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8-61
-------
growth implies that new capacity and new facilities will be
constructed. At the same time, existing facilities will close
as their equipment wears out and becomes obsolete. EPA has
estimated the number of new, replacement, and existing
facilities for 1998 based on industry sector growth, facility
trends, and estimated equipment life.*59 A new facility is one
that has been built to handle the increased output required of
the industry over the impact period. A replacement facility is
one that has been built or rebuilt during the period to replace
worn-out or obsolete equipment. An existing facility is one
that was operating in 1993 and continues to operate in 1998.
The resulting estimates are shown in Table 8-27. These
estimates provide a context for evaluating the economic impacts
discussed in Section 8.3.
8-62
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TABLE 8-27. ESTIMATED NUMBER OF NEW CAPACITY, REPLACEMENT
CAPACITY, AND EXISTING FACILITIES
Sector
Pipeline Break-out
Stations
Pipeline Pumping
Stations
Bulk Terminals
(loading racks)
Bulk Terminals
(storage tanks)
Bulk Terminal Trucks
Bulk Plants
(loading racks)
Bulk Plants
(storage tanks)
Bulk Plant Trucks
Service Stations
New
Capacity
10
80
40
40
1,690
0
0
0
9,540
Replacement
Capacity
30
960
490
110
14,070
3,580
570
12,440
40,740
Existing
230
960
490
880
28,140
9,020
12,030
31,360
337,450
Total
270
1,990
1,020
1,020
43,900
12,600
12,600
43,800
387,730
Note: Figures may not add due to rounding.
8-63
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8.3 ESTIMATION OF ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL IMPACTS
Gasoline distribution in the United States represents a
vertically integrated system that consists of several individual
markets. Each market is affected by the supply and demand
forces of interlinked markets. For example, refined gasoline
combined with pipeline services provides "delivered gasoline" to
the delivered gasoline market.
The cost of the additional equipment and services at
several points in the distribution chain, creates incentives for
producers and consumers in related markets to simultaneously
adjust their production and consumption of gasoline marketing
services. To evaluate the economic impacts requires an economic
model that can estimate the price and quantity changes on all
the distribution markets affected directly or indirectly by the
regulation.
8.3.1 Market Interaction Model Summary
Figure 8-9 illustrates the key markets modeled to represent
the gasoline distribution system. These particular markets are
key for two reasons: they represent the different stages of the
gasoline marketing system, and they reflect production
activities that were considered for direct regulation during
standard development. Markets in the model were also chosen to
represent the major sectors involved in the marketing of
gasoline in the U.S. The market interaction model assumes that
all refinery gasoline moves by pipeline. This assumption may
overstate market impacts because it prohibits substitution of
other possible modes of transportation. Combining delivered
gasoline and terminal equipment produces terminal storage
services. Terminal storage services can, in turn, either be
combined with terminal transportation services to provide
retail-commercial gasoline for "large volume" (large throughput)
outlets or gasoline for storage in bulk plants. The gasoline
8-64
-------
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8-65
-------
from bulk terminals to be stored at bulk plants can be combined
with bulk plant equipment to provide bulk plant storage
services. Combining these services with bulk plant
transportation services provides retail-commercial gasoline for
small volume (small throughput) outlets.
These markets are represented mathematically as a system of
thirty six linear equations based on Hicks' and Muth's work on
specification of theoretically correct systems of demand and
supply equations in linear form.78-79 The coefficients of these
equations represent the responsiveness of key product or service
supply and demand schedules to shifts in the corresponding
demand and supply, respectively. The variables of the model are
proportionate changes in equilibrium prices and quantities of
the markets modeled and the "right hand side" variables are the
proportionate changes in market supply associated with the
additional cost of meeting the requirements of the regulation.
By specifying the supply shifts associated with the regulations,
the model can be solved to find associated changes in price and
quantity in all markets represented by the model. Applying
these changes to baseline levels of price and quantity provides
estimates of the market impacts of a proposed regulation. A
detailed description of the model's structure and data is
provided in the Economic Impact Analysis report.67
8.3.1.1 Estimation of Baseline Year Values and Model
Parameters. Table 8-28 presents the estimated prices and
quantities for the baseline year of analysis. As discussed in
Section 8.2, baseline estimates of prices and quantities are
forecasts and are subject to the usual forecasting
uncertainties. Baseline year prices for each sector are
estimated from the projected average retail price of gasoline in
1998 in 1990 price terms ($0.357 per liter; see Section 8.2.2
for the derivation of this price). Price margins for each
sector are estimated in Section 8.1.3.2 from industry sources.
8-66
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TABLE 8-28. ESTIMATED BASELINE YEAR PRICES AND QUANTITIES
Commodity
Refined Gasoline
Other Pipeline Inputs
Delivered Gasoline
Other Inputs at Terminals
Terminal Storage Services
Terminal Storage Services — Input to
Wholesale Gasoline from Terminal
Terminal Storage Services — Input to
Gasoline from Terminal to Bulk Plant
Transportation Services from the Terminal
Transportation Services from the Terminal--
Input to Wholesale Gasoline from Terminal
Transportation Services from the Terminal--
Input to Gasoline from Terminal to
Bulk Plant
Wholesale Gasoline from Terminal
Gasoline from Terminal to Bulk Plant
Other Inputs at Bulk Plants
Bulk Plant Storage Services
Transportation Services from the Bulk Plant
Wholesale Gasoline from the Bulk Plant
Other Low Volume Service Station Inputs
Low Volume Station Gasoline
Other High Volume Service Station Inputs
High Volume Station Gasoline
Quantity
(in billions
of liters)
441.8
441.8
441.8
441.8
441.8
362.3
79.5
441.8
362.3
79.5
' 362.3
79.5
79.5
79.5
79.5
79.5
79.5
79.5
362.3
362.3
Price
(in
S/liter)
0.322
0.008
0.330
0.005
0.335
0.335
0.335
0.007
0.007
0.007
0.342
0.342
0.005
0.347
0.007
0.354
0.013
0.367
0.013
0.355
Percentage of
Commodity Market Shares
Terminal Transportation Services--Input to
Wholesale Gasoline from Terminal
Terminal Transportation Services --Input to
Gasoline from Terminal to Bulk Plant
Terminal Storage Service- -Input to Wholesale
Gasoline from Terminal to Bulk Plant
Terminal Storage Service--Input to Gasoline
from Terminal to Bulk Plant
Total Volume
82
18
82
18
8-67
-------
These margins are subtracted from the retail price of gasoline
in 1998 (in 1990 dollars) to compute the price of gasoline as it
leaves each sector. Because federal and state gasoline taxes
are assessed at several different points in the system but
primarily at the refinery (typically for federal taxes), no
attempt was made to net taxes out with the other operating
margins. Industry quantities for 1998 are estimated based on
total projected gasoline consumption, calculated in Section
8.2.1, and on historical trends in shares for each of the
industry sectors. The model requires certain "elasticity"
parameters to represent the conditions and interrelationships in
the U.S. gasoline market. For example, it is necessary to
develop an estimate of how responsive gasoline consumers are to
changes in the price of gasoline. That is, for. a given price
change, what is the effect on the quantity of "gasoline consumed?
This relationship is called the own-price elasticity of demand.
The Economic Impact Analysis report presents the estimated
values for these parameters.^7 The parameter values were
selected to represent nonvolatile economic relationships. For
example, it is assumed that producers are severely limited in
their ability to alter the mix of each product's inputs (i.e.,
the elasticities of substitution are very small).
8.3.1.2 Impacts of Regulatory Supply Shifts. Shifts in
market supply due to the proposed regulations will initially
take place at three points in the gasoline distribution
industry. These supply shifts are estimated based on the
control costs presented in Chapter 7 for regulatory alternatives
IV, IV Q, and IV M. These are the regulatory alternatives
examined in this economic analysis because they control major
emission sources only. The correct control costs to use depends
on the level of control consistent with the regulatory
alternative and the "marginal" facility being controlled.
8-68
-------
The marginal facility is that establishment whose
production costs (including a "normal" profit) equal the price
that consumers are willing to pay for the last unit of gasoline
consumed. Thus, the marginal facility provides the supply at
the point where the supply and demand schedules intersect. This
is depicted in Figure 8-10 for a hypothetical supply and demand
schedule for the market for Other Inputs at Terminals. Before
regulation, the supply of these services is S° and the demand is
D°. S° is a short run supply schedule (existing firms will
produce so long as they cover their fixed costs), but it also
reflects the willingness of new firms to enter the market and
provide additional capacity at price pO. The new firms comprise
the marginal firms in this market over this period. If existing
firms attempted to raise the price higher than pO, new firms
will enter the market and bid away the business of existing
firms. Such market conditions are particularly likely in
"transition" industries characterized by technical or
institutional changes that affect the long run cost of
production.80 jn this setting, then, the economic impact will
depend on the minimum control cost needed to meet the regulation
required of new firms.
The imposition of the regulation will cause facilities'
production costs to rise equal to the additional cost of
complying with the regulation. The market impact of the
regulation is depicted in Figure 8-10 by a new supply curve such
as S1. Holding post-regulatory demand constant, the new price
and quantity for retail gasoline is determined by the
intersection of the post-regulatory supply function, S1, and the
demand function D^. Given the perspective that the marginal
firm is best represented by new firms, this analysis bases the
relevant shift from S° to S1 in this analysis on the cost of
control at new facilities. To emphasize that this is likely to
be different from the control costs of existing facilities, we
show the downward sloping segment of the new supply schedule as
8-69
-------
Price
P0
Ql Q0
Quantity
Figure 8-10. Hypothetical Bulk Terminal Services
Other Inputs Market
8-70
-------
having a different slope from S° . This highlights the fact that
the costs of regulation imposed on existing firms will vary with
such circumstances as facility size, initial level of control,
etc. A corollary observation is that regulation will impose
distributional impacts (net financial gains or losses) on firms
that are distinct from the market impacts identified in this
section of the analysis.
8.3.1.3 Estimation of Marginal Facility Cost. As
described in the industry profile, there are a wide variety of
plant sizes in the gasoline distribution industry. Theory
indicates that this is due to the fact that demand for wholesale
and retail gasoline distribution varies considerably over space
and/or that the cost of production varies considerably with
distance. In both cases, this means that the.markets for most
gasoline distribution services are "local." Trends toward
larger production facilities were identified in Section 8.1, but
most markets are still geographically circumscribed, especially
in the later stages of distribution.
Selecting a supply shift for marginal bulk terminal
facilities in the market interaction model should therefore
reflect the diversity of local markets. These range from larger
metropolitan markets served by large capacity facilities to
small rural markets served by small facilities. Consequently,
EPA estimates the shift in the supply price of new bulk terminal
facilities as the weighted average of the cost of compliance of
all the relevant model plants. The weights are based on the
amount of throughput attributed to each of the bulk terminal .
model plant size categories in xhe baseline.
Similarly, the supply shift in bulk terminal transportation
inputs due to required monthly truck leak testing and repair at
new plants is based on the weighted average of cost of these
tests to the different model plants. The costs for each model
plant varied in proportion to the number of trucks that served
8-71
-------
that plant (the weights included a 40 percent allowance for new
plants in non-attainment areas where Control Technology Guidance
already specified monthly leak testing of gasoline trucks). The
supply shift for pipeline breakout stations is also based on the
weighted average cost of monthly leak detection and repair at
new model plants.
Table 8-29 describes each affected sector's marginal
facility and the estimated increased cost per liter of
throughput represented by that marginal facility. The cost
shift for pipelines is negative because recovery credits
anticipated from leak reduction are greater than the cost of the
monthly inspection and repair.
Costs associated with required control at -existing plants
or in sectors where only existing plants are affected by the
regulation are not included in this table because new plants are
marginal facilities (see the discussion in Section 8.3.1.2). As
discussed below, existing plant costs are reflected in the
economic welfare effects of the regulation but they are not
expected to have any significant influence on the market
impacts.
8.3.2 Market Adjustments
The marginal facility cost increases per liter of output
from Table 8-29 were entered into the model and solved for
estimated market changes in price and quantity. The effects of
the supply shifts for regulatory alternatives IV, IVQ, and IVM
on all markets are shown in Table 8-30 and 8-30A. This table
shows that the estimated market impacts of the proposed
regulation will be relatively small, because the additional
costs imposed are relatively small and buffered as they are
passed through the market in the form of price and quantity
changes. These estimates apply to all the regulatory
8-72
-------
TABLE 8-29. REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES IV, IVQ, AND IVM:
MARGINAL FACILITY CHARACTERISTICS
Cost
Facility Marginal Facility Per Liter
Type ($)
Pipelines Weighted average cost of
leak detection and repair
at new model plants -9.77818 x 10~7a
Bulk Weighted average cost of
Terminals vacuum assist at new model
plants. 4.9047185 x 10"4
Bulk Weighted average cost
Terminal of leak detection and
Transpor- repair at new model plants. 7.2,x 10"^
tation
•
a For pipelines, the credits for detection and repair are greater than the
costs resulting in a negative cost per liter.
8-73
-------
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alternatives (IV, IVQ, and IVM) since differences among them
only affect controls required of existing plants.
The biggest price change will occur in the cost of other
inputs to bulk terminal storage (9.8 percent). Since these
other inputs constitute only a small share of costs, however,
bulk terminal storage services are estimated to increase in
price by only one tenth of a percent. While the rounding
convention of the table obscures some differences in the change
in quantity estimated for the proposed regulation, these are all
in the neighborhood of one tenth of one percent for each
industry sector. This amounts to a reduction in consumption of
roughly 300 million liters of gasoline per year. Thus, while
the relative changes in gasoline distribution markets are
estimated to be small, the market is so large that some of the
absolute market effects are non-trivial.
8.3.3 Employment Imnacts.
If percentage changes in output due to the regulation are
assumed to be perfectly reflected in percentage changes in
employment, roughly 1,100 jobs will be lost from estimated
baseline employment in the gasoline marketing sectors considered
here. These results are put into perspective in Table 8-31.
Nearly 80 percent of the jobs lost will be in the service
station sectors due to the reduction in gasoline consumption
occasioned by the rise in the retail price of gasoline. These
jobs, however, constitute only five one-hundredths of a percent
of baseline employment in the low volume service station sector
and seven one-hundredths of a percent in the high volume service
station sector. These job losses are also a very small
percentage of the baseline job increases projected for most of
these sectors in the five year period following proposal action,
1993-1998: just under 3 percent of increased employment in the
8-76
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8-77
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high volume service station sector and just over 2 percent in
the low volume service station sector.
For bulk terminals, the job losses constitute just under
two percent of anticipated job growth. With the exception of
the bulk plant sectors, where sixteen jobs are expected to be
lost over the analysis period, the projected job losses due to
the regulation are more accurately interpreted as reductions in
job opportunities rather than terminations of existing jobs.
Loss of jobs also imposes some displacement or transaction
costs on the economy. An examination of these costs showed
that, in a statistical sense, workers would be willing to accept
wage reductions equivalent to roughly $57,000 for an increase in
job security equal to the statistical equivalent of one job.81
Since most of the job reductions estimated here are changes in
job opportunities, rather than actual losses in jobs, it is not
clear that the estimated job displacement costs apply to any but
the bulk plant and bulk plant transportation jobs. For these
two sectors, job displacement costs estimated by the imputed
value of job security are less than one million dollars.
