United States Environmental Protection Agency Off ice of Air'Quality Planning and Standards Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 October 1996 EPA-454/F-96-008 Air and ------- The overall quality of our nation's air continues to improve. This brochure highlights the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA's) most recent evaluation of status and trends in our nation's air quality. ® Emissions of the six principal air pollutants increased significantly between 1900 and 1970. This includes emissions of carbon monoxide, lead, nitrogen dioxide, volatile organic compounds, particulate matter, and sulfur dioxide. However, since passage of the 1970 Clean Air Act Amendments, emissions of all of these pollutants have declined, in some cases dramatically. ® Economic growth and environmental protection can go hand-in-hand. Between 1970 and 1995, total combined emissions of the six principal pollutants decreased while gross domestic product, population, and total vehicle miles traveled all increased significantly. • In 1995, Phase I of EPA's Acid Rain Program alone reduced sulfur dioxide emissions from affected power plants by 5.6 million tons compared to 1980 levels. This was 39 percent below the level anticipated under the 1990 Amendments to the Clean Air Act. • Newly available monitoring data'showed significant reductions in benzene concentrations and other toxic air pollutants from 1994 to 1995. At sites where these data were available, the median reduction for benzene was approximately 38 percent. Early analysis indicates this reduction may be a result of reduced vehicle emissions due to the use of reformulated gasoline. ® Short-term trends between 1994 and 1995 showed a slight increase in monitored concentration levels of ozone. Monitored concentration levels of carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter, and sulfur dioxide continued to decrease, while lead remained unchanged. During this same 1 -year period, emissions of all six principal air pollutants decreased. ® Despite the improvements in air quality since 1970, nearly 80 million people lived in counties where air quality levels exceeded the national air quality standards for at least one of the six principal pollutants in 1995. ® Air pollution, such as ground-level ozone, acid rain, and air toxics, also significantly affects ecosystems. For example, ground-level ozone is responsible for approximately 1 to 2 billion dollars in reduced agricultural crops each year. In addition, certain toxic pollutants (like some metals and organic chemicals) that are emitted from industrial sources can be deposited into water bodies and magnify through the food web, adversely affecting fish-eating animals and humans. ® Over the past several years, the American public has become conscious of other air pollution issues such as protection of the stratospheric ozone layer and the effect of global warming on the Earth's climate. EPA continues to work with States, industry, and other partners to find cost-effective and innovative ways to solve air pollution problems. Background Air pollution causes a wide variety of health effects that range from eye irritation, to heart and lung damage, to premature death. It can also impair visibility and reduce crop production, as well as damage ecosystems, national parks, wilderness areas, and water bodies. Air pollution comes from many different sources. "Stationary sources" such as factories, power plants, and smelters — "mobile sources" including cars, buses, planes, trucks, and trains — and "natural sources" such as wildfires, windblown dust, and volcanic eruptions — all contribute to air pollution. The Clean Air Act provides the principal framework for ------- national, State, Tribal, and local efforts to protect air quality. Under the Clean Air Act, which was last amended in 1990, EPA has a number of responsibilities, including: • Setting National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for pollutants considered harmful to public health and the environment. ® Ensuring that these air quality standards are met or attained (in ; cooperation with States) through national standards and ; strategies to control air pollutant emissions from automobiles, factories, and other sources. • Reducing emissions of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides that ; cause acid rain. • Limiting use of chemicals that damage the stratospheric ozone layer in order to prevent increased levels of harmful ultraviolet : radiation. • Ensuring that sources of toxic air pollutants are well controlled. The Clean Air Act established two types of National Ambient Air Quality Standards. Primary standards set limits to protect public health, including the.health of "sensitive" populations such as asthmatics, children, and the elderly. Secondary air quality standards set limits to protect public welfare, including protection against decreased visibility and damage to animals, crops, vegetation, and buildings. EPA has set national air quality standards for six principal pollutants (referred ; to as "criteria" pollutants): carbon monoxide (CO), lead (Pb), nitrogen dioxide ? (NCy, ozone (63), particulate matter (PM-10), and sulfur dioxide (802). : [Note: The pollutant ozone is not emitted directly to the air, but is formed j when sunlight acts on emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOX) and volatile ; organic compounds (VOC).] : The Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 also identified 189 "toxic" air ; pollutants for regulation. Air toxics are those pollutants^that are known : or suspected to cause cancer or other serious health effects (such as birth or developmental defects). The Clean Air Act contains j requirements for reducing air toxic emissions from industrial factories ; and other sources. : EPA also has responsibility for setting standards to reduce chemicals : that destroy the stratospheric ozone layer and pollutants that cause acid rain and visibility impairment. This brochure provides an overview of trends in these air pollution problems, as well as global warming issues and the processes EPA has developed for controlling pollutants that contribute to global warming. IN OF NITROGEN (1900-1590) i Without the passage of the Clean Air Act Amendments in 1970, emissions would have increased at a higher rate. 1-910 1930 1950 1970 1990 IN ©F VOLATILE ORGAJttO COMPOUNDS (1900-1990) Without the passage of the Clean Air Act Amendments in 1970, emissions would have continued to increase. 1910 1930 1-950 1970 1990 TREND IN EMISSIONS OF SUUFUR4DQDES. (1900-1990) 50 40 30 20 10 0 Without the passage of the Clean Air Act Amendments in 1970, emissions would have continued to increase. 