UnitedStates
Environmental Protection
Agency
                     Office of
                     Radiation Programs
                     Washington, D C 20460
           Radiation
v>EPA
An Estimate of the
Potential Costs of
Guidelines Limiting
Public Exposure to
Radiofrequency Radiation
from Broadcast Sources

Volume 1 : Report

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                                              DISCLAIMER

This document was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United Stales  Government.
Neither the United Stales Government nor the  University of California nor any of their employees, makes any
warrant), express or implied, or assumes an) legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or
usefulness of an) information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe
privately owned rights. Reference herein to any  specific commercial products, process, or service by trade name.
trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or
favoring b> the United States  Government or the  University of California. The views and opinions of authors
expressed  herein do not necessaril) stale or reflect those of the United Slates Government or the University of
California,  and shall not be used for advertising or product endorsement purposes.

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                                                                 EPA 520/1-85-025
                                                                 UCRL-53562 Vol. 1
                  AN ESTIMATE OF THE POTENTIAL COSTS OF
                    GUIDELINES LIMITING PUBLIC EXPOSURE
                       TO RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION
                          FROM BROADCAST SOURCES

                                Volume 1: Report

                                      BY
                                 Charles H. Hall
                     Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
                             Livermore, CA  94550
                                   3uly 1985
This report was prepared as an account of contract work sponsored by the United States
Environmental  Protection  Agency under Interagency  Agreement  No.  AD-89-F-2-803-0
                  with Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

                                Project Officers

                                C. Elliot Foutes
                                Richard A. Tell

                          Office of Radiation Programs
                      U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                             Washington, D.C.  20460

                                                    U.S. Environment?! r:-'^,1:'-;^ /->ency
                                                    Region 5, Library ^.' -;
                                                    77 West Jackson J
                                                    Chicago, IL 60GJ-.--.

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TT

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                                     PREFACE

      The purpose of the study reported here is to estimate the potential cost of a federal
 guidance proposed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) limiting public exposure
 to radiofrequency (RF) radiation.  An estimate of  the economic effects  of proposed
 federal actions is mandated by a series of Executive Orders (EOs), the latest of  which is
 EO 12291, Federal Regulation, which is implemented by an Office of Management and
 Budget guidance on regulatory impact analysis and, in EPA, by a companion guideline for
 performing regulatory impact analyses.  The federal radiofrequency radiation  protection
 guidance has been developed by the EPA  under the Federal Radiation Council  Authority,
 42 U.S.C.  202 l(h), transferred  to EPA by EO 10831, Reorganization  Plan Number 3 of
 1970 and by Public Law 86-373.
      The  EPA has conducted research over the past 12 years on the electromagnetic
 environment to  which the public is  exposed and on  the propagation of  RF by  a  wide
 variety of sources, the  most significant  of  which are AM  and FM  radio, VHF-TV and
 UHF-TV broadcast stations. The cost study is limited to these significant sources of RF.
 One of the results of  this study, in conjunction  with EPA  research, is a conceptual
 development of  the  type  of  mitigation  measures necessary  to  effect compliance,  as
 indicated by model results at  18  alternative guidance levels ranging from  1 yW/cm2 (FM
 and TV) or 10 V/m (AM) to 10,000 yW/cm2 (FM and TV) or  1,000 V/m  (AM).  The cost of
 compliance was estimated using a series of models that present  a range (low, medium, and
 high) of costs to  society-at-large, costs to the broadcast industry and costs to and effects
 on the net  income of  the average broadcast station.  The costs  are expressed in a  variety
 of ways, including gross cost, net annual cash flow cost, average  annual cash flow  cost,
 and present value.
     The report is organized into two volumes, the first a description  of the study and a
 summary of results,  the second  a series  of appendices  containing an  explanation and
 sample of the calculations  for each of the three segments of the broadcast industry; the
 appendices also include detailed tabular and graphic descriptions of various cost estimates
 at each of the 18 guidance levels at the three cost levels. Volume I begins with a preface,
 executive summary, and abstract, followed by an introduction in which  a discussion of the
 purpose and scope of  the study lead to an extensive  graphic presentation  of conclusions
supported by summary tables. Following this is a background section outlining the  purpose
 for and current efforts to regulate RF radiation, public and industry concerns over RF and
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its regulation, a brief review of the electromagnetic environment and of health effects
research, a profile of commercial broadcast facilities and a discussion of the framework
for regulatory (economic) impact analyses.
     The next section describes the method of approach used in the cost study. Following
this is a section describing the compliance measure concepts  developed by the EPA and
consultants as part of this study.  The remaining section describes the cost models—social,
industry, and average firm.  All assumptions,  including costs, application  of  compliance
measures  and financial parameters,  are discussed  throughout  and summarized  at the
conclusion of Volume I for convenience.
     Volume II  contains  three appendices,  one  each for AM  and FM  radio  and TV
broadcast stations, that present a step-by-step explanation of  each of the calculations in
the cost models.  Those are followed by other appendices that present  detailed estimates
of the  cost of compliance with 18 guidance levels at three cost levels, given  in terms of
the cost to society-at-large,  the cost to industry, and  the cost to the  average broadcast
firm; in addition, the number  of stations requiring a compliance measure at each guidance
level is given. The average annual cash flow cost and present  value estimates are plotted
for each of  the three analyses (social, industry,  and average  firm) at three cost levels.
These  are supported by data in  the tables, which also contain other cost analyses not
plotted.
     This two-volume report is one of a number of documents presenting research that
was used to develop the proposed RF guidance and provide analyses  for reviewers and
decision makers considering it.  A presentation  of the  engineering and health studies is
contained in three  reports  published or in preparation  by  the U.S.  Environmental
Protection Agency. A review of over 5000 citations of health  risks and biological effects
of RF is  given  in  U.S. Environmental  Protection  Agency,  Biological   Effects  of
Radiofrequency Radiation, J. A. Elder and  D. F. Cahill Eds., Health Effects Research
Laboratory,  Research Triangle Park,  North  Carolina,  EPA-600/8-83-026F,  September
1984.  A study of the  engineering aspects of radiofrequency radiation  is contained in
Gailey, P. C.  and R. A. Tell,  An Engineering Assessment of the  Potential Impact of
Federal Radiation Protection Guidance on the AM, FM, and TV Broadcast Services, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C. (in press).  A third report has been
prepared  on  the radiofrequency  environment:  Hankin,  N. N., The  Radiofrequency
Radiation Environment; Environmental Exposure Levels and  RF-Emitting Sources, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C. (in press).
                                        IV

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                              TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                VOLUME I: Report

Preface    	       iii
Executive Summary   	       ix
Abstract	        1
Introduction and Background     	        1
  Purpose    	        1
  Scope    	        2
  Research Results Overview	        2
  Standards Limiting Exposure to Radiofrequency and
     Microwave Energy   	       10
  Current Regulatory Efforts	       12
  The Electromagnetic Energy Environment	       12
  Research on Biological Effects and Health Risks of
     Radiofrequency/Microwave Radiation	       13
  Concerns of the Broadcast, Communications, and
     Electronic Equipment Industries	       14
  Purpose of Standards  Limiting Public Exposure to
     Radiof requency/Microwave Energy   	       16
  Prof ile of Broadcast Facilities    	       16
Framework for the Economic Study   	       23
Methodology    	       29
  Environmental Protection Agency Radiofrequency
     Radiation  Research     	        30
  Environmental Protection Agency Data Base	        32
  Radiofrequency  Radiation Source Groups	        32
  Environmental Protection Agency Broadcast Signal
     Propagation Models     	        34
  Radiofrequency  Radiation Guidelines    	        34
  Compliance Measures Research   	        35
  Model of Station Selection of Compliance Measures   	        35
  Environmental Protection Agency Compliance
     Measures Effect Models	        39

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  Society-at-Large Cost Estimation Models    	       39
  Industry Cost Estimation Models    	       40
  Average Firm Cost Estimation Models   	       41
  Summation Cost Models   	       41
Measures to Comply with Radiofrequency Radiation Guidelines   	       42
  Reduce Effective Radiated Power	       42
  Prohibit Public Access to Areas Exposed to Field
     Strengths Exceeding the Standard    	       43
  Post Warning Signs in Areas Exposed to Excess RF	       43
  Install Shield on Building-Based Antenna Towers	       45
  Install Reflective Materials on Adjacent Building Windows    	       45
  Change the Power-to-Gain Relationship    	       46
  Replace Existing Antenna with A More Efficient Model    	       46
  Optimize Inter-Bay Spacing of the Antenna Elements
     for Minimal Downward Radiation	       47
     Measurement	       47
     Calculation	       48
  Create Groups of Elements	       48
  Raise the Antenna     	       50
  Summary of Compliance Measures Selected for FM, AM, and
     TV Broadcast Stations	       51
Compliance Measure Costs	       54
Society-at-Large Cost Model   	       59
Industry Cost Model	       63
Average Firm Cost Model   	       67
Summary of Assumptions	       72
  General Assumptions    	       72
  Assumptions for FM Radio Stations    	       73
  Assumptions for AM Radio Stations    	       74
  Assumptions for TV Broadcast Stations	       74
Summary of Research Results     	       74
References	       79
                                       VI

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                             VOLUME II:  Appendices


Appendix A: Economic Methodology: Sample Computations and
  Engineering Data for FM Stations	       A-l
Appendix B: Economic Methodology: Sample Computations and
  Engineering Data for AM Stations	       B-l
Appendix C: Economic Methodology: Sample Computations and
  Engineering Data for TV Stations	       C-l

Appendix D: Cost Estimates for FM Stations   	       D-l
Appendix E: Cost Estimates for AM Stations   	       E-l

Appendix F: Cost Estimates for TV Stations   	       F-l
Appendix G: Total Cost Estimates:  FM, AM, TV	       G-l
                                      VI1

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ITTA

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                               EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

      The purpose of this study is to estimate the potential cost of a federal guidance
 limiting public exposure to radiofrequency (RF) radiation; the study addresses the cost of
 compliance of the broadcast industry and its three major segments—the 9000 AM and FM
 radio stations and the 1000 VHF-TV and  UHF-TV broadcast stations in the U.S.  The cost
 of compliance was estimated in terms  of three kinds of economic analyses,  for which
 models were developed: the cost to society-at-large,  the cost to the broadcast industry,
 and the cost to and effect on the net profit of the average broadcast  station.  For these
 analyses, estimates were made of the cost of 18 alternative guidance levels  ranging from
 1  yW/cm2 (FM and TV) or 10 V/m (AM), the most stringent, to 10,000 yW/cm2 (FM and TV)
 or 1000 V/m (AM), the least stringent, using a  low, medium, and high estimate of the cost
 of components for compliance measures.
      The federal RF  radiation protection guidance analyzed  in this  study  has been
 developed and proposed by  the  U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)  under the
 authority of the Federal Radiation Council, 42 U.S.C.  2021  (h), which  was transferred to
 the EPA by Executive Order (EO) 10831, Reorganization  Plan Number 3 of 1970 and by
 Public Law  86-373. Accordingly, the Nonionizing Radiation Branch, Office  of  Radiation
 Programs of the EPA  has conducted an extensive research program over the past 12 years
 on the  electromagnetic environment to  which the  public is exposed.  This  research has
 included a number of studies of the propagation of  RF by a wide variety of sources
 including  shortwave  (high frequency) radio,  satellite  communication  earth  terminals,
 point-to-point   microwave  radio  antennas,   various  kinds  of   radar,  land/mobile
 communications, and  hand-held  transceivers. This research indicates that the  broadcast
 industry, FM radio and VHF-TV transmitters in particular, contribute the majority of RF
 to which the public  is exposed in  the  general environment.  Therefore, the  EPA has
 focused on the broadcast industry as the most important foundation for a cost  study and
 has developed models  that estimate the RF energy deposition on the ground from AM and
 FM radio, VHF-TV and UHF-TV antennas. The models use a data base the EPA developed
 by combining information  manually extracted from  Federal Communications Commission
 engineering  files with results of studies of the  propagation characteristics of various
 commonly used antennas.  Using  these models the EPA has estimated the RF pattern and
intensity of  all 10,000 AM and FM radio,  VHF-TV and  UHF-TV broadcast stations.  These
 RF propagation estimates were compared with the 18 specified guidance levels;  for those
stations  estimated to exceed   a  given  guidance  level,  a  series  of  increasingly
                                        IX

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complex,  effective,  and costly compliance  measures  was  tried  in succession until
compliance was indicated by model results. This provided the engineering basis for the
cost models.
     An estimate of  the economic effects of  proposed federal actions is  mandated by a
series of Executive Orders, the latest of which is EO 12291, Federal Regulation, which is
implemented by  an Office  of  Management and Budget guidance on  regulatory impact
analysis  and,  in EPA,  by  a companion guideline  for performing  regulatory impact
analyses.  Accordingly, the EPA contracted  with the Environmental Sciences Division of
the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under EPA-DOE  (Department of Energy)
Interagency Agreement AD-89-F-2-803-0 to conduct the cost study.
     The social cost  models estimate the entire cost to society-at-large, defined as the
opportunity cost of allocating resources for the purpose of reducing RF radiation at the
exclusion  of other uses, in  terms  of  component  and gross  cost,  annual  cash flow
(undiscounted)  cost and  present  (discounted)  value  of  the cost of the  guidance.  The
industry cost models estimate the annual and  average cash flow (undiscounted) cost and
present (discounted) value of the cost of compliance. The  average firm models estimate
the annual gross cash flow (undiscounted) cost, tax shelter,  net  annual and average cash
flow cost, net income after  compliance and present value of the cost of compliance.  The
industry and average firm models produce results that are  net of income tax deductions
and credits and include the cost of financing the required compliance measures.
     The results show that the cost of compliance in all three analyses drops very rapidly
from guidance level 1 to 4, then rapidly from 4 to about 9 or 10, and then  more gradually
to level 18. The percentages of  stations requiring a mitigation measure  are 94% (FM),
100% (AM), and  76% (TV)  at  guidance  level  1;  at  guidance level  18 the percentages
requiring  a  mitigation  measure  are  1% (FM),  0%  (AM),  and 0% (TV).  The  present
(discounted) value of the cost  to society-at-large of compliance with the  proposed RF
guidance varies from  a  maximum (high  cost assumptions) of $866.6 million  for guidance
level 1 to a minimum (low cost assumptions) of $12.7 million for guidance level 18.  The
annual   cash  flow (undiscounted)  cost  to  society   varies  from   $207.8 million  to
$3.1 million.  The present value of the net after tax cost to the broadcast industry varies
from $414.6 million to $6.9  million. The average annual net after tax cash  flow cost to
the broadcast industry varies from $59.1 million to $0.8 million.  The average present
value of the net after tax cost to the average  broadcast  firm varies from a maximum of

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$40.6 thousand  (FM),  $7.9 thousand  (AM),  $285.3 thousand  (TV) to  a  minimum  of
$4.8 thousand (FM),  $1.3 thousand (AM), $0.7 thousand  (TV).  The average  annual  net
after tax cash flow cost to the average  broadcast firm  varies from  a maximum of
$9.7 thousand  (FM),  $1.8 thousand  (AM),  $67.8  thousand  (TV)  to a  minimum   of
$1.1 thousand (FM), $0.3 thousand (AM),  $0.1 thousand  (TV).  The reduction  in the  net
profit of the average broadcast  firm from maximum cash flow expenses  associated with
compliance varies from a maximum of 16.4% (FM), 5.1% (AM), 8.4% (TV) to a minimum of
2.5% (FM), 1.4% (AM), 0.1% (TV).  The reduction in  the net profit from the average cash
flow expense of Compliance is about 50% of the maximum percent effect on profits.
                                      XI

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                                     ABSTRACT

     The purpose of this study is to estimate the cost of a federal guidance proposed by
 the  U.S.   Environmental  Protection  Agency (EPA)  limiting  public  exposure  to
 radiofrequency (RF)  radiation from the broadcast  industry—the 9000 AM and  FM  radio
 stations and 1000 VHF-TV and UHF-TV broadcast stations in the U.S.— that EPA research
 indicates is the  most  significant  source  of RF to which the  public is exposed.  The
 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory developed models that estimate a variety of
 costs at 18 alternative guidance levels for three kinds  of economic analysis: the cost to
 society-at-large,  the cost to the broadcast  industry and the cost to and effect on net
 profit of the average broadcast station. The total  present (discounted) value of the cost
 to  society varies from a maximum (high-cost assumption) of $866.6 million for guidance
 level 1 and drops  very rapidly to guidance level  4 then rapidly to level 10  and  more
 gradually to a minimum (low-cost assumption) of $12.7 million for guidance level 18. The
 maximum reduction in net profit from increased cash flow costs to the average broadcast
 firm over the assumed 6 years  of costs varies from 16.4% (FM) at guidance level 1  to
 0.1% (TV) at guidance level 18.

                        INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND

 PURPOSE

     The goal of  this study is to assist  the  Environmental Protection  Agency  (EPA) in
 addressing the cost of regulation as mandated by Executive Order (EO) 122911,  by Office
 of  Management and Budget (OMB) guidance  on  regulatory impact analysis2, and by EPA
 guidance on  regulatory  impact analysis.3  To accomplish this  goal, Lawrence Livermore
 National Laboratory  (LLNL)  has developed  and applied a methodology to analyze the
 potential cost of a Federal  guidance limiting public exposure to radio freqency  (RF)
 radiation proposed  by the EPA. At the  time  this  analysis  was conducted, important
 categories of benefits had been identified but  not quantified.
    The purpose of this study, to develop and apply a cost methodology, was carried out
 by developing models  that estimate a  variety of costs of compliance for three  types of
 economic analysis:  the cost to society-at-large, the cost to the broadcast industry, and
the cost to and effect on the net profit of the average broadcast firm.  Using the results
of  an engineering  analysis  provided  by EPA,1*  we  made  estimates  of  the  cost of 18
alternative guidance levels ranging from 1 yW/cm2 (FM and TV) or 10 V/m (AM), the most
stringent, to 10,000 yW/cm2 (FM and  TV) or  1,000  V/m (AM), the least  stringent,  using

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three levels of costs for compliance measure components.  Among the costs estimated for
each of the three analyses are component and gross compliance cost,  projected actual and
average annual cash flow (undiscounted) cost, and present (discounted) value. The average
firm models estimate the net after tax effect of compliance on profit.

SCOPE

    Anthropogenic sources  of RF are many  and are proliferating.  Contributors  to the
general RF environment include point-to-point and earth-satellite communication system
microwave  broadcast  antennas,  military  and civilian defense  and  navigation  radar,
land-mobile transmitters, hand-held transceivers,  police traffic  control radar, medical
diathermy, commercial and residential microwave ovens,  industrial  sealers and heaters,
shortwave radio, commercial FM  and AM radio, VHF-TV and UHF-TV broadcast sources.
Continued  development of  applications of RF  energy in industrial processes and the
communications  industry such as the emerging low-power TV stations, cellular radio, and
high-density TV, will increase the number  of sources of RF. This study focuses on the
existing commercial  technology  of the broadcast industry, because EPA's Office of
Radiation Programs (ORP) research over the past 12 years  indicates that this industry and
FM and VHF-TV transmitters in particular are the most  significant sources of RF to which
the public is exposed.

RESEARCH RESULTS OVERVIEW

    The EPA originally  established 18 VHP field intensity  levels  as the basis of the
economic study.  The majority of  the cost estimates were performed  with the assumption
that the frequency dependency of the guidance levels would be structured with the FM
and TV limit (in yW/cm2) established uniformly about 26.5 times more stringent than the
AM limit for all 18 guidance levels studied. However, the EPA is now considering three
alternative frequency-dependent guidance options: for option 1, the FM and TV limit (in
yWcm2) is 20 times more stringent than for AM; for options 2 and 3,  the FM and TV limit
is 200 times more strigent than for AM.  The three alternative  regulatory options thus
have a different  relationship between the limits applied to the AM band and those applied
to FM  and  VHF-TV frequencies  from the guidance  levels used originally  in the cost
analysis.  However,  because each of  the  three  broadcast  services  was analyzed
independently at  18 different guidance levels, the total cost of any  frequency-dependent
standard can be estimated by combining the  cost to each  service at the  guidance level

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 applied to that service.  The alternative guidance options currently under consideration
 for proposal by the EPA are structured for the three broadcast services as follows:
                            EPA Alternative Guidance Options
Limiting field strength
at AM frequencies V/m

New
guide
option
field
strength
)ption 1 87
)ption 2 275
)ption 3 614
Nearest
lower
cost
study
field
strength
86.6
264.6
446.7


Cost
study
guide
level
5
12
16
Limiting power densities at
FM and TV frequencies yW/cm*

New
guide
option
field
strength
100
200
1000
Nearest
lower
cost
study
field
strength
100
200
1000


Cost
study
guide
level
6
7
15
      Using the nearest lower, more expensive, guidance level when the new option falls
between two guidance levels used in the cost study,a we estimated the social, industry,
and average  firm  costs of compliance with the three new options.  Figures 1-3 indicate
the present value of the cost to society,  industry and the average firm, respectively.  The
total  present value of the  cost  to society  varies  from a  maximum of $93.4 million
(high-cost assumptions) for option 1 to $15.9  million (low-cost assumptions) for option 3
(Fig.  1). The total present value of the cost of compliance to  the  broadcast industry
varies from a maximum of $45.6 million  (high cost) for option 1 to $8.4 million (low cost)
for option 3 (Fig. 2). The average  present value of the cost of compliance for the average
firm varies from a maximum of $22.0 thousand (FM), $2.6 thousand (AM), $70.3 thousand
(TV) for option 1 (high cost) to a minimum  of  $6.4  thousand (FM), $1.3 thousand (AM),
$23.1  thousand (TV) for option 3 (low cost) (Fig. 3).  Data for  these figures are presented
in Tables 1-3. Additional  estimates of costs to the average firm are shown in Table 3 and
include  the average net annual cash flow cost and the maximum and average reduction in
profit.
 a Another approach is to interpolate between two guidance levels for which costs have
been estimated.  Using the next lower cost study guidance level  is  more  conservative,
overstating the cost somewhat.

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 OJ
 c_
 ca
 C
 O
      70 |-
      60
50
      40
30 -
      20 -
      10 -
               FM
                               FM
                    AM
                          TV
                                     AM
                                                FM
                                           TV
                                                AM
         High

         Medium

         Low
                                                           TV
                 Option 1
                           Option 2
Option 3
Figure 1.   The range of the total  present  (constant  dollar)  value
   of  the  cost  to society-at-large of guidelines limiting public
exposure to radiofrequency radiation from FM,  AM,  and TV broadcast
     sources is shown for three possible  guidance  structures.

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           GO
           t_
           to
           o
           ca
           c
           o
                35 r
                30
25
                20
                15
                13
                 5 -
        High


        Medium


        Low
                         Option 1
                        Option 2
Option 3
Figure 2. The range of the total present (constant dollar) value of the net after-tax cost
to the  broadcast  industry  of guidelines limiting  public  exposure  to  radiofrequency
radiation from AM, FM, and TV broadcast sources is shown for  three possible guidance

structures.

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   £_
   CO
  -O
   c
   CO
   oo
        80 r
        70
        60
        50
        40
30
        20
        10
                            TV
                FM
                     AM
                                            TV
                                 FM
                              AM
                                                  FM
                                                     High

                                                     Medium

                                                     Low
                                                     TV
                  Option  1
                           Option 2
Option  3
Figure 3.    The range of  the  average  present  (constant  dollar)  value
  of  the net after-tax cost to the average FM, AM, and TV broadcast
  station  of guidelines  limiting  public  exposure  to  radiofrequency
     radiation is shown  for  three possible  guidance  structures.

