United States
            Environmental Protection
            Agency
Air and Radiation
(ANR-445)
xvEPA      State Acid Rain Program

            Final Report
            Appendices



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State Acid Rain Program

        Final Report
         Appendices
           By David Bassett
        Office of Air and Radiation
 Office of Atmospheric and Indoor Air Programs
        Emerging Programs Staff

    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
           401M Street, SW
          Washington, DC 20460
             March 1989
                              - I"-,, «:e,,.,y



                                   J

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State Acid Rain Projects

     Brief Summaries


         Appendix A
        Office of Air and Radiation
 Office of Atmospheric and Indoor Air Programs
        Emerging Programs Staff

    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
           401M Street, SW
         Washington, DC 20460
             March 1989

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State;    Alabama


Study:    Sulfur Dioxide and Nitrogen Oxides Emissions from

          Industrial and Utility Sources in Alabama from 1980 to

          1985


Key Word;       Emissions Inventory


Purpose;


The  purpose  of  the Alabama  study was  to  develop  an emissions

inventory of  stationary sources  of  sulfur dioxide  and nitrogen

oxides for the  years 1980 through 1985.  The inventory excludes

boilers  of  less than  50  MMBtu/hour  heat  input  capacity  and

industrial processes that emit  less than  100  tons per  year of

sulfur dioxide or nitrogen oxides.


Results;


         TOTAL SULFUR DIOXIDE AND NITROGEN OXIDES EMISSIONS
                         (TONS PER YEAR)

     Year      Sulfur Dioxide      Nitrogen Oxides

     1980        665,678             235,475
     1981        676,489             230,020
     1982        507,983             188,999
     1983        569,115             201,485
     1984        564,544             215,212
     1985        653,158             247,459

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          SULFUR DIOXIDE  EMISSIONS  BY  INDUSTRY
                         (1985)
Industry
Utilities
Pulp/Paper
Petro/Gas
Chemical
Bas Metals
Fin Metal
Textiles
Minerals
Tire Manufacturers
Other
Tons/Year

531,324
 48,614
 47,529
 11,208
  8,534
    374
  1,177
  4,164
    199
     35
% of Total
 7,
 1,
81.35%
7.44%
  28%
  .72%
1.31%
 .06%
 .18%
 .64%
 .03%
 .01%
         NITROGEN OXIDES EMISSIONS BY INDUSTRY
                         (1985)
Industry

Utilities
Pulp/Paper
Petro/Gas
Chemical
Bas Metals
Fin Metals
Textiles
Mineral Products
Tire Manufacturers
Other
Tons/Year

201,408
 25,941
  2,051
  5,205
  2,753
    135
  2,122
  7,302
    254
    324
% of Total

 81.39%
 10.48%
  .81%
 2.10%
 1.11%
  .05%
  .86%
 2.95%
  .10%
  .13%

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State;    Connecticut — Economics

Study;    Assessment of Economic Implications of Connecticut and
          Federal Sulfur Dioxide Control Policy Options

Key Words;     Fuel Switching; Cost

Purpose;

This  project  examined  the  economic  impact  of  a  change  in
Connecticut's 1.0%  sulfur  by weight limitation to  0.5%  on state
utility customers.   The project also evaluated the economic impacts
of  several  federal proposals.   These  include:  (1) a 0.9 pound
sulfur dioxide  per million  BTU  limitation without  cost sharing
sponsored by Senator Mitchell (S-321);  and  (2) a surcharge on non-
nuclear  electricity generation  and imported  power with  states
sharing the costs of achieving a  10 million ton reduction in the
48 contiguous states (H.R.  3400).

Results:

o    If a 0.5% sulfur by weight limitation is imposed on fuel
     oil, a 500 kilowatt hour customer in Connecticut would pay
     between $ .20 to $ .55 a month extra in 1987.   By 1995, the
     costs will have increased to $ .45 to $ .69 per customer per
     month.

o    If a 0.9 Ib sulfur dioxide per million BTU limitation is
     imposed by the federal government, a 500 kilowatt customer
     in Connecticut would pay an additional $ .33 per month.

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A 1.0 mill surcharge would cost the average 500 kilowatt per
month customer $.18 to $.45, while a 4.9 mill surcharge
would cost the same customer $.88 to $2.18.

All proposals generally fall within the $1.50 per month
increase in costs that the Connecticut public perception
survey determined to be acceptable to 70% of the utility
customers (see Connecticut — Opinion Survey).

Connecticut would accomplish greater in-state reductions of
elemental sulfur loadings by participating in a national
program than by adopting a state-wide 0.5% sulfur (by
weight) limitation on fuel oil.  The estimated cost of
reducing each ton of elemental sulfur by adopting a 0.5%
sulfur-in-fuel limitation is approximately twice the cost of
participating in the Federal control program assumed by this
study.

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State:    Connecticut — Emissions Inventory

Study:    Projected Sulfur Oxide Emissions in Connecticut Status
          Quo and Revision to 0.5% Sulfur Content in Fuel
Key Words;
Emissions Inventory; Fuel Switching
Purpose;

This study has a  two-fold  purpose.   First,  projections were made
of Connecticut's sulfur oxide emissions for the period 1980 through
1995 assuming moderate economic and population growth.  Second, the
impact  of limiting  fuel  oil sulphur content  to 0.5%  from the
current 1.0% limitation on sulfur oxide emissions was estimated for
the years 1987 through 1995.

Results;

          CONNECTICUT PROJECTED SULFUR OXIDE EMISSIONS
                              (TONS)
Electric
Industrial
Commercial
Residential

Total
1980
33,734
13,711
4,713
12,428
1984
59,436
12,084
8,807|
8,685
1987
45,252
12,627
9,623
9,134
1990
33,384
12,803
10,229
9,423
1993
28,106
13,453
10,626
9,757
1995
32,011
13,573
10,841
9,966
73,601
98,027
85,651
74,854
70,957   73,606

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The reduction in sulfur oxides from 1984 to 1995 are a
result of decreases in fuel oil consumption.  These
reductions are attributable to increases in nuclear power
generation, natural gas burning at two generating units,
hydroelectric power purchased from Canada,  and purchases
from refuse-derived fuel and cogeneration projects.

Projected reduction in sulfur oxide emissions with
imposition of 0.5% sulfur by weight fuel limitation for fuel
oils for 1987 is 22,912; for 1990, 17,981;  for 1993, 16,026;
for 1995, 17,022.

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State:    Connecticut — Opinion Survey

Study;    A Survey of Connecticut Residential Electricity
          Customers' Perceptions of Acid Rain Issues

Key Words;     Regional Approaches; Public Perceptions

Purpose;

This Connecticut project consisted  of a public perception survey
designed  to  ascertain  the  views  of  residential  electricity
customers in the state on acid rain.  Telephone interviews of 764
residential electricity  customers  were conducted at  random with
the sample  apportioned  to reflect the  distribution of customers
with three residential rate classes within each service territory.
The sample design provides an overall  confidence level of 95% plus
or minus 4% for the responses.

Results;

o    74% (564) of the respondents were aware of acid rain? 28%
     were very concerned and 48% were somewhat concerned with its
     impact.

o    Connecticut state action to control acid rain in conjunction
     with other New England states was favored by 57%.
     Connecticut's acting on its own was favored by only 10%.
     Government action was not favored by 2.5% of respondents.

o    While 91% of the respondents believed that more research
     should be done on acid rain, over 75% believed that more
     controls should be  put in place to reduce acid rain despite
     the research not being completed.

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o    Respondents were queried concerning their willingness to pay
     successively higher monthly charges for state and/or federal
     acid rain control programs.

Willingness to Pay       State Program       Federal Program

$ 1.50 per month              70.5%               67.5%
$ 5.00 per month              28.9%               26.5%
$10.00 per month               7.8%                6.7%
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State:    Florida

Study;    Acid Rain Control;  A Cost Estimation Model for Florida

Key Words;     Cost; Planning Criteria; Fuel Switching; Emissions
               Trading; Scrubbers; Coal Cleaning
Purpose:

The purpose of the  Florida  study  was  to  determine the most cost-
effective methods of meeting  potential federally mandated sulfur
dioxide emissions requirements that would apply to electric power
plants in Florida.   The study focused on specific  plants and on
the  most cost-effective  method  of  reaching  or maintaining  a
regulated level of emissions.   The desired result was the lowest-
cost sulfur dioxide reduction option for each site in Florida.

Results;

o    There are 90 utility units in Florida which emitted a total
     of 469,247 tons of sulfur dioxide in 1985.  The 68 oil-fired
     units emitted 67,387 tons of sulfur dioxide or 14.4% of the
     total.   The 22 coal-fired units emitted 401,860 tons of
     sulfur dioxide or 85.6% of the total.

o    The 22  coal-fired units at 6 plants face the greatest cost
     of compliance.   Coal plants may meet emissions limits at a
     certain level by either coal switching or by installing
     scrubbers.  However,  once the regulations become
     sufficiently strict,  only scrubbers may be used.

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Many of the Florida coal units are old and are scheduled for
retirement either during the study period or shortly
thereafter.  Therefore, it would be uneconomical to install
scrubbers at these plants.

For coal plants, a limit of 2.0 pounds of SC>2/MMBtu may be met by
using coal with an approximate sulfur content of 1.2%.  The use
of .7% sulfur coal would allow compliance with a 1.2 pound
S02/MMBtu limit.  If 0.4% sulfur coal were available,  it could be
used to meet a  .75 pound SO^MMBtu limit.   To obtain 0.4% sulfur
coal, however, chemical coal cleaning to remove the organic
sulfur would be necessary.

For most coal-fired units, the total cost of compliance by use of
scrubbers increases as the regulations become more rigorous,
while per ton costs of reduction actually decline with the
increased stringency of these limits.  The reason is that the
significant capital expense portion of the total cost of
scrubbers is essentially fixed once the scrubber system is
installed.  This fixed cost is then distributed over more tons of
reduction as the standard becomes more strict.

Oil switching involves the use of low-sulfur oil.  Relatively few
capital adjustments are needed to accommodate the new fuel.  Most
of the costs would thus be reflected in the fuel adjustments.

The relatively low actual emissions rates at oil units indicate
that most emissions reduction would have to come from coal units.
But if legislation were to allow inclusion of oil plants in a
state-wide average pounds S02/MMBtu standard, rather than a
specific limit at each unit, fewer emissions reductions from coal
units would be required.  Emissions rates set for each unit would
result in a greater overall reduction of S(>2 at each proposed
standard.

                             10

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An emissions trading system could result in maintaining the
proposed standards with a savings in reduction costs if the
assumptions included in the study hold true.
                             11

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State;    Illinois — IAUSM

Study;    Illinois State Advanced Utility Simulation Model
          fIAUSM) STAR Project

Key Words;     Control/Cost Modeling; Fuel Switching

Purpose;

The purpose of the project was the investigation of the usefulness
of  the  Illinois  State  Level Advanced  Utility Simulation  Model
(IAUSM)  for evaluating policy scenarios.  These scenarios included
the allocation of emissions reductions on 1) a cost-effectiveness
basis, 2) a  uniform rollback,  and 3) a  minimization of economic
impact on Illinois coal mining.

Results;

The major result was that IAUSM was difficult to use and, in fact,
did not appear to operate correctly.   Illinois does not recommend
its use.
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State:    Indiana

Study;    Emissions Inventory Verification

Key Word:      Emissions Inventory

Purpose;

The purpose of the project was to verify Indiana's 1985 emissions
inventory for large sulfur dioxide  and  nitrogen oxides emissions
sources.   Indiana  verified  all sources with  emissions  of sulfur
dioxide and/or nitrogen oxides greater than 100 tons in 1985.

