United Slates hn\ ironnienlal Protection Agenc) Office Of Air Qualits Planning And Standards Research Triangle Park. NC 27711 LPA-452/R-OI-014 \/ September 2.001 FINAL REPORT Air Economic Impact Analysis of the Proposed Hydrochloric Acid (HCI) Production NESHAP Final Report ------- Introduction This regulatory action proposes national emission standards for hazardous air pollutants (NESHAP) for hydrochloric acid (HCI) production facilities, including HCI production at fumed silica facilities. The EPA has identified these facilities as major sources of hazardous air pollutant (HAP) emissions, primarily HCI. Hydrochloric acid is associated with a variety of adverse health effects. These adverse health effects include chronic health disorders (for example, effects on the central nervous system, blood, and heart) and acute health disorders (for example, irritation of eyes, throat, and mucous membranes and damage to the liver and kidneys). These proposed NESHAP would implement section 1 12(d) of the Clean Air Act (CAA) by requiring all HCI production facilities that are major sources to meet HAP emission standards reflecting the application of the maximum achievable control technology (MACT). The EPA estimates that these proposed NESHAP would reduce nationwide emissions of HAP from HCfcl production by approximately 1 .790 tons per year (tpy). This amount of reduction is 52 percent of the baseline HAP emissions estimate of 3.450 tpy. Of these emissions. 72 percent (2.490 tpy) is h\drochloric acid, and the remaining 960 tpy is chlorine. d 1* There are 64 HCI facilities that will have to install controls, according to the estimates prepared •< by the Agency.' The production processes that this proposed NESHAP will affect are processes ^ that routes a gaseous stream that contains HCI to an absorber, '.hereby creating a liquid HCI "^ product. Amone these various processes are: -4 organic and inorganic. chemical manufacturing processes that produce HCI as a by-product: the reaction of salts and sulfuric acid (Mannheim process): the reaction of a salt, sulfur dioxide, oxygen, and water (Hargreaves process): the combustion of chlorinated organic compounds: the direct synthesis of HCI through the burning of chlorine in the presence of hydrogen; and fumed silica production, including combustion of silicon tetrachloride in hydrogen-oxygen furnaces. - Memorandum Maxuell. B.US Environmental Protection Agency, to Hydrochloric Acid Production NESHAP Docket List of Facilities in the Hydrochloric Acid Production Source Categor\ March 21. 2001 2 ------- It is important to note that most HC1 production is as a by-product of other processes such as aliphatic and aromatic hydrocarbon chlorinations, the phosgenation of amines for isocvanates. and halogenations for making chlorofluorocarbons. Only about 5 percent of HC1 is produced as primary product. The fumed silica sources affected by this proposed rule include any facility engaged in the production of fumed silica. Fumed silica is a fine white powder used as a thickener or reinforcing agent in inks, resins, rubber, paints, and cosmetics. HC1 and chlorine emissions are the primary HAPs released from fumed silica production facilities and result from the HC1 recovery/production system. Because the largest HAP emission source at fumed silica facilities is related to the HC1 recovery /production system, we decided to combine fumed silica sources and HC1 production sources under this proposed rule. Background for Economic Impact Analysis The Agency has prepared an economic impact analysis in support of this proposed NESHAP. The legal authority for this analysis is Section 317 of the CAA. As part of this anahsis. the Agency has prepared a small business analysis in order to comply with the Regulatory Flexibilit) Act (RFA). as amended by the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act (SBREFA). This economic impact analysis presents a short profile of the industries affected b\ this proposed rule, a short look at the firms that will be affected by this rule, and the impacts to these firms and their consumers from implementation of the proposed rule. Table 1 lists the 3 industries that will be affected by the requirements