vvEPA
         United States
         Environmental Protection
         Agency
           Office of Research and
           Development
           Washington DC 20460
EPA/630/R-94/005a
November 1994
Report on the
Workshop on Cancer
Risk Assessment
Guidelines Issues
        RISK ASSESSMENT FORUM

-------
                                             EPA/630/R-94/005a
                                             November 1994
        REPORT ON THE WORKSHOP ON

CANCER RISK ASSESSMENT GUIDELINES ISSUES
                     Prepared by:

               Eastern Research Group, Inc.
                  110 Hartwell Avenue
                 Lexington, MA 02173
              EPA Contract No. 68-D9-0133
                 Risk Assessment Forum
           U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                    Washington, DC
                                                Printed on Recycled Paper

-------
                                       NOTICE
       Mention of trade  names or commercial products does not constitute  endorsement or
recommendation for use. Statements are the individual views of each workshop participant; none
of the statements in this report represent analyses or positions of the Risk Assessment Forum or
the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

       This report was prepared by Eastern Research Group, Inc. (ERG), an EPA contractor, as
a general record of discussions during the Workshop on Cancer Risk Assessment Guidelines
Issues. As requested by EPA, this report captures the main points and highlights of discussions
held during plenary sessions and includes brief summaries of the breakout group sessions. The
report is not a complete record of all details discussed, nor does it embellish, interpret, or enlarge
upon matters that were incomplete or unclear.  In particular, each of the four breakout group
summaries was prepared  at the workshop by individual breakout group chairs based on their
groups' discussions during the workshop.  Thus, there may be slight differences between the four
groups' recommendations.
                                          ii

-------
                                 CONTENTS
Foreword	  v
SECTION ONE—INTRODUCTION	1-1

      Background    	1-1
      Technical Review Workshop	1-3
SECTION TWO—SUMMARY OF WORKSHOP DELIBERATIONS 	2-1

      Mode of Action	2-2
      Default Assumptions	2-4
      Dose Response 	2-6
      Hazard Identification	2-8
SECTION THREE—CHAIRPERSON'S SUMMARY OF THE WORKSHOP	3-1

      Dr. Ronald Wyzga


SECTION FOUR—BREAKOUT GROUP SUMMARIES  	4-1

      Mode of Action Breakout Group	4-1
        Dr. Carol Henry
      Default Assumptions Breakout Group	4-12
        Dr. Marvin Schneiderman
      Dose Response Breakout Group	4-17
        Dr. Colin Park
      Hazard Identification Breakout Group  	4-24
        Dr. Robin Fielder


SECTION FIVE—HIGHLIGHTS OF PRELIMINARY AND OBSERVER COMMENTS . 5-1

      Reviewers' Preliminary Comments	5-1
      Observers' Comments  	5-8
                                    iii

-------
                          CONTENTS (coot)
APPENDIX A.




APPENDIX B.




APPENDIX C.




APPENDIX D.




APPENDIX E.
                                                             Page
REVIEWER LIST	  A-l




CHARGE TO WORKSHOP REVIEWERS	B-l




WORKSHOP AGENDA	  C-l




REVIEWER BREAKOUT GROUP ASSIGNMENTS	D-l




FINAL OBSERVER LIST 	  E-l
                                IV

-------
                                     FOREWORD
       This report  includes information  and materials  from a  technical  review workshop
organized by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA's) Risk Assessment Forum (RAF)
and Office of Health and Environmental Assessment (OHEA).  The meeting was held in Reston,
Virginia, at the Hyatt Regency on September 12-14, 1994. The subject of the technical review
was the document entitled Revisions to the Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk Assessment (External
Review Draft, EPA/600/BP-92/003). A copy of this report can be obtained through EPA's Office
of Research and Development publications office, CERI, U.S. EPA, 26 West Martin Luther King
Drive, Cincinnati, Ohio 45268 (513-569-7562).  The expert technical reviewers were convened
to independently  comment on the draft guidelines and  make recommendations intended to
enhance the guidelines development process as well as the ultimate product.

       Notice of the workshop was published in the Federal Register on August 22,1994 (59 FR
43125).  The notice invited members of the public to attend  the workshop as observers  and
provided logistical information to enable observers to preregister.  Over 100  observers attended
the workshop, including representatives from federal government, industry, environmental  and
health organizations, the press, trade organizations, consulting firms, law firms, and public interest
groups, as well as interested citizens.

       In outlining the scope of the technical review, EPA emphasized that the draft guidelines
revisions are  in a preliminary  stage of development and should  not be construed as a policy
statement.  EPA explained that the proposed revisions would lead to some changes in current
Agency cancer risk assessment practices. EPA explained further that because the draft guidelines
have  received only limited  review within the  Agency,  they  could benefit greatly from the
comments  and recommendations of outside experts.   EPA  asked the  expert reviewers to
concentrate their review on technical issues concerning mode of action, hazard identification, dose
response, and default assumptions.

       A balanced group of expert technical reviewers were selected from academia, industry,
and government.  Selected reviewers provided scientific expertise in the following disciplines:
toxicology, epidemiology, public health, biostatistics, risk assessment/risk management policy,
cancer biology, and mechanisms of carcinogenesis.

       In workshop discussions, EPA sought comments from these scientific experts on the draft
revision of the cancer risk assessment guidelines. The draft guidelines present familiar concepts
presented in the 1986 cancer risk assessment guidelines along with innovative approaches for
conducting thorough analyses of reliable data on a case-by-case basis, for considering alternative
positions, and for developing rationales for major judgments. EPA will use the expert reviewers'
comments and  recommendations drawn from this technical review workshop in  considering
revisions to the draft guidelines.

-------
       The workshop report is organized as follows. The report opens with a brief introduction
concerning the purpose of the workshop and the background of the cancer risk assessment guidelines
(section 1). This is followed by a summary of workshop deliberations (section 2). The chairperson's
summary is provided next (section 3) and then the four breakout group chairs' summaries (section
4).  The last section of the report provides  highlights of reviewers' preliminary comments and
observers' comments (section 5). Appendices to the workshop report include a list of reviewers, the
charge to workshop reviewers, the agenda, reviewer breakout group assignments, and a list of
observers.
                                 William Wood, Ph.D.
                                 Executive Director
                                 Risk Assessment Forum

                                 Jeanette Wiltse, Ph.D., J.D.
                                 Deputy Director
                                 Office of Health and Environmental Assessment
                                          vi

-------
                                   SECTION ONE

                                  INTRODUCTION
       This report highlights issues and conclusions from a U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 (EPA) Risk Assessment Forum and Office of Health and Environmental Assessment (OHEA)-
 sponsored workshop on reviewing the Agency's Revisions to the  Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk
Assessment (External Review Draft, EPA/600/BP-92/003) published in August 1994.  The workshop
 was convened to gather information from technical expert reviewers that will assist EPA in further
 developing the draft guidelines.
BACKGROUND

       In 1976, EPA published Interim Procedures and Guidelines for Health Risk Assessments of
Suspected Carcinogens (41  FR 21402).  In response to significant advancements in cancer risk
assessment approaches and practices as well as the 1983 National Academy of Sciences' (NAS')
recommendation that EPA establish guidelines to ensure consistency and technical quality in risk
assessments, the Agency convened a task force to further develop the interim guidelines.  In
September 1986, after several drafts and a peer review by expert scientists, EPA published Guidelines
for Carcinogen Risk Assessment (51 FR 33992). The stated purpose of the 1986 guidelines was to
"guide Agency evaluation of suspect carcinogens in line with the policies and procedures established
in the statues administered by EPA." EPA also acknowledged in the guidelines document that
future revisions should be undertaken, as appropriate.

       Since 1986, our knowledge of carcinogenesis and risk assessment processes have continued
to advance, leading EPA to initiate the current revisions to Agency cancer risk assessment practices.
A technical panel of EPA's Risk Assessment Forum authored the external review draft guidelines
that served as the focus of the September 1994 workshop.
                                          1-1

-------
       In her introductory remarks at the gathering, Jeanette Wiltse, Ph.D., chair of the Risk
Assessment Forum's technical panel, explained  the  need to revise the  1986 guidelines  by
highlighting their limitations:

       •     Hazard identification and the carcinogen classification system do not address:
             —     importance of evidence apart from tumor effects
             —     route of exposure
             —     mode of action
       •     Dose-response assessment guidance provides only one default mode, which does
             not recognize the  variety of situations  encountered and the need to incorporate
             new information as it becomes available as well as expert judgment.
       •     Risk characterization is not developed.

Dr. Wiltse also  listed the objectives of the guidelines revision effort, which include:

       •     providing an analytical framework;
       •     addressing issues to examine and questions to address in the assessment;
       •     guiding the use of judgment and default assumptions in the assessment; and
       •     providing  flexibility that allows for consideration of  scientific advances that
             cannot yet be described.

The revised guidelines, however, will not be a methods handbook, will not instruct scientists on
how to conduct scientific analyses, and will not teach a novice how to conduct a risk assessment.
EPA will develop supplementary technical documents as necessary to support issues  in the
guidelines requiring further explanation.

       The major difference in the  revised guidelines compared with the  1986  guidelines
concerns  how  evidence  is weighed and used in  support of  decisions.   Under the revised
guidelines, all empirical  evidence will be  weighed (i.e., data on animal and/or  human  tumor
effects and other key evidence) and the risk characterization will include a robust qualitative and
appropriate quantitative description of the conclusions.

                                          1-2

-------
Other differences in the revised risk assessment process will include:
              Hazard characterization:
              —     describes the likelihood of hazard to humans and conditions of expression
                     (e.g., route of exposure)
              —     uses a  hazard narrative instead of, or in addition to,  alphanumeric
                     classification
              Dose-response assessment:
              —     performed  in  two  steps  (i.e., range  of observation and  range of
                     extrapolation)
              —     biologically based model as  the first choice for fitting and extrapolation
              —     use of both linear and nonlinear defaults
       Dr. Wiltse described the workshop as  the first step in the process of developing and
eventually publishing revised cancer risk assessment guidelines.  Following the workshop, the
technical panel will revise the draft guidelines.  The draft guidelines will then undergo several
reviews (i.e., internal EPA review, Risk Assessment Forum review, Science Policy Council review,
and other federal reviews) and revision cycles. Then a Federal Register proposal and announcement
of an EPA Science Advisory Board (SAB) review will be issued After public and SAB comments
are incorporated into the guidelines and the document is given final Agency clearance, the final
cancer risk assessment guidelines will be published.
TECHNICAL REVIEW WORKSHOP

       To  involve outside technical experts hi development  of the guidelines, EPA's Risk
Assessment Forum and OHEA sponsored a three-day workshop, which was held on September 12-
14,1994, at the Hyatt Regency hi Reston, Virginia. The meeting gathered 25 experts (see Appendix
A for  a list of workshop reviewers) with the objectives of identifying and  elucidating issues,
describing points of view about issues, and highlighting areas for further development by text or
illustrative example.
                                          1-3

-------
       Prior to the workshop, EPA provided each reviewer with a copy of the draft Revisions to the
 Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk Assessment and the 1986 Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk Assessment.
 EPA asked workshop participants to review these materials before the meeting with the following
 topics in mind:

       •     mode of carcinogenic action;
       •     hazard identification;
       •     low-level dose-response extrapolation;
       •     observed range dose-response relationships; and
       •     use of science policy default positions.

 See Appendix B for the premeetmg charge to workshop reviewers.

       Ronald Wyzga, Ph.D., a senior program manager at the Electric Power Research Institute,
 served as the chairperson of the workshop.  In his introductory remarks, Dr. Wyzga reviewed the
 agenda for the workshop (see Appendix C), providing an explanation of the format for breakout
 group sessions.  Reviewers were divided into four breakout groups according to the following topic
 areas:

       •      mode of action;
       •      default assumptions;
       •      dose response; and
       •      hazard identification.

 (See Appendix D for reviewer breakout group assignments.) Each breakout group was charged to
initially place particular emphasis on their assigned topics; however, the breakout groups were asked
to shift their focus on the second day of the workshop to review and report on another breakout
group's topic. Dr. Wyzga referred reviewers to the specific questions in the charge (see Appendix
C) that particular breakout groups were asked to address in their discussions.  To help focus the
groups' efforts on addressing each question, Dr. Wyzga reviewed the purpose and goals of the
                                          1-4

-------
workshop. He reminded reviewers that the objective was not to reach a consensus on issues, but to
identify and elucidate issues relevant to the draft guidelines.
                                          1-5

-------

-------
                                   SECTION TWO

                 SUMMARY OF WORKSHOP DELIBERATIONS
       The workshop provided a forum for the expert reviewers to discuss the scientific aspects,
thoroughness, and completeness of the  draft revisions to the cancer risk assessment guidelines.
Workshop participants contributed useful and substantive suggestions and recommendations for
improving the  draft guidelines.   Section  4  of  this document  provides summaries and
recommendations as reported by the chairpersons of the four breakout groups.

       All workshop reviewers endorsed the new approach for cancer risk assessment presented in
the draft guidelines.  The reviewers also supported the emphasis in the draft guidelines on mode
of action, thresholds, biologically based models, and biomarkers. Reviewers suggested the following
general principles for improving the guidelines:

       •     Establish a clear process  for  considering  all available  scientific  information,
             identifying data gaps, and defining criteria that will govern how assessments will be
             reevaluated when new scientific information becomes available. Create incentives
             for generating new information.
       •     Identify major default assumptions to be used in the absence of data, and develop
             a rationale for these defaults and a procedure for departing from defaults.
       •     Expand the  discussions on exposure and risk characterization.
       •     Clarify the  role of the guidelines in supporting an iterative process of making
             decisions based on available data. Explain how various levels of information are
             required to make different types of regulatory decisions in a tiered risk assessment
             process.
       •     Consider a  hazard classification  scheme incorporating  elements proposed by
             NAS/National Research Council (NRC).

       Several expert reviewers expressed the view that the guidelines should explicitly allow for
adjustment of the depth of  risk assessment and use of default assumptions to accord with the use
of the risk assessment.  Thus, an  early screening  assessment for prioritizing would contain more
                                          2-1

-------
default assumptions than a more data-rich assessment for a more important decision. In this regard,
reviewers also voiced some reservations about the use of multiple plausible default extrapolation
procedures for making management decisions. Other reviewers countered that multiple defaults give
risk assessors the  opportunity to choose  between conducting a science-intensive effort  or  an
expedited effort based on the availability of data. The guidelines need to provide a framework that
accommodates progress in the science of cancer risk assessment and establishes parameters for risk
management decision-making (e.g., describe plausible options and preferred option; present multiple
estimates of risk).
MODEOFACTION

       Considerable discussion focused on the implications of  using  mode  of action for
characterizing hazards and dose-response relationships. All reviewers endorsed the use of mode of
action and provided several examples of its applicability (i.e., species to species extrapolation, tissue
sensitivity and specificity, high to low extrapolation). Reviewers recommended that a statement be
added to the preamble of the guidelines acknowledging the limitations on scientific inquiry for
providing a complete understanding of the mode(s) of action by which any particular chemical causes
cancer. The statement should make clear that when a reasonable knowledge of critical events in the
mechanistic process based on high-quality research is available, such information should be used to
produce a better risk assessment.

       Figure 4-1 illustrates some probable modes of action (see section 4). The reviewers pointed
out that although figure 4-1  does not provide an exhaustive list of modes of action, a significant
number of chemicals and agents (e.g., radionuclides) would likely fit into the identified boxes.
Moreover, a substance can have more than one mode of action, some of which might be identified
by the boxes in figure 4-1. As knowledge of effects increases, there will be a need to incorporate
these advances into  the guidelines.  To adequately characterize each mode of action, reviewers
recommended that supplemental information be  prepared both  in the near term and as new
information becomes available. Reviewers recommended that mode of action and mechanism be
defined in the guidelines.
                                          2-2

-------
       Another area of discussion was the mode of action as a determinant of the shape of the
dose-response curve. Although mode of action cannot always be fully explained, reviewers believe
that often sufficient information is available on which to base a reasonable understanding. All

reviewers agreed that if the mode of action is not known, then a simple linear extrapolation default

methodology can be  used  Reviewers  recommended  providing examples  of dose-response

relationships for chemicals with genotoric modes of action and examples of the relationship between

mode of action and linear or nonlinear curves for nongenotoxic chemicals. They suggested that the
weight of evidence judgment of mode of action will support developing a biologically based dose

response model. Additionally, a framework for judging the adequacy of mode of action data should

be established.


       The mode of action breakout group also made several general recommendations, including:


       •      The nature and flow of the risk assessment process should reflect the role of hazard
              assessment as depicted in figure 4-2.

       •      The guidelines should address judging the quality of data other than animal studies
              (e.g., epidemiologic studies, short-term  studies).

       •      The NAS' carcinogen  classification system should be  considered.  Considerable
              thought has gone into the  development of NAS' four categories. For example,
              category II allows both the risk assessor and risk manager to  deal  with limited
              conditions.

       •      Since cancer is a multifactorial process, an illustration or flow diagram of the cancer
              process should be provided in the guidelines.

