EPA-600/3-81-001
                                        January 1981
                     PROJECT SUMMARY
MODIFICATIONS OF MODELS PREDICTING TROPHIC STATE OF LAKES
         Adjustment of Models to Account for the
          Biological Manifestations of Nutrients
                            by

         S.  C.  Hern, V.  W.  Lambou, L. R. Williams
                     and W.  D. Taylor
       ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING SYSTEMS LABORATORY
           OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
          U.S.  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                 LAS VEGAS,  NEVADA  89114

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                                  ABSTRACT

     The strong relationship between total phosphorus and phytoplankton bio-
mass in lakes has been clearly confirmed by researchers.   What is now needed
to predict algal  biomass for making better management decisions for individual
lakes is a quantitative understanding of the range in biomass (as measured by
chlorophyll a) per unit of phosphorus.  This range extends over several orders
of magnitude.
     To determine the environmental factors affecting the response of phyto-
plankton chlorophyll  a. to total phosphorus concentration, we analyzed data
collected from 757 U.S. lakes.  We found that light attenuation from inter-
ferences not related to chlorophyll .§_ can dramatically affect the quantity of
phytoplankton biomass in many U.S. lakes.  The ratio of biologically avail-
able phosphorus to nitrogen is, 1n some cases, an important factor in
determining the amount of chlorophyll a_ produced per unit of phosphorus
present.
     This report presents methods to modify nutrient ambient- and loading-
models that predict the trophic state of lakes to:
          1.  change the trophic classification based on an ambient total
              phosphorus level to one based on the biological manifest-
              ation of nutrients as measured by chlorophyll a^
          2.  allow determination of the critical levels of phosphorus
              that will result in unacceptable levels of chlorophyll a_, and
          3.  account for the unique characteristics of a lake that
              affect the amount of chlorophyll .a produced per unit of
              phosphorus.
     We found that, if chlorophyll a. were used as the trophic classification
criterion rather than total phosphorus, many U.S. lakes would be classified
lower, i.e., less eutrophic.

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                                INTRODUCTION

     Phosphorus supply is considered to be the primary determinant of algal
community biomass and production in most temperate zone lakes.  Researchers
clearly confirm the strong correlation between total phosphorus and phyto-
plankton biomass (as measured by chlorophyll a).  What is presently needed to
predict algae biomass for management decisions on individual lakes is a
quantitative understanding of the range in biomass (chlorophyll .a) per unit
of phosphorus; this range extends over orders of magnitude.
     Existing models predict ambient total phosphorus lake concentration from
tributary phosphorus loading data.  These and similar models are widely used
to indicate the degree of eutrophy of lakes and evaluate the environmental
effects of ambient phosphorus levels in lakes and, accordingly, to make
decisions about lake management, e.g., the manipulation of ambient total
phosphorus concentration to produce a desired environmental effect.  All these
models use levels of 10 and 20 micrograms per liter of ambient phosphorus con-
centrations to divide lakes into three standard trophic classifications—
oligotrophic, mesotrophic, and eutrophic—on the assumption that the relation-
ship of phytoplankton biomass to phosphorus is the same for all lakes.
     However, the use and incorporation of phosphorus into phytoplankton bio-
mass varies significantly from lake to lake.  The efficiency of use of phos-
phorus is largely dependent on the availability of light, sufficient supply
of other nutrients, and biological availability of the various phosphorus
species.
     The use of these models to predict phytoplankton biomass from actual or
potential phosphorus concentrations in individual bodies of water could lead
to faulty management decisions if the factors affecting the use of phosphorus
are not taken into consideration.   This study evaluates the factors affecting
the relationship of phytoplankton biomass to phosphorus levels and shows how
to modify models predicting the trophic state of lakes to take these factors
into account.  The data base used to evaluate the factors was derived from
data collected in the National Eutrophication Survey during the spring,  sum-
mer and fall of 1972 through 1975, and involved 757 of the lakes surveyed
throughout the 48 conterminous States.

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                                CONCLUSIONS
      Previous workers have established a strong  relationship  between  CHLA
 (a  measure of phytoplankton biomass) and total phosphorus  in  lakes.   They
 report an extremely high log-log product moment  correlation coefficients
 ranging  from 0.85 to 0.98 between chlorophyll a.  and  total  phosphorus  in  lakes.
 The implication of these findings is that phosphorus  is  the element that
 controls algal biomass.  However, v/e believe that  the relationship between
 chlorophyll a_ and total phosphorus described by  these workers  represents  the
 situation under nearly ideal conditions, i.e., without major  interferences.
      In  our study of 757 U.S. lakes, a log-log product moment  correlation
 coefficient of only 0.60 was found between chlorophyll a. and  total phosphorus,
 and the  response ratio (i.e., the amount of chlorophyll  a_  produced per unit
 of  total phosphorus) was found to vary greatly.  We  concluded  that many U.S.
 lakes do not reach maximum production of chlorophyll  a^ because of interference
 factors.
      Interference factors that may prevent phyotplankton chlorophyll  a. from
 achieving maximum theoretical concentrations based upon  ambient total  phos-
 phorus levels in a lake include availability of  light, limitation of  growth
 factors  other than total phosphorus components,  domination of  the aquatic
 flora by vascular plants rather than phytoplankton,  short  hydraulic retention
 time, and the presence of toxic substances.  We  found that light attenuation
 from non-chlorophyll ji. related interferences can dramatically  affect  the
 quantity of phytoplankton biomass present in lakes.   Also, in  some cases, the
 ratio of biologically available phosphorus to nitrogen is  an  important factor
 in  determining the amount of chlorophyll a^ produced  per  unit of total  phos-
 phorus, while temperature is not an important factor.
te
      Most of the trophic classification schemes  for  lakes  use  nutrient levels
 rather than the biological manifestation of nutrients as measured by  chloro-
 phyll £  as the basis of classification.  We found  that,  when  classified on
 the basis of chlorophyll a. rather than total phosphorus, 25 percent of the
 757 lakes used in the study were classified lower, i.e., less  eutrophic.  If,
 in  fact, the large population of lakes used in this  study  is  representative
 of  conditions throughout the U.S., and if the manifestations of nutrients

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 rather than their absolute concentrations are the primary criteria for
beneficial  water use,   many communities could be spared the burden of costly
 nutrient-removal  programs suggested by phosphorus-based trophic classifi-
 cations.
      We developed methods to modify loading and ambient models that predict
 the trophic state of  lakes to (1)  change the trophic classification based on
 an ambient total  phosphorus level  to one based on the biological  manifestation
 of nutrients as measured by chlorophyll a^ (2) determine the critical  levels
 of total phosphorus which will  result in an unacceptable level of chlorophyll
 a^ so that  the level of total phosphorus can be manipulated to achieve  the
 desired use of a given waterbody;  and (3) account for the unique  character-
 istics of a lake that affect the amount of chlorophyll a. produced per  unit of
 total phosphorus.

                               RECOMMENDATIONS
      The commonly used ambient and loading models predict the trophic  state
 of a lake  from total  phosphorus levels and assume that all lakes  will  respond
 in the same manner to a given ambient total phosphorus concentration.   Because
 non-chlorophyll a. light interferences and other interferences in  many  U.S.
 lakes significantly decrease the amount of chlorophyll a_ produced per  unit of
 total phosphorus, and since excessive algal growth or other manifestations  of
 nutrients  are more important from  a water quality standpoint than a trophic
 classifiaction based  on an arbitrary ambient total  phosphorus level, we
 recommend  that ambient and loading models predicting trophic state be  adjusted
 to account for the amount of chlorophyll  a^ produced per unit of total  phos-
 phorus in  a lake.