of this proposal. Table 1. Affected Industries Categon SlCa NAICSh Name of Industry Industry 2819 325188 All Other Basic Inorganic Manufacturing 2821 325211 Plastic Materials, and Resin Manufacturing 2869 325199 All Other Basic Organic Manufacturing a Standard Industrial Classification b North American Information Classification Svstem ------- These industries are all large with a substantial number of firms and employees that make up their operations. Table 2 contains estimates of employees and the value of shipments for these industries as a whole.2 Table 2 Value of Shipments and Employment Data on Affected Industries (Millions of 1997 Dollars) Industr\ NA1CS 325188 NAICS 325199 V NA3CS 325211 1997 17.275 52.40^ 45.226 Value of Shipments 1998 22.760 48.989 49.176 1999 23.279 47.151 48.024 Percentage Change from 1997 to 1999 34.7 -10.0 62 1997 534 88.2 61.6 Total Employment (thousands) 1998 56.2 86.9 62.8 1999 53.8 81.2 58.5 Percentage Change from 1997 to 1 999 1.2 7.9 50 HCI production is bin a small portion of output and activity in these industries. While the production of output reaches mam millions of tons for each of these industries, the total production from the U.S. HCI industry is roughh 4.2 million tons year as of 1997. Most of the production is captive capacit> : that is: the HCI is produced as an intermediate product to be used in final output. Ghen that about 5 percent of HCI produced in the U.S. is as primary product. this means that onh about 200.000 tons of primary HCI output is generated in a typical year. The use of HCI in the production of other chemicals is the major way in which HCI is used in the U.S. Thiru percent of HCI produced in the U.S. goes into production of other chemicals. The next most common uses of HCI are steel pickling (20 percent), oil wrell acidizing (19 percent). and food processing (17 percent). Other uses for HCI include semiconductor production and regeneration of ion-exchange resins for water treatment. The U.S. imports and exports very little HCI. In 1997, the U.S. imported 85,000 tons of HCI, or :U S Department of the Commerce: Bureau of the Census. International Trade Association. Found on the Internet at uuu nj d>^ >jo\ id mJn--ir\ oicii LIMITS KiNi'*_naic:> Downloaded on September 7. 2001 . ------- only 2 percent of U.S. capacity. During that same year, the U.S. exported 60,000 tons of HC1. or only 1.5 percent of U.S. production capacity.3 Hence, the U.S. imports as much or more HC1 as to exports, but the trade balance is negligible compared to the output consumed within the U.S. Most of this trade is with Canada. The growth in U.S. HC1 production averaged about 4.2 percent per year from 1993 to 1998. Growth has averaged roughly 3 percent per year from 1985 through 1998, so there has been some increase in production growth in the decade of the 1990's.4 Prices for HC1 have increased considerably from 1992 to 1998. These prices generally ranged from $40/ton to $57/ton in 1992 and 1993, but rose to over $90/ton in 1998 due to railroad disruptions that occurred late in 1997 and continuing into 1998. Projected growth is expected to be about 2.5 percent per year through 2003. though this amount could be an underestimate if continued strength in oil drilling leads to additional demand for HC1. Costs of the Proposed Rule The estimated annual costs of the proposed rule are $4.05 million in 1999 dollars. These costs include not only the costs of control but also those associated with monitoring, recordkeeping and reporting. The capital costs are estimated at $12.87 million. The costs are estimated using six model plants that are considered representative of the sources they are applied to. The data taken to develop the linkage between the model plants and the actual facilities are based on facility information taken from EPA permit files and assumptions of the applicability of control equipment. Estimates of what each of these plants must do to meet the proposed alternative. which is the MACT floor, is listed in Table 4. The costs for each of the six model plants is in Table 5. The annual costs associated with each of these model facilities includes annualized capital costs for control and monitoring equipment, annual operation and maintenance (O&M) costs for control and monitoring equipment, and labor and O&M costs associated with reporting and recordkeeping (R&R) requirements associated with the MACT floor regulator) alternative 3U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Current Industrial Reports. Series MA28A(Ti September. 