United States
 Environmental Protection
 Agency
Environmental Sciences
Research Laboratory
Research Triangle Park NC 27711
 Research and Development
 EPA-600/S3-84-041 Apr. 1984
Project  Summary
Regional  Acid  Deposition:  Models
and  Physical   Processes
  This report presents the results of a
 10-month study on the current status of
 research on fundamental concepts and
 physical processes relevant to regional
 acid deposition modeling. The role of
 models in environmental assessment is
 described first. This is followed by a
 review of existing models in  a chapter
 designed to  establish  a  reference
 framework for the bulk of the report.
 Most, if not all, of the principal concepts
 in model construction  and evaluation
 are discussed. After extensive discus-
 sions of state-of-the-art  regional me-
 teorological modeling and the  chemistry
 of acid generation in the troposphere are
 presented,  the discussion focuses on
 the development of a new generation of
 acid deposition models. Based on the
 topics reviewed, the desirable features
 of a comprehensive model  are  described
 with emphasis on components needing
 great improvement or omitted in pre-
 sent models.  These features include
 emissions  data,  detailed acid rain
 chemistry, cloud processes, dry deposi-
 tion, model validation,  and sensitivity
 analysis.
  This Project Summary was developed
 by EPA's Environmental Sciences Re-
 search Laboratory,  Research Triangle
 Park, NC, to announce key findings of
 the  research  project that is  fully
 documented in a separate report of the
same title (see Project Report ordering
information at back).

 Introduction
  Although the acid rain phenomenon has
been recognized for the past  100 years, im-
portant features of the acid rain problem are
new: (a) quantitative questions are perceived
that must be answered to fully understand
the  essential chemical and meteorological
processes, and (b) mathematical models and
field- and laboratory-measured programs are
available to investigate these  questions.
Similarly, now available are  reasonably
logical and mature formulations of relation-
ships  between ecological systems (and
physical structures) and acid deposition that
can be investigated quantitatively. Also, as
noted above, public awareness of the poten-
tial effects and probable causes of acid rain
is new, as is the understanding that some
kinds of  pollution  traverse  political
boundaries.
  The bulk of the  report examines the full
range of meteorological and chemical pro-
cesses  that are involved in the  overall
phenomenon that  is,  the production and
deposition of acidified rain, snow, fog, and
mist, and the dry deposition of acid anhy-
drides over important inhabited regions, such
as the east  central  United States and
Canada. Particular attention is given  to
issues in the study of acid rain through
mathematical models. Although the scien-
tific questions dictate the kinds of field
measurements, laboratory experiments, and
model development to be undertaken (all of
which are necessary), particular interest is
in how to develop and  employ credible
models. A credible model is defined as one
built on basic physical and chemical pro-
cesses that can test hypotheses and guide
the design and assessment of field measure-
ment programs;  its ultimate  use  is for
predicting acid deposition rates and source-
receptor relationships and  for reliably
estimating the  effects of emission control
strategies.

The Physical Picture
  To understand and  model the acid rain
phenomenon one  must recognize a wide
range of physical and chemical  processes
and their interactions. Briefly, these are (a)
emissions of materials that cause and regu-
late acidity in precipitation and deposition.

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(b)  meteorological motions that  transport
and dilute the emitted substances laterally
and vertically, (c) the various physical and
chemical  transformations that  alter  the
physical phase and chemical properties (e.g.,
valence or oxidation state) of the emitted
substances, and (d) the meteorological fac-
tors and surface adhesiveness that lead to
deposition of the transformed substances.
Less recognized  than the above processes
are those properties of the Earth's surface
that control  the rate  of uptake  of  dry
materials (e.g., gaseous S02 and/or airborne
particles).