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                                 DISCLAIMER
    This report has been reviewed by the Environmental  Monitoring and Support
Laboratory-Las Vegas, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, and approved for
publication.  Mention of trade names or commercial  products does not
constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.
                                     11

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                                   CONTENTS

                                                                          Page
Figures	iv
Tables	   v
Abbreviations 	  vi
Acknowledgment	ix

Introduction	  1

Conclusions 	  2

Recommendation	3

Materials and Methods 	  4

    Lake selection	4
    Field sampling methods	4
    Nutrient analyses 	  7
    Data management 	  7

Relationship of Phytoplankton Biomass to Phosphorus 	 11

Factors Affecting Response Ratios 	 16

    Light	16
    Nitrogen to phosphorus ratios 	 21
    Temperature	24

Modification of Models to Predict Trophic State 	 25

    Loading models	25
    Ambient models	31
    Results from using modified models  	 32

Literature Cited	36
                                      iii

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                                   FIGURES
Number                                                                   Page
  1.  Number and location of lakes  sampled during  the years
        indicated	   5
  2.  The relationship between RA and  TP  in lakes  based  on Jones
        and Bachmann's (1976) regression  equation  	  13
  3.  Summer RA for 757 U.S. lakes	14
  4.  Plot of summer log TP and log CHLA  for 757 U.S. lakes	15
  5.  Relationship of summer CHLA to summer SO for U.S.  lakes	17
  6.  The relationship of summer RS to RA	19
  7.  The relationship between summer  log RA and log TP  based  on
        Jones and Bachmann's (1976) regression equation  	  27
  8.  Trophic classifications based on summer TP and CHLA
        criteria	34
                                     iv

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                                   TABLES
Number                                                                   Page
  1.  Seasonal  Sampling  Periods for 1972 through 1975	6
  2.  Lake Water Sample  Analyses Summary	7
  3.  Analytical  Methods and Precision of Laboratory Analyses 	  8
  4.  Reported  Relationships Between CHLA and TP in Lakes	12
  5.  RA by Season	12
  6.  Mean Summer Parameter Values by Non-CHLA Light
        Interference  and RA Groups	20
  7.  Number and Percent of Lakes Classified  According to
        Summer  N/P Ratios as Nitrogen-Limited, Transitional,
        and Phosphorous-Limited by Non-CHLA Light  Interference
        and RA  Group	23
  8.  The Relationship between Log T and Log  RA by Season
        in U.S. Lakes	.  . 24
  9.  Number of U.S.  Lakes Sampled by NES Classified as
        Oligotrophic, Mesotrophic, and Eutrophic by Summer
        CHLA and TP Criteria	33

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                            LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
PARAMETER ABBREVIATIONS

CHLA          — Chlorophyll  a.
DP            — Dissolved Phosphorus
IN            — Ammonia-nitrite-nitrate-N
KN            — Total  Kjeldahl-N
N/P           — Ratio of IN to TP
NO            ~ Nitrite-nitrate-N
NH            — Ammonia-N
OP            — Dissolved orthophosphorus
RA            — Response ratio
SO            — Secchi disk
T             — Temperature
TP            — Total  phosphorus

MODEL ABBREVIATIONS
A             --- 4.77
AERA          — the mean summer RA for the lake corrected to what it Would
                 be at the 20 wg/1 level  of TP, i.e., the ambient
                 eutrophic level
              — the mean summer RA for the lake corrected to what it would
                 be at the 10 yg/1 level  of TP, i.e., the ambient
                 mesotrophic level
                     minimum mean ambient summer lake TP concentration
                 which will cause the lake to become eutrophic corrected to
                 account for the lake's RA

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              -- the minimum mean ambient summer lake TP concentration
                 which will  cause the lake to become mesotrophic corrected
                 to account for the lake's RA

ATPg          — the minimum mean ambient summer lake TP concentration
                 which will  cause the lake to become eutrophic

              — the minimum mean ambient summer lake TP concentration
                 which will  cause the lake to become mesotrophic

B             -- -8

ERA           — a constant equal to 0.32 which is the RA predicted from 20
                 ug/1 of ambient TP

ETP           — a constant  equal to 20, which is the theoretical  minimum
                 ambient concentration of TP in ug/1 which will result in
                 eutrophic conditions in a lake and is the level which if not
                 equaled will result in meso- or oligotrophic conditions

HT            — hydraulic residence time

L             — phosphorus  areal loading

MRA           — a constant equal to 0.23 which is the RA predicted from 10
                 yg/1 of ambient TP

MTP           — a constant  equal to 10, which is the theoretical  minimum
                 ambient concentration of TP in ug/1 which will result in
                 mesotrophic conditions in a lake and is the level which if
                 not equaled will result in oligotrophic conditions

OCHLA         — observed mean summer CHLA in a lake

ORA           — observed summer ambient RA in the lake

OTP           -- observed summer ambient TP in the lake

OTTP          — observed mean tributary TP

OS            — observed SD value for a given lake

P             — hydraulic flushing rate

PS            — predicted SD

              — the minimum mean tributary TP concentrations in ug/1
                 which will  cause a lake to be eutrophic at equilibrium
                 corrected to account for the lake's RA

TP£           — the minimum mean tributary TP concentration in ug/1
                 which will  cause a lake to be eutrophic

                                     vii

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              -- the minimum mean tributary TP concentration in ug/1
                 which will  cause a lake to be mesotrophic at equilibrium
                 corrected to account  for the lake's  RA
              — the minimum mean tributary TP concentration in yg/1
                 which will  cause a lake to be mesotrophic
R             — retention coefficient for phosphorus
RS            — residual  SD, an index of non-CHLA-related light attenuation
Z             -- mean depth
                                     vili

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                               ACKNOWLEDGMENT

    This work was partially supported by the Environmental and Water Quality
Operational Studies Program, Environmental  Laboratory, U.S. Army Engineers
Waterways Experiment Station through Interagency Agreement No.
EPA-IAG-78-X0393 (Waterways Experiment Station Agreement No. WES-78-12).
                                     1x

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                                 INTRODUCTION


    Phosphorus supply is considered to be the primary determinant of algal
community biomass and production in most temperate zone lakes (Schindler 1974,
Williams et al. 1977, Lambou et al. 1976, Dillon and Rigler 1974, Bachmann and
Jones 1974, Edmondson 1970).  Kalff and Knoechel (1978) state that the strong
relationship between total  phosphorus and phytoplankton biomass (chlorophyll
a) has been clearly confirmed and what is presently needed in order to predict
algal biomass for management decisions on individual  lakes is a quantitative
understanding of the range  in biomass (chlorophyll a) per unit of phosphorus
which extends over orders of magnitude.

    Vollenweider (1968), Dillon (1975), and Larsen and Mercier (1976) have
developed models to predict ambient total phosphorus lake concentration from
tributary phosphorus loading data.   These and other similar models are widely
accepted and used to indicate the degree of eutrophy of lakes and evaluate the
environmental effects of ambient phosphorus levels in lakes.  These models are
currently being used to make decisions about lake management, e.g., the
manipulation of ambient total phosphorus concentration to produce a desired
environmental effect.  All  of the commonly used models utilize levels of 10
ug/1 of ambient phosphorus  concentrations to divide lakes into three standard
trophic classifications—oligotrophic, mesotrophic, and eutrophic.  The
assumption is made in the use of these somewhat arbitrary levels of 10 and 20
ug/1 of ambient lake phosphorus concentrations that the relationship of
phytoplankton biomass to phosphorus is the same for all lakes.  However, the
utilization and incorporation of phosphorus into phytoplankton biomass varies
significantly from lake to  lake.  The efficiency of utilization of phosphorus
is largely dependent upon the availability of light,  sufficient supply of
other macronutrients (e.g., nitrogen) and micronutrients, and biological
availability of the various phosphorus species.

