oEPA
             United States
             Environmental Protection
             Agency
Office of Research and
Development
Washington DC 20460
EPA/600/9-91/014
May 1991
                   literiMttoial WWksfeoi
                      LARGE-SCALE
                    REFORESTATION
                  ROCEEDING

                           May 9-10,1990
                            Corvallis, Oregon
                  Sponsor: Global Change Research Program • EPA Environmental Research Laboratory
                          200 S.W. 35th St., Corvallis, OR 97333

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                                       EPA/600/9-91/014
                                       May 1991
              Proceedings of the
      International Workshop  on

              LARGE-SCALE
            REFORESTATION
                   Editors

EPA Environmental Research Laboratory-Corvallis

                Jack K. Winjum
           NCASI-EPA Coordination

               Paul E. Schroeder
      ManTech Environmental Technology, Inc.

                     * * *

           Washington Institute, Inc.

                Mary J. Kenady
                 Sponsored by
        GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH PROGRAM
  ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LABORATORY-CORVALLIS
        ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                        Printed on Recycled Paper

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Disclaimer

The information in this document has been funded wholly by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency under the
EPA/USDA Forest Service IAG No. DW12931230/PNW 85-435 that provides for Grant PNW 86-502 to the National
Council for Air and  Stream Improvement  (NCASI) and under  contract  68-C8-0006  to  ManTech Environmental
Technology International, Inc. (METI).  The document has been subjected  to the Agency's peer and administrative
review process, and it has been approved for publication as an EPA document.  Mention of trade names or commercial
products does not constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.
Acknowledgments

The editors gratefully acknowledge the contributions of all workshop participants - approximately 60  in total.
Included are:  the ten authors of the invited papers as listed on page iv; the supporting ERL-C staff members  Lew
Ladd, Terralyn Vandetta, and Jill Jones; Dr. D. B. South, Auburn University, for assembling Table XXXTV during the
Workshop; Wayne Patterson, Siuslaw National Forest, for arranging an excellent field trip, and the following scientists
who generously gave of their time to serve as reviewers of the papers in this document:
Mr. J. D. Bailey, METI, Corvallis, OR
Mr. S. P. Cline, METI, Corvallis, OR
Dr. D. S. DeBell, USDA Forest Service, Olympia,  WA
Dr. R. K. Dixon, EPA/ERL-C, Corvallis, OR
Dr. T. D. Droessler, METI, Corvallis, OR
Dr.  W.  H.  Emmingham,  Oregon  State  University,
        Corvallis,  OR
Mr. C. D. Geron, EPA/AEERL, Research  Triangle Park,
        N.C.
Dr. D. H. Gjerstad, Auburn University, Auburn, AL
Dr. R. L. Graham, Oak Ridge National Lab., Oak Ridge,
        TN
Dr. T.  C.  Hennessey,  Oklahoma  State  University,
  Stillwater, OK
Dr. T. M. Hinkley, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
Dr. J. P. Kimmins,  University of British  Columbia,
  Vancouver,  B.C.
Dr. L. H. Liegel, USDA Forest Service,  Corvallis, OR
Dr. R. F. Lowery, Weyerhaeuser Company,  Tacoma, WA
Dr. R. W. Rose, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
Dr. R. A. Sedjo, Resources for the Future, Washington,
  D.C.
Dr. T. A. Terry, Weyerhaeuser Company, Centralia, WA
A hearty thanks to all - JKW, PES, and MJK

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                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS



List of Authors  	iv

List of Tables  	 v

List of Figures	 vii

INTRODUCTION
 Jack K. Winjum	XI

OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS FOR LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
PROGRAMS: A PACIFIC NORTHWEST PERSPECTIVE
 Peyton W. Owston and Thomas C. Turpin	1

FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS FOR
MITIGATING CO2:  ECOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS
 John D. Walstad	11

REFORESTATION IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
 Denis  P. Lavender	29

REFORESTATION IN NEW ZEALAND
 Ian R. Hunter  	41

A BRIEF HISTORY OF FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE AMERICAN
SOUTH: IMPLICATIONS FOR LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
TO SLOW GLOBAL WARMING
 Joseph H. Hughes	53

AFFORESTATION IN BRITAIN - A COMMENTARY
 Douglas C. Malcolm  	69

THE NEED FOR REFORESTATION
 Renato Moraes de Jesus	81

INDUSTRIAL EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS IN THE PEOPLE'S
REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO - TECHNICAL, SOCIOLOGICAL
AND  ECOLOGICAL ASPECTS
 Francis Cailliez	87

AGROFORESTRY IN GUATEMALA:  MITIGATING GLOBAL WARMING
THROUGH SOCIAL FORESTRY
 Mark C. Trexler 	97

REFORESTATION IN INDIA
 A. N. Chaturvedi	 109

GROUP DISCUSSION	 117

INDEX TO GROUP DISCUSSION  	 147
                                                                                        ill

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TABLE OF CONTENTS, cont'd.
GENERAL APPENDIX A
  List of Tree Species . .
GENERAL APPENDIX B
  Table of Equivalents  .
GENERAL APPENDIX C
  IPCC Structure, Recommendations
  Noordwijk Declaration	
                                       149
                                       151
                                       153
                                         LIST OF AUTHORS
Francis Cailliez
Director of Centre Technique
Forestier Tropical
Dept. du CIRAD
45 Bis, Ave. de la Belle Gabrielle
94736 Nogent Sur Marne, Cedex France

A. N. Chaturvedi
Senior Fellow, TATA Energy Research Inst.
90 Jorbagh
New Delhi, 110 003, India

Joseph H. Hughes
Station Manager
New Bern Forestry Research Field Station
Weyerhaeuser Company
New Bern, North Carolina, U.S.A.

Ian R. Hunter
Ministry of Forestry
Forest Research Institute
Rotorua,  New Zealand

Denis P. Lavender
Forest Science Dept.
University of British Columbia
Vancouver, B.C., Canada

Douglas C. Malcolm
Department of Forestry
and Natural Resources
University of Edinburgh
Edinburgh, Scotland, U.K.
Renato Moraes de Jesus
Florestas Rio Doce
Caixa Postal 91, 29.900-Linhares-ES
Brasil, S.A.

Peyton W. Owston
Principal Plant Physiologist
Pacific Northwest Research Station
USDA Forest Service
Corvallis, Oregon,  U.S.A.

Mark C. Trexler
Program in Climate, Energy and Pollution
World Resources Institute
1709 New York Ave. NW, Suite 700
Washington, D. C., U.S.A.

Thomas C. Turpin
Forest Silviculturist
USDA Forest Service, Siuslaw National Forest
Corvallis, Oregon,  U.S.A.

John D. Walstad
Dept. of Forest Management,
College of Forestry, Oregon State University
Corvallis, Oregon,  U.S.A.
IV

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                                            LIST OF TABLES



 Table i.  Outline of Categories and Topics of the Workshop Papers  	  xvi

 Table I.  An Example of Reforestation Costs:  1989 Costs Per Hectare
   Reforested on the Siuslaw National Forest in Western Oregon	  7

 Table II.  Marginal Forest Land in the U.S	14

 Table III.  Styroblocks Commonly In Use In British Columbia  	31

 Table IV.  Total Backlog Not Satisfactorily Stocked Lands	31

 Table V.  Total Dry Weight of White Spruce Seedlings  	33

 Table VI.  Shoot:Root Ratios of White Spruce Seedlings	34

 Table VII. Survival of Coniferous Seedlings in B.C	34

 Table VIII.  Stemwood Productivity of Radiata Pine in New Zealand	46

 Table IX.  Potential Land  Available to Expand Exotic Forestry	50

 Table X.  Area of Timberland, by Ownership, Species Groups and
  Pine Plantation Details for the South, 1952-1985,
  with Projections	56

 Table XI.   Softwood Timber Removals, Net Annual Growth, Inventory
  of Growing Stock in the South, by Forest Management
  Type, Selected Years 1952-1984, with Projections	59

 Table XII.  Woodland Grant Scheme, 1988	74

 Table XIII. Distribution of Forest Area	76

 Table XIV. Changes in Uses of Conifer Species Since 1920	76

 Table XV.  Reforestation with Fiscal Incentives in Brazil, 1967-1986	82

 Table XVI. Supply and Demand of Wood in Brazil, 1987-1988	83

 Table XVII.  Advantages of Clonal Eucalyptus Plantations, Compared with
  Other Types of Forests	90

 Table XVIII. UAIC Personpower Requirements to Plant 5,000 Ha/Yr
  (Excluding Harvest and Export)	91

 Table XIX.  CARE Goals Over the Next 10 Years	100

Table XX.   Final Estimate of Carbon Fixation vs. Sequestration	102

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LIST OF TABLES, confd.






Table XXI.  Forest Cover in India, 1989	110




Table XXII. Forest Cover by Ecofloristic Zones and Population Density, in India	110




Table XXIII.  Livestock Population in India (Given in Millions)	Ill




Table XXIV.  Livestock Fodder Requirements (in Million Tons)	Ill




Table XXV. Estimated Present Fodder Production in India	Ill




Table XXVI.  Afforestation in India Shown Under Successive Development Plans  	112




Table XXVII. Increase of Wood Prices Over Past Decade in India  	113




Table XXVIII.  Board Notes #1  	117




Table XXVIX.  Board Notes #2  	121




Table XXX. Board Notes #3	122




Table XXXI.  Board Notes #4  	123




Table XXXII. Board Notes #5	124




Table XXXIII.  Board Notes #6  	125




Table XXXIV.  Board Notes #7  	128




Table XXXV. Board Notes #8	129




Table XXXVI.  Board Notes #9  	130




Table XXXVII.  Board Notes #10	131




Table XXXVIII.  Board Notes #11	132




Table XXXIX.  Board Notes #12	133




Table XL.  Board Notes  #13	134




Table XLI.  Board Notes #14  	137




Table XLII. Board Notes #15	141




Table XLIII.  Board Notes #16	142




Table XLIV.  Board Notes #17  	143




Table XLV. Board Notes #18	144
VI

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                                         LIST OF FIGURES



Figure 1.  Major Steps in the Reforestation Process for Typical
  Harvested Sites in Western U.S	  3

Figure 2.  Forest Regions of British Columbia	29

Figure 3.  Diagram of Microsites and Planting Spots	33

Figure 4.  Edatopic Grid for the CWHcl Sub-biogeoclimatic Zone Which
  Occurs in Coastal British Columbia  	35

Figure 5.  Indigenous and Exotic Forest in New Zealand, 1000 AD to Present	42

Figure 6.  Percentage of Land Use in New Zealand	43

Figure 7.  Establishment of Plantations in New Zealand, 1922 to 1986	43

Figure 8.  Exotic Stocked Forest Area for New Zealand by Age Class	44

Figure 9.  New Forest Plantings, 1984-1991	45

Figure 10.  Height and  Growth of Radiata Pine and Ponderosa Pine on Cold
  Sites in New Zealand	47

Figure 11.  Distribution of Radiata Pine Site  Index in New  Zealand	48

Figure 12.  Distribution of Exotic  Forest in New Zealand	49

Figure 13.  Comparison of Mean Annual Increment and Total Volume Yields That are
  Typical for 3 Levels of Forest Management	61

Figure 14.  New Planting Since 1950	71

Figure 15.  Value  of U.K. Consumption Showing Contribution of U.K. Production	75

Figure 16.  Timber Production in  Britain:  Total of F. C. and Private Sector	75

Figure 17.  Age Profile  of Forests in Britain Updated from Census of Woodlands, 1980	76

Figure 18.  Conceptual  Functioning of a Carbon-Offset Project	98

Figure 19.  Map of CARE Project Areas	99
                                                                                                      vn

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                                     INTRODUCTION

                                      Jack K. Winjum
BACKGROUND

  The purpose of this workshop was to identify
and explore  major operational and ecological
considerations for successfully conducting large-
scale  reforestation and  afforestation  projects
internationally.  Interest in  this subject by the
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency stems
from the global warming issue.
  Projections for global warming resulting from
"the greenhouse  effect" have  led  to  growing
public  concern  about the  consequences  of
increasing  climatic temperatures.   Although
experts continue to debate the credibility of the
model-based  projections, it  is certain that the
concentration of the  earth's atmospheric CO2
has increased by  about  30 percent since the
1850 level of 280 ppm.  Much of this increase
is attributed  to CO2 emissions caused by ever-
increasing human activities.   If this  trend con-
tinues  unchecked,  the preindustrial level  of
atmospheric CO2 is predicted to increase anoth-
er 30 percent in 50 years and double by about
the year 2100 (Abrahamson 1989).  Likewise,
other greenhouse gases such as methane  (NIL,)
and nitrous oxide (N2O) are also  increasing for
anthropogenic reasons.  Thus,  within decades,
and likely by 2100, global  warming could  be
significant, unprecedentedly rapid and, initially,
has the  potential  to  hold many  detrimental
effects for humankind (Smith and Tirpak 1989).
  Forest  ecosystems play a pivotal  role  in the
global carbon cycle. Not only are tremendous
amounts  of carbon stored in forest  vegetation
and soil  (i.e., the  biomass), but  global forests
also account  for some 90 percent ('90 Gt) of
the carbon flux to and from the atmosphere
from terrestrial systems annually (Waring  and
Schlesinger 1985). This suggests that forests
are a primary control point in the  cycle  and
that through management,  they can  possibly
contribute to increased carbon conservation and
sequestration to offset a part of the CO2 build-
up in the atmosphere. As a major management
tool, large-scale reforestation would likely make
a significant contribution.  Definitive estimates
of that  contribution  are the subject of longer
term, in-depth studies by EPA and other agen-
cies. Thus, this topic was not an agenda item,
although several of the invited authors gave it
some  consideration   (e.g.,   Walstad,  Hughes,
Cailliez, and de Jesus).
  Workshop speakers included prominent forest
managers  and scientists who have had exper-
ience with large-scale reforestation projects in
ten diverse  world  locations  and  situations.
These experts,  many of whom participated in
the follow-up  discussions, provided  the inter-
national coverage sought.
  In this publication, which  is the outcome of
the workshop,  two initial papers  based upon
U.S. experience outline fundamental  considera-
tions for large-scale reforestation success.  The
first, by Owston and Turpin, addresses opera-
tional concerns; the second, by Walstad, ecolog-
ical considerations.  Subsequent papers expand
on these fundamentals according to  eight case
studies representing  other situations (Table i,
page xvi}.   "Large-scale" for  this  workshop
means  projects where, by  human  effort,  ap-
proximately 100,000  hectares or more of new
forests  have been established or are  planned
                                                                                         XI

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                                                                               INTRODUCTION
annually for about a decade in an individual
country or region.
KEY FINDINGS

Operational Considerations
  From the USDA Forest Service in Corvallis,
Pete  Owston, a  senior reforestation  scientist,
and Tom Turpin, an experienced silviculturist,
focus on operational considerations  for planta-
tion  establishment based  on U.S. national for-
ests,  primarily those in  the temperate  region
(pages 1-10). Important operational considera-
tions  discussed are:

   an overall commitment by the  sponsoring
organization  to  making reforestation projects
succeed;

•  thorough  reforestation planning;

    respect for   seedlings as living organisms
during handling  and planting;

•  effective supervision of work by knowledge-
able  foresters;

•  the value  of follow-up steps such as survival
surveys and replantings were necessary.

Ecological Considerations
  Jack Walstad,  Head  of the Department  of
Forest Management, Oregon State  University,
has had considerable experience in reforestation
research and operations in the eastern and the
Pacific northwestern forest regions of the U.S.
On pages 11-28, he points  out fundamental
ecological considerations  such as:

    matching species  and  stock type to site
conditions;

•  use of well-adapted  genetic stock;
    anticipation of  insect,  disease and  weed
problems;

•  corrective soil treatments, such as fertiliza-
tion or mycorrhizal inoculations;

•  intensifying operational and ecological effort
as reforestation progresses from very productive
lands  to  lands  with more  marginal growing
conditions.

Case Studies
  The basic operational and ecological consider-
ations  noted  above, while  common to  most
reforestation projects,  must  be tempered  to
accommodate  other considerations unique  to
specific locations. The workshop was structured
to address the three  broad latitudinal regions of
the world; i.e., boreal, temperate, and tropical.
Further,  examples of reforestation  using native
versus  exotic species were represented as well
as large-scale projects consisting of many solid,
contiguous block plantations  for timber produc-
tion, or distributed small  patches of trees sup-
porting social  forestry land use. Authors pres-
ent eight different combinations and describe
reforestation considerations unique  to each one.

Boreal, Native Species, Block Plantings
  Denis Lavender, reforestation scientist at the
University of British Columbia,  drawing on his
long research career  including experience  in
northern British Columbia, notes on pages 113-
122 these important considerations for  boreal
conditions:

    there are only  a few weeks of frost-free
conditions favorable to planting;

    compressing large-scale  work  into  a few
weeks  requires careful planning;

 •  cold, poorly-drained soils  require special site
preparation techniques;
xu

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 INTRODUCTION
 •  bioclimatic zones are useful guides to species
selection.

Temperate, Native Species, Block Plantings
  Joe Hughes, a third-generation North Carolin-
ian and forest scientist  for Weyerhaeuser Com-
pany,  has spent  many years researching  the
establishment and management of loblolly pine
plantations in the southern U.S.  His list (pages
51-65) of priority considerations for successful
reforestation in a region with high potential for
growing  timber crops  include  the  following
points:

 •  organizational commitments must be consist-
ently maintained  to take full advantage  of  a
favorable growing  environment  and a  very
versatile conifer species such as loblolly pine;

 •  public agencies must develop favorable econ-
omic incentives so  land  managers can sustain
investments in reforestation;

 •  reforestation technology must be backed by
a steady program of research.

Temperate,  Exotic Species, Block Plantings
  Ian Hunter,  reforestation  scientist  for  the
New Zealand  Forest Service, summarizes on
pages 39-50  almost a century of reforestation
experience in New  Zealand which exemplifies
a classic  case of the successful use of an exotic
tree species, radiata pine.  Reforestation  con-
siderations learned by  New Zealand foresters
from this perspective are:

•  don't let early successes develop into over-
reliance  or  over-confidence  on  one  exotic
species;

•  be aware of the risks of a too-narrow gen-
etic base;

•  support the program with sustained and  ad-
equate research and development.
Temperate, Native and Exotic Mix,
Block Plantations
  Douglas Malcolm, Head of the  Department
of Forestry and Natural Resources, University
of  Edinburgh,  outlines on  pages 66-77  the
history of the forest cover of Great Britain  and
the efforts to re-establish conifer plantations of
native Scots pine and exotic Sitka spruce many
years  after  the  lands  had  been  cleared  for
farming.  Important considerations for success
in this afforestation situation  are:

 •   public education is  required before people
will  accept  a change in scenery and  land  use
they are not used to, even if  it is afforestation
of bare lands;

 •   government lawmakers must develop long-
term economic incentives  to maintain large-
scale reforestation programs.

Temperate, Native-Exotic Mix, Block Plantings
and  Social Forestry
  A. N. Chaturvedi, a Senior  Fellow at TATA
Energy Research Institute  in  New  Delhi, pres-
ents on pages 106-112 a survey of reforestation
in India  which dates  back to  the mid-1800s.
India has, in  general,  favorable  growing  en-
vironments  for forest crops.   Their  foresters
have developed  effective  technology  for  es-
tablishing plantations of native teak and bam-
boo  as well  as exotics  represented by several
species of Eucalyptus,  other  hardwoods   and
some conifers.  In  addition,  there is a  long-
standing public interest in reforestation. Never-
theless, these positive factors must be consider-
ed in light of social-political considerations such
as:

•  requires a strong coalition by public agen-
cies, industrial  groups, environmental interests,
farmers, etc., because all have their individual
expectations  which must be coordinated  since
space and money are limited;
                                                                                         Xlll

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      plantation  protection  where  human  and
 animal (particularly goats) densities are high.

 Tropical, Exotic Species, Block Plantations
   Francis  Cailliez,  who directs  the  French
 Centre Technique  Forestier Tropicale, informs
 us about large-scale afforestation in the Congo
 (pages 84-92).  Large plantations of Eucalyptus
 have been  established on savannah lands for
 the purpose of growing wood to serve a newly-
 developing pulp manufacturing industry. Here,
 with  favorable growing  conditions  and a low
 population density,  the important considerations
 are:
 •  use of local labor in plantation establishment
 as much as possible rather than mechanization,
 thereby  providing  jobs,  family  incomes,  and
 greater support by  the Congolese people;

 •  employment of women in seedling  nursery
 production accentuates the above result;

 •  multiclonal hybrid Eucalyptus is recommend-
 ed for  plantations  to  achieve both  low-risk
 genetic diversity and high productivity;

 •   plantations on savannahs require intensive
 weed control for fire protection.

 Tropical, Exotic Species, Social Forestry
  Renato de Jesus,  a  tropical  forest research
 coordinator  and executive in  Brazil,  stresses
 (pages 78-83) that in his country, while refor-
 estation trials date back to the 1800s and oper-
 ational-scale projects with Eucalyptus and Pinus
 exotics began in the 1960s, a broader need is
 restoration of deforested lands.  Plantations for
 carbon sequestration has little meaning;  rather,
 planting in a social forestry sense is much more
 urgent.  The objectives are to help make farm-
 ing sustainable, control erosion and siltation,
 stabilize water tables,  and produce wood  for
 energy.  Special considerations, therefore, from
 this present-day approach in Brazil include:
                                 INTRODUCTION

  •  expanding the use of native species to more
 fully tap the potential  of tropical growing en-
 vironments and retain biodiersity;
  •   increasing silvicultural research to develop
 the use of native species;

  •   implementing forest management practices
 which  maintain land  productivity  and  forest
 health.

 Tropical, Native-Exotic Species Mix,
 Social Forestry
  Mark  Trexler is  Director of the  Carbon
 Sequestration Forestry  Project for  World Re-
 sources Institute. He reports (pages 94-104) on
 a new  and innovative reforestation project  in
 Guatemala. The Applied Energy Service of the
 U.S. has provided start-up funding to promote
 enough  tree  planting in  Guatemala over the
 next 30 years  to sequester carbon equivalent  to
 the emissions  of a new electrical power plant in
 Connecticut.   The  project has  revealed that
 large-scale reforestation in developing tropical
 countries calls for unique considerations; that  is:

 •  working with local people so that the people
 who need the  most help in improving  their
 living conditions get it  and are  involved with
 and committed to the reforestation;

 •   the need for assistance of people with ex-
 perience in tree  planting;

 •  where the  expertise is not provided by gov-
ernment agencies,  then  available sources are
often the representatives of non-governmental
organizations  (NGOs) which are already active
in the areas targeted for reforestation;

 •   production  of  seedlings  in  nurseries  dis-
persed in communities and planting for woodlot
and agroforestry  production.
xiv

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 INTRODUCTION

 CONCLUSIONS

  The key findings are backed by many addi-
 tional considerations in the  texts of  the  ten
 papers.   In addition,  the proceedings  of  the
 one-day follow-up discussion  contributed addi-
 tional information (pages 113-142). Altogether,
 they form a rich assemblage of reforestation
 information which has broadened EPA's know-
 ledge base on international reforestation.
  As with  most gatherings of  people with both
 experience  and  fertile  minds,   serendipitous
 results emerge.   This  workshop followed that
 course, and four points are noteworthy:

 1.  The potential  of large-scale reforestation as
 a means to aid mitigation of increased  atmos-
 pheric CO2 depends on how much land in  the
 world is available.  A considerable pool of land
 exists that might be  "technically suitable"  for
 reforestation and afforestation, particularly in
 the  tropics.  The  size of this  pool is estimated
 to range from a half-billion to almost 2 billion
 hectares.  Such amounts, however, would likely
 be  an upper limit.  What is  actually available
 after social and political limitations are account-
 ed  for, would be a lesser amount.   A clear
 determination  of  the  amounts  is  a  priority
 research question.

 2.  Regarding  economics, reforestation  does
 require money investments. Reforestation
 foresters are quite mindful of this and conversa-
 tions among peers usually  gets around to cost
 comparisons.  David South, Auburn University,
 voluntarily  recorded the costs he  heard men-
 tioned throughout the workshop and presented
 them for a discussion topic.   Quickly giving it
 their  attention,  the  workshop   participants
 offered  refinements,  and  the results  are in-
 cluded  in  Table XXXII, page 124,  for refer-
 ence.

 3.  Social and political considerations were very
 strongly emphasized in all eight  of the  case
 study papers.  It was a particularly  important
 point relative to  developing  nations.   Indeed,
 social   and  political  considerations  for  ac-
 complishing large-scale reforestation turned out
 to be as major as those of an operational and
 ecological nature. It is good that the workshop
 clearly established this perspective.

 4. The fourth fortuitous outcome is a subset of
 number 3, above.  Large-scale reforestation or
 afforestation  projects  mean  more  than  just
 contiguous  block  plantings.   They  can  include
 many small, dispersed plantings as well.  Ex-
 amples are woodlot plantations or integral parts
 of agroforestry systems.  All will sequester car-
 bon, but just as important, these plantings serve
 people in many immediate  and very vital ways.
                                        REFERENCES
Abrahamson, D.E. 1989.  Global warming:  the issue,
impacts,  responses.  In: D.E. Abrahamson (ed.), The
Challenge of Global Warming.  Island Press. Wash. D.C.
p. 3-34.

Smith, J.B. and D. Tirpak, eds.  1989.  The potential
effects of global climate change on the United States.
Report to Congress.  EPA-230-05-89-050, U.S. Environ-
mental Protection Agency. Wash. D.C. 413 pp.

Waring, R.H. and W.H. Schlesinger.  1985. Forest Eco-
systems: Concepts and Management.  Academic Press, Inc.,
New York, N.Y. 340 pp.
                                                                                            XV

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Category/Topics
Table L  Outline of Categories and Topics of the Workshop Papers.

                            Area              Author
Fundamental considerations

        Operational

                Native Species Block Plantings

        Ecological

                Native Species Block Plantings

Case Studies

        Boreal

                Native Species Block Plantings

        Temperate

                Native Species Block Plantings

                Exotic Species Block Plantings

                Mixed Species

                         Block Plantings
                         Block Plantings and
                                 Social Forestry
        Tropical
                 Exotic Species

                         Block Plantings

                         Social Forestry

                 Mixed Species

                         Social Forestry
                              U.S.
                              U.S.
Owston and Turpin
Walstad
                              Northern B.C.    Lavender



                              Southern U.S.    Hughes

                              New Zealand    Hunter



                              Gr.Britain       Malcolm
                              India
                              Congo

                              Brazil
Chaturvedi
Cailliez

de Jesus
                              Guatemala      Trexler
XVI

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       OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS FOR LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
                   PROGRAMS:  A PACIFIC NORTHWEST PERSPECTIVE

                                        Peyton W. Owston
                                        Thomas C. Turpin
                                              Abstract

  Planting tree seedlings seems simple enough-dig a hole, insert the roots of a seedling, repack the soil, and move on to the
next planting spot. An experienced worker can manually plant 500 or more seedlings per day on rough terrain. Machine
planting on level ground goes even faster.  Planting however is only one of many steps in achieving successful reforestation.
The process should begin with careful planning long before a stand is harvested or an area is afforested-or soon after a
disaster results  in deforestation.   The plan must consider factors such  as environmental impacts  and  long-range land
management objectives as well as the reforestation process itself.  Economic considerations, quality control and evaluation
of results must also be included in each of the separate phases of planning and operations.
  History has shown that large-scale tree planting efforts can be successful (Walstad, this volume).  This paper describes the
broad range of factors and complexity of operations that such reforestation programs involve.  We  hope to increase the
awareness of this complexity among policy makers and others who might be initiating new programs. We will do this by
focusing in general on the western United States and in particular on the Siuslaw National Forest in the Coast Range of
western Oregon. The relative importance and operational details of the various aspects of programs will,  of course,  be different
for different ownerships, environments and sociological conditions. We believe, however, that the general aspects  apply fairly
broadly over mountainous regions  of the temperate zones and also illustrate the complexity of large reforestation programs-
- wherever they occur.
GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS

  Large reforestation programs  are made  dif-
ficult  partly  by  the nature of  tree  seedlings
themselves.   Their needs as  living organisms
must always be considered.  Several factors  add
to the problem:  (1) many  of the processes in
reforestation are not one tree's experience in
nature;  (2)  the  remoteness of  most  planting
sites and the large scale of operations make it
economically  prohibitive   to   irrigate  forest
plantations,  which  is  the  one  practice  that
would best ensure reforestation  success  where
moisture deficits  are common during the grow-
ing season; and (3) many reforestation  sites  are
on  unfavorable soils, have high levels  of com-
peting vegetation, and have a  large number of
animals  that can  damage seedlings.
  Time available for accomplishing specific tasks
each year is limiting. Many operations must be
timed  to coincide  with the  time of year that
seedlings are  most resistant to  environmental
stresses, when planting sites are .available, and
when  climate is most  conducive to  seedling
survival.  Most programs cannot be increased in
size simply by planting in more  months  of the
year.
  The  availability of technically knowledgeable
personnel is another consideration. Prescriptions
for  reforestation  operations should  be  site-
specific and developed only after on-the-ground
evaluations by  silviculturists with authority  to
make  decisions.    Thus,  programs  cannot be
increased merely by growing more seedlings and
hiring  more tree planters.

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PACIFIC NORTHWEST PERSPECTIVE
ORGANIZATION, FACILITIES
AND PERSONNEL

  Logically, reforestation programs are manag-
ed  using  the  same organizational framework,
facilities,  and personnel  as other land-based
activities  in  an organization.   This  normally
includes a headquarters for overall coordination
and field  offices   that handle  on-the-ground
operations. Personnel must include  managers
and technical  specialists.  Operational facilities
and major equipment specific to  reforestation
and people  to operate  them  must  also  be
available.    Facilities include seed  processing
plants, seedling nurseries, cold storage buildings
and transportation  systems.
  A successful reforestation program also  re-
quires dependable  seed suppliers and a  large
labor pool. Commonly, actual conduct of the
work  on the planting sites and in  the nurseries
is done  to rigid specifications  by crews con-
tracted to  perform  specific parts of a program.
Their  work should be  rigorously  inspected by
trained employees  of the land  management
organization.  Other participants  in  reforesta-
tion programs are upper- and mid-level manag-
ers, contracting  and  budget  specialists,  and
general office support personnel.   Research
scientists  provide  technical service as well  as
pertinent new knowledge.  Professional special-
ists in fields such as wildlife biology, recreation
and fire control participate in various phases so
that work is integrated with other land manage-
ment activities.
  As  a new approach to making the reforesta-
tion job more efficient, some organizations in
the United States  are using stewardship con-
tracting as a  tool  (Porterie et al, 1986).   A
contractor  takes  responsibility for  successful
establishment  and early  maintenance  of  a
plantation-not just individual steps of planting
or  applying protective treatments. This places
the emphasis on living seedlings rather than on
numbers planted or amount of area treated.
  In the U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest
Service,  most  of  the land-based  activity  is
centered on 159 national  forests,  which  are
commonly 400,000 to 800,000 hectares or more
(1 to 2+ million acres) in size. The forests are
subdivided into ranger districts, which are often
40,000 to more than 80,000 hectares (100,000
to 200,000 acres).  People who conduct or man-
age  the actual  on-the-ground  activities  are
based on the ranger districts. In our example,
the Siuslaw  National Forest consists of 255,000
hectares (630,000 acres)  divided  into  four
ranger districts.   In  any given  year, approxi-
mately 0.8 percent of the Forest is reforested,
additional sites are prepared for future planting,
and young plantations are weeded and thinned.
  Their program focuses on manual planting of
conifer seedlings on  prepared sites, a method
that has been the mainstay of reforestation
programs in the western  United States for the
past 25 years or so.  The  Siuslaw has a success-
ful program that last year resulted  in planting
of almost 3 million seedlings  on  more  than
2,600 hectares (6,500 acres) on some  of the
most productive  forest  land  in   the  world.
Similar annual  totals have occurred  for most of
the past 20  years.  This is not a large program
by world standards, but it  is thorough and effec-
tive.
  Each ranger  district on the Siuslaw employs
a  professional silviculturist  who must  pass a
comprehensive certification examination.   The
silviculturist is  responsible for developing  site-
specific reforestation  prescriptions  and  has a
staff of three  to five people responsible  for
completion  of the various  tasks.   The Forest
headquarters   has  a  staff  silviculturist   who
provides expertise  and  overall direction  for
completion  of  the reforestation program.   This
person works closely with the silviculturists on
the  ranger  districts  as well  as  with research
organizations and contracting sources.

PLANNING

  The  need  for careful,  thorough  planning

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                                                                            P. OWSTON, T. TURPIN
         Animal Damage Control Treatment
                  (Oto+1)
   Plantation Maintenance
     (+1 lo+12 [PCT])
                    Evaluation for corrections &
                     luturo stand management
                          (+1 to +5)
Figure 1. Major Steps in the Reforestation Process for
Typical Harvested Sites in the Western U.S.
cannot be over-emphasized (Cleary et al., 1986;
Williams et al., 1990).  Reforestation is a com-
plicated  process  that  involves coordination of
many different steps  that,  in  turn, have  their
own complications (Figure 1).  Mistakes in any
one of many phases can mean failure  for the
whole effort.  Furthermore, reforestation has to
be  conducted in  concert with  overall  land
management objectives and be coordinated with
other management practices.   Land manage-
ment objectives could be production of wood
products, watershed protection, improvement of
wildlife habitat, recreation or combinations of
several objectives.   Each of the options might
call for different reforestation strategies.
  Planning requires considerable lead time due
to such varied reasons as the need for environ-
mental  analyses and the need to collect suffi-
cient quantities of seed.  Plans  must  also be
flexible enough to allow for changes as condi-
tions warrant.   When disasters such  as the
eruption of Mount St. Helens or the Yellow-
stone fires occur, the planning process must be
compressed in  time.   No matter  what  con-
straints there are, however planners  must never
forget the ecological requirements of the living
organisms, the tree seedlings with  which they
are dealing.
  Planning is  becoming more complicated as
time  goes on:  legal  and other societal con-
straints are increasing;  many more resources
must  be considered than in the past; reforesta-
tion is  becoming more a science than  an art;
and now  we  have an additional management
objective  to consider - mitigation of global
climate change.   Economic objectives  and
constraints must also  be accounted for in the
planning process.
  In  addition  to strategic  planning, a tactical
plan  must be  written for each site.  If a stand
is to be  harvested, the plan must include  a
complete  analysis of the harvest method.  From
a silvicultural standpoint, this is based largely on
the   ecological  requirement  of  the  desired
species and on whether the area  is to be plant-
ed, seeded, or regenerated from natural seed-
fall.   Site characteristics  (e.g., elevation,  soil
type, steepness and slope aspect, and microclim-
ate)  are  very important for  both  the logging
and  reforestation practices.  Plans must  also
deal  with seed source selection and seedling
production; site preparation; planting; methods
of protecting seedlings from heat, drought, and
animal damage; plantation  maintenance;  and
evaluation of results in such  terms  as stocking
levels  and growth.   Timing of the  various
practices  must also be planned so that they are
properly coordinated.

REFORESTATION PRACTICES

  Careful  planning  increases the chances for
success, but conducting large-scale reforestation
programs  is  nevertheless  challenging.    The
sections below  describe the main steps  in the
process.

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PACIFIC NORTHWEST PERSPECTIVE
Sources and Handling of Seed
  Selection, production, collection, and storage
of seed  are  other stops  in the reforestation
process that  must be considered long before
planting  time.  Foresters must use species and
genetic sources that  are well adapted to the
sites  on   which  they  are  to  be  planted.
Research and  testing of new species or seed
sources, done properly,  is a long-term proposi-
tion (Zobel et al, 1987).
  Managers should always  resist  using untried
species or seed  sources-even when disasters
cause sudden, unplanned, and extensive  defor-
estation  of land  that  must  be rehabilitated
quickly.  Plantations composed of poorly adap-
ted species or  seed sources have survived and
grown for a  few years,  but many of  them
deteriorate long before they mature  (Walstad,
this volume).  They also pose the risk of intro-
ducing more genetically undesirable material by
pollinating native trees and by establishing
natural  regeneration   from  poorly  adapted
parents (Ching and Lavender 1978).
  These  ecological considerations  on use of
species and  seed  sources  introduce further
operational complications.  Sub-programs must
be developed to collect,  test and store sufficient
quantities of proper and viable seed to  meet
the needs of production nurseries (Stein et al.,
1974).  Since some major tree species such as
Douglas-fir  (Psuedotsuga  menziesii   ((Mirb.)
Franco)  produce good  seed  crops  irregularly
(Owston and Stein 1974), it can take a number
of years  and sophisticated  storage facilities to
accumulate and maintain sufficient seed  stocks
for large programs.
  Furthermore,  seed-source integrity must be
maintained by  carefully labeling and  tracking
seedlots from the time cones are collected until
the seedlings are planted. A seed and seedling
certification program should be strictly adhered
to,  and  plantation records that  include seed
source identification should be maintained.
  The Siuslaw National  Forest collects all of its
Douglas-fir and western hemlock (Tsuga heter-
ophylla  (Raf.)  Sarg.) seed  from grafted seed
orchards developed  over a  number of years.
Seeds  of  other  species are  gathered  from
parent trees in the forest that have been care-
fully selected  for  favorable  growth and form
characteristics.  These are clearly marked and
mapped for long-term use.

Seedling Production
  The inability to irrigate plantations, vegetative
competition, temperature extremes and damage
from animals make it imperative to plant heal-
thy,  vigorous  nursery stock.   Forest nursery
practice is  a complex, intensive "farming" busi-
ness.  A balance  must be struck  between pro-
duction of  large, vigorous stock and condition-
ing that stock to withstand the rigors of plant-
ing on  harsh  sites with little  follow-up care.
Insects, diseases,  and weather extremes are
constant threats.   Considerable  research, en-
gineering  development  and  operational ad-
vancements have  been  invested  in  nursery
practices in the past  20  years.  Seedlings now
being produced are much better  able  to with-
stand environmental pressures than those grown
in the  past, and improvements are  continuing
(Duryea and Landis  1984).
  Most  of the  tree seedlings used in the wes-
tern United States are grown as bareroot stock
for one to three years in outdoor nursery beds.
The seedlings  are dug from the ground  during
the dormant season,  and protected from  drying
and overheating until planted. Some seedlings,
particularly  in  north-temperate  and   boreal
regions, are produced in small  containers  in
greenhouses or similar  structures that modify
the environment to allow production of plant-
able seedlings  in one growing season  (Tinus
and  McDonald, 1979).    These  seedlings are
usually pulled from their containers and planted
with a  plug  of potting  mixture  around their
roots.  In the tropics,  large containers are often
used; the seedlings grow rapidly and need the
protection of a container and root ball because
they don't have  a true dormant period that

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                                                                            P. OWSTON, T. TURPIN
would allow handling them as bareroot stock.
  The Siuslaw National Forest uses mostly two-
year-old seedlings grown in outdoor beds.  To
promote  good  communication  between  the
nursery managers and land managers, silvicult-
urists  visit the nurseries several times a year.
The Forest pioneered the practice of having a
representative present  at  the nurseries  during
the times their seedlings are being  lifted from
the ground to ensure that moisture stress in the
stock  is at an acceptably low  level and that
proper grading, packing and storage  procedures
are followed.  Improper treatment in any of the
steps  could  result in  high seedling mortality.
Production of high-quality nursery stock in large
quantities will be  one of the  major challenges
of  greatly  enlarged  reforestation   programs.
Capacities of  current  tree nurseries cannot
come close to meeting the needs of the greatly
enlarged programs that would be necessary to
help  mitigate  climate  change  (Walstad, this
volume).    Owners and manager  of private
nurseries now growing ornamental stock would
have to learn how to produce seedlings  condi-
tioned to survive  and grow on  remote forest
sites with much less follow-up  attention than
most  ornamentals  receive.   Developing  new
nurseries  for large  programs requires careful
site selection, considerable financial investment,
and several years  to construct (Morby,  1984).
If reforestation programs do expand dramatical-
ly,  we would  anticipate  an  influx into  the
nursery industry  of untrained   entrepreneurs
hoping to make money quickly with little invest-
ment.  This happened in the Pacific Northwest
during  the  nineteen-seventies when  seedling
needs  expanded and container seedlings  came
into use.  Temptations to use poor stock from
these  types  of  nurseries  would have  to  be
resisted.

Site Preparation
  Preparation of planting sites is often neces-
sary.   The purposes are to  reduce unwanted
vegetation that would compete with the planted
trees, reduce debris from harvesting that physi-
cally  hinders  planting,  and create microsites
favorable  for  seedling  survival.    On  steep
terrain, common in the Douglas-fir regions, use
of  controlled  burning and/or  herbicides has
been the general practice, but recent concerns
about possible adverse environmental or human
health impacts of burning and herbicide use has
resulted in both legally mandated and voluntary
efforts  to reduce or eliminate their use.   This
has caused a shift to preparing sites by mechan-
ical or  manual methods, which have their own
sets  of operational  needs  and  coordination
requirements.  On the Siuslaw National Forest,
current emphasis is to use the logging operation
as the major site  preparation activity.  Planting
is now done without burning on 45 percent of
the area.  Ten years ago, only ten percent of
the area was planted without burning.
  Careful integration  of practices  is necessary.
For  example,  the method of site preparation
will affect the population level of animals that
could potentially  damage planted  seedlings.  If
a  site  is burned,  seedling-damaging  rodents
would be reduced in number but large browsing
animals  may  find  the  open  area attractive
because of the easy  access.   If a  site is left
unburned,  large animals might be  hindered in
reaching the seedlings but rodent populations
may be high enough to jeopardize the  success
of the  planting.   Thus, the size  of seedlings
planted  and  protection  treatments   applied
should  be  coordinated with the  type  of site
preparation conducted.
 Any  large-scale reforestation effort is bound
to  require  substantial  site preparation  efforts.
Much  of this  would probably have to be ac-
complished  by mechanical  or manual  means,
because relatively inexpensive use  of chemicals
and  burning are  becoming  less  socially  and
environmentally acceptable.

Handling and Planting
 Organizations operating large-scale reforesta-
tion programs pay close attention to the biolog-

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 PACIFIC NORTHWEST PERSPECTIVE
 ical needs  of the seedlings.  They are lifted
 from seedbeds when they are most resistant to
 stress, and  they are planted when soil is moist
 enough  to allow establishment of root systems.
 Complexity is increased by the need for coord-
 inated timing of the steps.  For example, seed-
 lings should be  ready  for planting soon after
 the site  is prepared.  Delay of planting allows
 development of potentially  competing vegeta-
 tion or damaging rodent populations.   If seed-
 lings are ready for planting before the site is
 available, seedling quality may  deteriorate if
 lifting is delayed or if seedlings are stored  too
 long.
  Handling  between lifting  and  planting  has
 become  highly sophisticated in many places.
 Nurseries have used  refrigerated storage  for
 some years, and it is now common to freeze
 seedlings for  long-term  storage.   It is  also
 common to  have refrigerated  storage at field
 offices such  as ranger stations.  Seedlings may
 even be  transported  to planting  sites under
 refrigeration and kept  there prior to  planting.
 If refrigeration is  not  available, the seedlings
 are  usually  kept in insulated trucks or under
 reflective "space" blankets until given  to plant-
 ers. The planters carry the seedlings in water-
 proof bags  that  keep  the root systems moist
 until planting.  Each of these steps introduces
 further equipment  and  coordination needs.
  On relatively flat ground, machine-assisted
 planting  gives rapid and fairly  uniform results.
 Nevertheless, machine planting cannot be used
 in much of  the western  United States.  The
 steep,  rough  terrain makes it necessary  for
 individuals to carry seedlings in shoulder bags
 and plant them with hand tools such as shovels,
 spades or special  planting hoes.    Crews are
 trained  to select good planting  spots and to
 plant them properly.  It is common for on-site
 inspectors to dig up sample seedlings  to make
sure planting quality is maintained.  On the
Siuslaw National Forest, virtually all planting is
done by contractors according to strict specifica-
 tions.
  Almost all organizations now have standards
 of  acceptable soil moisture and weather condi-
 tions.  Temperature, humidity and wind speed
 readings are taken periodically during planting.
 When conditions become too drying, planting is
 suspended for the day.  This results in addition-
 al operational complexity because schedules for
 seedling deliveries, crew locations and duration
 of  contracts can be seriously disrupted.
  Planting rows of the same species at close
 spacing is certainly the most efficient operation-
 al technique.  Social opposition to this  sort of
 plantation forestry is growing in many parts of
 the world, however; single-species plantations
 also  tend to  be  more  susceptible to  pests
 (Walstad, this volume).  Conducting large-scale
 reforestation so that it gives a natural appear-
 ance or to reduce  the  potential for pest prob-
 lems (mixed species and/or  non-uniform  spac-
 ing)  is technically  feasible.   It  adds  to the
 operational complexity,  however  because  it
 requires more  careful  planning and more on-
 the-ground supervision if it is to be successful.

 Protective Treatments and
 Plantation Maintenance
  High-quality nursery  stock, planted well and
 at the right time, can  significantly reduce the
 need for  expensive treatments  to  retard  com-
 peting vegetation  and discourage animal  dam-
 age; i.e., vigorous seedlings  are less apt to be
 overtopped  by competitors  and can grow be-
 yond the  size where they are most susceptible
 to animal damage sooner than mediocre stock.
 Once planted, however, seedlings  receive only
 infrequent attention.   Thus, precautions are
 often taken at planting to better ensure survival
 and good early growth.
  Treatments may  include shading  stems near
 the groundline with cardboard or plastic  mater-
 ial on hot, dry, southerly exposure; mulching or
scalping away competing vegetation to conserve
soil  moisture;   and  protecting  from  animal
damage by enclosing the seedlings in plastic-
mesh tubes.

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                                                                               P. OWSTON, T. TURPIN
   Follow-up  treatment  is  often necessary  to
 keep  competing   vegetation   from  seriously
 retarding seedling growth or even  taking over
 the site.   Treatment is done by  mechanical,
 manual, or chemical means  depending  upon
 such factors as site conditions, legal or environ-
 mental  constraints,    and  the management
 objectives.   The treatments may be applied in
 a broadcast  manner over  a  site  or  around
 individual  seedlings.  Several  applications  may
 be necessary before a plantation becomes fully
 established.  These require reliable crews and
 close  inspection,   because  the  potential   of
 damaging the seedlings in the  process is high.
   Surveys of survival and growth are also part
 of the reforestation process.  Examinations  are
 used to determine how well management objec-
 tives are being met and what subsequent treat-
 ments may  be necessary to ensure plantation
 establishment.   They  also provide valuable
 feedback for planning future  projects.   These
 surveys must involve statistically sound sampling
 schemes, because sheer numbers make complete
 surveys prohibitive (Stein 1984).
   On the Siuslaw  National Forest,  the  goal is
 to have  95  percent seedling survival one grow-
 ing season after planting and to require replant-
 ing on no more than five percent of the area
 planted.  In the past five years, the replant rate
 has ranged  from 1.4 percent to 9.4 percent; the
 five percent goal was reached in three of those
 years.   Other areas have  different  problems
 (e.g., drought  rather  than overtopping by non-
 crop vegetation) that require different practices.
 However, the  experience on the Siuslaw show
 that well-planned and well-conducted programs
 can be  highly successful-the principles  should
 apply widely.

 Timber Stand  Improvement
  Following  establishment, new stands may  be
 precommercially thinned to  keep them growing
vigorously and to select for the fastest-growing
well-distributed trees.  Thus, this is  often con-
sidered  as  the last  step in the reforestation
process.    Approximately 70  percent  of  the
young plantations  on  the Siuslaw National
Forest  are  precommercially  thinned-usually
between the ages of 10 to 12 years.  A second
thinning may follow at about age  35 and  will
commonly produce a marketable tree as well as
help keep the stand  growing vigorously.   On
sites  where timber production  is  the  main
objective, final harvest on the Siuslaw occurs
between 60 to 80 years of age,  and  the refor-
estation process begins anew.

REFORESTATION COSTS

  Reforestation  can require  substantial econ-
  Table I.  AN EXAMPLE OF REFORESTATION COSTS:  1989
  COSTS PER HECTARE REFORESTED ON  THE SIUSLAW
  NATIONAL FOREST IN WESTERN OREGON7.
Refers tn.
Component
Surveys (pre-
& post-plant)
Site prep.2
Hand-slash
Brdcsl.burn
Nsy.Stock
(400 sdlgs./ac.)
Planting
(incl admin. costs)
Animal damage control
Release
TOTAL
Cos)/
HA
$ 22

370
618
148
425
408
309
S23003
Area
Treated
100%

20%
55%
100%
100%
80%
60%

Average
Cost/HA
$ 22

74
340
148
425
326
185
S1520
      These costs are an example and are for a specific location,
    organization and yr. They should not be construed as typical of
    all organizations or all situations—even within western Oregon.

      Costs of burning are sometimes charged wholly or partially
    against reducing the hazard of wildfire.  The full costs are
    included here because of the frequent necessity of site prep, to
    obtain successful reforestation.

      This total cost represents the maximum cost for acres on which
    all treatments are applied and charged against reforestation.

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PACIFIC NORTHWEST PERSPECTIVE
omic  investment.   For example,  the Siuslaw
National Forest program cost an  average of
$1,520  per  hectare ($615  per ac.) in  1989
(Table  I).   For sites on which  all possible
treatments  were applied,  the cost  was  $2,300
per hectare  ($930 per  acre).   The cost of
nursery stock and planting combined-the items
usually considered to be the major reforestation
costs by those not familiar with the complexity
of the process-constituted only 38 percent of
the average and only about 25 percent of the
maximum per hectare (acre) costs.   The point
again  is that there is more to reforestation than
planting trees.
  The  Siuslaw comprises some  of the  most
productive forest land in the world, but refores-
tation costs are high, regardless.  Even in areas
where costs are substantially lower,  economics
must be carefully considered before launching
into large-scale programs.
  Reforestation  economics,  of course, involve
much more than summing initial costs.   Willis
and Affleck (1990) and Tunner (1982) describe
methods of evaluating alternatives  from econ-
omic perspectives.

SCIENTIFIC  ADVANCEMENTS

  Reforestation technology is becoming less art
and more science  through time.  Research by
federal, university and private-industry scientists
has, for example, resulted in greater knowledge
of how tree seedlings react to environmental
stresses and in development of new nursery
systems (Tinus and  Owston 1984).   Scientists
arc currently striving to learn how to produce
seedlings specifically tailored by size and condi-
tion to the types of sites on which they are to
be planted. Additional attention is  being paid
to  producing  uniform nursery  stock  (Tinus
1989)  and  to  improving  the quality control in
forest  tree nurseries  (Owston et al,  1990).
Instruments and procedures for testing physio-
logical  quality of seedlings  have been devised
and  are becoming widely  used;  root  growth
potential  (Ritchie,  1985)  and cold  hardiness
(Glerum,  1985)  are two of the most common
tests.
  These efforts  have  good potential for im-
proving the performance of planted  seedlings,
but they also introduce further complexity to
reforestation programs.   The new technology
requires additional expertise, equipment,  more
careful monitoring and closer  coordination of
activities.  Outcomes of tests may also result in
having to change operational  plans  on  short
notice; e.g.,  a lot of seedlings determined  to be
poorly conditioned may have to be held longer
in a  nursery or  given  additional  protective
treatment after planting.
  Some level of testing or research should be
another important part of any on-going refor-
estation program.  This can range from simple
trials  installed out of curiosity to full-fledged
research  programs  for long-term  support  on
large  programs.

SUMMARY

  Successful large-scale reforestation  programs
are attainable, but they are neither simple nor
inexpensive  to conduct.  Reforestation requires
commitment to planning and action by a large
number of  people with an array of different
skills.  If deforested  areas are not reforested
promptly, the growth of competing vegetation
and build-up of animal populations significantly
increase  the  difficulty  and  expense  of the
process.  Breakdown at any one point can often
doom plantations to failure at  a higher cost of
dollars and  time.
  Success must  be measured in terms  of  es-
tablished  plantations-not the  total  area  or
numbers of trees planted.  This  requires an
established  infrastructure, both  strategic and
tactical planning, attention to timing and careful
implementation of the various steps, and follow-
up care  and evaluation.  The steps between
planning and evaluation may include harvesting,
seed collection, seedling production, site prepar-

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                                                                                        P. OWSTON, T TURPIN
ation,  seedling  handling,  planting and  post-
planting protection treatments to reduce vegeta-
tive competition, animal damage, and  tempera-
ture extremes.
  Another  of  the  keys  to  success  is having
professionally-trained decision makers  involved
with on-the-ground observations and prescrip-
tions on each planting site.  As more trees are
planted on more land, the commitment to site-
specific  treatment  must continue.   Attention
should  also be  paid  to  emerging technologies
and research  information  that can  make  the
task more efficient and  successful.
                                             REFERENCES
Ching, K.K. and D.P. Lavender. 1978. "Seeds" in: Cleary,
B.D., R.D. Greaves, and R.K. Hermann (eds.). Regenerat-
ing Oregon's forests.  Corvallis, Oregon:   Oregon  State
University Extension Service: 48-62.

Cleary, B.D.,  B.R. Kelpsas,  and D.R. DeYoe. 1986. Five
Steps to Successful Regeneration Planning. Forest Research
Laboratory Special  Publication 1  (revision).  Corvallis,
Oregon:  Oregon State University. 32 p.

Duryea, M.L.  and T.D.  Landis (eds.). 1984. Forest  Nurs-
ery Manual: Production ofBareroot Seedlings. The Hague:
Marinus Nijhoff/Dr. W. Junk. 385 p.

Glerum, C. 1985. Frost Hardiness of Coniferous  Seed-
lings: Principles and Applications," in Duryea, M.L.  (ed.),
Evaluating Seedling Quality:  Principles, Procedures, and
Predictive Abilities of Major Tests. Corvallis, Oregon: Fo-
rest Research Laboratory, Oregon State University. 107-
123.

Morby, F.E. 1984. "Nursery-site Selection,  Layout, and
Development, in Duryea, M.L. and T.D. Landis (eds.). Fo-
rest Nursery Manual:  Production of Bareroot Seedlings.
The Hague: Marinus Nijhoff/Dr. W. Junk. 9-15.

Owston, P.W., R.G. Miller,  WJ. Rietveld, and  S.E. Mc-
Donald. 1990. "A Quality Control System for Improving
Conifer Nursery  Stock.  Tree Planters' Notes 41(l):3-7.

Owston, P.W.  and W.I. Stein.  1974. "Pseudotsuga  Carr.
Douglas-fir," in Schopmeyer, C.S. (tech. coord.). Seeds of
Woody Plants  in the United States. Agriculture
Handbook 450.  Washington D.C.:  U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Forest Service:  674-683.

Porterie,  G.L., N.B.  Gartley, and  A.J.  Horton.  1986.
"Stewardship  Contracts." Journal of Forestry  84(11):29-
33.

Ritchie, G.A. 1985. "Root Growth Potential:  Principles,
Procedures, and Predictive Ability," in Duryea, M.L. (ed.).
Evaluating Seedling  Quality:  Principles, Procedures, and
Predictive Abilities of Major  Tests.  Corvallis,  Oregon:
Forest Research Laboratory, Oregon State University. 93-
105.

Stein, W.I. 1984.  "Regeneration Surveys: An Overview,"
in New Forests for a Changing World, Proceedings of the
1983 SAF National  Convention;  1983 October  16-20;
Portland, Oregon. Washington, D.C.:  Society of American
Foresters:  111-116.

Stein, W.I.,  P.E.  Slabaugh,  and  A.P.  Plummer.  1974.
"Harvesting, Processing, and Storage of Fruits and Seeds,"
in Schopmeyer, C.S. (tech. coord.). Seeds of woody plants
in the United States. Agriculture Handbook 450. Washing-
ton D.C.: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service:
674-683.

Tinus, R.W.  1989. "Processes and Systems Analysis for
Reducing  Variability in Nursery  Stock,"  Forestry 62
(supplement): 131-141.

Tinus, R.W.   and  P.W.  Owston.  1984.  "Physiology
Research Made Forestation with Container-grown Seed-
lings Successful" in Duryea, M.L. and G.N. Brown (eds.).
Seedling Physiology and Forestation Success.  Dordrecht:
Martinus Nijhoff/Dr. W. Junk. 143-155.

Tunner, A. 1982. "A Procedure for Comparing Altern-
atives in Planting Tree  Seedlings, "_in Scarratt, J.B., C.
Glerum, and  C.A. Plexman (eds.). Proceedings  of the
Canadian Containerized Tree  Seedling Symposium.  1981,
September 14-16, Toronto, Ontario. Sault St. Marie, On-
tario: Department of the Environment, Canadian Forestry
Service,  Great Lakes Forest Research Centre. 407-418.

Walstad, J.D. "Feasibility of Large-scale Reforestation
Projects for  Mitigating  Atmospheric  C02:   Ecological
Considerations." This volume.

Williams, W.C., J.R. Revel,  and  L.P.  Atherton. 1990.
"Reforestation planning," in  Lavender,  D.P., R. Parish,
                                                                                                         9

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PACIFIC NORTHWEST PERSPECTIVE

C.M. Johnson, G. Montgomery, A. Vyse, R.A. Willis, and    C.M. Johnson, G. Montgomery, A. Vyse, R.A. Willis, and
D. Winston (eds.). Regenerating British Columbia's forests.    D. Winston (eds.). Regenerating British Columbia's Forests.
Vancouver:  University of British Columbia Press. 74-84.    Vancouver: University of British Columbia Press. 18-29.

