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                                        454/R-93-031
 National Air Quality and
Emissions Trends Report,
               1992

       Technical Support Division
 U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
           Office of Air and Radiation
      Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
     Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
              October 1993
               .  Env/ronr-r- • -.  .  ,.
                  5,Lib'v,.  ', .,;:ci;0n Agency
                                                   Printed on Recycled Papei

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                               DISCLAIMER
   This report has been reviewed by the Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, and has been approved for publication. Mention
of trade names or commercial products is not intended to constitute endorsement or
recommendation for use.

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                                   PREFACE
   This is the twentieth annual report of air pollution trends issued  by the U. S.
Environmental Protection Agency.  The report is prepared by the Technical Support
Division  and  is directed toward both  the technical air pollution audience and  the
interested general public. The Division solicits comments on this report and welcomes
suggestions on our trend techniques,  interpretations, conclusions, and methods of
presentation.  Please forward any response to Dr. Thomas C. Curran, (MD-14) U. S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Technical Support Division, Research Triangle Park,
North Carolina 27711.
                                      in

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Contents
11    Executive Summary
     1.1  Introduction	   1-1
     1.2  Major Findings  	   1-2
           Carbon Monoxide  	   1-2
           Lead 	   1-4
           Nitrogen Dioxide	   1-6
           Ozone 	   1-8
           Particulate Matter  	  1-10
           Sulfur Dioxide	  1-12
     1.3  Some Perspective	  1-14
     1.4  References	  1-16

2:    Background
     2.1  Air Quality Data Base  	   2-2
     2.2  Trend Statistics  	   2-3
     2.3  References  	   2-5

3:    National and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants
     3.1  Trends in Carbon Monoxide   	   3-3
           3.1.1  Long-term CO Trends: 1983-92	   3-3
           3.1.2  Recent CO Trends: 1990 - 1992	   3-7
     3.2  Trends in Lead  	   3-9
           3.2.1  Long-term Pb Trends:  1983-92  	   3-9
           3.2.2  Recent Pb Trends: 1990-92 	  3-14
     3.3  Trends in Nitrogen Dioxide	  3-17
           3.3.1  Long-term NO2 Trends: 1983-92	  3-17
           3.3.2  Recent NO2 Trends: 1990-1992	  3-20
     3.4  Trends in Ozone 	  3-21
           3.4.1  Long-term O3 Trends:  1983-92  	  3-21
           3.4.2  Recent O3 Trends:  1990-1992	  3-27
     3.5  Trends in Particulate Matter 	  3-30
           3.5.1  PM-10 Air Quality Trends 	  3-30
           3.5.2  PM-10 Emission Trends  	  3-32
     3.6  Trends in Sulfur Dioxide	  3-35
           3.6.1  Long-term SO2 Trends: 1983-92  	  3-35
           3.6.2  Recent SO2 Trends: 1990-92  	  3-40
     3.7  Visibility 	  3-41
     3.8  References 	  3-47

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4:   Air Toxics
     4.1  Air Toxics Provisions in the CAAA	   4-2
     4.2  Status Report on Required Air Toxics Regulations   	   4-2
     4.3  Other Air Toxics Activities Resulting in Emission Reductions	   4-4
     4.4. Available Data Sources for Air Toxic Emissions and Concentrations	   4-4
     4.5  Summary of Emissions 	   4-5
     4.6  Source Category Profiles  	  4-10
     4.7  References	  4-13

5:   Air Quality Status of Metropolitan Areas, 1992
     5.1  Nonattainment Areas	   5-1
     5.2  Population Estimates for Counties not Meeting NAAQS, 1992	   5-7
     5.3  Maps of Peak Air Quality Levels by County, 1992	  5-11
     5.4  Environmental Justice Considerations  	  5-18
     5.5  Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) Air Quality Summary, 1992	  5-21
     5.6  References	  5-22

6:   Selected Metropolitan Area Trends
     6.1  The Pollutant Standards Index	   6-1
     6.2  Summary of PSI Analyses	   6-2
     6.3  Description of Graphics	   6-6
            Atlanta, GA	   6-7
            Baltimore, MD	   6-8
            Boston, MA	   6-9
            Chicago, IL 	  6-10
            Cleveland, OH	  6-11
            Dallas, TX 	  6-12
            Denver, CO	  6-13
            Detroit, MI	  6-14
            El Paso, TX 	  6-15
            Houston, TX  	  6-16
            Kansas City, MO	  6-17
            Los Angeles, CA	  6-18
            Miami, FL	  6-19
            Minneapolis-St.Paul, MN	  6-20
            New York, NY	  6-21
            Philadelphia, PA	  6-22
            Phoenix, AZ   	  6-23
            Pittsburgh, PA	  6-24
            San Diego, CA	  6-25
            San Francisco, CA	  6-26
            Seattle,  WA	  6-27
            St. Louis, MO 	  6-28
            Washington, DC 	  6-29
                                           vi

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7:   International Air Pollution Perspective
     7.1 Emissions	   7-1
     7.2 Ambient Concentrations	   7-3
     7.3 References  	   7-8
                                            VII

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List   of   Figures
Figure 2-1.    Illustration of plotting convention of boxplots	   2-4
Figure 2-2.    Ten regions of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency	   2-4
Figure 3-1.    Comparison of 1983 and 1992 national total emissions	   3-2
Figure 3-2.    National trend in the composite average of the second highest
              non-overlapping 8-hour average carbon monoxide
              concentration at both NAMS and all sites with 95 percent
              confidence intervals, 1983-1992  	   3-3
Figure 3-3.    Boxplot comparisons of trends in second highest non-
              overlapping 8-hour average carbon monoxide concentrations at
              308 sites, 1983-1992	   3-4
Figure 3-4.    National trend in the composite average of the estimated
              number of exceedances of the 8-hour carbon monoxide
              NAAQS at both NAMS and all sites with 95 percent confidence intervals,
              1983-1992	   3-4
Figure 3-5.    Comparison of trends in total national vehicle miles traveled
              and national highway vehicle carbon monoxide emissions,
              1983-92	   3-5
Figure 3-6.    Regional comparisons of 1990, 1991, 1992 composite averages
              of the second highest non-overlapping 8-hour average carbon
              monoxide concentrations	   3-7
Figure 3-7.    Boxplot comparison of differences between 4th quarter second
              highest 8-hour concentration, 1991-1992	   3-8
Figure 3-8.    National trend in the composite average of the maximum
              quarterly average lead concentration at both NAMS and all
              sites with  95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992	  3-10
Figure 3-9.    Boxplot comparisons of trends in maximum quarterly average
              lead concentrations at 203 sites, 1983-1992	  3-11
Figure 3-10.   Comparison of national trend in the composite average  of the
              maximum quarterly average lead concentrations at urban and
              point-source oriented sites, 1983-1992	  3-11
Figure 3-11.   Map depicting maximum quarterly  mean lead concentrations
              in the vicinity of lead point sources, 1992	  3-12
Figure 3-12.   Regional comparisons of the 1990, 1991, 1992 composite
              average of the maximum quarterly average lead
              concentrations	  3-15
Figure 3-13.   National trend in the composite annual average nitrogen
              dioxide concentration at both NAMS and all sites with 95
              percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992	  3-17
Figure 3-14.   Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual mean nitrogen
              dioxide concentrations at 183 sites, 1983-1992	  3-18
Figure 3-15.   Regional comparisons of 1990, 1991, 1992 composite averages
              of the annual mean nitrogen dioxide concentrations	  3-20
                                          VIII

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Figure 3-16.   National trend in the composite average of the second
              highest maximum 1-hour ozone concentration at both
              NAMS and all sites with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992 ....  3-22
Figure 3-17.   Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual second highest daily
              maximum 1-hour ozone concentration at 509 sites, 1983-1992	  3-23
Figure 3-18.   National trend in the estimated number of daily exceedances
              of the ozone NAAQS in the ozone season at both NAMS and
              all sites with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992	  3-23
Figure 3-19.   Comparison of meteorologically adjusted, and unadjusted,
              trends in the composite average of the second highest
              maximum 1-hour concentration for 43 MSAs, 1983-1992	  3-25
Figure 3-20.   Regional comparisons of the 1990, 1991, 1992 composite
              averages of the second-highest daily 1-hour ozone
              concentrations.	  3-27
Figure 3-21.   Ozone nonattainment areas classified as extreme, severe and
              serious	  3-29
Figure 3-22.   Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual mean PM-10
              concentrations at 652 sites, 1988-1992	  3-31
Figure 3-23.   Boxplot comparisons of trends in the 90th percentile of 24-
              hour PM-10 concentrations at 652 sites, 1988-1992	  3-31
Figure 3-24.   Regional comparisons of the 1990,1991, 1992 composite
              averages of the annual average PM-10 concentrations	  3-32
Figure 3-25.   National trend in annual average sulfur dioxide concentration
              at both NAMS and  all sites with 95  percent confidence
              intervals, 1983-1992	  3-36
Figure 3-26.   National trend in the second highest 24-hour sulfur dioxide
              concentration  at both NAMS and all sites with 95 percent
              confidence intervals, 1983-1992	  3-36
Figure 3-27.   Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual mean sulfur dioxide
              concentrations at 476 sites, 1983-1992	  3-37
Figure 3-28.   Boxplot comparisons of trends in second highest 24-hour
              average sulfur dioxide concentrations at 476 sites, 1983-1992	  3-38
Figure 3-29.   Regional comparisons of the 1990, 1991, 1992 composite
              averages of the annual average sulfur dioxide concentrations	  3-40
Figure 3-30.   Current IMPROVE monitoring sites	  3-42
Figure 3-31.   Average summer visibility in miles	  3-43
Figure 3-32.   Average summer visibility in deciviews March 1988 to
              February 1991	  3-44
Figure 3-33.   Aerosol size distribution	  3-45
Figure 3-34.   Annual average  extinction	  3-46
Figure 4-1.    1990 total air releases, all species by state, from Toxic Release
              Inventory	   4-6
                                           IX

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Figure 4-2.     1991 total air releases, all species, by state, from Toxic Release
               Inventory	   4-7
Figure 4-3.     Gridded map of TRI total air releases from Clean Air Act toxic
               species, 1990	   4-8
Figure 4-4.     Top 10 hazardous air pollutants - 1987 BASIS	   4-9
Figure 5-1.     Example of multiple nonattainment (NA) areas within a
               larger NA  area (two SO2 NA areas inside the
               Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley ozone NA area, counted as one area)	   5-6
Figure 5-2.     Example of overlapping NA areas (Searles Valley PM-10 NA
               area partially overlaps the San Joaquin Valley ozone NA area,
               counted as 2 areas)	   5-6
Figure 5-3.     Number of persons living in counties with air quality levels
               not meeting the primary NAAQS in 1992	   5-7
Figure 5-4.     Carbon monoxide air quality concentrations, 1992	  5-12
Figure 5-5.     Lead air quality concentrations, 1992	  5-13
Figure 5-6.     Nitrogen dioxide air quality concentrations,  1992	  5-14
Figure 5-7.     Ozone air quality concentrations, 1992	  5-15
Figure 5-8.     PM-10 air quality concentrations, 1992	  5-16
Figure 5-9.     Sulfur dioxide air quality concentrations, 1992	  5-17
Figure 5-10.    Ozone and carbon monoxide nonattainment areas within the
               Baltimore metropolitan area	  5-19
Figure 5-11.    Ozone and PM-10 nonattainment areas within the Chicago
               metropolitan area	  5-20
Figure 7-1.     Cities  selected for discussion in Chapter 7	   7-1
Figure 7-2.     SOX  emissions in 1,000 metric tons/year for selected countries	   7-2
Figure 7-3.     Trend in annual average sulfur dioxide concentrations in
               selected cities in the world	   7-4
Figure 7-4.     Trend in annual second highest 24-hour sulfur dioxide
               concentrations in selected U.S.  and Canadian cities, 1983-1991	   7-4
Figure 7-5.     Trend in annual average total suspended particulate
               concentrations in selected cities in the world	   7-5
Figure 7-6.     Trend in annual geometric mean total suspended particulate
               concentrations in selected U.S.  and Canadian cities, 1985-1991	   7-5
Figure 7-7.     Trend in annual second highest daily maximum 1-hour ozone
               concentrations in selected U.S.  and Canadian cities, 1985-1991	   7-6
Figure 7-8.     Comparison of ambient levels of annual second daily maximum
               1-hour ozone, annual average total suspended particulate matter,
               and  sulfur dioxide among selected cities	   7-7

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 List  of  Tables
Table 2-1.     National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) in Effect in
              1993	   2-1
Table 2-2.     Number of Monitoring Sites	   2-2
Table 3-1.     National Carbon Monoxide Emission Estimates, 1983-1992	   3-6
Table 3-2.     National Lead Emission Estimates, 1983-1992  	  3-13
Table 3-3.     National Nitrogen Oxides Emission Estimates, 1983-1992  	  3-19
Table 3-4.     National Volatile  Organic Compound Emission Estimates, 1983-1992 . . .  3-26
Table 3-5.     National PM-10 Emission Estimates, 1983-1992, No Fugitive
              Dust Emissions	  3-33
Table 3-6.     National PM-10 Fugitive Dust Emission Estimates, 1985-1992	  3-34
Table 3-7.     National Sulfur Oxides Emission Estimates, 1983-1992  	  3-39
Table 5-1.     Nonattainment Areas for NAAQS Pollutants as of August 1993	   5-1
Table 5-2.     Simplified Nonattainment Areas List	   5-2
Table 5-3.     Single Year Snapshot for 1992 of Number of People Living in Counties
              With Air Quality  Levels Not  Meeting at Least One of the National
              Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) - Population Totals by State . .   5-9
Table 5-4.     Comparison of Pollutant Standard Index (PSI) Values
              with Pollutant Concentrations, Health Descriptions, and
              PSI Colors	  5-11
Table 5-5.     Plotting Points for Pb and NO2	  5-11
Table 5-6.     1992 Metropolitan Statistical Area Air Quality Factbook Peak
              Statistics for Selected Pollutants by MSA	  5-24
Table 6-1.     PSI Categories and Health Effect Descriptor Words  	   6-2
Table 6-2.     Number of PSI Days Greater  than 100 at Trend Sites,
              1983-92, and All Sites in 1992  	   6-4
Table 6-3.     (Ozone Only) Number of PSI Days Greater than 100 at
              Trend Sites, 1983-92, and All  Sites in 1992	   6-5
Table 7-1.     Human-induced Emissions of Sulfur Oxides and Particulates	   7-3
Table 7-2.     Urban Trends in Annual Average Sulfur Dioxide
              Concentrations (ug/m3)	   7-3
                                         XI

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Chapter  1:    Executive  Summary
1.1  Introduction

This  is   the  twentieth   annual  report1"19
documenting air pollution trends in the United
States.  As  in previous years, the primary
emphasis is on those pollutants for which the
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
has established National Ambient Air Quality
Standards (NAAQS). EPA set these standards
to protect public health and welfare.  Primary
standards  are designed  to  protect public
health, while  secondary  standards  protect
public welfare, such as effects of air pollution
on vegetation, materials and visibility. For the
first time, this report  discusses  air toxics,
another set of pollutants regulated under the
Clean Air Act.  Air toxics are those pollutants
known to  or suspected  of causing cancer or
other  serious   health  effects,   such   as
reproductive effects or birth defects.  Because
ambient data on air toxics is limited, this
report simply provides an introduction to the
subject and an overview of the types of air
toxics information that future reports may
provide as additional data becomes available.

The   analyses   in this  report  focus  on
comparisons with the primary standards in
effect in  1992 to examine changes in air
pollution levels over time, and to summarize
current air pollution status. The six pollutants
with National Ambient Air Quality Standards
are: carbon monoxide (CO), lead (Pb), nitrogen
dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), particulate matter
whose aerodynamic size is equal to or less
than 10 microns (PM-10), and  sulfur dioxide
(SO2).   It is important  to  note  that  the
discussions of ozone  in this  report refer to
ground level, or tropospheric, ozone and not
to  stratospheric   ozone.    Ozone  in  the
stratosphere, miles above the earth, is a
beneficial  screen from  the sun's ultraviolet
rays.  Ozone at ground level, in the air we
breathe, is a health and environmental concern
and is  the  primary  ingredient of what  is
commonly called smog.

The report tracks two  kinds  of trends: air
concentrations,   based   on   actual  direct
measurements of pollutant concentrations in
the  air at  selected  sites throughout  the
country; and emissions, which are estimates of
the total tonnage of these pollutants released
into the air annually based  upon  the  best
available  engineering  calculations.    The
estimates  of emissions  in this report differ
from those reported last year.  Emissions are
now reported in units of short tons per year
(2,000 pounds), rather  than  in  metric tons
(2,205 pounds)  as  used in earlier reports.
Also,  the  report reflects a mixture of new
estimation methodologies for fuel combustion,
industrial, and  transportation sources,  and
includes data obtained  from a  new model
which was  used to  update  mobile source
emissions  in response   to concerns  about
possible underestimates  of the mobile source
contribution to total  emissions.   This is
discussed in Chapter 3.

The first three chapters of this report cover
trends in  the six pollutants  with National
Ambient Air Quality  Standards.  Chapter  4
presents the information on air toxics. Chapter
5 includes a detailed listing of selected 1992 air
quality   summary   statistics   for   every
metropolitan  statistical  area  (MSA) in  the
nation. Chapter 6 presents 1983-92 trends for
23  cities throughout  the U.S.   Chapter  7
presents summary air pollution statistics from
other countries to provide a broader range of
air pollution information.
                                        1-1
                        Executive Summary

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Section 1.2 Major Findings - CO
1.2  Major Findings
  Carbon Monoxide  (CO)
Air Concentrations

       1983-92:   34 percent decrease (8-hour second high at 308 sites)
                 94 percent decrease (8-hour exceedances at 308 sites)

       1991-92:   7 percent decrease (8-hour second high at 390 sites)

Emissions

       1983-92:   25 percent decrease

       1991-92:   4 percent decrease
Overview

Trends.   Improvements continued with the
1983-92  ten year period showing 34 percent
improvement in air quality  levels and a 25
percent  reduction in total emissions. The air
quality improvement agrees more closely with
the estimated 30 percent reduction in highway
vehicle  emissions.  This progress occurred
despite continued growth in miles of travel in
the U.S.  Transportation sources account for
approximately 80 percent of the nation's CO
emissions.    The  30  percent  decrease in
highway vehicle emissions during the 1983-92
period occurred despite a 37 percent increase
in  vehicle  miles  of travel.    Estimated
nationwide CO emissions decreased 4 percent
between 1991 and 1992.

Status.  In November 1991, EPA designated 42
areas as nonattainment for CO.  Based upon
the magnitude of the CO concentrations, 41 of
these areas were classified as moderate and 1
(Los Angeles) was classified as serious.  In
   September 1993, Syracuse, NY became the first
   of  these  42  nonattainment  areas to  be
   redesignated as an attainment area.

   Some Details.   The  first major  clean  fuel
   program  under  the  1990  Clean  Air  Act
   Amendments is the oxygenated fuel program
   implemented by  state  and  local  agencies
   following EPA  guidelines.   Increasing the
   oxygen content  of   gasoline reduces  CO
   emissions by improving fuel combustion,
   which  is typically  less  efficient  at   cold
   temperatures.   On November 1,  1992,  new
   oxygenated  fuel  programs  began in  28
   metropolitan areas. These programs generally
   run from November  through February and
   preliminary  results suggest greater CO air
   quality improvements, with peak CO levels
   declining  13 percent in areas with the  new
   oxy-fuel program as compared to a 3 percent
   decline in non-program areas.
Executive Summary
1-2

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                                                            Section 1.2  Major Findings - CO
15
       CO TREND, 1983-1992
    (ANNUAL 2ND MAX 8-HR AVG)

    CONCENTRATION, PPM
10-
 5-
 0
                              308 SITES
                 90% of sites have lower
                 2nd max 8-hr concentrations
                 than this line
            10% of sites have lower
            2nd max 8-hr concentrations
            than this line
       I     I    I    I    I     I    I    I

  83  84   85  86  87  88   89  90  91  92
      CO EMISSIONS TREND
             (1983 vs. 1992)
                                 Source
^MILLION SHORT TONS PER YEAR     _ categories
                                              40 -
 20 --
                            I
                                                                             Miscellaneous
                             £";," Off-highway

                             ,-. :V Vehicles
                                                                          I
                                Highway

                                Vehicles
                                                                             Waste Disposal

                                                                             & Recycling
          I
          I
I Industrial

Processes



I Fuel

Combustion
        1983
1992
                                      CO Effects

  Carbon monoxide enters the bloodstream and reduces the delivery of oxygen to the body's organs and
  tissues.  The health threat from  carbon monoxide is most serious for those who suffer from
  cardiovascular disease, particularly those with angina or peripheral vascular disease. Healthy individuals
  also are affected but only at higher levels. Exposure to elevated carbon monoxide levels is associated
  with Impairment of visual perception, work capacity, manual dexterity, teaming ability and performance
  of complex tasks.
                                          1-3
                                                                       Executive Summary

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 Section 1.2 Major Findings - Pb
   Lead (Pb)
Air Concentrations

        1983-92:   89 percent decrease (maximum quarterly average at 203 sites)

        1991-92:   9 percent decrease (maximum quarterly average at 235 sites)

Emissions

        1983-92:   89 percent decrease in total lead emissions
                  (96 percent decrease in lead emissions from transportation sources)

        1991-92:   3 percent increase in total lead emissions
                  (6 percent decrease in lead emissions from transportation sources)
Overview

Trends.  Ambient lead (Pb) concentrations in
urban  areas throughout  the country  have
decreased 89 percent since 1983.   Total Pb
emissions have also dropped  89 percent since
1983  due  principally  to  reductions  from
automotive  sources.    The  drop  in Pb
consumption and subsequent Pb  emissions
was brought about by  the increased use of
unleaded  gasoline in catalyst-equipped cars
(99 percent  of  the total gasoline  market in
1992) and the reduced Pb  content in leaded
gasoline.

Status.  In 1991, EPA announced that 12 areas
would  be  designated  as   nonattainment
because of recorded violations of the National
Ambient Air Quality Standard for lead.  EPA
also designated as  "unclassifiable"  9 other
areas for which existing air quality data are
insufficient at this time to designate as either
    attainment  or nonattainment.  On April 22,
    1993, EPA designated one of the unclassifiable
    areas as nonattainment.

    Some Details.   The large reduction in lead
    emissions from  transportation sources has
    changed  the nature  of the  ambient  lead
    problem in the U.S.  In  1983, estimated lead
    emissions were 49,232 tons and 91 percent was
    due  to  transportation   sources.  In  1992,
    estimated lead emissions had dropped to 5,176
    tons and transportation sources accounted for
    31 percent, due to the remaining fraction  of
    leaded   gasoline  sales.     Remaining  lead
    nonattainment  problems are associated  with
    point sources, such as smelters, battery plants,
    and solid  waste  disposal.   Consequently,
    EPA's  current   monitoring   and   control
    strategies target these kinds of specific sources.
Executive Summary
1-4

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                                                              Section 1.2  Major Findings - Pb
       PB TREND, 1983-1992

      (ANNUAL MAX QRTLY AVG)
    CONCENTRATION, UG/M3
      PB EMISSIONS TREND
             (1983 vs. 1992)
1.5-
  1 -
0.5-
                             203 SITES
     _N_AAQS
     90% of sites have lower
     Max Quarterly Means
     than this line
     10% of si
     Max Quarterly Me
THOUSAND SHORT TONS PER YEAR
60
                                              50
                                              40
30
                                              20
                                              10
      ^    I     I    I    I    I    I     I
   83  84   85  86  87  88  89  90  91   92
                                                     49.23
                                                                 5.18
               Source
              Categories
                              I
                                                                               Miscellaneous
                               ;.V*'- Off-highway
                              '^ *°V",
                               - ,'- Vehicles
          I

          I
          I
Highway

Vehicles


Waste Disposal

& Recycling


I Industrial

Processes


I Fuel

Combustion
        1983
1992
                                        Pb Effects

   Exposure to lead can occur through multiple pathways, including inhalation of air and ingestion of lead
   in food, water, soil or dust. Lead accumulates in the body In blood, bone and soft tissue.  Because it
   Is not readily excreted, lead also affects the kidneys, liver, nervous system and blood-forming organs.
   Excessive exposure to lead may cause neurological impairments such as seizures, mental retardation
   and/or behavioral disorders. Even at low doses, lead exposure is associated with changes In fundamental
   enzymatic, energy transfer and homeostatic mechanisms in the body.  Fetuses, infants and children are
   especially susceptible to low doses of lead, often suffering central nervous system damage.  Recent
   studies have also shown that lead may be a factor in high blood pressure and subsequent heart disease
   in middle-aged white males.
                                            1-5
                           Executive Summary

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Section 1.2 Major Findings - NO2
  Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2)
Air Concentrations

       1983-92:  8 percent decrease (annual mean at 183 sites)

       1991-92:  3 percent decrease (annual mean at 235 sites)

Emissions: Nitrogen Oxides (NOJ

       1983-92:  5 percent increase

       1991-92:  1 percent decrease
Overview

Trends.      Nitrogen oxide  emissions  are
estimated  to have increased 5 percent since
1983,  with  a  9  percent increase in  fuel
combustion  emissions.  Air quality improved
8 percent since 1983.  The two primary source
categories of nitrogen oxide emissions,  and
their contribution in 1992, are fuel combustion
(51 percent) and transportation (45 percent).
Since 1983, emissions from highway vehicles
have remained relatively constant.

Status.  In  November 1991, EPA designated
Los Angeles as the only  nonattainment  area
for NO2.

Some Details.  In recent years, Los Angeles
was identified as the only location not meeting
the National Ambient Air Quality Standard for
nitrogen dioxide.  In  1992,  all monitoring
locations  in  Los Angeles  reported  data
   meeting the federal standard.  This is the first
   step towards Los Angeles being redesignated
   as an attainment area for nitrogen dioxide.

   The  scientific  community   has  expressed
   concerns that previous EPA emission estimates
   have underestimated  the contribution  of
   transportation   sources.     An   extensive
   off-highway survey did indeed show marked
   increases in off-highway emissions from 1983
   to 1992.  However, highway emissions using
   a new model (MOBILES) stayed relatively flat.
   The major increases, using new methodologies,
   are from electric utilities,  industrial sources,
   and off-highway mobile sources.  Last year's
   trend from 1982-1991 showed an 8 percent
   decrease in NOX, whereas this year's trend
   shows a 5 percent increase. As methodologies
   continue to improve, we expect to see variance
   in the estimates in future years as well.
Executive Summary
1-6

-------
                                                      Section 1.2 Major Findings - NO2
      NO2 TREND, 1983-1992
     (ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN)

     CONCENTRATION, PPM
0.07
0.06-



0.05



0.04



0.03



0.02



0.01
0.00
                          183 SITES
NAAQS
       90% of sites have tower
       Arith Mean concentrations
       than this line
            10% of sites have lower
            Arith Mean concentrations
            than this line
                                 T
                                       NOX EMISSIONS TREND
                                              (1983 vs. 1992)
                                    MILLION SHORT TONS PER YEAR
                                   30
              Source
            Categories
   83  84 85  86  87 88  89  90  91  92
                                          1983
1992
                                  NO, Effects
                                                                   as
  significant contributor to ecosystem effects including algal blooms In certain estuaries such as the
  Chesapeake Bay,  In some western areas, NOX is an Important precursor to paniculate matter
  concentrations.
                                      1-7
                                                          Executive Summary

-------
 Section 1.2 Major Findings - O3
   Ozone
Air Concentrations

       1983-92:    21 percent decrease (second highest daily max 1-hour at 509 sites)
                  65 percent decrease (exceedance days at 509 sites)

       1991-92:    7 percent decrease (second highest daily max 1-hour at 672 sites)

Emissions: Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC)

       1983-92:    11 percent decrease (+5 percent for NOX)
       1991-92:    3 percent decrease (-1 percent for NOJ
Overview

Trends.    Ground level ozone, the primary
constituent of smog, has been a  pervasive
pollution problem for the U.S. Ambient trends
during the 1980s were influenced by varying
meteorological conditions.   Relatively high
1983  and 1988  ozone   levels are  likely
attributable in part  to  hot,  dry,  stagnant
conditions in some areas of the country.  The
1992 levels were the lowest  of the 1983-92
period.  While the  complexity of the ozone
problem and the  effects  of  meteorological
conditions warrant caution in interpreting the
data, there have been recent control measures,
such  as  lower  Reid Vapor   Pressure for
gasoline resulting in lower fuel volatility and
lower NOX and VOC emissions from tailpipes.
Emission   estimates  for   volatile  organic
compounds (VOCs), which contribute to ozone
formation, are estimated to have improved by
11 percent since  1983.  However, these VOC
emission  estimates  represent  annual  totals.
NOX emissions,  the other major  precursor
factor in ozone formation, increased 5 percent
between 1983 and 1992.  While these annual
emission totals are the best national numbers
    now available, seasonal emission trends would
    be preferable.

    Status.  In November 1991, EPA designated
    98 nonattainment areas for O3.  Based upon
    the  O3 concentrations in these areas,  EPA
    classified 43 areas as marginal, 31 as moderate,
    14 as serious, 9 as severe, and 1 (Los Angeles)
    as extreme.  In June 1992, Kansas City became
    the first of these 98 nonattainment areas to be
    redesignated  as an  attainment area.    In
    December 1992, Cherokee County, SC became
    the second.   In September 1993, Greensboro,
    NC and Knoxville, TN were also redesignated
    as attainment areas for ozone.

    Some Details.  Year to year ozone trends are
    affected   by   changing   meteorological
    conditions.   The  21 percent improvement
    between 1983 and 1992 is in part due to 1983
    being a relatively high year for ozone.  New
    statistical   techniques  to   account   for
    meteorological  influences   suggest   an
    improvement of 10  percent for the 10-year
    period.
Executive Summary
1-8

-------
                                                             Section 1.2  Major Findings - O3
    OZONE TREND, 1983-1992
    (ANNUAL 2ND DAILY MAX HOUR)
0.30
     CONCENTRATION, PPM
0.25-
0.20-
0.15
0.10-
0.05-
0.00
                              509 SITES
90% of sites have lower
2nd max 1-hr concentrations
than this line
          10% of sites have lower
          2nd max 1-hr concentrations
          than this line
         I    I    \     \    \    \    \\

    83  84  85  86  87  88  89  90  91  92
                                        VOC EMISSIONS TREND
                                                (1983 vs. 1992)
                                      MILLION SHORT TONS PER YEAR
                                      30
              Source
             Categories
                                                15 -•
                                      10 -
                                                5  -
                                             1983
1992
                                       O3 Effects

  The reactivity of ozone causes health problems because it damages lung tissue, reduces lung function
  and sensitizes the lungs to other irritants. Scientific evidence indicates that ambient levels of ozone not
  only affect people with impaired respiratory systems, such as asthmatics, but healthy adults and children
  as well. Exposure to ozone for 6 - 7 hours at relatively low concentrations has been  found to
  significantly reduce lung function in normal, healthy people during periods of moderate exercise.  This
  decrease in lung function often is accompanied by such symptoms as chest pain, coughing, nausea and
  pulmonary congestion. Though iess well established in humans, animal studies have demonstrated that
  and accelerate the rate of lung function loss and aging of the iungs. Ozone is responsible each year for
  agricultural crop yield loss in the U.S. of several billion dollars and causes noticeable foliar damage in
  many crops and species of trees. Forest and ecosystem studies indicate that damage is resulting from
  current ambient ozone levels.
                                           1-9
                                                             Executive Summary

-------
 Section 1.2 Major Findings - PM
   Particulate Matter (PM)
 Air Concentrations: Particulate Matter (PM-10)

       1988-92:   17 percent decrease (based on arithmetic mean at 652 sites)

       1991-92:   9 percent decrease (based on arithmetic mean at 652 sites)

 Emissions: PM-10

       1983-92:   3 percent decrease

       1988-92:   8 percent decrease

       1991-92:   2 percent increase
Overview

Trends. In 1987, EPA replaced the earlier total
suspended particulate (TSP) standard with a
PM-10 standard. PM-10 focuses on the smaller
particles likely to be responsible  for adverse
health effects because of their ability to reach
the lower regions  of  the respiratory tract.
Ambient  monitoring networks  have been
revised to measure PM-10 rather than TSP.
Although  PM-10  trends  data are  limited,
ambient levels decreased 17 percent between
1988 and 1992. PM-10 emissions from sources
historically  included  in   inventories  are
estimated  to have decreased 8 percent since
1988 and  3 percent since 1983.   Nationally,
fugitive sources  (such  as  emissions from
agricultural tilling, construction, and unpaved
roads) contribute 6 to 8 times more PM-10
     emissions than sources historically included in
     emission inventories.

     Status. In November 1991, EPA designated 70
     areas as nonattainment for PM-10.

     Some Details.    Because   many   PM-10
     monitoring networks evolved from previously
     established   Total  Suspended  Particulate
     networks,  emphasis  is being  placed   on
     evaluating current PM-10 monitoring networks
     to be certain that they  adequately characterize
     problems  from these finer  particles.  New
     monitoring  techniques,  such  as  low  cost
     portable monitors, are being used as a tool in
     these evaluations.
Executive Summary
1-10

-------
                                                              Section 1.2 Major Findings - PM
     PM-10 TREND,  1988-1992
    (ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN)
80
   CONCENTRATION, UG/MJ
60 J
40-
20-
                              652 SITES
    NAAQS.
, >.': ?5 ~.  •'-•-,<    90% of sites have lower
tv!''"-^^^: '••: '":';;•>* Afitn Mean concentrations

    '**'•""•*••*"'**•
           10% of sites have lower
           Arith Mean concentrations
           than this line
                                            PM-10 EMISSIONS TREND
                                                     (1988 vs. 1992)
                                          MILLION SHORT TONS PER YEAR
                                          8
                                                           Source
                                                          Categories
                                                                       I
                                                                                Miscellaneous
                                                                       •-,""'• Off-highway

                                                                       l-'".r! Vehicles
                                                       I

                                                       I
                                                       I
                                                 Highway

                                                 Vehicles


                                                 Waste Disposal

                                                 & Recycling


                                                 Industrial

                                                 Processes


                                                 Fuel

                                                 Combustion
  88
       89
90
91
92
1983
1992
                                       PM Effects

  Based on studies of human populations exposed to high concentrations of particles (often in the
  presence of sulfur dioxide) and laboratory studies of animals and humans, the major effects of concern
  for human health include effects on breathing and respiratory symptoms, aggravation of existing
  respiratory and cardiovascular disease, alterations in the body's defense systems against foreign
  materials, damage to lung tissue, carcinogenesis and premature mortality. The major subgroups of the
  population that appear likely to be most sensitive to the effects of participate matter include individuals
  with chronic obstructive pulmonary or cardiovascular disease, individuals with influenza, asthmatics,
  the elderly and children. Paniculate matter causes damage to materials, soiling and is a major cause
  of substantial visibility impairment in many parts of the United States.
                                           1-11
                                                                    Executive Summary

-------
 Section 1.2 Major Findings - SO2
   Sulfur Dioxide  (SO2)
Air Concentrations

       1983-92:   23 percent decrease (arithmetic mean at 476 sites)
                 31 percent decrease (24-hour second high at 476 sites)

       1991-92:   7 percent decrease (arithmetic mean at 557  sites)

Emissions: Sulfur Oxides (SOJ

       1983-92:   no change

       1991-92:   < 1 percent decrease
Overview

Trends.     Since  1983,  SOX emissions were
unchanged while average air quality improved
by 23 percent. This difference occurs because
the historical ambient monitoring networks are
population-oriented while the major emission
sources tend to be in less populated areas.

Status.   Almost all monitors in U.S. urban
areas  meet  EPA's  ambient   air  quality
standards for SO2.   Dispersion models  are
commonly   used  to  assess  ambient  SO2
problems around point sources because it is
frequently  impractical  to operate  enough
monitors to provide a  complete air quality
assessment.  Currently, there  are  46  areas
designated  nonattainment for SO2.   Current
concerns focus   on  major  emitters,  total
atmospheric loadings and the possible need
for a shorter-term standard.  Seventy percent
    of all national SOX emissions are generated by
    electric utilities.