1910 1930 ------- Six For the past 23 years, EPA has examined air pollution trends of each of the six principal pollutants in this country. EPA examines changes in air pollution levels over time and summarizes the current air pollution status annually in two comprehensive technical documents titled National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report and National Air Pollutant Emission Trends. The following sections summarize trends in air quality and emissions during the last 10 years. Long-Term Before the Clean Air Act was signed into law in 1963, the 20th century had witnessed a significant and continued increase in air pollution levels. Although efforts made during the 1960's by State and local air pollution agencies in certain polluted cities in the Northeast helped reduce pollution in some local areas, emissions continued to increase on a national level. Between 1900 and 1970, emissions of nitrogen oxides increased 690 percent, volatile organic compounds increased 260 percent, and sulfur dioxide increased 210 percent. Emissions of these pollutants have decreased significantly since the passage of the 1970 Clean Air Act Amendments. Without pollution controls resulting from these Amendments, emissions would have continued to increase as illustrated in the charts on page 2. ©f Air Quality EPA tracks two kinds of trends: air based on actual measurements of pollutant concentrations in the air at selected monitoring sites throughout the country, and ©missions based on engineering estimates of the total tonnage of these pollutants released into the air annually. However, starting in 1994, under the Acid Rain Program, EPA began tracking emissions of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides based on data from continuous emission monitors for the electric utility industry. Each year, EPA gathers and analyzes air quality concentration data from more than 4,000 monitoring stations around the country. Monitoring stations are operated by State, Tribal, and local government agencies as well as some Federal agencies, including EPA. Trends are derived by averaging direct measurements from these monitoring sites on a yearly basis. During the last 10 years (1986 through 1995), air quality has continued to improve as shown in the chart below. IN (1986-1995)* 37% 78% 14% 6% 22% 37% * PM-10 measurements began in 1988. The most notable improvements are a 78 percent decrease in lead concentrations and a 37 percent decrease in both carbon monoxide and sulfur dioxide concentrations. Improvements in measured concentrations are also noted for the other principal pollutants including nitrogen dioxide, ozone, and particulate matter during this same timeframe. EPA estimates nationwide emissions trends based on engineering calculations of the amounts and types of pollutants emitted by automobiles, factories, and other sources. Emissions trends are based on many factors, including the level of industrial activity, technology developments, fuel consumption, vehicle miles traveled, and other activities that cause air pollution. Emissions trends also reflect changes in air pollution regulations and installation of emissions controls. Over the last 10-year period, emissions have shown improvement (decreased) for all principal air pollutants as shown in the chart below. IN (1986-1995)* 16% 32% 3% 9% 17% 18% * PM-10 emissions are estimated between 1988 and 1995. ------- Between 1970 and 1995, total emissions of the six principal air pollutants decreased 29 percent. As illustrated in the chart to the right, decreases in the individual pollutants ranged from 25 percent for VOC to 98 percent for lead. NOX emissions increased 6 percent over the same time period due to increases in fuel combustion. At the same time, as indicated in the charts below, U.S. population increased 28 percent, vehicle miles traveled increased 116 percent, and gross domestic product increased 99 percent. Comparison of 1970 and 1995 Emissions (28% decrease for aSB pollutants) Million Tons/Year Thousand Tons/Year 150 _, , 250 Although some areas of the U.S. are experiencing air pollution problems, overall air pollution continues to decline, despite extensive national growth. 1995 199Q 1980 1970- 500- 1000 1500- 2000 2500 0 50 100 ISO 200 250 300- Mmon People d 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 Bison Dollars- Since 1970, the U.S. has experienced extensive national growth. 10 20 50 30 40 Million Peop'e In 1995, nearly 80 million people lived in counties with monitored air quality levels above national health-based air quality standards. The dramatic improvements in emissions and air quality occurred simultaneously with significant increases in economic growth and population. The improvements are a result of effective implementation of clean air laws and regulations, as well as improvements in the efficiency of industrial technologies. As seen in the chart to the left, despite great progress in air quality improvement, in 1995 nearly 80 million people nationwide lived in counties with monitored air quality levels above the primary national air quality standards. The highest number for ozone (nearly 71 million) is attributed to the hot weather conditions in 1995, which were conducive to ozone formation. ------- Six ©I the P©ilytants Carbon monoxide is a colorless, odorless, poisonous gas formed when carbon in fuels is not burned completely. It is a byproduct of highway vehicle exhaust, which contributes about 60 percent of all CO emissions nationwide. In cities, automobile exhaust can cause as much as 95 percent of all CO emissions. These emissions can result in high concentrations of CO, particularly in local areas with heavy traffic congestion. Other sources of CO emissions include industrial processes and fuel combustion in sources such as boilers and incinerators. Despite an overall downward trend in concentrations and emissions of CO, some metropolitan areas still experience high levels of CO. Health and Enwironmental Carbon monoxide enters the bloodstream and reduces oxygen delivery to the body's organs and tissues. The health threat from exposure to CO is most serious for those who suffer from cardiovascular disease. Healthy individuals are also affected, but only at higher levels of exposure. Exposure to elevated CO levels is associated with visual impairment, reduced work capacity, reduced manual dexterity, poor learning ability, and difficulty in performing complex tasks. EPA's health-based national air quality standard for CO is 9 parts per million (ppm) measured as an annual second-maximum 8-hour average concentration. Trends In Long-term improvements continued between 1986 and 1995. National average CO concentrations decreased 37 percent while CO emissions decreased 16 percent. Long-term air quality improvement in CO occurred despite a 31 percent increase in vehicle miles traveled in the U.S. during the past 10 years. Between 1994 and 1995, national average CO concentrations decreased 10 percent, while total CO emissions decreased 7 percent. Transportation sources (includes highway and off-highway vehicles) now account for 81 percent of national total CO emissions. Annual 2nd Maiimym S-H©yr 37% Concentration, ppm 15 10 -r-90th Percentile * -Mean ^Median JLlOth Percentile 334 Sites NAAQS 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 16% Th©ysaod Short Tons Per Year 140,000 120,000 El Transportation 0 Miscellaneous 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 ------- (Pb) Hatyre ©f the P@llytants Smelters and battery plants are the major sources of lead in the air. The highest concentrations of lead are found in the vicinity of nonferrous smelters and other stationary sources of lead emissions. Health Exposure to lead mainly occurs through inhalation of air and ingestion of lead in food, paint, water, soil, or dust. Lead accumulates in the body in blood, bone, and soft tissue. Because it is not readily excreted, lead can also affect the kidneys, liver, nervous system, and other organs. Excessive exposure to lead may cause anemia, kidney