Willis, R.A. and P.N. Affleck. 1990. "Financial Evaluation    Zobel, B J., G. van Wyk,  and P. Stahl.  1987. Growing
of Regeneration Activities.jn Lavender, D.P., R. Parish,     Exotic Forests. New York:  John Wiley & Sons. 508 p.
 10

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                              FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE
                     REFORESTATION PROJECTS FOR MITIGATING
                                    ATMOSPHERIC CO2 -
                              ECOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS

                                        John D. Walstad
                                            Abstract

 Prospects for establishing and tending new forest plantations on a large scale to help mitigate CO2 buildup are discussed
with respect to suitable land area available, technical know-how, operational experience, ecological factors, vulnerability to
pests, and socio-economic considerations. The analysis indicates that most of the enormous land area required will necessarily
come from marginal and nonforest sites, including some agricultural land.  Because such lands are not naturally conducive
to growing trees, extraordinary measures will be required to establish, protect and sustain artificial plantations. Nevertheless,
the technologies and information exist to install and manage plantations on a large scale provided sufficient funds, expertise
and willpower are available. Considerable planning and analysis should be done before initiating such ventures in order to
minimize the inherent risks and to maximize the potential for success.
INTRODUCTION

  This  paper deals with  ecological  considera-
tions in  establishing large-scale  reforestation
projects to help mitigate the buildup of CO2 in
the  atmosphere.   Because of the broad con-
notation of the  term "ecological considerations,"
it is  necessary to describe what will and will not
be covered.   First, three questions  which will
not be  answered to any great extent.
  1) Can  sufficient carbon be sequestered in
artificially established plantations to have any
appreciable effect on the CO2 concentration of
the  atmosphere?   As a  partial answer to this
question, Sedjo (1989 a, 6)  calculated that a
minimum of  1.15 billion additional  acres  (0.47
billion hectares) of plantation would be needed
to stabilize atmospheric CO2  concentrations at
current levels.  This  is  an area equivalent to
approximately 1.5 times the total forested area
of the  United  States, or about 75  percent of
the nonforested land area. And it represents a
scale five times greater  than  the current 230
million  acres (93 million hectares) already under
plantation culture  throughout the world.
  2) Are  the  labor, capital, planting  stock,
equipment and energy requirements necessary
to establish plantations  at a scale substantially
greater  than  what  is  already  being  done
available?  Again, Sedjo (1989 a,  b) estimated
that at least $372 billion would be needed to
establish plantations  on the  scale  needed to
mitigate CO2 buildup.  This  is almost  10 per-
cent of the annual GNP for the U.S.  Addition-
al funds would be required for plantation main-
tenance and protection.
  Furthermore, the  planting  of large acreages
will  require  substantial  numbers of seedlings.
This in turn  will require the construction of
new nurseries  because  current  nurseries  (at
least in Oregon and  Washington)  are  already
producing  at  70 percent or  more of capacity
(USDA Forest Service,  1990).
  3) What long-term socio-economic and  en-
vironmental changes  (both positive and  nega-
tive) might  be associated with vast  changes in
the landscape from  its natural or existing state
to one occupied by plantation forests?   Many
of these changes are too difficult to forecast
given our limited understanding of the complex
array of interactions among cultural, economic
and  ecological  forces, particularly at regional
                                                                                             11

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FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS
and global scales.
  In short, there are some very sobering prob-
lems of  scale associated  with any substantive
efforts to  mitigate atmospheric CO2  buildup
through plantation forestry.  But the formidable
magnitude of such  a  task should not deter us
from a rational examination of its prospects.  A
lot  is  potentially at  stake,  and extraordinary
measures may be needed to mitigate impending
changes  in global  climate  and  local environ-
mental conditions. Thus, this paper will address
the following topics:
  1)  Opportunities  for establishing plantation
forests on sites where they  currently do not
exist.
  2) Pest problems, environmental constraints,
and periodic disturbances  such as fire, frost and
drought  that can affect the success of planta-
tions.
  3) Potential problems associated with estab-
lishing so-called "monocultures" on a large scale
for extended  periods  of  time over  several
rotations.

OPPORTUNITIES FOR
PLANTATION FORESTRY

  The  opportunities  for  establishing artificial
plantations fall into three distinct categories:
  1) Productive  forest land not currently cover-
ed by trees;
  2) Marginal forest land that is understocked
or nonstocked;
  3) Nonforest land that could support trees if
managed accordingly.

Productive Forest Land
  The  opportunities for  additional large-scale
reforestation projects on productive forest land
are somewhat  limited because reforestation is
already being done  to a considerable extent. In
the U.S., for example, almost 3.5 million acres
(1.4  million ha.) are regenerated each year,
requiring over  2.3 billion  seedlings  (USDA
Forest Service, 1989).  Thus, sizeable reforesta-
tion efforts are already underway in  the U.S.
and other developed countries.  It is likely that
such efforts will  continue where the  inherent
productivity of the site justifies economic invest-
ment in intensive silviculture (cf. Farnum, et al.,
1983).
  Some  less-developed  countries  also have
aggressive  reforestation programs.  Chile, for
example,  has  been establishing  radiata  pine
(Pinus  radiata)1 plantations at a rate of almost
200,000 (81,000 ha.) acres per year for the last
10 years,  endowing it with the largest  radiata
pine holdings (2.8 million acres,  or 1.1  million
ha.) in the world (Jelvez, et al, 1990).
  Reforestation of productive  forest  land not
only makes  good economic  and ecological
sense, it is often required by law. For  example,
several of the states and provinces in the U.S.
and  Canada now  have  forest  practices acts
stipulating  that   forest  lands  be   promptly
restocked to prescribed  levels after harvesting.
In addition, national  legislation in both coun-
tries requires that federal agencies ensure the
reforestation of lands  they are responsible for
managing.  The only exceptions are wilderness
and  national parks, where natural  events  are
allowed to run  their course with minimal inter-
ference by managers.
  Thus,  the  incremental  opportunities  for
reforestation of  productive forest lands  are
confined to special situations:
  1) Areas damaged by fire, pests, storms and
pollution;
  2) Areas occupied by brush and low-value or
noncommercial species;
  3) Deforested areas resulting from short-term
agricultural and  domestic uses (principally  in
the tropics and developing countries).

  Restoration of  Damaged Areas.  Most areas
in  North  America damaged  by  fire,  pests,
storms and other agents are promptly reforest-
ed.  Programs  of planting and direct seeding
usually follow such catastrophes.  For  example,
several  thousand acres  of burned-over land
12

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                                                                                   J. WALSTAD
 have already been planted since the fall, 1987,
 wildfires in southwestern Oregon.   Efforts are
 underway   to  rehabilitate  South   Carolina's
 coastal forests following the destruction caused
 by Hurricane Hugo on  September 22,  1989.
 Even 42 percent (63,000 acres, or 25.5 ha.) of
 the  devastated blast zone surrounding Mount
 St. Helens has  been  planted  (Winjum et al,
 1986).  Much of the remainder has been set
 aside as a  national monument.

  Conversion  of  Brushfields  and  Low-Value
 Stands. Rehabilitation of brushfields and thick-
 ets  previously  occupied by commercial  tree
 species is  also  underway.  The FIR (Forestry
 Intensified  Research)  Program  in southwest
 Oregon has shown the biological feasibility of
 restoring  128,000  acres  (52,000 ha.)  to  the
 timber base in southwestern Oregon (Walstad
 and  Tesch, 1989), much of it dominated  by
 sclerophyll shrubs and hardwoods.  A program
 in British Columbia known as the Forest Re-
 source  Development  Agreement  (FRDA) is
 directed at reclaiming  over 1.8 million  acres
 (.73  million ha.)  of  nonstocked  good-  and
 medium-site land in that province (Canada-
 British  Columbia  Forest Resources Develop-
 ment Agreement, 1986).  Similar efforts  are
 underway in other regions  of  the continental
 U.S. and Canada.
  Timber type conversion from hardwoods  to
 conifers is  also underway on selected  sites in
 the South, the Lake States and  the coastal zone
 of the Pacific Northwest.  Whether such con-
version will lead  to  any net gains in CO2 bal-
 ance is questionable, however.  Many of these
sites might  be  better  managed for hardwood
production, perhaps in perpetuity.
  Type  conversion  is  also underway  in   the
tropics, principally in areas undergoing develop-
ment.  Perhaps the most noteworthy example is
the Jari project in the northeastern-most region
of Amazonia (Hornick, et al, 1984).  Originally
part of a grandiose scheme by shipping magnate
Daniel K. Ludwig  to export high-grade  pulp to
 international markets, over 270,000 acres (109,-
 000 ha.) of gmelina,  eucalyptus and Caribbean
 pine have been established since 1968.
  Another ambitious effort is underway near
 Aracruz, on the eastern coast of Brazil (Bran-
 dao, 1984).   Inititated  in  1967,  the Aracruz
 project (Aracruz Florestal) is already producing
 enough high-grade eucalyptus fiber to run  a
 large pulp mill.
  Targeting for high-yield rotations of 5-9 years,
 the  aforementioned  operations   hold  great
 promise for  raising the standard of  living of
 native Brazilians while  minimizing  the area of
 natural forest converted to  other uses.

  Reclamation of  Deforested Areas.   Oppor-
 tunities to restore degraded forest areas are
 principally located in the developing countries.
 Centuries of  forest  exploitation in Asia, the
 Middle East and parts of southern Europe have
 left  a legacy of depauperate stands  and waste-
 land (e.g., Harou et al., 1985).
  More recently, clearing of the tropical forest
 for agricultural and development purposes in
 Africa and South  America  has threatened the
 ecological stability of these  regions.  Estimates
 of the rate of tropical deforestation range from
 17.5 to 50 million acres (7.1 to 20.2 million ha.)
 per year (Sedjo and  Clawson,  1983),  with the
 current total of degraded forest land estimated
 at about 500  million acres  (202 million hec-
 tares)  (Grainger,  1988).   Clearly,  substantial
 opportunities  exist  to   rehabilitate  degraded
 areas through  both natural regeneration and
 plantation  forestry.   Fortunately,  there  have
been some remarkable successes such as in the
state of Minas Gerais in eastern Brazil, where
250,000 acres  (202 million  ha.) per  year  of
degraded scrub brushland are being  planted to
eucalyptus  and pine  (B. J.  Zobel,  1990,  pers.
comm.).

Marginal Forest Lands
  The greatest opportunity to expand plantation
forestry in  the U.S. is on  the  marginal forest
                                                                                         13

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FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS
Table tt  MARGINAL FOREST LAND IN THE U.S.7
   Regio*   NatL  Other  Indus-  Private     Total
          For.  Public by
                (thouaad acres)*
   East      635   2,536 237   6,283       9,691

   West     33120 112,110 476  47,741      193,446

   Total     33755 114,646 713  54,024      203,137


   1 Data from Waddell et al. (1989), descr. as "other forest
   land."

   •acres x 0.405 = ha.
lands adjacent to productive forests.   From a
silvicultural  perspective,  marginal lands  are
those where tree growth tends to  be  relatively
poor (Wessels, 1984).  High-elevation sites and
those along  the fringe of forested regions are
two  examples.  The most recent estimates for
the  U.S.  indicate that over 200 million acres
(81 million ha.) are in this category (Waddell et
al., 1989). Most of the marginal land is located
in the western U.S., and about 75  percent of it
is  in the public domain (Table II).
  In Canada, the opportunity  to expand  forest
acreage  is   more  problematic  because   most
unproductive land adjacent to forests consists of
muskeg,   rock barrens,  marshes,  etc., that  is
unsuitable for  producing merchantable   trees
(Bonner,  1985).   Nevertheless,  there are sig-
nificant opportunities to enhance the produc-
tivity of  "not satisfactorily  restocked" (NSR)
forest land.  Indeed, the acreage in this catego-
ry amounts to over 50 million  acres (81 million
ha.), or  about 10  percent of the commercial
forest land base of Canada  (Honer and Bick-
erstaff,  1985).   As  a  consequence,  federal,
provincial and industrial constituents in Canada
have greatly  accelerated the level of silvicultural
attention  being given to NSR lands  in recent
years (c/., Reed, 1986;  Kuhnke,  1989).
  Poor-Quality Sites.  Certain tree species are
adapted  to  existence on  poor-quality  sites,
frequently characterized by thin, rocky soils and
harsh climatic conditions. Nevertheless, a variety
of silvicultural techniques can be  used to in-
crease the carrying capacity of these lands. For
example,  the  use  of vigorous, well-adapted
planting  stock,  coupled  with  adequate  weed
control for  the first  few  years,  will permit
conifers to thrive on hot,  droughty foothills of
southwestern Oregon previously dominated by
brush (Helgerson et al, 1990).

  High-Elevation  Sites.  The regeneration  of
high-elevation  sites   poses   a  more   difficult
challenge because of the short growing season
and extremely cold conditions. Where harvest-
ing is appropriate, more complicated systems of
management than simple clearing and planting
may   be  required  to  successfully  regenerate
these areas in many instances (e.g.,  Atzet  et al.,
1984). Carefully planned  partial cuts designed
to foster and protect periodic natural  regenera-
tion may be the most feasible approach to take
in managing  these  sites.   Subalpine forests
ranging  from  the  Cascades  in Oregon and
Washington to  the Alps in Europe  often are
amenable to this form of regeneration.

Nonforest Land
   Afforestation  of nonforest land constitutes
the final category of  opportunities for planta-
tion  forestry.  Indeed, if Sedjo's (1989  a,  b)
estimates are correct,  a great deal of nonforest
area will be needed if new plantations are to
have  a significant  effect on CO2 balance.  It
will include prairie and savannah,  agricultural
cropland and arid wasteland.
   Fortunately,  the  literature  abounds   with
examples of successful attempts to  establish
forests in  such  areas  previously occupied  by
grass,  shrubs,   agricultural  crops  and  other
nonforest vegetation.  Plantings have even been
established  in urban and  suburban settings to
provide recreational opportunities  and to im-
14

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                                                                                    J WALSTAD
prove aesthetic conditions (e.g., Cohen, 1985).
   Efforts  to  establish  forest plantations  in
nonforest areas are often risky ventures because
they represent unnatural situations. Maladapta-
tion of planting stock and premature exhaustion
of  site resources,  such as  soil  moisture,  are
problems frequently encountered in such af-
forestation  efforts.    Nevertheless,  there  are
enough successful  experiences both here and
abroad to make this a feasible option in at least
some areas.  Recent advances in  clonal propa-
gation may facilitate the selection and deploy-
ment of stock adapted to such sites (Libby and
Rauter, 1984).

  Prairie and Savannah.  A classic example of
afforestation in the U.S. is the Nebraska Na-
tional Forest,  established  in the  sand hills  of
central and western  Nebraska in 1902 (Hunt,
1965 a, b).  About 30,000  acres (12,000 ha.) of
plantation  now  exist in  an  area  previously
consisting of prairie grassland.
  Another  example  of successful  afforestation
involves a project by AMCEL (Amapa Florestal
e Celulose S.A.) in northern Brazil (McDonald
and Fernandes, 1984).  Here,  close to 200,000
acres (81,000 ha.) of Caribbean pine have been
established  on  grass  savannahs  in  an effort
designed to produce chips for  export to Japan,
Europe and  the U.S.  Considered the world's
largest tropical pine plantation, it is  scheduled
for harvest after just 12 years from planting.
Almost one  million acres  (0.4 million ha.)  of
pine have also been established in the Orinoco
region of Venezuela (B. J.  Zobel, pers. comm.).
  In northern Europe, sand drift  was a major
problem in the 17th  and  18th centuries because
of overgrazing by livestock.   This led  to the
establishment of large plantations as a means of
stabilizing  the  soils  in  Denmark,  Holland,
northern Germany and Great Britain  (N. Koch,
1990, pers. comm.).

  Cropland. More recently, attempts have been
made  to  establish   short-rotation  intensive
culture (SRIC)  hardwood plantations on non-
forest land  (particularly marginal-to-good agri-
cultural land) in the western,  midwestern and
southern U.S. as a means of providing biomass
for conversion  to pulp, gasoline and gaseous
fuels  (Ranney, et al.,  1987).   Coppice planta-
tions  of species such  as tulip  poplar,  silver
maple,  sweetgum,  American sycamore,  black
locust, alder, willow, eucalyptus and poplar have
been  established  throughout  the  U.S.  since
1978.  Similar efforts are underway in Europe
and elsewhere (N. Koch, 1990, pers. comm.).

  Arid  Wasteland.    Even  exceedingly  arid
regions such as  the  Middle East and northern
Africa are  amenable to afforestation if proper
cultural  steps  are  taken such  as  irrigation,
fertilization,  weed control,  pest control and
selection of appropriate species and stock type
(e.g.,  Cohen, 1985; Harou et al.,  1985).  Israel,
for example, has increased  its  forested area
from  100,000 acres (40,000  ha.) in the early
1950s  to almost 300,000  acres  (121,000  ha.)
today (Cohen, 1985); and this has been achiev-
ed in  a  region  receiving  less  than  10  inches
(25.4  cm.)  of rain  per year in  many places.
These forests now provide a steady  stream  of
products such as particleboard, fuel  (including
charcoal and hogfuel),  lumber,  stakes  and
fenceposts, as well as greenspace  for recreation
and aesthetics.
  To  summarize  this section on  opportunities
for plantation forestry, viable options exist  to
expand ongoing  efforts in three general  areas:
  1) Restoration of recently damaged or defor-
ested  areas;
  2) Conversion of  marginal land  adjacent  to
productive  forest land;
  3) Afforestation of nonforest land presently
covered  by other  vegetation.    (Note:   this
category includes reforestation of  lands that
have been deforested for many decades or even
centuries.)
                                                                                          15

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FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS
FACTORS AFFECTING
PLANTATION FORESTRY

  This section will address some of the factors
that should be considered  in evaluating the
feasibility of successfully establishing and  man-
aging plantations on a large  scale with respect
to the three categories of opportunity:
  1. recently deforested areas;
  2. marginal forest lands;
  3. nonforest lands.
  The discussion is divided into three parts:
    a. plantation establishment,
    b. plantation maintenance,
    c. multi-rotation considerations.
There  are positive  and  negative aspects as-
sociated with all three phases.

Plantation Establishment
  With respect to plantation establishment,  a
positive aspect is that we know a lot about it,
particularly in  temperate forest regions.   We
understand the critical factors affecting seedling
survival and growth.   We have  the  technical
knowledge to manipulate these factors to assure
successful establishment of seedlings.   And we
have lots of experience in doing it on an opera-
tional scale.
  For example, we know that it is necessary to
carefully match species, provenance and  stock
type to the site to be reforested (e.g., Zobel, et
al, 1987).  We also know that  the  seedlings
must be  cultured and handled properly during
the nursery and outplanting  phases (e.g., De-
Yoe, 1986; Ritchie, 1989). Suitable mycorrhizal
fungi must be  present on the seedlings or on
the site to establish  the critical symbiotic rela-
tionship linking the seedlings' roots to the soil
microenvironment (e.g., Iyer  et al., 1980;  Perry
et al.,  1987).   We know  that site preparation
and vegetation management are  needed to
facilitate  seedling   establishment  and   rapid
growth (e.g., Walstad and Kuch,  1987).  And
we know that  protection from excessive heat
loads,  herbivores and diseases are sometimes
needed  to  maintain  adequate  survival  and
growth  of seedlings (e.g., Helgerson  et  al,
1991).
  As  mentioned  earlier,  this  knowledge  is
sufficient to support a reforestation enterprise
that encompasses almost 3.5 million acres each
year in  the U.S. alone.   Operational programs
ranging from  the  Civilian Conservation Corp
plantations and shelterbelts2 of the 1930s to the
Soil Bank reclamation efforts^ of the  1950s to
Weyerhaeuser Company's High  Yield  Forestry
ventures4 of the 1960s and beyond,  all attest to
the success of plantation forestry. Many of the
short-rotation  tropical plantations are in their
third  generation.  In the southern U.S. we are
presently harvesting  the "Third Forest," and
planting the fourth.  And in Europe, several
generations of forests have been harvested and
replanted.   In short, we know how  to plant
trees  and manage plantations.
  The problem is that most of our  knowledge
and experience are limited to  productive forest
sites.  Except for  a few special cases like  the
Nebraska National  Forest and AMCEL  opera-
tions  described earlier, most of our interest and
activity   have   been  directed  at  commercial
timberland.5 Consequently, we often lack infor-
mation  about  what it  will take  to  establish
seedlings on  marginal or nonforest land.   In-
deed, we may even  lack species or provenances
capable of surviving the rigors  of outplanting in
many atypical  environments.
  Selection of  well-adapted genetic stock will
be  particularly important.   We  probably have
more latitude in moving species or provenances
of  species  across  broad  geographies  if  the
topography is  gentle than  if it is mountainous
(Silen,  1989).   For example,  Weyerhaeuser
Company has had  considerable  success  in
culturing  plantations  of  loblolly  pine  from
North Carolina sources  in  Arkansas  and Ok-
lahoma  (Lambeth  et al., 1984).  Indeed,  the
provenance  trials they have conducted  in  the
mid-South region over the past  five to twenty-
five years  indicate that the  North  Carolina
16

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                                                                                   J. WALSTAD
sources of loblolly pine routinely  outperform
local stock, even under conditions of record-
breaking cold weather  (e.g., December,  1983)
and drought (e.g., summer,  1980).
  In  highly mountainous regions, however, the
flexibility to move stock is more limited (Silen,
1989).  Because each 400-foot (122 m.) rise in
elevation is equivalent to about one degree of
latitude movement northward, severe  problems
can be encountered  in trying to move stock
from one elevational zone to another. Accord-
ing to Silen, the principal limitation appears to
be the length of the growing season (or freeze-
free  period), and he cautions against moving
stock where  there is  more  than a 10-day dif-
ferential (400 feet in elevation or 1° in latitude)
from where it originated.
  If care is taken to match  species or proven-
ance  to  environmental conditions, then con-
siderable latitude exists to establish trees in
exotic environments.  Hermann (1987) describes
the  remarkable  success of North American
Douglas-fir, grand fir,  noble  fir, Sitka  spruce
and lodgepole  pine in  Europe.  For example,
plantations of Douglas-fir exist in 24 European
countries and have become a  significant com-
ponent of the forest landscape during the past
century.   Numerous  additional  examples  are
given in the text by Zobel et al. (1987).
  Sometimes  the performance  of a species
outside its  natural range is  better than within.
Such  is the case for  Monterey (radiata) pine,
which has done extremely well in places  as far
away  as Australia, New Zealand  and  Chile.
Within portions of its  native range in coastal
California,  it is a relatively short, branchy tree,
but in more southerly latitudes it grows tall and
straight.  Consequently, it has become a  major
forest crop in those countries.
  The success of exotics is  more the exception
than the rule, however (Zobel et al.,  1987).
Silen  (1989) cites numerous instances where
local  species  and provenances  have outper-
formed introduced stock.  He also points out
the importance  of long-term testing of exotics
before large-scale adoption.  At the Wind River
Arboretum  in  southwestern Washington, for
example, it  took 40 years before a  Colorado
variety of Douglas-fir succumbed to the en-
vironment. Species from more southerly origins
often grew  vigorously for 20-40 years before
being killed  by the "Deep Freeze" of 1955.
  Thus extreme caution should be exercised as
we  endeavor to move species  or provenances
beyond their natural range. Fortunately, forest-
ers  and geneticists are cognizant of such risks
and  have developed  appropriate  measures to
deal with them (cf., Zobel, et al., 1987; Ledig,
1988).  The seed  zone maps  for sugar pine
developed by Campbell and Sugano (1987) are
one example.  The clinal design for Douglas-fir
seed  orchards  advocated by Silen   (1989)  is
another.  It  should be borne  in mind, however,
that we are  venturing into the  unknown as we
stretch the sites on which trees will be planted
beyond their natural range.   Furthermore, the
uncertainty  of adverse climatic changes in the
future further  compounds the risk  associated
with plantation culture, particularly using exotic
species.
  Insects and  disease  can also interfere with
plantation establishment,  particularly in  exotic
or off-site situations. For example, Hodges and
May (1972)  describe a devastating root disease
that colonized southern pines planted in Brazil,
and Scriven  et al.  (1986) describe  an infestation
of longhorn borers introduced from Australia
into eucalyptus plantings in southern California.
Slow-growing, off-site  ponderosa  pine  planta-
tions  in the  western Sierra Nevada of northern
California are  considered more vulnerable to
damage by the gouty pitch midge  (Ferrell et al,
1987).
  Vegetation management in the form of site
preparation  and release  from competition is a
prerequisite to successful seedling establishment
on almost all forest sites. Extraordinary levels
of such weed control  may be  required  to es-
tablish plantations  on marginal and  nonforest
lands.  We know this is  true for  the establish-
                                                                                          17

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FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS
ment of shelterbelts  and short-rotation hard-
wood energy  plantations on  agricultural sites
(Ranney et al.,  1987;  Baer,  1989).  It is also
essential on areas dominated by shrubs and
grasses (Walstad and Kuch, 1987).
  Care in  handling and planting  of seedlings
will  be necessary (cf.  DeYoe, 1986).   And
artificial inoculation with mycorrhizal fungi may
be  required (cf.  Molina  and Trappe,  1982;
Perry et al, 1987).  This  may be particularly
important  on  marginal and  nonforest sites,
assuming mycorrhizal strains  adapted  to such
sites can be found.  Finally, the time required
to  secure  successful  establishment  and  full
occupancy  of  the sites will  depend  on  the
inherent fertility of the site;  marginal  and low
productivity sites will take longer to regenerate
than productive forest sites.
  All of these  factors  will   make  plantation
establishment  on marginal and nonforest sites
expensive, perhaps prohibitively so. And if one
factors in the  fossil fuel energy required to  do
the job using conventional technology, the net
impact on CO2 balance may well be negative.
  The  task will not  be much easier on  the
productive  forest sites that have been damaged,
mismanaged or otherwise degraded.  The base
of knowledge and  biological resiliency associat-
ed with these areas makes reforestation a more
probable success, however. Reclamation of the
impoverished cotton farms in the southern U.S.
by the natural and artificial reestablishment of
loblolly and shortleaf pines is a classic example.

Plantation  Maintenance
  The  encouraging  aspect  about  plantation
maintenance, like  that for plantation establish-
ment,  is that we  know  how to  do  it.  We
understand the principles of thinning,  fertiliza-
tion,  genetic  selection  and  protection.  We
know how  stands  grow,  and we can accurately
forecast their  development in many situations
using sophisticated growth and yield models.
  We also have had  considerable experience
managing stands for extended periods of time,
approaching  two-and-a-half  centuries  in  the
temperate forest regions  of Europe  (Zobel et
al., 1987). Indeed, the record of success is such
that managed stands are the  rule rather than
the exception nowadays for many of the world's
forests.   In short,  we know  how to  manage
stands — at least for timber production.
  The  problem is  that we lack  site-specific
information  for managing stands on marginal
and  nonforest  sites.   The principal  stumbling
block is  the uncertainty associated with  trying
to grow  a stand for  long periods of  time -
often several decades or more — on sites where
the species  may not  be sufficiently adapted.
Once-in-30-year droughts or cold snaps have a
habit of recurring  every  30 years or  so, and
they can devastate  a stand that previously had
been  doing quite well. The sudden  topkill of
mature eucalyptus trees growing on the hillsides
of Berkeley, California, after a severe  frost in
December, 1972, is but  one  example  of this
kind  of  risk.    Other examples  are cited  by
Zobel et al.  (1987)  and Silen (1989).
  We encountered  a more subtle phenomenon
during the  course  of the FIR Program  in
southwestern Oregon.  A mixed plantation of
Douglas-fir and ponderosa pine established  on
a droughty site performed quite well  for  the
first seven years after planting.  In the eighth
year,  however,  the  Douglas-fir  began  to die,
whereas  the pines continued to  thrive.   Upon
examination,  it was revealed that the roots of
the pines had  penetrated the saprolyte -  a
fractured layer  of  bedrock with considerable
water-holding  capacity (Newton  et al., 1988).
For some reason, the Douglas-fir  roots failed to
penetrate this layer and became vulnerable to
drought stress by early summer as soil moisture
in the upper profile was exhausted.
  Other  than  selecting  species  or ecotypes
naturally adapted to the rigors  of adverse sites,
not  much can  be  done  to  overcome  these
environmental  obstacles.   Irrigation  and frost
protection generally  are  not  feasible.   Site
preparation  and  fertilization  are  expensive.
18

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                                                                                    J. WALSTAD
And  conventional  breeding  programs  that
primarily select for rapid growth rate at the ex-
pense of hardiness may exacerbate the problem
(Silen, 1989).
  Weed control will help for a time, but even-
tually the  trees reach  a size  where  they are
competing with  themselves  more  than  with
other vegetation.   For  example,  control  of
manzanita  extended the life of Douglas-fir in
the situation described above  in  southwestern
Oregon (Newton et al., 1988).  The Douglas-fir
themselves, however, began to exhaust acces-
sible soil moisture supplies by the eighth year.
  Pests are also likely to be a serious problem
in  plantations  established  on marginal and
nonforest sites (cf. Wessel, 1984;  Zobel et al,
1987).   This is  because the  trees  are  often
growing  under  stress,  which increases  their
vulnerability  to bark beetles, wood borers, root
diseases and  other pests (cf. Waring, 1985).  In
addition, the lack of vegetative diversity in such
plantations often  creates favorable conditions
for a variety  of herbivores ranging from pocket
gophers  to tipmoths and  defoliators.   If the
planting stock is of foreign origin, there is the
constant threat of introduced pests becoming a
serious problem.  This happened to radiata pine
plantations in Brazil, East-Central Africa,  New
Zealand,  and  Zimbabwe  when  Dothistroma
needle  blight  was  inadvertently  introduced
(Zobel et al., 1987).
  Alternatively, relatively benign native  organ-
isms can suddenly become serious  problems for
exotic or off-site plantations.   The destruction
of eucalyptus plantations in the tropics by leaf-
cutting ants is one example of this  phenomenon
(cf., Hornick et al.,  1984; McDonald and Fer-
nandez, 1984).
  The  issue   of  vulnerability of  plantations
(especially monocultures or  clones of single
species with  limited genetic variability) to pest
problems  is  a complicated  one.    There  are
numerous  examples  of  relatively  pest-free
situations or situations where the  pests  have
been easily controlled.   Conversely, there are
many  instances  where pests  have  virtually
precluded plantation forestry or  restricted  its
utility.  Appendix A lists some of the kinds of
pests likely to increase in importance under
plantation forestry.
  Conventional wisdom  suggests that mixtures
of diverse forest species  are less  vulnerable
than pure stands  (Johnson, 1976; Smith, 1990).
This  is because   dramatic  declines  of multi-
species forests rarely occur, whereas the sudden
demise of a single  species is quite common.
Thus, the outbreak of virulent chestnut blight,
introduced into the eastern U.S. in the early
20th century, virtually eradicated  the chestnut
tree for all intents  and purposes, but  hardly
affected  the  overall  long-term  structure  of
eastern forests  because  of the  presence  of
resistant species  that filled the void.  On  the
other  hand, vast expanses of relatively pure
pine stands in  the southern and western U.S.
have been killed  by periodic epizootics of bark
beetles, dramatically changing the landscape.
  Nevertheless, there are cases where diverse,
multi-species forests are  vulnerable to pest
outbreaks as well. One recent example involves
the "omnivorous" gypsy moth, which  has defoli-
ated vast  expanses of mixed deciduous forests
in the eastern U.S.
  There are also instances where relatively pure
natural stands and  exotic  plantations  have
proven to be  relatively pest-free.   Natural
monocultures of  Sitka  spruce growing in the
fogbelt of  the  Pacific Northwest  are  one
example.  The sustained performance of exotic
Douglas-fir plantations in Europe is yet another
(Hermann, 1987). In most cases, however, it is
just  a matter of  time before plantations,  like
any forest, become vulnerable to pests.
  Finally, wildfire is a perpetual risk in planta-
tions,  even those established on productive
forest sites.  The  risk is likely to be more acute,
however, on marginal sites where drought is
more frequent (e.g., McDonald and Fernandez,
1984; Cohen, 1985;  Harou  et al., 1985).  The
problem is often  exacerbated by the presence
                                                                                          19

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FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS
of highly flammable chaparral and grass species.
The Nebraska National Forest, for example,
suffered  a devastating  wildfire in  May,  1965,
that started in adjacent prairie during a  light-
ning storm  (Hunt, 19656).  One-third of the
forest (11,000 acres) (4,450 ha.) was destroyed
before the fire was extinguished.
  Despite the  aforementioned problems, the
investments being made in plantation culture
throughout the world suggest that the  risks are
manageable.  The keys to success are maintain-
ing a broad genetic base of the species to be
planted,  matching the adaptability of the  stock
to the site, maintaining  soil fertility, controlling
weeds and pests,  periodically thinning the  stand
so the trees do not become stressed,  and har-
vesting the stand before crop tree vigor begins
to  decline.    Constant  vigilance  is  required
throughout  the process  to protect  plantations
from untimely losses.

Multiple-Rotation Considerations
  Beginning once again on a positive note,  we
have had some notable  successes with  multiple
rotations. As mentioned earlier, we are manag-
ing the third "rotation"  of southern pines now
and establishing the fourth (USDA Forest Ser-
vice, 1988).  Much of the historically  cut-over
and degraded countryside of central Europe was
rehabilitated through "plantation forestry" in the
19th and 20th  centuries, leading to a  doubling
and tripling  of   harvest  levels  (Plochmann,
1990). Long-term experience with rubber and
oil palm  plantations  in the tropics and with
Norway spruce in central Europe indicates that
several  generations of  these  species can  be
grown on the same site without loss of produc-
tivity, provided proper care is taken of the soil
(Johnson, 1976; N.E. Koch, 1990, pers. comm.).
Short-rotation  (5-9  years) plantations in the
tropics are entering their third and fourth cycles
(Zobel et al, 1987).
  In short, plantation management designed for
multiple  rotations is at least a  partial solution
to a wood-hungry world with an ever-burgeon-
ing population (Johnson,  1976;  Ledig,  1988).
Fortunately, there is little  evidence to support
claims that the production  of multiple rotations
of trees on  forest sites  cannot be sustained
(Gessel, 1989).   And if  done in  conjunction
with agro-forestry schemes, prospects are bright
for  enhancing both  agricultural  and  forest
production.
  The  major  concern   with   multi-rotation
schemes is that marginal  and nonforest  sites
may not be suitable for sustained production.
First, relatively long periods of time will be
required for  the stands to  reach  commercial
size  due to the often poor quality  of the sites.
And the time could get longer if the "green-
house effect" materializes  as expected, making
these sites even harsher.
  Second, we do  not have a very good under-
standing of the soil,  nutrient and hydrologic
relationships  of these marginal and nonforest
sites.  In fact, we  are just  now beginning to
address such questions about the  long-term site
productivity of our productive forest sites (e.g.,
Perry and Maghembe,  1989; Perry et al, 1989).
It may be that the marginal and nonforest sites
will  become  impoverished  after  a  relatively
short period.  Alternatively, the water table may
be depleted,  a phenomenon that  occurred in
fruit orchards in the Plains States in the 1930s.
  Pest problems will likewise be serious factors
during  multiple rotations, particularly  if  the
climate  becomes harsher. Soil-inhabiting patho-
gens and parasites can be  expected to become
particularly troublesome on poor-quality  sites
(e.g., littleleaf disease, annosus  root disease,
nematodes), but endemic populations of insect
pests like tipmoths,  defoliators,  aphids   and
reproduction weevils could also become serious
problems (see Appendix A). For example, the
build-up of pales weevils  in  freshly cut stumps
of the previous pine forest posed  a significant
threat to newly planted seedlings in the south-
ern U.S. until control methods were developed
(Walstad, 1976).
  For exotic  plantations,  the threat  of intro-
20

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                                                                                   J. WALSTAD
duced pests like rusts,  blights, defoliators, and
bark beetles will be a perpetual concern. Thus,
the   uncertainty  of   sustaining   productivity
through multiple  rotations on  marginal, non-
forest and other sites is likely to be substantial.
It will be  difficult  enough  on  conventional
forest land.

SOCIO-ECONOMIC
CONSIDERATIONS

  One of the  advantages of plantation  forestry
is that is provides a means of rapidly restoring
some of the biological productivity of degraded
areas. Soils are rejuvenated, hydrologic proper-
ties are restored, wildlife  habitat  is  improved
and overall ecosystem stability is enhanced.
  Plantation forestry also  provides an assort-
ment of economic benefits.   Wood  and fiber
products are  the  most obvious outputs.   But
such forests also provide a variety of recreation-
al opportunities and other  products and ameni-
ties. People travel long distances  to camp and
picnic in the pine  and cedar groves of the Neb-
raska  National  Forest.  Hunters and  wildlife
enthusiasts benefit from the  improved habitat
for game  and  nongame  species.   In many
developing  countries,  such  forests   are  the
source of firewood, charcoal, building products
and fodder for livestock. They also help reduce
soil erosion and avalanche potential.
  Thus, developed  and developing  countries
alike  are putting considerable  emphasis  on
managed plantations as a means of raising their
standard of living.   The  ability to efficiently
produce wood and fiber products, while at the
same   time  accommodating other forest  and
environmental values, has become  an important
feature of many national agendas.
  The major economic dilemma with respect to
plantation forests  is  that they are  expensive to
manage. As mentioned earlier, the energy and
financial costs  are  likely to be considerable, yet
many  of the plantations may fail without inten-
sive management.  Plantations  established  on
 marginal  and nonforest  sites  are particularly
 vulnerable.
  Compounding the  problem is the fact that
 relatively long rotations  may  be required  to
 produce trees of merchantable size on marginal
 and nonforest sites.  This is especially true for
 producing durable  solid wood products ~  the
 basic idea behind the reforestation venture as
 a  means  of  mitigating atmospheric CO2 buil-
 dup.6 Yet the probability of being able to carry
 such plantations  to maturity is  low,  given  the
 impending increase  in  environmental  stress
 caused by global warming and concomitant risks
 associated with pest  outbreaks and wildfire.
 Even the current environment of conventional
 forest sites  has  proven  too  harsh  for  some
 stands  and   plantations carried  beyond  their
 prime.  For example, Plochmann (1990) points
 out  that about  one-third of the total  harvest
 from central  European plantations comes from
 the  unplanned  salvage  of  trees  damaged by
 storms,  snow and insects. He advocates either
 shorter  rotations or more diverse species mix-
 tures if stable forests and  harvests are to be
 achieved.
  But even  picking genetic stock  adapted to
 specific sites or mixing the species used may
 not  be  sufficient,  because the sites could  be-
 come harsher  over  time if the  "greenhouse
 effect" materializes.  For example, Kimmins and
 Lavender (1987) discuss  the implications of a
 warmer climate on the chilling requirements for
 species  such  as Douglas-fir.  Without a cold
 period of sufficient intensity and duration in the
 winter,  normal bud  break does not occur the
 following spring.  Reproductive  processes such
 as  flowering  and  seed  maturation  are  also
 vulnerable to climatic changes.
  Thus,  if plantations are to be grown on such
 sites or under such conditions, they may  need
 to be harvested prematurely. It may be difficult
 to manufacture solid wood products because of
 the small size and high proportion of juvenile
wood that will constitute such harvests.  And
 even if durable products can be manufactured,
                                                                                         21

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 FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS
 the  large  volumes  involved could  seriously
 disrupt  world  markets.   Sedjo  (1989ft),  for
 example, estimates the steady-state volume from
 carbon sequestering plantations to be about 2.5
 million cunits7, more than triple the volume of
 current  industrial  harvests.   Such a  flood  of
 wood could lead to depressed prices and other
 adverse  economic impacts.
   Finally, some members of society may object
 to large-scale plantation forestry from  an econ-
 omic, esthetic or ecological perspective.  Farm-
 ers and  ranchers  may  not  want their land
 preempted.  For others,  the uniform row-and-
 column  configuration of conventional planta-
 tions  may  be  less  preferred  than  the  more
 diverse mosaic  of natural forests  (e.g.,  Olwig,
 1984).  Such sentiments have  led to the recent
 enactment of laws in the Federal Republic of
 Germany and elsewhere that actually discourage
 the establishment  of "monotonous" monocul-
 tures  (Plochmann,  1990).   Instead,  a  more
 diverse, older aged, multipurpose forest mosaic
 is  advocated  that  more  closely  approximates
 natural forests endemic to the region.
  Perhaps the most notable case in this regard
 is the public outcry in the  United Kingdom
 (primarily Scotland) against the establishment of
 Sitka spruce plantations  on heathland.   Even
 though the area was covered by trees in ancient
 times, some of the rural citizens  have  grown
 accustomed to the barren, windswept landscapes
 characteristic of heathland and do not want  it
 changed  ~  at  least not  to dark,  rectangular,
 impenetrable forests that disrupt the landscape.
 Thus, public sentiment  can be a strong  deter-
 rent to plantation forestry in some circumstan-
 ces. Carefully designed mosaics may be needed
 to blend plantations into the landscape.

 CONCLUSIONS AND
 RECOMMENDATIONS

  What conclusions  can  we  draw concerning
 prospects for  artificial   reforestation  efforts?
 First,   large-scale  reforestation projects are
 feasible.  We have the technical knowledge to
 do it, and  the  world abounds with successful
 examples.
  Second, the establishment and maintenance of
 plantations  (including  uniform monocultures)
 need not be an ecological problem.  There are
 many  instances  where  monocultures  occur
 naturally and modern-day  genetic selection,
 outplanting schemes and silviculture  can be
 used to avoid the pitfalls  of inbreeding, narrow
 genetic bases and maladaption.
  Third, we can sustain timber productivity over
 several rotations  through proper attention to
 soil  stewardship,  pest management,  wildfire
 control,  species diversity  and  other ecological
 considerations.
  The  dilemma  is that  each of the aforemen-
 tioned capabilities becomes progressively more
 difficult and expensive  as we move from pro-
 ductive  forest sites  to  marginal  forest and
 nonforest sites.  Inherent  productivity declines,
 environmental  stresses  become  greater,  pest
 problems increase and  costs rise  dramatically.
 Yet, because most of the productive forest sites
 are already under some form of management -
 - at least in the developed countries - most of
 the incremental area amenable to  large-scale
 reforestation projects is going to be on marginal
 and nonforest lands, including some agricultural
 sites.   Although there may be socio-economic
 and environmental benefits associated with such
ventures, there  may also be  serious adverse
 consequences.
  Therefore, a great deal  of thought and  plan-
ning, especially  land-use  planning,  should go
into the selection of such sites before any large-
scale  reforestation  programs  are  attempted.
And the plantations will  need to be carefully
tended and protected.    Otherwise, they are
likely to fail, exacerbating the CO2 balance
rather than ameliorating it.
22

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                                                                                                  J. WALSTAD
                                              REFERENCES
 Atzet, T., Wheeler, D., Riegel, G., Smith, B., and Franklin,
 J, 1984.  "The Mountain Hemlock and  Shasta Red Fir
 Series of the Siskiyou Region  of Southwest Oregon."
 Coll. For., Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR.  The
 FIR Rep. 6(1): 4-7.

 Baer, N. W., 1989.  "Shelterbelts and  Windbreaks in the
 Great Plains." /.  For. 87(4): 32-36.

 Bonner,  G. M.,  1985.   Inventory of Forest Biomass in
 Canada.   Petawa National Forest Institute,  Can. Forest
 Service., Chalk River, Ontario, 63  pp.

 Brandao, L.  G.,  1984.   "The New Eucalypt Forest," in
 Proceedings, Marcus Wallenberg  Foundation  Symposium.
 Falun, Sweden, p. 3-15.

 Campbell, R. K.,  and Sugano, A. I, 1987.  "Seed Zones
 and Breeding Zones for Sugar Pine in SW Oregon."  Res.
 Paper, PNW-RP-383.   USDA For.  Serv.,  Pac. NW  Res.
 Sta., Portland, OR., 18 pp.

 Canada-British Columbia Forest Resource Development
 Agreement,  1986.  "FRDA Tackles B.C.'s Backlog NSR
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                                                                                                J. WALSTAD
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            ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

  The Author is indebted to the following individuals for
several ideas, concepts and examples contained in this
paper: Dr. Ole T. Helgerson, Oregon State University;
Dr. Norman E. Johnson, Weyerhaeuser Company;  Dr.
Niels E. Koch of the National Forest and Nature Agency
of Denmark; Dr. David A. Perry, Oregon State University;
Dr. Roy  Silen, PNW Research Station,  USDA Forest
Service (ret.); Dave Stricklan, Nebraska  National Forest,
USDA Forest Service; and  Dr. Bruce J.  Zobel, Emeritus
Professor, North Carolina State University.
                                                  NOTES

 Scientific names of tree species may be found in the  General Appendix to this publication.
2Between 1935 and 1943, more than 200  million trees and shrubs were planted in 18,600 miles of windbreaks from
        North Dakota to Texas as part of the Prairie  States Reforestation Project (Baer 1989).
•'The original U.S. Conservation Reserve Program, authorized in Title IV of the Agricultural Act of 1956 and popularly
        known as the Soil Bank Program, led to the planting of about 1.9 million acres of highly credible cropland
        in the South from 1956-1960. A  comparable  program was authorized in the Food Security Act of 1985 and
        was aimed at planting trees on some 5 million acres of marginal farmland between 1986 and 1990 (Cubbage
        and Gunter 1987).
^Since its High Yield Forestry program was  initiated in 1966, Weyerhaeuser Company has treated over 2.8 million acres
        in the U.S. (Weyerhaeuser Company 1990).
^Commercial rimberland is customarily  defined as land  capable of growing more than 20 cubic feet of wood per acre
        per year  (Waddell et al.  1989).
 Although forest plantations established for pulp and fuel production may bolster domestic supplies of raw material,
        they are  unlikely to mitigate the  CO2 situation.  This is because  the biomass is oxidized to CO2 and other
        combustion products as it is burned or otherwise decomposed. In addition,  the relatively intensive cultural
        practices employed such as mechanical cultivation, herbicide application, irrigation, thinning and fertilization
        require considerable fossil fuel inputs - further exacerbating CO2 buildup in the atmosphere.
7A cunit is 100 cubic feet of solid wood.
                                                                                                       25

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FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS
                                                APPENDIX A
                           SOME PESTS LIKELY TO INCREASE IN IMPORTANCE IN PLANTATIONS
        CATEGORY

Insects

Seedling weevils
Tip moths and shoot borers
        EXAMPLES
Seedling debarking weevil (Hylobius pales)
on pines in the southern U.S.

Pitch-eating weevil (Pachylobius picivorus)
in the southern U. S. and Caribbean.

Nantucket pine tip moth (Rhyacionia frustrana) on
pines in the southern U.S.

Ponderosa pine shoot borer (Eucosma sonomana) in
the western U. S.

Shoot borer (Hypsipyla grandella) on Swietenia and
Cedrela  in Brazil and Colombia.
Sucking insects
Red pine scale (Matsucoccus resinosd) in
the northeastern U.S.
                                 Pine scale (Matsucoccus josephf) on
                                 Jerusalem pine in Israel.

                                 Balsam woolly aphid (Adelges piceae) on
                                 true firs in the eatern and western U.S.
Bark beetles
Southern pine beetle (Dendroctonus frontalis)
in the southern U.S.
                                 Mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae)
                                 in the western U.S.
Wood borers
 Defoliators
Engraver beetles dps spp.) on conifers in
the central, southern  and western U.S.

Poplar-and-willow borer (Cryptorhynchus lapathi)
in the north-central U.S.

Longhorn borer (Phoracantha semipunctata) on
eucaplytus in Australia.

Pine sawflies (Diprion and Neodiprion spp.) in
the Lake States.
                                  Cottonwood leaf beetle (Chrysomela scripta) in the
                                  north-central and southern U.S.
 26

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                                                                                                    J. WALSTAD
(APPENDIX A, confd.)

Indigenous pests of exotics
Introduced pests of exotics
Diseases

Seedling Diseases


Foliage Diseases
Stem rusts and cankers
Root rots
Insect-transmitted diseases
Leaf-cutting ants (Atta and Acromyrmex spp.) on
eucalyptus, gmelina and Caribbean pine in Brazil.

Termites (Termes and Coptotermes spp.) on
eucalyptus and gmelina in Indonesia and Malaysia.

Wood wasps (Sirex spp.) on radiata pine in Australia.

Black pine aphid (Cinara cronartii), pine needle aphid
(Eulachnus rikyi), and pine woolly aphid (Pineus pini) on
loblolly pine in southern Africa.

European pine shoot moth (Rhyacionia buoliana) on
radiata pine in Chile.
Root disease and damping-off fungi (Fusarium, Phythopthora
and Pythium spp.) on conifer seedlings.

Brownspot needle blight (Scirrhia acicola) of longleaf
pine in the  southern U.S.

Needle cast (Khabdocline pseudotsugae) of Douglas-fir
in the  western U.S.

Poplar leaf  rust (Melampsora spp.)  in the north-central U.S.

Poplar mosaic virus on clonally propagated poplar.

Fusiform rust (Cronartium fusiforme) of slash pine
in the  southern U.S.

Eucalyptus canker (Cryphonectria cubensis) in Brazil.

Scleroderis canker (Gremmeniella abietina) of pines in the
north-central U.S. and southern Canada.

Gall rust (Endocronartium harkensii) of lodgepole pine in
western U.S.

Annosus root rot (Heterobasidion annosum) of loblolly pine in
the southern U.S.

Armillaria root rot (Armillaria spp.) of conifers in
the western U.S.

Littleleaf disease (Phytophthora cinnamomi) of shortleaf
pine in the  southern U.S.

Black stain  (Verticicladietta wageneri) transmitted by beetles
to Douglas-fir in western Oregon.

Mycoplasma disease transmitted by the bug (Cryptopeltis tennis to
Paulownia plantations in Korea.
                                                                                                            27

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FEASIBILITY OF LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION PROJECTS

(APPENDIX A confd.)

Nematodes                       Pine wood nematode (Bursaphelenchus xylophilus') of hard pines
                                 in China and Japan.

Indigenous diseases of exotics     Root disease (Cylindrocladium clavatum) of
                                 pines and Araucaria in Brazil.

Introduced diseases of exotics     Needle blight (Dothistroma pint) of radiata
                                 pine in New Zealand.
28

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                               REFORESTATION IN BRITISH
                                         COLUMBIA

                                       Denis P. Lavender
                                           Abstract

  This paper traces the history of reforestation in forest lands of British Columbia, the western-most province of Canada.
From a slow start at reforestation in the 1930s, there has been an increasing effort at growing and planting seedlings in the
cutover areas of the varied ecological zones which make up the province.  Growth sites, planting techniques, survival
characteristics of species are discussed.
INTRODUCTION

  British Columbia is a vast and varied prov-
ince.  In size it is  larger than any other North
American jurisdiction except Alaska and Queb-
ec.  Its latitudinal range extends from 48°12' to
60°  north  latitude, and its  elevation from sea
level to 4,665 meters (15,300 ft.).  The great
diversity of its climates is reflected by no  less
than 14 major biogeoclimatic zones,  ranging
from the warm, dry ponderosa pine zone in the
southern  interior  to  the cold,  wet mountain
hemlock zone at higher elevations in the coas-
tal mountains, which ecologists have defined to
guide  forest  management  practices, including
reforestation  (Pojar, 1983).
  Reforestation began in coastal British  Col-
umbia in 1930 with the establishment  of the
first  provincial  nursery  at  Green  Timbers
(Knight, 1990). From this date until the  mid-
1960s, however, the growth of reforestation in
British Columbia was very slow, confined almost
entirely to the coastal portion of the province
and   to  Douglas-fir   (Pseudotsuga  menziesii
[Mirb.] Franco) bare-root  seedlings (although
there  was  a brief period  of direct seeding
during the decade  of the 1950s)(Knight, 1990).
The  total   area  reforested before  1965  was
164,000 hectares, or 394,000 acres. The past 25
years, however, have seen dramatic  changes in
reforestation in B.C., with increasing
                            Forest Regions
                                   9NiluA For«sl region
                                       heed of Met

   Figure 2. Forest Regions of British Columbia.

emphasis upon planting in the interior, on
planting container-grown seedlings, and on
planting the major timber species of interior
British Columbia ~ white spruce (Picea glauca
[Moench]  Voss.)  and  lodgepole  pine (Pinus
contorta Dougl.).
                                                                                            29

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 REFORESTATION IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
 OVERVIEW OF REFORESTATION
 IN BRITISH COLUMBIA

   The past 15 years have seen a great expan-
 sion  in the reforestation effort in British Col-
 umbia and a correspondingly great change in its
 management and methodology.  In 1975, British
 Columbia produced a total of 80 million  seed-
 lings, all  in provincial nurseries, 63 million of
 which  were  bare-root   seedlings (Lavender,
 1990).  In 1989, a total of 231 million seedlings,
 about 25  million of which were bare-root stock,
 were produced.   And in 1980,  the  province
 allowed private nurseries to produce stock for
 reforestation and sold all but two of the provin-
 cial nurseries  in 1988. In 1989, therefore, over
 90 percent of forest tree seedlings  grown in
 British  Columbia were  produced in  private
 nurseries.  Finally,  the provincial government
 transferred responsibility for reforestation  of all
 harvested lands, save those administered under
 the  Small Business  Enterprise Act,  to  com-
 panies which  harvested the  timber.  This last
 action has dramatically changed the nature of
 reforestation in British Columbia from a prog-
 ram  whose  details   were controlled by the
 Ministry of Forests in Victoria to  one wherein
 the  seedling  parameters,  planting  and  site
 preparation  are  administered  by  individual
 forest harvest companies  through negotiations
 with siliviculture contractors.
  The current goals  of the forest  regeneration
 programs  in British Columbia are twofold:
  a) the provincial  government, with funding
 through a joint program with the federal  gov-
 ernment (the  Forest  Resource Development
 Agreement, or FRDA) expects to regenerate all
 previous harvested areas on medium and good
 sites which have been shown to be non-stocked
 by the year 2000; and
  b) the  timber  harvest  companies  are  now
 required  to reforest  all current harvest  areas
within five years of completion of logging.
  Inasmuch as  approximately 250,000 hectares
are harvested each year, a production of about
 300 million seedlings per year will be necessary
 to reforest the current cut-overs to Ministry of
 Forests standards.

 THE HISTORY OF REFORESTATION
 IN BRITISH COLUMBIA

   As noted above, large-scale reforestation in
 this province  really dates from  about the mid-
 1970s.  At this time,  the province moved ag-
 gressively  to  convert the emphasis in seeding
 production from bare-root stock to seedlings
 grown in a container system (Styroblock) devel-
 oped by joint research  of the Federal Forestry
 Service,  Forestry  Canada,  and the provincial
 Ministry of Forests.   The  rationale  for  the
 change in the reforestation protocol was  the
 change in  emphasis in reforestation from coas-
 tal British  Columbia where bare-root Douglas-
 fir seedlings comprised  the bulk of the planting
 program to reforestation in the interior of the
 province with  white spruce and lodgepole pine.
 Unlike coastal British Columbia, where much of
 the low-elevation forest land is snow-free for all
 but brief periods, the great majority of interior
 forest lands are blanketed by snow from mid-
 fall until late spring. Accordingly, the tradition-
 al planting season in this part of  the province
 is relatively brief and container-grown seedlings
 were perceived  as  a more flexible solution to
 the logistics of  reforestation  than were  bare-
 root seedlings, whose annual growth cycle was
 much less under the control of the nurseryman.
  Although the  B.C. Forest Practices  Act of
 1979 specifies that all harvested lands  will be
 satisfactorily regenerated (Pearce et al, 1986),
 in actual practice the Ministry of Forests lacked
 the manpower to enforce this provision.  Ac-
 cordingly,  only about 40 percent of the nearly
 two  million hectares harvested  between 1975
 and  1986  were  planted.  The remaining  60
percent were  assumed  to regenerate naturally.
In some  areas where species  such as western
hemlock (Tsuga heterophylla [Rafn.]  Sarg.) and
lodgepole pine regularly produce abundant seed
30

-------
   crops, natural regeneration was estimated to be
   only  45 percent  and  that  of planting,  if  no
   plantation  maintenance  was  performed,  60
   percent  (Kuhnke, 1989).   Accordingly,  lands
   classified as non-satisfactorily restocked increas-
   ed  (fewer than  700  acceptable  seedlings per
   hectare) at a rate of about 60,000 hectares per
   year (Pearce et al, 1986).

   Table m Styroblocks Commonly In Use in British Columbia.

Slyroblock

211 A (2A)
211 (2)
31 3A (4A)
31 3B (4)
41 SB (SB)
415 (8)
No ol
cavities/
block
240
192
198
160
112
80
Gross cavity
volume
(ml)
39
39
62
65
106
133
Cavity
diam
(cm)
2.5
2.5
2.8
3.0
3.6
4.1
Cavity
depth
(cm)
11 4
11.4
133
12.7
14.9
152
No. of
cavities/
mz
1130
1055
936
764
527
441
After van Eerden & Gates, 1990.
                                      D. LAVENDER

  throughout the reforestation scenario, particu-
  larly in the introduction and refinement of "hot
  planting" of white spruce seedlings  throughout
  the summer  period and in the increasing use of
  larger,  styroblock 415  seedlings  with  a  con-
  comitant lesser reliance on smaller stock (Table
  III).