    Some Details.  The Acid Rain provisions of
    the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments include
    a goal of reducing SOX emissions by 10 million
    tons relative to 1980 levels.  The focus of this
    control program is an innovative market-based
    emission allowances trading program which
    will provide affected  sources flexibility in
    meeting  the  mandated  emission  reductions.
    This is EPA's first large-scale regulatory use of
    market-based   incentives   and   the   first
    allowance trade was announced in May 1992.
    This program is coordinated with the air
    quality standard program to ensure that public
    health  is protected while allowing for cost
    effective reductions of SO2.
Executive Summary
1-12

-------
                                                            Section 1.2 Major Findings - SO2
       SO2 TREND, 1983-1992
     (ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN)
                                  SOX EMISSIONS TREND
                                          (1983 vs. 1992)
0.04
     CONCENTRATION, PPM
0.03
0.02
0.01-
0.00
                              476 SITES
     _NAAQS_
90% of sites have lower
Arith Mean concentrations
than this line
              than this line
                                 MILLION SHORT TONS PER YEAR
                                25
              Source
             Categories
                                                20
                                                15
                                                10
         I    I    I     I    I    I    I     I
    83  84  85  86   87  88  89  90  91   92
                                                 0
                                       22.73
          I
                                                                               Miscellaneous
                                                            - - ,-•;. Off-highway
                                                            f»,'
                                                            >*','' Vehicles
          I

          I
          I
Highway

Vehicles


Waste Disposa

& Recycling


Industrial

Processes


Fuel

Combustion
                                        1983
1992
                                       SO2 Effects

  The major health effects of concern associated with high exposures to sulfur dioxide Include effects on
  breathing, respiratory illness and symptoms, alterations in the lungs' defenses, and aggravation of
  existing respiratory and cardiovascular disease. The major subgroups of the population most sensitive
  to sulfur dioxide include asthmatics and individuals with chronic lung disease (such as bronchitis or
  emphysema) or cardiovascular disease. Children and the elderly may also be sensitive. Sulfur dioxide
  produces foliar damage on trees and agricultural crops, it and nitrogen oxides are major precursors to
  acidic deposition (acid rain), which is associated with a number of effects including acidification of lakes
  and streams, accelerated corrosion of buildings and monuments, and visibility impairment.
                                           1-13
                                                         Executive Summary

-------
 Section 1.3  Some Perspective
 1.3  Some Perspective

 It is important to realize that many of these air
 quality  improvements during  the past ten
 years occurred even in the face of growth  of
 emissions sources.  More detailed information
 on  these emission  trends  and the  updated
 estimation methodologies  are contained in a
 companion report.
20
 While progress has been made, it is important
 not to lose sight of the magnitude of the air
 pollution problem that still remains. About 54
 million people in the U.S. reside in counties
 which did not meet at  least one air quality
 standard based upon data submitted to EPA's
 data base for  the single year 1992.   Ground
 level ozone is the most  common contributor
 with 45 million people living in counties that
 exceeded the ozone standard in 1992. This is
 the first  year that  no areas had measured
 values   exceeding   the   nitrogen   dioxide
 standard;  previous  reports  had  identified
                                              Los Angeles with annual means not meeting
                                              the nitrogen dioxide standard. With respect to
                                              sulfur dioxide, it is important to note that
                                              while no measured  data were submitted to
                                              EPA's data base showing exceedances in 1992,
                                              the current sulfur dioxide problems in the U.S.
                                              are associated with point sources and typically
                                              identified by modelling rather than by routine
                                              ambient monitoring.   These  statistics, and
                                              associated  qualifiers  and  limitations,  are
                                              discussed in Chapter  5.   These  population
                                              estimates are based only upon a single year of
                                              data, 1992, and only consider counties with
                                              monitoring data for that pollutant. As noted
                                              in Chapter 5, there are other approaches that
                                              would yield different numbers.  In 1991, EPA
                                              issued a rule formally  designating areas that
                                              did  not meet air quality  standards.21  Based
                                              upon these designations, EPA estimated that
                                              140 million people live in ozone nonattainment
                                              areas. This difference between the 140 million
                                              and 54 million population  figures  is because
                                              the formal designations are based upon three
pollutant
            o
                                               44.6
                                                      53.6
        20
                                         40            60
                                      millions of persons
Note: Based on 1990 population data and 1992 air quality data.
80
100
 Executive Summary
                       1-14

-------
                                                             Section 1.3  Some Perspective
years of data, rather than just one, to reflect a   ozone  layer,  and pollutants  contributing to
broader range  of  meteorological conditions.   acid deposition.
Also, the boundaries used for nonattainment
areas may consider other air  quality related
information, such as emission inventories and
modeling,  and  may extend  beyond those
counties with monitoring data to more fully
characterize  the  ozone  problem  and  to
facilitate  the development  of an  adequate
control strategy. For the pollutant lead, EPA's
aggressive effort to better characterize lead
point sources has resulted in new monitors
that have  documented  additional problem
areas.

Finally, it should be recognized that this report
emphasizes those  six pollutants  that have
National Ambient Air Quality Standards.  As
discussed   in Chapter  4, there  are other
pollutants of concern. According to industry
estimates, more than 2.0 billion pounds of
toxic pollutants  were  emitted   into  the
atmosphere in  1991, compared to 2.2 billion
pounds for the previous year.22'23  They are
chemicals  known  or suspected  of causing
cancer or other serious health effects (e.g.,
reproductive effects).  Control programs  for
the pollutants discussed in this report can be
expected to reduce these air toxic emissions by
controlling   particulates,   volatile  organic
compounds and nitrogen oxides.  However,
Title HI of the Clean Air Act Amendments of
1990 provided  specific new tools to address
routine and accidental releases of these toxic
air  pollutants.   The  statute established  an
initial list  of 189  toxic air pollutants.  Using
this list, EPA published a list of the industry
groups (or "source categories") for which EPA
will  develop emission standards.   EPA  will
issue standards for each listed source category,
requiring the maximum degree of emissions
reduction  that has been demonstrated to be
achievable. These are commonly referred to as
maximum   achievable  control  technology
(MACT) standards. EPA is also implementing
other programs   to  reduce   emissions  of
chlorofluorocarbons,  halons,   and   other
pollutants that are depleting the stratospheric
                                          1-15                         Executive Summary

-------
Section 1.4 References
1.4 References

1.   The National Air Monitoring Program: Air Quality and Emissions Trends - Annual Report, EPA-
    450/1-73-OOla and b, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and
    Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, July 1973.

2.   Monitoring and Air  Quality  Trends Report,  1972, EPA-450/1-73-004, U.  S.  Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    December 1973.

3.   Monitorins and Air  Quality  Trends Revort,  1973, EPA-450/1-74-007, U.  S.  Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    October 1974.

4.   Monitoring and Air  Quality  Trends Report,  1974, EPA-450/1-76-001, U.  S.  Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    February 1976.

5.   National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1975, EPA-450/1-76-002, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    November 1976.

6.   National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1976, EPA-450/1-77-002, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    December 1977.

7.   National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Revort, 1977, EPA-450/2-78-052, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    December 1978.

8.   1980 Ambient Assessment - Air Portion, EPA-450/4-81-014, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,
    Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, February 1981.

9.   National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1981, EPA-450/4-83-011, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    April 1983.

10. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1982, EPA-450/4-84-002, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    March 1984.

11. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Revort, 1983, EPA-450/4-84-029, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    April 1985.

12. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1984, EPA-450/4-86-001, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    April 1986.

Executive Summary                         1-16

-------
                                                                      Section 1.4 References
13. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1985, EPA-450/4-87-001, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    February  1987.

14. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1986, EPA-450/4-88-001, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    February  1988.

15. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1987, EPA-450/4-89-001, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    March 1989.

16. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1988, EPA-450/4-90-002, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    March 1990.

17. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1989, EPA-450/4-91-003, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    February  1991.

18. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1990, EPA-450/4-91-023, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    November 1991.

19. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1991, EPA-450/R-92-001, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    October 1992.

20. National Air Pollutant Emission Estimates, 1900-1992, EPA-454/R-93-032, U. S.  Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711,
    October 1992.

21. Federal Register, November 6, 1991.

22. 1991 Toxics Release Inventory, EPA-745-R-93-003, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office
    of Pollution Prevention and Toxics, Washington, D.C. 20460, May 1993.

23. 1990 Toxics Release Inventory. EPA 700-S-92-002, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office
    of Pollution Prevention and Toxics, Washington, D.C. 20460, May 1992.
                                           1-17                          Executive Summary

-------
Executive Summary                        1-18

-------
 Chapter  2:    Background
This  report  focuses  on  10-year (1983-92)
national  air quality trends for  each  of the
major pollutants for which National Ambient
Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) have been
established.  This section presents many of the
technical details involved  in these analyses;
readers familiar with  previous reports may
prefer initially to proceed directly  to the
remaining sections. The national analyses are
complemented in  Chapter  6 with air quality
trends in 23 metropolitan areas and in Chapter
7   with   an   international  air  pollution
perspective.

The air quality trends statistics displayed for a
particular pollutant in this report are closely
related to the form of the respective air quality
standard.   Trends  in other  air  quality
indicators  are also  presented  for  some
pollutants.  NAAQS are currently in place for
six pollutants: carbon monoxide (CO), lead
(Pb),  nitrogen  dioxide (NO2),  ozone (O3),
particulate matter  whose aerodynamic size is
equal to or less than 10 microns (PM-10), and
sulfur dioxide (SO2).  There are two types of
standards — primary and secondary. Primary
standards protect against adverse   health
effects, whereas secondary standards protect
against welfare effects like damage to crops,
vegetation, and buildings.  Table 2-1 lists the
NAAQS  for each  pollutant in terms  of the
level of the standard and the averaging time
that the standard represents. Some pollutants
(PM-10 and SO2) have standards for both long-
term (annual average) and short-term (24-hour
or less)  averaging times.   The  short-term
standards are designed to protect against
acute, or  short-term, health effects, while the
long-term standards  were established  to
protect against chronic health effects.
Table 2-1. National Ambient Air Quality
Standards (NAAQS) in Effect in 1993.
POLLUTANT PRIMARY SECONDARY
(HEALTH RELATED) (WELFARE RELATED)
Type of Standard Level Type of Standard Level
Average Concentration" Average Concentration
CO
Pb
N02
0,
PM-10
S02
8-hour*
1-hour*
Maximum
Quarterly
Average
Annual
Arithmetic
Mean
Maximum
Daily
1-hour
Average0
Annual
Anthmetic
Mean"
24-houra
Annual
Anthmetic
Mean
24-hour"
9 ppm
(10 mg/m3)
35 ppm
(40 mg/m3)
1 5 ng/m3
0 053 ppm
(100 ug/m3)
0 12 ppm
(235 ug/nf)
50 |ig/m3
150 iig/m3
80 ng/m3
(0 03 ppm)
365 ug/m3
(0 14 ppm)
No Secondary Standard
No Secondary Standard
Same as Primary Standard
Same as Primary Standard
Same as Primary Standard
Same as Primary Standard
Same as Primary Standard
3-hour*
1300 ug/m3
(0.50 ppm)
' Parenthetical value is an approximately equivalent concentration.
b Not to be exceeded more than once per year
c The standard is attained when the expected number of days per calendar year
with maximum hourly average concentrations above 012 ppm is equal to or less
than 1, as determined according to Appendix H of the Ozone NAAQS
" Paniculate standards use PM-10 (particles less than 10|i in diameter) as the
indicator pollutant The annual standard is attained when the expected annual
arithmetic mean concentration is less than or equal to 50 ug/m3, the 24-hour
standard is attained when the expected number of days per calendar year above
150 ug/m3 is equal to or less than 1; as determined according to Appendix K of
the PM NAAQS
It is important to  note  that discussions of
ozone in this report refer to ground level, or
tropospheric,  ozone and not  stratospheric
ozone.  Ozone in the stratosphere, miles above
the  earth, is  a beneficial  screen  from the
                                        2-1
                                                                         Background

-------
Section 2.1  Air Quality Data Base
sun's ultraviolet rays.  Ozone at ground level,
in the  air  we breathe,  is a  health  and
environmental  concern and is the primary
ingredient of what is commonly called smog.

The ambient air quality data presented in this
report were obtained from EPA's Aerometric
Information Retrieval System (AIRS).  These
are actual direct measurements of pollutant
concentrations at monitoring stations operated
by state and local governments throughout the
nation.   EPA and  other  federal  agencies
operate some air quality monitoring sites on a
temporary  basis as  a part  of air pollution
research studies.   In 1992,  more than 4,200
monitoring sites reported  air quality data for
the six NAAQS pollutants to AIRS.  The vast
majority of these measurements represent the
heavily populated  urban areas of the nation.

The national monitoring network conforms to
uniform   criteria  for  monitor   siting,
instrumentation, and quality assurance.1 Each
monitoring site is  classified  into one of three
specific categories. National Air Monitoring
Stations (NAMS) were established to ensure a
long-term national network for urban area-
oriented ambient monitoring and to provide a
systematic, consistent data base for air quality
comparisons  and trends analysis.  The State
and Local  Air Monitoring Stations  (SLAMS)
allow state or  local governments to develop
networks  tailored   to  their  immediate
monitoring needs. Special Purpose Monitors
(SPM)  fulfill  very   specific  or short-term
monitoring goals.   Often SPMs are used as
source-oriented monitors rather than monitors
which  reflect the  overall urban air quality.
Data from all three types of monitoring sites
are presented in this report.

Trends  are   also  presented  for   annual
nationwide emissions. These are estimates of
the  amount and  kinds  of pollution being
emitted by automobiles,  factories and other
sources, based upon best available engineering
calculations.  The  1992 emission estimates are
preliminary and may be  revised in the next
annual report.  Estimates for earlier years have
   been recomputed using current methodology
   so that these estimates are comparable over
   time.  The reader is referred to a companion
   EPA  publication, National    Air  Pollutant
   Emission  Estimates,  1900-19922,  for  more
   detailed information.
   2.1  Air Quality Data Base

   Monitoring sites are included in the national
   10-year trend analysis if they have complete
   data for at least 8 of the 10 years 1983 to 1992.
   For the regional comparisons, the site had to
   report data in each of the last three years to be
   included in the analysis.   Data  for each year
   had to  satisfy  annual  data  completeness
   criteria  appropriate  to  pollutant  and
   measurement methodology. Table 2-2 displays
   the number of sites meeting the 10-year trend
   completeness  criteria.   For  PM-10,  whose
   monitoring network has  just been initiated
   over the last few years, analyses are based on
   sites with data in 1988 through  1992.

   Table 2-2. Number of Monitoring Sites.
Pollutant
CO
Pb
NO2
03
PM-10
S02
Total
Number of
Sites Reporting
in 1992
507
437
332
853
1471
722
4322
Number of
Trend Sites
1983-92
308
203
183
509
652*
476
2331
* Number of Trend Sites in 1988-92
    The air quality data  are  divided into  two
    major groupings —  24-hour measurements
    and continuous 1-hour measurements.  The
    24-hour measurements  are obtained  from
 Background
2-2

-------
                                                               Section 2.2 Trend Statistics
monitoring  instruments that  produce  one
measurement per 24-hour period and typically
operate on a systematic sampling schedule of
once every  6 days, or 61 samples per year.
Such instruments are used to measure PM-10
and Pb.  For PM-10, more frequent sampling
of every other  day or everyday is now also
common. Only PM-10 sites with weighted
annual  arithmetic  means that met the  AIRS
annual  summary  criteria  were  selected as
trends sites. The 24-hour Pb data had to have
at least  six samples per quarter in at least 3 of
the 4 calendar  quarters.  Monthly composite
Pb data were  used if at least two monthly
samples were available for at least 3 of the 4
calendar quarters.

The 1-hour data are obtained from monitoring
instruments  that  operate   continuously,
producing a measurement every hour for a
possible total of 8,760 hourly measurements in
a year.   For continuous hourly data, a valid
annual mean for trends requires at least 4,380
hourly observations. The SO2 standard-related
daily statistics  required 183, or more, daily
values.   Because  of the different selection
criteria, the number of sites used to produce
the daily SO2 statistics may differ slightly from
the number of sites  used to produce  the
annual  SO2 statistics.   Ozone  sites met  the
annual  trends data completeness requirement
if they had at least 50 percent of the daily data
available for the ozone season, which typically
varies by State.3

The use of a  moving 10-year window  for
trends  yields  a  data base  that is  more
consistent   with  the  current  monitoring
network and  reflects the  period  following
promulgation   of   uniform   monitoring
requirements.   In addition, this procedure
increases the total number of trend sites for
the 10-year  period relative to the data bases
used in the  last annual report.4
2.2  Trend Statistics

The air  quality statistics presented  in  this
report relate to the pollutant-specific NAAQS
and comply with the recommendations of the
Intra-Agency  Task  Force on  Air Quality
Indicators.5  Although not directly related to
the NAAQS, more robust air quality indicators
are presented for some pollutants to provide a
consistency check.

A composite average of  each  of the trends
statistics is used in the graphical presentations
that follow. All sites were weighted equally in
calculating  the composite  average  trend
statistic.  Missing annual  summary statistics
for the second through  ninth years for a site
are estimated by linear interpolation from the
surrounding years.   Missing end points are
replaced with the nearest valid year of data.
This  procedure  results  in  a  statistically
balanced data set to which simple  statistical
procedures and graphics can be applied.  The
procedure  is  also  conservative,  because
end-point rates of change are  dampened by
the interpolated estimates.

This  report  presents  statistical confidence
intervals around composite  averages.   The
confidence intervals  can  be used  to make
comparisons between years; if the confidence
intervals for any 2 years do not overlap, then
the composite  averages of the 2  years are
significantly different.  Ninety-five  percent
confidence intervals for composite averages of
annual  means  and  second  maxima  were
calculated from a two-way analysis of variance
followed by an application  of the Tukey
Studentized Range.6 The confidence intervals
for   composite  averages   of   estimated
exceedances were calculated by fitting Poisson
distributions7 to the exceedances each year and
then  applying  the   Bonferroni  multiple
comparisons  procedure.8   The utilization of
these procedures is  explained elsewhere.9'10
                                           2-3
                                 Background

-------
 Section 2.2 Trend Statistics
 Boxplots11  are  used to present  air quality
 trends because they have the advantage  of
 displaying, simultaneously, several features of
 the data. Figure 2-1 illustrates the use of this
 technique in presenting the percentiles of the
 data, as well as the composite average.  For
 example, 90 percent of the sites would have
 concentrations equal to or lower than the 90th
 percentile.

 Bar  graphs are introduced for the  Regional
 comparisons with the 3-year trend data base.
 These comparisons are based on the ten EPA
 Regions (Figure 2-2). The composite averages
 of the appropriate air quality statistic of the
 years 1990,  1991 and 1992 are presented.  The
 approach is simple, and it allows the reader at
 a glance to compare the short-term changes in
 all ten EPA Regions.
                                                             -95th PERCENTILE
                      -90th PERCENTILE
                      -75th PERCENTILE

                      -COMPOSITE AVERAGE
                      -MEDIAN

                      -25th PERCENTILE

                      -10th PERCENTILE
                      -5th PERCENTILE
    Figure 2-1. Illustration of plotting convention of
    boxplots.
     9  C>
Figure 2-2.  Ten regions of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
Background
2-4

-------
                                                                       Section 2.3  References
2.3 References

1.   Ambient Air Quality Surveillance, 44 FR 27558, May 10, 1979.

2.   National Air Pollutant Emission Estimates, 1900-1992, EPA-454/R-93-032, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC,
    October 1993.

3.   Ambient Air Quality Surveillance, 51 FR 9597, March 19, 1986.

4.   National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1991, EPA-450/R-92-001, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC,
    October 1992.

5.   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Infra-Agency Task Force Report on Air Quality Indicators,
    EPA-450/4-81-015, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and
    Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, February 1981.

6.   B. J. Winer, Statistical Principles in Experimental Design, McGraw-Hill, NY, 1971.

7.   N.  L. Johnson and S. Kotz, Discrete Distributions, Wiley, NY,  1969.

8.   R.  G. Miller, Jr., Simultaneous Statistical Inference, Springer-Verlag, NY, 1981.

9.   A.  K. Pollack, W. F. Hunt, Jr., and T. C. Curran, "Analysis of Variance Applied to National Ozone
    Air Quality  Trends", presented  at the 77th Annual Meeting of the  Air Pollution Control
    Association, San Francisco, CA, June 1984.

10. A.  K. Pollack and  W. F. Hunt, Jr., "Analysis of Trends and Variability in Extreme and Annual
    Average Sulfur Dioxide Concentrations", presented at the Air  Pollution Control Association,
    American Society for Quality Control Specialty Conference on Quality Assurance  in Air Pollution
    Measurements, Boulder, CO, 1985.

11. J. W. Tukey, Exploratory Data Analysis, Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Reading, MA, 1977.
                                             2-5                                  Background

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Background                                 2-6

-------
Chapter 3:    National  and
Regional  Trends  in   NAAQS
Pollutants
EPA has set National Ambient Air Quality
Standards   (NAAQS)   for  six  pollutants
considered harmful to public health:  carbon
monoxide (CO), lead (Pb), nitrogen dioxide
(NO2), ozone (O3), particulate matter (PM-10),
and sulfur dioxide (SO2). This chapter focuses
on both 10-year (1983-92) trends and  recent
changes in air quality and emissions for these
six  pollutants.   Changes  since 1991, and
comparisons between all the trend sites and
the subset of National Air Monitoring Stations
(NAMS) are highlighted. Trends are examined
for both the nation and the ten EPA Regions.
This  chapter presents  a new section on
visibility, a  topic which relates to several of
the NAAQS pollutants.

As in previous reports, the air quality  trends
are presented using trend lines, confidence
intervals, boxplots and bar graphs. The reader
is  referred  to  Section 2.2  for a  detailed
description  of the confidence interval and
boxplot procedures.

Trends  are also   presented   for annual
nationwide  emissions  of carbon monoxide,
lead, nitrogen oxides (NOX), volatile organic
compounds  (VOC),  particulate  matter, and
sulfur oxides (SOJ. These emissions data are
estimated using best available  engineering
calculations.  The reader is  referred to a
companion report for a detailed description of
emission  trends,  source  categories  and
estimation procedures.1

The estimates of emissions in this report differ
from those reported last year in several ways.
First, emissions are now reported in units of
short tons per year (a short ton is 2,000 Ibs.),
rather than the metric tons (2,205 Ibs) used in
earlier reports. Thus, the numbers shown are
about 10 percent higher. Also, mobile source
emission  estimates  have  been  updated in
response  to concerns  raised in a  National
Academy of Sciences (NAS) report about
possible underestimates  in mobile source
emissions.2 Emissions from highway vehicles
have been recomputed using the MOBILESa
emission factor model.  This model provides a
more  accurate  estimate of motor vehicle
emissions,  and reflects a  number of new
requirements for both vehicles and fuels, such
as  exhaust  emission   standards   and
reformulated fuels mandated by  the  1990
Clean Air Act Amendments.

Other changes in methodology included in the
new mobile model have contributed to the
different mobile source emission values in this
report.  Some of  these include  an increase
from 3 to 9 in the number of speeds entered
into the mobile model, a mixture of seasonal
and national average temperatures, the use of
county-level rather that State-level vehicle mix
beginning in 1987, the addition of oxygenated
fuel-use  data, and  new  non-road mobile
source  emission  estimates based  on an
extensive equipment survey.

The  most  notable  difference  created by
applying the new mobile methodologies to
previous years shows up in the  recalculated
emissions values for 1991.  Revised estimates
for  the  off-  and  on-highway  categories
increased the total emissions from last year's
estimates for CO by 32 percent, for NOx by 13
percent, and for VOC by 26 percent.   The
addition of  data  more reflective  of actual
                                     3-1   Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
vehicle operating conditions, and the use of
the survey  for off-highway  data are  the
primary  reasons for the increase.  For  on-
highway sources, the trend continues to show
a decrease in overall emissions, even though
the decrease is not as large as originally seen
using the old methodologies.  However,  the
trend for non-highway values appears to be
increasing for all pollutants.

Other  improvements   in  the  estimation
methodologies  over  last year include  using
actual fossil-fuel steam utility data, using rule
effectiveness   factors   where   applicable,
applying earnings data by industry, utilizing
emission  factor  updates   for   railroads,
residential wood combustion and aircraft, and
using county-specific information wherever
possible.  Also, for the first time, this report
presents  estimates for PM-10 emissions that
                       go back to 1983. These changes are part of a
                       broad effort to update and improve emission
                       estimates. Additional changes are expected in
                       the future, resulting in improved accuracy and
                       reduced uncertainty in the estimates.

                       This chapter presents 10-year trends for both
                       air quality and emissions in separate sections
                       for each of the  6 NAAQS pollutants.  Before
                       these  individual  discussions,  Figure  3-1
                       provides a convenient summary of the 1983-92
                       emission changes for all six pollutants. Lead
                       clearly shows the most impressive decrease of
                       89 percent but improvements are also seen for
                       CO (-25 percent), VOC (-11 percent), and PM-
                       10 (-3 percent).   SOx  has  remained fairly
                       steady, and  the only increase (+5 percent) is
                       seen for NOX, despite an 8 percent decrease in
                       motor vehicle NOx emissions.
    140
        MILLION SHORT TONS/YEAR
                                                THOUSAND
                                             SHORT TONS/YEAR
            CO
NOx
VOC      PM10      SOx
LEAD
                                     1983   I 1992
Figure 3-1. Comparison of 1983 and 1992 national total emissions.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants   3-2

-------
                                                     Section 3.1  Trends in Carbon Monoxide
3.1  Trends in Carbon Monoxide

Carbon monoxide (CO) is a colorless, odorless
and poisonous gas produced by incomplete
burning of carbon in fuels.  Carbon monoxide
enters the  bloodstream  and  reduces the
delivery of oxygen to the body's organs and
tissues. The health threat is most serious for
those who suffer from cardiovascular disease,
particularly those with angina or peripheral
vascular disease.  Exposure to elevated carbon
monoxide levels is associated with impairment
of  visual  perception,  manual   dexterity,
learning ability and performance of complex
tasks.

The NAAQS for ambient CO specify upper
limits  for both 1-hour  and 8-hour  averages
that are not to be exceeded more than once
per year.  The 1-hour level is 35 ppm, and the
8-hour level is 9 ppm.  This trends analysis
focuses on the 8-hour average results because
the 8-hour  standard is generally  the  more
restrictive limit.  Nationally, there have not
been  any recorded exceedances of the CO
1-hour NAAQS since 1990.

Trends sites were selected using the criteria
presented in Section 2.1 which yielded a data
base of 308 sites for the 10-year period 1983-92
and a data base of 390 sites for the  3-year
1990-92 period.   There  were 95 NAMS sites
included  in the  10-year data base and 115
NAMS sites in the 3-year data base.  Eighty
percent of the nationwide  CO emissions are
from transportation sources, with the largest
contribution coming from highway  motor
vehicles.  Thus, it is not surprising  that most
of these trends sites are located in urban areas
where the main source of CO is motor vehicle
exhaust; other CO sources  are wood-burning
stoves, incinerators, and industrial sources.

3.1.1  Long-term CO Trends: 1983-92

The 1983-92 composite national average trend
is shown in Figure 3-2 for the second highest
non-overlapping 8-hour CO concentration for
12
  CONCENTRATION, PPM
10-
 8 -
 2-
                                      NAAQS
        ALL SITES (308)
NAMS SITES (95)
     1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
 Figure 3-2. National trend in the composite
 average of the second highest non-overlapping
 8-hour average carbon monoxide concentration at
 both NAMS and all sites with 95 percent
 confidence intervals, 1983-1992.

 the 308 long-term trend sites and the subset of
 95 NAMS sites.  During this  10-year period,
 the national composite average of the annual
 second highest 8-hour concentration decreased
 by  34 percent  and  the subset  of NAMS
 decreased by 33 percent. Both curves show
 similar trends for the NAMS and the larger
 group of long-term trend sites. Nationally, the
 median  rate of improvement between 1983
 and 1992 is  4  percent per  year for the  308
 trend sites, and for the subset of 95 NAMS.
 Except for a  small  upturn between  1985 and
 1986, composite  average 8-hour  CO levels
 have  shown a steady decline throughout this
 period.      The  regional  median  rates  of
 improvement varied from 2 to 7 percent  per
 year.  The greatest improvement was seen in
 the Rocky Mountain  states with a decline in
 CO  levels  of  7  percent per year.   The
 Northeast states saw  median  rates of decline
 of 5 percent per year,  while the Region  IX
 states recorded a 2 percent per year decline in
 CO levels.  The 1992 composite average is the
 lowest composite mean of the past ten years,
 and is significantly lower than the composite
 means for 1990 and earlier years for both the
                                          3-3  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.1  Trends in Carbon Monoxide
308 trend sites, and the subset of 95 NAMS.
This same trend is shown in Figure 3-3 for the
308  trend  sites by a boxplot presentation
which provides additional information on the
year-to-year distribution of ambient CO levels
at these  long-term  trend sites.  The general
long-term improvement in  ambient CO levels
is clear  for  all  the percentiles,  but  the
improvement  is  especially  notable at  the
higher percentile concentrations.
                          CO levels
                         are the lowest
                          of the past
                           10 years.
Figure 3-4  displays
the 10-year  trend in
the  composite
average   of   the
estimated number of
exceedances  of the
8-hour CO NAAQS.  ^^.^^^
This exceedance rate
was  adjusted   to  account  for  incomplete
sampling.  The trend in  exceedances shows
long-term  improvement  but  the  rates  of
change are  much higher than those for the
second maximums. The composite average of
estimated exceedances decreased  94 percent
between 1983 and 1992 for the 308 long-term
trend sites, while  the subset  of  95 NAMS
showed  a  90  percent  decrease.    These
percentage  changes   for exceedances   are
typically much  larger than those found for
peak concentrations.   The trend in annual
second maximum 8-hour values is more likely
to reflect the change  in emission levels,  than
the trend in exceedances.  For both curves, the
1992  composite average  of  the estimated
exceedances is significantly lower  than levels
for 1990 and earlier years.

These long-term trends have emphasized air
quality statistics that are closely related to the
NAAQS.  For many pollutants, this tends to
place an emphasis on peak values,  because
these peak values are associated with health
effects, and thus are considered in any trends
analysis  of  ambient  levels.    While  these
summary  statistics  may be  more  readily
understood with respect to the NAAQS, there
is concern that they may be too variable to be
used as  trend  indicators.   This  issue  was
                                                CONCENTRATION, PPM
                                                   I    I   1
                                                   1983 1984 1985
 I   IIIIl^
1987 1988  1989  1990 1991  1992
                                             Figure 3-3.  Boxplot comparisons of trends in
                                             second highest non-overlapping 8-hour average
                                             carbon monoxide concentrations at 308 sites,
                                             1983-1992.
                                               EST 8-HR EXCEEDANCES
                                                    A ALL SITES (308)
                                                                       I NAMS SITES (95)
                                                   I   T^  I   I    II
                                                  1983  1984  1985  1986  1987 1988
           I
          1990
 I
1992
                                              Figure 3-4.  National trend in the composite
                                              average of the estimated number of exceedances of
                                              the 8-hour carbon monoxide NAAQS, at both
                                              NAMS and all sites with 95 percent confidence
                                              intervals, 1983-1992.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants   3-4

-------
                                                      Section 3.1 Trends in Carbon Monoxide
addressed in last year's report in response to
concerns raised about ozone trend indicators
by a National Academy of Sciences (NAS)
report.2   The concern  was  whether  trend
results using a peak value type of summary
statistic, such as the annual second maximum,
could be overly influenced by data from just a
few days and not necessarily be representative
of an "overall" trend. Last year's report looked
at trends  in alternative summary statistics to
see  if there  were sufficient differences  to
warrant concern. As an example of alternative
trends indicators, the NAS report cited earlier
EPA analyses  which used  a comparison  of
different percentiles and maximum values.3'4
The concentration percentiles are statistically
robust, in the  sense that they are less  affected
by a few extreme values.  The trends analysis
presented last year showed  that the  10-year
trends for all these various alternative carbon
monoxide  summary  statistics were  similar,
however,  there was a  tendency to  show less
percent improvement (become flatter) for the
lower percentile indicators.5

The 10-year 1983-92 trend in national carbon
monoxide  emission estimates is shown  in
Table 3-1. These estimates show a 25  percent
decrease in total emissions between 1983 and
1992. The estimates in this report differ from
those reported last year in several ways. First,
the emissions are now reported in units  of
short tons per year (a short ton is 2,000 Ibs.),
rather than the metric tons (2,205  Ibs)  used in
earlier reports. Thus, these totals are about  10
percent higher due to the change in reporting
units.   Also,  the emissions  from highway
vehicles  have  been recomputed  using the
MOBILES emissions factor model, rather than
the MOBILE4.1 model  used in last year's
report.  This second change yielded a  revised
highway vehicle emissions estimate for 1991
that is 48 percent higher than last year, while
the estimate for 1983 was revised upward by
only  10  percent.    The  highway  vehicle
emissions estimates for the  post-1985 period
use county level data, e.g., VMT,  oxy-fuels,
whereas, the earlier years use state level data.
This input change alone results in a marked
increase in  the  accuracy  of the  emission
estimates.  Finally, the off-highway emissions
for the post-1985 period are based on  1990
survey data  back projected using Bureau of
Economic Analysis (BEA) data.

Figure  3-5 contrasts the 10-year increasing
trend in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) with the
declining trend in carbon monoxide emissions
from  highway  vehicles.   Emissions  from
highway vehicles decreased 30 percent during
the  1983-92  period, despite a  37  percent
increase in vehicle  miles of travel.1   This
indicates  that the  Federal  Motor  Vehicle
Control Program (FMVCP) has been effective
on the national scale, with controls more  than
offsetting  growth   during   this   period.
  % of 1983 Level
      1983 1964 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
        | Hwy CO Emissions | Total VMT
Figure 3-5. Comparison of trends in total
national vehicle miles traveled and national
highway vehicle carbon monoxide emissions,
1983-92.
                                          3-5  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.1  Trends in Carbon Monoxide
While  there  is  general  agreement  between   frequently located to identify local problems.
changes in air quality and emissions  over this   The mix of vehicles and the change in vehicle
10-year period,  it is worth  noting  that  the   miles of travel in the area around a specific
emission changes reflect estimated  national   CO  monitoring  site may  differ from  the
totals,  while  ambient  CO  monitors   are   national averages.
Table 3-1.  National Carbon Monoxide Emission Estimates, 1983-1992
(million short tons/year)
SOURCE
CATEGORY
=uel Combustion -
Electric Utilities
Fuel Combustion -
ndustrial
Fuel Combustion -
Other
Chemical and
Allied Product
Manufacturing
Metals Processing
Petroleum and
Related Industries
Other Industrial
Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and
Transport
Waste Disposal
and Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Natural Sources
Miscellaneous
Total

1983
0.30
0.70
6.72
1.84
1.56
0.48
0.86
0
0
2.03
78.67
14.25
0
8.55
115.96

1984
0.32
0.73
6.76
2.08
1.73
0.38
0.91
0
0
2.03
75.40
15.62
0
7.01
112.97

1985
0.32
0.69
7.01
1.48
1.87
0.43
0.69
0
0.05
1.94
73.52
15.80
0
4.11
107.90

1986
0.29
0.68
6.57
1.81
2.08
0.45
0.72
0
0.09
1.92
70.47
15.66
0
4.16
104.89

1987
0.30
0.68
6.34
1.76
1.98
0.46
0.71
0
0.09
1.85
65.60
15.33
0
4.20
99.30

1988
0.31
0.71
6.17
1.87
2.10
0.44
0.71
0
0.10
1.81
65.22
15.30
0
4.33
99.07
1989
0.32
0.71
5.94
1.88
2.13
0.44
0.72
0
0.10
1.75
60.13
15.00
0
4.29
93.39
1990
0.31
0.72
5.73
1.89
2.08
0.44
0.72
0
0.10
1.69
59.80
14.64
0
4.27
92.38
1991
0.31
0.72
5.58
1.91
1.99
0.44
0.71
0
0.10
1.64
58.83
14.24
0
4.20
90.68
1992
0.31
0.71
5.15
1.87
1.98
0.40
0.72
0
0.10
1.69
55.29
14.68
0
4.27
87.18

NOTE: The sums of sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding.
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-6

-------
                                                     Section 3.1 Trends in Carbon Monoxide
3.1.2  Recent CO Trends: 1990 -1992

This section examines ambient CO  changes
during the last 3 years (1990,1991 and 1992) at
sites that recorded data in all  three years.
Between 1990 and 1992, the composite average
of the second highest non-overlapping 8-hour
average   CO   concentration  at   390  sites
decreased by 11 percent and decreased  by 8
percent at the 115 NAMS sites.  The composite
average   of  the  estimated  number  of
exceedances of  the  8-hour  CO  NAAQS
decreased by  68 percent between 1990 and
1992 at both the 390 trend sites and the 115
NAMS sites. During the last two years, 1991-
92, at the  390 trends  sites  the  composite
average of the second highest non-overlapping
8-hour average CO concentration decreased 7
percent  and   the composite  number  of
estimated   exceedances  decreased  by  49
percent.  Estimated nationwide CO emissions
decreased 4 percent between 1991 and 1992,
            and  CO emissions from highway vehicles
            decreased by 6 percent.

            Figure 3-6  shows  the  composite  Regional
            averages for the 1990-92 time period. Seven of
            the ten Regions had 1992 composite  mean
            levels less than the corresponding 1990 and
            1991 values. Increases in composite mean CO
            levels were  seen in Regions I,  VI, and VIII,
            although 1992 levels still remained less than
            1990 for all Regions.  The increases in Region
            VIII  are attributed to a higher frequency  in
            1992 of unfavorable meteorological conditions,
            i.e., atmospheric inversions, which contributed
            to increased CO levels  in Denver.   These
            Regional graphs are  primarily  intended  to
            depict relative change.  Because the mix  of
            monitoring sites may vary from one area  to
            another, this graph is not intended to indicate
            Regional differences in concentration levels.
          12
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
          10 -
           8 -
COMPOSITE AVERAGE
• 1990  • 1991   EZ-9 1992
        EPA REGION    I     II    III   IV    V    VI   VII   VIII   IX   X
        NO. OF SITES   17   27   44   62   50    34   22    20   98   16

Figure 3-6.  Regional comparisons of 1990, 1991, 1992 composite averages of the second highest non-
overlapping 8-hour average carbon monoxide concentrations.
                                          3-7   Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.1  Trends in Carbon Monoxide
                        Clean Air Act Oxygenated Fuel Program

  The first major clean fuel program operating under the 1990 Amendments to the Clean Air Act, the oxygenated fuel
  program is implemented by state and local air pollution control agencies using guidelines developed by the
  Environmental Protection Agency. The Clean Air Act requires the fuel in all areas not meeting the National Ambient
  Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for carbon monoxide (CO) during the winter months when CO levels are higher.
  Though the winter season varies, the oxygenated fuel program generally operates from November  through
  February.  On November 1,1992, new oxygenated fuel programs began in 20 metropolitan areas outside of
  California, and 8 areas within California. The non-California programs require oxygenated fuels to have an oxygen
  content of 2.7 percent oxygen by weigh! The program implemented in California specifies an oxygen content of
  1.8 to 2.2 percent oxygen by weight. Eight metropolitan areas located in the western states started oxygenated
  fuels programs prior to 1992.

  increasing the oxygen content of gasoline reduces CO emissions by improving fuel combustion, which is less
  efficient at cold temperatures.  CO emissions are particularly high during the first few minutes after an engine is
  started, when it needs extra fuel to warm up.