       •      EPA should provide an explanation of the relationship of the new guidelines to the
              1986 guidelines.  Why are  the  guidelines being changed?  Who is the intended
              audience? How will the guidelines be used?

       •      If guidance on the use of mode of action is to be provided in a meaningful way, then
              the role of expert opinion and peer review must be delineated.  The guidelines must
              define a level of acceptance in terms of data quality in the scientific community and
              account for different levels of information.

       •      The guidelines should include a statement about supporting regulatory programs.
              The document also should acknowledge that a wide variety of risk assessments are
              performed, including those that do not include mode of action information.

       •      EPA should consider international harmonization of the guidelines.


                                          2-3

-------
              When the next draft of the guidelines is complete, EPA should conduct a workshop
              at which  several chemicals are carried  through the approach outlined in the
              guidelines.
              EPA should develop a process for communicating the hazard narrative to the public.
DEFAULT ASSUMPTIONS

       All the expert reviewers agreed with the guidelines' recommended use of defaults in risk
assessment Defaults lead to consistency as well as accommodate some flexibility in risk assessments,
especially when expedited decision-making is required. Defaults are useful when either available
data are inadequate or to apply policy.  Defaults can be science related, policy driven, or some
combination.

       Although reviewers were in general agreement about the use of defaults when sufficient data
are not available, several reviewers cautioned that defaults should be used reluctantly; when possible,
alternatives other than defaults should be investigated and a full scientific analysis  provided The
risk characterization should include a narrative that lists the plausible alternatives  and provides a
clear summary of the risk assessor's level of confidence in each alternative, including the most likely
alternative, if possible. The risk manager then will have sufficient information to make a policy
decision about which alternative to use; however, the distinction between science- and policy-driven
decisions should be explicitly recognized.

       Although reviewers agreed with the NAS/NRC recommendation that EPA list, explain, and
justify the use of defaults, they also expressed the opinion that EPA should not attempt to write an
"encyclopedia" of defaults. Rather, the Agency should compile a list of the most frequently used
defaults along with their explanation, so that risk assessors would not need to justify each default
on a case-by-case basis.  Reviewers also endorsed a separate process for reviewing changes  in
defaults (e.g., peer review). It also was recommended that EPA define defaults in  the guidelines.
                                           2-4

-------
       The default assumption breakout group spent considerable time discussing defaults that are

frequently used but rarely recognized; for example:


       •      Humans have no variation among them in susceptibility.

       •      Chemicals have one mode of action.

       •      Chemicals act independently (i.e., interactions are not of consequence).

       •      The nature of an exposure (i.e., uptake, route) may be important.


       Reviewers also discussed specific defaults:


       •      Surface area. Reviewers expressed differences of opinion on the justification of the
               cross-species default scaling factor.  Some theoretical rationales support the 3/4
               power. All reviewers, however, support use of pharmacokmetics, pharmacodynamics,
               or biomarker data to replace default assumptions. The guidelines need to clarify this
               issue.

       •      Exposure metric.  Reviewers  agreed with the 1994 Federal Register notice that
               lifetime average daily dose (LADD) is the appropriate default metric for exposure
               estimates.

       •      Linear modeling. The guidelines should indicate that the multistage model, not the
               linear multistage model, is being recommended to estimate ED10s (effective doses).
               If the confidence region on the ED10 is of interest, however, other, more constrained
               models may be more appropriate (e.g., Weibull).

       •      Cross species. Some reviewers expressed the opinion that, in the absence of cross-
               species pharmacodynamic data, pharmacokinetic data cannot be used for cross-
               species extrapolation.  Others would use pharmacokinetic data entirely for cross-
              species  extrapolation  without further  adjustment,  and still  others  would  use
              pharmacokinetics adjustments  but still use the 3/4 power  as a pharmacodynamic
              factor. Cross-species extrapolation needs further explanation in the guidelines.


       Recognizing that defaults should not be considered to be based on static assumptions, the

group also addressed how defaults can be modified, changed, or replaced:


       •      More data can be acquired.

       •      Either more or less conservative changes in policy can be made.
                                           2-5

-------
No general pattern for how defaults will change can be discerned. Some reviewers suggest, however,
that defaults may develop with a greater emphasis on reducing uncertainty (i.e., a better default may
be one that lowers uncertainty). Reviewers recommended that in general and under specific
circumstances, EPA should develop guidance for when defaults should be added or changed based
on both science and policy. Moreover, EPA should clearly express the uncertainty associated with
defaults in risk assessments.  Reviewers also  recommended that EPA conduct workshops for
evaluating the use of defaults and alternatives for specific chemicals of concern.
DOSE RESPONSE

      Members of the dose-response breakout group began their discussions by defining dose-
response terms (e.g., biologically based models are models that have parameters, derived from
biological measurements, that are independent of curve-fitting tumor data, and threshold models are
a type of biologically based model). Reviewers recommended that EPA encourage the use of
biological information by establishing incentives and a process for their incorporation. Reviewers
recommended that the guidelines suggest on a case-by-case basis all plausible dose-response models.
Discussion of each model should be accompanied by an explanation of the risk assessors confidence
in each alternative, including the mostly likely alternative.

      Reviewers recommended that when mechanistic data indicates that a threshold approach is
appropriate, margin of exposure calculations are the appropriate measure for comparing animal
exposure to human exposures.  Additionally, qualitative descriptors of the degree of risk reduction
for various margins of exposure should be discussed.

      With few exceptions, for most data sets, ED10, ED^, the linear multistage (LMS) model, and
models by Krewski and Gaylor-Kodell  (see section  4) give approximately the same  low-dose
extrapolation.  Reviewers generally agreed with EPA's use of the ED10  and a straightline
extrapolation to  the  origin.  Reviewers suggested that use  of the LMS and other models is
inappropriate for extrapolating risk from upper-bound confidence intervals and dose from lower-
                                          2-6

-------
 bound confidence intervals.  In some cases, however, extrapolating from the lowest effective dose
 rather than the ED10 may be more appropriate, especially when the pharmacokinetics are unknown.

       Low-dose extrapolation models (i.e., nonlinear models) must reflect biological processes or,
 in the absence of data, be used as defaults (i.e., linear models). The concept of using generic
 nonlinear models to slightly extend the observed tumor dose response below the observed range was
 discussed among reviewers. Reviewers cautioned, however, that this approach should only be used
 if it is supported by extensive dose-response data.

       Although biologically based models cannot be used for every risk assessment, occasionally
 they can be used to extrapolate below the ED10 by using surrogate measures of dose or response
 (e.g., biomarkers). In such cases, the lowest point of extrapolation should be the lowest point in the
 experimentally accessible  range, and mode of action should be considered.  Several reviewers
 suggested that the guidelines include an explanation of how a surrogate data set should be selected
 and how epidemiologic data can be used for estimating the ED10.

       Noting that biologically based models often can be fit to available data, reviewers discussed
 the relevance of estimated  parameters to actual exposures under  consideration.  Reviewers
 recommended that a narrative on the certainties and uncertainties of the parameters and the model
 should be included in the assessment. Monte Carlo analyses was endorsed as an appropriate method
 to estimate the uncertainty and sensitivity in biologically based models. Reviewers also advised EPA
 to provide guidance on how to justify a decision against using a biologically based model.  Suggested
 explanations included insufficient data and the model's possible inappropriateness for lower tiers of
 a tiered risk assessment.

       Reviewers recommended that a simple definition of margins of exposure and guidance on
 their use be provided in the guidelines. In particular, reviewers suggested that the guidelines address
whether uncertainty factors should be applied  or whether they should be reported as part of the
 decision-making process when comparing  margins of  exposure to acceptable exposure levels.
Reviews recommended the degree of risk reduction associated with the margin of exposure should
be explained in  the risk characterization section of the risk assessment, along with margin of
exposure calculations, as factual benchmarks for reporting exposures. The recommendation also was

                                           2-7

-------
made that EPA  discuss how other organizations (e.g., the  State of California)  incorporate

interindividual variability into their risk assessments.
HAZARD IDENTIFICATION


       Reviewers provided several recommendations on how to improve the hazard identification

process:


       •      Expand the use and explanation of epidemiologic and other human data.  Also,
              adopt a new default: High-quality negative epidemiologic data takes precedence over
              positive bioassay results if the plausible mechanism in animals is irrelevant to
              humans.  Further, modify the meta-analysis explanation to include a descriptive
              analysis/assessment

       •      Provide guidance on the criteria and process for evaluating the relevance of animal
              toxicity data to humans. For example, expand the discussion on maximum tolerated
              dose, and review the implications of using genetically modified strains in routine
              animal studies.  Also, encourage consideration of the significance of spontaneous
              tumor sites on a case-by-case basis.

       •      For cases where only limited chronic toxicity data are available, recommend use of
              the results of validated short-term tests and other data  (e.g., structure-activity
              relationship data) to provide preliminary classification of agents (i.e., for screening
              or creating incentives for the generation of new information). Encourage the use of
              expert judgment when considering the weight of evidence of mutagenicity data.
              Recommend assessing the significance of positive in vivo genotoxins.

       •      Describe a default procedure for prioritizing chemicals of concern on the basis of
              available non-chronic testing data (e.g., short-term bioassays).

       •      For cases where nonchronic testing data are limited, recommend addressing the
              relevance, sensitivity, and specificity of available genotoxicity tests and suggest an
              approach for incorporating pharmacokinetics data. Also, develop test methods for
              detecting other important modes of action.

       •      Describe how expedited hazard identification decisions will be integrated in a tiered
              risk assessment process with the more comprehensive hazard assessment process
              established by the draft guidelines.
                                          2-8

-------
       Reviewers supported a one-step rather than a three-step hazard identification process,
suggesting that equal consideration of all data at one time will improve the value of the assessment.
EPA should explain how a one-step process will differ from the present approach.

       All reviewers agreed that a narrative summary should be a primary component of the hazard
identification.  The narrative should provide a clear and concise description of the strengths and
weaknesses of the assessment.

       Considerable discussion took place on the issue of classification. Some reviewers contended
that only a hazard narrative was needed to summarize available information on carcinogenic risk to
humans; others held that numerical descriptors are essential. Ultimately the hazard identification
breakout group agreed on the need for some type of abbreviated classification scheme that would
incorporate weight of evidence, exposure conditions, and relevance to humans. The group suggested
that at least four categories be used, rather than the three broad categories proposed in the draft
guidelines.  Reviewers recommended that the four categories presented in the NRC report Science
and Judgment in Risk Assessment (see Section 4) be modified to include information on weight of
evidence and incorporated into the draft guidelines.
                                          2-9

-------

-------
                                  SECTION THREE

              CHAIRPERSON'S SUMMARY OF THE WORKSHOP
                                     Ronald Wyzga
                                 Health Studies Program
                            Electric Power Research Institute
                                  Palo Alto, California
       EPA has undertaken an extensive effort to update the 1986 Cancer Risk Assessment
Guidelines, as reflected by the recently issued draft revisions. The revisions would broaden the risk
assessment process to include  evidence apart from tumor effects, information about  route of
exposure and mode of action, and more than one default mode to allow various alternative situations
to be recognized and considered. Additionally, the revised guidelines would recognize the growing
interest in risk characterization  as a part of the process.

       Rather than focusing the workshop on the development of a consensus concerning the
revised guidelines, EPA sought to identify key  issues  in need of further consideration in the
guidelines development process.  Four subject-specific categories were suggested as a means of
organizing the  issues raised:

       •      mode of action;
       •      default assumptions;
       •      dose response; and
       •      hazard identification.

       With these topic areas providing a general framework for discussion, workshop participants
were asked to address a series of specific questions raised in the Charge to Workshop Reviewers (see
Appendix  B) regarding the draft revisions. Participants also were  encouraged to discuss other
aspects of the guidelines related to those raised by the list of questions.

                                          3-1

-------
       The workshop discussions yielded comments concerning aspects of the guidelines that would

benefit from further consideration as well as specific recommendations for enhancing the draft

revisions. Not all proposed changes were based on a consensus; thus, dissention within the workshop

concerning particular suggestions is noted (see section 2).


       In discussions among the workshop's expert  reviewers,  several broad, recurring themes
emerged  These include:


       •      Use  of  the  guidelines.   Greater knowledge/more  discussion  about  use  of the
              guidelines would facilitate a more thorough evaluation, since the community of users
              is broader than originally imagined.  Different  uses of risk assessment  require
              different levels of detail; hence, risk assessment guidelines that support assessments
              of differing detail  would better serve the user community. A greater understanding
              of the use of assessments would particularly facilitate providing better guidance in
              the risk characterization section of the  guidelines.  Some users would  find it
              especially  helpful to have more guidance on how  to consider exposure  in risk
              assessments;  others  might want specific information  for different  population
              subgroups.
       •      Accessibility of guidelines. Simplicity is a virtue in regard to the guidelines, and they
              should not be more complicated than necessary. The immediacy and accessibility of
              the guidelines would facilitate their use and communication among potential users.
              Such an emphasis would be consistent with a tiered approach to risk assessment, with
              less-sophisticated  assessments satisfying particular  needs.  In addition, simpler
              concepts are easier to understand, and greater understanding can facilitate wider
              acceptance.
       •      Use of scientific information. Although all available scientific information should be
              considered when assessing  risk,  all  of the  information  does not need to be
              incorporated into the ultimate assessment.  Some disagreement among workshop
              participants  concerned what and how much information should be incorporated;
              hence, differences of opinion largely concerned details relating  to specific risk
              assessments.
       •      Use of  scientific  judgment   Risk assessment must incorporate  the  judgments/
              opinions of experts; yet the extent to which these can be codified is limited. Indeed,
              guidance cannot be designed to cover all potential risk assessments. Data availability
              and interpretation will differ greatly for various agents, and all circumstances  cannot
              be foreseen  or addressed a priori.  Judgments will have  to be made about the
              treatment  of information for specific risk assessments.
                                           3-2

-------
Risk communication.  Scientists must be willing to make judgments and express
opinions about scientific data, models, and phenomena, rather than deferring to risk
managers.  These expert opinions/judgments must be adequately communicated to
risk managers. Thus the guidelines should promote interaction between experts and
risk managers and encourage risk managers to provide feedback on the adequacy of
risk assessments.
Peer review.  Peer review should be a critical element in EPA's risk assessment
process.   Scientific judgments/opinions  should reflect those  of the scientific
community.  Peer review is particularly important  because  it can lead to the
availability of additional information, resulting in more thorough risk assessments.
Use of case studies and workshops. Review of the guidelines would be facilitated
by developing case studies that follow the recommended assessment protocol. It is
difficult to fully understand the implementation and the implications of the revised
guidelines by examining them only in the abstract. Case studies using research data
would illustrate the use of the guidelines and elucidate problems associated with
their implementation.  Workshops for reviewing these case studies along with the
guidelines would be particularly valuable.

Development  of  supplemental  materials.   The  more  elaboration/discussion
concerning risk assessment methods,  the better.   Thus,  the development  of
supplemental  materials  (e.g.,  EPA's  "purple  books") is  desirable.   Specific
interpretations/uses of information will warrant additional discussion/elaboration for
the risk assessment and management communities.  Supplemental volumes also
would  present an opportunity to describe and rationalize the use of specific
practices/methodologies.

Linking assessment components and risk-related guidance. Although the workshop
emphasized particular  issues  and components of risk assessment, the various
components are interrelated in a way that is not unidirectional. Interaction among
the various components must be articulated more fully.  Discussion of the linkages
between these guidelines and guidance for exposure assessment and combinations of
the two also would be desirable.
Recognition of scientific progress.  Risk assessment guidelines  must explicitly
recognize  scientific  progress  and make provision  for  updating risk assessment
methods.  Risk assessments should not be postponed until all data are available,
however, since risk assessment is an iterative process that continues over the long
term.  Thus, there is a need to perform risk assessments in a timely manner using
available information, and there is a need to alter/update risk assessments when more
information becomes available.
Endorsement of the guidelines revision effort.  In general, workshop participants
expressed the opinion that the revised draft guidelines represent an improvement
over the 1986 guidelines. Although the expert reviewers applauded EPA's efforts to
revise the guidelines, they did not endorse each specific revision. Rather, they made
several suggestions for  improving the proposed revisions or for giving particular
revisions further consideration.  These suggestions  are provided elsewhere in this
report (see sections  2 and 4).
                             3-3

-------

-------
                                 SECTION FOUR


                       BREAKOUT GROUP SUMMARIES



                            Mode of Action Breakout Group
                                 Carol Henry, Chair
                         Office of Integrated Risk Management
                              U.S. Department of Energy
                                  Washington, DC
Henry Andersen                               J. Carl Barrett
Bureau of Public Health                        Environmental Carcinogenesis Program
Madison, WI                                  National Institute for Environmental
                                              Health Sciences
Clay Frederick                                Research Triangle Park, NC
Rohm & Haas Company
Spring House, PA                              Tore Sanner
                                             Institute for Cancer Research
James Swenberg                               The Norwegian Radium Hospital
Curriculum in Toxicology                       Oslo, Norway
University of North Carolina
Chapel Hill, NC                               Ronald Wyzga
                                             Health Studies Program
                                             Electric Power Research Institute
                                             Palo Alto, CA
THE ROLE OF MODE OF ACTION IN RISK ASSESSMENTS


      Although the use of mechanistic data in risk assessment has long been recognized as

desirable, available data rarely demonstrate carcinogenic processes with any certainty. Indeed, the

1986 cancer guidelines called for the evaluation of relevant information, but to date risk assessments

seldom have made full use of available information, even when information might be sufficient to

indicate a general mode of action.
                                        4-1

-------
       In the  past, most  risk  assessments  have relied  heavily on animal tumor data from
carcinogenicity bioassays run at high doses to mathematically extrapolate potential risks to humans
at much lower exposures. In some instances, this process was further complicated by, for example,
different routes and durations of exposure. Thus, such risk assessments are plagued with a large
degree of uncertainty.  The proposed revised guidelines for cancer risk assessment emphasize the
inclusion of more biologically based data as a means to reduce some of the uncertainty associated
with the extrapolation of risk.  A major focus of this biological data is the probable mode of action
that leads to the inducement of cancer.