  SUCCESS AND  FAILURE

    As noted in  the introduction, British Colum-
  bia is an extremely varied province with climatic
  extremes ranging  from the cold, saturated soils
  of the boreal forests to near-desert conditions
  in  the  southern  interior, particularly  areas
  immediately  east  of the coastal mountains and
  in the Okanogan trench.   The pattern of suc-
  cess or failure  in reforestation may, perhaps, be
  best seen by reference to the data in Table IV.
     Although reforestation  in British  Columbia
   during the past 15 years has  benefited  greatly
   from markedly increased concern by the public
   and land managing agencies about the future of
   the province's  forests, it  has  lacked  quality
   control throughout  the reforestation scenario.
   (This is particularly true  for seedling  quality
   where  meaningful evaluations  of seedling vigor
   are lacking;  however,  this is  true throughout
   forested areas of the world.)  Further, reforest-
   ation efforts have had to suffer the exigencies
   resulting from a system  driven  throughout  by
   competitive bidding, from the  lack of sufficient
   funds and manpower in the Ministry of Forests
   to thoroughly monitor the  results  of reforesta-
   tion effort and  to modify plantation establish-
   ment practices on the basis of previous success
   or failure,  and finally from an emphasis upon
   numbers of seedlings  planted  as a measure  of
   reforestation  rather  than  upon  numbers  of
   hectares successfully  regenerated to the "free-
   to-grow" stage.    In  spite  of  the  foregoing,
   however, the past 15 years have seen substan-
   tial improvements in  the technology involved
     Table IV. Total Backlog Not
     Satisfactorily Stocked Lands*
Region

Good
Site class
Medium Poor

Low

Total
(area in hectares)
Cariboo
Kamloops
Nelson
Prince George
Prince Rupert
Vancouver
Provincial totals
12.297
13.128
10,856
65,925
10,355
1,038
113.599
18,450 9.062
61.113 20,837
49,931 25,104
205,822 162,532
96,041 44,237
8.109 4,836
439,546 266,608
131
8
706
16,789
7,842
353
25,829
39,940
95.086
86,597
451,068
158,475
14,416
845,582
Percsnt of
Provincial
Forest
Land
13%
10%
8%
38%
20%
11%
100%
GoodS
Medium
Backlog
N3R
6%
13%
11%
49%
19%
2%
100%
Total good & medium 553,145 Hectares
•  Backlog - areas denuded prior to 1982 (Includes non-commercial brush areas). Summary for crown
  land only. (Crown lands comprise over 90% of British Columbia.
  After Silviculture Branch, Ministry of Forests Report, 1988.
                                                                                                31

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REFORESTATION IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
  The data in Table  IV clearly  indicate that
reforestation has been most  successful in  the
coastal  region of British  Columbia.   This is
partly true because  foresters  in this area have
much greater experience in reforestation since
regeneration projects  have been conducted in
coastal  B. C.  for  over 50  years, and partly
because the  cool, moist climate of this region
generally  favors seedling survival and  growth.
Probably the major obstacle to successful plan-
tation establishment is invasion by  competing
vegetation such  as  red  alder  (Alnus  rubra
Bong.), salmonberry (Rubus spectabilis  Pursh.),
thimbleberry (Rubus parviflorus Nutt.) and salal
(Gaultheria shallon Pursh.).  These are aggres-
sive  plants  with  much  greater initial  growth
potential than  coniferous seedlings.   Vigorous
stock, however,   planted   immediately  after
harvest and site preparation treatments, can be
expected to  have a 90 percent or better sur-
vival.  One interesting situation,  which is  the
subject  of intensive current  research,  is  the
apparent  effect of salal upon the  growth of
coniferous seedlings  in  the northern  part of
Vancouver Island.  Early growth of conifers is
often good, but as salal invades the plantations,
seedlings  frequently  exhibit  extreme  loss  of
vigor - a condition which  can be  relieved,  but
only temporarily, by applications of nitrogenous
fertilizer.7
  Coniferous  seedling survival  on  southerly
exposures in southern Vancouver Island, on  the
lower mainland and in the western portion of
the Kamloops  region  is  impacted by heat  and
drought  stress.  Trials  with shade  cards  or
debris left after logging to shade the seedling
microsites   have  demonstrated  significantly
higher seedling survival than that of  control
stock (Lavender,  1990).  A combination of  low
rainfall, high summer temperatures and vigorous
competing vegetation have resulted in a history
of low survival  for plantations  established in  the
western (transition-interior) part of the Kam-
loops region. The role of stock quality in seed-
ling survival in  this area has not been studied in
detail, although  reports of  root dieback  of
Douglas-fir  stock have  been related to mor-
tality.  Much of the planting stock employed in
reforestation of this area has been grown in the
lower mainland of British Columbia,  which has
a  much  less stressful summer  climate.   It is
possible  that production of seedlings  in  the
interior  for  reforestation  of this  area would
result in higher survival.  Trials of mechanical
site preparation devices and herbicides in recent
years have produced erratic results.   The for-
mer are limited  by  difficult terrain and  the
latter by the fact that only glyphosate, 2,4-D,
and  hexazinone are available  for use in B.C.
  The Engelmann spruce-subalpine fir (ESSF)
and  the interior Douglas-fir (IDF) zones in the
southern interior  support species such as Doug-
las-fir, western larch  (Larix occidentalis Nutt.)
and   Engelmann  spruce   (Picea  engelmanni
[Parry] Engelm.), which are  amenable  to  un-
even-aged management  and natural  regenera-
tion, so  some  form of  selection management
has been practiced in these zones in  the Kam-
loops and Nelson district.  A  recent evaluation
of  regeneration  success,  particularly in  the
ESSF zone  in  the Kamloops region, indicates
poor seedling  survival  at  higher   elevations
(above 1700 m.)  and on poorly drained areas.
On sites at  lower elevations, competing vege-
tation  is probably the  chief reason   for poor
plantation success.  As noted earlier, registra-
tion  limits the  use of herbicides in B. C.  The
relatively steep terrain in most of the southern
interior  restricts  the use   of mechanical site
preparation  equipment so that  the majority of
site  preparation is accomplished by burning, a
technique which can result  in warmer soils and
some degree of vegetation control.
  As the  data in Table IV suggest, reforestation
of the northern  interior of  British  Columbia
(primarily  the Prince   George Region)   has
presented the  most  severe  problems in  the
province.    The  major  obstacles to seedling
survival in this  area include:
  a)  generally  cold  soils,   often  insulated by
32

-------
 heavy layers of organic material;
   b) poorly drained, fine-textured soils;
   c)  aggressive,   rapidly  growing  competing
 vegetation, including aspen (Populus tremuloides
 Michx.), bluejoint grass (Calamagrostis canaden-
 sis  [Michx.]  Beauv.)  and red raspberry Rubus
 idaeus L.);
   d)  growing  season frosts  and  cold-related
 desiccation events during the winter, particularly
 in the area  east of the Rocky Mountains; and
   e)  the  preferred  species is white spruce,
 which naturally is a climax species, regenerates
 under an overstory of conifers or  aspen,  and
 which is not well adapted  to  the conditions
 which obtain in large clearcuts.
   Finally, a large proportion of the  seedlings
 planted in  this region  until very recently  had
 been  stored for periods as great as six months
 prior  to planting. Such storage has been shown
 to adversely affect seedling physiology and root
 growth at low temperatures (Harper et al. 1989).
   A  significant body  of  research  concerning
 factors  affecting  the  survival  and  growth  of
 coniferous seedlings in the Prince George area,
 particularly in the past five years, is reviewed in
 Scrivener and MacKinnon (1989).  The results
 demonstrate that larger seedlings  (Styroblock
 415) generally  have better survival and growth
 than those  raised in smaller cavities.  Positive
 responses have  also been  recorded  for  site
 preparation techniques which are designed to
 modify  the  microclimate in  planting  spots.
 Figure 3 illustrates the changes  in microsite
 which may be  achieved with machines which
                                                                     D. LAVENDER

                                   create patches (Leno, Bracke), mounds (Sinkki-
                                   la, Bracke, Ministry of Forests)  or disc trench-
                                   ers  (TTS Delta, Donaren 180D) and plows
                                   (Marttini, bedding, breaking), which essentially
                                   create continuous raised mounds.
                                    The effects of such treatment vary, of course,
                                   with the climatic zone and with the depth  of
                                   the  litter layer and level of the water table.  In
                                   the  fine-textured soils, which characterize the
                                   mesic-to-hygric sites east of the  Rocky Mount-
                                   ains between Dawson Creek and Fort Nelson,
                                   the  positive effects of  a raised microsite are
                                   probably related primarily to increased aeration
                                   and  secondarily,  perhaps,  to   increased  soil
                                   temperatures.
                                    On drier sites near Vanderhoof where the
                                   soils are coarser and the litter layer is  only two-
                                   to-four   centimeters,   detailed   temperature
                                   studies in the rooting zone of raised microsites
                                   do not demonstrate significant increases in soil
                                   temperature as a result of treatment.  Better
                                   seedling growth on these sites, then,  may be a
                                   function of better quality planting which the
                                   site  preparation permits or increased available
                                   nutrients   resulting   from    more   rapid
                                   decomposition of the organic materials when
                                   they are mixed into the  mineral  soil.
                                    Although the  data  in Table  V show that
                                   increased seedling growth is the initial response
                                   to raised micro-sites, it appears that the benefit
                                   gained through this type of site  preparation  is
                                     Table V.  TOTAL DRY  WEIGHT OF WHITE SPRUCE
                                     SEEDLINGS
Untreated
Bracke Patch     Ministry Mounder
Site
Iron Creek
Stewart Lake (1987)
MacKeruie
Iron Creek
Stewart Lake (1988)
MacKenzle
Iron Creek
Stewart Lake (1989)
MacKenzie

Untreated
(gm)
404
6.09
348
6.76
803
4.47
14.38
22.90
7.30
Treatment
Patch
(gm)
3.97
5.14
4.82
672
8.00
6.31
954
12.89
10.60

Mound
(gm)
S.82
8.56
4.47
10.48
14.83
6.96
1517
24.11
12.00
   Figmre 3.  Diagram of Microsites and Planting Spots
                                                                                            33

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REFORESTATION IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
relatively short-lived.   These results probably
reflect the rapid invasion of site-prepared areas
by the  competing vegetation cited  above and
the discouraging lack of vigorous root growth
demonstrated by the data in  Table VI.
  Present  mounding machines are  capable  of
creating several types of mounds; i.e., mounds
wherein the  organic  material  is  thoroughly
mixed with mineral soil, mounds with a  cap  of
mineral soil over either a single or double layer
of organic material, or mounds  of mineral soil
Table VI
LINGS
       SHOOT:ROOT RATIOS OF WHITE SPRUCE SEED-
                                     Mound
Iron Creek
Stewart Lake (1987}
MacKenzie
Iron Creek
Stewart Lake (1968)
MacKenzie
Iron Creek
Stewart Lake (1989)
MacKenzie
493
495
2.26
550
480
360
750
750
550
681
615
242
530
510
290
850
It 80
660
413
370
258
540
540
470
910
7.10
900

placed  directly on  mineral soil.  Current re-
search  has  shown that the optimal mounding
treatment  is definitely site-specific;  i.e., mixed
mounds are most favorable  for nutrient-poor,
slightly xeric soils. Further trials with mechani-
cal site preparation treatments, particularly in
fine-textured soils, production of seedlings with
better root growth potential and  development
of  scenarios  to better  control  encroaching
vegetation will be necessary for vigorous planta-
tion establishment in the sub-boreal and boreal
forests  of  British  Columbia.   Certainly,  the
experiences of foresters in Alberta with long-
term trials  of  plantation  establishment  and
growth (Drew, 1988)  amply demonstrate that
these sites are extremely difficult to regenerate
successfully.
  Until the mid-1980s, virtually all the reforesta-
tion in the Prince George area utilized stock
which had  been  cold-stored  over winter  and
planted  from  mid-spring until early summer.
Frequently, such seedlings suffered from a lack
of synchrony of their annual  rhythms with the
environment.  More recently, "hot-lifted" (seed-
lings  planted  without a  storage period) white
spruce seedlings are  planted during the period
from  June through August.  Such plantings may
be  damaged by growing season frosts but  are,
generally,  demonstrating  good  survival  and
growth.
  Table Vtt  SURVIVAL OF CONIFEROUS SEEDLINGS IN
  BRITISH COLUMBIA
                                                                         urutil llutjioii uiiU Stuck type*
                                                 Species
                                                             Cariboo  Kamloops
                                                             P BR   P BR
                       Nelson
                       P  BR
P George P Rupert
 P  BR  P BR
van  Province
P BR P BR
                                                                           Percent Survival
                                                 Lodgepole pine
                                                 Interior spruce"
                                                 Interior Douglas-lir
                                                 Coastal Douglas-fir
                                                 Western hemlock
                                                 Western redcedar


                                                 1 P = plug seedling. BR
                                                  spruce or their hybrid
66
81
72



77
59
58



72
66
66

83
44
63
57
54


62
74
69
60

35
68
70
55
42


10
82
81
63



73
65
65



85 75
78 59


77 --
67 --
92
75
68

76
78
81
67
70


62
82 73
75 60
66 58

68 •-
64 45
              •• bare root seedling; " interior spruce = while or Engelmann
                                  After Johnson, C M 1987
   Table VII summarizes survival data collected
1986 throughout the province.  A weighting of
the  various species'  survival  by  numbers  of
seedlings planted gives an average survival of 70
percent  for both  coastal  and interior planta-
tions. This  survival, however, does not indicate
the percent of plantations which are considered
to be satisfactorily stocked, because the number
of seedlings planted is substantially greater than
the number required  to fully stock an area, as
an  allowance  for  post-planting  seedling mor-
tality is made when the number of seedlings to
be planted  in a given plantation is determined.
This allowance is predicated upon estimates of
seedling survival.   In  interior British Columbia
it is commonly believed  that  1200-1400 seed-
lings should be planted to assure 700 stems  per
hectare  when the plantation  is judged to  be
free of any significant further  mortality.
34

-------
                                                                                   D. LAVENDER
  The data in Table VII reflect primarily first-
year  survival.   Many of  the  surveys  did not
utilize staked seedlings, however, and therefore
the error inherent in these data is greater than
would be the case if only previously staked
seedlings had been tallied.  Current  seedling
survival  surveys in the province are based on
staked  seedlings,  a system which  provides  a
positive estimate of subsequent seedling survival
and growth.

FACTORS UNIQUE TO
BRITISH COLUMBIA

  The province has been  mapped to define  a
range of biogeoclimatic zones, based on temper-
ature and effective moisture parameters, which
represent the major climates in British Colum-
bia.  These zones are defined by climax vegeta-
tion  which occurs  on mesic or zonal  sites  of
each  zone.  These zones are further divided on
the basis of ecological factors affecting plant
distribution  into  subzones  (Kimmins, 1987).
For example, Douglas-fir is the climax overstory
species found on the zonal sites in the  Interior
Douglas-fir zone, but is found only in the hygric
sub-zone of the adjacent Ponderosa Pine-Bunch
Grass zone which  is characteristic of  lower
elevations with  a warmer, drier climate.  The
concept  of biogeoclimatic zones and subzones
is  that  vegetation  communities  reflect the
inherent  productivity of the site and  may be
used  to  estimate  the tree species  which will
produce  the maximum yields of desired com-
modities.  Even sub-zones, however,  are too
broad a  classification to be used as guides for
forest management decisions, so each sub-zone
may be further described in terms of an  edatop-
ic grid.
 An  examination of Figure 4 will reveal that
it divides the sub-zone into a  number  of sites
which differ in fertility and moisture status and
which are defined by different plant communi-
ties.   For example, the community defined by
Lichen  spp., Chimaphylla  umbellata,  etc.,  is

CWHci
SOUTHERN DRIER SUBMARITIME
CWH VARIANT
                  TROPHOTOPE (soil nutiienl regime)

I
£
I
0
5
1
2
° 3
c
O
Q.
4
r
I 5
6
I '
©
	 n (
u c
1} f
M 4
©
U ft,,
14 Vo
©
H\
PI
©
'Zi* S,7'"

(
rJr-
Jfl./j Uf&l'lllt
tnuvm ifflrnem
axtttflltii Hifu
/VCw
1 4 H, Itanium ifit.it>
I I 7M""J ua'ttt'lii
14 tllMK **/l*|.*»(


® PICw
1 T Sfifitfnuii lr»

3.
—
@
•

©
MV
©€0X;
!;sr.r
©
J J /-J.f/'j WAr
J 4 4ff f/ntiif>*m fifttttnt
] 1 Oflefinn ltiittt/1
"©1-AcBgCw-"©
®l Cwl (PM)
   Figure 4. Edatopic Grid for the CWHci Sub-biogeoclimatic Zone
   Which Occurs in Coastal British Columbia. (After Pojar et al,
   1987.)
definitely drier and less fertile than the  sub-
zonal site, probably  because  it occurs on a
ridgetop characterized by shallow,  rocky soils.
In contrast, the site defined by the dominance
of Tiarella unifoliata,  Smiladna racemosa,  etc.,
probably occurs at the base  of a slope where
seepage water enhances the availability  of both
soil and nutrients  and water.  The  significance
of this detail for reforestation in British  Colum-
bia is that lodgepole pine is the recommended
species for planting at the first site, and  that
either  Douglas-fir, grand  fir   (Abies  grandis
Lind.)  or western  redcedar  (Thuja  plicata
D.Don)  is appropriate  for  the second  site.
Further,  the  figure contains  a  number of an-
                                                                                          35

-------
REFORESTATION IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
notations which modify the general recommen-
dations for  suitable species; i.e., suggests that
"in brush hazard sites, establishment of a mixed
species stand is desirable.   Pacific silver  fir
(Abies amabilis  [Dougl.] Forbes) is an alterna-
tive  to grand  fir in the  upper limits of  the
subzone."
  While  the use of guides such  as  shown in
Figure 4 certainly assures that the species with
the highest  survival potential and possibly  the
highest productivity potential for  the products
desired will be  planted in any given site,  the
usefulness of this technology is limited by  the
lack of  authentic  growth and yield  data  for
most areas of British Columbia.  Species recom-
mendations, then, are based, at least in part, on
the site quality classification by species for  the
vegetation communities.
  Before any stand in British Columbia may be
harvested, the amended Forest Practices Act of
1987  mandates  that  a preharvest silvicultural
prescription must be prepared and signed by a
registered professional  forester. This prescrip-
tion must detail all significant ecological charac-
teristics of the area to be harvested, specify the
harvest system to be employed and estimate the
effects of the harvest on the productivity of the
area for timber, water, fish and game, scenic
amenities, etc., and  prescribe  a  scenario  for
forest regeneration after harvest (Hadley,  et al.,
1990). This plan must include reference to  the
biogeoclimatic sub-zone,  the  preferred species
and  seedling types for planting  on the sites
which  will be represented in  the harvest area,
the requirements for site  preparation prior to
planting and  the  probable  effects  of such
activity upon long-term site  productivity,  and
the requirements to protect the plantation from
either damage by animals or adverse effects of
competing vegetation.  The prescription must
also include a  discussion of the role of  the
proposed harvest in the long-term forest man-
agement goals  for the  tree  farm  or timber
supply  area.   These  procedures have  been
mandated to assure that harvests will proceed
only in areas where such practice will not have
a long-term negative effect on productivity, that
the logistics of the regeneration process will be
recognized and provided for in advance of the
designated  regeneration  schedule,  and  that
necessary plantation maintenance will be sched-
uled and funded.
  The use of biogeoclimatic zones  and prehar-
vest silvicultural prescriptions provides the basis
for an enlightened forest regeneration system in
British  Columbia.    Maximum  benefits  from
these tools requires enhanced funding, however,
and a significantly greater cadre of professional-
ly trained, competent foresters than is currently
employed.
  The  first  step  in  the  preparation of the
propagules necessary for reforestation, unless
clonal propagation is  universal in the reforesta-
tion scenario, is the collection, processing and
storage  of  high-quality seeds  of  appropriate
species.  The province of British Columbia has
developed one of the leading forest-tree seed
facilities in  the world at  Surrey.  Here,  cone
collections from  throughout  the province are
processed  according to  the  most   advanced
methodology and stored under ideal  tempera-
ture and moisture regimes most  appropriate to
assure  continued high vigor for seeds of each
species.   Nurseries  throughout the  province
must request the seeds necessary  for planned
seedling production  well  in  advance  of the
projected time of sowing  to enable the Surrey
Centre  to provide  the  stratification  treatment
necessary to assure  the prompt, vigorous ger-
mination required to produce a  uniform,  heal-
thy crop  of seedlings.   The detailed record
keeping maintained by this central seed storage
facility assures cone collection schedules which
will provide the seeds of the species and  sour-
ces necessary to  satisfy the specifications of
preharvest silvicultural prescriptions.
  Reforestation costs vary widely across British
Columbia. Seedling cost is dependent on seed-
ling size  primarily with  stock  raised  in 313
styroblocks, the seedlings most commonly  used,
36

-------
                                                                                   D. LAVENDER
costing about 17 cents per plant. Planting costs
are highest in coastal British Columbia, general-
ly from 30-50 cents per seedling.  In the inter-
ior,  similar  costs  range from  20-40 cents  per
plant, but may be lower if the  area is well site-
prepared.  Costs for site  preparation vary with
terrain, condition  of the post-harvest area,  and
-in  the case of mechanical site preparation -
whether or not the area  had  previously been
burned.
  Costs for burning in coastal British Columbia
(by  far the  most  common  site  preparation
technique used) are about $220 per hectare,
with costs of  mechanical  site preparation at
about  $530 per hectare.   The relatively high
costs of mechanical site  preparation are  oc-
casioned by steep terrain and frequently heavy
slash loading.   In  the  northern interior, costs
for burning and mechanical site preparation are
$128 and $180  per hectare, respectively.  The
same costs  in  the  southern interior are very
similar:   $190  and  $175  per  hectare.   The
preceding averages for mechanical site prepara-
tion  are,  however,  the midpoints for a wide
range of costs.  Drag scarifiers, commonly used
to prepare harvested areas for natural regenera-
tion  of lodgepole pine, cost as little as $70  per
hectare, whereas mounding machines, plows  and
blades   may  cost  as much as  $300-$400  per
hectare (Breadon, 1988).

SUMMARY

  The reforestation  program of British Colum-
bia has  evolved,  primarily over  the past 20
years, from  an  effort concentrated  in coastal
British  Columbia,  which  employed  provincial
crews planting a few million bareroot Douglas-
fir seedlings  without regard to the  ecology of
the plantation areas, to a much more sophisti-
cated, decentralized program wherein a range
of species are grown largely in private nurseries
and planted by silvicultural contractors accord-
ing to the precept that small individual  insults
can accumulate to dramatically reduce the vigor
of planting stock. Logistics of planting programs
are now planned months or years  in advance
instead of the almost ad hoc efforts of early
reforestation efforts.  This  is particularly  ap-
parent in the promulgation of guidelines which
specify  the  weather conditions  under which
planting may  occur and the parameters  for
proper field storage and handling of seedlings.
  Given  the  foregoing  advances,  however, we
have  nonetheless major problems which must
be solved before British  Columbia will  have a
truly efficient productive reforestation program.
These problems include:
  a) production of seedlings which are capable
of vigorous growth  immediately after planting,
particularly in the cold, hygric  soils characteris-
tic of much of the Prince George region and of
the higher elevations of  the southern interior
(current seedling specifications  focus  almost
entirely  on  physical  parameters,  i.e., shoot
length,  diameter, etc.,  and generally  fail  to
recognize seedling physiology);
  b)  development of  vegetation  management
systems which  are sufficient to permit planted
seedlings to reach a  "free-to-grow" status in  the
minimum possible time  (the severe  impact of
mechanical site preparation machinery on fine-
textured soils which occur widely in the prov-
ince and societal  opposition  to the  use  of
herbicides are two major obstacles to achieving
this goal);
  c)  the  implementation  of a  funding level
necessary to assure employment  of the well-
trained  foresters required to conduct carefully
planned, detailed reforestation projects, and  the
establishment  of a  personnel  policy  which
encourages  competent  foresters to develop
long-term expertise for the forest areas wherein
the work;
  d) increased  emphasis  upon quality,  as op-
posed to quantity, in every aspect of the refor-
estation scenario.
                                                                                          37

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 REFORESTATION IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
                                              REFERENCES
 Breadon, R. E., 1988.  "Survey of Forest-Renewal Prog-
 rams in British Columbia," parts I-ffl; Technical Reports
 80, 83, 88.  Forest Engineering Research Institute of
 Canada, Vancouver, B.C.

 Drew, T. J., 1988.  "Managing White Spruce in Alberta's
 Mixed-wood  Forest:   the Dilemma."   Pp.  35-40, in
 Samoil, J. K., ed., Management and Utilization of Northern
 Mixedwoods.  Information  Report NOR-X-296, Northern
 Forestry Centre,  Forestry Canada, Edmonton, Alta.,  163
 pp.

 Hadley, M. J., Diggle, P. K., Handley, D. L, and Wyeth,
 M. H.,  1990. "Pre-harvest Assessment and Prescription."
 Pp. 89-97 in:  Lavender, D. P., Parish, R., Johnson, C.
 M., Montgomery, G., Vyse, A., Willis, R., and Winston, D.
 (eds.), Regenerating British Columbia's Forests.  University
 of British Columbia Press, Vancouver, B. C., 372 pp.

 Harper, G.,  Camm,  E. L., Chanway, C., and Guy, R.,
 1989.  "White Spruce:  The Effect of Long-term Cold
 Storage is Partly Dependent on Outplanting Soil Temper-
 atures." Pp. 115-118  in Landis,  T. D. (Tech. Coord.),
 Proceedings,  Intermountain Forest Nursery Association,
 August 11-14, 1989, Bismarck, ND.  USDA Forest Service
 Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment  Station
 General Tech. Rpt. RM-184, Fort Collins, CO,  149 pp.

 Johnson, C. M., 1987. Memorandum, Silviculture Branch,
 Ministry of Forests,  Victoria, B.  C., 4 pp.  + append.
 mimeo.

 Kimmins, J. P., 1987.  Forest Ecology.  MacMillan Pub-
 lishing Co., N.Y.,  531 pp.

 Knight,  T.,  1990.  "Reforestation in British Columbia."
 Pp. 1-8 in Lavender, D. P., Pa;rish, R., Johnson, C.  M.,
 Montgomery, G.,  Vyse, A.,  Willis, R.,  and Winston,  D.,
 (eds.), Regenerating British Columbia's  Forests.  U. B. C.
 Press, Vancouver, B. C., 372 pp.
 Lavender, D. P., in press. 1990.  "Plantation of Forestry
 in Western Canada," pp. 30-44, in Proceedings  of the
 1990 RIFRO International Congress, Montreal, 5-11 Aug.,
 1990.

 Lavender,  D. P.,  1990.   "Physiological Principles  of
 Regeneration," pp. 30-44, in  Lavender, D. P., Parish, R.,
 Johnson, C. M., Montgomery, G., Vyse, A., Willis, R., and
 Winston, D. (eds.), Regenerating British Columbia's Forests.
 U. B. C. Press, Vancouver, B. C., 372 pp.

 Pearce,  P.  H.,  Lang,  A. J.,  and  Todd, K.  L., 1986.
 "Reforestation Needs in British Columbia:  Clarifying the
 Confusion." Information Report 85-13, The Forest Econom-
 ics and  Policy Project, University  of British Columbia,
 Vancouver, B. C., 27 pp.

 Pojar, J., 1983.  "Forest Ecology," pp. 221-318 in Watts,
 S. B. (ed.), Forestry Handbook for British Columbia, 4th
 ed., The Forestry Undergrad. Soc., Vancouver, B.  C., 611
 pp.

 Pojar,  J.,  Klinka, K., and  Meiclinger,  D.  V.,  1987.
 "Biogeoclimatic Ecosystem Classification in British Colum-
 bia," Forest Ecology and Management 22:119-154.

 Scrivener, B. A.,  and MacKinnon, J.  A.,  1989.  "Learning
 From the Past.  Looking to the Future."  FRDA Report
 030, Ministry of Forests, Victoria, B. C., 140 pp.

 Silviculture Branch, B. C. Ministry of Forests, 1988.  1988
Summary of Backlog Not  Satisfactorily Restocked Forest
Land.  Province of B. C.,  Victoria, B. C., 35 pp.

van  Eerden,  E.,  and  Gates,  J.  W.,  1990.  "Seedling
Production and Processing: Container," pp. 226-234 in
Lavender, D. P., Parish, R., Johnson, C. M., Montgomery,
G., Vyse, A., Willis, R., and Winston, D. (eds.), Regenerat-
ing British Columbia's Forests.  U. B. C. Press, Vancouver,
B. C., 372 pp.
                      NOTE

;Weetman, G. F., Personal Communication 4/90.
                                                                                                        39

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                                   REFORESTATION IN NEW
                                             ZEALAND

                                            I. R. Hunter
                                              Abstract

  Between 1000 and 1970 A.D., forest clearance by both Polynesian and European immigrants reduced the forest cover of
New Zealand from 75 percent to 23 percent. Little of the timber was used.  Following a far-sighted review in 1913, it was
realized that the rate of exploitation was not sustainable. A policy of reforestation with exotic species was proposed, with the
objective of achieving national  self-sufficiency  in wood.   The Depression provided manpower and 300,000 hectares,
predominantly ofradiata pine, were planted by 1935.  By 1960, this new forest matured.  The local wood-using industry had
no experience of utilizing the exotic softwood but came to prefer the new resource.  In 1960 it was decided to expand the exotic
forest with the objective of providing an exportable surplus. A total forest estate of 1.2 million hectares was established by
1990. Following substantial restructuring of the industry, however, expansion has ceased.
  New Zealand's reforestation effort is characterized by a sound selection of exotic species and provenance within species.
The species chosen,  radiata pine, grows exceptionally well in the generally moist, warm climate.  There were only a few
instances of poor species selection. Generally, site selection was good and a large centralized resource was created as a result.
A high degree of research input ensured knowledge of the conditions necessary to achieve success. A well-educated forest staff
made the implementation of high-management standards possible.  Good planning, sound species and site selection, and a
highly educated workforce are necessary characteristics of any successful reforestation scheme.
INTRODUCTION

  Like  many  countries,  New  Zealand went
through  a period of  severe  deforestation in
which the area covered by natural forest drop-
ped from 75 percent to 23 percent.  Just before
the First World War, it was realized that at the
current  rate of exploitation,  there would  be
insufficient timber within 30 years  to  maintain
economic development. An ambitious program
of reforestation  began, using  exotic softwood
species.   There  were  very  few  mistakes  and
much  solid achievement in this  program, such
that today  New  Zealand has  an  exportable
surplus of timber. The purpose of this paper is
to describe the states of deforestation, outline
the stages of reforestation with  exotic species,
discuss the successes and failures in that pro-
gram,  and attempt to draw general lessons for
reforestation schemes elsewhere; while  noting
any features that are unique to New Zealand.
THE STAGES  OF DEFORESTATION

  In the year 1000 A.D., most of New Zealand
was covered in some form of woody vegetation
(Figure 5).   Probably 75 percent  had a  con-
tinuous forest cover (Nichols 1980). Forest was
entirely absent on 15 percent of the land sur-
face comprising  areas  above the tree line in the
Southern  Alps;  areas  in  the   central  North
Island recently affected by volcanic activity and
wetlands were  devoid  of  woody  vegetation.
The remaining sub-alpine areas and  the drier
parts of the country were covered  in a woody
scrubland.
  At around that  time Polynesian  peoples, the
Maoris, arrived  from the Pacific.  These people
settled  in  New  Zealand.  The  Maoris cleared
forest  by  fire  partly  to  assist  cultivation  of
crops, to create  a  glacisital around their settle-
ment and  to assist  travelling.    These   fires
tended  to  be more destructive in the  drier,
                                                                                                 41

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REFORESTATION IN NEW ZEALAND
                               Indigenous Forest 1000 AD





                               Indigenous Forest 1990




                               Exotic Forest 1990
         Figure 5.  Indigenous and Exotic Forest in New Zealand, 1000 AD to Present
42

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    more lightly wooded parts of the country.  By
    1840, when European settlement occurred,  a
    third  of the  forest  had already been  cleared,
    and only 53  percent of the land surface was
    forested.
      Between 1840 and the present day, a further
    40 percent of the land has been cleared, paricu-
    larly  of the  more  productive  forest in  the
    wetter parts of the country.  Part of the  clear-
    ance took place to generate timber resources to
    build  a modern  industrial estate  and  part  to
    create  opportunities  for  farm development.
    Thode (1983)  pointed out that in northern New
    Zealand,  more of the kauri forest was  burnt
    than was ever put to use.  The total land area
    now covered by natural stands  is 23 percent of
    the land-surface.  Eighty percent of the native
    forest is in state ownership.  Of that  80 per-
    cent,  60  percent is  in state  forest land; 30
    percent is  in national  parks and 10 percent is
    unoccupied Crown land (Nichols  1980).   The
    current distribution of land-use overall is shown
    in Figure 6.
                                      I. R. HUNTER

   THE STAGES OF REFORESTATION

     In 1896, a government-sponsored timber con-
   ference found that the wasteful destruction of
   the indigenous forests precluded a continuation
   of exports and required a plantation resource to
   be developed. An Afforestation Branch was set
   up inside the Department of Lands and Survey.
   Its objective was to establish 15,000 hectares of
   plantation in 25 years. By 1913, public concern
   for the future, both  of the  natural forest  and
   for the national timber supply was such that the
   government set up  a  Royal  Commission on
   Forestry (Royal Commission 1913).   It found
   that  the remaining natural forest resource  was
   limited, the methods of its  use wasteful,  and
   that  generally the  native species were unsuited
   for afforestation.  Future needs of timber would
   have to come from imports or large-scale plant-
   ings of exotic tree species.  A State Forest Ser-
   vice was established in  1919 (Roche  1984).
     In  a study done in  the  early years of  the
   Forest Service it was predicted that the indigen-
   ous forests would be severely depleted by 1965
   and  the rapid establishment by the state of
               Exotic Forest
                   4 4
                                Indigenous Forest
                                     239
Pasture and arable
     53 1
          Establishment of plantations
          in New Zealand 1922 to  1986
                  Source: Anon 1988
                                 Other non forest
                                     IB 1
    Figure & Percentage of Land Use in New Zealand.
    (Source:  Anon. 1988)
300


250


200


ISO


100


 SO
                                                    Hectares (Thousands)
   22-26 27-31 32-36 37-41 42-46 47-51 5Z-56 57-81 62-88 87-71 72-78 77-81 82-06

            New planting per 5 year period
                                                      Figure 7. Establishment of Plantations in New Zealand, 1922-1986.
                                                      (Source: Anon. 1988)
                                                                                              43

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REFORESTATION IN NEW ZEALAND
120,000 hectares in timber was necessary. The
recommendations were accepted and rapidly put
into effect using the  special  work  schemes
created to  relieve the severe  unemployment
that occurred during the 1920s depression. The
state target was achieved by 1931 (Fig. 7) and
private companies planted a comparable area.
By  1935, over 300,000 hectares had been plant-
ed (Sutton 1984).  Radiata pine (Pinus radiata)
was the main species used but P. ponderosa, P.
contorta,  P.  nigra  and Pseudotsuga  menziesii
were also used for certain sites.  Having achiev-
ed  an  area from  which it was predicted that
self-sufficiency in timber  could be  achieved,
planting  of new  land  by  the state  reduced
rapidly.  Between 1936 and 1960  only 45,000
hectares  of new land were  planted.   At that
time, the view prevailed that New Zealand had
little experience of exporting timber and could
not profitably export timber to the European
market (Bunn 1979).  In  addition,  the local
wood-using industry was still very inexperienced
in the  use of exotic  softwood.
  The period to 1960 saw a growing confidence
in the use  of exotic softwood  and its substi-
tution  for dwindling native timber resources.
The demonstration sawmills  established by the
state  at  Waipa and Conical Hills were very
important in fostering this growing confidence.
Market acceptance required the development of
proven methods of conversion, grading, season-
ing and preservation. The state played a leadi-
ng  role in their development (Sutton 1984).
  In 1960,  following a policy  review, it was
decided  by the government  to increase new
land planting to between 8,000 and 12,000 hec-
tares per year; to aim  for an export target of
4,250,000 nrVyear and to  aim for a total exotic
estate  of 800,000 hectares  by the year 2000
(Bunn 1979).   Thus the objective of  reforesta-
tion was  expressly  modified  to  provide  an
exportable  surplus.    The government could
control its  own planting by allocating money
and setting policy. It encouraged private-sector
planting  by a  mixture of  grants  and  loans
(Forestry  Encouragement  Act  1962,  Forestry
Encouragement Grants Regulations 1970), tax
incentives and  export incentives.  Instead  of a
smooth and gradual increase in planting, howev-
er, a further planting boom occurred,  in which
up to  40,000 hectares were planted per year,
leading once  again to a  maldistribution of age
classes. The  intention was to make the export
target achievable earlier,  and to smooth out the
age class discrepancy by  silvicultural treatment.
Since clear felling  and replanting of the earlier
planting boom occurred at the same time as the
new planting, the current exotic forest  estate of
1.2 million hectares is dominated by young age
classes (Figure  8).   Eighty-eight percent of the
total area is  planted in  one species:   radiata

       Exotic  stocked  forest area for NZ
           by  age class.  As at  1/4/88
350
   hectares (Thousands
    1-5 6-10 11-1516-2021-2526-3031-3536-4041-5051-6061-80
                  Age class (years)

Figure 8. Exotic Stocked Forest Area for NZ by Age Class, 1/4/88.


pine.
  The current  situation with regard to refor-
estation is very different. In 1985, the govern-
ment decided to create a State-Owned Enter-
prise to carry out the commercial activities of
the  Forest Service.  The Forest  Service  had
multiple land-use as one of its  goals (Kirkland
1989).  The  new State-Owned  Enterprise  said
in its statement of corporate  intent that  "the
44

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                                                                                  I. R. HUNTER
principal objective of the New Zealand Forestry
Corporation is to operate as a successful fores-
try  and  wood-processing business"  (Fischman
and  Nagle 1989).  In other words,  economic
objectives had become predominant.   Kirkland
(1989) argued that it was impossible to practice
a  multiple-use  management because of  the
difficulty of separating and  valuing commercial
and  non-commercial goals.  Although Kirkland
(1989) showed that apparently greater financial
returns were achieved by the new entity than
had  been achieved by the government depart-
ment,  government policy evolved to  the point
where after  30 months it  passed the  Crown
Forest Assets Act (Government Printer 1989)
and  issued a prospectus entitled "the Sale of
State Owned Forests in New Zealand," thereby
initiating a process whereby the timber-cutting
rights (but not the land itself) are to  be sold to
private-sector companies.
  Fischman and Nagle  (1989) speculate that a
"corporation is  not  a  stable institutional ar-
rangement."  Meanwhile, taxation incentives to
private  companies  had been  removed  and
eventually replaced  by a taxation regime which
most  private companies view   as a negative
influence on new planting.
  The view of the government  is that the new
tax  regime is "neutral" (Anon.,  1990).  Under
this new taxation regime, costs  incurred in the
planting and  tending of a  stand must  be  "re-
membered" without  inflation indexation and can
only be written off against income  from  that
particular stand at  such time in the future as
revenue may occur.  In addition, the  impending
sale of the state  assets  has caused uncertainty
as to  access to future  wood supplies and  cer-
tainty as to  future  cash requirements amongst
the  private companies.   As a result, planting of
new land  has shown an actual and  projected
decrease (Figure 9).   Several New  Zealand
companies have publicly signalled that they find
overseas investment  more  attractive.    It  is
 necessary to  point  out, however,  that govern-
 ment statistics show a slightly different picture.
       New Forest Plantings 1984-91
      Source:  Forestry Bulletin 3(4) Oct 1988
       and NZ Forest  Owners Assoc. (unpub)
 Hectares Thousands
  1984   1985   1986   1987   1988   1989   1990   1991
      Years {actual to 1989;projected to 1991)
  Figure 9.  New Forest Plantings 1984-91.
  (Source: Forestry Bulletin 3(4), Oct 1988, and Forest Owners Assoc.
  unpub.)
While conceding that new planting has decreas-
ed  (Anon.  1990),  published  figures to  1986
(Anon.  1988)  give total areas of new planting
up to 30 percent higher.
  One  aspect  of the  state forest sale  which
could have an impact on the future area plant-
ed in New Zealand is the  absence of a require-
ment to replant.   The licensee may use the
land for  any  purpose (Government  Printer
1989).  Some state forests  were established with
too little regard for topography and siting and
justifiably deserve  critical  evaluation  before
replanting.  No  such  requirement to  replant
currently exists over private company land and
nearly every hectare felled is replanted.  There
is therefore no strong reason,  based on past
experience,  to fear that  large  areas  of the
current  estate  will  be  alienated  to other land
uses. It is probably fair to conclude, however,
that under current policies the  present size  of
the New Zealand forest estate will not increase
greatly in the  immediately foreseeable future.
                                                                                           45

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REFORESTATION IN NEW ZEALAND
  Policy in the area of the native forests has
moved firmly in the direction  of conservation
(Anon.  1989).   The proposed national policy
states that "the maintenance of the present area
of indigenous forest is  in the national interest,"
but that sustainable management will be  al-
lowed  within tight minimum  impact  criteria
where  it  is  demonstrated to  be  technically
feasible.  If this policy is implemented, then the
forest on  the 23 percent  of the  New Zealand
land surface which is currently under native
vegetation will continue to grow, replacing the
biomass removed over  much of the area in past
partial logging.    Mature indigenous  beech/-
podocarp forest (at ages greater than 150 years)
contains  as  much living biomass  as a  mature
radiata pine  stand (Beets 1980).   It is worth
noting, however, that the native forest  of New
Zealand is very slow-growing, with estimates of
volume production in some of the denser stands
of podocarps being as  low as 1.5 to 3.5 nvVha/-
year (Franklin 1973, Herbert 1980). The New
Zealand  beech  may produce  between 7-10.5
mVha/year (Evans and Jackson 1972).

SUCCESSES AND FAILURES

  It is difficult to  characterize aspects of the
reforestation program simply as either successes
or failures because all strengths, when looked at
from another perspective, can be seen as weak-
nesses.  All successes  carry the seeds of their
own failure.  For example, the enormous suc-
cess in  achieving physical targets of  planting
began to create apprehension  in the minds of
influential economists  as  to the  future capital
demand for processing plants.
  A major success of New Zealand's afforesta-
tion strategy was the early recognition of radia-
ta pine as a  very flexible  species capable of
growing on a wide range of sites and producing
outstanding volume.   Radiata  pine was  intro-
duced to New Zealand about 1856 and  used by
farmers and  tree  enthusiasts.  By 1890  there
were many plantations (Sutton 1984).
  At  the  same time,  a  very  wide  range of
species was tested informally.  The Afforesta-
tion Branch  planted blocks  of species in the
early years of the 20th century, so that by the
time the big expansion came in the 1920s there
was considerable experience with a wide range
of species and  clear evidence that radiata pine
outperformed all others  on  most  sites.   The
exceptions were on very  cold,  frosty sites and
on  some  nutrient-deficient  sites.    There  is
general consensus that New  Zealand had sev-
eral strands of good fortune.
  In the first place, the seed  that was collected
in the early  days produced  a  land race  com-
posed of Ano Nuevo and Monterey provenan-
ces which later provenance  trail work has
shown to  be near optimal (Burdon  and Ban-
  Table VHL STEMWOOD PRODUCTIVITY OF RADIATA PINE
  IN NEW ZEALAND.
     Location
                Net AuGrowtk
                 m3flujyr.
                              Source
     Av., all forests   18.8

     Eastern N. Island  24.0

     Max observed   44.7
Collins, et al. 1988

Collins, et al. 1988

Shula 1989
nister 1973).
  In the second place, some of the more severe
diseases which attack radiata pine in its native
range  have  not been  introduced  into New
Zealand.  Radiata pine is a very flexible species
capable of  growing well on a  wide range  of
sites. It seldom  goes into "check."  Indeed, the
only circumstance  that  appears to  cause   ir-
reversible slow-down in growth  is a rise in the
water-table  such that  the root zone is  often
saturated.
  Radiata pine produces on average significant-
ly more than the growth of native forest species
(Table VIII). At its best, radiata pine is cap-
46

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                                                                                   I. R. HUNTER
able of growing five times as fast as some of
the best native stands,  and there is  evidence
that after two rotations  this high level of rela-
tive productivity will be sustained on most sites.
  Its outstanding performance as  a forest tree,
however,  has led to its acceptance ahead of
other trees which grow  well in New Zealand
and which might  be more acceptable as  a
timber either on the general world market or in
specific niches of that market.  Except in the
Australian market, radiata pine is used chiefly
for packaging (Anon. 1990).
  Cryptomeria japonica,   on  the  other  hand,
grows about two-thirds  as fast as radiata pine
on  selected sites and would  possibly  be more
readily acceptable on the Japanese market than
radiata pine.
  It  is also widely recognized by the forestry
community in New Zealand that being depend-
ent on one exotic species, whose full range of
native disease have not yet become established
in New  Zealand,  carries risks (Chou,  1981;
Bain, 1981).  It is necessary to be aware of the
diseases that occur on the introduced species in
its native  range and also to consider the pos-
sible impact  of  a meeting between the exotic
species and a new disease unknown in its home
range. A  thorough risk assessment should be
undertaken  before  commencing  large-scale
reforestation.    Species  for  which  there  are
known fatal  diseases, such as elm,  should be
avoided.
   A  necessary  characteristic  of any  refores-
tation  scheme,  however  successful   its  main
species, is that strategic research is continued to
evaluate  a large range  of potential  substitute
species (Bunn, 1979).
  One of  New Zealand's failures  concerns the
attempt to plant cold, higher  altitude sites on
which radiata pine initially failed. Pinus ponder-
osa was one of a small group of species chosen
to plant these sites, and at one time  this spe-
cies  was second  only  to radiata  pine in  area
planted.  Nearly  30,000  hectares were planted
in the first planting surge.   Insufficient atten-
  Height in metres at age 16 years
     P. r»
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REFORESTATION IN NEW ZEALAND
is fairly even over the whole country.  There is
a trend towards slower growth  in  the more
southerly parts of the country and  dry, high-
altitude sites in the  South Island can produce
 Distribution of radiata pine
 Site index  in New  Zealand
            8ourc»i Hunter «nd Qlbion (1994)
 Ntw Zt«l«nd Journal of Forvct 8ot«nc« 14(1) 69-64
                   NEW  ZEALAND
Fipue 11. Distribution of Radiata Pine Site Index in New Zealand.
Source: Hunter and Gibson, 1984
very slow growth (Figure 11).
  New Zealand's afforestation program contains
both successes and failures in other aspects of
the choice of site.  The failures  came about
partly  through lack of knowledge about  site
productivity relationships,  partly through  not
considering the economic considerations rigor-
ously enough and mainly because choice of land
was constrained by land-use planning proced-
ures.  Of the 75 percent of the estate for which
original land use is known, over 70 percent was
planted on land  described  as unutilized or
reverting farmland, 9 percent was  planted on
land with varying erosion  problems, 12 percent
was directly converted from native forest, and
only 7 percent was planted on land considered
to be  viable farmland at that time (D.J. Evans,
pers.  comm.).   Thus the expansion  of the
plantation  estate was  not directly at the ex-
pense  of the native forest.   There  are  good
historical reasons for the  concentration of the
estate  on  unutilized  or  reverting land.  The
state  was  constrained up to  the 1970s  by a
Land-Use Committee made up of Government
Department  representatives   who  normally
allocated any  land bought by the  state with
agricultural potential to the state land develop-
ment  agency (Fenton, 1965).   When land-use
decisions  became  the prerogative  of  local
government, these bodies generally moved to
place forestry land use in a subordinate position
to pastoral land use:  specific local authority
being  required  to  afforest   more  than  tiny
parcels of  land (Rockell,  1980).  The forestry
sector  experienced considerable hostility from
the farming community and there were several
successful  appeals  against large-scale  forest
expansion  onto farmland. Smith and  Wilson
(1984) showed that forestry was not one of the
more  publicly  favored  options  for  land  use.
Respondents to their survey gave environmental
concerns, life-style concerns and general  land-
use preferences as their  reasons for opposing
conversion of land to forestry.  A really success-
ful reforestation  program would  control the
choice of site pro-actively.  To do  that,  how-
ever, it would need to take public opinion with
it  by  confronting  and dealing with  issues of
public  concern.
  Despite these constraints on land availability,
there  is nowadays a satisfactory concentration
of forests in the Central  North Island (Figure
12).  The soils  in this region are deep pumice
48

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                                                                                      I. R HUNTER
Cent. N. Island 48%
        Sth N Island 13*
                                Nth. N. Island
                                 Sth S Island 055

                                E S. Island 3%
                               W S. Island 2%
                            Nth. S. Island 11%
    Figure 12.   Distribution  of Exotic  Forest in New
    Zealand. (Source:  Novis, et ah, 1989.)
    ash, with  high water-holding  capacity.   The
    climate is moist. Radiata pine  growth is rapid.
    Nevertheless, part of the estate was planted on
    land  that  proved  to  be chronically  nutrient-
    deficient.  Annually about 30,000 hectares are
    fertilized with boron,  phosphorus, potassium,
    magnesium and/or nitrogen fertilizers.  Moreov-
    er, in  the  second planting boom, planting was
    distributed around the regions and some minor-
    ity of forests were planted on very steep slopes
    in inaccessible areas (Bunn, 1979).  Logging on
    these  steep  sites  will pose  severe  problems
    (Carson, 1983).
     Latterly, very high  standards have been  a-
    chieved in the establishment (e.g., Hunter and
    Skinner, 1986) and management of the planta-
    tions  (Sutton,  1984).   This situation  contrasts
    with that  in  the first planting period where
    there  were some  failures due  to  inadequate
    technology.  A Forest Research Institute was
    established in 1947.  Staff training through in-
    house,  sub-professional and  university-based,
    professional  training accelerated through the
    1950s (McKelvey, 1984). Research concentrat-
    ed on practical outcomes. Scientists were given
 considerable freedom to focus on medium-term
 opportunities rather than  on short-term prob-
 lems, however, in an environment  where long-
 term stability of budget was guaranteed (Sutton,
 1984).   The phrase  "scientific  effectiveness,"
 used by a past director of the Institute, encom-
 passed  the successful practical  application of
 research results to field situations.  Particularly
 successful  were efforts in nursery techniques,
 site preparation crop establishment, crop tend-
 ing and utilization of the timber.  These results
 were  communicated  to  managers  through
 research symposia (e.g.,  Chavasse,  1981),  by
 face-to-face communication (Balneaves, 1983),
 and by practitioner-oriented publications (e.g.,
 Hunter and Skinner,  1986).
  The  combination of applied research effort
 and a highly trained staff who understand  and
 applied that effort was particularly successful.
 Over the last few years, however, the Research
 Institute has been required to earn an increas-
 ingly high percentage of its costs  from commer-
 cial  activity.  Although mechanisms have been
 found to ensure continuation of widely available
 practical research  through  the founding  of
 research cooperatives, some  of the  research
 effort has been diluted and diverted by proprie-
 tary agreements.  In addition, the number of
 staff employed in  forest  management has  dec-
 lined sharply (D.J. Evans,  pers. comm.) to  the
 point where the remaining staff  feel  unable to
 put as much time into technical matters as was
 previously the case.  A successful reforestation
 program needs the underpinning of an adequate
 research and development  agency,   a  highly
 trained  workforce and a  high  level  of com-
 munication between the two.
  A weakness of New Zealand's afforestation
 program was that the "Forest Service  nurtured
 a fraternal cadre of foresters who  made man-
 agement decisions largely insulated from polit-
 ical or judicial pressure" (Fischman and Nagle.
 1989).    The management concentrated   too
greatly on  physical goals (number  of hectares
planted  for example) and not enough on finan-
                                                                                             49

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REFORESTATION IN NEW ZEALAND
cial goals (Grant, 1979), making it vulnerable to
financial inquisition.   It also paid insufficient
attention to the changing and growing tide of
urban  opinion which  was  firmly  against  the
destruction of native forests.

UNIQUE FEATURES

   New Zealand's economy  is moving from a
highly  regulated  one  to  a  more  free-market
approach.  The government has introduced a
tax regime which has been negatively received
by industry.  There are large areas of land in
New Zealand  potentially available and suitable
for afforestation  (Table IX),  but  recent  new
land plantings have fallen  to a  30-year  low.
The state is removing itself  from  afforestation
by the sale of the state  forests.   If  the  area
planted in trees is to increase in the short term
then a  mechanism will have  to be found to
encourage  private enterprise  to   plant  more
trees than  their  current  economic  appraisal
considers desirable.
  New Zealand has developed silviculture into
a considerable science  (Sutton  1984).  Years of
intensive field research culminated in  a model-
ling  phase which sought to bring the empirical
knowledge into one framework. Sutton (1984)
summarized the main conclusions of that  mod-
elling effort thus:
*  site productivity is the most important deter-
minant of profitability;
*  topography and distance to market  can have
a major impact on profitability;
*  overhead costs can often be more important
than direct costs;
*   for any  one site,  the choice of final  crop
stocking is most important;
*  low final crop stocking is  most  important;
*   low  final crop stockings  and stem pruning
produce the highest value output.  New Zea-
land's  forestry practice is overwhelmingly in-
fluenced by these ideas,  to  the extent that it
might be difficult to obtain  increased planting
in areas or in ways that contradicted this body
of knowledge.   For example,  Sutton  (1984)
points out that it is almost impossible to maxi-
mize both volume production and value in the
same regime.  New Zealand's forests tend to be
managed for maximum value, which means less
than maximum volume.  Less than  the  poten-
tially immobilizable carbon would be immobil-
ized by such a silvicultural regime.

  Table DC  POTENTIAL LAND AVAILABLE TO  EXPAND
  EXOTIC FORESTRY (HARRIS, 1979).
     REGION
                       AREA IN
                       THOUSAND HECTARES
     North, North Island
     Center, North Is.
     East, North Is.
     South, North Is.
     North, South Is.
     East, South Is.
     South, South Is.
 351
 705
 777
 632
 590
1041
1520
  Afforestation can be  a very  capital-intensive
operation (Fenton, 1965). Following planting,
radiata pine plantations  are usually live-branch
pruned and thinned (without commercial yield)
several times.  These  operations place a severe
cash-flow constraint on owners.  The objective
of such  operations is to produce  high-quality
clear  timber at rotation age.   There  are  inci-
dental benefits from  such treatment.  Planta-
tions  so  treated  are  healthier than those  left
untended (Sutton, 1984). The first crop, which
was mostly untended, was badly damaged  by a
wood wasp, Sirex.  Needle cast  fungi  such as
Dothistroma and  Cydaneusma  are more severe
in untended plantations as well.  The  costs of
establishing the plantation are small, however,
when compared  to the capital costs  of  the
utilization  plant.   It  is  estimated  that capital
investment of 6  to 7 billion  N.Z.$  would  be
required to process all the wood available  over
the next 20 years (Anon., 1990).  For  a small,
relatively capital-poor country like  New Zea-
50

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                                                                                            I. R. HUNTER
land,  these capital  costs  can  be  a significant
constraint on plantation expansion.
  New  Zealand  has  a  small population  (3
million) and historically high wages for manual
labor.   It has a very strongly regulated labor
market with very strong labor unions.  The cost
of  getting  logs to  the market amounts  to  50
percent of the costs incurred in the whole 30-
year  rotation.   Labor availability and cost are
therefore significant factors in  the expansion of
afforestation (Anon., 1990).
  New Zealand has a  land area equal to the
United  Kingdom,  or  equal  to  the  state of
Colorado.  It has a low population density, yet
it  has  a  very  high  degree  of  investment in
economic infrastructure and in education of its
people.  It has a mild, moist climate capable of
growing one of the highest producing conifers
in the world.  It has  plentiful land that is both
suitable and potentially available for  an affores-
tation program  (Table IX).  It has the capacity
to make significant world contributions  to net
afforestation.
                                           REFERENCES
Anon, 1988. Statistics of the Forests and Forest Industries
of New Zealand to 1987. Ministry of Forestry, Wellington.

Anon, 1989. A National Policy for Indigenous Forests; A
discussion  paper. Ministry  for the  Environment, Wel-
lington,  New Zealand,  September, 1989-

Anon,  1990.    New Zealand  Forestry  Briefing for  the
Minister of Forests.  Ministry  of  Forestry, Wellington.
February, 1990.

Bain, J., 1981.  "Forest Monocultures - How Safe Are
They? An Entomologist's View." New Zealand Journal of
Forestry  26(l):37-42.

Balneaves, J.M. 1983. "Dissemination and Application of
Research Results. New Zealand Journal of Forestry 28(2):-
143-149.

Beets, P., 1980.  "Amount and Distribution of Dry-matter
in a Mature Beech/Podocarp Community." New Zealand
Journal of Forestry Science  10:395-418.

Bunn, E.H., 1979.   "The Consequences  of  the Past
Planting Program." New  Zealand Journal  of Forestry
24 (2) :152-8.

Burdon, R.D. and Bannister, M.H., 1973.  "Provenances
of Pinits radiata; Their Early Performance and Silvicul
tural Potential." New Zealand Journal of Forestry 18(1):-
133-140.

Carson,  W.W., 1983.  "Is New  Zealand Ready for Steep
Country Logging?"   New  Zealand  Journal of Forestry
28(l):24-34.
Chavasse, C.G.R. (Ed and Comp), 1981. Forest Nursery
and Establishment Practice in New Zealand,  FRI Sym-
posium  No.  22. N.Z. Forest Service, Forest  Research
Institute, Rotorua, New Zealand.

Chou, C.K.S., 1981.  "Monocultures, Species Diversifica-
tion  and Disease Hazards in Forestry." New Zealand
Journal of Forestry 26(l):20-36.

Collins, J., McGregor, F., and Novis, J., 1988. A National
Exotic Forest Description System. Working paper No. 3.3,
Ministry of Forestry,  Wellington.

Evans, DJ.  and Jackson, R.J., 1972.  "Red Beech Man-
agement; Implications From Early Growth  Plots." New
Zealand Journal of Forestry 17:189-200.

Fenton, R.T., 1965.  Exotic Forestry and Land-use in New
Zealand. Proceedings of the Fourth  N.Z. Geography
Conference.  New Zealand Geographical  Society Inc.,
Dunedin, New Zealand. Also New Zealand Forest Service
Reprint  121. Forest Research Institute, Rotorua.

Fischman, R.L., and Nagle, R.L.,  1989.  "Corporation:
Implementing  Forest  Management  Reform  in  New
Zealand." Ecology Law Quarterly 16:719-753.

Franklin, D.A., 1973  "Growth Rates in South Westland
Terrace Rimu Forest; 1. Growing stock and  increment in
virgin forest." New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science
3(3):304-12.

Government Printer,  1989:  Crown Forest Assets, Govern-
ment Printer, Wellington.
                                                                                                    51

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REFORESTATION IN NEW ZEALAND

Grant, R.K., 1979.  "The Role of Economics in Forestry:
The Case for an Independent View." New Zealand Journal
of Forestry 24(1):47-60.

Harris, G.S. (ed), 1979.  The Potential of Energy Farming
for Transport Fuels in New Zealand. NZER&DC Report 46:
University of Auckland. Auckland, 132 pp.

Herbert, J.,  1980.  "Structure and Growth of Dense
Podocarp Forest at Tihoi, Central North Island, and the
Impact  of Selective Logging." New Zealand Journal of
Forestry 25(l):44-57.

Hunter, I.R., and Gibson, A.R., 1984.  "Predicting Pinus
radiata Site Index from Environmental Variables." New
Zealand Journal of Forestry Science 14:53-64.

Hunter,  I.R.,  and Skinner,  M.F., 1986.   "Establishing
Radiata  Pine  on the  North  Auckland Podzols."   New
Zealand  Journal of Forestry 1986:17-22. New Zealand
Forest Service Reprint  No. 1944.

Kirkland, A.,  1989.   "Accountability in Multiple Use
Enterprises  -- Urgent Problem or Dead Horse?"   Paper
prepared for  the Thirteenth  Commonwealth  Forestry
Conference,  Rotorua, New Zealand, September, 1989.

McKelvey, P J., 1984.  "Eighteen Years  On: A Progress
Report and Assessment of the Future, For the School of
Forestry." New Zealand Journal of Forestry 29(l):9-23.

Moore,  A.M.,  1944.  "Pinus  ponderosa  (Dougl);  Com-
parison of various types  grown experimentally on Kain-
garoa State Forest. New Zealand Journal of Forestry 5:42-
49.

Nichols, J.L., 1980. "The Past and Present Extent of New
Zealand's Indigenous Forests." Environmental Conservation
7(4):309-10.
Novis, J., Turland, J., and Collins, J., 1989.  A National
Exotic Forest Description. Edition 5. Ministry of Forestry,
Wellington, January, 1989.

Roche, M.M., 1984.  "Forest History in New Zealand: A
Review and Bibliography. New Zealand Journal of Forestry
29(1):97-107.

Rockell, J.D., 1980. "The Place of Forestry in the Wairoa
Scheme." New Zealand Journal of Forestry 25(l):58-74.

Royal  Commission, 1913.   Report  on  Forestry.  New
Zealand Government Printer. 87 pp.

Shula,  R.G., 1989.  "The Upper Limits of Radiata Pine
Stem-volume Production in N.Z."  New Zealand Forestry
36(8):19-22.