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 TABLE 1.  AN ESTIMATE OF THE TOTAL PRESENT (CONSTANT DOLLAR)  VALUE OF  THE COST TO SOCIETY-AT-LARGE
 OF  GUIDELINES LIMITING PUBLIC EXPOSURE  TO  RADIOFREQUENCY  RADIATION FROM FM, AM, AND TV  BROADCAST
 SOURCES IS SHOWN  FOR THREE POSSIBLE GUIDANCE STRUCTURES.   NUMBERS ARE  IN MILLIONS OF  DOLLARS.


                           FM                     AM                      TV                     TOTAL
                 LOU     MED     HIGH   LOW     MED     HIGH    LOW     MED      HIGH   LOW     MED     HIGH


ALTERNATIVE 1       22.2    44.7    60.4    9.4    15.0     22.0     7.1     9.8    11.0   38.7    69.5    93.4


ALTERNATIVE 2       16.2    31.2    41.6    6.8     9.8     13.3     3.5     4.7     5.4   26.5    45.7    60.3


ALTERNATIVE 3       7.8    12.4    16.0    6.7     9.6     12.8     1.4     1.9     2.4   15.9    23.9    31.2

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        TABLE 2.   AN ESTIMATE  OF  THE TOTAL PRESENT  (CONSTANT  DOLLAR)  VALUE OF THE  NET AFTER-TAX COST TO  THE BROADCAST
        INDUSTRY  OF GUIDELINES LIMITING PUBLIC EXPOSURE  TO  RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION  FROM FM, AM, AND TV  BROADCAST
        SOURCES IS SHOWN FOR THREE POSSIBLE GUIDANCE STRUCTURES.   NUMBERS ARE IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS.


                                          FM                    AM                     TV                    TOTAL
                                 LOW     MED     HIGH   LOW    MED     HIGH   LOH     MED     HIGH   LOW     MED     HIGH


                ALTERNATIVE  1       10.9    21.7     29.2     4.8     7.6    11.0    3.4     4.7     5.4   19.1     34.0    45.6


                ALTERNATIVE  Z        8.0    15.Z     20.3     3.6     5.2     6.9    1.7     Z.3     2.7   13.4     Z2.7    29.9


                ALTERNATIVE  3        4.C     6.4      8.2     3.6     S.I     6.7    0.8     1.0     1.3    8.4     12.4    16.2
OO

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 TABLE  3.   AN ESTIMATE  OF THE POTENTIAL  NET AFTER-TAX COST  TO THE AVERAGE BROADCAST  STATION OF GUIDELINES
 LIMITING  PUBLIC EXPOSURE TO RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION FROM  FM,  AM, AND  TV BROADCAST  SOURCES IS SHOWN FOR
 THREE  POSSIBLE GUIDANCE  STRUCTURES.   NUMBERS ARE IN THOUSANDS  OF DOLLARS.
ALTERNATIVE 1
AVG ANN CASH FLOW COST
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-------
STANDARDS LIMITING EXPOSURE TO RADIOFREQUENCY
AND MICROWAVE ENERGY

     There is  a  long  history  of  serious  concern  over  establishing standards  for
occupational and public exposure and product  emissions  of electromagnetic,  or radio
wave, energy.5  The  EPA, with the absorption of the Federal Radiation  Council in 1970,
has assumed authority over non-ionizing as well as ionizing radiation as an environmental
parameter  within its jurisdiction that has potential public health risks.  This  parallels  a
number of  other  agencies,  public  and  private, that  have a  continuing interest  in
non-ionizing or radiofrequency and microwave (RF/MW) radiation energy.  Since 1966, the
American  National  Standards Institute  (ANSI)  has issued, and  conducted  scheduled
revisions of, both occupational and non-occupational (public) RF/MW standards, the latest
in August of 1983.6  Figure 4 shows a comparison of selected RF standards  including the
previous and current  ANSI standards.
     The National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) within the
Department of  Commerce (DOC) has held responsibility  for coordinating non-ionizing
radiation  bioeffects research.  The  NTIA  was  formed  in   1978  when the  Office  of
Telecommunications  Policy was transferred from the Executive Office of the President to
the NTIA.  However, NTIA  has recently  decided to discontinue  its bioeffects  research
coordination function.  Its Electromagnetic Radiation Management Advisory  Council, as a
result,  has  been disbanded.  The NTIA's spectrum policy,  planning,  and  management
function under the Frequency Management Advisory Council,  all basically contributing to
the DOC's fundamental  mission to facilitate business,  trade, commerce, and industrial
production, will continue. The Department of Defense has initiated a review  of its own
exposure standards for RF/MW radiation.   The American Conference of Governmental and
Industrial Hygienists  is also reviewing its RF/MW exposure standard.
     The Occupational Safety and Health Administration  published occupational RF/MW
exposure standards  until a  recent decision to  withdraw all such  voluntary  advisory
standards.3  The National Institute of Occupational Safety  and  Health  has prepared  a
criterion document on the occupational health effects of RF/MW that has not  been made
public at this time.
     In the international arena, the World Health Organization has published an RF/MW
health  effects  criteria  document that contains  population,  occupational,  and  product
a This decision was reversed by OSHA  in February  1984 at the request  of  the  Federal
Communications Commission (Microwave News, IV(2), March, 1984).
                                        10

-------

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Figure *.  Radiofrequency and microwave energy spectra are shown with a  number of
population exposure standards.

-------
standards, in addition to  sections on implementation  and further  research  needs.  The
International Non-Ionizing Radiation Committee of the  International Radiation Protection
Association has very recently published an occupational  RF/MW exposure standard.
    In the United States, the Technical Electronic Product  Radiation  Safety Standards
Committee of the National Center for Devices and Radiological Health of the Food and
Drug  Administration is charged with recommending product emission standards  for such
appliances as microwave ovens and industrial heat sealers.

CURRENT REGULATORY EFFORTS

    The Federal  Communications  Commission  (FCC)  has  overall  responsibility  for
licensing broadcast stations  and  maintaining acceptable  broadcast/reception conditions
and standards of  service and otherwise regulating the  broadcast industry.  The FCC
decided in 1979  that, under the  National Environmental  Policy Act (NEPA)7 of 1969, it
also had responsibility  for  public safety  with  regard to RF energy emanating from
broadcast sources it is responsible for regulating. To this end, the FCC issued a notice of
inquiry8 followed by an Advance Notice of Proposed Rule Making (ANPR)^  both  of which
solicited comments on the FCC's proposal  to issue standards limiting public  exposure to
RF from  regulated broadcast sources.  The FCC  has  worked closely with the  EPA,
particularly the  ORP, which  is responsible for EPA's ionizing and non-ionizing  radiation
regulatory program. The EPA has also issued an ANPR10  on its intention, in concert with
the FCC, to publish a guideline limiting public exposure  to RF/MW radiation. At the same
time,  the ORP  is preparing a preliminary draft  of   the Federal  Guidance  for  public
exposure to RF  to be  implemented and administered  by the various pertinent Federal
agencies.  An interagency work  group  has reviewed  the Draft Proposed Guidance.11
Further, the EPA's Office  of  Research  and Development  Health  Effects  Research
Laboratory has prepared a draft  of a health effects criteria document.12  This draft has
been  reviewed by a Scientific Advisory  Board (SAB) panel and has been revised  at the
direction of the SAB.

THE ELECTROMAGNETIC ENERGY ENVIRONMENT

    Communications,   entertainment,    recreation,  manufacturing,   food  processing,
medicine, defense, navigation, and space exploration have all benefited  from  advances in
the use of RF/MW over  the past 40 years. The public is exposed  to intermittent or
continuous RF/MW sources from a growing  variety of sources:  AM  and  FM radio and
television broadcasting stations; navigation and defense radar; land-mobile (citizens band,

                                        12

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emergency  services,  telephone); hand-held transceivers; police traffic  control  radar;
point-to-point, earth-satellite,  and deep  space  microwave  communications;  medical
diathermy; commercial and residential microwave ovens; and industrial RF/MW sealers
and heaters.
     Radiowaves are electromagnetic energy consisting of coupled electric and magnetic
fields that oscillate at the same frequency as the  source, from which they propagate
outward at the velocity of  light  in the  medium through which the energy is moving.  The
relationship between the frequency, f, and wavelength, X, for electromagnetic waves  is
approximately as follows:

    X = s/f,                                                                     (1)
where
     X    =  the wavelength in meters,
      s    =  speed of light in air, meters per second, and
      f    =  the frequency in Hertz or cycles per second.
      The EM  energy spectrum extends from zero  to 1025 Hz and includes the electrical
frequency  (low cycles per  second),  radiofrequency,  optical  frequency, and  ionizing
frequency ranges.  Radiofrequency and microwave radiation includes the spectrum  from
3 kHz to 300 GHz,  with wavelengths varying from 100,000 m to  1 mm.  Microwaves are
defined as the portion including the  spectrum between 300 MHz and 300 GHz,  with
wavelengths from 1  m to 1  mm.
      The RF environment  includes  fields from many sources and frequencies. However,
two frequency bands deliver the majority of the energy to which the public is exposed, the
AM  radio  band,  0.535 to  1.605 MHz,  and the  FM radio,  VHP and  UHF TV bands,
54-890 MHz. A report analyzing the radiofrequency radiation environment to which the
public is exposed and a discussion of the RF sources responsible has been prepared by the
EPA.13

RESEARCH ON BIOLOGICAL EFFECTS AND HEALTH RISKS OF
RADIOFREQUENCY/MICROWAVE RADIATION

      Research on biological effects and health risks of RF/MW  evidences long-standing,
widespread,  and diverse concern over the possible consequences  of exposure to RF/MW
radiation. This research dates from  at least World War II when the U.S. Naval Research
Laboratory investigated the possible harmful effects of  microwaves. In 1948,  researchers
at the Mayo Clinic documented the first  hazardous effect—cataracts in dogs  used as
experimental  subjects.1 **   Soviet   researchers   reported   behavioral  and   subjective

                                        13

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symptomatic effects  at about the same time.  In  1953,  a Hughes Aircraft  Company
engineer, John T. McLaughlin, documented an apparent pattern of disease among radar
workers. In reaction  to this development, the  Navy established  a  temporary exposure
standard for MW. In 1956, the Armed Services initiated a more rigorous research effort
known as the Tri-Services Program to establish a scientifically-based RF/MW  standard.15
ANSI assumed responsibility for setting voluntary standards and  has a scheduled  review of
its  standards every five  years.   Subsequently,  a  number  of federal agencies became
interested  in  RF/MW  from an  occupational, public exposure,  and  product  emission
standpoint.  Currently,  biological effects and health risk research  is being monitored,
funded,  coordinated, or conducted by several agencies, among them  the Office of Naval
Research,  the  Air Force  School  of  Aerospace  Medicine,  Center  for  Devices  and
Radiological  Health   (Food  and  Drug  Administration),   the  National  Institute  of
Environmental Health  Sciences, the  Environmental Protection Agency, the Department of
Energy, and the Naval Medical Research and Development  Command (Naval Aerospace
Medical Research Laboratory).
      Recently, the EPA  evaluated the available scientific data in  a  report entitled
Biological Effects of Radiofrequency Radiation.12 Although there are over 5000 citations
in the literature of studies of RF radiation effects,  reports were included in the  document
only if they met certain  minimum  acceptance  criteria and if  they could be  useful in
developing  the basis for exposure  guidelines by adequately identifying and quantifying the
biological and health effects.16

CONCERNS OF THE BROADCAST,  COMMUNICATIONS, AND ELECTRONIC
EQUIPMENT INDUSTRIES

      Industry concerns focus on growing  public resistance to siting communication and
broadcast  facilities in  local communities.  Industry  is also concerned  with having to
satisfy state and local RF/MW  public  exposure standards  that  may  be established at
different levels  that  may  be unnecessarily stringent  because these agencies  lack the
facilities or funds to conduct the necessary scientific studies on which to base carefully
designed standards.  However, state and local  officials feel  compelled to respond to
constituencies that  express a  growing perception of health  risk from RF/MW  exposure.
Electronic  equipment   manufacturers are also concerned  over product  emission  safety
standards, a subject which this economic study does not address.
      Numerous companies and industrial organizations have  urged the EPA and FCC to
adopt RF/MW standards in hopes of allaying public fears of perceived  health risks.  Among
these are the American Telephone and Telegraph Company, American Satellite Company,

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 GTE Service Corporation, TV Broadcasters All-Industry Committee, National Association
 of Broadcasters, Association for Broadcast Engineering Standards,  Columbia Broadcasting
 Systems,  Motorola  Corporation,  American  Radio  Relay  League  (Amateur   Radio
 Organization), Doubleday Broadcasting,  and even state and local  officials who must
 address citizen concerns over RF/MW exposure.17
      The public's growing perception of the risk of health hazards from RF/MW is causing
 increasing local opposition  to the siting of communication  and  broadcast  facilities,
 according  to  a  communications and  electronics research/industry  newsletter.18   This
 opposition appears to have originated with the rejection of Home Box Office corporation's
 application for a communications satellite (comsat) facility by Rockaway Township, New
 Jersey.  Subsequently, RCA Americom was denied permission to build a comsat facility on
 both Bainbridge Island  and in Indianola-Kingston  (Kitsap County),  Washington.  The Port
 Authorities for New York and New Jersey and Merrill Lynch Pierce Fenner and Smith  are
 proposing a teleport facility on Staten Island in the face of public opposition.  Filmways
 Communications has been denied  permission to  build a television broadcast station in
 Onondaga, New York.  U.S. Telecommunications Systems (an ITT subsidiary) was  denied a
 permit to  build a microwave  relay station  in  Coventry, Connecticut.  World Christian
 Broadcasting Corporation is facing severe opposition  to its  proposed shortwave station in
 Anchor Point, Alaska.   Vernon, New Jersey, denied RCA  Americom permission to build a
 microwave  relay uplink  station  for  its satellite  communication  center.   Alascom
 Corporation  is facing  opposition to a  comsat facility on  Vashon Island  (King  County),
 Washington.   ITT Corporation  has been  denied  permission to  build  a  point-to-point
 microwave relay station in South Nyack, New York, and faces organized opposition  to its
 alternate site  proposal for Ringwood,  New Jersey.  Group  W  Satellite Communications
 Corporation  is facing  opposition organized by the Citizen's Action Group  to a comsat
 facility in Stamford, Connecticut.  There  has been long-standing opposition to the Navy's
 installation of large antenna  systems required  by its submarine  communication system
 (known successively as Project Sanguine,  Seafarer,  and  now,   ELF) in  Clam  Lake,
 Wisconsin,  and K.I. Sawyer Air Force Base in Michigan. Recently, the Coast Guard faced
 opposition to an OMEGA radar antenna  facility in  Hawaii. In addition, there is a growing
 body of litigation concerning alleged health effects of  exposure to RF/MW.
     In response to public fears of perceived health  hazards from RF/MW,  a number of
 state and local agencies have initiated  studies and several are  in the process of, or have
adopted, RF/MW public exposure standards.  Among  the latter are  Multnoma  County,
 Oregon,  the  states  of  New  Jersey, Conneticut,  Wisconsin, Massahusetts, Texas, and
                                        15

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Arizona, and the  cities of Portland,  Oregon  and Onondaga,  New York.19   Industry is
concerned about technical  compliance  with differing local standards involving an energy
medium that is difficult to control with respect  to  jurisdictional boundaries.  Federal,
state, and local government agencies are concerned about enforcement difficulties in a
regulatory environment of multiple RF/MW public exposure standards.
     The electronic equipment manufacturing industry  is further concerned  with  the
growing volume of litigation dealing with alleged health effects from  products including
microwave and  radar antennas, microwave ovens, and video display terminals.

PURPOSE OF STANDARDS LIMITING PUBLIC EXPOSURE TO
RADIOFREQUENCY/MICROWAVE ENERGY

     The EPA, observing  the conjunction of  numerous  forces,  including long-standing
scientific interest  in the biological  effects and health risks, increasing public perception
of health hazards, industry  concern over siting,  the desire  for consistency among differing
local and state  standards, and increasingly vocal opposition and litigation, is completing
research necessary to establish a standard limiting public exposure to RF/MW radiation.
The  research is comprehensive in scope, including health effects,  cost studies, field
measurements of the electromagnetic environment, signal  propagation studies, and studies
of the efficacy of a wide variety of  compliance  measures,  some of which have been
designed and modeled during the course of this research.

PROFILE OF BROADCAST FACILITIES

     The broadcast  industry is large and growing, as the following statistics reveal;20
total assets in 1980 were $5.5 billion, about 65% of which  is in the  TV industry. The total
industry  employs about  126,000  people who earn an  aggregate wage  of  $3.1  billion.
Industry gross revenues were about $12.0 billion (73% TV); net (after  taxes) income  was
$1.8  billion  (92%  TV).  In the decade  1971-1981,  the  number  of  FM radio  stations
increased by 47%,  AM stations by 8% and TV stations by  11%.  A  general reason for  this
growth is seen in a study of the number of trillion words  transmitted by public  media.21
This  study tracked  trends in the volume and cost of words  transmitted by 17  media. More
words were  transmitted by radio (AM  and FM) and were the  least costly of any of  the
media.  Radio and television grew in number of words transmitted and in reduction of cost
by about the same percentage over the period of 1960 to 1977; however radio  continues to
                                        16

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transmit about 3-1/2 times as many words (5.5 x 1017) as TV at one tenth  the cost per
word  ($3.0 x 10"9).a  Of  the  voice  communication media,  as  distinct  from  data
communication, CATV grew  twice as fast in number of  words produced over the  same
period but transmits almost 20 times fewer words than TV  at ten times the cost per word.
      The physical facilities of an FM radio station vary but typically include a broadcast
studio/office, from which the program content is assembled for transmission (Fig. 5).  The
broadcast antenna  is often  located  on a tower at the studio site.  If so, the broadcast
material is conveyed over wire  directly to the transmitter,  which provides the power  to
the antenna. Power from the transmitter is usually conveyed to the antenna  via a coaxial
transmission line and fed  to each  element of the  antenna (called  a bay) through an
electrical coupler or feed system  that distributes and phases the signal for  each  bay.  A
studio-transmitter-link  is   used   to  broadcast   the   program   material   to  the
transmitter-antenna when the latter is remote from the broadcast studio.
      Antenna signal  patterns are  routinely "tuned" or shaped  to avoid interference with
another station's signal,  to direct  the signal to the greatest  population, to fill in  nulls  or
poor reception areas, or to avoid broadcasting a signal  to non-market areas, the ocean, for
example. The signal  shaping is accomplished in different  ways for AM, FM,  and TV. The
factors for all three, though, involve the geometry of the element design,  spacing, and
placement, tower design  and geometry, and signal phase control.
      A broadcast station is a complex interaction of several forces that together result in
 the public image  of  a station that is dynamic, fluid,  and curiously life-like as few other
 organizations are.  The owners/partners/ managers bring  the entrepreneurial spirit to the
 enterprise.  Before the expansion of the FM car stereo market, this often flew in  the face
 of continual losses and  required  a dedication to a  particular type of programming and
 character of station, e.g., classical or jazz music.
      The FM broadcast industry is undergoing  a period of rapid change and expansion that
 began about a decade ago, spurred by expanding  FM audiences. The enormous increase in
 FM listeners is the  result  of  a conjunction of three  trends.   First, there have been
 significant  improvements  in the  quality  of  recording,  transmitting,  and  receiving
 equipment that have raised the standards and expectations of listeners for high quality
 sound,  particularly for music.  Second, good  FM receivers  are  now  widely available as
 standard equipment,  dealer-installed option, or after-market  installation for automobiles.
 This  brings job-holding commuters—key targets  of radio advertising campaigns—into the
 prime 6-9 a.m. listener period, greatly increasing the potential advertising revenue for FM
  a 1972 dollars.
                                         17

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  MIC
Recorded
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  Other
  Input
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 Program   microwave
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 7
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 equipment
 Broadcast
transmitter
                                                                     Broadcast
                                                                      antenna
                                         I   I
                     Studio site
                                      Transmitter site
 Figure 5.  The elements of a broadcast system are shown with the ultimate signal carried
 from the transmitter via coaxial cable and broadcast from  the antenna, which is insulated
 from  the  tower.  FM  radio,  VHF-TV and UHF-TV  antenna systems are  similar.  AM
 antenna systems differ in that the whole tower is used as  a signal radiating element; the
 tower is electrically grounded with a system of radial copper wires.
                                      18

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 radio stations. Third, FM programming, following the growth in audiences and advertising
 revenues,  has greatly diversified and  expanded.  FM  stations air a  wide variety of
 programming and they  also  segment  the listener  market  into  increasingly  smaller,
 specialized fractions. One result of this growth is that the market price for FM stations
 has jumped by as much as a factor of 10 in the past decade.
      With the growth in the  FM  market and  the  tremendous  surge in the cost of FM
 stations, there is a greater emphasis on the balance sheet. In  1971,  35% of independent
 FM stations reported a profit; in 1980, 50% were profitable.
      The rapidly  inflating market prices for FM stations, a function of  the growth in FM
 listenership, the increasing scarcity of good broadcasting sites in lucrative markets, and
 tax laws have created a situation in which market appreciation and realization of income
 taxed at lower rates, e.g.,  long term capital  gains, assume dominant  importance.  This
 accounts, partly,  for the fact  that 50% of independent  FM stations tolerate operating
 losses in the current economy.
      A station's value is  not solely a function of current earnings, market share, audience
 size,  or gross revenues.  A major factor is potential  earnings, which are primarily  a
 function of potential audience size and demographic description of the  population in the
 region.  The area of dominant influence, usually  larger than the FCC-defined market area,
 is influenced  by two factors: signal strength, and audience draw (determined chiefly by
 the underlying demography  of the potential  audience  and the programming).  If  the
 potential audience is sufficiently large  and has the appropriate demographic  profile,  a
 station's market share can often be increased by changes in programming.
     The programming function really establishes the character  and image  of the station
 with listeners.  Station  images have  become  fairly standardized;  the  industry  uses
 commonly  understood image or market categories such as easy listening, rock  and roll,
 country and western, soul, jazz, classical, talk, and top 40 to  report sales and  revenue
 statistics, demographic and  market trends.  According to programming specialists,  the
 type of programming  is probably the  most significant determinant of  the  demographic
 description of a station's listener audience.
     The engineering people keep the station on the air and design or hire consultants to
design new equipment configurations.  Engineers emphasize the importance of maintaining
 maximum power to saturate the audience and keep  the signal quality high.   In fact,  the
FCC requires stations to  maintain a minimum signal strength of 60 dbu (1.0 mV/m) over
the broadcast coverage area and 70  dbu over the city of license.
                                        19

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     The marketing and sales staff sell advertising time,  which is the sole source of
revenue for a station.  Generally, radio advertising is a relatively inexpensive way to
reach a wide audience.  However, the marketing people also  like to emphasize a station's
power or height of antenna or size  of market to  attract advertisers.  Stations generally
like to maintain a balance among the three sources of sales revenues: national, regional,
and local.  Small stations tend to rely on national sales representatives and the size of
broadcast coverage area (area and population)  rather than on ratings to sell national time.
     The radio  personalities convey the station  image and  character along with  the
programming and can greatly influence listener audience share and advertising revenues.
Programs and radio personalities are continually rated by one of  the audience sampling
services.  The rating and audience share influence  ad rates for a show, time segment or
station.  Hence, the competition for  high ratings and shares is intense,  especially in
competitive radio markets such as Los Angeles, New York, and San Francisco.
     Radio stations, with all of  their dynamic elements, operate within the regulatory
framework maintained by the FCC.  The FCC is  generally responsible  for  assuring that
each station has an interference-free broadcast coverage area.  This is accomplished by
regulating the effective radiated power  (ERP), which is a function of transmitted power
and  antenna  gain; antenna  height; and geographic  separation from other stations.
Recently, the FCC has been affected by a general move in the federal government toward
deregulation of  industries;  as  a  consequence, there may be  some  deregulation of  the
broadcast industry in the future.
     When a station applies for its  first license to broadcast  or  applies for a permit to
change its broadcast  components, a wide variety  of  permits, each with its underlying
engineering study is necessary.  These may include a  mileage separation, field strength,
and population density study. The Federal  Aviation  Administration (FAA) requires a
permit and accompanying study for  many tower installations.  Many of  these studies are
required as part  of the compliance measures discussed further in this report. In addition,
local jurisdictions require studies  supporting land use permit and zoning applications.
     Other changes affecting the broadcast industry include the  planned introduction of
AM stereo, cellular radio, high-definition television, and low-power television.  These are
not expected to have any influence on the RF environment to  which the public is exposed.
     Television  stations are more capital intensive than FM stations; expenses are higher
but the potential profits are very high,  particularly in large metropolitan markets.  The
series of photographs (Figs. 6-9)  show studio and transmission  facilities of FM radio  and
                                         20

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 Figure 6.   Material is broadcast live,  prerecorded,  or recorded live from
 the field.
Figure 7.   The signal is conveyed from the studio to a remote broadcast
tower via a microwave studio-transmitter link.
                                    21

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Figure 8.  The studio-transmitter signal  is  received by a microwave dish
antenna, converted to broadcast  power  at  the transmitter, and fed to the
broadcast antenna via coaxial  cable.
 Figure 9.   The coaxial  cable  feeds  broadcast antennas on the tower  (not
 visible above the catwalk).
                                     22

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 television stations.  Sutro tower, in San Francisco (Figs. 10-12),  is a sophisticated system
 serving a number of television and FM stations and private land-mobile systems.  An AM
 system is shown in Figs. 13-14.
      AM radio station antennas typically have a configuration  similar to that  shown in
 Fig. 13. These antenna systems do not lend themselves easily to modification as do FM
 and TV antennas.  Therefore,  prohibiting  public access  by  fencing the area  near the
 antenna that  is exposed to  RF over-standard was  used as the  compliance measure for
 those AM stations that required some form of mitigation.  Figure 14 shows a three-tower
 AM antenna system.