8.3.4 Facility and Firm Impacts
8.3.4.1 Facility Closure Estimates. Although the
reductions in quantity reflected in the market interaction model
results discussed in Section 8.3.2 are not large in percentage
terms, the scale of activity in the gasoline marketing industry
makes them noteworthy. The quantity changes may reflect changes
in output of existing facilities, closure of facilities, or
both. Assuming in the extreme that all the quantity changes
occur as a result of closing existing facilities or never
opening new facilities, plant closure due to the regulation can
be estimated. Further assuming that the smallest model plants
in each sector are most vulnerable to closure, this analysis
estimates the plant closures listed in Table 8-32.
8-78
-------
TABLE 8-32. ESTIMATED FIRM IMPACTS
Distribution
Sector
Refineries
Pipelines
Bulk Terminals
Bulk Term. Transportation^.
Bulk Plants
Bulk Plant Transportation*3.
Low Vol. Service Station
High Vol. Service Station
Total
Facilities
1998
1020
12600
279650
108100
Potential
Plant
Closuresa
N/A
N/A
3
15
12
12
440
165
% Reduction
in new
facilities15
6.57
c
25.64
2.11
Total
647
Note: Potential plant closure figures are not applicable for refineries and
pipelines because it is assumed that these types 'of facilities do not
close, but rather reduce capacity or capacity utilization or postpone
addition of new capacity.
a Potential plant closures are the absolute change in quantity of
throughput divided by throughput of the smallest model plant.
b Percentage reduction in new facilities is facility closures
percentage of anticipated facility growth.
c No growth anticipated for bulk plants.
d Assumed for-hire firm for Bulk Terminal Transportation and captive for
Bulk Plant Transportation because they have the smallest throughput
(this creates a worst-case scenario).
as a
8-79
-------
The total estimated number of closures is 647. of all
closures, more than 90 percent are in the service station
sector. In this sector, 72 percent of closures are among Low
Volume Service Stations, while the remaining 28 percent are
among.High Volume Service Stations. While the number of
facility closures among service stations is in the hundreds, it
should be kept in mind that the total number of stations in the
country is over 380,000 and that the number of facilities closed
constitutes less than one percent. While there are 647 total
plant closures estimated across all sectors, the projected plant
closures due to the regulation are more accurately interpreted
as reductions in new facility openings rather than closures of
existing facilities. Plant closures for refineries and
pipelines are not applicable because it is assumed that these
types of facilities do not close, but rather reduce capacity or
capacity utilization, or postpone the addition of new capacity.
8.3.4.2 Firm Impacts and Financial Health. The EPA
includes estimates of firm-level financial impacts in many of
the economic impact analyses of its regulations. Identification
of the firm-level impacts for the "gasoline distribution
industry" involves two aspects: the size of the financial
impacts and whether these impacts threaten the existence of
firms in the industry. Chapter 7 presents cost data at the
facility or establishment level using model plants for selected
regulatory options for the pipeline, bulk terminal, and bulk
terminal transportation sectors of the industry.
These data show that the cost of all the regulatory
alternatives are relatively small when compared to current costs
of production or current prices per liter. These data also show
that small model plants will experience higher costs of control
per unit of throughput than large model plants. These facility
or model plant costs can be combined with firm level
descriptions and financial information to provide estimates of
8-80
-------
the firm level financial impacts of the proposed regulations.
Such impact estimates are reported in the Economic Impact
Analyses report.^
Estimating firm financial impact estimates involved the
following sequence of activities:
1. Characterize "model firms" based on available data on
firm size and facility ownership in each industry
sector. This characterization concluded with estimation
of model firm sales.
2. Construct pro-forma balance sheets and income statements
for model firms based on Dun and Bradstreet financial
ratios for each industry sector. Three sets of ratios
were used, each set representative of firms in either
above average, average, or below average financial
health.
3. Compute compliance costs for each model firm based on
the control costs of facilities estimated to be owned by
each of the model firms and the cost of capital based on
industry sector and firm financial health.
4. Revise the model firms pro forma balance sheets and
income statements based upon the estimated compliance
costs for firms. Model firms with below average
financial health were treated as financing purchases
out of cash reserves.
5. Use the revised balance sheets and income statements to
compute new financial ratios for model firms and assess
the impact of the regulation on these ratios. Ratios
used were the liquidity, activity, leverage, and
profitability ratios.
This financial analysis reported in the Economic impact
Analysis report was conducted using the most stringent
regulatory alternative, Regulatory Alternative I, as a basis for
estimating firm compliance costs. In addition, the analysis
assumed that each model plant would have the highest possible .
control costs i.e., existing plants with the lowest initial
level of control. Under these extreme conditions, small model
firms with below-average financial health still has enough cash
in their pro-forma balance sheet to cover the cost of control.
8-81
-------
At the same time, the financial ratios of model firms were
hardly affected by the compliance costs.
No average or above average firms' ratios fell in the range
of the less financially healthy firms' ratios after the
regulation. Regulatory alternatives IV, IV-Q, and IV-M are
substantially less stringent than Regulatory Alternative I and
would result in considerably lower control costs. Consequently,
even firms in below average financial health are expected to be
able to cover the costs of complying with this regulation and
firms in average or better financial health will not suffer
serious financial affects.
8.3.5 Economic Welfare Changes
The results of the market impact model can be used to
improve estimates of the costs of the regulation so that they
more closely correspond to economic welfare measures. Even
though the impact of the regulation directly affects only
certain gasoline distribution markets, the interaction among the
markets transmits these changes to upstream and downstream
markets. The cumulative welfare impact, as well as the
distributional effect of this regulation on consumers and
producers, can be measured in the two "final" markets: High
Volume Service Stations and Low Volume Service Stations.82
For this analysis, measures of producers and consumers
surplus are used to approximate the theoretically correct
willingness-to-pay measures of welfare change. If the income
effects of the regulation are small, this approximation is quite
good.83 The Economic Impact Analysis report provides a more
detailed discussion of the theory and procedures used to
estimate these economic welfare and distribution estimates.67
Table 8-33 presents estimates of changes in producer and
consumer surplus and economic welfare based on the quantity and
8-82
-------
TABLE 8-33. ESTIMATED CHANGES IN ECONOMIC
WELFARE ($106 1990 DOLLARS)
ALT IV ALT IV-Q ALT IV-M
Transfers
Consumer Surplus
High Volume -134.4 -134.4 -134.4
Low Volume -29.2 -29.2 -29.2
Total -163.6 -163.6 -163.6
Producer Surplus
Total 145.3 145.8 145.4
Net Welfare Change
Costs -18.3 -17.8 -18.2
8-83
-------
price changes of the market interaction model and the facility
costs estimated in Chapter 7. All consumers lose some surplus
(bear some cost) due to the increase in price and decrease in
quantity of gasoline associated with the regulation. Although
the price and quantity changes are themselves relatively small,
the estimated loss amounts to about $163 million a year. The
magnitude substantially exceeds aggregate control cost estimates
because of the huge volume of gasoline across which the price
increases apply. At the same time, some producers lose (those
with high compliance and production costs) while others benefit
from the higher prices more than they are damaged by the costs
of compliance. On net, producers gain an estimated surplus of
about $145 million per year. These estimates of producer surplus
vary slightly across the three regulatory alternatives because
the real resource costs borne by existing firms change with the
alternatives.
The net difference in surplus changes is the economic
welfare cost of the regulation after market adjustments. This
figure is estimated to be roughly $18 million per year and
varies slightly between regulatory alternatives IV, IVQ, and
IVM. Note that this estimate does not reflect the environmental
and health benefits that the regulation yields. Judging the
merit of the regulation on grounds of economic efficiency is
possible only if one weighs these economic welfare costs against
the benefits they produce.
8.3.6 Small Business Impacts
The Economic Impact Analysis^? develops estimates of the
size distribution of firms in different segments of the gasoline
distribution industry based on the number of establishments
owned and assignment of model plant combinations to the firms
owning multiple plants. As shown on Table 8-34, when the Small
Business Administration's definition of small business is
8-84
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applied to these firms, the majority of firms are classified as
small businesses in every industry segment examined. The
percentage of firms classified as small ranges from 56 percent
for bulk terminals to 99 percent for public service stations.
This striking result occurs in part because of the way in
which these data were compiled: the firm size categories were
coarse and the data did not allow for vertical or horizontal
integration of firms. Finer, more complete data would probably
result in a substantial reduction in the number of firms
classified as small in each sector of the gasoline distribution
industry. Even so, the evidence compiled in Table 8-34, when
added to the information on industry organization compiled in
Section 8.1, suggest that there are a substantial number of
small firms distributing gasoline that will be affected by the
regulation either directly or indirectly through increases in
the cost of gasoline or reductions in gasoline consumption.
At the same time, however, there is little to suggest that
any of the regulatory alternatives under consideration would
result in financial impacts that would significantly or
differentially stress the affected small businesses. This
conclusion is based on three considerations:
• First, the sectors that are being directly regulated are
the same sectors that are characterized by larger firms
and vertical integration back through gasoline
production: pipelines, bulk terminals, and bulk terminal
transportation. Bulk plants, bulk plant transportation,
and service stations are not affected directly by the
regulation because they are not major emissions sources.
• Second, for all but the smallest facilities in directly
affected industry segments, the costs of control
associated with any of these alternatives are a minute
fraction of production costs. More importantly, small
scale facilities are likely to be serving small or
specialized markets. This makes it unlikely that the
differential in unit cost of control estimated between
the smallest and largest model plants of an industry
sector will seriously affect the competitive position of
8-86
-------
small firms, even assuming that the small firms own small
facilities.
• Finally, the examination of firm financial impacts
performed using pro forma balance sheets showed that even
small firms in poor financial condition could fund
estimated control costs with cash balances and that
financial ratio of small firms were not significantly
impacted by the regulation. The available data, while
admittedly limiting the precision of the analysis,
nevertheless suggest that only firms that are
exceptionally vulnerable financially will be threatened
by the cost of these controls. This threat appears to
depend more on the financial condition of the firm that
on its size.
While EPA expects that this regulation will slightly slow
growth in facilities and jobs in most sectors and that, in the
bulk plant and bulk plant transportation sectors, the closure of
some existing firms will be hastened, small firms in the
gasoline distribution industry would not be differentially
affected by these regulations because of their size alone.
8-87
-------
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-------
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8-89
-------
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8-90
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-------
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Gasoline Bulk Plant.
74. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Bulk Gasoline
Terminals Background Information for Proposed Standards.
Publication No. EPA-450/3-80-038a. December 1980.
75. Telecon. Thompson, S.H., Pacific Environmental Services,
Inc., with McCauley, V., U.S. Department of Transportation.
March 12, 1991. Product Pipelines.
76. Memorandum, from Thompson, S.H., to Shedd, S.A., U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency/ Chemicals and Petroleum
Branch. March 27, 1991. Trip Report for Plantation
Pipeline, Greensboro, NC.
77. Products Pipelines of the United States and Canada. Tulsa,
PennWell Publishing Company.. 1988.
78. Hicks, J.R. The Theory of Wages. New York, Peter Smith.
1948.
79. Muth, R.F. the Derived Demand Curve for a Productive Factor
and the Industry Supply Curve. Oxford Economic Papers. 16:
221-234. 1964.
80. Nicholson, Walter. Intermediate Microeconomics and Its
Application, 2nd ed. The Dryden Press. Chicago, IL. 1979.
pp. 292-293.
81. Anderson, D.W. and Chandran, R.V. Market Estimates of
Worker Dislocation Costs. Economics Letters 2A- 381-384.
1987
82. Just, Richard E., Darrell L. Hueth, and Andrew Schmitz.
1982. Applied Welfare Economics and Public Policy.
Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall, Inc.
83. Willig, Robert D., 1976. Consumer's Surplus Without
Apology. American Economic Review. 66(4): 597-98.
8-93
-------
APPENDIX A
EVOLUTION OF THE BACKGROUND INFORMATION DOCUMENT
The purpose of this study was to develop a basis for
supporting proposed national emission standards for hazardous air
pollutants (NESHAP) for the gasoline distribution (Stage I)
network. To accomplish the objectives of this program, technical
data were acquired on the following aspects of this industry:
(1) facility types and emission sources, (2) the release of HAP
and VOC emissions into the atmosphere by these sources, and (3)
the types and costs of demonstrated emission control
technologies. The bulk of the information was gathered from the
following sources:
1. Technical literature;
2. State, regional, and local air pollution control
agencies;
3. Plant visits;
4. Industry representatives; and
5. Equipment vendors.
Significant events relating to the evolution of the
background information document are recorded in chronological
order in Table A-l.
A-l
-------
TABLE A-l. EVOLUTION OF THE BACKGROUND INFORMATION DOCUMENT
Date
Company, Consultant, or Agency/Location
Nature of Action
3/8/74
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
11/1/76 to 6/1/77 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Promulgated NSPS for New Petroleum
Liquid Storage Tanks (40 CFR Part 60
Subpart K, 39 FR 9317).
Section 114 letters sent to oil
companies regarding specific bulk
terminals.
6/8/77
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Benzene is listed as a hazardous air
pollutant (HAP) under section 112 of
the Clean Air Act.
10/77
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Bulk Gasoline Terminal Control
Techniques Guideline issued (Control
of Hydrocarbons from Tank Truck
Gasoline Loading Terminals. EPA
Publication No. EPA-450/2-77-026).
12/77
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Fixed-Roof Tank Control Techniques
Guideline issued (Control of
Volatile Organic Emissions from
Storage of Petroleum Liquids in
Fixed-Roof Tanks. EPA Publication
No. EPA-450/2-77-036).
12/77
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Bulk Gasoline Plant Control Techniques
Guideline issued (Control of
Volatile Organic Emissions from Bulk
Gasoline Plants. EPA Publication
No. EPA-450/2-77-035).
6/78
U.S Environmental Protection Agency
1978
12/78
National Air Pollution Control Techniques
Advisory Committee (NAPCTAC)
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Petroleum Refinery Equipment Leak
Control Techniques Guideline issued
(Control of Volatile Organic
Compound Leaks from Petroleum
Refinery Equipment. EPA Publication
No. EPA-450/2-78-036).
Review of draft Stage I Benzene
Package.
External Floating Roof Tank Control
Techniques Guideline issued (Control
of Volatile Organic Emissions from
Petroleum Liquid Storage in External
Floating Roof Tanks. EPA
Publication No. EPA-450/2-78-047).
A-2
-------
TABLE A-l. (Continued)
Date
Company, Consultant, or Agency/Location Nature of Action
12/78
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
4/4/80
12/17/80
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
8/18/83
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
5/30/84
6/84
8/8/84
2/7/87
4/8/87
7/87
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Natural Resources Defense Council
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
9/14/89
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Tank Truck/Vapor Collection System
Control Techniques Guideline
issued (Control of Volatile
Organic Compound Leaks from
Gasoline Tank Trucks and Vapor
Collection Systems. EPA
Publication No. EPA-450/2-78-051).
