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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Concentrations

      The methods for deriving the soil concentrations for each land application site are presented
in Appendix A. The resulting average soil concentrations over 70 years are displayed in Table 2.4.A.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Ingestion Rates

      To be consistent with other EPA program offices, the typical and MEI analyses uses the soil
ingestion rates-found in the memo "Interim Final Guidance for Soil Ingestion Rates," (EPA, 1989a).
This interim final guidance memorandum gives a suggested range of soil ingestion rates for children
of 0.1 to 0.2 grams per day, with a maximum of 0.8 grams per day. The guidance memorandum based
the suggested soil ingestion range for children on studies by Binder et al. (1986) and Clausing (1987);
both of these groups of researchers studied soil ingestion in children with the use of tracer elements,
such as aluminum, silicon, and titanium. The guidance memorandum suggests the use of 0.2 g/day
as a  best estimate of daily soil ingestion for children.  The typical exposure analysis  follows the
guidance memorandum and uses the range  given for young children, but uses as a best estimate of
0.1 grams/day for older children. The MEI analysis uses an ingestion rate of 0.8 g/day, as suggested
by the guidance memorandum.

      The OSW guidance memorandum gives a range for adult soil ingestion of 0.001 to 0.1  grams
per day, based on work by Calabrese et al. (1987), as cited in the OHEA  Draft Exposure Factors
Handbook (May 1988). In accordance with OSW policy, the typical exposure analysis  uses 0.02
grams per day as the  best estimate of daily soil ingestion by adults, while using 0.001 and 0.1 to
represent the low and high estimates.  The MEI  adult is assumed to ingest  0.1 grams per day.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Indoor Dust Contaminant Concentration as a Function of Outdoor
Soil Contaminant Concentration

      This analysis assumes that the concentration of TCDD and TCDF in  indoor dust  is related to
the concentration of TCDD and TCDF in outdoor soil. Values for this parameter are derived from
Hawley (1985), who  assumed  that indoor contaminant concentrations in dust were  80% of the
contaminant concentrations in outdoor soil. The typical exposure analysis  uses a value of 80% as a
best  estimate,  and applies  a range of 75% to  85% as the low and high estimates, respectively.  The
MEI "best" estimate calculation uses a value  of 80% for this parameter, while the "high risk" MEI
estimate uses a value of 85%.
                                            200

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Fraction of Soil Ingested from Outdoor and Indoor Sources

      The fraction of soil ingested indoors and outdoors is multiplied by the total daily ingestion
rates used by EPA (1989a) to obtain  the quantities of soil ingested indoors and outdoors each day.
To obtain an estimate for this input parameter, the typical exposure analysis relies on information
from EPA (I988a).  EPA (1988a) presents a summary of the work of Hawley (1985), who estimated
the dust/soil quantities ingested indoors and outdoors from the dermal soil contact rate and from the
area of skin that comes in contact with food, cigarettes, or objects mouthed by children.  Although
the Hawley (1985) estimates of the total grams per day ingested differ slightly from those used in this
analysis, the summary of these values presented  in EPA (1988a)  is used to estimate the relative
fraction of total ingested soil contributed from indoor and outdoor sources.  For all age groups, a
larger fraction of the total daily quantity of soil ingested comes from outdoor sources, due to the
larger dermal soil contact rates outdoors that lead to larger ingestion rates.  Young children have the
largest proportion of total soil/dust ingestion  from indoor sources. As a person  ages, the relative
proportion of soil from outdoor sources increases, due to the decline in the amount of dust ingested
while indoors.

      The typical exposure assessment uses the data for each age group from Hawley (1985), as
presented in EPA (1988a), for calculating the "low risk" and "best" estimates of typical exposure.
For the "high risk" estimate of typical exposure,  the fraction of soil ingested  outdoors for young
children is assumed to be the same  as the "best" estimate for older children; similarly, the value used
in the "high risk" estimate for older children is the same as the value used in the "best" estimate for
adults.  For adults, the "high risk"  estimate of typical exposure assumes that all of the soil ingested
each day is from outdoor sources.  In the MEI analysis, for all three age groups,  the total quantity
of soil ingested by the MEI  is assumed to originate from outdoor sources.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Fraction of Ingested Soil from Contaminated  Area

      The sludge-amended land application site is only one among may potential sources of ingested
soil.  Soil may be ingested at locations removed from the contaminated site, such as a playground or
an outdoor workplace. The fraction of the total quantity of ingested soil originating from the portion
of the yard or  farm treated  with TCDD- or TCDF-contaminated sludge may be quite small.
However, there is no information available  regarding what this fraction may be.  In the absence of
data, the typical exposure assessment assumes that 10% of the total soil ingestion daily is from sludge-
amended land, and uses an arbitrary range of 1% to 100% to represent the low and high estimates for
this model parameter. The MEI analysis assumes that all of the soil ingested by the MEI originates
                                            201

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from the sludge-amended area.  These assumptions are the same as those used in the analysis of risks
from direct soil ingestion from  land treated with municipal sewage sludge (EPA, 1989b).

Data Sources and Model Inputs  for Absorption Through GI Tract

      Absorption of TCDD and TCDF through the gastrointestinal tract has been studied using a
variety of media.  Absorption will be influenced by how tightly TCDD or TCDF binds to the matrix
in which it is ingested. Poiger and Schlater (1980), as cited in Schaum (1984) reported that the
gastrointestinal bioavailability from soil in their studies was 20% to 26%. In a recent review of the
literature, FDA (1989) discussed an experiment by Bonaccorsi et al. (1984), who found that G.I.
bioavailability of TCDD from freshly "spiked" soil was 56-74%. Umbreit et al. (1988) found lower
bioavailability from an environmentally contaminated site, demonstrating that aging of the soil affects
bioavailability. Furthermore, McConnell et al. (1984) found that environmentally contaminated soil
samples were 24-32% as bioavailable as TCDD in a corn oil matrix or a freshly "spiked" soil matrix.
As a result, FDA (1989) recently concluded that a reasonable estimate for absorption from ingested
soil is in the range of 45-55%.  This range  is used for the "best" and "high risk" estimates  in the
typical exposure assessment, while a value of 20% is adopted  for the  low  estimate. For  the MEI
analysis, a gastrointestinal absorption rate of 70% is assumed, which is  in the high end of the range
cited in the FDA literature review.

Data Sources and Model Incuts for Estimating the Population Exposed

      In this analysis, the population exposed to TCDD and TCDF through dermal contact is limited
to the population residing on the agricultural land application sites.  The number of sites applying
kraft mill sludge to land is equal to the total number of acres applied with sludge in the state divided
by the average number of acres per site. Values for both the total  acres and the acres per site were
obtained through conversations  with state officials in Mississippi and Pennsylvania, the states where
agricultural land application is currently practiced.  In Mississippi, 1000 acres are applied with the
sludge from  one mill, with an  estimated 100 acres per site,  yielding an estimate of  10 sites  in
Mississippi.  Pennsylvania has 75 acres covered with sludge from one mill, with an average of 15
acres per site, giving a total of  5 sites.  The  total number of sites in each state is multiplied  by the
number of people living on each site to obtain the exposed population. According to the 1980 U.S.
Census, the average number of persons per household is 2.7. In Pennsylvania, the exposed population
is approximately 14 persons, while in Mississippi, the exposed population is approximately 27.  The
total exposed population is about 40 persons.
                                            202

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2.4.4 Estimates of Exposures and Risks from Inhalation of Sludge-Contaminated Particulates

      TCDD and  TCDF adhering to soil particles can become suspended in the air near a land
application  site.   Transport downwind will  dilute the concentration of particles from a land
application site; these particles will also redeposit on surfaces.  Residents living on or near the land
application  sites may be exposed to TCDD or TCDF by inhaling  these particles.   This section
describes the methods used to estimate the emissions of particles from a land application site and
the subsequent human exposure to these emissions. This analysis only considers exposure to inhaled
particulates for residents onsite.

      To estimate the suspended particulate concentration at land application sites, the methodology
presented in Estimating Exposures to 2.3.7.8-TCDD (EPA, 1988a) is used for  estimating emissions
due to wind erosion.  Although other models for emissions from  intermittent, short-term sources,
such as spreading operations and vehicular traffic, were also presented, the model for emissions from
wind erosion was chosen, since the analysis focusses on average exposures over the long-term.  EPA
(1988a) describes the assumptions underlying the model as follows: "This method assumes that the
uncrusted contaminated surface is exposed to the wind and consists of finely divided particles. This
creates a condition defined ... as an "unlimited  reservoir" and results in maximum wind-caused dust
emissions." (p.66).  The model incorporates information  on wind speed and percent vegetation cover
to estimate the flux of small particles (i.e., less  that 10 um) from an area of land. Soil amended with
paper mill sludge  may not have  the characteristics assumed by the  model; to the extent that the
surface of a sludge-amended site consists  of crusted, coarser particles, the model is  likely to
overestimate emissions.

      To  obtain particulate concentration, the calculated emission rate is used as input to a box
model of atmospheric mixing. The box model ignores  any atmospheric dispersion downwind, and
is only appropriate for estimating onsite concentrations. The model uses wind speed, size of the site
and the mixing height to yield an onsite particulate concentration (EPA (1988a), Equation 4-7).

      As an alternative approach  to estimating onsite particulate concentration, the model described
by Hawley (1985)  is applied; this  model uses measured values of total suspended particles adjusted
by the fraction of particles assumed to be derived from local (contaminated) soils to derive the onsite
concentration of contaminated suspended  particulates.

      The calculation of risks from inhalation of particles requires several steps. First, the emissions
of particles from the treated area is  estimated.  Next, the indoor and outdoor concentrations of
particles onsite are calculated.  The concentrations are combined with information about the length
                                            203

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of time spent indoors and outdoors, respiratory rate, and the cancer slope factors of TCDD and TCDF
to yield the estimated cancer risks.

Description of Calculations Used to Estimate the Concentration of TCDD and TCDF in Particulates

      The first step in this calculation is to estimate the emissions of particulates from the treated
area as follows:

      E     =      0.036 (l-V)(Um/Ut)3 F(x)
where:
      E     =     emission rate,  g/m2  hr
      V     =     fraction  vegetative cover
      Um  =     windspeed, m/s
      Ut   =     threshold wind  speed (wind velocity at height of 7 meters above  the ground
                  needed to initiate erosion)'
      F(x)  =     function specific to the model, described in EPA (1988a), where F(x) is estimated
                  by first calculating x = 0.886 (Ut/Um)

This equation gives  the flux of dust particles from the surface as a function of 1) the vegetative
covering of the surface and 2) the cube of the ratio of the windspeed to the threshold wind velocity
(the velocity required to initiate erosion). F(x) is a function that is specific to this model. The value
of x is calculated as  a function of the ratio of threshold wind speed to the wind speed.

      Once the value of x is calculated, F(x) can be determined by reading the value from the graph
of the function presented in EPA, OAQPS (1985, as cited in EPA, 1988a).

      To convert the dust flux to a contaminant emission rate,  the following formula is used:

      Q    =      CSEA (1 hour/3,600 seconds)
where:
      Q    a     contaminant emission rate in mg/s
      Cs   -     contaminant concentration in the soil, mg/g
      E     =     flux, g/m2  hr
      A    =     area of the treated site, m2
                                             204

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The  next step is to estimate  the concentrations of particulates on the land-treatment site.  Both
outdoor concentrations and indoor concentrations must be calculated.  The outdoor concentration
is derived as follows:

      C0    =      Q/(L MH V)
where:
      C0    =     contaminant concentration in suspended particles onsite outdoors, mg/m3
      Q    =     emissions  in mg/sec
      L    =     length of one side of the treated area, m
      MH   =     mixing height (assumed to be 1.5 meters)
      V    =     wind speed at mixing height, m/s,  assumed to be 2.2 m/s

      An alternative  method  of calculating outdoor contaminant paniculate concentrations is to
adjust the measured TSP concentration at the site by the fraction  believed to originate from local
(contaminated) soils (Hawley,  1985).  This method is described by the following equation:

      C0    =     TSP FL Cs
where:
      C0    =     concentration of suspended particles outdoors originating from sludge-amended
                  land, mg/m3
      Cs    *     concentration of contaminant in soil, mg/kg
      FL   -     fraction  of  total  suspended  particles  assumed  to originate from  local
                  (contaminated) sources
      TSP   =     measured  total suspended particle concentration, mg/m3
      Regardless of the method used to estimate outdoor contaminant particle concentrations, the
indoor concentrations are derived using the following equation:

      C,-n   -     CoRF
where:
      Cjn   =     indoor contaminant concentration, ng/m3
      C0    =     outdoor particulate concentration, ng/m3
      R     =     ratio of indoor particulate concentration to outdoor particulate concentration
      F     =     ratio of the concentration in indoor dust to the concentration in outdoor soil
                                            205

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      First, the indoor suspended particle concentration is derived by applying the ratio of suspended
paniculate concentration indoors to the suspended particulate concentration outdoors.  Next, since
only a portion of indoor suspended dust is assumed to originate from outdoor sources (the rest is
derived from smoking, cooking, etc.)  the contaminant concentration  in indoor dust is adjusted by
a fraction  representing the ratio of indoor dust contaminant  concentration to the outdoor  soil
contaminant concentration.

Description of Calculations Used to Estimate Human Exposure to Particulates

      Once the concentration of contaminants  in particulates is estimated,  human exposure to
contaminated particulates can be estimated. In the "high risk" estimate of typical exposure, and in
the "high risk" MEI analysis, the particulate concentration was estimated based on total particulates
using Hawley (1985).  When calculating exposure  from this  method of  estimating particulate
concentration, the first step is to determine the concentration of particles that are respirable.  The
respirable concentration is estimated as:

      RC0  =     C0 FR
            -     Cin  FR
where:
      C0    ป     concentration of TCDD or TCDF in suspended particles outdoors, mg/m3
      Cjn   ป     concentration of TCDD or TCDF in suspended particles indoors, mg/m3
      FR   ป     fraction of suspended particles that are respirable
      RCQ  =     respirable particulate concentration outdoors, mg/m3
      RCin =     respirable particulate concentration indoors, mg/m3
In the "low risk" and "best" estimate calculations for typical exposure, the EPA (1988a) method is
used to estimate emissions of contaminant adhering to respirable particles (that is, all of the emissions
are assumed to be respirable).  Therefore, these estimates need no further adjustment.

      The next step in the calculation of human exposure to TCDD and TCDF through the inhalation
of particulates is the estimation of the daily dose. The daily dose is calculated for three age groups:
young children (ages 1-6), older children (ages 7-11), and adults (ages 12 and older).
      DOSE0ffl-   [(RC0 Dt ABL H0ง9) + (RCQ Dgj ABgi H0งg)] Vg / BWg
              g=   [g) + (RCin Dgi ABgj  H,^)] Vg / BWg
                                            206

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where:
      ABL  =     systemic absorption rate through the lung
      AB -  =     systemic absorption rate through the gastrointestinal tract
      BW   =     body weight of individual in age group g
      Dt    =     fraction of respired particles retained by the lung
      D .   ป     fraction of respired particles swallowed (fraction of particles to gastrointestinal
                  tract)
      DOSEQ g=   dose to individual in age group g,  outdoors, mg/kg/day
      DOSEj g=   dose to individual in age group g,  indoors, mg/kg/day
      Hl-    =     hours spent indoors for individual in age group g
      H    =     hours spent outdoors for individual in  age group g
                                                                               ,3,
      V    =     weighted average ventilation rate for individual in age group g, m /day

      In this equation, the concentration of the contaminant adhering to particles is multiplied by
the volume of air inhaled each day and by the fraction of  the day spent outdoors. Similarly, the
quantity of particulates  inhaled indoors each  day  is  the  product  of the indoor  respirable
concentration, the volume of air inhaled each day, and the fraction of the day spent indoors. The
total  quantity  of particles inhaled each  day  is  then partitioned between  the  lung and  the
gastrointestinal tract. A gastrointestinal absorption fraction is then applied to the portion swallowed,
while a respiratory absorption fraction is applied to the portion remaining in the'lung.

      A weighted average dose for an individual over the entire lifetime can be derived by weighting
the daily dose received during each age interval by the fraction of the individual's lifespan spent in
that age group.  This calculation is described in the following  equation:

      DOSEayg=  E (DOSE0 *9
      Fg    ป     fraction  of lifespan spent in age group g
Description of Cancer Risk  Calculations

      Once the daily dose estimate is obtained, it is combined  with the human cancer slope factors
of^TCD&^nd TCDF to obtain  an estimate of lifetime risk from  particulate  inhalation to these
contaminants. The calculation of individual risk is:
                                             207

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      1C    =     DOSEayg q,
where:
      DOSEavg =  weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
      1C    =     individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSEavg of TCDD or TCDF
      q1    =     incremental lifetime risk per mg/kg/day dose of TCDD or TCDF

Individual cancer risk for a typical exposed individual is converted to annual total population risk
(in cases per year) by multiplying the number of persons exposed by the typical individual risk and
dividing by the average person's lifespan, as described in the following equation:

      PC    =     1C POP / LS
where:
      LS    =     average  lifespan of an individual = 70 years
      PC    =     population risk, cancer cases per year
      POP  -     population exposed to DOSEavg

Data Sources and Model Inputs

      The values used for each model input for "low risk," "best" and "high risk" typical exposure
estimates are summarized in Table 2.4.K.. The values used to derive the MEI "besi" and "high risk"
exposures are  found in  Table 2.4.L.   The best MEI exposure estimate is derived by combining
estimates of behavioral input parameters with the best estimates of physical/chemical properties of
TCDD and TCDF. The  "high risk" estimate of MEI exposure uses the same behavioral inputs, but
combines them with the  high estimates of physical and chemical parameters of TCDD and TCDF.

      The following sections describe each  input and documents the data sources used to derive the
values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses.  Where parameter input values differ
for the  "best" and "high  risk" MEI exposure estimates, these differences are discussed. For those
behavioral input parameters that do not vary between the "best" and "high risk"  MEI calculations, a
single value for the MEI analysis is discussed.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for the Wind Erosion Flux Calculation

      The present analysis follows the calculations of EPA (1988a) to calculate wind erosion, and
uses many of the input parameters used in the sample calculations in that document. These inputs
are briefly described below.
                                             208

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      Vegetative cover is assumed to be 50% for the land application sites, since these sites are used
for agricultural application; the sites are assumed to be bare for about half of the year, and covered
with crops for one-half of the year. This assumption is used for the "best" estimate of exposure and
for the "best" estimate of MEI exposure. For the emissions estimate in the "low risk" typical exposure
analysis, 90% vegetative cover is assumed.

      Mean annual windsoeed is 4 meters per second. This is the average windspeed at a height of
10 meters for 60 major cities in the United States (EPA, 1988a).

      The threshold wind speed can be derived if the roughness height  and the threshold friction
velocity  of the surface are known.  EPA (1985, as cited in EPA  (1988a)) describes the ratio of
threshold wind speed to friction velocity as a function of roughness height.  The threshold friction
velocity  for  unlimited reservoir  surfaces  is  less than  75  cm/s  (EPA, 1988a).   Based on  this
information, EPA (1988a) adopted a value of 50 cm/s for this type of surface.  The present analysis
also uses this value for threshold friction velocity at sludge land application sites.  For the roughness
height of an agricultural land application site,  a value of 2 cm is used, which corresponds to a field
with grass  cover. The ratio of threshold  wind speed to threshold friction velocity for a roughness
height is derived from  tables provided in EPA (1985), as cited in EPA (1988a). For a roughness
height of 2 cm, the ratio  is 15.  To obtain the threshold  wind speed, this ratio is multiplied by 50
cm/s, the assumed value for the threshold friction velocity. The resulting value is 7.5 m/s.

      The value for the function F(x)  can be obtained from a graph of the function  found in EPA
(1985), as cited in EPA (1988a).  First,  the value of x must be calculated. For a site with a threshold
wind speed of 7.5 m/s, the estimate is 0.886 x [(7.5 m/s)/(4 m/s)], or 1.66. From the graph provided
in EPA  (1985), cited by EPA (1988a),  the value of F(x) for x = 1.66 is 0.65.

Data Sources and Inputs for TSP Concentrations

      As an alternative  to the wind erosion dust flux calculation, the method used by Hawley (1985)
is used in calculating the "high risk" estimate of typical exposure, and in calculating the "high risk"
estimate of MEI exposure, since the result derived by this method is higher than the result using the
wind erosion dust flux equation. This method bases the estimate of paniculate  concentrations on
measured values of total suspended particles (TSP). The annual geometric mean values for suspended
particle  concentrations for SMSAs of  between 500,000 and 1 million people were obtained from
National Air Quality Trends Report,  1982 (EPA,  1984).  The average value for these areas is 64
                                             215

-------
ug/m . This value is similar to the value of 70 ug/m  used by Hawley (1985). This value is then
adjusted by the percent of suspended particles derived from local soils, assumed to be 50 percent
(Hawley, 1985).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Concentrations of TCDD and TCDF

      The estimated soil concentrations for each land application site are displayed in Table 2.4.A.
The methods used to derive these concentrations is discussed in detail in Appendix A.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Deriving Indoor Airborne Particle Concentration as a Function
of Outdoor Particulate Concentration

      Hawley (1985) compared  several  studies that investigated the relationship between indoor
particle concentrations and outdoor particle concentrations. Whitby et al. (1957), as cited by Hawley
(1985),  found that, for the City of Niagara Falls, New York, the indoor suspended particulate
concentration was 65 ug/m3 and the outdoor particulate matter concentration  was 93 ug/m3. This
yields an indoor to outdoor ratio of approximately 0.70.  Sterling and Kobayashi  (1977),  also cited
in Hawley (1985), found that this ratio ranged from 0.77 to 0.85. In the typical exposure assessment,
the value 0.75 is used as the best estimate of this ratio, while 0.70 and 0.85 are used as the low and
high estimates, respectively. For the "best" MEI exposure estimate, a value of 0.75  ;s used, while the
"high risk"  MEI exposure assessment uses a value of O.S5 for this parameter.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Deriving Indoor Dust Contaminant Concentration as a Function
of Outdoor Soil Contaminant Concentration

      Roberts et al. (1977), as discussed by Hawley (1985), studied the relationship between lead
concentrations indoors and outdoors near a lead smelter, and found that the mean concentration of
the lead in household dust was 75% of the concentration of lead in the outdoor soil.  For his own
analysis, Hawley (1985) assumed that indoor contaminant  concentrations  in dust were 80% of the
contaminant concentrations in outdoor soil.  The typical exposure analysis uses a value of 80% for
the "best estimate", and  applies a range of 75% to 100% for the "low" and  "high" estimates,
respectively. For the "best" MEI exposure estimate, a value of 80%  is used,  while the "high risk"
MEI exposure assessment  uses a  value of 100% for this parameter.
                                             216

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Percent of Particulates that are Respirable

      Deposition in the lung depends on the size of the particle. The typical exposure analysis uses
a method of estimating emissions of particles less than  10 urn in diameter to derive "best" and "low"
estimates of the concentration of suspended particles  at a land application site.  The "best" MEI
exposure estimate uses this value as well.  Schaum (1984), presenting data from ICRP (1968), states
that almost all particles less than 10 um are respirable.  Therefore, for the "low" and "best" typical
exposure estimates, all of the particles were assumed  to be respirable.  In the "high risk" typical
exposure assessment, and in the "high risk" MEI exposure assessment, the concentration of suspended
particles is derived from measured values of total suspended particles, a measurement which includes
particles of various sizes. Therefore, the fraction of total suspended particles that will be deposited
in the lung must be estimated. Hawley (1985) and Schaum (1984) both assumed that 75% of inhaled
particles are retained in the body. For particles 0.2 to 20 um, ICRP (1979), as cited in Hawley (1985),
indicates that the fraction deposited in the respiratory  tract ranges from 60 to  90%.  For the "high
risk" typical and "high risk" MEI scenarios, it is assumed that 90% of TSP is respirable.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Fraction of Inhaled Particles Deposited  in the
Lung and in the Gastrointestinal Tract

      Schaum (1984), citing ICRP (1968), discusses the distribution of inhaled paj-ticles within the
body. Of the particles initially retained by the body, one-third remains in the lower sections of the
lung,  and two-thirds remain in the  upper respiratory tract.  Eventually, some particles  in the
respiratory tract are swallowed.  After twenty-four hours, approximately  one-half of the amount
originally retained in the lower sections of the lung is swallowed. For the "best estimate" and "high
risk" typical exposure scenarios, it is assumed that one-third of particles are retained in the lung for
a sufficient length of time for systemic absorption of TCDD or TCDF to occur through the lung. For
the "low risk" typical exposure scenario, this analysis assumes that only one-sixth of the particles are
retained in the lung for a sufficient length of time for absorption through the lung to take place.  The
rest is swallowed and absorbed through the GI tract (which has a  lower systemic absorption rate).
In the MEI analysis, it is assumed that all respirable particles are retained long enough in the lung
for systemic absorption through the lung to occur (that is, all of the contaminants adhering to respired
particles that are absorbed are absorbed through the lung).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Respiration Rate

      Respiration rate is used in the model to assess the total daily volume of particles inhaled. For
adults, the average respiration rate was calculated by EPA (1985b) to be 23 m3 per day.  This value
                                            217

-------
was calculated using data on the ventilation rates during different levels of activity, and the amount
of time spent  per day engaging  in these  levels of activity, to obtain a daily total.  For children,
Hawley states that the ventilation rate of young children engaged in light activity is 7.6 1/min, while
the ventilation rate during rest is 2.8 1/min; assuming children spend roughly one-third of their day
engaged in light activity and two-thirds at rest, the total ventilation rate is 6.3 m3 per day.  For older
children, the ventilation rate is 11.6 1/min during light activity and 4.3 1/min at rest (Hawley,  1985),
with a total  ventilation rate of-8.4 m3 per day for both  the typical exposure and the MEI exposure
analyses.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Absorption Through the Lung

      Little data are available to estimate the systemic  absorption of TCDD or TCDF through
inhalation.  Faced with a lack of information, U.S.  EPA (1989d)  assumed that  TCDD is almost
completely absorbed from respirable particles (i.e., those less than 10 um in diameter).  This analysis
follows this assumption, and assumes  that 100%  of  the  TCDD and TCDF adhering to respired
particles is absorbed  through the lungs  for both the typical and MEI exposure analyses.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Absorption through GI Tract

      Absorption of TCDD and TCDF through the gastrointestinal tract has been studied using a
variety of media. Absorption will be influenced by how tightly TCDD or TCDF binds to the matrix
in which it  is  ingested.  Poiger and Schlater  (1980),  as cited  in Schaum (1984) reported that the
bioavailability of TCDD from soil was 20-26%.  In a recent review of the literature, FDA (1989)
discussed an experiment by Bonaccorsi et al. (1984), who found that availability of TCDD from
freshly "spiked" soil was 56-74%. The memorandum also cites a study by Umbreit et al. (1988), who
found lower bioavailability from soil from an environmentally contaminated site, demonstrating that
aging of the soil  affects bioavailability.  Also discussed was a study by McConnell et al. (1984), who
found that environmentally contaminated soil samples were 24-32% as bioavailable as TCDD  in a
corn oil matrix or a freshly "spiked" soil matrix. As a result, FDA (1989) recently concluded that a
reasonable estimate for absorption from ingested soil is in the range of 45-55%. This range is used
for the "best" and "high risk" typical exposure estimates, while a value of 20% is adopted for the "low
risk" typical exposure estimate.  No gastrointestinal absorption of inhaled particles occurs for the
MEI, since all absorption is assumed to occur through the  lungs.
Data Sources and Model Inputs for Determining the Fraction of the Day Spent Indoors and Outdoors

      In order to estimate  exposure duration in indoor  and  outdoor settings,  the  methodology
developed by Hawley (1985) to estimate the time spent outdoors and  indoors by different age groups
                                            218

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is adapted.  For adults, Hawley (1985) also presented values for estimating exposure to dust while
cleaning infrequently used spaces, such as attics, that have been incorporated into this analysis.

      Young children have the most exposure to outdoor particulate concentrations.  In the typical
exposure analysis, these children are assumed to be outdoors 8 hours per day, five days per week
from May to October. The remaining time is spent indoors on the site. For the "high risk" estimate
of typical exposure, it is assumed that young children are outdoors for an average of six hours a day
for the entire year, which is the equivalent of twelve hours per day, seven days a week for the six
months out of the year.  This assumption is also used for the most exposed young child.

      Typical older children are assumed to spend an average of five hours per day from May to
September outdoors.  This value is the average of time spent outdoors after school on school days
and time spent outdoors on weekends and on school vacation days. Older children are assumed to
be indoors on the site for sixteen hours per day for the entire year. The remainder of the time is
spent at another indoor  location, such as  school. For the "high risk" estimate of typical exposure,
older children are assumed to be outdoors an average of 5 hours per day for the entire  year, which
is the equivalent of 12 hours per day for five months, and to be indoors on the site for the remainder
of the time. This assumption is used for  the most exposed older child analysis as well.

      This analysis assumes that an adult living on an agricultural land application site (i.e., a farmer)
works outdoors 5 days per week, 12 hours per day, for six months, and spends the rest of the time
indoors on the site.  This value is used in the typical exposure analysis for all but the "low risk"
scenario, and is used in the MEI analysis.  For the "low risk" typical exposure scenario, it is assumed
that the adult resides on the farm, but works elsewhere; in  this case, the adult is assumed to engage
in outdoor activities onsite for 8 hours per day, two days  a week  from May to September, and to
spend 16 hours per day indoors on the site all year long.

      While indoors, adults  may spent a  limited amount of time in an extremely dusty area, such
as an attic, where exposure to inhaled dust  would be higher than in normal living spaces. Hawley
(1985) estimated exposure to dust to be 20 mg during one hour in the attic, and assumed that adults
are exposed at this level  for twelve  hours each  year (either one day for 12 hours or one  hour for
twelve days).  The  current analysis  incorporates these assumptions into both the typical and MEI
exposure assessments.
                                             219

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Population Exposed

      In this analysis, the population exposed to TCDD and TCDF through dermal contact is limited
to the population residing on the agricultural land application sites.  The number of sites applying
kraft mill sludge to land is equal to the total number of acres applied with sludge in the state divided
by the average number of acres per site. Values for both the total acres and the acres per site were
obtained through conversations with state officials in Mississippi and Pennsylvania, the states where
agricultural land application is currently practiced.  In Mississippi, 1000 acres are applied with the
sludge from one mill, with an estimated  100 acres per site, yielding an estimate  of  10 sites in
Mississippi.  Pennsylvania has 75 acres covered with sludge from one mill, with an average of 15
acres  per site, giving a total of 5 sites.  The total number of sites in each state is multiplied  by the
number of people living on each site  to obtain the  exposed population. According the 1980  U.S.
Census, the average number of persons per household is 2.7. In Pennsylvania, the exposed population
is approximately  14 persons, while in Mississippi, the exposed population is approximately 27.  The
total exposed population is about 40 persons.

2.4.5  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of Vapors

      Residents of land applications sites  may incur risk from the inhalation of volatilized  TCDD
and TCDF.  The methodology for  estimating the emissions of TCDD and TCD,F vapor at  land
application sites generally follows methods for estimating volatilization described in EPA (1988a).
Because actual locations of the land  application sites are not known, the ISCLT model could not be
used to estimate  downwind concentrations.  As a result, this analysis estimates only exposures to
onsite residents, using a box model to obtain  the onsite concentrations from the emissions estimates.
      The calculation of risks from the inhalation of vaporized TCDD or TCDF requires first the
estimation of emissions, then the calculation of indoor and outdoor onsite concentrations.  The
concentrations are combined with data on time spent indoors and outdoors, respiration rate and the
cancer slope factors of TCDD and TCDF to obtain the estimated cancer risk from this pathway of
exposure.

Methods for Estimating Vapor Emissions

      This analysis uses a set of equations  from U.S. EPA (1986), and Hwang and Falco (1986) as
described in  U.S. EPA (1988a), to predict  emissions from a land application site.  It assumes that
emissions from land application sites (in g/m2/s) are described by:
                                             220

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                        [* a T]1'2
where:
                          D,-E4/3
      a     =      	
                            ps(l-E)/Kas
      Kas
and:
      DJ    =     the molecular diffusivity of contaminant vapor in air (cm/second)
      Cs    =     the contaminant concentration in the soil (g/g),
      E     =     effective porosity of soil, assumed to be 0.25 (unitless)
      HC    =     Henry's law constant (atm m3/mol)
      ps    =     true density of soil, assumed to be 2.65 g/cm3
      KQ    =     the soil/water partition coefficient  (cm3/g) = (organic carbon/water partition
                  coefficient)(fraction of organic carbon in soil)
                      air/soil partition coefficient (mg/cm3 in air per mg/g in spil)
      Na   =ป     rate of emissions from the soil surface (g/m2/second)
      T     ป     duration of exposure (seconds), assumed to be 2.2 x  109 seconds (70 years)

This equation uses information on the partitioning of TCDD and TCDF between soil and air and
between water and soil to estimate emissions of TCDD and TCDF vapor per m2 area. The emissions
estimate is then multiplied by the area of the site, in m2, to obtain the total emissions of vapor from
the land application site:

      Q     =     1000 Na A
where:
      Q     =     emissions rate for contaminant vapor, mg/s
      A     =     area of the land application site, m2
      1000  =     conversion from grams to milligrams
The emission rate is  then coupled  with a box model  to obtain the onsite concentrations of vapor.
Outdoor vapor concentrations are estimated as:

      C0    =     Q/(L MH V)

                                           221

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where:
      C0    =     concentration of vapor outdoors, mg/m3
      Q     =     emissions, mg/sec
      L     =     length of one side of the treated area, m
      MH  =     mixing height (assumed to be 1.5 meters)
      V     =     wind speed at mixing height, m/s, assumed to be 2.2 m/s

      The indoor vapor concentration is derived by applying the ratio of vapor concentration indoors
to the vapor concentration outdoors, as described in the following equation:

      Cin   -     CoR
where:
      Cin   =     indoor vapor concentration, ng/m3
      C0    =     outdoor vapor concentration, ng/m3
      R     =     ratio of indoor vapor concentration to outdoor vapor concentration

It is assumed that the relationship between vapor concentrations indoors and outdoors is similar to
the ratio between indoor and outdoor paniculate concentrations (that is, indoor concentrations are
approximately 75% of outdoor concentrations with a range from 70-85%).

      Once the concentration of contaminant in the air is estimated, the calculation of exposure
and risks from the inhalation of vapor then proceeds in the same  manner as the exposure and risk
from the inhalation of particles, described in section 2.4.4.  Table 2.4.K. summarizes key assumptions
and input parameters for estimating typical individual  exposure through the vapor and particulate
inhalation pathways, while Table 2.4.L. summarizes the inputs used in  the MEI analysis. In some
cases, the  data inputs used for the estimation of exposure and risk are different than those used in
section 2.4.4.  The data inputs unique  to  the calculation  of risk  from the inhalation of vapor are
described  in following sections.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Volatile Emissions

      The emissions model requires the soil/water partition coefficient as one input. This partition
coefficient is, in turn, based on the fraction of organic carbon in the soil. The higher the fc value,
the lower  the emissions, since more of the contaminant will partition to soil.  For land  application
sites where sludge is soil-incorporated, it is assumed that the fraction of organic carbon in the sludge-
soil mixture is approximately equal to the fraction of organic carbon in the soil alone. A reasonable
best estimate for fc for soils is 1%, with a range from 0.1% to 4%.  This range of values is used in the
                                            222

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typical exposure analysis.  In the MEI analysis,  the "best" estimate of MEI exposure is calculated
assuming an fc value of 1%, while the "high risk" MEI exposure estimates is calculated using an fc
value of 0.1%. For those land application sites where top-dressing is practiced, the average value of
fc for sludge is used. NCASI (1984) reports  that  the organic carbon content of sludge ranges from
14% to 40%.  The typical exposure analysis  uses  25% for a best estimate of f  for sludge; the "low
risk" analysis uses a value of 40%, while the high risk  analysis uses a value of  14%. Values of 25%
and 14% are used in the calculation of the "best" and "high risk" MEI exposure estimates, respectively.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Exposure to TCDD and TCDF Vapor

      The data inputs and model sources for the vapor exposure estimate are the same as those
described in section 2.4.4.,  with two exceptions.  First, 100 percent of vapor emissions are assumed
to be respired.  Second, all of the vapor is absorbed through the lung; none is absorbed through  the
GI tract.

2.4.6 Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Drinking Water  from Ground Water
      Sources

      Land application of sludge is not expected to present significant risks to human health through
contamination of ground water.  As explained in Section 2.1, conservative, "high risk" estimates of
ground water contamination from sludge in industrial landfills yielded risk estimates on the order of
10"6 for a "most exposed  individual"; "best estimate" assumptions  yielded lower risk estimates.
Consideration of some major differences between landfilling and land application /of pulp and paper
sludge suggests that risks of groundwater contamination and human health risks from land application
should be lower than those estimated for landfills.

      Land application and landfill sites differ  in at least five  important respects.   First, land
application sites may be larger than landfills. Second,  local geo-hydrological or weather conditions
may differ between landfill and land application sites.  Third, sludge may be placed in landfills to
a significant depth below ground level; land-applied sludge is generally applied to the ground surface,
or incorporated into a relatively shallow surface soil layer. Fourth, the quantities of sludge applied
to a  hectare of treated land tend to  be  much lower than  the quantities deposited in a hectare of
landfill.  Finally, the maximum concentration of TCDF reported in the 104-Mill Study for land-
applied sludge is lower than the maximum reported for sludge placed in landfills.  These differences,
and their implications for human health risks estimates,  will now be examined.
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      Land application sites can be larger than sludge landfills.  A known forest application site in
Wisconsin,  for  example,  reportedly  covers  approximately  1,000  hectares  of  land  (Wisconsin
environmental department). Landfills  are generally assumed to be much smaller; Section 2.1 of this
analysis assumes that they generally cover less than about 25 hectares. If the land application site is
significantly larger than a sludge landfill, then the area of underlying aquifer receiving recharge from
the site may be  larger as  well. Section 2.1.2 assumed that the vertical migration of contaminants
through a sludge landfill and underlying soil layers is not affected by the area of a  site.  Once
contaminants enter the ground water, however, the extent of their dilution in transport  to a nearby
drinking water well is affected by the  area of the site.

      Repeated execution of  the AT123D model (discussed in Section 2.1.2) shows that estimated
concentrations at the receptor well increase approximately four-fold as the site size is increased  by
a factor of 100, and all other inputs for the model runs (except site size) are held constant. A landfill
with characteristics described  in Section 2.1.2, but with a size equivalent to the area covered by the
Wisconsin land application site would  therefore be expected to result in health risks no more than
four times higher than those estimated in Section 2.1.2.

      The second difference between  the two sludge management practices is that land application
sites may  be located in areas with different topography, geology, and meteorology than those areas
in which pulp and paper sludge landfills are sited.  If these local conditions are  more conducive to
ground water contamination than those assumed for landfills, then the risks associated with land
application could conceivably be higher than those estimated for landfills. For example, strip-mined
land receiving sludge applications may include fractured rock layers that are especially vulnerable
to the migration of sludge contaminants to underlying ground water.   The "high risk" scenario
considered in Section 2.1.2, however, assumed a zero  distance between the bottom of the  landfill and
the water  table, assumed that leachate concentrations are .limited  only  by the concentration of
contaminants in the sludge and their estimated partition coefficients, and used reasonable worst case
parameter values for most of the environmental transport calculations. It is unlikely that an aquifer
located beneath  a land application site would be significantly more vulnerable to contamination than
an aquifer of characteristics assumed for the "high risk" scenario in  Section 2.1.2.

       A third difference between the  two practices  is that for most land application sites, sludge is
applied to the soil surface, or incorporated into a soil layer of only 10 to 20 centimeters in thickness.
Landfills, by contrast, can extend several meters beneath the soil surface.  Section 2.1.2 examined a
"high risk" landfill scenario that included a sludge layer that extended six ^neters,downward4o the
water table. The vertical distance between the sludge layer and the water table is likely to be greater
for land application sites than the zero distance assumed for a "high risk" landfill scenario. TCDD
                                              224

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and TCDF concentrations in water that has percolated downward through an initially clean soil layer
are therefore likely to be lower than those predicted for the "high risk" landfill scenario. Even if the
sludge could be incorporated into the entire soil layer above the water table, expected contaminant
concentrations in the soil-sludge mixture (and hence maximum expected concentrations in ground
water) would be significantly lower than those modeled in Section 2.1.2.

      A  fourth  difference between  land  application  and  landfilling of sludge is  that  the
concentrations of TCDF in land-applied sludge tend to be lower than those in sludge that is
landfilled. Maximum reported concentrations in landfilled sludge are 520 ppt for TCDD and 6,740
ppt for TCDF.  The highest reported concentrations for land-applied sludge are 681  ppt and 1,300
ppt for TCDD and TCDF, respectively.  Although maximum TCDD concentrations are comparable
for the two practices, maximum TCDF concentration in land-applied sludge is about five times lower
than that in landfilled sludge.  Since TCDF dominates the risks estimated in Section 2.1.2, one would
expect that the lower TCDF concentrations in land-applied sludge would result in lower risks from
this sludge management practice.

      A fifth difference is that the  quantity of sludge applied to a hectare of treated land is generally
lower than the quantity deposited in a hectare of landfill.  If so, and if the concentrations of TCDD
and TCDF in land-applied sludge are  lower  than the concentrations in landfilled sludge, then it
would follow that loadings of  these contaminants to ground water beneath a land application site
would probably be lower than those beneath a landfill, all else equal. Based on estimated cumulative
application rates and sludge quality for land application sites (described by Table 2.4.A), the average
loading of TCDD per hectare of treated land will range from less than 0.01 percent (Maine) to about
40 percent (Mississippi) of that  assumed for the "high risk" landfill scenario.  The corresponding
range for TCDF is from less than 0.01 percent (Pennsylvania and Maryland) to  1.3 percent (Georgia).
Since almost all of the human health  risk associated  with ground water contamination from TCDD
and TCDF is caused by TCDF, these loadings suggest that estimated ground water contamination
from  land application is  likely to  be lower than that from  landfills, if all conditions other than
contaminant loading are held constant.

      Although a comparison of contaminant loading per hectare for landfills and land application
sites would suggest lower risks through ground water than those estimated for landfills, the "high risk"
methodology used for estimating landfill risks actually  ignores sludge quantity when estimating
ground  water contaminations.  Instead, it predicts maximum water concentrations based  solely on
contaminant concentrations in  the  sludge,  organic carbon  content,  and  equilibrium  partition
coefficients for TCDD and TCDF. Still, the theoretical  basis for that methodology would suggest
lower risk estimates from land application sites for two reasons. First,  if sludge concentrations of
                                           225

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TCDF are lower  for land  application  sites then  for landfills,  then  the maximum  expected
concentration  of dissolved contaminant in  leachate beneath  a land application  site would be
correspondingly lower than that expected beneath a landfill.  Second, if sludge is soil incorporated
(as in Mississippi, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), then contaminant concentrations in the mixed
sludge-soil layer will be significantly lower than the concentrations reported for pure sludge.  It
follows that maximum concentrations of dissolved contaminant in that layer will also be lower.  For
land application sites in which sludge is not soil incorporated, the maximum concentrations predicted
on the basis of sludge quality alone are unlikely to apply to  water that has  percolated through an
initially uncontaminated  soil  layer beneath a land application site.

      The remainder of this section will argue that risks to  human health  through ground water
contamination  beneath land  application  sites are lower than those  estimated for  the "high risk"
scenario examined in Section 2.1.2, and are therefore too low to justify  more detailed evaluation.
Each of the seven states in which land-application is  known to be practiced  will be considered
individually.

      In Georgia, sludge is applied to forest land at a relatively high rate of about 2,000 dry metric
tons per hectare. Since TCDD and TCDF concentrations in the sludge are significantly lower than
those assumed  for the "high  risk" landfill scenario, and since application areas are assumed to be
comparable to  those assumed for landfills, there is  no reason to believe that risks from these sites
could be as high as those estimated in Section 2.1.2.  In Maine, sludge is applied to forest land at
relatively  low rates of application.  If, as a worst case, the entire 450 hectares of treated land were
modeled as a single site,  then ground water contamination at  a well 200 meters from the site would
be expected to be  about  three times as high as those  estimated for a similar site of only about 25
hectares.  But the concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in the Maine sludge are more than one and two
orders of magnitude lower, respectively, than those evaluated  in Section 2.1.2. Hence risks from this
site should be significantly lower than those estimated for the "high risk" landfill scenario.

      In Maryland, sludge is applied to strip mined land, sometimes at depths as great as 25 meters
for filling open cuts. This depth exceeds the maximum of six meters assumed for landfills, and might
conceivably result in direct contact between sludge and ground water. It should be noted, however,
that the "high risk" landfill scenario discussed in Section 2.1.2 assumes that leachate from the landfill
enters directly  into the aquifer (without  passing through a thickness of intervening soil), and that
contaminant concentrations in that leachate are limited only by sludge concentrations and partition
coefficients for TCDD and TCDF. Although sludge  may be applied at great depths in localized areas
maximum predicted leachate concentrations should not exceed those estimated on the basis of sludge
concentrations  and partition coefficients, as explained in Section 2.1.2. Since the concentration of
                                             226

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TCDD in the Maryland sludge "is more than an order of magnitude lower than that assumed for
landfills, and the concentration of TCDF is lower by a factor of more than eighty, risks of ground
water contamination from the Maryland sites should be significantly lower than risk estimates derived
for landfills. Sludge is also applied to strip-mined land in Ohio.  As in Maryland, the relatively low
concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in the land-applied sludge more than offset possible increases
in risk associated with a large application area.

      In Mississippi, sludge is applied yearly at moderate rates to a relatively  large total area of
agricultural land.   The  Mississippi  plant  reported a zero concentration of TCDF in  its sludge,
however, and since TCDF  tends to dominate risk estimates through the ground* water pathway,
estimated risks for these sites will  be  low.  In addition, sludge is soil incorporated at this site,
reducing sludge concentrations by a  factor  of forty or more. Maximum  dissolved concentrations in
water percolating through the treated soil should therefore be significantly lower than those estimated
for landfill leachate.  In Pennsylvania, sludge is applied yearly to agricultural land at relatively low
application  rates.   Incorporation of the  sludge into soil  probably reduces TCDD  and  TCDF
concentrations in the sludge-soil mixture by a factor of 200 or more, resulting in relatively low soil
concentrations, and hence lower risks than the estimates  derived for landfills.

      Finally, sludge is  applied to a relatively large area of forest land in  Wisconsin (about  1000
hectares). The sludge is applied only once to each treated area, at a relatively low, rate of about 40
metric tons per hectare. Since the large application area is expected to increase risks by no more than
a  factor of four (relative to the  25 hectare  site considered  for landfills), since the  sludge
concentrations reported for the Wisconsin plant are roughly five and four times lower than maximum
concentrations of TCDD and TCDF respectively in landfilled sludge, risks from treated areas in
Wisconsin can be expected to be lower than the estimates derived for fandfills.

      For these reasons, the risks estimated for the "high  risk" landfill scenario provide an adequate
upper bound of possible risks through the ground water pathway of exposure for  land application of
sludge.  In fact,  there are several reasons to believe that ground water risks from land application
would be significantly lower than those estimates for landfills. Since health risks from landfills were
estimated to be 10"6 or less for the ground  water pathway of exposure, risks through ground water
contamination from land application do not appear to justify more detailed evaluation.
                                            •227

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2.4.7  Estimates for  Exposure and Risk from Ingestion of Drinking  Water from Surface Water
      Sources

      Where  pulp and paper sludge is applied to land, particles of sludge or soil from the surface
can be transported by erosion to nearby lakes or streams. If humans consume water from these lakes
or streams, they may be exposed to TCDD and TCDF from the land applied sludge.  This Section
discusses methods used to estimate the extent of this potential exposure, and its associated risks to
human health.

      The methodology to estimate exposure consists of three general steps. First, based on sludge
concentrations of TCDD and TCDF, local topography, land use and other factors,  it estimates
contaminant  concentrations  in  sediments  and surface water.   Second, it  uses these estimated
concentrations, assumptions about individual ingestion of drinking water, and assumptions about the
bioavailability and the cancer slope factors  of TCDD and TCDF, to estimate individual health risks
for humans potentially exposed. Third, it combines these results with estimates of the size of exposed
populations to derive estimates of total human health risks to the U.S. population. Each of these steps
will now be discussed.

Methods for Estimating TCDD and TCDF  Concentrations in Surface Water
                                                                          4
      Details of the methods  used for these calculations are presented  in Appendix  B. In general,
the methods are adapted from U.S. EPA (1985a), and use the Universal  Soil Loss Equation, together
with estimates of sediment delivery ratios, to estimate the fraction of a lake or stream's sediment that
originates from the SMA.  By multiplying this fraction by the original  concentration of TCDD and
TCDF in sludge or soil particles on  the SMA surface, the methodology derives estimates of the
concentration of contaminants in the  sediment. This contaminant load is then partitioned between
adsorbed and dissolved phases, based on the assumption of equilibrium partitioning between the two
phases.

Methods for Estimating Human Dose of TCDD and TCDF from Ingestion of Drinking Water from
Surface Water Sources

      Water concentrations are multiplied by human consumption  of water and a bioavailability
factor to yield the estimated  human  dose of TCDD or TCDF.  This estimated dose is divided  by
body  weight to derive an estimated dose of contaminant per unit of body weight per  day:

                  Cw Qw BAH
      Dose,
           w
                    BW
                                             228

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where:
      Cw    =     Concentration of contaminant in water (mg/liter),
      BAH  =     Unavailability of TCDD or TCDF from ingested  water (unitless),
      BW   =     Human body weight (assumed to be 70 kg),
      QH    =     Individual's consumption of water (liters/day),
      DoseH =     Dose of contaminant from  consumption of water  (mg/kg/day).

Methods for Estimating the Size of  Exposed Populations

      The size of the population exposed to contaminated water is estimated by first multiplying
the area of the  drainage basin above each SMA drainage point by the estimated population density
of that area. This estimated population is then  multiplied by the  fraction of the population that
takes its drinking water from surface supplies:

      PEU  =     AB PD PSW
         W          D
where:
      PEU  =     Population exposed to contaminated water;
      AB    ป     Area of the drainage basin (ha);
      PD   *     Population density for region of land application  site (persons/ha);
      PSW  ป     Percent of population served  by surface water.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

      The values used for each model input are summarized in Table 2.4.M and Table 2.4.N for a
typical and the most exposed individual, respectively. The following sections describe each input
and document the data sources used to obtain values for each model input.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for  Soil Concentration

      Eight mills in seven states are  currently land applying sludge and are considered in the surface
water pathway.  Risk estimates are calculated separately for each  group of land application sites
associated with a particular state. State-specific data includes estimates of: sludge concentrations; soil
incorporation depth;  area of the application sites; type  of application (e.g., forest, agriculture, mine
reclamation); and distance to  the nearest stream.
                                           229

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       The  method  for  calculating soil concentration  from sludge concentration is discussed in
 Appendix A. The application rates and soil incorporation depths for the sites receiving the sludge
 of the seven  land applying  mills  are  displayed  in  Table  2.4.A  along  with soil  and sludge
 concentrations.  Sludge concentrations are taken from the U.S. EPA 104-Mill study. The remaining
 data were obtained from discussions with state  officials familiar with the site land application
 practices except for the  following data. Application rates for one mine site and one forest site were
 obtained from Keenan (1989)  and Martin et al (1987),  respectively. Sludge applied to forest land,
 though surface-applied, is assumed to be soil-incorporated to a level of 2.5 centimeters to reflect the
 accumulation of duff and the effects  of activity on the  forest floor over  the  70  year period of
 analysis.

 Data Sources and Model Inputs for Sediment Concentration

       As explained in Appendix B, the  parameters necessary to calculate sediment concentration
 (before partitioning) from soil concentration are: site  area,  site sediment delivery  ratio, drainage
 area, drainage area sediment delivery ratio, and the Universal Soil Loss Equation parameters.

       The soil concentrations  are discussed above.  SMA areas are listed in  Table 2.4.A and Table
 2.4.B for each of the states.  These areas were obtained from discussions with state officials familiar
 with the SMA characteristics.  In some  instances, the area was calculated  by dividing total land
 applied sludge quantities by the application rate per unit area. Maine's SMA area was available only
 as a range.  The midpoint is taken as the "best estimate".  At least 25 hectares are estimated  to be
 receiving sludge in the State of Maryland, with an upper limit of 40 hectares. The "best estimate"
 assumes that 25 hectares are sludge-amended.

       The calculation for the SMA sediment delivery ratio, as shown above, depends on the overland
 distance  between the  SMA  and the  water body.  In the  majority of cases, this information was
 unavailable. The State  of Maryland, however, gave this figure as approximately 2 miles (or 3218
 meters).  This distance was used as the "best estimate" of typical risk for all states. Three states had
 permit requirements for the minimum distance between an SMA and a waterway. When available,
 these limits were used for the "high risk" estimate for typical individuals and the "best" and "high" risk
 MEI estimates.   Where  no permit limits  exist  and actual distances are not known,  the "high risk"
 estimate  for typical individuals and  "best" and "high" risk MEI estimates assume that  the SMA is
 located 1 meter from the stream.  The values used to estimate the distance between the SMA and a
-Stream are_preseJited in  Table  2.4.M. for  typical risk and 2.4.N for MEI risk.
                                             237

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      The watershed sediment delivery ratio is dependant on the area of the watershed. The "best
estimate" and "high risk" typical individual estimate assume the water body receiving SMA runoff
is a major stream with a watershed area of 5,000 square miles. This estimate is based on U.S. EPA
Geographic Exposure Modeling System (GEMS) estimates of drainage area for major streams (U.S.
EPA, 1989c). The "low risk" typical individual estimate assumes that the receiving water body is a
smaller tributary with a watershed area of 500 square miles. The watershed in  the MEI scenarios is
assumed to be 10,000 acres (approximately 40 square miles).  This area corresponds to a relatively
small stream (U.S. EPA 1988a).

      The cover management and support practice variables from the USLE equation are determined
as a ratio of SMA to watershed. This analysis assumes that forest and mine reclamation SMAs will
be surrounded by land with similar  cover and will not have any support practices. The "C" and "P"
ratios are therefore 1:1. However, agricultural land may differ in its cover from  the surrounding land
and practices may be in place to slow the runoff water and thus reduce the amount of soil it can
carry. "C" values for cropland range from approximately 1% to 85%, averaging approximately 40%
(Science and  Education Administration, 1978).  In other words, the approximate average soil loss
from crop  land under specified conditions is 40% of the corresponding loss from clean-tilled,
continuous fallow ,  "C" values on permanent pasture, range, and idle land range from approximately
0.3% to 45%, with an average of approximately 10%. "C" values on undisturbed woodland range from
0.01% to 9% with an average of approximately 0.3%.  On woodland  that has been grazed, burned,
harvested, or re-established after harvest, the approximate average "C" value is 7%  (Science and
Education Administration, 1978).

      In this analysis, the "low risk" typical individual estimate assumes that the watershed area for
streams receiving agricultural runoff is  largely  agricultural  land; the  "best estimate" for typical
individuals assumes that the watershed area is  largely pasture land; and the "high risk" typical
individual estimate assumes that the watershed is largely woodland  that has been grazed, burned,
harvested, or re-established after harvest. The MEI risk estimates assume that the watershed area
is largely disturbed woodland.  The resultant "C" ratios are displayed in Table  2.4.M. for typical
individuals and 2.4.N. for the MEI.

      The  "P" factor in the USLE  is the ratio of soil loss with a specific support practice to the
corresponding loss with up-and-down-slope culture.  Tillage and planting on  the contour result in
a "P"  factor of 0.75.  Stripcropping, a practice in which contoured strips of sod are alternated with
equal-width strips of row crops or small grain, results in a "P" factor of 0.6 (Science and Education
Administration, 1978).  This analysis assumes Stripcropping for the "low risk" typical individual
                                            238

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scenario, contouring for the typical individual "best estimate", and no control practices for the "high
risk" typical individual scenario.  The MEI analyses assume that no control practices are in place.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Deriving the Partition Coefficient

      Koc, the partition coefficient between water and organic carbon, is multiplied by the fraction
of organic carbon in the sediment to obtain Kd, the partition coefficient between sediment and water.
The Koc value for TCDD used in this analysis is 1 x 107 (Jackson, 1985 in EPA, 1987c). The Koc
value for TCDF is 3.5 x 104 (CHEMEST procedure in GEMS, U.S. EPA, I989c). The organic carbon
content is  assumed  to be 0.04 in the "low risk" typical individual estimate, 0.01 in  the typical
individual and MEI "best estimate", and 0.001 in the "high risk" typical individual and MEI estimate
(U.S.  EPA, 1988a).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Human Dose

      Individual water  consumption is  assumed to be 2 liters per  day (U.S. EPA, 1988a).  The
bioavailability of ingested water is assumed to be 100 percent (FDA, 1989).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of the Exposed Population
                                                                            *
      The size of the exposed population  is estimated  by  multiplying the watershed area  of the
contaminated stream by the population density of the regions in which the SMA's are located. To
accurately estimate the size of the population exposed on a site-specific basis, it is necessary to know
the stream into which the SMA runoff drains, the dilution and dispersion pattern of the contaminant,
and the patterns of  water withdrawal  from the water body. In the absence of this site-specific
information,  the size of the exposed population is estimated as follows.

      The typical individual "best estimate" assumes that the receiving stream for each SMA is a
major stream  with a 5,000 square mile watershed area.  It  is further assumed that the  size  of the
exposed population increases with stream size, and that stream size increases with drainage area i.e.,
the larger the drainage area, the more people are likely to use the stream for a drinking water supply.
To capture this relationship, the size of the exposed population is approximated by the number of
persons expected to live in the area of the drainage basin containing each landfill. The area of each
basin  is multiplied by the average population density in the regions through which the waterway
flows. Population density is determined by averaging populations for the regions of the United States
where sludge is land  applied and dividing by the area for these regions.  Regional populations were
considered rather than state populations because the contaminated waterways are not limited by state
                                             239

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boundaries. The average population density for regions where land application sites are located is 173
people per square mile (U.S. Department of Commerce,  1987).

      Only a portion of this population will  rely on surface water for their drinking water. The
estimated population exposed  is therefore reduced by multiplying by the  average percentage of
population served by surface water.  Forty-six percent of the population is assumed to be served
by surface water (U.S. Geological Survey, 1985).

      This analysis  assumes that the entire  exposed population ingests water at concentrations
estimated at the "point" of entry of the SMA runoff into the stream. Since the population exposed
will inhabit  an area of approximately 70 by 70 miles, this assumption is conservative.  In reality,
dilution  and dispersion of the contaminant will probably have occurred before  much of the
population is exposed. However, in the  absence of additional site-specific information, it was not
possible to calculate exposure more exactly.

      One test of the reasonableness of the analysis' assumption about the size of the exposed
population is  to  compare  the  amount  of drinking water assumed to be  withdrawn  from the
contaminated stream with the stream's flow rate. If the stream can not supply the quantity of water
that the analysis assumes is ingested then the  assumptions must be reexamined.
                                                                           >
      The "best" risk estimate for the population assumes that a water body with a drainage area of
5000 square miles is contaminated.  A water body with this drainage area would be a relatively
major stream, receiving runoff from an area approximately 70 by 70 miles. Several streams located
near paper mills have a drainage area of a few thousand square miles.  For example, Raccoon Creek
at Granville, OH has a drainage area of  8,270 square miles (GAGE data base, U.S. EPA).

      The U.S. Geological  Survey (USGS) has studied the relationship between a stream's drainage
area and mean annual flow  rate using regression analysis. On a national scale, USGS found drainage
area to be the most significant  variable influencing flow rate; other variables, particularly average
annual precipitation, were also sometimes significant (personal communication, USGS). Since annual
precipitation varies substantially throughout the United States, drainage area alone is not a precise
predictor of stream flow. However, the general  relationship between drainage area and stream flow
can be estimated for regions of the country.

      For regions east of the Mississippi, the range of stream flows associated with a drainage area
can be approximated from  the following equations (personal communication, USGS).
                                              240

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Low Estimate

      MAP =     DRA

High Estimate

      MAP -     1.5 DRA
where:
      DRA =     Drainage area (square miles), and
      MAP =     Mean annual flow rate (cubic feet per second or cfs).

Regions west of the Mississippi will exhibit greater variability in stream flows with relationship to
drainage area, with extremely arid areas approaching zero cubic feet per second per square mile of
drainage area. However, moderately arid regions are likely to exhibit a relationship between stream
flow and drainage area that can be  approximately represented by the following equation:

      MAP =     0.5 DRA

      Using these formulas to predict mean annual flow rates for a stream with a 5,000 square mile
drainage area yields 5,000 to 7,500 cfs in relatively humid (generally eastern) states and about 2,500
                                                                            t
cfs in relatively arid (generally western) states. Converted to liters per year, the mean flow rates are
4.5 x 1012 to 6.7 x 1012 liters/year for humid states. Arid states have a mean annual stream flow rate
of approximately 2.2 x 1012 liters per year associated with a stream from a 5,000 square mile drainage
area.

      The flow rate for a stream with a 5,000 square mile drainage area can be compared with the
quantity of drinking water assumed to be withdrawn from the stream to evaluate the feasibility of
assumptions about the size of the exposed population.  To estimate drinking water withdrawals, the
exposed population is  multiplied by the quantity of water consumed per person. The analysis assumes
that a person consumes 2 liters of water per day. The population exposed  varies between different
types of sludge management, based on the population density of the regions of the country in which
the facilities are located.   The  exposed population also varies according to the percent of the
population that receives  its drinking  water from surface water. For surface impoundments, the
population exposed to contaminated water is estimated to be 80 persons per square mile of drainage
area.
                                            241

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      A comparison of water withdrawals and stream flows for land application sites suggests that
a relatively large population might use the affected water.  The water withdrawals will be from a
stream with a relatively high stream flow:drainage area ratio, since land application sites are located
in the eastern United States.  Water withdrawal for drinking  is calculated by multiplying a 5,000
square mile drainage area by 80 exposed people per square mile. This yields an exposed population
of 400,000 people.  Total surface water withdrawal for drinking, at 2 liters per person per day, is 2.9
x 108 liters/year. Comparing the water withdrawals to the stream flow shows that between 0.004 and
0.006 percent of the stream flow is withdrawn for human consumption.

      It is likely that the population receiving its drinking water from contaminated surface water
will  receive the remainder of water for domestic uses from this same source.  Therefore, it is also
informative to compare total water withdrawn for domestic  use with the stream flow.  Average
domestic water use is 78 gallons, or  295  liters, per person per day  (USGS,  1985). This quantity
multiplied by a population of 400,000 people equals annual domestic use of 4.3 x 1010 liters per year.
Total domestic use as a percentage of stream flow is between 0.6 and 0.9 percent.

      In evaluating the plausibility  of  this  result, one  should  note that  77% of water  used
domestically is return flow (USGS, 1985).  This means that the water reaches a ground- or surface-
water source  after release from the point of use and thus becomes available  for further use. The
above discussion suggests that the  assumptions in this analysis about the size of populations exposed
to surface water area are plausible.

2.4.8 Estimates of Exposure and  Risks from Ingestion of  Fish from Surface Water Sources

      Where pulp and paper sludge is land applied, particles of sludge or soil from the SMA surface
can be transported by erosion to nearby lakes or streams.  If the sludge contains TCDD or TCDF,
then those particles can carry these contaminants to the surface water  bodies. Fish living in the lakes
or streams can take up sludge contaminants into their tissue; if humans then consume those fish, they
can be exposed to TCDD and TCDF.

      This Section discusses methods used to estimate the extent of this potential exposure, and its
associated risks to human health. The methodology is quite similar to that discussed in Section 2.4.7,
in that both methodologies begin by estimating sediment concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in water
bodies as a result of runoff from land application sites. Once sediment concentrations have been
estimated, however^ the methodology departs from that described  in Section  2.4.7, and uses fish to
sediment  bioconcentration  factors and  estimates of  human consumption of fish to calculate
contaminant doses to humans. The last step in the methodology involves estimating the size of the
                                             242

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exposed population, combining these results with  estimates of individual dose and health risk to
derive total health risks to the entire exposed population. Each of these steps will now be discussed.

Methods for Estimating TCDD and TCDF Concentrations in Surface Water

      Methods used for these calculations are described in detail in Appendix B.  In summary, the
methods are adapted from U.S. EPA (1985a), and use the Universal Soil Loss Equation, together with
estimates of sediment delivery ratios, to estimate the fraction of a lake or stream's sediment that
originates from, the SMA. By multiplying this fraction by the original concentration of TCDD and
TCDF in soil  particles from the land application  site, the methodology derives estimates of the
concentration of contaminants in the sediment.  These sediment concentrations can then be used to
estimate contaminant concentrations in the tissues of fish.

Methods for Estimating the Concentration of TCDD and TCDF in Fish Tissues, as a  Function of
Sediment Concentrations

      Methods for estimating contaminant concentrations in fish are discussed in detail in Appendix
B. Based on the assumption that sediment concentrations are the best predictor of fish concentrations
of hydrophobic compounds like TCDD and TCDF,  the methodology uses empirical fish to sediment
bioconcentration factors to estimate concentrations of contaminant in freshwater fish as a function
                                                                          *
of concentrations in stream or lake sediment.  As explained in Appendix B, the concentrations of
TCDD and TCDF in the  muscle tissues of fish (consumed by humans) are considered to  be fifty
percent lower than the whole body concentrations of these contaminants.

Methods for Estimating Human Dose of TCDD and TCDF from Ingestion of Fish

      Estimated contaminant concentrations in fish tissue are multiplied by an estimated amount
of fish consumed daily and a bioavailability factor to yield human dose of TCDD or TCDF.  This
estimated dose is divided by body weight to derive an estimated dose of contaminant per unit of
body weight per day:

                        Cf Qf BAF
      Dose,
          'F
                          BW
where:
      BAF         =   .  Bioavailability of TCDD or TCDF from fish (unitless)
      BW         =     Human body weight (assumed to be 70 kg)
                                             243

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      CF          =     Concentration of contaminant in fish tissue (mg/g)
      QF          =     Individual's daily fish consumption (g/day)
      DoseF       =     Dose of contaminant from consumption of fish (mg/kg/day)

Methods for Estimating the Size of Populations Exposed to TCDD and TCDF through Ingestion of
Fish

      The  size of the  population exposed to fish containing TCDD and TCDF is  estimated by
multiplying the area of the drainage basin containing each land application site by an estimated
population  density of the regions containing the sites.

      PEF   =     ABPD
where:
      PEF   =     Population exposed  to contaminated fish
      AB    =     Area of the drainage basin (ha)
      PD   =     Population density for region of land application site (persons/ha)

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Human Dose

      A contaminant dose from ingestion of contaminated fish is estimated for  three populations:
typical individuals, an MEI, and sport fishers.  As an input to the dose calculation, consumption of
freshwater  and estuarine  fin fish and shellfish is estimated for these three populations.  Numerous
studies report quantities of fish consumed by humans but most include marine fish.  U.S. EPA has
cited  6.5 grams/day as the average freshwater fish consumption (U.S. EPA, 1980, in U.S.  EPA
1988b). The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has estimated 16 grams per day as the upper 90th
percentile ingestion rate of freshwater fish in the Great Lakes area (U.S. EPA, 1988c). This analysis
assumes fish consumption of 6.5 grams per day for a typical individual in the "low risk" scenario and
"best  estimate" and a consumption rate of 16 grams per  day for the typical individual "high risk"
exposure estimate.

      Since these overall averages include a large proportion of individuals who eat  no freshwater
fish at all,  particular populations may  consume larger quantities.  In particular, sport fishers are
likely to consume fish at  a higher  rate than a typical individual. The "best estimate" and "high risk"
sport  fisher scenarios incorporate the assumptions used in the population "best estimate" and "high
risk" scenarios, respectively except they  use different rates of fish consumption and a smaller exposed
population to reflect the typical  behavior of sport fishers.  This  analysis assumes sport fishers
consume 48 grams of fish per day in both the "best estimate" and the "high risk" scenarios.  This  is

                                             244

-------
the median consumption rate for sport fishers in Michigan reported by Humphrey (1983).  The MEI
analysis uses the 90th percentile consumption rates of active sport fishers, 100 grams per day, to
represent MEI consumption rates in the "best" and "high" risk estimates (Humphrey, 1976).

      Bioavailability rates for the contaminants consumed in fish are taken from U.S. EPA (1989c).
TCDD and TCDF are assumed to be 85, 90, and 95 percent bioavailable for "low", "best", and "high"
calculations, respectively.   Contaminants consumed  with  fish  are  assumed  to be  95 percent
bioavailable in both the "best" and "high" MEI risk estimates.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

      This analysis assumes that all fish are consumed regionally.  An alternative would be to assume
that the fish are distributed nationally.  In that case, the percent of the freshwater fish each person
consumes from the contaminated stream might be calculated by calculating the ratio of the drainage
area of the contaminated stream to the drainage area of the  entire United States.  This percentage
could then be used as the  percent of contaminated freshwater fish consumed  by the entire U.S.
population.  Instead, the current methodology uses drainage area to determine the proportion of U.S.
citizens who are exposed to the contaminated water and fish.  This population  is then assumed to
consume 100% of their freshwater fish from the contaminated stream. These two methods will yield
similar estimates of population risk since the analysis assumes a linear dose-response relationship.
                                                                            *

      As previously discussed, sizes of exposed populations are estimated by multiplying estimated
watershed area by estimated population density.  To accurately  estimate site-specific populations
exposed it is necessary to know the stream into which the SMA runoff drains, the downstream uses
of the surface water (e.g., fishing, drinking), and the distribution of the fish that are caught. In the
absence of this site-specific information, the size of the exposed population is estimated as follows.

      It is assumed that the size of the population exposed will be positively correlated with stream
size and that stream size will be positively correlated with drainage area; the larger the drainage area,
the more people are likely to receive their drinking water supply from the stream.  To quantify this
relationship, population exposed is modeled as a function of drainage area.  Each unit area of the
watershed is multiplied by the average  population density for the  regions through which the
waterways flow to yield population exposed.  For land application sites, the population density is 173
people per square mile.

      In the "best estimate" and the "high risk" scenarios for typical individuals, it is assumed that
the receiving stream for each SMA is a  major stream with a 5,000 square mile watershed area.  In
                                            245

-------
the "low risk" estimate for typical individuals, the drainage area is assumed to be one-tenth of this
size, or 500 square miles. The drainage area in both MEI scenarios is assumed to be about 40 square
miles.  This corresponds to a relatively small stream (U.S. EPA, 1988a).

      To calculate the sportfisher population exposed to contaminated fish, the total population
exposed is first calculated as described above.  The percentage of U.S. non-metropolitan households
consuming "home produced" fish and poultry is estimated to be 7.1% (U.S. Department of Agriculture
1978).  The percentage of these households consuming "home produced" poultry is estimated at 3.4%
(U.S. Department of Agriculture 1978). If the populations home-producing poultry and fish do not
overlap then 3.7% of the population home-produces fish. To estimate the population consuming fish
at the median sportfisher level of 48 grams per day, the total population exposed is  multiplied by
3.7%. This calculation assumes that the family of a sportfisher consumes fish at the same  rate as a
sportfisher.

      This  analysis  assumes that the entire exposed population ingests fish at concentrations
appropriate for the "point" of entry of the SMA runoff into the stream.  Since the population exposed
will inhabit an  area of approximately  70 by  70 miles  in  the "best"  and "high" estimates, this
assumption  is conservative, and will tend to overstate exposure and risk.  In reality, dilution and
dispersion of the contaminant would have occurred before much of the population was exposed.
                                                                           t
2.4.9 Summary  of Results

      Human exposures associated  with  the land application of sludge are  summarized  in Table
2.4.O.  The risks resulting from these exposures are summarized in Table 2.4.P. Typical risks to
individuals  are low through all pathways analyzed for this disposal/use practice.  Highest typical
individual risks are estimated for persons living on the land application site who are exposed through
direct ingestion  vapor  inhalation, and dermal contact with contaminated soil. The highest typical
individual risk is associated with the vapor inhalation pathway: the incremental lifetime risk from
this pathway is  estimated to be 7 x 10"6.  However,  because  the size  of the population exposed
through this pathway is small, the total annual cancer risk resulting from this exposure is estimated
to be only 4 x 10"6 cases per year.

      Lowest typical individual risks from the land application of sludge are for individuals in the
general population that consume produce, meat or dairy products grown in sludge-amended land.
The typical incremental lifetime risk from dietary exposure is estimated to be 2 x 10"8.  Although the
typical individual risk is low, the populations exposed through these pathways are large.  The food
from sludge-amended land is assumed to be nationally distributed, while  contaminated surface water
                                            246

-------
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•is assumed to be used by nearly 3 million persons.  As a result, the dietary pathway yields the largest
 number of cancer cases per year of any of the land application pathways analyzed (7 x 10  cases per
 year). Exposure through drinking of contaminated surface water leads to 2 x 10"3 cases per year.

      The "most exposed individual" risk is typically one to two orders of magnitude higher than
 typical risks for the first four pathways shown on this table.  The MEI and typical individual risk
 estimates are close for these pathways because both the "typical" and "MEI" risks from these pathways
 are evaluated for onsite residents of two agricultural land application sites.  In contrast, MEI risks
 are five  to six times higher than typical individual risks from the dietary, drinking water and fish
 ingestion pathways. For these three pathways, typical risks are estimated for an offsite population,
 while the MEI risk is assessed for an individual living on the land application site.  The highest MEI
 risks are from the ingestion of produce, meat and dairy products grown on sludge-amended land and
 from the ingestion of fish caught in contaminated surface water bodies.  For the produce and meat
 ingestion pathway, the MEI is assumed to be a  farmer who raises his/her own meat and dairy
 products on sludge-amended agricultural land.  For the fish ingestion pathway, the MEI is assumed
 to take fish from  a relatively  small  stream  from the location in  the  stream  with the maximum
 dissolved concentrations of TCDD and TCDF.    The MEI  risk associated  with the ingestion  of
 contaminated produce and meat is 2 x 10"2, while the MEI risk from the fish ingestion pathway is
 4 x  10"3.
                                                                            *
      For the dermal contact, direct ingestion, vapor inhalation, paniculate inhalation, and produce
 ingestion pathways, TCDD dominates the MEI risk.  For these pathways, the MEI is assumed  to
 reside at an agricultural site. The sludge applied at the two agricultural sites assessed in this analysis
 has  lower  TCDF concentrations than TCDD concentrations.  In  Mississippi, a value of zero is
 reported for the concentration of  TCDF in its  sludge, while  in  Pennsylvania, the  reported
 concentration of TCDF is 3.4 times lower than the reported TCDD  concentrations.  As a result,  all
 of the risks for pathways that assume that the MEI lives on an agricultural site are dominated  by
 TCDD.

      The fish ingestion pathway  MEI risk is also dominated by TCDD. This result is due  to the
 higher sediment partitioning coefficient assumed for TCDD. In contrast, the surface water and
 groundwater ingestion pathway MEI risks are dominated by TCDF. This is due to the assumption
 that the  solubility of TCDF is higher than  the solubility of  TCDD, resulting in higher dissolved
 concentrations of TCDF in water.
                                             251

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                            REFERENCES FOR SECTION 2.4


Bovard, K.P., J.P. Fontenot, and B.M. Priode (1971).  Accumulation and dissipation of heptachlor
       residues in fattening steers.  J. Anim. Sci.  33:127-132.

Consumer Product Safety Commission (1989). "Common Assumptions for the Assessment of
       Human Dermal Exposure to Polychlorinated Di-benzo-p-dioxins and Dibenzofurans,"
       memorandum dated July 6 from M. Babich.

Delta Western Feed Mills, Mississippi (1989). Personal Communication. July.

Food and Drug Administration (1989).  "Bioavailability of Ingested 2,3,7,8-TCDD and Related
       Substances,"  draft memo dated June 22 from  Ivan Boyer.

Fries, George. (1982). Potential  poiychlorinated biphenyl residues in animal products from
       application of contaminated sewage sludge to  land.  Journal of Environmental Quality.,
       Vol. 11, no. 1.

Geyer, H. J. Scheunert, I., Filser, J. G. and F. Korte (1986). Bioconcentration potential (BCP) of
       2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (2,3,7,8-TCDD) in terrestrial organisms including
       humans. Chemosphere 15:(9-12) 1495-1502.

Hawley, J.K.. (1985).  Assessment of health risk from exposure to contaminated soil.  Risk Analysis
       5(4):289-302.

Keenan, R.E., Sauer, M., Lawrence, F., Rand, E., and D. Crawford (1989). "Examination of
       potential risks from exposure to dioxin in sludge used to reclaim abandoned strip mines."
       In: The Risk Assessment of Environmental and Human Health Hazards: A Textbook of
       Case Studies.  D.J. Paustenbach, ed. J. Wiley and Sons, New York, pp. 935-998.

Kimbrough, R.,  Falk, H. and P. Stehr (1984). Health implications of 2,3,7,8-TCDD
       contamination of residential soil. J. Tox. Envir. Health 14:47-93.

Martin, S.G., Thiel, D.A., Duncan, J.W., and W.R. Lance (1987). "Effects of a paper industry
       sludge containing dioxin on wildlife in red pine plantations." In: Proceedings of  1987
       TAPPI Environmental Conference.

National Council of the  Paper Industry for Air and Stream Improvement (NCASI) (1984). The
       Land Application and Related Utilization of Pulp and Paper Mill Sludges. Technical
       Bulletin Number 439, August.

National Council of the  Paper Industry for Air and Stream Improvement, Inc  (NCASI) (1987).
       Assessment of Human health Risks  Related to Exposure to Dioxin from Land Application
       of Wastewater Sludge in Maine. June.

National Research Council Canada (1981). Polvchlorinated Dibenzo-p-Dioxins: Criteria for Their
       Effects on the Environment. NRCC  Document Number 18574.

Pocchiari, F., F. Cattabein, G.D. Porta, U. Fortuniat, V. Silarno, and G. Zapponi (1986).
       "Assessment of exposure to 2,3,7,8-TCDD in  the Seveso area."  Chemosphere. 15(9-12):
       1851-1865. Cited in  Wisconsin Department of Health and Social Services (1989).
       "Human Exposure Assessment for Dioxin and Furan Contaminated Papermill Sludge
       Applied to Soils". Final Draft.
                                             252

-------
Rumsey, T.S., and J. Bond.  (1974).  The effect of urea, diethylstilbestrol and type of diet on
       distribution of aldrin and dieldrin residues in finished beef heifers. J. Agric. Food
       Chem. 22:664-667.

Sacchi, G.A., P. Vigano, G. Fortunati, and S.M. Cocucci. (1986).  "Accumulation of 2,3,7,8-
       Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin from soil and nutrient solution by bean and maize plants".
       Experientia 42:586-588.

Schaum, J. (1984). Risk analysis of TCDD contaminated soils. U.S. EPA, Office of Health and
       Environmental Assessment, EPA 600//84-4/031, November.

Science and Education Administration and the U.S. Department of Agriculture in Cooperation
       with Perdue Agricultural Experimental Station (1978). "Predicting Rainfall Erosion  Losses:
       A Guide to Conservation Planning." December.

U.S. Department of Agriculture (1978). "National Food Consumption Survey 1977-1978." Report
       Number H-6. Human Nutrition Information Service.  NFCS-1977-78.

U.S. Department of Agriculture (1982).  Food and Nutrition Service, "Commodity Maps".
       Prepared by Schnittker Associates. Washington, D.C.  December.

U.S. Department of Agriculture (1985).  Agricultural Statistics 1985.  United States Government
       Printing Office.  Washington, D.C.

U.S. Department of Commerce  (1987).  Bureau of the Census. Statistical Abstract of the United
       States.

U.S. EPA, Office of Air Quality, Planning and Standards (1984). National  Air Quality and
       Emissions Trends Report. 1982. EPA-450/4-84-002, March.

U.S. EPA (1985a). "TCDD Transport from Contaminated Sites to Exposed  URE Loactions:  A
       Methodology for Calculating Conversion Factors." Final Report. G.W. Dawson, et al.,
       Batelle Project Management Division, Richland, WA, June.

U.S. EPA (1985b). Development of Statistical Distributions or Ranges of Standard Factors Used in
       Exposure Assessments.  EPA/600/8-85/010, August. Prepared by GCA Corp., Chapel
       Hill, N.C.

U.S. EPA (1987a).  "Comparison of Food Consumption Data".  Tolerance Assessment Program,
       Office of Pesticides  and Toxic Substances.  Washington, D.C.

U.S. EPA (1987b). Office of Health and Environmental Assessment, Evaluation and Criteria
       Assessment Office. Development of Risk Assessment Methodology for the Land
       Application and Distribution and Marketing of Municipal Sludge. August, final draft
       version.

U.S. EPA (1987c). The National TCDD Study: Tiers 3, 5, 6, and 7. Office  of Water Regulations
       and Standards. EPA  440/4-87-003.

U.S. EPA (1988a). Office of Health and Environmental Assessment, Exposure Assessment Group.
       Estimating Exposure to  2.3.7.8-TCDD. Draft Report March.

U.S. EPA (1988b). Office of Water Regulations and Standards, Technical Support Document for
       the Land Application and Distribution and Marketing  of Sewage Sludge. Draft Report,
       August.
                                            253

-------
U.S. EPA (1988c). Risk Assessment for Dioxin Contamination, Midland, Michigan.  EPA-905/4-
       88-005. April.

U.S. EPA (1989a). "Interim Final Guidance for Soil Ingestion Rates." Office of Solid Waste
       Emergency Response Directive Number 9850.4, January 27 from J. Winston Porter.

U.S. EPA, Office of Water Regulations and Standards (1989b). Human Health Risk Assessment
       for Municipal Sludge Disposal: Benefits of Alternative Regulatory  Options. February.

U.S. EPA (1989c). Office of Toxic Substances. Graphic Exposure Modelling System: User Guide.
       March.

U.S. EPA (1989d). Health and Environmental Review Division memorandum to Greg Schweer,
       Office of Toxic Substances, U.S. EPA, on dioxins in paper products: bioavailability by
       inhalation. Memorandum dated June  16 from F.J. DiCarlo.

U.S. EPA (1989e). Memorandum to Dioxin-in-Paper Workgroup, on the bioavailability of dioxins
       in paper products, dated June 23 from C. Cinalli and Conrad Flessner.

U.S. EPA (1989f). 104-Mill Data Base. Office of Water Regulations and Standards, July 17
       version.

U.S. EPA (1989g). Memorandum to Dioxin-in-Paper Workgroup, dated July 21 from C. Cinalli.

U. S. EPA (1989h).  "Memorandum:  OTS/EEB Aquatic Life Hazard Assessment (Including BCF
       Values) for 'Dioxin in  Paper'." Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances. Washington,
       D.C. Memorandum dated August 8.

United States Geological Survey (1985).  "National Water Summary - 1985". Washington, D.C.

Wipf, H.K., E. Homberger, N. Neuner, U.B. Ranalder, W. Vetter, and J.P. Vuilleumier (1982).
       TCDD levels in soil and plant samples from the Seveso area." In: Huntiziger, O., R.W.
       Frei, E. Merian, and F. Pocchiari, editors. Chlorinated  Dioxins and Related Compounds:
       Impact on the Environment. Pergamon Press, New York.

Young, A.L. (1983). "Long-term studies on the persistence and movement of TCDD in a natural
       ecosystem."  In: Tucker, R.E.  A.L. Young, and A.G. Gray, editors. Human and
       Environmental Risks of Chlorinated Dioxins and Related Compounds. Plenum Press,  New
       York.
                                           254

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2.5    Exposure and Risks from Distribution and Marketing of Pulp and Paper Sludge

       Sludge that is composted and marketed can be used as a soil amendment in residential settings
as well as for agricultural and commercial purposes.  According to  the 104-Mill Study, seven mills
in five states distribute and market at least a portion of their  sludge.  Based on data from the 104-
Mill Study, the  total volume of sludge distributed and marketed by these plants is estimated to be
208,000 dry metric tons per year.  In some cases, the  plants in this study reported two methods of
sludge disposal, but did not provide a break-down of the quantities of sludge disposed by each
method.  In these cases, it is assumed the entire quantity  of sludge  by  the plant produced  is
distributed and  marketed.  To the extent that this assumption overestimates the quantity of  sludge
distributed and  marketed every year, the population risk estimates derived  from this analysis will
overestimate the true population risk.

       This analysis estimates risks to members of households using composted sludge from the
following routes of exposure:

       • Home  gardeners incorporate distributed and marketed sludge to  home gardens. The  home-
       grown crops incorporate small amounts of contaminant  into their tissues. Household residents
       then consume the home-grown crops.
                                                                           *
       • Home  gardeners incorporate distributed and marketed sludge into  their home gardens, or
       use it for other home gardening purposes, such as lawns or flower beds. Children and adults
       in  the gardening household come into direct dermal  contact  with the sludge.  TCDD and
       TCDF from the sludge is absorbed through the skin.

       • Children ingest  small amounts of the  sludge/soil  mixture through  normal  mouthing
       behavior.  Adults also inadvertently  ingest small quantities of sludge/soil.

       • TCDD and TCDF in distributed and marketed sludge volatilizes from the sludge into the
       air. Residents of the household inhale the volatilized  TCDD and TCDF.