  Although the initial data indicate that CO levels have declined in areas implementing the oxygenated fuel program,
  there have been some complaints from motorists that pumping the new fuel at self-service pumps has caused
  dizziness or headaches. EPA is working with the Centers for Disease Control, the state of Alaska and industry to
  undertake additional research on the effects of the fuel. EPA expects the research to be completed prior to the
  start of the 1993-94 oxygenated gasoline season.
Comparisons  have  been made  between the
peak CO concentrations recorded during the
fourth quarter (October through December) of
1991  and 1992 in cities with and without the
oxygenated fuels (oxy-fuels) program.  Due to
the  differences  in  the  California program,
those cities were not included in the analysis.
Figure 3-7 presents boxplots of the differences
in the fourth quarter  second highest 8-hour
concentrations between  1991 and 1992 at all
non-California monitoring sites.   As these
boxplots indicate, larger decreases in peak CO
concentrations, on the average, were recorded
in  those   new   areas  which   started  the
oxygenated fuels program, than in areas that
did  not implement the  fuels program.   The
median  percent  changes in the quarterly
second highest 8-hour concentrations  were a
13 percent  decrease  in the  new areas, a  5
percent  decrease in existing oxy-fuels cities,
and 3 percent decrease in non-program cities.
The differences in both the existing program
cities and  the non-program cities likely reflect
the variation due to changes  in meteorological
                                                  conditions,  since   these   areas   did   not
                                                  experience a change in program status.
                                                     Difference, ppm
                                                            New Oxy-fuels  Existing oxy-fuels   No oxy-fuels
                                                             Program      Program      Program
                                                  Figure 3-7.  Boxplot comparison of differences
                                                  between 4th quarter second highest 8-hour
                                                  concentration, 1991-1992.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants   3-8

-------
                                                               Section 3.2 Trends in Lead
3.2 Trends in Lead

Lead  (Pb)  gasoline additives,  nonferrous
smelters and battery plants are the most
significant  contributors  to  atmospheric  Pb
emissions.   Transportation  sources  in 1992
contributed  31  percent   of   the   annual
emissions, down substantially from 81 percent
in 1985. Total lead emissions from all sources
dropped from 20,100 tons in 1985 to 5,000 and
5,200 tons, respectively in 1991 and 1992. The
decrease in  lead  emissions from  highway
vehicles accounts  for essentially all of this
drop.  The reasons  for this drop are noted
below.

Two   air   pollution   control   programs
implemented by EPA before promulgation of
the Pb standard6 in October 1978 have resulted
in lower ambient Pb levels.  First, regulations
issued in the early 1970s required  gradual
reduction of the Pb content of all gasoline over
a period of many years.  The Pb content of the
leaded gasoline pool was reduced from  an
average of 1.0 gram/gallon to 0.5 gram/gallon
on July 1, 1985  and  still further  to  0.1
gram/gallon on January 1, 1986.  Second, as
part of EPA's overall automotive  emission
control  program,   unleaded  gasoline  was
introduced in 1975  for  use in  automobiles
equipped with catalytic control devices. These
devices reduce emissions of carbon monoxide,
volatile organics and nitrogen oxides.  In 1992,
unleaded  gasoline  sales  accounted  for  99
percent of  the  total gasoline  market.   In
contrast, the unleaded share of  the gasoline
market in 1983 was approximately 50 percent.
These programs have essentially eliminated
violations of the lead standard in urban areas
without lead point sources. Programs are also
in  place  to  control Pb   emissions  from
stationary point sources. Pb emissions from
stationary  sources  have been  substantially
reduced by control programs oriented toward
attainment  of  the particulate matter and Pb
ambient  standards,  however,  significant
ambient problems still remain around some
lead point sources, which are the focus of new
monitoring initiatives. Lead emissions in 1992
from industrial sources,  e.g.,  primary  and
secondary lead smelters, dropped by about 91
percent  from  levels  reported   in  1970.
Emissions of lead from solid waste disposal
are down about 66 percent  since  1970.   In
1992, emissions from  solid waste disposal,
industrial processes and transportation were
respectively: 0.7, 2.3 and 1.6 x 103 tons.  The
overall effect of these three control programs
has been a major reduction in the amount of
Pb  in the ambient air.  In addition to  the
above   Pb  pollution   reduction   activities,
additional reductions in Pb are anticipated as
a result  of the Agency's Multi-media Lead
Strategy issued in February, 1991.7 The goal of
the Agency's Lead Strategy is  to  reduce Pb
exposures to the fullest extent practicable.

Exposure to lead can occur through multiple
pathways,  including  inhalation of air  and
ingestion of lead in food, water, soil or dust.
Excessive lead exposure can cause seizures,
mental   retardation  and/or   behavioral
disorders.  Fetuses, infants and children are
especially susceptible to low doses of lead,
resulting in central nervous system damage.
Recent studies have also shown that lead may
be  a factor  in  high  blood  pressure  and
subsequent heart disease in middle-aged white
males.

3.2.1 Long-term Pb Trends: 1983-92

Early trend analyses of ambient  Pb data8'9
were based almost exclusively on National Air
Surveillance Network (NASN)  sites.   These
sites were established in the 1960s to monitor
ambient air quality levels of Total Suspended
Particulate (TSP) and associated  trace metals,
including Pb.  The sites were predominantly
located  in  the central business districts of
larger American cities.  In September 1981,
ambient  Pb  monitoring  regulations  were
promulgated   and  the  current monitoring
network reflects these requirements.10
                                          3-9   Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.2 Trends in Lead
As with the other pollutants, the sites selected
for the long-term trend analysis had to satisfy
annual data completeness criteria of at least 8
out of 10 years of data in the 1983 to 1992
period.  A year was included as "valid" if at
least  3 of  the 4  quarterly  averages were
available. As in last year's report,  composite
lead data, i.e., individual 24-hour observations
composited together by month or quarter and
measured by a single analysis, are being used
in the trend analysis.   Twenty-three sites
qualified for the 10-year trend because of the
addition of composite data.

A total of 203 urban-oriented sites, from 38
States  and  Puerto   Rico,  met  the  data
completeness criteria.  Eighty-three of these
sites were NAMS, the largest number  of lead
NAMS sites to qualify for the 10-year  trends.
Twenty-four (12 percent) of the 203  trend sites
were  located  in  the State   of  California.
However, the lead trend at the California, sites
was identical to the trend at the non-California
sites;  thus  these  sites did not distort  the
overall trends. Other states with 10 or more
trend sites included: Illinois (13), Kansas (16),
Michigan (10), Pennsylvania (10), and Texas
(17).  Again, the  Pb trend in each of these
states was very similar to the national trend.
Sites that were located near lead point sources
such as primary and secondary lead smelters
were excluded from the urban trend analysis,
because the magnitude of the  levels at these
sources  could mask  the  underlying  urban
trends.  Trends at lead point source oriented
sites are discussed later in this section.

The  means  of   the  composite  maximum
quarterly averages  and  their respective  95
percent  confidence intervals are  shown in
Figure 3-8 for both the 203 urban sites and 83
NAMS sites (1983-1992).   There was an 89
percent (1983-92) decrease in  the average for
the 203 urban sites. Lead emissions over this
10-year period also decreased. There was also
an 89 percent decrease in total lead emissions
and a 96 percent decrease in lead emissions
from  transportation sources.  The confidence
intervals for all sites indicate that the  1986-92
                                                CONCENTRATION, UQ/M
i.o
1.6 -
1.4 -
1.2 -
1 -
0.8 -
0.6 -
0.4 -

o? J





NAAQ

• ALL SITES (203) • NAMS SITES (83)


^-K
*--•— ON.
^•\
"--.^H^^

-T*-^ — l-i, ill T
-n n 	 t±-—ti
I I I I i i I I I I

S












     1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
Figure 3-8. National trend in the composite
average of the maximum quarterly average lead
concentration at both NAMS and all sites with
95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992.

averages are significantly less than all averages
from preceding years.  Because of the smaller
number  (83) of NAMS sites with  at  least 8
years of data, the  confidence  intervals  are
wider. However, the 1986-92 NAMS averages
are still significantly different from  all  NAMS
averages before 1986.  It is interesting  to note
that the composite average lead concentration
at the NAMS sites  in 1992 is about the same
(0.050  ug/m3)  as   the  "all sites" average;
whereas  in the early 1980s the averages of the
NAMS sites were significantly higher.

Figure 3-9 shows boxplot comparisons of the
maximum quarterly average Pb concentrations
at  the  203  urban-oriented Pb trend  sites
(1983-92).  This  figure  shows  the dramatic
improvement in ambient Pb  concentrations
over the  entire distribution of trend sites.  As
with the composite  average concentration
since 1983, most of the percentiles also  show a
monotonically decreasing pattern.   The  203
urban-oriented  sites that qualified for  the
1983-92 period, is  slightly less than the 209
sites which qualified for 1982-91 and is almost
the same number of sites (202) which qualified
for 1981-90.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-10

-------
                                                                Section 3.2 Trends in Lead
2.5
   CONCENTRATION, UG/M3
                                                 CONCENTRATION UG/M3
 2 -
1.5
0.5
                               203 SITES
                                   NAAQS
  o J	1	1	i—
      1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992

Figure 3-9.  Boxplot comparisons of trends in
maximum quarterly average lead concentrations
at 203 sites,  1983-1992.

Figure 3-10 shows the trend in average lead
concentrations for the urban-oriented sites and
for  59 point-source oriented sites which also
met the 10-year data completeness  criteria.
Composite   average   ambient   lead
concentrations at the point-source oriented
sites, located near industrial sources of lead,
e.g., smelters and battery plants, improved 63
percent, compared to 89 percent at the urban
oriented sites. The average at the point-source
oriented sites dropped in magnitude from 2.0
to 0.7 ug/m3, a 1.3 ug/m3 difference; whereas,
the average at the urban sites  dropped from
0.4  to 0.04 ug/m3.  This improvement at the
point-source  oriented   sites  reflects  both
industrial  and automotive  lead emission
controls, but in   some  cases,  the industrial
source  reductions  are because  of  plant
shutdowns.  However, there are still several
urban areas where  significant Pb problems
persist. The 6 MSAs shown in Table 5-6 that
are  above the lead NAAQS in 1992 are all due
to  lead  point sources.    These  MSAs  are
Cleveland, OH; Indianapolis, IN; Memphis,
TN-AR-MS;  Omaha,  NE-IA;  Philadelphia,
PA-NJ; and St Louis, MO-IL.  None of the
monitoring  sites responsible for 1992  lead
concentrations   above   the  NAAQS   had
                                                     POINT SOURCE SITES (59   0 URBAN SITES (203)
                                              2.5 -
                                              1.5 --
                                              05-
                                                       ~1    I	1	1	1	1	T
                                                   1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992

                                             Figure 3-10. Comparison of national trend in
                                             the composite average of the maximum quarterly
                                             average lead concentrations at urban and point-
                                             source oriented sites,  1983-1992.

                                             sufficient historical  data to be included in the
                                             point-source oriented trends discussed above.
                                             The sites in these MSAs which recorded lead
                                             concentrations above the  NAAQS were  sites
                                             situated near the lead point sources listed in
                                             EPA's Lead Strategy. This strategy targeted 28
                                             primary or secondary lead smelters and three
                                             other stationary sources  for  more intensive
                                             lead monitoring.   Figure  3-11 shows  the
                                             highest  quarterly average Pb concentrations
                                             recorded during 1992 in the vicinity of these
                                             sources.    At present,  various  types  of
                                             enforcement  and/or regulatory actions  are
                                             being actively pursued by the EPA, with the
                                             States involved, for all lead point  sources
                                             which have reported lead levels above  the
                                             NAAQS. This is especially the case, as can be
                                             seen on the map, where exceptionally high
                                             lead levels have been  reported.   The  lead
                                             sources  reporting the highest 1992 quarterly
                                             lead averages in micrograms per cubic meter
                                             include: Master Metals (37.4), Franklin Smelter
                                             (17.6), Chemetco (11.8), and ASARCO Glover
                                             (9.7).   Although  significant  problems  still
                                             remain as indicated by the  map,  there have
                                             been some success stories on point source lead
                                             problems. Two examples appear later in this
                                             section.
                                         3-11  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.2 Trends in Lead
Table 3-2 summarizes the Pb emissions data.
The 1983-92 drop in total Pb emissions was 89
percent. Lead emissions in the transportation
category account for most of this drop.  Lead
emissions from the other categories show only
small changes over the 1983-92 time period.
The percent decrease (1983-92)  in total lead
emissions  is the same (89 percent) as  the
change  in  the   average   ambient  lead
concentrations.  The drop in Pb  consumption
and subsequent Pb emissions  since 1983 was
brought  about by the increased  use of
unleaded gasoline in  catalyst-equipped cars
and the reduced Pb content in leaded gasoline.
The results of these actions in 1992 amounted
to a 74 percent reduction nationwide in total
Pb emissions from 1985 levels.   As noted
previously, unleaded gasoline represented 99
percent of 1992 total gasoline sales. Although
the good agreement among the trend in lead
consumption, emissions and ambient levels is
based upon a limited geographical sample, it
does show that ambient urban Pb levels are
responding  to the drop in lead emissions.
                                                               37.4
                                                                       17.6
Lead Point Sources
Max Quarterly Mean
 Figure 3-11.  Map depicting maximum quarterly mean lead concentrations in the vicinity of lead
 point sources, 1992.
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants 3-12

-------
                                                                Section 3.2  Trends in Lead
Table 3-2.  National Lead Emission Estimates, 1983-1992
(thousand short tons/year)
SOURCE
CATEGORY
Fuel Combustion -
Electric Utilities
Fuel Combustion -
Industrial
Fuel Combustion -
Other
Chemical and Allied
Product
Manufacturing
Metals Processing
Petroleum and
Related Industries
Other Industrial
Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and
Transport
Waste Disposal and
Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Natural Sources
Miscellaneous
Total
1983
0.09
0.03
0.55
0.14
2.03
0
0.53
0
0
0.91
42.70
2.27
0
0
49.23
1984
0.09
0.03
0.42
0.13
1.92
0
0.48
0
0
0.90
35.93
2.31
0
0
42.22
1985
0.06
0.03
0.42
0.12
2.10
0
0.32
0
0
0.87
15.98
0.23
0
0
20.12
1986
0.07
0.03
0.42
0.11
1.82
0
0.20
0
0
0.84
3.59
0.22
0
0
7.30
1987
0.06
0.02
0.43
0.12
1.82
0
0.20
0
0
0.84
3.12
0.22
0
0
6.84
1988
0.07
0.02
0.43
0.14
1.92
0
0.17
0
0
0.82
2.70
0.21
0
0
6.46
1989
0.07
0.02
0.42
0.14
2.15
0
0.17
0
0
0.77
2.16
0.21
0
0
6.10
1990
0.06
0.02
0.42
0.14
2.14
0
0.17
0
0
0.80
1.69
0.20
0
0
5.63
1991
0.06
0.02
0.42
0.13
1.94
0
0.17
0
0
0.58
1.52
0.18
0
0
5.01

1992
0.06
0.02
0.42
0.14
2.07
0
0.14
0
0
0.74
1.38
0.21
0
0
5.18

NOTE: The sums of sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding.
The 10-year trend at the  59 point source
oriented sites shows a much larger decline in
lead concentrations (-63 percent), than did lead
emissions  from   industrial  processes   (-13
percent).     The   improvement   in  lead
concentrations  at  the point source oriented
sites reflect improvements at a relatively small
number of lead sources. The emission figures
for industrial processes represent all industrial
sources in the nation.  It is interesting to note
that  the  lead  emissions  from  industrial
processes  are lowest in 1986 (2.13X103 tons)
then rise  slightly  to  2.35X103  tons in 1992.
On the other hand, the trend in point source
oriented sites shows a decline over this period,
although there is a small increase in average
lead concentrations in 1988.

In Canada a very similar trend in ambient lead
concentrations has been observed. Composite
average lead concentrations  declined over 95
percent for the 1974-90 time period.11  Also,
average ambient Pb concentrations in Tokyo,
Japan12 have dropped from around 1.0 ug/m3
in 1967 to approximately 0.1  ug/m3 in 1985 —
a 90 percent improvement.
                                         3-13  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
 Section 3.2 Trends in Lead
 3.2.2 Recent Pb Trends: 1990-92

 Ambient Pb trends were also studied over the
 shorter period 1990-92. A total of 235 urban
 sites from 37 States met the data requirement
 that a site have all 3 years with data. In recent
 years,  the number of lead sites has dropped
 because of  the  elimination  of  some  TSP
 monitors  from state and local air monitoring
 programs. Lead measurements were obtained
 from the  TSP  filters.  Some monitors were
 eliminated due to the change in the particulate
 matter  standard  from TSP to PM-10 while
 others were discontinued because of the very
 low lead  concentrations measured in many
 urban   locations.   Although  some  further
 attrition may  occur,  the  core  network of
 NAMS lead sites together with supplementary
 State and local sites should be sufficient to
 assess  national ambient lead trends.   The
 3-year  data  base  (1990-92)  showed  an
 improvement of 25 percent  in  composite
 average urban Pb concentrations. However,
 the 1990 and 1992 lead averages respectively
 were extremely low 0.059  and 0.044 ug/m3.
 Between 1990  and  1992, total Pb emissions
 decreased 8 percent and lead emissions from
 transportation  sources dropped 16 percent.
 Most of this decrease in total nationwide Pb
 emissions  was due once again to the decrease
 in automotive Pb emissions. Even this larger
 group   of   sites   was   disproportionately
 weighted  by  sites  in California,  Illinois,
 Kansas, Pennsylvania and Texas. These States
 had about  38 percent  of the  235 sites
 represented. However, the percent changes in
 1990-92 average Pb  concentrations for these
 five States were very similar to the percent
 change  for the  remaining sites, thus  the
 contributions of these sites did not distort the
national  trends.     Although  urban lead
concentrations continue to decline consistently,
there are  indications  that  the rate  of  the
decline  has slowed down.   Clearly in some
areas,  urban lead  levels  are so  low,  that
further improvements have become difficult.
 Indeed, as will be shown later, all sections of
 the country are showing declines in average
 lead concentrations.  Eighty (80) point source
 oriented sites showed a 12 percent decline in
 average  lead levels over  the 1990-92  time
 period.  Thus,  lead concentrations near lead
 point sources unlike the urban sites, which
 showed a 25 percent decrease, have improved
 to a lesser extent over the last 3 years. Lead
 emissions from industrial processes also did
 not change much during the 1990-92 period.
 As expected, the average lead levels at the
 point source oriented sites are much higher
 here than at the urban  sites.  The 1991 and
 1992 lead point source averages were 0.82 and
 0.76 ug/m3 respectively.

 The larger sample of sites represented in the
 3-year trends database (1990-92) will be used
 to compare the most recent individual yearly
 averages.  However, for  the  10-year  time
 period the largest single year drop in average
 lead concentrations, 43  percent, occurs as
 expected between  1985 and 1986, because of
 the shift of the lead content in leaded gasoline.
 The   1992  composite   average   lead
 concentrations show the more modest decline
 of 9 percent  from 1991  levels.  The 10-year
 data base showed a 12 percent decrease in
 average lead concentrations from 1991 to 1992,
while total lead  emissions increased  by 3
percent.  There  has been a 6 percent decrease
in  estimated   Pb   emissions  for   the
transportation  category between 1991  and
 1992, while, VMT increased 2 percent between
 1991 and 1992.  The Pb emissions trend is
expected to continue downward, but at a
slower rate,  primarily  because the leaded
gasoline market is  almost gone.  Some major
petroleum  companies  have   discontinued
refining  leaded  gasoline  because  of  the
dwindling  market, so that  in the future  the
consumer will find it very difficult to purchase
regular leaded gasoline.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-14

-------
                                                               Section 3.2 Trends in Lead
Figure  3-12  shows  1990,  1991  and  1992
composite average Pb concentrations, by EPA
Region.    Once  again  the  larger  more
representative 3-year data base of 235 sites
was used for this comparison. The number of
sites varies dramatically by Region from 7 in
Region X  to 37 in Region V.  In all regions,
except Region IV,  there is a decrease  in
                average Pb urban concentrations between 1990
                and 1992. These results confirm that average
                Pb   concentrations  in   urban  areas  are
                continuing to decrease throughout the country,
                which is exactly  what is to be  expected
                because of the national air pollution  control
                program in place for Pb.
            CONCENTRATION, UG/M3
        1.4 -
       1.2 -
         1  -
       0.8 ~
       0.6 -
       0.4 -
       0.2 ~
                                 COMPOSITE AVERAGE

                                 • 1990    • 1991    O 1992
      EPA REGION      I
      NO. OF SITES     19
11
III     IV     V    VI    VII   VIII   IX     X
37    33     37    27    23    7    34     7
Figure 3-12. Regional comparisons of the 1990, 1991, 1992 composite average of the maximum
quarterly average lead concentrations.
                                         3-15  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.2  Trends in Lead
                                 Lead Sources: Two Examples

  The phase-out of lead in gasoline has largely addressed high lead concentrations in the air nationwide. However,
  high lead concentrations still remain around some stationary lead sources, in 1990, EPA initiated a lead attainment
   agencies, industry and EPA are working together in partnership to reduce pollution follow.

   Doe Run, Herculaneum, Missouri - In 1988 the Doe Run smelter in Herculaneum Missouri was one of the few
   industrial sources in the country that was being monitored for lead. The lead concentrations at this smelter in that
   the standard).

   In October of 1988, EPA, the State and the company began to address these high concentrations by revising the
   operating requirements for the source. Changes made by the plant resulted in reductions in the concenfration of
   lead around the facility. However, from 1989 to 1991 the concentration remained above the standard. As a result,
   the area was designated as nonattainment for lead effective January 6,1992.

   Even though the concentrations of lead in the atmosphere remain above the health based standard, the efforts have
   been successful in dropping the lead concentrations from the high level in the eighties to the current average
   concentrations of 2,4 u.gftn* for 1992.  The plant Is continuing to implement the new requirements established In
   their implementation plans and should continue to make progress in lowering the lead concentrations at the source.

   Sanders Lead, Troy, Alabama -  In 1988 and 1989,5 violations of the national ambient air quality standards were
   recorded at this secondary lead smelter. As a result of the violations EPA requested the Governor of Alabama to
   designate Pike County as "nonattainment" for lead. In lieu of the nonattainment designation, the company installed
   new control measures which addressed the air quality problems. Also, the State developed federally enforceable
   permit requirements for these new control measures to ensure that as long as the source compiled with those
   requirements the lead concentration will be maintained below the standard. As of the end of 1992 there have been
   no further violations of the air quality standards at the facility.

   These are two examples of different approaches to addressing lead air quality problems. In the first case, EPA and
   the State employed the more formal regulatory process of nonattainment designation. In the second, reductions
   were achieved without requiring this  formal procedure. The success at these and other sources is achieved
   because EPA and the States are working together to evaluate the most appropriate method to deal with the specific
   problem.
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-16

-------
                                                      Section 3.3  Trends in Nitrogen Dioxide
3.3  Trends in Nitrogen Dioxide

Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is a brownish, highly
reactive  gas  which  is   present  in urban
atmospheres. Nitrogen dioxide can irritate the
lungs, cause bronchitis and  pneumonia,  and
lower  resistance  to  respiratory  infections.
Nitrogen oxides are an important precursor
both to ozone and acidic precipitation  and
may  affect  both  terrestrial  and  aquatic
ecosystems.  The major mechanism for the
formation of NO2 in the atmosphere is the
oxidation of the primary  air pollutant, nitric
oxide (NO).   Nitrogen oxides  play  a major
role,   together   with   volatile   organic
compounds, in the atmospheric reactions that
produce ozone. Nitrogen oxides form when
fuel is burned at high temperatures. The two
major  emissions sources are transportation
and stationary fuel combustion sources such
as electric utility and industrial boilers.

NO2  is  measured   using  a  continuous
monitoring instrument which can collect as
many as 8,760 hourly observations per year.
Only annual means based on  at least 4,380
                        hourly observations were considered  in the
                        trends analyses which follow. A total of 183
                        sites were selected for the 10-year period and
                        236 sites were selected  for  the  3-year data
                        base.

                        3.3.1  Long-term N02 Trends: 1983-92

                        The composite average long-term trend for the
                        nitrogen dioxide mean concentrations at the
                        183 trend  sites  and  the 43  NAMS sites,  is
                        shown  in  Figure  3-13.    The  95 percent
                        confidence  intervals  about the  composite
                        means reveal that the 1983-89 NO2 levels are
                        statistically indistinguishable.    The 1992
                        composite  average NO2 level, which is the
                        smallest mean of  the past  ten  years, is 8
                        percent lower than the  1983 level, and the
                        difference is statistically significant. A  similar
                        trend is seen for the NAMS sites which, for
                        NO2,  are located only in large urban areas
                        with populations of one million or greater. As
                        expected,  the  composite  averages   of the
                        NAMS are higher than those of all sites.  The
         0.06
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
         0.05-


         0.04-


         0.03


         0.02 -


         0.01 -
         0.00
                                                                   NAAQS
l	i	i	1
                      ALL SITES (183)
                                NAMS SITES  (43)
                    I      I     I      I      I     I      (ill
                  1983  1984 1985  1986  1987  1988 1989  1990  1991  1992
Figure 3-13.  National trend in the composite annual average nitrogen dioxide concentration at both
NAMS and all sites with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992.
                                          3-17  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.3 Trends in Nitrogen Dioxide
1992 composite average of the NO2  annual
mean concentration at the 43 NAMS is  11
percent lower than the composite average in
1983. This difference is statistically significant.

Long-term trends  in NO2 annual  average
concentrations are also displayed in Figure
3-14 with the use of boxplots.  The  middle
quartiles for the years 1983 through 1990 are
similar, while a decrease in levels can be seen
beginning in 1990.   The upper percentiles,
which  generally reflect NO2  annual mean
levels in the Los Angeles metropolitan area,
also show improvement during the last three
years.   The  lower  percentiles show  little
change. Long-term NO2 annual mean trends
vary with population size among metropolitan
areas.  Previous reports have shown that the
level of the NO2 composite means varied by
metropolitan  area size, with the larger areas
recording the higher concentration levels.13
                            Last year's report presented a comparison of
                            the  10-year trend in the annual arithmetic
                            mean  NO2  concentration with  the  10-year
                            trends in various alternative NO2 air quality
                            indicators. The trends in the peak indicators,
                            both the annual  maximum and the second
                            maximum 1-hour NO2 concentrations, showed
                            a much steeper decline than for the annual
                            arithmetic  mean  concentrations.5     The
                            reductions in the various percentiles  of the
                            hourly NO2 concentrations were similar to that
                            observed in  the annual  arithmetic  mean
                            concentration.

                            Table  3-3 presents the  trend in  estimated
                            nationwide  emissions  of  nitrogen  oxides
                            (NOX).  Total 1992 nitrogen oxides emissions
                            are 5 percent higher than 1983 emissions.  Fuel
                            combustion emissions, which are  9 percent
                            higher  in 1992 than  in 1983, have remained
                            relatively constant during  the last 5 years.
                            Most  of the decreases in  mobile  source
     0.07
            CONCENTRATION, PPM
      0.06

      0.05 -

      0.04 -

      0.03 -

      0.02 -

      0.01 -
      0.00
                                                   183 SITES

                                                      NAAQS
  i      i      i       I      i      i      i      i       r     i
1983 1984 1985  1986  1987  1988 1989 1990 1991  1992
Figure 3-14. Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual mean nitrogen dioxide concentrations at 183
sites, 1983-1992.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-18

-------
                                                      Section 3.3 Trends in Nitrogen Dioxide
emissions occurred in urban areas. Table 3-3
shows that the two primary source categories
of  nitrogen  oxides  emissions  are  fuel
combustion and transportation, composing 51
percent and 45 percent, respectively, of total
1992 nitrogen oxides emissions.  As noted in
previous sections,  the emissions estimates in
this report have been recomputed using the
MOBILES emissions factor model, rather than
the MOBILE4.1 model used in the last annual
report. This change yielded a revised estimate
for 1991 highway emissions that is 30 percent
higher than last year's estimate.  The reporting
units have also been changed since last year,
from metric tons to short tons.
Table 3-3. National Nitrogen Oxides Emission Estimates, 1983-1992
(million short tons/year)
SOURCE
CATEGORY
Fuel
Combustion -
Electric Utilities
Fuel
Combustion -
Industrial
Fuel
Combustion -
Other
Chemical and
Allied Product
Manufacturing
Metals Processing
Petroleum and
Related Industries
Other Industrial
Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and
Transport
Waste Disposal
and Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Natural Sources
Miscellaneous
Total
1983
6.92
3.16
0.65
0.15
0.05
0.07
0.19
0
0
0.09
r 8.10
2.39
0
0.25
22.01
1984
7.27
3.41
0.67
0.16
0.05
0.07
0.20
0
0
0.09
7.95
2.54
0
0.21
22.63
1985
6.68
3.42
0.70
0.16
0.07
0.12
0.33
0
0
0.09
8.11
2.60
0
0.13
22.42
1986
6.91
3.28
0.69
0.38
0.08
0.11
0.33
0
0
0.09
7.63
2.65
0
0.13
22.28
1987
7.13
3.29
0.71
0.37
0.08
0.10
0.32
0
0
0.09
7.87
2.72
0
0.13
22.81

1988
7.53
3.44
0.74
0.40
0.08
0.10
0.32
0
0
0.09
7.98
2.83
0
0.13
23.63

1989
7.61
3.48
0.73
0.39
0.08
0.10
0.31
0
0
0.08
7.70
2.86
0
0.13
23.48

1990
7.53
3.54
0.73
0.40
0.08
0.10
0.31
0
0
0.08
7.82
2.84
0
0.13
23.56

1991
7.48
3.60
0.75
0.40
0.08
0.10
0.30
0
0
0.08
7.72
2.77
0
0.13
23.41

1992
7.47
3.52
0.73
0.40
0.08
0.09
0.30
0
0
0.08
7.48
2.85
0
0.13
23.15

NOTE: The sums of sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding.
                                         3-19  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.3 Trends in Nitrogen Dioxide
3.3.2 Recent N02 Trends:  1990-1992

Between 1991 and 1992, the composite annual
mean NO2 concentration  at 235  sites, with
complete data  during the last three  years,
decreased 3 percent. This followed no change
in the composite mean between 1990 and 1991.
At the  subset of 50  NAMS, the composite
mean  concentration  decreased  4 percent
between 1991 and 1992. Los Angeles, CA, the
only urban area that has recorded violations of
the annual average NO2 standard during the
past 10 years, had air quality levels meeting
the NO2 NAAQS for the  first time in 1992.
Nationwide emissions of nitrogen oxides are
estimated to have decreased 2 percent between
1990 and 1992, due primarily to the 3 percent
reduction   in  NOX   emissions   from
transportation sources.

Regional trends in the composite average NO2
concentrations  for  the  years  1990-92 are
displayed in Figure 3-15 with bar graphs.
Region X, which did not have any NO2 sites
meeting the 3-year data completeness  and
continuity criteria, is not shown.

Five of the nine Regions have 1992 composite
average NO2 annual mean concentrations that
are lower  than the 1990 and 1991 composite
mean levels.   The four remaining Regions
recorded increases between 1991 and  1992,
although Region IV 1992 levels are still less
than the corresponding 1990 composite mean.
These Regional graphs are primarily intended
to depict relative change.  Because the mix of
monitoring sites may vary from one area to
another, this graph is not intended to indicate
Regional differences in absolute concentration
levels.
         Los Angeles met the
      NO2 NAAQS for the first
              time in 1992,
         0.040
               CONCENTRATION, PPM
                                  COMPOSITE AVERAGE
                                  • 1990   • 1991   CD 1992
          EPA REGION    1     II    III   IV    V   VI   VII   VIII    IX
          NO. OF SITES  17   12   35   22   23   26   11   10    79
Figure 3-15. Regional comparisons of 1990, 1991, 1992 composite averages of the annual mean
nitrogen dioxide concentrations.
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-20

-------
                                                              Section 3.4 Trends in Ozone
3.4 Trends in Ozone

Ozone (O3) is a photochemical oxidant and the
major component of smog. While ozone in the
upper  atmosphere is  beneficial  to life by
shielding the  earth from harmful ultraviolet
radiation from the sun, high concentrations of
ozone at ground level are a major health and
environmental concern. Ozone is not emitted
directly  into the  air but is formed through
complex chemical reactions between precursor
emissions of volatile organic compounds and
nitrogen oxides in the presence of sunlight.
These reactions are stimulated by sunlight and
temperature so that peak ozone levels occur
typically during the warmer times of the year.
Both volatile organic compounds and nitrogen
oxides  are  emitted  by  transportation and
industrial   sources.     Volatile   organic
compounds  are  emitted  from sources  as
diverse as autos, chemical manufacturing, and
dry cleaners, paint shops and other sources
using solvents.   Nitrogen  oxides  emissions
were discussed in the previous section.

The reactivity of ozone causes health problems
because it damages lung tissue, reduces lung
function, and sensitizes  the lungs  to other
irritants.  Scientific  evidence indicates that
ambient levels of ozone not only affect people
with impaired respiratory  systems, such  as
asthmatics, but healthy adults and children, as
well.  Exposure to ozone for several hours at
relatively low concentrations has been found
to  significantly   reduce  lung function  in
normal, healthy people during exercise.  This
decrease  in  lung  function  generally  is
accompanied by  symptoms including chest
pain,  coughing,  sneezing   and pulmonary
congestion.

The O3 NAAQS  is defined in terms of the
daily maximum,  that is, the highest  hourly
average for the day,  and it specifies that the
expected number of days per year with values
greater than 0.12  ppm  should not be greater
than one.  Both  the annual  second highest
daily  maximum  and the  number  of daily
exceedances  during the  ozone  season are
considered  in  this  analysis.   The  strong
seasonality of ozone levels makes it possible
for areas to limit their ozone monitoring to a
certain portion of the year, termed the ozone
season.  The length of the ozone season varies
from one area of the country to another.  May
through October is typical but States in the
south and southwest may monitor the entire
year.  Northern States have shorter ozone
seasons such as May through September for
North Dakota. This analysis uses these ozone
seasons to ensure that the data completeness
requirements apply to the relevant portions of
the year.

The trends site selection process, discussed in
Section 2.1 yielded 509 sites for the 1983-92
trends data base, and 672 sites for the 1990-92
data base.  The NAMS compose 196 of the
long-term trends sites and 222 of the sites in
the 3-year data base.

3.4.1 Long-term 03  Trends: 1983-92

Figure  3-16 displays the  10-year composite
average trend for the  second highest day
during the ozone season for the 509 trends
sites and the subset of  196 NAMS sites.  The
1992 composite average for the 509 trend sites
is 21 percent lower than the 1983 average and
20 percent lower for the subset of 196 NAMS.
The 1992  value  is the  lowest composite
average of the past ten  years.   The  1992
composite average is significantly less than all
the previous nine years, 1983-91. As discussed
in  previous reports, the relatively high ozone
concentrations in both 1983 and 1988 are likely
attributed  in part  to  hot, dry,  stagnant
conditions  in   some   areas   of  the
country that  were  more conducive  to ozone
formation than other  years.   Peak  ozone
concentrations typically occur during hot, dry,
stagnant  summertime  conditions   (high
temperature and strong solar insolation).14'15

The interpretation  of recent ozone trends is
difficult due  to the  confounding factors  of
                                         3-21  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.4  Trends in Ozone
 0.18
    CONCENTRATION, PPM
 0.16-
 012
 0.10 -
 0.04-
 002-
 000
                                   NAAQS
      A ALL SITES (509)
                         • NAMS SITES (196)
       i    i   i   I   i   i   ir  ir^
      1983  1984 1985 1986 1987  1988 1989 1990 1991  1992
Figure 3-16. National trend in the composite
average of the second highest maximum 1-hour
ozone concentration at both NAMS and all sites
with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992.

meteorology and emission changes.  Just as
the increase in 1988 is attributed in  part to
meteorological conditions, the 1992 decrease is
likely  due,  in  part,   to   meteorological
conditions  being  less  favorable  for  ozone
formation  in   1992 than in  other  recent
years.13'16 Previous reports have compared the
regional   variability   in   meteorological
parameters  such  as  maximum  daily
temperature with the variability in peak ozone
concentrations.13'16

Nationally, summer 1992 was the third coolest
summer   on   record.17    Also,   precursor
emissions  of  nitrogen oxides  and  volatile
organic compound emissions from highway
vehicles have decreased in urban areas.  The
volatility of gasoline  was reduced by  new
regulations  which  lowered national average
summertime Reid  Vapor Pressure (RVP)  in
regular unleaded gasoline from 10.0 to 8.9
pounds per square inch (psi) between 1988
and   1989.18'19'20    RVP  was  reduced  an
additional 3 percent between 1989 and 1990.21

The inter-site variability of the annual second
highest daily maximum concentrations for the
509 site data base is displayed in Figure 3-17.
The years 1983 and 1988 values are similarly
high, while the remaining years in the 1983-92
period are generally lower, with 1992 being
the lowest, on average.  The  distribution of
second daily maximum 1-hour concentrations
in 1992 is lower than any previous year.

