, ' C. I oEPA United States Environmental Protection Agency Office of Health and Environmental Assessment Washington DC 20460 EPA-600/8-S3-033A August 1983 External Review Draft Research and Development Revised Evaluation of Review Health Effects Associated with Carbon Monoxide Exposure: An Addendum to the 1979 Air Quality Criteria Document for Carbon Monoxide Draft (Do Not Cite or Quote) NOTICE This document is a preliminary draft. It has not been formally released by EPA and should not at this stage be construed to represent Agency policy. It is being circulated for comment on its technical accuracy and policy implications. ------- EPA-600/8-83-033A August 1983 External Review Draft Draft Do Not Quote or Cite Revised Evaluation of Health Effects Associated with Carbon Monoxide Exposure: An Addendum to the 1979 EPA Air Quality Criteria Document for Carbon Monoxide NOTICE This document is a preliminary draft. It has not been formally released by EPA and should not at this stage be construed to represent Agency policy. It is being circulated for comment on its technical accuracy and policy implications. U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY Office of Research and Development Office of Health and Environmental Assessment Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 CONTRIBUTORS AND REVIEWERS The following authors contributed to the writing of this addendum. Dr. Lester D. Grant, Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 Dr. James A. Raub, Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 Dr. Vernon A. Benignus, Neurotoxicology Division, Health Effects Research Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Building 224H, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27514. Dr. David 0. McKee, Strategies and Air Standards Division, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Durham, NC 27701 A working draft of this addendum was circulated for preliminary peer-review to the individuals listed below, and comments received were taken into account in preparing the present draft addendum. The views expressed in the present addendum should not be taken, however, as representing those of any single individual or group listed here. Dr. Richard Ayres Natural Resources Defense Council 1725 I Street, NW Suite 600 Washington, DC 20006 Dr. Laurence Fechter Department of Environmental Health Sciences School of Hygiene and Public Health John Hopkins University 615 North Wolfe Street Baltimore, MD 21205 Dr. George Goldstein, Clinical Studies Branch, Health Effects Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Building 224H, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, NC 27514 Dr. Jack Hackney Environmental Health Service Rancho Los Amigos Hospital 7601 Imperial Highway Downey, CA 90242 i i ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 CONTRIBUTORS AND REVIEWERS Dr. Stephen M. Horvath Institute of Environmental Stress University of California Santa Barbara, CA 93106 Dr. Victor G. Laties Environmental Health Sciences Center University of Rochester, School of Medicine Rochester, NY 14642 Dr. Pat Mihevic Institute of Environmental Stress University of California Santa Barbara, CA 93106 Dr. John O'Neil Clinical Studies Branch, Health Effects Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Building 224H, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, NC 27515 Dr. David S. Sheps Department of Cardiology University of North Carolina School of Medicine Chapel Hill, NC 27514 Dr. Jaroslav J. Vostal Biomedical Science Department General Motors Research Laboratories Warren, MI, 48090-9055 Dr. Jeames Wagner Institute of Environmental Stress University of California Santa Barbara, CA 93106 i i i ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page INTRODUCTION 1 MECHANISMS OF ACTION 2 HEALTH EFFECTS OF LOW LEVEL CO EXPOSURES 6 CARDIOVASCULAR EFFECTS 7 NEUROBEHAVIORAL EFFECTS 11 EFFECTS OF CO EXPOSURE ON FIBRINOLYSIS 14 PERINATAL CO EFFECTS 17 POPULATION AT RISK 19 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 23 REFERENCES 27 APPENDIX A A-l APPENDIX B B-l ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 INTRODUCTION On April 30, 1971, the Environmental Protection Agency promulgated (36 FR 8186) national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS) for carbon monoxide (CO) under section 109 of the Clean Air Act. Identical primary and secondary standards were set at levels of 9 ppm, 8-hour average, and 35 ppm, 1-hour average, neither to be exceeded more than once per year. The scientific bases for these standards are contained in the document Air Quality Criteria for Carbon Monoxide (U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, March, 1970, AP-62). The 1971 standards were primarily based on work by Beard and Wertheim (1967) suggesting that low-level CO exposures resulting in carboxy- hemoglobin (COHb) levels of 2 to 3 percent are associated with impairment of ability to discriminate time intervals, a central nervous system (CNS) effect. The revised Air Quality Criteria Document for Carbon Monoxide (U.S. EPA, 1979) indicated that this study is no longer considered to provide credible evidence for such CNS effects occurring at 2-3% COHB and, therefore, does not represent a sound scientific basis for the standard as discussed in an August 18, 1980 EPA proposal notice (45 FR 55066). However, medical evidence published since 1970 indicated at the time of proposal that aggravation of angina and other cardiovascular diseases may occur at COHb levels as low as 2.7 to 2.9 percent. Assessment of this and other medical evidence led EPA to propose, on August 18, 1980, retention of the 8-hour primary standard level of 9 ppm and revision of the 1-hour standard level from 35 ppm to 25 ppm (45 FR 55066). The 1980 proposal was based in part on several health studies conducted by Dr. Wilbert Aronow (Aronow et al., 1972; Aronow and Isbell, 1973; Aronow et al., 1974; Aronow et al., 1974; Aronow and Cassidy, 1975; Aronow et al., 1977; Aronow, 1978). Based on evaluation of these studies in 1979 by EPA staff, their expert consultants, and the Agency's Science Advisory Board, it was concluded that these studies demonstrate human health effects of carbon monoxide that should be considered by the Agency in reconfirming existing or proposing new NAAQS for CO. The Aronow studies were an important element in the judgment of what blood carboxyhemoglobin (COHb) levels represent a health concern for sensitive individuals. This "critical" range was defined as 2.7-3.0 percent. An additional study by Aronow (1981) later reported findings ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 suggesting that aggravation of angina symptoms, i.e., small but statistically significant decreases (~10%) in time to onset of exercise-induced angina, may occur in angina patients at COHb levels as low as 2.0 percent. Since the CO standard was proposed by EPA in 1980, news media reports appearing in early 1983 indicated that the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) raised questions regarding the technical adequacy of several studies conducted by Dr. Aronow on experimental drugs, leading to FDA rejection of use of the drug study data. While there was no specific direct evidence that similar problems might exist for the CO studies conducted by Dr. Aronow, EPA judged that an independent assessment of these studies was advisable prior to a final NAAQS decision on CO. An expert committee was empaneled by EPA and met with Dr. Aronow to discuss his studies and to examine limited available data and records from his CO studies. In their report, the committee (chaired by Dr. Stephen M. Horvath, Director of the Institute of Environmental Stress, Uni- versity of California-Santa Barbara) concluded that EPA should not rely on Dr. Aronow1s data due to concerns regarding problems associated with the studies which substantially limit the validity and usefulness of those study results (Horvath et al., 1983). The main purpose of the present addendum is to re-evaluate the scientific data base concerning health effects associated with exposure to CO at ambient or near ambient exposure levels, in light of the diminished value of the Aronow studies and taking into account any new findings that have become available beyond those reviewed in the revised Air Quality Criteria Document for CO (U.S. EPA, 1979). This addendum is, accordingly, organized to provide: (1) a concise summary of key health effects information discussed in the 1979 document as pertinent to characterization of health effects associated with relatively low level CO exposures; and (2) an overview of the limited new evidence bearing on the subject which has become available in the past several years. MECHANISMS OF ACTION The 1979 Criteria Document discussed extensive evidence indicating that the binding of CO to hemoglobin, producing COHb and decreased oxygen carrying capacity, results in decreased oxygen transport and uptake in most body tissues. The resulting hypoxic state (impairing normal biochemical-physiological cellular ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 processes as a function of increasing external CO exposure and consequently increasing blood COHb concentrations), it was concluded, probably represents the main mechanism of action underlying the induction of toxic effects by low level CO exposures. Several important relationships between COHb levels and other physio- logical parameters discussed in the 1979 Criteria Document have continued to be the subject of evaluation since then. Of much importance is the relation- ship between external CO exposure levels and consequent increases in blood COHb levels. Many factors, discussed in the 1979 Criteria Document, can affect the rate at which COHb increases above pre-existing endogenous levels of COHb in response to inhalation of exogenous CO. These include, for example, the pattern of external CO exposure, as in the case of acute short-term exposures to high CO concentrations versus longer term exposure to relatively low levels of CO. CO exposure-COHb concentration relationships have been modeled by Coburn (Coburn et al. , 1965), taking into account several pertinent factors (see Chapter 9 of the 1979 EPA CO Criteria Document for discussion of the Coburn model equations). COHb levels predicted by the Coburn equations, as depicted in Figure 1, are widely accepted as the currently best available modeled estimates of COHb levels likely to result from varying CO concentra- tions, exposure durations and exercise levels. It should be noted that some questions have been raised regarding the specific mathematical approach employed by Coburn in solving his equations to predict COHb concentration as a function of time, considering appropriate physiological parameters (Venkatram and touch, 1979; Ott and Mage, 1980; Marcus, 1980; Joumard et al., 1981). However, the proposed alternative approaches yield very similar estimated COHb levels to those projected by Coburn1s approach. In addition, actual blood COHb concentrations observed in response to particular external CO exposure situa- tions have been consistent with those predicted by Coburn (Peterson and Stewart, 1975), although further experimental verification would be useful to demonstrate that the Coburn equation accurately predicts uptake and excretion of CO under widely varying conditions. The exact mechanisms responsible for the hypoxia induced by CO are not known. The most widely accepted mechanism of CO toxicity has been attributed to the preferential binding of CO to hemoglobin which produces hypoxia by re- ducing 09 transport by red blood cells to the tissues and impedes the dis- ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 20 LP« U m CD 10 im to PPW co 20 tP« 20 PPH CO 10 1PM 20 PPH CO 20 LPH XO PPM CO 10 LPH 10 PPM CO Figure 1. Blood COHb concentrations predicted by Coburn equations to occur as a function of exposure duration and ambient carbon monoxide con- centrations under resting (10 LPM), light exercise (20 LPM), or heavy exercise (50 LPM) conditions. LPM = liters perjninute venti- lation rate. Source: U.S. EPA (1979). ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 sociation of 0^ from hemoglobin in the capillaries. However, other mechanisms have been postulated for reducing oxygen transport. It is possible for CO to bind to intracellular hemoproteins such as myoglobin and cytochrome oxidase, which depends on the relationship of oxygen tension (POp) and CO tension (PCO) to CO binding constants (Coburn, 1979). The affinity of cytochrome oxidase for CO is similar to that for oxygen compared to myoglobin (30-50x) and hemo- globin (220x) which would make it less likely to be responsible for impairment of facilitated diffusion of oxygen to the mitochondria. However, if steep oxygen tension gradients exist between the extracellular and intracellular environment, then the P02 surrounding the mitochondria! terminal oxidase would be low enough to have increased binding with CO. This hypothesis was tested by Coburn (1979) in studies on isolated vascular smooth muscle. He concluded that significant CO binding to cytochrome oxidase was unlikely to be an i_n vivo mechanism of CO toxicity in that particular tissue. Myoglobin was also unlikely because it is absent or present in only small quantities. It is possible that CO binds to hemoproteins other than hemoglobin, myoglobin, or cytochrome oxidase. Cytochrome P-450, tryptophan deoxygenase, and tryptophan catalase all have high enough binding affinities for CO in specific tissues to be considered as possible candidates (Coburn, 1979). The binding of CO to myoglobin in heart and skeletal muscle may be high enough to reduce intracellular oxygen transport in those tissues (Coburn, 1979; Agostoni et a!., 1980). Using a computer simulation of a three- compartment model (arterial blood, venous capillary blood, and tissue myo- globin), Agostoni et al. (1980) predicted that conditions would be favorable for formation of carboxymyoglobin at COHb levels of 5-10%, particularly in areas where the P02 was physiologically low (e.g., in subendocardium) and when conditions of hypoxia, ischemia, or increased metabolic demands were present. This could provide theoretical support for experimental evidence of myocardial ischemia, such as electrocardiographic irregularities and decrements in work capacity discussed later. However, it is not known whether binding of CO to myoglobin could cause health effects (e.g., decreases in maximal oxygen con- sumption during exercise) occurring at COHb levels as low as 4-5%. Additional research is needed before this possibility can be more definitively evaluated. Whatever the specific biochemical-molecular mechanisms involved in the induction of CO toxicity in specific tissues or organ systems, it is thought ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 that COHb concentrations in the blood represent a meaningful and useful physiological marker by which to gauge the internal CO dose present at a given time due to the combined cumulative contributions of: (1) baseline endogenous production of CO by internal body processes; and (2) added CO body burden(s) resulting from inhalation exposure to exogenous sources of CO. HEALTH EFFECTS OF LOW-LEVEL CO EXPOSURES In evaluating CO-induced health effects in humans, a crucial question that must be addressed concerns blood COHb levels demonstrated to be associated with effects on specific organ systems. The COHb levels of concern vary with the patterns and concentrations of external CO exposure pertinent to the objectives of any particular health risk evaluation. For example, as discussed in the 1979 CO Criteria Document (U.S. EPA, 1979), some occupations inherently involve exposure to high levels of CO, at times including frequent exposures to CO levels well in excess of 100-200 ppm under certain workplace conditions. On the other hand, it is relatively unusual for members of the general public to encounter such high CO exposure levels. As examples of possible extreme CO exposure situations encountered by the general public, the 1979 Criteria Document noted that the following scenarios may result in exposure to unusually high ambient levels of CO: (1) On a large city freeway where traffic has come to a halt, the ambient CO level may exceed 44 ppm; (2) Inside a closed automobile where cigarettes are being smoked, CO concentrations may exceed 87 ppm; (3) In enclosed, unventilated garages, CO levels in excess of 100 ppm have been found; and (4) In a heavily traveled vehicular tunnel, a 1-hour maximum of 218 ppm CO was recorded. Under relatively mild exercise conditions likely to occur in such exposure situations for any sustained period of time, the Coburn equations predict COHb blood concentrations of <10 percent, assuming exposure durations of less than 8 hrs. More often, the general (non-smoking) population is exposed to substantially lower CO levels (<20-50 ppm) sustained over 1 to 8 hr. periods, potentially resulting in maximum COHb levels of 6-7 percent but much more often in COHb levels below 2-3 percent. The present evaluation is, therefore, focused mainly on health effects observed at blood COHb levels below 10 percent. The latter COHb ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 levels are most pertinent for present objectives, i.e., the development of criteria for ambient air quality standards. Since the writing of the 1979 Criteria Document, several new studies have been published which contribute to the CO health effects data base. These new studies, including both human and animal toxicology data, are concisely reviewed below within a context of integrating the new information with evidence previou- sly reviewed in the 1979 Criteria Document. 1. Cardiovascular Effects The most extensive studies on the cardiovascular effects of CO have been those involving maximum aerobic capacity (V0? ). Previous data reviewed in the revised CO Criteria Document (U. S. EPA, 1979) demonstrated statistically significant decreases in VOp when COHb levels ranged from 7-20% under con- ditions of short-term maximal exercise (Ekblom and Huot, 1972; Pirnay et al., 1971; Vogel and Gleser, 1972). In another study (Horvath et al. , 1975), the critical level at which COHb marginally influenced (P < 0.10) VOp was approximately 4.3%. In this study, work time to exhaustion was also reduced by 4.9 and 7% when COHb levels had attained 3.3 and 4.3%, -respectively. Reductions in VXL following exhaustive treadmill exercise have since been confirmed at 5% COHb. In a double blind experiment (Stewart et al., 1978; Klein et al., 1980), 6 physically fit male fire fighters were randomly exposed to either CO or fil- tered air twice a week for 3 weeks and exercised to exhaustion. On exposure days, the subjects breathed a bolus of 20,000 ppm CO for 47 seconds followed by 30 ppm CO for 4 hours. This resulted in a sustained elevation of COHb at 5.0- 5.5% saturation for 4 hours. Similar decrements in maximal exhaustion times were noted following the acute exposure and at the end of 4 hours. No adaptation to this hypoxic stress was observed after 4 hours of exposure or over the 3 weeks of testing. Significant decreases in total exercise time (3.8%) and VO, (3%) were also previously reported by Weiser et al. (1978) in a project designed to determine the effect of 5% COHb exposure on healthy young men residing in Denver at an altitude of 1610m. Blood COHb concentrations were -quickly increased to 5.1% from a resting level of 1.0% by adding a bolus of 100% CO to a closed- circuit system from which the subjects rebreathed. The decrement in VO- x was consistent with those reported above and the authors concluded that changes in ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 exercise performance following CO exposure at this altitude were similar to, but not greater than, changes occurring at sea level. The effects of lower CO exposure levels have also been investigated under conditions of short-term maximum exercise duration (Drinkwater et al., 1974; Raven et al. , 1974a,b). In this series of studies, a walking test with pro- gressively increasing grade was used on subjects continuously breathing 50 ppm CO at either of two ambient temperatures, 25°C or 35°C, with a relative humidity of 20%. The two populations consisted of young (23+ years) and middle-aged (48+ years) subjects, both smokers and nonsmokers. During the duration of the test, COHB levels in nonsmokers increased from 0.7 to approximately 2.8%, while levels in smokers rose from 2.6-3.2% to 4.1-4.5%. Control studies conducted on these subjects while they breathed filtered air indicated that COHb decreased in both smokers and nonsmokers in the absence of experimental CO exposures. These studies did not find any reduction in maximum aerobic capacity. In fact, the only statistically significant effect related to CO was a statistically significant decrease (<5%) in absolute exercise time con- sistently observed in the nonsmoking subjects but not in the smokers. These observations extend those found earlier by Ekblom and Huot (1972), who reported a large decrease (38%) in work time at 7% COHb. The revised CO Criteria Document (U. S. EPA, 1979) also noted that oxygen uptake during short exposures and submaximal work was apparently not affected even at COHb concentrations of 15-20%. Recently, DeLucia et al. (1983) reported that COHb levels of 7.3% in nonsmokers and 9.3% in smokers did not induce any effects involving subjective symptoms, pulmonary function, exercise metabolism, or blood parameters in healthy subjects. In a controlled experimental study designed to test for potential synergism between 03 and CO, 24 male and female volunteers were evaluated while performing moderate aerobic exercise at 50% of V02 . After 100 ppm CO exposure for approximately 1 hr., COHb levels in non- smokers rose from 1.0-2.1% to 6.0-9.6% and COHb levels in smokers rose from 1.9-5.1% to 6.6-11.8%. DeLucia et al. (1983) attributed the lack of CO effects as possibly being due to large cardiovascular reserves found in healthy subjects. It should be noted that healthy young subjects were used in most of the above studies evaluating the effects of CO on work capacity. A recent study by Calverley et al. (1981) demonstrated a decrease in walking distance in 15 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 patients with severe chronic bronchitis and emphysema at a mean COHb concen- tration of 12.3%. They evaluated 11 men and 4 women with severe reversible airway obstruction [FEV1 Q = 0.56 ± 0.2 (SD) liters; FVC = 1.54 ± 0.4 (SD) liters] who were hypoxic [Pa02 = 5.2 ± 4.9 (SD) mm Hg]. All patients were medically stable at the time of the study and smokers were asked to stop smoking for 12 hours before each session. Each subject walked while breathing air and oxygen before and after exposure to 200 ppm CO in air, which raised their COHb concentrations from 1.1-5.4% to 9.6-14.9%. There was a significant reduction in walking distance when the patients breathed either air or oxygen after exposure to CO. A significant increase in walking distance when the patients breathed oxygen after exercise was abolished by CO exposure. There was no relationship to normal smoking habits of the patients. It is therefore quite possible that individuals with hypoxia due to bronchitis or emphysema are more susceptible to CO during submaximal work loads typical of everyday exercise. Other cardiovascular effects of CO are thought to be of greater concern, i.e., those affecting individuals suffering from chronic angina. However, the precise COHb levels at which such cardiovascular effects occur in angina patients are much less well defined than COHb concentrations associated with various health effects discussed above. Angina pectoris is a cardiovascular disease in which mild exercise or excitement produces symptoms of pressure and pain in the chest