disease, reproductive disorders, and neurological impairments such as seizures, mental retardation, and/or behavioral disorders. Even at low doses, lead exposure is associated with changes in fundamental enzymatic, energy transfer, and other processes in the body. Fetuses and children are especially susceptible to low doses of lead, often suffering central nervous system damage or slowed growth. Recent studies show that lead may be a factor in high blood pressure and subsequent heart disease in middle- aged white males. Lead may also contribute to osteoporosis in post-menopausal women. EPA's health-based national air quality standard for lead is 1.5 micrograms per cubic meter (|ig/m3) measured as an annual maximum quarterly average concentration. Trends In Lewelss Between 1986 and 1995, average lead concentrations in urban areas throughout the country decreased 78 percent while total lead emissions decreased 32 percent. These reductions are a direct result of the use of Pb Annyal Maximum Quarterly 78% no Concentration, yg/m3 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 T-9Qth Pereentile 4 -Mean - -Median J-10th Pereentile 189 Sites NAAQS 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 b >: Short Tons Per Year 8,000 6,000 EU Fuel Combustion H Industrial Processing fEB Transportation 4,000 2,000 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 unleaded gasoline in automobiles. The large reduction in lead emissions from transportation sources has changed the nature of the pollution problem for lead in the U.S. While there are still violations of the lead air quality standard, they tend to occur near large industrial sources such as lead smelters. Between 1994 and 1995, lead emissions decreased 1 percent while national average lead concentrations remained unchanged. ------- \ • j •-' Hatyre and S@yr©es ©f the Pollutants Nitrogen dioxide belongs to a family of highly reactive gases called nitrogen oxides (NOX). These gases form when fuel is burned at high temperatures, and come principally from motor vehicle exhaust and stationary sources such as electric utilities and industrial boilers. A suffocating, brownish gas, nitrogen dioxide is a strong oxidizing agent that reacts in the air to form corrosive nitric acid, as well as toxic organic nitrates. It also plays a major role in the atmospheric reactions that produce ground-level ozone (or smog). En¥ir©nsin©sital Nitrogen dioxide can irritate the lungs and lower resistance to respiratory infections such as influenza. The effects of short-term exposure are still unclear, but continued or frequent exposure to concentrations that are typically much higher than those normally found in the ambient air may cause increased incidence of acute respiratory illness in children. EPA's health-based national air quality standard for NO2 is 0.053 ppm (measured as an annual arithmetic mean concentration). Nitrogen oxides contribute to ozone formation and can have adverse effects on both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. Nitrogen oxides in the air can significantly contribute to a number of environmental effects such as acid rain and eutrophication in coastal waters like the Chesapeake Bay. Eutrophication occurs when a body of water suffers an increase in nutrients that leads to a reduction in the amount of oxygen in the water, producing an environment that is destructive to fish and other animal life. Trends in nitrogen Dioxide Levels: Nationally, annual NO2 concentrations remained relatively constant throughout the 1980's, followed by decreasing concentrations in the 1990's. Average NO2 concentrations in 1995 were 14 percent lower than the average concentrations recorded in 1986. The two primary sources of the NOX emissions in 1995 were fuel combustion (46 percent) and transportation (49 percent). Between 1986 and 1995, emissions from fuel combustion decreased 6 percent, and emissions from highway vehicles decreased 2 percent. Overall, national total NOX emissions decreased 3 percent. Additionally, 1995 is the fourth year in a row that all monitoring locations across the nation, including Los Angeles, met the Federal NO2 air quality standard. Annual Arithmetic ' 1 5% Concentration, ppm 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 OAO .uz 0.01 0.00 -90th Percentile 21 2 Sites -Mean -Median _1 Oth Percentile NAAOS >< — . s * ^•— . 1 \ 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Thousand Short Tons Per Year 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 C3 Fuel Combustion H industrial Processing E3 Transportation 0 Miscellaneous 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 ------- (03) and S@yrees of the Pollutant: Ground-level ozone (the primary constituent of smog) is the most complex, difficult to control, and pervasive of the six principal air pollutants. Unlike other pollutants, ozone is not emitted directly into the air by specific sources. Ozone is created by sunlight acting on NOX and VOC in the air. There are thousands of types of sources of these gases. Some of the common sources include gasoline vapors, chemical solvents, combustion products of fuels, and consumer products. Emissions of NOX and VOC from motor vehicles and stationary sources can be carried hundreds of miles from their origins and result in high ozone concentrations over very large regions. Health Environmental Scientific evidence indicates that ground-level ozone not only affects people with impaired respiratory systems (such as asthmatics), but healthy adults and children. Exposure to ozone for 6 to 7 hours, even at relatively low concentrations, significantly reduces lung function and induces respiratory inflammation in normal, healthy people during periods of moderate exercise. It can be accompanied by symptoms such as chest pain, coughing, nausea, and pulmonary congestion. Recent studies provide evidence of an association between elevated ozone levels and increases in hospital admissions for respiratory problems in several U.S. cities. Results from animal studies indicate that repeated exposure to high levels of ozone for several months or more can produce permanent structural damage in the lungs. EPA's health- based national air quality standard for ozone is currently set at 0.12 ppm (measured as the second daily 1 -hour maximum concentration). Ozone is responsible for approximately 1 to 2 billion dollars of agricultural crop yield loss in the U.S. each year. Ozone also damages forest ecosystems in California and the eastern U.S. New scientific studies indicate that ozone causes adverse health and environmental effects at lower concentrations and longer periods of exposure than the current standards. As a result, EPA is reviewing whether revisions to the current ozone NAAQS are warranted. Trends in Levels: Trends in ozone concentrations are influenced by year-to-year changes in meteorological conditions as well as changes in emissions. National ozone concentrations in 1995 were 6 percent lower than those in 1986. However, between 1994 and 1995, national ozone concentrations increased 4 percent. Because of the hot, dry summer, meteorological conditions in 1995 were conducive to ozone formation, especially from the Midwest and Gulf States to the eastern U.S. Emissions of VOC (which contribute to ozone formation) decreased 9 percent between 1986 and 1995 and 2 percent between 1994 and 1995. Based on