oEPA
                          United States
                          Environmental Protection
                          Agency
                          Environmental Research
                          Laboratory
                          Athens GA 30613
                          Research and Development
                          EPA/600/M-88/011  Aug. 1988
ENVIRONMENTAL
RESEARCH    BRIEF
             EPA's Ecological Risk Assessment Research Program
                            October 1985 - March 1988

                               Harvey W. Holm, Program Manager
By Congressional  mandate, the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency  must determine whether  individual
chemicals, either new or existing, can be manufactured
and sold in the United States. The evaluation process for
each chemical includes an ecological risk assessment.

The number of chemicals  requiring review is large.  In
1986, for exa mple, the Agency's Office of Toxic Substa nces
(OTS)  had  more than 60,000 existing chemicals on
inventory and also processed  more  than 1500 new
chemicals (Premanufacture Notices). The challenge for
OTS is to provide realistic,  consistent evaluations within
short time frames when only a limited data set is provided.
Often, OTS must make screening level decisions when
only a chemical's structure, its proposed use pattern, and
two to three bioassay results (collected under only one
set of laboratory conditions) are available. It is very unusual
for OTS to have site-specific information on fate, exposure,
or effects for the premanufacture notice process.

EPA's  Office of  Pesticide  Programs (OPP) also  has a
gigantic problem.  More than 50,000  existing pesticide
products must be evaluated, with new products being
developed each year. Although OPP can require submis-
sion of significant amounts of fate and effects information,
it still  faces the challenge of extrapolating  results from
one ecosystem to another and from a limited number of
test species and exposure scenarios to a myriad of natural
populations.

The Office  of Pesticides and Toxic Substances (OPTS)
recognizes ecological risk assessment as a  synthesis of
lexicological hazard and environmental exposure. Toxico-
logical hazard is the intrinsic quality of a chemical to cause
adverse effects, such as death (characterized by an LCso)
or a chronic effect (such  as  reproductive failure) when
                     exposure occurs. Environmental exposure is a function
                     of the amount of toxic chemical available to components
                     of ecosystems and the distribution  and dynamics of
                     organisms  within these  ecosystem  components. An
                     ecological risk assessment, then, involves systematically
                     combining results from exposure and hazard assessment.


                     Numerous techniques have been suggested and some-
                     times used by OPTS for ecological risk assessment. These
                     include fault tree analysis, safety factor evaluation,
                     ecosystem uncertainty analysis, and predictive ecosystem
                     modeling.


                     The  most commonly used technique, however, is the
                     quotient method. This methodology compares a lexicolog-
                     ical benchmark (such as LC50, EC5o, etc.) to an anticipated
                     level of exposure. The  closer the exposure and effects
                     numbers approach each other, the higher the risk value.
                     This technique is simple and straightforward. Its disad-
                     vantages are that it does not  take into  account dose-
                     response relationships, that it provides  no basis for
                     predicting population or system-level  responses, that  it
                     does not account for ranges in  hazard  and exposure
                     estimates, and that it cannot address indirect effects of
                     chemicals.
                     To improve capabilities for assessing and predicting risk
                     to ecosystems, the Office of Research and Development
                     (ORD) initiated a comprehensive research program in
                     consultation with OPTS. The research, which began in
                     October 1986, was undertaken by the Office of Environ-
                     mental Processes and Effects  Research's  (OEPER's)
                     Environmental Research Laboratories in  Athens,  GA,
                     Corvallis, OR, Duluth, MN, and Gulf Breeze, FL The Athens
                     Laboratory was designated as the lead laboratory.

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OPTS and ORD established several goals for this research:
• Identify critical ecological components for assessment.

• Develop techniques for extrapolating  laboratory and
   limited field data to other systems.

• Provide  systematic procedures to permit consistent
   ecological evaluations among analysts.

• Provide  insights into "so what" questions (e.g., "so
   what" if primary productivity in lakes is decreased  by
   25%).