Results;

o    Approximately 0.6 work-years of effort was required to
     perform the review conducted by Indiana.   This level of
     effort is expected to be typical of the level of resources
     required by other states to accomplish this task with a
     similar number of sources.

o    If daily or monthly emissions or stack parameters (necessary
     for long-range transport modeling)  or other such information
     is deemed necessary, considerable extra effort would be
     required.

o    Nitrogen oxides emissions estimates are generally
     speculative and any national effort to develop an inventory
     should focus on means of improving these estimates.

o    Sulfur dioxide emissions estimates for the nine highest
     emitting sources differed by less than 0.1% through the
     verification process.  These nine sources represent 68% of
                               17

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the sulfur dioxide emissions for 1985.  The total
discrepancy for sulfur dioxide from all sources was 0,6% and
for nitrogen oxides was 3.2%.

Such a verification effort may be useful for determining
emissions reduction requirements for individual sources but
may not be critical for determining a state's emissions
reduction target.

A total of 124 sources emitted over 100 tons of sulfur
dioxide, and 110 sources emitted over 100 tons of nitrogen
oxides.  There were 81 sources that exceeded over 100 tons
of both pollutants.
                           18

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State;    Kentucky

Study!    KentuckyState AcidRain (STAR) Project

Key Words:     Planning Criteria; Cost; Fuel Switching; NOX
               Reductions,* Scrubbers; Coal Cleaning; New
               Technologies

Purpose:

The purpose  of the Kentucky  study  was to  identify criteria for
evaluating and selecting techniques to  control emissions of sulfur
dioxide and oxides of nitrogen from large combustion sources.  The
project  was  designed  to identify  (and  resolve where possible)
issues which might  be encountered with a major national control
program.

The Kentucky study  evaluated 12 different scenarios  for three
levels  of emission  control  stringency  for specific  sources in
Kentucky.    Fuel-switching  and  credit for NOX reductions  were
allowed in some scenarios and prohibited  in others.  The control
scenarios were compared  by their effectiveness  and efficiency in
reducing SC>2 and  NOX  emissions  (including  the cost-effectiveness
of each scenario).

Results;

o    The following six criteria were found useful in predicting
     the merit of each control technology for each source:
     technological considerations; economic impact; potential for
     emissions reduction; contractual obligations;  cost to the
     source;  and effect on nitrogen oxides emissions.   Two of the
                                19

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criteria (technological considerations and contractual
obligations) were used in determining cost to the source.

Six other criteria were found useful as compliance criteria:
sulfur content of existing fuel supply; boiler size; boiler
capacity factor; retrofit capacity; target reduction level;
and control technique limitations.

The study determined that the usefulness of a particular
criterion in the selection of control techniques may depend
on the value selected for other criteria.  For example, as
higher target reduction levels are specified, the relevance
of "cost to the source" declines and the importance of
"potential for emissions reduction" increases.

The study determined that while switching to lower-sulfur
coal was the least expensive S(>2 reduction strategy, coal
switching alone would not yield sufficient SC>2 reductions to
meet the probable targets of federal legislation.

The comparative difficulties of applying technologies to
specific facilities were examined and the relative costs of
strategies are compared in the following chart;
                           20

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 EFFECT OF ALLOWING CREDIT FOR BOTH SULFUR DIOXIDE AND OXIDES OF
                 NITROGEN REMOVAL ON  COST  PER TON
     Control Technique
               Mean
             Cost/Ton
                for
             Removing
                S02
               Mean
             Cost/Ton
                for
             Removing
             Both SO2
              and NOV
Duct Sorbent Injection
Coal Cleaning
Gas Conversion 1.2I
Gas Conversion 50%
Natural Gas Reburn (NGR)
Natural Gas Reburn (NGR)
Fluidized Bed (AFBC)
15%
25%
$2,528
$1,477
$1,236
$1,527
$2,429
$2,393
$9,470
$2,413
$1,427
$1,150
$1,406
$  976
$1,264
$3,802
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State;     Maryland — State-wide Caps

Study;     (Draft) state-wide Caps on Sulfur Emissions in Maryland
Key Words;     Emissions Trading; Environmental Dispatch;
               Regional Approaches; Planning Criteria

Purpose;

The report discusses a  state-wide  percent reduction in allowable
emissions requirement  and an  allowable  fuel sulfur  content for
various  source  categories.    Scenarios  examined  include:    no
emissions trading; interstate trading; emissions reduction credit
market;  importing electricity;  emissions fees;  and  centralized
interstate emissions allocation.   Public  Service Commission and
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission general responses to various
control  scenarios  are  presented.    The report  describes  the
structure and determination of utility rates in Maryland and the
types of utility expenses that can be recovered.

Results;

The Maryland study  raised the issue of whether a state-wide cap
should be set  only to  meet  federal  standards,  or  should  be set
below the federal standard to allow for future growth?  If a state
chooses  to  allow for  future growth,  how  should it  apportion
emissions reductions and enforce the reductions?

o    Utilities in the state are part of multi-state grids that
     share electricity.  They are continuously making implicit
     emissions trades by having power generated elsewhere for
     their clients or by generating power for transmission out of
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     state.  Maryland should allow interstate emissions trading
     of sulfur emissions.  This could be combined with a program
     controlling sulfur emissions from utilities by a least-cost
     dispatch approach with a long (annual)  or short term
     emissions cap.

o    Maryland should require a percentage reduction in allowable
     emissions for several or all source categories.  The
     affected facilities would decide how to meet the required
     percent reduction.  Alternatively,  the  allowable sulfur
     content of the fuel could be reduced.

o    Monies collected by the state under an  emissions market or
     fee option program could go to either the general fund, the
     air quality management and monitoring program, or be used to
     subsidize the installation and operation of additional
     emissions control to provide offsets for new or expanding
     sources.

o    In Maryland, electric rates consist of  two components:  rate
     base and fuel adjustment.  Fuel adjustment rate changes are
     easier and can be accomplished more quickly than rate base
     changes.

o    Some loss of efficiency in producing low-cost electricity
     would be expected (at least in Maryland)  from both a
     no-emissions-trading scenario and an emissions-trading-
     reduction scenario.  It is anticipated  that the increased
     costs from additional emissions reduction requirements could
     be recovered by utilities through increased rates.

o    Currently, transmission capacity rather than incentives and
     disincentives in the rate-making process is limiting
     environmental dispatch in the eastern United States.  This
                               24

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high usage of transmission capacity reduces the flexibility
of the system to engage in more extensive trading or in a
grid-wide emissions limitation.

An interstate commission may be a successful way of
enforcing a grid-wide emissions limit.  It would be
desirable to clearly delineate the enforcement
responsibilities of each participating member in such a
commission.
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State;     Maryland — Facility Cap

Study;     Description of the Emissions Cap at Westvaco
          Corporation's Luke Mill (Luke. Maryland) and Discussion
          of Possibly Extension of this Emissions Control
          Approach to Other Major Industrial Sources

Key Word;      Industrial Controls

Purpose;

This study  reviewed  what the State of  Maryland  has learned from
placing a sulfur  dioxide emissions cap on a pulp and paper mill
owned and operated by Westvaco Corporation in Luke, Maryland.  The
purpose of the emissions cap is to attain and maintain the sulfur
dioxide  national  ambient  air quality  standard  (NAAQS)   in  the
vicinity of the mill.  The cap is a variable tons per 3-hour block
average emissions limit based on percent plume buoyancy and a tons
per day block average  limit.   The  cap is  applied to the combined
sulfur dioxide emissions from two coal-fired boilers and one oil-
fired boiler vented through a common 600-foot stack.

Results;

o    An emissions cap can allow a source to achieve the sulfur
     dioxide NAAQS and can provide more flexibility by allowing
     greater fluctuations, or higher,  short-term emissions than
     could occur with an instantaneous emissions limit (e.g.,  a
     Ib/second limit).
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The Luke Mill can meet its emissions cap by varying its load
and/or fuel sulfur content.  Single or multiple sources may
also be able to meet the cap by varying their number of
operating hours per season or per year.

Compliance monitoring, periodic reporting, and rigorous
quality assurance become especially important with emissions
caps that can vary with operating hours, load, and/or have
seasonal or annual averaging times.

A short-term emissions cap may be used as a guideline for
attaining a seasonal or annual emissions cap.

To properly derive and implement an emissions cap, source
modeling may be needed to ensure attainment and maintenance
of the NAAQS and PSD increments.

A contingency plan, such as an available supply of low-
sulfur fuel, may also be needed to ensure compliance with an
emissions cap under all circumstances.

Non-utilities may be more suitable candidates for emissions
caps because they retain the flexibility to downscale
production guickly if necessary to maintain a cap.  If,
however, a cap with a season or annual averaging time is
used, rapid changes in production would less likely be
needed to maintain the cap.
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State;    Massachusetts — Planning

Study:    Development and Testing of Planning Approach to Acid
          Deposition Control

Key Words:     Fuel Switching; Energy Conservation; Planning
               Criteria; Constraints

Purpose;

This study focused on a number of major issues of concern to states
that will carry out  an  acid  rain program.   These issues included
how  to  plan  for and  organize  a program,  data  requirements,
identification  and  testing  of  criteria  to  evaluate  control
techniques and acid deposition control strategies, and alternative
acid deposition control strategies.   Five alternative strategies
were identified and evaluated: (1) cost-effective (absolute), (2)
cost-effective  (administration),  (3)  gas  substitution,  (4)  low
conservation/alternative    energy,     and    (5)    high
conservation/alternative energy.  The strategies were examined to
determine their effectiveness for four different levels of control:
(1)  26%   reduction,   (2)   26%   reduction   maintained   (during
implementation period), (3)  35%  reduction,  and (4)  35% reduction
maintained (during implementation period).

Results;

o    The conservation and•alternative energy strategies are
     superior to the other strategies,  while the gas substitution
     strategy comparatively performs very poorly.

o    No suitable alternatives to the state-federal State
     Implementation Planning (SIP)  planning process were found.
                               29

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Existing SIP requirements could be adapted if control
legislation passed with language that made emissions
reductions the functional equivalent of meeting the NAAQS.

The SIP process is cumbersome and lengthy but might be
improved by "parallel processing."  This would allow EPA
interaction in phases as the SIP is being developed rather
than the current method of serial processing.

The planning burden increases if two pollutants are
controlled rather than one.  The planning effort increases
as state flexibility increases.  The longer the overall
implementation time, the greater the prospects of
incorporating complex or innovative controls.

Individual state action can only partially protect state
resources because acid deposition is an interstate problem.

Emissions trading is essentially theoretical either because
of the practical problems of implementation or because
implementation is at an early stage.

Unlike existing air programs, which are driven by attaining
NAAQS, cost and socio-economic impacts may be legitimate
evaluation criteria.

Differences between most congressional bills affect state
reduction targets more than the direction and/or magnitude
of state planning efforts.  Other differences influence the
level of detail and/or comprehensiveness of planning efforts
but do not require fundamentally different planning
approaches.
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State:    Massachusetts — Trading

Study:    Emissions Trading within Acid Deposition Control

Key Words;     Emissions Trading; Regional Approach; Cost

Purpose;

The study  evaluated the use  of emissions trading  as  a possible
means  of  controlling acid  deposition precursor emissions.   The
study  examined differing approaches  to emissions trading program
structure and design, and estimates of resources needed to develop
and operate a program.  The study also contains interviews with New
England  air  agency directors  and  their experiences  with  and
attitudes toward emissions trading.