       • Distributed and marketed sludge is applied to home gardens or other home uses.  Particles
       of the sludge/soil mixture  become suspended in the air. Members of the household  inhale
       the  contaminated particles.
                                             255

-------
       Since the actual users of distributed and marketed sludge are not known, a generic scenario
is used to estimate risks from the distribution and marketing of sludge. In this scenario, a household
uses composted sludge as a soil amendment for ornamental or vegetable gardening.  "Low risk,"
"best" and "high risk" estimates are derived for typical exposure, while "best" and "high risk" estimates
are derived for MEI exposure.  The following discussion briefly describes  the scenario considered
to obtain these estimates, as well as the data sources used to construct the generic scenario.  The
estimated soil concentrations used  in the "low risk," "best estimate," and "high risk" scenarios for
typical exposures are shown in Table 2.5.A.  The highest soil concentration presented in this Table
is  used in the MEI analysis. Other parameters that describe the generic scenario, as well as the
physical  chemical  parameters of TCDD and  TCDF, used  in the  typical exposure scenario are
presented in Table 2.5.B.  Parameter values used in the MEI exposure assessment are  shown in Table
2.5.C.

Description of Distribution and Marketing Scenario

       According  the National Gardening Survey (1987), 34 million of the 69 million households
involved in gardening activity in 1986 grew vegetables.   Based on these data, the best estimate of
typical exposure assumes that approximately one-half of the distributed  and  marketed sludge  goes
to households with vegetable gardens, while the other half goes to households that use the sludge for
ornamental gardening. Furthermore, best estimate typical analysis assumes that  households using
sludge for ornamental gardening apply sludge at the same rate as households with vegetable gardens.
For the "high risk" typical exposure scenario, it is assumed that all of the distributed and marketed
sludge goes to households with vegetable gardens. This assumption is also made for the MEI analysis.

       The concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in sludge from plants that distribute and market
sludge were obtained  from the  104-Mill Study. The methods for calculating  the soil concentration
of TCDD and TCDF in  home  garden  soils  amended with the composted  sludge are described  in
Appendix A.  The soil  concentration model  requires  inputs  for the  initial TCDD and TCDF
concentrations, length of the application period and the depth of incorporation with background soils.
Decay of TCDD and TCDF during  the composting process is  assumed to be  negligible. The analysis
assumes that  composted  sludge is  applied  to  a home garden  for 20 years.   The  home  gardener
continues to  use the garden for an  additional fifty  years.

       In the "low risk"  and "best estimate" typical exposure  scenarios, the analysis assumes that
sludge is soil incorporated.  For the "high risk" typical exposure scenario, it is assumed that sludge
is applied only to the top layer of soil. USDA (1979) recommends depths of incorporation for the
maintenance of crops ranging from approximately 6 to 10 inches. Sludge may also be  applied without
                                              256

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incorporation (i.e., top dressing).  In  the "best  estimate" scenario,  this analysis used 6 inches  of
incorporation. Assuming 10 inches of incorporation yields a lower exposure estimate due to greater
dilution of the sludge contaminants,  while assuming the top-dressing  scenario yields  a  higher
exposure estimate. The top-dressing scenario is used to model risks to ihe MEI.

Data Sources  and Model Inputs for Application Rates

       The best estimate for typical exposure assumes that the home gardener applies 10 dry metric
tons of sludge per hectare per year to  his or her home garden. The recommended application rates
for home uses ranges from 5 to 20 dry metric ton per hectare  (USDA,  1979). However, assuming a
higher (or lower) application rate forces  a smaller (or larger) estimate of the number of households
affected, as long as there is a constant  amount of sludge dedicated to home uses. Population cancer
risks are relatively insensitive to this parameter as long as cancer risks are assumed  to have  no
threshold. MEI risks are affected by this assumption, however. The MEI was assumed to apply  20
metric tons per year to his/her home garden.

       The size of the garden assumed in the generic scenario affects the individual risks estimates
and influences the estimate of the size of the exposed population.  According to the National Garden
Survey (1987) the average garden  size for  combined rural and  urban vegetable gardens is 0.016
hectares. For the "high risk" scenario, the average rural garden size (0.022 hectares), is assumed. The
MEI is assumed to have a garden 0.022 hectares in size.

       Using the generic scenario  described above, this  analysis estimates  exposures from dermal
contact, vapor and particulate inhalation, and direct ingestion for young children (ages 1-6), older
children (ages 7-12) and for adults, while dietary exposures are estimated for young children (1-6)
and adults. The average daily exposure over a lifetime from each of these pathways is the weighted
average of the daily exposures during these stages of life.  These exposures are combined with cancer
slope  factors  to obtain incremental lifetime risk from TCDD and TCDF exposure.  The following
sections describe the methods and data  used to estimate risks from home  uses of  distributed and
marketed sludge through  each these pathways. Results are summarized in the  final section.

2.5.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Dermal Contact with Skin

       Humans coming in direct contact with  sludge contaminated soils may absorb  TCDD and
TCDF through their skin. The amount of TCDD and TCDF absorbed will depend on the area of skin
exposed and on the length of time  that the contaminated soil is in contact with the skin.  The
                                               264

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following discussion summarizes the model used to estimate exposure through dermal contact with
composted pulp and paper mill sludges used in residential settings.

       To estimate exposure  through  direct contact with soil  containing TCDD and TCDF,
methodologies presented in Schaum (1984), Hawley (1985), and EPA (1988a) were used. The model
uses empirically-derived information on the amount of soil or dust that adheres to  a square
centimeter of skin, the area of skin exposed in various settings and the absorption rate of TCDD or
TCDF through skin to derive the dose of TCDD or TCDF from dermal contact with contaminated
soil or dust.

Description of Calculations

       The calculation of dermal exposure proceeds in two steps. First the average daily exposure
from dermal contact is calculated as the product of area of skin affected, the contact rate, the dermal
absorption rate and the duration of contact. Second, the risk from dermal contact is calculated using
the estimate of daily exposure and the slope factors of TCDD and TCDF.

Description of Exposure Calculations

       The concentration of TCDD and TCDF in the soil in home gardens or lawns is derived as
described in Appendix A. Contaminated soil may also be brought indoors through airborne dust
particles, and/or tracking of dirt on clothes and shoes. The concentration of TCDD and TCDF in
indoor dust is calculated as follows:

       C      =      C   F
       *-in           ^o  r
where:
       Cjn    =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in dust indoors, mg/mg
       C0     =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in soil outdoors, mg/mg
       F      =      ratio of indoor concentrations to outdoor concentrations

       The indoor dust and  outdoor soil contaminant concentrations are  used  to estimate human
exposure and risk from dermal contact with these media. Daily doses are estimated for three age
groups: young children (ages 1-6), older children (ages 7-1 1) and adults (ages 12 and older). The dose
for each age group is calculated as:
       DOSEg =      [g SAin
-------
where:
       ABd   =      systemic absorption rate through the skin
       BWg   =      body weight = 70 kg for adult, 16 kg for young child, 35 kg for older child
       C0     =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in soil outdoors, mg/mg
       Cin    =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in dust indoors, mg/mg
       CR,_  =       contact rate of soil with skin for age group g, indoors, mg/cm2
          in, g
       CRQ g  =      contact rate of soil with skin for age group g, outdoors, mg/cm2
       DOSE  =      dose from outdoor exposure for age group g, mg/kg/day
       Hi     =      hours spent indoors for age group g
       HQ     =      hours spent outdoors for age group g
       SA.   =       surface area of skin exposed to soil for age group g, indoors, cm2
          i n, 9
       SAQ =        surface area of skin exposed to soil for age group g, outdoors, cm2
       M     =      matrix effect on absorption rate, percent

       For each age group, the soil contaminant concentration (expressed in mg/mg for ease of
calculation) is multiplied by the soil contact  rate outdoors (mg/cm2) and by the area of the skin
exposed during outdoor activity (cm2) to obtain the total quantity of soil-bound TCDD  or TCDF
adhering to the skin (mg). The quantity of contaminant on the skin is then adjusted by two factors:
the fraction of the contaminant that migrates  from the soil matrix and comes into contact with the
skin; and the fraction of TCDD or TCDF that absorbs through the skin. Since the dermal absorption
rate is expressed as the fraction of TCDD or  TCDF that is absorbed through the skin per hour of
contact, it must be multiplied by the hours that the soil is assumed to be in contact with  the skin.
The same calculations are also performed for exposures in indoor settings, using the corresponding
indoor values for the model input parameters.  The total daily dermal absorption of TCDD or TCDF
is the sum of indoor absorption and outdoor absorption. Dividing the total dermal absorption for each
age group by the body weight  for that age yields a daily dose of TCDD or TCDF through dermal
absorption in mg/kg/day.

       To  obtain the weighted average dose over  the lifetime of an individual, the  following
calculation is  used:
where:
DOSEavg      =      E FRACg (DOSEg)

DOSE         =      weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
DOSEg        =      daily dose for individual in age group g
FRAC        =      fraction of lifetime spent in age group g
                                           266

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 Description of Cancer Risk Calculations

        Once the daily dose estimate is obtained, it is combined with information about the slope
 factor of TCDD and TCDF to obtain an estimate  of lifetime risk from dermal exposure to these
 contaminants.  The calculation of individual risk is:

        1C            =      DOSEavg  Q;

 where:
        DOSE         =      weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
        1C            =      individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSEayg of TCDD or TCDF
        q^           =      incremental lifetime  risk per mg/kg/day dose of TCDD or TCDF

 This calculation is performed for both a typical and the most exposed individual.  Individual cancer
 risk for a typical exposed individual is converted to annual total population risk (in cases per year)
 by multiplying the number of persons exposed by  the individual  risk and dividing by the average
 person's lifespan, as described in the following equation:

        PC    =      1C POP / LS
" where:
        LS     =      average lifespan of an individual =ซ 70 years
        PC    =      population risk, cancer cases per year
        POP   =      population exposed to DOSEavg

 Data Sources and Model Inputs

        The values used for each model input for "low risk," "best" and "high risk" typical exposure
 estimates are summarized in Table 2.5.D. The values used to derive the MEI "best" and "high risk"
 exposures are found in Table 2.5.E. The best MEI exposure estimate is derived using by combining
 estimates of behavioral input parameters with the best estimates of physical/chemical properties of
 TCDD and TCDF.  The "high  risk" estimate of MEI exposure uses the same behavioral inputs,  but
 combines them with the high estimates of physical and chemical parameters of TCDD and TCDF.

        The following sections describe each input and documents the data sources used to derive the
 values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses. Where parameter input values differ
                                            267

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for the "best" and "high risk" MET exposure estimates, these differences are discussed.  For those
behavioral input parameters that do not vary between the "best" and "high risk" MEI calculations, a
single value for the MEI analysis is discussed.

Data Sources and Model Inputs  for Soil Concentrations

       The method for deriving soil concentrations is described in Appendix A. Soil concentrations
resulting from the use of composted sludge from each plant that distributes and markets sludge are
presented in Table 2.5.A.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Indoor Dust Contaminant Concentration as a Function of Outdoor
Soil Contaminant Concentration

       Roberts et al. (1977), as discussed by Hawley (1985), studied the relationship between lead
concentrations indoors and outdoors near a lead smelter, and found that the mean concentration of
the lead  in household  dust was 75%  the concentration of lead in the  outdoor soil.  For his own
analysis, Hawley (1985) assumed that indoor contaminant concentrations in dust were 80% of the
contaminant concentrations in outdoor soil. The typical exposure analysis uses a value of 80% for
the best estimate, and applies a range of 75% to 85% for the low and high estimates respectively. For
the "best estimate" MEI calculation, a value of 80% is used, while 85% is used for the "high risk" MEI
exposure estimate.

Data Sources and Model Inputs  for Contact Rate

       The contact rate of soil on skin varies between outdoor and indoor exposures and among age
groups. Hawley (1985) and Schaum (1984) both described a number of studies that estimated the
contact rate of soil  on the skin of children playing outdoors. Lepow et al. (1975), as cited in Hawley
(1985), estimated a contact rate  of 11  mg soil per 21 cm2 of skin on the  hands of young children, or
0.5 mg/cm2. Exposed skin on other parts of the body is assumed to have the same contact rate.  Roels
et al. (1980), as cited in Hawley (1985) found that the mean values for quantity of dirt on one hand
of eleven-year old  children ranged from 40  to 180  mg.   Since the hand of a child this age has a
surface area of approximately 300 cm2, these data suggest a contact rate ranging from 0.13 to 0.6
mg/cm2. Schaum (1984) reported the  upper end of the estimate for outdoor contact rate for children
to be 1.5 mg/cm2. In the analysis of typical exposures, 0.5 mg/cm2 is used for the best estimate, 0.13
mg/cm2 the low estimate, and 1.5 mg/cm2 the high estimate of contact rate for  both young and older
children. The MEI analysis assumes an outdoor soil contact rate of 1.5 mg/cm2 for both young and
older children.
                                             276

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       For  adults,  the  outdoor contact rate was derived by  Hawley  (1985), based on  assumed
thickness  of the layer of soil on the skin and the density of outdoor soil.  Hawley's calculations
yielded a  value of 3.5 mg/cm2. This value is used in the "best" and "high risk" typical exposure
estimates and for the MEI analysis.  For the "low risk" typical exposure estimate, the analysis uses the
low estimate for outdoor contact rate in children.

       Hawley (1985) estimated indoor contact rates based on assumptions regarding dustfall and
frequency of cleaning.  Hawley also cited the work of Solomon and Hartford (1976), who studied
lead and cadmium levels in indoor dust. The dust values measured by these researchers ranged from
110 mg/m2 to 590 mg/m2. For his analysis, Hawley (1985) used a value of 0.056 mg/cm2 for indoor
dust contact rate, assuming a dustfall rate indoors that is 20% of the outdoor dustfall, and assuming
biweekly  cleaning of surfaces. The typical exposure analysis uses Hawley's value as a best estimate,
and uses the range of values reported by Solomon and Hartford (1976, through Hawley, 1985) as low
and high  estimates.  These values are used  to represent contact rate indoors in living space for all
three  age  groups. A value of 0.06 mg/cm2 is used for the MEI analysis.

       Adults may also  experience dermal contact with soil when engaged in infrequent cleaning of
seldom-used spaces, such as attics.  After a discussion of the  relevant literature,  Hawley (1985)
concluded that an adult working for a one-hour exposure in a dusty space such as an attic has indirect
dermal contact with 110 mg of dust suspended in air.  In addition, the direct contact rate with dust
was estimated to be 1.8 mg/cm2, based an assumed depth of the dust layer on the skin and the density
of indoor dust  particles. To assess  risks from these  exposures, the analysis of Hawley (1985)  is
incorporated into the typical and MEI analyses.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Area of Skin Exposed

       The  surface area of skin available  for contact with contaminated soil will influence the
quantity of TCDDand TCDF absorbed through this pathway. The surface area available for contact
will vary  depending on the clothing worn  by  the individual.  Hawley (1985) provides a table of
surface area for various parts of the body for young children,  older children, and adults. In the
following  discussion, the area of the skin assumed to be exposed in each scenario for each age group
is derived from this table. The assumptions regarding the body parts exposed in each scenario are
also derived from Hawley (1985), except as noted.
       For the best estimate of typical exposure, it is assumed that the feet, legs and hands of young
children are exposed to soil during outdoor play, an area of 2100 cm2; indoors, one-half of the area
                                              277

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of the hands, forearms and feet, or 500 cm2 is assumed to be exposed. The low estimate of typical
exposure assumes that only the child's hands are exposed both indoors and outdoors (300 cm2): the
rest of the body  is covered with clothing.  The "high risk" typical analysis assumes  that young
children's hands, arms, legs, and feet (2800 cm2)  are exposed outdoors, while feet,  hands, and
forearms are in contact with indoor dust (1000 cm2).  The MEI analysis assumes that the same area
of skin (2800 cm2) is exposed indoors  as is exposed outdoors.

       For older children, the typical exposure analysis uses a value of 1600 cm2 for the best estimate
of the surf ace-area of skin exposed while playing outdoors. This value represents exposure of both
hands, forearms, and half of the legs (i.e., from the knees down).  Indoors, older children have 400
cm2 of skin in contact with indoor dust, an area equivalent to the area of both hands.  For the low
estimate of typical exposure, the analysis assumes that only hands are exposed both outdoors and
indoors. The high estimate of typical exposure for outdoor exposure is based on Keenan et al. (1989),
who assumed that children playing outdoors expose both hands, legs and feet to soil. The surface
area corresponding to these parts of the body for older children is approximately 3200 cm2 (Hawley,
1985). The high estimate of typical exposure indoors for older children assumes that the hands and
the forearms of the child, or approximately 825 cm2 of skin, are exposed.  The MEI analysis assumes
that the same area of skin (3200 cm2)  is exposed indoors as is exposed outdoors.

       The hands and forearms of adults working outdoors are assumed to come, into contact with
contaminated outdoor soil.  The area of these body parts is approximately 1700 cm2.  This value is
used in the best estimate of typical exposure. For the low estimate of typical exposure, the analysis
uses Schaum (1984), who, citing Sendroy (1954), assumes that adults may wear a long-sleeved shirt,
gloves, pants, and shoes to work outdoors. In this case, the area exposed is 910 cm2. The "high risk"
typical estimate and  the MEI analysis  use Schaum (1984), citing Sendroy (1954), who assumes that
adults may wear a short-sleeved shirt with an open neck, pants, shoes, with no gloves or hat, to work
outdoors.  The area of skin exposed under these assumptions is 2940 cm2.

       For adults indoors, different assumptions can be made for the area of skin exposed while the
adult is in the living  space and the area exposed while the adult works in an attic.  Adults working
in the attic are assumed to wear an open-neck, short-sleeved shirt, pants, shoes, and no gloves or hat,
while adults in  the living space wear clothing that covers a larger area of skin and  behave in such a
manner that only the hands are in direct contact with indoor dust.  This corresponds to an area of
1700 cm2 in the attic, and 900 cm2 in  the living space.  These values are used to calculate both the
"low risk" and the "best" estimates of typical exposure.  The "high risk" estimate assumes that 1700
cm2 of skin are exposed in both the attic and in the living space.  The most exposed individual is
assumed  to have the  same area of skin exposed indoors as is exposed outdoors.
                                            278

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Exposure Duration: Indoor and Outdoor Soils

       The length of time soil is in contact with the skin is an important factor in determining the
amount of TCDD or  TCDF  that is absorbed into the  system through the  skin.  The following
assumptions regarding duration  of dermal exposure are  derived from Hawley (1985).  The typical
exposure analysis assumes young children spend 5 days a week, six months out of the year playing
outdoors.  The outdoor soil is  assumed to remain in contact with the skin for twelve hours before it
is washed off. The remaining twelve hours are spent in contact with indoor dust.  During the winter
months, young children are in contact only with indoor dust, for 12 hours per day. In the "high risk"
typical and most exposed individual estimates, young  children play outdoors seven  days per week,
six months out of the year, with soil remaining on the  skin for twelve hours. The remaining twelve
hours are spent in contact with indoor dust. The high risk typical and MEI estimates also assume that
young children are in  contact with indoor dust 24 hours a day during the six winter months.

       As a best estimate, the typical exposure analysis assumes that older children spend some time
outdoors everyday between May and September (5  months), and allow the outdoor soil collected on
the skin to remain there for twelve hours before washing. In addition, older children are  assumed
to be in contact with indoor dust for four hours per day all year; the rest of the time is spent at school
or other locations. As a "high risk" estimate, and for the MEI  analysis, older children are  assumed
to spend some time outdoors every day for six months,  and to allow the soil to remain on the skin for
12 hours before washing; furthermore, these children are in dermal contact with  indoor dust for 12
hours every day  year round.

       Adults from residences that use distributed and  marketed sludge are assumed to have a shorter
dermal exposure duration than those living on agricultural sites.  The typical analysis assumes as a
best estimate that dermal contact for adults occurs  two days per week,  five months of the year; the
soil is assumed to remain on the skin for eight hours  before washing.  The low estimate of typical
exposure assumes outdoor dermal exposure occurs only one day per week, eight hours per day, for
five months out of the year. For both the "best estimate" and "low risk" estimates, adults are assumed
to be in contact with indoor dust for twelve hours a day all year. For the "high risk" typical exposure
estimate, and for the MEI, distributed and marketed  sludge is assumed to go to  farms, where the
adult is in dermal contact with contaminated outdoor soil 5 days a week, six months out of the year,
for twelve hours  per day. Furthermore, the high estimate assumes that adults  have dermal exposure
to indoor dust for 12 hours a day during the summer months, and 24 hours a day during the winter
months.
                                             279

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       Adults may also have limited dermal exposure while cleaning seldom-used spaces such as
attics.  Hawley (1985) assumes that an adult spends 12 hours in these environments during one year.
This value could represent a single cleaning, where the adult spends one twelve-hour period in the
attic, or it could represent twelve  one-hour cleaning sessions.  For the best estimate of  typical
exposure, it is assumed that the adult spends twelve days in the attic, one hour each day, and leaves
the dust from attic on the skin for four hours before washing.  The "low risk" estimate assumes the
adult spends one day in the attic for twelve hours, and leaves the dust on the skin for an additional
four hours before washing. In the "high risk" typical estimate and MEI estimate, the adult engages
in twelve one-hour attic cleaning sessions, and leaves  the attic dust on the skin for six hours after
each session.

Data Sources  and Model Inputs for  Dermal Absorption of TCDD and TCDF

       Dermal absorption of TCDD and TCDF bound to soil involves two components: migration of
the TCDD and TCDF from the soil matrix, and absorption  of TCDD and TCDF through the skin.
The Consumer Product Safety Commission (1989) reviewed data pertaining to the dermal absorption
of  TCDD  from  a  variety  of  matrices.   The Consumer  Product  Safety  Commission (CPSC)
memorandum cites studies by Poiger and Schlatter (1980), who reported absorption of TCDD from
wet soil ranging from 0.05% to 2.2%, and by Shu et al. (1988), who reported absorption of 0.65% to
1% with dry soil.  Comparing these absorption rates to the rate of dermal absorption when TCDD is
applied to the skin in a methanol vehicle, CPSC concluded that from  0.3% to 15% of the TCDD in
soil is released for subsequent absorption through the skin. For the best estimate of typical exposure,
the recommendation of the CPSC memorandum is followed and a value of 1% is used to represent
the best estimate for this matrix effect for contaminated soil, while using the range of 0.3% to 15%
for the low and high estimates, respectively.  For the MEI'analysis, a value of 15% is used.

       CPSC also reviewed the literature regarding the percutaneous absorption of the TCDD release
from the soil  matrix.  Studies reviewed included studies with laboratory animals and in-vitro studies
of human skin.  The  animal studies report percutaneous absorption rates ranging from 40 to 48%
over 72 hours. From the in-vitro skin experiments (Weber et al., as cited in CPSC memorandum),
CPSC estimated an absorption rate of 18.5% over 17 hours of exposure,  yielding a transfer coefficient
of 0.012 h"1.  This value is used in the "low risk" and "best" estimate of typical exposure for all age
groups. For children, Hawley (1985) states that the absorption rate through skin for children is twice
the absorption rate for adults. Therefore, in the "high risk" typical and MEI exposure analyses, a
transfer coefficient of 0.024 hr"1 is used for the estimate of the percutaneous absorption rate for both
younger and  older children.
                                            280

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Calculating Size of the Exposed Population

       Table 2.5.F. describes  the calculations used to estimate  the size of population exposed to
distributed and marketed sludge.  First, the total tons of sludge to distribution and marketing from
each plant engaged in this practice were obtained from the  104-Mill Study.  The  "best"  typical
exposure analysis assumes that sludge is applied at a rate of  10 dry metric  tons (DMT) per hectare.
Dividing tons by the  application  rate yields the number of acres covered by the distributed and
marketed sludge.  Next, the size of the average garden is used to determine the number of households
using distributed and marketed sludge. According to the National Garden Survey (1987) the average
garden size for combined rural and urban vegetable gardens is 0.016 hectares. Dividing acres covered
by sludge by the number of acres  per household gives the number of households affected. Finally,
the number of persons households is multiplied by the average number of persons per household to
obtain the total number of persons affected by distributed and marketed sludge.  For the "high risk"
scenario, the average rural garden size (0.022 hectares) and an application rate of 20 DMT are used
to determine exposed  population.

2.5.2  Estimates of Exposure  from Ingestion of Home-Grown Produce

       To model the  risks associated with ingestion of home-grown crops,  a computer  model,
written in Borland International's Turbo Pascal computer programming language apd executed on an
IBM personal computer, is used. Risks through the dietary pathway are calculated by estimating the
contaminant concentration in  homegrown crops, and then  multiplying this  concentration  by  the
daily consumption of  home-grown vegetables. This analysis assumes that only the residents of the
household using the  composted sludge are exposed to sludge contaminants. Furthermore, the analysis
assumes  that home  gardeners  do not produce meat  or  dairy products with the distributed and
marketed sludge.  As described in Table 2.5.F., the total number of households using distributed and
marketed sludge is  determined based quantity of compost  going to residential uses, the average
application rate in  a  residential setting,  and  size  of the average garden; the number of persons
potentially exposed is  then derived by multiplying the  number of households by the average number
of persons per household.

       For households with  vegetable gardens, the calculations  proceed in three steps.  The first
calculation estimates the sludge TCDD and TCDF concentrations in the tissues of crops grown in
sludge-amended home gardens. Next, individual risks are estimated based on dietary ingestion of
each crop.  Finally, risks from all crops are summed to  estimate the total cancer risk from TCDD and
TCDF through dietary exposures.  The calculations for each  of these three components is described
below.
                                              281

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  Table  2.5.F.   Estimated  Population Affected  by D&M Sludge


A)   Average garden size,  ha:                   0.016
B)   Application rate, DMT/ha:                     102
C)   Total sludge to D&M,  DMT:                208,OOO3
D)   Number of households:                  1,300,OOO4
E)   Persons per household                        2.7
F)   Persons exposed:                       3,510,OOO6
Notes:     From National Garden Survey, 1987.
          2From USDA (1979).
          3From 104 Mill Study.
          4C/(AxB)
          ^From the U.S. Census, 1980.
          6D x E
                              282

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Determining Tissue Concentrations of Contaminants for Produce Grown in Sludge-Amended Gardens
       CD,.
       cw..
CD.
where:
       CD-
       KDW:
soil concentration of TCDD or TCDF, adjusted for additional mass from added
sludge (mg/kg)
tissue concentration (dry weight) of TCDD or TCDF in crop i (ug/g dry)
tissue concentration (wet weight) of TCDD or TCDF in crop i (ug/g wet)
constant for converting dry weight concentration to fresh weight concentration
for crop i
rate of uptake of TCDD or TCDF into tissue of crop i (ug/g dry weight per
mg/kg in soil)
The calculations for determining the soil concentration of TCDD or TCDF are described in Appendix
A. Once the contaminant soil concentration has been determined, each crop's uptake rate is applied
to contaminant amounts to estimate the concentration of TCDD or TCDF per uni$ of dry-weight of
crop tissue.  Dry weight tissue concentrations are converted to wet weight concentrations.

Determining Exposure  from Contaminant Ineestion through Foods Grown in Sludge-Amended
Gardens
       DOSE.
Ei[CW,.  FC,. DCjjg 10']
where:
       CW,.
       DCS
       DOSE,
       FC,
       10
         -3
tissue concentration (fresh weight) of TCDD or TCDF in crop i (ug/g wet)
daily dietary consumption (fresh weight) of crop i (g/kg/day) for age group
g
total dose of TCDD or TCDF from produce grown in sludge-amended garden
for age group g (mg/kg/day)
fraction of dietary consumption of crop i grown in sludge-amended garden
(unitless)
factor for converting g to mg
                                             283

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Daily doses are estimated for children ages 1-6 and for individuals over age 7.  Doses of TCDD or
TCDF from each food are estimated by multiplying fresh weight contaminant concentrations (ug/g)
by the amount of that food crop consumed in the diet (g/kg/day) for each age group and by fraction
of the daily quantity consumed that comes from  the sludge-amended garden.  (Note that the units
are adjusted by 10~3 to mg/kg/day.) The dose for each food is combined with the dose of TCDD or
TCDF from other garden produce to yield a total dietary ingestion of TCDD and TCDF.

       The weighted average daily dose of contaminant over an individual's lifetime is calculated
as the sum of  the daily doses for each age group weighted by the fraction of the individual's lifespan
spent as a member of that age group, as described in the following calculation:
where:
       DOSEavg      =       2 Fg DOSEg

       DOSE         *      average daily dose over lifetime, mg/kg/day
       DOSE         =      daily dose for individual  in age group g, mg/kg/day
       F             =      fraction of an individual's lifetime spent in age group g

Description of Cancer Risk Calculations
                                                                         4
       Once the daily dose estimate is obtained, it is combined with information about the slope
factor of TCDD and TCDF to obtain an estimate of lifetime risk from dietary exposure to these
contaminants.  The calculation of individual risk is:

       1C            =      DOSEavg  Q1*

where:
       DOSE         =      weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
       1C            =      individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSE   of TCDD or TCDF
       q.,*           =      incremental lifetime risk per mg/kg/day dose of TCDD or TCDF

This calculation is performed for both  typical and  MEI exposures.  Individual cancer risk for a
typical exposed individual is converted to annual total  population  risk (in cases  per year) by
multiplying the number of persons exposed by the typical individual risk and dividing by the average
                                            284

-------
person's lifespan, as described in the following equation:

       PC    =      1C  POP / LS
where:
       LS    =      average lifespan of an individual = 70 years
       PC    =      population risk, cancer cases per year
       POP   =      population exposed to DOSEavg

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimates of Exposure from Ingestion of Home-Grown Produce

       The values used for each model input for "low risk," "best" and "high risk" typical dietary
exposure estimates are summarized in Table 2.5.G.  The values used to derive the MEI "best" and
"high risk" exposures are found in Table 2.5.H. The "best" MEI exposure  estimate is derived using
by combining estimates of behavioral input parameters with the best estimates of physical/chemical
properties of TCDD and TCDF. The "high risk" estimate of MEI exposure uses the same behavioral
inputs, but combines them with the high estimates of physical and chemical parameters of TCDD and
TCDF.

       The following sections describe each  input and  documents the data sources used to derive the
values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses. Where parameter input values
differ for the "best" and "high risk" MEI exposure estimates, these differences are discussed.  For
those behavioral input parameters that do not vary  between the  "best" and  "high  risk"  MEI
calculations, a single value for the MEI analysis is discussed.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Concentrations

       The methods for deriving the soil concentrations in home  gardens where composted sludge
is applied are presented in Appendix A. The resulting average soil concentrations over 70 years are
displayed in Table 2.5.A.  Sludge concentrations were obtained from the 104-Mill Study for plants
distributing and marketing sludge.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Plant Uptake Rates

       For the typical exposure analysis, uptake rates for all home-grown crops except potatoes and
root crops were estimated to be 2 percent, with a range from 0.01% to 15%. The low estimate is
derived from a study by Wipf et al. (1982). The "best" estimate uptake value for these crops is based
on the recommendation of the Subgroup on TCDD Uptake in Terrestrial Plants (EPA, 1989d).  The
                                             285

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high estimate is based on Young (1983).  For the "best" estimate of MEI exposure,  a value of 2
percent is used, while 15% percent is used for the "high risk" MEI exposure estimate.

       In the typical exposure analysis, root crops are assumed to take up 50% of the TCDD and
TCDF in the soil, with low and high values of 1% to 100% respectively.  The "best" estimate MEI
analysis uses a value of 50%, and the "high risk"  MEI estimate uses 100%. The range of values for
these crops was based on the recommendation of the Subgroup on TCDD Uptake in Terrestrial Plants
(EPA, 1989d).  The Subgroup reviewed data from Wipf et al. (1982), Facchetti et al. (1986), Cocucci
et al. (1979), Briggs et al. (1982) and Sacchi et al. (1986) studies of TCDD, as well as Iwata et al.
(1974) and  Moza et al (1979) studies of PCBs.  The low end of recommended range  is one of the
higher values reported by Wipf et al. (1982), while the high end of the recommended range is in the
range of  values reported by Moza et al. (1979) for PCB uptake by carrots.  The use of these values
assumes that the vegetable is eaten whole; that is, the vegetable is washed but is not peeled before
it is eaten.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Fraction of Vegetables from Home Garden

       EPA (1988b) cites a USDA survey (1966)  that estimated the fraction of vegetables consumed
by a person each day that  originates from that person's home garden.  The fraction was estimated for
rural farm residents, rural nonfarm  residents, and for urban dwellers.  These values are presented
in Table  2.5.1.  For the best estimate of typical vegetable consumption from  home gardens, this
analysis uses the values for rural, nonfarm residents.  The fraction for urban dwellers represents the
low typical estimate, while the fraction for farm residents represents the high typical and the MEI
estimate.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Adult and Child  Daily Food Consumption Rates

       This analysis assumes that the quantity and types of food consumed by those who have home
gardens is the same as for those who do not have home gardens.  This assumption allows the use of
the TAS  Dietary Database, which provides average U.S. dietary consumption values for various age
groups. Table 2.5.J. lists the average dietary consumption quantities for adults and children ages one
to six years, in g/kg/day. These values are used in both the "low risk" and "best" typical exposure
estimates.

       EPA (1987b) presents values for average  daily consumption of these crops based on an FDA
study on the Revised Total Diet Food List. For all crops assumed to be grown in home gardens, the
values for consumption from this source are higher than those from the TAS Dietary Database. These
                                              288

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       Table 2.5.1.    Fraction  of  Vegetables Consumed from Home Garden
Vegetable
Rural Farm
 Resident
Rural, Nonfarm
   Resident
 Urban
Resident
Dried legumes
Garden fruits
Fresh corn
leafy vegetables
Nondried legumes
Potatoes
Root vegetables
   0.17
   0.6
   0.6
   0.6
   0.6
   0.45
   0.6
     0.07
     0.27
     0.27
     0.27
     0.27
     0.15
     0.27
  0.03
  0.05
  0.05
  0.05
  0.06
  0.01
  0.05
Source:  USDA Survey, 1966, cited in EPA, 1988.
                                        289

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                  Table 2.5.J.   Daily Human Food Consumption
                     for Distribution and Marketing Model
                     (g wet weight per kilogram per day)

                                                         Re-analysis of FDA
                             TAS Dietary Database          data from OWRS

Vegetable                    Adults      Children       Adults       Children
Dried legumes                   0.3        0.585         0.425         1.939
Garden fruits                 1.117         1.83         1.408          2.77
Fresh corn                    0.237        0.547          0.69          2.76
leafy vegetables              0.547         0.58         0.616        0.9708
Nondried legumes                0.3        0.585         0.576         2.734
Potatoes                      1.126         2.25         1.616          4.01
Root vegetables               0.248         0.38          0.27           0.6
                                        290

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values are used for the high estimate of typical daily consumption, as well as for the estimate of the
MEI's daily consumption rates.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Calculating Size of the Exposed Population

       Table 2.5.F. describes the  calculations used to estimate the size of population exposed to
distributed and marketed sludge.  First,  the total tons of sludge to distribution and marketing from
each  plant engaged in this practice were obtained from the 104-Mill Study.  The "best"  typical
exposure analysis assumes that sludge is  applied at a rate of 10 DMT per hectare. Dividing tons by
the application rate yields the  number  of acres  covered by the distributed and marketed  sludge.
Next, the size of the average garden is used to determine the number of households using distributed
and marketed sludge.  According to the  National Garden Survey (1987) the average garden size for
combined rural and urban vegetable gardens is 0.016 hectares. Dividing acres covered by sludge by
the number of acres per household gives the number of households affected.  Finally, the number
of persons households is multiplied by the average number of persons per household to obtain the
total number of persons affected by distributed and marketed sludge.  For the "high risk" scenario,
the average rural  garden  size  (0.022 hectares) and an application rate  of 20  DMT are used to
determine exposed population.

2.5.3  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Direct Ingestion of Sludge

       Direct ingestion of soil can occur when sludge is applied to sites where people live. To model
the risks from  the direct  ingestion of sludge  contaminated with TCDD and TCDF, this analysis
adapts a model developed by Hawley (1985) which accounts for differences in exposure to indoor and
outdoor concentrations of soil contaminants. Children ingest far more soil on average than adults;
however, adults may also inadvertently ingest soil that adheres to food or cigarettes.

Description of Calculations

       The calculation of risks from direct ingest is straightforward. First, the  soil concentrations
outdoors and the dust concentration indoors are estimated. The outdoor contaminant concentration
is multiplied by the quantity of dirt consumed outdoors, while the indoor contaminant concentration
is multiplied by the quantity of indoor  dust ingested  daily. Risk  is estimated  based on  the daily
quantity of soil and dust ingested, the gastrointestinal absorption of TCDD and TCDF from soil, and
the slope factor of TCDD  and TCDF.
                                             291

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Description of Calculations for Estimating Exposure
            concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in outdoor soil are estimated  as  described in
Appendix A.  To obtain  an  estimate of indoor dust contaminant concentrations, the  following
calculation is performed:
where :
       Cjn    =      concentration of contaminant in indoor dust, mg/kg
       CQ     =      concentration of contaminant in outdoor  soil, mg/kg
       F      =      ratio of the contaminant concentration in indoor dust  to the contaminant
                     concentration in outdoor soil

       Once the indoor dust and outdoor soil contaminant concentrations are computed, the daily
dose of contaminant is calculated for persons in three age groups: young children (ages  1 -6), older
children (ages  7-11), and adults (ages 12 and older). The daily dose is calculated as:
       DOSEg =       [(C0  DCg  Fg>out) + (Cin  DCg  Fg/jn)] ABg / BWg
where:
AB .   *      systemic absorption rate from gastrointestinal tract (expressed as a fraction)
BWg   =      body weight of individual in age group g
C0     =      concentration of contaminant in soil, mg/kg
Cjn    =      concentration of contaminant in indoor dust, mg/kg
         jn
       DC    =      daily soil ingestion rate for individual in age group g, g/day
       DOSEg =      daily dose to individual in age group g, mg/kg/day
       F  .    =      fraction of ingested soil from indoor sources, adult
        9* in
       Fg out  =      fraction of ingested soil from outdoor sources, older child

First, for each age group, the concentration of TCDD or TCDF in outdoor soil is multiplied by total
quantity of soil ingested each day and by the fraction of ingested soil from outdoor' sources for that
age group. The  same calculations are performed  for indoor dust ingestion. The total daily quantity
of ingested soil-bound TCDD or TCDF is the sum of the indoor and outdoor quantities ingested. The
model then adjusts the total quantity of ingested soil- bound TCDD or TCDF by the fraction absorbed
into the system through the gastrointestinal tract, and divides by the body weight of an individual
in that age group to obtain an average daily dose in  mg/kg/day for that age group.
                                             292

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       The weighted average daily dose of contaminant over an individual's lifetime is calculated
as the sum of the daily doses for each age group weighted by the fraction of the individual's lifespan
spent as a member of that age'group, as described in the following calculation:
where:
       DOSEavg      =       E Fg DOSEg

       DOSE         =      average daily dose over lifetime, mg/kg/day
       DOSE         =      daily dose for individual in age group g, mg/kg/day
       F             =      fraction of an individual's  lifetime spent in age group g

Description of Cancer Risk Calculations

       Once the daily dose estimate is  obtained,  it is combined with  information about the slope
factor of TCDD and TCDF to obtain an estimate of lifetime risk from direct ingestion exposure to
these contaminants. The calculation of  individual risk is:

       1C            =      DOSEavg  q/

where:
       ^O^avg      ™      weighted  average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
       1C            -      individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSEavg of TCDD or TCDF
       q,*           -      incremental lifetime risk per mg/kg/day dose of TCDD or TCDF

Individual cancer risk for a typical exposed individual is converted to annual total population risk
(in cases per year) by multiplying the number of persons exposed by the individual risk and dividing
by the average person's lifespan, as described in the following equation:

       PC    =      1C POP / LS
where:
       LS     =      average lifespan  of an individual = 70 years
       PC    =      population risk, cancer cases per year
       POP   =      population exposed to DOSE
                                            293

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Data Sources and Model Inputs Used to Estimate Exposure through Direct Ingestion of Sludge

       The  values used for each  model input for "low risk," "best"  and "high risk" typical exposure
estimates are summarized in Table 2.5.K. The values used to derive the MEI "best" and "high risk"
exposures are found in Table 2.5.L. The best MEI exposure estimate is derived using by combining
estimates of behavioral input parameters with the best estimates of physical/chemical properties of
TCDD and TCDF. The "high risk" estimate of MEI exposure uses the same  behavioral inputs, but
combines them with the high estimates of physical and chemical parameters  of TCDD and TCDF.

       The  following  sections describe each input and documents the data sources used to derive the
values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses.  Where parameter input values
differ for the "best" and "high risk" MEI exposure estimates, these differences are discussed.  For
those behavioral input  parameters that do not vary  between the "best"  and "high risk"  MEI
calculations, a single value for the MEI analysis is discussed.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Concentrations

       The  methods for deriving the soil concentrations in home gardens where composted sludge
is applied are presented in Appendix A.  The resulting average soil concentrations over 70 years are
displayed in Table 2.5.A. Sludge concentrations were obtained from the 104-Mill Study for plants
distributing and marketing sludge.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Ingestion Rates

       To be consistent with other EPA program offices, this analysis uses  the soil ingestion rates
found in the memo "Interim Final Guidance for Soil Ingestion Rates" (EPA, 1989a). This interim final
guidance memorandum gives a suggested range of soil ingestion rates for children of 0.1 to 0.2 grams
per day, with a maximum of 0.8 grams per day. The guidance memorandum based the suggested soil
ingestion range  for children on studies by Binder et al.  (1986) and Clausing (1987); both  of  these
groups of researchers studied soil  ingestion in children with the use of tracer elements, such as
aluminum, silicon, and titanium. The guidance memorandum suggests the use of 0.2 g/day  as a best
estimate of  daily soil  ingestion for children.  The typical exposure analysis follows the guidance
memorandum for young children and uses the range of values suggested, but uses an estimate of 0.1
grams/dy as a best estimate for older" children.  The MEI analysis uses an ingestion rate of 0.8 grams
per day for children,  as suggested by the guidance memorandum.   	__„	
                                             294

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       The OSW guidance memorandum gives a range for adult soil ingestion of 0.001 to 0.1 grams
per day, based on work by Calabrese et al. (1987), as cited in the OHEA Draft Exposure Factors
Handbook (May 1988). In accordance with OSW policy, the typical exposure analysis uses 0.02 grams
per day as the best estimate of daily soil ingestion by adults, while using 0.001 and 0.1 to represent
the low and high estimates.  The most exposed adult  is assumed to ingest 0.1 grams per day.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Indoor Dust Contaminant Concentration as a Function of Outdoor
Soil Contaminant Concentration

       This analysis assumes that the concentration of TCDD and TCDF in indoor dust is related to
the concentration of TCDD and TCDF in outdoor soil. Values for this parameter are derived from
Hawley (1985), who assumed that indoor contaminant concentrations in dust were 80% of the
contaminant concentrations in outdoor soil.  The typical and MEI exposure  analyses use 80% for a
"best" estimate, and 85% for a "high risk" estimate.  The typical exposure analysis uses a value of 75%
for the "low risk" estimate.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Fraction of Soil Ingested from Outdoor and Indoor Sources

       The fraction of soil ingested indoors and outdoors is multiplied  by the total daily ingestion
rates used by EPA (1989a) to derive the quantities of soil ingested indoors and outdoors each day.
To obtain a value for this input parameter, this analysis relies on  information presented in EPA
(1988a).  EPA (1988a) report presents a summary of the work  of Hawley (1985), who estimated the
dust/soil quantities ingested indoors and outdoors from the dermal soil contact rate and from the area
of skin that comes in contact with food, cigarettes, or objects mouthed  by children.  Although the
Hawley (1985) estimates of the total grams per day ingested differ slightly from those used in this
analysis, the  summary of these values presented  in  EPA (1988a) is used to estimate the relative
fraction of total ingested soil from indoor and outdoor sources. For all age groups, a larger fraction
of the total daily quantity of soil ingested comes from outdoor sources, due to the larger dermal soil
contact rates outdoors that result in larger ingestion rates.  Young children have the largest proportion
of total soil/dust ingestion from indoor sources. As a person ages, the relative proportion of soil from
outdoor sources increases, due to the decline in the amount of dust ingested while  indoors.

       The typical  exposure analysis uses the fractions  derived for each age group from Hawley
(1985), as presented in EPA (1988a) for the "low risk"  and "best"  estimate calculations of direct
ingestion exposure.  The "high risk" typical exposure estimate assumes that the  fraction of soil
ingested outdoors for young  children is the same as the best estimate for older children.  Similarly,
the "high risk" estimate for older children uses the same value  as the "best" estimate for adults. For
                                             299

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adults, the high estimate assumes that all of the soil ingested each day is from outdoor sources.  In
the MEI analysis, the total quantity of soil ingested by the MEI is assumed to originate from outdoor
sources, where concentrations are higher.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Fraction of Ingested Soil from Contaminated Area

       The sludge-amended home garden is only one among may potential sources of ingested soil.
Soil may be  ingested at locations far removed from the contaminated site, such as a playground or
an outdoor workplace. The fraction of the total quantity of ingested soil originating from the portion
of the yard  or farm treated with TCDD-  and TCDF-contaminated sludge may be  quite small.
However, there is no information available regarding what this  fraction may be. In the absence of
data,  the typical analysis assumes that 10% of the total  soil ingestion daily is from sludge-amended
land; an arbitrary range of 1% to  100% is used to represent the low and high estimates for this model
parameter. In the MEI analysis, all of the soil ingested  by the MEI is assumed to originate from the
sludge-amended area. These assumptions are the same as those used in the analysis of risks from
direct soil ingestion from land treated with municipal sewage sludge (EPA, 1989b).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Absorption through GI Tract

       Absorption of TCDD and TCDF through the gastrointestinal tract has been studied using a
variety of media. Absorption will be influenced by how tightly TCDD and TCDF bind to the matrix
in which it  is ingested.  Poiger and Schlatter (1980), as cited in Schaum (1984) reported that the
gastrointestinal bioavailability from soil in their studies was 20% to 26%.  In a recent review of the
literature, FDA (1989) discussed an experiment  by Bonaccorsi et al. (1984), who found that G.I.
bioavailability of TCDD from freshly "spiked" soil was 56-74%. Umbreit et al.  (1988) found lower
bioavailability from an environmentally  contaminated site, demonstrating that aging of the soil affects
bioavailability. Furthermore, McConnell et al. (1984) found that environmentally contaminated soil
samples were 24-32% as bioavailable as TCDD in a corn oil matrix or a freshly "spiked" soil matrix.
As a result,  FDA (1989) recently concluded that a reasonable estimate for absorption from ingested
soil is in the range of 45-55%. This range is used in the typical exposure analysis for the "best" and
"high risk" estimates, while a value of 20% is adopted  for the "low  risk" estimate.  For the MEI, a
gastrointestinal absorption rate of 70% is assumed, which is in the high end of the range cited in the
FDA literature review.
                                              300

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Data Sources and Model Inputs For'Calculating Size of the Exposed Population

       Table 2.5.F. describes the calculations used to estimate the size of population  exposed to
distributed and marketed sludge.  First, the total tons of sludge to distribution and marketing from
each plant engaged in this practice  were obtained from the 104-Mill Study.  The "best" typical
exposure analysis assumes that sludge is applied at a rate of 10 DMT per hectare. Dividing tons by
the application rate yields the number of acres  covered by the  distributed and marketed sludge.
Next, the size of the average garden is used to determine the number of households using distributed
and marketed sludge.  According to the National Garden Survey (1987) the average garden size for
combined rural and urban vegetable gardens is 0.016 hectares. Dividing acres covered by sludge by
the number of acres per household gives the number of households affected.  Finally, the number
of persons households is multiplied  by the average number of persons per household to obtain the
total number of persons affected  by distributed  and marketed sludge.  For the "high risk" typical
exposure scenario, the average rural garden size (0.022 hectares) and an application rate of 20 DMT
are used to determine exposed population.

2.5.4  Estimates of Exposures and  Risks from Inhalation of Sludge-Contaminated Particulates

       TCDD and TCDF adhering to soil particles can become suspended in the air near a site treated
with sludge. Transport downwind will dilute the concentration of particles from a treated area; these
particles will also redeposit on surfaces.  Residents using composted pulp and  paper mill sludge on
their home gardens may  be exposed to TCDD or TCDF by inhaling these particles.  This section
describes  the methods used  to estimate the emissions  of particles  from a  treated site and the
subsequent human exposure to these emissions.  This analysis  only considers exposure to inhaled
particu'lates for residents onsite.

       To estimate the  suspended  particulate  concentration  at treated sites,  the  methodology
presented  in Estimating Exposures to 2.3.7.8-TCDD (EPA, 1988a) is used for  estimating emissions
due to wind erosion.  Although other models for emissions from intermittent, short-term sources,
such as spreading operations and vehicular traffic, were also presented, the model for emissions from
wind erosion was chosen since the analysis focusses on average exposures over the long-term.   EPA
(1988a) describes the assumptions underlying the model as  follows: "This method assumes that the
uncrusted contaminated surface is exposed to the  wind and consists of finely divided particles.  This
creates a condition defined ... as an "unlimited reservoir" and results in maximum wind-caused dust
emissions." (p.66). The model incorporates information on wind speed and percent vegetation cover
to estimate the flux of small particles (i.e., less that  10 um) from an area of land.  Soil amended  with
paper mill sludge may not have the characteristics assumed by the model; to the  extent that the
                                              301

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surface  of a sludge-amended site  consists  of crusted, coarser particles,  the  model is likely to
overestimate emissions.

       To obtain paniculate concentration,  the calculated emission rate is used as input to a box
model of atmospheric mixing. The box model ignores any atmospheric dispersion downwind, and
is only appropriate for estimating onsite concentrations. The model uses wind speed, size of the site
and the  mixing height to yield an onsite paniculate concentration (EPA, 1988a, Equation 4-7).

       As an alternative approach to estimating onsite paniculate concentration, the model described
by Hawley  (1985) is  also applied;  this model  uses measured values  of total  suspended particles
adjusted by  the fraction of particles assumed to be derived from local (contaminated) soils to derive
onsite concentrations  of contaminated particles.

       The calculation of risks from inhalation of particles requires several steps.  First, the emissions
of particles  from the treated area is estimated. Next, the indoor and outdoor concentrations of
particles onsite are calculated. The  concentrations are combined with  information about the length
of time  spent  indoors and outdoors, respiratory rate, and the slope factor of TCDD and TCDF to
yield the estimated cancer risks.

Description  of Calculations Used to Estimate the Concentration of TCDD and TCDF in Particulates

       The  first step  in this calculation is to estimate the emissions of particulates from the treated
area as follows:

       E      =       0.036 (l-V)(Um/Ut)3  F(x)
where:
       E
       V
       Urn
       Ut

       F(x)
emission rate, g/m  hr
fraction vegetative cover
windspeed, m/s
threshold wind speed (wind velocity at height of 7 meters above the ground
needed to initiate erosion)
function specific to the model, described in  EPA (1988a),  where F(x) is
estimated by f.^ป calculating x = 0.886 (Ut/Um)
                                              302

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This equation gives the flux of dust particles from the surface is a function of 1) the vegetative
covering of the surface and 2) the cube of the ratio of the windspeed to the threshold wind velocity
(the velocity required to initiate erosion). F(x) is a function that is specific to this model. The value
of x is calculated as  a function of the ratio of threshold wind speed to the wind speed.  Once the
value of x is calculated, F(x) can be determined by reading the value from the graph of the function
presented in EPA, OAQPS (1985, as cited in EPA, 1988a).

       To convert the dust flux to a contaminant emission rate, the following formula is used:

       Q     =       CSEA (1 hour/3,600 seconds)
where:
       Q     =      contaminant emission rate in mg/s
       C     =      contaminant concentration in the soil, mg/g
         S
       E     =      flux, g/m2  hr
       A     =      area of the treated site, m2
The next step is  to estimate the concentrations  of particulates on the land-treatment site.  Both
outdoor concentrations and indoor concentrations must be calculated. The outdoor concentration are
derived as follows:

       C0    =       Q/ (L MH V)
where:

       C0    =      contaminant concentration in suspended particles onsite outdoors, mg/m3
       Q     =      emissions in mg/sec
       L     =      length of one side of the treated area, m
       MH    =      mixing height (assumed to be 1.5 meters)
       V     =      wind  speed at mixing height, m/s, assumed to be 2.2 m/s

       An alternative method of calculating outdoor  contaminant paniculate concentrations is to
adjust the measured TSP concentration at the site by  the fraction believed to originate from local
(contaminated) soils (Hawley, 1985).  This method is described by the following equation:

       C0     =      TSPFLCS
                                             303

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where:
       CQ     =      concentration of suspended particles outdoors  originating from sludge-
                     amended land, mg/m3
       Cs     =      concentration of contaminant in soil, mg/kg
       FL    =      fraction of  total  suspended particles assumed  to  originate  from  local
                     (contaminated) sources
       TSP   ป      measured total suspended particle concentration,  mg/m3
       Regardless of the method used to estimate outdoor contaminant particle concentrations, the
indoor concentrations are derived using the following equation:

C              —      f  P P
         -     =      {,  K. F
where:

       Cjn    =       indoor contaminant concentration, ng/m3
       C0     =      outdoor particulate concentration, ng/m3
       R     =      ratio of indoor particulate concentration to outdoor particulate concentration
       F     -      ratio of the concentration in indoor dust to the concentration in outdoor soil
       First, the  indoor suspended particle  concentration is derived by applying  the ratio of
suspended particulate concentration indoors to the suspended particulate concentration outdoors.
Next, since only a portion of indoor dust is assumed to originate from outdoor sources  (the rest is
derived from smoking, cooking, etc.) the contaminant concentration in indoor dust is adjusted by
a fraction representing  the ratio  of indoor dust contaminant concentration to the  outdoor soil
contaminant concentration.

Description of Calculations Used to Estimate Human Exposure to Particulates

       Once the concentration of contaminants  in  particulates is  estimated, human exposure  to
contaminated particulates can be estimated.  In the  "high risk" typical exposure scenario, and for
the "high risk" MEI analysis, the particulate concentration was estimated based on total particulates.
When calculating  exposure from  this estimate of particulate concentration, the first  step is  to
determine the concentration of particles that are respirable. The respirable concentration is estimated
as:
                                              304

-------
       RC0   =      CQ  FR
                     Cin FR
where:
       C      =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in suspended particles outdoors, mg/m3
Cn    =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in suspended particles indoors, mg/m
                                                                                       3
         jn
       FR    =      fraction of suspended particles that are respirable
       RC0   =      respirable particulate concentration outdoors, mg/m3
       RC    =      respirable particulate concentration indoors, mg/m3
          Jn
In the "low risk" and  "best estimate" typical exposure scenarios, and for the "best" estimate MEI
analysis, the EPA (1988a) method is used to estimate emissions of contaminant adhering to respirable
particles (that is, all of the emissions are assumed to be respirable). Therefore, for these scenarios,
no adjustment is needed.

       The next step in the calculation  of human exposure to TCDD and  TCDF through the
inhalation of particulates is the estimation of the daily dose. The daily dose is calculated for three
age groups: young children (ages 1-6), older children (ages 7-11), and adults (ages 12 and older).

       DOSE0(g .     .      [(RC0 Dt ABt H^) + (RC0 Dgj  ABgj H0>g)] Vg / BWg
       DOSEi>g      -      [g)] Vg / BWg
where:
       ABt           =      systemic absorption rate through the lung
       AB .          =      systemic absorption rate through the gastrointestinal tract
       BWg          =      body weight of individual in age group g
                     fraction of respired particles retained by the lung
                     fraction of  respired
                     gastrointestinal tract)
       D  .           =      fraction of respired particles  swallowed (fraction of  particles  to
       DOSE0 g      =      dose to individual in age group g, outdoors, mg/kg/day
       DOSEj g      =      dose to individual in age group g, indoors, mg/kg/day
       H, .          =      hours spent indoors  for individual in age group g
         1 * 9
       HQ           '=      hours spent outdoors for individual in age group g
       Vg            =      weighted average ventilation rate foxlndlvidual in age group g, m3/day
                                              305

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       In this equation, the concentration of the contaminant adhering to particles is multiplied by
the volume of air inhaled each day and by the fraction of the day spent outdoors.  Similarly, the
quantity  of  particulates  inhaled  indoors  each day is  the  product  of the  indoor  respirable
concentration, the volume of air inhaled each day,  and the fraction of the day spent indoors. The
total quantity  of  particles  inhaled each  day is  then partitioned  between  the lung and the
gastrointestinal tract. A gastrointestinal absorption fraction is then applied to the portion swallowed,
while a respiratory absorption fraction is applied to the portion remaining in the lung.

       A weighted average dose  for an individual  over  the entire lifetime can be derived  by
weighting the daily dose received during each age interval by the fraction of the individual's lifespan
spent in that age group.  This calculation is described in the following equation:
       DOSEavg      =      E (DOSE0>g + DOSEJig) Fg
where:

       DOSEavg      =      weighted average daily dose over lifetime, mg/kg/day
       DOSE        =      dose to individual in age group g, outdoors, mg/kg/day
             0 1 9
       DOSE1       =      dose to individual in age group g, indoors, mg/kg/day
       F             =      fraction of lifespan spent in age group g
                                                                           ซ
Description of Cancer Risk Calculations

       Once the daily dose estimate is obtained,  it is combined with information about the slope
factor of TCDD and TCDF to obtain an estimate of lifetime risk from paniculate inhalation exposure
to these contaminants. The calculation of individual risk is:

       1C            =      DOSEavg  Q;

where:
       DOSE        =      weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
       1C            =      individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSEavg of TCDD or TCDF
       q^           =      incremental lifetime risk per mg/kg/day  dose of TCDD or TCDF

Individual  cancer risk for a typical exposed individual is converted to annual total population risk
(in cases per year) by multiplying the number of persons exposed by the typical individual risk and
dividing by the average person's lifespan, as described in the following equation:
                                              306

-------
       PC    ป      1C  POP / LS
where:
       LS    =      average lifespan of an individual = 70 years
       PC    =      population risk, cancer cases per year
       POP   =      population exposed to DOSE
                                               o Vy

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Exposure through the Inhalation of Particles

       The values used for each model input for "low risk," "best" and "high risk" typical exposure
estimates are summarized in Table 2.5.M. The values used to derive the MEI "best" and "high risk"
exposures are found in Table 2.5.N.  The best MEI exposure estimate is derived using by combining
estimates of behavioral input parameters with the best estimates of physical/chemical properties of
TCDD and TCDF. The "high risk" estimate of MEI exposure uses the same behavioral inputs, but
combines  them with the high estimates of physical and chemical parameters of TCDD and TCDF.

       The following sections describe each input and documents the data sources used to derive the
values for the parameters for  both the typical and MEI analyses.  Where parameter input values
differ for the "best" and "high risk" MEI exposure estimates, these  differences are discussed.  For
those behavioral  input parameters that do not vary  between  the  "best"  and "high risk"  MEI
calculations,  a single value for the MEI analysis is discussed.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for the Wind Erosion  Flux Calculation

       For the "low risk" and "best" typical exposure analyses, and for the MEI "best" estimate, the
analysis follows the calculations of EPA (1988a) to calculate wind erosion, and uses many of the input
parameters used in the sample calculations  in  that document.  These inputs are briefly described
below.

       Vegetative cover is assumed to be 50%  for the home gardens,  since  these sites are used for
growing plants; the gardens are assumed to be bare for  about  half of the year,  and covered with
crops for one-half of the year. For the "low risk" emissions estimate, 90% vegetative cover is assumed.

       Mean annual windspeed is 4 m/s. This is the average windspeed at a height of 10 meters for
60 major cities in the  United States (EPA 1988a).

       The threshold  wind speed can be derived if the roughness height and the threshold friction
velocity of the surface are known.  EPA (1985, as cited  in EPA 1988a) describes the ratio of threshold
                                            307

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wind speed to friction velocity as a function of roughness height. The threshold friction velocity for
unlimited reservoir surfaces is less than 75 cm/s (EPA, 1988a).  Based on this information, EPA
(1988a) adopted a value of 50 cm/s for this type of surface. The present analysis also uses this value
for threshold friction velocity on sludge-tfeated  land. For the roughness height of a treated home
garden, a value of 2 cm is used, which corresponds to a field with grass cover. The ratio of threshold
wind speed to threshold friction velocity for a roughness height is derived from tables provided in
EPA (1985), as cited in EPA (1988a). For a roughness height of 2 cm, the ratio is 15. To obtain the
threshold wind speed, this ratio is multiplied by 50 cm/s, the assumed value for the threshold friction
velocity.  The resulting value is 7.5 m/S;

       The value for the function F(x) can be obtained from a graph of the function found in EPA
(1985), as cited in EPA (1988a).  First, the  value of x must be calculated. For a site with a threshold
wind speed of 7.5 m/s, the estimate is 0.886 x [(7.5 m/s)/(4 m/s)], or 1.66.  From the graph provided
in EPA (1985), cited by EPA (1988a), the  value of F(x) for x = 1.66 is 0.65.

Data Sources and Inputs for TSP Concentrations

       As an alternative to the wind erosion dust flux calculation, the method used by Hawley (1985)
is also  used in this analysis for the "high risk" typical and "high risk" MEI  exposure estimates, since
the emissions estimate derived by this method is  higher than the result using the wind erosion dust
flux equation. This method bases the estimate of particulate concentrations on measured values of
total suspended particles  (TSP). The annual  geometric  mean values  for  suspended  particle
concentrations for SMSAs of between 500,000 and 1 million people were obtained from National Air
Quality Trends Report, 1982 (EPA, 1984).  The average value for these areas is 64 ug/m3. This value
is similar  to the value used by Hawley  of 70 ug/m3.  This value is then adjusted by the percent of
suspended particles derived from local soils, assumed to be  50 percent (Hawley, 1985).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Concentrations of TCDD and TCDF

       The estimated soil concentrations for home gardens using composted sludge from plants that
distribute and market sludge are displayed  in Table 2.5.A.  The  methods used  to derive these
concentrations is discussed in detail in Appendix A.
                                             314

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Deriving Indoor Airborne Particle Concentration as a Function
Outdoor Particulate Concentration

       Hawley (1985) compared several studies that investigated the relationship between indoor
particle concentrations and outdoor particle concentrations.  Whitby et al. (1957), as cited by Hawley
(1985),  found that, for the City of Niagara Falls, New York, the  indoor suspended particulate
concentration was 65  ug/m3 and the outdoor particulate matter concentration was 93 ug/m3.  This
yields an indoor to outdoor ratio of approximately 0.70.  Sterling and Kobayashi (1977), also cited
in Hawley (1985), found that this ratio ranged from 0.77 to 0.85. The value 0.75 is  used as the "best"
estimate of this ratio in the typical analysis, while 0.70 and 0.85 are used as the "low risk" and "high
risk" estimates, respectively.  The  MEI analysis uses a  value of 0.75 for the "best" estimate of this
parameter and 0.85 as the "high risk" estimate.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Deriving Indoor  Dust Contaminant Concentration as a Function
of Outdoor Soil Contaminant Concentration

       Roberts et al.(1977), as discussed by Hawley (1985), studied the relationship between lead
concentrations indoors and outdoors near a lead smelter, and found that the mean  concentration of
the lead in household dust was 75% the concentration of  lead in the outdoor  soil.  For his own
analysis, Hawley (1985) assumed that indoor contaminant concentrations in dust  were 80% of the
contaminant concentrations in outdoor soil. The typical exposure and MEI exposure analyses use a
value of 80% for the "best" estimate and a value of 100% for the "high risk" estimate.  The "low risk"
typical exposure uses  a value of 75% for this input parameter.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Percent of Particulates that are Respirable

       Deposition in  the lung depends on the size of the  particle. The "low risk" and "best" typical
exposure analysis and the MEI "best" estimate use a method of estimating emissions of particles less
than 10 um in diameter to derive estimates of the  concentration of suspended particles.  Schaum
(1984),  presenting data from ICRP (1968), states  that almost all particles less  than  10 um are
respirable.  Therefore, for these estimates, all of the particles were assumed  to be respirable. In the
"high risk" typical and "high risk" MEI scenarios, the concentration of suspended particles is derived
from measured values of total suspended particles, a measurement which includes particles of various
sizes.  Therefore, the fraction of total suspended particles that will be deposited in  the lung must be
estimated. Hawley (1985) and Schaum (1984) both assumed that 75% of inhaled particles are retained
in the body.  For particles 0.2 to 20 um, ICRP (1979), as cited in Hawley (1985), indicates that the
                                             315

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fraction deposited in the respiratory tract ranges from 60 to 90%.   For the "high risk" typical and
MEI scenarios, it is assumed that 90%'of TSP is respirable.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Fraction of Inhaled Particles Deposited in the Lung
and in the Gastrointestinal Tract

       Schaum (1984), citing ICRP (1968), discusses the distribution of inhaled particles within the
body.  Of the particles initially retained by the body, one-third remains in the lower sections of the
lung, and two-thirds remain in the upper respiratory tract, where they are swallowed. After twenty-
four hours, approximately one-half of the amount originally retained in the lower sections of the lung
is swallowed. For the typical exposure analysis "best" estimate and "high risk" scenarios, it is assumed
that one-third of particles  are retained in the lung for a sufficient length of  time  for systemic
absorption  of TCDD  and TCDF to occur through the lung.  For the "low risk" typical exposure
scenario, the analysis assumes that only one-sixth of the particles are retained in the lung for a
sufficient length of time for absorption of contaminants through the lung to take place. The rest is
swallowed and absorbed through the GI tract (which has a lower systemic absorption  rate).  In the
MEI analysis, it is assumed that all respirable  particles are retained  long enough in  the lung for
systemic absorption through the lung to occur (that is, all of the contaminants  adhering to respired
particles that are absorbed are absorbed through the lung).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Respiration Rate

       Respiration rate is used in the model to assess the total daily volume of particles inhaled.  For
adults, the  average respiration rate  was calculated  by EPA (1985) to be 23 m3  per day. This value
was calculated using data on the ventilation rates during different levels of activity, and the amount
of time spent per day engaging in these  levels of activity, to obtain a daily  total.  For children,
Hawley states that the ventilation rate of young  children engaged in light activity is 7.6 1/min, while
the ventilation rate during rest is 2.8 1/min; assuming children  spend roughly one-third of their day
engaged in light activity and two-thirds at rest, the total ventilation rate is 6.3 m3 per day.  For older
children, the ventilation rate is 11.6 1/min during light activity  and  4.3 1/min at rest (Hawley, 1985),
with a total ventilation rate of 8.4 m3 per day.  These values are used in both  the typical and MEI
analyses.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating  Absorption through Lung

       Little  data are available to estimate the systemic absorption  of TCDD  or TCDF through
inhalation.  Faced with a lack  of  information, U.S. EPA (1989c) assumed that TCDD is  almost
                                              316

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completely absorbed from respirable particles (i.e., those less than 10 um in diameter).  The typical
and MEI analyses follow this assumption for TCDD and TCDF, and assume 100% absorption through
the lung.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Absorption through GI Tract

       Absorption of TCDD and TCDF through the gastrointestinal tract has been studied using a
variety of media. Absorption will be influenced by how tightly TCDD and TCDF bind to the matrix
in which it is ingested. Poiger and Schlatter (1980), as cited in Schaum (1984) reported that the
bioavailability of TCDD from soil was 20-26%.  In a recent review of the literature, FDA (1989)
discussed an experiment by Bonaccorsi et al. (1984), who found that availability of TCDD from
freshly "spiked"  soil was 56-74%. Umbreit et al. (1988) found lower bioavailability from soil from
an environmentally contaminated site, demonstrating that aging of the soil affects bioavailability.
Furthermore, McConnell et al. (1984) found that environmentally contaminated soil samples were
24-32% as bioavailable as TCDD in a corn oil matrix or a freshly "spiked" soil matrix.  As a result,
FDA (1989) recently concluded that a reasonable estimate for absorption from ingested soil is in the
range of 45-55%. For the typical exposure analysis, this range is used for the best and high estimates,
while a value of 20% is adopted for the low estimate.  No  gastrointestinal absorption of inhaled
particles occurs for the MEI, since all absorption is assumed to occur through the lungs.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Determining the Fraction of the Day Spent Indoors and Outdoors

       In order to  estimate exposure duration in indoor and outdoor settings, the methodology
developed by Hawley (1985) to estimate the time spent outdoors and indoors by different age groups
is adapted. For adults, Hawley also presented values for estimating exposure to dust while cleaning
infrequently used spaces, such as attics, that have been  incorporated into both the typical and MEI
analyses.

       Young children have the most exposure to outdoor paniculate concentrations.  In the "low
risk" and "best" typical exposure assessments, these children are assumed to be outdoors 8 hours per
day, five days per week from May to October.  The remaining time is spent indoors on the site. As
a high estimate of typical exposure, it is assumed that young children are outdoors for an average of
six hours a day for the entire year,  which is the equivalent of twelve hours per day, seven days a
week for the six months out of the year. This assumption is also used for the young child in the MEI
analysis.
                                              317

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       Typical older children are assumed to spend an average of five hours per day from May to
September outdoors.  This value, used4n both the "low risk" and "best" estimates of typical exposure,
is the average  of time spent outdoors after school on  school days and time spent  outdoors on
weekends and on school  vacation days.  Older children  are assumed to be indoors on the site for
sixteen hours per day for the entire year.  The remainder of the time is spent at another indoor
location, such as school.  As a high estimate of typical exposure,  older children are assumed to be
outdoors an average of 5  hours per day for the entire year, which is the equivalent of  12 hours per
day for five months, and to be indoors on the site for the remainder of the time.  This assumption
is used for  the older  child in the MEI analysis as well.

       The distribution and marketing "best" typical exposure analysis assumes that adults engage in
outdoor activities for 8 hours per day, two days a week from May to September. Adults are assumed
to spend 16 hours per day indoors at a location near the site all year long.  The rest of the time is
spent outdoors (two days per week) or in other locations such as the workplace.  As a  low estimate
of typical outdoor exposure duration, it is assumed that adults only spend eight hours per week from
May to September engaged in outdoor activities, while spending only 12 hours per day indoors at an
indoor location near the  contaminated site.  For the "high risk" typical estimate, and  for the  MEI
analysis, it is assumed that distributed and  marketed sludges go to farms, where an  adult (i.e.,  a
farmer) works outdoors 5 days per week, 12 hours per day, for six  months, and spends the rest of the
time indoors at a location near the site.

       While indoors, adults may spent a limited amount of time in an extremely dusty area,  such
as an attic, where exposure to inhaled dust would be higher than in normal living spaces.  Hawley
(1985) estimated exposure to dust to be 20 mg during one hour in the attic, and assumed that adults
are  exposed at  this level  for twelve hours each year (either one day for 12  hours or one hour for
twelve days).  The current analysis incorporates these assumptions into both the typical and  MEI
analyses.

Data Sources and Model  Inputs for Calculating Size of the Exposed Population

       Table 2.5.F. describes the  calculations used to estimate the size of population exposed to
distributed and marketed sludge.  First, the total tons of sludge to distribution and marketing from
each  plant engaged in this practice were obtained from the  104-Mill Study.  The "best" typical
exposure analysis assumes that sludge is applied at a rate of 10 DMT per hectare. Dividing tons by
the application rate  yields the number of acres covered by the  distributed and marketed sludge.
Next, the size of the average garden is used to determine the number of households using distributed
and marketed sludge. According  to the National Garden Survey (1987) the average garden size for
                                            318

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combined rural and urban vegetable gardens is 0.016 hectares. Dividing acres covered by sludge by
the number of acres per household gives the number of households affected.  Finally, the number
of persons households is multiplied by the average number of persons per household to obtain the
total number of persons affected by distributed and marketed sludge.  For the "high risk" typical
exposure scenario, the average rural garden size (0.022 hectares) and an application rate of 20 DMT
are used to determine exposed population.

2.5.5  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of Vapors

       Residents using distributed and marketed sludge  may  incur risk from the inhalation of
volatilized TCDD and TCDF. The methodology for estimating the emissions of TCDD and TCDF
vapor at residential sites generally follows methods for estimating  volatilization described in EPA
(1988a). Because actual locations of the homes using composted sludge are not known, the ISCLT
model could not be used to estimate downwind concentrations.  As a result, this analysis estimates
only exposures to onsite residents, using a box model to obtain  the onsite concentrations from the
emissions estimates.

       The calculation of risks from the inhalation of vaporized TCDD and TCDF requires first the
estimation of  emissions, then the calculation of indoor and outdoor onsite concentrations.   The
concentrations are combined with  data on time spent indoors and outdoors,  respiration rate and
slope factor of TCDD and TCDF to obtain the estimated cancer risk from this pathway of exposure.

Methods for Estimating Vapor Emissions

       This analysis uses a set of equations from U.S. EPA (1986),  and Hwang and Falco (1986) as
described in U.S. EPA (1988a), to predict emissions from a home garden.  It assumes that emissions
from home gardens (in g/m2/s) are described by:
                          [* a T]1/2
where:
                        D:E4/3
                         i
       a
                         ps(l-E)/Kas
       Kas    ซ      41 Hc/KD
and:
                                           319

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       Di     =      the molecular diffusivity of contaminant vapor in air (cm/second)
       Cs     =      the contaminant concentration in the soil (g/g),
       E      =      effective porosity of soil, assumed to be 0.25 (unitless)
       HC     =      Henry's law constant (atm m3/mol)
       ps     =      true density of soil, assumed to be 2.65 g/cm3
       KD     =      the soil/water partition coefficient (cm3/g) = (organic carbon/water partition
                     coefficient)(fraction of organic carbon in soil)
       K     =      the air/soil partition coefficient (mg/cm3 in air per mg/g in soil)
         as
                                                             2,
       Na     =      rate of emissions from the soil surface (g/nr/second)
       T      =      duration of exposure (seconds), assumed to be 2.2 x 109
                     seconds (70 years)

This equation uses information on the partitioning of TCDD and TCDF between soil and air and
between water and soil to estimate emissions of TCDD and TCDF vapor per m2 area. The emissions
estimate is then multiplied by the area of the home garden, in m2, to obtain  the total emissions of
vapor from the residential site:

       Q      =      1000 Na A

where:
       Q      =      emissions rate for contaminant vapor, mg/s
       A      =      area of home garden, m2
       1000   =      conversion from grams to milligrams

The emission rate  is then coupled with a box model to obtain the onsite concentrations of vapor.
Outdoor vapor concentrations are estimated as:
         o
where:
       Cn     =      Q/(L MH V)
       C0(Jt   =      concentration of vapor outdoors, mg/m3
       Q     =      emissions, mg/sec
       L     =      length of one side of the garden, m
       MH   =      mixing height (assumed to be 1.5 meters)
       V     =      wind speed at mixing height, m/s, assumed to be 2.2 m/s
                                            320

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       The  indoor vapor concentration is derived by applying the ratio of vapor concentration
indoors to the vapor concentration outdoors, as described in the following equation:
       Cin    =      CoR

where:

       C1n    =      indoor vapor concentration, ng/m3
       C  ...   =      outdoor vapor concentration, ng/m3
        OUl
       R      =      ratio of indoor vapor concentration to outdoor vapor concentration

It is assumed that the relationship between vapor concentrations indoors and outdoors is similar to
the ratio between indoor and outdoor particulate concentrations (that is, indoor concentrations are
approximately 75% of outdoor concentrations with a range from 70-85%).

       Once the concentration of contaminant in the air is estimated, the calculation of exposure
and risks from the inhalation of vapor then proceeds in the same manner as the exposure and risk
from  the  inhalation  of particles,  described  in section 2.5.4.   Table 2.5.M. summarizes key
assumptions and input parameters for estimating typical exposure through the vapor and particulate
inhalation pathways, while Table 2.5.N. summarizes the MEI analysis inputs. In some cases, the data
inputs used  for the estimation of exposure and risk are different than those used in section 2.5.4.
The data inputs unique to the calculation of  risk from the inhalation of vapor are described in
following sections.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Volatile Emissions

       The emissions model requires the soil/water partition coefficient as an input. This partition
coefficient is, in turn, based on the fraction of organic carbon in the soil.  Therefore, the TCDD and
TCDF vapor emissions from sludge applied to  home gardens will depend on the organic content of
the sludge or the sludge/soil mixture. The higher the fc value, the lower the volatile emissions, since
more  of the contaminant will partition to  soil  rather than air.   In this analysis, the "best" estimate
and "low risk" typical scenarios assumes that  home gardeners soil-incorporate sludge.  For these
scenarios,  it is  assumed that the  fraction  of organic carbon  in  the sludge-soil  mixture is
approximately equal to the fraction of organic carbon in the soil alone. A reasonable "best" estimate
for fc for soils is 1%; the "low risk" estimate for this value is 4%, since a higher value of fc will yield
a lower vapor emissions estimate, and hence a  lower exposure estimate.  For the "high risk"  typical
and MEI analyses, where top-dressing is practiced,  a low value of fc for sludge  is used.  NCASI
                                             321

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(1984) reports that the organic carbon content of sludge ranges from 14% to 40%. This analysis uses
the low end of this range, 14%, to obtain the "high risk" typical and MEI vapor inhalation exposure
estimates, since the lower value of fc will yield higher vapor emissions, and thus higher exposures.

Data Sources  and Model Inputs for Estimating Exposure to TCDD and TCDF Vapor

       The data inputs and model sources for the vapor exposure estimate are the same as  those
described in section 2.5.4., with two exceptions. First, 100 percent of vapor emissions are assumed
to be  respired.  Second, all of the vapor is absorbed through the lung; none is absorbed through the
GI tract.

2.5.6   Summary of Results

       The best estimates of typical and MEI exposure and health risks from the distribution and
marketing of paper mill sludge containing TCDD and TCDF are summarized in Tables 2.5.O. and
2.5.P. The "low risk" and "high risk" typical exposure and risk estimates,  as well as the  "high risk"
MEI exposure and risk estimates, are found in Chapter 4, Uncertainty Analysis. Tables 2.5.O and
2.5.P. show that the pathways of exposure posing the greatest health risk are the direct ingestion and
vapor inhalation  pathway.  The best estimate for typical daily exposure through both the direct
ingestion and vapor inhalation pathway is approximately 2 x 10"13 mg/kg/day. The best estimate of
typical exposure for the direct ingestion pathway results in a risk of 6 x 10"8, or approximately 3 x
10"3 cancer cases per year, based on an estimated exposed population of 3,510,000 persons.  The best
estimate of typical exposure for the  vapor inhalation pathway  results in a  risk  of  4  x 10"8, or
approximately 2 x 10"3 cancer cases per year.

       Dietary exposures pose  the lowest risks.   The  typical daily exposure estimated for this
pathway is 6 x 10"17 mg/kg/day. This exposure leads to an individual average risk of 2 x 10~11, and
an estimated 8  x  10"7 cases  per year.  Dietary risks are low because plants take up relatively little
TCDD and TCDF from the  soil.

       In  general, risks  for the "most exposed individual"  (MEI) are  two to  three orders of
magnitude higher than the risks for a typical individual. Estimate risks for the MEI are lowest for
the particle inhalation and  dietary pathways, and are highest for the pathways involving direct
human contact  with contaminated soil (i.e., the dermal and direct ingestion pathways). The dermal
contact  pathway results in an incremental lifetime cancer risk for the MEI of 8 x 10"5, based on an
estimated daily exposure of 3 x  10"10 mg/kg/day.  The direct ingestion pathway results in an
                                           322

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incremental lifetime cancer risk for the MEI of 2 x 10~4, based on an estimated daily exposure of
8 x 10~10 mg/kg/day.

       In all pathways examined in the distribution and marketing scenario, TCDF contributes more
to risk than TCDD.  This result is due to  the fact that TCDF concentrations are, on average, seven
times higher than TCDD concentrations  in sludges from mills assumed to distribute and market
sludge.  For the vapor inhalation pathway, TCDF contributes almost all of the risk, because it  is
more easily volatilized than TCDD.
                                             325

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                            REFERENCES FOR SECTION 2.5

Consumer Product Safety Commission (1989). "Common Assumptions for the Assessment of
       Human Dermal Exposure to Polychlorinated Di-benzo-p-dioxins and Dibenzofurans,"
       memorandum dated July 6 from M. Babich.

Food and Drug Administration (1989). "Bioavailability of Ingested 2,3,7,8-TCDD and Related
       Substances,"  draft memo dated June 22 from Ivan Boyer.

Hawley, J.K. (1985). Assessment of health risk from exposure to contaminated soil.  Risk Analysis
       5(4):289-302.

Keenan, R.E., Sauer, M., Lawrence, F., Rand, E., and D. Crawford (1989). "Examination of
       potential risks from exposure to dioxin in sludge used to reclaim abandoned strip mines."
       In: The Risk Assessment of Environmental and Human Health Hazards: A Textbook of
       Case Studies. D.J. Paustenbach, ed. J. Wiley and Sons, New York, pp. 935-998.

Kimbrough, R., Falk, H. and P. Stehr (1984). Health implications of 2,3,7,8-TCDD
       contamination of residential soil. J. Tox.  Envir. Health 14:47-93.

National Council of the Paper Industry for Air and Stream Improvement (1984).  The Land
       Application and Related Utilization of Pulp and Paper Mill Sludges. Technical Bulletin
       Number 439, August.

National Council of the Paper Industry for Air and Stream Improvement, Inc (1987). Assessment
       of Human health Risks Related to Exposure to Dioxin from Land Application of
       Wastewater Sludge in Maine.  June.

National Gardening Survey Association,  Inc.  (1987). National Gardening Survey. 1986-1987.

National Research Council Canada (1981). Polvchlorinated Dibenzo-p-Dioxins: Criteria for Their
       Effects on the Environment. NRCC Document Number 18574.

Sacchi, G.A., P. Vigano, G.  Fortunati, and S.M.  Cocucci. (1986).  "Accumulation of 2,3,7,8-
       Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin from soil and nutrient solution by bean and maize plants".
       Experientia 42:586-588.

Schaum, J. (1984). Risk analysis of TCDD contaminated soils. U.S. EPA, Office of Health and
       Environmental Assessment, EPA 600//84-4/031, November.

U.S. Department of Agriculture (1979). "Use of Sewage Sludge Compost for Soil Improvement and
       Plant Growth," ARM-NE-6, August.

U.S. EPA, Office of Air Quality, Planning and Standards (1984). National Air Quality and
       Emissions Trends Report. 1982. EPA-450/4-84-002, March.

U.S. EPA (1985). Development of Statistical  Distributions or Ranges of Standard Factors Used in
       Exposure Assessments.  EPA/600/8-85/010, August. Prepared by GCA Corp., Chapel
       Hill, N.C.

U.S. EPA (1987a).  "Comparison of Food Consumption Data". Tolerance Assessment Program,
       Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances. Washington, D.C.
                                          326

-------
U.S. EPA (1987b). Office of Health and Environmental Assessment, Evaluation and Criteria
       Assessment Office. Development of Risk Assessment Methodology for the Land
       Application and Distribution and Marketing of Municipal Sludge August, final draft
       version.

U.S. EPA (1988a). Office of Health and Environmental Assessment, Exposure Assessment Group.
       Estimating Exposure to 2.3.7.8-TCDD. Draft Report March.

U.S. EPA (1988b). Office of Water Regulations and Standards, Technical Support Document for
       the Land Application and Distribution and Marketing of Sewage Sludge. Draft Report,
       August.

U.S. EPA (1989a). "Interim Final Guidance for Soil Ingestion Rates." Office of Solid Waste
       Emergency Response Directive Number 9850.4, January 27 from J. Winston Porter.

U.S. EPA, Office of Water Regulations and Standards (1989b). Human Health Risk Assessment
       for Municipal Sludge Disposal: Benefits of Alternative Regulatory Options. February.

U.S. EPA (1989c). Health and Environmental Review Division memorandum to Greg  Schweer,
       Office of Toxic Substances, U.S. EPA,  on the dioxins in paper products: bioavailability by
       inhalation, dated June 16 from F.J. DiCarlo.

U.S. EPA (1989d). Memorandum to Dioxin-in-Paper Workgroup, on the bioavailability of dioxins
       in paper products, dated June  23 from C. Cinalli and Conrad Flessner.

U.S. EPA (1989e). 104-Mill Data Base. Office of Water Regulations and Standards, July 17
       version.

U.S. EPA (1989f). Memorandum to Dioxin-in-Paper Workgroup, dated July 21 from C. Cinalli.

Wipf, H.K., E. Homberger, N. Neuner, U.B. Ranalder, W. Vetter, and J.P. Vuilleumier (1982).
       "TCDD levels in soil and plant samples from the Seveso area." In: Huntiziger, O., R.W.
       Frei, E. Merian, and F. Pocchiari,  editors. Chlorinated Dioxins and Related Compounds:
       Impact on the Environment. Pergamon Press, New York.
                                           327

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3.0    Estimates of Exposure and' Risks  to Wildlife from Land Application of Pulp and Paper
       Sludge

       The land application of contaminated sludges to agricultural sites, mine reclamation sites,
and silvicultural sites can lead to wildlife exposures to TCDD and TCDF. The exposure may have
adverse toxic, teratogenic, or reproductive effects on an individual organism exposed to TCDD or
TCDF.  The effects on individual organisms may also lead to effects on the overall structure and
health of the  ecosystem. Wildlife species living on or near the land application site can be exposed
to TCDD or TCDF through direct contact with contaminated soil, direct ingestion of soils, ingestion
of contaminated plants, ingestion of prey items  that have bioconcentrated TCDD or TCDF, or
inhalation of TCDD or TCDF vapor or contaminated particulates. Furthermore, wildlife species may
also be indirectly affected by land application of sludge, through the runoff of contaminated soil into
surface water bodies.  Exposure could result from gill contact with suspended sediments, predation
on sediment-dwelling organisms, or feeding on sediments directly.