OEPER's approach to this  problem  is primarily one  of
developing system-independent mathematical models and
protocols for exposure and  hazard  assessment and  of
embedding them in a computer-based "Decision Support
System" that provides convenient access to these models,
protocols, and  databases  essential  for  completing
ecological risk assessments. The models and  protocols
generated in this research have four characteristics  in
common.

1.  They  are  based  on fundamental  understanding  of
    primary ecotoxicological processes and, thus, may
    require specific research to achieve the prerequisite
    level of scientific knowledge for routine application.

2.  They are formulated in "system-independent"  terms
    so that reliable  extrapolations among  systems are
    possible; that  is, the only use  made  of  observed
    datasets that are in the output domain of the models
    is for validation studies.

3.  They result in  the generation  of  mathematical
    formulations and computational algorithms that will
    be encoded  in computer programs, thus providing a
    formal  statement of  methods  that is  objective,
    reproducible, readily  available,  and accessible  to
    external peer evaluation and public appraisal.

4.  They  are linked to specific  databases assembled  (in
    each project as appropriate) to provide the maximum
    feasible  geographic  coverage;  the  databases will
    contain virtually  all the collateral (i.e., not specific to
    the regulatory concern under analysis)  data needed
    to apply the  models.

To achieve its goal, OEPER's Ecological Risk Assessment
Research Program relies heavily on  results from  EPA's
base  chemical exposure and hazard assessment research
and development  efforts. The  major emphasis  in the
current program is to integrate results from  these two
areas to provide the scientific basis for assessing ecological
risks. The present state of the art of research in chemical
exposure and hazard evaluation has  not adequately
covered  all subject  areas  needed to provide tools  for
ecological  risk  assessment.  Existing research results,
ongoing research in  the areas of chemical exposure and
hazard evaluation,  and  complementary  new research
conducted in this program will provide a foundation  for
developing a scientifically sound ecological risk assess-
ment capability for the Agency.
Three elements of any risk assessment (exposure analysis,
hazard analysis, and the integration of the two into a risk
analysis) are addressed in research involving six  levels
of integration of individual projects. Aside from levels A
and B, each succeeding  level  of the project represents
a higher level of integration and, therefore,  may derive
its  mechanistic knowledge and  summary  descriptive
models from results at lower levels. For example, projects
at the level  of population and  ecosystems (level E) may
use some of the results of research on toxicological impacts
on individual organisms (research level D). The kinds of
research projects, their level of integration ("A" through
"F"),  some  correlative toxicological nomenclature, and
results to date are provided below.
 (A)  Decision Support Systems—computer software and
     databases that  allow an  analyst to assemble and
     deploy the specific array of analytical tools needed
     for an ecological risk assessment. These "integra-
     tion"  projects assemble the executive software that
     allows the user to interact with the models, access
     databases, and  provide service functions for all the
     models eventually in the system.

     (No published reports available)

 (B)  Exposure Analysis—release, transport, and transfor-
     mation  of  xenobiotic chemicals  in  the  physical
     environment. This  research  plan does  not  initiate
     significant new research m the transport and
     transformation  of pollutants in ecosystems, which
     is a well-developed field  in its own right. In  the
     Ecological Risk  Assessment Research Program, we
     intend to adapt  existing models to the needs of the
     dependent ecological models, and to sponsor such
     remedial work as may be  necessary to bring all the
     exposure models in the project to a commensurate
     state of sophistication.

     Ambrose, R. B., T. A.  Wool, J. P.  Connolly, and R.
       W.  Schanz. 1987. WASP4, A Hydrodynamic and
       Water Quality Model—Model Theory,  User's
       Manual,  and   Programmer's  Guide.  U.S.
       Environmental Protection  Agency, Athens, GA.
       EPA/600/3-87/039.
     Demonstration  of the Terrestrial Environmental
       Exposure Assessment Model  (TEEAM),  Office of
       Pesticides and Toxic Substances, Washington, DC,
       December 1987.
     Demonstration  of  Pesticide  Leaching  Model and
       Associated Soils/Climate Data  Bases,  Office of
       Pesticides and Toxic Substances, Washington, DC,
       March 1988.