Smith, G., and Wilson, P., 1984.  "The Public's Evaluation
of Land-use Options in Two New Zealand Regions. New
Zealand Journal of Forestry 29(2):249-268.

Sutton,  W.RJ.,  1984.   New Zealand Experience with
Radiata Pine. The H.R. MacMillan Lectureship in Forestry,
Vancouver, B.C., New Zealand Forest Service Reprint No
1675. Forest Research Institute  Rotorua.
Thode, PJ., 1983.  "Northland's  Forest History."
Zealand Journal of Forestry 28 (2) :203-224.
New
Washbourn, R.W.,  1978.  "Establishment Practice  on
Frost-prone  Sites  at  Kaingaroa  Forest. New  Zealand
Journal of Forestry 23(1):107-120.
                                        ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
   The author very gratefully acknowledges the input and
advice of the very many people necessary to prepare a
complete statement.   These  people include:   Dr.  J.
Herbert, Mr. G. Horgan, Mr. J. Miller, Dr. R. Burdon, Dr.
R. James of the Forest Research Institute;  Mr. Peter
Olsen of P.F. Olsen and Company Ltd; Mr. Peter Carter
of N.Z. Forest Products Forests; Mr. M. Craig of Tasman
Forestry  Ltd; Mr. John Groome of Groome Poyry; Mr.
D J. Evans, Executive Research Officer for the N.Z. Forest
Owners Association, Inc.
 52

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                A BRIEF HISTORY OF FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE
               AMERICAN SOUTH: IMPLICATIONS FOR LARGE-SCALE
                    REFORESTATION TO SLOW GLOBAL WARMING

                                     Joseph  H. Hughes
                                          Abstract

  Tfie American South provides perhaps the best case study of large-scale plantation forestry in the United States.  The primary
objective of this paper is to present this reforestation case study within the broader context of southern forest history.  A
secondary objective -- the potential use of southern forest plantations for carbon storage as a means to slow global climate
warming -- is considered in the final sections of the paper.
INTRODUCTION

  Forestry  and forest products have  been sig-
nificant and  locally  dominant in the southern
economy for more than 250 years.  Southern
forest history over this time span is  symbolically
divided into four eras ~ the first, second, third
and  fourth  forests (SFRAC,  1969; USDA,
1988).  In reality, the eras overlap in time, both
across  the  South and locally, but are useful to
illustrate the historical  development  of timber
utilization and forest management.  The eras of
southern forestry  also provide comparisons to
forest  management  and forest exploitation in
other regions of the United States and of the
world.    The virgin, old  growth  first  forest
provided  the  "seed"  for  the  second-growth
second forest, which in  turn provided the "cap-
ital"  for the pine plantations that are the third
forest,  which in turn provides the "hope" upon
which we will establish the future fourth forest
The  third and fourth forests are the models for
potential  carbon  storage  in  southern  pine
plantations.   We  will consider  each  forest
sequentially in time, beginning with the first
THE FIRST FOREST

Coastal North Carolina,  including  my  home
town of New  Bern, located in Craven County,
is representative of the longest forest history in
the South.  I  will use this area  as an example
throughout  the  paper.    Savannah,  Mobile,
Pineville or  a hundred other locations could be
used.  The  first forest -- the original,  virgin
stands of longleaf and  other southern  pines,
upland and bottomland hardwoods, cypress and
white cedar  — powered  the economy for more
than 200 years, until about 1930.
  An early example of the importance of forest
products to this area is from the  export records
for Port Beaufort for the  shipping year ending
October, 1764. Naval stores were the principal
exports ~ nearly  40,000  barrels of pine tar,
turpentine, pitch, spirits of turpentine, and rosin
were shipped  that year.   Most  were probably
extracted  from  the  longleaf pine  stands of
Craven County (Watson,  1987).  Naval  stores
put the South on the map of world trade. The
British navy  was no longer hostage to northern
Europe for  these vital materials. The domin-
ance  of  naval  stores in the coastal Carolina
economy continued for  more than 100  years.
                                                                                         53

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FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE SOUTH
The  1860 census for Craven County indicates
that  47 of 68  manufacturing firms  produced
turpentine products, accounting for three-quar-
ters of the value of all manufactured products
from the second forest  Incidentally, only one
sawmill  operates on the New Bern waterfront
today.  Additional forest products such as sawn
lumber increased this to 88 percent of the total
value for  the county (Watson,  1987).  Similar
statistics were applicable  to Florida, Georgia
and Alabama as  the naval stores  industry as-
sumed dominance in those  longleaf  and slash
pine areas, especially after the Civil War.
  The Southern  economy was depressed for a
few years as a result of the war, but unprece-
dented  demand  for  forest products  forced a
turn around.   Waves of immigration into the
United States after the Civil War resulted in a
building boom  that placed  a tremendous de-
mand on timber supplies throughout  the coun-
try.   This demand,  coincident with internal
access  provided  by railroads, opened up vast
stands of southern timber which were previously
untouched.   The result  was  a  logging and
sawmilling boom across the South that lasted
from about  1870 until 1930.  Craven  County
shared in the boom.   By the turn  of this cen-
tury, the  New  Bern waterfront was crowded
with sawmills.  The  Neuse  and Trent  Rivers
were  filled with log  rafts and  lumber  cargo
vessels.  About a dozen lumber companies were
operating in the area (Watson, 1987). John L.
Roper  Lumber  Company,  with  more than
200,000  hectares  of  timberland,  a railroad
system and several mills in coastal North Carol-
ina,  owned a  sawmill  complex in  New  Bern,
including the largest  planing mill in the Carol-
inas  and  Virginia (Krinball,  1956).   Blades
Lumber  operated seven  mills  in  the  area.
Lumber production across the South  peaked at
nearly 50 million cubic meters in 1909 (SFRAC,
1969).   The  1920 census included 16 lumber
mills in the New Bern area  (Watson,  1987).
The timber harvest level was not  sustainable.
Remnants of the first forest were rapidly de-
pleted.  The virgin forest was mostly gone by
1930, by the beginning of the Great Depres-
sion.  The few remaining stands were harvested
by about 1945.  Sawmill capacity reflects this
loss.  In New Bern, the number by 1940 had
declined to  7 sawmills  and  4 planing mills
(Watson, 1987).  These mills were progressively
being supplied from the second forest.  Inci-
dentally, only one sawmill operates on the New
Bern waterfront today.
  Timber harvest during the last 50 years of the
first forest provides  a good example of rapid
exploitation of a natural resource - of "cut-and-
-run," of "boom-and-bust."  Was this the equi-
valent of tropical rainforest  destruction today?
Probably not, although there are  similarities.
The survival of some plant and animal species
was  put at risk.   Rainforests  are, however,
much more complex systems. We also have the
advantage of hindsight.  The second forest did
rise to replace the South's first forest, but we
do  not  want to manage the southern or any
other forest that way again.

THE SECOND FOREST

  The second forest is the second-growth timber
that arose  from the  cutover  timberlands and
degraded, abandoned  farm fields   across the
South.  This forest is the product of exemplary
human  effort  and  changing  land use patterns.
Organized  efforts  to  naturally regenerate the
cutover first forest were begun in the early
1900's.  The regeneration period extended for
perhaps 50 years ~ from about 1900  until about
1950. The second forest resulted from natural
regeneration, not from  tree planting.  Primary
limiting factors  to  forest establishment were
wildfire and uncontrolled grazing that destroyed
young seedlings and tree sprouts.  Wildfire and
unregulated grazing were gradually reduced by
the various state and federal forestry agencies
that arose  during  this period.  An early fire-
control  campaign was the Dixie Crusades of the
1920s (SFRAC, 1969).  The  culmination has
54

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                                                                                   J. HUGHES
been the Smokey the Bear campaign begun in
the 1950s.
  A world class infrastructure for forest utiliza-
tion  and management has evolved in the South
during the  last 70 to 80 years.  Individual state
forestry agencies, the national forests,  federal
and  state experiment  stations,  more than  30
major forest product companies, and the south-
ern forestry schools helped to create the second
forest and,  perhaps as importantly,  are here
because there is a second forest
  Transition from the first to the second forest
as a  source of timber  must have occurred for
more than  20 years ~ from the 1920s into  the
1940s. From 1935 to the  present, total  lumber
production southwide  has averaged  about  26
million cubic meters per year, and has been in
the range of 19  to 31 million cubic meters  per
year.  Pine is 60 to 80  percent of this volume
on an annual basis; the remainder consists of
hardwoods   and softwoods other  than pine
(USDA,  1988).  Second growth southern pine
gave rise to a structural  plywood industry in the
early 1960s with a  current annual  capacity of
nearly 1,000 million square meters.  But most
impressively,  the second forest is also the raw
material base  for perhaps the  largest regional
pulp  and  paper industry  in  the world.  The
southern pulp industry, with very modest begin-
nings in 1891, had a 10-fold expansion in pulp
tonnage between 1920 and 1940, followed by an
11-fold tonnage expansion between 1940 and
1984  (USDA, 1988).
  Amazingly, until perhaps 1980, the expansion
of the industry  did not  keep pace  with  the
growth  and  expansion  of  the wood  supply.
Consider our example of New Bern and Craven
County.   Weyerhaeuser  built  a 545-metric-
ton/day pulp mill at New Bern  in 1968;  expan-
sions  have brought the capacity  to 690 tons/day.
By 1987, southern pulp production included 106
mills with a total capacity of 111,890 tons/day
(Hutchins,  1989).  The  South is now the lead-
ing region  in pulp and  paper production with
70 percent  of United  States production  and
ranks high  in  other  forest products (USDA,
1988). The second forest serves us well. With
increasing demand for  forest products and  a
shrinking forest  land base,  however,  second
forest growth rates of 2 to 7 rrrVha/yr will not
be enough.  Raw material for sawmills, plywood
plants, pulp  mills and other manufacturers of
forest products is increasingly coming from the
third  forest.  Even so, the South's second forest
is  one of the greatest forest recovery  success
stories of  all  times.    The  second  and  now
emerging third forests  may  be  providing  a
sustained supply of forest products at a higher
rate today than did the first forest at the height
of exploitation in 1909.  Applied technology
and wise, active  management are making  this
possible.

DESCRIPTION OF THE
SOUTHERN FOREST

  Before discussing the third and fourth forests,
we need an overview  of trends in southern
forestland ownership  and in the  real composi-
tion by tree  species groups.  The dynamics of
the southern forest  estate beginning  in  1952
and projected to 2030 are presented in Table
X.  Part  of the dynamic is the transition from
second to third to fourth forests.  The South --
the twelve-state region extending  from Virginia
to east Texas — was about 60 percent forested
in 1952,  including 78 million forest hectares.
Forest area peaked  at  81 million  hectares in
1963  (SFRAC,  1969), has declined to about 73
million hectares in 1990, with a continuing de-
cline  projected  to 70 million hectares in 2030
(USDA,  1988).
  Urban expansion and agricultural development
are the primary causes of forest land loss.  The
United States population of 152 million people
in 1950 increased to about 250 million by 1990
and is projected to be  319  million  by 2030.
The South,  especially on the coast, is  a  high
population growth area.   This places increasing
demands  on the forest for not only more timber
                                                                                        55

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 FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE SOUTH
 and recreational use, but also for the conver-
 sion of 10 million forested hectares to housing,
 agriculture, highways, etc.,  between  1963  and
 2030.    The  forest ownership  trend is one of
 gradual, proportional increase for public owner-
 ship from  9 percent in 1952 to 11 percent in
 2030;  gradual increase for forest industry from
 17  percent in 1952 to 25  percent in 2030;  and
 steady decline in other private ownership from
 74  percent in 1952 to 64 percent in 2030.  The
 greatest proportional shift  in  ownership is to
 forest industry as companies try to guarantee a
 wood  supply to  mills and  to increase  the  effi-
 ciency of timber production.
   The percent of area occupied by each  tree
 species group remains surprisingly constant from
 1952   to 1985 and on  through the projection
 period to 2030.   During that interval hardwood
 forest  types range from 47 to 51  percent of the
 forest  land base, with upland hardwoods from
 28  to  35 percent, and bottomland  hardwoods
 from  15 to 19 percent.  The mixed pine-hard-
 wood  type ranges from 12  to  15 percent  and
 pure pine types  (natural and planted)  from 38
 to 41  percent.  The greatest proportional  loss
 is  for  bottomland  hardwoods  (19 percent  in
 1952  to 15 percent  in 2030).   The  greatest
 proportional  gain  is  for pine  (38 percent  in
 1952 to 41  percent in 2030).
    TABLE X. Area of Timberland, by Ownership, Species Groups, and
    Pine Plantation Details for the South7, 1952-1985, with Projections.
                       Year

   _„	 inf.?   tpnfl	1P70

   Total. aU ownerships    762   798  77.4
                                      Projections
    National Forest
    % all ownerships
    Other Public
    % ill ownerships
    Forest Industry
    % all ownerships
    Olher Private
    % all ownerships
   Pine PtantaOon flaftj/h
             135
             173%
             57 a
             739%
                37.3
                477%
                224
                287%
149
190%
                110
                140%
   Pine (natural and planlod)  29.9
    % total forest      38 2 %
                  43
                  54%
                  27
                  34%
14.S
182%
583
730%
     43
     56%
     2.8
     3.8%
155
201 %
548
707%
Total Hardwoods
 % total forest
 Upland
  % total forest
    Bottomland
     % tola! forest
Mixed pine-hardwoods
 % total forest
393   378
49 3 %  48 8 %
24.7   24 9
310%  32.2%
                 148
                 18.2%
tl.1
140%
                 29.4
                 368%
     12.8
     18.6%
11 8
153%
     27.9
     36.0%
171
232%
49.4
669%
     37.8
     513%
     256
     347%
     122
     166%
109
148%
     25.1
     340%
           4.4
           60%
           30
           4.1 %
17.2
23.6%
483
662%
           3.0
           4.3%
                         17.4
                         24.4%
                         46.4
                         65.1%
          9.1
          4.4%
17.8
25.0%
45.1
64.2%
      368   34.2  32-8
      50.5%  48.0% 46.7%
      24.7   23.0  22.2 '
      339%  32.3% 31.6%
      121
      16.6%
     112   10.6
     15.7% 15.1%
10.0   8.9
13.8%  124%
      26.1   283
      356%  39.6%
                             8.5
                             12.0%
         29.0
         41.3%
   Pine Plantation
    % Total form
    % Pine lores!
   Pine Plantation owners
    % Public ownership
             07
             10%
             25%
3.1    4.9   65
3.9%  6.3%  115%
105%  17.6%  33.8%
                16.2%  9.5%  6.7%  5.6%
    % Other-private ownership 46.0%  49.3%  46.2%  31.4%
    % Industrial ownership  35.8%  41.2%  47.1%  63.0%
           10.6   17.9   19.6
           146% 25.1%  27.9%
           40.9% 63.3%  67.6%

           5.5%  5.6%  6.1%
           33.6% 37.8%  38. J%
           61.0% 56.6%  (5.7%
   1 Virginia. North and Soulh Carolina, Tennessee, Georgia, Florida. Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana,
     Arkansas, and the eastern forested counties ol Texa« «nd Oklahoma.

   2 Dan lor 1852 «nd 1962 sie is of December 31. Oala for 1870.1885. snd the projections years a/i as
     of January 1
THE THIRD FOREST

In  a broad  sense,  the  third forest is the  one
that  follows the  harvest of the second forest
In too many cases the third forest is the inade-
quate  natural regeneration that  follows high-
grade logging, primarily on private, non-indust-
rial  lands.  This  lack of natural  regeneration,
especially of higher value pine, may or may not
be compatible with individual landowner objec-
tives (Alig, et  al,  1990).   We will  say more
about  this  later  in the paper.    The  narrow
definition for third  forest is the pine plantation
resource,  the so-called  "man-made" forests that
are  now emerging  as  a wood  supply.  This  is
the definition that we will use, unless we speci-
fy  the  broader  one.    Pine  plantation  area
details are given at the bottom of Table X.  A
very minor area was planted to pines  as early
as the 1920s, with an accumulation to 729,000
hectares by 1952, about 2.5 percent of the  pine
area and 1 percent of the total forest area that
year.  Forest industry, other private owners and
public owners have planted steadily since then.
  The resource expanded to 8.5 million hectares
in 1985, with projections to 10.6 million  hec-
tares in 1990.  Thus, by  1990,  pine plantations
56

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                                                                                     J. HUGHES
would occupy about  15 percent of  the  total
forest area and about 41 percent of the pine
area.  Forest industry dominates with 61 per-
cent of all plantations on the 24 percent of the
southern forest that it owns.   These are pre-
dominantly on the flat coastal plain where most
industrial land is located. Other private owners
have nearly  34 percent of the planted  area,
with  public  ownership  at  about  6 percent.
Plantation ownerships range in size  from a few
hectares that are  individually owned to several
hundred  thousand  hectares  by a  single cor-
porate owner.  For example, Weyerhaeuser now
has more than 607,000 planted hectares in the
South, occupying  about two-thirds of its south-
ern lands. Other major companies each  have
several hundred thousand planted hectares.
  What is the relative scale of this plantation
estate?  In simple terms, forest plantations in
the  United  States  are  dominated  by loblolly
pine  (Pinus  taeda)  tree farms  in  the  South.
Consider the following statistics presented  by
Boyer and South  (1984):
• 1.6 billion bare-root forest tree seedlings were
produced  in  the  United States in 1980;  80
percent (1.3 billion)  were produced by southern
nurseries;
• 1.1 billion of this total were loblolly and slash
pihe;
• 0.97 billion were loblolly pine;
•loblolly  pine accounts for 60  percent of  all
bare-root  seedlings  planted  in the  United
States;
•the southern pines account for nearly  three--
fourths of forest planting in this country;
•southern hardwoods  were  only about  one
percent of the southern bare-root tree nursery
crop.
  More recent data  for the  1986 to  1989 seed-
ling production years imply even higher refor-
estation rates in the South.  The annual south-
ern tree nursery crop ranged  from 1.6 to 1.8
billion seedlings for those years.  A projected
crop of 1.3 billion seedlings for the next few
years implies  surplus nursery capacity of per-
 haps 400 million  seedlings per year  (Stanley,
 1990).  Southern-pine tree improvement statis-
 tics for 1987 indicate that 33 private companies
 and 12 public agencies produced  1.33  billion
 improved seedlings to reforest 753,000 hectares
 that year.   This  area was  approximately 85
 percent of  all southern reforestation (White,
 1990).  By 1985, pine plantations in the South
 were 9 percent of the  reported world total of
 92  million planted hectares.   Only the USSR,
 China and Japan  claim to have more planted
 forests (Postel and Heise 1988). The total area
 planted in the South is more than 25 percent
 greater than the combined totals for Australia,
 Brazil, Chile and New Zealand.
  Why do we plant pines? Pines are the prin-
 cipal species  used for  lumber, plywood,  pulp
 and paper.   Pine  is used,  especially locally, at
 rates that approach or exceed the rate  at which
 it is being grown in natural stands (Robertson,
 1989).  To complicate matters, second forest
 pine stands do not usually regenerate to  pine
 by natural seeding after harvest.   The  condi-
 tions for successful pine  regeneration   — a
 source of mature seed, exposed mineral  soil,
 and  minimal brush competition -  are seldom
 present.   Thus,  hardwood or pine/hardwood
 mixtures become the naturally regenerated third
 forest.  Total volume yield and certainly  pine
yield from the naturally regenerated third forest
 is often less  than  for the second forest.   Pine
 plantations are established by forest industry as
 the low-risk way to guarantee  the  future  pine
supply.  Planting also permits  use  of  the  best
genetic  material and is compatible with inten-
sive site preparation and silviculture.
  Loblolly pine may not be the perfect tree, but
in the South it is far  ahead of the rest,  ac-
counting  for  nearly  90 percent  of  all  pine
planting (Boyer and South, 1984).   Slash and
longleaf pines have superior properties for most
lumber and pulp products. Both are planted on
a limited  scale.   So, why is loblolly  number
one?  Loblolly pine is an aggressive species that
practically blanketed the South  through natural
                                                                                          57

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FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE SOUTH
regeneration with the advent of wildfire control.
Frequent fires, which favored longleaf as per-
haps the dominant pine in the first forest, are
no  longer  desirable or permitted on a  broad
scale. Loblolly pine, more than any other spec-
ies,  became the  second  forest, is  the  third
forest, and is the strong favorite for the fourth.
  Loblolly  has adequate wood  properties for
most products and is the superior pine in most
other respects.    Genetically,  it is  the  most
diverse  of all southern pines.   Broad genetic
diversity is a necessary attribute for a tree that
is  planted  from Maryland to  Florida to Ok-
lahoma, and on the spectrum of sites from dry,
rocky hills  to wet peat swamps.   No  other
species  native to the South,  either pine  or
hardwood,  grows  as well under such a wide
range of conditions. Hardwoods such as sweet
gum and green ash have been planted on about
32,000 hectares across the South, equal to only
0.30 percent of the area planted to pine (Lea,
1990). Hardwoods are more difficult and more
expensive to plant than pines.   Natural hard-
wood stands occupy about  50 percent of the
total forest area and continue  to supply ade-
quate volumes to satisfy demand (USDA,  1988).
Hardwood plantations will be more important
in the future,  but in no way will planted hard-
wood approach the dominance of loblolly pine.
Exotic species such as eucalyptus, with poten-
tially high growth rates  in the South, do not
survive the wide swings in winter temperatures.
Many have been  tried.  None  are extensively
planted.
  Droughts of the 1980s and root feeding by
grubs on old field  sites are the recent causes of
plantation  failures. These  are confined  to the
upper coastal plain, the piedmont, and  to the
deep south.  Loblolly  plantation failures are
practically non-existent when the latest technol-
ogy of intensive management is applied.   Mor-
tality due to drought, to girdling by rodents or
to  root feeding by grubs (on  grassy, old-field
sites) can be  overcome by the proper planting
of  genetically improved seedlings, on well pre-
pared bedded and fertilized or ripped sites, and
with follow-up  treatments for insect and weed
control  where  needed.   The most intensive
treatments are normally  not required to get
good survival, but these nearly always result in
improved tree  growth.   Most failures occur
when the  landowner  tries  to get  by with  a
cheap, poor-quality regeneration effort.  Loblol-
ly is so forgiving that cheap regeneration usual-
ly has adequate survival, but tree growth is well
below potential.
  The second and third forests  are subjected to
wildfire,  insect,  disease,  and  weather-related
problems.  Wildfire has been reduced to toler-
able levels by  the  state  forestry agencies, in
cooperation with forest industry and with rural
fire departments. Southern pine beetle attacks
have increased  in recent years  due to droughts
in  the  1980s,  in combination with stress in
overstocked, maturing second forest pine stands.
Thinning to maintain maximum  basal  area
below 30 m2/ha will minimize the susceptibility
to beetle attack and subsequent tree mortality.
Fusiform rust losses are reduced by planting the
most resistant loblolly pine sources.  Loblolly is
to some extent replacing the more  susceptible
slash pine in the  natural slash range as a result
of this effort.
  Ozone pollution, as well as normal decreases
due to age, may  be factors in declining growth
rates in older pine stands in the mountains and
the piedmont (USDA, 1988).  Similar declines
have not been documented  for plantations in
the coastal plain.  Tornados are very destructive
on  a local basis, but in total  are not  very
important. On September 21,  1989, Hurricane
Hugo set  a  new national  standard for  cata-
strophic forest  destruction.    Timber  loss to
Hugo was more  than five  times  the previous
standard set by Hurricane Camille  in the late
1960s.  Hugo claimed 15.8 million cubic meters
of  sawtimber  and 51  million  cubic meters of
pulpwood.  Hugo did three times  the timber
damage  of the  Mt.  St. Helens  eruption (Davis,
1989).   If the  equivalent of Hugo  was widely
58

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                                                                                               J. HUGHES
 and frequently repeated across the South, forest
 industry would be  doomed.   We  must  assume
 that such will not happen.
 TABLE XI  Softwood Timber Removals', Net Annual Growth,
 Inventory of Growing Stock in the Soutlr by Forest Mgmt Type,
 Selected Years 1952-1984, with Projections^.
Pine plantations
  Timber removals1
  Net annual growth   2 2
  Inventory4     186
103
IDS 8
                   1900
 15.4   204  MS   73.4  103.1  1J0.4   193.1
 292   370  6S.«  1054  1M.«  136.0   1426
2762  3642  466 5  612.S 1,1*1.9 1.347.8  1,916.1
Natural pine
  Timber removals1  781   693   84.6  920  95.5  908  63.S   47.5  42.6  38.7
  Net annual growth  799   905   995 1002  64.2  55.5  44.6   41.0  36.4  37.4
  Inventory4    1.2495 1.4046 1.5227 1.6485 1,653.8 1,279.8  877.4  6692  617.2  575.3
Mixed pine-hardwoods
Timber removele1
Net annual growth
Inventory4
Upland hardwood!
Timber removal*1
Net annual growth
Inventory4
Bottomland hardwoode
Net annual growth
Inventory4

83
127
1943

Z7
40
73.8

50
1134

82
186
2669

26
59
1060

73
1595

98
249
3977

26
60
1432

68
IBI3

175
26.1
4675

55
96
1733

66
2074

220
237
4563

89
100
1613

69
2265

218
154
461.3

4 1
5.4
S37.7

71
272.0

248
134
3770

43
3.5
J43.1

5.4
2616

16.1
16.7
2964

56
4.1
231.0

5.3
2703

14.1
16.3
311.7

6.3
4.8
314.7

5.6
251.3

14.3
14.5
331.8

61
5.2
200.6

60
2313
All manegement types
 Timber removals1  916   830  1044  1336  1519  1612  1720  1800  190.6  t90.3
 NM oiuninl growth  1113'J  I32C  1502  1717  1020  1409  1725  192.6  201.2  205.4
 Inventory4    I.649Q 2.0C4 7 2.4439  2,7748 2.8840 2.7390 2.5916  2.628.4 2.742.7 2,656.5

1 Includes removals in inrj lorm ol roundwood products, logging residues. Ihe volumes of timber removed In cuttural
operations such as noncommercial thinning, and Inventory losses resulting from Ihe diversion of tlmberland 10 olher
uses such es cropland. pasrureiand. parks, and urban u»ee

2 Virginia, North and South Carolina. Tennessee. Georgia. Florida. Alabama.. Mississippi. Louisiana. Arkansas and Ihe
eastern forested counties ol Texas and Oklahoma.

a All projections at equilibrium prices, I.e. the slumpage prices at which projected timber demands and supplies ere
equal. Data are averages lor 5 years cantered on Ihe projection year

4 Data for 1952 and 1962 are as ot December 31 Data lor 1970 and all projection years are as of January l. Data lor
1976 and 1964 are as ol January 1, 1977. and January 1.1985

Nole Deta may nol add to totals because of rounding
   The South's third forest is young.  The hu-
 man analogy is that of a teenager or  perhaps
 a young adult.  In south Georgia,  south Ala-
 bama and north  Florida, the region with the
 greatest number of pulp and paper companies
 and with  the  oldest plantations,  many mature
 planted stands have been harvested and replant-
 ed  within the last 10 years.  Some are managed
for relatively short pulpwood rotations of about
25 years.  The resource in the rest of the South
is younger and also more likely to be managed
on longer sawlog rotations of 30 to  40 years.
For many owners, highly mechanized first and
second thinnings have produced  an  increasing
wood flow during  the last 10 years, but few
hectares  have been clearcut.  Table XI illus-
trates the transition  to  plantations  as a wood
supply.  Comparisons are made for pine timber
removals  from the two  major pine sources -
planted  and  natural  pine stands.    A  small
amount of pine also comes from mixed  pine-
hardwood stands; this is excluded because I had
no method for identifying the pine component.
In 1970,  plantations accounted  for  only four
percent of the pine supply from both planted
and  natural pine  stands.   By 1984,  the pine
plantation harvest of 20.4  million  cubic meters
was  18 percent  of the  combined  harvest  of
115.9 million cubic meters from pine plantations
and pine  natural stands.
   Consider again our example of New Bern and
Craven County.  Craven County is now the first
or second county in pulp roundwood production
in  North  Carolina  each  year.    With  about
612,000  cubic  meters harvested  per year it
usually ranks  in the top  dozen counties  across
the  South (Hutchins, 1989).   Thinnings from
Weyerhaeuser's well-managed plantations are a
significant and  increasing  percentage of  the
Craven  County  and  coastal  North  Carolina
wood supply.    The proportion  will increase
dramatically over the  next 20 years as planta-
tions mature  and  are clearcut.   Some of this
will supply Weyerhaeuser's new high technology
lumber facility which began operating in 1989 in
nearby Greenville.   Rated  at 320,000  cubic
meters per year,  it  is the largest  sawmill  in
North Carolina.   The consistently top wood-
producing counties across  the South are those
with  intensively managed industrial plantations.
Across the South, the projection for 1990 is  for
plantations to provide about 30 percent of pine
harvest, rising  to nearly 54 percent by the year
                                                                                                     59

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FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE SOUTH
2000 (USDA, 1988). This is an incredible rate
of rise and brings us to a consideration of the
fourth forest

THE FOURTH FOREST

  Southern pine plantations are a must  ~  no
other option will produce the projected demand
for wood (USDA,  1988).  The fourth forest,
our wood supply in the future, will more than
ever  depend  upon the  wise  management of
pine  plantations.   The pine  volume to  be
required in 2030 is 25 percent greater  than in
1990.   The projection for 2030 is  that pine
plantations must supply 76 percent of the pine
volume to be harvested from natural and plant-
ed pine stands.  At this rate,  pine plantations
should  produce  65 percent  of total wood  re-
quirements in the  South for all wood uses  for
all species (USDA, 1988).
  Can we get  there from here? The history of
forest utilization and management in the South
actually makes it more difficult to supply the
projected demand  in  2030.   First  forest  ex-
ploitation established a pattern of "high-grading"
that continues with all too many private, non-
industrial owners.  No provisions are made for
either natural or  artificial regeneration  when
forest tracts are harvested. And the South has
been spoiled by  the  success  of  the  second
forest  For nearly 50 years, from perhaps 1940
until the late 1980s,  excess  timber volumes
relative to demand were grown at no cost or
low cost to both  industrial and other private
land  owners.   Industry  mill expansions and
increasing  wood demand have exceeded  the
expanding  wood supply in  only a few  areas.
Excess  supply kept a  lid on wood prices and
was a disincentive  to  investment in  plantation
establishment. Most plantations have not been
intensively managed.   Plantation growth rates
per unit area in the South are modest  because
of this.  Plantation growth rates per unit area
in  Australia,  New Zealand,  Chile, Brazil and
South  Africa exceed  those  in the American
South by a factor of two or three only partly
because of milder climates and faster  growing
tree species. On average, the limited plantation
resources in these countries are very intensively
managed.  Site preparation, weed control,  and
fertilization are much better than we practice,
on average, in the South.
  Federal  and state  governments have recog-
nized the need to  increase reforestation in the
South.  Most  industrial companies have land-
owner assistance programs (Smith, 1989). More
sources of financial and technical  assistance are
available to non-industrial,  private timberland
owners  for reforestation  and   timber stand
improvement practices than ever before (Gunt-
er and Ogden, 1989).  Federal programs include
the Agricultural Conservation Program begun in
the  1930s, the Forest Incentives Program of
1974, the Conservation  Reserve Program of
1985 and the Tree Assistance Program of 1988.
Seven southern states have reforestation incen-
tive programs begun in  the 1970s and 1980s.
Virginia and Mississippi have mandatory regene-
ration "seedtree" laws.
  Federal and  state incentive programs typically
have limits oa.minimum  land area to be treat-
ed, maximum  annual payment and permissible
treatments.  The proportion of timber harvest
sites that are  replanted has increased because
of these programs. The ratio of replant-to-har-
vest, which was perhaps only one in ten in the
early 1970s, has increased to better than one in
two in  many  areas.   The programs  do  not,
however, tend to encourage the most intensive
forestry,  but they are getting more land area
planted.
  The Conservation  Reserve Program (CRP),
authorized by the Food Security Act of 1985
and the Conservation Reserve Soil-bank Progr-
am of the 1950s and 1960s are good examples
of the incentives required to put large areas of
private,  nonindustrial lands into  forest  pro-
duction.  The CRP program, which was design-
ed to retire highly credible land from row crop
production, has been a real success.   About
 60

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                                                                                    J. HUGHES
810,000  hectares  of farm land  in  the South
have been planted to pine since the program
began in 1986 (Canavan, 1990). A similar area
--  about 810,000 hectares  of farm land -- was
planted to pines by the Soil Bank program 30
years ago (SFRAC,  1969).    CRP  program
financial incentives  are two-fold: a cost-share
payment  of  up  to  50 percent  of plantation
establishment cost and ten annual rental pay-
ments for keeping the land as a tree plantation.
The cost of establishment and the lack of quick
income  are disincentives  to forestry for most
private landowners, even if the ultimate finan-
cial returns in 25 to 40  years are very high.
The CRP program  has successfully  overcome
these barriers.   Any large-scale  reforestation
program that involves private landowners will
need a similar package of incentives.
  The  South  is capable  of growing  twice as
much timber volume as it does today (Robert-
son, 1989).  Some of the increase can  result
from timber stand improvement (TSI) of exist-
ing forests. The biggest opportunity, however,
is  for new planting.  More pine plantations
need to be established, using the most intensive
treatments available.  Forest industry has prov-
ed that  higher yields are possible.  The fourth
forest  wood  supply projections  apply  a 50
percent higher growth rate for a  30-year crop
cycle  to industry plantations  than  to private
non-industrial ones  (USDA,  1988).    Forest
industry  growth  rate for  medium  sites is  7
rrrVha/yr, compared to 4.6 nrVha/yr for private,
nonindustrial  plantations.     By  comparison,
natural  stands of either pine or hardwoods
typically grow at only half these rates ~ at 2 to
3.5 mj/ha/yr.  Companies committed to the most
intensive management have average growth that
is much better than this ~ in the range of 10 to
14 nrVha/yr. With repeat fertilizer applications,
growth can easily exceed  14 nrVha/yr on large
areas  of  intensively managed lower  coastal
plain.  Figure 13 compares  growth  rates and
total volume yields that we would expect from
three levels of management  in coastal North
Carolina.  If all were established as one-hectare
demonstration plots in 1990, the most intensive
plantation would potentially store four times as
much carbon as a typical natural stand by age
40, in the year 2030.  Well managed, long-rota-
tion  pine  plantations are  the way to store
carbon in the South.  This is in contrast to the
Pacific  Northwest  where  the  ancient  forest
already  stores very  high volumes.   Westvaco
and  Weyerhaeuser  are  just two  of  several
companies  that have committed to research, to
high technology and to intensive management
to improve forest productivity (Martin, 1990).
     600-
         Average Natural  Extensive	
            Stand          Plantation
     ntenslve
             I Total Volume
I Mean Annual
  Increment
  Figure 13.  Comparison of Mean Annual Increment
  and Total Volume Yields That are Typical for 3 Levels
  of Forest Management.
                                                                                          61

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FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE SOUTH
The  university-forest   industry  cooperative
research programs are  key in the  effort to
increase yields  through  genetics,   nutrition,
nursery practices, pesticides, yield modeling and
development of environmentally sound best
management practices (BMP's).  Nearly every
major company  and state  forestry agency  is a
member of one  or more of the cooperatives.

FOREST MANAGEMENT
FOR CARBON STORAGE

  If forestry  is to  be a  significant  solution to
the atmospheric problem of excess CO2, what
are the requirements?
• a  large-scale effort --  The CO2  problem  is
massive and  global.  Estimates for  the incre-
mental  carbon  sink  range  from  200  to  500
million hectares  of new, fast-growing forests (>.
14  mj/ha/yr)  (Woodwell,  1987;  Sedjo, 1989;
Sedjo and Solomon, 1989).
•fast startup ~ Forest growth rates need to be
high, very quickly - the  atmospheric CO2 level
has risen 25  percent since the early 1800s and
is increasing at  an increasing rate relative to
human population  growth, which is projected to
double  to 10 billion by 2040.  Carbon  storage
is directly  proportional  to forest growth  rate
expressed as dry weight accumulation.   Every
kilogram of  tree growth removes half a kilo-
gram of carbon (i.e., 1.8 kilograms of CO2)
from the atmosphere.
• long-term carbon storage — Carbon should be
stored  in growing trees and/or  non-oxidizing
products for  at least 30 to 50 years until other
technologies  are  developed  to  reduce  the
excessive production  of  CO2 and other green-
house gases (Sedjo and Solomon, 1989).
  As  a forester, how do I  think that these
requirements can be met?
•A large-scale effort --  The magnitude of the
problem is so large that  it cannot be solved by
plantations in just  one region of the world.  In
the near term, resources should be applied to
several  or all areas that  have:
  1) an infrastructure for plantation   forestry
and forest utilization;
  2) cost-efficient plantation systems,  express-
ed as cost per unit of carbon  stored;
  3) a  large land area that can be reforested;
  4) potentially high growth rates.
•fast  startup  ~ Establishing  plantations  that
rapidly achieve maximum growth rates per tree,
per unit area and  per region can be met by:
  1)  an infrastructure for plantation establish-
ment;
  2) a  large land area that can be reforested;
  3) potentially high-site land;
  4) intensive  management;
  5) tree species with high growth rates;
  6) relatively high stocking levels.
•long-term carbon storage - Long-term carbon
storage may be the most difficult part, especial-
ly if you achieve the first  two — a  large scale
and  a fast startup.   Strategies  that  quickly
produce high growth  rates  over large areas will
have  high  rates of tree mortality due  to  in-
traspecific competition unless steps are taken to
prevent this.  Dead trees rot  and release CO2
very quickly in  most tropical and subtropical
regions; thus  do  not provide carbon  storage
comparable to temperate regions.  Short rota-
tions  (5 to  25 years) for energy fiber or pulp
production  are  one  solution  to  the excessive
tree mortality problem.   Short rotation crops
can help solve the  excess CO2 problem if used
to recycle CO2 in  lieu of new CO2  production
from fossil fuels. Short rotations, however, put
the chance of long-term carbon storage at risk
and for a variety of  reasons will be harder  to
sell to the public.  Some  variation of Weyer-
haeuser's High Yield Forestry (HYF) program
can meet all three requirements --  large area,
high  growth  rates  and  relatively  long crop
cycles.  The objective of HYF is  not  only  to
double the growth rate per unit area relative to
natural stands,  but  also to  provide multiple
thinnings and a final harvest which yields a high
percentage  of veneer bolts  and  sawlogs  (i.e.
long-term carbon storage in products). Applied
62

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                                                                                   J. HUGHES
technology  and  mechanization   have  made
commercial  thinning economically feasible and
routine across the flatlands of the South.  The
economic result in the South justifies relatively
long  rotations of 30 to 50 years  for  HYF
loblolly pine.  High Yield Forestry requires:
  1) commitment, cash and competence (Mc-
Carthy, 1974);
  2) an infrastructure  for plantation establish-
ment, management, and utilization;
  3) land ownership  on a  moderately  large
scale;
  4) potentially high-site land;
  5)  intensive management  to  achieve site
potential;
  6) tree species that have high growth rates;
  7) ability  to  thin,  but to  also  maintain rel-
atively  high stocking levels  throughout  the
rotation;
  8) enlightened  political, social  and environ-
mental treatment.
  One of the best examples in the world where
such  a  regimen has  been made to work  for
nearly two  crop  cycles (100  years) is in  the
"Down  under" South - in  South Australia
(Boardman,  1988).   Radiata pine (Pinus radi-
ata) is  intensively grown at the edge of  the
desert by the Woods and Forests Department
at the remarkable rate of nearly 21 m5/ha/yr on
a 50-year crop cycle.   Seventy (70) percent of
the total volume is harvested as sawlogs which
go  into  long-term carbon storage  as  particle
board, plywood and lumber.  Sixty (60) percent
of the total volume is removed by  five thinnings
that are made between age  12  (primarily  as
pulpwood) and age 42 (primarily as sawlogs).
South Australia provides  the  best example  of
"speedand-power-at-the-same-time"    carbon
storage that  I have seen.  Some owners, includ-
ing Weyer-  haeuser, are beginning to  manage
loblolly in similar  fashion.
PINE PLANTATIONS FOR
CARBON STORAGE IN THE SOUTH?

  Yes,  the  U.S.  Environmental  Protection
Agency should strongly consider an incentive
program for  privately owned, large-scale  pine
plantations for carbon  storage and for wood
production in the American South.  These are
a few of the  reasons:
 •The United States is the leading producer of
CO2 (Marland,  1988).   We should take  the
leadership  in reducing the problem by  increas-
ing the  area  of forests that provide carbon
storage where it  is being produced as well as
encouraging reforestation in other countries.
 •The South  is the most logical region in the
United States in which to do this:
  1) The South is a vast timber growing region
of 73 million forest hectares ~ the  forest  area
can be expanded.
  2) The South provides an impressive example
of increasing   carbon storage as a result  of
forest  management.   The  bottom line from
Table XI (page 59) is that timber inventory in-
creased from  1,650 million cubic meters in 1952
to 2,884 million  cubic  meters  in 1984.   The
inventory will decline, however, due to  increas-
ed wood demand and to conversion of forest
area to other land  uses unless  forest  manage-
ment is intensified and expanded  to more  land
area (Robertson,  1989; USD A, 1988).
  3) The  South  has  a timber  growing  and
utilization infrastructure second to none in the
United States and on par with the best in the
world.   Such a structure is  imperative to  suc-
cessfully grow and store carbon on a long term
basis.
  4) With the   best  intensive   management,
loblolly pine plantations have high growth rates
(>L 14 nrVha/yr).
  5) The South is 90 percent privately owned
and all sites have previously been harvested at
least once.  The forces of private enterprise can
most easily be harnessed to do the job in  the
South.   With proper incentives, forest  produc-
                                                                                        63

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 FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE SOUTH
 tion in the South can more than double current
 growth  and growth rates.  Further, the South
 has  9.3  million  hectares  of  marginal  and/or
 highly credible agricultural lands better suited
 for forestry (USDA, 1988). Also, in my opin-
 ion,  an  additional 10 to 20 million hectares of
 cut-over forest, and poorly stocked, slow-grow-
 ing natural  pine, pine-hardwood  mixtures and
 hardwood uplands can be replaced with inten-
 sively managed pine plantations.
   6)  The South can provide 5  to 10 percent of
 the global need for incremental carbon storage,
 based upon my most optimistic estimates.
   7)  The South  is going  to  need  the  wood.
 Without  a  greatly expanded  pine  plantation
 resource,  the South  is projected to have a
 serious timber shortage within 20 years ~ with
 the potential  loss of  297,000 jobs ~ 85,000
 directly  in  forestry and   212,000  in  service
 industries (USDA, 1988).  New plantations are
 a win-win solution.  If projected wood demand
 occurs, new plantations can fill the  gap.  If it
 does not  or if  new  technology  or recycling
 offset demand, well-managed  plantations with
 extended  crop cycles  provide  even  greater
 incremental  carbon storage.

 ENVIRONMENTAL, POLITICAL
 AND SOCIAL ISSUES

  Large-sale reforestation to slow increases in
 atmospheric CO2 and thus to slow global warm-
 ing will encounter the same issues that similar
 efforts for commercial  wood  production have
 encountered.  In fact, forest  plantations  for
 carbon storage in the South should be inten-
 sively managed on long rotations for commer-
 cial  timber production.  In recent years,  en-
 vironmental  issues very quickly become  social
 and political issues. The following are a few of
 the issues that confront forest managers in the
 South:
  Clearcutting.  The  most efficient harvesting
 and regeneration method for loblolly pine and
 most other rapidly growing pioneer species is by
 clearcutting mature  natural  stands  or planta-
 tions, intensively preparing the site and planting
 genetically improved seedlings.   Many people
 equate  clearcutting  with tropical  rainforest
 destruction and  are  against it, anywhere, any-
 time.
   Monoculture/reduced genetic base.  Loblolly
 pine grows best  in pure stands and  better still
 if  from a  reduced genetic base  selected for
 disease resistance and high growth rates.  The
 most efficient management is for trees planted
 in  uniformly spaced rows.  The negative  term
 for this is  "cornfield" forestry.
  Natural is better than managed.  For aesthetic
 and  perceived  biological  reasons,  the virgin
 forest and the natural second growth forest are
 assumed to be better than an intensively man-
 aged plantation.  Part of this issue is  related to
 arguments concerning a reduction in biological
 diversity.  Words such as plantation,  tree farm,
 high yield  forestry, intensive  management and
 managed forest have a negative to very negative
 connotation for some people.
  Competition   from  alternative  land  uses.
 Urban expansion, agriculture, wilderness, high-
 way rights-of-way, impoundments, etc., continue
 to  reduce  the land  available for production
 forestry.  Intensive forest management is re-
 quired to offset this trend. Intensive manage-
 ment does this in two ways:   1)  an  increased
 wood growth rate on a reduced land base can
 offset the loss of area, and 2) intensive manage-
 ment gives economic  returns  that  are high
 enough to  prevent  some  lands  from being
 converted  to  agriculture.   Nevertheless,  the
 returns from  intensive forestry  are  probably
 never  high enough  to  compete  with  urban
 development.
  Water use. Rapidly growing tree plantations
 cycle  proportionally large  amounts  of  water.
 Some people have suggested that droughts and
water shortages in the South  in  recent years
 may have been magnified by the increasing area
of intensively managed pine plantations. Con-
versely, others have suggested, as in the case of
64

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                                                                                    J. HUGHES
the  Amazon  rainforest,  that  forests  are an
integral part of the hydrologic cycle and  con-
tribute to rainfall and water supply.
  Tax base.  Timberland is at or near the low
end of the spectrum for land values.  Farmland
that  is planted to forest trees normally will lose
both market value  and appraised value for tax
purposes.   Large-scale  reforestation of  such
lands has serious consequences for local govern-
ments  that depend upon  property taxes  as a
primary source of income.
  Wetlands.  The most productive loblolly  pine
plantations in the South are intensively manag-
ed wetlands. Section 404  of the Clean Water
Act  provides permit exemptions  for  normal
silvicultural activities in forested wetlands.  The
National  Wetlands  Forum strongly endorsed
and  encouraged continuing commercial forest
management in wetlands (Conservation Founda-
tion,  1988).   Several activists groups  do not
agree with this,  however, and have threatened
lawsuits to greatly limit the intensity of manage-
ment of forested wetlands.
  Second  rotation (2R)  problems.   Long-term
soil/site productivity is a concern  for lands that
are intensively managed  for successive harvests
of high yielding timber or agricultural crops.
South  Australia provides the best  example of
second rotation decline and how to avoid  it in
forest plantations (Boardman, 1988).
  Pesticides.  Herbicides  and, to a lesser extent,
insecticides  and fungicides are necessary for
successful intensive forest  management.   Pes-
ticides can  improve  seedling quality and in-
crease survival  and growth rates, thus making
the difference between plantation  success and
failure.  Pesticides pose minimal environmental
hazards when used by professionals according to
label  directions.   Nevertheless,  some  activist
groups are opposed to the  use of all pesticides
and  advocate extensive  rather than intensive
silviculture.
  Habitat loss/endangered species/minor species.
Intensive  management  on  a large scale  will
encounter the issues of endangered species and
habitat.  Some problems are a matter of per-
ception,  others are a matter of content; both
type problems must be confronted and solved.
  Successful large-scale  reforestation  for wood
production and for carbon storage will require
that the  above issues are resolved.  A national
and international consensus must be reached,
because these issues concern all regions  in the
world that are suitable for large-scale reforesta-
tion.  I believe that a designed landscape-scale
mosaic of intensively and extensively managed
forests, farmlands, residential  areas and other
land uses will be part of the ultimate solution.
Forest industry, other land owners, state  and
federal agencies and environmental groups must
reach an agreement on how to fit it all togeth-
er.  Elements of this solution are already being
used.  Most states are developing forestry best
management practice  (BMP)  guidelines that
address sedimentation, water quality and other
issues.  Scott Paper  Company has won  several
awards for involving the public in an effort to
utilize and regenerate natural hardwoods in the
Mobile River Swamp. Champion International
Corporation  has  recently  developed manage-
ment guidelines for the company's Escambia
River bottomlands in Florida (Champion,  1990).
These guidelines were  developed jointly  not
only by company foresters and loggers, but also
with input  from state and federal agency  and
university professionals.  Maintenance of wet-
land  hydrology, wildlife habitat,  and  timber
production functions are equally provided for in
the guidelines.
  I  am a member of two environmental groups
that are  also beginning to say and  do  things
that support the need for managed plantations,
not  just passively  managed,   natural  timber
resources.   An  element in the  Sierra Club's
Global Warming Action Campaign is for each
member to "plant a tree, or two" (Sierra Club,
1990). This is good public relations.  And,  if
planted in  the right  locations, trees will  not
only store  carbon,  but will also shade your
home to reduce the need  for air conditioning
                                                                                         65

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FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE SOUTH
powered  by electricity  that is  produced  by
burning fossil fuels.  The Sierra  Club should  be
very  happy  with at  least  part  of what the
forestry community  did in 1989 -  we planted
2.7 billion trees  in  the United  States (Polsky,
1990).   That is  more than one-half  tree for
each  person on planet Earth. Audubon maga-
zine editor Les Line made a very strong state-
ment in support  of both the need  to  preserve
the ancient forest and the need for southern
pine  management  in  the  March  1990  issue
"Etcetera" column (Line, 1990).   "As  for trees,
we're not chainsawing old-growth hemlocks  to
print Audubon.  An average issue requires the
cutting of three acres (1.2 ha) of managed
                                   Mississippi  pinelands, a total of  900 trees  14
                                   inches (36 cm) in diameter.   One could argue
                                   that  we're  helping  to  keep  trees  growing.
                                   Indeed,  the  United  States  Forest Service is
                                   worried because too much private timberland in
                                   the South, acreage that should be  growing trees
                                   for future harvest,  is being converted to crops
                                   or  pasture,  simply  not replanted, or  lost  to
                                   urbanization."  Mr.  Line  said it  better than I
                                   have  in writing this paper.  He has begun the
                                   description  of a  landscape-use  mosaic  upon
                                   which we  all need  to reach  an  agreement.
                                   Perhaps  the  universal  need  for both  forest
                                   products and increased carbon storage will force
                                   us to resolve our differences.
                                          REFERENCES
Alig, R.J., Lee, KJ. and Mouton, RJ.  1990. Likelihood
of timber management  on nonindustrial private forests:
evidence from research studies.   Gen.  Tech. Rpt. SE-60,
Asheville, N.C.   U.S. Department  of Agriculture, Forest
Service, Southeastern Forest 27 Experiment Station.  17
pp.

Boardman, R., 1988. Living on the edge - the development
of silviculture in  South Australian pine plantations.  Aust.
For. 51(3):135-156.

Boyer,  J.N.,  and South,  D.B.   1984.  Forest nursery
practices in the South. South. J. Appl. For. 8(2):67-75.
Canavan, James,
unpublished data.
C.
1990.   Personal communication /
USD A Forest Service, Washington, D.
Champion International Corporation.
River management guidelines.  23 pp.
                 1990. Escambia
The Conservation Foundation.  1988.  Protecting Ameri-
ca's wetlands:  An action agenda.  The final report of the
National Wetlands Policy Forum.  69 pp.

Davis, N.D.   1989.  "Hugo flattens forest;"  American
Forests.  95(11,12).  Global Releaf Alert (insert).

Gunter, John E.  and Ogden, L.   1989.  "Government
programs that benefit timberland owners;" Forest Farmer.
48(5):44-46.
Hutchins, C.C. Jr.  1989.  Southern pulpwood production,

1987.   Resour. Bull. SE-106.  Asheville,  NC:  USDA
Forest Service: 28 pp.

Krinball,  H.R.   1956.   "Southern white cedar --  the
forgotten tree;" The Southern Lumber Jnl.  Nov., 1956.

Lea, Russ.  1990.   Personal communication.  Director,
North Carolina  State  University Hardwood  Research
Cooperative, Raleigh, North Carolina.

Line, L.   1990.   "Stop  your newspaper!?"  Etcetera
column.  Audubon.   92(2). p 4.

Marland, G.   1988.  The prospect of solving the  CO2
problem  through global reforestation.  US  Department of
Energy.  DOE/NBB-0082.  66 pp.

Martin, John.  1990. Personal communication.  Research
Forester, Westvaco, Summerville, South Carolina.

McCarthy. T.  1974.  "Lamar Cantelou and the three
c's." American Forests.  80(ll):28-29.

Polsky, B., 1990. The United States - The world's woodbas-
ket. American Forest Council. New Release.  April 22,
1990.

Postel,  S. and  Heise, L.   1988.  Reforesting the earth.
WorldWatch Pap. 83.  55 p.
66

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                                                                                                  J. HUGHES
References, cont'd.

Robertson, F. Dale.  1989.  "The South's fourth forest;"
Forest Farmer 48(5):72-73.

Sedjo,  R.A.  1989.  "Forests to offset the greenhouse
effect;"/.  For.  87(7):12-15.

Sedjo,  R.A. and Solomon, A.  1989. Climate and forests:
in greenhouse warming:  abatement and adoption. Norman
Rosenberg,  et  al.,  eds.   Resources  for  the Future.
Washington, DC.  pp. 105-119.

Sierra  Club.  1990.  "Fight the  global warming crisis."
Post card mailing  for  Sierra Club's Global  Warming
Action Campaign.

Smith, Donald W., 1989.  "Industry-sponsored landowner
assistance programs;" Forest Farmer 48(5):41-43.

Forest  Resource Analysis  Committee  (SFRAC).   1969.
The South's third forest... How it can meet future demands.
[Place  of publication  unknown]:   Southern  Forest
Resource  Analysis Committee.  Ill pp.
Stanley, Larry,  1990.   Personal communication /  un-
published  data.  Seedling Business Marketing Manager,
Weyerhaeuser Company, Hot Springs, Arkansas.

USDA Forest Service, 1988.   The  South's fourth forest:
alternatives for the future.  USDA For.  Resour. Rep.  24.
512 pp.

Watson, Alan D.,  1987. A history of New Bern and
Craven County.  Tryon Palace Commission. New  Bern,
North Carolina.  746 pp.

White, Tim,  1990.  Personal communication / unpublish-
ed data. Director,  Cooperative Forest Genetics Research
Program.  University of Florida.  Gainesville, Florida.

Woodwell, G.M., 1987.  "The warming of the industrial-
ized middle latitudes;" paper presented at the Workshop
on Developing Policies for Responding to Future  Climate
Change, Villach, Austria.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT

Mrs. Sandra McCandless very patiently and  accurately
processed many drafts of this paper and the oral presen-
tation graphics.
                                                                                                         67

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                              AFFORESTATION IN BRITAIN
                                     --A COMMENTARY

                                     Douglas C. Malcolm
                                           Abstract

 Ecological conditions in Britain allow a wide range of productive species to be used in afforestation. Progressive destruction
of the species-poor natural forest and a national crisis stimulated the initiation of a 70-year program of planting, by state and
private owners, of 2,000,000 hectares by the year 2000 that achieved its initial objectives.  Techniques to afforest difficult sites
emerged from applied research while concentration on financial criteria led to uniform plantations of a few species that did
not gain public approval The replacement of fiscal incentives by grant aid has caused a loss of confidence and further
expansion of the forest estate is in doubt, despite the need to transfer agricultural land and a permanent timber deficit.
INTRODUCTION AND
HISTORICAL BACKGROUND

  The British Isles lie off the western seaboard
of  Europe between latitudes 50-58° N.  This
account will  refer  briefly  to Britain  and will
concentrate on Scottish conditions, where the
bulk of forests now occur and where the poten-
tial for further expansion of the forest area is
greater  than in  England  and Wales, despite
their greater land area.
  At the end of the last main glaciation (11,000
BP), which covered most of Britain except the
southernmost parts,  there  followed  a  short
reversion to colder temperatures for 1,000 years
resulting in a recurrence of glacial and perigla-
cial conditions. This had marked effects on the
development of  topographic features and the
deposition of morainic  and fluvioglacial depos-
its.  Release of the land from ice-cover led  to
isostatic rebound of the surface with comple-
mentary fluctuation in  mean sea level, leading
ultimately (about 5,500 BP) to the separation of
Britain from mainland Europe.
  From 10,000 BP onwards, the development of
forest vegetation was rapid, reaching its greatest
extent by 5,500 BP when further colonization
from Europe ceased.  The composition of this
forest was of mixed deciduous species with the
only conifer,  Scots pine  (Pinus  sylvestris L.),
being confined essentially to the Scottish High-
lands.  Some species (e.g. Fagus sylvatica, Tilia
cordatd) never penetrated north of Cumbria in
northern  England.    The  so-called  'climatic-
optimum' (ca  6,000 BP) allowed  forest vegeta-
tion to reach  880m in elevation when  mean
summer temperatures are thought to have been
about 2° C warmer than present.
  From 5,000  BP onwards man had an increas-
ing effect on vegetation which,  together with
persistent oceanic climatic conditions, led to the
decline in forest cover and expansion of peat-
or  heath-covered  landscapes.    Although  be-
tween the period of greatest extent  and 2,000
BP it is  difficult  to distinguish  climatic and
anthropogenic effects, the decline  of  forest
vegetation thereafter is due to  agricultural and
industrial developments.  Sheep  pasturage and
arable production removed most forest in South
Scotland, England  and  Wales  by  the  16th
century. In the highlands of Scotland the intro-
duction  of  extensive sheep  farming together
with  charcoal production  for  iron  smelting
during the 18th century led to massive clearan-
                                                                                             69

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AFFORESTATION IN BRITAIN
ces which culminated in the 19th century.
  It  is  interesting  that  the  development  of
forest  management in  the   18th  century  in
western Europe  to  restore its war-devastated
forests was not paralleled in Britain despite the
attempts  of a  few farsighted  individuals  to
create interest in existing  woodlands  and the
first  attempts  to  introduce  exotic  species.
Relatively small areas of broadleaved species, of
course, had been managed on a coppice-with-
standards  system throughout the Middle Ages.
The basic reasons for exploitation of  native
forest  were  the  reliance on  imports  of high
quality  timber  from  an  expanding  colonial
empire and abundant sources of cheap energy
from fossil fuel.  After 1850 there was increas-
ing pressure for forestry development from the
larger landowners, particularly in Scotland, who
recognized the strategic weakness of relying on
overseas sources and the irony of introducing
forest  management in tropical forests  in India
whilst  neglecting those at home.  Government
took no action.
  The  potential for afforesting bare land  was
recognized in the latter part of the 18th century
when  initial  plantations of  European  larch
(Larix decidua Mill.) was established over about
4,000 hectares on the Duke of Atholl's estate
in  Perthshire.  This species  became  popular
throughout Britain because of its general use-
fulness for estate purposes.  At the same time
the upsurge of interest in amenity plantings led
to botanical exploration throughout the temper-
ate regions and collection  of a long catalogue
of  exotic  species that were more  or  less suc-
cessful when  planted on good  sites around
landed properties.   The outstanding introduc-
tions were  those originating  from the coastal
regions of western North America,  brought
back by Menzies,  Douglas and  Jeffrey. The
potential  for productive forestry was immeasur-
ably increased by these introductions, beyond
the limited scope in the British climate for the
earlier introductions of larch, Norway  spruce
(Picea abies (L.) Karst.), silver fir (Abies alba
Mill.) and sycamore (Acer pseudoplatanus L.).
  The importance of this period in the late 19th
century in the empirical  assessment of species
potential for British conditions cannot be over-
emphasized.  Much of the subsequent expan-
sion of forest area depended on this  'sifting'
period which began to concentrate foresters'
minds on the West Coast species.
  In summary,  by the start  of  the  present
century indigenous forest had been reduced to
a few much-altered remnants and  total forest
cover was reduced to  about  3 percent of the
land surface  (ca.  700  k ha).   There was  no
national policy,  although forestry education had
begun  and there were some small-scale initial
attempts to establish plantations of exotic spec-
ies.

