e i weniy needs Kepo
How Research Can Improvi
the TMDL Program

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The Twenty Needs Report
  How Research Can Improve
       the TMDL Program
             EPA841-B-02-002
               July 2002
   Assessment and Watershed Protection Division (4503T)
      Office of Wetlands, Oceans and Watersheds
    Office of Water, US Environmental Protection Agency
           1200 Pennsylvania Ave NW
            Washington, DC 20460

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                                  NOTICE

This document is a technical study that was prepared to aid research planning.  It has
not been administratively reviewed and its contents do not necessarily reflect the views
and policies of the Environmental Protection Agency or of any other organization
mentioned in this document. Mention of trade names or commercial products does not
constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.

For additional information on this report please contact
This document should be cited as
USE PA. 2002. The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL
Program.  EPA841-B-02-002, US Environmental Protection Agency Office of Water,
Washington DC (43 pp).
Order a     copy by sending a       with title and publication number to:

USEPA/NSCEP
P.O.Box 42419
Cincinnati.Ohio 45242-0419

or call 1 -800-490-9198. Remember to provide your name and        and indicate
that you are ordering publication number EPA841 -B-02-002.
This publication appears on the USEPA website at
http://www.epa.gov/owow/tmdl/techsupp.html

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002


Contents

Notice  	ii
Contents	iii
List of Figures	iv
List of Tables  	iv
Executive Summary	v

The Twenty Needs Report  	  1
Part I: Needs concerning interactions among OW, ORD, and Regions	  3

1.      Develop 'state of the science' syntheses in several high priority subject areas,
             to aid busy TMDL practitioners and decision-makers  	  3
2.      Mutually improve networking and access to expertise
             in ORD, OW, and EPA Regions	  4
3.      Revitalize ORD technical support and technical information transfer	  5

Part II: Immediate TMDL development and implementation science needs  	  7

4.      Increase quantity and quality of completed TMDLs	  8
5.      Improve watershed and water quality modeling	  8
6.      Improve uncertainty analysis and statistical techniques for TMDLs	   12
7.      Improve the science base concerning
             all stressors (pollutants and pollution) and their impacts	   13
8.      Address numerous stressor-specific issues identified through the SPRC  	   14
9.      Improve consideration of atmospheric deposition in TMDLs	   15
10.     Improve guidance for allocation development and methods
             to translate allocations into implementable control actions  	   16
11.     Improve information on BMP, restoration or other mgt practice
             effectiveness, and the related processes of system recovery	   17
12.     Develop adaptive implementation approaches for doing TMDLs	   18

Part III: Science needed to support impaired waters program improvements	   19

13.     Make monitoring more program-relevant and results-relevant	   20
14.     Assist states in monitoring design development   	   22
15.     Revisit the scientific basis for use designations	   24
16.     Assist states in translating narrative standards into numeric criteria	   24
17.     Clarify and quantify selected parameters used in criteria definitions 	   26
18.     Develop and improve biocriteria, address other criteria gaps,
             and evaluate the potential for ecological water quality standards	   26
19.     Evaluate defensible scientific standards for listing and delisting   	   30
20.     Improve support for protecting unimpaired waters from degradation	   31

References Cited  	   32

Appendix 1: A brief history of TMDL milestones	   35
Appendix 2: Overview of the Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL)
             Program and Regulations	   36
Appendix 3: "Tech Loops," a networking resource
             for ORD, OW and Regional Collaborators	40
Appendix 4: Website information useful in tracking the TMDL program	   42

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002


List of Figures

Figure 1: Impaired waters listing and TMDL establishment processes	  7
Figure 2: The Clean Water Act's basic steps for identifying and restoring impaired waters   ....   19
Figure 3: A representation of how an integrated monitoring framework
             can support a variety of water program products	   23
Figure 4: Potential types of water quality criteria relative to sources and designated uses	   27



List of Tables

Table 1: Recent sources of TMDL science needs information
             used to compile this document	  1
Table 2: The 20 primary TMDL science needs covered in this document	  2
Table 3: Tech Loops that were developed during Fall 2001
             to aid ORD, OW and Regional networking	  5
Table 4: Pollutant and pollution concepts   	   13
                                          -IV-

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

Executive Summary

The Twenty Needs Report summarizes Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) science
needs identified by the National Research Council (NRC), States and Tribes, EPA
National and Regional TMDL programs, the private sector, and others. The report,
written for the Office of Research and Development (ORD) by an Office of Water (OW)
TMDL staff scientist on detail during 2001,  serves as a guide  for EPA researchers who
can help improve the scientific basis for restoring and protecting impaired waters.  This
document does not represent or modify EPA's TMDL program policy or guidance and is
limited to analysis and recommendations concerning scientific issues.

The writeup for each need first describes the problem and then offers suggestions on
how research  might provide solutions. The three main groups of needs compiled in this
study relate to 1) interactions about research involving OW, ORD, and EPA Regions
(needs 1 - 3, below); 2) the immediate realm of TMDL development and implementation
(needs 4-12); and 3) the broader Clean Water Act impaired waters program context,
within which TMDLs play a central role (needs 13 - 20).  Regional TMDL staff indicated
that needs 11,5,3,  13 and 19 rank among their highest priorities. Below are
summaries of  the twenty needs and the research opportunities they represent:

1. Develop 'state of the science' syntheses in several high priority subject areas
to aid busy TMDL practitioners and decision-makers.  As  TMDL developers have
little time to  read large numbers of technical papers, 'state of the science' synthesis
papers are of  premium value. Academia generally considers  a synthesis paper a
second-rate publication,  but agencies badly need these comprehensive summaries.
Synthesis should be embraced as an inherently governmental research responsibility.
ORD might raise the stature of synthesis products through national expert promotion
requirements, synthesis  sabbaticals,  STAR synthesis grants,  and dialogue on the
highest priority synthesis topics with states and regions.

2. Mutually improve networking and access to expertise in ORD, OW, and EPA
Regions. Workload pressures in all three organizational units constrain their
networking,  research planning and exchange of expertise.  As a result, program needs
are incompletely grasped by many researchers and research  products sometimes go
unused by regional clients.  OW, ORD and the Regions could painlessly improve
networking by regularly using topic-specific email distribution  lists called Tech Loops, 20
of which have been compiled in the EPA Lotus Notes Directory for top TMDL issue
areas.  Cross-office input for research planning could be assisted by a permanent (or
floating) ORD TMDL Liaison to the regions, and through formalizing use of the Strategic
Planning and  Research Coordination (SPRC) document and process.  Finally, well
focused cross-office details have already been proven to accelerate successful
teamwork on high priority issues.

3. Provide ORD technical support and technical information transfer. The TMDL
program's technical support/technical transfer needs are immense. Over the years,
EPA's several ORD technical support centers have effectively provided applied science
assistance for Superfund and for some water program support. But, the activity level
dropped due to reductions in in-house contracting in the 1990s and the future of

                                     -v-

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

technical support centers now seems unclear. Modeling technical support is particularly
crucial to TMDLs.  A new look at modeling technical support is warranted.  More
broadly, the transfer of research products to their clients by ORD can be improved by
truly understanding the end user's need and using transfer methods familiar to the
client. The former calls for site-specific dialogue or involvement with TMDL developers,
while the latter often can be aided by using the web to reach clients or, where feasible,
offer online product access and support.  Further, to publicize its work ORD needs to
develop and maintain an office-wide water quality-related research website based on
Science Inventory project summaries and ORD project websites.

4. Increase quantity and  quality of completed TMDLs. Over 41,800 impairments
affecting approximately 20,000 water bodies were reported by states in 1998. Most
states lack the resources needed to develop and implement so many TMDLs. Although
having EPA researchers do large numbers  of TMDLs would be an impractical use of
research resources, selective ORD involvement makes sense for practical researcher
experience, pilot studies transferrable to  similar sites, and in difficult or high-profile
TMDLs. Indirectly, ORD may also help increase TMDL production by developing highly
efficient modeling and monitoring tools.

5. Improve watershed and water quality modeling.  The core of a TMDL is usually a
model, and the quality of modeling is one of the essential factors determining the quality
of nearly all TMDLs. Yet, modeling in TMDLs is widely criticized.  Areas of weakness
include:  applied modeling technical support, availability of low- to moderate-complexity
products, gaps in model applicability, model maintenance, and training.  For better
technical support,  EPA might revitalize its support centers, increase their availability to
states, and produce more  modeling technical guidance.  Products of appropriate
complexity might be aided by ORD/Regional collaboration on a practical "Toolbox"
concept. Gaps, on the other hand, also call for further investment in modeling research
and development of models that address more stressors, biological responses, and
control action effects. Model  maintenance  critics suggest that thorough updating of not
only model architecture but also the underlying science would be of great value. And
finally, an ORD/OW training program in modeling would significantly improve the quality
of many states' TMDLs.

6. Improve uncertainty analysis and statistical techniques for TMDLs.
Shortcomings in statistical technique, particularly related to quantifying uncertainty,
need to  be addressed in TMDL  models and especially in listing decisions.  The Margin
of Safety (MOS) in TMDLs has usually been estimated subjectively rather than
calculated. Limited data is often the cause but a lack of statistical tools,  guidance and
experience contribute to the problem.  Detailed guidance on quantifying uncertainty in
the form of MOS estimation tools would be valuable, as would broader statistical
training on statistically assessing evidence  of impairment, addressing data gaps and
limitations, credible extrapolation techniques, and QA requirements for found data.

7. Improve the science base concerning aM stressors (pollutants and pollution)
and their impacts.  The NRC report explicitly stated that "The program should
encompass all stressors, both pollutants and pollution, that determine the condition  of
the water body." This point highlights a significant inconsistency between the Clean
                                      -VI-

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

Water Act goal of the integrity of the nation's waters and the limited tools provided to
bring about that goal.  Given the Act's regulatory limits, it is particularly important that
EPA research address the full range of stressors and impacts in order to provide an
unbiased science base and a comprehensive understanding of impairment. Existing
ORD approaches to stressor research are inclusive, and it is crucial that this
comprehensive treatment of exposure and effects research be maintained.

8. Address numerous stressor-specific issues identified through the SPRC.  Well
beyond the scope of this summary document are thousands of more narrowly defined
research needs connected to TMDLs, and many of these have been addressed in the
Strategic Planning and Research Coordination (SPRC) process. The SPRC was
convened to identify water quality science needs and jointly plan research for a 10-year
time frame. TMDL-related chapters address watershed management tools, restoration
and BMPs,  modeling, sediments, nutrients, toxics, monitoring and assessment,
diagnostics, and landscape ecology.

9. Improve consideration of atmospheric deposition in TMDLs. Increasingly, states
are finding that atmospheric deposition of mercury, nitrogen and other pollutants can be
a significant source of loadings.  This requires attention to data and monitoring
methods, atmospheric and cross-media modeling, and cross-research-area planning.

10. Improve guidance for allocation development and methods to translate
allocations into implementable control actions. Once the linkage is made between
pollutant sources and instream water quality, the available assimilative capacity is
allocated among the watershed's point and nonpoint sources. Allocation is a critical
juncture in the steps of TMDL development from modeling through implementation of
point and nonpoint control actions. Social and economic considerations also
complicate allocation decision-making. ORD activities such as alternative futures
assessment, watershed risk assessment, modeling, sustainable ecosystems,
socioeconomic and pollutant trading research are all potentially relevant.

11. Improve information on BMP, restoration or other  management practice
effectiveness, and the related processes of system recovery. As management
practices are typically implemented under limited budgets, post-evaluation is often
dropped despite the fact that this is among the most widely cited needs. Practically
every type of Best Management Practice  (BMP) or restoration technique needs
effectiveness research. Researchers must also consider that recovery of impaired
systems is intimately linked to effectiveness, and recovery is not just the inverse of
degradation. EPA's investment in effectiveness research is substantial, and ORD
should continue to closely track the programs and practitioners who are their clients.

12. Develop adaptive implementation approaches for doing TMDLs. The NRC
recommended that  "TMDL plans should employ adaptive implementation.... foster the
use of strategies that combine monitoring and modeling and expedite TMDL
development."  There is widespread agreement that adaptive management on a
watershed basis is a sound and practical approach for TMDLs,  but the need for more
specific  research remains.  EPA researchers might develop or evaluate adaptive
                                     -VII-

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

management strategies,  or focus on related tools such as recovery forecasting models,
post-implementation monitoring methods, and alternative futures analysis.

13. Make monitoring more program-relevant and results-relevant. State monitoring
programs need to detect waters that do not meet standards, provide evidence used for
listing impaired waters, provide crucial data for TMDL development, report on the
condition of state waters, and evaluate restoration success before de-listing. These
multiple roles compete for resources and force tough priority choices.  Program goals
for monitoring include strong state monitoring programs, sound statewide assessment
methodologies, and credible impaired waters lists. ORD could help reach these goals
with expanded research on integration of monitoring designs and landscape analysis
tools to target and identify impaired waters, better site-specific monitoring requirements
for impaired and threatened waters, monitoring methods better linked to water quality
standards, monitoring data more useful to common models, more post-implementation
monitoring, and addressing monitoring weaknesses such as nonpoint source
assessment and ecosystem effects. Landscape analysis methods have begun playing a
critical role in extrapolating between broad-scale and site-scale condition.

14. Assist states in monitoring design development. Consistent monitoring designs
among all states would vastly improve the detection of emerging problems in water
resources management statewide and nationwide. Several states have been assisted
by EPA in their development of probability-based sampling designs, and more would
welcome ORD support. One of OW's  most pressing  needs at a national level is ORD
assistance in how to integrate independent state monitoring reports with a national
monitoring framework ideally capable of incorporating state sampling designs, multiple
types of monitoring, decision support, landscape model scenario assessment,
prediction, and versatile reporting.

15. Revisit the scientific basis for use designations.  The NRC panel called "tiered
designated uses" an essential step, claiming that there should be substantial
stratification and refinement of uses with scientific, social and  economic input about the
desired state for each water body.  EPA researchers  might study the few states that
have begun to use tiered uses; ORD might also use their skills in endpoint development
to facilitate states' refinement of designated uses. Research in watershed classification
and reference condition of different water body types may prove important.