                     FRAMEWORK FOR THE ECONOMIC STUDY

     Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) dates from the 1844 publication  of an  essay, "On the
 Measurement  of the Utility  of  Public  Works," by Jules Dupoit.22   Dupoit conceived the
 notion of consumers' surplus, which is related to the concept of willingness  to pay, and net
 social benefit, cornerstone principles of CBA.
     More recently, the United States Flood Control Act  of  1936 required that benefits
 of  federal projects  should  exceed  costs.23"24  Thereafter,  most  federal public works
 agencies, notably the  Corps  of  Engineers, used CBA to assess project worth  throughout
 the next 40 years. Since the 1960's, especially following the enactment of NEPA in 1969,
 many statutes  have been adopted that  require  some form  of  formalized decision making
 that balance beneficial and adverse effects or financial and social impacts.25  During the
 Ford  Administration,  two EOs  were  promulgated requiring some form of economic
 balancing calculus.26   President   Carter  further  formalized  these  requirements  in
 EO 12044,27 which defined the threshold size of federal projects requiring analysis and the
 requirement for a regulatory analysis.  This EO was supplanted  by President  Reagan in
 EO 12291,28 which clearly identifies maximization of net social  benefits as an objective
 of regulation.  The EO  mandates a  Regulatory Impact Analysis for every major rule,
defined as any regulation that is likely to result in:

     1.   an annual effect on the economy of $100 million or more;
     2.  a major increase in costs  or prices for consumers, individual industries, federal,
         state, or local government agencies...; or
     3.  significant   adverse   effects  on  competition,   employment,  investment,
         productivity, innovation...29
                                        23

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                                      ^mm
                                      - -" ^vj^-^r^'---^
                                       "- '^&?s-*& v^"!:"r- ^
Figure 10.
            A sophisticated broadcast antenna  system,  such as this one  in
San Francisco, accommodates a number of television and FM broadcasters and
land-mobile users.
                    The tower is 977  feet  above a hill that  is 834 feet

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                                  b.  Television transmitter and monitor
a. Microwave antenna.
c. Circularly-polarized antenna.
d. Batwing superturnstyle antenna.
Figure 11.  The large tower system in San Francisco accommodates  a variety
of antennas and includes sophisticated transmitter-monitoring systems.

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 1*1-" ^
a. Traveling wave slotted antenna
(very top of mast).
c. Antennas protected by radomes.
                                        b.  Circularly-polarized antenna
                                        (1/3 up left side of tower leg).
                                          d.  Circularly-polarized television
                                          antennas.
 Figure 12.
 antennas.
           The  large tower system in San Francisco serves additional
                                      26

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H
X 300 m (980 ft)
                                                                          H
Figure 13.  Typical AM antenna ground field (broadcast frequency = 1000 KHz).
                                         27

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Figure 14.  AM radio broadcast antennas are typically located  in flat
terrain with good ground conductivity characteristics.   Each tower  is
grounded with a system of buried copper wires;  the  entire  tower  functions
as the broadcast antenna.
                                   28

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 Regulatory Impact Analyses are to contain the following information:

      1.  a description of the potential benefits of the rule...;
      2.  a description of the potential costs of the rule...;
      3.  a determination of the net benefits of the rule...;
      4.  a  description of alternative approaches that could substantially  achieve  the
          same regulatory goal at a lower cost...30

      In response, the  OMB issued a memo  to federal agencies  that  reiterated  the
 substance  of  EO 12291  and  ampilified  portions  of it,  notably  the  definitions  of
 alternatives to be considered, costs, benefits, and net benefit.31
      The EPA  drafted  an extensive regulatory impact analysis guide,  which,  together
 with its four appendices, establishes the EPA's  policy response to EO 12291.32  This guide
 discusses in  detail suggestions  for  documenting the need  for the  action; considering of
 alternative actions; considering benefits, including health and non-health effects; costs to
 society-at-large (opportunity costs  of using resources for  a  selected  purpose at  the
 exclusion of other purposes); and net benefits.

                                   METHODOLOGY

      The following is a description of  the approach  used  in  this  study.  The  general
 procedures,  data  bases,  compliance  measures and   their  selection,  pre-  and  post-
 compliance  RF  propagation  models,  social, industry, and  individual  firm  models  are
 outlined.  Figure 15 illustrates the relationships among the components of the method of
 approach.
      With reference  to  Fig. 15, EPA's ORP,  as  a result  of  research  over the past
 12 years, has developed  models that estimate the RF in terms of electric field  strength
 and  power density of the 10,000 AM and  FM radio,  VHF-TV  and UHF-TV broadcast
 stations in the U.S. The models use data developed by the  EPA from FCC  engineering
 files, research  results,  and  other  sources  to estimate  the current RF  environment
 resulting from the broadcast activities of the stations.  To  facilitate efficient modeling of
 the large number of FM radio stations,  they were divided into groups with similar antenna
design and mounting characteristics. AM radio stations were divided into groups whose
antennas expose similar areas to a given intensity of  RF.  TV  broadcast stations were
analyzed individually.  Stations whose RF  is estimated to exceed one of the 18 alternative
guidance levels studied are assigned the least costly compliance measure, selected from a
series of increasingly  complex,  costly and effective measures, developed as part of the

                                         29

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research for this cost study, that will effect compliance.  When a compliance measure is
estimated by the model to achieve compliance for a station or group of similar stations, it
becomes the basis for the cost input to the three cost models.  The cost  models produce a
variety of cost estimates for three kinds of economic analyses of each of the 18 guidance
levels studied using three levels of costs for compliance measures.

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY RADIOFREQUENCY
RADIATION RESEARCH

     Over the past decade, the EPA has been conducting research  to define the  RF/MW
environment to which the public is exposed.33"39 This has been an extensive research
effort that provides the foundation for defining the current RF conditions and identifying
potential areas and sources of RF that further research might document as posing a health
risk. In the course of these investigations, the EPA  has measured the RF field strengths
in almost 500 sites in the U.S. in a  wide variety of  environments and  distances from
broadcast sources.1*0"1*2  These studies show that 99% of the urban population is exposed to
less than 1 yW/cm2 of  RF (the lowest level considered  in the cost  study); the  median
exposure is one-half percent of this small value.
     Studies were also  conducted of traffic control, ground and airborne radar systems.
Traffic radar broadcast systems studied produce less than 1 yW/cm2  at distances from the
units that  people would normally be  found.  The maximum  power density produced is
3.6 mW/cm2 at 9 cm (3.6 in) from the antenna.1*3
     Air traffic control radar systems studied in the San Francisco  Bay Area showed a
maximum exposure of 1.1 x 10~3 yW/cm2,1*1* indicating that this source is also below levels
being  considered  for  the  guideline.   In  another  study,   the   power  density  of
aircraft-mounted radar  systems was  measured.  Exposures of  up to 10  mW/cm2  at  8 to
18 feet horizontally from the aircraft radar unit were measured1*5 (10 mW/cm2  is the  1966
ANSI  C95.1 standard).  However, commercial aircraft radar units  are  generally  over
6 feet above the ground  (the height of  persons on the ground).
     Another study was conducted of RF in and on the roofs of tall  buildings in proximity
to broadcast antennas.  Eight buildings were surveyed in  five cities across the country.
No interior area was  found to have an exposure  greater  than 100yW/cm2; several  roof
locations,1*6 to which  the  public does  not  normally have  access, were exposed to levels
between  100 and 200 yW/cm2.  One roof location exposure  was found to be 23GyW/cm2. It
was found that mylar film used  as a solar reflector  is very effective at  attenuating RF
and could offer a low-cost means to reduce RF in buildings, if this were necessary.
                                        30

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EPARF
levels
research

EPA RF
cntirrp
data bases



R
broa
source
i
F
dcast
groups


Broadcast
source selection
of compliance
measures model
r
EPA signal
propagation
models
\
r
Pre-guideline
broadcast RF
environment


Comp
meas
rese

liance
ures
arch






EPA
propa
mo
\
signal
gation
dels
i
Post-guideline
compliance
broadcast RF
environment





Social
cost
models

Industry
cost
models




Social
cost
analyses

Industry
cost
analyses

Average
firm cost
models


Average
firm cost
analyses
Figure 15.  The general method of approach combines the output of  data bases, physical
signal propagation models and the application of compliance measures to social, industry
and average firm cost models.
                                         31

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     The studies of exposure from radar and inside buildings, together with the extensive
studies  of  general  population exposure to RF have lead the EPA to  concentrate  on
commercial broadcasting  and,  in  particular,  FM  radio  as  the chief source of  public
exposure to RF in the environment.

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY DATA BASE

     The EPA has spent considerable time  over  the past three years  assembling  a
comprehensive data base on the most critical  RF sources from a guidance viewpoint: AM
and FM radio and VHP- and  UHF-TV stations. This data base identifies  each station by
call letter, city  and state, corporate name, address of studio, geocoordinate location of
the transmitter and antenna, and a description of broadcast  engineering characteristics
such as ERP, antenna type, make and model, number of elements, gain, type of mounting,
height above average terrain (HAAT), height of antenna above ground, transmitter power,
and others. These data are the basis for the signal propagation modeling performed by the
EPA.

RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION SOURCE GROUPS

     There are approximately MOO FM, 4600 AM, and  1100 TV broadcast stations  in the
United  States.  Each  station  represents  a  unique physical,  topographic,  equipment,
financial, corporate structure,  market, and  engineering  situation.  Antennas are  of  a
variety  of  configurations  and design.   They are mounted on  a variety of towers,  from
telephone poles  to  very tall self-supporting  towers.  Some towers are  located on flat
terrain, some on mountain tops, some on building roofs.  Most antennas are located alone
on a tower; however, some FM and  TV antennas are co-located on the same tower. A few
FM antennas are designed so that several stations can broadcast simultaneously from a
single antenna.
     The FCC recognizes three geographic zones with different technical requirements
and regulatory rules that accommodate the regional differences in physical and marketing
environments.
     The FM stations were partitioned into four groups on the basis of gross similarity in
antenna  mounting,  which  influences the power density pattern and technical  solutions
available for complying with standards.
     Of the  4400  FM  broadcast stations, the EPA data base contained information on
about 3900.  An adjustment was  made in each  group on  the basis of the  existing
distribution to reflect the actual number of stations.  These were partitioned according to
the following antenna mounting methods.
                                        32

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      1.  FM stations with antennas mounted alone on a tower (guyed or self-supporting)
          whose base is on the ground (SFMT).
      2.  FM stations with antennas co-mounted with one or more other antennas on a
          tower (guyed or self-supporting) whose base is on the ground (MFMT).
      3.  FM stations with antennas mounted alone on a mast or tower whose base is on a
          building (SFMB).
      4.  FM stations with antennas co-mounted with one or more other antennas on a
          mast or tower whose base is on a building (MFMB).

      The SFMTs and MFMTs were analyzed without modification.  However, except  for
 survey  costs, the SFMBs and  MFMBs were not included in the cost estimate for several
 reasons. Antennas mounted on masts or towers  on building roofs are generally in areas of
 relatively high population  density.  However, the two major paths of public  exposure to
 high field strengths are very rare occurrences. The first path is the exposure of people on
 the roof.  Except in rare instances, the World Trade Center in New York, for instance, the
 public does not  have access to building tops on which antennas are mounted. The other
 major public exposure path involving roof-mounted antennas is the exposure of people in
 nearby  buildings,  particularly in situations in  which  the  RF  waves  are  transmitted
 horizontally from an elevation identical to people  in  an adjacent  building.  Buildings
 attenuate RF significantly  and levels measured inside structures adjacent to FM broadcast
 antennas are  relatively  low,  typically  below 50 y W/cm2 and  are  not  known to exceed
 lOOyW/cm2.1*6
      Where there is an antenna on a roof top adjacent to a new building that is taller than
 the antenna mast, exposure of occupants in the new building to the main signal  beam is
 possible.  However,  the  presence of  the  new building significantly degrades the  signal
 coverage of the station's listener market.  This is particularly true  of  FM because the
 physical characteristics  of FM  waves cause them to  reflect easily  off obstructions.
 Therefore, FM stations whose broadcast signals have been  blocked by  new construction
 are strongly motivated to relocate their antennas, often to the roof of the new building.
 If this location is not available,  stations attempt to lease space on an existing tower or
 build a new tower elsewhere.  Recently, towers that have been shadowed by new buildings
have been moved to different locations in  Houston where antennas were relocated from
One Shell Plaza  to a tower.  Antennas were moved  from the Biscayne Bay  Building in
Miami to a TV tower when  a taller structure shadowed them. Therefore it is assumed for
this analysis that FM antennas mounted on masts or towers on rooftops will  not require
modification to comply with RF guidelines.
                                        33

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     The EPA data base is complete with respect to all AM broadcast stations. There is
a  basic  similarity  in  the  configuration of AM  antenna systems, rendering only one
compliance  measure appropriate.  The  AM stations were segmented  according  to  the
distance from the tower that is exposed to RF exceeding the specified field strength level.
     Television  stations were analyzed  individually  because the prominent  differences
among stations, such as the broadcast frequency band (VHP or UHF),  ERP, and whether
the antenna  is single- or co-mounted  with other TV antennas on  the same  tower, all
influence the choice of technical measures for compliance with a guideline. Furthermore,
the fewer number of TV stations made individual analysis relatively easy to do.

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY BROADCAST SIGNAL
PROPAGATION MODELS

     Over the past 5 years, the EPA has been developing and refining models of AM, FM,
VHF-TV   and UHF-TV  antenna   wave  propagation*7   from   monopole  and  dipole
configurations of  various  sizes.  These models  calculate the horizontal and  vertical
polarized components of the  signal  and grating lobe and compute exposure in V/m and
yW/cm2 at any height above ground and distance from the antenna.
     The data in the EPA data base  were used, together  with  antenna performance
characteristics, as input to model the strength of signals broadcast from every radio and
television station in the data  base. The  models have been calibrated by independent field
measurements at  a variety of broadcast  sources.  The models identify  stations that will
probably exceed  various specified  field strengths or power  density  levels.   They  also
estimate the distance from the tower that the values are exceeded.

RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION GUIDELINES

     Because the final values at which  the guidance will  be set were  not known at  the
time of this  study, all cost analyses were performed for  18 different  possible guidance
levels. This approach has the advantage of revealing the variations  in cost as a function
of guidance level over a wide  range of possible standard levels.
     The AM radio RF guidance is presented in V/m,  ranging from 10 V/m to 1,000 V/m;
the FM  radio, VHF-TV  and  UHF-TV broadcast  RF guidance is presented  in yW/cm2,
ranging from 1 uW/cm2  to  10,000 uW/cm2.  A frequency-dependent standard  reflects  the
approach  used  in existing radiofrequency   standards  in the United  States  and other

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 countries. Figure 16 shows a shape and limiting values for a typical guidance level. Note
 that the curve is flat from 30  MHz to  1 GHz. Many existing standards begin an upward
 ramp at about 300 MHz similar to that shown in Fig. 17.  EPA's proposed guidance may
 also incorporate a ramp, but the exact shape was  not  established  at the time of this
 study.  The  shape  which was  chosen for this study represents the  most conservative
 approach which might be chosen by EPA.  If a portion of the flat region  which extends
 from 30 MHz  to  1  GHz  were changed to  a ramp  shape,  the resulting  impact of  the
 guidance on  UHF  stations would be reduced from the values predicted in this analysis.
 The limiting  values of the 18 guidance levels for AM, FM, and TV frequencies are shown in
 Table 4.
      As mentioned earlier, the EPA is now considering three alternative guidance levels
 structured differently from those used as the basis of the total cost estimates.  However,
 the results of the  cost  study  can  be used  regardless of the  shape of the  guidance
 proposed.  The total cost of the guidance can  be  found by combining the cost of the
 guidance level applicable for FM,  VHF-TV and UHF-TV stations with the cost of the
 guidance level applicable for AM stations. The range of guidance levels examined in this
 report should permit combinations to cover whatever shape guidance is finally proposed.
     The standard is assumed to apply anywhere on the ground to which the public would
 normally have access. The public has access to broadcast studios, which are often located
 very near the transmitting tower.

 COMPLIANCE MEASURES RESEARCH

     An extensive effort was made to identify technical means for RF  sources to comply
 with various guidance standard levels. The advice of consultants, the broadcast industry,
 and equipment  manufacturers was sought in an attempt to identify all practical  solutions.
 New concepts for compliance measures were identified  and subjected to  mathematical
 modeling to test their efficacy.  Some of these ideas have proved effective and some have
 not. A discussion of all of the  compliance measures and the group that was selected as
 practical is given later in this report.

 MODEL OF STATION SELECTION OF COMPLIANCE  MEASURES

     An estimate of the  costs of  a guidance requires some idea  of the choice  of
compliance measures broadcast sources will make in response to an RF standard.  Stations
differ in the markets they operate in, their financial condition, the technical aspects of
                                       35

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                                                 F" requency
                                                                               10  GHz     100 GHz
                      Figure 16.  Limiting values of magnetic and electric field strength for a typical guidance

                      for AM, FM, VHF-TV and UHF-TV.

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100  GHz
                                                 Frequency


              Figure J7.  Limiting values of magnetic and electric field strength for another typical
              guidance for AM, FM, VHF-TV and UHF-TV.

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Table 4.  Limiting values of the 18 guidance levels for AM, FM, and TV frequencies.1*
Guidance
level
1
2
3
1
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Limiting field strength
at AM frequencies
V/m
10.0
31.6
44.7
70.8
86.6
100.0
141.3
173.2
200.0
223.9
244.9
264.6
281.8
300.0
316.2
446.7
708.0
1,000.0
Limiting power densities
at FM and TV frequencies
uW/cm2
1
10
20
50
75
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2,000
5,000
10,000
their   broadcast  systems   and   out-of-compliance  situation,  equipment   changes

contemplated for other reasons that would minimize the real cost of compliance  and the

quality and cost  of  equipment they can afford.  Broadcast equipment varies greatly in

cost,  and since all  but  one of the  compliance measures involve installation of new

equipment, cost will  be a primary selection criterion.
  a A survey of selected FM radio broadcast stations to determine typical equipment
rollover schedules was conducted of a large sample of the FM radio stations.1*  The results
were not available in time to be taken into consideration in the cost study, but generally,
approximately 20% of stations anticipate replacing  their antennas  within three years,
another 10%, within ten years and the remaining 30% do not expect to replace antennas.

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      Ultimately, each station is assumed to require an engineering study to determine its
 compliance with the RF guidance,  should it  be implemented.3  There are a  variety of
 technical solutions and the choice of the most suited for a particular station will be a
 function of  the factors mentioned  above.  It  was not possible to design  a  detailed
 engineering solution for each station that might exceed  a particular  standard;  therefore,
 the cost models were built on assumptions of compliance measure choice based on the
 collective  professional  judgment of the researchers, EPA, broadcasters, and engineering
 consultants.  Generally it is assumed that stations will select the least expensive  solution
 that will achieve compliance.

 ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY COMPLIANCE
 MEASURES EFFECT MODELS

      Individual  stations or groups of stations whose RF is estimated to exceed one of the
 18  alternative guidance levels studied are assigned the least costly compliance measure,
 selected in the EPA  compliance model from  the final list of increasingly complex,
 effective and costly measures that will effect compliance.  Every station  was  estimated
 to  achieve compliance at  every standard level  studied using one  of the compliance
 measures.  The output of this modeling provides the engineering basis for estimating the
 costs of compliance.

 SOCIETY-AT-LARGE COST ESTIMATION MODELS

      The input  to  the cost models is generated by  the compliance measures  effects
 propagation models and cost data developed as part of the compliance measures research.
 Normally, in a cost benefit analysis, extensive discussion is given to the choice of discount
 rate used to calculate the present  value  of a stream of future costs or benefits.  It is
 assumed  for the social cost  analysis, however, that the costs for compliance with an RF
 guidance would occur during the year in which  compliance is  mandated for a station.  This
 assumption is used because the purchase and installation of equipment  necessitated by the
 guidance can easily be accomplished in one year, and, although firms may elect to  finance
 the purchase of  the equipment,  the  terms of payment  and cost of borrowing are  not
  a This may not be necessary for all stations.  The EPA is developing criteria that will
permit stations to  conduct preliminary evaluations of the need for a  more  detailed
survey.  The conservative assumption used in this analysis somewhat overstates  the cost
of compliance, particularly at the higher, less stringent, guidance levels.