because of insufficient oxygen supply to the heart muscle. Angina patients exposed to low levels of CO while resting have been reported to exhibit statis- tically significantly reduced time to onset of exercise-induced angina at mean COHb levels of 2.9 (range, 1.3-3.8 percent) and 4.5 percent (range, 2.8-5.4 percent) and to experience significantly increased duration of angina attacks during exercise at a mean COHb level of 4.5 percent (Anderson et a!., 1973). Certain questions have been raised regarding the design and conduct of the study, the small number (N=10) of subjects studied, and the absence of credible independent confirmation of its findings. A thorough reevaluation of the Anderson et al. (1973) study, addressing major points of concern, has been con- ducted recently (see Appendix A), and found that the study, in fact, provides reasonably good evidence for the hastening of angina occurring in angina patients at COHb levels of 2.9 to 4.5 percent. The Aronow et al. (1973) and Aronow (1981) studies similarly reported decreased time to onset of angina in exercising patients at COHb levels of 2.0-3.0 percent. However, these Aronow findings are now most ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 appropriately interpreted as providing suggestive evidence for such effects occur- ring at COHb levels below 3 percent. More conclusive statements regarding this issue will not be possible until the results of independent studies attempting to replicate such findings become available. Another cardiovascular effect of possible concern is that of increased blood flow that occurs as a compensatory response to CO exposures (Ayres et al., 1969; Ayres et al., 1970; 1979). This response might result in coronary damage or other vascular effects due to added stress on the cardiovascular system. However, inconclusive results have been obtained in community epidemi- ology studies examining the relationship between CO exposure, mortality from myocardial infarction (heart attack), sudden death due to arteriosclerotic heart disease, and cardiorespiratory complaints (Goldsmith and Landau, 1968; Kurt, et al., 1978; Kurt, et al., 1979). Hence, the possibility of such an association remains in question, and further research is also needed in order to clarify this issue. The results of one controlled human exposure study reported by Davies and Smith (1980) are suggestive of possible effects on cardiac function at low to moderate CO exposure in healthy individuals. In a series of replicated experi- ments, six matched groups of young human subjects lived in a closed-environment exposure chamber for 18 days. They were exposed continuously to 0, 15, or 50 ppm of CO in air during the middle 8 days. Standard 12-lead electrocardiograms were recorded from each subject during the control, exposure, and recovery periods. Unequivocal P-wave changes were seen during the CO exposure period in 3 of 15 subjects at 15 ppm CO (2.4% COHb) and 6 of 15 at 50 ppm (7.1% COHb) compared to none of 14 at 0 ppm (0.5% COHb). The changes were evenly distributed among non- smoking subjects and subjects who had stopped smoking 3 days before the start of CO exposure. In addition, one subject, later identified as having evidence of myocardial ischemia, showed marked S-T changes at 15 ppm. In a separate pilot study by these investigators with both smokers and nonsmokers at 75 ppm CO (10.9% COHb in nonsmokers; 14.9% COHb in smokers) significant EKG changes were demon- strated in 7 of 10 subjects. In most cases, the CO-induced changes remained after exposure ceased. The authors concluded that P-wave abnormalities demon- strated in this study were due to interference of normal atria! pacemaking or conducting tissue activity by CO. In addition, they speculate that CO has a specific toxic effect on the myocardium rather than (or in addition to) a generalized decrease in 02 transport to the tissue. 10 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 Most animal studies on the cardiovascular effects of CO have been con- ducted at exposure concentrations resulting in rather high (>15-20 percent) COHb levels. Only two studies are relevant for present discussion. Becker and Haak (1979) exposed 11 adult mongrel dogs to increasing concentrations of CO 1 hr. after coronary artery ligation. These sequential exposures produced step-wise increases in the COHb level from 4.9% to 17.0%. Myocardial ischemia, as indicated by the amount of S-T segment elevation in epicardial electrocar- diograms, increased significantly at the lowest COHb level and increased further with increasing CO exposure. These changes occurred in the absence of altered heart rate, blood pressure, left atria! pressure, cardiac output, or blood flow to ischemic myocardium. Flow to non-ischemic myocardium increased with CO exposure at a rate approximately double the increase in COHb. They concluded that low level exposure to CO can significantly augment ischemia in acute myocardial infarction, apparently through a reduction in oxygen supplied to the ischemic tissue. They suggested, however, that the hypoxia induced by CO was more severe than could be accounted for by a reduction in tissue 0« delivery alone. Foster (1981) investigated the arrhythmogenic effects of CO during the initial minutes of acute myocardial ischemia in 8 mongrel dogs. Since each dog served as its own control, brief occlusions of the coronary artery were performed sequentially both before and after the administration of 100 ppm CO which raised COHb levels to 10.4%. Bipolar epicardial electrograms were recorded in each experiment from the ischemic and non-ischemic myocardial zones. An additional 6 dogs were used to confirm the reproducibility of ischemic conduction slowing during successive occlusions in the absence of CO. There was no significant increase in ischemic myocardial conduction slowing after CO. This lack of arrhythmogenic effect of CO was supported by the absence of increased incidence of spontaneous ventricular tachycardia during ischemia after CO administration. The author concludes that clinically en- countered COHb levels may not have sufficient arrhythmogenic effect to be of significant health importance during the initial minutes of myocardial ischemia. 2. Neurobehavioral Effects The 1979 CO Criteria Document noted that statistically significant effects on central nervous system (CNS) functions have been most clearly shown to occur 11 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 at COHb levels of 5-17 percent. This is indicated by studies which demonstra- ted decrements in vigilance, visual perception, manual dexterity, learning ability, and performance of complex sensorimotor tasks such as driving (Bender et a!., 1971; Schutte, 1973; O'Donnell et a!., 1971; McFarland et al., 1944; McFarland, 1973; Putz et al., 1976; Salvatore, 1974; Wright et al., 1973; Rockwell and Weir, 1975; Rummo and Sarlanis, 1974). An evaluative review by Laties and Merigan (1979) substantially agreed with these conclu- sions. Also, as reviewed in the 1979 Criteria Document, some studies (Horvath et al., 1971; Fodor and Winneke, 1972; Groll-Knapp et al., 1972; Putz et al., 1976) have reported significant decrements in vigilance performance (defined as the ability to detect small changes in one's external environment occurring at unpredictable times) to be associated with COHb levels in the 3.0-7.6% range; and one study by Beard and Grandstaff (1975) reported that vigilance effects may occur at levels as low as 1.8 percent COHb. The lowest COHb levels at which vigilance decrements occur, however, are a matter of considerable dispute in view of numerous other studies not finding such effects at COHb levels below 5.0 percent (Haider et al., 1975; Winneke, 1974; Winneke et al., 1976; Christensen et al., 1977; Benignus and Otto, 1977). Since the writing of the 1979 Criteria Document, several new studies have been published which contribute to the data base of CO-related neurobehavioral effects. In the following, each of the several neurobehavioral endpoints are re-evaluated by integrating new findings. Vigilance—Si nee the 1979 document was written, several new pieces of research on CO and vigilance have appeared. In an evaluative review of the CO-vigilance literature, Benignus et al. (1983) concluded that all of the studies (except one) cited in the 1979 document had serious credibility flaws due to (a) non- replication of the work,.(b) gross statistical abuse, (c) non-concentration- related effects or (d) combinations of the above. The single study from the 1979 document which had no serious flaws was that of Putz et al. (1976), which demonstrated vigilance decrements at 5% COHb. Since that time the same group of researchers have replicated these results on independent subjects (Putz et al. , 1979) and have reported their earlier results in peer-reviewed literature (Putz, 1979). The fact that the experimental design and details of the tasks were not the same in the two 12 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 experiments implies that the effects were robust and thus lends further cre- dibility to these results. The credibility of these findings would be appre- ciably increased if an independent group of researchers also were to success- fully replicate the study. Three other articles on CO and vigilance have appeared since 1979 (Benignus et a!., 1983, Davies et al.} 1981, Roche et al., 1981). All of them achieved COHb levels of 5-7%. None of the studies found significant effects on vigi- lance. It is noteworthy that all of them used vigilance paradigms different from those of Putz et al (1976). Quite possibly the parameters and conditions under which vigilance was studied are sensitive so that unless the proper con- ditions exist, the effects of such COHb levels will not be detected. It appears safe to conclude that, at least under some conditions, reliable but small decrements in vigilance occur at about 5% COHb. The fact that 5% and higher levels of COHb were not observed to produce vigilance decrements in many studies is probably a reflection of (a) low experimental test sensitivity in the those cases or (b) the small effects of CO at these levels coupled with what is probably a rather low-slope concentration-effects curve in the region of COHb less than 20%. It must be emphasized that these explanations for the many no-effect studies are conjectural. Sensory and Time Discrimination—Benignus et al. (1983) concluded that no highly reliable evidence for time discrimination decrements exists. The ele- gant concentration-related decrements in dark adaption beginning at 5% COHb demonstrated by McFarland et al. (1944) remain to be replicated. The importance of replication should not be overlooked since the decrements were (a) dose-related and (b) showed a decrement at the lowest non-zero COHb level. Davies et al. (1981) tested visual sensitivity in dark adapted subjects who had been exposed continuously to 50 ppm CO for a total of 5 days (COHb of 7% by the end of each day). They reported no effects of CO. Luria and McKay (1979) reported that untrained observers showed no decrement in a night vision test, eye movement or visual evoked potential at COHb levels of 9 percent. The fact that McFarland et al. (1944) used bolus exposure methods, whereas the above investigators used continuous low level exposure, is perhaps significant. McFarland et al. (1944) also used highly trained observers, which had the effect 13 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 of reducing variance and thus increasing the sensitivity of their study. Cer- tainly the McFarland et al. (1944) study cannot be said to have been invalidated by newer data. Some support for visual sensitivity decrements due to CO has been provided by a study measuring the electroretinogram in anesthetized cats (Ingenito and Durlacher, 1979). When cats were exposed to 1000 ppm CO the electroretinogram was decreased in amplitude by 30 minutes after the start of exposure, at which time the mean COHb was 7.5%. Further decreases were concentration-related. Complex Sensorimotor Performance and Driving--The conclusion of the 1979 document, that driving-like tasks are impaired at COHb levels of 5% or greater, has since been substantially strengthened. Three articles have been published (Putz et al., 1976, 1979; Putz, 1979), using variations of the same task and experimental design but in two independent groups of subjects. In all c^ses, it was reported that 5% COHb produced decrements in compensatory tracking, a hand- eye-coordination task. In -all cases, however, the decrements occurred only during high task difficulty. Other tasks such as reciprocal tapping and digit manipula- tion were not affected by COHb levels of up to 5% (Mihevic et al., 1982). Sleep and Activity—Although there has been one new publication in this area (Groll-Knapp et al., 1982), the conclusions remain the same. Marginal increases in deep sleep and concomitant decreases in rapid-eye-movement sleep were reported at 8% COHb due to exposure to 100 ppm CO for 8 hrs. during sleep. As before, the changes did not reach statistical significance when appropriate corrections are made (Benignus and Muller, 1982). Central Nervous System Electrical Activity—No significant changes have occurred in this area of research since 1979. Marginal, nonsignificant effects have been reported by Benignus et al. (1983) in the electroencephalogram alpha frequency band and by Groll-Knapp et al. (1982) on evoked potentials. Both groups of investigators produced COHb levels of 5-6 percent. 