Promulgated additional NSPS for New
Petroleum Liquid Storage Vessels
(40 CFR 60 Subpart Ka, 45 FR
23379).
Proposed NSPS for new Bulk Gasoline
Terminals (40 CFR 60 Subpart XX,
45 FR 83126) and issued draft
background information document
(EPA Publication No. EPA-450/3-80-
038a).
Promulgated NSPS for new Bulk
Gasoline Terminals (40 CFR 60
Subpart XX, 48 FR 37590) and
issued final background
information document (EPA
Publication No. EPA-450/3-80-
038b).
Promulgated NSPS for Equipment Leaks
of V(3C at Petroleum Refineries (40
CFR 60 Subpart GGG, 49 FR 22606).
Draft For Risk Exposure issued
(Estimation of the Public Health
Risk from Exposure to Gasoline
Vapor via the Gasoline Marketing
System).
Issuance of Evaluation of Air
Pollution Regulatory Strategies
for Gasoline Marketing Industry
(EPA-450/3-84-012a).
NRDC lawsuit.
Promulgated additional NSPS for New
Petroleum Liquid Storage Vessels
(40 CFR 60 Subpart Kb, 52 FR
11428).
Issuance of "Draft Regulatory Impact
Analysis: Proposed Refueling
Emission Regulation for Gasoline-
Fueled Motor Vehicles • Volume I:
Analysis of Gasoline Marketing
Regulatory Strategies." EPA-
450/3-87-OOIa.
Proposed Gasoline Marketing Benzene
Standards (54 FR 38083).
A-3
-------
TABLE A-l. (Continued)
Date
Company, Consultant, or Agency/Location Nature of Action
12/20/90
Piedmont Aviation Services,
Uinston-Selem, NC
Plant visit to gather background
information concerning airplane
fueling and gasoline throughput.
3/7/90
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Withdrew Gasoline Marketing Benzene
Standards <45 FR 8292).
11/15/90
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Additional compounds in gasoline
listed as HAPs (1990 CAAA).
12/18/90
Fina Oil & Chemical Co.,
Port Arthur, TX
Plant visit to gather background
information concerning vacuum
assist technology for tank truck
loading at terminals.
1/17/91
2/4/91
2/21/91
Puget Sound Air Pollution Control
Agency, Seattle, UA
New Jersey State Department of
Environmental Protection, Trenton, NJ
American Petroleum Institute (API),
Washington, DC
Plantation Pipe Line,
Gas torn a, NC
Letter requesting performance test
reports for vapor control systems
at bulk gasoline terminals.
Letter requesting performance test
reports for vapor control systems
at bulk gasoline terminals.
Letter requesting information
concerning the composition of
gasoline vapors.
Plant visit to gather background
information concerning operations
at pipeline pumping stations.
2/22/91
2/25/91
2/26/91
2/26/91
4/22/91
4/23/91
Service Distributing Company, Inc.,
Albemarle, NC
Braswell Equipment Co.,
Wilson, NC
Arnold Equipment Co.,
Greensboro, NC
Southern Pump and Tank Co.,
Raleigh, NC
Braswell Equipment Co.,
Wilson, NC
Mobil Oil Corporation,
Albany, NY
Powell Duffryn Terminals, Inc.,
Bayonne, NJ
Letter requesting cost information
concerning installing and
retrofitting Stage I vapor
recovery at service stations.
Letter requesting information
concerning bulk gasoline plant and
service station costs.
Letter requesting information
concerning bulk gasoline plant and
service station costs.
Letter requesting information
concerning bulk gasoline plant
and service station costs.
Letter requesting information
concerning bulk gasoline plant and
service station costs.
Plant visit to gather background
information concerning railcar
loading operations.
Plant visit.
A-4
-------
TABLE A-l. (Concluded)
Date
Company. Consultant, or Agency/Location Nature of Action
6/21/91
9/19/91
9/30/91
11/91
7/16/92
9/92
11/17/92
2/18/93
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Maryland Department of Environment,
Baltimore, MD
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Industry members, selected equipment
vendors and consultants
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
NAPCTAC
U.S. EPA/NAPCTAC, Durham, NC
U.S. EPA/API, Durham, NC
Federal Register notice announcing
availability of preliminary draft
list of categories of major and area
sources of HAPs (56 FR 28548).
Letter requesting information
concerning bulk gasoline plant and
service station costs.
Floating and Fixed-Roof Tank Control
Techniques issued (Control of
Volatile Organic Compound Emissions
from Volatile Organic Liquid Storage
in Floating and Fixed-Roof Tanks.
Draft.)
Mailed draft BID Chapters 3-8.2 and
Appendices B & C.
Federal Register notice publishing
initial list of categories of major
and area sources of HAPs (57 FR
31576).
Received draft BID for comment.
NAPCTAC meeting.
Meeting to discuss issues and comments
from NAPCTAC meeting.
A-5
-------
APPENDIX B
INDEX TO ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT CONSIDERATIONS
This appendix consists of a reference system which is cross-
indexed with the October 21, 1974, Federal Register (39 FR 37419)
containing the Agency guidelines concerning the preparation of
environmental impact statements. This index can be used to
identify sections of this document which contain data and
information germane to any portion of the Federal Register
guidelines.
B-l
-------
TABLE B-l. CROSS-INDEXED REFERENCE SYSTEM TO HIGHLIGHT
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE DOCUMENT
Agency guidelines for preparing
regulatory action for environmental
impact statements (39 FR 37419)
Location within the background
information document
1. BACKGROUND AND SUMMARY OF
REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
Summary of regulatory
alternatives
The regulatory alternatives from
which standards will be chosen for
proposal are summarized in Chapter 1,
Section 1.2.
Statutory basis for proposing
standards
The statutory basis for proposing
standards is summarized in Chapter 1,
Section 1.1.
Relationship to other
regulatory agency actions
The relationships between EPA and
other regulatory agency actions are
discussed in Chapters 3, 7, and 8.
Industries affected by the
regulatory alternatives
A discussion of the industries
affected by the regulatory
alternatives is presented in Chapter
3, Section 3.1. Further details
covering the business and economic
nature of the industry are presented
in Chapters 6, 7, and 8.
Specific processes affected by
the regulatory alternatives
The specific processes and facilities
affected by the regulatory
alternatives are summarized in
Chapter 1, Section 1.1.
A detailed technical discussion of
the processes affected by the
regulatory alternatives is present in
Chapter 4, Section 4.1.
B-2
-------
TABLE B-l. (Concluded)
Agency guidelines for preparing
regulatory action for environmental
impact statements (39 FR 37419)
Location within the background
information document
2. REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
Control techniques
The alternative control techniques
are discussed in Chapter 4.
Regulatory alternatives
The various regulatory alternatives
are defined in Chapter 5, Section
5.2. A summary of the major
alternatives considered is included
in Chapter 1, Section 1.2.
3. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF THE
REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
Primary impacts directly
attributable to the regulatory
alternatives
The primary impacts on mass emissions
and ambient air quality due to the
alternative control systems are
discussed in Chapter 6, Section 6.1.
A matrix summarizing the
environmental impacts is included in
Chapter 1.
Secondary or induced impacts
Secondary impacts for the various
regulatory alternatives are discussed
in Chapter 6, Sections 6.2, 6.3, 6.4,
6.5, and 6.6.
4. OTHER CONSIDERATIONS
A summary of the potential adverse
environmental impacts associated with
the regulatory alternatives is
included in Chapter 1, Section 1.3,
and Chapter 6. Potential socio-
economic and inflationary impacts are
discussed in Chapter 8, Section 8.3.
B-3
-------
APPENDIX C
CALCULATION OF HAP VAPOR PROFILES FOR GASOLINE
The purpose of this appendix is to present the
methodology and results of the analysis to estimate the
hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) in gasoline vapor. This
appendix consists of two sections. The first section
contains the information resulting from a search conducted
to obtain data related to the composition of gasoline vapor,
that was specific enough to allow the identification and
quantification of those HAPs contained on the 1990 Clean Air
Act Amendments list. Section C.I discusses the information
obtained from this search as well as the mathematical
procedures used to develop a "typical" HAP vapor profile for
normal gasoline.
Requirements in Title II of the 1990 CAAA will lead to
the fuel composition being changed in many areas of the
country. These programs are not yet in effect, so it was
difficult to obtain any actual data related to the
composition of gasoline vapors from reformulated or
oxygenated gasoline. Therefore, adjustments were made to
the normal gasoline profile to attempt to represent vapor
compositions of possible reformulated or oxygenated
gasoline. The methodology used to modify the normal profile
forms the basis for the second section of this appendix and
is discussed in Section C.2.
C.I NORMAL GASOLINE
To locate information on gasoline vapor composition,
literature searches were conducted and trade organizations,
research organizations, regulatory agencies, and large and
C-l
-------
small oil companies were contacted. Overall, over 100
sources were contacted to attempt to obtain information on
this subject. These included the American Petroleum
Institute (API), Western States Petroleum Association
(WSPA), the National Institute for Petroleum and Energy
Research (NIPER), the Coordinating Research Council (CRC),
the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE), the Motor
Vehicles Manufacturers Association (MVMA), all the major oil
companies, the California Air Resources Board, and many
others.
Information obtained during this search indicated that
a great deal of research was being conducted related to the
composition of tailpipe emissions from automobiles.
However, information related to the composition of
evaporative emissions from gasoline transfer and storage
operations was limited.
A total of forty nine analyses of gasoline vapor were
located that contained speciation of sufficient detail to
identify the CAAA HAPs. These came from a variety of the
sources listed above. In addition, EPA obtained a number of
compositional analyses of liquid gasoline. Table C-l
summarizes the sources of the test data received.
For each vapor sample, the individual HAPs were
identified and their weight percentage relative to the total
VOC weight was noted or calculated (in cases where the
fraction was reported as a volume or mole percent). In
addition, the sum of all of the weight percentages of the
HAPs was determined.
For the liquid samples, Raoult's law was used to
estimate the vapor phase composition. Raoult's law
describes the relationship between the partial pressure of a
component in the gas phase and the mole fraction of that
component in the liquid phase. Raoult's law is expressed as
follows:
PA = VAP = XAP*A
C-2
-------
TABLE C-l. SUMMARY OF SOURCES OF DATA
RECEIVED REGARDING GASOLINE COMPOSITION
Data
ID
Source of Test Data
Number
of
Samples
Form
of
Data
A Memorandum, from Knapp, K.T., EPA
AEERL, to Durham, J., EPA OAQPS,
regarding speciation of components in
gasoline with data attached. August
1, 1990.
B Furey, R.L. and B.E. Nagel,
Composition of Vapor Emitted from a
Vehicle Gasoline Tank During
Refueling. GM Research Laboratories,
Warren, MI.(Presented at SAE
International Congress and
Exposition, Detroit Michigan)
C Sisby, J.E., S. Tejada, W. Rau, J.
Lang, and J. Duncan. Volatile
Organic Compound Emissions from 46
In-Use Passenger Cars. (Reprinted
from Environmental Science and
Technology, May 1987)
D Letter, from Woodward, P., National
Institute for Petroleum and Energy
Research, to Norwood, P., Pacific
Environmental Services, Inc.,
regarding composition of gasoline
with data. January 10, 1991
E Haider, C., G. Van Gorp, N. Hatoum,
and T. Warne. Gasoline Vapor
Exposures. Part I. Characterization
of Workplace Exposures. American
Industrial Hygiene Association,
47(3):164-172 (1986).
F Appendix to Northeast Corridor
Regional Modeling Project -
Determination of Organic Species
Profiles for Gasoline Liquids and
Vapors - Sampling and Analysis Data
Sheets, EPA-450/4-80-036b. U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, NC. December
1980.
liquid
vapor
vapor
liquid
vapor
20
vapor
C-3
-------
TABLE C-l. (Concluded)
Data
ID
Source of Test Data
Number
of
Samples
Form
of
Data
Information Obtained From Braddock,
J., EPArAEERL regarding vapor
composition of refueling emissions.
14
vapor
H Environ Corporation, Arlington, VA.
Summary Report on Individual
Exposures to Gasoline. Prepared for
Gasoline Exposure Workshop Planning
Group. November 28, 1990.
I Passenger Car Hydrocarbon Emissions
Speciation. EPA-600/2-80-085. U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, NC. May
1980.
vapor
vapor
TOTAL NUMBER OF DATA POINTS
49
C-4
-------
where, p*A is the vapor pressure of pure liquid A at temperature
T and yA is the mole fraction of A in the gas phase. Raoult's
law is an approximation that is generally valid when the mole
fraction of compound A in the liquid is approximately close to
one and when the mixture is made up of similar substances, such
as straight chain hydrocarbons of similar molecular weights.
Gasoline was assumed to meet the second criteria based on general
compositional data.
An example of the calculational procedure used to estimate
vapor HAP composition from liquid composition is shown in Table
C-2. All non-HAP components were grouped according to the number
of carbons. All compounds within each carbon number were assumed
to have the vapor pressure and molecular weight of certain
compounds selected as representative for the carbon number.
Those compounds selected are shown in parenthesis in Table C-2.
The weight fraction for each HAP was identified in the
liquid data, and the weight fractions for each carbon number
(excluding HAPs) totalled. The mole fraction of each HAP and
carbon number group were calculated. The vapor pressure was then
estimated using the Antoine equation (a. common vapor pressure
estimation technique) at 25 degrees F for each HAP or carbon
number group.
Using the liquid mole fraction and the vapor pressure, and
assuming one atmosphere total pressure the mole fraction in the
vapor phase was calculated using Raoult's law. This was
converted to mass fraction, after which the HAP to total VOC mass
ratio was calculated.
After the individual and total HAP weight fractions were
calculated for each individual sample, the data were combined and
summarized. The results of all of the individual samples are
shown in Table C-3. Also, Table C-4 presents the summary of the
data for normal gasoline. The table shows the maximum and
minimum percentage for each HAP and for total HAPs. The
arithmetic average was also taken for each of these situations.