        This  analysis is limited to the consideration of terrestrial species and predators of terrestrial
species. Risks to aquatic organisms and their predators are not assessed but may be important1.  In
particular, risks to sediment-dwelling organisms could be of concern because of the tendency TCDD
and TCDF to adsorb to particles.  Furthermore, this analysis examines only the dietary and direct
ingestion pathways of exposure. These pathways were chosen for assessment because of the potential
for significant wildlife exposure  through  these pathways  and because of the availability of data
needed to perform the exposure assessment.

       Because the methods for predicting the  effects of chemicals on ecosystems are not yet well-
developed, this analysis estimates only possible effects of TCDD and TCDF on individual organisms
and their ability to produce viable offspring. The analysis does not attempt to predict the effects of
the pollutants on whole populations of wild species of birds and mammals, or on ecosystems.

       Since  the completion of this analysis, the Environmental Effects Branch (EEB) of the Office
of Toxic Substances updated this assessment with the most recent information available on TCDD and
TCDF toxicity and exposure to fish and wildlife.  The  EEB also performed an evaluation of the
terrestrial exposure assessment presented in this report. The EEB update and evaluation are found
in Appendix  F.
    1 Exposure from ingestion of fish contaminated by runoff from the treated area is analyzed for
one mammalian species (the river otter).  Risks to this mammal were analyzed because it is a
threatened species in one state in which sludge is land-applied (Ohio).

                                            329

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3.1    Development of Toxicity Measures to which Wildlife Exposures are Compared

       A host of adverse effects to individual animals from TCDD has been well-documented in
laboratory studies.  Using  the results of these  studies to estimate effects on wild populations  is
fraught with difficulties.   The route and medium of administration and the duration of exposure
to TCDD for laboratory animals usually will differ from that of wild animals. Using  these studies
to assess effects on wild species  assumes that the wild species are as sensitive or more sensitive to
TCDD than the laboratory species.  Furthermore, in an assessment of the  effects of chemicals on
wildlife, the impacts on entire populations or ecosystems are of interest.  The  methodologies for
predicting the effects of chemicals on terrestrial wildlife populations and ecosystems, however, are
still in development.  In the absence of sophisticated predictive methods, measures of effects of
chemicals on reproduction are useful indicators of possible effects on the populations of the species
in the wild.

       This  analysis estimates exposures  to  individual  birds  and  mammals  and  estimates
concentrations  in bird eggs.  It is  beyond the  scope  of this project to develop a dose-response
relationship for the range of possible adverse effects that may result from wildlife  exposure to TCDD
and TCDF.  Instead, estimated exposures are compared to benchmark doses that have been identified
as causing adverse effects in laboratory species.   Exposure levels approaching or exceeding the
selected benchmark suggest that the exposed animal is at risk for experiencing adverse effects. Where
possible, doses observed to cause adverse reproductive effects were selected as benchmarks; the
exposure of a number of individual members of a species to a dose exceeding such a  reproductive
effect benchmark may lead to adverse overall population effects.

       For  birds, the estimated daily dose to  adult birds is  compared to the dose that had no
observable adverse effects in laboratory  experiments (the NOAEL). The concentration in bird eggs
is compared to the lowest concentration observed in a laboratory that caused observed adverse effects
(the  LOAEL).  For mammals, the dose is compared to the lowest observable  dose  to  cause
reproductive effects in laboratory  animals.   A number of studies on the  toxicity  of TCDD to
laboratory animals are summarized in Table 3.1.A.  The studies upon which the LOAELs or NOAELs
were based are described below.  The discussion that follows also describes the adjustments made to
these doses in order to compare  them to estimated wildlife exposures.

Development of the NOAEL for Birds

       Schwetz et al. (1973, as  cited in Keenan,  1986) administered 100  ng/kg body weight/day
TCDD  in a corn oil/acetone vehicle  to 3 day  old  white leghorn chickens.  The researchers
                                            330

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administered this dose for 21 days and  found that this dose produced no  adverse effects.  It is
assumed that TCDD is 100% absorbed from the corn oil/acetone vehicle (FDA, 1989).  However, it
is not expected the absorption of TCDD from food would be the same as the absorption from a corn
oil vehicle.  Accordingly, the estimated dose to wildlife species from the ingestion of prey items is
adjusted by the percent of TCDD assumed to be absorbed from the diet. Values for this percentage
are found in a recent review of the literature performed by FDA (FDA, 1989).  In addition, the
laboratory dose must be converted to an equivalent dose over the length of time that wild species of
birds are exposed to TCDD from the sludge applied to the land-treated area. All of the migratory
birds in this analysis are assumed to reside in the land-treated area for 6 months (180 days); for these
birds, the NOEL is adjusted by a factor of 180/21, or about 9 (Keenan, 1986).  In this case the
adjusted NOAEL is 100/9 ng/kg/day, or  11  ng/kg/day. The loggerhead shrike is assumed to remain
onsite for the entire year. For this species,  the NOAEL is adjusted by a factor of 365/21, or about
17. In this case, the adjusted NOAEL is 100/17 ng/kg/day, or 6 ng/kg/day.  The toxic equivalency
factor for TCDF is 1/10 of TCDD (U.S. EPA, 1989a).    Therefore, the NOAEL value used for
comparison  to doses of TCDF estimated  from this analysis are 10 times the NOAEL for TCDD.

Development of the LOAEL for Bird Eggs

       Bird eggs can contain TCDD transferred from the mother's body burden of TCDD.  Eggs
are an important endpoint to consider because  of their sensitivity to TCDD.   Sullivan et al. (1987)
concluded that the LOAEL for chicken  embryos is  65 pg/g in the egg (65 ppt), based on a study
that found a 2-fold increase in cardiovascular malformations in chicken embryos at an estimated
egg concentration of 65 pg/g.  Although effects were found  at lower concentrations of TCDD,
Sullivan et al. (1987)  concluded that the evidence for effects at these lower levels was inconclusive.
The 65 ppt value is used in this analysis for comparison with predicted egg concentrations for wild
species.  The toxic equivalency factor for TCDF is 1/10 of TCDD (U.S. EPA, 1989a).   Therefore,
the LOAEL value used for comparison to doses of TCDF estimated from this analysis are 10 times
the LOAEL for TCDD, or 650 ppt.

Development of the LOAEL for Mammals

       This analysis  compares exposures for small mammals (i.e., mammals less than  1 kg) to the
lowest observed adverse reproductive effect level in laboratory rats.  Murray et al. (1979), as cited
by Kociba and Schwetz (1982) administered rats 100, 10,  and  1 ng/kg/day through the diet, and
studied the effects on subsequent generations.  This analysis compares exposure estimates to the 10
ng/kg/day level, where Murray et al. (1979) found decreased fertility in the f1 and f2 generations.
For larger mammals,  the expected dose for wild species is compared to the lowest dose observed to
                                            335

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produce adverse reproductive effects in rhesus monkeys. Kociba and Schwetz (1982), citing Schnantz
et al. (1979), report that rhesus monkeys given 1.7 ng/kg body weight TCDD in the diet had four of
seven pregnancies terminate in abortion.  This value is used in the current analysis for comparisons
with doses received in larger wild mammals.  In both of these laboratory studies, doses were
administered in the diet.  It is assumed  that absorption from a laboratory diet is similar to the
absorption from a wild diet; the  analysis compares these doses directly to the daily  dose  to wild
species from the ingestion of prey items.  The toxic equivalency factor for TCDF is 1/10 of TCDF
(U.S. EPA, 1989a).  Therefore, the LOAEL values used for comparison to doses of TCDF ingested
by large and small mammals are 10 times the LOAEL values for TCDD.
3.2    Methods for Estimating Exposures to Wildlife

       To assess the potential for wildlife exposure to TCDD- and TCDF- contaminated sludge,
this analysis adopts elements of models used by Sullivan et al. (1987) to estimate the potential TCDD
and TCDF exposure to wild birds, and methods employed by Keenan et al. (1989) to estimate TCDD
uptake by wild turkeys and deer.  In addition, this analysis also incorporates work by Thiel et al.
(1988) and the OME (1985) concerning the estimation of the steady state and nonsteady-state body
burden of TCDD and TCDF.

Description of Calculations for Estimating Daily Dose

       The calculations for estimating wildlife exposures proceed as follows. First, the dose to an
individual animal is calculated based on the contaminant concentrations in soil, the TCDD and TCDF
uptake rates by prey items, and the amount of each prey item ingested daily. The estimated dose is
then compared to the LOAEL or NOAEL.  Next, the steady state body burden for the animal is
calculated.  For migratory species, a body burden is calculated based on the length of time spent in
the treated area. For birds, egg concentrations are then estimated based on the body burden of the
female bird.

The dose of TCDD or TCDF to an animalj may be calculated as follows:
       DOSE  =      Pa TC [E_(CS BCFj FC^) + Cs FSj] ABg/BWj.

where:
       AB    =      gastrointestinal absorption rate of TCDD or TCDF, percent
       BW-   =      body weight of animal j, kilograms
       C      =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in soil, ng/kg
        9
                                           336

-------
              =      bioconcentration factor of food source i
       FC- -   =      fraction of animal j's diet that consists of food source i
       FSj    =      fraction of animal j's diet that consists of soil
       Pa     =      percent of food originating from the land treated area
       TC    =      total daily quantity of food consumed by the animal, kg

       In this  calculation,  the  soil concentration of TCDD or TCDF (Cs) is combined with
bioconcentration factors (BCFs) of food items to yield the concentration of TCDD or TCDF in these
organisms. Birds and small mammals ingest TCDD or TCDF when they prey on these items. Animals
may also directly ingest some sludge if they dig for prey or burrow directly on the application site.
To derive the total amount of TCDD or TCDF ingested daily by an individual of the species, the
percent of the diet represented by each contaminated food source is multiplied by the concentration
of TCDD or TCDF in that food  source and by the total daily quantity of food consumed from the
contaminated site.  If necessary for consistency in comparison with  LOAEL  and NOAEL values
derived in the literature, this estimated daily intake is adjusted by the bioavailability of TCDD and
TCDF from food items (see section  3.1  for discussion of when such adjustments are necessary).

       The estimated daily dose is then compared to the selected benchmark LOAEL or NOAEL,
using  the following equation:

       DOSE%LQAEL    =      (DOSE/LOAEL) x 100

or     DOSE^^L    =      (DOSE/NOAEL) x 100

where:

       DOSE%LOAEL    =      dose to wild animal expressed  as a percent of the LOAEL
       DOSEj^g^L    =      dose to wild animal expressed  as a percent of the NOAEL
       DOSE         =      dose to the animal, ng/kg/day
       NOAEL       =      dose at which no adverse effects were observed in laboratory species,
                           ng/kg/day
       LOAEL       =      lowest dose  at which adverse effects were observed in laboratory
                           species, ng/kg/day

       The daily dose of TCDD or TCDF is compared to  literature values for doses that cause
reproductive effects, as discussed in section 3.1. The dose predicted for wild species is expressed
                                          337

-------
as a fraction of the lowest dose observed to cause adverse effects (LOAEL), or as a fraction of the
dose observed to cause no adverse effects (NOAEL).

Description of Calculations for Estimating Egg Concentrations

       In order to determine the concentration of TCDD or TCDF in eggs laid by birds exposed to
these contaminants,  the  body burden resulting from the ingestion of the  daily dose must  be
calculated. If the bird ingests TCDD- and TCDF-contaminated food for a sufficient length of time
to achieve steady-state, then the body burden is estimated as follows (OME, 1985):

       Bss           =      1.443 (DOSE) (T1/2)/t

where:

       Bgs           =      steady-state body burden, ng
       DOSE        =      dose to animal, ng/day
       T1/2          =      half-life of TCDD or TCDF, days
       t             =      time between doses, days (in this case, 1 day)

       The steady state body burden is calculated as the dose  multiplied by the half-life (in days),
divided by the length of time between doses (in days).  In this analysis, the dose is ingested daily, so
t is equal to one day.

       The body burden of migratory birds, who arrive at the land application site only a few weeks
before egg-laying, may not  reach steady-state. For these birds, the body burden can be calculated
using an equation found  in Thiel et al. (1988):

       Bns           =      [DOSE/(0.693/T1/2)][l-(l/2)n]

where:

       B            =      nonsteady state body burden, ng
         ns
       DOSE        =      dose to animal, ng/day
       T1/2          =      half-life of TCDD or TCDF
       n             =      (time spent on treated site)/T1/2
                                             338

-------
       In this equation, the dose is first divided by (ln(2)/half-life); the result is then multiplied
by a function of ratio of the time spent on the site to the half-life (denoted as n).  The larger the
ratio n, the closer the body burden is to the steady state body burden.

       Finally, the concentration of TCDD or TCDF in bird eggs is derived using the following
equation:
        'egg
or,     C
         egg
                    Bns TC / Wegg
                    Bss TC / Wegg
where:
       B
       B.
ss
         egg
       TC
       W
         egg
steady state body burden, ng
nonsteady state body burden, ng
concentration in egg, ng/kg (ppt)
transfer coefficient from mother to egg, expressed as a fraction of
body burden
weight of the egg,  kilograms
       To predict the concentration of TCDD or TCDF in bird eggs, a transfer rate from the female
to eggs is used to estimate the total quantity of TCDD or TCDF in the egg, in ng.  The total quantity
in the egg is then divided by the weight of the egg to obtain a egg TCDD or TCDF concentration in
ng/kg.

       The estimated egg concentrations can then be compared to lowest concentrations observed
to cause adverse effects in laboratory studies:
        'egg%LOAEL
                    (Cegg/LOAELegg) x 100
where:
        'egg%LOAEL
        egg
       LOAEL
              egg
                   concentration in egg expressed as a percent of the LOAEL
                   concentration in egg, ng/kg (ppt)
                   lowest concentration at which adverse effects were observed in eggs
                   in laboratory, ng/kg (ppt)
                                            339

-------
       The TCDD or TCDF concentration in the egg is compared to a selected literature value for
the lowest concentration observed to' produce adverse effects in  embryos in laboratory  studies,
discussed in section 3.1. The concentration predicted for wild bird species is expressed as a percent
of the LOAEL for eggs.

Data Sources Used To Estimate Exposures to Wildlife

       The data sources and model inputs for estimating wildlife exposures are summarized in Table
3.2.A.  The following sections describe each input parameter and document the data sources used to
obtain values for these input parameters.

Data Sources and Model Inputs Used in the Selection of Species Examined

       To select the species of interest, this analysis relied on the  expertise of biologists with the
Natural Heritage Programs in the seven states of interest (Georgia,  Maine, Maryland, Mississippi,
Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin). In each state, the Natural Heritage experts provided information
on common avian and mammalian species as well as endangered species believed to inhabit regions
of the state where land application is practiced.  Data on the occurrence of mammals in each state
were also obtained from Caras (1967). From the species identified  in the seven states, nine avian
species and seven mammalian species  were initially selected for study.  They are  the  following:
loggerhead  shrike (Lanius ludovicianus). American woodcock (Scoplax rusticola).  pine  warbler
(Dendroica  pinus). eastern meadowlark (Sturnella maena). great crested  flycatcher (Mviarchus
crinitus).  tree swallow (Iridoprocne bicolor).  American robin (Turdus migratorius). wood thrush
(Hvlocichla mustelina). and eastern bluebird (Siala sialis sialis). The mammalian species chosen were:
nine-banded armadillo (Dasvpus novemcinctus). least shrew (Cryptotis parva). eastern mole (Scalopus
aouaticus). striped skunk (Mephitis mephitis). Virginia opossum (Didelphis  virginiana).  river otter
(Lutra canadensis). and the little brown bat (Mvotis lucifugus).  The possum, river otter, little brown
bat and striped skunk occur in all of the seven states, and the least shrew and eastern mole occur in
six of the seven states (Caras, 1967)2.  Only species judged to be at risk for exposure to TCDD and
TCDF were selected. In general, species were selected based on their dietary  habits. Those species
that ingest significant quantities of prey items that bioconcentrate TCDD and TCDF, such as soil
invertebrates, earthworms, insects and small mammals, were considered to be at greatest risk. Other
considerations were also incorporated into the selection of species. For example, the gray bat (Mvotis
grisescens) was selected for study in place of the little brown bat because the gray bat is considered
    2The armadillo occurs only in Mississippi, but was included in the analysis because its dietary
habits (ingestion of soil and soil-dwelling organisms) may put it at risk from exposure to TCDD
and TCDF.
                                             340

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      344

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endangered  in  Georgia,  a state where  land application of sludge  is practiced  (personal written
communication, Carol  Corbat, Georgia  Department of  Natural  Resources,  Natural  Heritage
Inventory).  However, since the food mix and the daily consumption of food per kilogram body
weight are similar for the gray bat and the little brown bat, exposure estimates for the little brown
bat (per kilogram body weight) should be approximately the same as those estimated for the gray bat.

       For avian species, the analysis focussed on female birds because they have the potential to
transfer a portion of their body burden to eggs during the breeding season.  To the extent that other
members of the species (such as males or rapidly-growing nestlings) are more sensitive than females
to the adverse effects of TCDD or TCDF, this analysis may underestimate risk to these species.

       Soil-dwelling  organisms such as earthworms  are directly exposed  to contaminated soil;
estimates of TCDD and TCDF exposure to  these organisms could have been included in this analysis.
However, Eisler (1986), citing Reinecke and Nash (1984), reported that two species of earthworms
held in soils containing 5 parts per million (ppm) of 2,3,7,8-TCDD showed no adverse effects.  Since
a concentration of 5 ppm is 7300 times higher than the highest sludge concentration reported for any
mill  that currently land-applies sludge, it is assumed that current land application practices will have
no adverse effects on the earthworms themselves.

       Predatory/scavenger avian or mammalian species could also be exposed to TCDD or TCDF
through the food chain.   Because the land application of sludge is a localized practice,  typically
covering fewer than a few hundred acres, species with large  hunting territories, such as osprey, bald
eagles, and herons,  are unlikely to obtain a large fraction of their diets from a single sludge land
application site; therefore, these organisms are not quantitatively evaluated here. However, it is
possible that these species may accumulate significant levels of TCDD or TCDF because of their
position at the top  of the food web;  for  this  reason,  these species  may warrant further analysis,
especially if the land application of sludge is practiced on larger or many contiguous tracts of land
in the future. The analysis does estimate exposure to one mammal species with a territory relatively
large compared  to the land application  site: the river otter. This species, which ingests fish that
bioconcentrate TCDD and TCDF from river sediments, is considered in this analysis because it is a
threatened species in an area of one state where land application is practiced.

Data Sources for Estimating Soil Concentrations

       Methods for estimating  soil concentrations at the seven land application sites considered in
this analysis are described in Appendix A.  For human risk estimates, the average  soil concentration
over the lifetime of human  being, assumed to be 70 years, is used.   For wildlife species, this
                                           345

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concentration is inappropriate for two reasons: the lifespans of the wildlife species examined are
shorter than 70  years, and the benchmark effects levels to which estimated doses are compared were
not based on lifetime exposures. Therefore, this analysis uses the soil concentrations at the land
application sites during a single year as the basis for the wildlife assessment. The average TCDD and
TCDF concentrations over one year for each land application site are summarized in Table 3.2.B.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Body Weights of Animals

       In order to compare a dose ingested by a wild animal to the doses which induce effects in
laboratory animals, dose must be expressed in terms of milligrams per kilogram of body weight per
day. The body weights of female birds were obtained from a monograph produced by the Western
Bird Banding Association, which lists the average body weights of 686 species of North American
birds (Dunning, 1984).  The body weights of all mammals except shrews and bats were obtained from
Chapman and Feldhamer (1982). Body weights for bats and shrews were obtained from Hamilton
(1979). The body weights are summarized in Table 3.2.C.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Fraction of Food from Treated Areas

       In this analysis, the "high risk" and "best estimate" scenarios assume that the species considered
obtain all of their food from  the treated area. This assumption is derived from the fact that home
ranges of most of these species could be encompassed by the sludge treated area.  Even those animals
with home  ranges larger than the treated area are  likely to be attracted to the treated area for
foraging, since the presence of sludge nutrients may increase the availability of food in the treated
area compared  to surrounding areas.  For the "low risk" estimate, it is assumed for all species except
otters that 50 percent of an animal's diet originates in the treated area. This assumption is consistent
with that used in Sullivan et al. (1987). River otters have a much larger home range than any other
of the species considered in this analysis. Toweill and Tabor (in Chapman and Feldhamer, 1982) state
that the home range of otters varies 7 to 15 kilometers. Assuming an average site of 20.2 acres affects
a 450 meter tract of an adjacent river, the percent of an otter's range that would be affected would
vary from 3% to 6.4%. Therefore, for the "low risk" estimate, it is assumed  that 6 percent of an otter's
diet is affected by the  treated area.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Mixes of Food Sources

       The food mixes for each species are summarized in Table 3.2.D.  Food sources are assigned
to the following categories: earthworms, insects, plant matter, soil, small mammals and fish (river
otters only). Data on the percent of each type of food consumed by birds was obtained from the
                                            346

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series of books on the life histories of birds by A.C. Bent, published by Dover Press (Bent,  1955,
1962, 1963, 1963a,  1965).  The one exception was  the food  consumption data for woodcocks.
Woodcocks are avid  consumers of earthworms.  Since the bioconcentration of TCDD and TCDF in
earthworms is  higher than other food sources, this analysis estimates woodcock TCDD and TCDF
exposure from its consumption of earthworms alone, and assumes other food sources contribute
relatively little to total woodcock TCDD and TCDF exposure. Sheldon (1967) reported that the total
daily consumption of earthworms by woodcock is 150 grams.

       Data on the mix of food sources for all mammals except shrews were obtained from Chapman
and Feldhamer (1982). The data on mix  of food sources for shrews were obtained from Hamilton
(1979).  When data on  mix of food sources were reported for more than one area of the country, the
data from a state where land application  is practiced, or a nearby state,  were used.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the  Fraction of the Diet Consisting of Soil

       Some mammals and birds will ingest soil inadvertently, while consuming ground-dwelling
prey or while preening or burrowing.  Young and Cockerham (1985) reported relatively higher liver
concentrations of TCDD for Southern meadowlarks residing around a TCDD-contaminated area at
Elgin AFB in Florida.  They hypothesize that the birds ingest some soil while preening. Based on the
Young and Cockerham report, this analysis assumes that the eastern meadowlark ingests a  small
amount of soil during preening.  It is arbitrarily  assumed that between 0.1 and 10% of  the diet
consists of soil,  with  a  best estimate  of 1%.  Young and Cockerham (1985) also  postulated that
beachmice living in the same area may have elevated liver concentrations of TCDD due  to their
burrowing and preening behavior.   Eastern  moles, who are  also burrowers, may have similar
opportunities for inadvertent soil ingestion. For this analysis, it is arbitrarily assumed that from  0.1
to 10% of a mole's diet consists of soil ingested while foraging or burrowing, with a best estimate of
1%.

       Galbreath (in  Chapman and Feldhamer, 1982) reported that  armadillos often ingest "large
amounts of soil," although  the author did not report what percent of the diet consists of soil. This
analysis assumes that an armadillo's diet could consist of 1 to 20% percent soil, with a best estimate
of 10%.

       Gardener (in Chapman and Feldhamer, 1982) reported that analysis of stomach contents of
Virginia opossums found in Pennsylvania contained approximately 7% sand and stones. This value
is used as an estimate  of the percent of the opossum's diet consisting of soil; a range from 1 to 10%
is used for low and  high estimates.
                                           350

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Bi'oconcentration Factors for Earthworms

       The  tendency of earthworms to bioconcentrate TCDD has been shown in several studies.
Many of the studies that yielded high bioconcentration factors were conducted at sites (e.g., Seveso)
where soil TCDD concentrations were quite high; these values were considered inappropriate for use
in this analysis, where much lower soil concentrations of TCDD are expected.  Reinecke and Nash
(1984), as cited in Martin et al. (1987) reported earthworm TCDD concentrations 0.2 to 10 times
higher than soil concentrations. As a best estimate of the bioconcentration of TCDD and TCDF in
earthworms, this analysis uses the earthworm bioconcentration value reported at an actual site where
paper mill sludges containing TCDD and TCDF had been applied (Martin et al.,  1987), 3.5, while
using the range cited by Martin et al. (1987) for the low and high estimates.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Bioconcentration Factors for Insects

       Young and Cockerham (1985) reported the average concentrations of TCDD in a number of
insect species and families at a TCDD-contaminated site at Elgin AFB in Florida. Comparing insect
concentrations to the  average soil concentrations reported for  the same area, the  bioconcentration
factor for insects varied from zero for grasshoppers, to 0.4 for a composite of soil and plant-borne
insects, to a high of 1.5 for insect grubs. For insects, a value of 1 is used as the best estimate for the
bioconcentration factor; the values 0.4 and 1.5 are used for the low and high  estimates, respectively.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Plant Uptake Rates

       The low estimate for the uptake of TCDD or  TCDF from soil into  plant tissues (0.01%) is
derived from Wipf (1982). The high estimate of the plant uptake rate is  taken  from  a study by
Young (1983). For the best estimate of plant uptake, this analysis uses the value suggested by EPA
(1989b) for above-ground plants.  Since all of these values were derived from studies on cultivated
plants, the use of these values  in this analysis is based on the assumption that wild  plants take up
TCDD and TCDF at the same rate as cultivated crops. Furthermore, the use of this range assumes
that wild animals consume only above-ground crops.  If animals consume roots, which have higher
uptake rates than above-ground portions of plants, animals  may have higher exposures than those
estimated in this analysis.
                                            351

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Btoconcentration/Bioaccumulation Factors for Small Mammals

       Martin et al. (1987) reported that the whole body bioconcentration factor for deer mice was
about 1.4. The authors compared this value to whole body bioconcentration factor of 1.3 reported
for field mice  taken from the Seveso area.  In contrast, Thalken and Young (1983) reported values
for beachmice liver tissue that ranged from 6.7 for females to 18 for males.  For this analysis, the
whole body bioconcentration factors were judged to be more appropriate than liver-only values.  It
is important to note that these bioconcentration factors were derived from small mammal species that
may get little TCDD or TCDF exposure from their diet (i.e., mice eat large quantities of seeds which
would  not be  expected to contain significant amounts of TCDD or TCDF). Small mammals that
consume prey  items that bioconcentrate TCDD  and TCDF may have  higher levels of TCDD and
TCDF  in their bodies.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Bioconcentration Factors for Fish

       The fish to sediment ratio used in the "low risk" and "best estimate" scenarios to estimate the
concentration of TCDD in fish consumed by river otters is derived from a recent EPA review of the
literature (EPA, 1989c). This.value is assumed to be 0.0967 (whole body, wet weight). In the  "high
risk" scenario, the fish-to-sediment ratio is obtained from a review of literature discussed  in EPA
(1988). Otters  are assumed to  eat the entire body of the fish.  For simplicity,  it is assumed that the
sediment TCDD and TCDF concentrations near all land application sites are, on average, 1/1000 the
TCDD and TCDF concentrations in the soil at the land application site. This value is based on the
average sediment-to-soil ratios calculated in this report for the seven land application sites.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Total Food Consumption Per Day

       A summary of the data used for total daily food consumption estimates is presented in Table
3.2.C. Total food consumption data for otters and moles were obtained from Chapman and Feldhamer
(1982).  Data on bats were found in Hamilton (1979). For the least shrew, data were found on a table
of food consumption from Davis and Golly  (1963). From this table, the total consumption  values for
the armadillo,  opossum and striped skunk were estimated by applying the food  intake/body weight
ratio for raccoons to the body weights of these animals.

       Kenaga (1973) presented data from two studies (Nice, 1939 and Kendeigh,  1969)  relating
total daily food consumption  for birds (in dry weight) to their body weights.  The data from these
two studies was used to predict a regression equation  relating the log  of body weight to  the log  of
                                           352

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the ratio of food consumption to body weight.  For this analysis, the body weights for birds from
Dunning (1984) were used in these equations to predict the total daily food consumption,  in dry
weight.  The equation based on Nice (1939) data is used for the best estimate, and the equation based
on Kendeigh (1969) data is used as the high estimate. To use the values derived, dry weight values
must be converted to wet weight. To convert the dry weight values to wet weight, earthworms are
assumed to be 83% water by weight (French et al. 1957, cited by Kenaga, 1973).  No data on the wet
weight of other food sources were found; therefore, the percent water of  other food sources is
arbitrarily assumed to be  50%.

       Sheldon (1967)  reported  that the American woodcock consumes 150  grams per day of
earthworms.  Since earthworms bioconcentrate  TCDD and TCDF at a higher rate than any other
food source, the TCDD and TCDF exposure estimate for woodcocks is based  on  its consumption of
earthworms alone; other food sources are assumed to contribute relatively little to the total dose.

Data Sources and  Model Inputs for Absorption of TCDD or TCDF from GI Tract

       The absorption of TCDD and TCDF from food sources is needed in order to compare the
dose ingested by wild birds to results from laboratory studies where TCDD was delivered to chickens
in a corn oil matrix. FDA (1989) recently reviewed studies on the bioavailability of TCDD ingested
in a variety of matrices, and concluded that 60-70 of TCDD is ingested from  non-oily foods, while
85-95% is ingested from oily foods.  For the best estimate, it is assumed that absorption of TCDD
and TCDF from all food sources in a wild animal's diet is 70%, while values of 60% and 95% are used
to represent the low and high estimates, respectively.

       For mammals, no adjustment is necessary, because in the laboratory studies to which wildlife
exposure estimates are compared, researchers administered TCDD to the animals through  the diet.
This analysis assumes that the TCDD and TCDF absorption rate from a laboratory diet is the same
as the TCDD and  TCDF absorption rate from wild diets.

Data Sources and  Model Inputs for Estimating Body Burdens of TCDD and TCDF

       Egg concentrations of TCDD and TCDF are a function of the body  burden of TCDD and
TCDF in the female laying the eggs.  In order to calculate the  transfer of TCDD and TCDF from
the female bird to her offspring, the body burden of the female bird must be calculated. The
equation for calculating the steady-state body burden is derived in OME  (1985). However, not all
organisms will be  exposed to the contaminated area long enough to  reach steady state. In fact, of
all bird species analyzed here, only the loggerhead shrike is considered nonmigratory. For migratory
                                          353

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organisms, a pharmacokinetic model described in Thiel et al.  (1988) is used to predict the body
burden at the time of reproduction. Cme input to this model is the length of time exposed to TCDD
and TCDF before reproduction.  For a migratory bird, it is assumed that the exposure begins upon
arrival in the northern portion of the range and continues until the time when the eggs are laid.  For
the bird species analyzed, this is approximately 6-8 weeks, depending on the species. The value for
each species was obtained by calculating the number of weeks between the first spring sightings of
the birds in the states where  land application  is practiced and reported egg-laying dates in these
states (Bent 1955, 1962, 1963,  1963a, 1964).

       Another input required for the pharmacokinetic model is the half-life of TCDD and TCDF
in wild birds.  OME (1985) reports the half-life for whole body elimination of TCDD and TCDF in
several species, including rats, mice, hamsters, and monkeys. No data were found for wild birds.
However, from field data presented for bluebirds by Thiel et al. (1988), an estimate of the half-life
of TCDD in birds was indirectly estimated. Because the TCDD soil concentrations were not reported
in the study,  the average soil concentrations over  one  year were derived using  the  sludge
concentrations of TCDD applied to the treated  area, assuming a TCDD half-life in soil of 10 years,
and assuming  that the sludge  was combined with 1 inch of forest floor litter.  Information on the
dietary habits  of bluebirds from Bent (1964) and an estimate of the bluebird's total consumption of
food per day from Kenaga (1973) were used to estimate the daily dose of TCDD to the bluebird at
the site.   In addition, information found  in Bent (1964) on the time of arrival and egg dates in
Wisconsin (the state where the Thiel et al. (1988) study was conducted) was used to estimate the
length of time bluebirds were residing in the treated area before reproducing.  Finally, the average
weights of bluebird eggs and the percent of TCDD transferred from the bluebird hen to her eggs was
obtained from the Thiel et al. (1988) study. All  of information was entered into the pharmacokinetic
model, and the value for the  half-life of TCDD was adjusted  until the model yielded values that
corresponded to the actual TCDD concentration in bluebird eggs reported in Thiel et al. (1988). The
value estimated for half-life  is 21 days.  This  value is  in good agreement with values reported in
OME (1985) for other small vertebrates, such as rats and mice, which range from 17 to 31 days,  and
is used as the best estimate. For a low and high estimate of the half-life of TCDD in wild birds, a
range of TCDD half-lives for small vertebrates from 17 to 31 days is used (OME, 1985).   Martin
et al. (1987) states that the half-life for the whole body elimination of TCDF is one-eighth the half-
life of TCDD. Under this assumption, the estimated half-life for TCDF in wild birds is 2.6 days,
and ranges from 2.1 to 3.9 days.

       For the estimate of half-life of TCDD in mammals, data reported in OME (1985) is used. For
small mammals, a value of 31 days represents the best estimate. This value was observed in  rats
administered  TCDD  orally.   The  low estimate is  15 days, the value  observed for hamsters
                                            354

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administered TCDD orally, while the high estimate 37 days, the value observed in mice administered
TCDD i.p.  For larger mammals (i.e., over 1 kg), the best estimate for half-life of TCDD is 60 days.
This value is twice the half-life observed in rats given TCDD orally.  The low estimate is 30 days,
twice the hamster value, while the high estimate of 365 days is the half-life of TCDD observed in
monkeys.  Again, it is assumed that the half-life for the whole body elimination of TCDF is one-
eighth the half-life of TCDD (Martin et al., 1987). Under this assumption, the half-life  of TCDF
in small mammals is 3.9 days (with low and high estimates of 1.9 days and 4.6 days).  The half-life
for TCDF in large mammals is 7.5 days (ranging from 3.8 days to 45.6 days).

Data Sources for the Transfer Coefficient from the Hen to Eggs

       Thiel et al. (1988) estimated  the  transfer of TCDD from female  bluebirds to eggs by
measuring the concentration in the body of the female bluebird and the concentration in  the eggs.
These  researchers reported  that  a mean  of  4.8% of the female's  body burden  of TCDD was
transferred to each egg, with a range from 3.3% to 6.2%. A value 4.8% represents the best estimate
of transfer rate for TCDD and TCDF, while values of 3.3% and 6.2% are used for the low  and high
estimates, respectively.

Data Sources for the Egg Weights of Birds

       The  quantity of TCDD and TCDF transferred from the female bird to  the eggs must be
divided by the weight of the  egg to obtain an estimated egg concentration.   Egg weights were
reported for bluebirds and tree swallows in Thiel et al. (1988) and for eastern meadowlarks in Bent
(1964). All other egg weights were obtained from Schonwetter (1960-1984).

3.3    Summary of Results

       Table 3.3.A. presents a summary of the results of the "best estimate" analysis of risks to birds
foraging from land application sites.  This table shows the lowest and highest estimates of  the daily
dose (expressed as a percent of the NOAEL) among the seven land application sites assessed in this
analysis. The table also indicates the states where the lowest and highest values occur. Similarly,
Table 3.3.B. summarizes the risks to bird eggs, while Table 3.3.C. presents the risks to mammalian
species. Appendix D.2. contains the detailed risk results for the "best estimate" analysis of risks to
wildlife. In this Appendix, a series of tables is presented for the best estimate of risks to wildlife.
There  are two tables for each state where  land application is practiced, one for birds and one for
mammals. The table for birds presents the estimated dose of TCDD and TCDF in  ng/kg/day, the
estimated egg concentration in ppt, and the comparison of dose of TCDD and TCDF to the NOAEL
                                           355

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for adult birds derived in section 3.1. The estimated dose is expressed as a percent of the NOAEL.
Similarly, the egg concentrations are expressed as a percent of the LOAEL for eggs derived in section
3.1. For mammals, the tables present the estimated dose and the estimated steady state body burden
of TCDD and TCDF. The dose is expressed as a percent of the appropriate LOAEL for that species.
The sources used to derive the LOAELs are discussed in section 3.1.

       The results  confirm that those species whose diets consist largely of prey  species that
bioconcentrate TCDD and  TCDF are at  the greatest risk  from the land  application of sludges
containing  TCDD and TCDF.  For example, at all seven sites assessed, the avian species at  greatest
risk is the American woodcock, a species that consumes relatively large quantities of earthworms.
At the land application site with the highest estimated soil concentrations  of TCDD, the best estimate
of the daily dose of TCDD ingested by this species is about 28 times the estimated NOAEL; the daily
dose of  ingested TCDF is about 8 times the estimated NOAEL. The eggs of woodcocks residing on
this site are estimated to have TCDD concentration about 62 times higher than the TCDD LOAEL
of 65 ppt and a TCDF concentration that is about 3 times higher than the TCDF LOAEL of 650 ppt.
Even at a land application  site with a relatively  low soil concentration of TCDD,  the  woodcock
ingests a dose of TCDD that is about 15 percent of the TCDD NOAEL, while the eggs of woodcocks
at this site  are estimated  to have a concentration  of TCDD that is about 34 percent of the TCDD
LOAEL for eggs.

       Similarly, the mammalian species at greatest risk from land application of TCDD- and TCDF-
contaminated sludge is the least shrew. Fifty percent of this  species' diet consists of earthworms.
This species also consumes large quantities of food relative to its body weight, leading to a  greater
dose per body weight than other species. At the site with  the highest  TCDD concentrations, the
estimated daily dose of TCDD ingested by the shrew is about 45 times higher than the TCDD LOAEL
for small mammals.

       The wildlife risk assessment results also show that species whose diets contain only moderate
percentages of prey species that bioconcentrate TCDD and TCDF may exceed toxicity thresholds if
the concentrations of TCDD and TCDF are sufficiently high. For example,  at the site with the
highest TCDD and TCDF concentrations, adults of all avian species  assumed to reside there exceed
the TCDD NOAEL.  The eggs of these species are estimated to have concentrations of TCDD that
exceed the TCDD LOAEL for eggs. Furthermore, all of the mammals at this site except the otter also
exceed the  TCDD LOAEL.

       The wildlife risk assessment results imply that individual members of certain wildlife species
are at risk for reproductive and other effects from the land application of pulp and paper mill sludges
                                           359

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containing TCDD and TCDF. This result assumes that wild species are at least as sensitive to the
effects of TCDD and TCDF as laboratory species. Adverse effects on individuals may be important
if the individuals affected are members of species that are endangered or threatened. In Maryland,
for example, the loggerhead shrike, a threatened species, ingests  a daily  dose that is almost three
times the TCDD NOAEL for nonmigratory birds. Furthermore, the eggs of this species have a TCDD
concentration that is almost four times  the TCDD LOAEL for  eggs.  The loggerhead shrike  is
considered a threatened species in that state.

       This assessment does not attempt to quantify the effects of TCDD and TCDF on populations
or ecosystems.  However, the results of assessment show that at certain land application sites, the
reproductive capability of individuals of certain species may be affected, assuming that wild species
are at least as sensitive to the effects of TCDD and TCDF as laboratory species.  Effects on the
reproductive capability of a sufficient number of individual members of a species may lead to overall
population effects for that species in that area.

       Since this analysis was completed, the Environmental Effect Branch of the Office of Toxic
Substances updated this assessment with the most recent information available on TCDD and TCDF
toxicity and exposure to fish and wildlife.  Based on the additional  information, the update provides
conclusions  on  the  risks of TCDD- and TCDF-contaminated sludge to aquatic and terrestrial
organisms.  The EEB update is found in  Appendix D of this report.

3.4    Comparison of Wildlife Risk Model to Results of Field Studies

       Two field studies  of the effects of the land application of pulp and paper sludge on wildlife
have been  conducted in Wisconsin: Thiel et al. (1988) and Martin et al. (1987).  The  general
conclusions of the Thiel and Martin studies were that few or no effects were observed on the wildlife
populations  inhabiting the area of the sludge application when compared to control populations.
These general conclusions are supported by the results of the present analysis of  land application in
Wisconsin.  As can be seen from Appendix Tables D.l.F, D.2.F, and D.3.F, for almost all bird species,
the highest estimates of adult daily doses are less than 40 percent of the TCDD NOAEL, indicating
little potential risk to these species.  The estimated egg concentrations for almost all bird species
range from low estimates well below the LOAEL (7 percent or less of the TCDD LOAEL) to high
estimates 1.5 times  or less  the TCDD LOAEL.  Appendix Tables D.l.L, D.2.L, and  D.3.L show
relatively low risks to mammals  at the Wisconsin site, although the highest estimate of dose slightly
exceeds the  LOAEL for bats and moles,  and exceeds the LOAEL  for shrews.
                                            360

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       Species-specific data reported in the Thiel et al. (1988) study can be used to evaluate the
predictive ability of the wildlife exposure model. Thiel et al. (1988) reported the egg concentrations
of several species of birds, including bluebirds and robins.  These values can be compared to values
predicted by the model when the same TCDD and TCDF sludge concentrations are used.3 Thiel et
al. (1988) did not report soil TCDD and TCDF concentrations; only estimated sludge concentrations
are given. However, the Martin et al. (1987) study, conducted earlier in the same general area as the
Thiel study, reported both sludge and resulting soil concentrations for TCDD and TCDF.  Applying
the sludge:soil concentration ratios observed in the Martin study to the sludge concentrations reported
in the Thiel study yields estimated soil concentrations  of 16.1  ppt  TCDD and 257 ppt TCDF.

       Using these values  for estimated soil  concentrations, the "best estimate" wildlife exposure
model predicts  that bluebird TCDD egg concentrations are 49 ppt; the low estimate is 3.5 ppt, and
the high estimate 130 ppt.  Thiel et al. (1988) reported bluebird egg TCDD concentrations of 6-11
ppt. The Thiel et al. (1988) range is close to the low estimate calculated by the model.  For the low
estimate, the model uses a BCF value of 0.4 for the soil invertebrates/insects, the primary source of
food for bluebirds. This value is close to the site-specific soil invertebrate BCF of about 0.3 that can
be estimated from information reported in  the Thiel et al. (1988) study.

       For robins, the model predicts TCDD egg concentrations ranging from 8 ppt to 170 ppt, with
a best estimate of 61 ppt. The higher end of this range is closer to the robin egg concentration values
reported by Thiel et al. (1988), 120-162 ppt TCDD.  The "high" estimate of wildlife exposure assumes
that 100 percent of the robin's diet  originates from sludge  amended land.   Thiel et al.  (1988)
remarked that there was an abundance of earthworms in the sludge treatment area.  Therefore, the
assumption that an individual robin obtains all of its food from the treated area may be reasonable
at this site.

       The wildlife exposure model predicts the TCDF concentration in bluebird eggs to range from
9.7 to 340 ppt, and predicts the TCDF concentration  in robin eggs to range from 22 to 440 ppt.
These values are much higher than those are reported in Thiel et al. (1988), despite  the fact that the
model assumes a rapid rate  of metabolism for  TCDF, as suggested by Martin et al., 1987.  Even the
low model estimates of the TCDF bluebird and robin egg concentrations are about four times  higher
than the average of the field study values. These results suggest that the metabolism of TCDF is even
more rapid than already assumed, or that the bioconcentration factors for TCDF are different than
those for TCDD, contrary to the assumption made  in the model.
   3 However, the values presented in Thiel et al. (1988) cannot be directly compared to the
estimated egg concentrations for bluebirds and robins derived in the present analysis, because the
sludge concentrations assumed in the two analyses differ.

                                           361

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       The comparison of model estimates to results of field studies shows good agreement on general
conclusions regarding risks to wildlife at the Wisconsin land application site.  The model seems to
serve well as a general indicator  of potential risk.  However, to obtain more accurate numerical
predictions of egg concentrations or other measures of wildlife risks, more site-specific information
(such as site-specific bioconcentration factors and wildlife food mixes), as well as more information
on the uptake and  metabolism of  TCDF, would be needed.
                                             362

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                             REFERENCES FOR CHAPTER 3

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Bent, Arthur Cleveland (1962).  Life Histories of North American Shore Birds, part  1. New York:
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Bent, Arthur Cleveland (1963a).  Life Histories of North American Flycatchers. Larks. Swallows.
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Bent, Arthur Cleveland (1963b).  Life Histories of North American Wood Warblers, parts 1 and 2.
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Bent, Arthur Cleveland (1964).  Life Histories of North American Thrushes. Kinglets, and Their
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Brewster, D.W., Matsumura, F., and T. Akera (1987). Effects of 2,3,7,8-tetrachloro-dibenzo-p-
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Caras, R.A. (1967). North American Mammals: Fur-bearing Animals of the United States and
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Chapman, J.A., and G.A. Feldhamer, editors (1982). Wild Mammals of North America. Johns
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Davis, D.E. and F.B. Golly (1963). Principles of Mammology. Reinhold Publishing Company,
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Dunning, J.B., Jr (1984).  Body Weights of 686 Species of North American Birds. Western Bird
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Eisler, R (1986). "Dioxin  Hazards to Fish, Wildlife, and Invertebrates: A Synoptic Review." U.S.
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Food and Drug Administration (1989). "Bioavailability  of Ingested 2,3,7,8-TCDD and Related
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Hamilton, W.J. (1979). Mammals of the Eastern United States. Cornell University Press.

Hebert,  C.D. and L.S. Birnbaum (1987). The influence  of aging on intestinal absorption  of TCDD
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Keenan, R.E (1986). Testimony before the Maine Bureau of Environmental Protection, March 16,
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Keenan, R.E.,  Sauer, M., Lawrence, F., Rand, E., and  D. Crawford (1989). "Examination of
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Kenaga, E.E.(1973). "Factors to be considered in the evaluation of the toxicity of pesticides to
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Kociba, R.J. and B.A. Schwetz (1982). Toxicity of 2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD).
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Miller, R., Norris, L., and C. Hawkes (1973). Toxicity of 2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin
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Newton, M. and S. P. Snyder (1978). Exposure of forest herbivores to 2,3,7,8-
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Ontario Ministry of the Environment, Intergovernmental Relations and Hazardous Contaminants
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Schonwetter, M. (1960-1983). Handbuch der Oologie. Berlin.

Schwetz, B.A., Norris, J.M., Sparschu, G.L., Rowe, V.K., Gehring, P.J., Emerson, J.L., and C.G.
       Gerbig (1973). Toxicology of chlorinated diobenzo-p-dioxins. Environmental Health
       Perspectives, September, pp. 87-99.

Sheldon, W.G.(1967). The Book of the American Woodcock. University of Massachusetts
       University Press.

Sullivan, J.R., Kubiak, T.J., Amundson, T. E.,  Martini, R. E., Olson, L. J., and G.A. Hill  (1987).
       "A wildlife exposure assessment for landspread sludges which  contain dioxins and furans."
       In: Proceedings of the Tenth Annual Madison International Waste Conference: Municipal
       and Industrial Waste. September 29-30, 1987. University of Madison,  Madison, Wisconsin.

Thalken, C.E. and A.L. Young (1983). "Long-term field studies of a rodent population
       continuously exposed to TCDD." In: Tucker, R.E., Young, A.L. and A.P. Gray, editors.
       Human and Environmental Risks of Chlorinated Dioxins and Related Compounds. Plenum
       Publishing Corp.

Thiel, D. A., Martin, S.G., Duncan, J.W., Lemke, M.J., Lance, W.R.  and R. Peterson (1988).
       "Evaluation of the effects of dioxin-contaminated sludges on wild birds." In: Proceedings
       of the 1988 TAPPI Environmental Conference.
                                           364

-------
U.S. EPA (1988). Office of Health and Environmental Assessment, Exposure Assessment Group.
       Estimating Exposure to 2.3.7.8-TCDD. Draft Report March.

U.S. EPA (1989a). Memorandum to Dioxin-in-Paper Workgroup, dated July 21 from C. Cinalli.

U.S. EPA (1989b). Memorandum to Dioxin-in-Paper Workgroup, on the bioavailability of dioxins
       in paper products, dated June 23 from C. Cinalli and Conrad Flessner.

U. S. EPA (1989c). "Memorandum:  OTS/EEB Aquatic Life Hazard Assessment (Including BCF
       Values) for 'Dioxin in Paper'." Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances.  Washington,
       D.C. July.

U.S. EPA (1989d). 104-Mill Data Base. Office of Water Regulations and Standards, July 17
       version.

Wipf, H.K., E. Homberger, N. Neuner, U.B. Ranalder, W. Vetter, and J.P. Vuilleumier (1982).
       "TCDD levels in soil and plant samples from the Seveso area."  In: Huntiziger, O., R.W.
       Frei, E. Merian, and F. Pocchiari, editors. Chlorinated Dioxins and Related Compounds:
       Impact on the Environment. Pergamon Press, New York.

Young, A.L. (1983). "Long-term studies on the persistence and movement of TCDD in a natural
       ecosystem." In: Tucker, R.E., A.L. Young, and A.G. Gray, editors. Human and
       Environmental Risks of Chlorinated Dioxins and Related Compounds. Plenum Press, New
       York.

Young, A.L. (1984). "A case study in ecotoxicology: long-term field exposure of Peromysus
       Polionotus to dioxin." In: Hommage au Professor Rene  Truhaut. Academie  des Sciences,
       Paris, France, pp.1229-1233.

Young, A.L., and L. G. Cockerham (1985). "Fate of TCDD in  field ecosystems - assessment and
       significance for human exposures." In: Kamrin, M.A., and P.W. Rodgers. Dioxins in the
       Environment. Hemosphere Publishing Corp., New York, pp. 153-171.
                                          365

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4.0    Analysis of Uncertainty

       As explained in Chapter 1 of this report, this analysis attempts to quantify the uncertainty
implicit in its exposure and risk estimates.  To do so, it performs three separate model calculations
of aggregate  population risk for each waste disposal method and exposure pathway.  The first set
of calculations  uses "best estimates" for each key input parameter, and yields "best estimates" of
exposure and risk. Results from  these calculations were presented in Chapters 2 and 3 of this report.
In addition to these "best estimate" calculations, the analysis has  repeated the calculations using
assumptions and input parameter values thought to represent plausible "low risk" extremes for each
parameter. By combining these "low risk" input values into a single scenario, it derives estimates of
exposure and risk unlikely to  over-estimate actual  values1.   Corresponding  exposure and  risk
estimates have been prepared by combining "high risk" parameter values, where available, for each
key input used for the model calculations.  Results from "high risk" calculations  are intended to
represent upper bound estimates of exposure and risk, so that actual, "true" exposure and risk are
unlikely to exceed the estimated values.

       Table 4.A shows  the range of estimates  of total  population risk  derived  for each waste
management  practice and exposure pathway considered.  As can be seen from the  Table, the "low
risk" and "high risk"  estimates differ by as much as three to  four orders of magnitude for some
exposure pathways. These results highlight the fact that this analysis is limited by data availability
to "screening" analyses of exposure  and risk.  With more detailed, site-specific data for each waste
use or disposal site, these ranges of uncertainty could be narrowed considerably. It should be noted
that all risk estimates  reported in Table 4.A are based on the  same assumed human cancer potencies
for TCDD and TCDF. The exact slope factor of these chemicals is itself uncertain; testing the range
of possible values for slope factor would widen the range of risk estimates still further.

       Total risk estimates for ingestion of contaminated groundwater were prepared for the disposal
of sludge in landfills, disposal of sludge in surface impoundments, and the land application of sludge.
For landfills  and surface impoundments, risk estimates varied by one to two orders of magnitude.
Results  varied significantly between calculations involving the SESOIL model and those based on
simpler, but  less data intensive, assumptions about the equilibrium partitioning of contaminants
between dissolved and adsorbed phase. "Low risk" estimates were not prepared, but estimates of zero
risk through  this pathway could be easily  derived  if landfills are  assumed to be located in areas
without productive aquifers.
       1Even "low risk" estimates are based on upper-bound human cancer potency slopes,
however.  Actual cancer risks may be lower, or even zero.

                                             367

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Table 4.A Range of Estimates for Total Cancer Risks
Exposure pathway
Sludge Landfills
Inhalation of vapor
Ingestion of ground water
Ingestion of surface water
Ingestion of fish
Ingestion of sport fish
Paper in Municipal Landfills
Inhalation of vapor
Ingestion of ground water
Sludge Surface Impoundments
Inhalation of vapor
Ingestion of ground water
Ingestion of surface water
Ingestion of fish
Ingestion of sport fish
Land Application of Sludge
Dermal absorption
Direct ingestion
Inhalation of vapor
Inhalation of particulates
Ingestion of surface water
Ingestion of ground water
Ingestion of fish
Ingestion of sport fish
Ingestion of produce
Distribution and Marketing of Sludge
Dermal absorption
Direct ingestion
Inhalation of vapor
Inhalation of particulates
Ingestion of produce
Low risk
estimate
'(cases/yr)

not estimated
2 x 10~8
1 x 10'3
1 x 10~3
not estimated

not estimated
not estimated

not estimated
2 x 10~8
2x 10~3
2 x 10"3
not estimated

7 x 10'9
4 x 10~8
1 x 10'6
5 x 10'7
4 x 10'4
not estimated
1 x 10'3
not estimated
3 x 10'3

3 x 10~6
2 x 10'5
5 x 10~5
1 x 10"6
2X10'10
Best
estimate
(cases/yr)

2x 10'7
4 x 10"8
5 x 10~3
1 x 10*3
4 x 10'4

not estimated
not estimated

2 x 10'2
1 x 10'7
8 x 10"3
3 x 10'3
9 x 10'4

2 x 10'6
2x 10'7
4 x 10'6
2 x 10"6
2 x 10'3
not estimated
4 x 10'3
1 x 10~3
7 x 10'2

7x 10'4
3 x 10'3
2 x 10"3
5 x 10'5
8 x 10'7
High risk
estimate
(cases/yr)

3 x 10'3
6 x 10'5
6 x 10*1
4x 10 ฐ
4x 10'1

not estimated
not estimated

3 x 10'1
6x 10'6
1x10ฐ
1 x 10+1
1 x 10 ฐ

6 x 10'5
5 x 10"5
1 x 10'5
6 x 10'6
9 x 10'2
not estimated
6x 10 ฐ
7 x 10'1
2 x 10"1

4x 10"1
4 x 10"1
5 x 10'3
1 x 10"3
2 x 10'4
                         368

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       Total risks from inhalation  of particulates were estimated  for  persons  living on a land
application site, or applying pulp and paper sludge to home gardens.   The estimated range of
uncertainty  is relatively low for these estimates (one to two orders of magnitude), and reflects
differences in results based on different mathematical models for estimating particulate suspension.
Other key variables are the ratio of indoor to outdoor concentrations, and assumed absorption rates
in the lungs and gastrointestinal tract.

       Risk estimates  for inhalation of volatilized TCDD and TCDF are also relatively stable with
respect to the assumptions tested for  land application and distribution and marketing scenarios, and
represent variation in assumptions about time spent indoors and outdoors, ratios between indoor and
outdoor concentrations, and the fraction of organic carbon in the soil. For landfills, the wider range
of estimates for exposure and risks from volatilized contaminants reflects the testing of two different
models for estimating volatile emissions from soil. Both "best estimate" and "high  risk" estimates of
emissions from surface impoundments were based on a two film resistance model; differences in risk
estimates are therefore attributable to differences in selected parameter values.

       Precise estimation of total risks from ingestion of surface water contaminated by runoff
from sludge use or disposal would require extensive, site-specific data for each sludge management
site.  Without detailed data about the location  of  each  site, distances to surface water, site and
surrounding topography, hydrology  of nearby surface water, locations (if any) of withdrawal of
surface water for drinking water sources, and numerous other key data, one must rely on simple
screening models to derive rough estimates  of  potential risk.   The wide range  of risk estimates
reported for this exposure pathway highlights the fact that without such  site-specific  data, precise
quantification is impossible.  As can be seen from the  tables, the  possibility of significant risks
through this pathway cannot be ruled out on the basis of existing data.  Risk estimates are sensitive
to the size of the drainage area assumed for the  stream receiving runoff from each site.

       Similarly, precise estimation of total risk from fish ingestion is impossible  without detailed,
site-specific information. Depending  on  the assumptions chosen for modeling exposure and risks
through this pathway,  resulting estimates  can vary by four orders of magnitude or more. As with
risks from the ingestion of drinking water from surface water sources contaminated by surface
runoff, significant risks  from ingestion of fish cannot be dismissed on the basis of this analysis.

       Total risks from dietary  consumption of vegetables, meat or dairy products grown  from
sludge amended  land (or from feeds  grown on sludge-amended land) vary by about two orders of
magnitude for land application sites, depending on the assumptions chosen. Key assumptions include
                                            369

-------
the percentage of the animal's diet consisting of sludge, and bioconcentration factors.
For distribution and marketing, dietary risk estimates vary by four orders of magnitude, depending
on which set of assumptions is used. Results are greatly influenced by whether the analysis assumes
soil incorporation, and by the fraction of each household's diet assumed to be home-grown.

       Estimated total risks from dermal absorption of TCDD and TCDF in sludge or soil are also
subject to the selection of parameter values; "low risk" and "high risk" estimates differ  by as much
as four orders of magnitude. This range is attributable to numerous differences in the two scenarios,
including  whether or not the sludge is assumed  to be soil incorporated, the area of skin exposed,
contact rates and absorption rates for skin, and  other factors.  Estimated total risks from direct
ingestion of soil vary by two to  three orders of magnitude, depending on whether the  sludge is
assumed to  be soil  incorporated,  assumed rates of soil ingestion  for children and adults, and the
fraction of daily soil ingestion originating from the treated area.

       Tables 4.B through 4.U provide more detailed results from the uncertainty analysis performed
for this report. Tables 4.B through 4.F report exposure estimates derived from "low risk" assumptions
and parameter  values, and Tables  4.G  through  4.K  report the corresponding  estimates of risk.
Similarly, Tables 4.L through 4.P report exposure estimates derived from "high risk" assumptions and
parameters, and Tables  4.Q  through 4.U report corresponding risk estimates.  For some waste
management practices and exposure pathways, exposure and risk estimates for the MEI have also been
tested for sensitivity to key assumptions; results are listed in Tables 4.B through 4.U.

       Tables 4.V through 4.X summarize the "low risk" estimates for birds, bird eggs, and mammals.
Each of these tables  shows the lowest and  highest dose (expressed  as a percent of the  LOAEL)
estimated  among the seven land application  sites  evaluated.  Tables 4.Y through 4.AA  present the
"high risk" estimates for  wildlife species.

       The differences  between  "low risk"   and "high risk" estimates are largely attributable to
differences in bioconcentration factors of prey items. For birds that are mainly insectivorous, the
"high risk" estimate is approximately an order of magnitude  higher than the "low risk"  estimate.
The difference is due primarily to a three-fold variation in the bioconcentration factor for insects
between the "low risk" and "high risk" scenarios. Risk estimates  for woodcocks vary by over two
orders  of magnitude.  The woodcock diet is assumed to consist of 100% earthworms for the purposes
of this analysis; the difference in the woodcock risk estimates is largely attributable to the factor of
50  difference between low and  high estimates  of the  bioconcentration factor for earthworms.
Similarly, moles and shrews have large differences between  "low risk"  and "high risk"  estimates
because a large fraction  of the diets of these species consists of earthworms.  Differences between
                                             370

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the risk estimates are smallest for loggerhead shrikes, opossums, and skunks.  For all of these species,
small mammals constitute a sizeable portion of the diet; the relatively small difference in the "low
risk" and "high risk" estimates is in part attributable to small variation in the low and high values
assumed for the small mammal biconcentration factor.

       Differences in risk estimates are also attributable to differences in the high and low values
used for other parameters besides bioconcentration factors.  In the "high risk" scenario, birds and
mammals  obtain all of their food from the treated area, while in the "low risk" scenario, only half
of their food originates in the  treated area,  leading to a factor  of  two differences  between the
scenarios.  Differences in the absorption rate for  food  also contribute to the difference between
"low risk" and "high risk" estimates.

       Differences in the "low risk" and "high risk" estimates for bird egg risks range from a factor
of 10  to  a factor of 240. The estimates  vary  for the reasons described  above and because of
differences in the half-life of TCDD and TCDF assumed in the "low risk" and "high risk" scenarios.
Differences in the risk  estimates for bird eggs are  also influenced by the differences in the length
of time the female bird is assumed to reside on-site before laying.

       Evident from  Tables 4.A to 4.AA is the considerable uncertainty implicit in the risk estimates
derived by this report.  In the absence of detailed site-specific data for the numerous sites at which
sludge is  used or disposed, such broad ranges of  uncertainty in  exposure and  risk estimates are
unavoidable.
                                             401

-------
5.0    Conclusions

       Table 5.A compares human health risk estimates for each waste disposal method analyzed
under current use and disposal practices.  For each waste management practice, it reports results
for the exposure pathway found to result in highest risks to the "most exposed individual" and to
the total population.  The possibility of simultaneous exposure through multiple pathways is
ignored.  By comparing maximum estimated risks for each management practice, Table 5.A allows
a simple comparison  of risks associated with each practice.

       As can be seen from the table, estimated risks to a "most exposed individual" are lowest
for the landfilling of paper wastes, and highest for sludge surface impoundments and land
application.  Estimated risks to  typical exposed individuals are generally three to six orders of
magnitude lower than risks to the MEI, except for the landfilling of paper wastes,  for which
separate population risk estimates were not performed.  The largest exposed population  is
associated with the land application of sludge, since foods grown with sludge-amended  land may
enter national food distribution systems and be consumed by the entire U.S. population.  As
shown  by the table, none of the waste disposal methods and exposure pathways analyzed is
expected to result in a total population cancer risk of more than one expected incremental cancer
case per ten years of sludge or paper disposal.

       Table 5.B reports maximum exposure to TCDD and TCDF for all pathways associated
with each method of waste management considered in this analysis.  As is evident from the table,
                                           Q
estimated MEI exposure reaches as high as 10   mg/kg/day for sludge surface impoundments and
land application.

       Tables 5.C through 5.L provide more detail concerning estimated human exposure and
cancer risk associated with each individual pathway of potential human exposure.  Two tables are
provided for each waste use or disposal practice considered in Sections 2.1  through 2.5.  For each
practice, the first table reports estimated exposure to  both the MEI  and typical exposed
population for each pathway of potential exposure. The second table reports estimated  risks for
the "most exposed individual", estimated typical risks, the estimated size of the exposed
population, and the estimated total cancer risks associated with the  levels of exposure presented in
the preceding table.

       As can be seen from Tables  5.C and 5.D, exposure and  risks to the "most exposed
individual" from the  landfilling of sludge are highest  from pathways associated with surface
runoff.  Estimated risks through these pathways for the MEI are based on an extreme scenario in
                                             403

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which runoff from the site reaches a stream of relatively small drainage area, and the MEI is
assumed to take drinking water or fish from the most contaminanted segment of the stream.
Typical risks through surface water pathways are estimated based on the assumption of larger
drainage areas, and are considerably lower.

       Tables 5.E and 5.F report estimated exposure and human health risks from the disposal of
paper wastes in municipal landfills.  Estimated exposure and risk reported in the tables for the
MEI are based on consistently conservative assumptions chosen to provide upper bound risk
estimates. TCDF is more easily volatilized from landfills than TCDD, and is responsible for most
of the estimated risk through the volatilization pathway. Because estimated exposure and risk to
the MEI were sufficiently low, no estimates of typical individual risk were attempted for the
disposal of paper in municipal landfills.

        Estimated exposure and risks from disposal of sludge in surface impoundments are
presented in Tables 5.G and 5.H. As with landfills, estimated risks to the MEI from this sludge
storage  or disposal practice are dominated by pathways associated with surface runoff.  These
estimates are based on the assumption that the most exposed individual takes drinking water and
fish from a  relatively small stream and from the stream location with maximum dissolved
concentrations of TCDD and TCDF.

        Estimated risks from inhalation of volatilized contaminants from a surface impoundment
are significantly higher than those estimated for landfills, since rates of contaminant emissions
from an uncovered liquid  impoundment surface are estimated to be  much higher than those
estimated from a landfill with soil cover.  As with landfills, TCDF dominates risks through the
volatilization pathway, because of its higher mobility.  Estimated risks to typical exposed
individuals are significantly lower than those estimated for the "most exposed individual."
Highest typical individual risks are  estimated for volatilization.

        Tables 5.1 and 5.J show estimated human exposure  and health risks associated with the
eight human exposure pathways evaluated for the land  application of pulp and paper sludge.
Highest MEI health risks from land application are encountered through the dietary exposure
pathway.  Risks through dietary pathways are calculated for two states in which pulp and paper
sludge is applied  to agricultural land: Mississippi and Pennsylvania.  Mississippi's contribution to
total risks outweighs that of Pennsylvania, because of the larger area of land treated in
Mississippi. Since TCDF concentrations of zero were reported for sludge applied in Mississippi,
TCDD dominates the risks to the MEI.
                                            418

-------
       After the dietary exposure pathway, the next highest risk estimates for the MEI are found
for exposure pathways associated with surface runoff. The next highest estimated risks are found
for pathways involving direct human contact with contaminated soil: direct ingestion and dermal
exposure.

       Typical risks to exposed populations are low through all exposure pathways analyzed for
land application; highest typical risks are estimated for persons living near a land application site
and inhaling TCDD and TCDF vapor emitted by treated soil.  Highest total risks are estimated for
dietary pathways, due in part to the assumption that food from sludge-amended land is
distributed nationally.

       Estimated human exposure and risks from the distribution and marketing of pulp and
paper sludge are presented in Tables 5.K and 5.L.  These are based on the assumption that all of
the sludge is used for vegetable or ornamental gardening in residential settings. Estimated risks to
the "most exposed individual" are  lowest for inhalation and dietary pathways, and highest for
pathways involving direct  human  contact with sludge or soil.  Risks to gardening individuals with
more "typical" behaviors are two to three orders of magnitude lower than those estimated for the
MEI.

       For many of the disposal options considered, the levels of exposure estimated are  high
enough to represent non-cancer risks as well as  the cancer risks discussed  above.  The Wisconsin
Department of Health and Social Services (1989), for example, reports a Risk Reference Dose
(RfD) of about 2 picograms per day (pg/day) for behavioral toxic effects in humans, 70 pg/day
for organ and reproductive toxicity, 2,000  pg/day for genetic toxicity, and 7,000 pg/day for acute
toxicity.  Based on an assumed average body weight of 70 kilograms, these values are equivalent
to 3  x 10"11, 1 x 10'9, 3 x  10"8, and 1  x 10"7 mg/kg/day, respectively. Although the Wisconsin
RfDs do not represent EPA-reviewed values, they provide possible benchmarks against which the
exposure estimates can be  compared.

       "Best estimates" of TCDD exposure1 for  a most exposed individual reach  as high as 1 x 10"
9 mg/kg/day  for sludge landfills (thus reaching  the RfD for organ and reproductive toxicity).
MEI "best estimates" for surface impoundments  reach as high as 4 x 10"8,  and exceed the genetic
toxicity threshold.  The highest "best estimate" of MEI exposure to TCDD from land application is
7 x 10"8 mg/kg/day, enough to exceed the genetic toxicity RfD.  None of the exposure pathways
       1RfD values for TCDF were not available, so only TCDD exposure is considered for these
comparisons.

                                            419

-------
evaluated for sludge distribution and marketing or for the landfilling of paper wastes exceeds
these thresholds,  nor do any of the TCDD exposure estimates derived for typical exposed
populations.

       Risks to wildlife were assessed for the land application of sludge; Tables  5.M through 5.O
summarize results.  Table 5.M presents a summary of risks to birds foraging from land application
sites.  This table shows the lowest and highest estimates of the daily dose (expressed as a percent
of the "no observable adverse effects level" or NOAEL) among the seven land application sites
assessed in this analysis.  Similarly, Table 5.N summarizes the risks to bird eggs,  while Table 5.O
presents the risks to mammalian species.  The tables show that those species whose  diets consist
largely of prey species that bioconcentrate TCDD and TCDF are at greatest risk from the land
application of sludges containing TCDD and TCDF.

       These results imply that individual members of certain wildlife  species are at risk for
reproductive and other effects from the land application of pulp and paper mill sludges
containing TCDD and TCDF. Adverse effects on individuals may be important if the individuals
affected  are members of species that are endangered or threatened.  In  Maryland, the loggerhead
shrike ingests a daily dose that is almost three times the NOAEL for nonmigratory  birds.
Furthermore, the eggs of this species have a TCDD concentration that is almost four times the
TCDD "lowest observable adverse effect level" (or LOAEL) for  eggs. The loggerhead shrike is
considered a threatened species in  that state.

       This assessment does not attempt to quantify the effects of TCDD and TCDF on
populations or ecosystems. However, the results of assessment show that at certain land
application sites, the reproductive  capability of individuals of certain species may be affected.
Effects on the reproductive capability of a sufficient number of individual members of a species
may lead to overall population effects for that species in  that area.

       In summary, this analysis finds that typical risks to human populations exposed to the
TCDD and TCDF from pulp and paper mill sludge are generally low. Risks to "most exposed
individuals", however, could be significant, depending on site-specific  circumstances and
individual human behavior.  It also finds significant potential risks to wildlife associated with the
land application of sludge, both to the health of individual specimens and to their reproductive
capability. As discussed in Chapter 4, the "best estimates" of human and wildlife exposure and
risk provided in this report should not be interpreted as precise quantification of exposure and
risks, but rather as  general indicators of the magnitude of those risks; separate calculations
                                             420

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performed with plausible "low risk" and "high risk" parameter values suggest that the "best
estimate" results presented  in this report could over- or under-estimate risks by several orders of
magnitude.
                                            424

-------
                                        References

Wisconsin Department of Health and Social Services (1989). Human Exposure Assessment for
       Dioxin and Furan Contaminated Papermill Sludge Applied to Soils. Division of Health,
       Final Draft, January.
                                         425

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6.0.    Estimates of Exposure and Risks to Humans Based on Generic Scenarios

       The site-specific risk assessment presented in the previous chapters reflects the risks from
the current disposal and use of sludges contaminated with  TCDD  and TCDF, based on sludge
concentration values reported in the 104-Mill Study database (U.S. EPA, 1989a). However, in the
future, mills may choose to shift disposal or use practices.  Such shifts may affect risk.  Therefore,
it is useful to accompany an evaluation of risks from the current pattern  of sludge disposal and use
with a evaluation of  risks from  generic, representative sites.  This chapter describes a generic
assessment of the risks from the disposal and use of pulp and paper sludge.

       The  construction of typical  disposal and  use  scenarios is guided by  knowledge  of  the
characteristics of current actual disposal and use sites, but generalizes these practices. Further, the
generic analysis assumes a  constant level  of  sludge contamination  across all  disposal methods.
Therefore, the analysis serves to point out the pathways and disposal  methods that are intrinsically
more risky, and that need to be more closely evaluated.

         The methods used to assess risk are, for the most part, the same as the methods used in the
site-specific assessment; however, several of the values used to represent the generic scenario in the
exposure models differ from those used in the site-specific assessment. The following sections present
the input parameters used to assess risk from each exposure pathway for each of the disposal and
use methods, and describe input values that have been changed from the site-specific assessment.

       Two changes are of particular note: (1) the change in the sludge concentrations assumed, and
(2) the change  in the  way the TCDD slope factor was used.  For the analysis of risks from each
disposal  method, the  site-specific assessment  used the TCDD and  TCDF sludge concentrations
reported by mills currently using  that disposal method.   Since the plants may shift sludge disposal
practices  over  time, this approach is  not  appropriate for the generic  assessment.   The generic
assessment uses values which are representative of TCDD and TCDF concentrations in sludge from
all plants, regardless of their current disposal practices. The distribution of the concentrations of
TCDD and TCDF over all of the plants appearing in the 104-Mill Study is shown in Table 6.O.A. For
estimating typical exposure, the generic assessment assumes that sludge going to each disposal method
contains TCDD and TCDF at a concentration equal to the mean concentration of sludge averaged over
all plants. For the generic assessment of MEI risk, the 90th percentile concentrations of TCDD and
TCDF  are used.
                                             427

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       The generic assessment uses the slope factor for TCDD in a different manner than the site-

specific assessment. To be consistent'with other generic assessments conducted by the Agency, the

slope factor derived by EPA's Carcinogen Assessment Group is used in the generic assessment.1


6.1    Exposure and Risks from the Disposal of Pulp and Paper Sludge in Landfills


       Landfilling of sludge from the pulp and paper industry is defined as the burial of sludge on

land, sometimes accompanied by the regular application of soil cover. As in the site-specific analysis

described in Section 2.1, this  analysis estimates human exposure to TCDD and TCDF through four

exposure pathways associated with sludge landfills:


       •      Contaminants  volatilize from the landfill and are transported by wind to neighboring
              areas.  Humans inhale contaminated air and are exposed.

       •      Storm  runoff  carries contaminant-laden particles of soil from the surface of the
              landfill to nearby surface water bodies. Contaminants are then released from stream
              or lake sediments into surface water, which is withdrawn for drinking water supplies.
              Humans ingest the contaminated water and are exposed.

       •      Storm runoff caries TCDD and  TCDF to surface water bodies, as  described above.
              Fish accumulate TCDD and TCDF from the water or sediment. Humans ingest fish
              and are exposed.

       •      Rain water or sludge moisture carry dissolved contaminants from the bottom of the
              landfill to an aquifer underneath  a landfill.  Dissolved contaminants are  then
              transported  by  the  aquifer  to  nearby  drinking  water wells.   Humans ingest
              contaminated water withdrawn from the wells and are exposed.
       As  explained in Section  2.1, the  site-specific analysis used generic scenarios to estimate

volatile emissions of TCDD and TCDF from a "typical" or "worst case" landfill to predict groundwater

contamination beneath those facilities, and to predict the extent to which surface runoff might result

in contamination of nearby surface water. Site-specific calculations were performed, however, to

predict the transport of emitted contaminants by wind, and to determine the number of persons likely

to be exposed through the air or groundwater pathways.  The generic assessment reported in this

section differs from the site-specific analysis in that it uses generic values for sludge concentrations

and for estimating the sizes of populations exposed to contaminated groundwater.  Input values used

across all exposure pathways are presented in Table 6.1.A.
    1 The only exception is the dermal contact pathway.  Exposure through this pathway is
significantly different than the route by which the potency estimate was derived; therefore, an
adjustment for bioavailability through dermal absorption is required.
                                          429

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6.1.1  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of Vapors

Methodology

       Estimating human exposure and risk through the volatilization pathway involves three steps.
First, the extent to which TCDD and TCDF are emitted from each landfill site is estimated. Second,
the extent to which air concentrations of these contaminants will be reduced through wind transport
and atmospheric decay processes is estimated. Finally, resulting air concentrations are mapped onto
nearby populations in order to estimate the extent of human exposure and total human health risks.
Methods used for each of these steps were described in Section 2.1.1. For the site-specific analysis,
two different approaches were compared for estimating emissions from landfills.  "Best estimates"
were derived from results obtained from the SESOIL model; "high risk" estimates were derived with
simpler set of equations. The generic risks assessment differs in that it uses the simpler approach
(equations from Hwang  and  Falco, 1986,  as described in Chapter 2.1) for both MEI  and typical
exposure and risk calculations. In addition, the generic risk assessment departs from "best estimate"
calculations in Chapter 2.1 by assuming that soil cover is not applied to the landfills, and by using
different values for assumed concentrations  of TCDD and TCDF in the sludge.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       The values used for each input for typical and MEI exposure estimates are summarized in
Table 6.I.B.  A description of these parameters, and a discussion of the basis for particular values
used, is presented in Section 2.1.1 . Differences between the site-specific and the generic analyses'
assumptions for sludge concentration assumptions were discussed in Section 6.0. Except for the depth
of soil cover (which is assumed to be 0 cm for the generic assessment) no  other parameters differ
between the two analyses.

6.1.2. Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Drinking Water from Groundwater
       Sources

Methodology

       Estimating potential human exposure and risk from the contamination of groundwater near
a landfill requires three steps: consideration of the transport of contaminants through the unsaturated
zone beneath a facility, consideration of the transport of contaminants through an aquifer to a nearby
drinking water well, and estimation of the number of humans who might be exposed to contaminated
well water.  As in the analysis reported in Section 2.1.2, the generic analysis uses the SESOIL model,
                                             434

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and a "typical" landfill scenario, to examine the likely migration of sludge contaminants from the
landfill to the  aquifer,  and the AT123D model to estimate  the  extent to which contaminant
concentrations are expected to  decrease during transport within the aquifer  to  a nearby well.
Corresponding estimates  for the  MEI scenario are based on identical inputs, but with a larger area
(60 acres) for the landfill. The generic and site-specific analyses then estimate the extent of human
exposure by estimating the  number of persons likely to  draw drinking water from each of three
ranges of distances downgradient of a landfill site, and assuming that each of the populations living
within each of these three distances is exposed to the predicted level of groundwater contamination.
Data Sources and Model Inputs

       The values used for each input for typical and MEI exposure estimates are summarized in
Table 6.I.C.  For a description of these input parameters and an explanation of the values selected,
the reader is referred to Chapter 2.1.  Differences between the site-specific and the generic analyses
with respect to sludge concentrations were discussed in Section 6.0.  Additional differences between
the two analyses are described below.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

       For the site-specific analysis, data from the National Weil-Water Association, FRDSPWS,
and Statistical Abstracts  were analyzed  to determine the average  density of  persons  drinking
groundwater per unit of land area within each of the  counties reported  to contain  a landfill site.
These  densities  were then applied to the estimated area  of land  under which  groundwater was
contaminated to estimate  the number of persons in each county likely to be exposed to each level
of  groundwater  contamination. That analysis  estimated  that approximately  0.33  persons  drink
groundwater per hectare, in counties containing landfills for pulp and paper sludge. For the generic
analysis, it is assumed that the density of persons drinking groundwater is the same for all landfills,
and that this density corresponds to the average for the United States as a whole, or  approximately
68  persons per square mile (0.26 per hectare).  This value is used to estimate the sizes of exposed
populations listed in Table 6.1.C .
                                             436

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6.1.3   Estimates of Exposure and  Risks  from Ingestion of Drinking Water from Surface Water
       Sources

Methodology

       The methodology used for the generic assessment is identical to that used for the site-specific
assessment.  Details of the methods used  for these calculations are presented in Appendix B and
Section  2.1.3.  In general, the Universal Soil Loss Equation, together with estimates of sediment
delivery ratios, is used to estimate the fraction of a lake's or stream's sediment that originates from
the landfill. By multiplying this fraction by the original concentration of TCDD and TCDF in sludge
or soil particles on the landfill surface,  the methodology derives estimates of the concentration of
contaminants in the sediment.  This contaminant  load is then partitioned between adsorbed and
dissolved phases.  Contaminant concentrations in water are combined with data on human rates of
water ingestion, the size of the population exposed, and slope factors to  yield exposure and risk
estimates.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       Data sources and model inputs for estimating sediment and water contaminant concentrations
can be found in Table 6.1.D for both typical individuals and the MEI. Differences between the site-
specific and the generic sludge concentration assumptions were discussed in Section 6.0. Additional
differences between the generic assessment and the site-specific assessment are discussed below.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for  Deriving the Partition Coefficient

       Koc, the organic carbon:water partition coefficient, is multiplied by the fraction of organic
carbon in the sediment to obtain  Kd, the  sediment:water partition coefficient. In the site-specific
assessment the MEI "best estimate"  assumes a one percent organic carbon content in  the sediment.
The generic MEI assessment assumes a 0.1 percent organic carbon content. The effect of this change
will be a decrease in the sediment contamination level and an increase in the water contamination
level.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for  Estimating the  Size of the Exposed Population

       In the site-specific analysis,  the size of the exposed population was estimated by multiplying
the watershed area of the contaminated stream by the population density of the regions in which the
                                           440

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sludge management areas (SMAs)were located. In the generic analysis, a national population density
(68 people per square mile) replaces the regional population density.

6.1.4   Estimates of  Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Fish from Surface Water Sources

Methodology

       The  methodology used to calculate risk from ingestion of contaminated fish in the generic
assessment is identical to that used in the site-specific assessment. Details of the methods used for
these  calculations are presented  in Appendix B and Section  2.1.3.  The calculation follows the
methodology discussed in Section 6.1.3 through the estimation of sediment concentrations of TCDD
and TCDF in water bodies as a result of runoff from landfill sites.  Once  sediment concentrations
have been estimated, however, the methodology departs from that described in Section 6.1.3, and uses
fish to sediment bioconcentration factors and estimates of human consumption of fish to calculate
contaminant doses to humans.  Finally, estimates of the size of the exposed population are combined
with estimates of individual dose and health risk to derive total health risks to the entire exposed
population.

Data Sources and Model  Inputs

       Data sources  and  model inputs for estimating fish contaminant concentrations can be found
in Table 6.1.D for both typical individuals and the MEL Differences between the site-specific and
generic sludge concentration assumptions were discussed in  Section 6.0.  The differences in the Kd,
the sedimentwater partition coefficient and in  the size of the population exposed to the contaminant
presented in Section  6.1.3 also apply to the assessment of risks from ingestion of contaminated fish.
Additional differences between the generic assessment and the site-specific assessment are discussed
below.

Data Source and Model Inputs for Estimating  the Fish to Sediment Bioconcentration Factor

       Both the site-specific analysis and the  generic analysis calculate bioaccumulation in fish as
a function of a fish-to-sediment bioconcentration factor.  In the site-specific analysis of typical
and MEI risk, the bioconcentration factors used for TCDD and TCDF  were 0.0967 and 0.1538,
respectively (U.S. EPA, 1989b). Based on a review of fish to sediment  bioconcentration factors by
U.S. EPA (1988a) a fish to sediment ratio of 1:1 is used in the generic analysis of typical risk.  This
value is used for both TCDD and TCDF. The fish bioconcentration factor used in the generic MEI
                                            444

-------
assessment also differs from the value used in the site-specific MEI assessment.  A fish to sediment
ratio of 10:1 is used in the generic MEI assessment for both TCDD and TCDF (U.S. EPA,  1988a).
Data Sources and Model Inputs for the Rate of Human Consumption of Fish

       Although the generic and site-specific assessments use the same rate of human consumption
of fish to calculate typical exposure, the consumption rates differ between the two analyses for the
MEI calculations. A consumption rate of 100 grams per day was used in the site-specific assessment
(U.S. EPA, 1988b). This consumption rate reflects the upper 90th percentile consumption rate of
freshwater fish for sport fishers in the Great Lakes  area. In the  generic assessment, the MEI is
assumed to be a subsistence fisher consuming freshwater at the rate of 140 grams per day (U.S. EPA
Office of Water).

6.1.5  Summary of Results

       The estimates of typical and MEI exposure and health risks from the landfilling of paper
mill sludge containing TCDD and TCDF are summarized in Tables 6.1.E and 6.I.F. The tables show
that the greatest risk to the MEI is through consumption of contaminated fish. This pathway results
in risks of 5 x 10"2. Ingestion of contaminated surface water results in an MEI risk of 7 x  10"'*.  The
ground water  and volatilization  pathways result in risks to the MEI that are  several  orders of
magnitude lower than the risks resulting from surface water runoff.

       The greatest risk to a typical individual is estimated to be  8  x 10"8 and results from  the
consumption of contaminated fish.  The highest risk  to a typical individual is therefore about six
orders  of magnitude lower  than the greatest risk to the MEI. The pathways which contribute the
highest number of cancer cases per  year to the entire U.S.  population  are the same as those
contributing the highest MEI risk: consumption of contaminated fish and ingestion of contaminated
surface water.

       The risks from all landfill  exposure pathways except fish consumption are dominated by
TCDF.  This is a result of TCDF's  higher solubility and volatility as compared with TCDD.

6.2    Exposure and Risk from Disposal of Pulp and Paper Sludge in Surface Impoundments

       Surface impoundments are  defined as  facilities in which sludge from pulp and paper mills
is stored or disposed on land without a cover layer of soil. It is assumed that sludge contained in
                                           445

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such facilities contains more moisture than the sludge deposited in landfills, at least in the active

phase of the surface impoundment.  As in the analysis reported in Section 2.1.3, this generic analysis

estimates human exposure to TCDD  and TCDF through four exposure pathways associated  with

surface impoundments:


       •      Volatilized TCDD and TCDF are emitted from the impoundment surface. These are
              transported downwind to nearby areas. Humans inhale the contaminated ambient air,
              and are exposed.

       •      Contaminants from sludge placed in the impoundment are dissolved in water seeping
              through the bottom of the facility. Contaminated water enters an aquifer beneath the
              impoundment, and flows down-gradient to drinking water wells. Humans withdraw
              drinking water from the contaminated aquifer and are exposed.

       •      Surface runoff carries  particles of sludge from the surface of the impoundment to a
              nearby lake or stream.  TCDD and TCDF adsorbed to these particles enter the surface
              water body, and are released to surface water.  Humans withdraw surface water for
              drinking and are exposed.

       •      Surface runoff carries  particles of sludge from the surface of the impoundment to a
              nearby lake or stream,  where the particles are suspended or settle to bottom sediment.
              Fish absorb and bioconcentrate TCDD and TCDF from the sludge particles. Humans
              ingest the  fish, and are exposed.

