  as far as  possible and  that it is clearly stated  whenever the evaluation
  becomes subjective.

  3.      Description of a new method for screening and priority setting

  3.1     Introduction

 In the following a new method is presented. The method does not pretend to give ah
 unequivocal assessment of  materials but is rather a method which gives information
 on the seriousness of the potential health impacts of a material. It must be stated that
 this method also calls for subjective evaluations, but we think that the subjectivity is
 minimal in relation to the efforts that a purely objective assessment, if possible, would
 demand.  In order to facilitate the evaluation, the methodology follows the normal way
 of making a risk assessment as far as possible without pretending to be an actual risk
 assessment.  In the screening procedure, guidelines on how  to h,andle lack of data is
 incorporated.

 3.1.1   Prerequisites

 One of the basic prerequisites for a thorough assessment  of the potential health
 impacts of a material is full information on exposure to and effects of all emissions.
 Exposure data must relate to conditions in the work environment, in the immediate
 vicinity of the production  plant,  regionally  and  globally.  Exposure data should
 consider possible uptake via the respiratory tract and the skin arid,, orally, by drinking
 water  and eating contaminated food. The effect data should include  acute toxicity,
 irritation  and, more important, long-term effects like cancer, reproduction toxicity,
 neurotoxicity and chronic organ damages.

 Full information is rarely found even for major chemicals. Generation of the data will
 be extremely time-consuming and therefore it is  necessary to make a  number of
 assumptions and simplifications, if health impacts are to be integrated in Life Cycle
 Assessments.  In the making of these assumptions  and simplifications a degree of
 subjectivity is introduced, and a methodology based on this should be regarded  as a
 screening  tool or a tool  for making priorities for a more in-depth evaluation.  It is
indicated that the following method can be used for these purposes.  It is also possible
that the degree of subjectivity is so small that comparisons between emissions and
materials  may be possible. However,  only testing of the  method will show its
limitations.

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3.2     Exposure

The exposure assessment should whereever possible be related to operational units.
As basic operational units occupational exposure limits and environmental quality
standards are suggested. In doing so it is recognized that these are the maximum
values occurring at normal circumstances. The values are not used to assess the effects
but only to relate exposure to official  policy,  and a division into three exposure
categories will not cause any scientific "damage" in a priority system. In the priority
system the possible exponential relation between exposure and effect is reflected by
the rating ofthe three categories. The ratings of 1, 2, and 4 are thus to be regarded
as indicators of potential for impact rather than actual scores. When combining the
rating for exposure and effect this will point to the most critical situations, where an
in-depth evaluation is necessary.
 "Low" exposure:
 "Medium" exposure:
 "High" exposure:
Rating = 1
Rating = 2
Rating = 4
 As the exposure situations varies widely according to geographic distribution, different
 categories are made for four situations:
 Wnrlf environment:

 Low exposure:
 Medium exposure:
 High exposure:
Detected
Generally < 1/lOofOEL
Frequently > 1/10 of OEL
 Immediate vicinity (r < 1 km)
 Low exposure:
 Medium exposure:
 High exposure:

 Regional (r < 25 km)

 Low exposure:
 Medium exposure:
 High exposure:

 Global

 Low exposure:
 Medium exposure:
 High exposure:
 Always < 1/10 of quality standard
 Seldom > 1/10 of quality standard
 Generally  > 1/10 of quality standard
 Detected
 Generally <  1/10 of quality standard
 Frequently >  1/10 or quality standard
 Trace amounts
 < 1/10 of quality standard
 > 1/10 of quality standard
  The suggested criteria for both the geographical and exposure division are not based
  on scientific findings but are set arbitrarily. The choice of 1/10 of the OEL or the
  quality standard can be seen as a "safety" factor in the priority system which indicates
                                     K-12

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that these values not always are set on a purely scientific basis. The use of a safety
factor of 10 is thus justified in a screening  procedure, and only a more thorough
exposure assessment can estimate the real situation. In this context it is important that
all possible exposure routes are taken into consideration and  thus an evaluation  of
distribution and fate of the emissions is an important part of the: exposure assessment.

As for the use of the terms "seldom", "generally" and "frequently" in the exposure
assessment  it should be pointed  out  that they are  intended to encompass possible
exposure under  normal conditions  as well  as  during  e.g.,  uncommon weather
conditions or accidents. In the work environment the exposure from a well-controlled
process should generally be below 1/10 of the OEL and only exceed this value in case
of poor process  management or accidents. However, if the process  for some reason
is difficult to control, there may be frequent excursions above 1/1.0 of the OEL and
the exposure will accordingly be rated "high". In the regional  environment the  term
"seldom" applies to situations like inversion  or atypical operating conditions, e.g.,
cleaning operations, starting procedures and minor accidents, occurring at most a few
times per year.  In  the context of regional exposure, "generally >  1/10 of quality
standard" means that there is a general impact on the environment and that this impact
can be observed at  almost all occasions.

It can already be foreseen that occupational exposure limits or quality standards cannot
be found for all of the emissions described in the life cycle analysis. As a preliminary
approach to this situation it is suggested that the exposure level for  such compounds
are rated as "medium". When combining exposure and effect  ratings it should then
become evident if these situations are regarded as critical.
3.3
Effect criteria
The criteria for evaluation of the effects are developed from ideas based on Gj0s et
al.  (1989)14 and Schmidt et al (1990)"..The major change relative to the references
is that all categories and effects have been filled in.

Where internationally accepted systems for labelling or classification exist these have
been incorporated. Thus for the effect irritation, substances classifiable with R-phrases
according to the EEC labelling guide have been grouped according to seriousness of
the effects, ie  irritating substances are in category  2 and corrosive substances in
category 3. Similarly, the criteria of IARC has been included with modifications in
the categorization for carcinogenic effect. The lowest score (Category 1) is given to
substances with inadequate evidence for carcinogenic effect (IARC group 3), and the
highest score (Category 3)  is given to substances with animal or human evidence for
carcinogenic effect (IARC  Group 1, 2A and, 2B). Substances, where no studies on
carcinogenic effect can be found, are placed in category 2 (sees below).

In the evaluation of substances for effects on irritation, sensitisation, and carcinoge-
nicity it  should be considered if the substance  fulfils the  criteria for classification.
Therefore it is not enough to check in the published lists, if the chemical is on the lists
or is to be marked with an R-phrase.
                                   K-13

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For most of the other effects no internationally accepted criteria exists. The cut-off
values presented in the table have been set partly from unofficial criteria used by the
Danish Environmental Protection  Agency  (Milj0styrelsen)  in  the evaluation  of
pesticides.

If an effect of a  compound cannot be assessed as belonging to one of the  three
categories because of lack of data, it is preliminary put in category 2.

In the final evaluation of the health effects of a chemical information on all the effects
listed in the table should be included, and the substances are grouped as listed below.
"Low" effect (score 1):
"Medium" effect (score 2):
"High" effect (score 4):
At most one effect from Category 2
At least two effects from Category 2
At least one effect from Category 3
The exponential scoring (1, 2, and 4) will, when combining exposure and effect,
clarify the final evaluation and indicate if an  emission is critical in the life cycle
assessment.