DEVELOPMENT OF GOVERNMENT
POLICY - OBJECTIVES AND MEANS

  The   first   World  War  demonstrated  very
clearly  the  need  to  have  a forest resource
independent  of imports.  The small areas of
utilizable timber were exploited heavily, general-
ly with  little regard to  regeneration or restora-
tion.   The national crisis  led  directly to the
formation in 1919 of a forest service - the
Forestry Commission  (FC).   Interestingly, this
organization was from  the start independent of
the  agricultural departments.   The FC  was
charged with developing  a  forest estate to
provide  three  years'  supply  of timber  as a
strategic reserve.  This was thought to require
the afforestation of about  710,000 hectares in
the 80  years following the war to add to the
restoration of the 800,000 hectares estimated as
existing woodland.  These figures also included
what is now the Republic of Ireland.  Planting
targets were 60,000 and 20,000 hectares for FC
and private woodlands  (PW) respectively in the
first decade, for which £3.5 M was budgeted in
the new Forestry Fund.
  Subsequent budgetary constraints altered the
program but not  the  objectives  of expanding
 70

-------
                                                                                  D. MALCOLM
the  forest area,  until the Second World  War
once again led  to  intensive felling in those
areas which had been too young twenty years
earlier.  Forestry Commission  plantings were
still  too immature  to  contribute  to  the  war
effort.  In 1943, however, the FC published a
White Paper on Post War Forest  Policy, later
enacted  in 1945 and  1946,  which enhanced
public support for PW  and expansion  of the
state sector.   The planting targets set  for ten
years were in  line with  the aim of 2,000,000
hectares by the  end of the century, although
this  aim was  not formally  adopted.   The re-
quirement for felling licenses was introduced.
  Forestry policy in  Britain has evolved  pro-
gressively  by  periodic  review  and ministerial
pronouncement.   It became clear  by the mid-
1950's that creation  of  a strategic reserve of
timber was no  longer appropriate and this was
replaced by commercial and social objectives.
Private woodland owners' organizations were
then  reorganized and support  schemes were
strengthened.
  Starting  in the  1950s  and  increasing rapidly
thereafter, management companies were able to
attract investment from the city for the afforest-
ation of bare  land.  This  development took
advantage of the existing fiscal measures where-
by those who paid high marginal  rates  of tax
could offset new investment.  It also attracted
those who wished to pass on their woodland
estates  to heirs with minimal   reductions in
capital value through the estate duty provisions.
  With the increase in PW planting (Figure 14)
afforestation began to impinge on  the public's
perception of the countryside and more par-
ticularly  the treeless  uplands.    Equally  the
application of  economic criteria,  notably  net
discounted revenue  techniques,  to the forests
in the lowlands was leading to a change from
predominantly broadleaves to conifer plantings.
As the affluence and mobility of urban popula-
tions grew they increasingly resented changes in
the landscape.  Public opinion led to the pass-
ing of the  Countryside Acts of  1967-68 which
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  set  up the Countryside  Commissions  in  Eng-
  land/Wales and Scotland.   These  Acts also
  empowered the FC to develop recreational sites
  and  to  plant  and manage  trees  for  amenity
  purposes.
   A major review of policy took place in 1972
  as a  result of a cost-benefit  analysis  conducted
  by the Treasury and was published as a Consul-
  tative Document.  This laid down the principal
  objective of new FC planting as  the  creation
  and  maintenance  of  rural employment which
  was  to  be achieved  by a  planting/replanting
  target of up  to 22,250 ha  y7.   The  FC was
  allowed to pursue amenity objectives with profit
  foregone and recreation was to be emphasized.
   The accounting system was reconstructed to
  set FC a target rate of return of 3 percent in
  real  terms.   The difference  between this rate
  and the amounts normally charged to govern-
  ment departments is considered  a  forestry
  subsidy. This  rate of return and subsidy  have
  been reviewed quinquennially after a  revalua-
  tion of the estate. The private sector support
  was  also altered.   In  return  for  grant  aid, not
  only sound forestry practice was demanded but
  also good land use, including effective integra-
                                                                                         71

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AFFORESTATION IN BRITAIN
tion with  agriculture, environmental  benefits
and provision  of recreation  and access.   In
1977, rates of grant aid were further increased.
  Support for private sector forestry does not
work in a vacuum but is influenced by general
economic conditions and the fiscal approach of
governments of different political persuasions.
The introduction  of Capital  Transfer Tax in
1975 was softened for woodland owners as they
could opt to defer payment, after the death of
the previous owner, until the  trees were har-
vested.   Tax is  then due on  timber  values at
the time of transfer.  Further, the investor in
new planting could  not only obtain relief by
offsetting current tax liabilities but could, with
a change of ownership,  revert to another tax
schedule  that taxed  land values rather  than
timber sales.  In  addition,  commercial wood-
lands were not subject to capital  gains tax.
  These  benefits led to  an increasing rate of
land  transfer to  forestry,  particularly where
farmers  were   having  difficulty  financially.
Whole farms were purchased and large blocks
of forest were established.  Each transfer was
subject, of course, to approval of the agricul-
ture departments, but as they had  to  handle
each case separately there was no overall land
use planning mechanism  that ensured a reason-
able balance between competing  land uses.  In
general,  clearance for planting  could be ob-
tained (i.e., qualification  for grant-aid) only for
land of poor quality  at higher elevations unless
the better, lower land could no longer be con-
sidered as economically viable in  agriculture.
The market  for land became distorted and in
effect  the  vendor's  sale price  included  the
grant-aid for planting;  that is, land prices  were
enhanced,  as the investor sought  the fiscal
inducements rather than the grants.
   The  silvicultural  developments,  described
later, made  it  possible  to  effectively afforest
almost any quality of land profitability. Forestry
thus expanded onto areas of extensive peatland
and remote  upland  because of technical pos-
sibility, low prices of land and the government
policy of retaining a reasonable amount of land
in agriculture.

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND
CHANGES OF DIRECTION

  Since 1980  there  have  been a  number of
important changes in forestry  policy  and its
support.  These have arisen from the develop-
ment of agricultural surpluses in the European
Economic Community (EEC), the  increase in
environmental concern amongst the public at
large,  a  disposal policy for state  forests and,
crucially, the alteration of fiscal arrangements.
  The  efficiency  of  agriculture,  which  has
increased steadily since 1945 in Europe, began
to generate huge surpluses within the EEC in
the 1970s and became intolerable burdens for
taxpayers  in the  1980s.   The imposition of
dairying quotas was  a first response, although
beef, sheep  and cereal support have all  at-
tracted attention.   In the UK there  are es-
timates of more than 1,000,000 hectares surplus
arable  land  which  might  be removed  from
production.  Government response has been to
loosen planning restrictions  on land transfer
from agriculture, adopt 'set-aside' schemes and
encourage diversification.  As  part of the latter
approach, the planting target for  forestry was
increased to 33,000  ha/y in 1987.  Similarly a
trial farm woodland  scheme  aims for 12,000
ha/y of new planting by farmers between 1988-
1991.  The EEC proposals  for forestry indicate
the  desirability  of large  scale  transfer  from
agriculture to forestry.
  Public  concern with  environmental  matters
has  been evinced in a number of  directions.
One has been the effects of atmospheric depos-
ition and associated  fears of 'forest  decline.'
Although quite high  atmospheric  inputs are
measured, particularly in the uplands, no clear
evidence of general  pollution damage to trees
and  forests has been  discovered so far.  There
is, however, good evidence  that  forests are
effective in trapping pollutants that are sub-
72

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                                                                                   D. MALCOLM
 sequently transferred to water  courses, where
 they  can  be detrimental to  fish  and other
 aquatic life.   This  problem is of greatest con-
 cern on acidic igneous rock types where alumi-
 num  concentrations in forest  streams  can be
 quite high.
   A second  concern has been  the change in
 habitat type from  open moorland consequent
 on afforestation.   Although new  forests soon
 develop a wide  range of wildlife, including the
 expansion of residual forest-dwelling creatures
 that were endangered, this is not considered by
 many conservationists  sufficient compensation
 for the "loss" of open range species, particularly
 birds.  This aspect of conservation has received
 the greatest  publicity  and resentment  against
 afforestation in  the media.  The  conservation
 organizations, particularly the Royal Society for
 the Protection of Birds and the Government's
 own  department,  the  Nature   Conservancy
 Council,  have attacked forestry  policy,  with
 much  attendant  publicity, adducing evidence
 that does  not always withstand scientific scrut-
 iny.
   The third and related  concern  has to do with
 landscape, originally in the lowlands but increas-
 ingly in the uplands. Complaints here have to
 do with ease of access for hillwalkers, but more
 particularly the visual aspect of the countryside.
 The industrial approach to agriculture and the
 formation  of large,  uniform, plantation  forests
 has led to a  perceived loss of visual diversity.
 This feeling  has been  growing in  strength,
 particularly in more  densely populated England,
 for the last twenty years.
  These expressions of  public  opinion have
 separately  and together had some impact on
 politicians  so  that there has been a number of
 reviews, such  as  the  House of Lords  Select
 Committee's  investigation  of  the  Scientific
Aspects of Forestry in  1980  and,  this year
 (1990), the publication of the House of Com-
 mons  Agriculture Committee's  two years of
 deliberation on Land Use and Forestry.
  The  effect  of  public  concern has been to
 modify the possibilities of large-scale afforesta-
 tion by the government's adoption of a series of
 constraints since the 1950s.  These include:
   • National Parks (England  and Wales)
   • National Scenic Areas (Scotland)
   • National Nature Reserves
   • Sites of Special Scientific Interest
   •Environmentally Sensitive Areas
   Not all of these prevent afforestation but they
 influence its location, extent and type.  Finally
 in 1988 the Minister of the Environment an-
 nounced that approval would not normally be
 given  to proposals to plant conifers  above 240
 meters elevation in England.
   A further response to public pressure was the
 adoption by  The  Forestry Commission  of a
 Broadleaves Policy in 1985.   This encourages
 broadleaved species by  enhanced grant pay-
 ments loaded heavily towards small  woodlands
 and by insisting that  all  planting, even in the
 most extreme conditions, should comprise five
 percent  broadleaves.  This has  been put into
 practice in  all FC forests at the regeneration
 stage.
  The  present administration  is well  known for
 its emphasis on the supposed benefits of free
 market forces and the undesirability of national
 enterprises.  Shortly  after taking office (1981)
 it  passed an act empowering the  FC  to dispose
 of forestland and then instituted  a program of
 disposal  to  reduce  the dependence of the FC
 on the public purse.  A target of £82 M sales
 was set  for six years and this year  has been
 extended to a further 100,000 hectares in the
 next ten years.  This rationalization has allowed
 the FC to  get  rid of some small and unecon-
 omic  areas  and  is supposed  to  improve  the
 efficiency and commercial effectiveness  of the
 forestry enterprise.  The funding  of the FC has
 been  positive  to  the Exchequer  (excluding
 interest on earlier payments) since 1982-83.
 The whole basis of support for private forest-
 ry changed abruptly in the March,  1988, budget.
As part of general policy,  the  marginal rate for
income tax payments was reduced to 40  per-
                                                                                         73

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AFFORESTATION IN BRITAIN
Table Xn  WOODLAND GRANT SCHEME,
               1988
      WOODLAND GRANT SCHEME OBJECTIVES

   *    To encourage timber production.
   *    To provide jobs in and increase the economic potential
       of rural areas with declining agricultural employment
       and few alternative sources of economic activity.
   *    To provide an alternative to agricultural production
       and thereby assist in the reduction of agricultural
       surpluses.
   *    To enhance the landscape,  to create new wildlife
       habitats and to provide for recreation and  sporting
       uses in the longer term.
   *    To encourage the conservation and regeneration of
       existing forests and woodlands.

   The rates of grant will be increased to levels set out in the
   following table:
   AREA APPROVED
   FOR PLANTING OR
   RF>GEN. (HA)
       RATES OF
        GRANT
Cowfcn    Broadkarvcx
£perka
Area band


10 and over
0.25-0 9
1.0-2.9
3.0-9.9

1,005
800
795
615
1,575
1,375
1,175
975
   Both new planting and replanting areas qualify for grant aid.
cent.  This would have  markedly affected city
investment in afforestation in any case, but the
Chancellor went  further and removed forestry
from all  tax  arrangements except  inheritance
tax.   At  a stroke,  this stopped investment of
the  type  that had driven private afforestation.
It also removed  management incentives  from
existing woodland owners, who could no longer
offset expenditure  on  desirable  silvicultural
operations.   These drastic changes in  fiscal
support were rapidly followed by a new  grant
scheme that unified previous schemes and in-
creased materially the payable amounts (Table
XII).  Nevertheless, much confidence was lost,
millions of plants in commercial nurseries were
burnt and  few investors who  do not already
own land are presently forthcoming.  This is
not  altogether surprising,  as  present interest
rates provide ample alternative opportunities to
invest and  the anticipated drop in  agricultural
land prices, because of uncertainties in future
support, have not materialized.   Existing land-
owners have shown some  interest in the new
scheme, but in its first year the  new grant-aid
planting reached only 318 hectares. There was,
of course, a carryover  from  earlier approved
schemes so that the  total private woodland new
planting for  1988-89 was a record 25,000 hec-
tares.   For the  current year, forecasts  range
from  8,000  to 16,000 hectares,  depending  on
one's degree of optimism.

THE PRESENT SITUATION
AND TRENDS

  In summary, the development of afforestation
in Britain is a story of government reluctance
to initiate a national program until  forced by
circumstances in a  world  war.   Once  begun,
successive administrations have pursued a policy
of  expansion,  reinforced  by  a  second  war,
although they  have never officially  set other
than periodic planting targets for the succeed-
ing few years.   Ironically, when the  present
government  deliberately  slowed   down  FC
expansion and initiated a  disposal program to
emphasize private planting, public opinion was
being  swung  against afforestation in the  up-
lands.   While the government began to  tackle
agricultural surplus   land by  increasing  annual
targets to 33,000 hectares and initiating a farm-
woodland scheme of 12,000 hectares, the Chan-
cellor, apparently in response to conservationist
and media clamor, removed the means by which
land transfer could  take place.   The switch to
entirely grant-aid incentives might broaden the
base  of ownership  of forest  but the  level of
grant set does not take account  of the inflated
price of agricultural land.  It is clear that either
the planting targets or the incentives will have
to change.
  A number of verities continue to  exist.  De-
spite the increase in forest area  to 10  percent,
Britain still is  dependent for  88 percent of its
wood   consumption on  imports (Figure  15).
 74

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i
2.4

2 0




 1.2

 0.8
     0.4
                                                                                        D. MALCOLM
       roundvood    sawn     sawn    board
               hardwood  softwood  products
            I    I UK Production
    Figure 15. Value of U.K. Consumption,
    Showing Contribution of U.K. Production.
paper
                                       Imports
         c
         o
                                                 e
                                                 X
         OJ
         c_
         •*-
         OJ
                                                *—«
    These imports of about 50 million m3 per year
    cost  about £6  billion,  which is approximately
    equal to  one month's  total exports.   The 6
    million m5 currently cut annually in Britain is
    predicted  to rise to about 10 million m3 annual-
    ly by 2005 (Figure 16).  On the strength of the
    existing wood resource, the timber industry has
    installed   more  than  £650  millions-worth  of
    processing capacity in recent years. Needless to
    say, processors  are concerned  at the present
    hiatus in afforestation, fearing supply shortages
    next  century (Figure 17).
     The steadily increasing felling program over
    the next  decades will  cut into the post-1945
    plantings  progressively  so  that,  without  con-
    tinued  rapid expansion,  total  production  will
    fall.  Assuming a 50-year rotation for conifers
    and  120  years  for broadleaves,  the current
    forest estate might be expected ultimately to
    balance out,  in very crude terms, at an annual
    cut of  30,500  hectares  and  4,750  hectares
    respectively.   A  very  approximate sustained
    yield might then be 18.3 million m5 conifer and
    2.3 million m3 broadleaves, which is still rather
             less than half present consumption levels.
               The distribution of the  current  forest estate
             by ownership and type is shown in Table XIII,
             page  77. Some 57 percent is private woodland,
             including  the vast bulk of  broadleaved areas,
             predominantly in England.    By  contrast, 63
             percent of conifers  are found in Scotland and
             that is where further expansion of productive
                                                 7-

                                                 6-

                                                 5

                                                 4-

                                                 3-

                                                 2-
                                                 1 -
              1980 82  84  86
              Actual to  1986.
                                                                  1989      1994      1999
                                                                  Forecast to 2005
2004
             Figure 16.  Timber Production in Britain —
             Total of FC and Private Sector.
             forests will occur.
               Present trends in public thinking are interest-
             ing.  The aversion to large-scale upland affor-
             estation  does not  extend to trees in general.
             For  example  several organizations have been
             formed recently to  specifically promote  tree
             developments with an  emphasis  on amenity
             planting.   These  include the  National  Hard-
             woods Program, The Woodland Trust, and the
             Small Woods Association, all  of which pursue
             amenity  and  nature  conservation  through the
             use mainly of native  species.  The Countryside
             Commission  in  England  propose  a  large, dis-
             persed forest in the English  Midlands  and a
             similar scheme has been  set up in the Central
             Lowlands of Scotland.   These have been met
                                                                                                75

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   AFFORESTATION IN BRITAIN
      with general approval and, although the initia-
      tives will alter the social environment, they will
      add little to timber production.
        To  overcome  the outright  conflict between
      conservation and afforestation interests and to
      take account of  local interests, as expressed by
      local  government, there has  been evolving in
      Scotland so-called  Indicative  Strategies  for
      Forestry. These identify areas where afforesta-
      tion is or  is not  appropriate and  have been
      supported by  land capability  maps  that take
      account of major site factors.  Local authorities
      recognize the employment  potential  forestry
      brings to rural areas and have not been over-
      awed by conservation claims.  Whether indicat-
      ive strategies are worthwhile remains to be seen
      in the light of any return to large-scale invest-
      ment in afforestation.
   450-
   400-
   350-
i/>
2  300-1
a
   250-

   200-
-a
c

1   150-1
o
100
 50-
  1980 70 60 50 40 30 20 101900 90 80 70 60 50 40 Pre-1840

              Areas  planted by decades

     Figure 17.  Age Profile of Forests in Britain Updated from Census of
     Woodlands, 1980.
   SILVICULTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
                                                    apparently uniform organic soils to small-scale
                                                    (< 0.5  ha)  mosaics  in  fluvioglacial  deposit
                                                    areas.  These variations have marked effects on
                                                    species performance and demand varied cultural
                                                    treatments.  The condition of  the sites (bare
                                                    land) also owes a great deal to the man-induced
                                                    effects of  long-continued pastoralism,  with its
                                                    attendant  regime  of burning  to  remove  un-
                                                    palatable old or dead herbage.   As indicated
                                                    earlier, such practices began in Mesolithic times
                                                    and were intensified in recent centuries. Dom-
                                                    inating all  other  site factors  is  the  climate,
                                                    which  is oceanic and very similar in  general
                                                    characteristics to  that  prevailing  at  similar
                                                    latitudes on  the  Pacific  seaboard  of North
                                                    America. The main and important difference is
                                                    the windiness experienced in Britain.  Wind has
                                                    both physiological and mechanical effects  on
                                                    tree growth  and ultimately tree stability.  It is
                                                    the single most limiting factor in British silvicul-
                                                    ture.   Windiness  is greatest in the north  and
                                                    west but is related to distance from  any coast.
                                                    It increases rapidly with elevation so that, with
                                                    the  concomitant  decline  in  heat  sum,  it  is
                                                    possible  to linearly  relate the  productivity of
                                                    tree species with elevation.
                                                    Table XIII.  DISTRIBUTION OF FOREST AREA (K HA).
England
Walci
Scotland
395
175
956
430
60
79
38
2
0
863
237
1035
233
130
525
630
107
510
                                                      Unproductive woodland amounts 10 \Ti Wia and comprises amenity, pastorage and scrub
                                                      areas

                                                      FC - Forestry Commission,  PW - Private Woodlands
     The complex geology and topography, domin-
   ated on the smaller scale by the effects of the
   last glaciation, has given rise to a wide range of
   site types, particularly in the Scottish Highlands.
   Site types vary from quite extensive  areas of
   76

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                                                                                     D. MALCOLM
  The initial attempts  at  afforestation relied
heavily on the native Scots pine and sometimes
the then-economic native oaks  (Quercus robur
L. and Q. petraea (Matt.) Lieblein).  The latter
species generally failed  when tried on other
than  the best sites,  readily identifiable as re-
cently forested,  while  Scots  pine is  a  tree  of
well-drained sites and relatively low elevations.
It proved highly successful  when transferred  to
heathlands  in Southern  England.  There was
therefore great interest in the successful use  of
European larch in  early  plantings  on freely
drained soils up to quite high elevations  (450
m) because  it was useful for a wide range  of
products.  It was planted pure and  as  a nurse
species with broadleaves.    During  the  19th
century many stands were  planted as mixtures
of larch, pine and Norway spruce, any of which
could become dominant on different site types.
The  range  of  species available  was  limited,
however.
  When  serious  afforestation  began  it  was
quickly realized that there were extensive areas
of land of very low agricultural productivity  in
the uplands.  The problem  lay in knowing what
cultural  treatments would  be  required to es-
tablish productive forest. There were examples
of failed plantings of well-tried species  indicat-
ing that site amelioration was required.  At the
same time,  a  range  of  newer exotics  were
selecting themselves in arboreta and trial plan-
tations.  The most promising were Douglas-fir
(Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.)  Franco), Sitka
spruce  (Picea  sitchensis   (Bong.) Carr)  and
several  others from northwest America.
  Pioneer work on exposed low fertility land  at
higher elevations (350-450 m)  in the  Sottish
Highlands had indicated  the value of, first, an
aerated planting site and, second, the need for
phosphatic fertilizer. The  former made use  of
upturned turves on peaty land, an idea obtained
from  spruce planting in the High Ardennes  in
Belgium.  The latter was  discovered empirically
using basic  slag, a  waste  material from steel
mills.   The  value  of  these  two techniques
applied manually on organic or organo-mineral
soils was known by the mid-1920s but they were
slow to become standard practice.  One reason
for this was the cautious approach engendered
by a lack of knowledge of the characteristics of
the newer species.  It was not until the 1940s
that it was fully realized that, in  Sitka spruce,
British  forestry had found a most responsive
species,  clearly well-adapted to  extreme  ex-
posure  and productive on  a wide  range of site
types from fertile brown earths to  acid peats up
to elevations  not previously thought plantable
(550 m).
  Table XTV.  CHANGES IN USES OF CONIFER
  SPECIES SINCE 1920.
                                         21-30

                                          46
                 Percentage composition of planting decades

Species     81.90   71-80   61.70   51-60   41-50    31-40

Scoopine      3     5    13     22     24     26

Cancan pine     6343     36

Lodgepole pine    10     15    14     8     11

Sinaspnice      68     63    42     29     37     26

Norway sproce    )     3    8     10     16     19

European larch    -     122     48

Japanese larch     5     6    7     13     10      8

Douglas fir      4245     23

OtDercomfen     1143     11


NB 81-90 rcten 10 FC only, til often include PW
  Since 1945 the expansion of forest, forced on
to  poorer  land by  agricultural policies,  has
involved the development and mechanization of
these two basic cultural techniques,  drainage
and fertilization on  the wetter  uplands,  with
corresponding  treatments for the drier heath-
land soils.  Sitka spruce has proved the most
productive species on all but  the more shel-
tered fertile sites,  where  its  performance is
equalled by Douglas-fir, grand fir (Abies grandis
Lindl.),  noble  fir  (Abies procera Rehd.)  and
western  hemlock  (Tsuga  heterophylla  (Raf.)
Sarg.).  On the poorest of peats and the drier
infertile  heaths,  Sitka spruce suffers  nitrogen
stress and there it  is replaced  or  mixed  with
either  Scots pine or lodgepole  pine  (Pinus
contorta  Dougl.).   As Sitka spruce  provides a
All AfC*

  1!

  4

  10

  39

  9

  3

  I
                                                                                            77

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AFFORESTATION IN BRITAIN
versatile wood equally suitable  for saw timber
or pulping, it  is easy to understand why its use
has expanded  so much (Table XIV).  Addition-
al aspects of its popularity have been the ease
of raising it in nurseries,  its robust  nature  in
plant handling and its ability to withstand and
recover from browsing or other damage.
  Until  1960,  species  selection  was usually
determined on the basis of a site classification
which made use of existing ground vegetation.
The extensive use  of mechanical  site prepara-
tion and aerial application of fertilizer - mainly
ground rock phosphate - became standard  at
this  time and  allowed afforestation  to extend
to the poorest sites. It became important then
to identify  soil factors  that might  limit root
growth and wind stability of the trees, so that
a  site classification based  on major  soil types
evolved  along  with  cultivation machinery  to
appropriately  remove  these limitations.  Thus
the site could be altered for the species, rather
than the species selected for the site.
  The increasing emphasis on poor quality sites
in new planting is  evident  from Table XIV as
the  proportions of  Scots  pine  and  Norway
spruce steadily decline.    Another  factor,  of
course, was the demand that forestry should  be
economic, which has been  interpreted in vol-
ume production terms. Sites which are unlike-
ly to achieve  a yield class of 8 (maximum mean
annual increment,  m3/ha/yr)  are  generally not
acceptable for planting.  In effect, this limita-
tion  applies  to climate,  as the soil  factors can
be ameliorated readily with positive economic
results.  The  steady use of a low  proportion of
Douglas-fir and Corsican pine again reflects site
availability.  The former is restricted to freely
draining  soils at lower  (< 280 m)  elevations
and Corsican pine  is adapted mainly  to lowland
heaths in south and east England.

 FAILURES AND PROBLEMS

   Failures in afforestation usually  arise from
 incorrect species to site matching.  Failures to
establish a viable stand disappear quickly, while
later failures may  materialize in pole stage  or
semi-mature stands.  Perhaps success should be
assessed in the second rotation.  So far, failures
in British afforestation have been few because
species  choice has tended  to be conservative
and species trials in the uplands  have almost all
indicated the superiority of Sitka spruce.  Most
of the failures that have occurred  have been
related  to inadequate appreciation  of proven-
ance  differences  within  species.   Important
examples include European larch and lodgepole
pine.   The  18th century  introduction of larch
proved  highly adapted to the British climate,
but in the rapid expansion after 1920, a  series
of alpine sources were introduced that were ill-
adapted to an oceanic  climate and became
subject to a variety of pests and  diseases.  Early
introductions  of lodgepole  pine were of ssp.
murrayana and ssp. latifolia,  but  the species was
not used initially  to replace  the native  Scots
pine as the  more productive Corsican pine was
available on appropriate sites. When afforesta-
tion moved on to peaty soils,  the  inexacting
nature of lodgepole  pine was recognized as a
virtue and its use increased.  Seduced by  the
early rapid growth of ssp.  contorta (shore  pine),
of  Oregon  and Washington  origin, however,
these south coastal origins were favored,  but
proved to be of poor form and very liable to
snow damage in  the thicket  or pole  stages.
Further problems  have arisen with this species
when used in large-scale  afforestation of infer-
tile peat in  North  Scotland. An innocuous and
endemic moth, the Pine Beauty (Panolis flam-
mea),  normally on  Scots  pine, switched  to
lodgepole and rapidly reached epidemic propor-
tions, defoliating  and killing several hundred
hectares at a  time.
  All the provenance trials with Sitka spruce,
many of which followed expansion  in its use,
demonstrate that  the original selection of the
Queen Charlotte  Island  origin  was among the
best.  In areas of low frost  incidence, origins
from Washington  perform as  well  or  slightly
 78

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                                                                                   D. MALCOLM
better.   In real exposure  in  North Scotland,
Alaskan origins are better, but over most of the
country Queen Charlotte spruces are preferred.
This selection, which was fortuitous initially, has
been a real success.   Despite its widespread
use, only Elatobium aphid has caused reductions
in growth and,  although the much-feared  bark
beetle (Dendroctonus micans)  has appeared in
Britain, its spread has been slow and capable of
containment so far.
  The critical silvicultural problem  mentioned
earlier is wind-throw.  Catastrophic gales (wind
speed of about 40 m/s  sustained over several
hours) periodically devastate forests over whole
regions.  The most recent  in  1987 blew down
about  6   million/m5  in  southeast  England.
Clearance  and  replanting  is the only remedy.
On  the other  hand,  most upland areas  are
subject to  'endemic' windblow from about  12
gales per year (> 15 m/s)  which  partially dam-
age stands that have reached pole stage.  Initia-
tion of damage can now be predicted from a
knowledge of the region, elevation, geomorphic
shelter and rooting depth.  Silvicultural regimes
can thus be adjusted to potential time of wind-
blow or attainment of  'critical  stand height,'
which ranges from 13-20+m depending on site.
Early windblow obviously affects  the economic
return and thus provides another criterion for
determining afforestation limits.
  The other  major problem influencing affor-
estation practice is the occurrence of browsing
animals.  More  than 300,000 red deer (Cen>us
elaphus) are an expanding wild  population  in
the Scottish uplands that necessitate expensive
exclusion  fencing at  the  afforestation  stage.
This is a temporary measure, as inevitably  they
invade the plantations by the polestage, where
they are difficult to see and control. In forests
the deer are more fecund  and suffer less mor-
tality than on the open hill. Within the forest
they,  together with roe, Sika and fallow deer,
damage young plants by browsing and in older
stands sometimes by  bark stripping.    Tree
species  show differential  palatability  to  deer
browsing, with  broadleaves and the possible
alternative species to Sitka spruce highly sought
after.  Thus, potential deer damage is a major
factor preventing the increase of species diver-
sity in second rotation stands.   Sitka spruce is
the least palatable  of all commonly used spec-
ies.

CONCLUSIONS

  It  has been possible here to  highlight  only
some of the many ecological, silvicultural, social
and economic factors that have influenced the
development  of large-scale  afforestation  in
Britain.
  Located on the seaboard of Eurasia,  Britain
enjoys an equable  climate, much warmer  than
its latitude  might  suggest.  The adequacy of
precipitation over most of the country, together
with the topographic and geological conditions,
provides an environment ideally suited  to the
growth of a wide range of exotic species drawn
from  very disparate parts  of the world.  The
paucity of the post-glacial tree  flora and the
careless  destruction or wastage  of the  native
forest  was a  stimulus to  the  introduction of
exotics, initially for aesthetic reasons.
  The  availability of large  areas  of low-quality
land, suitable species and a program of vigorous
empirical research  allowed afforestation tech-
niques to be developed  for  almost any  site.
Mistakes, of course, were made but were few in
relation to the successes.  A national crisis was
required to motivate  government to begin a
serious afforestation program. This was  doubly
successful  because  suitable  incentives  were
given  to attract  private investment  to  match
public endeavors.    The  initial  objective  of
2,000,000 hectares productive forest in 80 years
was achieved in  65  years.
  Changing political circumstances removed the
concept of a strategic reserve  of timber even
though the  UK remains  the  second  largest
importer of timber products in the world. Most
economists do not  support arguments in favor
                                                                                          79

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AFFORESTATION IN BRITAIN
of import substitution by home-grown products,
but  simple prudence  would  seem to suggest
otherwise.
  The application of somewhat simplistic econ-
omic criteria  to forest management operations
led to  attempts to  maximize financial return
with insufficient attention being paid to other
benefits.  An increasingly affluent and environ-
mentally aware public perceived land-use chan-
ges as being adverse to nature conservation and
aesthetic values. Despite the  man-made nature
of the landscape  and the long-term  national
economic and resource realities, public opinion
forced a government dedicated to free market
forces to withdraw the main fiscal incentives of
the afforestation program.
  Undoubtedly the trend toward diversity of the
existing forest in structure and species composi-
tion will continue.  Similarly, small-scale plant-
ing of broadleaved woodland for  urban recrea-
tion and landscape purposes will gather momen-
tum.  Without a radical  rethink  of policy and
incentives,  however,  the  present  hiatus  in
developing productive forest in the uplands will
not  be temporary, far less will the transfer of
excess agricultural land be achieved.  Afforesta-
tion programs depend on  a sustained effort
towards defined objectives and the political will
to achieve them.
                                         REFERENCES
Forestry Industry Committee of Great  Britain.  1987.
Beyond 2000.  Agricultural House, London. 76 pp.

House of Commons 1990. Land Use and Forestry Vol. 2.
Minutes of Evidence and Appendices. HMSO London, 490
pp.

House of Lords 1980. Scientific Aspects of Forestry Vol.2.
Min. of Evidence.HMSO London, 394 pp.
Lines, R. 1987. Choice of Seed Origins for the Main Forest
Species  in Britain.   Forestry  Commission Bulletin 66.
HMSO, London.

Macdonald,  J., et al. (eds.) 1957. Exotic  Forest Trees in
Great Britain. Forestry Commission  Bulletin  30. HMSO
London. 165 pp.

Price, RJ. 1983. Scotland's Environment During the Last
30,000 Years. Scottish Academic Press, Edinburgh. 224
PP-
Ratcliffe,  D.A.,  and Oswald, P.H. (eds.) 1986. Nature
Conservation  and Afforestation  in Britain. NCC Peter-
borough.  121 pp.

Ryle, G.B. 1969. Forest Service.  The First 45 Years of the
Forestry Commission of Great Britain. David and Charles,
Newton Abort. 340 pp.

Zehetmayr, J.W.L. 1954. Experiments in Tree Planting on
Peat.  Forestry Commission Bulletin 22. HMSO London.
110 pp.

ACKNOWLEDGMENT

  The figures are updated and redrawn from those
published in Land Use and Forestry, 1990.  The Forestry
Commission kindly provided recent data.
80

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                             THE NEED FOR REFORESTATION

                                    Renato Moraes de Jesus



                                            Abstract

  This work emphasizes the necessity of breaking inertia and aggressively initiating programs for environmental recuperation.
The reforestation activities in Brazil are summarized, where reforestation is characterized by and has historically been
accomplished through fiscal incentives. The supply-and-demand of wood in Brazil is presented, demonstrating that 69 percent
of the wood supply originates from natural forests under an alternative use. Pros and cons of fiscal incentives are discussed.
For third world countries, reforestation must help to solve imminent problems, and in this manner will have greater motivation
for implementation. For tropical conditions, the potential of reforestation through natural regeneration cannot be ignored.
In conclusion, reforestation on a large scale will be successful onfy if the planting units are on the scale of small farms, where
the problem becomes a question of forest extension and environmental education.
INTRODUCTION

  As in many countries around the world, the
devastation  of  Brazilian  forests  is  reaching
intolerable levels.  Despite increasing denuncia-
tion  of deforestation  through the media, the
process is still accelerating.   According to the
World Bank, the Amazon forest lost 12 percent
of its original area in the last 20 years, and the
Atlantic forest is today restricted to little more
than 6 percent  of its original area, mostly  in
small fragments.
  The  principal  objective  of this  paper is  to
bring attention to the status of reforestation  in
Brazil today and to offer some alternatives for
overcoming the problems of large-scale projects.
There has been  and is currently a great deal  of
energy spent in speaking, writing and promoting
the cause of ecology and of saving the remain-
ing  Brazilian forests.   Unfortunately,  the  im-
plementation of reforestation as  part  of the
restoration and sustainability of forest resources
is rare, occurring in the cyclic rhythm of cata-
clysmic events.   For example, in  the states  of
Espirito Santo and Rio Grande do Sul, a great
deal has been said about deforestation over the
last three decades, but what  has happened?   In
Espirito Santo, only 1.5 percent remains of the
primary forest, much of it removed during  this
time  period of 30 years.   Rio Grande do  Sul
has the largest area of desert in the country
today.  There was an increase in the awareness
of ecology in general, yet what good did this do
for those forests which no longer exist?
  The first step is  to halt  the process of  de-
struction,  and  in any part  of the  world  the
methods  are  available to  do  so.   It is  not
necessary to spend more money diagnosing  the
issues,  as  they are  known  to be cultural and
economic. With the restoration of the environ-
ment, genetic  resources for the  future  are
assured. Ideally, recuperation should be imple-
mented at least as swiftly as the destruction.
  Certainly there are difficulties  involved  in
reforestation, but they can be addressed only
after  the  process begins  in  the  field.   The
obvious  and urgent need  is to get the trees in
the ground, to  begin the process. Reforestation
on a large scale is needed and, though the total
area  should be large, in reality for Brazil it
must  consist of many small  areas  at  the local
farm  level.  Paradoxically, the destruction was
at the same level.   Deforestation began with
axes and manual saws, progressing to chainsaws,
                                                                                              81

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 NEED FOR REFORESTATION IN BRAZIL
 chemical defoliants and modern skidders.

 THE REFORESTATION OF BRAZIL

   Data from the last century was recorded  in
 the first forestry  register of  reforestation  in
 Brazil.  Around 1860,  in the city of  Rio de
 Janeiro, about 120 thousand seedlings of native
 and exotic tree species were  planted  on the
 hills of Morro da  Tijuca with  the objective of
 recuperation of  the watershed.
   The first reforestation for economic objectives
 was  made  at the  beginning  of  this  century
 through the introduction of Eucalyptus species.
 The wood was utilized principally for fuel and
 railroad  ties  for the Companhia Paulista  de
 Estradas de Ferro (Paulista Railroad Company),
 located in Jundai, in the state of Sao Paulo.
 By the end of the 1940s and beginning of the
 1950s, the coniferous species were introduced,
 principally the genus Pinus.  The introduction
 of conifers was largely motivated by the severe
 reduction of natural populations of Araucaria
 angustifolia (Parana pine).
  It was  in the decade of the 1960s that refor-
 estation  attained truly operational levels.   In
 1965,  the federal government instituted  the
 Brazilian  Forestry  Code, establishing  rules for
 permanent preservation of forests, conservation
 of water and soil,  and forest harvesting.  The
 Brazilian  Institute  of   Forest Development
 (IBDF) was created  as  the controlling  institu-
 tion (Cherkassky, 1990).
  From 1966 on, with the implementation  of
 fiscal incentives by the government, reforesta-
 tion  in  Brazil  increased significantly.    The
 incentives given were trade-offs as a function of
 taxes.  A  company could write off a  certain
 portion of taxes by implementing a reforestation
 project.  As  shown in Table XV, reforestation
 projects reached about 6.2 million hectares, and
were  composed  of 52  percent Eucalyptus, 30
 percent Pinus, and 18 percent other species.
  Table XVI shows the  supply  and demand of
wood in  Brazil for the period  1987-1988.  Of
 the total wood  supply, 69 percent originates
 from natural forests.

 The Negative Side
   The  fiscal incentives  for  reforestation were
 abolished in December, 1987, and after 20 years
 resulted in a reported planting of 6.3 million
 hectares.  In practice, however,  this area was
 not planted.  Many projects, despite the pro-
 tocol,  were never planted at all; others were
 planted with inappropriate  species  in  areas
 unsuited to reforestation.  In little less than two

 TABLE XV.  REFORESTATION WITH FISCAL INCENTIVES IN
 BRAZIL 1967-1986 (1000 ha)
YR.
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
PINUS
18
61
96
120
99
101
86
83
94
87
99
141
89
117
158
74
71
65
85
TOTAL 1,862
Source: IBDF,
1988
EUC.
14
30
54
84
129
172
161
188
223
262
194
228
272
230
187
91
124
131
174
3,231 1,159

OTHER
3
12
12
18
21
31
47
53
81
100
53
43
75
71
86
50
91
89
150
6,252

ALL
35
103
162
222
249
304
294
324
398
449
346
412
436
418
431
215
286
285
409


years after planting, many plantations were lost
completely. Evidently this political mechanism
contributed to the public deficit and  generates
judicial problems even now.
  To some extent the political incentives stimu-
lated  the  creation of graduate courses in for-
estry which were unfortunately based principally
on the silviculture of Pinus and Eucalyptus.  In
a country where 60 percent of the territory is
covered by natural forests and  less  than one
percent is reforested, the education of students
should not be allowed to be based  solely on
exotic  species.   If this continues, we will not
use the potential of  our tropical conditions,
82

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                                                                               R. MORAES DE JESUS
natural regeneration, and vast resources. More
than  this, we  have  already  bypassed many
alternative uses and have not fully utilized the
forests up until now.
  Companies which chose reforestation projects
for fiscal incentives were obligated to plant one
percent of their area in so-called native species,
or to leave ten percent of the natural vegeta-
tion intact.  In  most cases, the preference was
to plant the one percent, yet the lack of sil-
vicultural data for those species led to the loss
of nearly the whole area.  Nevertheless, there
has been impressive progress in Brazil in devel-
oping  silvicultural  technology by  industry-led
research programs as a necessity to increase the
productivity and decrease costs for these native
species used in  planting projects.

TABUi XVL  SUPPLY AND DEMAND OF WOOD IN BRAZIL,
1987-1988

SOLID WOOD TEM EQUIVALENT % (lOOnv3)
A) WOOD DEMAND
 Cellulose (10 t)
 Charcoal (vegetal)
 Sawn wood
 Veneer
 Fuelwood
 14,740
 68,700
 33,500
 7,550
139,000
 6
26
13
 2
53
TOTAL DEMAND   263,490
                             100
B) WOOD SUPPLY
 From refor-
 estation         82,300
               31
C) WOOD SUPPLY
 From native
 forests          181,190
               69
TOTAL SUPPLY    263,490
                             100
Source: 1PT/SBS
  In contrast,  research with  native Brazilian
species did not receive the same attention.  The
immediacy of capitalism in developing countries
inhibits private initiative to do  research involv-
ing species with longer rotation  cycles.   As  a
result,  the  sector  left responsible  for  native
species  has been  governmental  institutions,
which  suffer from  a  lack of  continuity.   In-
variably, each government came forth with their
plan of  research  and, since forest  species do
not have the short cycles of agricultural crops,
programs ended without conclusions.

The Positive Side
  Despite many problems, the fiscal incentives
promoted excellent development of the silvicul-
ture of Eucalyptus and Pinus in Brazil.  Initially,
there was not much concern for the selection
of species, much less provenance.   The actual
goal for improvement is to develop a local race.
According to Ikemori (1990), the criteria for
selection  should be  as  inclusive as  possible.
Considering  phenotypic traits as  well  as geno-
type, the following  characteristics  should be
included:
•volume of tree in relation to age
•disease resistance
•insect damage resistance
•branching habit
•branch size
•bark proportion
•sprouting ability
•root  formation ability
•wood properties for pulp,  charcoal, etc.
• properties of leaves, extractives, etc.
• metabolic efficiency.
  Productivity has been  significantly increased
through  the  perfection  of  silvicultural  tech-
niques and  success  in the area of  forest bio-
technology.   According to Cherkassky (1990),
yields  up to  100  cubic meters per  hectare in
Eucalyptus and  45 cubic meters per hectare in
Pinus  have  been  attained.   The specific  con-
sumption of wood (mVt90 eel.), or the amount
of wood  used to produce  1 ton of  cellulose
with 90 percent dryness, on a commercial scale
in Brazil  is  4.87, and at Aracruz Florestal has
reached  3.71  in  the  second stage of  work
(Ikemori, 1990).
  The  cost  of production of Eucalyptus  seed-
lings has been gradually reduced and now does
not carry excessive  costs  in  reforestation  pro-
jects.  To give an idea of the planting costs of
this  species  using the dibble tube,  Jesus and
                                                                                             83

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NEED FOR REFORESTATION IN BRAZIL
Junior (1984) reported a cost of US$ 0.02/seed-
ling.  In addition to this reduction, the dibble-
tube system allows the following advantages:
•diminishes problems with fungi;
• uninterrupted production, (nightfall, precipita-
tion, etc.);
• better working conditions not only due to the
nature of materials but also operationally;
•significantly  more  economical  transport  of
materials to the field;
•decrease  of  man-hours/ha from  the  conven-
tional 25 hours/man/ha to 8 hours/man/ha.

IMPROVEMENTS NEEDED

  According to present knowledge, reforestation
programs  on  a  large  scale  with ftnus  and
Eucalyptus  in  Brazil do  not  have problems
which would prevent implementation. Neverthe-
less, more conservation practices  need to  be
incorporated such as:
•no more  destruction of  natural  forests  to
implement reforestation programs;
•breakup of monocultures with associations of
leguminous species;
• integral protection and recuperation of water-
shed forests occurring throughout  the projects;
•limitations on the  annual cut of contiguous
areas;
• elimination of clear-cut by leaving a minimum
of 50-60 trees/ha;
• in those projects involving cellulose, debarking
will be made on site;
•limitations on type of burning used for  site
preparation;
• implementation of biological control programs
for insect and disease control.
  Operationally, it is necessary to  improve the
efficiency of protection against leaf-cutting ants.
With the homogenization  of tropical resources,
there is a loss of the natural enemies and leaf-
cutters become a formidable enemy.  The cost
for protection is US$35/ha/year.  At the same
time, it is necessary to  reduce the cost of site
preparation as  this  constitutes  a  significant
proportion of the project costs.
  Another concern involving costs will be the
allocation of projects to  more productive sites,
which may diminish the total area available for
reforestation.  According to a specialist in the
region of Sao Mateus,  north of the state of
Espirito  Santo, there are  sites  which could
reduce the area needed for reforestation by 20
percent.  Additionally, the areas which are not
reforested could enter into the natural regener-
ation process and contribute to  reducing the
impacts of monoculture.

REFORESTATION   TO  DIMINISH  CO2
LEVELS

  The problems caused by increasing  levels of
CO2 are of global order and logically no one
country alone can solve the situation.  Every
day it becomes more urgent to adopt methods
to reduce  these trends.  Reforestation  on a
large scale is one of them, notwithstanding that
it requires large investments and a lot of motiv-
ation.
  We must consider  that in countries of the
Third World,  including in this case Brazil, the
destruction of forests has caused infinite serious
damage  and reforestation has had objectives
which do not necessarily include diminishing of
CO2 levels.  It is much more urgent to control
erosion, reduce  the siltation of rivers,  maintain
or restore  site productivity,  regulate the water
tables  and  rivers, and to produce wood for
energy.
  For whatever  reasons  reforestation is imple-
mented,  the planting of trees  in areas where
there were  none is contributing  to the reduc-
tion of  CO2  levels.   It could be  a case of
marketing,  but  should  be  considered when
making decisions about the promoting of refor-
estation on a large scale. It is still difficult to
convince the small landowner to  include trees
in the management plans for his property.  It is
even more difficult for him to understand the
implications of increasing levels of CO2 in the
84

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                                                                            R. MORAES DE JESUS
atmosphere.
  In addition to reforestation through planting,
natural regeneration management in tropical
regions should be  encouraged.   In Amazona,
for example,  significant areas of pasture are
abandoned annually.  Since the occurrence of
fires  is  not  a  threat,  naturally regenerated
secondary  forests are  often  formed.   Active
management  to  maintain  these  fast-growing
forested areas should be prompted along with
standard planting methods.  In  the same way,
degraded forests must  be  managed in such a
way as to stimulate growth and production, thus
increasing the capacity  for CO2  absorption.
  Due to the magnitude of conflicting needs to
both  utilize and preserve forest  resources in
Brazil, large areas  must be reforested to both
assure a supply of wood and to restrict the use
of natural forests. It is  not easy to make large-
scale  reforestation operational, especially when
costs  of establishment  of species other than
Eucalyptus and Pinus are used.
  Ab'Saber  et al.  (1989)  present a plan for
mega-reforestation  for potential  areas of about
20  million hectares, where  corrective  forestry,
mixed reforestation and industrial  reforestation
attain percentages respectively of 14.3, 13.8 and
71.8 of the total area respectively.  The project-
ed rotation cycle is 30 years and costs present-
ed  in the televised press are on  the order of
US$l,500/ha,  financed  primarily  by  fiscal in-
centives.
  The intention  is  very good; however, once
more the beneficiaries are large industries  and
the plan leaves behind the small landowner. If
6 million hectares have  already brought serious
social problems, imagine 15 million!  It would
be difficult to find a way out of these problems;
this approach will not be the way to implement
large-scale reforestation.
  Since the paternalistic system of fiscal incen-
tives has  immobilized  us  and  there are  many
well-known cases of corruption,  we  want  to
emphasize systems of reforestation which  ad-
dress the  reality of the small landowner.  It is
the obligation of  the government to  make
known the available technology and to orient
the landowner as to how, where and why to
plant trees.
  In an effort to create many smaller planting
units instead of a few  large units, the problem
becomes more one of forestry extension and
environmental  education.   It is essential that
each municipality has its own program in  order
to solve problems in a consistent  and  effective
manner.   It  must  have favorable  backing  of
technology, inputs, training  and  practical  ex-
amples in order to  be  successful (Jesus, 1989).
  This author affirms that this type of structure,
called  Horto  Florestal (Forest Garden),  pro-
vides not  only the conventional  structure for
seedling production, but also  is a  community
unit where essentially all  of the  benefits  are
assimilated and reproduced in the local region.
  The  government of the  state of  Espirito
Santo,  through its  Development  Bank, is  im-
plementing the Horto  Florestal Project (Jesus,
1989) in various  municipalities.  The  expecta-
tion of the state is that each  of its 80 thousand
farmers plant annually at least 1  hectare  of
forest in Espirito Santo. In this way, the Horto
Florestal will become a place where farmers can
exchange  ideas and see examples  of conserva-
tion, utilization and recuperation of  the ecosys-
tem.
                                                                                          85

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NEED FOR REFORESTATION IN BRAZIL
                                             REFERENCES
Ab'Saber, A. N., L. Rodes, and W. Zulane. Identificagao
de Areas para Reflorestamento no Espafo Total No Brasil,
Institute de Estudos Avancados -- Universidade de Sao
Paulo; Serie Ciencias Ambientais 02. Dezembro, 1989.

Cherkassky, H., Mercado Brasileiro de Produtos Florestais:
Papel e Celulose. 1 Simposio sobre Conservacao Ambien-
tal e Desenvolvimento Florestal do Cone Sul.   Foz do
Iguacu, 1990.

Ikemori, I.  K.  Programa de Melhoramento  Genetico de
Eucalyptus  spp. da  Aracruz FlorestaLl  Simposio  sobre
Conservacao Ambiental e  Desenvolvimento  Florestal do
Cone Sul.  Foz do Iguacu, 1990.
Jesus, R. M., and Junior, J. C. C.  Produydo e Formagao
de Mudas de Eucalyptus Atraves do Sistema Dibble Tube na
Florestas Rio Dace S/A.  V.  Congresso Florestal Estadual.
Nova Prata, 1984.

Jesus, R. M. Programa Horto Florestal - RANDES;  Banco
de Desenvolvimento do Espfrito Santo, Boletim Tecnico.
Vit6ria,  1989.

SBS (Sociedade Brasileira de Silvicultura). A Sociedade
Brasileira e Seu Patrimdnio Florestal Boletim Informative.
S3o Paulo, 1990.
 86

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                       INDUSTRIAL EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS
                          IN THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO
                            TECHNICAL, SOCIOLOGICAL AND ECOLOGICAL ASPECTS

                                       Francis Cailliez
                                         ABSTRACT

  In the Congo, near Pointe Noire, the proximity of a deep-water port and a city providing a large labor pool, a favorable
political climate, and a vast area of unoccupied savannah with little relief allowed the realization of a large-scale forestry
project.
  From the example of these Congolese plantations, we intend to show how an important afforestation project that addresses
the financial and social requirements imposed by economists can also contribute to the maintenance of a satisfactory global
environment, even  if it involves plantings of Eucalyptus and conifers, which often have a poor reputation, primarily among
misinformed people.
INTRODUCTION

  Recent evolution  in  scientific  and  public
thought, which should include political leaders
and funding organizations, has occurred requir-
ing that a greater awareness of global environ-
mental  constraints be brought to bear in devel-
opment projects, no matter what the field.
  Two important themes within the concept of
"global  environment"  are closely  linked  with
protection and improvement of tropical forests:
They are the conservation of biodiversity and
the atmospheric changes related to the "green-
house effect".
  During the  last 50 years in temperate coun-
tries the land tenure system, political stability
and the accessibility  of  lumber mills have  all
played an important role in allowing large-scale
forestry projects to be both economically profit-
able and socially  acceptable.   These projects
involve   either  improving  existing  stands  or
creating new plantations  (France,  Portugal,
Chili, New Zealand).
  In tropical  countries,   which  are generally
developing countries, however, reforestation and
conservation  projects are neither economically
secure  nor profitable  enough to warrant the
amount of investment necessary for largescale
projects.   In general, other more immediate
problems  tend to be given higher priority over
forestry projects in investment decisions.
  It was in this vein that the European Devel-
opment Fund (EDF) decided  in 1969 to fund
only projects which would  pay for themselves
within five years.   It was therefore no longer
possible  to  count  on   financing  for  forestry
projects from the EDF  for  tropical countries.
Fortunately,  however, this  philosophy  of the
EDF is changing.
  In francophone Africa, there  are some excep-
tions to this rule:  the Congo is one (described
below  in  detail); in Madagascar, 265,000 hec-
tares of plantations on  savannah  soils supply
raw  materials  to  local  paper  industries and
sawmills and  furnish fuelwood and polewood to
nearby  towns;  in  Burundi, high  population
density puts a large demand on forest products,
making reforestation and protection of remain-
ing indigenous forests easily justifiable.
  In the Ivory Coast, the government supports
the planting of around 1,000 hectares per year
with a dozen commercial species  of medium
rotation   rates  using   mechanized  planting
techniques.  This is  carried out in areas where
                                                                                          87

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EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS IN THE CONGO
the existing forest is judged to be too poor and
is consequently suppressed and replaced. These
projects  have had  various  levels of  success,
having encountered difficulties associated prim-
arily with questions of land  tenure, a lack  of
secure long-term financing,  a lack of a viable
market for by-products  from  thinning,  and
appropriate means of marketing the  products.

THE CONGOLESE CASE

  The country of  the  Congo is not heavily
populated.  It has approximately 1.9 million
inhabitants, of which 600,000 live in Brazzaville
and 300,000 in Pointe Noire.  The rest of the
country is practically  empty with only  three
people/km2.
  Natural forests of the Congo are  not  really
threatened, except in the Mayombe (South) and
in the vicinity of the main cities, in particular
around Brazzaville,  where the influx of popula-
tion has  lead  to the  disappearance  of natural
forests,  sometimes  accompanied  by  severe
erosion.
  Natural forests have supplied the Congo with
large   resources  contributing significantly  to
national revenue: log exports were 600,000 m3
in 1985 and 715,000  m3 in  1986, and are ex-
pected to reach  1,000,000 m3 in 1990.
  Since the end of World War II, large areas of
forest have been exploited in order to retrieve
only  a relatively  few  commercially valuable
species.  As larger  tracts of land are explored,
the exploitable  timber is  found  farther and
farther from the sole practicable shipping port,
Pointe Noire.  As a  consequence, foresters have
responded by concentrating their  efforts on
high productivity plantations.
  It was as part of this response that the 6,500
hectares  industrial  plantation of Limba (Ter-
minalia superba) was established in the May-
ombe district between 1949  and 1961.
  This project concentrating on Limba was not
as large as that carried out  in the neighboring
Gabon for okoum6  (Aucoumea klaineana).
There, plantings  of 2,000 hectares (with an-
ticipated increase to  300 hectares) annually
from  1960 to 1965  were almost  adequate to
compensate for the  annual export volume, at
that time  1,250,000 m3.   A total  of 26,000
hectares of okoume were planted in Gabon.
  Like many other governments in newly in-
dependent  African countries,  the  Congolese
authorities  emphasized plantations of fast-grow-
ing species rather than management of natural
forests to solve forestry problems linked to fuel
wood needs or papermill projects.
  Two initial objectives  were ascribed to the
experimental Eucalyptus  plantations:
 • to supply the city of Pointe Noire with fuel
wood,
 •to  provide raw  materials  to  a papermill
planned in the Niari valley (Loudima experi-
mental farm)  in  parallel with  other activities
related to  a  power dam  project on the  river
Kouilou Niari (which, ultimately,  was never
completed).
  Eventually, the needs of the papermill became
the  primary  force  behind the reforestation
projects around Pointe Noire, as fuel wood was
obtained as  a by-product of these industrial
plantations.
  Since  1958,  this forestry research has  been
supported by the Centre Technique Forestier
Tropical  (CTFT),  of France,  which set  up  a
local experimental branch, now included in the
Congolese Research Department7.  Research on
industrial plantations is growing and is now in
the process of reorganization in order to in-
tegrate public research carried out by the CTFT
and the  research  carried  out  by the United
Afforestation Industrial of the Congo (UAIC),
an organization which will be described in  more
detail below.

BACKGROUND OF THE PROJECT

Climate
  Pointe Noire is situated near  the  equator at
4°45'  south latitude.  The southern  tropical
88

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 climate  is characterized  by consistently high
 temperatures (mean  annual  temperature   =
 24.5° C), average rainfall of 1250 mm/year, and
 two contrasting seasons: one is humid, hot and
 sunny from  November to  May; the other  is
 rather cool,  dry and  cloudy with high relative
 humidity (80 to 85%) and heavy dew.

 Topography
   Pointe Noire  lies  on  a  low  coastal plain
 extending about 30 kilometers  inland from the
 coast.  The soils date back to the quaternary
 period  and  are  generally  fine,  sandy soils,
 increasing in clay content with depth.  These
 soils cover an area of about 100,000 hectares.
   The tableland vegetation is a  grassy savannah
 with scattered shrubs, burned every dry season.
 It becomes more wooded and more broken  as
 one goes farther from Pointe Noire.
   The soils are deep, homogeneous and easily
 tilled, but they are nutritionally very poor and
 therefore neither cultivated nor  grazed, so there
 is no  objection to  devoting   them to  wood
 production.    In  contrast,  experiments have
 shown  that wood can be produced on  these
 soils using fast-growing species and appropriate
 symbionts (e.g. mycorrhizae).
  The valleys  are wooded, but these stands are
 threatened  by shifting  cultivation  and, until
 recently,  by cutting for fuel wood.