1998. 4Chemica! News and Intelligence. ChemExpo Chemical Profile: Hydrochloric Acid No\ember 22. 19Ui- \\\\\v.chemexpo.com/news TROFILE991122.cfm. ------- ' Table 3. Model Facility Actions Needed To Comply With MACT Floor Alternative Model Facility # 1 2 3 4 5 6 Equipment Needed to Comply with MACT Floor Alternative Process Vents (PV) Control Equipment none none none nons scrubber noP\ Monitoring Equipment? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Storage Tanks (ST) Control Equi-ment none none duct-\sork no ST no ST scrubber Monitoring Equipment? Yes Yes No No No Yes Transfer Operations (TO) Control Equipment none duct-\\ork no TO no TO no TO no TO Monitoring Equipment? Yes No No No No No it of Facilities . 5 5 10 20 12 9 Table 4. Annual Costs For Each Model Facility. Model Facility # 1 -> 3 4 5 6 Annual Costs per Facility(1999S) PV Equipment S1.212 S 1.2 12 S 1.2 12 S1.212 S105.357 SO ST Equipment S1.212 S1.212 $691 $0 $0 $7.167 TO Equipment S1.212 . S691 $0 $0 $0 $0 R&R Labor andO&M S65.055 $65.055 $65.055 $65.055 $65.055 $65,055 Total $68.691 $68.170 $66.958 $66.267 $170.412 $72.222 The equipment costs include annualized capital as well as O&M and were obtained from calculations performed to estimate regulatory alternative impacts. The annual R&R costs were calculated using the template used to calculate annual R&R burden in the Information Collection ------- Request for HCI Production. The costs for the 4th year after promulgation, which is the first year after the compliance date for existing sources, were calculated for a single facility/" In summary, the annual cost per facility for complying with the draft MACT for HCI Production ranges from $66,267 to $170,412. The weighted (by number of plants) average annual cost per facility is $83,971 and the unweighted average is $73,246. As can be seen in Table 3, sources at most of the affected facilities will only have R&R requirements and/or some additional ductwork. At 21 facilities, however, a new waste or caustic scrubber is likely to be required for these facilities to meet the MACT floor requirements for either process vents or storage tank emissions. As seen above, the costs for any one facility- should be no higher than $170,412 (in 1999 dollars). The annual costs shown in Table 4 can be considered reasonable representations of potential .facility-level cost impacts associated with the MACT floor level of control. However, there is one particular anomaly with this analysis that should be discussed. The nationwide cost impacts analysis extrapolates the model emission point costs to the assumed number of affected sources in the United States, which is 64.5 Certain assumptions were made in the cost impacts analysis regarding the use of common control devices to reduce emissions from different types of emission sources. Specifically, it was assumed that 20 of the 29 facilities with storage tanks also had process vents at the site, and a single scrubber could be used to control emissions from both sources. It was also assumed that all 10 facilities with transfer operations also had process vents (so a scrubber could be shared). These assumptions from the impacts analysis were considered in the facility-level combination of the individual emission sources. But since all pre\ ious analyses were conducted on an emission source basis, it was not possible to develop combinations to represent 64 HCI production facilities while remaining consistent with the assumptions of shared control devices cited above. It is likely, however, that this anomaly will not lead to a substantial mischaracterization of the costs nationally. The above extrapolation takes into account the impacts to fumed silica facilities. Appendix A provides more specific information on the representation of facilities in the HCI cost analysis. Cost and Economic Impact Results Table 5 lists