       For the site-specific  analysis  described in Chapter 2.3, generic scenarios were constructed
to represent "typical" and "worst case" surface impoundments to estimate exposure for a typical and

most exposed individual, respectively.  These generic scenarios were used to predict the extent to

which groundwater, surface water, or ambient air might be contaminated near such a facility.  Site-
specific parameters were  then used to determine the extent to which humans  might be exposed to
contaminants transported from each actual facility.  The generic analysis uses the same scenarios as

the site-specific analysis; however, there are some differences in the input values  used, as outlined

below for each exposure pathway. Input values used across all pathways are presented in Table 6.2.A.
6.2.1.  Estimates of Exposure and Risk from Inhalation of Vapors


Methodology


       Risks from the inhalation of TCDD and TCDF emitted from surface impoundments are

estimated with three steps: 1) estimation of the rate at which these two contaminants volatilize from

the impoundment, 2)  estimation of the extent to which concentrations of emitted contaminant in

ambient are decreased during wind transport to surrounding areas, and 3) estimation of the sizes of

populations exposed to each level of contamination. The site-specific analysis discussed in Section

2.3.1 used a generic scenario (and a two-phase resistance model) to predict emissions from a surface
                                           448

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impoundment, but used site-specific data, together with the ISCLT model,  to predict the wind
transport  of  contaminants in ambient  air, and  the subsequent exposure of humans living in
surrounding areas. The generic analysis uses identical methods to perform these calculations.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       Values used for each input parameter for typical and MEI exposure estimates are presented
in Table  6.2.B.   A  description of these parameters,  is provided by  Section 2.3.1, along with
justification for the values used for the site-specific analysis. Data for estimating emissions for the
generic analysis  differ from those  used for  the  analysis discussed in Section 2.3.1 only  in the
concentrations of TCDD, as discussed in Section 6.0. All other inputs are the same as those discussed
in Chapter 2.3.

6.2.2.  Estimates of Exposure and  Risks from Ingestion of  Drinking Water from Groundwater
Sources

Methodology

       Estimating potential  groundwater  contamination and human  exposure  from a surface
impoundment requires three steps:  (1) estimating  the rate at which  contaminants seep from the
bottom of the impoundment and  are transported through the  unsaturated zone, (2) estimating the
extent to  which concentrations of contaminant within the aquifer are reduced prior to reaching a
drinking water well, and (3) estimating the extent of likely human exposure at various distances
from the  site. Section 2.3.2 describes methods used for each of these steps  for the site-specific
analysis. For "best estimates" of the transport of contaminants to groundwater, that analysis assumed
that the impoundment is no longer active when most of the migration of contaminants to groundwater
takes place, and used the SESOIL model to calculate the rate of expected loadings of contaminant to
the aquifer. The generic analysis follows an identical approach with the SESOIL model.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       Input parameter values for  estimating exposure  from typical and MEI scenarios for the
generic analysis  are provided in Table 6.2.C.  Most of those values are identical to those used in
Section 2.3.2.  Exceptions are the sludge  contamination levels (discussed in Section 6.0) and the size
of the exposed population.
                                            452

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Predicting the Size of Exposed Populations
                                   *
       Section 2.3.2 describes methods for using site-specific data to estimate the number of persons
likely to ingest well-water taken  from areas  within the contaminant plume down-gradient of a
surface  impoundment.  Based on data from the National Well Water Association, FRDSPWS, and
Statistical Abstracts, it was estimated that an average of 0.17 persons take drinking water from wells
within each hectare of  land in counties containing surface impoundments.  The generic analysis
follows  a different  approach, in which the density of persons potentially exposed is assumed to  be
constant throughout the United States.  To calculate the size of the exposed populations, the size  of
the affected area down-gradient of each site (within 400, 2000, or 4000 meters) is simply multiplied
by a single average  population density (68 persons per square mile or 0.26 per hectare). The results
are multiplied by the  number of existing facilities reporting the use of surface impoundments (20)
to estimate the sizes of exposed populations listed in Table 6.2.C .  Resulting estimates of the size  of
the exposed  populations are therefore higher than those  used for the site-specific  calculations
described in Section 6.3.2.

6.2.3  Estimates of Exposure  and Risks from Ingestion of Drinking Water from Surface Water
       Sources

Methodology

       The methodology used for the generic assessment is identical to that used for the site-specific
assessment.  Details of  the methods  used for these  calculations are presented in Appendix B and
Section 2.3.3.  In general, the methods use the Universal Soil Loss Equation, together with estimates
of sediment delivery ratios, to estimate the fraction of a lake's or stream's sediment that originates
from the surface impoundment. By multiplying this fraction by the original concentration of TCDD
and TCDF in sludge or soil particles on the surface impoundment surface, the methodology derives
estimates of  the concentration of  contaminants in  the sediment. This contaminant load is then
partitioned between adsorbed  and dissolved  phases.   Contaminant concentrations in water are
combined with data on human rates of water ingestion, the size of the population exposed, and slope
factors to yield exposure and risk estimates.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       Data sources and model inputs for estimating sediment and water contaminant concentrations
can be found in Table 6.2.D for both typical individuals and the MEL  Section 6.0 discussed  the
                                           457

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sludge concentrations assumed in the site-specific and generic scenarios.  Additional differences in
model inputs between the generic assessment and the site-specific assessment are discussed below.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Deriving the Partition Coefficient

       Koc, the organic carbon:water partition coefficient, is multiplied by the fraction of organic
carbon in the sediment to obtain  Kd,  the sediment:water partition coefficient.  In the site-specific
assessment the MEI "best estimate" assumes a one percent organic carbon content. The generic MEI
assessment assumes a 0.1 percent organic carbon content. The effect of this change will be a decrease
in the sediment contamination level and an increase in the water contamination level.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of the Exposed Population

       In the site-specific analysis, the size of the exposed population was estimated by multiplying
the watershed area of the contaminated stream by the population density of the regions in which the
SMAs were located.  In the generic analysis, a national  population density (68 people per square
mile) replaces the regional population density.

6.2.4  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Fish  from Surface  Water Sources

Methodology

       The methodology used for the generic assessment is identical to that used for the site-specific
assessment.  Details  of  the methods used  for these calculations are presented  in Appendix B and
Section 2.3.3. The calculations follow the methodology presented Section 6.2.3 through the estimation
of sediment concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in water bodies  as a result of runoff from surface
impoundments.   Once sediment  concentrations  have been estimated,  however, the methodology
departs from that described in Section 6.2.3, and uses fish to sediment bioconcentration factors and
estimates of human consumption of fish to calculate contaminant  doses to  humans. Finally, the size
of the exposed population is combined with estimates of individual dose  and health risk to derive
total health risks  to the  entire exposed populations.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       Data sources  and model inputs for estimating  fish contaminant concentrations can be found
in Table  6.2.D for both typical individuals and the MEI. Differences between the site-specific and
generic assumptions regarding sludge concentration are discussed  in Section 6.0. The differences in
                                             461

-------
the sediment:water partition coefficient used and in the size of the population exposed presented in
Section  6.2.3 also  apply to the  assessment of  risks  from  the ingestion  of contaminated fish.
Additional differences between the generic assessment and the site-specific assessment are discussed
below.

Data Source and Model  Inputs for Estimating the Fish to Sediment Bioconcentration Factor

       Both the site-specific analysis and the generic analysis calculate bioaccumulation in fish as
a function of a fish-to-sediment bioconcentration factor. In the site-specific analysis of typical and
MEI  risk, the  bioconcentration  factors used  for TCDD  and TCDF were  0.0967 and  0.1538,
respectively (U.S. EPA, 1989b.)  Based on a review of fish to sediment bioconcentration factors by
U.S. EPA (1988a) a fish to sediment ratio of 1:1 is used  in the generic analysis of typical risk. This
value is used for both TCDD and TCDF.  The fish bioconcentration factor used in the generic MEI
assessment also differs from the value used in the site-specific MEI assessment. A fish-to-sediment
ratio of 10:1 is  used in the generic MEI assessment for  both TCDD and TCDF (U.S. EPA,  1988a).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for the Rate of Human Consumption of Fish

       Although the generic and site-specific assessments use the  same rate of fish consumption to
calculate typical exposure, the consumption rates differ for the MEI calculations. A consumption rate
of 100 grams day was used in the site-specific assessment (U.S. EPA, 1988b). This consumption rate
reflects the upper 90th percentile ingestion rate of freshwater fish for sport  fishers in the Great Lakes
area.  In the generic assessment, the MEI is assumed to be a subsistence fisher consuming freshwater
at the rate of 140 grams per day (U.S. EPA Office of Water).

6.2.5  Summary of Results

       The estimates of typical and MEI exposure and health risks from the disposal of paper mill
sludge in surface impoundments are summarized in Tables 6.2.E and 6.2.F. The tables indicate that
the largest risk to  the MEI is through consumption of contaminated fish.  This pathway results in
an MEI risk of 1 x 10"1.  Ingestion of contaminated surface water results in an MEI risk of
2 x 10"3.  The ground water and volatilization pathways result in  risks to the MEI  that are several
orders of magnitude lower than  the risks resulting from surface water runoff.

       The highest typical individual risk is therefore about six orders of  magnitude lower  than the
greatest risk to the MEI.  The greatest risk to a typical individual is estimated to be 1 x 10"7, and
results from consumption  of contaminated fish.  The pathways which contribute the highest number
                                            462

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of annual cancer cases to the entire U.S. population are the same as those contributing the highest
MEI risk: consumption of contaminated fish and ingestion of contaminated surface water.

       The risks from all surface impoundment exposure pathways except fish consumption are
dominated by TCDF.  This is a result of TCDF's higher solubility and volatility as compared with
TCDD.

6.3    Exposure and Risks from Land Application of Pulp and Paper Sludge

       Land application of sludge, while an alternative disposal method, also fertilizes and conditions
soil and allows the sludge  to be used as fill. Sludge may  be applied to agricultural sites, to mines and
to forests. Exposure pathways of concern differ among the types of land receiving the sludge. For
example, land application at agricultural sites may expose onsite residents (i.e., farmers) to TCDD
and TCDF through pathways  that are not relevant at mine/forest sites assuming  that there are no
permanent residents at the mine and forest sites. The following pathways of exposure are considered
in this analysis:

       Human risk estimates for forest application and mine  reclamation consider two pathways:

       •      Contaminated soil erodes from the forest or mine site and contaminates surface water
              and stream sediment. The surface water serves as a drinking supply.

       •      Contaminated soil erodes from the forest or mine site and contaminates surface water
              and sediment. TCDD and TCDF is incorporated into fish tissue and fish are consumed
              by humans.

Human risk estimates from agricultural application consider  the two pathways above and add the
following pathways:

       •      Small amounts of contaminant are taken  up into the tissues of crops. These crops are
              then either consumed by members of the farm household or distributed in the general
              market; or these crops are fed to animals which bioconcentrate the contaminant. The
              meat or dairy  products  produced from these animals are  consumed  by the farm
              household or distributed in the general market.
                                             465

-------
       •      Children and adults in- the farming household come into direct dermal contact with
              the sludge-amended soil in both outdoor and indoor settings. TCDD and TCDF from
              the sludge is  absorbed through the skin.   Children ingest  small amounts of the
              sludge/soil mixture through normal mouthing behavior.  Adults also inadvertently
              ingest small quantities of sludge/soil.

       •      TCDD and TCDF applied to the farmland volatilizes from the sludge into the air.
              Residents of the farm inhale the volatilized TCDD and  TCDF.

       •      Particles of the sludge/soil mixture become suspended in the  air  during application.
              Residents of the farm inhale the contaminated particles.

       The models used to estimate risk for each of these pathways are  identical to the models used
in the site-specific assessment and are therefore not repeated.  Model parameter values used in the
generic assessment that differ from the site-specific assessment are described for each pathway. Data
inputs  not specifically discussed are consistent with the site-specific assessment.  For a complete
discussion of the land application methodology and of the data sources used to select input values,
the reader is referred  to Section  2.4. The parameters used to estimate soil concentrations in the
generic assessment are  presented in Table 6.3.A, and are discussed below.  Table 6.3.B presents data
regarding physical/chemical characteristics of TCDD and TCDF needed in  the analysis of several
exposure pathways. Results from the analysis of generic land application practices are summarized
in the Section 6.3.8.

Differences in Calculation of Soil Concentrations

       Four input parameters are needed to determine the concentration of contaminants in soil: (1)
the concentration of  the contaminants  in the sludge, (2)  the  sludge  application rate, (3) the
incorporation depth of the sludge, and (4) the time period over which sludge is applied. Differences
between the assumed  sludge concentrations used in  the site-specific  assessment and the generic
assessment were discussed in Section 6.0. Additional  differences  between the  two assessments'
assumptions in calculating soil concentrations are discussed below.

       In the site-specific assessment, application rates particular to each state were used to calculate
soil concentrations.  In the generic  assessment only two application rates are  used - one for the
agricultural application scenario and one for the mine and forest application scenario.  To estimate
reasonable values for these generic  application rates,  the rates of agricultural application obtained
                                             466

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from states were averaged and the rates of forest and mine application obtained from states were
averaged. Application rates that were 'estimated based on practices in other states were not included
in the averages.

       In both the site-specific and the generic analysis, it is assumed that sludge that is applied
agriculturally is  incorporated to a depth of fifteen centimeters. Sludge applied to reclaim mines is
assumed to be top-dressed in both analyses. For silvicultural applications of sludge, the site-specific
assessment assumed that sludge was incorporated at a depth of two and one-half centimeters. This
reflects the accumulation of duff and the incorporation effects of activity on the forest floor.  In the
                                                                                n.
generic analysis, however, silvicultural application is analyzed as a unit with mine reclamation, and
conservatively assumed not to be incorporated with the  soil.

       In both assessments, calculations of soil concentrations for mine reclamation and silvicultural
applications assume a  one-time application.   In the site-specific assessment, agricultural land in
Mississippi was  assumed to receive sludge for 70 years; in Pennsylvania sludge was assumed to be
applied for 20 years. These time periods were based on information from officials in each state. In
the generic assessment, agricultural applications of sludge are assumed to continue for 70 years in the
MEI analysis and for 20 years in the typical analysis.

6.3.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Dermal Contact with Skin

Methodology

       Risks from dermal exposure are calculated as a function of the amount of soil in contact with
the skin, the length of time the soil remains on the skin, and the dermal  absorption rate.  The
methods used to estimate risks from dermal contact with sludge-contaminated soil are described in
Section 2.4.1.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       The values used for each model input for typical and MEI exposure estimates are summarized
in Table 6.3.C.  A description of these input parameters, and a discussion of the basis for selecting
input parameter values, are found in Section 2.4.1.  Differences between generic and site-specific
sludge concentration assumptions are discussed in Section 6.0. There are no other differences between
the two analyses for this exposure pathway. There are no other differences between the two analyses
for this exposure pathway.  It is important to note that in  other pathways considered in the generic
assessment, the  bioavailability of TCDD  is assumed to be 100%.  However,  dermal absorption of
                                             470

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TCDD and TCDF are significantly different from the mechanism of exposure upon which risk
estimates were based; therefore, a dermal bioavailability factor is used for TCDD and TCDF.  The
generic analysis uses the same factors for dermal absorption of TCDD and TCDF as the site-specific
analysis.  A transfer coefficient of 0.012 h"1 is used in the estimate of typical exposure for all age
groups, while in the MEI exposure analysis, a transfer coefficient of 0.024 hr"1 is used for  both
younger and  older children.

6.3.2  Estimates of Exposure  and Risks  from Ingestion of Produce,  Meat, and  Dairy  Products
       Grown on Sludge-Amended Land

Methodology

       This section evaluates the risks from dietary exposure that may result from application of
contaminated sludge to pasture and cropland.  The methodology used in the generic assessment is
identical to that used in the site-specific assessment. The methodology is described in Section 2.4.2.
The calculations  proceed in three steps.   First,  the model calculates  tissue concentrations of
contaminants in each crop as a result of the land application of sludge. Second,  the model estimates
concentrations of the contaminants in meat or dairy products. Contaminants are assumed to enter
meat and dairy products as a result of animal ingestion of sludge-treated crops and pasture grasses
and of direct ingestion of sludge adhering to pasture grasses. Third, the model sums the amount of
each contaminant in all crops and animal products ingested by humans to estimate typical population
exposure or MEI exposure.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       Data sources and model inputs for estimating dietary  risk can be found in Table 6.3.D for
both typical individuals and the MEI. Differences between the site-specific and generic assessments
regarding sludge concentrations are discussed in Section 6.0.  Additional differences between the
generic assessment and the site-specific assessment are discussed below.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Sludge-amended  Acreage. Crops Grown on Sludge-amended
Land, and Percent of Crops Fed to Animals

       Both the site-specific analysis and the generic analysis assume that 435 hectares of agricultural
land receives TCDD-contaminated sludges. However, in the site-specific analysis, typical risks are
calculated separately for the two states, Mississippi and Pennsylvania,  in  which sludge is applied
agriculturally. A  generic scenario for agricultural application was created by averaging the inputs,
                                             475

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weighted by land area, for Mississippi and Pennsylvania.   In the generic scenario, the practices in
the two states are combined and presented as though they were occurring at one site.  Since the risk
calculations do not depend on the location of the site, combining the site acreage does not affect risk.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Animal Bioconcentration Factors

        The rates at which animals incorporate TCDD in feed into their system is used to estimate
contaminant concentrations in meat and dairy products. The animal bioconcentration factors (BCF)
used for beef fat, milk fat, pork fat, and chicken fat differ between the site-specific and generic
MEI analyses.  A value of 4 is used for the BCF for each of these products in the site-specific MEI
analysis. The generic MEI analysis conservatively uses the site-specific MEI "high estimates".  The
BCF values in the generic analysis are therefore 6 for beef fat, pork fat, and chicken fat and 5 for
milk fat.

       Both the typical and the MEI analyses use a different BCF for fish in the generic assessment
than was used in the site-specific assessment. A fish BCF of 0.1 was used in the site-specific analysis
for both the typical and MEI scenarios (U.S. EPA, 1989b).  A BCF of 1 is substituted for 0.1 in the
generic typical risk assessment; in the MEI generic assessment a BCF of 10 is input.  The generic BCF
values are  based on a review of the literature on fish-to-sediment  ratios  presented by U.S. EPA
(1988a).  These values represent a more conservative estimate of risk than do the fish BCF's used
in the site-specific assessment.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for MEI Dietary  Consumption Rates

       One of the inputs in calculating MEI exposure is the rate at which  the MEI consumes foods
of the type which may be contaminated. In both the site-specific and the generic analyses estimates
of MEI dietary consumption are drawn from the U.S. EPA's Office of Pesticide Program's Tolerance
Assessment System (TAS) dietary data base (U.S. EPA, 1987). TAS presents consumption rates for
several  age categories.  In the site-specific analysis,  the  values chosen from TAS represent the
consumption rates of a non-nursing infant. This age group was chosen since a non-nursing infant
consumes a relatively large amount of food per unit of body weight. The MEI is assumed to maintain
this rate of consumption throughout his entire lifetime.

       An alternate set of consumption rates was used in the generic assessment.  The  generic
assessment reviewed the TAS database to determine the age category for which the consumption rate
of each contaminated food type was greatest on a per body weight basis. The MEI was assumed to
consume each contaminated food type at this highest rate of consumption for his entire lifetime.  This
                                              482

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mixing of the consumption rates of different age groups may appear unrealistic and excessively
conservative as a method of representing constant consumption rates over an individual's lifetime.
However, the TAS database reports average consumption rates for each of the age groups and does
not represent individuals with unusually high consumption rates per unit of body weight. Therefore,
the conservative method described above was chosen to compensate for outlying high individual rates
of consumption that are not represented by TAS data.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Population to which Contaminated Produce is Distributed

       To determine typical exposures, the total available quantity of contaminated food  is divided
by the population across which the crop or animal product is distributed. In the site-specific analysis,
produce from Mississippi was assumed to be distributed nationally; produce from Pennsylvania was
assumed to be distributed throughout the New England and Mid-Atlantic regions. In the generic
assessment, all produce is assumed to  be distributed nationally.  This assumption does not affect
population risk  (e.g.,  cases per  year) since the quantity of contaminated  food is  determined
independently of the population exposed and risk is assumed to be a linear function of exposure.

6.3.3  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Direct Ingestion of Sludge

Methodology

       Direct ingestion of soil can occur when sludge is applied to sites where people may live and
work, such as a family farm.  The calculations for estimating risks from direct ingestion  of sludge
contaminants are given in Section  2.4.3.  Risk is estimated based on the daily quantity of soil and
dust ingested and the slope factors of TCDD and TCDF.

Data Sources and Model Inputs Used to Estimate Exposure through Direct Ingestion of Sludge

       The values used for each model input are summarized in Table 6.3.E for  both the typical
individual and the MEI. Section 2.4.3 describes each input and documents the data sources used  to
derive the values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses.  Differences between
generic  and site-specific  sludge concentration  assumptions  are discussed in Section  6.0.   The
following section describes other input values that differ from the site-specific analysis.
                                             483

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484

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Ingestion Rates

       The  memorandum "Interim Final Guidance for Soil Ingestion Rates" (EPA, 1989d) gives a
suggested range of soil ingestion rates for children of 0.1 to 0.2 grams per day, with a maximum of
0.8 grams per day.  The guidance memorandum suggests the use of 0.2 grams per day as a best
estimate of daily soil ingestion for children. For adults, the guidance memorandum gives a range for
adult soil ingestion of 0.001 to 0.1 grams per day.  To simplify the calculation of risks from soil
ingestion, and for consistency with other regulatory activities performed under RCRA, the generic
analysis eliminates the separate consideration of children  and adults and instead assumes a single
ingestion rate of 0.1 grams per day to approximate a daily ingestion rate over an individual lifetime
for both  the typical and MEI generic scenarios.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Fraction of  Soil Ingested from Outdoor and Indoor Sources

       The  fraction of soil ingested indoors and outdoors  is multiplied by the total daily ingestion
rates used by EPA (1989d) to derive the quantities of soil  ingested indoors and outdoors each day.
Unlike in the site-specific assessment, where a fraction of soil was assumed to originate from indoor
sources, the generic assessment assumes that all  of the soil originates  from outdoor sources for both
the MEI  and the typical exposure analyses.

6.3.4   Estimates of Exposures and Risks from  Inhalation of Sludge-Contaminated Particulates

Methodology

       TCDD and TCDF adhering to soil particles can become suspended in the air near a site treated
with sludge. Transport downwind will dilute the concentration of particles from a treated area; these
particles  will also redeposit on surfaces.  Farmers using pulp and paper mill sludge may be exposed
to TCDD or TCDF by inhaling these particles.

       The  methodologies used in the  site-specific and  generic analyses  of risks from  inhaled
particles are identical.  To estimate the suspended particulate emissions at treated sites in the typical
generic analysis, the methodology presented in Estimating Exposures to 2.3.7.8-TCDD (EPA. 1988a)
is used. To obtain particulate concentration, the calculated emission rate is used as an input to  a box
model of atmospheric mixing. Both of these models are described in detail  in Section 2.4.4 of this
report.
                                             485

-------
       As an alternative approach to estimating onsite paniculate concentration, the model described
by Hawley (1985) is applied for the MEI generic analysis; this model uses measured values of total
suspended  particles  adjusted  by  the  fraction of  particles assumed to  be derived from local
(contaminated) soils to derive onsite concentrations of contaminated particles. The calculations
required to used this method are also described in Section 2.4.4  of this report.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Exposure through the Inhalation  of Particles

       The values used  for each model input for the typical and MEI exposure estimates are
summarized in Table 6.3.F.  Section 2.4.4 describes each input and documents the data sources used
to derive the values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses. Differences between
generic and site-specific sludge concentration assumptions are discussed in Section 6.0.  There are
no other differences between the input values used in the site-specific and generic assessments.

6.3.5  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of Vapors

Methodology

       Farmers land-applying contaminated sludge may incur risk from the inhalation of volatilized
TCDD and TCDF.  The  methodology for estimating the emissions of TCDD and TCDF vapor  at
agricultural land application sites in the generic assessment is identical to that used in the site-specific
assessment.  The methodology generally follows methods for estimating volatilization described  in
EPA (1988a).

       The calculation of risks from the inhalation of vaporized  TCDD and TCDF requires first the
estimation of emissions, then the calculation of indoor and outdoor onsite concentrations. Because
actual  locations of the homes using composted sludge are not known,  the ISCLT model could not
be used to estimate downwind concentrations. As a  result, this analysis estimates only exposures  to
onsite  residents (i.e., farmers),  using a box  model to obtain the onsite  concentrations from the
emissions estimates. The concentrations are combined with data on time spent indoors and outdoors,
respiration rate and slope factors of TCDD  and TCDF to obtain  the estimated cancer risk from this
pathway of exposure.  These calculations are described in detail in  Section 2.4.5.

Data Sources and Model  Inputs for Estimating Exposure through the Inhalation  of Vapor

       Table 6.3.F. summarizes key assumptions and  input parameters for estimating typical and MEI
exposure through the vapor and  particulate inhalation pathways. Differences between generic and
                                             486

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site-specific  sludge  concentration assumptions  are discussed in Section 6.0. There  are  no other
differences between the input values -used in the site-specific and generic assessments.

6.3.6  Estimates of Exposure  and Risks from  Ingestion of Drinking Water from Surface Water
       Sources

       In the  site-specific  assessment,  the typical  risks  resulting from  land  application  of
contaminated sludge were reported as an average of the seven land application sites. The  MEI risk
reported was the highest risk resulting from land application at any one site. This generic assessment,
however, distinguishes between risks  resulting  from agricultural application of sludge and risks
resulting from silvicultural and mine reclamation applications. Typical risks are reported separately
for agricultural application and for silvicultural and mine reclamation applications.  Two MEI risks
are also reported:  one representing  the highest  risks from agricultural application  and the second
representing  the highest risks from silvicultural  or mine reclamation application.

Methodology

       The methodology used for the generic assessment is identical to that used for the site-specific
assessment.   Details of the methods used for these calculations are presented in Appendix B and
Section 2.4.7. In general, the  Universal  Soil Loss Equation, together with estimates of  sediment
delivery ratios, is used to  estimate the  fraction of a lake's or stream's sediment that  originates from
the land application site.  By multiplying this fraction by the original concentration of TCDD and
TCDF in sludge or soil particles on the sludge management  area (SMA) surface, the  methodology
derives estimates of the concentration of contaminants in the sediment.  This contaminant load is then
partitioned  between  adsorbed  and  dissolved phases.   Contaminant  concentrations  in water  are
combined with data on human rates of  water ingestion, the size of the population exposed, and slope
factors to yield exposure and risk  estimates.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       Data sources and model inputs for estimating sediment and water contaminant concentrations
can be found in Table 6.3.G (for agricultural application) and Table 6.3.H (for silvicultural  and mine
application)  for both typical individuals and  the MEI.  Differences between the site-specific and
generic assessments regarding  the assumed  sludge concentrations were  discussed in Section 6.0.
Additional differences between the generic assessment and the site-specific assessment are  discussed
below.
                                             490

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Calculating Sediment Concentration

       As explained in Appendix B, the parameters necessary to calculate sediment concentration
(before partitioning) from soil concentration are: SMA area, SMA sediment delivery ratio, drainage
area, drainage area sediment delivery ratio, and the Universal Soil Loss Equation parameters.  New
values are used for the SMA area and the SMA sediment delivery ratio in the generic assessment.

       In the site-specific analysis, the area of each sludge-amended site was combined with other
site-specific parameters to determine the risks presented by each site.  The site that resulted in the
highest individual risk was used to represent the MEI scenario.  For the generic MEI assessment,
the largest  reported  SMA  area from  the site-specific analysis  is used to  calculate  risk.  For
silvicultural and mine reclamation applications, the sludge management area is assumed to be 1,012
hectares.  For the generic  assessment of MEI risks from agricultural land application,  the largest
reported land application are, 405 acres, is used.

       The second input variable that differs between the two analyses is the SMA sediment delivery
ratio.  This ratio is a function of  the distance between the SMA and  the nearest  body of surface
water.  In the  site-specific analysis, distances specific to each  state  were used.   In the generic
assessment,  representative values were chosen for the two types of land application. For the
assessment of typical and MEI risks from agricultural land application, the generic assessment used
a distance of 30 meters.  This was the only distance estimate reported for agricultural application.
and corresponds to the State of Pennsylvania's permitted limit for distance  between a SMA and a
drainage way. The distance between  the SMA and surface water used in estimating the typical risk
from  silvicultural  and mine reclamation application is an average of three distances obtained from
states in which current SMAs are believed to be located. These values reflect either a permit limit
on distance  or an estimate  of actual distance between the SMA and surface water.  The distance is
assumed  to  equal  1,355 meters.  For  the MEI risk estimate for silvicultural and mine reclamation
applications, the smallest of the three estimates of distance, 46 meters, was used.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Deriving the Partition Coefficient

       Koc, the partition coefficient between water and organic carbon, is multiplied by the fraction
of organic carbon in the sediment to obtain Kd, the partition coefficient between sediment and water.
In the site-specific assessment the MEI "best estimate" assumes a one percent organic carbon content.
                                              497

-------
The generic MEI assessment assumes a 0.1 percent organic carbon content. The effect of this change
will be a decrease in the sediment contamination level and an increase in the water contamination
level.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of the Exposed Population

       In the site-specific analysis, the size of the exposed population was estimated by multiplying
the watershed area of the contaminated stream by the population density of the regions in which the
SMAs were located. In the generic analysis, a national population density (68 people per square
mile) replaces the regional  population density.

6.3.7  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Fish from Surface Water Sources

Methodology

       The methodology used for the generic assessment is identical to that used for the site-specific
assessment. Details of  the methods used for these  calculations are presented  in Appendix B and
Section  2.4.7. The calculation follows those presented in Section 6.3.6 through the  estimation of
sediment  concentrations of TCDD and  TCDF in water  bodies as a result of runoff from land
application sites.  Once sediment concentrations have been  estimated, however, the methodology
departs  from that described in Section 6.3.6, and uses fish-to-sediment bioconcentration factors and
estimates  of human consumption of fish to calculate contaminant doses to humans.  The estimate of
the size of the exposed population is combined with estimates of individual dose and  health risk to
derive total health risks to  the entire exposed populations.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       Data sources and model inputs for estimating sediment and water contaminant concentrations
can be  found in Table 6.3.G (agricultural applications) and Table 6.3.H (silvicultural and mine
reclamation applications) for both typical individuals and the MEI. Differences between the site-
specific and generic assessments regarding assumed sludge concentrations are discussed  in Section 6.0.
Differences regarding sediment:water partition coefficient, the site sediment delivery  ratio, the area
of the SMA, and the size  of the exposed  population are presented in Section 6.3.6.  Additional
differences between the generic assessment and the site-specific assessment are discussed below.
                                              498

-------
Data Source and Model Inputs for Estimating the Fish to Sediment Bioconcentration Factor

       Both the site-specific analysis and the generic analysis calculate bioaccumulation in fish as
a function of a fish-to-sediment bioconcentration factor. In the site-specific analysis of typical and
MEI risk the bioconcentration  factors  used for  TCDD  and  TCDF were  0.0967 and 0.1538,
respectively (U.S. EPA,  1989b). Based on a review of fish to sediment bioconcentration factors by
U.S. EPA (1988a), a fish-to-sediment ratio of 1:1 is used in the generic analysis of typical risk. This
value is used for both TCDD and TCDF.  The fish bioconcentration factor used in the generic MEI
assessment also.differs from  the value used in the site-specific MEI assessment. A fish-to-sediment
ratio of 10:1 is used in the generic assessment (U.S. EPA, 1988a).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for the Rate of Human Consumption of Fish

       Although the generic and site-specific assessments use  the same rate of fish consumption to
calculate typical exposure, the consumption rates differ for the MEI calculations. A consumption rate
of 100 grams day was used in the site-specific assessment (U.S.  EPA, 1988b).  This consumption rate
reflected the upper 90th percentile ingestion rate of freshwater fish by sport fishers in the  Great
Lakes area.  In the generic  assessment, the MEI is assumed to be a subsistence fisher consuming
freshwater fish at the rate of 140 grams per day (U.S. EPA Office of Water).

6.3.8   Summary of Results

       The estimates of typical and MEI exposure and health risks from the land application of paper
mill sludge containing TCDD and TCDF are summarized in Tables 6.3.1 and 6.3.J. The tables indicate
that the greatest risk to the MEI is presented by the consumption of fish contaminated by surface
runoff.   Consumption of contaminated fish results in  risks on the  order of 10"1.  The pathway
presenting the second greatest risk to the MEI is consumption of produce grown in contaminated soil;
ingestion of contaminated drinking water also results in  a relatively high MEI risk.

       In contrast to the MEI, the typical individual is exposed to the greatest risk through inhalation
of volatilized TCDD and TCDF.  The risks to a typical individual from inhalation of volatilized
TCDD and TCDF are estimated as 1 x 10"5.  This risk is  an order of magnitude lower than the risk
to the MEI through volatilization, and about four orders of magnitude lower than the risk to the MEI
through any exposure pathway.

       The  pathways resulting in the largest number of annual cancer cases for the entire U.S.
population are, in order of contribution to magnitude: consumption of contaminated fish, ingestion
                                             499

-------






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of contaminated surface water, and consumption of produce grown from contaminated soil.

       The risks are dominated by TCDD for all pathways except the volatilization, surface water
and groundwater pathways.  TCDF is more significant in determining risk than TCDD for these
pathways due to its greater volatility and solubility.

6.4    Exposure and Risks from Distribution and Marketing of Pulp and Paper Sludge

       Sludge that is composted and marketed can be used as a soil amendment in residential settings
as well as for agricultural and commercial purposes.  As in  the site-specific analysis, the generic
analysis estimates risks to members of households using composted sludge from the following routes
of exposure:

       • Home  gardeners incorporate distributed and marketed sludge to home gardens. The home-
       grown crops incorporate small amounts of contaminant into their tissues. Household residents
       then consume the home-grown crops.

       • Home gardeners incorporate distributed and  marketed sludge into their home gardens, or
       use it for other home gardening purposes, such as lawns or flower beds. Children and adults
       in the gardening  household come into direct dermal contact with the sludge. TCDD and
       TCDF from the sludge is absorbed through the skin.

       • Children  ingest small  amounts of  the sludge/soil mixture through normal mouthing
       behavior.  Adults also inadvertently  ingest small quantities of sludge/soil.

       • TCDD and TCDF in distributed and marketed sludge volatilizes  from the sludge into the
       air.  Residents of the household inhale the volatilized TCDD and TCDF.

       • Distributed and marketed sludge is applied to home gardens or other home uses. Particles
       of the sludge/soil mixture become suspended in the air.  Members of the household inhale
       the contaminated particles.

       There are few differences between the site-specific assessment and the generic assessment,
since a "generic" distribution and marketing scenario had to be constructed in the site-specific
assessment to estimate risks from the distribution and marketing of sludge from plants currently
engaged in this use practice. In the generic scenario, a household uses composted sludge as a soil
amendment  for ornamental or vegetable gardening. For a complete discussion of the scenario and
                                             504

-------
of the data sources used to construct the scenario, the reader is referred to Section 2.5. The estimated
soil concentrations used  in the generic-assessment for typical and MEI exposure analyses are shown
in Table 6.4.A.   Methods used to derive soil concentrations are described in Appendix A of this
report. As this table shows, the generic assessment assumes that the typical gardener soil-incorporates
sludge, while the MEI gardener does not. Other parameters that describe the generic scenario, as well
as the physical/chemical parameters of TCDD and TCDF used in the assessment of several of the
exposure pathways, are  presented in Table 6.4.B.

       The following sections describe the methods and data used to estimate risks from home uses
of distributed and marketed sludge through each these pathways.  Results are summarized in the final
section.

6.4.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Dermal Contact with Skin

Methodology

       Risks from dermal exposure are calculated as a function of the amount of soil  in contact with
the skin,  the length of  time the  soil remains on  the skin, and the dermal absorption rate.  The
methods used to estimate risks from dermal contact with sludge-contaminated soil are described in
Section 2.5.1.

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       The values used for each model input for typical and MEI exposure estimates are summarized
in Table 6.4.C. A description of these input parameters, and a discussion of the basis  for selecting
input parameter values,  are found in Section 2.5.1. Differences between generic and  site-specific
sludge concentration assumptions are discussed in Section 6.0. There are no other differences between
the input values used in the site-specific and generic assessments. It is important to note that in other
pathways considered in the generic assessment, the bioavailability of TCDD is assumed to be 100%.
However, dermal absorption of TCDD and TCDF are significantly different from the mechanism of
exposure upon which risk estimates were based; therefore, a dermal bioavailability factor is used for
TCDD and TCDF.  The  generic analysis uses the same factors for dermal absorption of TCDD and
TCDF as the site-specific analysis.  A transfer coefficient of 0.012 hr"1  is used in the estimate of
typical exposure for all age groups, while in the MEI exposure analysis, a transfer coefficient of 0.024
hr"1 is used for both younger and older children.
                                            505

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6.4.2   Estimates of Exposure from Ingestion of Home-Grown Produce

Methodology

       Risks through the dietary pathway are calculated by estimating the contaminant concentration
in homegrown crops, and then multiplying this concentration by the daily consumption of home-
grown vegetables. This analysis assumes that only the residents of the household using the composted
sludge are exposed to sludge contaminants. Furthermore, the analysis assumes that home gardeners
do not produce  meat or dairy products  with the distributed and marketed sludge.  A  detailed
description of the calculations for this pathway is found in Section 2.5.2 of this report.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimates of Exposure from Ingestion of Home-Grown Produce

       The values used for each model input for the typical and MEI dietary exposure estimates are
summarized in Table 6.4.D.  Section 2.5.2 of this report describes each input and documents the data
sources used to derive the values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses. Section
6.0 describes differences between  generic and site-specific sludge concentration assumptions. The
following discussion describes other input parameters that differ from those used in the site-specific
analysis.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Plant Uptake Rates

       Unlike the site-specific assessment, the generic assessment uses the same crop TCDD uptake
rates for  both the typical and MEI  analyses.  Uptake rates for all home-grown crops except potatoes
and root  crops were estimated to be 2 percent; root crops are assumed to take up 50 percent of the
TCDD and TCDF  in the soil.  These values are based on the data presented by the Subgroup on
TCDD Uptake in Terrestrial Plants (EPA, 1989d). The root crop value assumes that the vegetable
is eaten whole; that is, the vegetable is washed but is not peeled before it is eaten.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Adult and Child Daily Food Consumption Rates

       This analysis assumes that the quantity and types of food consumed by those who have home
gardens is the  same as for those who do not have home gardens.  This assumption allows the use of
the TAS Dietary Database (U.S. EPA,  1987), which provides average U.S. dietary consumption values
for various age groups.  Since the  distribution and marketing model estimates risks to children age
1 -6 separately from adults,  consumption values for both adults and children must be selected.  The
overall U.S. average  consumption values were used  for adults in the typical distribution  and
                                             514

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marketing generic analysis, while the values for children 1-6 were used for that age group. For the
MEI analysis, the highest consumption- value among all of the age groups listed in TAS was used for
both children and adults for each food type. This mixing of the consumption rates of different age
groups may appear unrealistic and excessively conservative as a method  of representing constant
consumption rates over  an individual's lifetime.  However, the TAS database reports average
consumption rates for each of the age groups and does not represent individuals with unusually high
consumption rates per unit of body weight.  Therefore, the conservative method described above was
chosen to compensate for outlying high individual rates of consumption that are not represented by
TAS data.

6.4.3  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Direct Ingestion of Sludge

Methodology

       Direct ingestion of soil can occur when sludge is applied to sites where people live, such as
a gardening household.   The calculations for estimating risks  from direct  ingestion of sludge
contaminants are given in Section 2.5.3.  Risk is estimated based on the daily quantity of soil and dust
ingested  and the slope -factors of TCDD and TCDF.

Data Sources and Model Inputs Used to Estimate Exposure through Direct Ingestion of Sludge

       The values used for each model input are summarized in Table 6.4.E for both the typical
individual and the MEI.  Section 2.5.3 describes each  input and documents the data sources used to
derive the values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses.  Differences between
generic and site-specific sludge  concentration assumptions are discussed  in Section  6.0.  The
following section describes other input values that differ from the site-specific analysis.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Ingestion Rates

       The memorandum "Interim Final Guidance for Soil Ingestion Rates" (EPA,  1989d) gives a
suggested range  of soil ingestion rates for children of 0.1 to 0.2 grams per  day, with a maximum of
0.8 grams per day.  The guidance memorandum suggests  the use of 0.2  grams per day as a best
estimate  of daily soil ingestion for children. For adults, the guidance memorandum gives a range for
adult soil ingestion of  0.001 to 0.1 grams  per day. To simplify the calculation of risks from soil
ingestion, and for consistency with  other risk assessments performed  under RCRA,  the generic
analysis eliminates the  separate consideration  of children and adults and instead assumes a single
                                               516

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ingestion rate of 0.1 grams per day to approximate a daily ingestion rate over an individual lifetime
for both the typical and MET generic'scenarios.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Fraction of Soil Ingested from Outdoor and Indoor Sources

       The fraction of soil ingested indoors and outdoors is multiplied  by the total daily ingestion
rates used by EPA (1989d) to derive the quantities of soil ingested indoors and outdoors each day.
Unlike in the site-specific assessment, where a fraction of soil was assumed to originate from indoor
sources, the generic analysis assumes that all of the soil originates from outdoor sources for both the
MEI and the typical exposure analyses.

6.4.4  Estimates of Exposures and Risks from Inhalation of Sludge-Contaminated Particulates

Methodology

       TCDD and TCDF adhering to soil particles can become suspended in the air near a site treated
with sludge. Transport downwind will dilute the concentration of particles from a treated area; these
particles will also redeposit on surfaces.  Residents using composted pulp and paper mill sludge on
their home gardens may be exposed to TCDD or TCDF by inhaling these particles.

       The methodologies used in the site-specific and generic analyses of risks from inhalation of
particles are identical. To estimate the suspended paniculate emissions at treated sites in the typical
generic analysis, the methodology presented in Estimating Exposures to 2.3.7.8-TCDD (EPA. 1988a)
is used.  To obtain paniculate concentration, the  calculated emission rate is used as input to a box
model of atmospheric mixing.  Both of these models are  described in detail in Section 2.5.4 of this
report.

       As an alternative approach to estimating onsite particulate concentration, the model described
by Hawley (1985) is applied for the MEI generic  analysis; this model uses measured values of total
suspended particles  adjusted by the  fraction of particles assumed  to be  derived from  local
(contaminated) soils  to derive onsite  concentrations of contaminated  particles. The  calculations
required to used this  method are also described in Section 2.5.4 of this report.
                                              518

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Exposure through the Inhalation of Particles

       The  values used  for  each model input for the typical and MET exposure estimates are
summarized in Table 6.4.F. Section 2.5.4 describes each input and documents the data sources used
to derive the values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses. Differences between
generic and  site-specific sludge concentration assumptions are discussed in Section 6.0. There are
no other  differences  between the  input values used in the site-specific and generic assessments.

6.4.5  Estimates of  Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of Vapors

Methodology

       Residents using distributed and marketed sludge may incur risk from the inhalation of
volatilized TCDD and TCDF.  The methodology for estimating the emissions of TCDD and TCDF
vapor  at residential  sites  in the generic assessment  is identical  to that used in the site-specific
assessment.  The methodology generally follows methods for estimating volatilization described in
EPA (1988a).

       The  calculation of risks from the inhalation of vaporized TCDD and TCDF requires first the
estimation of emissions, then the calculation of indoor and outdoor onsite concentrations.  Because
actual  locations  of the homes using composted sludge are not known,  the ISCLT model could not
be used to estimate downwind concentrations.  As a result, this analysis estimates only exposures to
onsite  residents, using a box model to obtain the onsite concentrations from the emissions estimates.
The concentrations are combined with data on time spent indoors and outdoors, respiration rate and
slope factors of TCDD and TCDF to obtain the estimated cancer risk from this pathway of exposure.
These  calculations are described in detail in Section 2.5.5 of this report.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Exposure through the Inhalation of Vapor

       Table 6.4.F. summarizes key assumptions and input parameters for estimating typical and MEI
exposure through the vapor and paniculate inhalation pathways.  Section 6.0 discusses differences
between generic and  site-specific  sludge concentration assumptions. There are no other differences
between the input values used in the site-specific and generic assessments.
                                            519

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6.4.6  Summary of Results

       The estimates of typical  and MEI exposure and  health risks  from the distribution and
marketing of paper mill sludge containing TCDD and TCDF are summarized in Tables 6.4.G and
6.4.H.  These tables show that the pathway of exposure posing the  greatest health risk to a typical
individual is the direct ingestion pathway. The typical daily exposure through  the direct ingestion
of soil is approximately 2 x 10"12  mg/kg/day.  This exposure  results in a risk of 3 x  10~7, or
approximately 1 x 10"2 cancer cases per year, based on an estimated exposed population of 3,500,000
persons.

       Dietary exposures pose the lowest risks. The typical daily exposure estimated for this pathway
is 3  x  10"16 mg/kg/day.  This exposure leads to an individual typical risk  of 4 x 10"11,  and an
estimated 2 x 10"6 cases per year.  Dietary risks are low because plants take up relatively little TCDD
and TCDF from the soil.

       In general, risks for the "most exposed individual" (MEI) are two to three orders of magnitude
higher than the risks for a typical individual. Estimated risks for the MEI are lowest for the particle
inhalation and dietary pathways,  and are highest for the pathways  involving  direct human contact
with contaminated soil (i.e., the dermal and direct ingestion pathways). The greatest MEI risk is
posed by the dermal  pathway. The MEI daily exposure through  the  dermal  contact pathway is
approximately 8 x 10"10 mg/kg/day. This exposure results in a risk of  1 x 10"4.

       In all pathways examined in the distribution and marketing scenario except volatilization,
TCDD contributes more to risk than TCDF.  However, for the vapor  inhalation pathway, TCDF
contributes almost all  of the risk, because it is more easily volatilized than TCDD.
                                             523

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-------
6.5    CONCLUSIONS

6.5.1   Discussion of Results

       Tables 6.5.A and 6.5.B present the maximum exposure and risk associated with each disposal
or use method. These tables show that the greatest MEI risks from landfills, surface impoundments,
and land application are of a similar magnitude.  In each case, the greatest MEI risk is posed by the
fish ingestion pathway of exposure.  For distribution and marketing (where fish ingestion was not
considered as a potential exposure pathway), the greatest risks are  associated  with direct ingestion
and dermal contact with sludge-amended soil.

       The greatest typical  individual risk  is a result of  inhalation  of  TCDD and TCDF that
volatilized from sludge applied agriculturally.  Volatilized TCDD and TCDF from land applied sludge
presents  risks that are nearly two orders of magnitude greater than highest typical individual risk
resulting from other sludge disposal methods.

       The four disposal or use pathways yield very similar total population risks, differing by less
than a factor of three.  As with MEI risks, the pathway posing the greatest total population risk for
landfills, surface impoundments, and land application is consumption  of contaminated  fish.  The
pathway resulting in the greatest total population risk  for distribution and marketing is direct
ingestion of contaminated soil.

6.5.2  Comparison with Site-specific Assessment

       Table 6.5.C compares the risks estimated  in  the site-specific MEI assessment to those
estimated in  the generic MEI assessment, while Table 6.5.D compares the typical risks estimated in
the two assessments.  The  MEI risks estimated using the generic scenarios are, for the  most part,
quite similar to those  generated in the site-specific assessment.  The generic MEI analysis provides
risk estimates approximately an order of magnitude or more different from the site-specific analysis
for the following exposure pathways: volatilization at landfills and surface impoundments; ingestion
of fish contaminated  by runoff from  landfills and land application sites; ingestion of groundwater
contaminated by landfills and surface impoundments; direct ingestion of soil at land application sites;
and ingestion of water contaminated by runoff from land application sites.  Many of the differences
are attributable to the differences in the TCDD and TCDF soil concentrations assumed. Table 6.5.E
displays  the soil concentrations assumed for each of the disposal methods in the site-specific MEI
assessment and compares them to the soil concentrations assumed  in the generic MEI assessment.
The direction and magnitude of the differences between the concentrations assumed correspond well
                                             526

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-------
to the direction and approximate magnitude of the differences between risk estimates for many of
the  exposure pathways analyzed.  Estimates of volatilization, groundwater, and surface water risks
are  especially sensitive to differences in the assumed TCDF concentrations, since TCDF is the more
mobile than TCDD in water and in air. For example, the lower risks from groundwater ingestion at
landfills and surface impoundments are attributable to the lower TCDF concentrations assumed for
these disposal practices in the MEI generic assessment.  The higher TCDF concentrations assumed
for  land application sites contribute to the higher risks estimated from drinking water contaminated
by runoff from land application sites.  However, there are other important differences between the
site-specific and generic assessments that  influence the differences in risk.  The most dramatic
difference between site-specific and generic estimated risks is between the site-specific and generic
risks estimated from volatilization at landfills. The generic estimates are higher than the site-specific
estimates  because the Hwang and Falco (1986) model,  rather than SESOIL, was used to estimate
emissions; furthermore, the generic assessment did not assume that landfills are covered. Generic risk
estimates from other pathways are also influenced by changes in model assumptions. For example,
in the MEI assessment for landfills,  surface impoundments, and land application sites, the fish
ingestion risks are higher in the generic assessment despite lower assumed soil concentrations: the
higher risk is attributable  to the  substantially higher fish-to-sediment bioconcentration  factor
assumed in the generic assessment.  Risks from direct ingestion at land application sites are lower in
the generic assessment as a result of differences in assumptions regarding TCDD soil concentration
and daily soil ingestion rate.

       As with  MEI  risks,  few of  the typical risk estimates differ dramatically between the site-
specific and generic risk  assessments,  with the  notable  exception of volatilization risks  from
landfilling. For the typical analysis, the following risks estimated in the generic assessment are an
order of magnitude or more different than risks estimated in the site-specific assessment: the risks
from volatilization at landfill sites; the risks from ingestion of fish contaminated by runoff from
landfills; the risks from dermal contact at land application sites; risks from ingestion of fish and
ingestion of drinking water contaminated by runoff at land application sites; and risks from ingestion
of produce grown in land-applied sludge. As discussed above, the generic estimates of volatilization
risks from landfills are higher than site-specific estimates because of the difference in the  model
used and because of the difference in the assumption regarding cover. Many of the other differences
between the generic and site-specific estimates of typical risks can be  explained by differences in
the soil concentrations assumed in each assessment. Table 6.5.F displays soil concentrations assumed
for the site-specific and generic typical assessments.  For example, the generally lower risks from
surface impoundments  in  the  generic  assessment  correspond  to  lower  TCDD and   TCDF
concentrations.  The  comparison is not straightforward for land application and  distribution and
marketing. In the site-specific typical analysis, risks were estimated separately for the several plants
                                              532

-------



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-------
that land apply and distribute and market sludge.  The TCDD and TCDF sludge  concentrations
assumed in the generic assessment are higher than the concentrations assumed for some of the plants
in the site-specific assessment, and lower than the concentrations assumed for other plants.  The
direction and magnitude of differences in  the risk estimates will depend on the how the generic
assessment differs from the site-specific assessment  for each plant.

        The generic assessment estimates higher fish ingestion risks for every disposal method for
which this pathway was considered. These  results are attributable to the difference  in the fish-to-
sediment bioconcentration factor assumed.
                                             534

-------
                             REFERENCES FOR CHAPTER 6


Hawley, J.K. (1985). Assessment of health risk from exposure to contaminated soil. Risk Analysis
       5(4):289-302.

U.S. EPA (1987). "Comparison of Food Consumption Data". Tolerance Assessment Program, Office
       of Pesticides and Toxic Substances. Washington, D.C.

U.S. EPA (1988a).  Estimating Exposures to 2,3,7,8-TCDD.  Office of Health and Environmental
       Assessment, EPA/600/6-88/005A.  External Review Draft, March.

U.S. EPA (1988b).  Risk Assessment for Dioxin Contamination, Midland, Michigan.  EPA-905/4-
       88-005.

U.S. EPA (1989a). 104-Mill Data Base. Office of Water Regulations and Standards, July 17 version.

U.S EPA (1989b).  Memorandum:  "OTS/EEB Aquatic Life Hazard (Including BCF Values) for
       'Dioxins in Paper'". Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances.  Washington, D.C. August.

U.S. EPA (1989c). Memorandum to Dioxin-in-Paper Workgroup, on the bioavailability of dioxins
       in paper products, dated June 23 from C. Cinalli and Conrad Flessner.

U.S. EPA (1989d).  "Interim Final Guidance for Soil Ingestion Rates."  Office of Solid Waste
       Emergency Response Directive Number 9850.4, January 27 from J. Winston Porter.
                                           535

-------
Appendix A. Methods for Calculating Soil Concentrations

       Assessing risks from exposure to TCDD and TCDF from the land application of contaminated
sludge requires the calculation of long-term average contaminant concentrations in the soil to which
the sludge is applied.  The long-term average concentration in the soil will depend on the initial
sludge concentrations,  the depth of soil incorporation (if any), the frequency of application, and
the decay rate of TCDD and TCDF in soil.  Because of uncertainty regarding decay processes of
TCDD and TCDF, this analysis conservatively assumes that decay will be insignificant.

       Two methods of sludge application will be considered:

       •      application of sludge as top dressing (without soil incorporation),  and
       •      incorporation of sludge into a layer of soil.

The following discussion describes the calculation of average TCDD and TCDF concentrations in the
soil over specified exposure periods for each of  these scenarios.  To aid the reader, an example
calculation of TCDD concentration in soil receiving sludge in Mississippi is included in Appendix
E.

Soil Concentration Calculation for  Top-dressed Sludge

       Top-dressed  sludge may be limited to a one-time application or may be applied repeatedly
to the same plot  of land.  In  either  case, when sludge  is land applied without soil incorporation, the
sludge replaces the top  soil.  Concentrations in soil in all top-dressing scenarios are assumed to equal
concentrations in the land-applied sludge. Humans  are assumed to be exposed to the TCDD and
TCDF concentration levels for 70 years after the sludge is applied.

Soil Concentration Calculation for  Soil Incorporated Sludge

       When sludge  is  incorporated into the soil, soil concentrations are dependent on the depth of
sludge incorporation into  uncontaminated soil,  frequency of  application, and  initial  sludge
concentration. The calculations to determine soil  concentration proceed in two steps:
                                            537

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Step One:  Estimating the Mass of Contaminant Added and the Mass of Receiving Soil
                                  r
       The mass of the contaminant added is calculated by multiplying the application rate by the
contaminant concentration:

                      A CC
       MC
                     1  x 1012
where:
       A      =      Sludge application rate (kg/ha/year);
       CC    =      Contaminant concentration in sludge (ppt);
       MC    =      Mass of contaminant added (kg/ha/year).

       The  volume of  soil  with  which the sludge is mixed is determined by multiplying the
incorporation depth by the incorporation area.  The volume is then multiplied by the soil density,
assumed to be 1.8 grams/cm3, to obtain the mass of the soil with which the sludge is incorporated:

       MS    =      ID IASD/ 1,000
where:
       IA     =      Area of soil incorporation of the sludge (cm2/ha);
       ID     =      Depth of incorporation of the sludge (cm);
       MS    =      Mass  of soil with which the sludge is incorporated
                     (kg/ha); and
       SD    =      Soil density (g/cm3).

Step Two:  Estimating Average Soil Concentrations
       Average soil concentrations for a given year are estimated by adding the mass of contaminant
applied to the land that year to the  mass of contaminant present in the soil from previous sludge
applications.  This total contaminant mass is then divided by the mass of the receiving soil plus the
mass of the applied sludge:

                     1,000,000 MC + (MS CP/1,000,000)
       CY    =      	
                                 MS + A
                                            538

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where:
       CP     =      Mass of contaminant present in soil before addition of sludge in any year
                     (mg/kg); and
       CY    =      Concentration of contaminant in soil in any year (mg/kg).

Note that CP and CY will increase with each year's application, but that they can never exceed the
concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in the sludge.

       Average  soil concentrations for a land application site depend on the period over which
application occurs.  Concentrations will increase with each year's application, but they are assumed
to remain constant (without decay processes) from the final application until the end of the exposure
period.  The average contaminant concentration in soil during the application period is calculated as
follows:
       CD    =      (.E1 CY,)/n
                      i=l
where:
       CD    =      Average  contaminant concentration in soil  during the application period
                     (mg/kg); and
       n      =      Number of years that sludge is applied, equal to or less than 70.

The contaminant concentration in the soil at the end of the application period is defined as follows.

       CE    =      CY,-
where:
       CE    =      Concentration of contaminant in soil  at the end of the application period
                     (mg/kg); and
       i      =      The last year of sludge application.

       This analysis assumes that humans are exposed to TCDD and TCDF in the soil for 70 years,
beginning with the  first year of application. Sludge concentrations are averaged over the years of
sludge application and any remaining non-application years in the 70 year exposure period:

                     (n CD + (70-n) CE)
       CA    =      	
                            70
where:
       CA    =      Average concentration over 70 year period of exposure (mg/kg).

                                             539

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Appendix B. Estimating TCDD and TCDF Concentrations in Surface Water and Fish

       Where pulp and paper sludge is deposited in uncovered landfills or surface impoundments,
and where sludge is land-applied,  particles of surface soil may be contaminated with TCDD and
TCDF from the sludge. If this contaminated soil then erodes from the sludge management area,
adsorbed TCDD and TCDF may be transported to nearby  surface water bodies.  This appendix
describes a methodology for estimating the extent of this type of over-land transport of TCDD and
TCDF, and for estimating contaminant concentrations in sediment, surface water and fish tissue that
could be expected to result.  Data inputs for these calculations are listed in Tables 2.1.A, 2.1.B, 2.1.L,
and 2.1.M for landfills, 2.3.A, 2.3.B, 2.3.G, and 2.3.H for surface impoundments, and 2.4.A, 2.4.B,
2.4.M, and 2.4.N for land application sites. To aid the reader, an example calculation of risk resulting
from  consumption of fish in included  in Appendix E.

       Contaminant concentrations in fish and drinking water are influenced by both the quantity
of contaminants reaching surface water bodies and the extent of their dilution.  Levels of exposure
are therefore likely to differ from location to location.  Areas where the largest quantities of sludge
are applied,  where concentrations of contaminants in the sludge are high, or where the quantity of
or distance to receiving water is lowest are likely to have the highest concentrations of sludge
contaminants in surface water.  Where actual site-specific data are not available, this analysis uses
a range of hypothetical scenarios to capture the range of uncertainty in exposure estimates.

       Because  of their tendency  to adsorb to  solid particles, TCDD and TCDF do not  readily
dissolve in surface  runoff, and  are not easily transported over land in dissolved phase.  EPA's
SARAH model (U.S. EPA,  1988a)  can determine in-stream  concentrations of chemical substances
downstream SMAs, and was considered for assessing water and sediment concentrations that might
result from contaminants released  from pulp and paper landfills, surface impoundments, or land
application sites. The  SARAH model  considers only  the over-land transport of contaminants in
dissolved phase, however, and does not include algorithms for estimating soil erosion and transport
of adsorbed  contaminants to surface water bodies. Since TCDD and TCDF are both hydrophobic,
this latter mechanism is probably of more importance with respect to its potential for transport of
the two contaminants.   Use of  SARAH to model transport of  TCDD  and TCDF from sludge
management areas would probably result in the underestimation of sediment and fish concentrations
in nearby water bodies.

       This analysis therefore concentrates on the transport of TCDD and TCDF adsorbed to eroding
soil particles. The methodology consists of three steps. First, it estimates expected soil concentrations
of these two contaminants in the sludge management area (SMA).  Second, it estimates the rate of
                                            541

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soil erosion from the sludge management area relative to the corresponding rate for the entire
drainage basin in which  the SMA is tocated.  It then combines these  results to yield estimates of
TCDD and TCDF concentrations in stream  or lake sediments.  Third, it uses estimated sediment
concentrations to estimate contaminant concentrations in fish tissue and surface water.

Estimating Soil Concentrations in Sludge Management Areas

       As discussed in the landfill and surface impoundments chapters (Chapters 2.2 and 2.3), the
soil concentration of landfills and surface  impoundments is  assumed to equal the contaminant
concentrations in the sludge. The methodology for calculating soil concentration for land application
sites is explained in Appendix A.

Estimating Sediment Concentrations of TCDD and TCDF

       Sediment concentrations are estimated from SMA soil concentrations by a  method adapted
from  U.S.  EPA (1985).  In general, the method estimates sediment concentrations by adjusting
concentrations  in soil  eroded from  the  SMA to account for  mixing with soil eroded from the
remainder of the stream or lake's drainage area.  There are three groups of inputs to this calculation:
the land areas of the SMA and the drainage  basin,  the soil loss parameters from the Universal Soil
Loss Equation,  and the sediment delivery ratios for the SMA and the drainage basin.

       Quantities of soil eroding from both the sludge management area and the entire drainage basin
are calculated with the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE), a simple mathematical model developed
by  the U.S. Department  of Agriculture (Science and Education Administration and United States
Department of  Agriculture, December, 1978):

       LA     =     RKLSCP          (B.I)
where:
       LA     =     rate of soil loss per unit area (tons/acre/year),
       R     =     the rainfall and runoff factor,  equals the number of rainfall erosion index
                     units,  plus a factor for runoff from snowmelt or applied water where such
                     runoff is significant (years'1),
       K     =     the soil credibility factor, equals the soil loss rate per erosion index unit for
                     a specified soil as measured on a unit plot, which is defined as a 72.6-ft. length
                     of uniform 9-percent slope  continuously in clean-tilled fallow (tons/acre),
       L     =     the slope length factor, equals the ratio of soil loss from the field slope length
                     to that from a 72.6-ft length under identical conditions (unitless),
                                            542

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       S      =      the slope-steepness factor, equals the ratio of soil loss from the field slope
                     gradient to that from a 9-percent slope  under otherwise identical conditions
                     (unitless),

       C      =      the cover and management factor, equals the ratio of soil loss from an area
                     with specified cover and management to that from an identical area in tilled
                     continuous fallow (unitless),

       P      =      the support practice factor, equals the ratio of soil loss with a support practice
                     like contouring, stripcropping, or terracing to that with straight-row farming
                     up and down slope (unitless).


       Results from the USLE equation are multiplied by estimated "sediment delivery ratios" to
calculate the expected quantity of soil from the SMA and the drainage basin that reaches the water
body.  The sediment delivery ratio  for the SMA estimates the  reduction in soil mass delivered to a

water body as the distance from the site to the river becomes  larger (i.e. losses due to redeposition
between the SMA and the river). An equation for estimating  the sediment delivery ratio from the

sludge management area is taken from U.S. EPA (1988c), and calculates the ratio as:


       Ds    =      0.77 x (Dd)'0'22

where:

       DS    =      sediment delivery ratio for the sludge management area (dimensionless),

       D.    =      the overland distance between the site and the receiving water body (meters).
       The sediment delivery ratio for the total drainage area estimates the percent of sediment

delivered to a specified downslope location  in a drainage area.  Based on three separate field

investigations, Vanoni (1975) suggests that the relationship of sediment yield to drainage area can be

approximated by:


       DB    =       87.2A''125
         D

where:

       DB    =       Sediment delivery ratio for the drainage area (unitless), and

       A     =       Drainage area (hectares).
              The sediment delivery ratio for the basin reflects the percentage of sediment delivered
from the basin to any specified downslope location. This percentage is "affected by such factors as
size and texture of erodible material, climate, land use, local environment, and general physiographic
position" (Vanoni, 1975). There is no one relationship which represents sediment delivery ratios for
                                              543

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every area. Even in one area, delivery ratios can vary substantially. For example, field investigations
in the southeast Piedmont region of the United States found delivery ratios from 3.7 percent to 59.4
percent (Roehl, 1962 as cited in Vanoni, 1975). However, a decrease in delivery ratios with increasing
drainage area is  typical of most studies.

       The watershed sediment delivery ratio is dependant on the  area of the watershed.  Ideally,
drainage areas (or another "size" of stream estimate) would be available for each site.
Unfortunately, obtaining site-specific data requires knowlege of the exact location of each SMA;
exact locations were not available for this analysis.  Since specific site locations are not known, it is
impossible to determine whether each site's  runoff flows directly  into  a major  stream  or,
alternatively, into a relatively small tributary of the stream.

       Generally, the large streams on  which the mills are located have drainage areas of several
thousand square miles (based on data from U.S. EPA's Graphical Exposure Modeling System). For
this analysis, the SMA runoff is assumed to run directly into a major  stream with a  5,000 square mile
drainage area.   Compared to  the  alternative of assuming the site  empties into a relatively  small
tributary and that water and fish are consumed at the point of runoff entry, this assumption will yield
low concentration estimates.  However, compared to  the assumption that  the site empties into a
relatively small  tributary and is then transported  to  the main stream  where water and fish  are
consumed, the concentrations will  be high.  Most sites are likely to be located near mills, in order to
minimize sludge transportation costs. Since the mills are located on major streams, many of the sites
may also be located near major streams. For a more refined analysis of the size of the receiving water
body,  site-specific locational and  topographical  information  is  needed.    To  incorporate  the
uncertainty in watershed size, the "low risk" estimate assumes a watershed area one tenth the size of
the watershed in the "best" and "high estimates".  Though the assumption  of a smaller watershed
results in higher estimate of water and fish concentration, it also leads to the assumption of a smaller
exposed  population. The net result is a decrease in the population risk estimate.  The drainage area
in the MEI scenarios is  assumed  to be approximately 40 square  miles, which  corresponds  to a
relatively small stream.

       Given estimates of: (1) the total quantity of soil eroded from the SMA and the drainage basin,
(2) the SMA and the drainage basin sediment delivery ratios, (3) the land area of the SMA and the
drainage basin, and (4) the soil concentration, one can estimate the  concentrations of contaminants
in sediment as follows:

                             Cs L  A  D
       C
         SED
                             AB LB DB
                                               544

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where:
       CSED   =      Sediment concentrations of TCDD or TCDF (mg/kg)
       C_     =      Contaminant concentration in  soil at the source,  defined as the sludge
                     management area (mg/kg)
       LS     =      Estimated soil loss  for the SMA, calculated  with the  Universal Soil Loss
                     Equation (tons/acre/year)
       AS     =      Source area  (acres)
       DS     =      Sediment delivery ratio for the area between the source and  the point of
                     interest (dimensionless)
       LB     =      Estimated soil loss  for  the watershed upstream  of  the point of interest,
                     calculated with the Universal Soil Loss Equation (tons/acre/year)
       AD     =      Watershed area upstream of the point of interest (acres)
         b
       DB     =      Sediment delivery ratio for the watershed area upstream of the point of interest
                     (dimensionless)
       For some sludge management areas, most notably land application sites, the area treated with
sludge may represent a significant fraction of the total drainage basin for the surface water body of
concern. For these scenarios, Equation B.2 can be improved by splitting the denominator into two
separate terms, where the first describes erosion from the SMA and the second describes erosion from
the remainder of the drainage basin:
                            cs Ls As Ds
                               Ds] + [(AB-AS)LB DB]
                                                               (B.3)
       This method of calculating sediment concentrations of TCDD and TCDF adjusts contaminant
concentrations in sediment received from the SMA to account for mixing with uncontaminated
sediments from the remainder of the drainage area. An alternative method is to determine the total
quantity of adsorbed sludge contaminant received by the surface water body, and then to dilute this
quantity by stream flow.  Both methods require an estimate of the size of the water body, expressed
either as the size of its drainage area, or as a volume of its water or water flow.  The two methods
yield similar concentration estimates (see Appendix C for a comparison of the two methods).

       If characteristics of the sludge management area are the same as those of the entire drainage
basin, then value of L.  used in Equation  B.I will be the same as the  value of LD, and these two
                     S                                                      D
variables can be dropped from Equations B.2 and B.3.  This analysis assumes that R (the rainfall and
runoff factor) and K (the soil erodibility factor) will be the same for both land areas. In addition,

                                            545

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since topographical characteristics of the SMA's and the drainage basins are unavailable, it is assumed
that the slope factors in the USLE equation (L and S) are equal for the basin and the drainage area.
These four factors therefore cancel when substituted into Equation B.3, and inputs values need not
be determined. The two remaining USLE parameters  (cover and management factor, and support
practice factor) are  assumed to differ between the SMA and the remainder of the drainage basin
for agricultural application, however, and cannot be ignored.  Values assumed in the analysis are
given in the relevant chapters.

Estimating TCDD and TCDF Concentrations in Surface Water and Fish Tissue

       TCDD and TCDF adsorbed to sediments can reach humans if they are dissolved in surface
water that is withdrawn for drinking water supplies, or if they concentrate in fish tissue that is then
consumed by humans. Contaminant concentrations in each of these two media must be derived from
estimated concentrations in sediment. Methods for these derivations will now be described.

       Some of the  adsorbed contaminant entering a surface water body will desorb from sludge or
soil particles and  dissolve into the water. At equilibrium, the relationship between concentrations
of dissolved and  adsorbed  phases of contaminants in  the water  body is typically described by a
partition coefficient (KD), such that KD = Cg/CL,  where Cs is the  concentration of the contaminant
adsorbed to solids (in g/g), and CL is the concentration of contaminant dissolved in water (in g/cm3).
KD was estimated by multiplying each contaminant's organic carbon partition coefficient (Koc), by
the fraction of organic carbon in the sediment. The Koc values used in this analysis were 0.04, 0.01,
and 0.001 in the "low", "best", and "high" risk estimate, respectively.

       Kd is used, along with assumptions about the relative  quantities of sediment and water in the
receiving  water body,  to estimate contaminant concentrations in adsorbed and dissolved  phases.
Sediment  and water concentrations  are calculated from  "dry  weight"  sediment concentrations
(calculated in  Equation B.3) based on the following definitions:
                     MCS/MS             Mcs Mu
                     MCU/MU             Ms M,
                                                cu
                     MCS+MCW
                       Ms
                       Mw
                                             546

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                      MS+MW

       PL     =      1-PS

where:
       KD    =      partition coefficient between water and soil (cm3/g),
       MCS   =      mass of contaminant in adsorbed to sediment (g),
       MU    =      mass of water (g),
       Mc    =      mass of sediment (g),
         o
       MCW   =      mass of contaminant dissolved in water (g),
       CDW    =      dry weight concentration of contaminant in  sediment (g/g),
       Cw     =      dissolved concentration of contaminant in water (mg/kg),
       PS     =      percent solids in water body (unitless),
       PL     =      percent liquid in water body (unitless),
       C     =      contaminant concentration in sediment (mg/kg),
         S
From these equations it follows that:
       Cw     =      -	
                     (Kd + PL/Ps)

Since Kd = CS/CW, Cs can be calculated from CH by:

       Cs     •      Cw X Kd

       In order to estimate the sediment and water concentrations, an estimate must be made of the
percent of the mass in contact with the contaminant that is solid. Although the mass of suspended
solids can be  estimated for a given stream, the mass of the bottom sediment  is not as easily
determined. For lack of more detailed information, this analysis assumes that the mass of sediment
(Ms) equals the mass of water (Mu), so that PL/PS is equal to one.  If the mass of water is actually
greater than the mass of solids, the current calculation will over estimate water concentrations and
under estimate sediment concentrations. However, due to the large  K.d values of TCDD and TCDF,
the effect of the relative mass of solids and liquids  on contaminant concentrations is negligible.

                                            547

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       Without specific site  runoff  information and waterway characteristics, it is impossible to
calculate dispersion and further dilution as a consequence of transport by the waterway.  This analysis
therefore uses each contaminant's concentration at the "point" of runoff entry to estimate water and
fish concentrations for all populations exposed through water ingestion and fish consumption. Actual
exposure is likely to  be lower in most cases, as a result of dispersion and dilution.

Fish to Sediment Bioconcentration Factors

       This  analysis estimates  bioaccumulation in  fish as  a  function of a  fish  to  sediment
bioconcentration factor (BCF). According to  an EPA (1989b), "Bioconcentration factors based on
sediment exposure are probably more realistic than those based on water concentrations because of
the strong potential for tetrachlorodibenzodioxin to partition to suspended solids and  sediments in
the aquatic environment."

       This analysis assumes that the fish and sediment are at "steady-state" and that the levels of
TCDD and TCDF in the  sediment remain essentially constant at a particular location over  time.
Separate bioconcentration factors are used for TCDD and TCDF. Although a single bioconcentration
factor is used for  all  species,  they  will  probably vary  for  different  species,  with  higher
bioconcentration factor's associated with bottom-feeders and fish with  high lipid percentages.  In
addition, time to reach steady-state will likely vary, with some species never reaching a steady state
concentration.

       Contaminant concentrations in fish tissue are related to sediment concentrations by:

       CFU    =       Cs BCF
where:
       CFU    =       concentration of  contaminant in whole fish (mg/kg)
       Cs     =       concentration of  contaminant in sediment (mg/kg)
       BCF   =       fish to sediment bioconcentration factor (unitless)

       Since fish  to sediment bioconcentration factors are usually reported on the basis of whole
body tissue concentrations, these estimates are adjusted to reflect  the concentration of contaminant
in the muscle, or filet, of the fish. Concentration in filet is estimated to be 50 percent of the whole
body concentrations (EPA, 1989b), so estimated concentrations are adjusted by 0.5:

       CF     =       0.5 Cs BCF


                                              548

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where:
       Cp     =      concentration of contaminant in fish fillet (mg/kg).

       U.S. EPA (1988b) reviewed a variety of studies on fish to sediment bioconcentration factors,
and observed that the ratios typically range from  1:1 to 10:1.   This range may reflect variability
resulting from a number of interdependent factors including species, lipid content, weight, ratio of
surface area to weight, organic carbon content of the sediment, food intake rate, density of suspended
particulate matter, and concentration of 2,3,7,8-TCDD in the sediment. For exposure calculations,
U.S. EPA (1988b) used a single value of 5:1 for the fish to sediment concentration ratio.

       More recent data from EPA (1989b) reports on seven measurements of bioconcentration
factors from sediment exposures.  The mean fish bioconcentration factor for 2,3,7,8-TCDD from
contaminated sediments is reported as 0.0967 for the  seven studies (whole body, wet weight basis).
This factor is stated to be most reliable for sediment concentrations from 39.0 ppt to 2000.0 ppt. This
analysis uses 0.0967 for the whole body bioconcentration factor in the "low" and "best" estimates and
5 for the "high" estimate.

       Only one study measured the fish  to sediment ratio for  2,3,7,8-TCDF (U.S. EPA, 1989b).
In this study a warm water species exposed to sediment concentration at 182 ppt of TCDF, had a
bioconcentration factor of 0.1538 on a whole body, wet weight basis.  This analysis uses 0.1538  for
the bioconcentration factor in the "low" and "best" estimates and 5 for the "high" estimate.
                                            549

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                                       References


U.S. EPA (1985).  TCDD Transport from Contaminated Sites  to Exposed URE Locations:   A
Methodology for Calculating Conversion Factors. Final Report. G.W. Dawson, et al. Battell project
management division.  Richland, WA. June.

U.S. EPA (1988a). Development of a Method for Estimating Exposure from the Disposal of Chemical
Substances  in Landfills.  Office  of Toxic Substances, Exposure Evaluation Division, Exposure
Assessment Branch.  EPA Contract No. 68-02-4254. September.

U.S. EPA (1988b). Estimating Exposures to 2,3,7,8-TCDD.  Office of Health and Environmental
Assessment, EPA/600/6-88/005A. External Review Draft, March.

U.S. EPA. (1988c).  Development of Risk Assessment methodology  for Land Application and
Distribution and  Marketing of Municipal Sludge.   Prepared  by Environmental  Criteria and
Assessment Office, Cincinnati, OH.

U.S. EPA (1989a). Graphical Exposure Modeling System User Guide.  Office of Toxic Substances.
March.

U.S. EPA (1989b).  Memorandum:   "OTS/EEB  Aquatic Life Hazard  Assessment (Including BCF
Values) for 'Dioxins in Paper'".  Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances.  Washington, D.C.
August.

Vanoni, Vita A., Editor (1975). "Sedimentation Engineering."  Prepared  by the ASCE task committee
for the preparation of the manual on sedimentation of the sedimentation committee of the hydraulics
division. NY, NY.
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Appendix C.  Comparison of Two Methods for Estimating Sediment and Water Contaminant
Concentrations Resulting from Contaminated Soil Erosion from Sludge Management Areas

       Appendix B explained the method  used  in this analysis to estimate sediment and water
contaminant concentrations resulting from contaminated soil erosion from sludge management areas.
Concentrations are estimated by diluting  the  contaminated  sediment  from  a  SMA  by the
uncontaminated sediment received from the remainder of the drainage area. The contaminant is then
partitioned between dissolved and sorbed phases to  yield  estimates  of water concentration and
sediment concentration.

       An alternative method is to determine the total quantity of adsorbed  sludge contaminant
received by the surface water body and then to dilute this quantity by dividing by stream flow.  As
in the method used in this analysis, the contaminant would then be partitioned between dissolved and
sorbed phases  to yield water concentration and sediment concentration estimates.

       To determine whether these methods yield similar results, this appendix calculates the final
water contaminant concentration from soil erosion from a sludge surface impoundment by the second
method and compares the result to the method used in the text of this report. The method used in
this report (described in Appendix B) results in a TCDD water concentration after partitioning of 4.3
x 10~16 mg/kg for a surface impoundment with the characteristics described in Table 2.3.G for the
"best estimate".

       The alternate calculation consists of two steps.  First a loading of contaminant to the water
body  is determined and  the contaminant is diluted by stream  flow.  Second, the contaminant is
partitioned between water and sediment. The calculation to determine the water concentration before
partitioning is:

       CB = WL  x C x A
            SF
where
       CB    =      Concentration in the stream before partitioning (mg/kg);
       WL    =      Washload from the SMA to the stream (kgs/day/acre);
       C      =      Concentration of contaminant sorbed to the eroded soil (mg/kg);
       A      =      Area of the SMA (acres);
       SF     =      Stream flow (liters/day).
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       A washload is  calculated from the soil erosion rate  using  the Nationwide Cropland  Soil
Erosion Statistics (USDA 1982). The erosion rate is determined by dividing total erosion by total
acreage as given by USDA.   As a "best estimate"  the amount of erosion and associated acreage
reported at the 50th percent are used to calculate washload. The 50th percentile calculated washload
is 3.7 kg/acre/day.

       The area of a  surface  impoundment  used in the  "best estimate" is  73.5  acres.   The
concentration of contaminant sorbed to the eroded  soil is assumed to be 1 mg/kg.   Stream flow
measurements for all streams receiving effluent directly or indirectly from POTWs are used to
estimate dilution. These stream are assumed to be  representative of streams receiving industrial
effluent.  Two stream flow rates are used to estimate dilution: the  10th percentile low flow rate and
the 50th percentile mean flow rate. Flow rates are 0.53 million liters per day and 478 million liters
per day, respectively (U.S. EPA, 1988).

       Using these input values, the concentration in water before  partitioning is:

Low flow rate:
3.7 kg/acre/dav x 73.5 acres  x 1 mg/kg =  5.1 x  10"10 mg/kg
      0 .53 x 106 liters/day

Mean flow rate:
3.7 kg/acre/dav x 73.5 acres  x 1 ppm   = 5.7 x 10"13 mg/kg
       478 x 106 liters/day

               The partition coefficient, Kd, describes the relationship between concentrations of
dissolved and sorbed phases of contaminant at equilibrium. The Kd used in this analysis for TCDD
is  1 x 105. Water concentrations are calculated by:
       CA            CB x 1/(1 + Kd)

where:

       CA    =      Concentration in water after partitioning (mg/kg);
       CB    =      Concentration in water before partitioning (mg/kg);
       Kd    =      Partition coefficient (cm3/g).
                                              552

-------
       Substituting the water concentration before partitioning into the partitioning equation, yields
a concentration in water of 5.1 x 10   ftig/kg using the low stream flow, and 5.7 x 10~18 mg/kg using
the high stream flow.  These values compare well with the estimate of TCDD concentration in water
derived using the method described in Appendix B.
                                           553

-------
                                        References
                                   f
U.S. Department of Agriculture (1982).  National Cropland Soil Erosion Statistics.  In:  A National
Program for Soil and Water Conservation (1982).  Final Program Report and Environmental Impact
Statement.  Soil Conservation Service. Washington, D.C.

U.S. EPA (1988). Industry Facilities Discharge file. Retrievals from the Hydrologically Linked Data
File System.  Washington, D.C.

Versar  (1988).   PCB Exposure  Assessment of Scrap Salvage Facilities.  Revised draft report.
September.
                                             554

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t


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1

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t landfills in tl
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1
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ea
u
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concentrations reported for the





















1
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|
3
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Mississippi agricultural land applicat




















e
.0
03
i
c
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sites. (Since the opportunity for
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3
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s
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6
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| obtain best estimate of ratio of


.2
2

















12
3
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|
C
en
C
?
indoor/outdoor contaminant concentl




















c
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03
u
1
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C
8



S
3
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0
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on  u.
D  UJ
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u.  H

Z  <
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| Explanation


-2
1


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alculation
U
L.
S
V,
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5
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f?
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03
U
'A
u
.0
_c
'03
o
fj
CM
2
H
1=
2
u.

CM
E
u
"Sij
o








ฃ
03
o
3
ง
O
|
3
O
Ifl
H? E a u
ฃ 3 O 3 o3
03 O tS O C
ฃ >* W -5
• M C IH *^
ซ 2 g g iS
u o -o -S "

?r o js s •;?
S- -o o o 2-


Ifor contact rate for children outdoors


















„
0.
i
•p
V
C
c


u
I*
3
'S
O
O
1
1



















W
S
03

03
O.
o ฐc
4> H
"S o
P >>
is
4_i tn
S 0
.0 o
^ 13
1 1
•ง =
. u
• c.
U ™
w
Tf t-
• 3
CM o
O —
? "s
<- B
E -e
o E
^ 3

|M
S
1
IS
in







^.
o
o
3
3
o
•8
1
X
u
u









1 children. The derivation of this value


























is described on the table.

























o
1
"cn
U
c
'3
1
u
2
03
O


CM
O
8
CM









K
U
1
"o
1









1
•5
"o
S3
C
O
c
'o
1
1


























outdoors. The derivation of this value


























is described in the table.


























&
U
oi
u
H
I
i .
II
CO o
IH
f-i

o
"i
CM
O
d









0
03
tH
ง
1









f
q
CM
U
H
O
"5
s
B
03


c
u
fi^











1
u
K
1









"03
C
'S
o
•3
u
•S
1
1
O
en
8
1

























u
o
'S
u
ec
3
"w
U
|
"S
'E
c
03
O


























^5
a,
1
-D
03
ซS
03
1
03
























                                                     614

-------
z
o

<
o
a.
   -
u a:
a: u.
X
   o.  ซ2
   >•  GO
a: u-
O w
U. H

Z <
o 2

P H
< oo

J ซ


O CO
O

LU




Explanatioi

•ฃ
'ซ2
^
^



*
Calculation \
>sj
fe
I,
1
5
5
!


$




OC
"oo
c
u
o
1
(X

^
>^
"oo
B
CN
O


U^
00
"1
1
"c
o

u
J3
g
l-l
1
o
II
o
Q

(4b) Calculate




jj
"oo
in
O
X













0?
"&)
I
K

dose to young




CS
u
8
0)
K










CN~
E
^
1
X
u
w
i
CC


(children from




en uซ
^ 0 {^










2"
C
.2 c-
•^ S ง
ฃ ฃ. s
e o A
time exposed
absorption rat
matrix effect i
X K X
8
outdoor sourci
'o
o
.1
W
U
CA
C
a
•8
u
03
1
u.
CN
E
^
oo
E
VI
o
o






1
tn
1
g
8
•o


u
Ills ^
sill g



CC
contact rate for children indoor


















1
•i
1




reported in literature.


















parameters.
oe
u c u
IN lgs
to 0 > " -^
52 IT o5
1 ง * 1 ง .-g
111. Hi
5 -S 0.8 3 ^ •"
.c e '-3 •& -o 0 .2
ฐ 1 5 ซ ฐ 8 ง
u ! '= .ง u g- -1
-* e -o - ^ ซ> >
CN g ฃ ง CN .J .3 .
u-=H-p u -S — cj
•8*8,1 l -s ง *:
i-feSs '"^'i04
E|^S sฃ>-^
o c .-a -a o ซ 'C -o
*-"3^- ^U-O83
U.co-2 lio-Si-


>> CN
"E E
J= O
O Q
OO O

^





(A
O w
5 M
"o 2
c g-
'"8 1
g. -S
K i_
0 0
1 ง





U
CN
I
Best estimate value from Table
u
_5
^
03
<ฃ
CN
o
ID







o
"5
o
c.
1
.0
53


                                                                    615

-------
z
o
<
y
EX

;ง
c: u.
   w
2  2
   CL
   >•
o:
a:  u.
O  uJ
U.  i_
z  <
O  S
   UJ
   H
   "5
   UJ
U
UJ
a.

<
X





•I
1
1





-a
3




U
^
•ซ
•9
a
^j
e3
O
t
o
1
1
i


i

Vi
H
•
•
CM
U
3
03
E
3
1
"ซ
E

8
8
CQ

1
8.
JR
™"












1
O
"03






03
"
1
•o
u
"o
1
O
Bl
-C

CQ
1























u
o
^
*iซ
'o
&
•D
"tn
1
V
S

1
ง




























o
H,
8
^>
03
IH
.O
**-

availabl



























00
"oo
c
"T
o
00

*Q

ฃ

I*
c
m
O
UJ
o\
oo
o-i
00
"Si,
c
gT
.2
"as
*•*
g
u
0
1
I-
8
•o
_c
II
8
a

>b) Calculate
-^






CM i,
| S
DC —
g ^ 6 .ฃ•

g ฐ 0 S
9 8 " 9 SS
X X K X X













y-^
C-J JC
E •ฃ
t> o ,— ^
? - ler 8.
S u _ -5 IT
ฃ .5 8 B J
ฃ -i a | *ง
" "o o S- S
2 ซ o o ฃ
c u p w a
o >• .5 -ฐ S
0 ซ S 03 C
X X X X X

en
U
u
t>
E o
0 "1
11
•o .=


>,
~00
r^
c^
oo
"oo
c
u
m
\o

'o
1
co

^
~ob
c
CM
9
u
o
o\

I
"So
^c.
u
0
•o
u
ง >>
II I
ฅ ง
11
o *c
o ""
Q +
_ S
1 1 •ง
•s 1 -s $
-^ *— oo O >>
^ T3 Ss -^ ^

"oo
\D
^
tn
S3
VO
C
CM
U
VO
CiT
Q

03
~00
~00
C
u^
CD
UJ
00





•^
^t
00
c
o
Q
11 S I
ซ* ^ S
5 o
OO Oซ ^*
^r *^ o
C T3 00
o ^o vo
Q C? -

^c
| 8 >-
•ฐ •ง 5
iฃ. T3 C































| 2 | ง
^^ ซ ra "3.
C^ T5 "0 6
                                                   616

-------
O
y

D.
< Q

ig
j 2
 . o
U.1 fX
BE: u.

