EPA-230/1-74-037 AUGUST, 1974 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED EFFLUENT GUIDELINES THE PRESSED AND BLOWN GLASS INDUSTRY QUANTITY U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY Office of Planning and Evaluation Washington, D.C. 20460 ------- EPA-230/1-74-037 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED EFFLUENT GUIDELINES - THE PRESSED & BLOWN GLASS INDUSTRY August 1974 Contract No. 68-01-1541 Office of Planning and Evaluation Environmental Protection Agency Washington, D.C. 20460 ------- This report has been reviewed by the Office of Planning and Evaluation, EPA, and approved for publication. Approval does not signify that the contents necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Environmental Protection Agency, nor does mention of trade names or commercial products constitute en- dorsement or recommendation for use. ------- PREFACE The attached document is a contractor's study prepared for the Office of Planning and Evaluation of the Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA"). The purpose of the study is to analyze the economic impact which could result from the application of alternative effluent limitation guidelines and standards of performance to be established under sections 304 (b) and 306 of the Federal Water Pollution Control Act, as amended. The study supplements the technical study ("EPA Development Document") supporting the issuance of proposed regulations under sections 304(b) and 306. The Development Document surveys existing and potential waste treatment control methods and technology within particular industrial source categories and supports proposal of certain effluent limitation guidelines and standards of performance based upon an analysis of the faasibility of these guidelines and standards in accordance with the requirements of sections 304(b) and 306 of the Act. Presented in the Development Document are the investment and operating costs associated with various alternative control and treatment technologies. The attached document supplements this analysis by estimating the broader economic effects which might result from the required application of various control methods and technologies. This study investigates the effect of alternative approaches in terms of product price increases, effects upon employment and the continued viability of affected plants, effects upon foreign trade and other competitive effects. The study has been prepared with the supervision and review of the Office of Planning and Evaluation of EPA. This report was submitted in fulfillment of Contract No. 68-01-1541, Task Order No. 19 by Arthur D. Little, Inc. Work was completed as of August, 1974. This report is being released and circulated at approximately the same time as publication in the Federal Register of a notice of proposed -rule making under sections 304(b) and 306 of the Act for the subject point source category. The study if not an official EPA publication. It will be considered along with the information contained in the Development Document and any comments received by EPA on either document before or during proposed rule making proceedings necessary to establish final regulations. Prior to final promulgation of regulations, the. accompanying study shall have standing in any EPA proceeding or court proceeding only to the extent that it represents the views of the contractor who studied the subject industry. It cannot be cited, referenced, or represented in any respect in any such proceeding as a statement of EPA's views regarding the subject industry. ------- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY A. Purpose The purpose of this study is to analyze the economic impact of the cost of pollution abatement requirements under the Federal water pollution control amendments of 1972 for selected glass products included in SIC codes 3221 and 3229. In particular the following subcategories were initially selected for review: Glass Containers SIC 3221 Machine-made Household Glassware SIC 322912 Handmade Household Glassware SIC 322913 Electric Lightbulb Blanks SIC 3229225 TV Tube Blanks SIC 3229235 B. Methodology The initial portion of our study basically consisted of an in-house analysis. To complete this part, we: Initially reviewed our own background on the five subcategories included above; Collected and analyzed up-to-date government data such as that published by the Bureau of the Census; Reviewed appropriate directories and trade publications which concerned themselves with these segments; Studied annual reports and other financial information which is available on those firms active in these segments and; Made a general literature search on the companies and the appropriate industries. To confirm and supplement this information, we personally contacted some of the associations which represent the subcategories. We also received and analyzed some printed information sent by these associations. The one exception to this approach was the hand-pressed and blown glass- wares subcategory. In this case, a review of published information, the literature and company data did not reveal enough about the character, ------- structure, and profitability of the industry. Therefore, we found it necessary to conduct a series of interviews with firms active in this business in order to obtain a realistic picture of its characteristics. Since no company was willing to divulge private financial data, the general character of the industry was obtained by synthesizing information supplied by a number of producers. Upon completion of the first portion of the study, we summarized the results and analyzed the initial financial impact of pollution control guidelines proposed by the Environmental Protection Agency. The investment and cost information was supplied by the subcontractor, SVERDRUP & PARCEL Associates (S&P). We compared the data prepared by S&P with our own experience and believe it to be reasonably representative. Upon the completion of the initial analysis, we selected two subcategories, namely, hand-pressed and blown glassware and machine-pressed and blown glassware, for further study. As these two potentially could be adversely impacted by the proposed guidelines. In our subsequent work, we analyzed in more detail the impact of the proposed pollution control guidelines on these industries considering such factors as price effects, profitability, capital availability. We estimated how changes in these could result in potential plant closures and subsequent loss of employment, pause an adverse impact on the community, contribute to an unfavorable tirade balance and perhaps result in other adverse impacts. To accomplish this, we discussed the financial analysis in detail with important companies in these two segments and obtained from them concurrence of our results. In some instances, we were supplied supplementary financial information. An additional unpublished telephone survey covering the hand-pressed and blown subcategory provided additional data on which to base estimates of potential plant closings and resultant unemployment. With this as the basis, we then determined, based on our own judgment of profitability goals, market conditions and management philosophy; what the ultimate impact will be when the proposed guidelines are put into effect. C. Summary , 1. Results of the First Part of the Study. Table 1 summarizes the results of the initial analysis. In that table, the five industry subcategories are analyzed to determine the effect of the proposed effluent guidelines based on the best practical technology (BPT), and the best available technology (BAT). In this analysis, four important factors were considered, including two financial ratios (the amount of additional capital to meet these guidelines as a percent of the replacement value of fixed assets and the operating costs as a per- cent of annual sales) and two qualitative evaluations of the ------- characteristics of the subcategories (the level of competition from other materials or from imports, and the ability of the industry to raise capital). Table 1 forms the basis for selecting subcategories for more detailed study as to what may be the impact resulting from the implementing of the proposed water effluent guidelines. In reviewing this table, it is apparent that only the hand-pressed and blown glassware could be adversely affected based on the two financial ratios described above. The amount of investment needed for this industry to meet guidelines based on both BPT and BAT represents a substantial portion of investment in equivalent new plant; that is 19% and 24.7% respectively. In addition, this is a competitive industry with limited possibilities of raising capital principally because the firms are small and privately owned. The selection of a second subcategory for inclusion in the final part of this study presented more difficulty and required judgments based more on qualitative factors. Considering the two financial ratios used in the table, there is little to choose between the other four subcategories. Capital requirements as a percent of plant investment ranges from 2.4% for machine-pressed and blown glassware down to as low as 0.8% for TV tube blanks. Operating costs as a percent of annual sales is even less significant ranging from a high of 1% for incandescent lamps to as low as 0.2% for TV tube blanks. Therefore, the choice of the second segment, machine-made household glassware, was not based on the financial ratios but on the characteristics of the industry as summarized in the final two columns of Table 1. We believe that incandescent light bulb blanks will not be impacted as this is a relatively non-competitive industry and the possibility of substitution by other materials is very low. Capital is readily available as these products are manufactured by large corporations with ample capital. Glass containers caused some concern because it is an extremely competitive market even though the segment has the capital to make the necessary alterations in plant. However, after reviewing the situation for other competitive materials particularly plastic, aluminum, and steel, we concluded that those industries will be impacted as much or perhaps considerably more than glass containers by new effluent guidelines and by air pollution requirements. Therefore, we did not feel that glass containers would suffer any disadvantage by the proposed effluent guideline regulations. The television picture tube blank industry, although not fully developed in our initial work, is also shown in Table 1 for sake of comparison. For this industry segment, capital and operating costs to meet .the proposed BAT levels, are small in comparison to plant investment and sales, and the relatively low level of market competition and good capital availability also support the decision not to analyze this segment further at this time. ------- TABLE I ESTIMATED WATER POLLUTION' CONTROL IMPACT ON Ul SEGMENTS OF THE PRESSED AND BLOWS CLASS INDUSTRY INDUSTRY GLASS CONTAINERS TELEVISION PICTURE TUBES " INCANDESCENT LAMPS MACHINE PRESSED AND BLOWN GLASSWARES V HAND PRESSED AND . BLOWN GLASSWARES TYPICAL Day Production (tons) 500 250 175 100 5 , PLANT Sales $MM/₯R 18 35 30 15 3 DESCRIPTION Investment 5 MM 18 30 35 9 1.5 POLLUTION CONTROL COSTS Level BAT BPT BAT BPT BAT BPT BAT BPT BAT BPT Capital 312 0 231 0 697 470 214 0 371 284 Annual Operating THOUSAND $ 67 0 68 0 300 240 53 0 72 55 POLLUTION CONTROL COSTS Capital as I of Operating Plant Investment 1.7 0 0.8 0 2.0 '1.3 2.4 0 24.7 19.0 of Annual 0.4 0 0.2 0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0 2.4 1.8 INDUSTRY CHARACTER as I Market Capital S«les Competition HIGH LOW LOW HIGH HIGH Availability HIGH HIGH HIGH MEDIUM LOU Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates. Pollution Control Costs determined by SVERDRUP & PARCEL ASSOCIATES* ------- 2. Conclusions of Phase II. a. Machine-made Household Glassware The proposed effluent guidelines at the BPT level have been estimated by the guidelines contractor to involve no operating costs nor investment for the typical plant in this segment. Therefore, no economic impact is anticipated. At the BAT level, the impact on this industry should be minor, and is summarized as follows: Price Effect; In order to maintain dollar profit levels by offsetting the increased costs of water pollution control, price increases of about 0.4% would be required. We anticipate this small increase could be made without any loss of sales. Financial Effect: The typical plant in this industry could obtain the funds required to make the investment in water pollution control equipment. Plant Closures; None would be expected as a direct result of the implementation of the recommended BPT or BAT guidelines. Employment Effect; Slower employment growth than might otherwise be expected, but no major unemployment problems are anticipated. Community Effects; No effects. Balance of Payments Effect; The implementation of these guide- lines is not expected to have a significant impact on the balance of payments of the United States. b. Handmade Household Glassware If the proposed effluent guidelines, either at the BPT or BAT level, are imposed on this industry, we believe that a substantial impact will be felt by the industry. This impact can be summarized as follows; Plant Closures; 6-8 plants including 3-4 of the large plants could be expected to close. This could reduce production capacity by 15 - 20%. Price Effect; Depending on plant size, increases of from 1.5 - 2.5% would be required to pass the annual operating cost of the pollution control equipment necessary to meet the proposed BAT control levels on to the consumer. These increases could probably be passed on to consumers by the large companies (where the required increase is smaller), ------- but could not be fully recovered by the smaller firms. Price Effect: Depending on plant size, increases of from 1.5 - 2.5% would be required to pass the annual operating cost of the pollution control equipment necessary to meet the proposed BAT control levels on to the consumer. These increases could probably be passed on to consumers by the large companies (where the required increase is smaller), but could not be fully recovered by the smaller firms. Financial Effect; The capital costs for meeting the proposed guidelines would be extremely severe for the smaller firms in this segment. These are largely privately owned and not accustomed to spending large sums on expansion or modernization. We believe that if the industry is required to make the projected investment, which could amount to one year's cash flow for a large firm and nearly two years' cash flow for a small firm in this industry segment, several firms would choose to close down. Employment Effect; Twenty percent of total persons employed (approximately 1,200) could lose their jobs due to plant closures. 