 (C)  Toxicokinetics—exchange  of xenobiotics  between
     individual organisms and their environment, and the
     transport and transformation of xenobiotic chemicals
     within the organism. These projects encompass the
     area  of mechanisms and processes  that translate
     an  initial exposure into a realized tissue dose at a
     target organ. In human  studies,  it would  include
     some aspects of both hazard identification and dose-
     response assessment; wildlife biologists regard the

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behavioral response to initial contact with pollutants
as an aspect of exposure assessment.

Barber, M. C., L A. Suarez, and R. R. Lassiter. 1987.
  FGETS  (Food and  Gill  Exchange  of  Toxic
  Substances): A Simulation  Model for Predicting
  Bioaccumulation  of  Nonpolar Organic Pollutants
  by Fish. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
  Athens, GA. EPA/600/3-87/038.
Barber, M. C., L. A. Suarez, and R. R. Lassiter. 1988.
  Bioconcentration of nonpolar organic pollutants by
  fish. Env. Tox. Chem. (accepted).
Barber, M. C., L. A. Suarez, and R. R. Lassiter. 1988.
  Kinetic exchange of nonpolar organic pollutants
  by fish. Env. Tox.  Chem. (accepted).
Boersma, L., T.  Lindstrom, C.  McFarlane, and E. L.
  McCoy.  1988. Uptake  of organic chemicals by
  plants: A theoretical model. Soil Sci. (accepted).
Boersma, L., T.  Lindstrom, C.  McFarlane, and E. L.
  McCoy. 1988. Model of coupled transport of water
  and solutes in plants.  Oregon State  University,
  Corvallis, OR. Special Publication 818.
Boersma, L., C. McFarlane, and T. Lindstrom. 1987.
  Uptake and transport of chemicals by plant. Three
  leaf model. (Version 2.1) User Guide. Oregon State
  University, Corvallis, OR. Special Publication 819.
Fletcher, J. S.,  A. Groeger, and  C.  McFarlane.
  Metabolism of 2-chlorobiphenol  by suspension
  cultures of Paul's Scarlet Rose. Soc. for Envir. Tox.
  and Chem. (submitted).
Fletcher, J.  S., A. Groeger,  J.  McCrady,  and C.
  McFarlane. 1987. Polychlorobiphenyl (PCB) uptake
  by plant cells. Biotechnology Letters  9(11):817-
  820.
Groeger, A. and J. S. Fletcher. Influence of increasing
  chlorine  content  on  the accumulation and
  metabolism of polychlorobiphenyls (PCBs) by plant
  cultures. Plant Cell Reports (submitted).
Heitmuller, P. T. and J. R. Clark. Bioaccumulation
  of 1,2,4-trichlorobenzene from food  and water
  sources by spot (Leiostomus xanthurus). Aquatic
  toxicology  and hazard assessment.  American
  Society for Testing and Materials, Philadephia, PA
  (In Press).
Lindstrom,  F. T., L. Boersma, and C. McFarlane.
  1987. A steady  state  fluid transport model  in
  plants. In: James,  L. G. and J. Marshall (eds.),
  Irrigation Systems for the Twenty-First Century.
  American  Society of Civil Engineers,  New York,
  NY. 768 pages.
Link, S. 0., R. J. Fellows, D. A. Cataldo, J. G. Droppo,
  and P. Van Voris.  1987.  Estimation  of  Aerial
  Deposition and  Foliar Uptake of Xenobiotics:
  Assessment of Current Models.  PNL-6173/UC-
  11, Battelle  Pacific  Northwest Laboratory,
  Richland, WA 99352.
McCrady, J.  K., C. McFarlane, and F. T.  Lindstrom.
  1987. The transport and affinity of substituted
  benzenes  in  soybean  stems. J.  Exp. Bot.
  38(196):1875-1890.
     McFarlane,  C., C.  Nolt,  C. Wickliff, T. Pfleeger, R.
      Shimabuku, and M. McDowell. 1987. The uptake,
      distribution  and  metabolism  of  four organic
      chemicals by soybean plants and barley roots. Env.
      Tox. & Chem. 6:847-856.
     McFarlane, C., T. Pfleeger, and J. S. Fletcher.  1987.
      Transpiration effect on the uptake and distribution
      of bromacil, nitrobenzene and phenol in soybean
      plants. J. Environ. Qual. 15(4):372-376.
     McFarlane, C. andT.  Pfleeger. 1986. Plant Exposure
      Laboratory and  Chambers. U.S. Environmental
      Protection  Agency, Corvalllis,  OR.  EPA/600/3-
      86/007a,b.
     Pace, C. M.  1987. Ion Source Surface Activity in
      High  Pressure  Electron    Capture   Mass
      Spectrometry.  Masters  Thesis.  December.
      Montana State University.
     Randall, D. J., R. C. Russo, and R. V. Thurston.  1988.
      Ammonia distribution  in and excretion by fishes.
      In:  Fate  and  Effects  of Pollutants on Aquatic
      Organisms and Ecosystems: Proceedings of the
      Ninth US-USSR Symposium, Athens, GA, October
      19-21,1987. R. C. Ryans (ed.). U.S. Environmental
      Protection Agency, Athens, GA. (In Press).
     Russo, R. C., D. J. Randall, and R. V. Thurston.  1988.
      Ammonia toxicity  and  metabolism  in fishes. In:
      Protection  of River Basins, Lakes, and Estuaries:
      Fifteen  Years of  Cooperation  Toward  Solving
      Environmental Problems in the USSR and USA.
      R. C. Ryans (ed.).  Special  Publication, American
      Fisheries Society, Bethesda, MD. (In Press).
     Suarez, L. A., M. C. Barber, and R. R. Lassiter.  1986.
      GETS,  A Simulation  Model for  Dynamic
      Bioaccumulation of Nonpolar  Organics by  Gill
      Exchange:  A Users Guide. U.S. Environmental
      Protection Agency, Athens, GA. EPA/600/3-86/
      057.
     Thurston, R. V. and  D. J. Randall. A respirometer
      with controlled water  quality and  computerized
      data acquisition for experiments with swimming
      fish, (submitted).
     Wright, P. A., D. J. Randall, and S. E. Perry, II. Fish
      gill water boundary layer: A site of linkage between
      carbon dioxide and ammonia excretion. J. of Comp.
      Physiology, (submitted).
     Wright, P. A., D. J. Randall, and C. M. Wood. The
      distribution of ammonia and H+ between tissue
      components in Lemon Sole (Parophrys vetulus) at
      rest, during hypercapnia, and  following exercise.
      J. Exp. Biology, (submitted).