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considered in social  cost accounting.  Thus,  there is no  stream of  costs.  A  minor
exception is a portion of the cost for one FM radio compliance measure that represents
the annual expense of leasing space on another broadcaster's tower.  This is a continuing
cost that only amounts to one to two percent of the social cost; even though the discount
rate used for this fractional  component,  therefore,  has  virtually no impact  on the
aggregate cost, the OMB-suggested rate of 10% was used. It is assumed  that stations will
comply with  the guidance in five equal  groups or cohorts  over a five  year period, one
cohort complying  in each of  five successive years.  Because  it is assumed that each
station faces a once-only  cost, the "cash flow" social cost of compliance associated with
each cohort complying in a particular year is a one-year undiscounted expenditure.  But to
calculate the present value to society of the cost of the guidance for all  five cohorts with
associated expenditures over a five-year period requires discounting the second through
the  fifth cohort  expenditures back  to  equivalence  with  the first.  Costs  to  society
estimated by the model are presented  in terms of gross total compliance cost, including
the cost of a survey for  all stations and the cost  of compliance measures  for stations
requiring mitigation, annual "cash flow" (undiscounted) cost and total present (discounted)
value.  The  analyses  were  performed  for 18 alternative guidance levels at  three cost
levels.

INDUSTRY COST ESTIMATION MODELS

     Inputs  to the industry cost models include compliance  measures effects  model
results, compliance cost data,  and income tax  variables. The  cost to  industry analysis
differs from the social cost analysis in several ways.  The industry cost analysis considers
the net-of-taxes cash flow cost of compliance with the guidance.  Interest,  the cost of
financing capital  equipment  purchases,  is  included  as  an  expense.  But interest,
depreciation, expenses,  and the investment tax credit reduce tax liability.  The cost of
compliance is thus shared  between industry and the government in the form of tax credits
and deductions from taxable income.  It  is assumed for the industry cost  analysis that
stations comply in five equal annual cohorts just as in the social cost analysis.  However,
it is also assumed  for the industry analysis that stations incur  expenses  in the first year
and over the subsequent five years of capital amortization. Therefore, the entire industry
cost stream  is spread  over 10 years  as each  succeeding  cohort  initiates  compliance,
followed by  five  years' amoritization (refer  to Appendix  Tables  D-2, E-2, or  F-2 in
Volume 2).  The  industry  present value  of  the  cost  of compliance   is calculated  by

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discounting the entire 10 year cost stream.  Costs to industry estimated by the model are
presented in  terms of projected actual and average annual cash flow costs and present
value. The output values are given for  18 guidance levels at three cost levels.

AVERAGE FIRM COST ESTIMATION MODELS

      Input to the models of the three broadcast industry segments include compliance
measures effects  models results, compliance cost data, income tax variables, and income
data on the broadcast industry. A more detailed examination of private sector effects of
the guidance was made  by analyzing the costs in terms of the average AM, FM and TV
broadcast station. Models were developed that project pro forma income statements for
the average profitable and the average  unprofitable FM, AM and TV broadcast stations. It
is assumed for the average firm analysis that the individual station faces first-year costs
and capital amortization expenses over the next five years.  The present value cost for
the average firm is calculated by discounting the first year and five subsequent years.
The present value cost  for  the average firm in each of the five cohorts  is calculated
separately; an  average  present value  cost is  derived by calculating the  mean of  the
present value for a firm in  each of  the five cohorts.  Estimates are made of gross  and
net-after-tax projected and  average annual cash flow cost and the  effect  on taxable
income and present value of the net cost of compliance.  An analysis is also presented of
the maximum and average annual percent reduction  in profit (or increase in loss) of the
net-after-tax cost of compliance  for the average FM, AM and TV broadcast firm. These
analyses are presented for 18 guidance levels at three cost-levels as an illustration of the
potential effect of a guideline on an individual firm.

SUMMATION COST MODELS

      Results of the previous model  analyses are used to estimate aggregate social  and
industry costs of the guidance, the effect of compliance on the average broadcast station,
and the total number of broadcast stations requiring a compliance measure at any  given
guidance level.  The summation analyses are given for 18 guidance levels at three costs
levels.

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     MEASURES TO COMPLY WITH RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION GUIDELINES

     During the course of this study much thought has been given to identifying ways in
which broadcasters could comply with an  RF guideline,  if it becomes necessary.  Several
meetings were held with a number of consultants, equipment manufacturers, and station
engineers to identify  as many solutions as possible. Two computer design studies were
funded as part of  this study,  the purposes of which were to analyze the efficacy of  a
variety of bay spacings and groupings in reducing downward radiation.
     This research indicates that practical and effective measures to mitigate unwanted
levels of RF  to  comply with a guidance are limited to variations of three actions:  (1)
exclude or warn the public of areas exposed to  RF over the standard, (2) use existing
antenna  models  or design  new  ones that produce less unwanted downward grating,  or
side-lobe, radiation, or (3) raise the antenna to reduce the RF energy at  ground level.  All
three compliance measure approaches are applicable to FM radio; only exclusion of  the
public is appropriate for AM radio; a combination of antenna design and increasing  the
height of the antenna can be used for television broadcast systems.
     The following  discussion  describes the  major  ideas  considered  for  potential
compliance measures in terms of technical merit and practical acceptance.

REDUCE EFFECTIVE RADIATED POWER

     Power density  is proportional to the  square  of  field strength;  a station could,
technically, reduce its broadcast power and power density.  Although few listeners in  the
major reception  area of a station would notice even a 50% reduction  in ERP, outlying
listeners might.  Furthermore, success in broadcasting is commonly thought to consist of
five elements:  market, signal coverage, programming, advertising rates,  and promotion.
Therefore, station managers and sales/marketing  people would perceive such a reduction
as a significant loss from a sales  viewpoint.
     Even if a given station could cover the  area of license with grade A reception with
lower ERP, its  signal cannot be  weaker than  competing  stations without  affecting
comparative  reception and,  thus, listener reaction, ratings, and advertising  rates.   A
change in ERP, especially a significant one, can directly affect coverage, and indirectly,
market  and advertising rates. The other mitigation measures merely affect operating or
capital  budgets  for  a short period,  but a reduction in  ERP may  affect  revenues.
Therefore, broadcasters will do anything to avoid reducing ERP.

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      Furthermore, the FCC requires stations to maintain a specified signal strength over
 the broadcast coverage area and to  maintain the licensed  transmission power output to
 within -10% to +5%, so a significant reduction in ERP is not feasible.

 PROHIBIT PUBLIC ACCESS TO  AREAS EXPOSED TO FIELD STRENGTHS EXCEEDING
 THE STANDARD

      This approach assumes a station will conduct an instrument  survey of the  field
 strength transmitted by its antenna and then erect a barrier to exclude the public from
 access to areas exposed to power densities  above the  standard.  The FCC could accept
 this solution as an absolute deterrent to public exposure to RF above the standard.
      The configuration of AM  transmitter-antenna systems differs from FM  and TV
 systems, whose antennas are electrically insulated  from the towers they  are hung on.
 Transmission of energy occurs only through the physical antenna bays; the tower is merely
 a means of raising the  antenna above surrounding obstructions. However, the entire tower
 is used to generate the signal  in AM systems. AM  tower-antenna  systems are grounded
 with an extensive  series of radial copper lines buried about 6 inches beneath the surface.
 Refer to Fig. 13 for an illustration of  a generalized AM  antenna system.  AM stations own
 or  lease an  area large enough  for  the  ground-wire system.   Many of these antenna
 systems,  which are usually located in undeveloped  rural or  industrial  areas  of low
 pedestrian traffic, are completely fenced, often for other reasons, for example to control
 cattle grazing.  For this analysis, it is assumed that AM  stations lease or  own  land
 sufficient to  exclude the public from the area exposed  to RF over  the  standard level at
 each guidance level.1*   This compliance measure is the only one appropriate for AM radio
 broadcast stations.
     On the basis of  the  collective  judgment of professional consulting  engineers and
station personnel, assumptions were made about the number of AM stations whose towers
are already adequately protected  from public access by fencing.  Refer to Table 5 for the
percentage of stations assumed  to be fenced and therefore need no additional fencing.

POST WARNING SIGNS IN AREAS EXPOSED TO EXCESS RF

     The cost analysis was performed on the basis of positive compliance measures that
assure that the  public will not be  exposed to  RF radiation above the guidance. However,
because many FM antennas are  located in remote areas and are inaccessible to all but an

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Table 5.  Percent of AM broadcast antennas assumed to be adequately fenced to meet RF
guideline.

Cost level                                             Percent of stations

  High                                                         [5%
  Medium                                                      33%
  Low                                                         50%
occasional  passerby,  a separate study was performed  of the effect  on the cost  of
compliance of permitting such stations to post signs warning  of the  over-guidance  RF
radiation.
     A study of  population proximal to a sample  of SFMT FM antennas shows  that  a
significant  portion are very remote from  population concentrations.  Using 1980  census
data and a commercially prepared geographical data base matching 1980 census tract, and
census  enumeration districts (CED),  which  are  geographical units  of varying  size
corresponding to about  400 population, the geographic  location of  a  sample of  FM
antennas  was  compared  with  the  location  of  these  geographical  units.  Table 6
summarizes the distance of the antenna samples from CEDs.  The area surrounding  the
antenna in which no CEDs (no apparent population) are found is calculated from the radial
distance from the antenna to the nearest CED.
     It was arbitrarily assumed for the special analysis of the posting alternative that  the
three most restrictive distance categories would serve as an estimate  of the  percentage
of FM stations that might be allowed to post warning signs as a  means of compliance with
the RF guidance.  Thus, for the low-cost special posting analysis it was assumed that, of
the FM stations,  22%  could use this  solution,  the  medium-cost analysis, 14%, and  the
high-cost analysis, 9%.  However, because there is considerable uncertainty at this stage
about the details of implementation, the primary cost analysis assumes posting warning
signs will not be permitted; only the special analysis of the posting alternative assumes
this  inexpensive solution will be permitted  and only the difference  between  the two
analyses is reported.

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 Table 6.  Proximity of a sample of single FM antennas mounted on ground-based towers to
 Census Enumeration Districts (CED).

                               Percent of stations whose antennas are
                             no closer than 6 given distances from a CED
distance (km)
distance (mi)
area (rrmi2)
Percent of
stations
.5
.31
.30

81.0
1.0
.62
1.21

60.0
2.0
1.24
4.83

37.0
3.0
1.86
10.87

22.0
4.0
2.49
19.48

14.0
5.0
3.1
30.19

9.0
INSTALL SHIELD ON BUILDING-BASED ANTENNA TOWERS

      FM antennas  mounted on  masts or  towers located  on building roofs  to  which the
public has access can expose the rooftop to relatively high field strengths.  One  solution is
to place a  shield on the tower just under  the antenna that would reflect the signal away
from the  rooftop.  However,  successful design  of  this  solution  requires  extensive
engineering studies that will vary with the situation.  It  is assumed that the number of
antennas on roofs to which the public has access is so small that they can be  ignored in
the analysis.7  AM and TV antenna systems are not mounted on buildings.

INSTALL REFLECTIVE  MATERIALS ON ADJACENT BUILDING WINDOWS

      Where an FM  antenna on a building-based tower  beams the signal horizontally to
nearby buildings, the signal can be very effectively reduced by installing reflective mylar
material designed to reflect light and heat.  This solution is not included  in the  cost
analysis because it is assumed that building-based antennas, in general, do not expose the
public to excessive field strengths.
                                        45

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CHANGE THE POWER TO GAIN RELATIONSHIP

     The ERP  of  a station is  a function of  the  power  transmitted and  the signal
amplification (gain) of the antenna.  FM  and TV antennas, which  are similar in design,
have more gain  (greater multiplication of the  signal) with more bays and less gain with
fewer  bays.  Low-gain  antennas (fewer  bays) tend to  produce a large,  bulbous  main
radiation lobe pattern that  places a higher intensity of RF  in the vicinity immediately
beneath the antenna  than does a high-gain antenna, which  produces a more horizontal
beam that does not irradiate the immediate vicinity with as intense an energy  level.  (All
of the energy levels discussed here are low by current  safety  standards; the point being
emphasized here is the  relative difference  between  low- and  high-gain  FM  and  TV
antennas.)  One way to reduce near-field power density  might be to redesign the antenna
to cast more energy farther from the tower where its intensity would be reduced (power
density is proportional to the inverse of the square of the distance; therefore, a  beam of
RF energy that intercepts the ground at a distance from the antenna will result in weaker
power density than a similar beam intercepting the ground close to the antenna).
     However,  low-gain  antennas are  increasingly used,  especially  by  FM  stations
because:  1) they are effective in filling poor-reception areas in  valleys below the antenna,
2) they reduce multi-path problems, 3) they improve mobile (auto) receiver reception, a
growing segment of the market, and 4) they can  result in reduced phase distortion in the
transmitted signal.  Because this concept would probably meet with a fair  amount of
industry resistance, it was not pursued.

REPLACE EXISTING ANTENNA WITH A MORE EFFICIENT MODEL

     Some FM and TV antennas have a more efficient radiating pattern than others.  That
is, they concentrate more of the total energy in the main beam  or lobe and less in side, or
grating lobes.  Less efficient antennas have  larger "losses" from the  main  beam  into
grating lobes, which are often responsible for significant RF on the ground in the  vicinity
of the antenna.  If the existing antenna is of an inefficient type, it can be replaced with a
more efficient model, significantly reducing the downward radiation.
     This solution  may not be appropriate in situations where a  station has purposely
designed  an antenna to broadcast a large lobe to fill poor-reception areas in hilly terrain
or in other special-application situations.  However,  in  general,  this  solution  is quite
workable and has been used as a compliance measure for both  FM and TV antennas.

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 OPTIMIZE INTER-BAY SPACING OF THE ANTENNA ELEMENTS FOR
 MINIMAL DOWNWARD RADIATION

      FM and TV  antennas are  normally designed with the bays spaced one wavelength
 apart for signal phasing and gain purposes.  However, if  the  bays  are physically spaced
 between one wavelength and one-half wavelength apart and the phasing and feed system is
 modified, adjacent bays tend to cancel out downward  radiation  while still producing
 main-beam gain. There is some loss of gain in a less-than-full-wavelength-spaced system
 compared to a full-wavelength-spaced  system, but this can be overcome by adding a few
 more bays.
      The optimal inter-bay spacing would probably fall between one-half wavelength and
 one wavelength.  The optimal spacing  for each antenna installation depends on a number
 of  factors such as the  desired  radiation pattern, antenna and  tower  configuration,
 transmitter power-antenna  gain relationship, and  others.  In general,  the  smaller the
 inter-bay spacing, the greater the number  of supplemental bays required to maintain the
 original gain.  Accurate engineering costing would  require detailed knowledge of the new
 antenna spacing, available only with a  complete  engineering study. However, determining
 the radiation performance characteristics of FM and TV antennas, though complicated,
 can be done by two basic methods: measurement  and calculation.

 Measurement

     A full-size test  antenna can be placed on an outdoor antenna  pattern range and its
 transmission  characteristics  measured.  The quality of the  range is the key to good
 results. A good antenna pattern range  approximates  free space, i.e., it produces patterns
 as if the test antenna were isolated from all of its surroundings (no appreciable reflections
 from nearby structures or the earth under the  antenna).  Such  ranges are  expensive to
establish and generally do not exist.
     Scale model measurements of an  antenna also can provide  radiation characteristics
but generally require expensive indoor antenna ranges (anechoic chambers).

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Calculation

     In order to calculate  antenna radiation patterns, one  must know  the amount  of
current flowing on  all  metal parts of the  antenna and  its  supporting  and  nearby
structures.  For simple antennas (such as  dipoles and  loops),  a method  is employed
whereby the current  shape is assumed. This method is seldom applicable to commercial
FM antennas because they are more  complicated than dipoles and  loops, primarily because
they contain support brackets and  vertical feed line  sections for which  these simple
assumptions are inadequate.
     One of the project consultants used a computer code developed by two researchers
at LLNL  called Numerical  Electromagnetic Code (NEC),1*9  which uses  the Method  of
Moments  to calculate the  currents on  an antenna,  regardless  of  the  structure's
complexity.  This technique can  be used by  an experienced antenna engineer  who is
thoroughly knowledgeable in the theoretical limitations of the method  to construct  an
accurate numerical model of the antenna.  The results of this kind of analysis have been
validated  for a wide  range of antenna types, which encompass FM structures, during  the
past 10 years.
     The  assumption was made in this study that all new antennas with bays optimized
for minimal downward radiation  would use half-wavelength spacing. This assumption
somewhat overstates the cost to industry  for this compliance  measure but introduces
some conservatism in the overall results.
     Figure 18,  plotted by NEC,  shows a typical relationship between FM antenna gain
and number of elements for bays spaced one  wavelength and one-half wavelength apart.
     Of the antenna  solutions, this is the most expensive because  the old antenna must be
replaced  and a new  one assembled  and tested at the manufacturing plant. A greater
number of elements is required.  Further,  the  tower often must  be analyzed  for  its
structural ability to handle the extra load the  greater number of elements would entail.
Still, the solution is technically feasible and not prohibitively expensive in many  cases. It
has been used as a compliance measure for FM and TV antennas in this study. When this
compliance measure is assumed to be employed, it is always with a new antenna of a more
efficient radiating pattern.

CREATE GROUPS OF ELEMENTS

     Two  computer  modeling   studies  have  been  conducted   to  investigate  the
effectiveness of this  concept in reducing downward radiation for  FM  and  TV antennas.50
Bays were divided into groups with intra-group spacing maintained at  one  wavelength  and

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     18
     16 -
     14 -
      04
      02
       02
               04
                         O Elements spaced one wavelength apart
                         • Elements spaced one-half wavelength apart
                                       I
                       06
08      10
 Elements
                                               12
                                                      14      16
Figure   18.   Typical  FM  antenna  gain  related  to  number  of
elements: a  comparison of  half-wavelength  with  full-wavelength
spacing.

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inter-group  spacing  either  half  a wavelength  or  one-and-one  half wavelengths.  The
studies show that  the experimental antenna configurations do not significantly  reduce
near-field power density.  Furthermore, antenna systems  with  such configurations would
have to  undergo  extensive  development  and testing  by manufacturers.  The  resulting
antenna  systems  would be  more  costly  than  existing ones.   Because  this measure is
apparently minimally effective in reducing near-field power density and  will be relatively
expensive, it would be impractical, and as a result it was not used in the cost analysis.

RAISE THE ANTENNA

     The power density is inversely related  to the square of  the distance between the
source  and subject, so raising the  antenna to  increase its distance from  the ground is
effective in  reducing power density from FM and TV antennas.
     However, FM and TV broadcast antennas cannot be mounted on towers built to any
arbitrary height a station owner  desires.  Antennas must conform to a number of  FCC
regulations,  among them a relationship between HAAT and ERP. The relationship differs,
depending on the power class of the station, but  in general, the taller the antenna in terms
of HAAT, the lower the ERP  must be  to  regulate  inter-station  signal  interference.
Furthermore, towers generally must conform  to FAA regulations, which govern  air space
obstructions. In addition, there may be height restrictions imposed by local city, county,
and township  planning  bodies.  However, in most  instances,  replacement towers and
antennas  could  be  designed  to  meet  FCC,   FAA,  and  local  permit  requirements.
Therefore, it is assumed that towers of the required height will be permitted.  Where this
is not the case, it is almost certain that some other technical solution can be designed to
achieve compliance with the standard, probably at a cost no greater than  the estimated
cost of a new tower.
     Towers are of two types, guyed or self-supporting.  In either case, they are built to a
given height with  a calculated load-bearing capacity.  It  is not usually possible later  to
add sections to the top of the tower  to raise it because the  structure has  not  been
designed to hold the added weight and because the  guying  has been designed with a given
horizontal  and vertical  geometry that  cannot  easily  be  changed.   Therefore it  is
necessary, in virtually every  case, to build a new tower to  raise  an antenna, if lease space
cannot be found on an existing taller tower.
     Where an antenna can be moved to an existing tower, often a self-supporting TV
tower is chosen, because they are so large that  the relatively minor added  load of an FM
                                        50

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      Antenna is usually  able  to be accommodated.  However, very  often  a detailed
structural analysis  is necessary to certify the tower's ability to handle the  additional
load. Often the tower must be structurally reinforced.
      The general solution involving raising the antenna has been incorporated into three
applications for FM antennas, leasing space on an existing tower, building a taller tower
on the existing site, and building a new tower on a new site. TV antennas are assumed to
be raised on new towers on the existing  tower site. This solution is not appropriate for
AM antenna systems,  which incorporate the entire tower (usually  1/4 wavelength tall) and
an extensive electrical ground system in the antenna system.

SUMMARY OF COMPLIANCE MEASURES FOR FM, AM,
AND TV BROADCAST STATIONS

      Table 7 shows a summary of the compliance measures used in the analysis of FM,
AM, and TV stations.  The compliance measures for FM are applied as shown in Table 4, in
order of increasing cost.  This results, generally, in a minimum cost  solution, although
there may be occasional non-minimum cost  compliance measure selection  because, for
example, some shorter guyed towers (measures 5,6) are less expensive than some complex
one-half wavelength antennas (measure 3). Each TV station was examined individually for
the minimum cost compliance measure.  For TV antennas, compliance measures 2 and 3
are  assumed to  be combined  to result in  an  antenna  design of reduced  downward
radiation. Compliance measure 5 is applied to TV with either the existing antenna or a
new antenna, depending on cost.
      Because  FM radio stations are the  chief source of public exposure to RF  radiation,
most  of the effort in  this study was focused on mitigation measures and costs pertaining
to the FM broadcast industry. A number  of the compliance measures appropriate for FM
antennas may  also be appropriate for TV antennas; these include posting warning signs
(not used with FM stations except in the special cost study) and building a new tower on a
new site. Mitigation for TV antennas includes one tower  option, build a taller tower on
the  existing  site.  Generally,  TV  antennas  must  be  placed on the  top of  a tower;
frequently, a TV station or group of stations will build a tower, occupy the top  and lease
antenna  space  lower  down  to  FM stations.  We assumed  that  most  of the  available
favorable locations  for TV  antennas are  already occupied because the capital costs and
revenue  requirements for  TV stations required  a good antenna location originally to
facilitate market coverage.  We  therefore assumed that  the existing tower  would  be
replaced by a taller one in situations where compliance was estimated to be achieved only
by raising the TV antenna.

                                        51

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Table 7.  Compliance measures assumed available for FM, AM, and TV broadcast stations.

1.
2.
3.
4.

5.

6.

7.
Compliance FM
Post area over-guidance not allowed3
Replace existing antenna OK
with more efficient model
with standard 1 -wavelength
Replace existing antenna OK
with more efficient model
with bays spaced
1/2-wavelength apart
Lease on taller
existing tower OK
Build new tower on
existing site OK
Build new tower on
new site OK
Prohibit public access not
to area over-guidance applicable
AM
not allowed
not
applicable
not
applicable
not
applicable
not
applicable
not
applicable
OK
TV
not allowed
OK for both VHF-TV
and UHF-TV antennas
OK only for
VHF-TV antennas
not
applicable

OK
not
applicable
not applicable
a  Costs reported assume FM  stations  will not  be  allowed  to use  this  inexpensive
compliance measure, which does not  positively reduce  RF levels but  warns passersby  of
excess RF levels.  A separate analysis was conducted of the effect on the overall cost  of
permitting FM stations whose antennas met strictly defined criteria of "remoteness" from
population. The savings amounts to as much as 20%  for the FM industry and as much  as
&% for the entire broadcast industry at guidance  level 1. The saving in using posting
warning signs declines dramatically at higher guidance levels.


     It is  also  possible  that  both  FM  and TV  broadcast  stations  could comply  by

prohibiting public access to the  area exposed to RF radiation that exceeds the guideline.