Table 1. Effect categories in health assessment.
Element
Acute toxicity
LDM, oral, rat, mg/kg
LDM> skin, rat/rabbit, mg/kg
LCM, inhalation, 4 h, rat, mg/1
Irritation
Sensitisalion
Organ toxicity
Genotoxicily
Carcinogenicity
Category 1
LDM > 2000
LDM > 2000
LCM > 20
No corrosive or irritative
effects
•Negative result in the
GPM test or equivalent
No organ effects seen at
1/10 of lowest dose level
for category 1 acute toxici-
ty in studies lasting at least
28 days
No evidence of mutation or
chromosome damage in in
vivo or in vitro test systems
IARC group 3 or equivalent
data
Category 2
25 < LDjo <. 2000
50 < to* <. 2000
0,5 < LCM <_ 20
Irritating to skin (R38), eyes
(R36) or respiratory system
(R37)
Positive result in GPM test
or equivalent, but no human
evidence
Organ effects seen at dose
levels of 1/10 for category 2
high limit but above the
category 3 limit in acute
toxicity in studies lasting at
least 28 days
Up to 3 nonsignificantly
positive results for mutation
and or chromosome damage
in in vivo or in vitro systems
IARC group 2B. but no R45
Category 3
LDjo <. 25
LDM <. 50
LCM\<.0,5
Corrosive (R34, R35), seri-
ous eye damage (R41)
Human evidence for allergy
(inhalation or skin contact
(R42, R43). On more than
2 country lists for allergens
Human organ effects are
known. Organ effects seen
at dose levels below the
category 3 high limit for
acute toxicity in studies las-
ting at least 28 days
At least one significantly
positive result for mutation
and or chromosome damage
in in vivo or in vitro sys-
tems
IARC group 1 , 2A or 2B
with R45 or equivalent data.
                                       K.-14

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Element
Neurotoxicity
Reproduction toxicity/
Teratogenicity
Category 1
No neurotoxic effects seen
in studies lasting at least 28
days at lowest dose level
given under category 1
acute toxicity
No maternal toxicity and no
effects seen on fertility or
foetus at 1/10 of lowest
dose level for category 1
acute toxicity
Category 2
Neurotoxic effects reported
in studies lasting at least 28
days at dose levels for cate-
gory 2 acute toxicity
No maternal toxicity but ef-
fects seen on fertility or
foetus at dose levels below
1/10 of highest level for
category 2 acute toxicity but
not within limit of category 3
acute toxicity
Category 3
Hunuin evidence for neuro-
toxic effects. Neurotoxic
effects reported in studies
lasting at least 28 days at
dose levels for category 3
acute toxicity
No maternal toxicity but
effects seen on fertility or
foetus at the dose level for
category 3 acute toxicity
 GPM test: Guinea pig maximisation test
 IARC :  International Agency for Research on Cancer
 Note: For effects  where internationally accepted criteria exist, the chemical under
 concern should be evaluated to see, if it fulfils these criteria.

 3.4     Description of effects

 Regulatory agencies  in different countries  have set criteria for when  to  classify a
 chemical as for instance a poison,  a carcinogen or a teratogen. These criteria are
 mainly based on data from animal, bacterial or in vitro experiments, since experience
 of human exposure to one certain chemical is rarely available. Exceptions to this gene-
 ral observation are the medicines, which have been through clinical trials before they
 are marketed, and toxic agents such as asbestos, mercury, lead, vinyl chloride, and
 alcohol, which have shown clear human effects.

 In general, most of the information  which can be gathered on toxicity of a chemical
 is based on animal studies using mammalian species such as mice, rats, rabbits, guinea
 pigs or hamsters. As a response to the increasing pressure against such animal experi-
 ments, development of alternative test methods using cell cultures or non-mammalian
 species is  in progress. At present  the greatest success within this  field  has been
 obtained in the area of genotoxicity  testing.

 In the following a general and brief overview of the lexicological effects selected as
 criteria in  the screening of chemicals for human health risk in connection with  life
 cycle assessment will be presented.

 3.4.1   Acute toxicity

 Testing for acute toxicity in animals (rodents)  is rapid and fairly inexpensive.  For
 almost all  chemicals data on acute toxicity via  some route of administration can be
 searched and most often found. In the predictive toxicology administration via the oral
and dermal route and via inhalation can be used to group the chemicals into categories
according to the dose levels causing lethality in 50% of the animals after a single dose
 (LDsoor  LC50). Due to differences in absorption, metabolism and sensitivity it  is not
                                   K-15

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uncommon that the LD50- or LC50-values vary by a factor of ten using the same route
of administration when different species are investigated.

Regulatory agencies and OECD have established guidelines for this and other types
of testing. They group the chemicals into categories according to results  obtained
following these guidelines. In dosing orally and dermally a fixed amount of chemical
is given to the animals at a specific time. However, when using the inhalation route
of exposure the duration of exposure in hours is also important. Most guidelines use
a 4-hour exposure for LC50-value classification.  For any LC-value the duration of ex-
posure should be indicated.

Sometimes only LDLO-values are available. LDLO-values give the lowest concentration
at which lethality has  been observed. The LDLO-values can be used to give a very
rough estimate of the LD50-values.  As LD50 values always  are higher than  LDLO
values,  a  LDLO value can be used in classification, if it is above the high  limit for
LD50 of a category in table 1.

3.4.2   Irritation

Gasses, most liquids and quite a number of solid chemicals have a sufficient vapour
pressure at room temperature to cause activation of the sensory system of humans, ie
they can be smelled. If this sensory activation is regarded as unpleasant or adverse to
the eyes or respiratory tract the substance is regarded as irritating. Furthermore, dust
from solid chemicals may cause irritation, if the dust is inhaled or deposited in the
eyes.

Testing for irritative properties, including corrosion, can be carried out  in laboratory
animals, and guidelines for testing eye and skin irritation in animals exist (eg OECD
Guidelines 404 and 405). Most often rabbits are used as test animals for this type  of
test.

Testing for respiratory tract irritation can be carried out in rodents by measuring their
respiratory frequency and respiratory volume. A substance irritating to the respiratory
tract will reduce the respiratory frequency and/or respiratory volume of-the  animals.

It is thus possible to test a variety of irritating  effects in laboratory animals, but  in
general there is a lack of data, as the tests have only been performed on a limited
number of chemicals, or results of the tests have not been published in open literature.
Irritation is the effect most often observed at the lowest concentration. As chemicals
in general can be smelled before they are found irri.ating by humans, smell is a
warning sign of the presence  of chemical. For  most  chemicals  the  occupational
exposure limits are based on no-effect level for irritation.

3.4.3   Sensitisation

The ability of chemicals to cause sensitisation can be tested in  a variety of laboratory
tests. The best known is the "Guinea Pig  Maximisation Test", which uses dermal
exposure,  but  further  tests are  described  in OECD Guideline 406. The  methods
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include a sensitisation with the chemical followed by later challenge to the chemical.
If the animal reacts to the challenge dose, it is said to be sensitised.

Hypersensitivity in an individual is seen  as a violent reaction on contact with small
doses of the chemical,  which is without such an effect in other individuals.  If the
immune  system is involved  the  effects are called allergenic, but general toxic
hypersensitivity is also known.

Quite a lot of information on sensitisation and hypersensitivity comes from human
evidence, ie when  people have reacted violently to a chemical or a natural agent such
as fungal spores or animal proteins; The effects may involve the sldn (eczema) or the
respiratory tract (rhinitis, asthma, or allergic pneumonia). The chemicals causing
allergenic reactions are mostly known to produce a skin reaction, but some chemicals
are known to result in allergenic reactions of the respiratory tract.

For chemicals causing allergy  there  is  no threshold.  This  means that once  an
individual has been sensitised to  a chemical, subsequent exposures to only very small
amounts of the chemical may induce a violent allergenic reaction. As there is no cure
for allergenic diseases,  this may lead to change of occupation  or  retirement, if the
exposure is occupational.

The criteria for EEC  labelling with the R-phrases 42 and 43 are semiquantitative in
as much as labelling of a chemical with  these phrases can  be carried out, if human
evidence have shown  that persons  exposed to the chemical  have a. high frequency of
allergy.