the compliance (control, monitoring, and R&R) costs of the MACT floor regulator} alternative per affected parent company, and these costs as a percentage of the parent companies's revenues. All data below is based on 1999 statistics, unless more recent data is available. - Memorandum Maxwell. B.. U.S Environmental Protection Agency, to Hydrochloric Acid Production NESHAP Docket. List of Facilities in the Hydrochloric Acid Production Source Category. March 21 2001 7 ------- Table 5. Economic Impacts for Parent Companies Affected by the Proposed HCLTumed Silica MACT* Parent Company Arch Chemicals Ausimont USA (subsidian, of Montedison Group) Axentis CropScience BASF Corp. CIBA-GEIGY Corp (subsidiar\ of Ncnartis) Crompton Corp Detrex Corp Dover Chemical Corp (subsidiary of ICC Industries Corp.) Dou Chemical DuPont Number of Employees 3.500 33.049 92.500 100.000 69.000 8.300 350 3.200 41.943 93.000 Large or Small Business? Larse Large Larse # Large Large Large Small Larae Lar°e Large Revenues(1999 unless stated differently) S900 million 1 1.266 million (2000) 20.021 million 32.226 million (2000) 17.200 million 3.038 million 100 million 1.500 million 23.008 million 28.268 million Annual Compliance Costs (1999S) 66.958 S171.794 171.794 171.794 171.794 171.794 171.794 171.794 171.794 171.103 Compliance Costs/Revenues (%) 0.0007 0.00152 0.00086 0.00053 0.001 0 00566 0 1996 0.0115 0.0001 00001 ------- Elf Atochem (subsidiary of TotalFinaElf) Ferro Corp. FMC Corp. General Electric Co. Honeywell Corp. Huntsman Corp. 1C1 Americas (partoflCI Corp.) Jones- Hamilton Co. Louisiana Pigment Co. (oWned b\ ML Industries) MDA Manufacturing (owned b\ Daitkm Products. Inc.) Metachem Products Miles Ba\er (owned b\ the Ba\er Group) Monsanto Co. Occidental Chemical Co. (owned by Occidental Petroleum Co.) 127.252 6,700 15,000 313,000 125,000 14,000 45.130 91 2.500 14,000 110 120.400 14,700 8.800 Large Large Large Large Large Large Large Small Large Large Small Large Large Large 67,352 million 1,360 million 3,900 million 129,500 million 23,735 million 7.000 million 8,592 million 10 to 25 million (no precise estimate available) 908 million 3. 799 million 30 million 27.320 million 5,500 million 13.574 million 171.794 171.794 171,794 343,588 66,958 171.794 171.794 171.794 72.222 171.794 171.794 171.794 171.794 171.794 0.00026 0.0126 0.0044 0.00027 0.003 0.00245 0.00180 1.7 18 (worst-case): 0.981 (best estimate)** 00008 0.00452 0573 0.00062 0.00312 0.00047 ------- O\\mar (owned b\ Occidental Petroleum Co. and Marubeni Co) Oxyvinyls PPG Industries Shell Velsicol Chemical Corp Vulcan Materials Chao Group (of Thailand. o\\ner of \\ estlake Monomers) Fumed Silica GE Silicones (owned b\ GE) Cabot Degussa 13.851 (a joint venture of Occidental Petro'eum Co. and Polyone Internation al)- 18.800 33.000 95.000 515 9.3 1 5 25.000 313.000 4.200 63.000 Large Large Lar°e Large Small Larse Large Larae Large Large 73 billion 17,074 billion (combined revenue of Occidental Petroleum and Polyone International) 8. 370 million 149. 146 million 160 million 2.492 million 3.000 million 128.543 million 1.51 7 million 12.567 million 171,794 171,794 170.412 171,794 171.794 171.794 171,794 171.794 171.794 171.794 0.00047 0.0010 0.002 0.0002 0.172 0.007 0.00571 0 00027 0.0101 0.00137 * Employee and revenue data taken from the companies's Web sites. \\\\\\ biibinebS.com. or Hoover's Online. **The "best estimate" impact sho\\n for Jones-Hamilton is based on a revenue estimate that is the midpoint of the °iven revenue ranee - SI 7.5 million The economic impact anah sis. which is essentially a comparison of compliance costs for the affected parent firms with their revenues, shows that the estimated costs associated with the 10 ------- MACT floor option are no more than 1.0 percent of the revenues for any of the 33 affected firms. It is important to note that most of the companies and facilities affected by this standard are large U.S. companies or subsidiaries of large multinational companies. It is likely that the expected reduction in affected HC1 and fumed silica output is no more than 0.0015 percent or less from that industry, since the overall compliance costs is less than 0.001 percent of the revenues for