This is the one measure applied to AM stations because there are few alternatives and AM

stations generally control access to sufficient land  to fence the over-standard area.  The

owership or leasehold and surrounding land use situation is much less clear for FM and TV

stations. The additional factors of possible land purchase or lease costs involved in the

fence solution were too varied to include this option for FM and TV antennas.
                                         52

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      FM antennas  that are raised on  taller towers using compliance measures  4,5, or 6
 are arbitrarily distributed among those three measures as shown in Table 8.  One-third of
 the stations with antennas co-mounted with one or more other antennas on towers whose
 antennas are raised using compliance measure 5 or  6 are assumed to relocate with at least
 one other station, reducing the cost of these measures for the MFMT by one-sixth (1/3 of
 the MFMT stations x 1/2 the cost).
      Many AM  radio stations  antennas are already protected by fencing for insurance
 purposes or because they are located in pasture land or as a protection against vandalism.
 The  number of AM stations assumed to  have adequately fenced antennas, and  thus  not
 requiring a compliance measure, is shown in Table  5.  It was assumed that the base of all
 AM towers are fenced to a distance of  6  ft from the tower and, therefore, any tower
 estimated to be  emitting  RF  radiation  in excess of  a given guidance level out to a
 distance of 6 ft was assumed to be in compliance.
Table 8. Distribution of compliance measures 4,  5, and 6 among single and multiple FM
stations requiring antennas mounted on taller towers (percent).
Fix 4
Lease on
another existing
tower
Fix 5
Build taller
tower on
existing site
Fix 6
Build taller
tower on
new site
Total
of
three
fixes
Low-cost analysis
12.5
75.0
12.5
100%
Medium-cost analysis
25.0
50.0
25.0
100%
High-cost analysis
37.5
25.0
37.5
100%
                                        53

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                          COMPLIANCE MEASURE COSTS

     All stations are assumed for purposes of the cost analysis to require a survey of the
electromagnetic environment to determine  the need  for  compliance  measures.    The
survey, probably by a professional consulting  engineering or  station staff engineer, will be
used with a thorough analysis of the station's existing equipment  to make decisions about
the compliance measure  to  use.  Stations differ  so much in equipment configuration,
location,  market,  competition, power  requirements,  land  owned,   local  soils  and
meteorological conditions (which influence tower costs), tower accessibility and financial
condition  that it  is not  possible  to  apply a generalized  engineering  solution to  a
calculated, rather  than  a  field-measured, problem  and accurately cost  it.  The range of
costs from low to high in the following discussion reflects these uncertainities.
     The compliance measures  applicable to FM  stations are detailed  in Table 9.  The
cost of posting warning  signs  for antennas in remote  areas is  shown, although  this
inexpensive measure is not included  in the costs reported (see note b, Table 9).
     The only positive compliance  measure  available  to AM stations that  may  be
over-standard is fencing  to exclude the public from  exposure.  The cost  of  fencing  is
shown with an electromagnetic survey in Table 10.
     The compliance measures available to TV stations include replacing  the existing
antenna with a type that produces reduced downward energy, raising the existing antenna
on a taller tower,  or building a  new tower on a new site with a new antenna.  The cost
components are shown in Table  11.
a  This may not be necessary for all stations. The EPA is developing criteria that will
permit stations to conduct preliminary evaluation of the need for a more detailed survey.
The conservative assumption used  in this  analysis somewhat  overstates  the cost of
compliance, particularly at the higher, less stringent, guidance levels.

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Table 9.  Costs3 of compliance measures for FM radio broadcast stations.51'
9.a.  Survey of  electromagnetic environment around antenna to determine  compliance
with guideline and need for compliance measure:
                                                           Cost per station
Survey
Low
$1,500
Medium
$2,000
High
$2,500
9.b. Compliance measure 1. Post area


Percent of stations for which posting
assumed to be appropriate
Cost of signs
exposed to over-standard levels of RF.13

Low

22%
$2,000
Cost per station
Medium

14%
$2,000

High

9%
$2,000
9.c.  Compliance measure 2. Replace existing FM antenna with new model having smaller
grating lobe.0'0*
                                                 	Cost per station

Number of bays

     1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
   10
   11
   12
   13
   14
   16
Low
$ 1,750
3,500
5,300
7,000
8,800
11,400
13,200
15,000
16,700
18,500
20,200
22,000
26,000
27,900
31,700
Medium
$ 4,690
8,300
12,200
16,200
21,100
24,300
28,300
32,700
36,900
41,000
44,700
50,000
54,200
59,300
67,700
Highf
$ 6,650
11,500
16,725
22,300
27,700
32,850
38,350
44,500
50,275
56,050
60,960
65,870
73,060
80,250
91,720
                                       55

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Table 9.  (continued)
9.d. The number of half-wavelength spaced antenna elements required to produce the
same gain as single-wavelength spaced antenna elements.8
Number of antenna elements
Gain
dba
3.0
6.3
8.5
10.0
10.9
11.7
12.4
12.9
13.5
14.0
14.5
14.9
15.2
15.6
16.2
9.e. Compliance
One wavelength One-half
wavelength
spacing spacing
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
14.0
16.0
measure 3. Replace existing
1.0
3.4
5.4
7.5
9.4
11.3
13.1
15.0
16.9h
18.8n
20.6h
22.5n
24.4n
26.3n
30.0h
FM antenna
Ratio of
required elements















1.000
1.700
1.800
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
1.875
with new antenna whose
elements are spaced A/2 apart.0'*3'1
Cost per station
Number of bays
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
16
















Low
$ 1,750
5,950
9,540
13,125
16,500
21,375
24,750
28,125
31,325
34,700
37,875
41,250
48,750
52,325
59,450
Medium
$ 4,690
14,110
21,960
30,375
39,550
45,575
53,075
61,325
69,200
76,875
83,825
93,750
101,625
111,200
126,950
Highf
$ 6,650
19,550
30,105
41,813
51,950
61,600
71,900
83,450
94,275
105,100
114,300
123,500
137,000
150,475
171,975
                                         56

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Table 9.  (continued)
9.f.  Compliance measure 4.  Lease space for an FM radio broadcast antenna on another,
existing tower.
                                                            Cost per station
Equipment!
Lease
TOTAL
Low
$17,000
29,750k
$46,750
Medium High
$23,000 $27,000
59.5001 89,250m
$82,500 $116,250
9.g.  Compliance measure 5. Build taller tower on same site as existing tower.n»°>P
                                                           Cost per station
Height (<} of new tower (ft)
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
250
300
350
400
500
Low^
$14,100
15,700
17,300
19,600
21,900
24,100
26,500
30,500
36,100
46,700
54,000
81,800
Medium
$24,500
26,800
29,200
32,600
36,000
39,200
42,800
48,700
56,900
72,600
83,400
105,900
Highr
$ 32,800
35,900
39,000
43,500
48,000
52,300
57,000
64,800
75,700
96,500
110,700
130,000
9.h.  Compliance measure 6.  Building new tower on new site.n»°»P
                                                 	Cost per station
Height (<) of new tower (ft)                        Low"
       100                                      $60,000
       150                                       62,500
       200                                       65,000
       250                                       67,500
       300                                       70,000
       350                                       75,000
       400                                       80,000
       500                                       95,000
  Medium
$117,500
 120,750
 124,500
 128,250
 132,000
 140,000
 151,000
 180,000
   High"

$175,000
 179,000
 184,000
 189,000
 194,000
 205,000
 222,000
 265,000
                                       57

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Table 9.  (concluded)
Notes for Table 9.

  aCosts, in 1983 dollars, are for a series of alternative compliance measure options
available  to an individual FM radio station. The three cost  levels reflect  variations in
equipment configuration, installation conditions,  transportation, broadcast conditions  and
other factors too numerous and station-specific to address for each individual station.
  b This compliance  measure  was analyzed only for its effect on the overall cost of
compliance. The results reported in this study  assume that posting will not  be permitted
as a positive compliance measure.
 c Side-mounted, circularly-polarized FM broadcast antennas.
  d Does  not  include panel  antennas.  Prices  vary widely depending  on the quality of
antenna, power rating,  how  the power is  fed  to the  elements and  whether or  not  the
antenna is equipped  with  deicing or radome  all-weather protection excludes  low  cost
"educational" models developed for low power educational stations.
 e Does not include deicers.
 f Includes deicers.
 § Source: plots in Figure 18.
 h Projections beyond lower curve in Figure 18.
  i  Costs  for  single-wavelength-spaced antennas in Table 9.c are  adjusted  by  the ratio
shown in Table 9.d.
 J Costs assume  half the stations use their existing antennas.  Therefore, the costs (low,
medium, high) for a 3-bay A/2 wave antenna shown in Table 9.e are multiplied by 0.50, to
which is added $12,000 for  structural analysis and certification.  One third of the multiple
FM stations are assumed to share an antenna with another station; therefore, in the  cost
models, the cost shown is multiplied by the  factor (1 - (1/3 * 1/2)) for MFM stations.
 k Assumes annual lease payments of $3,000, discounted over 50 years at 10.0%.
 1 Assumes annual lease payments of $6,000, discounted over 50 years at 10.0%.
 m Assumes annual lease payments of $9,000, discounted over 50 years at 10.0%.
 n  Tower costs vary  widely  and depend on site location, size and accessibility, shipping
distance and mode, soil load bearing capability, wind and ice loading,  height, whether
guyed  or  self-supporting, transmission  line used, aviation lighting,  local building code
requirements and the installation of elevators.  Normal transport and installation of tower
and antenna are  included.  Transmitter-associated hardware and some transmission line
are excluded.
 ° Assumptions regarding distribution of antennas among compliance measures ^, 5, and 6
(all basically involve relocating the antenna to a taller tower) can be found in  Table 8.
 P In the cost models, it is  assumed that half the stations use their existing antennas.  The
other half are assumed to use a 3-bay A/2 wave antenna, the costs for which are multiplied
by 0.50 (see Table 9.e) and added to the cost of the tower.  One third of the multiple FM
stations are assumed to share an antenna and tower with another station; therefore, in the
cost models, the cost  shown is multiplied by the factor (1 - (1/3 * 1/2)) for MFM stations.
 3  Includes new  tower  shipped, installed, painted and  with power;  new transmission  line,
FCC and FAA application and building permits.
  r  Includes new tower shipped, installed, painted and  with power; new transmission  line,
site improvements, studio-transmitter  link, remote control  system, FCC  performance
testing, FCC and FAA application and building permits.
                                        58

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 Table 10. Costs of compliance measures for AM radio broadcast stations.

 lO.a.  Survey of electromagnetic environment around tower to determine compliance with
 guideline and need for compliance measure.51 "^
                                                  	Cost per station	
                                                  Low          Medium      High
 Survey                                           $1,500        $2,000        $2,500

 JO.b.  Compliance measure applicable to AM:  fencing to positively  keep the public out of
 areas exposed to over-standard levels of RF.55
                                                  	Cost per station	
                                                  Low          Medium      High
 Fencing per foot                                   $  6           $  9          $ 12
 Gate                                             400            600          800
                         SOCIETY-AT-LARGE COST MODEL

      This model is shown schematically in Fig. 19. The analysis begins with the EPA data
base, which  provides some of  the  input to the signal propagation  models.  The EPA
propagation  models estimate the signal strength or  power  density  of  each broadcast
station.  These are then analyzed with respect to the 18 alternative guidance levels. The
EPA models sort through the appropriate compliance measures (Table 4), applying them in
sequence. If, to meet a given guidance level, the first applicable measure is not sufficient
to reduce a station's power density,  the program selects and tests the next measure, and
so on. The result  is that each station is estimated to  be in compliance with each of the
18 guidance levels by the application of at least one compliance measure.
      The social cost model takes these data as input, costs the chosen measure for each
station, adds the cost of the  electromagentic survey and calculates the  component and
gross cost, annual "cash  flow" (undiscounted) cost and the present (discounted) value  of
the total cost of compliance for each of the 18 guidance levels analyzed using three cost
levels. As is  typical with large projects, virtually all the costs occur when compliance is
required. Benefits would occur over a long period of time.
      To compare current year dollar expenditures with future year expenses and benefits,
all dollar values are brought into equivalence by discounting future values to the year  of
analysis.   The  fundamental problem  with  comparing unadjusted dollar  values  from
different years is that current  year dollars are more valuable than future dollars.  If given
a choice, the prudent decision-maker will always prefer  to receive  a  sum of dollars
                                        59

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Table 11.  Costs of compliance measures for TV broadcast stations.51-5lf
11.a. Survey of electromagnetic environment around tower to determine compliance with
guideline and need for compliance measure.51 ~sk
                                                            Cost per station
Survey
Low
$1,500
Medium
$2,000
High
$2,500
ll.b.  New Antenna3


VHF-TVb
UHF-TV
                                                            Cost per station
                                                 Low          Medium       High
                                                  $240,000    $480,000    $960,000
                                                   150,000     300,000     600,000
ll.c.  Tower replacement.
                                                           Cost per station
Height of new tower (ft)
lOQe
200
300
400
500
600f
700
800
900
1000
2000
Low
$ 57,000
120,000
174,000
262,500
360,000
270,000
307,500
343,500
396,750
483,750
1,875,000
Medium
$ 76,000
160,000
232,000
350,000
480,000
360,000
410,000
450,000
529,000
645,000
2,500,000
High
$ 83,600
176,000
255,000
385,000
528,000
396,000
451,000
503,800
581,900
709,500
2,750,000
 a Installed.
 b Custom design doubles the cost of these antennas over the normal cost.  VHP antennas
are amenable to design change, UHF's are not.
 c Tower costs vary  widely and depend  on site location, size and accessibility, shipping
distance and  mode, soil load bearing capability, and wind and ice loading, height, whether
guyed  or  self-supporting, transmission line  used,  aviation  lighting,  local  building code
requirements and the installation of  elevators.  Normal  transport and installation of tower
and antenna  are included.  Transmitter, associated hardware,  and some  transmission line
excluded.  These costs  assume replacement of an existing tower on the same  site; no major
site preparation except required tower footings is included.
  d  Includes new  tower  installed, painted  and with  power;  new transmission line,
transportation, FCC and FAA application and building permits.
 e Self-supporting  towers.
 * Guyed towers.
                                        60

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<        Begin ^\
       analysis  J
     EPA AM, FM,
    and TV station
      data bases
       Cost of
      survey for
     all broadcast
       stations
                          Compliance
                           measures
                 EPA signal
                propagation
                  models
Number of stations
exceeding specified
   guidance level
   pre- and post-
compliance measure
  Cost of
compliance
 measures
  selected
                 CIS guidance A
                   levels    Y
                                                         • Component cost
                                                         • Annual cash flow cost
                                                         • Present value
             Repeat
                                       analysis
Figure  19.  The  society-at-large cost model estimates the cost to  society of  guidance
limiting  public exposure to RF; the  model  calculates  the  component  and gross total
compliance cost, annual "cash flow" cost and total present value of 18 alternate guidance
levels at three cost levels.
                                          61

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immediately rather than the same face value in the future  because the dollars received
now can be invested or loaned and  the value thereby increased. Discounting adjusts the
stated current year dollar values so that  an equitable comparison can be made exclusive
of this consideration.
      The basic formula for discounting to obtain the present worth for a uniform annual
value is given by:

or for a varying annual value,
              n
     PV=    £   A(l + i)  ,                                                    (3)
              k=l

where
     PV  = net present value,
     A   = annual value,
     i    = discount rate,
     n    = total years of analysis, and
     k    = individual year of analysis.

     The fundamentals of time value, equivalence and comparison of money values can be
found in a number of texts.51"61*
     In  the present  cost analysis, only  the lease portion of  compliance measure k,
applicable to FM radio stations, occurs over a period of time.  This cost was discounted
over 50 years (equivalent to the life of a tower) at  10.0%, the rate suggested by OMB for
this kind of analysis.  Inflation can be ignored and  costs and benefits valued in constant
year dollars if the discount rate takes this into account.65"66
     The costs are calculated first in terms of the gross component costs for the survey
and the compliance measures required.  The total of these two divided by five yields the
annual "cash flow" cost under the assumption that  compliance for the industry would be
spread  over five years among equal-sized groups or cohorts of stations.  This assumption is
a way of representing the time that may be involved in surveying for compliance, hiring
an  engineering  firm, determining  the  appropriate  solution,  designing  the  changes,
manufacturing the equipment, especially innovative antennas, and installing and certifying
the new  equipment.   Stations will be affected differently  by  this sequence of steps to
compliance, depending on the type of change necessary, complexity of overall broadcast
equipment, and availability of engineering services and the necessary equipment.

                                         62

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      The total gross cost to society of the guideline limiting public exposure to RF from
 AM, FM and TV broadcast is given by:

      TGC = TCS + TCC ,                                                        (3)

 where
      TGC = total gross cost of compliance,
      TCS  = total gross cost of survey for ail stations, and
      TCC = total cost of compliance measures required.

 The annual "cash flow" cost (ACF) of compliance for a given cohort is given by:

      ACF = TGC/5 ,                                                             (4)

      The present value (PV) of the cost to society-at-large of the guidance is given by:

      PV=    £'ACF (1.10)'k"1*,                                                (5)
            k=l
 where
      PV   = the social cost present value, and
      ACF  = the annual "cash flow" cost of compliance.

 These social  costs can  be incorporated  into  a  full  cost-benefit  analysis  with  the
 appropriate definition and valuation of benefits.  Refer to Appendices A,  B, and  C for
 detailed explanations and examples of these calculations.

                             INDUSTRY COST MODEL

      It is of interest  to estimate the  actual  effect of the  guidance on  the broadcast
industry, taking into account  the cost of  borrowing  money for the required capital
improvements,  the effect on corporate taxes, and the net impact on annual cash flow.
      Reference to Fig. 20 will show that the industry cost model is the same as the  social
cost model through the calculation of the total cost of all compliance measures required
for stations  exceeding  a specified guidance  level.  From  this point,  the costs are
segregated  according to  net  cash flow and tax impact, in accordance  with  standard
techniques of evaluating projects in a business decision-making context.67"70  Finally, the
net cost of the project is determined from the cash flow and tax benefit estimates.
                                        63

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<         Begin  ^V
        analysis   J
     EPA AM, FM,
     and TV station
       data bases
        Cost of
       survey for
      all broadcast
        stations
                           Compliance
                            measures
                 EPA signal
                propagation
                  models
Number of stations
exceeding specified
   guidance level
   pre- and post-
compliance measure
  Cost of
compliance
 measures
  selected
                  CIS guidance \_
                    levels   J"
                                                             Annual and average
                                                             net cash flow cost
                                                             Present value
             Repeat
             analysis
Figure  20.  The industry  cost model estimates the  cost to the  broadcast industry of
guidance limiting public exposure to RF  radiation; the model calculates  the annual and
average net cash flow and total present value of the cost of compliance of 18 alternative
guidance levels at three cost levels.

-------
      The present  value analysis and the cost of capital are both computed using 10% as
the rate, as directed by the EPA.  Interest increases the gross expense of the compliance
measure but is deductible from gross income and has an effect on the taxes owed.
      Tangible property is segregated from intangible expenses because they are treated
differently for tax purposes. Tangible property is  subject to depreciation and investment
tax credit; intangible costs  are subtracted from pre-tax  profit ("expensed"), generally in
the year of occurrence.  In  this analysis,  the lease portion  of compliance measure 4 for
FM stations and the survey are considered intangible costs and are expensed. For each
cohort of stations, the gross annual cash flow cost  of compliance with an RF standard
consists of:

      GCF(k) = TCS(k) + DP(k) + LSE(k) + AM(k) + IN(k) ,                              (6)

where
      GCF   = gross cash flow cost,
      LSE   = lease costs,
      DP    = down payment,
      AM    = annual loan amortization payments,
      IN     = interest on loan,
      TCS   = total cost of a survey, and
      k      = year of cost.

The reduction in tax or tax shelter, is given by

      TS(k) = TR • EX(k) + TR • DPN(k) + TR • IN(k) + ITC(k),                         (7)

where
      TS      = tax shelter,
     TR     = the marginal tax rate applicable to corporate income above $100,000, OA6,
     EX     = expensed costs (TCS, LSE),
     DPN    = depreciation of tangible assets,
     I       = interest,
     ITC     = investment tax credit (assumed to be [0%), and
     k       = year of analysis.
                                        65

-------
The net annual cash flow cost of  compliance for the industry  is determined by the
following:

     NCF(k) = GCF(k) - TS(k),                                                    (8)
where
     NCF  = net cash flow cost of compliance,
     GCF  = gross cash flow cost,
     TS   = tax shelter, and
     k     = year of analysis.
     The NCF  for the five cohorts is calculated by dividing the total cash flow cost for
the industry by 5:

     CNCF(k) = NCF(k)/5 ,                                                       (9)
where
     CNCF(k)  = the cohort net cash flow cost in year k.

     The net cash flow cost of compliance for each of the five  cohorts of stations  is
spread out  over six years with each succeeding cohort beginning its six-year expense one
year after  the preceeding one.  Thus, total  industry costs are spread over  10 years
(5 cohorts  of stations,  each with expenditures over 6 years).  The guidance  for each
cohort is assumed to be implemented in year zero,  during  which the electromagnetic
survey is conducted, the equipment  ordered, down payment (25%)  made and investment
tax credit taken. During the subsequent five years, the loan is amortized (equal annual
principal reductions in accordance with typical commercial line of credit terms), interest
paid (annually) and deducted, and depreciation is taken in accordance with the federal tax
code accelerated capital recovery system,71 in contrast to the social cost analysis, which
assumes each cohort incurs its costs in one year. The CNCFs are staggered in relation to
the following cohort's CNCFs.  Therefore, their sum in years k=l is CNCF (k=l) for the
first cohort; the sum of the second year is CNCF (k=2) for cohort  1 plus CNCF (k=l) for
cohort 2 and so on. The yearly sums are denoted TNCF(k).
     An average NCF is derived as follows:
               10
     ANCF =  Z   TNCF(k)/10,                                                (10)
               k=l
where
     ANCF = average annual net cash flow cost.
                                        66

-------
 The industry present value is calculated by discounting the entire ten-year cost stream at
 10%, as directed by the EPA, as follows:

             10
      PV=       TNCFM/d.lO)"  .                                           (11)
            k=l
 Refer to Appendices A,  B,  and  C for detailed  explanations  and examples of these
 calculations.
                           AVERAGE FIRM COST MODEL

      A more specific analysis was conducted to estimate the effects of the guideline on
the average AM, FM, or TV broadcast firm.  The  individual firm cost model is shown in
Fig. 21.  It is  identical to the social and industry cost models through the calculation of
the total cost of all compliance measures required  for stations exceeding the specified
power density  level.   From  these total  industry-wide costs,  the  average cost  for  an
individual AM, FM, or TV broadcast  firm  is calculated.  The average pre-tax operating
profit for profitable AM,  FM, and TV broadcast firms72 was used to create a  pro forma
profit and loss statement for an average firm in each of the three sectors of the broadcast
industry.  The additional expenses of compliance are subtracted from gross income;  net
income is then a function of the tax credit and  depreciation, which is substituted  for
amortization for tax purposes.  The analysis assumes that  operating profit remains stable
throughout the period of analysis, a year "zero" during which the guidance is implemented
and five years of loan payments. The impact of compliance on net (after tax)  income in
years zero to 5 is compared with the  assumed net  income prior to implementation of  the
guideline. The financial and ownership structure and tax situation of individual firms  are
not known; therefore it was assumed  that the profit calculated is taxed according to  the
current corporate tax  rate schedule.73  The costs of compliance for each of  the three
segments of the industry are averaged over the  number of  stations requiring a compliance
measure  at each  of the  18 guidance levels analyzed to provide average  costs for  this
analysis.
      The effect of compliance with  the  RF guidance  on the average AM, FM,  or  TV
station net profit is estimated in a series of calculations beginning with the gross pre-tax
cash flow cost, as follows:
                                        67

-------
     f    Begin
  ~*"\   analysis
      EPA AM, FM,
     and TV station
       data bases
        Cost of
       survey for
      all broadcast
        stations
                           Compliance
                            measures
                 EPA signal
                propagation
                  models
Number of stations
exceeding specified
   guidance level
   pre- and post-
compliance measure
  Cost of
compliance
 measures
  selected
                  CIS guidance \_
                    levels   J
                                                          Annual gross cash flow cost
                                                          Annual tax shelter
                                                          Annual and average net cost
                                                          Cohort and average
                                                          present value
             Repeat
             analysis
Figure 21. The average broadcast firm model estimates the cost to the average station of
a guideline limiting public exposure to RF radiation; the model takes into account the  tax
effects and calculates the net after tax profit, the annual gross and net cost and  the
present value of the cost of compliance with  18  alternative guidance levels at three cost
levels.
                                          68

-------
      AOIA(k) = AOIB(k) - AGCF(k),                                             (12)

 where
      AOIA = average (AM,  FM, or TV) firm pre-tax operating income net of average
              gross cash flow compliance costs,
      AOIB = average (AM,  FM, or TV) firm pre-tax operating income as  reported in
              Ref. 72,
      AGCF = the average cost of compliance for an individual AM, FM, or TV firm (GCF
              T total number of [AM, FM, or TV] stations requiring a compliance measure
              at each power  density level), and
      k     = year of analysis.