       The workshop participants commended EPA for this emphasis in the revised guidelines and
for recognizing that understanding and utilizing data on the probable mode(s) of action  is critical
for  developing better  assessments  of cancer risk.   While  participants  recognized  that  the
mechanism(s) by which any chemical causes cancer may never be completely understood, they agreed
that this should not preclude the incorporation of mode of action data into the risk assessment
process when reasonable scientific studies support the data.

       It is likely that multiple modes of action may be involved in the inducement of neoplasia by
individual chemicals. Probable modes of action that need to be considered are shown in figure 4-1.
When one or more modes of action can be shown  to be causally involved in the carcinogenic
process, data on this (these) endpoint should be factored into the risk assessment.

       For a large number of agents (including both chemicals and radionuclides), direct rautagenic
effects have been causally associated with critical events in carcinogenesis (e.g., aflatoxin).  Similarly,
there are numerous examples of agents that cause increases in cell proliferation and  therefore
increase   the  probability  of  enhanced  spontaneous  mutagenesis  and  clonal expansion
(e.g., d-limonene, sulfamethazine). Other agents can induce indirect mutagenic effects by affecting
tubulin assembly/disassembly and causing or inducing numerical aberrations in chromosomes (e.g.
vinblastine), or by inhibiting DNA repair (e.g., arsenic, Marcus and Rispin, 1988).  Although less
information is available on heritable epigenetic events (e.g., alterations in DNA methylation), such
events constitute a likely mode of action. Clonal expansion also can occur by inhibiting the rate of
cell death in initiated cell populations.  It is expected that  additional  modes of action that are
                                            4-2

-------
 PROBABLE MODES OF ACTION*
         TOXICOKINETIC EFFECTS
Direct
Mutagenic
Effects


Cell Birth,
Death, &
Clonal
Expansion

Indirect
Mutagenic
Effects


Heritable
Epigenetic
Effects


Other
Effects

 [*Agents may have more than one mode of action.]
Figure 4-1. Probable modes of action involved in the carcinogenic process.

-------
unknown at present will be equally important (e.g., mode[s] of action of chemical mixtures or
mixtures of chemicals  and radionuclides).

       Formaldehyde  represents an example of a compound for which multiple modes of action
affect the carcinogenic process. Although this compound is a direct mutagen, the dose that reaches
the DNA is affected by detoxication, a process that becomes saturated at high exposures. Therefore,
a nonlinear molecular  dose response occurs.  Cell proliferation also  is increased at high
concentrations, leading to increased mutations and increased clonal expansion at high doses. All of
such information is relevant to a better assessment of cancer risk. Types of data that need to be
considered in the hazard identification section of the guidelines include: evidence of saturation of
metabolic  activation, detoxication, and DNA repair;  dose-related  effects on cell proliferation,
apoptosis, and clonal expansion; effects on cytoskeletal proteins involved with mitosis; alterations in
expression of critical genes.
MODE OF ACTION AS A DETERMINANT OF THE SHAPE OF THE DOSE-RESPONSE CURVE

       To facilitate the incorporation of information on mode of action into  risk assessments,
supplementary documents (e.g., EPA's "purple books") should be developed to describe the state of
the science in the appropriate areas. Structured in this way, the guidelines would accommodate the
evolution of the science in cancer biology.

       Notwithstanding the limitations on our understanding of the mechanism(s) by which any
chemical causes cancer, it is important that information for which there is a high level of confidence
be used to produce better risk assessments. Such information should be supported by a reasonable
understanding of the critical events in the cancer-causing process  and be based on high-quality
research. In the absence of mode of action data, this breakout group would support use of a simple
linear extrapolation default methodology.

       Generally, compounds that are classically described as genotoxic (i.e., positive in standard
genotoxicity assays and generally known to induce tumors in multiple tissues in chronic rodent
bioassays) are expected to be linear in the non-observed range (i.e., linear dose response at very low

                                           4-4

-------
doses). Well-documented examples are the rodent liver tumor responses following dietary exposure

to 2-acetyl- aminofluorene (AAF), (ED01 study; Cohen and Ellwein, 1990) or aflatoxin Br The slope

and the shape of the dose-response curve of a genotoxic compound, however, may be influenced by

other factors (e.g., the nonlinear response for the inducement of bladder tumors in the ED01 study

that has been attributed to the increased rate of cell proliferation in the bladder epithelium induced

by high doses of AAF).


       Compounds that are not positive in a standard battery of genotoxicity tests may have either

a linear or nonlinear carcinogenic  dose response.  Justification of a nonlinear dose response is

dependent on (1) the weight of evidence supporting a lack of genotoxicity, and (2) scientific data

sufficient to support a mode of action that involves a nonlinear dose response. Some examples of

modes of action that may exhibit a nonlinear carcinogenic dose response include:
       •      stimulation of an increase in the cell proliferation rate of a sensitive tissue (e.g., BHA
              inducement  of rodent forestomach  tumors at high-dose  levels,  phorbol ester
              induction of mouse skin tumors following dermal application, saccharin induction of
              rat bladder tumors at high dose levels);

       •      interaction with the proteins of the cytoskeleton or with proteins involved in cell
              division (e.g., vincristine inhibition of tubulin assembly and etoposide inhibition of
              topoisomerase II);

       •      the  sustained  induction of compensatory cell replication in a sensitive tissue
              associated with cytotoxicity (e.g., gavage dosing of chloroform and induction  of
              rodent liver tumors); and

       •      peroxisome proliferation and the induction of rodent liver tumors (e.g., clofibrate).


Indirect mechanisms of genotoxicity (which may serve as initiating events for carcinogenicity) have
recently been reviewed by an international commission (ICPEMC, 1991).
       EPA should consider what constitutes adequacy of information to support the use of mode

of action data.  Questions that should be addressed include:
              Has a scientific data base been generated to describe a mode of action to explain the
              formation of tumors in the human epidemiology study or in the animal bioassay?
                                           4-5

-------
             Is the mode of action concept consistent with the generally accepted understanding
             of the mechanisms of carcinogenesis?
             Has the science describing the mode of action concept been subjected to substantive
             peer review and been published?
             Is there information to suggest that the mode of action for tumor inducement can,
             or cannot, occur in humans (or at least upper primates)?
GENERAL RECOMMENDATIONS

       The guidelines document needs to place greater emphasis on the critical role mode of action
plays hi determining both human hazard and potential dose-response patterns. A recommended
approach is presented in figure 4-2.

       The preamble to the guidelines should include information on the nature and flow of the
entire risk assessment process (figure 4-2). It should also include the four elements of the NAS
paradigm (i.e., hazard, dose response, exposure assessment, and risk characterization). Additionally,
the document should describe the modification made to the hazard assessment in the proposal to,
for example, place more emphasis on biological information other than tumor data as well as other
inputs  (e.g., physicochemical and structure-activity relationship  [SAR]  information).   This
information is than analyzed along with the tumor information to yield:

       •     mode(s) of carcinogenic action;
       •     conditions of hazard (i.e., exposure route and pattern/magnitude);
       •     guidance for dose  response;
       •     hazard characterization, which includes:
             —     a general summary of hazard cases
             —     a classification of descriptors) using the NRC scheme
             —     a narrative
                                         4-6

-------
      Hazard Assessment
Inputs:
1 . Relevant
biological
information
Outputs:
1 . Mode of action(s)
2. Conditions of haz
2.    Physical and
     chemical
     information

3.    Tumor findings
     a. Human
     b. Animal
a. Route
b. Pattern

Human hazard potential
a. Descriptor
b. Narrative
(a & b are basis for
classificaiton by
NAS/NRC criteria)

Guidance on dose
response
a. Biologically-based
  model
b. Default model
  (linear, nonlinear, or
  both)

Characterization-
summary of above
                                                                           Risk
                                                                  Characterization
Dose-Response
  Assessment
 Exposure
Assessment
                       Figure 4-2. Role of modes of action in risk assessment process.

-------
In departing from the 1986 guidelines for the classification scheme, EPA should use the categories
in the NRC document Science and Judgement (presented in table 4-1).

       To conduct dose-response assessments, elements from the hazard assessment (e.g., mode of
action, conditions of hazard, and guidance on dose response) are used to project  concerns for
route-to-route, high-to-low, and species-to-species extrapolation.   Generally, biologically based
dose-response models are used when data and biological understanding allows. In the absence of
such information, one of two defaults or both are considered:

       •     linear
       •     margin of exposure

       Exposure  assessment describes the expected human exposure.  The exposure values are
melded with  dose-response assessment information  to project potential concerns about human
exposures (in the last section of the assessment, risk characterization).  In the opinion of the
breakout group, both the exposure assessment and the risk characterization sections of the draft
guidelines need to be further developed.
INTERNATIONAL COORDINATION

       One of the goals in the Agenda 21 that was agreed on at the Rio-Conference in June 1992
was to harmonize classification systems for chemicals. The Organization of Economic Cooperation
and Development (OECD) will play an important role in this work; at the 20th Joint Meeting of
OECD in May 1993, it was decided that Norway and the Netherlands should act as lead countries
for work on the endpoint carcinogenicity. For a number of reasons, international harmonization of
quantitative risk assessment is not currently practical. Nevertheless, as EPA revises its guidelines,
these international efforts need to be acknowledged and accommodated to the extent possible.
                                           4-8

-------
                                        Table 4-1

                  NRC CARCINOGENICITY CLASSIFICATION SCHEME
  Category
Nature of Evidence
  Category I

  Might pose a carcinogenic hazard to
  humans under any conditions of
  exposure.  Magnitude of risk depends
  on dose-response relationship and
  extent of human exposure.
   Evidence of carcinogenicity in either human or
   animal studies (strength of evidence varies; see
   Step 2 [see source]).
   No information available to raise doubts about
   the relevance to humans of animal model or
   results.
   No information available to raise doubts about
   relevance of conditions of exposure (route, dose,
   timing, duration, etc.) under which carcinogenic
   effects were observed to conditions of exposure
   likely to be experienced by human populations
   exposed environmentally.
  Category II

  Might pose a carcinogenic hazard to
  humans, but only under limited
  conditions.  Whether a risk exists in
  specific circumstances depends on
  whether those conditions exist.
  Dose-response and exposure
  assessments must be completed to
  identify conditions under which risk
  exists.
   Evidence of carcinogenicity in either human or
   animal studies (strength of evidence varies; see
   Step 2).
   Scientific information available to show that there
   are limitations in the conditions under which
   carcinogenicity might be expressed, owing to
   questions about the relevance to humans of the
   animal models or results or relevance of the
   conditions of exposure (route, dose, timing,
   duration, etc.) under which carcinogenic effects
   were observed to conditions of exposure likely to
   be experienced by human populations exposed
   environmentally.
  Category III

  Notwithstanding the evidence of
  carcinogenicity in animals, not likely
  to pose a carcinogenic hazard to
  humans under any conditions.
   Evidence of carcinogenicity in animal studies.
   Scientific information available to show that the
   animal models or results are not relevant to
   humans under any conditions.
  Category IV

  Evidence available to demonstrate
  lack of carcinogenicity or no evidence
  available.
  .No evidence of carcinogenicity or evidence of
   noncarcinogenicity (weight of negative evidence
   varies; see Step 2).
Source: Committee on Risk Assessment of Hazardous Air Pollutants, 1994.
                                           4-9

-------
SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS

Relationship of the Proposed New Guidelines to the 1986 Guidelines

       A clear explanation  of the practical differences between the earlier guidelines and the
proposed revision must be provided both for the scientific community and the public. From the
public's perspective, despite the move to being less methodologically prescriptive, the guidelines need
to retain their principle underlying public health philosophy: that EPA carcinogen risk assessment
conclusions should be "conservative  to public health."   This probably needs to be stated in the
beginning of the document.  Further, the document needs to state who the intended audience is as
well as what types of decisions these guidelines are  intended to support.
The Role of Expert Opinion in the Proposed New Guidelines

       The proposed guidelines recommend continuing the process of translating "expert opinion"
into objective components, which allows the decision processes to be described and justified so that
they are better understood.   The assessment decision  regarding mode of action will require
considerable use of expert judgment.   Peer review and  public review  will need to be a critical
element in deciding about the robustness of the mode of action evaluation and the credibility of the
scientific judgments.
Support for Regulatory Programs

       It is important to stress that not all carcinogen risk assessments will be as comprehensive as
outlined in the guidelines.  In the preamble, EPA should acknowledge in more detail the variety of
needs for assessing cancer risk for various regulatory programs and the appropriateness of expedited
and comprehensive risk assessments. This has implications for the commitment of a sufficient level
of effort and adequate resources for the risk assessment.
                                           4-10

-------
The Proposed New Guidelines and the Case Studies


       EPA should consider holding a workshop to demonstrate how the proposed guidelines would

be used for specific case studies (including both expedited and comprehensive risk assessments).
Visual Representation of Information


       To the extent possible, EPA should provide visual guidance in the form of illustrations or

flow charts to enhance understanding of the guidelines themselves as well as the complex biological

systems considered (e.g., a diagram to represent the multifactorial components of carcinogenesis).
Uncertainty Characterization


       Additional information should be included to address the issue of uncertainty with regard
to the selection of the mode of action, causality, the appropriate  statistical treatment of dose-
response models, and the additivity of effect or exposure within a mode of action or across modes

of action.
REFERENCES
Committee on Risk Assessment of Hazardous Air Pollutants (1994) Science and judgment in risk
       assessment.  Washington, DC: National Academy Press, pp. 7-23.

Cohen,  S.M.;  Ellwein,  L.B.  (1990)   Proliferative  and  genotoxic  cellular  effects  in 2-
       acetylaminofluorene bladder and liver carcinogenesis: biological modeling of the ED01 study.
       Toxicol. Appl. Pharmacol. 104:79-93.

International Commission  for Protection  Against  Environmental Mutagens and Carcinogens
       (ICPEMC) (1991) Genotoxicity under extreme culture conditions. Mutation Res. 257:145
       et seq.

Marcus, W.L.; Rispin, A.S. (1988)  Threshold carcinogenicity using arsenic as an  example.  In:
       Cothern, C.R.; Mehlman, M.A.; Marcus, W.L., eds. Risk assessment and risk management
       of industrial and environmental chemicals. Princeton, NT: Princeton Scientific Publishing, pp.
       133-158.
                                          4-11

-------
                           Default Assumptions Breakout Group
                               Marvin Schneiderman, Chair
                                National Research Council
                               National Academy of Science
                                     Washington,  DC
Kim Hooper
Hazardous Materials Laboratory
California Environmental
  Protection Agency
Berkeley, CA

Peter Shields
Laboratory of Human Carcinogenesis
National Cancer Institute
Bethesda,  MD

James Wilson
Regulatory Affairs
Monsanto Company
St. Louis, MO
John Moore
Institute for Evaluating Health Risks
Washington, DC

Leslie Stayner
Division of Standards Development and
 Technology Transfer
National Institute for Occupational
 Safety and Health
Cincinnati, OH
SPECIFYING DEFAULT ASSUMPTIONS


       "Default" is the descriptive label attached to the reasonable replacements of the scientific

information needed for integration into risk assessments when the actual data are either incomplete,

inadequate or unavailable. A limited number of policy-driven defaults also may need to be entered

into the risk assessment process to respond to, or achieve, desired policy goals.  Because defaults

are important for facilitating expedited risk assessments, EPA should be as explicit as possible about

default procedures so that they can be easily incorporated into the process.


       Default  assumptions are essential to almost all EPA programs, particularly those tiered

programs that identify exposure to cancer-causing agents and attempt to estimate the consequences

of these exposures. The rigor associated with such determinations will vary, ranging from the simple

data used first in a tiered approach to  data of increasing quantity and complexity that are required
                                          4-12

-------
in the higher tiers. Usually, decisions arising from the higher tiers, which typically involve more data
and fewer defaults, are expected to remain in effect for a longer time.