The study identifies and examines advantages and disadvantages of
emissions trading for stationary  sources.   Discussion of program
structure and design focused on:

     o    who can participate in an emissions reduction credit
          program
     o    what types of activities (plant shutdown, fuel
          switching) can be credited
     o    what type of baseline is necessary to develop an
          effective program
     o    what types of transfers should be allowed.

The study also examined criteria for evaluating emissions trading
program rules.  The criteria identified were:  pollution control,
administrative simplicity,  clear and simple rules,  inclusiveness,
and flexibility.
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The  study  also  identified  resources  needed  to  implement  an
emissions   trading   program   and   presented    findings   and
recommendations.

Results;

o    Although emissions trading offers potential  cost savings to
     the regulated community by providing regulatory flexibility,
     the administrative burden placed upon air agencies and the
     resource intensive nature of such a program  has led to
     divided opinion on the practicality of implementing
     emissions trading on the broad basis required.

o    The larger and less restricted the emissions trading market,
     the greater the potential cost savings.

o    Regulations are necessary (i.e., emissions trading must not
     cause NAAQS violations), and institutional barriers are
     inevitable (i.e., PUC rate regulatory treatment of emissions
     reduction credits).

o    Setting a proper trade baseline must require that reduction
     be both real and surplus, not merely fabricated on paper.

o    Prohibiting emissions reduction credits for  acid deposition
     control in non-attainment areas may accelerate attainment.
     While this may preclude some potentially cost-effective
     trades, the sacrifice may be worth making.

o    Emissions trading between non-proximate sources may change
     the spatial distribution of emissions.  Therefore,
     restrictions may need to be placed on trading between non-
     proximate sources.
                                32

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There are no direct legal barriers to interstate trading.
However, states' SIP rules vary, as do emissions inventories
and banking and trading rules.  To facilitate trading,
divergent state rules and regulations must be reconciled.

Experience with emissions trading programs to date indicates
that developing an emissions trading program requires more
resources than operating one.  Start-up costs have been
recovered, at least partially, through fees on program
participants.
                          33

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State:    Massachusetts — DEM

Study;    Dynamic Emissions Management for Acid Deposition
          Control

Key Words;     Rate versus Target; Maintaining Compliance

Purpose;

The  study focused  on the  information needed  to determine  the
compliance status of all regulated sources and Massachusetts as a
whole with possible  Federal acid rain legislation.  It specifically
emphasized the information  needed to  determine the  compliance
status of large point sources of SO2-

The  purpose  of  dynamic  emissions management  is to  track  and
maintain compliance with emissions control programs—particularly
programs that  are based upon relatively long averaging  times or
emissions  caps.     Dynamic  emissions  management  involves  the
following process:   emissions information is collected and reviewed
before the compliance periods projections are formally submitted;
the probability  of  achieving compliance without  taking  remedial
action is determined;  and,  if remedial action appears necessary to
avoid  non-compliance,  steps are taken  to  implement  remedial
actions.

Results;

o    Short compliance periods (monthly and possibly quarterly)
     may not allow adequate time to effectively implement the
     entire dynamic emissions management process within a given
     compliance period.
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Compliance periods of longer times (six months to a year)
provide greater opportunity for effectively implementing the
entire dynamic emissions management process and achieving
compliance within a given period.

If compliance periods are short, dynamic emissions
management would be facilitated if sources and regulators
agree in advance on what remedial actions will be taken if
determined necessary.

If an emissions level standard is adopted, no additional
crediting mechanism is needed to account for reductions due
to conservation or non-emitting energy.

If an emissions rate standard is adopted, some mechanism
will be needed to adjust the rate to credit conservation and
non-emitting energy.

Facilities complying with acid rain control regulations
through reduced-sulfur fuel only, require sampling and
analyses combined with fuel use information or continuous
emissions monitoring (CEM).

For sources using pollution control equipment such as
scrubbers (wet or dry)  or fluidized bed combustion, CEM is
the only proven method for providing the type and quantity
of S(>2 emissions information needed for acid deposition
control programs.
                           36

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State:    Massachusetts — Case Study

Study;    h Methodology for Evaluating Acid Rain Control
          Strategies —A Massachusetts Case Study

Key Words:     Fuel Switching,* Energy Conservation; Planning
               Criteria
Purpose;

The purpose of the study was  to develop and test a methodology for
evaluating  various state  emissions reduction  strategies.   The
methodology uses  five  evaluation  criteria  to test each strategy.
The five criteria  include:   average cost of control (dollars/ton
of  S(>2  removed) ;  secondary environmental  impacts   (other  air
pollutants,   liquid  and  solids  disposal,  etc.);   legal  and
institutional   impacts;   average   cost   to  utility   customers
(dollars/billing  period);  and fairness.   The criteria  was then
weighted  in  accordance with  the  relative  importance  of  each
criterion as determined by the State of Massachusetts program.

The methodology was  then  applied  to  five  different  strategies
(cost-effective at minimum cost; cost-effective at level of minimum
control; gas substitution; low conservation and alternative energy;
and high  conservation  and  alternative energy) at  four levels of
control (26% reduction; 26% reduction maintained through 1995; 35%
reduction; and 35% reduction maintained through 1995).   These are
the same strategies and  levels of control  which  were used in the
Massachusetts  —  Planning  study,   Development  and  Testing  of
Planning Approach to Acid Deposition Control.
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Results;
     The conservation and alternative energy strategies are
     superior to the other strategies, while the gas substitution
     strategy comparatively performs very poorly.

     Ivaluation criteria were chosen both for their interest to
     Massachusetts and their ability to be measured in some
     manner.  The criteria may not be the most appropriate for
     every state.

     Numerical weighting factors may be applied to selected
     criteria to establish rankings between different criteria.
     These weighting factors can be changed to suit the interests
     of any particular state.

     It is difficult to measure certain criteria with a single
     parameter.  Some criteria like "fairness" are essentially
     subjective.

     The methodology serves as a useful framework for:  (1)
     considering the relative merits of various control
     strategies through promoting their identification and
     discussion of the importance of different evaluation
     criteria, and the best means of measuring them; and (2)
     demonstrating both the relative merits of different
     strategies compared to one another as well as the
     performance of each strategy under the varying control
     stringencies of the -different scenarios.

     A "short-cut" approach to the methodology was tested in
     which only two of the five criteria were used.  Results
     indicated that the approach was not a viable alternative.
                               38

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State:    Massachusetts — Options

Study;    Evaluation of Options for Acid Deposition Control
          Program Regulation

Key Words:     Rate versus Target; Planning Criteria

Purpose;

The  project was  developed  to assist  air  program managers in
deciding  how  to  structure  acid  deposition control  regulatory
programs.  The project evaluates regulatory options established to
limit sulfur dioxide  (SO2) emissions.   The  following options are
evaluated:   emission  limitation  type  (options: emissions  cap,
emissions  rate,  hybrid)j  cap maintenance  provisions   (options:
offsets growth margins, hybrid) ; compliance time (options  for type:
never  to  exceed  limitations,  block average,   rolling  average;
options  for  length:    short,  long);   application  of  emissions
limitations to sources  (options: uniform across-the-board, uniform
by source category, non-uniform by individual  source)? and starting
date(s) after which regulations apply (options:  status quo until
1995, single interim reduction, annual interim reductions).

The study describes regulatory components, identifies options for
each, and lists advantages and disadvantages.  This information is
based on a literature search and discussions with state air program
managers, Massachusetts'  acid rain work group,  and  STAR program
participants.    The  study  then   identified  four  criteria  for
evaluating criteria (economic, environmental, administration, and
equity) selected during discussions with  Massachusetts' air program
managers.  Finally, the study evaluated each option  based upon a
literature review and  the opinions of a panel  of  five pollution
control specialists.
                                39

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Results;
     With respect to emissions limitation,  source emissions caps
     are favored environmentally.   Hybrids  — switching regulated
     sources from a rate to a cap if they choose alternative
     compliance strategies — are also favored environmentally.

     There does not seem to be consistent agreement on the
     economic, environmental, or administrative attributes of cap
     maintenance provisions (i.e., growth margins or offsets).

     With respect to compliance time,  short averaging times or
     never to exceed limitations are favored environmentally.
     Never to exceed limitations are also favored
     administratively if this would require that few sources be
     regulated without emissions trading.  Uniform limitation
     across-the-board would not be favored  economically,

     A single interim reduction or annually declining emissions
     requirements are favored environmentally.  Annual reductions
     are least favored economically.

     A regulation scenario using hybrid emissions limitations is
     favored over scenarios using source emissions rate or cap
     limitations exclusively when evaluated using an average of
     participants"  ratings.
                               40

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State;    Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments

Study;    Estimation of 1985 Area and Mobile Source Emissions of
          Sulfur Dioxide and Oxides of Nitrogen in the
          Washington. D.C. Metropolitan Area

Key Words:     Emissions Inventory? El Methodology Assessment

Purpose;

The purpose of this  study was  two-fold:  (1)  to make estimates of
1985 mobile and area source sulfur dioxide and oxides of nitrogen
emissions  for  the  Washington   metropolitan  region  utilizing
traditional and non-traditional methods;  and (2)  to document the
methods  used to  assess  their  utility  and practicability  for
application to other large metropolitan areas.

The study considered four  different approaches and eventually used
three approaches.  These  include  the Workbook/MOBILE 3 approach,
an  "Energy Balance/Combustion"  Approach, a  PEI/DOE  "Top  Down"
Energy Use/Combustion Approach, and a GCA/NAPAP Program Approach.
                               41

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Results;

                       SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

                     AREA AND MOBILE  SOURCE
        ESTIMATED 1985  (TONS/YR.)  EMISSIONS OF NOX AND SO2
Workbook
Mobile 3
Mobile
Source:
Other
Area:
NO-

84,767
17,403
SOo

3,544
4,749
Energy PEI/DOE
Balance Combustion
NOX

83,579
23,253
SOo NO

3,998 80,811
7,234 49,402
SO-i

3,026
22,420
Total:      102,170    8,293  106,832   11,232  130,213   25,446
                   ASSESSMENT OF METHODOLOGIES

                    EPA/Workbook   MWCOG     PEI/DOE   GCA/
     Criteria       MOBILE 3       En.Bal.   Combust.  NAPAP
Comprehensiveness:  High           High        High    High

Level of Effort
  Required:         High           Moderate    Low     Very High

Technical Exper-
  tise Required:    High           Moderate    Low     Moderate

Data Requirements:  Extensive      Moderate    Low     Extensive

Complexity of
  Application:      High           Moderate    Low     High
                                42

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For overall credibility, ease of application and economy of
effort (assuming agency familiarity with the use of the
MOBILE 3 Model), the EPA Workbook/MOBILE 3 modeling approach
is the methodology of choice.

For ease of application, internal consistency, and
flexibility in application to substate areas, the PEI/DOE
Combustion approach is, by far, the easiest to apply.

For transferability to other analytical purposes (e.g.,
local and regional energy consumption analysis) and
transparency of approach, the MWCOG Energy Balance method
provides apparently credible results with moderate levels of
input of staff time and expertise.