the affected parent firms, and a demand elasticity of-1.5 that is applicable to NAICS 325199 and 325211 as prepared for another economic analysis done for a proposed MACT standard affecting these NAICS codes.6 In addition, it is likely that the impacts to individual firms should not be substantial, since the cost to sales estimates per firm are much less than the average profit margin (i.e.. profit per unit of sales by firm) enjoyed by firms in these industries (about 5 percent).7 It should be noted that these results are based on the application of costs from a subset of the affected facilities to the remaining facilities. This is necessary due to incomplete facility-level cost data, as explained in the previous section on costs. Small Business Impacts The RFA generally requires an agency to conduct a regulatory flexibility analysis of any rule subject to notice and comment rulemaking requirements under the Administrative Procedure Act or any other statute unless the agency certifies that the rule will not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. Small entities include small businesses, small organizations, and small governmental jurisdictions. For purposes of assessing the impacts of today's rule on small entities, small entity is defined as a small business according to Small Business Administration size standards8 by the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) category of the owning parent entity. The small business size standard for the affected industries (NAICS 325188. All Other Basic Inorganic Chemical Manufacturing, NAICS 325199. All Other Basic Organic Manufacturing. and NAICS 325211. Plastics Materials, and Resins Manufacturing) is a maximum of 1.000 employees for an entity. After considering the economic impact of today's proposed rule on small entities. 1 certif) that this action will not ha\e a significant impact on a substantial number of small entities In accordance with ihe RFA. as amended by the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement I airnes.-* Act (SBREFA), 5 U.S.C. 601, et. seq.. EPA conducted an assessment of the proposed standard on small businesses within the industries affected by the rule. Based on SBA size definitions for 6 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Economic Impact Analysis of Air Pollution Regulations Organs Liquid Distribution. Produced by the Research Triangle Institute. September 2001. " Reference 5. 6 Small Business Administration. Washington. D.C. Found on the Internet at w\v\v.sba.go\ size. 11 ------- the affected industries and reported sales and employment data, the Agency identified four affected small businesses out of 32 affected parent businesses (or 13 percent of the total number). In order to estimate impacts to affected small businesses, the Agency conducted a screening analysis that consists of estimates of the annual compliance costs these businesses are expected to occur as compared to their revenues. Since the data are such that costs can only be estimated for a subset of the affected facilities, the available data was used to determine the costs to the facilities outside of this subset. The results of this screening analysis show that none of the small businesses is expected to have annual compliance costs of 1 percent or more. Therefore, this analysis allows us to certify that there will not be a significant impact on a substantial number of small entities from the implementation of this proposed rule. A summary of the small business impacts, with a comparison to the impacts to the large companies, is in Table 6. The median compliance cost as a percent of sales for the affected small companies affected is 0.39 percent, which is larger than that for the affected large companies (0.001 percent). Table 6 Summary of Small Business Impacts for HC1 Production and Fumed Silica MACT Floor Option Total Number of Companies Total Number of Small Companies Total Number of Large Companies Average Annual Compliance Cost per Small Company (in 1999 dollars) Average Annual Compliance Cost per Large Compam (in 1999 dollars) Comparison of Compliance Costs to Sales Compliance Costs of <1% of Sales Compliance Costs of >1% of Sales "» "> jj 4 29 $171.194 