11

s^
J U 5!
C^ H
LU ซ^

o o
o: u.
    CO
    co
O
u.
z
o
< co

J UJ


U f5
w

a.



Explanation

1



1
ง
1
,^*
a
•
o
L,
1

1
1

1





fl>
Id
1
1
jo
1
O
oi
_u
2
03
O
*ฃ
op
O











door contact rate
g
.2
ta
S
U
-— -

— '


w
for contact rate for children outdooi
















5
G.
c:
•8
"S

c



0)
.s
"8
!
















w
ti
t>
03
t_!
03
C,
O
0
CO
M
U
_c
'5
o
U
2
03
O
li
1
f
s
00









(A
bfl
e exposed outdoo
_E





kd
-S
•3 g
number of hours spent outdoors for
children. The derivation of this val
is described on the table.






















o
03 ra o
E 9 =
From Table 2.4.C., obtain best esti
for the area of skin in contact with i
outdoors. The derivation of this va
is described in the table.

u
8











I
a
1
o
n
oa








U
2
1
4>
03
"w a>
so j^j
CQ •ง
.c
to
ts
03
CS
p

o









2
ง
f
C/5
03









1
1
S











1
u
.a
1







w
H
U
CN
_o
H
1
4)
05
E
1























„
| reflects the percent of the dioxin thf






















JD
O
_x
"03
&
•o
w
U
o
o
03
00
's
ง
























ง
'1
S
X)
03
b<
U
2
03
1
03
























JO
C
ป*> (N
ro ฃ
^ 0
0 "So
t3 E
•3 in
g ci
a. x

"So
c
9
w
00
uS
00
"1
c
_o
1
'c
o
c
8 ง
p
se = outdoor soil
ontact rate (mg/ci
 O /— v
^ 'iT '•ง C

2 ^ ฃ S
**• •*- &i
^ g f. X
ฐ? ฐ ง fi
ซ "S C8 E
X X X X
u
o
1
g
•g
3
O
                                            617

-------
O

<
gg
u a:
a u.
3 ^
s I
6. en
a; u.
o u
U. H
Z <
o 2
  uu
  BQ
o
tu
0.
X





Explanation

-a
3



Js
llculation
fe
IN
*
ฃ
1
1



D,
-8
03



o
u
03

CO
e
3
•8
q"
••*
CM
2
03
P
2
u.
CM
.O
oc
^
O
d





u
"03
"o
03
I
8
•D
.—
CA
o g S o ฃ
II*! 1
,S c M -C
w •*"• Si o U3
oo ^ *ฃ• c oo
^ T3 0 .5 ^





(fl
1
g
•D
ra
.c
i*
o>
S
tj
2
1














3
0.
"S
1





reported in literature.















en
1
E
S
8.


U u O
•S -a o S
I "<= - i ^ c
"j i- * *ฃ ฃ -5
cซ O ^ w
u * .S ฐ ซJ ^
tS ฃ •= ซ R -2
•S 8 ฃ -S 1 "5
c | ฐ e ^ SS
3 -s o jj 3 1H "ฐ
x> c '-S -o ^i C .2
o S J 3 ฐ g o
u *"| | u g |
S 1 3 g CM .| | .
JJ f H -P JU-S^O
•e ^ J -s -^ = Tt
H B g "5 H ฐ | CM
111! I 5 -S |
U. c "5 .S ฃ'o-oH

•S1 'E
f u
S 8
Tt Tj-





V3
S "8
0 CO
•s a
•= X
•8 c
s a
D. ซ
0 "S
U 03
E g
•^ 03








q
w
Best estimate value from Table 2.'
,
_o
03
CM
0
d





0
e
c
O
tL
ง
JD
03





cfl
'r^
H
q
w
Best estimate value from Table 2.-

ง
S







1
u
1
*-








"o

_c
.0
o
"o
i
8.
JZ
(A
1
1




















.2
o
><
i
Ml
0>
O
o
00
'i
u























available for absorption.


















                                            618

-------
z
o
u

D.

•  co
a: f-  on
QS u-
O w
U, H

Z <
o S


s I


D H
O

w

o_


Q
.O
•S
1-
^








a
S



a
"ซs
2
ง
•a
•9
a
^o

t j

l_
5
Parameter
•w

1




00
oil
c
U 04 b.
00 E ->>
cs -ฃ• ฃ
ฐ E 'E S ^
Q V> ^? —-
•a O Q ^ O ^
5 o ง — 6 —
a. x K x x x
IM
"oo
C
ni
cp
u
S
—


00
"So
c
c
ง


i3 cs* ^
c e ^
" --, •ฃ• ฐ •—
8 1 -S 5 1 1
lilfll
f | "8 S 'ۥ |
o o S '.s ซ E
Q K K K K X
s s
^ o
1 s I
— 0 ซ
U * g
"- S o
JS % -0
S2- •ง .S
"it
c
u
s
~
ta
~oo
c
u
00
uS
"o

E
3
CO
IH
1
9
UJ
oo
oo
m"


IM
ฃ•
V
(A
O
•o
In

o
ง ^
II z
^^ 00
S.S
OO 4)
ฅ ^
3 -S
1 fe '
111 B
2- •ง t3 Si- .E

^v
J<
5-
^
•o
VO
i^
X

c-1
o!>
oo
oo
G-
I5
"So
c
9
UJ
s
Tf







J^

oo
^
s
s
11 s i
5- ^ g
5 S
OO & ^
^f i? o
OC ^* nO
= •ง 00
8 u-v -^
o >o wi
odd
1 ^ ป a *
-1 1 111
O3 ^ Ills
X ** !--, o s "
•ฐ C ฐ o 0 g
OV, B ^ •ง lฃ S
                                               619

-------
z
o
<
y
n.

'ง
   a:
   u.
a
00
a  < fc
J  y s;
t  a. oo
cc  f- oo
o;  u.
O  uj
"-  H
Z  <
o  S

5  fe
J  U

O  "5
J  W
<  00
u
ID

a.


Explanation


1



1
|
•9
a
.0
^
o
i
ฃ
u
1
^
ฃ
•w
i

t



<**
o
ฐ M
II
o "S
ป ฃ,
Si 00
Ij
u 1
-t v.
CS i2
Jl> o
•S E
H o
o c
ฃ 8

CM
t
"!
f*t







u
E

outdoor contact
ฃ
1 1 a
ซ .S o
^•s 1
03 "T3 03
<ง S S
ซ• V 03
N^ c a.

ฃ
03
1
'ซ
o
-C
c
"3
1
U
Tt
C-i
U
H
E
o
ฃ

IH
1
tn
vO
*/^







w
8
•B
3
O
•8
tn
8.
K
U
U







lof number of hours spent outdoors for






















adults. The derivation of this value is
described on the table.





















*2
From Table 2.4. C., obtain best estima
for the area of skin in contact
with soil outdoors. The derivation of
this value is described in the table.


u
8
t—







•8

K
U
C
*o
g
03





Vi
"3
iซ
o
Tf
rj
JO
IB
ฃ
1
O
*ซ
'5
o
ซ
CQ
,;ฃ

1
ts
0
o








u
to
1





u
.c
Best estimate from Table 2.4. C. This
reflects the percent of the dioxin that
can migrate from the sludge matrix to
available for absorption.


ง
i
s










I
><
*|H
S







00
"So
c
U i-
ffj J^, ,^>
Hill
3 VN O VO S
T? . t~- 
00 t-i
•o o
-~* „ o
| -3 |
^ 03 O














^^
C
ง
8.

1
4)
X





                                                   620

-------
z
o
a.


<ง
•
u a:
a: u-
X
u
O 2

H H
< CO
 J UJ

3 H

U ซซ
U

U

a.


<

X


1 Explanation

•S3
3




1
••a
i
.u
U,
O
1
l^
!




1



o
From Table 2.4. C, obtain best estimal
C-4
E
1ฐ
f>

o
o





ซ
S
1
"c
o
8
•0
_c
U
U
sal- I
S "3 so E
- "B -S '^
1 2 a S <3
•*• _, CJ /—S,
= 1 S g 5
>, 	 . ซo C2 K s 	


M)
tซ
*3
•o
03
^
-S
"03
IH
1
IM



















"3
ex
c
'i
1


03
0
C
O
1



















U3
w
5
03
d-
*ฉ
.H
"ซ
S
s
^
e
*ฃ
1
o
Tt
c-i
_o
3
03
E
ฃ
u.

u
^
o
oo

^





l-l
O
o
•o
c
'i
a
X
Q>
U
E








number of hours spent indoors for
























| adults. The derivation of this value is
























described on the table.























1
ซ
o
1
c
1
O
Tt
cs
o
|
2
u.


cs
o
o

0\






1
o
u
^c
to
•8

^
03







of area of skin exposed indoors. The
derivation this value is described in
Table 2.4.C.






















3

t-i
U
cs
_u
H
E
o
1
1
IS
m
In
_O
"o
03
Ui
CS

O
O







S
2
.2
e-
o
(A
cd






(A
Best estimate from Table 2.4.C. Thi

1
I
SR










I
*&
ฃ







1
^c
'•S
o
"3
c
1
0>
ซ
1























^>
0
1
u
BC
1
U
O
o
2
OC
'ง
C
03
O
























,5
1
03
JO
2
03
1
03






















                                                               621

-------
O
u
a.
!1
cc u.


i!~

ง11
S >• S5
Oi H CO
UJ ^ —

ฃ22
O uJ
U. H
z <
O S
  u
o

U)

a.


<
X
UJ




Explanation




5g
I



ta
"S
5
g
•9
a
u
a
&
1
!
•*•ป
i



t





00
"oo
c
O 01 i_
oo E -i1
O w
M "So H
"o ฃ  o
^^- "O —  "P -S "ง 2
03 S 83 -Si
*3 w -5 — , o
!i *H
,0 .e U g .2
U Bl) "t _ — CJ
^ C  ^—
fe 3 .a o ซ -C H
S "S i ฃ -s -8 .s


CM
O
8
J^











X
i 1
00 "
•1 ' ฐ
s s
>-M l-l


Q. Jป
.S u
Til
1 i
c ex


.
F
U
8
r-
X
01
u
"So
oo
^
1


F
s
^




II
o
2J~\
CM
C e
O =
o u
1 1ff
15 1 J.
1 - "S
ill
111
•o -3 o
13 ? ง
&0 l_ 03
E ^ x




                              622

-------
o

<
u
!3
a.
    O
    OS
    u.
< Cu  oo
"S. >•  7,
QJ H  CO
Oi  U.
O  ui
U.  H

Z  <
o  2
O
a.
s

| Explanation


•2
S




1
1
•9
a
ง
fc
w.
1
1
1


t

**J



I
$ 1 2 j.
i e 1 i
>."!=ป;

o g- 2 g
* ฐ *z $
CM -3 2 ~
i 1 "s I
H c oo x
lill



00
o




00
e
'5
o
s
s
1
L)
i
1
1
•3








o
5)
1 1
4- w
T u
oo E
E ?
8 S
o w
"o >
E .a
5 ฃ

X

E 1
O 00


m



II 0
iS ci
1 '1
> *j C
ft O U
ซ - I i
E s ฐ ^ -T-
2 e o .a te
tM O w JS w
M | J! | |
ll! SI








2
c
8
>~.
1
CA
a
u
"e
o
T3



























8
"3
8
O
Cu
(A
t-
03
il
t_
i_i
o
u



























1 assumes that the dirt is left on the skin



























for 4 hours before it is washed off.


























en
"3
03
l_>
U
_o
1
i;
u
ซ
1
8
CQ
tM
B
o
1
CM

O
0









U
I
c
1








Best estimate from Table 2.4.C. This
reflects the percent of the dioxin that
can migrate from the sludge matrix to b
available for absorption.

^
ง
(J
feR












1
_x
*tซ








CO
~ฃc
c
u
00
cs
>+*
o
&


t.
c
m
o

cs
oo
Tf
00
"&)

I
u
o
c:
8
1
8
T3
C
U
w
O
Q

03
P
"J
UJ

S
^

ft
o ฐ.
x x










^^
c
V
>
00
.E
S

>- t
o ^
•J !^-
B "8
g i
Eฐl
11
X X
o
'5
E
2 ซ
i u
g ง
-g S

b*
O
X













"e
.0
1
"o"
S
c:
0
1-
o
w
^
05
X








X














^
1
a,
1
_x
"S
x







                                                                      623

-------
z
o
y

a.


<ง
UJ Oi
oi u-

g ซ

22
X j
u 5
       co
       CO
o:  u.

o  tu
u.  p

2  <
o  S

P  P
<  CO
J  W

U  co
u
u
X



tn
Explanatioi



$
a
3



J
2
1

i
ง

g
1
E

1
!




1




i
C
o
ON
o
E
3
CO


^
^>
op
o
U

oo

--
oo
C
0>
o
-o
0
o
0
II

C
1
"03

H

0
.5 1 'I
2 ซ JS
go 0
—• a ^
2 S 2





"M
u
85
vd















•^
"ob
c
u
Ift
0
•o
u
o
03
e-
oo
c
]>

-i-


1
"s
o
•o





"So
c
CM
00

















^^

C
u
tft
o
o
^

+





"oo
o
r~
X
03
T3
m
1
u
00

B
•o
"So
^
00
o
UJ

2




"g
"ojj

0
D
ii ^* ^!

•* fO "ง
OJD ^* r^
= -o oo
V rV!

Q c? C:


*5 >*
o g 5
S" 'o JS?
2 O "oo
^ -o c
"8
•a
03
2
u
JO
1
•ง
Potency estimate
03
•o
I3
"ob
_ง
o
+
U

ts









Q
Q
U
<ฃ
vj^

"3*

t/5
J .S
S S o
* 1 I"


m
o
rtion factor of
03
C
JO























o
%
| potency estin

o)
3
15
"S
1
u
u
o
o
Ii

























for TCDD.



, 	 ,
ฐ 8
^ "So
00 C
"? 0
0 9
00 *O
""• si
"•* +

&
"Si
^
00
C
o
UJ
o\



o*

1
o
"U
if
u in

C ''u
3 5!
o o
>i T3
II 3
U -C
M U
O w
T3 5
>ป "ฐ
:3 *O
ซ3
Q +
(0
1
1 "
O 1
*~s f



r^
O
I
^<
00
1
U1
 "*
(A ฃ
3ja
o -^

























lifetime.





d.
3
O
CJ,
03
.G
i


























                                                                    624

-------
z
o

a.
3.1
uj a:
a; u-
   co
 x
 UJ
•J  a.
<  a.
 *  ft.
 2  >-
 Qd  H
 w  o:
 Q  o
 a:  u.
 O  w
 u-  H

 z  <
 o  S
 J W

 D H
 O f
  u
  u

  a.

  <
  X
  a
                                                                625

-------
o

<
u
a.
a.
U
2
    8
    g
    U.
'Z,  &,



co  O  —

S  =  a
•7  r    OO
—  H  oo

i-  ซ:  5
u  o  ^
w  u.
0^  LLl
ง  I
U.  H
<  w
    OQ
ง
LU


O.
X
LU


Explanation
•a
•3
3




|
meter/Calculation
ซj
*
**t
|

""'


t
**J




•o1
"to
Q
Q
U
'1
Tt
cs
2
03
o
ฃ
J?
1?
^— '
0.
c.
0



8
"73
'o
CO

8
"2
s
0

'S
•^
o
ฃ
"s
3
concentrations reported for MS agricul
















1

o
o
3
O

.ti T3 ^
C O „ "e
land application site. Since the opportui
for significant direct ingestion is assum
to exist only if there may be individual!
who live on the land application site, 01
agricultural land application sites are
considered.
















c
03
t~
'c

o
u


From Table 2.4. 1.,
obtain best estimate of ratio of

VI
1/3
~ .ฐ
'S 'is
3 ฃ
oo
o
_0
'03
tM
8

1

1
T3
.5
.s 1
o -o
.0 ^

^- T3
si .s
CA
ง
indoor/outdoor contaminant concentrati
















|
"ซ
(_
C
o
u
8


reported in literature.























o
oo
o
X
00
e
8
PI
"o
t3
i
Cu

se
^
"5jj
c
s
CM
II

6
c
o
o

en
3
^
8
T3
•H















idoor/outdoor ratio
fcซ
^

u

8
2
's
o





                                                                       626

-------
O


<
a.
a.
    U

    H
•z.  e*
O  j

P  <
to  U

C^  Cu


S  H


u  o
S  u.
o  S
U.  f-
<
U
U

ID

a.


<

X
oo
co

Explanation


•g
3





1
1
ป
•s
,y
w
y
irameter
(ฃ
^
a
t^
^

t



o
"c
u
'.ฃ
CN
JO
Z
el
I
U.

^
ซ3
^
3
ts
d






c
,2
CA
oo
c
ป^J
'o
CO
"o
Q>
1 „ ซ
E oo ,. ^ .5
Pli I
^- u 0 ^x — •

s
•o
"o
L
i
o
D-
a
u
jil ingestion rat
%




















"3
ex
S3
Ul
w:
=
6
8>\
ซ
3^0
3 O CX
O .ซ S
| 1 ฃ
it g o3
E 2 3
1 H 8
c O
S *S t
111
0 ra 1
5 C/3 00




















CO
U
1
IM
03
CL

^ P •? "8
ฐ I -S s
8 s "8 -S
ป• o 2 o 1
fll O •* *J ,— v
.a — o 
-------
z
o
H

O
D_
O-
G

<  S

^  ง
W  H

3  S
ง  2

2  ฃ
x  ^
W  co

z  2

2  d  s
co  U


I  ^
6  H
H  ฃ
O  O
U3  U-
C*  U

5  b
ซ  5
o  e
U.  H

z  S
o  H

H  CO
<  U
_J  ซ
O
_J
o-
X






••a
ซs
c
-9
&
hj




•g
3







1
!
^
1
Input Parai
1
























contaminated
1
1
percent of ingested

<•. c <
ฐ a '" O,
0 S "g W
1 1 1 I
*jj 55 w wj
S B ซ 'C
^j C cซ O
w " J- 03 OO
o E 5 -o
•ฐ 2 .L 3
e c 03 "w
2 8 - -3
•งฃ=•&
.^ i i
31 i|s5-
u o> m ฐ oo
S g> ป = 2
03 •- •ฃ 0
^" n .2 ซ "^
S S IS g g
u. ex H o O

c
S
SL
as
o







03









00
"So
1

c*.
o
Product

^
03
"So
c

9

s
ri

^
u
8
t-i
1
ซ
Outdoor dose = 01
(3b) Calculate










-ง
"So
CN
d
X











?
5
^b
u
2
c
o
1
00
c
1
K
| outdoor dose













*
in
X










ง
c.
1
8
-o
3
o
E
o
c
u
u
&
X
|to young child













o
X










ntaminated area
8
4>
O
i
t*M
O
1
u
S.
X









00
1a>
C
3
CN
O
Product

.^
03
^

9
u
o
CN

00
c
M
o
o
8
•o
.s
II
•o
1
(3c) Calculate










•o
^00
CN
O
X











•S
u
2
'•ง
1
i
X
1 indoor dose













•*
X










.5
u
s
o
M
8
•o
c
I
-.w
1
|to young child J











7

O
X










minated sources
i
3
ง
O
s
(ฃ
to
s
•o
(4-!
O
I
X


•o
"ฃb
c
r*"i
0)


^ S -o ฃ ซ oo
3 "3 03 ^ 93
JS S '-e E "o ^
U •ง oc ซ 2 g
X — C W o T3 J7
•o 3 2 ^ S •"a —
Sfg, S •ง -g ri
                                                              628

-------
z
o
u
a.
a.
Q

ง  Q
j  Q
J,  u
gj  H

ง  S

S  S
   LL
2
X
UJ
_J


U


o

u

a.

S


X
UJ
z  a
2  J r

fe  $ I

S  g ง
S  H S
H  S
o  p
UJ  U-
(X.  UJ
5  b
oi  *s
O  S
U,  H


1?
   UJ
   OQ
Explanation

•g
5





1
Calculation
^*
1ง
S
CB
1-
aj
'a
0,
>5


d,
t
03



*o
o
.1
w
e
a
•8
2
E
o
ฃ

IB
^
2?
-
o

o





c
_o
to
M
•^3
%


u
'S
^iS
UJ
1
^a
u
S
•o
"o
S
c
o
1
OC



















15
(X
'^
51"

w
C
ka
t;
1
1
S
O
•o
S
o
CA





















(Q
Iri
1
e
03
1
ฃ „ ^ p "S
1 S S ฐ 2 |
u o S ^ •ฃ
S r" 9 ง S 0
r" w o 5 E S
43 ^3 Q (j > 2 ,-^
lit 1 | 1 1 i
ฃ & S. i -S 3 1 S
> ฃ > ซM or,5--
ฐo5-ง •* -s S .5 U
* 1 r i ^i 1 1 ง
8 ง S I ง ! 1 P S
ill! Hi sS
oO>*j2 UHSo^rT

5
u
u
a.
S
t —
oo


1
"3
o
E
o
i
CQ
f^|n
_C
!S
en
'o
= S
o o
Si =
8. S






rcent of total soil ingested
•ces, subtract percent from
from 100%.
S. ง S
| " 1
c -n "
S .5 S
•ง i 1
ฃ ฃ 1

1
S.
wi
oi



E
o
"8
8
00

ซ 0
<ซ "
IM 3
3 s

งQ
o
11






I., obtain best estimate of
Tt
cs
u
2
03
E
ฃ
u.

ง
1
o




m contaminated
o
S'

"S

M)
•S
"B
'c
8 -
I 1






from contaminated area.
"8
1
oc
.S
1
o
1

























c
•8
1
03
V)
03
i
1
u
1
u
H

























<
a.
S.
I
M
&
•o
_3
"w
1
^
'ฃ
assessment of mi


























o\
oo
O\
to"
O

























                                               629

-------
z
o
H
0.
Q.
    a
    a
    u
    H

    S
U
at
g  O

2  e
X  ^
UJ  CO
P  ^  S

S3  r  3
o  S:  S2
S  H  ^
f-  S  i
u  o  •ซ
UJ  u-
ฃ  UJ
5  H
a:
O
u.
j


ง

U
X
    co
    U

    co
    U
    03






1
c;
45
S


•3
5








1
er/Calculatioa
1
Input Parai

•^
53









00
"So
c:
Product of 330

^
03
^
C
O
UJ

00

CM
If
'i
8
"^
Outdoor dose = 01
o
*03
~3
_0
U
Z'
s











T3
o
X











S3
^
1
C
O
1
CO
1
X
43
(A
outdoor do











oo
oo
X











r sources
8
"3
o
o
1
O
g.
X

J—
o
u
o











JS
o
X











the contaminated area
o
1
C
o
it
X












oo
"So
c
Product of 264

^
03
TO
"So
c
3
UJ
o



"oO
1
o
u
8
•o
II
ง
•o
1
o
J5
3
U
"a
U
cj
J,











•o
0
X











1?
•o
2?
u
s
e
o
1
1
X

u
CO
o
T3
8
•o
c











X











i
8
1
1
1
1
X
•o
^
73
u
•o
"o
o











JS
o
X











contaminated sources
E
o
3
"o
1
1
K






0?
1
^t"
s
m
m
i

03
•o
"So
c

u
o\
oo
CM
U-i
O
E
3
co

^
03
•o
"So
o
UJ
CM
CM


ndoor and outdoor
tfcH
O
E
3
II
S
o
TJ
'ซ
(2
ฃ -n
"* T3
1 8 '•ง
03 O g
^ 2 "=
2-22



"o
o
"03
'S
u
1
JO
^^
u
"S

cs
o
SI
1
u.


s?
•o
^B3
CM
ง


o



'i
1
1
1
"ฐ *J

1 1
2 ^2 "^
T3 ^5 ซ
ซ 3 UJ
UQ ^3
^ * "B?
10 o *o




c
•ง
^
us
"3
•o
03
In
4)

soil ingestion ra














"3
(X
c
necessary i
ra
o
co
c
Q
ง
(0

U
'C
_4>
O

1
Q
co
O
V
















parameters

E'
o:
00
CM
O
O
CA
U
13
>
•x
H

"w
"S
C
O
I





















03
^
en
E
03
00
O
3
CM

d
0
03
SL

















                                                                630

-------
O

H

O


n_
a.


Q


<  8

^.8
u  H

3  S

I  ง
2  ซซ
X  ซ
ซ  co

Z  c^
O
u
D
U  O
UJ  U-
a  m

5  t:
g
   eo
   U


   co
   UJ
   CO
u



U

UJ

a.

S


X
UJ
      a.
      a.
      v>
      CO



Explanation
1



1
•/Calculation
Input Parametel

(5,
ฃrS












'rom outdoor
"8
1
'o
1






13
o ฃ .s
111
ฃ E s
ฐ< o S o
u o 5 ~ x,
5 ซ ง S S
S = -3 S 2
2 c o
•ง .2 -J 8. <
W 'ป "^ ^ OH
* ai H" U3 m
~ 2P . oo "
T* .= to C =
3 a 8 'S S
ป S S 1 Q
3 >. S | ฃ
U. 3 o 
-------
z
o

<
y

a.
o-
Z-

a
Oi
D
CO
O
o-
X
U
z
o
CO
U
0
2
U
tu
cm
5
a:
o
U,
z
D
Q
U
H
5
*ฃ
O
oฃ
u.
^
CO
tt
J
<
CJ
E
H
ft!
0
u.
u
S
^t,
ซ;
*ฃ
H
co
U









51
D.
co
CO
CO
CO
ง







w  t_

H  ฃ


S  S



ง
<

U





g
'43
1
<5i
t
a
•g
S








1
Input Parameter/Calculation




!•
Cif)
**j










DC
^
~Sb
c
S
cs
td-t
o
t3
|
ฃ

>^
B
T3
"So
c
9
UJ
o
f;

t
"So
^
u
ง
o
8
•o
_c
II
S
o
•o
k*
8
•o
c


u
S
|
**
u
g









X
03
1
O
K











">>
03
1
1
J
1
00
c
rs
o
vt
X


ง
-o
8
•o
_c









^
r-
X











cent from indoor sources
k<
o
ex
X



ปj
3
-a
03
o









ซS
0
X











cent of dust from contaminated sources
SL
X






X
03
•o
"oo
C
>n
i
p*-
ro
+

>ป
03
T3
"ob
c
T
u
rt
VO
t*_i
O
S
3
CO

>,
S3
T5
"op

S
u

"l
*o

dose = sum of indoor and outdoor
"03
3



0
03
1 ซ
^- w
03 O ฑi
U -o 3
_ _* "O
T? 2 ซ
10, ฐ 2





o~
E;
>n
X
Bฃ
j?
VO
^
a
1
rn
o
O
\D
%
T3
00
ฃ
00
C
9
u
oo
vp

'ited young child dose =
_op
'5
S


ฃ ง 1
ซ 5 P
Es S
_ o •ฃ
•J <*-< w
MM UJ
w — u :H
ง 1 1 e

u
C 00
O 03
'o V,
ซ 2
* 2
0 "
•ฃ oo
„ c
R ง
C: >,
>o =
x 2
The dose is weighted b
of a lifetime spent in th











5
m
X
1
i
S
^
0
^
&
03
S j=
s s
I ,s
oo u
'ง 8
S -0
0
00
^
>0
vM
X
_o
"8
"O
*>.
'•5
• M
I1
00
C
e
S
o
Q
ex
S
00
















ex
3
O
Wi
00
&
03








>.
•o
1
00
c
_c
73
_n
'S
1




















c u
o oo
'.C ซ
CJ
a ^n
* S
12 I 1
C: - S
*ฃ- S 2
ซ S .ฐ
'oo X 5>
[(3.22e-3 ng/day)/35 k
The dose is weighted b
of a lifetime spent in ti
ฃ
^
00
^
"So
c
9
tu
r—
in
\o

II S
o >n
TJ ^
S .f
-C O
0 ?
S3 >,
•o -P
•3 J
1 ^
r- "--
ง i
o o
S S





o
00
^
ซn
O"l
>,
-O
1
^
•6
•2 -J
>ป ^
5 ^b
oc ^
c ^0
c c
'o .S
1 ^
Q o
T3
o. .S
= 03
ฃ ฃ
00 O



















                                                    632

-------
O
Q-
0-
UJ
O  ฃ
cu  "*
X  *^/*
UJ  CO

z  2
O  j  -
H  ^
co  U
CL
O.

CO
co

co
CO
O  ^  x2
z  t~  "

u  o
UJ  U-
2:  w
5  5
a!  -s
O  &
u.  H
z  a
    CO
    UJ
    09
D
U
U

UJ
X
UJ






B
.ง
-a
I
I
a
1






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halation
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counties applying sludge
agriculturally that is sludge
amended
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in the two counties
1 3.c. Estimate the percent
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-------
          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

                      WASHINGTON, D.C. 20460
     JUN 2 6 1990

MEMORANDUM
                                                        OFFICE OF
                                                PESTICIDES AND TOXIC SUBSTANCES
SUBJECT:  EEB  Update  of Risks  in  the Aquatic  and Terrestrial
          Environments made for the Dioxin-in-Paper Project

FROM:     William S. Rabert       WdJL**^ J.
          Environmental Effects Branch
          Health and Environmental
            Review Division  (TS-796)

TO:       Pat Jennings
          Exposure Assessment Branch
          Exposure Assessment Division  (TS-798)

THRU:     Maurice Zeeman,  Ph.D.
          Acting Chief
          Environmental Effects Branch
          Health and Environmental
            Review Division  (TS-796)
     Attached to this  memorandum is the revised update  of risks
to fish and wildlife.  Comments  from six reviewers were reviewed
and incorporated as  time permitted in  48 hours.  Comments  were
received from  Priscilla Halloran,  Al Rubin,  Pat Jennings,  Jim
Kwiat, Lois Dicker, and Gary Grindstaff.

Update Summary

     EEB was asked by the dioxin work group to update the aquatic
and terrestrial portions  of the ecological risk  assessment with
recent information and  to evaluate the  assumptions used in  the
terrestrial model.  Additional information on dioxin toxicity and
exposure to fish and wildlife  have been received, analyzed,  and
some new ecological  concerns identified since the  original risk
assessments were completed.   The  new information reaffirms  the
earlier assessments of risks to aquatic and terrestrial wildlife.
Exposure concentrations  of TCDD  and TCDF  may adversely   affect
local  fish  and  wildlife  populations   exposed  to  pulp  mill
effluents  and dioxin-contaminated  sludge  applied  to land  and
forested areas.

     This  update identifies  concerns for TCDD  contamination  of
some highly sensitive  aquatic areas that pose  special concerns.
The Great Lakes  are sensitive laurentian environments  where the
introduction of  TCDD  could pose  potentially  severe  problems.
Commercial and sport fisheries are  economically important  in the
Great Lakes.  Effluent  or atmospheric inputs of TCDD  into these


                               648

-------
lakes are  likely to  affect  fish and  wildlife populations  and
consumption of exposed fish could pose a human health risk.  High
TCDD levels in  fish in the Great  Lakes continue to be  a health
concern.  At least  six chlorine-bleaching kraft or  sulfite pulp
mills are located  on the edge of the Great Lakes and another two
mills discharge into  rivers that flow into  the Great Lakes.
It is uncertain  what other  sensitive bodies of  water, such  as
productive estuarine areas,  also receive  effluents from one  or
more pulp  mills.   It  is  unclear whether  modelers  considered
multiple dicharges from adjacent pulp mills into a single aquatic
area in their estimation of exposure levels.

    The risk assessments do not include toxic effects resulting
from  the other chlorinated organic compounds  formed in the pulp
and paper process.  Estimates of environmental concentrations for
these chemicals were  unavailable.   Additional toxic effects  on
fish  and  wildlife  might  also be  expected  from  these  other
chlorinated chemicals.

     One  aspect which  has  not been  addressed  in either  risk
assessment is  the impact  of chlorinated  dioxins and  furans on
populations of endangered  species.  It  has become evident  that
some endangered species  are exposed to concentrations  of dioxin
in effluents from  some pulp and  paper mills.  Other  endangered
species  also  may be  exposed  to  dioxins at  sites  where land
application of dioxin-contaminated sludges  is permitted.   Given
the  myriad conditions of  exposure, it is  unclear whether local
endangered species populations are at risk by exposure to TCDD or
TCDF produced  during chlorination  of pulp  in the  paper-making
process.
                             649

-------
AN UPDATE ON THE ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS  OF TCDD AND TCDF RELEASES




  FROM PULP AND PAPER MILLS ON AQUATIC  AND TERRESTRIAL ANIMALS
                       William  S.  Rabert







                  Environmental  Effects Branch



            Health and Environmental  Review  Division



                   Office of  Toxic Substances
                            June  1990
                            650

-------
                        Table of Contents

                                                             Page

I.    Introduction                                             1

II.   Hazard Assessment Summary

    A.  Fate and Toxicity of 2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-
        p-dioxin (TCDD)                                        1

    B.  Fate and Toxicity of 2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzofuran
        (TCDF)                                                 2


III.  Risk Assessment Summary and Update

    A.  Aquatic Risk Assessment for TCDD and TCDF from
        Mill Effluents                                         2

      1.  Pulp Mill Effluent Risks to Fish                     3

      2.  Effluent Risks to Aquatic Plants and Herbivores      4

      3.  Effluent Risks to Benthic Organisms                  5

      4.  Effluent Risks to Fish-eating Birds and Mammals      6

    B.  Terrestrial Risk Assessment for Land Application
        of TCDD- and TCDF-contaminated Sludge

      1.  Evaluation of the Abt Model                          8

      2.  Evaluation of the NCASI Study in Wisconsin           9

      3.  Comparison of the Abt Estimates with NCASI Data      9

      4.  Potential Effects of Land Application on
          Endangered Species                                  10


IV.   Conclusions on Risk                                     10


V.    References                                              12


VI.   Tables  (1 through 7)                                   14
                                651

-------
Introduction

     This update  attempts to  provide the  latest assessment  of
TCDD risks to  wildlife in aquatic and  terrestrial environments.
The  original aquatic  risk assessment  drafted by the  Office of
Water did not include risks posed to birds and mammals feeding
in contaminated aquatic  habitats.  Therefore, the  Environmental
Effects Branch (EEB) was asked to address these  missing portions
of the aquatic risk assessment.

     EEB was also asked to  critically review the Abt terrestrial
risk assessment to understand the model and  to determine whether
the estimate of risks to wildlife  were reasonable.  A comparison
was requested between Abtฐs estimates of  risk and the results of
the Wisconsin study by the National Council of the Paper Industry
for Air and Stream Improvement, Inc. (NCASI).

I.  Hazard Assessment Summary

 A.  Fate and Toxicity of 2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin
       (TCDD)

     Chlorinated  dioxins  and furans  are  very highly  toxic to
fish,  birds, and mammals (Table 1).   The most toxic congener of
polychlorinated  dibenzo-p-dioxins  appears  to be  2,3,7,8-TCDD.
TCDD has low water solubility (about  200 ng/L) and a high log  P
value  (about  6.8).   These  two  properties  contribute to  the
ability of TCDD to bioaccumulate in  organisms and enter the food
web.  Available  bioconcentration tests  have not been  conducted
for an adequate duration to  reach a steady-state equilibrium  in
fish and many tests have grossly underestimated the bioconcentra-
tion factor  (BCF) for TCDD.   The longer the duration of the  BCF
test the higher the BCF estimate  value.  Estimates of BCF values
for  TCDD  range from  about  7,900  to 159,000  times  the water
concentration (Table 2).

     TCDD is very persistent; the half-life  in the human body is
7 to  10 years and in soil has  been estimated to be 10-15 years.
Dioxins may persist  even longer in sediments,  because compounds
adsorbed  to the  sediments are less  subject to  degradation via
photolysis, oxidation, and microbial action.   The persistence of
TCDD and its availability from  sediments might pose a continuing
problem for some  time, even if TCDD were no longer released from
pulp mills.  TCDD  is expected to volatilize during  the chlorine
bleaching process, pulp drying process, and even from pulp sludge
and soils.  The levels and  effects of volatilized TCDD available
for aerial  transport and deposition  has not been  quantified in
this risk assessment.

     Fish appear to be the most sensitive tested species to TCDD.
The  ultimate chronic  toxicity of  TCDD to  fish  for  non-lethal
endpoints has not  yet been  determined.   Mortality is  normally
delayed several days depending on the test concentration  and the
duration  of  exposure.   A 56-day  BCF  test with  rainbow trout
produced 45 percent  mortality at  the lowest test  concentration


                             652

-------
(38 ppq 	 estimated  LC50 of 40 ppq).  Nearly  all mortality at
the lowest concentration-  occurred after the 28-day  exposure and
continued throughout the 28-day depuration  period.  No cessation
of death was apparent  at the end of the test.   Extrapolation of.
the  final dose-response  data  for mortality  suggests  5 to  10
percent lethality at 1 ppq.  The time to lethality is extended by
lower exposure concentrations  and shorter exposures.   Lethality
has not been  shown to be related  to TCDD body burdens  in fish.
Indeed, the fish in bioconcentration tests have been found to die
after TCDD  levels have  depurated significantly.   Consequently,
tissue concentrations of TCDD  in fish cannot be used  to specify
the cause of death.   The shortest reported TCDD  exposure period
was  six  hours, and  even  after  that short  exposure  the fish
subsequently died of TCDD toxicity on days 78, 118, 134, 136, and
139 (Branson et al., 1985).
                                        i
 B. Fate and Toxicity of 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran (TCDF)

     Chlorinated furans are  more water soluble than  dioxins and
tend  to bioconcentrate to a  lesser degree.   TCDF is less toxic
than TCDD.  Merhle e_t al_  (1988)  reported the no-observed-effect
concentration  (NOEC) for  TCDF based on  growth effects  as 0.41
ng/1, the  lowest test concentration.   In human  health studies,
the  toxicity equivalent  factor  (TEF) for  2,3,7,8-tetrachloro-
dibenzofuran is about  one-tenth that of 2,3,7,8-TCDD  (U.S. EPA,
1989).  In this  report, the TEF value of 0.1 for  TCDF was used
to  estimate risks to  aquatic organisms, birds  and mammals from
mixtures of TCDD and TCDF.

II.  Risk Assessment Summary and Update

 A. Aquatic Risk Assessment for TCDD and TCDF from Mill Effluents

     The in-stream water  concentrations for  TCDD and TCDF  were
calculated by  Tetra Tech, Inc.  (unpublished) for the  Office of
Water  based on the  effluent concentrations measured  in the 104
mill study.   Two dilution water  models were used  to derive the
in-stream concentrations (i.e.,  the harmonic  mean flow and  the
7Q10 low flow  values for  the respective stream  reaches).   The
7Q10 low  flow  rate is  defined as  the lowest  flow rate  which
persists for seven  days at least  once every ten  years.   Lower
flow rates  occur for shorter  periods than 7  days.  Lower  flow
rates would result in  higher in-stream TCDD and  TCDF concentra-
tions  for short  periods.  'High  TCDD concentrations  for short
periods are relevant because such short exposures have been shown
to produce lethal effects in fish.

     Since definitive chronic  toxicity values are  not available
for TCDD and  TCDF effects on  aquatic species, especially  fish,
chronic toxicity values were estimated from the test results of a
56-doy study with TCDD on  rainbow trout.  Since the lowest  test
concentration (38 pg/L)  caused 45  percent mortality, a  chronic
toxicity  value for TCDD was estimated by dividing by a factor of
1000 (i.e., 0.038  pg/L).  Selection  of an estimation factor  of
1000 was  suggested by the Office  of Water, because it  has used


                               653

-------
values  of  that  magnitude for  certain  chemicals  when chronic
toxicity  data were unavailable.  OTS  also uses a factor of 1000
to predict the chronic toxicity of a substance from a single LC50
value  in  the section  5  Premanufacturing Notice  process under
TSCA.  The OTS factor of 1000 does not include any safety factor.
Rather the factor of 1000 consists  of a series of intervals with
average factors of 10.  Included in  the three factors of 10 are:
1) a range of differences in species sensitivity; 2) an  acute to
chronic toxicity (i.e.,  LC50 to the maximum  acceptable toxicant
concentration (MATC) value); and 3)  the differences in field-to-
laboratory toxic effects.  Given the fact that the LC50 value for
TCDD could be lower than 38 pg/L for fish, a 1000 factor is not a
conservative estimate for chronic toxicity.

   1.  Pulp Mill Effluent Risks to Fish

     Aquatic risks were determined by a comparison of the chronic
toxicity estimates for TCDD and TCDF with the in-stream concen-
trations predicted using the 7Q10 low  flow rates for the section
of river near each mill site.   The Office of Water risk  assess-
ment concluded that the water  column concentrations of TCDD  and
TCDF immediately  downstream of 87 mills are  estimated to exceed
the predicted chronic toxicity values for at least 90 percent (78
mills) and 75 percent (65 mills) of the sites, respectively.  The
exposures could be  higher, if estimates of  in-stream concentra-
tions by the Office  of Water did not address  multiple effluents
into a  water body  from nearby pulp  mills.   Table 3  shows the
percentage of pulp  mills where in-stream concentrations  of TCDD
and/or TCDF  are predicted to  exceed the estimated  lethal level
for fish.   Lethality in fish is predicted  from TCDD exposures
(_t  1 ppq) immediately downstream  of 65 percent  of the 55 mills
located on streams and  rivers with untreated effluents and  at 2
out  of  five pulp  mills where  the  effluent has  received POTW
treatment.  When  additive toxicity  for only TCDD  and TCDF  are
considered (excluding  other chlorinated  organic compounds),  69
percent of the  pulp mills  on streams and  rivers exceed  lethal
levels and 16 percent exceed the LC50.  Adverse effects have been
reported in receiving  waters of some  pulp mills.  For  example,
the fish found in the Pigeon  River downstream from a large paper
mill on the  the North Carolina/Tennessee  border are in  visibly
bad health;  many fish are eyeless and  suffer from skin lesions
on their bodies (Anon, 1990).  While TCDD causes lesions, it is
uncertain whether these effects  are specifically due to  TCDD or
TCDF.  The effects do, however, appear to be related to effluents
from the pulp mill.

     Migratory fish populations also may be at risk after passing
through in-stream concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in contaminated
segments of rivers,  streams, and lakes.   Exposure durations  as
short as 6 hours to TCDD have been studied and lethality observed
several days thereafter.  Consequently,  death may occur in fish,
even though an  exposure was for  only a few hours  while passing
through contaminated segments.  It is uncertain  if  toxic effects
would occur  subsequent to  spawning or affect   the offspring  of
migratory fish species.  For some  migratory fish, like salmon on

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the Pacific Coast,  which usually don't feed during migration and
die shortly after  swimming upstream  and spawning, the  exposure
may have limited  impact on the adults.   But for other migratory
species like the  Atlantic salmon, sturgeon, striped  bass, shad,
herring,  and smelt,  which spawn  more than one  season, adverse
effects  on  adult  populations might  be  anticipated.   Adverse
effects may be expected  for fry of all migratory  species moving
downstream  through  effluent  discharges.    The young  of  some
migratory species, like  salmon, remain in freshwater for  one or
two years before  migrating to the sea.  Adverse effects might be
anticipated in these young and  other nonmigratory species, which
may reside in contaminated areas downstream of discharge areas.

     Some waters in the  U.S. are particularly vulnerable to  the
introduction  of  toxic pollutants.    TCDD  and TCDF  have  been
identified as pollutants of  concern in fish and wildlife  in the
Great Lakes (International Joint Commission, 1990).  At least six
of  the 104 pulp  mills have  been identified  as located  on the
Great Lakes and  another two  mills which are  located on  rivers
that  flow into  the lakes.   The TCDD  and TCDF inputs  into the
Great Lakes from the effluents of these mills and the atmospheric
transport  from  the numerous  mills  and incinerators  upwind of
these lakes are  matters of concern.   The cold, clear water  and
great depths  in the  Great Lakes  accentuate the  persistence of
pollutants and the probable entry of such chemicals into the food
web.  With  the flushing rates in the Great Lakes ranging from 27
years for Lake  Erie to 183  years for Lake Superior,  pollutants
will remain in the  lakes for long periods.  The  Great Lakes are
economically  important   for  sports   fishing  and   commercial
fisheries.  TCDD and other coplanar  PCBs have been implicated in
the poor  reproduction of resident populations of  lake trout and
chinook salmon  in the  Great Lakes  in the  past years  (Ankley,
1989).   Since many chemicals were  found in fish samples,  it is
not clear which  pollutant or what  combination of chemicals  are
responsible for  the reproductive decline.   It  is difficult  to
attribute  fish  population  reductions to  TCDD,  because tissue
levels of TCDD can not be correlated to lethality or reproductive
failure, as shown  by deaths during  the depuration phase of  BCF
tests.  Also, the level of detection for TCDD at  10 ppq in water
is two to  three orders  of magnitude higher  than the  estimated
chronic toxicity level.  Reductions in important fish populations
and hazardous contamination  levels in  the fish would  adversely
affect the economic value of these lakes for commercial and sport
fisheries.   Highly contaminated fish  in the  Great Lakes  could
pose a human health  problem to people who consume fish  from the
Great Lakes.   Accumulation of  high TCDD levels  in Great  Lakes
fish could result  in a  ban on commercial  fishing and  advisory
recommendations for catch-and-release fishing only.

   2.  Effluent Risks to Aquatic Plants and Herbivores

     Physical  properties  of TCDD  and TCDF,  such as  low water
solubility and  high log P,  are associated with  chemicals which
are expected to sorb to organic  material.  The sorption of  TCDD
and TCDF to suspended matter, plants, and sediments in an aquatic


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environment  may pose a potential  risk to plants, herbivores and
benthic organisms.   No toxic  effects on plants  were identified
for TCDD.   While active uptake  via systemic root absorption  is
not expected to yield much TCDD in plants, TCDD is likely to sorb
to  organic  surfaces of  plants  immediately downstream  of pulp
mills.  The amounts of TCDD and TCDF that would adsorb  to plants
has  not  been  estimated,  nor  have   samples  been  taken  for
measurement.

     The  question  of  risks  to  herbivores,  however,  is  not
unimportant.  For example, the West Indian manatee, an endangered
species, has been at  the center of discussions among  EPA, USDI,
and the Georgia Environmental Protection Division at a pulp  mill
discharge point located  on the North  River, a tributary of  St.
Mary's  River  in  Camden  County,  Georgia   (Endangered  Species
Technical Bulletin XIV (9-10) page 7).   The discharge water from
the pulp mill provides the warm  water necessary for the manatees
to survive the winter without migrating  south to warm springs on
the St.  Johns River in Florida.   Dermal exposure to dioxins and
consumption of  TCDD-contaminated plants  pose  likely routes  of
exposure  which might produce  lethal or  sublethal effects.   If
exposure levels in  plants and dermal  uptake can be measured  or
estimated,  potential adverse effects  on the  endangered manatee
and other aquatic herbivores should be considered further.

   3.  Effluent Risks to Benthic Organisms

     Sediments downstream of effluent discharges  from pulp mills
are predicted to  be contaminated by  dioxins and furans. If  the
half-life in sediments are similar to the 10  to 15 years in soils
for TCDD, the dioxin- and furan-contaminated  sediments may pose a
problem for many years.  The extent of the contaminated sediments
produced  from  pulp  mill  discharges  were  not  determined  by
monitoring or modelling.  At these soil degradation rates, in ten
years TCDD levels in sediments would be more  than  7 times higher
than the annual deposition levels.   Risks to benthic species can
not be determined at this time, because sediment toxicity data on
TCDD are not available for benthic species.  Also, concentrations
of TCDD and TCDF in sediments are not available for the  104 pulp
mills.

      However,  TCDD  concentrations have  been  measured  in the
sediments in the Fox River, Wisconsin; the mean TCDD level for 13
sites was 3.1 pg/g (pptr) and  ranged from undetected at 1.4 pg/g
to  7.4 pg/g (Ankley et  al., in press).  The  TCDF levels at the
same sites average 7.6 times higher than TCDD and ranged from 0.1
to 61.1  pg/g.   The highest  TCDD and  TCDF  concentrations  were
found at the site of the  pulp mill for U.S.  Paper.  The  numbers
of benthic fauna were significantly reduced at the pulp mill site
compared to the control site.   The average number of chironomids
and oligochaetes at  the pulp mill site  were significantly lower
than the  controls.  Numbers of organisms  in both taxa were less
than 1  percent of the  control levels.   The numbers of  benthic
fauna were also  significantly reduced at all 9  sites downstream
of  the  pulp  mill.   Other  pollutants  measured  at the  sites


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included penta, hexa, hepta, and octa forms of dioxin and furans.
Adverse  effects  of pulp  mill  effluents on  endangered benthic
populations   should  be   considered,  especially   for  several
endangered freshwater mussel species located in the  Mississippi,
Ohio, and other rivers where pulp mill effluent is discharged.

     The contaminated sediments can also be expected to provide a
reservoir from which dioxins  and furans will enter the  food web
and be bioaccumulated  by benthic  organisms and bottom  feeders,
such as carp,  catfish, and other  edible fish species.   Dioxins
and furans are expected to be  transferred from one trophic level
to another.   Toxic effects might  be anticipated in those  TCDD-
sensitive species throughout the food web, especially in the  top
carnivores such as salmon, bass,  pike, greyling,, and fish-eating
birds and mammals, including humans.

   4.  Effluent Risks to Fish-eating Birds and Mammals

     In addition to sediments, chlorinated dioxins and furans can
also bioconcentrate in aquatic organisms to levels several orders
of magnitude higher  than the levels  found in the water  column.
TCDD bioconcentration factors  have been  reported to range  from
5,800 to over 100,000  times the water concentrations (Table  2).
The lower  BCF values  reflect shorter  exposure durations  where
dioxin  levels  in the  fish have  not yet  attained steady-state
equilibrium with the concentrations in  the water.  Bioconcentra-
tion  from water and bioaccumulation by benthic organisms are two
routes of uptake by  which TCDD and TCDF can enter  into the food
web.   Studies on some  other persistent chemicals  indicate that
together the two  sources can produce slightly  higher concentra-
tions in fish than by  one or the other  route of exposure.   The
greatest effects for chemicals that accumulate in a food web tend
to focus on those species that are the top predatory fish, birds,
and mammals.

     The list of birds  and mammals that  feed on fish and  other
aquatic organisms is  extensive.  The list includes many wildlife
species that are  deemed valuable  for aesthetic or  recreational
reasons.   In the  past some  wildlife species  were found  to be
indicators  by which  we  could  measure  the health  of  aquatic
environments.  Wildlife  that could be  at risk, if they  feed on
aquatic organisms in contaminated areas,  include some federally-
listed endangered (E) and threatened (T) species.  A partial list
of aquatic-feeding birds which could potentially be at risk would
include  the bald eagle  (E), osprey, brown  pelican (E), egrets,
herons, ibises, spoonbills, Mississippi sandhill crane (E),  wood
storks (E), whooping cranes (E),  piping plovers (E), cormorants,
ducks, geese, gulls, etc..

     Some avian  species feed in open waters, while other species
feed along the  shoreline or shallow  water.  The composition  of
aquatic bird diets vary  widely and are dependent on  the species
and its local.   Some birds feed  primarily on fish, such  as the
bald eagle, the osprey,  and brown pelican.  Other  species, like
the  egrets,  cranes,  and  herons,   prey  on  fish,  Crustacea,


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amphibians,  etc..    Spoonbills,  ibises,  piping  plovers,  and
sandpipers probe the sediments for benthic organisms.

     A large number  of mammalian species  also feed on fish  and
other  aquatic  organisms,  including grizzly  bears  (E),  black
bears, mink, river otters, raccoons, opossums, foxes, sea otters,
wolves, wolverine, etc..   With the exception of the  river otter
and sea otter,  some mammals  feed on aquatic  organisms only  at
certain periods such  as during fish migrations and  as opportun-
istic finds.   Consequently, risk  assessment for most  mammalian
species is complicated  by how often  they might feed on  dioxin-
contaminated aquatic organisms.

     Even though the proximity of wildlife  to pulp mills has not
yet been clearly  determined, some data are  available from which
risks can be  estimated.  Dietary  exposure levels for birds  and
mammals to TCDD  should be  calculated on the  prey's whole  body
concentrations, because  these predators typically  eat the whole
organism.  Therefore,  wildlife are  typically exposed to  higher
TCDD levels  than humans  who eat  only the  filet (normally  the
highest chemical levels  are found in  viscera and outer skin  of
fish  and  aquatic  organisms).    Even  higher  risks  might  be
anticipated  for birds  (e.g., the  bald eagle) and  mammals that
tend to feed  mostly on the  softer viscera which contain  higher
TCDD levels than predicted as the average TCDD body concentration
in aquatic organisms.  Although there  is no correlation  between
TCDD levels in an  organism and death, scavengers feeding  on the
carcasses of dead organisms may  consume higher than average TCDD
concentrations.

     Wildlife that feed only on live  prey might also be expected
to consume higher TCDD levels than average, because the sublethal
effects  of  chemicals frequently  affect  the behavior  of their
prey.  Abnormal swimming and loss of avoidance behavior caused by
sublethal effects  typically make such  prey more available  to a
predator than healthy prey.  Therefore, risk assessments based on
an average TCDD concentration may significantly underestimate the
exposure to dioxin for  some predators.  Accumulation of  TCDD by
less sensitive  fish, amphibian,  and benthic  species may  reach
higher concentrations and pose an even greater risk to predators.

     The  New  York   Department  of  Environmental  Conservation
(Newell, 1987) reviewed non-cancer toxicity  data for dioxins for
piscivorous mammals and birds and arrived at a  dietary criterion
for consumption of  fish.  They determined that  wildlife feeding
primarily on fish  with a  concentration of greater  than 3  pptr
TCDD were at risk.  Comparison of that 3 pptr toxicity value with
measured TCDD concentrations in whole fish (Table 4) sampled near
pulp mills in  the National Bioaccumulation Study  indicates that
66 percent  (57/86) of the  fish samples exceeded  that threshold
toxicity value.   Over  38 percent  of the  fish sampled  (33/86)
contained twice the dioxin level in  the criterion.  Distribution
of  whole fish contaminated with more than 3 pptr TCDD  include 21
states  from Florida to  Minnesota and from  Maine to California.
The fish  with low dioxin  levels  (i.e.,  less than  3   pptr) were
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                                8

usually collected from  large bodies of  water such as lakes  and
the Puget Sound  area.  The  mean measured TCDD concentration  in
whole fish is about 7 pptr.  Since only a single sample  of whole
fish was analyzed from  each site, the range and  distribution of
TCDD  concentrations  in  the fish  at  these  sites  can not  be
determined.  Additional monitoring of  fish and aquatic organisms
for TCDD and TCDF was conducted at 39 selected sites in Arkansas,
Louisiana, and Texas  (Crocker and Young, 1990).  High TCDD levels
in  edible  tissues were  found at  several  sites.   The highest
concentrations of TCDD  were found in fish from the Red River (41
pptr) and crabs from  the Houston Ship Channel  (55 pptr).

     Measured TCDD levels in whole fish from several areas appear
high  enough to  pose an  unacceptable risk to  resident wildlife
species even with large feeding  ranges.  For example, if  a bald
eagle consumed only half of the fish from a contaminated area and
that  fish contained  only 6  pptr TCDD,  the risk  would be  the
equivalent to an eagle feeding  solely on fish with 3 pptr  TCDD.
In the area around  the first 12 pulp mills in  Table 4, wildlife
would only have  to eat only one-tenth  of the fish or  less from
the receiving  waters to  be at risk.   Those  12 pulp  mills are
widespread and are located in 10 different states.

     In the Great  Lakes area, the reproduction  of herring gulls
(Fox, 1989), and Forester's tern  (Kubiak, 1989) populations have
been significantly  impaired.  In  the Fox River-Green  Bay area,
preliminary field studies downstream from chlorine-bleaching pulp
mills  also  indicate apparent  adverse  reproductive  effects in
Forester's terns  and red-winged  blackbirds (Ankley  et al.,  in
press).  Again, many  pollutants are  present in the sediments and
it is not certain  which or what chemical(s) are  responsible for
these adverse effects.   Toxic responses in the tern  embryos are
consistent with toxic  responses associated with TCDD  and PCBs.
Given similar uptake  rates from sediments as soils (3.5 times the
7.4 pg/g  in  sediments),  benthic  organisms  in  the  Fox  River
adjacent to  U.S. Paper  would contain about   26 pptr  TCDD or  8
times the NY DEC chronic  dietary criteria of  3 pptr  for mammals
and birds.
B.  Terrestrial Risk Assessment for Land Application of TCDD- and
       TCDF-contaminated Sludge

1.  Evaluation of the Abt Model

     The Abt model estimates risks to wildlife from TCDD and TCDF
from bioaccumalation and food web exposures following application
of pulp mill sludges to forested areas.  The methods used   in the
Abt  model were  reasonable  and  the  assumptions appear   to  be
realistic using  moderate parameter  values.   Comparison of  the
modelling estimates of TCDD in  soil and earthworms with measured
concentrations in the Wisconsin study indicated very similar TCDD
and TCDF  concentrations.  The  prediction of adverse  effects in
birds in the  Abt report appear to  be supported by  the elevated
enzyme  levels  showing  sublethal  effects   in  robins  in  the


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Wisconsin study.   Subsequent field data from  Wisconsin indicate
reduced viability  in robin  embryos in  areas treated  with pulp
sludge.

2.  Evaluation of the NCASI Study in Wisconsin

     The report by the National Council of the Paper Industry for
Air  and  Stream  Improvement,  Inc.   (NCASI,  1987  unpublished)
contains information from a Wisconsin  study on sludge-treated red
pine  plantations.  The measured  concentrations of TCDD and TCDF
in soil, earthworms,  and deer mice  were useful in a  comparison
with the estimates  by Abt.   Despite  the NCASI  claims that  no
statistically significant  adverse effects  were found  resulting
from Sludge  treatment of the red pines, some significant differ-
ences  were reported  between sludge-treated  and  control areas.
Most significant differences indicated higher populations  in the
treated areas for  deer mice  and earthworms.   Treatment of  the
pines  with pulp sludge altered the environment by increasing the
moisture content of  the soil  and the level  of organic  matter.
Under more favorable conditions, faunal  changes are reflected in
higher numbers of soil organisms such  as the earthworms and some
mite species.  Abundance of these prey populations attracted more
predators (i.e., deer mice).  Toxic effects, if any, are obscured
as mice from surrounding areas immigrate into an environment that
is preferable habitat to surrounding areas.

     Species diversity  of soil  organisms  and vegetative  cover
were significantly higher in the  controls than in sludge-treated
areas.   The  number  of available  nests  and observations  were
insufficient to evaluate the effects on bird  reproduction.  Some
adverse effects on  birds were indicated by  elevated xenobiotic-
metabolizing  enzyme  levels  in  robins  collected  from sludge-
treated areas.   Some results which suggest  adverse effects were
not statisically  analyzed.   For example,  controls had  greater
diversity  of small mammalian species  (i.e,  5 versus 3 species);
controls also had higher numbers of small mammals other than deer
mice.   Reported .results from  the Wisconsin study are summarized
in Table 5.

     The State of Wisconsin reviewed the study and required  that
an additional study  be made.   According to Dan Boardman  of the
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, North Central District
Waste   and   Water  Section   (personal   communication,  1990),
Consolidated  Paper voluntarily stopped  application of pulp mill
sludge  to forested areas  when adverse affects  on wildlife were
identified  in  field studies.    Monitoring data  showed adverse
effects on embryo  viability in robins inhabiting  treated forest
areas in Wisconsin.  Wisconsin  is on  the lower end  of predicted
TCDD concentrations in soil for the seven states which  practiced
land application of pulp mill sludge (discussion in the following
paragraph).

3.  Comparison of the Abt Estimates with NCASI Data

     The dioxin  concentrations used   by Abt  in the  terrestrial


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                                10

risk assessment were  compared to available monitoring  data from
the  Wisconsin study  of, pulp mill  sludge  applied to  forested
areas.   The measured  dioxin levels  reported in  the study  are
comparable with the estimates for  Wisconsin.  However, estimates
of soil TCDD concentrations  in Wisconsin are on the lower end of
the scale of TCDD estimates in  the seven states where sludge has
been  applied to land  (Table 6).   Exposure levels  for TCDD and
TCDF to wildlife  cited  for the  seven states ranged from  0.2 to
181  pptr  and  from 0   to  795  pptr,  respectively.   With  the
exception  of  Pennsylvannia  and Maine,  the  other  states have
higher  estimated TCDD   concentrations  in soil  than  Wisconsin.
Consequently, the indications of adverse effects to diversity and
birds found in Wisconsin could be higher in the other states.

4.  Potential Effects of Land Application on Endangered Species

     The potential for   an exposure of endangered  and threatened
species  to TCDD/TCDF was considered for land application of pulp
mill sludge.  Exposure   was limited to only those  counties where
the seven mills were  located that used land application  of pulp
sludges.  A  preliminary search of  the EPA, Office of  Pesticide
Program files was made to determine  which, if any, endangered or
threatened species were  located in those seven counties.  A total
of 15 species were identified from  the seven counties (Table 7).
No effort was  made to determine the  risk to any species  or the
likelihood of  there exposure.  TCDD exposure and risk to some of
those  species is considered  unlikely.  For  instance, the three
endangered sea turtles   may enter the county only to  nest on the
sandy beaches.   Additional endangered species might  be added to
the  list,  if application  to  land  were to  occur  in adjacent
counties.

III.  Conclusions on Risk

     The in-stream concentration estimates in  receiving waters
from about 90 percent of pulp and paper mill effluents exceed the
estimated chronic toxicity  value for  TCDD to aquatic  organisms
(Tetra Tech, Inc.,  unpublished).   Exposure to TCDD  for even  a
short  period  may  cause  mortality  in  fish.   Thus  risks  to
migratory fish species are a concern  if they must traverse TCDD-
contaminated stretches of water.

     Sediment toxicity data are not available  for TCDD, but some
risk to benthic organisms  might be expected.  Uptake  by benthic
organisms is a potentially  important source of TCDD in  the food
web.   Contaminated sediments also  act as a long  term source of
TCDD for the aquatic system.

     TCDD levels  measured in whole fish collected  near pulp and
paper  mill discharges   in  the  National  Bioaccumulation  study
indicate that 66 percent of the  fish contain TCDD levels greater
than 3 pptr, which is considered a risk to fish-eating  birds and
mammals.  Levels  in fish'at some locations are so high that only
a fraction of the diet from that area would be necessary  to pose
unacceptable risks to wildlife.

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                                11

     Land application of TCDD  and TCDF-contaminated sludge  from
pulp and paper mills may-pose a risk to  terrestrial wildlife and
possibly aquatic organisms.   The level of risk  is a function of
levels of  TCDD contamination, the amount of  sludge applied, and
the method of application.   Risks to wildlife were  predicted in
six out of  the seven  states permitting land  application.   The
modelled estimates of TCDD and TCDF concentrations were confirmed
by measured concentrations  in soil  and earthworms in  Wisconsin
study.  The  initial Wisconsin  study indicated possible  adverse
effects on wildlife, especially elevated  enzyme levels in robins
which  indicate  exposure to  toxic  chemicals, possibly  TCDD or
TCDF.  Later monitoring data  showed reduced embryo viability  in
robins in treated areas and land  application of pulp mill sludge
was stopped in Wisconsin.

     Additional toxicity testing  is needed to determine  the no-
observed-effect concentrations  (NOEC) for TCDD  chronic toxicity
to fish, birds, and benthic organisms.  A full-life fish toxicity
test is needed to  determine the NOEC for fish  reproduction when
TCDD deposition in fish  eggs is a biological concern.   An avian
reproduction  test  is needed  to  address concerns  for eggshell
thinning which was identified in robins in the Wisconsin study.
Since TCDD formation is not a linear function of chlorine levels,
monitoring data  are needed  to determine  the altered  levels of
TCDD and TCDF present in effluents and sludges.  As the levels of
TCDD and TCDF  in effluents decrease,  it is expected that  their
levels in sludge will increase.  Data are needed on the levels of
TCDD and TCDF  entering the Great Lakes by atmospheric transport.
Measurement  of  volatilization  of  TCDD  and  TCDF  during  the
bleaching process, from effluents, and from pulp  sludge are also
needed to determine if they are released into the atmosphere.

     Limitations of  analytical methods  for TCDD  pose technical
problems.  The  limit of detection for  TCDD in water is  10 ppq,
while the projected NOEC for fish is estimated to  be about 0.038
ppq.   The difference  between technology and  toxicity is almost
1000 times.  With this analytical limitation, it is unlikely that
in-stream  chemical  analyses  will  be  possible  at  the  NOEC.
Analyses at some point  in the pulping process has  been proposed
as an alternative, but the rate of dilution would have to be 1000
times or more for  in-stream TCDD concentrations to be  below the
NOEC.    Also, the  in-stream  concentrations  would need  to  be
sufficiently low that TCDD would not bioaccumulate enough to pose
a risk to fish-eating birds and wildlife.

     Some pulp and  paper mills are  located within the  drainage
area for the Great Lakes, which are ecologically and economically
important.  The  long residence  time of chemicals  in the  Great
Lakes poses a problem for bioaccumulating chemicals.  Also,  some
endangered species have been  identified within the seven counties
where  pulp mill sludges  are applied to  land.   If not properly
managed, the landfilling of TCDD-contaminated  sludges may pose  a
problem to  aquatic  organisms  from  runoff. '  The  presence  of
endangered species in receiving waters or feeding near pulp mills
have not yet been determined.


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                                12

IV.  References

Abt Associates, Inc. Unpublished.  Risk assessment for TCDD and
     TCDF in pulp and paper sludge.  EPA, Office of Pesticides
     and Toxic Substances contract  (August 28, 1989 draft).

Adams, W. J., G. M. De Graeve, T. D. Sabourin, J. D. Cooney,
     and G. M. Mosher. 1986.  Toxicity and bioconcentration of
     2,3,7,8-TCDD to fathead minnows (Pimephales promelas).
     Chemosphere 15(9-12):1503-1511.

Ankley, G.T., M. D. Balcer, L. T. Brooke, D. J. Call, A. R.
     Carlson, P. M. Cook. R. D. Johnson, R. G. Kreis, Jr., K.
     Lodge, and G. J. Niemi. In press.  Integrated assessment of
     contaminated sediments in the lower,Fox River and Green Bay,
     Wisconsin.  Submitted to J. Great Lakes Research.

Ankley, G. T., D. E. Tillitt, and J. P. Giesy. 1989.  Reproduc-
     tive implications of coplanar PCBs in Lake Michigan chinook
     salmon: Determination of biological potency with the
     H-4-II-E hepatoma bioassay.  Abstract in SETAC symposium on
     transboundary pollution.  Tenth Annual SETAC Meeting.
     October 28 - November 2, 1989 in Toronto, Canada.

Anon. 1990.  Paper mill re'duces dioxin discharge.  Potomac Basin
     Reporter 46(2).

Batterman, A. R., P. M. Cook, K. B. Lodge, D. B. Lothenbach,
     and B. C. Butterworth. 1989.  Methodology used for a
     laboratory determination of relative contributions of
     water, sediment and food chain routes of uptake for
     2,3,7,8-TCDD bioaccumulation by lake trout in Lake
     Ontario.  Chemosphere 19(1-6):451-458.

Boardman, D.  (Personal communication with William Rabert in OTS)
     Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, North Central
     District, Waste Water Section, Rhinelander, WI. Telephone
     number (715) 369-8972.

Branson, D. R., I. T. Takahashi, W. M. Parker, and G. E. Blau.
     1985.  Bioconcentration kinetics of 2,3,7,8-tetrachloro-
     dibenzo-p-dioxin in rainbow trout.  Environ. Toxicol. Chem.
     4(6):779-788.

Cook, P. M. (Unpublished).  Review of draft risk assessment
     from paper mill discharges.  U.S. E.P.A., Environ. Res.
     Lab., Duluth, Memoradurn to G, H. Grubbs, U.S. E.P.A.,
     Assessment & Watershed Protection Division (WH-553).
     (December 26, 1989).

Crocker, P. A. and C. Young. 1990.  Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxins
     and -dibenzofurans in edible fish tissue at selected sites
     in Arkansas, Louisiana and Texas.  U.S. EPA, Region 6,
     Dallas, Texas.  14 pages and Appendices.
                              663

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                                13

Eisler, R. 1986.  Dioxin hazards to fish, wildlife, and
     invertebrates: A synoptic review.  U.S.D.I., Fish and
     Wildlife Service, Biol. Rep. 85(1.8).  37 p.

Fox, G. A. 1989.  Temporal and spatial variation in a battery of
     biomarkers in Great Lakes fish-eating birds in relation to
     known patterns of chemical contamination.   Abstract in
     SETAC symposium on transboundary pollution.  Tenth Annual
     SETAC Meeting.  October 28 - November 2, 1989 in Toronto,
     Canada.

Hudson, R. H., R. K. Tucker, and M. A. Haegele. 1984.  Handbook
     of toxicity of pesticides to wildlife. Second edition.
     U.S.D.I., Fish Wildl. Serv., Res. Publ. 153.  90 p.

International Joint Commission. 1990.  Fifth biennial report on
     Great Lakes water quality. Part II.  58 p.

Kubiak, T. J., H. J. Harris, J. Trick, T. C. Erdman, T. R.
     Schwartz, D. L. Stalling, L. M. Smith, L. Sileo, and D.
     Doucherty. 1989.  Microcontaminants and the reproductive
     impairment of the Forster's tern on Green Bay-Lake Michigan.
     Abstract in SETAC symposium on transboundary pollution.
     Tenth Annual SETAC Meeting.  October 28 - November 2, 1989
     in Toronto, Canada.

Mehrle, P. M., D. R. Buckler, E. E. Little, L. M. Smith, J. D.
     Petty, P. H. Peterman, D. L. Stalling, G. M. De Graeve, J.
     J. Coyle, and W. J. Adams. 1988.  Toxicity and bioconcen-
     tration of 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzodioxin and 2,3,7,8-
     tetrachlorodibenzofuran in rainbow trout.  Environ. Toxicol.
     Chem. 7(l):47-62.

National Council of the Paper Industry for Air and Stream
     Improvement, Inc. Unpublished.  Land treatment effects on
     wildlife populations in red pine plantations.  NCASI,
     Technical Bulletin No. 526 (June 1987).

Newell, A. J., D. W. Johnson, and L. K. Allen. 1987.  Niagara
     River Biota  Contamination Project: Fish flesh  criteria for
     piscivorous wildlife.  New York State, Department of
     Environmental Conservation Publication, Tech. Rep. 87-3.
     182 p.

Tetra Tech, Inc. (Unpublished).  Risk assessment for 2378-TCDD
     and 2378-TCDF contaminated receiving waters from U.S.
     chlorine-bleaching pulp and paper mills.  Prepared for U.S.
     Environmental Protection Agency, Assessment and Watershed
     Protection Division, Washington, D.C.   Contract No. 68-C9-
     0013, Work Assignment No. 1-13.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 1989.  Update of  toxicity
     equivalent factors for estimating risks associated with
     exposures to mixtures of chlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and
     dibenzofurans  (CDDs and CDFs). Draft report. Wash.,  D.C.


                                664

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                                14

Table 1.   Select environmental toxicity values reported for TCDD
Species
Exposure
Duration
            Endpoint
              Type
            Toxicity Values
Terrestrial
  Mammals
     Guinea pig
     Rats
     Rhesus monkey
     Mouse
     Rabbit
     Hamster

     Rat
     Rhesus monkey
 1 dose
 1 dose
   dose
   dose
   dose
1
1
1
 1 dose

 Reprod.
 Reprod,
LD50
LD50
LD50
LD50
LD50
LD50

LOAEL
LOAEL
    0.6 -   2,
   22   -  45
         < 70
  114   - 284
          155
1,157 - 5,051
                                10
                                 1.7
ug/kg
ug/kg
ug/kg
ug/kg
ug/kg
ug/kg

ng/kg
ng/kg
  Birds
     Bobwhite quail   1 dose
     Domestic chicken 1 dose
     Mallard duck     1 dose
     Ringed turtle
       dove           1 dose

     Leghorn chicken 21 days
     Bluebird (eggs)  Reprod.
   Fish

     Rainbow trout
 28 days
                LD50
                LD50
                LD50

                LD50

                NOEL
                LOAEL
               LC50
                                15 *
                        25   -  50
                           ป 108 *

                             > 810 *

                               100
                                65
                  40
                        ug/kg
                        ug/kg
                        ug/kg

                        ug/kg

                        ng/kg
                        pptr
 pg/L
     Regurgitation was  reported for these tests;  thus, toxicity
     may be less than the toxicity value suggests.
     Bobwhite quail  do not  regurgitate;  thus the  LD50 may  be
     accurate.  Mallard ducks  frequently  regurgitate; thus  the
     absence of effects may be do to limited exposure.
     Ringed  turtle-doves showed  some  toxic  effects,  but  not
     enough to  compute a LD50 value.
     days after treatment.

     References:
                   Deaths occurred 13  to 37
     Mammalian and acute avian data cited in Eisler  (1986).
     Avian chronic data cited in Abt report (unpublished).
     Rainbow trout data reported by Mehrle et al.  (1988).
                                665

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                                15

Table 2.  TCDD and TCDF bioconcentration factors estimated for
          various durations of exposure.
Species
 Exposure
Measured BCF
Estimated BCF
TCDD:

  Rainbow trout a      6 hours

  Rainbow trout b     28 days

  Fathead minnow c    28 days

  Fathead minnow d    71 days

  Carp  d             71 days
                  24 X              9,270 X

              26,707 X    37,000 - 86,000 X

               5,840 X              7,900 X

                	     97,000 - 159,000 X

                	               66,000 X
TCDF:

  Rainbow trout b
28 days
 2,450 -
 6,050 X
References:

 a  Branson et al.  (1985)

 b  Mehrle e_t al.  (1988)

 c  Adams e_t al.  (1986)

 d  Cook (Unpublished).
                            666

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                                16

Table 3.  Revised estimates of percent sites with environmental
          concentrations exceeding the estimated lethal levels
          for TCDD (1 ppq), TCDF (10 ppq),  and the TCDD/TCDF
          toxic eqivalents (TEQ).
Parameter Number
Group 1. 55
Streams (7Q10)
>. i pg/L
> 10 pg/L
> 40 pg/L
> 100 pg/L
>_400 pg/L
Group 2.
A. Open Water 6
> 1 pg/L
2. 10 pg/L
C. Post-treatment 2
>. 1 pg/L
> 10 pg/L
Group 4.
Post-treatment 5
>. 1 pg/L
> 10 pg/L
Total 68
> i pg/L
ฃ10 pg/L
> 40 pg/L
MOO pg/L
ฃ_400 pg/L
TCDD
65
31
11
-
67
0
50
0
40
20
63
26
9
-
TCDF

51
-
16
7
—
33
-
50

40
—
49
-
13
6
TEQ
69
33
16

83
0
50
0
40
20
68
28
13

Based on Office  of Water Estimates  and excluding sites with  no
detectable levels or no dilution data
                              667

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                                17

Table 4.  Distribution of dioxin concentrations in whole fish
          sampled in the National Bioaccumulation Study
Dioxin Cone.
  (pptr)
 Fish Species
 State
 Water Body
 117.89
 107.02
  75.70
  67.18
  58.21

  40.96

  34.40
  33.86
  32.69
  30.04
  28.66
  24.04
  24.01
  22.07
  21.01
  16.60
  16.08

  15.31
  14.75
  13.69
  13.19
   9.10
   8.58
   8.54
   7.97
   7.87
   7.82

   6.76
   6.40
   6.35
   6.00
   5.79
   5.23
   5.20
   5.12
   5.02
   4.88
   4.75
   4.73
   4.50
   4.42
Carp
Blue Catfish
Sucker
Carp
White sucker

Sucker

Catfish
Blue Catfish
White sucker
Carp
Carp
Carp
Spot
Carp
Carp
Sm. buffalo
Sucker

Carp
Channel catfish
Channel catfish
Bowfin
Carp
Carp
Carp
White sucker
Sucker
Sucker
Louisiana
South Carolina
North Carolina
Wisconsin
Maryland

Maine

Mississippi
Arkansas
Minnesota
Alabama
Alabama
Florida
Georgia
North Carolina
Michigan
Alabama
Maine

South Carolina
Ohio
Louisiana
Florida
South Carolina
Ohio
Wisconsin
Maine
Massachusetts
 New Hampshire
Shorthead redhorseVirginia
White sucker
Sucker
Carp
White sucker
Sucker
White sucker
Sucker
Wh carp
Spotted  sucker
Carp
Carp
Carp
Carpsucker
Maine
California
Mississippi
Pennsylvannia
Washington
Maine
Washington
Wisconsin
Georgia
Kentucky
Arkansas
Georgia
Kentucky
Wham Brake
Sampit River
Pigeon River
Wisconsin River
N. Br. Potomac
River
Androscoggin
River
Escatawpa River
Arkansas River
Rainy River
Coosa River
Alabama River
Elevenmile Creek
Turtle River
Pigeon River
Menominee River
Chicasaw River
Androscoggin
River
Catawbee River
Scioto River
Bayou Anacoco
Fenholloway River
Wateree River
Scioto River
Peshtigo River
Penobscot River
Millers River
 Androscoggin
River
James River
Kennebec River
Sacramento River
Mississippi River
Clarion River
Columbia River
Presumoscot River
Columbia River
Wisconsin River
Altamana River
Mississippi River
Mississippi River
Savannah River
Ohio River
                               668

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Table 4. (Cont.)
                                18
Dioxin Cone.
  (pptr)
            Fish Species
                   State
                Water Body
   4.30
   4.17
   3,97
   3.92

   3.85
   3,
   3,
   3,
   3,
   3,
   2,
  80
  80
  62
  50
3.47
3.46
3.13
 ,10
 ,78
2.40 nd
2,
1,
     01
     79
   1.71
   1.69
   1.58
   1.57
   1.51
   1.40 nd
   1.20
   1.20 nd
   1.20 nd
   1.10 nd
   1.11 nd
   1.10 nd
   1.00 nd
   0.90 nd
   0.76
   0.70
   0.67 nd
   0.59
   0.55
   0.50
   0.46
   0.45
   0.41
Carp
Sucker
Carp
Carp

Carp
Carp
Carp
Carp
Hardhead catfish
Sucker
Carp
Hardhead catfish
Carp
Sucker
Carp
Redhorse sucker
Flathead catfish
White sucker
Carp

Catfish
St. flounder
St. flounder
Largescale sucker
Goldfish
Carp
Red drum
Catfish
Atlanta salmon
Flathead sole
St. Flounder
Flathead sole
Sucker
Carp
White sucker
Redhorse sucker
Quillback carp
White sucker
Sucker
St. Flounder
Sm. Buffalo
Alabama
Arkansas
Tennessee
Wisconsin

Michigan
Alabama
Alabama
Arkansas
Florida
California
Michigan
Florida
Alabama
Oregon
Wisconsin
North Carolina
Louisiana
Penns.
Georgia

Texas
Washington
Washington
Montana
New York
Tennessee
Georgia
Virginia
Washington
Alaska
Washington
Alaska
Oregon
Texas
Maine
Pennsylvannia
Alabama
Minnesota
Idaho
Washington
Texas
Tombigbee River
Red River
Hiwassee River
Lake Superior
Ashland Harbor
Escanaba River
Tombigbee River
Alabama River
Ouachita River
St. Josephs Bay
San Joaquin River
Muskegon River
St. Andrew Bay
Tombigbee River
Columbia River
Wisconsin River
Neuse River
Mississippi River
Hoiter Creek
Flint River/
Lake Blackshear
Lake Sam Rayburn
Steamboat Slough
Commencement Bay
Clark Fork River
Hudson River
Holston River
North River
Pamunkey River
Port Angeles Bay
Ward Cove
Grays Harbor
Silver Bay
Willamette River
Sulfur River
St. Croix River
Susquehanna River
Conecun River
St. Louis River
Snake River
Grays Harbor
Neches River
nd  -  not detected
                                669

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                                19

Table 5.  Data summary on results of sludge treatment in
          Wisconsin red pine plantation field study (NCASI,
          unpublished) .
Species/Parameter
Sludge
Residues (pptr)
TCDD
TCDF
Soil
Residues (pptr)
TCDD
TCDF
Residues (ug/m2
TCDD
TCDF
Treatment
Mean (range)
( 53
(
10.8 ( 7
106 (38
)
0.35 (0.
3.50 (1.
- 128)
280)
- 14)
- 160)
23 - 0.48)
20 - 5.50)
Control Sign.
Mean (range) Diff.

ND
ND
ND
ND

> 0.6 Yes
^ 2.0 Yes
> 0.6
> 2.0
   Moisture Content 24.2 (15.0 - 34.0)  11.9 ( 9.7- 15.9)   Yes
      (percent)

Litter Arthropods
   Density         218   ( 34 - 524)   205   (131 - 299)     No
      ( Number/sample )

   Diversity        12.0 (  8 -  17)    10.4 (  8 -  14)     No
      ( tax a/plot )
    Mite Genera     40                  24

Soil  invertebrates
   Diversity  (taxa/plot)
                     2.8   {  1  -   5)     3.8  (  2  -   5)    NSA

   Density           7.5   ( 2.3 - 16.9)  20.9  (12.3 - 33.1)  Yes
      (organisms/f t3)

 Earthworm
   Biomass  (g/m3)   16.8   ( 0.9 - 50.3)   3.0  ( 0.5 - 10.3)  Yes

   Residues  (pptr)
      TCDD           35.8   (25   - 43   )     ND   >  13         Yes

   BCF estimate    * 3.3 X

Vegetation
   Total Species    39                   45                 NSA
   Diversity        13.4   (4    - 17   )  18.0  (11   - 25 )   NSA
   Percent  Cover .    2.1   (1.2  -   2.9)   6.7  (  2.6 - 17.6)  Yes


                                670

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                                20

Table 5.  (cont.)
                           Sludge
Species/Parameter         Treatment          Control        Sign.
                        Mean (range)       Mean (range)     Diff.


Small mammals
   Diversity (species)     3                   5             NSA

   Population Est.      ( 11.4 - 39.9)      ( 13.0 - 24.2)   NSA
    (animals/2.8 H)

 Deer Mouse
   Population Est.      ( 10.6 - 35.3)      (  5.8 - 16.6)   Yes
    (animals/2.8 H)

   Residues (pptr)
     TCDD             15.3  (ND  - 44.0)     ND   > 2         Yes
     TCDF             7.3  (ND  - 11.0)     ND   >_ 2         No

   BCF estimate
     TCDD             1.4 X
     TCDF             0.07 X

Forest Birds
   Diversity        15   (  6  - 10   )    22   ( 10  -  14 )  NSA
     (species)

   Total Birds     104.3 ( 62  - 180  )   123.3 ( 55  - 220 )  NSA

   Abundance         3.0 (  2.6-  3.4)     2.7 (  1.7-  3.2)  No
     (birds/plot visit)

 American Robin
   Abundance        29                     7                 Yes
     (pairs/plot)

   Liver enzyme levels — elevated                           Yes

 House Wren
   (pairs by mid-June)                                       No

 Chipping Sparrow  260                   178
   (pairs/ 100 H)


ND   -  Not detected at the limit of detection
NSA  -  Not statistically analyzed
*    -  BCF values in the literature suggest up to 10 times soil
                               671

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                                21

Table 6.  Summary of revised TCDD and TCDF concentrations cited
          in the terrestrial risk assessment document by Abt
State                          Concentrations in Sludge/Soil
 Use/Soil Incorporation    TCDD Cone.             TCDF Cone.
       (depth in dm)         (pptr)                 (pptr)
Georgia
Forest
Maine
Forest
Maryland
Mine
2.5
2.5
0
220 / 181
13 / 1
80 / 80
610
55
471
/
/
/
501
5
471
Mississippi
    Agriculture  15

Ohio
    Mine          0

Pennsylvania
    Agriculture  15
Wisconsin
    Forest
2.5
  681 /  14


  145 / 145


   34 /   0.2


* 109 /   9
   0 /   0


 795 / 795


  10 /   0.07


1300 / 106
  TCDD and TCDF concentrations  in sludge taken from data
     collected in 104 mill study.

  TCDD and TCDF levels  in soil  calculated as dilution,  if  the
     sludge was incorporated  into the  soil  to the specified
     depth.

  *  The Wisconsin  red  pine field study samples measured 53  and
     128 pptr TCDD  in sludge'and averaged 10.8 pptr TCDD and 106
     pptr TCDF in soil.
                                 672

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                                22

Table 7.  Results of preliminary search for endangered (E) and
          threatened (T) species found in counties where the
          seven pulp and paper mills are located which apply
          dioxin- and furan-contaminated sludge to land.