3.4.4   Organ toxicity

Most information  on  organ toxicity is derived from short-term (28 or 90 days) or
long-term (1-2 years) studies in laboratory animals. The doses used in these studies
are always lower than those used in acute studies. The OECD has published guidelines
(nos. 407-413, 452,453) for the conduct of these types of study and, depending on the
duration  of the study, different numbers  of organs are studied histopathologically at
the end of the study. In general,  organs such as lungs, liver, kidneys,  heart,  and
spleen are included in all these studies. The aim of studies on organ toxicity is to de-
termine the possible target organ for the chemical. The target organ  is the organ "being
affected at the lower dose. Once  the target organ has been established  one might
conduct further studies  to establish the detailed effects and mechanism of action for
the chemical, and one can establish the no-effect level (NOEL),  if one or more of the
lowest doses are without effect.

As  there may  be differences in metabolism  and sensitivity to chemicals  between
laboratory animals and man,  it  is usual  to include safety factors  when relating the
observations  in laboratory animals to possible effects in man.

The final evidence for an effect  of  a chemical in man, however, comes from
observations  in man, so if a chemical has shown an effect on an organ in  laboratory
animals,  then studies on intoxications  or on  workers occupalionally exposed to the
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chemical can  be conducted in order to confirm if the effect occurs under normal
exposure conditions.

Prior to the introduction of animal testing for regulatory purposes most evidence on
toxicity of chemicals were derived from human experience, ie workers occupationally
exposed to hazardous chemicals.

3.4.5   Genotoxicity

Agents that affects the DNA or the chromosomes are considered genotoxic. A wide
variety of bacterial  tests systems has been developed to test if chemicals can induce
changes in DNA, i.e. they are mutagenic. The most commonly used of the bacterial
tests for mutagenicity is the Ames test using Salmonella typhimurium. Investigations
of chromosome damage involves either in vivo dosing or the use of in vitro cultivation
of mammalian cell cultures, followed by a suitable staining and or scoring procedure.
Such test procedures may detect chromosome  aberration, sister chromatid exchanges
or unscheduled DNA synthesis. The OECD Guidelines 471-485 describe these various
genotoxicity tests.

In general genotoxic agents are very likely to be carcinogenic,  therefore  chemical
companies use the bacterial mutagenicity tests to screen  new chemicals. Most often
the presence of mutagenic activity in  a bacterial test will stop further development of
a new chemical.                     -

3.4.6   Cardnogenicity

A normal cell has to undergo a number of changes before it becomes a malignous
cancer cell. The process can be divided into initiation and promotion. The process of
initiation usually involves changes in the DNA, and is thus often caused by mutagenic
substances.  The process of promotion  does not  involve changes of the DNA, and
therefore an additional number of substances can act as  promoters of the carcinogenic
process. Some substances  can act as both  initiator  and promoter,  these are called
complete carcinogens.

In animals, testing for carcinogenicity,  eg according to OECD Guideines 45-1, 453,
is among the most expensive tests as such a  study normally has a duration of two
years and involves quite a large number of experimental animals. The rationale behind
conducting animal carcinogenicity studies is that cancer  is considered  as one of the
most serious effects, due to its severity and poor prospects of cure. Therefore there
is a general interest in  preventing exposure to carcinogenic substances in order to
reduce the risks of developing cancer.

It is generally accepted that for most carcinogenic substances there is no threshold
value i.e. exposure to even low concentrations of carcinogenic substances might lead
to the development of cancer. For some carcinogenic substances (promoters), such as
hormones and substances affecting balance of  hormones,  there might be a threshold.
Whether or not a threshold exists has to be clarified for the chemical of concern. For
the  purpose of screening  in  relation  to  life cycle assessment it appears to be
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  appropriate to regard all substances, where positive carcinogenicity data exist,  as
  carcinogenic even if a threshold may exist.

  Evaluation of chemicals  for  carcinogenic effects is carried  out  by a number  of
  agencies including the International  Agency for Research on  Cancer (IARC). This
  agency evaluates the available epidemiological and animal data on carcinogenicity of
  selected possible carcinogens and places the chemicals into groups 1, 2A, 2B or 3
  according to, the evidence available.  IARC has a further group 4 (non-carcinogens),
  this group includes a very limited number of chemicals.  In all IARC has  evalutaed
  around 200 chemicals, most of which had been suspeceted  to have carcinogenic
  efffects. For by far most of the industrial chemicals no information on carcinogenicity
  exist, wherefore it is in table 1 conservatively considered to rejgarcl them as  suspected
  carcinogens and place them in category 2. The group 2B of IARC has been divided
  into those marked with R45 (can cause cancer), which are placed in category 3, and
  those not marked with R45, which are placed in category 2.

  3.4.7  Neurotoxlcity

  Chemicals, which affect the nervous system,  are regarded neurotoxic. There may,
  however, be a difference between the part of the nervous, system, which is affected.'
  Some chemicals, eg. 2,5-hexanedione and n-hexane, have their most serious effect on
  the peripheral nervous system (PNS), whereas most of the other organic solvents and
  the heavy,metals manganese and lead have their main effect on the central nervous
  system (CNS).

  Acute, high exposure  to neurbtoxicants often results  in reversible  effects, whereas
 long-term, medium exposure may lead to irreversible effects. The irreversible effects
 are due to the fact that nerve cells do not multiply, and thus once the cell is dead, it
 is  lost.  It often takes  a long time before the  irreversible effects show up, as the
 nervous system has an overcapacity of cells, that is, the function of a dead cell will
 be taken over  by other cells present.

 There are  no detailed  guidelines for general  studies on neurotoxicants,  and  no
 quantitative criteria  exist for their classification.

 3.4.8    Reproductive toxicity

 A  chemical,  which specifically affects the fertility  or  reproductive outcome, is
 considered a reproductive toxicant. The effects seen can be divided into 1) effects' on
 fertility and 2) effects on  pregnancy  and the foetus. Effects on fertility  includes
 damage  to  the sperm cells or ovum, and disturbances of the menstrual  cycle in
 women. Effects on pregnancy and the foetus include spontaneous abortion, congenital
 malformations, low birth weight, and premature birth.

A number of chemicals are known to produce effects on either fertility or pregnancy
The most well known  reproductive toxicants are.the teratogens, causing  malfor-
mations.  However, of at least equal importance are the chemicals causing low birth
weight and/or premature birth, as studies have shown that individuals with a low birth
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weight might lag behind in growth. Also important are the
on fertility  ie the capacity to fertilise and obtain pregnancy. Some chemicals have
c^use^nfertiUty orTJduced semen quality in men occupationally exposed without any

o^siS^ffiS^^™ there ^ numer°US deSCripti°nS °f diStUfb   ^
cycles due to an occupational exposure to chemicals.

            most information on reproductive toxicants have been obtained from
             ^-SS are generally accepted guidelines for conducting studies on
       rnd foetal  toxicity in laboratory animals. However when going into more
      no guidelines exist for studies on menstrual cycle disturbances and effects on
semen quality.
 Several chemicals have shown an effect on the foetus in the
 weight, but simultaneously there have been a general effect on the mothe 'i
 of sL ficantly reduced body weight as a result of dosing with high Concentrations of
            l Itappears that if high enough doses are used, nearly every chemical will
         eec  oSmother and the tetu. in the form of reduced weight At such
       a chemical can not be regarded as a reproductive toxicant, because the effect
        fefoetus is secondary to the general toxicity induced in the mother.
 Three OECD Guidelines (nos. 414-416) describe how to study effects on fertility and
 teratogenicity, but no quantitative criteria for classification of reproductive toxicants
 have been published by OECD or by regulatory agencies.


 4.      Relation between exposure and effect

 The exponential relation between exposure and effect is combined in the following
 way:
   Exposure
         ••—
   Effect
   Low
    Medium
                    Low
Medium
High
  One of the major questions that arise  in  connection with this system is what is
  acceptable? According to legislation even the rating "8" W*»<"^»«?
  medium  exposure criteria are set well below regulative standards. However  it is
  TuSested that all "8" and "16"-ratings are assessed closely with respect to health
   mpacs. This assessment should preferably be performed on the basis  of actual
  exposure data in a given process. Only on this basis will it be possible to estimate the
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   actual local and work environmental health effects. For the regional and global effects,
   consideration must be given to other, concomitant emission sources.

