EPA 910/9-82-0891
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Region 10
1200 Sixth Avenue
Seattle WA 98101
            Air & Waste Management Division February 1984
xvEPA     Residential Wood
            Combustion Study

            Task 6
            Control Strategy Analysis

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RESIDENTIAL WOOD COMBUSTION STUDY
             TASK 6
    CONTROL STRATEGY ANALYSIS

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           RESIDENTIAL WOOD COMBUSTION STUDY

                         TASK  6

               CONTROL STRATEGY ANALYSIS
                      FINAL REPORT
                     PREPARED BY:
   Robert L. Gay Ph.D., Consultant  (Task 6 Manager)
               4423 SW Hamilton Terrace
                Portland,  Oregon  97201

                          AND

              William  T.  Green,  President
Solutions for Energy and Environment, Inc.  (SE2, Inc.)
                  1615  NW  23rd  Avenue
                Portland,  Oregon  97210
                 PREPARED  AND EDITED BY:

              DEL GREEN ASSOCIATES, INC.
           ENVIRONMENTAL TECHNOLOGY DIVISION
                1535  N. Pacific  Highway
                Woodburn,  Oregon  97071
         Under Contract  No.  68-02-3566 FROM:

         U.S.  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                       Region X
                   1200 Sixth Avenue
              Seattle,  Washington  98101

                     Task Manager

                    Wayne Grotheer
                      April , 1983

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                      DISCLAIMER




This report has been reviewed by Region 10,  U.  S.  Environmental




Protection Agency, and approved for publication.   Approval




does not signify that the contents necessarily reflect the




views and policies of the U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,




nor does mention of trade names or commercial products constitute




endorsement or recommendation for use.

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THIS REPORT CONSISTS OF SEVERAL DIFFERENT PARTS.

THEY ARE LISTED BELOW FOR YOUR CONVENIENCE.


EPA 910/9-82-089a  Residential Wood Combustion Study
                   Task 1 - Ambient Air Quality Impact
                            Analysis

EPA 910/9-82-089b  Task 1 - Appendices

EPA 910/9-82-089c  Task 2A - Current & Projected Air Quality
                             Impacts

EPA 910/9-82-089d  Task 2B - Household Information Survey

EPA 910/9-82-089e  Task 3 - Wood Fuel Use Projection

EPA 910/9-82-089f  Task 4 - Technical Analysis of Wood Stoves

EPA 910/9-82-089g  Task 5 - Emissions Testing of Wood Stoves
                            Volumes 1 & 2

EPA 910/9-82-089h  Task 5 - Emissions Testing of Wood Stoves
                            Volumes 3 & 4  (Appendices)

EPA 910/9-82-089i  Task 6 - Control Strategy Analysis

EPA 910/9-82-089J  Task 7 - Indoor Air Quality

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                           TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                            page



      Abstract                                                 x

      Executive Summary                                       x-j

      Taole of Contents                                       -j-j

      List of Tables                                          vi

      List of Figures                                       v-j -j -j

  I.  Introduction                                            I_1

      A.  Purpose                                             i_]

      B.  Technical Approach                                  j_2

      C.  Overview of Report                                  1-5

 II.  Leading Examples of Control Strategies Implemented    II-l
      to Reduce Air Pollution Impacts of Residential
      Space Heating

      A.  Great Britain                                     II-l

      B.  New Zealand                                       II-2

      C.  Europe                                            II-4

      D.  Rocky Mountain Region, USA                        II-7

      E.  Medford, Oregon, USA                              II-9

      F.  Portland and Eugene, Oregon, USA                  11-10

III.  A  Control  Strategy Evaluation Process                III-l

      A.  The- Keppner-Tregoe Evaluation Process            III-l

      B.  Selection of MUST and  WANT Criteria              HI-2

      C.  Weighting Factors for  WANT Criteria              IH-6

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                       TA3LE OF CONTENTS (Cont.)

                                                            page

III.   A Control  Strategy Evaluation Process (Cont.)

      D.   Use of MUST and WANT Criteria and                II1-7
          Risk Factors to Evaluate Control  Strategies

      E.   Costs  and Benefits                               III-9

      F.   Matrix Summary of Results                        III-ll

 IV.   Selection  and Evaluation of Initial  RWC               IV-1
      Control Strategy Elements

      A.   Identification of Potential  RWC                    IV-2
          Control  Strategy Elements

      B.   Evaluation (Keppner-Tregoe)  of                    IV-3
          Control  Strategy Elements

  V.   Generic Approaches to Reducing RWC Emissions  -          V-1
      Quantitative Estimates of Emission Reductions
      Achievable

      A.   Improving Burning Unit Design                      V-5

          1.   Improved Design of New Stoves/Furnaces          V-5

          2.   Modifications of- Installed Stoves/Furnaces      V-8

          3.   Improved Design,  or Add-on devices,             V-ll
              for  fireplaces

      B.   Reducing Wood Usage                                V-12

          1.   Reducing Home Heating Requirements -            V-12
              Weatherization

          2.   Improving Wood Fuel  Quality                     V-15

          3.   Direct Restrictions on Wood  Usage               V-22

      C.   Improving RViC Operating Practices                  V-25

          1.   Initial  Selection of Burning  Unit  -Sizing       V-25

          2.   Operating Technique Modifications-               V-27

          3.   Periodic Inspection  of RWC Equipment            V- 29
                                  111

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                      TABLE OF CONTENTS (Cont.)

                                                           page

VI.  Selection and Evaluation of Final RWC Control         VI-1
     Strategies

     A.  Final RWC Control Strategies Selected             VI-1
         for Evaluation

         1.  Stove/Furnace Testing and Certification       vi-2
             as a Prerequisite for Sale or Installation

         2.  Testing/Certification as Prerequisite         VI-4
             for Sale/Installation, Plus Tax Credit

         3.  Testing as Basis for Mandatory Labeling       VI-5
             Prior to Sale

         4.  Testing/Mandatory Labeling,                   VI-6
             Plus Tax Credit

         5.  Testing/Rating by RWC Industry Trade          VI-6
             Association

         6.  Weatherization - All Households               VI~7

         7.  Weatherization - Only Mandatory for           vi-9
             Households Installing Mew Wood Stove/Furnace

         8.  Firewood Moisture Control                     VI-10

         9.  Stove/Furnace Sizing                          VI-11

        10.  Encouraging Larger Firewood Piece Size        VI-12

        11.  Require Fireplaces to Have Underfire          VI-13
             Air Source

        12.  Episode Control                               VI-14

        13.  Research and Development of Improved RWC      VI-14
             Equipment or Operating Procedures

        14.  Encouraging Alternative Fuels                 VI-16

        15.  Periodic Inspection of RWC Equipment          VI-17

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                       TABLE OF CONTENTS  (Cont.)

                                                            page

 VI.  Selection and Evaluation of Final RWC Control
      Strategies (Cont.)

      B.  Keppner-Tregoe Evaluation of Final RWC            VI-19
          Control Strategies - Ranking The Final
          Strategies Using WANT Criteria  and Risk Factors

      C.  Selected Costs and Benefits of  Final RWC          VI-23
          Control Strategies

      0.  Findings and Conclusions                          VI-24

VII.  References                                           VII-1
                              APPENDICES



Appendix A - Keppner-Tregoe Evaluation Process

Appendix B - RWC Control Strategy Elements

Appendix C - Ranking RWC Control Strategy Elements vs WANT Criteria

Appendix D - Estimated RWC Emissions Reduction Potential of
             Generic Control Strategy Approaches

Appendix E - Ranking Final RWC Control Strategies vs WANT Criteria

Appendix F - Selected Costs and Benefits of Final RWC Control Strategies

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                               LIST OF TABLES

                                                                 page

Table A  - Criteria and Weight Factors Used in                   xii
           Keppner-Tregoe Analysis

Table B  - Description of Most Effective Control  Stragegies      xiii

Table C  - Summary of Estimated Costs and Participate            xvi
           Emissions Reduction Benefits for Fifteen RWC
           Emission Control Strategies

Table 1  - MUST Criteria                                        III-3

Table 2  - WANT Criteria                                        111-4

Table 3  - Ranking of RWC Control Strategy Elements              IV-4
           vs WANT Criteria - Regulatory Actions

Table 4  - Ranking of RWC Control Strategy Elements              IV-6
           vs WANT Criteria -
           Market Incentives/Disincentives

Table 5  - Ranking of RWC Control Strategy Elements              IV-7
           vs WANT Criteria - Public  Information/
           Technology Transfer Approaches

Table 6  - General Satisfaction Levels for                       IV-11
           WANT Criteria #4

Table 7  - Comparison of Estimated Particulate Emissions          V-3
           Reductions Achievable by Generic RWC Control
           Strategy Approaches

Table 8  - RWC Emissions Resulting from Six Hypothetical          V-21
           Cases of Wood Moisture Content Control

Table 9  - Fifteen Final RWC Control  Strategies Evaluated       VI-3

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                          LIST OF TABLES (Appendices)
                                                                  page
 Table  Cl   -  Overall  Ranking of Individual  RWC Control              C-2
             Strategy Elements vs All  WANT Criteria

 Table  C2   -  Keppner-Tregoe Scores for Individual  RWC              C-7
             Control  Strategy Elements vs All  WANT Criteria

 Table  Dl   -  Assumed  1980-2000 Baseline RWC Wood Fuel  Use          D-10
             and  RWC  Emissions

 Table  D2   -  Index  Values  for Certified and Non-Certified          D-ll
             Wood Stove/Furnace Use  at Different Control
             Strategy Coverage Rates

 Table  D3   -  Particulate Emissions Reduction  (%)  Achievable        D-15
             at Five  Control  Strategy  Coverage Levels

 Table  04   -  PEDCo  Fireplace  Source  Tests:   Comparison              D-21
             of Underfire  Air and  Electrostatic  Precipitator

 Table  D5   -  Emission Rates  Calculated for  a  Range of               D-29
             Burn Rates Using Butcher  and Del  Green Equations

 Table  D6   -  Emissions Per Day Resulting  from  Changes  In            D-33
             Emissions Rates  Caused  by Changes in  Burn  Rates,
             Calculated Using Butcher  and Del  Green Equations

 Table  D7   -  Total Wood Burned,  Heat and  Emissions  Output           D-34
             During a  Ten-Hour Burn  at Different Burn  Rates

 Table  D8   -  Scheme for Comparing  Relative  Emissions Associated     D-37
             with Two  Overall  Wood Use  Rates

 Table  D9   -  Comparison of Assumptions  and  Resulting Emission       D-44
             Reductions for Two  Scenarios Regarding  the
             Effect of Weatherization

 Table  D10  -  Examples of Variation of  Wood  Fuel Heating Value       D-47
            with Wood Species

 Table  Dll  - Wood Storage  Practices  in  Medford, Oregon -            D-52
             1981  State Survey  Findings

Table  D12  - Wood  Moisture Content Distributions Evaluated          D-56
                                     VI 1

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                      LIST OF TABLES (Appendices) (Cont.)


                                                                 page


Table D13 - Three Assumed Moisture Content vs Combustion          D-60
            Efficiency Curves for Stoves/Furnaces

Table D14 - Reduction in Expected 1990 and 2000 RWC               D-76
            Emissions, If New Stove Installations Were Not
            Allowed After 1984, and 50% Compliance Occurred

Table D15 - Effect of Log Size on Particulate Emission Rates      D-85

Table El  - Fifteen Final RWC Control  Strategies Evaluated        E-l

Table E2  - Keppner-Tregoe Scores for Final RWC Control           E-4
            Strategies vs Twelve WANT Criteria; and Risk
            Factors Assigned



                               LIST OF FIGURES
Figure A  - Summary for Fifteen Final  RWC Control  Strategies       xv
            Evaluted of:  Ranking vs Twelve WANT Criteria,
            and Major Strategy Costs and Benefits

Figure 1  - Application of MUST and WANT Criteria  to              III-8
            Evaluate and Rank RWC Control Strategies

Figure 2  - Assessment of Possible Adverse Consequences of        111-10
            Strategy Implementation; or Risk Factors

Figure 3  - Effect of Wood Moisture Content on Fireplace            V-17
            Combustion Efficiency

Figure 4  - Effect of Wood Moisture Content on Stove/Furnace        V-19
            Combustion Efficiency

Figure 5  - Three Assumed Moisture Content vs Combustion            V-20
            Efficiency Curves for Stoves/Furnaces

Figure 6  - Summary of Fifteen Final  RWC Control Strategies     •   VI-20
            of the Keppner-Tregoe Ranking vs WANT  Criteria,
            and Major Strategy Costs and Benefits
                                    vm

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                      LIST  OF  FIGURES  (Appendices)  (Cont.)
                                                                  page
 Figure Al - Paried Comparison Work Sheet                          A-6

 Figure Dl - Base Case 1970 to 2000 Projection  for  the             D-9
            Portland Metropolitan Area  for Stove/Furnace
            Wood Usage (S),  Fireplace Wood Usage (F), and
            Total Wood Usage (T)

 Figure D2 - General Relationships Assumed Between  Key             D-25
            Wood Burning Variables

 Figure D3 - Two Different Representations of the Relationship     D-28
            Between Burn Rate and Emission Factor

 Figure D4 - Relative Increase or Decrease (%)  in Stove            D-31
            Emission Rates Estimated for an Array of Burn
            Rate Changes Using the Del Green Equation

 Figure D5 - Relative Increase or Decrease (%)  in Stove            D-32
            Emission Rates Estimated for an Array of Burn
            Rates Changes Using the Butcher Equation

 Figure D6 - Effect of Wood Moisture Content on Fireplace          D-49
            Combustion Efficiency

 Figure D7 - Effect of Wood Moisture Content on Stove/             D-55
            Furnace Combustion Efficiency

 Figure D8 - Three Assumed Moisture Content vs Combustion          D-57
            Efficiency Curves for Stoves/Furnaces

Figure D9 - Particulate  Emissions As  A Function of Fuel            D-65
            Moisture

Figure D10 - Albuquerque  Pollution Signal Light                    D-71

Figure El - Potential  Adverse Consequences (Risk Factors)          E-18
            of Implementing  the  Final  Fifteen RWC Control
            Strategies
                                     IX

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                                  ABSTRACT


     This study developed and evaluated a comprehensive list of alter-
native strategies for controlling the ambient air quality impact of
residential  wood combustion (RWC) in the Pacific Northwest.   Over
seventy-five control  strategy elements were initially evaluated, using
a Keppner-Tregoe evaluation process, which included five minimum (MUST)
criteria and twelve desirable (WANT) criteria.  Twenty generic  stragegy
approaches were evaluated, using available published information and
extensive assumptions,  to estimate their potential  ability to reduce  RWC
particulate  emissions.   Based on the findings of these analyses, fifteen
RWC control  strategies  were selected and evaluated  using the Keppner-
Tregoe process.  Rough  estimates of implementation  costs were made.
A matrix summary of the fifteen strategies was prepared showing their
relative ranking based  on all twelve WANT criteria, their estimated
costs, and benefits in  terms of estimated particulate emission  reduction
potential.
                                    X'

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                               EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
      The growth in residential  wood combustion has  been  identified  as  a
 significant contributor to non-attainment of total  suspended  particulate
 ambient standards  in  several  Pacific Northwest cities.   Under the Clean
 Air Act, each State is  required to  prepare a  legally  im-lementable  plan
 for bringing each  non-complying geographical  area  into compliance.   Tradi-
 tionally,  these State-prepared  control  strategies  for particulate have
 foccussed  on industrial  emissions and  have been  successful  in substantially
 reducing the industrial  contributions.   Attention now is  turning towards
 possible control of remaining major particulate  contributors,  including
 residential  wood combustion.  Task  6 examines  and evaluates possible control
 strategies  to reduce  residential wood  combustion emissions.
      Seventy-five  possible control  strategies  were  selected,  including those
 strategies  that have  been  implemented  somewhere  in  the world,  those  suggested
 by  knowledgeable air  pollution  control  agency  personnel,  and  those  suggested
 by  project  members.   A  systematic ranking  system was developed using the
 Keppner-Tregoe  evaluation  process (see  Table A) and each  of the 75 control
 strategies  ranked.  The  fifteen highest  ranking strategies were further
 evaluated as  to costs,  projected emissions  reductions, and significant
 advantages  and  disadvantages.   Table B  describes each of  the  fifteen strategies,
 it's  ranking  and the major  advantages and  disadvantages.   Table C lists the
 estimated costs and total  particulate emission reductions associated with each
 control  strategy.
      The ranking and evaluation process necessarily included two major
 sources  of  uncertainty.   These are the assumptions required to be made
 because  of  lack of data   (costs and projected emission reductions, for example),
 and the  somewhat subjective values assigned during the ranking process.
 Projecting  the  response  to public education programs, public acceptance of
control strategies, and  the political feasibility in passing the necessary
laws, were particularly  difficult to assess clearly.  Any specific control
strategy development would require in-depth analysis of  local  conditions  and
                                     XI

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                                        TABLE A
                            Criteria and Weight Factors  Used
                                           In
                                 Keppner-Tregoe Analysis
             CRITERIA
  MUST Criteria
  1.   Reduce air pollution impacts from RWC
      Meet legal  requirements
2
3

4.
5,
      Widely applicable to  RWC equipment  or
      operating  practices
      Must  not  increase safety hazard
      Can be implemented within  five years,
      unless long-term  benefits  great
WEIGHT FACTOR*

  Mandatory
  Mandatory
  Mandatory

  Mandatory
  Mandatory
 WANT  Criteria
 1.  Reduce average  RWC emissions/household
 2.  Reduce number of  RWC  households
 3.  Widely applicable
 4.  Maximum public  acceptance
 5.  Discourage worst appliances/practices
 6.  Minimum consumer cost
 7.  Uses proven technology
 8.  Minimum circumvention of control measure possible
 9.  Maximum agency  administrative feasibility
10.  Encourages innovative technology
11.  Minimum free market interference
12.  Promotes  conservation/use of renewable resources
     (except wood)
                                                                13
                                                                13
                                                                10
                                                                 9
                                                                 9
                                                                 6
                                                                 5
                                                                 4
                                                                 3
                                                                 2
                                                                 2
                                                                 1
 * These weight factors were calculated  using an  analytic  tool  called
   "paired comparison".  For further details, see Appendix B  of the
   complete report on Task 6.
                                        XI 1

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                                                   TABLE B

                               Description of Most Effective Control Strategies
   Strategy Description
Keppner -  Tregoe

  Rank1 I   Points
               Major Advantage(s)
                                       Major Disadvantage(s'
Mandatory testing/certif-
ication of all  new wood
stoves, with only clean
burning stoves  allowed to
be sold.  Tax credit
(rebate) of $400 to
purchaser.

Mandatory testing/certif-
ication of all  new wood
stoves, with only clean
burning stoves  allowed to
be sold.  No tax credit.

Encourage use of larger
firewood piece  size
through public  education
Mandatory testing and
labeling of all  new wood
stoves by pollution and
efficiency levels, but
all  stoves can be sold.
Tax credit for cleaner
units.

Encourage use of other
fuels by reducing costs
of conventional  fuels,
encourage solar energy
use, restrict availability
of wood.
    1
535
            508
            490
            469
            458
Significant emissions reduction
         Significant emissions  reduction;
         less expensive than above stra-
         tegy
         Inexpensive; public acceptance
         expected  to  be  high since  bigger
         pieces mean  less work split-
         ting wood

         Substantial  public acceptance
         expected; significant emissions
         reductions (but less than  when
         only clean stoves are sold)
         Technology available
Expensive
                                  Lack of public acceptance due
                                  to higher stove costs.
                                  None
                                  Expensive
                                  Encourageing oil  use contrary
                                  to federal policy.  Poor public
                                  acceptance for restricting wood
                                  supplies.  Other heating sources
                                  may not be available or' maybe
                                  too expensive.
 Refer to text for explanation  of  assumptions used during ranking process.

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                                                TABLE B  (Cont.)
   Strategy Description
                             Keppner  -  Tregoe
                              Rank
    1
         Points
              Major Advantage(s)
                                      Major Disadvantage(s)
Government funded research
and development of improved
equipment, operating pro-
cedures, and testing
methods.

Promote proper sizing of
new wood burning units  of
public education and re-
quiring appropriate label-
ing of new units.  Could
limit size with building
permit restriction.

Mandatory testing and
labeling of all new wood
stoves by pollution and
efficiency levels, but
all stoves can be sold.
No tax credits.

Mandatory weatherization
of all households to a
cost effective level
(fuel savings greater
than expense).

Stove testing and rating
by Trade Association.
10
          445
          443
          438
          432
422
         The  lack  of data  currently
         hampering efforts to  evaluate
         control efforts and stove design/
         operating procedures  will be
         deminished.

         Minor cost, good  public  accep-
         tance.   Reduction of  creosote
         and  fire  problems
         Good public acceptance
         Energy conservation  for all
         fuels
High public acceptance.
                                  Specific emissions reductions
                                  are not quantifiable
                                  Slight user inconvenience in
                                  that more frequent charging of
                                  smaller units will be required
                                                     None
                                  Public resistance, expensive
Totally voluntary,  relies on
vigorous implementation by
Trade Associaiton with minimal
return for Trade Association

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                                               TABLE B (Cont.)
   Strategy Description
                            Keppner  - Tregoe
                              Rank
        Points
                       Major  Advantage(s)
                                               Major Disadvantage(s)
Mandatory weatherization
for households buying new
or replacement wood burn-
ing devices to a cost
effective level.

Encourage burning of drier
firewood by public educa-
tion, restricting firewood
gathering to as far in
advance of heating season
as possible, and require
firewood suppliers to
state moisture content.

Voluntary curtailment of
RWC during air pollution
episodes.  Mandatory cur-
tailment required if
voluntary curtailment does
not work.

Annual inspection and main
tenance of woodburning
units, including cleaning
chimney.

Require underfire air  for
new  fireplaces  (building
code or ordinance).
11
411
12
400
13
381
14
321
15
292
Will discourage new woodburning
units
Minimal cost.  Potential for
substantial decrease in emis-
sions
Minimal cost.  Reduction of
emissions during periods of
worst air pollution
Will encourage replacement of
catalysts at appropriate times;
substantial safety  benefits
expected

Inexpensive, substantial reduc-
tion in fireplace emissions
May be perceived as unfairly
affecting one group of people,
Expensive
Public resistance to restricting
times of firewood gathering
Dependent on public cooperation
Effect on annual attainment of
standards unknown
Extremely high resistance from
public ; high expense
 Fireplaces will be used less in
 future,  be a relatively small
 proportion of  emissions

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                                            TAB IE. C*

                   Summary of Estimated Costs  and Particulate  Emissions
                           Reduction Benefits for Fifteen  RWC
                                Emission  Control  Strategies

Control Strategy
1. Mandatory testing/certification.
tax credit
2. Mandatory tes ting/certi flcation ,
no tax credit
3. Encourage use of larger pieces
of firewood
4. Mandatory testing/labeling, tax
credit for cleaner units
5. Encourage use of other fuels
and energy sources
6. Government funded research and
development
7. Promote proper sizing of
wood stoves
8. Mandatory testing/labeling, no
tax credit
9. Mandatory weatherlzatlon - ill
households. Cost effective
10. Stove testing/rating by Trade
Association
11. Mandatory cost effective weatheHza-
tton - new or replacement RWC
households
12. Encourage burning of dry firewood
13. Curtailment of RWC during air
pollution episodes
14. Annual Inspection/maintenance
of installed units
15. Require underflre air for new
fireplaces
Costs
Start-up
5 50.000

$ 50,000

...

J 50,000

UNKNOWN
UNKNOWN
...

$ 50,000

—

S 50,000

...


$ 25.000

...

...

Admin. /Year
$130.000

$130,000

$ 45.000

$160,000



$ 45.000

$130,000

$150.000

$130,000C

$ SO, 000


$ 45.000
$ 8,000

$1 ,000.003

$200,000

Other
$400/un1t
tax credit
...

...

$4 00/unlt
In credit


—

...

$1450 per
household


$1450 per
househol d

:::

-— -

...


1985-
3

2

11.5

1



--

1

—

1

..


6.2
33d

UNKNOWN

—

1990
11

8

11.5

5



7

3

3.5

3

3.5


6.2
33d



1

1995
30

22

11.5

15



--

8

16,4

8

7.0


6.2
33d



—

2000
39

30

11.5

21



10.5

11

—

11

—


6.2
33d



2


1985*
$180,000/1*

$ 70,000/1

$ 3,900/1

$570.000/1*



—

$140.000/1

	

$140.000/1

...


$ 7.300/1
$ 400/1'



—


1990
$48.600/1*

$16,900/1

$ 3,900/X

$113,000/1*



$ 6.400/1

$ 45,000/1

$ 9,100/Ib

$ 45,000/1

J 14 .300/1*


$ 7 .300/1
5 400/1'



$200.000/1


1995
$17 .800/1*

$ 6,100/1

$ 3,900/1

$37,500/1*



	

$16.700/1

$21.400/Ib

$16,700/1

$ 7.100/lk


$ 7.300/1
$ 400/ld



	


2000
$13.700/1*

$ 4,400/1

$ 3,900/1

$16.800/1*



$ 4.300/1

$12,000/1

...

$12.000/1

—


$ 7,300/1
$ 40o/rd



$100.000/1

* Assume 1980 as  base year.
a Assume 1000 new wood stoves/year.

b Fuel savings exceed cost of weatherization.  Annual costs only for
  administrative  expenses.

c Costs paid by private sector.

d Reduces participate emissions only during episodes.  Effect on annual TSP
  levels unknown.
* Refer to text for discussion of assumptions used in arriving at estimated
  costs and participate  reductions.
                                             XVI

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re-evaluation of these control strategies.  However, this study should assist
control agency personnel in the'initial selection of possible control  strategies
for further evaluation'.
Best Emissions Reductions
     The two strategies which ranked highest also provide the highest
percentage reduction in RWC particulate emissions-- 39% and 30% respectively,
by the year 2000.  Both involve mandatory testing/certification and pro-
hibition of the sale of wood stove/furnace models which can't comply with
government emission standards (<5 g/kg suggested standard).
     This strategy approach is very effective over time in lowering emissions,
as these new units replace existing stoves/furnaces which emit, on the
average, four times as much particulate pollution.   This approach requires
years for its maximum benefits to accummulate.
     Both strategies restrict consumer choices dramatically, which could
produce public opposition, if such limitations are perceived to have caused
the price of remaining stoves to rise unreasonably.  To help avoid this, the
top ranked strategy includes a financial  incentive (33% tax credit estimated
at $400/unit in 1984).  This in turn makes this the most expensive strategy
of all  those reviewed, with likely annual  costs (tax revenues foregone)  in
the millions of dollars for a program on  statewide scope.
     Such costs appear to be appropriate  and manageable.  For example, Oregon
has spent hundreds of millions of dollars  over the last decade in pollution
control  tax credits for industrial  control  equipment.   The growing evidence
that RWC particulate emissions approach or surpass  those of industrial  sources
in many cases (e.g., Portland, Oregon)  argues strongly for shifting some
pollution control  tax credit resources  to  address RWC.
     Another potential  hurdle in implementing the testing/certification
approach are possible difficulties  in enacting legal  authority to prohibit
commercial  sales  of non-certified burning  units.
Least Cost Emission Reductions
     Based on the  analyses and assumptions  in this  report,  a  group of
strategies emerge  which potentially  offer  significant  RWC emissions reductions,
                                   xvn

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 with  minimal  cost  and  inconvenience,  and  high  public acceptance.  The strategies
 with  their  estimated RWC  emissions  reductions  in  parenthesis include:
 encouraging  larger firewood  piece size  (11.5%), encouraging use of firewood with
 an  appropriate moisture content  (6.2%), encouraging use of properly sized
 stoves  (7-10%), and voluntary episode controls (33% or more on episode days).
 All are based on public education.  The first  three could be implemented
 jointly with  annual administrative costs  that  are modest (estimated less than
 $100,000 in Appendix F).  The combined emissions  reductions of these three
 strategies is 23%  by about 1990  [(1.0 - .062)(1.0 - .115)(1.0 - .07)  = .773.
      However, it should be noted that the equations used to estimate emissions
 reductions from all three strategies are  based on limited lab tests by a
 single researcher  (different in  each case), although the general  phenomena
 may have been observed by several reseachers.  These strategies are thus prime
 candidates for further research  to determine whether they really do offer the
 most  cost-effective RWC controls.
 Research and  Development
      Despite  the fact that no emission reduction estimate could be made for
 this  strategy, it still ranked highly (5th overall) in  the Keppner-Tregoe
 process.  It  is the key which could open the door to emission  reductions
 from  a wide range of strategies.   This point is illustrated in  the section
 above which discusses educational strategies to change  operating practices.
 These strategies may well  be the  most cost-effective strategies for reducing
 RWC emissions over the  next 10-20 years, but additional  research is  needed to
 verify this and to evaluate improvements in stove operation and design.
      Of all  research and  development funding categories,  the  greatest  need
appears to be for the development of simpler and  less expensive emission
measurement techniques  for RWC.   This not only would facilitate testing/cer-
                                                                      »
 tification and testing/labeling  strategies, but would a-lso help researchers
 evaluate how RWC emissions are affected by key variables  such  as  moisture
content, piece size, and  charge  size.
Emissions  Testing/Labeling Strategies
     Three  strategies requiring testing/labeling  of woodburning devices  for
                                  xvm

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 efficiency and emissions ranked 4th, 8th, and llth respectively in  the overall
 ranking.   All -offer potential  significant emissions reductions  by  1990-2000.
 The largest reduction occurs with a significant financial  incentive (33% tax
 credit) which also greatly increases the program costs.
      The  emissions reduction benefits are significantly  less  than  those from
 Strategies #1 and #2 which restricted sales  to  clean  burning  units  only.   The
 dramatic  limitation on consumer choice was at once a  major  strength and lia-
 bility for the testing/certification strategies.   The three-testing/labeling
 strategies preserve consumer choice.  In so  doing they are  likely to  be much
 less  effective in promoting the purchase and installation of  stoves emitting
 <5  g/kg.   Even with the tax credit  option, there  are  likely to  be cheaper
 stoves available  with much poorer emission characteristics.
 Weatherization
      The  two  weatherization strategies  (mandatory weatherization for  all
 households and mandatory weatherization  only for  households purchasing
 new stoves) were  ranked 9th and 12th.  Both  were  judged  to  have relatively
 poor  public acceptance  due  to  their  mandatory nature,  and high  initial
 cost  (despite  eventual  "payback"  through fuel savings).
      In the short-term,  weatherization of a  household  does  not yield  an
 emission  reduction  equivalent  to  the  reduction  in  heat (BTU)  requirements,
 because 1) the  operator may continue  to  burn as much wood as  before and
 rely  less  on  conventional  fuels,  2)  the  operator may burn at a slower burn
 rate  with  a higher  emission  factor, and  3) most operators will not  immediately
 replace their  existing  stove with a smaller  less-polluting unit.  Most  of the
 short-term reduction  is  due  to  burning on fewer days since better insulated
 houses have to  be heated on  fewer days.
      In the longer  term, when the owner of a  weatherized  home replaces his
 existing stove, additional emission reduction benefits may occur,  if an
 education program cnoviences him to purchase  a smaller stove,  which can be
operated in a  manner that generates  lower particulate  emissions.
 Public Acceptance
     The strategies rated most acceptable to  the public at  large and to RWC
                                    xix

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 households  in  particular  generally were those involving the least incon-
 venience and/or costs.  For example, the strategy encouraging larger firewood
 piece size  ranked third overall, with the highest possible scores in "public
 acceptance" and "minimizing consumer costs".  It costs individuals nothing,
 and  reduces the work of splitting wood, while affording significant (11.5%)
 estimated emissions reductions.
     The labeling strategies ranked next highest in public acceptance.   They
 provide information which helps the consumer choose a new stove,  without
 limiting his choices or raising stove prices.  The version with a subsidy
 (tax credit) ranked highest of these three.
     Ranking similarly high in public acceptance were encouraging use  of low
 moisture firewood and proper stove sizing.   Both provide information and rely
 on voluntary compliance with little or no enforcement pressures (stove  sizing
 could involve an installation permit review process).  Episode  controls which
 ranks almost as high in public acceptance,  also  would rely on voluntary com-
 pliance except under very severe pollution  levels.  Research and  development
 easily ranks high in public acceptance, offending no one.
 no one.
 Lowest Ranked Strategies
     The strategies which ranked last under  the  Keppner-Tregoe  analysis were
 fireplace underfire air and periodic inspection.   Fireplace underfire air
 has been reported to reduce emissions by 40%, but this is  based on a single
 lab test.   This strategy does not address the largest category  of RWC emis-
 sions at all -- stove emissions --  and  it applies only to  new fireplaces.
 It was  not assumed to have high public  acceptance.
     Periodic inspection,  although  it has significant safety benefits,  was
 not assumed to have any certain emission reduction  benefits in  most cases.
                                                    •
 The inspection strategy appeared likely to  have  emission reduction potential
only in  areas with either  1)  a high  fraction  of  catalyst stoves (catalyst
 lifetimes  are about two years), 2)  a  high fraction  of new  technology high
 efficiency units  (more sophisticated  units may be more likely to  need main-
tenance  to maintain high performance),  or 3)  a limited number of  stove  models,
                                    xx

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since inspections then would have greater potential  for recognizing  rela-
tively poor performance and maintenance needs.   Periodic  inspections  were
assumed to have poor public acceptance.
Stove Modifications or Add-on Devices for Existing Stoves
     This area of emission reduction was initially evaluated  but  was  not
included in the more detailed analysis for several  reasons.   Data generally
is lacking or not conclusive in supporting the  effectiveness  of add-on
devices (such as catalysts) or stove modifications (such  as lining stoves
with firebrick).  Other concerns included the cost,  and the long-term effec-
tiveness of control  measures.
Zoning Restrictions Prohibiting New Wood Stoves in Specific Areas
     This approach has been used in other areas,  but was  rejected for the
Pacific Northwest because of the expected and insurmountable  public  resistance,
                                    xxi

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                            j^	liiTKOCUCTION

       This section aescribes:   the purpose of the analyses conducted
 under Task 6 (Section A);  a summary of the technical  approach used
 in  selecting and evaluating control strategies (Section B);  and,  an
 overview of the organization of the rest of this report (Section  C).

 A.   PURPOSE;

       The primary purpose  of Task  6 is to develop and evaluate  a  com-
 prehensive list of reasonable  alternative strategies  which could  be
 applied  in the  Pacific  Northwest to control  the  ambient air  quality
 impact of residential wood combustion  (RWC).
       Many potential  RWC controls  were considered,  including some  which
 are  admittedly  costly,  politically controversial,  or  otherwise  difficult
 to implement.   The intent  was  to be as comprehensive  as reasonably
 possible  in the selection  of control strategy elements  for initial
 evaluation.  The  ultimate  objective was to evaluate a list of RWC
 control  strategies which represented the major options  for controlling
 RWC  pollution available today.
       It  was emphatically  not  the  intent of this  study  to  discourage
 RWC  per  se,  but rather to  identify the most potentially effective  ways
 to minimize  its pollution  impact.   This  should be remembered when
 reviewing  the (Keppner-Tregoe)  evaluation  process itself,  which contains
 criteria  that may,  at first glance, appear to  be  supportive  of such
 outcomes  as  "reducing the  number of RWC  households".  This criteria
 seemed fundamentally appropriate in evaluating the potential effects
 of a given  strategy - asking in effect,  "to what extent will this
 strategy  discourage new RWC households,  or encourage existing RWC
 households to discontinue  RWC?"  Also  only one of the final strategies
considered was designed to intentionally reduce the number of RWC
 households, by encouraging use of conventional fuels like,  oil,  gas,
and electricity.  This too seemed a necessary inclusion in  any com-
prehensive consideration of RWC control strategies.
                                  1-1

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b.  SUMMARY OF TECHNICAL APPROACH

      Leading examples of RWC control  strategies implemented elsewhere
were researched and described,  using  literature reviews and personal
contacts with knowledgeable  individuals.
      3ased on the information  obtained from all sources, an initial
list of about 75 potential control strategy elements was assembled
(Appendix A).  A number of these were  not necessarily considered
feasible, but were included  for comprehensiveness.  The strategies
considered were grouped in the  following categories:

1.  Strategies to reduce emissions by  improved burning unit design;
2.  Strategies to reduce emissions by  reducing wood usage, and;
3.  Strategies to reduce emissions by  improving on operating procedures
    for wood burning appliances.

Within these categories, strategies were organized by methods of
achieving the strategies, including:

1.  Regulations requiring compliance with various wood burning rules.
2.  Market incentives to achieve the strategies.
3.  Information distribution/technology transfer to speed development
    and implementation of strategies.

      The Keppner-Tregoe decision analysis process was used to evaluate
and rank the comprehensive list of proposed strategy elements.  For
this process, MUST and WANT criteria were developed, which represented
strategy characteristics considered essential  and desirable, respec-
tively.   WANT criteria were weighted according to their relative
importance,  using a method of paired comparison.
      The full  Keppner-Tregoe evaluation consisted of three steps.
First,  strategy elements which did not satisfy all  MUST criteria were
eliminated from further consideration.  Second, each strategy element
                                  1-2

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was rated on a scale of  1  -  1U  as  to  how  well  it  satisfied  each  WANT
criteria.  Each rating was niul ti pi i ec  by  the weighting  factor  for  that
UANT criteria.  The resulting scores  were summed  over all WANT criteria
to give a total score reflecting how  well  each  strategy element
satisfied all of the WANT  criteria, simultaneously.  These  total scores
constituted a preliminary  ranking  of  all  the strategy elements as  to
,.''mch were the most effective,  practical  and publicly acceptable.
      T;ie tnirc step in  the  Keppnc-r-Tregoe  process evaluated possible
adverse consequences of  implementing  a  given strategy,  generating  an
"adverse consequence score",  or  risk  factor.  This involved estimating
on a scale of 1 - 10, both the  likelihood of occurrence and the  serious-
ness of the adverse impact;  and  then  multiplying  the two numbers to
obtain an adverse consequences  score.   Adverse  consequences scores
also were summed for each  strategy considered,  but they were not
                                                                      »
subtracted from the scores based on satisfaction  of WANT criteria.
Instead, their magnitude is  noted, and  a  common sense -judgement made
as to whether the adverse  consequences  were serious enough to warrant
changes in the preliminary ranking of  strategies.
      The initial  comprehensive  list  of individual strategy elements
was evaluated using only the first two  steps of the Keppner-Tregoe
process - i.e., without considering risk  factors.  Those strategy
elements which ranked high were given further consideration for
inclusion in the final  list  of RWC strategies evaluated.
      A second analytical  approach to selecting strategies for final
evaluation involved consideration of a  list of  twenty generic
strategy approaches - i.e.,  basic general ways  to reduce RWC emissions,
such as improving  (decreasing) burning  unit emission rates, weatherizing
homes to reduce space heating requirements, wood moisture control,
etc..   Rough estimates  were  developed of  the potential   (particulate)
emissions reductions achievable by these  strategy approaches.  A
summary table of relative emissions reduction potential  was prepared.
      These particular  analyses were often speculative  due to scarcity
of emissions test  data,  and the need to estimate variables such as
                                  1-3

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"'..hot fraction cf the public would be Induced to reduce their firewood
moisture content oy reproving their wood storage practices?"  However,
despite the many assumptions required, this analysis proved valuable
in requiring examination of available test data and fundamental theories
of wood combustion, if, order to estimate possible emission reductions
quaniitatively.
      oasec on all these analyses, a list of fifteen final RWC control
strategies was prepared, which was intended to represent a reasonably
comprehensive range of control options available to regulatory agencies.
Soine of the final strategies were patterned after strategies implemented
in an actual city or region.  Major elements of the final strategies
were selected because of their relatively high estimated emission
reduction potential,or a high ranking in the initial Keppner-Tregoe
evaluation of strategy elements, or a combination of such considera-
tions.  The final strategies selected were kept simple, to enable the
final Keppner-Tregoe analysis to evaluate and rank a range of clearly
discreet approaches.
      Costs and benefits of the final strategies also were estimated
and compared.  Dollar costs, to both public and private sectors, of
implementing each strategy or category of similar strategies, were
considered separately, although cost factors also were included in
some of the WANT criteria used.  The types of costs considered included:
1) public sector:  agency costs to implement a strategy; public costs
to comply with regulatory requirements, or increased consumer costs
for wood burning caused by strategies; and 2) private sector:  costs
to comply with regulatory requirements, or to take advantage of
incentives or meet competition caused by strategies.  These cost
estimates are admittedly rough, but their assumptions and uncertainties
are spelled out, as much as possible.  They also were based where
possible on the experience of established control programs.  Any sig-
nificant benefits associated with particular strategies, in particular
to their effects on RWC emissions also were considered separately,
                                   1-4

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e.g., any improvement in safety factors associated with wood burning
as a result of a strategy to control pollution.  Some benefits such
as promotion of energy conservation, are built into WANT criteria in
the evaluation process.
      A full (3-step) Keppner-Tregoe analysis was performed on the
final fifteen strategies.  The result was a final overall ranking of
the fifteen strategies based on all twelve WANT criteria.  This ranking
was displayed in matrix format along with the costs and benefits
identified for each strategy.  The matrix  summarizes  the  information
developed in this analysis on the relative ability of these fifteen
strategies to reduce RWC air quality impacts with maximum effec-
tiveness, practicality and public acceptance, and minimum cost and
adverse consequences.  Narrative findings and conclusions also are presented.

C.  OVERVIEW OF REPORT

      The remainder of this report is organized as follows:  '

          • Section II describes leading examples of control  strategies
            implemented to reduce the air pollution impacts of
            residential space heating.
          • Section III describes the Keppner-Tregoe process  as it
            was  adapted to evaluate RWC control  strategies.  This
            includes descriptions of the selection of MUST and WANT
            criteria, and the determination of weighting factors for
            WANT criteria.
          • Section IV describes the comprehensive initial  list of
            seventy-five  RWC  control  strategy elements' and its evalu-
            ation using an  abbreviated  Keppner-Tregoe process.
          • Section V describes  the quantitative  estimates  of RWC
            emission reductions  achievable by twenty generic  strategy
            approaches.
                                  1-5

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• Section VI describes the selection and evaluation of fifteen
 final RWC control strategies, using the full Keppner-Tregoe
 process, including the matrix summary of their final
 ranking, costs, and benefits.
• Section VII lists information sources used in this study
 (References).

1 Appendix A describes details of the Keppner-Tregoe process.
 Appendix B describes the individual RWC control strategy
 elements selected for evaluation.
 Appendix C describes and documents the ranking of control
 strategy elements, including the Keppner-Tregoe scores
 of each strategy element versus each WANT criteria.
 Appendix D describes the assumptions and rationale behind
 the quantitative estimates of emission reduction potential
 of generic RWC control  strategy approaches.
 Appendix E describes and documents the Keppner-Tregoe
 evaluation and ranking  of the final fifteen RWC control
 strategies.

 Appendix F describes and estimates the costs  associated
 with  implementation  of  the  final  RWC  control  strategies;
 selected benefits  also  are  discussed.
                       1-6

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              II.  LEADING EXAMPLES OF CONTROL STRATEGIES
             IMPLEMENTED  TO  REDUCE  AIR  POLLUTION  IMPACTS  OF
                       RESIDENTIAL SPACE HEATING
      This section describes leading examples of control strategies
implemented in various places in the world to abate air pollution
problems from residential space heating.  Some of these approaches
were designed to address air pollution problems arising from the use
of solid fuels, such as coal or wood.  Other programs were more general
in that they were concerned vvith any home heating equipment based on
fuel combustion.  Some also were concerned not only with air pollution
emissions, but also safety factors, and the overall energy efficiency
of home heating equipment.  This points up the fact that some basic
RWC control strategy elements - e.g., weatherization, or inspection
of home heating devices - inherently have broader objectives and
benefits than pollution control, alone.  Control of RWC pollution
problems may best be accomplished in efforts which combine the objec-
tives and resources of programs concerned with environmental quality,
fire safety, and energy conservation.
      The following descriptions of control programs are not exhaustive.
It presents leading examples of different approaches tried in various
countries to address a variety of situations.  The descriptions focus
on the general types of regulatory actions, incentives and public
information methods employed which could be used or adopted for control
of RWC air pollution impacts in this country.  The reader is encouraged
to consult the references provided for additional details on these
programs.

A.  GREAT BRITAINlf

      During a 1952 London "fog" episode, 4000 deaths were attributed
to high sulfur dioxide and particulate pollution from residential coal
                                  II-l

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 burning.  This  prompted  the  British  government  to  establish  a  control
 program through  a  1956 British  Clean Air Act  which included  the
 following elements:

       • Establishment of  Smoke  Control  Areas  in  densely  populated  urban
        centers  with heavy coal  burning.
       • In these areas,  residential  coal  burning which produced  smoke
        was prohibited.   Burning was allowed  only  with "smokeless"
        (low smoke) stoves or smokeless  (low  volatiles)  fuels.   These
        v/ere rated by specific  British  standards,  based  on testing
        .-,y a British nationalized firm,  the National Coal ^oara.
       • f\ /O"-: reoate on the  cost of  a smokeless  replacement  coal stove
        was subsidized by the British government.  Additional  subsidies
        were available in the case of extreme economic hardship.

      Since 1956, over fifteen  coal-based smokeless fuels and  eleven
 smokeless coal stoves have been certified for use  in smoke control
 areas.  Today, London has 70% greater December sunshine, better  winter
 visibility, and reduced labor and expense for laundry and house  clean-
 ing.  Active government involvement, and the  stove and fuel  performance
 rating system and standards,  encouraged significant technological
 improvements to occur in  a relatively short time.  The  70% subsidies
 unquestionably accelerated use of the improved stoves  and fuels.
     The standardized emissions  test methods  developed  for coal do
 not capture and measure  much  of the  condensible  organic  emissions.
 This is an especially important  weakness related to RWC,  since  most
 RWC emissions  are organic.
3.  riEW ZEALAND15
      Calm winter nights, and widespread burning of indigenous coal
or wood fuels for domestic heating, contribute heavily to air pollution
                                 II-2

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 levels  In  INCW  Zealand  cities.   For  example,  in iNew Zealand's  largest
 city  (Christchurch )  winter  smoke  levels  frequently exceed  the  World
 Health  Organization's  recommended  goal  of 100-150  yg/m .   (New Zealand
 has no  ambient  air quality  standards.)   Cleaner  burning  fuels  such
 as oil  and  gas  are costly and  less  available.  The government  of  New
 Zealand  has  decided  that people  should  retain  the  option  to  burn  local
 j^c. "i  anc wood fuels, ano has  implements^; Measures  to  'ielp  reduce  its
 adverse  air  pollution  impacts.
      New Zealand's  1972 Clean Air  Act  established air pollution  control
 requi renients for  both  industrial  and  domestic  sources.   Patterned
 closely  on  the  1956  British Clean Air Act,  the ,,ew Zealand Act
 autnor'tzes  local  governments to establish Clean  Air Zones  to control
 domestic smoke  pollution.  Within these  zones  the  local  government
 can apply in total or  in part the following  Clean  Air  Zone provisions:

       •Only approved  domestic fuel burning  equipment  may  be installed
        as  new  or replacement units.
       •Acceptable fuels may be prescribed  - e.g.,  the  sulfur  content
        of domestically burned coal must be £0.5%.
       •Acceptable installation and/or operating practices for domestic
        fuel burning equipment may  be prescribed -  e.g., whether  stoves
        may be  banked  ("airtight" operating  conditions) for overnight
        operation.

      To date only Christchurch City  Council has implemented Clean
Air Zones, and  has applied their provisions  only to new and voluntary
replacement units.  No subsidy is available  to encourage replacement
with cleaner units.
      Standardized testing of appliances  under various burning  pro-
cedures is necessary to support this  regulatory system.  This  was
initially done  (until 1980)  by the privately funded Coal Research
Association, in cooperation  with a government control  agency (Department
of Scientific and Industrial Research).    British testing procedures,
                                  II-3

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,,.uuTMea to suit New Zealand fuels  and  conditions  are  used.  Because
,,ooo burning appliances have increased  their  competition with coal
burning appliances, an independent  laboratory recently  has been con-
tracted for the standardized testing  used  for type-approval of heaters'.
Also a different government agency  (Department of  Health) has set up
rest facilities for basic research  to develop cleaner  burning equip-
,.
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domestic combustion of wood, alone or combined with other fuels like
coal, as alternatives to imported oil and gas fuels are increasingly
sought.
      ^hile regulation of combustion sources of home heating in Europe
has taken diverse forms, the central focus had been on residential
equipment cesign, installation, operating and maintenance.  Most
Lurojean countries have re9ulations requiring inspection and maintenance
of oloc.s and central district scale neatiny equipment, at least once
a year by professional chimney sweeps.  These inspections typically
check not only pollutant emissions, but also safety and efficiency
factors; and clean and adjust the equips.;ent and chimney for optimum
rierforniance.  Such inspection and maintenance is not typically required
for residential scale equipment except under local nuisance procedures
when complaints are received.  Solid fuel fired residential scale equip-
ment is often unregulated, although there is growing interest in it,
as wood and coal fuel becomes increasingly attractive.
      For example, in West Germany federal law requires that residential
scale heating devices fired with solid fuels must either:  1) use smoke-
less (low smoke) fuels; or 2) be designed like a Universal-Dauerbrenner
(slow combustion) stove, which achieves more complete combustion of
volatiles during a down draft design, which forces volatiles to pass
through a flame zone before exiting from the burner.  Inspection of
residential scale solid fuel-fired heating equipment is not required
unless complaints exist.  Larger (block or central district heating)
equipment must be inspected by the district chimney sv/eep once a year,
including an emission test measurement.  For some of the larger equip-
ment, specific participate emission standards exist.
      In Switzerland, no federal environmental protection law exists,
so legal enforcement of emissions limits only could be done through
nuisance complaints.  No emission standards exist for solid fuel fired
equipment.  A federal guideline prohibits trash burning in fireplaces,
and recommends burning dry wood only.  Fire insurance companies require
testing of any heating appliance, mostly for safety factors.  However,
                                  II-5

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carbon  monoxide  emissions  are limited to ll,» by volume for solid fuel
firea equipment.   Larger central  heating plants ;.iust nave annual inspec-
tion and  maintenance  by chimney sweeps.   Austria, like Switzerland,
has relied  on  required  maintenance of larger heating 'equipment rather
than emissions standards.
      In  Sv.eden    a  large  increase in r
-------
 less negative impact  on  air  quality  in  urban  and  suburban  areas,  by
 taking advantage of the  fact that  fewer large fuel  combustion  systems
 can be operated more  efficiently  and far more cleanly  than many  small
 ones in individual homes.  Pollution control  equipment can be  applied
 to the larger units with economies of scale not possible for individual
 horv.e units.
      jeniiiark has limited wood  available for  RWC  and to stoncaro's for
 -.'oocS combustion equipment.
      France has abundant forest resources, and great  potential  for
 expanding its use of  wood as  a  fuel.  France  has  not regulated domestic
 ",ol: , riiel combustion, except for  a  few local  proni j:: ions of v;ooa
 jr cc..-;]  use in clean  air zones  of  some  of  its  larger cities.  Fire
 insurance companies in Paris  increase premiums up to three fold  for
 failure to provide evidence  of  annual inspection  and maintenance.