Because of the serious deficiency in availability of
documentation, the GCA/NAPAP methodology is by far, the most
difficult approach to apply.
                          43

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State;    Michigan

Study;    Emissions Inventory Verification Procedures

Key Word:      Emissions Inventory

Purpose;

Since the early 1970s, Michigan has conducted an annual inventory
for air emissions covering approximately 10,000 stationary sources.
Annual  inventory  updates are conducted  on about 4,000  of these
sources.  Approximately 3,000 of these  facilities were assessed an
annual surveillance fee.  The fee, which was discontinued in 1984,
was based in large part on the annual rate of emissions of various
pollutants.  The annual fee ranged from $55 to $16,000 per facility
per year.  Because the  fee was based upon the inventory information
collected, it was important that the information be accurate.  In
addition, it was necessary for the state to develop procedures for
verifying the emissions rates and resolving differences between the
facility owner and the state.  This project attempted to document
and describe the procedures that Michigan used to verify emissions
rates and determine whether they could be used by other states.

Results:

Four "key  elements  are most important  in  reviewing  and verifying
the emissions data.

o    Provide the source owner with the current inventory data at
     the same time updates or corrections as requested.
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o    Any corrections, additions,  or changes made by the source
     owner should be reviewed by agency personnel familiar with
     the source.

o    After the inventory data has been collected and emissions
     estimates have been made, screening programs should be
     utilized to identify those sources with emissions that fall
     outside accepted bands or are unusually large.  Each source
     identified in the screening process should be rechecked.

o    Source owners should be given the procedures to follow if
     they wish to question or correct data.

It was assumed that  the  fee  system would result in more accurate
emissions estimates.   This, however, was not necessarily the case.
While  the  fee  system  was  instrumental  in ensuring  that  the
regulatory  agency  and the source owner  agreed on  the  estimated
emissions rates, it  did not necessarily improve  the  accuracy of
those estimates.

The advantage of the  emissions inventory being tied to a fee system
is that all input data must be carefully scrutinized.   Therefore,
while the fee system does not necessarily guarantee the accuracy
in  emissions estimates, it  does tend  to  ensure that  there is
agreement on input data, methods of calculation, and verification
of the end results.
                               46

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State i    Midwest Research Institute
Study;    Review of Methodologies for Estimating Control Costs
          for Acid Rain Precursors

Key Words;     Control Modeling; Planning Criteria

Purpose;

This report summarized the results of a project to review available
methods for estimating the costs of measures to control emissions
of sulfur  dioxide  from utility burners.   The methods  that were
reviewed included models, procedures, or  other techniques developed
and used in  the  STAR projects,  plus those developed  by EPA,  the
Electric Power Research Institute,  or other prominent organizations
involved in estimating control costs for large utility sources.

Results;

o    The study brings together in  one document information on
     each cost estimating procedure or method.
                               47

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State:    Missouri

Studies;  Cost-Effectiveness Analyses of SC?2 Reduction
          Alternatives at 3 Missouri Lead Smelters and Cost-
          Effectiveness Analyses of 803 Reduction Alternatives at
          13 Selected Missouri Utility Power Plants

Key Words:     Fuel Switching? Scrubbers? Planning Criteria; Coal
               Cleaning? Industrial Controls? New Technologies

Purpose:

The Missouri studies examined  13 power plants and 3 primary lead
smelters  to  identify  cost-effective   sulfur  dioxide  emissions
reduction strategies.   The reports examine the site-specific costs
of S(>2 removal  at each facility.   One of the objectives  of the
study was to identify  factors  that  determine cost-effectiveness.
Another was  to develop a  standardized method of  assessing each
source  so that  other  states  may  utilize  the  procedure.   The
following strategies were considered:    flue  gas desulfurization
(scrubbing); fuel switching; fuel blending;  coal cleaning; least
emission dispatching?  coal gasification; limestone injection; and
fluidized bed combustion.   Only scrubbing and coal switching were
studied in detail.

Results;

o    Sulfur dioxide emissions in Missouri totaled 1.2 million
     tons in 1980.  This makes Missouri the fifth largest sulfur
     dioxide emitting state in the country.
                               49

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Of the power plants studied,  the average allowable sulfur dioxide
emissions rate is 6.2 pounds per million BTU.   The highest
allowable rate was 12.9 pounds per million BTU.

Over 90% of the sulfur dioxide emissions in Missouri are from
coal-fired power plants, and the 13 plants studied account for
95% of the utility emissions in the state.

The most cost-effective sulfur dioxide emissions strategies for
Missouri utilities are coal switching and forced oxidation wet
limestone fluidized gas desulfurization scrubbing.

Important information to consider in fuel switching is the cost
and characteristics of the coal available, transportation costs,
boiler design, and changes in particulate emissions caused by
changes in sulfur content, especially from electrostatic
precipitors.

Important considerations when examining the feasibility of flue
gas scrubbing at a particular plant are available space, sludge
disposal, coal characteristics, boiler size, and capacity
utilization.

The study applied two pre-selected sulfur dioxide control
techniques (coal switching and wet limestone scrubbing) to the
power plants and then determined on a plant-by-plant basis the
costs, expected emissions reductions, and cost-effectiveness.
Using this procedure, the project indicated that allowable sulfur
dioxide emissions could be reduced at the 13 power plants by
about 82%.
                             50

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The most cost-effective strategy for reducing sulfur dioxide
emissions at the lead smelters was increasing the use of the acid
plants already installed at two of the three facilities.  This
would result in annual emissions reduction of 17,200 tons per
year.
                             51

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State;    New Hampshire

Study;    Development of a Methodology to Evaluate Costs and
          Impacts ofAlternative Acid Rain Control Strategies in
          New Hampshire

Key Words;     Fuel Switching; Scrubbers; Cost; Planning
               Criteria; Rate versus Target; Constraints

Purpose;

In 1985, New Hampshire passed  its  Acid  Rain Control Act of 1985.
The act mandates emission reductions of at least 25% by 1991 from
1979-1982 baseline conditions.  The act also requires an additional
25% reduction by 1996 if a  national  acid rain control program is
enacted.  The New Hampshire  study evaluated the cost-effectiveness
of six proposed strategies to meet the initial 25% reduction.

Results;

o    According to the New Hampshire emissions inventory, the five
     largest sources in New Hampshire are power plants owned by
     Public Service of New Hampshire (PSNH).  These account for
     84% of the sulfur dioxide emissions in the state.  The next
     three largest emitters are the James River paper mills,
     which account for 9% of the emissions.  The remaining 7% are
     caused by 25 other major sources.

o    The least-cost solution would be to require fuel switching
     at three of the five New Hampshire  power plants — Merrimack
     (coal-fired),  Schiller (coal-fired), and Newington (oil-
     fired) .   The average cost would be  $459 per ton of sulfur
                               53

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     dioxide removed.  Scrubbing would be two to three times more
     expensive.

o    The next-lowest cost option was to require fuel switching at
     all major sources in New Hampshire.   This strategy would
     cost an average of $473 per ton of sulfur dioxide removed.

o    The New Hampshire study also examined the equity concerns of
     requiring all the S<>2 emissions to be incurred by Public
     Service of New Hampshire.  The New Hampshire law exempted
     the James River facility from the 25% reduction requirements
     because it had already reduced its emissions by 67.70% from
     a baseline year.  New Hampshire is considering having Public
     Service reduce its emissions and having small emitters
     reimburse the utility for their "share" of reduction
     responsibilities, thus equitably distributing emissions
     reduction costs.

The study examined difficulties  encountered by applying the state-
wide cap:

o    Commitments to NEPOOL foreclosed using facility retirement
     or conservation to meet emissions reduction requirements.
o    If the state-wide emissions total is near or at the cap,
     each time a new emitter wants to enter the state, existing
     sources may be forced to reduce emissions further using
     expensive controls, or the new source may be prevented from
     entering the state.
o    Because of its bond rating, Public Service of New Hampshire
     could not finance a major capital program like a flue
     desulfurization system in the foreseeable future.
                                54

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State;    New York — Strategy

Study;    Evaluation of Sulfur Dioxide Emissions Reduction
          Strategies from New York Utilities;  A Guide for Other
          States

Key Words;     Fuel Switching; Scrubbers; Cost? Emissions Control
               Modeling

Purpose;

The New York project studied  the  effects that federally mandated
emissions  restrictions could have  on  the  cost  and supply  of
electricity in the area.  A model was used to assess the economic
costs of emissions reductions by  New York utility sources of 30%
and 40%.  The model was designed to simulate the supply and demand
of electric power in the state on an annual basis and to assess the
effects of  different  sulfur-in-fuel  requirements on  the  cost of
electricity across the  state.  Expenses associated with compliance
were translated by the  model into  the electric rates to consumers.
Emissions reductions  were simulated to occur in 1995 with the
reduction calculated from 1985 levels.  The model considered three
alternatives to  meet  the emissions  reduction requirements—fuel
switching, installation of flue gas  desulfurization  systems, and
least emissions dispatch.

Results;

o    Five coal-fired facilities  were identified as sources where
     a 30% reduction could be attained.  Use of lower sulfur oil
     at a large facility provided the additional  reduction
     necessary to reach the 40%  reduction target.
                               55

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The 30% reduction could also be attained by purchasing
electricity outside the state at substantial cost.  This
resulted in a 44% increase (constant terms) in the cost to
consumers.  The impact on electricity rates from fuel
switching and flue gas desulfurization were considerably
less—between 1.8 and 3.5%.

Between 40% and 45% of New York electricity comes from
sources that produce sulfur dioxide emissions.  For states
that have few or no electricity generating sources that
generate emissions (i.e., hydroelectric), the resulting
increased costs will likely be greater.
                           56

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State;    New York — Emissions Inventory

Study;    Procedures for Estimating State-wide Sulfur Dioxide and
          Nitrogen Dioxide Air Emissions

Key Words;     Emissions Inventory

Purpose;

The purpose of the study was to  serve  as  a guide to other states
in developing fuel consumption data  for residential,  commercial,
and industrial  sources.    The  State of New York  is  used  as  an
example throughout.

Results;

o    Once the fuel consumption data has been developed and major
     point source fuel has been deleted, it can be used to
     estimate area fuel emissions.
                               57

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State:    North Carolina

Study;    Alternative Emissions Offset Programs

Key Words:     Emissions Trading; Planning Criteria

Purpose;

The  North Carolina  project examined  three distinct  components
needed to develop an acid deposition control program.  It developed
an emissions inventory, examined economical conventional approaches
to meeting  the  requirements of the Stafford bill,  and evaluated
alternative offset emissions credit trading strategies to reduce
emissions within the state.

The  strategies  for  alternative offset programs  studied included
ones  where the state  played   an  active  role  in  creating  and
brokering offset credits, and case-by-case programs where the state
played a  more passive  role.  Both state-wide  offset  trading and
trading limited to regions  within the  state were examined.   Also
considered were strategies allowing offset credit creation by all
sources,  by major sources only,  and by large sources only (greater
than 1,000 tons of sulfur dioxide per year).

Results;

Achieving the statutory  limits established in the  Stafford bill
could  create  economic  hardship in North Carolina.   The  study
determined that a statutory target of 1.5 Ib/MMBtu could put most
of the emissions reduction burden on industrial  boilers.  The study
also  determined that  an "accommodative  approach"  to  emissions
reduction must  be made to allow for future growth  in  the state.
                               59

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The  accommodative  approach  uses  the  SIP  process  to  require
reductions from emitting facilities.

o    The lowest-cost offset trading program is that which places
     the fewest restrictions on the number of sources that are
     allowed to participate in the program and creates credits
     for trading.  Constraints that limit the supply of credits
     by the size or location of the unit inhibit the matching of
     least-cost credits with the demand posed by new or expanded
     industry and drive up costs.

o    Programs based on state-brokered trade are generally less
     costly than programs based upon case-by-case trading (where
     the burden of negotiation costs limits the number of trading
     partners available to supply credits).

o    The extent of state involvement was greatest for brokered
     cases, where the state acts as both buyer and seller of the
     offset credits.  This function requires the state to
     establish an administrative apparatus to perform these
     duties.

o    Case-by-case offset trading where the state role is limited
     to revising permits involves little administrative cost.
                               60

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State;    Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management

Study:    Appropriate Emissions Control Techniques for the New
          England States

Key Words:     Cost? Dispatch; Regional Approaches; Emissions
               Control Modeling; Planning Criteria

Purpose:

The purpose of this project was to develop a regional analysis of
air quality emissions control alternatives and to develop tools to
allow  the  states  to  conduct  specific  analyses  of  promising
conventional  and  innovative emissions  control techniques.    A
regional economic  emissions  control model encompassing all major
sources was developed and tested.  The cost control techniques and
strategies were  based on the New England states  1982 emissions
inventory.