Figure 3-18 depicts the 1983-92 trend for the
composite   average   number   of   ozone
exceedances.   This statistic is adjusted for
missing data,  and it  reflects the number of
days  that the ozone  standard is  exceeded
during  the  ozone season.  Since  1983, the
expected number of exceedances decreased 65
percent at the 509 long-term trend sites and 67
percent at the subset of 196 NAMS.  Because
ozone trends  have not  shown a consistent
directional  pattern,   the  percent   change
between the endpoints for the 10-year period,
1983-92,   has  to  be  recognized   as  a
simplification, particularly because 1983 was a
relatively high year.    As with  the second
maximum, the  1983   and 1988  values are
higher than the other  years in the 1983-92
period.   The  composite averages  of  ozone
estimated exceedances  for the  years 1989
through  1992 levels  are significantly lower
than all the previous years.

Historically, the long-term ozone trends in this
annual  report have  emphasized air quality
statistics  that are closely related  to the
NAAQS.  A  recent report2 by the  National
Academy of Sciences (NAS) stated that "the
principal  measure currently used  to  assess
ozone trends  (i.e., the second-highest daily
maximum 1-hour concentration  in a given
year) is highly sensitive  to  meteorological
fluctuations and is not a reliable measure of
progress in reducing ozone over several years
for a given area."  The report recommended
that  "more  statistically robust methods be
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-22

-------
                                                           Section 3.4 Trends in Ozone
      0.25
            CONCENTRATION, PPM
      0.20 -
      0.15 -
       0.10 -
       0.05 H
       0.00
                                                             509 SITES
                                                                        AAQS
                1983  1984 1985 1986  1987  1988  1989 1990 1991  1992
Figure 3-17.  Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual second highest daily maximum 1-hour ozone
concentration at 509 sites, 1983-1992.
      15
          NO. OF EXCEEDANCES
      10 -
       5 -
       0
               A ALL SITES (509)
NAMS SITES (196)
                iiiir^    iii      r      i
              1983  1984  1985  1986  1987  1988  1989  1990  1991  1992
Figure 3-18.  National trend in the estimated number of daily exceedances of the ozone NAAQS in the
ozone season at both NAMS and all sites with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992.
                                       3-23  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.4  Trends in Ozone
developed  to  assist  in  tracking progress in
reducing  ozone."    The  report  described
"several other  potentially robust indicators of
ozone   trends"   and   featured   indicators
described previously by Curran and  Frank
which   used  a  comparison  of  different
percentiles and maximum values4.  Of course,
the main focus of this report is to track the
trends   in  the  quality  of air people  are
breathing when outdoors, therefore, it makes
sense to use a summary statistic that clearly
relates   to  the ozone  air  quality standard.
Nevertheless, in last year's report we looked at
trends in alternative summary statistics to see
if there are sufficient differences among trends
for different summary statistics  to  warrant
concern.   All of the  trends patterns were
somewhat similar among the various summary
statistics, with a tendency to become flatter in
the lower  percentiles.   That  is, these more
robust indicators, the percentiles, showed less
improvement,  i.e., smaller percentage changes,
than the current trends indicator of the annual
second   maximum   1-hour  concentration.
However,  the peak  years  of  1983 and 1988
were still evident in the trend lines  for each
robust indicator.5

The influence of meteorological conditions,
particularly   temperature,  on   ozone
concentrations has  been  well established.
Although  the  particular  combination  of
meteorological   variables   most  closely
associated with high ozone events varies from
location to location,  high temperatures, clear
skies, light winds and limited vertical mixing
generally result in the highest ozone  events.

EPA has  initiated  a   study to  investigate
techniques  for  adjusting  ozone  trends for
meteorological influences. One of the  methods
is a statistical model in which the frequency
distribution   of   ozone   concentrations  is
described  as  a  function  of meteorological
parameters.  Cox and  Chu model the daily
maximum  ozone   concentration  using  a
Weibull distribution  with  a  fixed  shape
parameter  and   a  scale  parameter  the
logarithm of which varies as a linear function
of several meteorological variables and a year
index.22   Model  parameters  are  fit  via
maximum likelihood.  The fitted distribution
can  be  used to  estimate  percentiles  and
threshold exceedance  probabilities  for  the
daily maximum  ozone concentration given a
fixed set of meteorological conditions in each
modeled city.   Cox and   Chu  test for  a
statistically significant trend term to determine
if an underlying  meteorologically  adjusted
trend can be detected. The model can also be
used to calculate "meteorologically adjusted"
estimates of  the upper percentiles of daily
maximum concentrations in each year. These
estimates are obtained by substituting a one-
year sequence of adjusted daily meteorological
variables into the Weibull  scale parameter
equation and finding the concentration value
exceeded on 1 percent of days over the course
of the  year.  The adjusted meteorological
variables  are  obtained   via   a  linear
transformation  of  the  actual  daily  values
observed over  the   10-year  period  being
analyzed.

The  results of application of the model to a
number  of   urban areas  are  encouraging.
Figure  3-19  displays   ambient air quality
trends,  and  meteorologically adjusted ozone
trends  for  43  metropolitan  areas.   The
"adjusted" trend indicator shown in Figure 3-
19   is   the   composite   mean   of   the
meteorologically adjusted 99th percentile daily
maximum 1-hour concentrations across each of
the 43  individual  metropolitan areas.  The
smoothing introduced by the meteorological
adjustment is especially evident in the  ozone
trends where the peak  ozone years, such as
1983 and 1988, have been followed by years
less  conducive  to ozone  formation.   The
general pattern  is  clear, a steady downward
trend.   The  composite average of the 99th
percentile   daily   maximum   1-hour
concentrations in 1992 is 10 percent lower than
the 1983 level. This composite trend captures
the  spatial  and   temporal  variability  in
meteorological  conditions  among  these  43
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-24

-------
                                                              Section 3.4  Trends in Ozone
         Concentration, ppm
u. 10
0.16
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
1
- v. ^.^


"•-.. ..-•'"••.
	 	 -"f
	 I
Met Adjusted Trend-43 MSA's
(99th percentile daily max 1 -hr cone.)
>V 	 ~-
Unadjusted Ozone Trend-43 MSA's*"---,^
"-.,(99th percentile daily max 1-hr cone.)
*»^
National Composite Mean Ozone Trend 	 —
(Annual 2nd Daily Max 1-hr)
Actual (43 MSA's) Met Adjusted (43 MSA's) National (509 sites) |
(99th Percentile) (99th Percentile) (2nd Daily Max 1-hr) |

I i i i I I
983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988
— -™-^j
I I I I
1989 1990 1991 1992
Figure 3-19. Comparison of meteorologically adjusted, and unadjusted, trends in the composite
average of the second highest maximum 1-hour concentration for 43 MSAs, 1983-1992.
metropolitan areas.   As  illustrated by  this
figure, the composite trend in the unadjusted
99th  percentile  daily  maximum  1-hour
concentration for these 43 metropolitan areas
tracks the national composite ozone trend in
the second  highest daily maximum  1-hour
concentration.   Thus, the  meteorologically
adjusted trend is likely  to  be a reasonable
indicator of the composite national ozone
trend.  EPA is seeking to review and expand
the technical basis for the methodology under
a cooperative agreement  with the National
Institute of Statistical Sciences (NISS).

Table 3-4 lists the 1983-92 emission estimates
for volatile organic compounds (VOC) which,
together with nitrogen oxides shown earlier in
Table 3-3,  are  involved  in  the  atmospheric
chemical and  physical processes that result
in the formation of O3. Total VOC emissions
are estimated to have decreased 11 percent
between 1983 and 1992.  During this same
period,  nitrogen oxides emissions, the other
major precursor of ozone formation, increased
5  percent.   Between 1983  and  1992, VOC
emissions from highway vehicles decreased 39
percent,  despite  a 37  percent increase in
vehicle miles of travel during this time period.
These VOC estimates are annual totals based
on statewide average monthly temperatures
and statewide average RVP.  However, ozone
is  predominately a warm weather problem
and  seasonal emission   trends  would  be
preferable. While only these national numbers
were available as  this  report went to  press,
seasonal  emissions   estimates  are   being
developed.
                                         3-25  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.4 Trends in Ozone
Table 3-4.  National Volatile Organic Compound Emission Estimates, 1983-1992
(million short tons/year)
SOURCE
CATEGORY
Fuel Combustion
-Electric Utilities
Fuel Combustion
- Industrial
Fuel Combustion
-Other
Chemical and
Allied Product
Manufacturing
Metals
Processing
Petroleum and
Related
Industries
Other Industrial
Processes
Solvent
Utilization
Storage and
Transport
Waste Disposal
and Recycling
Highway
Vehicles
Off-Highway
Natural Sources
Miscellaneous
Total

1983
0.04
0.15
0.91
1.55
0.16
1.27
0.25
5.23
1.80
0.69
10.08
2.13
0
1.16
25.41

1984
0.05
0.16
0.92
1.62
0.18
1.25
0.23
6.31
1.81
0.69
9.63
2.35
0
0.95
26.14

1985
0.04
0.12
1.49
0.88
0.05
1.03
0.26
5.62
1.68
1.55
9.49
2.25
0
0.55
25.01

1986
0.03
0.27
0.50
1.64
0.07
0.76
0.45
5.71
1.77
2.29
9.00
2.30
0
0.56
25.35

1987
0.03
0.27
0.48
1.63
0.07
0.75
0.46
5.83
1.89
2.26
8.23
2.25
0
0.57
24.73
1988
0.04
0.29
0.47
1.75
0.07
0.73
0.48
6.03
1.95
2.31
8.08
2.23
0
0.59
25.02
1989
0.04
0.28
0.45
1.75
0.07
0.73
0.48
6.05
1.86
2.29
7.15^
2.18
0
0.58
23.91
1990
0.04
0.28
0.44
1.77
0.07
0.74
0.48
6.06
1.86
2.26
6.98
2.12
0
0.58
23.67
1991
0.03
0.29
0.43
1.78
0.07
0.75
0.48
6.06
1.87
2.22
6.81
2.06
0
0.57
23.40
1992
0.03
0.28
0.39
1.76
0.07
0.72
0.48
6.06
1.82
2.31
6.10
2.13
0
0.58
22.73

NOTE: The sums of sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding.
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-26

-------
                                                              Section 3.4  Trends in Ozone
3.4.2  Recent 03 Trends:  1990-1992

This  section discusses  ambient O3  changes
during the 3-year time period 1990-92.  Using
this 3-year period permits the use of a larger
data base of 672 sites, compared to 509 for the
10-year period.

Summer 1992 temperature averaged across the
nation was below the  long-term mean and
ranks as the 3rd coolest summer  on record
since  1895.17 The overall temperature pattern
consisted of much below normal values in the
eastern two-thirds of the country. In the East
North Central, South,  and Central  regions,
Summer 1992 was the second coolest summer
on record, while the West North Central was
the fourth coldest and the Northeast was the
fifth coolest. This 3-year period follows the
reduction in the  volatility of gasoline, Reid
Vapor Pressure (RVP), that has occurred since
1988.20  A  recent modeling analysis  of New
York City conditions estimated that the impact
of  this  RVP  reduction was a 25  percent
reduction in VOC emissions.23

Between 1991  and  1992, composite  mean
ozone concentrations decreased  7 percent at
the 672 sites and 6 percent at the subset of 222
NAMS. Between 1991 and 1992, the composite
average  of  the  number   of  estimated
exceedances of the ozone standard decreased
by 23 percent at the 672 sites, and 19 percent
at the 222 NAMS.  Nationwide VOC emissions
decreased 3 percent between 1991 and 1992.

The composite average of the  second daily
maximum concentrations decreased in eight of
the ten Regions between 1991 and 1992, and
remained unchanged in Region  VII.   Except
for Region Vn, the 1992 regional composite
means are lower than the corresponding 1990
levels.  As Figure 3-20 indicates, decreases
were recorded in  every  region except Region
VHandX.
                                             monitoring sites may vary from one area to
                                             another, this graph is not intended to indicate
                                             Regional differences in absolute concentration
                                             levels.
                                                  CONCENTRATION. PPM
0,16 -
012 -
008 -
004 -







COMPOSITE AVERAGE
• 1990 • 1991 CO 1992

















•h



_








                                               EPA REGION  I   II   III  IV  V  VI  VII VIII IX  X
                                               NO OF SITES  44  31   76  103  137  71  30 23 147  10
•m.    D  .    ,     ,            .,  . t   ,  .    Figure 3-20. Regional comparisons of the 1990,
These Regional graphs are primarily intended    ^ im mn^te aver^es of the second-
                                             highest daily 1-hour ozone concentrations.
to depict relative change. Because the mix of
                                         3-27  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.4 Trends in Ozone
                      PAMS:  A New Program for Ozone Monitoring

  Ozone is unique among the NAAQS pollutants in that it is not emitted directly into the air. This makes it a bit of
  a challenge to track and to control because we need to understand not only the ozone itself, but also the chemicals,
  reactions, and conditions that go into forming it.

  To help put together the whole picture on ozone, Section 182(c)(1) of the 1990 dean Air Act Amendments called
  ior better monitoring of ozone and its precursors, VOC and NOx. This will be accomplished by a new EPA program
  which requires all serious, severe,  and extreme ozone areas to set up monitoring networks that will gather a
  comprehensive set of data covering all aspects of ozone.  The program is called PAMS, for  Photochemical
  Assessment Monitoring Stations, and the requirements were announced on February 12,1993. The 22 affected
  ozone areas, shown in Figure Ml, cover 113 thousand square miles and have a total population of 79 million
  Each monitoring station will be carefully located based on meteorology and other conditions at the site. Data will
  then be collected for ozone, oxides of nitrogen, a target list of VOCs including several carbonyls, and surface and
  upper air meteorology. All together, nearly 60 compounds may be repotted at each monitoring station, including
  some compounds which are on die list of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs).

  Data collected by the PAMS network will have many uses. It will enhance the ability of State and local air pollution
  agencies to evaluate ozone nonattainment conditions and identify cost-effective control strategies, help to verify
  ozone NOx and VOC emission inventories, serve as input to photochemical grid models, provide information to
  evaluate population exposure, and be used to develop and improve trends. Most importantly, it will give us a more
  complete understanding of the complex problem of ozone, so that we may move toward the best solution.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-28

-------

-------
Section 3.5  Trends in Particuiate Matter
3.5 Trends in Particulate Matter

Air pollutants called participate matter include
dust,  dirt, soot, smoke and  liquid droplets
directly emitted into the air by sources such as
factories,  power  plants, cars,  construction
activity, fires and natural windblown dust.
Particles   formed  in  the  atmosphere  by
condensation or the transformation of emitted
gases such  as  sulfur  dioxide  and volatile
organic compounds   are  also  considered
participate matter.

Based  on studies of human populations
exposed to  high  concentrations of particles
(often in the presence of sulfur dioxide), and
laboratory studies of animals and humans, the
major effects of concern for human  health
include effects on breathing and  respiratory
symptoms, aggravation of existing respiratory
and cardiovascular disease, alterations in the
body's  defense   systems  against foreign
materials,   damage   to   lung  tissue,
carcinogenesis and premature mortality. The
major subgroups of the population  that appear
likely to be most sensitive to the effects of
particulate matter include  individuals with
chronic   obstructive   pulmonary  or
cardiovascular  disease,  individuals   with
influenza, asthmatics, the elderly and children.
Particulate matter also soils and damages
materials,  and is  a major cause of visibility
impairment  in the U.S.

Annual and 24-hour National  Ambient Air
Quality Standards (NAAQS) for  particulate
matter were first set in 1971. Total suspended
particulate (TSP) was the first indicator used
to  represent  suspended  particles in the
ambient air. Since July 1,1987, however, EPA
has used the indicator PM-10, which includes
only  those particles  with  aerodynamic
diameter smaller than 10 micrometers.   These
smaller particles are likely responsible for most
of the adverse health effects of  particulate
matter because of their ability to reach the
thoracic or  lower regions of the  respiratory
tract.
The  PM-10  annual and 24-hour standards
specify an expected annual arithmetic mean
not to exceed 50 ug/m3 and  an expected
number of 24-hour concentrations greater than
150  ug/m3  per  year  not to  exceed one.
Samples are collected at a frequency of every
day, every  other  day,  or  every sixth day
depending on the conditions in a particular
monitoring area.

Several instruments have been  approved by
EPA for sampling PM-10. The first is a high
volume  sampler,  or  Hi-Vol,  with a  size
selective  inlet (SSI) that collects suspended
particles up  to 10 microns in diameter.  This
sampler uses an inert quartz filter. The second
instrument is a  "dichotomous"  sampler.   It
uses a different PM-10 inlet, operates at a
lower flow rate, and produces  two  separate
samples: 2.5 to 10 microns and less than 2.5
microns,  each collected on a  teflon filter.
There are also some relatively new particulate
matter samplers which have the capability of
producing  hourly values  of  PM-10 on a
continuous basis.  These continuous samplers
are  beginning   to  be  introduced   into
monitoring networks across the country, but it
will be a few more years before  they produce
enough data to generate trends.

3.5.7. PM-10 Air Quality Trends

Two statistics are used to  show PM-10 air
quality trends in  this  report.  The annual
arithmetic mean concentration is  used to
reflect average  air quality,   and   a  90th
percentile of 24-hour concentrations is used to
represent the behavior of peak concentrations.
The  90th percentile is used because PM-10
sampling frequency varies  among sites and
may change from one year to the next at some
sites. This statistic is less sensitive to changes
in sampling frequency than  are  the  peak
values.
Naf I and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-30

-------
                                                     Section 3.5 Trends kn Paniculate Matter
Most  monitoring   networks   have   been
producing data  with  approved  reference
samplers since mid-1987. Thus, the air quality
data presented here is for the 5-year period
from 1988 to 1992, with a sample of 652 trend
sites.

Figures 3-22 and 3-23 display boxplots of the
concentration   distribution  for   annual
arithmetic mean and 90th percentile of 24-hour
concentrations, respectively.  The  trend  is
similar in each figure, with steady values
between 1988 and 1989 followed by a more
dramatic  decrease over each of the next 3
years.   Overall, annual mean concentrations
decreased 17 percent over the 5-year period,
while  the  90th  percentile  concentrations
decreased almost 20 percent.

Annual mean PM-10 concentrations over the
last 3 years for each EPA region  are shown in
Figure 3-24. All regions experienced a drop in
particulate matter over the last year, 1991  to
1992,  and half  of  the  regions  exhibit  a
downward trend over the whole 3-year period.
                                              80
                                                 CONCENTRATION, UG/M3
                                              70-
                                              60
                                              50
                                              40-
                                              30-
                                              20 -
                                              10-
                                                                             652 SITES
                                                                                NAAQS
                                                       I      I      I      I      I
                                                      1988   1989    1990    1991    1992
                                                   3-22.  Boxplot comparisons of trends in
                                                        PM-10 concentrations at 652 sites,
          120


          100 H


           80


           60 -


           40 -


           20 -
              CONCENTRATION, UG/M3
            0
                                                                652 SITES
                       1988
                                  1989
1990
1991
1992
Figure 3-23. Boxplot comparisons of trends in the 90th percentile of 24-hour PM-10 concentrations
at 652 sites, 1988-1992.
                                          3-31  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
 Section 3.5 Trends in Paniculate Matter
               CONCENTRATION, UG/M3
                                  COMPOSITE AVERAGE
                                  • 1990   • 1991   CD 1992
         EPA REGION    I     II    III    IV   V    VI   VII   VIII   IX    X
         NO. OF SITES   69   29    43   64   125   53   43   71   100   55

Figure 3-24. Regional comparisons of the 1990, 1991, 1992 composite averages of the annual average
PM-10 concentrations.
3.5.2 PM-10 Emission Trends

Trends in PM-10 emissions (except fugitive
dust emissions) are presented in Table 3-5 for
a 10-year period from 1983 to 1992.  In 1992,
emissions in most categories were up slightly
over 1991.   Total PM-10 emissions for  1992
were 2 percent higher than total emissions in
1991.

Over the 10-year period, total PM-10 emissions
decreased 3  percent.   Emissions  in most
categories remained fairly steady, while other
categories show a more definitive trend.  PM-
10  emissions  of  Highway  Vehicles,  for
example, rose steadily,  resulting  in a  50
percent increase  between  1983  and 1992.
Offsetting this increase, the category for Fuel
Combustion  —  Other,  experienced  a  52
percent decrease.   Emissions  in the  Fuel
Combustion   —   Other   category   are
predominately  due  to  residential  wood
combustion, or the in-home use of fireplaces
and   wood  stoves.    Several  innovative
approaches  to  controlling  residential wood
combustion are responsible  for  the  large
decrease in this emission category.

The four states in Region X, for example, have
made significant progress during the past five
years in reducing  particulate  matter with
aggressive   public   education   programs,
restrictions on residential wood combustion,
and positive incentives to reduce burning.  In
addition, the Region has further reduced PM-
10 emissions by controlling fugitive dust from
roads and placing  new  limitations on a few
industrial sources.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-32

-------
                                                       Section 3.5 Trends in Particulate Matter
Table 3-5.  National PM-10 Emission Estimates, 1983-1992, No Fugitive Dust Emissions
(million short tons/year)
SOURCE
CATEGORY
Fuel
Combustion -
Electric Utilities
Fuel
Combustion -
Industrial
Fuel
Combustion -
Other
Chemical and
Allied Product
Manufacturing
Metals Processing
Petroleum and
Related Industries
Other Industrial
Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and
Transport
Waste Disposal
and Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Miscellaneous
Total
1983
0.15
0.61
0.96
0.12
0.38
0.12
1.37
0.00
0.00
0.23
1.04
0.25
0.87
6.09
1984
0.15
0.62
0.98
0.14
0.42
0.12
1.63
0.00
0.00
0.23
1.09
0.26
0.72
6.35
1985
0.15
0.61
0.87
0.13
0.40
0.12
1.45
0.00
0.00
0.23
1.18
0.27
0.80
6.18
1986
0.15
0.60
0.87
0.10
0.35
0.12
1.34
0.00
0.00
0.22
1.18
0.28
0.60
5.81

1987
0.16
0.60
0.88
0.10
0.38
0.13
1.27
0.00
0.00
0.22
1.30
0.27
0.73
6.04
1988
0.17
0.57
0.86
0.08
0.36
0.12
1.35
0.00
0.00
0.22
1.38
0.29
1.06
6.44
1989
0.17
0.58
0.89
0.11
0.41
0.12
1.31
0.00
0.00
0.22
1.40
0.28
0.72
6.21

1990
0.17
0.49
0.51
0.12
0.41
0.12
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.22
1.48
0.28
0.96
6.08
1991
0.16
0.48
0.50
0.11
0.39
0.12
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.22
1.53
0.27
0.78
5.81

1992
0.17
0.46
0.47
0.12
0.42
0.12
1.28
0.00
0.00
0.25
1.56
0.27
0.81
5.93

NOTES: The sums of sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding.
1983 and 1984 PM-10 derived from TSP.
                                           3-33  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.5  Trends in Particulate Matter
Some remaining PM-10 sources in the Region
still  present challenges.   Agriculture is a
significant  source  of  particulate  matter,
especially during high winds, and upcoming
prescribed burning  activities for improving
forest health are expected to have an impact in
several  areas.    Table  3-6  shows  1985-92
fugitive dust PM-10 emissions. Fugitive dust
actually contributes 6 to  8 times more PM-10
emissions  than the  sources listed  in   the
previous table.

Construction activity and unpaved  roads  are
consistently the major contributors of fugitive
dust particulate matter  emissions.   Among
road  types, emissions from unpaved roads
have remained fairly steady, while  emissions
from  paved roads  are  estimated to  have
increased 20 percent since 1985, most likely
due to increased vehicle traffic. Emissions due
to construction have decreased an estimated 17
percent since 1985.
Agricultural activity is a smaller contributor to
the national total, but estimated to be the
major source in specific Regions.  Tilling is
estimated to be a big contributor in Regions V,
VII,  VIII and X, but has not shown much
change over the 8-year period.  Because PM-10
emissions  due  to  wind erosion  are  very
sensitive  to regional  soil  conditions  and
year-to-year  changes in total precipitation,
there can be considerable variability from year
to year.   Accordingly, estimated emissions
from wind erosion were extremely high for the
drought year of 1988, particularly for Regions
VI  and  VII.   Finally,  among  all fugitive
categories surveyed,  mining and quarrying is
estimated to be a relatively small contributor
to total fugitive particulate matter emissions at
the national level, although is  can be a major
factor in specific local situations.
Table 3-6.  National PM-10 Fugitive Dust Emission Estimates, 1985-1992
(million short tons/year)
SOURCE
CATEGORY
Agricultural
Tilling
Construction
Mining and
Quarrying
Paved Roads
Unpaved Roads
Wind Erosion
TOTAL

1985
6.83
12.67
0.34
6.56
14.71
3.57
44.68

1986
6.90
11.83
0.31
6.81
14.66
9.39
49.90

1987
7.01
12.12
0.38
7.13
13.95
1.46
42.04

1988
7.09
11.66
0.34
7.62
15.62
17.51
59.84
1989
6.94
11.27
0.39
7.40
15.34
11.83
53.16
1990
7.00
10.04
0.35
7.53
15.65
4.19
44.77
1991
6.97
9.67
0.37
8.15
14.25
10.13
49.54
1992
6.85
10.54
0.38
7.90
15.17
4.66
45.50

NOTE: The sums of sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding.
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-34

-------
                                                        Section 3.6  Trends in Sulfur Dioxide
3.6 Trends in Sulfur Dioxide

Ambient sulfur dioxide (SO2) results largely
from  stationary   source  coal   and   oil
combustion, steel mills, refineries, pulp and
paper  mills and from  nonferrous smelters.
There are three NAAQS for SO2:  an annual
arithmetic  mean of 0.03 ppm (80 ug/m3), a
24-hour level of 0.14 ppm (365 ug/m3) and a
3-hour level of 0.50 ppm (1300 ug/m3). The
first two standards are primary (health-related)
standards,  while the 3-hour NAAQS is a
secondary  (welfare-related) standard.  The
annual mean standard is not to be exceeded,
while the short-term standards are not to be
exceeded more than once per year. The trend
analyses  which follow  are for  the  primary
standards.

High concentrations of  SO2 affect breathing
and may aggravate existing respiratory and
cardiovascular disease. Sensitive populations
include asthmatics, individuals with bronchitis
or emphysema, children and the elderly. SO2
is   also  a primary  contributor  to  acid
deposition, or acid rain, causing acidification
of lakes  and  streams  and  damaging trees,
crops,  historic buildings,  and statues.   In
addition,   sulfur  compounds  in   the   air
contribute  to visibility degradation in large
parts of the country, including national parks.

The trends in  ambient concentrations  are
derived    from  continuous  monitoring
instruments which can measure as many as
8,760 hourly  values  per  year.    The SO2
measurements  reported  in  this  section  are
summarized into a variety of statistics which
relate to the  SO2 NAAQS.   The statistics
reported  here are for the annual arithmetic
mean concentration and the second highest
annual   24-hour   average   (summarized
midnight to midnight).
3.6.1 Long-term S02 Trends: 1983-92

The  long-term trend in ambient SO2/ 1983
through  1992, is  graphically  presented in
Figures 3-25  and 3-26.   In  each figure, the
trend at the  NAMS is contrasted with the
trend at all sites.  For  each  of the statistics
presented,  a  10-year  downward  trend is
evident,  although the  rate  of decline  has
slowed  over  the last few years.  Nationally,
the annual mean SO2, examined at 476 sites,
decreased at a median rate of approximately 2
percent per year; this resulted in an  overall
change of 23 percent (Figure 3-25). The subset
of  138  NAMS  recorded  higher  average
concentrations but declined at a median rate of
3 percent per year, with a net change of 30
percent for the 10-year period.

The  annual second  highest  24-hour  values
displayed  a  similar improvement between
1983 and 1992. Nationally, among 476 stations
with adequate trend data, the median rate of
change was almost 4 percent per year, with an
overall  decline of 31 percent  (Figure 3-26).
The  138 NAMS exhibited  the same  overall
decrease of 31 percent.
                                         3-35  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.6  Trends in Sulfur Dioxide
   0.035


   0.030


   0.025 -


   0.020 -


   0.015-


   0.010 -


   0.005 -
         CONCENTRATION, PPM
   0.000
                                                NAAQS
ALL SITES (476)
NAMS SITES (138)
               \      \      \      i      i      i     i      i      i      i
             1983  1984  1985  1986  1987  1988 1989 1990 1991  1992
Figure 3-25. National trend in annual average sulfur dioxide concentration at both NAMS and all
sites with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992.
         CONCENTRATION, PPM
U.1D
0.14 -
0.12 -
0.10 -
0.08 -
0.06 -
0.04 -
0.02 -
o.oo -J
NAAQS

• ALL SITES (476) • NAMS SITES (138)


*-— T^
* '^^^i 	 i_ j-— __ __r__J_— g-fc 	 !_!__
- -J- -i- ^-*~r^TTT3rJ—_ ~__,
^~tt 	 } i
I I I I I I II
1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992



Figure 3-26. National trend in the second highest 24-hour sulfur dioxide concentration at both
NAMS and all sites with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1983-1992.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-36

-------
                                                       Section 3.6  Trends in Sulfur Dioxide
The statistical significance of these long-term
trends is graphically illustrated in Figures 3-25
and  3-26 with  the 95  percent  confidence
intervals.  These figures  show that the  1992
composite annual mean is statistically lower
than  all  previous  years,  and  the   1992
composite annual second maximum 24-hour
level  is statistically lower than all previous
years except for 1991.
Figures 3-27 and 3-28 are boxplot comparisons
of annual mean and second highest 24-hour
SO2 concentrations, respectively. The boxplots
show the variability of concentration values at
the 476 sulfur dioxide monitoring sites.  In
addition,  they  show  that  the  range  of
concentrations has diminished over the 10-year
period.
       0.040
            CONCENTRATION, PPM
       0.035 -
       0.030
       0.025 -i
       0.020 -
       0.015 -
       0.010 -
       0.005 -
       0.000
                                                                  476 SITES
                                                                      NAAQS
                   I      I      I      I      I      I      I      I      I      I
                 1983   1984  1985   1986   1987  1988   1989  1990  1991  1992
Figure 3-27. Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual mean sulfur dioxide concentrations at 476
sites, 1983-1992.
                                         3-37  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.6 Trends in Sulfur Dioxide
       0.20
            CONCENTRATION, PPM
       0.15 -
       0.10 -
       0.05 -
       0.00
                                                               476 SITES
                                                                    NAAQS
               ~~l      I      I      I      I	1	1	1	1	T
                1983   1984   1985   1986   1987   1988   1989  1990  1991   1992
 Figure 3-28. Boxplot comparisons of trends in second highest 24-hour average sulfur dioxide
 concentrations at 476 sites, 1983-1992.
The trend in nationwide emissions of sulfur
oxides (SOx), broken down by source category,
is  shown  in  Table 3-7.   After a 25  percent
decrease in total emissions during the 70s and
early  80's,  SOx  emissions  have remained
relatively  unchanged  in recent years.   The
largest  contributor  to  SOx  emissions  has
consistently been coal burning power plants.

Four programs make up the EPA's strategy to
control the emissions associated with SO2: (1)
the National Ambient Air Quality Program,
which  sets  the  primary  and  secondary
standards discussed earlier in this report; (2)
New Source Performance Standards, which set
emission limits for new sources; (3) the New
Source  Review/Prevention   of   Significant
Deterioration Program,  which protects  air
quality from deteriorating in clean areas by
requiring new major SO2 sources to conduct
air quality analyses before receiving a permit;
and (4) the Acid Rain Program, which is set
forth in Title IV of the  1990 Clean Air Act
Amendments.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-38

-------
                                                           Section 3.6  Trends in Sulfur Dioxide
Table 3-7.  National Sulfur Oxides Emission Estimates, 1983-1992
(million short tons/year)
SOURCE
CATEGORY
Fuel
Combustion -
Electric Utilities
Fuel
Combustion -
Industrial
Fuel
Combustion -
Other
Chemical and
Allied Product
Manufacturing
Metals Processing
Petroleum and
Related Industries
Other Industrial
Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and
Transport
Waste Disposal
and Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Miscellaneous
Total

1983
15.45
2.52
0.70
0.22
1.35
0.72
0.86
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.48
0.39
0.01
22.73

1984
16.02
2.72
0.73
0.23
1.39
0.71
0.92
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.51
0.40
0.01
23.66
1985
16.24
3.17
0.58
0.44
1.04
0.51
0.43
0.00
0.02
0.03
0.58
0.35
0.00
23.39
1986
15.70
3.12
0.61
0.42
0.89
0.47
0.43
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.56
0.23
0.00
22.48
1987
15.72
3.07
0.66
0.41
0.95
0.45
0.42
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.66
0.24
0.00
22.62
1988
15.99
3.11
0.66
0.43
1.03
0.44
0.41
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.70
0.25
0.00
23.09
1989
16.22
3.09
0.62
0.42
0.99
0.43
0.41
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.70
0.26
0.00
23.20
1990
15.87
3.11
0.60
0.42
0.91
0.44
0.40
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.74
0.27
0.00
22.82
1991
15.78
3.14
0.61
0.43
0.87
0.44
0.39
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.77
0.27
0.00
22.77
1992
15.84
3.09
0.59
0.42
0.87
0.41
0.40
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.79
0.27
0.00
22.73

NOTE: The sums of sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding.
                                             3-39  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

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Section 3.6  Trends in Sulfur Dioxide
The first three programs  protect air quality
and public health on a local level, while the
Acid  Rain Program addresses the regional
problem of long range transport of SO2. The
primary goal of the Acid Rain Program is to
reduce  annual SO2 emissions  by 10 million
tons below 1980 levels by setting national
emission caps on utility and industrial sources.
The focus of this control program is a system
which  assigns each facility  a number  of
allowances based on historic fuel consumption
and a restricted emission  rate.  Each facility
may,  if they  have reduced their emissions
below their allotted number of allowances, sell
or  trade  their  extra  allowances  to  other
facilities who may need them.   Alternatively,
the  facility  may  bank  away  any  extra
allowances they have at the end of the year.
Thus, the sources are given a large amount of
flexibility   in  meeting   the  program's
requirements, which should reduce the cost of
compliance.   This  is  the first  large scale
regulatory use of  such a   market-based
incentive.24
                    3.6.2 Recent S02 Trends: 1990-92

                    Nationally, SO2 measured in the ambient air
                    showed improvement over the last three years
                    in   both   average   and   peak   24-hour
                    concentrations.    Composite  annual  mean
                    concentrations decreased a total of 11 percent
                    between 1990  and  1992. Over the last 2 years,
                    the average annual mean SO2 decrease was 7
                    percent.     Composite   24-hour   SO2
                    concentrations declined 12 percent since 1990
                    and 4 percent since 1991.

                    Figure 3-29 presents the Regional changes in
                    composite annual  average SO2 concentrations
                    for the last 3 years, 1990-1992. Several Regions
                    follow the national pattern of change in annual
                    mean SO2,  with the largest  drop  in value
                    occurring in Region III, where concentrations
                    are highest. Only Regions VIII and X show a
                    slight increase in 1992 over both  1990  and
                    1991, but these levels are still  well below the
                    SO2 NAAQS.
          0.016
               CONCENTRATION, PPM
                                  COMPOSITE AVERAGE
                                  • 1990   • 1991   CD 1992
          EPA REGION
          NO. OF SITES
 I     II    III   IV    V   VI   VII   VIM   IX    X
68   40   74   81   132  41   35   32   43    11
Figure 3-29. Regional Comparisons of the 1990, 1991, 1992 composite averages of the annual average
sulfur dioxide concentrations.
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-40

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                                                                      Section 3.7 Visibility
3.7 Visibility

Visibility impairment, which is most simply
described as  the  haze which obscures the
clarity, color,  texture, and form of what we
see,  is actually a  complex  problem which
relates, in part, to several of the pollutants
discussed earlier in this report.  Because the
topic of visibility  does not  fit  completely
within the  discussion  of any  one  of the
NAAQS pollutants, it is included here in its
own section.

Many  parts  of the  U.S.  are experiencing
visibility problems, but perhaps it is  most
noticeable  in  our  national  parks  and
wilderness areas.  Section 169A  of the 1977
amendments to the Clean Air Act established
as a national goal the protection of visibility in
these "Class I" areas.   In 1980, the National
Park Service  (NFS), in cooperation with the
EPA,  established  a  long-term  visibility
monitoring  program  at  remote  locations
throughout the nation.  Since then,  the effort
has been  expanded to  incorporate the U.S.
Forest Service (USFS), the  Fish and Wildlife
Service   (FWS),   the  Bureau   of  Land
Management (BLM), the State and Territorial
Air Pollution Program Association (STAPPA),
the  Western  States  Air  Resource  Council
(WESTAR),  and the  Northeast  States for
Coordinated   Air   Use   Management
(NESCAUM).  All  together, this collaborative
visibility monitoring effort is called IMPROVE,
for Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual
Environments.    A  recent  report  entitled
"IMPROVE:  Spatial and  Temporal Patterns
and the Chemical Composition of  the Haze in
the United States" discusses  the IMPROVE
program and  is the  basis for much of the
following discussion.25

The objectives of IMPROVE are (1) to establish
current background visibility levels in Class I
areas, (2) to identify the chemical  species and
emission sources  responsible  for  visibility
impairment, and (3) to document long-term
trends for assessing progress toward national
visibility  goals.   Toward these  objectives,
IMPROVE has been collecting visibility data
since 1987. The locations of current IMPROVE
monitoring sites  are  shown  in  Figure 3-30.
Cameras  and  special  particulate  matter
samplers  are present  at  each location to
monitor  characteristics  that  will  help  to
describe and define visibility over time. Most
sites  also  directly  monitor   the  optical
characteristics of  the  atmosphere.   From the
data collected, some general points can be
made.