 D.  ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION, U.S'.A.ld

      Several  Colorado mountain communities (Vail, Aspen,  Telluride,
 Steamboat Springs)  were concerned that  increasing tourism, in which
 they were economically interested, would worsen already aeclimng air
 quality,  primarily due to increased  fireplace use and automobile
traffic.   For  example, the following control measures were implemented
 in Vail,  Colorado:

  -Public education - how to  burn cleanly
  •Voluntary curtailment of  RWC and  driving is requested when CO or
   TSP exceed specified  levels
  •Hew homes, hotels, and restaurants are  prohibited from installing
   more than one stove or fireplace
  •Coal sale or use is banned in the city  limits  (although not in the
   surrounding county were most growth  is  occurring).
  •Devices to improve fireplace efficiency (e.g., excess air)
   are required
  •The City Engineer  may establish design  standards for RWC equipment.
                                   II-7

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      The city of Missoula, Montana,  located  In one of the poorest
ventilated areas in the  country,  has  high  RWC activity levels  and
violations of federal CO  and TSP  ambient air  quality standards.  RWC
was confirmed to be a major source.   As a  result, citizen committees
                                              1P
rccoir.(;,endec the follovmig Rv.'C control measures    in 1921:
 • I'jui i-c tuuciit ion on potential R^C  ifiipacts
 •Voluntary curtailment of RWC and driving requested by media "alert",
                           3            3
  when TSP exceeds 150 yg/m   (or 60 yg/m  of respirable particulates).
 •As of January 1982, mandatory curtailment of wood burning
                           3
  when TSP exceeds 300 yg/m  on an 8-hour basis (since adopted).
 •Establish emission standards for RWC equipment in new construction.
      Technical problems may preclude implementation of some of those
recommendations.  The cost/benefit ratio of training srnoke readers
to conduct opacity tests, or of establishing and enforcing emissions
standards, is questioned by EPA.    EPA contends that it lacks authority
under the Clean Air Act to establish national emission standards for
RWC equipment, similar to those proposed by the Missoula citizens
committee, and that such standards may succeed only in promoting dis-
tributors to sell  their equipment elsewhere, rather than to improve
it.  To the extent that EPA lacks the authority, or desire to regulate
RUC, the most likely areas for development of RwC controls will be
communities like Missoula, Montana or Medford, Oregon, which experi-
ence major RWC impacts, usually because of high RWC levels and
unfavorable meteorological or topographical conditions for pollutant
                                        •
dispersal.  Local  community emissions or ambient standards would not
be precluded, even where state law exempts residential heating from
pollution control  regulation by state agencies.
                                 11-8

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c..
    MLb'r wuLJ, Ji\EGOii
      liedford, Oregon  also  Is  situated  in  a  mountain  valley  with  atmos-
pheric inversions  similar to Missoula,  Montana  in  its  capacity  to trap
and concentrate  air pollutant  emissions.   Studies  by  the  Oregon Depart-
ment of Znvi ronniental  Quality  (DtQ)  have used chemical  fr.ass  balance
          o i.'eesure respirable  particulate and  have measured in,pacts
         of as high as 02 us/in" during  poor  winter ventilation  periods.
Annual average impacts of 20.o yg/m  of respirable particulate  from
RWC ',;erc- recorded  in downtown  Bedford for  a  July 1979  - June 1980
period.  This accounted for 29:i of all  locally  generated  total  par-
ticulatt: and oo'i of all locally generated  (i.e., corrected for  back-
ground levels) respirable particulate.     It is clearly the  major par-
ticulate source  impacting the Medford area, which currently  violates
primary (health  related) particulate standards.
      The Jackson County Commission with planning jurisdiction  for
the entire valley containing Medford and nearby smaller towns,  recently
                                          2
adopted the following RWC control strategy , aimed at eliminating
primary standard violations by July 1984:
 • Firewood Moisture Control - through public education about seasoning
  wood; and encouraging spring firewood cutting at nearby national
  forests, through incentives to individuals and commercial cutters.
  i.eatherization - required, to minimum cost effective levels, to
  install  a new wood stove.  A voluntary goal was set to weatherize
  all  households in the air quality planning area by July 1984, with
  financial  incentives including low interest loans, tax credits and
  help from utilities.  If the primary particulate standard is not
  met  by July 1984, the County will  make weatherization mandatory.
  Episode  Controls - Voluntary curtailment of RWC during Air Stagnation
  Advisories,  unless there is  no alternative heat source.  Mandatory
  curtailment  if TSP exceeds the primary standard (260 yg/m ),  or during
  Air  Stagnation Advisories, if standard is not met by July 1984.
                                 II-9

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 •  Proper  Sizing  of  .lew  ';
-------
have celayed  payback  requirements,   .'.ost  utility  loan:  :,rt-  available
only to  their  customers.
      The  City of  Portland adopted  in  1979  an  Energy  Policy which
requires that  all  residences be  insulated to cost  effective levels
prior to resale, starting  in  1984.   Low interest  (3C';  loans are  avail-
able.  "Cost  effective"  is cefined  as  total coses  of  '.,-eothen zation
and fuel should not exceed fuel  costs  without  ,,
-------
               T T
               i 1
I.   A CONTROL STRATEGY EVALUATION PROCESS
A.  THE KEPPi'lER-TREGOE EVALUATION  PROCESS

      This section describes  how the  Keppner-Tregoe  decision  analysis
       Q i.
process    was adapted to evaluate  proposed  RwC  control  strategy ele-
,i,er;ts or final control strategies,  and  to  rank tlieiii  in  tenis  of  their
overall satisfaction of multiple criteria.   This process involved the
following steps:

      i.  :.^'-'j]^s^. ',,i •'!,.. u;.i require..ients  (I1JST criteria;,  ,:::  •'..,  anj
          ^rCjjuScd /,,,C control  strategy inust  ;,ieei  to  receive  fjrtner
          consideration.
      2.  Establish desirable requirements  (WANT criteria), which make
          any proposed strategy more  effective or  acceptable.
      3.  Determine the relative importance  of the WANT  criteria in
          evaluating strategies (Weighting Factors).
      4.  Evaluate proposed strategies  using  MUST  and WANT  criteria,
          in two steps.  First, screen  out strategies which do not
          satisfy all MUST criteria.  Second, for  remaining strategies
                                               •
          generate a numerical  score  by evaluating how well each
          strategy satisfies each WANT  criteria.   Use scores  to
          tentatively rank all feasible strategies.
      5.  Review strategies to  identify important  adverse consequences
          of implementing them.  If these consequences are  serious
          enough, make changes in the overall ranking of strategies.
      6.  Separately estimate the costs and benefits  of  each  strategy,
          to both the private and public sectors.
      7.  Display the final strategy  rankings, costs, and benefits
          in matrix format.
                                 III-l

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L.   5£LiiCTlLi!-;  Ul-  MUSI  A.'JD  UAi'iT  u'.ITLilln

       In establishing  MUST and  WANT  criteria,  the  following  considera-
tions  were paramount:

       1.  Proposed  K,,'C  control  strategies  must  be  effective  in  reducing,
          air  pollutant  emissions  froi.,  R',.'C activity.   This  is  the first
          priori ty.
       2.  Strategies also  must:
          a.   Meet  Clean Air  Act and  ZPA requirements.
          b.   Conform  to and  support  State Implementation  Plan  (SIP)
               strategies.
          c.   3e  widely  applicable to RWC  appliances  or  practices.
          d.   Be  implementable  within a reasonable time  (preferably
              within a few years).
          e.   Not worsen safety characteristics of using RWC to  heat
               homes.
       3.  Strategies also  should, to  the maximum extent  possible:
          a.   Be  technically  sound.
          b.   Be  administratively feasible.
          c.   Be  acceptable to  the public.
          d.   Help the RWC appliance  industry to itself  encourage manu-
              facture of cleaner burning devices.
          e.   Cost parties affected as  little as possible.

      Tables 1 and 2 summarize the MUST and WANT criteria selected
for use in evaluating proposed RWC control strategies.  Appendix  D
describes the rationale for selecting these particular MUST and WANT
criteria.  The items listed under most WANT criteria  help explain their
intent, and help apply them in scoring strategies.
                                 III-2

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                              riUST Criteria

1.  Reduce RWC air  pollution impacts.
2.  Meet all legal  requirements established by the Clean  Air  Act,  EPA,
    or State regulations,  State Implementation Plans,  or  local
    orcinances.
3.  Le widely  applicable  to HUC appliances and/or practices,  or  be
    particularly effective for a significant category  of  RWC  appliances
    or practices.
     iditstair, safety  faci',r~. '.>? ''.,.C.
d.  ic fully ii.ipler.ientavj 1 -_• ,.,•;':;!: tiie next five years  ...  unless
    'sionificant benefits  car; i/e realized over a longer time frame.
                                  III-3

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                                   TABLE 2
                               WANT Criteria


 1.   Reduce the average air pollution  (mainly particulate) emissions per
     household from  RWC.
 2.   Reduce the number of  households using RWC.
 3.   Widely applicable.
 4.   Maximum public  acceptance.
     -- Minimum hassle to  individual (not cpst)
     -- Acceptable level of regulation (i.e., restriction of personal
       freedom of choice)
     -- General acceptability to various interests
     -- Preferably,  significant support
 5.   Discourage use  of most polluting  RWC appliances/practices.
     -- Financial  disincentives to manufacturers of dirty devices
       (emissions tax)
     — Disincentives for  poor RWC practices - create stigma, through
       media campaign, attached to poor RWC practices ("litterbug"
       analogy)
 6.   Minimize cost to individual  consumers.
     -- Capital and operating costs of RWC appliances
     -- Private sector costs, since these will  be passed on to consumers
     -- Fuel  costs
     -- Financial  Incentives - pollution tax credits, rebates, etc.
 7.   Utilize proven technology.
    -- Technology demonstrated  in practice; minimum research and
       development needed to implement strategy
    -- Low maintenance and repairs needed
8.  Minimum probability of circumvention.
    -- Technology based improvements  are more  guaranteed
    -- Behavior based improvements are less  certain
                                   II1-4

-------
                                 TABLE  2  (Cont.)
 9.  Maximum administrative  feasibility for regulatory agencies.
     -- Minimum agency cost  to regulate RWC
     -- Implementation ASAP  (within 3-5 years)
     -- Documentable RWC emissions reduction, for SIP purposes
     -- Conform to Clean Air Act, EPA requirements
     -- Acceptable to regulated parties
     -- Other key actors willing to participate
10.  Encourage innovative technology.
11.  Minimize interference in free markets.
     -- Maximum self regulation by RWC appliance manufacturers,
        retailers,, etc.
                         *
     -- Regulatory policies which try to exert their effect through
        free market forces, or incentives,  will  be preferred
12.  Promote energy conservation  and  use of renewable energy resources
     (excluding promotion of wood fuel  for  RWC).
                                   III-5

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C.  l.'EIkHTIiJG FACTORS  FOR  V.ANT  CRITERIA

      To represent the  relative  importance  assigned  in  this  evaluation
to each WANT criteria,  a Weighting  Factor was developed  for  each
criteria.  An analytical tool called  paired comparison  was used for
this purpose.  Trie resulting  height Factors assigned  to  the  twelve
• •"••  -'<" • •-'"" • - "!•"-• i:.j',.'fi  ' n  rigure 1.  Appendix  j  expUnns no-  chese
were arrived at. Some  cf ch^se uAi'iT criteria and  tneir  weignt ing  induce
the follow ing:

      1.   Criteria which significantly reduce air pollution
          fro!.. ,",«'C are more important than criteria, whicn are only
          ;;,eans to this end.  For example, "reducing RUC emissions/
          household" is directly effective in reducing  RWC air pollution
          impacts.  "Use of proven technology"  is desirable, but  does
          not guarantee that  a strategy will reduce RWC  pollutant
          emissions.
      2.  The mo*st desirable  characteristic of  a  RWC control strategy
          is  that it reduces  average emissions  per household.  This
          is  a  more desirable approach, than reducing the number  of
          RWC households, although both are very  effective in reducing
          RUC pollution impacts.  Strategies designed to discourage
          household use of RWC could be more unpopular,  and might unduly
          limit individual  freedom of choice.   A widely  applicable
          strategy which reduces average household emissions could
          improve air quality more than one which discouraged a rela-
          tively small  portion of households from using RWC.
      3.   To  effectively combat RWC  pollution,  it is more important
          that  a strategy be widely  applicable to RWC appliances, or
          practices,  than low in consumer costs, although both are
          very  important.  Wide applicability  multiplies any strategy's
          effectiveness in  reducing  pollution.   Low consumer costs
          are a  strong  influence on  whether people purchase and continue
                                 III-6

-------
           to use ,,UOG burning appliances, but not all strategies  affect
           appliances, and low price cannot guarantee installation of
           improved technology.
       4.  Public acceptance of regulation of RWC, and any extra incon-
           venience it brings, is very important for an area-wide  air
           pollutant source like Ri.'C.  Members of the public .-.'ho operate
           these sources can often choose to cooperate or thwart control
           strategies, as illustrated by public attitudes ana actions
           with r-jspect to vehicle inspections.

 :.   USE JF . I,:T •>„•_, .,••<:. T C,
-------
                                               FIGURE 1

              .  Application of MUST and WANT Criteria to Evaluate and Rank RWC Strategies


1.

2.
3.

4.
5.



MUST Criteria

Reduce RWC Air Pollution
Impacts
Meet Legal Requirements
Widely applicable to RWC
appliances or practices
Maintain RWC Safety Factors
Implementable within 5 years,
unless long term benefits
great.
WANT Criteria Weight
Factor
Strategy A
Go /No Go
Go

Go
Go

Go
Go


Rating "TD
b Score
Strategy B
Go /No Go
Go

Go
Go

Go
Go


Rating CWTD
3 Score
Strategy C
Go /No Go
Go

Go
Go

Go
Go


Rating CW1D
3 Score
Strategy D
Go /No Go
Go

Go
Go

Go
Go


Rating ,WTD
Score
 1
10
11
12
13
    Reduce Ave.  RWC
    emissions  per house-
    hold
    Reduce No.  of RWC House-
    holds
    Widely applicable
    Maximum public accept-
    ance
    Discourage worst ap-
    pliances,  practices
    Minimum consumer cost
    Use proven technology
    Minimize Circumvention
    Maximum agency admin.
    feasibility
    Encourage  Innovative        2           5
    Technology
    Minimum free market        2           2
    interference
    Promote conservation  re-    i           Q
    newable resources (except
    wood for RWC)
WANT Criteria Scores:
Adverse Consequences Scores (Risk  Factors):
                               13

                               10
                                9
                                6
                                5
                                4
                                3
           10
            9
            4
           10
117


117

 80
 54

 36

 60
 45
 16.
 30

 10

  4

  0
                                               563
                                                36
52
                                              10    130
                                               4
                                               9
40
81

72
7
10
4
7
5
7
7
42
50
16
21
10
14
7
9
7
           10
            9
            4
            7

            5

            8

            6
                                                   514
                                                   120
117


104

 90'
 63

 45

 60
 45
 16
 21

 10

 16

  6


b93
160

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       In the  third  step,  potential  problems of iri;p ler.ientation or adverse
consequences  of  fully  implementing  a strategy are identified.  An
"adverse consequence  score"  or Risk Factor is generated by estimating
on a scale of 1-10  both  the  likelihood of occurrence,  and the serious-
ness of the adverse impact.   These  two numbers are multiplied to provide
a score, and  the scores  are  summed  to provide a "is". Factor for each
strategy as shown  in  Figure  2.  Then these Risk Factor scores are
entered in Figure  1  for  comparison  with '.-jAul  criteria  scores.
       /.'ANT criteria scores then  are compared  with the  adverse conse-
quences scores to determine  if the  preliminary ra^in.. of control stra-
t'„•-, i :-s 5r,OLjlc:  be c/'angea.  Adverse  consequences ^ci rt-_ >..re not suo-
cracce^ rrc,,.  trie scores  based  on satisfaction of ..."...Is.   ,
-------
                                               FIGURE 2

        Assessment of  Possible Adverse Conequences of Strategy Implementation, or Risk Factors
Strategy A

1.  Significant opposition by environmentalists
Probabi1ity of
Occurrence (P)
      9
Seriousness   Risk Factor
of Impact (S)    (P x S)
     4             36-
                                                    Adverse Consequences Score (Risk Factor)
                                    36
Strategy C

1.  Key strategy participants unreliable (lending institutions)  due
    to high interest rates
2.  Public acceptance questionable because it restricts freedom
    to sell home
                                                    Adverse Consequences Score (Risk Factor)
                                    56

                                    64
                                    120
Strategy D

1.  Results very difficult to document
2.  Significant opposition by wood stove manufacturers
     10
      9
     7
    10
70
90
                                                    Adverse Consequences Score (Risk Factor)
                                    160
P = Probability of Occurrence (1 to 10)
S = Seriousness of Impact (1 to 10)
P x S = Risk Factors
10 x 10 = Unavoidable Disaster

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C'jjt.3, out rather bcr.us  achievements  from  implementing  a  control
strategy, in acdicion  to  pollution  abatement.   An  example  v.'ould  be
energy conserved by weatherization  of homes,  or reduced danger of home
fires (increased safety)  due  to  reduced  creosote formation  in stove
f1ues.
      The types of costs  considered  included:   l)public sector:   agency
costs :c i ,..„•! e:;:enr a strategy; public costs to  comply with  regulatory
requirements, or increasec  consumer  costs  for wood  burning  caused by
strategies; and 2) private  sector:   costs  to  comply with  regulatory
requirements, or to take  advantage  of incentives or meet  competition
>:ausec- ny strategies.  These  cost estimates ere admittedly  crude, out
their assumptions ana  uncertainties  are  spelled out, as much as
possible.  They also were based  where possible  on  the experience  of
established control programs.

F.  MATRIX SUMMARY OF  RESULTS

      The resulting ranking of control strategies  versus  WANT criteria
may be displayed in a  matrix  format  such as Figure  6  in  Section  VI
of this report, along  with  highlights of the  costs  and benefits  of
                                  •
implementation.
                                 III-ll

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     SELECTION AND EVALUATION OF  INITIAL  RUC CONTROL STRATEGY ELEMENTS
      This section describes the identification and evaluation of a
comprehensive list of RWC Control Strategy elements - e.g., single
actions which can directly or indirectly help to abate air pollution
fro.!- residential wood combustion |RUC).  These elements were dravvn
rVu.u approaches, re^uluiury programs, devices ur incentives that have
Deen inipler.ientec or considered around the world to control RWC pollution,
Original ideas for which no precedent was found also are included.
      No plausible idea was eliminated at this stage, no matter how
..•j:c-nn al ly costly or difficult it might appear, unless it was simply
not widely applicable in controlling wood burning appliances.  Consis-
tent with the overall, technical approach (Section IB) the identification
here of individual RWC control strategy elements for initial  explora-
tion is intended to be comprehensive.  These strategy elements then
are evaluated using an abbreviated (two-step) Keppner-Tregoe process
to determine which best satisfy the MUST and WANT criteria described
in Section III.  A complete ranking of all control strategy elements
considered, based on WANT criteria scores, is presented.  The reasons
why certain eleme'nts rank higher than others is discussed.
      Over seventy-five individual  control strategy elements are
identified and evaluated in this section.  These were grouped as follows
to facilitate their evaluation and to emphasize essential  features
or distinctions.

    •  Strategies to reduce RWC emissions by improved burning equip-
      ment design.
          A.   By regulation
          3.   By market incentives, or disincentives
          C.   By information distributed, or technology transfer
    •  Strategies to reduce RWC emissions by reducing wood  usage.
          A.   By regulation
          3.   By market incentives, or disincentives
          C.   By information distribution,  or technology transfer
                                  IV-1

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     • Strategies to reduce RWC emissions by improving operatic.,
      procedures of wood burning equipment.
          A.  By regulation
          B.  By market incentives, or disincentives
          B.  By information distribution, or technology transfer

-•..  I:E,>:TIF;CAT;,.\ ..p POTENTIAL R;;C CONTROL STRATEGY ELEMENTS

      Appendix A contains the comprehensive list of potential R'*C con-
trol strategy elements identified,  grouped into the categories listed
above.   All  seventy-five control  strategy elements in Appendix A far<
into one of  the-3eneral  categories  of RWC emissions controls listec
below.   These were gleaned from literature sources, personal contacts,
and our own  considerations of RWC emissions control problems and
possibi1ities.

    • Weatherization of homes.   Reduces space heating requirements.
      Assumed to reduce RWC emissions by allowing less burning to main-
      tain adequate heating.
    •Standardized Emissions  Testing of RWC Equipment.  Allows objective
      comparison of burning equipment performance.  Provides information
    .  basis  for  consumer choice and feedback to manufacturers to
      encourage  improved performance.   Provides basis for emissions
      standards,  and regulations  to encourage or require cleaner
      burning units.
    •Wood Fuel  Moisture Content  Controls.   Seasoned (dry)  wood burns
      cleaner under most circumstances.
    • Episode Controls.   Voluntary  or  mandatory curtailment of RWC
        :  ""     ••  - —•-	•                                  ^
      during air  stagnations.
    •Sizing of  Burning  Equipment to Space  to  be Heated.   Selecting
     minimum adequate size minimizes  emissions, by minimizing charge
    ,  size and maximizing  burning rate per  volume charged.
                                 IV-2

-------
     • in.ission Density Zoning.  Limiting the aincun". of  '•.(', in 3i.r
       e,oality problem areas.
     • Periodic Inspection of Installed RUC Equipment.
     * Limiting Firewood Supply.
     • Promotion of Alternatives to RWC.  For example,  solar,  or other
       radiant heating appliances,  even conventional fuels (oil, gas,
       electricity);  or personal insulation I wanner cloths,.
     • Economic Incentives or Disincentives, or i'ub'nc  information.
       Designed to educate people about RWC and to pro,note less
       polluting RWC.
     • Research -  to  Develop Cleaner RUC Equipment or Practices.

 u.   EVALUATION OF CONTROL STRATEGY ELEMENTS
          *
       The Keppner-Tregoe  evaluation process described  in Section  III
 was  applied  to the list of RWC  control  strategy  elements in Appendix
 A, in  an abbreviated  (two-step) form.   That is,  strategy elements were
 evaluated against MUST and WANT criteria,  but  risk factors related
 to adverse consquences of implementation were  not considered.   Risk
 factors will  be considered in evaluating final RUC strategies  (Section
 VI).   They should be  more meaningful  in evaluating final  strategies
 consisting of  a combination  of  strategy elements,  because some  elements
 may  be employed specifically to mitigate adverse  consequences  of other
 elements.
      Appendix 3  contains  the seventy-five  strategy  elements  listed
 in order of their  scores  based  on  satisfaction of-all  twelve WANT
 criteria.  It  also contains  a table showing the individual scores
 assigned to each  strategy  element  for each  WANT criteria.
     The ranking of all strategy elements against all WANT criteria  is
 summarized in  Tables  3, 4, and 5 and discussed below.  These  three  tables
 show the relative ranking  of A,  B,  and C Type control strategy elements,
which correspond,  respectively,  to  regulatory actions,  market  incentives/
disincentives, and public  information/technology  transfer approaches,
                                  IV-3

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                                  TABLE  3
Entry
                 Ranking of RWC Control  Strategy Elements
                                    vs
                    WANT Criteria - Regulatory Actions
                    Overall
                           1
              RankScore   I.D.  No.
                              Description of RWC Control Strategy
10
11
                      535
              III.A.3
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2
3
4
5
6
7
15
16
504
487
480
476
471
469
424
422
II. A.I. a
I. A.I. a
II.A.l.b
II.A.l.d
II.A.l.c
I.A.l.b
I. A, 2
III. A. 4. a
17     418    III.A.I.a
       385    III.A.a.b.c.d

18     416    II.A.2.b.3
Government requires manufacturer to
label  stove as space it will  heat vs
various home insulation levels.

Allow new stoves only in highly
weatherized households.

Government Acquires certification of
new stoves vs emissions standards.

Government requires weatherization to
cost effective levels within 5 years
or after resale.

Government requires utilities to
help pay for weatherizing households.

Government requires industry to help
pay for weatherizing households.

Government requires replacement of
existing stoves with certified low-
emitting units.

Government required rating of burning
units for emissions, to allow sale.

Government requires commercial wood
sales to include information on
moisture content levels.

Chimney sweeps test household emissions,
Reduce/eliminate fall firewood cutting
on federal lands to increase chance of
proper drying.
    From Table Cl, Appendix C

 2  From Table Bl, Appendix B
                                   IV-4

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Entry
                        Overall
               Rank   Score   I.D.  No.'
                                             Description of RWC Control
12


13


14



15


16


17
                19     415    II.A.A.b
                20
                51
407    II.A.4.a
                32      360     II.A.3.a
                       342     II.A.2.b.2
                35      359     II.A.2.b.l
                       347     II.A.2.b.2

                48      273     II.A.2
252    II.A.2.a
Allow new burning unit only if certain
efficiency standards met.

Allow new burning unit only if it
provides a substantial net heat gain.

Emission Density Zoning - allow only
X wood burners per (mile)^ based on
pollutant dispersion capacity.

Firewood cutting on federal  lands
limited based on air quality levels.

RWC cutbacks during air pollution
episodes.

Require USFS/BLM ,EIS to assess air
quality effects of their firewood
releases.
   From Table Cl, Appendix C
   From Table Bl, Appendix B
                                   IV-5

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                               •TABLE 4
              Ranking of RWC Control Strategy Elements
                                 vs
           WANT Criteria - Market Incentives/Disincentives
Fnt p >/
L y Rank
1 10
11
2 12
3 14
4 21
5 23
6 26
7 36
8 38
9 42
10 43
11 47
12 49
13 53
Overal
Score
459
453
447
436
404
401
392
394
394
363
345
326
310
304
283
271
273
234
225
I1 2
I.D. No.
I. B.I. a. 4
I. B.I. a. 3
I.B.l.c
I.B.l.b
II.B.l.b
I. B.I. a. 1
I. B.I. a. 2
II.B.4.5
II.B.4.C
II. B. 4
I.B.l.b.Z.b
I.B.l.b.l.a
III.B
II. B.I. a
II.B.2.3
II.B.2.b
II.B.A.d
II.B.S.b
II.B.S.a
Description of RWC Control Strategy
Consumer subsidy to buy cleaner
burning combustion equipment.
Government sponsored $50,000 prize
to designer of first burning unit
to cost <$1000 and emit <1 g/kg. .
Tax disadvantage to companies pro-
portional to the emissions levels
of their burning units.
Government subsidizes weatherization
in all areas.
Government subsidizes purchase of
cleaner new burning unit.
Lower residential rates for gas/oil.
"Lifeline" electricity rates.
Government subsidy to manufacturers
of burning units for pollution
measuring equipment.
Government subsidizes regional wood
drying facility.
Government subsidizes weatherization
only in areas with severe pollution
potential .
Increase wood prices to decrease
RWC by greater residue utilization
Increase wood prices by raising
cutting fees.
Subsidize solar energy as RWC altern,
Increase RWC cost by encouraging fin
insurance increases or property tax
increases for RWC users.
From Table Cl,  Appendix  C
From Table Bl,  Appendix  B
                               IV-6

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10
11
                                  TABLE 5

                 Ranking  of RWC Control Strategy Elements
                                    vs
          WANT  Criteria - Public Information/Technology Transfer
l-"l"J Rank
1 8

2 9
3 13
4 22
5 24
6 25
7 27


8 28
9 29
Score
468

465
437
403
395
396
387
380
383
390

364
364
358
I.D. No.
III. C. 3. a

III.C.3.b
I.C.2.b
I.C.Z.c
II. C. 2
I. C.I. a
II. C. l.c
II. C.I. a
Il.C.l.b
Ill.C.l.b
III. C.I. a

I.C. 3. a
I.C. 3. a
I.C.S.b
t^t owi i p u j u* M \j i i\n v uwiic-iwi .j u i a L. t; y jf
Government distributes information
on proper stove sizing.
Trade Association develops rating
program for how much space can be
heated by a given unit (sizing).
Mandatory emissions testing of
burning units by Trade Association.
Make public aware of true wood
heating costs.
Government provides free fully-
staffed emissions testing facility.
Disseminate information on burning
unit efficiency by neutral organization,
government, or trade association.
Educate wood users as to moisture
content effects on emissions and
efficiency.
Government sponsors $50,000 prize for
first test procedure system costing
less than $100/test.
Publish information on burning unit
design considerations/research ...
31
33
360
I.C.2.a
359    I.C.l.b
government or trade association.

Voluntary Trade Association emissions
rating program.

Government tax credits on equipment or
service for emissions  testing of
burning units.
  From Table  Cl,  Appendix  C

  From Table  Bl,  Appendix  B
                                  IV-7

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Entry
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
uver
Rank Score
34 357
39 341
331
40 335
41 315
44 298
45 293
46 285
283
275
a"
I.D. No.*
I.C.l.c
III.C.2.a,d,e
III.C.2.b,c
II. C. 4
IH.C.l.d
II. C. 3
II.C.6.a
Il.C.S.a
II.C.5.C
II.C.B.b
Description of RWC Control Strategy
Government funds development of
standardized, simpler, cheaper
emissions test procedures for RWC
units .
Distribute information on avoiding
creosote buildup/minimizing emissions
... by government or trade association
Make public aware of frequency of
fires 'associated with RWC, to
discourage use.
Distribute free moisture meters to
commercial wood distributors.
Make public aware of health concerns
related to indoor air pollution
from RWC.
Promote personal insulation - wearing
warmer clothes indoors to reduce
heating needs.
Promote alternative radiant heat
sources - e.g., natural gas fire-
places, passive solar, gas heaters.
19



20


21
50



52


54
264


235


211
II.C.6.b


III.C.4


II.C.2
Promote personal  insula-tion - spot
heating of key areas in house.

Concerned neighbor approach - neighbors
tell  others how to reduce RWC emissions

Suggest households limit annual  fire-
place usage,to 10 occasions to reduce
heat loss.
  From Table Cl,  Appendix C

  From Table Bl,  Appendix B.
                                  IV-8

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respectively.  This allows these .three .;rajor methods of achieving RWC
controls to be considered separately.  However, the "overall rank",
among all seventy-five strategy elements, also is shown in column two
of each table.  Note that for simplicity, when similar strategy elements
ranked close together, they were combined in the final list (in
Appendix £).  Thus, this final list contains 54 ranks into which the
75 strategy elements were grouped.
      It is important to keep in irnnd that the numerical scores and
resulting rankings are merely a device to aid in evaluating a large
group of possible strategy elements.  The absolute scores are less
important than the relative ranking of strategy elements.  It also
is important to remember that the ranking represents the relative degree
to which all WANT criteria are satisfied, simultaneously, by a given
strategy element.
      Top ranking strategy elements are not necessarily those deemed
most able to reduce RWC emissions, although they likely scored well
on this criteria.  Top ranked strategy elements represent the best
overall rating, taking into account not-only emissions control, but
also other key attributes such as wide applicability, public acceptance,
consumer cost, administrative feasibility, etc..
      The degree of subjectivity inherent in this evaluation process
also should be recognized.  It can strongly reflect the views and bias
of trie analyst, however unintended.  The assignment of scores for
satisfying WANT criteria, and even the relative weighting of WANT
criteria, involves personal judgements by the analyst.  No two analysts
attempting this task would produce identical results, and some might
produce widely varying results.  Nevertheless, this Keppner-Tregoe
process provides a systematic (if laborious) way to evaluate a large
number of possible choices against a list of weighted decision criteria
to achieve a relative ranking of the choices.  The results can be
analyzed as to why certain choices ranked higher and others low.  This
is done in subsection B2 below for the strategy elements shown in
Tables 3, 4, and 5.  Prior tt) that, however, key considerations, in
                                 IV-9

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assigning w'AiJT criteria satisfaction scores are discussed in
subsection 1, below.

      1.   Assigning WANT Criteria Scores
            The judgements made in the assignment of scores for satis-
      faction of ;:ANT criteria has ar obvious anc direct influence
      on  the eventual ranking o~" control s'-.^ategy jlaments.  To under-
      take this scoring effort systematically, and to assure consistency
      among scores, required establishing at least a rough decision
      framework for scoring for each WANT criteria.  This decision
      framework, and  judgements and assumptions used in scoring,  can
      ouild biases into the scoring process ,/hich nelp  determine  and
      explain the resulting ranking of control strategies.  Care  must
      be  taken to minimize such bias.
            To help systematize scoring the following general  decision
      framework was used for each WANT criteria:
            Each control strategy element was to  be assigned a score
      from 1.-10 based on the degree to which it satisfied a given WANT
      criteria.  For  each WANT criteria, five satisfaction levels were
      described as illustrated in Table 6 for WANT criteria T?4 (maximize
      public acceptance).   Each represented a scoring range of several
      possible total  points.
            All RWC control strategy elements were assigned to one
      of  the satisfaction  levels,  and assigned a  score  within  its range
      of  possible points.   To further assure consistency in scoring
      a preliminary identification of the highest and lowest scoring
      strategy elements was made,  so that scores  for the rest  would
      fall  in appropriate  intermediate ranges.  Also, similar  strategy
      elements were assigned similar scores.
      Appendix B (Table 82) contains the scores assigned to each
      strategy element,  for each WANT criteria, and which resulted
      in  the rankings in Tables 3,  4,  and 5.
                                 IV-10

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                                      5
            General  Satisfaction  Levels  for  KANT  Criteria £4 -
                       "Maximum Public Acceptance"
Satisfaction
    Level
Possiole
 /cir.ts
Criteria for satisfying  tc  this  level
                          i-lC
  Moderately
   Poorly
    None
  3-4
  0-2
Fully acceptable; some significant  support
no significant oppositon.

Acceptable to uiost par;,ies;  soi.c-
support; nc significant Apposition.

Lukewarm acceptance; most people
don't know or care; or, offsetting
support and opposition.

Acceptable primarily to environ-
mentalists; average person wary or
opposes.

Not acceptable to many;
strong opposition.
                                 IV-11

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2 .   Discussion of Resulting Ranking of Control Strategy Elements
      Comparison of Tables 3, 4, and 5 indicates that regulatory
actions tended to rank higher than market incentives/disincentives
and both tended to rank higher than public information/technology
transfer approaches, as RWC control measures.  Analysis of
individual scores (Appendix 8, Table Z2] indicates this is due
;:;,  c itnJency for regulatory approaches to score higher in the
ir.ore heavily weighted WANT criteria, e.g., reducing household
RVJC emissions (#1), wide applicability (#3), discouraging worst
appliances (#5).  Similarly public information/technology transfer
approaches tended to score low in these areas.
      •This also makes common sense, in that the success of a
control strategy element often seems more assured under regulatory
pressures than under reliance upon voluntary actions, or based
on  public information about the strategy.  There is less choice
under regulatory approaches.  People tend to obey the law, even
if  they dislike it.  Regulatory approaches also depend less on
an  informed public,  Regulations seek out affected parties and
regulate some aspect of their actions.   The success of approaches
based on incentives or public information depend  first on  whether
affected parties even know about them,  and second on whether  they
choose to act in the manner intended by the strategy.
      Looking at the three tables  individually, the following
strategy approaches received consistently higher scores:

    • Proper sizing of wood burning units (A, C)
    • Emissions testing and certification of wood burning units
    • Weatherization of homes
    • Regulatory efforts or subsidies to encourage development
      and use of cleaner burning units
    • iJood moisture content controls
                            IV-12

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Tn& fcliowinc, types of approaches  received consistently  lower
ranki nc,s:

    • Limit RWC, by restricting
      - v/ood supply
      - burning in air quality problem  areas
        leven uur^nb episodes, surprisingly)
    • Li HI if me, ;;.,x oy  increasing costs  of
      - firewood
      - fire insurance for RWC homes
    • Promoting alternative ',ieat",ng sources,  suci~ as  solar,  or
      radiant gas heaters
    • Promoting personal actions,  such  as dressing more  warmly
      at home, voluntarily limiting RWC, or advising  neighbors
      how to burn more cleanly

Many of the higher scoring control strategy elements  were
incorporated into one or more of the final RWC control strategies
evaluated in Section V.
                           IV-13

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           V.  GENERIC APPROACHES  TO  REDUCING  RUC  EMISSIONS  -
        •;L/MITITATIV:  ESTIMATES  OF  Ef-'.ISSION  REDUCTIONS  ACHIEVADLE
      This section discusses the following generic strategy approaches
to reducing Rl.'C particulate emissions:

          Improving ourning Unit Design
          1.   Improved design of new stoves
              a.  Testing of wood stoves/furnaces, and certification
                 'of compliance with an established emission lii,.it,
                  as a prerequisite for allowed sales
              j.  Testin^/certification as a prerequisite uf sLov',-
                  furnace sales, plus a financial incentive i33-. tax
                  credit) to buy the cleaner (certified) stoves
              c.  Testing/certification as a basis for mandatory
                  labelling of all  stoves/furnaces sold, which specifies
                  their efficiency and emissions performance
              d.  Testing/certification as a basis for mandatory
                  labelling, plus the 33% tax credit for clean units
          2.   Modification of installed stoves/furnaces, including:
              a.  Air inlet modifications
              b.  Insertion of firebrick in stove box
              c.  Fans to improve heat transfer
              d.  Add-on particulate control devices:
                  1.  Steel wool mesh filter
                  2.  Catalytic afterburner
          3.   Improved design or add-on devices for fireplaces
              a.  Underfire air
              b.  Electrostatic precipitator
              c.  Glass doors
      B.   Reducing Wood Usage
          1.   Reducing home heating requirements
              a.  Weatherization
              b.  Reducing stove charge size
         , 2.   Improving wood fuel  quality
              a.  Selection of wood with higher heating value
              b.  Moisture control  (seasoning)
                                  V-l

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           J.   Direct  restrictions  of  wood  usage
               a.   Lfjisoce  controls
               b.   Emission density  zoning
       C.   Improving RUC  Operating  Practices
           1.   Initial  selection  of  burning units  -  sizing
           2.   Operating  technique modifications
               a.   Discouraging airtight  stove  operation
               b.   Charging larger pieces of wood
           3.   Periodic inspection of  RWC equipment

       This  section also  estimates the potential ability of these  stra-
tegy  approaches to reduce  RUC emissions  (primarily  particulate emis-
sions,  including volatile  organics).  These quantitative estimates
of emissions reduction potential are  summarized in  Table 7 and docu-
mented  in more detail  in Appendix D.  These estimates are largely
speculative, because  little exists  in the way  of  quantified experience
in controlling RWC as  a  pollution source.  For example, there is  still
much  to learn  about how  to control  the combustion process within  stoves
and fireplaces to burn most efficiently and cleanly  (emissions).
      The approaches discussed here for reducing  RWC air pollution also
could be implemented using a variety of means, which could be
summarized  in the following categories:
      1.  Regulatory actions or  requirements
      2.  Subsidies or market incentives
      3.  Information distribution  or technology  transfer
The many possible combinations of strategy approaches and implementa-
tion means  are too numerous to examine individually regarding their
potential for reducing RWC emissions.  (Section IV examines and ranks
a large number of such individual strategy elements using selected
criteria.)  However,  examples of all three categories of implementation
methods are included  in the strategy approaches analyzed in this
section, as well  as in the final  strategies evaluated in Section VI
of this report.
                                  V-2

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                                                         TABLE 7
                                  Comparison of Estimated Particulate Emission Reductions
                                   Achievable by Generic RWC Control Strategy Approaches
     Generic RHC Emissions Control  Strategy  Approach
A.  Improving Burning Unit Design
    1.  Promotion of design and use of cleaner new
        stoves/furnaces
        a.  Testing/certification as prerequisite to
            sales or installation.
        b.  Test/certification as prerequisite to
            sales, plus $400 (33%)  tax credit.
        c.  Testing/certification as basis for mandatory
            labeling prior to sales,specifying efficiency
            and emissions performance.
        d.  Testing/certification/label ing,  plus $400
            (33%) tax credit.
        Modifications of installed stoves
        a.  Air inlet modifications.
        b.  Insertion of firebrick in stove box.
        c.  Heat transfer improvement (fans).
        d.  Add-on Particulate control devices
        Improved design or add-on devices for fireplaces
        a.  Underfire air.
        b.  Electrostatic precipitator.
        c.  Glass doors.
A.
   Potential  Particulate Emissions Reductions
Improving Burning Unit Design


la.
Ib.

1985
2
y
YEAR
1990
8
11

1995
22
30

2000
30
39
    Ic.
    Id.
    2a.
    2b.
    2c.
    2d.
              1         5        15
             (Table  D3  values  X .7)
                                        11
                                            21
     No  basis  for  emission  reduction  credits
     No  basis  for  emission  reduction  credits,
     Negligible  (0-1%)
     Negligible  (G-1%)
    3a.   1%  by  1990;  2%  by 2000.
    3b.   46% (single  test);  expensive  ($1,400).
    3c.   No  basis  for emission  reduction  credits.
                                                          V-3

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                                                       TABLE  7  (Cont.)
    Generic RWC Emissions Control  Strategy Approach
B.  Reducing Mood Usage
    1.  Reducing home heating requirements - Weatherization
        a.  All households.
        b.  Households installing new wood stove/furnace.
    2.  Improving wood fuel quality
        a.  Select fuel with higher heating value.
        b.  Moisture control.
    3.  Direct restrictions on wood usage
        a.  Episode controls.
        b.  Emission Density Zoning.

C.  Improving  RWC Operating Practices
    1.  Initial selection of burning unit
        a.  Sizing.
    2.  Operating techniques
        a.  Discouraging airtight operation.
        b.  Charging larger pieces of wood.
    3.  Inspection of RWC households.
         Potential  Particulate  Emissions  Reductions  (%)
 B.   Reducing Wood  Usage
     la.  For 1990   3.5%;   for 1995   7.0%.
     Ib.  For 1990 2.5%; for 1995 5.0%.
     2a.   No  basis  for  emissions  reduction  credit,
     2b.   6.2%
     3a.   33%  per  episode  day.
     3b.   No basis  for  emissions  reduction  credit.

C.   Improving  RWC Operating Practices


    la.   7% by 1990;  10.5% by 2000.

    2a.   No basis for emissions reduction credit.
    2b.   11.5%.
    3.   No basis for emissions reduction credit.
                                                           V-4

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      Thus, this section describes what we believe are the primary
aeneric approaches to controlling pollution from RWC, and attempts
to quantify where possible their potential for reducing average RWC
emissions levels.  These quantitative estimates or assumptions are used
in Section VI of this report as a primary basis for scoring and rankinc
alternative strategies based on the'ir relative RWC emissions reduction
p.jte r;'". i al .  Fur example, these quantitative estimates vnll oe the
^fiiMcrv jas.s for scoring strategies vs >;AuT criteria -1 ana *2 in trie
Keppner-Treyoe evaluation of final strategies, in Section VI  of this
report.

•..  i,ir;u;Vi:,u DURING UNIT UESIG;;

      1.   Improved Design of New Stoves

            An assessment of several stoves of advanced design suggests
      that affordable stoves with participate emission rates less than
      5 g/kg should be available, which is 25% of the average emission
      rate (20 g/kg) assumed in this study for the current mix of existing
      wood stoves (see Appendix D, Section Al for details).  If an affordable
      stove with emissions as low as these advanced designs can be
      developed in the near future, it could provide the most effective
      approach to reducing RWC emissions of all approaches examined in
      this study.  This assertion is verified by the higher RWC emis-
      sions reduction potential estimated for the following four
      strategy approaches, than for any other approaches examined in
      the report (see Table 7 ).
          a.   Testing/Certification as Prerequisite for Sales,..
                  Under this strategy approach new stoves or furnaces
          could not be sold if they did not comolv with established
          emission limits.  A standardized testina and certification
          program,  probably government operated,  would be needed to
          provide objective and consistent evaluation of burning units.
                                  V-5

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uecforci,  Oregon'   and nissoula, Montana   have  advocated  set-
tine,  ,-;ood  stove  emission  limits at 5 g/kg in the near  future,
but neither  provided for  testing/certification.
        Enforcement through building permit or  other permit
processes  is  a  likely proposal.  However, building permits
can be easily circumvented in many communities.  A new permit
process for  RWC  devices probably would be very  unpopular,
anc possibly  illegal in some states, e.g., Oregon law  pro-
hibits regulation  of air  emissions from residential space
        12
heating.   If this strategy approach were applied only to air
quality problem  areas within a region, cheaper, "dirtier"
stoves probably  would continue to be locally available rot-
sales in competition with the cleaner units.  For purposes
of this analysis,  it was  assumed that, under mandatory test-
ing/certification, only 60% of the new stoves purchased would
be certified  - either because of circumvention  of the require-
ment, or because it might be applied only to limited geo-
graphic areas with air quality standard violations.
b.  Testing/Certification as Prerequisite for Sales, Plus
Tax Credit for Purchase of Certified Unit
        This approach would combine the testing/certification
program described  above with a financial  incentive to pur-
chase the cleaner  (certified)  units, in the  form of a tax
credit.   A $400  tax credit, or 33% of the assumed $1200 price
11984),  was selected for this  analysis based on considera-
tions explained  in Appendix D.   It was assumed that this
combined strategy  approach of  testing/certification plus
tax credit could be 90% effective for purposes of analysis
of potential  emissions reductions.   That  is, 90?i of the new
and replacement  stoves purchased would be the cleaner (cer-
tified)  units.   This strategy approach was the most effective at
reducing stove/furnace emissions of any examined in this report -
achieving a  11%  reduction by 1990 and 39% by 2000 (Table 7).
                        V-6

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 c.   Testing/Certification  as  Basis  for  Mandatory  LabeTing
 Uhicii  Specifies  Efficiency and  Emissions
         In  this  approach the  thrust  of  testing  and  certifica-
 tion would  be  to require labeling of all  stoves or  furnaces
 offered  for  sale,  which  specifies their overall efficiency
 and  emissions  performance,  as established  by the  testing.
 This information also  coulc. be  published  in other ways,  to
 better inform  consumers,  in hopes that  they will  exercise
 a preference for cleaner,  more  efficient  units.
         Shelton  estimated  that  most  stoves operate  at  about
 40%  to jO%  overall  efficiency  in tne ..oodburner' s Encyclope-
 dla, published in  1979.     Some of the  stoves and furnaces
 now  emerging in  the market  place have overall efficiencies
 in excess of 75%,  which means they can  provide equivalent
 heat output while  using only  about two-thirds as much wood
 (.507.75).  Since  part of  the manner by which these units
 achieve  higher efficiencies is  by higher combustion effi-
 ciency,  a labelling program which encourages people to buy
 the most efficient units will tend to encourage them to  pur-
 chase lower-polluting  units.  This is the primary mechanism
 by which a  labelling program could lead to lower emitting
 units.
        A secondary mechanism which  could result in cleaner
 units being purchased  is the concern by some individuals
 about air pollution.   Some small fraction of households  pur-
 chasing cleaner  stoves would purchase low-emitting units
 in order to assist in  "protecting the environment".
        This approach was assumed likely to be no more than
20% effective,  i.e., 20% of new stove/furnaces would be the
cleaner certified units - in part because of the likely avail'
ability of cheaper "dirtier" units,   and the high influence
of purchase  price on consumer choices.
                        V-7

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           d.   Testing/Certificaticn/Label1 ing  Plus  Tax  Credit
                  This  approach  is  the  same  as  the  one  just  described,
           but  with  availability  of  the  $400  or  (33%)  tax  credit
           described for  approach 2  above.

      , .ndlysis of thesi  four  strategies  for  promoting cievelopment  and
installation of r.,oc₯^ c/'^anev  bur^;ny  stoves  required  a  basic assump-
tion about the ^roodole  availability  of  the  cleaner units  comi.iercial ly.
The following  assumption v;as  ir.ace for purposes  of this  analysis, based
on review  of costs  anc performance  of existing  advanced design stoves,
?.s aescrioed in Appen.: i < j, Section A .

      ASSUi'iPTIOii:   ,,ood  Burning  stoves will  be  available  by  January
                    19B4  at a  cost of  $1200 or less, with  particulate
                   emission rate of 5 g/kg or less -  i.e.,   75%  less
                   than  the current estimated average emission rate
                   of 20 g/kg.
It also was necessary to postulate  a  level of wood fuel use which would
be altered by the implementation of any  strategy approach, and how effec-
tive each strategy approach might be.  Assumptions about  strategy effec-
tiveness are stated above.  The  BASE CASE long-term trend  (1970-2000)
projections of wood stove fuel use  for Portland, Oregon generated in
Task 3 of this study, were used  as  the baseline wood fuel  use rate.
Appendix D describes the assumptions used to calculate the RWC particulate
emissions reductions shown in Table 7 for these four strategy approaches.

      2.  Modifications of Installed Stoves/Furnaces
          a.   Air Inlet Modification
                  Barnett has reported a 50% reduction in particulate
          emissions  from a stove in  which a simple modification
          introduced inlet air between the logs near the center of the
          stove.     However,  neither manufacturers nor homeowners seem
                                  V-8

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likely to pursue this "add-on" approach to any great extent, due to
ii.eriy factors, including 1) lack of standardized inexpensive
emissions test procedures needed to keep research and develop-
ment costs down; 2) difficulty in developing inexpensive
modification kits which could be applied to existing stoves;
anc 3) difficulty and potential safety problems of "do-it-
yourself" Modification.
        These authors could find no basis for assigning any
emissions reduction credit to this approach.
;;.   Insertion of Fireorick in Stove box  •
        Lining firebox walls with refractory or firebrick can
theoretically help keep combustion temperatures high enough for
good combustion efficiency - e.g., ignition of volatilized wood
gases requires 670*F.    However, Harriett's research on a thin-
walled stove did not show significant emissions reduction when
a firebrick  lining was added to that stove.    Accordingly,
these authors assign no emissions reduction credit to this
approach.
c.   Heat Transfer Improvement (Fans)
        Theoretically, heat transfer efficiency could be
improved by using a fan or blower to transfer more heat into
a room that would otherwise escape through the stove stack.
If this improved thermal  efficiency could be achieved without
reducing combustion efficiency, less wood would need to be
burned to provide equivalent space heating, and emissions
should drop proportionately.
        Research by Shelton   and Barnett   suggest that
increases in efficiency through forced air heat exchange
would not exceed 5-10%.  This would require 10-20% of home-
owners to install fans or blowers, in order to achieve even a
1% reduction in emissions. This is not considered likely, so
this approach is assigned a negligible (0-1%)  emission credit.
                        V-g

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 d.   Add-on  Participate  Control  Devices
         Only  this  study (Task 5) and one other by the Oregon
 Department  of Environmental Quality J have reported emissions
 test  results  for add-on  devices to control particulate emissions
 from  wood stoves.   The  two devices tested -- a steel wool mesh
 filter and  a  catalytic  afterburner -- were inserted in the stack,
 immediately above  the firebox.  In very limited testing 1) the
 catalytic afterburner afforded  10% less emissions, which is within
 experimental  error, and; 2) the steel wool mesh filter reduced par-
 ticulate emissions  by 60% in one pair of tests when tested at a
 high  burn rate.  In a second set of tests (2 runs) conducted in
 a different test facility by a  different researcher, use of the
 device resulted in  essentially  no emission reduction.
         Shelton also tested both these units for  their
 potential to  reduce creosote deposition in the exhaust
 stack.    Creosote  deposition is less than a perfect
 indicator of  participate emissions because stack  temperature
 differences can yield greater or lesser creosote  deposition
 in the stack  without yielding a corresponding change in  par-
 ticulate emissions.  In that testing, creosote deposition was
 reduced  by  23% by  the mesh filter device and by 45% by the
 catalytic afterburner.   Shelton did note some clogging
 problems with the mesh  filter device.
         The cost of these devices ($100-350), questions about
 long  term effectiveness, and the inevitable strong public
 opposition  to any  regulatory requirement for their use, makes
 it highly unlikely  that  this strategy approach could contri-
 bute  significantly  to RWC emissions reductions in the next 10
years, (except perhaps  as a design feature in new stoves).
Accordingly,  their  emissions reduction potential  as a
 retrofit approach is judged to  be negligible (0-1%), based
on the limited available data.
                       V-10

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j.  Improved Design or Add-on Jevices for Fireplaces
      I3ecause fireplace combustion is open combustion, it is more
difficult to optimize air/fuel ratios, and residence time for
combustibles in a sufficiently hot combustion zone.
    £.   Underfire Air
            j-ased on a single, limited set of tests by PEDCo,
    IDC. a 2u/o emissions reduction appears possible by intro-
    ducing air under the combustion zone of the fireplace during
    burning.  At a cost of $100 or less for such a fireplace
    modification, this approach warrants more research -
    especially at more "normal" burn rates than were used by
    PEDCo.  However, overall RWC emissions (stoves/fireplaces)
    would be reduced only an estimated 1% by 1990 and 2% by
    2000 with this approach.
    b.   Electrostatic Precipitator
            The limited PEDCo tests also included a single test
    of  a commercially available electrostatic precipitator
    ("Smog-Hog").    A substantial emissions  reduction (46%) was
    achieved.   However, the cost of this unit today ($1400)
    effectively eliminates serious consideration of it for house-
    holds.  Accordingly,  it was not assigned  emissions reduction
    credits.
    c.   Glass Doors
              Glass doors shut during the burndown/smoldering
    phase of a fire can reduce household heat loss.  During
    active burning, a closed glass door inhibits space heat
    transfer,  lowering overall efficiency. However, there is no
    evidence that glass doors either increase or" decrease combus-
    tion efficiency,  which affects emissions.  Accordingly, no
    emissions reduction credits are assigned.
                           V-ll

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      Three types of strategy approaches were considered in this
section for reducing wood usage:   (a) reducing home heating require-
ments, e.g., through weatherization;  (b) improving fuel quality, e.g.,
through moisture control (seasoning), or selection of wood fuel with
higher heat content, and ;  (c) direct restrictions on wood usage, e.'-,.,
through regulatory actions  such as limited bans on RWC during air
pollution episodes (episode controls), or more general restrictions
on Fu-C in air quality prooler.i areas,  such as emission density zoning.