60 - 70% of these people could probably find jobs of equal income within a reasonable distance from their homes. Others, because of a rural location or because of special skills, would have a difficult time. Community Effect: Most of the unemployment would be taking place in the northwestern part of West Virginia and the surrounding counties of Ohio and Pennsylvania. This area is industrialized enough so that the total employment within this region will not be substantially decreased. Balance of Payments Effect! Because the industry is a small one, U.S. balance of payments will be adversely affected by only about $13 million annually. Other Effects; The decline of this segment projected here will seriously hurt the hand-blown glass industry, one of the more important handicraft industries in the United States today. D. Limits of Analysis In order to place the conclusions in proper perspective, it is important to recognize that a great many assumptions and approximations had to be employed. While this causes a certain amount of error in the final data, we believe that the order-of-magnitude difference are such that the conclusions are fully valid. Our concern with limits of analysis involve only the market, economic and total investment considerations. We are not prepared to comment on the reliability of the pollution control operating cost nor capital requirements except to say that some industry spokesmen particularly in the machine pressed and blown glassware feel that the estimates are below what will actually be experienced. ------- We have assumed in glass containers that an average sales price of about 6(? per pound can be realized. This is typical of large volume container applications such as soft drink and beer bottles in the early part of 1974. Based on some gross engineering work done for other purposes, we believe that a sales to investment ratio or about 1:1 is typical of this industry. There is no appropriate way of obtaining sales figures for incandescent lamp blanks at this time. Most of these represent interplant transfers within the same corporation where an artificial transfer price may be established. We have assumed that the price of incandescent lamp blanks will be about 30% higher than television picture tubes on a per-pound basis but that high investment in automatic equipment will result in a sales to investment ratio of slightly below 1. The sales and investment ratio for machine pressed and blown glassware as seen in Table 1 are much more precise than in the above three cases. This represents information especially prepared by important members of the industry. We believe it is current and reflects the present industry situation. The information for hand-pressed and blown glassware was derived slightly differently. The industry spokesmen indicate that a sales to investment ratio of about 2:1 is typical particularly for a plant with considerable decorating and etching. A plant which merely produces glass items with little finishing would have a lower sales to investment ratio. It is difficult to equate sales to tons in this industry as most companies do not keep accurate records of production on a tonnage basis and the variation can be very large depending on how much the glass item is decorated after forming. Thus, there is some difficulty in applying work done by S&P which was all based on a tonnage basis to our analysis which was done using sales and investment ratios. Nevertheless, we believe that data presented in Table 1 is a good approximation of the situation although the ratios presented vary by as much as plus or minus 20%. Variations within this range would not change the conclusions stated in this report. ------- INDUSTRY ANALYSIS Because of the large number of subgroups within the pressed and blown segment of the glass manufacturing industry, an initial discussion was held among the EPA representatives, the Guidelines Contractor, and the Economic Impact Contractor to limit the Economic Impact study to five subcategories. At that time, the Guidelines Contractor had not devel- oped a significant amount of information as to the relative degree to which water pollution problems exist in the various industry subgroups. Consequently, the five categories initially selected were picked on the basis of their size, particular business or financial problems believed to exist, and pollution control problems anticipated from the then avail- able knowledge of the various industries. The subcategories selected for analysis were: 1. Glass Containers, SIC Codes 32210-1,2,3 2. Consumer Glasswares, Machinemade 322912 3. Hand Pressed and Blown Glasswares 322913 4. Electric Light Bulb Blanks 3229225 5. Television Tube Blanks 3229235 The principle criteria for selection varied considerably for each seg- ment. Glass container manufacturing, although not believed to be a major contribution to water pollution, is a large industry embracing large and small companies. In addition, severe competition exists both within the industry and from other materials. The machinemade consumer glassware segment is also quite competitive, has a range of company sizes, and was believed to have more serious potential pollution problems than the container industry. The handmade glass segment was chosen on the basis of its small average plant size and limited capability for raising capital. The light bulb blank manufacturing industry was selected be- cause of its extensive use of acids for etching; television tube blanks because of potential pollution from chemicals used for secondary treat- ment. A. Glass Container Industry 1. Industry Size The glass container industry in the United States is a large industry, employing over 70,000 persons and producing products valued at over 2 billion dollars in 1972. Total employment is three times the size of the flat glass industry, and value-of-shipments are nearly four times the size of that industry. Industry shipments, exports, imports, and apparent consumption are shown in Table 2. In terms of unit shipments (which closely approximate industry production), the glass container industry has exhibited modest growth in the past sev- eral years, increasing from 253,198,000 gross in 1969 to 266,620 gross ------- TABLE 2 SHIPMENTS. IMPORTS, EXPORTS AND APPARENT CONSUMPTION Year 1969 1970 1971 1972 Change from (1969-72) Total Shipments 1,636,685 1,830,213 1,922,723 2,055,686 +25.6 Avg. Annual Growth Rate +7.9% GLASS Exports 16,292 15,079 15,173 14,982 -7.9 -3.0% CONTAINERS (000$) Imports 5,853 5,631 6,700 9,274 +58.5 +16.6% Apparent Consumption 1,626,246 1,820,765 1,914,250 2,049,960 +26.1 8.0% Imports , % of Consumption 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 Source: United States Department of Commerce 10 ------- in 1972, for an average annual growth rate of 1.8 percent. The dollar volume, however, has increased considerably more rapidly, as the value per gross increased from $6.08 in 1969 to $7.71 in 1972. Total dollar- value of shipments increased by 33.3 percent, or 10 percent per year during this three year period. A trend toward larger containers helps explain this change and is discussed below. There are approximately 30 firms in the glass container manufacturing in- dustry operating a total of about 130 plants. Of these, however, the eight largest firms account for two-thirds of the plant locations, and about 78 percent of total industry shipments. The significant firms in this segment and the number of plants they have are shown in Table 3. Glass container manufacturing plants are spread throughout the country to service the requirements of regional customers. While there are plants in virtually every area, they tend to be concentrated in the East, North, Central, Pacific, and Middle Atlantic states nearer population centers. 2. Products The glass container industry produces a wide variety of products, ranging from perfume bottles to five-gallon water bottles and large carboys. Three types of glass containers, however, account for the bulk of those produced. These three products are nonreturnable soft drink bottles, non-returnable beer bottles, food bottles, and jars. Combined, these represented almost 75 percent of all glass containers shipped in 1972. A breakdown by markets for container shipments can be found in Table 4. Change in shipments from 1967 to 1972 for each end use is summarized in Table 5. For the past several years, nonreturnable soft drink bottles have con- stituted the fastest growing segment of the glass container industry, growing at an average annual rate of nearly 30 percent in the last half of the 1960's. This type of container grew from 4 percent of the total of glass container shipments in 1965 (on a unit basis) to 23 percent in 1972. The rapid growth of this product, however, appears to be receeding as the nonreturnable bottle has reached a mature stage in its life cycle. Returnable beverage bottles, the main product displaced by the nonreturn- ables, seem to have reached a point where further declines will be slow. Metal cans, the other major packaging used for soft drinks, will probably show small increases in market share. Today, nonreturnable glass bever- age containers have about 28 percent of the market, cans have about 35 percent, and returnable bottles about 37 percent. In beer packaging, metal cans have been growing rapidly at the expense of glass. From a market share of 58 percent (including both returnable and nonreturnable) in 1965, glass usage has dropped to about 40 percent of total beer packaging requirements, and a further erosion is anticipated. 