3. Effects of CO Exposure on Fibrinolysis An area of growing interest, which was not extensively discussed in the 1979 Criteria Document, concerns possible effects of CO on fibrinolysis. The 14 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 fibrinolytic system is an integral part of homeostatic mechanisms and it has been suggested that derangement of that system may contribute to the patho- genesis of thrombosis. The plasminogen activator may be released from the blood vessel wall by a variety of stimuli, including anoxia, electric shock, and either local or systemic administration of vasoactive substances such as epinephrine, acetylcholine, serotonin, or histamine. The finding that anoxia can release plasminogen activator has suggested to investigators that the presence of COHb with its associated anoxia could also be associated with increased plasminogen activator. Resting fibrinolytic activity is often low and its measurement may yield conflicting results that do not readily permit intra-individual comparisons. The relationship of tissue activator to vascular activator suggests that they are components of two separate fibrinolytic mechanisms: (1) the vascular acti- vator being part of a humoral system whose main role is maintenance of vascular patency and (2) the basic activator concerned with tissue repair and wound healing. Animal Studies—Fibrinolytic activity was studied in 12 rabbits (6 control rabbits) exposed for 8 weeks to an ambient concentration of 50 ppm CO (Kalmaz et al., 1977). The control animals had COHb levels of approximately 6%, while the CO-exposed animals' COHb, for some unexplained reasons, continued to increase, finally stabilizing at 30.9%. Significant increases in whole blood clotting time, serum fibrin/fibrinogen degradation products, and acceleration of whole blood clot lysis occurred. Euglobulin lysis time was significantly accelerated by the end of the first week of exposure. Although these fibrino- lytic activity changes are of interest, their relationship to CO exposure is far from clear. In another study, Kalmaz et al. (1978) exposed rabbits to 50 ppm for 8 weeks or to 300 ppm for 4 weeks. A second group of rabbits exposed to 300 ppm CO were given epsilonaminocaproic acid. Acceleration of the whole blood clot lysis and euglobulin lysis times was observed. Microscopic examination of large vessels showed endothelial damage - a possible source for a plasminogen activator release. A more recent study by Kalmaz et al. (1980) involved exposing rabbits to ambient air, 50 ppm CO for 24 hours/day continuously (8 weeks), and 300 ppm CO for 24 hours/day continuously (4 weeks). They found a 15 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 consistent change in circulating platelet quantity for CO-exposed rabbits. However, their conclusion that prolonged exposure to low levels of CO may influence changes in circulating platelet counts and/or congenital platelet function disorders in man is yet to be confirmed. In a recent in-vitro study by Hartiala et al. (1982) 5-minute exposure to 100% CO was found to have neither an effect on the decrease in prostacyclin (PGI2) production nor a direct effect on ADP-induced aggregability of human platelet rich plasma. This led the authors to conclude that CO is not respon- sible for the temporary increase in platelet aggregability after cigarette smoking. Human Studies—Workers chronically exposed to high levels of carbon monoxide (approximately 100 ppm with occasional levels of 200-400 ppm) were studied by El-Attar and Sairo (1968). They found an accelerated clot lysis time suggestive of an enhancement of blood fibrinolytic activity. Levels of COHb present were only crudely determined and were not related to any specific individual. CO poisoning of 21 workers was suggested by the presence of subjective symptoms, headache, blurred vision, etc. Twenty-eight workers, presumably some of the first group of 21, were restudied after one day exposure to ambient CO (levels not given). This group also exhibited accelerated lysis times but to a lesser degree. In 15 control subjects no fibrinolytic activity could be detected. This study, although suggestive, was too poorly controlled to be of real value. A similar suggestive study was made by Alexieva et al. (1975) on 100 workers in a coke-chemical plant. Some increase in fibrogen was observed in these chronically exposed individuals. Panchenko et al. (1977) have also suggested that a relationship between blood coagulation and CO existed. The data presented are far from conclusive. The possibility that exposure to other substances in addition to CO resulted in alterations of fibrinolytic activity was evaluated by Janzon and Nilsson (1975). Smokers and nonsmokers were studied by techniques superior to those used by the above investigators. Smokers and nonsmokers had the same fibrinolytic activity when smokers were studied after 12 hours abstention from smoking. Smoking 6 cigarettes during 3 hours was associated with an increased fibrinolytic activity in blood. They believed that this increase was probably due to the combined effects of nicotine and carbon monoxide. Mansouri and 16 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 Perry (1982) studied the alteration of platelet aggregation by cigarette smoke and carbon monoxide. Inhalation by healthy adults of CO sufficient to raise the COHb level to between 4.5% and 11% was found to be responsible for inhi- bition of platelet aggregation, which returned to normal after five hours. However, there was no consistent correlation reported between COHb levels and alterations in platelet aggregation. Brinkhouse (1977) exposed 23 men (15 nonsmokers) for 4 hours to either 0, 50, or 100 ppm CO. COHb levels on the days of carbon monoxide exposure reached 2.17% (50 ppm) and 4.15% (100 ppm). Studies on blood coagulation were made by the best and most sophisticated techniques. Platelet count, prothrombin time, partial thromboplastin time, thrombin time, fibrin split products, factor VIII, and platelet aggregation were determined before and after the exposure. Coagulation parameters were not significantly affected by the CO exposures. A review by Haft (1979) discusses the role of platelets in the etiology and natural history of coronary artery disease. It is clear that smoking increases the activity of platelets and cigarette smokers have shortened platelet survival time. Endothelial injury may be facilitated by serum CO, by levels of circulating catecholamines, and other factors. In conclusion, the effects on fibrinolytic activity of exposure to carbon monoxide are far from clear. The studies on acute exposure to CO do not spe- cifically implicate this pollutant in the observed alterations in fibrinolytic activity, and the studies on chronic exposure are too poorly controlled to confirm any definite effects on the blood coagulation system. 4. Suggestive Evidence for Perinatal CO Effects The Criteria Document (U.S. EPA, 1979) provides discussion of results from certain animal toxicology studies which point toward the possibility of CO exerting perinatal effects on the fetus or newborn. With long-term exposures of pregnant animals to CO, fetal COHb levels have been shown to be higher than maternal COHb levels and fetal elimination of CO was slower than maternal CO elimination. The ability of CO to decrease the oxygen transport capacity of maternal and fetal hemoglobin may result in interference in fetal tissue oxygenation during important developmental stages. Whereas normal adults have reserve capacity and compensatory responses which enable them to handle moder- ately high COHb levels without irreversible consequences, the fetus may under 17 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 normal situations be operating close to critical levels in terms of tissue oxygen supply. Thus, even moderate CO exposures may have a deleterious effect on fetal development (Longo, 1977) but this, too, remains to be demonstrated along with pertinent dose-response relationships. In several animal studies in which pregnant females were exposed to CO, deleterious effects were gen- erally reported in the offspring (e.g., reduced birthweight, increased newborn mortality, and lower behavioral activity levels) even when no effects on the mothers were detected. In human studies, similar effects have been reported in children of mothers who smoked cigarettes during pregnancy, suggesting that expectant mothers and their unborn children may also represent population groups at special risk for CO effects, but this remains to be more clearly defined along with any pertinent dose-response relationships. Sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) is characterized by the sudden, normally unexplained death of an infant. Research has suggested numerous possible etiological factors (e.g., disease, temperature, maternal smoking, and pollutant levels), but numerous questions remain regarding which are the most significant factors involved. Seasonal incidence of SIDS has been studied in several epidemiology studies (Peterson, 1966; Bergman et a!., 1972; Bonser et a!., 1978). A pattern which appears to be consistent across countries in the northern hemisphere is increasing incidence in October, peaking in December and January, remaining high until May, and then declining sharply in June and remaining low until October. CO has been hypothesized to be associated with seasonal variations in SIDS incidence rates, based on certain epidemiologic data. Hoppenbrouwers et al. (1981) have reported that increased seasonal incidence of SIDS in Los Angeles County during winter may be at least partially explained by higher levels of CO, sulphur dioxide (S02), nitrogen dioxide (N02) and hydrocarbons (HC). They suggest that higher ambient levels of these pollutants may be implicated in chronic hypoxia which often precedes death from SIDS. Related to this hypothesis, they found that SIDS cases in LA were correlated to daily mean levels of the above pollutants and peaks in these pollutant levels pre- ceded seasonal increases in SIDS by seven weeks. The authors further report that infants dying from SIDS lived longer (1) if born in low rather than high pollution areas and (2) if born in months of low versus high pollution. 