      1.   Reducing Home heating Requirements - leatherization
           In this study, weatherization was assumed to reduce home
      heating requirements by 30-50%, or an average of 40%  .   Since
      most RWC households also rely to some extent upon some  conventional
      heating fuel (oil, gas, electricity), they could respond by reducing
      reliance upon these conventional fuels,  or wood, or both.   The.
      estimated range of emissions reduction derived here (7  to  16%)  for
      weatherization of all  RWC households, depends on the  assumptions  used,
      Two different scenarios (using different  assumptions) were  evaluated
      to  determine a range  of particulate emissions reductions that could
      occur.   The actual  emissions reductions will  vary from  area  to  area
      and will  depend on the percentage  of  homes  actually weatherizing  and
      the changes in stove  operation  that occur  after  weatherization.
           Case #1
           Scenario  Assumptions:
           •  Household  heating  requirements  = 50 million Btu/yr, with 20
             million  Btu  from  conventional  fuel and  30 million from wood.
           •  Weatherization  results  in reduced reliance on both fuels by
             10 million  Btu/yr  (33% reduction for wood, 40% overall); and
             15% less burn days/year  (on marginally cool days).
           •  33% of wood  stove owning  and weatherized households could  be
             "educated"  to reduce  their reliance on wood by reducing charge

                                  V-12

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         •size  (this  would  allow them to maintain  their accustomed
         charge  interval,  but a smaller fire).   The  remaining  67%  will
         use the same  size of charge as before  weatherization,  but will
         reduce  the  burn  rate by re-charging  less  frequently.
       •  Woodstove owners  living in  weatherized houses  will  replace
         their oversized stoves with other  oversized  stoves.
       •  60% of  Oregon's RWC  households need  weatherization; 80% of
         these could be induced to weatherize.
       Results:
       •  48% of  RWC  households  will  weatherize  (60% x  80%).
       •  There will  be a 7.2% reduction  in  emissions  from all woodstove
         owning  households  based  on  no  burning  during  15% of days  (15% x
         .48 = 7.2%).
         For those 67% weatherized woodstove  owning  households  that
         choose  not  to reduce wood charge  size, total  emissions on
         burn days will be the same  as  before weatherization.   The
         reduced wood  usage is exactly  offset by  the  higher  emission
         rate (g particulate/kg wood burned)  caused  by the reduced
         burn rate .   That is,  the emission rate  rises  proportionally
         as the  burn rate  falls.
         For those 33% weatherized woodstove  owning  households  that d£
         reduce  the  wood charge size on burn  days, the  percent  reduction
         in daily emissions equals the  percent  reduction in  heating
         requi rements.
  33% total  wood reduction - 15% total  wood reduction because  of no  burn days _
                 ~    ~~                                                      -
                                 1  - 15% no burn days
1 Butcher's equation: emission rate (g/kg) = constant (g/kg-hr) x (w°od charge size (kg
                                   V-13

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   That  is, the 21% heating reduction equals 21% wood use
   reduction which equals the 21% of emissions reduction on
   burn  days, for those households owning wood stoves, weather-
   izing, and reducing wood charge size.  This equals a 2.9%
   emissions reduction for all woodstove households (21% x
   .85 x  .48 x  .33 = 2.9%).
 •  The resulting emissions reduction of 10.1% (2.9% + 7.2°',)
   is for woodstoves only.  The overall emissions reduction
   for all RWC households including fireplaces is 7.1% (10.1%
   x  .70).
Case  #2
Scenario Assumptions:
 • As above, 48% of RWC households will  weatherize.
 • Weatherization results in 40% less fuel  required per day,
  with equal  percent reductions for wood and conventional
  fuels.  Fifteen percent of.days are marginally cold
  where wood is no longer burned after weahterization.
• 100% of owners of weatherized homes will  either reduce the
  wood charge size proportionally to reducing the burn rate,
  or will burn at the same burn rate but burn fewer hours
  per day after weatherization.
• Oversized units will  be replaced (in  the 10-15 year replace-
  ment time period) with smaller units  after weatherization occurs.
Results
• There will  be a 7.2% overall reduction in emissions from wood-
  stoves based on no burning during 15% of days (15% x .48 = 7.2%).
• There will  be a 16.3% overall  reduction  in emissions from wood-
  stoves based on reduced burning on burn  days (85% x .48 x .40 = 16.3%)
•  The emission reduction for all  RWC households (woodstoves and
  fireplaces)  is 16.4% ((7.2% + 16.3%)  x .7 = 16.4%).
                         V-14

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2.   Improving ..OOP Fuel Quality

    a.  Selection of Vlood with Higher Heating Value
            The intrinsic heating value of wood (Btu/air-dried
    cord) can vary by a factor of 2 among different wood species
    (Appendix D).  while this offers soii'.e potential for reducing
    R'.iC en.issions, two factors make tin's impossible to quanti-
    tatively estimate, anc probably negligible.  First, there is
    nc information available on particulate emissions by species.
    Thus rii.jher heat value may or may not correspond to higher
    eriss;or,3 .j'vracteri sties.  Secona, while the more co. ,,,cri
    v/'ouc V--C _i. ^vc.ioL-le in the Pacific i.orthwest - •'-•^.,
    Douglas fir, Ponderosa pine - have low to medium heating
    values, supplies of wood with higher heating values are
    limited.  Thus,  people would be unable to switch in mass to
    wood of higher heating value.  Accordingly, this strategy
    approach was assumed to have negligible emissions reduction
    potential.
    b.  Moisture Content Control (Seasoning)
            The next two sections describe estimates for
    potential reductions in RWC particulate emissions from fire-
    places  and  stoves which could be achieved by reductions in
    firewood moisture content.
       (1)   Potential Fireplace Emissions Reductions
             For fireplaces, decreases in wood moisture content
        levels  result in lower particulate emission factors.
        This is because more  complete combustion occurs with
        lower moisture content  woods.   Although-particulate
        emission tests for fireplaces are not available for a
        variety of wood moisture contents,  measurements of combus-
        tion efficiency for  fireplaces  with different wood
                                                          Ik
        moisture content levels  are  available from Shelton
                           V-15

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  (Figure  3).   In this analysis the quantity J.U - combus-
  tion  efficiency)  is  usec to rnchcate relative particulate
  emissions  at  different moisture contents in Figure 3.
        Focusing  on  the portion of the curve between 18%
  n.c.  and 25%  n:.c.,  it appears that each 1"  decrease in
  ,;ocd  ;.:cisture content yields  a l.j  jjcrr;.sc-  . r, eirns-
                 jiven  tr.e "~ 1 ott^M n.;. ji.i"  ,,f  the curve
 near 2j/. i,,.c.  and  the  ract  thaL  .xst  ,;OOL  burned in the
                   1 9
 Pacific ilorthwest   ,  is  thought  to  have- ;  >,.uisture
 content level  in excess  of  2o/.. ,  ches-j  jutrors  estimate
 .'"Cii 1';  decrease in ,;ooc rnoistur- c •.••'., :-r:t  results  ; r.  a
     Decrease -, n particulate o.iiss'iofiS  ^_r  : ; replaces .
 Tnese assumptions  are discussed  in  i.iore oetail  in
 Appendix D, Section B2b(1).
       In order to  derive an estimate of how  nuch fire-
 place emissions could be decreased  by educational
 programs which advocate  the use  of  drier wood,  some
 estimate must  be derived for how much moisture  content
 could be reduced.  Based on several estimation  techniques
 discussed in Appendix D, these authors  estimate that  the
 average moisture content of wood burned in fireplaces
 could be decreased by about 2% which would yield a  1.6%
 reduction in particulate emissions  from fireplace burning
 (2% x 0.8 = 1.6%).  For  an area where fireplaces account
 for 30% of  the total RWC emissions, a reduction of 0.5%
 in total  RWC emissions is derived (1.6% x  .30 = .48%).
(2)  Potential  Stove Emission Reductions
       For  stoves,  even though some particulate  measure-
 ments vs  moisture content have been reported by several
 researchers (Rudling et.al.   , Del Green Associates,
 Inc.   ,  and Barnett  ) ,  the most useful data is available
 again from  Shelton in  the form of combustion efficiency
                     V-16

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                               FIGURE 3

                        Effect of Wood Moisture
                                  on
                    Fireplace Combustion Efficiency
              100
              80
           o
           •v.
           >
           UJ
           a:
           UJ
                                  COMBUSTION EFFICIENCY
                             HEAT TRANSFER EFFICIENCY
                     OVERALL
                _    EFFICIENCY
                              l   l   I   I   l  l   l   I
                0246  8  10  12  W Ife 18  20  22 2H 26
                       MOISTURE CONTENT C0/.^
     The dependence of efficiencies on moisture content  in  an open
fireplace.   Here  power output could not be held constant but increased
with decreasing moisture content.  Fuel loads were of uniform size and
were added  when the previous load had been reduced to eharcoal.
Source:   She!ton
                 Ik
                                V-17

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                         1 k
vs v;ood moisture content    (Figure 4).  l,e assume again
V ct ^articulate emissions  are proportional to the
quantity  (1.0 - combustion  efficiency).
      Based on Shelton's testing on one stove, it appears
that optimum wood moisture  content lies between about 20
tc Z5'u  (wet basis) with  v.'orse combustion efficiency and
hence assumed higher particulate emissions at moisture
contents  above and below this range.   The results of six
emission  tests on one stove conducted under Task 5 of
this study indicate stove emissions increase when wood
moisture  content is outside the range of 20-30%, wet basis.
Despite the availability of this data, there are still
significant uncertainties  - first, whether other  stoves
would have the same optimum range, and second what  sort
of a wood moisture content  distribution is characteristic
for the Pacific Northwest.  Lacking firm data on  either
•of these  subjects, a sensitivity analysis was conducted
to estimate what emission  reductions would occur  1) for
Shelton's original curve vs results if it were shifted
either  5% points to the  left or right, and 2) for two dif-
ferent  assumed moisture  content distributions.  The two
different moisture content  distributions evaluated  were:
1) one-third of all firewood burned has a moisture  content
of 25%, one-third has 30%,  and one-third has  35%, and;
2) three-eighths has a moisture content level of  25%, one-
half has  30%, and one-eighth has 35%.  Differences  in
emissions when these moisture  contents are reduced  were
calculated based on the  quantity (1.0 - combustion  effici-
ency),  and the three different curves shown  in Figure 5
as explained in Appendix D, Section  B2b(2).
      Table 8 shows the  results for these six different
cases, which are explained  in Appendix D in  detail. The
                    V-18

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                              FIGURE 4
                   Effect of Wood Moisture Content
                                 on
                 Stove/Furnace Combustion Efficiency
               MOISTURE CONTENT (% -DRY WOOD EAS1S)
                        10        20      3O     MO    50
                                       MEAT TRANSFER
                                        EFFICIENCY
                        10           2O
              AAOISTURE CONTENT (V. -MOIST WOOD
     The dependence of efficiencies on fuel moisture content in
an airtight stove.  The air inlet setting was varied to maintain
an average power output of about 17,000 Btu per hour for all
moisture contents.  The fuel load volume was approximately constant.
                Ik
Source:  She!ton
                              V-19

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                             FIGURE 5

                  Three Assumed Moisture Contents
                                vs
         Combustion Efficiency Curves for Stoves/Furnaces
              MOISTURE CONTEMT (% - DRY WOOD BASIS)

                       10        20      30     MO    50
                                       MEAT TF \NSFER
                                        EFFICIENCY
            0             10           20
              MOISTURE CONTENT (%-MOIST WOOD
     The dependence of efficiencies on fuel  moisture content in an
airtight stove.  The air inlet setting was varied to maintain an
average Dower output of about 17,000 Btu per hour for all  moisture
contents.  The fuel load volume was approximately constant.
Source:   Adapted from She!ton
                             Ik
                              V-20

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                                 TABLE 8
           RWC  Emissions Resulting from Six Hypothetical  Cases
                    of  Wood Moisture Content Control
Curve Evaluated            Assumed  Percentage of           Resultant Emission
 in Figure 5              Wood With Moisture              Reduction for Wood
                          Content of 25/30/35%             Burned in Stoves*


C (Rightmost)             33.3/33.3/33.3                         5.5%

     C                    37.5/50.0/12.5                         3.5%

B (Center)                33.3/33.3/33.3                        10.5%

     B                    37.5/50.0/12.5                         8.1%

A (Leftmost)               33.3/33.3/33.3                        11.7%

     A                    37.5/50.0/12.5                         9.9%
 * Assuming a wood moisture  content  reduction of  2%.
                                                   Average       8.2%
                                  V-21

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       results range from about a  3% to a  12% emission reduc-
       tion.  As a best estimate,  we assume that the arithmetic
       average would apply.  That  is, that a vigorous educa-
       tional program which  reduces average wood moisture by 2%
       could yield about  a  8.2% reduction  in particulate  emissions
       frciiii residential wocc burning in stoves.  Assjifiinc stoves
       •/ill account for aoout 70',,  of all RUC emissions by 1933
       based on Task 3 projections, total RWC emissions froni
       stoves are estimated  to be  reducible by   5.7%  (8.2%  x
       .70  = 5.7%) by focusing on  stoves alone.
             Conibirnncj the emissions reductions estimated for
       fireplaces \u.5 ,  cinci stoves  (5.7%) yields  6.2% as the  .
       estimated reduction in total RWC particulate emissions
       achievable through programs which produce the assumed 2%
       overall  average reductions  in firewood moisture content.
       Depending upon the amount of green wood  (% moisture greater
       than 40%) currently being burned, significantly higher
       emissions reductions could be achieved  through programs
       which educate owners regarding proper wood seasoning.

3.  Direct Restrictions on Wood Usage
      Two strategy approaches were evaluated which were based  on
reducing  the amount of wood fuel  used in order to reduce  RWC
particulate emissions.   Episode controls focus on reducing wood
usage on  the most severe  pollution days only.   Emissions  density
zoning would attempt to restrict the average level of wood
burning in designated air quality problem areas.
    a.  Episode Controls
            Ihe  strategy  of mandating or requesting a reduction
    in wood Durnlng on  poorest air quality days is referred to as
    episode control.   Its  major  advantage is  that it focuses  on
    the time periods when emission reductions  are needed the most.
                           V-22

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         Albuquerque,  uew Mexico has a voUirii-v\.
 whereDy  residents  are notified of high concentrations jy a
                                             21
 pollution  signal  light on top of a building.     In Missoula,
 Montana  a  mandatory program has been established under which
 visible  snoke  from solid fuel chimneys is prohibited when
                                                  •^
 winter participate concentrations exceed 300  ycj/.v ,  unless
.the  solid  fuel  burner is the sole source of :^^t.~"   ,.;ie;,
                                                     3
 winter concentrations of particulate exceed 150  yg/m
 residents  are  requested to voluntarily reduce or eliminate
 ineir solid  fuel burning.
         ...urinj  winter 1981-82,  particulate cc; :e; Lrv.t -. jr:3 i.
                           o
 . . ov~uia exceeded  150yg/niJ on  several  occasions,  out ,ic-ver
                 •3
 exceeded 300 ug/m  .   Based on a statistical sampling of 194
 households on  6 days/month,  the Missoula Air  Pollution  Agency
 estimates  that  their  requests for "voluntary  cutbacks"  were
                                 22
 heedeo in  36%  of the  households.    Missoula officials  believe
 this estimate, based  on  sampling  only afternoon  burning  is  probably
 low since most burning occurs in  the evening and another  survey
 showed 70% of respondents  stated  they do  not burn during  alerts.
 Based on this experience,  these authors  estimate that a  voluntary
 program, if well publicized,  could reduce  wood burning  impacts by 33%
 or more on poor air quality  days.
        Based  on ratio  of  peak  days  concentration  to average
 winter day concentrations  of 2.5*, the  reduction in  average
 winter particulate concentrations can  be calculated,
 depending  on the number  of episode da vs.
                        V-23

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# Episode Days In
A Geographical Area
Calculation Basis
Estimated Reduction
Average Winter Par-
ticulate Concentra-
tion From Wood
Burning
4
9
12
15
18
20
25
(33%
(33%
(33%
(33X
(33%
(33%
(33%
reduction)
reduction)
reduction)
reduction)
reduction)
reduction)
reduction)
X 4
X 9
X 12
X 15
X 18
X 20
X 25
days /1 50
days/150
days/150
days/150
days/150
days/150
days/150
days
days
days
days
days
days
days
* 2
* 2
* 2
* 2
* 2
* 2
* 2
.5
.5
.5
.5
.5
.5
.5
Aver.
Aver.
Aver.
Aver.
Aver.
Aver.
Aver.
Cone . =
Cone . -
Cone. =
Cone . =
Cone. =
Cone . -
Cone. =
2

6
8

11
13
.2%
5%
.7%
.3%
10%
.1%
.'9%
                    Thus  for  an  area  with  typically 9 winter days  with
               particulate  concentrations  exceeding 150 yg/m ,  a 33%
               reduction  in wood burning  (resulting from voluntary
               cessation  of burning)  could reduce the impacts from
               wood  burning on those  episode days by 33% and average
               winter  wood  burning  impacts by 5%.
^Larson  first  identified  this relationship which resulted in setting 24-hour
 particulate standards at 2.5 times the level of annual particulate concentra-
 tions  (150 vs  60 yg/nr TSP).
                                    V-24

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          -•  Emission Density zoning
                  Emission density zoning could reduce particulate
          concentrations if it were applied to limit the number of
          installations of wood burning devices in future years in
          problem areas.  However, for most political jurisdictions, we
          jelieve such' a strategy would face r.iajor obstacles to its
          adoption and  implementation.  There appears to be .videspread
          opposition to regulations which prohibit households from
          burning wood.  Such sentiments would likely result in signifi-
          cant circumvention  (i.e., individuals ;;urchas i n-3 a stove and
          -installing it v.itiiout a "per,.-.it"   ,'.     era-lean enforcement
          problei.i.  Lastly, some State statui.es ^uc i as those governing
          the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, prohibit the
          regulation of household space heating devices.  Accordingly,
          no practical emission reduction benefit was assumed for this
          strategy.
                  For those interested further in this approach,
          Appendix D projects how much emissions might be reduced for
          three cities in the Pacific Northwest in future years, if
          such a program were adopted and the compliance level were 50%.

C.  IMPROVING RWC OPERATING PRACTICES

      Operating procedures can have a dramatic influence on particulate
emission rates.  This section assesses the emission reduction potential
from a) stove sizing, b) operating technique modifications which
include discouraging airtight operation and charging larger pieces of
wood, and c) household inspection programs for RWC households.

      1.   Initial Selection of Burning Unit - Sizing
            Stove "down sizing" is sometimes advocated on the basis
      that a smaller stove can be burned "hotter" - air supply will not
                                  V-25

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have  to  oe  restricted  as  ir.uch  as  in  a larger  stove to avoid over-
iieaLiii.,  c. roc, n  or  , iuoi>6.   I he  available  literature on iiuv< ei.'.s-
sions change  with  operator  procedures has  been  reviewed  in order
to evaluate what emission benefits could be achieved  by  stove
downsizing.
      In suiiii.iary,  the  chief  benefit  of dov/nsizing  derives from
the fact that a si.'iiller  stove  will have  a  smaller  fireuox.  This
iaeans that  average charge size is reduced.  According to
       1 °
butcher  °,  emission  rate  is  dependent en both charge  size and
burn rates  as siio'.n  ', r, the equation  belov/:
where  i,i = v;ooc charge  size  in  kg
       q = burn rate, in  10,000  Btu/hour
                                                         »
      For a household which  desires  a  certain  rate  of  heat
output, downsizing a stove does  not  materially effect  that  house-
holds desired level' of  heat  output from the  stove.   Thus the "q"
term in the equation should  not  change when  a  stove is  downsized.
However, since the emission  rate is  proportional  to "m", or
charge size, a smaller  firebox  stove can be  assumed to  have an
emission rate that is proportionally lower to"  the reduction in
firebox size. These issues are  discussed in  greater detail  in
Appendix D.
         24
      Day   has noted both that  stove  purchasers  are tending to
purchase smaller stoves and  that manufacturers  also are down-
sizing their model units.  He projects that  average stove firebox
size will be reduced by 40%  by  1990.   Although  the  degree of
downsizing that will  occur cannot be known for  certain, these
authors arbitrarily assume that  an educational  program  could
result in additional  downsizing  of 10% by 1990  and  an  additional
5% by 2000 as compared to a  base case without  such  an educational
program.  For the stove population,  these assumptions yield an
emission reduction of 10% by 1990 and  an additional  5%  by 2000.
                           V-26

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her an area with 70% of FVn'C emissions fron, stoves, total !I',.'C
emissions would be reduced by 7% by  1SSG anc an additional  2.D>,
by 20CO.

2.  Operating Technique Modifications

    u.  ^i scouragi ng Airtight Operation of lto>/es
            Operators restrict airflow :>\, ^n/--s  ": > J'.^r  tc  si:.'..
    cowr, the stove's rate of heat production tc niaintain comfort-
    able room temperatures or to extend the  length of time
    between stove refuel ings.  Combustion efficiency can decrease
    as a result of such action because the laclc of sufficient
    oxygen in the combustion zone can result in less complete
    combustion and a higher emission rate.
            However, when an operator changes to  burn hotter
    (i.e., less air restriction) no  benefit  in    reduced emis-
    sions per day is realized unless the operator reduces the
    number of hours per day that the stove is operated.  This
    issue is discussed in detail  in Appendix D Section C2a.
    For example, if the number of hours of operation  remain the
    same, and an operator increases the burn rate by  50%, the
    emission rate will  be decreased by 33% C(150/100)/150: on the
    gram/kg basis.   However,  the  net emissions  per day on a
    gram/day basis  will  stay constant,  since  50% more wood
    will be burned,  unless the operator reduces  the number
    of hours of operation.  One would expect  that the hours of
    operation would  need to  be reduced  in  order  to maintain
    a  comfortable room temperature.   However, comfort factors make
    it unlikely that a  large  portion of stove operators  will be willing
    to shift normal  operating  patterns,  for  example,  such that they
    would burn at a  50% higher burn  rate  for  two-third's of the time
    and then not operate the  stove  for  the normal  last one-third of
    a  burn cycle.   The  burn  rates chosen  by  most operators are those
    which produce  the  desired level  of constant heat output for the
    room in which the stove  is  located.
                           V-27

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         Since  widespread  increases  in  the  ourn  rates  used  by
 operators  appear  unlikely,  we  ai,sic,11 no  emission  reduction
 credit  to  this  strategy.
 b.   Charging Larger  Pieces  of  w'ooc
         Charging  larger pieces of wood in  a stove has resulted in
 a  lower emission  rate  than  burning smaller sized  pieces of wood,
 in  limited  testing.  Thinner pieces of wood have  a large surface
 area  to wood ratio which allows them to  heat up relatively fast
 and  release their volatiles at a fast rate.  The  high rate of
 volatile production  can result in an oxygen deficiency in the
 combustion  zone which  results  in less than complete combustion
 and  higher  particulate emission rates.
         This phenomenon has been noted by  both Cooke and Allen of
 Battelle    and  by Barnett \  Barnett developed a best fit equation
 based on tests with  a  thin walled stove which relates particulate
 emission rates  to log  diameter.  This is discussed in more detail
 in Appendix D.  For  wood in the size range between 2" and 6",
 increasing  log diameter by about 2" results in 33% decrease in emission
 rates (i.e., 4-6" range is optimum).
        An  education program to convince operators to burn larger
 size pieces of wood  appears to have strong potential  as an education
 strategy, assuming additional  testing confirms these preliminary
 findings.   Unlike some other strategies to change operator behavior,
 there is no inconvenience disincentive  for this change in operating
 practice.   In fact,  less splitting of wood requires less work.  These
 authors estimate that an education program could result in 50% of
 operators increasing their average piece size by 2".   For stoves, this
 means this strategy  has an emission reduction potential  of 16.5%.
        Barnett's equation for predicting emission rates
based on log diameter was developed based on stove burning
rather than fireplace burning and thus  this strategy only can
be assumed to apply to stoves given current evidence.  For an
area where stoves account for 70% of RWC emissions, total RUC
                       V-28

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    emissions are thus assumed to be reducible by 11.5%  (33% X
    .0 x .7 = 11.55%;.   If later research were to show a  similar
    relationship applies for fireplaces, then total RWC emissions
    would be assumed to  be reducible by 16.5% by this strategy.

j,   Periodic Inspection  of Rl.C Equipment
      ^...ij^sficri e:..ju•;,,!. ont inspections can nJcr.tify when
oqu'ipir.ent performance  is aeter iorating and promote more rapid
restoration of the equipment to original performance levels.
nigher combustion efficiency results in less air pollutant
j, i ssions.
      Ueyarding whether  inspection programs are a feasible ii.eans
for  reducing emissions from residential wood burning, we judge
that political  and legal obstacles make this strategy unlikely to
be  implemented in most communities.  Oregon statutes prohibit the
Department  of Environmental Quality from regulating home space
                1 o
heating devices.    Aside from legal obstacles, many citizens are
opposed to  the concept of an inspector entering-their dwelling
and  requiring equipment  changes.
      Potential benefits of an inspection program include the
following:
    *  Safety
      33% of fires in Oregon in single family dwellings are
                                                   25
      associated with solid fuel heating equipment.   If an
      inspection program were to focus on safety aspects also,
      significant savings in personal property and lives could
      result.

    •  Maintaining Catalyst Performance

      Catalyst  stoves can deteriorate with time in terms of
      the catalyst losing its efficiency because of deterioration
      of the catalyst coating.   For example Corning Glass Works,
                            V-29

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       catalyst has a GOC'J hour  nfet'iuie.""1"  Fur u stove operatec
       20 hours/day for 5 months/year, this equates to a 2 year
       lifetime.   In the event catalyst stoves ever account for  a
       significant share of the stove population, an inspection
       program  could help to ensure conciivj-jc ._.oou combustion
       efficiency (i.e., recuced ei.^ssioi^; fo^ this type of
       stove.

     •  i'.u'intaiiTing rn<,h Coubiistion Efficiency
       Trr, s  benefit is  specul ati v_-.   r~jr uniis ,,it!i nigh (i.e.,
       •^-',  combustion  cffic'ieticy ./iLh ••,.<'.-,^ic u;r supply
       arrangements, maintenance may becouie ,:;ore iniportant to
       iiiaintain this high combustion efficiency, than it is for
       less  complex units with 80% combustion efficiency.  As one
       example, units which channel  some gases with combustion
       products through small  air holes may experience "hole
       plugging"  with time.  An inspection  program could identify
       and correct such problems.

     "  Adv-ising Operators with "Smokiest Chimneys"
       Such  a strategy  is a combination of  an inspection program
       with  an  educational  program.   Most  of  the benefits achiev-
       able  by  such a program  would  be   associated with changes
       in operating procedures rather than  equipment repair.   It
       is probable that the 10X of operators  who burn in a manner
       producing  greatest emissions  account for more than 20% of
       total emissions.
       Despite  these potential  benefits, we assume  political  and
legal  obstacles  will make  this strategy uniuiplementable in most
communities and  thus assign no emission reduction  credit to  this
strategy.
                           V-30

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     VI.   LLLECTIOii  AMD  EVALUATION  OF  FINAL  RWC  CONTROL STRATEGIES

      Section A  describes  the  final  list  of  RWC  control strategies
selected for evaluation  and  ranking.   Section  B  describes  the evaluation
and ranking, which employs the full  (three-step)  Keppner-Tregoe
jvdlijction  process.

n.  SELECT I On OF FliiAL R'wC CONTROL  STRATEGIES

      , :any  combinations  and  variations  of the  R'.iC control  strategy
 :u-. ,;i'.^ described and evaluated  in  Section  IV conic  je used  to control
,>,.C ii,^uc:s under a  variety  of local conditions.   The list of i"!»;C
control strategies described in this section is  considered to be a
cross section of practical,  effective  strategies.   They were  selected
to represent one or  more of  the following:

    .   • Leading examples of  RWC control strategies  implemented  else-
        where and which seem viable for implementation  in  other
        locations;

       • Combinations of strategy elements  recommended for  evaluation
        by  air pollution control agency staff, or  study team  members;

       •Other combinations which seemed promising,  based on the evalua-
        tion of individual control strategy  elements  (Section  IV),
        Rl-jC emissions reduction potential  (Section V), and other con-
        siderations
      Trie "availability" of some of the key elements of these  strategies
depends upon the adoption of local ordinances, or the establishment
of financing programs - e.g., loans for weatherization.  However,  most
of these proposed strategy elements have a precedent - e.g., an  actual
                                  VI-1

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situation in ,,mci! comparable ordnances cr financing has jeen  estab-
lished.  Accordingly, for purposes of this evaluation, these elements
vvere assui.ieo to be feasible.
      Table 9 summarizes tne fifteen RUC particulate control strategies
selected for final evaluation using the full (three-step) Keppner-Treyoe
process.  The following subsections describe fifteen hypothetical iV.,C
control strategies selectee for final evaluatiori anc rankiny.   The
liiajor elegants of each strategy arc- Driefly described, followed by
additional  comments.

      1.  Testing ana Certification as Prerequisite to Sale or
          Installation of »'oou Stove/Furnace
             .iianoatory emissions testing and certification that emis-
              sions do not exceed'standards (£5 g/kg) established
              oy government, is required to allow sale or installation
              of wood stoves/furnaces.
             •Government provides and operates facilities for testing,
              and adopts standard test procedure.
             •Equipment certified for sale must be labeled as to its
              tested emission rate (g/kg of wood burned).
             •Government publishes results of all tests and requires
              retailer to provide this information to prospective
              buyers.
             •Government recoups  some costs by charyin<_ fees for testing
              and certification to manufacturers.
             •Applies  to new and  replacement or retrofit  units  anywhere
              within  jurisdiction of  adopting  agency.
             •Building permit  required to install new or  replacement
              stove/furnace.   Only certified units  can  obtain permit.

            This  strategy is  the  first of five  based  on testing  emissions
     from  stoves/furnaces  using  standardized  test  procedures developed
     by government.   In  the  first four  of  these, government also
     provides test facilities  and conducts  the  testing,  recouping
                                VI-2

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       Ll./
Strategy  ir7


Strategy  ffC

Strategy  #9

Strategy  #10

Strategy  #11

Strategy  £12

Strategy  #13


Strategy  #14

Strategy  £15
                    i estiny'Certif •;cation  as  Prerequisite to  Sales or
                    Installation of ,;ew  Stoves/Furnaces
         as _'.<;S", ^  ."or  . ioriL.dtor
                             o
                                                           ,  o   ,\e,- Stov
                   Furnaces Prior to Sales;  Label  Specifies Emissions
                   Performance and Efficiency

                   r u r- -, +• ,. • • , - o    t I.* n ' '   T -, • <  ,~ *• ,-w-i - t- • c ', - - r. r, '
                   ^» L .  G i^ t. ^ j ' O ^  ., i L11 ^ j   i u A  U f trO i L, x ^'i ou . \.JO /


                                    fv  "^  i •';-!.; b ,,i"j  i )'(.:(.£ .-.SSOC 1 at 1 Oii
  .- 3 '. i ' , / , , o u
i.uiiuetory  
-------
as ;..'uch costs as possible by charging Manufacturers to test their'
jriits.  In the fifth strategy described below, emissions testing
and   labeling is carried out by an RUC Industry Trade Associa-
tion.
       The government established ceiling on emissions allowed is
5  g/kg of wood burned.  Any stove/furnace must emit £5 g/kg to be
certified, and only certified units may be sold or installed.  The
building permit required to install new, replacement, or retrofit
units  is intended to help enforce the strategy.  The larger the
geographic area in which this strategy was applied, the more effective
it would be, with fewer opportunities for nonregulated markets to
legally offer non-certified units.
       Besides emissions, units could also be tested for combustion
and  .thermal  efficiencies, if desired.
2.  Testing and Certification as Prerequisite to Sale or
    Installation Plus Tax Credit
       •Same as Strategy #1, plus financial incentive in form
        of a tax credit.
       •A $400.00 tax credit would be available to purchasers
        of new certified stoves/furnaces.  This is 33% of the
        assumed average cost of $1200.00 for certified commer-
        cialized stoves/furnaces (see Appendix A, Section A).

      Other types of financial incentives could be used - e.g.,
direct rebates of a portion of the purchase pric"e.  This tax
credit was used itt Section VAT of this report, in estimating
potential particulate emissions reductions achievable by various
strategy approaches.
                           VI-4

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 5.  .Tesfin.j as ^asis for .Mandatory Lapel inc; Prior to Sales

        • ilaudatory testing to determine emissions of all stoves/
         furnaces offered for sale.
        •Government provides and operates facilities for testing,
         ar,c adopts standara test procedure.
        •  ';! equipment sold must be labeled os Lc 'ts le^tcc
         v.,iJS'ion rate (j/kcj of wood burned;.
        •uovernuient publishes results of all tests and requires
         retailers to provide this information to prospective
         vr/ers.
        •..c.'Vcrrih.ent recoups some costs by charging fees for testing
         and labeling.
        •Applies  to new and replacement or  retrofit  units any-
         v/here  in the jurisdiction of adopting agency.
        •Enforcement by inspection of retail outlets for non-
         labeled  units.

       In  this  approach,  all  stoves/furnaces sold commercially
must be tested by government and labeled as to their emissions
rate (g/kg).   This strategy  relies on publicity to  encourage
consumers to purchase  cleaner  burning stoves and furnaces  - i.e.,
determining and  publicizing  their emissions rates -  much like
publicizing automobile  gasoline mileage  test results.
       However, whereas  better  gasoline mileage can  save money
for purchasers of  autos, better emissions performance has  little
or no  direct monetary payoff,  except  to  the extent  that higher
combustion efficiency  (less  unburned  exhaust  products)  increases
overall- efficiency and decreases  the  chance of house fire  from excessive
creosote build-up.   Cleaner  burning stoves  may well  be  more expensive too,
due to extra engineering or materials costs.   Without the  regulatory pro-
hibition against selling units with high emissions,  which  strategies #1 
have, consumers are  free to purchase "dirtier" units, and  probably would
                             VI-5

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 if they are cheaper.   For those reasons, this testing/labeling strategy
 approach was assumed to be only 20% effective in reducing particulate
 emissions  (see Section II Bla(3)).  This is, only 1 in 5 new stoves/
 furnaces purchased under this strategy approach would be the cleaner
 units (i.e., emit <5 g/kg).

 4.  Testing/Mandatory  Labeling Plus Tax Credit
      • Same as Strategy 13, plus tax credit.
      • A  $400.00 (33%) tax credit would be available to purchasers
        of new stoves/furnaces which emit <5 g/kg of particulate.
    The tax credit assumed to double the effectiveness of Strategy #3
 (to 40%) but not equal  the effectiveness of either  strategy  #1  or  #2,
which allow only certified stoves to be sold.  Table 7 in Section  V
summarizes the estimated  emissions reductions achievable for each  of
these first four strategies.

3.   Testing/Rating By RVJC In'dustry Trade Association

       • RWC Industry Trade Association establishes  facility  to
        test burning units for emissions (and efficiency).
       •All association members must participate and all of  their
        commercially available units must be tested in order
        to be  rated.
       •Emissions  rates (g/kg)  must be labeled on burning units
        offered  for  sale.
       •Trade  Association  must  aggressively publicize its rating
        system  and urge consumers  to buy only rated units, and
        to  minimize  emissions,  consistent with other desirable
        features - e.g.,  energy efficiency,  heating needs,
        appearance,  etc..
      •Mandatory  labeling  also must include information on  sizing
        burning  units to match  heating needs - i.e.,  how much
        space can  be  heated with  unit,  at various insulation
        levels.
                           VI-6

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       •association must publish information explaining importance
        of not oversizi'ng heating units, and how to select proper
        size, using industry ratings.

      This approach is like Strategy #3 above, but with industry
 instead of government implementing it.  It has precedent in other
traoe association testing programs like the testing anc rating
of refrigeration equipment by the Air Conditioning ana Refrigera-
tion Institute and electrical equipment testing by the Under-
v/riters Laboratory.  This strategy approach calls for a vigorous
•industry effort to publicize test results, and even to encourage
use of cleaner, properly used units.  The traditionally neutral
role of trade associations  regarding purchase  of particular
classes of products might make  this  strategy  hard to  implement.
      There also is no stove/furnace emission  standard  which
is uniformly accepted, or government approved  test  procedures.
This strategy relies upon the industry to  monitor itself, and
to develop internal  means of encouraging cleaner burning stoves/
furnaces.   There is no effective way of forcing diligent effort
by industry,  except perhaps  a commitment by government  to do  so
if industry is not conscientious.  This  strategy would  only be
feasible on a national  level,  not  local.

u.  .;eatherization of All Households

       •Establish Energy Conservation/Air Quality office in
        government to coordinate and aggressively promote
        weatherization benefits, and help citizens get it done.
       •Mandatory weatherization of all households to minimum
        cost-effective standards or better,  beginning four years
        from effective date of enabling local  ordinance.   Prior
        to this, weatherization is voluntary,  giving  owners time
        to plan for compliance, and eager households  the
        opportunity to obtain earlier benefits.
                            VI-7

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        •/vpltCuulc to :• 11  residences  up  to 4-plex  in  size,  ana
         ouilt. prior to ...  (oate adequate  insulation  stariJarcs
         for new homes adopted in a  given community).
        •Ueatherization requirement  applies within  9 months  of
         requested  change  in  utility service and  is the  respon-
         sibility of the nev,'  owner,  or  landlord for a  rental
         occupancy  change;  or at  time of  installation  of  a wood
         burning appliance  in a residence.
        •Applies to homes heated  with electricity,  oil,  or natural
         yas.
        •Utility inspects premises,  assists  owner in obtaining
         reputable  contractor or  in  doing work himself.   Utility
         inspects anc  approves final work and pays for it.   Where
         weatherization  is required  due to  new RwC appliance,
         utility helps  determine  proper sizing vs. insulation
         levels.
        •Owner repays  utility at  a monthly  rate such that his
         cost  for weatherization  plus heating fuel is not greater
         than  his cost  of fuel without weatherization.

       In Section  V  weatherization is estimated to be one  of
the more effective strategy  approaches to reducing RWC particulate
emissions.  This is the first of two weatherization strategies
evaluated,  both  intended to  reduce RWC emissions by reducing
the space heating  requirements of RWC-households.  This particu-
lar  approach would require eventual weatherization of all  under
insulated households, beginning four years  after its  adoption,
allowing a  voluntary phase in period.  It is modeled  after pro-
grams in Eugene  and Portland, Oregon (see Section II  F), and
includes a  leading role for both  government and  private utilities
(oil, gas,  and electric).
      Its most controversial  element could  be its financing
requirement that payments  on  no-  or  low-interest  weatherization
                           VI-8

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 loans not exceed the previous cost of fuel  v/ithout weatherization.
 Lenders might balk at such a flexible arrangement.  Not much
 data is available yet from existing weatherization programs to
 reveal  how much pre-weatherization fuel  costs  are actually lowered
 by insulation.   However,  an attractive financial  incentive is
 needed  to r.iEke  the :i;>jh initial  cost of  weatherization  politically
 tjolataole as  well  as affordable  to a large  segment of  the
 population.   Weatherization has  obvious  energy conservation
 benefits, and has  been  promoted  primarily for this  purpose.
 7.   Mandatory  Weatherization  Only  for  Households  Installing  New
     Wood  Stove/Furnace

        •Weatherization  to minimum  cost-effective  standards or
        cost effective  level  is  required  to  install  a  new
        (including  replacement)  stove/furnace  in  a  residence,
        hotel,  or restaurant.
        •Effective in  four years  from date of enabling  ordinance
        enactment.
        •Financing from  low- or no-interest loans  from  government
        or utilities, who also provide technical  assistance  and
        referral to contractors  or  lenders.
        •Require permit  for stove/furnace  installation, and
        evaluation of proper  size for RWC equipment, based on
        insulation requirements, during permit review.
                                                •*

      This approach would require weatherization  only  for house-
holds and commercial buildings installing new  (including replace-
ment) wood stoves/furnaces.   Other RWC-households would be
encouraged to voluntarily weatherize by allowing  them  to obtain
                            VI-9

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 the  same  financial  aid.   Tins  approach  is  patterned  after  similar
 iv.iC  controls  adoptee  in  Jackson County  vMedford} Oregon  (Section
 II E).
      Since presumably fewer households would weatherize,  less
 loan funds would be needed.  Cost-effective  insulation levels
would be  defined as those capable of cost  payback  in 5-7 years,
baseo on  saved conventional fuel costs.  However,  this approach
unlike Strategy #6, does  not try to assume that the monthly costs
of weatherization  (loan)  plus  conventional heating fuel costs
do not exceed pre-weatherization fuel costs.
      Enforcement  by  installation permit 'will be more or less
effective Cependinc, upon  ti;s incentive for stove purchasers to
circumvent this regulatory approach.  If such persons feel
unfairly  singled out, and initial costs are too burdensome, cir-
cumvention may be  high.  This  approach also may discourage
replacement of older  stoves/furnaces with newer, cleaner burning
models, and/or discourage initial purchase of wood stoves/
furnaces.  These two factors would have opposite effects on RWC
emissions reductions over time.

8.  Firewood Moisture Content Control
       •Government would undertake a major public relations cam-
        paign to promote proper seasoning of firewood, including
        use of broadcast media, brochures, and other forms of
        public information.
       •Commercial firewood suppliers selling more than 10 cords
        per year would be required by law to state moisture
        content; moisture content meters would be made available
        to such parties at low or no cost.
       •Cooperation of agencies or private companies who supply
        firewood would be sought - e.g., to encourage firewood
        gathering as far as possible in advance of the heating
        season.

                           VI-10

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        •Information and possibly  technical  assistance  in  proper
        wood storage would be  provided.

      This strategy will reduce emissions from  fireplaces  as
v/ell as stoves/furnaces, although most of the emissions reductions
are estimated to occur for stoves/furnaces.  Section V
estimates that the potential emission re::uct ,ur,s_ fr\,,.  -lOisiure
control are among the highest  of  al1 strategy approaches  evaluated
(see Table  7).
      This strategy's effectiveness depends on  tne degree  to
v,'nch ^uulic infor^cit ton can persuace pcu^le 10  ^ry their  v.'ocd
more effectively, thereby lowering the average  moisture content
of firewood used.  In Section  VB2 a a 2" reduction in wood
moisture content was estimated to be reasonably  achievable.
This reduction was estimated to reduce Ri-.'C  particulate emissions
by  6.2% for an area like Portland, Oregon, with  about 92% of
the reductions coming from stove/furnace emissions.  The  high
percentage of emissions reductions from stoves/furnaces occurs
for several reasons, including:   a) a high  percentage  (70%) of
total RWC emissions is attributable to stoves/furnaces; and,
b) stove emissions  factors are more sensitive to moisture content
than fireplace emissions rates (compare slopes  of combustion
efficiency curves in Figures  3 and 4 -jn Section V).

9.  Stove Sizing

       •Government would encourage proper sizing of new wood
        burning  units,  promoting the minimum siz£ unit consistent
        with desired heat output and insulation requirements.
       •Public information would be provided on the benefits
        and method of selecting a stove/furnace of appropriate
        size.
                           VI-11

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        ••ctiilers of stoves/furnaces would be suppl iec with ana
         required to i.;ake tlvis  information available to purchasers
         before they buy.
        •A permit (e.g., building permit) would be required to
         install a wood stove/furnace.  Part of the permit
         application process would be an evaluation of the size
         of the burning unit vis a vis the space it will heat.

       Decreases in average house size, increasing stove/furnace
 costs, and increasing weatherization are among factors that will
 tend to naturally decrease the average size of wood burning units
 in the future.  At least one national expert believes that the
 average stove firebox size will decrease by about 40% by 199C.24
 In Section V, decreases in average stove size of 10% by
 1990 and 15% by 2000 were estimated to afford decreases in RWC
 particulate emissions of 7% and 10.5% respectively (Table 7).
       This strategy potentially affords both significant emissions
 reductions and savings to those consumers who would otherwise
 have bought a larger, more expensive stove.   Less creosote
 problems also should occur, because a properly sized stove can
 operate with more efficient combustion at a  given burn rate.
 Some inconvenience may result in that smaller average wood charge
 size may require inore frequent charging.

1C.  Encourage Larger Wood Piece Size

       •  Government would  conduct research to  confirm that
         increased average piece size reduces  emissions,  and to
         determine optimum piece size.
       *  Government would  encourage  burning of larger  average
         size pieces  of firewood through public  information.
                            VI-12

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       This strategy approach seei.is to offer the potential  for
 significant (11-12%; Table: 7 /  reductions in i<>;C e,';,issions v.'ith
 no  inconvenience to operators.   However,  since the emissions
 reductions estimate was based on a single emissions test  conducted
                     1 •;
 on  an  airtight  stove ', further research  is needed to confirm
 or  refute  this  potential  uefore a major promotional  effort "is
 vj 11 c e r t £ k e n.
       The  strategy presently is assumed to reduce  emissions only
 for  stoves/furnaces not fireplaces,  pending further research.

 ": .   require  Fireplaces  To Have  Underfire  Air Source

        •Government would  conduct  research  to confirm  the emis-
        sions benefits  of underfire air.   If significant benefits
        are  confirmed,  government would require  new fireplace
        installations to  include underfire air devices.
        •Government would  require through building code or
        ordinance  that  new fireplaces include a  simple device
        for  introducing air  under the combustion zone.
      This strategy's emissions  reduction benefits are  limited
to fireplaces, which will represent  a decreasing fraction of
total RWC emissions according to Task 3 analyses.  The  basis for
the estimate in Section  V   of  emissions reduction benefits
from underfire air was a single, limited series of emissions
tests.    Accordingly, additional tests of th'is effect  should
be done before it is promoted by government, especially for
retrofit of existing fireplaces.  However, its low cost and high
potential  emissions reduction, based on limited data, warrant
priority research attention.  Modification of a fireplace to
have underfire air should cost less than $100.00.
                           VI-13

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12.  Episode Controls

        •Voluntary curtailment of RUC whenever 24-hour particulate
         levels  (TSP) exceed established levels:  TSP 150 ug/m0,
         or 60 yg/m  of "respirable" particulate (_<2um).
        •Mandatory curtailment of Rl-.C duriny such episodes If
         voluntary approach does not prevent further air quality
         deterioration during trie next 3 years - i.e., if peak
         and average pollutant levels worsen.
        •Enforcement by visual opacity checks (day only) and
         revocation of permit required for installation of RWC
         equipment.
        •Public education  (media; brochure) to promote positive
         attitude towards  program which could increase compliance.

       This strategy is based on a similar program (see Section
 II D)  adopted in Missoula, Montana and in Vail, Colorado.
 Bedford,  Oregon also has  adopted siniilar episode controls as
 part of a multi-faceted RVJC control program (see Section II E).
 The chief benefit of this strategy is emissions reductions on
 worst  air quality days, estimated at 33% per episode day in
 Section  v.   The extent to which such air intermittent strategy
 would  reduce seasonal  or  annual  average emissions depends upon
 the number of episode days per season or per year.

13.   Research and Development of Improved RWC Equipment or
     Operating Procedures

        •Government would undertake and/or promote private or
         academic research and development of improved RWC
         appliances  and practices  and actively disseminate  the
         resulting information  to private parties for commer-
         cialization,  and to the  general  public to encourage use
         of improved  RWC appliances and practices.
                            VI-14

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        •'oov-jrn...eni ^rov^^i .-. rr^j,  rVi ly  ^taffec e., .ssions ttst.
         facility,  cinci Develops stancardizeci test procedures.
         These are  made available at  low cost for promising
         research,  along with technical  advice and assistance,
         to  researchers with promising ideas.
        • uoverniuent offers  attractive monetary av/aros  (S5U,JGO
         above costs,  Lu designer or  manufacturer of first WOOL
         burning  stove that emits <_!  
-------
 units.   These  are  needed  to  encourage  innovative  designs,  by
 ^roviuuin  inexpensive  information  to guide  design/development
 of  improved  equipment/practices.   Research  incentives,  such as
 the  prizes described  above,  would  be supplemented by  active pro-
 motion  and encouragement  of  promising  research, through  research
 grants,  seminars,  publication  of  results,  etc..
      ;,o attempt v/as  made to estimate  potential Ill.'C emissions
 reductions attributable  to R&U efforts because  they are  too
 unpredictable,  and because R&D funding would be especially hard
 to  obtain  in the present  sluggish  or depressed  economy.

':> •   Encouraging Alternative  Fuels

        •To discourage  RWC for  space heating, the  government could
         undertake  efforts to encourage alternative fuels use,
         including  the  following measures:
         • Require  utilities  to offer lower  rates  for  space heating
           with oil, natural  gas,  or electricity,  by allowing or
           encouraging  compensating rate increases for other uses.

         • Encourage lifeline electricity rates.
         • Promote  the use of passive solar energy for space
           heating, natural gas radiant heaters  or fireplaces.
        •Restrict firewood supply  by:
         • Limiting access to state and federal  lands  for fire-
           wood cutting to spring  and summer.
         • Limiting total  firewood removal  from  state  and federal
           lands, based on analysis of  air  quality impacts of
           local  use.
        .Encourage  alternative  uses of  logging residues  - e.g.,
         subsidizing pilot programs for use in pulp and  paper
         making,  or thermal power  plants of appropriate  scale.
                            VI-16

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       1,;', s is the on\j strategy approac,*  tnot Directly  attempts
 to o", scourace U'.fC over the long-ten, -  i.e., dz.te:,.pts tc ois-
 ccurage new kUC-households and induce existing Ui.C-households
 to cease RWC or to rely more on other means of space heating.
 The first  three measures mentioned  above  provide positive alter-
 natives  to RWC by encouraging the use of  solar energy cr conven-
 tion fuels.  The last three i.,easures simply restrict wood supply
 cirectly,  which could prove unpopular, and hence politically
 difficult  to implement.  Encouragement of conventional fuels
 -  especially oil - is contrary to national policy ot increasing
 energy independence,  .iowever, conventional fuel use ,,iay be  less
 rol lut'ing,  and offer more stable supply than firewood.

15.  Periodic Inspection of RWC Equipment

        •Require annual inspection and maintenance of residential
         wood-fired space heaters, by professional chimney sweeps
         in designated problem areas.
        •Inspections would test emissions of home heating equip-
         ment and evaluate safety.
        •Identified equipment maintenance requirements must be
         corrected within 30 days to avoid civil  penalty (up to
         $500.00) and reporting of the deficiencies to fire
         insurance companies.
        •Inspectors also could provide information and technical
         assistance on RUC practices such as wood storage and
         stove  operation.
        •Roving  inspectors could respond to visual evidence of
         poor  Rv-iC practices,  or complaints of same.

       Some  European  countries like  West Germany  (Section II  C)
 have  long had  residential  inspection of large conventional  fueled
 residential  space  heating devices.   Extrapolating such a program
                            VI-17

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       to  solid  fuels  (wood,  coal)  may prove less  productive  since  a
       solid  fueled  stove  cannot  be cleaned and  tuned  for  iir.proveo  fuel
       efficiency  like  an  oil  burner can.   wood  burning  stoves  equipped
       with a catalyst  unit  to enhance combustion  could  be  checked  for
       retraining catalyst  life/effectiveness to  assure more timely
       replacement.  Also, as  stoves Decode more sophisticated,  the need
       for periodic  inspection/maintenance  increases,  if high coi.ibustion
       efficiency  is to  be iiiai ritai ned.
             Inspection  for  safety  purpose  - e.g.,  creosote build-up
       in flue - could  be  the  cornerstone of this  approach, since so
                                                  ?5
       many nome tires  can oe  associated with  RUC.
             Inspection  i;,ay  be  rr.ost  effective  where the  number  and  lype
       of RUC devices is controlled  -  e.g.,  where  only tested/certified
       units  can be sold or  installed,  or for  subdivisions  or other
       residential developments where  the developer can  impose  restric-
       tions  on RWC.
      The Section IV evaluations indicated that the most effective
types of RWC controls include:  proper sizing of wood burning units,
home weatherization, emissions testing and certification of RUC
appliances as a condition of sale and use, incentives to use cleaner
burning appliances, and wood moisture controls.  The fifteen final
strategies utilize all of these approaches and various combinations
with supplementary strategy elements.
      For example, the first five final strategies are based upon
testing and certification or labeling of RWC appliances, and in several
cases, compliance with minimum emissions standards is required.  Severa:
different weatherization approaches are proposed - one requiring
weatherization of all  households (#6), another requiring it only to
install a new RUC appliance (#7).   Proper sizing of RWC burning units
                                 VI-18

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is e,,iphasi zee. in the first  seven  strategies.  Likewise,  incentives
and v.ooo iiioisture controls  are emphasized  in  several  strategies.
      Disincentives to Ri.'C  also could  be employed  - e.g.,  an emissions
tax to discourage-use of more polluting RWC appliances.  This was not
included  in the final strategies  evaluated because the price elasticity
of dei;iana was too difficult to determine.  Also one would  expect  the
jutcci-.e or benefits ~u be sii.rllar to those obtained with tax credits
iStrategies ,-rZ, ;-4;.  Strategy ,,'14 contains the disincentive of
restricting firewood supply.

...  KEPPNER-TilEGOE EVALUATION OF  FINAL RWC CONTROL STRATEGIES

      The full three-step Keppner-Tregoe evaluation process describee
in Section III was applied  to the fifteen  final RWC control strategies
summarized in Figure 6.  All strategies satisfied  all MUST criteria,
with one major caveat.  Full implementation of a number of the
strategies would require the establishment of financing programs  or
additional legal authority, through adoption  of local ordinances  or
possibly state laws.  Adequate legal authority, and commitments of
resources to implement proposed RWC control programs  would be necessary
to include any of them in an air  pollution control program for a  local
area that could be officially approved by  the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency as "meeting all legal requirements  established  by
the Clean Air Act" (MUST criteria #2).