16. Assist states in translating narrative standards into numeric criteria. The
uncertainties inherent in evaluating impairment qualitatively rather than quantitatively
even affect the top three listed impairments (sediment, nutrients, and pathogens), which
in many states have qualitative or weak quantitative criteria. But among TMDL
developers, numeric criteria are sometimes but not always preferred. ORD's
narrative/numeric translation support could work with states on translators, develop the
basis for new numeric criteria (e.g., for effluent dominated streams, odor, aesthetics,
fish advisories), further incorporate flow considerations, and support OW in triennial
reviews of state water quality standards.
                                      -VIM-

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

17. Clarify and quantify selected parameters used in criteria definitions. On this
issue the NRC panel stated,  "All chemical criteria and some biological criteria should
be defined in terms of magnitude, frequency, and duration." Even beyond clarifying
these three key parameters, criteria can and should go farther (in definition and in
application) when necessary to establish a more reliable relationship between the
designated use and the criterion meant to protect it.  Temporal considerations are
particularly in need of improvement, and regionalized syntheses of episodic stressor
behavior would be useful. Researchers might also address flows at which standards
must be met, wet weather conditions, and sediment lethality.

18. Develop and improve biocriteria, address other criteria gaps, and evaluate the
potential for ecological water quality standards. Standards and criteria still fall short
of adequately representing, in just a few parameters, complex watershed ecosystems
and the multiple uses they sustain.  EPA researchers should undertake an exploratory
reinvention of ecologically-based standards in the interest of better linkages among
watershed management, designated uses, criteria, and measurements of watershed
condition.  ORD should also continue to assist  progress on new types of criteria that are
more ecologically relevant including biocriteria, habitat, sediment, and channel/riparian
structure.  EPA regional feedback has placed biocriteria development among states'
greatest needs for new criteria and cited pathogen criteria among the most in need of
refinement. EPA researchers should support and participate in the ongoing
bioassessment program framework development effort.   Other criteria development
and refinement needs concern sediment dynamics; stream and riparian habitat; flow;
relating fish advisories to numeric criteria; estuarine water quality standards such as
marine DO and nutrients, coral reef-related  standards; water quality standards for
intermittent streams; wildlife and invasive species, wetlands, and new chemicals.

19. Evaluate defensible scientific standards for listing and de-listing. Specifically,
the NRC panel's  recommendation of a two-part impaired waters list (preliminary and
final lists)  has implications for monitoring research, sampling methods development and
statistical analysis,  usually occurring in a data-limited  environment. Strengthening the
scientific basis might include statistical guidance for listing decisions, methods for
combining multiple lines of evidence (e.g. biomonitoring and chemical monitoring),
improving  the analysis of the role of flow as ultimately affecting the designated uses,
and methods for  uncertainty analysis.

20. Improve support for protecting unimpaired waters from degradation.  The
"other half of the  job" along with addressing waters that are impaired is protecting
waters that are not impaired. Four challenges that state programs face are  integrating
protection and restoration, setting and balancing priorities, monitoring threatened
waters, and scientifically supporting their protective actions. Although a significant EPA
research investment is needed to address impairments, research support for protecting
the unimpaired systems may be of greater benefit to sustaining designated uses
nationally. ORD  research that reveals the critical ecosystem processes that provide
watershed goods and services, including many benefits well beyond those found  in
standards, is crucial. Unimpaired systems research can help EPA consider regional-
scale and  watershed ecosystem sustainability as a routine part of doing business.
Other useful research directions include integrative protection/restoration strategies,
                                      -IX-

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

priority-setting tools, monitoring or methods attuned to threatened waters, and greater
certainty about thresholds for the onset of common impairments.
                                       -x-

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 The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program
                                   July 2002
               The  Twenty Needs Report:
          How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program

The high level of science activity surrounding the TMDL program in recent years (see
Appendix A) has prompted many opinions on the program's scientific needs. Sources
of these recommendations include the National Research Council (NRC); the EPA
regional TMDL coordinators; States and Tribes; professional associations such as the
Water Environment Federation (WEF); non-governmental organizations and private
industry; the Strategic Planning and Research Coordination (SPRC) research planners
from EPA research and water offices; and others. Together these sources (Table 1)
reflect many of the most recent and carefully considered insights on TMDLs. Thus it is
an opportune time to  consolidate these statements on TMDL science needs to help
EPA address these needs on many fronts, including EPA research.  In order to aid
EPA's response to TMDL program needs, this document has considered all of the NRC
report's listed recommendations as well as needs mentioned by states, EPA regions
and other sources. This document does not represent or modify EPA's TMDL program
policy or guidance and is limited to analysis and recommendations concerning scientific
issues.
EPA's Office of Research and
Development (ORD) supports
lines of research that can provide
a better science base for the
TMDL program and other Office
of Water (OW) programs. As
recent opinions of TMDL needs
have come from many different
sources, a summary of the most
consistent messages would help
set research priorities. The
purpose of this document is to
analyze TMDL needs and
provide a consolidated summary
as guidance for research
managers and scientists who
can help improve the TMDL program. This analysis revealed that the needs identified
by many sources appear to be  consistent, with few differences of opinion.

Twenty TMDL science needs identified by the NRC, EPA regions, states and other
sources are listed and briefly analyzed in this report, along with suggested ways that
research can help meet each need. The list (see Table 2) is organized into three parts,
related to 1) interactions about science and research involving OW, ORD, and EPA
regions; 2) the immediate realm of TMDL development and implementation; and 3) the
broader Clean Water Act impaired waters program context, within which TMDLs play a
central role.
Table 1: Recent Sources of TMDL Science Needs
Information Used to Compile this Document.

•  Nat'l Research Council TMDL Report to Congress 6/01
•  EPA/HQ TMDL Tech Support Strategy Draft of 12/00
•  TMDL FACA Committee Report 1998
•  EPA Regional TMDL Coordinators Nat'l Meeting 6/01
•  Responses to ORD survey of TMDL needs 6/01
•  St Louis WEF Conference on TMDL Science 3/01
•  SPRC OW/ORD Joint Research Planning 1999 - 2001
•  EPA Draft water quality standards Strategy 4/02
•  Additional sources of regional, state, ORD, and OW
communications

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 The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002
 Table 2: The 20 Primary TMDL Science Needs Covered in this Document.

 Needs concerning interactions among OW, ORD, and Regions

 1.    Develop 'state of the science' syntheses in several high priority subject
       areas, to aid busy TMDL practitioners and decision-makers.
 2.    Mutually improve networking and access to expertise in ORD, OW, and
       EPA Regions.
 3.    Provide ORD technical support and technical information transfer.

 Immediate TMDL development and implementation science needs

 4.    Increase quantity and quality of completed TMDLs.
 5.    Improve watershed and water quality modeling.
 6.    Improve uncertainty analysis and statistical techniques for TMDLs.
 7.    Improve the science base concerning aM stressors (pollutants and
       pollution) and their impacts.
 8.    Address numerous stressor-specific issues identified through the SPRC.
 9.    Improve consideration of atmospheric deposition in TMDLs.
 10.   Improve guidance for allocation development and  methods to translate
       allocations into implementable  control actions.
 11.   Improve information on BMP, restoration or other mgt practice
       effectiveness, and the related processes of system recovery.
 12.   Develop adaptive implementation approaches for doing TMDLs.

 Science needed to support impaired waters program improvements

 13.   Make monitoring more program-relevant and results-relevant.
 14.   Assist states in monitoring design development.
 15.   Revisit the scientific basis for use designations.
 16.   Assist states in translating narrative standards into numeric criteria.
 17.   Clarify and quantify selected parameters used in criteria definitions.
 18.   Develop and improve biocriteria, address other criteria gaps, and
       evaluate the potential for ecological water quality standards.
 19.   Evaluate defensible scientific standards for listing and delisting.
 20.   Improve support for protecting  unimpaired waters from degradation.
The appendices provide additional detail on the TMDL program, issue-specific contacts,
and water program data bases and websites that may be useful for TMDL-related
research planning.

All twenty should be considered high priority needs, but no rank or order is implied in
their listing.  To gain a sense of the highest priorities, EPA regional TMDL coordinators
and staff were asked for their top five of the twenty needs. Although most of the twenty
were selected at least once, needs 11, 5, 3, 13 and 19 were the top choices overall.

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

TMDL Science Needs

Part I.  Needs concerning interactions among OW, ORD, and Regions

Addressing science needs always involves interaction among scientists and their
customers. EPA has a formal process to help identify research areas through dialogue
with client program offices and regions and make available to them the appropriate
research products, including technical support as well as research advances. This
process alone does not fully meet communication needs.  Beyond the formal process,
researchers and clients alike need to invest effort in networking to make these
interactions successful.  Concerning TMDL science support, three main needs are
evident:

1.    Develop 'state of the science' syntheses in several high priority subject
      areas to aid busy TMDL practitioners and decision-makers.

The downside of the major expansion in environmental sciences in recent decades is
the increasing difficulty of keeping up with the state of the science, even in what were
formerly manageable topics.  As a rule, TMDL developers and program staff operate in
a high-pressure programmatic (as compared to academic) environment and have little
time to read numerous technical studies and  analyze their collective significance for a
given TMDL decision.  Demanding,  court-ordered schedules for TMDL development, for
example,  can compete for time with the need for sound science-based decisions if the
TMDL developers, policy makers and  decision officials need to track relevant scientific
advancements in the literature by themselves, paper by paper.  Literature synthesis
papers and other synthesis products take on  immense importance in such
circumstances as they provide the most feasible way to be time-efficient and yet keep
one's actions scientifically informed.

As the volume of published research continues to grow, the importance of synthesis
products becomes ever greater but  remains underemphasized. Academia traditionally
grants limited recognition or credit for  synthesis papers as compared to original
research, thus proliferating more narrow papers and fewer state-of-the-science
syntheses. Government research sometimes appears to reflect the same position on
synthesis as academia.  In the absence of needed  syntheses, some Region 10 states
have reportedly tried to add synthesis development  into already heavy workloads.
Whereas  academic emphasis on original research may be appropriate, agency-
supportive research clearly would be justified in endorsing synthesis products as an
inherently governmental contribution and one of ORD's valued roles within the research
establishment.

Meeting this need: ORD could consider targeting prime topics with state and regional
help and then developing more water  quality  research synthesis products. The many
synthesis products listed in the Water Quality Research Multi-Year Plan (USEPA
2001 e), including white papers on suspended solids and sediment, nutrients,
pathogens, toxics, and flow, are a step in the right direction. Organizational changes
that favor synthesis could include:

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

      - develop specific synthesis product requirements associated with GS14 and 15
'national expert' recognition and promotions;
      - develop short-term details called 'synthesis sabbaticals' during which
researchers would develop a critically needed synthesis product as well as update  their
own knowledge of the state of science underlying their own specialization;
      - offer targeted funding within existing research programs for more synthesis
extramural support;
      - create a cross-office working group specifically attuned to identifying priority
synthesis needs and  product types - this group could match  lab expertise with priority
needs and also help evaluate synthesis sabbatical proposals;
      - maintain or increase front-loading of Goal 2 and Goal 8 multi-year research
plan projects with synthesis deliverables, to provide useful short-term products, improve
the quality of the original research to follow, and build research clientele;
      - creatively use some of the resources of the STAR grants program to make the
academic synthesis products in TMDL-relevant subject areas more attractive.

2.    Mutually improve networking and access to expertise in ORD, OW, and
      EPA Regions.

This is a three-way need involving ORD's scientific experts, OW's scientific and policy
specialists, and regional experts in the application of science in TMDL development.
Among regions, labs, and headquarters programs, any one can be a valued source of
expertise for the others, and all  must be accessible and responsive for best results. In
all three settings, however, substantial workloads take a toll on the degree of interaction
along these critical networking pathways.  As a result, basic awareness of where to find
EPA expertise on a given subject  sometimes suffers.  Detailed knowledge of the  TMDL
program is limited  in ORD,  and  in  OW and the regions there  is little depth of
understanding on ORD's TMDL-relevant projects.

Further, our offices could engage  each other more effectively in planning processes.
Parts of the research planning process that involve cross-office dialogue engage
comparatively few people and, as a result,  have been called  difficult to influence  by
regional staff  (USEPA 2001 a).  Regional involvement in research planning  remains very
minor, yet they may have some of the most applied insights on research needs.
Likewise, strategic planning within OW involves the regions but could engage ORD
representation more consistently.

Meeting this need: Heavy workloads are unlikely to change, but this need may be
addressed by more actively and creatively facilitating within-EPA networking and the
degree of involvement of regions,  OW, and ORD in various research planning activities.
 Some possibilities include:
      - "apprenticeship" concepts should be explored,  including detailing OW or
regional TMDL staff to ORD modeling or other appropriate lab programs and ORD  or
regional detailing to OW or regional offices for experience in  program and policy
development and implementation;
      - "Tech Loops" (subject-specific EPA contact lists formatted as email distribution
lists) compiled from contacts made during this study are now available EPA-wide in the

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

Agency's Lotus Notes Domino Directory to aid networking/information flow on specific
TMDL issues (see Table 3 and Appendix C);
      - One regional suggestion was to assign a permanent ORD TMDL Liaison. This
individual would facilitate among the ten regional TMDL coordinators, the national
program office and the researchers with TMDL-related work across ORD;
      - Formalize as an element of ORD planning the Strategic Planning and Research
Coordination (SPRC) effort, which has successfully brought together ORD and OW
scientists for three years in joint water quality research planning;
      - Clarify the manner in which ORD gains input from the regions. Build more
regional participation into the SPRC, regional technical workshop series, and similar
activities that supplement ORD process in a more accessible, user-friendly manner;
      - Increase ORD involvement in more national water quality strategic planning
efforts. ORD could  help guide the development of tools for establishing TMDLs, and
identify the inherent links between TMDLs and the closely related activities of
watershed restoration, source water protection, watershed-based permitting, non-point
source management, and other watershed-focused programs. This interaction will help
identify specific needs for guidance and methods to build State and Tribal capacity for
TMDL development and to improve the technical soundness of TMDLs.
    Table 3: Tech Loops (within-EPA contact lists for specific TMDL issues) that were
  developed to aid ORD, OW and regional networking. These appear in the Lotus Notes
    Domino Directory for EPA-wide use (all listings begin with the prefix "techloop-")

         based on top impairments                  based on TMDL process
       clean sediment      contaminated sediment           modeling
       water temperature   bio-impairment                  restoration/BMPs
       metals            habitat impairment               targets/endpoints
       pH                invasive species                 economics/trading
       flow               pesticides                      sources/diagnostics
       ammonia           mercury                        listing/delisting
       pathogens         nutrients
3.     Provide ORD technical support and technical information transfer.

Few EPA programs have as great a need of active technical support as the TMDL
program, which will be responsible for tens of thousands of TMDLs over the coming
several years. TMDL technical support as used here includes direct involvement in
developing TMDLs, parts of TMDLs, TMDL-relevant data sets or operational methods.
Historically, ORD has played a major role in  assisting Superfund and water programs
through  its several technical support centers. Although most technical support during
the 1980s  was hazardous waste-related,  water program support was a compatible use
of the ORD skills at the same centers.  The size and activity level of technical support
centers has gone down, however, mainly due to major reductions in the use of onsite
contracting during the 1990s.  Support in ORD for the remaining centers appears
uneven and the future role of technical support centers in TMDL assistance is currently
unclear. ORD modeling technical support, which is particularly critical to TMDLs, is
discussed  separately in an  upcoming report  section.