  Because the principal acids in precipitation
are sulfuric (H2SO4) and nitric (HN03), most
concern is with  sulfur and nitrogen emis-
sions. However, the hydrocarbons and their
oxidation products are important  reactants
in the chemistry which ultimately leads to
HN03 and H2S04. Estimates of anthropo-
genic emissions of SO2 (mostly from coal-
and oil-burning electrical power plants and
metal-smelting plants) and of NOX (mostly
NO and N02 from high temperature combus-
tion processes, including those in auto and
truck engines and power plants) are rea-
sonably reliable for the world's industrialized
countries.  Much less credible, but probably
less important, are estimates of natural emis-
sions of organic sulfur gases and  of natural
NOX  compounds.  Natural  sources  of
gaseous NH3 and particulate NH4+, gaseous
hydrocarbons, airborne mineral dusts, and
lightning-produced  NOX must  also  be
estimated  reliably. Minor contributions to
precipitation acidity from HCI and organic
acids are often negligible.
  Whether  the  key  emissions   are  an-
thropogenic or natural, they are injected in-
to the atmosphere at or near the Earth's
surface, usually within the planetary bound-
ary  layer.  Accordingly,  boundary  layer
meteorology is at the core of the acid rain
problem. The physics of turbulence and con-
vection, diurnal variation in surface heating,
terrain geometry, and surface and  boundary
layer hydrology exert strong control over the
initial dispersion of the emitted substances.
Further, during  the time these substances
spend in the boundary layer, their physical
environment  (e.g., temperature,  pressure,
humidity, available sunlight) and  proximity
to surfaces and  to other pollutants such as
aerosol particles control the rate and type of
chemical transformations that occur. These
chemical transformations differ  markedly
from those that  normally occur above the
boundary  layer  in the free troposphere.
Perhaps only one important acid  precursor
or regulator,  NOX from lightning,  does not
begin its atmospheric  life in  the  boundary
layer, although  background  tropospheric
ozone is central to all tropospheric chemistry.
  In dirty or clean air, in the boundary layer
and above, chemicals react with each other.
The precise rates and types of reactions de-
pend  strongly  on  the   local  pressure,
temperature, available sunlight (both direct
and scattered), the presence of liquid and
vapor  H20, and  on the  production  of
photochemical  oxidants  (like  ozone and
peroxyacetylnitrate  co-reactants).  The
discussion is organized into categories of
homogeneous reactions (gaseous and liquid)
and heterogeneous processes and by prin-
cipal categories of chemical species. Key
considerations include the exact  rates of
transformation (oxidation) of S02 and NOX
into  H2SO4 and  HNO3,  respectively, the
major pathways of transformation, and the
essential controlling agents.
  In an  oxidizing  atmosphere such as that
of the Earth, the oxidation of S02 and IMOX
to H2S04 and  HN03 is inescapable, given
enough  time  in the  atmosphere.  In
characterizing  regional  acid  deposition,
however, one must determine what fraction
of a region's total emissions is oxidized and
deposited within the region and what frac-
tion of the total is transported long  distance
(at high  altitudes,  for example) for eventual
deposition  onto  territories  hundreds  or
thousands of kilometers from the sources.
That is,  a credible description and model of
this physical system  must include quan-
titative treatment  of material transport and
transformation above  the  boundary layer.
Similarly, the factors that limit the rate of sur-
face deposition and uptake of gases (dry
deposition) must be treated quantitatively.
These  factors include   nearground  tur-
bulence, the condition and type of the sur-
face  (e.g.,  vegetation,  soils),  and  the
chemical stickiness and reactivity of the rele-
vant substances on the surfaces.

Existing  Models and
Components  of  Models
  Two distinct types  of  models used are
defined, described, and compared for stu-
dying long-range transport of air pollutants:
Eulerian grid models and Lagrangian trajec-
tory models. Also, because of different goals
and   problems  facing   air  pollution
meteorologists and chemists, it has  been
useful to develop and employ distinctly dif-
ferent models for air quality modeling (AOM)
and acid deposition modeling (ADM). For
ADM,  it  is concluded  that  the three-
dimensional nature of the problem and the
importance of  simulating  with adequate
generality specific source distributions and
eventual  control  strategies require an
Eulerian framework.