      1.  Ranking the Final Strategies Using WANT  Criteria and
          Risk Factors
                       •
            The evaluation  of all fifteen  strategies  v'ersus the twelve
      WANT criteria is documented in Appendix E.   This appendix contains
      individual scores assigned to each strategy, for each WANT
      criteria (Appendix E, Table E2), and explains some of the major
      reasons for the scores given.  It also describes the major  adverse
                                 VI-19

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                                                     FIGURE 6

                                 Summary for Fifteen Final  RWC Control  Strategies
                                           of the Keppner-Tregoe Ranking
                                                        vs
                               WANT Criteria and Major Strategy Costs and Benefits*
RWC Control  Strategy
                    1
                                 Keppner-Treoge  Ranking
                                    vs WANT  Criteria2
                                 (Rank)        (Points)
                Estimated
              Implementation
                Costs3 ($)
                                3 4
                        Benefits '  of Implementation
Testing/Certi fication;
Tax Credit (Strategy #2)
                                    1
535
-$50.000      K
-$130,000/year
-$1.8 -7.2 million
 per year tax credits
                                                                                    7
•Potential  Emissions  Reduction  (%)
 1985      1990      1995      2000
                                                                                                  11
                                                                                                           30
                                                                   39
Testing/Certi fication
(Strategy #1)
Larger Firewood Piece Size
(Strategy #10)


Testing/Labeling; Tax Credit
(Strategy #4)
                                                 508
                                                 490
                                                 469
              -$130,000/year
              -$50,0005
                                                               -$45,000/year
              -$50,000b
              -$160,000/year
              -$0.8 - 3.2 million
               per year tax credits
                         -Potential Emissions Reduction (%)
                         1985     1990     1995     2000

                           2        8       22       30

                         -Potential Emissions Reduction:

                               11.5%

                         -Potential Emissions Reduction (%)
                         1985     1990     1995     2000
                                                                                    7
                                                                                          1
                                                                                                           15
                                                     21
  From Table 9.

  From Appendix E.
  From Appendix F.
                                       One  time  start-up  costs.

                                       Annual  administrative  costs.
  From Appendix D.
                                       Based  on  $400  per  certified  unit;
                                       5,000  to  20,000  total  units  sold,
                                       and  %  of  total units  sold  assumed
                                       to  be  certified  units.
* Refer to discussion in text regarding
 assumptions used in arriving at rankings.             VI-20

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RWC Control Strategy
                    1
                                                   FIGURE 6 (Cont.)
Stove Testing/Rating by
Trade Association
(Strategy #5)
Keppner-Tregoe Ranking
   vs WANT Criteria2
(Rank)        (Points)
Encourage Alternate Fuels
(Strategy #14)

Research and Development
(Strategy #13)
Stove Sizing
(Strategy #9)
Testing/Labeling
(Strategy #3)
Mandatory Weatherization
for All Households
(Strategy #6)
  10
                458
                445
                443
                438
                432
422
               Estimated
             Implementation
               CostsJ ($)
                               3 4
                       Benefits '  of Implementation
              Not quantifiable
              Not quantifiable
              -$45,000/year
              -$50,000b
              -$130,000/year
-$150,000 to
 $600,OOO6
-$1,400 to
 $1,500 per
 household

•$50,000/year5'J7
•$130,000/year '
                        Not quantifiable
                        Not quantifiable;  but significant
                        - can enable many  other strategies
                        to have their efficiencies  improved

                        -Potential  Emission Reduction  (%):
                              1990      2000
                                                                                              7%
                                                                     10.5%
                        -Potential  Emission Reduction (%)
                         1985     1990     1995     2000
                                                                                          1
                                                                                   11
                                      •Potential  Emission Reduction (%)
                                              1990         1995

                                           3.5  -  16.O8  7.0  -  16.O8
-Potential  Emission Reduction (%):
 1985     1990     1995     2000
                                                                                          1
                                                                           8
                                                                   11
1
  From Table 9.

  From Appendix E.

  From Appendix F.
  From Appendix D.
      One time start-up costs.
      Annual  administrative costs.
   7  Costs paid by private sector.
   8
      Emissions  reduction  depends  on  assumptions
      used  regarding  changes  in  RWC practices
      after weatherization.
                                                      VI-21

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                                                   FIGURE 6 (Cont.)
RWC Control Strategy
                    1
Keppner-Tregoe Ranking
   vs WANT Criteria^
(Rank)        (Points)
               Estimated
             Implementation
               Costs  ($)
                               3 4
                       Benefits  '  of Implementation
Mandatory Weatherization
for New/Replacement RWC
Households
(Strategy 17)
  11
411
-$20,000 to      ,
 $80,000 per yearb
-$1,450 per house-
 hold.
-Potential  Emission Reduction
       1990          1995

   3.5  - 16.O7   7.0 -  16.O7
Moisture Controls
(Strategy #8)
  12
400
-$45,000/year
         6.2%
Episode Controls
(Strategy #12)

Annual Inspection
(Strategy #15)
Underfire Air Controls
for New Fireplaces
(Strategy #11)
  13


  14
  15
381


321
-$25,000    (•
-$8,000/year

-$.75 to 1.5
 million/year
 for an area
 with 50,000 tofi
100,000 stoves.

-$.1 to .3 mill ion/
 year installation
 costs for an area
 with 1,000-3,000 new
 fireplaces per year.
33% reduction on Episode days
                                                      -No emissions  reductions credited,
                                                      -18% less home fires (est.).
                                                      -Lower fire insurance costs.
                                                      -Potential  Emission  Reduction
                                                                1990     2000
                                                                                                   1%
                                                                           2%
  From Table 9.

  From Appendix E.

  From Appendix F.

  From Appendix D.
    One time  start-up  costs.

    Annual  administrative  costs.

    Emissions reduction depends on assumptions
    used  for changes in RWC operation after
    Weatherization.
                                                       VI-22

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      cxr.s•-•^Jtrioes  viVisx, Factors,1  identified with  Ti,.plei,ientinij  each
      strategy  \nppenoix £, Figure  Elj.   These were  not  considered
      sufficiently  problematic to warrant changing the ranking  estab-
      lisneo by the total .1ANT criteria  scores assigned  to  each
      strategy.
            The final ranking of all fifteen strategies  versus  all
      twelve ;;AiiT criteria is shown  in Figure 6.   This represents  the
      relative  satisfaction of all  twelve U'ANT criteria  simultaneously
      - not the relative RWC emissions reduction potential  which was
      only one  of the twelve criteria.

c.  ::L:^; c^sTi  /•„;;; JL.ILFITS OF  FINAL  RWC COK-TI-OL  STRATEGIC

      As described  in Section III E, as  a companion  analysis  to the
Keppner-Tregoe  evaluation of strategies,  selected  costs  and benefits
of implementing the strategies were  considered.  For  the fifteen final
RWC control strategies, the estimation of such costs  and benefits  is
described in Appendix F.  The results of  this analysis- are  the  costs
and benefits summarized in Figure 6.
      Cost estimates presented include mostly administrative  costs.
These are often quite speculative,  although they are  based  on experi-
ence from existing  agency programs,  or expert opinion, where  such
information was available.  While public  and private  sector costs
were considered, no extensive data  gathering on this  was feasible  for
this study, so the  resulting cost estimates are preliminary and approx-
imate.  Nevertheless, they serve to indicate gross differences  or
similarities in the relative administrative costs of  implementing
various strategies.
      The benefits  summarized are intended to highlight the major
achievements anticipated by implementing each strategy.  The  first
such achievement is a quantitative  estimate, if available,  of the  amount
by which the strategy could reduce  RWC emissions, either in the short-
er long-term.   Section V (and Appendix D) is the source of  these
                                 VI-23

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                                                              -r -
estimates.  Other benefits  include achievements such as energy cu.r.s
vation, satety erii'.aricei,;eirc, avoiding "inconvenience, eic..  [juf.cM^
not quantifiable include the incremental  health and visibility
benefits from the pollution avoided.
      Figure 6 summarizes the costs and benefits estimated in Appendix F,
along with the overall ranking of the 15 strategies against all WANT criteria.
 1 .  L>est Emissions  Reductions

      The t',,G  strategies  v/hich  ranked  highest  against  all  '.JAi;T
 criteria (Strategies £2 and  #1 )  also provide the  highest  percent-
 age reduction  in RWC particulate  emissions  - 39%  and 30%  respec-
 tively, by the year 2000.  Both  involve mandatory testing/certif-
 ication and prohibition of the  sale of wood stove/furnace  models
 which can't comply with government emission standards  (£5 g/kg
 suggested standard).
      This strategy approach is  very effective  over time  in lower-
 ing emissions, as these new  units replace existing stoves/furnaces
 which emit, on the average,  four  times as much  particulate
 pollution.   This approach requires years for its  maximum  benefits
 to accummulate.
      Both strategies restrict consumer choices dramatically,
which could produce public opposition, if such  limitations are
 perceived to have caused the price of  remaining stoves to  rise unrea-
 sonably.  To help avoid this the top ranked strategy (#2)  includes
 a financial  incentive (33% tax credit  estimated at $400/unit in 1984)
This in turn makes this the most expensive  strategy of all  those
 reviewed,  with likely annual costs (tax revenues  foregone)  in
the millions of dollars for a program  of statewide scope.
      Such costs seem to be appropriate and manageable.  Oregon has
spent hundreds of millions of dollars  over  the  last decade in
                           VI-24

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  pollution  control  tax  credits  for  industrial  control  equipment.
  The  Brewing  evidence that  Rt.'C  particulate  emissions  approach
  or surpass those  of  industrial  sources  in  many  cases  ie.g.,  Port-
  land,  Oregon)  argues strongly  for  shifting some pollution  control
  tax  credit resources to  address  RUC.
        Another  potential  hurdle  in  implementing  the testinq/cer-
  t.ficacion approach  are  possible difficulties ~,:.  enact i ,•,.,  le^cl
  autncrity  to prohio'it  coi..,;;ercial sales  of  nor-cer.; f \c^  j..rr;i;r_,
  units.

  2.   Least  Cost  Emission  Reductions

        uased on  tlie analyses  (and assumptions) in  this report,
  a jroup of strategies  emerge which potentially  offer  significant
  RWC emissions reductions, with minimal  cost and  inconvenience,
  and high public acceptance.  They would appear  to offer  by far
  the most substantial RWC emissions reductions,  at the least cost
  - especially if they are implemented in combination,  as  explained
                                 4,
  below.
       There is one major caveat  - the estimated emission reduc-
 tions from these strategies have high uncertainty for two reasons.
 First, their research basis is thin.  Second, they rely on public
 information to change RUC practices, and human behavior  is notably
 uncertain and difficult to predict.
       The strategies with their estimated R'.JC emissions reductions
 in parenthesis  include:  encouraging larger firewood piece size
 (11.5%),  moisture  content ( 6.2%.),  stove sizing  (7-10%), and;
 episode controls (33% on  episode days).   All are based on public
 education.   The first three could be jointly implemented with
 annual  administrative costs that are modest (estimated less than
 5100,000  in Appendix  F) compared with the other  strategies evalu-
 ated  here.  The combined  emissions  reductions  of these three
•strategies  is 23%  by  about  1990 [(1.0 -  .062)0.0 -  .115)
 (1.0  -  .07} = .77].   This surpasses both of the  top  ranked
                           VI-25

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 (testint/certification/ strategies, which are estimated to achieve
 12-17% eiiiissions reductions by 19SO at twice the cost,  or ir.uch
 higher,  if tax credits or other financial incentives are offered.
       However, the equations used to estimate emissions reductions
 from all  three strategies are based on limited lab tests uy a
 single researcher (different in each case),  although the general
 phenomena may have been ooservec by several  researchers.   These
 strategies are thus pri^.e candidates for further research to
 determine whether they really oo offer the .nost  cost-effective
 r<,-;C  controls.

 3.   Research  and Development

       Despite  the fact that  no  emission  reduction  estimate could
 be made for this strategy,  it still  ranked highly  (5th  overall)
 in the Keppner-Tregoe  process.   It  is  the key which  could open
 the  door  to emission reductions from a wide  range  of strategies.
 This  point  is  illustrated  in the  section above which discusses
 educational strategies to  change  operating practices.   These
 strategies may well be the most cost-effective strategies for
 reducing  RWC emissions over  the next 10-20 years,  but additional
 research  is needed  to  verify this.
      Of  all research  and  development  funding  categories,  the
 greatest  need  appears  to  be  for the  development  of simpler  and
 less  expensive  emission measuring techniques  for RWC.   This would
 facilitate not  only testing/certification or  testing/labeling
 strategies, but  also help researchers  refine  the basic  equations
which describe  how RWC emissions are affected  by key variables
 such  as moisture  content, piece size and  charge  size.

4.  Emissions Testing/Labeling  Strategies

      Three testing/labeling  strategies  (#3,#4, and #5)  ranked 8th,
4th,  and llth respectively in the overall WANT criteria  ranking.
                           VI-26

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r.ll offer potentially  significant  emissions  reductions oy  I'^C-
k.^CC.  Tne largest  <-ecuctior.  occurs  with  a significant financial
incentive (33% tax  credit) which  also  greatly  increases the  program
costs.
      The emissions reduction  benefits  are significantly less
tnan those froir, Strategies .?!  and  #2 which restricted sales  to
certified units only.  This dramatic limitation on consumer  choice
was at once a major strength  and  liability for the testing/cer-
tification strategies.  The three  testing/labeling strategies
preserve consumer choice.  In  so  doing  they  are likely to  woe
ir.uch less effective in promoting  the purchase  and  installation
of stoves -emitting  £5 g/ky.   Even with the  tax credit jption,
there are likely to be cheaper stoves  available with much  poorer
emissions characteristics.

5.  u'eatheriza'cion

      The two weatherization strategies — mandatory weatherization
 for all households (#6), and mandatory weatherization only for
 households purchasing new stoves (#7)  — were ranked 9th and 12th.
 Both were judged to have relatively poor public acceptance due
 to their mandatory nature, and high initial  cost (despite  eventual
 "payback" through fuel savings)..
       In the short-term, weatherization of a household  may not yield
an emission reduction equivalent to the reduction in heat  (Btu)
requirements, because 1) the operator may continue to burn as
much wood as before and rely  less on conventional fuels, 2)  the
operator may burn at a slower burn rate with a higher emission
factor,  and 3) most operators will not  immediately replace their
existing stove with a smaller less-polluting unit.
      In the longer term, when the owner of  a weatherized  home
replaces his existing stove,  additional emission reduction
benefits may occur, if a sizing education program convinces him
                           VI-27

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 to  ^urcliase  a  smaller stove,  v.hich generally wi 11  have a lower
 particulate  ei,,ission  factor.

 6.   Public Acceptance

       The  strategies  rated  n.ost  acceptable  to the  public at  large
 unG  LO  l':l;C households in  particular generally /vere those involving
 u,u  least  'inconvenience  anc/or costs.   For  example,  Strategy
 rlO  (increasing  firewood  piece size)  ranked third  overall, with
 the  highest  possible  scores  in "public  acceptance" and "minimizing
 consumer costs".   It  costs  individuals  nothing,  and  reduces  the
 ,,'ork  of splitting  wocu, while affording  significant  (11.5/i)
 estimated emissions reductions.
      The labeling strategies (#3,  fM,  and  #5) ranked  next highest
 in public acceptance.  They provide information which  helps  the
 consumer choose  a  new  stove, without  limiting his  choices or
 raising stove prices.  The  version  with  a subsidy  (Strategy  #4)
 ranked highest of  these three.
      Ranking similarly high  in  public  acceptance  were moisture
 controls (Strategy #8) and  stove  sizing  (#9).  Both  provide  infor-
mation and rely  on voluntary compliance  with  little  or no enforce-
ment  pressure (stove  sizing involves  an  installation permit  review
process).  Episode controls (Strategy #12)  which ranks almost
as high in public  acceptance, also  would rely on voluntary compli-
ance  except under  very severe pollution  levels.
      Research and development easily ranks high in  public accep-
tance, offending no one.

7.  Lowest Ranked Strategies •

      The strategies which ranked last under the Keppner-Tregoe
analysis were fireplace underfire air and periodic inspection.
Fireplace underfire air has been reported to reduce emissions
by 40%, but this is based on a single lab test.  This  strategy
                           VI-28

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cojs ,,_,:  '..t..JrLSG  In:. K.r5osc category of i;';.'C .en'1 ssions  at  all
- s"cov_ ti,; i ss i j;.s  -  coo it applies only to new fireplaces.   It
was not assumed  to have high public acceptance.
      Periodic  inspection, although it has significant  safety
benefits, was  not  assumed to have any certain emission  reduction
benefits  in most  cases.  Tiic inspection strategy  appeared  likely
to M<:V_- ... issi'jn  r&cuctijM potential only in areas  with t; tr.sr
1 ; e ;,i_,r. fraction of Catalyst stoves (catalyst  lifetimes  are
about 2 years;,  L) a hibi. fraction of new technology  hi.jh  effici-
ency uri.t:-  ,;.iore  sophisticated units may be r.iore  likely to  neec
h.air.teriajice to  ,'c.intain !ngh performance), or 3j  a  limitoc  riUmber
of stove  models,  since inspectors then would have greater  potential
for recognizing  relatively poor performance and  maintenance needs.
Periodic  inspections was assumed to have poor public  acceptance.
                           VI-29

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                        VII.   REFERENCES
 Residential  Solid Fuels:  Environmental Impacts and Solutions,
 Proceedings  of the 1981International Conference on this topic,
 held June 1-4, 19G1  in Portland, Oregon U.S.A..  Edited by Dr.
 John A.  Cooper,  sponsored by the Oregon Graduate Center, 3eaverton,
 Crc^on.   The following papers presented at this conference are
 referenced in this report:

 a.   S.A.  Carlsson, "Residential  '..'ood Combustion in Sweden -
     Environmental  Aspects and Regulations", pp. 1160-65.

     L.ic.  Pullen  and  R. Holden,  "Design Features arid Test Experi-
     ences with Domestic Wood Fired Heaters in i'iew Zealand",
     ......  1106-7S.

 c	,art in, "European Experiences and Activities in  Assessing
     the  Environmental  Impacts from Wood Combustion^' pp.  1180-9G.

 d.   P.b.  i-iachlin,  "Residential  Solid Fuels in the Environmental
     Protection Agency  Region VIII  States", pp.  1197-1215.

 e.   J..<'.  Phillips, J.R.  Duncan,  and B.L.  Barnard,  "Regulating
     Residential Biomass  Combustion in the  Tennessee Valley Region"
     pp.  1216-28.

 f.   U.T.  Greene and  B.J.  Tornbleson, "Institutional  and  Regulatory
     Approaches to  Control Residential  Wood Burning Emissions",
     pp.  1229-52.

 g.   T.A.  Hors, T.T.  Blair, and R.H. Cole,  "Regulatory Options
     for Controlling  Emissions from Combustion of  Wood in Residen-
     tial  Applications",  pp.  1253-71.

 h.   R. Dickinson and R.C. Payne, "United Kingdom  Efficiency Tests
     and Standards  for  Residential  Solid Fuel  Heating Appliances",
     pp. 1055-88.

 i.   S. Barnett and D.  Shea,  "Effects  of Wood  Stove  Design  and
     Operation  On Condensible  Particulate Emissions", pp. 227-266.

j.   J.F.  Kowalczyk, P.B. Bosserman, and B.J.  Tonibleson,  "Particu-
     late  Emissions From New Low Emission Wood Stove Designs
    Measured by EPA Method V", pp.  54-78.

k.  J. Shelton, "Thermal Performance Testing  of Residential
    Solid Fuel Heaters", pp.   1117-59.
                             VII-1

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     }.   L.  Rudling,  R.  Ahling,  and G. Lofroth, "Chemical and Li
         Characterization  of Emissions froir Combustion of U'ooci ana
         i.ooci-chips  in  Small Furnaces and Stoves",  ^p. 54-53.

     i,i.   W.:;i.  Cooke  and  J.i-i. Allen, "Characterization of Emissions
         From  Residential  Wood Combustion Sources", pp. 139-163.

     ;;.   J.F.  ,\o',,alczyk  and ',,.T.  ^reene, ";iew Techniques For Identifying
         Mi.,bient  Air  Impacts from Residential '.-iood Heating", pp. 459-494

         _..  r'.L.Dcle,  oca! ,  "ilxpt:rv,.'.entul  measurements of Emissions
         frui.,  Residential  -.\ood-uurninc, Stoves", pp. 79-138.

     K.   5.  Darnett,  "Determination of wood Stove Efficiency Under
         In-Home  Conditions",  pp. 996-1037.

     "Findings and Recommendations for a Particulate Control Strategy",
     adopted by the  Jackson County (Oregon) Board of County Commis-
     sioners,  fiovember  1981.

 3    Del  Green Associates,  Inc.,  Residential  Wood  Combustion Study:   Wood Fuel
     Use  Projections, (Task 3), November 1982.


4.   "State Implementation Plan for Total Suspended  Particulate  for
     Portland-Vancouver Air Quality Maintenance Area  (Oregon  Portion),
     Oregon Department of Environmental  Quality,  November  1981.

5.    Personal Communication with  Jeanne  McCormick,  Portland Energy
     Office, February 1982.

6.    Weatherization Ordinance No.  18757, City  of  Eugene, Oregon,  adopted
     February 1981, effective date January 1,  1985,  and  explanatory
     memorandum from the Eugene  City  Council.

7.    Pacific northwest Electric  Power Planning and  Conservation Act,
     P.L. 96-501, December  5, 1980.

3.    Keppner, C.H. and Tregoe, B.B.,  The Rational  Manager.  McGraw
     Hill,  1965.

9.    Appendix A of report   by FMC, Inc.  to Oregon DEQ,' entitled
     "DEQ - State of Oregon Field Burning".

10.  "Proposed Amendments  to  t4issoula City-County Air Pollution Control
     Program", provided to  the Oregon Department  of Environmental
     Quality  (Portland) by Mr. Scott  Church,  Missoula City-County
     Health Department, 301 West Alder,  Missoula, Montana   59802,
     January  19,  1982.

11.  Orecon DEQ,  Herlyn Hough, "Status  of  Particulate Strategy  Recom-
     mendations  (for the Medford-Ashland AQMA)",  June 15,  1981.
                                 VII-2

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12.   Oregon devisee; Statutes 468.290(5):

13.   J.  She"! ton, The '..'oociburner' s Encyclopedia, Vennont Crossroads
     Press, 1B75.

14.   J.  Shelton, Measured' Performance of Fireplaces and Fireplace
     Accessories, 197S, Shelton Energy Research, PO Box 5235,
     Santa Fe, New Mexico  S7502.

15.   Personal  Coini.iuni cation with Stockton Barnett, March 1932.

1C.   J.  Shelton and C. Lewis, "Testing Creosote-Reducing Devices:
     The Results" in Mother Earth News, March/April 1982, pp. 120-134.

17.   PEUCo Environmental, Source Testing for Fireplaces. Stoves, and
     Restaurant Grills in Vail, Colorado, prepared for U.S. Environ-
     mental Protection Agency, Region VIII (Denver), by PEDCo cnviron-
     ,,entcl,  Inc., 24oO Pershing Road, Kansas City, Missouri  54100.

IS.   5.  Butcher and E. Sorenson, A Study of Wood Stove Particulate
     Emissions, Journal of the Air Pollution Control Association (JAPCA)
     Vol.  29,  No. 7, pp. 724-728, July 1979.

19.   Personal  Communication with Gerald Grisvold, Anchor Tools and
     l.'ood  Stoves, harch 1982.

20.   Del Green Associates, Inc./OMNI  Environmental  Service, Residential  Wood
     Combustion Study: Emissions  Testing of Wood Stoves (Task 5), November  1982,

21.   Personal  Communication with Robert Harley, Albuquerque Air
     Pollution Control Division, Albuquerque, New Mexico.

22.   Personal  Communication with Scott Church, Missoula Air Pollution
     Control  Agency, Harch 1982.

23.   Larseri,  Techniques for Evaluating Peak to Mean Pollutant Concentra-
     tion  Ratios, 1973.

24.   Personal  Communication with Bill Day, Anchor Tools and Wood Stoves,
     March 1982, (503-223-3452).

25.   Oregon Department of Commerce, Office of the State Fire Marshall,
     Executive Summary of Oregon Fire Experience During 1979, 1981.

26.   Personal  Communication with C. Loomis, Corning Glass Works at
     the February 1981 Wood Heating Alliance Conference in Louisville,
     Kentucky.

27.   Personal  Communication with J. Kowalczyk and D. Tombleson, Oregon
     Department of Environmental  Quality, March 1982.
                                 VII-3

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._>,.   -'crsoriul Con.i,.unicacion witn  Cedr-.c  Sanborn,  Vermont  Air  Pollution
     ..v-rtrol Prot,ra,,., February  1932.

L.'^ .   'uregcn Depart,r.ent of Environmental  Quality,  Description  of Oregon
     Method 8, undated.

^.   J0tul U.S.A., Inc., Efficiency  Test Results  fcr  the  Jtftul
      • OJC.-1 201, 19o2.

-  •   Del Green Associates,  Inc.,  Residential Wood  Combustion  Study:   Wood
     Feul Use Projection (Task  3), December  1982.


     .recon Revised Statutes 463.155  et. seq.

     "•_ c/ii, Johnson, and Uciell, Portl and Growth . :anage;:ient  Study,
       <,.jorcJ for Lnc City  of Portl and  Under 'J. S.  £?A Funding,
              i ~ ^ ~j
      • -.f :u c.1 j  i ^0 1 .

34.   Del Green Associates,  Inc.,  Residential Wood  Combustion  Study:  Technical
     Analysis of Wood Stoves (Task 4), April 1982.
l~ .   3. Butcher and 0. Buckley, "A Preliminary Study  of Particulate
     [Missions from Small Wood  Stoves",  JAPCA  Vol.  27 No. 4,
     r;p. 34G-348, April 1977.

3o.   Personal Conanunication with  K.  Davis,  Sav-Mor Insulation Company.

J7.   Oregon Cepartiiient of Energy, Iv'eatherization,  One Step  At A Time,
     I960.

3u.   John Hazen,  Oregon VJood Heat Hand  Book, 1981,  Keylock  Press,
     PO Box 7514, Salem, Oregon97303.

31.   T. naxwell,  D. Dyer, and G.  Maples, Studies  of Creosote  and
     Chinineys at  the Auburn Woodburning  Laboratory, September 1979.

      Del  Green  Associates,  Inc.,  Residential Wood Combustion  Study: Residential
      Household  Survey  (Task 2B),  February 1982.

41.   Oregon Department of Environmental  Quality,  1981 Medford Wood
     Usage Survey, December 1981.

41.   Albuquerque  Air Pollution  Control  Division,  Robert Harley,
     Air Pollution Signal Light Demonstration, February 15, 1982.

43.   i-iissoula City-County Health  Department, Amendments to  Mis sou la
     City-County  Air Pollution  Control  Program, 1982.

44.   Missoula City-County Health  Department, "1980 Missoula Air
     Pollution Survey", published results dated December 19,  19GO.
                                  VII-4

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     Personal  Coini."cft  ^roposec ASr.il^E Standard  1C6P,  publishc-c,
     January 7, liou,  :>y ihe Aiiiericon Society of  Heating,  i;efr ; oerat", '
     and Air-Conditioning Engineers, Inc.,  (ASHRAE),  345  E.  47th Street
     ,,e\.; York, New  York   10L17.

ol .   "Residential Coal  burning Evaluation:  Strategies, Emissions,
     Impacts", prepared  for FJew England States for Coordinated Air
     Lse iianageiiient,  Boston College, Weston, Mass.  02193,  by
     ;..T. Green, President, Solutions for Energy  and  Environment,  Inc.,
     1515 ilW 23rd,  Portland, Oregon  97210, September  15,  1981.

•jiL.   '",,'ood Stove Smoke",  article in The fiother Earth  News,
     iioveuber 1981, pp.  72-74.

b3.   "State of Oregon  Policy Developed by Office  of State  Fire Marshall
     and Building Codes  Division for Solid Fuel Burning Appliances,
     published December  1979 by Oregon Department  of  Commerce .

54.   PEDCo Environmental,  Inc.,  A Review of Existing  Air  Pollution
     Control Ordinances  in  Four Colorado Ski Communities,  prepared
     for U.S. EPA Region  VIII  (Denver), by PEDCo  Environmental,  Inc.,
     2480 Pershing  Road,  Suite 110, Kansas City, Missouri   64108.

55.   Oregon DEQ, "burn '.Mood Better", brochure published in  1981.
                                  VII-5

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                     APPENDICES  A thru  F
Appendix A - Keppner-Tregoe Evaluation Process

Appendix B - RWC Control Strategy Elements

Appendix C - Ranking RWC Control Strategy Elements
             vs WANT Criteria

Appendix D - Estimated RWC Emissions Reduction Potential
             of Generic Control Strategy Approaches

Appendix E - Ranking Final RWC Control Strategies
             vs WANT Criteria

Appendix F - Selected Costs and Benefits of
             Final  RWC Control Strategies

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                               APPE.JL'IX A
                   Keppner-Tregoe Evaluation Process

      This appendix describes:  the reasons for selecting the MUST
criteria and some of the WANT criteria used in this analysis
(Section I), and; the method of paired comparison used to assign
weigh
       ing Factors to ;Mi;T criteria (Sec nun II
 I.   .-.US! AND i.AfiT CRITERIA RATIONALE

       In establishing MUST criteria, several seeded automatic -- e.g.,
 reduction of RWC pollution impacts, confon.iance tc Clean Air Act
 requirements,  and maintenance of safety characteristics of RUC appli-
 ances.   The Clean Air Act requires areas which exceed ambient air
 quality  standards to be addressed in State Implementation Plans (SIPs).
 SIPs must propose enough emissions reductions from point and area
 sources  to achieve compliance with the Ambient Air Quality Standards.
 Adequate legal  authority to control these targeted sources must be
 demonstrated in SIPs.   Accordingly, control  strategies  considered in
 this analysis  should either be implementable under existing state or
 local  legal  authority,  or any needed changes in state statute or local
 ordinances  should be acknowledged.
      The effectiveness  of a  proposed strategy must be  documentable
 for SIP  purposes,  including quantitative estimates of emissions  reduc-
 tions.   To make  significant reductions  in emissions from the  areawide
 RWC source,  a  strategy must be  widely applicable  - i.e.,  it  must affect
 a significant  portion of  all  wood  burning practices or  appliances.
 Furthermore, it  should be  implementable  within  a  relatively  short time,
 in order  to minimize either the  purchase of  inferior  new  or  replacement
 RWC appliances,  or the prolonged continuation  of  inferior  RWC  practices.
An exception to this would  be a  strategy with  very significant  long-
term benefits.  As already  mentioned, any changes  in  RWC  appliances
or practices to reduce air  pollution  cannot  be made at the expense
of safety factors.

                                  A-l

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      Consequently, the l.uST criteria presented in TabVe 1. DT the report
text were selectee! for use in evaluating proposed RWC air pollution
control strategies.
      WANT criteria can and should include some MUST criteria, or
aspects of MUST criteria.  This allows evaluation of the extent to
which some strategies will satisfy these important criteria better
than other strategies.  For exanple, MUST criteria £1 (Table 1} rec^u'ir'js
that proposed strategies reduce RWC air pollution impacts.  '..'ANT
criteria #1 and #2 (see Table 2) reflect how well proposed strategies
reduce RWC air pollution by evaluating how well each proposes strateu;.
<-oes two things:  1) reduces the average amount of RWC emissions ,.t r
household, and; 2) discourages new RWC households, or encourages
existing RV.'C households to stop RUC.
      Use of WANT criteria #2 does not imply that strategies shoula
be designed to discourage RWC activity itself.  This would undoubtedly
be widely viewed as unwanted intrusion by government upon individual
freedom of choice.  Also, states like Oregon expressly exempt individual
households from direct state agency regulation of air contaminant
          12
emissions.    This criteria is simply an appropriate parameter for
evaluating the effects of a given strategy, in discouraging new RWC
households or encouraging existing RWC households to discontinue RWC.
      The most effective RWC control strategies will be those which
effect maximum reduction of RWC emissions with minimum impact on
individual freedom of choice, cost, and inconvenience — i.e., with
maximum public acceptance.  Accordingly, a WANT criteria U4) has been
included to evaluate public acceptance of proposed strategies.  It
is intended to indicate several different things.  One is the antici-
pated public perception of whether a proposed strategy'is .an appro-
priate, or at least tolerable, level of regulation for dealing with
air pollution problems related to RWC.  Another is the anticipated
acceptance by affected individuals of whatever inconvenience the pro-
posed strategy might cause them.  Inconvenience here means extra work,
not costs which are covered under WANT criteria #6.
                                  A-2

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       The  perceived  costs  of  installing and using f^C are  likely  to
 be  the  overriding  factors  influencing individual  consumer  excisions.
                            27
 A University  of  Idaho  study   found that the main reason  given  by people
                                                      28
 for  using  RWC was  to  "save money".   A Dartmouth  study  which modeled
 flew  England wood fuel  use, portrays the price of  wood and  conventional
 fuels  as the  most  influential  factors in promoting or suppressing RWC.
 Proposed RWC  strategies  which  exert their effect  by making RV-'C  ,r.ore
 costly  liiay be the  Most effective  strategy of all.   however,  strategies
 which  force large  added  costs  on  RWC users could  generate  significant
 political  opposition.  Accordingly, strategies ,;hich obtain  significant
 U'nC  emissions reductions while ,111 niini zing added  consumer  costs  are
 preferred.
      Many WANT criteria could be based on cost  considerations.   For
 example, separate  WANT criteria could  call  for minimizing  capital  costs
 and  operating costs of RWC to  homeowners;  minimizing similar costs
 to RWC  appliance manufacturers; and minimizing agency costs to  regulate
 RUC.  However, if  too many WANT criteria were based on various  RWC
 costs,  combined with the separate estimates of strategy costs called
 for  in  Step #6 of  the overall  evaluation process,  too much weight might
 be placed on  cost  factors,  or  cost  considerations  might be too  heavy
 in the wrong  part  of the strategy evaluation process.   Accordingly,
 recognizing the strong influence of consumer cost  on RWC control
 strategy effectiveness, a  single WANT  criteria i#§)  is  included,  based
 on consumer costs.   It is  intended  to  represent the assumption  that
 the more a proposed strategy increases  the  consumer costs  of RWC, the
more it will  discourage RWC altogether.   It also  assumes that increased
 costs incurred by the private  sector,  as  a  result  of a  proposed
 strategy, will be passed on to the  consumer.
      Agency costs  of regulating RWC are  a  consideration under WANT
criteria #9,  which  deals with the administrative feasibility of pro-
posed RWC control  strategies.   Other considerations  under  this criteria
include the degree  to which proposed strategies:    a) could be
implemented rapidly,  b) conform to  Clean Air Act and EPA requirements,
                                  A-3

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c;  have effects which can  be  documented  for  purposes  of  inclusion  -n
State  Implementation Plans  (SIPs),  c)  can  Lie accepted  (i.e.,  not
strongly resisted) by regulated  parties, and e)  require  willing par-
ticipation by key parties  which  might  not  be forthcoming -- e.g.,  low
interest loans by financial institutions to  subsidize  home weather-
izat ion.
       Other '.,'AiiT criteria  address whether  proposed control strat^ • e.:
a]  discourage the use of the  worst  polluting UWC appliances or
practices, b) utilize proven  technology  or encourage  innovative tech-
nology, c) are widely applicable to RwC  appliances or  practices, o.
Minimize interference in the  free .r.arket,  and e) promote energy con-
servation and use of less polluting renewable energy resources, and
f) have minimal  probability of circumvention.  In this report  use  of
renewable resources  is  meant to exclude the promotion  of wood  fuel  for
RWC, because this  would  contradict  the purpose of RWC  control
strategies.
      Table 2 in the text presents WANT criteria selected for use  in
evaluating proposed RWC control strategies.

II.   WEIGHTING FACTORS FOR WANT CRITERIA

      An analytic  tool  called paired comparison was used to develop
Weighting Factors  for all WANT criteria.   In this technique, each WANT
criteria is paired with each other WANT criteria separately.  For each
pair a judgement is  made as to which criteria is most desirable or
iinportant.   Then a score 1-3 is given to represent their relative
difference in importance using the following scheme.
                                                      -t
            Relative Importance           Score
             Little  Difference               1
             Some  Difference                 2
             Great Difference                 3
                                  A-4

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      Figure Al is a worksheet  showing the results of the-paired com-
parison analysis of tiie  12  ;.-;AuT criteria listed  (Table 2 in the text)
above.  In each box, the  letter refers to the WANT criteria considered
most important in that paired comparison.  The number in each box is
the score indicating the  difference  in importance of the two criteria.
Scores are suuned for each  WAiJT criteria (letter), and converted into
,.e iyiitin^ Factors, as shown  in  Figure  Al .  For the 12 1-iANT criteria,
.,C'"iijhti r.5 Factors will range frorr.  1  to 13.
                                  A-5

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                                              FIGURE Al

                                     Paired Comparison Work Sheet
WANT Criteria

Reduce RWC emissions/household
Reduce No. of RWC households
Maximum public acceptance
Minimum consumer cost
Discourage Worst Appliances/Practices
Maximum agency admin, feasibility
Use proven technology
Encourage innovative technology
Widely applicable
Minimize free mkt. interference
Promote conservation/renewables
Minimize Circumvention
             Total Points (125)

             Fraction of Points


             Factor Ranking

             Weighting  Factor
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
Al
Al Bl
A2 B2
A2 B2
A3 B2
A3 B3
A3 B3
Al Bl
A3 B3
A3 B3
i\2 B2
A B
23 22
Cl
Cl
C2
C2
C2
Cl
C3
C3
Cl
C
15
E2
02
01
02
11
D2
D3
LI
D
10
E2
E2
E3
11
E2
E3
El
E
15
Gl
Fl
12
Fl
F2
LI
F
4
G2
12
G2
G2
Gl
G
8

13
HI
HI
L2
H
2


13
13
12
I
17



Jl
L2
J
1




L2
K
0
f
1
<




L
8
                                       Instructions

                                   For each  pair of  WANT  criteria  com-
                                   pared,  place the  letter of  the  -more
                                   important criteria  in  the.square,
                                   followed  by one of  the following
                                   scores,  based on  an assessment  of
                                   the difference in importance of tne
                                   two cri teri a .
                                       Score
                                         1
                                         2
                                         3
Li ttle Di fference
Some Difference
Great Difference
                                       Sum the total  points scored for
                                       each WANT criteria (letter)',
                                       calculate Weighting Factors.
 r-li-ii-HO'-tOOO'-'OOO


 1   2  4  6  4  9  7  10  3 11  12   7


13  13  9  6  9  3  5   2 10  2   J   4
                                                   A-6

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                               APPENDIX G.
                      Rl'.'C  Control  Strategy  Elements

      This appendix  lists  the  seventy-five  RWC  control  strategy  elements
compiled for  initial  screening  and  evaluating,  organized  in  the
folio/ring fon.iat:

      I.  Strategies  to reduce  emissions by  improved burning unit design
     II.  Strategies  to reduce  emissions by  reducing wood usage
    III.  Strategies  to reduce  emissions by  focusing on operating
          procedures

.-,'ithin these categories, strategies can be organized by the rnethoas
of achieving these strategies,  namely:

      A.  Regulations requiring compliance with various wood burning
          rules
      B.  Market incentives to  achieve the strategies
      C.  Information distribution/technology transfer to speed
          development and implementation of strategies

I.   BURNING  UNIT DESIGN

    A.   Regulations

        1.   Government-required certification programs  which  set  burning
            unit emission  standards.
            a.   For new installations
           b.   For existing  units (retrofits)
        2.  Government required  rating  programs  under which woodburning
           units sold must be  rated for emissions.
                                 B-l

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^.   i,arket Incentives

    1.   Government subsidies for purcnase of cleaner burning units,
        a.  Subsidies to purchasers
            1.   For new installations
            2.   For existing installations (retrofits)
            2.   Variable subsidy proportional to clean  burning
                characteristics
            4.   Subsidy of X amount for all  units cleaner than
                certain emission rate
        b.  Subsidies to manufacturers
            1.   Increased tax advanta^..-:; fo'  cessions  related
                research
                a.  Basic research
                b.  Pollution measuring equipment only
            2.   Increased tax disadvantages  for companies in
                proportion to the increasing pollution  character-
                istics of their burning units.
        c.  Sponsor design competition with  $50,000 prize to
            first designer of a burning unit that costs less
            than $1000.00 (commercially) and emits at a rate
          '  less than 1 g/kg.
        d.  Offer $50,000 prize to first designer of a  test
            procedure system that costs less than $100.00 per
            test.
C.   Technology Transfer

    1.   Government agency provides funds to  help reduce the cost
        of emissions testing.
        a.  Free fully-staffed testing facility
        b.  Tax credits on emissions testing equipment  and/or
            services
        c.  Funds to develop standardized, simplified and less
            expensive emissions test procedure (now $2000
            per test)

                            B-2

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              Trace Association emissions rating program
              a.   Voluntary program for submitted burning units
              b.   Mandatory program wherein all  trade association
                  members must submit to testing on all  models
              c.   Mandatory program wherein a manufacturer can only
                  participate in the program if  all unit types produced
                  by the manufacturer are tested
              Disseminate design information
              a.   Government funds to publish one-time or periodic
                  updates on burning unit design considerations/research
              b.   Trade Association funds to publish one-time or
                  periodic updates on burning unit design considera-
                  tions/research
II.   REDUCING WOOD USAGE
      A.   Regulations
              Weatherization requirements so heating requirement is
              reduced.
              a.   Allow new installations only in dwellings which are
                  highly weatherized
              b.   Require all  dwellings to be weatherized to a cost
                  effective level  (5-7 years payback)  within 5 years
                  or after resale  (as in the Portland  Energy Policy)
              c.   Tax credits  from government to  offset  some
                  or all of the costs.
              d.   Require utilities  to  assist in  paying  for
                  weatherization.
              Limit  access to  wood from federal  lands.
              a.   Environmental  Impact  Statement  requirement - Require
                  the USFS and BLM to conduct an  environmental impact
                  assessment of the  air quality  consequences of their
                                 B-3

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        releasing inexpensive wood which when burned in urban
        areas, can in aggregate constitute the single largest
        source of particulates.
    b.  USFS/BLM limits on wood use
        1.  Allow only X cords cut per year based on air
            quali ty
        2.  Allow only X cords per cutting permit (e.g.,
            2.5 cords rather than the 4+ cords which uright
            be needed to heat a poorly insulated house,
        3.  Stacger wood cutting periods to help assure
            ciryiruj of wood
3.  Emission density zoning.
    a.  Allow only X burning unit installations per square
        mile based on area dispersion capacity
    b.  Allow only X cords of wood to be burned per square
        mile based on area dispersion capacity
4.  Burninc, unit efficiency
    a.  Allow new installations only if unit will provide
        a net substantial heat gain (likely implies glass
        doors for fireplaces)
    b.  Efficiency certification-allow new installations
        only if unit efficiency exceeds certain requirements
Market Incentives

1.  Government subsidies for weatherization.
    a.  Only in areas with severe pollution potential
    b.  In all areas
2.  Increase wood prices to residential users.
    a.  Subsidie.s for industrial use of wood to enable
        industrial users to outbid residential users for
        available wood
    b.  Increase USFS/BLM wood cutting permit fees
                        B-4

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3.   Increase the cost  of  wood  heating.
     a.   Increase hoi.ie  tax assessment  value  if  home  has  wood
         burning units
     b.   Insurance company fire  insurance  rates
         1.  Urge insurance companies  to adjust home fire
            insurance  policy rates  in proportion to ^/nether
            .-.•ood heat  is  used  and unit has  been recently
            i nspected
         2.  Urge state insurance commissioners to require
            above action
4.   Reduce prices of conventional  and alternate fuels.
     a.   Lifeline electricity rates
     b.   Lower residential  gas rates
     c.   Lower residential  oil rates
     d.   Subsidies for  solar energy  use
Information/Technology Transfer

1.   Disseminate efficiency information on burning units.
     a.   By government  agency
     b.   By trade association
     c.   By neutral research organization
2.   Economics.
     a.   Make public aware of true cost of wood heating
     b.   Suggest to households that they limit fireplace usage
        to 10  occasions per season  as  a  compromise  between
         aesthetic use and avoiding heat loss
3.   Health concern - make public aware of indoor air pollution
    consequencies of wood heating.
4.  Safety Concern - make public aware of frequency of fires
    associated  with home wood burning so as to discourage
    use.
                        B-5

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          5.  Promote alternate radiant heat sources.
              a.   Promote natural  gas  fireplaces  with  greater  visual
                  simularity to wood  fuel  and therefore  greater
                  consumer appeal
              b.   Promote (clean)  natural  gas radiant  space  heaters
              c.   Promote passive  solar usage
          6.   Promote wearing  warm clothes  indoors.
          7.   Heat key areas selectively.

III.   OPERATING PROCEDURES FOR WOOD BURNING UNITS
              Technical  chimney sweep program -- test emission rates
              on-site.
              a.   Opacity
              b.   Mass  of  parti culates
              c.   Simple carbon measurement
              d.   Carbon monoxide  measurement
              Government authority to require cutbacks in wood usage
              during  peak  pollution periods.
              a.   Instantaneous -  based  on  nephelometer or automatic
                  particle monitor measurements
              Sizing  of  Burning  Units.
              a.   Government agencies require manufacturer to  state
                  on  unit  how much space  can  be  heated with the unit
                  for living space insulated  to  certain assumed levels
              Moisture Content.
              a.   Require  all commercial  v/ood sales  to" include infor-
                 mation on average moisture  content
              b.   Limit  free wood  cutting on  public  lands  to time
                  periods  (likely  spring/summer) which maximize the
                  probability that wood will  be  sufficiently dried
                  before use
                                 B-6

-------
b.  Market Incentives

    1.  Moisture content - government subsidizes a regional wood
        drying facility.

C.  Information/Technology Transfer

    1.  i'.oisture Content.
        a.  Educate wood users on the importance of moisture
            content with regards to emissions and efficiency
            1.  Government publications
            2.  ilewspaper/television exposure
        b.  Distribute plans for low cost solar wood dryers
        c.  Distribute X free moisture meters to commercial wood
            distributors
    2.  Distribute information on avoiding creosote build-up/
        minimizing emissions.
        a.  Government employee activity (e.g., British Solid
            Fuel  Advisory Service)
        b.  Individual manufacturers distribute information
            to users
        c.  Trade Association distribute information to users
        d.  Generate media interest and media reporting
        e.  Government agencies send latest  information to manu-
            facturers and distributors on how to minimize
            emissions
    3.   Burning  Unit Sizing.
        a.  Government agencies distribute information  on impor-
            tance of not over-sizing
        b.  Trade Associations  develop program for rating how
            much  space can  be heated with a given burning unit
    4.   Concerned Neighbor  Approach.
        a.  Concerned  neighbors or  neighborhood association
            members  suggest  to  homeowners with smoky burning
            units how  they  could  burn  wood with less emissions
                           B-7

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         RanKing R'.;C Control  Strategy Elements vs tv'ANT Criteria

      Table Cl  shows the overall  ranking  of  each  of  the  seventy-five
RWC control strategy elements  (Appendix 8) considered  in this  study
versus the twelve '/.'Ai'lT criteria defined in Section  III of the  text.
      The total scores in the  second  column  of Table Cl  are  documented
in Table C2, which  shows the individual scores assigned  to each
strategy element for each WA!1T criteria.  The identification number
in column three of  Table Cl refers  to the comprehensive  listing  of
all seventy-five RWC control strategy elements, in Appendix  B.
      Note that when similar control  strategy elements ranked  closely
in score they were  combined in the  Table Cl  ranking.  Thus,  the
seventy-five control strategy elements were  combined into  fifty-four
ranking slots.
                                 C-l

-------
             I , ^ L L
i ho  Gt  I Iml V "i UUd 1  u..'C  Jofit
                vs
         All  .\Ai.T  Criteria
Overal 1.
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Total
Score
535
504
487
480
476
471
469
468

III
II.
I.D.
No.2
.A. 3
A.I. a
I. A.I. a
II.
II.
II.
I. A
III
A.l.b
A.l.d
A.l.c
.l.b
.C.S.a
7
8
9
10
11
12
From
469
468
465
459
453
447
Table C2
I. A. l.b
III. C.S.a
Ill.C.S.b
I. B.I. a. 4
I. B.I. a. 3
I.B.l.c

                 Description  of Control  Strategy  Elements


                 Government requires  manufacturers  to  label
                 stove  as  to  space  it can  heat  vs various
                 house  insulation levels.

                 Allow  new stoves only in  highly  weatherized
                 households.

                 Government required  certification  (vs emis-
                 sion standards) of new  burning units.

                 Require all  dwellings to  be weatherized to
                 cost effective  level  within 5 years or after
                 resale.

                 Require utilities to  help pay  for  weatherizing
                 households.

                Tax credits from government to offset some or
                all costs of weatherization.

                Same as #3,  but for  existing units (retrofits).

                Government distributes  information on impor-
                tance of  not over sizing burning units.

                Trade Association develop program  for rating
                how much  space can be heated by a  burning unit
                (sizing).

                Consumer  subsidy to  buy burning units cleaner
                than an established emission rate.
                                            •

                Same as #10,  but variable subsidy,  proportional
                to emissions  rate.

                Government sponsors $50,000 prize to designer
                of first  burning unit which 1) costs less than
                or equal  to $1000.00 and 2)  emits less than or
                equal  to 1 g/kg.
               C-2

-------
                           TABLE Cl (Cont.
Overall
Rank
13
14
15
16
17
18

19
20
21
22
23

24
Total
Score
437
437
436
424
422
418
385
416
410
415
407
404
403
401
392
395
I.D.
No.2
I.C.2.C
I.C.2.5
I.B.l.b
I. A. 2
III. A. 4. a
III. A.I. a
III.A.a.b,c,d
II.A.2.b
III. A. 4. b
II.A.4.b
II. A. 4. a
II.B.l.b
II. C. 2
I. B.I. a. 1
I. B.I. a. 2
I. C.I. a
                                 Description of Control  Strategy Elements


                                 Mandatory emissions testing by Trade Assoc.
                                 Mandatory emissions testing by Trade Assoc.

                                 Tax disadvantage to companies proportional
                                 to the emissions levels of their burning units

                                 Government required rating of burning units
                                 for emissions to allow their sale at all.

                                 Require commercial  wood sales to include
                                 information on moisture content.

                                 Chimney sweeps test household emissions.
                                 Chimeny sweeps test household emissions.

                                 Stagger federal  (USFS/BLM) wood cutting
                                 periods to help dry the wood - e.g., allow
                                 cutting in spring or summer.
                                 Stagger federal  (USFS/BLM) wood cutting
                                 periods to help dry the wood - e.g., allow
                                 cutting in spring or summer.

                                 Allow new burning unit only if efficiency
                                 standards.

                                 Allow new burning unit only if it provides
                                 a "substantial net heat gain".

                                 Government subsidizes weatherization in all
                                 areas.

                                 Make public aware of the true cost of wood
                                 heating.

                                 Consumer  subsidy to buy cleaner (retrofit)
                                 new burning units.
                                 Consumer  subsidy to buy cleaner (retrofit)
                                 new burning units.

                                 Government provides free fully staffed
                                 testing facility.
From Table  C2

From Appendix  B
                               C-3

-------
                               TABLE Cl  (Cont.)
Overal1
  Rank

  25
  26
  27
  28
  29
  30

  31


  32



  33


  34
Total      I.D
Score-'-    No.
396    II.C.l.c
387
380

394
394

383

390
363

360


360



359


357
II.C.I.a
Il.C.l.b

II.B.S.b
II.B.4.C

Ill.C.l.b

III.C.I.a
378    I.C.l.d
364    I.C.3.a
              358    I.C.S.b
II.B.4

I.C.2.a


II.A.3.a



I.C.l.b


I.C.l.c
                Description  of Control  Strategy  Elements

                Disseminate  information on  burning  unit
                efficiency by neutral  organization,  govern-
                ment,  or'Trade Association.
Lower residential  rates for gas & oil .
Educate wood users as to moisture content
effects on emissions and efficiency.
Educate wood users as to moisture content
effects on emissions and efficiency.

Government sponsors $50,000 prize for first
test procedure system costing less or equal
to $100.00.

Publish information on burning unit design
considerations/research by government or
Trade Association.
Publish information on burning unit design
considerations/research by government or
Trade Association.

Lifeline electricity rates.

Voluntary Trade Association emissions
rating program.

Emission Density Zone - allow only X burning
units per (mile)2 based on pollutant dis-
persion capabil ity.

Government gives tax credits on equipment or
services for emissions testing of burning units

Government funds development of standardized,
simpler, and cheaper emission test procedures
for burning units.
    From Table C2
    From Appendix B
                                    C-4

-------
                               TABLE Cl  (Cont.)
Overall
  Rank

  35
  36
  37
  38
  39


  40

  41


  42


  43


  44
Total     I.D.
Score*    No.2

359    II.A.2.b.l
347    II.A.2.b.2



342    II.A.S.b



345    I.B.l.b.2.b


326    I.B.l.b.l.a



341    III.C.2.a,d,e


331    III.C.2.b,c



335    II.C.4


348    IH.C.l.b

315    III.C.l.c


310    III.B.


298    II.C.3


293    II.C.6
Description of Control Strategy Elements


USFS/BLM limits wood use to X cords/year
based on air quality (or, to "X" cords per
cutting permit).
USFS/BLM limits wood use to X cords/year
based on air quality (or, to "X" cords per
cutting permit).

Emission Density Zone - allow only X cords
burned per square mile, based on dispersion
capabil i ty.