C-5
-------
TABLE C-2. EXAMPLE OF VAPOR COMPOSITION
CALCULATIONS FROM LIQUID DATA
CHEMICAL/CLASS
Hexane
Benzene
Toluene
2,2,4 trtmethylpentane
Xylene
Ethyl benxene
Naphthalene
Methane t
HTBE
TOTAL HAPS
c3 (propane)
c4 (n- butane)
c5 (iso-pentane)
c6 (2 methyl pentane)
c7 (2 methyl hexane)
cB (iso-octane)
c9 (1 meth-3 eth benz)
clO n-decane
c11 (n-undecane)
c12 (n-dodeeane)
TOTAL VOC
wt frac
in liq
1.8
1.31
6.19
3.02
6.33
1.27
0.67
0
0
20.59
0.02
4.83
H.85
11.45
8.5
6.53
12.45
9.74
6.13
0.82
95.91
moles in
liquid
0.021
0.017
0.067
0.026
0.060
0.012
0.005
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.086
0.212
0.136
0.087
0.058
0.099
0.070
0.040
0.005
1.001
liquid
mole frac
Xa
0.021
0.017
0.067
0.026
0.060
0.012
0.005
0.000
0.000
0.208
0.000
0.086
0.212
0.136
0.087
0.058
0.099
0.069
0.040
0.005
1
vapor
•ole frac
Ya
0.0027
0.0013
0.0015
0.0011
0.0003
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0033
0.1513
0.1347
0.0251
0.0043
0.0023
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
wt frac
in vap
0.231
0.103
0.137
0.121
0.030
0.009
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.145
8.475
9.429
2.105
0.425
0.262
0.025
0.008
0.001
0.000
21.508
HAP/VOC
in vap
0.0108
0.0048
0.0064
0.0056
0.0014
0.0004
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0294
other gasoline formulations may contain methanol or MTBE
C-6
-------
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C-10
-------
TABLE C-4. VAPOR PROFILE OF NORMAL GASOLINE
HAZARDOUS AIR POLLUTANT8
Hexane
Benzene
Toluene
2,2,4 Trimethylpentane
(iso-octane)
Xylenes
Ethylbenzene
TOTAL HAPSb
HAP
TO VOC RATIO
(percentage by weight)
MINIMUM
0.3
0.2
0.4
0.03
0.05
0.03
2.0
ARITHMETIC
AVERAGE MAXIMUM
1.6 4.4
0.9 2.2
1.3 4.0
0.8 2.6
0.5 1.5
0.1 0.5
4.8 11.0
Cumene and naphthalene were also identified in some of
the data points in small quantities. They are not shown
as their addition does not significantly change the
analysis.
The total HAP ratios shown in the table are not simply
sums of the individual HAPs. Total HAPs were calculated
for each individual sample in the data base and the values
represented in the table reflect the maximum, minimum, and
arithmetic average total HAPs of these samples.
C-ll
-------
C.2 REFORMULATED AND OXYGENATED GASOLINES
Title II of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments addresses
emission standards for mobile sources. There are several
elements in Title II that will affect gasoline composition
in the 1998 base year, and thus affect HAP emissions from
gasoline storage and transfer operations.
Section 219 of Title II amends the 1977 CAA by adding
Section 211(k). This section requires reformulated gasoline
in nonattainment areas with a 1980 population greater than
250,000 (a total of nine cities with the worst ozone
problems). All other ozone nonattainment areas can "opt-in"
to the program regardless of 1980 population. Beginning in
1995, "reformulated" gasoline must be sold and marketed in
these nonattainment areas with the following limits:
1) benzene content cannot exceed 1 percent, 2) no heavy
metals present, and 3) minimum oxygen content of 2.0
percent. Additionally the more stringent of the Formula
Standard concerning aromatics (level of 25 percent or the
Performance Standards concerned with VOC or toxic emissions
(15 percent reduction from emissions using a 1990 baseline
fuel) shall also apply.
Section 211(m) requires the purchasing and selling of
fuels with higher levels of alcohols or oxygenates in the
winter months in the areas exceeding the CO standard.
Beginning in 1992, these "oxygenated" fuels must have at
least 2.7 percent oxygen.
The reformulated gasoline requirements will cause
reductions in the benzene and aromatic contents of the fuel
sold in these areas classified as nonattainment. Since many
of the HAPs in gasoline vapor are aromatic compounds, this
alone would reduce the total HAP content of the gasoline
liquid and vapors. However, the addition of oxygen
containing compounds to both reformulated and oxygenated
gasoline will significantly increase the HAP content, all
other things being equal. Therefore, these measures will
alter the HAP content, but in opposite directions.
C-12
-------
Methyl tert-butyl ether, or MTBE, is a major source of
oxygen that will be added to gasoline by the petroleum
industry to meet these requirements. MTBE is also listed in
the CAAA as a HAP. Traditionally, MTBE has been used as an
octane booster in unleaded gasolines. If the octane was
lower than expected, small allotments of MTBE would be added
to reach the desired octane level. MTBE has many advantages
as an octane enhancer. It has a high average blending
octane rating, dissolves easily in the refinery streams, and
will not precipitate out of solution when it comes into
contact with water. Therefore, the quantity of gasoline in
the nation which contains some MTBE is quite large, although
the MTBE content is very low. If fact, none of the data
received for normal gasoline showed measurable levels of
MTBE. There were four samples that contained MTBE but these
were intentionally spiked during laboratory analyses to
estimate reformulated gasoline percentages.
It is expected that MTBE will be the most common
oxygenate used to meet the oxygen requirements. Other
octane boosters/ oxygenates in use are ethanol 113, ethyl
tert-butyl ether (ETBE), and tertiary amyl methyl ether
(TAME). ETBE has a lower RVP (3-5) compared to MTBE (8) and
its blending octane rating is also higher. However, there
are limits on ETBE and the other blending agents which will
keep MTBE in the forefront. Ethanol 113 is not economical
without government subsidies and ETBE is similarly affected
since ethanol feedstock is needed to produce ETBE. There-
fore, the amount of ethanol and ETBE available will always
be limited by government subsidies. The lack of isoamylene
feedstock will limit the use of TAME as well.
It requires approximately 15 volume percent of MTBE in
liquid gasoline to meet the 2.7 weight percent oxygen limit,
and 11 volume percent to meet the 2.0 weight percent oxygen
limit. The effects of these large percentages in liquid
gasoline are significant. The moderate volatility of MTBE
would cause high concentrations in the vapor phase relative
C-13
-------
to the less volatile aromatics. It is therefore expected
that the inclusion of MTBE in these percentages may increase
the HAP/VOC ratio in gasoline vapor from approximately
5 weight percent to near 15 percent, with liquid
concentrations of MTBE in the 15 percent range.
The drastic differences in the HAP content of gasoline
vapor (depending on the type of fuel) necessitate the
estimation of vapor phase composition (HAP to VOC ratios)
for several different scenarios. There will be four basic
types of fuels in use after full implementation of these
programs. These are 1) normal fuels (ozone and CO
attainment areas and those ozone nonattainment areas not
opting into the reformulated program), 2) oxygenated fuels
(CO nonattainment areas), 3) reformulated fuels (ozone
nonattainment areas in the reformulated program), and
4) reformulated fuels with 2.7 percent oxygen, or
reformulated and oxygenated (CO and ozone nonattainment
areas that are in the reformulated program).
Therefore, HAP to VOC ratios were developed for each of
these fuels. The situation is further complicated by the
fact that two different ratios are required for
reformulated, oxygenated, and reformulated/oxygenated fuels
to account for MTBE. This results in a total of seven
different HAP vapor profiles as shown in Table C-5. As
discussed in Section 3.3 on baseline emissions, these
profiles are used throughput the analysis.
Since these programs are not in effect at this time,
HAP to VOC ratios were mathematically developed using the
arithmetic average vapor profile for normal fuel as the
starting point. For reformulated fuel, the benzene content
in the vapor was calculated based on a 1.0 percent content
in the liquid. This was calculated using the equation from
EPA7s 1984 study, "Evaluation of Air Pollution Regulatory
Strategies for Gasoline Marketing Industry", EPA-450/3-84-
012a (page 2-5). This equation coupled with the VOC
emission rate equation predicted that the vapor phase
C-14
-------
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C-15
-------
benzene to total VOC ratio would be 0.44 percent by weight.
This value was used for the vapor phase benzene content of
all reformulated and reformulate/oxygenated gasolines.
As stated above, the total aromatic content must also be
reduced for reformulated gasolines to 25 weight percent in
the liquid. To determine the extent of reduction necessary,
a baseline aromatic content of liquid data was calculated
using data from the 1990 Motor Vehicle Manufacturers
Association (MVMA) National Fuel Survey. The arithmetic
average aromatic content for all fuels over all times of the
year was 28.7 percent. Using this as representative of the
average aromatic composition of gasoline, the percent
reduction needed to meet the 25 percent level was calculated
to be about 13 percent. Therefore, all of the aromatic HAPS
(except benzene) would be reduced by this percentage. The
resulting HAP to VOC weight percentages for toluene (1.1 %) ,
ethyl benzene (0.1 %), and xylenes (0.4 percent) were held
constant for all reformulated or reformulated/ oxygenated
fuels.
As discussed in Chapter 3, data were received for
gasolines containing MTBE. For some of these samples, vapor
data and the corresponding liquid composition were
available. Using these sample results, a ratio of liquid
content to vapor content was derived. This ratio was then
used (at the liquid percentages of 11 and 15 percent MTBE
levels) to estimate the MTBE to VOC percentage in the vapor.
These estimates of MTBE to VOC ratios were 8.8 weight
percent for the 11 volume percent liquid and 12 weight
percent for the 15 volume percent liquid.
The addition of these large amounts of MTBE would force
a reduction in the relative percentages of other compounds
simply due to the volume that would be occupied by the MTBE
in the liquid. Therefore, to account for this fact, the
nonaromatic HAPs (hexane and 2,2,4 trimethylpentane) were
reduced by 11 percent. In order to simplify the analysis,
C-16
-------
it was also assumed that these same reductions would also
occur if other oxygenates were used instead of MTBE.
The oxygenated fuel profiles were similarly developed.
When approximately 15 percent MTBE (or other oxygenate) was
added to the profile, all other components were reduced by
15 percent. For those reformulated/oxygenated gasoline, the
benzene and aromatic levels were the same as discussed
above, and 15 percent oxygenate was used instead of 11
percent.
C-17
-------
APPENDIX D
BASELINE EMISSIONS ANALYSIS
The purpose of establishing an emissions baseline is to
be able to estimate the impacts of reducing emissions from
this baseline through the implementation of additional
control measures. The baseline emissions must take into
account the level of control already in place in the base
year to get an accurate assessment of the impacts of the
control alternatives. As noted in Chapter 3, the base year
for the gasoline marketing source category was selected as
1998.
Generally, the approach for establishing the emissions
baseline was the same for each sector of the industry. An
important factor in the determination of baseline emissions
is the level of control that would be in effect in the
absence of any hazardous air pollution regulation.
Due to the various types of gasolines that will be in
use in the 1998 base year, it was necessary to divide the
parameters used to estimate emissions (source population and
gasoline throughput) into groups according to the type of
fuel expected to be used. This breakdown was made using
nonattainment area designations since this is the
determining factor for the type of fuel.
To aid in the presentation of the above mentioned
factors, this appendix is separated into three sections.
Section D.I discusses the baseline regulatory coverage for
all States. Section D.2 follows with a description of the
separation of gasoline throughput and source population by
nonattainment area, and Section D.3 presents the baseline
emissions calculations for the various industry sectors.
D-l
-------
D.I Regulatory Coverage
There are two basic control levels in effect in the
United States for gasoline marketing sources. Control
techniques guideline (CTG) documents have been prepared for
bulk terminals, bulk plants, service stations (underground
tank filling), tank trucks, and storage tanks. Also, new
source performance standards (NSPS) are applicable for new
or reconstructed bulk terminal loading racks and large
storage tanks such as those at terminals and pipeline
breakout stations.
The purpose of the CTG documents is to outline what the
EPA defines as the presumptive norm for reasonably available
control technology (RACT) for existing sources. Some of the
recommendations are in the form of emission limits and
others are in the form of recommended control equipment to
be installed. States with nonattainment areas for ozone are
required to adopt regulations consistent with these CTG
recommendations to provide for attainment of the national
ambient air quality standards (NAAQS). The NSPS are
national standards regulating new or reconstructed sources
of criteria pollutants, including ozone (VOC sources).
To estimate how the States have implemented the CTG
recommendations, State regulations were reviewed for Stage I
gasoline marketing sources. The results of this survey were
used to estimate the affected gasoline throughput on a
State-by-State basis. In instances where regulations
covered an entire State, it was assumed that all throughput
for the State was covered by the regulation. Base year 1998
State gasoline throughputs were determined as follows. The
State and national 1990 gasoline throughputs were obtained
from the 1991 National Petroleum News (NPN) Factbook issue.
The ratio of the 1998 national throughput discussed in
Section 8.1 to the 1990 national throughput from NPN was
determined and multiplied by the 1990 throughputs for each
State to obtain 1998 State gasoline throughput.
However, many States have regulations that cover only
ozone nonattainment areas. For these States, the counties
D-2
-------
that were covered were determined and the percentage of
county throughput to State throughput was calculated using
1985 NEDS gasoline consumption. While these throughputs may
not be applicable to the base year 1998, it was assumed that
the relative county to State throughput percentages were
acceptable approximations. Estimates were made regarding
the percentage of the throughput and/or source population
affected by NSPS regulations.
The following paragraphs address the CTG and NSPS
control levels and the penetration of standards throughout
the nation. The areas discussed are bulk terminal loading
racks, storage tanks, bulk plants, tank trucks, and service
stations (storage tank filling). While there are
regulations for similar applications for the control of
fugitive emissions from leaking pumps and valves, there are
no regulations that specifically address these components
for pipeline facilities, bulk terminals, and bulk plants
(although a few bulk terminals apparently practice leak
detection and repair). Therefore, for the purposes of this
analysis, it is assumed that all fugitive emissions at
gasoline marketing sources are uncontrolled.
D.I.I Bulk Terminal Loading Racks
There is both a CTG and an NSPS regulation for loading
racks at bulk terminals. The recommended CTG level of
control is 80 mg VOC/liter of gasoline loaded. This limit
is based on submerged fill and vapor recovery/control
systems. The CTG also recommends that no leaks be allowed
in the vapor collection system during operation. The NSPS
level is similar, except that the numerical limit is 35 mg
total organic compounds (TOC)/liter. State regulations were
reviewed to determine the requirements for bulk terminals.
Table D-l lists the States that have implemented
requirements for bulk terminals. The States listed in the
first column require that all terminals within their
boundaries achieve a level of control consistent with the
CTG (80 mg/1). The second column includes States that
require controls consistent with the CTG only for areas
D-3
-------
within the States that do not meet the ozone NAAQS
(nonattairunent areas).
An earlier study indicated that approximately 60
percent of the systems installed for the purpose of meeting
the 80 mg/1 limit routinely operate at the NSPS level of 35
mg/1. In conversations with equipment manufacturers in
1991, it was determined that control devices are no longer
manufactured to meet 80 mg/1, but are typically designed to
meet 35 mg/1. Therefore, unless otherwise specified, it was
assumed that 60 percent of the terminals in the controlled
areas listed in Table D-l are operating at 35 mg/1, with the
remainder operating at 80 mg/1 (or 90 percent control in one
instance). This 60 percent includes those new or
reconstructed terminals that are required to meet the NSPS
level. In addition, two districts in California (Bay Area
and Sacramento) have loading rack emission limitations
equivalent to 10 mg/1. Test data indicate that many
terminals are operating at levels considerably below 10 mg/1
(see Section 4.1.2.3).
Therefore, there are four basic control levels. These
are 10 mg/1, 35 mg/1, 80 mg/1, and uncontrolled. The
uncontrolled sources may be further divided into those
loading with submerged fill and with splash fill. As
discussed in the 1987 Response to Public Comments document,
it is believed that 94 percent of uncontrolled terminals
load using submerged fill and 6 percent by splash fill.