  Although  ADM  has  improved  the
understanding  of  the acid rain problem,  a
number of  phenomena have not yet  been
fully treated largely because the ADM field
is  relatively new.  Reasonably  well-based
treatments of each phenomenon have been
attempted,  but   the  best  available
mathematical parameterizations have not
been coupled within one model. Individual
models tend to be strong in one respect, but
very weak  in others. A number of funda-
mental weaknesses that are widespread, or
even ubiquitous, can be mentioned. For ex-
ample, existing acid deposition  models do
not allow for mixing of pollutants above the
boundary layer. Similarly, no recognition is
given to different types of precipitation (rain,
snow, dew, etc.) or to the temperature and
pH that characterize precipitation scaveng-
ing and acid formation. No cloud-chemical
processes have been considered, nor have
fundamental (or elementary) chemical reac-
tions been treated with sufficient detail. In-
stead,  linear overall transformation  rates
have been employed. (For example, the con-
version  rate of  S02 to S04= has been set
equal to x% per hour without regard to
mechanisms or controlling factors, although
seasonal dependence of x is sometimes per-
mitted.) No published model has included
reasonably  complete  chemical  reaction
schemes, and nitrogen oxides are usually
omitted entirely. Similarly, dry deposition of
pollutants has  been simulated  with  fixed
deposition velocities; and dependences on
winds, surface  topography, moisture, and
vegetation types have been ignored.  Sub-
grid-scale inhomogeneities in  emissions,
transport, chemical reaction types and rates,
and deposition have  not been included. Few
data and the use of nonmechanistic model
parameterizations have led to more model
"tuning" than is desirable. Consequently,
much verification of ADM work is required.
  The  ADM and regional meteorological
modeling (RMM) fields have a longer history
and a greater data base than acid deposition
modeling.  Fortunately,  AQM   and RMM
techniques and results are valuable for ADM
development. For example, the  experience
and results of AQM researchers in dealing
with large numbers of chemical reactions can
be  tapped.  Schemes to  classify  and to
reduce systematically the numbers of in-
dependent chemical reaction equations of-
fer  help  to ADM.  Also,  methods  of
incorporating  emissions into   air  quality
models and the AQM  emissions data base
itself are largely applicable in ADM.
  The  relative  maturity  and quantitative
nature of the RMM field can be of enormous
benefit to those developing more general and
realistic acid deposition models. Thus, over-
view of regional meteorological models is
presented, history of their goals, methods,
and capabilities is outlined; and the principal
components of these models are identified.

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Briefly,  these  are  the mathematical  or
numerical aspects and the more physical
features. In the former category, we review
the essential features of the spatial grids in
these  models,  the  various  numerical
methods employed to solve the governing
partial  differential equations, the lateral
boundary conditions, and  the overriding
need for adequate data analysis and data in-
itialization. Each of these RMM components,
as well as the main purposes of RMM, is
closely related and applicable to the task at
hand in ADM, namely to model accurately
the' dispersion and transport of pollutants.
  Similarly,  physical aspects of regional
meteorological models that have been im-
proved and tested will benefit ADM develop-
ment. These physical aspects include the
transport of heat, moisture and momentum
at the Earth's surface, in the  planetary
boundary layer, and free troposphere, and
the energy sources and sinks that govern the
transports. Also included are phase changes
of water and the interaction of radiation with
clouds and  the surface.  Because  these
physical  phenomena  occur  on many
disparate  spatial  scales,  including scales
shorter than a model's grid spacing, param-
eterizations are necessary — for example, to
relate the cumulative effect of  subgrid-scale
phenomena on the fluid flow to the model-
resolvable scales of motion.  We review
parameterizations of surface processes, of
planetary boundary layer processes, of con-
densation and evaporation processes, and of
radiative effects of layered clouds in current
models; and we identify strong indicators of
profitable research.