    The use of models to predict phytoplankton biomass from actual or
potential phosphorus concentrations in individual  bodies of water could lead
to faulty management decisions if the factors affecting the utilization of
phosphorus are not taken into consideration.  The purpose of this paper is to
evaluate the factors affecting the  relationship of phytoplankton biomass to
phosphorus levels and to show how to modify models predicting the trophic
state of lakes to take these factors into account.

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                                 CONCLUSIONS


1)  The response ratio, i.e., the amount of chlorophyll  ji produced per unit of
    total phosphorus, varies greatly in United States lakes, even though there
    is a strong correlation between total  phosphorus and phytoplankton biomass
    (as measured by chlorophyll aj in lakes.

2)  Many United States lakes do not reach  maximum production of chlorophyll ^
    because of interference factors.

3)  Light attenuation from'non-chlorophyll j^ related interferences can
    dramatically affect the quantity of phytopla'nkton biomass present in
    United States lakes.

4)  The ratio of biologically available phosphorus to nitrogen is in some
    cases an important factor in determining the response ratio in United
    States lakes.

5)  Temperature does not seem to be an important factor influencing the
    response ratio in United States lakes.

6)  Nutrient loading and ambient models which predict the trophic state of
    lakes can be modified to:  a) change the trophic classification based on
    an ambient total phosphorus level to one based on the biological
    manifestation of nutrients as measured by chlorophyll a^, b) determine the
    "critical levels of total phosphorus which will result in unacceptable
    levels of chlorophyll ji so that the level of total phosphorus can be
    manipulated to achieve the desired use of a given water body and
    c) account for the unique characteristics of a lake which affects the
    amount of chlorophyll a^ which will be  produced per unit of total
    phosphorus.

7}  Many United States lakes would be classified lower (i.e., less eutrophic)
    if the biological manifestation of nutrients as measured by chlorphyll a^
    is used as the basis of classification rather than total phosphorus.

8}  If the manifestations of nutrients, rather than their absolute levels, are
    considered the primary criteria for beneficial water use, many communities
    could be spared the unnecessary burden of costly nutrient-removal programs
    suggested by phosphorus-based trophic  classifications.

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                                RECOMMENDATION


    It is recommended that loading  and  ambient models predicting trophic state
be adjusted to account for the amount of chlorophyll  a produced per unit of
total  phosphorus in a lake because  (1)  non-chlorophylT £ light interferences
and other interferences in many United  States  lakes significantly decrease the
amount of chlorophyll a_ produced per unit of total  phosphorus and (2)
excessive algal  growth or other manifestations of nutrient enrichment  are more
important from a water quality standpoint than a  trophic classification based
on an arbitrary ambient total  phosphorus level.

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                            MATERIALS AND METHODS
    The data base used to evaluate the factors affecting the relationship of
phytoplankton biomass to phosphorus levels  came from the 815 lakes  (Figure 1)
sampled throughout the 48 contiguous United States during the spring,  summer,
and fall of 1972 through 1975 by the National  Eutrophication Survey (NES).


LAKE SELECTION

    Lakes included in the NES were selected through discussions  with State
water pollution agency personnel  and U.S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency
Regional Offices (U.S. EPA 1975).   Screening and selection of lakes sampled in
1972 and 1973 strongly emphasized lakes with actual  or potential  accelerated
eutrophication problems.  As a result, the  selection was generally  limited to
1akes:

    (1)  impacted by one or more municipal  sewage treatment plant outfalls
         either directly into the lake or  by discharge to an inlet  tributary
         within approximately 40 kilometers of the lake;

    (2)  40 hectares or larger in size, and

    (3)  with a mean hydraulic retention time of at least 30 days.

Specific selection criteria were waived for some lakes of particular interest
to the individual states.  During 1974 and  1975, lakes were selected to
broaden the spectrum of water quality types represented (U.S. EPA 1975).


FIELD SAMPLING METHODS

    Lake sampling was accomplished by two  sampling teams, each consisting of a
limnologist, pilot, and sampling technician, operating from pontoon-equipped
Bell UH-1H helicopters.  A mobile field laboratory provided analytical
support.  With-few exceptions, each lake was sampled under spring,  summer, and
fall conditions.  The sampling periods for  each season are given  by sampling
year in Table 1.

    Sampling site locations were chosen to  define the character  of  the lake as
a whole and to investigate visible or known problem areas, e.g.,  algal  blooms,
and sediment or effluent plumes (U.S. EPA  1975).  The number of  sites  was
limited by the survey nature of the program and varied in accordance with lake

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          TABLE 1.   SEASONAL SAMPLING PERIODS FOR 1972 THROUGH 1975
Sampling
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
Number of
Lakes
231
250
180
154

Spring
5/20-7/19
3/7-7/11
3/4-5/12
2/21-6/10
Season •
Summer
7/20-9/24
7/5-9/18
5/13-9/5
6/11-9/3

Fall
9/15-11/16
9/19-11/4
9/11-11/14
9/4-12/11
size, morphological and hydrological  complexity and practical  considerations
of time, flight range, and weather.

    The Survey helicopters were equipped with electric winches and
approximately 60 meters (m) of hollow-core,  multi-conductor cable attached to
a submersible pump and an InterOcean  Systems™ sensor package capable of making
in situ measurements of conductivity, temperature, optical  transmissivity and
depth.  Rack-mounted equipment located inside the helicopter provided analog
recording capabilities and a digital  display of the sensor values.  An echo
sounder, Secchi disk, sample containers and  related equipment  items necessary
for water sampling were also carried  in each helicopter (U.S.  EPA 1975).

    After landing at the station the  sensor-pump package was used to collect
data and water samples at various depths.  Sampling depths were selected to
characterize the water column after inspection of analog strip-chart records
generated during the initial pass of  the sensor package through the water
column.

    At each sampling depth, water samples were collected for nutrient,
alkalinity, pH and dissolved oxygen determinations.  For nutrient analyses,
two 130 milliliter (ml) polyethylene  sample  bottles were filled and sent to
the Environmental Monitoring and Systems Laboratory-Las Vegas  (EMSL-LV) for
analysis.

    At each sampling station, a chlorophyll  a_ and a phytoplankton sample were
taken.  These depth-integrated samples were  uniform mixtures of water from the
surface to a depth of 4.6 m (15 feet) or from the surface to the lower limit
of the photic zone, representing 1 percent of surface incident light,
whichever was greater.  If the depth  at the  sampling station was less than 4.6
m, the sample was taken from just off the bottom to the surface.  Table 2
summarizes sample collection and handling procedures.