   In this system it is assumed that the health impacts connected with energy production
   are not taken into consideration. These impacts are to a large degree reflected in the
   figure for energy consumption, although it is realised that by doing so no attention is
   given to the energy source.  The health evaluation  will, on the basis of this, only
   reflect those  situations that are associated with the specific material.

  The suggested scores might be added, yielding an overall health score. However, it
  seems more important that it  is possible to present information on the situations that
  causes the actual scores. An optional possibility might be to be able to "peel" off the
  situations one by one so that the second worst situation in a given exposure area will
  be presented  next and so on.  By doing so, a constructor or designer may be able to
  choose between raw materials in order to obtain situations with as little health impact
  as possible. This option calls for the design of a database  with a relatively large
  amount of information. It should however be possible to gradually build this database
  in order to meet the needs of the users.
 5.
Thorough evaluation of selected situations
 The intention of the screening procedure is to choose the most important situations of
 the life cycle for a closer assessment of the potential health impacts. The reason for
 this  is that a full lexicological evaluation of all the situations will be extremely time
 consuming and impossible to include in the scope of most LCA's. However, the most
 important  situations should  be assessed  more closely. In the  following such a
 methodology is presented. The method is based on some of the ideas discussed  at the
 SETAC workshop in Sandestin, Florida in February  1992. The scientific basis for
 these ideas are to a great extent developed  and used by the US EPA, but it is the first
 time that these ideas are. used in the context of LCAs.

 5.1     Reference dose (RfD)

 A reference dose is an estimate of a daily exposure to the human  population (including
 sensitive subgroups) that is not likely to present an appreciable; risk of deleterious
 effects during 70 years of exposure. The RfD approach is developed by a work group
 under the US EPA15 and is based on the assumption that an exposure level can be
 identified below which no adverse effects will  result. For situations where dosimetry
 or pharmacokinetic data  are available to adjust exposure levels between experimental
 animals and humans, the NOAEL (No Observable Adverse Effect Level) or LOAEL
 (Lowest Observable Adverse Effect Level) is selected after these dose adjustments are
 performed.

 The RfD is derived from the NOAEL through the application of uncertainty factors
 (UF)  that reflect various recognized uncertainties in extrapolating from animal  to
human studies. An additional modifying factor (MF) is also applied to reflect the
professional judgement of the  entire data available on the specific: chemical
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The reference dose is derived from the NOAEL as follows:
  PfD =
 NOAEL
UFxMF
    general, a  10-fold uncertainty factor is selected as die default  value  when
                           ^^SA^^SSK
 variation in sensitivity among humans.

 An additional 10-fold factor is usually applied when extrapolating from valid I results
 of lone-term animal studies when results of human exposure are not availab e or are
 ?nade?uaS  ms fector is intended to account for the uncertainty in extrapolatmg from
 animal data to humans.

 Finally, an additional factor may be selected when there are '>^^J™*£™
 dakThls factor is intended to account for the uncertainty m extrapolatmg from short-
 term to long-term NOAELs. This factor is usually 10.

 Moreover,  additional factors may be selected when deriving a RfD from  a LOAEL
 tasSdrf a NOAEL.  These factors are intended to account for the uncertainty m
 extrapolating from LOAELs to NOAELs.

 The modifying factors (MF)  which usually are less than  10 are used to indicate the
                      of the scientific uncertainties of the studies and the data base
     es     ug
     explicitly trLed above, e.g., the completeness of the overall data base and the
 number of species tested. The default value for the MF is 1.

 In addition to human and animal studies, cell culture tests and structure-activity data
 can be used as supporting information when estimating acceptable levels of human
        e. Therefore validated short-term predictive tests (in vtvo and m yam) should
          included in the evaluation. These may include  predictive tests  for car
                   may evaluate the following endpomts, point mutations, e.g. , Ames
                    *lffects, e.g.,  SCE (Sister Chromatid  Exchange), and other
  endpoints such as cell transformation.

  5.2     Characterisation of the exposure

  To characterize the potential exposure to the chemical, the objective is to gathei -and
  critically review the demographics and activity patterns to determine the total inttte
  the potentially exposed population may receive by direct and indirect exposure from
  multiple exposure pathways.
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 Exposure data may be obtained by a combination of the following methods:
 *
 *
         Direct measurement by analytical instruments which is the preferred method,
         indirect measurement, which uses mass balances,
 *       models, which are mathematically derived, and
 *       expert evaluation/statements.

 If it is impossible to make  an exposure estimation, threshold limit values and/or
 quality standards should  be used as worst-case exposure  indicators.  Under  all
 circumstances the inherent uncertainties and assumptions used for monitoring data or
 model assumptions should be clearly defined and characterized.

 In general,  three exposure pathways should be considered, i.e., inhalation, dermal,
 and ingestion, although the latter one seldom is relevant in occupational exposure. The
 potentially exposed population  should also be characterized by demographics, e.g.,
 age, sex, and health status as well as activity patterns.

 For all potential exposure pathways, population/site specific exposure data should be
 used to characterize potential exposure. Standard default assumptions may be used in
 the absence of population/site specific data, e.g., average drinking water consumption
 of 2 liters/day, average inhalation rate of 20 nWday, and soil intake is 0.2 g/day for
 a 10 kg  infant. The duration of exposure should be characterized as acute (single
 exposure), short-term  (only  a limited  fraction of lifetime), or long-term  (a major
 portion of lifetime). In addition, the frequency of exposure should also be taken into
 account and characterized as  continuous (daily) or intermittent (less than daily).

 Subsequent to the exposure characterization, the total chemical intake for each specific
 exposure pathway can be estimated. The exposure intake from each of the specific
pathways are then summed to estimate the total chemical intake. Usually, only the
applied dose, i.e.  the exposure at the point of contact, is available to calculate the
intake of the chemical but if possible, the absorbed dose should be used. The total
intake of a chemical can be calculated with the following equation:
            C x CRx EFD     1
                  BW
                              AT
where
        I = intake,
        C = average concentration over exposure period,
        CR = amount of chemical in media,
        EFD =  exposure frequency and duration,
        BW = body weight over exposure period, and
        AT = averaging time, period over which exposure is aiveraged.
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5.3     Combining Reference Dose and exposure

The first step when combining the reference dose and the total intake of a chemical
is of course to make them comparable in terms of time,  i.e., the two factors must be,
expressed in the same time horizon (days, life-time). Having done this, it is possible
to estimate the impact by dividing the total intake with the reference dose:
      Impact -
  Total intake
Reference dose
The total contribution of several chemicals (several "situations" in the life cycle) to
a given effect can then be summed. However, there will still be a number of factors
to consider in doing so.

Firstly, potential cancer effects  from exposure to carcinogens without an  effect
threshold cannot be assessed by the reference dose model. Therefore, another way of
assessing the risk of cancer must be employed and no matter which is being used the
results will not be comparable.

Secondly, the critical effects on which the reference dose is based  are not equally
serious, neither by expert opinion nor by perception of the general population. Some
factor should be applied to account for the severity of the effect of concern.

Thirdly, the magnitude of the exposed population should be taken into consideration
when adding the impacts. It is obvious that emission of a potential toxicant into
density populated areas is more serious than when only few people are exposed to the
same toxicant. However, no guidelines on how to weigh these factors can be given on
a scientific basis. Indications on how non-fatal effects Can be weighed ban be found
in guidelined for workmen's compensation, but if mortality impacts dominate in an
LCA, these are of little utility! Ryding and Steen10 have in the EPS-system given an
example on how  they rate  the  above  mentioned  factors  (and  others), but  no,
explanation of how these factors are derived is given.