Figure 3-31  presents IMPROVE data based
upon mid-1970s data for average summertime
visual range in miles.  Areas of better visibility
are shaded  in dark  green,  while areas of
poorest visibility appear  in  red.   The best
visibility,  often exceeding 80 miles, is in the
rural  mountain  desert   area    of  the
southwest,while east of the Mississippi River
and south of the Great Lakes visibility is only
about 12 miles. Note the large difference, in
general,  between the East  and  the  West.
Visibility in the West is 6 times better than
visibility in the East during the winter, and up
to 10 times better during the summer.

Figure 3-32 shows another way to present the
data, this  time  in terms  of  units  called
deciviews, instead of miles.  Deciview (dv) is
a newly developed visibility index which is
linear  with  respect  to humanly-perceived
changes in visual air quality over its entire
range.  This is analogous to the decibel scale
for sound, which  is how the deciview got its
name.  The dv scale is  near zero  for a clear
atmosphere   and  increases  as   visibility
degrades.  Differences less than 1  dv are not
thought to be perceptible.
                                         3-41  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

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Section 3.7  Visibility
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Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-42

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Section 3.7 Visibility
            15.1 \ ioJHx^K.ii-2
Figure 3-32. Average summer visibility in deciviews March 1988 to February 1991.
Visibility impairment is caused by aerosols, or
mixtures of gasses and suspended particles in
the atmosphere that cause light to be scattered
or  absorbed,  thereby  reducing visibility.
Knowledge of the  chemistry of the  aerosols
responsible for visibility impairment provides
insight  into  the  causes  of  the  visibility
problem.

As Figure 3-33 shows, the particles in aerosols
can be divided into two categories based on
size. Coarse particles, with diameters greater
than 2.5  micrometers, have little effect on
visibility impairment per unit concentration.
Wind blown dust is the major contributor of
coarse particles.  Fine particles, on the other
hand,   with  diameters    less   than   2.5
micrometers,   contribute   greatly   to   the
scattering and absorption of light (also called
light extinction) and cause poor visibility.  The
significant chemical species in fine aerosols are
sulfates,   nitrate,  organic   carbon,  light-
absorbing carbon (LAC), and soil dust.
Figure 3-34 illustrates the relationship between
type of aerosol and reduction in visibility. The
pie charts  show the relative contribution of
each  fine aerosol component to total light
extinction,  while the size of each  pie chart
represents  the  measured amount of light
extinction.    Sulfates are  the largest  single
contributor to light extinction in all states east
of New Mexico, and  in Hawaii.   In the
Appalachian Mountains, sulfates account for
68 percent of the visibility reduction. Organic
carbon,  the next largest contributor, causes 16
percent of  the visibility reduction.   In most
areas of the west and in Alaska, sulfates and
organics  are   relatively   equal   in   their
contributions to light extinction. Nitrate is the
single largest contributor  to  light extinction
only  in  southern   California,  and  light
absorbing carbon, which appears in green, is
generally   the  smallest  contributor   at  all
monitoring sites.
Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-44

-------
                                                              Section 3.7 Visibility
            O
            or
            LLJ
            t-
            o
            CO
                      2.5 micrometers
FINE
                                       COARSE
                         PARTICLE SIZE
Figure 3-33.  Aerosol size distribution.
The pie charts are scaled to show measured
amounts of light extinction. The greater the
light extinction, the poorer the visibility. The
figure again  illustrates  the  difference  in
visibility between the eastern and the western
portions of the U.S.  The highest extinction
and lowest visibility occurs in the East and
Great  Lakes  area,  while  the  West  has
noticeable  lower  extinction  and  higher
visibility, with the exceptions of areas near Los
Angeles,  San Francisco,  and  the  Pacific
Northwest.  Generally the  best visibility is
reported in a broad region including the Great
Basin, most of the Colorado Plateau, deserts of
the southwest, portions of the Central Rockies
and Great Plains, and in Alaska.
               As noted earlier, there  is  a relationship
               between visibility impairment and the NAAQS
               pollutants.   Controls for  sources such as
               electric utilities, diesel vehicles, petroleum and
               chemical  industries,  and residential wood
               burning  may  be primarily  designed  for
               NAAQS pollutant problems but should also
               produce visibility improvements.  The Acid
               Rain provisions resulting from the 1990 Clean
               Air Act Amendments will reduce sulfur oxides
               and nitrogen oxides,  which should result in
               visibility improvements that can be tracked as
               these  emission reductions take effect in  the
               late 1990s.26
                                     3-45  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
I
0>
Q.
3D
(D
CO
5'
0)
CD
Q.
CO
O
CO
TJ
O
CO
CASCADES
                                                                              NORTHEAST
             COASTAL MTNS
                                                         BOUNDARY WATERS
                            COLORADO
                            PLATEAl
                                                                        APPAlACHIAfSlrMTNS.
                                                                                              (D
O

CO
                                                                                              en
                                                                                              CT

                       SOUTHERN
                       CALIFORNIA
                                                                                             FLORIDA
                                              a
                                                                 HAWAII
                                                                     SULFATE
                                                                     ORGANICS
                                                                     SOIL
                                                                     LAC
                                                                     NITRATE
                                      Figure 3-34. Annual average extinction.

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                                                                      Section 3.8  References
3.8 References

1.  National Air Pollutant Emission Estimates, 1900-1992, EPA-454/R-93-032, U. S.  Environmental
    Protection Agency,  Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC,
    October 1993.

2.  Rethinking the Ozone Problem in Urban and Regional Air Pollution, National Research Council,
    National Academy Press, Washington, DC, December 1991.

3.  Curran, T.C.,  "Trends in Ambient Ozone and  Precursor Emissions  in  U.S.  Urban  Areas",
    Atmospheric Ozone Research and Its Policy Implications, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1989.

4.  Curran, T.C. and N.H. Frank, "Ambient Ozone Trends Using Alternative Indicators", Tropospheric
    Ozone and the Environment, Los Angeles, CA, March 1990.

5.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1991, EPA-450/R-92-001, U. S.  Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,  Research Triangle Park, NC,
    October 1992.

6.  National Primary and Secondary Ambient Air Quality Standards for Lead, 43 FR 46246, October 5,
    1978.

7.  Memorandum. Joseph S. Carra to Office Directors Lead  Committee. Final Agency  Lead Strategy.
    February 26, 1991.

8.  R.  B. Faoro and T. B. McMullen,  National Trends in Trace Metals Ambient Air,  1965-1974,
    EPA-450/1-77-003, U. S.  Environmental Protection Agency, Office  of Air  Quality Planning and
    Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, February 1977.

9.  W. Hunt, "Experimental  Design in Air Quality Management," Andrews Memorial Technical
    Supplement, American Society for Quality Control, Milwaukee,  WI,  1984.

10. Ambient Air Quality Surveillance, 46 FR 44159, September 3, 1981.

11. T. Furmanczyk,  Environment Canada, personal communication  to R. Faoro, U.S.  Environmental
    Protection Agency, September 9, 1992.

12. Hazardous Air Pollutants Project Country Report of Japan, Organization For Economic Co-operation
    and Development, Paris, France, March, 1991.

13. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Reyort, 1989, EPA-450/4-91-003, U. S.  Environmental
    Protection Agency,  Office  of Air Quality Planning and  Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC,
    February 1991.

14. D.J. Kolaz and R.L. Swinford, "How to Remove the Influence of Meteorology from the Chicago Areas
    Ozone Trend," presented at the 83rd Annual AWMA Meeting, Pittsburgh, PA, June 1990.
                                           3-47  Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants

-------
Section 3.8 References
15.  Use of Meteorological Data in Air Quality Trend Analysis, EPA-450/3-78-024, U.S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, May
    1978.

16.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1988, EPA-450/4-90-002, U. S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Office  of Air Quality  Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC,
    March 1990.

17.  W.O. Brown and R. R. Heim, Jr., "Climate Variations Bulletin", Volume 4, No. 8, National Climatic
    Data Center, NOAA, Asheville, NC, August 1992.

18.  Volatility Regulations for Gasoline and Alcohol Blends Sold in Calendar Years 1989 and Beyond, 54
    FR 11868, March 22, 1989.

19.  National Fuel  Survey: Motor Gasoline - Summer 1988, Motor Vehicle Manufacturers Association,
    Washington, D.C., 1988.

20.  National Fuel Survey:  Gasoline and  Diesel Fuel  -  Summer 1989, Motor Vehicle Manufacturers
    Association, Washington, D.C., 1989.

21.  National Fuel  Survey: Motor Gasoline - Summer 1990, Motor Vehicle Manufacturers Association,
    Washington, D.C., 1990.

22.  W.M. Cox and S.H. Chu, "Meteorologically Adjusted Ozone Trends in Urban Areas: A Probabilistic
    Approach",  Tropospheric Ozone and the Environment 11, Air and Waste Management Association,
    Pittsburgh,  PA, 1992.

23.  EHPA NEWSLETTER, Vol. 9, No. 3, E.H. Pechan & Associates, Inc., Springfield,  VA, Summer
    1992.

24.  EPA Programs to Control Sulfur Dioxide in the Atmosphere, EPA 430/F-93-005, U.S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, March 1993.

25.  IMPROVE, Spatial and Temporal Patterns and the Chemical Composition of the Haze in the United
    States: An Analysis of Data  from the  IMPROVE Network, 1988-1991, CIRA Cooperative Institute
    for Research in the Atmosphere, Colorado State University, CO, February 1993.

26.  Effects of the Clean Air Act  Amendments on Visibility in Class I Areas, EPA Report to Congress,
    Draft, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
    Research Triangle  Park, NC, August  1993.
 Nat'l and Regional Trends in NAAQS Pollutants  3-48

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Chapter  4:    Air  Toxics
The Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) of
1990 mandated fundamental changes in air
toxics regulation.   Prior versions of the  Act
resulted in a cumbersome process for listing
and regulating  hazardous air  pollutants
(HAPs)  with  the  potential  for  causing
increases in  mortality or  serious  illnesses.
Between 1970 and 1990, only eight pollutants
(arsenic,  asbestos,   benzene,  beryllium,
mercury, radionuclides, radon-222, and vinyl
chloride) were regulated under this program.
This program  is  known  as  the  National
Emission  Standards  for  Hazardous   Air
Pollutants (NESHAPs).  The CAAA of 1990
revises Clean Air Act Section 112 with new
provisions that:

   • explicitly list 189 substances  requiring
     regulation;

   • require technology-based  standards  for
     reducing emissions of these substances;

   • require  risk-based  controls  after
     evaluating residual risk remaining after
     implementing  technology-based
     standards; and

   • establish an accidental  release program.

This issue of  the  trends  report  includes
information  on air toxics for the first time.
Exposure to air toxics can result  in a variety of
severe  health effects.  These include cancer
and many  other chronic and  acute effects.
Many of the air toxics listed  in the CAAA  are
known  to  be human carcinogens, and a
number of EPA studies have concluded that
exposure to air toxics, especially in urban
environments, may result in additional human
cancers each year.
Air  toxics also  can  cause  many serious
noncancer effects.  It is particularly difficult to
assess risk for noncancer health effects as these
may be manifested in many ways:  simple
poisoning, or immediate  illness; or in less-
measurable ways such as   immunological,
neurological,  reproductive,  developmental,
mutagenic, or respiratory effects.  These effects
in turn may exhibit a wide range of severity
and reversibility.

Inhalation is only one of  several vehicles or
modes of exposure to air toxics. For example,
toxic particulate matter may be deposited onto
soil or into water bodies. Soil deposition may
result  in  exposure to  children  playing
outdoors,  or  uptake by  agricultural crops.
Deposits in water may be taken up by fish
which  ultimately  find  their  way to  the
marketplace.    Toxic   chemicals  also can
endanger  the  viability   of   species  and
ecosystems.

The inclusion of air toxics in the trends report
will help assess progress in reducing emissions
and concentrations of all  air pollutants with
known potential for causing health problems.
Information  on  air  toxics  will   address
questions such as:

  • How much improvement is there in the
    overall health of the Nation's air since the
    passage of the CAAA?

  • What are the overlapping benefits of the
    ozone control program and the air toxics
    program?    (Ozone  control frequently
    focuses  on reducing volatile  organic
    compounds (VOCs)  because  of  their
    importance to ozone formation; many
    VOCs are also air toxics).
                                        4-1
                                Air Toxics

-------
Section 4.1  Air Toxics Provisions in the CAAA
In addition, the challenge of meeting the air
toxics provisions in the CAAA encourages the
development of numerous innovative control
programs by  some  affected industries and
states.  Lessons from such programs can have
important  applications to  criteria  pollutant
control programs.

While  comprehensive  long-term  nationwide
monitoring and emissions tracking programs
exist for criteria pollutants, data on toxic air
pollutants  is more limited.  Therefore, this
chapter is structured differently from others in
this  report.    Included are:   (1)  a brief
description of the CAAA air toxics provisions;
(2) a  status report on air  toxics  regulations
required by the CAAA; (3)  other air toxics
activities resulting in emission reductions; (4)
a  discussion of available  data sources for
emissions and concentrations of air toxics; and
(5) a summary of current estimated emissions
in the U.S.  This summary includes profiles of
several  key   sources   of   hazardous  air
pollutants.    Additional information on air
toxics  for  selected  nonattainment  areas is
included   in  the  chapter   on   selected
metropolitan area trends.
4.1  Air Toxics Provisions in the CAAA

As  noted above, the Act lists 189 hazardous
pollutants that must be regulated according to
a   stringent   schedule.    The   process  of
regulation entails the development of emission
standards   based   upon   the   Maximum
Achievable Control Technology (MACT)  for
each source category emitting hazardous  air
pollutants. These emission standards apply to
all  major sources (defined as sources emitting
at least 10 tons per year of any one of the 189
listed air  toxics, or at least 25 tons a year of
any combination of the 189) and are to  be
developed  over  a  period  of  10  years.
Regulations must be developed according to
the following timetable:  for 25 percent of all
source categories by 1994; for 50 percent of all
source categories by 1997; and for all source
categories by the year 2000.   Standards also
  must be developed for "area  sources" (any
  source that is not defined as a major source),
  although  these  can be  based on generally
  available control technologies (GACT).  The
  Act contains  incentives to encourage  more
  rapid pollutant  reductions through an early
  reduction program. This program gives a six-
  year  extension   on   meeting   MACT
  requirements to  sources that reduce emissions
  by 90 percent or more (95 percent for toxic
  particulates).

  The Act  also provides  for  "residual risk"
  standards to reduce any risk remaining after
  MACT controls have been implemented. This
  program   entails   the   development   of
  procedures for  assessing residual risk,  its
  public health significance, and uncertainties by
  1996.  The program  also  requires EPA  to
  promulgate residual risk standards for each
  source category within eight years after MACT
  standards were promulgated for that category.

  Additional air toxics provisions  include: (1)
  provisions to provide  assistance to States
  developing their own air toxics programs; (2)
  an accidental release prevention program; and
  (3)  requirements  to  establish   monitoring
  stations.  (For a complete list, please refer to
  Section 112 of the Act).
  4.2  Status Report on Required Air Toxics
  Regulations

  EPA is in the process of meeting the ambitious
  schedule for implementing the  CAAA air
  toxics provisions.   Infrastructure programs
  such as defining and classifying major source
  categories, establishing the priority schedule
  for MACT phase-in, development of guidance
  for  the accidental  release program, and the
  establishment of general provisions for record-
  keeping  and reporting requirements,  have
  been developed and are either approved or in
  various  stages  of  the review  and  approval
  process.
Air Toxics
4-2

-------
                                  Section 4.2  Status Report on Required Air Toxics Regulations
Major  regulatory  actions of the  air toxics
program are as follows:

   •  The proposed standard for the Synthetic
     Organic  Chemical   Manufacturing
     Industry requires reductions in emissions
     of 149 Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAPs)
     and  affects  nearly   370   chemical
     manufacturing plants across  the nation.
     This standard is projected to reduce HAP
     emissions from existing sources in this
     industry by 80 percent, or an estimated
     440,000 tons per year by 1998, more than
     any other air toxics rule  to  be issued
     under the CAAA.   This rule  also  is
     projected  to reduce  volatile  organic
     compounds,  which react to form ozone,
     by 1.1 million tons per year.

   •  The control   technology  standards for
     about   3,700  industrial   and   large
     commercial dry cleaners were proposed
     in November 1991.  This rule has been
     promulgated  as of September, 1993 and
     is  projected   to decrease  emissions  of
     perchloroethylene   by  approximately
     7,300 tons annually by 1996.

   •  Regulatory   negotiations  by   EPA
     produced an agreement on regulations to
     reduce  toxic emissions  from  steel
     industry coke ovens. These regulations
     should be finalized in late  1993.

   •  The EPA has  initiated  work  on  35
     additional emission standards.   These
     include  the   emission  standards  due
     four years after enactment and  several
     that are due seven years after enactment.

   •  The EPA announced the final rule for the
     Early Reductions Program in December
     1992.  By March 1993, EPA has received
     and initiated  review on 87 enforceable
     commitments.     If   all  of   these
     commitments  are  carried   out,  the
     estimated  reductions in  HAPs would
     total 36 million pounds by January 1,1994.
State and Local Assistance Programs:  The
EPA also is  developing three programs  to
assist State  and local air  pollution control
agencies in implementing the requirements of
Section 112. The programs are being designed
to  provide   these  agencies  with  flexible
requirements so as not to disrupt the progress
individual  States  have already  made  in
reducing air toxics  emissions.   The  three
programs include:  (1)  the  Modifications
program for new or modified sources, (2) a
program to  establish Equivalent Emission
Limitation for air toxics standards, and (3) a
program to take advantage of existing State
regulations.

The  Modifications  rule   requires  control
technology   reviews   for  constructed,
reconstructed, and modified major sources of
pollutants.   The rule governing  Equivalent
Emissions Limitations  by   Permit  requires
States to issue operating permits to major
sources  based  on  a case-by-case  control
technology assessment.  Both rules  apply in
the event that EPA has not promulgated a
standard  for  that  industry.    The  State
Programs delegation  rule  establishes EPA
requirements for the approval of State or local
air  toxics rules  or  programs  in  lieu  of
otherwise applicable Federal rules.

Special Studies:  The EPA also is  conducting
special studies  assessing the emissions  and
effects of toxic air pollutants. Several of these
studies  have  the  potential  to  influence
emission reductions  in the future.   These
include:

  • Atmospheric Deposition to Great Lakes
    and  Coastal  Waters  (Great  Waters
    Program);

  • Urban Area Source Program;

  • Electric Utilities Steam  Generating Units;

  • Mercury Study;
                                         4-3
                                 Air Toxics

-------
Section 4.3  Other Air Toxics Activities Resulting in Emission Reductions
  • National Academy of Sciences Study on
    Risk Assessment Methodology;

  • Hydrogen Fluoride Study;

  • Hydrogen Sulfide Study;

  • Residual Risk Report;

  • Coke Oven Production Technology Study;
    and

  • Publicly-Owned Treatment Works Study.
4.3  Other Air Toxics Activities Resulting in
Emission Reductions

The 33/50 Program: In addition to the Early
Reductions  Program, discussed  above,  the
EPA initiated  another voluntary program in
February, 1991.  Known as the 33/50 project,
the program asks companies  to  voluntarily
reduce releases  of  17 pollutants  to the  air,
water, and soil.  As of September 1993, 1,172
companies had pledged their support for the
33/50 program  by  agreeing to reduce their
releases  of the 17 chemicals by 355 million
pounds.

Nonattainment Provisions That Also Reduce
Air Toxics:  Adding to the efforts in Title III,
Titles I and II of the CAA contain provisions
that, when implemented, will reduce air toxics
emissions.     Title   I,  which  deals  with
attainment and  maintenance of the national
ambient  air quality standards, requires EPA to
publish Control Techniques Guidelines (CTGs)
for several source categories.   The  CTGs
describe  technologies  effective in  reducing
emissions of volatile organic compounds that
react to form ozone. Because most of the 189
listed  HAPs   are  also   volatile  organic
compounds, concomitant control of HAPs will
result  when  the  CTGs  are  implemented.
Similarly, numerous provisions under Title II,
such as reformulated gasoline, are expected to
reduce emissions of air toxics from mobile
sources by at least 15 percent by 1995, and 20
 percent by the year 2000. Reductions in toxic
 emissions also  will be realized from  mobile
 sources due to inspection  and maintenance
 programs, reductions in evaporative emissions
 and diesel particulate emissions, and clean-fuel
 vehicle programs.   Achievements in these
 areas include:

    •  Significant  progress   on   11    CTG
      documents.    Eight CTGs   are  being
      finalized,  and three others  are  being
      coordinated with ongoing HAP work for
      the same source categories.

    •  Implementation of the "clean gasoline"
      initiatives   to   reduce   motor   vehicle
      pollution (including air toxics).

    •  Final rules announced in 1991 that affect
      the sulfur content  of diesel  fuel. These
      rules will cut diesel particulate pollution
      from urban buses substantially. The EPA
      also  finalized  rules in March 1993 for
      urban buses that is expected to  reduce
      diesel particulate emissions  95 percent
      from uncontrolled levels.

    •  Inspection  and maintenance programs,
      required in certain ozone nonattainment
      areas, were finalized in November 1992.
      These programs are projected to reduce
      emissions  of volatile organic  compounds
      (which include HAPs) by 5 to 30 percent.

    •  A draft report  for public   review  on
      mobile source emissions of air toxics. This
      report was released by EPA in January
      1993.
  4.4. Available Data Sources for Air Toxic
  Emissions and Concentrations

  An extensive and long-term monitoring and
  emissions tracking program similar to that for
  criteria pollutants is not available for air toxics.
  The development of such data is complicated
  by  the  number of  chemical  compounds
  involved,  and  the  potential for secondary
Air Toxics
4-4

-------
                    Section 4.4 Available Data Sources for Air Toxic Emissions and Concentrations
formation of one hazardous compound from
other, often not hazardous, compounds.  The
limitations inherent in current data sources
limit EPA's ability to identify trends in air
toxic emissions and concentrations. Therefore,
preliminary assessments of baseline emissions
are somewhat tentative.

The primary sources of information  on air
toxics are the EPA's Toxic Release Inventory
(TRI), which covers emissions, and the EPA's
National Volatile Organic Compound Database
and various  field  studies,  which  covers
concentrations. The TRI is currently the only
database  available for  assessing  trends  in
emissions of air toxics.   The TRI requires
certain  facilities emitting   above  specified
threshold quantities of  air toxics to submit
annual  reports  to EPA on  their  releases.
Statutory  authority for  this requirement is
given  in  the  Emergency  Planning  and
Community Right to Know Act (EPCRA) of
1986. EPA has  collected information in  the
TRI since  1987.

While TRI is the only database available for
assessing  air toxic emission trends,  this
database does have some  limitations.  The
inventory of chemicals required to be reported
in TRI includes  all but  16  of the 189 HAPs
covered in the CAAA.  Some sources of air
toxic emissions including non-manufacturing
facilities such as  mining, electric utilities, and
mobile sources, are not required to report.  As
for  the  required  data,   TRI  data   are
self-reported and does not require facilities to
perform any actual monitoring to develop TRI
estimates.  The accuracy of the reported data
may vary from facility to facility and year to
year.  Despite these limitations, TRI estimates
are being used as rough indicators and EPA is
working  to  enhance  this  database   by
eliminating these limitations.1

The National Volatile  Organic Compound
Database compiles information on 70 of  the
189 compounds regulated under the air toxics
provisions of the CAAA. Limited information
on  the  other  119  compounds  has  been
collected in field studies in various parts of the
U.S.   A  recent study  conducted by EPA
collated all available information on air toxic
concentrations  available  from  the National
Volatile  Organic  Compound Database and
from an extensive literature search to  locate
additional data.2   This study found widely
varying  concentrations  of each HAP and
underscored the difficulty and importance of
developing  a.  consistent  and   long-term
monitoring network for air toxics.

As more information is collected on air toxic
emissions,  we  will attempt  to  modify our
baselines to accurately reflect how well  the
Title III regulations are decreasing the air toxic
emissions.  There are two types of air toxic
emission  numbers that  are  cited  in this
chapter: TRI air release emission summaries
and engineering estimates of emissions by
source category. The TRI summaries are used
to gain an overall picture of the hot  spots
within the nation.   The  emission estimates
were gathered during the rule-making process
on specific source categories.  These emission
estimates   were  calculated  using  formal
information-gathering letters and meetings
with industry, plant visits, and  existing state
and local information on the sources.   The
source category estimates  were  derived  to
support EPA's  rule-making under Title  III.
Because the source category estimates and the
TRI data are not collected in the same manner,
these numbers may differ.

4.5  Summary of Emissions

Figures 4-1 and 4-2 show reported air toxic
emissions  (the  sum  of  all  173  CAAA
compounds covered by the TRI) in the U.S. in
1990 and 1991. Hawaii, Nevada, and Vermont
emitted less than one million pounds of  toxics
per year.    In  1990,  reported  emissions
exceeded 100 million pounds for seven states,
compared to three states in 1991.  Figure  4-3
presents the  same  1991  data base using a
smaller grid scale to better illustrate the
                                         4-5
                                 Air Toxics

-------
Section 4.5 Summary of Emissions
       1990 Total Air Releases, CAA Species

     By State, from Toxic Release Inventory

                      (pounds)


               •  100,000,001 to 108,286,757
               E3   50,000,001 to 100,000,000
               0    10,000,001 to 50,000,000
               Q     5,000,001 to 10,000,000
               «      1,000,001 to 5,000,000
               m       336,740 to 1,000,000
Figure 4-1.  1990 total air releases, all species by state, from Toxic Release Inventory.
Air Toxics
4-6

-------
                                                                 Section 4.5  Summary of Emissions
        1991 Total Air Releases, CAA Species
      By State, from Toxic Release Inventory
                     (pounds)

              E3   50,000,001 to 88,603,651
              m   10,000,001 to 50,000,000
              d3    5,000,001 to 10,000,000
              m     1,000,001 to 5,000,000
              m       251,240 to 1,000,000
Figure 4-2.  1991 total air releases, all species, by state, from Toxic Release Inventory.
                                                4-7
Air Toxics

-------
Section 4.5  Summary of Emissions
          EMISSIONS
            (lt»/yt)

      • 10,000,000 to 100.000x100
      • 1,000,000 to 10,000X100
         100,000 to  1,000.000
          10.00O to   100,000
           1,00310    10,000
              1 to    1,000
        None
                            Total Emissions of Clean Air Act Toxic Species for 1990
Figure 4-3.  Gridded map of TRI total air releases from Clean Air Act toxic species, 1990.
Air Toxics
4-8

-------
                                                         Section 4.5 Summary of Emissions
 geographic location of these emissions. Maps
 showing   facility  locations  and sizes  for
 selected nonattainment areas are presented in
 Chapter 6.

 Figure 4-4 depicts emissions of the ten air
 toxics (in terms of emission quantities) from
 1987 to 1991.  Reported TRI emissions show a
 general downward trend for all but one of the
 pollutants listed.  As  implementation of the
 CAAA continues, this downward  trend is
 likely to continue.
           As  described above, implementation of the
           CAAA toxics  provisions focuses on source
           categories emitting large quantities of various
           air   toxics,   rather   than   on  particular
           compounds.  Brief profiles of key  air toxic
           sources  for which regulations  have been
           developed  or  are  in  the  final stages  of
           development are presented below.
350


300


250


200


150


100


 50


  0
     Total Emissions in Million Lbs/Year
1987      1988      1989      1990      1991
       Toluene     1,1,1-Trichloroethane    Xylene**         Chlorine     Hydrochloric Acid
               Methanol          MEK*       Dichloromethane   Carbon Disulfide  Trichloroethylene
   * Methyl Ethyl Ketone
  ** Mixed Isomers

Figure 4-4.  Top 10 hazardous air pollutants - 1987 BASIS.
                                          4-9
                                            Air Toxics

-------
Section 4.6  Source Category Profiles
4.6  Source Category Profiles

Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing
Industry  (SOCMI).   The  various  SOCMI
processes are believed to emit as many as 150
of the 189 HAPs. Emission points at SOCMI
facilities include process vents, storage vessels,
transfer operations, waste water collection and
treatment operations, and equipment leaks.

The  EPA proposed the Hazardous Organic
NESHAP (HON) rule in December 1992. It is
estimated that approximately 370 facilities and
1,050 chemical  manufacturing processes will
be affected by the HON.  Estimated 1989 HAP
emissions  were  550,000  tons;   expected
emission reductions resulting from the HON
are  projected to lower  HAP  emissions  to
110,000 tons per year by 1998.  Many of these
HAPs are known or suspected carcinogens.
     HAZARDOUS AIR EMISSIONS FROM
             SOCMI FACILITIES
 Thousands of Tons Per Year
 700
  Coke Oven Batteries.  Emissions from coke
  oven batteries include organic and inorganic
  particulate matter; volatile organic compounds;
  and  gases such as hydrogen disulfide, sulfur
  dioxide, nitrogen oxides, ammonia, and carbon
  monoxide.  The pollutants of primary interest
  with respect  to long-term or chronic health
  effects are various  carcinogenic polycyclic
  organic compounds (such as benzo(a)pyrene).
  Total HAP emissions are estimated to be 1,830
  tons per year.   The EPA rule proposed  in
  December 1992 will require battery operators
  to limit the percentage of leaking doors, lids,
  and  offtake systems; limit the time of visible
  emissions  during   charging;  and  install
  destructive flares on bypass/bleeder  stacks.
  These  requirements apply  to 30  facilities
  located in 10 different states.  The EPA rule is
  expected to reduce emissions from the current
  estimated level of  1,830 tons per year to  no
  more than  320 tons  per year by the end  of
  1995.
       HAZARDOUS AIR EMISSIONS FROM
            COKE OVEN BATTERIES
                                              Tons Per Year
                                              2,500
Air Toxics
4-10

-------
                                                         Section 4.6 Source Category Profile
Perchloroethylene Dry Cleaning  Facilities.
There are about 25,000 perchloroethylene dry
cleaning operations in the U.S., 3,700 of which
are  industrial  and  large  commercial  dry
cleaners and are the focus of this standard.  It
is  estimated that in  1988,  50,000  tons of
perchloroethylene,   a  probable  human
carcinogen, were emitted  from dry cleaning
operations themselves, and  an  additional
44,000 tons were emitted from the off-gassing
of materials  that came in contact with the
perchloroethylene during  the  dry cleaning
process. The national emission standard for
these   dry   cleaning   operations   was
promulgated  in  September  1993.     The
regulation will require the use of a refrigerated
condenser  (or  carbon  adsorber if  already
installed) in order to reduce emissions  from
the dry cleaning operations themselves.  Off-
gassing would be minimized to the extent
possible, with the remaining off-gassing left
uncontrolled.  It  is  estimated that by  1996,
perchloroethylene emissions from dry cleaning
operations will  be  reduced by  7,300  tons
annually.
    HAZARDOUS AIR EMISSIONS FROM
        DRY CLEANING FACILITIES
 Thousands of Tons Per Year
Ethylene   Oxide   Sterilization   Facilities.
Commercial ethylene oxide sterilization covers
the use of ethylene oxide (EO), a probable
human  carcinogen, in  the production of
medical   equipment   supplies   and   in
miscellaneous sterilization  and  fumigation
operations.  There are  about 200 commercial
ethylene oxide sterilization facilities in the U.S.
It  is estimated that in 1988, 1,100 tons of
ethylene oxide were emitted from commercial
sterilization facilities. The NESHAP for these
sterilization/fumigation facilities currently is
scheduled  for  promulgation in November
1994. The main sterilizer vent and  aeration
vent emissions  are being  considered   for
control.     Regulatory  alternatives   under
consideration   are  estimated  to   reduce
emissions by approximately 950 to 1,050  tons
annually.
     HAZARDOUS AIR EMISSIONS FROM
 ETHYLENE OXIDE STERILIZATION FACILITIES
 Tons Per Year
                                                          1,100
 1,400


 1,200


 1,000


  BOO


  600


  400


  200
                                              " Reductions wll result in emissions of 50-150 tons
                                         4-11
                                  Air Toxics

-------
Section 4.6 Source Category Profiles
Industrial  Process  Cooling   Towers.
Hexavalent chromium compounds often are
added to cooling towers used in the chemical
manufacturing,   petroleum  refining,   and
primary metals industries to protect the towers
from  corrosion.   Chromium-based  water
treatment chemicals  are  currently used  at
approximately 800 industrial process cooling
towers  (IPCTs)  located  at chemical  and
industrial facilities  nationwide.  Hexavalent
chromium is discharged  to the atmosphere
from these towers. This results in increased
ambient  concentrations  of chromium  and
resultant exposures.   It  is estimated  that
currently  25 tons  per year of  hexavalent
chromium are emitted from IPCTs in the U.S.
Hexavalent  chromium  is a known potent
human  carcinogen.   EPA anticipates  IPCT
regulations for  promulgation by November
1994.    The rule-making  will  propose the
substitution  of  nonchromium-based  water
treatment programs for chromium-based water
treatment programs.  This will result in a 100
percent reduction in chromium emissions from
IPCTs within approximately six months after
promulgation.
    HAZARDOUS AIR EMISSIONS FROM
 INDUSTRIAL PROCESS COOLING TOWERS
 Tons Per Year
 30
  Chromium Electroplating Operations.  There
  are about  5,000  chromium  electroplating
  operations in the U.S.  It is estimated that in
  1988 (baseline  year) 175 tons of hexavalent
  chromium were emitted from these operations.
  Hexavalent chromium  is a  known potent
  human carcinogen.  The NESHAP for  these
  chromium electroplating operations currently
  is  scheduled for promulgation at the end of
  1994. The regulation would require the use of
  a scrubber in order to reduce emissions by 99
  percent.  It is  estimated that one year after
  promulgation, hexavalent chromium emissions
  from chromium electroplating operations in
  the U.S. would be reduced to less than five
  tons per year.
      HAZARDOUS AIR EMISSIONS FROM
   CHROMIUM ELECTROPLATING OPERATIONS
   Tons Per Year
        Current Emissions
 Air Toxics
4-12

-------
                                                                       Section 4.7 References
4.7 References

1.   1991 Toxics Release Inventory, EPA-745-R-93-003, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office
    of Pollution Prevention and Toxics, Washington, D.C. 20460, May 1993.

2.   T. Kelly, M. Ramamurthi, A. Pollack, C. Spicer, and L. Cupitt, "Ambient Concentration Summaries
   for Clean Air Act Title III Hazardous Air Pollutants", presented at the Air and Waste Management
    Association, International Symposium on Measurement of Toxic and Related Air Pollutants, Durham,
    NC, May 1993.
                                           4-13                                   Air Toxics

-------
Air Toxics                                       4-14

-------
Chapter  5:    Air  Quality  Status
of  Metropolitan  Areas,  1992
This chapter provides general information on
the current air quality status of metropolitan
areas1 within the United States. Four different
summaries are presented in the following
sections.  First, a list of areas  designated
nonattainment for the National Ambient Air
Quality  Standards  (NAAQS)  for  carbon
monoxide (CO), lead (Pb), nitrogen dioxide
(NO2), ozone (O3), particulate matter (PM-10),
and sulfur dioxide (SO2)  is given.  Next, an
estimate is provided of the number of people
living in  counties which did not meet the
NAAQS based on only 1992 air quality data is
provided.     (Note  that  nonattainment
designations  typically   involve  multi-year
periods.)  Third, pollutant-specific maps are
presented  to  provide the  reader  with  a
geographical view  of how peak  1992  air
quality levels varied throughout  counties in
the  continental United States.   Finally, the
peak pollutant-specific statistics are listed for
each Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) with
1992 air quality monitoring data.
5.1  Nonattainment Areas

The  nonattainment designation,  a formal
rule-making process, may be viewed as simply
indicating those areas which do not meet the
air quality standard for a particular criteria
pollutant.  The Clean Air Act Amendments
(CAAA) of 1990 further classify ozone and
carbon monoxide nonattainment areas based
upon   the  magnitude  of  the   problem.
Depending on its particular nonattainment
classification,  an area  must  adopt,  at  a
minimum, certain  air  pollution  reduction
measures.  The classification of an area also
determines  when  the  area  must  reach
attainment.  The technical details underlying
these classifications are discussed elsewhere.2

Table 5-1 lists the number of nonattainment
areas for each pollutant, as of September, 1993.
Table 5-2 provides a simplified summary of
individual   nonattainment   areas   listed
alphabetically by  state.   A  more detailed
listing is contained in  the  Code of Federal
Regulations,  Part  81  (40 CFR  81).    The
population   figures  listed  with   each
nonattainment area are based on 1990 Census
figures.  For nonattainment areas defined as
only partial counties, population totals for just
the nonattainment area were  used when
available.     Otherwise,  whole  county
population totals are shown.  When a larger
nonattainment area encompassed a  smaller
one, double-counting  the  population  was
                                        Table 5-1.  Nonattainment Areas for NAAQS
                                        Pollutants as of September 1993
Pollutant
Carbon Monoxide (CO)
Lead (Pb)
Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2)
Ozone (O3)
Particulate Matter (PM-10)
Sulfur Dioxide (SO2)
Number of
Nonattainment
Areas*
41
13
1
94
70
46
* Unclassified areas are not included in the totals.
                                      5-1
             Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

-------
Section 5.1  Nonattainment Areas
avoided by only counting the population of   population was added accordingly (Figures 5-1
the   larger   area.      Occasionally,   two   and 5-2). Based on this preliminary estimate,
nonattainment   areas   may  only  partially   there are 150 million people living  in areas
overlap. In this case, these areas were counted   currently designated as nonattainment.
as two distinct nonattainment areas, and the

Table 5-2.  Simplified Nonattainment Areas List".