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                TABLE 2.   LAKE WATER SAMPLE ANALYSES SUMMARY*
Parameters
Temperature
Chlorophyll a_
Total phosphorus
Total Kjeldahl-N
Nitrite-Nitrate-N,
Amonia-N
Sample
Volume

4-ounce
(130 ml)'
4-ounce
(130 ml)
4-ounce
(130 ml)
Field
Treatment

Refrigerated,
dark
Unfiltered,
HgCl2
Filtered,
HgCl2
Where
Performed
Ijn situ
Field lab
EMSL-LV
EMSL-LV
Depth
Continuous
Photic zone
integration
Select levels
Select levels
*Modified from U.S.  EPA (1975)
    A Beckman Electromate™ portable pH meter and combination electrode were
used to determine pH  as soon as  possible following sample delivery to the
field laboratory at the end of the day's sampling.  Dissolved oxygen samples
were titrated with phenylarsine  oxide  in the mobile field laboratory within 16
hours after collection.  Chlorophyll a^ analyses were performed at the end of
each day in the trailer laboratory according to the fluorometric procedure
described by Yentsch  and Menzel  (1963).  One of each pair of nutrient samples
was filtered through  a type HA 0.45-micrometer Millipore  membrane filter into
a clean, unused polyethylene bottle, recapped,  and, along with its unfiltered
counterpart, forwarded to EMSL-LV  for  analysis.


NUTRIENT ANALYSES

    The analytical methods utilized to process  the samples at EMSL-LV are
outlined in Table 3.   All  of the analyses were performed utilizing adaptations
of automated procedures described  in Mullins,  et al. (1975).
DATA MANAGEMENT

    The physical  and  chemical data were  input  to  STORET (STOrage  and
RETrieval),  the U.S.  EPA computer system which processes  and  maintains  water
quality data.   Data manipulation was as  prescribed  by  Bliss,  et al. (1975).
Basic calculations for  parameters measured  in  sampled  lakes were  performed  in
such a way as  to  give equal weight to:   each depth  sampled at a station;  each
sampling station  sampled on an individual lake during  a sampling  round; and
each sampling  round on  an  individual lake during  a  sampling year.  Mean

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      TABLE 3.  ANALYTICAL METHODS AND PRECISION OF LABORATORY ANALYSES
    Parameter
             Method
       Precision
 Total
 Phosphorus


Nitrite-Nitrate-N
Ammonia-N
Kjeldahl-N
 Persulfate oxidation followed by
 colorimetric determination of
 antimony-phosphomolybdate complex
   5.0 yg/1  P or ± 5%
Cadmium reduction followed by the    10.0 ug/1  N or ± 5%
 diazotization of sulfanilamide by
 nitrite coupled with N-(l-naphthyl)-
 ethylene diamine.
Alkaline phenol  hypochlorite
 reaction producing indcphenol
 blue.

Acid digestion followed by the
 above procedure for ammonia
 nitrogen.
  5.0 ug/1  N or ±
100.0 ug/1  N or ± 5%
parameter values for each sampling station were calculated as follows  (Lambou,
et al. 1976):
                                          Pari/D
                                                      (1)
where:  Par-  =  mean value for a parameter at the j    sampling station  during
           J     a sampling round (lake-date).

        Par.j  =  value for the i    depth,  and

           D  *  the number of depths for  which a parameter was measured at
                 the jtn sampling station  during a sampling round.

    Mean parameter values for each sampling round were calculated as  follows:
      Par
                                          Paiys
                  (2)
                                    1-1
                                      8

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where:  Par,   =  mean value for the k   sampling  round on a given lake,  and


           S  =  number of sampling sites.


    Mean lake parameter values for a given  sampling year were calculated as
fol1ows:


                                     3

                            faT  =  J]  faTk/3                           (3)

                                    k-1


where:  Par  =  mean parameter value for a  given  sampling year.


Mean parameter values for a given sampling  year were calculated  only  when
values were available for the first, second,  and  third sampling  rounds.
Equations 1 and 2 were used to determine mean parameter values for total
phosphorus (TP), ammonia-N (NH), nitrite-nitrate-N (NO), ammonia-nitrite-
nitrate-N (IN), and total  Kjeldahl-N (KN),  all  expressed in micrograms per
liter (yg/1); temperature (T) in degrees Celsius  (°C), and Secchi  disk (SD)
in m.

    The ratio of IN/TP (N/P) for each sampling  station was calculated as
fol 1 ows:

                                W  -  TN/TP                             (4)

However,  at the Equation 1 level  a total  phosphorus value was deleted if
either nitrogen complement was missing.  Round  and yearly values  were
calculated using Equations 2 and 3.

    Unlike the above parameters measured at various depths, only  one
chlorophyll ^ (CHLA)  measurement was made at  any  individual  sampling  station
during a  sampling round.  Therefore,

                              CHLA.   -  CHLA                               (5)
                                  J

where:  CHLA.  =  the mean CHLA concentration in  micrograms per liter (ug/1)
            J     for the jth sampling station  during  a  sampling  round,  and

         CHLA  =  the CHLA concentration in pg/1  for a depth-integrated  water
                  sample*

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    A response ratio (RA) i.e., the amount of CHLA per unit  of  TP  was
calculated for each sampling round as follows:
                                                                            (6)
                  _^^_i                                  i. L
where:            RA.   =  the response ratio for the k    sampling  round  on  a
                          given lake, while


        CHLA.  and TP.   =  the mean CHLA and TP for the kth sampling  round
                          on a given lake.
                                     10

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             RELATIONSHIP OF PHYTOPLANKTON BIOMASS TO PHOSPHORUS

     A strong relationship between CHLA (a measure of phytoplankton biomass)
and TP in lakes has been established by Jones and Bachmann (1976), Dillon and
Rigler (1974), Sakamoto (1966), and Carlson (1977).  The log-log product
moment correlation coefficients reported ranged from 0.85 to 0.98 (Table 4).
The inplication of these findings is that phosphorus is the element that
controls algal biomass, however, the lakes utilized by the above authors in
deriving their relationships are largely phosphorus-limited.  No appreciable
differences can be detected between the slope of regression equations (summer
CHLA regressed on summer .or spring TP) from lakes studied in Japan (Sakamoto
1966), Canada (Dillon and Rigler 1974) and North America (Jones and Bachmann
1976 and Carlson 1977).  Because of the similarities between the various
regression equations derived from lakes studied throughout the world, we feel
that they accurately describe the relationship between CHLA and TP under
nearly ideal conditions, i.e., without major interferences.

     The slopes of the regression lines from the four sources cited above are
all greater than 1.4 (Table 4) which indicates that proportional increases in
CHLA concentrations accrue at a faster rate than increases in TP concentra-
tions, i.e., the response ratio of CHLA to TP is greater at high concentra-
tions of TP than at low concentrations.  This is also shown in Figure 2, where
the RA based on Jones and Bachmann's (1976) regression equation is presented.
However, the log-log regression equations derived from the lakes we sampled
suggest that RA decreases as total phosphorus increases (Table 5).  Since
lake management decisions to control or manipulate phytoplankton biomass are
usually made on summer data and this was the period when we observed the
greatest potential response of the phytoplankton community to available
nutrients, only summer data are used throughout the remainder of this report.

     A histogram of summer RA for 757 lakes and reservoirs located in the
conterminous United States is presented in Figure 3.  Summer RA varied widely
among the various lakes ranging from 0.002 to 2.26 with a mean of 0.29
(Table 5).