18 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 Finally, a direct proportionality was reported between exposure to pollution for infants from conception to two months of age and bimonthly rate of SIDS. In an editorial letter assessing the results of the Hoppenbrouwers et al. study, Goldstein (1982) commented on the presence of indoor sources of CO, NO- and lead. She further pointed out that during colder months infants spend most of their time indoors where concentrations of these pollutants can far exceed ambient levels. Thus, she suggests that the relationship between SIDS and ambient pollution levels may be only coincidental and the evidence for it is at best suggestive and in need of further confirmation before any causal relationships might be inferred. Maternal smoking has been related to SIDS in several studies (Bergman and Wiesner, 1976; Lewak et al., 1979; Peterson, 1981). Because CO is only one of numerous pollutants found in cigarette smoke, however, it is difficult to infer a causal relationship between CO and SIDS. Other factors associated with SIDS include passive smoking, younger maternal age, short intervals between pregnancies, gestational age of less than 40 weeks, birth weight of less than 3000 g., lower socioeconomic status, and male sex. Thus, the number .of potentially confounding factors makes finding an association between CO and SIDS extremely difficult. POPULATIONS AT RISK The 1979 Criteria Document directed attention toward identification of sensitive population groups at special risk for CO-induced health effects. One key concept in defining special risk groups for CO effects is the idea that any preexisting or concommitant physiological or pathological condition which interferes or interacts with oxygen absorption into blood or its transport to and perfusion of body tissues can logically be expected to exacerbate CO-induced health effects associated with the hypoxic effects of CO. Thus, certain large segments of the general population can be reasonably hypothe- sized as likely to be at greater risk for experiencing CO-induced health effects than healthy, non-smoking adults. These probable risk groups include: (1) fetuses and young infants; (2) the elderly, especially those with reduced cardiopulmonary functions attributable to a variety of factors associated with typical aging processes; (3) other, younger 19 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 individuals with overt, severe cardiac damage or acutely severe respiratory diseases, e.g., pneumonia; (4) individuals with chronic bronchitis or emphysema; (5) individuals with symptoms (e.g., angina) indicative of chronic cardiovascular disease; (6) individuals with hematological diseases, e.g., anemia that affect oxygen carrying capacity or transport in the blood; and (7) persons with geneti- cally unusual hemoglobin forms associated with decreased oxygen capacity. In addition to the above, one might reasonably expect that individuals under the influence of certain drugs, used for recreational or medicinal purposes, may be at greater risk for CO-induced effects due to interactive effects between CO and certain pharmacological agents. Lastly, under high altitude conditions (where reduced levels of atmospheric oxygen exist), increased vulnerability to CO health effects of both the above sensitive population groups and otherwise, non-sensitive healthy individuals might be expected. As noted in the 1979 Criteria Document, relatively little concrete experimental or observational evidence currently exists by which most groups (or conditions) listed abo.ve have been clearly demonstrated to be associated with increased risk for CO-induced health effects. Nor have clear-cut quantitative lowest-observed-effect levels or dose-response relationships been delineated for the occurrence of CO effects among the above "at risk" groups or in conjunction with special interacting circumstances (i.e., drug usage or high altitude living) that might exacerbate CO effects. Only very limited discussion, therefore, can be provided here regarding CO risk factors and sensitive groups likely at special risk for CO effects. In regard to the first group, fetuses and young infants, certain evidence was alluded to earlier from animal toxicology studies indicating that higher levels of COHb and increased CO excretion time occur among fetuses in compari- son to their mothers exposed to CO; and some deficits in postnatal growth and development were noted in the offspring of dams exposed to CO during pregnancy. Also, analogous perinatal effects were noted in human infants born to mothers who smoked during pregnancy, and associations between CO exposure and SIDS have been hypothesized. However, insufficient evidence exists at this time by which to estimate CO exposure levels at which any CO effects on human fetuses or new- born infants may occur or whether the latter types of effects seen in smoking mothers are due specifically to CO versus other components of tobacco smoke either singly or in combination. 20 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 Little specific evidence directly demonstrates the increased vulnera- bility of the elderly for CO health effects in precise quantitative terms. Given the increased vulnerability of the aged to many different kinds of stress, including thermal stress (hot or cold) which taxes decreased reserve capacities to maintain adequate cardiovascular delivery of oxygen to body tissues, it must be expected that CO exposure would render the elderly more vulnerable to the effects of other types of cardiovascular stresses. Also, conversely, it is reasonable to hypothesize that interactive effects involving other stress factors might lead to exacerbation of CO-induced health effects or their occurrence at lower external CO exposure levels than in younger, healthy adults. Similarly, younger individuals with overt, severe cardiac damage or insufficiency or severe acute respiratory diseases, e.g., pneumonia, can be expected to be more vulnerable to CO (i.e., either CO exacerbation of other disease effects or, conversely, increased susceptability to CO health effects) due to reduced reserve capacities to cope with stress generally or increased sensitivity of already compromised organs or tissuos, e.g., heart muscle, to the hypoxia induced by CO. Turning to individuals with chronic bronchitis and emphysema, again, reduced reserve capacities for dealing with cardiovascular stresses and al- ready reduced oxygenation of blood should exacerbate or hasten the onset of health effects associated with CO-induced hypoxia. Analogously, angina patients or others with obstructed coronary arteries but not manifesting overt symptoms such as angina, should be at greater risk for CO health effects. Both the Anderson et al. (1973) and several Aronow publications on angina patients reported findings previously accepted as demonstrating the increased vulnera- bility of angina patients to CO in terms of hastening of the onset of exercise- induced angina. These papers, furthermore, appeared to confidently establish 2-3% blood COHb as the range of COHb values associated with the onset of statis- tically significant effects indicative of CO exacerbation of angina and, pro- bably, associated hypoxic effects on cardiac muscle. It is now clear that the Anderson findings (as of yet not independently confirmed) can be appropriately interpreted as providing reasonably good evidence for exacerbation of angina symptoms occurring at approximately 2.9 to 4.5 percent COHb; and the possibility of such effects occurring at lower COHb levels (as hinted at by the Aronow studies) cannot be ruled out at this time. 21 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 In regard to individuals with anemia being at special risk for CO health effects, the 1979 Criteria Document noted that CO poisoning is similar to anemia, wherein the oxygen capacity of the blood is decreased because the affinity of hemoglobin (Hb) for binding oxygen is reduced. The 02 dissociation curve for anemics is similar to that for normals except that it is shifted to the right. However, when curves from individuals with 50% reductions in Hb con- tent are compared with dissociation curves for blood with 50% COHb content, there are striking differences. Consequently, care must be taken to avoid overly simplistic extrapolations regarding the likely impact of particular CO exposures on anemia patients due to additional (CO-induced) reductions of b* carrying capacity beyond the reductions already evident in their blood. The soecific CO exposure levels and associated blood COHb concentrations at which anemia patients may be at increased risk for specific CO health effects remain to be clearly delineated, but little doubt exists regarding the likelihood that the effective CO exposure (and COHb) levels are distinctly lower than for healthy, non-anemic individuals. Another logically-hypothesized "at risk" group for CO effects are individuals with unusual hemoglobin types that result in chronic elevations of COHb blood levels even in the absence of external CO exposure. Normal adult hemoglobin has a relative affinity or equilibrium constant (M) for CO of about 200 for most animal species, but has been reported to be as high as 240 to 250 in humans (Roughton, 1970). There are approximately 350 human hemoglobin variants, including those found in the fetus, sickle cell anemics, and other individuals with hemoglobinopathy (hemoglobin disorders). Approximately one fourth of the hemoglobin variants now known are considered unstable, i.e., they denature and precipitate when red blood cells or hemolyzates are exposed to heat, red oxdyes, or isopropanol (Bunn et al., 1977). One of these variants, hemoglobin Zurich (HbZ) has been found to have an affinity for CO which is approximately 65 times that of normal hemoglobin (Zinkham et al., 1980; Giacometti et al., 1980; Zinkham et al., 1983). This results in chronic elevation of endogenous COHb levels ranging from 3.9 to 6.7% in nonsmoking HbZ individuals. As for possible drug-induced enhancement of CO effects, whereas there exists little specific data directly supporting the idea, it is logical to suspect that individuals who use certain drugs would be at increased risk for experiencing health effects associated with CO exposure. For example, drugs 22 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 with primary or secondary CMS depressant effects should be expected to exacer- bate neurobehavioral effects of CO; and drugs which have primary or secondary cardiac stimulant effects might worsen CQ-related cardiac effects. Any vaso- constrictive drugs would be expected to reduce 0,, delivery to various organs, thus also exacerbating CO effects on exercise, cardiac or neurobehavioral function. Further speculations about drug-CO interactions are possible, but it should be emphasized that these are predictions based on theoretical grounds that rely heavily on our current understanding of hypoxia being the likely main mechanism underlying the induction of CO-induced health effects. Unfor- tunately, few data currently exist by which to judge the likely validity of such speculations. Hypothesized enhancement or exacerbation of CO health effects under high altitude conditions, similarly, rests heavily on hypoxia being the key mechan- ism of CO toxicity. The interactive effects of high altitude hypoxia and CO exposure, however, appear to be more complex than might be simplistically expected (Collier and Goldsmith, 1983). For example, the 1979 Criteria Document notes that adaptation to high altitudes occurs and alludes to the fact that, analogously, adaptation to CO may alter the position of the 02 dissociation curve as a function of extensive prior CO exposure. Thus, individuals living in high altitude situations with frequently elevated ambient air CO levels may adapt to both the high altitude and CO-induced hypoxia, whereas other indivi- duals newly entering high altitude and elevated ambient CO conditions might experience CO effects at concentrations below those effective at lower alti- tudes. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS As was stated at the outset, the main purpose of the present addendum is to re-evaluate the scientific data base concerning health effects associated with exposure to CO at ambient or near-ambient exposure levels. The re- evaluation includes both (1) summarization of information contained in the revised EPA Air Quality Criteria Document for CO (U.S. EPA, 1979) and (2) new information and studies that have become available beyond what was reviewed in the 1979 document. The most important points of information reviewed and key conclusions derived from this evaluation of the CO health effects data base are summarized below. 23 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 Mechanisms of Action—The binding of CO to hemoglobin, producing COHb and de- creasing the oxygen carrying capacity of blood, appears to be the main mechanism of action underlying the induction of toxic effects of low-level CO exposures. The precise mechanisms by which toxic effects are induced via COHb formation are not yet fully understood, but likely include the induction of a hypoxic state in many tissues of diverse organ systems. Alternative mechanisms of CO-induced toxicity (besides COHb) have been hypothesized, but none have yet been demon- strated to operate at relatively low (near-ambient) CO exposure levels. Blood COHb levels, then, are currently accepted as representing a useful physiological marker by which to estimate internal CO burdens due to the combined contribu- tion of (1) endogenously derived CO and (2) exogenously derived CO resulting from exposure to external sources of CO. COHb levels likely to result from particular patterns (concentrations, durations, etc.) of external CO exposure can be reasonably well estimated from equations developed by Coburn. CO Exposure Levels—Evaluation of human CO exposure situations indicates that occupational exposures in some workplace situations can regularly exceed 100 ppm CO, often leading to COHb levels of 10 percent or more. In contrast, such high exposure levels are much less commonly encountered by the non-occupationally exposed general public. More frequently, exposures to less than 25-50 ppm CO for any extended period of time occur among the general population and, at the low exercise levels usually engaged in under such circumstances, resulting COHb levels most typically remain below 2-3 percent among non-smokers. Those levels can be compared to the physiologic norm for non-smokers, which is estimated to be in the range of 0.3 to 0.7 percent COHb. Baseline COHb concentrations in smokers, however, often greatly exceed 1 percent, reflecting absorption of CO from inhaled smoke. Health Effects of Low Level CO Exposures—Four types of health effects reported or hypothesized to be associated with CO exposures (especially those producing COHb levels below 10 percent) were evaluated: (1) cardiovascular effects; (2) neurobehavioral effects; (3) fibrinolysis effects; and (4) perinatal effects. In regard to cardiovascular effects, decreased oxygen uptake capacity and resultant decreased work capacity under maximal exercise conditions have been clearly shown to occur in healthy young adults starting at 5.0 percent COHb; 24 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 and one study observed small decreases in work capacity at COHb levels as low as 3.3 to 4.3%. These cardiovascular effects may have health implications for the general population in terms of potential curtailment of certain physi- cally demanding occupational or recreational activities under circumstances of sufficiently high CO exposure. However, of greater concern at more typical ambient CO exposure levels are certain cardiovascular effects (i.e., aggravation of angina symptoms during exercise) likely to occur in a smaller, but sizeable, segment of the general population. This group, chronic angina patients, is pre- sently viewed as the most sensitive risk group for CO exposure effects, based on evidence for aggravation of angina occurring in patients at COHb levels of 2.9 to 4.5 percent COHb. Such aggravation of angina is thought to represent an adverse health effect for several reasons articulated in the 1980 proposal pre- amble (45 FR 55066), and the Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC) concurred with EPA's judgment on this matter (see Appendix B). Dose-response relationships for cardiovascular effects in cororary artery disease patients remain to be more conclusively defined, and the possibility cannot be ruled out at this time that such effects may occur at levels below 2.9 percent COHb (as hinted at by the results of the now-questioned Aronow studies). No reliable evidence demonstrating decrements in neurobehavioral function in healthy young adults has been reported at COHb levels below 5%. Much of the research at 5% COHb did not show any effect even when behaviors similar to those affected in other studies were involved. However, if any CO effects on neurobehavioral functions in fact occur below 5% COHb, then none of the sig- nificant-effects studies would have found such decrements, because none of them used COHb levels below 5%. Other workers who failed to find CO decrements at 5% or higher COHb levels may have employed tests not sufficiently sensitive to reliably detect small effects of CO. From the empirical evidence, then, it can be said that the COHb levels in the 5% region do produce decrements in neuro- behavioral function. However, it cannot be said confidently that COHb levels lower than 5% would be without effect. One important point made in the 1979 document should be reiterated here. Only young, healthy adults have been stu- died using demonstrably sensitive tests and COHb levels of 5% or greater. The question of groups at special risk for CNS effects, therefore, has not been explored. Of special note are those individuals who are'taking drugs which have primary or secondary depressant effects which would be expected to exacerbate CO-related neurobehavioral decrements. Other groups at possibly increased risk 25 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 for CO-induced neurobehavioral effects are the aged and ill but these groups, also, have not been evaluated for such risk. In contrast to the data available which demonstrates associations between cardiovascular and neurobehavioral effects and relatively low-level CO expo- sures, much less clear evidence exists for other types of health effects being associated with low-level CO exposures. For example, only relatively weak evidence points towards possible CO effects on fibrinolytic activity and, then, generally only at rather high CO exposure levels. Similarly, whereas certain data are also suggestive of perinatal effects (e.g. reduced birth weight, slowed postnatal development, Sudden Infant Death Syndrome) being associated with CO exposure, insufficient evidence presently exists by which to either confirm such associations qualitatively or to establish any pertinent exposure-effect relationships. Population Groups at Risk for Ambient CO Exposure Effects—Angina patients or others with obstructed coronary arteries, but not yet manifesting overt symp- tomatology of coronary artery disease, appear to be best established as a sensitive group within the general population that is at increased risk for experiencing health effects (i.e. exacerbation of cardiovascular symptoms) of concern at ambient or near-ambient CO exposure levels. Several other probable risk groups were identified, i.e.: (1) fetuses and young infants; (2) the elderly (especially those with compromised cardiopulmonary functions); (3) younger individuals with severe cardiac or acutely severe respiratory diseases; (4) individuals with chronic bronchitis or emphysema; (5) individuals with hematological diseases (e.g. anemia) that affect oxygen carrying capacity or transport in the blood; (6) individuals with genetically unusual forms of hemo- globin associated with reduced oxygen carrying capacity; and (7) individuals using medicinal or recreational drugs having CNS depressant properties. However, little emperical evidence currently is available by which to specify particular COHb levels at which such individuals are likely to experience specific health effects associated with ambient or near-ambient CO exposures. Nor does unambi- guous evidence yet exist which clearly establishes that healthy non-sensitive individuals or those in the above probable risk categories are affected at lower CO exposure levels under high altitude conditions than CO exposure concentrations effective at lower altitudes. 26 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 REFERENCES Agostoni, A., R. Stabilini, G. Viggiano, M. Luzzana, and M. Samaja. Influence of capillary and tissue P02 on carbon monoxide binding to myoglobin: a theoretical evaluation. Microvasc. Res. 20:81-7, 1980. Alexieva, T., J. Boyadjieva, S. Ivanova, and E. Marinova. Some of the early criteria in the diagnosis of chronic carbon monoxide poisoning. Prob. Khygiennta !_: 73-78, 1975. Anderson, E. W., R. J. Andelman, J. M. Strauch, N. J. Fortuin, and J. H. Knelson. Effect of low-level carbon monoxide exposure on onset and duration of angina pectoris: A study on 10 patients with ischemic heart disease. Ann. Intern. Med. 79:46-50, 1973. Aronow, W. S., D. N. Harris, M. W. 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Electrocardiographic changes in healthy men during continuous low-level carbon monoxide exposure. Environ. Res. 21:9-15, 1980. Davies, D. M., E. J. Jolly, R. J. Pethybridge, and W. P. Colquhoun. The effects of continuous exposure to carbon monoxide on auditory vigilance in man. Int. Arch. Occup. Environ. Health 48:25-34, 1981. DeLucia, A. J., J. H. Whitaker, and L. R. Bryant. Effects of combined exposure to ozone and carbon monoxide (CO) in humans. In: Advances in Modern Environmental Toxicology, Vol. V, International Symposium on the Biomedical Effects of Ozone and Related Photochemical Oxidants. Lee, S. D., M. G. Mustafa, M. A. Men!man (eds). Princeton Scientific Publishers: Princeton, N. J., pp. 145-159, 1983. Drinkwater, B. L., P. B. Raven, S. M. Horvath, J. A. Gliner, R. 0. Ruhling, N. W. Bolduan, and S. Taguchi. Air pollution, exercise, and heat stress. Arch. Environ. Health 28:177-181, 1974. El-Attar, 0. A., and D. M. Sairo. Effect of carbon monoxide on the whole fibrinolytic activity. Ind. Med. Surg. 37:774-777, 1968. Ekblom, B., and R. Huot. Response to submaximal and maximal exercise at different levels of carboxyhemoglobin. Acta Physiol. Scand. 86:474-482, 1972. Fodor, G. G., and G. Winneke. Effect of low CO concentrations on resistance to monotony and on psychomotor capacity. Staub Reinhalt. Luft 32:45-54, 1972. Foster, J. R. Arrhythmogenic effects of carbon monoxide in experimental acute myocardial ischemia: lack of slowed conduction and ventricular tachycardia. Am. Heart J. 1_02:876-82, 1981. Giacometti, G. M., M. Brunori, E. Antonini, E. E. Dilorio, and K. H. Winterhalter. The reaction of hemoglobin Zurich with oxygen and carbon monoxide. J. Biol. Chem. 255:6160-6165, 1980. Goldsmith, J. R., and S. A. Landaw. Carbon monoxide and human health. Science J62:1352-1359, 1968. 29 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 Goldstein, I. 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Enhance- ment of fibrinolysis in rabbits exposed to low and moderate levels of carbon monoxide inhibited by epsilon amino caproic acid. Thromb. Haemostasis 39:109-121, 1978. Kalmaz, E. V., L. W. Canter, and J. W. Hamptom. Effect of long-term low and moderate levels of carbon monoxide exposure on platelet counts of rabbits. J. Environ. Pathol. Toxicol. 4:351-8, 1980. Klein, J. P., H. V. Forster, R. D. Stewart, and A. Wu. Hemoglobin affinity for oxygen during short-term exhaustive exercise. J. Appl. Physio!. 