 GENETIC IMPROVEMENT OF
 EUCALYPUS

  More than  60 Eucalyptus species  have been
 introduced in  trials since 1956.   A  number of
 species have  been selected for use  as pure
 species, e.g. E. tereticornis  and E. urophylla.
  Outstanding individuals were first observed in
 1963 among  progeny collected in  trial  plots
 composed of  several different species.  These
 progeny resulted from interspecific hybridiza-
 tions that would not occur in the natural range
of the  species because  of  natural  barriers
(geographic distance, physiology).
                                     F. CAILLIEZ

   Bi-specific seed orchards were established in
 1970 with potentially interesting hybrid parent
 species in order to favor desirable combinations.
 However, seed production (by natural pollina-
 tion) in these seed orchards is heterogeneous
 and  uneven and cannot be  depended on  for
 large-scale plantations.
   Efforts then were concentrated on vegetative
 propagation.   This led to the  development of
 reliable   rooting techniques   for  Eucalyptus
 hybrids in 1974, paving the way for the devel-
 opment  of clonal forestry based on vegetative
 propagation of high-performance hybrids.  First
 clonal tests were established in 1975.  Nearly
 1,000 clones have been selected since, in a two-
 phase selection scheme.
   This intensive  clonal selection has two main
 objectives:
  •To improve productivity
  • To enhance the genetic diversity of the plant
 material in use  in large scale plantations, in
 order to minimize the  effects of  climatic  or
 health hazards.
  Hybrids occurring naturally in the trial plots
 are of two types  only, however, and interesting
 clones are from a limited  number  of  parent
 trees. In order  to more systematically explore
 all the possibilities (different  hybrid types and
 different combinations within each  type), con-
 trolled pollination techniques have  been used
 since 1978.
  During the first phase, an extensive testing of
 possible interspecific combinations was done to
 find out which are the most interesting.  Since
 1983, proper crossing plans have been applied
 for the more interesting interspecific combina-
 tions.  This quite recent development of the
 breeding program significantly  enhanced  the
 genetic diversity  of the plant material in use,
while maintaining its productivity.  More im-
provement is expected as more artificial hybrids
come through  the clonal selection scheme.
                                                                                         89

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EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS IN THE CONGO

STARTING FULL-SIZE PLANTATIONS

  Following  improvements  in  these  rooting
techniques in 1976  to  make  them more prac-
ticable, it was  decided to  undertake the "Kis-
soko Pilot Project" in 1978 to test the techni-
ques  on  a relatively large scale by planting
3,000 hectares.  This successful  project led to
the creation of a Congolese state-owned forest
plantation company,  the United Afforestation
Industrial of the  Congo (UAIC), with broad
ambitions. Its  goal was to  establish industrial
plantations to supply enough raw materials to
run a pulp mill.
  The  researchers then began  to propagate
trees  from natural hybrids  in  the stands,  pro-
ducing several  clones whose  performance  has
been  evaluated  in   clonal  tests since  1975.
Several advancements were made: mastery of
techniques of propagation from buds; successful
multiclonal plantations on  several dozen  hec-
tares; confirmation of  the  ability to massively
reproduce genetic copies  of the best clones.
These all set the stage for the  proposal  of a
3,000-hectare project whose goal was to show
the feasibility and advantage of such an enterp-
rise on an industrial  scale.

THE UAIC: REALIZATION AND
PROSPECTS

  Today, UAIC manages a  25,000-hectare area
and has  the  technical experience necessary to
manage  these   types of modern and  highly
productive clonal  plantations.    The company
currently  produces 400,000 m3 of paper pulp-
wood per year, which is exported to the Europ-
ean market and as such, the UAIC has become
a  prime supplier of pulp  wood.   Given  the
relatively modest cost of the investment (1,400
$/ha), the high production per unit area (up to
30  nvVha/yr  pulp wood) and  the very  strong
world demand  for this  type of industrial wood
(homogeneous  Eucalyptus), the project is today
mainly geared towards satisfying  external inves-
tors which will bring the firm to 50,000 hectares
and eventually  100,000 hectares capacity.  This
capacity could even be doubled within 10 years.
Due to this breathtaking growth rate, foreign
partnerships will likely  become the  rule.   Al-
ready, a 25,000-hectare cooperative project with
the Shell Company is establishing plantations at
the rate of 4,000 hectares per year.  The plant-
ing methods are  described in Appendix II  and
as shown  on the location map in Appendix I.
Table XVIL  ADVANTAGES OF CLONAL
EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS, COMPARED WITH OTHER
TYPES OF FORESTS (source:  UAIC)
 Type of Forest
 Total Pole
 production
             Coniferous

             Climate
                       Traditional
                       Plantations  of Hybrid
                       Congo (1971)  Eucalyptus (1985)
                       Mian Valley  Niari Valley
                       20 m/ha/yr
                                40 mVha/yr
                                   7 yrs
 AITCJ Required tc  JOO.OOO ha.
 Produce 1,500,000
                                  37,500 ha.
 Planting Cost
 per Hectare
 Total Investment  4 5 billion FF  750 million FF  300 million FF
 'French France, 1090 vnlue Si US = 5 6 FF
  The UAIC is proposing to extend the planta-
tions in the Niari valley where the soil is more
fertile  and  tree  growth  better than  on  the
coastal  plains of  Pointe Noire.   The  UAIC
presents Table XVII, comparing the advantages
of clonal Eucalyptus plantations to other types
of forests.
  Logging and export began at the end of 1986
from the earliest planted  stands.  At this time,
a series of  contracts had already been signed
with European  industries for  the  long-term
supply of high quality pulpwood.
  In the heart of the plantation, a mill was set
up  to treat  posts and poles for use as electric
and telephone lines.  Moreover, UAIC negoti-
ated with foreign partners to create small- and
mid-sized wood processing units  for charcoal,
90

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                                                                                      F. CAILLIEZ
glued laminated products, prefabricated  wood
materials, etc.
  In the future, with increasing production, the
construction of a local pulp mill is a realistic
priority for the Republic of the Congo.

SOCIAL CONSEQUENCES

  The  development  of such a  large forestry
project  creates considerable  employment, par-
ticularly since  the philosophy of the UAIC is
not to mechanize at any cost but to maintain a
balance  by providing jobs to suburban or un-
skilled rural workers.   On-the-job training of
team-monitors  is given by French and  Con-
golese technicians.
  The creation of suburban and rural employ-
ment opportunities  provides  resources to help
revitalize the villages which were in recession a
short time ago.  The employment of women in
the nurseries allows a more even distribution of
family revenues.  The network  of forest  roads
reduces the isolation of villages,  helps make life
a little  easier  and opens  the villagers to the
outside  world.
  The  UAIC  employs both permanent  and
temporary workers, with  peak employment at
the height of the planting  season.  Table XVIII
describes the labor needs  in  1985 to plant at a
rate of  about 5,000 hectares per year in  three
sites.

ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES

  The primary  goals of protection of the health
of these plantations  consist of  a dynamic  and
evolving process aimed at providing the UAIC
with  plant material  of constantly improving
genetic  diversity and of providing intense prote-
ction against fire.

Multiclonal Stands of Hybrid Eucalyptus
  A monoclonal plantation of a highly produc-
tive hybrid offers an advantage only in terms of
production.  This criterion is applied to poplar
Table XVm.  UAIC PERSONPOWER REQUIREMENTS TO
PLANT 5,000 HA/YR (EXCLUDING HARVEST AND EXPORT)


cutting unit
Permanent
Personpower
C August)


Supplementary Total
Personpower Personpower
(February)

25 nursery workwomen
  3 planting units
  Mechdniied field work
  Central garage
  Surveyor office
  Maintenance Unit
  Financial anU
  Administrative office
   for harvesting, bark removal and logging operations in June
   1987, the UAIC employed 1900 people, including some small,
   private contractors.  The total  amount of money distributed
   monthly was 80 m. francs CFA, with an average amount per
   worker/mo, of 40,000 francs CFA (equivalent to 800 French
   francs, or approx. $140 U.S.). In total, an average of one job
   was created for every ten hectares planted.
plantations, for example, or fruit orchards. But
one cannot ignore the risks inherent in planta-
tions of only a single  or a few clones.
  There is no doubt that one must research and
conserve  enough  genetic  diversity to  assure
resistance to eventual disease  or insect attacks.
Therefore, strong efforts are made to increase
the number of clones planted. At the beginn-
ing of the project, the choice of the clones was
limited  by  the small number present in  the
existing clonal test  plots,  but  now  UAIC can
widen its  choice every year.  Since its initiation,
the goal  has been  to establish about 40 dif-
ferent clones each year, a number which seems
sufficient  to assure adequate protection against
parasitic attacks.
  The question of how many clonal types to use
                                                                                             91

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EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS IN THE CONGO
remains open:   numerous related  clones may
represent  a very poor genetic  diversity com-
pared to relatively few clones (five or six) from
unrelated  hybrid stock.
  New clones are now created by man-made
pollination.    New  introductions  of  planting
stock from natural ranges of the selected spe-
cies  are going to be included in future hybrid
combinations  in  order to again improve  the
requisite genetic diversity.
  This dynamic strategy adopted by the UAIC,
which involves the  continuous  production of
new and more efficient clones coupled with a
patchwork spatial  distribution  of  small  (25
hectares)  monoclonal  blocks,  serves to assure
the protection of these plantations against pests
or diseases.

Controlled Mycorrhizal Inoculation
  The  study  of mycorrhizal  associations  on
planted  Eucalyptus and of more efficient part-
ners (ectomycorrhizae)  and the use of antagonist
interactions with parasitic fungi  are of interest
not  only to control the parasites  but also to
improve the yield.  Research work is on-going
in these areas.

Protection Against Fire
  Great importance  is given to  good mainten-
ance of the stands in regard to fire protection:
mechanical and manual weeding are  carefully
performed.
  A  strict  observance of the  timing of  the
silvicultural operations allows an early canopy
closure  and  better  protection  of  the stands.
Look-out  towers have  been set up on two high
points on the  edge  of the plantation with
immediate radio communication with a fire-
fighting team.

Biodiversity
  The natural biodiversity - as opposed  to the
manmade biodiversity of the different  clones ~
is preserved  by  this Eucalyptus afforestation.
This  assertion may  appear to be  paradoxical.
Nevertheless, the natural, more diverse, woody
vegetation  in  the valleys is respected by the
project  and left  undisturbed.   Harvesting of
fuelwood in these areas is  actually decreased,
since the woody debris in the Eucalyptus stands
is  available to  the workers' families to  gather
for fuelwood.  In  addition, in spite of the young
age  of the plantation, we have already noted
the reappearance of some of the original flora
(this has also been  observed in other planta-
tions, e.g. in Cameroon). One notes, then, an
actual enrichment of the flora compared to the
pre-existing  savannah   which  was   regularly
burned.
  Also, big game and other wildlife can be seen
here again, due probably more to better  tree
cover than to  significant enhancement of the
vegetation. After over a dozen years, this is an
encouraging sign.

A Contribution Against
"The Greenhouse Effect"
  A  more  favorable carbon  balance can  be
expected for three reasons:
•  fixation of carbon dioxide by photosynthesis
in a 25,000-hectare plantation producing at least
20 nvVha biomass (much  more than the amount
of dry matter found on an equal area of savan-
nah) corresponds to a gross  reduction in at-
mospheric  CO2.  About 8 tons of carbon are
fixed yearly per hectare.
• Eucalyptus is a very efficient producer of dry
matter (a 7-year-old Eucalyptus plantation will
produce  350  kg dry  matter  for  every  1  kg
nitrogen in the leaves, compared with spruce,
which will produce only  20  kg.).
•  The  emission  of  gases  due to the yearly
burning of savannah  since time immemorial is
halted,  except perhaps  from  accidental fires
which up to now have been quite rare.
•  Plantations  improve  the soil  structure by
significantly increasing organic matter, through
leaf litter,  logging  residues and the  removed
bark.
92

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Sustainability
  Management of these  populations after  the
first harvest at seven years is now completely
defined:  only a single coppice shoot is allowed
to develop until the next harvest.  But manage-
ment guidelines have not yet been established
following the second harvest at 14 years. Based
on observations of other, older plantations, one
should be able to expect a third  harvest at 21
years.   At this point it will  undoubtedly be
necessary to remove the stumps and replant.
  A precise study of nutrient contents in  the
leaves, branches, bole, bark, etc.,  of trees from
a seven-year-old clone has provided an estimate
of  nutrient export  per  hectare  from barked
trees (e.g., bark and fine branches are left on
the ground):
Calcium
Phosphorus
Nitrogen
Magnesium
Potassium
5.99 kg/ha/yr
3.83 kg/ha/yr
15.57  kg/ha/yr
2.36 kg/ha/yr
7.66 kg/ha/yr
  It is difficult to compare these figures with
those of available nutrients in the soil in order
to estimate the time during which such produc-
tion can be maintained under these conditions.
It is very likely that fertilizer applications will
be required,  since the littoral Atlantic soils  of
Pointe Noire are very nutrient-poor, with the
exception of  phosphorus.  A 48-month study of
the effects of mineral fertilizer (N-P-K in one
or two applications) on wood production gave
the following results:

100 g in one dose:    +18%
200 g in one dose:    +38%
200 g in first dose,  150 g
 in second dose:      +47%
                                   F. CAILLIEZ

TOWARDS A VAST REGIONAL PROJECT

  A look at the  map of Central Africa  reveals
a large  area of  grassy plateaus surrounded by
dense forest stretching from Gabon to Zaire
and covering, in particular, the Bateke plateau
of the Congo.  These plateaus, at an altitude of
700 meters, offer a favorable climate to Euca-
lyptus trees and a soil richer than  that of the
more washed-out coast savannah.
  The development of a large interstate  project
covering 3  million hectares could be of global
importance. For an investment of 1,200 billion
F CFA (24 billion French francs) -- i.e., the
equivalent of the Congolese debt - it could be
possible  within  seven  years  of planting  to
provide 60 million tons of wood,  enough to
produce 20 million tons of first class pulp.  This
represents  the  equivalent  of the  anticipated
increase  in world  demand  for paper over the
next 20 years.
  Such an  investment would  provide jobs to
300,000  workers  (the  number  of  heads-of-
households in the  current Congolese popula-
tion). The  parallel development of an intensive
agricultural  system  would  be   necessary  to
ensure  the harmonious development  of this
population.   At the  end of  the  seven-year
period, the gross income generated by  such a
project would  be approximately 1,000 billion F
CFA (20 billion FF) per year.
  The  economic pressure  on  natural  forests
would be decreased.  Further, the  standard of
living of the population on the  plateau would
be significantly improved, reducing the excessive
demand on the dense forests of the region.  By
such production, CO2  fixation  would  be ap-
proximately 30 million  tons per  year, or one
percent of the total carbon dioxide poured into
the atmosphere every year as a consequence of
human activities.
                                                                                         93

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EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS IN THE CONGO
                                            REFERENCES
Corbasson, Michel, 1986.  Eucalyptus Hybrids Tropicaux
du Congo. Revue Forestiere Francaise, Numeio Special
Amelioration Vegdtale (XXXVIII-1986).

Chaperon,  H.,  1977.   Amelioration  des  Eucalyptus
Hybrids au Congo. Troisieme Consultation Mondiale sur
l'Am£lioration del Arbres Forestiers.  Canberra pp. 579-
592.

Chaperon, H.,  1978.  Vers une  Meilleure Combinaison
des Facteurs de Croissance pour  une  Ligniculture  des
Eucalyptus en Rdpublique Populaire du Congo. Huitieme
Congr&s Forester Mondial, Djakarta, Indonesia. 11 pages.

Delwaulle,  J.C.,  et al.,  1961,   Ligniculture en Milieu
Tropical.  Les Reboisements en Eucalyptus Hybrids de la
Savane Cdtiere Congolaise. Revue Forestiere Francaise
(3): 248-255.

Delwaulle,  J.C.  and  Y.  LaPlace,  1988.   La  Culture
Industrial de  l'Eucalyptus  en R^publique Populaire du
Congo de la Recherche au De"veloppement.  Revue Bois
et Forgts des Tropiques. No. 216  pg 35.

LaPlace,  Y., 1989. The Humid Savannah, A chance for
the Planet, the Example of Clonal Plantations in  the
Congo. Investigation Commission of the German Bundes-
tag on Preventative Measures  to Protect the  Earth's
Atmosphere.  Protection of Tropical Forests.  7-8 June,
1989.  Bonn, West Germany.

Loumeto, JJ.,  1986.   Contribution h  1'Etude de la
Distribution Mine'rale dans les  Eucalyptus  du  Congo.
Doctoral  Thesis, University of Rennes 1, France.  October
1986.  Series C.  Order No. 962, Series No. 372.
Mallarde, Etienne, 1990. Revue de Geopolitique Africain-
e.  Congo:  Une Chance & Saisir. pg 43.

Martin, B., 1977.  Amelioration Genetique des Eucalyptus
Tropicaux.  Contribution Majeur £ la Foresterie Clonale.
Doctoral Thesis.  University of Paris, XI.

                     NOTE

; Jean-Claude Delwaulle,  Director, Centre  Technique
Forestier Tropical, B.P. 764, Pointe Noire, Congo
            ACKNOWLEDGMENT

  This communication makes use of published documents
or recent experimental  results presented in  internal
technical papers by  agents of the Center Technique
Forester Tropical and the United Afforestation Industrial
of the  Congo.  The particular publications are listed in
the citations.
  Further information on this project may be obtained
by contacting the project director directly at the address
given below:
  Yves  LAPLACE, Director General, United Afforestation
Industrial of the  Congo B.P. 1120, Pointe Noire
  People's Republic of the Congo
  Tel: (242) 94.04.17; Telex:  UAIC 8303 KG
  Fax:  (242) 94.40.54
 94

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                                 APPENDIX I
               UAIC INDUSTRIAL EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS
                         IN THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC
                               OF THE CONGO
 UAIC INDUSTRIAL EUCALYPTUS PLANTATIONS IN THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO
                                   LOCATION MAP
      NATIONAL BORDERS
	MAIN RIVERS
	FOREST LIMIT
      COASTAL SAVANNAH
      NIARI VALLEY
      BATEKE PLATEAUX
                250 Km
                                         ANGOLA
\,WP BY CTFJ, MAY T990
                                                                            95

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                                      APPENDIX II

                               FIELD WORK SCHEDULE
  Trees  in  the  mass production  parks  are
coppiced and the shoots are cut one  month
after the beginning of the rainy season.  Irriga-
tion allows the timetable to be forced some-
what.  Forty thousand cuttings are produced
per hectare.
  Shoots are  collected  6 to  8 weeks after
coppicing during the most physiologically suitab-
le time, which lasts only 2 or 3  days. They are
brought  immediately into the  nursery, then
pruned, processed and finally cut and rolled in
a man-made "Melfert" ball. This ball consists of
a non-woven envelope  containing  vermiculite
and fertilizer.  The volume of each ball is  200
cm3, containing one two-leafed cutting.  Balls
are placed under fog sprinklers for 20 to  25
days and fertilized.  The  rooting rate is up to
80  percent.  Plants are plantable 60 days after
cutting.
  They are transported in boxes containing 60
balls.   One  truck carries 180  boxes,  that is
10,800  plants,  enough to plant 15  hectares.
The management schedule begins with stump
removal (ofAnnona aenaria), most often manu-
ally,  followed by burning and plowing with  a
heavy harrow.  Tilling, fertilizer application and
marking the place where the plants are  to be
set is done  by  a single machine which  beeps
each time it covers a pre-set planting distance.
At this point, two workers,  one for each line,
hearing the sound, drop the amount of fertilizer
and marking powder required into each of two
bins.   This  mixture is released, marking the
planting spot.  Holes are dug by hand at each
mark and the seedlings are planted.  Each  is
then watered and  given a single application of
a termaticide.
  The interplant spacing has been optimized to
provide the maximum volume of pulpwood after
a 7-year rotation.  In the beginning, a 5m x 5m
spacing was used.   It later became 4.5m x 6m
(370 plants/hectares), and then changed  to 3m
x 3m and 3m  x 4.70m  (709  plants/hectares).
Weeding with a  disk harrow is carried out four
times between the initial planting and the next
rainy season.
96

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                            AGROFORESTRY IN GUATEMALA:
                       MITIGATING GLOBAL WARMING THROUGH
                                     SOCIAL FORESTRY

                                        Mark C Trader
                                          ABSTRACT

  Scientific debate on the likelihood and magnitude of human-induced global warming has been underway for almost a
century, but calls for national and international action to respond to the threat have proliferated only in recent years. The
1988 decision by a United States power generation company, Applied Energy Services (AES), to offset the carbon emissions
of a newfy constructed coal powerplant was one of the first actions taken by the U.S. business community to counter the threat
of global warming.  To achieve the carbon offset, AES  is now funding a sustainable development forestry project in
Guatemala.  It is the first forestry project ever funded specificaUy for carbon offset purposes.
  This paper introduces and describes the AES-funded and CARE-administered forestry project now underway in Guatemala.
Although the project is projected to offset more than the 15.5 million tons of carbon that will be emitted from the coal-fired
power plant over the next 40 years, the paper also highlights the many uncertainties involved in making such projections. In
addition, the paper sets out to assess the advantages and disadvantages of this project, an example of a sustainable development
forestry project, as compared to the type of plantation forestry more conventionally suggested to counter global warming.
INTRODUCTION

  The literature addressing forestry's potential
role  in  mitigating global warming is  growing
rapidly and is generally enthusiastic about the
prospects for large-scale arresting of deforesta-
tion and replanting of degraded lands.7 Domes-
tically,  the  President's  recent  "America  the
Beautiful" initiative involving the planting of an
additional one billion  trees  per year  in  the
United States remains the only global warming
policy initiative that has  received  broad-based
political support.2
  Forestry-based options  appear to be  among
the most politically, technically and economical-
ly attractive of potential global warming policy
responses. Politicians see few of the economic
and  political  impediments that face efforts to
modify energy consumption patterns and forest-
ers see the opportunity to capitalize upon their
own expertise to intensify forest management
and  to plant  huge areas  of degraded and  ap-
parently abandoned lands in developing nations.
Although  the  economic  analysis  of forestry
options has been markedly simplistic thus  far,
such  options  are  often  characterized  as  the
cheapest way of significantly slowing the build-
up of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
  When forestry projects  are actually proposed
as  global  warming   mitigation  mechanisms,
however,  it becomes  difficult  to assess  their
likely  effectiveness  in  offsetting  fossil  fuel
emissions.   This can be  readily seen from  the
analysis surrounding the only such  project  yet
undertaken.

PROJECT  HISTORY

  During 1988, Applied Energy  Services (AES)
finalized plans to  construct a  new coal-fired
power plant in Thames,  Connecticut.5 During
its  40-year  life, the  plant is expected to emit
some 15.5  million  tons  of carbon  as carbon
dioxide(CO2), a primary contributor to whatever
global warming occurs  in future years/ For all
practical purposes,  stripping  CO2  from  the
                                                                                             97

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  AGROFORESTRY IN GUATEMALA
       it k to po»mc»(l).t»[fe|iciUr •£*!•*• ftc cut** fct* form of MX* laia cffion ft Bkiplc 0*
WorUknrtolMte)

  Figure 18. Conceptual Functioning of a Carbon-Offset
  Project
  plant's flue gas is not feasible.  This led AES to
  request the International Institute for Develop-
  ment  and  Environment-North America (now
  the Center for Development and Environment
  within the World Resources Institute [WRI]) to
  suggest means by which the plant's emissions of
  CO2 could be offset and its role in aggravating
  global warming negated.  Based on a review of
  several  alternatives, WRI  concluded  that  a
  forestry project located in the tropics was likely
  to prove the most  cost-effective carbon offset
  opportunity (Figure 18).  WRI's conclusion to
  focus on the tropics grew primarily out of three
  variables:
  •Higher potential biomass growth rates;
  •Lower costs and much greater grant leverag-
  ing opportunities;
  • Greater social need for forestry-based services.
  Once  AES decided to pursue a project, WRI
  developed and circulated a Request for Propos-
  als  (RFP).  Four criteria formed the basis for
  the RFP:
• Carbon offset:  The RFP required proposed
projects to provide for an average carbon offset
rate of 387,000 short tons per year for 40 years,
totaling 15.5 million tons over the life of the
powerplant.
•  Local participation:   The  RFP  noted the
desirability  of projects  that  would promote
social goals beyond  the mitigation of  global
warming.  Any proposed forestry project had to
further the general aims of sustainable develop-
ment,  and  proposals  involving  planting  or
management of trees that would be harvested
required a plan for sustained yield management.
The RFP encouraged local participation, par-
ticularly by  women.   It emphasized sensitivity
to and consistency with the needs and goals of
the host country.  The RFP discouraged propo-
sals for the establishment of large-scale planta-
tions.
• Grant leveraging:  AES was willing to provide
a grant  of $2  million.  Since a project capable
of offsetting the emission of 15.5 million tons
of  carbon would  cost much  more  than $2-
million,  it was crucial that grant recipients be
able to leverage additional  funding.
• Organizational experience:  WRI recognized
that no organization responding  to  the RFP
would have past experience with the concept of
carbon-offset forestry. Sustainable development
projects of the sort envisioned by WRI, howev-
er,  are  generally  difficult  to  implement  and
WRI viewed a proven track record in this field
as important.
  The  eight  proposals  submitted to WRI in
response  to  the  RFP  ranged  widely  in ap-
proach.  One proposed sealing off and protect-
ing standing forest, counting the carbon benefit
as deforestation foregone.   Another proposed
a restoration ecology program as the means to
store the required carbon.  Several involved
variations on agroforestry and woodlot develop-
ment programs.   Based on the  recommenda-
tions of an RFP review panel,  WRI ultimately
recommended to AES that it fund the interna-
tional relief organization CARE's  agriculture
  98

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                                                                                   M. TREXLER
and  natural resources activities in Guatemala.
AES' decision to undertake this funding reflects
the first time a U.S.  corporation  has accepted
responsibility for offsetting its CO2 emissions in
the same manner  that current law  often  re-
quires for other pollutants.

PROJECT ENVIRONMENT AND CONTEXT

  Guatemala,  which is  in Central America, is
roughly the size of Tennessee.  Its topography
is highly variable, ranging from a fertile coastal
zone  to highlands of  1,800 to  12,000 feet,
making the region the highest in Central Amer-
ica.  Twenty-one volcanoes, some of them still
active, formed a large portion of the highland
soils.    The broad diversity of  Guatemala's
climatic  and  soil  conditions,  as  well  as the
variable  topography, have resulted in the most
diverse vegetation in the region.  The country's
forests contain at least 16 species of conifers
and 450 species of broadleaf trees.
  Guatemala's  natural  endowments  contrast
sharply with severe imbalances  in income and
land distribution.  Of a population of approxi-
mately 8 million people, 6.5 million are consid-
ered  poor.   With a three percent population
growth rate,  the  country's  resource base  is
coming under intense pressure.  Biomass, pri-
marily firewood, supplies an  estimated 80 per-
cent  of  the  country's energy needs.   Defor-
estation  has been extensive.5
  CARE  has  actively  promoted  agricultural
productivity, reforestation, and soil conservation
in Guatemala since 1974 (Figure 19).  In part-
nership with the former  Guatemalan forestry
department  (INAFOR) and  the Peace Corps,
and with funding provided by the U.S. Agency
for    International   Development  (USAID),
CARE undertook to improve the livelihoods of
farmers  in  the highlands  by  improving the
management  of the natural  resource  base.
Specifics of  the program  have  evolved over
time  and vary from  region to region within
Guatemala.  The program incorporates several
      &&, Piojecl Regions (in Roman Numerals)
      	 Dc'pai (mental Boundary

      	 Regional Boundary
      •^T CAUL I'toject Officer



   Figure 19. Map of CARE Project Areas
major forestry elements:
•Emphasizing seedling production in dispersed
community nurseries, with subsequent planting
of  the  trees  in  woodlot  and  agroforestry
applications.
• Sustainably increasing biomass yields and land
productivity  through soil  conservation  techn-
iques; e.g., live and dead barriers.
•Conservation of biomass through  techniques
such as the establishment and training of com-
munity forest fire brigades.
• Providing technical forestry extension services
to farmers.
•Promoting long-term sustainability of project
initiatives through empowerment of local and
national  organizations,  ranging  from  farmer
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AGROFORESTRY IN GUATEMALA
cooperatives to  the national forestry  depart-
ment.
•Involving women in project activities.
  CARE's  forestry  record  in  Guatemala  is
impressive.    Since  1979,  its  activities  have
resulted  in  the  planting  of 25  million  tree
seedlings.  These seedlings are providing fuel,
food and building materials for 360,000 people
in 400 communities.  During 1988, CARE's
activities were responsible for at least 50  per-
cent of all organized tree  planting in the coun-
try.  Aggregate  nursery capacity now exceeds
four million seedlings per year and is increasing.

THE PROJECT IN PRACTICE

CARE's  response  to WRI's  RFP did not  sug-
gest a  sudden  interest  in  expanding the scope
of CARE's  work  to include global warming
mitigation.  In CARE's eyes, offsetting carbon
emissions through  its activities is an ancillary
benefit to its primary goal of benefiting poor
farmers.   AES' decision to finance the CARE
proposal  will make  it  possible  for  CARE  to
continue  to expand its outreach and training
programs  to  new  communities  around  the


Table XDC CARE GOALS OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS

   * To involve 40,000  farm families in project activities
   * To produce more than 25 million woodlot trees
   * To produce more than 25 million agroforestry trees
   * To plant trees for:
       -  fuelwood and fodder
       -  nitrogen fixing
       -  fruit and nut production
       -  live barriers
       -  living fences

   * To see more than  12,000-ha woodlots established
   * To see more than 60,000 ha of agricultural land converted
       to agroforestry

   * To establish more  than 3,000 km of live fencing
   * To undertake soil  conservation and rehabilitation
       activities on more than 2,000 ha.
country over the  next 10 years (Table XIX).6
During these 10 years, some 40,000 farm famil-
ies will be involved in growing over 50 million
trees in community nurseries.  With the expan-
sion of CARE operations from about 80 to 100
sites in  the next  few years, annual seedling
production  should reach over 7 million  seed-
lings.  Many more trees will be planted during
the subsequent  30 years if nursery production
becomes  self-sustaining  after   the   end  of
CARE's  involvement.7   These  trees will  be
planted on  private as well as  community lands
for pole,  lumber  and firewood production, as
part of agroforestry plantings yielding  fuelwood,
fodder and  soil nitrogen-fixation, and for fruit
and  nut production.  A wide variety  of species
will  be used in  the project, many  of  them
indigenous.
  The  more than 50  million  trees  grown in
project nurseries  over the next 10  years  will
allow some  12,000 hectares of new woodlots to
be created,  while  agroforestry practices will be
extended to some 65,000 additional hectares of
agricultural  land.8  The fast-growing  nature of
these trees  will  allow farmers to begin reaping
the benefit  of their labors within just three to
five  years.   Several other practices intended to
improve productivity and conserve the resource
base will  accompany these two aspects of the
project.  Some 3,000 kilometers of live fencing
will be planted,  terraces will be built  to protect
2,000 hectares  of vulnerable  slopes, and forest
fire  brigades  will  be  formed to protect  the
newly planted trees and existing forest.9 Train-
ing and technical extension services will support
the tree-planting efforts. Hundreds of forestry
committees will be established to define  local
needs, develop  forestry  plans,  plan  activities,
assign  responsibilities, and share benefits.  The
groups will coordinate in the management of
community  woodlots, community nurseries, and
forest  fire  brigades.   These  educational  and
technical support activities are viewed as crucial
to long-term project sustainability.
   The  CARE  project  operates  through  a
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                                                                                  M. TREXLER
carefully developed infrastructure reliant upon
both indigenous and external resources.  Each
of the approximately 80 Guatemalan municipal-
ities containing project sites is served by a local
"promoter," a farmer employed by the current
Guatemalan  forestry department, DIGEBOS.
The promoter organizes farmer cooperatives in
the municipality within which he works.  An
average of five actual project sites are located
within each  municipality.   Approximately 20
DIGEBOS  "coordinators"  are responsible  for
line supervision of the promoters.  Some 35
Peace Corps volunteers are distributed among
the municipalities served by the project, provid-
ing  technical instruction  in agricultural and
forestry techniques, including the establishment
of  tree  nurseries.    Finally,  about a dozen
CARE employees provide training for promot-
ers and Peace Corps volunteers, technical back-
stopping for  all  forestry and  agriculture  ac-
tivities, and general  administration of the pro-
ject. As such, CARE's  role is much more than
an administrative one. CARE financial support,
for example,  allows the purchase  and  main-
tenance  of DIGEBOS  vehicles.  CARE's  or-
ganizational support allows DIGEBOS to play
a partnership role  in  an  important domestic
project  it  would otherwise  be powerless to
implement/*'

THE CARE PROJECT
AND CARBON STORAGE

  WRI's  analysis of the  carbon off-set potential
of the several proposals  received in response to
its  RFP  immediately suggested  how complex
such analysis could  become.  WRI's review of
project proposals demonstrated that the reliabil-
ity  and  predictability with  which  forestry pro-
jects can serve as  carbon sinks  depends sig-
nificantly on whether existing trees  are  being
protected or new ones are  being  grown,  on
their location and type, on the rotation times of
the trees being planted, on the ultimate disposi-
tion of the  wood  being  grown,  and  on the
indirect implications of this disposition for the
utilization  of other  biomass  and fossil fuel
resources.   Unless trees are planted for the
long  term  on  currently  denuded  land,  the
quantity of carbon storage cannot be measured
simply by quantifying total biomass growth.
  In the case of this project, however, trees are
not being planted for the  long term.  Instead,
it  is assumed that  they will be harvested for
poles,  fuelwood or  fodder within several years
of their being  planted.  Much of the carbon
withdrawn from the atmosphere through project
tree planting will therefore be released to the
atmosphere in  a relatively short time  period.
As a result the carbon storage benefit of the
project does not result  primarily from the tree
planting itself.77
  Instead, the tree planting provides  services
for which project participants would otherwise
have had  to turn to the natural forest.  Since
the protection  of standing forest  is being as-
sumed, carbon  offset assumptions have to be
predicated on estimates of the degree to which
incursions  into  standing  forest are  actually
prevented, the  carbon  content of the saved
forest, and how  much of the currently standing
forest  would actually have been  lost  in the
absence  of  the new tree planting.   These
assumptions  are in turn dependent  on  local
sources of deforestation, possible shortages of
fuelwood  or other wood products,  and  the
impacts of the  project on land  use as well as
population migration patterns.
  Given these and many other related variables,
a complex model of the  carbon flows associated
with a sustainable development  project can
easily be envisioned. Unfortunately, the inform-
ation needed for construction  of such a model
was simply unavailable.  Indeed, such informa-
tion is just  now becoming available even for
more conventional forestry projects in  temper-
ate zones, and the information required for this
case would be considerably more complex. In
addition, organizations  such as CARE  have
historically had  little  reason to even identify,
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AGROFORESTRY IN GUATEMALA
much less collect, the information necessary for
modeling project-related carbon flows.
  WRI's conclusion that the project would more
than  offset  the 15.5  million tons  of carbon
emitted by the powerplant, therefore, had to be
based on highly simplified assumptions.  Using
empirical data  regarding seedling production
and mortality, as well as limited data on repre-
sentative growth  rates, the  following primary
assumptions were used to calculate the size of
the carbon  offset:72
  1)  The planting of 25 million  trees in wood-
lot applications, with an assumed stocking rate
of 2,000 trees/ha, an assumed stemwood growth
rate  of 20 nrVha/yr, and a biomass multiplier of
2.0."
  2)  The planting of 27 million trees in agrofor-
estry applications, with an  assumed stocking
rate  of  400  trees/ha,  an assumed stemwood
growth  rate  of 13  nrVha/yr,  and  a biomass
multiplier of 2.0.
  3)  Ten percent of the  biomass growth  over
40 years is assumed to  represent a net addition
to standing biomass.
  4)  Ninety  percent of total stemwood growth
is assumed  to be harvested.
  5)  Each  cubic  meter  of  harvested wood is
assumed  to  displace  the harvesting of a cubic
meter of wood from standing forest  as well as
the oxidation of the equivalent of an additional
half  a cubic meter of  biomass  in the form of
forest roots  and other  vegetation.
  These assumptions,  among others, make it
possible to  conclude that 40 years from today
some  18 million tons of carbon  that would
otherwise have been emitted to or remained in
the  atmosphere  will  instead  be  tied  up in
biomass or  soils as a result  of this project
(Table XX).  This estimate exceeds the 15.5
million tons the AES powerplant is projected to
release  during  that  same   period,  and  thus
supports the conclusion  that the  project  will
offset the plant's emissions.
  Inevitably, however,  the robustness of this or
any  other estimate of carbon  offset resulting
  Table XX FINAL ESTIMATE OF CARBON FIXATION VS. SE-
  QUESTRATION
     CARBON FIXATION

     Total carbon fixed in project biomass     17.2 x 10* tons

     CARBON SEQUESTRATION

     Net addition to standing inventory of
     biomass carbon                    2.6 x

     Usable harvested carbon              9.7 x

     Standing forest carbon retained as result of
     demand displacement               14.4 x

     Carbon added to project soils            .4 x

     Standing forest carbon protected through fire
     brigades

     TOTAL LONG-TERM
     CARBON SEQUESTRATION:

     40-YR. EMISSIONS OF
     AES POWERPLANT
 .7x


18.1 x
                                 15.5 X

     PROJECTED NET PROJECT BENEFIT   2.6 x
10tf tons

10tf tons


10* tons

10tf tons


10* tons


10* ton


10* tons

10* tons
from  a  sustainable  development  project  is
suspect when the project is located in a devel-
oping country facing rapid population growth
and serious economic problems.  Guatemala's
rural poverty and political instability as well as
its three percent population growth rate raise
serious questions about the ability of forestry
projects  to  achieve long-term carbon storage,
even those well-integrated into the self-interest
of individual farmers such as this one. Even if
the project is successful in planting and growing
the trees, for example, it may simply allow more
people to remain on the land rather than be
forced into the cities.  Rural populations might
consume not only the trees being  planted, but
the original  standing forest as well,  in effect
simply delaying a crash of the resource base.
  Unfortunately,  it will probably prove impos-
sible  to  accurately determine  the degree  to
which these and other uncertainties will under-
cut the long-term carbon-offset success of this
 102

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                                                                                   M. TREXLER
project.  Although CARE will track the more
measurable of the project's milestones,  many
uncertainties  that  might affect  its  long-term
success are likely to prove impossible to evalu-
ate.   This is  partially a function of the large
geographic coverage  represented  by  CARE
activities in Guatemala.  Nevertheless, this is
likely to be a common problem  facing evalua-
tion of  almost any sustainable  development
forestry project.

THE GUATEMALA PROJECT AND
ITS  LESSONS FOR GLOBAL
WARMING MITIGATION

  There  is little doubt that extrapolation  of
biomass growth rates across huge land  areas in
order to arrive at  estimates of forestry's global
potential to mitigate global warming is  of quite
limited usefulness, regardless  of the  forestry
strategy envisioned.74  Nevertheless, if  pursued
on a large  enough scale, a wide array of forest-
ry approaches could, in principle, contribute
significantly to the mitigation of global warming.
These include forestry policies aimed at  protect-
ing  or managing  existing  forests, restoring
degraded  or secondary forests to their natural
state, pursuing industrial plantation forestry for
timber or energy, as well as sustainable develo-
pment  forestry utilizing such  techniques  as
agroforestry and woodlot development.
  The  uncertainties surrounding  estimation  of
the carbon storage benefits achieved  through
sustainable development forestry projects such
as the one being funded by AES might appear
to argue  for  an emphasis  on other forestry-
based options.  CARE's activities  in Guatemala,
for example,  might  appear sadly insufficient
when viewed against the context of Guatemala's
natural resource crisis or against the threat  of
global  warming. Given rural energy shortages
in Guatemala, it could be  argued  that large-
scale  fuelwood plantations  would be  a  more
productive vehicle for storing carbon.  Indeed,
most discussion of forestry as a global warming
mitigation strategy assumes the planting of fast-
growing plantations rather than the implementa-
tion of alternative  options such as  sustainable
development forestry.
  In Guatemala  and  many  other  developing
countries, however, it is not at all clear that
large, fast-growing  plantations are superior to
other options such as  sustainable development
forestry  in  mitigating global  warming, either
substantively or as  a matter of public percep-
tion. While large-scale plantations will certainly
be  appropriate under some  circumstances in
developing countries, large-scale plantations are
inimical to the forestry goals being pursued by
many interest  groups  around  the world,  par-
ticularly in the non-governmental sector/5 Dif-
ferent forestry options  will often differ widely in
terms of their practicality, ethics, sustainability,
and public acceptability.   There are, in fact, a
number of important issues raised by the  con-
cept of carbon offset forestry that  are high-
lighted by the differences between this project
and the more conventional plantation approach.
Using the situation in  Guatemala as a point of
reference,  one can identify several problems
with a course of action premised on large-scale
plantation forestry.

The Practicality of  Plantation
Forestry in Developing Countries
   Where would the projects  be sited?   As al-
ready noted,  Guatemala has  high  population
densities, particularly in  those  areas possessing
the best climates and  soils for agriculture  and
forestry.   Most private  landholdings  in  these
regions  are  very small and barely able to  sup-
port the existing residents.   Tree planting on
communal  and municipal  lands has  proven
problematic  in CARE's experience  due  to
uncertainty  regarding  future  ownership   and
utilization rights.   The large private landhold-
ings that do exist are often located in arid parts
of the country, and there is no guarantee that
these lands  will not be  subject to future  land
tenure reform.   Even today,  however, these
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AQROFORESTRY IN GUATEMALA
private holdings  are  far from unused.  Share-
croppers may have established themselves, and
owners routinely graze cattle on these lands.
  What would be the immediate purpose of the
project? Because global warming mitigation per
se is  unlikely to  be a convincing rationale for
tree planting in many developing countries,  it
will  usually  prove important to  link forestry
activities  to  more  pressing  national concerns.
In Guatemala, current deforestation is caused
by needs for additional agricultural land and for
energy.   Unlike  agroforestry and  other sus-
tainable  development  techniques,   however,
conventional plantations would be  unlikely  to
improve agricultural  productivity.   Depending
on  the location of the plantations and on the
price  ultimately  charged  for wood  products,
conventional  plantations might  or  might not
decrease  energy-related pressures  on natural
forest.
  Who would have an interest in project success?
The strength of successful sustainable develop-
ment forestry efforts is their linkage to the self-
interest of the individuals working on  them.
Farmers'  cooperatives, for  example,  can see
agroforestry on their lands as a source of future
revenue,  as  a source of greater  agricultural
productivity  and   as  a  labor-saving  device.
Whose self-interest  is  served by   plantation
forestry as a tool to mitigate global  warming is
much  more  difficult  to  ascertain.   If pursued
primarily through subsidies to wealthy landown-
ers to  plant trees  on their  own holdings, the
tree-planting effort might even be  reacted  to
with hostility by the economically less fortunate.
And  if land-reform were  to occur  eventually,
who would provide for the  protection of the
already established plantations?
  Who would administer the projects? Numerous
organizations  support  forestry  activities  in
Guatemala.  With the exception of DIGEBOS,
however,  these organizations are  almost  ex-
clusively relief- and development-oriented and
would have little interest in or experience with
large-scale reforestation.  DIGEBOS, however,
is a weak organization that has its capabilities
already stretched to  its  limit.   CARE,  for
example, sees little opportunity for expanding
even its own activities significantly within Gua-
temala given the  institutional weakness  of its
government partner.  Short of a willingness to
simply supplant the government's role in forest-
ry policy, any  large-scale reforestation  effort
would  have to look elsewhere for expertise  and
institutional support.
  Thus, small-scale social forestry may be more
appropriate than  first impressions might have
suggested.  This is not to suggest that planta-
tion  forestry has no  role  in the country.  In-
deed,  some  successful reforestation  has  oc-
curred on large  private  landholdings.    For
example, the country's largest cement manufac-
turer has reportedly reforested enough area in
the neighborhood of the plant to supply its
future fuel  needs.  Nevertheless, the oppor-
tunities for  large-scale forestry are  probably
quite constrained  in comparison to  alternative
approaches.

The  Ethics and Public Acceptability
of Plantation Forestry
  Many tropical countries face crises in their
forest  sectors, and there  is a clear need  for
increased  efforts  in  providing and maintaining
forest-related  services.    Demand  for   forest
products is  increasing while forest  stocks  are
decreasing, watersheds are being denuded  and
topsoil is  being lost.   Indigenous peoples in
many tropical forest regions face severe threats.
When  forestry is discussed as a global warming
response option, however,  it is already common
to hear the argument that such forestry would
represent  just  another instance  of the rich,
developed nations solving their problems ~ in
this case excessive fossil fuel use ~ at the ex-
pense of the poor  masses in developing nations.
Indeed, issues of ethics and public  perception
may  be the most obvious point of difference
among alternative forestry approaches to miti-
gating global warming, particularly  in tropical
 104

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                                                                                    M. TREXLER
 countries.    CARE's  agriculture  and  natural
 resources project in Guatemala, for example, is
 oriented primarily towards addressing the sur-
 vival and development needs of the people of
 Guatemala.  A large-scale plantation achieving
 the same amount of carbon storage, however,
 might  involve  the displacement  of residents
 from  their land and  might benefit only those
 who are already wealthy.   So, while there  is
 little reason  to  suggest that AES funding for
 CARE's activities  constitutes  an attempt to
 dump the pollution of the United States onto
 the backs of the people  of Guatemala, other
 forestry approaches are likely to prove far more
 susceptible to this argument.
   The degree to which global warming forestry
 is  welcomed around  the  world will depend
 partially on the  degree to which forestry pro-
 jects can be matched to the perceived needs of
 the country.  If  future global warming forestry
 projects can meet the same test as this project
 does, the ethics  of forestry response strategies
 should not be excessively suspect. Many forest-
 ry projects,  however, will  probably  not meet
 this test.  Projects could reduce the  funding
 available for  critically needed economic devel-
 opment.  Projects could displace large numbers
 of people from their lands, and  indeed buttress
 inequitable systems of land tenure.   Projects
 could  result  in  the  loss  of  critically  needed
 agricultural land. Projects could be constraining
 to the development opportunities of developing
 country populations. These are all key issues in
 considering  the  circumstances  under  which
 different types of forestry can help respond to
 the threat of  global warming.
  In considering  these issues,  it is helpful to
 remember experience with international forestry
 assistance in the  past.  Development assistance
 in the forestry sector,  for example,  has  been
 criticized historically for its emphasis  on large-
scale projects with  few benefits for local resi-
dents.  Indeed, large numbers of farmers have
on occasion been displaced by such projects.76
  In response to these problems, the originators
  of the Tropical  Forestry Action Plan (TFAP),
  established in 1985 to slow global deforestation,
- intended to foster an integrated forestry sector
  planning process  through  which  the  social,
  environmental and economic needs of a coun-
  try would be addressed through development
  assistance  targeted  to the  forestry  sector.77
  Most tropical forest countries are now involved
  in the TFAP planning process/*
    The TFAP has come under attack, however,
  for failing to live up to its goals. Deforestation
  is increasing rather than  decreasing,  and  for-
  estry assistance continues  to emphasize indust-
  rial  forestry projects  at the expense of  sus-
  tainable development for the millions of individ-
  uals  already living off  of the  forests.  As a
  result, it is  commonly alleged that the national
  TFAP planning processes have failed to account
  adequately for the voices and interests of those
  countries' non-governmental  communities  and
  indigenous  peoples.   Several groups  are now
  calling for a complete moratorium on funding
  for TFAP projects pending  a restructuring of
  the program.79
   Discussion of large-scale plantation forestry
  for the mitigation of global warming  could be
  perceived as yet  another attempt to ignore  the
  interests of  the rural poor  in developing count-
  ries.  Severe damage will be done to the credi-
  bility  of global warming forestry if it is per-
  ceived by the non-governmental community to
  simply  reflect  an extension  of the TFAP.
  Avoiding this perception, however, is  likely to
  prove difficult for the initiatives  currently being
  discussed in  the global warming literature. It is
  commonly argued, for  example,  that some one
 billion hectares of degraded lands are available
 for reforestation  in  tropical  countries.20   As
 non-governmental organizations in  many   of
 these countries might point out, however, these
 lands  are rarely, if ever, abandoned regardless
 of the degree of degradation, and the people
 on them face far more  important concerns than
 sacrificing their  meager livelihoods to offset
 pollution emitted  in developing countries.
                                                                                        105

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AGROFORESTRY IN GUATEMALA
Sustainability of Plantation Forestry as a Global
Warming Response Option
  The long-term viability of any forestry initia-
tive intended  to mitigate global warming is of
paramount importance.  At the same time, it is
by its very nature difficult to predict the success
of such  initiatives.   The approach  taken  by
CARE in Guatemala is  to give local farmers
good reasons to protect and nourish the plant-
ed trees, in the hope  that the many benefits
accruing  from  their  planting will  persist over
time.  Even then the long-term viability of the
project is uncertain. What if population growth
continues unabated?   What if future political
instability deprives many small farmers  of  the
lands they currently  farm,  but to  which their
claim is questionable?
  These   questions  are  hardly  unique   to
CARE's  approach  to sustainable development
forestry.  Indeed, questions of long-term project
viability  are almost certainly more severe  for
projects  that do  not correspond as closely as
this one  to individual perceptions of self-inter-
est.  If  tax incentives  are established  to  en-
courage   large-scale  reforestation  of private
holdings, what would  be the  effect  of their
discontinuance by a future government? What
would be the fate of subsidized plantations if
further land-tenure reforms are enacted?27  If
large  amounts of money become  available to
foster tree planting, corruption is obviously an
additional threat.   And  local opposition  to
unpopular projects  can take  quite  tangible
forms including the sabotaging of plantations.
Even more broadly, what are  the  implications
of the   mounting  debt  crisis   for developing
countries'  ability to  manage and fund greatly
enlarged forestry sectors? All of these variables
will significantly affect  the  viability of a large-
scale  forestry response to global  warming in
developing countries.

CONCLUSIONS

  It  is often  assumed that a  ton of carbon
stored in new biomass is the mitigation equival-
ent of a ton of carbon  not emitted in the first
place  through  fossil fuel combustion.   The
numerous  uncertainties  surrounding  charac-
terization of forestry's potential role in mitigat-
ing global warming, however,  suggest caution
about  carrying  the presumed  equivalence  too
far.  First, under most circumstances one must
wait for years for trees to  grow large enough to
further significantly carbon sequestration goals.
Many  energy sector initiatives,  on the other
hand,  begin  preventing carbon  emissions  im-
mediately.  Second, it is  impossible to predict
with complete reliability the extent to which the
projected carbon storage goals of forestry-based
projects will  actually come to pass, particularly
when tropical forestry is considered.  Although
forest protection, reforestation and afforestation
can  further  global warming as  well  as  many
other policy  objectives, forestry-based options
should  not  be seen  as  substituting  for  far
reaching emissions-reductions efforts.
  The agroforestry and woodlot approach being
taken in Guatemala to offset the emissions of
Applied  Energy  Services' U.S.  powerplant is
just  one  of many  forestry  options  that  are
available.  Other  approaches  could  be based
upon large-scale plantations for timber, electric-
ity  or biofuels, the  regeneration  or physical
protection of existing natural  forest,  or even
urban  forestry.   Proposals for  future carbon
offset projects will  have to take  a case-by-case
look at the different options and decide which
to pursue.   The  desirability  and viability of
these different options will differ markedly from
country to country, leading different projects to
rely  upon different approaches  for  achieving
carbon offsets.
  Most analysis, however,  unjustifiedly assumes
that commercial plantations are the mechanism
of choice  for global warming forestry.   This
conclusion is generally arrived at by overlooking
several important social and economic variables
relating to the suitability and  acceptability of
alternative project types  under different  cir-
106

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                                                                                               M.TREXLER

cumstances.   For forestry  to be viable  as a    the concept of large-scale carbon offset forestry
significant  global  warming  response  option,    will  be discredited among both  governmental
policy  analysts and planners will need to pay    and  non-governmental  communities  in  many
attention not only to  physical and  economic    developing countries.  Moreover,  large sums of
variables, but to social  and human variables  as    money  could  be spent with  little or  no long-
well.   If these  variables are not adequately    term global warming mitigation benefit.
considered, there is good reason to fear that
                                                NOTES

;Houghton, R. A., 1990.  "The Future Role of Tropical Forests in Affecting the Carbon Dioxide Concentration of the
Atmosphere."  Ambio 19 (4):204-209; Sedjo,  R. A.,  1989.   "Forests:   A Tool  to  Moderate Global Warming?"
Environment 31 (1): 14-20.

2Trexler, M. C., in press.  Reforesting the United States to Combat Global Warming? Washington, D. C.: World Resources
Institute.

•'AES is a nation-wide independent power producer that relies on advanced coal combustion technologies to control
the conventional range of air pollutants.

The validity of concern  over the prospect of global warming is assumed for the purposes of this  paper.

5A 1987 survey of the country's forest resources classified only 38 percent of the country as forested - just half of
the proportion found 35 years earlier.  Only the forests in the northern Department  of El Peten remain relatively
intact,  and migration into this region threatens them as well.  University of Georgia, Institute of Ecology,  1981.  An
Environmental  Profile of  Guatemala:  Assessment of Environmental Problems and Short- and Long-Term Strategies for
Problem Solution. Athens, GA; Leonard, H. J., 1987.  Natural Resources and Economic Development in Central America.
International Institute for Environment and Development, Washington, D. C.

 AES funding is therefore making possible the continuation and expansion of an existing forestry project, rather than
the undertaking of a completely new one. One advantage of this approach was the opportunity to avoid the lead time
of several years that would have been  required  to get a new project of any comparable size off the ground. Under
most circumstances, however,  future  proposed projects will have to  overcome this problem.

7CARE does  not intend  to provide assistance to rural communities on a permanent basis.  Instead,  it attempts to
provide infrastructural assistance as well as training and extension services in the expectation that project participants
will eventually become self-sufficient in all aspects of the forestry program.

sAlthough CARE expects  to continue its work in the project area for only 10 more years, the expected lifetime of AES's
coal-fired powerplant is 40 years. For purposes of analyzing the carbon offset benefits of CARE's forestry operations,
it was decided to assume that  the areas planted during the first 10 years will be sustainably managed and replanted
for another 30 years after CARE's involvement ends.  The possibility that planted areas will continue to expand as a
result of the successful functioning of the infrastructures put into place by CARE was not accounted for in calculating
the carbon offset benefits.

 Forest fires, often intentionally set for brush clearing,  currently consume millions of trees each year.

; "Although DIGEBOS pays the salaries  of its promoters and coordinators, for example,  CARE staff play a major role
in hiring and training them.

1IThis is similar to planting trees for energy. Since the trees themselves will eventually be oxidized to produce energy,


                                                                                                    107

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AGROFORESTRY IN GUATEMALA

NOTES, cont'd,

the real global warming benefit is in keeping an equivalent quantity of fossil fuels in the ground.  Since the trees
cannot release more CO2 than they originally absorbed via photosynthesis, they contribute no net CO2 to the

atmosphere.

;2These assumptions are more extensively documented in Trexler, M. C., Faeth, P. F., and Dramer, J. M., 1989. Forestry
as a Response to  Global Warming:  An  Analysis of the Guatemala Agroforestry  and  Carbon Sequestration Project.
Washington,  D. C.:  World Resources Institute.
      did not have growth rates for specific species at particular sites available for its analysis. Representative growth
rates for tropical softwood species under reasonably good conditions were therefore used.

^Unfortunately, this is about as far as such analysis has gone.  The author is currently involved in research aimed at
integrating country-specific physical and social variables into estimates of forestry's global wanning mitigation potential
in the tropics.

^5For an introduction to the social forestry literature, see: Cernea, M. M., ed., 1985.  Putting People First: Sociological
Dimensions of Rural Development.  New York:  Oxford University Press;  Chambers, R., 1983. Rural Development: Putting
the Last First.  Longman Press;  Gregersen, H., et al.,  eds.,  1989.  People and Trees:  The Role of Social Forestry in
Sustainable Development.  EDI Seminar Series. Washington, D. C.:  World Bank; Foley, G. and Barnard, G., 1984. Farm
and Community Forestry.  London: Earthscan.

;<5Lohmann, L., 1990.  "Commercial Tree Plantations in Thailand:  Deforestation By Any Other Name."  The Ecologist
20 (1): 9-17.

;7World Resources Institute, World Bank, and United Nations Development Programme, 1985.  Tropical Forests: A Call
to Action.  Washington, D. C.:  World Resources Institute.

'8Winterbottom, R., 1990.  Taking Stock The Tropical Forestry Action Plan After Five Years. Washington, D. C., World
Resources Institute.

/9Sierra Club, 1990.  Stop the Tropical Forestry Action Plan.

20Grainger,  A., 1988.  "Estimating Areas  of Degraded  Tropical Lands Requiring  Replenishment of  Forest Cover."
International Tree Crops Journal 5(1-2).