A final calculation of the total impact cannot be justified scientifically today. A rough
approximate could  be achieved by summing the single (dimensionless) impacts into
one overall impact score. Interpretation of this figure will however demand that all
assumptions and weighing factors  are well characterized and explicitly  described.
There will thus be a need for further development of health assessment in the context
of life cycle assessment. Major problems  will be aggregation of many contributions
to a given effect, i.e. a potency ranking of chemicals with respect to a given effect,
and weighing and  aggregating different effect categories. The framework outlined
above may prove to be a valuable starting point for the discussions necessary to
continue the work already going on in  many LCA projects of both theoretical and
practical nature.
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 5.4     Conclusion

 The screening procedure described in Chapter 3 aims at pointing out the most critical
 situations in  the life cycle. The necessity of such  a screening procedure becomes
 obvious when a subsequent detailed assessment of these situations is performed.  In the
 procedure for such an assessment, which is outlined in Chapter 5, many resources are
 used for assessment of just one situation. If hundreds, or maybe: even thousands, of
 situations in the whole life-cycle should be assessed this would probably rriean that the
 assessment would be of very limited value to the end-user, simply because it has taken
 so long time to perform.

 The screening procedure may also be helpful by being a tool for a sensitivity analysis.
 The thorough assessment should of course start with the most critical situations and
 should be continued until no significant impacts are found and added to the total
 impact. As a minimum requirement the situations rated "16" and "8" by the screening
 procedure should be assessed. Also several (preferably all) of the situations rated "4"
 by the screening procedure should be assessed j but if none of these contributes  to the
 overall assessment in a significant way, it should not be necessary to assess the rest
 of the situations.

 It seems possible to describe and maybe even quantitate both the poten':al and actual
 effects  of, a given situation in the life-cycle rather precisely  if the  data  base is
 adequate. Some iteration between the description of effects and collection of data on
 actual exposure  and complementary   lexicological  information  will  however  be
 necessary in many LCAs as experience  shows that only limited data sets are available
 for most chemicals and "situations".         '                ,,

 A scientific aggregation of health effects is not possible, but a subjective weighing
 may be justified, for some LCA applications, e.g., internal compiany priority setting.
 When performing a subjective weighing, the implications of the subjectivity should be
 characterized as well as possible. By; doing this, other users of the data  sets in  the
assessment have the possibility of assigning Other weight factors and maybe reach a
different result in another context. Transparency  is thus one of the key issues, also in
the health assessment;     •              '        "
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6.      References

1. BUS. Okobilanzen von Packstoffen. Schriftenreihe Umweltsschutz 24. Heraus-
gegeben von Bundesamt fur Umweltsschutz. Bern, 1984.

2. BUWAL. Oekobilanz von Packstoffen Stand 1990. Schriftenreihe Umwelt Nr. 132.
Herausgegeben vom Bundesamt fur Umwelt, Wald und Landschaft. Bern, 1991.

3  BUWAL. Methodik  fur Oekobilanzen auf der Basis okologischer Optimierung.
Schriftenreihe Umwelt Nr. 133. Herausgegeben vom Bundesamt fur Umwelt, Wald
und Landschaft. Bern, 1990.

4. Luftreinhalte-Verordnung.  Stand am 1. Oktober  1987.  Umweltschuthgesetz,
Switzerland, 1987.

5. Verein Deutscher Ingenieure. Maximale Immisions-Werte. VDI 2306 (March 1966)
and VDI 2310 (September 1974).

6. Verordnung uber Abwassereinleitungen. Stand am  1.  Januar 1988. Gewasser-
schutzgesetz, Switzerland, 1988.

7. Braunschweg A. The new ecological valuation method based on  "ecological
scarcity" and its application in Switzerland. Presented  at the SETAC-workshop on
Environmental Life-Cycle Analysis of Products, Dec. 2-3,  1991, Leiden, Holland.

8. Christiansen K,  Grove A, Hansen LE, Hoffmann  L,  Jensen AA, Pommer P,
Schmidt A. Environmental Assessment of PVC and Selected Alternative Materials.
Miljastyrelsen, Copenhagen. Danish version 1990, English version in press.

9. Christiansen K,  Grove A, Hansen LE, Hoffmann  L,  Jensen AA, Pommer P,
Schmidt A. LCA  of  PVC  and  selected alternatives. Integrated  Environmental
Managements: 21-23,  1991.

 10. Ryding S-O, Steen B. The EPS-system. A PC-based system for development and
application of environmental priority  strategies in product design - from cradle to
grave. Institut for Vatten- och Luftvardsforskning.  Stockholm,  1991.

 11.  Schmidt A, Christiansen  K, Jensen AA, Nielsen  K,  Lange M, Andersen O,
 Grandjean P, Rasmussen B,  Sortkjaer  O, L0kkegaard  K.  Integreret milj0- og
 arbejdsmilj0vurdering af nye  materialer. Dansk Teknologisk Institut,  Milj0teknik,
 1990.

 12.  Jensen AH, Winge U, Broberg O. Vejledning til forskere, udviklere og kon-
 strukt0rer  i milj0- og  arbejdsmilj0venligt materialevalg.  Institute  for  Product
 Development, DTK, 1991.
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13. Kaergaard H. Environmental risk management - trends in knowledge and techno-
logy. Paper presented af Risk Management Forum AWAI/RIMS Conference, October
13-16, 1991, Monte Carlo.

14. Gj0s N, M011er M,  Hasgh GS, Kolset K. Existing chemicals:  Systematic data
collection and handling for priority setting. Nordic Council of Ministers. NORD 1989:
87.

15. Barnes DG, Dourson M. Reference Dose (RfD): Description and use in health risk
assessment. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology 8: 471-486; 1988.
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Annex 1.
Data sources
Many data sources are available when assessing possible health impacts. Handbooks,
criteria documents and scientific papers on specific issues have traditionally been used
for documentation. With the rapid development in toxicological research this kind of
documentation will tend to be insufficient within a relatively short period  and  hence
of limited value.

During the last years on-line search in central databases or databases on CD-ROM has
caused a great  progress in documentation. The  number of accessible databases is
rapidly increasing but this raises another problem, namely the costs of searching these
sources. Subscription to one of the databases on CD-ROM costs 10 - 15,000 DKr
annually so a careful choice must be made.

For the outlined screening procedure the documentation could be based on RTECS
(Registry of Toxic Effects of Chemical Substances) which is a database issued by the
U.S. National Institute of Occupational Health and Safety. It is available on CD-ROM
for a reasonable price and is updated four times a year. The amount of information
is comprehensive, but no evaluation of the data has been performed. Another source
of information is ECDIN (Environmental Chemicals Data and Information  Network),
a  database issued and maintained  by the CEC.  Sixty  thousand chemicals  are
registered in this database, but for the majority of chemicals only sparse information
can be found.                    '' ?   -.-'"-;,     ' •  ;  •  •• -'••     •

Official lists  (National Work Inspectorates and Environmental Protection Agencies)
holds information on legal implications of chemical substances and should  be used as
basic documentation e.g. on chemicals that are considered to be carcinogenic. Besides
the Nordic lists also German,(MAK-Werte) and American (American .Conference of
Governmental and Industrial Hygienists, ACGIH) documentation of Threshold Limit
Values  may  be useful. For the  assessment  of carcinogenic properties valuable
information can be found in  the monographs from IARC  (International Agency for
Research on Cancer) (WHO, Lyon).;  ,  *'• „  '-.  •>,  ' ,,f «  , ^  ',:>••   ;''     '•  •

Other written sources are issued by various expert groUpS:rNordiska Expertgruppen
for Gransvardedokumentation; issue a series of documents containing  toxicology
reviews for the setting of an Occupational Exposure Limit. The IPCS (International
Programme on  Chemical Safety (WHOS  Geneva)) series  on Environmental Health
Criteria also contains evaluation on anumber of chemicals.  Ira this series, the possible
effect on  the general  population  has  also beeti evaluated, ;B0th  of these  series
comprises more than   100  chemical  substances., The'International' Register, of
Potentially Toxic Chemicals (IRPTC) under the United  Nations Environmental
Programme collects regulations and recommendations related to control  of a substance
in various media in the IRPTC Legal Files.         ;•• .   •*•>        •