  Another important consideration in the
field of RMM that will be directly useful in
ADM is that of objective measures of model
skill, i.e., the accuracy of model predictions.
Several standard quantitative measures of
forecast  skill are  reviewed and also  sum-
marize the state of the art of RMM's to
forecast (precipitation, for example). RMM
methods will  serve  as good preliminary
guides for measuring objectively the ability
of acid deposition models to forecast deposi-
tion patterns (say, annual totals) or deposi-
tion amounts in distinct events.
  Because of the great potential for transfer-
ring methods  and parameterizations  from
RMM to  ADM, components of the former
models have been reviewed in some detail.
First,  the need  for  objective analysis is
recognized  — irregularly  spaced  initial
meteorological data must be transformed to
provide initial conditions on a model  grid.
The  techniques,  quality,  computational
costs,  and  history of objective analysis
methods are summarized, and several case
studies are discussed. The related need for
data initialization is discussed in similar detail.
 General physical considerations, mathe-
 matical analysis,  and  experience with
 meteorological models can indicate gen-
 eral spectral and transient characteristics
 of data-caused noise. In specific applica-
 tions (e.g., for a specific regional topog-
 raphy and synoptic situation), RMM pro-
 vides sound theory and practical experi-
 ence to guide the choice of initialization
 procedure. Accordingly, unneeded compu-
 tational costs can be avoided. Because
 boundary conditions must be specified to
 solve  differential equations, principal
 techniques used in RMM (spatial damp-
 ing (or sponge) conditions, wave-radiation
 conditions) and bounded derivative schemes
 are reviewed with respect to various  ADM
 applications.  Numerical  methods  and
 mathematical  principles  for  objective
 analysis, data  initialization, and boundary
 conditions are also reviewed. Once again,
 the  available  general theory plus  the  ex-
 perience of RMM researchers constitute a
 well-based    foundation   for   ADM
 development.
  On a more physical side,  the essential
 RMM components  mentioned above, sur-
 face physics and effects, planetary boundary
 layer physics and effects, and the thermo-
 dynamic and radiative physics and effects of
 clouds and precipitation are also reviewed.
 The methods and problems extent in the field
 of RMM are very close to those that  will
 prevail in ADM.


The Chemistry of Acid
 Generation in the Troposphere
  The  chemical phenomena and reaction
sets in existing acid deposition models  are
far from complete for many reasons. An in-
adequate   understanding of  long-range
transport of pollutants, whose importance
has  only recently been perceived  by the
public and its agencies, has prompted much
ADM work to focus on the meteorological
aspects of transboundary transport.  Also in-
complete and confusing until recently has
been mechanistic information on the actual
chemical processes that transform S02 into
sulfuric  acid and N0x into nitric acid. Fur-
ther, the chemistry of acid generation is more
complicated than that of regional chemical
oxidants; the former involves gas-phase and
aqueous reactions, while the latter is due to
gas-phase reactions alone.
  Accordingly, the discussions and review
of the chemistry of acid generation are
focused at first on the essential chemistry
itself rather than the chemistry in the existing
ADM's. The main categories of the review
are gas-phase reactions, aqueous-phase and
heterogeneous processes, and  photodis-
sociative processes. Any credible ADM  must
 be based upon reaction mechanisms as op-
 posed to depending completely on^param-
 eterizations  of   overall  reaction  or
 transformation rates.
   For example, this simple parameterization
 in widespread use is inherently linear: The
 rate of production of SO4= is  proportional
 to the gaseous S02 concentration. In reality,
 the supply of chemicals that oxidize S02 to
 S04= might be limited in certain locations,
 and little or no SO«= production could take
 place even when large amounts of  S02 are
 available. Similarly, the S02-to-S04= conver-
 sion rate  probably depends on the  exact
 species that is accompanying the oxidation
 so that the rate x is not constant but varies
 with  time. Analogous fundamental  con-
 siderations apply to the conversion of NOx
 to  nitric acid,  to  the production of
 photochemical oxidants like ozone and per-
 oxyacetylnitrate, and to the production of
 S02 from  biogenic organic  sulfides, for
 example.