2/The issue of land tenure reform is a vexing one in the context of  global warming forestry.  Land reform is often
characterized as a prerequisite  to  the long-term economic development  of many  countries.  But  if large-scale
afforestation is pursued on large private holdings, will the industrialized countries that will likely have footed the bill
be in the position of having to oppose such reform in the future?
 108

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                                 REFORESTATION IN INDIA
                                         A. N.  Chaturvedi
                                           ABSTRACT

  The legal meaning of forest includes areas with good overwood cover, scrub, grass lands and wastelands devoid of tree
growth.  According to 1989 assessment the forest cover is only 19.52 percent of the total geographical area of the country,
dense forest being only 10.99 percent.  The population density varies from 21 per km2 in eastern Himalayas to 418 km2 in
the Gangenc plain.  While the population of livestock has increased by 42 percent between 1951 and 1982, that of goats alone
increased  by over 100 percent during the period.  The fodder production is only about 700 million tonnes against the
requirement of about 2000 million tonnes. All forest areas are open to grazing. Excessive grazing is resulting in ecological
degradation and gradual loss in productivity. Plantation forestry is more than 150 years old and about 12 million hectares
have been reforested. The bulk of reforestation was started in 1951 with changing emphasis on objectives. The present
emphasis is on meeting the increasing demand of fuel and fodder.  Wood prices have shown increasing trend since 1980 and
this increase has encouraged tree farming, but it is still confined to only a few states in India. Large number of tree species
and bamboos have  been raised under afforestation projects to suit the edapho-climatic conditions. Aerial seeding tried over
a large area has been a total failure.  The technology for afforestation is available, but the resources commensurate with needs
are lacking.  The political and social environment fosters a lack of will to control the agencies responsible for deforestation
and land degradation. Wood-based industries have not been involved in any forest plantation projects. The forestry program
lacks clear thinking and patience. The present rate of deforestation exceeds that of afforestation. Far too many social benefits
are expected from afforestation in too short a period.
INDIA'S FORESTS

  The legal  meaning of  "forest" includes  not
only tree growth of varying density and quality
but also scrub and grasslands, wasteland  more
or less bare of vegetation and  hilltops above
the altitudes at which tree growth is  possible.
The forests of India  include  a greater range of
composition and appearance than can be found
over  a similar area  in  any  other part of  the
globe.  Their  silviculture  is  accordingly  more
complex  by  far  than  that  of  the  relatively
narrower  range of types  and conditions met
with in Europe and temperate North America.
The number of tree species of importance runs
at least  into several hundred.  Some  of  the
forests of the country, notably the tropical ever-
green  forests of the wetter portions, are  un-
doubtedly still in their original state just as they
have   developed  in  accordance  with  natural
conditions of climate, topography and  soil. The
greater part of them, however, have been much
influenced  directly or  indirectly by human  ac-
tivities.   Although sometimes,  owing  to  the
different hardiness of some tree species under
ill-treatment, the impact of a human population
has favored a more valuable tree species against
less  valuable  ones, the  results of human  ac-
tivities  have  mostly  been  destructive  to  the
forest.
  In the earlier stages of the occupation of the
land, the forest  has everywhere been  looked
upon as the enemy of mankind and its destruc-
tion an indication of  progress.   This  hostile
attitude still  persists.   Where local  conditions
promote luxuriant  growth and the pressure of
population  is  not  too great, but  where  the
larger  part of the  forest  has already been
destroyed and the last remnants are seen to be
doomed to early disappearance  unless some-
thing is done to protect them, the realization of
the  great  benefits  conferred by  the  forest  is
                                                                                                109

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REFORESTATION IN INDIA
gradually  dawning  on those who  are  at the
same  time both the destroyers and among the
victims.  The climatic conditions of India, and
in many parts soil conditions also, are such that
the adverse  consequences of forest destruction
are quicker to appear than in most countries of
the temperate region.   The heavy  monsoon
rainfall is largely responsible for this difference
(Champion and Seth, 1968; World Bank, 1978).

FOREST COVER AND  POPULATION

  The 1989  assessment of the forest cover of
India  carried out by the Forest Survey of  India
based on maps of 1:250,000 scale resulted in
                                             33.33 percent required for ecological stability as
                                             enunciated in national forest policy.

                                             FOREST AND POPULATION

                                              The  forest  cover situation  by ecofloristic
                                             zones and  population density is shown under
                                             Table XXII.
                                              Eco-floristic Zone 4, which comprises Goa,
                                             coastal areas  of  Karnataka,  Kerala,  and  the
                                             Andamans  and Nicobar  Islands, has  a good
                                             forest  cover in  spite  of  a  high  population
                                             density because of its unique climate conditions.
                                             In  the rest of the country, population density
                                             is inversely related to forest cover (Anon. 1989).
TiMe XXI FOREST COVER IN INDIA, 1989.
Category Area in Knr
Forest:
Dense forest
(crown density
40% and over)
Open forest
Mangrove forest
TOTAL

361,412
276,583
4,046
64Z041
% of Total
Geographical
Area of Country
11.0
8.4
0.1
19.5
                                               Table XXtt  FOREST COVER BY ECOFLORISTIC ZONES
                                               AND POPULATION DENSITY, IN INDIA.
Scrub Area:
     (tree lands w/less
     than 10% crown
     density)
Uninterpreted Area:
     (under clouds,
                       76,7%
                                    2.3
shadows, etc.)
Non-forest
(incl. tea gardens)
GRAND TOTAL
11,524

2,557,436
3.287.797
0.3

77.8
100
the figures given in Table XXI.
  This study estimates  the  actual forest cover
in the  country  at  64.20 million ha (19.52%)
against  the official recorded area of 75.1 million
hectares (22.8%). Of the actual forest cover of
64.20 million  hectares,  only 36.14 million hec-
tares is of more than 40 percent crown density.
Thus only 10.99 percent of the country's geo-
graphical area has adequate forest cover against
SI. Lico-Homlic ZoncTolal Gcog.
No. area (sq km)
1 2
1. Western Himalayas
2. Eastern Himalayas
3. North East
4. Western Coast and
Andaman & Nicobar Isl;
5. Deccan
6. Central India
7 Gangetic Plain
8 Indus Plain
3
283035
94029
171470
69738
inds
581358
750600
548867
632770
Actual Forest % ot 4 to 3 Population/
cover (sq km) density
4
56754
73565
97592
30793

133145
177249
44542
26360
5
20.0
78.2
56.9
44.1

23.0
23.6
8.1
4.2
6
53
21
152
433

174
153
418
155
                                              Anonymous, 1989 Table 6
                                             FOREST AND LIVESTOCK

                                               Besides a high human population, the forests
                                             of India have to support a very large bovine
                                             population. While the forest areas have shrunk,
                                             the livestock population has  increased  by 42
                                             percent over a period of 31 years between 1951
                                             and 1982.  Goat population recorded over 100
                                             percent increase.  The position with respect to
                                             different categories of livestock given  in Table
                                             XXIII.
                                               The  estimated  fodder requirements of the
 110

-------
T«He XXffl. LIVESTOCK POPULATION OF INDIA (GIVEN IN
MILLIONS)
   Unit: Nos. in Millions
                       Livestock Population in
                       Different Years
Category of Livestock


      1951  1956 1961  1966 1972  1977 1982

1
Cattle
Buffalo
Sheep
Goats
Horses/
Ponies
Pigs
Camels
Others
155.3
43.5
38.4
47.1

1.5
4.4
.6
1.3
158.7
44.9
39.3
55.4

1.5
4.9
.8
1.1
175.6
51.2
40.0
60.9

1.3
5.2
.9
1.2
174.1
53.0
42.0
64.6

1.2
5.0
1.0
1.2
173
57.4
40.0
67.5

.9
6.9
1.1
1.1
180.1
62.0
41.0
75.6

.9
7.7
1.1
1.3
190.8
69.0
48.0
94.7

.9
9.6
1.0
1.8
   Anonymous, 1987 (Table 12.2)
livestock population  has been worked  out as
under Table XXIV.
  The estimated  fodder production at present
(1985) is shown in Table  XXV.  The demand
for fodder for the livestock is not fully met by
the estimated production.  All forest areas  are,
therefore, open to grazing except  in the  na-
tional parks,  covering an  area of 3.39  million
hectares  (Anonymous,  1989; Table 9.2).  The
grazing pressure,  however, varies with  the local
conditions. The intensity of grazing is higher in
                                A. N. CHATURVEDI

the hilly parts and the semi-dry and  dry tracts
of the country.  The livestock migrate from one
area to another during periods of stress.  This
is  one of the main reasons  for the decreasing
density of the forest cover.  The grazing is also
responsible for  frequent fires in forest  areas.
The forest floor is deliberately burnt year after
year. The burning induces a new flush of grass
which is eaten up by the hungry livestock. The
fire, however, causes heavy damage  by killing
the  regenerating  forest  plants.    It  destroys
whatever little  humus was built up along with
the  accompanying microflora.   The  species
composition of grasses also changes and coarse
grasses  replace the  softer  grasses.    In  the
Dudhwa National  Park, lying between 28°18' -
28°42' N and 80°28' - 80°37' E, the study over
some years has shown the ingress of fire toler-
ant  Themeda  anathera grass  into  the  areas
previously occupied by reeds Arundo donax and
Phragmitis karka (Chaturvedi, AN and Misra,
CM. 1985).  The overall biomass production
goes  down  and the  exposed soils  gradually
erode.
                                                   Table XXV.
                                                   IN INDIA
                                                            ESTIMATED PRESENT FODDER PRODUCTION
                                                     Type of Fodder  Fodder Production (million tons)
                                                                 Dry fodder        Green fodder
TAIeXXTV.   LIVESTOCK FODDER  REQUIREMENTS (IN
MILLION TONS)
   Year  Fodder Requirement (million tons)
        Dry fodder        Green fodder
   1985  780
   1990  832
   1995  890
   2000  949
                     932
                     992
                    1064
                    1136
                                                     1. Agric.residues 236
                                                     2 Grasses      205
                                                     3. Green fodders:
                                                      a) cultivated
                                                      green fodder
                                                      b) top feed,
                                                      incl. sugarcane
                                                      tops
                                                      c) weeds
                                                     4. Fodder from
                                                       trees
                                                        TOTAL
                                                                    441
                                 208


                                  4
                                 14

                                 24

                                 250
     Anonymous, 1987 (Table 12.5)
   Anonymous, 1987 (Table 12.4)
                                                                                              111

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REFORESTATION IN INDIA

HISTORY OF FOREST PLANTATIONS

  Plantation forestry has been known in India
since the middle of the last century and the
oldest plantation dates back to 1842 when teak
was artificially raised in  Nilambur (Kerala). In
northwest Bengal, teak was raised  in 1868 in
Bamanpokhri (west Bengal) and planting con-
tinued till 1888 in the first phase.  Eucalyptus
globulus was introduced in Ootacamund (Tamil
Nadu) in 1843 and was  later extended by both
government and  private agencies for meeting
the fuelwood demand and  local oil distillation
plants. Wattles were planted at about the same
time for leather tanning and for fuelwood. In
the Western Himalayas planting of conifers was
taken up little later  and Cedrus deodara was
the principal species while  in  the eastern reg-
ions Cryptomeria japonica marked its advent in
1868 with  an admixture of  indigenous  oaks,
maples, laurels and magnolias.  Plantations of
Dalbergia  sissoo have been raised  in the dry
Punjab plains with and without irrigation since
1866.

FIVE-YEAR DEVELOPMENT PLANS

  Afforestation was taken up on a bigger scale
with  the launching  of  five-year development
plans. The objective  in the first few plans was
to raise plantations for meeting the  demand of
the  wood-based  industries, especially  paper,
matches, plywood, sporting goods,  etc.  Some
plantations for afforestation and soil conserva-
tion were also started during  this period. The
progress  of  afforestation  through   successive
development plans has  been  as shown under
Table XVII.   In  the  plantations  by  forest
departments, the targets and achievements were
in the land area proposed and reforested.

SOCIAL FORESTRY

  The concept   of  social forestry evolved
through different stages over  a period of 100
  Table XXVL  AFFORESTATION IN INDIA SHOWN UNDER
  SUCCESSIVE DEVELOPMENT PLANS
SI.
No.
1.
1
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Five-Yr.
Plan
First
Second
Third
66-69
Fourth
Fifth
Interim
Sixth
Seventh


Period
1951-56
1956-61
1961-66

1969-74
1974-79
1979-80
1980-85
a)1985-86
b)1986-87
Area Affor.
(m. ha.)
0.1
0.3
0.6
0.5
0.7
1.2
0.2
4.7
1.5
1.8
Affor.
Exp.(m.INR)
128
6S.6
211.3
230.2
443.4
10718
371.0
9260.1
3785.8
49121
         TOTAL         11.6      20,368.0
     (Note: 1 U.S.$= 17.20 INK, Indian Rupees)
     (Source: Anon., 1987, Table 5.1)
years but the Fifth Plan changed the emphasis
of forestry plantations.  Under its social forestry
program, the plan indicated that plantations be
raised on both wastelands and community lands.
For  areas deficient  in  forests,  a program of
plantations along the roads,  canals and railway
tracts was proposed.  Raising of trees on the
edges of fields of private land holders was also
included. In the subsequent plans, the major
object of plantations shifted  to afforestation to
meet the growing local demand for fuel,  fodder
and small timber.  These were also considered
as rural employment programs.  As area meas-
urements were  difficult in such  programs, the
targets were fixed  on the basis  of number of
trees.  Areas were computed by assuming the
rate  at a density  of 2000 trees per hectare.
During  1987-88 and  1988-89, 3800 million and
4500 million seedlings were planted.   These
were computed to afforest 1.9 million and 2.3
million hectares of the area  respectively.

FARM FORESTRY

  Due to  increased demand  and reduced sup-
plies, the wood prices increased at a higher rate
than the averages during the last decade.
112

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    "WMe XXVDL  INCREASE OF WOOD PRICES OVER PAST
    DECADE IN INDIA
      Year
                All commodities    Logs/Timber
1970-71
1975-76
1980-81
1985-87
198748
100.0
173.0
257.3
357.8
405.4
100.0
164.5
407.1
820.5
871.8
      (Source: Anon., 1987, Table 126)
    The increase in  prices of  wood induced
 fanners to plant trees on their lands for profit.
 Farm forestry on private lands has developed
 in India as a business  only recently.  This is
 supported by financial institutions and by wood
 based industries. As profit is  the chief motive,
 fast-growing species  are  preferred over slow-
 growing  ones.   Eucalypts,  Poplars, Bamboos,
 Acacia  nilotica,  Prosopis juliflora,  Casuarina
 equisetifolia are  the main species planted.

 AFFORESTATION

   In  the afforestation of degraded  and barren
 lands a number of species are used, depending
 on existing conditions of the sites.  Basically,
 the problem is  of water  budgeting and  soil
 conservation.  A large  number  of  species are
 being raised which include Acacia auriculiformis,
Acacia   nilotica,  Acacia  tortalis,   Ailanthus
 excelsa, Albizzia lebbek, Anacardium occidentale,
Azadirachta   indica,  Bambusa   arundinacea,
 Cassia siamea, Casurina equisetifolia, Dalbergia
sissoo,   Dendrocalamus   strictus,   Eucalyptus
hybrid,  Pongamia  pinnata,  Prosopis  juliflora,
Syzygium cumini etc.
  In the hills, Acacia meamsii, Alnus nepalensis,
Alnus nitida, Cedrus deodara, Cupressus torulo-
sa, Eucalyptus globulus, Fraxinus  floribunda,
Juglans  regia, Melia azedarach, Populus ciliata,
Salix spp. are generally planted.  Vast tracts of
barren  lands of the  country  are affected  by
salinity  and alkalinity. Equally large tracts  are
severely eroded and ravines have been formed
                                A. N. CHATURVEDI

 in the  catchment areas of  several rivers, es-
 pecially the Yamuna, Chambal, Sabarmati, etc.,
 in the states of Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh
 and Gujarat.  These call for special techniques
 of soil working, water conservation and  affor-
 estation  (Chaturvedi, AN.  1982;  1983;  1985;
 1986  and 1989).

 AERIAL SEEDING

   Afforestation  through  aerial  seeding  was
 started in India in  1980 and has been carried
 out each year in different  regions.   Initially,
 only clean seeds were used.  Later, seeing the
 poor  success,  the seeds were pelletized  with
 insecticides and fertilizers. By 1989, about 0.20
 million hectares had been covered without any
 success whatsoever.  Aerial seeding failed due
 to lack  of protection from  domestic  animals,
 compact  soils  and drought following germina-
 tion.

 RESULTS OF REFORESTATION

 Reforestation  activities in the area under the
 control of forest departments  have been reason-
 ably successful. Teak, Shorea robusta, Eucalyp-
 tus globulus,  E. grandis, E. hybrid, Acacia mear-
 nsti, Acacia  nilotica,  Casurina  equisetifolia,
Anacardium  occidentale (Cashew), Dendrocala-
 mus strictus,  Bambusa  arundinacea,  Prosopis
juliflora, Acacia tortalis, Alnus nepalensis, Pinus
 roxburghii have  been successfully grown  as
 plantation crops.  During the last  decade suc-
 cessful plantations  of Eucalyptus,   Poplars,
 Bamboos, and Acacia nilotica have been raised
 by farmers on their farmlands, especially in the
states with low forest area cover such as Harya-
na, Punjab, Gujarat  and Uttar Pradesh.   Af-
forestation along roads and canals has also been
very successful. The  afforestation  has largely
been  a failure on  public  lands  where local
pressures  of  grazing  and  firewood  removal
could not be controlled (Shingi et.  al. 1986).
                                                                                         113

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REFORESTATION IN INDIA

TECHNOLOGY

  Technology  for  afforestation  of lands with
different edaphic  and  climatic  conditions  is
available from few individuals and institutions.
Because of constraints of funding and lack of
support from the government, enough resources
are not made  available for setting up demons-
tration  projects.   Even where such successful
demonstrations have been done,  these are not
maintained.   The staff involved is changed
frequently  and long-term  protection of such
areas is lacking.  The successful  works do not
receive adequate publicity as they do  not gener-
ate news.

INVOLVEMENT OF INDUSTRIES

  Because  of  land ceiling  legislation due to
government policy on land holding,  the wood-
based  industries   cannot  buy  lands.    These
industries are not, therefore, involved  in any
large-scale  afforestation activities.  There is a
strong  possibility  of substantial afforestation
taking place if there is a change in  policy and
industries are encouraged  to  plant trees by
exempting such activities from land ceiling acts.
This has been done for tea, coffee, rubber, etc.,
but not for wood  production.

SOCIAL PRESSURES

  Afforestation for social purposes has in recent
years become  a  populist subject.  Many social
scientists advocate that  all forests  natural or
artificially created  are meant for local use.  Any
government  control  is  undesirable.  This  is
unduly  publicized by  the  politicians and the
press in the name  of supporting the poor. This
results  in  heavy  damage  to existing natural
forests as well as young plantations.  Using leaf
fodder, which destroys the photosynthesis and
soil  amelioration  mechanism  of the trees,  is
one such  practice  encouraged  under  social
forestry programs.  These pressures  discourage
planting of non-fodder trees while fodder trees
cannot be protected. This "functional" approach
to forest  management has  fostered a  narrow
view of the role of  forestry in the economic
development process and, in turn, has  resulted
in inadequate government funding of forestry
programs  or, in extreme  cases, the complete
exclusion of forestry from rural or agricultural
development schemes.

LIMITATIONS OF AFFORESTATION

  Successful afforestation programs have several
limitations:
  1.  Due to harsh  edaphic and climatic condi-
tions, the  process of afforestation is necessarily
slow.   The social forestry programs, however,
envisage meeting the social needs of fodder and
fuel from such plantations at an early age. The
expectations are not realistic.
  2.  Originally the program envisaged  affores-
tation over 5 million hectares per year,  but the
areas available for afforestation were not iden-
tified.  The program could not  reach anywhere
near the expected area of five million hectares.
The average area afforested was only about 1.5
million hectares annually.
  3.   The money  allocated for  afforestation
projects was not commensurate with the physi-
cal targets fixed.
  4.  The expectations of supply of goods and
services from these afforestation  projects are
very high  and have  ignored  the  productive
capacity of the sites.
  5.  The agencies responsible for deforestation
were not correctly identified and no efforts are
made to control them.
  6.   It is thought that people's  participation
can be realized by  involving non-governmental
agencies which are funded by government and
international agencies.  Most NGO's lack the
technical know-how of afforesting difficult sites.
The  funding agencies expect quick  results.
Therefore, the data of achievements are pro-
duced to impress them.
114

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                                                                                   A. N. CHATURVEDI
  7.  The demand of firewood is estimated  at
 about  155 million tonnes  while the  recorded
 production  is  only about 50 million tonnes.
 Thus, there is  continuing process of deforesta-
 tion.  This rate exceeds the rate of afforesta-
 tion. It is, however, possible  to  meet the fire-
 wood demand  by afforesting  about 40 million
 hectares of land.  This can be done at dispers-
 ed  locations  to  minimize  cost of  transport.
 Since the  sites for firewood  farming will  be
 generally degraded lands, the harvest  rotations
 will have to be such  that  land  productivity is
 restored (1,  above). Presently  the  annual  af-
 forestation rate is about 1.5 million hectares.
  8. Success  of afforestation  is  dependent  on
 protection from  grazing and  fires.   The live-
 stock population is beyond the carrying capacity
 of  land.   Afforestation cannot succeed unless
 the bovine population  is reduced.
SUMMARY

  Successful large-scale afforestation is possible
in  India and  technology  is  available.   The
program is  not,  however,  supported  correctly
either by the government or the public at large.
There is no clear mandate of what the nation
wants.   Lots of vested interests have joined in
and are taking  the  afforestation  program in
wrong  directions.  Afforestation can  provide
large  employment opportunities and restore
ecological balance with connected benefits, but
besides  funds the program needs patience and
restraint on local use in the early stages.  The
program should  be   linked  to  reduction  of
livestock population, especially goats.   The
wood-using  industries  should  be  actively in-
volved  in industrial  plantations on presently
degraded lands.  Large areas under open-cast
mining  should be afforested  by  appropriate
technology  and linked to mining concessions.
                                         REFERENCES

Anonymous (1987).  India's Forests. Government of India,    Chaturvedi A.N. (1985). "Firewood Farming on Degraded
Department of Environment and Forests.

Anonymous (1989)  "The State of Forest Report 1989."
G.O.I. Forest Survey of India, Dehradun, U.P. pp 7 and 8.
Lands," U.P. Forest Bulletin No. 50

Chaturvedi A.N. (1986). "Bamboos for Farming,"  U.P.
Forest Bulletin No. 52.
Champion H.G. & Seth S.K. (1968), General Silviculture    Chaturvedi A.N.  (1989).  Fuel and Fodder Trees for
for India. G.O.I. Publication Branch pp. ixvii to xix.        Man-Made Forests in Hills Environment Regeneration in
                                                   Himalaya.  Concepts and Strategies; The Central Himalayan
Chaturvedi A.N. & Misra C.M. (1985) "Ecological Survey    Environment  Association  &  Gyanodaya  Prakashan,
of Grasslands at Dudhwa National Park." Indian Forester,
Vol. Ill No.8.
Nainital, U.P. (India).

Shingi et. al (1986). Development of Social Forestry in
India. Oxford & IBH Publishing Co.
Chaturvedi A.N. (1982). "Poplar Farming in U.P., U.P.Fo-
rest Bulletin No. 45.
                                                   World Bank (1978).  Forestry Sector Policy Paper. World
Chaturvedi A.N. (1983). "Eucalypts for Fanning,"  U.P.    Bank 1018 H Street, N.W. Washington D.C.20433  USA.
Forest Bulletin No. 48.
                                                                                              115

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          INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
                                     GROUP DISCUSSION
PARTICIPANTS: Jack Winjum, moderator; Francis Cailliez, A. N. Chaturvedi, Chris Geron, Joe Hughes, Ian Hunter, Dean
Jerstad, Lew Ladd, Denis Lavender, Leon Liegel, Douglas Malcolm, Renato Moraes de Jesus, Pete Owston, Charles Peterson,
Paul Schroeder, David South, Ben Stout,  Mark Trexler, Tom Turpin, Terrafyn Vandetta, Steve Wmnett, and Jamie Wyant.
Winjum (after  introductions of those in atten-
dance):   For this discussion, we will  take for
our background and assumptions that there will
be  a  climate change in the  next four or five
decades as  a result of man's activity  (Table
XXVIII).   Further, we will  take the position
that forests do sequester carbon and can there-
fore be a significant aid  or help in  reducing
CO2 buildup.   There is a need to have some
international consensus and coordinated effort
on  a  world scale for reforestation.   We will

Table XXVia  BOARD NOTES #1.

           PERSPECnVES/ASSUMFTIONS
   * Climate change natural vs. induced
   * World forests: boreal, temperate, tropical
   * Carbon sequestering by forests a significant aid
   * International consensus for reforestation
   * Land is available, but:
    where?
    what kinds?
    how much?
   * Technology and know-how:
        - start-up period: adequate/CRP?
        - long-term: will improve through research,
         experience, species vs. site?
   * Costs: modest (?) vs.
    energy efficiency
   * Benefits:  many com-
    patible
   * Objectors: few; supply/demand shift:
    esthetics, cattlemen
   * Educational and extension needs:
    especially in tropics, over time.
economic equity?
take the position that land is available but that
there  are questions of how  much, where  and
what the productivity is of those  lands.  Also,
we feel the technology, experience, and avail-
able know-how exist to get started.
  In the longer term, we can even improve on
the  knowledge base with  experience  and  re-
search  on a global scale.  We take the position
that compared to other mitigating possibilities,
such as alternative fuels  and energy conserva-
tion to reduce greenhouse gases,  that  refores-
tation  is  moderate in cost - even though  we
have heard some pretty  big  numbers  on cost
per hectare mentioned.  There are many com-
patible benefits such as reducing erosion, pro-
viding jobs and a better standard of living, and
all  of  the positive factors that  forestry  can
provide to  serve humans  everywhere.
  There is  what  the textbooks call economic
equity.  Large blocks  of  people are penalized
when we  impose  a tax on CO2  emissions  or
prohibit the burning of high-sulfur coal or  any
coal at  all.  How would large-scale  reforestation
affect  the supply and demand of some wood
resources and  therefore the economic equity of
people in forested regions?
  And   there's another matter  that we've fre-
quently heard  in the workshop  papers:   that of
human displacement.  There are many  people
currently  living at  subsistence  levels  in non-
forested areas, or in areas that don't  carry a
heavy forest cover but could be reforested.  It
                                                                                              117

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
isn't a  matter of just  going in and moving
people aside to establish plantations, however.
  So there are some down sides; but there are,
by and large, mostly positive ways of looking at
global  reforestation.  We've heard that there
are objections to large-scale reforestation that
would certainly affect the supply and demand of
some wood resources.  Some people just don't
like the  whole idea of a  man-made  forest
because  they aren't "natural."    We  should
expand that  category to include agricultural
lands; in our country we are going to compete
for land availability, especially with  the cattle
people, who look askance at this notion.

Trader:    If  you  assume  that  forests  are  a
significant aid, it seems like  you've stacked the
decks before you've gotten into the discussion,
since that's going to depend a lot on the land
availability.  And if you  assume that  the costs
are going to be modest,  there are people who
will argue that energy efficiency is much, much
cheaper  than forestry, so I'm not sure about
the basis of that assumption  as well. It is going
to vary dramatically over the extent of a billion
hectares.  And I think we want to be careful -
- some types of forestry  activities  will have
beneficial   characteristics and some won't.  I
don't think you can  make a blanket statement
that "forestry is good."  Sometimes we achieve
economic equity and sometimes we don't.  We
must be careful about assuming  that we have
that problem solved.  Some people argue that
energy efficiency is  a negative cost.   They're
probably wrong as well, but different things will
fit into different places in the curve.  What I'm
saying  is, if you  assume it's a panacea going
into the discussion, it's not going to be surpris-
ing  to  come out  falsely with  forestry as  a
panacea.

Jerstad:  In the South, where we plant one-and-
a-half billion seedlings a year, you'd think we'd
know how to plant trees and keep them alive.
The recent  Conservation  Reserve  Program
(CRP) is a  good example to show that in all
cases we don't have the know-how.  They are
planting  old agricultural  fields.   In some of
those old "ag" fields, there were problems that
were hard to identify.  The  trees did not sur-
vive. It seems that in a massive program like
this  there  should be some  start-up  research
dollars provided so that these problems can be
solved.

Lavender:   Another thing, Jack, is that if we
are  doing  this  with  reference to  a possible
warming, that warming could take place before
these plantations are  sequestering very much
carbon. This is  certainly true in the temperate
zone and as we  go toward the boreal forests it
will  be more true,  so we'd  better know what
we're doing.  Otherwise the  plantations will
disappear because of the  climate change itself.
That would  be true on the west coast in Oreg-
on and Washington.  If we were to start plant-
ing Douglas-fir,  then have it warm up to where
the  Douglas-fir  is no longer a viable species,
we'd have nothing but dead  plantations.

Winjum: We need to take a longer term view.
A rotation or two in the tropics wouldn't show
significant change,  but if we are going to be
thinking about rotations in the more northern
climates, the considerations Denis  mentions
need to be  taken into account.

Turpin:  It  seems to  me,  as  we sit around the
table here,  we  know how  to regenerate our
land and plant trees in general, but there's got
to be a massive  education program, both public
and  private, to  make global  reforestation both
feasible and acceptable.

Winnett: That's especially the case when we're
dealing with people in the tropics who are not
familiar with good forestry  methods.  You're
trying to change their life practices in agricul-
tural methods.  It will have to be even  more
massive an  educational push, and it's going to
118

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                                                                           GROUP DISCUSSION
have to be continuous.

Moraes:   Jack, this "push" must include both
extension  and education.

Stout:   Jack,  during the  course of the  pres-
entations,  we saw wide expanses of land in the
Congo where there appeared  to  be  blanket
planting.  Also, what  I understood in Brazil,
there is blanket planting  of Eucalyptus and
conifers over wide areas.  I kept wondering as
I watched how it was  done.  I can remember
when I was working  in New York state and
seeing plantations that were put in in the  1930s
that were dying in  the 1950s.  These  were
species  that were put in off-site.  Do  we have
an  understanding,  do we know  how to fit
species  to site?  Is that important, or isn't it?
I don't know.

Lavender: Well, that  was my  point.   Even if
we do know for the present day, the changes
that occur in the  future  may adversely  affect
what we plant today.

Malcolm:    The trouble  is, we don't  know
exactly what the climatic changes are  going to
be.

Winjum:  Yes, in  that regard I was surprised.
We recently had  Stephen Schneider  here in
Corvallis to present a seminar on global climate
change.   He's the author of Global Warming:
Are We Entering the Greenhouse Century? Some-
one  asked him  about the  current climate
change scenarios and the  probability of getting
improvements  on  those.    His  answer  was,
"Don't hold your breath."  He felt it would be
ten to  twenty years before there  are reliable
global circulation models  which would give us
more definitive answers - even with the ad-
vanced computer and modelling technology that
we have today.  And he's a person who would
come down on the side of "It's here today, it's
going to happen."
Schroeder:   And  then he went  on to tell us
that in particular circumstances, we don't even
know the signs of the change.

Winjum: Yes.  Schneider said we have a feel
for the  confidence limits (wide), but we  don't
know whether the signs are pluses or minuses.
His comment was a bit tongue-in-cheek, but it
punctuates  the idea of uncertainty.

Winnett: What we have to do is try to incor-
porate the  idea that climate change will take
place.  In the Pacific Northwest, for example,
we might  plant  ponderosa  pine mixed with
Douglas-fir.  Then  with  climate warming, the
ponderosa  pine would take over.  If it didn't
take place,  the Douglas-fir would predominate.

Winjum: Yes,  hedging our bets, taking  some
precautions, may not be an unwise thing to do.

Ladd:   Does anyone know today anywhere  in
the world  where trees have  been  planted  in
anticipation of global climate change?

Stout:  Yes, I did, and I hadn't  thought about
this in years.  Irving Bailey, who was  a world-
reknown plant anatomist, came  to me when I
was working on the Black Rock Forest in the
1950s.  He had been talking  to  Paul Mengel-
thorpe, who was one of the  developers of
hybrid corn, and he said, "Ben, the people who
are growing hybrid corn in  Illinois are  sub-
stituting genotypes  and moving them  north
constantly.   You  are going to have to do the
same thing with trees.  Therefore, go into the
valleys  on  the Black Rock Forest and collect
red oak seeds, take them up to the tops of the
mountains  and plant them."  So  I did,  and the
mice followed me around and ate the seed, and
I went off  to another job.

Peterson: So you were tipped  off 30 years ago.
You  should have  come  here with a lot  of
answers!
                                                                                       119

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
Hughes:   I can think of a situation where we
are thinking the opposite:  we've moved loblolly
pines of  North Carolina to Oklahoma,  and so
far we have not had a  serious  problem.  Ok-
lahoma is a more interior climate, lower  rainfall
and a little harsher environment for loblolly
pine. We're defying gravity, you might  say, or
by doing that, defying  predictions.  But so far
we're  doing  it with  good success --  higher
growth rates for loblolly from North Carolina
than from the local sources.

Winjum:   Bill Carlson told me a  couple of
years ago that one thing  Weyerhaeuser Com-
pany was doing was trying to identify some of
the droughty  sites in the  Oklahoma-Arkansas
region. Knowing that if it's dry now and global
warming  takes place it may get  drier, they are
planting  plots of  each  of the loblolly  pine
families that they  are  using at these droughty
locations.   Then   the last  several  summers
they've observed growth, pre-dawn water stress
measurements, etc., on these  plots.   In  this
manner  they  will  identify which  families  are
more drought-resistant to plant  more widely if
climate change causes drier conditions on their
southern forest lands.
  At  the same time  they applied  vegetation
management treatments to some  of the plots
for moisture  conservation.   Their philosophy
was that if  an increasing number of droughts
occurred  the  plantations  would  have  to  be
predisposed to withstand  drier conditions  -
waiting until droughts  occurred would  be  too
late.

Hughes:   There are other  cultural practices to
offset droughts also; for instance, lower stocking
levels.

Winjum:  I don't know if Weyerhaeuser  has
gone operational on this,  but at least  from a
research  standpoint it is being tested.

Chaturvedi:   One point  related  to  climate
change  in  India  is that we have  found  that
where we have planted eucalyptus on typically
dry sites, they have died in years of unusually
high rainfall.  So, even when you  plant for a
particular condition, you may get an unexpected
temporary change that will cause a problem.

Lavender:   There are people who say  that
these exceptional weather events correlate with
the increasing greenhouse effect.

Chaturvedi: Yes, that adds to  my point.

Winjum: It also emphasizes the need for better
climate  scenarios on  a more  regional basis.
Until we get  that, we are going  to  have to
expect that atypical weather events are probably
going to occur more frequently.

Liegel:   One more question,  Steve:  is the
Intergovernmental Panel  on Climate Change
(IPCC), and their group on forestry looking at
reforestation strictly from  a carbon sequestra-
tion standpoint, or are they looking at it  also
from the standpoint of improved standards of
living or increased GNP? The answer affects
where we come from on  large-scale reforesta-
tion.

Winnett:  Part of the analysis has to do with
what the effects of increased planting would be
on local economies, the timber supply, the price
of timber and agriculture,  and the supply of
agricultural land for increasing populations, but
the  main purpose of the  analysis  is for the
sequestration of carbon. So they are looking at
it  for that  reason but  they are also looking at
all the additional effects that would result.

Trexler:  But remember,  the level  of analysis
being done by  the agricultural and forestry
group is extremely low.   It's  really been an
educational exercise  for  all   these countries
which have never encouraged the  concept of
forest management for sustainability. So there
120

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                                                                                 GROUP DISCUSSION
is not much advanced analysis in this work yet.

Winnett:  But  the economic models they use
are becoming more refined; as we get more
data we can  look at more  and and more off-
shoot effects.

Winjum: The answer to Leon's  question seems
to be, then, that the IPCC is definitely inter-
ested in carbon sequestration but also is trying
to be mindful of all the ripple effects of social
and political considerations.   (See Table XXIX)

Geron:  They also are taking into consideration
other options in developing countries in  a bit
more thorough  manner than what we've heard
discussed the last few days.  That is, they've
done a  more thorough job  of  integrating the
policy and agricultural people into their delib-
erations.
Table XXDC BOARD NOTE #2

           PERSramVES/ASSUMPTIONS

  *    Climate change:  natural vs. induced
       (temperate and boreal)
  *    World forests:  boreal, temperate, tropical

  *    Carbon sequestering by forests significant aid
  *    International consensus for reforestation

  *    Land is available, but-where?  what kinds? how
       much?
  *    Technology and know-how
       -start-up period:  adequate/CRP?
       -long-term: will improve through research experience
              species vs. site?
       Costs - modest (?)
       vs. energy efficiency

       Benefits — many compatible
economic equity?
       Objectors — few: supply/demand shift;
       aesthetics; cattlemen

       Educational and extension need, esp. in tropics, over
       time
Trexler:  The  primary conclusion  out of the
agricultural and forestry group is, of course,
that they are saying,  "Look, maybe we can do
some good on the forestry side, but  it is ab-
solutely up to the energy side to make it pos-
sible for us to do anything."

Winnett:   Yes, and in fact, if you will look  at
the second page of the handout on the IPCC,
the  workshop  that   took  place  in Brazil  in
January, 1990, recommended the development
of a world forest conservation protocol (see
Appendix  to  Group  Discussion).  But on the
energy  supply and use question, the convention
made very clear that most developing nations -
- especially the tropical countries — were not
interested  in  doing anything until  the energy
question was addressed by the developed coun-
tries -  and quickly.

Lavender:   I  think  we are going about  this
whole thing backwards.  I think the first priority
as far  as  forestry  is concerned is a  greatly
beefed-up,  much  more efficient  fire-fighting
establishment.  For  instance, in Canada  last
year we burned  over  7 million  hectares  of
forests.  It will take  a tremendous amount of
planting and a good number of years before we
put back the  carbon that went up in flames  in
a brief period last summer.  I don't see that
these forest fires  are  necessary.  The point is,
we have never really put  the  resources into
controlling the forest  fires that we should have.
It is far cheaper to control forest fires than  it
is to reforest the area that's  been burned over -
-  particularly  in  the temperate  and  boreal
zones.
  When you  get  a  fire in the  boreal zone,
there's  a tremendous  amount of carbon that's
stored in the soil, and when you get  a forest
fire there the soil starts to warm up.  Then you
lose  not only what was  in  the  trees, but tre-
mendous  quantities   of  carbon  that  become
oxidized in the soil as well.
                                                                                            121

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
 Winnetfc  You could also include methane and
 nitrous oxide.  We are  increasingly trying to ad-
 dress now questions of soil emissions following
 biomass burning or forest burning.  Emissions
 include nitrous oxide that has a heat absorbing
 factor of 170 times that of CO2 and methane,
 which has seven or eight times that of CO2.  So
 these emissions are very important.

 Geron:  I think that some of the other Canad-
 ian  forestry people might  question the  cost
 effectiveness of excluding fire from the Canad-
 ian  systems, given that it is  a natural part of
 the  ecology there.

 Lavender  Yes, but if we're interested in the
 cost of  maintaining carbon where  it  is so  it
 doesn't get into the atmosphere, this  is  a dif-
 ferent economic question than  has  ever been
 addressed by Canadian foresters.

 Table XXX BOARD NOTE #3, a and b.

               APPROACH
   Fwt Protet&m — a top need, particularly in temporal and
        boreal forests;
        vs. reforestation
        - and from N2O and NH^ new

   Quatiau-
        Fuel Buildup and eventual fire preservation
        vs. planting relative to CO2 and C storage;
        Depending upon condition of existing forest;
        Timber stand improvement
Geron: A couple of points that were made by
Canadian fire ecologists should be mentioned.
Fire suppression has been successful in keeping
the fire size down, but this increases fuel loads.
Then  when  a fire  does  eventually  comes
through, the intensity is increased.  In this way,
organic build-up  in  the  soil is  less than what
might  have occurred  if fire were allowed to
 evolve on its natural cycle.

 Wyant:  That is one of the Yellowstone issues,
 but the jury is still pretty  much out  on that
 conclusion.  Yellowstone is  a good example of
 the attempts to increase fire fighting efficiency
 not working very well. When there is  a horiz-
 ontal roll of fire vortices sweeping across land-
 scapes, there's nothing you can do to stop this
 type of wildfire.

 Stout:   What we're  saying, then, is  that  all
 carbon in forests  is going to recycle sometime.

 Winnett: The objective of sequestering carbon
 with forests is  to  buy ourselves a little  time; in
 other words, to delay global warming 50 or  60
 years.  Not only do we need to  talk about fire
 protection in forests, we have to protect stand-
 ing  forests in general ~ especially the  tropical
 forests. Given that for every hectare of  tropical
 forest  lost  for whatever  reason, even if  we
 could replant them we are not going to get the
 same carbon sequestration as is sitting there in
 the  existing forest. This depends,  however, on
 the  extent of durable products that are made
 out  of whatever is removed  ~ and to be effec-
 tive, that should be for one  hundred or more
years. So one of the points in the IPCC discus-
 sion has been  that it  is more  economic  to
preserve standing forests  than it is to replant.

Malcolm:  That's the  negative approach, is it
not? You're saying that this  carbon is stored  in
this  climax forest, where it is in fact neutral  in
terms  of CO2.    It's  stopped,  but  it  doesn't
relate to younger stands which are sequestering
CO2.

Hughes: It depends on the kinds of stands you
are preserving, too.  In the ones we saw yester-
day, obviously there  are great  quantities   of
carbon there. A lot of forests in the South and
other parts of the world, however, will  store a
lot more carbon in the next forty years if they
122

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                                                                               GROUP DISCUSSION
 are cleared  now  and  replaced  by managed
 plantations.

 Winnett:  It should be noted  that there are at
 least three analyses on the question of whether
 harvesting the Northwest old-growth trees and
 replacing them with young,  vigorously growing
 stands for the sake of sequestering.  In those
 three cases,  the results came down in favor of
 keeping old-growth stands.

 Hughes:  I think I would agree.

 Winnett:  It was clear from your presentation
 that  the intensively  managed loblolly stands
 would be very well suited to  contributing  car-
 bon sequestering.

 Lavender: No one has addressed the question
 of  internal rot.  Many years ago I  was inves-
 tigating internal rot in old-growth Douglas fir,
 and we  looked  at stands from 200-500 years
 old.  We were  unable to find many that were
 over 400 years  because once  they get  beyond
 that age the internal rot becomes progressively
 greater,  until by the  time they are  500 years,
 over half of what  appears to  be standing  bio-
 mass is totally rotted out.  The same thing is
 true  to  an  even  greater extent  in the  old-
 growth boreal forests  of Canada:  lots of those
 forests are shells of wood around nothing.

 Winjum:   Another chart put together some
 time ago can be used as  an  entry point to the
 next  question:   If we  were  called upon to
 address  people  at  the  top levels of  federal
 agencies, what  recommendations  we  would
 make with respect  to the whole issue of global
 reforestation? Let's discuss what we would  say,
with all the appropriate caveats about ecological
 issues, the socio-political concerns,  and  the
 technical  management considerations.  Using
this as a guide, how might we  summarize the
workshop?  This is our objective for this day.
  The first one is the land availability question.
                                                 T*ble XXXL BOARD NOTES #4
   WHAT RECOMMENDATIONS
   SHOULD WE MAKE ABOUT:

   * Ecological/Biological Considerations
         Lands
         Species
         Hazards
   * Social/Political Concerns
         Present policies
         Economic development
         Social acceptibility
   * Technical/Management Requirements
         Planning
         Infrastructure
         Follow-up tending
         Research needs
As a first approximation based upon the litera-
ture and preliminary discussions,  Paul and I
estimated that an upper limit was 1 billion hec-
tares in 25  years.   This says nothing about
suitability,  only  availability.    The  estimate
consists of 750 million in the tropics and possib-
ly 250 million in the temperate and boreal zon-
es.
  The  remark came back  to  us,  "Okay, that
sounds great, but does  it pass  the laugh test?"
That's the question  I'd like to  ask you now.
Does it pass the  laugh  test?

Trexler:   Could  you explain  where you  got
these numbers?

Schroeder:   The 750  million  comes  directly
from Alan Grainger, in a paper in the Interna-
tional Journal of Tree Crops,  1988.  All are very
rough numbers, mostly  guesses.

Ladd: He got them, as I did, from the  United
Nations F.A.O.

Winjum:  And how  much  of  that did  he say
was degraded or  abandoned  land?

Liegel:   Did  he  specify  whether  it is  dry  or
more moist and humid?
                                                                                          123

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
Table XXXIL BOARD NOTES #5
         LAND: TECHNICAL SUITABILITY
   Upper limit 1 billion hectares over 25 years

   750 b. in tropics (Brazil, approx. 200 m.)
       -not arid lands

   250 b. in temporal and boreal
       1AO m. in s.e. United States
       Also, New Zealand, Australia

   Population effects
       Shifting agriculture will continue
       Food needs will continue to call for
              agricultural lands

   Much uncertainty and need

       CIS analysis

       More research
Schroeder:  This leaves out the most arid part.
We  actually came  up with  a grand total of
about 2 billion hectares in the tropics, of which
1.25 billion are unsuitable for trees because of
aridity.  The lands run from  being quite moist
to semi-arid.

Winnett:   Jack, did  the 250 million  include
more than North America?  Does that include
the  Soviet  Union  and degraded eastern Eur-
ope?

Winjum:  Only in  very rough terms.  For the
temperate regions, we took the number out of
the  Trees for  U.S.  Report.   It  was  about 15
million  hectares for the  U.S.  alone.  We said,
"If there's that much for  the U.S., surely in the
circumpolar, temperate region there ought to
be 250  million hectares available.

Winnett:   What do people think?   I  haven't
heard anyone's reaction to this, what do people
think about the feasibility?

Schroeder:  This says nothing about feasibility.
Nobody is standing here proposing to plant a
billion hectares of forest.

Winnett:  What you're saying is a billion will be
available over the next 25 years?

Winjum:  That was  our estimate.  We confess
that we're pretty naive about this, which is why
we want to  get the reaction of this group.

Caillez:  I think part of the  issue is whether
agriculture  will be  able to  feed the coming
generation of people in every type of climate.
In the subtropic areas  the numbers of people
will increase  and it will  be possible  to feed
them.  But in the humid zones we do not have
a good agricultural  model  for feeding people,
and the shifting population will be increasing
more and more.  We will have strong immigra-
tion problems in Africa.   For  instance, the
population from  Sudan will go south to count-
ries  where   agricultural  development  is  not
advanced.   So I think  deforestation  in the
tropics  will  increasingly go up.   This number
seems to me very much optimistic.

Trexler:  Since Grainger does a lot of sustain-
able agriculture work, is he  assuming that we
are bringing the latest technology in sustainable
ag to bear on existing ag lands so all the other
lands could be  freed  up?  In  principle,  we
could grow  a lot more food on a lot less  land
if we're willing to make some heroic  assump-
tions  about those lands.   But as you said, the
FAO calculates  that we're going to be  using
more than  an additional  200 million hectares
just to grow food.

Schroeder:  He didn't say that, but that may be
the case.

Owston:  One of our project leaders went  to
an international  meeting in Vienna about two
months ago.  I  don't know whether it  was  a
meeting about a monitoring system or whether
it dealt  with land inventory, but I think the
 124

-------
                                                                               GROUP DISCUSSION
 latter.   I  will check on this  and see  if any
 useful data is available.

 Hunter:   Could we not  accept the Grainger
 numbers as being indicative  of the potential
 amount of land that's going to be available, and
 that there  will be some conflict with agriculture,
 with the result that we may need to  use some
 kind of global  information system?

 Trexlen That's an incredibly high number.  To
 leave  that number  in  as the number  seems
 dangerous.

 Hunter:  What I didn't say  in my paper was
 that Australia has  got  itself into a pickle with
 badly acidified  land in the east of the country.

 Winnett:  Ian, if you had to give a best guess
 for Australia, what would you say?

 Hunter: I just don't know. I'd have to get the
 figures and get back to  you with them.

 Ladd:   The methodology isn't spelled out. I'm
 not so interested in getting specific numbers
 and estimates,  but in getting ideas on how we
 could make better land  availability estimates.

 Moraes: Jack, the main issue in the  tropics is
 to produce forests and food.   So how to grow
 food with forests is highly important.  Some of
 the land could  be used for agro-forestry.

 Winjum:   That's  a  good thought, too.   We
didn't  really consider the agro-forestry oppor-
tunity.

Liegel: Let me just make a comment. I heard
Lanly  of FAO speak a  few  years back.  He
admits there are a lot of unknowns in how the
countries report the figures.  Some use remote
sensing; some use no remote  sensing, but just
the best estimates of the people on the ground.
There  are big discrepancies in the quality  of the
                                                   Table XXJOIL  BOARD NOTES #6,
     AOROFORESTRY
         Factored in
         Promising trend in India

     * Grainger's estimate may be too high; others lower

     Availability vs. Need

     * Need: 5.6 Gt C - optimal
         —to offset deforestation in last 10 yrs.

     Natural reforestation? -- Yes!
     India gap planting - Yes!
         (special conditions; e.g., Diptocarps)
     Extension of natural forests into savannah;
         e.g., Gabon, okum£
data and in some  instances,  it is just a paper
exercise.

Hunter: I'd like to ask Mark why he's unhappy
with the figure of 1 billion hectares, because to
me, maybe the land availability isn't  a con-
straint. There are constraints we haven't really
talked about, one being suitability.

Trexler: The thing is, there's so much degrad-
ed  land out there,  but  as we heard yesterday,
we aren't going to be able  to put forests  on
that degraded land in any sort of large-scale
manner. I think the degraded lands account  for
an  awful lot of what  Grainger summed  up.
Many  more people rely on  Houghton's num-
bers.  He estimates that five to six million hec-
tares  are available for reforestation.   And  he
admits even that may be too high, since all it
consists of is adding up the brown spots on the
GIS maps.

Ladd:  How does one look at the brown spots,
then assess  the other criteria  associated with
that, and make  it a reasonable  estimate?

Trexler:  I  don't think we've  done  that yet.
This is a first level of brown  spots.
                                                                                          125

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
Schroeden Personally I don't think there is the
number.  Whether it's  a half-billion  or  three
quarters of a  billion, it doesn't  make any  dif-
ference one way or the other; it's  such a huge
number.  The realm is so big, it's  irrelevant
whether it's one or the  other.

Hughes:  It's  either big or small according to
what  you think you need.  They are relative
numbers. I was confused a little when I read
something that you  sent  out  (prior to  the
workshop). I saw your availability numbers and
I read it to be need. The earliest article said
200-300 million hectares needed, I think. And
Roger Sedjo's estimate was  about twice that.
But  the availability  numbers  we're  discussing
here  are the  highest I've seen in respect to
what you need.

Schroeden But what do you need?

Malcolm:  The objective  is to sequester  5.6
gigatons of carbon per year. If you don't think
it should be that, then how much do you need
to sequester?  How much land do you need to
sequester how much carbon to meet that objec-
tive?

Winjum:  Yes, one of  the targets was to se-
quester 5.6 gigatons of  carbon annually,  but it
could be less and  still  aid in delaying global
warming.

Moraes: Natural forest  management should be
included in this as well.

Winjum:   Yes,  I  would think so.  What we
have  focused  on are the new forests.  I don't
know what the opportunity is for managing the
natural forest.  We did look  a  little bit at
timber stand improvement, for example,  forest
fertilization or weed control. That opportunity
seemed  quite small  in terms of its  carbon-
sequestering potential versus reforestation.  We
didn't analyze natural   reforestation  through
natural seeding.

Chaturvedi: There are parts of India where we
have started  planting by a method called gap
planting.  In  the existing forest we depend on
natural regeneration, but in most of the  areas
we have also been gap planting as a method for
increasing stocking density. We find this to be
working much  better than  other methods of
planting.  In many of our natural forests we
have introduced teak in this fashion.  We have
found this method to be satisfactory provided
you don't  plant very large areas or too densely.

Hughes:   That's going to depend on the  spe-
cies, isn't  it?   We  would never think of doing
that in the southern  United States.

Chaturvedi:  One  problem is,  if you open up
the canopy then suddenly lots  of weed species
come in,  which  we must  then spend  a lot of
money to  eliminate.  In India, shifting  cultiva-
tion is on  the decline, the primary reason being
that the cycles of cultivation  have been  shor-
tened   and  the productivity  is much  lower.
Therefore, it is  no longer effective.   So  it is
possible to increase forest cover in these areas
by  combining tree growing with  agricultural
crops.  This agro-forestry approach is a promis-
ing trend.

Cailliez: I think it is rather difficult to plant in
small openings for a system  of enrichment or
artificial planting.  In Gabon there was a lot of
land occupied by  agriculture  when there was
slave labor. Since the end of the slavery, with
the  population  at  a low  level,  The  natural
forest  of  okume  grows  up,  provided  some
simple and cheap working of the ground is
done. Okoume is in high demand and grows in
almost pure stands. The cost of this practice is
l/6th that of a forest plantation establishment.
  The  area conserved can  be as large  as 2
million hectares.  So I think it's a third type of
possibility, which favors the natural expansion
126

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                                                                             GROUP DISCUSSION
of natural forests in combination with some
small, cheap mechanical work of the ground.
This is possible in certain types of areas where
populations are low.  If I were the Minister of
Forestry for Gabon, I would prefer to  receive
a certain amount of dollars to do this  type of
forestry, instead  of  the same amount to es-
tablish forest plantations..

Winjum:   To  conclude  this  land  availability
question,  I'm  still trying  to decide  what's the
sensible thing to tell agency policy-makers?  We
can say we made an early estimate of this based
upon library  sources.   Then we  asked  the
opinions  of people  from the   international
scientific community  at  this workshop.  They
responded that one billion hectares of available
land is  on the high  side.  Over the next 25
years, they felt there may be only half  that
number.
  But that's  probably not the major  limiting
factor we must think about.  There are more
matters  that  will influence  the decision to
support large-scale reforestation  than just the
land  availability,  such   as  the  socio-political
considerations relating to needs and concerns of
local people.  But this original estimate does
say that  there are a good number of hectares
available  if we learn  how to approach  the
whole issue in the right manner.

Hunter:  Do you want to use the phrase "avail-
able land," or do you want to say "technically
suitable?"

Trexler:   You may have your terms reversed
here.  Suitable land is  land that we can grow
trees  on,  and no  one can disagree with that.
Available land is much, much more constrained.
Available means  available in  a  holistic sense
and is not a scientific term.

Winjum:  Do you  agree  with that, Ian?

Hunter:  I think technically suitable is the right
term.

Winjum:  We want to keep the land estimate
more realistic.  There isn't a lot of background
material, but your impressions are what we are
after now, given the level of familiarity we all
have.

Hunter:  I  think you  need to stress the  fact
that more analysis needs  to be done before a
realistic estimate of the amount of available or
technically suitable land can be made.

Malcolm: I think you need to emphasize what
the objective is in  terms of the quantities of
carbon you are trying to sequester.

Trexler:  But isn't that backwards?  I mean, the
amount of carbon you sequester depends  on
the land, it's  not the  amount of  land that's
dependent on  the carbon.

Malcolm: The amount of land you're looking
for also depends on the amount of carbon  you
want to sequester.  Is the goal to mop up the
entire fossil fuel input or is it not?  If  it isn't,
then you're  not looking for that much land.

Winnett: The Noordwijk Ministerial Declara-
tion, in  November, 1989, suggested the  goal of
reforesting 12  million  hectares annually over
the amount of hectares  deforested  annually.
This would  be another way of looking at it,
rather than purely in terms of carbon sequester-
ing.  Could we replant 12 million more  than is
deforested  annually in order  to  regain that
which has been lost?

Wyant:  What is the ultimate goal, a return to
the extent of pre-Pleistocene forest cover?

Winnett:  Well,  I  think  this  Nordwijk Mini-
sterial Declaration was  looking at the  last 10
years  of deforestation  as the  beginning,  and
then setting a goal  of trying to gain back that
                                                                                        127

-------
 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
which  has been lost  by planting 12  million
hectares annually for 40 years over the level of
deforestation.

Liegel:  Even  in that context one  needs to get
an estimation of how much has reverted natur-
ally to forest,  either from agriculture  or from
some other source.  And those estimates  are
probably  just  as  poor  as  the estimates   on
deforestation.

Winjum:   We  do need  a better inventory
system on a global scale.

Winjum:  From  the workshop papers, we have
presented some examples on costs, incentives
and social/political considerations of large-scale
reforestation.  Some of these numbers are  on
the board (Table XXXIV).  Let's  discuss them
to get an  idea of how much one-time develop-
ment cost it takes to  produce so many cubic
meters.  The point is that in different parts of
the world and under different forest situations,
it is going to take different levels of investment
to establish new forests.  Then, based on  the
growth  rates, the cost  in dollars of wood pro-
duced is going to vary.  But such  analyses  will
guide strategies  on  where  dollars  are  best


Table XXXTV. BOARD NOTES #7

                Reforestation Data
COUNTRY
New Zealand
S. U.S.
Brazil
Congo
U.K.
India
West Coast US
BC
MAI COST
(M5/HA/YR) $/HA
25
9
35
30
14
9
14
6
300
300
600-1000
1400
1100
800
1730
1000
EST.COST
$/M5
12
33
-
47
78
88
124
166
invested.

Lavender:   I think the  MAI  (mean  annual
increment) numbers you have for British Col-
umbia  should be  doubled from three to six,
nvVha/yr.  There's  a lot of land that no one in
their right mind would spend money to plant
that is  involved at 3
   (Land costs are not included)
Hughes:  But that's fair.   If you can  increase
the productivity on lands with poor productivity,
you don't need as much area for new planta-
tions..

Hunter:  Has anybody included the  capital cost
of the land?  That  would greatly  change the
New Zealand figures.

Stout:    No, and no maintenance costs are
shown either.   I  think we should think about
this, Jack,  and go back to my New York ex-
perience. In the 1930s, during the depression,
New York State planted 400,000 acres of pine
plantation. In the 1950s all of the state budget
for forest management was  devoted to  those
400,000  acres,  which were degraded  because
the pine were  planted so  much  off-site. Yet
they had four million acres of good hardwood
forest  that was  not  being  managed  simply
because  of the money tied up in  plantations.
The money  was  spent  and  and  New  York
foresters felt  compelled to  take care of the
plantations with the funds  available. I  can see
this happening worldwide.

Hughes:  This points to the issue of incentives.
Land availability is one thing, but there have to
be incentive costs to get people to do reforesta-
tion.

South:  On the incentives,  I'd like to point out
that in Scotland  they have changed  from tax
breaks for growing forests to  a grant system. A
grant to  a forest land owner now ranges from
$1500 to $1700 per hectare, with an additional
 128

-------
                                                                               GROUP DISCUSSION
$1500 to $1700 per hectare, with an additional
$340 per  hectare per year for  20 to 30 years,
depending on what species is planted.  Correct
me if I'm mistaken, Douglas.

Malcolm:   That's  certainly applicable  to the
farmer who owns woodlands.

South: My point is, however, that even though
you  are spending that much money, or holding
that much  money  out as  a  carrot, it often
doesn't work as well as a tax break.

Lavender  In  Oregon, landowners have the
option to choose between  a forest yield  taxes
or an ad valorem taxes. Under the forest yield
tax system, the landowner pays a minimum tax
until harvest; then he pays  12.5 percent stump-
age  value to the state in  lieu of the taxes he
would have  paid before.   Oregon  pioneered
forest  practices  regulations and has almost 100
percent compliance with its forestry regulations.

Malcolm: There's a psychological aspect to the
tax break.  It's  doing the tax collector out of
some  money, and that's very  attractive  com-
pared  to receiving a  hand-out.

Winnett:   Is that necessarily  the case in the
developing countries?

Winjum:  How  about it, Renato, what kind of
financial incentives would work in Brazil?

Moraes: In Brazil, there is no longer a monet-
ary incentive to plant trees.

Winjum:  But when  an incentive existed,  what
was  its form?

Moraes: Before, all people paid taxes and part
of it was applied to  reforestation; but this has
been discontinued.