     Mean summer CHLA is plotted against mean summer TP for the 757 lakes we
studied (Figure 4).  Superimposed on Figure 4 is the regression equation of
Jones and Bachmann (1976).  The plots of the vast majority (80 percent) of
the 757 lakes shown in Figure 4 lie below the Jones and Bachmann regression
line.  Of these, most plots occur at TP levels in excess of 20 micrograms per
liter.  We believe that the reason most lakes do not reach maximum production
of CHLA, as described by the regression equation, is because of interference
factors.
                                     11

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        TABLE  4.   REPORTED RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN CHLA AND TP IN LAKES
Number of
Source Regression Equation* Lakes
Jones and
Bachmann (1976)t Log CHLA = -1
Dillon and
Rigler (1974)* Log CHLA = -1
Sakamoto (1966)*
(as calculated by
Dillon and Rigler) Log CHLA » -1
Carlson (1977)t Log CHLA - -1
This study t Log £HlA~ = -0
*CHLA and TP in ug/1
tSummer CHLA and summer TP
^Summer CHLA and spring TP
TABLE 5
RA
Mean
Standard deviation
Minimum value
Maximum value
Number of lakes
.09 + 1.46 Log TP 143
.136 + 1.45 Log TP 46
.13 + 1.58 Log TP 28
.06 + 1.45 Log TP 43
.11 + 0.64 Log ?F 757

. RA BY SEASON
Season*
Spring Summer
0.24 0.29
0.27 0.29
0.001 0.002
2.81 2.26
785 757
Log-Log
Product Moment
Correlation
Coefficient
r = 0.95
r = 0.95
r = 0.98
r = 0.85
r = 0.60



Fall
0.24
0.21
0.001
1.60
111
*A one way ANOVA and Student Newman Keul ^multiple range test indicated a
 significant difference between summer values and fall  and spring values at
 the 0.05 level.
                                     12

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       15

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                      FACTORS AFFECTING RESPONSE RATIOS


    Factors which may prevent phytoplankton CHLA from achieving maximum
theoretical concentrations based upon ambient TP levels in a lake include:

    1.  availability of light;

    2.  limitation of growth by nutrients other than TP, e.g.,  nitrogen,
        carbon, silica, etc.;

    3.  biological availability of the TP components;

    4.  domination of the aquatic flora by vascular plants rather than
        phytoplankton;

    5.  temperature;

    6.  short hydraulic retention time; and

    7.  presence of toxic substances.


LIGHT

    The relationship between SD and CHLA concentrations in lakes has been
described by a number of investigators (Edmondson 1970, Bachmann and Jones
1974, and Carlson 1977).  After analyzing data from 147 lakes,  Carlson (1977)
described a strong relationship (r = 0.93) between CHLA (yg/1)  and SD (m),
i.e.:


                      In SD  =  2.04 - (0.68 In CHLA)                      (7)


    The lakes Carlson utilized were relatively free of non-chlorophyll-related
particles.  The strength of the relationship Carlson described  indicates that
light attenuation from any source other than CHLA-related particles was
homogenous in the population of lakes represented in his study.

    A natural log transformation of our summer CHLA and SD resulted in a
correlation coefficient of only 0.56 (Figure 5).  This indicates that light
attenuation due to non-CHLA-related suspensoids or dissolved color must be an
important factor in a number of lakes sampled in our study.
                                     16

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    If Carlson's regression equation accurately describes the relationship
between CHLA and SO in water bodies relatively free of non-CHLA-related
particles or dissolved color interferences, it can be utilized in conjunction
with observed CHLA concentrations and SD measurements to estimate light
attenuation due to non-CHLA-related particles or dissolved color.  We did this
in the following manner:


                               RS  =  PS - OS                              (8)


where:  RS  =  residual  SD, an index of non-CHLA-related light attenuation;

        PS  =  predicted SD, determined by substituting our mean ambient
               summer CHLA value for a given lake into Equation 7;  and

        OS  =  the observed SD value for a given lake.


    If the RS value is positive, non-CHLA-related suspensoids or color
interferences are expected.  As light attenuation due to the non-CHLA-related
factors increases, RS values increase.  For a RS value equal  to 0,  the light
attenuation is assumed to be mainly due to CHLA-related particles.   We
calculated a mean summer RS value for each of our lakes by the method
presented above and plotted the values against the RA to examine the effects
of light interference upon the relationship of CHLA to TP (Figure 6).

    Theoretically, if all of the light attenuation was due to CHLA-related
particles, then, according to Carlson's equation (Equation 7), no lake would
have a RS value below zero.  Obviously, all lakes, including those
investigated by Carlson, have some light attenuation due to non-chlorophyll-
related particles and color interferences.  Therefore, the true zero line
(where virtually all light interferences are due solely to CHLA-related
particles) is less than a RS value of zero.  The true zero line should contain
lakes that extend over the full range of RA values, since many lakes are
relatively free of non-CHLA-related particles.  An examination of Figure 6 and
a consideration of experimental error led us to the conclusion that the
population of lakes which extends over the full range of RA and lies between
RS values of 0.46 to -2.00 encompasses the true zero line.  Since SD values
less than true zero are theoretically impossible, we believe the RS values
less than -2.00 in Figure 6 are due to experimental  error, and are  not used in
our analysis of the factors affecting RA's.  With the above criteria, the
lakes can be divided into two groups by their RS values (Figure 6).  One group
has RS values of >0.46 (high non-CHLA light interference} while the other
group has RS values between 0.46 and -2.00 (low non-CHLA light interference).

    We divided the lakes into 3 RA groups:  "very low" (0.00 to <0.50), "low"
(0.50 to <1.0), and "high" (H.O) (Figure 6).  Our rationale for this
classification is that with a response of approximately 1.0 or above, all the
TP in the system is "theoretically" associated with cellular CHLA (Strickland
1960).  Therefore, at a RA of 1.0 or greater, the algae are utilizing all
available phosphorus and incorporating it into cellular material.  At a RA


                                     18

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of 0.5, half of the TP  is  theoretically  tied  up  in  phytoplankton  cells,  while
the other half of the TP  pool  is  extracellular.  These  divisions  are  somewhat
arbitrary, as the relationship between cellular  phosphorus  and  CHLA can
dramatically change, depending upon  environmental conditions  and  phytoplankton
community composition,  e.g.,  luxury  uptake  by selected  phytoplankton  forms  and
increased CHLA production  per unit of biomass under low-light conditions. Even
though the divisions of the  response ratio  are somewhat arbitrary, they
provide a useful  mechanism to compare major response groups.

    Only 1 of 104 water bodies was found in the  low or  high response  groups
which had a RS >0.46 m  while  287  of  632  (45%)  of the water  bodies with a
very-low response had a RS >0.46  m.  The low  non-CHLA light interference,
very-low RA group had approximately  double  the mean TP  concentration  but
seven times the CHLA concentration as compared to the high  non-CHLA light
interference group, very-low  RA group (Table  6).  This  suggests that  non-CHLA
light interference is an  important factor in  controlling the  RA.  The low
non-CHLA light interference very-low RA  group had the highest mean TP
concentration (208 ug/1).  The RS in the low  non-CHLA light interference group
decreases from -0.19 for  the  very-low RA group to -0.35 and -0.64 for the low
and high RA groups, respectively  (Table  6).