(D)   Biotic Effects Analysis—lethal and sublethal conse-
     quences to individual organisms of a  body burden
     of xenobiotic chemicals.  In public health terms, this
     research corresponds most closely to dose-response
     assessment,  although the transition from adminis-
     tered dose to tissue  dose, i.e., direct study of the
     consequences of a specific body burden on morbidity
     and mortality, has  not  been accomplished.  For
     ecological studies,  the body burden must be
     computed because of the importance of food-chain
     transmission of chemicals in some systems.  Given
     success in computation  of body  burden, the life-
     history consequences of exposure can be given  a

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    significantly improved basis for modeling, prediction,
    and understanding.

    Fletcher, J. S., F. L. Johnson, and  C. McFarlane.
      Database assessment of phytotoxicity data
      published on terrestrial vascular plants. Soc. for
      Environ. Tox. and Chem. (submitted).
    Johnson, F. L.  and J. S. Fletcher.  1987. PHYTOTOX
      User's Manual. University of Oklahoma, Norman,
      OK.
    Mayer, F.  L., Jr. and M. R.  Ellersieck. Experiences
      with single-species tests for acute toxic effects on
      freshwater organisms. Ambio. (accepted).
    McFarlane, C. andT. Pfleeger. 1987.  Plant exposure
      chambers for  study of  toxic chemical/plant
      interactions. J. Environ. Qual. 16(4):361-371.

