United States Environmental Protection Agency Office of Modeling, Monitoring Systems and Quality Assurance (RD-680) Washington DC 20460 Research and Development EPA/600/9-90/001 January 1990 Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program Overview ------- Overview This document presents an overview of the rationale, goals, and primary elements of the En- vironmental Monitoring and Assessment Program (EMAP), which represents a long-term com- mitment to assess and document periodically the condition of the Nation's ecological resourc- es. EMAP is being designed by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) Office of Research and Development. The program will serve a wide spectrum of users: decision-makers who require information to set environmental policy; program managers who must assign pri- orities to research and monitoring projects; scientists who desire a broader understanding of ecosystems; and managers and analysts who require an objective basis for evaluating the effec- tiveness of the Nation's environmental policies. Monitoring, Regulatory, & Policy Needs Environmental regulatory programs have been estimated to cost more than $70 billion annually, yet the means to assess their effect on the environment over the long term do not ex- ist. While regulatory programs are based upon our best un- derstanding of the environment at the time of their develop- ment, it is critical that long-term monitoring programs be in place to confirm the effectiveness of these programs in achieving their environmental goals and to corroborate the science upon which they are based. The EPA, the U.S. Congress, and private environmental or- ganizations have long recognized the need to improve our ability to document the condition of our environment. Con- gressional hearings in 1984 on the National Environmental Monitoring Improvement Act concluded that, despite consid- erable expenditures on monitoring, federal agencies could as- sess neither the status of ecological resources nor the overall progress toward legally-mandated goals of mitigating or pre- venting adverse ecological effects.. In the last decade, articles and editorials in professional journals of the environmental sciences have repeatedly called for the collection of more rel- evant and comparable ecological data and easy access to those data for the research community. Affirming the existence of a major gap in our environmen- tal data and recognizing the broad base of support for better environmental monitoring, the EPA Science Advisory Board (SAB) recommended in 1988 that EPA initiate a program that would monitor ecological status and trends, as well as devel- op innovative methods for anticipating emerging problems before they reach crisis proportions. EPA was encouraged to become more active in ecological monitoring because its reg- ulatory responsibilities require quantitative, scientific assess- ments of the complex effects of pollutants on ecosystems. EMAP is being initiated in 1990 by EPA in response to these recommendations. EMAP's Purpose EMAP is being designed to monitor indicators of the condi- tion of our Nation's ecological resources. Specifically, EMAP is intended to respond to the growing demand for informa- tion characterizing the condition of our environment and the type and location of changes in our environment. Simultane- ous monitoring of pollutants and environmental changes will allow us to identify likely causes of adverse changes. When fully implemented, EMAP will answer the following ques- tions: Q What is the current status, extent, and geograph- ic distribution of our ecological resources (e.g., estuaries, lakes, streams, wetlands, forests, grass- lands, deserts)? Q What proportions of these resources are degrad- ing or improving, where, and at what rate? Q What are the likely causes of adverse effects? Q Are adversely-affected ecosystems responding as expected to control and mitigation programs? EMAP will provide the Administrator, the Congress, and the public with statistical data summaries and periodic inter- pretive reports on ecological status and trends. Because sound decision-making must consider the uncertainty asso- ciated with quantitative information, all EMAP status and trends estimates will include statistically-rigorous confidence limits. Assessments of changes in our Nation's ecological re- source conditions require data on large geographic scales collected over long periods of time. For national assessments, comparability of data among geographic regions (e.g., the Northeast, Southeast, and West) and over extended periods is -1 - ------- critical, and meeting this need by simply aggregating data from many individual, local, and short-term networks that are fragmented in space or time has proven difficult, if not impos- sible. EMAP will focus specifically on national and regional scales over periods of years to decades, collecting data on in- dicators of ecological condition from multiple ecosystems and integrating them to assess environmental change. This approach, along with EMAP's statistically-based design, dis- tinguishes it from most