    TABLE 6.  MEAN SUMMER  PARAMETER  VALUES  BY NON-CHLA  LIGHT  INTERFERENCE
                               AND  RA GROUPS
Non-CHLA*
Light
Interference

LOW

RAt
Very-Low
Low
High
Nt
345
88
15
TP
(ug/D
208
75
161
KN
(ug/D
1234
1286
2003
CHLA
(ug/D
35.8
50.4
216.4
T
°C
22.0
23.2
24.0
RA
0.24
0.69
1.59
RS
(m)
-0.19
-0.35
-0.64
    HIGH      Very-Low    287     96     637      5.6    21.1    0.12     2.00

*Low non-CHLA light interference « -2.00 m RS _<0.46 m, while high non-CHLA
 light interference » >0.46 m RS.
tVery-low response = <0.5  RA, low response = 0.5 >^ RA jQ.O, and high
 response = >1.0 RA.
*N - the number of lakes  per response  and light interference groups.
 However, the number of observations may be slightly less for a given
 parameter due to missing  values.
                                    20

-------
    Mean CHLA concentrations in the various non-CHLA light interference groups
seem to increase with increasing mean KN levels (Table 6).  One exception to
this occurred in the high non-CHLA light interference, very-low RA group where
the mean CHLA level  was only 5.6 u9/l but the corresponding KN concentration
was relatively high (637 u9/l)»  This indicates that a large percentage of the
nitrogen present in this group is not associated with phytoplankton.  This
same group had the highest amount of non-CHLA-related light interference as is
evident from its high RS (2.00).  The nitrogen not associated with
phytoplankton is most likely caused by high levels of allochthonous organic
materials or resident bacterial or zooplankton populations in these lakes.

    It is concluded that in many United States lakes, light attenuation from
other than CHLA-related interferences can dramatically affect the quantity of
phytoplankton biomass present.


NITROGEN TO PHOSPHORUS RATIOS

    If a nutrient besides phosphorus is limiting phytoplankton growth, a low
RA should result.  Nitrogen and phosphorus are frequently mentioned as the
nutrients most likely to limit growth of plants.  The concept of a limiting
nutrient, as related to Liebig's Law of the Minimum, is that some nutrient,
least available relative to the growth requirements of a given organism,
imposes primary limitation on the growth of that organism.

    Various estimates have been proposed as to what constitutes that ratio of
nitrogen to phosphorus at which the addition of either results in the
limitation by the other.  Such estimates have been reported as low as 5/1 and
as high as 30/1 or more, by weight, generally centering about 12/1 to 14/1.
These are in reasonable agreement with theoretical needs based upon
stoichiometric equations of algal constituents (Vollenweider 1968).

    While the limiting nutrient concept has some utility in allowing
prediction of the potential  growth limits of laboratory monocultures, its
extrapolation into natural  system studies should be approached warily.   A
number of enrichment studies have found the effects of phosphorus and nitrogen
to be interdependent (Hutchinson 1941; Goldman and Armstrong 1969; Ketchum
1939; Powers et.al.  1972),  influenced by the presence of trace organic
materials in the waters (Rodhe 1958), and dependent upon previous algal
culture exposure, i.e., prior luxury uptake of nitrogen or phosphorus.

    It is not unlikely that  a mixed natural phytoplankton population would
contain taxa with a  range of optimal  growth requirements and predisposing
nutritional  status.   Addition of either nitrogen or phosphorus could
potentially evoke a  net increase in phytoplankton growth, especially in  those
cases in which the ambient  nitrogen/phosphorus ratio is intermediate between
the optimal  growth requirements of the various phytoplankton elements.
Utilization of nitrogen/phosphorus ratios does not consider the possibilities
of other limitations,  e.g.,  carbon, trace elements (iron, manganese, copper,
zinc, molybdenum, chlorine,  cobalt, boron,  silicon, sodium,  vanadium and
iodine), co-factors, and vitamins.   The presence of organic  materials may
increase nutrient assimilation in some members of the community (Goldman

                                      21

-------
and Armstrong 1969; Rodhe 1958),  or inhibit it in others  (Williams 1975).
Conditions may exist, over a range of nitrogen/phosphorus values, favoring
response to the addition of either phosphorus or nitrogen and representing
essentially "net co-limitation."   Different species  within a community may be
limited by different nutrients simultaneously (Fitzgerald 1964).   A
theoretical basis for simultaneous co-regulation of  the specific  growth rate
of a single population by multiple nutrient is presented  by Sykes (1974).

    Lambou et al. (1976) divided  lakes into phosphorus-limited [IN/dissolved
phosphorus (DP) >14], transition  (1CKIN/DPXL4), and  nitrogen-limited
(IN/DP<10) groups based upon the  yearly mean IN/DP observed in the lake.   They
state that, while admittedly arbitrary, the suggested  divisions represent  a
convenient means of comparing groups of lakes presumably  representing "largely
nitrogen-limited" and largely "phosphorus-limited" populations, and a third
group representing a buffer between the first two groups.  Their  groupings
were determined by comparing the  ratios of IN to dissolved orthophosphorus
(OP) in lake water upon which the limiting nutrient  was determined by the
Algal Assay Procedure Bottle Test.  This test (EPA 1971)  utilizes the response
of the green alga Selenastrum capricornutum to nutrient spikes, usually
nitrogen and phosphorus, alone and in concert, to determine the growth-
limiting nutrient.

    In our analysis of the lakes  sampled by NES, because  OP or DP was not
available for all of the lakes sampled, we used TP instead of DP  in
calculating N/P ratios for dividing the lakes into phosphorus-limited
(IN/TP>14), transitional (10
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then to 10.1 in the high RA group (Table 7).   The ratio of biologically
available phosphorus to nitrogen forms,  as  theoretically represented  by N/P
ratios, is in some cases an important factor in determining the RA ratios in
1akes.
TEMPERATURE

    Solar radiation is required for photosynthesis and heat maintenance in the
environment.  In general, approximately 50 percent of the total  incident light
is transformed into heat and is extinguished in the first meter of water (Reid
1961).  Van't Hoff's principle states that the rate at which biological
processes proceed is increased nearly two-fold with each 10°C rise in
temperature.  The principle operates only within the range of tolerance of a
given species, and is further restricted by an optimal point within the
over-all  range.  Temperature is important to freshwater algae in determining
general geographical distribution and control rates of anabolic and catabolic
fluxes, as well as rates of the nutrient reflux, and it may affect
productivity by accelerating or retarding physiological processes (Smith 1950,
Mortimer 1969).  However in our analysis of the data collected from the lakes
sampled by NES, we were not able to demonstrate any significant seasonal
relationships between T and RA (Table 8).  The log-log product moment
correlation coefficients ranged from only 0.08 to 0.18.  The implication of
these findings is that T is not an important factor influencing RA over the
range of temperature values (2.6 to 32.2°C) observed in the lakes.
        TABLE 8.  THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LOG
                                IN U.S.  LAKES
         T AND LOG RA BY SEASON
                                                     Season
                                     Spring
               Summer
                 Fall
  Product moment correlation
   coefficients

  Number of observations
0.11
769
0.18
754
0.08
747
                                     24

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               MODIFICATION OF MODELS TO PREDICT TROPHIC STATE
LOADING MODELS

    The phosphorus loading — mean depth —  relationship formulated by
Vollenweider (1968) has been widely accepted and used to indicate the degree
of eutrophy of lakes and evaluate the level  of phosphorus loading to lakes.
Dillon (1975)  pointed out that too little thought and criticism was given to
the limitations of the model  by people using it.  Subsequently, modifications
of the basic mass balance equation have been derived to  predict mean ambient
lake phosphorus concentrations at equilibrium.   Dillon (1975)  utilizes
phosphorus areal loading (L), the retention  coefficient  for phosphorus (R),
the hydraulic  flushing rate (P), and mean depth (Z)  in a plot  of the form


                            1 (1 - R)  Vers1s z                            (9)
to estimate trophic state.   Vollenweider (1975)  revised  his original  formula
to include HT, hydraulic residence time, so  that areal phosphorus  loading (L)
is plotted against mean depth (Z) divided by HT.  Larsen and Mercier (1976)
provide an alternative (to  prior loading concepts)  which avoids  the criticism
of Edmondson (1970) that the effect of an increasing  phosphorus  load upon a
lake depends, in part, upon whether that increase results from increases  in
influent flows, concentrations, or both.  The Larsen/Mercier formula plots
mean tributary TP concentration against the  phosphorus retention coefficient,
which they called R experimental, computed in the same way as Dillon's R,
i.e.,


                         R   ,  i    TP leaving system                       (10)
                                   TP entering system


    It is interesting to note that in applying the  above-mentioned formulas,
each of the authors selected to use levels of 10 and  20  yg/1  of  ambient lake
TP to divide lakes into the three standard trophic  classifications —
oligotrophic, mesotrophic,  and eutrophic.