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

A related support issue is technical information transfer by ORD researchers as a
routine matter of research product delivery.  Many researchers are uncertain about
what constitutes effective transfer, and could use help in how to design technical
transfer products for appropriate audiences. One effect of this uncertainty is that many
potential collaborators in regions and states remain disconnected from ORD's efforts; in
commenting on desired technical transfer from ORD, the regions said that fixing weak
ORD communication should be a top priority (USEPA 2001 d). OW and regional water
programs could better communicate their needs to ORD as well.

Meeting this need: Revitalizing ORD technical support centers could be a substantial
aid to TMDL programs in states and regions. The past  use of the same technical
support centers to assist both hazardous waste and  water programs remains an
effective model for how to provide needed support with  enough (i.e. multiple program)
critical  mass to sustain the centers long-term. Whereas the use of in-house contracting
at centers may have changed,  there are new options for technical support. For
example, ORD might fund applied TMDL science centers through the STAR grants
program or  involve fellowship and  post-doctorate staff in appropriate TMDL issues.
ORD could  reevaluate the skills of each center relative to TMDL technical needs while
also considering the potential role  of STAR and other programs.

Technical support  needs voiced by regions at the Albuquerque coordinators' meeting
included the generation of actual TMDLs; hands-on training using the data regions have
now; better  assessment tools; statistical training; monitoring methods relevant to listing
and delisting; and  training and  updates of existing models.  One national program
manager commented, "The best thing to do would be to re-institute the Center for
Exposure Assessment Modeling, CEAM; it's a big hole in the  water research program
which has never been refilled." (USEPA 2001 d).

Two keys to more  effective technical transfer are clear understanding by each
researcher of desirable, useful types of products, and the ability to utilize the pathways
of information familiar to the client. For the former, the early stages of project planning
in  ORD should ensure that the proposed research products have considered the needs
of the end user. Concerning the latter, the Internet should be  considered for technical
transfer uses because it is becoming one of the preferred means for States, Territories,
and Tribes to find  EPA information for developing TMDLs.  For example, EPA is sharing
information  on  impairments by geo-referencing the 1998 303(d) list and showing maps
of impaired  waters as part of a national tracking system. Appendix D contains several
main sources of web-based water program information that are heavily used by states;
these sites could be browsed for ideas about research needs and technical transfer.

ORD's  ongoing research summaries in the Science Inventory, as well as the growing
number of ORD project-specific websites, could become a powerful search and retrieval
resource if a few modifications are made and agreement is reached on cross-ORD
consistency. A portal-style ORD Water Quality-Related Research Website would
enable regional and program staff to find current ORD research projects, experts, and
existing tools in appropriate disciplines related to the most pressing TMDL issues.
NRMRL scientists  have already developed a pilot  site with Environmental Information
Management System (EIMS) and OW collaboration.  For such a site to reach its full

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program
                                                      July 2002
potential, a database management system should house all the Science Inventory
entries and be able to provide links to other appropriate ORD project websites in
addition to the Inventory holdings.
Part II:  Immediate TMDL development and implementation science needs
                        Figure 1
                  Listing and TMDL
                     , Priority ranking
      Identify impaired and
      threatened waters
      needing TMDts
                                    Develop
                                    schedule
         f
Listing        of
Figure 1 shows the sequence of steps carried out in identifying and listing impaired
waters (upper loop) and developing TMDLs (lower loop).  In the listing process
represented in the upper loop, a state carries out its biennial responsibilities of
monitoring and assessing the condition of state waters.  Following an accepted listing
method, a state proceeds through monitoring and assessing the water quality standards
                                                           attainment status of all
                                                           its waters, identifying
                                                           the impaired waters
                                                           (303(d) list), and setting
                                                           TMDL development
                                                           priorities and schedules.
                                                           The 303(d) list approval
                                                           by EPA moves the
                                                           process down to the
                                                           steps in the lower loop,
                                                           where TMDLs are
                                                           developed and
                                                           approved according to
                                                           schedule.  TMDL
                                                           implementation and
                                                           adaptive management
                                                           (not shown) follow the
                                                           establishment of an
                                                           EPA-approved TMDL.

                                                           Needs 4 through 12 in
                                                           Part II relate to the
                                                           scientific basis for the
                                                           steps in TMDL
                                                           establishment and
                                                           implementation.
                                                           Several are points
                                                           raised in the review by
                                                           the National Research
                                                           Council (NRC 2001).
                                                           Part II begins with four
                                                           top-priority needs  that
                                                           pervade the entire
                                                           process - completing
                                                           TMDLs, improving
                                                           modeling, improving
               Allocation to
                   or
               of
  Identify WGS attainment
  status of ail waters
                   Submit
                       list with
                   as part of Integrated Report
                                  303(d)list
                                  approved?
                                   YES
                      initiate TMDL development
                       according to schedule.
                      NO
           EPA establishes
          or      TMDL?
                               Problem/p of Want
                               identification
                                     \
    TMDL submittal
     Monitoring
                  Target analysis
                  (amount by which pollutant must
                   be     to   WQS'i
                         TMDL

                        Process
                    Source
                    assessment
                              Linkage of
                                         7

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

uncertainty analysis, and researching the full complement of stressors. The group then
concludes with five other needs that follow the TMDL step sequence.

4.    Increase quantity and quality of completed TMDLs.

Over 41,800 impairments affecting approximately 20,000 water bodies were reported by
states in the 1998 303(d) listing cycle (USEPA 2001 a). An estimated 36,000 TMDLs for
these waters may need to be completed in the next 8 to 13 years; many states are
subject to even shorter, court-ordered schedules for their TMDLs. Many states lack the
resources  needed to develop and implement so many TMDLs, and some appear to be
facing an unmanageable number of TMDLs in a limited time.  What's more, tribal TMDL
programs are just beginning to become active. When states or tribes do not develop
TMDLs, EPA is required to backstop them and produce the TMDLs. The need to
complete large numbers of TMDLs ultimately drives most other EPA TMDL needs.

Meeting this need: Although this would not be a typical research activity, some direct
involvement by ORD scientists in developing certain TMDLs has merit for ORD
scientists themselves as well as for the states. ORD could become involved by either
helping states directly or helping EPA meet its backstop obligation when states do not
complete TMDLs. Researcher involvement in specific TMDLs that match their abilities
could build familiarity with TMDL development within ORD and improve the technical
input for the regions and states.  ORD's active role in the Neuse River is an example,
and more projects point to likely ORD involvement in developing specific TMDLs. A
good source of high-profile TMDLs that may have interesting applied research
components can be found in the list of FY2001 regional TMDL PACE funded projects,
which totaled $ 7.5 million in FY2001. These funds support regional involvement in
dozens of  high-priority TMDLs that are either technically challenging, exemplary of
common impairment settings, of high visibility, or other concern.

Short of actual involvement  in doing TMDLs, ORD can help increase TMDL completion
by generating  TMDL-streamlining products such as automated tools for technical
analysis associated with TMDLs. Numerous downloads of the Stressor Identification
Guidance Document (USEPA 2001 c) and a variety of EPA models by state agencies,
for example, attest to the immediate value of making practical tools available in the right
places. Technical support centers  might make significant contributions in providing
operational tools as well as direct involvement in TMDLs.  To help increase the quality
of TMDLs, ORD could become more active in water quality modeling or statistics
training for regions and states that  need capacity building  in both these subjects.

5.    Improve watershed  and water quality modeling.

One principal feature of a TMDL is the identification of the loading capacity of  a water
body for a particular pollutant. The core of a TMDL is usually a model that estimates
the relationships between the condition of the water body, the identified pollutant
sources, and/or the alternatives for loading reduction. The quality of modeling is one of
the essential factors determining the quality of nearly all TMDLs.  Modeling
shortcomings within EPA and the states, and the state of modeling science in  general,

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

were criticized in the NRC review, state and regional meetings, and Water Environment
Federation's St. Louis TMDL conference. Modeling is also the only topic where this
study found major differences in opinion about the nature of the TMDL program's need
(i.e., uses of empirical vs. process-based modeling).

Better water quality modeling is among the most significant of all TMDL-related science
needs reviewed in this study. OW managers have repeatedly pointed to modeling
technical support as one of the greatest TMDL-related research needs in response to
ORD support requests since the early 1990s. The 1998 TMDL FACA report
recommended that  EPA's highest priorities for science and tool development include
improving monitoring and modeling capabilities, and providing related technical
assistance and training (USEPA 1998). Yet, despite the magnitude and immediacy of
TMDL modeling needs, the willingness of ORD to assist, and the central role of
modeling in TMDLs, ORD's modeling efforts do not meet several key regional and state
TMDL program needs that may be within  reach.  These include:

      - Applied modeling technical support. ORD's current investment in water quality
modeling and applied modeling research  is more diffuse in ORD than a decade ago
and thus may now involve more  researchers, laboratories, and subject areas, but ORD
modeling technical support at NERL/ERD (Athens) has decreased from 1990 levels. As
discussed under need # 3, in-house technical  support contracts appear out of favor, but
a substitute at an equivalent level of effort as yet has not been established. The need
remains high. A critical mass of modeling technical support capable of advising model
users, maintaining modeling tools, and providing modeling services is needed.

      - Development of products of appropriate complexity. A research and
development orientation toward models and modeling tools of low to moderate
complexity would better meet state needs. For example, a message to this writer from
a PhD modeler in one state claimed "Making a model more complex does not
necessary mean making it better.... In routine calculation of TMDLs the Department
probably won't be able to use [a complex model] frequently since resources available
for water quality studies are insufficient for its implementation, and time for completion
of a final report is very limited."

      - Filling gaps in model applicability. An  adequate water quality model does not
exist for every pollutant on the 303(d) list. Some common models need to be updated
to better reflect recent scientific findings.  Models that  link stressors to biological
responses are particularly needed.

      - Public domain model maintenance.  Consistent updating and maintenance of
public-domain water quality models in frequent use by states would not only be useful,
but expected of EPA and other federal agencies as the originators of many water
quality models.

      -  Training in modeling. More widespread training for state and regional
personnel is a nearly universal recommendation among recent TMDL program
reviewers.

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

Meeting this need: The suggestions below parallel the five elements identified above.

      - Applied modeling technical support.  A firm commitment by ORD to reinvest in
technical support for model users, do more applied modeling, and support public
domain models would be immeasurably helpful to states and regions.  Mechanisms for
carrying this out could include offsite contracts, which successfully covered many
technical support tasks during the 1990s; reassessing use of staff for modeling
research vs. technical support;  increased use of the STAR program in competing
cooperative agreements for one or more water quality modeling support centers; and
better-defined and funded use of new ORD modeling locations in technical support
related to their own modeling products and specialties. Program office funding has
been used to put  NRMRL/SPRD's groundwater technical support "on retainer" for the
Brownfields program; use of PACE TMDL funds might be used similarly to give regions
access to the expertise in ORD-managed modeling support contracts.

Many areas are ripe for technical support - for example, web-based tools to assist with
model selection. Clear guidance on model use is needed; a model selection/decision
tree would be  useful. Regions emphasize the need for assistance in making impairment
decisions with limited data. Researchers could publish case studies on their new
TMDL-related model applications. ORD might also develop guidance on how to
translate model results such as continuous simulations into load and wasteload
allocations which  meet programmatic requirements. Guidance on optimizing monitoring
data collection for modeling is also an essential element of technical support.

      - Development of products of appropriate complexity. The limited resources
available to the majority of TMDL developers determine the type of research products
they can use.  Low to moderate cost and  complexity constraints are an added challenge
to researchers' creativity, but do not imply an absence of modeling research potential.

In a recent address to Congress about TMDLs, Assistant Administrator for Water Tracy
Mehan chose  to mention ORD's collaboration on cost-effective modeling and
restoration development as an example of progress toward TMDL improvements.
Regional requests often cite the mantra "faster/cheaper/better, pick any two" and
emphasize streamlining modeling tools rather than new data- and labor-intensive
models.  Region 4's "TMDL Toolbox" has proven easy to use, is technically defensible,
provides fast results, and favors consistency in modeling approach. Models linked into
the Toolbox include WASP 6.0, EFDC (I-D, 2D/3D), LSPC, WCS sediment, WCS
SWMM, WCS Mercury, WAM, WRDB, WCS; these can be tied to BASINS and ArcView
(USEPA 2001 a).  ORD involvement with the  Region could make further enhancements
and help take  this TMDL Toolbox concept nationwide.

      - Filling gaps in model applicability. Despite the emphasis on technical support
in this discussion thus far, there is widespread belief that EPA should also re-energize
its modeling research program.  Recent reviews of model applicability can  help ORD
address gaps  and help the states improve their awareness of appropriate tools for
different settings, but these review findings should be accessible and formatted usefully
for modelers' assistance.

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

One very prominent need is the development of models that can more effectively link
environmental stressors (and control actions) to biological responses. NCER/STAR's
RFP on improving stressor/response modeling in watersheds is commendable for
directly addressing this need.  Better models are also in high demand for nonpoint
source loadings, aerial deposition, contaminated sediment, groundwater and wet
weather events. Models addressing economic aspects of TMDL implementation
alternatives could be a growth area in research. Other gaps that ORD could address
include better integration of landscape information with models, and development of
models for metals simulations that include a sediment interface. It would also be very
useful to develop a database on pollutant export coefficients for common non-point
sources.  Another major modeling-related gap - improved uncertainty analysis - is
addressed in this report separately due to its heightened importance.

Although there  is widespread agreement that more modeling support and technical
advancement is needed, significant differences of opinion exist concerning the types of
modeling appropriate for most TMDLs. Two  basically different  approaches favor either
empirical  (statistical) modeling, or process-based (mechanistic) modeling.  Neither is
likely to fully meet all TMDL needs, and continued application of each in various TMDL
settings is likely.  ORD, OW and regional TMDL coordinators should jointly review many
different TMDLs to become certain of the appropriate settings for using different
modeling approaches and determine to what degree each should be the focus of
ORD's research and technical support. Generally the reason that empirical or statistical
models aren't used more widely is that there  is often insufficient ambient information to
operate these models.