These percentages were also used in this analysis. State
gasoline throughput by control level is shown in Table D-2.
Also, Table D-3 presents nationwide parameters by control
level used in the baseline emissions analysis.
It was assumed that the breakdown of the bulk terminal
population would be parallel to throughput. Therefore, the
terminal population by control level shown in Table D-3 was
calculated by multiplying the percentage of throughput in
that control level category by the total nationwide terminal
population.
D-4
-------
TABLE D-l. STATE REGULATORY COVERAGE
FOR BULK GASOLINE TERMINALS
Entire State Consistent
With CTG Controls*
CTG Controls*
Nonatta iranent
Areas Only
No Control
Regulations'1
Alabama
California
Connecticut
District of Columbia
Illinois
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
New Hampshire
New Jersey
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
Tennessee
Wisconsin
Arkansas
Colorado
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Kansas
Maryland
Missouri
Nevadab
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oklahoma13
Oregon
Texas
Utah
Virginia
Vermont
Washington
West Virginia
Alaska
Arizona
Hawaii
Idaho
Iowa
Minnesota
Mississippi
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota0
South Dakota
Wyoming
a
b
CTG Controls =80 mg/liter standard or lower.
Portion of State not covered by CTG controls is covered
by submerged fill requirements.
North Dakota has no nonattainment areas for ozone, but
the entire State is covered by submerged fill
requirements.
Approximately 94 percent of total throughput is loaded
by submerged fill.
D-5
-------
TABLE D-2. STATE BULK TERMINAL THROUGHPUT BY
LOADING RACK CONTROL LEVEL3
(1,000 gallons/year)
STATE
ALABAMA
ALASKA
AIIZONA
ARKANSAS
CALIFORNIA
COLORADO
CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
DISTRICT OF COL.
FLORIDA
GEORGIA
HAWAII
IDAHO
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
I QUA
KANSAS
KENTUCKY
LOUISIANA
MAINE
MARYLAND
MASSACHUSETTS
MICHIGAN
MINNESOTA
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
MONTANA
NEBRASKA
NEVADA
NEW HAMPSHIRE
BO ng/l 90
858.258
0
390,520
9.053
4,038,743
338,180
585,145
140,460
0
1,181,764
622.024
0
0
2,114,729
490,485
0
111,405
749,042
819,406
160,852
755,437
985,152
979.093
0
10,241
572,469
0
0
0
146,601
X control
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
71,155
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
35 «0/l
1,287,387
27,739
657,992
139.262
6,058,115
579,290
877,717
210,690
106,733
2,105,803
1,138,936
39,339
49,751
3,172,093
885,944
139,287
265,854
1,123,562
1,229,109
262,931
1,162,575
1,477,728
1,666,167
210,227
140,811
994,106
44,963
80,497
65,956
234,871
10 MB/I
0
0
0
0
3,365.619
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
UNCONTROLLED
0
249.652
649,906
1.131,139
0
648,179
0
0
0
2,998,412
1,853,104
354,050
447,756
0
1,351,945
1,253,582
' 888.711
0
0
194,878
264,777
0
1.777,741
1,892.045
1,129,045
1,218,620
404,667
724,472
593,608
134,728
D-6
-------
TABLE D-2. (Concluded)
STATE
80 mg/l 90 X control 35 "8/1
10 MB/1 UNOMTROUfD
NEU JERSEY
NEW MEXICO
NEU YORK
NORTH CAROLINA
NORTH DAKOTA
OHIO
OKLAHOMA
OREGON
PENNSYLVANIA
RHODE ISLAND
SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTH DAKOTA
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
UTAH
VERMONT
VIRGINIA
WASHINGTON
WEST VIRGINIA
WISCONSIN
WYOMING
NATIONWIDE
1,435,664
0
1,664,553
1.350,866
0
1,690,480
110,902
221,246
1,916,045
154,234
654,910
0
1,057,880
1,683,407
155,837
0
1,225,531
46,777
90,751
859,352
0
30,377,488
26X
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
71.155
01
2,153,497
82,107
2.699,889
2.026,298
35,639
2.696,532
311.912
414,836
2.874,067
231,351
982,364
39.858
1.586,820
3,000,737
269,103
29,410
1,838,296
292,325
197,961
1,289,027
26,523
49,513,986
42X
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,365,619
3X
0
738,965
1,827,538
0
320,747
1.447,300
1.310,030
746,705
0
0
0
358,720
0
4,280.640
318.131
264,686
0
1,999,501
556,513
0
238,705
34,569,200
29X
The control levels represent the emission level.
As an example, it is assumed that 49,513,986
thousand gallons per year of gasoline passes
through terminals emitting VOCs at approximately
35 mg/liter of throughput.
D-7
-------
TABLE D-3. NATIONWIDE BULK TERMINAL LOADING RACK
BASELINE PARAMETERS BY CONTROL LEVEL
Control Level
Annual Percent of
Throughput Total Number of
liters)
Throughput Facilities
10 mg VOC/liter
35 mg VOC/liter
80 mg VOC/liter and 90
percent control
Submerged filling only
Splash filling
13,000
187,000
115,000
123,000
8,000
3%
42%
26%
27%
2%
29
430
265
282
18
D-8
-------
D.I.2 Storage Tanks
There are CTG documents for petroleum liquid storage in
fixed-roof tanks and external floating roof tanks, and NSPS
regulations covering fixed-roof and external floating roof
petroleum liquid storage tanks. The CTGs recommend the
installation of internal floating roofs on fixed-roof tanks
and a continuous primary seal on external floating roofs.
There are several NSPS standards (Subparts K, Ka, and Kb)
for storage tanks with varying control level requirements.
However, in order to simplify this analysis, it was assumed
that the NSPS level of control of storage tanks was internal
floating roofs for fixed-roof tanks, and primary and
secondary seals for external floating roof tanks. A review
of State regulations revealed that most States regulate
emissions from storage tanks in their State implementation
plans (SIPs) with CTG recommended controls. Based on
information contained in an earlier tank survey and the
results of this review of State regulations, the following
assumptions were made.
In attainment areas with no storage tank regulations,
10 percent of the tanks would be external floating roof
tanks subject to NSPS and have primary and secondary seals,
with an additional 47 percent having external floating roofs
with primary seals. The remaining 43 percent were assumed
to be fixed-roof tanks, with 16 percent having internal
floating roofs and the remaining 27 percent having no
controls.
Many areas require the CTG level of control for fixed-
roof tanks and primary seals on external floating roof
tanks. For these areas, it was assumed that 78 percent of
the tanks were external floating roof tanks, with 10 percent
subject to NSPS and having secondary seals in addition to
the primary seals and the remaining 68 percent being
external floating roof tanks with primary seals. The
remaining 22 percent were assumed to be fixed-roof tanks
with internal floating roofs.
D-9
-------
Finally, there are areas where both primary and
secondary seals are required. For these areas, it was
assumed that 75 percent of these tanks were external
floating roof tanks and 25 percent fixed-roof tanks with
internal floating roofs.
Working losses for both fixed-roof and external
floating roof storage tanks are a function of gasoline
throughput, and not the storage tank population. Storage
tank throughputs were estimated for each of the control
levels. However, these throughputs were arrived at in
different fashions for bulk terminal storage tanks and
pipeline breakout station storage tanks. The following
describes in more detail how the storage tank populations
and throughputs were derived.
D.I.2.1 Pipeline Breakout Station Storage Tanks.
As discussed in Chapter 8, the total nationwide
population of breakout stations was estimated by counting
observances of pipeline branches and diameter changes across
the country. These branches and diameter changes were noted
by State. The total number of breakout stations by State
was then placed in the appropriate control level as
discussed above. This is shown in Table D-4. Assuming an
average of four "equivalent dedicated storage tanks" (see
Chapter 5) per breakout station, the nationwide breakout
station storage tank total (for emissions purposes) was
calculated by control level. This calculated to a total of
748 external floating roof tanks, with 476 having primary
seals and 272 having primary and secondary seals. It was
also estimated that there were 231 fixed-roof tanks, with 88
having internal floating roofs and 143 being uncontrolled.
The throughput by control level was calculated assuming
that each tank had a storage capacity of 50,000 bbls with
150 turnovers per year, for an annual throughput of
315,000,000 gallons. This individual tank throughput was
multiplied by the number of tanks in each control level to
give the throughput.
D-10
-------
TABLE D-4. PIPELINE BREAKOUT STATION POPULATION BY STATE
SEPARATED BY STORAGE TANK CONTROL LEVEL3
STATE
ALABAMA
ALASKA
ARIZONA
ARKANSAS
CALIFORNIA
COLORADO
CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
DISTRICT OF COL.
FLORIDA
GEORGIA
HAWAII
IDAHO
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
I QUA
KANSAS
KENTUCKY
LOUISIANA
MAINE
MARYLAND
MASSACHUSETTS
MICHIGAN
MINNESOTA
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
MONTANA
NEBRASKA
NEVADA
NEW HAMPSHIRE
STORAGE TANK CONTROL LEVEL
Total Nunber Primry Seal Secondary Seal
of Stations Areas Areas
I 4
0
10
3 3
10 10
2 2
1 1
0
0 4
4 3
8 3
0
3 3
17 17
11 11
11
15 1
0
13 13
0
3 3
3 2
7 7
11 11
2
10
4
4
2 2
0
Uncontrolled
10
1
5
11
10
1
2
10
4
4
D-ll
-------
TABLE D-4. (Concluded)
STATE
NEW JERSEY
NEW MEXICO
NEW YORK
NORTN CAROLINA
NORTH DAKOTA
OHIO
OKLAHOMA
OREGON
PENNSYLVANIA
RHODE ISLAND
SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTH DAKOTA
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
UTAH
VERMONT
VIRGINIA
WASHINGTON
WEST VIRGINIA
WISCONSIN
WYOMING
STORAGE TANK CONTROL LEVEL
Total Nutfcer Primary Seal Secondary Seat
of Stations Area* Areat Uncontrolled
2 2
4 4
8
4 4
2
13 5
7 3
4 1
17 17
0
0
7
2 2
27 32
2 2
0
9 1
8
0
1 1
2
NATIONWIDE TOTALS
277
83
62
132
30. OX
22. 4X
47. TH
The storage tank control levels shown in the column
heading are defined as follows:
- Primary seal areas are those areas that require
primary seals only on external floating roof tanks and
internal floating roofs on fixed-roof tanks.
Secondary seal areas are those areas that reguire
primary and secondary seals on external floating roof
tanks and internal floating roofs on fixed-roof tanks.
- Uncontrolled areas are those areas that do not have
any storage tank emission control regulations.
D-12
-------
D.I.2.2 Bu^.k Terminal Storage Tanks. The bulk
terminal storage tank population and throughput were arrived
at in a different manner from the breakout station
parameters discussed above. The initial step was to divide
each State's gasoline throughput into the various control
levels applicable to the particular State. State gasoline
throughput by control level for bulk terminal storage tanks
is shown in Table D-5. The number of tanks per State was
calculated the same for each control level using the
following relationship:
State capacity (bbl) = State Throughput fbbll
Number of Turnovers/year
Number of Tanks/State = State Capacity fbbl)
Storage Tank Capacity (bbl)
Storage tank capacities of 36,000 bbl and 16,750 bbl were
assumed for floating roof and fixed-roof storage tanks,
respectively, and 13 turnovers per year per tank. Baseline
parameters for bulk terminal storage tanks are presented in
Table D-6.
D.I.3 Bulk Plants
The CTG for bulk plants contains recommended control
alternatives of 1) submerged fill of outgoing tank trucks,
2) submerged fill of outgoing tank trucks and vapor balance
for incoming transfer, and 3) submerged fill and vapor
balance for outgoing and incoming transfer. The CTG
discusses exemptions from vapor balance on outgoing loads at
bulk plants with daily throughputs of less than 4,000
gallons.
A review of all State regulations was also conducted to
determine the regulatory coverage for bulk plants. States
commonly responded to the recommended CTG alternatives by
selecting Alternative 3 as the control level. However, some
State regulations include an exemption from vapor balance
for those plants with daily throughputs less than 4,000
gallons, requiring only submerged fill on outgoing
transfers. Table D-7 shows a summary of State bulk plant
D-13
-------
TABLE D-5. STATE BULK TERMINAL THROUGHPUT
BY STORAGE TANK TYPE3
STATE
ALABAMA
ALASKA
ARIZONA
ARKANSAS
CALIFORNIA
COLORADO
CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
DISTRICT OF COL.
FLORIDA
GEORGIA
HAWAII
IDAHO
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
IOWA
KANSAS
KENTUCKY
LOUISIANA
MAINE
MARYLAND
MASSACHUSETTS
MICHIGAN
MINNESOTA
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
MONTANA
NEBRASKA
NEVADA
PRIMARY
SEALS
34,484
3.1Z1
23,773
0
0
8,042
23,510
5,643
0
85,476
47.522
6,322
7,996
0
34,762
15,670
11,539
30,095
0
9,9;3
31,172
39,582
71,064
35,787
14,401
21,871
5,058
9,056
10,600
THROUGHPUT IT TANK TYPE BY STATE
(10*3 BBL/yr)
SECONDARY FIXED WITH UNCONTROLLED
SEALS INTERNAL FIXED
5,109
660
4,044
22,847
240,401
16,895
3,483
836
3,177
14,967
8,605
937
1,185
94,408
6,496
3,316
6,733
4,459
36,581
1,473
5,197
5,864
10.531
5,005
3.048
19,649
1,071
1,917
1,570
11,495
1,040
7,925
7,616
80,134
7,745
7,837
1,881
1,059
28,492
15,841
2,107
2,665
31,469
11,587
5,223
5,277
10,032
12,194
3,314
10,391
13,194
23,695
11,262
4,800
12,297
1,686
3,019
3,533
0
1.783
4,695
0
0
4,595
0
0
0
20,731
14,081
0
0
0
12,116
8,954
6,594
0
0
0
5,211
0
0
0
8,229
12,498
2,890
5,175
0
D-14
-------
TABLE D-5. (Concluded)
THROUGHPUT BY TANK TYPE BY STATE
(t
-------
TABLE D-6. BASELINE PARAMETERS FOR BULK
TERMINAL STORAGE TANKS
Control Level
Annual Percent Number Percent
Thruput of of of
(106 Thruput Tanks Tanks
bbls)
External Floatincr Roof
Tanks
with Primary
Seals
with Primary and
Secondary Seals
Fixed-Roof Tanks
with Internal
Floating Roofs
Uncontrolled
1,135
843
595
234
40% 2,426 57%
30% If802 £3%
4,228 100%
21% 2,732 72%
8% 1.072 28%
3,804 100%
D-16
-------
TABLE D-7. STATE REGULATORY COVERAGE FOR BULK PLANTS
Entire State Consistent
With CTG Controls*
CTG Controls*
Nonatta inment
Areas Only
No Control
Regulations13
Alabama
California0
Connecticut
District of Columbia
Illinois
Kentucky0
Louisiana0
Massachusetts
Michigan
New Jersey
North Carolina0
Pennsylvania0
Rhode Island0
South Carolina0
Tennessee
Virginia0
Wisconsin
Arkansas
Colorado
Delaware0
Georgia
Indiana0
Maryland0
Missouri0
Nevada
New York0
Ohio
Oregon
Texas0
Utah0
Washington
Alaska
Arizona
Florida
Hawaii
Idaho
Iowa
Kansas
Maine
Minnesota
Mississippii
Montana
Nebrasksa
New Hampshire
New Mexico
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont
West Virginia
Wyoming
*CTG recommendations include the use of vapor balance,
submerged fill, and pressure relief settings for storage
tanks, and vapor balance for the loading racks.
bLoadings assumed to be 25 percent splash fill and 75
percent submerged fill at loading racks, unless otherwise
specified.