       Frequently, the lowest tiers will draw only upon limited amounts of data, necessitating the
use of several default assumptions. The defaults used in the lowest tiers relate to decisions about
which components of an assessment are characterized by incomplete or hard-to-develop scientific
knowledge.  As a policy matter, the use of such defaults will lead to a decision or standard that
should be highly protective of the public health. Since defaults usually are derived from incomplete
knowledge,  however, they impart varying degrees  of uncertainty regarding estimates of the
carcinogenicity or potency of a particular agent.  When an agent is subjected to a higher-tiered risk
assessment (i.e., an assessment that is expected to remain operative for a long time), the availability
and use of more robust data may supplant, or at least modify, many of the default assumptions. In
such cases there is a commensurate decrease in the uncertainty associated with the estimates of risk
and the subsequent regulatory standards established.

       Thus it is strongly recommended that EPA provide a list and accompanying evaluations of
the most important or most frequently used default assumptions factored into risk assessments. This
list, which should be peer reviewed by a multidisciplinary panel of experts, should include:

       •      description of the defaults;
       •      identification of the components of the defaults arising largely out of science
              considerations in contrast to those derived largely from policy considerations;
       •     justification for using the defaults;
       •      enumeration of limitations  of the defaults;
       •      explanation of how the defaults affect the risk assessment;
       •      description of the types of data and how much data would be needed to modify the
              defaults to reduce uncertainty; and
       •      description of the types of data and how  much data would justify not using the
             defaults or would lead to more plausible defaults or methods (e.g., molecular genetic
             studies).
                                          4-13

-------
       A definitive version of such a list would need to be created so that particular defaults would

not need to be justified each time  a  risk assessment is conducted. Nonetheless, the use of the

defaults would still need to be considered on a case-by-case basis in regard to the available data to

determine if the default should be utilized or modified.  Also, assumptions not on the list will need

to be justified when factored into a risk assessment.


       The  list should include  both stated assumptions and  significant previously  unstated

assumptions.


       Stated assumptions:


       •      Laboratory animal studies are predictive of human risk.

       •      Existing laboratory methodologies and models allow for low-dose extrapolation.

       •      The  maximally tolerated  dose  (MTD)  used in laboratory  animal models is
              appropriate for identifying probable human carcinogens  or for determining that a
              material is not likely to be a carcinogen.

       •      Using body weight  of a 3/4 scaling factor is the most appropriate method for
              converting equivalent dose from one species to another.

       •      The upper-bound estimate of risk is appropriate for establishing an acceptable dose
              for risk to humans.
       Unstated assumptions:
              The human population is homogenous; susceptibilities within a population do not
              differ (e.g., by age, gender, genetics).

              Background  exposures do  not occur (i.e., exposures to other agents do not also
              contribute to the carcinogenic process in humans).

              Background  cancers do not occur.
                                          4-14

-------
               Interactions (e.g., synergism, antagonism) among multiple agent exposures do not
               occur (or are only additive).
               Agents are either genotoxic or nongenotoxic, and these qualities determine the shape
               of extrapolation curves appropriate for human risk assessment.
        Some further complications also should be considered. For example, default assumptions
 are a mixture of science and policy. Thus, there is a danger that the single numbers that are
 generally derived from these default methods may be interpreted by the public as representing actual
 levels of risk rather than expedient benchmarks for the purpose of risk management decision-making
 by EPA. For this reason, default procedures need to be replaced by procedures that fully utilize
 available scientific information and facilitate exploring the effect of alternative assumptions (i.e.,
 sensitivity analyses) when possible.

        Additionally, examining specific defaults along with the modification of risk assessments that
 might result from using different but related defaults may provide benefits in certain situations.
 Similarly, examining alternatives to existing default assumptions and quantitating the impact of these
 alternatives on the estimation of risk present clear benefits.  Such sensitivity analyses can provide
 risk managers (and the public) with a greater understanding of the  uncertainties underlying risk
 estimates.   When possible, the risk assessor should provide information about which of the
 alternative assumptions  appear to  be most plausible.  It  should be clearly recognized  in the
 guidelines, however, that such scientifically intensive analyses cannot  always be performed, largely
 for pragmatic reasons.
MODIFYING DEFAULT ASSUMPTIONS

       In certain situations, the "modifying" of defaults is appropriate.  Thus, in any particular
assessment, it may be appropriate to use scenario- or compound-specific information instead of a
default. At times it also may be appropriate for EPA to consider replacing a default assumption
with a different one.
                                           4-15

-------
       Scenario-specific modifications. In general, defaults are modified when specific information
implies that use of the default will give the "wrong answer"—that is, the implied regulatory decision
will have unacceptable consequences.  The consequences of a "wrong answer" can concern public
health or economics, for example, as when information suggesting that humans are unusually
susceptible to a substance would imply that the interspecies extrapolation default should be modified
to protect  public health.  Usually,  if decisions made using  defaults do not imply unacceptable
consequences, there is little reason to develop information needed to modify defaults.

       The degree  to  which specific  information should be used to modify a default  depends
primarily on the confidence that the analyst places in the reliability of the information. Thus highly
reliable information should strongly modify defaults; information judged not to be so reliable should
modify defaults weakly, if at all.  In general, reliability is inferred from acceptance of the specific
information by the scientific community doing research in relevant subject areas (i.e., the true peer
group). Experience has shown that information from hypotheses that are novel or based on cutting-
edge science are more slowly accepted as reliable by the peer community. EPA, however, should
develop techniques for staying informed about the developing acceptance of new science, and should
develop peer review approaches for early consideration of novel research.

       Some defaults are currently considered to be dichotomous, allowing, for example, either one
model or another to be used to infer a dose-response function.  Well-tested techniques are available
for converting these apparently  dichotomous choices into  continuous ones.   Techniques for
identifying the relative reliability of these choices and displaying the consequences of each are being
explored. EPA should further the development of such techniques.

       Adopting new defaults.  In cases where the scientific basis for a default  assumption has
undergone  significant recent evolution, EPA should seek to determine whether the scientific
community accepts  the developments.  If it does, then  EPA should adopt the value or other
representation of the default that best satisfies the Agency's decision-making needs.
                                           4-16

-------
                            Dose-Response Breakout Group
                                   Colin Park, Chair
                           Health and Environmental Sciences
                             The Dow Chemical Company
                                  Midland, Michigan
Harvey Clewell                                Murray Cohn
ICF/Kaiser International                       U.S. Consumer Product Safety
Ruston, LA                                     Commission
                                             Bethesda,MD
Jay Goodman
Department of Pharmacology and               Thomas Starr
  Toxicology                                  ENVIRON International
Michigan State University                        Corporation
East Lansing, MI                              Raleigh, NC
       The dose-response breakout group supported the emphasis in the revised guidelines on mode

of action, thresholds, biological models, and biomarkers.
DEFINITION OF BIOLOGICALLY BASED MODELS


       Biologically based models are models with parameters that are calculated independently of

the mere curve fitting of tumor data. The issue in regard to the use of these models, concerns the

relevance of the  estimated parameters to the exposures being considered.  Threshold models
represent one class of biologically based models.
ED,. AS A STARTING POINT FOR LINEAR EXTRAPOLATION


      The EDW is defined as the effective dose corresponding to 10 percent extra risk, adjusting

for background incidence using Abbott's correction. For most data sets, ED10, ED^, LMS, Krewski

et al. (1984), Gaylor-Kodell (1980), and other models and methods provide approximately the same
                                        4-17

-------
low-dose extrapolations, and the estimates of ED10 are similar across models. For certain data sets
with extreme curvature, however, shorter than two-fold differences between the methods may occur.

       In  general, breakout  group members supported EPA in the use of the ED10 as an
extrapolation point when substituting for the use of the LMS model for extrapolation.  Group
members felt that use of the LMS model, and other models for extrapolating risk from upper-bound
confidence intervals or dose from lower-bound confidence intervals, are not generally appropriate.

       The group also noted that extrapolating from the lowest dose at which a significant response
was reported, rather than from the ED10> may be more appropriate in some cases.  ED10 is useful
for achieving consistency when interpreting margins of exposure for human exposure, but the dose
may not serve as the best starting point for some data sets.  The lowest significant response data
point might be better.
NONLINEAR MODELS

       Low-dose extrapolation models must reflect biological processes. In general, curve-fitting
at low doses for extrapolating animal or epidemiological data with no biological interpretation is not
useful for regulatory purposes.  In some cases, however, generic  nonlinear models might  be
appropriately used to extend the observed tumor dose response somewhat below the observed range,
but only when the model is supported by rich dose-response data, and even then with great caution.
ADVICE ON THE USE OF THRESHOLD MODELS

       EPA has acknowledged the existence of thresholds for some compounds. Even though
mechanistic data will never be perfect, in some instances application of threshold approaches will
be appropriate. In such instances, linear extrapolation methods should not be used.
                                         4-18

-------
       For threshold situations, margin of exposure calculations are the appropriate measure for
comparison  to human exposures.  In these cases, qualitative  descriptors of the degree of risk
reduction for various margins of exposure should be discussed.
MARGINS OF EXPOSURE

       Margins of exposure need to be more clearly defined and their use needs to be better
explained.  It should be made clear that the margins will be reported simply as statements of fact,
with no indications made concerning the mechanism of action (e.g., thresholds).

       For cases in which only margins of exposure are reported (Le., no linear extrapolation is
performed [ED10/uncertainty factor (UF)]) and no biologically based model is reported), the analysis
needs to include a narrative assessment about the likely degree of risk reduction associated with
those margins of exposure (e.g., qualitative discussion of the steepness of the expected dose response
below the ED10, and the extent to which nonlinearities may exist).
BIOLOGICALLY BASED MODELS (USE OF NONTUMOR DATA)

       Data that are drawn from experimentation beyond the tumor dose-response information (e.g.,
physiologically based pharmacokinetic [PBPK] models), as well as from modeling based on the data,
can sometimes be used to extrapolate below the EDU by using surrogate measures of dose or
response to model the dose-response curve.  Thus the lowest point of extrapolation should be the
lowest point in the experimentally accessible region, which may be below the region where tumor
responses are observed.

       If human exposures  are  even lower than that  final  extrapolation value, then further
extrapolation must start from that value by estimating the modeled risk at that point (i.e., the ED^).
Extrapolation from that point uses the options discussed above (e.g., fractions of the ED^ margin
of exposure).
                                          4-19

-------
SUFFICIENCY OF DATA TO FIT A BIOLOGICALLY BASED MODEL

       Biologically based models often can be fit to the available data. In such cases, however, a
narrative description of the certainty and relevance of the  parameters  and the model for the
exposure scenario under consideration must be provided for  the risk manager. Sometimes these
models may be only qualitatively useful, since they may only indicate a likelihood of reduced risk.
In other cases, however, they may be quantitative.

       EPA should justify not using a biologically based model, even though there  may be a simple
justification; for example, available data may be insufficient or, for tiered risk assessments,
biologically based models may not be appropriate  for "lower" tiers. Additionally, certainty and
uncertainty factors in the model(s) need to be discussed carefully in a narrative summary.  Monte
Carlo methods can be used to estimate uncertainty and sensitivity in biologically based and other
models.  Monte  Carlo methods  should  be more fully used to  quantify  dose and  exposure
uncertainties.
USE OF ESTIMATED RISK VALUES

       The majority of risk assessment specialists apparently believe that statistical risk models
should not be used to calculate cancer prevalence  in a  population; rather, they believe that
distributions of individual risk and numbers of individuals at risk should be reported separately.
TIERED RISK ASSESSMENTS

       Tiered risk assessments are appropriate for use in the regulatory process.  The degree of
effort and sophistication of an assessment depends on the risk level anticipated and the value of a
more detailed assessment.  Simple risk assessments conducted to screen exposure scenarios are
appropriate and will often use conservative default methodology.  These assessments should be
qualified, however, to the extent that they are explained as screening assessments only and do not
                                          4-20

-------
reflect the full range of available data. In these situations, use of biologically based models may not
be warranted because of the degree of anticipated exposure or because of the cost of the effort.
AVERAGING TIME

       LADD is generally appropriate for carcinogens; however, for margin of exposure calculations,
guidance on the impact of the time factor is needed.  Such guidance would likely be applicable on
a case-by-case basis, depending on the likely human exposure scenarios and the animal data.
RISK CHARACTERIZATION

       Maximum tolerated dose and tumor type.  MTD issues (e.g., is the high dose used in the
bioassay excessive and therefore not appropriate for risk assessment) and significance of tumor
response (e.g., the mouse liver tumors, which are of questionable significance regarding human risk
assessment) need to be discussed in the risk characterization section of an assessment, since not all
tumor types are equal. This type of information should be discussed as a qualitative issue in the
narrative summary.  Relevance to humans is the important issue, and it needs to be given more
prominence in the document in terms of guidance on risk characterization.

       Margin of exposure calculations.  Margin of exposure calculations should be included in all
risk characterizations as factual benchmarks for reporting the magnitude of the difference between
anticipated human exposures and the ED10 (or lowest significant tumor response level). Reporting
a margin of exposure does not imply any particular mode of action nor any extrapolation procedures.

       Dose-response alternatives.   The technical part of an assessment should list plausible
alternatives for dose-response models, and then present a clear summary of the level of confidence
in each alternative, including the most likely alternative, if possible. The risk manager then will be
able to make  a policy choice.
                                          4-21

-------
       Sielkin approach. The Sielkin approach for presenting distributions of uncertainty may be
useful as a characterization and communication tool.
RESPONSE TO SPECIFIC QUESTIONS
Question 3(a).  How and whether biologically based models can be applied genetically in risk
               assessments, or can decisions only be approached on a case-by-case basis? What
               guidance might be given as to when and how to apply them?

               Rhetorical question: case-by-case only.

               For important risk assessments, if biological models can be fit, they can be useful
               in furthering the science, generating hypotheses, and focusing future research.  This
               in itself is a useful outcome. Whether the models can be used to actually develop
               regulations can only be determined on a case-by-case basis.
Question 3(b).  Whether it is rational today to use the three stated default methods for dose
               response extrapolation or other methods and illustrations given to assessors in the
               draft so that they can ably select default dose extrapolation procedures.

               This has been dealt with by defining away the nonlinear model (i.e., there is only
               one default). Additionally, the margin of exposure calculation, as described above,
               should always be presented in the risk characterization as a reference point.
Question 3(c).  The adequacy of the information and illustrations given to assessors in the draft
               so that they can ably select default dose extrapolation procedures.

               The guidelines contain insufficient guidance.  The breakout group encourages
               development of such supplemental guidance documents (e.g., EPA's"purple books").
               Real  examples are needed.  The group recognized that EPA can never issue
               guidelines on a "cookbook basis," but advocated the development  of additional
               guidance  and illustrative material.
Question 3(d). Any other information to strengthen the process of determining dose-response
               default positions.

               More detail for the calculation of, for instance, the ED10 needs to be provided.
               Also, in cases where extrapolations are below the ED10, such as with biologically
               based models, details are needed for the linear extrapolation below that level.

               The breakout group offered specific recommendations on this subject.

                                           4-22

-------
Question 4(a).  The use of various parameters (e.gv toxicfty incidence, biomarker levels) to give
               clues as to the shape of dose-response relationships in the observed range. What
               guidance can we provide on how to effectively use biomarkers that  can  be
               measured at low exposure levels?

               No answer, need illustrative examples.
Question 4(b).  What other guidance might be given as to the parameters that can be used and
               when and how to use them?

               For parameters to be used in biological models, a rationale must be provided
               stating that the parameters were collected in experimental  conditions that are
               expected to be comparable to chronic bioassay conditions.
REFERENCES
Gaylor, D.W.; Kodell, R.L. (1980)  Linear extrapolation, algorithm for low-dose risk assessment of
       toxic substances.  J. Environ. Pathol. Toxicol. 4:305-312.

Krewski, D.; Brown, C.; Murdoch, D. (1984)  Determining "safe" levels of exposure: safety factors
       of mathematical models. Fund. Appl. Toxicol. 4:S383-S394.
                                          4-23

-------
                           Hazard Identification Breakout Group
                                   Robin Fielder, Chair
                     Health Aspects of Environment and Food (Medical)
                                  Department of Health
                                    London, England


Samuel Cohen                                   Rory Conolly
Department of Pathology                         Inhalation Toxicology and
  and Microbiology                                Biomathematical  Modeling  Chemical
University of Nebraska                           Industry Institute of Toxicology
  Medical Center                                Research Triangle Park, NC
Omaha, NE
                                                James Klaunig
Nancy Kim                                      Indiana University School of Medicine
Division of Environmental                        Indianapolis, IN
  Health Assessment
New York State Department                      M. Jane Teta
  of Health                                     Health Safety and Environment
Albany, NY                                     Union Carbide Corporation
                                                Danbury, CT
William Pease
Center for Occupational and
  Environmental Health
University of California
Berkeley, CA
       Prior to considering the specific charge relating to hazard identification, the breakout group

discussed general issues concerning risk assessment.  At the initiation of discussion, the group

recognized that the assigned topic area overlaps somewhat with topics assigned to other breakout

groups. Based on the discussion, breakout group members found the following general principles

to be important considerations with regard to the cancer risk assessment guidelines:


       •      The guidelines should establish a clear process for considering all available scientific
              information,  identifying  data  gaps, and defining criteria  that will govern how
              assessments will be reevaluated when new scientific information is available. EPA
              should establish a transparent process for encouraging the development and timely
              use of relevant information.