Government subsidy to manufacturers of
burning units for pollution measuring
equipment  (or, for basic research).
Government subsidy to manufacturers of
burning units for pollution measuring
equipment  (or, for basic research).

Distribute information on avoiding creosote
buildup/minimizing emissions by government
or media (or Trade Association).
Distribute-information on avoiding creosote
buildup/minimizing emissions by government
or media (or Trade Association).

Make public aware of frequency of fires
associated with RWC, to discourage use.

Distribute plans for solar wood driers.

Distribute free moisture meters to commercial
wood distributors.

Government subsidizes regional  wood drying
facility.

Make public aware of health concerns related
to indoor  air pollution from RWC.

Promote wearing warmer clothes  indoors to
reduce heating needs.
  1
    From  Table C2

    From  Appendix B
                                   C-5

-------
TABLE Cl (Cont.)
Overall
Rank
45

46

47
48
49
50
51
52
53

54
From
Total
Score*
285
283
275
283
271
273
264
304
238
273
252
235
234
225
211
Table C2
I.D.
No.2
Il.C.S.a
II.C.5.C
Il.C.S.b
II.B.2.a
II. B. 2.5
II.B.4.d
II. C. 7
II. B.I. a
III. A. 2. a
III. A. 2. b
II. A. 2. a
III.C.4
II.B.S.b
II.B.3.3
II. C. 2
      Description  of Control  Strategy  Elements


      Promote alternative  radiant  heat sources  -
      e.g.,  natural  gas  fireplaces;  passive  solar;
      or gas heaters.
      Increase wood  prices  to  decrease  RWC  by
      subsidizing  industry  to  use  hogging residues
      which would  firewood;  or,  by increasing  USFS/
      BLM firewood cutting  fees.
      Subsidize solar  energy  as  RWC  alternative

      Promote spot  heating  of key areas  in  house
      (e.g.,  heat lamp in  bathroom).
      Government subsidizes  weatherization  but  only
      in areas  with severe  pollution  potential.

      RWC cutbacks  during air  pollution  episode.
      Require USFS/BLM EIS  to  assess  air  quality
      effects of their firewood  releases.

      Concerned  neighbor  approach  - neighbors  tell
      others how to  reduce  RWC emissions.

      Increase cost  of RWC  by  encouraging  State
      Insurance  Commission  or  private carriers
      to  raise home  fire  insurance rates  for  RWC
      households;  or,  raise property  tax  assessments
      Suggest households  limit  annual  fireplace
      usage to 10 occasions  to  reduce  heat  loss
      and emissions.
    C-6

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                                                                    TABLE C2
                            Keppner-Tregoe Scores  for  Individual  RWC Control Strategy  Elements vs All WANT  Criteria
I. Burning Unit Design
l.AiiT Criteria'
1. Reduce RUC eciissions/liouseholc;
2. Reduce no. of RWC households
3. Widely applicable/effective !
4. Kaxin-ize public acceptance
5. Discourage worst appliances
6. Kiniuize consumer cost
7. Use proven technology
a. Kiniuize circumvention
9. Maximize agency feasibility
10. Encourage innovative
technology
11. Miniuize free uarket
interference
12. Proitote conservation and
renewable resources









..eijlit
Factor
13
1 3
K

^
L
I
4
;

->

\



A. ('emulations
I.A.I
-,~
- -
C,7
^ » *-
0 , '~j
3 ,3
6,5
C,C
1,1
1,1
6 ,6

2,1



I. A. 2
U
3
o
7
6
4
6
C
1
c
E;

i



J. i.urket Incentives
I. „.!.,.
7,7,,:,.
•i i i i
u,->,3,.
7,7.7.7
£,2,7,C
10, 1C, 1C, 11
C , G ,6 , 6
<;,5,5,5
5,6,6,5
6,5,7,7
2,2, 2, Z

2,C, 1,1



I.B.l.b
(4,4) C
(1,1) i
15,5) 6
15,;) I
;c,5) L
17, 3), C
!3,4J,6
(5,5),!.
(3,41,5
CJ.O.S
13, 2), 1

(2,2),C



I.b.l.C
<_
3

u
J
7
J
0
c
10
7

2




C. Technology Transfer
I.C.I
4,3,3.3
3,3,3,3
6,5,5,6
5,5,6,6
5,5,5,6
7,7,7,7
C.6,3,3
6,6,6,6
5,6,C,5
9.7.C.1C
7,6,7,7

2,1,1,2



I.C. 2
4,£,o
4,5,3
3 ,o,C
9,7,7
5,7.7
4,3,3
6,6,6
5,7,7
1,2,2
5,7,7
5,^,L

1,2,2



I.C. 3
3,3
3,3
2,2
'-,'-
4,3
L.C,
9,0
3,3
7,C
0,5
C,6

1,1



Criteria  Scores:
                                                487
                                                459
                                                             424
              401
              392
                   326
                   345
                   436
                                                                                                 447
                                    395
                                    359
                                    357
                                   3uu
                                   437
                                   437
11. Reduce Uood Usage . 	 	
UAKT1 Criteria
1. feeducc R*C t-wnsstons/
2. r.e) lances
o. i.innnZL- consumer cost
7. Use proven technology
o. llininilje circumvention
'J. Kaxiinizv ayency
feasibility
10. encourage innovative
technology
H. l.iniinlze free market
interference


Factor
13
13

10

•j

S

C
^
3
2
2

1


i.S.C.C
i.9.4.4

3.9.6,6

3.1.5,6

7,7,5.5

3.0.10.K
7.3.G.S
1.1,5,6
4.4,4.4
2.6.2.2

7, 1!. 6, 5

2.14,3,6
4.10,3.7

2.17.7,6

5.13,3.4

1.15,5.6

t, 17. 7,6
C, 10, 0,0
3.11,1.4
3., 1.1.4
6.U.3.4

1. 12. 1.1

L.3
C,7

7.C

3.3

£.7

7,7
O.C
1,1
1.1
2,3

2.1

1.3
L,8

9..J

3.3

6.5

7,7
3.6
2.2
1,1
7.7
2,3

„
Market Incentives
11. E.I
5.0
3.3

5.6

3.7

5.6

0,0
o.u
1.2
5,6
4.4
3.2

5.6
n.s. 2
4.3
7.5

5,4

0,5

7,3

3.6
0,0
1.2
1.2
1.1
0.1

0.0
n.s. 3
1,11.1)
7,15.5)

5.14.4)

0.14.4)

3,13,3)

5,15,5)
U.(O.O)
1.12.2)
1.12,2)
1.11.1)
2. (3. 3)

1.11.1)
11. 6. 4
3.3.3.1
7. O.C. 5

5.5.5.3

6.8.6,5

5,5,5.3

0,10.10.
0.0,0.0
6.6.6.5
0,0.0,5
o.o.o.e
0.0.0.3

0,0.0.6


II. C.I | ' '
4,4,4
3.3.3

2.2.2

C.7,8

6,5.6

"8.8.6
8.8
4.4,4
7,8.7
6,6.6
8,8.6

6,5.6
11. C. 2
5.3
6.4

3,1

6,3

6.1

0,8
0,0
4.1
8.3
1.2
6.4

2.1
11. C. 3
2
6

2

6

4

7
0
3
5
1
6

1
Transfer
II. C. 4
4
6

2

6

£

8
0
4
5
1
6

2

11. C. 5
!.!.*
,,6.c

1,2.1

i.5,5

J.3, J

.,c,t:
3,0.0
1.4,3
1,3.3
I.1.C
!.2,3

1.0,6

11. C. 6
4.3
4,4

3.2

5.5

•>.J
^
u,t
0.0
3.3
3.3
3.1
3,3

6,4
      ,.Ai!T Criteria Scores.
        Ml :;'JST Criteria have been r.,ct.
                                      504     252     3U)
                                      460     35S     342
                                      471     347
                                      47S     416
407
415
304
<04
283
271
363
3S4
394
273
387
380
396
403
211
                                                                                                                    335
285
275
263
       * Multiple numbers  indicate individual  scores  for subheading under  each control strategy  as  listed in Appendix  B
         For example,  for  WANT criteria 1  (8,8)  indicates score of 8 for Strategy lAla and a score  of  8 for Strategy  lAlb.
         Similarly,  total  scores of 487 and 469  listed  at bottom of column are for lAla and IA)b, respectively.
                                                                   C-7

-------
                                                                 TABLE C2 (Cont.)
                                             III.  Operating  Procedures
••<' .T1 Criteria
.. lieduce RUC ei.jissions/householc
2. Rec-uce no. of !,;:C households
.. i-.'iclely applicable/effective
. XdxiL.ize public acceptance
5. Discourage worst appliances
i . i.irunize consumer cost
. jse proven technology
„. :;inii,.ize circumvention
5. ..axu.ii 2e agency feasibility
3. Encourage innovative
technology
il. Himuiie free Market
interference
'2. Promote conservation in,l
4,4,4,4
t.C.C.6
3,3,3,3
5,5,5,1
7,7.7,7
", , 7 , 7 , /
7 , ^,6 , o
5, 1, 4, 4
4,4,4,4
6,6, 6,6
4,3.3,3

III. A. 2
1
f,
c
-
0
~.
J
4
3
<4
0

III. A. 3
2,
{
7
C
C
8
J
o
'J
7
8
5

III. A. 4
4,C
3,7
7,6
3,4
6,6
6, a
7,0
7,3
4,4
3,4
8,5
2,1

harket
III. J.I
1J
3
3
3
5
5
7
S
2
3
3
1

Technology Transfer
III. C.I
(5,51,4,3
(3, 3), 3, 3
(4. 3), 2, 2
(7, 7). 6, 5
(5,b),5,5
( 8 , 7 1 C , (J
{7,71,5,7
(3, 3), 4,1
(3, a), 2. 7
(3,3),u,3
(6,61,6,6
(1,1). 1.1


III.C.2
0,5,5,5,5
3,3,3,3,3
3,2,2,3,3
6,6,6,6,6
5,5,5,5,5
0 , C , (J ,b , O
0,0,0,0,0
4,4,4.4,4
7,7,7,7,7
5,5,5,5,5
6,6,6,5,6
1.1,1,1,1


ni.c.;
7,7
5 . -
4, J
S , ^
j,C
0 ,
-
'T , „
7 ,v,
6 , c.
7.7
4,3

1 1 '

C
i
;





:
(.-
I.

~  J Criteria scores:
                                               413
                                               3C5
                                               385
                                               3C5
                                                           273
                                                                       535
422
410



310 390
303
343
315

341
331
331
341
341
465-
   ill  . ,UCT criteria nave
                               ..eL.
            * Multiple numbers Indicate Individual  acore*  for  cubhcading under each control atrategy aa liaced in Appendix B.
              For example,  for WANT criteria 1  (8,8)  Indicate* acore of 8 for Strategy lAla and a acort of 8 for Strategy lAlb.
              Similarly, total scores of 487 and  469  listed at bottom of coluom are for lAla and lAlb. reapectively.
                                                                       C-8

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                   Estimated  [V.-.C  Emissions  Reduction
                Potential  of Control Strategy Approaches
      This ,-^enci;; explains  the  Information  anc  assui .ptlon.s
,.tte;i,ptifK_ to quantify  the  potential  reduction  in air pel 1uU.r,t  ;-. \->-
sions .
-------
       i.,ethod'i,.   TMs Hiethou captures uore condensable orcanics
       than  civ  il.-v ,'Sthcd ^ ^roceotire with back-naif catc,-,,
       Decause it  utilizes an additional  filter between the 3rd
       and 4th impingers in EPA's Method 5 apparatus.  Other
       researchers have commonly reported stove emission in
       the 1-97  g/kg range, but the average of thf 19 tests
       conducted  ir,  Tasi-: C cf this study was  2'.. a/V.,.  These d.f-
       Tororices  are  liKely c^-j tv  .1"; f forer.t sa..,h/r. r.^ pr-oc,
       burr, rates,  and sorr.e test procedures net incluciin., start-
       up or.ii ssi ons.

n. t j r o v e u L- u r n i \ i ^  u r 'M L  u e o <  f >
 This section reviews  trie  potential  for  reducina Ri,C particuKne
 emissions through
 1.  luiprovec design  of  new stoves offered for sale including
     analysis of the  following strategy  approaches.
     a.  Testing of wood stoves  arid  certification of compliance
         with an estaolished  emission limit as a prerequisite
         for allowed  sales.
     b.  Testincj/certification as  a  prerequisite of stove sales
         plus financial  incentive  (33% tax credit)  to buy the
         cleaner stoves.
     c.  Testing/certification as  a  basis for  mandatory labelling
         which specifies stove efficiency and  emissions perfor-
         mance .
     d.  Testing/certification  as  a  basis for  mandatory labelling,
         plus 33%  tax  credit.

 2.   Modifications of  installed  stoves,  including-:
     a.  Air inlet modifications
     b.  Insertion of  firebrick  in stove  box.
     c.  Fans to  improve heat  transfer.
     d.  Add-on  particulate control devices:
         1.   Steel  wool  i;,esh  filter
         2.   Catalytic afterburner

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      3.  Improved design or adc-&;i devices for fireplaces.
          a.  Underfire air.
          b.  Electrostatic precipitator
          c.  Glass doors.
    Key Topic:  Emissions Reductions Achievable by Advanced Design Stoves

      iiew stoves of special design have achieved participate emissions
rates e.s low as 1-4 c;/kg of wood burned, as illustrated by four dif-
ferent designs describee here.

      Refractory-lined, kater-Cooled, Turbulent Air Furance
            The first system is a refractory-lined, water-cooled,  tur-
      bulent air furnace based on the design of Professor Richard  Hill.
      A furnace based on the Hill design,  the Hampton-Jetstream,  was
      tested in 1980 by the Oregon Department of Environmental  Quality
      and was found to emit 3.4 and 3.S grams particulate/kilogram
      wood in two separate tests. J
            The principles which are thought to be responsible  for
      this unit's clean burning characteristics are:  1)  the unit  burns
      very hot, enabling more  complete  combustion, yet still  maintains
      high thermal  efficiency  by extracting heat from the stack by
      a water-cooling system;  2) turbulent  air introduced improves
      air-fuel  mixing in the combustion zone allowing r.iore complete
      combustion,  and;  3)  the  water-cooling system also  is used to
      keep cool  the  area storing wood which currently is  not  burning,
      which  reduces  "wood  volatilization" prior to burning,  and allows
      a  steadier  fuel-air  mixture to  be maintained.
            The unit  has an  overall efficiency  (thermal and combustion
      efficiency) of  79%, as tested by  the manufacturer.  However,  it  has
      one major drawback - an installed  cost  in  the range of $5000 to $7000.
                                 J-o

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       The units costs about $3500 without auxiliary plumbing.   However,  in
       order to either tie into or construct a  water-to-air  heat exchange
       system costs  on the order of $1500 to $3500,  raising  the  system  cost
       into the $5000 to $7000 range.  Despite the high price which
       limits this unit's applicability for most households, the low
       emission rate which it achieves snows the potential  for emission
       rcductions.
 Ceramic  Stove
       The  second  unit  of interest is a ceran.ic stove tested  under Task
 -  jf  ,r;is  contract.  Test  results showed that the unit emitted at 1
                                   op
 ur,u 2  ;,,'k.j  in  two different  tests.
       Tne  chief drawback of  this  unit is its  relatively  low  heat trans-
 fer efficiency, which  results  in  an  average overall  efficiency of about
 5u%, ano its inability to  allow an  operator to control  its burn rate.
 Once fired, the unit burns wood in  a hot and rapid manner, which is
 not consistent with many wood  user's desire for a slow and steady radi-
                24
 ant heat source.    However, the  fact that* this unit burns very clean
 suggests that other units  also can  achieve  this emission  level.   For
 this unit, the application of  some  heat-exchanging mechanism  between
 the stove box and house  chimney exit could  substantially  increase the
 thermal efficiency, by  storing some  of the  heat for  release at  a more
 convenient rate.

 Gasifying Stove
      The third unit of  interest  is  a  gasifying  stove, the Jotul  201,
to be marketed by Jotul  beginning in April  1982.     This  unit  has  been
tested for efficiency and CO emissions  but  not yet for'particulates.
However,  the efficiency  and CO  results  suggest  this  unit  also  should
have low emissions of other pollutants.  The gasifying stove  is  able
to more completely burn the volatilized wood gases by channelling  them
to an  upper combustion  chamber.

-------
      In tests at "low-output",  which normally is  the most  difficult  way  to
 burn with low emissions,  the unit had a  six-hour  average  CO  stack  gas  con-
 centrations  of .05% of CO.     This  compares  to CO levels of  .2  and  .4% for
 the ceramic  stove  cited above during runs  with particulate emission  factors
 of 1 and 2 g/kg.   For  "medium-output" and  "high-output", the model 201 had
 average CO concentrations of .28% and .69%.     The  very low  CO  levels  at
 "low and medium-output" are  of  greatest  interest  since people tend to  operate
 their stoves  at  low to medium burn  rates.  However,  even though this CO data
 suggests the  unit  will  operate  at a  low  burn  rate with low particulate emis-
 sions,  the correlation between  CO and particulate is  uncertain.  (During Task
 5  of this  study  a  correlation of  .80 was found  for  CO and particulate  con-
 centrations  but  the data are  limited.)   This  means  that some stoves with low
 CO emissions  may still  have  high  particulate  emissions, and thus particulate
 testing is needed  to know the particulate  emission  rate for this stove with
 confidence.
      Overall  efficiency for  the 3 Jtftal tests conducted by the manufacturer
 was  between 75 and  78.5% and combustion efficiency  for the three runs ranged
 between  93.3  and 96.3%  , which indicates  that  relatively complete combustion
 was  occurring.  Until  particulate emissions are actually measured, the real
 emission rate cannot be known, but it seems likely  to be in the 2 and 10 g/kg
 range.
 Catalytic  Afterburner
      Lastly,  wood  burning stoves with catalytic afterburners are available
 which hold potential for reducing emissions by additionally combusting some
 of the  stack  gas exhaust that would otherwise be emitted as particulate.
 Although particulate emission testing on several catalytic stoves has not
 shown any  of  these  units to have significantly reduced emission characteris-
 tics, research by several  authors on efficiency suggests  that catalysts can
 help burn a significant (undefined) portion of the tars,  vapors, soot,  and
 creosote that could otherwise escape up the stack.
     Tor example, She!ton  has reported   overall efficiency increases
of 20% from about 50 to 60% net efficiency, and noted large temper-
                                     D-5

-------
Lure J i f Parenti al s between  locations  above  arid  belov,  the  catalysl.
,-;v/,,Cv'er, reralj instol 1 iim  a  catalyst  "wafer",  through  •„'!."ici;  stack
air uiust pass  in tne upper  part  of  a  stove's  firebox  does not guar-
antee -increased combustion  efficiency  or  significantly  reduced emis-
sions.  To optimize complete  combustion,  the  requirements of  time,
temperature, .jood air-fuel  ratios,  and 9000 Mixing  ;,,ust be r,iet.   To
ai'o cr.tdlyst cor.ioustiori,  secondary  air likely is  needed,  but  it  i.>ay
n-jjc to be preheated to  avoid  quenching cc.;ibustiin<  '<  the catalyst
zone.  Tne aiaount of secondary air  supplied ,nust  be appropriate  for
the combustible content  of  the stack  gas,  and therf. , ust  be sufficient
turbulence to promote  yooc  mixing of  the  introduce: i^e-c^ndcry air anc
t!)2 exhaust '-.ases.  Catalyst  stoves v.irich  have  balanced arid uptii:iizc-d
tnese different requirements  in  a specific  design likely  v;ill achieve
the Dest perforiaance.   To this point,  no  specific catalyst stoves have
been shown to have substantially reduced  particulate  emission character-
istics, using either the EPA  Method 5, the  Oregon Method  7, or compar-
able emissions testing procedure.   However, future  optimization of
these requirements appears  possible in a  manner that  could reduce emis-
                         *
sions by 75%, or more.   At  that  point, the  remaining  problem will be
the length of catalyst life,  and how  to ensure  catalyst replacement
at  appropriate times  (likely  2 years  or  less).

      Based on this review  of advanced stove/furnace  designs, the fol-
lowing key assumptions are  made, for  purposes of  estimating the poten-
tial emissions reductions achievable  in the future  from strategy appro-
aches which encourage  the development  and  installation  of wood stoves
designed to have minimum emissions:
      Assumption:  Wood  burning  stoves will be  availab.le by January
                   1984  at  a  cost of  $1200  or less, with particulate
                   emissions  of  5 g/kg or  less  -  i.e.,  75% less than
                   the current estimated average  emissions  rate  of  20 g/kg.

-------
 T;,is ~^t>j is selectee, uecause  it is two years forward from this  assess-
 ment of stovt. techno! oby, allowing time for a numoer of ,manufacturers
 to follow up on designing units employing principles from the  advanced
 designs described above.  Regarding the cost estimate, the last  tnree
 units discussed all cost less than $1000.  Numerous manufacturers  have
 a^reec in personal conversations that if 6 burning unit  .s developed
 with hi^h i70-CO/J efficiency and low emission character, si ;-;s \.tt'''c'~,
 costs less than 310Gu, it likely will be able to clai,, a lar.jt1 snare
 of the r.iarket for new units.  Thus even with inflation and design  re-
 search costs factored into stove/furnace prices, the above assumption
 sfctMS reasuiia-jle.  This assumption forms a key basis for esti,: at-rs
 uescr",^eo Lelo1,,' of t'ie potential emissions reductions achievable by
 four strategy approaches which assist anci promote the development  and
 installation of burning units with much lower air pollutant emissions
 rates.
1. Improved Design of New Stoves
      RWC emission reductions achievable were estimated  for  four
strategy approaches designed to promote development  and  installation
of cleaner burning wood stoves/furnaces.  The following  four strategy
approaches were analyzed:

          a.  Testing/certification as prerequisite for sale
          b.  Testing/certification as prerequisite for sale, plus a
             33% tax  credit  for  purchasing a certified unit
          c.  Testing/certification as basis  for mandatory labelling
             of  efficiency and  emission performance.
          d.  Testing/certification/mandatory labelling,  plus a 33% tax
             credit for  purchasing a  certified  unit.
      The following key  assumptions  were  used  for purposes  of the
analysis:
                                  L>-7

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           •vaseline F!',:C emissions one ,-,'000 fuel use i status L,UO, ",f
             ic  strctow  ./as 1i..r;l or.';er,leu ;  fcr ,,'<;. UL staves/furnaces fur
             ll/vjC-UuG >,oulc je as describee in Figure ^1  ano Table  ,1,
             ,,-iVicr'  s.nov. the best est^ndte, loi.^-ier-.i trend For Portland,
             ^rjt3n fro, i  Tas'r* 0 of tnis sti.'Jy.
           •  The ;=  coverage* assui.iec t:or  the four strategy approaches
             listed above, i.e., the % of new stove/ furnace purchases
             which  would  be cleaner (certified) ourning  units, is 60%,
             90%, 20%, and 40%, respectively.
           •  Certified stoves/furnaces which ,-ould emit  80% less parties
             late than existing units (i.e.,  4.5 g/kg),  would be
                    i ally available by January  19C4 at a  cost of SI 200.
           •  Steve/furnace life (ave.j  is 10 years, i.e.,  10% of
             existing  units are replaced each year.
      The  four  strategies analyzed in  this subsection reduce KKC emis-
 sions fro. n ,,'ood  stoves  and furnaces only.   Table D2 summarizes the
 stove/furnace wood  usage  {cords/year )  assumed for purposes  of this
 analysis,  and the degree  to which  each of  the four strategies woulo
 result  in  the use of  cleaner (certified) burning units.   This is trans-
 lateo in Table  03 into  the emissions reductions  available over time
 •,-rith each  strategy  approach.
      In Table  D2 the wood usage  assumed is the  best  estimate of long-
 term (1SBO-20CO) wood usage projected  for  Portland, Oregon  in Task
 3.  These  wood  usage  projections  are shown in columns 2  and 3 of Table
 D2 as the  annual increase and  cumulative total cords/year,  respec-
 tively. In columns  4  and  5 wood usage  information is  transformed into
 index values using  1980 as a base  year.  That is, the 150,000
 cords/year burned in  stoves/furnaces in  1980 is  given an  index value of
 100.  All  other wood  usage data in columns  2 and 3 then  is  translated
 into equivalent index values in columns  4  and 5.   Since these index
 values directly reflect RUC  in stoves/furnaces,  they  also reflect the
relative number of  stoves/furnaces in  use,  provided we assume that the
average wood usage  (cords/year) in stoves/furnaces remains  constant
throughout the analysis period (1974-2000).   This assumption  allows the
 index values derived  to represent  relative  wood  usage to  also represent
the relative number of stoves/furnaces in  use  in  which this wood is
burned.  Accordingly,  index  values  also can  be  used to calculate  the
relative number of certified and non-certified stoves/furnaces  in use
in any year.
  ,-  coverage  refers to the percent of purchased u;\its which have
  emission  factors  of 5 g/kc or less.
                                   D-8

-------
                               FIGURE Cl

                    !3ase  Case  157C to 2000 Projection
                                  for
               Portland Metropolitan Areas for  Wood 'Usage
             l.OE+5.    2.0E+5     3.0E+5     4.0E+5     5.0E+5     6.0E45 TF
1970  __S_  -------  -F-T  ------ - --- -  -  -
      .  S         •           .I' T   '    .
      .5         •           .FT.
      .  S         •           .FT-
      .5         •           .FT.
      .5         -           .FT.
           S                  .FT-"-
               S  .           .FT.

                  .5          .F         '  TT        '
                  .   S      F.           •   T
1980  ____---  -S-  -F-  ------ -T- - -  -       -  -
                           s  F           .         T -373, 000
                            P.S         .           T-397,000   .
                            re       .          •  .  T-423,000 .
                            r •   *
                            F.   S       •            •  T
                            F.    S                  •  T
                           F  .    S      •            •  T
                           F  .    S
                           F  .    S      •            •  T
1990   ___------F---
                         F   .
                        F    -
                        F    .
                        r              S .                T
                       F     :           ts          :      T
                       F     :           :  %
                                             5       •         T
?ooo   I------F---------S--          T


        ..urce:  Table 5  page  54 Task 3 report.

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                                 t4  lS30-2CGu u
                      i\i;C '..'cod Fuel  use  and ',1,IC Emissions
    Best Estimate  Projection of Residential  Wood Usage in Portland
    £ ^ v~ I n ' ' r  I- r,  " i" .' ' r ~*
    i or  i j
-------
                                                      TABLE 02
                                     Index Values for  Certified and Non-Certified
                            Wood  Stove/Furnace Use at  Different Strategy Effectiveness Rates
Column:
                                                                                                          10
                                                                                                                        11
rear
1973
4
5
6
7
8
9
1980
1
2
3
1984
5
b
7
8
9
1990
1
2
3
4
1995
6
7
8
9
2000
Wood Usage*
(Cords/Year)
New Annua
-0-
-0-
-0-
21,875
40,625
28,125
21,875
18,750
31,250
28,125
21,875
-0-
9,375
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
9.375
9,375
9,375
12,500
18,750
9,750
9.000
12,500
9,375
-0-
1 Cumulativ
18,750
18,750
18,750
40,625
81,250
109,375
131,250
150,000
181,250
209,375
231,250
231.250
240,625
240,625
240,625
240,625
240,625
240,625
250.000
259,375
268,750
281.250
300.000
309,750
318,750
331 ,250
340,625
340.625
Stove/Furnarp RWf Tndpy Valupc
Baseline Total
; New Annua
-0-
-0-
-0-
14.6
27.1
18.8
14.6
12.5
20.8
18.8
14.6
-0-
6.2
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
6.2
6.2
6.2
8.4
12.5
6.5
£.0
8.4
6.2
-0-
Cumulativi
12.5
12.5
12.5
27.1
54.2
73.0
87.6
100.0
120.8
139.6
154.2
154.2
160.4
160.4
160.4
160.4
160.4
160.4
166.7
172.9
179.1
187.5
200.0
206.5
212. S
220.9
227.1
227.1
1001 Strategy Effectiveness
Non-Certified
! New
-0-
-0-
-0-
14.6
27.1
18.8
14.6
12.5
20.8
18.8
14.6
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
10 yr old
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
12.5
12.5
11.25
24.7
49.3
63.2
71.5
76.9
90.0
99.8
104.4
93.96
84.6
76.1
68.5
61.6
55.4
49.9
- Certified
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
1.25
8.6
11.1
16.0
22.3
29.5
37.2
52.4
68.6
85.2
103.0
124.0
138.1
151.0
165.6
77.3
82.3
601 Strategy Effectiveness
Non-Ce
New
-0-
-0-
-0-
14.6
27.1
18.8
14.6
12.5
20.8
18.8
14.6
5.8
-0-
2.5
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
2.5
2.5
2.5
3.4
5.0
2.6
2.4
3.4
2.5
rMfipd
10 yr old
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
12.5
12.0
11.5
25.4
51.0
66.7
77.3
85.2
100.9
113.7
121.5
120.0
112.8
108.5
102.0
95.9
90.1
84.7
Certified
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
0.5
4.9
6.4
9.5
13.5
18.1
23.2
33.0
45.5
56.5
68.7
83.0
93.4
103.1
113.9
123.0
128.1
                                                        D-ll

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Column:
            12
                       13
                                  14
                                           TABLE D2  (Cont.)
                                           15         16
                                                                17
                                                                         18
19
                                                                                              20
Year
1973
4
5
6
7
8
9
1980
1
2
3
1984
5
6
7
8
9
1990
1
2
3
4
1995
6
7
8
9
2000
Stove/Furnace RWC Index Values
901 Strategy Effectiveness
Non-Certified
New
-0-
-0-
-0-
14.6
27.1
18.8
14.6
12.5
20.8
18.8
14.6
. 1.46
-0-
0.62
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.84
1.25
0.65
0.60
0.84
0.62
10 yr old
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
12.5
11.4
10.4
24.1
49.0
63.4
72.3
78.3
92.1
102.6
108.0
99.8
90.8
83.3
75.6
69.0
62.8
57.2
- Certified
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
1.0
7.5
9.7
14.1
19.8
26.3
33.3
47.8
62.6
77.9
94.5
114.0
127.4
139.6
153.4
164.7
169.8
20S Strategy Effectiveness
Non-Certified
New
-0-
-0-
-0-
14.6
27.1
18.8
14.6
12.5
20.8
18.8
14.6
11.7
-0-
5.0
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
5.0
5.0
S.O
6.7
10.0
5.2
4.8
6.7
5.0
10 yr ol
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
12.5
12.25
12.1
26.5
53.1
70.8
84.0
94.8
113.7
130.2
142.2
151. 1
148.1
150.1
147.1
144.2
141.3
138.5
Certified
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
0.25
1.7
2.2
3.3
4.7
6.4
8.3
11.8
15.6
19.7
24.4
29.9
34.2
38.3
42.9
47.0
49.8
40J Strategy Effectiveness
Non-Certified
New
-0-
-0-
-0-
14.6
27.1
18.8
14.6
12.5
20.8
18.8
14.6
8.8
-0-
3.7
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
3.7
3.7
3.7
5.0
7.5
3.9
3.6
5.0
3.7
10 yr old
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
12.5
12.0
11.5
25.6
51.7
68.4
80.3
89.6
106.8
121.3
131.1
134.7
129.3
127.8
122.7
117.8
113.1
108.6
Certified
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
0.5
3.4
4.4
6.5
9.2
12.4
16.0
22.8
30.1
37.8
46.6
56.8
64.5
71.8
79.9
86.9
91.2
                                                 D-12

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          exauiple (Table L)2), in 1992 wood usa^e was 2c6,375
            or 1.729 tir.ies as ...uch as in 193C.  This translates to a
1992 wood usage index value of 172.S relative to 1980 wood usage.   The
increase of 9,375 cords/year in 1992 over the previous year is 0.0625
times as much wood usage as in 198C, for an index value of 6.25 (Column
4) representing nev; annual wood usage.  This increase in wood usage
represented by the index value of 5.25 also can be assumed to
represent an increase in the relative number of stoves/furnaces,
assuming constant average wood use per stove/furnace.  For a strategy
with 60% "coverage" - i.e., 60% of the purchasers of new stoves buy
cleaner (certified) units - the number of new certified units purchased
that year can be represented by an index value of 3.72 (.6 x 6.2);
and the number of new non-certified units (Column 9) by 2.5 (.4 x  6.2).
      To calculate index values representing the number of certified
and non-certified stoves/furnaces in use in any given year, for any
strategy effectiveness assumed,  the following three expressions were
used (the expressions shown are for the 60% coverage case, i.e.,
Columns 9-11).
     •To calculate index value for new non-certified stoves/furnaces
      for year y (Column 9):
      (Column 9)y = (1.0 - SC Frac)(Column 4 value)  ,
      (SC = strategy coverage)
     •To calculate index value for non-certified stoves/furnaces
      1C years old for year y (Column 10):
      (Column 10)y = (Col 10)^  - (Col  lO^.j  (.1)(SC Frac)
                     + (Col  4)6.10
     •To calculate index value for certified stoves/furnaces for year
      y (Column 11):
      .(Column 11 )y = (Col H)y_i  + (Col  4)y (SC Frac) "
                     + (Col  10)   (.D(SC  Frac)
      Where:
      SC Frac = the fraction of new/replacement stoves purchased which
                are certified -  i.e., which emit at 5 g/kg or less.
                                  D-13

-------
 Column 11  -index values represent the number of certifiec stoves/fur-
 naces  in use.   Column 5 index values represent the totcil sluveb/'fur-
 naces  in use.   Thus,  Column 11 /Column 5 is the fraction of all  stoves/
 furnaces in  use which are certified.  This certification fraction
 (Cert.  Frac.)  can  be  used to calculate the RWC emissions reductions
 fo"  any given  year due to the use of certified stoves, as follows:

             I, ;,issions Reduction (%)  = Cert. Frac. (0.75)(100)
 ..here  0.75 represents the assumption that certified stoves/furnaces
 Bi,;it 7£/: la^s  particulate then  existing units.  That is, certified
 units  7.-, 11 average 5  c/kg vs existing emissions levels of approximately
                          27
 2u g/ ' rvj ;;su ii.,dtec.  by
       Table  u2  contains  index  values  developed for strategy approaches
with  coverage  levels  of  100%,  60%,  90%,  20%,  and 40%.   The  last  four
represent the  four  strategy  approaches  listed at the beginning of this
subsection.  Table  D3 summarizes  the  potential stove/furnace
particulate  emissions reductions  for  all  five cases, assuming
strategies are  implemented in  1984.   Since stoves/furnaces  are
assumed to account  for about 70%  of total  RWC emissions by  the
mid-19801 s,  multiplying  the  values  in Table D3 by 0.7  affords
the potential  reduction  in overall  RWC  emissions (Table 7).
       Table  D3  indicates that  the most  effective of the four strat-
egy approaches, (testing/certification as a prerequisite for sale,
plus  a 33% tax  credit, which was  assumed  to be 90% effective) reduces
RWC particulate emissions from stoves/furnaces by only  3.5%  after two
years  (by 1985}.  However, its benefits  accumulate such that it  reduces
these  emissions by  almost 16%  by  1990 and  by  56% by the year 2000.
       The second most  effective of  the four strategy approaches  ana-
lyzed, testing/certification as a prerequisite for sale, assumed  to
be 60% effective, resulted in  almost  11%  less  emissions by  1990  and
42% less by the year  2000.
      The strategy  approach  assumed to be  40%  effective, testing/cer-
                                                                 *
tification as a basis for mandatory labelling,  plus  a 33% tax credit,
resulted in almost 8*  less Ri.'C emissions by 1990.  and 30% less by  the
year 2000.
      The least (20%) effective of the four strategies  achieved  a  4*
reduction in RWC emissions by  1990, and 17.5%  by  2000.
                                D-14

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                                     TABLE D3
                 Par 11 c j] u tc  i_i:."i ss'i oris ileuuct ,cf'  •.', .  .-.c.. i :\iC\
                                        at
                          Five Strategy  Coverage Levels
YEA;:
i^
1SC5
7
O
9
199C
1
2
3
4
1995
6
7
o
9
2CCC
Strategy Coverage Levels (% Clean Stoves Installed
of Total New Stoves Installed-)
IGui
i .
4.0



17.4




45.5




60.2
:c-
o . 3
2.3



10.B




31.1




42.3
^;/-
J . j
3.5



15.6




42.6




56.1
"• •
o.l
C.3



3.2




11.3



.
16.4
'•:/

i..:



7.5




21.3




30.1
               Emissions Reduction (%} = (Cert. rrac.}(.75)(100)
Example Calculation (1985; 90%  Coverage):
Iii.issiuiis Reduction ,':0) -  \Ccrt.  Frac.) (.75; {lu(J)
Ei.iisbion Reduction ',:-}  7 .49/1 JL. . ••-  \.75;\1JJ' - 3.:>
                                   D-15

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                  for Selecting. 33% lax Credit
      In Portlana, Oregon participate emissions from UV.'C  are now  pro-
jected to exceed total industrial particulate emissions (tons/year)
oy the mid-19COs.    Pollution control tax credits  are  available  in
Oregon to industries which must  install particulate control devices,
                                        32
for UH to 50% of the installation costs.    Tax credit  levels for  wood
jiirriin<_ equipment can be estimated using  industrial ^articulate control
CuS'.S .
      A recent study addressed growth management  issues for the Port-
land airshed.    It estimated industry must pay about $10,000 in  pol-
lution control costs  per ton of particulate  to  obtain emissions  off-
set to locate in tiie Portland urban area  ($5.00 per Ib. of TSP).   Up
to 50', of such costs would be eligible for tax credit under Oregon
                     32
laws and regulations.    The Oregon Department of Environmental Quality
estiii.ates that average TSP emission factors are 40  Ib/ton  (20 g/kg) for
stoves and 20 Ib/ton (10 g/kg) for fireplaces.
      A household which burns 2  cords/year in a wood stove (2 X 1.75
tons/cord =3.5 tons/year) would emit 140 Ibs of TSP per year (40  x
3.5 = 140).   If these emissions were to be counterbalanced by industrial
emission reductions, it would cost either industry or the  state through
its tax credit program a combined total of $700.  If a residential
tax credit proyrau were set up in a manner comparable to  how the
industry program operates in Oregon, then the state could  subsidize
up to $350 of costs if these emissions were  totally controlled,  or
about $253.00 if the emissions were reduced by 75%  ($700  x .75 x
.5 = $262.50).  This significant level of economic  incentive to purchase
cleaner units could stiuulate development of cleaner units even if
their manufacturing costs were several hundred dollars, more per unit
than "dirtier units".
      Another approach to setting a tax credit level might be to assume
that development of such cleaner stove/furnace designs would add to
the costs of producing a unit by, say 50%.  Then.whatever  the price
of the unit turned out to be, an appropriate level of tax  credit to
                                  D-16

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offset development costs, would be 33% (50% cost increase is  equivalent
to 33% of final  total  costs).   Thirty-three percent of the assumed  1984
competitive cost ($1200)  of advanced design stoves/furnaces is  $1200  x
.33 = $400.  This value was selected for purposes of this analysis.
    Modifications of Installed 3toves/Furnaces
    a<   Air Inlet ,-ioaifications
            tlarnett reported research findings 1  on the effect on emis-
    sions of a simple change in air flow pattern.  A thin-walled con-
    vection wood stove v/as tested.  Instead of introducing air as
    normal  from both a front and back draft hole, the front hole was
    slocked off, and a tube was extended from the back draft hole hor-
    izontally to the back center.  Air supply was thus introduced be-
    tween the logs near the center of the stove.   Particulate emis-
    sions were found to decrease about 50% as a result of this simple
    modification.  This finding suggests that manufacturers of stoves
    might be able to reduce emissions by 50% with inexpensive modifica-
    tions to the air supply inlet construction, perhaps for $20 per
    stove or less in additional construction costs.
            Since optimum design is not known for certain, in order
    for manufacturers to ascertain whether the addition   (of an air
    supply tube into the back center of the firebox) actually reduces
    emissions, some simple emission measurement technique is needed
    that could give manufacturers inexpensive feedback on emissions.
    Without such feedback widespread introduction of this or similar
    Modifications may not occur at all.
            As a retrofit strategy it  is  unreasonable  to  believe  that
    more than 1 or 2% of stove  owners  would ever  be sufficiently  concerned
    about air emissions to^ voluntarily make such  a  modification.   Retrofits
    would  be more likely if significant  fuel  savings   resulted.   A
    strategy of requiring that  stove owners modify  their  existing
    stoves  by changing the air  supply  configuration does  not appear
    to  be practical  because no  single  "modification kit"  could apply

                               •  D-17

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to c.11 stoves ana there coulu  JG  serious  safety  problsus  if  novice
stove owners were to  alter  tr.eir  stove  designs.   Thus  no  emission
reduction credit can  be claimed for  this  "retrofit"  strategy.

b.  Insertion of Firebrick  in  Stovebox
        Souc have theorized  thot  possible flai-.e  quenching  • ^..r
firebox ,,'alls coulc! o-j reLuceo by lining  ciie  stove box  with  refrac-
tory ur firebrick.
        Firebrick insertion  into  the stove  box has been theorized
oy sci.ifc as a ;;:eans to increasing  co.. '.bust ion zone temperature  anc
co!,.busticn efficiency anc! thereby reduce  emissions.   Insufficient
combustion zone ternperature  can mean less than coir.plete combustion,
because the spontaneous ignition  temperature  of  volatilized  wood
^ases ranges from 670 to 1200° F.13
        However, research on this technique as applied  to  a  thin-
waned stove by Barnett n did  not show  any  significant  emission
reduction.  Accordingly, no  emission reduction can be  expected
from this practice.

c.  Heat Transfer Improvements (Fans)
       The application of fans or blowers to  existing  units  for the
purpose of heat recovery from  stack  gases can theoretically  increase
thermal efficiency, thereby  reducing the  amount  of wood burned.
Assuming combustion efficiency remains  constant,  if  heat  transfer
efficiency increases, then  gross  efficiency increases  by  the same
proportion.  For example, if modifications  to exisitng  stoves could
increase heat transfer and  increase  efficiency from  50  to  55%,
(assuming combustion efficiency remained  constant)^9%  less wood
  (55-50)/55  would need to  be burned  to produce  the  same amount of
heat and theoretically 9% less emissions  would be produced.
        Research by Shelton    on  one fireplace-stove showed  that
application of a larger blower with  rouyhly 570% more  cfm (900
vs 134) than the existing blower  increased  energy efficiency by
                               D-18

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 margins not exceeding  5%.   This suggests that increasing blower
 capacity on a unit  designed to have forced air for heat transfer
 is not likely to  reduce emissions by much more than about 5%.
                15
         Barnett •  ,  in  work comparing the conditions of 1) no
 forced-air heat exchanging and 2) application of a blower, founa
 about a 5% increase in thermal (heat transfer) efficiency resulting
 from adding the blower.
         For the homeowner who might be convinced to add some fan
 behind or near their wood stove to increase heat transfer, the
 thermal  efficiency  improvement (and theoretical  emission reduc-
 tion based on reduced wood burning) is likely limited to less than 5%.
         Even  if 20% of homeowners were to install a fan near their
 stove or  increase the blov;er capacity on stoves  with blowers, if
 the improvement in thermal and overall  efficiency is limited to
 5% as discussed,  then only a \% reduction in wood burning might
 occur.  Thus  the  practical potential  for this strategy as a retro-
 fit strategy  is considered to  be  negligible,  or  0-1%.

d.  Add-on  Particulate  Control  Devices

        Re9arding  particulate  emission  reduction  achievable for
 stoves by add-on devices only  two  sets  of tests  have  been  done.
 The first was by the Oregon  Department  of Environmental  Quality
                                 on
 and the second was part of Task 5   of  this  study.   In  the  1980
tests sponsored by DEQ, a  steel wool mesh filter  (cost  $150)
inserted into the  stack was  found  to reduce total particulate
emissions by 60% (limited  two test comparison).

        In work by OI-iNI and Del Green Associates  in 1981 under  Task
5 of this  contract, the emission factor  in a test  with the steel
wool mesh  filter was actually higher (limited two test comparison).
                              D-19

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        Ir. unuc.i-:-r ^et uf J,;,,I/Jel dreen  tests one add-on cocal^i.c
afterburner v/ds tested.  It also was  inserted into the stack about
six inches above the stove Lox.  The  test with the add-on unit
showed1 slightly lower emissions, by about 10%, but this dif-
ferential  should je considered negligible in light of experimental
error.
        Jiven other uncertainties a^out how lon^ these adc-on con-
trol devices ;',;ight ptrfori;., anu whether clogging i.iay ultimately
occur, it is uncertain that any significant add-on particulate
control device will be available in the marketplace in the
next five years, where significant device is defined as a
unit that can reduce emissions on a continued basis by 20%
yet still  cost less than $150.
        In order to withstand public  opposition to government re-
quirements for a retrofit device that reduced emissions from wood
stoves, any such device would have to have proven significant effec-
tiveness,  maintain effectiveness over time, overcome all potential
safety problems, yet still be reasonably  inexpeensive (i.e., less
than $200).  Because of the lack of data indicating such devices
to be currently available, the emission reduction potential  from
such a strategy is considered to be negligible (0-1%)  for the near
future.

3   Improved Design of Add-on Devices for Fireplaces

a.  Underfire Air
        The effect of underfire air on fireplace emissions  has
been tested to a limited degree by PEDCo-Environmental   (January
1979).  Of 18 source tests  conducted for fireplaces, one of the
tests measured emissions from a fireplace with underfire air.
This test can be compared to four other tests with similar  burn
rates and same wood type, as shown in Table D4 below.  This com-
           *
parison indicates about a 40% emission reduction was achieved by
application of underfire air to a fireplace.
                              D-20

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                             TABLE  D4
           PEDCo Fireplace Source Tests:  Underfire Air
                                and
               Electrostatic Precipitator  Comparison
Burning
Unl t
Fireplace
Fireplace
Fireplace
Fireplace
Fireplace
Wood Type
Dry Pine
Dry Pine
Dry Pine
Dry Pine
Dry Pine
Burn Rate
(kg/Hour)
11.4
8.2
11.5
10.1
15.2
TSP Emission
Factor (g/kg).
9.5
16.6
15.3
16.7
8.7
Control
Measure
Underfire air
None
None
None
Electrostatic
                                                                 Precipitator
        Although  this  one  particular  test  with  underfire  air  showed
 a 40% (41.4%)emission  reduction,  the  burn  rates in  these  tests
 are perhaps  twice  as high  as  normal burn rates.   Thus,  this same
 percentage reduction might not  be achievable  at lower burn rates.
        The  underfire  air  unit  tested cost about  $SO.   This low
 cost for the sizable emission reduction that  was  achieved in  at
 least this one case, argues that  more research  is warranted on
 this low cost retrofit measure, especially over the range of  burn
 rates comiTionly used by individuals.   Given uncertainties  about
 whether these results  apply at  lower  burn  rates,  the technical
 potential for emission reductions  by  this  technique is  estimated
 at 0 to 40%  for an individual unit, based  on  this limited test
 information .
        This strategy would have  to be applicable as a  retrofit
 strategy in  order to have  significant effect.   However, there is
 a far greater chance that  a retrofit  device such as this could
be developed and conirnercialized for fireplaces than for stoves
since one or two designs likely could fit  most fireplaces.  Po-
tential  safety problems such as air outlet hole plugging would
need to  be overcome.

                              D-21

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         i he  retrofit  cevicc would necessarily  include  a  -le/.'er
system which would  require  use  of electric power.   Even if
ti.e units were  given  free to dwellings with fireplaces,  probably
only about 50%  of households ,,ould utilize the units.  Practical
emission reduction  potential would thus appear to  be  in  the  20,,'.
rc.ncc ^ )v- firt-plaC'j units to v;iiich this technology >s  applied.


          - c..i,"i SS i OCi3  c.!"i'-. i,iiuS tliat '» o I ut  ,S LiSiJ T^T  'Ci'lS  Ci,iCU~
       Jc  '- s 111 .actiu tc ^u ."^'JuCv_'-. ^^ i_'j/'  ^y  ^iL.t>u  .imcn  O'^UCLCC ^u ^
       ion in  all  i\',;C c-i,.i ssiuns of  2,  ~.y  HjOO  i.K  1(  ._ - .'-2) tut o'
       naif  that  amount by 15CO.
b..  Electrostatic Precipitator
         It  has  been hypothesized by some  that  an electrostatic
precipitator  could control emissions  despite  incomplete combustion.
Although  feasible, the high cost (about  $1400)  for the emission
reduction achievable (perhaps 50%) r.iake  this  strategy  unlikely
as a widespread  solution for individual  fireplaces (and also stoves
by extension).
         In  one  of the P.EDCo tests   cited above  (Table D4)  & 45£
(46.3%)eirrission  reduction was found to occur  when  a commercially
available ESP was applieo.  The "Smog-Hog"  used  by PEDCc in their
tests   was  reported to cost S350 in 1977, and is estimated to cost
SHOO  installed  in 1932.
         Even  assuming optimistically  that such a 45% reduction
could  be  achieved for all burn rates,  applications,  etc. this very
hiyh cost ;r,akes  this strategy impractical for  individual units.
For apartment ouildin^s where multiple flues  nay be tied together
to have a cor.won exhaust flow, economies  of scale  ;;iay  be able to
ri-uuce costs  ^er Fi >~e-,jl aci1 to ..irjre rt,.-asonajl-j -jvels.
                                D-22

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        o 1 c: 3 3  J C G T S
            Can  t.ie sppl ict.t iui.  of ^lass doors  alter  the combustion
    process in  a  fireplace  s'jcn  that greater coiiibustioti efficiency
    aiic lesser  emissions result?  .Although the  available data aga",n
               1£
    '.s lii:iiteci   , it appears  that 1) operating  a  fireplace '..'ith jlass
    -c.urs iiiut  uro..at icall.,  r.-.-ci-ces ^ross efficiencies  ^urin:, the bLr-;,-
      .j ,.'-.»'.^c  juJ^Li^e t'.t.  -••'-j r..v-jce iioet transfer,  C.K  1,' ^':\-<.r-.r,-_
    : _ f-, r •_,;"; ^.  ,/~\\': ,_    . .    .  •'-.  ^Ic'^E, Jocrs  _,r  Ooi,:'  _.:v.,,.i •'..( 1 ,
    during the  night time burndown/smoulder phase can cut  house  heat
    loss by an  undetermined percentage.   Regarding combustion efficiency
    and emissions, no evidence was  found in the literature  that  glass
    doors as normally installed  can either  increase combustion efficiency
    or reduce emissions.
L-.   ."ieouCinCj  .sooci usage
      This  section reviev.'S  tne following strategy approaches for
reducing  R'/iC  emissions by rc-Gucinc, ,vood usage:
      1.  keauciric, home heatincj requirements
          a.   .('etherization
          j.   Reducing stove  charge size and burn  rate
      L.  L.-^rov 1 fi'^ n'ood fuel  CjucnLy
          a.   Select "ion of  ,,-&od ritii higher heetinc,  '-i^\\-:
          j.   ,.oisture ccntenl: control (seasoning)
               1.   Fireplaces  - i.oisture content effects
               Z,   otovcs/furnacos  - i.iO'isture content  ••••rf.jctf
      "o.   Direct  restrictions on wood  use
          a.   L,ji secle controls
          D.   Ci'i.ission oensit^  zo:>in'.;
                                    D-23

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      _c.fw'f-  .  :,_^ss:;..^  ';!..-  i L," •: t _• _,y api-iroochc-s in this Scct.^i, j
general LI scussion  is  prcscracu  of  the relationship betv.een burn rate
and particulate  emission,  because  it is relevant to several of the
strategies evaluated 'hereafter.