Regulations require vapor balance on all outgoing
transfers. All other areas with CTG regulations exempt
plants with daily throughputs less than 4,000 gallons/day
from installing vapor balance equipment.
D-17
-------
regulations in a manner similar to the bulk terminal table
shown earlier.
Bulk plants are intermediate storage and distribution
facilities. Therefore, all of the gasoline throughput for
an area does not pass through a bulk plant. In order to
estimate emissions from bulk plants, the throughput that
travels through bulk plants was a necessary parameter.
Information contained in the 1987 Census of Wholesale Trade
was used to estimate the bulk plant throughput on an
individual State basis. The State throughput for bulk
stations contained in the Census information was divided by
the total State throughput to obtain an estimate of the
percentage for bulk plants. These percentages were applied
to the estimated 1998 State throughput to calculate baseline
bulk plant throughput. This is shown in Table D-8.
This throughput was then separated by State by control
level. The four basic control levels were 1) vapor balance
on incoming and outgoing loading operations with no
exemptions, 2) vapor balance on incoming and outgoing
loading operations with submerged fill requirements for bulk
plants with throughputs less than 4,000 gallons per day, 3)
vapor balance on incoming loads with submerged fill only on
outgoing loads, and 4) no controls. The throughput by State
by control level is shown in Table D-9. The uncontrolled
throughput was further divided into splash and submerged
fill. It was assumed that 75 percent of the uncontrolled
plants load using submerged fill and 25 percent using splash
fill. Table D-10 presents national parameters used in the
baseline emissions analysis for bulk plants.
The populations in Table D-10 were basically derived
using the throughput breakdowns by control level and
applying those to the bulk plant population provided in
Section 8.2. This was done except in the instance of
aviation bulk plants. All of these were assumed to be
uncontrolled with the percentage loading by submerged fill
the same as for motor gasoline.
D-18
-------
TABLE D-8. BULK PLANT THROUGHPUT BY STATE
(1,000 gallons/year)
STATE
ALABAMA
ALASKA
ARIZONA
ARKANSAS
CALIFORNIA
COLORADO
CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
DISTRICT OF COL.
FLORIDA
GEORGIA
HAWAII
IDAHO
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
I QUA
KANSAS
KENTUCKY
LOUISIANA
MAINE
MARYLAND
MASSACHUSETTS
MICHIGAN
MINNESOTA
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
MONTANA
NEBRASKA
NEVADA
NEW HAMPSHIRE
NEW JERSEY
1998
TOTAL X
THROUGHPUT P
2, US, 645
277.391
1,698,418
1,279,454
13,462,477
1,565,650
1,462.862
351,150
177,888
6,285,978
3,614,063
393,389
497,506
5,286,822
2.728,374
1,392.869
1,265,970
1,872,604
2,048,515
618,660
2,182,788
2,462.880
4,423,002
2,102,272
1,280,097
2,785,195
449,630
804,969
659,565
516,200
3,589,161
; THRU i
LANTS 1
23X
19X
24X
33X
18*
42X
6X
68X
18X
12X
30X
3X
37X
18X
21X
36X
53X
28X
37X
25X
10X
9X
12X
24X
43X
30X
18X
56X
4X
66X
5X
ttJLK PLANT
HMUGHPUT
493,498
52.704
407,620
422,220
2,423,246
657,573
87,772
238,782
32,020
754,317
1,084,219
11,802
184,077
951,628
572,959
501,433
670,964
524,329
757,951
154,665
218,279
221,659
530,760
504,545
550,442
835,559
80,933
450,783
26,383
340,692
179,458
D-19
-------
TABLE D-8. (Concluded)
STATE
NEW MEXICO
MEW YORK
NORTH CAROLINA
NORTH DAKOTA
OHIO
OKLAHOMA
OREGON
PENNSYLVANIA
RHODE ISLAND
SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTH DAKOTA
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
UTAH
VERMONT
VIRGINIA
WASHINGTON
WEST VIRGINIA
WISCONSIN
WYOMING
NATIONWIDE
1998
TOTAL X THRU BULK PLANT
THROUGHPUT PLAHTS THROUGHPUT
821,073
6,191 ,9T9
3,377,164
356,386
5,834,312
1,732,844
1,382.787
4,790,112
385,586
1.637.274
398.577
2,644,699
8,964,784
743,071
294,095
3,063,827
2.338,598
845,225
2,148,379
265,228
117,897,448
37X
7X
26X
31X
ax
41X
25X
13X
3X
18X
18X
18X
17X
18X
52X
13X
15X
34X
21X
43X
20£
303,797
433,439
878,063
110,480
466,745
710.466
345.697
622.715
11,568
294,709
71.744
476,046
1.524,013
133,753
152.929
398.297
350,790
287.377
451,160
114,048
23,061,106
D-20
-------
TABLE D-9. STATE BULK PLANT THROUGHPUT BY CONTROL LEVEL"
(1,000 gallons/year)
STATE
ALABAMA
ALASKA
ARIZONA
ARKANSAS
CALIFORNIA
COLORADO
CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
DISTRICT OF COL.
FLORIDA
GEORGIA
HAWAII
IDAHO
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
IOUA
KANSAS
KENTUCKY
LOUISIANA
MAINE
MARYLAND
MASSACHUSETTS
MICHIGAN
MINNESOTA
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
MONTANA
NEBRASKA
NEVADA
NEU HAMPSHIRE
VAPOR BALANCE
NO EXEMPTIONS
0
0
0
0
2,423,246
0
0
238.782
32,020
0
0
0
0
0
257,505
0
0
524,329
757.951
0
188,859
0
0
0
0
429,352
0
0
0
0
VAPOR BALANCE
WITH EXEMPTIONS
493,498
0
234,312
7.469
0
355,089
87,772
0
0
354,529
466,518
0
0
951,628
0
0
147,612
0
0
100,532
0
0
293,728
0
11,009
0
0
0
0
241,891
VAPOR BALANCE IN
SUBMERG FILL OUT
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
221,659
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
UNCONTROLLED
0
52.704
173,308
414,751
0
302,484
0
0
0
399,788
617,701
11,802
184,077
0
315,454
501,433
523,352
0
0
54,133
29,420
0
237,032
504,545
539,433
406,207
80,933
450,783
26,383
98,801
D-21
-------
TABLE D-9. (Concluded)
STATE
NEW JERSEY
NEW HEX ICO
NEW YORK
NORTH CAROLINA
NORTH DAKOTA
OHIO
OKLAHOMA
OREGON
PENNSYLVANIA
RHODE ISLAND
SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTH DAKOTA
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
UTAH
VERMONT
VIRGINIA
WASHINGTON
WEST VIRGINIA
WISCONSIN
WYOMING
NATIONWIDE
VAPOR BALANCE
NO EXEMPTIONS
0
0
291,297
878,063
0
0
0
0
622,715
11,568
294,709
0
0
715.448
70,127
0
398,297
0
0
0
0
8,134,266
35%
VAPOR BALANCE
UITH EXEMPTIONS
179.458
0
0
0
0
338,096
113,675
138.279
0
0
0
0
476,046
0
0
0
0
17,539
77,138
451,160
0
5,536,979
24 X
VAPOR BALANCE IN
SUBMERG FILL OUT
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
221,659
1%
UNCONTROLLED
0
303.797
142,142
0
110,480
128.649
596.792
207,418
0
0
0
71,744
0
808,565
63,626
152,929
0
333.250
210,238
0
114,048
9,168,201
40!L
a VAPOR BALANCE NO EXEMPTIONS refers to those areas that
have regulations requiring vapor balance on the
incoming side for all bulk plants, regardless of
throughput. VAPOR BALANCE WITH EXEMPTIONS refers to
those areas that require vapor balance on the incoming
side for all bulk plants, and vapor balance on the
outgoing side for all plants with daily throughputs
below this level. VAPOR BALANCE IN SUBMERG FILL OUT
denotes the areas that require vapor balance on
incoming loads, but only submerged fill on outgoing
loads. UNCONTROLLED refers to those areas without any
emission regulations covering bulk plants.
D-22
-------
TABLE D-10. BASELINE PARAMETERS FOR BULK PLANTS
Control Level
Annual
Throughput
(106
liters)
Percent of
Total Number of
Throughput Facilities
Vapor balance incoming and 30,791
outgoing load, no
exemptions
Vapor balance incoming and 20,960
outgoing load, submerged
fill on outgoing loads at
plants
< 4,000 gal/day
35%
24%
3,315
2,256
Vapor balance incoming,
submerged fill outgoing
839
1%
90
Submerged fill incoming
and outgoing
Motor vehicle
gasoline
Aviation gasoline
26,029
30%
5,202
2,802
2,400
Submerged fill incoming
and splash fill outgoing
Motor vehicle gasoline
Aviation gasoline
8,676
10%
1,734
934
800
D-23
-------
D.I.4 Tank Trucks
In determining baseline regulatory coverage for tank
trucks, two cases were considered: trucks in "normal"
service and trucks in "collection" service (i.e., trucks
equipped with vapor collection equipment). Normal service
pertains to areas where no controls (or only submerged fill)
are required at the terminal or bulk plant. In this
situation there are no collection systems; therefore, there
can be no leakage of vapors from the vapor collection system
or the truck tank. "Collection" service pertains to loading
when vapor balance systems are employed. For areas where
vapor balance systems are used, the CTG recommendation is to
have vapor-tight tank trucks. The CTG recommendations for
vapor-tight tank trucks are that 1) the tank truck must pass
an annual leak-tight test that requires it to have less than
3" H20 pressure change under 18" H2O pressure or 6" H2O
vacuum, 2) it have no leaks greater than 100 percent of the
lower explosive limit (LEL) when monitored at any time with
a portable combustible gas analyzer, and 3) the vapor
collection system backpressure not exceed 18" H20 when
measured at the truck.
In addition to the CTG level, many districts in the
State of California require an annual vapor tightness test
with less than 1" or 2" H2O pressure change rather than the
CTG recommendation of 3" H20. In addition to this
difference, there are enforcement programs in California
that actively monitor trucks using portable gas analyzers or
equivalent methods. The combination of this more stringent
test and increased enforcement results in a control level
slightly more effective than the CTG level.
It was assumed in this analysis that all areas
requiring vapor collection and control at terminal loading
racks require that tank trucks be vapor-tight. It was also
assumed that all areas requiring vapor balance for the
outgoing truck loading racks at bulk plants require that
bulk tank trucks be vapor-tight.
D-24
-------
Emissions from tank truck leakage are calculated using
gasoline throughput. Therefore, gasoline throughput was
separated into controlled and uncontrolled at bulk terminals
and bulk plants to calculate tank truck leakage emissions.
For both terminals and plants, the throughput in California
was separated into an "enhanced" truck tightness category.
As discussed in Chapter 8, Section 8.2, the population
of tank trucks may be divided into two groups within the
overall categories of bulk plant trucks and bulk terminal
trucks. These are private (owned by terminal or plant
owner) and for-hire. In addition, bulk plant private trucks
may be broken down into motor vehicle gasoline trucks and
aviation gasoline trucks. In order to estimate the number
of these trucks that already had controls installed, the
throughput percentages discussed above for bulk terminals
and bulk plants were applied to the populations of tank
trucks to estimate the number controlled and uncontrolled
(except for aviation gasoline trucks, which were all assumed
to be uncontrolled).
Table D-ll shows the baseline gasoline throughput
percentages and populations by control level for tank
trucks. While this represents the baseline conditions, only
the throughput is used in the emissions analysis.
D.I.5 Service Stations
The approach for determining the regulatory coverage
for service stations was similar to that for bulk terminal
loading racks and bulk plants. All gasoline, with the
exception of agricultural accounts, was assumed to pass
through service stations (including public and private
outlets). The service station design criteria document
contains emission limits in terms of equipment
specifications. Recommended controls are submerged fill of
storage tanks, vapor balance between truck and tank, and a
leak-free truck and vapor transfer system. There are no
exemptions noted in the design criteria document.
D-25
-------
TABLE D-ll. BASELINE PARAMETERS FOR TANK TRUCKS
Percent of
Total Number of
Control Level Throughput Trucks
Bulk Terminal Tank Trucks
Enhanced leak tightness 11% 5,079
Annual leak tightness 60% 26,090
Uncontrolled 29% 12,731
Bulk Plant Tank Trucks
Enhanced leak tightness 11% 4,818
Annual leak tightness 49% 17,622
Uncontrolled 40% 21,360
Motor vehicle gasoline 14,960
Aviation gasoline 6,400
D-26
-------
State regulations were also reviewed to determine the
regulatory coverage for storage tank filling at service
stations. Although the design criteria document does not
contain exemptions, there are various exemption levels
contained in the state regulations. Many of these
regulations contain exemptions with respect to tank size,
which exempts most agricultural accounts. Other regulations
specifically exempt agricultural dispensing facilities.
Some States exempt dispensing facilities according to
monthly throughput, with the common exemption level being
38,000 liters (10,000 gallons) per month.
For the purposes of this analysis, there were three
basic control levels selected. These are 1) vapor balancing
with no exemptions, 2) vapor balancing with a 38,000 liters
(10,000 gallons) per month exemption, and 3) uncontrolled.
Control level 1 includes areas with no exemptions as well as
the areas with exemptions for very small tanks. This
exemption affects very few public and private facilities
except for agricultural accounts. Also, as with bulk
terminals and bulk plants, the uncontrolled stations are
divided into submerged and splash fill. Unless otherwise
noted, uncontrolled throughput was split 50/50 between
submerged and splash fill. It was assumed that all aviation
service station type facilities were uncontrolled and
operated with the same split between submerged and splash as
stated above.
Gasoline throughput by State by control level is shown
in Table D-12. Baseline population and throughput for
service stations is summarized in Table D-13.
D.2 BASELINE ANALYSIS OF FUEL TYPES
As discussed in Chapter 3 and Appendix C, there are
four basic fuel types that are expected to be in use in the
base year of 1998. These are 1) normal, 2) reformulated,
3) oxygenated, and 4) a combination of oxygenated and
reformulated. Since HAP emissions are calculated by
multiplying the VOC emissions by a HAP to VOC ratio, the
D-27
-------
TABLE D-12. STATE SERVICE STATION
THROUGHPUT BY CONTROL LEVEL*
(1,000 gallons/year)
STATE
ALABAMA
ALASKA
ARIZONA
ARKANSAS
CALIFORNIA
COLORADO
CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
DISTRICT OF COL.