Endangered and                 States with Soil Application
Threatened Species
                          GA    ME    MD    MS    OH    PA    WI
Mammals.
  Indiana Bat  (E)                     P           P     P
  West Indian Manatee (E)  K
Birds
  Bald Eagle (E)            K     K                             K
  Piping Plover  (E)       K     K
  Wood Stork  (E)          K
  Red-cockaded Woodpecker
              (E)                            K
Reptiles
  Eastern Indigo Snake (T)                   P
  Gopher Tortoise  (T)                       K
  Kempฐs Ridley
      Sea Turtle  (E)      K
  Leatherback
      Sea Turtle  (E)      P
  Loggerhead
      Sea Turtle  (T)      K
Fish
  Shortnose Sturgeon             K

Invertebrates
  Iowa Pleistocene Snail
       (terrestial)   (E)                                        I
Plants
  Harperalla (E)                        K
  Small Whorled Pogonia  (E)     K


 *  Information dated October 26, 1989

 P - Possibly present in county
 K - Known present in county

 Pulp Mill Sites:
   Camden County, Georgia
   Cumberland County, Maine
   Allegany County,  Maryland
   Perry County,  Mississippi
   Ross County, Ohio
   Wyoming County, Pennsylvania
   Wood County, Wisconsin


                                673

-------
DOCUMENTATION | EpA 560/5_90-013
'4. ntiaand suotitia Assessment of Risks from Exposure of Humans,
Terrestrial and Avian Wildlife, and Aquatic Life to Dioxins
and Furans from Disposal and Use of Sludge from Bleached
Kraft and Snlfit.P Pulp anrl Panpr Mi lie
7. Auซ-rtซKirk O'Neal, Susan Keane, Randi Zielinski. Pat Jenning
Priscilla Halloran. Greg Srhwppr, Bob Morcock. Bill Rabert
ป. Parfofmlna; Organization Nam* and Address
Abt Associates, Inc.
55 Wheeler St.
Cambridge, MA 02138
12. Sponsoring Organization Nama and Address
United States Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Toxic Substances and Office of Solid Waste
401 M St., SW
Washinnton. D.C. 20^-60

5. Raport Oat*
7/90
ซ.
.8. ParfBrmim OrganOatton Rapt. No.
10. Pretact/TMli/Wark Unit No.
3-02, 1-15
11. CentnetfC) or GranMQ) No.
* * f t ,-,
19. Security Class (This Report)
' ' Unclassified
2a* Sacurity Class (TMs Pag*)
- .AJneTass-ifi.ed , :
21. No. of Page*
706
22. Price
(Saa ANSt-Z39.1l) S*a Instruettoni an Aavana , ' ' ' f ,,*. ' OPTION AL FORM 272 (*-77)
' '•• • ' .... I , ..(Formerly NTIS-3S)
' ,3 - • • , NJbapartmeซw of Commerce

-------
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Region 5, Library CPL.12J1
77 West Jackson Boulevard, 12th Floor
Chicago.il  60604-3590

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United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Office of Toxic Substances
Office of Solid Waste
TS-792. OSW-300
EPA 560/5-90-013
July 1990
Assessment of Risks
from Exposure of
Humans, Terrestrial
and Avian Wildlife, and
Aquatic Life to Dioxins
and Furans from
Disposal and Use of
Sludge from Bleached
Kraft and Sulfite Pulp
and Paper Mills
  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
  Region 5, library (PL-12J)
  77 West Jackson Boulevard* 12th Floor
  Chicago, IL 60604-3590 -
             Printed on Recycled Papet

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                                              EPA 560/5-90-013
                                              July 1990
       ASSESSMENT OF RISKS FROM EXPOSURE
   OF HUMANS, TERRESTRIAL AND AVIAN WILDLIFE,
     AND AQUATIC LIFE TO DIOXINS AND FURANS
      FROM DISPOSAL AND USE OF SLUDGE FROM
BLEACHED KRAFT AND SULFITE PULP AND PAPER MILLS
                         by
        Kirk O'Neal, Susan Keane, Randi Zielinski,
       Pat Jennings, Priscilla Halloran, Greg Schweer,
               Bob Morcock, Bill Rabert
      EPA Contract Nos. 68-02-4283 and 68-D9-0169
     U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
   OFFICE OF PESTICIDES AND TOXIC SUBSTANCES,
           OFFICE OF TOXIC SUBSTANCES,
 OFFICE OF SOLID WASTE AND EMERGENCY RESPONSE,
              OFFICE OF SOLID WASTE
              WASHINGTON, D.C. 20460
                    U.S. I.MRV
                    230 S. Dc-ai-bor
                    {fcicago,, JJ.

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                                     DISCLAIMER

       This document has been reviewed  and approved for publication by the Office of Toxic
Substances, Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
The  use  of trade names or commercial products does not  constitute  Agency endorsement or
recommendation for use.

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                                 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

       This report was prepared by Abt Associates Inc. of Cambridge, Massachusetts for the EPA
Office of Toxic Substances and the EPA Office of Solid Waste under EPA Contract No. 68-02-4283,
Task 3-02, and EPA Contract No. 68-D9-0169, Task 1-15. Pat Jennings and Greg Schweer served
as Task Managers for the Office of Toxic Substances. Priscilla Halloran served as Task Manager for
the  Office of Solid Waste. Bob Morcock of the Office of Toxic Substances provided guidance in
estimating wildlife effects.  Annett Nold of the Office of Toxic Substances provided guidance in
modeling releases from landfills to ground water and air.  Acknowledgement is also given to Alec
McBride  of the Office of Solid  Waste and Al  Rubin of the Office of Water Regulations and
Standards, who provided valuable comments on this report.

       A number of Abt personnel have contributed to this task over the period of  performance,
as shown below:

                     Program Management       -      Mike Conti

                     Task Management          -      Kirk O'Neal
                                                      Susan Keane

                     Technical Support          -      Kathleen Bell
                                                      Brad Firlie
                                                      Caty McGuckin
                                                      Jeremy Wilson

                     Secretarial/Clerical          -      Paulette Gillard

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               •5                TABLE OF CONTENTS


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY  	 xi

1.0     INTRODUCTION	1

2.0     ESTIMATES OF EXPOSURE AND RISKS TO HUMANS FROM CURRENT
       DISPOSAL/REUSE PRACTICES	13

       2.1    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM DISPOSAL OF PULP AND PAPER
             SLUDGE IN LANDFILLS 	15
             2.1.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                    of Vapors	24
             2.1.2   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Drinking Water from Ground Water Sources	31
             2.1.3   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Drinking Water from Surface Water Sources 	48
             2.1.4   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Fish	 60
             2.1.5   Summary of Results	65

       2.2    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM DISPOSAL OF PAPER PRODUCTS IN
             MUNICIPAL LANDFILLS	73
             2.2.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                    of Vapors  	75
             2.2.2   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Drinking Water from Ground Water Sources	79
             2.2.3   Summary of Results	82

       2.3    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM DISPOSAL OF PULP AND PAPER
             SLUDGE IN SURFACE IMPOUNDMENTS	89
             2.3.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                    of Vapors	89
             2.3.2   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Drinking Water from Ground Water Sources	 105
             2.3.3   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                     Drinking Water from Surface Water Sources	 116
             2.3.4   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Fish  	 128
             2.3.5   Summary of Results	 132

       2.4    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM LAND APPLICATION OF PULP AND
             PAPER SLUDGE	 137
             2.4.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Dermal Contact
                    with  Sludge	 146
             2.4.2   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Produce, Meat, and Dairy Products Grown on
                    Sludge-Amended Land  	 163
             2.4.3   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Direct Ingestion
                    of Sludge  	193
             2.4.4   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of
                    Sludge Particulates	203
             2.4.5   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                    of Vapors  	220
             2.4.6   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Drinking Water from Ground Water Sources	223
             2.4.7   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Drinking Water from Surface Water Sources	2Z8
                                         VI1

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             2.4.8  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from IngestioH of
                   Fish 	".	242
             2.4.9  Summary of Results	246

      2.5    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM DISTRIBUTION AND MARKETING
             OF PULP AND PAPER SLUDGE	253
             2.5.1  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Dermal Contact
                   with Sludge	264
             2.5.2  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                   Home-Grown Produce	281
             2.5.3  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Direct Ingestion
                   of Sludge  	291
             2.5.4  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of
                   Sludge Particulates	301
             2.5.5  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                   of Vapors	319
             2.5.6  Summary of Results	322

3.0    ESTIMATES OF EXPOSURE AND RISKS TO WILDLIFE FROM LAND
      APPLICATION  OF PULP AND PAPER SLUDGE	329

      3.1    DEVELOPMENT OF TOXICITY MEASURES TO WHICH WILDLIFE
             EXPOSURES ARE COMPARED	330

      3.2    METHODS FOR ESTIMATING EXPOSURES TO WILDLIFE	336

      3.3    SUMMARY OF RESULTS	355

      3.4    COMPARISON OF WILDLIFE RISK MODEL TO RESULTS OF FIELD
             STUDIES	'	360

4.0    ANALYSIS OF UNCERTAINTY	367

5.0    CONCLUSIONS ON THE ANALYSIS OF CURRENT PRACTICES  	403

6.0    ESTIMATES OF EXPOSURE AND RISKS TO HUMANS BASED ON GENERIC
      DISPOSAL/REUSE SCENARIOS  	427

      6.1    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM DISPOSAL OF PULP AND PAPER
             SLUDGE IN LANDFILLS 	429
             6.1.1  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                   of Vapors	434
             6.1.2  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                   Drinking Water from Ground Water Sources	434
             6.1.3  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                   Drinking Water from Surface Water Sources 	440
             6.1.4  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion
                   of Fish 	444
             6.1.5  Summary of Results	445

      6.2    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM DISPOSAL OF PULP AND PAPER
             SLUDGE IN SURFACE IMPOUNDMENTS	445
             6.2.1  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                   of Vapors	448
             6.2.2  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Drinking
                   Water from Ground Water Sources	452
             6.2.3  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Drinking
                   Water from Surface Water Sources 	457
                                        Viii

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             6.2.4   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Fish  	461
             6.2.5   Summary of Results	462

       6.3    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM LAND APPLICATION OF PULP AND
             PAPER SLUDGE	-.	465
             6.3.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Dermal Contact
                    with Sludge	470
             6.3.2   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Produce,
                    Meat, and Dairy Products Grown on Sludge-Amended Land .... 475
             6.3.3   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Direct Ingestion
                    of Sludge  	483
             6.3.4   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of
                    Sludge Particulates	485
             6.3.5   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                    of Vapors  	486
             6.3.6   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Drinking
                    Water from Surface Water Sources  	490
             6.3.7   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Fish  	498
             6.3.8   Summary of Results	499

       6.4    EXPOSURE AND RISKS FROM DISTRIBUTION AND MARKETING
             OF PULP AND PAPER SLUDGE	504
             6.4.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Dermal Contact
                    with Sludge	505
             6.4.2   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of
                    Home-Grown Produce	514
             6.4.3   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Direct Ingestion
                    of Sludge  	516
             6.4.4   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of
                    Sludge Particulates	'	518
             6.4.5   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation
                    of Vapors	519
             6.4.6   Summary of Results	523

       6.5    CONCLUSIONS	526
             6.5.1   Discussion of Results	526
             6.5.2   Comparison with Site Specific Assessment  	526

APPENDIX A:       METHODS FOR ESTIMATING SOIL CONCENTRATIONS .... 537

APPENDIX B:       METHODS FOR ESTIMATING CONTAMINANT
                    CONCENTRATIONS IN SURFACE WATER AND FISH	541

APPENDIX C:       COMPARISON OF TWO METHODS FOR ESTIMATING
                    SEDIMENT AND WATER CONTAMINANT CONCENTRATIONS
                    RESULTING FROM CONTAMINATED SOIL EROSION FROM
                    SLUDGE MANAGEMENT AREAS  	551

APPENDIX D:       EXPOSURE ESTIMATES FOR WILDLIFE  	555

APPENDIX E:       SAMPLE CALCULATIONS  	603

APPENDIX F:       UPDATE TO ECOLOGICAL RISK ASSESSMENT	647
                                        IX

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Executive Summary

Purpose and Scope  of this Analysis

       The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has undertaken a comprehensive assessment
of potential human and  environmental exposure to polychlorinated dibenzodioxins (PCDDs) and
polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs) associated with the U.S. pulp and paper  industry.  One
potential source of  exposure to these contaminants is the sludge generated by that industry; sludge
from pulp and paper plants that use chlorine are  known to contain measurable quantities of PCDDs
and  PCDFs.  EPA estimates that approximately 2.5 million metric tons of such sludge is generated
annually.  Most is landfilled or placed in surface impoundments; the remainder is incinerated, land-
applied, or distributed and marketed.  Each of these five use or disposal practices presents potential
risks of ecological or human health impacts resulting from exposure to dioxins in the sludge.

       A  second potential source of exposure is  the disposal of paper wastes.  EPA estimates that
about 45 million metric  tons of pulp and paper  products are disposed annually. When discarded
paper products are  buried in municipal landfills or burned in  municipal incinerators, PCDDs and
PCDFs may be  released into the environment, resulting in potential exposure to humans or wildlife.
                                                                           j
       The purpose of this study is to estimate potential human and wildlife exposure to 2,3,7,8-
tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran (TCDF)1 from  the use
or disposal of pulp and paper sludge and from the disposal of pulp and paper products. This analysis
estimates risks  from (1) generic disposal and use scenarios and (2) the current pattern of use and
disposal.  The  generic assessment  uses generalized,  worst case estimates for model parameters
describing contaminant concentrations and site characteristics, while the analysis of current practices
uses site-specific data on existing sludge use and disposal practices to provide an estimate of risk
under current conditions. The generic assessment allows identification of those practices that are
intrinsically risky and is  independent of the particular pattern of current sludge use and disposal,
which  is subject to change over time.  The generic assessment is more appropriate  for  use in
regulatory and management decision-making.
       throughout this report, "TCDD" will refer to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlordibenzo-p-dioxin, and
"TCDF" will refer to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran.

                                             xi

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       Both the generic assessment and the analysis of current practices consider four waste disposal
practices:
       •      Landfilling of pulp and paper sludge,
       •      Surface impoundment of pulp and paper sludge,
       •      Land application of pulp and paper sludge, and
       •      Distribution and marketing of pulp and paper sludge.

Landfilling of paper contaminated with dioxin is also considered in the analysis of current practices.
Risks from incineration of waste paper products, and from incineration of pulp and paper sludge,
have been examined by a separate analysis, and are not discussed in this report.  Table A lists the
quantities of wastes currently used or disposed of by each of these waste management practices. These
quantities were used in the analysis of current practices. As can be seen from the table, landfills and
surface impoundments receive  most of the sludge generated each year.  Lesser amounts are land-
applied or distributed and marketed.  Short  descriptions of each waste management practice are
provided below.

Description of Waste Management Practices

       Landfilling of sludge from the pulp and paper industry is defined as the burial of sludge on
land.  Once a landfill's capacity is exhausted, a permanent cover of soil, clay or other material may
be applied to the site. Sludge landfills can be loosely categorized into two groups: industrial landfills
that receive only wastes from the pulp and paper industry, and municipal landfills that accept the
pulp and paper sludge as part of a broader waste stream. Of the fifty-nine pulp and paper mills that
report disposal of sludge in landfills, at least 15 use  municipal facilities.  Risk estimates presented
for current practices, however, are based on hypothetical scenarios involving the disposal of sludge
in industrial  landfills only. Estimates for industrial facilities have been  generalized to describe
exposure and risks from disposal of sludge in municipal landfills. To the extent that conditions differ
in municipal  facilities, risk estimates generated by this analysis may over- or under-estimate actual
risks for these facilities.

       The analysis of current practices estimates potential groundwater and volatilization risks from
the landfill disposal of TCDD- and TCDF-contaminated paper products. Because preliminary, upper
bound estimates  of exposure  and risks  through these two pathways yielded low risk  estimates,
estimates of potential exposure and risk have not been prepared for the generic analysis.

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       Table A. Use and Disposal Methods for Pulp and Paper Mill Sludge

Landfill
Surface Impoundment
Land Application
Incineration13
Distr. and Marketing
Total
Number of
Mills
59
20
7
19
7
104C
Quantity of
sludge received3
(dry tons/yr)
1,100,000
600,000
300,000
300,000
200,000
2,500,000
Percent
of total
44
24
12
12
8
100
Notes:

aWhere plants report multiple sludge re-use or disposal methods, reported quantities have been
 divided among relevant categories.

''Not considered in this analysis.

cSome plants use more than one sludge re-use or disposal method.
                                                   xiii

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       Surface  impoundments are defined as facilities in which pulp and paper mill sludges are
stored or disposed on land without a cover layer of soil. It is assumed that sludge contained in such
facilities has a higher moisture content than the sludge deposited in landfills, at least during the active
phase of the facility's lifetime.

       Land application of pulp and paper sludge, in addition to serving as a method of sludge
disposal, also fertilizes and conditions soil.  Pulp and paper mill sludge may also be composted with
other materials and then distributed and marketed as a soil amendment. The product is then used for
residential gardening and lawn care, or for agricultural and commercial  purposes.  This analysis
examines risks from the residential uses of distributed and marketed sludge. Since  the actual users
of the composted sludge are not known,  a hypothetical scenario is used in the generic and in the
current  practice analyses to estimate potential human exposure to TCDD and TCDF through this
practice.

Exposure Pathways Considered

       For each of the waste management practices described  above, humans and wildlife can be
exposed to potential health  risks if TCDD and TCDF are released into the environment and come
into contact with wildlife or humans. Such contact is possible through a variety of possible exposure
pathways, including, the following, which are considered in this analysis:

       •      TCDD and TCDF migrate from sludge or landfilled paper to an aquifer underneath
              the disposal site or land application site. Humans withdraw drinking water from the
              aquifer and are exposed.
       •      TCDD or TCDF from sludge or landfilled paper volatilizes and escapes into the
              atmosphere.  Humans inhale the contaminated air and are exposed.
       •      Particles of  treated soil or sludge become suspended in air.  Humans inhale the
              particles and are exposed to adsorbed TCDD and TCDF.
       •      TCDD or TCDF from sludge or treated soil are carried by surface runoff to a nearby
              lake or stream. Humans  withdraw drinking water from  the contaminated lake or
              stream and are exposed.
       •      TCDD or TCDF from sludge or treated soil are carried by surface runoff to a nearby
              lake or stream. Fish living in the contaminated water take up the contaminants into
              their tissues.  Humans consume the fish and are exposed.
       •      Soil treated with sludge is used to grow produce for human consumption, or feed for
              animals.  TCDD and TCDF enter the soil, and are taken up into the tissues of crops
              grown on the treated land.  Humans consume the produce or consume the meat and
              dairy products produced from the feed, and are exposed.
       •      Human skin comes into contact with soil that has been treated with sludge. Humans
              are exposed  when TCDD and TCDF from the soil are absorbed by the skin.

                                            xiv

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       •      Children and adults ingest small quantities of sludge or treated soil, and are exposed.
       •      Wildlife feed in areas treated with pulp and paper sludge. They ingest soil and food
              items contaminated with TCDD and TCDF, and are exposed.

       Table B summarizes the pathways of potential human or wildlife exposure considered for
each waste disposal practice. As can be seen from the table, all of the eight exposure pathways have
been considered when estimating risks from land application. Fewer pathways were  thought to
present significant risks for other waste management practices.

Key Assumptions Used  in Analysis

       The analysis of current practices and the generic analysis both use mathematical models to
estimate the extent to  which humans and wildlife are exposed to TCDD and TCDF from pulp and
paper mill sludge or from landfilled paper wastes.  For each waste use or disposal method and for
each pathway of potential exposure, the analysis begins by estimating concentrations of TCDD and
TCDF in  the  environmental medium  or  media of concern.  Results are then  combined with
assumptions about human or wildlife behavior to estimate expected exposure  and risk.  For each
exposure pathway, this analysis prepares separate exposure and risk estimates for a "most exposed
individual" (MEI) and for the total exposed population.
                                                                          t

       As with any modeling effort, the precision of the resulting estimates is a function  of the
suitability of the mathematical  models chosen for the calculations, and  of the  quality of the
assumptions and input parameters used.  Assumptions and input parameters  used for  estimating
exposure and risk are described  in detail throughout this report.  Some of  the more fundamental
assumptions involved in this analysis are listed below:

       •      For the analysis of current practices, data from  the  104-Mill Study  provide an
              accurate description of current sludge production, contaminant concentrations, and
              use and disposal methods.
       •      Assumptions regarding management practices (use of liners for landfills,  berms for
              surface impoundments, etc.) are representative of current practices, or of worst case
              scenarios, where appropriate.
       •      Assumptions regarding facility siting (distance  to surface water, distance to human
              populations, etc.)  are realistic.
       •      Assumptions regarding human behavior (both typical and worst case) are realistic.
       •      Selected mathematical models provide reasonable predictions of the fate and transport
              of TCDD and TCDF in environmental media.
                                            XV

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    Table B.  Exposure Pathways Evaluated for Each Waste Use or Disposal Practice
Exponire
pathway
 Sludge
landfill
 Sludge
 Paper
landfill
 Sludge
 surface
impoundment
 Sludge
  land
application
  Sludge
distribution
ft marketeting
Human exposure

Ingestion exposure
from drinking
contaminated groundwater:
Ingestion exposure
from drinking
surface water
contaminated by runoff:
Ingestion exposure
from foods produced
with contaminated soil:
Ingestion exposure
from consumption of
fish caught in
contaminated surface water:
Ingestion exposure
from direct ingestion
of contaminated soil:
Inhalation exposure
to volatilieed
contaminants:
Inhalation exposure
to particulates
from contaminated soil:
Dermal exposure
from contact with
contaminated soil:
Wildlife exposure

Ingestion exposure
from ingestion
of contaminated
food items:
                                                      xvi

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       Where significant uncertainties or data gaps exist, this analysis attempts to quantify the range
of possible error in its exposure and risk estimates. An analysis of the uncertainty in the assessment
of current practices is provided in Section 4.0 of this report.

Summary of Results of Generic Assessment

       Table C presents the maximum risk associated with each disposal or use method in the generic
assessment. These tables show that the greatest MEI risks from landfills, surface impoundments, and
land application are of a similar magnitude. The four disposal or use methods considered yield very
similar total population risks, differing by less than a factor of three. The greatest typical individual
risk is a result of inhalation of TCDD and TCDF that volatilized from sludge applied agriculturally.
Volatilized TCDD and TCDF from land applied sludge presents risks that are almost two orders of
magnitude greater than highest typical individual risk resulting from other sludge disposal methods.

       Tables D through G provide a more detailed listing of estimated  human exposure to TCDD
and TCDF from each waste management method and exposure pathway.  As can be seen from Table
D, risks to the "most exposed individual" from  the landfilling of sludge  are highest from pathways
associated with ingestion of fish contaminated by surface runoff.  Estimated risks through these
pathways for the MEI are based on a scenario in which runoff from the site reaches a stream of
relatively small  drainage area; typical individual risks through surface water pathways' are estimated
based on larger assumed drainage areas, and are considerably lower.

       Estimated risks from disposal of sludge in surface  impoundments are presented in Table E.
As with  landfills, estimated risks from  this sludge storage or disposal  practice are dominated  by
pathways associated with surface runoff. These estimates are based on the assumption that the most
exposed individual takes drinking water and fish from a relatively small stream and from  the stream
location with maximum dissolved concentrations of TCDD and TCDF.

       Estimated risks from inhalation  of volatilized contaminants  from a surface impoundment
are higher than those estimated for landfills, since rates of contaminant emissions from an  uncovered
liquid impoundment surface are estimated to be higher than those estimated from a landfill with soil
cover.  As with landfills, TCDF dominates risks through the volatilization pathway, because of its
higher mobility. Estimated typical risks to exposed individuals are significantly lower  than those
estimated for the "most exposed individual."

       Table F shows estimated  human health  risks associated with the  eight human exposure
pathways evaluated for  the land application of pulp and paper sludge.  Highest MEI health risks
                                           XVll

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from land application are encountered through the fish ingestion pathway. After the fish ingestion
exposure pathway, the  next highest risk estimates for the MEI are found for the dietary pathway.

       Risks to typical exposed individuals are low through all exposure pathways analyzed for land
application; highest typical risks are estimated for persons living near a land application site  and
inhaling TCDD and TCDF vapor emitted by treated soil. Highest total population risks are estimated
for the fish ingestion pathway.

       Estimated risks from the distribution and marketing of pulp and paper sludge are based on
the assumption that all of the sludge is  used for vegetable or ornamental gardening in  residential
settings.   As shown  in Table G, estimated risks to the "most exposed  individual" are  lowest for
inhalation and dietary  pathways,  and highest  for pathways  involving direct human contact with
sludge or soil.  Risks to gardening individuals  with more "typical" behaviors are two to four orders
of magnitude lower than those estimated for the MEI.

Summary  of Results  of Analysis of Current Practices: Human Exposure and Health Risks

       Tables H and I present the maximum exposure and risk associated with each disposal or use
method in the analysis of current practices.  Table H compares exposure estimates for each waste
disposal method analyzed, while Table I shows the corresponding risk estimates..  For each waste
management practice, the tables report results  for the exposure pathway found to result in highest
risks to the "most exposed individual" and to the total population.  It ignores the possibility of
simultaneous exposure through multiple pathways. By comparing maximum estimated risks for each
management practice, the table allows a simple comparison of risks associated with each practice.

       As can be seen from Table  I, estimated risks to the "most exposed individual" are lowest for
the landfilling of paper wastes, and highest for sludge surface impoundments and land application.
Total risks to an exposed population are highest  for land application.  Estimated risks to typical
exposed individuals are four to five orders of magnitude lower than risks to the MEI, except for the
landfilling of paper wastes, for which separate population risk estimates were not performed.  The
largest exposed population is associated with the land application of sludge, since foods grown with
sludge-amended land may enter national food distribution systems and be consumed by the entire
U.S. population. As  shown by the table, none of the waste disposal methods and exposure pathways
analyzed is expected  to result in total risks of more than one incremental cancer case per twenty years
of sludge  or paper disposal.
                                            xxiv

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       Table J reports estimated human health risks from the disposal of paper wastes in municipal
landfills.  Estimates reported in the Table for the MEI are  based on consistently conservative
assumptions chosen to provide upper-bound risk estimates. TCDF is more easily volatilized from
landfills  than  TCDD, and is  responsible for most of the estimated risk through the volatilization
pathway.

Summary of Results of Analysis of Current Practices: Risks to  Wildlife

       Risks to wildlife were assessed for the land application of sludge.  Wildlife risks were estimate
only in the analysis of current practices, and were therefore based on model assumptions consistent
with the current  practice analysis.  Tables K.  through  M summarize results.   Table K presents a
summary of risks to birds foraging from land application sites.  This  table shows the  lowest and
highest estimates of the daily dose (expressed as a percent of the  "no observable adverse effects level"
or NOAEL) among the seven land application sites assessed in  this analysis.  Similarly, Table L
summarizes the risks to bird  eggs, while Table M presents the  risks to  mammalian species.  These
results show that those species whose diets consist largely of prey species that bioconcentrate TCDD
and TCDF are at greatest risk from the  land application of sludges containing TCDD and TCDF.

       The wildlife risk assessment results imply that individual members of certain wildlife species
are at risk for reproductive and other effects from the land application of pulp and paper mill sludges
containing  TCDD and TCDF. Adverse  effects on individuals may be important if the individuals
affected  are members of species that are endangered or threatened. In Maryland, the  loggerhead
shrike ingests  a  daily  dose that is almost three  times the  NOAEL for nonmigratory  birds.
Furthermore, the eggs of this species have a TCDD concentration that is almost four times the TCDD
"lowest observable adverse effect level" (or LOAEL) for eggs.  The loggerhead shrike is considered
a threatened species in that state.

       This assessment does not attempt to quantify the effects  of TCDD and TCDF on populations
or ecosystems.  However, the results of the assessment show that at certain land application sites, the
reproductive capability of individuals of certain species may be affected.  Effects on the reproductive
capability of a sufficient number of individual members of a species may lead to overall population
effects for  that species in that area.
                                              xxvti

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1.0    Introduction

Background

       The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is undertaking a comprehensive assessment
of potential human and environmental exposure  to polychlorinated dibenzodioxins (PCDDs)  and
polychlorinated  dibenzofurans  (PCDFs) associated with the U.S. pulp and paper industry.  One
potential source of exposure to these contaminants is the sludge generated by that industry; sludge
from pulp and paper plants that use chlorine are known to contain measurable quantities of PCDDs
and PCDFs.  EPA estimates that approximately 2.5 million metric tons of such sludge is generated
annually.  Most is landfilled or placed in surface impoundments; the remainder is incinerated, land-
applied, or distributed and marketed. Each of these five use or disposal practices presents potential
risks of ecological or human health impacts resulting from exposure to dioxins in the sludge.

       A second potential source of exposure is the disposal of paper wastes.  EPA  estimates that
about 45 million metric tons of pulp and paper products are disposed annually. When discarded paper
products are  buried in municipal landfills or burned in  municipal  incinerators, PCDDs and PCDFs
may be released into the environment, resulting in potential exposure to humans or  wildlife.

Purpose and Scope of Analysis

       The purpose of this study is to estimate potential  exposure of humans and wildlife to 2,3,7,8-
tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran (TCDF)1 from the use or
disposal of pulp and paper sludge and from the disposal of pulp and paper products.  Two separate
analyses are performed.  The "generic" analysis uses generalized, worst case estimates for model
parameters describing contaminant concentrations and site characteristics.  The other ("current
practices") analysis uses site-specific data, where available, to provide an estimate of exposure  and
risks under current conditions.  The generic assessment  allows identification of those practices that
are intrinsically risky, and is independent of the particular pattern of current sludge use and disposal,
which  is subject to change over time.  It is therefore more appropriate for use  in regulatory  and
management decision-making.

       The work considers five waste disposal practices:
       •      Landfilling of pulp and  paper sludge,
       1For the remainder of this report, "TCDD" will refer to 2,3,7,8-dibenzo-p-dioxin, and
"TCDF will refer to 2,3,7,8-dibenzo-p-furan.

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       •      Landfilling of paper wastes,
       •      Surface impoundment of pulp and paper sludge,
       •      Land application of pulp and paper sludge, and
       •      Distribution and marketing of pulp and paper sludge.

       Table  l.A lists the  quantities of wastes currently used  or  disposed  of by  each waste
management practice.  As can be seen from the table, most pulp and paper mills surveyed reported
disposing of their sludge in landfills.  About seventy  percent of  the 2.5  million tons of sludge
produced annually is estimated to be received by landfills or surface impoundments. Lesser amounts
are land-applied, incinerated, or distributed and marketed.  Risks from incineration of waste paper
products, and from incineration of pulp and paper sludge, have been examined by a separate analysis,
and are not discussed in this report.

Description of Practices. Quantities and Concentrations

       Landfilling of sludge from the pulp and paper industry is defined as the burial of sludge on
land,  usually accompanied by the regular application of soil cover.  Once a landfill's capacity is
exhausted, a permanent cover of soil, clay or other  material may  be applied to the site.  Sludge
landfills can be loosely categorized into two groups: industrial landfills that receive only wastes from
the pulp and paper industry, and municipal landfills that accept pulp and paper sludge as part of a
broader waste stream.   For lack of information about management practices at industrial landfills
for pulp and paper sludge, the generic analysis conservatively assumes that no permanent soil cover
is applied.  Similarly, estimates of expected runoff and volatilization for the current practices analysis
are based on the assumed absence of soil cover.

       Of the fifty-nine pulp and paper mills that report disposal of sludge in landfills, at  least  15
use municipal facilities. Risk estimates presented in this report, however, are based on hypothetical
scenarios involving the disposal of sludge in industrial landfills only. The average landfill is assumed
to be approximately 12 hectares in size, with an average active life of  14 years and depth of six
meters. Estimates for industrial facilities have been generalized to describe exposure and risks from
disposal of sludge in municipal landfills.  To the extent that conditions differ in municipal facilities,
risk estimates generated by this analysis may over- or under-estimate actual risks for these facilities.

       This analysis also evaluates potential risks from  contamination of groundwater and ambient
air through the disposal of TCDD- and TCDF-contaminated paper products in  municipal landfills.
Because preliminary, upper bound estimates of exposure and risks  through these two pathways
yielded low risk estimates, estimates of potential exposure and risk under more typical conditions

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       Table l.A. Use and Disposal Methods for Pulp and Paper Mill Sludge

Landfill
Surface Impoundment
Land Application
Incineration15
Distr. and Marketing
Total
Number of
Mills
59
20
7
19
7
104C
Quantity of
sludge received3
(dry tons/yr)
1,100,000
600,000
300,000
300,000
200,000
2,500,000
Percent
of total
44
24
12
12
8
100
Notes:



aWhere plants report multiple sludge re-use or disposal methods, reported quantities have been

 divided among relevant categories.
                                                                           ป


bNot considered in this analysis.



cSome plants use more than one sludge re-use or disposal method.

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have not been prepared. The hypothetical landfill considered by this analysis covers 24 hectares, and
contains wastes  of  which about  11  percent  consists  of bleached kraft.  Based  on contaminant
concentrations reported for bleached pulp, concentrations in paper products are assumed to be no
higher than 36 ppt TCDD and 333 ppt TCDF. A soil cover of 10 to 15 centimeters is assumed to be
applied to each facility.

       Approximately 128 million tons of municipal waste is generated each year; about 109 million
tons of this waste is landfilled.  Paper wastes  constitute about 36% of the municipal waste stream.
Assuming that the same proportion of paper wastes goes to landfills as to other municipal disposal
methods, the resulting estimate of the quantity of paper wastes disposed in landfills each year is  a
little over 39 tons per year.  To estimate  the quantity of bleached paper wastes that are landfilled,
it is assumed that the  percentage of paper waste consisting of bleached paper is roughly equivalent
to the percentage of paper production consisting of bleached paper, or about 30 percent.  These
assumptions yield an  estimated 12 million tons of bleached paper products disposed in municipal
landfills each year.

       Surface impoundments are defined as facilities  in which  pulp and paper mill sludges are
stored or disposed on  land without a cover layer of soil.  For this analysis, it is assumed that sludge
contained in such facilities has a higher moisture content than the sludge deposited in landfills, at
least during the active phase of a facility's lifetime.  A typical  plant using this.storage/disposal
method is assumed to use three impoundments; each impoundment is assumed to be approximately
10.3 hectares in  size, and about 4 meters deep.

       Twenty  facilities in the  104-Mill Study2 report  using surface impoundments for storage
and/or disposal of sludge. This method accounts for about 24 percent of the total quantity of sludge
production reported in the 104-Mill Study. An average facility impounds about 19,552 dry tons of
sludges per year. The maximum reported quantity of sludge disposed in impoundments by a single
plant is 23,517 dry tons per year.
        Land application serves as both a disposal method for sludge, and as a method for fertilizing
and conditioning soil.  According to the 104-Mill Study and follow-up conversations  with state
environmental officials, four mills in three states use pulp and paper sludge for silviculture; two mills
in two states apply  it agricultural land; and two  mills in two  states use the sludge to reclaim
abandoned mine sites. Conversations with state environmental officials indicate that approximately
300,000 dry metric tons of sludge are being land-applied per year, or about 12 percent of the total
       2U.S. EPA (1989).  104-Mill Study data, Office of Water Regulations and Standards,
July 26,  1989 version.

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quantity of sludge produced by the mills included in the 104-Mill Study. About 10 percent of this
quantity is used in mine reclamation, 10 percent in agriculture, and 80 percent in silviculture. The
land application" sites considered in this analysis cover about the same land area as the typical landfill
site modelled in this analysis; however, the depth of the sludge at a land application sites is typically
quite different from the depth of a landfill. At a land application site, the sludge is either applied
directly to the top of the land, or is incorporated into the  top 10-15 centimeters of soil.

       Pulp and paper mill sludge may be composted with other materials and then distributed and
marketed as  a soil amendment for residential gardening and  lawn care  or for agricultural and
commercial  purposes.  This analysis examines  risks from the residential  uses  of distributed and
marketed sludge.  According to the 104-Mill Study, seven  mills in five states distribute and market
at least a portion  of their sludge.

       Since the actual users of the composted sludge are not known, a hypothetical scenario is used
by this analysis to estimate potential human exposure' to TCDD and TCDF through this practice. The
average homeowner is assumed to apply 0.16 dry metric tons of composted sludge (about 350 pounds)
to a 0.016 hectare home garden each year for twenty years.  Gardeners may incorporate the compost
into  garden soil, or may apply it as top-dressing.

       Based on data from the 104-Mill Study, the total volume of sludge distributed and marketed
by these plants is estimated to be 208,000 dry metric tons per year, or about eight percent of the total
quantity of sludge disposed  in the U.S. each year.  In some cases, the plants in this study reported
distribution and marketing as one of two methods of sludge disposal, but did not provide a break-
down of the quantities of sludge disposed by each method.  In these cases, this analysis assumes that
the entire quantity of sludge produced by the plant is distributed and marketed.

       Tables l.B  and  l.C summarize assumptions  used  in this  analysis to characterize  the
concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in pulp and paper sludge.  As can be seen from the tables, the
generic analysis uses a single pair of values for TCDD and TCDF concentrations in sludge; these
values are used for each method of disposal or use  of sludge.   Concentrations for a typical facility
represent the median of values reported for all mills in the  104-Mill study (regardless of disposal
practice). Concentrations used to estimate exposure and  risk  for the MEI are based on the 90th
percentile of  reported concentrations.  For each sludge management method, the analysis of current
practices uses a different approach; estimation of exposure  and  risks are based on TCDD and TCDF
concentrations reported for plants  using the particular method  under consideration.

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Exposure Pathways Considered


       For each of the waste management practices described above, humans and wildlife can be

exposed to potential health risks if TCDD and TCDF are released into the environment and come in

contact with wildlife or humans. Such contact is possible through a  variety of possible  exposure

pathways, including the following, which are considered in this analysis:


       •      TCDD and TCDF migrate from sludge or landfilled paper to an aquifer underneath
              the application or disposal site. Humans withdraw drinking water from the aquifer
              and are exposed.

       •      Particles  of treated soil or sludge become suspended in air.  Humans inhale  the
              particles and are exposed to adsorbed TCDD and TCDF.

       •      TCDD or TCDF  from  sludge or landfilled paper volatilizes  and  escapes into  the
              atmosphere.  Humans inhale the contaminated  air and are exposed.

       •      TCDD or TCDF from sludge or treated soil are  carried by surface runoff to a nearby
              lake or stream. Humans withdraw drinking water from the contaminated lake or
              stream and are exposed.

       •      TCDD or TCDF from sludge or treated soil are  carried by surface runoff to a nearby
              lake or stream. Fish living in the contaminated water take up the contaminants into
              their tissues.  Humans consume the fish and are exposed.

       •      Soil treated with sludge  is used to grow produce for human consumption, or feed for
              animals.  TCDD and TCDF enter the soil, and  are taken up into the tissues of crops
              grown on the treated land.  Humans consume the produce or consume the meat and
              dairy  products produced from the feed, and are exposed.

       •      Human skin comes into  contact with soil that has been treated with sludge. Humans
              are exposed when TCDD and TCDF from the soil are absorbed by the skin.

       •      Children and  adults ingest small quantities of sludge or treated soil and are exposed.

       •      Wildlife feed in areas treated  with pulp and paper sludge.  They ingest food items
              contaminated with TCDD and TCDF, and are  exposed.

       Table l.D summarizes the pathways of potential human or wildlife exposure considered for
each waste disposal practice.  As can be seen from the table, all eight pathways are considered when

estimating risks from land application;  fewer  pathways are considered for other waste management

practices.


       For each pathway of potential human exposure, this analysis prepares separate exposure and

risk estimates for a "most exposed individual"  (MEI) and for the total exposed population.  The MEI

is defined as a hypothetical individual  whose circumstances or behavior patterns result in especially

high  potential exposure through the   single  exposure pathway under consideration.   Such an

individual, for example, might consume unusually high quantities of fresh fish, resulting in increased

-------
    Table  l.D.  Exposure Pathways Evaluated  for Each Waste Use or Disposal Practice
Exposure
pathway
 Sludge
landfill
 Sludge
 Paper
landfill
 Sludge
 surface
impoundment
 Sludge
  land
application
  Sludge
distribution
& marketeting
Human exposure

Ingestion exposure
from drinking
contaminated groundwater:
Ingestion exposure
from drinking
surface water
contaminated by runoff:
Ingestion exposure
from foods produced
with contaminated soil:
Ingestion exposure
from consumption of
fish caught in
contaminated surface water:
Ingestion exposure
from direct ingestion
of contaminated soil:
Inhalation exposure
to volatilized
contaminants:
Inhalation exposure
to particulates
from contaminated soil:
Dermal exposure
from contact with
contaminated soil:
Wildlife exposure

Ingestion exposure
from ingestion
of contaminated
food items:

-------
vulnerability through the fish ingestion pathway. For the exposure pathway involving inhalation of
volatilized contaminants from a land application site, the  "most exposed individual" is defined as
someone who lives on the treated land and inhales TCDD and TCDF vapor at local concentrations.
A  similar  MEI definition  has been prepared  for each waste management practice and exposure
pathway.

       In addition to estimating exposure and risk for a "most exposed individual", this analysis also
considers exposure and risks to  broader segments of the U.S. population that might be exposed to
lower levels of risk from each pathway. For example, risks  from inhalation of volatilized TCDD and
TCDF are estimated for  all persons living within  50 kilometers of a sludge  landfill or surface
impoundment.   Individuals living  closer to  the facility will generally be  exposed  to higher
concentrations of contaminant; this analysis maps expected concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in
ambient air onto actual populations surrounding each  site, and reports estimated average exposure
and risk for those populations.  Total risks (in expected incremental cancer cases per year) are then
estimated  for  the exposed populations, by multiplying typical individual risk by the size of the
exposed population, and dividing by average human life expectancy.

       Estimates of human health risks are expressed in terms of lifetime risks of developing cancer
as a result of TCDD and TCDF exposure.  The human cancer risk of TCDD is assumed to be (1.5 x
105 / 0.55) per milligram per kilogram per day; the potency of TCDF is assumed to tie one tenth that
of TCDD.

       Estimates of wildlife risks are computed for nine avian and seven mammalian species assumed
to forage on land application sites treated  with TCDD- and TCDF-contaminated sludge.  Risks are
expressed  in  terms of the percent by which the  estimated daily dose exceeds a  toxicological
"benchmark" dose.  For birds, the  "benchmark" dose is the dose at  which no adverse  effects  on
animals were observed in a laboratory setting. For bird embryos and mammals, the  "benchmark"
selected is the  lowest dose at which adverse effects on animals were observed in laboratory studies.

Kev Assumptions Used in Analysis

       This analysis uses mathematical models to estimate the extent to which humans and wildlife
are exposed to TCDD and TCDF from pulp and paper mill sludge or from landfilled paper wastes.
For each waste use or disposal  method and for each  pathway of potential exposure, it begins by
estimating concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in the  environmental medium or media of concern.
Results are then combined with  assumptions about human or wildlife behavior to estimate expected
exposure and risk.
                                           -10

-------
       As  with any modeling effort, the precision of the resulting estimates is a function of the
suitability  of  the  mathematical models chosen  for  the  calculations, and  of the  quality of the
assumptions and input parameters  used. To the  extent that model selection, assumptions or input
parameters are based on incomplete or faulty data, the models may over- or under-estimate actual
exposure and  risk.  Assumptions and input parameters used for estimating exposure and risk are
described in detail throughout this report.  Some  of the more fundamental assumptions involved in
this analysis are listed below:

       •      Data from the 104-Mill Study provide an accurate representation of current sludge
              production, contaminant concentrations, and use and disposal methods.
       •      Exposure  and risk can be estimated based on current sludge  management practices,
              current sludge quality, and current population densities and  locations.
       •      Assumptions regarding management practices (use of liners for landfills, berms for
              surface impoundments, etc.) are representative of current practices, or of worst  case
              scenarios, where appropriate.
       •      Assumptions regarding facility siting (distance to surface water, distance to human
              population, etc.) are realistic.
       •      Assumptions regarding human behavior (both typical and worst case) are realistic.
       •      Selected mathematical models provide reasonable predictions of the fate and transport
              of TCDD and TCDF in environmental media.

       Where significant data gaps  exist, this analysis attempts to quantify the range of possible error
in its exposure and risk estimates. In addition to providing exposure and risk estimates based on the
best available models and parameter values, it also provides upper bound and lower bound estimates
of human and wildlife exposure through each exposure pathway. "Low risk" estimates are based on
a combination of "low risk" parameter values for each key input parameter used in the exposure
models. Similarly, "high  risk" estimates are derived from combinations of "high risk" assumptions.
"Low risk" and "high risk" parameter values are chosen so that true values under actual conditions are
unlikely to fall outside the range of values  modeled.  It then follows that "true" risks are unlikely to
fall outside the range bounded by these two estimates3. Estimates of exposure and risk based on "best
estimates" for each assumption and input parameter are presented throughout this  report. Risk and
exposure estimates based on "low risk" and "high  risk" assumptions are presented in  Chapter 4.
        All cancer risks are estimated based on an upper bound human cancer slope factor. For
this reason, actual risks may be lower than the "low risk" estimates derived by this analysis, and
may be zero.

                                             11

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Organization of Report

       Chapter 2 of this report will describe methods used for estimating the exposure of humans
to TCDD and TCDF as a result of the current use or disposal of pulp and paper sludge, and of the
landfilling of waste paper. To the extent possible, the assessment will be based on knowledge of site-
specific disposal and use practices. Each disposal practice and exposure pathway will be considered
separately.  Section 2.1 will discuss exposure and risk from disposal of sludge in industrial landfills,
Section 2.2 will discuss paper disposal in municipal landfills, Section  2.3 will discuss disposal of
sludge in surface impoundments, Section 2.4 will discuss the land application of sludge, and Section
2.5 will consider distribution and marketing of sludge. Within each of these five sections, estimation
methods will be described for each pathway of potential exposure, followed by a presentation and
brief discussion of results.

       Chapter 3  will discuss methods for estimating  risks to wildlife associated with the  land
application  of  sludge.  Section 3.1 discusses toxicity measures  to which wildlife exposures are
compared,  Section 3.2 discusses  methods for estimating  exposures  for  wildlife, and Section 3.3
presents results from the analysis.

       Chapter 4 will report results from "high risk" and "low risk" estimates of exposure and  risk,
and  discusses key  uncertainties in the findings of this analysis.  By comparing exposure and risk
estimates based on "low risk" and "high risk" assumptions and input parameters, Chapter 4 identifies
waste management methods and exposure pathways for which significant uncertainty remains  with
respect to expected exposure  and  health risk. Chapter 5 will summarize results from the analysis of
current practices and offer some  general conclusions and observations.  Chapter 6 will present the
methodology and results of the analysis of risk based on generic scenarios depicting sludge disposal
and  use.

       The report also contains  six appendices.  Appendix  A discusses methods for estimating
concentrations  of  TCDD and TCDF in soil, and Appendix B discusses methods for estimating
contaminant concentrations in surface  water and fish.  These methods are used for calculations
described in several  of the preceding chapters.  Appendix C  compares two methods  for estimating
exposure through  surface water pathways.  Appendix D provides additional detail with respect to
estimates  of exposure for wildlife,  Appendix E  provides  sample calculations to  illustrate the
methodologies, and Appendix F provides supplemental material for exposure and risk to wildlife.
                                              12

-------
2.0  Estimates of Exposure and Risks to Humans

       This analysis estimates risk for a hypothetical "most exposed individual,"  and for the entire
exposed population in aggregate. "Best estimates" of exposure to the most exposed individual combine
reasonable worst-case values for inputs related to individual behavior with best available estimates
of physical and chemical model parameters.  "High" MEI estimates combine worst-case values for
individual behavior and high estimates for the physical and  chemical parameters.  The aggregate, or
total population risk assessment, assesses exposure for more typical individuals, using "low risk", "best
estimate", and "high risk" assumptions to reveal the  uncertainty implicit in model results. The "low
risk" and "high risk" analyses vary from the "best estimate"  in both behavior and physical/chemical
parameters to reflect uncertainty.

       This report focuses on one type of human  health risk: cancer.  Cancer risks to the "most
exposed individual," expressed in terms of increments to an individual's lifetime risk of developing
a cancer, are computed as the product of the individual's average daily absorbed dose of TCDD and
an upper bound estimate of human cancer potency, or q1 , for TCDD. Absorbed dose is computed
by multiplying the rate  at which TCDD or TCDF contact the body by an absorption fraction (the
fraction of chemical contacting the body which enters the body). The TCDD cancer potency estimate
used for this analysis (1.5 x 105 per mg/kg/day) is based on animal experiments for which absorption
was estimated to be 55 percent. The relationship between absorbed dose and cancer is thus (1.5 x 105
/ 0.55).

       The cancer potency of TCDF is assumed to be one  tenth that of TCDD1.  Throughout this
report, human exposure will  be expressed in terms of TCDD equivalency; that is, total absorbed
TCDD-equivalent dose  will be  measured as  the total absorbed dose of TCDD plus one tenth  the
total absorbed dose of TCDF.

       Calculation of  average  risk  for  the total  exposed population  is similar to  calculations
performed for the MEI, except that  it requires knowledge of the size of the exposed  population.
To express population risks in terms of incremental annual cancer cases, this analysis divides total
population lifetime cancer risk by the average length of a lifetime, assumed  to be 70 years.
             EPA (1989). Memo from C. Cinalli to Dioxin-in-Paper Workgroup, July 21.

                                            13

-------
2.1  Landfills

       Landfilling of sludge from the pulp and paper industry is defined as the burial of sludge on
land, usually accompanied by the regular application of soil cover.  Once a landfill's capacity is
exhausted, a permanent cover of soil, clay  or other material may  be applied to the site.  Sludge
landfills can be loosely categorized into two groups: industrial facilities that receive only wastes from
the pulp and paper industry, and municipal landfills that accept  waste as part of a broader waste
stream.  Fifty-nine  of the pulp and paper  mills in the  104-Mill Study (U.S. EPA, 1989e) use
landfilling to dispose of their sludge.  Of these, at least  15 dispose  of their sludge in municipal
landfills.  This analysis assumes that all 59 of the landfills are industrial landfills, and does not
perform separate analyses of risk from municipal facilities.   Instead, it is assumes that risks from
hypothetical  industrial facilities  can be generalized to municipal landfills.

       Table 2.1.A summarizes the characteristics of these hypothetical  landfills assumed  in the
typical risk assessment.  These characteristics are intended to be representative of industrial landfills
receiving pulp and paper sludge.  Table 2.1.B lists landfill characteristics assumed in the MEI analysis.
According to U.S. EPA (1985), 30 acres (about 12 hectares) is thought to be a representative area for
such landfills, which have an average active lifetime of 14 years.  One mill  in the 104-Mill study
reported landfilling in  trenches with depths of up to 20 feet (6 meters); in the absence of data from
a broader sample of landfills, this analysis assumes that a typical landfill is 3-6 m in depth.  Data
from the 104-Mill Study yield an average yearly total of about 20,000 tons (dry weight) of sludge per
mill reporting use of landfills. The maximum reported quantity of sludge is 77,000 dry tons per year.
"High risk" estimates assume that the landfill covers 60 acres, to a depth of six meters.  Tables 2.1.A
and 2.1.B also contain assumptions about  the chemical and physical properties of TCDD and TCDF.
Table 2.1.B lists landfill characteristics assumed in the MEI analysis.

       This analysis estimates human exposure to TCDD and TCDF through four exposure pathways
associated with sludge  landfills:

       •      Contaminants volatilize from the landfill and are transported by  wind to neighboring
              areas.  Humans inhale contaminated air and are exposed.
       •      Storm runoff caries contaminant-laden particles of soil from the surface of the landfill
              to nearby surface water bodies. Contaminants are then released from stream or lake
              sediments  into surface water, which is withdrawn for  drinking water supplies.
              Humans ingest the contaminated water and are exposed.
       •      Storm runoff caries  TCDD and TCDF to surface water bodies, as  described above.
              Fish accumulate TCDD and TCDF from the water  or sediment.  Humans ingest fish
              and are exposed.
                                             15

-------



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       •      Rain water or sludge moisture carry dissolved contaminants from the bottom of the
              landfill  to an aquifer underneath  a  landfill.  Dissolved contaminants  are  then
              transported  by  the  aquifer  to  nearby  drinking  water wells.   Humans ingest
              contaminated water withdrawn from the wells and are exposed.

       Each of these pathways  of potential human exposure is discussed below.

2.1.1  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Inhalation of Vapors

       Estimating human exposure and risk through the volatilization pathway involves at least three
steps. First, one must estimate the extent to which TCDD and TCDF are emitted from each landfill
site. Second, one must estimate  the extent to which air concentrations of these contaminants will be
reduced through wind transport and atmospheric decay processes.  Finally, one must map resulting
air concentrations onto nearby populations in order to estimate the extent of human  exposure and
total human health risks.  Inputs for typical and MEI exposure to vapor from landfills are found in
Tables 2.1.C and 2.1.D, respectively.

Methods for Estimating Emissions

       This analysis explores two approaches for the first of these steps.  The simpler approach uses
a set of equations from U.S. EPA  (1986),  and Hwang and Falco (1986) as described in U.S.  EPA
(1988b), to predict emissions from a landfill site.  It assumes that emissions from the landfill (in
g/m2/second) are described  by:
              _
                      {•, a T]"J
where:
                        D,E*/S
       a      =      -                                    (2.1.2)
                     E + p(l-E)/Ka
                          s
       Kas   =      41 HC/KD                                        (2.1.3)
and:

       Dj     =      the molecular diffusivity of contaminant vapor in air (cm/second),
       Cso   =      the initial contaminant concentration in the soil (g/g),
       E     =      effective porosity of soil (unitless),
       H     ป      Henry's law constant (atm m3 / mol),
                                              24

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26

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       ps     =      true density of soil (g/cm3),
       KD    =      the soil/water partition coefficient (cm3/g),
       Kas    =      the air/soil partition coefficient (mg/cm3 in air per mg/g in soil),
       Ng    =      rate of emissions from the soil surface (g/m2/second),
       T      =      duration of exposure (seconds).

       U.S EPA (1988b) used a numerical solution of a partial differential equation to determine the
reduction  in volatile emissions that would be expected following the addition of a soil layer to the
top of a landfill.  For a 10 to 25 centimeter soil cover,  EPA  estimated  that  emission rates were
reduced by 75 to 80 percent, given a contaminated layer thickness of 8 feet. Criteria for design and
operating characteristics for industrial landfills are not currently available.  Consequently, the extent
to which daily and final cover are  used at landfills is  not known.  For  a "high risk" scenario of
potential human exposure, this analysis therefore assumes that the landfilled sludge is left uncovered
for the exposure period of concern.

       The second approach uses results from the SESOIL model (Bonazountas et al. 1984, U.S.
EPA, 1987b).  SESOIL uses Farmer's equation (Farmer et al.,  1980) to estimate the movement of
volatilized  contaminant  between layers  of the soil  column,  and  to  estimate  releases  of the
contaminant from  the topmost layer to the ambient air:

                     Da [(n-6)10/3 H c
       Na    -       	                        (2.1.4)
                      n2 R (T+273) L
where:


       Na    =      pollutant flux across soil surface  (ug/cm2/sec),
       Dfl     =      diffusion coefficient of compound in air (cm2/sec),
       H      =      Henry's law constant (m3 atm/mol),
       R      =      gas constant (8.2 x 10"5 m3 atm/mol K),
       T      =      temperature (Centigrade),
       c       =      concentration of compound in soil moisture (ug/ml),
       n      =      soil porosity (unitless),
       6      =      soil moisture (unitless), and
       L      =      depth of soil layer.

                                            27

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       As can be seen from Equation 2.1.4, contaminant emissions, as estimated by SESOIL, are
sensitive to assumptions concerning the depth of soil cover, soil porosity and moisture content. An
advantage of using  the SESOIL model is that it automatically maintains a mass balance between
initial contaminant loadings and the amounts of contaminant released or retained by each soil sub-
layer. Contaminant releases  to groundwater or ambient air are thus estimated simultaneously.

Methods for Estimating Wind Transport  of Volatile Emissions

       Once volatilized TCDD or TCDF is emitted from a landfill, it can be transported downwind
to nearby residents, resulting in  potential human exposure and health risks.  This analysis uses a
Gaussian plume dispersion, model to estimate the extent to which  air concentrations of TCDD and
TCDF will be reduced in the process of wind transport.  Calculations are  performed by the area
source version of ISCLT (Industrial  Source Complex,  Long  Term) model (Bowers et. al,  1980)
incorporated into the Graphical Exposure Modeling System (GEMS) maintained by the  U.S. EPA
Office of Toxic Substances  (U.S.  1989b,d).  The model estimates ambient air  concentrations at
selected locations in a polar grid centered on the emission site and extending 50 km in all directions.
In addition to its simulation of contaminant dispersion in the plume downwind of a landfill site, the
model also considers losses of contaminant due to photolysis and other first-order decay  processes.
It then  maps those air concentrations onto actual human populations for the  regions involved.
Population data are drawn from  the 1980 Census,  mapped to the  level of Census, block group and
enumeration district.  The MEI for this analysis is defined as the  human population located in the
grid cell with the highest estimated concentration of TCDD and TCDF.

       ISCLT performs site-specific exposure calculations for each landfill site under consideration.
Because specific information required to estimate emissions of TCDD and TCDF to air at each site
was  not available, all landfill sites  in the inventory are  assumed to be of identical size, to contain
sludge with the same concentrations of TCDD and TCDF, to  use the same management practices,
and therefore to emit contaminants  at identical rates. As summarized in Tables 2.1.A through 2.1.D,
these assumptions vary between "best estimate" and "high risk" estimates, but are applied consistently
across all facilities. In short,  wind transport and exposure calculations are site-specific, but emission
estimates are not.

Methods for Estimating Human Exposure and Risk

       Based on estimated concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in ambient air, individual exposure
and  cancer risk are  calculated by:
                                              28

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where:
and:
       BW
       I
        H
       •RD

       LE

       LF
CD IH
                             LF
  BW LE



average body weight (assumed to be 70 kg)

estimated air concentration at distance D (mg/m3)

average  lifetime  individual  exposure for person residing  at  distance D
(mg/kg/day)

volume of air inhaled daily (assumed to be 23 m3/day, after U.S. EPA, 1985)

lifetime individual cancer risk for person  residing at distance D (lifetime"1)

life expectancy (assumed to be 70 years)

number of years of exposure per lifetime  (assumed to be 70 years/lifetime)

cancer slope factor for TCDD or TCDF (mg/kg/day)"1
ISCLT provides estimates of population-weighted average concentrations of the TCDD or TCDF in

ambient air surrounding all landfill facilities. Aggregate cancer risks are calculated with following

expression:
        -AVE
                       BW LE
where:
        AVE



       POP


       RT
                     EAVE q  POP / LE
average air concentration of contaminant, computed by weighting each level
of contaminant concentration by the number of persons exposed to that level
(mg/m3)

population-weighted average exposure for all persons living within 50 km of
a pulp and paper sludge landfill (mg/kg/day)

total exposed population

aggregate cancer risk for exposed population (incremental cancer cases/year)
and all other variables are as described above.
                                            29

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Volatile Emissions

       Soil-water partition coefficients (KQ) for TCDD and TCDF are derived by assuming that the
organic carbon content of the sludge is approximately 14 percent, resulting in partition coefficient
values of 1.4 x 106 and 4,900 respectively for TCDD and TCDF.  These values combine in Equation
2.1.3 to yield an  estimated Kas value of 5 x 10"10 for TCDD and 7 x  10"7  for TCDF.  Substituting
this value into Equation 2.1.2 and 2.1.1 yields estimated emissions of 2 x 10"16 grams per m2 per
second for TCDD and 2 x 10~13 grams per m2 per second for TCDF. These results are used to derive
"high risk" estimates of human exposure and risk through this pathway.

       Eduljee (1987), uses a different theoretical model from the one just discussed for estimating
TCDD emissions from soils. The sample calculations for the method  (which is based on Jury et al.,
1984) assume a soil  temperature of 25 degrees Centigrade, porosities ranging from 0.1 to 0.5, bulk
density of 1350 kg/m3, evaporation from 0 to 0.5 mm/day, and time periods ranging from 1 to 3,000
days.  The calculations assume a K^. of 1.1 x  106 for TCDD, and  an organic carbon content of
0.0125. Resulting estimates, for an initial loading of 1 kg TCDD per  m3 of soil, range from 7 x 10"
8 to  7 x 10~7 kg/m2/day, or 8  x 10"10 to 8 x 10"9 g/m2/sec.  Scaling these estimates for an  initial
concentration of 293  ng/kg in sludge/soil (the highest value reported for landfilled sludge  in the
104-Mill Study)  suggests emission estimates ranging from 3 x 10"16  to  3 x 10"15 g/m2/sec.  These
results are consistent with the estimate of 2 x 10"16 derived above (based on a higher assumed value
for the fraction  of organic carbon, and a higher value for K.^.).

       In simulations using assumptions and input parameters from Tables 2.1.A and 2.1.C, SESOIL
predicts that approximately 4 x 10"24 grams of TCDD and, 8 x 10"18 grams of TCDF will be emitted
per second per square meter of landfill area.  These results are  significantly lower than emissions
estimated with Equations  2.1.1 through 2.1.3.  Sensitivity testing of  the SESOIL model has shown
that model results are sensitive to assumptions regarding the layer depths chosen for the simulation,
and to the assumed moisture content and effective porosity of the sludge-soil mixture in the landfill.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Wind Transport

       Most inputs for the ISCLT model were obtained from  data bases accessed automatically
through GEMS.  To run the model, GEMS must  be supplied with latitude and longitude coordinates
for each  town containing a sludge landfill. It is assumed that the each landfill has a width of 350
meters.                                                       	   „	™~	
                                           30

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       Current literature reports a range of rates of atmospheric decay for TCDD.  Podoll et al.
(1988), for example, found that photolysis dominates the decay process,  with hydrolysis playing a
lesser role.  They derived a lower bound estimated half-life of 58 minutes for TCDD  vapor in
sunlight. The authors point out, however, that the extent to which adsorption to particulates might
decrease these estimated rates is unknown.  Mill et al. (1987) reported that TCDD adsorbed to fly
ash evidenced half life values of several hundred hours. Atkinson (1987) calculated an atmospheric
half-life of 3 days for TCDD, based on the OH radical reaction.  "Best estimate" calculations for this
report assume a atmospheric  half life  of 3 days for TCDD, high risk estimates assume  that
atmospheric losses are insignificant.  For lack of corresponding data for TCDF, the same rates of
atmospheric decay are used for TCDF as for TCDD.

       Results from ISCLT suggest that  the times of wind transport to exposed populations within
50 km of known landfill sites range from about ten  minutes to four hours, with a population-
weighted average of about 30 minutes. If the atmospheric half-life of TCDD is indeed three days,
then losses over this time interval will be relatively small.

2.1.2 Groundwater Pathway

       Humans can be exposed to potential health risks from landfills if leachate beneath a sludge
landfill enters the groundwater and is transported to nearby drinking water wells. Because of its
hydrophobicity and  low solubility, however, the mobility of TCDD in soil is thought to be quite low.
 Helling et al. (1971), for example, describes TCDD as "immobile" in soil.  Other researchers have
detected downward  movement of TCDD  through soil, but at low rates.  Freeman and Schroy (1985),
for example, found that TCDD from a biodegradation test plot at Eglin Air Force Base had dispersed
10 cm in 12 years. They explained the detected mobility as a consequence of temperature gradients
in the soil; these results cannot necessarily be generalized to the zone beneath sludge landfills', where
temperature gradients and other conditions are likely to differ from those observed at Eglin.

       Mobility of TCDF is not as well studied.  TCDF has a higher solubility in water, and a lower
soil/water  partition coefficient,  however,  and  may therefore pose a  greater threat for human
exposure and risk from landfills.  For lack of sufficient empirical data, this analysis must rely on
mathematical models to estimate the extent of possible human exposure and risk from both TCDD
and TCDF in sludge landfills.

       Potential risks are determined by the concentration of TCDD and TCDF in the landfill, site
characteristics and management practices, local meteorological conditions, depth  to groundwater
beneath the landfill  site, the vadose medium or media  between the landfill and the saturated zone,
                                             31

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characteristics of the aquifer receiving the loading of contaminated water from the site, and down-
gradient distances from the site to wells providing drinking water. Most of these characteristics vary
significantly from site to site; constructing a "typical" hypothetical scenario is therefore difficult, if
not impossible. If risks from a "worst case" hypothetical scenario could be shown to be insignificant,
however, then one might reason that risks from actual facilities are likely to  be insignificant as well.

       Based on a "worst case" hypothetical landfill scenario, U.S. EPA (1988b) examined potential
risks of human exposure to TCDD from groundwater contamination beneath landfills, and concluded
that

       "... because of very high retardation of 2,3,7.8-TCDD by the ground  water media, the
       concentration in ground water will be  small, and ground water is  not a  significant
       pathway for 2,3,7,8-TCDD migrating from landfill sites. However, ... if cosolvents
       are present in the landfill or if channeling occurs, the mobility of 2,3,7,8-TCDD may
       be significantly increased."

These conclusions rely on analysis of a hypothetical worst case scenario in which leachate containing
TCDD at its solubility limit enters  a shallow  aquifer with low organic carbon  content.  A semi-
analytical three dimensional area source model  was used to predict well  water concentrations at
distances varying from  15 to 152 meters from the landfill site.  Comparison of results for similar
scenarios using the AT123D model (Yeh, 1981), however, suggest that concentrations at the test wells
would continue to increase beyond the 100 year  period simulated by  U.S.  EPA (1988b),  and could
eventually reach levels of TCDD contamination associated with significant cancer risks for  a most
exposed individual (MEI). Based on the parameter values listed in Table 2.1.D, estimated expected
groundwater concentrations are estimated for both TCDD and TCDF. At peak well concentrations,
these levels would be associated with cancer risks of 3 x 10"5 for TCDD,  and 6 x  10"4 for TCDF.
The higher solubility of TCDF, together  with its lower KD value, helps explain its higher estimated
risks.

       As mentioned by U.S. EPA (1989b), exposure and risks could be higher if the presence of Co-
solvents increases the mobility of TCDD and TCDF.  Mobility  might also be enhanced if these
contaminants  bind to more water soluble organic molecules.  Enfield and  Bengtsson (1988b), used
laboratory experiments to examine the relative mobility of organic compounds with and without the
presence of dissolved macromolecules.  They concluded:

       "When a municipal landfill which produces large amounts of dissolved organic carbon
       is co-disposed with toxic hydrophobic chemicals, the large amounts of DOC produced
       by the natural degradation processes will make conditions favorable to the transport
       of hydrophobic  materials normally considered immobile."
                                              32

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       Since upper bound risk estimates cannot rule out the possibility of significant risks  from
TCDD and TCDF through groundwater contamination, this analysis attempts to quantify potential
exposure and risk to both TCDD and TCDF from landfills receiving sludge from the pulp and paper
industry.  It is hindered by the limited availability of site-specific data for pulp and paper sludge
landfills, and necessarily relies on numerous simplifying assumptions. Nevertheless, it is thought to
provide at least a rough estimate of the risks that may be associated with landfills.

Methods for Estimating Contaminant Loadings to Groundwater

       Estimating human exposure and risk from groundwater contamination  involves two steps.
The first step is to determine the  extent to which sludge contaminants are transported through the
soil (or sludge) medium above the aquifer.  Once loadings to the aquifer have been estimated, the
second step is to estimate how much concentrations of TCDD and TCDF will be reduced during
transport through the aquifer.  The third step is to determine the size of exposed populations, based
on estimates of the number of wells likely to be affected.

       Leachate concentrations and quantities beneath a landfill are estimated  with two  separate
methods.  In the first,  leachate concentrations of TCDD and TCDF beneath an industrial landfill
(with no significant co-solvent effects) are assumed unlikely to exceed levels predicted on the basis
of equilibrium  partitioning of sludge  contaminants between dissolved and adsorbed phases.  The
second approach uses the SESOIL  model (Bonazountas et al., 1984, U.S. EPA, 1987b) to simulate the
transport of TCDD and TCDF through the contents of a landfill and the unsaturated zone beneath
it.  Each of these two approaches will now be discussed.

Using Equilibrium Partitioning to Predict Loadings to Ground Water

       Upper bound estimates1 of plausible dissolved TCDD and TCDF concentrations in  leachate
as it enters the  saturated zone can be derived from reported sludge concentrations from pulp and
paper mills using landfills. Given the unusually high solid/liquid partition coefficient for TCDD
(and to a lesser extent for TCDF) leachate concentrations will be greatly influenced by the tendency
of these two chemicals to adsorb to soil particles.  Maximum leachate concentrations can be estimated
from sludge concentrations based on the following definitions:

                     Mcs + Mcu
       CDW    =      	
                        Ms
       1These "upper bound" estimates ignore possible effects of cosolvents or dissolved organic
carbon on rates of TCDD and TCDF migration from the sludge.

                                           33

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       c,
                      M
                        cw
                      M,
       KP
                     McsMu
where:
       M
       M
         cs
         cw
         s
       ML
        -DW
If:
where:
       My




       P

       N


then it follows that:
mass of adsorbed contaminant in landfill (ug)
mass of dissolved contaminant in landfill (ug)
mass of solid contents in landfill (g)
mass of liquid in landfill (g)
concentration (dry  weight) of contaminant in sludge (ug/g)
concentration of contaminant in liquid (ug/g)


Msp / N
                                                      t

bulk density of soil (g/cm3)
porosity of soil (unitless)
                         'DW
                                                                      (2.1.4)
                           (N/p)
For values of KD appropriate for TCDD and TCDF, the second term in the denominator of Equation
2.1.4 can be ignored.

       Equation 3-4 predicts maximum concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in leachate leaving the
landfill, based on dry-weight concentrations in sludge placed in the facility. These estimates are
likely to over-predict actual concentrations, for at least three reasons. First, leachate concentrations
will be lower than predicted values to the extent that equilibrium partitioning is not achieved in the
time required for water to percolate through the sludge zone. Second, these methods do not consider
contaminant losses through volatilization or other removal processes. Third, the store of TCDD and

                                           34

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TCDF in an inactive  landfill will' decrease  over  time,  possibly resulting in reduced leachate
concentrations.  On the other hand, these methods do not consider the possibility that co-solvents or
dissolved macromolecules might increase the mobility of these contaminants from landfill sites.

Using SESOIL to Predict Loadings to Groundwater

       The SESOIL model allows a more comprehensive approach to contaminant transport through
soil layers. The model considers monthly climate data, and maintains a mass balance for contaminant
transport through multiple soil layers. "Best estimates" of potential human exposure and risks through
the groundwater pathway, are derived by using the SESOIL model to simulate TCDD and TCDF
transport to the aquifer once steady state conditions have been reached in the unsaturated zone. The
simulation assumes that the upper three meters  of a pulp and paper sludge landfill contain pure
sludge, and the  lower three meters contain soil into which TCDD, TCDF, and organic carbon from
the sludge have migrated.  At steady state, the top three meters are assumed to contain 20 percent
organic carbon; the lower three meters contain 10 percent. Using parameter values listed in Tables
2.1 .A, 2.1 .B, 2.1 .C, and 2.1 .D, SESOIL simultaneously estimates movement of TCDD and TCDF from
the landfill to both ground water and ambient air.  Loadings to ground water are proportional to
assumed recharge beneath the landfill. A value of 43 centimeters recharge per year has been selected
based on GEMS data for a county in Wisconsin.
                                                                          *
Using AT123D to Predict Contaminant Transport through the Aquifer

       From estimated loadings  of TCDD and TCDF to groundwater, the AT123D model (Yen,
1980),  can be  used to predict contaminant concentrations at  wells down-gradient  of the  site.
Exposure estimates in this  analysis are based on "steady state" results from  AT123D.

Methods  for Estimating Individual Exposure and Risk
       Based on assumed rates of individual water ingestion per day, duration of exposure, and rates
of absorption of TCDD and TCDF from drinking water, individual exposure and cancer risk are
calculated by:

       ZRO     =      Eo 0*
where:
       ED            W FA CD/BW
and:

       W      =      amount of water consumed daily (liters),
       FA    =     fraction of contaminant absorbed from ingested water (unitless),
                                            35

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       ED     =      average lifetime individual exposure (mg/kg/day),
       CQ     =      estimated water concentration at distance D (mg/1),
       BW    =      average body weight (assumed to be 70 kg),
       IRD     =      lifetime individual cancer risk (lifetime"1), and
       q*     =      cancer slope factor for TCDD or TCDF (mg/kg/day)"1.

Exposure and risk are estimated separately for persons taking drinking water at each of the three
model distances from a surface landfill site. Maximum exposure and risk is assumed to occur at the
nearest well location.

Methods for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

       Estimation of aggregate population risk  and exposure requires data describing the location
of all nearby drinking water wells relative to each landfill.  Ideally, these data could be compared
with site specific mapping of groundwater flow  to identify those wells vulnerable to contamination
from each site.  Next, information about the number of persons  using each well for drinking water
would be needed to estimate the sizes of potentially exposed populations.  Such site-specific data
could not be obtained for this analysis, which must therefore rely on indirect methods for estimating
the sizes of exposed populations. This analysis derives estimates of exposed populations from data
available at the county level.

       At least two such sources are available.  The National Weil-Water Association maintains a
database describing the number of private wells  in each county in the United States. The FRDSPWS
data base maintained in GEMS (U.S. EPA  1989d)  contains data describing public water supply
systems that rely on groundwater as their water  source. These data are combined with estimates of
the total area, population, and number of households in each county to derive estimates of exposed
populations.  The calculations are as follows:
       PGWCR=      DGWC  AR FG                                   (2.1.5)
where:
       PGWC =      Wc (Popc/HHc) + PSC                            (2.1.6)
                     PGW
       DGWC =	                                           (2.1.7)
                                               36

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and:
       PGWC =
       wc    =
       Popc   =
       HHC   =
       PSC    =

       DGWr =
         R
       PGW

       FG
CR~
estimated number of persons drinking water from wells in county C
number of private wells in county C
population of county C
number of households in county C
number of persons using public water systems based on groundwater in county
C
density  of persons  using groundwater in county C (persons/m2)
total area of county C
area of  ring R surrounding a landfill (m2)
estimated number of persons using well water within ring R for a landfill in
county C
fraction of each ring down-gradient of the landfill
(assumed to be  1/4)
       The first step  is to estimate  the  number  of  persons using groundwater in each county
(Equation 2.1.6).  The number of persons relying on private wells can be calculated by assuming that
each private well reported in the National Well Water Association data represents a^single household.
Multiplying this number of households using private wells by the ratio of persons per household for
the county of concern, yields an estimate of the number of persons using private wells. This estimate
is combined with the county's total population using groundwater-based public systems, as reported
in FRDSPWS. The next step is to estimate the average density of persons using wells in a particular
county, by dividing the total just estimated by the total area of the county (Equation 2.1.7). Finally,
the estimated density  calculated  for  each  relevant  county is  multiplied by  the area of each
hypothetical "ring" of area around the facility (Equation 2.1.5), and adjusted for the fraction of that
area expected to be down-gradient of the site (arbitrarily assumed to be 0.25).
       Of course, wells are not distributed evenly in a typical county, so the average densities used
for this analysis  may not actually apply  for areas surrounding pulp and  paper  sludge landfills.
Further, the density of persons using public  systems will be concentrated at a few select locations,
unlikely to fall within the plume down-gradient of a landfill. For public systems, the relatively small
probability that a large public system will be  affected can be considered equivalent in resulting risk
to the  assumption that a small fraction of the population served by  each system is exposed.
                                             37

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Loadings to Groundwater

       Table 2.1.E shows data from the DRASTIC data base (Aller et. al.,  1985) for each of the
counties containing mills  that dispose  of their sludge in landfills.  The  DRASTIC data base, as
accessed through GEMS, describes the distribution of various geo-hydrological characteristics for
every county in the U.S. For a specified county, DRASTIC might report, for example, that the most
common aquifer medium is sand and gravel (80 percent) followed with lesser frequency by sand and
gravel mixed with silt and clay (20 percent).  Table 2.1.E presents the most common reported value
for each of the seven characteristics reported for each county of concern.  As can be seen from the
table, the  most  frequently reported profiles  differ from county to county, although certain
characteristics seem to be more common than others. Table 2.1 .E suggests that depths to groundwater
of less than 6 meters are quite  common in  counties  containing sludge landfills.   In addition,
conversations with permitting authorities for one mill's landfill indicated that  groundwater at its
highest yearly level rises to within about 0.5 meters of the bottom of the  landfill.

       Table 2.1.F lists key  assumptions and  input  parameters  used  to estimate groundwater
contamination for pulp and paper  sludge landfill. Peak loading of TCDD and TCDF to groundwater
is determined by yearly recharge from the landfill site to the aquifer and the dissolved contaminant
concentrations in that recharge. Table 2.1.F shows the values for yearly recharge assumed for this
analysis.   These values and the monthly climate data required for SESOIL runs we/e  obtained from
GEMS for a sludge landfill site in Wisconsin.  Tables 2.1.G and 2.1.H summarize other  inputs for
the typical and MEI groundwater exposure assessments, respectively.

       As explained above, this analysis uses two methods to predict contaminant concentrations for
water entering the saturated zone beneath a landfill. For the first, concentrations  of dissolved TCDD
and TCDF entering the aquifer beneath a site depends on the concentration of each contaminant in
the sludge, and the estimated fraction of organic carbon in the sludge/soil within the landfill.

       According to NCASI (1984), the median concentration of organic nitrogen in combined sludge
is 0.85 percent, and typical ratios of organic carbon to nitrogen range  from  16:1 to 46:1. These values
suggest that organic carbon content in sludge is likely to range from about 14 to 40 percent, with a
midpoint  of about 25  percent.  For "worst  case" estimates of water  concentrations, this analysis
assumes that the entire volume of the landfill is filled with pure  sludge, and that the concentration
of organic carbon throughout the  sludge is 14 percent.  If there exists a linear relationship between
the soil concentration of organic carbon and the partition coefficient for each contaminant, then the
rate at which the contaminants migrate through the soil will be inversely proportional  to the assumed
                                           38

-------
                         Table 2.1.E.  Characteristics  of  Counties with Sludge Landfills
Depth
Observation (meters)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
9.1-15.2
9.1-15.2
9.1-15.2
9.1-15.2
9.1-15.2
9.1-15.2
4.6-9.1
3.1-4.6
30.5+ m
1.5-3.1
0 - 1.5m
0 - 1.5m
0 - 1.5m
0 - 1.5m
1.5-3.1
9.1-15.2
0 - 1.5m
23.9-30.5
23.9-30.5
3.1-4.6
3.1-4.6
3.1-4.6
3.1-4.6
3.1-4.6
3.1-4.6
3.1-4.6
1.5-3.1
9.1-15.2
9.1-15.2
9.1-15.2
3.1-4.6
0 - 1.5m
1.5-3.1
4.6-9.1
23.9-30.5
4.6-9.1
15.2-23.9
15.2-23.9
4.6-9.1
4.6-9.1
3.1-4.6
4.6-9.1
30.5+ m
30.5+ m
23.9-30.5
3.1-4.6
30.5+ m
15.2-23.9
30.5+ m
15.2-23.9
9.1-15.2
15.2-23.9
4.6-9.1
4.6-9.1
3.1-4.6
3.1-4.6
3.1-4.6
4.6-9.1
3.1-4.6
Recharge
(cm/yr)
17.8 - 25.4
0 - 5.1
17.8 - 25.4
17.8 - 25.4
17.8 - 25.4
17.8 - 25.4
0 - 5.1
0 - 5.1
0 - 5.1
5.1 - 10.2
10 - 17.8
17.8 - 25.4
17.8 - 25.4
25.4+
5.1 - 10.2
10 - 17.8
17.8 - 25.4
17.8 - 25.4
25.4+
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
17.8 - 25.4
10 - 17.8
17.8 - 25.4
17.8 - 25.4
0 - 5.1
5.1 - 10.2
10 - 17.8
25.4+
10 - 17:8
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
0 - 5.1
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
17.8 - 25.4
17.8 - 25.4
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
0 - 5.1
5.1 - 10.2
5.1 - 10.2
10 - 17.8
0 - 5.1
5.1 - 10.2
0 - 5.1
5.1 - 10.2
0 - 5.1
5.1 - 10.2
10 - 17.8
5.1 - 10.2
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
10 - 17.8
Aauifer
medium
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Limestone mass!
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Basalt
Limestone karst
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Meta ign/wth
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Meta ign/wth
Ss,ls,sh thnbed
Basalt
Basalt
Ss,ls,sh thnbed
Ss,ts,sh thnbed
Sand gravel
Ss,ls,sh thnbed
Ss,ls,sh thnbed
Ss.ls.sh thnbed
Ss,ls,sh thnbed
Sand gravel
Ss.ls.sh thnbed
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Meta ign/wth
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Sand gravel
Vadose
medium
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Basalt
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Sand gravel
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Sand gravel
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
ls,ss,sh bded
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Silt / clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Silt / c I ay
Ls,ss,sh bded
Ls,ss,sh bded
Ls,ss,sh bded
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Ls,ss,sh bded
Sand gravel
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
met a igneous
Sand gravel
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Silt / clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Silt / clay
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Sand gravel
Snd&gvl snd&clay
Hydraul ic
conductivity
(meters/sec)
5 x 10"7, - 5 x 10"^
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10";?
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10";!
5 x 10"; - 5 x 10"*
3 x 10"; - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"; - 5 x 10";?
5 x 10"; - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10";!
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10";!
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"j!
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10";!
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10";!
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10";!
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10 "ฃ - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10 "ฃ - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10 "ฃ - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10 "ฃ - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10 "ฃ - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x \0'f • 5 x 10"*
1 x 10"* - 3 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"; - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"''- 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
3 x 10"* - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10'*
9 x 10"* +
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10'' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10'' - 5 x 10"*
5 x 10"' - 5 x 10'*
Source: DRASTIC data base accessed through GEMS
                                                  39

-------
Table 2.I.F. Upper Bound Estimates of Well Concentrations
      Based on Solubility Limits of TCDD and TCDF

Solubility limit (ug/1)
Recharge rate (cm/yr)
Landfill area (cm2)
Total recharge (cm3/yr):
Maximum cont. loading (ug/yr):
Aquifer depth (m):
Aquifer width:
Eff. porosity (unitless):
Hydr. conductivity (m/hour):
Hydraulic gradient (unitless):
KD (m3/kg):
Bulk density of soil (kg/m3):
Longitudinal dispersivity (m):
Lateral dispersivity (m):
Vertical dispersivity (m):
Steady state concentration (ug/1):
Years to reach steady state:
Water ingestion (I/day):
Absorption from water (unitless):
Average body weight (kg):
Cancer slope factor (mg/kg/day"1)
Max cancer risk (lifetime"1):
Notes:
TCDD
0.02
38
2.5 x 109
1 x 1011
2 x 106
3
infinite
0.2
41.7
0.01
2
2,000
20
7
1
3 x 10"9
9,000
2
1
70
2.7 x 10"5
3 x 10'5

TCDF Source
4.33 (a)
38 (b)
2.5 x 109 (c)
1 x 1011 (b)
4 x 108
3 (b)
infinite (b)
0.2 (b)
41.7 (b)
0.01 (b)
7 x 10"3 (d)
2,000 (b)
20 (e)
7 (e)
1 ' (e)
7 x 10'7 (f)
32 (f)
2
1
70
2.7 x 10"4
5 x 10"4 (g)

(a) TCDD solubility from Marple et al. (1986), TCDF solubility calculated with CHEMEST
(b) From Estimating Exoosures to
(c) From 104 Mill Study
2.3.7.8-TCDD. U.S. EPA (1988a)

(d) TCDD KD derived from Jackson (1985), TCDF KD from CHEMEST
that fraction of organic carbon
in aquifer is 0.02 percent, after U.S.


calculation. Both estimates assume
EPA (1988a).
(e) Within ranges suggested by Yeh (1980) for sand
(f) Estimated with AT123D (Yeh,
(g) Equals [water cone, x (1 x 10"3
1980), with assumptions listed above

mg/ug) x ingestion x absorption / body weight] x cancer slope factor
                              40

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organic carbon content of the soil. The conservative estimate of low organic carbon content through
the entire soil column will tend to over predict actual leachate concentrations.

       Based on a "worst case" scenario and the assumption of equilibrium partitioning, maximum
dissolved leachate concentrations are estimated to be 2 x 10~7 ug/1 and 1 x 10~3 ug/1 for TCDD and
TCDF, respectively. These concentrations represent approximately 0.001 percent of the solubility
limit for TCDD, and 0.03 percent for TCDF.  Results from SESOIL (with "best estimate" input
parameters) predict lower concentrations: 2 x  10"8 ug/1 for TCDD, and 3 x 10"5 ug/1 for TCDF, or
0.0001  and 0.001 percent of  their respective solubility limits. These  loadings are used as input for
the AT123D model to predict TCDD and TCDF concentrations in an aquifer at specified down-
gradient locations.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Transport through the Saturated Zone

       Table 2.1.H lists the parameter values  used for AT123D simulations to predict contaminant
transport through the aquifer.  As shown by  Table 2.1.E,  sand and  gravel appears to be the most
common  aquifer  medium in counties containing  pulp and paper sludge landfills.   This  analysis
therefore selects values for hydraulic conductivity, porosity,  and bulk density that are appropriate
for this medium, based on ranges reported in  Freeze and Cherry (1979) and Yeh (1980). For "best
estimate"  simulations,  the source  is assumed to  be a square with edges of 350 meters.  The
                                                                           *
configuration of the "worst case" source is based on a landfill of 60 acres, idealized by a square with
edges of 500 meters in length. For "high  risk" simulations, the aquifer is described by the  physical
characteristics of silt, as shown in Table 2.I.H.  For all simulations, well are assumed to be located
200, 1,200, and 3000 meters from the source.  To avoid problems with time step selection for the
AT123D  model, separate simulations were performed for each of the distances modeled.