The American Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) under the
U.S. Department of Health  and Human  Services issues a series of toxicological
profiles of toxic substances which  may be useful when making a hazard assessment
and  eventually a risk  assessment. The  same department also issues a- series of
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toxicology  and carcinogenesis studies from  the National Toxicology Programme
(NTP). Both of these series are available from National Technical Information Service
(NTIS).    ._•'.  •..'••'   '  '"  '  •-  '•     _    '  ':-'•' •     .';'•

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) has made IRIS, a data system
which contains summaries of health risk and EPA regulatory information on about 500
chemicals.  The core of the system is a collection of computer files that contain
descriptive and quantitative information to be used in setting the reference dose RfD.
The data are publicly available as an electronic data base, but also paper versions of
the documents are available on request. The US EPA is currently  making a further
development of IRIS. This development aims at making risk assessment  of specific
situations,  i.e., situations  with information oh number  of exposed people, site of
exposure, concentration, duration etc. This data base, allegedly to be called "RISK"
at the moment only contain information on a limited number of chemicals.

A number of handbooks may also be used in the screening procedure.  Sax & Lewis:
Dangerous  properties of Industrial Chemicals (Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York,
1989) gives an overview of possible health effects,1 but the documentation  is rather
limited. Also Patty's Industrial Hygiene and Toxicology (Johm Wiley  & Sons, New
York, 1982) has information on a large number of chemical!;.  The latest edition is
however out-dated and should be used with caution.

Working with the screening procedure will probably point to other sources  that may
be used. Dutch and  Swedish criteria documents are being constantly issued  and may
provide information on chemicals other than those normally seen.
                                    K-29

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                    APPENDIX L
COMPUTERIZED DATA AS A TOOL FOR SUBSTITUTION ANALYSIS

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Computerized  data as a tool for substitution  analysis;.

j. Niemela, Danish Environmental Protection Agency
L. Seedorff, COWlconsult, Denmark.

Introduction

The Danish  Environmental  Protection  Agency (DBPA) is often confronted with
<|uestions about the possibilities to substitute hazardous chemical* by !•••
hazardous  one».   To  help meet this  need,  DSPA has  initiated  a  project
concerning the development of a computerized model for substitution analysis.
The model has been deaigned for systemically screening of onvironmental and
human health data in order to identify - from a large number of chemicals -
the moat hazardous ones.

The basis of the computer model ia data from the Danish Product Register Data
Base  (PROBAS). The Danish Product Register i» a governmental data base for
information concerning substances, materials and products us«d in Denmark. The
development of PROBAS  started in  1980. The data base wa« entablisheti by the
Ministry of the Environment and the Ministry of Labour. Ais of May  1993, PROHAS
contained information  on  about 67,000 chemical product*. Information on the
composition of about 48,000 products is  computerized. Data on the products
are   submitted  by  Danish  manufactures,   importers,   agents   and  their
international suppliers according to notification rules,  surveys  and research
projects and from ether relevant sources. Notification rule* cover hazardous
products, classified as such according to BBC rules, or by special  order from
the DBPA and the Danish Labour Inspection, {ref. 1.)

As  an example  of how  the  Product  Register can be  u«ed, we  present the
preliminary results of a pilot study on cutting fluids. The project is still
open to further development>

       'The  data-sources      •                            •       '
       391  cutting fluids  are registered in  PROBAS.  Thii  cutting fluids
       contain a total of 431 different substances.

       Based on the registered products  a data file is prepared  containing
       CAS-RN, chemical names, percent-content (highest iind lowest) and codes
       for  the technical  functions .of all chemical constituents.

       The  data  file  is transformed  to  a database  in  DEPA  (dBase IV
       format).

The following data are automatically transferred to the DSPA-base via the
CAS-RNi

       toxicologieal data (from, for example, RTECS and lAltC)

       risk phrases (according to EEC rules)

       data on aquatic .toxieity  (from "Katalog wassergiefahrdenden stoffe",
       BRD)

-      data on biodegradation,  including the Japanese M£TI  database.
                                    L-l

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       physical/chemical  data  as LogP,  vapour pressure etc.  (measured ,or
       calculated by tha U.S. EPA QSAR program)

Selection criteria

After  running the DEPA-base, where  (data are added to  the  individual  sub-
stances, the  following criteria are  used to select the most hazardous ones:

       Carcinogens or suspected carcinogens

       substances with risk phrases for being very toxic, toxic, allergenic,
       carcinogenic,  teratogenic,   mutagenic,  or  causing  cumulative or
       irreversible effects

       substances with moderate or serious aquatic toxicity

       non-biodegradable substances

       substances with high predicted aquatic effects,  for example, chemicals
       With toP           >  3-
Results

The 391 cutting fluids contained 431 different substances with CAS-RN.
Of these,  90 substances were  selected  as the most hazardous  by using the
selection criteria. In table 1 the 90 substances are subdivided 'after their
function in the cutting fluids.

Table 1. Technical functions of the selected substances.
Technical function
Lubricity agents
Bioeides
Smulsifiera
Corrosion inhibitors
Organic solvents
Extreme pressure agents
Antioxidants
Pigments
coupling agents
Deodorants
Propellant
Impur it ies /monomers
Number of
substances
29
16
11
7
4
3
3
3
2
1
1
10
                                  L-2

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 Alternatives for  the  unwanted substances are  searched by looking into  the
 group of non-selected substances with the same function cod*.

 Lubricity agents:
 As examples of selected lubricity agents pan be mentioned  13 petroleum oils
 (carcinogenic effect)  and one  vegetable I oil:  tall  oil (aquatic toxicity,
 allergenic).

 By substitution of paraffinic oil or other low aromatic and FAH-free oils  for
 the petroleum oils the cancer risk can be reduced or eliminated. A suitable
 alternative for tall  oil  is soya oil  (low  aquatic toxisity, no allergenic
 effect).

 Biocides:
 The selected biocides - primarily  selected  because of aquatic toxicity  and
 allergenic  effects  -  represents   nine   phenolic  derivatives  and  four
 formaldehyde releasers.

 No suitable alternatives were found among the non-selected Substances  in this
 group.  In  general, the best solution  concerning  the  biocides  in  cutting
 fluids, is - if possible - to avoid them. This can among oth»r things  be done
 by using physical methods such as centrifugation, filtration, pasteurisation,
 ultra sound or radiation (UV).

 Emulsffiers:
 Among  the   selected  emulsifiers we  find  a  nonylphenoi  derivative  (non-
 biodegradable,  log p  >  3).  This  can  be  replaced with  «.g.  an   alcohol
 ethoxylate (biodegradable).

 Corrosion inhibitors:
 One of the selected inhibitors is sodium nitrite (aquatic «md human toxicity).
 This  and  other selected inhibitors  (amines,  benzotriazol«s) can possibly be
 replaced by ethanol amines  (low aquatic toxicity).

 Extreme  pressure agents:
 Here we find three chlorinated paraffins (aquatic toxicity, bioacumulative and
 possible carcinogenicity). Possible alternatives could b« sulphur powder or
 sulphonated vegetable  oils.

 Pigments and deodorants:
 The three pigments  are selected because of aquatic  effects, the deodorant -
 pine  oil -  because  of  the same and because of allerganic effect.

 Figments and deodorants should be eliminated from the cutting fluids as they
 only  are used of aesthetic reasons.

 Coupling agents:
The two selected coupling agents are  an  EDTA sodium salt (acpiatic toxicity)
 and nitrilotriacetic acid  (non-biodegradable).  Perhaps  these  substances can
be substituted by tartarlc acid  or oxalic acid.

conclusion

The mentioned  substitution  possibilities are an  example of the outcome  of
                                     L-3

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u.ing  the  computeritcd modal  to  screen a  large number of  chemicals with
readily available information in a minimal ampunt of time.