air quality monitoring data, over 70 million people lived in counties with air quality levels above EPA's health-based national air quality standard for ozone in 1995. In 1994, EPA established a new monitoring network to gather further data on causes of ozone air pollution. This network of monitors, called Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations (PAMS), is Annual 2nd Daily 1-Hour Maximum 1 4% Concentration, ppm 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 T~90th Percentile A _Mean --Median -_10th Percentile 573 Sites 4-4 NAAQS 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 15: 2% Thousand Short T©ns Per Year 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 CU Fuel Combustion H Industrial Processing G3 Transportation E3 Miscellaneous 86 87 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 located in ozone nonattainment areas of the U.S. which are classified as "serious," "severe," or "extreme." Concentration data were collected in 22 areas for ozone, NOX, and a variety of VOC (including several toxic air pollutants) that form ozone. The majority of the PAMS sites showed decreases in the monitored concentrations of toxic air pollutants and ozone-forming VOC. 8 ------- } Hature and Sources of the P@llytants Particulate matter is '' the term for solid or liquid particles found in the air. Some particles are large or dark enough to be seen as soot or smoke. Others are so small they can be detected only with an electron microscope. Because particles originate from a variety of mobile and stationary sources (diesel trucks, woodstoves, power plants, etc.), their chemical and physical compositions vary widely. Particulate matter can be directly emitted or can be formed in the atmosphere when gaseous pollutants such as SO2 and NOX react to form fine particles. Health and Environmental In 1987, EPA replaced the earlier Total Suspended Particulate (TSP) air quality standard with a PM-10 standard. The new standard focuses on smaller particles that are likely responsible for adverse health effects because of their ability to reach the lower regions of the respiratory tract. The PM-10 standard includes particles with a diameter of 10 micrometers or cvw ^vxx-, |ess (0.0004 inches or one- v v**«&w&sH seventh the width of a human hair). EPA's health-based national air quality standard for PM-10 is 50 fig/m3 (measured as an annual mean) and 150 jig/m^ (measured as a daily concentration). Major concerns for human health from exposure to PM-10 include: effects on breathing and respiratory systems, damage to lung tissue, cancer, and premature death. The elderly, children, and people with chronic lung disease, influenza, or asthma, are especially sensitive to the effects of particulate matter. Acidic PM-10 can also damage human-made materials and is a major cause of reduced visibility in many parts of the U.S. New scientific studies suggest that fine particles (smaller than 2.5 micrometers in diameter) may cause serious adverse health effects. As a result, EPA is considering setting a new standard for PM-2.5. In addition, EPA is reviewing whether revisions to the current PM-10 standards are warranted. Trends in PM-10 Air monitoring networks were changed in 1987 to measure PM-10 (replacing the earlier TSP monitors). Between 1988 and 1995, average PM-10 concentrations decreased 22 percent. Short-term trends between 1994 and 1995 showed a decrease of 4 percent in monitored PM-10 concentration levels. Emissions of PM-10 shown in the chart are based on estimates from fuel combustion sources, industrial processes, and Annual Arithmetic Concentration, ug/m3 70 60 CO 40 30 20 10 0 I -90th Percentile 955 Qi\es _Mean -Median _1 Oth Percentile NAAQS i n &, j. ~ i\* i ^ 4 * i- J * * — -fc 1 i I I 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 , Thousand Short Tons Per Year 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 *Omits natural and miscellaneous sources. transportation sources, which account for only 6 percent of the total PM-10 emissions nationwide. Between 1988 and 1995, PM-10 emissions for these sources decreased 17 percent. Short-term emissions trends between 1994 and 1995 showed a 6 percent decrease. The emissions estimates presented above do not include emissions from natural and miscellaneous sources which are fugitive dust (unpaved and paved roads), agricultural and forestry activities, wind erosion, wildfires and managed burning. These emissions estimates also do not account for particulate matter that is secondarily formed in the atmosphere from gaseous pollutants (e.g., SC>2 and NOX). ------- Nature and Soyrees of the Pollutant: Sulfur dioxide belongs to the family of gases called sulfur oxides (SOX). These gases are formed when fuel containing sulfur (mainly coal and oil) is burned, and during metal smelting and other industrial processes. Health and Environmental The major health concerns associated with exposure to high concentrations of 862 include effects on breathing, respiratory illness, alterations in pulmonary defenses, and aggravation of existing cardiovascular disease. Children, the elderly, and people with asthma, cardiovascular disease or chronic lung disease (such as bronchitis or emphysema), are most susceptible to adverse health effects associated with exposure to 862- EPA's health-based national air quality standard for SO2 is 0.03 ppm (measured on an annual arithmetic mean concentration) and 0.14 ppm (measured over 24 hours). 862 is a precursor to sulfates, which are associated with acidification of lakes and streams, accelerated corrosion of buildings and monuments, reduced visibility, and adverse health effects. Trends in Sulfyr Between 1986 and 1995, national SC>2 concentrations decreased 37 percent and SO2 emissions decreased 18 percent. Between 1994 SO2 Annual Arithmetic Mean 37% Concentration, ppm 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 -r-90th Percentile Mean 4-yedian U_1 Oth Percentile 473 Sites NAAQS 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Thousand Short Tons Per Year 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 and 1995, national SO^ concentrations decreased 17 percent and SC>2 emissions decreased 13 percent. These significant decreases in concentrations and emissions reflect the success of the first year of the Acid Rain Program. While national 862 air quality levels have improved, EPA remains concerned about short-term peak SO2 concentrations. As a result, EPA proposed a program for States, industry, and communities to use in evaluating and addressing peak concentrations that could occur near some industrial sources. 