       As shown in Tables 2.1.A and 2.1.B, the organic carbon distribution coefficients (KQC) for
TCDD and TCDF are assumed to be 1 x 107 and 3.5 x 104  respectively, and the aquifer medium is
assumed  to  consist  of only 0.1 percent  organic carbon.   With these assumptions, retarded darcy
velocities of TCDD and TCDF are only 7 x 10"6 m/hr and 2 x 10"3 m/hr respectively, so that steady
state concentrations at the most distant well are not attained for thousands of years (for TCDD) and
about 150 years (for TCDF)  after the contaminants first enter the aquifer beneath the landfill site.
The aquifer is assumed to be described by a 1 percent gradient, a  100 meters per day hydraulic
conductivity, and an effective porosity of 0.2. These values  are appropriate for a sand  and gravel
aquifer according to Freeze and Cherry (1979).  Based on these and other input parameters  listed in
Table 2.1.F, this analysis uses the AT123D model to estimate "steady state" concentrations of TCDD
and TCDF at the test wells.  Although the hydrophobic quality of TCDD (and to a lesser extent of
                                             47

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TCDF) retards its travel through the saturated zone, steady state results (as calculated by the AT123D
model) are insensitive to  retardation of the two chemicals as a result of partitioning between liquid
and solid phases.   Based on  these assumptions, the AT123D model predicts  the  steady  state
concentrations listed in Table 2. hi.

       To estimate potential human exposure and  risk from well-water contamination requires
additional assumptions about individual behavior and the sizes of exposed populations. The methods
outlined above suggest that approximately 250 persons live down-gradient within 400 meters of a
facility, 5,800 live between 400 and 2,000 meters, and 18,000 live between 2,000 and 4,000 meters.
2.1.3  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion  of Drinking  Water from Surface Water
Sources

       Where pulp and paper sludge is deposited in uncovered landfills, particles of sludge or soil
from the landfill surface can be transported by erosion  to nearby lakes or streams.  If humans
consume water from these lakes or streams, they may be exposed  to TCDD and TCDF  from the
landfilled sludge.  This  Section discusses methods used  to estimate the extent  of  this  potential
exposure, and its associated risks to human health. The methodology consists of three general steps.
First, based on sludge concentrations of TCDD and TCDF, local topography, lapd use and other
factors, it estimates contaminant concentrations in sediments and surface water. Second, it uses these
estimated concentrations, assumptions about individual ingestion of drinking water, and assumptions
about the bio-availability and the cancer slope factor of TCDD and TCDF, to estimate individual
health risks for humans potentially exposed. Third, it combines these results with estimates of the
size of exposed populations to derive estimates of total human health risks in the U.S. population.
Each of these steps will now  be discussed.

Methods for  Estimating TCDD and TCDF Concentrations in Surface Water

       Details of the methods used for these calculations are presented in Appendix B. In general,
the methods are adapted from U.S. EPA (1985a), and use the Universal Soil Loss Equation, together
with estimates of sediment delivery ratios, to estimate the fraction of a lake or stream's sediment that
originates from the landfill. By multiplying this fraction by the original concentration of TCDD and
TCDF in sludge or soil particles on the landfill surface, the methodology derives estimates of the
concentration of contaminants in the sediment.  This contaminant load is then partitioned between
adsorbed and dissolved phases, based on the assumption of equilibrium partitioning between the two
phases.
                                              48

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                         Table 2.1.1.  Estimated Groundwater Concentrations
                              At Selected Distances from Model Landfill
200 meters 1,200 meters 3,000 meters
(ug/1) (ug/1) (ug/1)
High Risk Estimate3
TCDD
TCDF
Best Estimate6
TCDD
TCDF

1 x 10"11 6 x 10"12 4 x 10'12
7 x 10'8 4 x 10"8 3 x 10'8

8 x 10'14 3 x 10'u 2 x 10'u
1 x 10"10 6 x 10'11 3 x 10'11
4
Notes:

(a)   Combines results from equilibrium partition model with AT123D results and "high-risk" assumptions.

(b)   Combines results from SESOIL with AT123D results and "best estimate" assumptions.
                                               49

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Methods for Estimating Human Dose of TCDD and TCDF from Ingestion of Drinking Water from
Surface Water Sources

       Water concentrations are multiplied by human consumption of water and a bio-availability
factor to yield the estimated human dose of TCDD or TCDF. This estimated dose is divided by body
weight to derive an estimated dose of contaminant per unit of body weight per day:
       Doseu  =
                       BW
where:
       CH     =      Concentration of contaminant in water (mg/liter)
       BAM   =      Bio-availability of TCDD or TCDF from ingested water (unitless)
       BW    =      Human body weight (assumed to be 70 kg)
       Qw     =      Individual's consumption of water (liters/day)
       Dosew  =      Dose of contaminant from consumption of water (mg/kg/day)

Methods for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

       The population exposed to contaminated water is estimated  by  multiplying the area of the
drainage basin above each SMA drainage point by the estimated population density of that area. This
estimated population is then multiplied by the fraction of the population  that takes its drinking water
from surface supplies:

       PEU   =      AB PD PSW
          W            D

where:

       PEM          -      Population exposed to contaminated water
       A.            =      Area of the drainage basin (ha)
         O
       PD           =      Population density for region of landfill  (persons/ha)
       PSW          =      Percent of population served by surface  water
                                          50

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Soil Contaminant Concentrations

       In this analysis, landfills are assumed to be uncovered; reliable data are  not at this time
available for management practices at pulp and paper sludge landfills.  For a landfill without soil
cover, initial soil concentrations are assumed to equal sludge concentrations. "Best estimate" and "low
risk" calculations for typical  individuals  use  the average sludge concentration reported by the 59
landfills.  "High risk" typical individual estimates and the MEI scenarios are based on the highest
reported sludge concentrations. Sludge concentrations were taken from the "104 Mill Study"  (U.S.
EPA, 1989).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Sediment Contaminant Concentration

       As explained in Appendix B, the parameters necessary to calculate sediment concentration
(before partitioning) from soil concentration are: site area, site sediment delivery ratio, drainage area,
drainage area sediment delivery ratio, and the Universal Soil Loss Equation parameters.

       The soil concentrations are discussed above. The  landfills  are assumed to be 12 hectares in
the typical "low risk" and "best estimate" scenarios and 24  hectares  in the typical "high risk" and  the
MEI scenarios. These  areas are suggested by U.S. EPA (1985).

       The  calculation for the SMA sediment delivery ratio, as shown above,  depends on  the
overland distance between the SMA and the water body.  Based on U.S. EPA (1988b), the distance
to surface water is assumed to be 152 meters in the typical "low risk" and "best estimate" scenarios
and 30 meters in the typical "high risk" and MEI scenarios.
       The watershed  sediment delivery ratio is dependant on the area of the watershed. The "best
estimate"  and "high risk" typical individual estimate assume the water body receiving SMA runoff
is a major stream with a watershed area of 5,000 square miles. This estimate is based on U.S. EPA
Geographic Exposure Modeling System (GEMS) estimates of drainage area for major streams (U.S.
EPA, 1989c). The "low risk" typical individual estimate assumes that the receiving water body is a
smaller tributary with a watershed area of 500 square miles. The watershed in the MEI scenarios is
assumed  to be 10,000 acres (approximately 40 square miles). This area corresponds to a relatively
small stream (U.S. EPA 1988a).

       The cover management, "C", and support practice, "P", variables from the USLE equation  are
determined as a ratio of SMA to watershed. This analysis assumes that landfills are surrounded by
pasture land. "C" values on permanent pasture, range, and idle land range from approximately 0.3%'
to 45%, with an average of approximately 10%  (Science and Education Administration, 1978).  In
                                             51

-------
other words, the approximate average soil loss from pasture under specified conditions is 10 percent
of the corresponding loss from clean-tilled,  continuous fallow.  In the typical "low risk" and "best
estimate" scenarios, the landfills are assumed to be 90 percent covered with vegetation, resulting in
a "C" ratio of 1.1:1. The typical "high risk" and the MEI scenarios more conservatively assume that
the landfills have no vegetative cover.  This assumption results in a "C" ratio of 10:1.  All scenarios
conservatively assume that no support practices are in place since insufficient information on support
practices is available. Therefore the "P" ratio in all scenarios is 1:1.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Deriving the Partition Coefficient

       Koc, the partition coefficient between water and organic carbon, is multiplied by the fraction
of organic carbon in the sediment to obtain Kd, the partition coefficient between sediment and
water.  The Koc value for TCDD used in this analysis is 1  x 107 (Jackson, 1985  in EPA, 1987c). The
Koc value for TCDF is 3.5 x I'O4 (CHEMEST procedure in GEMS, U.S. EPA,  1989c). The organic
carbon content of the sediment is assumed to be 0.04 in the "low risk" typical individual estimate,
0.01 in the typical individual and MEI "best estimate", and 0.001 in the "high risk" typical individual
and MEI estimate (U.S. EPA, 1988a).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Human Dose
                                                                            >
       Table  2.1.J lists assumptions  and input parameters used  for estimating typical exposure
through pathways associated with surface runoff. Table 2.1.K lists assumptions  and input parameters
for the most exposed individual. Individual water consumption is assumed to be 2 liters per day (U.S.
EPA, 1988b).  The bio-availability of ingested water is assumed to be 100 percent ( EPA,  1989c).
Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

       As previously discussed, sizes of exposed populations are estimated by multiplying estimated
watershed area by estimated  population density.   To accurately  assess population  exposed it is
necessary to know the stream into which the SMA runoff drains, the dilution and dispersion pattern
of the contaminant, and the patterns of water withdrawal from the water body. In the absence of this
site-specific information, the  size of the exposed population is  estimated as follows.

       The typical "best estimate" scenario assumes that the receiving stream  for each landfills is a
major stream  with a 5,000 square mile watershed area.  It is further assumed that the size of the
exposed population increases with stream size, and that stream size increases with drainage area i.e.,
                                              52

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the larger the drainage area, the more people are likely to use the stream for a drinking water supply.
To capture this relationship, the size of the exposed population is approximated by the number of
persons expected to live in the area of the drainage basin containing each landfill. The  area of each
basin (assumed to be 5,000 square miles for all landfills in the "best" estimate) is multiplied by the
average population density in the regions through which the waterway flows.  Population density is
determined by averaging populations for the regions of the United States  within which a landfill is
located and dividing by the area for these regions.  Regional populations were considered rather than
state populations because the contaminated waterways are not constrained by state boundaries. The
average population density for regions where landfills are sited is estimated as 124 people per square
mile (U.S. Department of Commerce, 1987).

       Only  a portion of this  population will rely on surface water for their  drinking water. The
estimated population exposed is therefore reduced by multiplying by the national average percentage
of population served by surface water, obtained from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS, 1985).

       This  analysis assumes  that the entire exposed population ingests water at concentrations
estimated at the "point" of entry of the SMA runoff into the stream.  Since the population exposed
will  inhabit  an area of approximately  70 by  70 miles in the "best" estimate,  this assumption is
conservative, and will tend to overstate exposure and risk.  In reality, dilution  and dispersion of the
contaminant will have occurred before much of the population is exposed. However, in the absence
of additional site-specific information,  it  was not possible to calculate exposure more  exactly.
       One test of the reasonableness of the  analysis'  assumption about the size of  the exposed
population is to  compare the amount of drinking  water  assumed to  be  withdrawn from  the
contaminated stream with the stream's flow rate. If the stream can not supply  the quantity of water
that  the analysis assumes is ingested  then the assumptions must be reexamined.

       The "best" risk estimate for the population assumes that a water body with a drainage area of
5000 square miles is contaminated.  A water body with  this drainage area would be a relatively major
stream, receiving runoff from an area approximately 70 by 70 miles. Several streams  located near
paper mills have a drainage area of a few thousand square miles. For example, Raccoon Creek at
Granville, OH has a drainage  area of 8,270 square miles (U.S. EPA, 1989d).

       The U.S. Geological Survey has  used regression analysis to study the relationship between a
stream's drainage area and its mean annual flow rate. On a national scale, USGS found drainage area
to be the most significant variable influencing flow rate; other variables, particularly average annual
precipitation, were  also sometimes  significant  (personal  communication,  USGS).  Since annual
precipitation varies substantially throughout the United States, drainage area alone is  not a precise
                                             58

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predictor of stream flow. However, the general relationship between^drainage area and stream flow
can be estimated for regions of the country.

       For regions east of the Mississippi, the range of stream flows associated with a drainage area
can be approximated from the following equations (personal communication, USGS).

       Low Estimate

       MAP  =      DRA

       High Estimate

       MAP  =      1.5 DRA

where:
       DRA  =      Drainage area (square  miles), and
       MAP  =      Mean annual flow rate (cubic feet per second or cfs).

Regions  west of the Mississippi  will show greater variability in stream flows with  relationship to
drainage area, with extremely arid areas approaching zero cubic feet per second per square mile of
drainage area. However, moderately arid regions are likely to exhibit a relationship between stream
flow and drainage area that can be approximately represented  by the following equation.

       MAP  =      0.5 DRA
       Using these formulas to predict mean annual flow rates for a stream with a 5,000 square mile
drainage area yields 5,000 to 7,500 cfs in relatively humid (generally eastern) states and about 2,500
cfs in relatively arid (generally western) states. Converting to liters per year, the mean flow rates
are 4.5 x 1012 to 6.7 x 1012 liters/year for humid states.  Arid states have a mean annual stream flow
rate of approximately 2.2 x 1012 liters per year associated with a stream with a 5,000 square mile
drainage area. •

       The flow rate for a stream with a 5,000 square mile drainage area can be compared with the
quantity of drinking water assumed to be  withdrawn from the stream to evaluate  the feasibility of
assumptions about the size of the exposed  population. To estimate drinking water withdrawals, the
exposed  population  is multiplied by the  quantity of water  consumed per  person.   The analysis
                                             59

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assumes that a person consumes 2 liters of water per day.  The population exposed near landfills
depends on the population density of the regions of the country in which the SMA's are located.  The
exposed population also depends on the percent of the  population that receives its drinking water
from surface water. The population exposed to contaminated water is estimated to be 61 people per
square mile of drainage area.

       A comparison of water withdrawals and stream flows for land  application sites will have a
relatively large population withdrawing water.  The water withdrawals will, be from a stream with
a relatively high stream flow:drainage area ratio, since land application sites are located in the eastern
United States.  Water  withdrawal for  drinking is calculated by multiplying  a 5,000 square  mile
drainage area by 61 exposed people per square mile. This yields an exposed population of 305,000
people. Total surface  water withdrawal for drinking,  at 2 liters per person per day, is 2.2 x 108
liters/year.  Comparing the water withdrawals to the stream flow shows that less than 0.003 percent
of the predicted stream flow is  withdrawn for human consumption.

       It is likely that the population receiving its drinking water from contaminated surface water
will receive the remainder of water for domestic  uses from this same source.  Therefore, it is also
informative to  compare total water withdrawn for domestic use  with the stream flow.  Average
domestic water use is 78 gallons, or 295 liters, per person per day (USGS, 1985). Two hundred and
ninety-five liters per day  multiplied by a population of 305,000 people equals annual domestic use
of 3.3 x 1010 liters per year.  Estimated total domestic use as a percentage of stream flow is therefore
less than one percent.

       In evaluating the plausibility of these calculations, one should note that 77% of water  used
domestically is return flow (USGS, 1985).  This means that the water reaches a ground- or surface-
water source after release from the point of use and thus becomes available for further use.  The
above discussion suggests that the assumptions in this analysis about the size of populations exposed
to surface water are plausible.

2.1.4  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Fish from Surface  Water Sources

       Where pulp and paper sludge is deposited in uncovered landfills, particles of sludge or soil
from the landfill surface  can be transported by erosion to nearby lakes or streams.  If the sludge
contains TCDD or TCDF, then those particles can carry  these contaminants  to the surface water
bodies. Fish living in the lakes or streams can take up  sludge contaminants into their tissues; if
humans then consume those fish, they  can be exposed.
                                               60

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       This Section discusses methods used to estimate the extent of this potential exposure, and its
associated risks to human health.  The methodology is quite similar to that discussed in Section 2.1.3,
in that both methodologies begin by estimating sediment concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in water
bodies as  a  result of runoff from landfills.  Once sediment concentrations have been estimated,
however, the methodology departs from that described in Section 2.1.3, and uses fish to sediment
bio-concentration factors and estimates of human  fish consumption contaminant doses to humans.
The last step in the methodology involves estimating the sizes of exposed populations, combining
these results with estimates of individual dose and health risk to derive total health risks to the entire
exposed population.  Each of these steps will now  be discussed.

Methods for Estimating TCDD and TCDF Concentrations in Surface Water

       Methods used for these calculations are described in detail in Appendix B. In summary, the
methods are adapted from U.S. EPA (1985a), and use the Universal Soil Loss Equation, together with
estimates of sediment delivery ratios, to estimate  the fraction of a  lake or stream's sediment that
originates from the landfill. By multiplying this fraction by the original concentration of TCDD and
TCDF in sludge or soil particles on the surface of the landfill, the methodology derives estimates of
the concentration of contaminants in the sediment.  These sediment concentrations can then be used
to estimate contaminant concentrations in the tissues of fish.
                                                                          4
Methods for Estimating the  Concentration of TCDD and TCDF in  Fish Tissues, as a Function of
Sediment Concentrations

       Methods for estimating contaminant concentrations in fish are discussed in detail in Appendix
B. Based on the assumption that sediment concentrations are the best predictor of fish concentrations
of hydrophobic compounds like TCDD and TCDF, the methodology  uses empirical fish to sediment
bio-concentration factors to estimated concentrations of contaminant  in freshwater fish as a function
of concentrations  in stream or lake sediment. As  explained in Appendix B, the concentrations of
TCDD and TCDF in the muscle tissues of fish  (consumed by humans) are considered to be fifty
percent lower than the whole body concentrations  of these contaminants.

Methods for Estimating Human Dose of TCDD and TCDF from Ineestion of Fish

       Estimated  contaminant concentrations in fish tissue are multiplied by an estimated amount
of fish consumed daily and a bio-availability factor to yield human dose of TCDD or TCDF.  This
estimated  dose is divided by body weight to derive an estimated  dose  of contaminant per unit of
body weight per day:
                                            61

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                            CF QF BAF
       Dosef         =      	
                               BW
where:

       BAF          =      Bio-availability of TCDD or TCDF from fish (unitless)
       BW           =      Human body weight (assumed to be 70 kg)
       CF            =      Concentration of contaminant in fish tissue (mg/g)
       QF            =      Individual's daily fish consumption (g/day)
       Dosep         =      Dose of contaminant  from consumption of fish (mg/kg/day)

Methods for Estimating the Size of Populations Exposed to TCDD and TCDF through Ingestion of
Fish

       The population exposed to fish containing TCDD and TCDF is estimated by multiplying the
area of the drainage basin containing each facility by an estimated population density of the regions
containing the SMA's.

       PEF          ABPD

where:
       PEF          =      Population exposed to contaminated water
       AB           =      Area of the drainage  basin (ha)
       PD           =      Population density for region of landfill (persons/ha)

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Soil  Contaminant Concentrations

       In this analysis, landfills are assumed to be uncovered;  reliable data are not at this  time
available for management practices at pulp and paper sludge landfills.  For a landfill without soil
cover, initial soil concentrations are assumed to equal sludge concentrations. "Best estimate and "low
risk" calculations for typical individuals use the average sludge concentration reported for all of the
landfills.  "High risk"  typical individual estimates and the MEI scenarios are based on the highest
reported sludge concentrations.  Sludge concentrations were taken from  the "104-Mill Study" (U.S.
EPA, 1989c).
                                          62

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Sediment and Fish Contaminant Concentrations

       Data sources and model inputs for estimating sediment and water contaminant concentrations
can be found in Table 2.1.J for typical individuals and Table 2.1.K for the most exposed individual.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Human Dose

       A contaminant dose from ingestion of contaminated fish is estimated for three populations:
typical individuals, an MET, and sport fishers. As an input to the dose calculation, consumption of
freshwater and estuarine fin fish and shellfish is estimated for these three populations. Numerous
studies report quantities of fish consumed by  humans but most  include marine fish. U.S. EPA has
cited  6.5 grams/day as  the  average freshwater  fish consumption (U.S. EPA, 1980,  in  U.S. EPA
1988a). The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has estimated 16 grams per day as the upper 90th
percentile ingestion rate of freshwater fish in the Great Lakes area (U.S. EPA, 1988b).  This analysis
assumes fish consumption of 6.5 grams per day for a typical individual in the "low risk" scenario and
"best estimate" and a consumption rate of  16  grams per day for the typical individual "high risk"
exposure estimate.

       Since these overall averages include a large proportion of individuals who eat no freshwater
fish at all, particular populations may consume  larger quantities. In particular, sport fishers are likely
to consume fish at a higher rate than  a typical individual.  The "best estimate" and "high risk" sport
fisher scenarios incorporate the assumptions used in the population "best estimate" and "high risk"
scenarios, respectively except they use different rates of  fish consumption and a smaller  exposed
population to reflect  the  typical  behavior  of sport fishers. This  analysis  assumes  sport fishers
consume 48 grams of fish  per day in  both the "best  estimate" and the "high risk" scenarios.  This is
the median consumption rate for sport fishers in  Michigan reported by Humphrey (1983). The MEI
analyses uses the 90th percentile consumption rates of active sport  fishers, 100 grams per day, to
represent MEI consumption rates (Humphrey, 1976).

       Bioavailability rates for the contaminants consumed in fish are taken from U.S.  EPA (1989c).
TCDD and TCDF are assumed to be 85, 90, and 95 percent bioavailable for "low", "best", and "high"
calculations,  respectively.   Contaminants  consumed  with fish  are assumed to be 95  percent
bioavailable in both the  "best" and "high" MEI risk estimates.
                                             63

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

       This analysis assumes  that all fish are consumed regionally.  An alternative would be to
assume that the fish are distributed nationally. In that case, the percent of the freshwater fish each
person consumes from the contaminated stream might be calculated by calculating the ratio of the
drainage area of the contaminated stream to the drainage area of the entire United States.  This
percentage could then be used as the percent of contaminated freshwater fish consumed by the entire
U.S. population.  Instead, the current methodology uses drainage area to determine the proportion
of U.S. citizens who are  exposed to the  contaminated  water  and fish.  This population is then
assumed to consume 100%  of their freshwater fish from the contaminated stream.   These  two
methods will yield similar estimates of total risk to the population since the analysis assumes a linear
dose-response relationship.

       As previously  discussed,  sizes of exposed populations are estimated by multiplying the
estimated watershed area by the estimated population density.  To accurately estimate site-specific
populations exposed it is necessary  to  know the stream into which the SMA runoff drains, the
downstream uses of the surface water (e.g., fishing, drinking), and the distribution of the  fish that
are caught. In the absence  of this site-specific information, the size of the exposed population is
estimated as follows.
                                                                            >
       It is assumed that the size of the population exposed will be positively correlated with stream
size and that stream size will be positively correlated with drainage area; the larger the drainage area,
the more people are likely to receive  their  drinking water supply from the stream.  To quantify this
relationship, population exposed is modeled as a function of drainage area.  Each unit area of the
watershed is multiplied  by the average  population density for the regions through which the
waterways flow to yield population exposed. For landfills, the population density is estimated to be
124 people per square  mile.

       In the "best estimate" and the "high risk" scenarios for typical individuals, it is assumed that
the receiving stream for each SMA is a major stream with a 5,000 square mile watershed area. In the
"low risk" estimate for typical individuals, the drainage area is assumed to be one-tenth of  this size,
or 500 square miles. The drainage area in both MEI scenarios is assumed to be about 40 square miles.
This corresponds to a relatively small stream (U.S. EPA, 1988a).

       To calculate the sportfisher  population exposed to contaminated fish, the total population
exposed is first calculated as described above. The percentage of U.S. non-metropolitan households
consuming "home produced" fish and poultry is estimated to be 7.1% (U.S. Department of Agriculture
                                               64

-------
1978).  The percentage of these households consuming "home produced" poultry is estimated at 3.4%
(U.S. Department of Agriculture 1978). If the populations home-producing poultry and fish do not
overlap then 3.7% of the population home-produces fish.  To estimate the population consuming fish
at the median sportfisher level of 48 grams per day, the total population exposed is  multiplied by
3.7%.  This calculation assumes  that the family of a sportfisher consumes fish at the same rate as a
sportfisher.

       This analysis  assumes that  the entire  exposed population ingests fish at concentrations
appropriate for the "point" of entry of the SMA runoff into the stream. Since the population exposed
will inhabit an  area  of approximately  70 by  70 miles in the "best" and  "high" estimates, this
assumption is  conservative, and  will tend  to overstate exposure and risk. In reality, dilution and
dispersion of the contaminant would have  occurred before much of the population was exposed.

2.1.5   Results

       Tables 2.1.L and 2.1.M present human exposure and risk estimates for the four pathways of
potential exposure considered for this waste disposal  practice. As can  be seen from the tables,
exposure and risks to  the "most exposed individual" from the landfilling of sludge are highest from
pathways associated with surface runoff.   Estimated risks through these pathways for the MEI are
based on an extreme  scenario in which runoff from the site  reaches a stream of relatively small
drainage area, and the MEI is assumed to  take  drinking water or fish from the most  contaminated
segment of the stream. Typical risks through surface  water pathways are estimated based on the
assumption of larger drainage areas, and are considerably lower.
                                            65

-------
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                            REFERENCES FOR SECTION 2.1


Arthur D. Little Inc. (1987). Exposure and Risk Assessment of TCDD and in Bleached Kraft Paper
       Products, Prepared for the U.S. EPA Office of Water Regulations and Standards, Washington,
       DC, Contract No. 68-01-6951, June.

Aller, L.,  Bennett,  T.  Lehr, J.H.,  Petty, R.J.  (1985).  DRASTIC: A  Standardized  System for
       Evaluating Ground Water Pollution Potential Using Hydrogeological Settings, U.S. EPA
       Office of Research and Development, Ada, Oklahoma, May.

Bonazountas, M., and Wagner, J.M. (1984). "SESOIL" A Seasonal Soil Compartment Model.  Arthur
       D. Little Inc. and DIS/ADLPIPE Inc. for the U.S. EPA Office of Toxic Substances, Contract
       No. 68-01-5271, May.

Bowers, J.F. et al. (1980). Industrial Source Complex (ISC) Dispersion Model  User's Guide (Vol. 1).
       PB80-133044.  U.S. EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC.

Eduljee, G. (1987).  Volatility of TCDD and PCB form soil. Chemosphere. Vol.  16, No. 4, pp 907-
       920.

Enfield, C.G., and Bengtsson, G. (1988). Macromolecular transport of hydrophobic contaminants in
       aqueous environments, Groundwater. Vol. 26, No. 1, January.

Farmer, W.J., Yang,  M.S., Letey, J., and Spencer, W.F. (1980). Land Disposal  of Hexachlorobenzene
       Wastes: Controlling Vapor Movement in Soil, EPA-600/2-80-119, Office of Research and
       Development, U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati.

Freeman, R.A., and  Shroy, J.M. (1985). Environmental mobility of TCDD, Chemosphere. Vol. 14,
       No. 6/7, pp 873-876.

Freeze R.A., and Cherry, J.A. (1979). Groundwater.  Prentice Hall, Inc., Englewood Cloffs, NJ.

Helling, C.S., Isensee, A.R., Woolson, E.A., Ensor, P.D., Jones, G.E.C., Plimmer,  J.R., and Kearney,
       P.C.  (1973), J. Environ. Quality 2, 171.

Hwang, S.T. (1982).  Toxic  Emissions from Land Disposal Facilities. Environmental Progress.  1:46-
       52.  February.

Hwang and Falco (1986). Estimation of Multimedia Exposures Related to Hazardous Waste Facilities.
       In: cohen, Y., ed. Pollutants in a Multimedia Environment.  Plenum Publishing Co.  New
       York, NY.

Humphrey, H.E.B.,  Rice, H.A.,  and BUDD, M.L.  (1976).  Evaluation of changes of the level of
       polychlorinated biphenyls  (PCB)  in human  tissue.   Final report to FDA.   Michigan
       Department  of Public Health, Lansing, Michigan.  Cited in US EPA,  April,  1988.  Risk
       Assessment for TCDD Contamination Midland, Michigan. EPA-905-4-88-005.  Region V.

Humphrey, H.E.B. (1983).  Population studies of PCBs in  Michigan residents.  D'ltri, P.M., and
       Kamrin, MA., eds., PCBS\s:  Human and Environmental Hazards. Butterworth Publishers,
       Boston, Pg. 299-310.  In: EPA (1988). Risk Assessment for TCDD Contamination Midland,
       Michigan. EPA-905-4-88-005. Region V.
                                             68

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Jackson,  D.R., Roulier, M.H., Grotta, H.M., Rust, S.W., Warner, J.S., Arthur, M.F., and DeRoos,
       F.L. (1985).  Leaching potential of 2,3,7,8-TCDD in contaminated soils, in Land Disposal of
       Hazardous  Waste.   In Proceedings of  the  Eleventh Annual  Research  Symposium at
       Cincinnatti. OH. April 9-Mav 1. 1985.  Sponsored by the U.S. EPA Office of Research and
       Development, Cincinnati, OH. NTIS PB85-196376.

Jury, W.A., Spencer, W.F., and Farmer, W.J. (1984), J. Environ. Quality. _L3, 580.

Lyman, W.J., Reehl, W.F., and Rosenblatt, D.H. (1982), Handbook of Chemical Property Estimation
       Methods: Environmental Behavior of Organic Compounds. McGraw-Hill Book Company,
       New York.

MacKay, D., and Yeun, A. (1983). Mass transfer coefficient correlations for volatilization of organic
       solutes from water.  Environmental  Science and Technology.  17:211-217.

Mill, T.  (1985).   Prediction of the Environmental Fate of TetrachloroTCDD, in  TCDDs in the
       Environment. M.A. kamrin, and P.W.  Rodgers eds., Hemisphere Publishing Corporation,
       Washington, 1985.

National Council of the Paper Industry for Air and Stream Improvement (NCASI) (1984). The Land
       Application and Related Utilization of Pulp and Paper Mill Sludges. National Council of the
       Paper Industry for Air and Stream  Improvement, Technical Bulletin No. 439, New York,
       August.

National  Council of  the  Paper  Industry  for Air and Stream Improvement  (NCASI)  (1987).
       Assessment of Potential Health Risks from Dermal Exposure to  TCDD in Paper Products.
       Technical Bulletin No. 534, November, 1987.

Neal, H.A.  (1987). Solid Waste Management and the Environment: the Mounting Garbage and Trash
       Crisis. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cloffs, NJ.

Podoll, R.T., Jaber, H.M., and Mill, T. (1986). TetrachlorodibenzoTCDD: rates of volatilization and
       photolysis in the environment.  Environ. Sci. Technol. 20(5): 490-2.

Roehl, J.W. (1962). "Sediment Source Areas, Delivery Ratios and Influencing Morphological Factors".
       Publication 59, International Association  of  Scientific Hydrology, Commission of Land
       Erosion.  Pg. 202-213.

Science and Education Administration and United States Department of Agriculture in Cooperation
       with Purdue Agricultural Experiment Station (1978). Predicting Rainfall Erosion Losses: A
       Guide to Conservation Planning.  December.

Science  Applications  International Corp.   (1986).   Conversion factors for use in  estimating
       environmental transport of contaminated soil from unregulated disposal sites. Prepared for
       the  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Solid Waste.  Washington, DC, under
       EPA contract 68-01-7624.

Schroy, J.M., Hileman, F.D., and Cheng, S.C. (1986).   Physical/Chemical Properties of 2,3,7,8-
       Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-TCDD.  In:ASTM Spec. Publ. 891 (Aquat. toxicol. Haz. Assess. 8th
       Symp.): 409-21.

Springer, C., P.D. Lunney, and K.T. Valsaraj (1984).  Emission of Hazardous Chemical for Surface
       and Near Surface Impoundments to  Air. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Solid and
       Hazardous Waste Research Division.  Cincinnait OH.  Project Number 808161-02, pp. 3-4 to
       3-16.  December.
                                          69

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U.S. Bu/eau of the Census (1988). Current Industrial Reports. Washington.

U.S. Department of Agriculture.  National Food Consumption Survey 1977-1978. Report No. H-6.
       Human Nutrition Information Service.  NFCS-1977-78.

U.S. Department of Commerce (1987),. Bureau of the Census.  Statistical Abstract of the United
       States.  1987.

U.S.  EPA  (1980).   Seafood  Consumption  Data  Analysis.  Prepared for the Office  of Water
       Regulations and Standards.  Washington, DC.  By SRI International under EPA contract No.
       68-01-3887.

U.S. EPA  (1984). "Ambient water quality criteria for 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-TCDD."  EPA
       440/5-84-007. Office of Water Regulations and Standards. February. In U.S. EPA. (1988).
       Risk Assessment for TCDD Contamination Midland, Michigan. EPA-905-4-88-005. Region
       V.

U.S.  EPA (1985a). "TCDD Transport from Contaminated Sites to Exposed URE Locations:  A
       Methodology  for Calculating Conversion Factors".   Final Report.  G.W. Dawson, et al.
       Battelle project management division.  Richland, WA. June.

U.S. EPA (1985b). Summary of Data on Industrial Non-Hazardous Waste Disposal Practices. Office
       of-Solid Waste and Emergency Response, Washington, DC. December.

U.S. EPA (1986a). Development of Advisory Levels for Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs) Cleanup.
       Office of Health and Environmental Assessment, Washington, DC. EPA 600/6-86-002. NTIS
       PB86-232774/AS.

U.S. EPA (1987a). The National TCDD Study: Tiers 3, 5, 6, and 7. Office of Water Regulations and
       Standards, Washington DC. EPA 440/4-87-003.

U.S.  EPA (1987b). User's Guide to SESOIL Execution in GEMS. Prepared by General Sciences
       Corporation, for the Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances, Exposure Evaluation Division,
       Contract No. 68-02-4281, November.

U.S.  EPA (1987c). Exposure  and Risk Assessment of TCDD in Bleached Kraft Paper Products.
       Prepared for the Office of Water Regulations and Standards by Arthur  D. Little,  Inc. U.S.
       EPA Contract No. 68-01-6951. June.

U.S.  EPA (1987d).  Hazardous Waste Treatment,  Storage,  and  Disposal Facilities (TSDF) — Air
       Emission Models. Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park,
       NC., EPA-450/3-87-026, December.

U.S.  EPA (1988a). Characterization of Municipal Solid Waste in the United States,  1960 to 2000
       (Update 1988). Office of Solid Waste and Emergency Response, EPA 530-SW-88-033, NTIS
       PB88-232780,  Washington, March.

U.S.  EPA (1988b). Estimating Exposures to 2,3,7,8-TCDD. Office of Health and Environmental
       Assessment, EPA/600/6-88/005A. External Review Draft, March.

U.S.  EPA (1988c). Report to Congress: Solid Waste Disposal in the United States, Volume 1, April.

U.S.  EPA (1988d).   "Development  of Risk  Assessment Methodology for Land  Application and
       Distribution and Marketing of Municipal Sludge." Prepared by Environmental Criteria and
       Assessment Office, Cincinnati, OH.
                                             70

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U.S.  EPA (1988e).  Development of a Method  for Estimating Exposure from  the  Disposal of
       Chemical Substances in Landfills. Office of Toxic Substances, Exposure Evaluation Division,
       Exposure Assessment  Branch.  EPA Contract No. 68-02-4254.  September.

U.S. EPA (1988f). Risk Assessment for Dioxin Contamination Midland Michigan. APA-905/4-88-
       005.  April.

U.S.  EPA (1989a).  Memorandum: "OTS/EEB Aquatic Life Hazard Assessment  (Including BCF
       Values) for 'Dioxins in Paper'". Office of Pesticides and Toxic Substances. Washington, D.C.
       August.

U.S.  EPA (1989b). Training Materials for GEMS and PCGEMS, Office of Pesticides and Toxic
       Substances, January.

U.S.  EPA (1989c). Memorandum: "Bioavailability of Dioxins in Paper Products".  Dioxins in Paper
       Work Group. June.

U.S.  EPA (1989d). Graphical Exposure Modeling System User Guide. Office of Toxic Substances.
       March.

U.S.  EPA (1989e). 104-Mill Study data, Office of Water Regulations and Standards, July 27, 1989
       version.

U.S.  Geological  Survey (1985).  National Water Summary - 1985. Washington, D.C.

Vanoni, Vita A., Editor (1975). "Sedimentation Engineering."  Prepared by the ASCE task committee
       for the preparation of the manual on sedimentation of the sedimentation committee of the
       hydraulics division. NY, NY.

Yeh, G.T. (1981).  AT123D: Analytical Transport One-, Two-, and  Three-Dimensional Simulation
       of Waste Transport in the Aquifer System. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental
       Sciences Division, Publication No. 1439. March.
                                            71

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2.2    Human Exposure and Health Risks from Disposal of Paper Products in Municipal Landfills

       As shown in Table 2.2.A,  the U.S. generates about 130 million metric tons  of municipal
waste per year, of which about 45  million tons, or 36 percent, is pulp and paper.  After use, these
products can be recycled, incinerated, landfilled, or otherwise disposed.  About 30 percent of the
paper products generated can be expected to contain TCDD and TCDF. To the extent that humans
come into contact with contaminants released from these wastes, risks to human health  may result.
This analysis considers potential health  risks from the disposal of paper products  in municipal
landfills. Risks from other disposal methods for paper products are being estimated in a separate risk
assessment.

       Two pathways  of potential human exposure to TCDD and TCDF from paper products in
municipal landfills are considered:

       •      Contaminants from the paper are released into leachate within the landfill,  and seep
              into an aquifer beneath the facility.  Nearby residents ingest drinking water from the
              aquifer, and are potentially exposed.

       •      Contaminants from the paper are released into soil moisture and then volatilize from
              the landfill site to ambient air. Nearby residents inhale the contaminated air and are
              potentially exposed.
                                                                           j

       Human exposure through both of these pathways depends in  part on the fraction of each
landfill's contents consisting  of contaminated paper products.  If it is assumed  that only  bleached
paper products contain TCDD or TCDF,  then one can estimate the fraction of total disposed paper
products likely to contain these contaminants. No information could be found describing the fraction
of all paper wastes consisting of bleached kraft.  Consequently, it is assumed that the  fraction of
paper product waste that is bleached kraft is the same as the fraction of paper  product  production
that consists of bleached kraft. To the extent that bleached paper products are exported  or recycled
at higher or lower rates than other  paper  products, this assumption may over- or under-predict the
fraction of municipal waste consisting of bleached kraft.

       As shown in Table 2.2.A, bleached kraft accounts for about 30 percent of all pulp and paper
production.  If this same fraction applies  also to solid wastes, then one would expect bleached kraft
to account for about 11 percent of total  municipal waste.  The further assumption that  bleached
kraft's contribution to municipal landfills  does not differ from its contribution to the total municipal
waste stream would imply that bleached kraft accounts for about 11 percent of a typical municipal
landfill's contents.
                                          73

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                  Table 2.2.A.  Site and Waste Characteristics for Municipal Landfills
                      Receiving Waste Paper Contaminated with TCDD and TCDF
Parameter
Value
Source
Total municipal solid waste (MSW) (Mg/yr):
Total pulp and paper waste (Mg/yr):
Total bleached kraft paper, paperbd., pulp (Mg/yr):
Bleached kraft as fraction of MSW (percent)
Maximum concentration of TCDD in paper (ppt):
Maximum concentration of TCDD in MSW (ppt):
Maximum concentration of TCDF in paper (ppt):
Maximum concentration of TCDF in MSW (ppt):
Area potentially affected for each landfill (ha):
Density of persons using groundwater (persons/ha):
Number of landfills:
Maximum size of exposed population (persons):
1.3 x 108
4.5 x 107
2.3 x 107
10.7
36
4
333
36
500
4
9,284
18,500,000
(a)
(a)
(b)

(0
(d)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
(f)
(g)
Notes:
(a)   U.S. EPA (1988a).
(b)   Arthur D. Little Inc. (1987).
(c)   Highest pulp concentration reported in 104-Mill data (U.S. EPA, 1989)
(d)   Includes only contribution from paper.
(e)   Conservative assumption, equivalent to 1/4 area of circle with 2.5 km radius.
(f)   U.S. EPA (1988c).
(g)   Equals (area affected per landfill) x (number of landfills) x (population density)
                                                 74

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       If so, then the average concentration of paper product TCDD and TCDF in a landfill will
be roughly one tenth of the concentrations found in the paper products.  The highest reported
concentrations for TCDD and TCDF in bleached pulp are 36 ppt and  333  ppt  respectively (U.S.
EPA, 1989).  If these same concentrations are assumed to apply to the pulp and paper products
disposed in landfills, then one would expect bleached kraft to contribute about  3.6 /zg TCDD and
33.3 /ig TCDF per metric ton of total municipal waste in a typical landfill.

       To estimate potential human exposure and risks from disposal of waste paper in municipal
landfills, this analysis uses a series of conservative assumptions, together with  the chemical and
physical parameters listed in Table 2.2.B, to estimate contaminant concentrations in air above a
landfill, and in ground water beneath it. Details of these calculations are presented in Sections 2.2.1
and 2.2.2.

2.2.1  Volatilization Pathway

       Humans can be exposed to potential health risks if TCDD and TCDF volatilize from paper
in municipal landfills.   An  upper-bound estimate of the extent of these risks can be derived  by
combining consistently conservative assumptions into mathematical models for estimating the rate
of emissions from these  landfills, and then estimating the extent to which emitted contaminants are
diluted  before  inhalation.   Table 2.2.A  derived  conservative estimates of TCDD and  TCDF
concentrations in a municipal landfill that might result from the disposal of paper products.  Based
on these concentrations, and the parameter values listed in Table 2.2. B, this analysis uses a set of
equations from U.S. EPA (1986) and Hwang and Falco (1986),  as described in U.S. EPA (1988b), to
predict emissions from a landfill site.  It assumes that emissions from the landfill (in g/m2/second)
are described by:
              _
                        , a T'ซ
where:
       a      =      - -                                                  (2.2.2)
                         p(l-E)/K
                                   as
       Kas    =      41 HC/KD                                                       (2.2.3)
                                             75

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-------
and:
       D.     =      the molecular diffusivity of contaminant vapo"r in air (cm/second),
       Cso    =      the initial contaminant concentration in the soil (g/g),
       E      =      effective porosity of soil (unitless),
       HC     =      Henry's law constant (atm m3 / mol),
       ps     =      true density of soil (g/cm3),
       KQ     =      the soil/water partition coefficient (cm3/g),
       K     =      the air/soil partition coefficient (mg/cm3 in  air per mg/g in-soil),
         as
                                                              2,
       N     =      rate of emissions from the soil surface (g/irr/sec), and
         a
       T      -      duration of exposure (sec).

       U.S EPA (1988b) used a numerical solution of a partial differential equation to determine
the reduction in volatile emissions that would be expected following the addition of a soil layer to
the top of a landfill. For a 10 to 25 centimeter soil cover, EPA estimated that emission rates were
reduced by 75 to 80 percent, given a contaminated layer thickness of 8 feet.  It is here assumed that
municipal landfills apply such a cover, and that emissions are reduced by 75 percent.
                                                                           >
       As shown in Table 2.2.B, organic carbon partition coefficients for TCDD and TCDF are
assumed to be 1 x 107 and 3.5 x 104 respectively. The contents of the landfill are (conservatively)
assumed to be only one percent organic carbon, resulting in KQ estimates of only 1 x 105 and 350 for
TCDD and TCDF respectively. For TCDD, the K.Q estimate is further reduced to correspond to the
lowest reported partition coefficient  between TCDD in  paper and in liquid or about 2,000  g/g
(NCASI, 1984).  After adjustment for a 10 to 25 centimeter cover layer, Equations 2.2.1 through
2.2.3 predict emissions at the rate of 2 x 10~17 and 9 x 10"16 for TCDD and TCDF respectively.

       As a conservative estimate of ambient air concentrations of these  contaminants  near the
landfill, a box  model (U.S. EPA, 1988b) is used to estimate concentrations of contaminant in air
above the site:
       Ca    =	                                                        (2.2.4)
                     LS V MH
                                              78

-------
where:
       Q      =      total emissions from site (g/sec),
       C      =      the ambient air concentration  of TCDD or TCDF at the exposure location
                     (g/m3),
       LS     =      an equivalent side length of the site perpendicular to the wind (m),
       MH    =      the mixing height before being inhaled by an individual (m), and
       V      =      the average wind speed at the inhalation height (m/s).

       U.S.  EPA (1988c)  reports that 95  percent of all municipal landfills are less than  100 acres
(41  hectares) hectares in area.  This  analysis considers a  landfill of 41  hectares, represented as a
square of width 640 meters. If the average wind velocity at the site is 4.5 meters per second, then
the mixing volume of air within 1.5 meters height above the site (the denominator in Equation 2.1.4)
is about 4,290 cubic meters per second. Given total emissions of TCDD and TCDF of 2 x  10"17 and
9 x 10"16 grams per second from the landfill area, the box model predicts ambient air concentrations
of about 3 x  10"12 and 9  x 10"11 mg/m3.  Based on assumed inhalation rates of 23 m3 per day of
outdoor air directly above  the landfill site, these concentrations would result in upper bound cancer
risks beneath 10"6. Because the risks to a most exposed individual for this very conservative "high
risk" scenario are low, "best estimate" and "low risk" estimates of risks to both the  most exposed
individual and to average  exposed individuals have not been derived.

2.2.2   Groundwater Pathway

       Landfill disposal of paper or paperboard containing TCDD and TCDF may result  in human
exposure and risk if these contaminants  migrate  from the landfill to groundwater, and are then
transported to nearby drinking water wells.  Potential human exposure from a given landfill will
depend on:

       •      the concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in the paper products,
       •      the amount of bleached paper or paperboard placed in the landfill, relative to other
              waste sources,
       •      the total composition  of the landfill's  waste stream (the presence of solvents, for
              example, might increase the mobility of TCDD and TCDF from paper products),
       •      landfill characteristics, including dimensions,
              landfill management practices, including the use of liners and leachate collection
              systems,
                                           79

-------
              local weather patterns and hydrogeology, and
              the location of nearby drinking water wells (if any).
Methods
       This analysis derives a conservative estimate for possible human health risks associated with
TCDD and  TCDF migrating from paper  in municipal landfills.  As shown in Table 2.2.A, the
fraction of  landfilled municipal solid  waste  that can be  expected  to consist  of  paper  products
containing TCDD and TCDF is first estimated from assumptions about paper products as a fraction
of landfilled waste, and data describing bleached kraft paper products as a fraction of total  paper
production.    Second, estimated concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in the landfill are used to
estimate maximum  expected concentrations of TCDD or TCDF in leachate leaving  each landfill.
Third, the AT123D model is used to estimate the extent to  which these concentrations are likely to
be reduced before the contaminants can  be transported through groundwater to drinking water wells.
Details of these calculations are presented  in Table 2.2.C.

       NCASI  (1987b)  has estimated  partition coefficients describing  equilibrium  relationships
between TCDD and TCDF concentrations in paper and expected concentrations  in several solvents,
including  water. Of these, the lowest measured coefficients for both contaminants are observed for
a eight percent solution of ethanol.  NCASI found that the equilibrium concentration  of TCDD and
TCDF in  an ethanol solution in contact with paper to be  at least 2,000  times lower than the dry
weight concentrations for  these two contaminants in the paper. Assuming that sufficient quantities
of ethanol (or equivalent solvents) are available  in the typical landfill, and that water (and solvent)
percolating  through the landfill have sufficient time  to reach equilibrium  concentrations before
leaving the landfill, yields  maximum expected leachate concentrations of 2 x 10   ng/1 of TCDD and
2 x 10"2 ng/1 of TCDF,  as a result  of paper product wastes.

       Before human exposure can take place,  contaminated water  leaving the landfill must pass
through any existing soil layers between the landfill and the water table, must enter an aquifer, and
must  be transported down-gradient to  a receptor  well.  As in Section 2.1.2, this analysis uses the
AT123D model to estimate the extent to which contaminant concentrations will be reduced before
reaching a nearby well.

       U.S. EPA (1988c)  reports that 95 percent of all municipal landfills are  less than  100 acres
(41 hectares) in area.  If  leachate  from the landfill contains TCDD and TCDF at  the maximum
concentrations just  estimated, a 100 acre landfill site with  43 cm/year of recharge would release a
maximum loading of 2 x 10"11 kg/hour of TCDD and 1 x 10"10 kg/hour of TCDF to  an underlying
                                              80

-------
                Table 2.2.C. Estimation of Maximum Human Exposure and Health Risks
                From Landfilling of Paper Product Wastes Containing TCDD and TCDF
                                                   TCDD              TCDF              Notes
Max. concentration in paper (ng/kg):                      36                 333                 (a)
Est. average concentration in MSW (ng/kg):                 4                  36                 (b)

Kp = partition coefficient for 8% ethanol (cm3/g):     > 2,000               2,000                 (c)
Max. equilibrium cone, in leachate (ug/1):             2 x  10"6            2 x 10"5                 (d)

Max. contaminant loading to aquifer (kg/hr):        2 x  10"11            1 x 10"10                 (e)
Max. contaminant cone, at 200 meters (mg/1):        1 x  10"13            1 x 10"12
Max. individual exposure (mg/kg/day):              3 x  10"15            3 x 10"14                 (g)

Max. individual exposure
(TCDD equivalent, mg/kg/day):                    6 x  10"15                                    (h)
Percent TCDD:
Human cancer slope factor (mg/kg/day"1):
Maximum individual risk (lifetime" ):
50
2.7 x 105
2 x 1
-------
aquifer.  For a hypothetical landfill of 410 meters width and length (100 acres), and for an aquifer
with characteristics described by the "high risk" scenario in Table 2.2.D, the AT123D model can
estimate  well concentrations at 200 meters from the edge of the facility.  Results  are included  in
Table 2.2.C.  As shown in the table, these water concentrations suggest  a total TCDD equivalent
human dose of about 6 x 10"15 mg/kg/day.  These exposure estimates  apply  to a most exposed
individual (MEI) drinking water for an entire lifetime from a well 200 meters from a landfill site,
and are equivalent to upper bound individual cancer risks of 2 x 10"9, of which about 50 percent is
attributable to TCDD.

2.2.3  Summary of Results

       Tables 2.2.E and 2.2.F summarize risk estimates for the disposal of waste  paper in municipal
landfills. Based on the above calculations, TCDD and TCDF in waste paper products do not appear
to result in significant risks  to  human health when received  by municipal  landfills.   Using
conservative assumptions, Section 2.2.1 estimated that maximum cancer risks to human health from
the volatilization of TCDD and TCDF from municipal landfills would be expected to be lower than
1 x 10"6  for a most exposed individual who lives 24 hours per day on the down-wind edge of the
landfill.  Risks from groundwater contamination appear to be lower still, with  cancer risks to the
MEI of  less than  1  x 10"8.  From  these results,  which are based on  consistently conservative
assumptions, it appears that human health risks from TCDD and TCDF in paper products disposed
in landfills do not warrant concern.
                                              82

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                             REFERENCES FOR SECTION 2.2


Arthur D. Little Inc. (1987). Exposure and Risk Assessment of TCDD and in Bleached Kraft Paper
       Products, Prepared for the U.S. EPA Office of Water Regulations and Standards, Washington,
       DC, Contract No. 68-01-6951, June.

Bowers, J.F. et al. (1980). Industrial Source Complex (ISC) Dispersion Model User's Guide
       (Vol. 1). PB80-133044.  U.S. EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC.

Freeze R.A., and Cherry, J.A. (1979). Groundwater.  Prentice Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

Hwang, S.T.  (1982).  Toxic Emissions from Land Disposal Facilities.   Environmental  Progress.
       1:46-52.  February.

Hwang  and Falco (1986).  Estimation of Multimedia  Exposures Related  to Hazardous  Waste
       Facilities.  In: Cohen, Y.,  ed. Pollutants in a Multimedia Environment.  Plenum Publishing
       Co. New York, NY.

MacKay,  D., and Yeun, A. (1983).  Mass transfer coefficient  correlations for volatilization of
       organic solutes from water.  Environmental  Science and Technology.  17:211-217.

National Council of the Paper Industry for Air and Stream Improvement (NCASI) (1984). The Land
       Application and Related Utilization of Pulp and Paper Mill Sludges. National Council of the
       Paper Industry for Air and Stream Improvement,  Technical Bulletin No. 439,  New York,
       August.

National Council of the Paper  Industry for  Air and  Stream Improvement (NCASI)  (1987).
       Assessment of Potential Health Risks from  Dermal Exposure to TCDD in Paper Products.
       Technical Bulletin No. 534, November, 1987.

Neal, H.A. (1987). Solid Waste Management and the Environment: the Mounting Garbage and Trash
       Crisis. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

Podoll, R.T., Jaber, H.M., and Mill, T. (1986). Tetrachlorodibenzodioxin: rates of volatilization and
       photolysis in the  environment.  Environ. Sci. Technol. 20(5): 490-2.

Springer, C., P.D. Lunney, and K..T. Valsaraj (1984).  Emission of Hazardous Chemical for Surface
       and Near Surface Impoundments to Air. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Solid and
       Hazardous Waste  Research Division.  Cincinnati OH.  Project Number 808161-02, pp. 3-4 to
       3-16.  December.

U.S. EPA (1985).  Summary of Data on Industrial Non-Hazardous Waste Disposal Practices.  Office
       of Solid Waste and Emergency Response, Washington, DC.  December.

U.S. EPA (1987c). Exposure and Risk Assessment of TCDD in Bleached Kraft Paper Products.
       Prepared for the  Office of Water Regulations and  Standards by Arthur  D. Little, Inc. U.S.
       EPA Contract No. 68-01-6951. June.

U.S. EPA (1988a). Characterization of Municipal  Solid Waste in the United States, 1960 to 2000
       (Update 1988). Office of Solid Waste and Emergency Response, EPA 530-SW-88-033, NTIS
       PB88-232780, Washington, March.

U.S. EPA (1988c). Report to Congress: Solid  Waste  Disposal in the United States, Volume 1, April.
                                             87

-------
U.S.  EPA (1989).  104-Mill Study data. Office of Water Regulations and Standards, July 26, 1989
       version.

Yeh, G.T. (1981).  AT123D: Analytical Transport One-, Two-, and Three-Dimensional Simulation
       of Waste Transport in the Aquifer System. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental
       Sciences Division, Publication  No. 1439. March.

-------
2.3    Exposure and Risk from Disposal of Pulp and Paper Sludge in Surface Impoundments


       Surface impoundments are defined as facilities in which sludgeJYom pulp and paper mills is
stored or disposed on land without a cover layer of soil.  For this analysis, it is assumed that sludge

contained in such facilities is of higher moisture content than the sludge deposited in landfills, at least

in the active phase of the surface impoundment. Twenty facilities in the 104-Mill Study (U.S. EPA,

1989c) report using surface impoundments for their sludge. These facilities receive an estimated

600,000 tons of pulp and paper mill sludge per year, with TCDD concentrations that average about

501 TCDD and 2,087 ppt TCDF. Maximum reported concentrations are 3,800 for TCDD and  17,100

for TCDF.


       This analysis estimates human exposure to TCDD and TCDF through four exposure pathways

associated with surface impoundments:


       •      Volatilized TCDD and TCDF are emitted from the impoundment surface. These are
              transported downwind to nearby areas. Humans inhale the contaminated ambient air,
              and are exposed.

       •      Contaminants from sludge placed in the impoundment are dissolved in water seeping
              through the bottom of the facility. Contaminated water enters an aquifer beneath the
              impoundment, and flows down-gradient to drinking water wells.  Humans withdraw
              drinking water from  the contaminated aquifer and are exposed.

       •      Surface runoff carries particles of sludge from the surface of the impoundment to a
              nearby lake or stream. TCDD and TCDF adsorbed to these particles enter the surface
              water body, and is released to surface water. Humans withdraw surface water for
              drinking and are exposed.

       •      Surface runoff carries particles of sludge from the surface of the impoundment to a
              nearby lake or stream, where the particles are suspended or settle to bottom sediment.
              Fish absorb and bioconcentrate TCDD and TCDF from the sludge particles. Humans
              ingest the fish, and are exposed.
Estimation of human  exposure and  health  risks  through these pathways  requires additional

assumptions regarding  site characteristics and other parameters; Table 2.3.A lists some  of  the

assumptions used for the typical analysis, while Table 2.3.B lists those used in the MEI analysis. Each

of the four exposure pathways listed above will be considered individually in Sections 2.3.1 through
2.3.4. Results will be discussed  in Section 2.3.5.


2.3.1  Estimates of Exposure and Risk from Inhalation of Vapors


       As discussed in  Section 2.1.1, volatilized TCDD and TCDF may be  emitted from sludge or

contaminated soil in a  landfill,  and can  pass through the pore  spaces in a soil cover.  Volatile
                                          89

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emissions from surface impoundments differ in that they are assumed to be emitted from a liquid
surface.  Modeling  potential  exposure  to TCDD and TCDF vapor from  surface impoundments
involves two steps. First, one  must estimate the rate at which each contaminant is emitted from the
surface of an impoundment facility.  Second, one must determine how wind transport of emitted
contaminants will affect ambient air concentrations in surrounding areas.

Methods for Estimating Volatile Emissions from Surface Impoundments

       Several authors have proposed methods for estimating emissions from liquids contained in
surface impoundments.  Common to most methodologies is the use of a two-layer resistance model
to estimate volatile emissions from a liquid surface (Liss and Slater, 1974; Hwang, 1982;  Farino et
al., 1982; MacKay, 1985).  In  general, the methodologies assume that emissions occur by molecular
diffusion through non-turbulent, viscous sublayers on either side of the air/liquid interface, and that
these two films form the dominant resistances to mass  transfer across the interface. If background
contaminant concentrations in ambient air are negligible, then emissions (in grams per second) can
be described by the equation:

       Q      =      KL A C                                                        (2.3.1)

where:

       1              1             RT
       —    =      —    +      —                                               (2.3.2)
       K..            k,            Hk~
         L             L              b
and:
       Q      =      mass flux from the impoundment (g/sec),
       A      =      area of the impoundment (cm2),
       C      =      contaminant concentration (g/cm3),
       H      =      Henry's law constant  (atm-m3/mol),
       kG     =      the exchange rate for the  air-viscous sublayer (cm/sec),
       k,      =      the exchange rate for the  liquid-viscous sublayer (cm/sec),
       K".     =      overall liquid to air mass transfer coefficient (cm/sec),
       R      =      universal gas  constant (8.2 x 10~5 atm-m3/mol-ฐK),  and
       T      =      absolute temperature  (ฐK).
                                            96

-------
       As described by Equation 2.3.1, the total rate of emissions from an impoundment can be
derived as the product of an  overall liquid-to-air mass transfer  coefficient, the area of the
impoundment, and the concentration of contaminant in the impoundment.  The two terms on the
right side of Equation 2.3.2 describe resistance to contaminant transfer across the liquid and gaseous
sublayers, respectively.

       Although use of the two-layer resistance model (Equations 2.3.1 and 2.3.2) is well established,
methods differ for estimating kL and kQ.  Several mathematical expressions have been derived for
estimating these constants; they differ by the units of measure used, by assumptions concerning the
type of surface impoundment involved, and by the inclusion of different theoretical considerations.

       The U.S. EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards has developed  a mathematical
model, CHEMDAT7, to estimate air emissions  from hazardous waste treatment, storage and disposal
facilities (U.S. EPA 1989b).  In preparing  their model, they reviewed available methodologies for
estimating kL and kQ, and selected appropriate expressions for each type of surface impoundment and
set of conditions. For quiescent impoundments, with average wind speeds of greater than 3.25 m/sec
and for which the ratio of width:depth  exceeds 51:1, they use the following equations:
Liquid phase (from Springer et al., 1984)
                     2.6llxlO-7U102(Du/Dether]
                           2/3
                                                                (2.3.3)
Gas phase (from MacKay and Matasuga in Hwang, 1985)
                     0.0958 Uฐ-
                                                                (2.3.4)
where:
       D
        'ether
       D
       '
diffusivity of the contaminant in air (cm2/s),
effective diameter of the impoundment (m),
diffusivity of ether in water (8.5 x 10"6 cm2/s),
diffusivity of the contaminant in water (cm2/s),
density of air (1.2 x 10"3 g/cm3),
Schmidt number on gas side,
                                         97

-------
       UG     =      viscosity of air (1.81 x 10"4 g/cm-s), and
       U1Q    =      wind speed at 10 m above liquid surface (m/s).
This analysis follows the methods selected by U.S. EPA (1989b), and uses Equations 2.3.3 and 2.3.4
to estimate kL for Equation 2.3.1.

       Estimation of emissions (Q in Equation 2.3.1) requires additional assumptions for estimating
the  dissolved concentration of TCDD and TCDF.   For  example, concentrations of dissolved
contaminant may vary with depth in the lagoon or over time.  If the contents of the impoundment
are  well mixed,  if sludge is deposited only once, and if no contaminant is lost to other loss processes,
then the concentration of TCDD in the impoundment will diminish as a result of continued emissions,
according to the equation:

       Ct     =      CQ exp(-KLt/L)

If sludge is instead  deposited regularly in the  impoundment,  then the dissolved concentrations of
TCDD and TCDF may remain constant or increase.  Unfortunately, sufficient data are not at  this
time available  for  detailed, site-specific modeling  of the time  path of dissolved contaminant
concentrations in existing pulp and paper sludge impoundments. This analysis therefore attempts to
approximate concentration and emission estimates based on idealized scenarios.

       For a "high" estimate of potential exposure and risk, it is assumed that the impoundment is
well mixed, with regular additions of sludge containing TCDD and TCDF in known (dry weight)
concentrations.  It is assumed that TCDD and TCDF are partitioned at equilibrium between adsorbed
and dissolved phases in the impoundment.  Define:

                     Mcs + Mcu
       CDW
                       Ms
       cu
                      My

                     MM
                     MSMCW
                                             98

-------
where:
       CQU    =      concentration (dry weight) of contaminant in sludge (ug/g)
       Cy     =      concentration of contaminant in liquid (ug/cm3)
       K0     =      soil/water partition coefficient for contaminant (cm3/g)
       Mcs    =      mass of adsorbed contaminant in impoundment (ug)
       MCU    *      mass of dissolved contaminant in impoundment (ug)
       MS     =      mass of solid contents in impoundment (g)
       MU     =      mass of liquid in  impoundment (g)
       PL     =      percent liquid in  lagoon (g/g) = 1-PS
       PS     =ป      percent solids in lagoon (g/g)


From these equations it follows that:
For all values of PL and PS, Cw should not exceed:

                      CDW
       Cu     =      	                            .                             (2.3.5)
                       K0

       Given the high values of KD estimated for TCDD and TCDF, Equation 2.3.5 should provide
a reasonable approximation of  Cw for  values of PL likely to  be  encountered  in  actual lagoons.
Substituting into Equation 2.3.1  yields estimated emissions at time  zero:
                     KL CDW A
Methods for Estimating Wind Transport of Volatile Emissions
                                                                                   (2.3.6)
       Once TCDD or TCDF vapor is emitted from a surface impoundment, it can be transported
downwind to nearby residents, resulting in potential human exposure and health risks. As in Section
2.1.1, this analysis uses  a Gaussian plume dispersion model to estimate the extent to which air
                                             99

-------
concentrations of TCDD and TCDF will be reduced in the process of wind transport.  Calculations
are performed by the area source version of the ISCLT (Industrial Source Complex, Long Term)
model (Bowers e~t. al, 1980) maintained in the Graphical Exposure Modeling System, or GEMS (U.S.
EPA, 1989a).

       The area source version of the model estimates ambient air concentrations at selected locations
in a polar grid centered on an area source of emissions and extending 50 kilometers  in all directions.
It  then  maps those air concentrations  onto actual human populations for the regions involved.
Population data are drawn from the 1980 Census, mapped to the level of Census block group and
enumeration district. In addition to its simulation of contaminant dispersion in the plume downwind
of a landfill site, the model also considers losses of contaminant due to photolysis  and other first-
order decay  processes.

       ISCLT performs site-specific exposure calculations for each surface impoundment site under
consideration. Because specific information required  to estimate emissions of TCDD and TCDF to
air at each site  was not available, all sites in the inventory are assumed to be of identical size, to
contain sludge  with the same concentrations of TCDD and TCDF,  to use the  same management
practices, and to emit contaminants at identical  rates.  As  in Section 2.1.1, these assumptions vary
between "best estimate" and "high risk"  estimates, but  are applied consistently across  all facilities.
                                                                      .    *
Methods for Estimating Human Exposure and Risk
       Based on estimated concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in ambient air, individual exposure
and cancer risk are calculated by:

       I      =      ED q*

where:
                     Cn I
                     	H
         D     =
                       BW LE
and:
       BW    =      average body weight (assumed to be 70 kg),
       CD     =      estimated air concentration at distance D (mg/m3),
       ED     =      average  lifetime  individual exposure  for  person  residing at distance  D
                     (mg/kg/day),
       F.     =      fraction of contaminant absorbed from inhaled air  (unitless, assumed to be
                     1.0),
                                             100

-------
       IH      =      volume of air inhaled daily (assumed to be 23 m3/day, after U.S. EPA, 1985),
       IRD     =      lifetime individual cancer risk for person residing at distance D (lifetime"1),
       LE     =      life expectancy (assumed to be 70 years),
       LF     =      number of years of exposure per lifetime (assumed to be 70 years/lifetime),
                     and
       q*     -      cancer slope factor for TCDD or TCDF (mg/kg/day)"1.
ISCLT provides estimates of population-weighted average concentrations of the TCDD or TCDF in
ambient air surrounding all landfill  facilities.  Aggregate cancer risks are calculated with the
following expression:

                     CAVE 'H FA LF
       EAVE   =
                       BW LE
                          *
       RT     =      EAVEq  POP/LE
where:
       CAVE   =      average air concentration of contaminant, computed by weighting each level
                     of contaminant concentration by the number of persons exposed to that level
                     (mg/m3)
       EAVE   ป      population-weighted average exposure for all persons living within 50 km of
                     a pulp and paper sludge landfill (mg/kg/day)
       POP   =      total exposed population
       RT     =      aggregate cancer risk for exposed population (incremental cancer cases/year)

and all other variables are as described above.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Vapor Emissions from Surface Impoundments

       Table 2.3.C lists assumptions and input parameters used for estimating typical exposure to
vapor emissions from sludge surface impoundments, while Table 2.3.D lists those used for estimating
MEI exposures. Fronuthe highest reported sludge concentrations of 3,800 ng/kg TCDD and 17,100
ng/kg TCDF, combined with KD values (from  foc=0.14)  of  1.4  x 106  cm3/g and 5 x 103 cm3/g,
Equation 2.3.5 yields uppet-bound-dissolved concentrations of 3 ng/m3 TCDD and 3 x  103 ng/m3
TCDF in the impoundment.  These estimates, together with the values of KL derived in Equations
                                         101

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103

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2.3.2 through 2.3.4 above, show that rates of TCDD emissions from a sludge surface impoundment
are unlikely to exceed 1  x 10~14 g/m2/sec; rates of TCDF emissions are unlikely to exceed 1 x 10
"11 g/m2/sec.  These rates are about two orders of magnitude higher than  those calculated for an
uncovered  landfill in Section 2.1.1.  They suggest that approximately 0.2  percent of each year's
loading of TCDD and 44 percent of each year's loading of TCDF would volatilize each year from a
"worst case" impoundment, if the initial water concentrations could be maintained at levels suggested
by Equation 2.3.5.

       For comparison,  Podoll et al. (1986), estimates a volatilization half-life of 32 days for TCDD
in a pond of 200 cm depth. This estimate is based on a version of the two-phase  resistance model
proposed by Smith  et al. (1981), and ignores the effects of possible adsorption of TCDD to solid
particles  in the pond.  With a half-life of 32 days, more that 99.9 percent of the contaminant would
volatilize within one year, suggesting an average rate of emissions of 7 x 10"12 g/m2/sec for a pond
receiving 91,250 Mg/year of sludge at a concentration of 3,800 ng/kg. Similarly, a volatilization half
life of 12-14 hours  can be estimated for TCDF, using the CHEMEST routines available in GEMS.
Based  on these  estimates,  a  75 acre  pond receiving 91,250 Mg/year of sludge with  a TCDF
concentration of 17,100 ng/kg would emit 3  x 10"11 g/m2/sec of TCDF.  These estimates are
considerably higher than the ones derived above, but ignore the extent to which adsorption would
limit emissions.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Wind Transport

       Most  inputs for  the ISCLT model were obtained from  data bases accessed automatically
through GEMS.  To run  the model, GEMS must be supplied with latitude and longitude coordinates
for each town containing a sludge landfill. Based on the assumption that each of three impoundments
at an  average site covers 24.5 to 50 hectares, each site accounts for a total of 74 to 150 hectares  of
area (U.S.  EPA, 1985).   These areas can be idealized  by a square of width 857 meters (for "best
estimate scenarios), and of 1,225 meters (for "high risk" scenarios). Site locations are represented by
latitude and longitude coordinates for the town listed in the 104-Mill Study for each mill reporting
the use of a surface impoundment. Meteorological data are taken from the weather station nearest
to each site location, and are accessed through GEMS.

       As discussed in Section 2.1.1, current literature reports atmospheric half lives for TCDD that
range from a lower bound of 58 minutes to several days. "Best estimate" calculations for this pathway
assume a atmospheric half life of 3 days for TCDD, high risk estimates assume that atmospheric losses
are insignificant. Results from ISCLT suggest that the times of wind transport to exposed populations
within 50 km of known surface impoundment sites range from about 10 minutes to four hours, with
                                            104

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a population-weighted average of about 42 minutes. If the atmospheric half-life of TCDD is indeed
three days,  then  losses  over  this time interval  will be relatively small.   The ISCLT model, as
implemented in GEMS, estimates that approximately 7 million persons live within 50 km of a surface
impoundment site.

2.3.2 Estimating  Exposure and Risk from Ingestion of Drinking Water from Groundwater Sources

       If TCDD  and TCDF are dissolved in water that  seeps from the bottom of a surface
impoundment, then these contaminants may be transported to an aquifer beneath the facility. If they
are then transported down-gradient by groundwater, then they may reach drinking water wells near
the site. Humans who ingest water withdrawn from those wells may be exposed to TCDD and TCDF
in their drinking water, and are potentially exposed to health risks. This section outlines the methods
used by this analysis to assess the extent of that potential exposure and risk.

Methods for Estimating Seepage Beneath a Surface Impoundment
       Estimation of potential groundwater contamination from surface impoundments is similar to
that from landfills, with one important difference.  If a surface impoundment contains a significant
volume of water, drainage from the pond may result in increased recharge and contaminant loading
to the underlying aquifer.  The extent to which the downward flux of  water  beneath a site is
increased by water from the impoundment will depend on:

       •      the amount of water in the impoundment,
       •      whether a natural or synthetic liner is present,
       •      whether the water content of the impoundment is periodically restored
              by additional deposits of sludge,
       •      the extent to which the solids layer on the bottom of the impoundment
              inhibits  water flux out of the impoundment,  and
       •      the hydraulic conductivity of the medium between the impoundment
              and the water table.

       Of course, if aquifer recharge beneath an impoundment significantly exceeds the sum of net
precipitation and the annual influx of water from sludge, then the impoundment will soon dry out.
A sustained and substantial increase in groundwater recharge beneath  an  impoundment therefore
requires repeated  additions of water to an active impoundment.

       Movement of TCDD (and to a lesser extent TCDF) through soil  is retarded  by its  high
soil/water partition coefficient, as discussed in Section  2.1.2. Given a significant soil layer between

                                         105

-------
the impoundment and the water table, steady-state loadings of these contaminants to groundwater
beneath an impoundment may not be reached until many years after the sludge is last placed in the
facility.  If  the  active lifetime of the impoundment ends  before TCDD and  TCDF reach the
underlying aquifer, then the water content of a surface impoundment may not result in appreciable
increases in the peak or "steady state" loading of sludge contaminants to the aquifer.

       Ideally, groundwater contamination beneath a surface impoundment could be  modeled
separately for the active phase of the impoundment (during which sludge is regularly added to the
impoundment  and the liquid content of the impoundment  is  maintained or  increased), and the
inactive phase of the impoundment (during which no further sludge is added, and  the liquid content
is decreasing or is at equilibrium with precipitation less evaporation). For lack of sufficient data, the
present analysis does not attempt to model  these two periods separately, nor to quantify the exact
extent  to which water in an impoundment  will increase recharge (and contaminant  loading) to an
underlying aquifer.   Instead,  it bounds  exposure and risk  estimates between  two  extreme
assumptions. The first ("high risk") version  assumes that aquifer recharge  beneath an impoundment
exceeds net precipitation throughout the exposure period.  It assumes the absence of synthetic or
natural liners,  and that the water in the impoundment is regularly replenished by the disposal of
additional sludge.  Such a  scenario might occur, for  example, where an impoundment is used for
several decades,  and where accumulating sludge  is  occasionally dredged from the  bottom of the
impoundment.

       The second scenario assumes that the impoundment will be inactive during the period in
which  maximum loading of TCDD and TCDF to the aquifer takes place.  If so,  then the resulting
loading to groundwater can be calculated  with methods  identical  to  those  used to  estimate
groundwater contamination beneath sludge landfills.  "Best" estimates of exposure  and risk are based
on results from SESOIL simulations  similar to those  described in Section 2.1.2.  Assumptions and
input parameters for both approaches are listed in Table 2.3.E for the typical exposure assessment,
and in  Table 2.3.F for the  MEI exposure assessment.

Contaminant Concentrations in Seepage Beneath an Impoundment

       Contaminant concentrations in a surface impoundment are likely to vary with depth and the
age of the impoundment; dissolved concentrations may be highest at the bottom of the impoundment,
where  sludge has settled and the solids are concentrated.  As an upper-bound  estimate of water
concentrations at the bottom of the impoundment, this analysis follows an approach similar to the
one outlined in Section 2.1.2, and assumes that concentrations are unlikely to exceed values suggested
by the  ratio:
                                            106

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              Max Cw =     — -
              KD     =     KOC fOC

where:
       Cw     ป      the concentration of contaminant in impoundment liquid (ug/ml),
       CDU   •=      the dry weight concentration of contaminant in sludge (ug/g),
       KD     =      soil/water partition coefficient for contaminant (cm3/g)
       K.QC    =      organic carbon partition coefficient  for the contaminant (cm3/g)
       foc     =      fraction of organic carbon in sludge (unitless)

       As an alternative approach, it  is reasoned that TCDD and TCDF from a typical surface
impoundment may not reach the aquifer during the active lifetime of the facility.  If so, then long
term loadings of TCDD and TCDF may be better modeled based on the assumption that the surface
impoundment has lost its excess moisture and behaves as a soil column similar to those modeled in
Section 2.1.2 for landfills. The SESOIL model allows a more comprehensive approach to contaminant
transport through soil layers. The model considers monthly climate data, and maintains a  mass
balance for contaminant transport through multiple soil layers. "Best estimates" of potential human
exposure and risks through the groundwater pathway, are derived by using the SESOIL model to
simulate TCDD and TCDF transport to the aquifer once steady state conditions have been reached
in the unsaturated zone.  SESOIL simultaneously estimates movement of TCDD and TCDF from the
landfill to both groundwater and ambient air. Loadings to groundwater are proportional to assumed
recharge beneath the landfill. A value  of 43 centimeters recharge per year has been selected based
on GEMS data for a county in Wisconsin.

Using AT123D to Predict Contaminant Transport through the  Aquifer

       From estimated loadings of TCDD and TCDF to  groundwater, the AT123D  model  (Yeh,
1980) can be used to predict contaminant concentrations at wells down-gradient of each site. As
with landfills, this analysis  considers only the "steady state" concentrations predicted by the model,
without regard to the amount of time required to reach steady state.
                                        113

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Methods for Estimating Human Exposure and Individual Risk

       Based on assumed rates of individual water ingestion per day, exposure over an entire
lifetime, and rates of absorption of TCDD and TCDF from drinking water, individual exposure and
cancer risk can be calculated by:

              ED     -
              !ซ     -
where:
       BU     =      average body weight (assumed to be 70 kg)
       CD     =      estimated water concentration at distance D (mg/1)
       ED     =      average lifetime individual exposure (mg/kg/day)
       FA     =      fraction of contaminant absorbed from ingested water (unitless)
       IRD     =      lifetime individual cancer risk (lifetime"1)
       q*     =      cancer slope factor for TCDD or TCDF (mg/kg/day)'1
       W      =      amount of water consumed daily (liters)

Exposure and risk are estimated separately for persons taking drinking water at each of the three-
model distances from a surface impoundment site. Maximum exposure and risk is assumed to occur
at the nearest well location.

Methods for Estimating Sizes of Exposed Populations

       The sizes of populations  potentially exposed to drinking water contaminated  by surface
impoundments are estimated with the same  methods discussed in Section 3.4 for landfills.  For each
surface impoundment site, data from FRDSPWS were combined with data from the National Well
Water Association, the Statistical Abstracts, and some assumptions about site and plume sizes to
derive rough estimates of the number of persons likely to take drinking water from wells down-
gradient of each site. Examination of FRDSPWS data reveals that the density of persons using
groundwater in counties with surface impoundments is about 50 percent lower, on average, than the
corresponding average density in counties with landfills.
                                            114

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Data Sources and; Model  Inputs for Estimating  the  Rates  of Water Seepage Beneath  Surface
Impoundments

       U.S. EPA (1987c) examined seepage rates beneath municipal wastewater lagoons, and found
that a sludge layer on the bottom of a lagoon can decrease the hydraulic conductivity of soils beneath
the lagoon by one to two orders of magnitude.  Based on measured seepage rates beneath lagoons
built above a variety of soil media, they selected a range of 0.1 to 0.3  in/day (3 x  10"6 to 9 x 10"6
cm/sec) as representative of seepage rates beneath municipal wastewater lagoons.  The extent to
which this range might also apply to  impoundments receiving pulp and paper sludge is unknown.

       Tables 2.3.E and 2.3.F list the assumptions and parameter values used to estimate  rates of
water seepage beneath an impoundment.  For "high risk"  exposure estimates, it is assumed  that the
medium underlying the impoundment is composed of silty sand, with hydraulic conductivity of 1 x
10"3  cm/sec (Freeze and Cherry, 1979) and  effective porosity of 0.25 (Yeh,  1981).  It is further
assumed that the sludge layer on the bottom of the impoundment reduces seepage to 1 x 10"5 cm/sec,
a value just beyond the upper end of the range established for municipal wastewater lagoons.  By
combining these assumptions with an assumed  net precipitation of 43 cm per year (a value  taken
from the CLIMATE data base in GEMS  for a  relatively  high  rainfall  area in  Wisconsin),  one can
estimate  that the impoundment will lose about 3 meters of water per year, so  that an  inactive
impoundment of 3-9 meters depth would drain completely within 1 to 3 years.

       For a  "best estimate"  of seepage beneath an  impoundment, it  is  assumed  that  the
impoundment is no longer active when TCDD and TCDF eventually reach the aquifer beneath  a site.
Recharge to groundwater  beneath the site is  estimated  based on monthly weather data from a
weather station in Wisconsin.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Contaminant Concentrations in Seepage Beneath an
Impoundment

       The  "high  risk" estimate  is  based  on the  highest  reported  dry  weight  contaminant
concentrations among mills in the 104-Mill Study  that use surface impoundments: 3800 ng/kg for
TCDD, and 17,100 ng/kg for TCDF.  Best estimate calculations use concentrations of 501 and 2087
ng/kg,  respectively. Parameter values listed in  Tables 2.3.E and 2.3.F are used to estimate  that the
yearly loading of TCDD and TCDF to an aquifer beneath 150 acres  of surface  impoundment is
unlikely to exceed about 6 x 10"10 kg/year of TCDD and 7 x 10"7 kg/hour of TCDF. At this rate the
mass of contaminant in a filled impoundment would not be depleted for thousands of years.
                                            115

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Contaminant Transport-through the Aquifer

       Assumed characteristics for the aquifer media beneath surface impoundments are listed in
Tables 2.3.E and 2.3.F. To derive a "high risk" estimate of human exposure, this analysis considers
a productive aquifer composed of sand and gravel with a hydraulic conductivity  of  10 m/hour,
porosity  of 0.25, and organic carbon content of 0.1  percent.   These values of porosity  and
conductivity are within the appropriate ranges reported in Freeze and Cherry (1979). The assumed
value for organic carbon content is deliberately low, to limit the adsorption of TCDD and TCDF to
the solids in the aquifer.  This assumption does not affect steady state concentrations predicted by
AT123D, however.

       Based on these assumptions, together with others listed in Tables 2.3.E and 2.3.F, the AT123D
model provides expected water concentrations in  the aquifer at down-gradient distances of 200,
1,200, and 3,000 meters. This analysis considers only the "steady-state" concentrations predicted by
AT123D. These concentrations may not be reached for hundreds of years after sludge is first placed
in the impoundment.

2.3.3  Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Drinking Water from  Surface Water
       Sources

       The extent  of exposure  and  risks  associated with surface water pathways  for surface
impoundments will  depend on the characteristics of individual surface impoundment sites, and on
management practices used to contain the sludge.  If a facility  is surrounded by a substantial berm,
for example, runoff from the impoundment will be  minimized.  This analysis conservatively assumes
that runoff from an inactive surface impoundment will result  in the same amount of soil transport
from the facility per unit area as estimated for landfills without cover. The methodology presented
in this Section is thus nearly identical to the approach discussed in Section 2.1.3.

       As with  landfills,  if  sludge particles erode from a  surface impoundment then TCDD and
TCDF adsorbed to those particles may be introduced into lakes or streams. If humans consume water
or fish from these lakes or streams, they may be exposed to TCDD and TCDF from the sludge. This
Section discusses methods used to estimate the extent of this potential exposure, and its associated
risks to human health.  The methodology consists of three general steps.  First, based on sludge
concentrations of TCDD  and TCDF, local topography, land use and other factors,  it estimates
contaminant concentrations in sediments, surface  water, and fish. Second, it uses  these estimated
concentrations, assumptions about individual ingestion of drinking water, and assumptions about the
bioavailability and the cancer slope factors for TCDD and TCDF, to estimate individual health risks
                                            116

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for humans potentially exposed.  Third, it combines these results  with  estimates of the size  of
exposed populations to derive estimates of total human health risks to the U.S. population. Each of
these steps will now be discussed.

Methods for Estimating TCDD and TCDF Concentrations in Surface Water

       Details of the methods used for these calculations are presented in Appendix B. In general,
the methods are adapted from U.S. EPA (1985a), and use the Universal Soil Loss Equation, together
with estimates of sediment delivery ratios, to estimate the fraction of a lake or stream's sediment that
originates from the surface impoundment. By multiplying this fraction by the original concentration
of TCDD and TCDF in sludge or soil particles on the surface impoundment surface, the methodology
derives estimates  of the concentration of contaminants in the sediment.  This contaminant load is
then partitioned between adsorbed and dissolved phases, based on the assumption of equilibrium
partitioning between the two phases.

Methods for Estimating Human Dose of TCDD and TCDF from Ingestion of Drinking Water from
Surface Water Sources

       Water concentrations are multiplied by human consumption  of water and a bioavailability
factor to yield the estimated human dose of TCDD or TCDF. This estimated dose is divided by body
weight to derive an estimated dose of contaminant per unit of body  weight per day:

                     cw QW BAซ
       DoseM  =      	
                       BW
where:
       C     =      Concentration of contaminant in water (mg/liter)
        w
       BAH   =      Bioavailability of TCDD or TCDF from ingested water (unitless)
       BW    =      Human body weight (assumed to be 70 kg)
       Qw     =      Individual's consumption of water (liters/day)
       Doseu  =      Dose of contaminant from consumption of water (mg/kg/day)

Methods for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

       The size of the population exposed to contaminated water is estimated by multiplying the
area of the drainage basin above each SMA drainage point by the estimated population density of
that area.  This estimated population is then multiplied by the fraction of the population that takes
its drinking water from surface supplies:

                                         117

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       PEU    =      AR PD PSW
         W            D

where:

       PEW    =      Population exposed to contaminated water
       AB     =      Area of the drainage basin (ha)
       PD     =      Population density for region of surface impoundment (persons/ha)
       PSW   =      Percent  of population served by surface water

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Soil Contaminant Concentrations

       In this analysis, surface impoundments are assumed to be uncovered; reliable data are not at
this time available for management practices at pulp and paper sludge surface impoundments.  For
a surface impoundment without soil cover, initial soil  concentrations are assumed  to equal sludge
concentrations.  "Best estimate and "low risk" calculations for typical individuals use the average
sludge concentration reported for all of the surface impoundments.  "High risk" typical individual
estimates and the MEI scenarios are based on the highest reported sludge concentrations. Sludge
concentrations were taken from the "104-Mill Study" (U.S. EPA, 1989c).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Sediment Contaminant Concentration

       As explained in Appendix B, the parameters necessary to calculate sediment concentration
(before partitioning) from soil concentration are: site area, site sediment delivery ratio, drainage area,
drainage area sediment delivery ratio,  and  the Universal Soil Loss  Equation parameters.