Results:

The study  analyzed nine stationary source control  techniques on
the basis of:  cost,  level  of control,  cost-effectiveness, level
of  confidence,  impact  on  existing  facilities,   and  retrofit
considerations.   In addition to  stationary source  control,  the
study examined fuel switching and mobile source controls.

o    An emissions cap on sulfur dioxide at 1982 levels in 1995
     would be least expensive for the states involved.  The
     approximate cost is $10 million above the cost of generating
     electricity to meet the region's expected 1995 demand.
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Maintaining both sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides
emissions at their 1982 levels combined with high growth
(3%) in the demand for electricity was the most expensive
scenario studied, costing $750 million above baseline.

Least emission dispatch presents a number of problems in New
England.  These problems include institutional problems in
enforcement and the fact that New England is facing a
potential shortage of electric generating capacity.

Although the model's applicability may be limited to the
Northeast states region, problems could be resolved that
would make it a useful tool for other states and the EPA.
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State ;     Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management

Study ;     Maintaining State Emissions
Key Words:     Rate versus Target; Deposition Modeling; Regional
               Approaches

Purpose ;

This project included representatives  from nine Northeast states
and two EPA Regional  Offices and began with the  premise that an
emissions reduction  standard is  likely  to be  instituted  at the
federal level.   This project examined the various forms that such
a standard could take,  including  an accommodative option,  offset
option,  average  emissions  rate  option,  and  using  deposition
modeling to develop a reduction or  maintenance program following
development of  the program options.  Air agency directors and their
staffs were interviewed about the advantages and disadvantages of
the different strategies.

The study analyzed the various emissions reduction standards from
the perspectives  of the  participating states.   In addition to
responding to the control options, the states addressed emissions
inventory development,  maintenance  of program  options,  resource
requirements,    interstate   trading   opportunities,  and  equity
considerations .
                               63

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Results;
     The accommodative option requires states to establish (or be
     given) and document an increment for emissions growth at
     some level set below the state-wide emissions cap,  which
     provides an available emissions allotment to accommodate
     future growth.

     The offset option would permit new sources or modifications
     to existing sources with no net increase of emissions.  The
     basic premise is always to require an equivalent offset for
     all emissions increases from a source.

     No state involved in the study preferred an emissions cap
     (in terms of tons per year) as a method of maintaining
     emissions because Northeast states felt that the average
     emissions rate approach could be implemented and enforced
     more easily than the accommodative or offset option.

     For states with low annual emissions, use of the average
     emissions rate option partially solves constraints to growth
     in emissions since this approach does not limit a single
     state's total emissions.

     With the exception of New York (where deposition modeling
     has already been used in response to state legislation), the
     states were interested in an approach based upon deposition
     modeling but believed that the current state-of-the-art
     models could not support such a program on a national or
     regional level.

     Northeast states expressed little confidence in their
     ability to develop a regional program with the exception of
     a multi-state, multi-company trading program.
                               64

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State:    Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management

Study;    Air Quality and Energy Conservation;  Cutting the Cost of
          Clean Air

Key Words;     Energy Conservation; Public Utility Commissions;
               Regional Approaches

Purpose;

The project focused on the relationship between energy conservation and
acid rain control  and examined the role that energy conservation can
play in reducing emissions.  NESCAUM organized a work group consisting
of staff from state air quality agencies,  energy offices, public utility
commissions, representatives from utilities, research organizations, and
public interest groups throughout the country.

Two workshops were held  in December 1987 and April  1988  for the work
group  to  discuss  air   quality   programs   and   barriers  to  energy
conservation programs.  The workshop  participants discussed the major
provisions  of  federal and state  acid  rain  legislation,  recommended
changes to that legislation to encourage energy conservation, developing
and  implementing least-cost  energy plans,  externalities  in  utility
planning, and managing successful conservation programs.

Results;

o    Energy conservation can play an effective and economical role in
     reducing emissions.
                                  65

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In contrast to energy conservation, conventional acid rain
control techniques do not produce as many environmental, socio-
economic, or business benefits.  In fact, they add to power
generation costs, do not stabilize demand or supply, and may
create undesirable secondary problems (i.e., scrubber wastes).
Passive programs, such as appliance efficiency standards, can
achieve significant long-term savings in electricity once
marketing to consumers has produced significant turnover in
appliances.
In the Midwest, which has excess generating capacity,
energy conservation may reduce the cost of complying
with acid rain legislation.  In contrast, the Northeast
states are facing a tight supply of electricity.  This
means that using conservation may result in postponing
new generating capacity, but may not result in
significant emissions reductions.
Public utility commissions are responsible for seeing
that the region's power needs are met.  This often
conflicts with reducing emissions.  Any departure from
the current mandate of least-cost planning may require
legislation, since consumers would be asked to pay for
benefits which arguably should be paid for by taxpayers.
The economic advantages of conservation become clear
when it is analyzed along with other energy supply
options as a part of least-cost planning.
Increasing dependency on cogeneration could result in a
large number of small emissions sources.  Air programs,
therefore, need to plan their programs resources
accordingly.
Conservation is more likely to play an effective role in
an acid rain control program that places an absolute
limit, or cap, on emissions rather than in a program
that measures compliance by emissions rates.
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Better tools and approaches for predicting emissions
reductions resulting from conservation will help
encourage its use as part of an acid rain program.
Conservation programs can be effective if planners
recognize that barriers exist and design programs that
surmount these barriers.
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State:     Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use
          Management

Study;     Education and Communication between the New England
          Air Quality Control Divisions and Public Utility
          Commission

Key Words;     Public Utility Commissions; Dispatch; Regional
               Approaches; Planning Criteria

Purpose;

Three workshops,  attended by  air,  energy PUCs,  and federal
agencies from seven Northeast states and Wisconsin, were held
to foster communication and cooperation between Northeast air
quality  control  agencies and public  utility  commissions.
Communication between these  agencies  is  often minimal,  which
limits their ability to  cooperate on issues of mutual concern.

Results;

The NESCAUM project provided participants  with an understanding
of the interrelationships between acid deposition control and
electricity capacity in the  New England  states.   Some of the
topics discussed in the workshops were:

o    Siting of new generating facilities;  How can PUC and
     air agency application reviewing processes be
     accommodated?  What criteria should be used when siting
     a facility?
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o    Energy Supply;  What are the constraints on the supply
     network?  What are the impacts of using load management?
     What information is necessary to make decisions?

o    Rate-making process;  When should front loading of costs
     for small generators be encouraged?  How will emissions
     reductions taken within a service area for benefits
     outside the territory be jointly reviewed?

Among the conclusions reached were:

o    New England does not have a great deal of flexibility in
     using environmental dispatch because of existing supply
     constraints.

o    State air quality control agencies and public utility
     commissions each have their own procedures for reviewing
     applications for new facilities.  These differences are
     based upon the fact that each agency has different goals
     in mind when reviewing applications.  Agencies must
     learn to accommodate both air quality goals and the
     demand for power in the region.

o    Facilities with an average emissions rate below 1.2
     pounds of sulfur dioxide per million BTU should not be
     included in developing the average emissions rate.
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State;    Ohio

Study;    Estimation of the Cost ofReducing Sulfur Dioxide
          Emissions in Ohio

Key Words;     Scrubbersi Coal Cleaning? Fuel Switching;
               Cost? Nox Reductions

Purpose;

The purpose of the Ohio study was to estimate more accurately
the costs associated with reducing  sulfur dioxide and nitrogen
oxide emissions from electric utility  boilers.   Past studies
may have overlooked several factors which led to underestimated
expenses of retrofit technologies.   The Ohio study focused on
five of the most representative of Ohio's 31 power plants.  The
study  examined  both  commercially  available  and  emerging
emissions technologies.

Results;

o    Emissions control costs may be considerably higher than
     previous studies have indicated.

o    Costs of flue gas desulfurization at  the five plants
     ranged from $573 per ton of sulfur dioxide removed to
     $2,192 per ton.

o    Physical coal cleaning was  generally  found to be more
     cost-effective than flue gas desulfurization,  but the
     amount of sulfur dioxide removal is limited.
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Coal substitution and blending was often found to be the
most cost-effective technique, but no fuel price premium
was assigned to this option.  Expected premiums, either
now or in the future, may make this option considerably
less attractive.

Emerging control technologies—which include indirect
spray drying, furnace sorbent injection, natural gas re-
burning, and selective catalytic reduction—were
generally found to be more cost-effective than
commercial technologies.  The amount of sulfur dioxide
reduction is, however, generally limited from 40% to
70%.
                         72

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State;    PEI Associates, Inc.

Study:    Issues Associated with the Expanded Use of CEMs for
          Potential Acid Rain Emissions Reduction Initiatives

Key Words;     Cost; Emissions Rate Limit; Emissions Cap

Purpose;

The use  of  continuous  emission monitors  (CEMs) to  measure
compliance  in an  acid  rain  control  program  is  frequently
mentioned  in various  legislative  approaches  to  acid  rain
control.  State air agencies  generally have  had little or no
experience with continuous emission monitoring to meet either
a total emissions  cap  or  an emissions rate limit.  The project
focused on identifying and seeking resolutions to some of the
uncertainties and  problems related  to expanded use of CEMs for
acid rain control  programs.

Results;
o    Currently,  the U.S.  lacks a well-defined national policy
     on the use of CEMs for checking compliance and
     enforcement.   Current policies are not uniform (i.e.,
     new and existing sources are subject to different
     standards and compliance requirements).   This is a sore
     point with many sources,  and many regard the agencies'
     policies as unfair.   In addition,  many agencies and
     sources believe that the current data requirements are
     redundant.  The EPA needs to formulate a policy that
     will reduce data  handling without compromising the
     quality.
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Much apprehension exists about the accuracy and quality
of data generated by CEM systems.  Some recent studies
carried out by the EPA, however, suggest that with
proper care and maintenance, CEM systems give fairly
reliable data.  More studies and field surveys of actual
operating CEM Systems may be required to establish the
performance capabilities.  The technology has been used
successfully abroad to verify continuous compliance.
Therefore, it is important to establish the quality of
U.S. instruments with those used abroad.

Although high capital and operating cost are valid
concerns, as the technology is further developed, these
costs could come down. In the long run, installing CEM
Systems may 1) reduce every quarter, 2) gain public and
agency good will for the company, 3) help the source to
reduce emissions and to operate the process optimally,
and 4) reduce the paperwork required to establish
compliance.