10 ------- ©f the Problems Acidic deposition or "acid rain" occurs when emissions of sulfur dioxide (802) and oxides of nitrogen (NOX) in the atmosphere react with water, oxygen, and oxidants to form acidic compounds. These compounds fall to the Earth in either dry form (gas and particles) or wet form (rain, snow, and fog). Some are carried by the wind, sometimes hundreds of miles, across State and national borders. In the U.S., about 70 percent of annual SO2 emissions and 30 percent of NOX emissions are produced by electric utility plants that burn fossil fuels. Coal-fired electric utilities and other sourees fiiat Mm fossil fuels emit sulfur dioxide aeid nitrogen enisles. Health and Environmental Before falling to Earth, SC>2 and NOX gases and related particulate matter (sulfates and nitrates) contribute to poor visibility and impact public health. Major human health concerns associated with their exposure include effects on breathing and the respiratory system, damage to lung tissue, cancer, and premature death. In the environment, acid rain raises the acid levels of lakes and streams (making the water unsuitable for some fish and other wildlife) and damages trees at high elevations. It also speeds up the decay of buildings, statues, and sculptures, including those that are part of our national heritage. Program Straefyre The overall goal of EPA's Acid Rain Program is to improve public health and the environment by reducing emissions of SC>2 and NOX. In order to accomplish its goals cost-effectively, the program employs both innovative and traditional approaches for controlling air pollution and encourages energy efficiency and pollution prevention. Specifically, to achieve its goal of reducing annual SO2 emissions by 10 million tons between 1980 and 2010, the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments require a two-phase tightening of the restrictions on fossil fuel-fired power plants. Phase I began in 1995 and affected 445 electric utility units, including the biggest and dirtiest in the country. Phase II, which begins in the year 2000, will tighten the annual SO2 emission limits for these plants and also set restrictions on smaller, cleaner plants fired by coal, oil, and gas. The Clean Air Act also requires significant reductions in NOX emissions beginning in 1996, most of which will be achieved by requiring coal-fired utility boilers to install low-NOx burner technologies and meet new emissions standards. Reductions in SO2 and NOX will decrease levels of sulfates, nitrates, and ground-level ozone (smog), leading to improvements in public health and other benefits such as better water quality in lakes and streams. Visibility will also improve, enhancing the beauty of our country's scenic vistas, including those in national parks. Likewise, damage to the trees that populate mountain ridges from Maine to Georgia will be reduced, and deterioration of our historic buildings and monuments will be slowed. Emissions Trends? Emissions reductions have been significantly greater in 1995, the first year of compliance with EPA's Acid Rain Program. As shown below, for the 445 electric utility units participating in Phase I of the Acid Rain Program, actual emissions measured by continuous emission monitoring systems were reduced by more than half relative to 1980 levels, plummeting from 10.9 to 5.3 million tons. These emissions were 3.4 million tons (or 39 percent) below the 1995 allowable emissions level of 8.7 million tons required by the Clean Air Act. SO2 EMISSIONS 445 Phase S Affected Utility Units 1985 1990 1995 In 19955 emissions at Phase I affected utility ousts were 3.4 mission tons below their required level. 11 ------- According to a recent study released by the U.S. Geological Survey, reductions in SO2 emissions resulted in less acidic rain in 1995. In the study, 1995 precipitation data were compared with reference data from 1983 through 1994. As shown in the map below, the study reports a 10 to 25 percent drop in wet deposition sulfate concentration and rainfall acidity, particularly at some sites located in the Midwest, Northeast, and Mid- Atlantic Regions. These areas are some of the most acid- sensitive regions of the country. Some areas on the map show increases in sulfate levels. These are attributed to drought conditions that occurred during 1995. Had rainfall conditions •been more normal in 1995, even greater reductions in sulfate levels might have occurred. The Acid Rain Program has also led to improvements in SO2 concentrations and emissions. Between 1994 and 1995, national SC>2 concentrations decreased 17 percent and SC>2 emissions (all sources combined) decreased 13 percent. In In Source: U.S. Geological Survey #96-0346 (National Atmospheric Deposition Program/National Trends Network) 0 5 10 The level ofsulfates in rain is an indicator of acidity. A 10 to 25 percent decrease in sulfate levels in rainfall was observed in 1995, particularly in some of the most acid-sensitive regions of the U.S. 12 ------- Shenandoah National Park under a range of pollution conditions. Visibility in cleaner areas is more sensitive to increases in pollution than degraded environments. Hature ©f the Problems Visibility impairment occurs as a result of the scattering and absorption of light by particles and gases in the atmosphere. It is most simply described as the haze which obscures the clarity, color, texture, and form of what we see. The same particles which are linked to serious health effects [sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon, soot (elemental carbon), and soil dust] can significantly affect our ability to see. High relative humidity can significantly increase the effect of pollution on visibility. Some particles, such as sulfates, accumulate water and grow to sizes at which they are more efficient at scattering light and creating haze. Poor summer visibility in the eastern U.S. is primarily the result of high suifate concentrations exposed to high humidity levels. The same amount of pollution can have dramatically different effects on visibility, depending on existing conditions. This is illustrated by the photographs above which characterize visibility in Shenandoah National Park under a range of conditions. The top left photograph represents a "clear" day at Shenandoah (80 miles visual range). These conditions are close to naturally-occurring visibility (i.e., without human-made pollution). An average day at Shenandoah is represented by the top right photograph (18 miles visual range), and is the result of an additional 10 ug/m3 of fine particles in the atmosphere. The two lower photographs illustrate the change in visual range that occurs by adding 10 ug/m3 of fine particles to the area when the air is already degraded. It shows that small amounts of air pollution in cleaner areas can have dramatic effects on visibility impairment, it also implies that more emission reductions may be needed in heavily degraded environments to make noticeable differences. Long-Term Trendss Visibility impairment has been analyzed using data collected since 1960 at 280 monitoring stations located at airports across the country. At these stations, measurements of visual range (the maximum distance at which an observer can discern the outline of an object) were recorded. The following maps show the amount of haze during the summer months of'1970, 1980, and 1990. The dark blue color represents the best visibility and red represents the worst visibility. Overall, the maps show that visibility impairment in the eastern U.S. increased greatly between 1970 and 1980 and decreased slightly between 1980 and 1990. This follows the overall trend in emissions of sulfur oxides, which are a major source of fine particles and reduced visibility. FT'--. •T"1 I « * *• - i- a> '£*•, •V / 4^x« vri i • V / H ii.-*-.v * Ci Worst Maps of haze from airport visual data (July-September) show the amount of summertime haze (visibility impairment) during 1970,1980, and 1990. Haze in the eastern U.S. increased significantly between 1970 and 1980, and decreased slightly between 1980 and 1990. 