(E)  Population and Community Risk  Assessment-
    consequences  of  realized  biotic effects  for  the
    distribution and abundance of single-species
    populations and coupled population systems. This
    research draws,  to some extent, on the  results
    obtained in (C) and (D). Projects (E) are exploring
    diverse  approaches to "Risk  Characterization" for
    biotic communities, encompassing classic popula-
    tion  matrices  and  birth/death  process modeling
    through novel approaches attempting direct mea-
    sures of the  impact of pollutants on interspecific
    interactions.

    De Luna,  J. T. and T. G. Hallam. 1987. Effect of
      toxicants on populations: A qualitative approach.
      IV.  Resource-consumer-toxicant  models. Ecol.
      Modelling. 35:249-273.
    Emlen,  J.  M.  Terrestrial community  models for
      ecological risk assessment: A state of the art
      review.  Environ. Tox. and Chem. (submitted).
    Emlen,  J. M.  Terrestrial population  models for
      ecological risk assessment: A state of the art
      review.  Environ. Tox. and Chem. (submitted).
    Hallam, T. G., R. R. Lassiter, J. Li, and W. McKinney.
       1988.  Physiologically structured  population
      models  in risk assessment: In: Biomathematics
      and Related Computational Problems. L. Riccardi
      (ed.). Reidel, Hingham, MA.
    Hallam, T. G., R. R. Lassiter, and S. A.  L. M. Kooijman.
       1988. Effects of toxicants on aquatic populations.
      In:  Mathematical Ecology; II.  Applications. S. A.
       Levin, T. G. Hallam, and L. J. Gross (eds.). Springer-
      Verlag,  New York.
    Hallam, T. G.,  R. R. Lassiter, J. Li, and L. A. Suarez.
       Modeling individuals  employing  an  integrated
       energy response: Application to Daphnia. Ecology
       (submitted).
    Hallam, T. G.  and M.  Zhien. 1987.  On  density and
       extinction in  continuous  population models.  J.
       Math. Biol. 25:191-201.
    Kelly, J. R. 1988. Ecotoxicology  beyond sensitivity:
       A case study  involving  "unreasonableness"  of
       environmental change. Chapter In: Ecotoxicology:
       Problems and Approaches, S. A. Levin,  M. A.
       Harwell, J.  R. Kelly, and  K.  D.  Kimball (eds.),
       Springer-Verlag, New York. (In Press).
    Kelly, J. R., T. W. Duke, M.  A. Harwell, and C. C.
      Harwell.  1987. An ecosystem perspective on
      potential impacts  of  drilling fluid  charges on
      seagrasses. Environ. Management 11(4):537-562.
    Kelly, J. R. and M. A. Harwell. 1988. Indicators of
      ecosystem response and recovery. Chapter 2 In:
      Ecotoxicology:  Problems and Approaches, S. A.
      Levin, et al. (eds.), Springer-Verlag, New York. (In
      Press).
    Lassiter, R. R. and  T. G.  Hallam. Survival of the
      fattest: A theory for assessing  acute effects of
      hydrophobic,  reversibly acting chemicals on
      populations. Env. Tox. Chem. (submitted).
    Li, J. 1988. Persistence and extinction in continuous
      age-structured population  models. Int. J.  Compt.
      Appl. Math, (accepted).
    Li, J. 1988. Persistence in discrete age-structured
      population models. Bull. Math. Biol. (accepted).
    Li, J. and  T.  G. Hallam.  Survival  in  continuous
      structured  population models. J.  Math.  Biol.
      (submitted).
    Li, J., T. G. Hallam, and M. Zhien. 1987. Demographic
      variation and survival  in discrete  population
      models. IMA J. Math. Appl. in Med.and Biol. 4:237-
      246.
    Logan, J. A. Derivation  and  analysis of composite
      models for insect populations. In: Estimation and
      Analysis of Insect Populations. L. L. McDonald, J.
      A. Lockwood, and J. A. Logan (eds.).
    Morton, R. D.  and  S. O.  Montgomery. 1988.
      Microcosm studies on the effects of drilling fluids
      on seagrass communities.  In: 1988 International
      Conference on Drilling Wastes, Calgary,  Canada.
      Elsevier. London. (In Press).
    Wollkind, D. J., J. B. Codings, and J. A. Logan. 1988.
      Metastabihty in a temperature dependent model
      system  for  predator/prey   mite  outbreak
      interactions on fruit trees. Bull,  of  Math.  Biol.
      (accepted).
    Zhien,  M.  and  T.  G. Hallam.  1987.  Effects of
      parameter  fluctuations  on community survival.
      Math. Biosci. 86:35-49.