1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63

STATE
AK
AK
AK
AL
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CT
DC-MD-VA
DE
FL
FL
GA
GA
GU
GU
ID
ID
ID
ID
IL-IN
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IN
IN
IN
IN
IN

AREA NAMEb
Anchorage
Fairbanks
Juneau
Birmingham
Ajo
Douglas
Miami -Hayden
Morenci
Nogales
Paul Spur
Phoenix
Rillito
San Manuel
Yuma
Chico
Coachella Valley
Imperial Valley
Lake Tahoe South Shore
Los Angeles-South Coast Air Basin
Mammoth Lakes
Monterey Bay
Owens Valley
Sacramento Metro
San Diego
San Francisco-Bay Area
San Joaquin Valley
Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-Lompoc
Searles Valley
Southeast Desert Modified AQMA
Ventura Co.
Aspen
Canon City
Colorado Springs
Denver-Boulder
Fort Collins
Lamar
Longmont
Pagosa Springs
Telluride
Greater Connecticut
Washington
Sussex Co
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-W. Palm Beach
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater
Atlanta
Muscogee Co.
Piti Power Plant
Tanguisson Power Plant
Boise
Bonner Co .
Pinehurst
Pocatello
Chicago-Gary-Lake County
Grove land
Hollis Twp.
Jersey Co .
Oglesby
Peoria
Evansville
Indianapolis
Laporte Co.
South Bend
Vermillion Co.

0, CO
1
1

1






1 1



1


1
1 1

1

1 1
1 1
1 1
1 3
1

1
1


1
1
1

1


1 1
1 1
1
1
1
1







1


1


1
1

1

POLLUTANTC
SO, PM-10 Pb NO,
1

1
l(e).
11..
11..
21..
1 ...
1
1
1
1
1 ...
1

1
1

1 . 1
1

1



1

1


1
1

1

1

1
1
1





1
1 ...
1 ...
1
1
1
1
13..
1 ...
1 ...

1
1 ...

1 . Kf) .
1 ...

1
POPULATION"
(1000s)
222
30
27
651
6
13
3
8
19
1
2092
1
5
55
72
183
92
30
13513
5
622
18
1639
2498
5815
2742
370
31
384
669
5
13
353
1836
106
8
52
1
1
2470
3924
113
4056
1686
2653
179
145 (Pop Guam)
. (See Guam above)
126
27
2
46
7886
124
183 (Pop Peoria Co.)
21
4
. (See Peoria above)
165
797
107
403
17
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992
5-2

-------
                 Section 5.1  Nonattainment Areas
Table 5-2. Simplified Nonattainment Areas List*, (cont.).
POLLUTANT0

64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
STATE
IN
IN
KY
KY
KY-IN
KY
KY
KY
LA
LA
MA-NH
MA
MD
MD
ME
ME
ME
ME
ME
ME
MI
MI
MI
MN
MN
MN
MO
MO
MO-IL
MT
MT
MT
MT
MT
MT
MT
MT
MT
MT
NC
NC
NC
NE
NH
NH
NJ
MM
KM
NM
NV
NV
NV
NY
NY
NY
NY
NY-NJ-CT
NY
OH
OH-KY
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH- PA
OR
OR
AREA NAMEb
Vigo Co.
Wayne Co.
Edmonson Co .
Lexington-Fayette
Louisville
Muhlenberg Co .
Owensboro
Paducah
Baton Rouge
Lake Charles
Boston-Lawrence-Worcester
Springfield (W. Mass)
Baltimore
Kent and Queen Anne Cos .
Hancock and Waldo Cos .
Knox and Lincoln Cos .
Lewis ton- Auburn
Millinocket
Portland
Presque Isle
Detroit-Ann Arbor
Grands Rapids
Muskegon
Duluth
Minneapolis-St. Paul
Olmsted Co.
Dent
Liberty-Arcadia
St. Louis
Butte
Columbia Falls
Kalispell
Lame Deer
Lewis & Clark
Libby
Missoula
Poison
Ronan
Yellowstone
Char lot te-Gastonia
Winston-Salem
Raleigh- Durham
Douglas
Manchester
Portsmouth-Dover-Rochester
Atlantic City
Albuquerque
Anthony
Grant Co .
Central Steptoe Valley
Las Vegas
Reno
Albany- Schenectady-Troy
Buffalo-Niagara Falls
Essex Co. (White Mtn.)
Jefferson Co.
New York-N. New Jersey-Long Island
Poughkeepsie
Canton
Cincinnati -Hamilton
Cleveland-Akron-Lorain
Columbus
Coshocton Co.
Dayton-Springfield
Gallia Co.
Jefferson Co.
Morgan Co.
Toledo
Washington Co .
Youngs town- War r en- Sharon
Grants Pass
Klamath Falls
O, CO SO, PM-10 Pb NO,
1 ...
1 ...
1 . . . . .
1 . . . .
1 . . . - .
1 ...
1 . . . .
1 	
1 . . . .
1 . . . -
11. ...
1 . . . . .
11. ...
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 ...
1 	
1
1 . . 1 . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . .
1 ....
Ill Kg).
11..
1
1
1 . . Kh) l(i).
1
1
1
1
1 - l(j).
1
1.1..
1
1
1 ...
1 . . . .
1 ....
11. . . .
1
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 ....
1
1 ...
1 ...
1.1..
11.1..
1 . . . . .
1 . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
11. ...
1 . . . . .
1 . . . .
1 . . . . .
1131..
1 . . . .
1 ...
1 . . . . .
1 ...
11..
1 ...
1.1...
1 ...
1 . . . . .
1.1..
1.1..
POPULATION3
(1000s)
106
72
10
249
834
31
88
28
582
168
5500
812
2348
52
80
67
221
8
441
11
4591
688
159
85
2310
71
1
6
2390
34
3
12
1
2
3
43
3
2
5
686
266
613
<1
222
183
319
481
2
28
9
741
255
874
1189
<1
111
17947
259
368
1705
2859
1157
35
951
31
80
14
575
62
614
17
18
5-3
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

-------
Section 5.1 Nonattainment Areas
Table 5-2.  Simplified Nonattainment Areas List" (cont.)


136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190


STATE
OR
OR
OR-WA
OR
PA-NJ
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA

AREA NAMEb
LaGrande
Medford
Portland-Vancouver AQMA
Springfield-Eugene
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton
Altoona
Erie
Harrisburg-Lebanon-Car lisle
Johnstown
Lancaster
PA-DE-NJ-MD Philadelphia-Wilmington-Trenton
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PR
RI
TN
TN
TN
TN
TN
TN
TX
TX
TX
TX
UT
UT
UT
UT
VA
VA
VA
WA
WA
WA
WA
WA
WI
WI
WI
WI
WI
WI
WI
WI
wv
wv
wv
wv
WV-KY
WV
WY

Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley
Reading
Scranton-Wilkes-Barre
Warren Co.
York
Guaynabo Co .
Providence (all of RI)
Benton Co .
Fayette Co.
Humphreys Co .
Memphis
Nashville
Polk Co.
Beaumont-Port Arthur
Dallas-Fort Worth
El Paso
Houston-Calves ton-Brazoria
Ogden
Salt Lake City
Tooele Co.
Utah Co.
Norfolk-Virg. Beach-Newport News
Richmond-Petersburg
Smyth Co. (White Top Mtn.)
Olympia-Tumwater-Lacey
Seattle-Tacoma
Spokane
Wallula
Yakima
Door Co.
Kewaunee Co .
Manitowoc Co .
Marathon Co .
Mi Iwaukee -Rac ine
Oneida Co .
Sheboygan
Walworth Co .
Charleston
Follansbee
Greenbrier Co.
Hancock Co.
Huntington-Ashland
Parkersburg
Sheridan

POLLUTANT0
0, CO SO, PM-10 Pb NO,
1
1.1..
11. . . .
1
1.1...
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 1 ....
1.21..
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 ...
1 . . . . .
1
1 . . . . .
1 ...
1
1 ...
11 . . l(k).
1 ... 1(1).
1 ...
1 . . . . .
1 . . . l(m).
11 . 1 . .
1 . . . . .
1 ....
1.11..
1 ...
1.1..
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1
11.3..
1.1..
1
1
1 . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 ...
1 . . . . .
1 ...
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1 . . . . .
1
1 . . . . .
1 ...
1.1...
1 . . . . .
1
94 41 46 70 13 1
POPULATION3
(1000s)
12
63
1172
157
687
131
276
588
241
423
6010
2468
337
734
45
418
85
1003
15
26
16
826
881
14
361
3561
592
3731
63
914
27
264
1366
738
<1
63
2559
279
47
55
26
19
80
115
1735
32
104
75
250
3
35
22
206
87
14
148,164
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992
5-4

-------
                                                           Section 5.1 Nonattainment Areas
Table 5-2.  Simplified Nonattainment Areas List" (cont.)
Notes:  (a)  This is a simplified listing of Classified Nonattainment areas.  In certain
        cases,  footnotes  are used to clarify the areas involved.   For example,  the lead
        nonattainment area listed within the Dallas-Fort Worth ozone nonattainment area
        is  in Frisco,  Texas,  which is not in Dallas county.   Readers interested in more
        detailed information should use the official  Federal  Register  citation (40 CFR
        81) .

        (b)  Names of nonattainment areas are listed alphabetically within each state.  The
        largest city  determines which state  is listed  first in the case of multiple-city
        nonattainment areas.   When a larger nonattainment area,  such as ozone,  contains
        1 or  more  smaller nonattainment areas, such as  PM-10 or lead, the common name for
        the larger nonattainment  area is used.

        (c)  Nonattainment area status as of September, 1993.

        (d)  Population figures were obtained from 1990  census data.   For nonattainment
        areas  defined as  only  partial  counties,  population  figures  for  just  the
        nonattainment area were used when these were available.  Otherwise,  whole county
        population figures were used.   When a larger nonattainment area  encompasses  a
        smaller one,   double-counting the population  is avoided  by only  counting  the
        population of the  larger  nonattainment  area.    Note   that  several  smaller
        nonattainment areas  may be inside one larger nonattainment area,  as is the case
        in  Figure  5-1, which is considered 1 nonattainment area.  Caution must be used in
        these  cases,  as  population  figures  will  not  be  representative  of  small
        nonattainment areas  for  one  pollutant  inside  larger nonattainment areas  for
        another pollutant.   Occasionally,  two nonattainment  areas may  only partially
        overlap,  as in Figure 5-2.   For  the purpose of this  table, these are considered
        two distinct  nonattainment areas.

        (e)  Lead nonattainment area is a portion of Jefferson county,  Alabama.

        (f)  Lead nonattainment area  is  a portion of Franklin township,  Marion county,
        Indiana.

        (g)  Lead nonattainment area is a portion of Dakota county, Minnesota.

        (h)  PM-10  nonattainment  area is  Granite  City,  Illinois,  in Madison county.

        (i)  Lead nonattainment area is Herculaneum,  Missouri  in  Jefferson county.

        (j)  Lead nonattainment area is a portion of Lewis and Clark county, Montana.

        (k)  Lead nonattainment area is a portion of Shelby county, Tennessee.

        (1)  Lead nonattainment area is a portion of Williamson county,  Tennessee.

        (m)  Lead nonattainment area is Frisco, Texas,  in Collin  county.
                                          5-5               Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

-------
Section 5.1  Nonattainment Areas
                                     NAforOS

                                     NA for SO2
Figure 5-1. Example of multiple nonattainment (NA) areas within a larger NA area
(two SO2 NA areas inside the Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley ozone NA area, counted as one area).
                                              NA for O3

                                              NA for PM-10
figure 5-2. Example of overlapping NA areas (Searles Valley PM-10 NA area partially overlaps the
San Joaquin Valley ozone NA area, counted as 2 areas).
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992
5-6

-------
                         Section 5.2  Population Estimates for Counties not Meeting NAAQS, 1992
5.2 Population Estimates for Counties not
Meeting NAAQS, 1992

Figure 5-3 provides an estimate of the number
of people living in counties in which the levels
of  the  pollutant-specific   primary  health
NAAQS were not met by measured air quality
during 1992.  These estimates use a single-year
interpretation of the NAAQS to indicate the
current extent  of the  problem  for  each
pollutant. This single year approach provides
a convenient snapshot for the most recent year
but it should be noted that attainment of these
standards requires more than just one year of
data to account more fully  for variations in
emissions  and   meteorological  conditions.
Selected  air  quality  statistics  and  their
associated NAAQS were listed in Table  2-1.
Figure 5-3 clearly demonstrates that O3 was
the most pervasive air pollution problem in
1992 for the United States with an estimated
44.6 million people living in counties which
did not meet the O3 standard. This estimate is
significantly lower than last year's estimate for
1991 of 69.7 million people. This is the lowest
estimate during this 10-year period and is
substantially lower than the 112 million people
living in areas which did not meet the ozone
NAAQS in 1988.  This large decrease is likely
due in  part to meteorological  conditions in
1988 being more conducive to ozone formation
than recent years (recall the hot, dry summer
in the eastern U.S.), and to new and ongoing
emission control programs.  Between 1988 and
1989, implementation  of  gasoline volatility
regulations lowered the average Reid Vapor
Pressure (RVP) of regular unleaded gasoline
from 10.0 to 8.9 pounds per square inch (psi).
RVP was reduced an additional  3 percent
between 1989 and 1990.

PM-10 follows with 25.8 million people; CO
with 14.3 million people; Pb with 4.7 million
people.  The year 1992 marks the first time
since these population estimates have been
made that no monitoring violations of either
the NO2 or the SO2 NAAQS were recorded.
Both CO and Pb recorded decreases, while
PM-10 increased from 21.5 million people with
the  addition  of  areas  such   as  Chicago,
Philadelphia  and  Phoenix.  A total  of 54
million   persons  resided  in  counties  not
meeting  at  least one  air  quality  standard
during 1992 (out of a total 1990 population of
249 million). This estimate is down 37 percent
from the 86 million people  reported for 1991.
Table 5-3 lists by state the total population
living in counties not meeting the NAAQS in
1992. These population estimates are intended
to provide a relative measure of the extent of
  pollutant
  Any NAAQS
                          20
                       80
                                        40            60
                                      millions of persons
Figure 5-3. Number of persons living in counties with air quality levels not meeting the primary
NAAQS in 1992. (Based on 1990 population data and 1992 air quality data.)
                                                                                 100
                                          5-7
              Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

-------
Section 5.2  Population Estimates for Counties not Meeting NAAQS, 1992
1992. These population estimates are intended
to provide a relative measure of the extent of
the   problem   for  each  pollutant.     The
limitations   of   this   indicator  should  be
recognized.  An individual living in a county
that violates an air quality standard may not
actually be  exposed  to unhealthy air.  For
example, if CO violations were confined to a
traffic-congested center  city location during
evening rush hours in the winter, it is possible
that an individual may never be in that area,
or may be there only at other times of the day
or during other seasons. The  lead monitors
typically reflect the impact of lead sources in
the  immediate  vicinity  of  the  monitoring
location  and may not be  representative  of
county-wide air quality.  However, it is worth
noting that  ozone, which appears to be the
most  pervasive pollution problem by this
measure, is  also the  pollutant  most likely to
have fairly uniform concentrations throughout
an area.

The assumptions and methodology used in
any population estimate can, in some cases,
yield  a wide swing  in the estimate.  For
example, while there  are  an  estimated  45
million people living in counties that had 1992
ozone data  not  meeting the ozone NAAQS,
there  are an  estimated 140 million people
living in EPA designated ozone nonattainment
areas, based on air quality data from the years
1987-89. Although these numbers are properly
qualified, with such a large difference, it is
important to highlight  some  of  the  factors
involved in these estimates.  The estimate of
45 million people only considers data from the
single year, 1992, and only considers counties
with  ozone monitoring  data.    Presently,
counties with  ozone  monitors  contain  65
percent of the total U.S. population (counties
with monitors for any pollutant comprise 77
percent).    In  contrast,  designated  ozone
nonattainment areas are typically based upon
three years of data to  ensure a broader
representation   of  possible  meteorological
conditions.  This use of multiple years of data,
rather than a  single year,  is  based on the
procedure for determining attainment of the
   ozone NAAQS.

   Another difference is that the estimate of 45
   million  people living  in  counties with air
   quality levels not meeting the ozone NAAQS
   only  considers  counties  that  had  ozone
   monitoring data for 1992. There were only 852
   ozone  monitors  reporting in  1992.   These
   monitors were located in 513 counties, which
   clearly falls far short of the more than 3,100
   counties in the U.S.  This shortfall is not as
   bad as it  may initially appear  because it is
   often possible to take advantage of other air
   quality  considerations  in interpreting  the
   monitoring data.  This, in fact,  is why other
   factors  are   considered   in   determining
   nonattainment areas.  Ozone tends to be an
   area-wide problem with fairly similar levels
   occurring across broad regions. Because ozone
   is not  simply a  localized hot-spot problem,
   effective ozone  control  strategies  have to
   incorporate a broad view of the problem.
   Nonattainment boundaries may consider other
   air quality  related   information, such as
   emission inventories and modeling, and may
   extend beyond those counties with monitoring
   data to more fully  characterize the ozone
   problem and to facilitate the development of
   an adequate control strategy.
   Since  the   early
   1970s, there  has
   been  a   growing
                that
                         poUutWH IS the
                           lowest in ten
                                   g
                               "
                         The 1992
                     population count

           ozone    in CM**** **&
precursors   are
transported
beyond   the
political
jurisdiction   of
source areas  and  ••••^^•^••^^••i^^
affect  air  quality
levels at considerable distances downwind.
The   transport   of  ozone  concentrations
generated from urban manmade emissions of
precursors  in numerous areas to locations
further  downwind  can  result  in  rather
widespread areas of elevated levels of ozone
across regional spatial scales.
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992
5-8

-------
                              Section 5.2  Population Estimates for Counties not Meeting NAAQS, 1992
Table 5-3.  Single Year Snapshot for 1992 of Number of People Living in Counties With Air Quality
Levels Not Meeting at Least One of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) - Population
Totals by State.  (Based on 1992 data only.  Additional years are required to demonstrate attainment to account for variations in emissions
and meteorological conditions.)
State
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Total State
Population, 1990
4,040,587
550,043
3,665,228
2,350,725
29,760,021
3,294,394
3,287,116
666,168
606,900
12,937,926
6,478,216
1,108,229
1 ,006,749
1 1 ,430,602
5,544,159
2,776,755
2,477,574
3,685,296
4,219,973
1 ,227,928
4,781 ,468
6,016,425
9,295,297
4,375,099
2,573,216
5,117,073
Number of People
Living in Counties
Not Meeting the
NAAQS in 1992
0*
304,058
2,249,401
0
19,896,154
467,610
1 ,099,540
441 ,946
0*
0*
599,928
0
135,821
5,671 ,776
604,526
150,979
0
0*
744,050
164,587
283,286
995,625
0*
0*
0
1,175,635
*  Although the population figure is zero using only 1992 data, this state contains one or more officially classified nonattainment areas.
   Note: Based on data from AIRS as of July 15, 1993.
                                                   5-9
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

-------
Section 5.2  Population Estimates for Counties not Meeting NAAQS, 1992
Table 5-3.  Single Year Snapshot for 1992 of Number of People Living in Counties With Air Quality
Levels Not Meeting at Least One of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) - Population
Totals by State.  (Based on 1992 data only.  Additional years are required to demonstrate attainment to account for variations in emissions
and meteorological conditions.) (cont.)
State
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Total State
Population, 1990
799,065
1 ,578,385
1 ,201 ,833
1,109,252
7,730,188
1,515,069
17,990,455
6,628,637
638,800
10,847,115
3,145,585
2,842,321
11,881,643
1 ,003,464
3,486,703
696,004
4,877,185
16,986,510
1 ,722,850
562,758
6,187,358
4,866,692
1 ,793,477
4,891,769
453,588
Number of People
Living in Counties
Not Meeting the
NAAQS in 1992
106,713
416,444
741 ,459
0*
3,260,931
135,510
1 ,321 ,864
0*
0
1 ,474,394
0
561,762
1 ,585,577
0*
285,720
0
851,889
5,968,079
1,147,876
0
58,423
361 ,364
0*
303,215
0*
Total 248,709,873 53,566,142
*  Although the population figure is zero using only 1992 data, this state contains one or more officially classified nonattainment areas.
   Note: Based on data from AIRS as of July 15, 1993.
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992
5-10

-------
                                    Section 5.3 Maps of Peak Air Quality Levels by County, 1992
5.3 Maps of Peak Air Quality Levels by County,
1992

This section presents air quality maps that
show how air quality varied across the
country during 1992. For each pollutant, the
maps display the highest concentration
recorded among all monitoring sites in each
county. The bar chart accompanying each
map displays the number of people living in
counties within each pollutant concentration
range. Table 5-4 lists  the Pollutant
Standards Index (PSI) ranges and pollutant
concentration averaging times used for each
of the pollutants, except for maximum
quarterly Pb levels and annual arithmetic
mean NO2 levels.  For these latter two
pollutants, Table 5-5 lists the averaging
times, pollutant ranges and colors used with
the Pb and NO2 air quality maps.

The PSI is a uniform air quality index used for
the   daily   reporting   of   air  pollution
concentrations  in most major U.S. cities.  As
indicated in Table  5-4,  a  standard  color
sequence  is used when  this information  is
reported to the public.   The PSI  colors are
employed in the following maps to provide a
readily  identifiable  and  consistent   color
scheme throughout.  The  "cooler"  PSI  colors
(blue and green) indicate air quality that  is
"better" than the level of the corresponding air
quality  standard.    The  "warmer"  colors
(yellow, orange, red) denote air quality levels
that  do  not  meet  the   NAAQS for that
pollutant.
Table 5-5.  Plotting Points for Pb and NO2
Color
Red
Orange
Yellow
Green
Blue
Pb
Max Quarter
Hg/m3
6.0+
<6.0
<3.0
< 1.5
<0.75
NO2
Arith Mean
ppm
n/a
n/a
< 0.1 06
< 0.053
< 0.027
Table 5-4.  Comparison of Pollutant Standard Index (PSI) Values with Pollutant Concentrations,
Health Descriptions, and PSI Colors
INDEX
VALUE

500
400 -

200
100
50
n
AIR
QUALITY
LEVEL
SIGNIFICANT
HARM
EMERGENCY


NAAQS
50% OF
NAAQS
POLLUTANT LEVELS
PM,0
(24-Hour)
uoAn3

600 "-1
- 500 -
420
350
150
50
n
SO 2
(SS^

- 2620
- 2100 ~
1600
800
365
on b
80
n
CO
(8-fuur)
ppm

50
~ 40 ~
30
' 15
9
4.5
n
°3
(l-Wui)
ppm

0.6
- 0.5 —
0.4
0.2
r 0.12
~ 0.06
n
NO 2
(1-hour)
ppm

2.0
- 1.6 ~
1.2
0.6
a
a
— a 	
HEALTH
EFFECT
DESCRIPTOR

HAZARDOUS
VERY
UNHEALTHFUL
UNHEALTHFUL
MODERATE
GOOD
PSI
COLORS

RED
ORANGE
YELLOW
GREEN
BLUE
               *No Index values reported at concentration levels below those specified by 'Alert Lever criteria.
               "Annual primary NAAQS.
                                           5-11
              Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

-------
O
JS

I
CO
CO
(D
CO
ro
Carbon Monoxide Air Quality  Concentrations,  1992
               Highest Second  Max 8-Hour Average
 170-



 160-



 150



 140-



 130-



 120-



£ 110-
O


^ 100-



'^ 90'
O


° 80-


O
•^ 70-
<=>


- 60-



  50"



  40



  30-



  20-



  10-



   0
                                                 Concentration (ppm)

                                   mm <= 4 5   ••• 46-9   r  n 9.1 - is  ••• ts.i - 30


                              Figure 5-4. Carbon monoxide air quality concentrations, 1992.
                                                                                                CO
                                                                                     03

                                                                                     CO



                                                                                     Tl
                                                                                     CD
                                                                                     0)


                                                                                     >
                                                                                     -n

                                                                                     O

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                      Lead  Air Quality Concentrations, 1992
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                                  Figure 5-5. Lead air quality concentrations, 1992.
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                             Figure 5-6. Nitrogen dioxide air quality concentrations, 1992.

-------
                     Ozone Air Quality Concentrations, 1992
                              Highest Second Daily 1 - Hour Max
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Section 5.4  Environmental Justice Considerations
5.4  Environmental Justice Considerations

Recent  years  have brought  an  increased
awareness   that  pollution  risks   are  not
necessarily equal for all members of society.
There is growing concern that environmental
risks may be greater for minority groups or
other specific subgroups of  society  and that
this inequity could be increasing.3 This section
focuses  on  environmental   justice,   or
environmental equity, considered in terms of
the   NAAQS  pollutants.    More  thorough
discussions  of  environmental justice issues
have been presented recently in a number of
forums, including a wide ranging article in the
EPA Journal, March/April 1992 issue.

An   important   component  of   studying
environmental justice issues is to be able to
associate population with a given air pollution
problem.   Several  approaches  are  possible.
Most simply, the population can be based on
the  number of people living in counties with
at least one air quality  monitor  not meeting
the   standard.    Or,  population  within  a
nonattainment  area, which  has boundaries
specifically  designed   to   encompass  the
pollution problem, may be used.  This second
method is  usually more difficult due to the
sometimes  complicated   nature   of
nonattainment boundaries.   Finally, an even
more involved method uses models which
incorporate population, pollution, and mobility
pattern information  to focus on a specific area.
The  county   and  nonattainment   area
approaches  are used  here to  provide  an
overview of air quality status.

Once  the  basic population  numbers  are
established, it is important to understand both
the  nature of  the area  affected  by  the
pollutants being studied and the characteristics
of the population in the area. For example, a
distinction may need to be made in a given
situation between ozone, which affects a wide
area, and a more localized problem caused by
carbon  monoxide,  sulfur dioxide,  lead, or
particulate matter. These latter pollutants may
be associated with specific sources where the
    effects  may be limited  to the  immediate
    neighborhood. Figure 5-10 illustrates both the
    ozone   and   the   carbon   monoxide
    nonattainment areas associated with Baltimore
    and  provides  a  striking  example  of  the
    possible   difference   in  the   size   of
    nonattainment areas  for different pollutants.
    The carbon monoxide nonattainment area is
    less than 0.1 percent  of the area of the ozone
    nonattainment area and contains only about 1
    percent of the population.

    To characterize the population in a given area,
    detailed demographics may be used. One step
    in this process is to develop  computerized
    maps that show the boundaries of the specific
    nonattainment areas.  Figure 5-11  illustrates
    this type of map for  Chicago.  Note that the
    Chicago  ozone nonattainment area,  shaded
    orange, covers a much broader area than the
    three PM-10 nonattainment areas, shaded red.
    The racial make-up of these areas, provided by
    census  data,  varies.    For example,  the
    population of the ozone nonattainment area is
    71 percent white  and 20 percent African-
    American (defined as Black by the U.S. Census
    Bureau),   while  the   African-American
    proportion of the PM-10  areas within  the
    ozone area ranges anywhere from 4 percent to
    73 percent.  This example provides  a good
    illustration  of  how  detailed   population
    descriptions are useful for  providing insight
    into  who is  being affected by  the  current
    nonattainment problems.  Future EPA Trends
    Reports will make greater use of these detailed
    area characterizations.
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992
5-18

-------
                                    Section 5.4 Environmental Justice Considerations
Baltimore Non-Attainment Areas
Figure 5-10. Ozone and carbon monoxide nonattainment areas within the Baltimore metropolitan area.
                                  5-19
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

-------
Section 5.4 Environmental Justice Considerations
Chicago Non-Attainment Areas
Figure 5-11.  Ozone and PM-10 nonattainment areas within the Chicago metropolitan area.




Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992          5-20

-------
                         Section 5.5  Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) Air Quality Summary, 1992
5.5 Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) Air
Quality Summary, 1992

This section provides information for general
air pollution  audiences on  1992 air quality
levels  in each Metropolitan  Statistical  Area
(MSA) in the United States.  Generally, an
MSA is an area comprising a large population
center with adjacent communities that have a
high degree of economic and social integration
with the  urban center.  Metropolitan Statistical
Areas  contain a central county(ies),  and any
adjacent  counties with at least 50  percent of
their   population   in  the  urbanized  area.1
Although MS As compose only 16  percent of
the land area  in the U.S., they account for 78
percent of the total population of 249 million.

Table 5-6 presents a summary of the highest air
quality levels  measured in each  MSA during
1992.   Individual MSAs are listed  to provide
more  extensive  spatial coverage  for  large
metropolitan complexes.  The 341  MSAs are
listed alphabetically, with the  1990 population
estimate  and  air  quality  statistics for  each
pollutant. Concentrations above the level of the
respective NAAQS are shown in bold italic type.

In the case of O3/ the problem is regional in
scale, and the  high values associated  with the
pollutant can  reflect a  large part  of the MSA.
However  in   many   cases,  peak  ozone
concentrations occur downwind of major urban
areas, e.g., peak ozone levels attributed to the
Chicago metropolitan area are recorded in and
near Kenosha,  Wisconsin.  In contrast, high CO
values generally are localized and reflect areas
with heavy traffic.  The scale of measurement
for the pollutants — PM-10, SO2  and NO2 —
falls somewhere in between. Finally, while Pb
measurements   generally   reflect   Pb
concentrations near roadways in the MSA, if a
monitor is located near a point source of lead
emissions it can produce readings  substantially
higher.  Such is the case in several MSAs.  Pb
monitors  located  near a  point  source  are
footnoted accordingly in Table 5-6.
The pollutant-specific statistics reported in this
section  are  for  a single  year of data.  For
example, if an MSA has three ozone monitors in
1992 with second highest daily hourly maxima
of  0.15 ppm, 0.14 ppm  and 0.12 ppm, the
highest of these, 0.15 ppm, would be reported
for that MSA. The associated primary NAAQS
concentrations   for   each   pollutant  are
summarized in Table 2-1.

The same annual data completeness  criteria
used  in the  air quality trends data base for
continuous  data  was  used  here  for  the
calculation of annual means, (i.e., 50 percent  of
the required samples for SO2 and NO2).  If some
data have been collected at one or more sites,
but none of these sites meet the annual data
completeness criteria, then the reader  will be
advised  that  there  are insufficient  data  to
calculate the annual mean.  With respect to the
summary statistics on air  quality levels with
averaging times less than or equal to 24-hours,
all sites are included, even if they do not meet
the annual data completeness requirement.

For PM-10 and Pb, the arithmetic mean statistics
are based on 24-hour measurements, which are
typically obtained from a systematic sampling
schedule.  In contrast to the trends analyses  in
Section 3 which used a more relaxed indicator,
only   maximum  quarterly  average  Pb
concentrations meeting the AIRS validity criteria
are displayed in Table 5-6.
                                          5-21
               Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

-------
Section 5.6 References
5.6 References

1.   Statistical Abstract of the United States,  1992, U. S. Department  of Commerce,  U.S. Bureau of the
    Census, Appendix II.

2.   Code of Federal Regulations, 40CFR Part 81.

3.   P. Mohai and B. Bryant, "Race, Poverty, and Environment", EPA Journal, March/April, 1992.
 Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992              5-22

-------
The reader is cautioned that this summary is not
  adequate in itself to numerically rank MS As
 according to their air quality.  The monitoring
   data represent the quality of the air in the
   vicinity of the monitoring site but may not
  necessarily represent urban-wide air quality.
                    5-23            Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992

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                                            TABLE 5-6.  1992 METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA AIR QUALITY FACTBOOK

                                                    PEAK STATISTICS FOR SELECTED POLLUTANTS BY MSA
Ul
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
ABILENE, TX
AGUADILLA, PR
AKRON, OH
ALBANY, GA
ALBANY-SCHENECTADY-TROY, NY
ALBUQUERQUE, NM
ALEXANDRIA, LA
ALLENTQWN-BETHLEHEM, PA-NJ
ALTOQNA, PA
AMARILLO, TX
ANAHEIM-SANTA ANA, CA
ANCHORAGE, AK
ANDERSON, IN
ANDERSON, SC
ANN ARBOR, Ml
ANNISTQN.AL
APPLETGN-QSHKQSH-NEENAH, Wl
ARECIBO, PR
ASHEVILUEtNC
ATHiNS,GA
ATLANTA, GA
ATLANTIC CITY, NJ
AUGUSTA, GA-SC
AURORA-ELGIN, IL
AUSTIN, TX
8AKERSFIE10, CA
BALTIMORE, MD
BANGOR, ME
BATON ROUGE, LA
BATTLi CREEK, Ml
BEAUMONT-PORT ARTHUR, TX
BEAVER COUNTY, PA
BELLINGHAM, WA
BENTON HARBOR, Ml
BERGEN-PASSAIC, NJ
BILLINGS, MT
BfLQXMSULFPORT, MS
8JNGHAMTON, NY
BIRMINGHAM, AL
B1SMARK, ND
PM10 PM10
1990 2ND MAX WTDAM
POPULATION (UGM) (UGM)
120,000
156,000
658,000
113,000
874,000
481,000
132,000
687,000
131,000
188,000
2,411,000
226,000
131,000
145,000
283,000
116,000
315,000
170,000
175,000
156,000
2,834,000
319,000
397,000
357,000
782,000
543,000
2,382,000
89,000
528,000
136,000
361,000
186,000
128,000
161,000
1,278,000
113,000
197,000
264,000
908,000
84,000
ND
ND
62
ND
69
67
ND
48
38
30
85
149
55
ND
115
45
ND
ND
41
ND
69
51
42
ND
50
109
71
78
66
57
53
61
50
ND
71
49
ND
44
122
45
ND
ND
28
ND
24
31
ND
21
21
IN
40
42
25
ND
IN
25
ND
ND
23
NO
34
31
IN
ND
23
99
34
22
30
27
26
24
IN
ND
39
27
ND
22
39
21
SO2
AM
(PPM)
ND
ND
0.013
0.003
0.006
NO
ND
0,008
0,009
ND
0.002
ND
ND
ND
ND
NO
ND
0.005
ND
ND
0.008
0.003
ND
ND
ND
0,003
0.009
ND
0.008
ND
0.006
0.018
0.007
ND
0.011
0,025
0.000
ND
0.007
ND
SO2
24-HR
(PPM)
ND
ND
0.064
0.05
0.029
ND
ND
0.034
0.046
ND
0.008
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.016
ND
ND
0.034
0.016
ND
ND
ND
0.01
0,027
ND
0,033
ND
0.045
0.088
0.022
ND
0.047
0,103
0.02
ND
0,027
ND
CO
8-HR
(PPM)
ND
ND
5
ND
5
8
ND
4
3
ND
9
11
ND
ND
ND
ND
3
ND
ND
ND
5
5
ND
ND
4
9
7
ND
5
ND
2
3
ND
ND
5
5
ND
ND
8
ND
N02 OZONE
AM 2ND MAX
(PPM) (PPM)
ND
ND
ND
ND
IN
0.021
ND
0.02
0,014
ND
0.039
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.027
ND
ND
ND
0.017
0.027
0.031
ND
0.019
ND
0.012
0.02
ND
ND
0.03
ND
ND
ND
IN
ND
ND
ND
0.11
ND
0.1
0.09
ND
0.1
0.1
ND
0.19
ND
ND
0.09
0.1
ND
0.09
ND
0,08
ND
0.13
0.12
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1$
0.13
ND
0,12
ND
0.14
0.11
0.07
0.08
0.1
ND
ND
ND
0,12
ND
PB
QMAX
(UGM)
ND
ND
0.05
ND
0.03
N0
ND
0.28
ND
ND
0.03
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.03
0.02
0.01
ND
ND
ND
0,04
0.01
0,26
ND
0.02
0.15
ND
ND
0.02
ND
ND
ND
1,15 *
ND

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BLOOMINGTON, IN
BLOOMINGTON-NORMAL, IL
BOISE CITY, ID
BOSTON, MA
BOULDER-LONGMONT, CO
BRADENTON, RL
BRA20RJA,TX
BR§MERTON»WA
SRIOOEPORT-MUFORD, CT
BRISTOL, CT
BROCKTON, MA
BROWNSVILLE-HARLINGEN, TX
BRYAN-COLLEGE STATION, TX
BUFFALO, NY
BURLINGTON, NC
BURLINGTON, VT
CAGUAS, PR
CANTON, OH
CASPiaWY
CEDAR RAPIDS, tA
CHAMPAIGN-URBANA-RANTOUL, IL
CHARLESTON, SC
CHARLESTON, WV
CHARLOTTE-GASTONIA-ROCK HILL, NC-SC
CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA
CHATTANOOGA, TN-GA
CHEYENNE, WY
CHICAGO, IL
CHtCO, CA
CINCINNATI, OH-KY-IN
109,000
129,000
206,000
2,871,000
225,000
212,000
192,000
190,000
444,000
TByOJO
189,000
260,000
122,000
969,000
108,000
131,000
275,000
397,000
61,000
169,000
173,000
507,000
250,000
1,162,000
131,000
433,000
73,000
6,070,000
182,000
1,453,000
ND
ND
91
69
69
ND
NO
ND
51
46
ND
62
ND
63
ND
SO
ND
72
41
66
71
93
50
57
37
76
51
181
ND
82
ND
ND
41
16
24
ND
ND
ND
27
19
ND
31
ND
25
ND
23
ND
30
21
IN
38
25
28
31
22
35
17
42
ND
36
ND
ND
ND
0.012
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.01
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.011
ND
0.003
ND
0,01
ND
0,005
0.004
0.005
0.009
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.009
ND
0,015
ND
ND
ND
0.046
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.04
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.07
ND
0.013
ND
0,04
ND
0.046
0.018
0.035
0.035
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.056
ND
0.05
ND
ND
7
5
7
ND
ND
ND
5
ND
ND
ND
ND
6
ND
4
ND
3
ND
5
ND
5
3
7
ND
ND
ND
6
6
5
ND
ND
ND
0.033
ND
ND
ND
ND
0,024
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.021
ND
0.016
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.012
0.017
0.016
ND
ND
ND
0.03
0,016
0.026
ND
ND
ND
0.11
0.09
0.09
0.13
ND
0.19
ND
0.11
ND
ND
0.1
ND
ND
ND
0.1
ND
0.08
0.09
0.09
0.07
0.1
ND
0.1
ND
0.13
0.09
0.1
ND
ND
ND
0.03
ND
ND
ND
ND
0,01
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.03
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.03
0.04
0.08
ND
ND
ND
0,99 #
ND
0.05
PM10 = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 150 ug/m3)
= HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 50 ug/m3)
SO2 = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION
(Applicable NAAQS is 0.03 ppm)
= HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 0.14 ppm)
CO = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM NON-OVERLAPPING 8-HOUR CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 9 ppm)
NO2 = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION
(Applicable NAAQS is 0.053 ppm)
O3 = HIGHEST SECOND DAILY MAXIMUM 1-HOUR CONCENTRATION
(Applicable NAAQS is 0.12 ppm)
PB = HIGHEST QUARTERLY MAXIMUM CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 1 .5 ug/m3)
ND = INDICATES DATA NOT AVAILABLE



IN = INDICATES INSUFFICIENT DATA TO CALCULATE SUMMARY STATISTIC
UGM
PPM
= UNITS ARE MICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER
= UNITS ARE PARTS PER MILLION
* - Impact from an industrial source in Leeds, AL. Highest site in Birmingham, AL is 0.12 ug/m3.