    The most important public concern involves the  manifestation of nutrients,
such as excessive algal  growth, rather than  phosphorus levels.   However,
"critical" levels of total  phosphorus need to be determined,  so  that
meaningful phosphorus control procedures can be  accomplished  on  a  given lake.


                                     25

-------
    The theoretical relationship between the summer RA and TP based upon Jones
and Bachmann's (1976) regression equation has already been presented in
Figure 2.  A log-log transformation of the RA and TP concentration results in
a straight line function (Figure 7).  This straight line function can be used
to provide a basis of comparison between the theoretical RA and the actual RA
for a given lake at a given TP level so that loading models can be modified
to:

    1.  change the trophic classification based on an ambient TP level  to one
        based on the biological manifestation of nutrients as measured by
        CHLA,

    2.  determine the "critical" levels of TP which will result in an
        unacceptable level of CHLA concentration so that the level of TP can
        be manipulated to achieve the desired use of a given water body, and

    3.  account for the unique characteristics of a lake or reservoir which
        effect the RA.

    The Larsen and Mercier (1976) model predicts the mean tributary TP
concentration which would cause eutrophic or mesotrophic conditions as
follows:
                                       fjf   or
                                       i-K,
                                                                          (12)
where:  TPp.  a  the minimum mean tributary TP concentration in ug/1  which will
                cause a lake to be eutrophic at equilibrium,

        TP"M  =  the minimum mean tributary TP concentrations in ug/1 which
                will cause a lake to be mesotrophic at equilibrium,

        ETP  »  a constant equal to 20, which is the theoretical  minimum
                ambient yg/1 of TP in a lake resulting in eutrophic  conditions
                and is the level which if not equaled or exceeded will  result
                in meso- or oligotrophic conditions, and

        MTP  =  a constant equal to 10, which is the theoretical  minimum
                ambient yg/1 of TP in a lake resulting in mesotrophic
                conditions and is the level  which if not equaled  or  exceeded
                will result in oligotrophic conditions.
                                      26

-------
                                                         3.


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The Larsen and Mercier equations  (i.e., Equations 11 and 12) can be corrected
to account for the RA of a specific lake as follows:
                                       ETP(ERA/AERA)                      (13)
                              TP.M     MTP(MRA/AMRA)                      (14)
                                 >   ~
where:   "TP.C  =  the minimum mean tributary TP concentrations in yg/1 which
                 will cause a lake to be eutrophic at equilibrium
                 corrected  to account for the lake's RA,
        TP~AM  =  t'ie mln''niuni mean tributary TP concentrations in yg/1 which
                 will  cause a lake to be mesotrophic at equilibrium
                 corrected to account for the lake's RA,

        ERA   =  a constant equal  to 0.32 which is the RA predicted from
                 20 yg/1  of ambient TP utilizing Jones and Bachmann's (1976)
                 regression equation,

        MRA   =  a constant equal  to 0.23 which is the RA predicted from
                 10 yg/1  of ambient TP utilizing the Jones and Bachmann's
                 (1976)  regression equation,

        AERA  =  the mean summer RA for the lake corrected to what it would be
                 at the  20 yg/1  level of TP i.e., the ambient eutrophic level,
                 and

        AMRA  =  the mean summer RA for the lake corrected to what it would be
                 at the  10 yg/1  level of TP, i.e., the ambient mesotrophic
                 level.

The ERA constant of 0.32 was determined from utilizing the ETP constant of
20 yg/1 of ambient TP in the Jones and Bachmann (1976) regression equation
given in Table 4 and which is as follows:


                 log yg/1  CHLA  =  -1.09 + 1.46 log yg/1 TP              (15)


Substituting in 20 yg/1  for TP,  log CHLA is equal to 0.81 and CHLA is equal to
6.4.  Therefore the ERA  is equal to 6.4/20 or 0.32.   Similarly, the MRA
constant of 0.23 was determined utilizing the MTP constant of 10 yg/1 of
ambient TP.


                                     28

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    The AERA is determined from the following equation:



                '«» «RA  -  []g Off I ft] ["»  ETP  -  B]  + A


where:  ORA  =  the observed summer ambient  RA in the lake,

        DTP  =  the observed summer ambient  TP in the lake,

          A  =  -4.77 which is the log of the RA  determined from Equation 15
                utilizing a TP concentration at approximately 0 (since log 0
                is undefined, an extremely low TP concentration, i.e.,
                0.00000001 yg/1, was used to  approximate 0  on the log scale),
                and

          B  =  -8 which is the log of the TP, i.e.,  0.00000001 ug/1, which is
                used to approximate 0 in Equation 15.

Substituting into Equation 16,
                IOQ AERA  =  F1oq OR* * 4'771 9  30  -  4  77
                109 AtKA     ^  1 Og OTP + 8  J          '
The AMRA is determined from the following  equation:
- B]
                                      -     '«•  «""  -  " *  A


Substituting into Equation 18,


                IOQ AMRA  =  Hog ORA *  4.771 g _ , ??                     (19)
                log MMKA     j^   log  OTP  +  8 J y  4>//


The constants used in Equations  16 and 18|are used  to establish the  slope  of a
line (Figure 7)  which begins  at  -4.77 (log RA)  and  -8 (log TP).  Using the ORA
and the OTP the  RA is adjusted using the relationship shown  in Figure 7, which
was determined from the Jones and Bachmann (1976) regression equation
(Equation 15) to one which would cause eutrophic (AERA) or mesotrophic
conditions in the lake (AMRA).

    A comparison of using  the Larsen and Mercier equations (Equations 11 and
12) to predict trophic state  with the modified  equations  to  account  for a


                                     29

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lake's RA (Equations 13 and 14)  can  be made  using  the  data we collected from a
lake during 1973.   Our data showed that the  lake had a:


                                       OTP   =  36.3 yg/1 ,

          observed mean summer CHLA  (OCHLA)   =  6.3 yg/T ,

                                       1-R   =  0.71,

                                       ORA' =  0.17,  and

          observed mean tributary TP (OTTP)   =  57.3 yg/1.