The way the program is currently envisioned there could
be an increased administrative load for both the air
agency and the emissions source.  By using telemetry,
however, the Agency can reduce the frequency at which
the sources have to file emissions reports, which would
reduce the paperwork and the official formalities.
Also, as the program develops, the Agency can use an
approach similar to that used in Germany, where the
amount of data that needs to be handled is considerably
reduced.
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State;    Pennsylvania

Study;    Pennsylvania STAR Project. Phase I — Data Base
          Refinement and Pennsylvania STAR Project,
          Phase II — Strategy Development

Key Words:     Emissions Inventory; Scrubbers; Cost;
               Industrial Controls; Constraints; CEM

Purpose;

The Pennsylvania project consisted of two phases.  In the first
stage,  various  emissions  inventories   for  the  state  were
compared.   The second phase examined how a  50% reduction in
sulfur dioxide emissions from 1985 levels could be achieved in
Pennsylvania.

Results;

o    Utilities generate the bulk of total Pennsylvania point
     source emissions for both sulfur dioxide (88%)  and
     oxides of nitrogen (84%).  Process emissions contribute
     only 5% for each pollutant.

o    Total sulfur dioxide emissions in Pennsylvania declined
     23% from 1980 to 1985.  Oxides of nitrogen emissions
     changed little over the same period.

o    CEM data for SC>2 was  compared to inventory  data and EIA
     data.  Generally, agreement was reasonable except that
     for scrubbed units, CEM data was greatly superior.
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o    A comparison of emissions by utility operators versus
     owners was made showing substantial changes in the
     distribution of emissions.

o    Applying BACT (scrubbers)  by size or least cost appears
     to be the most desirable sulfur dioxide allocation
     method for the utility sector in Pennsylvania,

o    Another option worthy of serious consideration is the
     application of a 1,2 Ibs SO2/MMBtu emission limit at the
     operator level.  Under this scheme, approximately 590
     thousand tons of S(>2 would be removed at a cost of $290
     million.  This plan has a cost-effectiveness of
     $490/ton.  This is the most equitable plan for all of
     the utility operators,

o    Dual alkali flue gas desulfurization systems were
     considered for uncontrolled industrial coal-fired
     boilers emitting over 100 tons per year of sulfur
     dioxide.  Costs were generally 2-3 times as much per ton
     as for utility emissions.   This demonstrates the
     ineffectiveness of controlling a large number of units,
     each having a relatively small reduction potential.

o    In Pennsylvania, most large industrial sources have the
     potential to reduce emissions by 50% to 90% with FGD
     systems.   Most emit less than 200 tons per year;
     therefore, achieving a reduction of even 30,000
     tons/year (2%) would require controlling over 100
     sources in six different industries.
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Caution must be  used in comparing the costs  from  this study
with the costs provided in similar studies.  Many factors enter
into the determination of the final costs such as the costing
method and the  levelization factor and  carrying charge rate
used.  The main  purpose  of  this  project  was  not to determine
the  specific  costs of reduction alternatives but  rather to
provide a basis for comparison among the alternatives.
                             77

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State;    South Coast Air Quality Management District

Study;    Development of a Photochemical Air Quality Model
          with Extensions to Calculate Aerosol Dynamics and
          Visibility (September 1987)

Key Word;      Deposition Modeling

Purpose;

California's South Coast Air  Quality Management District has
developed the Urban Airshed Model (UAM) for use in the Southern
California  area.   Although the  model  is  normally used to
predict ozone and NO2 formation, it can be extended to predict
PM^o  visibility,  and dry acid deposition as well.   The model
was extended and applied to  the Los Angeles area and evaluated
on August 8-9, 1984.  Extensive ozone,  NC>2, PM^o and visibility
monitoring data were collected.

Results;

o    Simulation results for ozone and NC>2 indicate  that the
     model performs fairly well in the treatment of gas-phase
     chemistry.

o    Aerosol concentration predictions are reasonable given
     the level of effort involved in developing the model and
     the paucity of measurements of aerosol concentrations.
     The uncertainties in aerosol measurement predictions
     imply a less stringent evaluation of model performance
     for PM]_Q.   The model also gives  better predictions of
     longer-term average (24-hour)  concentration of aerosols
     as compared to the shorter-term averages (8-hour).

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Although the model results are encouraging, additional
work is required to fully understand the model's
response to different meteorological and emissions
parameters.  In its present form, the model cannot be
used as a regulatory tool.

The extended UAM can be a usable application tool once
further refinements are made.  A field measurement
program in the South Coast Air Basin is collecting
meteorological and air quality data needed to further
develop air quality models such as the extended UAM.
The data for further model development will not be
available until 1988.

A major acid rain control program should consider the
interrelationships of various control strategies for
acid formation and other air quality control programs.
                         80

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          Tennessee
Study;    A Study of SC>2 Emissions Reduction for a
          Multi-state Utility

Key Words;     Cost; Rate versus Target? Planning Criteria?
               Fuel Switching; Scrubbers; Regional Approaches

Purpose;

The study examined the effectiveness, cost, and enforceability
of four alternative strategies—a systems cap, a state cap, a
plant cap, and a plant emissions rate limitation—for reducing
sulfur dioxide  emissions on  the Tennessee  Valley  Authority
(TVA) power system.  A systems cap strategy, which would impose
an upper  limit on the number  of  tons  the TVA power system as
a whole could emit, would allow TVA to  choose how the cap would
be met.   A  state cap strategy would impose  a limit on sulfur
dioxide emissions  that the TVA plants in each state could emit,
while a plant cap strategy would impose a similar upper limit
on each  plant.   A  plant emissions rate  limitation  strategy
would impose  a maximum  allowable emissions  rate  on  each TVA
plant, which would not exceed  its  tons-per-year cap.  For each
strategy, TVA analyzed ways to achieve  its  share  of  either a
5, 10, or 12 million ton national  reduction,  assuming that the
entire amount would  be achieved by  reducing  emissions  at
utility sources alone.
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Results;
     Annual costs for the 5 million ton reduction would range
     from $0 to $255 million.   The use of low-sulfur coal
     would be the predominant control method.   TVA's revenue
     requirements in 1995 would increase from 0 to 4.5%.

     Annual costs for the 10 million ton reduction would
     range from $335 million to $940 million.   Low-sulfur
     coal would be used extensively, but scrubber retrofits
     would also be required.  Increases in revenue
     requirements in 1995 would range from 8.1 to 20.3%.

     Annual costs for the 12 million ton reduction would
     range from $540 million to $1.23 billion.  Extensive
     scrubbing would be required.   Increases in 1995 revenue
     requirements would range from 12.4 to 26.4%.

     A plant emissions limitation strategy would result in
     much higher compliance costs.  The system cap strategy
     is the most cost-effective and would reduce costs 50% to
     100% more than the plant emissions limitation strategy.

     Compared to the air quality that could occur around TVA
     plants in 1995 if no acid rain control legislation is
     enacted, all of the reduction cases would result in
     overall air quality improvement.  The more inflexible
     strategies would usually result in a greater system-wide
     reduction and greater overall air quality improvement.
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Enforcement of emissions reduction under the plant
emissions limitation strategy would rely on the approach
already authorized by Section 110 of the Clean Air Act.

A systems cap strategy poses the additional requirement
of cooperation among states.
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State;    Vermont

Study;    Sensitivity to Alternative Maintenance Plan
          Provisions in a State with Low Emissions

Key Words;     Rate versus Target

Purpose;

Vermont  is a  small,  rural  state with  few  large  emissions
sources and a low emissions base.  The purpose of the Vermont
study  was  to  determine  whether  such  a  state  could  meet
emissions  reduction  standards  under  various  scenarios  of
economic development.

The study consisted of three phases.  The first phase involved
reviewing  existing inventories,  identifying and  correcting
deficiencies,  and compiling, in  compatible  form,  data on the
180 largest emissions sources in Vermont for the period of 1980
to  1984.   The second  phase projected  a number  of  possible
future emissions scenarios.   The third phase examined whether
the required emissions reductions  to  demonstrate  maintenance
could be achieved in sufficient quantity by Vermont.

The study considered two types of  emissions caps.   The first
is a total emissions cap where states cannot  exceed a specified
level of emissions in terms of tons per  year.   The  second is
an overall  emissions  rate limit,  which  would be defined in
terms of the amount of emissions per unit of production (i.e.,
Ibs per MMBtu).
                             85

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Results;
     The choice of base year'may determine whether or not an
     emissions tons target can be achieved.

     An emissions rate limit of 1.2 Ibs./MMBtu could be
     maintained by Vermont under all development scenarios by
     establishing a state-wide 1.0% sulfur-in-fuel
     regulation.

     Permitting any new, large emissions source would make it
     virtually impossible for Vermont to maintain an
     emissions tons target.

     The development of a regional emissions target would
     offer the possibility of interstate emissions offsets
     being available from the larger states in the region for
     use by the smaller states.  Such an offset would be a
     small percentage of a large state's total emissions and,
     therefore, could be politically feasible.

     Generally, it appears that the more sources included in
     the emissions target  (e.g., all point sources vs. only
     large point sources), the less difficult it is for a
     small state like Vermont to meet the target.

     From Vermont's perspective, it would be inequitable to
     impose a maintenance program on low SC>2 emitting states
     which would restrict their growth solely because the
     state had started from a very low baseline.
                              86

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The emissions rate limit in conjunction with regional
emissions targets may be the most equitable approach
from the perspective of small, rural states like Vermont
with few large emissions sources and a low emissions
base.
                        87

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State;    Western States Acid Rain Project

Study;    Final Report on the Western States Acid Rain
          (WESTAR) Project

Key Words;     Emissions Inventory; Deposition Modeling;
               Regional Approaches; Industrial Controls; NOX
               Reductions; Cost

Purpose;

The  project   was  a  two-phase,  multi-task   project  that
investigated acid rain issues in twelve states.

Results;

o    The 1985 NAPAP is probably the best available inventory
     of sources in the Western states.  It will not, however,
     reflect year-to-year variability that is unique to the
     West, and in many cases will be inaccurate and probably
     will not be available in a timely fashion.

o    Important criteria to consider in developing an acid
     deposition model for the West are the need to minimize
     cost, the complexity of the terrain,  and flexibility to
     handle visibility and ozone.  The models with the
     greatest potential of meeting the criteria are
     ERT/MESOPUFF-II and SAI/RIVAD.
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None of the sampling efforts planned or underway will
acquire all of the necessary data needed for conducting
receptor modeling in the West.   Coordination among the
sponsors is lacking, and most studies do not design
their sampling efforts with receptor modeling in mind.

Two issues that represent potentially significant
roadblocks to implementing an effective acid deposition
program are: (1) the current lack of data and tools to
evaluate source/receptor relationships, define
standards, and identify areas requiring protection from
acid deposition; and (2) the lack of a mechanism to
resolve interstate conflicts successfully.

The most cost-effective controls of sulfur dioxide of
20% or less can be obtained from industrial boilers.
Reductions greater than 20% would require extensive
control of smelters and some electric utility boilers.

The marginal cost of control for the 30% sulfur dioxide
reduction scenario is more than double the marginal cost
of the 20% reduction scenario.   The cost-effectiveness
of both sulfur dioxide and oxides of nitrogen controls
diminishes rapidly for reduction targets greater than
20%.

Oxides of nitrogen emissions are best obtained through
further control of utility boilers.  Tighter control of
oxides of nitrogen emissions from automobiles is also
economical if region-wide reductions greater than 20%
are required.
                        90

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A twelve state regional approach can achieve emissions
reduction targets for sulfur dioxide at significantly
less cost than a state-by-state approach.  A regional
approach would require legislation that would establish
regional reduction targets instead of state-specific
targets and would allow interstate emissions trading.
                        91

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State;    Wisconsin — Tri-State Study

Study;    Advanced Utilities Simulation Model

Key Words;     Regional Approaches; Fuel Switching; Cost;
               Plant Retirement; Emissions Control Modeling;
               Life Extension; Emissions Trading

Purpose;

Wisconsin  used  the  Advanced Utilities  Simulation Model  to
examine how a cost-effective sulfur dioxide emissions reduction
program  might  be  achieved  in  the  state.    The  study  also
considered whether  it might  be cost-effective to develop a
regional   air  emissions reduction  program  (which  would  also
include Minnesota and Michigan)  rather  than  a state  program.