      Expensed  costs,  interest  (both  of  which  are  included  in AGCF,  above)  and
 depreciation affect the computation of corporate income tax liability as follows:

      ATOI(k) = AOIA(k) + ADP(k) + AAM(k) - ADPN(k),                           (13)

 where
      ATOI  = average taxable operating income,
      AOIA  = average  firm pre-tax operating income net of average  gross cash flow
              compliance costs,
      ADP   = average down payment,
      AAM  = average loan amortization,
      ADPN = average depreciation allowance, and
      k      = year of analysis.

The  gross tax liability is calculated using  the corporation  tax  rate  schedule  found  in
Ref. 73.
      The net tax liability and net profit are calculated as follows:

     ANIA(k) = AOIA(k) - ANT(k) ,

where
     ANIA = average net firm after-tax profit,
     AOIA = average firm income after compliance and before taxes,
     ANT  = average net taxes = ACT - AITC,
     k     = year of analysis, and

                                       69

-------
     where
           ACT  = average gross tax, and
           AITC  = average investment tax credit (10% of tangible capital investment),
                   taken  in  the  year of  purchase  (assumed to  be  first  year  of
                   compliance).

     The net after tax cash flow cost  of compliance for  the average broadcast firm is
given by:

     NCC(k) = AGCF(k) - ATSA(k) ,                                               (15)

where
     NCC   = net cost of compliance,
     AGCF  = average gross cash flow cost of compliance,
     ATSA  = average tax savings, (ANTB - ANT(k)),
     where
             ATSB   = average net taxes in the year prior to the guideline,
             ANT(k)  = average net tax in year k, and
     k       = year of analysis.

The average net cost of compliance is calculated from the annual net cost as follows:
              6
     ANCC = Z)  NCC(k)/6 .                                                    (16)
              k=l

     The present  value cost for the average firm is calculated by discounting the  first
year and  five  subsequent  years.  Each  cohort's  present  value  cost  is  calculated
separately.  Because there are five cohorts, each realizing costs in succeeding  years, the
PV of a firm in the last cohort will be substantially less than the PV of a firm in the  first
cohort.  The present value for a firm  in each cohort is calculated as follows:
PV(c)=   E  NCC(k)/(l.l) k"2+c,                                           (17)
              5
              E
              k=l

where
     PV(c)   = the present value of the cost of compliance for the average  firm in
               cohort c,
                                        70

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      i      = cohort 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5,
      k      = year of expenditure for the average firm, and
      NCC(k) = annual net cost of compliance in year k.

 An average present value cost is derived by calculating the mean of the present value for
 the five cohorts.
             5
      APV = Z   PV(c) /5 .                                                     (18)
            c=l
      A separate analysis was completed of the impact of compliance on the average
 unprofitable broadcast firm.  The results, given the generalized assumptions made for this
 analysis, are similar  to profit-making firms in terms of net cost of compliance.  The
 expenditures for  compliance  do not, of course,  help unprofitable firms improve  their
 income statements.
      An analysis was completed of the maximum and average effect of compliance with
 the guidance on net profit in terms of percent decline in profit (profitable stations) or
 percent increase in loss (unprofitable stations) as follows:

      MPE  = MNCC/ANPB ,                                                      (19)
 where
      MPE   = the maximum annual percent effect on net profit or loss,
      MNCC=  the maximum annual net cost of compliance, and
      ANPB = the average net profit or loss in the year prior to compliance.

      A similar analysis was completed of the average, as opposed to the maximum effect
 on profit or loss as follows:
     APE = ANCC/ANPB ,                                                      (20)
where
     APE    =  the average annual percent effect on net profit or loss,
     ANCC  =  the average annual net cost of compliance for the average firm, and
     ANPB  =  the average net profit or loss in the year prior to compliance.

     A separate program aggregates the AM, FM, and TV industry segment results for the
social cost and industry cost analysis to create industry-wide results.
                                       71

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                           SUMMARY OF ASSUMPTIONS

     Throughout the preceeding discussion of method of approach, compliance measures
and cost  models, a series of assumptions were used.  These are assembled  below for
convenient reference.

GENERAL ASSUMPTIONS

1.   AM, FM, and TV stations will select compliance measures in the order of increasing
     cost used in this analysis.
2.   The propagation models, calibrated by a field test program by the EPA,  accurately
     estimate power density propagation; no adjustments need be made for any known
     biases in these models.
3.   For the social cost analysis, all expenses for each cohort of stations are assumed to
     occur in the year of implementation.
4.   For the industry cost and average firm cost analyses, the year of implementation of
     a guideline is known as "year zero;" expenses are spread out over the following five
     years. The financial effects of compliance on the average firm are compared with a
     base year immediately prior to year zero.
5.   For all analyses, stations are assumed to comply in five equal annual cohorts.
6.   Positive compliance measures  are assumed (those that physically prevent public
     access to RF over the standard).  However, the  effect of allowing FM stations with
     remotely located antennas to  post  warning signs,  an inexpensive  measure, was
     analyzed for its  effect  in reducing the  cost  of the  guideline.   For this special
     analysis, it was assumed that 22%, 14% and 9% of FM  stations could post signs for
     the low, medium and high cost analyses, respectively.
7.   All stations are  assumed to require a survey of the electromagnetic  environment
     around their towers,  whether a compliance  measure  is  needed  or  not.   This
     assumption may not actually be necessary to implement a guidance because the EPA
     may be able to devise a self-screening procedure that stations can use to determine
     on a first-cut basis whether or not a more detailed survey is needed.
8.   For the industry and firm cost models:
     a)   Capital equipment is purchased at 25% down with 5 annual equal payments, and
     b)  Interest is assumed to be 10% as directed by the EPA.
9.   A common discount rate of 10% was used in all analyses.
                                        72

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 10.   For the industry analysis, the tax shelter aspects of the calculations use the top
      corporate tax rate, 46%.
 11.   For the individual  firm analysis, the corporate tax is calculated according to the
      federal tax rate schedule.
 12.   Assumptions for tax shelter used in the individual firm analysis result in identical
      net costs to profitable and unprofitable stations.  It is  assumed for this analysis that
      the losses  are passed on to some corporate, partnership or individual tax entity that
      uses the losses as a deduction.

 ASSUMPTIONS FOR FM  RADIO STATIONS

 1.    Stations with tower-mounted antennas  were included;  building-mounted antennas
      were not.
 2.    Both single-mounted and co-mounted antennas on one  tower or antenna farms were
      included.
 3.    Compliance measures were generally applied in the order of increasing cost.
 4.    For compliance measures involving replacement of  antennas,  the old antenna was
      replaced with one of equivalent ERP.
 5.    Because the EPA data base contains only 3895 (89%) of the 4374 FM radio stations,
      it was assumed that the larger group of FM stations  contain the same ratio  of
      antenna types, tower heights, ERP, etc. as the group  in the data base.  Thus, each
      group of FM stations was increased by 4374 T  3895  =  1.123.
 6.    On the basis  of professional judgment, those FM stations  that  could not  achieve
      compliance using fixes 2 or 3 were distributed among compliance measures 4, 5, and
      6 (Table 15) according to the percentages given in Table 8.
 7.    It is assumed for compliance measures 4, 5, and 6 that half the stations can use their
      existing antennas; the cost of a  3-bay, X/2 antenna (Table 9.e) was multiplied by 0.5
      and added  to the cost of a structural analysis for compliance  measure  4 ($12,000),
      and to the cost of a new tower for compliance  measures 5 and 6.
 8.    One third of the stations with antennas co-located on towers with other FM stations
      are assumed to relocate with another  station if compliance measure 4,  5,  or  6 is
      used, reducing the  cost  of  these measures by  1/6  for  these stations  as a whole
      (1/3 of stations x 1/2 cost).
9.    The EPA-FCC data  on antenna height are based on the  center of ERP; therefore, for
      costing purposes,  25' was added  to the height  of each  tower needed for compliance
      measures 5 and 6; 25' is half the  average height of a typical 6-bay FM antenna.
                                        73

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ASSUMPTIONS FOR AM RADIO STATIONS

1.    Varying percentages of AM stations were assumed to have existing adequate fencing
      (see Table 5) reducing the overall cost of compliance accordingly.
2.    The area fenced  is assumed  to be square;  the fence contains one  20'  gate for
      vehicular access.

ASSUMPTIONS FOR TV BROADCAST STATIONS

1.    It is assumed that TV antennas can be modified in a manner similar to that of FM
      antennas to reduce downward radiation from grating lobes.

                        SUMMARY OF RESEARCH RESULTS

      The results of the economic study are presented in the following series (at the end
of this section) of summary figures  (Figs. 22-49) and tables (Tables 12-17); more detailed
data are given in Volume II, Appendices D-G. The  presentation of the summary results is
organized into the following sequence: total (FM, AM, TV) social cost, total industry cost,
FM average  firm,  AM  average firm, TV average  firm, FM-AM-TV cost distribution,
compliance measure component cost analysis, FM compliance measure one cost  analysis,
and number of stations affected by the guidelines.
      What are the costs to the society-at-large of the proposed guideline limiting public
exposure to RF from broadcast sources? Figures 22 and 23 at the end of this section give
the range (low, medium, and high cost assumptions) of the cost to society-at-large of a
guidance limiting public exposure to RF from AM, FM, and TV broadcast sources for 6 of
18 guidance levels analyzed. Figure 22 shows the cost in terms of total present value;
Figure 23 shows the annual cash flow cost.  The PV of the cost to society varies from a
maximum (high cost assumptions) of  $866.6 million  for guidance  level 1  to a minimum
(low cost assumptions)  of  $12.7 million  for guidance level  18.  The cash  flow  cost to
society varies from $207.8 million to $3.1 million. Data for these figures are identified in
Table  12 at the end of this section and also in Table  G-l in the Appendix.
      How much will the proposed guidelines cost the broadcast industry as a whole?  In
contrast to the cost to society, the PV of the cost of the guidelines to the  total broadcast
industry (Fig. 2k) varies from $414.6  million to  $6.9 million. The average net after tax
CFC of the cost of  compliance for the total broadcast industry (Fig. 25) is also less than
the equivalent cost to society, varying from $59.1 million to $0.8 million.  Data for these

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figures are identified in Table 13 at the end of this section and also in Table G-2 in the
Appendix. The lower costs to industry as contrasted with the costs to society result from
the difference in definitions of the two costs.  The cost to society-at-large is defined as
including all the opportunity costs (costs of using resources for one use and foregoing the
opportunity to use them for other uses); the cost to industry is an estimate of the net cost
and includes transfer payments not considered  in the social cost,  such as tax deductions
and credits and interest on funds assumed borrowed for the compliance measures.
      The next 12 figures show the range of the estimated  cost  of compliance for the
average (FM,  Figs. 26-29; AM, Figs. 30-33; TV, Figs. 34-37) broadcast station in terms of
average PV, average net CFC,  and the maximum and  average reduction in net profit
resulting from the net CFC cost of compliance; all shown for 6 of 18  guidance levels.  The
average present value of the cost of compliance for the  average broadcast station varies
from    $40.6 thousand   (FM-Fig. 26),   $7.9 thousand   (AM-Fig.  30),   $285.3 thousand
(TV-Fig. 34) at guidance level 1 to $4.8 thousand (FM), $1.3 thousand (AM), $0.7 thousand
(TV) at guidance level  18.  The average CFC is estimated to  vary  from a maximum of
$9.7 thousand  (FM-Fig. 27), $1.8 thousand (AM-Fig. 31), $67.8 thousand (TV-Fig. 35) at
guidance level 1 to a minimum of $1.1 thousand (FM), $0.3 thousand (AM), $0.1 thousand
(TV)  at guidance level 18.   The estimated  reduction  in profit associated  with  the
maximum cash flow cost for compliance over six years for the average broadcast station
is shown for FM (Fig. 28), AM (Fig. 32), and TV (Fig. 36) and varies from a maximum of
16.4% (FM) at guidance level  1 to 0.10% (TV) at guidance level 18.  The reduction in net
profit associated with the average cash flow cost for compliance  over six years for the
average broadcast station is shown  for FM (Fig. 29), AM (Fig. 33),  and TV (Fig. 37)  and
varies from a maximum  of 10.1%   (FM) at guidance level  1 to 0% (TV) at  guidance
level  18.  Data for these figures are identified  in Table 14  at  the end of this section and
in Tables D-3, E-3, F-3, and G-3 in the Appendix.
      The net effect of the maximum annual net after tax cash flow cost of compliance on
unprofitable broadcast  stations  is the same in absolute dollar terms as  for profitable
stations but the percentage effect varies with the guidance level and the cost level.  The
average unprofitable FM radio station loses 18% more than the average profitable station
makes net of  taxes,72  so  the same  cost of  compliance will be  a  smaller percentage
addition to  the  average losses  than reduction in  the average profit.  The average
unprofitable FM station will experience an average  increase in net  losses varying from
about 19% (guidance level 1 - high  cost) to about 1% (level 18 - low cost).  The average
                                        75

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unprofitable AM radio station loses 8% less than the average profitable station makes net
of taxes,72 so the same compliance costs will  be a  greater  percentage of losses  than
profits.  The average unprofitable AM  station will have average increased losses ranging
from about 3% (guidance level  1  - high cost) to less than 1%  (level 18 - low cost).  The
average  unprofitable TV broadcast station  loses only  31%  as much  as the average
profitable station makes net of taxes72 so the same absolute dollar cost of compliance will
be several times greater in percentage terms for unprofitable stations than for profitable
ones.  The average unprofitable TV station will experience increased losses ranging from
about 27% (guidance level 1 - high cost) to especially zero (guidance level  18 - low cost).
     The general pattern of all costs (and the number of stations requiring a compliance
measure at a given guidance level) is clear; the cost of the guidance drops dramatically
from guidance level 1 (1 pW/cm2 - FM/TV RF  units), the most stringent analyzed, to
about i+ (20 uW/cm2), then falls rapidly to about 9 or 10 (400 yW/cm2) and more gradually
to guidance level  18 (10,000 uW/cm2), the least stringent level analyzed.
     How do the three major segments of the broadcast industry compare in the share of
the costs of the guideline attributable  to them? An analysis of the  distribution of costs
among the three industry segments was made using the medium level  PV of the cost to
society; the distribution is shown  in Fig. 38 for 6 of the 18 guidance levels. At guidance
level 1,  the cost of compliance for TV broadcast stations predominates because  the
compliance measures are more costly for TV than for radio  stations.  Thereafter,  the
number of TV stations requiring a  compliance measure drops sharply and FM radio stations
dominate the total cost until the last  guidance  levels are reached,  when the relatively
larger  number of AM stations requiring a compliance measure causes  the AM  sector to
predominate.  Even  though  the number of AM radio stations  requiring  a  compliance
measure is greater  than  the number  of FM stations beginning with  guidance level 2
(Tables 15-17), the compliance measures for FM stations are more complex and  costly
than those for AM stations, causing the expenses for the FM segment to exceed those for
AM  up  to  guidance level 17.   Data  for this analysis  are  identified in  Table 12,
medium-level  TNPV cost to society;  also see  Tables D-l,  E-l, F-l, and  E-l  in  the
Appendix.
     The total cost  of compliance can be grossly segmented  into two components,  the
cost of a survey of the RF environment around the antenna to determine the need for and
extent  of mitigation measures required and the cost  of  the compliance  measure itself.
The distribution of these two cost components is shown  for FM (Fig. 39), AM  (Fig. 40),
and TV (Fig. 41) based  on the medium-level component  cost  to society-at-large.  The
consistent pattern is that, at  lower, more difficult-to-achieve guidance levels, the cost of
                                        76

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 the compliance  measure predominates.  However,  at  less  stringent  standard  levels
 (guidance level 12, FM; guidance level 4, AM; guidance level 8, TV) the cost of the survey
 for all stations exceeds the cost of compliance for those stations  requiring it.  Data
 plotted in Figs. 39, 40, and 41 are identified in Tables D-1, E-1, F-1, respectively, in the
 Appendix.
      Although the cost  analyses  were  performed  assuming  some  form  of positive
 compliance, the EPA investigators observed in  the  course of  their work that  many FM
 transmitters are located in remote areas often  inaccessible to the public.  Therefore we
 tested  the  effect  on costs  of assuming  that  a percentage of  FM  stations  would be
 permitted to post warning signs around antennas that emit RF  above  the guideline.  The
 percentage  of stations allowed  this inexpensive  solution was based  on  criteria for
 remoteness developed from population statistics using CED  data in conjunction with the
 geographic location of FM antennas. Allowing FM stations, whose antennas are defined as
 remote, to post warning signs reduces the cost to society of the guidelines  for the FM
 segment of the broadcast industry at guidance level  1 by up to 20% (Fig. 42) and reduces
 the cost of  compliance to  the FM broadcast industry  by very nearly  20%  (Fig. 43).
 Reductions in cost at less stringent guidance levels display the same decline as  overall
 costs. When the other two segments of the broadcast industry, which are not  affected by
 the inexpensive posting option, are combined with the FM segment, the overall effect is
 diluted.  The overall cost to  society of the guideline is reduced by a maximum of 8% at
 guidance level 2 (Fig. 44); the overall cost  of compliance to  the broadcast industry is
 reduced by about 7.5% at guidance level 2 (Fig. 45).  The plots in Figs. 44 and 45  show
 that cost reductions are depressed at guidance level 1, after  which they rise and then
 resume a pattern consistent  with  the cost-guidance level  relationships discussed earlier.
 The reason these cost reduction curves increase before decreasing  relative to guidance
 level is that the cost of compliance for TV stations, which is not affected by the posting
 solution, dominates the total cost  at guidance level 1 (see  Fig. 38). However,  beginning
 with guidance level 2, the cost of  compliance for the FM broadcast sector is  higher than
the cost for the AM and TV sectors combined, so the cost  reduction that is applicable to
the FM  sector has a greater effect on  the aggregate cost of  compliance  at guidance
level  2 than at guidance level 1.
      How many stations would  require measures to comply with a guideline if it were
implemented?  The number  of  stations  assumed to require some  kind of  compliance
measure other than the survey is shown for FM (Fig. 46), AM (Fig. 47), and TV  (Fig. 48).
The assumptions for selection  of  compliance measures and for differences  among  the
three cost levels  result in  three distinctly different numbers of  AM  radio stations
                                        77

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requiring  compliance measures at the low, medium, and high cost estimates, which  is
reflected  in the three plots in Fig. 47. The number of FM and TV broadcast stations that
require a  compliance measure is constant across all three cost levels (Figs. 46 and  48).
The number of AM stations varies with the cost  level because assumptions were made
about the  proportion of stations already fenced at the three cost levels (see Table 5).  The
percentage distribution of the number of FM, AM, and TV stations requiring a compliance
measure is shown in Fig. 49 at 6 of the  18  guidance  levels studied.  This distribution
differs from that shown for costs in Fig.  38 for two reasons.  First, though the number of
stations actually  requiring a compliance measure declines to very small  numbers at the
less stringent  guidance  levels, all stations were assumed to require a  survey (and  the
associated cost) at all guidance levels. Further, the cost of compliance for TV broadcast
stations is disproportionately  costly relative to the number of TV  stations requiring  a
compliance measure. Data for Figs. 46-48 are identified  in Tables  15, 16, and 17 at the
end of this section and also in Tables D-4, E-4, and F-4 in the Appendix.
                                        78

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                             79

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                              83

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                                86

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                                89

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              6 of 18 guidance levels at 3 cost  levels.
                                       90

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                       guidance  levels  studied.
                               91

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    Figure  35.  The range of average annual net after-tax cash  flow
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                                 92

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     Figure  37.  The percentage reduction in the  net  profit  of  the
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          377.FM
                      7%AM
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            10
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                              Guidance Level

Figure 38.  The  distribution of the total present  (constant dollar) value
 cost  to  society-at-large among  AM,  FM,  and TV broadcasters  of  guidelines
    limiting public  exposure to radiofrequency  radiation is shown for
         6 of  18  guidance  levels studied  (medium  cost  analysis).

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     Survey(   3.4%)
   Compliance(  96.6%)
  Survey(  12.3%)
Compliance( 87.7%)
  Survey(  16.3%)
Compliance(  83.7%)
     Survey(  41.0%)
   Compliance(  58.9%)
  Survey( 58.8%)
Compliance( 41.2%)
  Survey( 99.1%)
Compliance(  0.9%)
            10
        15
 Guidance
        18
                                      Leve
  Figure 39.    The  distribution of the two main  cost components for the
total  gross (undiscounted) cost  to  society-at-large of  guidelines  limiting
 public  exposure to radiofrequency  radiation from FM broadcast  sources  is
    shown for 6 of  18  guidance levels studied  (medium cost analysis).
                               96

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     Survey(  19.0%)
   Compliance(  80.9%]
  Survey( 49.0%)
Compliance( 50.9%)
  Survey( 53.9%)
Compliance( 46.1%)
     Survey( 76.5%)
   Compliance(  23.4%)
  Survey( 79.0%)
Compliance! 21.0%)
  Survey( 97.1%)
Compliance(  2.8%)
           10
        15
 Guidance
        16
                                      Level
   Figure 40.  The distribution of  the  two main cost components  for  the
total  gross  (undiscounted) cost to  society-at-large of guidelines  limiting
 public  exposure to radiofrequency  radiation from AM broadcast  sources  is
    shown for 6  of  18  guidance  levels studied  (medium cost analysis).
                               97

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      Survey(   0.6")
   Comp1iance(  99.4%
  Survey(  9.5%)
Compliance! 90.4%)
  Survey(  18.4%)
Compliance! 81.6%)
     Survey!  68.1%)
   Compliance!  31.9%
            10
  Survey! 93.4%)
Compliance!  6.6%)
        15
  Guidance
                                      Level
  Survey(100.0%)
Compliancef  0. '
  Figure 41.    The  distribution of the two main  cost  components for the
total  gross (undiscounted)  cost  to soc lety-at-large of guidelines  limiting
 public  exposure to rad lofrequency radiation  from TV broadcast  sources  is
    shown for 6 of  18  guidance  levels studied (medium  cost analvsis).