13 ------- Visibility Monitoring Networks In 1987, a visibility monitoring network was established as a cooperative effort between EPA, States, National Park Service, U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. The network is designed to track progress toward the Clean Air Act's national goal of remedying existing and preventing future visibility impairment in national parks and wilderness areas. The network is the largest in the country devoted to fully characterizing visibility. It also provides information for determining the types of pollutants and sources primarily responsible for reduced visibility. In many parts of the U.S., sulfates are the largest single contributor to haze. Data from this monitoring network reveal that sulfates account for approximately two-thirds of the visibility reduction in the Appalachian Mountains in the East. Organic carbon, the next-largest contributor, causes about 15 percent of visibility reduction, in most areas of the western U.S. and Alaska, sulfates and organic particles contribute equally to haze. In southern California, nitrate particles are the greatest contributor to haze. Programs t© Impiwe Visibility: In April 1994, EPA began developing a new regional haze program to address visibility impairment in national parks and wilderness areas. This program will introduce new approaches to monitoring and modeling regional haze as well as define a policy for achieving "reasonable progress" toward the reduction of visibility impairment. The program will build on efforts of the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission, which was established to options for improving visibility impairment, particularly for protection of national parks and wilderness areas on the Colorado Plateau. In June 1996, this Commission issued its report, Recommendations for Improving Western Vistas. Some of the recommendations in its report include: ® Continuing implementation of Clean Air Act requirements for reducing SO2 emissions from stationary sources through the year 2000. After 2000, establish SO2 emission targets and a plan for an emissions cap and trading program. ® Decreasing mobile source emissions through a mix of national, regional, and local strategies. ® Minimizing visibility impairment caused by controlled burning. ® Improving regional monitoring and emissions tracking capabilities. Other air quality programs are expected to lead to emission reductions that will improve visibility in certain regions of the country. The Acid Rain Program has achieved significant reductions in SO2 emissions, which are expected to lead to improvements in visibility impairment caused by sulfate haze, particularly in the eastern U.S. Better controls on NOX sources also can improve regional visibility conditions. Other programs, such as EPA's NAAQS, mobile source and woodstove programs to reduce particulate emissions, can benefit areas impacted by visibility impairment. Grand Canyon National Park under a range of visibility conditions. 14 ------- AIR Hatyre and S@yre©ss Toxic air pollutants are those pollutants known or suspected to cause cancer or other serious health effects, such as birth defects or reproductive effects. Examples of toxic air pollutants include dioxins, benzene, arsenic, beryllium, mercury, and vinyl chloride. The Clean Air Act currently lists 188* toxic air pollutants to be regulated by EPA. They are emitted from all types of sources, including motor vehicles and stationary sources, such as manufacturing plants. Control of toxic air pollutants differs in focus from control of the six principal pollutants for which EPA has established national air quality standards (discussed earlier). For the six principal pollutants, a variety of control strategies are used in geographic areas where national air quality standards have been violated. In contrast, for toxic air pollutants, EPA has focused on identifying all major industrial sources that emit these pollutants and developing national technology-based performance standards to significantly reduce their emissions. The objective is to ensure that major sources of toxic air pollution are well controlled regardless of geographic location. EPA's toxic air pollutant program and the NAAQS program complement each other. Many toxic air pollutants are emitted in the form of particulates or as VOC. Control programs to meet the NAAQS for ozone and PM-10 also reduce toxic air pollutant emissions. Likewise, emission requirements under the toxic air pollutants program can significantly help achieve the NAAQS for ozone and PM-10. For example, EPA's final toxic air pollutant regulation for organic chemical manufacturing is expected to reduce VOC emissions (which form ground-level ozone or smog) by an amount equivalent to removing millions of cars from the road. *Caprolactam was recently removed from the list of toxic air pollutants. The toxic air pollutant program is especially important in reducing emissions at or near industrial locations and in controlling pollutants that are toxic even when emitted in small amounts. Companies handling toxic chemicals are required by EPA to develop plans to prevent accidental releases and to contain any releases in the event they should occur. Heaitti Environmental At sufficient concentrations and exposure durations, human health effects from toxic air pollutants can include cancer, poisoning, and rapid onset of sickness, such as nausea or difficulty in breathing. Other less measurable effects include immunological, neurological, reproductive, developmental, and respiratory effects. Toxic air pollutants may also be deposited onto soil or into lakes and streams, thereby affecting ecological systems and eventually human health through consumption of contaminated food (mainly freshwater fish). Trends In ¥®xi© Air Pollytantss EPA will soon begin using the National Toxics Inventory (NTI) to track nationwide emissions trends for toxic air pollutants listed in the Clean Air Act. NTI contains information on toxic emissions in 1990 of approximately 8.8 billion pounds. As illustrated in the chart below, NTI includes emissions from large industrial or "point" sources, smaller stationary sources called "area" sources, and mobile sources. 1990 National TotaS Toxle Air Pollutant Emissions by Source (8.8 billion pounds) Mobile Sources 39% Large Industrial Complexes (Point Sources) 30% According to National Toxics Inventory data, area sources account for 31 percent of U.S. toxic emissions, mobile sources account for 39 percent, and point sources account for 30 percent. 