11 ------- TABLE 3 GLASS CONTAINER MANUFACTURERS Cony any Anchor Hocking Arkansas Glass Container Ball Corporation Bartlett Collins Corp. Brockway Glass Co. Castle-Hanson (Seneca Food Corp.) Chattanooga Glass Co. Columbia Glass Co. Columbine Glass Co. Diamond Glass Gallo Glass Co. Glass Container Corp. Glenshaw Glass Hillsboro Glass Industrial Glass Co. (Troplcana) Kerr Glass Mfg. Co. Latchford Glass Indian Head Liberty Glass Lincoln Container Co. Metro Glass Div., (Kraftco Corp.) Midland Glass Co. National Bottle Co. National Can Co. Owens-Illinois Thatcher Glass Underwood Glass Wheaton Glass Others not identified Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc. * Estimate No. of Plants 9 1 4 1 14 1 6 1 1 1 1 14 2 1 1 10 1 7 1 1 4 3 4 3 20 7 1 o* Major Products General line, also tableware General line General line Private mold, also tableware General line Food containers Beverage,food,cosmetics,beer Cosmetic, chemical, drugs Beer Cosmetic, drugs Wine bottles General line Jars, wide and narrow mouth Liquor Jars, narrow and wide mouth General line General line General line, wine Beverage, milk, juice Beer, liquor, private mold Flasks, jars, bottles Beer,food,chemicals,preserves Liquors, food, chemicals General line General line . Flasks,jars,jugs,narrow and wide mouth Flasks,jars,jugs,beverage, narrow and wide mouth General line 12 ------- TABLE 4 DOMESTIC SHIPMENTS OF GLASS CONTAINERS, 1972 Type (OOP gross) Food 82,574 Beverage, nonreturnable Beer, nonreturnable Medicinal & Health Liquor Beverage, returnable Toiletries and Cosmetics Wine Household & Industrial Beer, returnable Dairy Products 60,954 52,705 20,620 13,873 10,099 9,272 8,552 4,283 1,699 238 Percent of Total Units (M) 31.2 23.0 20.0 7.8 5.2 3.8 3.5 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 Value (000 $) 291,336 461,770 265,525 112,473 161,394 135,922 68,815 120,619 35,073 11,825 4,744 Percent of Value 17.5 27.7 15.9 6.7 9.7 8.1 4.1 7.2 2.1 0.7 0.3 264,869 100.0 1,669,496 100.0 Source: U. S. Dept. of Commerce M32 G (72)-13 ------- ' ' TABLE 5 GLASS CONTAINED SHIPMENTS BY TYPE Type Food Beverages, nonr Beer, nonreturnable Medicinal and Health Liquor Beverages, returnable Toiletries and Cc Wine Household and Inc Beer, returnable Dairy Products 1967 - 1972 (000 gross) 1972 82,574 irnable 60,954 e 52,705 .th 20,620 13,873 ible 10,099 imetics 9,272 8,552 istrial 4,283 1,699 238 1967 81,483 24,899 ' i 40,169 22,603 13,752 13,282 15,913 5,707 '5,664 4,332 958 ' Percent Change + 1.3 +144.8 + 31.2 - 8.8 t + 0.1 - 24.0 - 41.7 + 49.9 - 24.4 - 60.8 - 75.2 Source: U. S. Dept. of Commerce TOTAL 264,869 228,766 +15.8 14 ------- This is due to consumer preference for the non-breakable cans and the industry desire to take advantage or the ability of cans to be filled more rapidly than bottles. Glass food containers are the single largest category of glass containers, and are expected to remain so in the foreseeable future. The steady rise in food production, especially in prepared food products, will more than offset anticipated inroads of plastic containers in the food industry. Glass container use in the medicinal and health products, household and industrial items, toiletries and cosmetics, liquor, and dairy products, have been either stable or declining in recent years, as plastic con- tainers, aerosols and paper have taken all the growth in these markets. We therefore predict that total usage will remain stable. The glass container industry, aware of its competition from other pack- aging materials, has been highly concerned with product developments involving product cost, utility, and safety. Significant recent develop- ments have been the resealable twist-off cap for nonreturnable bottles, the development of composite plastic-glass bottles, and the chemical tempering of glass container surfaces for added strength. The resealable bottle cap has prompted a significant shift to larger size bottles in the soft drink market. 3. Manufacturing Process The manufacture of container glass differs only in degree and detail from other related glass products. Basically all glass manufacturing involves the high temperature conversion of raw material into a homogeneous melt and fabrication from that melt into useful articles. The basic raw materials are glass, sand, soda ash, limestone, and feldspar with minor additives for specific purposes such as coloring, etc. The process can be considered to consist of four or five principal steps: Raw material handling and mixing (batching) Melting and fining t Forming Annealing Inspection - packaging Raw materials are usually received in bulk except for minor additives and stored in segregated bins or silos until required. Batch weighing and mixing are by and large automatic in the large opera- tion of a container plant. Presently most weighing is done automatically and the operator error in batch composition is reduced to a minimum. 15 ------- Large mixers, either rotary or double cove, of 1000-3000 Ib capacity are used to insure uniform batch. In some cases up to 4 percent water is added to the batch mix to reduce segregation and dusting. The mixer dis- charges into unit containers from which the batch is automatically and continuously charged into the furnace through screw or pusher type feeders. In glass container manufacturing, continuous tanks are used to melt and fine (remove bubbles) the glass. The high production volume requires very high tonnage melting capacity. A glass tank that would have an output of 10-150 tons/day might be 20-50 ft long, 10-25 ft wide, and have a holding capacity of 50-300 tons of glass. The tank is divided into two sections: the melting chamber, and the working or fining chamber. Although temperature control of the molds is critical for producing uni- fqrm ware that meet specifications, all cooling is carried out by use of forced air rather than water. There are no secondary finishing operations in container manufacture and ware is inspected and packaged. 4. Marketing and Competition The glass container business is highly competitive, not only within the industry, but also between it and the manufacturers of containers from other materials. Since these products are commodities and are sold to businesses which are generally very price-conscious, price cutting is commonplace and profit margins are generally low. There are significant differences in the marketing characteristics for the various end uses. In the beer market, the nonreturnable bottle has become by far the most important glass container. Originally there was an attempt to standardize the nonreturnable beer bottle, but as time went on, beer producers insisted on containers which gave some measure of pro- duct identification. This variety of bottles are now used. The beer bottle market is highly concentrated with the major brewers increasing their dominance of the business at the expense of the local brewers. Metal cans have been increasing their market share in this segment of the container business at the expense of glass, partly because of the convenience and unbreakability of cans, partly because of the higher filling rates possible with cans, and partly because of the move by some brewers to install their own captive can-making facilities to save ship- ping costs. There are no glass bottle producing facilities owned by beer companies, probably because the investment required would be prohibitive. Glass containers are sold on the basis of long-term contracts between bottle producers and brewers, and bottles are shipped directly to the breweries by the manufacturers. Pricing is extremely critical in ob- taining contracts-, and there is no doubt that any increase in the prices of glass containers relative to metal cans would have a significant im- pact on this market over the long run. 16 ------- The soft drink market is like the beer market in many ways. Again, long term contracts are the typical. Because of the franchise system of bot- tlers , however, there are a much larger number of purchasers than in the beer business. For a major national soft drink company, bottle design and color will be specified from the corporate office, and certain bottle producers will have their products approved for purchase by the local bottlers of the particular brand. There is still a very substantial returnable bottle volume in soft drinks (see Tables 4 & 5), and it is concentrated in the more rural parts of the country. Bottlers using returnables reportedly often have long and well established relationships with certain glass bottle producers, and these producers rely heavily upon this business for continual support. The soft drink market for nonreturnable bottles has been the fastest grow- ing single market in recent years growing at between 7 percent and 8 per- cent annually, but has now leveled off. Future growth will probably be closer to 3 percent per year - one might well expect that an increasing amount of competition from metal cans will occur in this market as it has in the beer market. Thus far, no metal can product has been developed to compete with the large glass containers for soft drinks principally be- cause large glass containers now can be resealed. In food container business, glass bottles and jars are used primarily where the product is believed to be attractive looking and enhanced by being packed in a see-through container. Such items as fruits and fruit juices, condiments, jams, jellies, pickles, baby foods, and a few specialty vege- tables dominate the market. Most packers use sufficient quantities of containers to be serviced directly by the manufacturers. There are also wholesalers of glass containers which service small accounts. There are several glass container manufacturers which are owned by food companies, such as Metro Containers Division of Kraftco, Glass Containers Corporation of Norton Simon (formerly Hunt Foods), Industrial Glass Company of Tropi- cana Products, and Castle-Hanson Division of Seneca Foods. In the wine and liquor markets, the glass bottle has less competition from other materials than in virtually any other market. There are two glass container plants affiliated with wine companies: Gallo Glass Company and a joint venture between Indian Head and United Vintners called Madera Glass Company. Virtually all glass container companies manufacture wine or liquor bottles, and there is a high degree of competition within this market. The other major glass container markets, medicinal and health products, household and industrial products, toiletries and cosmetics, and dairy products have all been extremely hard hit by competition by plastics and metals (especially aerosols) in the past five years, and shipments of glass containers to htese markets have declined significantly. There are a large number of consumers in these markets, and distributors play a larger role than in the larger, more concentrated markets discussed above. 17 ------- 5. Industry Structure and Major Participants The glass container industry size in terms of companies (30-35) and num- ber of plants (about 130) was mentioned earlier, and a list of producers appeared in Table 3. A total of 28 companies, excluding subsidiaries, with 122 plants have been specifically identified. By size these are broken down as follows: No. of Total Companies Plants Firms with one location 13 13 Firms with two locations 2 4 Firms with three locations 2 6 Firms with four locations 3 12 Firms with five or more lo- cations 8 87 28 122 The other five to eight firms in this business produce small volumes of specialty glass containers, in plants where other glass products provide the bulk of the business. Nine large firms dominate this business. Each is described briefly below: Owens-Illinois With total annual sales in 1972 of $1.6 billion, this company is a major producer of glass containers, plastic and paper packaging, technical, electronic and consumer glassware, and paper and plastic consumer products. It operates 20 glass container plants in 14 states in the United States, and participates in a number of overseas operations. Its packaging group, of which the domestic glass container business is a part, provided the company with 62 percent of its sales in 1972. Brockway Glass Co. This company is primarily a producer of glass containers, although it also operates plastic container, paper box, and glass tableware plants. It had total sales of 236 million dollars in 1972. It operates 14 glass container plants in 11 states. Anchor-Hocking Glass containers constituted 66 percent of this firm's 1972 sales which $340 million dollars, with glass and plastic tableware, making up the bal- ance. It operates nine glass container plants in eight states. Indian Head, Inc. This former textile firm entered the glass container business in 1967 through acquisition, and proceeded to buy up three additional producers 18 ------- in the late 1960's, and also to enter two joint ventures. In 1972 glass containers manufactured at its seven plants represented about 45 percent of its total corporate sales of 513 million dollars, with specialty tex- tiles and fabricated metals representing the balance. It operates glass container plants in seven states. Chattanooga Glass Co. (Subsidiary of Dorsey Corp.) This firm operates six glass container plants in as many states. The parent company had sales in 1972 of 114 million dollars. It also produces highway trailers and plastic containers. Glass Container Corp. (Subsidiary of Norton-Simon Corp.) Operating a total of 14 glass container plants in nine states, the pack- aging arm of this company accounted for about 13 percent of its 1972 sales of 1.168 billion dollars. Kerr Glass Manufacturing Co. This company operates ten plants in eight states. It is closely held and does not report sales or earnings. Thatcher Glass (Division, Dart Industries, Inc.) The Thatcher Division was responsible for about 125 million dollars of Dart's 1972 sales of 888 million dollars. It operates seven plants in six states. Metro Containers (Division, Kraftco) Metro accounted for about 3 percent of Kraftco's 3 billion dollars in sales in 1972. It operates four plants in three states. There has been a significant expansion in the glass container industry in the past five years, as several new plants have come on stream and numerous expansions of existing plants have occurred. At the same time, a consolidation of the industry into fewer larger firms has occurred. Acquisitions and Mer- ger activity in this industry are shown in Table 6. 6. Financial Data Sales, net profits after taxes, and total assets for the eleven publicly owned companies in the glass container industry are shown in Table 7. Also shown are after-tax profits as percents of net sales and total assets, and the estimated share of total company sales attributable to the glass container business. Table 8 shows the rates of return (after tax income) on sales and assets for 1970 through 1972. 