FLORIDA
GEORGIA
HAWAII
IDAHO
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
IOWA
KANSAS
KENTUCKY
LOUISIANA
MAINE
MARYLAND
MASSACHUSETTS
MICHIGAN
MINNESOTA
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
MONTANA
NEBRASKA
NEVADA
NEW HAMPSHIRE
NO EXEMPTIONS
2.U5.645
0
0
0
13.462,477
0
0
0
177,888
0
0
0
0
0
1,226,213
0
0
1,872,604
2,048,515
618,660
0
2,462,880
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
WITH EXEMPTIONS
0
0
0
22,634
0
845,451
1,462,862
351.150
0
2.954.410
1.555.059
0
0
5,286,822
0
0
278,513
0
0
0
1.888,592
0
4,423.002
0
25,602
1,431,173
0
0
0
366,502
SUBMERGED FILL
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Q
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
UNCONTROLLED
0
277,391
1.698,418
1.256,821
0
720, 199
0
0
0
3,331.569
2.059,004
393,389
497,506
0
1,502,161
1,392,869
987,457
0
0
0
294,196
0
Q
2,102,272
1.254,495
1.354,023
449,630
804,969
659.565
149.698
D-28
-------
TABLE D-12. (Concluded)
STATE
NO EXEMPTIONS WITH EXEMPTIONS
SUBMERGED FILL
UNCONTROLLED
NEU JERSEY
NEW MEXICO
NEU YORK
NORTH CAROLINA
OHIO
OKLAHOMA
OREGON
PENNSYLVANIA
RHODE ISLAND
SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTH DAKOTA
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
UTAH
VERMONT
VIRGINIA
WASHINGTON
WEST VIRGINIA
WISCONSIN
WYOMING
NATIONWIDE
0
0
4,161,382
3,377,164
0
4,226,201
0
553.115
0
385,586
0
0
0
A, 208, 518
389,592
0
0
0
0
0
0
41,316,439
35%
3,589,161
0
0
0
0
0
277,255
0
4.790,112
0
392,946
0
2.644,699
0
0
0
3,063,827
116,930
245,115
2,148,379
0
38,160.196
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.455.589
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,455.589
1%
0
821,073
2.030.598
0
356,386
1,606,112
0
829,672
0
0
1,244,328
398,577
0
4,756,266
353.479
294,095
0
2,221,668
600,110
0
265,228
36,965,224
31%
NO EXEMPTIONS indicates those areas where the service
station regulations do not contain exemptions related
to throughput (i.e., 38,000 liters/month or 10,000
gallons/month). WITH EXEMPTIONS refers to those areas
that do not have exemptions based on this throughput.
SUBMERGED FILL refers to areas that require only
submerged filling of storage tanks. UNCONTROLLED
indicates those areas without Stage I service station
regulations.
D-29
-------
TABLE D-13. BASELINE PARAMETERS FOR SERVICE STATIONS
Control Level
Vapor balance with no exemptions
Vapor balance with submerged fill
Percent of
Total ,
Throughput
35%
32%
Number of
Stations
135,146
123,562
for stations with less than 10,000
gal/month throughput
Submerged fill 17% 33,621
Motor gasoline 32,821
Aviation gasoline 800
Splash fill 16% 30,970
Motor gasoline 30,170
Aviation gasoline 800
D-30
-------
parameters used to calculate VOC emissions discussed in
Section D.I must be separated according to fuel type. The
major criterion for this breakdown is the attainment
designation.
Nine ozone nonattainment areas will be required to
utilize reformulated gasoline throughout the year and all
other ozone nonattainment areas may opt into this program.
Also, all CO nonattainment areas will be required to
distribute oxygenated gasoline during the winter months.
For this baseline emissions analysis, several
assumptions were necessary. First, the areas that will opt
into the reformulated gasoline program are not known at this
time. It was assumed that all moderate and above ozone
nonattainment areas will opt in and utilize reformulated
gasoline. Another separation was by time of year. The year
was divided into the winter season (November - February) and
the nonwinter season (March - October). The rationale for
this breakdown is that the oxygenated fuel requirements for
CO nonattainment areas apply only in the winter period,
which will affect the types of fuels used in this time
period without affecting the remainder of the year.
Exceedances of the ambient CO standard occur during
different months, depending on the geographical location.
Therefore, the use of oxygenated fuels is not always
required during the same months for all CO nonattainment
areas. However, in order to simplify the analysis, it was
assumed that all oxygenated fuel throughput occurs during
the months of November through February. These are the most
common months for exceedances.
Based on 1990 throughput as reported in the 1991
National Petroleum News Factbook, it is estimated that
approximately 68 percent of the gasoline throughput occurs
in the eight nonwinter months (March - October). During
these months, there will be two types of fuels in use.
These are reformulated and normal gasoline. The areas
assumed to use reformulated fuel in this analysis are
D-31
-------
moderate and above ozone nonattairunent areas. All other
areas will utilize normal fuels.
For the winter, there are a greater number of fuels
that will be used. In areas that are moderate and above
ozone nonattainment areas and nonattainment for CO, the fuel
used will be reformulated/oxygenated (i.e., reformulated
with the higher oxygen content). Areas nonattainment for
CO, but not also moderate or above for ozone, will utilize
oxygenated fuels. Moderate and above ozone nonattainment
areas that are not also CO nonattainment areas will utilize
reformulated gasoline.
In response to these situations, the percentage of
gasoline throughput for four nonattainment scenarios was
determined. For the nonwinter period, the only necessary
breakdown was the throughput for moderate and above ozone
nonattainment areas. In the winter, throughput percentages
were determined for moderate and above ozone nonattainment
areas that are also CO nonattainment areas, moderate and
above ozone nonattainment areas that are not also CO
nonattainment areas, and CO nonattainment areas that are not
also moderate or above ozone nonattainment areas. These
percentages were determined using preliminary estimates of
nonattainment area designations based on 1987-89 design
values and 1988-90 design values for a few areas and the
1985 NEDS gasoline consumption report. Table D-14 shows the
percentages of throughput by State for these nonattainment
area (and resulting fuel type) designations.
The regulatory coverage was then applied by State for
each attainment area designation in the analysis. An
emission factor corresponding to the regulatory coverage,
loading method, type of storage used, etc., was selected and
VOC emissions were calculated by multiplying the
corresponding throughput by the corresponding emission
factor. The winter RVP, 14.0 psi, and nonwinter RVP,
10.2 psi, as discussed in Chapter 3, were used to calculate
separate VOC emission factors for each time period. The
resulting VOC emissions were multiplied by the total HAP to
D-32
-------
TABLE D-14.
STATE GASOLINE THROUGHPUT BY NONATTAINMENT
AREA CLASSIFICATION
STATE
ALABAMA
ALASKA
MIZONA
ARKANSAS
CALIFORNIA
COLORADO
CONNECTICUT
DELAWARE
DISTRICT OF COL.
FLORIDA
6EOR6IA
NAUAII
IDAHO
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
I DMA
KANSAS
KENTUCKY
LOUISIANA
MAINE
MARYLAND
MASSACHUSETTS
MICHIGAN
MINNESOTA
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
MONTANA
NEMASKA
NEVADA
NEW HAMPSHIRE
NEW JERSEY
PERCENT PE
>MOD OZONE CO
NONAmiN DON
OX
OX
S7X
OX
94X
OX
100X
7TX
100X
31X
40X
OX
OX
61X
19X
OX
ox
26X
KX
58X
87X
100X
55X
OX
ox
s;x
ox
ox
ox
65X
96X
•CENT PER
ft >NOD CO
ATTAIN NONA
OX
OX
57X
OX
B2X
OX
86X
59X
100X
ox
Z3X
OX
ox
37X
1ZX
OX
OX
OX
OX
OX
87X
100X
39X
OX
ox
26X
OX
OX
OX
61X
97X
CENT
ONLY
ATTAIN
OX
62X
1?X
OX
\X
71X
OX
OX
OX
ox
ox
ox
ox
3TX
OX
OX
OX
OX
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
55X
2X
OX
28X
OX
48X
OX
OX
D-33
-------
TABLE D-14. (Concluded)
STATE
NEW MEXICO
NEW YORK
NORTH CAROLINA
NORTH DAKOTA
OHIO
OKLAHOMA
OREGON
PENNSYLVANIA
RHODE ISLAND
SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTH DAKOTA
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
UTAH
VERMONT
VIRGINIA
WASHINGTON
WEST VIRGINIA
WISCONSIN
WYOMING
NATIONWIDE
PERCENT PERCENT PERCENT
>MQO OZONE CO t >MOO CO ONLY
NONATTAIN HONATTAIN NONATTAIN
OX
49X
28X
OX
SOX
OX
OX
t>n
100X
ox
ox
16X
45X
45X
OX
13X
OX
an
35X
ox
43%
ox
49X
28X
OX
20X
OX
OX
OX
OX
OX
OX
ox
2X
OX
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
28%
2M
sx
4X
OX
IX
OX
OX
OX
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
ox
5^
D-34
-------
VOC ratio for the appropriate fuel type to obtain the total
HAP emissions. These HAP to VOC ratios and the
corresponding attainment area situation where they were used
is summarized in Table D-15. The following sections
describe the methodology for each of the industry sectors.
D.3 BASELINE EMISSIONS FOR INDIVIDUAL SUBCATEGORIES
In this section, baseline emissions are presented for
the individual source subcategories within the gasoline
marketing chain. For each subcategory, the breakdown of
parameters into the different attainment designations is
presented by control level. The VOC emission factors used
to calculate VOC emissions are discussed, and baseline HAP
and VOC emissions are presented.
D.3.1 Pipeline Facilities
D.3.l.l Pipeline Pumping Stations. Emissions from
pipeline pumping stations are attributed to fugitive
emissions from pumps and valves. The emission factors used
for pumps and valves were taken from AP-42, Section 9.1.3
for light liquid components at refineries, 0.26 kg/valve/day
and 2.7 kg/pump seal/day. All pipeline pumping stations are
assumed to be uncontrolled (i.e., not routinely monitoring
for liquid and vapor leaks) in the 1998 base year. As
discussed in Chapter 8, it is estimated that at the baseline
there are 1,989 pumping stations in the United States.
Using the model plant distribution shown in Table 5-1, this
converts to a total component population of 10,600 pumps and
116,080 valves. The nationwide VOC emissions were
calculated using these component populations.
The types and quantity of gasoline traveling through a
pipeline will mirror the nationwide consumption. Therefore,
the VOC emissions were separated by time of year (68 percent
during nonwinter and 32 percent during winter) and by fuel
type according to the attainment area designations shown in
Table D-14. For example, it was assumed that about
43 percent of the nationwide throughput is in moderate and
above ozone nonattainment areas. Therefore, 43 percent of
D-35
-------
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D-36
-------
the nonwinter VOC emissions were multiplied by the
reformulated vapor profiles to estimate HAP emissions. The
baseline emissions from pipeline pumping stations are shown
in Table D-16.
D.3.1.2 Pipeline Breakout ?tations. There are two
sources of emissions at pipeline breakout stations. These
are fugitive emissions from leaking pumps and valves and
emissions from gasoline storage.
The fugitive emissions were calculated based on the
model plant information discussed in Chapter 5. The smaller
station was assumed to have 8 "equivalent" pumps and 210
"equivalent" valves. The larger model plant was assumed to
have 10 equivalent pumps and 300 equivalent valves. Using
the distribution of facilities by model plant in Chapter 5,
a total nationwide component population of 69,389 equivalent
valves and 2,465 pumps was estimated. These were multiplied
by the emission factors discussed above for pipeline pumping
stations to determine nationwide baseline VOC emissions. It
was also assumed that throughput for breakout stations is a
representation of the nationwide throughput. Therefore, the
VOC emissions were separated by the percentages for the time
of year and attainment area, and multiplied by the
corresponding HAP to VOC ratios to estimate baseline HAP
emissions.
Emissions from storage tanks were calculated using the
storage tank populations and throughputs by control level
discussed in Section D.I.2.1 and multiplying these by the
VOC emission factors. These VOC emission factors were
derived assuming an RVP of 10.2 psi for summer and 14.0 psi
for winter, and are presented in Table D-17. The HAP
emissions were calculated using nationwide percentages of
throughput as discussed above. Table D-18 presents baseline
storage tank and fugitive emissions from pipeline breakout
stations.
D.3.2 Bulk Terminals
There are three basic sources of emissions at bulk
terminals. These are loading rack emissions (which include
D-37
-------
TABLE D-16. BASELINE EMISSIONS FROM
PIPELINE PUMPING STATIONS
Baseline
Emissions
Existing
New
TOTAL
Fugitive Emissions
(Mg/yr)
HAP
1,710
660
2,370
VOC
22,800
8,810
31,610
D-38
-------
TABLE D-17. EMISSION FACTORS FOR PIPELINE BREAKOUT STATION
STORAGE TANKS"-b
Type of Emission
VOC
Emission
Factor
NonWinter Winter
Units
Fixed-Roof
Uncontrolled
Breathing losses
Working losses
27.0
431.3
37.7 Mg VOC/yr/tank
559.6 Mg VOC/yr/tank
Internal Floating Roofc
Rim Seal losses
Fitting losses
Deck Seam losses
Working losses
External Floating Roof
Standing Storage
losses
Primary seald
Secondary seal6
Working losses
1.0
1.1
2.3
1.5
1.6
3.3
7.33 x 10*
8
15.8 23.1
7.4 10.8
4.61 X 10'8
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/bbl
throughput
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/bbl
throughput
Emission factors calculated with equations from Section 4.3 of
AP-42 using a nonwinter RVP of 10.2 psi, a winter RVP of 14.0
psi, and a temperature of 60 *F, as discussed in Section 3.2.1.2
Assumes storage tanks at pipeline breakout stations have a
capacity of 8,000 m3 (50,000 bbl), a diameter of 30 meters (100
feet), and a height of 12 meters (40 feet).
Assumes that internal floating roof is equipped with a liquid-
mounted resilient seal (primary only).
Assumes that external floating roof is equipped with a primary
metallic shoe seal.
Assumes that external floating roof is equipped with a shoe-
mounted secondary seal.
D-39
-------
TABLE D-18. BASELINE EMISSIONS FROM
PIPELINE BREAKOUT STATIONS
Baseline
Emissions
Existing
New
TOTAL
Storage Tank
Emissions (Mg/yr)
HAP
6,320
60
6,370
voc
83,370
740
84,110
Fugitive Emissions
(Mg/yr)
HAP
780
80
860
VOC
10,410
1,030
11,450
D-40
-------
tank truck leakage at facilities controlled by vapor
collection), storage tank emissions, and fugitive emissions
from leaking pumps and valves. Baseline HAP and VOC
emissions from bulk terminals are shown in Table D-19. Each
will be addressed in the following subsections.