15 ------- of Parameter 2,2,4-Trimethylpentane Acetalctehycte Benzene Ethflbenzene Formaldehyde M/PXylene N-hexane Q-xyiene Styrene Toluene Number of 17 6 19 17 6 14 17 17 17 17 Median % Change ; (all -23 -14 -38 -23 +4 -21 -8 -18 -17 -23 VOC species shown above have high ozone forming potential and/or are toxic. Preliminary analysis of these VOC measured in 22 areas showed concentration changes for several toxic air pollutants. The median percent change in concentrations ranged from 38 percent reduction of benzene to 4 percent increase of formaldehyde. NTI builds on emissions data from EPA's Toxic Release Inventory, which reflects about half the total emissions from large industrial point sources and about 14 percent of national total emissions. As of October 1996, EPA has issued air toxics standards for 47 source categories, such as chemical plants, oil refineries, aerospace manufacturers, and steel mills, as well as area sources like dry cleaners, commercial sterilizers, secondary lead smelters, and chromium electroplating. When these standards are fully implemented, toxic emissions from stationary sources should be reduced by approximately 35 percent. Toxic emissions from point sources have already declined, a trend that is expected to continue as the result of emissions standards. By the year 2005, EPA projects that the toxic air pollutant program will reduce toxic emissions by 75 percent. Because controls for toxic air pollutants also reduce VOC and PM-10 emissions, over the next 10 years, the program should realize reductions in VOC and PM-10 emissions of more than 4 billion pounds per year. Preliminary analysis of specific VOC measured in urban locations classified as "serious," "severe," or "extreme" ozone nonattainment (PAMS network - see "Ozone" section) indicate that ambient concentration levels of certain toxic VOC appear to be declining. For example, as illustrated in the above table, benzene levels showed a significant decline between 1994 and 1995 (approximately 38 percent), possibly as a result of the use of reformulated gasoline in those areas. It should be noted that RAMS measurements have only been taken for 3 years and that continued efforts in the PAMS program are expected to provide more confidence in evaluating the long-term trends of benzene and other toxic VOC. 16 ------- This figure compares satellite measurements of ozone levels over North America. Each color band represents an area with a similar amount of ozone overhead; lower levels ofdobson units indicate less protective ozone overhead. Ozone trends are based on detailed statistical analysis of large data sets, and not on simple graphs like these. of the The stratosphere, located about 6 to 30 miles above the Earth, contains a layer of ozone gas that protects living organisms from harmful ultraviolet radiation (UV-b) from the Sun. Over the past 2 decades, however, this protective shield has been damaged. Each year, an "ozone hole" forms over the Antarctic, and ozone levels fall to 70 percent below normal. Even over the U.S., ozone levels are about 5 percent below normal in the summer and 10 percent below normal in the winter. The figure above shows ozone levels over North America in dobson units (DU) in March 1979 and March 1994. One hundred DU of ozone would form a layer 1 millimeter thick at the Earth's surface. Each color band represents an area with a similar amount of ozone overhead. Comparing the colors of the bands over a particular city, such as Seattle, shows lower ozone levels in 1994 than in 1979. This figure is a snapshot in time that shows one example of reduced ozone levels. Long-term trends are based on numerous data taken over several years, as opposed to single observations. As the ozone layer thins, more UV-b radiation reaches the Earth. In 1996, scientists demonstrated for the first time that UV-b levels over most populated areas have increased. Scientists have linked several substances associated with human activities to ozone depletion, including the use of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), halons, carbon tetrachloride, and methyl chloroform. These chemicals are emitted from home air conditioners, foam cushions, and many other products. Strong winds carry them through the lower part of the atmosphere, called the troposphere, and into the stratosphere. There, strong solar radiation chlorine and bromine atoms that attack protective ozone molecules. Scientists estimate that one chlorine atom can destroy 100,000 ozone molecules. Some UV-b reaches the Earth's surface even with normal ozone levels. However, since the ozone layer normally absorbs most UV-b radiation from the Sun, ozone depletion is expected to lead to increases in harmful effects associated with UV-b radiation. In humans, UV-b is linked to skin cancer, including melanoma, the form of skin cancer with the highest fatality rate. It also causes cataracts and suppression of the immune system. The effects of UV-b radiation on plant and aquatic ecosystems are not well understood. However, the growth of certain food plants can be slowed by excessive UV-b radiation. In addition, some scientists suggest that marine phytoplankton, which are the base of the ocean food chain, are already under stress from UV-b radiation. This stress could have adverse consequences for human food supplies from the oceans. Because they absorb CO2 from the atmosphere,'significant harm to phytoplankton populations could increase global warming (see following section on "Global Warming and Climate Change"). Programs t© the Lasers In 1987, 27 countries signed the Montreal Protocol, a landmark treaty that recognized the international nature of ozone depletion and committed the world to limiting the production of ozone- depleting substances. Today, over 150 nations have signed the protocol, which has been strengthened twice and now calls for the elimination of these chemicals. The 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments established a U.S. regulatory program to protect the stratospheric ozone layer. In January 1996, U.S. production of many ozone-depleting substances virtually 17 ------- UV-b by Latitude 6SN: 6.8% 55N: 7.3% 45N: 5.0% 35N: 3.9% 2SN: 1.2% 15N: 0.1% Equator 153:2.3% 25S: 2.6% 35S: 2.9% 45S: 5.5% 55S: 9.9% 653:11.0% A 1996 study using satellite-based analyses of UV-b trends demonstrated that UV-b levels had increased at ground level This figure shows the percent increases in average annual UV-b reaching the surface over the past 10 years. UV-b incidence is strongly dependent on latitude. At latitudes that cover the U.S., UV-b levels are 4 to 5 percent higher than they were 10 years ago. ended, including CFCs, carbon tetrachloride, and methyl chloroform. Production of halons ended in January 1994. EPA regulations control the handling and emissions of CFCs and the use of substitutes. Many new products that are either harmless or less damaging to the ozone layer are now gaining popularity. For example, computer-makers are using ozone-safe solvents to clean circuit boards, and automobile manufacturers are using HFC-134a, an ozone-safe refrigerant, in new motor vehicle air conditioners. In some sectors, the transition away from ozone-depleting substances has already been completed. Trends in Depletions Scientific evidence shows that the approach taken under the Montreal Protocol has been effective. In 1995, measurements showed that the tropospheric concentrations of methyl chloroform had started to fall, indicating that emissions had been greatly reduced. Tropospheric concentrations of other ozone-depleting substances, like CFCs, are also beginning to decrease. It takes several years for these substances to reach the stratosphere and release chlorine and bromine. For this reason, stratospheric chlorine levels are expected to continue to rise, peak between 1997 and 1999, and then slowly decline. Because of the stability of most ozone-depleting substances, chlorine will be released into the stratosphere for many years, and the ozone layer will not fully recover until well into the next century. In 1996, scientists developed a new technique allowing them to draw conclusions about UV-b radiation at ground level. According to satellite-based trend analyses, major populated areas have