  The main goal of the very detailed presen-
 tations is to identify from  available research
 results the  principal elementary  reaction
 mechanisms  and key species  in the gas-
 phase, aqueous-phase, and heterogeneous
 reactions that cause and control acid genera-
 tion. From a complex and encyclopedic list
 of chemicals and reactions, a smaller, more
 concise list of chemical variables and pro-
 cesses must be distilled to develop a trac-
 table and useful ADM. From fundamental
 principles, laboratory data  or photochemistry
 and kinetics, laboratory simulations of com-
 plex systems and field data, we can explain
 the  essence of acid  generation.  These
 shortened lists of  species and processes
 (elementary reactions when possible) will re-
 quire  further  testing,  such as  zero-
 dimensional sensitivity calculations. In some
 cases, such  as gas-phase  species  (i.e.,
 hydrocarbons), the  representative categories
 have  been   ground  in  AQM  research
 previously, so  only refinements  will be
 needed for ADM development. In cases such
 as for solution-phase chemistry, achieving
 conciseness in the reaction  list while still
 simulating the essential features and rateg of
 reactions has not been accomplished, partly
 because the role of in-cloud chemistry in
 generating acids has been appreciated only
 recently.
  Certain clear indications  of how to proceed
 in ADM  development do  appear in the
 course of our review. For example, because
 all gas-phase processes that lead to S02 oxi-
 dation are initiated by the gas-phase OH
 radical (in daylight, of course),  the minimal
 reaction set for ADM most embody the ma-
jor  processes that  control OH concentra-
tions. Similarly, because  of its role in NOX
chemistry and because it  is a major source

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   of OH, tropospheric O3 must be calculated
   accurately. In the liquid  phase, it will be
   necessary to simulate behavior of 03, H202,
   OH, H02, N03, and probably 02- and N205.
   Fortunately, the fundamental data necessary
   in ADM development are forthcoming or are
   largely available already.

   Acid Deposition Model
   Development and Testing
     Many of the issues that can arise in the
   design of a comprehensive model, i.e., one
   which includes coupled meteorology and
   chemistry,  are   discussed.  The  key
   meteorological and chemical processes that
   are identified earlier are stated more  con-
   cisely, and certain other phenomena and
   practical considerations are introduced into
   the discussion. For example, the apparent
   importance of dry deposition of acidic gases
   and particles, the available methods for its
   measurement, the controlling physics and
   chemistry, and how ADM might treat dry
   deposition are discussed. Questions and
   facts are introduced concerning surface
   emissions of pollutants and natural sources
   of acid precursors and of those species that
   regulate acid generation.  Other general
   features, components,  and questions in
   ADM development are also  reviewed and
   summarized,  including  model resolution,
   subgrid-scale processes and how to begin to
   treat them,  mathematical and numerical
   techniques for large comprehensive models,
   special considerations coupling the laws of
   chemistry and physics, and issues in model
   validation and sensitivity analysis.
                                    This Project Summary was authored by staff of  The NCAR Acid Deposition
                                      Modeling Project, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
                                      80307
                                    K. L. Demerjian is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
                                    The complete report, entitled "Regional Acid Deposition: Models and Physical
                                      Processes, "(Order No. PB84-115997; Cost: $29.50, subject to change) will be
                                      available only from:
                                            National Technical Information Service
                                            5285 Port Royal Road
                                            Springfield. VA 22161
                                            Telephone: 703-487-4650
                                    The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
                                            Environmental Sciences Research Laboratory
                                            U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                                            Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
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