-------
                                     Guidance Level
       23 4 5 6
OJ
u
                                                                                     IB
          S
                                        /iW/cnr

        Figure 42.  The present (constant dollar) value of the cost to society-
           at-large of guidelines limiting public exposure to radiofrequency
        radiation from FM radio broadcast sources is reduced by the percentages
                     shown if compliance measure one is permitted.
                                           99

-------
                                     Guidance Level
       23 4 5 6
c
o>
o
OJ
D_
                                                                                 15   18
                                                                                     g
                                        /if/cm2

          Figure 43.  The present (constant dollar) value of the net after-tax
        cost to the FM broadcast industry of guidelines limiting public exposure
           to radiofrequency radiation is reduced by the percentages shown if
                          compliance measure one is permitted.
                                         100

-------
                                    Guidance  Level
                                                                               15    IB
                                       Ml/cm ^

Figure 44.  The total present (constant dollar) value of the cost to society-at-large
  of  guidelines  limiting public exposure  to radiofrequency radiation  from AM, FM, and
  TV  broadcast  sources  is reduced by  the  percentages  shown if compliance measure one
                            is permitted for  FM stations.
                                       101

-------
                                     Guidance  Level
o
i_
O)
                                                                                     18
                                        /if/cm2

      Figure 45.   The  total  present  (constant  dollar)  value  of  the cost  to  the AM,
        FM, and TV broadcast industry of guidelines limiting public  exposure to
       radiofrequency  radiation is  reduced  by  the percentages shown  if compliance
                       measure one is permitted for FM stations.
                                            102

-------
                                   Guidance  Level
4500
4000
                                         10
                                                        12
                                                               13
                                                                       14
                                                                              15
                                                                                   18
                                      fi W/cm

    Figure 46.   The number of FM radio broadcast stations requiring measures to
    comply with guidelines limiting public exposure to radiofrequency radiation
                    is shown  for  18 specified guidance  levels.
                                   103

-------
                                      Guidance Level
   4000
        23  4
   3000-
 o
 03
CO
- 2000
 o
O)
I
                                                                                       IB
   1000 ~
                                                                                       265
                                                                                      (1000)
                                                Q
                                          mW/cm
                                           (V/m)

       Figure 47.  The number of AM radio  broadcast  stations  requiring measures to
       comply with guidelines limiting public exposure  to  radiofrequency radiation
             is shown for IB specified guidance  levels  at  three cost levels.

-------
    800
    700
    600
.1   500
                                      Guidance Level
                                        10
                                         r
12
I"
                                                                   13
 14
"1 "
o
k-
OJ
400


300
                                                                                  —    o
                                         /i W/cm ^

          Figure 48.   The number of TV broadcast  stations  requiring measures to
       comply with guidelines limiting public  exposure  to  radiofrequency radiation
                        is  shown  for  18 specified guidance levels.

-------
               40%AM
                                64%AU
                      1%TV
      48%FM
                                                        69%AM
                                                3%TV
                                          2%TV
                                        33%FM
                                                                   28%FM
    75%AM
                           84%AU
                       1XTV
                   23%FM
                  1%TV
                                              1 5%FM
                                                   96%A
             10
       15
Guidance  Level
18
Figure 49.   The  percentage  distribution of AM,  FM and TV broadcast stations
     requiring compliance measures  is  shown for 6 of  18  guidance  levels
                       studied (medium cost analysis).

-------
O
VI
       TABLE 12.    AN  ESTIMATE OF THE POTENTIAL COST TO THE SOCIETY-AT-LARGE OF GUIDELINES LIMITING PUBLIC  EXPOSURE
      TO RftDIOFREQUENCY  RADIATION FROM AM, FM. VHF-TV. AND UHF-TV  BROADCAST  SOURCES IS GIVEN FOR 3 COST  LEVELS.
      THE ANNUAL CASH  FLOW (CURRENT YEAR DOLLAR) COST AND THE PRESENT  (CONSTANT DOLLAR) VALUE ARE SHOWN     ._.„,,,..,„
      FOR COMPLIANCE WITH  18  SPECIFIED GUIDANCE LEVELS.  IT IS ASSUMED THAT  FM STATIONS SELECT ONE OF  FIVE  COMPLIANCE
      MEASURES  (2 THROUGH  6)  AND THAT COMPLIANCE COSTS (ANNUAL CASH  FLOW)  ARE SPREAD EVEMIY AMONG FIVE ANNUAL  COHORTS
      OF STATIONS.  NUMBERS ARE IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS. MICROWATTS  PER  SQ.  CM IS ABBREVIATED UW/CM-2; VOLTS  PER METER, V/M.
          GUIDANCE  LEVEL
              1 .
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
              2.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
              3.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
              4.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
               5.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
FM
LOW

30.
125.

13.
54.

1 0 .
43.

6
28

5
24

0
1

0
3

, 4
.2

.9
.8

.9
.5
MED
1 .
51 .
214.
10.
28.
116 ,
20.
21 .
91
50.
14
59
75.
12
49
HIGH
LOW
UW/CM-2
5
7
73.
305.
3
5
5.3
22.2
UW/CM-2
0
,6
39.
164.
UW/CM-2
.9 T "
.3
127 .
4
3

. 5
.1
3.0
12.5

11.1
UW/CM-2
.3
.5
19
81
.6
.6
2.3
9 .8
UW/CM-2
.0
.9
16
68
.4
.2
2.3
9.4
AM
MED
10.
9.
40.
32.
5.
21
45.
18
71 .
3
1 5
87.
3
15
V/M
7
5
V/M
.1
.1
V/M
.4
V/M
.8
.7
V/M
.6
.0
HIGH

15.7
65.4

7 .8
32.3

27 .8

5.6
23.3

5.3
22.0
LOW

45.
190.

10.
45

29

3
1 3

Z
8

6
2

.8
.1
Q
.3

.1
. 0

.1
.7
TV
MED
1 .
76.
317 .
10.
16 .
70.
20.
1 0
42
50.
4
18
75.
3
12
HIGH
LON
TOTAL
MED
HIGH
UW/CM-2
0
0
118.
495.
9
7
80.
337 .
9
5
137.
572.
2
2
207.8
866.6
UW/CM-2
9
5
20.
85.
UW/CM-2
3 1 °
.8
50
5
5
Q
.1
26.
Ill .
20
83
8
8
o
.6
49.
208.
36 ,
1 52
9
2
p 5
.4
67.7
282.2
49.1
204.9
UW/CM-2
.5
.9
5
21
.2
.9
12
51
.4
.6
22
94
.6
. 1
30.4
126 .7
UW/CM'Z
. 0
.3
3
14
.4
.0
10
42
.2
.6
18
77
. 5
.2
25.0
1 04.1

-------
         TABLE  12.
                     (CONTINUED)
O
00
                  GUIDANCE LEVEL
        ANNUAL  CASH FLOH COST
        PRESENT VALUE
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE

              8.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE

              9.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
             10.
ANNUAL CASH FLON COST
PRESENT VALUE
FM
LOH

5.X
22.2

3.9
16.2

3.2
13.3

2.7
11.1

2.4
10.2
MED HIGH
100.
10.
44,
200.
7 .
31 .
300.
5.
24
400.
4
19
500.
4
17
UK/CM -2
.7 14.
.7 60.
UH/CM- 2
.5 10.
.2 41 .
UH/CM-2
.9 7 .
.7 32.
UN/CM -2
.8 6.
.9 26,
UW/CM-2
.3 5,
.8 23.

5
4

0
6

8
7

,3
.2

.6
.3
LOU

2.
9.

2.
8.

2,
8

1
8

1
7

,2
, T

.1
,6

.0
.1

.9
.1

.7
.0
AM
MED
100.
3,
14,
141 .
3.
13,
173.
3,
12
200.
3
12
224.
2
1 0
V/M
.4
.3
V/M
.2
.4
V/M
.0
.4
V/M
.0
.3
V/M
.4
.1
HIGH

5.
20.

4,
19.

4,
17.

4
17

3
13

,0
9

,6
.3

,2
.7

.2
.5

.3
.7
LOH

1 ,
7.

0.
3.

0.
2

0
2

0
2

i 7
,1

.8
.5

.6
.6

. 5
.2

.5
.0
TV
MED HIGH
100.
2.
9 .
200.
1 ,
4 .
300.
0.
3,
400 .
0
2
500.
0
2
LOW
TOTAL
MED
HIGH
UW/CM-2
,3
2
.8 11 .
UH/CM~
,1
.7
UW/CM-
.8
.4
UH/CM-
.7
.9
UW/CM-
.6
.6
2
1 .
5,
2
1 .
4,
2
0
3
2
0
3
.6
.0

.3
,4

.0
,0

.8
.5

.8
.2
9.
38.

6.
28.

5.
24,

5.
21

4
19.
.2
.4

8
.3

,8
,0

.1
.4

.6
.1
16 .
68.

11 ,
49 .

9
40

8
35

7
30
.5
,8

.8
.3

.7
.6

.4
.1

.3
. 5
22.
92.

1 5.
66 .

13,
54.

11 .
47

9
40
, 1
.3

.9
.3

.0
.4

.3
.1

.6
.1

-------
                          TABLE 12.
                                      (CONTINUED)
O
SO
                                   GUIDANCE LEVEL
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
             12.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
             13.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
             14.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
             1 5.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
FM
LOU

2.2
9.4

2.1
8.6

Z.ti
8.3

1 .9
8.0

1 .9
7.8
MED HIGH
600.
3.
16 .
700.
3.
14.
800.
3,
13.
900.
3
12
1000.
3
12
LON
UW/CM-2
8
5.
0 20 .
UH/CM
4
3
-2
4.
18.
0
8

5
.6
1 .
6 .

1 ,
6 .
7
9

.6
.8
UW/CM-2
,3
.7
UW/CH
.1
.9
UW/CM
.0
.4
4.
17
-2
4
16
"2
3
16
.2
.7

.0
.7

.8
.0
1
6

1
6

1
6
.6
.8

.6
.8

.6
.8
AM
MED
245.
2.
10.
265.
2.
9
282.
2
9
300.
2
9
316.
2
9
V/M
4
.0
V/M
.4
.8
V/M
.3
.8
V/M
.3
.8
V/M
.3
.8
HIGH

3.
13.

3.
13.

3.
13.

3.
13.

3.
13.

2
5

2
3

2
2

2
2

1
1
LOW

0.
1 .

0.
1 .

0
1

0
1

0
1

4
6

.4
.5

.4
.5

.4
.5

.3
.4
TV
MED HIGH
600.
0.
2.
700.
0.
2,
800.
0
2
900.
0
2
1000.
0
1
UW/CM -
5
1
2
0.
2.

6
6
LOW

4.
17.

3
p 9
TOTAL
MED

6 .
28.

7
1
HIGH

8.9
36.9
UW/CM-2
,5
,1
UW/CM-
. 5
.0
UW/CM-
.5
.0
UW/CM -
.5
.9
0.
2.
2
0.
2
2
0
2
2
0
2
6
.5

.6
.5

.6
.5

.6
.4
4.
17.

4
16

3
16

3
16
.1
.0

.0
.6

.9
.3

.8
.0
6.
26 ,

6
25

5
24

5
24
.3
,2

.1
.5

.9
.7

.8
. 1
8.3
34.4

8.0
33.4

7 .8
32.4

7 .6
31 .5

-------
 TABLE
             (CONTINUED)
          GUIDANCE LEVEL
             16.
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
ANNUAL CASH FLOW COST
PRESENT VALUE
                             LOW
                                      FM
                                    MED
                                            HIGH
    2000. UH/CM-2
1.6     2.3     2.9
6.5     9.6    12.2

    5000. UW/CM-2
1.4     1.9     2.4
5.7     7.8     9.8

   10000. UW/CM'2
1.3     1.8     2.2
5.5     7.4     9.2
                                                    LOU
1 .4
6 .0
                               AM
                              MED
     447. V/M
1.6     2.3
6.7     1.6
708. V/M
   2.0
   8.2
    1000. V/M
1.4     1.9
5.9     7.9
                                                                    HIGH
           3.1
          12.8
 2.5
10.4
           2.4
          10.0
                                                                           LOW
                                TV
                              MED
                                                                                           HIGH   LOW
    2000. UW/CM-2
0.3     0.4     0.5    3.5
1.4     1.8     2.3   14.6
    5000. UW/CM-2
0.3     0.4     0.5    3.1
1.4     1.8     2.3   13.1
   10000. UW/CM-2
0.3     0.4     0.5    3.1
1.4     1.8     2.3   12.7
                                                 TOTAL
                                                 MED
                                        5.0
                                       27 .0
 4.3
17 .8
                                        4.1
                                       17.1
                                                                                                                   HIGH
         6.6
        27.3
 5.4
22. 5
         5.2
        21 .5

-------
 TABLE 13.   AN ESTIMATE OF THE POTENTIAL COST TO THE BROADCAST INDUSTRY OF GUIDELINES  LIMITING PUBLIC EXPOSURE
TO RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION FROM AM. FM, VHF-TV, AND UHF-TV BROADCAST SOURCES  IS  GIVEN  FOR  3  COST  LEVELS.
THE AVERAGE ANNUAL CASH FLOW (CURRENT YEAR DOLLAR) COSTS AND THE PRESENT (CONSTANT  DOLLAR)  VALUE ARE
SHONN FOR COMPLIANCE NITH 1R SPECIFIED GUIDANCE LEVELS.  IT IS ASSUMED  THAT FM STATIONS SELECT  ONE OF FIVE
COMPLIANCE MEASURES (2 THROUGH 6) AND THAT COMPLIANCE COSTS (ANNUAL NET CASH FLOW)  ARE  SPREAD EVENLY AMONG FIVE
ANNUAL COHORTS OF STATIONS.   NUMBERS ARE IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS.
IIICROHATTS PER SO. CM IS ABBREVIATED KM/CM'21 VOLTS PER METER. V/M.
          GUIDANCE LEVEL


              1 .

AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW

PRESENT VALUE


              2.

AVG ANNUAL CASH FLON

PRESENT VALUE


              3.

AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW

PRESENT VALUE


              4.

AVG ANNUAL CASH FLON

PRESENT VALUE


              5.

AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW

PRESENT VALUE
FM
LOW

8.5
59.9

3.7
26.1

2.9
20.8

1 .9
14.0

1 .6
12.0
MED
1 .
14.
103.
10.
7,
56.
20.
6
43
50.
4
28
75.
3
24
HIGH
LOW
UW/CM-2
.8
21 .
,7 149.
UN/CM
.9
.0
-2
11 .
79.
3
1

2
2
1 .
10.

0.
6.
5
,9

.8
,3
UW/CM-2
.2
.9
8.
61 .
,7
,2
0.
5.
.7
.6
UW/CM-2
.0
.7
5.
39,
.5
,4
0
5
.6
.0
UW/CM-2
.4
.1
4.
33
.6
.0
0
4
.6
.8
AM
MED
10.
2.
19.
32.
1 ,
10.
45.
1 ,
9
71 .
1
7
87.
1
7
V/M
.7
,6
V/M
.4
.5
V/M
.2
.2
V/M
.0
.9
V/M
.0
.6
HIGH

4.
31

2
15

1
13

1
1 1

1
11

.4
.5

.2
.9

.8
.8

.5
.6

.5
.0
LOW

12,
89.

3,
21 ,

2
13

0
6

0
4

.8
,8

.0
.3

.0
.9

.9
.2

.6
.2
TV
MED
1 .
21 .
149.
10.
4
33,
20.
2
20
50.
1
9
75.
0
5
HIGH
LOW
TOTAL
MED
HIGH
UW/CM-2
.3
33.
.6 233,
UW/CM
.7
.4
-2
5.
40
.4
.9

.8
.5
22.
160.

7 .
53,
.8
,5

.5
.7
38.
273.

14.
99,
.8
,0

.1
.8
59.1
414.6

19.1
135.6
UW/CM-2
.9
.3
UW/CM
.3
.1
3
23
-2
1
10
.4
.8

.5
.5
5
40

3
25
.6
.4

.4
.2
10
73

6
45
.3
.3

.3
.7
13.9
98.8

8.5
61 .5
UW/CM-2
.8
.9
0
6
.9
.8
2
21
.8
.0
5
37
.2
.7
7.0
50.8

-------
 TABLE 13.
             (CONTINUED)
          GUIDANCE LEVEL
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
PRESENT VALUE
              7.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
PRESENT VALUE
              8.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLCH
PRESENT VALUE
              9.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
PRESENT VALUE
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOM
PRESENT VALUE
FH
LOH

1 .
10.

1 ,
8,

0
6

0
5

0
5

,5
,9

.1
.0

.9
.6

.7
.6

.7
.2
MED HIGH
100.
3.
21 ,
200.
2
15
300.
1
12
400.
1
9
500.
1
8
UW/CM
,0
.7
-2
4.
29.

1
2
LOW

0,
4,

,6
,7
UW/CM- 2
.1
.2
UW/CM
.6
.2
2.
20.
-2
2.
16.
8
3

2
0
0
4

0
4
.6
. 5

.5
.2
UW/CM- 2
.3
.9
UW/CM
.2
.9
1 .
13.
-2
1 .
11 .
7
0

5
6
0
4

0
3
. 5
.2

.5
.7
AM
NED
1 00.
0.
7.
141 .
0.
6.
173.
0.
6.
200.
0.
6.
224.
0.
5.
TV
HIGH
V/M
9
3
V/M
9
8
V/M
8
4
V/M
8
3
V/M
7
3

1 .
10.

1 .
9.

1 .
9.

1 .
8.

0.
7 .

4
5

3
8

2
0

2
9

9
1
LOW

0.
3.

0.
1 .

0.
1 .

0.
1 .

0.
1 .

5
4

2
7

2
3

1
1

1
0
MED HIGH
100.
0.
4,
200.
0,
2.
300.
0
1
400.
0
1
500.
0
1
UW/CM-
,7
,7
UW/CM-
.3
.3
UW/CM'
.2
.7
UW/CM -
.2
.5
UW/CM -
.Z
.4
2
0
5
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
1
2
0
1

.7
.4

.4
.7

.3
.1

.2
.8

.2
.7
LOW

2.
19.

1 .
14.

1 .
12.

1 .
11 .

1 .
9.

6
0

9
2

6
2

4
0

3
9
TOTAL
MED

4.
33.

3.
24.

2.
20.

2.
17 .

2.
1 5.

6
7

3
4

7
3

3
7

0
5
HIGH

6.2
45.1

4.4
32.8

3.6
27.1

3.1
23.7

2.6
20.4

-------
 TABLE 13.
             (CONTINUED)
          GUIDANCE LEVEL
             11 .
AVG ANNUAL CASH Ft OH
PRESENT VALUE

             12.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
PRESENT VALUE
             13.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
PRESENT VALUE
             14.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
PRESENT VALUE

             1 5.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
PRESENT VALUE
FM
LOH

0.6
4.8

0.6
4.4

0.5
4.3

0.5
4.1

0.5
4.0
MED HIGH
too.
1
8
700.
0
7
800.
0
6
900.
0,
6
1000.
0,
6.
UW/CM-2
.1 1
.0 10
UW/CM-2
.9 1
.3 9
UN/CM -2
.9 1
.9 9
UW/CM-2
.9 1
.6 8
UW/CM-2
.8 1
.4 8

.4
.4

.2
.4

.2
.0

.1
.5

.1
.2
LOW

0,
3

0,
3,

0,
3.

0.
3,

0.
3,

,5
.7

.4
.6

.4
.6

.4
,6

,4
,6
AM
MED
245.
0,
5.
265.
0.
5.
282.
0,
5,
300.
0,
5.
316.
0.
5.
V/M
,7
.2
V/M
,6
.2
V/M
,6
.1
V/M
,6
1 1
V/M
6
,1
HIGH

0
7

0
6

0
6

0
6

0.
6

.9
.0

.9
.9

.9
.9

.9
.9

.9
.8
LOW

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

0
0

.1
.8

.1
.8

.1
.8

.1
.8

.1
.8
TV
MED
600.
0
1
700.
0
1
800.
0
1
900.
0
1
1000.
0
1
HIGH
LOH
TOTAL
MED
HIGH
UW/CM-2
.1
.1
0
1
.2
.4
1
9
.2
.3
1
14
.8
.4
2
18
.4
.9
UW/CM-2
.1
.1
0
1
.2
.3
1
8
.1
.9
1
13
.7
.5
2
17
.3
.7
UW/CM-2
.1
.1
UW/CM
.1
.1
UW/CM
.1
.0
0
1
-2
0
1
-2
0
1
.2
.3

.2
.3

.2
.3
1
8

1
8

1
8
.1
.7

.1
.6

.0
.4
1
1 3

1
12

1
12
.7
.2

.6
.8

.6
.5
2
17

2
16

2
16
.2
.2

.1
.7

.1
.3

-------
 TABLE 13.
             (CONTINUED)
          GUIDANCE LEVEL
             16.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOH
PRESENT VALUE
             17.
AW3 ANNUAL CASH FLOM
PRESENT VALUE
             18.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOH
PRESENT VALUE
FM
LOW

0.4
3.4

0.4
S.1

0.4
3.0
MED
2000.
0,
5.
SOOO.
0.
4.
10000.
0,
4
HIGH
LOW
UW/CM-2
.6
,0
0.8
6 .4
0.
3.
.4
.6
UW/CM-2
. 5
.2
UW/CM
.5
.0
0.6
5.3
-2
0.6
5.0
0.
3

0.
3
.4
.2

.4
.2
AM
MED
447.
0,
5,
708.
0.
4
1000.
0,
4
V/M
.6
.1
V/M
.5
.4
V/M
.5
.3
HIGH

0.
6

0.
5

0
5

.8
.7

.7
.6

,6
.4
LOW

0.
0.

0.
0

0
0

.1
.7

.1
.7

.1
.7
TV
MED HIGH
2000.
0
1 ,
5000.
0,
1
10000.
0
1
LOW
TOTAL
MED
HIGH
UW/CM-2
.1
.0
UW/CM-
.1
.0
0
1 ,
2
0
1
.1
.2

. 1
.2
0
7.

0
7
.9
.7

.8
.0
1
11

1
9
.4
.1

.2
. 5
1 .8
14.3

1 .5
12.1
UW/CM'2
.1
.0
0
i
.1
.2
0
6
.8
.9
1
9
.1
.2
1 .4
11 .6

-------
 TABLE  14.   AM ESTIMATE OF  THE  POTENTIAL  COST  TO THE AVERAGE BROADCAST STATION OF  GUIDELINES LIMITING PUBLIC
 EXPOSURE TO RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION FROM AM,  FM,  VHF-TV,  AND  UHF-TV BROADCAST SOURCES IS  GIVEN FOR  3 COST
 LEVELS.   THE AVERAGE  ANNUAL CASH FLOW  (CURRENT YEAR DOLLAR) COST, THE AVERAGE PRESENT  (CONSTANT DOLLAR)  VALUE
 OF  THE  NET  AFTER TAX  COST  AND  THE MAXIMUM AND AVERAGE  PERCENT  REDUCTION  IN NET PROFIT  ARE  SHOWN FOR
 COMPLIANCE  WITH  18  SPECIFIED GUIDANCE  LEVELS.   IT  IS ASSUMED THAT FM STATIONS SELECT ONE OF FIVE COMPLIANCE
 MEASURES  (2 THROUGH 6) AND THAT COMPLIANCE COSTS  (ANNUAL  NET CASH FLOW)  ARE  SPREAD EVENLY  AMONG FIVE ANNUAL
 COHORTS  OF  STATIONS.   NUMBERS  ARE IN THOUSANDS OF  DOLLARS.   MICROWATTS  PER SQ. CM IS ABBREVIATED UW/CM~2;
 VOLTS  PER METER, V/M.
          GUIDANCE LEVEL
              1 .
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP IX}
AVG PROFIT DROP C/.)