# - Impact from an industrial source in Chicago, IL.  Highest population oriented site in Chicago, IL is 0.12 ug/m3.

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                                                    PEAK STATISTICS FOR SELECTED POLLUTANTS BY MSA
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METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL ARIA
CLARKSVILLE-HOPKINSVILLE, TN-KY
CLEVELAND, OH
COLORADO SPRINGS, CO
COLUMBIA, MO
COLUMBIA, SC
COLUMBUS, GA-AL
COLUMBUS, OH
CORPUS GHRISTt.TX
CUMBERLAND, MD-WV
DALLAS, TX
DANBURY, CT
DANVILLE, VA
DAVENPORT-ROCK ISLAND-MOLINE, IA-IL
DAYTON-SPRINGFIELD, OH
DAYTONA BEACH, FL
DECATUaAL
DECATUfUL
DENVER»CG
DESMOINES, IA
DEmOfT, Ml
DOTHAN, AL
DUBUQUE, IA
DULUTH, MN-WI
EAU CLAIRE, Wl
EL PASO, TX
ELKBART-GOSHEN, IN
ELMIRA.NY
ENID, OK
EWE, PA
EUGENE-SPRINGFIELD, OR
EVANSVILLE, IN-KY
FALL RIVER, MA-RI
FARGO-MOORHEAD, ND-MN
FAYETTEVILLE, NC
FAYETTEVILLE-SPRINGDALE, AR
FITCH8URG-LEOMINSTER, MA
FUNT,MI
FLORENCE, AL
FLORENCE, SC
FORT COLONS, CO
PM10
1990 2ND MAX VI
POPULATION W
(UGM)
ND
36
26
ND
53
26
30
IN
NO
30
IN
ND
31
28
19
25
27
39
IN
37
25
ND
23
ND
44
ND
21
ND
22
28
32
17
21
26
22
ND
IN
21
ND
IN
$02
AM
(PPM)
0.009
0.014
ND
ND
0.004
ND
0.007
0.003
0.006
0,003
0.007
ND
0.006
0.005
ND
N0
0.005
0.009
ND
0.009
ND
0.003
0.002
ND
0.013
ND
0.005
ND
0,011
ND
0.016
0.008
ND
ND
ND
ND
IN
0,004
ND
ND
S02
244ft
(PPM)
0.035
0.065
ND
ND
0.022
ND
0-03
0,021
0.024
0.01
0.027
ND
0.031
0.021
ND
ND
0.023
0.061
ND
0.04S
ND
0.017
0.016
ND
0.056
ND
0,021
ND
0.056
ND
0.097
0.058
ND
ND
ND
ND
0,015
0.019
ND
ND
CO
8-HR
(PPM)
ND
7
7
ND
6
ND
6
ND
3
6
ND
ND
ND
4
ND
ND
ND
13
4
5
ND
ND
4
ND
10
ND
ND
ND
4
6
5
ND
3
7
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
7
N02 OZONE
AM 2ND MAX
(PPMI (PPM)
ND
0.029
ND
ND
IN
ND
0.012
ND
ND
0.021
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.041
ND
0,021
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.031
ND
ND
ND
0.014
ND
0.018
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.14
0.07
ND
0.1
0,1
0.1
0,1
ND
0.14
0.12
ND
0.11
0.1
0.08
ND
0.09
0.1
0.08
0,11
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.74
0,09
0.09
ND
0.1
0.1
0.1
ND
ND
0.09
ND
ND
0.09
ND
ND
0.09
PB
QMAX
(UGM>
ND
57.4 *
0.02
ND
0.05
1.46 #
0,14
ND
ND
0,91 @
ND
ND
0.02
0.04
ND
ND
0,03
0.12
ND
0.06
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.26
ND
ND
ND
0.05
0.02
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
NO
0,01
ND
ND
ND

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FORT LAUDERDALE-HOLLYWOOD-POMPANO BEA 1,255,000 51
FORT MYERS-CAPE CORAL, FL 335,000 ND
FORT PIERCE, FL 251,000 ND
FORT SMITH, AR-OK 176,000 51
FORT WALTON BEACH, FL 144,000 ND
FORT WAYNE. IN 364,000 61
FOTT WORTH-ARLINGTON, TX 1,332,000 64
FRESNO, CA 667,000 111
QADSDEN.AL 100,000 60
GAINESVILLE, FL 204,000 ND
GALVESTON-TEXAS CITY, TX 217,000 64
GARY-HAMMOND, IN 605,000 187
GLENS FALLS, NY 119,000 45
GRAND FORKS, ND 71,000 78
GRAND RAPIDS, Ml 688,000 117
GREAT FALLS, MT 78,000 S3
GRESLJEY.CQ 132,000 74
GRif N BAY, Wt 195,000 47
GREENSBORO-WINSTON SALEM-HIGH POINT, NC 942,000 55
GR6£NVJlil"SPARTANBURG,$C «41,000 30
HAGERSTOWN, MD 121,000 41
HAMILTON-MIDDLETOWN, OH 291,000 75
HARRISBURG-LEBANON-CARLISLE, PA 588,000 42
HARTFORD, CT 768,000 62
HICKORY, NC 222,000 41
HQNOt-ULU.Hl 830.000 51
HOUMA-THIBODAUX, LA 183,000 ND
HOUSTON, TX 3,302,000 102
HUNTfNGTON-ASHLAND, WV-KY-OH 313,000 74
HUNTSVILLE, AL 233,000 SO
18
ND
ND
24
ND
23
25
52
31
ND
IN
39
22
18
36
21
IN
18
30
IN
IN
34
18
25
IN
15
ND
38
32
36
0.002
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.003
0,003
0.003
ND
NO
0.005
0.01
0.004
IN
0.003
ND
ND
0,005
0,006
0,003
ND
0.008
0.007
0.007
ND
0.002
ND
0.008
0.013
ND
0.006
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.012
0.613
0.01
ND
ND
0.039
0.052
0.017
0.041
0.015
ND
ND
0.029
0,019
0.013
ND
0.037
0.03
0.031
ND
0.009
ND
0.04
0,079
ND
6
ND
ND
ND
ND
4
4
7
ND
ND
ND
5
ND
ND
3
6
8
ND
6
ND
ND
ND
5
8
ND
3
ND
8
3
4
0.009
ND
ND
0.01
ND
0.011
0,018
0.023
ND
ND
ND
0.019
ND
IN
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.015
0,019
ND
ND
0.018
0.017
ND
ND
ND
0.028
6,02
0,013
0.11
0.08
ND
ND
ND
0.1
0.13
0.15
ND
ND
0.1
0.12
ND
ND
0.1
ND
0.08
0,08
0.1
0.00
ND
0.1
0.1
0.13
ND
0.06
0.09
0,2
0.11
0,11
0.09
ND
ND
ND
ND
0,03
0.03
ND
0,21
ND
0.02
0.16
ND
ND
0.02
ND
ND
NO
ND
0.02
ND
ND
0.04
0.02
ND
0.01
ND
0.03
0.04
ND
PM10 = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 150 ug/m3)
= HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 50 ug/m3)
SO2 = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 0.03 ppm)







= HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 0.14 ppm)
CO = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM NON-OVERLAPPING 8-HOUR CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 9 ppm)
NO2 = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 0.053 ppm)







O3 = HIGHEST SECOND DAILY MAXIMUM 1-HOUR CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS is 0.1 2 ppm)
PB = HIGHEST QUARTERLY MAXIMUM CONCENTRATION (Applicable NAAQS Is 1 .5 ug/m3)
ND = INDICATES DATA NOT AVAILABLE
IN = INDICATES INSUFFICIENT DATA TO CALCULATE SUMMARY STATISTIC


UGM
PPM
= UNITS ARE MICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER
= UNITS ARE PARTS PER MILLION
CO
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* - Impact from an industrial source in Clevland, OH.  Enforcement action has been initiated at this facility.  Highest population oriented site in Cleveland, OH is 0.36 ug/m3.


# - Impact from an industrial source.


@ - Impact from an industrial source  in Collin County, TX.  Highest site in Dallas, TX is 0.12 ug/m3.

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                                             TABLE 5-6.  1992 METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA AIR QUALITY FACTBOOK

                                                     PEAK STATISTICS FOR SELECTED POLLUTANTS BY MSA
Oi

10
oo
PM10 PM1Q
1990 2ND MAX WTO AM
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA POPULATION (UGM) (UGM)
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
IOWA CITY, IA
JACKSON, Ml
JACKSON, MS
JACKSON, TN
JACKSONVILLE, FL
JACKSONVILLE, NC
JAMESTOWN-DUNKIRK, NY
JANESVILLE-BELOIT, Wl
JERSEY CITY, NJ
JOHNSON CITY-KINGSPORT-BRISTOL, TN-VA
JOHNSTOWN, PA
JOLIET, IL
JOPLIN, MO
KALAMAZOO, Ml
KANKAKEE, IL
KANSAS CITY, MO-KS
KENOSHA, Wl
KJLLEN-TEMPLE, TX
KNOXVILLE, TN
KOKOMO, IN
LA CROSSE, Wl
LAFAYETTE, LA
LAFAYETTE, IN
LAKE CHARLES, LA
LAKE COUNTY, IL
LAKELAND-WINTER HAVEN, FL
LANCASTER, PA
LANSING-EAST LANSING, Ml
LAREDO, TX
LAS CRUCES, NM
LAS VEGAS, NV
LAWRENCE, KS
LAWRENCE-HAVERHILL, MA-NH
LAWTON, OK
LEWISTON-AUBURN, ME
LEXiNGTON-FAYETTE, KY
LIMA, OH
LINCOLN, NE
LITTLE ROCK-NORTH LITTLE ROCK, AR
1,250,000
96,000
150,000
395,000
78,000
907,000
150,000
142,000
140,000
553.000
436,000
241,000
390,000
135,000
223,000
96,000
1,566,000
128,000
255,000
605,000
97,000
98,000
209,000
131,000
168,000
516,000
405,000
423,000
433,000
133,000
136,000
741,000
82,000
394,000
111,000
88,000
348,000
154,000
214,000
513,000
80
ND
ND
55
56
50
40
49
ND
78
61
56
73
ND
45
ND
99
ND
44
67
ND
ND
ND
41
75
ND
ND
45
ND
58
109
95
ND
48
52
58
53
49
50
79
36
ND
ND
27
27
28
23
20
ND
30
29
28
33
ND
20
ND
44
ND
10
38
ND
ND
ND
IN
25
ND
ND
IN
ND
IN
39
IN
ND
19
IN
24
26
IN
25
32
S02
AM
(PPM)
0.012
ND
ND
0.005
ND
0.005
ND
0.011
ND
0,012
0.014
0.013
0.005
ND
0.004
ND
0.005
IN
ND
0,009
ND
ND
ND
0.008
0.005
ND
0.004
0.006
ND
ND
0.016
ND
ND
0.008
ND
0,005
0.007
0.004
ND
0,005
SO2
24-HR
(PPM)
0.045
ND
ND
0.013
ND
0.049
ND
0.05
ND
0.048
0.045
0.052
0.028
ND
0.018
ND
0.029
0.01
ND
0.051
ND
ND
ND
0.045
0.013
ND
0.018
0.023
ND
ND
0.088
ND
ND
0.029
ND
0.02
0.03
0.02
ND
0.012
CO
8-HR
(PPM)
4
ND
ND
4
ND
5
ND
ND
ND
10
3
4
ND
ND
3
ND
4
ND
ND
5
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
3
ND
ND
5
10
ND
ND
3
ND
4
ND
6
NO
NO2 OZONE
AM 2ND MAX
(PPM) (PPM)
0.018
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.014
ND
ND
ND
0.028
0.018
0.018
ND
ND
0.014
ND
0.014
IN
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
IN
ND
ND
ND
0,015
ND
ND
ND
0.031
ND
ND
IN
ND
0.016
ND
ND
0.012
0.1
ND
ND
0.09
ND
0.1
ND
0.1
0.1
0,11
0.1
0.09
0.1
ND
0.11
ND
0.1
0.13
ND
0,1
ND
ND
0.09
ND
0.11
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.1
ND
0.12
0.1
ND
0.11
ND
ND
0.08
0.1
0,07
0.09
PB
QMAX
(UGM)
1.53 '
ND
ND
0.02
ND
0-03
ND
ND
ND
0.05
0.02
0.14
0.04
ND
0.02
ND
0,03
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.04
ND
ND
0.13
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.02
NO
ND
NO
NO

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LONGVIEW-MARSHALL, TX
LORAIN-ELYRIA, OH
LOS ANGELES-LONG BEACH, CA
LOUISVILLE, KY-IN
LOWELL, MA-NH
LUBBQCK, TX
LYNCHBURG, VA
MACQN-WARNER ROBINS, GA
MADISON, Wl
MANCHESTER, NH
MANSFIELD, OH
MAYAGUEZ, PR
MCALLEN-EDINBURG-MISSION, TX
MEDFORD, OR
MELBOURNE-TITUSVILLE-PALM BAY, FL
MEMPHIS, TN-AR-MS
MERCED, CA
MJAMI-HIALEAH, FL
MIDDLESEX-SOMERSET-HUNTERDON, NJ
MIDDLETOWN, CT
MIDLAND, TX
MILWAUKEE, Wl
MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL, MN-WI
MOBILE, AL
MODESTO, CA
162,000
271,000
8,863,000
953,000
273,000
223,000
142,000
281,000
367,000
148,000
126,000
210,000
384,000
146,000
399,000
982,000
178,000
t, 937,000
1,020,000
90,000
107,000
1 ,432,000
2,464,000
477,000
371,000
ND
74
176
58
ND
58
45
ND
63
52
68
ND
ND
117
43
63
82
62
54
58
ND
66
73
86
85
ND
27
49
33
ND
22
24
ND
22
18
26
ND
ND
42
18
31
46
29
25
21
ND
28
26
42
44
ND
0.007
0.006
0.012
ND
ND
ND
ND
IN
0,008
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.009
ND
0.001
0,006
ND
ND
0.006
0.011
0.01
ND
ND
0.032
0.027
0.042
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.016
0.067
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.034
ND
0,005
0.026
ND
ND
0.029
0.08
0.055
ND
ND
ND
16
8
6
ND
ND
ND
4
6
ND
ND
ND
7
ND
9
ND
7
4
ND
ND
4
8
ND
6
ND
ND
0.051
0.012
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.015
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.026
0.015
0.016
ND
ND
ND
0.024
0.021
ND
0.022
0.1
0.1
039
0.11
ND
ND
0.09
ND
0,09
0.1
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.09
0.12
0.12
0.11
0.13
0.13
ND
0.11
0.09
0.11
0.11
ND
ND
0.48
0.05
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.02
ND
ND
ND
0.02
ND
1.64 #
ND
0.01
1.22 @
ND
ND
0.06
0.89
ND
ND
PM10  = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 150 ug/m3)
      = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 50 ug/m3)
SO2   = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.03 ppm)
      = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.14 ppm)
CO   = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM NON-OVERLAPPING 8-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 9 ppm)
N02   = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.053 ppm)
O3    = HIGHEST SECOND DAILY MAXIMUM 1-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.12 ppm)
PB    = HIGHEST QUARTERLY MAXIMUM CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 1.5 ug/m3)
ND    = INDICATES DATA NOT AVAILABLE                                                        UGM
IN    = INDICATES INSUFFICIENT DATA TO CALCULATE SUMMARY STATISTIC                          PPM

* - Impact from an industrial source in Indianapolis, IN. Highest population oriented site in Indianapolis, IN is 0.37 ug/m3.

# - Impact from an industrial source in Memphis, TN. Highest population oriented site in Memphis, TN is 0.12 ug/m3

@ - Impact from an industrial source  in New Brunswick, NJ.
                                                                                                                         = UNITS ARE MICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER
                                                                                                                         = UNITS ARE PARTS PER MILLION

-------
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                                            TABLE 5-6.  1992 METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA AIR QUALITY FACTBOOK

                                                    PEAK STATISTICS FOR SELECTED POLLUTANTS BY MSA
CO
CD
ro
ui
w
o
PM10 PM10
1990 2ND MAX WTO AM
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA POPULATION (UGM) (UGM)
MONMOUTH-OCEAN, NJ
MONROE, LA
MONTGOMERY, AL
MUNCIE, IN
MUSKEGON, Ml
NAPLES, FL
NASHUA, NH
NASHVILLE, TN
NASSAU-SUFFOLK, NY
NEW BEDFORD, MA
NEW BRITAIN, CT
NEW HAVEN-MERIDEN, CT
NEW LONDON-NORWICH, CT-RI
NEW ORLEANS, LA
NEW YORK, NY
NEWARK, NJ
NIAGARA FALLS, NY
NORFOLK-VIRGINIA BEACH-NEWPORT NEWS,
NORWALK, CT
OAKLAND, CA
OCALA, FL
ODESSA, TX
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
OLYMPIA, WA
OMAHA, NE-IA
ORANGE COUNTY, NY
ORLANDO, FL
OWENSBORO, KY
OXNARD-VENTURA, CA
PANAMA CITY, FL
PARKERBURG-MARIETTA, WV-OH
PASCAGOULA, MS
PAWTUCKET-WOONSOCKET-ATTLEBORO, RI-MA
PENSACOLA, FL
PEORIA, IL
PHILADELPHIA, PA-NJ
PHOENIX, AZ
PINE BLUFF, AR
PITTSBURGH, PA
PITTSFIELD, MA
986,000
142,000
293,000
120,000
159,000
152,000
181,000
985,000
2,609,000
176,000
148,000
530,000
267,000
1,239,000
8,547,000
1,824,000
221,000
1,396,000
127,000
2,083,000
195,000
119,000
959,000
161,000
618,000
308,000
1,073,000
87,000
669,000
127,000
149,000
115,000
329,000
344,000
339,000
4.857,000
2,122,000
85,000
2,243,000
79.000
ND
79
48
ND
ND
ND
54
74
71
42
63
112
57
99
96
80
58
49
64
73
ND
ND
59
78
109
ND
52
50
77
ND
58
34
55
ND
57
168
1S8
51
129
ND
ND
28
24
ND
ND
ND
19
34
20
17
20
33
20
29
28
30
24
24
29
29
ND
ND
23
IN
44
ND
27
28
32
ND
IN
IN
25
ND
31
38
34
22
34
ND
SO2
AM
{PPM)
ND
0.002
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.005
0,01
0.008
ND
ND
0.012
0.006
0.005
0.019
0.012
0.012
0.006
ND
0.003
ND
ND
0.002
ND
0.002
ND
0.002
0.009
0.001
ND
0.014
IN
0.01
0.008
0.007
0,013
0.004
ND
0.023
ND
SO2
24-HR
(PPM)
ND
0.01
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.02
0.052
0.04
ND
ND
0.052
0.025
0.019
0.071
0.048
0.074
0.025
ND
0,012
ND
ND
0.009
ND
0.008
ND
0,007
0.053
0.008
ND
0.059
0.021
0.042
0.069
0.05
0.042
0.01
ND
0.109
ND
CO
8-HR
(PPM)
5
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
7
6
6
ND
ND
5
ND
6
9
7
4
5
ND
5
ND
ND
6
5
7
ND
4
S
3
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
7
7
10
ND
7
ND
N02 OZONE
AM 2ND MAX
(PPM) (PPM)
ND
0.009
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.014
0,026
ND
ND
0.025
ND
0.023
0.036
0.038
ND
0.02
ND
0.022
ND
ND
0.013
ND
ND
ND
0.011
0.012
0.022
ND
IN
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.035
0.014
ND
0.024
ND
0.74
0.09
0.1
ND
0.12
ND
0.1
0.12
0119
0.11
ND
0.12
0.12
0.11
0.12
0.13
0.11
0,14
ND
0,11
ND
ND
0.1
ND
0.09
ND
0.1
0.09
0.14
ND
&22
0.09
ND
0.11
0.09
0.13
0.12
ND
0.1
0.11
PB
QMAX
(UGM)
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.02
ND
0,03
0.83 *
ND
ND
ND
0.13
ND
0.05
0.11
0.44
ND
0.03
ND
0.03
ND
ND
0.03
ND
4.51 #
0.93 +
0
ND
ND
ND
0.02
ND
ND
ND
0.02
17.8 @
0.06
ND
0.05
ND

-------
Ul
w
D
c
E.
3
CO

I
CA
 CO
 >
 CO
 CO
 co
 ro
PONCE, PR
PORTLAND, ME
PORTLAND, OR-WA
PORTSMOUTH-DOVER-ROCHESTER, NH-ME
POUGHKEEPSIE, NY
PROVIDENCE, fil
PRQVO-OREM, UT
PUEBLO, CO
RACINE, Wl
HAUEIGH-DURHAM, NC
RAPID CITY, SD
READING, PA
REDDING, CA
RENO, NV
RICHLAND-KENNEWICK-PASCO, WA
RICHMOND-PETERSBURG, VA
RIVERSJDE-SAN BERNARDINO, CA
ROANOKE, VA
ROCHESTER, MN
ROCHESTER, NY
ROCKFORD, IL
SACRAMENTO, CA
SAGINAW-BAY CITY-MIDLAND, Ml
ST. CLOUD, MN
ST. JOSEPH, MO
235,000
215,000
1,240,000
224,000
259,000
655,000
264,000
123,000
175,000
735,000
81,000
337,000
147,000
255,000
155,000
866,000
2,589,000
224,000
106,000
1,002,000
284,000
1,481,000
399,000
191,000
83,000
79
63
74
63
ND
64
224
54
NO
47
144
47
83
137
85
50
156
72
37
56
49
84
122
31
93
30
23
30
20
ND
31
4t
26
NO
24
43
23
25
35
IN
23
78
35
IN
26
21
31
29
11
39
ND
0.008
0.006
0.006
ND
0.011
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.009
ND
ND
ND
0.005
0.002
0.004
0.002
0,013
ND
0.002
ND
0.002
ND
ND
0.029
0.017
0.027
ND
0.044
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.038
ND
ND
ND
0.024
0.011
0.016
0,015
0.045
ND
0.01
ND
0.015
ND
ND
ND
8
ND
ND
6
10
ND
5
7
ND
5
1
8
ND
3
6
ND
5
4
5
9
ND
4
ND
ND
0.014
IN
0.013
ND
0.023
0.019
ND
ND
0.015
ND
0.02
ND
ND
ND
0.023
0.04
0.013
ND
NO
ND
0.021
0.008
ND
ND
ND
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.12
0.09
ND
0.1
0,1
ND
0.1
0.08
0.09
ND
0.12
O20
0,09
ND
0,1
0.1
0.70
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.03
0.07
0.02
ND
0.04
ND
NO
ND
NO
0.12
1.44 $
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.04
ND
ND
0.04
0.06
0.02
0.01
ND
ND
UGM
PPM
PM10  = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 150 ug/m3)
      = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 50 ug/m3)
SO2   = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.03 ppm)
      = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.14 ppm)
CO    = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM NON-OVERLAPPING 8-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 9 ppm)
NO2   = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.053 ppm)
O3    = HIGHEST SECOND DAILY MAXIMUM 1-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.12 ppm)
PB    = HIGHEST QUARTERLY MAXIMUM CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 1.5 ug/m3)
ND    = INDICATES DATA NOT AVAILABLE
IN    = INDICATES INSUFFICIENT DATA TO CALCULATE SUMMARY STATISTIC

* - Impact from an industrial source in Williamson County, TN. Highest site in Nashville, TN is 0.11 ug/m3.

# - Impact from an industrial source in Omaha, NE.

+ - Impact from an industrial source in Orange County, NY.

@ - Impact from an industrial source. Highest population oriented site in Philadelphia, PA is 0.39 ug/m3

$ - Impact from an industrial source in Reading, PA.
= UNITS ARE MICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER
= UNITS ARE PARTS PER MILLION

-------
0
w
•e
CO
                                            TABLE 5-6.  1992 METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA AIR QUALITY FACTBOOK
                                                    PEAK STATISTICS FOR SELECTED POLLUTANTS BY MSA
CD
CO
01
u
eo
PM10 PMIQ
1990 2ND MAX WTDAM
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA POPULATION (UGM) (UGM)
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL
SALEM, OR
SALEM-GLOUCESTER, MA
SALINAS-SEASIDE-MONTEREY, CA
SALT U\KE CITY-OGDEN, UT
SANANGELO.TX
SAN ANTONIO, TX
SAN DIEGO, CA
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SANJfOSE,CA
SAN JUAN, PR
SANTA BARBARA-SANTA MARIA-LOMPOC, CA
SANTA CRUZ, CA
SANTA FE, NM
SANTA ROSA-PETALUMA, CA
SARASOTA, FL
SAVANNAH, GA
SCRANTON-WILKES-BARRE, PA
SEATTLE, WA
SHARON, PA
SHEBOYGAN, Wl
SHERMAN-DENISON, TX
SHREVEPORT, LA
SIOUX CITY, IA-NE
SIOUX FALLS, SD
SOUTH BEND-MISHAWAKA, IN
SPOKANE, WA
SPRINGFIELD, IL
SPRINGFIELD, MO
SPRINGFIELD, MA
STAMFORD, CT
STATE COLLEGE, PA
STEUBENVILLE-WEIRTON, OH-WV
STOCKTON, CA
SYRACUSE, NY
TACOMA, WA
TALLAHASSEE, FL
TAMPA-ST. PETERSBURG-CLEARWATER, FL
TERRE HAUTE, IN
TEXARKANA, TX-AR
2,444,000
278,000
264,000
356,000
1,072,000
98,000
1,302,000
2,498,000
1,604,000
1,498,000
1,541,000
370,000
230,000
117,000
388,000
278,000
243,000
734,000
1,973,000
121,000
104,000
95,000
334,000
115,000
124,000
247,000
361,000
190,000
241,000
530,000
203,000
124,000
143,000
481,000
660,000
586,000
234,000
2,068,000
131,000
120,000
90
ND
ND
38
179
ND
§3
§8
75
100
91
ND
35
48
50
101
NO
SO
114
58
ND
ND
52
87
48
69
321
54
44
75
48
ND
128
88
69
105
ND
64
65
50
50
ND
ND
22
57
NP
29
36
32
34
29
ND
22
17
19
31
ND
29
38
27
ND
ND
24
IN
26
23
39
27
19
27
24
ND
40
45
33
36
ND
30
29
23
SO2
AM
{PPM}
0.013
ND
0.008
ND
0.013
W
NP
0.005
0.002
N»
0.013
0.001
ND
0.001
ND
0,003
0.002
0.009
0,01
0.008
ND
ND
0.003
ND
ND
IN
ND
0.006
0,006
0.011
0.009
ND
0.024
ND
0.004
0.01
ND
0.007
0.007
ND
S02
24-HR
im®
0.061
ND
0.039
ND
0.073
ND
N0
0,022
0.012
ND
0.101
0.004
ND
0.006
ND
0.021
0.008
0.034
0.024
0.03
ND
ND
0.013
ND
ND
0.013
ND
0.043
0.056
0,045
0.041
ND
0.098
ND
0.013
0.035
ND
0.062
0.035
ND
CO
8-HR
(PPM)
7
8
ND
2
9
ND
&
7
6
7
6
2
ND
4
4
€
ND
4
9
NO
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
3
10
5
6
7
6
ND
7
7
8
9
ND
4
ND
ND
N02 OZONE
AM 2ND MAX
(PPMJ (PPM)
0.028
ND
ND
0.012
0.026
ND
ND
0.027
8.022
0,028
ND
0.013
ND
0.003
0.016
ND
ND
0.017
ND
ND
ND
ND
IN
ND
ND
IN
ND
ND
0.01
0,024
ND
ND
0.02
0.023
ND
ND
ND
0.013
ND
ND
0.13
ND
ND
0.08
0.1
ND
0.1
0.16
0,07
0.12
0.07
0.12
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.1
ND
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
ND
0.1
ND
ND
0.1
0.08
0.09
0,09
0.12
0.11
ND
0.09
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.08
0.11
0,08
ND
PB
QMAX
(UGM)
r*.« *
ND
ND
ND
0.06
ND
0.03
0.03
0.02
0,03
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.01
ND
NO
0.05
0.4
0,O7
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.05
ND
ND
0.14
ND
0.24
ND
ND
1.35 *
ND
NO

-------
Ul
d>
CO
D
2.
TOLEDO, OH
TOPEKA, KS
TRENTON, NJ
TUCSON, AZ
TULSA, OK
TUSCALOOSA, AL
TYLER, TX
UTICA*ROME, NY
VALLEJO-FAIRFIELD-NAPA, CA
VANCOUVER, WA
VICTORIA, TX
VINELAND-MILLVILE-BRIDGETON, NJ
VISALIA-TULARE-PORTERVILLE, CA
WACO, TX
WASHINGTON, DC-MD-VA
WATERBURY, CT
WATERLOO-CEDAR FALLS, IA
WAUSAU, W)
WEST PALM SEACH-BOCA RATON-DELRAY BEAC
WHEiUNG, WV-OH
WICHITA, KS
WICHITA FALLS, TX
WILLIAMSPORT, PA
WILMINGTON, DE-NJ-MD
WILMINGTON, NC
WORCESTER, MA
YAKtMA, WA
YORK, PA
YOUNGSTOWN-WARREN, OH
YUBACITY.CA
YUMA, AZ
614,000
161,000
326,000
667,000
709,000
151,000
151,000
317,000
451,000
238,000
74,000
138,000
312,000
189,000
3,924,000
222,000
147,000
115,000
864,000
159,000
485,000
122,000
119,000
579,000
120,000
437,000
189,000
418,000
493,000
123,000
107,000
53
58
49
95
59
45
41
45
73
67
ND
ND
114
ND
60
53
74
ND
48
67
86
52
42
57
46
49
120
47
74
NO
50
28
28
26
32
26
26
19
24
27
23
ND
ND
IN
ND
28
24
IN
NO
21
31
37
IN
24
28
23
IN
IN
27
28
ND
IN
0.006
ND
ND
0.002
0.011
ND
ND
ND
0,002
NO
ND
0.006
ND
ND
0.01
0.007
ND
NO
0.003
0.02
0.006
ND
0.007
0.016
ND
0.007
NO
0.007
0.011
NO
ND
0.029
ND
ND
0.007
0.053
NO
ND
ND
0,013
ND
ND
0.021
ND
ND
0.042
0.029
NO
NO
0.01
0.09
0.034
ND
0.029
0.072
ND
0.033
NO
0.034
0.039
NO
ND
4
ND
ND
6
6
ND
ND
NO
6
8
ND
ND
4
ND
7
ND
ND
ND
4
6
6
ND
ND
4
ND
8
9
4
2
6
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.025
0.018
ND
NO
ND
0.017
ND
ND
ND
0.02
ND
0.028
ND
ND
ND
0.0t1
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.017
ND
0.024
ND
0,02
ND
0,017
ND
0.09
ND
0.15
0.1
0.1
ND
ND
0.09
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.13
ND
0.12
ND
ND
0.09
0.07
0.1
0.09
ND
0.09
0.12
0.1
0.13
ND
0.1
0.11
0.11
ND
0.57
0.01
ND
0.06
0.1
NO
NO
NO
0.02
ND
ND
ND
ND
ND
0.03
0.19
ND
ND
0
ND
0.02
ND
ND
0.05
ND
NO
ND
0.05
NO
NO
ND
CO
co
to
PM10  = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 150 ug/m3)
      = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 50 uo/m3)
SO2   = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS Is 0.03 ppm)
      = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.14 ppm)
CO   = HIGHEST SECOND MAXIMUM NON-OVERLAPPING 8-HOUR CONCENTRATION   (Applicable NAAQS is 9 ppm)
NO2   = HIGHEST ARITHMETIC MEAN CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS Is 0.053 ppm)
O3    = HIGHEST SECOND DAILY MAXIMUM 1 -HOUR CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 0.12 ppm)
PB    = HIGHEST QUARTERLY MAXIMUM CONCENTRATION  (Applicable NAAQS is 1.5 ug/m3)
ND    = INDICATES DATA NOT AVAILABLE                                                       UGM
IN    = INDICATES INSUFFICIENT DATA TO CALCULATE SUMMARY STATISTIC                         PPM

* - Impact from an industrial source in Madison County, IL Highest site in St. Louis, MO is 0.07 ug/m3.

# - Impact from an industrial source in Tampa, FL Highest population oriented site in Tampa, FL Is 0.01 ug/m3.
                                                                                                                       = UNITS ARE MICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER
                                                                                                                       = UNITS ARE PARTS PER MILLION

-------
Air Quality Status of MSAs, 1992             5-34

-------
 Chapter 6:    Selected  Metropolitan
 Area Trends
While most of this report discusses trends on
a national scale, great interest exists in trends
of air pollutants in more localized areas. This
chapter discusses 1983-92 air quality trends in
23 major urban areas:  the ten EPA Regional
Offices  (Boston, New  York,  Philadelphia,
Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas, Kansas City, Denver,
San  Francisco  and  Seattle)  and  thirteen
additional cities (Baltimore, Cleveland, Detroit,
El  Paso,  Houston,  Los Angeles,  Miami,
Minneapolis-St. Paul, Phoenix, Pittsburgh, San
Diego,  St. Louis and Washington, DC.)  The
areas are denned  as  either  the  Primary
Metropolitan  Statistical  Area  (PMSA) or
Consolidated  Metropolitan  Statistical  Area
(CMSA).

The presentation of urban area trends includes
tables of the Pollutant Standards Index (PSI)
for the areas, maps of the urban area showing
the toxic release inventory sites (TPJ), and a
graphical display of the PSI trends for  each
individual area.  To complement the map and
show the major factors affecting air pollution
in each  specific  area, toxic emissions  and
transportation statistics (VMT, vehicle counts,
etc.) are included. The PSI trend is shown in
the number of days in 5 PSI categories.

The  air  quality  data used for the trend
statistics  were   obtained  from  the   EPA
Aerometric  Information Retrieval  System
(AIRS).  This is the  third year that the report
presents  trends  in  the PSI,  used  locally in
many areas to characterize and publicly report
air quality.  The PSI analyses are based on
daily maximum  statistics  from   selected
monitoring sites.  It should be noted that no
interpolation is  used in this  chapter;  this
corresponds with typical PSI reporting.
6.1  The Pollutant Standards Index

The PSI is used in this section as an air quality
indicator for describing urban area trends. The
PSI has found widespread use in the  air
pollution field to report daily air quality to the
general  public.     The  index  integrates
information from many  pollutants across an
entire  monitoring  network  into  a single
number that represents  the worst daily air
quality experienced in the urban area. The PSI
is computed for PM-10, SO2, CO, O3 and NO2
based on their short-term National Ambient
Air Quality Standards  (NAAQS),  Federal
Episode Criteria and Significant Harm Levels.
Lead is the only criteria pollutant not included
in the index because it does not have a short-
term NAAQS, a Federal Episode Criteria or a
Significant Harm Level.