Results;

o    A 50% reduction in 1995 in sulfur dioxide emissions
     could be achieved in Wisconsin by switching coal power
     plants to low-sulfur coals.

o    Marginal costs for sulfur dioxide control in Minnesota
     and  Michigan were less than in Wisconsin for certain
     units at the 50% state-wide reduction level.

o    Whether early retirement of power plants is an
     economically feasible strategy for emissions reduction
     depends upon the following: (1)  the level of excess
     generating capacity on the utility system; (2) whether
     the  facility is needed to maintain transmission  system
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stability; and (3) the cost for alternative emissions
reduction steps at the same facility.

Power plant life extension, which has become more
widespread as the cost of new power plants has risen,
affects emissions reductions in two ways: (1) older,
higher emitting plants may be in service longer than
originally anticipated, which affects forecasts of
future emissions levels; and (2) by including emissions
reduction steps in the course of a life extension
program, it is possible that reduction may be achieved
more inexpensively than if undertaken separately.

Emissions trading or leasing is a viable option for
utility systems with excess generating capacity.
Emissions reduction plans that impose source-specific
limitations, however, preclude environmental dispatch as
a compliance option.

State public utility commissions have a clear role in
overseeing emissions trading made by utilities that they
regulate.
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State;    Wisconsin — Public Service Commissions

Study;    STAR Report and the Potential Role of Public
          Service Commissions in Implementing National Acid
          Rain Control Policies

Key Words;     Public Utility Commissions? Emissions Trading;
               Cost; Energy Conservation; Environmental
               Dispatch

Purpose;

The Wisconsin Public Service Commission (PSC) report analyzed
the following means of reducing emissions from utility systems:
energy conservation; least emissions or environmental dispatch;
early plant  retirement;  bulk power purchases;  electric rate
design; and power plant life extension.   Potential roles that
could  be  played by   PUCs  in  implementing  and  monitoring
interstate emissions reduction agreements are discussed in the
report.  Historic interactions between  the Wisconsin PSC and
the Wisconsin Department of  Natural  Resources  (DNR)  on air
quality matters are reviewed.   Finally,  the Wisconsin DNR and
PSC jointly sponsored a  conference  on "The Potential Role of
Public Service Commissions (PSCs)  in Implementing National Acid
Rain Control Policies."
                             95

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Results:
     Depending upon the level of emissions reduction
     required, an energy conservation reduction strategy may
     substantially lower the cost to consumers of emissions
     reductions as well as the overall cost of providing
     energy services.

     The viability of early power plant retirement will vary
     with each specific situation.  In general, early
     retirement will be more economical for utility systems
     with considerable excess generating capacity and a few
     older plants with high SC>2 emissions reduction costs.

     Bulk power purchases may reasonably be considered as an
     emissions reduction measure where other clean-up options
     are costly and other utilities have capacity for sale.
     The overall impact on emissions of both utilities
     should, however,  be considered.  While the purchasing
     utility's emissions will decrease, the seller's will
     possibly increase.  If regulations vary among companies
     or among regions, the impact of using power purchases to
     reduce emissions in one area may result in increased
     emissions in another.  Those responsible for
     administering emissions reduction rules will need to
     consider possible regional impacts of power sales and
     purchases.

     The Wisconsin PSC and the Wisconsin DNR have a long
     history of cooperation.  This relationship has been
     formalized in a Cooperative Agreement.
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The Wisconsin DNR had established a 3.2 Ibs. SO2 per
million BTUs of heat input at each power plant.  The DNR
allowed utilities to request a variance if compliance
would result in an unreasonable hardship.  At DNR's
request, the PSC agreed to take on the responsibility of
advising DNR on the reasonableness of utility hardship
claims.  DNR retains the final responsibility for
granting or denying waiver requests.

Wisconsin recently adopted an emissions rate limit to be
in place by 1993.  It calls for a corporate-wide
emissions rate (utility by utility) of 1.2 pounds of SC>2
per million BTUs of heat input.  This would be averaged
on a corporate basis over all the fossil-fueled plants.
In addition, an overall SC>2 emissions target of 325,000
tons per year was included.  This was set as a target
rather than a cap to give utilities additional
flexibility.  However, since approaching the target
would lead to legislative and DNR review of the
utilities performance, it is believed that the utilities
would be leery of approaching the target.

Utilities maintain that emissions trading must be
allowed if acid rain control is to be conducted in a
reasonable, cost-effective manner.  Agencies, however,
are concerned about the effect that trading would have
on agency resources.

Although it appears that the current trend among policy-
makers is to remove any subsidy provision from acid rain
legislation, the concept is strongly supported by
Illinois, Ohio, and Indiana, all of which would incur
great cost to meet proposed limits.
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Many states and utilities are of the opinion that
reductions should be set in two of more phases to
provide more time to design and implement the means to
achieve mandated emissions reduction.  They believe that
clean coal technology cannot be in place on a commercial
scale by 1993.

Information on nitrogen oxide emissions is too
insufficient to include these emissions in acid rain
legislation.

Acid rain legislation will likely define the nature and
extent of communication and coordination between air
pollution control agencies and public utility
commissions.
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State;    Wisconsin — Model Program

Study:    Model State Acid Rain Control Program

Key Words;     Planning Criteria; Emissions Trading; Energy
               Conservation; Environmental Dispatch; Cost;
               Industrial Controls; Plant Retirement

Purpose;

The  goal  of Wisconsin's  model  program  was to  develop  a
management  plan that  would allow  state  decision-makers to
quickly implement an emissions  reduction program if mandated
by the federal government.  Because it is not known what form
such a program might take,  five  alternative control plans were
developed for electric  utilities and three  alternative control
plans were  prepared for industrial  sources.   Each  plan was
evaluated  according to  the following  criteria:    cost and
control  methods;   secondary  environmental   impacts;   legal
enforceability and compliance requirements; and socio-economic
impacts.

Results;

o    Regardless of the reduction level,  if the choice of
     control techniques is left to the states, then the
     opportunity to design cost-effective reduction
     strategies maximized.

o    The overall cost of meeting sulfur dioxide emissions
     reduction requirements could be lessened if emissions
     control requirements are integrated within the broader
     context of state-wide utility planning.
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Opportunities to lower the overall cost of meeting
state-wide emissions requirements may exist if trading
of emissions sources is allowed.

Conservation has the potential,  depending upon the
reduction level, of substantially lowering emissions
reduction costs to consumers as well as lowering the
overall costs of providing energy services.

Environmental dispatch can play a role in reducing the
cost of sulfur dioxide control in a state with excess
capacity.  As the reduction requirements become more
stringent, the value of this option lessens.

The disposal of solid waste could become a significant
problem in states where scrubbers are needed to meet the
reduction level.

In general, as an emissions reduction program becomes
more flexible, the legal enforceability and compliance
issues become more complex and time consuming.
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  State Acid Rain Program

Results of the State Survey
          Appendix B
         Office of Air and Radiation
   Office of Atmospheric and Indoor Air Programs
         Emerging Programs Staff

      U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
            401M Street, SW
           Washington, DC 20460
              March 1989

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                   Results of the State Survey

                                 on the

                    State Acid Rain Program
    On November 8, 1988, STAPPA/ALAPCO mailed fifty-nine surveys to state and
local air agencies and planning organizations to solicit their views on the usefulness of
the STAR Program. As of December 20,1988, a total of thirty-three responded; twenty-
four of these participated in the STAR Program and nine did not. First, the responses
of the non-participating States are summarized briefly; then responses of the partici-
pating States are summarized in more detail.

    Non-participating States generally indicated interest in STAR project results but
were almost eveiily divided on the question of whether they wanted to be involved in
future programs of this type. Many of the non-participants cited resource constraints
for "what if planning and indicated that regular Section 105 funding was falling short
on the permanent, high-priority areas.  On the question of whether States should
institutionalize on-going strategic planning, respondents were evenly divided. Some
indicated that current resources are inadequate to meet EPA's day-to-day require-
ments and would not permit contingency planning. Some believed such planning to be
a good idea. One indicated that this should be an EPA function. Even non-participating
States were familiar with STAR UPDATE memoranda from EPA and were interested
in the progress of the Program.

    The remaining twenty-four respondents participated either directly in the STAR
Program or indirectly through regional projects. Over 90% of the respondents indicated
a desire to be involved in another program like STAR, although several (even some
indicating interest) would be reluctant to participate because of shortage of financial
and staff resources. Several participating States and organizations exceeded initial
estimates of time and cost, and contributed some of their own funding to complete the
projects. Over 70% of respondents indicated that they were able to participate only
because the  Section 105 funding mechanism was used.  Almost a third of those
responding indicated difficulty participating in activities like STAR due to difficulty in

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accepting "one-time" funding.  The choice of Section 105 to fund STAR projects gave
some States the impression that STAR activities were "taking away" from funds that
would have been better spent on "base-line" programs required by the Clean Air Act.
This suggests that EPA might have done a better job emphasizing the supplemental
nature of the special Congressional appropriation.

     Three-quarters of the respondents indicated that EPA successfully maintained a
"policy-neutral" posture relative to the need for a control program;  but, only 50%
believed that maintaining this posture was useful. Some respondents believed that a
"policy-neutral" position restricts the flow of useful, constructive information to the
Congress, such that proposed legislation cannot incorporate important findings, thus
continuing the risk of "bad" legislation.  Additionally, this policy may inhibit State
enthusiasm because studies are undertaken without certainty that they will be useful.
Additional detail on  State responses may be found  in the closing section of this
summary.

     More than half of the respondents maintained an awareness of the STAR Program
through STAR UPDATE memoranda from EPA, participation in national workshops,
through STAPPA/ALAPCO, and through personal contacts with EPA staff and STAR
participants. Responding States were evenly divided in their opinions on the role of the
Regional Offices of EPA: a third believed the Regions played an important and effective
role; a third believed their role was only somewhat important and effective; and a third
believed that the Regional Offices were not important or effective.  Only about half of
the respondents indicated that other mechanisms (outside of STAR) were used to
prepare for a potential acid rain control program. Of these mechanisms, States most
frequently used meetings or conferences sponsored by environmental or citizen groups;
followed by an even split between:  in-state interagency meetings, State-sponsored
meetings or workshops, Regional Office meetings, industry-sponsored meetings, and
contractor studies initiated by EPA.

     Over 60% of respondents indicated that States should consider using a portion of
program resources to institutionalize on-going strategic planning to identify and assess
emerging issues and  future program needs. Of the dissenting third, resource con-
straints were cited as a primary reason for not undertaking such an effort. One State
indicated that any contingency planning effort has difficulty demonstrating a cost-
effective expenditure  of resources.

     In response to the  question of the importance placed by the State on the STAR
Program, States indicated that participation in the STAR Program was very important
for examining potential implementation issues, identifying data needed for program
implementation, identifying actual program benefits and costs, and improving inter-
state air pollution control program interactions. The STAR Program was moderately
important for improving the recognition of the diversity of source types, control costs,
impacts,  and regulatory processes among the States,  and  for identifying program
resource needs.