       •      For cases when only limited information is available, the guidelines should support
              an iterative process for making decisions based on whatever data are available.

                                          4-24

-------
              The guidelines should identify major default assumptions to be used in the absence
              of information, the rationale for these defaults, and the procedure for departing from
              defaults.  EPA should consider the NRC recommendations regarding how default
              and alternative results should be described  in the risk characterization and how
              specific defaults should be selected as the preferred option.

              Risk assessment is conducted according to a tiered process, with different degrees of
              information required for different types of  regulatory decisions.  The guidelines
              should address both data-poor and data-rich situations, with a clear description of the
              appropriate defaults in these cases.
       The  breakout group  then considered a number  of general  issues concerning  hazard
identification before addressing the  specific questions assigned to the group in  the Charge to
Workshop Reviewers (see Appendix B). The group raised the following points:
       •      EPA should  expand  the section  of the guidelines  on the  value  and  use of
              epidemiologjcal data, so that the risk assessment process recognizes that high-quality
              negative  epidemiological  data combined with sufficient mechanism  of action
              information can overrule positive bioassay results.

       •      EPA should provide guidance on the criteria and process for evaluating the relevance
              of animal toxicity data  to humans.   The  Agency's  experience  with alpha-2/x-
              macroglobulin and with  the development of other supplemental documents offer
              possible models for this process.

       •      For cases where chronic toxicity data are limited,  the breakout group participants
              endorsed EPA's proposal to classify potential carcinogens based on the results of
              validated short-term tests and other data (e.g., SAR data and narrative #4 in the
              proposed guidelines).

       •      EPA should adopt and describe a  default procedure for prioritizing  chemicals of
              concern on the basis of available non-chronic testing data (e.g., short-term bioassays,
              SAR).

       •      Any proposal for  hazard identification based on limited non-chronic testing data
              should  address the following issues:   the relevance, sensitivity, and specificity of
              available genotoxicity tests,  and  how  available  pharmacokinetic  data  will  be
              incorporated. The group also recommended development of a procedure to assign
              the most weight to in vivo mutagens. It also  recommended the development of test
              methods for detecting other important modes of action but suggested that existing
              nongenotoxic tests provide an insufficient basis for identifying potential carcinogens.

       •      EPA should explain how expedited hazard identification decisions will be integrated
              in a tiered process with the more comprehensive hazard  assessment  process
              established by the proposed guidelines.

                                           4-25

-------
        Members of the breakout group agreed that the draft guidelines provide a useful summary
 of hazard identification and welcomed the higher scientific content.  Nonetheless, the need to
 improve  some sections was noted.  In  particular,  the group suggested that the coverage of
 epidemiology should include several descriptions of the advantages of well-conducted epidemiologic
 studies for hazard characterization (e.g., relevant species, exposure data in the dose range of interest,
 effects seen under conditions of human  exposure).   In the treatment of study quality,  a clear
 distinction  was sought between issues of validity  (i.e., selection bias, information bias,  and
 confounding) and issues of precision (i.e., power). According to the breakout group, imprecision
 does not render a study flawed, since a properly conducted meta-analysis can enhance the value of
 multiple valid-but-imprecise studies, irrespective of the outcome. A well-conducted data analysis,
 however is not a statistical exercise; rather, it involves a careful, qualitative assessment of available
 studies, a clear description of methodology employed, and appropriate attention to heterogenicity.

       Although the guidelines no longer include a separate classification of the level of evidence
 from human and animal data, the assessment process, as currently described, does not encourage
 examination of consistencies, inconsistencies, and how information from human studies might refine
 or change conclusions from experimental data. Based on mode of action considerations, greater
 weight might be given to quality epidemiologic data in the presence of animal data of questionable
 relevance to humans.  In addition, epidemiologic data also can be utilized to inform the dose-
 response process by addressing the plausibility of the experimental conclusions and/or indicating the
 most appropriate mode of action, shape  of the dose-response curve, target organ, sex, or exposure
 for the dose-response assessment.

       For testing plausibility, the animal-based estimate should be examined in the context of what
 has been obtained in epidemiologic studies using the extent-of-overlap of the respective confidence
 intervals as well as scientific judgment. The concept of providing an upper bound on risk based on
 the 95 percent upper confidence limit  should be discouraged since it does not make  use of
 meaningful data.

       In addition to  human epidemiologic data, the  use of experimental data with human tissue
is valuable in a number of areas (extrapolation and mechanistic data) and is a particularly important
consideration in the "other data" section.

                                           4-26

-------
        In response to the specific questions on hazard identification called out in the charge to

 reviewers, the breakout group provided the following comments:


 Question 2a(l).   Adequacy and utility of guidance on human studies.

                  •      Need to expand section on epidemiologic data to provide a better balance
                         versus animal data.

                  •      Need to explain why epidemiologic data is important.

                  •      Need to give broad treatment of only the types of data that are most
                         useful.

                  •      Need to modify the raeta-analysis section. This is not simply a statistical
                         exercise, but includes a descriptive analysis/assessment.

                  •      Need to consider and distinguish validity (i.e., selection bias, information
                         bias, and confounding) from precision  (i.e., power).


 Question 2a(2).  Adequacy of animal data.

                 •       Very reasonable.  Guidelines are not  intended to be a textbook or to
                         consider interpretation of specific tumor sites.

                 •      Need to  expand maximum  tolerated dose discussion.   Also should
                        recognize that MTD testing may produce results irrelevant to humans and
                        increase sensitivity  at the price of specificity.

                 •      Concern was expressed in the group about the use of genetically modified
                        strains in routine studies; group members suggested that the strains might
                        be useful in generating mechanistic data, but not in testing bioassays.

                 •      Need to consider on a case-by-case basis the significance of the induction
                        of tumors at spontaneous tumor sites compared to rare sites.
Question 2a(3).   Adequacy of other key evidence.

                 •      Should endorse the need to consider the other data listed (e.g., short-term
                        tests, SAR, pharmacokinetics data).

                 •      Should give mutagenicity data more emphasis.
                                          4-27

-------
                         Should use  expert  judgment  in  weight-of-evidence consideration  of
                         rautagenicity data.

                         The demonstration of clear in vivo genotoxicity has real significance with
                         respect to potential carcinogen.
 Question 2(b).    Pros and cons of using one-step rather than three-step hazard identification.

                  •      Strong endorsement of one-step  process with consideration of overall
                         profile in one stage.

                  •      Three-stage  process  is an  artificial  distinction and the last  step  is
                         considered minor.

                  •      It may be worth stating how new approaches will differ in practice from
                         the present approach.

                  •      Need to address human and experimental data inconsistencies.
Question 2(c).    The proposal in making hazard decisions, to place more emphasis than before
                 on evidence other than tumor data per se.

                 •     Strong endorsement of the need to consider all the relevant data.
Question 2(d).   Evaluate the merits and utility of using a narrative summary as a component of
                 hazard identification.

                 •      This was considered essential.

                 •      It is appropriate for  a narrative to be a primary  product of hazard
                        identification.

                 •      This is the vehicle for explaining strengths and uncertainties.
Question 2(e).    Recommendations for enhancing the presentation and utility of a narrative
                 summary.

                 •      It should be clear and precise.

                 •      It should include consideration of strengths and uncertainties.

                 •      The adoption of a common format would encourage consistency.
                                           4-28

-------
 Question 2(f).
The arguments for and against using a classification system with standardized
hazard  descriptors versus  a hazard summary  without such a  system and
descriptors.
 Question 2(g).
The advantages and disadvantages of using three instead of six possible hazard
classification descriptors.

The breakout group considered these two questions together.  The following
conclusions were drawn:
REFERENCE
                        While many members of the group felt that a hazard narrative alone is
                        preferable  for  providing a  summary  of available  information  on
                        carcinogenic risk to humans, the group concluded that in the world of
                        regulatory practice some abbreviated classification  scheme would be
                        required.

                        Three categories are insufficient for classification purposes because they
                        are too broad.  The breakout group recommended that EPA consider a
                        scheme with at least  four classes that incorporate information about
                        weight of evidence, conditions of exposure, and relevance to humans.

                        The group  saw merit in  the NRC carcinogen categorization scheme
                        developed in the recent report Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment
                        (1994). Information for classification  according to this scheme can be
                        abstracted from EPA's proposed hazard narratives.  The NRC categories
                        are useful because they provide an indication of level of concern in regard
                        to human risks and will facilitate the selection of extrapolation models.
                        The group recommended that EPA consider a modification of the NRC
                        system that more clearly incorporates weight of evidence into the NRC
                        descriptors, which emphasize conditions of exposure and relevance, (see
                        table 4-1).

                        In addition, the advantages of international harmonization of classification
                        schemes was recognized.  Incompatible  classification criteria between
                        different countries leads to problems and should be avoided if possible.
Committee on Risk Assessment of Hazardous Air Pollutants (1994) Science and judgment in risk
       assessment. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
                                          4-29

-------

-------
                                  SECTION FIVE


       HIGHLIGHTS OF PRELIMINARY AND OBSERVER COMMENTS
REVIEWERS' PRELIMINARY COMMENTS


       Prior to the workshop, each expert reviewer was asked to review the draft cancer risk

assessment guidelines and provide written  comments.  (Appendix B  provides the Charge to

Workshop Reviewers.)  Relying on their technical  knowledge and best professional judgment,

reviewers responded with comments on:


       •     the benefits and limitations of using mode of action information to help identify
             hazards and develop dose-response relationships;

       •     the nature of the hazard identification process and classification system;

       •     dose-response evaluation in the observed dose range and at environmental exposure
             levels; and

       •     the use of default science policy positions in the risk  assessment process.


       The expert reviewers provided notably diverse comments, which was consistent with their

distinct backgrounds and the specific objectives of the workshop. Various reviewers expressed the
opinion that the draft guidelines should explain:


       •     the reasons for changing the guidelines;

       •     the consequences of changing the guidelines and the effect of the changes on current
             risk assessments;

       •     the way in which risk managers will use the revised guidelines; and

       •     the way in which the  revised guidelines will address consistency in risk assessment
             practices across agencies.
                                         5-1

-------
       Reviewers generally found that the draft guidelines were too qualitative and gave unequal

treatment to hazard assessment versus dose-response and animal data versus human data. The most

controversial topic among reviewers was default assumptions. Overall, the comments raised a

number of issues for consideration at the workshop.
Comments on Mode of Action


       Carol Henry, Ph.D., of the U.S. Department of Energy, reviewed the premeeting comments

that focused on mode of action.  Dr. Henry identified six major themes in reviewers' comments:


       Mechanism issues:


       •     The overview of cancer process is incomplete:

             —     more guidance is needed on proteins involved in cell cycle control and the
                    role of cancer susceptibility genes in specific types of familial and sporadic
                    cancers.

       •     The mode of action section does not reflect the full range and complexity of ways
             carcinogens may affect*

             —     genes and gene products involved in cell cycle control; and
             —     understanding of the regulation of apoptosis (i.e., programmed cell death).

       •     Nongenotoxic agents may have linear dose-response relationships:

             —     agents acting via a cell-receptor mediated response or via interference with
                    a DNA repair mechanism.

       •     Chemicals that induce somatic  recombination (i.e.,  chromosome-chromosome
             interaction) are genotoxic but may not show up in standard  test protocols.


      Data requirements and data sufficiency:


      »     How much information win be needed  to adequately justify using a  nonlinear
             extrapolation technique?
                                          5-2

-------
        Are positive data (e.g., target organ toxicity) and negative data (e.g., absence of
        genotoxicity) equally important?

        Which are more important—pharmacokinetics or mechanism data (and how should
        the data be prioritized)?

        How can data from a chemical class be applied to a member of the class that has not
        been tested?
 Uncertainty characterization:


 •     Treatment of uncertainty with regard to mode of action and causality is adequate.

 •     Guidance on statistical treatment of dose-response models is inadequate.

 •     No discussion is presented on additivity of effect or exposure within a mode of action
       or across modes of action.


 Information use:


 •     Guidance on how the mode of action information would be related to numeric
       characterizations of risk is inadequate:

       —     Will it be comparable to cancer potencies?
       —     Will it look like a reference dose (RfD)?

 •     How will  the additional  information provided by  mode  of action judgments be
       incorporated into risk assessments and risk management decisions?

 •     Examples need to apply real chemicals to real world needs (e.g., a site cleanup).


Peer review issues:


•     Decisions on mode of action will require considerable use of expert judgment.

•     Use of expert judgment will require peer review for credibility.

•     Peer review also will need to be a critical element in deciding about the robustness
       of mode of action information.
                                    5-3

-------
       Logistics/process:
              How will  these guidelines  be used in regulatory programs (e.g., pesticides or
              European Community harmonization)?
              What will  be the process for transitioning from the present risk assessment system
              to the new one?
              The proposed guideline revisions imply that modes of action can be established for
              regulated chemicals:
              —     A larger data base will be required.
              —     The time needed to conduct risk assessments is likely  to increase.
              The distinction between scientific issues and policy judgments needs to be clarified.
Comments on Default Assumptions

       The array of comments offered regarding default assumptions ranged from encouraging
consistent use of default values  to advocating that  new information always  be  used.  Marvin
Schneiderman, Ph.D., of the National Academy of Sciences, summarized reviewers preliminary
comments by posing the following questions:

       •     What new information  is available that can be used in cancer risk assessment?
       •     Can regulatory decision-making be delayed while new information is generated?
       •     How much information is needed to formulate models?
       •     What additional toxitity information is needed to be predictive of effects?
       •     What information will reduce uncertainty?
       •     What information will lower the cost of establishing regulations?
       •     What effect will the emphasis on more expert judgment have on supporting EPA's
             regulatory actions?
                                          5-4

-------
 Comments on Dose Response

       Dose-response issues focused on two topics: fitting data into an observational range and
 extrapolation.  Colin Park, PhJD., of Dow Chemical Company, presented a summary of the
 premeeting comments on these topics.  Reviewers expressed the opinion that the wording in the
 guidelines, referring to biologically based models as the default, implied considerable professional
 judgment.  Reviewers asked:

       •     Is this realistic?
       •     Is the wording consistent with practice?
       •     What about secondary mechanisms?
       •     Is the wording merely a circular definition of default?
       •     What defaults are considered in dose response?
       •     What will the default be if biologically based models do not exist?

       Dose-response extrapolations can use linear models, nonlinear models, or both.  Guidance
is needed, however, on how to differentiate between these models; if both models are used then an
explanation of which model is more appropriate is needed.  For example, when and how should the
margin of exposure be used?  The majority of reviewers supported the flexibility afforded in the
revised guidelines but asked:

       •     What is the role of the LMS model?
       •     Should the ED10 or the benchmark dose (BMD)10 be used?
       •     How should risk be presented (e.g., 10"4 or ED1OT(UIOO)?
       •     How does the linear model compare to the LMS or the Gaylor-Kodell model?
                                          5-5

-------
 Comments on Hazard Identification

       Robin Fielder, Ph.D., of the Department of Health, England, summarized reviewers
 comments on hazard identification.  Although most reviewers' comments supported the proposed
 revision  of the guidelines concerning treatment of human studies, animal  studies, and other key
 evidence, one reviewer suggested that more case-specific guidance is needed on how to eliminate any
 ambiguous information.  Concern also was expressed about the perceived diminished importance of
 quantitative data.  Other reviewers were  concerned that hazard assessment might encumber the
 regulatory process because the proposed guidelines call for consideration of all data.  In regard to
 the guidance proposed for using the three sources of assessment data, guidance on the use of human
 data received the most criticism. Reviewer suggested the following:

       •     The main  approaches used  in conducting and considering the  results  from
              epidemiologic studies must be emphasized.
       •     The guidelines should specify the need for good quality exposure data.
       •     Giving power limitations  of human studies even  when other data (e.g., animal
              bioassay)  are negative should be reconsidered.

       Reviewers recognized that it is impractical (and undesirable) to consider interpretation of
 specific tumor types. They contend, however, that consideration of the following "generic" issues
would improve the assessment:

       •      consideration of the significance of increases of tumors with appreciable spontaneous
              incidence;
       •      consideration of malignant  and benign tumors together; and
       •      use of the maximum tolerated  dose.

       A number of reviewers suggested that the guidelines should recommend more caution with
regard to modified strains of animals (i.e., increased susceptibility). Although all reviewers agreed
that consideration of "other key evidence"  (e.g., pharmacokinetics, structure-activity relationships)
is important, one reviewer pointed out the need to distinguish between essential information and
"nice to know" information. Additionally, the use of short-term test data in hazard identification was
                                          5-6

-------
 encouraged. Although reviewers expressed the opinion that the importance of genotoxicity studies
 with regard to mechanisms should be emphasized, one reviewer felt that genotoxic assays are not
 sufficiently comprehensive. Reviewers favored considering nongenotoxic mechanisms on a case-by-
 case basis.