7. Industry Outlook The glass container business is an extremely competitive, mature industry. Growth in both volume and dollar value of shipments is expected to grow at rates significantly lower than GNP growth. From 1973 through 1980, glass container shipments of all types are expected to grow at rates of about 1 percent per year. Dollar values will grow by about 4 percent per year, partly due to shifts in product mix, and partly due to higher prices. 19 ------- TABLE 6 GLASS CONTAINER CONSOLIDATIONS Parent Anchor-Hocki ng Brockway Glass Indian Head, Inc. National Can Corp. Chattanooga Glass (Merged into Dorsey Corp., 1963) Glass Container Corp. (Owned by Norton- Simon Corp.) Thatcher Glass National Bottle Corp. Action Acquired Glass Grafters, Baltimore, Md., 1965 Acquired Phoenix Glass, Monaca, Pa., 1970 Acquired Hazel-Atlas Glass Division from Continental Can Corp. in 1964 Acquired Obear-Nestor Glass, 1967 Acquired Northwestern Glass, 1968 t Acquired Pierce Glass, 1968 Acquired Laurens Glass, 1968 Merged with Foster-Forbes Glass, 1970 Acquired Maryland Glass, 1968 Acquired Gulfport Glass, 1968 Acquired Keyper Glass, 1971 Acquired Knox Glass, 1954 Acquired Fairmount Glass, 1967 Merged into Rexall Drug, 1966; Rexall name changed to Dart Industries Combination of Star City Glass, Universal Glass Products, and Gaynor Glass Co. Sources: Moodys', Standard and Poor 20 ------- TABLE 7 GLASS CONTAINER MANUFACTURERS, Company Anchor-Hocking Ball Corp. Brockway Dart Industries (Thatcher Glass) Dorsey Corp. (Chattanooga Glass) Indian Head, Inc. Kraftco, Inc. (Metro Containers) Midland Glass National Can Norton-Simon, Inc. (Glass Container Corp.) Owens-Illinois 1972 Sales $000 340,278 173,361 235,904 888,116 114,296 513,647 3,196,789 69,356 475,655 1,168,803 1,636,295 Net Profits (After Tax) $000 20,739 7,794 14,576 53,364 4,232 8,299 88,335 2,582 14,087 50,487 64,579 Total Assets $000 236,159 122,987 181,164 975,800 76,754 311,601 1,245,193 29,389 298,205 899,817 1,497,914 of it (After x) As % Of iles Assets 6.1 4.5 6.2 6.0 3.7 1.6 2.8 3.7 3.0 4.3 8.8 6.3 8.0 5.5 5.5 2.7 7.1 8.8 4.7 5.6 rer tent Shares of Sales from Containers 66 90 90 14 N.A. 45 < 3 100 N.A. <10 3.9 4.3 40 Source: Moodys1 ------- TABLE 8 Company Anchor-Hocki ng Ball Corp. Brpckway Glass Dart Industries Dorsey Corp. Indian Head, Inc. Kraftco Midland Glass National Can Norton Simon Owens-Illinois FINANCIAL RETURN BY Net Sales 6 4 6 6 3 1 2 3 3 4 3 .1 .5 .2 .0 .7 .6 .8 .7 .0 .3 .9 1970 Income 1972 GLASS - 1972 (After CONTAINER Tax) as 1971 Assets Sales 8 6 8 5 5 2 7 8 4 5 4 .8 .3 .0 .5 .5 .7 .1 .8 .7 .6 .3 6 3 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 .1 .7 .4 .4 .5 .0 .1 .4 .0 .9 .0 FIRMS % of Sales and Assets 1970 Assets 8 5 8 5 6 4 7 7 4 5 .8 .8 .6 .4 .7 .5 .8 .9 .7 .3 4.3 Sales 6. N. 7. 5. 4. 3. 3. 3. 4. 3. 3. 5 A. 3 6 9 0 0 0 3 5 8 Assets 9 N 9 5 6 4 4 N 6 4 4 .5 .A. .8 .4 .9 .1 .1 .A. .5 .9 .0 Sources: Moodys1 and Arthur D. Little, Inc. ------- The glass container industry in the 1970's will continue to face extremely tough competition from other packaging media. In addition, competition between companies in this subcategory will continue to be strong. Costs of manufacture will be an extremely sensitive area for the producers in this industry. The costs of producing containers from plastics, metal, or paper will also be affected by upward pressures, including costs for pollution control. However, one must recognize that should the costs of manufacturing glass containers become out of line with cost of producing containers of other materials, this subcategory will decline in size, profitability, and employment. 8. Water Pollution Control Status In the glass container manufacturing industry, both in-plant and end-of- pipe method of water pollution control are currently employed. A number of plants have achieved low effluent levels with only in-plant methods, however, final treatment systems are not necessarily required. It has been reported by the Guideline Contractor that 70 percent of the 40 plants in this industry for which data is available are presently achieving effluent levels corresponding to those recommended as the Best Practicable Control Technology Currently Available. These effluent levels should be achievable by the remaining plants with a minimum of in-plant modification or end-of-pipe treatment. These would include improved spray collection of forming machine shop oil, or improved cleanup procedures. Recycle of shear spray, collection of oily runoff from forming machines, and use of non-liquid cleaners are steps which could be utilized by plants to improve water pollution control where neces- sary. B. Machinemade Household Glassware Consumer glassware covers products classified under SIC codes 322912 and 322913, the former specifically referring to machinemade products, and the latter to handmade products. Together these products are manufactured by approximately 60 companies in about 100 plants. Approximately ten of these plants manufacture both handmade and machinemade glass consumer items, and a significant number also produce specialty glass containers and glass lighting parts such as shades, reflectors, globes, chimneys, and other parts (not light bulbs or parts). While the handmade and machinemade consumer glassware industries are discussed separately below, the significant overlap between them should be kept in mind. Competition from imports is not an important factor for the machinemade consumer glassware industry even though imported glassware represents severe competition for handmade glass manufacturers. Import statistics do not separate imports of these products into handmade and machinemade items. However, the United States Tariff Commission, in a 1968 study of these industries, estimated that 95 percent of all consumer glassware im- ports (by value) are handmade. We still believe this to be true. /- 23 ------- Employment in the consumer glassware industry is also available only for the total, not handmade or machinemade separately, and amounted to about 17,000 in 1967. Probably 10,000-11,000 are employed in the machinemade subcategory. This number has been stable for the last six to seven years. 1. Industry Size Consumer machinemade glassware, SIC code 322912, includes tumblers, stem- ware, tableware, cookware, ovenware, kitchenware, and ornamental, decora- tive, novelty glassware, and smoker's accessories. These diverse products are made in a total of about 40-50 plants in the United States, many of which make a variety of these items. In addition, some make other glass products such as containers, lighting, and electronic glassware, or scientific glass products. Companies producing machinemade consumer glasswares are listed in Table-9. The industry in 1972 had shipments valued at $380 million. Of the total tableware and kitchen-type glassware accounted for $175 million or 46 percent, tumblers for $123 million or 32.3 percent, stemware for $33 mil- lion or 8.7 percent, and the various decorative items $49 million or 12.9 percent. The shipments and value of products of the machinemade consumer glassware industry have shown significant growth in the past several years. Between 1967 and 1972, the value of shipments for all products increased from $233 million to $380 million, or by 63 percent. This represents an annual growth of 10.3 percent per year in this period. Industry statistics for value of shipment, exports, imports, and apparent domestic consumption are shown in Table 10. 2. Products Shipments, value, and unit value of the subcategories of consumer glass- ware products for 1967 through 1972 are shown in Table 11. All of the products of this industry are items commonly used in homes and wherever food and beverages are prepared and consumed. They vary tremendously in size, shape, and color; but are generally similar in the manufacturing processes used. In tumblers and stemware, glass competes with plastics, pottery and paper. In tableware and kitchenware, glass competes with china, plastics, paper, metal, and wood in certain applications, while in ornamental and decora- tive products many materials can be considered competitive with glass. Within the major product breakdowns shown in Table 11, growth in recent years has been quite uniform. The increases in value of products shipped between 1967 and 1972 range from a low of 58.5 percent for tableware and cookware to a high of 68.9 percent for tumblers. In all cases, the value of shipments increased considerably faster than the quantity, as unit 24 ------- TABLE 9 MACHINEMADE CONSUMER GLASSWARE Company Anchor-Recking Bartlett-Collins Co. Brock Glass Brockway Glass E. 0. Brody Co. Canton Glass Co. Corning Glass Works Elite Company y Federal Glass Co. Fostoria Glass Co. Gillander Brothers Harvey Industries Indiana Glass Co. Jeannette Glass Johnson Glass and Plastics Owens-Illinois Peltner Glass Co. Ray-Lite Glass Co. Shelby Glass Co. Sinclair Glass Co. Victory Glass Co. Wheaton Glass Co. Unidentified companies No. of Plants 4 1 1 1 1 1 10 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 Comments Major container company Employs 400 Also handmade Maj or container company Also hand, employs 160 Many products, including scientific Employs 1,800 Also hand, employs 540 Employs 300 Also hand, employs 125 Also hand, employs 1,200 Employs 1,500 Also hand Major container company Also hand Mainly containers, employs 5,000 25- ------- TABLE 10 SHIPMENTS, EXPORTS IMPORTS, APPARENT CONSUMPTION MACHINEMADE CONSUMER Total Year Shi pments 1969 1970 1971 1972 % Change 274,661 268,749 326,291 380,794 + 38.6 Exports^ 20,663 21 ,608 24,776 29,512 + 42.5 (000$) Imports* 2,319 2,576 2,625 (e) 4,148 + 78.9 GLASSWARES Apparent Consumption 256,317 249,717 304,140 355,430 + 38.7 Imports, as % of Consumption 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.2 Avg.Annual Growth Rate +11.5 + 12.4 + 21,0 11.5 Includes value of product at port of shipment, plus calculated import duty into U.S.A. Imports of machinemade product are assumed to be 5% of total consumer glassware as per U.S. Tariff Commission Report, TC Publication 257, 1968. (e) Estimate 26 ------- TABLE 11 MACHINEMADE CONSUMER GLASSWARE Product/Year Tumblers 1967 1969 1971 1972 % Change, 1967-72 Stemware 1967 1969 1971 1972 % Change, 19672 Tableware 1967 1969 1971 1972 % Change, 1967-72 Ornamental and Other 1967 1969 1971 1972 % Change, 1967-72 PRODUCT Shipments (000 doz) 67,920 75,078 82,469 82,034 + 20.8 8,125 9,443 9,191 10,274 + 26.4 (000 pcs) 340,688 343,552 395,884 430,650 + 26.4 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. ANALYSIS Value (oooTT 72,848 88,508 108,448 123,014 + 68.9 20,208 24,122 27,171 33,529 + 65.9 110,683 126,090 151,914 175,484 + 58.5 29,715 35,941 38,758 48,767 + 64.1 Unit Value ~{ir 1.07 1.17 1.31 1.50 + 40.2 2.49 2.55 2.96 3.26 + 30.9 0,32 0.36 0.38 0.41 + 28.1 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. No. of Establishments (1967) 21 8 30 - 40 23 Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce MA-32-E Series 27 ------- prices increased by between 30 percent and 40 percent for the various products of this industry in the five-year period. 3. Manufacturing Process The manufacturing of machinemade glass tableware is quite similar to the container process described in the last section. The tank output for a machinemade ware plant may vary considerably from 2 to 100 tons per day. Tanks may be 6-50 ft long and 4-25 ft wide and have capacity from 3 to 250 tons. Production volumes are not as large as the container industry and more downtime due to product mix are the rule. However, the tank serves the same purpose of converting the raw material into a workable melt of silica-based glass, free from homogeneities and bubbles. The forming of tableware is basically a pressing or a press and blow operation. Pressing is the operation of forming glassware by pressure between a mold and a plunger. Limitations on size are the total pressure available and the article depth to diameter ratio (1/2) and a diameter to wall thickness ratio of 100/1. Most pressed ware is no greater than 12" diameter and weighs less than 35 Ibs. Pressing pressures are of the order of 80-120 psi. Hollow ware and stemware can be produced at high rates (10-60/min) on press and blow machines normally used in the United States. The speed of pressing is largely determined by the time required under pressure to set up the glass. Most presses are simple table operations having 6, 8, 10, 12 or 16 stations. In many pressing operations, mold dopes or lubricants are used to prevent sticking of the glass to the cast iron mold. These lubricants are gener- ally a mixture of graphite and hydrocarbons of some type. The lubricant builds up a carbonaceous layer on the mold that prevents oxidation of the metal and provides less glass adherence. Overspray and excess lubricant may be the source of water pollution. Glass tableware is processed through an annealing cycle to reduce and prevent external strains due to the thermal gradient during forming. Machinemade tableware does not generally receive any secondary finishing. Special handling, such as grinding off sharp corners, etc., may be done with limited production but normally the only operations after forming is inspection and packing. 