current monitoring efforts, which tend to be short-term or locally-focused. A long-term, integrated, multi-ecosystem monitoring program offers the advantages of earlier detection of problems and improved resolution of their extent and magnitude, while enabling formulation of more cost-effective regulatory or remedial actions. Environmental monitoring data are collected by EPA to meet the requirements of a variety of regulatory programs. Many federal agencies collect environmental data specifical- ly to manage particular ecological resources. Efficient execu- tion of EPA's mandate to protect the Nation's ecosystems re- quires, therefore, that EMAP complement, supplement, and integrate data and expertise from the regulatory offices within EPA and from other agencies. EMAP should not be perceived as a substitute for ongoing programs designed to meet objec- tives other than its own. Interagency coordination is actively being pursued with the Departments of Interior, Commerce, and Agriculture. This coordination avoids duplicative moni- toring efforts, facilitates exchange of existing data for use in the refinement of monitoring networks, and increases the ex- pertise available to quantify and understand observed status and trends. EMAP will also draw upon the expertise and ac- tivities of the EPA Regional Offices, States, and the interna- tional community. Ecological monitoring programs of the 1990's and beyond must be able to respond and adapt to new issues and per- spectives within the context of a continuing effort to detect trends and patterns in environmental change. These demands will be met by EMAP through a flexible design that can ac- commodate as yet undefined questions and objectives as well as changing criteria of performance and scientific capa- bility. Further, EMAP's design will encourage analysis, re- view, and reporting processes that foster discovery of unan- ticipated results and promote the widespread dissemination of scientifically-sound information. Periodic evaluations of the program's direction and emphasis will be the key to maintaining its viability and relevance while retaining the continuity of the basic data sets. These evaluations will serve to preclude the "aging" that typically hinders long-term moni- toring efforts. Planning & Design The major activities in 1990 around which EMAP is being developed are: G Indicator Evaluation and Testing—evaluation and testing of indicators of ecological condition; Q Network Design—design and evaluation of inte- grated, statistical monitoring networks and proto- cols for collecting status and trends data on indi- cators; G Landscape Characterization—nationwide charac- terization of ecological resources in areas within the EMAP sampling network to establish a base- line for monitoring and assessment; and G Near-Coastal Demonstration Project—imple- mentation of regional-scale surveys to define the current status of our estuarine resources. Although the goal is to establish the program in all categc ries of ecosystems, the initial emphasis is on testing and im plementing the program in estuaries, near-coastal wetlands and inland surface waters, coSrdinating these activities witl the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, tb U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, and the U.S. Geological Sur vey. Because precipitation and air quality are two importan factors influencing ecosystems, EMAP also will contribute t< the evaluation and maintenance of the multia'gency atmos pheric deposition networks currently coordinated by the Na tional Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (i.e., the Na tional Trends Network/National Dry Deposition Network) These ecosystems and deposition networks offer immediaK opportunities to demonstrate the EMAP approach. EMAP also will contribute to the development of a re search program in environmental statistics. This program wil refine the statistical framework for the remaining types o; ecosystems in preparation for full implementation of EMAF in 1995 and beyond. Relying heavily on expertise from aca demia and industry, this program will develop methods and approaches for: (a) analyzing and interpreting spatial and temporal trends in indicators across regions; (b) incorporating and substituting historical data and data from ongoing moni- toring programs into EMAP; (c) designing efficient quality as- surance programs for ecological monitoring programs; and (d) diagnosing the likely causes of adverse conditions in eco- systems. Indicator Evaluation & Testing Purpose EMAP will evaluate and use indicators that collectively de- scribe the overall condition of an ecosystem. Measurements of ecosystem condition should reflect characteristics clearly valued by society. Measurement methods must be standard- ized and quality-assured so that spatial patterns and temporal trends in condition within and among regions can be accu- rately assessed. Strategy Indicators in three categories will be evaluated: -2- ------- Q Response indicators—which quantify the re- sponse of ecosystems to anthropogenic stress. Ex- amples include signs of gross pathology (e.g., the appearance of tumors in fish or visible damage to tree canopies); the status of organisms that are particularly sensitive to pollutants or populations of organisms important to sportsmen, commercial interests, or naturalists; and indices of community structure and biodiversity. Q Exposure indicators—which show whether ecosystems have been exposed to pollutants, hab- itat degradation, or other causes of poor condi- tion. Examples include ambient pollutant concen- trations; acidic deposition rates; bioaccumulation of toxics in plant and animal tissues; media-specific field bioassays using test organ- isms; and measurements of habitat condition or availability (e.g., siltation of bottom habitat and vegetative canopy complexity). G Stressor indicators—which are socio-economic, demographic, and regulatory compliance meas- urements that are suggestive of environmental stress. Examples include coal production, popula- tion figures, pesticide applications, pollutant emissions inventories, and land use. Sets of indicators will be identified and measured in all cat- egories for each ecosystem type. The set of response indica- tors should reflect adverse effects of both anticipated and un- anticipated environmental stresses (e.g., new pollutants). Criteria must be developed for each response indicator to identify when conditions change from acceptable or desira- ble to unacceptable or undesirable. Criteria could be based on conditions attainable under best management practices as observed at "regional reference sites", relatively undisturbed sites that are typical of an ecoregion. A set of exposure indi- cators will be used to determine whether ecosystems have been exposed to environmental stress and what the causes of poor condition are likely to be. For example, undesirably low diversity in stream fish communities across a region might be related to the presence of toxics in sediments, siltation of bot- tom habitat, insufficient flow, low pH, or bioaccumulation of toxics. In this example, stressor indicators that might be ex- amined in diagnosing the cause would include the number and type of industrial dischargers, farmed acreage or con- struction activity, water withdrawals, presence of mine spoils or acidic deposition, and regional pesticide application. The goals of EMAP are quite different from those of the compliance monitoring most commonly conducted by EPA. While compliance monitoring involves identifying, with a high degree of confidence, pollutant concentrations that can be linked unequivocally to individual polluters, EMAP will use sets of indicators to assess the condition of multiple eco- logical systems across regions, coupled with an evaluation of associated pollutant sources or other anthropogenic environ- mental disturbance. EMAP's regional approach to environ- mental monitoring and assessment is quite unusual, and the expected benefits include an improved capability to detect emerging problems and to identify those types of ecosystems most in need of research, assessment, or remediation. Re- gional monitoring and assessment is the only effective way to determine whether current environmental regulations are ad- equately protecting our ecological resources. Activities Many scientific questions remain to be answered. Is the natural variability in response indicators too large to make sufficiently precise estimates of regional conditions? Can eco- system condition be compared among regions with differing biota? What criteria will be used to determine acceptable ver- sus unacceptable conditions? How are the data best interpret- ed for systems with response indicators in undesirable ranges and multiple, conflicting, or unknown exposure indicators? What, if anything, might be done when a system's range in response indicators is acceptable, but the range in exposure indicators is not? EMAP will seek short- and long-term an- swers to these questions through three types of activities: Q Reports evaluating the availability and applicabili- ty of indicators for all EMAP ecosystem categories; Q Workshops on ecological indicators; and Q Development of a long-term indicator research program for all EMAP ecosystem categories. Network Design Purpose Meeting the goal of estimating status and trends in the con- dition of the Nation's ecosystems requires a monitoring framework that: Q Provides the basis for determining and reporting on ecological indicators at various geographic scales; Q Is adaptable to monitoring on regional as well as on continental and global scales; Q Enables the examination of correlations among spatial and temporal patterns of response, exposure, and stressor indicators; G Enables the incorporation or substitution of data from ongoing monitoring sites and networks; and G Is sufficiently adaptable and flexible to accommo- date changes in spatial extent of the resource (e.g., the areal extent of wetlands) and to address current and emerging issues. -3- ------- Strategy A global grid will be constructed for identifying sampling sites. This grid will then be divided into sub-grids in accor- dance with whatever scale of resolution (e.g., national, re- gional, or subregional) is required for an assessment of the condition of ecological resources. Currently, a sub-grid for the United States and its surrounding continental shelf waters that includes approximately 12,500 sites is being evaluated. Within these sites, ecosystems will be identified and charac- terized and their their number and areal extent will be deter- mined. This initial characterization will be accomplished us- ing existing maps, satellite imagery, and aerial photography. Field sampling of sets of indicators will be conducted on a subset of sites statistically selected from the 12,500 original sites. Current EMAP research will determine the number of sam- pling sites needed for regional and national reports on the status, changes, and trends in indicators. Two alternative ap- proaches for field sampling of approximately 3,000 sites are being considered. In the first, about one-fourth of the 3,000 sites across the continental United States would be visited in one year. The following year, a second one-fourth of the sites would be sampled and so on, such that all sites would be vis- ited during a four-year period. In the second, data would be collected during a single year at all the sampling sites in a ge- ographical area (e.g., the estuaries in the Virginian Province from Cape Cod to Cape Hatteras or all lakes and streams in the Northeast) and sampling efforts would shift to a new area during following years. The statistical, logistical, and report- ing advantages of each option are being evaluated in light of EMAP's long-term goal to provide a national assessment of the status, changes, and trends in ecological resources. In ad- dition, the timing of the sampling period, the statistical proce- dures for establishing where a measurement is to be made, and the number of samples that must be collected at each sampling site are being examined. Activities Current activities are focused on making the global grid fi- nal, applying it to the United States, and identifying rules for associating ecosystems with grid points and statistically se- lecting them for sampling. The EMAP design and sampling strategy will be reviewed by the American Statistical Associa- tion and appropriate ecosystem experts. Landscape Characterization Purpose National assessments of status and trends of the condition of ecosystems require knowing not only what percentage of a particular resource is in desirable or acceptable condition, but also how much of that resource exists. Some types of wet- lands are being lost at an alarming rate; conversion and loss of other types of ecosystems are also occurring. Such changes may be of particular concern if statistically correlated wi pollutant exposure or other anthropogenic stressors. For me ecosystems, few national data bases can currently be used derive quantitative estimates of ecosystem extent and chan es in condition on a regional basis with known confidence. The technique that will be used to address these issues landscape characterization. Landscape characterization is th documentation of the principal components of landscap structure—the physical environment, biological compositioi and human activity patterns—in a geographic area. EMA will characterize the national landscape by mapping lam scape features (e.g., wetlands, forests, soils, and land uses) i areas associated with the EMAP sampling grid. Characteriz. tion uses remote sensing technology (satellite imagery an aerial photography) and other techniques (e.g., cartographi analysis and analysis of census data) to quantify the exter and distribution of ecosystems. Over time, periodic aerij and satellite photography will permit quantitative estimatio of changes in landscape features that might be related to an thropogenic activities and pollutants. The results of thes characterization analyses also permit more informed selec tion of systems for field sampling. Strategy The characterization strategy involves the application of re mote sensing technology to obtain high-resolution data on se lected sample sites and lower resolution data over broad geo graphical areas. Other data sources such as maps ant censuses will be used to supplement the remote sensing data. The remote sensing data also will furnish detailed informa tion needed for the network design. For example, lakes streams, wetlands, forests, and other types of ecosystems as sociated with each grid point will be identified so that a sub set for field sampling can be statistically selected. Character! zation also supplies a portion of the data needed to classify ecosystems into subcategories of interest (e.g., forest-covei types, wetland types, crops, and lake types). Certain types of landscape data assist in diagnosing the probable causes of undesirable conditions in response indica- tors. Characterization will describe the physical and spatial aspects of the environment that reflect habitat modification, for example, those that can amplify or counteract the effects of toxicants and other pollutants on plants and animals. Finally, characterization will compile data on stressor indi- cators