South:  In Chile, plantation costs were put into
the tax break category.

Hunter:  Yes, they were.  There  was a trem-
endous effect in terms of increases.

Schroeder:   How do  the economics  of things
like agro-forestry or small farm woodlots com-
pare with the more traditional type of refores-
tation  practices?

  TaMeXXXV. BOARD NOTES #8.


     AOROFORESTRY COSTS VS. REFORESTATION

     *    Agroforestry costs usually much cheaper
         (i.e., few J/ha; but also consider $/nr)

         -because local people are involved in  helping
          themselves, this would greatly reduce all reforestation
          costs.

         • Brazil:  forests then not taxed

         • China:  8 billion trees/yr. planted
Trexler:  In my experience, agro-forestry is very
inexpensive by comparison.  If in fact you are
providing extension services for doing what the
local farmers want to do anyway, then to grow
seedlings  there's no  labor  cost ~  they do  it
themselves; there's no land cost ~ it's their own
land;  it's generally  not  fertilized,  so  there's
virtually  no cost except putting  into place the
infrastructure to manage the extension services
and the training. That costs money, clearly, but
it's dollars and  not  hundreds  of thousands of
dollars per hectare.  (See Table XXXIII.)

Hunter:  What you are saying, Mark,  is exactly
the same in philosophy as in housework.

Trexler:  Well, I wouldn't take it that far.   But
the point is that these people  are doing some-
thing in their own interest that  has a payback
in terms of their property rights; a  payback in
terms  of not  having to go  and   collect  the
                                                                                          129

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
lumber and pay for it, so overall it's an  econ-
omic activity on their part that can legitimately
be  supported because  local people are better
off without large financial payments.  A  lot of
people in these systems would  argue  that you
shouldn't be paying people to undertake large
planting programs.   If you  are paying local
people to plant trees, you have  no idea wheth-
er they are doing it for the pay or for the long-
term interest in  the tree.  Survival rates and
success is likely to decline pretty substantially if
there  is  no  long-term interest as found  by
experience of some past programs.
Table XXXVI BOARD NOTES #9.
            INCENTIVES:  EXAMPLES
   *    Tax breaks vs. grants
       (or ad valorem yield tax)

   Brazil: None now for reforestation

   Chile: Tax breaks

   India: Low interest loans to private land owners
       -Land ceiling laws - exemptions for non-forest
       plantations (tea-coffee), but a need for cutting permits.
       •Need to eliminate
       -Money for forests competes with other land uses
Ladd:  While we're on the subject of incentives,
it seems that we should consider the disincen-
tives  or  counter-incentives  (Table  XXXVI).
For  instance there might be  an incentive  to
develop  land for  ranching  that would  be  a
disincentive to  planting trees.

Winjum:  What  are some of the examples  of
where there are more financial incentives for
other land uses which competes with  forestry
land use?

Chaturvedi:   In  India  there  would  be two
applications  of this  example.   One  is  tree
planting on private lands.   These farmers do
need money at a low rate of interest. Govern-
ment-backed,  low-interest loans  as incentives
work well for the private small fanner.  With-
out such incentives, land is used for other pur-
poses.
  The  second, which is equally  important  in
India,  is that  we  have what  we  call the land
ceiling laws.   You cannot own  more than 16
acres.   The  government has exempted some
plantations, those that grow coffee, tea, cocoa,
etc., from these laws, but not forestry.  There
would  be greater incentive if forestry  planta-
tions could  be  taken out of the land ceiling
laws, or if  the limit to land  ownership  was
increased for  forests.   Also, there  is  a tree
protection act.  People plant trees in order to
use them in a few years, not to protect them.
They believe  they should be  able to cut them
down.

Moraes: Formerly  in Brazil, landowners paid
taxes on productive forests. Now, owners with
forested land  are not taxed on that land.

Peterson: If  there  are no forests, then there
are taxes, right?

Moraes: If you  have forests on your land, then
you pay no tax.  There are taxes on other kinds
of land, but not on  forests.

Hunter:  Jack, I think the point that Renato is
trying to get across is that if governments can
find a  way to give  incentives which  harnesses
their energy, then reforestation can be achiev-
ed at very much less cost.  So  there are quite
a number of case studies which show that rela-
tively minor changes in taxation laws can have
enormous leverage in promoting forest activity.
Chile and New Zealand are good examples.  I'd
guess that's the  kind of incentive that needs to
be achieved.

Lavender:   The Chinese  have planted eight
billion  trees  a year.  I wonder what kind of
130

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                                                                              GROUP DISCUSSION
Trexler:  The biggest incentive in the world is
land tenure.


South:  The chart (Table XXXIV) shows that
it's cheaper to  plant  in  the  U.K. than in the
Congo.   But  from  a broader  perspective  it
would be cheaper to plant in the Congo. Just
because reforestation is cheaper  per hectare
initially doesn't mean it is cheaper in the long
run.

Peterson:  You mean we need another column
of figures which includes maintenance costs?

South:    I  am suggesting we  need  another
column for the  agroforestry numbers.

Table XXXVU BOARD NOTES #10.

                LAND TENURE

   *     Developed Countries

   *     Developing Countries

        o people do not own land, so hard to motivate local
         population
        o  even in cases of small land  owners, no annual
              incomes w/o some incentives (e.g., Puerto
              Rico)
        o  for mega-reforestation, where would agricultural
              people go? Cities!
        o perhaps could use income from forests to buy feed;
              e.g., India
Winjum:  Do we need to talk more about land
tenure?  I seem to hear that it can be both an
incentive  and a disincentive.

Trexler:     Denis  talked  about  Canada  ~  a
developed country where land tenure is helping
to prevent poor forest and land practices.  In
many, many developing countries where people
don't own the land, it's very tough for them to
get excited about  reforestation  for  long-term
purposes.   It's a very big issue.
Ladd:  Somebody owns the land.  What incen-
tives do they see or feel?

Trexler:   In many cases,  it's the  government
that owns the land and people are doing long-
term squatting.  They just don't know at what
point they might be kicked off.  In some cases,
you can grow the trees on your land,  but even
then you don't have the right to cut them.

Hunter:   In some cases, they  may own their
land and the  taxation may be low,  but if they
sell  the  land to  a forestry  organization,  for
example,  they have  to  go out and  look  for
some kind of employment.  They must change
their  lifestyle to  that of  an employed wage-
earner.

Liegel: It's like a lot of small countries in the
Caribbean; in Puerto Rico, for example, where
a farmer  might own an acre.  In such cases,
even if the program gave the trees free to the
people, there is no incentive to growing them
for ten years.  Furthermore,  though  there's  a
law in  that country which says that forest areas
greater than five acres  in size are forest re-
serves  and no tax payments  are required until
the  timber  is  harvested,  basically  nothing  is
planted.

Trexler:  Why is that? Because  they don't own
the land?

Liegel: No, local people still own the  land, but
they can plant bananas or tomatoes or some-
thing which  produces an income once or twice
a year, even on steep slopes.

Winnett:  What is needed is to create a situa-
tion where  land  tenure is  granted  to grow
longer term  crops,  and  also to provide  the
ability  to produce in the short term yields until
the long-rotation crops are ready and sustain-
able.
                                                                                          131

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
Liegel:  In regard to the technical suitability of
the land, there have been umpteen studies that
show that out of .9 million hectares of land in
Puerto Rico,  200,000  hectares  are technically
suitable for forests and forest-growing is  the
best use of the land. This  was first reported in
1950 and they still know  it in  1990.   To  get
that land into trees for water protection and for
forestry, and for other benefits,  however, does-
n't work.

Hunter:  Renato made a point  that should be
followed up.  The large corporations in Brazil
had to put considerable pressure on the farmers
to make them give  up their land.

Winjum: And what happened to  the farmers?

Moraes:  They are finished, they have to move
away.  That is the result of mega-reforestation
Brazil.

Winnett:  A question here might also  be:  is it
possible, in this conflict between  agriculture and
forestry, to substitute the income from forestry
to  provide  food  for  the  people  who were
growing agricultural food  to  support  themsel-
ves?

Winjum:  You mean as an incentive?

Winnett:  Well, no; if the conflict is  between
people producing their own  food and  people
producing  forests,  is   the income from  the
forests sufficient to pay for the food which they
would otherwise raise?   Does  that solve  the
problem?

Winjum:   Is that  an  approach that has been
used anywhere?

South:  In  India, when I was  there  last,  the
EEC was sponsoring such a project. They went
into  an  area  and  on some communal land,
instead of having the goats running loose there,
the organization  said,  "We will lease  the land
from the community, fence the whole area,  so
there will be no more goat grazing, and pay the
community  a  certain  amount per hectare  of
land leased  and fenced."

  Table XXXVIIL  BOARD NOTES #11.

     UNITED STATES - CR.P. LANDS
     o  2 million acres, agriculture to forest
         $55/ac. initially,
                then
         $45/ac/yr. for 10 years
         —so some income to landowner in place of
          agricultural income
         Top countries with average income also are
         forested, so forests can produce wealth.
Hughes:   The  C.R.P.  program  provides an
example we ought  to  consider.    It  took  2
million  acres (810,000 hectares) of land out of
agriculture and  converted it  to forests.  The
cost to government  was half down plus  ten
annual  payments to the  land owner, so there's
some income.    The program proceeded  at
about a half million acres a year  from 1986
through 1989, to accomplish the 2-million-acre
goal.

South:  In some parts of the United  States, I
think the cost  was $55  an acre  initially, plus
$45 per year for ten years  ($135 and $110/hec-
tare, respectively).

Hughes:  That  first  $55 an acre was  actually
about half the cost of replanting.

South:  That's half the cost; so  the landowners
finally have to pay $110 an acre to  get planta-
tions established, but the maximum reimburse-
ment was $55.

Hughes:  That's the sort  of  example  of what
 132

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                                                                                  GROUP DISCUSSION
Hughes:  That's  the sort  of example of what
might be done in the third world, where land-
owners either work the land or lease it out.

Ladd:  Is there any  stick associated with that
program; in other words, any penalties?

Hughes:    The  landowner  has  to  reimburse
government for the entire  amount if he takes it
out any time during the  10-year period.  These
were erodable lands.  This year, apparently, the
program was started  for wetlands within  farm-
lands. It's similar except that at the  end of the
10-year  period wet  forest lands are created
which can't be  cleared  again for  agriculture.
But   landowners  would  probably leave  it  in
forest anyway, because within  five years they'd
be able to  harvest a thinning for income.  In
that way, the plantation  is far enough into the
rotation that there's quite  an incentive to leave
it in forest.

Lavender:  Jack,  I think we see  a correlation,
or a  cause-and-effect situation. If you look at
the countries with the highest average income
in the world, a remarkable proportion of these
are  heavily forested  countries,  like  Norway,
Sweden,  Finland, Canada, even  the  U.S.  (a-
Ithough  in  the U.S. I wouldn't  ascribe  it to
forestry). So apparently forest resources  pays.

Malcolm:   But  the  rate  of  return on  most
forest land  is one-half of one percent.

Lavender:  That  may very well be,  but forest
incomes contribute to a country's  balance of
payments.

Hughes:  These are the nations where people
don't necessarily  make a living on  forest land
that they own.  The one  reason we have exten-
sive  forests in the southern U.S., for example,
is that people aren't  really dependent on their
own land.  They  may live out in the forested
countryside, but  they actually work  in a mill
somewhere.


Lavender:  I'm just suggesting  that forests are
capable of producing wealth.


Hughes:  Oh, no doubt.  I'm saying that people
in these situations are not dependent upon the
forests for  feeding  themselves.


Table XXXDC BOARD NOTES #12


                   SPECIES


   *       Native species not always the best

   *       What local people want may need to be tempered

   *       Seed availability needs to be considered

   *       Climate change will require some changes in
          species

   *       Need a column in Table XXXII for native species
          to compare with exotics

   *       Technology of large-scale limited to few species and
          provenances

   *       Wood use of harvest needs to be considered

   *       Biodiversity or protection factor should guide
          species question

   *       Need to consider public resistance

   *       What is  temperature  tolerance of key  species?
          Precipitation?

   *       Maybe a diverse base is best

   RESEARCH QUESTION:
          Productivity problem, as caused by genetics
          vs. site: must consider this for spp. selection
          in certain sites
Winjum:  We've talked about land availability,
reforestation  costs and  land tenure.   What
about  species and  hazards?   What we heard
yesterday was that  we have to learn to match
species to sites  if  we  are really  going to be
effective. It seems  to be a fundamental, under-
lying concept for reforestation success.  I
thought  the point  that Mr.  Chaturvedi made
was interesting too:  that  since we're going to
be looking at these varied lands where  the soil
                                                                                             133

-------
 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
facing climate change also,  it makes sense to
look at the use of exotics more widely.  That is,
we shouldn't be locked into  native species, but
maintain flexibility in the choice of species.

Cbaturvedi:  Yes.  In many sites, exotic species
do much better than natives.

Winjum:  Even though in some of these sites,
the local population is much more in  favor of
the native  species.

Chaturvedi:  Yes, local  people  generally give
preference to trees because of their  material
use, not because they necessarily grow best on
the site.  For instance, in India, most people
will plant oaks  in  the hills because they grew
there historically, but it is not necessarily true
that oaks should be planted  on those sites. So
here too much importance is given to what the
site historically grew, but it may not be techni-
cally sound.

South:  If we're talking plantation establishment
of  natural  species by artificial  regeneration  --
like hardwoods  in the southern United States -
- you can triple the numbers in  the second
column (Table XXXIV), and most  of the time
it  will reduce the numbers in the first  column,
i.e., yields.

Moraes:  Another point, Jack.  Without the
tree seed,  we cannot grow  the most  valuable
species.  It depends upon seed availability.

Malcolm:  Also, we should consider what Den-
ny said this morning regarding the  matter of a
likely interaction between climate change  and
the potentiality of the species.

Hunter:  I wonder what people would really
think if we used education to convince them of
the necessity of using exotics.  I wonder if they
could  be  persuaded to  plant potentially more
valuable species.
Winjum:  Comparing the numbers for exotics
with those for native species might  help per-
suade  people that  they ought to consider  a
change of species.    It  may  be  a bit naive,
however,  to think  people  will jump  on  the
bandwagon just based upon a  set of numbers.
Demonstration trials will likely be needed also.

  Table XL  BOARD NOTES #13

                  CARBON TAXES?

     *    Could help to educate or persuade people toward more
         forests.
         Rapid communications and technology can do a better
         job to evaluate where and what species
         are better in certain locations.

         Maintaining long-term productivity with successive crops

         Biomass for fuel might not be so efficient, especially
         for liquid  fuels (in southern US)—
                 —need the right accounting system
Malcolm:   Taking  up  a point  that  Ian was
making earlier, there's  a school of  economic
thought developing in Britain that there should
be  a  ban on exotic plantations.  If they went
through  that  route,  however,  and  raised  the
money for the sequestration of carbon by taxing
the use of fossil fuels, it might alter the percep-
tions  about fast-growing exotic plantations quite
quickly.

Liegel:  One of the comments I'd like to make
relative to species has to do with  world com-
munications and the knowledge base.   That is,
right  now in this day and age,  due to  instan-
taneous communications, we have,  via  satellite
link-ups   and  computers,  computerized  data
bases and a wealth of information available for
each  individual country.  For these reasons, I
think we  are in a much better position now to
134

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                                                                            GROUP DISCUSSION
know what species are suitable under different
climatic and soil conditions.
  No one has started to assemble such a system
for forestry, but assuming that climate goes up
and it's warmer than it is now, it should be no
mystery about what can be brought  in  from
someplace  else.   The warmer  conditions are
probably similar to someplace else on the globe.
Twenty --  even  fifteen - years  ago  people
planting in the tropics  had to invent the wheel,
species trials were  established over and  over
again,  in part because  the English didn't know
German or  French  and  couldn't  use  their
information.   That is,  because of  language
barriers, they didn't know what was going on in
other countries.   I  think that era is past  now,
but it's going to  take  a lot of money  to syn-
thesize all that information, to educate people
about that knowledge  and how to utilize it.

Moraes: Another consideration is the system of
rotation.   If plantations are  harvested  after
seven  years  and replanted  again  and again,
there  is long-term  concern  regarding main-
tenance of the productivity of the  land,  par-
ticularly when growing fast-growing exotics.

Lavender:  If we're going to have a significant
carbon  tax, Jack, then a lot  of the areas we
commonly think of as  having low productivity
could  be managed  for something  like  fast-
growing poplar to fix  much more carbon and
then convert it to  alcohol.  That would  con-
serve fossil  fuel  and  conserve  carbon at the
same time.

Trexler:  We were just  talking about this yester-
day.   Some of the work that Chris Geron is
involved with includes  early studies accounting
for the exchanged carbon.  It hasn't changed
that much from years ago, when it was  estimat-
ed that to  make  synthetic natural gas  it  took
about 1 Btu of fossil fuel for every 1.4  Btu's of
gas you got out of the  energy  plantation.  So a
lot of carbon benefits seem to leak out on the
way to the gas tank.

Hunter:  Is that still true?

Geron:  Yes, it's basically still the case. Just to
get to the standing wood to generate energy,
half the amount of energy produced is used to
establish the plantation, whether it be from
fossil  fuels or other sources.  It's more econom-
ical in the third world to use agricultural crops,
such as  sugar cane, to convert to methanol.

Stout:  But doesn't that mean that  you might
have to put in more than you get out?

Geron:  Yes, after you  account for the chemi-
cals that you need for the process.

Trexler:   A lot  depends on  the  accounting
system.  For ethanol production, if you don't
count the  value  of the cattle or  chicken as
food,  then you are losing energy by producing
ethanol.  If you do count those things and give
them  separate credit, then you gain energy.  So
the accounting is everything.

Ladd: There are people in New England mak-
ing a living selling firewood.   How are they
doing that?

Geron:  That could be different.  I'm talking
about synthetic fuel.  I don't know what  the
regional numbers are  for firewood.

Winjum: Any more broad generalities that you
can think  of here that need to be considered?

Hunter:  We need to warn reforestation plan-
ners, and I'm reluctant to say this, that we have
only limited species.

Winjum:  You're saying that we have a rather
narrow kit of tools right now.

Hughes:  It's even narrower than species, too.
                                                                                        135

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION

There's a very much reduced genetic base.

Caillez:  We should consider the final product,
too.  We should put forward the idea to people
who  use wood,  the architects and others, the
idea  that wood is wood.  As long  as a rich
country  demands of  a  poor  country some
defined species, we cannot make proper utiliza-
tion of tropical forests.  In France, for instance,
if you want to  build a house you see an ar-
chitect.    The architect demands just  certain
kinds of wood or specifies certain species.  This
has no importance at all;  an equally good job
can be done with a wider mix.

Winjum:  That is related  to another important
point.  While  reforestation might buy us some
time,  we still have to know ultimately what to
do with the wood produced,  converting it into
durable wood  products, substituting it for fossil
fuels, or other approaches to prevent release of
carbon back to the atmosphere, must ultimately
be factored in as well.

Caillez:  Only  a  few of the total  trees found on
the list  of principal  species  are used.  The
others could be  used by glueing them together
or covering them with something such as paint.
In fact, you could mix  a lot  of kinds of wood,
except for furniture, of natural wood.   So I
think we could transform many other forest and
tree species into productive and working planta-
tions.

Moraes:  Another aspect  to think about is the
protection of forests.   Biodiversity and  the
protection factors  should  guide  the  species
selection also.

Licgel:  It's a  kind of two-edged thing, though.
We are not only talking about maintaining the
diversity of the  native  species, some of which
we don't  know because they  haven't  been
categorized. What are  we doing to those areas
where exotic species would be widely planted?
How is this practice going to affect local animal
and plant diversity?  Really,  at this point no
one has dealt with that.

Stout:  On plantations the productivity shown
up there (Table XXXTV) in cubic meters per
hectare per year, how much of that is site con-
trolled and how much is germ plasm controlled?
  I guess  what I am leading to,  Jack, is the
question  of selection of species for the  site.
How are the best species fit to the site?  In
considering tree breeding, how much of that is
going to have to be done? Maybe this applies
to research needs, but it seems to me that we
in forestry have said, "We have a species, this
is what it is, and we will live with that." We've
said it  too long.

Winjum:   This  is  a research  issue that with
more  attention  would  contribute  to  more
efficient carbon sequestering by forests.

Owston:  Another point here.  Maybe we need
to reforest with a diverse genetic base to kind
of hedge  our bets against the probability of
climate change.

Hunter:  Do we need to  know the temperature
tolerance of a species?

Wyant: I think it's  important to think in terms
of more  than just  temperature.  Precipitation
regimes, for instance, must also be considered.
It might not even  be drier; it might be  the
temporal distribution of  precipitation that may
change — the wet season, the dry season -- with
relatively  minor shift  on  an  annual  or  area
basis.

Owston:  And planting a species that normally
has a wide genetic variability, like a seed-lot of
Douglas-fir,  which  has  more  variability  than,
say, lodgepole pine.

Hunter:  The reason I raised the point of using
 136

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Hunter: The reason I raised the point of using
too narrow an array of species is because we
are  already  considering use  of species  that
there's  a lot of public resistance to.  Think of
the problems of trying to use more exotics.

Schroeden  That point came out in several of
the papers  yesterday.   (End of Morning Ses-
sion.)
(Afternoon Session)
Winjum: This afternoon we will begin with dis-
cussion on those points of particular interest to
EPA's policy group (i.e., OPPE).  What  are
some of  those points now, Steve, that this
group might discuss to be of help?

Winnett:  I am anxious to focus some attention
on the Noordwijk  Declaration goal of attaining
12 million net hectares of reforestation per year
for,  say, ten years.  I wasn't  quite sure we'd
answered that question this morning.  Does this
workshop group think  it is feasible to attain  12
million net  hectares of additional reforestation
per year over the  next ten years.  That would
be defined  as 12  million hectares gained over
and  above what is being lost through defores-
tation.  In other words, if 12  million hectares
are being lost each year, that entails planting
24 million hectares per  year,  or  stopping the
deforestation completely for a given year and


Table XU. BOARD NOTES #14.

         CAN WE STOP DEFORESTATION?

       •      WHAT TO DO WITH PEOPLE?
       •      WHAT TO DO ABOUT EMPHASIS
              FOR QUICK DOLLARS
                              GROUP DISCUSSION

planting an additional 12 million hectares.
  So the first question is, whether people feel
that it is possible to do this, and if they aren't
sure,  how  do we go  about  doing  a  global
analysis of the deforestation and reforestation
goal to determine the feasibility?

Caillez:  Do you wish to differentiate between
continents?

Winnett:  We're speaking of a global  goal, but
partitioning by continents would be appropriate.
Obviously  some  gearing up  is going to be
necessary.   One  of  the questions  is  what is
necessary to achieve  this?  There is a dispute
over what the level  of yearly deforestation is
now.   The  estimation  in 1980 was 11  million
hectares per year.  The most recent estimates,
which  I  believe will  be coming  out this year,
are expected  to be in  the range of 20 million
hectares.    The   Dutch  ministers  picked 12
million.

Trexler:  I don't think those deforestation rates
include about a million hectares  that are being
degraded annually in  one way or another.

Caillez:  For me, it seems to be completely out
of reach.  With an increasing  population, it is
completely impossible.   We speak of between
10 and 15 millions of  people in Gabon alone in
100-150 years.  Even  if 10 percent  of these
people die of illnesses,  there is a need for land
to support an increasing amount  of agriculture.
To compete with this situation by establishing
a  large  amount  of more or  less  productive
forests — I don't  think it is possible.

Stout:  You see  no change in rate  of popula-
tion increase, as the pressures build?

Caillez:  I think it will begin to  go  down in a
hundred years.

Hunter:  Well, Steve, do you  want something
                                                                                         137

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  LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION

 practical?   I can  start  the ball rolling by es-
 timating that a technically feasible plan for New
 Zealand might be to return to a 40,000-hectare-
 a-year rate.  This wouldn't be beyond the boun-
 ds of possibility and  could go up to 100,000
 hectares a year net increase. The two problems
 confront this rate.  First, we would need to find
 a mechanism to actually do it.   There would
 have to be  some  kinds of incentives —  first,
 people wouldn't do it altruistically; and second,
 we also have to  embark on a fairly large prog-
 ram of propagation if we intend to use radiata
 pine.

 Hughes:  We've got to convince the public that
 they  are on the Titanic, it  is  sinking, and se-
 questration of carbon is  the only way by forests
 or other means to  keep it from sinking.

 Winnett:  Or, if you could convince the public
 that it was  in their economic best interests to
 stop deforestation,  the next question is, how do
 we stop deforestation?  Or can we stop defor-
 estation, and if so, how? And along with  that
 is the question, is it possible to make the  con-
 servation  of standing forests as economically
 attractive as harvesting them for wood products.
 And  can someone get out  there and demon-
 strate how it's possible  to  make more money
 through reforestation, than  it is through  land
 practices that destroy biomass.

 Malcolm:  You've got at least two  other prob-
 lems  in relation to  people.   One is where  will
 you put the  people who are on the land  that
 you're going  to reforest? The second thing is,
 if you get involved, as  I understand it, with
 trying to manage native forest  in  the tropics,
you've got to  deal with the problem of  the
 need  for more agricultural lands.  That seems
 to be insuperable at the moment, unless  you
can convince everyone  that they're on  the
Titanic.
 extremely fortunate if Canada reforests as much
 land as it cuts over in the next years, and that
 does not take into account the  forest lost by
 insects, disease and fire.  So if you are looking
 at Canada as a possible  contributor to the 12
 million hectares, I would say  no.  Why?  Be-
 cause Canada has a budgetary crisis that's worse
 than that of the U.S.  Canada depends almost
 entirely on forestry products for their balance
 of foreign payments and I just don't see Canad-
 ians putting up the amount of money necessary
 to do the reforestation.
   The province that's the worst is Ontario, and
 most of the people in Ontario couldn't care less
 about forestry.    They are concerned  about
 what's going on  in Toronto.  I  see the same
 thing in British Columbia  ~ they are concerned
 about what's going on in Vancouver.  They're
 not  interested  in  paying  taxes for  Ontario
 reforestation.  So I think Canada will be lucky
 to hold its own in the foreseeable future.

 Winnett:  You can almost guarantee then that
 if the western countries  are unwilling to foot
 the bill, in terms of reforestation, third  world
 and  developing countries are  going to  be as
 unwilling, if not more so, to do it, and probably
justifiably so.

 Lavender:  On top  of everything else,  there's a
very good possibility that Canada is  going to
split up and not remain a single  country, any-
way.

South: If you are talking  about artificial refor-
estation,  the ratio of hectares  planted to hec-
tares  harvested in  the South  could be  a  1:8
ratio for the private land  owners.

Hughes:   It's all successfully reforested event-
ually, however, because nature abhors a vacuum
and something will come in on these deforested
lands.
Lavender:  I would  suggest that we would be   Winnett:   What sort  of incentives would in-
138

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                                                                             GROUP DISCUSSION
crease artificial reforestation?

Hughes:  I think incentives comparable to the
CRP program, in which up to half the cost of
regeneration  is subsidized  plus some annual
payment for  a period  of years, like  10.  We
know that it works in getting the highly  erod-
able lands  put into something other than crops.
It worked  in the  1950s and  '60s through the
soil  bank  program  and it  worked  again just
recently.   We know  that it was a carrot that
brought  a  significant  number  of acres  into
forest through reforestation practices.

Jerstad:   I  think it  would take a lot  more
money now,  though, because fewer  available
lands are old agricultural lands.

Hughes:  Actually,  there are  two sets of acre-
ages.  One is the ag lands  that could go into
forestry if the incentives were there, other than
erodable or wet lands.   The  second is the 23
million acres of highly erodable or  marginal
crop lands in the South. These would give a
better  return in  forestry.   So  if you  had  an
incentive  program  comparable  to  the  CRP
program  for highly erodable, then the 2 million
acres would be available.

Lavender:  If you look  at the trends for prod-
uct values and regeneration costs, the regenera-
tion  costs  have  risen  a lot faster than the
product values, which is another disincentive.

Hughes:  The larger driver would be stumpage
values.  What you'd  really  want for incentive
would  be  a  very  competitive  market.   It's
independent  of the value you put on the prop-
erty.  To some extent  we  are  already seeing
that  happen  because there is  more  overlap
between the wood baskets in the South  and a
tightening wood supply.  Therefore, the prices
have gone  up rapidly.  Locally,  it's had a tre-
mendous impact on prices  and improved the
ratio of reforested  areas among  the  cut-over
lands.   For instance,  in  south Georgia,  it's
something like 80 to 90 percent of the lands
that are  either  planted  or  have  successful
regeneration,  so  if you put a  high value  on
stumpage, people will put their lands back in
forests.

Wyant:  But if we have a global objective of
planting a billion hectares, it kind  of wreaks
havoc  on  the supply curve.

Hughes:  In the longer  run, that's for sure, but
in the  shorter run, the market anticipates.

Winnett:   Renato,  do you have any ideas  on
what kind of incentives would encourage refor-
estation and stop deforestation in Brazil?

Moraes:  I think first, education.  If you have
money, the people will conserve the forests for
one year,  two  years, three years, but after that
they cut the forests.  I  think a  good incentive
is education.

Winnett:   Do you  think that standing forests
can ever become  as attractive financially as the
products of deforestation?

Moraes: In the cut-over areas, where there are
no  more  forests,  the big  problem  is  in  the
government.   People do  not  receive  money
annually so they cut the forests to use the land
for agriculture.

Winjum:  So, some  alternative is  needed  to
compensate people who depend upon defor-
estation.  And where that money is going to
come from is an issue.

Liegel:  Yes, and where do those people go?
There's not just the matter of paying them for
their food.  There would  be all these other
costs, of where they  are going  to be  housed,
their water supply, sewers, and all  the other
supporting necessities.  Deforestation basically
                                                                                        139

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
doesn't get you a whole lot of wood to use on
the market. If Jari, in Brazil, is an example, I
think out of two hundred  and some species
they were harvesting, only 40 were being util-
ized for any type of wood products.  The rest
were basically being burned.  Some near Jari
were being utilized at the mill by being ground
up  and  burned  to supply the  energy for  the
mill.  Under ordinary circumstances,  though,
that doesn't happen; half of it is being burned
so the person can use the lands to plant a food
crop.  It's a very inefficient way to do things.

Moraes:   With the lack  of  enforcement, any-
body can cut the trees.

Winjum:  There's also a  lack of infra-structure
to provide enforcement.

Stout:  What kinds of things are you thinking
about when you ask if  people could get  as
much from  an uncut forest as from  cutting,
Steve?

Winnett:  Deforestation leads, in most cases, to
a  temporary,  several-year,  ability  to  harvest
agricultural products or graze livestock.  These
uses eventually run out when productivity falls.
The alternatives people have suggested include
such things as ranching iguana meat (and you
can laugh), which in  some cases can produce
more meat in pounds per year, sustainably, than
can be  produced in  pounds of beef for  7-9
years.   Nuts,  fruits, rubber, herbs, medicinal
drugs, birds nests were even mentioned.  You
could even go  so far as  to say, "What  about
selectively cut  trees that would preserve  the
character of the forests?"  Those types of things
have been suggested.  The question is, whether
on  a yearly basis,  people  who manage  the
forests for those products can make as  much
money doing that as  they can through defores-
tation. And of course they have to move after
7-9 years.
Hunter:  It's not the money they make.  It's
the food they raise.

Winnett:  Can they make the cash that would
be required to buy the food they need?

Trexler:  A large part of deforestation has been
for the money  realized from exports of meat
and other  products.   In a lot  of cases  it  has
been strictly financial, allthough in some cases,
most of the money came from subsidies.

Owston:  Another point.   If President Bush's
program  to plant a billion more  trees gets going
and is successful-  and  I gather that's in  a
dispersed way in urban and rural areas, not in
large-scale reforestation — at 500 trees per acre,
a billion trees comes out as being enough to
plant 2 million  acres if there were a hundred
percent survival. He doesn't budget the money
for that,  but that's the goal. It's supposed to
be a ten-year program.

Winnett: Some of the money will go to refor-
estation and some to community groups.

Winnett:   They're  assuming a standard cost
share like the CRP, but no land rental costs?

Winjum: One question that interests me is how
do we get  better data on land availability or
technically  suitable land.  Can we get this from
the FAO or is it available  from satellite or
remote sensing  imagery?

Owston:    It's  being planned.   This  Forest
Service person I tried to  call this morning is in
Rome  now on a two-month detail working with
FAO to  plan out a process for  this.

Winjum: So there's someone working on it in
the Forest  Service,  but apparently it is  FAO-
related. Is this the best source?

Trexler:   The  FAO  started a  1990 tropical
140

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   TaHe XLU BOARD NOTES #15.
                LAND AVAILABILITY
                    Sept Report
     • FAO project
               Tropical forest assessment, 1980 and 1990

     • ILCA vegetation monitoring
               $250,000 from UNEP

     • NGO meeting in Central America
               (June, 1990)

     • NASA - EOS:  interested

     • EPA-U.S. Forest Service
               Monitoring

     Diffuse: need social/political input
forestry assessment, but they have fewer people
working on forestry than we do at WRI, and to
make a global assessment? —it's crazy.  They're
not going  to make much  progress.  They are
having to rely mostly on information the count-
ries submit, with virtually no ground crew and
very little  satellite data in  most cases.   Our
people who monitor these  things don't think
the 1990 assessment  is going  to be  any more
realistic than the 1980 assessment.

Wyant: But there are  other agencies that are
taking on such monitoring efforts.  International
Lifestock Center for  Africa is beginning  rudi-
mentary  efforts in both  western and  eastern
Africa.  They are concentrating largely on dry
zones, as  you  might  imagine, but  they  are
looking at  vegetation monitoring  for the  most
part.  The funding is limited - a quarter million
dollars  from  UNEP.  They  are  looking  for
leadership  in  monitoring programs.  NASA's
EOS system -  Earth Observation System — is
a  possible   source  of  information.   Lots  of
people are gearing up to use it but  no one
really knows what to do.  The joint  EPA and
Forest Service forest health monitoring program
is  another  possible source of data, though no
one really  knows what  to  do just yet.  In the
U.S., the Forest Service's FTA program does 10-
                              GROUP DISCUSSION

year,  or  decadal, assessments, with  50-year
projections.   This is probably  where you are
getting the numbers about  losses of lands to
industrial and urban  use.   There  there are
economic modelers working  on the problem as
well.  But the information is diffuse.

Winjum: Diffuse -- that's probably the conclud-
ing word right there.

Ladd: If the question is land  availability, then
introducing  other needs  of  society for  the
landscape has to be considered.

Winjum:  You are going back  again to saying
that technically  suitable is one thing, but how
much  is economically,  socially and  politically
available?  How do we factor in all these land
characteristics?  I wonder about the IPCC. Are
they trying to get  themselves into a position to
provide some leadership?

Winnett:  I think  the idea of IPCC is to reach
some sort of consensus  about what  should  be
done and then get various companies to go off
and  do it.
Winjum:
away.
So  that's probably  a  year or  two
Winnett:  The big IPCC report is supposed to
be out in September of this year.  It will des-
cribe what the situation is, the response strateg-
ies, and such.

Trexler:  But it won't have this number?  They
are making no  attempt to come up  with  the
land availability number?
  This workshop we are doing  in a couple of
weeks in Guatemala, which involves the Central
American NGO's,  should provide  interesting
information.  For the  first time, I think, we'll
be asking the NGO's of tropical countries, and
governmental representatives,  what  do  you
think will pass the laugh test in  terms  of refor-
                                                                                         141

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
estation  in Central  America?    If  they  say,
"Don't be ridiculous,  there's  no potential  for
that at all," then that's going to be a pretty
unfortunate sign.  But it will  be the first time
we will have gone in  and talked with a broad
spectrum of people in respect to this issue.

Winjum:  Will there be a report or proceed-
ings?

Treaden  Yes.

Hunter  Going back to what  Renato just said,
isn't the problem here the perception that  the
world's timber supply  is just about  okay,  but
that there may be a  shortage sometime in  the
future?  How do we move people  away from
that notion and  ask them to  plant large areas
of trees or some kind of non-economic crop?
I  don't  think we've  addressed  how  we attain
that behavior.

Wyant:  Ian, I don't  think it's a non-economic
motive.  It's just a non-timber economic motive.
I think it still has to  be driven by an economic
stick or  carrot.

Hughes:   I think we  see regional shortages
looming.  The  South's Fourth Forest Report
says that within  20 years we  could lose 85,000
jobs in the forest industry in the South directly,
and another 200,000 in service industries  be-
cause the supply of wood won't be there. This
is because we  are currently cutting eight acres
and only regenerating one. I  assume somewhat
the same figures can be used for Canada  — is
that true?

Lavender.  It's like everything else,  the politi-
cians are interested in the election next month
and business is  interested in the next quarter
profits and very few if any are interested in the
next 50 years of forest resources.
   Another question,  where are we going to get
the labor to do  all  this reforestation?  We're
having  trouble  with  this  matter  already  in
British Columbia.

  Table XUtt BOARD NOTES #16.

                 LABOR SUPPLY?
     United States:
     *    Southeast - with machines, it seems to be no problem
          (could double the program in the next few years)

     *    Other U.S. regions and Canada - could be a problem
         Just affecting the 12-19 million ha would be remarkable!
Hughes:  In the South, I think we are a ways
away from  being saturated;  I think  there  is
some room  to  expand.   If  you  look at the
North America,  the place  that  you could in-
crease reforestation levels relatively easily is  in
fact in the South. There's  a  lot of land that is
not doing what  it could do.  There's an in-
frastructure, the population, all you need  is en-
ough carrots and I  believe you could reforest
somewhere between 50 and 75 million acres.  I
don't know whether society would put up with
all these pine trees  in  rows, though.

Wyant:   But in the global  picture, Joe, isn't
that really just  the  tip of  the picture of what
needs to  be done?

Hughes:  Light one candle! A thousand points
of shade!  Who if not  us?  When if not  now?

Trexler:  Could I ask a  variation on Steve's
question?  Given the feedback  on the Noord-
wijk Declaration,  I am  sort  of getting  the
impression that people would find it remarkable
if  we  could  offset  the  current  forest loss
through increased reforestation, without even
considering starting to offset 5.6 billion tons of
carbon from fossil fuel emissions.  Would it be
 142

-------
  T»Me XLIV. BOARD NOTES #17.
     SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES

     • Artificial reforestation to harvest is 1:8
       -Won't change without incentives-

       WHAT KIND OF INCENTIVES?
              CRP-type works, but would have to have
              more dollars now to get 23 million acres of
              marginal farm lands that could be  in forests.

     BRAZIL

     • INCENTIVES

       -Money to compensate people who depend  on  natural
              forests
       -Where do the people go?
       -Where does the money come from?

     UNITED STATES

     • One billion trees would reforest 600,000 ha/yr.,
              providing we keep up w/harvests
remarkable if we could just end  biotic release
of  the carbon and forget about fossil  fuel
release?

Hunter: Yes.

Trexler: That  would be remarkable.

Ladd:   It  strikes  me that our possibilities for
conservation, for  not putting  the CO2 in the
atmosphere, is  much more feasible, much more
achievable, than offsetting it later.

Lavender:   That  was my point about increased
fire protection. That's one way to do  that.

Winjum: We should spend a few  more minutes
scanning down our  list (Table XXXI).  We've
talked  about most of the  items.  We've heard
a lot about the hazards; gone down through the
socio-political  sorts  of things; the  economic
issues in terms  of incentives; social acceptibility
--  how people feel about exotic species  and
plantations that are  in straight rows ~ that  sort
of thing. It may, as  somebody mentioned, take
some public education, with some comparisons
                              GROUP DISCUSSION

on  the table like  Dave put  together  (Table
XXXIV), where there is  another column for
the natural forests as well.  It seems  that those
kinds of numbers need to  be developed.
  Sequestering significant  amounts  of  carbon
through  a higher level of global reforestation
will  take considerable international planning
and  good follow-up.  Without local  infrastruc-
tures,  however, all the good intentions, plans
and  money wil not  accomplish reforestation.
These are tough problems. Some work is going
on to try to approach that through the  NGO's
and  some organizations such  as  CARE.   I
suspect  that  the  IPCC must  be  considering
some of these matters, too.
  What else  can you  think of  that we should
bring out to  heighten our  awareness  of the
potential for  large-scale reforestation?  There
are research needs also.  We can pull ideas out
from the workshop  papers.   Examples  are
matching species  or  genetic  source   to  site
conditions and expanding the  use of more
indigenous species.

Malcolm:  One point I'd like to make is that
these figures depend upon stands which are in
a healthy condition.  Also  stands which  are
managed.  If  you  allow the  stand  to reach its
maximum basal area, it is  difficult  to maintain
its health and increase  its carbon fixing  rate.
It's not simply a case of going out in  the forest
and increasing growth for this purpose.   Other-
wise you would start out with less dense stock-
ing.  It ties in a bit with increasing the hazards
from wildfire through  accumulation of fuels,
too.

Hunter:  I have this awful  feeling that we have
a lack of knowledge as to how that's  achiev-
able.   There's the question  of how to do  a
global analysis  of  reforestation  and  forest
management for carbon sequestering.   When
we have  the information, then we can come out
with a series of prioritized schemes.
                                                                                          143

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
Table XLV. BOARD NOTES #18.
             MAINTAINING FOREST
               C-SEQUESTERINO
   •    MAI's won't go on without follow-up treatments
       or tending

   •    also need to reduce hazards to maintain

   What's really achievable?

   «    -but we have to start somewhere while we're
       improving knowledge

       (5 million ha mentioned in Washington, D. C,
       at ministries meeting)

   •    Need to "quantify" the other forest benefits
       besides wood

   •    Add in other values
Trader:  I would point out that if we wait until
we have priorities, we will be here for 20 years
before we actually do any tree-planting.  There
are  a  lot of forestry projects that could be
undertaken for a whole series of reasons  be-
sides global warming.  Why not  just go ahead
and  say let's try to push some of those  along?
We  don't need to have  the complete answer
before we start doing something.

Hunter:   I  agree, but I think we  have to be
gradually improving on the  choices.

Trexlen   It would be nice.

Hunter:   Steve, was it you who  said that  they
figure  5  million hectares reforested  as soon as
possible?

Trader:   That was sort of a funny story that
came out of Noordwijk.   There was an  con-
ference  in Washington two weeks  ago where
parliamentarians from all over the world were
brought  together.  The number  that they had
given to them, based on some  phone calls that
his forestry staff made, was that conceivably it
might be possible to reforest 5 million hectares
per year, but as soon as they remembered what
had been said at Noordwijk, that number went
out the window in favor of 18 million hectares.

Ladd:   There's an awful  lot of money  that's
been  invested  in reforestation that you  could
argue  was probably  wasted.  If these  inter-
national meetings are serious about continuing
on with reforestation for carbon sequestering,
it's up to us to come up with investment dollar
figures.  We  can say,  yes,  it's economical, it
won't  cost  a   trillion dollars,  or it will cost
whatever.   It  seems reasonable to push  the
analysis in that direction instead of turning our
backs and saying wood prices will be depressed
as the end of  the argument.

Winnett:  And it might be more valuable.  At
least in the Northeast, we don't know what the
demand for products is going to be, say  30 or
40 years from  now.   We don't know what the
technology will be or possibly what manufac-
turers  are turning wood into. Thirty years  ago
the black cherry species in the Northeast  was
considered to  be junk wood, and now it  is the
most valuable  species, next to black walnut, on
the entire continent.

Winjum:  We've got the same story with red
alder here on the West Coast.  It was a weed
20 years ago,  and now they are growing it in
nurseries and  in plantations.

Hughes:   Jack, what are  your next  steps?
Maybe I'm getting to that too soon, but if we
knew what your next steps  were we might be
able to facilitate them.

Winjum:  I think we're at the point  now where
we are going to have to go over the papers and
glean from them a summary report.  We say we
went through  this exercise,  we brought some
people together, we  asked  some questions, now
we are going to say something about the feasib-
ility  of large-scale reforestation projects in the
world, and what the  main  concerns  and limita-
 144

-------
                                                                             GROUP DISCUSSION
tions are that we've heard about. Also the land,
the lack of data, the lack of information about
indigenous species -- there are a whole litany of
uncertainties.

Hughes: To whom is the information from the
workshop going and what choices will they have
in terms of action?

Winjum:  I can give you my view and others
can elaborate.  We've been  given some resour-
ces to  do  an exercise on the problem of large-
scale reforestation projects to sequester carbon.
That is, what are the possibilities, what are sen-
sible estimates about the feasibility.  A summary
proceedings will be prepared that  is aimed at
informing agency policy makers. A further aim
is  to give us some indications of where  we
might reasonably put some  research dollars in
the next five to ten years.

Schroeder:  The audience  is what you  might
call senior management.

Hughes: So essentially we're setting the stage
for research that the EPA will do.

Winjum: That's part of it, yes. And gathering
some information that may shed some light now
on the realities of what we  know about the
applicability of large-scale reforestation in the
world.

Hughes:  Is it connected to  President Bush's
initiative? Does it feed into that?

Winjum: It could  contribute to that, but really
it's more independent.   As acid rain research
winds down, the next big issue on the horizon
is  this  warming. How does the agency, which
has a mission of air quality regulation,  position
itself to help this  country provide  some  lead-
ership, some guidance, to play a role, to make
a  contribution  internationally to  the global
warming issue?  I think we're all kind of fishing
for those kinds of sensible directions, recogniz-
ing that  it is going to have  to be international
in scope.

Lavender:    One  very  positive  contribution
Canadian forestry can make to global warming
overall, not just reforestation, is an example
from  the province of Quebec.    They  have
developed an extremely sophisticated forest fire
fighting system,  by the use  of triangulation by
radar  and  extremely  sophisticated weather
records.  In  1980,  their  average  forest fire in
Quebec  was  about 16 hectares in  size.   They
lost a substantial acreage in wildfires. In  1985,
they got  their fire fighting system pretty well in
place.  Now the average fire in  Quebec is .6
hectare,  and the losses through  forest fire in
that province have been dramatically reduced.
They were able  to  do it on  an economic  basis,
apparently with provincial funds.  As I say, they
have  a  very sophisticated  radar system that
covers the province.  In daylight  hours they
have planes in  the air the entire daylight per-
iod.  I think this is very significant and  is  an
alternative  to  reforestation that  should  be
pushed.  We say we can't  do  anything about
forest fires, but Quebec is an example of where
they have done something about it very dramat-
ically.   The  rest of Canada  has  burned off
something like 7 million hectares. That's a lot
of reforestation.

Winjum: That's  a  good  point and  we'll try to
include that.  Another matter where we  need
coordination  is  with the  Forest Service.   They
are getting active in global warming too, and
they are the major forest  land  management
agency in the U.S.

Owston:  Global climate  change is the number
one research priority item for the Forest  Serv-
ice for the  FY 91  budget  year.    They just
appointed a new national coordinator and four
regional  coordinators for the  various regions.
The one  for the Pacific Northwest and Califor-
                                                                                        145

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  LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION

 nia combined is Sam Sandberg, and he's going
 to be  moving to  Corvallis in a few  months.
 One advantage to his  move is  that  he'll  be
 close to the EPA Corvallis laboratory so we can
 coordinate efforts.

 Caillez:  Last month there was  a  meeting  in
 Gabon where  the  ministers of forestry from
 eight countries, the main countries of central
 Africa, met.  They decided there  to give much
 more attention to the management of natural
 forests  instead of plantations.  In  collaboration
 with logging companies which want  help  to
 develop a type of silviculture to favor about 80
 forest tree species.  Right now this isn't pos-
 sible. The logger harvests about 10 species and
 must be  reimbursed  for removing the  other
 trees.

 Trader:  In  the natural rainforest, have they
 decided to protect biodiversity?

 Caillez:  As  long as we have an upper story
 with more than a hundred species represented,
 it is  considered impossible to manage  these
 forests  with  realistic silviculture.   There  is no
 dominant species in this kind of forest,  so with
 regard to biodiversity, this means it will not be
 protected in the forests put under new silvicul-
 tural management.

 Chaturvedi:  So far we considered the value of
 forests  mostly for the wood and its  carbon
 content.   What about considering the  soils,
 water, shade trees along the road,  esthetics,
 recreation,  and  so forth?   Some  method of
 quantifying these values  must be  found.   We
 have not given  any  value  to the shade  of a
 stand of trees, for  instance.

 Winjum:  Yes, we need to add in other  values.
 I  know  that it's  been considered  by forest
 economists,  but  often  the  issue is how  to
 accurately quantify the value of other benefits,
 like  water,  esthetics,  recreation.  Those  sig-
 nificant additional benefits are also gained with
 reforestation investments, and they should be
 part of the overall  cost/benefit evaluation.
  In conclusion,  let me say we've appreciated
 having you all here.  There are so many inter-
esting people in this room. It would be nice to
be able  to  spend a lot more time with each of
you.  It  seems  we  just got  the discussions
started and now it's  over.  But  I do want to
thank all of you, especially those who presented
papers.  Thank you very much.
146

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                                                                                         GROUP DISCUSSION
                                 INDEX TO GROUP DISCUSSION
 Africa
         Central, ministers' meeting 	146
         deforestation  	  124
         immigration problems  	124
 Agricultural lands
         education in use of	118
         in humid zones	124
         in subtropic areas	124
         need for more  	138
 Agriculture	124
         feeding populations	124
         subtropic areas	  124
 Agro-forestry  	  125, 129
         in Brazil  	125
         in India	126
 Australia  	125
 Bailey, Irving  	119
 Biodiversity  	  136
         in managed forests in Africa	146
 Black Rock Forest	119
 Blanket planting
         Brazil  	119
         Congo	  119
 Boreal forest
         rot in old-growth  	  123
 Bush, President
         tree-planting program  	140
 Carbon
         benefits	135
         in boreal zone  	121
 Carbon sequestration	122, 123, 126
         by taxing fossil fuel	  134
         in boreal and temperate zones	118
 Conservation Reserve Program (CRP)  ...  118, 139
 Data
         available for countries	  134
 Deforestation  	137
         as source of wood	139
         in tropics	124
 Degraded land
        in Australia  	125
 Demand
        uncertainty	  144
 Disincentives
        for reforestation  	  130
 Energy  	  121
        efficiency	118
 EPA's contribution
        in global warming issue	145
Exotic plantations
        resistance to	137
Forest fire  	  121
        ecologists	122
        fighting establishment	 .  121
        fire-fighting system in Quebec	145
        in Canada  	  121
        in Yellowstone 	122
Forest Service
        role in global warming issue	145
Forestry projects
        urgency of starting  	144
Forests
        Douglas fir	118
        health of managed  	143
        natural regeneration   	   126,  127
        old-growth	123
        Oregon and Washington	  118
        protection of  	122
Fossil fuel emissions
        offsetting through reforestation	142
Gap planting
        in India	126
Global climate change	119
        India	120
Grainger, Alan  	123-125
Grant system
        in Scotland   	128
Greenhouse effect	  120
Houghton  	125
Incentives
        for reforestation 	128
        in Brazil   	129
        in Chile	  129
        in Scotland   	128
Income from forestry
        for food	132
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
                (IPCC)  	   120,  121
Internal rot in trees	  123
Investment dollar figures  	144
Land
        alternative uses on degraded land   . . .  140
        availability	  118, 123, 126,  127
        availability estimates   	125
        ceiling laws, in India	130
        costs	118
        degraded	125
        estimates	123
        leasing erodable	  133
        leasing for forestry  	  132
        long-term productivity	135
        suitability, in Puerto Rico	132
        technical suitability of	132
        tenure	131
        tenure in Carribean/Puerto Rico  ....  131
Mean annual increase
                                                                                                      147

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 LARGE-SCALE REFORESTATION
        for British Columbia  	128
Mengelthorpe, Paul	 119
Monitoring programs	141
Natural forest management	126
Next steps
        after workshop	144
Noordwijk Ministerial Declaration  	 127, 137,
                                        142, 144
Plantations	118, 123, 134
        ban on exotics in UK	134
        in Oklahoma-Arkansas droughty re-
                gions   	120
        New York state	119
        off-site pine	128
        on private lands  	130
Population shifts
        subtropics/tropics  	124
Reforestation  	137
        in Brazil  	139
        in Canada  	 138
        in Central America   	141
        in developing countries  	138
        in Gabon	137
        in Georgia	 139
        in New Zealand  	138
        in the South	138
        increase of, in the South  	142
        old agricultural fields	118
        on erodable lands	 139
        socio-political considerations in	127
Regeneration costs  	 139
Relocation of people from forest lands	138
Replanting costs in southern U.S	 132
Schneider, Stephen  	119
Sedjo, Roger  	 126
Soil emissions	122
Species selection
        for effective reforestation  	133
Sudan	124
Taxation
        Chile and New Zealand  	130
        in Brazil  	130
        in Oregon  	129
        laws to promote incentives	130
Timber shortage  	 142
Timber stand improvement	126
Tree seed	 134
Tree species
        choosing 	 136
        Douglas fir	119
        eucalyptus	120
        limitation	135
        loblolly pine	  120, 123
        oaks	 134
        okum6	126
        ponderosa pine	 119
        poplar	  135
        radiata pine	  138
        teak  	126
        use of exotics	134
United Nations F.A.0	123
        1990  tropical forestry assessment ....  141
        Lanly  	  125
Value of forests
        other considerations	146
Weyerhaeuser Company	  120
Wood species
        proper utilization   	136
Yellowstone fire  	  122
148

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GENERAL APPENDIX A




    Tree Species List

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                                   TREE SPECIES LIST
Abies
       alba - silver fir
       grandis • grand fir
       procera • noble fir
Acacia
       auriculiformis
       meamsii - black wattle
       nilotica - gum arabic
       tortalis
Acer
       pseudoplatanus • sycamore
       saccharinum - silver maple
Ailanthus excelsis
Albizia lebbel - Lebbek tree
Alnus
       sp. - alder
       nepalensis
       nitida
       rubra - red alder
Anacardium  occidental - cashew
Araucaria angustifolia * Parana pine
Aucoumea klaineana - okoum£
Azadirachta indica - neem
Bambusa arundinacea  • bamboo
Cassia siamea - Kassod tree
Casuarina equisetifolia - Australian pine
Cedrus deodara - deodar cedar
Cryptomeria japonica - Japanese cedar
Cupressus torulosa • Bhutan tree
Dalbergia sissoo - sissoo
Dendrocalamus strictus - giant bamboo
Eucalyptus
       globulus - blue gum
       grandis • rose gum
(Eucalyptus)
         tereticomis - forest red gum
         urophylla
Fraxinus floribunda - ash
Gmelina sp.
Juglans regia - English walnut
Larix decidua - European larch
Lauras sp.  - laurel
Limba terminalia superba
Magnolia sp. - magnolia
Melia azedarach (australis) - bead tree
Picea
         abies - Norway spruce
         sitchensis - Sitka spruce
Pinus
         sp. -  Caribbean,  Corsican pines
         contorta - lodgepole or shore pine
         nigra - black pine
         roxburghii - emodi pine
         sylvestris - Scots  pine
         taeda - loblolly pine
Pongamia pinnata - Karum  tree
Populus sp. - poplar
Prosopis juliflora  - mesquite
Pseudotsuga menziesti -  Douglas-fir
Quercus
         robur - English oak
         petraea  - durmast oak
Salix sp. - willow
Shorea robusta
Syzygium cumini  - Java  plum
Tectona grandis - teak
Tsuga heterophylla - western hemlock

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GENERAL APPENDIX B




  Table of Equivalents

-------
TABLE OF EQUIVALENTS: AREA

ACRE
MILE2
HECTARE
KILOMETER2
FEET2
43,560
27,878,400
107,600
10,760,000
MILE2
.0016
1
0.004
0.386
ACRE
1
640
2.47
247.1
METER2
4046.86
2,490,929
10,000
1,000,000
HECTARE2
0.4047
258.999
1
100
KILOMETER2
0.004
2.59
0.01
1

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   GENERAL APPENDIX C

IPCC Structure, Recommendations
    Noordwyk Declaration

-------
                    IPCC Structure
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
          Chair: Dr. Bert Bolin (Sweden)
                   Science Assessment
                       Chair: UK
                       Effects
                     Chair: USSR
Response Strategies Work Group
Chair: US

Steering Committee
Chair: US

      Task A - Global
    Emission Scenarios
Task B - Implementation
       Issues
1
Energy,
Industries
(Japan/China)




	 1 	
i
Agriculture,
Forestry
(FRG/
Zimbabwe)




	 1 	
i
Resource Use
Management
(France/Canada)




	 	 1
i
Coastal Zone
Management
(New Zealand/
Netherlands)


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    IPCC Brazil Conference on Tropical Forestry
       Subgroup on Agriculture and Forestry

           Sao Paulo, January 1990
           Workshop recommended:


 IPCC support the development of a World Forest

Conservation Protocol in the context of a climate

convention process that also addressed energy supply and

use.
Possible elements include:


     - Trade

     - Labelling of tropically produced forest products

     - No-net-loss policy

         - Reforestation
         - Conservation

   - Biodiversity

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            Dutch Ministerial Meeting



              Noordwyk Declaration
              Examine Stated Goal:






Achieve a Net gain in forest area of  12 Million Hectares /



Year, Globally, through conservation of existing forest and



reforestation of degraded forest lands, and  agricultural,



pasture and savannah land.

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  Identification of Noordwijk Goal Feasibility Issues;
- How to do a global analysis of reforestation goal
   feasibility

- How much reforestation can be done (local, national
  and global goals)

- Where can it be done (land availability)

- What kinds of changes in policies and new policies are
  needed to slow deforestation and increase reforestation

- How to launch national and global programs to design,
  coordinate and implement such goals

- How to stop deforestation, especially in the tropics, and
  reach goal of no-net-forest-loss

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Data Needs for Assessing Noordwijk Remand;


Forest Assessment Data:

   -  Forest per capita

   -  Forest area, by type, by country

   -  Reforestation potential

        * Lands available

        * By land-use type

        * By condition, quality

          *  Cost data, including management, and
          timber product revenues

   -  End-use of converted forest land, by country

        * Forest products

        * Fuel wood

        * Agriculture

        * Pasture

        * Development

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Land and Resource Use Data:


      -  Energy supply mix, by country

      -  Gross National Product, by country

      -  Demand for agricultural land from forest sector,
        by country

      -  Presence of timber export industry, by country
Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sequestration Data:


      -  Emissions coefficients for natural forest
      ecosystems, disturbed systems, and other land uses

      •  CO2, N2O, and CH4 from primary and secondary
      forests, fallow, pasture and agricultural systems

      -  Carbon sequestration rates (biomass growth
      rates)

      -  Standing biomass, by forest type

      -  Soil Carbon
     *U.S. GOVERNMENT HUNTING OFFICE: 1 991 -548. l87/25638

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