                       Effects  -  Stoves/Furnaces
                           J  i..i"i i S> 1 GITS  iTJi.  StO V£ S ,' T U f'l luCS S  >'•_;'  •
are a function  of the  amount of  wood burned  (Ibs/hr,  kg/day,  etc.)  and
the emission  factor of the woodburning unit,  usually  expressed as grams
of particulate  emitted per kilogram of wood  burned (g/kg).   This idea
is illustrated  schematically in  Figure D2(a).   Both of  these  determinants
of RWC emissions - wood  usage and emission  factor can be  a  function of the
rate at which the wood is  burned in the stove/furnace (kg/hr).
      A given ai.iount of  wood burned should  provide the  same amount
of heat whether  it is  burned slowly or at  a  more rapid  rate,  provided
that the combustion and  thermal  efficiencies  of the burning unit remain
constant.  This will often not Le the  case,  especially  over a wide ran^e
of burning rates, for  several reasons.  Hotter fires  (higher  burn
rates) may lose more heat  via exhaust  gases,  reducing thermal effici-
ency.  Slower burn rates may not maintain  sufficient  temperature in
the firebox for as complete  combustion of  volatiles,  reducing combus-
tion efficiency  (and increasing  emissions).   The stove  operator also
i;iay believe that at lower burn rates his heat  output  is not adequate
and add more wood.
      For purposes of  this analysis wood usage is assumed to  be a
direct function of burn  rate (Figure D2(b)).   However,  the  emission
factor is assumed to vary with burn  rate as shown  in Figure D2(c),
based on research described  below.   This relationship is  important  in
estimating the potential emissions  reductions  achievable  by several of
the strategy approaches  examined here.
                                  D-24

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                                      FI'CUE  U2

                            Jerieral relationships Assumed
                                       Setv/een
                           Key ,»ooc burning Unit Variables
   RWC
 Emissions
   Rate
 (g/day)
EF = x
where:
EF= Emission
factor (g/kg)
-,• r~  ' . - y, ^ ' -. . ,1	
i *: , ^  \ fj C I ^ ! u U I *J> ^ C /
cr.ii ss ions  'is  the
product of  .VOGC:
usage  and  c...issiun
factor.
  '.'.OOC
 Usage
(Kg/day)
                    >urn Rate
                                wood Usage  varies
                                directly with  burn
                                rate (combustion
                                and thermal  effici-
                                encies ,repair:  constant
                                hours of burning  remain
                                constant).
 Emission
  factor
  (g/kg)
                            C.  Emission factordecreases
                                as burn rate increases.
                   Burn Rate
                    (Kg/hr)
                                     D-25

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       I'licvc/Turticcc-  emissions ^s: results r _",•".:.•..•_• 'J j-lj.  cl-ji-rl^ sno..
 that  as  burn  rate  increases,  emissions factors decrease.  This reflects
 niijher combustion  efficiencies at higher firebox temperatures.  How-
 ever, whether  or not total  emissions over tiire is greater or less at
 Ltie hi'jher  burn rates depends upon whether the higher wood usage at
 higher burn rates  offsets  the lower  emissions  factor.   That  is,  if
 doubling  the  burn  rate cuts the  emission factor in  half, but  twice as
 ,,L.ch  .;GGu  is  uurned,  the total emissions per ^.uj v/ill ue the sa^ie.
      ,-,'e  have  assumed for  purposes of this analysis that wood usage
 .-,11  vary  linearly with burn  rate (Figure 02(bj).  However,  the
 variation of emissions factor with burn  rate  is apparently not linear
 '.,-i^L.re .jl\c;, F^ure D3j.  The  latter,  non-linear  relc'o ior,sl-.i,, ;.;ust be
 examinee!  more  closely, because it has important  implications for
 several T;.;C strategy approaches, and for such practices as operating
 stoves/furnaces in an "airtight" or  banked mode.

 Review of Existing Research
      Sutcher  (1979)  published findings  that particulate emission
 factors from airtight wood  stoves are inversely proportional  to burn
                                                               IP
rates  and directly proportional  to fuel  load  in the  stove  box.     He
 derived the following equation to describe this relationship:

                         lactor  = 10-73
      where, i;, =  initial  fuel  load in firebox (kg)
             q =  combustion  rate  (10,000 Btu/hr)
      uther researchers   >J>          also have noted how emission
factor increase dramatically as burn  rate decreases.  While this may
seeir, to suggest that  stoves/furnaces  should be encouraged to operate at
higher rates, the situation  is  not necessarily so simple, because the
higher wood usage at  higher  burn  rates could be an offsetting factor.
      The quantitative relationship between emission factors and burn
rates is not understood completely at this time.  In work conducted
                                  D-26

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 "in till s  study  ^Tdsk'j;,  v,hea.St_c or,
       Figure 1)3  illustrates  these  cwo  different  rtpresental ions of
 the relationship between  burn  rate  and emission factor, i.e., the  Butcher
 and Del Green Associates  equations,  respectively.   The uata plotted
 in Figure D3 are shown  in Table  05.  This  data was  derived using the
 burn rates in Column 1  in both equations 1  and 2  above to calculate
 an emission factor.  To assure consistent treatment of the different
 burn rate terms in equations 1 and  2,  a conversion  factor of  4258 Ctu/
 Ib of wood burned was used.   For Butcher's equation,  a fuel  load of
•-j.2 KC,  ,-,as  assumed  (o =  6.?),  hecniis*3 this  oroduced  e^issic^s dr.?  «»•''•_
 si on rates of similar magnitude  to  those from the Del  Green equation.
 A  different "m"  value could be chosen  and the relative change in
 einission  factor  for a given burn rate  change wculc  bo  about the.  same.
 Tlie  "i.," value of c.2 ;,as chosen for this example because  then the
 t'.vo  ei,.ission  factor curves in Figure 03 are in close proxii.iity  and it
 is easier  to  perceive their similarity of slope.
       Figure  D3  shows that the two  equations are similar  in curve
 shape,  and similar in position on the  graph when Butcher's rn  =  13.
 Table  D5  shows that for a burning rate decrease of  0.5 Ib/hr, over
 a  range of burning  rates (Column 1), the two equations afford different  .
changes in  relative emission  factors (Columns 2 and  3).  Butcher's equa-
tion indicates that the  increase  in  emission factor  for a  0.5  Ib/hr de-
crease  in  burning rate  will  be  greater  for  lower  initial  burn rates
 (Coluh.n 2i.   The  Del  Green Associates equation  indicates  that each
0.5 lb/r
-------
300
                                        Figure D3: Two different representations  of  the
                                                  relationship between burn  rate  and  '
                                                  emission  factor.
                                          Y = 10.73 * m/q + 1.18   (Butcher)
	  Y = 156 e
                                                                   (Del Green)
        1   2    3    4     5    6   78    9   10   11  12   13  14   15  16   17  18

                              BURN  RATE   (LB/HR)
                                       C-28

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                      TABLE D5

Emission Factors Calculated for a Range of Burn Rates
      Using  the  Butcher  and Del  Green Equations
Burn Rate
Ob/hr)
0.5
1.0
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
8.0
10.0
14.0
16.0
Emission Factor (g/kc
Butcher
10.73(m/q) + 1.18*
297
149
75
60
50
44
38
34
31
28
26
20
16
12
10
) Using Two Equations
Del Green
156/e'84x
129
107
73
60
50
41
34
28
23
19
16
7
3.5
.75
.35
 *  "m"
   m"  assumed  to  equal  6.2  kg,
                        D-29

-------
      " ., .   _cr 1^;^  i.  :~ inures ^4 arid Jo  iho..'  the
„ t° -.jcrcob--  ,ii  c.i i j -> ;ur, TC.CC tur i uiucn  ,^'iuer  c.r_
cnan;,es, using  the  Jutcner and Del Green  Associates equations, respec-
t i vely .
      In TaDle  06  the relative amount of  wood  burned ^ Column 4)  is
 .w'.^ruCiJ ~j  tiiC .j^r,  i"dt.c.  liiitc.ier s c^ud
                   ..ill  be the io.,-_  i ;•, all

t,., issioi! rates  (assu.iiing operators continue  to  chc-rce the sari.e
uf ..otjc ,.£r  locdin.j).   Tiie Del 3reen Associates ec^c'.tvj-  ..i^icc'.--^
^ , _. , ._o v. r. i  _i. . i s s ; u n s P^r o oy ' /uu i c JL ^ r o c u(jr or  i ^. ^ b •- ^   r--J ^ ^-' ^' { * ' ^ ^ \' '- ' '  u
.,,...'_.! _uri; rat-.^,  ,. i zli r&LiUC-ici  tutol -2:.:i ss ions h^'" • ;^ •-'i-;  -'-'-f 'j'll^
f.^i' _>..r,; rule uicroases below uLout L.J 1^/nr   .Cc-l-^..,.  .•,.   'ou,.
C/7 shows how the  total  wood burned, heat output,  arid ^articulate emis-
sions woulo  vary  with  burning rate for a ten-hour burn period, v;here
emissions  are  calculated using both the Butcher and Del Green equa-
tions.  Total  wood  usage (Column 2} over ten-hour ranges from 15 to
^ Ibs, governed  by burn rate (Column 1).
      Heat output (Btu) similarly ranges from 6.4 to 23.6 10  3tu/hr
\Colunm 3).  This range should cover the space  heatiny output required
for most homes,  since  Day reports that typical  wood stove burn  rates
                               24
produce about  8-15,000 Btu/hr.
      Columns  4  and 5  indicate how total  (10 hr.) part icul ate emissions
vary for each  of  the burn rates  in Column  1, usinc both the Butcher  and
Del Green  equations.  Total emissions are  essentially the same  in  all
cases  (Column  4)  using Butcher's equation.   Using the Del Green  equa-
tion, total  emissions  peak at a  burn rate  of about 2.5 Ib/hr  (Column
5).  This  is probably  a typical  burn rate  for households in climates
comparable to  Portland and Seattle.  Barnett's  field studies  in  upstate
New York for climate with about  5000 heating degree days per year
(comparable to Portland and Seattle) found  stove burn rates most
commonly in the  2.0 to 2.5 Ib/hr range. p   Columns 6 and 7 show  how
dramatically emissions per unit  of heat output  increase as burn  rate
decreases.
                                   D-30

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^-^Final
Initial
Burn Rate
1.
2.
2.
3.
3.
4.
4.
5.
5.
6.
Burn Rate
Ib/hr
Ib7ht^-^
5
0
5
0
5
0
5
0
5
0
1.5
-0-
33
65
98
130
161
193
224
255
286
2.0
-25
-0-
25
49
73
97
121
144
168
191
2.5
-40
-20
-0-
20
39
58
77
96
115
134
3.0
-49
-33
-16
-0-
16
32
48
64
80
95
3.5
-56
-42
-28
-14
-0-
14
28
41
55
68
4.0
-52
-49
-37
-24
-12
-0-
12
24
36
48
4.5
-66
-55
-44
-33
-22
-11
-0-
11
21
32
5.0
f~ O
-02
-59
-49
-39
-29
-19
-10
-Cl-
lO
19
5.5
-72
-63
-53
-44
-35
-26
-18
- 9
-0-
9
6.0
-74
-66
-57
-49
-41
-32
-24
-16
8
-0-
D-32

-------
                                                 TABLE  D6

                        Emissions  Per  Day  Resulting  From Changes  in  Emission  Factors
                                       Caused  By Changes in  Burn  Rate
                                   Calculated  Using  Butcher  and Del  Green
Burn Rate
Change
(Ibs/hr)
1.5 to 2.0
2.0 to 2.5
2.5 to 3.0
3.0 to 3.5

3.5 to 4.0
4.0 to 4.5
4.5 to 5.0
5.0 to 5.5
5.5 to 6.0
Ratio of Emission Factors
@ Lower Burn Rate (g/kg)
L« Higher Burn Rate (g/kg)
Butcher
1.3280
1.2451
1.1953
1.1622
t
1.1384
1.1207
1.1068
1.0958
1.0867
Del Green
1.210
1.210
1.210
1.210

1.210
1.210
1.210
1.210
1.210
Ratio of Daily Wood Burned
@ Lower Burn Rate (Ibs/day)
@ Higher Burn Rate (Ibs/day)
Butcher or Del Green
0.75
0.80
0.833
0.857

0.875
0.889
0.900
0.909
0.916
Ratio of Total Emissions per Day
@ Lower Burn Rate (kg/day)
@ Higher Burn Rate (kg/day)
Butcher
.996
.996
.996
.996

.996
.996
.996
.996
.996
Del Green
.908
.968
1.008
1.037

1.059
1.076
1.089
1.100
1.108
Assumes:  4285 Btu/lb of wood burned,
                                                   D-33

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                                          TABLE D7
                        Total Wood Burned, Heat, and Emissions Output
                       During a Ten-Hour Burn at Different Burn Rates
Burn
Rate
(Ibs/hr)
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
Wood Burned
(Ibs)
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Heat Output1
104 Btu/hr
0.643
0.857
1.071
1.286
1.500
1.714
1.928
2.143
2.357
Particulate Emissions
Kq/10 hours
Butcher
.678
.681
.684
.686
.653
.692
.694
.697
.700
Del Green
.599
.660
.682
.677
.459
.616
.573
.526
.479
Emissions/Unit of Heat
Kq/104 Btu
Butcher
1.055
.795
.638
.534
.459
.404
.360
.325
.297
Del Green
.933
.771
.637
.527
.435
.360
.297
.246
.203
1
 Assumes 4285 Btu/lb of wood burned.
                                           D-34

-------
fi  ,           '    ,.-.    1 .,   i-J^--,~-+--iU-iv-r
u ^ r . i ; , •  ^ i \3i~ij  _• u r >•!_, ii.iuiui ouc^t-i Oi ci r i r c

      An  additional  relevant characteristic of stove  particulate emis-
sions is  that  aoout b"L-« of the total ei.iissions are prcduceo  in  trie
first one-sixth  \~\77.}  of  the burn.  This finding was  first made by
^t^Ciujr ,  i".  rJ77J   cnii  coiifirmed by 0.u.E..'<. test in... conductec  in l^L.i
 .,,„ V.;", .'J  ".".is r,hencne...a can be best understood
„ _ ,..,'...-.._  ..:  . ^	f!r, n., .  ,",c;; CCCLF.  Jurin^ *;c
,,rcLcSS&s  .niCn occur  are:
                 . .jter is vaporized
                 • /L/iotiles are vaporized/co.nbustec

      J,ur.nr; the  '.nitial   stages of  a fire, tlie relatively cool  fireb'ox
temperatures (heating the  stove's thermal  mass takes  time)  and the
presence  of steam can retard complete  combustion.  Since the greatest
a,, tuut  of vclatiles are produced  in the initial stages  of a  fire, a
relatively  ^reater oxygen  supply  is needed to enable  close  to complete
combustion  to  occur.   This explains the basis for  the coi.n.ionly cited
recommendation of "burning briskly  in  the  first 20 to 30 minutes" of a
new fire  or after a  large charge of wood  is added to the firebox.
      Although there is no direct estimate in the  literature of the
reduction in emissions which is achievable by "burning  briskly in the
first half  fiour", such an   estimate can be  generated based on the burn
rai,e discussion  presented   above.  For  example, for an individual stove,
if the  operator  "burns briskly" at three times the normal  burn  rate
during  the  first  half iiour of a four hour  burn, he will  be  reducing the
emissions rate expected in the first one-eighth (30/240  minutes) of the
firing  period  by  33%.   This practice can be estimated to reduce emis-
sions by  about 25%,  provided the total amount of wood burned remains
constant, as shown  below:
                                  D-35

-------
                 ^f 3,..;ss'ions occur  ,n  first  v.<  ;,.ir,i:tcs
                 ~ ^ . X C i * Ci  i_-rw(  .lif!. u^'i/
                 k burning occurs for 75%  of  that  time
                    (30/40 minutes)
            •brisk burning is assumed to be three  times
             t!ie normal burn rate, which implies a 67%
             a,, ission rate reduction durinj that ti;,,e
             ,/er'io ,  and a 20C% increase in amount of
             ..c.cc  burned during ti.ese 30 >,. mutes
            •Emissions are thus assumed to be reduced by 25% for the
             entire period, assuming the total amount of wood burned
             is the same.   .50 x .75 x >67 = _25
       " ,.:3  fcr  3!, individual  stove,  it is c:ti.£t;u i:,r>t . rnv.,
 '<_  -~  „,.!•_  I'M-, s the normal  rate during t,ic r"-,rsi OI-.L-^ i;,,- i;,  ^r  t,-;e
fire coulo  reduce emissions  by about 25%,  so lent, as the wood  ournea
per fire does  not change,   however,  tripling, burn rate during  the first
one-ei^nth  of  the nornial  burn length would result in a 25% increase in
overall wood usage,  unless the burn  rate during the remaining  seven-
eighths of  the  normal  burn length is reduced to 75% of normal.  Two
cases  are considered  in Table Do in  which the burn rate during the
remaining 7/C  of  the  fire:  1)  is at the "normal" rate so that overall
wood use increases 25%,  and;  2)  is  reduced to 75% of normal.
       In Case  #1  the  temporary decrease in emission rate achieved oy
ourning briskly during the first  3C  minutes,  is offset by the  fact
that maintaining  the  normal  burn  rate during  the rest of the fire
 increases overall wood use by 25^.   The net result is no decrease in
emission coaipared to  the  Base Case.
       In Case #2, after  burning  briskly as in Case #1,  the wood use
(burn  rate) during the rest  of  the fire is kept below "normal" such
that the total amount  of wood burned over  the course of the fire  is the
same as the Case  Case.  The  net  result  in  17.9% less emissions compared
to the Base Case.
      Assuming most households would not  cut  normal  wood use back by a
full 25% during the final  7/8 of  the fire,  a  more  realistic assumption
could  average the results  of  Cases #1  and  #2  for purposes  of this analy-
sis, it .vas assumed ,.iost probable that  relative emissions  (last column
above;  .vould be reduced by about  10%.   It  was further  assumed  that no
                                  D-36

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 vi >_  t,i.ui",  i. „• ^r  .,, v  iGuotj."C iL.s COL. i L.  bij  jjt.rs Jade'., ic c.'.Uo JUP;  brisuiy
 ;n~ rocucL  r,ur..ul  V.UUL. use c.Lr,;u  c,i^  rjsc  ^f ;iie T , rx.   Tins rcsullj
 in  i.iost  (jrojaLle  einissicns reductions  of  3.5* froi.. burnind briskly only
 in  the fire  ,/ith  moderate wood use thereafter.

 •".ix.lucc.  -  ^urti  /.ate Iffects
  .i-j  c.iji.^e ',.,11  occur .vnen fireplace  jurini;^  reies are elttrtc.  T'.;i
-------
jj ^ji'li:  t'..s cc-;.., c,.s  fo ~  -.'^rr.  rc-.es arcur.d r.5  IL/hour,  but tl,at
i  .prcvtci  vr£.i_uCc'v /  cuCcl ei :'i ss ions  can occur at  io\/er  jui n rate's, t.rc
worse  thigher;  total e;,,'.ssions  ar,  occur at higher  burn rates (Table
Do, Column  J).
       Tii.rd,  bc.std ur;  the  evidence  at hand v-ye cannot  de-tens.me '..•!ie!:;-ci^
i'..:. _.uLcr-:i'" t r  _-el  .:f-_--... _>L/c.L:oi,  "is ..ore appro,, ri ate.  for jse :'er
                                                                  !
 . r,(_r..uS'j^.    !u..ever,  .ju  ncls  'elicit buth ec,udt"ions  afiorc t;.e jci...t  ^r
 3r'Krox i,..ucelj the sa:,,e  results  In the "i.iost co;,i;,'iOn"  rancje of burr;  rates
 ,L-J)  K;5/'r,r;  Tabl;D5,  C'jlL,i..,is  3 ar,d G, entries 2- o n. C- r°. p o ^ u I' i ; u 'J o :. '.. '•  ; :. J  J • : -
 ."cr.^c  :.r  ;^.";. r^-^eo - ....,  
-------
ruuiai-a heat stored  in the refractor,;' material after the fire  insioe
has dieo down, and;  2) Richard Hill's refractory lined, water-cooled,
turbulent air furnace, which uses water as well as refractory  material
for heat storage and circulation.
      Fifth, we have so far used Butcher's equation by  assuming
constant fuel loads  UJ.  This is consistent with typical operator
urcceuures.  For exah.pl e, She 1 ton has noted that "many, If not ;.:ost,
operators use about  the sauie size fuel load under c.11 conditions  and
use the cor.ioustion air control to regulate power output". ^  However,
      r's equation v. ith q held constant  also  implies that euissions"
rat':S cLi. 02 recuced by charging sraaller  loads of ./ooc  , s.neller ;,,  in
Butcher's equation)  while maintaining  e  constant burn rate, or rate of
heat output  (q, Btu/hr).  This provides  a  basis for postulating emis-
sions reductions from inducing operators to charge smaller loads of
wood while maintaining their normal hourly burn rate (q), i.e., to
charge the stove more frequently with  smaller loads (m), while burning
the same amount of wood over time.
      This would be  less convenient.   It  is perhaps most palatable and
likely to occur for  smaller stove sizes  where the "normal" load for a
larger stove would overfill the smaller  stove's firebox.  This is
relevant to  the strategy approach of down-sizing stoves to allow
"hotter fires" without making a room uncomfortably warm.  A "hotter
fire" should increase combustion efficiency,  lowering emissions.
However, if  the fire is made hotter by increasing burn  rate,  increased
wood use can cancel  any benefits of lowered emission rates, according
to Butcher's equation; and for the Del  Green  equation for the "most
common" burn rates.
      Alternatively  by charging smaller  loads (m), more frequently but
maintaining  the small hourly burn rate (q), emissions should  decrease
in proportion to decreases in average  charge  size (m).  Especially in  a
smaller stove, this  could result in higher firebox temperatures  (better
combustion efficiency; lower emission  rates)  for several reasons.
First, there is less stove mass to heat,  so the same wood usage should
                                  D-40

-------
be able to keep  it  hotter.   Second,  smaller  charges  may ,,.ean less
uiiourned wood  m the  stove  at  any  tii:ie.   Unburnecl  wood  can  act  as a
heat sink, lowering firebox  temperatures.


1.   r'.Gclucinc 1-iGi.iG ileatino iieciui regents -  '..eatherizat ion


          3',iice ,r,any  Households  have  convartec  to  wooa  neat inc.  as a
    .,leans to cut space heating costs, weatherization  proqrar.is have been
    corisicoreu o.y sone air pollution  agencies as a i::eans  to  reouce wooc'
    ourr.inr er.c thereby particulate emissions.   If a  household  is
    v.eatherizec to cut heating costs  and  that household   as  a result
    does not convert  to wood heating  then particulate emissions  are
    indeed less than  they otherwise would have  been.
          However,  for the household  which already is heating with
    wood,  weatherization may not necessarily reduce emissions for two
    reasons,  even though house heating requirements are reduced.
    First, the household may continue to burn as much wood as before
    weatherization  and simply reduce reliance on conventional fuels
    such as oil,  gas,  or electricity.  Secondly, an operator may  begin
    to  operate his  wood stove at a reduced burn rate to avoid over-
    heating his newly  weatherized living space.  This decreased burning
    rate results  in a  significant increase in particulate emission
    rates, which  offsets the lower wood usage, resulting  in no net
    decrease  in emissions.   However, emissions may be reduced by
    burning on fewer days.   Because the weatherized house retains  heat
    better,  there may  be no need for RWC on marginally cold or cool
    days.   Emissions may also be  reduced  on  burn days  if the  wood charge
    size is reduced.
          In order  to  know  for  certain what  happens to annual  total
   emissions  from an  individual  stove when a  household  is weatherized,
   ideally a  set of experiments  should be conducted .as  part  of  which
   stove operating  time and  conditions are monitored  both before  and
   after a dwelling's heating  requirements have  been significantly

                                  D-41

-------
 reduced.   Unfortunately,  no  such  experiments  have  been  conducted  to
 these  authors'  knowledge.   In  lieu  of such  information,  two  scenarios
 were chosen  to  give  a  range  of possible  emissions  reductions  from
 weatherization.
 CASE
      In  the  first  scenario,  it  is assumed  that annual wood burning will
 be  reduced by  about  33%  for  those households weatherizing (woodstove
 households only).  This  reduced wood use will occur  by burning 15% fewer
 days   (on marginally cool days when space heating is no longer needed),
 and by burning 21% less  wood  per day on those days the stove is used.
 It  is also assumed that  most  people (67%) will achieve the 21% less wood
 by  further reducing  the  air  supply to the stove and  therefore reducing
 the burn  rate, but will  keep  the wood charge size the same.  For those
 households,  the reduced  wood  burning rate (kg wood/hour) will result in
 a higher  emission  factor (g  particulate/kg wood burned) according to
 Butcher's equation:
    emission factor  ( 9  participate } = k  m (kg wood charged)
                      kg wood burned       q  (kg wood hour)
 Since the total emissions equals the emission factor times the amount of
 wood burned, for these 67% of households the decreased amount of wood
 burned is offset by  the  increased emission factor resulting in the same
 total  emissions on burn  days as before weatherization (higher emission
 factor  x less wood  burned = same emissions).
     It was  further  assumed that through an education program, the remaining
 33% of the weatherized households could be persuaded to reduce the size of
wood charge at the same  time they reduce the burn rate, resulting in the
 same emission factor (g  particulate/kg wood).  The total  emissions will
therefore be reduced by  the same percentage as the reduced wood burned
 (same emission factor x  less wood burned = less emissions/burn day).
     For those households using woodstoves and weatherizing, then, emissions
will be reduced because of 15% fewer burn  days and because some households
 (33%)  will have reduced  emissions on burn  days.   The emission reductions
                                     D-42

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 will be:
        Fewer burn days:  15% days/yr X (100X emissions reduction/day)  =
                          15% reduction of emissions/year
        Lower emissions on burn days: 85% days/yr X 33% households  X 21%
                          emissions reduction/day = 5.9% reduction  of emissions/yr
        Total  emissions reduction/year:  15% + 5.9% = 20.9%
      It was  also assumed that 60% of all  households  need weatherization,
 and 80% of those needing it will  be weatherized, resulting in  48%  of all
 households being weatherized (60% X 80% = 48%).   If  70% of all  woodburning
 households use  wood stoves, then  the total  annual  emissions  reduction
 averaged over all  woodburning households  will  be:  20.9% emissions  reduction/
 year (weatherizated wood stove households)  X 48% households  weatherized X
 70% wood stove  households  = 7.0%  annual  emission reduction  for  all  RWC
 households.
 CASE #2
      For this scenario,  some slightly  different  assumptions  were used.
 As  in  Case #1,  it  was  assumed  that  48%  of the  households would  be weatherized
 and that 70%  of'the RWC  households  have wood  stoves.   However,  for  this case.
 it  was assumed  that wood use will  be reduced  40% on  burn days,  and  there
 will still be 15%  of marginally cool days where  no burning will occur. It
 was  also  assumed that  all weatherized households will  either burn on burn
 days in  the same manner  but  fewer hours as  before weatherization (same burn
 rate and  charge size), or will reduce the wood charge  size the same amount
 they reduce the burn rate (but burn the same number of hours as before
 weatherization).   In either  case, the emission factor  (g particulate/kg wood)
 will remain the same after weatherization and the total emissions will  drop
 the same  amount as  the drop  in amount of wood burned (same emission factor
 X less wood burned  = less emissions).  The emission reductions from weatherized
wood stove households would  be:
       Fewer burn days:  15% days/year X 100% emission reduction/day =
                         15% emission reduction/year
       Lower emissions on burn days:  85% days/year X 40% emission  reduction/
                         day = 34% emission reduction/year
       Total  emissions reduction/year:  34% + 15% = 49%

                                    D-43

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     Averaged among all  RWC households  (weatherized and unweathen'zed,
fireplaces and stoves),  the emission reduction will be

       49% emission reduction/year X 48% of homes weatherized X 70% wood
       stove households  = 16.5% emission reduction for all RWC households.


     The assumptions used for these two cases are included in Table D9.


                                   TABLE D9

                   Comparison of Assumptions and Resulting
                     Emission Reductions for Two Scenarios
                    Regarding the Effect of Weatherization

Common Assumptions For Both Cases:

   • 50 million BTU/year heating required before weatherization:

      • 30 million BTU/year furnished from wood fuel
      • 20 million BTU/year furnished from conventional  fuel

   • 60% of all  households need to be weatherized
   • 80% of households needing it will  be weatherized
   • Households will  heat on 15% fewer days after weatherization
       (no heat on marginally cool days).
   • 70% of RWC households have woodstoves
   • Weatherization will have a negligible effect on  fireplace use
       since fireplaces have only a marginal  heating  function.

Case #1 Assumptions:

   • Annual use of wood and conventional fuels will  drop 10 million BTU's/
       year each (33% less wood, 50% less conventional  fuel,  40%  overall)
   • 67% of households will  reduce burn rate (kg wood/hour) but maintain
       the same wood  charge size (kg/wood) after weatherization
   • 33% will  reduce  burn rate and reduce wood charge size after
       weatherization
   • Current oversized stoves  will not be replaced by smaller stoves
       by the year 2000

Case #2 Assumptions:

   • Daily sue of wood and conventional  fuels  will  drop  40% after weatherization
   • 100% will  either reduce charge size and  burn rate,  or^ will maintain
       the same  charge size and burn  rate (but burn  fewer  hours)  after
       weatherization
   • Current oversized stoves  will be replaced by smaller  stoves  during
       the normal  replacement  cycle
                                     D-44

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   Annual  Participate Emission Reductions Averaged Over All RWC Households:
                        Emission Reduction     Emissions Reduction    Total  Emissio
                         From No Burn Days       From Burn Days          Reduction
Case #1
Case #2
5.0%
5.0%
2.0%
11.4%
7.0%
16.4%
    a.   Weatherization of All Households
          Thus the total  potential emission reduction for airtight stoves
    which is estimated to result from weatherization (reduced emissions on
    burn days, reduced number of burn days) ranges from 10% to 23%.  For an.
    area where stoves contribute 70% of all wood burning emissions (e.g.,
    fireplaces contribute 30%), total wood burning emissions would be reduced
    by  7% to 16% from such a program under these assumptions.  Assuming that
    of  the homes to be weatherized, 50% would be weatherized by 1990 and
    100% by 1995, then the emission reduction benefits would be 3.5% to 8%
    by  1990 and 7% to 16% by 1995.
    o.   '..eatheri nation of Only  households  Instul line,  i.ew Stove/Furnace
            If this  strategy ,,src  to  oe  ,;-.od-.fied  so  that  v;eathenzatior.
    ..o'uld only be required  of  households installing  a  new stove,
    sc..ie ^reater circumvention  likely  would  occur.   If  the circumven-
    tion level is arbitrarily  assumed  to be  3U'i,  the  1995 and  20CU
    c;.,:si,ion recuct'ion benefits ,mld  be about  Z.b;!  £.nc 5/t,
    respecti vely.
2.  Improving ;.oocl Fuel Quality
    a.  Selection of i.ood Fuel with  Higher  Heating  Value
          Information "is available on  how energy  content varies by
    wood species, but little  is  available on  how  emission rates vary
    by wood species.  The energy or  utu  content of  different species
                                   D-45

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 o,.o.   w>Gu_,ii.s  T , r,  >.i'.i'  ;xs~  G-J; j.ion ly USLC ,.oi/c ty,>c "in tiit , £L , i  ;_
 Northwest, contains 21  million  Btu's  per  air dried  cord  (7673  But's
 per pound) while  pine contains  16  million and  oak contains  31  million
                        38
 Btu's  per air-dried cord   .  Values  for 8 species are  shown in Table  D10.
     Despite the  fact that Douglas fir has 18% less Btu's
 per pound as Oak, there is no testing information on how particu-
 late emission  rates vary by wood species where the  same stoves
 and conditions were used.  Lacking information that emission rates
 are comparable per pound for different species, no  emission credit
 can be claimed at this  time from the use of wood with  higher heat
 content.
       Even if Oak wood did produce 18% less emissions per pound
or kilogram as Douglas  fir, supply constraints likely would limit
 the switching  from Douglas fir to Oak to less  than  10% of house-
 holds currently burning Douglas fir which would yield a negligible
emission reduction of less than 1.8% (18% x .10).
b.  Moisture Content Control (Seasoning)
      The traditional assumption is that burning dry wood can sig-
nificantly reduce particulate emissions and creosote formation,
presumably because lower moisture content wood requires less energy
to valorize i^cristure which  should  result  in  higher  combustion  zone
temperatures, uore con.pletc  combustion,  and  therefore,  less  emis-
sions.  The interrelationship between  wooc! moisture content  and
particulate emissions is not understood .completely, but some
research has been conducted  \.hich  provides insight. The  research-
                              D-46

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                    TABLE D10
              , i, i ., •, '. i"  ,. 0 C C r L. iJ i i; 0 o '
Species
Cedar
Douglas Fir
Madronc
Oak
Pine
White Fir
Alder
Maple
Drying
Time
6 - 8 MO.
6 - 8 MO.
6- 8 MO.
6- 8 MO.
6 - 8 MO.
6-8 MO.
18-24 MO.
6-8 MO.
Heating Value
Million Btu per
Air- Dried Cord
20
medium-low
21
medium
30
high
31
high
16
medium-low
17
medium-low
21
medium
~ t
26 .
high-medium
.'Jregon  iiooc Heot  Handbook'
                     D-47

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tj.it  ant ^articulate cv. .ssions  incluuc  .udlin-., eno /'.hlintj11,
        1 •"                         ')'                     "^ C
Larriett  ,  Del Green Associates  u,  Auuurr, University"'"',  and
          i;.c. fol 1 o,,i!,_, ~ , L^UOO , ..in,  ~i (•->! r.cis UMU  jLuvcs/'f urru.CLi
               i. !_• r- ur d i, L 1 _,  ,.  i L .   i , C(- r, > c.c . ^ v. *i i j vi r/_-"'  i" . r s t.

1.   ir i ;'-,-<] uCcS -  . ,t.i s -Lire _ov.M^ii;it £ffacts
                            V 3 i
                                           1 '•-      T ,     •      L
                              . i'  .-ijurf:  .",   .   :ji,cltor:  v,"ic  not
   i'~'- . •- !„•  . J^ j^i" .  _ , , ^ _, C.., j   .. >.  -. "i L , , .  L  r - L J , •(., i ',;„,' cl T , C ': t.1 C_.' .
.. . i.'Ji:  CO,.nJ'J3 t i 01.  -_'t"i ". C i LiiC_) iS  t.!i i i iu I C L.t i OI'c Gt COii p 1 C1 tentiS S  Of
Cw,,,L'uSt ion,  ,;e  :cvc  i-3su,..oo for  ^ur^osei of  this ar,al>sis  tliat the
fraction  [1  - Cci.ibustion  efficiency]  is  a  relative indicator  of ^ar-
ticulate  emissions.
       According to F-,c,ure  Jo,  coi.iuusticn efficiency decreases
fairly  steadily  (i.e.,  emission's increase/  as moisture content
increases.   For example,  in this one set of  tests,  unburned combus-
tion products constitute  22.-y.o  (1-.775;  of the total  chei.iical
cr,erby  in  the unburned wood at 2b\ rr.oisture  content but only  about
L'j.i  of  1L>  wood n.oisture content.  This  iiiiplies that  emissions
r.i.J-it  be  reduced Dy about  11"  for fireplaces for a  ,;ood moisture
content shift froi.'i 2^  to  lu',  , .o.sture content,  . .vici;  is equivalent
to a l.G% drop  in emissions for each 1/t  drop ir, wood  moisture
content.  However, while  this  relationship  is the best available
information, its applicability at wood moisture contents above 25/i
can  DC- assumed  but is  not proven yet.
      iioteworthy is the  "flattening out" of  She!tor,'s curve between
lo and 25% Moisture content,  which suggests  ^'replace emission
rates may be less sensitive to  wood i.ioisture content  changes  at
                                 0-48

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                                VL UO



                                 W ! i I . ,"
                               Ui;
                            u...Jus Li on  Efficiency
           100
       e
       >-

       UJ


       Ul
       UJ
                          MEAT TTV^SFER EFFICIENCY
                  OVERALL
                   EFFICIENCY
                I	I
I   1  I
             0246  8  10  12 14 16  18 20 22 24  26

                    MOISTURE CONTENT f'/O


     The dependence of efficiencies on moisture content in  an  open
fir-vlace stove.   Here power output could not be held constant but
increased with decreasing moisture content.  Fuel  loads were of
uniform size and  were  added when the previous load had been reduced
to charcoal.
Source:  She!ton
                Ik
                            D-49

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.._- (j , Ct i i_  _/> J -.'.. > -. .   _,  . . _ J -  j .( . j -  • • i  L>_ • uJ t •" . c • .or LI I..-JS L, .
uivon t.vis  fiin-", r.j, We isl'. mjLc-  tiiut  for ;/ooc bstv.'een  25  c;i;d j~
nioisture content, anu burner  i,n  fireplaces, each !'<•  reduction in
,.ooc ...ci sluru  cGi,t..r:t is asscc  aleo  ,/it,i a 0 to l.J/.  Deduct i or,
. Ti '.,,!, i _i s i cri r c1 ct. s .   ,,/.'.   , •_   c L, rv _  , t c. ^ LC; i . i !•_ " .. -ti. ,'ecii  -^i.1  0.1 : >-
content.
      L...I', ti.-  :csti,i,  _,  /..•.I,,   .:i,j ;",'MI;P.  c,lsc inuicete
                     "           ^
                                                                   H
r or i  1 'i c,/ i aCvi  ur 3 C 3 ,.01 •- .. ^.  _ .  • i >Li.'i^  I i ~ ! -i / ,  C.'i" tr rOc  CcS t S  >< . t f ;
1 ,\i moisture  content ,• uo,. ,iu>_  ivorj^e  stack  aas CO concentrations
j T j i 0 p p i H i r a n ? e 1 i « t L ^ ^ -, /  , . ! , ; i c  t . i j one;  test > .' i t n  4 I >  • . i o i s u u r &
content ,vcod  had stack cas  CG  levels of 3200 pprv,, or about a 10-
fold  increase.  For this case,  the  effect of Moisture  content on
emissions  was  greater than  ,,;ould  be  surr.iisec fron, Shelton's  curve
as depicted  in Figure L-o.
      Even if  the relations/rip  for  fireplace wood burning  between
.noisture content aric particulete  emissions  were known  for  certain,
one riajor  other  "unknown" ,iust  be estimated  in order to  derive
an estimate  of how much parti cul ate  emissions could be reduced
by racist ure  content recucticns.   This  factor is the percentage
reduction  in  average wood moisture  content  that could  be achieved
by various strategies such  as  public education,  i.'hen  several
different  estimation Methods are  used,  it appears that a 2%  reduc-
tion  in average  wood ..icisture  content  is  a  reasonable  estimate
of what could  be achieved by public  education programs.   These
different  estimation r.iethods are  discussed  below.

Estimate 3ased on Hypothetical  Distribution  by Moisture  Content
      For  the  hypothetical  analysis  below,  we assume that  the dis-
tribution  of  ,-iOOd by i;:oisture  content  'JM.C.) roughly can be  approxi
                               D-50

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           ..uuo  stoves \Hurtlunc,  Lre^onj I'uS clc.ii.ied tiiat it  is  uncoi^on
       for wood  stored in tr.e  Pacific :!orthv/est  to  have a n.oisture  cci.tent
       Delov; 25'..   If soi,,e;"ivj,  c.11  -,'coc burned i.ere  tc ut driec lender
       and protected  more efficiently,  such  that all  wood  was  to  hav<= a
               I "; 1 3  ujj^iufi >-u  jc  •-"•  ,uOL LijJ^Cr  iCVc. I  iS'tli^fitt.
              , ^,.i.»'cf"j  .iw t/r ^'", .   .;  i .'•-  =i"fcCtlV£  "ili  dcili^ "i I'l-^ liiltViC1
              ' ^  , .• ••  ,.    ,       .    },<••:. _,'\.;.i  ,"  , 'C JiiVcn : cMtx  .  .  ..
               ^,ur.:^-_  L;, j,.       ....-  .^.olc ...rlov,, hy^cthet'icc:! esci,,,ot
               O of  i.o,/ ,.uc; ..^'^  ,,,^; s ...re content would  be  reduced for
               e  ,,.c.  cauo^ur .  jb  of  L'^.,  30.,  end 35%.
i',oisture  content      2i;«  reduce 10% =   2/:   ^0% reduce 5% =   2%*  Ko reduction
reduction \,ithin      2J';i  reduce  o;- =  1.2%  20% reduce 2% =  .4%   assuniec
category  assumed      ZG%  reduce  2% =  .4%   40£ reduce 0% =  0°^     achievable.
                                          3.6%                 2.4%
   *  T!.e 10% and o«  reductions cssu:,,eLi  for 35% r;,.c. '.vood  are constrained  to
     :ji.  fur oO'^ 1,1.c. wooc since it is c-ssui'iec reductions  below 25% are  unlikely

             ^cxsec  on  toe aLove table,  if one-tin re of  the wood  is in  each
       of the three  r.i.c.  categories,  then for all wood  these changes
       equate to e  Z/'  reduction in average wooc! moisture  content  {.ZZ
       X 3.6%)  t (.33  X 2.4%) + (.33  X  0%) = 2.0%.  This  value is  40%
       of the maximum  potential reduction identified, which appears rea-
       sonable.

       Survey Based  Estimate
             Data is not  available on typical wood storage practices for
       trie Pacific  Northwest as a dhole, but was collected for Portland,
                                                  rt O
       2-3JLtle, and  Spokane in Task 21  {Surveys)4'  ir this study  and for

                                      D-51

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        Uj^.:^i~_  J^^!"L:_ ,.. ,^,t  . o -i  ;.S  S:l;V, r  .,,  ,,, ] _  Dll .. j 1C • .
       i str i ju L i Oi'i  is  Cuiisi(.<_rcu to be r,:ore  rc-presoritut^ ve of  i<:c
         liortnwast,  because it is a true  areawide survey, v.'heroas
        ;  2:> survev  v/as acre in i sincjle  residential  nei^
       ..",;; ._ i" ;^.C:,  ^r,^;, _r  ""a-'.rlj Similar.

                            TABLE  D  11

            >.coJ 3:orage  Practices  in ,',ecford, Oregon
                    IJj] State survey Findin.jS
                   oe  nones                           ^.y;
                   e nr  Shsc                         17.^/'.
              Ccverec  uutside                        51.5/,
             Jticovered Outside                       29.0%
               Coi'ubi nation                            1.8^
       The  storage category  for  w'hicti the greatest moisture  content
rcaiiCtions  COL,Id probaoly be  achieved is /,/ood whicii  is  stored un-
covered  outside,  ,-,'e assumed  that  50% of this 29% of households
could  be  "educated" to alter  their wood storage practices  (i.e.,
10 outc-oor  covered storage) and  that this would reduce  wood  inois-
tura content  frd;: e. oST- average  to a 2SC/, average (scniev;hat  ,,iore
than the 25«  f.,.c. assumed to  be  best attainable in the  Pacific
Morthwest clii.iate).  This would  result  in reducing average vjood
i..oisture content ai.iong all fireplace users by about 1.0% [(35-29)
X .5 X .2Sj and  emissions by  .0% (.8% eiiiissions drop per 1%  ni.c.
ciiange x 1 .C% change).
      Sor.ie Moisture content reductions  also  could be achieved  by
the 51.5% w'ho store their wood "covered outside".  Of the nouse-
holds winch reported they store their wood "covered outside",  the
plastic or tarp  partial  covering method used by ,i:any also could
                               D-52

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jjrutecC'ivi an...  r-MuC..  j\'crc.L_ .i.oisture  by about 2','.  Tir's  ,;oul<-
result In reujciii;,  average ,,'GGu i..oisture content Gi.,0!ig  all  fire-
place users by  acor..t  .5'. (I-  x  .33  x  .515)  and reduce emissions
'-Jj  . -' - > . -'. .Ji.,~i b 1. ', G!1?<  OTjp ,-'-'''  ''-  ...C.  CM£I)_,£ X ,~~,','  CilaM'jC / .
       I i  , i - -.' r KJ  u , I- I i  _ u C G i' V i .~i C £_' C  L 0  ^ .j C- S 0 .'1 u i 0 ^ r  , u v. —  . '-.''  i
p;. i~, L i_ s ,  so..;;- ;'..u,iiuiil r^.-.-.c^iGii  it;  av^ra^c- ,,occ M-CiSLi.rL  L^.L.
could L/e  dCnieveo.  The  3.3.1.'^. iiedford survey found that  3^.-.
         iiolui ubLdi•"•  :!.'^'.r .....jv. .n  Septes.l/tr and October.   T! •'
                                        of  house:" c Id
U . ._i  , L- , ,v.',l _ . _, ./r  ..   ...  „  . . j ... .  . _j  _iiO  w Jl. Li i, , i~ i i  LI. L  -. . k- I i  . O_ -
 I'JoS  li.ui; 11 ,.!...-,ti.;,  , ."  :.r  ,c c.,,j survey.   For purposes  of  this
analysis, we assim.c  L..C.I  oVGut  17*  of housenolds burn tneir woou
within  'f months  or  less  of cutt'ing.   If  wood cutting policies were
altered  oy forest r.ianayj,i,c'r.l acencias  such as tfie USFS, Z.LI1, arc
state forestry departments to allow wood  cutting only from March
through July,  *,e estimate  that  the extra  seasoning t'!r..p coulc
reduce  the i.ioisture  content of  /,'ood from  governnent  lands  by 5%
or  less.  If CC« of  -.vood  supplies are .derived froi.i government
land,  these assumptions yield a reduction in wood moisture content
for all  wood  of 0.7% (5% x  .17  x .8 = .68) from the  practice of
restricting fall wood cutting on government lands, or an emission
reduction of C.3%  (0.7% ,,..c. change X .0% emission rate  reduction
per 1%  i.i.c. decrease = C.5G/-J.
       However,  given this  relatively sr.iall  achievable reduction
for this strategy, it appears unlikely that  these benefits  are
large  enough  to persuade the forest r.ianagenient agencies  to  change
their  practices.  Forest management  agencies prefer to  have remove-
able wood residues resrioved  as quickly as  possible to allow  faster
replanting.   5cr,,e of these  agencies perceive this  policy change
would delay returning forest lands to a reforestable state.
                                Dr53

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                     J . .  J    _   ' ,   1  -  - ,       ,  s.      - 2 ' I ' I . V, I. U


 c o '•-' - r 111 ^ r o r ., o o u  s L >_• r j u  u j t. s i ^- c is i_. i   \ • . •  "  . <  -•  i! . 1 /
 Tall  outtirij on jGvertii.cnt la;.cs » ~ : • L/ i - v- '-• f" -  ^ v- M 'sx C 1 • :
         i r.e most co.,iij1c"ce  s^.  cf uatu cr  1",^., vi ~, i^.or.s  fro,n stcvc-s/
furnaces  car, :jt ex^ecteo to  vary '..'itii ...c'isturj  content  is  acain
available froi.. ,-.'ork by Slieltor!.1"  Shelton's findings  for one air-
tight  stove are shown in Figure 07  below.   Only combustion  effici-
ency v/us  inedsured and not  ;;articulate e;;.issions.  However,  lackincj
bettor  data,  for purposes  of  this analysis we  assume that particu-
late emissions are proportional  to the fraction [1-combustion effi-
ciency].   In  this one set  of  tests, optimum !i,oisture content v/as
found  to  be between about  20  anc  30% (wet basis).
       uecause the combustion  efficiency curve  is non-linear, si^-
i.ificant  uncertainties fc,,,er3c v;i en trying to drav, conclusions about
riOw i.-.uch  emissions could be reduced bj charuj'in.; wooc; i..01 sture con-
tent.   For  exarr.ple, in discussions with Sheltcn, altiiougr. the shape
of the  combustion efficiency  vs n.cisture content curve  is tiiouj-ht
to be  similar for different stoves, the band of optimum moisture
content range may be different for different stoves.  This  is sig-
nificant  because, if the curve were snifted about b percentage
points  to the right, a much lesser improvement in combustion effi-
ciency  would  result from chancing from 30% moisture content wood
to 25%  moisture content wood.  This is illustrated in Figure D3
                              D-54

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                             r- T ^ Mr, r-  ~i *7
                             I" 1 U U I > rl  IJ /

                 effect of  i.ood Moisture  Content
                                on
               Stove/Furnace Combustion  Efficiency
             MOISTURE CONTENT (% - DRY WOOD BASIS)
           0          10         20      30     40    50
                                COMBUSTION EFFICIENCY
                                     MEAT TRANSFER
                                      EFFICIENCY
          0            10           2O
            MOISTURE CONTENT (% -MOIST WOOD

     The dependence of  efficiencies  on  fuel  moisture content in an
airtight stove.  The air  inlet  setting  was  varied to maintain an
average power output of about  17,000 Btu  per hour for all  moisture
contents.  The fuel load  volume was  approximately constant.
Source:  Shelton
                Ik
                               D-55

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     •-'cilu. .   l..u curves  iicvt JetY; a:,ded  ':c Sneltor, 's cor,,L L ST. • jr. _f
     ..r.Cj  curve SiiG..ii  >[i r i-jUre ^/  as  ussr-ed-l i r.c c^rv^s.    ; _s_- L.,^
     curves  art- assumed  to  have the  same siiape but are shifteo  c per-
     centage points to the  ri^ht ana left.  The  reader can  note ho\,
     the  fraction [1-cci.. bastion efficiency] changes for  a  s;ecific
     '.LI--.  c:;.L^;'it level  if  different curves ere  assu. ,tO.
           '.   s<--^^:,d i  , ortuiit jncortaintj/ is the <_ istr : -i..L , ..  .  f . . "/•
     .vur;u_  ^j   ..jist-vx  coriCiiVc.  For  exaii.pl e, if ILL,  of  tin:- ',,ocu
     irjrnec;  hoc c 30;  M.C.  level the emission  reduction  acl. .evcjlc ,,OL!C
     be much greater than if the average m.c.  were 25%.
    •-LSrici  oic£_ L/H-V.-I'LL: i ;iL i ^s ,  s;x different oSjLu'-.pt1. or^  ,;^rt  -^\..
    atec.   ^..."iSSion rouuctions caseo on  the  fraction [1 -coir.biisc ion
    efficiencj] ,;crc evaloaced for the tiiree different curves  s.io1..;;
    in FiCjUrc DC-.  For each of these curves, two different  VJCQC.-'
    .Moisture content distributions were  evaluated, as shown  in  Tabl
    12.

                                TAoLE  D 12
              ,.oou .',01 sture Content Distributions Evaluated
              (Fraction  of Households  Assumed In A  Category)
Assumed Average »ood           _    ,             _
,-:oi sture  Content               Cese }             Case
      25%                        .333               .375
      30%                        .333               .500
      35%                        .333               .125
                                   D-56

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                            FIGURE Do

                 Three Assumed Moisture Content
                               vs
        Combustion Efficiency Curves for Stoves/Furnaces
                                                      50
MOIbTURE CONTEMT (% - DRY WOOD
         10        20      30     MO
           0            10           20
             MOISTURE CONTENT (% -MOIST WOOD ftASIS)  ,
     The dependence of efficiencies on fuel  moisture content in  an
airtight stove.   The air inlet setting was varied to maintain an
average power output of about 17,000 Btu per hour for all  moisture
contents.   The fuel load volume was approximately constant.
Source:  Adapted from She!ton
                             Ik
                             D-57

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           i" u r  -_'.,.     .. • v-  .i1.,.. s i x  j c c n c. r i o £>,  u 11 c c.c i • 11_ v _: _• i

     Effects of reducing  r...c. belo;, 25«  were  necjectec since  tins "is
     considered difficult to achieve  in  the Pacific i!orthv,est.
           ,\'\ acdi t i ^L,'!  factor , <..s considerec: i r, these  e.^issiufi re^uc-
     •-,.,,  ^rtluuli., ••...:.   -:  cc.,, it Ji-Lri  fro;,  i .;3..^ct '.:.^  F'•_,.,-.   7, ,.

     i l_ J «, i \ j 1 I i i L. C* f  r ., (  I ^ ,' ~ i ,"_ i . v i M i 1 0 <.* L  L, r U ( i S I X,' i  'J.I ! ^ t tj i > C • .   t i ! 1'
      i . _' 1 i j i' C i" ^ u . o i _* - u r\_~  C u n .^ CJ' i c r u 0 L* C i* 1 0 r i S !> ! 0 u i C-  i i! C r' c u ^ x.-'   / v:.'}" c. ' i




     reduce e,:; i Sb'i uris .
           ror  users  ,. ,L'~, ,/ooe  in  the 3(j anc  35«  ,,i.c.  category,  it <;as
     assumed tiiat the follov.uii., in.c.   changes  i,,it,-ht be  achieved:
             35% Category                                3C%  Category
20% woulo  decrease ri.c. by  10% = 2%        40% wculd decrease  m.c.  by J'/.'*= 2.0%
201, w&ulu  decrease ..i.e. by   G% - 1.2%      20% would decrease  ir,.c.  by 2.\  - 0.4%
20% .vOLild  decrease i.i.c. by   2% = .4%       40«. would decrease  ra.c.  by 0%  =0.0%
40% i.ould  decrease ,,..c. uy   C/l = 0"-,
                                                                               2.4%
* Constrained  to 5/o since  M.C.  reductions  below 2ul
  are considered unlikely.
           The true distribution  of wood burned  by  moisture content
    level  is  not known.   If  this distribution is 1/3 at 25% moisture,
    1/3 at 30% moisture,  and  1/3 at 35% moisture content, then
    average wood moisture content would be reduced by about 2.0%
    (.33  x (3.6% + 2.4%)  = 2.0%).  This is consistent with the
                                   D-58

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i. .  I ,•„ . GlSCurO COI'it-int  rC"J'_iC i. i Of. v S Su.nr,"  . i          •  >•'-     -n-v.. j_ •-'
a.juve.   If  tne en stri but i or, is Better  c^ru,:;; .^c,j.. :^  c  ^7.^','j^ ,
1L.5% split for »,ooc in the 25',c/30%/35%  ii.oisti.re content  level
then average wood moisture  content would be reduced by  1.65%
[\.125  x "3.6) -i- (.5 x  2.4)  = l.C5%] by the  oLove assuiuptions.
      Fill  t^.jlc 'ijt-lu,.  S"i>.-.-S ''<-'•'•-: cStl.t cIC   _ 'f..  -> ij rC-^.OCt "i OTiS
             i C(. 1...~ -- -  fv/r  of.-it  ^ x './. r r^''•-•' '  .;L. i.,'.o." i . s ,  L.'jiiij  ti;£


 ;r^cec,ure  LseO- to Estiinate  Stove £i,,iss"ior;  ile'Juciiwii PoLerit'icl  fro!,:
 .eci.ci.-ij  '..ooc  i!oi sture  Cjnte.-it
         in.-  r r tV_ c i on i_ 1 -eo.'i.J Ji i- i ui  . I "
         proportional to  ^..'C  particulate  einissions.
         Calculations were  ;!rade for six different cases:
               Three different  curves were  assumed for i.ioi sture
               content  vs combustion  efficiency,  as shown  in  Figure
               DC.   Une  was the same  as the  combustion efficiency
               curve in  Figure  D7.  The other  two were assumed  to
               be either_5% points to the right  or left of the  com-
               bustion  efficiency  curve in Figure D7.
        Wood moisture  content  distribution  was  assumed to be repre-
        sented by 1 of the 2 cases below:
               33%  of wood  is in each of the three ui.c. categories
               25%/3G%/35%.
               12.5% assumed  in 35% u,.c. class
               50%  assuii.ed  in 30%  u.c. class
               37.5% assumed  in 25% ni.c. class
        For wood in the 35% i.i.c.  category it was assumed:
               20% will  drop to 25% i.i.c.
               20% will  drop to 29% fii.c.
               20% will  crop to 33% .TI.C.
               40% will  remain  at  35% m.c.
                               D-59

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            " U("
                                        .not 2C/.  jecai.se
-•-  ..il •  "0|j  CO  I_^A  . ,~iOt  i'../,  JECol.Sc '"'•••  ..CuC  C'i.i'f
                       ally stays above 2Zi i;.c.)
20/  ,; i 11 arop  :o  25%  ^not  24%  because- Fi.i, >,vood gener
                       ally stays above 25% i-i.c.)
                                TABLE D13
                                             1. luVcS,
- o ,v '• r           •" • iv-  -  ' I- w'       '"-' I 0 I.U I C U I i L, I .      r-  •  r •    ^ rx/J i i»- »- -I ^
,oti(..rio          ut«iv_  i.. ji_t        25%/30?'/35%        -miss ion  i\eouctioti
                                                            Resulting
  1                    c           .3337.3337.333                5.5;:
  2                    C           .3757.5007.125                3.5%

  4                    B           .3757.5007.125                a.1%
  5                    A           .3337.3337.333              11.7%
  5                    A           .3757.5007.125                9.9%
                                                    AVERAGE

         The average reduction in  [UiC  particulate emissions froi.i  all
  six  scenarios is 0.2%.  This applies  to  stove/furnace emissions.
  In the  previous section an average  1.7%  reduction in RJC particu-
  late  emissions from fireplaces  was  estimated  for a similar reduc-
  tion  in  firewood moisture content.  From Task 3, for an area like
  Portland,  Oregon, 1933 K'.'C emissions  were estimated to be about
  70%  attributable to stoves/furnaces and  30%  attributable to fire-
  places.   Thus, the overall reduction  in  total  RWC particulate emis-
  sions,  attributable to the wood moisture  content reductions assui.ieo
  Mere  is  estimated to oe o.2% [.7(£.2%J +  .3(1.7%)].