D.3.2.1 Loading Rack Emissions. The national baseline
control levels shown in Table D-3 were separated according
to the nonattainment designations shown in Table D-14. It
was assumed that all throughput for ozone nonattainment
areas was controlled at the control level for that
particular State or part of that State. For example, it was
estimated that 67 percent of the gasoline throughput
occurred at terminals subject to New York's 80 mg/1
standard. It was also estimated that 49 percent of New
York's throughput occurred in moderate or above ozone
nonattainment areas. This 49 percent of the State
throughput was assumed to all be subject to the 80 mg/1
standard and control levels set as discussed in Section D.I.
Using this approach, throughput was divided into the various
attainment designations according to control level. Table
D-20 shows this breakdown that represents the baseline.
Emission factors were selected for each control level and
applied to the throughput. The 80, 35, and 10 mg/1 emission
factors did not change from nonwinter to winter. The
calculated emission factors for submerged fill are 667 mg/1
for the nonwinter and 860 mg/1 for the winter. Those for
splash fill are 1,611 mg/1 for the nonwinter and 2,079 mg/1
for the winter. Using these emission factors, the VOC
emissions for each attainment class were calculated and the
HAP emissions estimated using the appropriate emission
factors.
Tank truck leakage emissions are also attributed to the
loading rack since they occur in the rack area while the
truck is loading. As noted previously, it was assumed that
all throughput controlled for loading racks was subject to
leak-tight tank truck requirements. The three basic control
levels are annual leak tightness inspections, enhanced
D-41
-------
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-------
TABLE D-20. BULK TERMINAL BASELINE LOADING RACK
ANNUAL THROUGHPUT BY AREA AND CONTROL LEVEL
Area/Control Level Throughput
(10° liters)8
NONWINTER
Moderate and above ozone NA areas
80 mg/1 48,600
35 mg/1 22,300
10 mg/1 55,400
5 mg/1 5,400
uncontrolled 0
All other areas
80 mg/1 30,600
35 mg/1 14,000
10 mg/1 34,900
5 mg/1 3,500
uncontrolled 88,900
WINTER
Moderate and above ozone nonattainment
areas not also CO nonattainment
80 mg/1 8,300
35 mg/1 3,800
10 mg/1 9,400
5 mg/1 940
uncontrolled 0
D-43
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TABLE D-20. (Concluded)
Area/ Control Level Throughput
_ (106 liters)3
Moderate and above ozone nonattainment
areas that are also CO nonattainment
80 mg/1 14,600
35 mg/1 6,650
10 mg/1 16,650
5 mg/1 1,700
uncontrolled 0
CO nonattainment areas that are not
moderate or above ozone nonattainment
areas
80 mg/1
35 mg/1
10 mg/1
5 mg/1
uncontrolled
Attainment areas
80 mg/1
35 mg/1
10 mg/1
5 mg/1
uncontrolled
1,100
500
1,300
130
4,100
13,200
6,100
15,100
1,500
37,800
The throughputs shown in this table reflect estimated
actual emitting levels of loading racks at bulk
terminals, which are often better than the 80, 35, or
10 ing/1 regulatory limits in effect at the terminals
(see Section D.I.I).
D-44
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leak tightness inspections, and uncontrolled.
For the uncontrolled case, the emissions would all be
attributed to the loading rack. For the annual leak
tightness inspections, the emission factors were calculated
to be 111 mg/1 for the nonwinter season and 143 mg/1 for the
winter. The enhanced leak tightness testing emission
factors are 27.8 mg/1 for nonwinter and 35.8 mg/1 for
winter.
D.3.2.2 Storage Tank Emissions. The baseline bulk
terminal storage tank populations and throughputs shown in
Table D-6 were divided according to attainment area
designation in the same fashion as discussed above for
terminal loading racks. This breakdown of bulk terminal
storage tank parameters is shown in Table D-21. The VOC
emissions were then calculated using the emission factors
shown in Table D-22 for each attainment designation and the
proper HAP to VOC ratios applied to estimate HAP emissions.
D.3.2.3 Fugitive Emissions. Since it was considered
that fugitive emissions from leaking pumps and valves were
uncontrolled at the baseline, it was not necessary to break
down the number of components by control level by attainment
area. Rather, the total nationwide number of components was
calculated (115,750 valves and 10,240 pumps) and the same
emission factors discussed above under pipeline pumping
stations were applied to obtain baseline nationwide VOC
emissions. These VOC emissions were assigned to the various
attainment areas using the same proportions as the bulk
terminal loading rack throughput and multiplied by the
proper HAP to VOC ratio to estimate baseline HAP emissions.
D.3.3 Bulk Plants
The baseline bulk plant throughputs and populations
shown in Table D-10 were divided according to attainment
area designation in the same fashion as discussed above for
terminal loading racks. This breakdown of bulk plant
parameters is shown in Table D-23. The VOC emissions were
D-45
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TABLE D-21. BULK TERMINAL BASELINE STORAGE TANK
THROUGHPUT AND POPULATION BY AREA AND CONTROL LEVEL
Area/Control Level Population Throughput
(f of Tanks) (106 bbl/yr)
NONWINTER
Moderate and above
ozone NA areas
External 657 307
floater/primary
seals only
External 694 325
floater/primary and
secondary seals
Fixed-roof with 899 196
internal floater
Fixed-roof uncontrolled 0 0
All other areas
External 992 464
floater/primary
seals only
External 531 249
floater/primary and
secondary seals
Fixed-roof with 959 209
internal floater
Fixed-roof uncontrolled 729 159
WINTER
Moderate and above
ozone nonattainment
areas not also CO
nonatta inment
External 115 54
floater/primary
seals only
External 115 54
floater/primary and
secondary seals
Fixed-roof with 153 33
internal floater
Fixed-roof uncontrolled 0 0
D-46
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TABLE D-21. (Concluded)
Area/Control Level Population Throughput
(# of Tanks) (106 bbl/yr)
Moderate and above ozone
nonattainment areas that are
also CO nonattainment
External floater/primary 194 91
seals only
External floater/primary 212 99
and secondary seals
Fixed-roof with internal 270 59
floater
Fixed-roof uncontrolled 0 0
CO nonattainment that are not
moderate or above ozone
nonattainroent areas
External floater/primary 28 13
seals only
External floater/primary 44 21
and secondary seals
Fixed-roof with internal 49 11
floater
Fixed-roof uncontrolled 3 l
Attainment areas
External floater/primary 439 205
seals only
External floater/primary 206 96
and secondary seals
Fixed-roof with internal 403 88
floater
Fixed-roof uncontrolled 340 74
D-47
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TABLE D-22. EMISSION FACTORS FOR
BULK TERMINAL STORAGE TANKSa'b
Type of Emission
VOC
Emission
Factor
Nonwinter Winter
Units
Fixed-Roof
Uncontrol1ed
Breathing losses 8.9
Working losses 34.8
12.5
45.1
Internal Floating Roofc
Rim Seal losses 0.5
Fitting losses 1.1
Deck Seam losses 0.6
Working losses 7.33 x 10
External Floating Roof
Standing Storage
losses
Primary seald
Secondary seal6
Working losses 4.61 x 10
0.6
1.4
0.7
-8
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/bbl
throughput
12.7
6.1
18.5
8.9
-8
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/yr/tank
Mg VOC/bbl
throughput
a Emission factors calculated with equations from Section
4.3 of AP-42 using a nonwinter RVP of 10.2 psi, a winter
RVP of 14.0 psi, and a temperature of 60eF, as discussed
in Section 3.2.1.2.
b Assumes storage tanks at bulk terminals have a capacity
of 2,680 m3 (16,750 bbl) , a diameter of 15.2 meters (50
feet), and a height of 14.6 meters (48 feet).
c Assumes that internal floating roof is equipped with a
liquid-mounted resilient seal (primary only).
d Assumes that external floating roof is equipped with a
primary metallic shoe seal.
e Assumes that external floating roof tank is equipped with
a shoe-mounted secondary seal.
D-48
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TABLE D-23. BULK PLANT BASELINE ANNUAL THROUGHPUT BY
AREA AND CONTROL LEVEL
Throughput
Area/Control Level (106 liters)
NONWINTER
Moderate and above ozone NA areas
vapor balance incoming/vapor 12,584
balance outgoing with no
exemptions
vapor balance incoming/vapor 7,450
balance outgoing with 4,000
gallon/day exemption
vapor balance incoming with 571
submerged fill outgoing
uncontrolled 0
All other areas
vapor balance incoming/vapor 8,354
balance outgoing with no
exemptions
vapor balance incoming/vapor 6,802
balance outgoing with 4,000
gallon/day exemption
vapor balance incoming with 0
submerged fill outgoing
uncontrolled 23,600
WINTER
Moderate or above ozonejonattainment
areas not also CO nonattainment
vapor balance incoming/vapor 3,786
balance outgoing with no
exemptions
vapor balance incoming/vapor 1,927
balance outgoing with 4,000
gallon/day exemption
vapor balance incoming with 268
submerged fill outgoing
uncontrolled 0
D-49
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TABLE D-23. (Concluded)
Area/Control Level Throughput
(106 liters)
Moderate and above ozone nonattainment
areas that are also CO nonattainment
vapor balance incoming/vapor 2,136
balance outgoing with no
exemptions
vapor balance incoming/vapor 1,579
balance outgoing with 4,000
gallon/day exemptions
vapor balance incoming with 0
submerged fill outgoing
uncontrolled 0
CO nonattainment areas that are not
moderate or above ozone nonattainment
areas
vapor balance incoming/vapor 63
balance outgoing with no
exemptions
vapor balance incoming/vapor 423
balance outgoing with 4,000
gallon/day exemptions
vapor balance incoming with 0
submerged fill outgoing
uncontrolled 1,768
Attainment areas
vapor balance incoming/vapor 3,868
balance outgoing with no
exemptions
vapor balance incoming/vapor 2,778
balance outgoing with 4,000
gallon/day exemptions
vapor balance incoming with 0
submerged fill outgoing
uncontrolled 9,338
D-50
-------
then calculated for each attainment designation using the
emission factors shown in Table D-24 and the proper HAP to
VOC ratios applied to estimate HAP emissions. Baseline bulk
plant emissions are shown in Table D-25.
D.3.4 Service Stations
Service station baseline emissions were calculated in a
manner very similar to bulk plants. The baseline service
station throughputs shown in Table D-13 were divided
according to attainment area designation in the same fashion
as discussed above for terminal loading racks. This
breakdown of service station throughput is shown in Table
D-26. The VOC emissions were then calculated for each
attainment designation using the emission factors calculated
and the proper HAP to VOC ratios were applied to estimate
HAP emissions. The VOC emission factors are 970 mg/1 and
1,254 mg/1 for nonwinter and winter submerged fill,
respectively. The splash fill factors are 1,526 mg/1 and
1,972 mg/1 for nonwinter and winter, respectively. Baseline
service station emissions from storage tank filling are
shown in Table D-27.
D-51
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TABLE D-24. BULK PLANT EMISSION FACTORS
VOC Emission
Factor
(rag/liter)
Type of Emission Nonwinter Winter
Tank Truck Unloading
(Incoming Loads)
Storage tank filling
uncontrolled vapor 977 1,260
balance 49 63
Tank Truck Loading (Outgoing
Loads)
Storage tank draining
uncontrolled vapor 391 504
balance 20 25
Tank truck filling
splash filing 1,611 2,079
submerged filling 667 860
vapor balance 56 72
Storage Tank Breathing 179 259
D-52
-------
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D-53
-------
TABLE D-26. SERVICE STATION BASELINE THROUGHPUT BY
AREA AND CONTROL LEVEL
Area/Control Level Throughput
(106 liters)
NONWINTER
Moderate and Above Ozone NA Areas
vapor balance with no 73,501
exemptions
vapor balance with 10,000 55,681
gallon/month exemption
submerged fill 0
uncontrolled 0
All Other Areas
vapor balance with no 32,850
exemptions
vapor balance with 10,000 42,546
gallon/month exemption
submerged fill 3,747
uncontrolled 95,151
WINTER
Moderate or above ozone nonattainment areas not also CO
nonattainment
vapor balance with no 23,414
exemptions
vapor balance with 10,000 14,988
gallon/month exemption
submerged fill 0
uncontrolled 0
D-54
-------
TABLE D-26. (Concluded)
Area/Control Level Throughput
(106 liters)
Moderate and above ozone nonattainment areas that are also
CO nonattainment
vapor balance with no 11,174
exemptions
vapor balance with 10,000 11,215
gallon/month exemption
submerged fill 0
uncontrolled 0
CO nonattainment areas that are not moderate or above
ozone nonattainment areas
vapor balance with no 273
exemptions
vapor balance with 10,000 2,350
gallon/month exemption
submerged fill 0
uncontrolled 6,657
Attainment Areas
vapor balance with no 15,186
exemptions
vapor balance with 10,000 17,671
gallon/month exemption
submerged fill 1,763
uncontrolled 38,120
D-55
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TABLE D-27. BASELINE EMISSIONS FROM
SERVICE STATIONS
Baseline
Emissions
Existing
New
TOTAL
Underground Tank
Filling Emissions
(Mg/yr)
HAP
10,970
920
11,880
VOC
197,460
16,510
213,970
D-56
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TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
(Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO.
EPA-453/R-94-002a
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
Gasoline Distribution I
Background Information
ndustry (Stage I) -
for Proposed Standards
7. AUTHOR(S)
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND i
Office of Air Quality P
US Environmental Protec
Research Triangle Park,
VDDRESS
lanning and Standards
tion Agency
North Carolina 27711
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
Office of Air and Radiation
US Environmental Protection Agency
Washington, DC 20460
3. RECIPIENTS ACCESSION NO.
5. REPORT DATE
January 1994
6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
68-D1-0116
13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
Interium Final
14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
EPA/200/04
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT
National emission standards for hazardous air pollutants (NESHAP) are
being proposed for the gasoline distribution industry under authority of
Section 112 (d) of the Clean Air Act as amended in 1990. This background
information document provides technical information and analyses used in
the development of the proposed NESHAP. The alternatives analyzed are
to limit emissions of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) from existing and
new Stage I gasoline distribution facilities. Gasoline vapor emissions
contain about ten of the listed HAPs. Stage I sources include bulk
gasoline terminals and plants, pipeline facilities, and underground
storage tanks at service stations. Emissions of HAP ' s from these
facilities occur during gasoline tank truck and railcar loading,
gasoline storage, and from vapor leaks from tank trucks, pumps, valves,
flanges and other equipment in gasoline service.
17.
a. DESCRIPTORS
Air Pollution
Volatile Organic
Compounds Hazardous
Air Pollutants -
Gasoline Bulk
Terminals Bulk Plants
Pipelines Service
Stations
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
Unlimited
KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
b. IDENTIKIEKS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
Air Pollution Control
19. SECURITY CLASS (n. **-,,
Unclassified
20. SKCUKJTY CLASS ,n, f.f,i
Unclassified
c. COSAT1 Kidd/Groop
13 b
21. NO. OF PAGES
407
22. PRICE
EPA Fonu 2220-1 (Rev. 4-77) PREVIOUS EDITION IS OBSOLETE
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