48:236-42, 1980. Kurt, T. I., R. P. Mogielnicki, and J. E. Chandler. Association of the frequency of acute cardiorespiratory complaints with ambient levels of carbon monoxide. Chest 74:10-14, 1978. Kurt, T. L., R. P.-Mogielnicki, J. E. Chandler, and K. Hirst. Ambient carbon monoxide levels and acute cardiorespiratory complaints: an explora- tory study. Am. J. Public Health 69:360-363, 1979. Laties, V. G. and W. H. Merigan. Behavioral effects of carbon monoxide on animals and man. Ann. Rev. Pharmacol. Toxicol. 19:357-392, 1979. Lewak, N., B. J. Van den Berg, and J. B. Beckwith. Sudden infant death syndrome risk factors. Clinical Pediatrics J_8:404-410, 1979. Longo, L. D. The biological effects of carbon monoxide on the pregnant woman, fetus, and newborn infant. Am. J. Obstet. Gynecol. 1_29:69-103, 1977. Luria, S. M. and C. L. McKay. Effects of low levels of carbon monoxide on visions of smokers and nonsmokers. Arch. Environ. Health 34:38-44, 1979. Marcus, A. H. Mathematical models for carboxyhemoglobin. Atroos. Environ. 14:841-844, 1980. Mansouri, A. and C. A. Perry. Alteration of platelet aggregation by cigarette smoke and carbon monoxide. Thromb. Haemost. 48:286-8, 1982. McFarland, R. A., F. J. W. Roughton, M. H. Halperin, and J. I. Niven. The effects of carbon monoxide and altitude on visual thresholds. J. Aviat. Med. l_5:381-394, 1944. McFarland, R. A. Low level exposure to carbon monoxide and driving per- formance. Arch. Environ. Health 27:355-359, 1973. Mihevic, P. M., J. A. Gliner, and S. M. Horvath. Carbon monoxide exposure and information processing during perceptual motor performance. Int. Arch. Occup. Environ. Health 51:355-363, 1983. 31 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 O'Donnell, R. D., P. Mikulka, P. Heinig, and J. Theodore. Low level carbon monoxide exposure and human psychomotor performance. Toxicol. Appl. Pharma- col. lj*: 593-602, 1971. Ott, W. and D. Mage. Further discussions: Evaluation of CO air quality criteria using a COHb model. Atmos. Environ. 1_4:979-980, 1980. Panchenko, E. N., I. F. Nalcha, N. I. Dzyuba, and N. P. Luk1 Yanova. The effect of industrial factors in the development of cerebral atherosclerosis in workers in a methanol plant. Vrach. Delo. 4:109-113, 1977. Peterson, D. R. Sudden, unexpected death in infants. An epidemiologic study. Am. J. Epid. 84:478-482, 1966. Peterson, D. The sudden infant death syndrome - reassessment of growth retardation in relation to maternal smoking and the hypoxia hypothesis. Am. J. Epid. VI3:583-589, 1981. Peterson, J. E., and R. D. Stewart. Predicting the carboxyhemoglobin levels resulting from carbon monoxide exposures. J. Appl. Physiol. 39:633-638, 1975. Pirnay, F., J. Dujardin, R. Deroanne, and J. M. Petit. Muscular exercise during intoxication by carbon monoxide J. Appl. Physiol. 31:573-575, 1971. Putz, V. R., B. L. Johnson, and J. V. Setzer. Effects of CO on Vigilance Performance. Effects of Low Level Carbon Monoxide on Divided Attention, Pitch Discrimination, and the Auditory Evoked Potential. DHEW (NIOSH) Publication No. 77-124, U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, Cincinnati, OH, November, 1976. Putz, V. R. The effects of carbon monoxide on dual-task performance. Human Factors 21:13-24, 1979. Putz, V. R., B. L. Johnson, and J. V. Setzer. A comparative study of the effects of carbon monoxide and methylene chloride on human performance. In: Proc. 1st. Ann. NIOSH Sci. Symp. Chicago: Pathotox Publishing Co., 1979. Raven, P. B., B. L. Drinkwater, S. M. Horvath, R. 0. Ruhling, J. A. Gliner, J. C. Sutton, and N. W. Bolduan. Age, smoking habits, heat stress, and their interactive effects with carbon monoxide and peroxyacetylnitrate on man's aerobic power. Int. J. Biometeorol. J8:222-232, 1974. Raven, P. B., B. L. Drinkwater, R. 0. Ruhling, N. W. Bolduan, S. Taguchi, J. A. Gliner, and S. M. Horvath. Effect of carbon monoxide and peroxyacetyl nitrate on man's maximal aerobic capacity. J. Appl. Physiol. 36:288-293, 1974. Roche, S., S. Horvath, J. Gliner, J. Wagner, and J. Borgia. Sustained visual attention and carbon monoxide: elimination of adaptation effects. Human Factors 23:175-184, 1981. Rockwell, T. J., and F. W. Weir. The Interactive Effects of Carbon Monoxide and Alcohol on Driving Skills. Ohio State University Research Foundation, Columbus, Oh, January 1975. 32 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 Roughton, F. J. W. The equilibrium of carbon monoxide with human hemo- globin in whole blood. Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci. J74:177-188, 1970. Rummo, N. , and K. Sarlanis. The effect of carbon monoxide on several measures of vigilance in a simulated driving task. J. Saf. Res. 6:126-130, 1974. Salvatore, S. Performance decrement caused by mild carbon monoxide levels on two visual functions. J. Saf. Res. 6:131-134, 1974. Schulte, J. H. Effects of mild carbon monoxide intoxication. Arch. Environ. Health 7:524-530, 1973. Stewart, R. D., P. E. Newton, J. Kaufman, H. V. Forster, and J. P. Klein. Effect of a rapid 4 percent carboxyhemoglobin saturation increase on maximal treadmill exercise. CRC-APRAC-CAPM-22-75, 1978. U. S. Environmental Protection Agency. Air Quality Criteria for Carbon Monoxide, U. S. EPA Publication No. 600/8-79-022. October, 1979. Venkatram, A. and R. Louch. Evaluation of CO air quality criteria using a COHb model. Atmos. Environ. 1_3:869~872, 1979. Vogel, J. A. and M. A. Gleser. Effects of carbon monoxide on oxygen transport during exercise. J. Appl..Physio!. 32:234-239, 1972. Weiser, P. C., C. G. Merrill, D. W. Dickey, T.L. Kurt, and G.J.A. Cropp. Effects of low-level carbon monoxide exposure on the adaptation of healthy young men to aerobic work at an altitude of 1,610 meters. In: Environmental Stress. Individual Human Adaptations. L. J. Folinsbee, J. A. Wagner J. F. Borgia, B. L. Drinkwater, J. A. Gliner, and J. F. Bedi, eds., Academic Press, New York, 1978. pp. 101-110. Winneke, G. Behavioral effects of methylene chloride and carbon monoxide as assessed by sensory and psychomotor performance. In: Behavioral Toxicology. Early Detection of Occupational Hazards, Proceedings of a Workshop, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health and University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio, June 24-29, 1973. C. Xintaras, B. L. Johnson, and I. de Groot, eds., HEW Publication No. (NIOSH) 74-126, U. S. Department of Health, Edu- cation and Welfare. Winneke, G., G. Fodor, and H. Schlipkoter. Carbon monoxide, trichloroethylene, and alcohol: reliability and validity of neurobehavioral effects. In: Multidisciplinary Perspectives in Event-Related Brain Potential Research, Proceedings of the Fourth International Congress on Event-Related Slow Potentials of the Brain (EPIC IV), Univ of NC and U.S. EPA, Hendersonville, NC, April 4-10, 1976. D. A. Otto, ed., EPA-600/9-77-043, U.S. EPA, RTP, NC, December 1978. pp. 461-469. Wright, G., P. Randell, and R. J. Shephard. Carbon monoxide and driving skills. Arch. Environ. Health 27:349-354, 1973. Zinkham, W. H., R. A. Houtchens, and W. S. Caughey. Carboxyhemoglobin levels in an unstable hemoglobin disorder (Hb Zurich): effect on phenotypic expression. Science 209:406-408, 1980. 33 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 APPENDIX A EPA HEALTH EFFECTS RESEARCH LABORATORY REEVALUATION OF ANDERSON ET AL. (1973) STUDY A-l ------- UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY HEALTH EFFECTS RESEARCH LABORATORY ' «o RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK NORTH CAROLINA 27711 DATE: August 19, 1983 SUBJECT: Evaluation of Anderson et al. (1973) Study of Carbon Monoxide (CO) Effects on Angina Patients. FROM: John J. O'Neil, Ph.D., Chief Clinical Research Branch, ITD/HERL TO: Lester D. Grant, Ph.D. Director, ECAO (MD-52) THRU: F. Gordon Hueter, Ph.D., Director Health Effects Research Laboratory, RTP (MD-58) Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the paper by Einar Anderson and his co-workers which is entitled "Effect of Low-Level Carbon Monoxide Exposure on Onset and Duration of Angina Pectoris." I have re-read it, have discussed it with several colleagues, especially Dr. Vernon Benignus, and would offer the following observations by way of review. This is a good paper. The work appears to be carefully done, the data seem reasonable, and the paper is well written. Critical review reveals some flaws in the design and conduct of the research, but this is typical of most scientific work and, therefore, significance of these comments may be interpreted differently by different readers. DESIGN 1) ST segment depression reported in this paper is not useful and does not constitute any physiological support to the observations regarding the onset and duration of angina. The authors recognize this shortcoming. The important data in the paper are the measurement of time to onset of pain and the measurement of the duration of pain. 2) The paper would have been considerably strengthened by more careful selection of the subject population. For example, 5 subjects were smokers and 5 were non-smokers and one subject was taking digitalis. In my opinion, the study would have been strengthened considerably had the subject population been more homogeneous. 3) It is unclear to me if the study is really double blind. That is, did the investigator who administered the gases also interact with the subjects by, for example, placing the mask on the subject. Such interactions would make the study not a true double blind design. 4) The number of subjects (n) is very small. Only ten subjects were studied and of these there are three for whom there are missing data points. I have been told anecdotally that this study was intended as a pilot study. It is unfortunate that it was not possible to design and complete the proper follow-up study. Given the situation, this is valuable data to have published and should be used to develop our under- standing of the response of angina patients to CO. A-2 ------- METHODS AND RESULTS 1) It is disconcerting that the measured COHb levels appear to be lower than we would predict on the basis of our knowledge of CO-COHb kinetics. Why is this measured value lower than we would expect? a) Measurement of COHb. The measurements were done in triplicate using the Buchwald analysis. As best as I can determine, these estimates of COHb are accurate and there is no reason to doubt their validity on the basis of technique or equipment. b) It is also possible that the exposure mask used in this study was loose fitting and leaked. This would reduce the exposure level and the final COHb levels. c) Though not reported in the paper, the subjects were apparently allowed to rest ad libitum during the study. This amounted to approxi- mately 10-15 minutes out of the hour. This "rest" period would have reduced the exposure time an the final COHb levels. Using a minute ventilation of 5 1/min and a blood volume of 15 g/ 100ml, Dr. Benignus calculated a predicted COHb with the Coburn-Forster- Kane Equation. Table 1. Predicted COHb Values for Two Exposure Profiles at 100 PPM Exposure Profile Predicted COHb 50 min exposure/10 min rests 6.22% 45 min exposure/15 min rests 5.67% Anderson et al. reported a mean COHb value for the 100 ppm exposures was 4.5% (SD = 0.8%). Dr. Benignus concludes that there is an apparent and unexplained inconsistency between the predicted value for COHb and that actually measured. d) The Coburn-Forster-Kane equation was derived to deal with endo- genously produced CO. Its application to situations involving exogenous CO, though widely done, may be inappropriate. 