4. Marketing and Competition Consumer glasswares are sold through various distribution channels to households, restaurants, hotels, hospitals, and other end users. Sales are often made directly to large purchasers, and household sales are 28 ------- primarily through department stores, gift shops, discount stores and even drug stores. The larger manufacturers carry huge inventories of finished products in company-owned warehouses. In the institutional market, price competition between glass manufacturers is very important, product design less so. In the household market, pro- duct design and decoration are key factors in the competitive position obtained by a manufacturer. Machinemade glass consumer products face some competition from non-glass products. However, this competition is not as intense as in the container market. There is no material truly competitive to glass in the tumbler and stemware markets in the institutional side of the business. While plastic and paper cups are a factor in the household market, they are generally considered as disposable products and not directly competitive with glass. In the tableware and cookware markets, glass products com- pete with non-glass products primarily on the basis of product design. Small price changes for glass items, even relative to metal, pottery, or other materials, are unlikely to severely impact consumption of these glass products. The decorative glass products and smokers accessories markets are ptoobably the least price-sensitive of any of those in the industry segment, as these products generally do not face direct product- for-product competition from items made from other materials; design and consumer taste determine their sales levels. 5. Industry Structure and Major Participants Of the thirty or so companies engaged in the manufacture of machinemade consumer glassware, several of the more important are also major factors in the glass container industry, and several others are sizeable companies which are basically limited to glassware production. The balance of the companies in this industry are quite small, with employment of 200 or less, and are also involved in hand production. The bulk of the production of machinemade glass consumer is by the large firms, with Anchor-Hocking Corp., believed to be the leader. Libbey Division of Owens-Illinois, Federal Glass Co., Division of Federal Paper- board Co., Jeannette Glass Co., Brockway Corporation (since acquiring the glassware operations of Continental Can Corporation in 1972) , and Corning Glass Works, are the other leading companies in the machinemade consumer glasswares industry. 6. Financial Data Because this industry is basically made up of operating units of diversi- fied glass and packaging firms, and smaller, non-publicly held companies, financial details including the profitability and investment in this business are not generally available from public sources. A financial description of a typical plant has been developed, however, and is dis- cussed in the section on Impact Analysis. 29 ------- Only one firm, which is primarily a manufacturer of machinemade glassware, is publicly held, the Jeannette Corporation of Jeannette, Pennsylvania. This company's earnings were at a record $1.2 million on sales of $26.3 million in 1970 and dropped sharply in 1971 to $473 thousand on sales of $27.8 million. In 1972 the firm earned $521 thousand on sales of $33.5 million, and for 1973 expected to earn $1.1 million on sales of nearly $0 million dollars. While the glassware industry experienced a weak year in 1971, Jeannette"s problems in 1972 were reportedly the result of internal problems which caused low profits in spite of a strong market for its products. Comments by Owens-Illinois and Anchor-Hocking, the two largest glassware companies, indicated 1972 was an excellent year and 1973 was also strong. No finan- cial details for these operations are provided separately, however. The financial model of the typical 100 ton per day plant producing machine- made pressed and blown wares shows a net profit (after tax) of 5.5 percent of net sales, and 7 percent of total assets. This model was developed through the assistance of one of the companies in this industry. 7. Industry Outlook The outlook for machinemade consumer glassware is for continued growth in shipments about in line with GNP growth, and a more rapid increase in value as increasing costs of energy and labor are reflected in selling prices. Due to the relatively low unit value of these products, the adequate capacity existing in the United States and the bulkiness and fragility they exhibit, imports are not expected to become a significant factor in this business in the near future. While the industry has been and will continue to be sensitive to general economic conditions and strong intercompany competition, it is less susceptable to competition from other materials (metals, plastics, paper) than is the container in- dustry. 8. Water Pollution Control Status Pollutants from a plant producing machinemade pressed and blown consumer glassware are the same as in the glass container industry. The Guidelines Contractor reports that the recommended Best Practicable Control Technology Currently Available effluent guidelines for suspended solids are currently being met by three of nine plants for which data are available and those for oil are being met by four of six plants. The BPT effluent levels reportedly can be met by the remaining plants with a minimum of in-plant modifications or final treatment. 30 ------- C. Handmade Household Glassware 1. Industry Size Handmade consumer glassware, covered by SIC code 333913, includes stem- ware, tumblers, tableware, and ornamental and decorative-type glass items made of glass manufactured in the same establishment. The shipments of these products by domestic manufacturers amounted to $87 million in 1972. A sizeable, but unidentifiable portion of this figure, however, represents shipments of both handmade and machine-made partially fabricated products. The three identifiable product categories, handmade tumblers, stemware, and tableware, accounted for $36.8 million of this total, with the remainder being a combination of lamp parts, handmade novelty and decorative products and the internal shipments mentioned above. The total shipments, exports, imports, and apparent consumption of hand- made glass items are shown in Table 12 for the years 1969 through 1972. In the three-year period, the value of shipments grew by 40.4%, while the value of imports grew by 78.7%, and the total domestic apparent consumption increased 56.5%. The handmade consumer glassware industry is made up of about 50 plants employing 6000 - 7000 people. Many of the plants manufacture other products, including machinemade glassware and handmade illuminating glassware such as lamp globes and bases. Most plants are small and the industry is heavily concentrated in western Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio. A list of companies in this industry is shown in Table 13. 2. Products The products of the handmade industry are quite similar to those of the machine-made consumer glassware industry in basic form; with stemware, tumblers, and tableware the most significant products although they generally tend to be considerably more expensive than similar machinemade items. The handmade industry has cultivated the image of quality, craftsman- produced products. Among the three major types of products, the growth in shipments and value between 1967 and 1972 has varied considerably. Tumbler shipments in units declined by 26.5%, while the value of shipments increased by 13.5%. Stemware saw a 19.7% increase in unit volume and a 43.1% increase in value. Tableware, while growing in units by 11.6%, showed an increase in value of 13.4% in this five-year period. The shipments, value and unit value are shown in Table 14. 31 ------- TABLE 12 1969 1970 1971 1972 SHIPMENTS, EXPORTS. IMPORTS, APPARENT CONSUMPTION HANDMADE CONSUMER GLASSWARES (000 $) Total Year Shipments 62,402 62,095 72,117 87,633 Avg.Annual Growth Rate +12.0 Exports 764 670 762 % Change ,+ 40.4 + 26.2 Imports 44,076 48,940 49,878 964 (e) 78,819 8.0 78.7 34.0 Apparent Imports, as % of Consumption Consumption 105,714 110,365 121,233 165,488 + 56.6 16.1 41.7 44.3 41.1 47.6 Import value includes value of product at port of shipment plus calculated duty into U.S.A. Imports of handmade consumer glassware are assumed to be 95% of total consumer glasswares as per U.S. Tariff Commission Report, TC Publication 257, 1968. (e) Estimate Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, ADL estimates. 32 ------- TABLE 13 HANDMADE CONSUMER GLASSWARE Company Beaumont Co. Big Pine Key Glass Works Blenko Glass Co. Brock Glass Co. Canton Glass Co. Colonial Glass Co. Corning Glass Co. Crescent Glass Co. Davis-Lynch Glass Co. Elite Co. Fenton Art Glass Fostoria Glass Co. Gentile Glass Co. Gil lander Bros., Inc. Guernsey Glass Co. K.R. Haley Glassware Hamon Handcrafted Glass Harvey Industries Imperial Glass Co. Indiana Glass Co. Johnson Glass and Plastics Kanawha Glass Co. Kemple Glass Works Labi no Glass Laboratory Lenox Crystal, Inc. Lewis County Glass Louie Glass Co. Mid-Atlantic Glass Co. Minners Glass Co. No. of Plants 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Comments Employs 60 Also machine Also machine, sales $Umillion Mainly other products Employs 200, sales $2 million Also machine .Employs 400 Also machine, employs 540 Employs 300 Also machine Also machine, employs 125 Also machine, employs 1200 Also machine Employs 1200 Employs 200, sales $1-3 million 33 ------- TABLE 13 (Cont.) HANDMADE CONSUMER GLASSWARE No. of Plants Company Pennsboro Glass Co. 1 Pilgrim Glass Corp. 1 Rainbow Art Glass 1 Reha Glass Co. 1 Rodefer-Gleason Glass 1 St. Clair Glass Works 1 Scandia Glass Works 1 Scott Depot Glass Co. 3 Seneca Glass Co. 1 Sinclair Glass Co. 1 Sloan Glass, Inc. 1 L. E. Smith Glass Co. 1 Super Glass 1 Viking Glass Co. 1 Westmoreland Glass Co. 1 West Virginia Glass Specialty Co. 1 Wheaton Glass Co. 1 Comments Also machine Employs 125 Employs 150 Also machine Employs 110 Employs 350 Employs 520 Also machine, containers, employs 5000 34 ------- TADLE 14 Product/Year Tumblers 1967 1969 1971 1972 % Change 1967-72 Stemware 1967 . 1969 1971 1972 % Change 1967-72 Tableware 1967 1969 1971 1972 % Change 1967-72 HANDMADE CONSUMER GLASSWARE PRODUCT Shipments (000 pcs) 13,408 12,161 9,768 9,859 - 26.5 (000 doz) 1,740 1,735 1,927 2,082 + 19.7 (000 pcs) 7,771 7,469 7,421 8,674 +11.6 ANALYSIS Value (000 $) 5,600 5,724 5,344 6,354 + 13.5 13,346 16,219 16,760 19,096 + 43.1 10,014 9.991 10,473 11,357 + 13.4 Unit Value ($) 0.41 0.47 0.54 0.64 + 56.1 ($ doz) 7.67 9.35 8.70 9.17 + 19.6 1.29 1.34 1.41 1.31 + 1.-6 No. of Establishments 20 25 14 Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce; MA 32E Series 35 ------- 3. Manufacturing Process In the hand blown and pressed glass industry, the glass is first melted in a pot (small furnaces with a common stack) or in a day furnace. It is then "gathered" from the furnace and passed to the blower who inserts the glass globule into a mold and blows it into shape. The glass is then removed from the mold and in some cases additional parts are attached (for example, in the manufacture of stemware). The item is then placed into an annealing furnace or lehr to remove internal stresses created in the blowing operation. Next it is trimmed of unwanted glass and in some cases (e.g., lamp shades) cut into half and is ground into final shape either by the dry method which merely removes ragged edges or by the wet method where an exposed edge requires a finer finish. Quality stemware and crystal is then often cut with the aid of nitric and sulfuric acid to obtain its final form. Prior to decoration, some items are etched in hydrofluoric acid to obtain a "frosted" quality. Three forms of decoration are commonly used by this industry including painting with a water-based paint, application of a decal or adding a gold or lead paste, artificially shaped into various forms. The first two procedures require a final thermal treatment to insure a strong bond between the paint or decal and the glass. The final step is to pack the glass items in cardboard containers for shipping. Many of the factory buildings are old, some predating the Civil War; others, however, have been rebuilt within the past five or six years. The process is highly labor intensive with labor costs equaling 50% of sales and with an annual sales per employee ratio of $14,000 - 16,000, which is low. Labor rates are above average with a new, unskilled worker earning about $3.00 per hour and a skilled blower averaging from $11,000 to $14,000 per year. The rates for the semi-skilled and skilled laborers are competitive with the coal mines in the same geographical region. There is little automation and much of the movement of goods through the factory is done by hand. This is due, to the nature of the business which generates an output of a great many sizes and shapes, most made in relatively low volume, and requiring several colors and a large number of decorating patterns. One manager confirmed this by saying that if he rebuilt his 70-year-old factory today, he would not do it much differently than it is now. 4. Marketing and Competition A very high percentage of sales of hand blown or pressed glass is sold through manufacturers' representatives. Sales of stemware are made to the retail trade and are packaged ready to sell at the factory. Sales of lamp parts are to OEM accounts. Most U.S. producers sell in the domestic market only, but there are modest exports to Canada. 