        Reviewers supported EPA's proposal to use a one-step rather than a three-step approach to
 hazard identification.  As proposed in the revised guidelines, other key evidence will now be
 considered in the overall profile of a substance along with all other relevant data. Reviewers also
 supported the guidelines' emphasis on data other than tumor data per se, pointing out that such data
 is critical for considering the mechanisms of carcinogenicity and the significance of experimental data
 to humans. Additionally, the use of all available data/scientific knowledge was universally supported.

        Nearly all reviewers supported  the merits and utility  of including a succinct  and clear
 narrative summary as a component of the hazard identification. Some suggested that a standard
 format would facilitate comparison of assessment results. Several reviewers expressed concern that
 some risk managers might focus exclusively on the narrative as the bottom line of the assessment.
 Also, one  reviewer expressed concern that the proposed integrated approach to assessment will
 require more time and ultimately will be less effective for regulating carcinogens.

       Reviewers commented that a standard "descriptor" is needed to accompany a classification
 system, arguing that this approach would be preferable to use of a hazard summary without such
 descriptors. Nonetheless, reviewers contended that hazard identification also needs to include a
 descriptive hazard summary. The need for standard descriptors depends in part on who will be using
 the information, a risk assessor  or risk manager.

       Although there was support among reviewers for reducing the number of hazard classification
 categories  or descriptors, no consensus was reached on the number needed. Several reviewers
 supported the use of three categories (e.g.,yes, no, do not know) because this approach would afford
 the advantage of simplicity, since risk managers often only look at the bottom line.  Other reviewers
 had reservations about considering known, likely, and possible carcinogens in one group.  This
 approach might result in more chemicals of some concern being placed in a sufficient data group.
Reviewers emphasized the need for clear criteria along with guidance on how to use ancillary data

                                           5-7

-------
 (i.e., not relating to tumor incidence) to change classification categories. Also, risk managers must
 have information on how to prioritize levels of concern.
OBSERVERS' COMMENTS

       The workshop agenda included an opportunity for observers to make public statements
during the plenary session held on Monday, September 12. Observers were asked to sign up if they
intended to make a statement. At the discretion of each breakout group chair, observers also were
provided an opportunity during breakout group sessions to participate in discussions.

       Only one observer, John McCarthy, of the National Agricultural Chemicals Association,
made a statement during the plenary session. Mr. McCarthy expressed the opinion that since
industry conducts extensive testing of chemicals and has established a large data set, the guidelines
should (hopefully) provide some flexibility in the use of all this data. He also advocated that the
issue of high-dose testing should be addressed by EPA.  Mr. McCarthy recommended that the
guidelines more explicitly address the use of biologically based models (i.e., What kind and how
much data are needed to use these models?).  Also, Mr. McCarthy commented that the proposed
use of a classification scheme with three categories might be insufficient.  He recommended that
EPA reconsider use of the four categories presented by NRC/NAS.
                                          5-8

-------
 APPENDIX A



REVIEWER LIST
       A-l

-------

-------
vvEPA
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
       Workshop on Cancer Risk Assessment Guidelines Issues

       Hyatt Regency Reston
       Reston, VA
       September 12-14,1994

       Reviewer List
       Henry Anderson
       Chief Medical Officer
       Bureau of Public Health
       1414 East Washington Avenue
       Room 96
       Madison, WI 53703
       608-266-1253
       Fax: 608-267-4853

       J. Carl Barrett
       Director, Environmental
       Carcinogenesis Program
       National Institute for Environmental
       Health Sciences
       P.O. Box 12233 (MD C2-15)
       Research Triangle Park, NC 27709
       919-541-2992
       Fax:919-541-7784

       Harvey Clewell
       Senior Project Manager
       ICFMCaiser International
       1201 Gaines Street
       Ruston,LA 71270
       318-255-4800
       Fax:318-255-4960

       Samuel Cohen
       Professor and Chairperson
       Department of Pathology and
       Microbiology
       University of Nebraska Medical Center
       600 South 42nd Street
       Omaha, NE 68198-3135
       402-559-6388
      Fax: 402-559-9297
              Murray Cohn
              U.S. Consumer Product
              Safety Commission
              4330 East West Highway
              Room600C
              Bethesda,MD 20814-4408
              301-504-0994, ext 1385
              Fax: 301-504-0124

              Rory Conolly
              Inhalation Toxicology and
              Biomathematical Mocsling
              Chemical Industry
              Institute of Toxicology
              6 Davis Drive
              Research Triangle Park, NC 27709
              919-558-1330
             Fax: 919-558-1200

             Robin Fielder
             Chief Scientific Officer
             Health Aspects of
             Environment and Food (Medical)
             Department of Health
             Skipton House - Room 513A
             80 London Road
             Elephant and Castle
             London SE16LW England
             44-071-972-5322
             Fax: 44-071-972-5156

             Clay Frederick
             Senior Research Fellow
             Rohm & Haas Company
             727 Norristown Road
             Spring House, PA 19477-0904
             215-641-7496
             Fax: 215-619-1618 or 1621
 Jay Goodman
 Professor, Department of
 Pharmacology and Toxicology
 Michigan State University
 B440 Life Sciences Building
 East Lansing, MI 48824
 517-353-9346
 Fax: 517-353-8915

 Carol Henry
 Office of Integrated Risk Management
 U.S. Department of Energy
 1000 Independence Avenue, SW
 Room5A031
 Washington, DC 20585
 202-586-7150
 Fax: 202-586-1492

 Kim Hooper
 Hazardous Materials Laboratory
 California Environmental
 Protection Agency
 2151 Berkeley Way
 Berkeley, CA 94704-1011
 510-540-3499
 Fax: 510-540-2305

 Nancy Kim
 Director
 Division of Environmental
 Health Assessment
 New York State Department of Health
 2 University Place - Room 350
 Albany, NY 12203-3399
 51^458-6435 or 6438
Fax:51&458-6436
                                                                           } Primal on fitcydtd Piptr

-------
 James Klaunig
 Professor and Director of Toxicology
 Indiana University School of Medicine
 Medical Research Facility
 1001 Walnut Street (MRF 003)
 Indianapolis, IN 46202-5196
 317-274-7824
 Fax:317-274-7787

 John A. Moore
 President and CEO
 Institute for Evaluating Health Risks
 1101 Vermont Avenue, NW
 Suite 608
 Washington, DC  20005-3521
 202-289-8721
 Fax: 202-289-8530

 Colin Park
 Health and Environmental Sciences
 The Dow Chemical Company
 1803 Building
 Midland, MI 48674
 517-636-1159
 Fax:517-636-1875

 William Pease
 Center for Occupational and
 Environmental Health
 School of Public Health
 University of California - Berkeley
 140 Warren Hall
 Berkeley, CA 94720-7360
 510-642-8853
 Fax:510-642-5815

 Tore Sanner
 Chief, Laboratory for Environmental
 and Occupational Cancer
 Institute for Cancer Research
 The Norwegian Radium Hospital
 Montebello
 N-0310 Oslo 3, Norway
 472-293-57-65
 Fax: 472-293-57-67

 Marvin A. Schneiderman
 National Research Council
National Academy of Science
 2101 Constitution Avenue, NW
 (BEST MH 354)
Washington, DC 20418
202-334-3160
 Peter Shields
 Senior Clinical Investigator
 Laboratory of Human Carcinogenesis
 National Cancer Institute
 37 Convent Drive
 Building 37 - Room 2C16
 Bethesda,MD  20892
 301-496-1603 or 496-2048
 Fax: 301-402-8577

 Thomas B. Starr
 Principal
 ENVIRON International Corporation
 7500 Rainwater Road
 Raleigh, NC 27615-3700
 919-876-0203
 703-516-2300 (in Virginia)
 Fax: 919-876-0201
 Leslie Stayner
 Assistant Director, Division of
 Standards Development and
 Technology Transfer (DSDTT)
 National Institute for Occupational
 Safety and Health
 4676 Columbia Parkway (C-14)
 Cincinnati, OH 45226-1998
 513-533-8307
 Fax: 513-533-8588

 James Swenberg
 Director, Curriculum in Toxicology
 University of North Carolina
 at Chapel Hill
 South Columbia Street
 Rosenau Hall - Room 357
 Campus Box 7400
 Chapel Hill, NC  27599
 919-966-6139 or 6142
 Fax: 919-966-6123

 M. Jane Teta
 Director of Epidemiology
 Health Safety and Environment
 Union Carbide Corporation
 39 Old Ridgebury Road (K-3)
 Danbury.CT 06817
 203-794-5884
Fax: 203-794-5275

James Wilson
Director, Regulatory Affairs
Monsanto Company
800 North Lindbergh Boulevard
SL Louis, MO  63167
314-694-8879
Fax: 314-694-8808
 Ronald Wyzga
 Senior Program Manager
 Health Studies Program
 Electric Power Research Institute
 3412 Hillview Avenue
 Palo Alto, CA 94303
 415-855-2577 or 2858
 Fax: 415-855-1069
 EPA Participants

 William Farland
 Director, Office of Health and
 Environmental Assessment
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (8601)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-7317
 Fax: 202-260-0393

 Richard Hill
 Office of Prevention Pesticides and
 Toxic Substances
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (7101)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-2894
 202-260-2897
 Fax: 202-260-1847

 Arnold Kuzmack
 Office of Science and Technology
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (4301)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-5821
 Fax: 202-260-5394

 Dorothy Patton
 Risk Assessment Forum
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (8101)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-6743
 Fax: 202-260-3955

 Harry Teitelbaum
 Risk Assessment Forum
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW (8101)
Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-2782
Fax: 202-260-3955

-------
Vanessa Vu
Deputy Director, Office of Pollution
Prevention and Toxics
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW (7403)
Washington, DC 20460
202-260-1243
Fax: 202-260-1283

Jeanette Wiltse
Deputy Director, Office of Health and
Environmental Assessment
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401M Street, SW (8601)
Washington, DC 20460
202-260-7315
Fax: 202-260-0393

William Wood
Risk Assessment Forum
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401M Street, SW (8101)
Washington, DC 20460
202-260-6743
Fax: 202-260-3955

-------

-------
         APPENDIX B




CHARGE TO WORKSHOP REVIEWERS
            B-l

-------

-------
                            Charge to Workshop Reviewers
  The current EPA cancer risk assessment guidelines were published in 1986. Changes in both
  our understanding of carcinogenesis and risk science since 1986 lead the Agency to seek
  changes in its cancer risk assessment process.  The working draft revised guidelines attempts
  to encourage several changes in the EPA's approach'to cancer risk assessment. Ofttimes the
  revisions emphasize, expand upon, or restate concepts that were included in the 1986
  guidelines but were incompletely applied in  practice.  The draft asks assessors to take
  responsibility for conducting thorough analyses of reliable data on a case-by-case basis, to
  consider alternative positions, and to develop rationales for major judgments.

  l.Mode of carcinogenic action   (topic A; breakout group 1)

  Although the use of mechanistic data in risk assessment has long been recognized as
  desirable, available data rarely demonstrate carcinogenic processes with any certainty.  The
  1986 cancer guidelines called for the evaluation of relevant information, but to date risk
  assessments seldom make full use of the available information, even when there may be
  enough to indicate a general mode of action.

  The proposed guidelines call for analysis of mode of action information as a major basis for
  determining both human hazard and potential dose-response patterns. Along with the
  toxicology data physical, chemical and biological attributes of chemicals are evaluated for
  clues to the possible mode of action.  For instance, among the various factors are me types
  and relative importance of genotoxic responses  and influences on cell growth, death and
  differentiation.   From these analyses, the assessor develops hypotheses about possible modes
 of carcinogenic action and the conditions of exposure where they operate. The strengths and
 weaknesses of the case for each possible mode  of action are presented. The inferences about
 the possible mode(s) of action can then be used to judge whether cancer responses may occur
 in exposed humans and what might be the potential shape of the dose-response relationship at
 low doses.

 Please comment on:

 a. The proposed approach to use mode of action information for (1) hazard identification and
 (2) dose-response purposes:

 b. To what extent will there be available information on chemical substances to make mode
 of action judgments?

 c. What are the data elements in  a mode of action review, and how can one assess the
 adequacy of case-specific information for developing mode of action positions?

 d. The completeness of the guidance and illustrations in the draft for assessors to be able to
make mode of action judgments.  What additional guidance and illustrations may be useful?

-------
  e. Any other guidance on this topic for inclusion in the guidelines.

  2.      Hazard identification  (topic E; breakout group 4)

         Process:      Current Agency guidelines call for a weight of evidence approach to
  human hazard identification, but in practice we often rely mainly upon tumor response data in
  humans and  animals. Part of the problem may be the 3-step process that is currently used:
  categorize the evidence of carcinogenicity from studies in humans and studies in animals;
  classify as to human carcinogenicity; review all other potential inputs and reclassify, if
 needed.  In current practice the third step receives little emphasis. The draft revisions use a
  1-step hazard identification process which essentially coalesces all relevant inputs at one time
 into  an overall  weight-of-evidence determination. Reviews of component parts are  completed
 and the quality of data evaluated as in the 1986 guidelines, but interim decisions on human
 hazard are not made.

        Classification system: The present cancer guidelines employ  an alphanumeric system
 of hazard classification adapted from a scheme originally developed  by the International
 Agency for Research on Cancer. It uses 5 broad designations, with one of them divided into
 two parts: A—human carcinogen, B1/B2—probable human, C—possible human, D—not
 classifiable, E~non-carcinogenic.  A narrative summary is to  accompany each classification.
 Multiple problems have occurred in applying the existing classification system including but
 not limited to the difficulty in handling C carcinogens, in classifying agents where
 carcinogenic potential varies with the route of exposure, in classifying animal carcinogens that
 may not be carcinogenic in humans and  in failing to use the narrative summary  to reflect the
 confidence in the determinations.

        The draft revision makes the classification of secondary importance to the narrative
 description of hazard potential.  Hazard characterization includes a narrative summary which
 is uniquely tailored to each  case, giving a synopsis of the  hazard case with it strengths,
 weaknesses, uncertainties and applied default science policy positions; the anticipated mode of
 action with any  limitations of its expression (exposure route/pattern);  the hazard classification
 descriptor; and guidance for dose-response assessment. The draft also proposes a classification
 system using only three hazard descriptors:  known or likely to be a human carcinogen,
 unlikely to be a human carcinogen, and cannot determine the carcinogenic potential for
humans.

Please comment on:

       a.      The adequacy and utility of the guidance given concerning the review of (1)
              human studies, (2) animal studies and (3)  other key evidence.

       b.      The pros and cons of using a 1-step instead of a 3-step hazard identification
              process?

       c.      The proposal, in making hazard decisions, to place more emphasis than before
              on evidence other  than tumor data per se.

-------
         d.     Evaluate the merits and utility of using a narrative summary as a component of
                hazard identification.

         e.      Recommendations for enhancing the presentation and utility of the narrative
                summary.

         f.      The arguments for and against using a classification system with standardized
                hazard descriptors versus a hazard summary without such a system and
                descriptors.

         g.      The advantages and disadvantages  of using 3 instead of 6 possible hazard
                classification descriptors?

 3.      Low level dose-response extrapolation  (topic D; breakout group 3)

         The 1986 cancer guidelines and the present draft call for use of the best biologically
 based dose-response models. In the absence  of a mechanistic model, the previous guidelines
 use the linearized multistage procedure as a default to project potential risks at low doses.  In
 practice the Agency has almost always resorted to using this default procedure in exclusion of
 alternative positions.  To better incorporate whatever mode of action considerations are
 available as well as to honestly indicate that low-dose projections are most often really
 judgment calls, the draft presents three potential default dose-response procedures—linear, non-
 linear and both. The option chosen depends upon the information at hand.

 Please comment on:

        a.      How and whether biologically based models can be applied generically  in risk
               assessments or can decisions only be approached on a case-by-case basis?
               What guidance might be given  as to when and how to apply them?

        b.      Whether it is rational today to use the 3 stated default methods for dose-
               response extrapolation or other  methods.

        c.      The adequacy of the information  and illustrations given to assessors in the draft
               so that they can ably select default dose-extrapolation procedures.

       d.      Any other information to strengthen the process of determining dose-response
               default positions?

4.     Observed range dose-response relationships  (topic Q breakout group 3)

       Currently the Agency relies on cancer incidence data to determine the shape of the
dose-response curve in  the observed range and to extrapolate down to lower human exposure
levels, the linearized multistage procedure is the  mainstay for evaluating data from
experimental animals.  The review draft recognizes the difficulty in estimating risks for cases
where there is no biologically based model.  It calls for the use and modeling of various types

-------
 of information (not cancer incidence alone) in the observed range and determining a point of
 departure for employing default extrapolation procedures (item 2 above) at lower exposure
 levels.