       The soil concentrations are discussed above. The surface impoundment areas are assumed to
be 30 hectares in the typical "low risk" and "best estimate" scenarios  and 60 hectares in the typical
"high risk" and the MEI scenarios.  These areas are suggested by U.S. EPA (1985).

       The  calculation for  the SMA  sediment delivery ratio, as shown above, depends on the
overland distance between the SMA and the water body.  Based on U.S. EPA (1988a), the distance
to surface water is assumed to be 152  meters in the typical "low risk" and "best estimate" scenarios
and 30 meters in the typical "high risk" and MEI scenarios.

       The  watershed sediment delivery ratio is dependant on the  area of the watershed. The  "best
estimate"  and "high risk" typical individual estimate assume the water body  receiving runoff  from
                                             118

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the impoundment site is a major stream with a watershed area of 5,000 square miles. This estimate
is based on U.S. EPA Geographic Exposure Modeling System (GEMS) estimates of drainage area for
major  streams (U.S. EPA,  I989c).  The "low risk"  typical individual estimate  assumes that the
receiving water body is a smaller tributary with a watershed area of 500 square miles. The watershed
in the  MEI scenarios is assumed to be 10,000 acres (approximately 40 square  miles).   This area
corresponds to a relatively small stream (U.S. EPA 1988a).

       The cover management, "C", and support practice, "P",  variables from the USLE equation are
determined as a ratio of SMA to watershed. This analysis assumes  that surface impoundments are
surrounded by pasture land.  "C"  values on permanent pasture, range,  and idle land range from
approximately 0.3% to 45%, with  an  average  of approximately  10%   (Science and  Education
Administration,  1978).  In other  words, the approximate average soil loss from pasture under
specified conditions is 10 percent of the corresponding loss from clean-tilled, continuous fallow. In
the typical "low risk" and "best estimate" scenarios, the surface impoundments are assumed to be 90
percent covered with vegetation, resulting in a "C" ratio of 1.1:1.  The typical "high risk" and the MEI
scenarios more conservatively assume that the surface impoundments have no vegetative cover. This
assumption results in a "C" ratio  of 10:1.  All scenarios conservatively assume that no support
practices are in place since insufficient information on support practices is available. Therefore the
"P" ratio in all scenarios is 1:1.
                                                                           *
Data Sources  and Model Inputs  for Deriving the Partition Coefficient

       Koc, the partition coefficient between water and organic carbon, is multiplied by the fraction
of organic carbon in the sediment to obtain Kd,  the partition coefficient  between sediment and
water.  The Koc value for TCDD used in this analysis is 1 x 107 (Jackson, 1985 in EPA, 1987c). The
Koc value for TCDF is 3.5 x 104 (CHEMEST procedure in GEMS,  U.S. EPA, I989c).  The organic
carbon content of the sediment  is assumed to  be 0.04 in the "low risk" typical individual estimate,
0.01 in the typical individual and MEI "best estimate", and 0.001  in the "high  risk" typical individual
and MEI estimate (U.S. EPA, 1988a).

Data Sources  and Model Inputs  for Estimating Human Dose

       Individual water consumption is assumed  to be 2 liters per day (U.S. EPA, 1988a).  The
bioavailability of ingested water is assumed to be 100 percent (EPA,  1989c). Other parameter values
used for estimating human dose to TCDD and TCDF from surface  water are listed in Table 2.3.G.
for typical individuals and Table 2.3.H for the most exposed individual.
                                             119

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Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

       The size of the exposed population is estimated by multiplying the watershed area of the
contaminated  stream by  the  average  population  density  of  the regions  in  which  the  surface
impoundments are located. To accurately estimate population exposed on a site-specific basis, it is
necessary to know the stream into which runoff from the impoundment area drains,  the dilution
and dispersion pattern of the contaminant, and the patterns of water withdrawal from the water
body.  In  the absence of this site-specific information, the size  of the  exposed population is
estimated as described below.

       The typical "best  estimate"  scenario assumes  that the receiving  stream  for each  surface
impoundment is a major stream with a 5,000 square mile watershed area. It is further assumed that
the size of the exposed population increases with stream size, and that stream size increases with
drainage area i.e., the larger  the drainage area, the more people are likely to use the stream for a
drinking  water  supply.   To  capture  this relationship, the size of the exposed  population  is
approximated by the number of persons expected to live in the area of the drainage basin containing
each surface impoundment. The area of each basin (assumed to be  5,000 square miles for all surface
impoundments in the "best" estimate) is multiplied by  the average  population density per unit area
in the regions through which the  waterway flows.  Population density is determined by averaging
populations for the regions of the  United  States within which a surf ace. impoundment is located and
dividing by the area for  these regions.  Regional populations were considered  rather than state
populations because the  contaminated waterways  are not constrained by  state boundaries. The
average population density for regions where surface impoundments are sited is estimated  as 57
people per square mile (U.S. Department of Commerce, 1987).

       Only a portion of  this population will rely on surface water for their drinking water.  The
estimated population exposed is therefore  reduced by multiplying by the national average percentage
of population served by surface water, obtained from  USGS (1985).

       This analysis assumes that the entire exposed population ingests water  at concentrations
estimated at the "point" of entry of  the runoff into the stream.  Since the population exposed will
inhabit  an area  of  approximately  70 by 70 miles  in the "best" estimate,  this assumption  is
conservative, and will tend to overstate exposure and risk. In reality, dilution and dispersion of the
contaminant will have occurred before much of the population is exposed. However, in the absence
of additional site-specific information, it was not possible to calculate exposure more exactly.
                                          125

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       One test of the  reasonableness of  the analysis' assumption about the size of the exposed
population is  to  compare  the  amount  of drinking  water assumed to be  withdrawn  from the
contaminated stream with the stream's flow rate.  If the stream cannot supply the quantity of water
that the analysis assumes is ingested then the assumptions must be reexamined.

       The "best" risk estimate for the population assumes that a water body with a drainage area of
5000 square miles is contaminated. A water body with this drainage area would be a relatively major
stream, receiving runoff from an area approximately 70 by 70 miles. Several streams located near
paper mills have a drainage area of a few  thousand square miles.  For example, Raccoon Creek at
Granville,  OH has a drainage area of 8,270 square miles (U.S. EPA, 1989d).

       The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has studied the relationship between a stream's drainage
area and mean annual flow  rate using regression analysis. On a national scale, USGS found drainage
area to be the most significant variable influencing flow rate; other variables, particularly average
annual precipitation, were also sometimes significant (personal communication, USGS). Since annual
precipitation varies substantially throughout the United States, drainage area alone is not a precise
predictor of stream flow. However, the general relationship between drainage area and stream flow
can be estimated  for regions of the  country.

       For regions east of the Mississippi, the range of stream flows associated with a drainage area
can be approximated from  the following equations (personal communication, USGS).

       Low Estimate

       MAP  =      DRA

       High Estimate

       MAF  =      1.5 DRA

where:
       DRA  =      Drainage  area (square miles), and
       MAF  =      Mean annual flow rate (cubic feet per second or cfs).
Regions west of the Mississippi will exhibit greater variability in stream flows with relationship to
drainage area, with extremely arid areas approaching zero cubic feet per second per square mile of
                                             126

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drainage area. However, moderately arid regions are likely to exhibit a relationship between stream
flow and drainage area that can be approximately represented by the following equation.

       MAP  =      0.5 DRA

       Using these formulas to predict mean annual flow rates for a stream with a 5,000 square mile
drainage area yields 5,000 to 7,500 cfs in relatively humid (generally eastern) states and about 2,500
cfs in relatively arid (generally western) states. Converting  to liters per year,  the mean  flow rates
are 4.5 x 1012 to 6.7 x 1012 liters/year for humid states.  Arid states have a mean annual stream flow
rate of approximately 2.2 x 1012 liters per year associated with a stream with  a 5,000 square mile
drainage area.

       The flow rate for a stream with a 5,000 square mile drainage area can be compared with the
quantity of drinking water assumed to be  withdrawn from the stream to evaluate the feasibility of
assumptions about the size of the exposed  population. To estimate drinking water withdrawals, the
exposed  population  is multiplied by  the  quantity of water consumed per person.  The analysis
assumes that  a person consumes 2 liters of water per day.  The population exposed varies between
different types of sludge use or disposal, based on the population density of the regions of the
country in which the SMA's are located. The exposed population also varies according to the percent
of the population that receives .its drinking water from surface water.  For surface  impoundments,
the population exposed to contaminated  water is estimated to  be  28  people  per  square  mile of
drainage area.

       Water will be  assumed to  be  withdrawn  from a  stream  with a relatively low  stream
flow:drainage area ratio, since some  surface impoundments  are  located  in  arid states.   Water
withdrawal for drinking is  calculated by  multiplying  5,000 square miles of drainage area  by 28
exposed people per square mile. This yields an exposed  population of 140,000 people.  Total surface
water withdrawal for drinking, at 2 liters per person  per day,  is 1.0 x 108 liters/year. Comparing the
water withdrawals to the stream flow shows that about 0.005 percent of the stream flow is withdrawn
for human  consumption.
       It is likely that the population receiving its drinking water from contaminated surface water
will receive the remainder of water for domestic uses from this same source.  Therefore, it is also
informative to  compare total water withdrawn for domestic use with  the  stream  flow.  Average
domestic water use is 78 gallons, or 295 liters, per person per day (USGS, 1985).  Multiplying  295
liters per day by a population of 140,000 yields estimated  annual domestic-use^of-1.5 x  1010 liters
per year. Total domestic use would therefore represent about 0.7 percent of total stream flow.
                                              127

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       In evaluating the plausibility of these calculations, one should note that 77% of water used
domestically is return flow (USGS, 1985). This means that the water reaches a ground- or surface-
water source after release from the point of use and thus becomes available for  further use.  The
above discussion suggests that the assumptions in this analysis about population exposed to surface
water area are plausible.

2.3.4 Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Ingestion of Fish from Surface Water Sources

       Where  pulp and paper sludge is deposited in uncovered surface impoundments, particles of
sludge or soil  from  the surface impoundment can be transported by erosion to nearby lakes or
streams.  If the sludge contains TCDD or TCDF, then the particles can carry these contaminants to
the surface water bodies. Fish living in the lakes or streams can take up sludge contaminants into
their tissue; if humans then consume those fish, they can be exposed to TCDD and TCDF.

       This section discusses methods  used to estimate the extent of this  potential exposure, and its
associated risks to human health. The methodology is quite similar to that discussed in Section 2.3.3,
in that both methodologies begin by estimating sediment concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in
water bodies as a result of runoff from surface impoundments.  Once sediment  concentrations have
been estimated, however, the methodology departs from that described in  Section 2.3.3, and uses fish
to sediment  bioconcentration  factors and  estimates of human fish  consumption  to  estimate
contaminant doses to humans.  The last step in the methodology involves estimating the sizes of
exposed populations, combining these results with estimates of individual dose and health risk to
derive total health risks to the entire exposed population.  Each of these steps will  now be discussed.

Methods for Estimating TCDD and TCDF Concentrations in Surface Water

       Methods used for these calculations are described in detail in Appendix B.  In summary, the
methods are adapted from U.S. EPA (1985a), and use the Universal Soil Loss Equation, together with
estimates  of sediment delivery  ratios,  to estimate the fraction of a lake or stream's sediment that
originates from the surface impoundment. By multiplying this fraction by the original concentration
of TCDD and TCDF in sludge or soil particles on the  surface of the surface impoundment, the
methodology derives estimates of the concentration of contaminants in the sediment. These sediment
concentrations can then be  used to estimate contaminant concentrations  in the tissues  of fish.
                                            128

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Metkods for Estimating the Concentration of TCDD and TCDF in Fish Tissues, as a Function of
Sediment Concentrations

       Methods  for  estimating contaminant concentrations in fish  are  discussed in detail in
Appendix B.  Based on the assumption that sediment concentrations are the best predictor of fish
concentrations of hydrophobic compounds like TCDD and TCDF, the  methodology uses empirical
fish to sediment  bioconcentration factors to estimate concentrations of contaminant in freshwater
fish as a function of concentrations in stream or lake sediment.  As explained in Appendix B, the
concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in the  muscle  tissues of  fish (consumed by humans) are
considered to be  fifty percent lower than the fish whole body concentrations of these contaminants.

Methods for Estimating Human Dose of TCDD and TCDF from  Ingestion of Fish

       Estimated contaminant concentrations in fish tissue are multiplied by an estimated amount
of fish consumed daily and a bioavailability factor to yield human  dose of TCDD or TCDF. This
estimated  dose is divided by body weight to derive an estimated dose of contaminant per unit of
body weight per  day:
       Dose,
                              BW
where:
       BAF
       BW
       CF
       QF
       Dose,
Bioavailability of TCDD or TCDF from fish (unitless),
Human body weight (assumed to be 70 kg),
Concentration of contaminant in fish tissue (mg/g),
Individual's daily fish consumption (g/day),
Dose of contaminant from consumption of fish (mg/kg/day).
Methods for Estimating the Size of Populations Exposed to TCDD and TCDF through Ingestion of
Fish

       The population exposed to fish containing TCDD and TCDF is estimated by multiplying the
area of the drainage basin of the contaminated water body by an estimated population density of the
regions containing the impoundments.
                                         129

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       PEF    =      ABPD                        ,
where:
       PEF    =      Population exposed to contaminated fish,
       AB     =      Area of the drainage basin (ha),
       PD     =      Population density for region of the surface impoundment (persons/ha).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Soil Contaminant Concentrations

       In this analysis, surface impoundments are assumed to be uncovered; reliable data are not at
this time available for management practices at pulp and paper sludge surface impoundments.  For
a surface impoundment without soil cover, initial soil concentrations are assumed to equal sludge
concentrations.  "Best estimate and "low risk" calculations for typical individuals use the average
sludge concentration reported for  all of the surface impoundments. "High risk" typical individual
estimates and the MEI scenarios are based on the highest reported sludge concentrations.  Sludge
concentrations were taken from the "104-Mill Study" (U.S. EPA, 1989c).

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Sediment and Fish Contaminant Concentrations

       Data sources and model inputs for estimating sediment and water contaminant concentrations
can be found in Table 2.3.G for typical individuals and Table 2.3.H for the most exposed individual.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating Human Dose

       A contaminant dose from ingestion of contaminated fish is estimated for three populations:
typical individuals, an MEI, and sport fishers. As an input to the dose calculation, consumption of
freshwater and estuarine fin fish and shellfish is estimated for these three populations. Numerous
studies report quantities of fish consumed by humans but most include marine fish.  U.S. EPA  has
cited  6.5 grams/day as  the  average freshwater fish consumption (U.S.  EPA, 1980,  in U.S. EPA
1988a). The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has estimated 16 grams per day as the upper 90th
percentile ingestion rate of freshwater fish in the Great Lakes area (U.S. EPA, 1988b).  This analysis
assumes fish consumption of 6.5 grams per day for a typical individual in the "low risk" scenario and
"best  estimate" and  a consumption rate of  16  grams per day  for the typical individual "high risk"
exposure estimate.

       Since these overall averages include a large proportion of individuals who eat no freshwater
fish at all,  particular populations  may consume larger quantities. In particular, sport fishers are
likely to consume fish at a higher rate than a typical individual. The "best estimate" and "high risk"
                                            130

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sport fisher scenarios incorporate the assumptions used in the population "best estimate" and "high
risk"  scenarios,  respectively except they use different rates  of  fish consumption and a  smaller
exposed  population to reflect the typical behavior of sport  fishers.  This analysis assumes sport
fishers consume 48 grams of fish per day in  Both the "best estimate" and the "high risk" scenarios.
This is the median consumption rate for sport fishers in Michigan reported by Humphrey (1983).
The MEI analyses uses the 90th percentile consumption rates of active sport fishers, 100 grams per
day, to represent MEI consumption rates (Humphrey, 1976).

       Bioavailability rates for the contaminants consumed in fish are taken from U.S. EPA (1989c).
TCDD and TCDF are assumed to  be 85, 90, and 95 percent bioavailable for "low", "best", and "high"
calculations, respectively.   Contaminants consumed with  fish  are assumed  to be  95  percent
bioavailable in both the "best" and "high" MEI risk estimates.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Size of Exposed Populations

       This analysis  assumes that all fish are consumed regionally.  An alternative  would be to
assume that the fish are distributed nationally. In that case, the percent of the freshwater fish each
person consumes from the contaminated stream  might be calculated by calculating the ratio of the
drainage area of the  contaminated stream  to the drainage area of the entire United States.  This
percentage could then be used as the percent of contaminated freshwater fish consumed by the entire
U.S. population.  Instead, the current methodology uses drainage  area to determine the proportion
of U.S. citizens who are exposed Jo the contaminated water and fish.   This  population  is then
assumed to consume  100%  of their freshwater fish from the contaminated stream.  These two
methods will yield similar estimates of total risk to the population since the analysis assumes a linear
dose-response relationship.

       As  previously discussed,  sizes of exposed populations are estimated by multiplying the
estimated watershed area by the estimated population density. To accurately estimate site-specific
populations exposed it  is necessary to know  the stream into which the SMA  runoff drains, the
downstream uses of the surface water (e.g., fishing, drinking), and the distribution of the fish that
are caught.  In the absence of this site-specific  information, the  size of the exposed population is
estimated as follows.

       It is assumed that the size of the population exposed will be positively correlated with stream
size and that stream size will be positively correlated with drainage area; the larger the drainage area,
the more people are likely to receive their drinking water supply from the stream.  To quantify this
relationship, population exposed is modeled as a function of drainage area. Each unit area of the
                                              131

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watershed is multiplied  by the average population density  for the regions through  which the
waterways flow to yield population exposed. For surface impoundments, the population density is
estimated to be 57 people per square mile.

       In the "best estimate" and the "high risk" scenarios for typical individuals, it is assumed that
the receiving stream for each SMA is a major stream with a 5,000 square mile watershed area.  In the
"low risk" estimate for typical individuals, the drainage area is assumed to be one-tenth of this size,
or 500 square  miles. The drainage area in both MEI scenarios is assumed to be about 40 square
miles.  This  corresponds to a relatively small stream (U.S. EPA, 1988a).

       To calculate the sportfisher population exposed to contaminated fish, the total population
exposed is first calculated as described above.  The percentage of U.S. non-metropolitan households
consuming  "home produced"  fish  and poultry is  estimated to  be 7.1% (U.S.  Department  of
Agriculture  1978). The percentage of these households consuming "home produced" poultry  is
estimated  at 3.4% (U.S.  Department of Agriculture 1978).  If the populations  home-producing
poultry and  fish do not overlap then 3.7% of the population home-produces fish.  To estimate the
population consuming fish at the median sportfisher level of 48 grams per day, the total population
exposed is multiplied by  3.7%.  This calculation assumes that  the family of a sportfisher consumes
fish  at the same rate as a sportfisher.

       This analysis assumes  that  the  entire  exposed population ingests  fish at concentrations
appropriate  for the "point" of entry of the SMA runoff into the stream. Since the population exposed
will  inhabit an  area of  approximately 70 by  70  miles  in the "best"  and "high"  estimates, this
assumption  is  conservative, and will tend  to overstate exposure and risk.  In reality, dilution and
dispersion of the contaminant  would have occurred  before much of the population was  exposed.

2.3.5  Summary of Results

       Table 2.3.1 shows estimated  human exposure from each pathway  associated  with surface
impoundments.  Exposure through consumption of  fish from contaminated surface water sources
shows the highest risk to the MEI, followed by ingestion of contaminated surface water. Table 2.3.J
reports human health risks associated with these levels of exposure.  As  is clear from the table,
estimated risks to the MEI through pathways associated with surface runoff are quite high.  These
pathways also  result in the greatest population risk.
                                            132

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                             REFERENCES FOR SECTION 2.3


Aller, L., Bennett,  T.  Lehr,  J.H., Petty,  R.J. (1985).  DRASTIC: A Standardized System  for
       Evaluating Ground Water  Pollution Potential Using  Hydrogeological Settings,  U.S. EPA
       Office of Research and Development, Ada, Oklahoma, May.

Bonazountas, M, and Wagner, J.M., (1984).  "SESOIL" A Seasonal Soil Compartment Model. Arthur
       D. Little Inc. and DIS/ADLPIPE Inc. for the U.S. EPA Office of Toxic Substances, Contract
       No. 68-01-5271, May.

Bowers, J.F. et al. (1980). Industrial Source Complex (ISC) Dispersion Model User's Guide
       (Vol.  1). PB80-133044. U.S. EPA, Research Triangle  Park, NC.

Freeman, R.A., and  Shroy, J.M. (1985).  Environmental  mobility of TCDD, Chemosphere. Vol. 14,
      - No. 6/7, pp 873-876.

Freeze R.A.,  and Cherry, J.A. (1979). Groundwater.  Prentice Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs,  NJ.

Hwang, S.T. (1982). Toxic Emissions from Land Disposal Facilities. Environmental Progress.  J.:46-
       52. February.

Hwang and Falco (1986). Estimation of Multimedia Exposures Related to Hazardous Waste Facilities.
       In: Cohen, Y., ed. Pollutants in a Multimedia Environment.  Plenum Publishing Co.  New
       York, NY.

Jackson, D.R., Roulier, M.H., Grotta, H.M., Rust, S.W., Warner, J.S., Arthur, M.F., and DeRoos,
       F.L. (1985).  Leaching potential of 2,3,7,8-TCDD in contaminated soils, in land disposal of
       hazardous waste. In Proceedings of the Eleventh Annual Research Symposium at Cincinnati.
       OH. April 9-Mav 1. 1985.  Sponsored by the U.S.  EPA Office of Research and Development,
       Cincinnati, OH. NTIS  PB85-196376.

Lyman, W.J., Reehl, W.F., and Rosenblatt, D.H.(1982), Handbook of Chemical Property Estimation
       Methods: Environmental Behavior of Organic Compounds.  McGraw-Hill Book Company,
       New York.

MacKay, D., and Yeun, A. (1983). Mass transfer coefficient correlations for volatilization of organic
       solutes from  water. Environmental  Science and  Technology.  17:211-217.

Mill, T. (1985).  Prediction of the Environmental Fate of Tetrachlorodioxin, in Dioxins in  the
       Environment. M.A. Kamrin, and P.W. Rodgers  eds.,  Hemisphere Publishing Corporation,
       Washington,  1985.

Neal, H.A. (1987). Solid Waste Management and the Environment: the Mounting Garbage and Trash
       Crisis. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

Podoll, R.T., Jaber, H.M., and Mill, T. (1986). Tetrachlorodibenzodioxin: rates of volatilization and
       photolysis in the environment. Environ. Sci. Technol. 20(5): 490-2.

Schroy,  J.M., Hileman, F.D.,  and Cheng, S.C. (1986).  Physical/Chemical  Properties of 2,3,7,8-
       Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin.  In:ASTM Spec. Publ. 891 (Aquat. toxicol. Haz. Assess.  8th
       Symp.): 409-21.
                                            135

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Springer, C., P.D. Lunney, and K.T. Valsaraj (1984). Emission of Hazardous Chemical for Surface
       and Near Surface Impoundments to Air.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Solid and
       Hazardous Waste Research Division.  Cincinnati OH. Project Number 808161-02, pp. 3-4 to
       3-16.  December.

U.S. Bureau of the Census (1988), Current Industrial Reports, Washington.

U.S. EPA (1985). Summary of Data on Industrial Non-Hazardous Waste Disposal Practices. Office
       of Solid Waste and Emergency Response, Washington, DC. December.

U.S. EPA (1986). Development of Advisory Levels for Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs) Cleanup.
       Office of Health  and Environmental Assessment, Washington,  DC.  EPA 600/6-86-002.
       NTIS  PB86-232774/AS.

U.S. EPA (1987a). The Regional Dioxin Study: Tiers 3, 5, 6, and 7. Office of Water Regulations and
       Standards, Washington DC. EPA  440/4-87-003.

U.S. EPA (1987b).   User's Guide to SESOIL Execution in GEMS. Prepared by General Sciences
       Corporation, for  the Office of Pesticides and Toxic  Substances, Exposure  Evaluation
       Division, Contract No. 68-02-4281,  November.

U.S. EPA (1987d).   Hazardous Waste Treatment, Storage, and  Disposal Facilities  (TSDF) -- Air
       Emission Models.  Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park,
       NC., EPA-450/3-87-026, December.

U.S. EPA (1987e). Report to Congress: Municipal Wastewater Lagoon Study, Vols. I and II. Office
       of Municipal Pollution Control, Washington, DC. November.

U.S. EPA (1988a).  Estimating Exposures to 2,3,7,8-TCDD. Office of  Health and Environmental
       Assessment,  EPA/600/6-88/005A.  External Review Draft, March.

U.S. EPA (1988b).  Risk Assessment for Dioxin  Contamination, Midland, Michigan.  EPA-905/4-
       88-005. April.

U.S. EPA (1989a).   Training Materials for  GEMS and PCGEMS, Office of Pesticides and Toxic
       Substances,  January.

U.S. EPA (1989b).  Hazardous  Waste Treatment, Storage, and Disposal Facilities (TSDF) - Air
       Emissions Models, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,  EPA-450/3-87-026. Draft.

U.S. EPA (1989c).  104-Mill Study data, Office  of Water Regulations and Standards, July 26, 1989
       version.

U.S. EPA (1989d). Graphical Exposure Modeling System User Guide. Office of Toxic  Substances.
       March.

U.S. Geographical Survey (1970). A Proposed Stream Flow Data Program for Alabama. Available
       for each state.  Open File Reports.

Yeh, G.T. (1981). AT123D: Analytical Transport One-, Two-, and Three-Dimensional  Simulation
       of Waste Transport in the Aquifer System.  Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental
       Sciences Division, Publication No. 1439. March.
                                           136

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2.4    Exposure and Risks from Land Application of Pulp and Paper Sludge

       Land application of sludge, while an alternative disposal method, also fertilizes and conditions
soil  and makes use  of  the  sludge  as  fill.   According  to the  104-Mill Study  and follow-up
conversations  with  state  environmental  offices, sludge from four mills in three states is used on
forests, sludge from two mills in two states is applied to agricultural land, and sludge from two mills
in two states is used to reclaim abandoned mine sites.  Conversations with state environmental offices
indicate that approximately 325,000 dry metric tons of sludge are being land applied per year with
about 10% to mine  reclamation, 10% to agriculture,  and 80% to forests.  This section examines the
risks to human health from the land application of pulp and paper mill sludges.

       Land application practices are estimated for each group of sites in  a  state.  The type of
application, application  rate,  years  land  receives sludge,   acres  receiving  sludge,  depth  of
incorporation, sludge concentrations, and soil concentrations averaged over 70 years are displayed
for each state in Table 2.4.A for the typical analysis, and in Table 2.4.B for the MEI analysis. Human
risk estimates  use the average soil contamination over the human lifespan (assumed to be 70 years).
       Since likely exposure pathways differ depending on the type of land receiving the sludge,
exposure pathways considered in this analysis differ for agricultural, mine, and fprest application.
In addition, farmers will  be exposed  to TCDD and TCDF from  agricultural application through
pathways that are not relevant to the population at large. The following pathways of exposure are
considered in this analysis:

       Human risk estimates for forest application and mine reclamation consider two pathways
for both a total population and an MEI risk:

       •      Contaminated soil erodes from the forest or mine site and contaminates surface water
              and stream sediment.  The surface water serves as a drinking supply.

       •      Contaminated soil erodes from the forest or mine site and contaminates surface water
              and sediment. TCDD and TCDF is incorporated into fish tissue and fish are consumed
              by humans.

Human risk estimates from agricultural application conside*-the-two pathways above and add the
following pathway:
                                            137

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       •      Small amounts of contaminant are taken up into the tissues of crops.  These crops
              are then either consumed or fed to animals which bioconcentrate the contaminant
              and produce a meat or dairy product that is consumed.

Exposure pathways particular to farmers living on a land application site are:

       •      Children and adults in the farming household come into direct dermal contact with
              the sludge-amended soil in both outdoor and indoor settings. TCDD and TCDF from
              the  sludge  is absorbed through  the skin.  Children ingest small amounts of the
              sludge/soil  mixture through normal mouthing behavior.  Adults also inadvertently
              ingest small quantities of sludge/soil.

       •      TCDD and  TCDF applied to the  farmland volatilizes from the sludge into the air.
              Residents of the farm inhale the volatilized TCDD and TCDF.

       •      Particles of the sludge/soil mixture become suspended in  the air during application.
              Residents of the farm inhale the contaminated particles.

       The  following sections describe  the methods and  data used to estimate risks  from land
application of sludge through these pathways.  Results are summarized in  the final section. To assist
the reader, an example calculation of typical risk resulting from consumption of produce grown from
sludge-amended land in Mississippi is included in Appendix D.

2.4.1   Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Dermal Contact  with Skin

       Humans coming in direct contact with sludge contaminated soils  may absorb TCDD and
TCDF through their skin.  The amount of TCDD and TCDF absorbed will depend on the area of
skin exposed and on the length of time that the contaminated soil is in contact with the skin.  The
following  discussion summarizes the model used  to estimate exposure through dermal contact.

       To estimate exposure through  direct contact  with soil containing TCDD and TCDF,
methodologies presented in Schaum (1984), Hawley (1985), and  EPA (1988a) were used. The  model
uses empirically-derived  information on the amount  of  soil  or dust  that adheres to a square
centimeter of skin, the area of skin exposed in various settings and the absorption rate of TCDD or
TCDF through skin to derive the dose of TCDD or TCDF from dermal  contact with contaminated
soil or dust.
                                            146

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Description of Calculations

       The calculation of dermal exposure proceeds in two steps. First the average daily exposure
from dermal contact is calculated as the product of area of skin affected, the contact rate, the dermal
absorption rate and the duration of contact. Second, the risk from dermal contact is calculated using
the estimate of daily exposure and the cancer slope factors of TCDD and TCDF.

Description of Exposure Calculations

       The  concentration  of TCDD and  TCDF in the  soil outdoors  is derived as described in
Appendix A. The concentration of TCDD and TCDF in indoor dust is calculated as follows:

       C      =      C    F
       '"in           ^-out r
where:
       C,.n    =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in dust indoors, mg/mg
       C0     =      concentration of TCDD or TCDF in soil outdoors, mg/mg
       F      =      ratio of indoor dust concentrations to outdoor soil concentrations

       The indoor dust  and  outdoor soil contaminant concentrations are used to estimate human
exposure and risk from dermal contact with these media. Daily doses are estimated for three age
groups: young children (ages 1-6), older children (ages 7-11) and adults (ages 12 and older).  The
dose for each age group  is  calculated as:
       DOSEg =      [(C0 CR0/g SA0
-------
       For each age group, the soil contaminant concentration (expressed in mg/mg for ease of
calculation) is multiplied by the soil contact rate outdoors (mg/cm2) and by the area of the skin
exposed during outdoor  activity (cm2) to obtain the total quantity of soil-bound TCDD or TCDF
adhering to the skin (mg). The quantity of contaminant on the skin is then adjusted by two factors:
the fraction of the contaminant that migrates from the soil matrix and comes into contact with the
skin (M); and the fraction of TCDD or TCDF that absorbs through the skin (ABd). Since the dermal
absorption rate is expressed as the fraction of TCDD or TCDF that is absorbed through the skin per
hour of contact, it must be multiplied by the hours that the soil is assumed to be in contact with the
skin.    The  same calculations are also  performed for  exposures in indoor settings,  using the
corresponding indoor values for the model input parameters. The total daily dermal absorption of
TCDD or TCDF is the sum of indoor absorption and outdoor absorption.  Dividing the total dermal
absorption for each age group by the body weight for that age yields a daily dose of TCDD or TCDF
through dermal absorption in mg/kg/day.

       To obtain the weighted average dose over the lifetime  of  an individual, the following
calculation is used:
where:
       DOSEavg =     E FRACg (DOSEg)

       DOSE   =     weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
       DOSE  =      daily dose for individual in age group g
       FRACg=      fraction of lifetime spent in age group g

Description of Population Cancer Risk Calculations

       Once the daily dose estimate is obtained, it is combined with the cancer slope factors of
TCDD and TCDF to obtain an estimate of lifetime risk from dermal exposure to these contaminants.
The calculation of individual risk is:

       1C     =      DOSEavg q/
where:
       DOSE   =     weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
       1C     =      individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSEavg of TCDD or TCDF
       q      =      incremental lifetime risk per mg/kg/day dose of TCDD or TCDF
                                         148

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Individual cancer risk for a typical exposed individual is converted to annual total population risk
(in cases per year) by multiplying the number of persons exposed by the individual risk and dividing
by the average person's lifespan, as described in the following equation:

       PC     =      1C  POP / LS
where:
       LS     =      average lifespan of an individual = 70 years
       PC     =      population risk, cancer cases per year
       POP   =      population exposed to DOSEavg

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       In the assessment of typical  exposure, "low risk," "best," and  "high risk"  estimates are
calculated to provide an understanding of the uncertainty in the exposure assessment. The values
used for each model  input for "low  risk," "best" and  "high risk" typical  exposure  estimates are
summarized in Table 2.4.C.  In the MEI analysis, "best" and "high  risk" estimates are  derived.  The
values used to derive the MEI "best" and "high risk" exposures are found in Table 2.4.D.  The best
MEI exposure estimate is derived by combining estimates of behavioral input parameters with the
best estimates of physical/chemical properties of TCDD and TCDF.  The "high risk" estimate of
MEI exposure uses the same behavioral inputs, but combines them with the high estimates of physical
and chemical parameters of TCDD and TCDF.

       The following sections describe each input and documents the data sources used to derive
the values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses.  Where parameter input,values
differ  for the "best" and "high risk" MEI exposure estimates, these differences are discussed.  For
those   behavioral input parameters that do not  vary  between the  "best" and  "high risk"  MEI
calculations, a single value for the MEI analysis is discussed.
Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Concentrations

       The method for deriving soil concentrations is described in Appendix A.  Soil concentrations
for each land application site are presented in Table 2.4.A.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Indoor Dust Contaminant Concentration as a Function of Outdoor
Soil Contaminant Concentration

       Roberts et al. (1977),  as discussed by Hawley (1985), studied the  relationship between lead
concentrations indoors and outdoors near a lead smelter, and found that the mean concentration of
                                            149

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the lead in household dust was 75% the concentration  of lead in the outdoor soil.  For his own
analysis, Hawley (1985) assumed that indoor contaminant concentrations in dust were 80% of the
contaminant concentrations in outdoor soil. The analysis of typical exposure uses a value of 80%
for the best estimate, and applies a range of 75% to 85% for the low and high estimates, respectively.
For the MEI analysis, the best estimate assumes a value  of 80%, and the  high estimate uses a value
of 85%.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Contact Rate

       The contact rate of soil on skin varies between outdoor and indoor exposures and among age
groups. Hawley (1985) and Schaum (1984) both  described a number of studies that estimated the
contact rate of soil  on the skin of children playing outdoors. Lepow et al. (1975), as cited in Hawley
(1985), estimated a contact rate of 11 mg soil per 21 cm2 of skin on the hands of young children, or
0.5 mg/cm2. Exposed skin on other parts of the body is assumed to have the same contact rate. Roels
et al. (1980), as cited in Hawley (1985), found that the mean values for quantity of dirt on one hand
of eleven-year old children ranged  from 40  to 180 mg. Since the hand of a child this age has a
surface area of approximately 300 cm2, these data suggest a contact rate ranging from  0.13 to 0.6
mg/cm2. Schaum (1984) reported the upper end of the estimate for outdoor contact rate for children
to be 1.5 mg/cm2. In the analysis of typical exposure, 0.5 mg/cm2 is used for the best estimate, 0.13
mg/cm2 the low estimate, and  1.5 mg/cm2  the high estimate of contact rate for children. The MEI
analysis uses an outdoor soil contact rate of 1.5 mg/cm2 for older and younger children.

       For  adults, the outdoor contact rate was derived by Hawley (1985), based on assumed
thickness of the layer of soil on the skin  and the density of outdoor soil.  Hawley's calculations
yielded a value of  3.5 mg/cm2. This value  is used in the analysis of typical exposure for "best" and
"high risk" estimates.  This value is also used in the MEI analysis.  For a "low risk" typical  exposure
estimate, outdoor contact rate for adults is assumed to be the same as the  low  estimate of outdoor
contact rate for children.

       Hawley (1985) estimated indoor contact rates based on assumptions regarding dustfall and
frequency of cleaning.  Hawley also cited  the work of Solomon  and Hartford (1976), who studied
lead and cadmium  levels in  indoor dust. The dust values measured by these researchers ranged from
110 mg/m2 to 590 mg/m2. For his analysis, Hawley (1985) used a value of 0.056 mg/cm2 for indoor
dust contact rate, assuming a dustfall rate indoors that is 20% of the outdoor dustfall, and assuming
biweekly cleaning  of surfaces. The typical exposure analysis uses Hawley's value as a best estimate,
and uses the range  of values reported by Solomon  and Hartford (1976, through Hawley, 1985) as low
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 and high estimates. These values are used to represent contact rate indoors in living space for all
 three age groups. A value of 0.06 mg/cm2 is used in the MEI analysis.

        Adults may also experience dermal contact with soil when engaged in infrequent cleaning
 of seldom-used spaces, such as attics.  After a discussion of the relevant literature, Hawley (1985)
 concluded that an adult working for a one-hour exposure in a dusty space such as an attic has indirect
 dermal contact with 110 mg of dust suspended in air. In addition, the direct contact rate with dust
 was estimated to be 1.8 mg/cm2, based an assumed depth of the dust layer on the skin and the density
 of indoor dust  particles. To assess risks  from these exposures, the analysis of Hawley (1985) is
 incorporated into the typical and MEI analyses.

 Data Sources and Model Inputs for Area of Skin  Exposed

        The  surface area of skin  available for contact with contaminated soil will influence the
 quantity of TCDD and TCDF absorbed through this pathway. The surface area available for contact
 will vary depending on the clothing worn by the individual.  Hawley (1985) provides a  table of
 surface  area for various parts  of the body for young children, older  children, and adults.  In the
 following discussion, the area of the skin assumed to be exposed in each scenario for each age group
 is derived from this table.  The assumptions regarding the body parts  exposed in each scenario are
 also derived from Hawley (1985), except as noted.

        For the best estimate of typical exposure, it is assumed that the feet, legs and hands of young
 children are exposed to soil during outdoor play, an area of 2100 cm2; indoors, one-half of the area
 of the hands, forearms and feet, or 500 cm2 is assumed to be exposed. The "low risk" estimate of
 typical exposure assumes that only the child's hands are exposed both  indoors and outdoors (300 cm2):
 the rest  of the body is covered with clothing.  The "high risk" typical exposure estimate assumes that
 young children's hands, arms, legs, and feet (2800 cm2) are exposed outdoors, while feet, hands, and
 forearms are in contact with indoor dust (1000 cm2).  To calculate MEI exposure estimates, a value
 of 2800  cm2 is used for both indoor and outdoor exposures.

        For older children, the typical  exposure  analysis uses a value of 1600 cm2 for the "best"
 estimate of the surface area of skin exposed while playing outdoors.  This value represents exposure
 of both  hands, forearms, and half of the legs (i.e., from the knees down). Indoors, older children
 have 400 cm2 of skin in contact with indoor dust, an area equivalent to the area of both hands. For
-the-stew-risk" estimate of typical exposure, the analysis assumes that only hands are exposed both
 outdoors and indoors.  The "high risk" estimate of typical outdoor exposure is based on Keenan et al.
 (1989), who  assumed that children playing outdoors expose both hands, legs and feet to soil.  The
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surface area corresponding to these parts of the body for older children is approximately 3200 cm2
(Hawley, 1985). The "high risk" estimate of typical exposure assumes that the hands and the forearms
of the older child, or approximately 825 cm2 of skin, are exposed indoors. The MEI analysis uses the
value 3200 cm2 for both indoor and outdoor exposure.

       The hands and forearms of adults working outdoors are assumed to come into contact with
contaminated outdoor soil. The area of these body parts is approximately 1700 cm2.  This value is
used in the calculation of the "best" estimate of typical exposure. As a "low risk" estimate, Schaum
(1984), citing Sendroy (1954), assumed that adults may wear a long-sleeved shirt, gloves, pants, and
shoes to work outdoors. In this case, the area exposed is 910 cm2. The "high risk" estimate of typical
exposure uses a value from Schaum (1984), citing Sendroy (1954), who assumes that adults may wear
a short-sleeved shirt with an open neck, pants, shoes, with no gloves or hat, to work outdoors.  The
area of skin exposed under these assumptions is 2940  cm2.

       For adults indoors, different assumptions can be made  for the area of skin exposed while
the adult is in the living space and the area exposed while the adult works in an attic.  For the "low
risk" and "best" estimates of typical exposure, adults working in the attic are assumed to wear an
open-neck, short-sleeved shirt, pants, shoes, and no gloves or hat, while adults in the living space
wear clothing  that covers a larger area of skin and behave in such a manner that only the hands are
in direct contact with indoor dust. This corresponds to an area of 1700 cm2 in the attic, and 900 cm2
in the living space.  The "high risk" estimate of typical exposure assumes that 1700 cm2 of skin are
exposed in both the attic and in the living space.   For calculating MEI exposures, the analysis
assumes that 2940 cm2 of skin are exposed both indoors and outdoors.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Exposure Duration: Indoor and Outdoor Soils

       The length of time soil is in  contact with the skin is an important factor in determining the
amount of TCDD or TCDF that is absorbed  into the system through the skin.  The  following
assumptions regarding duration of dermal exposure are derived from Hawley (1985). The "low risk"
and "best" typical exposure analyses assume that young children spend 5 days a week, six months out
of the year playing outdoors.  The outdoor soil is assumed to remain in contact with the skin for
twelve hours before it is washed off.  Twelve hours are also  spent in contact with  indoor dust.
During the winter months, young children are in contact only with indoor dust, for 12 hours per day.
In the "high risk" typical exposure estimate, young children play outdoors seven days  per week, six
months  out of the year, with soil remaining on the skin for twelve hours. The remaining twelve
hours is spent in contact  with indoor dust. The high estimate for young children also assumes that
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young children are in contact with indoor dust 24 hours a day during the six winter months. This
assumption is also used in the MEI analysis.

       For the typical exposure analysis, the "low risk" and "best" exposure assessments assume that
older children spend some time outdoors everyday between May and September (5 months), and allow
the outdoor soil collected on the skin to remain there for twelve hours before washing.  In addition,
older children are assumed to be in contact with indoor dust for four hours per day all year; the rest
of the time is spent at school or other locations. As a "high risk" estimate, and for the MEI analysis,
older children are assumed to spend some time outdoors every day for six months, and to allow the
outdoor soil to remain on the  skin for  12 hours before washing; furthermore, these children are in
dermal contact with indoor dust for 12 hours every day year  round.

       Adults who live at agricultural land application sites are assumed to have dermal exposure
to contaminated outdoor soil 5 days a week, six months out of the year in the "best" typical exposure
calculations. Furthermore, the soil remains on the skin for  twelve hours before it is washed off the
skin. Indoors, adults are in contact with indoor dust for twelve hours a day all year. The "low risk"
typical exposure analysis assumes that the adult lives on the farm but works elsewhere; as a result the
dermal contact is reduced to only two days per week for five months of the year; the soil is assumed
to remain on the skin for eight hours before washing. For the "high risk" typical analysis, and in the
MEI analysis, the adult experiences dermal  exposure to indoor dust for 12 hours, a day during the
summer months, and 24 hours a day during the winter months.
       As discussed earlier in this section, adults may also  have limited dermal exposure while
cleaning  seldom-used spaces such as attics.  Hawley (1985) assumes that an adult spends  12 hours
in these environments during one year. This value could represent a single cleaning, where the adult
spends one twelve-hour period in the attic, or it could represent twelve one-hour cleaning sessions.
For the best estimate,  it is assumed that the adult spends twelve days'in the attic, one hour each day,
and leaves the dust from attic on the skin for four hours before washing. The low estimate assumes
the adult spends one  day in  the attic  for twelve hours, and leaves the dust  on the skin for an
additional four hours before washing. For the "high risk" typical estimate, and for the MEI estimate,
the adult engages in twelve one-hour attic cleaning sessions, and leaves the attic dust on the skin for
six hours after each session.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Dermal Absorption of TCDD and TCDF

       Dermal absorption of TCDD and TCDF bound to soil involves two components: migration
of the TCDD and TCDF from the soil matrix, and absorption of TCDD and TCDF through the skin.
The Consumer Product Safety Commission (1989) reviewed  data pertaining to the dermal absorption
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of TCDD  from  a variety  of matrices.   The Consumer  Product Safety Commission  (C'PSC)
memorandum cites studies by Poiger and Schlatter (1980), who reported absorption of TCDD from
wet soil ranging from 0.05% to 2.2%, and by Shu et al. (1988), who reported absorption of 0.65% to
1% with dry soil.  Comparing these absorption rates to the rate of dermal absorption when TCDD is
applied to the skin in a methanol  vehicle, CPSC concluded that from 0.3% to 15% of the TCDD in
soil is  released  for subsequent absorption through the skin. In the  typical exposure analysis, the
recommendation of the CPSC memorandum is followed and a value of 1% is used to represent the
best estimate for this matrix effect for contaminated soil; the typical  analysis uses the range of 0.3%
to 15% for the "low risk" and "low  risk" estimates, respectively. For the MEI analysis, a value of 15%
is used.

       CPSC also reviewed the literature regarding the percutaneous absorption of the TCDD release
from the soil matrix. Studies reviewed included studies with laboratory animals and in-vitro studies
of human skin.   The animal studies report percutaneous absorption rates ranging from  40 to 48%
over 72 hours.  From the in-vitro skin experiments (Weber et al., as cited in CPSC memorandum),
CPSC estimated an absorption rate of 18.5% over 17 hours of exposure, yielding a transfer coefficient
of 0.012 h"1. This value is used for the "low risk" and "best" typical exposure assessments  for all age
groups. For children, Hawley (1985) states that the absorption rate through skin for children is twice
the absorption rate for adults. Therefore, in this analysis, a transfer coefficient of 0.024 hr"1 is used
for the "high .risk" typical exposure analysis and for the MEI analysis for both  younger and older
children.
Data Sources and Model Inputs for Estimating the Population Exposed

       In this analysis, the  population exposed to TCDD through dermal contact is limited to the
population residing on the agricultural land  application sites.  The  number of sites applying kraft
mill sludge to land is equal to the total number of acres applied with sludge in the state divided by
the average number of acres per  site.  Values for both the total acres and  the acres per site were
obtained through conversations with state officials in Mississippi and Pennsylvania, the states where
agricultural land application is currently practiced.  In Mississippi, 1000 acres are applied  with the
sludge from one mill, with an estimated 100  acres per site,  yielding an  estimate of 10 sites in
Mississippi. Pennsylvania has 75 acres  covered with sludge from one mill, with an average of 15
acres per site, giving a total of 5  sites. The  total number of sites in each state is multiplied by the
number of people living on each site to obtain the exposed population.  According to the 1980 U.S.
Census, the average number of persons per household is 2.7. In Pennsylvania, the exposed population
is approximately  14 persons, while in Mississippi, the exposed population is approximately 27. The
total exposed population is about 40 persons.
                                             162

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2.4.2  Estimates of Exposure and Risks Estimates from Ingestion of Produce, Meat, and Dairy
       Products Grown on Sludge-Amended Land

       Sludge is applied to various types of land, including forest, abandoned mines, pasture, and
land used for the production of animal feed or human food crops.   This section evaluates the
application of sludge to pasture and cropland, and examines the following potential pathways of
exposure:

       •      Sludge is incorporated into the  soil of farmland used  for producing  food  crops.
              Contaminants in the sludge are drawn from the soil to the tissue of those crops, and
              are then  ingested by humans who consume the crops directly.

       •      Sludge is incorporated into the soil of farmland used for producing  animal feed or
              pasture.  Contaminants in the sludge are absorbed into  the tissues of these feeds or
              pasture grasses, which are then consumed by livestock. The meat and dairy products
              produced by these livestock are consumed by humans.

       •      Sludge is applied to the surface of pasture land, and adheres to the pasture grasses.
              Grazing  cattle or sheep  ingest the sludge  directly as  a fraction  of their pasture
              consumption.  Humans then consume contaminated beef or dairy products.

       According to conversations with state environmental officials, sludge from two bleached
kraft mills, one in Mississippi and one  in Pennsylvania, is currently applied to agricultural land.
Several hundred hectares of agricultural land are receiving the sludge at dozens of individual sites.
Though it was not possible  to determine the land area and crops grown at individual sites, Mississippi
and Pennsylvania environmental officials indicated the overall uses of the sludges in each state. In
Mississippi,  four  crops are receiving  the sludge:   corn, soybeans, wheat, and pasture.   In
Pennsylvania,  the sludge is generally used on feed corn,

       The methodology and data inputs for assessing human exposure due to sludge application to
agricultural land are discussed below.  The calculations for determining risk from the dietary pathway
follow.

Methods for Estimating the Human Exposure to TCDD and TCDF through the Dietary Pathway

       To estimate the  concentration of contaminants  in food products from land application of
paper and pulp mill sludge, a model was created which uses information regarding sludge application
                                         163

-------
rates and sludge contaminant concentrations to calculate the uptake of contaminants by crops and by
animals feeding on crops and pasture.  A "best estimate" of human exposure is calculated using data
on human dietary consumption of these meats and crops and the quantity of contaminated produce.
A "high risk" and a "low risk" scenario are evaluated.  For each scenario, the model is given input data
for: sludge incorporation depth, the number of years sludge is applied, the contaminated land area,
sludge application rates, concentrations of individual contaminants in the sludge, uptake rates of soil
contaminants to various crop tissues, uptake rates of contaminants in animal feed to meat or dairy
products, the fraction of each type of  feed in animal diets, the production yield of animal product
per unit of food, human dietary data, the acreage of sludge-amended land devoted to each crop, the
productivity of land for each crop, and the population to which the contaminated food is distributed.
The model returns exposure estimates  which are  then used to estimate risk.

        Exposure  and risk are calculated for both  a typical individual and a most exposed individual
(MEI).  The most exposed individual is assumed  to  be  a farmer growing and applying sludge to all
crop types grown on sludge-amended  land in the state in which he  or she resides.

        Each  exposure  calculation  consists  of three  steps.  First,  the  model  calculates tissue
concentrations of contaminants in each crop as a result of  the land  application of sludge.  Second,
the model estimates concentrations of the contaminants in meat  or dairy products.  As  discussed
above, contaminants are assumed to enter meat and dairy  products as a result of, animal  ingestion
of sludge-treated crops and pasture grasses  and  of direct  ingestion of  sludge adhering to  pasture
grasses.  Third, the model sums the amount of each contaminant in all  crops and animal products
ingested by humans to estimate typical population exposure or MEI exposure.

Method for Estimating Tissue Concentrations of Contaminants in Crops Grown on Sludge-amended
Soil

        Soil concentration calculations are discussed in Appendix A. The calculations for determining
crop tissue contaminant concentrations from soil concentrations are:

        CDfj         =     CjU,,               (2.4.1)
                                                 (2.4.2)
where:
       CD. -         =      Tissue concentration of pollutant j in crop i (mg/kg dry weight)
       C- -----  — -- — ป --- Concentration of pollutant j in the soil (mg/kg)
       U-.          =      Rate  of  uptake  of contaminant  j into tissue of crop i  (mg/kg dry
                            weight per mg/kg dry weight)
                                             164

-------
       CW..          =      Tissue concentration of pollutant j in crop i (mg/kg fresh weight)
       KDWj        =      Constant for converting dry weight  concentration to fresh weight
                            concentration for crop i.

       Each  crop's uptake rate is applied to the  soil contaminant  concentrations to estimate  the
concentration of each contaminant per unit dry weight of crop tissue (2.4.1).  Dry weight tissue
concentrations are converted to fresh weight concentrations to match units of human consumption
data (2.4.2).

Method for Determining Tissue Concentrations of Contaminant in Meat and Dairy Products Produced
with Sludge-amended Soil

       To calculate meat and dairy product contaminant concentrations, the model derives average
concentration of each contaminant in each animal's feed mix. Average concentrations are calculated
by taking a weighted average of the contaminant concentrations in each animal's food sources.  An
additional source of contaminant, direct soil ingestion, is added to the dose derived from food (2.4.3).
The feed contaminant concentrations are multiplied by animal  bioconcentration factors to determine
fresh weight  concentrations of contaminants in each meat or dairy product (2.4.4).

                     -      S,(FJk  CD,,) + (FDk Nj)           (2.4.3)
                     -      CFjk Ujk                          (2.4.4)
where

       CF-k          =      Weighted average concentration  of contaminant j across all food
                            sources for animal  producing meat or dairy product  k (mg/kg dry
                            weight)
       Fjk           =      Fraction of animal k's food from crop i (unitless)
       CD,-          =      Concentration of contaminant j in crop  i (mg/kg)
       FDk          =      Fraction of animal k's food from sludge (adherence pathway) (unitless)
       N,            =      concentration of contaminant j in sludge (mg/kg)
       CW -k          =      Tissue concentration (fresh wt) of pollutant j in meat or dairy product
                            (mg/kg fresh weight)
       Ujk           =      Rate of uptake of contaminant j into meat or dairy product k per unit
                            of concentration in animal's food (mg/kg fresh weight  per mg/kg dry
                            weight)
                                            165

-------
Method for Determining Most Exposed Individual Dose from Contaminant Ingestion through Foods
Grown in Sludge-amended Soil

       Methods of calculating MEI exposure and population exposure differ.  The calculation for
MEI exposure proceeds in three steps.  First, exposure through direct  consumption of crops is
calculated.  To obtain the exposure from direct crop consumption,  the daily dietary consumption
of each crop is multiplied by the fraction of that crop produced in sludge amended soil, by the fresh
weight contaminant concentration of the crop, and by the bioavailability  of  the pollutant when
consumed with the crop:

       Dc     =      E, (CWn FC1  DC.   B,  10'6)
where:
       B,-     =      Bioavailability of pollutant when consumed in crop i (unitless),
                     Tissue concentration of pollutant j in crop i (mg/kg fresh weight),
          -
       DC     =      Dose  of pollutant  j  from  crops  produced  with  sludge-amended  soil
                     (mg/kg/day),
       DC,-    =      Daily dietary consumption of crop i (mg/kg/day fresh weight),
       FCi    =      Fraction of dietary  consumption of crop i grown  in sludge-amended soil
                     (unitless)
                                                                         4
       In the second step, MEI dose of the contaminant through consumption of animals raised on
contaminated feed is determined.  This step incorporates the contamination  of animal products
through both consumption of contaminated feed and through grazing.  The equations are similar to
those discussed for dose from crop consumption:
       Da     =      =k
-------
       Finally, dose from crop and animal consumption are summed:

       D;      =      Dc + Da
where:
       Dj     =      Total exposure to pollutant j from crops, meat and dairy products produced
                     with sludge-amended soil (mg/kg/day).

Method for Determining MET Cancer Risk

       Once the daily dose estimate to the MEI is estimated, it is combined with information about
the cancer slope factors of TCDD and TCDF to obtain an estimate of lifetime risk from dietary
exposure to these contaminants.  The calculation of MEI  risk is:

       1C            =      DOSEMEI  q1*
where:
       DOSEMEI      =      weighted average daily dose for an MEI, mg/kg/day
       1C            =      individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSEavg of TCDD or TCDF
       q,,*            =      incremental lifetime risk per mg/kg/day dose of TCDD or TCDF
                                                                         4
Method for Determining Population Contaminant Dose from Ineestion of Foods Grown in Sludge-
amended Soil

       Contaminant doses are calculated for each state in  which sludge is applied agriculturally and
then summed over these states to yield total population dose. The dose from the dietary pathway is
calculated by summing three  inputs: dose of contaminant bioavailable in crops for direct human
consumption,  dose  of  contaminant  bioavailable  in  animal products contaminated by  crop
consumption, and dose of contaminant bioavailable in animal products contaminated by grazing. The
following calculation describes typical population dose:
              -     (Dj + A; + Gp/BW/DP/DY
where:
       Aj     =     Dose of pollutant j bioavailable in animal products contaminated by crop
                    consumption (mgs/year)
       DP     =     Population over which the crops and animal products are distributed
       BW     =     Body weight (kgs)
       DY     =     Days per year
                                        167

-------
       D.     =      Dose of pollutant j  bioavailable  in crops for direct human consumption
                     (mgs/year)
       G-     =      Dose of pollutant j bioavailable in animal products contaminated by grazing
                     (includes soil adherence and grass uptake) (mgs/year)
       TD.    =      Total exposure to pollutant j from crops, meat and dairy products produced
                     with sludge-amended soil (mg/kg/day)

The following discussion describes the methods used to obtain each of the three components of the
estimation of total dose.

Method for Determining Population Contaminant Dose from  Ingestion of Crops

       The dose of contaminant bioavailable in crops for direct human consumption is calculated
by multiplying the mass of each crop grown on sludge-amended land  that is directly consumed by
humans by the tissue concentration of the crop. The result is  multiplied by a bioavailability factor:

       Dj     =      (MH, CW.. B5)
where:
       Bi     =      Bioavailability of pollutant when consumed in crop i (unitless),
       CW..   =      Tissue concentration of pollutant j in crop i (mg/kg fresh weight),
       MHi   =      Mass of crop i grown on sludge-amended land  that is consumed directly by
                     humans (kgs fresh weight/year).

       The mass of each crop grown on sludge-amended land that is consumed directly by humans
is calculated by multiplying total acres of the crop receiving sludge by the crop yield. This mass is
then multiplied by the percent of the crop consumed directly by humans:

       M,    =      A,  Y,
       MH,   =      Mi  PH^
where:
       Ai     =      Sludge-amended land area on which crop i is grown  (hectares/year),
       Mj    =      Mass of crop i grown on sludge-amended land (kgs/year),
       Yi     =      Yield per area of crop i (kgs/hectare),
              =      Percent of crop  i consumed directly by humans (unitless).
                                            168

-------
Method for  Determining Population  Contaminant  Dose  from Ingestion  of Animals  Fed  on
Contaminated Crops

       To determine the dose of contaminant available through consumption of animal products
fed contaminated crops, the mass of each contaminated crop fed to  animals is multiplied  by an
animal product yield from each weight unit of contaminated feed. To obtain a dose to humans who
ingest the animal products, this yield is multiplied by contaminant concentration in the animal tissue,
percent of the animal that is fat, and a bioavailability factor:

       Aj     -      ฃjk(MAJk YAk CWjk Bk PFk / FAkj)
where:
       Bk     =      Bioavailability of  pollutant  when consumed in meat  or  dairy  product  k
                     (unitless),
       CW.k  =      Tissue concentration of pollutant j in meat or dairy product k (mg/kg fresh
                     weight),
       FAkj   =      Fraction of dietary consumption of crop i for animal k (unitless),
       MAjk  =      Mass of crop i  grown  on  sludge-amended land  that is fed  to animal  k
                     (kgs/year),
       PFk    =      Percent fat in animal product k (unitless),
              =      Yield of animal k per unit of corn-equivalent feed (kg/kg).
              To obtain the mass of each crop fed to each animal the mass of each crop fed to all
animals is divided between the animals according to each animal's percentage of total consumption:

       MA,   =      Mj - MH,.

       MAik  =      MAj((NkCk)/Ek(NkCk))
where:
       Ck     =      Food consumed per animal k (kgs/year)
       MAj   =      Mass of crop i grown on sludge-amended land  that is fed to animals (kgs
                     fresh weight/year)
       Nk     =      Number of animal k in the state
                                           169

-------
Method for Determining Population  Contaminant Dose  from Ingestion of Animals  Grazing on
Contaminated Pasture Land

       To obtain the dose of contaminant from animal products raised on sludge-amended pasture
land, the number of contaminated animals marketed is multiplied  by an average production weight
to yield a total mass of meat available for consumption. This mass is then multiplied by the tissue
contaminant concentration,  the percent of the animal that is fat, and a bioavailability factor:

       G,     -     2g(NSg WHg CWjk Bk PFk)
where
       NS     =     Number of each  animal, g, grown on sludge-amended land and marketed
                    (animals/year),
       WH    =     Average U.S. production of grazing animal g per head marketed (kgs/animal).

       The number of each type of animal raised on sludge-amended land is the product of the
percentage of pasture land that receives contaminated sludge and the total number of animals grazed
on pasture land. The resulting number of animals is then multiplied by percent of grazed animals
that are marketed each year:

       NSg    =     (SPC/PC) Ng PMg
where:
       N     =     Number of grazing animal g in  the counties with sludge-amended pasture,
       Pc     *     Total pasture land in all counties with sludge-amended pasture land in state
                    (hectares),
       PM    s=     Percent of grazing animals g marketed per year on a national basis,
       SPC    =     Sludge-amended  pasture  land  in all  counties in  state applying sludge
                    agriculturally (hectares).

Method for Determining Cancer  Risk

       Once the daily dose estimate  is obtained, it is combined with the cancer slope factors of
TCDD and TCDF to obtain an estimate of lifetime risk from dietary exposure to these contaminants.
The calculation of typical individual risk is:

       1C     =      DOSEayg  QI*
                                            170

-------
where:
       DOSE    =    weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
       1C     =      individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSE    of TCDD or TCDF
       q.,*    =      incremental lifetime risk per mg/kg/day dose of TCDD or TCDF

Individual cancer risk for an typical exposed individual is converted to annual total population risk
(in cases per year) by multiplying  individual exposure by the number of persons exposed to the
individual risk and dividing by the average person's lifespan, as described in the following equation:

       PC    =      1C  POP / LS
where:
       LS     =      average lifespan of an individual = 70 years
       PC    =      population risk, cancer cases per year
       POP   =      population exposed to DOSEflvg

Data Sources and Model Inputs

       The  values used for each model input are summarized in  Table 2.4.F and Table 2.4.G for
typical individuals and the most exposed individual, respectively.  The following sections describe
each input and document the data sources used to obtain values for each model input parameter.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Soil Concentration

       The  methodology for calculating soil concentration is discussed in Appendix A.  Estimates
of application  rates and depth of soil incorporation were obtained  from the Bureau of Pollution
Control,  Mississippi  Department of Environmental Quality for  Mississippi sites and from the
Pennsylvania Bureau of Waste Management  for the Pennsylvania sites. Sludge is assumed to be soil
incorporated in both states at 6 inches. Application rates are estimated at  58 dry metric tons per
hectare for Mississippi and 18 dry metric tons per hectare for Pennsylvania.  Table 2.4.A displays
the average  soil  concentrations over a 70 year period  assumed to result from land application of
sludge.

Data Sources and Model Inputs for Sludge-amended Acreage. Crops Grown on Sludge-amended
Land, and Percent of Crops Fed to Animals
       The Mississippi Department of Environmental Quality estimates that approximately 1000
acres of farm land are sludge-amended in that state. The Pennsylvania Bureau of Waste Management
                                           171

-------












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    estimates that about 50 acres of agricultural land  in that state are amended with sludge.  The
    Mississippi Department of Environmental Quality stated that  the major crops grown on sludge-
    amended land are wheat, corn, and soybeans and that a small amount of sludge is applied to grazing
    pasture.  This analysis  assumes that 90% of the  Mississippi sludge-amended land is split between
    wheat, corn, and soybeans and that 10% is pasture land.  The wheat, corn, and soybean percentages
    of land are proportioned according to the land use of the  two Mississippi counties which receive the
    sludge.  This  data was obtained from the county extension agent from one of the counties.  In this
    analysis 23% of the sludge-amended land in Mississippi is assumed to produce wheat, 28% to produce
    corn, and 39% to produce soybeans. Estimates of the percentages of these crops that are consumed
    directly by humans were also obtained from the county extension agent. One hundred percent of the
    wheat, 10% of the corn, and  60% of the soybeans are assumed to be consumed directly by humans.
    The Pennsylvania Bureau of Waste Management stated that the major crop grown on sludge-amended
    land was corn.  One hundred percent of this corn is assumed to be animal feed.
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Animals Consuming Sludge-amended Corn and Soybeans and
    Percentage of Crop  to Each Animal
    
           Specific  animals  consuming  sludge-amended   corn and  soybeans  in  Mississippi  were
    determined through discussions with a  Mississippi county extension agent.  This analysis assumes
    that  Mississippi animal corn  is fed to beef cattle, hogs,  and chickens (broilers). The percentage of
    contaminated corn fed to each of these animals was estimated as the product of the number of each
    type of animal in Mississippi and the average consumption of  each animal divided by the sum of
    these products for all animals consuming contaminated feed. These data are displayed in Table 2.4.E.
    The  resulting assumptions are that 96%  of the corn fed to animals is fed to beef cattle, 3% to hogs,
    arid  1% to broilers.
    
           Though soybeans grown in the two Mississippi counties  that apply contaminated sludge may
    be fed to hogs, chickens (broilers), and laying hens,  the majority of the soybeans fed to animals are
    fed to catfish (Mississippi county extension agent). Since additional information on the percentages
    fed to catfish and to other animals is unavailable, 100% of the contaminated soybeans fed to animals
    are assumed  to be fed  to catfish.  This assumption will affect exposure results to the degree that
    bioconcentration factors (BCF), the contaminated percentage of  the animal, and animal product yield
    per unit feed differ between catfish and the other animals that may consume contaminated soybeans.
    Bioconcentration factors, (discussed below) for hogs and broilers are higher than the bioconcentration
    factor  for catfish in "best estimates".  No uptake rate assumption for eggs  has been made but  fat
    content of eggs is assumed to  be the same  as the fat content  of chicken (Pocchiari, et al,  1986).
    Because bioconcentration factors used in the "best estimate" are higher  for hogs and chickens than
                                                184
    

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    for catfish, the assumption that 100% of soybeans are fed to catfish may understate risk. However,
    catfish yield  per  unit of food (discussed below) is higher than  the yields  for the other  animals.
    Furthermore, the BCF for catfish reflects the contaminant concentration in the filet whereas the BCF
    for hogs and chickens estimates the concentration  in the animals'  fat.  The fat percentage of the
    animal is a small percentage of the total animal product consumed.  Therefore, the assumption that
    all contaminated  soybeans fed to animals are  fed to  catfish probably results in risk estimates
    approximately equal to  the risk estimates from a scenario where some soybeans are fed  to other
    animals.
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Crop Yields
           In order to  determine the quantity of contaminated food available for  consumption, this
    analysis calculates the crop yield specific to each state for the planted acres (U.S. Department of
    Agriculture, 1985).  These numbers are reported in Table 2.4.F.
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Animal Feed Mixes
    
           The level of animal tissue contamination depends on the percent of the animals' diet that is
    contaminated.  Commodity  Maps from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (US  Department of
    Agriculture,  1982)  provide information on these feed mixes. From these data, and from pasture
    data described below, the percentage that each type of crop contributes to an animal's total diet can
    be derived.
    
           Estimates for pasture consumption were derived from AGDATC data base maintained by
    the Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Dividing an  estimated national total of 202.7 million metric
    tons of pasture consumption per year among beef  cattle, milk cattle and lambs, estimates for the
    pasture fraction of beef cattle and milk cattle  were  obtained. Table 2.4.H summarizes national feed
    totals for beef and milk cattle, chickens, and  hogs.  Catfish data  are not  included in the AGDATC
    data base.  Instead,  a Mississippi catfish feed mill was consulted  to obtain the fraction of  a catfish
    diet that consists of  soybeans. According to this source, soybean meal constitutes approximately one
    half of the diet of farmed catfish (Delta Western Feed Mills, 1989).
    
           Grazing animals - beef cattle and milk cattle in this analysis - also directly  ingest some
    sludge due to sludge adherence to pasture grasses.  U.S. EPA (1988b) describes various studies that
    have attempted to quantify the amount of sludge that grazing animals ingest. Studies have found that
    approximately eight percent of forage consisted of  sludge 7-21 days after sludge application. EPA
    selected this value to approximate the sludge fraction of grazing animals' diets when setting national
    criteria for municipal sewage sludge regulations.  This value was used in the current analysis for the
                                                 186
    

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    -------
    "best estimate" of typical and MEI risk.  Ranges of soil ingestion estimates used in this analysis are
    from  1.5% in the "low" risk estimate (NCASI, 1987) to  10% in the "high" risk estimate (U.S. EPA,
    1988b).  In all cases, the percentages of other  foods in the grazing animal's diet are reduced to
    accommodate estimated dietary percentage from sludge ingestion.
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Animal Yields per Unit of Food Consumed
    
           The estimate of the quantity of contaminated food that is available for human consumption
    uses a relationship between animal food intake and animal product produced. Data  from the U.S.
    Department of Agriculture (1985) provides feed consumption per unit of production in equivalent
    feeding value of corn for milk cows, beef cattle, broilers, and hogs. These data are used to obtain
    animal product yield for Mississippi and Pennsylvania animals consuming corn.  In the absence of
    more  specific  knowledge and information on animal yields from consumption of corn silage, this
    analysis assumes that in Pennsylvania and Mississippi the corn fed to animals is grain.  The animal
    yield  data are  listed in Table 2.4.F.
    
           Since the corn-equivalent feeding value of grass was not known, the production units of
    grazing animals were calculated separately. Sludge is only applied to pasture in Mississippi. Of the
    1000 acres receiving sludge in Mississippi, 10 percent, or 100 acres, are assumed to be pasture land
    (Mississippi agricultural  extension  agent).   The two  counties in  Mississippi, applying sludge
    agriculturally have a total pasture land of 43,000 acres according to conversations with a Mississippi
    agricultural extension agent.  Therefore approximately  0.2% of the pasture land is estimated to be
    sludge-amended. The two counties  have approximately 24,000 beef cows and cattle.  Assuming the
    cattle are grazed equally qver all the pasture land, 48 cattle would be grazed on sludge-amended land.
    Data  from USDA (1985) indicates that of the national beef cow and cattle holdings  for 1985,  54%
    were  marketed in 1985.   Applying  this percentage  to Mississippi beef cows and cattle grazed on
    sludge-amended  land, the estimate  of the number marketed  per year is 26.  Finally, USDA  data
    indicate that the  average beef cattle produces 433 pounds per head which, when multiplied by the
    26 marketed cows and cattle, results in 11,258 marketed pounds (5100 kgs) of cows and cattle grazed
    on sludge-amended pasture.
    
           To obtain catfish yield  per unit of feed, a Mississippi  catfish feed mill  was consulted.
    According to this source, one unit of feed yields approximately one-half unit of catfish production
    (Delta Western Feed Mill, 1989).
                                                 188
    

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    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Uptake Rates to Plant Tissue
    
           U.S. EPA has reviewed studies of plant uptake and has estimated above ground plant uptake
    at 2 percent (U.S. EPA, 1988a).  This estimate is based largely on the data presented in Sacchi et al.
    (1986) and Wipf et al (1982). A more recent EPA memo evaluated new studies to determine the need
    for modification to this uptake rate and concluded that there was no support for modification.  A
    2% uptake rate (dry weight) is used for the aboveground crops for typical and MEI "best estimates"
    in this evaluation.
           Uptake rates, however, are uncertain.  Studies have variously found no TCDD in edible
    aboveground portions  (fruits and grains) of plants in contaminated soil  (Wipf, 1982) (soil level
    approximately  10,000 ppt; detection limit 1 ppt); and uptake rates of 15 percent (Young, 1983).  In
    addition,  TCDD and TCDF volatilization and  subsequent adsorption  onto plant cuticles may  be
    occurring but not captured  in some experiments. In this  analysis, an uptake rate of 0.001 is used
    for typical individual "low risk" and 0.15 for typical individual and MEI "high risk".
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Animal Bioconcentration Factors
    
           From crop uptake rates and from information on  the typical diets of livestock, the average
    dry weight concentrations of contaminants in animal  feeds can be calculated. The rates at which
    animals  incorporate  these  feed  contaminants into their tissues  are then  used  to  calculate
    concentrations of the contaminants in meats or dairy products. Bioconcentration factors for animals
    are listed  in Table 2.4.F for  typical individuals and 2.4.G for the MEI.  The uptake rates for TCDD
    and TCDF are  assumed to be equal to each other for all animals except fish.
    
           Beef and milk fat uptake rates for halogenated hydrocarbons are reviewed by Fries (1982).
    Fries assumes that the disposition of ingested residues is the same regardless of the dietary component
    that contains the residue. He evaluates  information on the relationship of dietary residue to the
    resulting product residue and applies this relationship to all routes of dietary exposure.
    
           Fries reports that a given intake level of contaminant will product similar steady-state residue
    levels in the milk fat of dairy cows and the body fat of non-lactating animals.  He suggests an uptake
    rate of 4-5 times the dietary concentration (plant dry weight concentration to animal fresh weight
    concentration) at all dietary concentrations for milk fat  at steady state (reached within 60 days).
    Several long-term studies involving cattle and sheep fed halogenated hydrocarbons indicate a steady-
    state uptake rate of 5-6 times the concentration in the diet (plant dry weight concentration to animal
    fresh  weight concentration)  with those compounds that produced the highest tissue concentration
    relative to diet concentration. Cattle study durations were 712 and 476 days, with steers found to
                                                 189
    

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    reach a steady-state concentration in about 280 days (Bovard et al, 19^1 and Rumsey and Bond,
    1974).  Hog fat and chicken fat bioconcentration factors are assumed to be equal to beef fat. This
    analysis assumes a bioconcentration factor of 4 in the typical and MEI "best estimates" for all animals
    except catfish.
    
           "Low" and "best" bioconcentration factors for fish based on dietary intake are taken from
    U.S. EPA (1989h). The mean fish BCF for TCDD from contaminated dietary sources was given as
    0.0967 (whole  body,  wet" weight  basis) in the EPA  memo.  This BCF  was based  on seven
    measurements.  U.S. EPA referenced one study of bioconcentration of TCDF from dietary sources.
    This study  measured bioconcentration for a warm water species as 0.1538  on a whole body, wet
    weight basis.
    
           Since contaminated sediment can result in fish being exposed to a contaminant through the
    dietary pathway, fish to sediment ratios also estimate bioconcentration from dietary sources.  U.S.
    EPA (1988a) reviewed a variety of studies of fish to sediment ratios and,observed that the ratios
    typically range from 1:1 to 10:1.  A dietary bioconcentration factor of 10 is used  in this analysis for
    the typical individual and MEI "high" risk estimates for both TCDD and TCDF. To estimate fish filet
    concentrations from whole fish concentration, bioconcentration factors are multiplied by 0.5 (U.S.
    EPA, 1989h).
                                                                               t
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for MEI  Dietary Consumption
    
           Since the methodology for calculating typical population exposure computes the quantity of
    contaminated food available  for consumption and then distributes this food over the consuming
    population, it is not necessary to estimate the percent of dietary consumption which is contaminated
    with sludge.   The MEI analysis, on the other  hand,  estimates exposure  as a percent of  MEI
    consumption and requires dietary information.
    
           For the MEI the estimates of dietary consumption are drawn from the U.S. EPA's Office of
    Pesticide Programs' Tolerance Assessment System (TAS) dietary data base (U.S.  EPA,  1987a).  The
    TAS data base contains statistics for average daily consumption (in fresh weight grams per kilogram
    of body weight per day). For estimates of MEI exposure, the consumption  data for a non-nursing
    infant are used. This level of consumption is unlikely to be maintained over a lifetime and will yield
    a conservative estimate of risk. However, the TAS database reports average consumption rates for
    several age groups and does not represent individuals with unusually high consumption rates per unit
    of body weight. Therefore, the conservative method described above was chosen to compensate for
    outlying high individual rates of consumption that are not represented by TAS data.
                                                 190
    

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           As a less conservative  alternative to the consumption rates of a non-nursing infant, the
    consumption rates listed in TAS as the average consumption for the U.S. population (48 states, all
    seasons) could be used to estimate risk.  Replacing non-nursing infant consumption rates with U.S.
    average consumption rates decreases the estimates  of MEI risk from  the dietary  pathway (land
    application disposal method) by approximately a factor of two.
    
           The consumption rates  used in each case are listed below.
    
                                non-nursing                U.S.
                                infant                      average
                                (mg/kg/day)                (mg/kg/day)
    wheat                       1031                       1411
    corn                        693                        408
    beef fat                     191                        372
    dairy fat                    1424                       429
    pork fat                     146                        208
    chicken                     508                        379
    soybean oil                  1359                       322
    fish                         59                         253
          The TAS consumption value used for soybeans is that given for "soybean oil" since no value
    for "soybeans"  is given.  However, soybean  oil consumption probably approximates soybean
    consumption since most human consumption of soybeans is in the form of oil. Since TAS does not
    break down fish consumption by species of fish, the analysis assumes that all fish consumed by the
    MEI is catfish.  Beef, pork, and dairy consumption values include only the animal product fat, since
    the TCDD concentrations are calculated  for animal fat. Pork, beef, and milk fat consumption values
    are given in TAS.  Chicken total consumption values  are taken from TAS and then reduced by
    multiplying by percent fat (NCASI, 1987).  Since the fish BCF calculates the concentration in muscle
    (filet), no adjustment is made to the fish consumption figure.
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Animal Product Fat Percentages
    
          As discussed above, chicken fat percentages are needed in the MEI estimate to convert chicken
    consumption to chicken fat consumption. In addition, animal product fat percentages are used in the
    population exposure estimates to convert from total animal production units grown on contaminated
    land to animal fat production units grown on contaminated land. This conversion is necessary since
    bioconcentration factors reflect  the concentration in the animal product fat, except  for catfish.
                                               191
    

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          Kimbrough et al. (1984) gives beef fat percentages at between 8 and 12 percent; pork fat
    between 6 and 8 percent; and milk fat at 4 percent.  The National Council of the Paper Industry for
    Air and Stream Improvement uses a milk fat percent of 3.7% and a beef fat percent of 12% (NCASI,
    1987). The State of Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources suggests 12.6% beef fat, 4% dairy
    fat, 8% hog fat, and 10% chicken fat.  The animal product fat percentages used in this analysis are
    listed in Table 2.4.F. for typical individuals and 2.4.G for the MEI.
    
    Data Sources and Percent of MEI Diet that is Home-Grown
    
          MEI consumption estimates are adjusted to reflect the percentage of the diet which is grown
    on sludge-amended land. The MEI is defined as a rural farmer applying sludge to all crops that are
    assumed in this analysis to be grown on sludge-amended land.  The farmer is also assumed to feed
    the crops to all animal species that consume contaminated food according to this analysis.
    
          The MEI is assumed to obtain only a portion of food consumed from her or his farm.  U.S.
    EPA has estimated the percent of annual consumption which is homegrown for various foods for
    rural farm households (U.S.D.A. 1966, cited in U.S. EPA, 1988b). These data are used in this analysis
    and are presented in  Table 2.4.G.
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Bioavailabilitv
    
          Human exposures are adjusted for bioavailability of the contaminant via  ingestion.  The
    bioavailability of 2,3,7,8-TCDD for fatty or oily foods and for other foods is estimated by U.S.
    FDA (1989).  This analysis uses the ranges of bioavailability given by FDA for the "low" and "high
    risk" estimates and  the midpoint of the range for the "best estimate" in  the typical  individual
    scenarios.  The high  value given by FDA is used in  both  the "best estimate" and "high risk" MEI
    scenarios.
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs for Population to which Contaminated Produce is Distributed
    
          To  determine typical  exposures, total available quantity of contaminated food is divided by
    the population across which the crop or animal product is distributed.  Though this calculation
    indicates the population at risk, the distribution population will not affect total population cancer
    risk (assumed to  be a  linear  function of dose) since the total  pollutant dose has already been
    determined.  According to the county extension agent in one of two Mississippi counties applying
    sludge  to agricultural land, the grains from the counties are distributed nationally.  The Mississippi
    Cattle Industry Board stated that beef cattle are also  distributed nationally. Catfish, chicken, and
                                                192
    

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    hogs produced in Mississippi are assumed to be nationally distributed.  The only sludge-amended
    agricultural products from Pennsylvania are dairy products. Pennsylvania dairy products are generally
    distributed throughout the New England  and Mid-Atlantic regions according to the  Harrisburg
    Department of Agriculture.  The estimated sizes of the populations to which contaminated animal
    products and crops are distributed are shown in Table 2.4.F.
    
    2.4.3 Estimates of Exposure and Risks from Direct Ingestion of Sludge
    
          Direct ingestion of soil can occur when sludge is applied to sites where people may live and
    work, such as a family farm. To model the risks from the direct ingestion of sludge contaminated
    with TCDD and TCDF, this analysis adapts a model developed  by Hawley (1985) which accounts
    for differences in exposure  to indoor and outdoor concentrations of soil contaminants. Children
    ingest far more soil on average than adults; however, adults may also inadvertently ingest soil that
    adheres to food or cigarettes.
    
    Description of Calculations
    
          The calculation of risks  from  direct ingestion of soil is straightforward.   First,  the soil
    concentrations outdoors and the dust concentration indoors are estimated. The outdoor contaminant
    concentration is multiplied by the quantity of dirt consumed outdoors, while the indoor contaminant
    concentration is multiplied by the quantity of indoor dust ingested daily.  Risk is estimated based on
    the daily quantity of soil and dust ingested, the gastrointestinal absorption of TCDD and TCDF from
    soil, and the cancer slope factors of TCDD and TCDF.
    
    Description of Calculations for Estimating Exposure
    
          The concentrations of TCDD and TCDF in outdoor soil are estimated as described in Appendix
    A.  To obtain an estimate of indoor dust contaminant concentrations, the following calculation is
    performed:
    where :-
          Cin   *     concentration of contaminant in indoor dust, mg/kg
        _ ฃ,^  „.. — „ concentration of contaminant in outdoor soil, mg/kg
          F     =     ratio of  the  contaminant concentration  in  indoor dust to the contaminant
                      concentration in outdoor soil
                                                193
    

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          Once the indoor dust and outdoor soil contaminant concentrations are computed, the daily
    dose of contaminant is calculated for persons in three age groups: young children (ages 1-6), older
    children (ages 7-11), and adults (ages 12 and older). The daily dose is calculated as:
    
          DOSEg     =      [(C0  DCg  FBfOUt) +  (C-n DCg Fg>J] ABg / BWg
    where:
          AB • =     systemic absorption rate from gastrointestinal tract (expressed as a fraction)
          BW   =     body weight of individual in age group g
          CQ    =     concentration of contaminant in soil, mg/kg
          Cjn   =     concentration of contaminant in indoor dust, mg/kg
          DC   =     daily soil ingestion rate for  individual in age group g, g/day
          DOSE      =     daily dose to  individual in age group g, mg/kg/day
          F_ ,_ =     fraction of ingested soil from indoor sources, adult
           g, in
          F  QUt =     fraction of ingested soil from outdoor sources, older child
    
    First, for each age group, the concentration of TCDD or TCDF in outdoor soil is multiplied by total
    quantity of soil ingested each day and by the fraction of ingested soil  from outdoor sources for that
    age group. The same calculations are performed for indoor dust ingestion.  The total daily quantity
    of ingested soil-bound TCDD or TCDF is the sum of the indoor and outdoor quantities ingested. The
    model then adjusts the total quantity of ingested soil-bound TCDD or TCDF by the fraction absorbed
    into the system through the gastrointestinal tract, and divides by the  body weight of an individual
    in that age group to obtain an average daily dose in mg/kg/day for that age group.
    
          The  weighted average daily dose of contaminant over an individual's lifetime is calculated as
    the sum of the daily doses for each age group weighted by  the fraction of the individual's  lifespan
    spent as a member of that age group, as described in the following calculation:
    where:
    DOSEavg=   SFg DOSEg
    
    DOSEavg    =     average daily dose over lifetime, mg/kg/day
    DOSE       =     daily dose for individual in age group g, mg/kg/day
    F           =     fraction of an individual's lifetime spent in  age group g
                                                 194
    

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    Description of Cancer Risk Calculations
    
          Once the daily dose estimate is obtained, it is combined with the cancer slope factors of TCDD
    and TCDF to obtain an estimate of lifetime risk from direct ingestion exposure to these contaminants.
    The calculation of individual risk is:
    
          1C    =     DOSEavg  q/
    where:
          DOSE    =  weighted average daily dose for an individual, mg/kg/day
          1C    =     individual cancer risk over lifetime from DOSEavg of TCDD or TCDF
          q.,*   =     incremental lifetime risk per mg/kg/day dose of TCDD or TCDF
    
    Individual cancer risk for a typical exposed individual is converted to annual total population risk
    (in cases per year) by multiplying the number of persons exposed by the individual risk and dividing
    by the average person's  lifespan, as described in the following equation:
    
          PC   -     1C  POP / LS
    where:
          LS    =     average lifespan of an individual = 70 years
          PC   =     population risk, cancer cases per year
          POP  =     population exposed to DOSEavg
    
    Data Sources and Model Inputs
    
          The values used for each model input for "low risk," "best" and "high risk" typical exposure
    estimates are summarized in Table 2.4.1.  The values used to derive the MEI "best" and "high risk"
    exposures are  found in Table 2.4.J.   The  best MEI exposure estimate  is derived by combining
    estimates of behavioral input parameters with the best estimates of physical/chemical properties of
    TCDD and TCDF.  The "high risk" estimate of MEI exposure uses the same behavioral inputs,  but
    combines them with the high estimates of physical and chemical parameters of TCDD and TCDF.
    
          The following sections describe  each input and documents the data sources used to derive the
    values for the parameters for both the typical and MEI analyses. Where parameter input values differ
    for the "best" and "high risk" MEI exposure estimates, these differences  are discussed.  For those
    behavioral input parameters that do not vary between the "best" and "high risk" MEI calculations, a
    single value for the MEI analysis is discussed.
                                                195
    

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