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Details of Response and Summary of State Comments

    Responses of participating States are summarized and tabulated in the same
sequence as the original questionnaire. Comments provided by States are included
without attribution. A blank copy of the questionnaire is included at the end of the
tabulation.
Knowledge of STAR Program

How familiar are you with the STAR projects and results? (Please check as
many answers as appropriate).

14  58%   I am knowledgeable of my own project.
15  63%   I am knowledgeable of projects in my general region.
 6  25%   I am generally knowledgeable of all STAR projects.
 2   8%   I am not knowledgeable but want to gain knowledge of the
           STAR results.

Based on your present knowledge, wouldyou wanttobe involved if other STAR-
like initiatives were developed by EPA and the States?

22  92%   Yes, my state would want to be involved again in other
           STAR-like programs.

            Comments:

            •     our state] benefited significantly from participating in the STAR project.
                 However, the resources devoted to its completion exceeded Section 105
                 funds allocated for that purpose. Although [we] continue to believe that
                 such projects are valuable, they also must compete with other more
                 immediate programs and legal obligations for inadequate resources.

            •     if time and resources permit.

 1   4%   Yes, my state was not involved but would want to be in future
           programs of this type.

 1   4%   No, my state would not want to participate in future one time
           programs like STAR.

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           Comments:
                 The reason that we would feel reluctant to participate in any future one-
                 time projects is not a bad reflection on STAR; we simply do not have,
                 because of funding (and staff) shortage, staff resources which can be
                 diverted any more for one-time limited-duration projects unless they are
                 "critical," even if funding is available to theoretically compensate for the
                 staff resources spent.
Program Management and Funding

How did you maintain an awareness of the STAR program? (Please check as
many answers as appropriate.)

14  58%   Through STAPPA/ALAPCO's Acid Rain Committee and general
           STAPPA/ALAPCO meetings and newsletters.

15  63%   Through participation in either or both STAR workshops.

 2   8%   Through STAR-TRAK (EPA's computer project tracking system).

17  71%   Through STAR UPDATE memorandums from EPA.

 6  25%   Through my EPA Regional Office.

13  54%   Through personal contact with individuals involved in the
           STAR projects.

 2   8%   Through other sources ~ Western States Acid Rain Project

Did the Regional Offices play an important and effective role in this program ?

 1  29%   XesJIow?

           Comments:

            •     periodic correspondence/communication.
            •     facilitated in the management of the project and the acquisition of outside
                 expertise.
            •     in negotiation of scope of work and project monitoring.

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                   Region I (not our Regional office) administered the projects in which we
                   participated and appeared to provide adequate contract/organizational
                   support.
                   helpful in review of project products and attended and participated in
                   meetings.
                   by assisting with the funding of STAR projects.
 7  29%   Somewhat. How and why not more?

            Comments:
                   mostly funding.
                   partially funded project coordinator, little policy lead involvement.
                   regional office tracked the project but did not review its content.
                   most important to quickly approve project with minimum realization of
                   efforts.
                   served to focus effort within the time schedule, yet allowed flexibility in
                   our state's STAR project.
8   33%    No. Why not?

            Comments:
                   [(comments summarized from lengthy comment) State was originally
                   enthusiastic about their project.  The Region advocated an EPA contractor
                   that the State did not want to use.  State "expended a tremendous amount
                   of resources" only to be frustrated and delayed by the Regional Office.
                   Project was cancelled.]
                   they were not involved in [our] project.
                   only provided contract oversight; new ground was being broken and EPA
                   Regional office had no experience.
                   the WESTAR project was managed by the Western States and not EPA.
                   little involvement because we did not ask for it.
                   regional offices did not (usually) attend WESTAR meetings.
                   not interested.
                   Region 10 played no role — acid rain low priority.
     8%    No response.

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In your opinion, did EPA maintain a "policy neutral" posture relative to the
need for an acid rain control program? Please give examples.

18   75%   Yes

            Comments:

             •     was willing to fund innovative regulatory reduction plans.
             »     there was no policy lead involvement from EPA.
             •     they kept denying that there was any policy implications.
             •     STAR project discussions rarely if ever addressed appropriateness of a
                   control program.
             •     EPA was not involved with our project.
             •     workshop presentations were "policy neutral."
             «     open-mindedness and exploration of topics from various perspectives by
                   David Bassett.
             •     EPA placed restrictions, however, in the scope of our project (i.e., no
                   source attribution work).
             •     but, I think it was generally a waste of time on EPA's part.
             •     did not preclude analysis of alternatives that would support a given
                   posture, based on our state project.
                   EPA staffed WESTAR; meetings were "facts" oriented.

 4   17%

            Comments:

             »     there were conflicts between regional offices and headquarters as to what
                   areas were responsible for the alleged acid rain problems.
             •     Region 1 felt there should be an acid rain program.
             »     EPA had at that time no acid rain policy — it was difficult to change their
                   postures to support efforts.
             •     they emphasized the need for time to complete NAPAP projects.

 2    8%   No response

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46941        Understanding implementation time frames.
17%  25%  38%  17%  4%

96711        Identifying actual control program benefits
38%  25%  29%  4%   4%      and costs.

94731        Improving interstate air pollution control
38%  17%  29%  12%  4%      program interactions.

7     11    5     0     1        Improving the recognition of the diversity of
29%  46%  21%        4%      source types, control costs, impacts, and
                                 regulatory processes among the States.

48912        Providing a national focus for the discussion
17%  33%  38%  4%    8%     of acid deposition issues and concerns.

1      0    0     4     19       No benefits resulted.
4%               17%  79%

1     0     0     1     22       My state did not participate.
4%               4%   92%
Should States consider using a small part of their program resources to in-
stitutionalize on-going strategic planning to indentify and assess emerging
issues and future program needs? Why or why not?

15   63%   Yes

           Comments:

            •     helps reduce crisis management although limited funding makes this
                  difficult.
            •     a regional association like WESTAR is needed to discuss issues associated
                  with regional air pollution.
            •     long term funding will decrease if States do not stay on the "point" for
                  emerging issues.
            •     very important to constantly look ahead; prepare background for new
                  issues ~ CO2, stratospheric ozone.
            •     because the agency will need to respond to these issues regardless, it is
                  better to prepare (plan) ahead of time.
            •     it is cost-effective to work together, but choose a better project than acid
                  rain.
            •     we do this already to keep from being taken by surprise.  We cannot
                  always do something about it, but we are able to prepare as best as
                  possible.

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10
                      planning increases the chances of program success.
                      I consider that part of the role of air quality agencies.
                      several of the West's most important air quality problems are regional in
                      scope and must be approached from an interstate basis. Coordination of
                      other program areas is enhanced.
                      State acid rain control projects may have a major impact on future
                      development of the State.
                      the State programs are on the front lines so to speak.  They become aware
                      of emerging issues which are not sensed on a national level so readily.
                      This should not preclude national EPA leadership.
                      it's more efficient to identify potential problems and plan for their
                      resolution (prevention) than to react after the fact.
   Should States consider using a small part of their program resources to in-
   stitutionalize on-going strategic planning to indentify and assess emerging
   issues and future program needs? why or why not?  (Question repeated for
   clarity)

   8    33%   No

               Comments:

                •      it takes all of existing resources to maintain the core programs.  There are
                      no equitable trade-offs that have been identified.
                •      low priority; controls from existing programs also control acid
                      precipitation.
                •      resources are too limited and most issues require focused, national
                      attention. Periodically, issues such as acid rain may justify this type of
                      effort.
                •      insufficient funding available.
                •      it is already being done. There is no need to make it a grant commitment.
                •      funds are already spread too thin.
                •      even though this should be done, the shortage of funding means that even
                      some "critical" projects are not funded, much less something like this that
                      is never seen as critical at the moment.
                •      it is too difficult to keep funds and to show resources are cost effective.
                      Also, issues/programs change too quickly.

    1    4%   No response

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                                                                          11
What other mechanisms outside of the STAR program, have you used for
within-state, multi-state, or state/federal interaction in preparing for a
potential acid rain control program? How useful were they (3 - very useful,
2 - moderately useful, 1 - somewhat useful, 0 - not useful)?

a     2    1     0_     no resp.
57309      Within-State interagency meetings
21%  29% 12%        38%

6     4    1     1     12     State sponsored workshops or meetings with
25%  17% 4%   4%   50%   other States.

3     6    3     2     10     Regional EPA sponsored meetings with States.
12%  25% 12%  8%   42%

2     3    4     3     12     EPA originated contractor studies.
8%   12% 17%  12%  50%

2     4    3     2     13     Industry sponsored meetings or conferences.
8%   17% 12%  8%   54%

1     8    1     1     13     Environmental or citizen group sponsored
 4%   33% 4%   4%   54%   meetings or conferences.

1100     22     Other.
4%   4%               92%
             Comments:

                 interagency analysis of proposed acid rain legislation.
                 reports from industry and environmental groups.
                 WESTAR has been the only mechanism. APCA technical papers/journals
                 have been source of research info, but not control program analysis.

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12
   GENERAL COMMENTS

             [our state] was an active participant in the WESTAR group.  We found the interaction
             with air quality officials from other Western States to be beneficial.  EPA needs to
             fund additional work on a regional level. WESTAR needs to be continued and to
             receive EPA funds to sponsor research and monitoring of importance to the West on
             various air quality issues: acid deposition, visibility degradation, and smoke
             management.

      •      The Western States STAR project was very productive in terms of positioning the
             West for future policy decisions. However, it does not appear that the findings of the
             study will be used for this purpose.  EPA needs to give attention to ensuring that the
             results of such studies will have more than a shelf life.

      •      Resources, financial and manpower, were very limited given the magnitude of the
             research tasks. Personnel assigned to the STAR project were drawn from non-air
             pollution control operations and thus true STAR project costs to the  State are
             substantially greater than program funding indicates.

             There continues to be a deficiency in the formulation of policy options that reflect the
             acid deposition reduction requirements to protect sensitive water bodies. Even within
             New England it seems each State will be proceeding in its own initiatives. A greater
             coordination of efforts will be required in working out a national program.

      •      In retrospect, programs such as STAR should focus on a more narrow range of issues.
             An executive summary with bullet-like information should be distributed to
             succinctly identify program's key findings.  To justify several million dollars
             investment, state and federal policymakers, legislators, and others who may have
             impact on language in federal legislation must be provided brief, understandable key
             points which can be championed.

      •      Because the topic was "new" in terms of regulations and there were  a number of
             different approaches being considered in Congress, the STAR projects considered a
             large number of implementation issues.  It would be easier to focus on the really
             important issues if the number were reduced.

      •      I believe the WESTAR organization is a valuable forum to solve Western problems,
             but I do not perceive acid rain to be a major Western problem.  Some problems which
             I believe are important center around PMIO and CO SIP development, valley
             stagnation modeling, and permit review.

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With as many things going on in air pollution control as there is, [we] have not been
able to justify spending time on evaluating acid rain legislation regarding impacts on
our electric and smelter industry. The STAR study was and is useful to us as it
provides insight into the problems and cost of SO2 control that we would not have
otherwise had.

I hope that when acid rain legislation goes through, the Congress will have realized
the need for funding state and local agency efforts to implement the acid rain bill.

We participated in the WESTAR project.  Aside from the acid deposition work of the
group, we found that WESTAR provided an important forum for discussion of
regional issues; development of Western positions on air issues (as a Western
NESCAUM) and exchange of views on a variety of program topics.  As you know,
the Western states would like to continue the association to deal with regional haze,
PM -10, ozone, and slash burning.

I hope that EPA will seriously consider other STAR-like project funding in the future.
It has been very useful to us.

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