(F)  Ecosystem Risk Assessment—impacts of xenobiotic
    chemicals on  multi-population systems, including
    processes expressed via their activities—primary and
    secondary  productivity, biogeochemical element
    cycles, etc. These projects, like those of (E), can be
    classed  under the rubric of "Risk Characterization,"
    specifically in (F) dealing with risk to the structure
    and function of entire ecosystems.

    Brezonik, P. L, L. A. Baker, J. R. Eaton, T. M. Frost,
      P. Garrison, T. K.  Kratz, J. J.  Magnuson, W. J.
      Rose, B. K. Shepard, W. A. Swenson, C. J. Watras,
      and K. E. Webster. 1986. Experimental  acidifi-
      cation of Little Rock Lake, Wisconsin. Water, Air,
      and Soil Poll. 31:115-121.
    Flum, T. F. and L. J. Shannon. 1987.  The effects
      of three related  amides  on microecosystem
      stability. Ecotox. and Envir. Safety 13:239-252.
    Glass, G.  E.,  J. A. Sorensen, B.  W. Liukkonen, G.
      R. Rapp,  Jr., and 0. L.   Loucks.  1986.  Ionic
      composition of acid lakes  in relation to airborne

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       inputs and watershed characteristics. Water, Air,
       and Soil Poll. 31:1-15.
     Niemi, G., S. Hedtke, R. Naiman, and J. Pastor. 1988.
       Quantification of disturbance,  resistance,  and
       resilience among ecological systems.
     Rapp, G.  Jr.,  B. Kiukkonen,  J.  D. Allert, J. A.
       Sorensen, G. E. Glass, and 0. L.  Loucks. 1987.
       Geologic and atmospheric input factors affecting
       watershed chemistry in upper Michigan. Environ.
       Geol. Water Sci. 9:155-171.
     Rygiewicz,  P., S. L. Miller, and D.  M. Durall. 1988.
       A  root-mycocosm for  growing ectomycorrhizal
       hyphae apart from host roots while maintaining
       symbiotic integrity. Plant and Soil (accepted).
     Shannon,  L. J., M. C.  Harrass, J. D  Yount, and C.
       T. Walbridge. 1986.  A  comparison  of mixed flask
       culture  and standardized laboratory model
       ecosystems for toxicity testing. Pages 135-1 57 in
       J.  Cairns, Jr.  (ed.)  Community toxicity testing,
       ASTM STP 920, American Society for Testing and
       Materials, Philadelphia.
     Sorensen,  J.  A. and G.  E.  Glass. 1987.  Ion  and
       temperature dependence of electrical conductance
       for natural waters. Anal. Chem. 59:1594-1597.
     Yount, J.  D.  and J. E.  Richter. 1986.  Effects of
       pentachlorophenol on penphyton communities in
       outdoor  experimental   streams. Arch.  Environ.
       Contam. Toxicol. 15:51-60.
     Yount, J. D. and L. J. Shanon. 1987. Effects of aniline
       and three derivatives  on  laboratory  microeco-
       systems. Environ. Toxicol. and Chem. 6:463-468.

Acknowledgment

Special assistance is provided  to  the Program Manager
by the  Advisory  Committee, which is comprised of the
research team  leaders from all participating laboratories
and  OEPER Headquarters. The Advisory Committee
includes  Dr.  Robert  Swank, Athens Environmental
Research  Laboratory;  Dr. Bill  Williams,  Corvallis
Environmental  Research  Laboratory;  Dr. Gerald Niemi,
Duluth Environmental Research Laboratory; Dr. Foster
Mayer, Gulf Breeze Environmental Research Laboratory;
and Dr. Frederick Kutz, OEPER  Headquarters.

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