-------
 , y^u  ij  .iL/Lit.llj  d", str "i iyjte:i ai.,GM';., the  three .,:c~isture content cate-
 Oor,t.s of  2;5"/i [...c., 3U:/  .M.C.,  and 35%  rn.c.  - i.e., Case 3  previous-
 -,         >i  .     -p  -i   r  1O   -  o'"*c'/O^'"'/''"1'^'''
 i .  ^,c:SCr '1 J JU  ": f!  i u J i S  u  Ic  ab  ^O/j/ ^O/"/ O^ /^ .
        ,"..., r" ,  L. r J ---->  w i • t-  1. L« u t" * t I Ly j_t~CCi"iULS'-i^;.  - •' •  'J . « \ •  ^   . L.
   „ .   ,;   ..  - r   .- L "  ,  " L11 •_•  ".". r c c . • .0 i s "L u r o  c l r i z _.   . , _  ,   -  ,
 .,_,,: ,  Lo  ui'.j  :.> 0 juft i CL 1 cte J!":-i ssi uns  fr^.., jur,,i,.^ . iji	L,
 these moisture content  values.   The values obtained for the quantity
Combustion  Efficiency            Moisture Content       Percentage of RWC
                                                            TSP Emissions
       16.2%                            35%                     40.9%
       12.6%                            30%                     '31.8%
       10.8%                            25%                     27.3%
 The values  in  coluir.n two were  used to calculate  the relative  amount
 of total fll.'C particulate emissions which are  attributable to  wood
 in tacri ,i,.c. category.  This  ~.s  shown above  in column three.
 For 'ihe ,,ood in  the 35% category,
       For the  20% which drops  to 25% in.c., [l-coi.'ib. efficiency]
       shifts froi,i lb.2% to  10.8%
       For the  20% which drops  to 29% m.c., [1-coi.ib. efficiency]
       shifts fro,',; lu.2% to  12.2%
       For the  20% which drops  to 33% n;.c., [1-coinb. efficiency]
       shifts fro;n 16.2% to  14.8"%
       For the  40% v;hich remains  at 35% m.c.,  [1-coiab.  efficiency]
       regains  at  16.2%
                                D-61

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          '•'   j-   r ~   -f-        f ' '   r I <^  ^    t *     ""f        ~^
      , •_ • ^ . i ». i Ii j ui iti:>c ,  i.1 • c v.,U cil i I ! LJ' [. I ~^om>jU 5i L i Ufi  i i f I C I 3!lCy j '- L'~
^ r c, a 1> d o t r u i 11 I u . il /'j  t- 0  I *T • v *; /o \. i1 I C M Q Cj U a t cj S  u 0  ~i  I J . S- ~,  P c u U C c i 0 fi .
hu'.vever, while the  change  in the  combustion efficiency vs m.c.
 ,s not linear, heat  transfer efficiency changes  in a  linear  fashion.
iach 1% i,i.e. decrease yields a  1.5% improvement  in heat  transfer
                   /:^"! 2  L--\lu',."  !  .2(0''-,
                      to  a 4.V,'/- htat '.I'u-ij:  L-I'  arf iCicnCj  ui^ruve-
           -e 07;.
      THUS  reducing  v.ood  with 35% moisture  content bj  e.\\  average
.,r _.v   M:  n.c.st'jre  content reduces '-'..'C c:. issioiis  in  tv/o  .
-------
.  ..T -  .^7...   l;ncc  j^/".  ,.i.c. './cod or icjii'iol ly  Accounted for 31..-,
o.c total !U;C  particulate emissions, this  reduction in its emissions
represents  a  3.3%  decrease in total \l\tC particulate emissions.
For -..'God in the  25% ;.;.c. category,
       .0 C:'ur,_.e  is :
-------
 . ; VL.  '. _-sts  cGii'J'jcLc.^  j- Cu. VL i'3'.'le  conditions  or  an {. ini_.';t ,.uCv,'

 i^m,  for  four tests with wood at  16% moisture  content.   The CC
 emission  rates was 1500 ppn. for the other  run  at  41% i,,oisture con-
 tent,  ,«hich suggests  an emission  factor  increase  of 150% comparing
the Lurn, IT_,  cf lo/, vs  si/  .iicicti.rc.- content  ,vood in an airtight stove
       ^iclton'j fi.ic, .r.j for '. ,,^.J  c.t 1^^  ui;;i  35C.< ,,,cisture content

 .jxlrapolatec fro.,. ^-'.  to •'.!.", ti,-j combustion efficiencies fur 1 j%
 j>;d 41'; i:;.c. ,/ooc arc  -Jl'i. vs 7.., cno  the  percentages of unjurnee.

 •j,.issious  SnOolc. be aDOut 7o' .,.,_,i!jr (22-13)/13 for the 41,,' ,...c.
•,,uoo  coi.iparec to lu/,  ,,,.c. ,,'Guvi.   This  is within t factor of tv.'O
cf the value i!5u%/ derived cirectly fro>ri  the  Rudling/AMing date
 for carbon  ii.onoxide emissions.
       ^arnett also has published  limited stove test data which
 provide   insiyht on the effect of moisture content on particulate
 emissions.     Of 51 tests conducted, the second and third highest
 emission  factors wer-i  recorded for wood  burning in airtight stoves
with  3% and 24% i.ioisture content wood  as compared to the other
 49 tests  with wood in  the 30 to 40% moisture content range.  The
 findings  that emissions were higher for  3% moisture content wood
 is consistent with Shelton's findings, but the observation of near
,, axin.uii! emission rates of 24 > moisture content is not.
       Lastly, moisture content research was conducted as part of
       (") r*
 Task  5 u  of this study.   Nine different tests  were conducted.
A total of  six  test runs  were  conducted on  an airtight  stop  stove
for the specific  purpose  of  determining the effect .of fuel moisture
content on  emissions.  Two tests  were  conduced  at  each  of three
different moisture  levels --  "dry, medium,  and  high" moisture wood.
Figure D9 presents  the emission  results from the six tests as a
function of fuel moisture.
                                D-64

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                                          FIGURE  D9
     70
                               Particulate Emissions As A  Function
                                             of
                                        Fuel Moisture
     60
     50
en
to
c
o

to
QJ
-t->
ro

3
O
     40
     30
     20-
                                                                 •   g/kg,  average

                                                                 a   g/104  Btu

                                                                 •   g/10^  Btu,  average
     10-
         (Wet)
         (Dry)
10

11
20          30          40

25          43          67

     Fuel Moisture, %
 50

100
 60

150
                                            D-65

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     The results of these tests indicate the optimum fuel  moisture
to be in the 25-35 percent range (wet basis), which compares quite
well to the work conducted by She!ton, except that the optimum fuel
moisture is shifted upward to 30% from 25%.  Again, an increase
in emissions is indicated when fuel-moisture is either increased
or decreased significantly.  Although these data indicate  there
is some uncertainty regarding the optimum fuel moisture level, it
does corroborate that as moisture changes, a change in emissions
will result.
     In order to determine how emissions versus moisture content
would compare between She! ton's test and Task 5 results, a single
analysis similar to the analysis done on Shelton's data was con-
ducted using the correlation derived in Task 5.  The Case  3
scenario was used except that the beginning wood moisture  contents
were assumed to be 35, 40, and 45% instaed of 25, 30,  and  35%, in
order to compensate for the apparent shift in the curve.  The
assumptions for the analysis were as follows.
Starting Wood Moisture:
    33% of fuel at  35% moisture
    33% of fuel at  40% moisture
    33% of fuel at  45% moisture
For wood in the 35% category no reduction in fuel moisture is assumed.
For wood in the 40% moisture category:
    40% will drop to 35% moisture
    20% will drop to 38% moisture
    40% will remain at 40% moisture
For wood in the 45% moisture category:
    20% will drop to 35% moisture
    20% will drop to 39% moisture
    20% will drop to 43% moisture
    40% will remain at 45% moisture
For the original moisture content of the fuel the emissions are estimated
at 15 g/kg.
     Moisture Content     Percent of Fuel     Emissions (g/kg)
            35%                33%                  13
            40%                33%                  15
            45%                33%                  17
                               99%       weighted  = 15 g/kg
                                         average
                              D-66

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-33% x 100%
33% x 40%
33% x 20%
33% x 40%
33% x 20%
33% x 20%
33% x 20%
33% x 40%
weighted x
13
13
14
15
13
15
16
17
= "14 g/kg
 The emissions  from  the  fuel of  reduced moisture content are:
 Initial          New  Moisture        Percent of Fuel      Emis-sions  (g/kg)
Moisture            Content
  35                  35%
  40                  35%
                      38%
                      40%
  45                  35%
                      39%
                      43%
                      45%
 Therefore the percent  reduction  in emissions due to the change  in
 moisture content would  be  6.7%  (  (15-14)/15).  This result compares
 reasonably well with the 10.5%  emission reduction estimated using
 Shelton's relationship  for combustion efficiency and indicates  that
 the effect of fuel moisture content on emissions is significant.
 However, the data  indicate that  there is some uncertainty as to the
 actual value of the optimum fuel  moisture content, although it  is
 indicated to be near 30%,  wet basis.
      Perhaps one of the more significant conclusions which can  be
 drawn from the data presented in  Figure D9 is the decrease in emissions
 which can be expected  to occur  if wood is burned at the optimum fuel
 moisture content,  as opposed to  burning green, unseasoned wood  (e.g.,
 55% moisture, wet  basis).  The  data in Figure D9 indicate emissions
 could be reduced by 40% (  (25-15)/15 g/kg) for a given fuel load.
 Assuming 15% of the current wood  stove owners burn green wood and
 75% of these could be  educated  to properly season the wood a reduction
 of 5% (.15 x .75 x .40) could be  obtained for wood stove emissions and
 a reduction of 3.5% (.7 x  .5) for total RWC emissions.
                           OQ                      '
 Auburn University  Research J
      ,.axwell, Dyer, and Naples  .Tieasured creosote deposition  for
 different woods at different moisture contents.  Although  they
 concluded that higher  moisture  content wood produces  less  creosote
 several shortcomings in the test  procedure n.ake  it impossible to
 -..-, . -ilize froi.i this research to  draw the conclusion t.iut  particu-
                               D-68

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 "late  G./.ission rate always  increases  as wood r;iui sti.rc- ccntcnt  •:•_•-
 crtju333.   rirst, although  the  test  wos desi-^nec to n.casurc creosctj
 rather  than particulate emission  rates,  creosote deposition does
 not always correlate with  particulate emission rates.  Secondly,
 ond ,;,ost  importantly, >::ost of  the test runs used wood with noisture
 ;;*,'.t3nt3  .-.ell below t;ie norm  \,\ ,,.ost  nouith jlds.   .r, ii,- • .:
 -  Jili ..:,•'<.. ,,ooc with '/,. ,...c. c.ii-  tW"-  o>'  •-!,.  I., lo^i., ^Sf^

 Jo,, which  "is  an insufficient differential  upon which s"; >jiii i ic£.jit
 oor.clusi'ins can oe based.  One test used  't2  ,,..c.  r,"i,ie lo^s .  ut
 .•.ci.c: of  the tests of ,vood with n.c. betv.eer 25 ani. Z.,  ,.c. -s.\
 nine lujS.  Tnus the Auburn research  carino: oe useo LW -r^-.. ;i^-
 s iy'rnficant conclusions about how particulate  ei;:ission rate varies
 with wood  i.ioisture content, at least  within the moisture content
 range of primary interests, 25 to 35%.

3.  Direct  Restrictions on n'ood Usage
      The  two strategy  approaches evaluated in this category were
 a) episode  controls,  and;  b)  emissions density zoning.   Assump-
tions and  calculations  for both are described  below.
      a.   Episode Controls
               If  emissions from residential wood combustion can
      be reduced  during  peak  pollution periods, then  peak concen-
      trations can be reduced.  Several CGU,unities w,th  air quality
      problems associated  with  wood  burning, request  residents
      to reduce or curtail  wood burning during  such episodes.
      The chief advantage  of  such  a  program is  that it focuses
      on the time periods  when  emission reductions'  are needed  the
     i.iost.  In the discussion  below,  several  such programs  are
     described and the potential  benefits for  the Pacific  North-
     west  are calculated.
                             D-69

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/  i wL'-jLior^iit ,  iii... , .€/. , cc rro-rcii.,
         I.i  11C1, the .\ir i-'ollution Control  Liv;3,oi, or .,^
Albuquerque  Environmental Services Depart:, ient a^plieo for
and received  a grant for $25,000 from  the  U.S.  Environmental
Protection  /"...ency for  ths purpose of installing c  telephone-
syste;.'.  GP.VJ  "pel 1 u'- .on  signal light" that ',,ould  ^rovide
w.'Cu. K  oCCii3"iJ i if ". n r or. "i.e. t ; or, co cr.c  pi.'^! 1 1_  01   ''_r. ;i i _,
pollutant concentrations were occurring.   jurir,:; H^l t 'c-
'Vollutior,  signal  lic;iit" '.-as install C'J  ot,  t'ne tor  o
fool  juilJiiv^  T, u co..'.; .>ji'C ! e 1  urea 5u^rGur,du<_ .•_, ''is

T.ie signal  lidhL -ic.i r, -/its covdru.j  a  5  root  Lid,,.L'Cfr
35 feet  hibi',,  anc L;;e signal liyht is shaped  in the- for..,
of a candle.   The lights colors are changed defending on
hourly CO  concentrations.  The light  is operated so that
it is white when hourly CO concentrations  are  below 13 pp:.;
(Federal Standard = 9 ppr.i), red when  hourly concentrations
exceed 13  ppin,  and blinking red when  hourly concentrations
exceed 26  ppm.   At levels above 13 pprn, it is  suggested that
individuals reduce their usage of fireplaces  and autos and
at levels  above 26 ppni a stronger request  is made.   Figure D10
on the following page shows a brochure which describes the
pollution  signal libht system.
         The systen, is operated between  5  ,j.r...  and 11  p.;...
during i.iid-Movember through mid- January,  with  one individual
on duty  adjusting the light based on  hourly CO concentrations
recorded remotely.   Thus after set up costs, system opera-
tion requires  about 42 manhours per week  (6 Jir per  day x
7 days)  or about SCO ,;ianhours per year  (9  weeks x 42  hrs/'week
= 378), which  at a loaded personnel cost  of $20/hr  would
cost about $7oOO per year.
        Although the Agency perceives the  signal  light system
to r.ave  beneficial  effects in reducing wood usage during
                        D-70

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                                      FIGURE  D10
                     Albuquerque  Pollution Signal  Light
                            1  0   WHITE
                                    RED
rft v.iflf          -         _^ ; )t 'sr/ Wf -ii*  .— I  M^^tll Ik I /^
\-^j •»i»Au.U)-jim iii.'J'i'/^'U   FLASHING

Pig
^rflL           •''••ri I        PRttiJfiKEMnMkflnMnfw^UK
HEALTHFUL AIR
UNHEALTHFUL AIR
VERY  UNHEALTHFUL  AIR^V
             1HF  CANOir  - ALBUQUERQUE'S HOLIDAY AIR POLLUTION SiGMAL LIGHT

     I In: holul.iy sunsoit is ,i iniiM of rnoccuring nighttime carbon monoxide problems The best way for
     you in lie itwun: ol aic pollution conditions during this lim« is by chuck'nj.' l»te air pollulion .
     InjM  Hit! lu.litUy LANUU

     WHAT III IOOK IUII
     A i.liji>||n>i) i.oliti CANIUf will hn placdd on lop of a prominent building just south of Coronado
     (Jniiim 10 lml|> you know vvliun uir pollution problems occur The color changes will indicate the
     i oiulilioiib isai.li iiiylil  during Hie holidays W« have unh«althful carbon monoxide conditions
     .tlaiui hall ilu> inning "« l>«i:iiinl'ni>iiii 76b 743?

    I Ins |ifo|«:( I is spoiisiiiiiU Ity  ihb Albuquarquu/ Bernalillo County Air Quality Control Board.
         ii LIIII.I. OII«HIII.III
                                        0-71-

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 vi^iSl-uL.'  ^CrfiUoS ,  i-i.c o_. SliJI , Onlj ncli J<_'Ji'   <•  wr-^"j,v,  <_•

CO concentration *;as  ^7« lower during winter  ^1-^1  tiic.ii  rhe
previous  year,  but  it is not currently possible  to  quantify
ho.; ,,,uch  of  this differential is attributable to  differences
", i  ..ioii.Lp,  Jtcrcascs ;;, WCOG ar.c auto ust^e  uecduse of  tr'O
"i i^iii  SjL-'.i,.,,  or o'jCrvaioc, in xooti liSc^L- ror  otnor  r-jusons.

and lights,  and $G,5CC was spent tc secure- installation
apr;roval  fro;,,  thi 11J foot hi^h dpartr.itiit bui Icii ric,.
        Since  137C tlie .".issoula County /^ir Politic;.  .\ju;i cy
has i"iac! ar;  "cpisocs control" program under which  r^s" u.-r,t3
are requested  not  to burn wood (unless it is the  sole- source
of heat; when  pollutant concentrations are high.  The pro-
gram was modified  in December 1981 such that curtailment
of wood burning  is a requirement for househlds  at the second
stage of "alert"  severity, except for households  which heat
only with wood.
        An  automated particle monitor (APM), purchased in
197o for $15,000,  provides hourly average TSP levels,   i.'hen
                                           3
particulate concentrations exceed 150 yg/in  and a meteoro-
logical analysis  suggests that poor dispersion  concitions
will  continue, the Acency, ar.iony other actions,
     1.  advises  citizens via public nedia of the ALERT
     2.  requests  citizens to discontinue use of  residential
         solid fuel  burners, and
     3.  requests  citizens to limit automobile  driving to
         necessary trips  only.
vJhen  levels of 300 yg/m°  occur and continued poor dispersion
conditions are forecasted a "WARNING" is issued which  results
                                43
in the following Agency actions  :
                        D-72

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          i G r'i 7 ^ s s *j r. u i u I L; r '. v i n , 3  c*,, o

          The liiscnarje of visible emissions fro,,, residential
          solid fuel burners is prohibited,  unless that equip-
          ;,tnt is ti:t only heat source-.
         ", o  ;.;rscr, si.i'll cause,  ..lie.,',  cr  o'lSciiarge visible
         ... 'ssi'jnj froi.  : cij Pes i u-jM L; c, i  sol iv.',  fuel  bonier
         .-r.lssb ->•.:', roSi'-i lit', a I  :clic  fj-.-l  ;,ur;i'~;r  is the
         ^ ^ i c _ cj i''" ^'_ ^ T  ;o ci -.  *   t^ or o •* \ •  '.-", s ^-. i c r ^ 111 ^ v < s • ,^ i j
         -.,."• ss'.Cni oi.^M ,,:.;e ti'iv ^i,r tr.  ^'  .'.•' r i r;..:,; i vcl^'
         cistaLn i slriri'j tiiat the resiu&ntial  solid fuel  burner
         is  the solo source of heat.  For  sources  other tlian
         a  resic'ent ial solid fuel burner,  no  person shall
         cause, allo'.-: or discharge  visible  ei.iissions from
         any  source unless such  source  has  a  State  or County
         air  ccntaiuinotion per,nit."

         ilo  "UARiiINGS" (second-stage  episode) were  issued

curing  winter 1981-02, but the  Agency  did  assess  public

response to  the requests for reduced wood  burning  during

the  "ALERTS" which occurred.  Dased  or,  observations of
whether visible siiioke was being emitted  from  194 wood-burning

homes on six random  afternoons  per month, the Agency determined
that requests for wood burning  cutbacks  resulted  in 36%  less
                                              "1
households  burning wood on a voluntary  basis.'"
       In a  survey conducted  in  Missoula in 1980  ,  59% of respondents
said they would support a regulation banning wood  heating on poor air
quality days.   Over  70% said they did cooperate with the voluntary ban
during  alerts.  Thus although there is no experience yet with compliance
on "WARNING" days (+300 yg/m3 TSP)  when visible emissions are prohibited
from wood burning households,  a 75% reduction  in wood  burning under
these conditions  is  assumed  for purposes of this analysis.

      TSP levels  from the APii are telemetered  into  a central

computer system.   The Agency which accesses the State  Air
                         D-73

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            ,'jv.-1 i 0^  . jfxcL.  'Ji>!.,/>_.,or,  spent  , i o, v^^u  i t»r  _•.."   • •-rc. i -.- .' i i r -
           i..t.iii, t.i,iv-,i p r../v "i UCJG.  u\_r.2f its wGyono  t.'ic  jt^  in^'  '..w"i'_r_>i
           systc-n.  u.e., word  processing capability,  prii.i;n. Co.pc.jil-
           ity, ;,,odel 1 inj,  etc.).   The two telephones  which provide
           air quality updates  cost  $2oC Initially.   T';c  v nual j^s:
           • j r !.,'.„  •_ .; vj  I i n J 3  I 5  c L, 0 U t v / Ci C / j L a r  1.', C  C;''.   , , i i Z i i. " i ". , V_
              - •       ,-'--;,--, i i ^ • . a-, , , ,,',,,,. _
           -.,-'- >- • •   , '- ^ i . • i v, u . i L a i I j J c L .. _ <_'! i , j i! 0 i i . S /  •_ ^ - .     . -     ' .
           , .^LL. -^ . uf  O',,j professional's ti, c  is  re'./... r .L  ...,)",•,., i.:^
           C/ ncnt!.  ,, inter  period  to  coordinate  the  syst-^ •.   r'or an

             ..;•- .'^.  ,i,  i-.'iiiU'Ul  labor costi  ^30,^L.  .'  „  "!
           Application In the  Pacific Northwest
                 In Oregon, the  Department of Environu.ental  Quality
           is prohibited from  regulating household space  heating equip-
           ment.  L  However, the effect of requests to  voluntarily
           curtail woodburning can  be estimated based oh  experience in
           ••Ilssoula. If a widespread public education campaign were
           -  II,,.V,CLIJ as ii"i i.issoula,  it is estimated for  purposes of
           this analysis that  a  33« reduction could occur in wood
           heating on "episode days",  which would yield a 33% reduction
           in emissions on those days.
                 L^asec on a ratio of peak day concentration  to average
           i-/inter day concentrations of 2.5*, the reduction  in average
           winter particulate  concentrations can be calculated,  depend-
           ing  on the number of  episode days.
* Larson^0 first  identified this relationship which resulted  in setting
   24-hour particulate standards at  2.5  times the level of  annual
                                               o
   particulate  concentrations  H50 vs  60 ug/m  TSP).
                                   D-74

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_,, i jowl, --'.ij o i ..                   . 1 ". J I .. ,. . .,.   i _  :            t      " "  '"]" ^
 • w  r c j,. i c v. 1 ,..' _ .                                             i.,   . v c . .  111 c c.- r
                                                              i L-f wonCiritrat i oil!
     ir                (33*  reduction) X 4 days/150 oays  X
                       2.5 overage concentrations -               2.2/.-.

     I                 .!33l,  flocuction) /' i days/150 cays  X
                       <_; . „  ^ V >:; \  •„ C C' i i C •".. i \. r a c " 011C- -               'J . '^ .
                       \-o,,  ., J'-Uw L , Oil /  A l-> UC._/b/ I OO UCjii  ,x
                       2.3  uvc-rUj.  cjncf.ntr-.it ions -               C.3.

                       v o.     ._ v.'.. ^ L i o i i ,•  .\ i •; '-i uy s / 1 o -• L. iy s  . i
                       2.^  "..'.jrc.^^  jxiiCffiCrut i oni, =              1_.^'

                       (33.  r;:-'Juct i orij  X 20 day'3/15C days  X
                       2.5  average:  concentrations =              11.1«
                       (33;.'  Ue^-LiCtion)  X 25 days/150 days  X
                       2.5  cVfcr3_,e  concentrations =              13.2%
              Thus for  an  area  nith typically nine winter  days  with
                                                      3
        participate concentrations exceeding 150 y^/:,i  ,  a  33% reduc-
        tion in wood burning  (resulting from voluntary requests)
        should reduce the  impacts  from wood burning on those  episode
        days by 33% and average  v/inter wood burning impacts by  5%.

        b .   Eiii'iss'ion Density  Zoning Effect On Hi,.issions
          Er.,ission density zoning  is sor,;etir,.es sucgested as a means
 to  limit  emissions froi.i  pollution sources such that acceptable
 pollutant concentrations are  not exceeded.  Clearly this approach
 has  greatest potential for  large emission sources who must  obtain
 a pollution discharge permit  as  a condition of operation -  for
 small  sources such as wood  stoves, if limits, were to be set which
 limited the number of stoves  per square mile, there would obviously
 be  compliance and enforcement  problems.  Oregon statutes which
                                D-75

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    ^ U : . 1 ... . -  U 1 1 V_* ~J u C ^ L.  / -y:.  ,   * i • -  •  ^   . J     I   -   ^.     -J L , ''   . ', V , L- C ^



   less,  i,1  tile discussion  jelo.»,  JSL iniates arc  ..,a>^  ^r  ,".c.  ,,iicr,

   future  ei.iissions woulc be  reduced, if stove installations were

   to be  1 ii,,itec to 1984 levels,  assuinin^ levels of coir.pl iance.   The

   jsoi.ncites arj basec, on th.e prcjecticr, of future  . jud  usa^-1- fro.,

   Icor-.  3  fur r;ortlc.tic, boattle,  ar,c  S^^la, j.  To!:"!c  '  U  Jelc,,  si:o.,s



   c.:iL. 2000  if  ne;< stove installations  ..ere net  Kfcr;,.ittec  aftt

   ' C " •" •   -.  1-*-, r* ^- -i" - f f-   -'
   .. D's,/.  CGiij-liGLilCt? id uS ^un.icU .
                              TA:L: j 14
          Deduction in Expected  1230  arid 2COC \^iC E,missions
       If New Stove Installations Were  Not  Allowed  After 1984
                     and 50% Compliance  Occurred*


                         Emission  Reduction        Emission  Reduction
  City                   by 13CO Coinpared to       by 2000 Con-pared to
                         Expected  19SO Levels      Expected  2000 Levels


Portland                         3.2?^                       27.3%

Seattle                          3.9%                        3.9%

Spokane                          3.7%                       13.7%
        Since  the ^rc-ctest crowth  in  v:ood burning  in stoves  is  pro-

  jected for Portland, if that growth were somehow precluded then

  the greatest emission reduction  would occur in Portland.   However,

  due to compliance problems, legality problems, and. general public

  nonacceptance  of such constraints,  no practical emission reduc-

  tion benefit appears achievable  by  this strategy.
Based on.,projected  growth in the wood  usacje by stoves/furnaces  froi;.
Task 31.
                                 D-76

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                eratin.,  Practices
           t"i ri;, procedures  c^.i  .uve a ci^ri'if iccr.t inf lue'icc 01. jurtii
unit emission production.   In  the  discussion oelow,  assumptions and
calculations arc preseiitoc  for  the fcllovinj potential  strategies:

          1.  Initial selection  of jurri.n^  units  -  "5;m^"
              .1 p c? f -i \. i n __  i c c i i i 11 i, v. e  . G c " r i c i .. i c i * b
              ii .  ^"! SCOUr a'.., 1 I i^  />"i r C "! jii i,  ^CCV't  J]ji. Tot. i Of i
              b.  C'aarging  Larger  ^iec^s  of  .,cjc
              Pcrioc'.c  InspecL iori  of  ,->.l  IC,L. -,. ,ent

      1.  Initial Selection uf  Jurriin.";  Lii'.cs -  "jii"!fi[,"
            The proper  sizing  of  a  wooci stove is sometimes advocated
      on the basis that  a  larger  stove often produces so much heat
      for the room in which  it is located that air supply must be
      severely restricted  -  resulting  in poorer combustion efficiency
      and higher creosote  deposition  and air pollutant emissions.
      Conversely, a  smaller  stove is  alleged to "burn hotter" with
      resulting higher  combustion efficiency and less creosote and
      emissions.  In the discussion below,  the effects of stove size
      on emissions are  analyzec based  on a review of the available
      information on how operating  factors  influence emissions.
            In summary,  it appears  that li:e cniof benefit of smaller
      stove sizing aerived from the result  that si.aller amounts of
      ,,oo(J are generally charged  when  reloading oue to the smaller
      firebox capacity  and smaller  loads result in a hotter fire with
      better combustion efficiency  and lower emissions.  Regarding
      the effect on  "burn  rate",  assuming that a room's or household's
      neat ing requirements remain constant,  v;hen a smaller stove is
      utilized, it appears likely that operators will generally still
      seek the same  heat output (in Ctu's/hour) and thus the same
      volume of wood can be  expected to be  burned per hour (neglecting
                                  D-77

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          -  :}'jrr. rate effects
          -  Size of fuel charge  effects
          -  I,,CGrivbrn er.co ";:>^i.;3S
          -  f^ss'ibli ef f ',c i ;v.^._.  JM.;?_'.;

            ,,«tc cTTL-CuS
       If  the  Sciii.e rooiii or house  iuc.ti.i^ rj^u i re.,,<--nLs  jAist,  t!ie
sj.. ;.> iipproxiii.ate number c~; utu's/hcur j.r;j required to  ,,,L. i r,tair,

.iw1, c..iCcf  jiirn  rate \cxi-,res S'?u  ir,  i\v  ..vxuu/ I'iCL.r/ (,ir_ i,&f;ef its
Cc.nr.ot  ^u  attributed to Lurr;  rate  ciiaf,_js ./her, sccve downsizing
occurs, unless  the  charge  size is also reduced.
       Fuel  Charce Effects
       Research  by Butcher indicates  that the intensity of  a  fire
is what most  influences emissions.   Intensity of a fire can  be
thought of  as the heat release rate  fron, ongoing combustion
divided by  the  amount cf vvood charged.   For the sa;.;e wood  charge-,
ourninc; with  a  greater heat release  rate results in a  more
intense fire  and less emissions  and 'for the same heat  release
rate,  a smaller wood charge results  in  a more intense  fire and
loss emissions.  In both the  above cases a more intense fire
i.aans  there  is  r.ore heat released  per pound charged.   This rela-
                                                             1C
tiunship  */as  described in equation for,,, by 3utcher in  1S79   :
                    y  =  1C.34  ffi/q - 1.18
where
      y  -  emission rate in g/kc
      i,i  -  fuel  charge in kg of wood
      q  -  combustion rate in  10,000  Btu's output/hour
                            D-78

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 c r\. o. j. i i. j c t a r j'_  j i i -_,  , i..j i   i«i ~; • i

 on stove tests where carbon ;,,uioxid draft ,,:ode  of
       burnincj."

       "Table II coiupares  the  two tests, demonstrating
       that, as the wood  inventory increases, the
       emissions increase.   Although -the burning rates
       for the two tests were  essentially the sa;;;e,
       the large charge resulted in approxii.iately twice
       the emissions."

       "Stoves that keep the .;uod fro.,, pyrolyziny by
       isolating the wood  inventory froin the heat
       during combustion should reduce emissions.
       Since most existing stove designs do not  isolate
       the wood inventory, the only course open to the
       operator to reduce emissions fron this KicdiairiSM
       is  to ado srr-all quantities of wood i,,ore
       frequently."
       Size of Fuel Charge Effects
       No  change in burn rate  or combustion rate can be  attributed

to a change in stove size,  but a smaller stove will have  a

smaller firebox which will  mean that  generally swaller  amounts  of

wood will  be charged each ciu.e.   This  means  ''r;:" in the  above
equation  is  si.'ialler.   Thus  if  a stove  with 25% smaller  firebox

capacity  is  installed, it can  be  assumed that average "charye

size"  ("in")  will  be  reduced by  25%  which reduces the emission

rate by 25%.
                             D-79

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                        • ,  . i •   JU>- ^l- Tl .'_'*.,- Uj  •''. Jj , 0 U Of OH'jJj
                        Cjii ^e  •:. Vc, I LKil^'u tc  L.rof,  ->_, <:o«:
                        vl.,,ibiiun  Factor; x  ;'>-ooc  ./urt,ed  Per  bay/
                        ^Tc., i TCP/'r'J r/OO^ X  k'_,  ..OOC/Dc.iy
                                                   • j ~ Oil s ^0 ri >,
 r _ jw i L'_.; c _.!...•. i i •_i'  ~j r i c^ i  c..oi ^c.  b i ._•_'  i"  v.  o, c. i i cr stove .
              . L . i v- _  i r .' O c. ~ ^ i T L-
                        .j . o'v  _'uii\ uii i or.t t j  r^loaL. t.vj stuvj
                        'Ciiij'  bti-VG  u, ~, jrotors  iiKC  Lc t-iji.'.^tr tnc
•_. ; r  oUjj^l^  i.1 .•!_,; -  -;   --• ^s   ill  rci..cir  <:\  Lfit  , orniiij Cine  tiic
fire  .'.ill  not f.avt:  cc  jt ristartec.   For iicast-nolub whtre all
uciilti  ae:ierul Ij  ,,ur.,,  6 ilo,/  burn  rate Llirou^iiout the ccy also
is cesirable.
      i;'ncn « Sn,allc-r  stove  is  utilizeu, since  the  firebox volui^.e
is Si:'.;ller, lesser  ci^ounts  of  ,:ood  can be cnargec  eacn tine  and
for  the sfii.it Jurn  rale  or neat  output, reload "in^,  will  be requireti
on a  i ;ore  frequent  basis.  This  issue   is the  factor which i,.ost
encoL,rayes larger  stove  purchases  by operators anci forms the
^rectust. bcsrrisr  Lo  chancing behavior  so that  individuals cur-
       Two utlier  ruclvr'S  ,.ork  >,o encoura^ s,..c.cr  stove s'uin:,.
A sculler stove-  contains less materials and tnus generally costs
less  than a laryt-r  stove,  assunins  equal  cofr.pl exity of desicn.
Also  a smaller stove  by  virtue of  its  greater burning intensity
(Jill  ^er.i.-rcllj ourn i, otter and have  less  cre-osote  deposition.
       Stove manufacturer's representatives acknowledge i.iany stove
purchasers'  desire  for  lone burning  capability  in  a stove.  At
the February 15>o2 Jooo  Heatinc, Alliance Trace Show in Louisville,
                              D-80

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>. u 't • L L' - '. j ,  r „' i. *J  •• ' i •   _, v.. ^ , r -j i  ^\' '^ . j _ u ^ ^ c ^ L • *i ^   .1  . .  '    o ^  ^ -
L c, i !'• cL c.  ju rr, i oi'   T.  ~ > o n r b .   i nu i s u j L c t i" _ 1 c. t..  > ^   ric;,;. -• i;  .
i/ill  liiuit 1:12 co_;roc- tu  which stove operators  '('ill  b.e  vrillir
to  "down  s'l^o",  unless  curitinuuus feeding systems  sucti  es ciii,
      rs  !,.v/e  s '  r; >  !"..; :...t
                   c-i"f i c~i or.-j .   .•. "..oLter" or .norc  >iitc;,sc Jur,.
                   ;. i i  . i~ r ; ci-_j;i~y c<>c.n~2i,, cnan^es  • i".  •*.••:.•..  "f\.,
          i -  .^j
      <- v ; r • :
limited,  unoer i,-....,- conditions  a hotter or .,iore  intense  ^-un:
v/ill  lead  to hotter stuc;<  .jas  temperatures and a  lesser' h^ai,
transfer  of  the adcinonul  Jtu's in the.hotter stack  ..as.   This
i.eans that  a hotter burr. ,vi 11  not necessarily result  in  Higher
overall efficiency since the combustion efficiency  increase ;;,ay
be offset  by a decrease in  heat  transfer efficiency.
      Harriett has cldi^ed  that  overall  efficiency generally pla-
teaus between a 2 and 4 pound/hour burn rate.  This is  approxi-
mately  the  burn rate rarKje  «'hich is believed to represent  typical
practice  in  Western Oregon  and  Washington.  Also, efficiency
testing results for both a  catalyst stove (Webster  Oak)  and a •
seconcc.r>  cor..L-st;^r stuve  vvJ-otul  2C1 )  s'r.o,. that  these  ^nits
have  higher  overall ef^'.c ier.cy  at  lo.ver burn rates  tlian  higher.
Although these stoves i,.ay represent a  cifferent category of stove
behavior because of the secondary  con;bustion v
-------
 v. '. • iiO'L we .M"!'•'I'M  TOf  CC.T', .-. Ii , DUu  f i!iijc' u - C • '.  -
 c.cd'i t'lO.-sal "cov/ns ii in.," of  1C^  by  TJDO am  13
 uccur us a result  of a ,strung  public educatioii  ..ro^ra,  ,/hic'.
 ,.ojld yield an  ocd it'ional ei'issicn  reduction o^  107  !,•_/  1'33'3 e;;d
reduce beyond  that of 5 percent by 2000.  Since  wood stoves/
 i^T  ^..J^L!- I ^ -, wJ oil  t,«.v,  C'i i' i S S i 0 f1! 1>  i-1^  ullu   i Cj ~ t _ • *.  ^.j  t. . ^
 j',rc.tj  /sirt'i^ht G^ordtirij Of Jcu'vijj
       v,h'ire.turs  often  restrict air  supply c;i airL.fiiL  stoves,
either as a ;..euns to  li; it a stove's  heat output  so  ",\~t ^ui,,for
able roc,,; temperatures are not exceeded or for convenience to
extend the length of  tiir.e between  refuel in^s.  Restricting air
supply s1o\i's dovi'n the  burn raie since the an.uurit  of  oxyjeri uya.
uL.le in ti.e conbustion zone limits  the rett of cu.,ibui!; ion of
tfit  ',/ooci.  The effect  of Durn rate  or, total emissions  is dis-
cussed as a Key Topic  early in this Appendix.
       .X&jdrcing  airtight operation, it appears that  ci scourj^in
airtight  operatiori, or increasing  born rates ^nlj re-,oc^s tocal
^..iissici.s if the operator burns for fewer '-.ours per  L.c,y  '..hen
rit shifts to a faster  burn rcte.   Unless an Operator recuces
the  nui.iber of hours per  cay that the  stove is in  operation,  the
benefits  of o lower emission factor from a higher burn rate  is
counterbalanced by the increased amount of wood burned per day
»'hen iiiore pounds wood  per hour are burned.   This  relationship
•i s shown  below.
                             D-82

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                                  ;;  _     .,,/q
                        .constant)     (wood charge in K^/
                                       (utu  output "in 10,CCC
       JL i"  „'.;,'!  r_~. tu  .3 v-<^u.j 1 -'I-. i'rji. 1 tj ^  ,N^/ liCuT tfij:  - '
si oti  fuctcr  '. s iiC-lvei.. sincv  the "q" tern which  is m the
!"ioU.r  jf  Int.  JL.I, ^.t iv. i  is  uv^bleo.   iiov.-ever,  whereas  r. !•.
        . .1;  i..;.t I.1  ^^r;,  ^t  .. 1  ;;•-/. iour Lurn  r^te,  : t .
        :,o«rs  at. w J x^/i.our  ^urn  rate.  If  the
o
         ,;
           rdi. ". ui; so  Lr.ct  i:C  *• s H'illiny to  burn  b hours

the rate  ai.d  then riot operate the stove for  5  hours, the emis-
sions  in  that 10 hour period v.'ill be halved.   This, hov.'ever,
seei.is  unlilcel^  to occur  unless a heat storage  r,,echan;si., is
employee!  since  the house would then have no  heat source for  a
b hour  perioc.
       Coiiifort factors also  ,iake it unlikely  that operators  /.'ill
DC .villinc,  to s;,ift  Lo a ourniny hotter/not  burniriy cltert'.at iiij
pattern.
       If  ourn rate is doubled, the stove will  putout tv/ice  as
i.iuch !;eat to  the room where  the stove is located w'nicn is  likely
to M.ake trie rooi:. unco, ifcrtebly hot.  Quite siir.ply,  operators
restrict  air  flov; in order  to control rooi.i or  household tc,;.pera-
ture,  an.G it  appears unreasonable to expect  that many vvill  shift
to u burninc,  hotter/not  burning alternating  pattern, because
that will result in  lanje swings in the ter.iperat.ure of liviruj
areas.  Since such a oelsavior change appears unlikely to occur,
tnesc  autnors assign no  eii.ission reduction benefit  to this
strategy.
                             D-83

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            Lar.-cr Pvoces of '..ooci

            barnett  and Battelle have noted that smaller s:zcjc_
 lofjS burn v.'ith  higher emission rates then larger logs -..hen burn
 rates  are held  constant.   oattelle's results are based on CO
 and total hydrocarbon e;..1 ss i ons .   Caltc-lle explains tl;c pf.Ciicut
 ion as follows:
      "The  size  of  v.-ood  has  a large effect on the
      rate  of  pyrolysis.   The smaller pieces of ,,-oou
      result in:   a shorter  distance for the pyroljsis
      (Ji'CviuCt.s to  GiffuSL,  a 1 ar-jcT M/rTjCv or 3 a to
        r. 3S  Tc"L", '^,  iti'J  u
                                                 ..
      to hoot  Liie  entire  j.>iect of ..-jOu. .....
      Jarnett  hypothesizes  similarly that the "surface area to
«ood volume" is  the  key parameter:
      "... results indicate  that log diameter has a
      large effect on  emissions.  Undoubtedly, the
      surface  area to  wooa volume relationship  is a
      key factor.  Thin logs have a large surface
      area volume  ratio.  Therefore, these logs heat
      up relatively  fast  and then release their
      volatiles  at a fast rate.   This process is
      further  aided  by the large surface area of the
      logs through which  volatiles  are released."
      Sarnett  developed a best fit  equation for a thin-welled
convective heater  operated with  a stove surface temperature of
?pn'1 p •
^uu r .
             y - 11 .3  - $.9  [log (log size}]1"1
      where
      y = TSP  emission rate  in grams per pound
      log size = log diameter  in inches
      On a grai.is per kilogram  emission rate basis the equation
can be  converted to:
             y = 24. S  - 21.8 [log (log size)]
                            D-84

-------
       :-. 1  . - 15  ...I..  _,, _s  L-,  . irr, ,-,-   „• .'S. .j.  ~, :...  : .

Colui,.r.  4 sliows  the  ',.'  emission reuuctiun v.iiic'n  results  fro:..
i licrcusi riCj  the  soseliiie loj size  by  2".  As can  DC-  seen,
"i i,croasi i.j  "lo^  size o>  C" is  predicted tt. cecrOuSt  ci,,,ssion rdtts
Lo.-, S-ize        Preuictcu            Assumed 109 Size          Resultant /.
(Inches;     Emission Factor            Chanye From             Emission Kate

.5
T
(L
3
4
(ii/kc,)
31.5
2 4 . 3
13.3 2" to 4"
K.5 3" to 5"
11.7 4" to 5"
Decrease


35%
33%
"- /
                             D-85

-------
          fl j  SCCV'J  uf/Cru Lwf'l i,C  ii"Lf~*;Gj"  -.• :  ••   .  -  ,      -  - -
        i. ,re3  little  SC..JT ,f ,;e o;> V; d ' r ,;CTl  -   >  '.c',  I:-;,;  :,, '
tir.c, requires  less  work.  Since  such  a  behavior  change coos not
result in any  eoditional inconvenience  to  the operator, the
chances of wKreasin: the average pi see size-  via educationol
 'rorfi,.iS  J>|js_ r.j-:^.
trie i r iivorc-c  rj"iOCe Si^c.1 ./Co  uic
oasis, a  13"  emission reduction  ,7roi :  t^.e  stove  r:.,u1ot.or.  :oi.. 1:
J^ c C II i c V C L  . , 1 1 1 1  I i c t I i 0 r/ c i" a L O f  j u C i" . T 1 C i_  i -• w- - A . - k. -  •: - . >  /
;.ssu:..'ir,   7,;,. of  t;,to! ....'- e..,issicn:,  are attributable to  stoves/
 urr.aces,  t.iiS  affords ^.n 11. 5«
    Periodic Inspection of l\t
-------
 c.fttT  deterioration,  Because  of "inert o", loci-'  of  r-ercc-t,Lior.
 of  catalyst non-performance,  and because of the  S75  to  ^100
 replacement cost.
       Second, as stove  ciesi^iis u-_cc,,e , c-v s -fisit'. veV  optimized,
 ".nor-dOScd 3tove ,,,a", ntetic-nce ,,.a.> JDCO.,;: -i.^'ijury  i.j  ; ^-..i^oir-
           •I1--"1.,"!,
 .-••>-  -•• • ^ ;i- i  i> i _,!!  i wv - i  v. i  f. jr i ^r, o.i1.--1.    i , _-  ,, /_v.rs  ^;,  ^c c
 i.icr-j  likely retirement  for stoves •.','(.:• ..J. jo. ^ust'iO"  efficiency
 v/ith  intricate air introduction arr6fi_,^—,:\u_,  Lhan for  simple
 stoves  '..ith ^Ow coi.iw-jst i on  cf fi c i onc_,..    ,  , ••J.>-.-ct",on  ^.ro^rc.T,
 i. 'ijiit  Je cole to "identify unJ  jorr.ci.  -  •_
       Tirircly, if an inspection  program ,,c;^: to  foc^s  on  counsel-
   •
 liti'.j  the operators whose chii;.ney stacks e/i't jspociclly Jense
 pluuses,  they could advise those  operators on ro,; they  might
 change operating practices to  reduce creosote deposition  and
 stack emissions.  Focusinc, on  "\vorst offenders" could  yield  the
 greatest benefits for the tihie spent - the 10% of stoves  which
 produce  greatest emissions per day  probably account for more
 than  20% of total stove emissions.
       Despite the above potential benefits fros;i inspection pro-
 ;;rai,iS,  several factors make  inspection programs unlikely  to  be
 implemented as a government-imposed strategy in most co.;*,.unities.
 First,  some states such as Oregon proliijic ervirom.iental  agency
 regulation  of home space heatinb de«/ices.l£"  Secondly, there
 v/ould be significant public  opposition to a program under which
 inspectors  had authority to  enter households and require  equip-
ment  modifications.   These factors  lead us to  conclude that  an
inspection  program is not a  feasible regulatory strategy  for  most
communities for  reducing emissions  and thus  no  emission reduction
credit is assigned to  this  strategy.
                            D-87

-------
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-------
                               APPENDIX £
     ,.  •- revert describes the  Keppner-Tregoe  evaluation process.

 ;.  . ;ST CRITERIA

      All fifteen  strategies were  judged  to  satisfy all  five  ,-,U3T
 criteria described in Section  III  (Table  1), with  the  following caveat.
 Implementation  of  some  strategies  or  strategy  elements would  require
 er,acting or adopting  specific  legal authority  (e.g., mandating weather-
 -.zation of  homes)  or  establishing  financing  programs  (e.g.., weather-
 ization loans).  Such authority or financing would have  to be "in-place"
 before a strategy  could-be approved by  EPA as  part of  a  State's Clean
 Air Act Implementation  Plan  (SIP),  thereby "meeting all  legal  require-
 ments established  by  the Clean Air Act" (MUST  criteria #2).   The  final
 fifteen strategies have  some precedents for  all or most  of their  major
 control elements.  Accordingly, these strategies are considered capable
 of meeting MUST criteria #5.

 II.  WAiJT CRITERIA SCORING

      The general process of assigning WANT criteria scores was
 described in Section  III D.  The twelve WANT criteria to be used  were
 described in Section III (Table 2) and their weighting factors in
Appendix A.  An example of a decision framework for assigning scores
to  strategies for a particular WANT criteria was described in Section
 IV  3.

-------
       Final fifteen il'.,'C Control 5'cratcjifcs £vclj^:e^
 Strategy  #1


 Strategy  ?2

 Strategy  #3
Strategy  rf4

Strategy  #5

Strategy  #6

Strategy  £7


Strategy  #8

Strategy  #9

Strategy  #10

Strategy  #11

Strategy  #12

Strategy  #13


Strategy  #14

Strategy  #15
 Testing/Certification  as  Prerequisite to Sales
 or  Installation  of  i-iev; Stoves/Furnaces

 Strategy  •?!,  with 33%  Tax Credit  ;S400.00)

 Testing as  Basis for Handatory  Labeling  of
 flew Stoves/Furnaces Prior to  Sales;  Label
 Specifies Emissions Performance and  Efficiency

 Strategy  #3,  with 33%  Tax Credit  ($400.00)

 Testing/Rating by RWC  Industry  Trade  Association

 Mandatory Weatherization  of All Households

 i-landatory Weatherization  Only for  Households
 Installing  New Stove/Furnace

 Firewood Moisture Content Controls

 Stove Sizing

 Encourage Larger Firewood Piece Size

 Require Underfire Air  Source for New  Fireplaces

 Episode Controls

 Research and Development  of Improved  RWC
Appliances and/or Practices

 Encourage Alternative Fuels

 Periodic Inspection of RWC Equipment
                            E-2

-------
      This unu sir.nlar frai. eworks  for  each  »;Ai;T  criteria  are  d
u-alc1.., in explaining how  ..AM  criteria scores  were  ass-.cjnec  to  each
of the final fifteen strategies.   The  resulting  w'AiM  criteria scores
are estimated in Table E2.  The total  scores  in  Table £2  constitute
a ^rel ii.ii nary ranking of  the fifteen strategies.
      Tir.s preliminary ranking becomes the  final  ranking,  unless
^Justed based on significant  adverse  consequences  (risk  factors)  of
,,,/ic...eniation of strategies,  deteririinec  as described in  the  next
section.  There were not  such  adjustments made to the preliminary
r~ariK i ng i n Tab!e E2.
      The following twelve  subsections describe  the "satisfaction
levels" used for each WANT  criteria, to help  assign scores to each
strategy in a consistent  manner.   Accompanying notes  describe examples
of key considerations in  assigning most scores.