      - Public domain model maintenance. A good many modeling tools exist, but
these tools need to be updated to the point where they are useful in the development of
TMDLs. A set of well-supported, updated, public domain models will significantly
increase consistency in TMDL determinations,  while also providing states an alternative
to proprietary models they often cannot afford.  The current TMDL situation shows that
users expect the originators of water quality models to maintain and update their
products. As the well-known developer of several models, ORD faces this widespread
expectation to update both model architecture and underlying science. ORD should
keep its most widely used models current by incorporating latest science into the model
code; for example, CEAM-distributed models and the HSPF parameter database
should be consistently updated and maintained. Existing core models like WASP,
HSPF, EFDC, SWMM and others should be updated; plans by NRMRL/WSWRD to
take responsibility for SWMM maintenance and NERL/ERD's recent updates of WASP
are commendable steps in the right direction. Moreover, as new ORD locations are
becoming involved in modeling they should embrace a  long-term commitment to
technical transfer and maintenance support for whatever they develop.

      - Training in modeling. Water quality models are frequently misused, and there is
a shortage of trained water quality modelers throughout state and federal government.
If training was provided specifically on how to develop TMDLs using modeling
approaches, the quality of TMDLs would be greatly enhanced.  Region 4 TMDL staff
claim that training has brought the greatest return for the dollar spent. Training exposes

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

their states to methodologies, approaches and models that can be used in the
development of TMDLs.

One widespread suggestion is to undertake a major training program at the state level
for model users; although training is often a program office role, ORD's close ties to the
development and maintenance of several models argues for their involvement as well.
ORD might also consider supporting the development of a professional certification for
modelers, and could strengthen academic programs in water quality modeling with
grants; both actions could help counteract an observed decline in universities' water
quality modeling coursework. Opportunities exist to work with OW on web-based
modeling training to meet some of the more elementary training needs and prepare
trainees with exercises in advance to help them get  more out of live courses.

      (see more modeling-related comments under needs #4,6,9,  10 and 12)

6.    Improve uncertainty analysis and statistical techniques for TMDLs.

Shortcomings in statistical technique, particularly related to quantifying uncertainty,
were a major concern of the NRC panel. Their report commented, "Uncertainty must
be explicitly acknowledged  both in the models selected to develop TMDLs and  in the
results generated by those  models.... The TMDL program currently accounts for the
uncertainty embedded in the modeling exercise by applying a margin of safety (MOS);
EPA should end the practice of arbitrary selection of the MOS and instead require
uncertainty analysis as the  basis for MOS determination....EPA should endorse
statistical approaches to defining all waters, proper monitoring design, data analysis,
and impairment assessment." (NRC 2001).

In practice, TMDL developers often strive for sound  TMDL decisions  in the face of
sparse data availability. Their statistical technique can be weak due to the lack of
sufficient data to perform a given analysis, but this shortcoming is worsened by limited
EPA statistical guidance, tools, and requirements. Further complicating the issue is the
potential cost of quantifying uncertainty at numerous points in the process. Little
guidance on testing model adequacy or reliability is available, and as a result the ability
to link sources to water quality effects with certainty is hindered.

Meeting this need: EPA procedures for conducting uncertainty analysis should mainly
address two points in TMDL development:  (1) uncertainty or inherent error in the model
calculations and (2) quantification of the MOS. It is generally feasible to approximate
uncertainty in modeling steady state assumptions, but  new research challenges lie in
conducting uncertainty analysis  in the dynamic settings of the ambient environment,
and propagating an error analysis from one model domain to another (e.g., runoff
model to receiving water body model).

TMDL developers need statistical tools and detailed guidance on MOS development,
incorporation into modeling assumptions, estimation within the allocation process, and
quantifying effects on the outcome of the TMDL analysis. ORD's most valuable
contribution might be to develop a general MOS  estimation tool and,  where necessary,

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program
                                                               July 2002
address MOS estimation specifics for each of its supported water quality models. As
the ability to reduce uncertainty will be limited in many situations, advances in post-
TMDL monitoring and adaptive management (see needs 11, 12, 13) are an alternative.

ORD could also help the TMDL program develop technical guidance or training on
proper use of a variety of statistical tools and techniques in TMDLs. For example, states
need approaches to address data gaps, credible statistical extrapolation techniques,
statistical approaches and QA requirements for incorporating found data sources,
guidance on choosing Data Quality Objectives for TMDLs, and technical guidance that
addresses acceptable error in data interpretation. Statistically sound approaches also
are badly needed by many states for determining impairment and listing or delisting
impaired waters (see need # 19).
7.
Improve the science base concerning aM stressors (pollutants and
pollution) and their impacts.
"The program should encompass all
stressors, both pollutants and
pollution, that determine the
condition of the water body (NRC
2001).  This recommendation from
the NRC panel pinpoints the need
to overcome a significant
inconsistency between the Clean
Water Act's goal - "to restore and
maintain the physical, chemical, and
biological integrity of the Nation's
waters" - and the statutory tools
provided to achieve that goal. The
TMDL program aims for bringing
about the recovery of impaired
waters  by considering all
contributing sources of impairment
comprehensively, on a watershed
basis.  Yet, limits in the Clean Water
Act that discern "pollutants" from
"pollution" (see Table 4) mean that
some stressors do not require
303(d)  impairment listing and TMDL
development.  Reports from many
states,  however, do voluntarily list many "non-pollutant" impairments, revealing that they
are not a minor problem and in fact affect thousands of water bodies.

If water quality research as a whole is to  provide an unbiased and comprehensive
scientific understanding of water body impairment and a watershed approach to
restoration and recovery, research cannot be constrained by the limited federal
recognition of stressors as potential causes for 303d listing and TMDLs.  The limits in
                              Table 4: Pollutant and pollution concepts

                              Pollutant: a substance added to waters due
                              to human activity.

                              Examples: sediment, nutrients, pathogens,
                              pesticides, heat.

                              Pollution: man-induced alteration of water
                              body integrity (this concept encompasses all
                              pollutants and several non-pollutant causes of
                              impairment)

                              Examples (pollution but not pollutant): habitat
                              degradation, flow alteration, channelization,
                              loss of riparian zone.

                              > Section 303(d) requires identifying
                              pollutants, and TMDLs allocate reduced
                              loads among pollutant sources, to reattain
                              water quality standards.
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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

TMDL program scope notwithstanding, EPA research must consider all stressors in
order to understand sources and effects of the stressors EPA can or can't control, and
continue to inform EPA, states, Congress and the public of the whole impairment
picture as  it may affect future policies and  regulations.

Research  limited  to conventional pollutants may never fully enlighten or be able to
support remedies for some forms of water body impairment. In fact, the history of
federal water pollution law reveals that earlier limits in statutory scope were largely due
to the insufficient state of science to support broader comprehensive protections for the
ambient aquatic environment (NRC 2001).  The limited scope of existing criteria (see
need # 18) is one example.  Reaching the holistic Clean Water Act goal will require
research designed for a comprehensive science base that can support addressing any
cause of impairment.

Meeting this need: At its root, this need will require some very broad and strategic
thinking about the scope of ORD's stressor-response research in the context of all
water quality research. Key questions might include:
      - Is  any significant cause of impairment (pollutant or non-pollutant) poorly
understood and prone to major research gaps?
      - How comprehensive can ORD's water quality research program be?
      - What stressors (pollutant or non-pollutant) are the most essential for EPA
research?
      - What are the alternative sources of stressor research not carried out by EPA?
      - How should multi-stressor and cumulative effects research on aquatic systems
address pollutants and non-pollutants?

There are  good signs that ORD stressor research will remain unencumbered by the
pollutants-vs-pollution issue. The Aquatic Stressors Framework (USEPA 2001 f) is a
major research effort that addresses some common, conventional pollutants but goes
well beyond in exploring areas such as habitat alteration. The Stressor Identification
Guidance Document (USEPA 2001 c) provides a methodology for analyzing causal
linkages between sources, stressors and biological effects without a limited, pollutant
focus.  Although these are positive developments, ample opportunities also exist for
research in other topics that  go beyond conventional pollutants.

8.    Address numerous stressor-specific issues identified through the SPRC.

In contrast to need #7's call for big-picture stressor research planning, this need
focuses on the specifics of stressor research. If examined  pollutant by pollutant or step
by procedural step, the amount of TMDL science needs number in the thousands  and
would clearly exceed the scope of this document.  Fortunately, many more specific
needs have been addressed in the much longer and more detailed Strategic Planning
and Research Coordination (SPRC) document. For example, whole chapters address
multiple research needs concerning sediment,  nutrients, and pathogens.  Readers who
seek a more project-level treatment of water quality science needs than this document
are referred to the SPRC (draft document  in press).
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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

Meeting this need: Through regular cross-office, scientist-to-scientist  planning
meetings, the SPRC effort has matched specific ORD projects, goals and milestones
with specific program needs concerning specific stressors on a finer level of detail than
this report. Due to its high profile and priority during the SPRC meeting years of 1999
to 2002, the TMDL program had a  significant influence on several planning sessions
and TMDL needs are well represented in several chapters. The SPRC document's
chapters, in near-final draft as of this writing, include:

      - Watershed Management Tools, Restoration and TMDLs
      - TMDLs and Modeling
      - Critical Areas Research and Water Programs
      - Microbial and Pathogen Criteria
      - Harmful Algal Blooms &  Marine Disease
      - Nutrient Criteria
      - Suspended Solids and Sediments
      - Assessment of Toxic Chemicals
            Toxic Chemicals
            Wildlife Criteria
      - Monitoring and Assessment
      - Ecological Assessments and Restoration
            Biological Assessments and Criteria
            Diagnostics
            Landscape Ecology Applications for Aquatic Systems

Ultimately, the Office of Water needs to influence the ranking process of the Research
Coordination Team (RCT)  for water to ensure that the high priority TMDL research
needs documented in the SPRC workshops are addressed.

9.    Improve consideration of atmospheric deposition in TMDLs.

This need is highlighted separately because it signifies a need to depart from media-
specific water research planning in some cases to properly address some forms of
impairment.  Increasingly, states are finding that atmospheric deposition of mercury and
other pollutants can be a significant source of loadings to water bodies.  Mercury in
particular is believed to affect nearly all Northeastern lakes, and aerial nitrogen loadings
affect large water bodies in several regions of the country.  Despite the widespread
occurrence of aerial deposition  of water pollutants,  many states have not had
experience working with air models and data in  the context of TMDLs.

Meeting this need: Improving this shortcoming requires attention to data  and monitoring
methods, atmospheric modeling, cross-research-area planning, and technology
transfer. As a start, OW should review whether the Office of Air and Radiation (OAR)
emissions/monitoring data now gather the right  data for use in airborne pollutant TMDL
development. ORD and OW could  then coordinate with OAR on research to improve air
deposition monitoring data and emissions data. Air and Water offices have already
begun joint development of an Air-Water Interface Work Plan and committed to more
                                     15

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

effective integration of their statutory authorities, specifically working with states to
support atmospheric deposition-focused TMDLs.

Modeling tools are  needed for identifying and quantifying loadings from atmospheric
deposition, predicting load reductions needed from air sources (e.g., linking air and
water models), and for identifying the sources of air deposition to a water body.
Mercury modeling should be able to track this pollutant from source through
atmospheric pathways to the water body, and on through fish, human consumption, and
assess the implications for water quality standards. Finally, consistent with earlier
modeling recommendations, states would find training and  technical transfer in these
methods extremely valuable.

10.   Improve guidance for allocation development and methods to translate
      allocations  into implementable control actions.

Once the linkage is made between pollutant sources and instream water quality, the
available assimilative capacity is allocated among  the watershed's point and nonpoint
sources. The primary aim of the allocation process is that the allocations result in
reduced loads sufficient to reattain the water quality standard.  Current TMDL guidance
is sparse in the area of allocation development, largely because the allocation of loads
is considered a state decision. Yet,  states need better science for supporting allocation
decisions and guidance on the various methods for making these decisions.

Allocation  is a critical juncture in the steps of TMDL development (see Figure 1, lower
loop), affected by and affecting the steps from modeling through implementation of
point source and nonpoint source control actions.  Model scenarios often provide the
raw material for load allocation decisions. Allocation development considers different
combinations of allocations that appear feasible and collectively can meet a TMDL's
desired load reductions, and TMDL  implementation carries out the best combination of
control actions related to each allocation. Efforts to improve understanding of control
action (i.e., BMP and  restoration) effectiveness, then, are crucially important to
allocation as well as to implementation.  Further, social and economic considerations
also complicate allocation decision-making and add new dimensions to the technical
assistance tools that are needed to move from a purely scientific allocation scenario to
implementable control actions with reasonable assurance of successful implementation.

Meeting this need:  ORD could address allocation in two ways: directly focus research
on scientifically sound allocation  decision strategies, and more actively consider the
allocation process in relation to their research on modeling  and BMPs.  As it straddles
the transition from risk characterization to risk management and it potentially integrates
technical, social and economic factors, allocation research  may present opportunities
for multiple ORD laboratories and perspectives.  For example, ORD activities as diverse
as alternative futures assessment, watershed risk  assessment, landscape ecology,
vulnerability assessment, modeling,  sustainable ecosystems, socioeconomic and
pollutant trading research are all potentially relevant.  Some specific allocation issues
that could  be researched include:
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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

      - better address dynamic environmental changes in developing methods to
balance allocations between continuous and intermittent (event-driven) sources of the
pollutant, or to allocate wet-weather and dry-weather loads;
      - improve methods for translating point source wasteload allocations into NPDES
permits;
      - review the underlying scientific weaknesses and strengths of common
allocation methods and develop guidance on the process of evaluating and choosing
among alternative allocation scenarios;
      - develop decision-support tools for allocating loads among various point and
non-point sources;
      - develop better guidance on integrating pesticide application rates  into
wasteload allocations; and
      - develop procedures for handling allocations that involve legacy sources.

11.   Improve information on BMP, restoration or other management practice
      effectiveness, and the related processes of system recovery.

This widely-cited need recognizes the value of research to develop or evaluate
conventional Best Management Practices (BMPs) for  nonpoint pollution control as well
as innovative research into restoration techniques that employ natural system
processes as management tools. The 1998 TMDL FACA report stated this FACA
committee's opinion that BMP effectiveness research  ranks among EPA's second-
highest priorities for science and tool development (USEPA 1998).

As management practices are typically implemented under very limited budgets,
performance evaluation is often dropped from the plans and an effectiveness track
record is left wanting.  Practically every type of BMP or restoration practice needs
effectiveness research - even widely-used agricultural BMPs, conventional forestry
BMPs, and urban runoff controls. This research is critically needed as the technical
basis to support TMDL guidance on reasonable assurance related to nonpoint source
management methods that lie beyond EPA's direct control. For EPA approval of a
given TMDL, there needs to be a reasonable assurance that BMPs and other
management practices exist, that can be feasibly implemented in an allocation
scenario, and will accomplish the necessary loading reductions. Moreover, in 'blended'
waters impaired by both point and nonpoint sources of the same pollutant, the NPDES
permit (for point sources) requires that the water must meet the standard,  and thus is
potentially affected by the predicted effectiveness of the nonpoint controls as well.