 Please comment on:

        a.      The use of various parameters (e.g., toxicity  incidence, biomarker levels) to
               give clues as to the shape of dose-response relationships in the observed range.
               What guidance can we provide on how to  effectively use biomarkers that can
               be  measured at low exposure levels?

        b.      What other guidance  might be given as to  the parameters that can be used and
               when and how to use them?

 5.      Use of science policy default positions  (topic B; breakout group 2)

        The 1986 cancer guidelines employed a number of default science policy positions to
 be used in the absence of generic or case-specific information.  This includes many types of
 explicit or implicit defaults  such as  the use of animals as  surrogates for humans, the pooling
 of malignant and benign tumors, and the use of an interspecies potency scaling factor.  In  the
 main, these default positions were conservative, that is, risk averse in nature. Little
 information was given as to when and how to deviate from  the defaults, with the result being
 that in practice  assessments almost always included a number of default positions to the
 exclusion of using case-specific information.

       A 1994 National Research Council  report to the Agency on risk assessment practices
 recognized that defaults  are necessary in the assessment process but recommended that  criteria
 be developed as to when to  deviate from them.  The present draft guidelines take the position
 that in the face of data gaps and uncertainties on important issues, assessors should (1)  make
 maximum use of reliable data on chemicals, (2) evaluate options for handling mem and (3)
 articulate rationales for the judgmental approaches taken, whether they  are any particular
 defaults or alternative positions.  The adequacy of reasoning would be evaluated during the
peer review of the assessment.

Please comment on:

       a.      The Agency's general  approach to the use of defaults  in risk assessment and
              especially on  the emphasis to evaluate science policy options on a case-by case
              basis.

       b.      The extent to  which the guidelines identify the major sources of uncertainty in
              risk  assessments and the appropriateness and scientific adequacy of the defaults
              proposed.

-------
   APPENDIX C




WORKSHOP AGENDA
       C-l

-------

-------
c/EPA
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
      Workshop on Cancer Risk Assessment Guidelines Issues

      Hyatt Regency Reston
      Reston, VA
      September 12-14,1994

      Workshop Agenda

           MONDAY  SEPTEMBER  12
              7:30AM  Registration  and Onsite Check-In
                      Plenary Session
              8:30AM  Introduction to the Guidelines Revisions
                      Jeanette Wiltse, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Health and Environmental Assessment
              9:OOAM  Highlights of Premeeting Comments and Charge to the Breakout Groups
                      Workshop Chair: Ron Vfyzga
                      Breakout Group Chairs: Carol Henry, Marvin Schneiderman, Colin Park, and Robin Fielder
              10:15AM  Break

                      Breakout Group Sessions	__	
              10-.30AM  Breakout Groups Convene to Discuss Lead Topics
                      Lead Topic:

                      Chairs:
                      Members:
                       EPA:
                  Group #1
                  Topic A:
                  Mode of Action
                  Carol Henry
                  Henry Anderson
                  Carl Barrett
                  Clay Frederick
                  Tore Sanner
                  Jim Swenberg
                  Ron Wyzga
                  Richard Hill
Group #2
Topic B:
Default Assumptions
Marvin Schneiderman
Kim Hooper
Jack Moore
Peter Shields
Leslie Stayner
James Wilson

Jeannette Wiltse
Group #3
Topic C&D:
Dose Response
Colin Park
Murray Conn
Harvey Clewell
Jay Goodman
Tom Starr
Arnold Kuzmack
Group #4
Topic E:
Hazard Identification
Robin Fielder
Sam Cohen
Rory Conolly
Nancy Kim
Jim Klaunig
Bill Pease
JaneTeta
Vanessa Vu

-------
MONDAY  SEPTEMBER  12  (continued)

    12:OOPM  Lunch

    1:30PM  Breakout Groups Reconvene
    3:30PM  Observer Comments to Breakout Groups
    3:45PM  Break

            Plenary Session
    4:OOPM  Preliminary Breakout Group Reports on Lead Topics
            Breakout Group Chairs

    5:OOPM  Observer Comments to Plenary

    5:30PM  Adjourn
TUESDAY  SEPTEMBER 13

            Breakout Group Sessions
    8:30AM  Breakout Groups Convene to Discuss and Respond to Day One Lead Topic Presentations
            (note new topic assignments)
            Second Topic:

            Chairs:

    10:30AM  Break

            Plenary Session
Group #1
Topic £:
Hazard Identification
Carol Henry
Group #2
Topic A:
Mode of Action
Marvin Schneiderman
Group #3
Topic B:
Default Assumptions
Colin Park
Group #4
Topic C&D:
Dose Response
Robin Fielder
    11 :OOAM   Breakout Group Reports Responding to Day One Lead Topics
             Breakout Group Chairs

    12:OOPM   Discussion by Reviewers
    12:30PM   Lunch

-------
  TUESDAY  SEPTEMBER  13  (continued)

               Breakout Group Sessions
       2:OOPM
       5:OOPM
Breakout Groups Reconvene to Summarize and Integrate Comments and Recommendations to the
Agency on Lead Topics
                Group #1                Group #2
Lead Topic:      Topic A:                 Topic B:
                Mode of Action           Default Assumptions
                Carol Henry              Marvin Schneiderman
Chairs:

Adj our n
                                                                             Group #3
                                                                             Topic C&D:
                                                                             Dose Response
                                                                             Colin Park
Group #4
Topic E:
Hazard Identification
Robin Fielder
WEDNESDAY
       9:OOAM
      10:15AM

      10:45AM
      11:45 AM
       12:OOPM
SEPTEMBER 14

Plenary Session
Final Breakout Group Summary Reports and Recommendations
Breakout Group Chairs
 •  Group #1 - Topic A: Mode of Action, Carol Henry
 •  Group #2 - Topic B: Default Assumptions, Marvin Scheiderman
B reak

Final Breakout Group Summary Reports and Recommendations (continued)
Breakout Group Chairs
 •  Group #3 -Topics C & D: Dose Response, Colin Park
 •  Group #4 - Topic B: Hazard Identification, Robin Fielder
Workshop Chair's Summary
Ron Wyzga, Workshop Chair
Adjourn

-------

-------
             APPENDIX D




REVIEWER BREAKOUT GROUP ASSIGNMENTS
                D-l

-------

-------
                  United States
                  Environmental Protection
                  Agency
 Workshop on Cancer Risk Assessment Guidelines Issues

 Reviewer Breakout Group Assignments
 Topics for breakout groups:
    A = mode of action
    B = default assumptions
    C = dose response assessment in the observed range
    &
    D = dose response extrapolation outside the observed range
    E = hazard identification

Lead Topic:
Second Topic:
Chairs:
Members:
EPA:
Group #1
Topic A:
Mode of Action
Topic E:
Hazard
Identification
Carol Henry
Henry Anderson
Carl Barrett
Clay Frederick
Tore Sanner
Jim Swenberg
Ron Wyzga
Richard Hill
Group #2
Topic B:
Default Assumptions
Topic A:
Mode of Action
Marvin Schneidennan
Kim Hooper
Jack Moore
Peter Shields
Leslie Stayner
James Wilson
Jeannette Wiltse
Group #3
Topic C&D:
Dose Response
Topic B:
Default
Assumptions
Colin Park
Murray Cohn
Harvey Clewell
Jay Goodman
Tom Starr
Arnold Kuzmack
Group #4
Topic E:
Hazard
Identification
Topic C&D:
Dose Response
Robin Fielder
Sam Cohen
Rory Conolly
Nancy Kim
Jim Klaunig
Bill Pease
Jane Teta
Vanessa Vu
NOTE:
Lead Topic: Prior to the workshop, each breakout group's primary responsibility was to review the guidelines,
preparing premeeting comments with particular emphasis on their lead topic issues. On site, during the breakout
sessions, the breakout groups will discuss the lead topic in relation to the guidelines and prepare oral and written
summary reports.

Second Topic: On site, on Tuesday, September 13, the breakout groups will reconvene and shift focus to review
another breakout group's Day One summary  (as assigned above).  Each breakout group chair will present a
synopsis of this discussion in a plenary session.
                                                                      ^Printed on Recycled Paper

-------

-------
    APPENDIX E




FINAL OBSERVER LIST
        E-l

-------

-------
x-xEPA
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
       Workshop on Cancer Risk Assessment Guidelines Issues

       Hyatt Regency  Reston
       Reston, VA
       September 12-14, 1994

       Final Observer List
       Ruth Allen
       Environmental Epidemiologist
       U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
       401 M Street, SW (7509C)
       Washington, DC 20460
       703-308-2918
       Fax: 703-305-5147

       John Allshouse
       Staff Engineer
       Everest Consulting Associates
       15 North Main Street
       Cranbury.NJ 08512
       609-655-7426
       Fax: 609-655-5637

       Darryl Arfsren
       Staff Scientist
       Karch & Associates, Inc.
       1701 K Street, NW - Suite 1000
       Washington, DC 20006
       202-463-0400
       Fax: 202-463-0502

       Charles Axten
       Staff Vice President
       Health, Safety &
       Environmental Affairs
       North American Insulation
       Manufacturers Association
       44 Canal Central Plaza - Suite 310
       Alexandria, VA 22314
       703-684-0084
       Fax: 703-684-0427

       Lesa Aylward
       Senior Staff Scientist
       Karch & Associates
       1701 K Street, NW - Suite 1000
       Washington, DC 20006
       202-463-0400
       Fax: 202-463-0502
              Donald Barnes
              Staff Director, Science Advisory Board
              Office of the Administrator
              U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
              401 M Street, SW(A-101)
              Washington, DC 20460
              202-382-4126
              Fax: 202-382-7884

              Leila Barraj
              Statistician
              TAS, Inc.
              1000 Potomac Street, NW
              Washington, DC 20007
              202-337-2625
              Fax: 202-337-1744

              Lisa Barrera
              Senior Vice President
              Barrera Associates, Inc.
              733 15th Street, NW - Suite 1120
              Washington, DC 20005
              202-638-6631
              Fax: 202-638-4063

              James Barter
              Halogenated Solvents
              Industry Alliance
              2001 L Street - Suite 506A
              Washington, DC 20036
              202-775-0232
              Fax: 202-833-0381

              Jim Barter
              Manager, Industrial Hygiene &
              Health Toxicology
              PPG Industry
              One PPG Place
              Pittsburgh, PA 15272
              412^34-2801
             Fax: 412-434-2137
 David Bayliss
 Epidemiologist
 Human Health Assessment Group
 Office of Research & Development
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (8602)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-6765
 Fax: 202-260-3803

 Richard Belzer
 Economist
 U.S. Office of Management & Budget
 New Executive Office Building
 Room 10202
 Washington, DC 20503
 202-395-3084
 Fax: 202-395-7285

 Gershon Bergeisen
 Health Science Advisor
 Superfund Branch
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (5204G)
 Washington, DC 20460
 703-603-8816
 Fax: 703-603-9104

 Martin Bernstein
 Manager, Toxicology
 CIBA
 Ardsley.NY 10502
 914-479-2765
 Fax: 914-478^.839

 Matthew Bogdanffy
 Manager, Biochemical Toxicology &
 Risk Analysis
 Dupont
 P.O. Box 50
Newark, DE 19714
302-366-5011
Fax: 302-366-5003
                                                                            ) Printed on Recycled Paper

-------
 John Bowers
 Mathematical Statistician
 U.S. Food & Drug Administration
 200 C Street, SW
 Washington, DC 20204
 202-205-5065
 Fax: 202-260-0891

 Daniel Boyd
 President
 Daniel T. Boyd & Company
 505 Wye Hall Drive
 Queenstown, MD  21658
 410-827-6244
 Fax: 410-827-7589

 Eletha Brady-Roberts
 Environmental Scientist
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 26 West Martin Luther King Drive
 Cincinnati, OH 45268
 513-569-7662
 Fax: 513-569-7916

 Nancy Bryson
 Corwell & Moring
 1001 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
 Washington, DC 20004
 202-624-2529
 Fax:202-628-5116

 Gary Burin
 Toxicologist
 Technology Sciences Group
 1101 17th Street, NW - Suite 500
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-828-8980
 Fax: 202-872-0745

 William Burnam
 Branch Chief, Science Analysis Branch
 Health Effects Division
 Office of Pesticide Programs
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW
 Washington, DC 20460
 703-305-7491
Fax: 703-305-5147

William Butler
British Institute for
Biological Research
P.O. Box 8598
Philadelphia, PA 19101
215-739-4499
Fax: 215-423-9210
 Daniel Byrd
 President
 CTRAPS
 400 Virginia Avenue, SW
 Suite C-l 10
 Washington, DC 20024
 202-554-0807
 Fax: 202^84-6019

 Paul Gammer
 President
 Cammer & Associates
 2000 L Street, NW - Suite 730
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-223-5904
 Fax: 202-223-5979

 Lee Casey
 Attorney
 Hunton & Williams
 2000 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
 9th Floor
 Washington, DC 20006
 202-955-1564
 Fax: 202-778-2201

 Gail Charnley
 National Research Council
 2101 Constitution Avenue, NW
 Washington, DC  20418
 202-334-2689
 Fax: 202-334-2752

 Ruth Chen
 Encotech
 3985 Research Park Drive
 Ann Arbor, MI 48108
 313-761-1389
 Fax: 313-761-1034

 William Chen
 Global Risk Assessment Manager
 DowElanco
 9330 Zjonsville Road
 Indianapolis, IN 46268-1054
 317-337-3462
Fax: 317-337-4966

Mark Churchill
Legal Assistant
Crowell & Moring
 1001 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20004-2595
202-624-2953
 David Clarke
 Chief Editor
 Risk Policy Report
 Inside EPA
 1225 Jefferson Davis Highway
 Suite 1400
 Arlington, VA 22202
 703-416-8564
 Fax: 703-416-8543

 Eric Clegg
 Reproductive Toxicologist
 Office of Research & Development
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-8914
 Fax: 202-260-8719

 Charles  Cochran
 Attorney
 Arnold & Porter
 1200 New Hampshire Avenue, NW
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-872-5716
 Fax: 202-872-6720

 Jim Cogliano
 Statistician/Branch Chief
 Human Health Assessment Group
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (8602)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-2575
 Fax: 202-260-3803

 Marian Copley
 Section Chief, Toxicology Branch
 Health Effects Division
 Office of Pesticide Programs
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (7509Q
 Washington, DC 20460
 703-305-7712
 Fax: 703-305-5147

 Steven Cragg
 ToxTemps
 22626 Glenn Drive - Suite 303
 Sterling, VA 20164
703-709-8191
Fax: 703-709-8192

-------
  Thomas Crisp
  Biologist
  Office of Research & Development
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW (8602)
  Washington, DC 20460
  202-260-3860
  Fax: 202-260-8719

  Kowetha Davidson
  Scientist
  Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  1060 Commerce Park (MS-6480)
  Oak Ridge, TN 37830
  615-574-7799
  Fax: 615-574-9888

  Kerry Dearfield
  Supervisory Pharmacologist
  Health Effects Division
  Office of Pesticide Programs
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW (7509C)
  Washington, DC 20460
  703-305-6780
  Fax: 703-305-5453

  Elizabeth Doyle
  Toxicologist
  Office of Pesticide Programs
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (7509C)
 Washington, DC 20460
 703-305-2722
 Fax: 703-305-5453

 Julie Du
 Toxicologist
 Office of Water
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (4304)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-7583
 Fax: 202-260-1036

 Paul Dugard
 Regulatory Affairs Manager
 ICI Americas, Inc.
 3411 Silverside Road - P.O. Box 15391
 Wilmington, DE 19850
 302-887^344
 Fax: 302-887-7706

 Clifford Ekombe
 Zeneca
 Alderley Park Macclesfield
 Cheshire SK 10 4TJ
 England
 62-55-15456
Fax: 62-55-82897
  Reto Engler
  Senior Science Advisor
  Health Effects Division
  Office of Pesticide Programs
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW (H7509C)
  Washington, DC 20460
  703-308-7328
  Fax: 703-305-5147

  Toni Fedorowski
  Senior Manager, Regulatory Services
  Church & Dwight Company, Inc.
  469 North Harrison Street
  Princeton, NJ 08540
  609-683-5900
  Fax: 609-497-7168

  Penny Fenner-Crisp
  Deputy Director
  Office of Pesticide Programs
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (7501C)
 Washington, DC 20460
 703-305-7092
 Fax: 703-305-6244

 John Festa
 Senior Scientist
 American Forest & Paper Association
 1111 19th Street, NW- Suite 800
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-463-2587
 Fax: 202-463-2423

 Karl Gabriel
 Consultant
 British Institute for
 Biological Research
 P.O. Box 8598
 Philadelphia, PA 19101
 215-739-4499
 Fax: 215-423-9210

 Glenn Gamber
 Pesticides and Toxic Chemical News
 1101 Pennsylvania Avenue,SE
 Washington, DC 20003
 202-544-1980