      A.  VJAiJT #1:  Reduce  RWC Emissions'Per  Household

            This criteria reflects the degree  to  which strategy would
      (potentially) reduce  RWC particulate  emissions  per  household.
Satisfaction
Level
Fully
Jell
Moderately
Poorly
tJone
Possible
Points
9-10
7-8
4-6
1-3
-0-
Conditions for
Reduces
Reduces
Reduces
Reduces
Reduces
RWC
RWC
RWC
RWC
RWC
Emi
Emi
Emi
Emi
Emi
Satisfying This Level
ssi
ssi
ssi
ons
ons
ons
ssions
ssi
ons
by
by
by
by
by
>:30%
10-30%
5-10%
0-5%
0%
            Scores under WANT criteria  #1 were  based  on  estimated emis-
      sions reductions achievable which  are  summarized  in  Table 7
      (Section V) for most of the fifteen strategies.   Only  Strategies
      #1  and #2 afford >30% reductions  in RWC emissions, and only after

-------
                                                                           TABLE E2
                                                      Keppner-Tregoe Scores for Final  RWC Control  Strategies
                                                                              vs
                                                          All  WANT Criteria and Risk Factors Assigned
WANT Criteria1
1. Reduce RWC emissions per household
2. Reduce no. of RWC households
3. Widely applicable/effective
4. Maximize public acceptance
5. Discourage worst appliance/practice
6. Minimize consumer cost
7. Use proven technology
8. Minimize circumvention
9. Maximize agency feasibility
10. Encourage innovative technology
11. Minimize free market Interference
12. Promote conservation and
renewable resources
Weight
Factor
13
13
10
9
9
6
5
4
3
2
2
1
Final RWC Control Strategies Selected for Evaluation
1
9 117
8 104
9 90
4 36
8 72
3 18
4 20
6 24
3 9
7 14
1 2
2 2
2
10 130
5 65
9 90
5 45
9 81
8 72
3 27
9 36
4 12
9 18
3 6
2 2
3
7 91
3 39
9 90
8 72
3 27
7 42
6 30
2 8
5 15
4 8
7 14
2 2
4
8 104
1 13
9 90
9 81
5 45
8 48
6 30
4 16
6 18
6 12
5 10
2 2
5
7 91
3 39
6 60
8 72
3 27
7 42
6 30
2 8
9 27
4 8
8 16
2 2
6
6 78
7 91
9 90
2 18
2 18
4 24
9 45
7 28
4 12
2 4
2 4
10 10
7
4 52
9 117
7 70
4 36
2 18
6 36
9 45
3 12
4 12
2 4
2 4
5 5
8
5 65
2 26
7 70
8 72
5 45
8 48
5 25
2 8
8 24
2 4
5 10
3 3
9
6 78
2 26
6 60
8 72
7 63
9 54
6 30
4 16
7 21
2 4
8 16
3 3
10
7 91
2 26
7 70
10 90
5 45
10 60
6 30
6 24
9 27
2 4
10 20
3 3
11
2 26
3 39
3 30
4 36
4 36
6 36
5 25
5 20
8 24
4 8
5 10
2 2

12
4 52
3 39
6 60
7 63
5 45
8 48
5 25
3 12
7 21
2 4
5 10
2 2
13
6 78
2 26
8 80
7 63
7 63
6 36
5 25
5 20
5 15
10 20
7 14
5 5
14
4 52
9 117
7 70
2 18
7 63
8 48
9 45
7 28
2 6
3 6
1 2
3 3
15
1 13
5 65
7 70
2 18
7 63
5 30
4 20
4 16
1 3
5 10
7 14
3 3
1
     WANT Criteria Scores:
     Risk Factor Scores:
     Ranking

All MUST Criteria have been met.
508
114
2
535
139
1
438
40
8
469
85
4
422
0
10
432
70
9
411
35
11
400
24
12
443
45
7
490
45
3
292
40
15
                                                                                                                                      381    445     458    325

                                                                                                                                       50      0      56     70
                                                                                                                                       13    -6       5      H
                                                                              E-4

-------
      2000 and 1995, respectively.  Strate-jy //4 achieved 20% by the
      year 2000, and so scored ^.  Strategies ~3, ?5, and #10 all
      scored 7, because their emissions reduction potential exceeded
      10%.  Strategies #6 and #9 had 7-10% emissions reduction, scoring
      6.  Strategy £13 also scored 6 because R&U is the key to the
      success of i.iany of tne best strategies, through development of
      test procedures, cleaner stoves, ind better operating practices.
            Scoring v './ere mandatory weatherization of only households
      installing a new stove (Strategy #7) and episode controls U12).
      Strategy #14 (encourage alternative fuels) scored 4 because
      restricted v/ooc supply restricts r;',,'C, and because combustion
      of conventional fuels v.'oulo einit less particulate.

      8.  WANT #2:  Reduce the Number of RUC Households

            This criteria should reflect whether a strategy would dis-
      courage new RUC households, or encouraging existing households
      to quit RWC.
Satisfaction
    Level
Possible
 Points
Conditions for Satisfying This Level
    Fully


    Well

 Moderately

   Poorly

    None
  9-10


  7-8

  4-6
  1
   _o
  -0-
Strongly discourage new RWC households;
or encourage existing RWC household to
quit.
Moderately discourage new RWC households;
or existing RWC households to quit.
Mildly discourage new RWC households;
or encourage existing RWC households to
quit.
Little or no effect on number of RWC
households.
Encourage new RWC households; or existing
households to increase RWC.

-------
       Two  strategies  were considered n.ost likely  to strongly
 discourage new  lU-.'C  houseliulos,  or encourage existing households
 to reduce  or  quit RWC -  weatherizatlon of only those households
 Installing new  stoves (Strategy £7), and encouragement of alter-
 native  fuels  (Strategy #14),  primarily due to its restrictions
 on firewood supply.   Close uehind,  scoring 'J, ,.u. Strategy #1 ,
 ,.r,ose  restriction of  stove sales to certified units, with no
 subsidy for purchase,  could u.ake new stove purchases costly enough
 to ciscourage new R'/,!C households,   leatherization of all  house-
 nolcis  scored  7,  because  lower heating requirements would  make
 u.'C less economically attractive vis a vis conventional  fuel
 use for r.;any  persons  who  -consider  ui'.'C a means of  reducing their
 conventional  fuel bills.
       Strategy  #2 could mildly  discourage new RWC households
 because new stove purchases are limited to certified units,
 although the tax credit  should  keep the price reasonable.
 Required inspections  of RWC households also could discourage
 people who would dislike  this as an invasion of privacy, and not
wish to be subject to  possible  mandatory maintenance costs or
 civil penalty.  All other strategies were judged  to have  little
 or no effect.

C.  WANT #3:  ..'idely Applicable  or  Particularly Effective

      This criteria reflects  whether  strategy would  influence
a high percentage of RWC  appliances  or  practices,  or  strongly
influence a major segment of  them.

-------
Sat i sf action
Level
Ful ly
i.ell
i looerately
Poorly
Possi ule
Points
9-10
7-8
4-0
1-3
Conditions for Satisfying This Level
Applies to all or most RWC appliances
or practices.
Applies to many RWC appliances and/or
practices.
Applies to significant fraction of R'wC
appliance or practice categories.
Applies only to a few P\'..'C appliances or
                                practices.
ione               -0-            No  effect,  not  applicable  to.

       All strategies  scored  6  or  higher except  Strategy  #11,
 which applies onlv t.n npw  fireplaces.  Stratenies #1  - #4  all
 .scored 9 because they would  affect  every  stove/furnace sold,
 neglecting circumvention.  Strategy #5 was  considered less
 applicable because Trade Associations might not  require  all manu-
 facturers to participate.  Mandatory weatherization of all  house-
 holds (Strategy #6) affects  existing as well  as  new RWC  house-
 holds, and is obviously more widely applicable  than Strategy
 #7.  R&D (Strategy #13) would  affect many of  the leading
 strategies themselves.  Moisture  controls (Strategy #8)  poten-
 tially affects all RWC households and both  stoves and fireplaces,
 but reliance upon voluntary  compliance will reduce its effect.
 Benefits of encouraging larger.piece size (Strategy #10) do not
 extend to fireplaces.  Inspection (Strategy #15) affects only
 households with stoves.  Encouraging alternative fuels might
 not affect households with assumed  wood supplies.  Stove sizing
 I strategy ffy; would eventually aftect many  riousenoias, arter
 many years.  Episode  controls  applicability is  diminished  by
 its voluntary nature.
                              1-7

-------
-.  '..'.HI,!  #4:  I'.axir.nze  Public  Acceptance

      The  intent  of  this  criteria  is  to reflect  acceptability
to the general  public and  second to acknowledge  significant
support or opposition.
Jacisfaction
Level
Ful ly
..£.'11
i.oderately
Poorly

None
Possible-
Points
9-10
1-Z
4-6
1-3

-0-
Conditions for Satisfying This Level
Fully acceptable; some significant support;
no significant opposition.
Acceptable to r,,ost parties; some support;
no significant opposition.
Lukewarm acceptance; ir.ost people don't know
or care; or, offsetting support and opposition
Acceptable primarily to environmentalists;
average person wary or opposes.
Not acceptable to many; strong opposition.
      Likely public acceptance was deemed highest for Strategy
#10 (piece size), since it offered significant potential benefits,
at no cost, and with less work (less splitting of wood).  Testing/
labeling plus tax credit (Strategy #4) scored 9, because consumer
options are not limited, but better consumer information is given,
along with an optional subsidy for purchasing cleaner stoves.
The other two labeling type strategies (#3, #5) also preserve
all consumer options.  Moisture controls (#8) and stove sizing
(#9) also offer benefits with relatively little inconvenience
or costs (down sizing average stove size should save on costs
of equipment).  Episode controls (#12) at least on a voluntary
basis, and R&D (#13) also were considered relatively easy to
win public support.

-------
            Restricting the public's  choice of  stoves  (Strategies  #1
      and  #2)  will  not likely be  popular,  but proponents  should  partially
      offset opponents.   Mandatory  weatherization of new  RWC  households
      (Strategy #6)  won't be widely popular, but will  similarly  have
      some strong  proponents.   Requiring^underfire air  for new fire-
      places would affect home builders,  but most of the  public  would
      be relatively  insulated  from  its effect since it  1) only applies
      to new units,  and  2)  costs  would be  rolled in with  entire  costs
      of a new dwelling.   Mandatory weatherization of all households
      will  affect  far  more  people and be  significantly  less acceptable
      to the average person because it is  a substantial mandated cost.
      Strategy #14 will  be  unpopular  for  restricting firewood supplies
      and  was  scored 2.   Strategy #15 also scored this  becasue it
      required entry into private homes, and potential  required
      maintenance  costs  or  civil  penalties will be unwanted.

      E.   WANT #5:   Discourage Worst  RWC Appliances/Practices

            This criteria seeks to  reflect how  much a  strategy would
      discourage high  emitting RWC  appliances or poor  RWC practices.
Sat1Level10n
Fully
well
Possible
Points
S-10
7-8
Conditions for Satisfying This Level
Effectively eliminate all worst appliances
or practices.
Significantly discourages a substantial
                                  percentage of poor RWC appliances or
                                  practices.
Moderately          4-6           Discourages some poor appliances or
                                  practices.
  Poorly            1-3           Little effect.
   None             -0-           Encourages (if inadvertently) poorer RWC
                                  appliances or practices;  or, no effect
                                  at all.

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      Strategics f-1 end ,?£ wrnch restrict consumer choices to
certified stoves/furnaces ;,;ost strongly discourage continued
installation of "dirtier" burning units.  The subsidy in Strategy
$2 enhances this effect.  RaD to improve RWC appliances/practices
works directly to change poorer equipment/techniques by obtaining
needec knowledge (Strategy ^13;.  Periodic inspection (Strategy
?15/ would detect poorly operating burning units and require
iTiuintenance - the only strategy directly enforcing good RWC
practices in the hot.ie.  Strategy #14 discourages all RWC by
restricting wood supply, and by encouraging conventional fuel
use.  Strategy ??9 discourages larger stoves which tend to have
higher emissions.
      Labeling strategies (£3, #5) do not limit consumer choices
to the cleaner burning units, although a tax credit (#4) would
help achieve this result.  Moisture control (#8) tends to dis-
courage inadequate seasoning of firewood, but is voluntary.
Likewise, encouraging larger firewood piece size in stoves (fire-
places not affected) is too discretionary to have a major dis-
couraging influence on poorer practices.  Episode controls (#12)
are voluntary, and emphasize temporary cessation of RWC rather
than improving one's RWC equipment, although public education
on proper RWC methods helps discourage poor ones.  Underfire
air sources affect only small fraction of RWC situations (new
fireplaces).  Ueatherization has relatively little effect on
worst practices or units.

F.  WANT #6:  Minimize Consumer Cost

      This criteria is to reflect how well a strategy would
minimize any RWC costs (fuel, equipment, O&M, pass through costs
from manufacturer or retailer, etc.).  Such costs also may be
offset by subsidies in some strategies.
                            L-10

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  '! sf action        rossiDle                    -    ,.     ,-      T,    ,    ,
       ,            -.  .  ,           • .'.,:,:. i ,:'-; s  r,r ^ar.; sty m:.  1ms  Level
   Level            PIT. nts
  Fully            9-10           No added  costs  for  consumers;  or  reduced
                                  costs.
  ..ell             7-u            Low costs  to  affected  RWC  households.
lOderately          4-5            Significant costs  tc only  a  fev: R'.iC
                                  households.
 Poorly            1-3            Significant costs to a  significant number
                                  of RbC  households.
                   -C-            Substantial added costs for  RHC house-
                                  no! ds  (SlOOOs).
          Encouraging larger firewood  piece  size  (Strategy #10)  scores
    10 because it has no dollar or  inconvenience  costs to consumers
    (costs of public information desemination are very small, tax
    payer costs).  Downsizing stoves  (#9) reduces average stove  costs.
    Encouraging alternative fuels  (#14) by lowering conventional
    fuel costs provides lower cost  alternative for RWC households
    which face higher firewood costs due to  restricting firewood
    supplies.  Moisture control  (#8) and episode controls (#12)  are
    cheap.  Labeling strategies (#3, #5) preserve options to buy
    cheaper units; subsidy option  (#4) potentially reduces consumer
    costs.  Limited weatherization  (#7) is less costly than the more
    widely applicable case (#6).
          Limiting consumer choice to certified stoves (#1,  #2) should
    increase average stove costs,  perhaps significantly.

    G.   WANT #7:   Use Proven Technology

          This  criteria  reflects whether a strategy's  technology
    is  proven for  this  application; has low O&M problems;  needs no
    R&D.
                               1-11

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Sati sfaction
Level
Fully
well
Moderately
Possible
Points
9-10
7-8
4-6
Conditions for Satisfying
This Level
All technology required is fully proven,
In some application or use.
Technology fully proven,
different use.
Technology assumed sound,
but only for 5
but untested;
                                or not applicable because no technology
                                is involved.
Poorly            1-3           Possible problems with technology
                                anticipated.
 ''•one             -0-           Technology problems likely;  risky.
         Weatherization (#6,  #7)  and conventional  fuel  use (#14)
   are fully proven technologies.   Downsizing stoves  U9)  and
   encouraging  larger  firewood piece size (#10)  require no new .tech-
   nology.   Testing/labeling  strategies (#3,  #5)  do not limit allow-
   able stove emissions,  and  so will not necessarily  favor newer
   (less proven)  technology,  as will Strategies  #1  and  #2.  Moisture
   control  (#8)  and episode controls (#12)  do not  rely  on  any tech-
   nology.   Underfire  air (#11) technology  is assumed sound but
   not well  documented by research  to date.   R&D  (#13)  improves
   proven technology over time, as  well  as  finds  new  technology.

   H.   WANT  #8:   Minimize Circumvention

        This criteria is to  reflect ease of  non-compliance (or
   non-response)  to strategy's  objectives.
                              [-12

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atisfaction        Possible       Conditions for Satisfying This Level
   Level             Points
   Fully             9-10         No circumvention occurs
   Hell               7-8          Difficult to circumvent,  so little occurs;
                                  perhaps due to good enforcement.
loderately           4-6          «ot too easily circumvented;  little
                                  incentive to do so.
  Poorly             1-3          Relatively easy to circumvent,  but
                                  probability not high.
                     -0-          Easily circumvented;  high probability
                                  of occurrence.
           For Testing  strategies (#1  - #4)  scores are proportional
     to assumed percent coverage - e.g., 90% for Strategy #2.   The
     "carrot and stick" of Strategy #2 ranked highest because  of the
     control of stove sales coupled with the incentive to purchase
     the certified units.   Tax credit  costs  were not considered a major
     problem because the State of Oregon has had pollution control
     tax credits for industry for years.  Oregon could reallocate
    .some of these pollution control expenditures to RWC, which has
     surpassed industry in total particulate emissions in Portland.
     Weatherization of  all households  (#6),  enforced through utility
     service change, was considered much more enforceable than weather-
     ization limited to households purchasing new stoves (#7)  enforced
     via building codes and installation permits.  Building permits
     were considered much  easier to circumvent.   The inclination to
     circumvent would be higher for the homes singled out for  this
     requirement.  Strategy #14 with its subsidies for conventional
     fuels  and firewood restrictions would encourage the use of dif-
     ferent fuels.   Piece  size (#10) produces no incentive to  cir-
     cumvent,  nor do underfire air (#11) or  R&D  (#13).   Other  strat-
           •»
     egies  have one or  more elements that are fairly easily circum-
     vented.

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      I.   >.A,;T  /r9:   i-'.axiiviize  Agency  Feasibility

           This criteria  reflects strategy's  likelihood  of minimizing
     major agency problems such  as  costs,  lack  of  authority,  or
     political opposition.

                  '  ^J L  c        Conditions  for Satisfying This  Level
   Fully            y-10           "Cheap"  and easy to  implement,  and  to
                                   document results; affected  parties
                                   cooperate.
   ..•ell             7-C            Only minor adtiiinistrative problems.
iioderately          4-G            ;iinor problems certain; ir.ajor problems
                                   possible but thought to be  avoidable.
  Poorly            1-3            At least one major administrative problem
                                   (cost, authority, politics) likely'  to
                                   block or postpone implementation.
   iione             -0-            Too difficult (or expensive) to  implement,
                                   or to obtain needed  legal authority; and
                                   strong political opposition.
                                                                        •
           Highest scores (9) go to encouraging larger piece  size
     (Strategy #10) because it is  so easy to implement, and Strategy
     #5 because the private sector implements it.  Underfire  fireplace
     air (#11) and moisture control (#8) present agencies with little
     work,  few problems.   Stove sizing (#9) and episode controls  (#12)
     offer  only minor administrative problems.   Somewhat greater
     problems occur in implementing R&3 (funding problems), and
     mandatory testing/labeling (#3, #4).   Inspection-of RWC  households
     (#15)  could face major public opposition and in Oregon legal
     prohibition against  regulating residential  heating as an air
     pollution source.  Major problems with Strategy #14 include
     limiting access of public to public lands,  and possibly political
     flak for subsidizing conventional  fuels.

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      J.   '..,\;;T ?? 10:   Encouraje Innovative Techno logy

            This criteria reflects strategy's likelihood of using,
      or  fostering the development of innovative technological
      approaches.
Satisfaction       PcssiLle            ..  .    ,   ".-,-•   -,  •  ,    T
                    nr,..-,         ^onduions for ^at i sf^ ,<>..., \ \  ; s Level
    Fully            9-10          F'.ajor commitment to innovation; or
                                   encourages it through subsidy.
    ..•ell              7-8           Significantly encourages innovation.
 Moderately          4-6           liildly encourages innovation.
   Poorly            1-3           Doesn't discourage innovation, but not
                                   likely to have much effect.
    hone              -0-           Discourages innovation; favors conservative
                                   approaches.

            R&D (Strategy #13) easily scores 10.  Requiring (#7, #9)
      and subsidizing with tax credits (#9), the purchase of cleaner
      burning stoves, is a major encouragement of innovation in stove
      design.  Except for subsizing cleaner labeled stoves (#4), all
      other strategies only mildly encourage innovation, if at all.

      K.   WANT #11:   Minimize Free Market Interference

            This criteria reflects strategy's non-interference in free
      market supply,  demand, or pricing of goods.  Use of market
      mechanisms,  or  incentives/disincentives to regulate RWC is scored
      low unless favored by private sector - e.g.,  voluntary regulation
      by  Trade Association.  Promotion of better educated consumer
      choice, scores  high (enhances market).

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jatlSTuCtiOn       r'USS'ible        r   * <- •    c   r ^ •  <• •    TI •   i
    ,    T            n •  -          Conditions for Satisryinc Tins Leve
    Lc/'Gi            POT TIL:,                              j  3
    Fully            9-10'         iio interference with supply/demand or
                                   prices related to RWC.
    •..•ell              7-o           Strongly promotes better consumer choice.
  .oc'erately          4-o           moderately enhances consumer infon.iat ion,
                                   but may not affect consumer behavior very
                                   much.
   Poorly            1-3           Little or no effect on price or consumer
                                   choice.
    ione              -J-           Direct interference with price, or supply/
                                   demand and which is not accepted/sanctioned
                                   by private sector.

            Encouraging larger firewood piece size (Strategy #10) has
      no  interference with market forces.  Encouraging downsizing of
      stoves (#9) places -larger units at some disadvantage, but this
      is  far from direct interference.  The testing/labeling strategy
      (#5)  is implemented by the private sector itself.  R&D (#13),
      and labeling without limiting which stoves can be sold (#3, #4)
      enhance market activity by promoting better informed consumer
      choice.  Tax credit subsidies (#2, #4) directly interfere with
      inarket prices.  Mandatory weatherization indirectly interferes
      by  tying up significant funds that could be spent on other projects
      and by creating a market for weatherization which competes with
      the conventional fuel market.  Encouraging conventional fuels
      through lower rates and restricting wood supply, doubly inter-
      feres as well as benefiting industrial users of wood residues.

      L.   L'AKT #12:  Promote Conservation and Renewable Resources

            This criteria reflects strategy's likelihood to directly
      or  indirectly encourage conservation of energy, or use of renew-
      able resources (except wood for RWC).
                                 E-15

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 Satisfaction       Pos^le        Conditions for Satisfym., IMS Level
     LcVCi           ("'01i.CS
     t-ully            S-1C          Strongly promotes conservation and renew-
                                    able resources.
                                    Significantly encourages conservation an:
                                    renev/able resources.
                                    , .ocerutely encourages cur.servc.c. jn .,rr'.
                                    renewable resources.
    ?ocri>            1-3           Little or no effect.
     ..me              -C-           Discourages conservation or encourages
                                    use of conventional  fuels ;oil, 3as,
                                    electricity).

             .•.eatherization (#6,  $1}  directly encourages conservation
       of  energy,  but much less so In the case of  limited mandatory
       weatherization (£7).  Aside from R&D,  which can strive to develop
       RUC appliances/practices which conserve energy, all  other
       strategies  have little or  no effect.

 III.   RISK FACTORS

       Table E2  summarizes the WANT criteria  scores and  the preliminary
 ranking they provide among the fifteen final  control  strategies.
 Table  E2  also shows  the  ris'k  factor  scores assigned to  represent  major
 potential  adverse consequences of implementing  a  strategy.   These adverse
 consequences  scores  are  summarized in  Figure  El and discussed  in  this
 section.   Risk  factors were  discussed  in  Section  III  D  of  the  text.
      The  adverse consequences listed  in  Figure El  were those  considered
rnost likely  to  block  or  limit  the effectiveness of  a  strategy.   In
many cases,  the risk  factors  represent  the possible failure  of  key
assumptions  to coine  true,  which would  undermine the strategy in sig-
nificant ways - e.g., the  failure  of the  RWC  industry to commercialize

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                      I:.vlci,.ci,t",nJ Final  fifteen r.'.-C Control  5trate<^:_s
        tr^  coesn'L Provice a stove  which         3
  er.iits £5  ^,/kc, for<_$1200.
  LeCjdl  autiioriiy to  prohibit sales not          5
  obtai tiaole.
  Public  opposition to  freedom of choici.         3
  in stove   urcLasoj.
Ctrate:,y  ,fZ:   '.Tesiiii'^/Ld
- Inability  "Co clta-.n  lecal  authority  to          4                1C
  require  testinc, and  prohibit sales of
  nun-labeleo  units.
    ProOubility  of Occurrence  ',  1  to ICj

    ~>'^r ~\ OuSiVriS  of it jjc.CC  , 1 tO  1C.1
                                                                                   ;,*  -ujtc
                                                                                      •-  S.
 o t r i. t _• ^.  ; 1 :  . . ji) L i Uj/ Certi f "scat! on;

  x ; i v, I. S *-Tj ' <:,j'  ; i. I,   !' •  . iCS  C'  *1>. :V
  -  !tl , \ <.. _,  .   "..  <_; : L_ , .

 " ' !-' -< i  - i , v ^ - ;   - • '  -  -' • • • - j  -> •                   -                               40
  rrecuo;., of c,,o,:;i.  <. ,<  stove
  ,-iUrdlCSii .

  ifiaoi i i \.j i'j  o^Luiii i._.jul Sutnontj             5                ]0              jj
  to pronibit Scles/ir;StQ] 1 atior, of non-                                         , ,
  cert-'ifioc: units  iu'. ]  ..st i ;:  'J)\?'jor:
  '.-.isere OkS ^3^.2^(5,  exempts  rssidctiticl
  space hecit":!;; Trotr.  ri.-j jl at ion; .


 Stratuby f/2: ylestin-j/Certificat ion, tax credit)

  Lack  of  funus for subsidy (General Fund        5                10              j^
  strapped)  industry  oppose tax credit shift?
                                               r-is

-------
                                     -T ,  . —  -T   *, _  	  t
                                     r 11. • 'v. i, iZ  -I  •, L. 1.1: L . ,
       ial  Adverse Consequences                Probability     Seriousness    i\isk Factor
       of Implementation                     of Occurrence      cf Impact       (? x S)
                         .;....' i ..'_,,  _o/'. crv-'.i i c,
                              v L \^ /•'
                 LL-'  "I,  -T  - , j •  ,-'-
                 / „ u •J - I I  I C ^ 3 I  •-» vJ L . - x.' [ i u j

                        ^ " ' •>    *"  *~ J ) ' J '"
                   .- I i ^ ,v I \j I ) I L- i '-  o w1 t <" -> •
                    i n^/Rat'i ng,  Ly  Industry,
i; - f'ro^cioi 1 ity  of  Occurrence \1  to  10)
                   cS /  jloxl'j = unavc i >Ja.. 1 c  disaster

                                           £-19
Strategy  £j:   u.'eatherization,  all  households)

-  Public  acccvtarice i Voter  approval;  of           5               ^          '   40
   uandatcry weatlierizotion  may  not  oe obtained.

-  /.(jc^uate fiiianci ng -nay not  be available.        3              10             30
                                                                                  70


Strategy  f:7:   (..'eatherization,  only
                certain households)
- Public  acceptance of limited inandatory          5                ii             25
  ,',eatherization could be much worse  but
  affected  group is smaller.

- Adequate  attractive financing may  not           1               10             10
  be  available.                     •                                              3r


Strategy  irO:   (i'ioisture Control)

- Limited research to date n;eans estimated         4                G             2<-i
  benefits  inay  not be realizable as estimated.

-------
 ;uienlic,l  /.dvcrse Consequences
       of  Ii..H']'3:;.eiitation
 Probability     Seriousness    Risk Factor
of Occurrence      of Impact       (P x S)
      (P)              (S)
              .Sizing)
  0 j H J V i Z. S i . . c,_y
                .-"C:l . lirt-fiS  c S t'i I..C. L-'-iU

                i i 0 v. 0 c  T c (.'' I I Z G 0 I c c; S
  Limiceu  rLsaarcf  means  estii,:atec
  jcnef.Ls , ay iiot i^c  realizable as
  esti .at-jC.
 tratcjj'  ;;11:   ^r~i rep lace  iinuerf'ire Air)
 • L1,-.riteu  research (one  test)  n.eans estimated     5
  Deneflts ,,;ay not be realizable as estimated.
                                     40
       .^y  ;;1Z:   jEplsode  Controls;
- Legal  authority for mandatory curtail -
  nient r.,ay  not .aateriallze,  lihiitinc,
       a;., to  voluntary approach.
                      10
50
Strategy  £13:   ^Research 6  Developiiient)
- none
                                                                                   -u-
Strate^y  ,,r!4:   (encouraging Alternative Fuels)

- Public  acceptance of linn ting  of wood
  supply  unlikely.
                                     DO
Strategy  -/15:   (Inspections)

- Lec,al sutiiorit^  for inspections  i.iay not
  ,:.ctt. r ', al ' ze  (especially "in  Oregon]-.
                     10
70
                                           E-20

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a stcvc whicii eiTiits  5 g/kg and costs  $1200.00, by about 1934.  This
assumption underlies Strategies £1 - -'4.  If it die not come true,
Strategies #1 and #2 v/oulcJ be affected i.iost because they limit consumer
choice to stoves v/hich emit 
-------
      her each strategy, the total points  assigned for risK, factors
in Figure El was compared in Table E2 with the total U'AiiT criteria
scores.  These two scores were not substracted, but their relative
magnitudes were compared to consider whether the preliminary ranking
based on WANT criteria scores should be altered due to potential  adverse
consequences of implementing any strategy.
      The two top rankec strategies  U'l and ,?2) also had the two  highest
adverse consequences scores; and the fourth ranked strategy iiad the
next highest risk factor.  The ii.ajor risk  factors involved possible
problems in obtaining legal authority to require testing and to restrict
commercial sale of non-certified or non-labeled stoves.  In depth
analysis of barriers to enactment of such  legal authority was beyond
trie scope of this report.
      However, precedent exists for such legal authority in control
programs implemented in Britain, Mew Zealand, and West Germany  (see
Section II A, B, and C); and in the program adopted in Medford, Oregon
(see Section II E), which urged development of a state'certification/
testing program.  Precedent also exists for state tax credits for
                                                32
industrial pollution controls - e.g., in Oregon.    For Portland,
Oregon, RWC particulate emissions are estimated to equal or surpass
industrial particulate emissions (in tons/year), and are potentially
i;:ore hazardous to public health since the emissions are released  in
sensitive population areas.  Thus, in Oregon at least, a strong argu-
ment can be made for simply reallocating pollution control tax  credits
frosn industrial to RWC controls.
      Thus, because the potential emissions reductions are significantly
greater for Strategies #1 and #2, and major risk factors seem surmount-
able, no change was made in the preliminary ranking of these top  rated
strategies.
      No compelling reasons were found to alter the other rankings
either, so the initial WANT criteria ranking became the final ranking
also.  Several observations about the relative rankings seem noteworthy,
however.  For example, R&D (Strategy #3) ranked high (5th) and  had

-------
no acverse consequences.   Its benefits  are  speculative ay nature,  how-
ever, and f;iu funding "is scarce under present economic conaitions.
      Several strategies which rank fairly  nigh - e.g., promoting  larger
firewood piece size (#10)  and smaller stoves  (#9) - did so in part
because they don't present many problems, but they are based on very
thin research results.  These strategy  approacaes are prnr.e caiicidat = s
for future restore!..

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      SelzCteu  Costs  arid uenefils of Final i;..C Control  Strategies


      This appendix estihiates selected dollar costs assumed to  be
associated with  implementation of fourteen of the fifteen final  Rv.'C
Cor.trol Strategies selected in Section VI for final evaluation  and
ranking.  It also describes selectee jetiefits in narrative terns for
each strategy,   uo dollar costs ,vere estimated for Strategy f/H, v.'hich
calico for encouraging  fuel alternatives co iV,;C.
    - -r - .• T '" r* V —T    ' *~' ' / n *~ n I  *~ *~ *~ T <~ ~!—> * • ~ r   I.^T  i.~ T •- • - -i—• r* °> 'o '^T~nTTr~T'~
    j I ;<(-•. Ic^Y rl:   i'!L.-i/I\t.rLM^Li iLn I  j ! ^'. c_  ;.Jji ^c ILJICJ /-.i,L/ LCJ\ I 11ri c.
                   TO EMIT  LESS TKA;> -j G TSP/;
-------
..Ljui.it ;.2,ouu per test,  Oetenrrination  of  efficiency  by
'.,:e stack loss i.iethud also v:as  incli.ceo ;, ith'ii,  cr.ese costs.
If an emissions rating program  were established,  some range
of operating conditions would need to  be  tested  rather
tiian one single burn rate, since emission factors  generally
vary significantly with burn rate.  Testing  four  different
burn rates probably would bo sufficient to characterize
emissions over a ran ye of conditions,  ,/hile  still  dllovnncj
any serious test procedure error to be identified.   Without
economies of scale, four separate tests v/ould thus be
estimated to cost about SIC.UCO.  ',. ith the econo;;.". er. of
repetitive testing on Multiple  stoves, c  cost of  about $5,000-
v7,5CO seems a'reasonable estimate for testing  particulate
emissions at four different burn rates by this  method.
                                             9
2.  Efficiency Testing by Calorimeter  Room and  Stack Loss Method
      She!ton Energy Research of Sante Fe, New  Mexico cur-
rently tests stove efficiency by this  method for  about
                 45
$5,400 per stove.    This includes six different  tests
at low to high burn rates to characterize performance over
the range of operating conditions.  Combustion  efficiency
determination is included in this procedure.  This also
would provide other options for structuring  certification
requirements.  For example, rather than setting an emis-
sion limit of 5 g/kg, some minimum combustion efficiency
could be required with the certification program essentially
the same in all other respects.

-------
 o.  JritiGt! electrostatic Preci^itator iiethoc
       British law requires stoves to >.,eet certain ei;nssion
 liir.its in order to be installed in Smoke Control
 Areas.    '    Testing is conducted by the British Coal
 board (NC3) using an electrostatic precipitator method.   '  1
 Using this net hod the i'iCB estimates the costs of testing
 one stove to be $2,400, which includes 5 tests at eecli
 of three burning rates (low,  medium, and high).    ',,'hile
 this test is not necessarily  applicable to wood stoves
 because  of its questionable capture efficiency for vela-
 tiles, it does illustrate a comprehensive testing program
 ,n octual operation.

 4.  liew  Method-Combustion Efficiency Measurement Using Catalysts

       These  authors conclude  that  one of the least expen-
 sive test methods  likely  to be developed and commercialized
 involves  the use of catalysts to determine an emission
 factor in the form of grams of unburned carbon per kg wood.
 This method  would  involve complete combustion of some known
 fraction  of  the  stack gas via a catalyst with known  amounts
 of oxygen supplied to ensure  complete combustion.  Measure-
 ment of CCL  concentrations  before  and behind  the catalyst,
 stack  flow measurements,  and  determination of the  amount
 of wood burned also would be  required.   Both  CO  and  par-
 ti cul ate  emissions are  of concern,  and  this method would
 sidestep  issues  of how much.of  the carbon was in one  form
                                 45
 or  the other.  Shelton  estimates   that  costs for  conducting
 such a test  for  four  different  burn rates might  ultimately
 be  reduced to about $2,000.

 5.  Single Estimate of Model Testing  Costs
      The arithmetic  average of these four possible evalua-
tion procedures  (each including multiple tests) is $4,400

-------
[<2u'_6 + 2CGC +  j^GC T  7500;/4 = 4375].  Tnls value  Is
selected as the  best sirujle estimate of costs per model
testec for emissions.

Test Procedure Development
      In order to document the acceptability and valioit'-1
of ',,'hatever emissions testing  Method  is selected, it  "is
arbitrarily assumed that about $50,000 in research contracts
or expenses would be required.  This,  for example, would
allow four stoves to be tested five times by the Oregon
ilethod 7 procedures (t?$2,500 per test).

Adiiiini strati ve Costs
      If it is assumed  that about 30 new stove models would
be tested each year, at an estimated  $4,400 cost per  stove
tested, this would result in $130,000/year  allocated for
testing costs.  If it  is assumed  this  program would require
two professionals and one half-time secretarial position
for testing and  report-writing activities at a $30,000/year
average loaded rate, these labor expenses would total
$75,000 per year.
      This would leave  a remainder of  $55,000 per year
for rent ($15,000/year), wood acquisition and standardiza-
tion costs ($5,000/year), printing ($5,000/year) and
amortized equipment purchase ($30,000/year), which appears
reasonable.
      Allocation of one-half professional person for
enforcement activities  and one-half professional person
for education and public relations activities would  add
about $30,000/year for  annualized costs of  $160,000/year.
Charging manufacturers  $1,000 each to  test/certify each
stove,  could recoup $30,000 under these assumptions,
reducing total administrative costs to $130,000.
                      • -t

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             Per wtovc Lusts
                   , ,L,.,i ii i strati ve 'costs of 'ciris program  per  stove ore
             estiii.atec for jurisdictions v;ith annual  stove sales  of
             5,000 to 10,000 and 20,000 in this section.  After  the
             research expenditure of $50,000 to establish and  verify
             tl'.e test procedures, the $130,000 annual operating  expenses
             ,,culc result  in costs 10 the rcvarniiient  per stove  solJ
             of .-^o, -1^, jf $O.D^ fi-r tiiese three cases.  The  costs
             of attc-cii !ii;; e laL>el ,/iiicn specifies emission rates  and/or
             efficiency  is estimates at $5.00 per stove  (labor  end  ,,;6ni,-
             facturin:, costs/,  jr !*>_, udi, iini strati ve costs per  stove
             to $31, vlo, anc ^12 respectively.  This $5.00  labeling
             cost  ,vas assutiiec to apply to Strategies  #1  - /75.   Since
             Strategy ?1  is assumed to assume only that 60%  of  stoves
             purchased are certified, the administrative costs  per
             "affected"  stove are $52, $30, and $20 respectively.
             Research and tax credit costs are not included  in these
             per stove costs.

      3.   Benefits

             Analysis in  Section V A 1  estimates the emission reduction
      attributable  to this strategy as 8% by 1990 and 30% by 2000.
      Thus,  the emissions  reduction benefits accumulate over time  sig-
      nificantly, as more  and  more new and/or replacement burning  units
      are  installed, 50% of which are assumed to be the cleaner,
      certified types.
II.  STRATEGY #2:   NEK/REPLACEMENT STOVES MUST BE TESTED AND CERTIFIED
                    TO  EMIT  LESS  THAN 5 G TSP/KG WOOD BEFORE SALE OR
                    INSTALLATION  IS ALLOWED;  PLUS $400/STOVE TAX CREDIT
      Strategy #2 would  employ  the  same staff and facilities, and is
assumed to have the same  base costs  as  Strategy #1  ($130,000 per year
adininistrative costs, plus  $50,000  one-time research costs to develop

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                 , Hlus  tax  crc-c;.;,  cci.cs.   Tax  crec.it  costs  (tax revenues
           ;ere estn.iattu  cssui.iUKj  a  percent  coverage  of  DO/,  for Strategy
-:Z - 'i.e., that  90% of  new  units woula  be  certified and  hence  eligible
for the tax credit.'  For  annual sales of 5,000,  10,000,  and  20,000
units, this results in  annual  tax  credit costs of  $1.0 -  $7.2  nnllion.
      Additional aduiini strative costs to a
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  to result  in  3%  emission reduction benefit by 1990 and a 11%
                      v2,,L-M i by 2'JGG.
       GY -*:  TESTING  AS JASIS FOR MANDATORY LABELING PRIOR T(J SALES,  PLUS
               340G/STOVE TAX CREDIT
              ., r  . TI  t'.al  research,  and annual  au.nrn strat", ye ;^_,f s
  for t.'vis ,jrojra;,< are  essentially  the same as for Strategy "2.
  nc,;ever, costs  ,jer  ceriifiec  stove purchased are 2.25 tk.^es as
  ,:"i.jn,  S''iC2 jtrate-jj-  "4  is  assuivied to effect only 40'. of  the
  bcoves ^jrciidseL jer  yaar  versus  the 90% for Strategy ;-2.   Ihis
  also affects  the tax  credit costs for the three sales volumes'
  cunslcerec:  i5,GuO,  10,000,  and  20,000 sale per year), because
  only 40';t of the units purchased would be eligible for tax credits.
  This results  in annual tax  credit costs  of $0.8 - $3.2 million.

  C.  Benefits
        iiased on analysis  presented  in  Section  V A 1  and Appendix
  Li, this strategy is assumed  to  result in  an 5% emission reduction
  benefit by 1990 arid a 21%  benefit  by  2000.

STRATEGY ,-5:  TESTING/RATING BY RWC  INDUSTRY TRADE ASSOCIATION

  A.  Costs

        This strategy's costs  would  be  essentially the  same as
  for Strategy #3 (#1), but with  the RWC  industry  -instead of govern-
  ment implementing it.  A significant  difference  in  distribution
  or pass through of costs to  the public  would  exist,  however.
        If industry passed on  to  the consumer the  per-stove admin-
  istrative costs identified for  Strategy #3 ($12-31  per unit),
                              "-7

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 LIVI. ;,'urc,liUbers of new wood  sieves  would pay for ttTis strategy.
  IA.C'' _ ui'o'oL ^ i Ji i""l ~ ."S ,  -jO V9rni.,dri t  tjdyS c. I I  COotb >;iiiCil C.r'J
 i.rii.s effectively distributee  over  all  taxpayers.  Averse tax-
 payer costs would range  from  a  few  pennies per year for Strategies
 rl  and r'3 to $5-10 or more per  year for Strategy -?2 involving
 ;mi r.ax credit costs.  However,  since  total particulute emissions
 from ;t,,C in areas like Portland,  Oregon rival  or surpass total
 •_,.  iSiior.s fro;.: all other  industry  , states {like Oregon) which
 otter substantial industrial  tax  credits for pollution abetenent,
 ,;,ciy ,-ant to adjust their  tex  credit prograia to accor,;n,cdate the
 ;.'.,C source.

STUATIbY ,-6:  JEATHERIZATION  OF  ALL  HOUSEHOLDS  I.'! Ah AREA
 A.   Costs

       Pacific Power and  Light  estimates that weat'nerization of
 a typical household in the  Portland metropolitan area costs about
                                 46
 vl,400 to $1,500 per  household.     This includes such activities
 as  roof and floor insulation,  addition of storn; windows, and
 caulking and weather  stripping.   For an area in which 60% of
 households can be characterized  as "poorly weatherized"   this
 results in average weatherization  costs of about $900 for each
 household in a metropolitan area ($1,500 * .6 = $900).  For metro-
 politan areas with 100,000  or  300,000 households, this would
 require investment of $90 r.iillion  or $270 million.
       Estimated adi.iinistrative costs for a mandatory weatheriza-
 tion progran; assumed  5,000  to  20,000 households weatherized per
 year.  Assuming administrative costs of $30.CO/h'cusehold, affords
 annual administrative costs of $150,000 - $500,000.  Assuming
 weatherization of poorly weatherized RWC households is accom-
 plished in 10 years,  starting  in 19C5, the full 7% emissions
 reduction would be achieved by 19S5.  For Strategy #7 (weather-
 ization of households installing new/replacement stoves), a

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          Cc.r average  stove;  1'ife  vas  assu.ec  JL-  aiuu.tJ  rc-,jlacer,,erit
      cot.'j for existing  stoves;.   Tins  also results  in  full  .^ether-
      ization benefits within  10  years.   Assuming  1U.-C  households  are
      10% of all households, annual  administrative costs  could  range
      fro'.. 320,000 - 580,000 per  year.
            In the short-term, weatherization  of  GC/>  of  an  area's  house-
      holds such that heating requirements  are reduced by 40?c  is
      -istiuatec to reduce Rl.C emissions  by  1995 by about 7%  (see Section V
      j 1,.  riowever, most weatherization programs incorporate  only
      cost-effective conservation  actions,  with a 5 year or  less pay-
      DUCK.  Thus it can be arguec  that  the v/eatheri zation  proyrai,,s
      "pay for themselves" in ultimate fuel savings,  with emission
      reouction a side benefit.
VII.  STRATEGY #7:  MANDATORY WEATHERIZATION ONLY FOR HOUSEHOLDS
                    INSTALLING IJEU WOOD STOVES/FURNACES
      A.   Costs

            For an area with 100,000 households in which either  10%
      or  20% of households are projected to buy new or replacement
      stoves between 19C5 and 2000, weatherization costs over that
      time period at $1,500 per household would equal $15 Million or
      $30 million.

      o.   benefits

            If all households were to cooperate with this strategy
      and not  circumvent the requirements by installing stoves without
      "permits",  the emission reduction benefits would equal those
      i7%)  of  Strategy #6,  but with less weatherization investment

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      costs.  However, more circumvention would  probably  occur;  30%  more
      was assumed by  1992  (3.5%) reducing emissions  reduction  benefits
      by this amount  to 5% by  1995.  The extent  of circumvention would
      depend on the financial  burden involved, which could  be  mitigated by
      attractive financing terms (no or low  interest loans), and
      whether the requirement  is accepted as equitable.
                              liOISTURE CONTROL
      Aratt^ieS c, i, and 10 are all public education  3tr
     ...ui coi-li- all be incorporated within a comprehensive public  eciuca-
     iL.-.".':ejy.  Costs presented in this section can b.  r.;,ti3iuered  to
cover Uirate^ies o, 9, and 10 m combination.   It also  was  assumed
tliut luplementation of any one strategy would cost half as  much
;$45,OCO) as  implementing all three  ($90,000).
      In order to achieve the emission reduction benefits cited for
these strategies in Section V I 2, it is assumed that the following
administrative and materials costs would be incurred.

      Agency  Information Officer
            Grie full-time professional ($30,000) could  communicate
      the desired changes in operating practices to the general public
      by making ICO talks/presentations per year, and managing the
      v.ievelopii.ent of media materials.

      Television and Radio Spots
            Once prepared, video and radio spots likely would receive
      free airtime for presentation to the general public,  as did  six
      video spots on wood heating practices in  1981 in  Oregon.     The
      Uorthwest Power Council funded the development of six low-budget,
      still-picture video spots on wood heating practices in 1981.
      It is assumed that a similar $50,000 expenditure  could produce
      three or four higher quality spots on optimum operating practices
      to reduce emissions, and that these spots would receive free
      air-t"i,!ie -

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            r.rt',;crk, typesett; r..j5  anil  Dinting  costs  are  estimated
      at $1,DGC fur production  of  Zo,ClG  copies of  a  three-fold/paye
      brochure.  Producing  ICu.CCC  copies per year  would  thus  be
      estimated to cost  less than  ~o,OuG/year.

      _,.  ocnef i Ls

            Educational  proyra;:iS to promote the better drying  of  wood
      were estimated to  be  able to  reuuce emissions by 6.2% in
      Section V B 2.

IX.  STRATEGY .-*3:  STOVE SIZI..C

      A.  Costs

            Costs for an educational program on this  subject were dis-
      cussed under Strategy #B  above.

      o.  Benefits

            Educational  programs to promote stove "downsizing" were
      estimated (Section V C 1) to be  able to reduce  emissions by 7%
      by 1990 and 10-11% by 20CO.

X.  STRATEGY #10:   ENCOURAGING LARGER  PIECE SIZE

      A.  Costs

            Costs for an educational program on this  subject were dis-
      cussed under Strategy #8 above.

      3.  Benefits

            Educational  programs to encourage the use of larger pieces
      of wood were estimated to be  able to reduce emissions by 11.5?;
      in Section  V C 2.

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;.i.  -",,.,i_:': -ii:  \:vui:.:  FIKZPL.^ZS  TO ,-;/-,VE  A.;.  U;;JE::FI:,  or ArJ,,uUL'  rer  ton.   This  compares  to one recent
      estimate of control costs  for  industrial  particulate sources
                                33
      of about 310,000 per ton.     On an  annual  basis,  for an  area
      in which 1000 to 3000  new  fireplaces were installed, adding  under-
      fire air systems to these  units would result in incremental  costs
      of $100,000 to  $300,000  per year.

      3.  Benefits

            Based on  the analysis  in Appendix D 1  c  this strategy  is
      assumed to reduce year  2000  emissions by  2%.   Reductions by  1990
      would be estimated to  be  less than  half of that,  or  about 1%.

XII.  STRATEGY =12:    EPISODE  COiJTROLS

      A.  Costs

            Establishing a voluntary episode  control  program under
      ,-i'hich wood burning households are requested  not to burn  wood
      (unless it is  the sole  heat source)  should cost about  $25,000
      in initial investment  and $G,000 in  annual operating costs.
      These costs estimates  are derived.largely from experience gained
                                                                     22
      with the episode control program in  operation  in liissoula, HT.

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       Initial  Investment  Costs Estimated at $25,000
       -  Automatic  Particle  ;-'.cr,itor,  for real  time  particulate  monitor-
         ing  costs  about $15,000.
       -  The  Missoula  Air  Pollution  Control  Agency  spent  $13,000  for
         peripheral  computer equipment  to provide access  to  the state
         agency's air  quality computer.   This  equipment provided  other
         benefits such  as  word processing,  printing,  and  model liny  cap-
         ability, so costs allocable  to  the  cata acquisition  system  are
         arbitrarily assumed to be $10,000.

      Annual Operating Costs Estimated  at  $0.000
      -  30%  of one professional's time  is  required  over  5 winter months
         to coordinate the I'.issoula system.  Based on an  assumed  loaded
        salary cost of $30,000  per year,  this  costs  $3,700 ($30,000
         X 5/12 X .3 = $3,700).
      -  Equipment maintenance/repair costs  estimated at  10% of invest-
         ment cost per year  or  $2,500.
      -  Phone system with recorded messages on air  quality status costs
         are  about $1,150 per year.
      -  Miscellaneous costs  of $650/year would result in total  annual
         operating costs of  $3,000.

      B.  Benefits

            The chief benefit of this strategy is  emissions  reductions
      on worst air quality days, estimated at 33%  for RWC emissions
      on worst air quality days in Section V B 3.
XIII.   STRATEGY #13:   RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT OF IMPROVED RWC
                      APPLIANCES OR PRACTICES
      A.   Costs
            Costs  for  this  broad category of research and  development

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work cepend clearly on the level of research undertaken and the
cegree of outside support.  Possible costs for three of ttie more
promising research areas are discussed below.

Private/Academic Research Contracts
      $100,000 per year could be allocated t~ cupport the develop-
ment of in,proved R'.JC appliances and practices, in a program
similar to the "appropriate technology" support grants which
soi.ie state governments fund,  by limiting single grants to $10,000
and establishing a format for vrant competition, new and innova-
tive wooc! burning technology improvements could be encouraged.

Government Funceci Emissions Test Facility
      Testing prograi.i cost estimates were generated in the dis-
cussion of costs for Strategy £1.  The annual operating costs
for conducting tests of 30 burning units per year at about four
operating conditions per unit, were estimated at $130,000 per
year, including test equipment amortization.  Uith a research
and development focus, the program could include 15 device tests
and 60 tests  (15 x 4) to compare the benefits of alternate
operating practices.

Awards for Development of Low emitting Woodburning Units ami
Simplified Emission Tesfs
      Two $50,000 awards could be offered for the development
of 1) the first woodburning unit which emits less than 1 g/kg
of particulate concurrent with an overall energy efficiency of
50« or greater and 2) a simplified emissions measurement tech-
                                                *
nique with costs per burn cycle test of less than $200.

3.  Benefits

      No potential emissions reduction benefits could be estimated
for this strategy because its results are by nature too uncertain.

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      However, ,,'ith tcoquate  funding  R&D  could  be  extremely  valuable
      in prorr.otinc; the  advancements which are most  needed  in controlling
      R'.JC emissions - e.g.,  inexpensive,  standardized emissions  test
      methods/equipment,  and  better quantitative data on emissions
      under various burning  conditions.

XIV.  STRATEGY :n-;:  ^iCUUuACIi-G  CONVENTIONAL AND  ALTERNATE  FUELS

      A.  Costs

            ,'iO costs were estimated for this strategy because the
      activities involved could not be well enough  defined.  The
      institutions involved  already have  programs which would be
      involved.  Estimating their incremental costs to do what this
      strategy calls for would be very difficult.

      B.  Benefits

            Likewise,  no emissions reduction benefits could be esti-
      mated.  Benefits would  include holding down utility costs of
      lower income people (lifeline rates), and promotion of renewable
      energy sources (solar).  However, provisions for restricting
      wood supply would not be popular, benefiting only those who would
      become the recipients of this bioir.ass for alternative uses.

XV.  STRATEGY  #15:   PERIODIC  INSPECTION OF RWC EQUIPMENT

      A.  Costs
                                                      4
            For an  inspector employed  six months per year at  a loaded
      cost  of  315,000,  and an inspection rate of six burning  units
      per day,  labor costs would be about $20 per inspection  ($15,0007
      (b units/day  x!25 clays) = $20/unit inspection).   An  assumed
      equipment and training cost  of  $3,75C/year would  increase costs

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per unit inspection  to  about  $25  ($3,750/750 units per winter
= $5).  For an  area  in  which  50,000 to 100,000 units were
inspected per year,  costs  in  the  $.75 to $1.5 million range would
result.
      T..c ...ajor  oenefit  which  would be achieved by such a pru3ru;,,
,,'OLild ZL  in  iimproved  fire  safety.   For exa.Tiple, 32% of all sincjle
family d'./ellinc;  fires in Oregon are associated with solid f^ul
ourmng ec^uipr.ient.  J   If an  inspection program were to reduce
t'.iat 33,   to  15^  then  an  1C«  reduction in total single fai;.". ~\j
d'/,ellinc  fires would  occur.   This  will lower claims paid by rire
insurance companies.   If these savings are passed onto policy-
holders,  and it  the average  household's fire insurance cost per
year is $150, this  18% benefit would equal a $27 ($150 x  .18
= $27) savings per  household per year.  This value is slightly
in excess ot the  estimated annual  costs of an inspection proyrau.
For an area  in which  50,000  to 100,000 units were inspected per
year, benefits in the $.75 to  $1.5 million range would result.

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