    Substituting into Equation 11 we find:
                              TPF       20       ~n  ,    ,,                  (20)
                                E  =    oTTY  =   28.2  yg/1


Since 28.2 yg/1  of TP represent  the theoretical  mean  tributary concentration
which will cause the lake to be  eutrophic under  steady  state conditions  and
the OTTP is 57.3 yg/1 , the use of Equation  11 would classify the  lake as
eutrophic.  Substituting into Equation  13:
                      TPAE  .  20(0.32^0.13)   .  69-3 pg/1                 (21)



    Since 69.3 yg/1  is greater than 57.3  yg/1, we  find  if we  use the modified
equation which accounts for the lake's  RA,  the lake would be  classified as
eutrophic and could possibly be either  mesotrophic or oligotrophic.   To
determine whether it is mesotrophic or  oligotrophic, we substitute into
Equation 14 as follows:
                               10(0-23/0.10)   .  32.                       (22)
Since 32.4 yg/1  is less than 57.3 yg/1  we  would  classify  the lake  as
mesotrophic.
                                     30

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AMBIENT MODELS

    As with loading models, ambient models can be adjusted to account for the
observed RA in a lake.  Using the commonly accepted convention of 10 and
20 ug/1 of ambient lake TP to divide lakes into three standard classifications
— oligotrophic, mesotrophic, and eutrophic, we find that:


                             ATPE  =  20 ug/1, and                        (23)
                             ATPM  =  10 ug/1                              (24)
where:  ATPE  =  the minimum mean ambient summer lake TP concentration which
                 will  cause the lake to become eutrophic and

        ATP..  »  the minimum mean ambient summer lake TP concentration which
                 will  cause the lake to become mesotrophic.


Equations 23 and 24 can be corrected to account for the RA of a specific lake
as follows:


                           ATPAE  =  ETP(ERA/AERA),                       (25)
                           ATPAM  =  MTP(MRA/AMRA),                        (26)
where:  ATP.r  =  the minimum mean ambient summer lake  TP concentration which
                  will  cause the  lake  to  become  eutrophic corrected to
                  account for the lake's  RA and

        ATP.JYJ  =  the minimum mean ambient summer lake  TP concentration which
                  will  cause the  lake  to  become  mesotrophic  corrected to
                  account for the lake's  RA.


Using the same data collected from a lake during 1973 which  we previously  used
as an example of adjusting loading models, we  find that:


                    ATP...  =  20(0.32/0.13)  =  49.2ug/l,and            (27)
                       AE
                                     31

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                    ATPAM  =  10(0.23/0.10)   =  23.0 yg/1.                (28)
Since the OTP was 36.3 yg/1, which is between the ATP/^ and ATP^n we would
classify the lake as mesotrophic using the correction for its RA; however,
using the normal  convention  of 20 yg/1  of ambient lake TP to determine the
eutrophic dividing line, we  would have classified the lake as eutrophic.


RESULTS FROM USING MODIFIED  MODELS

    Equations 13, 14, 27, and 28 define trophic levels by the biological
manifestation of nutrients as measured by CHLA levels, rather than by TP
levels.  Substituting 10 and 20 ug/1  of TP (the normally used dividing values
between oligotrophic, mesotrophic, and eutrophic) into Equation 15 [the Jones
and Bachmann (1976) regression equation to predict CHLA from TP], we arrive at
levels of 2.3 and 6.4 ug/1 of CHLA as the dividing values between
oligotrophic, mesotrophic, and eutrophic.

    Trophic classifications  based on  mean ambient summer TP and CHLA levels of
757 lakes for which we had data are presented in Table 9 and Figure 8.  The TP
criteria subdivided the lakes into the following trophic categories:  59
oligotrophic, 97 mesotrophic, and 621 eutrophic, while the CHLA criteria
subdivided the lakes into the following trophic levels:  78 oligotrophic, 197
mesotrophic, and 482 eutrophic (Table 9).  Both trophic classification schemes
classified 19 water bodies as oligotrophic, 45 as mesotrophic, and 447 as
eutrophic, for a total agreement of 511 or 68 percent.  Of the 246 water
bodies which were classified differently by the two schemes, 193 (25%) are
classified lower (less eutrophic), while only 53 (7%) are classified as higher
(more eutrophic) by the CHLA criteria than by the TP criteria (Table 9).  If
the large population of lakes used for this comparison is, in fact,
representative of conditions throughout the United States, it can be expected
that some 25X of the nation's lakes would be classifed lower (less eutrophic)
using CHLA levels as a trophic classification criteria.  And, if the
manifestations of nutrients  rather than their absolute levels are considered
the primary criteria for beneficial water use, many communities may be spared
the unnecessary burden of costly nutrient-removal programs suggested by
phosphorus-based trophic classifications.  Also, it should be emphasized that
eutrophication does not necessarily result in the degradation of water
quality.  Whether or not the process  adversely impacts water quality depends
on the beneficial use for which a lake is being managed and the degree of
nutrient enrichment.

    The Vollenweider, Dillon, and Larsen/Mercier loading models for predicting.
ambient lake phosphorus concentrations and classifying lakes by trophic state
have been compared by Hern et al. (1978).  The Larsen/Mercier and Dillon
models gave comparable results in ranking 39 lakes relative to known ambient
phosphorus concentrations.  The Vollenweider model, which does not have a
phosphorus retention time capacity component, was unable to achieve the high
rank correlations found with the other models.  The Larsen/Mercier model was
superior to the Dillon model as it required less information and produced the

                                     32

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  TABLE 9.  NUMBER OF U.S.  LAKES SAMPLED BY NES CLASSIFIED AS OLIGOTROPHIC,
          MESOTROPHIC, AND  EUTROPHIC BY SUMMER CHLA AND TP CRITERIA
 Classified               Classified by CHLA Criteriat
    by TP
  Criteria*       Oligotrophic      Mesotrophic      Eutrophic        Total



Oligotrophic           19*              18t              2*             59

Mesotrophic            19*              45*             33+             97

Eutrophic              40*             134*            447*            621



  Total                78              197             482             757


*TP criteria are <10 ug/1  TP » oligotrophic, 10 > yg/1  TP <20 = mesotrophic,
 and >20 ug/1  TP » eutrophic.
tCHLA criteria as <2.3 ug/1  CHLA » oligotrophic, 2.3 >_ yg/1 CHLA <6.4 =
 mesotrophic, and X>-4 ug/1  CHLA = eutrophic.
*Lakes which are classified trophically the same by both the CHLA and
 TP criteria.
tLakes which are classified trophically higher (more eutrophic) by the CHLA
 criteria than by the TP criteria.
*Lakes which are classified trophically lower (less eutrophic) by the CHLA
 criteria than by the TP criteria.


highest Spearman rank correlation coefficient in the comparison study.
Therefore, only the application of the RA to the Larsen/Mercier model is
presented in this report.   However, the same concept can be easily used to
modify any model which predicts ambient TP concentration by modifying the TP
levels used to divide lakes  into trophic categories according to the lake's
RA.  Likewise, if the commonly accepted convention of using TP criteria of 10
and 20 ug/1 is not suitable  for a worker's purpose, the same concept can be
used to modify models based  on other TP and CHLA criteria for trophic
classification.

    The concept of modifying loading and ambient models to predict trophic
state was developed from a data base which contains only one summer sampling
round per lake.  Because of  the large population of lakes represented in our
data base we believe that the apparent trends in our data represent the actual
situations even though data  for an individual  lake may  not be precise.  We
suggest that water sampling  be conducted intensively enough to accurately
estimate ambient summer CHLA and TP concentrations before a lake's observed RA
is used to modify loading  or ambient models which predict trophic state.


                                     33

-------
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               34

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    In summary,  it is important to adjust  for a  lake's  RA,  when using loading
and ambient models which predict trophic state because:

    1.  non-CHLA light interferences  and other interferences  significantly
        decrease most lakes'  RA and

    2.  excessive algal  growth or other manifestations  of  nutrient enrichment
        are more important from a v/ater quality  standpoint  than a  trophic
        classification based  on an arbitrary  ambient  TP  level.
                                    35

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                               LITERATURE CITED
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Kalff, J. and R. Knoechel.  1978.  Phytoplankton and their dynamics in
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                                     38

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