Subjective evaluation of the outcome is nevertheless necessary for analysis
and evaluation of chemical hazard and technical utility.

The greatest'limitation in using the model is the lack of available data on
which to base effects assessments. In this pilot study there was no data on
41 percent of the 431 chemical constituents in the cutting fluids.

Continuing development  of  the model to include  additional  data sources is
therefore necessary to further enhance its value as a tool for substitution
analysis.

Three additional studies are under preparation.  These cover automobile under-
carriage agents, sealants and fillers, and chalk-  and rust-removers. When all
of these pilot studies are complete, it is intended to establish a dialogue
with  relevant  industrial  organizations,  with  the  aim  of  enhancing the
substitution process.

References*

1. PROBASt  The  Danish Product Register Data Base - a national register of
chemical substances and products,  Journal of Hazardous Materials.  30 (1992),
pp. S9-69.  [included]

2. Working Report, DEPA, No. 5, part 1., Cutting Fluid* (available in Danish).

3. Working Report, DEPA, No. 7, part 2., Automobile Undercarriage Agents,  (in
press, Danish).                                               •',..'

4. Working  Report,  DSPA,  No. xx, part  3.,  Chalk and Rust Removers,  (under
final preparation, Danish).

4.  working Report,  DSPA, No.  xx,  part  4.,  Sealara   and  Fillers,   (under
preparation, Danish).
                                    L-4

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                     APPENDIX M
     PROBAS: THE DANISH PRODUCT REGISTER DATA BASE—
A NATIONAL REGISTER OF CHEMICAL SUBSTANCES AND PRODUCTS

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  Journal of Hazardous MateriaU, 30 (1992) 59-69
  Els«vj«r Science Publishers B.V., [Amsterdam
59
  PROBAS: The Danish Product Register Data Basse — A
  national register of chemical substances and products


  Mari-Ann Flyvhoim, Poul Andersen, Inge D. Beck and Nanna P. Brandorff
  The Product Register Department Danish National InstiKse of Cccipcsono/ Health, Lino
  Purkalli 105, DK-2100 Coptnhagtn (Denmark)
  (Received July 7,1991; accepwd August 5.1991)

  Abstract

   A description of the structure the content, and the purpose cf the Danish Product R«fist«
  DataBase (PROBAS } is given. The PROBAS data baw is a national data b*s« started in 1930. Data
  sources have been notifications of hazardous chemical products and data from investigations o=
  occurrence or use of chemicals nude by. for .example, the Danish National Institute of Occupa-
  tional Health. Examples of the content of ths register ar« presentee, luch as tna mem frequently
  registered product categories, or the most common substances. As of January 1991, PROJIAS con-
 tained information on about 53.300 chemical products. Information a.-, the composition of about
 30.000 chemical products was computerizsd. Th« possibilities and limitations of this use of a na-
 tional data base on chemical products are discussed


 1. Introduction

   Information systems on chemicals have become important tools for moni-
 toring and controlling emission from and occupational exposure to <±eBiicals.
 and for preventing adverse.effects on environment and health caused by chem-
 icals. From the very few product data bases described in literature, it seems as
 if data bases are often established for selected product categories or industrial
 areas of use, where data on products are collected as part of investigations on
 occupational or environmental hazards [1,2]. A reason for the very few pub-
 lications on product data bases could be the difficult task of obtaining data on
 product ingredients caused by the confidentiality of composition of commer-
 cial products [3], or the explanation could be that such databases mainly serve
 administrative or poison control centre purposes [4], making them inappro-
 priate for scientific investigations and publications. Most of the few chemical
 and occupational data bases reported hi the literature are on hazardous (pure)
 substances like RTECS, on material safety data sheets, or on selected groups of
 commercial products, e.g. cosmetics or Pharmaceuticals. Nation-wide surveys
 like National Occupational Hazard Survey  (NOHS) and National, Occupa-

 Comspondence tc: Dr. M.-A. Fiyvhobn. The Product Register -Apartment. Danisih National
 Institute'of Occupational Health, LersB Parkalle lOo. DK-2100 Cop«:ihagen (Denmark).

0204-3894/92/305.00 £ 1992 Els«vier Science Publishers B.V. All rights rw«rved
                                   M-l

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Bonal Exposure Survey (NOES) [5] have provided data base* on trade name
products, their composition and -potential exposure to the ingredient sub-
stances, and a model for the identification of high risk occupational groups by
linkage with RTECS data [6J. In Sweden and Norway national product infor-
mation systems like the Danish Product Register have been developed (7,8).
  In this paper we describe the structure, the purpose, and the content of the
Danish Product Register Data Base (PROBAS), and discuss the experiences
with and the use of a national data base on chemical substances and products.

1.1 The Danish Product Register Data Base         -
  The Danish Product Register is a governmental data base for information
and evaluations concerning substances, materials and products used in Den-
mark. The development^pprtPft? j^rtPf1;" 1Qftrt T>"> 4atfl frf«* »«« estab-
lished by thefMinistry of the Environment and the Ministry ofLabour^wfaich
administer parts of the Danish legislation concerning chemicals. The"Product
Register is located at the Danish National Institute of Occupational Health
(DNIOH), which is pan of the Danish Labour Inspection.
  The purpose of PROBAS is to. collect and utilize information on the use and
the adverse effects on health and environment of substances and products used
in Denmark.                        ;      - •".."•    ;  "•  -..'''.

2.Methods   . '''>     ••' •'•    •  ••    -• ,•"      •-        .' •
      : '   /   -          ''   t     ",'*'•'       •      ~       ' '  '  .
2.1 The data base structure
  The technical configuration of PROBAS is a Local Area VAX-cluster. The
data base management system is ADABAS using inverted lists for data access
with applications written in NATURAL, a programming language designed for
AD ABAS. These tools provide practically unlimited searching and reporting fa-
cilities for the many different situations where information retrieval IB re-
quired. Data and conversion tables are stored in 30 files. An overview of the
main files is given in Fig. 1,
  The data base has been designed with three interconnected subsystems, i.e.
fit. 1. An ovtrvitw of th« f »<" files in PROBAS and their inurconnictton.
                                   M-2

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      ,-chunic^^^^
 products aw preparations (m^ti^)^^^^^^1^^'^^
 Intfae subsystems each er
3. Material


3.1 Data sources
                             M-3

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           •  lamens   aideline documents, and nocifications of substances
ftcts, criteria *SSdSte «»«««• are names, CAS BN. other registry













 user companies).

 4. Results

  TABLE!
  Chemical composition
  Product caujtoiy (field of application)
  Industrial »rea of u»e
  Physical and chemical properties
  Toxicfcydau
  Cl»»»ific«tion «nd labelling
  Sautymeajurts
  Transport classification

  Product Rftgistration numbers
    awisntd to notiflcn
30000
31900
23400
22700
13100
17100
16700
 5000

11800
                                        M4

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   TABLE 2
   Nimberof conputeiyed products divided into degr^of knowledge product composition.
   ot January '.991 i ba*»neti i iKKfja ft.
  Ccnavooi may
  Hf*. tnnrj i vaatn)
  Qtmtnant toaitat
  Buaan. .-tatoi, h««;
  WM M>W« t umn
 Nunatrd craduai:
                         woo  JOGS   4000   icao  woo
 11,800 of the notified products PR NOS were assigned to the notifying coiapanies
 ifflplying that the Product Register has information on the complete compo-
 aition of the products and that the notifying companies are obligjsd to report
 alterations of the submitted information.
  The information on product composition has been evaluated anil a code for
 quality has been assigned. The numbers of fully computerized products (divided
 into degrees of knowledge on product composition are given in Table 2. For
 more than half of the products the complete composition was known. For 70%
of the products the information on composition was sufficient to evaluate the
tone effects of the product or the suggested classifications and safety measures.
  The most frequently recorded industrial areas of use, based on 23,400 prod-
                                 M-5