              2.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP <•/.}
AVG PROFIT DROP l'/.J
              3.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP C/.}
AVG PROFIT DROP ('/.I
              4.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOH
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MI\X PROFIT DROP C; >
AVG PROFIT DROP { *)

LOU

3.8
16.2
7.0
4.0

1 .9
8.1
5.8
2.0

1 .9
8.0
3.8
2.0

1 .8
7.7
3.6
1 .9
FM
MED
1 .
6.
28.
11 .
7.
10.
4.
17.
7 .
4.
20.
4.
17.
7 .
4.
50.
J.
16.
7 .
4.
AM
HIGH
LOU
UW/CM-2
7
2
7
0
9.
40.
16.
10.
7
6
4
.1
0.
4.
2.
1 .
.9
.0
.7
.2
UW/CM-2
2
7
7
4
6
25
10
6
.0
.1
.7
.2
0
2
1
0
.5
.0
.7
.6
UH/CM'2
1
3
6
3
S
24
10
6
.7
.3
.5
.0
0
1
1
0
.4
.8
.6
.5
UW/CM-2
9
5
3
1
5
22
10
5
.4
.9
.0
.7
0
1
1
0
.3
.5
.5
.4
MED
10.
1 .
5.
3.
1 ,
32.
0.
2
2
0
45.
0
2
Z
0
71 .
0
2
2
0
V/M
4
.9
9
.8
V/M
.7
.9
.4
.9
V/M
.6
.5
.2
.7
V/M
.5
.1
.0
.6
HIGH

1 .8
7.9
5.1
2.4

0.9
3.9
3.1
1 .1

0.7
3.3
2.9
1 .0

0.6
2.8
2.6
0.8
LON

26.
109.
3.
2.

20.
84.
2
1

17
72
2
1

12
54
1
1

0
4
2
0

,1
. 5
.5
.5

.3
.6
.2
.3

.9
.5
.6
.0
TV
MED
1 .
43
182
5
3
10.
31
132
3
2
20.
Z5
106
3
1
50.
19
80
2
1
HIGH
UW/CM-2
.4
.4
.4
.3
67.8
285.3
8.4
5.2
UW/CM-2
.5
.7
.9
.4
38.2
160.8
4.8
2.9
UW/CM-2
.3
.5
.2
.9
29.5
124.4
3.7
2.3
UW/CM-2
.0
.1
.4
.5
21 .8
91 .8
2.8
1 .7

-------
 TABLE 14.   (CONTINUED)
          GUIDANCE LEVEL
              5.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP (X)
AVG PROFIT DROP ( X)
              6.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP ('/. >
AVG PROFIT DROP (.'/.}

              7.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP ('/.)
AVG PROFIT DROP ('/.)
              8.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP C/.1
AVG PROFIT DROP (X)
FM
LOW

1 .8
7.6
3.6
1 .9

* .8
7.5
3.6
1 .8

1 .7
7.4
3.5
1 .8

1 .7
7 .2
3.5
1 .8
MED
75.
3,
16,
7.
4,
100.
3
16.
7,
4.
ZOO.
3
15
7
3
300.
3
15
7
3
HIGH
LOU
UN/CM -2
.9
,5
,3
.1
5
22
9
5
.4
.8
.9
.6
0,
1 .
1 .
0.
,3
4
4
,4
UN/CM" 2
8
.1
.2
.0
5
22
9
5
.2
.0
.7
.4
0.
1 .
1 ,
0,
3
.4
p 4
,4
UW/CM-2
.7
.8
. 1
.9
5
21
9
5
.0
.4
.5
.3
0,
1
1
0,
.3
.4
,4
.4
UW/CM-2
.7
.5
.0
.8
4
20
9
5
.9
.9
.3
.2
0,
1
1
0,
.3
.3
.4
,4
AM
MED
87.
0
2
2
0
100.
0
2
2
0
141 .
0
2
2
0
173.
0
1
1
0
V/M
.5
.0
.0
.6
V/M
.4
.0
.0
.6
V/M
.4
.0
.0
.6
V/M
.4
.9
.9
.5
HIGH

0.
2.
2.
0.

0.
2.
2.
0.

0.
2,
2.
0.

0.
2
2
0

6
6
5
.8

6
.6
.5
8

,6
.6
.5
.7

.5
.4
.4
.7
LOW

11 .
48.
1 .
0.

10.
45.
1 .
0.

8.
33.
1 .
0

7.
30
0
0.

p 4
,1
4
,9

.8
,6
.4
.8

.0
.8
.0
.6

.3
.9
.9
.6
TV
MED
75.
16
68
2
1
100.
15
63
1
1
200.
10
45
1
0
300.
9
41
1
0
HIGH
UW/CM-2
.3
.8
.1
.3
18.3
77.1
2.3
1 .4
UW/CM~2
.1
.7
.9
.2
16.7
70.3
2.1
1 .3
UW/CM-2
.9
.9
.4
.8
12.0
50.6
1 . 5
0.9
UW/CM-2
.8
.2
.3
.7
10.8
45.5
1 .4
0.8

-------
 TABLE 14.    (CONTINUED)
          GUIDANCE  LEVEL

               9.
AVG ANNUAL CASH  FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT  VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP  ( '/.)
AVG PROFIT DROP  ( '/, 1

              1 0.
AVG ANNUAL CASH  FLOI'J
AVERAGE PRESENT  VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP  C/.1
AVG PROFIT DROP  (.V.1

              11 .
AVG ANNUAL CASH  FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT  VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP  (X)
AVG PROFIT DROP  C/.1

              12.
AVG ANNUAL CASH  FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT  VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP  < :.'>
AVG PROriT DROP  <.•/.•>
                             LOW
                                      FM
                                     MED
                                             HIGH
                                                    LOW
                                AM
                               MED
                                                                     HIGH
                                                                            LOI-I
                                TV
                               MED
                                                                                             HIGH
     400. UW/CM-2
1.7     3.6     4.8
7.1    15.2    20. 5
3.4     6.8     9.1
1.7     3.8     5.1

     500. UM/CM-2
1.7     3.6     4.8
7.1    15.2    20.4
3.4     6.8     9.1
1.7     3.7     5.0
     600. UU/CM-2
1.6     3.5     4.7
6.9    14.9    20,0
3.3     6.7     8.9
1.7     3.7     4.9
     700. UW/CM-2
1.6     3.4     4.5
6.7    14.3    19.3
3.3     6.5     8.7
1.6     3.5     4.8
     200. V/M
0.3     0.4     0.5
1.3     1.9     2.4
1.4     1.9     2.4
0.4     0.5     0.7
     224. V/M
0.3     0.4     0.5
1.3     1.9     2.4
1.4     1.9     2.4
0.4     0.5     0.7
     245. V/M
0.3     0.4     0.5
1.3     1.9     2.4
1.4     1.9     2.4
0.4     0.5     0.7
     265. V/M
0.3     0.4     0.5
1.3     1.9     2.4
1.4     1.9     2.4
0.4     0.5     0.7
      400. UW/CM-2
 7.3     9.7    10.7
30.7    41.0    45.2
 0.9     1.3      1.4
 0.6     0.7      0.8

      500. UW/CM-2
 7.2     9.7    10.6
30.5    40.7    44.9
 0.9     1.2      1.4
 0.6     0.7      0.8

      600. UW/CM-2
 5.5     7.3      8.0
23.1    30.8    34.0
 0.7     1.0      1.1
 0.4     0.6      0.6

      700. UW/CM-2
 5.5     7.3      8.0
23.1    30.8    34.0
 07     1.0      1.1
 0.4     0.6      0.6

-------
       TABLE 14.   (CONTINUED)
oo
          GUIDANCE LEVEL
             1 3.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOH
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP (X)
AVG PROFIT DROP (X)

             14.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOH
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP (X)
AVG PROFIT DROP (X)

             1 5.
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP 
AVG PROFIT DROP (X)

             16 .
AVG ANNUAL CASH FLOH
AVERAGE PRESENT VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP (X)
AVG PROFIT DROP < X >
FM
ION

1 .
6 .
3.
1 .

1 .
6 .
3.
1 .

1 .
6.
3.
1 .

1 .
5.
2,
1 .

5
6
,2
6

5
5
2
6

5
.4
,1
.6

q
.8
.9
.4
MED
800 .
3.
14.
6 .
3.
900.
3.
1 4.
6.
3.
1000.
3.
13.
6 .
3,
2000.
2.
12,
5
3.
UH/CM
.3
.1
,4
.5
UH/CM
,3
0
.3
.4
HIGH
-2
4
18
8
4
-2
4
18
8
4

.5
.9
.5
.7

.4
.8
. 5
.6
LOW

0
1
1
0

0
1 ,
1
0

.3
.3
.4
.4

.3
,3
.4
.4
UH/CM- 2
.2
.6
.2
,4
4
18
8
4
.3
.3
.3
.5
0
1
1
0
.3
.3
.4
.4
UH/CM- 2
p 9
.3
.7
.0
3
16
7
4
.9
.5
.6
.1
0.
1
1
0
.3
.3
.4
.4
AM
MED
282.
0
1
1
0
300.
0
1
1
0
316.
0
1
1
0
447.
0
1
1
0
V/M
.4
.9
.9
.5
V/M
.4
.9
.9
.5
V/M
.4
.9
.9
. 5
V/M
.4
.8
.9
.5
HIGH

0
2
2
0

0
2
2
0

0
2
2
0

0
2
2
0

.5
.4
.4
.7

.5
. 4
.4
.7

.5
.4
.4
.7

.5
.4
.4
.7
LOW

5
23
0
0

5
23
0
0

5
23
0
0

0
0
0
0

.5
.1
.7
.4

.5
. 1
.7
.4

.5
. 1
.7
.4

.1
.7
.1
. 0
TV
MED
800.
7
30
1
0
900.
7
30
1
0
1000.
7
30
1
0
2000.
0
0
0
0
UW/CM
.3
.8
.0
.6
UH/CM
.3
.8
.0
.6
UW/CM
.3
.8
.0
.6
UH/CM
.2
.9
.1
.0
HIGH
"2
8.0
34.0
1 .1
0.6
-2
8.0
34.0
1 .1
0.6
-2
8.0
34.0
1 .1
0.6
-2
0.2
1 .1
0.1
0.0

-------
 TABLE 14.
             (CONTINUED)
          GUIDANCE  LEVEL

             17.
AVG ANNUAL CASH  FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT  VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP  C/.1
AVG PROFIT DROP  (X)

             18.
AVG ANNUAL CASH  FLOW
AVERAGE PRESENT  VALUE
MAX PROFIT DROP  (.'/.I
AVG PROFIT DROP  C/.1

LOU
FM
MED

HIGH
5000. UH/CM-2
1 .2
5.0
2.6
1 .2
2.4
10.4
4.9
2.6
3.3
14.0
6 .6
3.4

LOU
AM
MED

HIGH
708. V/M
0.3
1 .3
1 .4
0.4
0.4
1 .8
1 .9
0.5
0.5
2.3
2.4
0.7

LOW
TV
MED

HIGH
5000. UN/CM-2
0.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.2
1 .1
0.1
0.0
   10000. UW/CM'2
1.1      2.3     3.2
4.8    10.0    13.5
2.5     4.8     6.3
1.2     2.4     3.3
    1000. V/M
0.3     0.4     0.5
1.3     1.8     2.3
1.4     1.9     2.4
0.4     0.5     0.7
   10000. UW/CH-2
0.1      0.2     0.2
0.7      0.9     1.1
0.1      0.1     0.1
0.0      0.0     0.0

-------
                          TABLE   15 .   THE NUMBER OF FM STATIONS REQUIRING  MEASURES TO COMPLY WITH  GUIDELINES LIMITING PUBLIC
                          EXPOSURE  TO RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION IS GIVEN  FOR 18 SPECIFIED GUIDANCE  LEVELS.   IT IS ASSUMED
                          THAT STATIONS SELECT ONE OF FIVE COMPLIANCE  MEASURES (2 THROUGH 6).
                          GUIDANCE  LEVEL
                                                      FIX1
                                                                    FIX2
                                                                                 FIX3
                                                                                              FIX4
                                                                                                            FIXB
                                                                                                                         FIX6
                                                                                                                                 SUB-TOTAL*
                                                                                                                                                  TOTAL**
                           1 .
                                    1  MICROWATT PER SQ. CM
N>
O
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
2. 10
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
3. 20
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
HFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ.
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ.
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM***
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                                                    637
                                                                     1 4
                                                                   637
                                                                     14
                                                                    637
                                                                     14
                                                                   1052
                                                                     59
                                                                   1052
                                                                     59
                                                                   1052
                                                                     59
1021
  65
                                                                   1 021
                                                                     65
                                                                   1 021
                                                                     65
             1592
               120
             1 592
               120
             1592
               120
             1519
               140
              1 519
               140
             1 519
               1 40
1028
 1 15
              1028
               1 1 5
             1 028
               1 1 5
              129
               32
              258
               64
              388
               96
               25
               1 5
                51
                30
               76
               45
12
12
               25
               25
                38
                37
            776
            192
            517
            128
            258
             64
            1 53
             91
            102
             61
             51
             30
76
75
             51
             50
             25
             25
             129
              32
            258
             64
            388
              96
              25
              1 5
              51
              30
             76
             45
12
12
              25
              25
              38
              37
           3263
            390
           3262
            390
           3263
            390
           2774
            320
           2775
            320
           2774
            319
2149
 279
           21 50
            280
           21 50
            279
3653


3652


3653





3094


3095


3093





2428


2430


2429
                             *TOTAL NUMBER OF STATIONS REQUIRING  A  FIX AT THE SPECIFIED GUIDANCE  LEVEL
                              SFMT=SINGLE FM TOMER, MFMT=MULTIPLE FM  TOWER
                            **FACTORS ASSIGNING STATIONS AMONG  FIXES  4,5 AND 6 CREATE ROUNDING  ERRORS.
                           ***THE IIUMBEK OF STATIONS REQUIRING  FIX  2  INCREASES AT GUIDANCE LEVEL  2
                              BECAUSE GUIDANCE LEVEL 1 REQUIRES MORE  STATIONS TO ADOPT MORE COMPLEX
                              MITIGATION MEASURES.

-------
TABLE  15  .  (CONTINUED)
GUIDANCE LEVEL
                            FIX1
                                         FIXZ
                                                      FIX3
                                                                    FIX4
                                                                                 FIXS
                                                                                              FIX6
                                                                                                      SUB-TOTAL*
                                                                                                                       TOTAL**
 4.
        50 MICROWATT PER SQ. CM
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
5. 75
LON COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
6 . 100
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ.
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ.
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
818
83
818
83
818
83

733
62
733
62
733
62

686
55
686
55
686
55
500
86
500
86
500
86

345
86
345
86
345
86

286
1 04
286
1 04
286
1 04
4
7
8
14
13
21

3
6
10
9
16

1
2
4
6
26
42
17
28
8
14

18
32
12
2)
6
1 0

10
13
6
8
3
4
4
7
8
14
1 3
21

3
5
10
9
16

1
2
3
4
5
6
1352
225
1351
225
1352
225

1102
190
11 02
189
1102
190

984
1 76
984
175
985
175
1 577
1576
1 577

1292
1291
1292

1 160
1 1 59
1 160
  *TOTAL NUMBER  OF  STATIONS REQUIRING A FIX AT THE SPECIFIED GUIDANCE LEVEL
   SFMT = SINGLE  FM TOIIER,  MFMT = MULT IPL E FM TOHER
 **FACTORS ASSIGNING  STATIONS AMONG FIXES 4,5 AND 6  CREATE  ROUNDING ERRORS.

-------
                       TABLE  15  .   (CONTINUED)
                       GUIDANCE  LEVEL
                                                   FIX1
                                                                FIX2
                                                                              FIX3
                                                                                           FIX4
                                                                                                        FIX5
                                                                                                                      FIX«
                                                                                                                             SUB-TOTAL*
IS)
                        7.
                               200  MICROWATT PER SO.  CM
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
8. 300
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
9. 400
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
SFMT
MFHT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
0
0
0
0
0
0
PER SQ. CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
PER SQ. CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
460
43
460
43
460
43

340
43
340
43
340
43

233
42
233
42
233
42
If, 6
77
166
77
166
77

108
69
108
69
108
69

80
58
80
58
80
s;i
0
0
0
1
0
2

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1
0
1

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
627
125
627
125
626
125

448
1 12
448
1 12
448
112

313
1 00
313
1 00
313
100
TOTAL«»





  752


  752


  751





  560


  560


  560





  413


  413


  413
                          »TOTAL  NUMBER OF STATIONS REQUIRING A FIX AT THE  SPECIFIED GUIDANCE LEVEL
                           SFMT=SIMGLE FM TOUER, MFMT=MULTIPLE FM TOMER
                        »«FACTORS ASSIGNING STATIONS AMONG FIXES 4,5 AND 6  CREATE ROUNDING ERRORS.

-------
                         TABLE  15 .   (CONTINUED)
                         GUIDANCE LEVEL
                                                    FIX!
                                                                  FIX2
                                                                               FIXS
                                                                                            FIX4
                                                                                                          FIXS
                                                                                                                       FIX6   SUB-TOTAL*
                                                                                                                                                TOTAL**
                         1 0 .
                                500 MICROWATT PER SO. CM
IS)
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
1 1 . 600
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
12. 700
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ.
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ .
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
18R
43
188
43
188
43

162
39
162
39
162
39

134
38
134
38
134
38
64
50
64
50
64
SO

48
42
48
42
48
42

42
31
42
31
42
31
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
252
93
252
93
252
93

210
81
21 0
81
210
81

176
69
176
69
176
69
                                                                                                                                                  345
                                                                                                                                                  345
                                                                                                                                                  345
                                                                                                                                                  291
                                                                                                                                                  291
                                                                                                                                                  291
                                                                                                                                                  245
                                                                                                                                                  245
                                                                                                                                                  245
                           *TOTAL NUMDER OF STATIONS  REQUIRING A FIX AT THE SPECIFIED GUIDANCE LEVEL
                            SFMT=SINGLE FM TOWER, MFMT=MULTIPLE FM TOWER
                          **FACTORS ASSIGNING  STATIONS  AMONG FIXES 4,5 AND 6 CREATE ROUNDING ERRORS.

-------
                          TABLE  15  .   (CONTINUED)
                          GUIDANCE  LEVEL
                                                      FIX1
                                                                    FIX2
                                                                                 FIX3
                                                                                               FIX4
                                                                                                             FIX5
                                                                                                                          FIX*
                                                                                                                                  SUB-TOTAL*
                                                                                                                                                   TOTAL«*
                          13.
                                 800  MICRONATT PER SO. CM
IS)
-c-
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
11. 900
LC1N COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
15. 1 000
im-i COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MPMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROHATT PER SO.
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ .
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
0
D
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
123
39
123
39
123
39

107
38
107
38
107
38

105
39
105
39
105
39
35
29
35
29
35
29

31
25
31
25
31
25

24
20
24
20
24
20
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
1 58
68
1 58
68
1 58
6«

1 3R
63
138
63
1 38
63

129
59
129
59
129
59

226

226

Z26


201

201

201


188

18R

188
                            «TOTAL  NUMBER OF STATIONS  REQUIRING  A FIX AT THE SPECIFIED GUIDANCE LEVEL
                             SFMT=SINGLE Ft) TOl-ltR, MFMT =MULTIPL E FM TOVIHR
                           **FACTORS  ASSIGNING STATIONS  AMONG FIXES 4,5 AND 6 CREATE  ROUNDING ERRORS.

-------
                         TABLE  15 .   (CONTINUED)
                         GUIDANCE LEVEL
                                                    FIX1
                                                                               FIX3
                                                                                            FIX4
                                                                                                          FIX5
                                                                                                                       FIX6
                                                                                                                              SUB-TOTAL*
                                                                                                                                               TOTAL**
                         U.
                               2000 MICROWATT PER SO. CM
K)
In
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
17. 5000
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
18. 10000
LOW COST
ANALYSIS
MEDIUM COST
ANALYSIS
HIGH COST
ANALYSIS
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ.
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
MICROWATT PER SQ.
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
SFMT
MFMT
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
CM
0
0
0
0
0
0
56
22
56
22
56
22

16
8
16
8
16
8

3
0
3
0
3
0
1 0
6
1 0
6
1 0
6

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
o
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
66
28
66
28
66
28

16
8
1 6
8
16
8

J
0
3
0
3
0

94

94

94


24

24

24


3

3

3
                           *TOTAL NUMBER OF STATIONS REQUIRING  A  FIX AT THE SPECIFIED GUIDANCE  LEVEL
                            SFMT=SINGLE FM TOMER, MFMT=MULTIPLE FM TOWER
                          **FACTORS ASSIGNING STATIONS AMONG  FIXES 4.5 AND 6 CREATE ROUNDING  ERRORS.

-------
 TABLE 16.  THE NUMBER OF AM BROADCAST STATIONS REQUIRING MEASURES TO
 COMPLY WITH GUIDELINES LIMITING PUBLIC EXPOSURE TO RADIOFREQUENCY
 RADIATION IS GIVEN FOR 18 SPECIFIED GUIDANCE LEVELS AT  THREE COST LEVELS.
 ACTUAL NUMBER OF STATIONS ESTIMATED TO REQUIRE MITIGATION MEASURE ADJUSTED
 BY FACTORS GIVEN IN TABLE 5.


 GUIDANCE  LEVEL              LOW COST    MEDIUM  COST       HIGH  COST
 1        10.00 V/M              2311          3081             3928
 2       31.62 V/M              2311          3081             3923
 3       44.67 V/M              2310         3080             3927
 4       70.79 V/M              2273         3030             3864
 5       86.60 V/M              2246         2995             3819
 6     100.00 V/M              2095         2793             3562
 7     141.25 V/M              1856         2475             3156
 8     173.18 V/M              1700         2266             2890
 9     200.00 V/M              1690         2253             2873
10     223.87 V/M               844         1125             1435
11      244.91  V/M               831          1107             1412
12     264.55 V/M               776         1034             1319
13     281.84 V/M               773         1031             1314
14     300.00 V/M               773         1030             1314
15     316.23 V/M               762         1015             1295
16     446.68 V/M               710           946             1207
17     707.95 V/M               185           247               315
18    1000.00 V/M                87           116               148
                            126

-------
TABLE 17.  THE NUMBER OF TV  BROADCAST STATIONS
AFFECTED BY GUIDELINES  LIMITING PUBLIC EXPOSURE
TO RADIOFREQUENCY RADIATION  IS  GIVEN FOR 18
SPECIFIED GUIDANCE LEVELS.
                  GUIDANCE  LEVEL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
1 5
16
17
18
1
10
20
50
75
1 00
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2000
5000
10000
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
MICROWATTS
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
PER
SQ.
SO.
SQ.
SQ.
SQ.
SQ.
SQ.
SQ.
SQ.
SQ.
SQ.
SQ.
SO.
SQ.
SQ.
SO.
SQ.
SQ.
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
CM
                                             819
                                             246
                                             183
                                             102
                                              73
                                              60
                                              30
                                              19
                                              13
                                              1 0
                                               5
                                               4
                                               3
                                               3
                                               2
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                        127

-------
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-------
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