It is important to note that, whereas improved modeling may be the most critical need in
light of EPA's legal obligation to complete TMDLs, in fact BMP and restoration research
success may be more important in actually changing the condition of the nation's
waters. For best results, risk management research must also thoroughly understand
the recovery of impaired systems as intimately linked to effectiveness (e.g. time scales
needed to regain specific conditions and reestablish certain natural processes, as well
as methods for predicting and verifying levels of recovery).  Recovery is not the simple
mirror image of decline, and deserves much careful study that can translate into
management choices, approaches and expectations.

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

Meeting this need: In addressing this need ORD should continue their substantial
support for BMP effectiveness research and their research program in watershed
restoration. Also ORD could coordinate with OWOW (Nonpoint Source Control Branch,
Watershed Branch) on projects to compile information on BMP effectiveness, as
NRMRL has collaborated on an evaluative inventory of restoration projects with
OWOW.  The two offices could also develop geo-referenced databases as a result of
these projects to provide easy access to BMP effectiveness information that can be
updated as more information is gathered.

ORD restoration research targets understanding damaged ecosystems, identifying and
refining restoration methods; riparian zones and wetlands are priority areas for study.
Regional comments on restoration research concur with this approach, and also
suggest:
      - keep a watershed focus to be more effective in riparian restoration; need more
to make operational programs aware of restoration research findings;
      - need more work within-channel; research on BMP/restoration effectiveness
needs to be translated into Use Attainability Analysis implications;
      - need better scientific basis for water body and watershed recovery processes
and recovery potential, as a huge and relatively open  research arena.

Also needed are better measures of physical habitat characteristics and means for
interpreting these measures in evaluating BMP effectiveness, and research on NPS
control through manipulating natural watershed processes and areas with  key natural
functions, as compared to more artificial construction of BMPs.

12.    Develop adaptive implementation approaches for doing TMDLs.

The NRC report stated, "TMDL plans should employ adaptive implementation....  In
order to carry out adaptive implementation, EPA needs to foster the use of strategies
that combine monitoring and modeling and expedite TMDL development." In a similar
vein, an article reviewing the March 2001 TMDL science needs conference stated,
"The TMDL program is best implemented through an adaptive watershed management
approach." and noted that strong watershed management is central to this aim.  Both
sources infer that complex,  uncertain analyses call for an adaptive management
process to speed initial remediation and fine-tune pollution controls as implementation
proceeds.

But, in the absence of good examples, more adaptive approaches are not as likely to
occur.  Problems that continue to occur include modeling "analysis to paralysis" with
little implementation, or at the other extreme, proceeding directly to implementing BMPs
and restoration on impaired watersheds without modeling. Research into  adaptive
management strategies may help identify the most favorable approaches.

Meeting this need: ORD could evaluate adaptive management strategies in general, or
could  develop specific products that aid the process. For example, ORD could:
      - develop allocation and forecasting models that predict the temporal component
of recovery. Better predictions of recovery time and expected sequence of recovery

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program
                                                                    July 2002
stages would complement existing allocation models and help address one NRC
recommendation to 'do adaptive implementation.' These models could also factor in
social elements that may delay or accelerate recovery in addition to the ecological
recovery processes already at work;
      - develop allocation and forecasting models that assess possible changes in
loads from each source in the watershed instead of just forecasting whether the
allocation will achieve the target when implemented; these would help TMDLs address
potential future growth and help set the scene for adaptive implementation of the
TMDL;
      -one component of adaptive implementation  involves considering costs; better
guidance on determining costs of TMDL analysis steps, and the relative costs of
alternative management practices, would be useful components of phased
implementation; and
      - better post-implementation monitoring methods should be  used to continually
review and refine individual TMDLs as time goes on.
    Figure 2: The Clean Water Act's basic steps
    for identifying and restoring impaired waters
Part III: Science needed to support impaired waters program improvements

The third category includes eight research needs that go beyond the immediate TMDL
process. These needs relate to the Clean Water Act's steps for detection and
assessment of impaired waters (Figure 2), which are instrumental to the TMDL role of
                                                     restoring impaired waters
  _                                                   to good condition. Two are
                                                     monitoring needs, five are
                                                     related to water quality
                                                     standards, and one
                                                     concerns  unpolluted but
            ,     ...     _  ,.   ,   .   ,               threatened waters. The
            State Water Quality Standards:             standards rPlatPH nPPrte
       Designated Uses, Criteria,  Anti-degradation        Standards-related needs
                                                     are covered only briefly in
                                                     this TMDL-oriented report,
                                                     and for more detail readers
                                                     are referred to the Draft
                                                     Strategy for Water
                                                     Quality Standards and
                                                     Criteria recently issued by
                                                     the Office of Water
                                                     (USEPA 2002a).
            State Monitoring and Assessment
         State 303(d) Lists of Impaired Waters


^

7
TMDL; States determine
maximum allowable load, allocate
load reductions among PS, NFS


                      //\\

Point Sources:
Control via NPbES
Permits

Nonpoint Sources:
Manage via grants,
partnerships, £ voluntary
programs
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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

13.   Make monitoring more program-relevant and results-relevant.

The critical roles of monitoring are evident in figures 1 and 2: state monitoring programs
need to detect waters that do not meet standards, provide the evidence used for listing
impaired waters, and provide crucial data for modeling and TMDL development.
Monitoring programs are also expected to report biennially on the overall condition of
state waters, and detect emerging problems. Moreover, waters undergoing restoration
need to be monitored to guide adaptive management and to determine when they can
be de-listed after reattaining standards. These multiple roles compete for limited
resources at the state level. Some states are compelled to weigh the relative priority of
targeted,  site-specific monitoring against statewide monitoring. Although tradeoffs do
happen, all of the monitoring roles are indispensable.  Our challenge is to develop
monitoring strategies that meet these multiple objectives efficiently and effectively.

Larger monitoring budgets and less expensive monitoring techniques would help the
states, and research to provide the latter is a perennial need.  A more immediate issue,
however, is the  relative amount of ORD research emphasis on each of monitoring's
multiple roles stated above. During the last five years, much of ORD's efforts focused
on helping states fill gaps in meeting statewide  water quality assessment needs. ORD
is now challenged to design monitoring strategies that allow states to use the larger-
scale statewide and watershed-level assessment results to target watersheds or sub-
watersheds needing more intensive or finer-scale monitoring.  Reasons include the
need for more reliable data for listing and delisting impaired waters and heightened
emphasis on TMDL development at finer  scales.

Recently, landscape analysis methods have begun playing a critical role in extrapolating
between broad-scale and site-scale condition.  Landscape analysis tools are showing
promise in helping identify waters most likely to be impaired by combining remotely
sensed land cover and other GIS data with water quality data to develop predictive
models of the relationships among landscape indicators and water quality. These
predictive relationships help analysts gain more from their landscape data for use in
monitoring watershed and riparian changes and indicators of condition (e.g., Mehaffey
et al  2001). Landscape  data support monitoring and assessments ranging from
regional to site-specific scales due to their comprehensive coverage.  Landscape
analysis tools can be used to predict geographical locations of impairment under
different land use change scenarios and various ecological trend scenarios.  Landscape
analysis research  is particularly important for monitoring programs because of its
potential to provide a relatively low cost tool to fill gaps in ambient water quality
monitoring data coverage and to improve the understanding of non-point sources,
stressors, exposure pathways and effects.

Meeting this need: Water program goals for monitoring include strong state monitoring
programs, sound statewide assessment methodologies, and credible impaired waters
lists.  The TMDL program's current needs also include increasing support for targeted,
site-specific monitoring and assessment techniques. These techniques above all
should be cost-efficient, appropriate for widespread use, and clearly related to specific
water quality criteria in order to be program-relevant. In particular, ORD could:

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

      - focus research on monitoring methods that better relate to water quality
standards.  Ambient monitoring is expected to provide the means to identify the
deviation between the water quality standard and current conditions, provide a sound
basis for 303d listing, and track standards re-attainment.  Many criteria represent  less-
than-optimal measurement endpoints relative to the designated uses they are intended
to reflect; clean sediments and pathogens are just two of the common impairments
where available monitoring measures don't track optimally with designated uses.
Moreover, as the NRC review noted,  water quality standards themselves should be
measurable by reasonably obtainable monitoring data; thus researchers could focus on
the standards end of this relationship (see also need # 18) as well as the monitoring
methods end.  ORD could contribute with continued research on appropriate indicators
of designated use attainment status with an emphasis on reasonably obtainable
monitoring (including landscape) data.  Potentially this might range from  chemical-
specific methods to ecological assessments to more versatile application of landscape
analyses.  Research might focus on indicators (biological communities)  and
pollutant/media combinations (e.g., fish tissue) with low spatial and temporal variability.

There are also numerous opportunities to focus on developing and testing monitoring
methods for specific pollutants needing new or improved  water quality standards,
particularly nutrients, clean sediments and pathogens. These pollutants may be good
candidates for application of landscape analysis, e.g., in nitrogen modeling or assessing
the state-wide  likelihood of exceeding pathogen criteria (Smith et al.  2001).

      -continue research on monitoring designs to  assess WQS attainment status of all
waters.  Efforts to support this need include developing monitoring designs and
landscape analysis tools appropriate for assessing the condition of key indicators  of
designated uses for each type of water resource. EPA's  research in monitoring is
substantial  and already makes major contributions related to these goals. ORD's
monitoring is roughly divided between EMAP's regional- or landscape-level activities
driven by probability-based sampling to determine general condition  of water bodies
across large areas such as regions or states (discussed separately in need # 14,
below), and more generally site-scale development  of indicators oriented toward Clean
Water Act diagnosis and listing  needs.

      -expand research on integration of monitoring designs and landscape analysis
tools to identify impaired waters. Landscape information  can be applied at any scale
and ORD/NERL scientists have completed a number of landscape analyses at state,
regional (i.e. multi-state areas) and national scales. These broad-scale analyses  are
useful for even fine-scale, site specific assessments as they provide context and
insights into the progression of stressors across the landscape (e.g.  non-indigenous
species, land use change) and risk propagation between  adjacent watersheds
(Wickham et al. 2002). Landscape assessments might also be used to provide
targeted monitoring to help identify waters vulnerable to impairment as well as to
identify reference sites.  Furthermore, landscape models can also provide insights into
potential future conditions around threatened waters and offer decision support through
trade-off analyses of alternative management actions.
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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

      - make monitoring data more useful for models to support TMDL development.
In addition to ensuring that monitoring methods gather data most relevant to standards,
the field methods must also be aligned toward filling modeling input requirements
wherever possible.  Verification data collection is needed for assessing model
prediction error. This premise is consistently true for a wide assortment of model types.

      - focus on more post-implementation monitoring to verify results of management
practices. States need more results-related  measurements to directly link pollution
controls (e.g., BMPs) and recovered water bodies.  In the restoration science
community, performance evaluation of still-new restoration  approaches is essential but
often left undone. Again, monitoring studies by ORD can help answer one of their most
frequently-heard pleas for knowledge about "What works?"

      - strengthen  weaker areas of monitoring. ORD could contribute to methods and
technical guidance on monitoring and data interpretation  for any of the phases of TMDL
development and implementation. It will be essential to improve the techniques and
data for monitoring the sources, the specific  pollutants in  nonpoint source pollution and
the water quality measures used in nonpoint source-dominated  watersheds. Also
useful research is needed to improve the measures of direct and indirect ecosystem
effects from nonpoint sources, and to develop improved,  diagnostic indicators of
biological impairment. Substantial progress  has been made on  the sources-stressors-
exposure end of nonpoint assessment. Continuing ORD research into documenting the
associations among easily monitored landscape patterns and aquatic impairment
remains one of the greatest opportunities for improving the scientific framework that
supports monitoring and water programs  in general.

14.   Assist states in monitoring design development.

Consistent monitoring designs among all  states would vastly improve  the detection of
emerging problems in water resources management statewide and nationwide, but EPA
has generally resisted imposing very specific design requirements on  states. The
TMDL FACA report in 1998 recommended promoting standardized monitoring methods
(USEPA 1998). Probability-based statewide monitoring designs have been
implemented by many states in recent years, and more have indicated their interest, yet
significant differences in states' approaches  will likely persist. The absence of
consensus among states on monitoring methods and designs has had a cost on the
national scale as well, in that it has hindered EPA's ability to evenly assess water
quality problems across the nation and strategically plan  its assistance to specific
regions and states.  As a result, one of OW's most pressing needs at  a national level is
assistance in how to integrate independent state monitoring reports with a sound,
cohesive national monitoring framework.

Meeting this need:  Several states have been assisted by NHEERL in their
development of probability-based sampling designs; this  is  one  of the most significant
recent ORD monitoring contributions in support of water programs. More states have
stated at EPA meetings that they, too, would clearly welcome this assistance.  States
and others also need guidelines for data collection and data management systems.

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program
                                                  July 2002
ORD might follow the progress of the CALM (Consolidated Assessment and Listing
Methodology) monitoring guidance (see Appendix D) to track state capacity for and
interest in probability-based design.

ORD help in state-scale monitoring design assistance has been extremely helpful to
individual states and to the national water program as it urges states to adopt sound
scientific monitoring approaches. Without standardized state monitoring or a heavily
funded nationwide program, developing a national framework represents a substantial
research challenge. An integrated  national monitoring framework (see Figure 3) should
be capable of incorporating state designs, supporting multiple types of monitoring,
 Figure 3.  A representation of how an integrated monitoring framework can
 support a variety of water program products (after Brown et al. 2002)
    Product
                INTEGRATED MONITORING FRAMEWORK
Tools
Assessment Process
      305(b)    	....(1) probability survey ^.........................Survey of condition
      Report  ^      design ("EMAP design)^                (gives status)


        j             (2) empirically based                 Where do I need to do the
        I             landscape models,      ^.............  fo||ow up monitorjng?
       w             watershed characterization,                      I
                     clustering survey data               ,	1	
      "planning"        (e.g., EMAP, ReVA)                ^
      ''s*       ^	  waterbody has high
        I             ,, . ., , .      ...        probability of impairment   waterbody has low
        |             Hybnd designs combining            ,y    *         probability of
        |             Intensified survey                  I              impairment; no add't

        i             Snap's! «	 HowdolcoLtinfo         monitoring needed
        1             barn pi my anu sale- -^n --*•*«««                       . _ -riijQ Tifijic:
        !             specific grid designs        to confirm impairment?      ^ut™toring
        |             as appropriate                    I              as part ofJ^year
       ^                                     waterboaies confirmed    cycle)
                                             to be impaired

      303(d)                              I	1	1
      List      ^	    I                   i
        |                              All others            |§ |here gn existing TM DL

       T                                                or impairment not caused by
    TMDLdeve,opment                                I    ^^
       X             reaches attainment
    ,,        . , ..      ^                       Is there a 319 watershed mgmt
    Management Acton    ^................................  p|an wnich addresses &can be imp|emented?
decision support and landscape model scenario assessment, prediction, and versatile
reporting, all ultimately keeping national management activities well-informed and on
target. Opportunities exist for substantial roles in  landscape analysis as well as in
probability-based and targeted design development.
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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

15.   Revisit the scientific basis for use designations.

The current water quality standards program has been called 'scientifically weak' in that
the established designated uses (DUs) need to be more specific (Freedman 2001).
The NRC panel characterized DUs as generally flawed and in need of refinement, but
noted that expressing uses as narrative rather than quantitative statements remains
appropriate; they felt that use concepts such as "recreational support", "aquatic life
support" or "fishable-swimmable" represent only a beginning of proper use definition
(NRC 2001).  Regional program staff have also commented that DUs are too vague,
and in some cases aren't sensitive to downstream  effects of an upstream use.