experienced increasing UV-b levels over the past 15 years. As shown by the figure above, at latitudes that cover the U.S., UV-b levels are 4 to 5 percent higher than they were 10 years ago. 18 ------- The Earth's climate is fueled by the Sun. Most of the Sun's energy, called solar radiation, is absorbed by the Earth, but some is reflected back into space. A natural layer of atmospheric gases absorbs a portion of this reflected solar radiation, eventually releasing some of it into space, but forcing much of it back to Earth. There it warms the Earth's surface creating what is known as the natural "greenhouse effect," as illustrated in the diagram below. Without the natural greenhouse effect, the Earth's average temperature would be much colder, and the planet would be covered with ice. Recent.scientific evidence shows that the greenhouse effect is being increased by release of certain gases to the atmosphere that cause the Earth's temperature to rise. This is called "global warming." Carbon dioxide (CCy accounts for about 85 percent of greenhouse gases released in the U.S. CO2 emissions are largely due to the combustion of fossil fuels in electric power generation. Methane (CH^) emissions, which result from agricultural activities, landfills, and other sources, are the second largest contributor to greenhouse gases in the U:S. Industrial applications such as foam production, refrigeration, dry cleaning, chemical manufacturing, and semiconductor manufacturing produce other greenhouse gas emissions such as hydrofluorocarbons (MFCs). Smelting of aluminum produces another greenhouse gas called perfluorinated compounds (PFCs). Emissions of NOX and VOC from automobile exhaust and industrial processes contribute to the formation of ground-level ozone or smog, also a greenhouse gas. 0 C I Some solar radiation is reflected by the Earth and the atmosphere. Some of the infrared radiation passes through the atmosphere, and some is absorbed and re-emitted in all directions by greenhouse gas molecules. The effect of this is to warm the Earth's surface and the lower atmosphere. passes through the clear atmosphere The greenhouse effect is being accelerated by releases of certain gases to the atmosphere that are causing the Earth's temperature to rise. 19 ------- Health and Greenhouse gas emissions could cause a 1.8 to 6.3° Fahrenheit rise in temperature during the next century, if atmospheric levels are not reduced. Although this change may appear small, it could produce extreme weather events, such as droughts and floods; threaten coastal resources and wetlands by raising sea level; and increase the risk of certain diseases by producing new breeding sites for pests and pathogens. Agricultural regions and woodlands are also susceptible to changes in climate that could result in increased insect populations and plant disease. This degradation of natural ecosystems could lead to reduced biological diversity. International Over 150 world leaders have responded to the early warnings of climate change. In 1988, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was formed, and in 1992, these 150 countries signed a treaty known as the "Framework Convention on Climate Change" (FCCC) to stabilize atmospheric greenhouse gases. Early indications suggest that most countries are not on track to meet the year 2000 target for reducing emissions of greenhouse gases, and further, that holding emissions at 1990 levels will not prevent or solve the problem. In 1997, the FCCC will meet in Japan, where agreement may be reached on a legally binding international pact to prevent or reduce the risk of climate change. UnSn Programs t© Mitigate Climate The United States adopted a Climate Change Action Plan in 1993 to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Hundreds of companies and nonprofit organizations are working together to effectively reduce their emissions. The Plan involves 50 programs implemented by EPA, the Department of Energy, the Department of Agriculture, and other Government agencies. EPA's voluntary pollution prevention programs seek to prevent greenhouse gas emissions through partnerships with business, government, and other groups by stimulating investments in energy-efficient technology and practices. Combined, EPA's voluntary pollution prevention programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions have over 2,000 partners. Since 1992, participants in these programs have prevented the release of over 2.5 million tons of greenhouse gas emissions. Lights Star Buildings Program Energy Star Programs ' Natural Gas Star, AgStar, and Landfill Methane Outreach Programs Voluntary Aluminum Industrial Partnership Climate Wise Program Energy-efficient lighting, heating, air conditioning, and ventilation Commercial and residential energy-efficient products and effective product labeling Cost-effective reduction of methane emissions Reduction of perfluorinated compound emissions Company-specific emissions reduction plans EPA's voluntary pollution prevention programs are reducing greenhouse gas emissions through partnerships with industry and others. 20 ------- Since EPA was established in 1970, air quality in the U.S. has improved tremendously. Many of these improvements can be attributed to pollution control programs instituted under the Clean Air Act, State and local laws, and actions by industry. Because air pollution problems continue in many parts of the country, EPA and States continue to seek innovative and more cost-effective programs to further reduce emissions. Market- based programs like emissions trading provide incentives for industry to develop new pollution control technologies or pollution prevention approaches. Through continued partnership with the regulated community, environmental groups, State, Tribal, and local governments, and concerned citizens, EPA is working to develop effective common-sense control strategies to improve our nation's air quality. F@r Further lnf©rmati®ns Calls (919)541-5285 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1995 (EPA-454/R-96-007) (919)541=5558 National Air Quality and Emissions Trends, 1995 (EPA-454/R-96-005) internet Userss EPA Homepage at: (http://www.epa.gov) Tills brochyr© is CMI the internet at: (http ://www. epa.gov/oar/aqtrnd95. html) Technology transfer Network (TTN) ® Access by modern, dial: (919) 541-5742 (for modems up to 14,400 bps) ® Access by Internet: (http://ttnwww.rtpnc.epa.gov) Add (202) 233-9620 Strat®splierl© H@tl!n©s (800) 296-1996 Energy Star Hotlines (888) STAR-YES GO . Carbon Monoxide Pb Lead NO2, NOX Nitrogen Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides 03 Ozone PM-10 Particulate Matter (10 micrometers in diameter or less) SO2, SOX Sulfur Dioxide, Sulfur Oxides Other CH4 Methane CO2 Carbon Dioxide CFCs Chlorofluorocarbons DU Dobson Unit(s) EPA Environmental Protection Agency FGC© Framework Convention on Climate Change HFGs Hydrofluorocarbons 1PG© Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change National Ambient Air Quality Standard [ PAHS Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations NTI National Toxics Inventory PFCs Perfluorinated Carbons TRI Toxic Release Inventory TSP Total Suspended Particulates ¥©G Volatile Organic Compounds Q I U.S. Environmental Protection Apencv Regions, Library (PL-12J) // West Jackson Bcuievard l?fh o, IL 60604-3590 * tf W*, Chicagc 21 ------- |