36 ------- The normal commission ranges from 6 to 15% and can go as high as 20% for the first year of a new line. The lower end of the range (6 to 7-1/2%) are virtually "overrides" which are effectively house accounts that are serviced from the factory. In the past, customers placed orders as needed and products were made to these orders. Little inventory of semi-finished or finished goods was maintained except to round out production schedules. Because the industry experienced a surge in demand and some shortages of raw materials in 1974, there is some trend presently toward annual contracts with shipments made every two months. Manufacturers of stemware usually own their molds and select their own designs. Producers of lamp parts may own the mold or may process glass in the molds of the customer; most of their output is on a custom basis. Usually the customer selects any design or decoration and it is used exclusively by him although often it is found that the selection is aided by the advice and experience of the glass factory. Delivery is usually made by trucks via common carrier, although some companies have found it profitable to purchase their own trucks to cut breakage and speed deliveries. The pricing patterns of the industry are simple. Since labor represents 50% of the selling price, once the union agreement is ratified the manufacturer has a strong basis for knowing how his costs will change. Manufacturers thus revise their price lists once a year, usually on January 1. Normally increases are necessary as there is little possibility of offsetting higher wage rates with increased productivity. In 1973, a 7% increase was typical for lamp parts. The 1974 increase was 5%. Larger increases were made in stemware, partly to offset unsatisfactory price levels of previous years caused by intense foreign competition. The custom nature of some products means that a selling price must be determined only after the design and specifications of the part are known. The principal competitive thrust comes from imported items, although the successive devaluation of the dollar against most Western Europe countries in August 1971 and February 1973 greatly eased the problem. Price of U.S. producers to domestic customers are now equal to or slightly lower than imported items. Mexico still offers low cost competition to the large California market, partly due to low cost freight rates within Mexico. However, wider trade with Eastern Europe opens the possibility of the importation of lower cost hand blown crystal and stemware, Hand produced glassware is not in most cases directly competitive with the machine blown and pressed process. The latter is a less costly process at high output levels. The producer of hand blown items supplies that portion of the market where the investment in machines and multiple molds cannot be justified or where the craftsmanship is appreciated by the consumer (e.g., stemware). However, as labor 'rates continue to rise 37 ------- the volume range open to the supplier of hand pressed and blown items is reduced somewhat. Concern with common problems such as imports, raw materials, and energy availability has moderated competitive tendencies among domestic manu- facturers; however, as sales are primarily made by independent manu- facturers' representatives, competition at that level is more aggressive. 5. Industry Structure This industry is characterized by a large number of private companies owned by a small number of stockholders, usually having some family connection. Many of the owners work or have members of their family who work in the respective firms. Most companies operate only one plant. There is little evidence that this industry has been a target for takeover by larger diversified companies which would be a potential source of funds. A typical company would have about 150-200 employees and annual sales of $2.5-3.0 million. It would be owner-operated and be in only one portion of the hand blown and pressed glass business, although with a very wide number of products, sizes, colors, and decorative schemes. Handmade glassware is made in about 50 - 60 plants most of which are located in northwest West Virginia, eastern Ohio, and southwest Penn- sylvania. Although about 15% of the plants also produce machinemade glassware, most plants specialize in the production of handmade glassware. The number of establishments making handmade glassware in the past four years has not changed significantly; only two or three new companies, have been established; and conversely, few plants have been forced to close. 6. Financial Data As most of the companies are private and closely held there is no public financial information available. However, discussions with industry participants indicate that a typical operating statement is represented in Table 15. Profits tend to be higher when producing lamp parts as opposed to stemware and glassware. In addition, they tend to be more consistent with some respondents reporting profitable operations for at least six or seven years. Some producers of stemware on the other hand lost money in the late sixties and 1970 due to the competitive pressure exerted by importers. The cash flow of only 6-7% of sales in a relatively prosperous year limits investT^nt to some extent. Few plants have extensively modernized their equipment nor have they renovated or built new buildings. Most have made modest investments to keep costs down. Local banks have been quite willing to support these industries and this has minimized any shortage of internally generated capital. 38 ------- TABLE 15 PRO FORMA OPERATING STATEMENT BASIS - SALES EQUAL 100.0 Sales 100.0 Less: Labor 50.0 Materials 4.0 Packaging 4.0 Fuel 4.5 Total 62.5 Gross Margin 37.5 Less: Administration and Sales 27.5 Depreciation 5.0 Profits (Before Tax) 5.0 ------- 7. Industry Outlook After stagnating or declining from 1965 to 1970, shipments by the hand blown industry increased rapidly from 1970 to 1973 due to the reduction in competition from imports. Much of this increase was due to higher prices. The general outlook in novelties, lamp parts, etc., is for a modest percent increase in units produced, probably close to the real expansion in GNP. Growth in revenue will be much greater due to higher costs and less severe foreign competition. The products in this category are relatively free from direct competition from other materials because of the optical properties and durability of glass. Newer materials such as plastics offer indirect competition inasmuch as these open up more possibilities for new designs of light fixtures, but the impact is difficult to judge. Imported products still offer the most serious competitive threat even though this has lessened considerably. At the present time, prices from Europe are in line with those of U.S. producers and thus styling and quality are more important in the final choice. U.S. producers are optim- istic that they can hold the line against foreign competition and thus the latter will not gain market share as long as the dollar is not revalued upward and the United States is not flooded with lower cost (but often fine quality) imports from Eastern Europe. 8. Water Pollution Control Status Very few handmade household glassware plants are presently treating waste waters. Flows are small, but significant quantities of pollutants may be discharged and could have a detrimental effect on a small receiving stream. The most serious problem faced by the industry is removal of hydrofluoric acid used in etching, where this is not practiced, costs to treat effluent water will not normally be economically harmful. A few plants have lime precipitation systems for fluoride and lead removal; and many plants where grinding is performed collect this waste water in trenches with small traps to catch the gross solids. The typical or baseline level of treatment in the handmade industry may be classified as no treatment. B. Incandescent Light Bulb Blanks 1. Industry Size Light bulb blanks (or envelopes) (SIC 3229225) for incandescent lighting are a portion of the lighting and electronic glassware industry. U.S. Department of Commerce Reports aggregate shipment and value statistics for this industry together with industry 3229235, television tube blanks and parts, and tubing, cane and other glass parts for electronic tubes 40 ------- and devices.. The total value of shipments for these combined industries was $253 million in 1972. Of this total it is estimated that television tube envelopes and parts accounted for about two-thirds, electronic tube parts about one percent, and electric lamp envelopes the balance, or about 33%. Assuming this breakdown, the 1972 value of shipments for electric light bulb blanks was about $84 million. Electric light bulb envelopes are reported to be produced in 18 estab- lishments in the United States. These are operated by five companies: Corning Glass Works, Westinghouse, and General Electric producing the vast bulk of general purpose bulb envelopes, and Lancaster Glass Co. and !Owens-Illinois limiting manufacturing to specialty bulb products. 2. Products The products of this industry are the glass bulbs which are subsequently fitted with the appropriate electrical connections and filaments to form ' finished incandescent light bulbs of all types. The glass envelope is necessary to contain the inert atmosphere in which the filament can produce light without oxidizing. Fluorescent lamps are generally fabricated from glass tubing and are not included in this subcategory. 3. Manufacturing Process Essentially all light bulb blanks are produced on the Corning ribbon machine. This machine works completely continuously and surpasses all other known glass machines in output. The glass is supplied to the machine through a feeder in a continuous stream which flows from a 1-inch opening and is passed between two counter-rotating water-cooled rollers. One roller is smooth while the other has pocketlike recesses. The ribbon (3" wide and 1/8" thick), formed by the rollers, is then redirected to a horizontal flow and placed on a plate belt which runs at equal speed. Every single plate has an opening through which the pill shaped glass sags under the influence of gravity. The sag is aided by blow heads and properly timed compressed air impulses. The blow heads are fastened to a continuous rotating chain belt. They are placed from above on the premolded glass in suitable fashion and move at the same speed as the glass ribbon. After the glass has been premolded to a considerable extent, it is enclosed by blow molds which are brought up from below and is then blown out to finished bulbs through the blow heads. The blow molds are pasted and rotate around their own axes to obtain seamless smooth surfaces. The finished bulbs are then separated from the ribbon and carried to the lehr. A light blow with a hammer device and a puff of compressed air knocks each bulb off the ribbon which passes on as a cullet to be remelted. This machine operates at an extremely rapid rate - up to 2200 bulb blanks per minute. Only 8-12 minutes pass from the exit of the glass from 41 ------- the feeder to the exit of the annealed bulbs from the lehr. Most of this time is spent in the lehr. The production time proper is only 10 - 12 seconds. The production is so rapid that no attempt is made to inspect each bulb as the stream of ware issues from the annealing lehr. A selected few are critically examined and judgment is passed upon the general character from the results obtained. Most bulbs for interior lighting are now frosted inside before final selection. The blank bulbs are set in a rack which holds about 100, open end down. Jets of "white acid" (mixture of hydrofluoric acid and ammonia hydrogen fluoride) are sprayed into the bulbs for a second or two. This acid produces a rough or "matt" surface. The rack is then moved over a second tank where a second set of nozzles spray water into the bulbs to rinse out the acid and reaction products. Over a third tank the bulbs receive jets of clear acid (hydrofluoric) which has the effect of rounding the angularities of the tiny grooves formed by the action of the white acid. The control and disposal of hydrofluoric acid solution probably represents the most critical water effluent control problem for this industry segment. 