This is a need partially based on policy limitations (i.e. descriptions of uses could be
better articulated) but also based on needing better underlying science supporting use
designations.  Some state DUs  lack a written rationale for how and why the use was
selected, a trait which does little to help evaluate DU suitability after the fact.   EPA
assistance to  states in revisiting questionable DUs, refining them through more detailed
scientific deliberation, and documenting the outcome and rationale would provide useful
examples for other states that may need to do the same.

Meeting this need: The NRC panel called "tiered DUs" an essential step, claiming that
there should be substantial stratification and refinement of uses with  scientific, social
and economic input about the desired state for each water body (NRC 2001).  The
establishment of  more detailed, defensible use concepts clearly calls for a wide array of
supporting science, into which ORD might contribute.  Some appropriate research
activities may include:
      - study states that have begun to implement tiered DU concepts (e.g. Ohio) and
develop a general or even regionalized guidance to help other states refine their aquatic
life support uses;
      - for state decisionmakers, facilitate  DU development from the paradigm of
social/ecological value > assessment endpoint > measurement endpoint, as in risk
assessment's early stages
      - continue/enhance the multidisciplinary component of the STAR grants Water
and Watersheds  research, where such grants  may stimulate or support improved DUs;
      - assist tribes with DU development  related to their ceremonial uses;
      - provide OW help on developing water supply DU targets/criteria;
      - ORD  scientists specializing in reference condition could  analyze problematic
DU's in connection to reference conditions as part of suggesting DU improvements;
      - take a fresh look at Use Attainability Analysis methods development.

16.   Assist states in translating narrative  standards into numeric criteria.

Developing TMDLs based on narrative criteria in existing standards is a current and
widespread challenge. Many water quality standards were set in the 1960s and  need to
be revisited, particularly relative to updating old, qualitative concepts  with more recent
quantitative science. The  1998 TMDL FACA report recommends that development of
additional numeric criteria  ranks among EPA's second-highest priorities for science and
tool development (USEPA 1998). The uncertainties inherent in evaluating impairment

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

qualitatively rather than quantitatively even affect the top three listed impairments
(sediment, nutrients, and pathogens), which in many states have weak quantitative
criteria.  Over 10,000 TMDLs are scheduled to be done for clean sediments and
nutrients, which are generally based on narrative translators.  Moreover, flow and
habitat impairments have no criteria or guidelines supported by EPA (Freedman 2001).

Among TMDL developers, numeric criteria are sometimes but not always preferred.
Proponents note that a numeric criterion that is well-supported scientifically often
simplifies the selection of TMDL targets and helps justify proposed allocation decisions.
In fact, the opinion  exists that narrative concepts cannot be translated and therefore
TMDLs cannot be done for them.  On the other hand, a generalized numeric criterion
can overshadow local, reach-specific considerations for meeting water body-specific
designated uses; in these situations, some prefer to apply their detailed local
knowledge with the flexibility afforded by a narrative criterion.  The concept of
"translators" - methodologies to guide the calculation of site-specific numeric targets
(not criteria) based on a given narrative standard - has potential to become a popular
substitute for using rigid, pass/fail numbers in numeric criteria. This concept needs to
establish a defensible track record, possibly with the help of EPA research, and be
addressed in policy or guidance.

Meeting this need: As with the aforementioned designated uses and criteria needs, the
underlying research opportunities are very broad and span a wide variety of impairment
settings.  Opportunities exist for ORD to develop projects of regional or national scope
as well as participate with states in water body-specific efforts. For example,
narrative/numeric translation support could include:

      - working with states on continuing to refine or develop new numeric targets and
translators for use with biological endpoints,  sediment, and nutrients.  In particular,
ORD could continue work on the  National  Nutrient Strategy, which will result in
ecoregion-based criteria for nutrients for lakes, rivers/streams, estuaries and coastal
waters, and wetlands, and should collaborate on an effort to develop national sediment
criteria similar to the above;
      - developing the basis for numeric criteria on effluent-dominated streams,
general guidance on quantifying odor and  aesthetics, quantifying the relationship
between fish advisories and appropriate numeric criteria, and numeric targets for
contaminated sediment;
      - developing the scientific arguments  in favor of translators;
      - quantifying the role of flow in relation to the effects on DUs from other criteria;
      - testing common EPA-supported models against the predicted outcomes that
would result from different numeric target alternatives;
      - assisting OW in the narrative/numeric issues arising as part of the 60-day
triennial reviews of state water quality standards.
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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

17.   Clarify and quantify selected parameters used in criteria definitions.

Many criteria incompletely reflect current scientific understanding of the stressors they
address, particularly with regard to the complex behavior of certain pollutants through
time. On this issue the NRC panel stated, "All chemical criteria and some biological
criteria should be defined in terms of magnitude, frequency, and duration."  Even
beyond clarifying these three key parameters, criteria can and should go farther when
necessary to establish a  more reliable relationship between the designated use and the
criterion meant to protect it. The temporal components of criteria are  particularly good
candidates for scrutiny, to determine whether concepts such as 5-day average, 4-day
minimum, monthly average, "7Q10"  and other semi-quantitative measures make
ecological sense and are filling their intended purpose.

Incomplete treatment of all the terms of a criterion also has negative impacts on states'
listing and delisting procedures and  their use of defensible statistical methods (see also
needs 6 and 19). For example, some states use only instantaneous sample values
without considering magnitude of exceedance, frequency, or duration, when evaluating
whether 10% of samples exceed the criterion and a water body should be listed.

Meeting this need: ORD  laboratories might consider projects that can:
      - compile regionalized  literature syntheses on the complex, episodic behavior of
all major stressors as a resource for state or EPA review and refinement of the duration
and frequency components of criteria;
      - assist state decisions on when standards are supposed to be met, at what
flows, and determine how to technically translate the standards into TMDLs and permits
and show examples (acute, chronic, numeric, criteria, narratives, daily average, uses);
      - interpret standards for wet weather conditions (episodic flows, unique hydraulic
regimes, etc.);
      - provide data and methods on sediment lethality to biological life. Which is
worse, for example - high concentration/short duration or long/lower concentrations?

18.   Develop and improve biocriteria, address other criteria gaps, and evaluate
      the potential for ecological  water quality standards.

Water quality standards establish the key environmental endpoints used to measure the
success of Clean Water Act programs. The increasing complexity of water quality
problems,  however, has outpaced the  ability of EPA and states to continually revise
their standards and criteria and keep up with evolving science and implementation
demands,  including watershed-based TMDLs (USEPA 2002a). The earliest criteria of
the 1970s focused narrowly on the predominant point source problems of the times, but
today's water quality standards and  criteria are expected to be relevant to a wide array
of point and non-point sources and protective of complex aquatic ecosystems and
multiple designated uses.

There are many different types of potential water quality criteria, only some of which
have been used in water quality standards to indicate a breakpoint in  conditions that no
longer support a given designated use. Traditionally, chemical and physical criteria

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program
                July 2002
have predominated. The existing types of criteria vary significantly in their 'conceptual
distance' from the pollutant source (NRC 2001) and from the designated uses they are
intended to protect (see Figure 4). Greater distance from either end potentially implies
increasing uncertainty, and thus different types of criteria have strengths and
weaknesses relative to
stressor sources or
                              Figure 4.  Potential types of water quality criteria relative
                              to sources and designated uses (after NRC 2001).
                               Pollutant load from
                               each source
Traits of land use, channel,
riparian zone, flow regime,
species harvest (pollution!
                              Ambient pollutant cone.
                              In waterbody
                              Human health,
                              biological condition
                               Designated uses for
                               the waterbody
designated uses.

One shortcoming of
conventional water quality
standards is their reliance
on a numeric measure of
one or a few parameters to
represent, and be fully
protective of, a highly
complex and variable
watershed ecosystem with
multiple designated uses.
To overcome this problem,
EPA and many states have
gradually continued to
develop and add more
varied criteria and explore
methods for their joint
application. The Draft
Strategy for Water Quality
Standards and Criteria
lists "eco-criteria" to establish measures of watershed health and condition among its
strategic actions for linking standards to watershed approaches at the state and local
levels (USEPA 2002a). An important current emphasis in EPA and many states is on
developing biocriteria to complement existing chemical criteria. Other current advances
in more ecologically relevant physical criteria include the development of habitat and
sediment criteria.

An alternative to the approach of gradually adding more types of criteria is to explore
the concept of ecological  water quality standards. These might be arrived at eventually
through accumulating a sufficiently comprehensive variety of criteria types and focusing
on developing methods for applying them. Alternatively, ecological standards could be
approached by design as a holistic reinvention of water quality standards from the
ground up in an effort to better protect complex natural systems and beneficial uses.
Both approaches merit significant exploration by ORD and OW together.

There is a growing interest in biocriteria among many states, and EPA guidance
recommending bioassessment dates back ten years. Biota are affected by and
respond to the sum total of chemical, physical, and biological factors in their
environment (Bauer and Ralph, 2001), and thus biological measurements are more
often suitable for indicating water body condition than chemical parameters alone
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(NRC, 2001). Yet, the NRC panel also noted that biocriteria are not as informative
about the pollutant sources, and whereas they may tell more about the impairment they
may reveal less about potential control at the source. They suggested that using
multiple types of criteria in assessment could compensate for the weaknesses in a
criterion used alone, specifically recommending that, "Biological criteria should be used
in conjunction with physical and chemical criteria to determine whether a waterbody is
meeting its designated use" (NRC, 2001).  EPA regional feedback has placed biocriteria
development among states' greatest needs for new criteria and pathogen criteria
among the most in need of refinement (USEPA, 2001 d).

Meeting this need: The research opportunities below are summarized as they relate to
ecological water quality standards, criteria development or refinement in general, or to
biocriteria specifically.
      - Ecological Water Quality Standards. Whether  assuming that ecological
standards might be addressed by accumulating diverse criteria or by a wholesale
reinvention of water quality standards, a  significant effort by researchers  is warranted to
evaluate standards' ability to protect watershed ecosystems and their uses.  In either
case, such efforts would need to start with a sound, science-based concept of
watershed condition, addressed by focusing on relevant watershed processes and the
beneficial uses derived from fully functional watersheds. Clearer relationships between
watershed processes and better-defined designated uses can probably be identified,
regardless of whether these are ecological or human-use oriented.  These relationships
should  provide a better basis for selecting suites of appropriate criteria and selecting
consistently applicable measurement protocols.  In particular, ecological standards
would go beyond biocriteria alone and also integrate abiotic characteristics such as
sediment dynamics, channel structure and function, flow and habitat.  Further, the links
from these criteria and measures to sources of specific stressors should  be evaluated
for their potential to support management plans and restoration decisions.

Another approach to ecological standards would develop holistic system-level indicators
of ecosystem health, to determine the ecological integrity of the entire system instead of
assessing its parts independently.  EPA started exploring the concept of ecological
integrity and its application to the physical, chemical, and biological components of
aquatic ecosystems in a symposium held shortly after the passage of the Federal Water
Pollution Control Act Amendments of 1972. A conclusion from the  symposium was that
ecological integrity applies to whole ecosystems and cannot be easily assigned to the
separate components. Ecological integrity can be defined as a condition of ecosystems
that is fully developed when the network of biotic and abiotic components and
processes is complete and functioning optimally (Campbell, 2000).  A system-level
approach was developed for Green Bay,Wisconsin  by identifying ecosystem properties
(structural and functional) that served as operational guides for the management of the
Bay (Harris, et al., 1987). Hagy et al. (2001) use steady-state trophic network models
and indicators to assess the effects of nutrient enrichment on food webs  in Chesapeake
Bay by comparing them to reference trophic networks.  Campbell (2000)  used energy
systems theory to assess ecological integrity of Spartina alterniflora marsh ecosystems
affected by hot water effluent and control ecosystems in Crystal River,  Florida. The
Science Advisory Board  (2002) recommends a framework of essential  ecological

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attributes for assessing ecological condition in a systematic way across regions.  EPA
researchers could contribute to protecting entire ecosystems by supporting
development of system-level indicators for use as ecological standards.

In revising or reinventing designated uses, criteria, and measurement protocols,
researchers could also make significant contributions by highlighting  advances in
watershed science and the role of newer tools in landscape modeling.  The case study
approach could be used in significantly different watersheds to gain insight into the
sufficiency of current assemblages of criteria vs. a reinvented standards concept.
Ultimately the potential of ecological standards may be clearer relationships between
uses, criteria, stressors, and the key features of sustainable watershed ecosystems
upon which the designated uses depend.

      - General. Other criteria development and  refinement needs concern clean
sediment dynamics (a current OW priority); riparian habitat measures; flow issues;
translation of fish advisories' relationship to numeric criteria; marine and estuarine water
quality standards such as marine DO and nutrients, coral reef-related standards; water
quality standards for intermittent streams; wildlife and invasive species, wetlands,
Pharmaceuticals and new chemicals (USEPA, 2001 a). According to  states, chemical
water quality criteria to protect aquatic life and human health are good but need to
cover some new chemicals. Other needs include numeric criteria related to nutrients,
source water contaminants, sediment, wildlife, habitat and endangered species
(USEPA2000b). From the OW water quality standards strategy fact sheet (USEPA,
2001 b), the following initial strategic directions center on prioritized work plans for
criteria, analytical methods, and water quality standards policy and technical guidance
for the  next 5-7 years that reflect the most important environmental results sought. The
specifics on criteria include:
      - develop additional  guidance and new ecoregional and waterbody type-specific
documents for nutrient criteria and for bacteria criteria;
      - implement the waterborne microbial disease strategy;
      - update parts of aquatic life criteria methodology, develop new and revised
aquatic life criteria for approximately 10 pollutants;
      - technical guidance for implementing new and revised human health criteria
      - additional guidance for contaminated sediment, wetlands, wildlife criteria;
      - update analytical methods to enable detection of ambient concentrations at
criteria levels, for new and existing criteria as needed;
      - develop clean sediment criteria as related to aquatic life effects;
      - establish a joint OST-OGWDW work plan for 304(a) criteria that protect
consumers of drinking water.