 Laura Giese
 Project Scientist
 Environmental Resources
 Management, Inc.
 855 Springdale Drive
Exton.PA 19341
610-524-3784
Fax: 610-524-7798
  Carol Gillis
  Associate Toxicologist
  ChemRisk
  Stroudwater Crossing
  1685 Congress Street
  Portland, ME  04102
  207-774-0012
  Fax: 207-774-8263

  George Gray
  Scientist
  Harvard Center for Risk Analysis
  718 Huntington Avenue
  Boston, MA 02115
  617-432-4341
  Fax: 617-432-0190

  Stanley Greenfield
  Senior Vice President
  Systems Applications International
  101 Lucas CaUey Road
  San Rafael, CA 94903
 415-507-7100
 Fax: 415-507-7177

 David Hanson
 Head, Washington News Bureau
 Chemical & Engineering News
 1155 16th Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-872-4495
 Fax: 202-872-8727

 John Hanson
 Attorney
 Beveridge & Diamond
 13501 Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20005
 202-789-6000
 Fax: 202-789-6190

 Frank Hawk
 Manager, Toxicological Services
 Borden, Inc.
 1105 Schrock Road - Suite 401
 Columbus, OH  43229
 614-431-6615
 Fax:614-431-6611

 Sara Henry
 Toxicologist
 U.S. Food & Drug Administration
 200 C Street, SW (HFS308)
Washington, DC 20204
202-205-8705
Fax: 202-205-4422

-------
 Karen Hentz
 Senior Staff Scientist
 Karch & Associates
 1701 K Street, NW - Suite 1000
 Washington, DC 20006
 202-463-0400
 Fax: 202-463-0502

 Luis Hernandez
 Senior Research Associate
 Barrera Associates
 733 15th Street, NW - Suite 1120
 Washington, DC 20005
 202-638-6631
 Fax: 202-638-4063

 Oscar Hernandez
 Chief, Chemical Screening &
 Risk Assessment Division
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW
 Washington, DC  20460
 202-260-3442
 Fax: 202-260-1216

 Thomas Hesterberg
 Senior Toxicologist
 Schuller International, Inc.
 P.O. Box 625005
 Littleton, CO  80162-5005
 303-978-3831
 Fax: 303-978-2358

 Charlie Hiremath
 Human Health Assessment Group
 Office of Health Effects Assessment
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (8602)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-5725
 Fax: 202-260-3803

 Karen Hogan
 Statistician
 Health Effects Division
 Office of Pollution Prevention & Toxics
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW
Washington, DC 20460
202-260-3895
Fax: 202-260-1279

VidtiHutson
Project Director
 Abt Associates Inc.
4800 Montgomery Lane
Hampden Square - Suite 500
 Bethesda,MD 20814-5341
 301-913-0500
 Fax: 301-652-7530
 Stephanie Irene
 Deputy Director
 Health Effects Division
 Office of Pesticide Programs
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (H7509C)
 Washington, DC 20460
 703-305-5004
 Fax:703-305-5147

 Cindy Jengeleski
 Manager, Scientific Programs
 American Industrial Health Council
 2001 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
 Suite 760
 Washington, DC 20006
 202-833-2183
 Fax: 202-833-2201

 Jennifer Jinot
 Toxicologist
 Human Health Assessment Group
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401M Street, SW (8602)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-2575
 Fax: 202-260-3803

 Larry Kaiser
 Graduate Assistant
 Georgetown University
 1020 North Quincy Street
 Apartment 706
 Arlington, VA 22201
 703-524-2765

 AlanKatz
 Executive Director
 Technical Assessment Systems, Inc.
 1000 Potomac Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20007
 202-337-2625
 Fax: 202-337-1744

 Susan Keane
 Abt Associates, Inc.
 4800 Montgomery Lane
Hampden Square - Suite 500
 Bethesda,MD 20814
 301-913-0505
Fax: 301-652-7530

 Anson Keller
EA Engineering & Science Technology
 8401 Colesville Road - Suite 500
 Silver Spring, MD 20910
301-565-4216
Fax: 301-587-4752
 John Keller
 Senior Scientist
 Apex Environmental, Inc.
 15850 Crabbs Ranch Way - Suite 300
 Rockville,MD 20855
 301-417-0200
 Fax: 301-975-0169

 JimKnaak
 Halogenated Solvents
 Industry Alliance
 2001 L Street - Suite 506A
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-775-0232
 Fax: 202-833-0381

 John Kneiss
 Senior Manager
 Synthetic Organic Chemical
 Manufacturers Association
 1330 Connecticut Avenue, NW
 Suite 300
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-822-6766
 Fax: 202-659-1699

 Aparna Koppikar
 Epidemiologist
 Human Health Assessment Group
 Office of Research & Development
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (8602)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-6765
 Fax: 202-260-3803

 James Lamb
 Vice President
 Jellinek, Schwartz & Connolly, Inc.
 1525 Wilson Boulevard - Suite 600
 Arlington, VA 22209
 703-527-1670
 Fax: 703-527-5477

 Sandra Lang
 Director, National Toxicology
Program Liaison Office
National Institute for
Environmental Health Sciences
P.O. Box 12233
Research Triangle Park, NC 27709
919-541-0530
Fax: 919-541-0295

-------
 Frank Letkiewicz
 Senior Project Manager
 Abt Associates, Inc.
 4800 Montgomery Lane
 Hampden Square - Suite 500
 Bethesda, MD 20814
 301-913-0521
 Fax: 301-652-7530

 Steven Lewis
 lexicologist
 Exxon Biomedical Sciences
 Mettlers Road (CN2350)
 East Millstone, NJ 08875-2350
 908-873-6063
 Fax: 908-873-6009

 Yi-Jong Lin
 Senior Research Associate
 Colgate Palmolive Company
 909 River Road
 Piscataway, NJ 08855
 908-878-7793
 Fax: 908-878-7844

 Bertram Litt
 Litt Associates
 3612 Veazey Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20008
 202-686-0191
 Fax: 202-686-0194

 Janice Longstretch
 Risk Program Director
 Water Policy Institute
 555 Quince Orchard Road - Suite 600
 Gaithersburg,  MD 20878-1437
 301-990-3034
 Fax: 301-990-1650

 Po-Yung Lu
 Head, Biomedical & Environmental
 Information Analysis
 Oak Ridge National Laboratory
 1060 Commerce Park (MS-6480)
 Oak Ridge, TN 37830
 615-574-7803
 Fax: 615-574-9888

 I.Lusis
 Senior Staff Scientist
 Lockheed Environmental Systems &
 Technology Company
 1901 North Fort Myer Drive - Suite 305
 Arlington, VA 22209
 703-516-9091
Fax: 703-516-9050
 Elizabeth M argosches
 Chief, Quantitative Methods
 Health Effects Division
 Office of Pollution Prevention & Toxics
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-1511
 Fax: 202-260-1279

 Keith Matthews
 Attorney
 Weinberg, Bergeson & Neuman
 13001 Street, NW - Suite 1000W
 Washington, DC 20005
 202-962-8585
 Fax: 202-962-8599

 Mark Mayes
 ARCO Chemical Company
 16 Campus Square Boulevard
 Room 327
 Newtown Square, PA 19073
 610-359-4855
 Fax: 610-359-4865

 John McCarthy
 Vice President
 National Agricultural
 Chemicals Association
 1156 15th Street, NW - Suite 400
 Washington, DC  20005
 202-872-3876
 Fax: 202-463-0474

 Robert McGaughy
 Senior Scientist
 Office of Research & Development
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401M Street, SW (8602)
 Washington, DC  20460
 202-260-5889
 Fax: 202-260-3803

 Jane Moody Rachal
 Chief Editor
 Inside EPA
 1225 Jefferson Davis Highway
 Suite 1400
 Arlington, CT 22202
 703-416-8536
 Fax: 703-416-8543

 Ronald Mull
 Senior Regulatory Toxicologist
 Dupont
 Barley Mill Plaza - P.O. Box 80038
Wilmington, DE  19880-0038
 302-992-6272
Fax: 302-992-6470
 Daniel Mulveny
 Research Assistant
 Karch & Associates
 1701 K Street, NW - Suite 1000
 Washington, DC 20006
 202-463-0400
 Fax: 202-463-0502

 W.C. Norman
 Partner
 Patton Boggs
 2550 M Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20037
 202-457-5270
 Fax: 202-457-6315

 Edward Ohanian
 Chief, Human Risk Assessment Branch
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-7571
 Fax: 202-260-1036

 Steve Olin
 Deputy Director
 Risk Science Institute'
 International Life Sciences Institute
 1126 16th Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-659-3306
 Fax: 202-659-3617

 Mary Paxton
 American Petroleum Institute
 1220 L Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20005
 202-682-8338
 Fax: 202-682-8270

 Dan Pedersen
 Regulatory Engineer
 American Water Works Association
 1401 New York Avenue - Suite 640
 Washington, DC 20005-2102
 202-628-8303
 Fax: 202-628-2846

 Hugh Pettigrew
 Section Head, Statistics Section
 Health Effects Division
 Office of Pesticide Programs
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
401 M Street, SW
Washington, DC  20460
703-305-7491
Fax: 703-305-5147

-------
 Whang Phang
 Office of Pesticide Programs
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (H7509C)
 Washington, DC 20460
 703-305-6121
 Fax: 703-305-5147

 Sheldon Pine
 General Counsel
 North American Insulation
 Manufacturers Association
 44 Canal Central Plaza - Suite 310
 Alexandria, VA 22314
 703-684-0084
 Fax: 703-684-0427

 Tim Powers
 Statistician
 Roth Associates
 6115 Executive Boulevard
 Rockvffle, MD 20852
 301-770-4405
 Fax: 301-770-9248

 Terry Quill
 Attorney
 Beveridge & Diamond
 13501 Street, NW
 Washington, DC  20005
 202-789-6061
 Fax: 202-789-6190

 Gerhard Raabe
 Director, Epidemiology &
 Medical Information Services
 Mobil Oil Corporation
 P.O. Box 1038
 Princeton, NJ 08543-1038
 609-737-6122
 Fax: 619-737-6140

 Alan Raul
 Attorney
 Beveridge & Diamond
 13501 Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20005
 202-789-6000
 Fax: 202-789-6190

 German Reyes
 Senior Analyst
 Office of Technology Assessment
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20510-8025
202-228-6851
Fax: 202-228-6833
 Esther Rinde
 Manager, Cancer Peer Review
 Health Effects Division
 Office of Pesticide Programs
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401M Street, SW
 Washington, DC 20460
 703-305-7491
 Fax: 703-305-5147

 Charlie Ris
 Deputy Director
 Human Health Assessment Group
 Office of Research & Development
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW (8602)
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-6765
 Fax: 202-260-3803

 Margaret Rita
 2208 Chestertown Drive
 Vienna, VA 22182
 703-641-5952

 Alan Roberson
 Director, Regulatory Affairs
 American Waterworks Association
 1401 New York Avenue, NW
 Suite 640
 Washington, DC 20005
 202-628-8303
 Fax: 202-628-2846

 Denise Robinson
 Scientific Director
 International Life Sciences Institute
 1126 16th Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-659-3306
 Fax: 202-659-3617

 Ken Rock
 Senior Environmental Engineer
 Scienctech, Lac.
 600 Maryland Avenue, SW - Suite 240
 Washington, DC 20024
 202-488-1464
 Fax: 202-488-1964

 Frank Rogers
 Research Meteorologist
 Mobil Research &
 Development Corporation
 600 Billingsport Road
Paulsboro.NJ 08066
 609-224-3310
Fax: 609-224-3614
 Samuel Rondberg
 Science Advisory Board
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW
 Washington, DC 02460

 Fred Rothwarf
 President
 Applied Technology Enterprises, LTD
 11722 Indian Ridge Road
 Reston, VA 22091
 703-758-0247
 Fax: 703-620-1784

 Margaret Round
 Program Analyst
 Northeast States for Coordinated
 Air Use Management
 129 Portland Street - Suite 501
 Boston, MA 02114
 617-367-8540
 Fax: 617-742-9162

 Dana Sargent
 Toxicologist
 Registration & Regulatory Affairs
 Zeneca Products
 1800 Concord Pike
 Wilmington, DE 19897
 302-886-5549
 Fax: 302-886-1572

 RamaSastry
 Statistician
 U.S. Department of Energy
 1000 Independence Avenue, SW
 (EH-33)
 Washington, DC 20585
 301-903-4664
 Fax: 301-903-8817

 Rita Schoeny
 Associate Director
 Environmental Criteria &
 Assessment Office
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 26 West Martin Lamer King Drive
 Cincinnati, OH 45268
 513-569-7544
 Fax: 513-569-7475

 Cheryl Scott
 Epidemiologist
 Human Health Assessment Group
 Office of Research & Development
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401M Street, SW (8602)
Washington, DC  20460
202-260-6765
Fax: 202-260-3803

-------
  Molly Shaffer
  Attorney
  Swidler & Berlin
  3000 K Street, NW - Suite 300
  Washington, DC 20007
  202-424-7592
  Fax: 202-424-7643

  Betsy Shirley
  Executive Director, Styrene
  Information & Research Center
  Society of Plastics Industry
  1275 K Street, NW - Suite 400
  Washington, DC  20005
  202-371-5299
  Fax: 202-371-1784

  Charles Simmons
  Attorney
  Kilpatrick & Cody
  700 13th Street, NW - Suite 800
  Washington, DC 20005
  202-508-5806
  Fax: 202-508-5858

  Dharm Singh
 Toxicologist
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 401 M Street, SW
 Washington, DC 20460
 202-260-5958
 Fax: 202-260-3803

 Danny Smith
 Manager
 Environmental Risk Management
 Scienctech, Inc.
 600 Maryland Avenue, SW - Suite 240
 Washington, DC 20024
 202-488-1464
 Fax: 202-488-1964

 Jacqueline Smith
 Section Head
 Exxon Biomedical Sciences, Inc.
 Mettlers Road (CN-2350)
 East Millstone, NJ 08875
 908-873-6261
 Fax: 908-873-6009

 Susan Snider
 Assistant Manager
Environmental Affairs
American Forest & Paper Association
 1111 19th Street, NW - Suite 800
Washington, DC 20036
202-463-2589
Fax: 202-463-2423
  Jack Snyder
  Manager, Scientific Affairs
  Society of Plastics Industry
  1275 K Street, NW - Suite 400
  Washington, DC  20005
  202-371-5299
  Fax:202-371-1784

  Clare Stine
  Risk Assessment Forum
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  401 M Street, SW
  Washington, DC 20460

  Robert Tardiff
  Vice President
  EA Engineering & Science Technology
  8401 ColesvUle Road - Suite 500
  Silver Spring, MD 20910
  301-565-4216
 Fax: 301-587-4752

 Edlu Thorn
 Director, Federal Government Relations
 ARCO Chemical Company
 601 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
 Suite 400
 Washington, DC 20004
 202-879-9288
 Fax: 202-879-9287

 David Thomas
 Staff Associate, Environmental Policy
 American Chemical Society
 1155 16th Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20036
 202-872-8724
 Fax: 202-872-6206

 Sara Thurm-RoUin
 Reporter
 The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc.
 123125th Street, NW
 Washington, DC 20037
 202^52-4584
 Fax: 202-452-4150

 Patrick Tracy
 Vice President
 American Portland Cement Alliance
 1212 New York Avenue, NW
 Suite 500
Washington, DC 20005
202-408-9494
Fax: 202-408-9392
  Karl Traul
  Director, Strategic
  Regulatory Toxicology
  Agricultural Research Division
  American Cynmaid Company
  P.O. Box 400
  Princeton, NJ 08543-0400
  609-799-0400
  Fax: 609-275-3578

  Peter Voytek
  Executive Director
  Halogenated Solvents
  Industry Alliance
  2001 L Street, NW - Suite 506A
  Washington, DC 20036
  202-775-0232
 Fax: 202-833-0381

 Ruth Weir
 Technical Program Manager
 Systems Applications International
  101 Lucas Galley Road
 San Rafael, CA  94903
 415-507-7100
 Fax: 415-507-7177

 Anthony Wells
 Medical Director
 Owens Coming Canada
 4100 Yonge Street
 WUlowdale, Ontario M2P2B6
 Canada
 416-484-6760
 Fax: 416-484-6761

 John Whysner
 Executive Secretary
 Environmental Health &
 Safety Council
 American Health Foundation
 One Dana Road
 Valhalla, NY 10595
 914-789-7137
 Fax: 914-592-6317

 John Wilkinson
 Halogenated Solvents
 Industry Alliance
 2001 L Street - Suite 506A
Washington, DC  20036
 202-775-0232
Fax: 202-833-0381

-------
Richard Williams
Chief, Economics Branch
Center for Food Science &
Applied Nutrition
U.S. Food & Durg Administration
200 C Street, SW (HFF-726)
Washington, DC 20204
202-401-6088
Fax: 202-260-0794

Kelli Woodwick
Federal Regional Manager
Valent U.S A. Corporation
1401 I Street, NW - Suite 305
Washington, DC 20005
202-872-4682
Fax: 202-872-4689
                                                       .S. GOWRWWIT W1WTING OfHCC:  IMS • 6SO-00»/00»I

-------