166.811 Small: 4 Large: 29 Small: 0 Large: 0 Share: 100% Share: 100% Share: 0% Share: 0% 12 ------- Compliance Cost to Sales: Statistics Average: 0.061 For Small: 0.481 For Large: 0.003 Median: 0.0019 For Small:0.386 For Large: 0.0012 Maximum: 0.981 For Small: 0.981 For Large: 0.0126 Minimum: 0.0001 For Small: 0.172 For Large: 0.0001 13 ------- Appendix A Summary of Representation of Actual Facilities in HC1 Production NESHAP Cost Analysis ------- Summary of Representation of Actual Facilities in the HCI Production Impacts Analysis No 1'ioeess Vents I'mtess Vents Wo 95% No Storage 1 auks Storage Tanks 994% 95% 0% No Transfer Operations Transfer Operations 994% 95% 0% Number of Karilitics in Permit Database 5 21 16 5 14 12 4 5 3 22 4 2 1 1 Assumed controls needed none new scmhhei none ductwork/ new scrubber'1 new scrubber'1 none ductwork'1 ductwork'1 "Real" plants from list of 64 represented DuPont, KY. PPG. WV Allied Signal. Baton Rouge. Bayer. WV. Degussa. NY. Dow. LA,n DuPont.' 1 A. Dul'oni. WV. Louisiana Pigment. PPG. LA (x3)h Dow. LA." Dul'oni Dow. LA. PPG. OH. Shell. LA Bayer. WV. Degussa. NY. DuPont. LA; PPG. OIL Shell, LA. PPG. LA Dow, LA;n DuPont, KY; PPG, WV; DuPont, WV Allied Signal, Baton Rouge; DuPont Dow, LA Louisiana Pigment; Dow, LA" Allied Signal, Baton Rouge; Bayer, WV; Degussa, NY; Dow, LA;a DuPont, LA; DuPont Dow, LA; DuPont, WV, Louisiana Pigment; PPG, OH; PPG, WV; PPG, LA (x3)c DuPont, KY Dow, LAa Shell, LA Number of non- 64 plants represented 3 6 1 6 0 3 1 9 1 0 0 transfer operation. '' (here are three facilities at this plant site that control process vent emissions at 994%. One of these three is a chlor-alkali facility that would not be subject to the rule. But, we included it in the "64" column because the plant site is on the list of 64 facilities in the source category. ' I here are three facilities at this plant site that do not have storage tanks emissions or transfer operation emissions 1 It was assumed that four storage tanks controlled at 95% are located at facilities with process vents, so the process vent scrubber could be used for the storage ------- tank (and a new scrubber would not be needed). It was also assumed that the transfer operation at 95% and the OIK with no control were also at facilities where the process vent scrubber could be shared. It was also assumed that OIK storage tank at 95% and the three with no control are at facilities without process vents, so a new scrubber will be needed These assumptions are not based on any real facility. 16 ------- TECHNICAL REPORT DATA (Please read Instructions on reverse before completing) 1. REPORT NO. 2. EPA-452/R-01-014 4. TITLE \ND SI BT1TLE Economic Impact Analysis for the Proposed Hydrochloric Acid Production NESHAP 7. Al THOR(S) 9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Air Quality Strategies and Standards Division Research Triangle Park, NC 2771 1 . 12. SPONSORING .AGENO NAME AND ADDRESS Director Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Office of Air and Radiation U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO. 5. REPORT DATE September 2001 6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO. 10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO. 11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO. 13. ^ PE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED 14. SPONSORING AGENO CODE EPA/200/04 15. SI PPLEMENTAR^ NOTES 16. ABSTRACT This document is an economic impact analysis for the industries and other entities subject to the proposed Hydrochloric Acid Prodction National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAP). The analysis shows price and production changes for affected entities, and provides some financial data for those entities and the industries they are in. 17. KE^ \\ORDS AND DOCIMENT ANAL\SIS a. DESCRIPTORS Control Costs Industry Profile Economic Impacts 18. DISTRIBl TION STATEMENT Release Unlimited b. IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS c. COSATI Field/Group Air Pollution control 19. SECl HIT'S CLASS (Report) 21. NO. OF PAGES Unclassified 16 20. SECl RIT\ C L ASS (Page) 22. PRICE Unclassified EPA Form 2220-1 (Rex. 4-77) PRE\ IOI S EDITION IS OBSOLETE 17 ------- |