2) There is considerable variability in the data reported. The following table gives the mean and range of the time to onset of pain for each day of the study. A-3 ------- Table 2. Time to Onset of Pain Mean (Range) Mon (Air) 294 (215-480) Air (Control) 325 (220-435) 50 ppm 264.5 (65-390) 100 ppm 263.5 (85-425) Friday (Air) 300 (185-485) The exposures on Monday and Friday were included to demonstrate the com- parison of two air exposures separated by the study itself. The air control and the exposures to 50 or 100 ppm CO were randomized on Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday. The data for Monday and Friday are both considerably closer to the data for 50 and 100 ppm CO exposure than to that for the air control. This is, I believe, associated with the small number of subjects used in the study. Dr. Benignus and his colleagues analyzed the data for the different air days and did not show any significant differences between these days. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS Dr. Benignus has developed an analysis of the paper by Anderson et al. and I have excerpted part of his critique here. Critique of the Study by Anderson et a!U (1973) Vernon A. Benignus The statistical tests used in the study were anticonserv- ative (Benignus and Muller, 1982) and thus would have tended toward showing a significant effect even if none were present in the population. The data of Anderson et al. were reanalyzed using one multivariate analyses of variance for each of the two measures (time to onset of angina and duration of angina). Multivariate tests were used because the data for 0, 50 and 100 ppm exposure were collected from the same subjects. Since two separate significance tests were to be run (one for time to onset and one for duration) Bonferroni corrections were used to keep experimentwo.se a = .05. Each test would then be evaluated at a/2 = .025. A-4 ------- Table A. Overall Test Results Variable Time to Onset Duration F 7.72 3.10 df 2,8 2,7 P< .014 .11 Table A shows the results of the overall tests. This table agrees with Anderson et al. that time to onset of angina would have been significantly affected by CO exposure but does not agree with Anderson e_t al. that duration of Angina is affected by CO exposure. Stepdown tests of the time to onset data revealed that the 50 ppm exposure showed a CO effect, p<.017 and the 100 ppm exposure showed a CO effect p<.002. Table B. Means of Time to Onset Data CO Level Mean time to onset of Angina 0 ppm 310 50 ppm 265 100 ppm 264 Table B shows the mean times to onset for the 0, 50, and 100 ppm exposure days. While both the 50 and 100 ppm exposures produced shorter times to onset, they did not differ among themselves. (The fact that the p value for the 100 ppm day was lower than for the 50 ppm day was due to the fact that the data on the 100 ppm day were more closely correlated with the 0 ppm values. Thus Table B shows a puzzling non-dose-related finding.) Inspection of Table 1 in Anderson e_t al_. (1973), reveals that all COHb values were related to the exposure level so that the non-dose-related findings in time to onset remain unexplained. To be sure, the variability; was high on all days and with the small number of subjects, such non dose related findings can occur even if the effects A-5 ------- are dose related in the population. This is especially true since the COHb values were both close to the lower limits for CO effects and the general dose-effects curve can be plausibly argued to have a rather low slope. The tests of signficance employed in this critique are quite conservative. Thus, the fact that significant results would have been reported even if appropriate and conservative tests had been done, lends credibility to the study. On the other hand, the non dose related findings are mildly disturbing. Considering (1) the small number of subjects, (2) the high variability of the data, (3) the fact that both doses were near the no-effects level and (4) the low p values on the significance tests, the data are strongly suggestive of an effect but are sorely in need of replication and extension. More subjects should be run and a wider dose range should be studied to be able adequately to quantify a dose-effects curve. Conclusions Several aspects of the study were of above average quality. The study was conducted in a double-blind fashion; very commendable, especially by comparison to the extant literature. Only a small number of variables were studied, thus minimizing the chances of finding some spurious variable which accidentally covaried with CO exposure; another positive quality. When compared to an ideal study the study by Anderson et al. has several flaws in its design and execution and the results have inconsistencies. However, when compared to the extant literature, the design and execution of this study is commendable. None of the inconsistencies are of a major nature and several plausible explanations exist for them. The results of this study suggest that angina is exacerbated by small increases in COHb. This study is sorely in need of replication and extension. More subjects should be run and a wider dose range should be studied to be able to adequately quantify the dose response relationships. Even if no inconsistencies were present in this study, it would be rash to rely entirely upon one study with 10 subjects. It would be equally irresponsible to disregard these findings. The greatest imprudence would be to fail to do the studies sugested by these results. A-6 ------- DRAFT 8/22/83 APPENDIX B CASAC LETTER (AUGUST 31, 1982) TO EPA ADMINISTRATOR CONCERNING ISSUES INVOLVED IN SETTING OF NAAQS FOR CO B-l ------- UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY WASHINGTON. D.C. 20A60 August 31, 1982 OFFICE OF THE ADMINISTRATOR Mrs. Anne M. Gorsuch Admini strator U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Washington, D.C. 20460 Dear Mrs. Gorsuch: The Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC) met on July 6 to provide its advice on several issues related to the ambient air quality standard for carbon monoxide. The Committee had previously advised the Administrator of the scientific adequacy of the criteria document and staff paper in a closure memorandum dated October 9, 1979. At its most recent meeting the Committee provided advice to the Agency on four issues. These included: 1) setting a revised eight-hour carbon monoxide standard that includes five allowable exceedances; 2) the role and significance of the 1981 study published by Dr. Wilbert Aronow; 3) sensitivity analysis and exposure analysis predictions of carboxyhemoglobin (COHb) levels and ambient CO concentrations under alternative air quality standards;. 4) range of scientifically acceptable alternative standards for CO. I would like to briefly summarize for you the Committee's views on each of these issues. 1. Development of a Multiple Exceedance 8-Hour Standard. The CASAC reached a consensus that a multiple exceedance standard has both scientific as well as administrative merit. From a scientific point of view this approach recognizes the stochastic or random-like character of meteorological events; administratively, it reduces the exement of chance in determining compliance with the standard. In recommending that you adopt a multiple exceedance standard, the Committee notes that an increase in the number of allowable exceedances will, in effect relax the existing standard if the standard level 'remains unchanged. In order to provide protection to the public health with an adequate margin of safety you should consider the impact of a multiple exceedance standard upon ambient CO concentrations and levels of blood COHb. B-2 ------- 2. Role of the 1981 Aronow Study. CASAC reached no overall consensus on the significance which the Agency ought to attribute to the Aronow study. The study reported a 10 percent reduction in the time to onset of angina during treadmill exercise at blood carboxyhemoglobin levels of 2 percent. CASAC discussed the fact that the response observed at 2.0% COHb was more subtle than that observed at higher levels (2.7 - 2.9% COHb) and speculated that even more subtle responses might be found at COHb levels below 2.0%. - The Committee concluded that there may be no physiological response threshold for carbon monoxide. One CASAC consultant, while noting that the study data are solid and irrefutable, concluded that activity and exposure patterns of angina patients are far different from the general population. He also observed that there is no reason to believe that changes in the time of onset of angina during treadmill exercise are a valid biologic endpoint for the determination of an adverse health effect. Another Committee consultant, however, concluded that shortening of exercise time prior to the onset of an angina attack clearly is an adverse health effect. While reaching no consensus on the role of this study, the Committee's earlier position as stated in the October 9, 1979 closure memorandum — that.the critical effects level for COHb occurs between 2.7% - 3.0% and that the onset of angina represents an -adverse effect — remains as the CASAC consensus on this issue. 3. Scientific and Technical Adequacy of Sensitivity and Exposure Analyses. The sensitivity and exposure analyses were prepared by the Agency to compare the relationship between ambient CO concentrations and various levels of blood COHb. In addition, the analyses estimated the number and distribution of individuals who were projected to experience various COHb levels under alternative CO standards. CASAC has reviewed the exposure and sensitivity analyses and has concluded that both are scientifically acceptable given the current etate-of-the-art of the scientific community's ability to model physiological and other parameters related to this pollutant. Specifically, the Committee would draw to your attention two of its conclusions on these analyses: 1) the Agency's use of the Haldane constant with a value set at 218 is a reasonable selection among a variety of physiological parameters B-3 ------- discussed in the sensitivity analysis? and 2) the draft preamble states that an Agency objective is to keep 99% of the population below a COHb level of 2.5%. Since there may be no threshold concentration level for carbon monoxide below which no adverse effects will be experienced by anyone, and since one hundred percent protection is not feasible, a social policy choice must be made to limit societal risk from this pollutant. From a scientific standpoint the 99% objective is within the realm of reason, but there may be other than scientific factors you wish to consider in reaching a decision on this particular issue. 4. Scientifically Acceptable Range for the 8-Hour CO Standard. In commenting upon the staff's proposals for a revised 8-hour CO standard set at 9 parts per million (p. p.m.) with five exceedances, or 12 p. p.m. with one exceedance, the Committee made the following consensus observations: o a standard set at 12 p. p.m. with 5 exceedances is not scientifically acceptable o a standard established at 12 p. p.m. with 1 exceedance would provide a very small margin of safety o the scientific evidence alone cannot identify an exact level at which to set a standard for carbon monoxide. Given the need to protect sensitive members of the population from this pollutant, the Committee advises you to choose a standard level and a corresponding number of exceedances that will limit COHb below the critical effects level of 2.7 - 3.0%, with an adequate margin of safety. . The Committee appreciates the opportunity to advise you on the carbon monoxide standard and hopes that its comments will be useful as you finalize the standard. We urge you to proceed expeditiously in this matter because the criteria document and staff paper, reviewed by CASAC more than three years ago, will be increasingly subject to challenge because of any newly published literature on this pollutant. In addition, both the private sector and individual citizens need to know the standard level for the next five years for planning purposes and for reassurance that public health is being adequately protected. Sincerely yours, Sheldon K. Friedlander Chairman, Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee * cc: Dr. John W. Hernandez Kathleen Bennett Dr. Terry F. Yosie B-4 ------- |