4. Marketing and Competition Light bulb blanks are either made into finished products by the same company (General Electric or Westinghouse) or sold to other lamp manufac- turers such as Sylvania. The investment in the equipment and the economic volume of production is so large that only General Electric and Westinghouse find it cheaper to produce blanks than to buy them from Corning. The capital investment in incandescent light bulb manufacturing is sub- stantial (in 1970 new equipment and plant expenditures was about $30 million). Huge finished goods inventories are required which tie up considerable capital. The major sales of bulk manufacturers are the 40-100 watt bulbs which account for 75% of all incandescent bulbs sold. Gross margins on the products appear to be quite good and cost increases are generally passed on as price increases. Price per se does not appear to be an important factor. With the extremely limited number of producers this is not believed to be a severely competitive business. 5. Industry Structure and Financial Data The major producers of light bulb envelopes are very large, multiproduct firms, for which these products are not the major business activity. No financial data directly related to light bulb envelope production are available. 42 ------- 6. Industry Outlook There is no material competitive with glass for this application, and no source of lighting competitive with electricity. In spite of the energy crisis, the production and consumption of electric light bulbs will grow with the increasing population for the foreseeable future. 7. Water Pollution Control Status Most of the treatment methods presently in use in the incandescent lamp glass industry can be considered end-of-pipe methods. Gullet quench waters are discharged untreated. However, some plants belt type oil skimmers are used to skim free oil from pump or discharge sumps. Frosting waste waters are treated in all cases using lime precipitation for fluoride and suspended solids removal; however, this system is ineffective for ammonia removal. Some ammonia discharge is eliminated by separate disposal of the concentrated etching solution. At least one plant recovers the salts from this solution by evaporating most of the water and then allowing the sludge to air dry. Other plants truck the spent frosting solution to permanent storage. When the combined forming and frosting waste waters are considered, one of the five plants for which data are available is presently achieving the recommended (BPT) level for suspended solids and oil, two are achieving the recommended level for fluoride, and no plant significantly reduces ammonia. 43 ------- ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS A. Introduction and Summary A preliminary screening (Table 16) was made based on an analysis and the industry and data from the Development Document to determine which sec- tors will be most seriously impacted by the proposed clean-water standards. This determination was based on the several factors including (a) the pro- portion of incremental investment needed to install appropriate water pol- lution control equipment compared to current plant investment; (b) the ratio of pollution control equipment operating costs to total sales to estimate the impact on price or profits; (c) a qualitative evaluation of the sensitivity of each section to price increases and; (d) the avail- ability of capital. Based on this analysis, we determined that the hand blown and pressed industry is by far the most seriously impacted by the new proposed pollution control guidelines. The machine pressed and blown industry ranks second in the possible adverse effect that these new regu- lations may have. The selection of a second subcategory for further study required a much more comprehensive comparison of financial and industry characteristics. While Table 16 shows an insignificant difference in potential impact between the machine pressed and blown and the glass container industry, it is felt that the glass container industry was somewhat insulated by the fact that the major competing products, i.e., aluminum and steel, will be more seriously impacted by new pollution regulations than the glass industry. The television tube and incandescent lamp blank sector would be only marginally impacted by new regulations as these represent divisions of major companies with very large capital resources. In addi- tion, the modest increased costs of these items will have virtually no influence on the cost of the finished product, e.g., color television sets and incandescent lamp bulbs. On the other hand, the competitive nature of the machine pressed and blown segment which results in profit margins below those of alternative investment opportunities for some of the multi-industry participants in this activity opened the possibility that even modest requirements for water treatment would not be readily met. Therefore, we restricted our more detailed analyses to the machine pressed and blown industry and the hand pressed and blown subcategory. It is im- portant to realize, however, that quantitative estimates of proportionate plant investment and proportionate sales shown in the table are only rough estimates. There is no public financial data to document the investment in these particular industries except in a general way and it was beyond the scope and resources of the study to prepare a detailed plant invest- ment study for these products. Rather the estimate was based on field interviews and our past background in such manufacturing activities. 44 ------- TABLE 16 ESTIMATED HATER POLLUTIOC CONTROL IMPACT ON SEChCNTS OF THE PRESSED ASP BLOWS CLASS INDUSTRY TYPICAL PLANT DESCRIPTION POLLUTION COOTROL COSTS POLLUTION CONTROL COSTS INDUSTRY CHARACTER Day Capital aa I of Operating I Markac Capital iKDUSTHy Production. Salea Investoen ~ ' (tons) $MM/YR SHH CLASS CONTAINERS 500 10 18 TELEVISION PICTURE TUBU 250 95 30 \ l.\CAXDESCENT LAMPS 173 30 35 MACHINE PRESSED AND 100 15-9 BLOWN GLASSWARES v HAND PRESSED AND . 3 3 1.5 BLOWN GLASSWARES S ttvel BAT BPT BAT BPT BAT BPT BAT BPT BAT BPT Capital Annual OperajiinK Plant Inveatawnt of Annual Sali THOUSAND ^ 312 6? 0 0 231 0 697 470 21* 0 371 284 68 0 300 240 53 0 72 S3 1.7 0 0.8 0 2.0 n.3 * 2.4 0 24.7 19.0 0.4 0 0.2 0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0 2.4 1.8 »«, ComMCltton Availability HIGH , HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH HIGH tCDIUM MICH LOW Sourca: Arthur 0. Littla, Inc., aatiaataa. Pollution Control Costs datarainad by SVERORUP & PARCEL ASSOCIATES* ------- 1. Summary of Results (a) Machinemade Household Glassware Sector The machine pressed and blown glassware industry appears unlikely to suffer significant short-term effects from the implementation of the pro- posed Federal water pollution control standards. Over the longer term, the impact of increased operating costs and investment requirements on this segment could have a negative impact on its ability to achieve a level of profitability sufficient to attract the capital necessary for growth. The impact of pollution control and other (non-water pollution) government-imposed costs on the major competing industries will be a factor in determining the future price competitiveness of machinemade pressed and blown glasswares in the marketplace. Those industries which should be given prime consideration are those manufacturing kitchenware and tableware products from plastics, metals, paper, and clay. (b) Handmade Household Glassware Sector There are approximately 60 plants producing hand pressed and blown glass products. Most of these manufacture products exclusively within this classification although some of the larger firms also manufacture machine pressed and blown products. The principal products include tableware, stemware, and lighting components. Most of these companies are small with typical sales of 2-3 million dollars annually. They are usually privately owned, often closely held. However, the diversity of their production requires a large number of manufacturing steps with the result that the cost and investment necessary to meet stand- ards for clean water will be relatively high. The most serious problem the industry faces is removal of flouride waste and lead contaminates. Hfcrwever, as the latter usually is present with hydrofluoric acid, and is treated in the same process it ceases to be an independent consideration. This will cause hardship for many of the firms in the business. We esti- mate that 3-5 of the plants, including some of the larger as these often use acids for etching, will be hard pressed to continue operating should the present guidelines be enforced as proposed. We also believe that about three smaller firms with modest profits and capital reserves will find the financial requirements of such magnitude that it may be a key factor in causing the plant to close or close prematurely. However, the final decision concerning this latter group would be substantially influenced by other economic factors such as availability of labor, product line, and general condition of production equipment. A summary of the analysis which led to these conclusions is presented in Table 16. This impact would have been greater except for the fact that 50-60 percent of all plants in this subcategory discharge into municipal sewers. Thus should municipal systems require pretreatment or larger use taxes, closings could increase. 46 ------- B. Maehinemade Household Glassware According to the material developed by the guidelines contractor, Sverdrup & Parcel and Associates (S&P), a "typical" 100-ton-per-day plant engaged in the manufacture of consumer, machine pressed and blown glassware would require no incremental investment or operating expenses in order to meet the proposed BPT guidelines. For some plants, improved oil and grease removal will be necessary, and improved housekeeping requirements may result in higher operating costs per unit of output. In order to meet the BAT effluent standards, the "typical" plant will require a total investment of $214,000 by 1983, and to incur increased annual fixed and direct operating costs of $53,200. The bulk of the output of this industry is produced in large plants, most larger than the "typical" plant of 100 tons per day pulled. Several moderate sized plants near the 100 tons per day size are also significant factors in the industry. Plants smaller than this generally combine hand and machine production and are described in the hand-made section of this report. We believe the significant plants which will be covered by the proposed machine pressed and blown wares effluent standard are those shown in Table 17. 1. Financial Analysis Based on composite financial data from companies in the machine pressed and blown glassware industry, a financial profile of the so-called "typi- cal" 100-ton-per-day plant has been formulated and appears below. While there is no plant which precisely matches this description, we believe it to be generally suitable for this study. Plant Description 0 2 glass melting furnaces, capacity 100 tons/day 6 machines for manufacturing pressed and blown glasswares t Fixed asset value. - $9,000,000 Output Description 0 Total output - 7 million dozen per year at 80 percent utilization (allowing for holidays, fur- nace rebuilds, maintanance, etc.) ! 0 Product Mix: f Blown tumblers and ornamental items 60% Pressed tumblers, stemware and ornamental 30% Blown stemware and other ornamentals 10Z ' Income Statement , I ''..__ 0 Net Sales Revenues $15,000,000 ------- Company/Locati on TABLE 17 Machine-Made Glass Tableware Plants ** Plant Employment Anchor Hocking Corporation Lancaster, Ohio Lancaster, Ohio Bartlett Collins Company Sapulpa, Oklahoma Brockway Glass Company Clarksburg, West Virginia Corning Glass Works several Federal Glass Division Columbus, Ohio Fostoria Glass Company Moundsville, West Virginia Indiana Glass Company Dunkirk, Indiana Jeannette Glass Company Jeannette, Pennsylvania Owens-Illinois, Libby Division Toledo, Ohio City of Industry, California >1000 >1000 .100-499 >1000 100-499 range >1000 500-999* 500-999 >1000 >1000 100-499 Estimated Tons /day 300+ 300+ 100 250 100 each 250+ 40* 200 250 300 100 * Substantial hand work also performed ** Includes tumblers, stemware, tableware and ornamental glassware Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates. 48 ------- Cost of Products Sold $11,615,000 Selling and Administrative Expenses 1,335,000 t Depreciation 400,000 t Net Profit Before Taxes 1,650,000 Taxes, at 50% 825,000 t Net Profit After Taxes 825,000 Sources and Uses of Funds t Sources of Funds Net Profits $ 825,000 Depreciation 400,000 $ 1,225,000 Uses of Funds Capital Spending $ 530,000 Increase in Working Capital 400,000 Debt and Divided Payments 295.000 $1,225,000 Assets I Net Current Assets $ 2,750,000 t Gross Fixed Assets 9,000.000 $11,750,000 Ratios After Tax Profits to Sales 5.5% After Tax Profits to Assets 7.0% 2. Price Impact of Meeting Proposed Standards Assuming the S&P costs of $214,000 investment and $53,200 per year for operations for the "typical" plant to meet the proposed BAT water pol- lution control standards, maintenance of dollar profit levels average price increases of approximately 0.4% would be required. This would not include the costs of special studies, engineering, administration, and so on which would perhaps increase this to 0.5%. Clearly the impact of this cost increase to consumers would be very small, and looking at the industry as a whole, the cost is minor. How- ever, the impact on individual plants could be significant in light of the very competitive nature of this business. The ability of a given firm to pass the increased costs along in price increases will depend on the costs of competing products from other industries (plastics, china, 49 ------- earthenware, etc.) and the cost position of the firm in question rela- tive to others in its own industry. A high cost plant may have to absorb more of the pollution control costs, unless the lower cost manufacturer is inclined to increase prices and margins. Since this is an intensely price competitive industry it is very possible that the added costs of meeting the recommended standards for 1983 will have to be partly absorbed by most industry members, and will be only partially passed on to the consumer. 