The PSI converts daily monitoring information
into a single measure of air quality by first
computing  a  separate  sub-index  for each
pollutant with data for the day. The daily PSI
value  is determined by the pollutant having
the  highest sub-index value from all  the
monitoring values used for that  day.  PSI
estimates  depend  upon   the  number  of
pollutants  monitored and  the number of
monitoring sites collecting  data.   The  more
pollutants  and sites that are available in an
area, the better the estimate of the maximum
PSI for that day is likely to be. However, O3
accounts for most of the days with a PSI above
100  and O3 air quality is relatively uniform
over large areas so that a  small number of
                                       6-1
            Selected Metropolitan Area Trends

-------
Section 6.2  Summary of PSI Analyses
sites can  still estimate maximum  pollutant
concentrations. All of the included cities had
at least one CO trend  site and one O3 trend
site.  Results  for individual years  could  be
somewhat different if data from all monitoring
sites and all pollutants were considered in an
area.  This is  illustrated for 1992, where the
number of PSI days from all monitoring sites
is compared to the results for the  subset of
trend sites.    Local agencies  may  use  only
selected monitoring sites to determine the PSI
value so that differences are possible between
the  PSI  values  reported here  and those
reported by the local agencies.

The PSI  simplifies the  presentation of  air
quality    data   by   producing   a  single
dimensionless number ranging from 0 to 500.
The PSI uses data from all selected sites in the
PMSA or CMSA and combines different  air
pollutants with  different averaging times,
different  units of concentration, and more
importantly, with different NAAQS,  Federal
Episode Criteria and Significant Harm Levels.
Table 6-1 shows  the  5 PSI  categories and
health effect descriptor words.   The PSI  is
primarily used to report the daily air quality
of a large urban  area as a single number or
descriptor word.   Frequently, the index  is
reported as  a  regular feature  on  local TV or
radio news programs or in newspapers.
Table 6-1.  PSI Categories and Health Effect
Descriptor Words
Index Range
OtoSO
51 to 100
101 to 199
200 to 299
300 and Above
Descriptor Words
Good
Moderate
Unhealthful
Very Unhealthful
Hazardous
Throughout this section, emphasis is placed on
CO and O3 which cause most of the NAAQS
violations in urban areas.
   6.2 Summary of PSI Analyses

   Table 6-2 shows the  trend in the number of
   PSI  days greater  than 100  (unhealthful  or
   worse days). The impact of the very hot and
   dry summers in 1983 and 1988 in the eastern
   United States on O3 concentrations can clearly
   be seen.  Pittsburgh is the only city where a
   significant number of PSI days greater than
   100 are due to pollutants other than CO or O3.
   For Pittsburgh, SO2 and PM-10 account for the
   additional days. The two right most columns
   show the number  of corresponding  total
   number of PSI days greater than 100, using all
   active monitoring sites.  Note  that for all
   urban areas except El Paso, there is  close
   agreement between the two totals for 1992 of
   the number of days when the PSI is greater
   than  100.  The differences  are attributed to
   currently  active  sites  without  sufficient
   historical data  to be used for trends. For all
   practical purposes CO, O3, PM-10 and SO2 are
   the only pollutants that contribute to the PSI
   in these  analyses.   NO2 rarely is  a factor
   because it does not have a short-term NAAQS
   and can only be included when concentrations
   exceed one of the Federal Episode Criteria or
   Significant Harm Levels. TSP is not included
   in the index because the revised particulate
   matter NAAQS is for PM-10, not TSP.  As
   noted above, lead is not included in the index
   because it does not have a short-term NAAQS
   or Federal  Episode Criteria and Significant
   Harm Levels.

   Table 6-3 shows the  trend in the number of
   PSI  days greater  than 100 (unhealthful  or
   worse) due to only O3.  The 9 areas where O3
   did not account for all of the PSI  greater than
   100  days in  1992  were:  Boston,  Chicago,
   Cleveland, Denver, El Paso, Los Angeles, New
   York City, Phoenix,   and  Pittsburgh.   In
   Denver, Los Angeles and New York City, CO
   accounted for the additional PSI  greater than
   100   days.     In  Chicago,  Cleveland  and
   Pittsburgh PM-10  accounted for the extra PSI
   greater than 100 days. In  the other areas a
   combination of PM-10 and CO accounted for
   the  extra days.   Because  of  the overall
Selected Metropolitan Area Trends
6-2

-------
                                                          Section 6.2 Summary of PSI Analyses
improvement in CO levels (see Section 3.1 in
this report), CO accounts for far less of these
days in  the latter half of the 10-year period.
Overall, 66 percent of the PSI greater than 100
days were due to O3.

There are several assumptions that are implicit
in  the  PSI analysis.   Probably the  most
important is that the monitoring data available
for a given area provide a reasonable estimate
of maximum short-term concentration levels.
The  PSI   procedure  uses  the  maximum
concentration which may not represent the air
pollution exposure  for the entire area. If the
downwind maximum concentration site for
ozone is outside the PMSA, these data are not
used in this analysis.  Finally, the PSI assumes
that  synergism  does   not  exist  between
pollutants.     Each  pollutant   is  examined
independently.     Combining   pollutant
concentrations  is not possible at this  time
because the synergistic effects upon health are
not understood.
Note:    Urban  lead  concentrations  have  dropped
dramatically over the past 15 or so years (See Chapter 3).
As a result, lead violations now occur typically in the
vicinity of lead point sources. Of the 23 urban areas
featured in this chapter, only Cleveland, Philadelphia, St.
Louis  have a  1992 lead violation.   In Cleveland,  an
enforcement action has been initiated at the facility.  In
Philadelphia, the problem occurred near a lead smelter
and a materials handling operation.   In St. Louis, the
problem occurred near an industrial source.
                                            6-3
Selected Metropolitan Area Trends

-------
Section 6.2 Summary of PSI Analyses
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                                                       Section 6.2 Summary of PSI Analyses
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-------
Section 6.3  Description of Graphics
6.3 Description of Graphics

The  highlights of the principal  analyses for
each of the 23 cities are expressed on a single
page  in  bullets of salient information and
supporting graphics. The bullets refer to facts
about the MSAs focusing principally on TRI
sources   and   emissions   totals;   and
transportation statistics such as VMT, percent
carpooling, and mass transit usage.

The  accompanying graphs are based on the
PSI methodology described earlier.   The PSI
graphs feature a bar chart which shows the
number of PSI days in four PSI categories: 0-50
(good),   51-100  (moderate),   101-199
(unhealthful) and >200 (very unhealthful and
hazardous).    Table  6-1  shows  the   PSI
descriptor  words  associated  with  these
categories.   The last 2  PSI categories (very
unhealthful and hazardous) were combined
because there were so  few hazardous  days
reported.  The total number of unhealthful,
very unhealthful and hazardous  days is  used
to indicate trends.  These days are sometimes
referred to as the days when the PSI is greater
than 100. It is important to note that a PSI of
100 means that the pollutant with the highest
sub-index value is at the level of its NAAQS.
Because of numerical rounding, the number of
days  with PSI greater than  100 does not
necessarily correspond exactly to the number
of NAAQS exceedances.
Selected Metropolitan Area Trends            6-6

-------
                                         TRI Sites by Total Air Releases.
                                               All CAAA Species
                                                   (pounds)
                                             1000001  to  1201429   (1
                                              100001  10  1000000  (19)
                                               10001  to   100000  (471
                                                1001  to    10000  (50)
                                                   1  TO     1000  (60)
                 -ATLANTA^!
                 JA*   '-""
                           A
                            T
                            L
                           A
                            N
                            T
                           A
NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSl CATEGORIES
• Increase of 3.1% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 15% to 12,747
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita increased
  11% to 1.064 between 1983 and 1990.

• 1992 daily VMT equalled 72,104,133 miles.

• Percent of the population using single occupant
  vehicles for work trips increased from 68.1% in
  1980 to 78.2% in 1990.  Transit use decreased from
  7.1% to 5.1%; carpooling decreased from 20% to
  12% during the same period.
I Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                          6-7

-------
                  *b   /  BALTIMORE CO
TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
      All CAAA Species
         (pounds)
    1020001  to 2105332   (1!
     100001  to 1000000  (10)
      10001  to  100000  (25)
       10ai  ID   10000  (28)
          1  to    1000  (34)
                            B
                            A
                             L
                            T
                              I
                            M
                            O
                            R
                            E
      NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSI CATEGORIES
      I Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
• Decrease of 16% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 12% to 10,030
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita increased
  5% to 0.93 between 1983 and 1990.

• Average vehicle occupancy for work trips decrea;
  from 1.37 in 1980 to 1.20 in 1990.

• Daily VMT increased 40% between 1980 and 19S

• Percent of the population using single occupant
  vehicles for work trips increased from 61% in
  1980 to 73% in 1990. Transit use decreased fron
  10% to 7.8%; carpooling decreased from 23% to
  15% during the same period.
                                                 6-8

-------
                                          Atlantic
                                                  1990

                                      TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                            All CAAA Species
                                      •   100001  to  666960   (16)
                                      •    10001  to  100000  (108)
                                      •     1001  to   10000   (43)
                                               1  ID    1000   (62)
 NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSI CATEGORIES
                            B
                            O
                            S
                            T
                            O
                            N
• Decrease of 11.8% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 11 % to 8,667
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita decreased
  5% to 0.79 between 1983 and 1990.
•Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                            6-9

-------
TRf Sites by Total Air Releases
      All CAAA Species
         (pounds)
   1000001 to 2450530   (9)
    100001 to 1000000  (75)
     10001 to  100000 (258)
      1001 to   10000 (177)
         1 ID    1000 (220)
                           c
                           H
                             I
                           C
                           A
                           G
                           O
      NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSI CATEGORIES
• Decrease of 16.1% in toxic air emissions betwee
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 9% to 8,869
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita increased
  3% to 0.89 between 1983 and 1990.
      • Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                6-10

-------
           1990

TRl Sites by Total Air Releases.
      All CAAA Species

         (pounds)
   1000001  to  1869134    (21
    100001  to  1000000   (30)
     10001  to   100000  (1231
      1001  to    10000   (70)
         1  to     1000  (1101
                            c
                            L
                            E
                            V
                            E
                            L
                            A
                            N
                            D
      NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSI CATEGORIES
• Decrease of 13.5% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 10% to 9,786
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita increased
  8% to 1.03 between 1983 and 1990.
     • Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                6-11

-------
TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
      All CAAA Species

         (pounds)
   1000001 to 1052250   (1
    100001 to 1000000  (22)
     10001 to  100000 (100)
      1001 to   10000  (591
         1 to    1000  (79)
 D
A
 L
 L
A
 S
            Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                              • Increase of 5.2% in toxic air emissions between
                                                               1990 and 1991.

                                                              • State VMT per capita increased 6% to 11,912
                                                               between 1983 and 1990.

                                                              • State vehicle registrations per capita decreased
                                                               5% to 0.95 between 1983 and 1990.

                                                              • Average vehicle occupancy for work trips decree
                                                               from 1.13 in 1984 to 1.09 in 1990.

                                                              • Daily VMT increased 25% between 1984 and 19
                                                6-12

-------
                                                   1990
                                        TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                              All CAAA Species
                                                 (pounds)
                                             100001 to 299200 (13)
                                              10001 to 100000 (23)
                                               1001 to  10000 (17)
                                                  1 to   1000 (30)
                                  170/ SJS40/US387/US36
                            D
                            E
                            N
                            V
                            E
                            R
NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSI CATEGORIES
• Decrease of 14.8% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita decreased 16% to 8,399
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita decreased
  33% to 0.80 between 1983 and 1990.

• Percent of the population using single occupant
  vehicles for work trips increased from 65.4% in
  1980 to 73% in 1990. Carpooling increased from
  20.4% in 1980 to 23.7% in 1990. Transit use
  decreased from 6.2% to 3.3% during the same
  period
I Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                          6-13

-------
                                   TRl Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                         All CAAA Species

                                            (pounds)
                                      1800001  ID 3258683   (9)
                                       100001  to 1000000  (27)
                                        10001  to  100000  (77)
                                         1001  to   10000  (65)
                                            1  to    1000  (96)
                                                                                   D
                                                                                   E
                                                                                   T
                                                                                   R
                                                                                   O
                                                                                     I
                                                                                   T
 NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSi CATEGORIES
• Decrease of 22.4% in toxic air emissions betwee
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 29% to 11,387
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita increased
  14% to 1.04 between 1983 and 1990.
• Good • Moderate 2 Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                          6-14

-------
           1990

TRISites by Total Air Releases.
      All CAAA Species

         (pounds)
    100001  to  177232  Cl
     10001  to  100000 (10
      1001  to   10000  (4)
         1  to   1000  (2)
                                                                                      E
                                                                                       L

                                                                                      P
                                                                                      A
                                                                                      S
                                                                                      O
    NUMBER OF DAYS IN PS! CATEGO
• Decrease of 14.2% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 6% to 11,912
  between 1983 and 1990.
   •Good •Moderate DUnhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                             6-15

-------
                                                  1990
                                     TRI Sites by Total Air Emissions
                                            All CAAA Species
                                               (pounds)
                                          1000001 to 4668665   (6)
                                           100001 to 1000000  (53)
                                            10001 to  100000  (60)
                                             1001 to   10000  (60)
                                                1 to    1000  (66)
                                                                                       H
                                                                                      O
                                                                                       U
                                                                                       S
                                                                                       T
                                                                                      O
                                                                                       N
Good • Moderate Q Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                         • Increase of 2.2% in toxic air emissions between
                                                           1990 and 1991.

                                                         • State vehicle registrations per capita decreased
                                                           5% to 0.95 between 1983 and 1990.
                                           6-16

-------
KANSAS CI1 Y KSJ*
                                                    1990

                                        TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                              All CAAA Species
                                                  (pounds)
                                            1000001 :o 2022113  (1)
                                              100001 to 1000000 (12)
                                              10001 to  100000 (32)
                                               1001 to   10000 (27)
                                                   1 to    1000 (27)
                            K
                            A
                            N
                            S
                            A
                            S

                            C
                              I
                            T
                            Y
  NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSI GATF GOHI
• Decrease of 3.5% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• Single occupant vehicle work trips increased 18%
  between 1983 and 1990.

• Average vehicle occupancy for the PM peak period
  decreased 4% between 1990 and 1993.

• State VMT per capita increased 20% to 11,413
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita increased
 7% to 0.95 between 1983 and 1990.
 • Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Vary Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                             6-17

-------
           1990

TRI Sites by Total Air Releases.
      All CAAA Species

         (pounds)
    L000001  to  1600265    (3)
     100001  to  1008000   (79)
      10001  to   100000  (363)
       1001  to    10008  (170)
          1  to     1000  (239)
 LOS ANGELES
 L
O
S

A
N
G
E
 L
E
S
     •Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                              • Decrease of 12.5% in toxic air emissions betwee
                                                                1990 and 1991.

                                                              • State VMT per capita increased 16% to 10,594
                                                                between 1983 and 1990.

                                                              • State vehicle registrations per capita increased
                                                                4% to 0.94 between 1983 and 1990.

                                                              • VMT in the South Coast Air Basin is projected to
                                                                increase 18.7% between 1987 and 1994.
                                                 6-18

-------
                                      TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                            All CAAA Species

                                               (pounds)
                                          100001  to 508048  (6)
                                           10001  to 100000 (20)
                                            1001  to   10000 (14)
                                               1  to   1000 (12)
                                                                                  M
                                                                                     I
                                                                                  A
                                                                                  M
                                                                                     I
NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSI CATEGORiE
• Decrease of 18.4% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 9% to 10,179
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita increased
  5% to 1.06 between 1983 and 1990.
I Good • Moderate Q Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                          6-19

-------
            1990

 TRISites by Total Air Releases,
       All CAAA Species

          (pounds)
•   1000001  to  1839950    (4)
•    100001  to  1000000   (20)
•     10001  to   100000  (110)
       1001  to    10000   (23)
          1  to     1000   (39)
   •Good • Moderate DUnhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                             • Decrease of 17.3% in toxic air emissions betwee
                                                              1990 and 1991.

                                                             • State VMT per capita increased 10% to 10,798
                                                              between 1983 and 1990.

                                                             • State vehicle registrations per capita decreased
                                                              8% to 0.95 between 1983 and 1990.
                                               6-20

-------
                                       TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                             All CAAA Species
                                                (pounds)
                                         1000001 ID 1220240    (1)
                                          100001 to 1000000   (59)
                                           10001 ID  100000  (272)
                                            1001 to   10000  (186)
                                               1 to    1001  (229)
                            N
                            E
                           W

                            Y
                            O
                            R
                            K
NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSi CATEGORIES
• Decrease of 12.8% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 22% to 7,329
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State vehicle registrations per capita increased
  13% to 0.69 between 1983 and 1990.
I Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                          6-21

-------
                                                          1990
                                                TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                                      All CAAA Species
                                                        (pounds)
                                                   1000001  ID 1979610   (4)
                                                   100001  to 1000000  (45)
                                                    10001  to  100000 (1201
                                                     1001  to   10000  (87)
                                                        1  to    1000 (102)
NUMBER OF DAYS IN PS! CATEGORIES
 p
 H
  I
 L
A
 D
 E
 L
 P
 H
  I
A
                                                        • Decrease of 12.9% in toxic air emissions betweel
                                                          1990 and 1991.

                                                        • State VMT per capita increased 12% to 8,635
                                                          between 1983 and 1990.

                                                        • One complete Early Emission Reduction
                                                          Commitment, reducing toxic emissions by
                                                          855,000 pounds per year.
I Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                           6-22

-------
            1990
 TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
       All CAAA Species

          (pounds)
      100001 to 628850
       10001 to 100000
        1001 tO  10000
           1 tO   1000
MARICOPA
                           p
                           H
                          O
                           E
                           N
                             I
                           X
   NUMBER OF DAYS IN PS! CATEGORIES
• Decrease of 28.2% in toxic air emissions between
  1990 and 1991.

• State VMT per capita increased 47% to 12,553
  between 1983 and 1990.

• State VMT increased 9% to 48,560,0000 between
  1988 and 1991.

• Percent of VMT occurring under congested
  conditions decreased 29% to 30.7% between
  1988 and 1991.

• Transit ridership increased 13% between 1989
  and 1991.
   I Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                            6-23

-------
                                      TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                            All CAAA Species

                                               (pounds)
                                         1000001 to 1361420  (2)
                                          100001 to 1000000 (11
                                           10001 to  100000 (49)
                                            1001 to   10000 (2V)
                                               1 to    1000 (57)
 p
  I
 T
 T
 S
 B
 U
 R
G
 H
•Good • Moderate DUnhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                          • Decrease of 26.5% in toxic air emissions betwee
                                                            1990 and 1991.

                                                          • State vehicle registrations per capita increased
                                                            14% to 0.83 between 1983 and 1990.

                                                          • Percent of people using single occupant vehicles
                                                            to travel to work increased from 60.9% in 19801<
                                                            73% in 1990. Carpooling decreased from 19.7%
                                                            13.1% and transit usage decreased from 11% to
                                                            8.2% during the same period.

                                                          • Average vehicle occupancy for work trips was 1 .<
                                                            in 1990.
                                            6-24

-------
                                                 1990

                                     TR1 Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                           All CAAA Species
                                               (pounds)
                                         100001 to 840743   (6)
                                          10001 to 100000  (20)
                                           1001 to  10000  (18)
                                              1 to   1000  (12)
                                                    MEXICO
s
A
N

D
  I
 E
G
O
Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                         • Decrease of 17.3% in toxic air emissions between
                                                           1990 and 1991.

                                                         • State vehicle registrations per capita increased
                                                           4% to 0.94 between 1983 and 1990.
                                           6-25

-------
                 SAN FRANCISCOHr
           1990

TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
     All CAAA Releases
         (pounds)
 •   100001 to 659125 (21
 •    10001 to 100000 (82)
      1001  to  10000 (60)
         1  to   1000 (79)
       Good •Moderate GUnhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
 s
A
 N

 F
 R
A
 N
C
  I
S
C
O
                                                               • Decrease of 5% in toxic air emissions between
                                                                1990 and 1991.

                                                               • Average vehicle occupancy for work trips
                                                                decreased from 1.29 to 1.26 between 1987
                                                                and 1993.

                                                               • Single occupant vehicle work trips increased 2%
                                                                between 1987 and 1990.
                                                               • Work trips made via carpools decreased 12%
                                                                between 1987 and 1990.
                                                 6-26

-------
                                                    1990

                                         TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                               All CAAA Species

                                                  (pounds)
                                         •   1000001 ID 1556385   (2)
                                         •    100001 to 1000000  (17)
                                              10001 10  100000  (62)
                                         •      1001 to   10000  (32)
                                                  1 to    1000  (32)
J
s
E
A
T
T
 L
E
•Good • Moderate DUnhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                                          • Decrease of 17.3% in toxic air emissions between
                                                            1990 and 1991.

                                                          • State VMT per capita increased 2% to 11,087
                                                            between 1983 and 1990.

                                                          • State vehicle registrations per capita increased
                                                            2% to 1.03 between 1983 and 1990.
                                            6-27

-------
                                     TRI Sites by Total Air Releases,
                                           AH CAAA Species

                                              (pounds)
                                        1000001
                                         100001
                                          10001
                                           1001
                                              i
to  1609400   (3)
to  1000000  (33)
to   100000  (95)
to    10000  (35)
to     1000  (61
                                   S
                                   T

                                   L
                                   O
                                   U
                                    I
                                   S
NUMBER OF DAYS IN PSI CATEGORIES
       • Decrease of 14% in toxic air emissions between
         1990 and 1991.

       • One complete Early Emission Reduction
         Commitment, reducing toxic emissions by
         855,000 pounds per year.

       • Transit usage for work trips declined 39%
         to 3.5% between 1980 and 1993.
I Good • Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                          6-28

-------
                                                        1990

                                             TRISites by Total Air Releases,
                                                   All CAAA Species

                                                      (pounds)
                                                 100001  to 196500  (1)
                                                  10001  to 100000 (10)
                                                   1001  to  10000  (5)
                                                      1  to   1001 (12)
                              D.C

                         WASHING !0\, IX

                    lNCTQN->
w
 A
 S
 H
   I
 N
 G
 T
 O
 N

 D
 C
                                                           i Increase of 7.4% in toxic air emissions between
                                                            1990 and 1991.

                                                           i District VMT per capita increased 15% to 7,045
                                                            between 1983 and 1990.

                                                           i District vehicle registrations per capita
                                                            increased 19% to 0.55 between 1983 and 1990.
I Good •Moderate D Unhealthy • Very Unhealthy/Hazardous
                                            6-29

-------
Selected Metropolitan Area Trends            6-30

-------
Chapter  7:    International  Air
Pollution  Perspective
Figure 7-1.  Cities selected for discussion in Chapter 7.
This  chapter  discusses air pollution levels,
trend patterns,  and  emissions for selected
cities around the world (Figure 7-1). Because
the form of air  quality standards and goals
may  differ among countries, common air
quality  statistics  have  been selected  for
comparison.   Definitions  and monitoring
methods may vary from country to country;
therefore,  comparisons among nations  are
subject  to caution.  Trends observed within
each  country may be more reliable  than
comparisons between countries.
7.1  Emissions

As  a  result of human  activities  involving
stationary and mobile sources, world-wide
anthropogenic emissions of sulfur oxides (SOX)
are currently estimated to be approximately 99
million metric tons.1  Fossil fuel combustion
accounts for approximately 90 percent of the
global human-induced SOX emissions.2 Over
the past few decades, global SOX emissions
have increased by approximately 4 percent per
year,  corresponding to the increase in world
energy consumption.

Recent data indicate that emissions  of SOX
have  been significantly reduced  in many
developed countries (Figure  7-2).  Table 7-1
provides additional comparative information
on SOX  emissions.   About 90 percent of the
human-induced  emissions originate  in  the
Northern Hemisphere. The United States and
countries within the former Soviet Union are
                                     7-1
         International Air Pollution Perspective

-------
Section 7.1  Emissions
        UJ
        
        HI
        z
        z
        o
        tn
        tn
        i
        UJ
        en
             6000-,
5000-
4000-
             3000-
             2000-
1000-
                          United Kingdom
           Finland
      Hong Kongv
                             Norway
                 1970
                 1975
1980
1985
1990
Figure 7-2. SOX emissions in 1,000 metric tons/year for selected countries. Source:  UNEP, 1991a.
the two  biggest sources.3  For  example, in
1975, the United States emitted approximately
26 million metric tons of SOX, which had been
reduced  to approximately 21  million metric
tons by 1991.4  Countries within the former
Soviet Union emitted approximately 20 million
metric   tons   in  1981   compared   to
approximately 18 million metric tons in 1988.5
Much less information is available for emission
trends  in developing  countries.   However,
there are indications that SOX emissions are
increasing in these developing areas and SOX
pollution is evident in countries such as China,
Mexico, and India.2/3/5

In 1990,  global emissions of total suspended
                               particulate  matter  were  estimated  to  be
                               approximately 57 million metric tons per year.6
                               However, estimates vary widely. The United
                               Nations Environment Program has estimated
                               the global total to  be  closer to 135 million
                               metric  tons.3     Despite  increased   coal
                               combustion, in many industrialized countries,
                               particulate emissions have decreased because
                               of cleaner burning techniques.3   Table 7-1
                               provides additional information on particulate
                               emissions to allow for comparisons among
                               countries. Although information is limited for
                               Eastern   Europe   and  other  developing
                               countries, particulate emissions appear to  be
                               increasing.3
International Air Pollution Perspective
                            7-2

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                                                        Section 7.2 Ambient Concentrations
Table 7-1. Human-induced Emissions of Sulfur
Oxides and Particulates
Country
Canada
USA
Japan
France
Germany
(FRG)
Italy
Netherlands
Norway
Sweden
UK
N. America
OECD Europe
World
Sulfur Oxides
(1000 metric
tons/year)
3,800
20,700
835
1,335
1,306
2,070
256
65
199
3,664
24,500
13,200
99,000
Sulfur Oxides
(kg/capita)
146.4
84.0
6.8
22.8
21.3
36.0
17.3
15.4
23.6
63.1
—
—
—
Particulates
(1000 metric
tons/year)
1,709
6,900
101
298
532
413
95
25
170
533
9,000
4,000
57,000
7.2  Ambient Concentrations

On  a global scale, in general, declining annual
average sulfur dioxide (SO2) levels over time
correspond  with declining emission trends
(Figure 7-2).  Trends in SO2 annual average
concentration levels  for developed countries
within  the   Organization  for  Economic
Cooperation and Development (OECD) are
displayed in Table  7-2.   Again, the focus
should be more  on  the direction of change
rather than on a comparison of absolute levels,
because  monitoring  methods  and  siting
objectives may vary among countries. Figure
7-3  presents a comparison  of annual average
SO2 levels  for  several  sites.    Figure 7-4
compares the  second-highest 24-hour sulfur
dioxide concentrations at  two sites in the
United States, a site  in New York and one in
Chicago, with concentrations experienced at
three sites  in  Canada, a  site  in  Montreal
(Quebec), one in Toronto (Ontario), and one in
Winnipeg (Manitoba), Canada.7
Table 7-2.  Urban Trends in Annual Average Sulfur Dioxide Concentrations (ug/m3)
Country
Canada
USA
Japan
Belgium
Denmark
Finland
France

Germany
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Norway
Portugal
Sweden

UK

City
Montreal (Queb)
New York (NY)
Tokyo
Brussels
Copenhagen
Tampere
Paris
Rouen
Berlin (West)
Milan
Nat'l Network
Amsterdam
Oslo
Lisbon
Gotenborg
Stockholm
London
Newcastle
1970
—
—
109.2
160.4
—
—
121.9
—
—
258.6
—
76.2
—
—
—
—
—
143.4
1975
40.3
43.1
60.0
99.0
45.0
103.0
115.0
63.0
95.0
244.0
61.0
34.0
48.0
36.2
41.0
59.0
116.0
112.0
1980
40.7
37.5
48.0
62.4
31.0
58.7
88.6
69.9
90.2
200.0
37.2
25.2
36.0
44.2
24.2
41.9
69.6
69.4
1985
20.2
36.6
25.2
33.7
26.1
41.2
54.0
37.2
67.4
87.8
18.9
16.0
14.9
31.1
21.2
41.8
41.8
40.3
Late 1980s
16.1
32.3
19.8
31.7
21.2
7.2
43.7
35.3
60.8
56.1
17.1
13.9
13.0
43.1
13.1
14.2
39.4
35.8
                                           7-3
           International Air Pollution Perspective

-------
 Section 7.2 Ambient Concentrations
             s
             u  I-
             > Z
             < HI
    300

    250-

    200-

    150-

    100-
                         Concentration (ug/m3)
                           Seoul
                                                            Mexico City
                                                         New York City
                       1980   1982    1984    1986    1988   1990

Figure 7-3. Trend in annual average sulfur dioxide concentrations in selected cities in the world.
Source:  UNEP, 1992; UNEP/WHO, 1992a; UNEPAVHO, 1992b.
         0.10n
    O
    LJJ
    tn
                                                                       New York City

                                                                       Montreal, Que.

                                                                       Chicago

                                                                       Toronto, Ont.

                                                                       Winnipeg, Man.
 T	1	1	T	1	1	1	T
1983  1984  1985  1986  1987  1988  1989  1990  1991
Figure 7-4. Trend in annual second highest 24-hour sulfur dioxide concentrations in selected U.S.
and Canadian cities, 1983-1991.  Source: T. Dann, Environment Canada; AIRS database.
Similar to the SO2 trend, annual average total
suspended  particulate  matter   (TSP)
concentrations in cities are declining in many
of the world's industrialized  cities.  Urban
particulate   matter   concentrations  have
declined in  OECD countries  from  annual
average concentrations of between 50 and 100
ug/m3 in the early 1970s, to levels between 20
and  60  ug/m3 on a current  annual basis.1
However, TSP concentrations in many of the
                              developing countries are high when compared
                              to  some  of the  more  industrialized  cities
                              (Figure 7-5).  In North America, a comparison
                              of   the   TSP   annual   geometric   mean
                              concentrations   between   New  York  and
                              Chicago in the United States  and Hamilton
                              (Ontario), Montreal (Quebec), and Vancouver
                              (British Columbia) in Canada is illustrated in
                              Figure 7-6.
International Air Pollution Perspective
                           7-4

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-------
  Section 7.2 Ambient Concentrations
  Hourly average  values  of ozone  (O3) vary
  from year to year, depending on factors such
  as precursor  emissions  and meteorological
  conditions.     Although   surface  O3
  measurements are made in many countries, O3
  has  not  been routinely  summarized on an
  international basis.  In many OECD countries,
  O3 levels exceed the recommended standards.
  Figure 7-7 shows a comparison of the second
  highest daily maximum O3  levels between
  some selected sites in the United States and in
  Canada.  The year  1988 was conducive  for
  high O3  concentrations in the eastern  and
  midwestern   United  States  and   parts  of
  Canada.
    Ozone - 2nd maximum hour (ppm)
                             1985 M 1986  Q 1987 E3  1988 • 1989 • 1990 Q 1991
0.1- -
0.0
    Los Angeles, Ca   Houston, TX    New York, NY    Quebec, Que.   Ottawa, Ont.    Toronto, Ont.   Vancouver, BC
  Figure 7-7.  Trend in annual second highest daily maximum 1-hour ozone concentrations in selected
  U.S. and Canadian cities, 1985-1991.  Source: T. Dann, Environment Canada; AIRS database.
  International Air Pollution Perspective
7-6

-------
                                                       Section 7.2 Ambient Concentrations
A  comparison  of  TSP,   SO2  and  O3
concentrations  experienced  in  some  cities
around the world is presented in Figure 7-8.
Concentrations,  in  micrograms  per  cubic
meter, for TSP, SO2, and O3 vary substantially
among cities in the world.   The pollutant
concentrations presented in this figure, for all
cities except Los Angeles and New York, were
adapted  from  a  joint United Nations and
World Health  Organization report.8  This
report studied the air pollution problems  in
the 20 largest cities (megacities) in the world.
The data for the U.S. cities were obtained from
the Aerometric Information Retrieval  System9
(AIRS).  The TSP and SO2 values presented
represent  the  maximum  annual  average
measured in the  city; while,  the  O3 values
represent the maximum hourly concentration
recorded.     This  information  represents
measurements taken  over the time  period
1988-92.      The   highest   TSP   annual
concentrations   occurred   in  Cairo(l,100),
Calcutta(600), and Mexico City(SOO).  These
were the only cities which experienced TSP
levels of 500 ug/m3 or above. SO2 was highest
in Mexico City(200)  followed  by Rio de
Janeiro(170),  Seoul(160),  Beijing(130),  and
Shanghai(120). These were the only cities with
SO2 levels above 100 ug/m3.  There were only
8 out of the 20 cities where recent O3 levels
were reported.  Mexico City experienced the
highest hourly O3 concentration of 792 ug/m3
followed by  Los  Angeles(660), New York
City(545) and Sao Paulo(350).
    Megacities
Bangkok
Beijing
Bombay
Buenos Aires
Cairo
Calcutta
Delhi
Jakarta
Karachi
London
Los Angeles
Manila
Mexico City
Moscow
New York City
Rio de Janeiro
Sao Paulo
_ .
beoul
bnangnai
Tokyo

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=333


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n os

00 1,2
                                    Micrograms per Cubic Meter
Figure 7-8.  Comparison of ambient levels of annual second daily maximum 1-hour ozone, annual
average total suspended particulate matter, and sulfur dioxide among selected cities. Source:
UNEP/WHO, 1992a; UNEP/WHO 1992b; Varshney and Aggarwal, 1992; AIRS database.
                                          7-7
           International Air Pollution Perspective

-------
Section 7.3 References
7.3 References

 1-  The State of the Environment, Published by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and
    Development, Paris, France, 1991.

 2.  Assessment of Urban Air Quality,  Published by the United Nations Environment Program and
    the World Health Organization, Global Environment Monitoring System, Nairobi, Kenya, 1988.

 3.  Urban Air Pollution,  UNEP/GEMS Environment Library, No 4, Published by the United
    Nations Environment Program, Nairobi, Kenya, 1991.

 4.  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1991, EPA-450/R-92-001, U. S.
    Environmental Protection Agency,  Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research
    Triangle Park, NC  27711, October  1992.

 5.  Environmental Data Report 1991/92,  UNEP/GEMS Monitoring and Assessment Research
    Centre, London,  United Kingdom, Basil Blackwell, Oxford, United Kingdom, 1991.

 6.  The State of the Environment (1972-1992), UNEP/GCSS, HI/2, Published  by the United Nations
    Environment Program, Nairobi, Kenya, 1992.

 7.  Written communication from T. Dann, Environment Canada to A.S. Lefohn, A.S.L. &
    Associates, Helena, MT, March 17, 1992, and March 17, 1993.

 8.  Urban Air Pollution in Megacities  of the World, Published by the World Health Organization
    and United Nations Environment Program, Blackwell Publishers, Oxford,  United Kingdom,
    1992.

 9.  Aerometric Information Retrieval System (AIRS), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office
    of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, July, 1993.
International Air Pollution Perspective           7-8

-------
                                              TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                                     (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
 1. REPORT NO.
        454/R-93-031
                                                                               3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
                                                                               5. REPORT DATE
       National  Air  Quality  and Emissions  Trends
       Report/  1992
                                                     6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)
                      T. Curran, R.  Faoro,  T.  Fitz~Siaons, W. Preas,
       D. Hintz, S. Hizich, B. Parzygnat, H. Wayland and S. F. Hunt, Jr.
                                                                              8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
       0. S. Environmental Protection  Agency
       Office of Air and Radiation
       Office of Air Quality Planning  and Standards
       Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
                                                                               1O. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                                                     11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
 12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
                                                                               13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                                                               14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT
       This report presents national and regional trends in air quality froi 1983 through 1992 for particulate tatter,
       sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide,  nitrogen dioxide, ozone and lead. Air quality trends are also presented for
       23 letropolitan areas.  Both national and regional trends in each of these pollutants  are examined.  Rational
       air  quality trends are also  presented for both the National Air Ronitoring Sites (HAMS) and  other site
       categories.  In addition to aibient air  quality, trends are also presented for annual nationwide eiissions.
       These eiissions are estiiated  using the best available engineering calculations; the aibient levels presented
       are averages of direct leasureients.  international comparisons of air quality and eiissions are also contained
       in this report.  Overview information on  visibility and air toxics is introduced for the first tire.

       This report  also  includes  a section, Air Quality Status of Metropolitan Areas.   Its purpose  is to provide
       interested teibers of the  air pollution  control conunity,  the private sector and  the  general  public with
       greatly simplified air pollution  information for the single year, 1992.  Air quality statistics are presented
       for each of the pollutants for all HSAs with data in  1992.
                                          KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                       DESCRIPTORS
                                                             b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                                                      c.   COSATI Field/Group
       Air Pollution wends   Particulate Tatter
       Emission Trends
       Carbon Monoxide
       Nitrogen Dioxide
       Sulfur Dioxide
       Total Suspended
         Particulates
                   Lead
Air Pollution        Visibility
Air Quality Standards
national Air Umitoring
  Stations (HAK)
Air Toxics
 8. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT

       Release Dnliaited
                                   19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report)
21. NO. OF PAGES

     171
                                                             20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)
                                                                                                22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (Rev. 4-77)
                             PREVIOUS EDITION IS OBSOLETE

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