      - Biocriteria. EPA researchers should support and participate  in the ongoing
bioassessment program framework development effort, which engages many states
and academic experts including ORD participation. EPA labs could:
      - become involved in state-level  biocriteria development efforts;
      - develop databases for water quality managers that will aid the development
and use of bioassessment;
      - develop diagnostic indicators of biological impairment;

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      - continue to develop stressor identification guidance to explain relationships
between biological endpoints and pollutants that can be addressed by TMDLs;
      - assist OW in developing additional biocriteria technical guidance (statistics,
large rivers, wetlands, coral reefs) and implementation assistance (streams and small
rivers implementation, guidance for tiered aquatic life uses) (USEPA, 2001 b);
      - a dialogue on the concept of ecological criteria should be initiated, given the
limits of existing types of criteria alone and their potential when considered together.

19.   Evaluate defensible scientific standards for listing and de-listing.

Listing and delisting share many of the criteria-related  science needs discussed under
numbers 13 through 18. Specifically, the NRC panel's recommendation of a two-part
impaired waters list (preliminary and final lists) has implications for monitoring research,
sampling methods development and statistical analysis, usually occurring in a data-
limited environment.  November 2001 TMDL and monitoring program integrated
guidance (USEPA 2001 g) does outline a framework along which states may partition
their lists based on data availability, quality, and other considerations.

Some states are taking steps to change their listing procedures, either through use of a
two-part list or through more specific requirements for  listing. Some states separate
their "planning" list and "verified" list on the basis of number and frequency of samples,
thresholds (of samples in exceedance), and monitoring requirements. The recent EPA
national guidance on integrated monitoring and listing also addresses a general
framework for multi-part listing. Improvements in listing can also be based on data
quality, trained assessors, and  magnitude of exceedances.  Despite some
improvements, there continue to be numerous opportunities for use of existing
statistical methods capable of reliable detection of impairments using existing data.

Meeting this need: A number of factors might strengthen the scientific basis for listing
and delisting:
      - statistical guidance on  appropriate methods for making scientifically defensible
listing decisions may be the most widespread need;
      - methods for using multiple lines of evidence in making listing decisions (e.g.
combining bioassessment with  chemical assessment)  when each exhibits  different
sensitivities;
      - improving the data collection analysis for flow as it affects exceedances of other
pollutant criteria;
      - specific case studies to improve the steps for listing and delisting relative to fish
tissue advisories;
      - relate statistical methods in uncertainty analysis (see #6) to listing as well as to
modeling; and
      - explore the use of models that can fill data gaps to increase preliminary listing
accuracy despite limited data (NRC 2001).
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20.   Improve support for protecting unimpaired waters from degradation.

At the 2001 EPA TMDL/NPS/Monitoring regional Coordinators' meeting a senior
manager called protecting unimpaired waters "the other half of the big job we face [in
addition to restoring impaired waters]" (USEPA 2001 a).  States and EPA face
challenges in:
      - how to integrate protection of healthy waters with restoring impaired waters;
      - how to balance protection priorities with restoration priorities;
      - how to monitor threatened waters in  particular; and
      - how to take protective actions that are soundly defensible in science.
In addition,  implementing antidegradation - the third element of water quality standards
that guards against further decline in water quality- remains an area in which states
request more guidance and technical assistance (USEPA 2000b, USEPA 2001 a,
USEPA 2001 d).  Yet another concern is whether the magnitude of the problems facing
impaired waters may overshadow protection  of healthy but threatened waters.

Two premises largely define the challenge to take scientifically defensible actions in
protecting waters in  good condition.  First, it is most evident in unimpaired waters that
these are functional, natural systems whose  management and protection must stem
from the maintenance of their natural processes to preserve the benefits we gain from
them. Second,  it is evident that the Clean Water Act tools for protection and their
supporting science base both need to be improved in  order to support systems-ecology-
based watershed management and protection. These closely linked  research and
policy needs call for EPA's water and research programs to address them jointly and
comprehensively, from revisiting water quality standards from the ground up through
implementation and long term evaluation of management plans.

Meeting this need: ORD  already contributes to the scientific basis for protection of
watershed ecosystems through extensive research in watershed and aquatic
ecosystem natural processes. These research activities help justify water body
protection and  restoration generally by increasing the state of our understanding of
valuable ecological goods and services from  the nation's waters and watersheds, and
specifically by revealing how ecological processes support the designated uses that
drive water  regulations.  Research possibilities  related to the challenges above are:

      - integrating protection and restoration. Work with regions and states on
program strategies that are sensitive to overall condition, not protection or restoration
alone; include economic/social factors as well as human health and ecology in various
strategies; take part in pilot projects that address antidegradation in whole-watershed
TMDLs that have some unimpaired segments.

      - setting and balancing priorities.  Establish sound methods and data to support
regional-scale critical ecosystem protection, which is already gaining popularity in
several  regions as an essential part of doing  EPA business; work with states on the
basis for priority setting strategies; demonstrate strengths and gaps of priority-setting
options  available; provide decision tools for setting priorities; emphasize strategies that
merge protection and restoration,  resulting in the best condition for the most resources;

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document the scientific rationale underlying any priority-setting tools that are made
available.

      - monitoring threatened waters.  Develop efficient methods to verify existing
designated  use support under several common threat settings (e.g., how should states
monitor for aquatic life support in mid-western agriculture-dominated watersheds);
sampling design considerations for threatened waters; work with OW on developing
scientifically stronger antidegradation guidance; improve indicators' sensitivity to onset,
trajectory of change and early stages of common types of impairment.

      - scientific support for protective actions.  Reduce uncertainty about thresholds
for impairment by better relating ecological process and changes to specific designated
uses; build weight of evidence for how common impairments progress through stages;
use the above in decision support tools that address relevant  lines of evidence and
supporting statistics as available.
References

Bauer, S.B. and S.C. Ralph. 2001. Strengthening the use of aquatic habitat indicators
in Clean Water Act programs. In: Fisheries 26 (6): 14-24.

Brown, B.S., N. Detenbeck and R. Eskin. 2002.  Integrating 305(b) and 303(d): how
EMAP aids in monitoring and assessment of state waters.  In: Environmental
Monitoring and Assessment (in review).

Campbell, D.E. 2000. Using Energy Systems Theory to Define, Measure, and Interpret
Ecological Integrity and Ecosystem Health.  In: Ecosystem Health 6(3): 181 -204.

Chadderton, R.A., A.C.  Miller and A. J. McDonnell. 1981.  Analyses of Waste Load
Allocation Procedures.  In: Water Resources Bulletin 17(5):760-766.

Freedman,  P.  2001.  The CWA's New Clothes,  in: Water Environment & Technology
13(6): 28-32.

Hagy, J.D., W.R. Boynton, W.M. Kemp, R.E. Ulanowicz. 2001. Effects of Hypoxia on
Food Web Structure and Efficiency During Summer in Mesohaline Chesapeake Bay:
An Assessment Using Network Analysis,   in: ERF2001 Conference Abstracts, p. 54.

Harris, H.J., P.E. Sager, S. Richman, V.A. Harris, and C.J. Yarbrough. 1987. Coupling
Ecosystem  Science with Management: A Great Lakes Perspective from Green Bay,
Lake Michigan, USA.  hi: Environmental Management 11 (5); 619-625.

Mehaffey, M.H., Nash, M., Wade, T.G., Edmonds, C.M., Ebert, D.W., Jones, K.B., and
Ragar, A.  2001.  A Landscape Assessment of the Catskills/Delaware Watersheds,
1975-1998: New York City's Water Supply Watersheds.  EPA/600/R-01/075. United
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States Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development,
National Exposure Research  Laboratory, Las Vegas, NV.

National Research Council (NRC).  2001.  Assessing the TMDL Approach to Water
Quality Management. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. 109 pp.

Rankin, E.T. and C.O. Yoder. 1990. A comparison of aquatic life use impairment
detection and its causes between an integrated, biosurvey-based environmental
assessment and its water column chemistry subcomponent. Ohio Water Resource
Inventory (Volume I). Columbus, OH: Ohio EPA, Division of Water Quality Planning
Assessment.

Science Advisory Board. 2002. A Framework for Assessing and Reporting on
Ecological Condition. Washington,  DC: US Environmental Protection Agency, Science
Advisory Board (unpublished  draft, online at

Smith, J. H., J.D. Wickham, D.J. Norton, T.G. Wade and K.B. Jones. 2001. Utilization
of landscape indicators  to model potential pathogen-impaired waters. In: J. Amer.
Water Res. Assn. 37 (4), 805-814.

US Environmental Protection  Agency (USEPA). 1998. Report of the FACA Committee
on the TMDL Program.  EPA-100-R-98-006.  Washington, DC: US Environmental
Protection Agency, Office of the Administrator.

USEPA. 2000a. Strategic Plan for TMDL Technical Support (unpublished draft).
Washington, DC: US Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Water.

USEPA. 2000b. Perceptions on TMDL Technical Support: Input from State, EPA,
Discharger Organizations and Clean Water Action Network.  In: Strategic Plan for
TMDL Technical Support (unpublished draft).  Washington, DC: US Environmental
Protection Agency, Office of Water.

USEPA. 2001 a. Annual Meeting of EPA Regional Water Quality Program
Coordinators (meeting notes,  unpublished). Albuquerque, NM: US Environmental
Protection Agency, Office of Water.

USEPA. 2001 b. Strategy for Water Quality Standards and Criteria (draft fact sheet,
October 2001, unpublished). Washington, DC:  US Environmental Protection Agency,
Office of Water.

USEPA. 2001 c. Stressor Identification Guidance Document.  EPA/822/B-00/025.
Washington, DC:  US Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and
Development and Office of Water.

USEPA. 2001 d. Survey of Office of Water Headquarters and Regional TMDL
Research Needs (unpublished). Albuquerque,  NM: US Environmental Protection
Agency, Office of Research and Development.

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USEPA. 2001 e.  Water Quality Multi-Year Research Plan.  Washington, DC: US
Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development (internal
planning document).

USEPA. 2001 f.  Aquatic Stressors Framework. Washington, DC: US Environmental
Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development (internal planning document).

USEPA. 2001 g.  November 19, 2001 guidance, 2002 Integrated Water Quality
Monitoring and Assessment Report Guidance. Unpublished program guidance,  online
at

USEPA. 2002a.  Draft Strategy for Water Quality Standards and Criteria: Strengthening
the Foundation of Programs to Protect and Restore the Nation's Waters.  EPA-823-R-
02-001; Washington, DC: US Environmental Protection Agency Office of Water,  Office
of Science and Technology.

USEPA 2002b. The TMDL Tracking System. USEPA website at
http://vvww.epa.gov/owow/tmdl

Wickham, J.D., Wade, T.G., Riitters, K.H., O'Neill, R.V., Smith, J.H., Smith, E.R.,
Jones, K.B, and Neale, A.C.  2002. The effect of risk propagation and scale on use of
nutrient export coefficients for watershed management.   In: Landscape Ecology,
accepted (pending revision).
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                                   Appendix A:
                   A Brief History of TMDL Milestones

• 1972: Clean Water Act enacted with Section 303(d) calling for state lists of impaired waters
(those not attaining water quality standards) and development of a Total Maximum Daily Load
for the pollutant causing the impairment.

• 1985: First regulations issued, which included  nonpoint source pollutants and load allocations
within the TMDL.

• 1992. Revised TMDL  regulations published in  Federal Register requiring state lists every two
years. This is the rule that still effectively guides the TMDL program today.

• Mid-1990s: A growing number of lawsuits against EPA are filed, most charging that states
were not developing lists quickly enough and that EPA was not fulfilling its obligation to get the
state lists and to backstop states by developing lists and TMDLs when a state failed to do so.

• Mid- to late-1990s: Many settlement agreements concerning the above lawsuits commit EPA
to work with states in developing thousands  of TMDLs

• Late 1990s: An EPA-funded FACA group studies the TMDL program and makes
recommendations to revise the regulations under which the program operates.

• 1998: In the latest biennial section 303(d) listing of their impaired waters needing TMDLs,
states report that approximately 20,000 water bodies nationwide are impaired, requiring
development of an estimated 40,000 TMDLs.

• 1998-2000: Based on FACA group recommendations, EPA develops a revised TMDL rule
(referred to below as 'the 2000 rule').

• July 2000: Congress  prohibits EPA's implementation of the rule through October 2001. The
1992 TMDL regulation is the authority for continued operation of the TMDL program.

• June 2001: National Research Council (NRC) issues a report to Congress on the 2000 rule
and the TMDL program after their review.

• August 2001: EPA proposes to delay the effective date of the rule for 18 months. A final rule
delaying the effective date is expected sometime before the end of October. The NRC
recommendations will be studied at the same time there is a public process to consult with all
interested parties.

• October 2001: EPA Administrator Christine Todd Whitman signs a final rule establishing April
30, 2003 as the effective date of the 2000 rule.  Having already  undertaken a broad public
process to determine what substantive changes should be made to the 2000 rule and to the
TMDL program as  a whole, EPA expects to make decisions regarding these changes over the
next 18 months. In the interim, EPA and the states will continue to identify impaired waters and
develop TMDLs under existing regulations.
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                                   Appendix B
                         Overview of the Current
   Total Maximum Daily Load  (TMDL) Program and Regulations
     The Need:  Quality of Our Nation's Waters
    Over 40% of our assessed waters still do not meet the water quality standards states,
    territories, and authorized tribes have set for them. This amounts to over 20,000
    individual river segments, lakes, and estuaries. These impaired waters include
    approximately 300,000 miles of rivers and shorelines and approximately 5 million acres
    of lakes -- polluted mostly by sediments, excess nutrients, and harmful microorganisms.
    An overwhelming majority of the population - 218 million - live within 10 miles of the
    impaired waters.

      Section 303(d) of the Clean Water Act
    Under section 303(d) of the 1972 Clean Water Act, states, territories, and authorized
    tribes are required to develop lists of impaired waters. These impaired waters do not
    meet water quality standards that states, territories, and authorized tribes have set for
    them, even after point sources of pollution have installed the minimum required levels of
    pollution control technology. The law requires that these jurisdictions establish priority
    rankings for waters on the lists and develop TMDLs for these waters.