3. Financial Impact According to the guideline contractor, the typical plant in this industry will incur no costs to meet the proposed BPT standards. The financial impact of meeting the proposed effluent guidelines for BAT is closely related to the ability of the firms in the industry to raise prices to cover the added costs. It is perhaps useful to examine the worst case from the standpoint of our "typical" firm. The added operating costs of $53,200 per year, if it could not be passed on, would mean a reduction in net profits of about $27,000. This would then result in a decline in rate of return on sales from 5.5% to 5.3%. From a return on investment standpoint, there is the additional investment of $214,000 to be considered in addition to the annual operating cost of $53,200. The net result of increasing capital and reducing income would he a reduction in return on assets from 7% to 6.7%. The use of the required capital-for installation of pollution control equipment is likely to have some effect on the availability of money for other uses by the firms in this industry. If the capital is raised and spent over several years, however, this impact will not be large on the major firms in the industry. While it is not possible to state with certainty that all firms in this industry will be easily able to obtain the funds necessary for the required expenditure, it would appear from the pro forma financial statement that unless this business falls on extremely bad times or is required to make considerably higher expendi- tures for other government-imposed programs (air pollution, OSHA), the required capital should be available. A. Employment and Community Impact From the price and financial impacts estimated, it would appear that the implementation of the 1983 BAT guidelines will have little impact on the ability of the companies in this industry to produce quantities of glass product sufficient to satisfy consumer demands. We would not fore- see any plant closings or employee layoffs resulting primarily from the economic impact of these pollution control guidelines on the companies in this industry. On the other hand, growth could be hindered in certain plants due to the financing requirements for the equipment. This could be significant in areas where other industries may be declining. 50 ------- 5. Sensitivity of Pollution Control Costs to Plant Size Within the machinemade glass housewares industry, the size range of producers is fairly narrow, ranging from something less than 100 to perhaps 300 tons per day. We believe that there are some economics of scale in the treatment facilities for plants producing at higher levels than the 100 ton per day "typical" plant. Theoretically the main concern would be for plants considerably smaller than the "typical" plant. Since the "typical" plant chosen in this case represents the lower end of the size scale, it would not appear that this is a serious problem. 6. Balance of Payments Impact Imports of machinemade glass housewares currently amount to about 1% of domestic consumption, but have exhibited some growth from 1970 to 1972. Exports have grown much more substantially in absolute terms. It would seem rather doubtful that the kinds of possible price increases required to offset the cost of meeting the proposed effluent guidelines would have a significant impact on the United States balance of payments. ------- C. Handmade Household Glassware We have assumed that data presented by S&P, Inc., was for a plant with annual sales in the range of $3 - $4 million. This would make it a large but not one of the largest plants in the industry. We believe that plants below $1 million who are employing acid etching have virtually no chance of continuing to operate given the projected costs and invest- ments and, on the other hand, the very limited number of larger plants could most easily survive these additional expenses. A list of those plants where sales probably exceed $1 million is found in Table 18. We have thus assumed that for a large plant the operating costs would be about $60,000 annually including all fixed and direct charges. Using the 0.6 rule for investment and in addition assuming that operating costs are directly related to investment costs, we estimate operating costs to be $39,000 for a $2 million sales per year company and $26,000 for a $1 million per year company. This is summarized in Table 19. 1. Price Impact of Meeting Alternative C Standards Using the general financial data for the industry as expressed in Phase I of this study, we also show on the same table after-cash profits, depreciation and cash flow. We then compared the operating costs to total sales to determine what changes in price are necessary to pass on the additional costs. We also determined the ratio of operating costs to profits after taxes and operating costs to cash flow to see what influences the increase would have on these factors assuming prices could not be increased. As seen by the table, the sales price has to be increased only a modest amount; that is, from 1 1/2% in the case of the large company to a little over 2 1/2% in the case of the small company to cover the additional operating costs. Although this is a very competitive industry with imports affecting all components of the business, these increases are only one fourth to one thrid typical increases demanded by this industry to meet other operating costs such as higher labor rates; thus we feel there is a good chance that these costs can be easily passed on to the consumer. Should this not be the case, the impact on the financial statement becomes severe. For example, the additional operating costs range from anywhere from 30 - 52% of company profits and from 10 - 17% of cash flow. These levels would be crippling to this business. We therefore conclude that the operating costs probably will not seriously jeopardize the health of this business, even though it probably will harm the smaller companies. For example, while it is reasonable to expect that a 1.5% increase in prices can be passed to the consumers, it is risky to assume that the smaller companies can pass on a greater increase merely because the impact is greater. Therefore, if we assume that the 1.5% increase represents the limit, some of the increased operating costs will have to be absorbed by the profits of the smaller companies. In the case of the average company, 10% of the profits after taxes are consumed by operating costs necessitated by operating pollution control facilities while in the case of the below average company 20% of the 52 ------- TABLE 18 MAJOR HAND-MADE GLASS TABLEWAKK PLANTS (ovor 50 employcus! NAME Beaumont Co. Big Pine Key Glass Works Blenko Glass Co. Colonial Glass Co. Crescent Glass Co. Davis-Lynch Glass Co. Fenton Art Glass Co. Harvey Industries Imperial Glass Co. Kanawha Glass Co. Lenox Crystal Louis Glass Co. Mid-Atlantic Glass Co. Minncrs Glass Co. Pennsboro Glass Co. Pilgrim Glass Co. Rainbow Art Glass Rodefer-Gleason Glass Seneca Glass Co. Sloan Glass Co. L.E. Smith Glass Co. Viking Glass Co. Westmoreland Glass Co. West Virginia Glass Specialty Co. LOCATION Morgentown, W. Va. Marathon, Fla. Milton, W. Va. Weston, W. Va. Wellsburg, W. Va. Morgentown, W. Va. Williamstown, W. Va. Clarksburg, W. Va. Bellaire, Ohio Dunbar, W. Va. Mt. Pleasant, Pa. Weston, W. Va. Ellenboro, W. Va. Salem, W. Va. Pennsboro, W. Va. Ceredo, W. Va. Huntington, W. Va. Bellaire, Ohio Hartford City, Ind. Cullodcn, W. Va. Mt. Pleasant, Pa. Moundsville, W. Va. Grapeville, Pa. Weston, W. Va. EMPLOYEES 100-499 50-99 100-499 100-499 100-499 100-499 100-499 50-99 100-499 50-99 100-499 100-499 100-499 100-499 50-99 100-499 50-99 100-499 100-499 50-99 100-499 100-499 100-499 100-499 Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc. estimates. 53 ------- TABLE 19 SUMMARY OF IMPACT FOR HAM) PRESSED AND BLOWN MANUFACTURING FINANCIAL DATA Annual Sales (MM$) Profit after Taxes (M$) Depreciation (M$) Cash Flow (M$) Large Company 4.0 100 200 300 Average Company 2.0 50 100 150 Below Average Company 1.0 25 50 75 GROSS INVESTMENT (MM$) 2.0 1.0 0,5 POLLUTION CONTROL Investment (M$) Operating Costs (M$/yr.) 300 60 195 39 130 26 ANALYSIS Operating Costs/sales [price] % 1.5 Operating Costs/profit b.t. % 30 Reduction of Cash Flow* % 10 2.0 39 13 2.6 52 16 Investment/Gross investment (%) 15 Investment/annual cash flow (%) 100 Years cash flow 1.0 20 130 26 175 1.75 *Credit given for tax savings as a result of higher operating costs. Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates. ------- profits are so lost. 2. Financial Impact We believe that the impact caused by the need to make a relatively large capital outlay is a much more serious problem for this industry than the increased operating costs. We have estimated'that should a new plant producing hand pressed and blown glassware were built today, the gross investment would be approximately 50% of annual sales. In the case of the larger company, investment to meet proper water standards represents about 15% of the gross investment of the plant. It would require about one year of the estimated annual cash flow. On the other extreme, construction of the necessary equipment for a below average in size company would require about one quarter additional gross investment and would consume the annual cash flow for one and three quarter years. While this may be regarded as an inconvenience and may delay some desired expansion plans or other plant modifications, it probably can be handled without crippling effects by a larger company. A smaller company, however, would have more difficulty in absorbing this investment as it would require almost two years of cash flow. In addition, the smaller company would be more apt to experience erratic profits and thus the reliability of at least a portion of the cash flow is less. Another cause for concern is the fact that this segment is not accustomed to placing large amounts of capital either to expand the business or even to modernize it as it traditionally has not had the money available. In addition, the small sizes and closely held control of the companies in this industry make them less attractive from a lender's viewpoint. We believe that should the industry be required to make the projected investment, a large number would choose to close down rather than comply with the new requirements. 3. Employment and Community Impact While this is by all standards a small industry with a low number of total employment, it is concentrated in the northwestern part of' West Virginia and, therefore, could have a serious impact on the welfare of that part of the country. Table 3 lists 23 manufacturers of hand blown and pressed tableware. 17 of these are in West Virginia, others are in neighboring Ohio and southwest Pennsylvania. The West Virginian plants lie mainly in the western part of the state with the eastern and southern line roughly being drawn from Morgentown through Charleston to Huntington. A large portion of the laborers in these plants are basically unskilled although there is a considerable number of those who have developed a highly specialized but yet skillful trade1. An example of this is the glass blowers. The unskilled laborers in time can find comparable income in other manufacturing industries, for example, the coal mines. . 55 '.'" ------- However, those with a specialized skill probably will find it extremely difficult to find comparable work or meet present income levels as there is little demand for these specialized talents outside of the hand pressed and blown glass manufacturing segment. 4. Balance of Payments Impact The U.S. production of hand pressed and blown tableware and glassware was about $35 million in 1972 (See Phase I report). To this should be added approximately another $45 - 50 million of lamp parts and miscellaneous for a total industry output of $80 - 85 million. Should the present guidelines prevail, as much as 20% or $16 million of the potential production could be closed. This will mainly be replaced by foreign imports than with other materials, e.g., plastics being much less significant. If we assume that 80% of this lost production is replaced by imports, the balance of payments is only adversely affected by about $13 million, inconsequential in the total U.S. trade picture. 56 ------- |