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M

vfth this information, January 1991
ucts registered with this information, January 1991, were the iron and rneud
Ssw chemical industry, and repair and personal services, followed by the
^S^S^^^f^V^^^^^S^^^
                                  of *
 counted for nearly the same number                                   --
 most frequently recorded product categories based on ol.900 products reps
 SSSUormat^
 product categories were cleaning agents and paints/lacquers which together
               ces^^
 including more than half a million names. The number of ^^ffl|°^f'
 reprewntedby these records ^unwrtam bemuse Cheim<^Abst^t^rv^ce
       igned generic inder name, and registry numbers to man y h°»°logou«
             ounds, mixtures of isomers, natural products and chfferentfrac.
                 l. The number of CAS BN for which certain information cat-
 TABLES •

  130.000 CAS RN)
  Information category
  ^^^BMH|^^B^M^^_^B«HIH^^H^
  Classification «nd Ubillinf
  Toxicitydaw
  Transport clauiHcation
  Phytlcaland chemical properties
  Occupational eipotuit level
  Safaiy meuurte
                             Number of CAS RN
                                 ' ~
                             5840
                             2379
                             2 122
                             2004
                             1544;
                              252
                                M-6

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                                                                       65
    TABLE4
    Most frequently recorded subitanws in PROBAS as of Januarv 1991 b«.rf „„  k. . ,« *~
    ucts rtgisttred with information on product composition               ^ 3MO° prod-
CAdRN Number of
product*
7732-18-5 7878
1330-20-7 4 060
13463-67-7 2496
7631-86-9 2208
108-88-3 1 906
1309-37-1 1 618
106-89-8 1 582
1333-86-4 1 417
1675-54-3 1 412
123-86-4 1 377
67-43-0 1 375
50.00-0 1 368
14S07-96-6 1 241
25085-99-8 1191
471-34-1 1103
71-36-3 1098
, 57-S5-6 ,1093 '
111-15-9 1057 - ' , '
7727-43-7 ,1030
64-17-5"' 1016
Substanct aom« ' , . , ~
• " ' ' , ,- i
v^ ' " : 	 '", •• — : 	
Xyi«n« ,
Titanium dioxide
Silica
Toluene
Iron oxide 
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66
nroduct groups, and furthermore, the amount of information.giver, may also
SSSfor some registration systems. Moreover, the demand for submission
of updated information only includes products with PR No officially assigned
to rjotifiers.                                           .        .
  Hhe degree of coverage varies according to product category- and ;raae pi use.
Estimates derived from investigations in manufacturing and service industries
[16],and in the wood and furniture industry [17,18] showed that PROBAS had
a coverage of 34-50% of products used in Danish workplaces  Since certain
product categories were covered by special notification rules or nan oeen sub-
ject to special investigations, the information in PROBAS on such categories of
products is considered complete for the Danish market, e.g. epoxy and iao-
cvanate products, asbestos-containing products, pesticides, cleaning agents (&ii
by special order) and cutting fluids, which have been the subject o: a national
study. The Danish product registration has an overrepresentation of nazard-
ous products due to the notification rules, which means that the degree of cov-
erage for hazardous products is higher than the estimated 34-oCi;, oaaed on
both hazardous and non-classified products. The most frequently recorded
trades of use and the most frequently recorded product category reflect the
selection of products for inclusion in the data base, since the notmcation sys-
Save^^

8gThe'amount of information on chemical substances is very spare, mainly
because only limited resources have been allocated to the update of this part
of the register, but also due to the fact that only a minor fraction of substance*
has bin investigated for physical and tozicologica properties -The count,
listed in Table 3 can therefore be considered a* ambiguous, e.g. physical and
chemici parties can be anything- ranging fror*  a single boiling point to
eSuve information on density, solubility, partition  coefficients, vapour
pressure at many different temperatures, etc.                 .
   The fact that certain product categories have been revered|» nfl-
 reflected in the list of the most frequently recorded •*•»"••" p
 Thus, epichlorohydrin, bisphenol-A-diglycidylether and its powers,
 fillers and pigments are typical constituents of epoxy-based products.
   SiaughSormation derived from ?ROBAS cannot provide complete esti-
 mation of exposure, PROBAS constitute* a very useful system for surveillance
 of exposure to chemicals in Denmark, providing qualitative and semquanti-
 tative surveys On occurrence or amount of substances used, product categories,
 industrial area of use, enterprises involved, etc. As the need for classification
 of the thousands of chemicals in workplaces and environment has become ev-
 ident, the limited resources for testing physical chemical and lexicological
 properties are heavily dependent on priority settings. Lists of substances with
 high exposure potentials derived from PROBAS and similar registers can be
 important tools for the determination of these priorities.
                                    M-8

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                                                                    67
    5.1 Examples of surveys and research based on PROBA* data
     .
   consumption of carcinogens in Denmark [19]
 6. CondosioQ                  ,     -
Reference*
                           M-9

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68

 2  M. JKarsudt and R. Bob«l. Ac«*s to data on chemical composition of products used in au-
    tortpair and body shops. Aa.J.Ind.Med.. 6 (1984)339-372.
 3  D S. Sundin. The national occupational hazard survey: a difficult quest for a reliable data
    base. Oceup. Health Saf.. May/June (1978) 21-23.                              .
 4  K.ErikWn.LBondessonandH.PerSSon,Compu«t^p^u«^or™t,or. ^pr.hmintrj
    report from the Swedish poison information centre. Hum. ToxicoL, 2 U983) 279-280.
 5  J.A. Seta. D.5. Sundin and D.H. Pedersen, National Occupational Exposure Survey. Field
    Guideline DHHS (NIOSH) Publication. No. 88-016, U.S. Department of Health and Hu-

 6  DH 5dS'J?R!a52 aad D.S. Sundin. A Model for the Identification of High Bisk
    OccuSS Groups u,5ng RTECS and NOHS Data. DHHS (NIOSH) Technical lUpcrt.
    PubuSnNo. 88-117. U A Departm.nt of Health and Hua*n Service*. Cuicumati. OH.

 7  PrSuktkontrolL Kundjorelw om produktanmalan. SNFS 179: 2 PK (in Swedish). Statens
    naturvardtvwksfbTfattningssamline. Sweden. 1979.                             .
 8  DeklaMrtosav kjenisk* staffer ogprodukter. Veikdninj (in Norwegan), Produtaegistret.
  9   Da^hMfaistTy of Labour, Order on the roister of Substance and^teriah. Order No.
     466 of 14 September 1981, Danish Ministry of Labour, Copenhagen. 1984.
 10   Danish MinLy of Labour, Order on Subrtanc** wd Material*. Ord»r No. 540 of 2 S«ptem-
     b«r 1982, Danish Ministry of Labour, Coptnhagen, 1984.
15

16
19


20

21
     5n? environment (in Danish; sununary in English). AMI-IUport No- 35/1931.
     tionallnstitutt of Occupational Health. Copenhagen, 1991-                 .  w«,«.i,i
     K ft ThoM«n. AUeraens in the Working Environment (in Danish; susmary in English)
     AMf SS !3 S, DaSh N^Sal Institute of Occupational HMO. Copenhagen,

     l!sLn»tn and S.P. Lund. A strattfy for risks due to «po»ur« to neurotic chemicals, Am.
                           *^






      ucts. Int. Arch. Occup. Environ. Haahfa.. (submitted).
      J Holnanard. The industry uw 16 carcinogenic substances IB l»amcu«ir In: C. Falhne
      tE?.)IwSEnvlronme«.SunimryofartklesPubli*h.din Aibejcsnil^. The Danish
      M J??yvholm and T. Menne, Sensitizing risk of butylated hydroxytoluene based on exposure
      and effect data. Contact Dermatitis, 23 (1990) 341-345.
                                         M-10

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21
24
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