that can be identified from remote sensing and mapped data, including land use, mining activities, popula- tion centers, transportation and power corridors, and other anthropogenic disturbances. EMAP will assemble, manage, and update these data in Geographic Information System (CIS) format. A standardized characterization approach and a landscape information net- work common to all ecosystems will be used to optimize cost and data sharing and to ensure common format and consis- tency. Through close work with other agencies, EMAP will -4- ------- establish design requirements for the integrated characteriza- tion including acceptance criteria for baseline data, consis- tent classification detail and accuracy, and suitable spatial and temporal resolution to distinguish landscape features of particular interest. Activities The design of the characterization plan and the evaluation of potential characterization techniques are in progress. A prototype methodology for high-resolution characterization nas been developed. Current activities include evaluating a range of methods, from landscape ecology to quantitative, multistage remote sensing (combined satellite and aerial pho- tography) in widely different terrain types. EMAP characteri- zation will begin in 1990 at approximately 800 sites, or about one-fourth of the 3,000 selected for field sampling. Near-Coastal Demonstration Project Purpose Information obtained from the near-coastal demonstration project will be used to refine the EMAP design, and the study itself will serve as a model for implementing EMAP projects in other study areas and types of ecosystems. The demonstration project has five goals: G Evaluate the utility, sensitivity, and applicability of the EMAP near-coastal indicators on a regional scale; Q G Determine the effectiveness of the EMAP network design for quantifying the extent and magnitude of pollution problems in the near-coastal em environ- ment- Demonstrate the usefulness of results for plan- ning, priority-setting, and determining the effectiveness of pollution control actions; Q Develop standardized methods for indicator measurements that can be transferred to other study areas and made available for other monitoring efforts; and Q Identify and resolve logistical issues associated with implementing the network design. Strategy The strategy for accomplishing the above tasks is to work closely with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis- tration's National Status and Trends Program to field-test the near-coastal indicators and network design through a demon- stration study in the estuaries and coastal wetlands of the Mid-Atlantic area of the United States. Estuaries were select- ed because their natural circulation patterns concentrate and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Region 5, Library (PL-12J) 77 West Jackson Boulevard, 12th Floor Chicago, IL 60604-3590 retain pollutants. Estuaries and coastal wetlands are also spawning and nursery grounds for many valued living re- sources, and estuarine watersheds receive a large proportion of the pollutants discharged to the Nation's waterways. The Mid-Atlantic study area was chosen because adverse pollu- tant impacts are evident; contaminants are present in the wa- ter, sediments, and biota; the vitality of many organisms is re- portedly threatened; and seven of the area's larger estuaries are included in EPA's National Estuary Program. Activities During 1989, the major environmental problems associat- ed with near-coastal systems were identified: eutrophication, contamination, habitat modification, and the cumulative im- pact of multiple stressors. A set of response, exposure, and stressor indicators applicable to each problem is to be identi- fied, based on current understanding of how various environ- mental stressors affect ecosystem processes and biota. Near- coastal ecosystems have been classified for monitoring and assessment based on their physical and chemical characteris- tics and their susceptibility to environmental stressors. A monitoring network design that is compatible with the EMAP design is being developed. Several logistical and technical questions regarding the EMAP near-coastal project remain, including: Q What set of indicators will be measured? Q What specific methods will be used to sample each indicator? G Will all indicators be measured at all sampling sites or can a sampling plan be developed that re- quires measurement of costly indicators only at selected sites? and Q To what degree should sources of variation be measured and accounted for in the network design? The near-coastal demonstration project will be conducted in the estuaries and coastal wetlands of the mid-Atlantic area of the United States (from Cape Hatteras to Cape Cod) during mid-1990. A report on the results of the project will be pre- pared in 1991. Information Contact EMAP is planned and managed by ORD's Office of Model- ing, Monitoring Systems, and Quality Assurance (OMMSQA). Inquiries may be directed to: EMAP Director ORD/OMMSQA (RD-680) U.S. EPA Washington, DC 20460 (202)382-5767 Fax: (202)252-0929 -5- ------- |