      What is a TMDL?
    A TMDL specifies the maximum amount of a pollutant that a water body can receive and
    still meet water quality standards, and allocates pollutant loadings among point and
    nonpoint pollutant sources. By law, EPA must approve or disapprove lists and TMDLs
    established by states, territories, and authorized tribes. If a state, territory, or authorized
    tribe submission is inadequate, EPA must establish the  list or the TMDL. EPA issued
    regulations in 1985 and 1992 that implement section 303(d) of the  Clean Water Act -
    the TMDL provisions.

      Litigation
    While TMDLs have been required  by the Clean Water Act since 1972, until recently
    states, territories, authorized tribes, and EPA have not developed many. Several years
    ago citizen organizations began bringing legal actions against EPA seeking the listing
    of waters and development of TMDLs. To date, there have been about 40 legal actions
    in 38 states. EPA is under court order or consent decrees in many  states to ensure that
    TMDLs are established, either by the state or by EPA.
EPA Actions to Implement the TMDL Program

      Federal Advisory Committee
    In an effort to speed the Nation's progress toward achieving water quality standards and
    improving the TMDL program, EPA began, in 1996, a comprehensive evaluation of
    EPA's and the states' implementation of their Clean Water Act section 303(d)


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    responsibilities. EPA convened a committee under the Federal Advisory Committee
    Act, composed of 20 individuals with diverse backgrounds, including agriculture,
    forestry, environmental advocacy, industry, and state, local, and tribal governments. The
    committee issued its recommendations in 1998.


     The July 2000 TMDL Rule
    These recommendations were used to guide the development of proposed changes to
    the TMDL regulations, which EPA issued in draft in August, 1999. After a long comment
    period, hundreds of meetings and conference calls, much debate, and the Agency's
    review and serious consideration of over 34,000 comments, the final rule was published
    on July 13, 2000. However, Congress added a "rider" to one of their appropriations bills
    that prohibited EPA from spending FY2000 and FY2001 money to implement this new
    rule until October 2001. In October, the EPA Administrator signed a final rule establishing
    April 30, 2003 as the effective date of the 2000 rule.  Having already undertaken a broad
    public process to determine what substantive changes should be made to the 2000 rule
    and to the TMDL program as a whole, EPA expects to make decisions regarding these
    changes over the next 18 months.  In the interim, EPA and the states will continue to
    identify impaired waters and develop TMDLs under existing regulations.

     Current TMDL Program
    The current rule remains in effect until 30 days after  Congress permits EPA to
    implement the new rule. TMDLs continue to be developed and completed under the
    current rule, as required by the 1972 law and many court orders. The regulations that
    currently apply are those that were issued in 1985 and amended in 1992 (40 CFR Part
    130,  section 130.7). These regulations mandate that states, territories, and authorized
    tribes list  impaired and threatened waters and develop TMDLs.

       Overview of the 1992 TMDL Regulations, Under Which the
Current Program Operates

       •  Scope of Lists of Impaired Waters
          States, territories, and authorized tribes must list waters that are  both
          impaired and threatened by pollutants.
          The list is composed of waters that need a TMDL.
          At the state's, territory's, or authorized tribe's discretion, the water body may
          remain on the list after EPA approves the TMDL, or until water quality
          standards are attained.
       • 2-Year Listing Cycle
          States, territories, and authorized tribes are to submit their list of  waters on
          April 1 in every even-numbered year, except in 2000. In March 2000,  EPA
          issued a rule removing the requirement for the 2000 list - though  some
          states are choosing to submit such lists on their own initiative.
       •  Methodology Used to Develop Lists
          States, territories, and authorized tribes must consider "all existing and
          readily available water quality-related information" when developing their
          lists.
          Monitored and evaluated data may be used.
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         The methodology must be submitted to EPA at the same time as the list is
         submitted.
         At EPA's request, the states, territories, or authorized tribes must provide
         "good cause" for not  including and removing a water from the list.
       • Components of a TMDL
         A TMDL is the sum of allocated  loads of pollutants set at a level necessary
         to implement the applicable water quality standards, including -
           Wasteload allocations from point sources, and
           Load allocations from nonpoint sources and natural background
           conditions.
         A TMDL must contain a margin of safety and a consideration of seasonal
         variations.
       • Priorities/Schedules for TMDL Development
         States, territories, and authorized tribes must establish a priority ranking of
         the listed water bodies taking into account the severity of pollution and uses
         to be made of the water, for example, fishing, swimming, and drinking water.
         The list must identify for each water body the pollutant that is causing the
         impairment.
         States, territories, and authorized tribes must identify waters targeted for
         TMDL development within the next 2 years.
       • Public Review/Participation
         Calculations to  establish TMDLs are subject to public review as defined in
         the state's continuing planning process.
       • EPA Actions on Lists and TMDLs
         EPA has 30 days in which to approve or disapprove a state's, territory's, or
         authorized tribe's list  and the TMDLs.
         If EPA disapproves either the state's, territory's, or authorized tribe's list or
         an individual TMDL, EPA has 30 days to establish the list or the TMDL. EPA
         must seek public comment on the list or TMDL it establishes.
       • 1997 Interpretative Guidance for the TMDL Program (additional guidance
on listing is under development)
         EPA issued guidance in August  1997 to respond to some of the issues
         raised as the program developed. The guidance includes a  number of
         recommendations intended to achieve a more nationally consistent
         approach for developing and implementing TMDLs to attain water quality
         standards. These recommendations include:

         - States, territories, and authorized tribes should develop schedules for
         establishing TMDLs expeditiously, generally within 8-13  years of being
         listed. EPA Regions should have a specific written agreement with each
         state, territory or authorized tribe in the Region about these schedules.
         Factors to be considered in developing the schedule could include:
           - Number of impaired segments;
           - Length of river miles, lakes,  or other water bodies for which TMDLs are
           needed;
           - Proximity of listed waters to each other within a watershed;
           - Number and relative complexity of the TMDLs;

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         - Number and similarities or differences among the source categories;
         - Availability of monitoring data or models; and
         - Relative significance of the environmental harm or threat.
       - States, territories, and authorized tribes should describe a plan for
       implementing load allocations for waters impaired solely or primarily by
       nonpoint sources, including -
         - Reasonable assurances that load allocations will be achieved, using
         incentive-based, non-regulatory or regulatory approaches. TMDL
         implementation may involve individual landowners and public or
         private enterprises engaged in agriculture, forestry, or urban
         development. The primary implementation mechanism may include the
         state, territory, or authorized tribe section 319 nonpoint source
         management program coupled with state, local, and federal land
         management programs and authorities,
         - Public participation process, and
         - Recognition of other watershed  management processes and
         programs, such as local source water protection and urban storm
         water management programs, as well as the state's section 303(e)
         continuing planning process.
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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

                                    Appendix C:
                                 "Tech Loops,"
   A Networking Resource for ORD, OW and Regional Collaboration

A Tech Loop is simply a list of the EPA/OW, ORD, and regional personnel working on or
interested in a specific, water quality-related or TMDL-related scientific topic. About 20 Tech
Loops (below) were compiled to help staff within EPA network with others working on the same
water quality issues. This idea originated as a way to help TMDL-related networking within EPA
by providing all the people active in an issue area a pre-made email distribution list accessible
to anyone in EPA through EPA's Lotus Notes Domino Directory.

The main purpose is to provide a quick contact source for anyone in EPA who:
      - encounters a science issue and wants to discuss others' experiences
      - needs sound scientific advice or insights on a specific topic
      - wants  to suggest a research idea or support need concerning the topic
      - has relevant material to share and distribute (e.g., via email distribution list)
      - wants  to invite the right people for a given issue to an Agency-wide activity
               Tech Loops available in the Lotus Notes Domino Directory
                        is a                                the

          based on top impairments                   based on TMDL process
        nutrients            pathogens                       modeling
        water temperature    bio-impairment                   restoration/BMPs
        metals              habitat impairment                targets/endpoints
        pH                 invasive species                  economics/trading
        flow                pesticides                       sources/diagnostics
        ammonia            mercury                         listing/delisting
        clean sediment      contam. sediment
Why are Tech Loops needed? Keeping everyone informed is a constant challenge in a busy
agency. Most EPA staff face tough choices between becoming involved in 'yet another team or
task' and accomplishing the substantial work already on their plates.  Membership in working
groups, teams, etc. often incompletely reflects the people involved in a given issue throughout
the Agency.  As a result, an individual's decision to limit their meetings, calls and other group
activities can sometimes leave them 'out of the loop' on information for an area of interest.

Tech Loops are intended to address this problem by providing a way to improve the  reach of
information while minimizing time demand. Tech Loops are not new workgroups or teams, nor
do they duplicate these units.  For example, a Tech Loop for a topic with an existing  workgroup
would include all its members plus several others who have enough interest or involvement in
the topic to want to be listed, and kept informed. Where a group exists, Tech Loops facilitate
networking among the immediate working group and an outer circle of people interested in their
work. Where no group currently exists, a Tech Loop can help individuals share information and
work together individually without a formal and more time-consuming structure.

What information is compiled in a Tech Loop?  A Tech Loop will list only a member's name
and Office or Regional affiliation; more can be found via Lotus directories if needed.  Among

                                         40

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program
                                                       July 2002
the people listed, one initial point of contact each from ORD and from OW or a region is
identified for each Tech Loop; these would be people very involved in the topic's research or
application. These POCs would occasionally update the list with added/deleted names as
needed. A Loop may decide to have everyone write briefly how they work with the topic, have
conference calls, or other activity, but this is up to the Loop's members.
Tech Loop Points-of-Contact:  Each Tech Loop contact list has one point of contact for ORD
and one for OW/regions.  These are individuals who have a higher involvement or interest in
the subject and have agreed to be a POC for their subject area. Thus they represent a good
starting point for anyone seeking more specific information than could be posed in an email to
the whole list in general. There are no specific duties linked to the POC role, but POCs are
requested  to update their contact list  from time to time as needed.
Tech Loop Subject
clean sediment
contam. sediment
nutrients
water temperature
bio-impairment
habitat impairment
metals
invasive species
PH
pesticides
flow
mercury
ammonia
pathogens
modeling
restoration/BMPs
economics/trading
targets/endpoints
sources/diagnosis
listing/delisting
       ORD contact
Joe Williams, NRMRL (Ada OK)
Walter Berry, NHEERL (Narragansett Rl)
Marie O'Shea, NRMRL (Edison NJ)
Steve McCutcheon, NERL (Athens GA)
Susan Cormier, NERL (Cincinnati OH)
Bob Lackey, NHEERL (Corvallis OR)
Dave Mount, NHEERL (Duluth MN)
Henry Lee, NHEERL (Newport OR)
Roger Wilmoth, NHEERL (Duluth MN)
Ann Pitchford, NERL (Las Vegas NV)
Iris Goodman, NERL (Las Vegas NV)
Teri Richardson, NRMRL (Cincinnati OH)
Russ Erickson, NHEERL (Duluth MN)
Yolanda Olivas, NRMRL (Ada OK)
Bob Ambrose, NERL (Athens GA)
Tim Canfield, NRMRL (Ada OK)
Randy Bruins, NCEA (Cincinnati OH)
Anne Sergeant, NCEA (Wash DC)
Sue Norton, NCEA (Wash DC)
Charles Stephan, NHEERL (Duluth MN)
OW/REG contact
Bill Swietlik, OST(DC)
Heidi Bell, OST (DC)
Bob Cantilli, OST (DC)
Doug Norton, OWOW (DC)
Bill Swietlik, OST (DC)
Doug Norton, OWOW (DC)
Cindy Roberts, OST (DC)
John Heisler, OWOW (DC)
Mary Beck, Region 3
Dave Macarus, Region 5
Christine Ruf, OWOW (DC)
Ruth Chemerys, OWOW (DC)
Brian Thompson, Region 5
Robin Oshiro, OST (DC)
Russ Kinerson, OST (DC)
John McShane, OWOW (DC)
Bill Painter, OWOW (DC)
Marge Wellman, OST (DC)
Doug Norton, OWOW (DC)
Mike Haire, OWOW (DC)
                                        41

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	    July 2002

                                Appendix D:
    Website Information Useful  in Tracking the TMDL Program

OW maintains the following website to help ORD track recent guidance, TMDL needs,
and watershed issues:

• WATERS - Watershed Assessment. Tracking and Environmental Results
System: is an integration of current OW water quality database systems and tracking
tools, all geosynched through the National Hydrography Dataset and searchable.
http://www.epa.gov/waters/

• CALM (Consolidated Assessment and Listing Methodology) newest monitoring
guidance available at

• Non-Point Source 319 program newest guidance available at
http://www.epa.gov/owow/nps/Section319/fy2002.htmI

• 2002 Integrated Water Quality Monitoring and Assessment Report Guidance:
Integrated guidance for 2002 305(b) and 303(d) lists, available at
http://www.epa.gov/owow/tmdl/2002wqma.html

• The TMDL Tracking System  provides states and EPA with a comprehensive system
for tracking listed  waters and TMDLs and obtaining information for review and
management of information and for comparisons. It doesn't appear to be a database to
the user.  Rather  it is a Graphic User Interface that directly hits the data and creates
outputs. The following links exemplify the system's features:

      •                                 (Main TMDL home page) This is the
general public site which doesn't look or feel much like a database (intentionally);
however, it is hitting off the TMDL tracking system as you click into the national, state or
regional reports.  From there you can drill down  to individual listings or TMDLs.   Within
this site there are some additional neat features:
      •                                                          This site can
help you search several  hundred electronic versions of TMDL reports (many have
multiple pollutant-water body combinations addressed / TMDLs within one report) via
whole text/keyword searches.
      •     To see high resolution interactive maps of listed waters, you must enter
an enviromapper  session (available from the watershed reports ) then drill down to a
~15m resolution and turn on the impaired waters coverages. We are working on this
tool; however, it does get us one step closer to an internet based mapping tool not
available to average users. Using this tool, you  will NOT be able to see impaired waters
at a county/state or large watershed level; it's like bird watching with a high powered
telescope.  For example:

h=6&!c=002200022^&fipsCode=02070010
                                     42

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  The Twenty Needs Report: How Research Can Improve the TMDL Program	     July 2002

      •     http://intranet.epa.gov/waters/tmdl/tmdl index.html  (Intranet version) The
actual database is housed internally on the inTRAnet for security purposes.  The
inTERnet version cited as the TMDL home page (above) is refreshed on a nightly basis
to keep it current and available to the public.  From the Intranet version you can access
more information.
      •     http://intranet.epa.gov/waters/tmdl/training/ This is a training page to
provide users with an overview of the system and links to documentation, structure
diagrams, and lastly a link to a  play version of the database which users can try before
they start inputting data to the live real version.  The password and user ID for this
practice system are regX/regX  where X is a regional number.
                                       43

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