United States
           Environmental Protection
           Agency
           Office of
           Water Planning and Standards
           Washington, DC 20460
                                 EPA 440/2-79-017
r/EPA
           Water
Economic Impact Analysis
of Alternative Pollution
Control Technologies

Wet Process Hard board
and Insulation Board
Subcategories of the
Timber Products Industry

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This document is available in limited quantities
through  the   U.S.  Environmental   Protection
Agency, Economic Analysis Staff WH-586, 401 M
Street, S.W., Washington,  D.C.  20460,  202-755-
2484.

This document  will  subsequently be available
through  the  National   Technical   Information
Service, Springfield, Virginia, 22151.

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EPA-440/2-79-017
           Economic Impact Analysis of
   Alternative Pollution Control Technologies

 Wet Process Hardboard and Insulation Board Subcategori<
                of the Timber Products Industry
          U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

              Office of Water Planning and Standards
                      September 1979
                                   « S Environmental Protection

                                             K, 12* Floor
                                   CtMo, IL 60604-35^0

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                       TABLE OF CONTENTS
List of Tables                                                    v
List of Figures                                                  vii

 I.   EXECUTIVE SUMMARY                                      1

     A.   SCOPE OF WORK                                      1
     B.   INDUSTRY CHARACTERIZATION                          1
     C.   CURRENT EFFLUENT STATUS AND COST OF COMPLIANCE      3
     D.   ECONOMIC IMPACT OF COMPLIANCE WITH REGULATIONS      3

 II.   INDUSTRY CHARACTERIZATION - INSULATION BOARD             7

     A.   INDUSTRY DEFINITION                                 1
     B.   TYPES OF FIRM                                       7
     C.   PRODUCT DESCRIPTION                                8
     D.   PLANT CHARACTERISTICS OF THE EXISTING INDUSTRY       12
     E.   CHARACTERISTICS OF NEW PLANTS                      15
     F.   COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE                             16
     G.   FINANCIAL PROFILE                                  20

III.   INDUSTRY CHARACTERIZATION -WET PROCESS HARDBOARD       23

     A.   INDUSTRY DEFINITION                                23
     B.   TYPES OF FIRMS                                     23
     C.   PRODUCT DESCRIPTION                               26
     D.   PLANT CHARACTERISTICS OF THE EXISTING INDUSTRY       29
     E.   CHARACTERISTICS OF NEW CAPACITY                    33
     F.   COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE                             34
     G.   FINANCIAL PROFILE                                  37

IV.   COST OF COMPLIANCE WITH REVISED WATER EFFLUENT
     REGULATIONS                                            39

     A.   INTRODUCTION                                      39
     B.   CU R R E NT E F F LUE NT STATUS                           39
     C.   POLLUTION CONTROL OPTIONS FOR EXISTING PLANTS       39
     D.   POLLUTION CONTROL OPTIONS FOR NEW SOURCES          41
                              in

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                   TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued)

                                                           Page

 V.   ECONOMIC IMPACT OF COMPLIANCE WITH REVISED WATER
     EFFLUENT REGULATIONS                                   45

     A.    INTRODUCTION                                      45
     B.    PRICE INCREASES                                    45
     C.    FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS                          48
     D.    PLANT CLOSURE                                     48
     E.    CAPACITY EXPANSION                                51
     F.    MARKET STRUCTURE                                 51
     G.    EMPLOYMENT AND COMMUNITY IMPACTS                 51

VI.   LIMITATIONS OF ANALYSIS                                  53

     A.    EPA's REGULATIONS AFFECTING WASTE DISPOSAL          53
     B.    FUTURE GROWTH IN DEMAND                          54
     C.    UNKNOWN FACTORS                                  54

REFERENCES                                                 55

BIBLIOGRAPHY                                                57

APPENDIX A - SUPPLEMENTARY DATA                             59

APPENDIX B - EPA FINANCIAL 308 SURVEY                         65
                               IV

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                                 LIST OF TABLES


Table No.                                                                      Page

  1-1            Cost of Compliance for Plants Impacted by Revised
                Effluent Regulations                                              4
  1-2           Revenue Required to Recover the Cost of Complying with
                Revised Regulations for Hardboard Plants                           5
  11-1           Sales by Insulation Board Manufacturers, 1977                       7
  11-2          Production of Insulation Board, 1965-1976                          9
  II-3          Insulation Board Plants in the United States, 1977                   14
  II-4          Age Distribution of Insulation Board Plants                         15
  II-5          Employment Level of Insulation Board Plants                       16
  II-6          Concentration in the Insulation  Board Industry                      16
  II-7          Prices of Selected Insulation Board Products, 1965-1978             17
  II-8          Price Indexes for Selected Insulation Board Products, 1965-1978      19
  II-9          Pro-Forma Income Statement Insulation Board Plants                21
  111-1          Hardboard Production  Capacity, 1977                             24
  III-2          1977 Hardboard Sales                                            25
  III-3          Shipments, Imports, and Apparent Consumption, 1964-1978         27
  III-4          Capacity Utilization by Hardboard Industry, 1967-1978             28
  111-5          Distribution of Hardboard Plants by Plant Age                      32
  111-6          Employment in  Wet Process Hardboard Plants                       33
  UI-7          Process Economics of New Wet Process Hardboard Capacity          34
  111-8          Hardboard Industry Capacity                                      35
  111-9          Tempered Hardboard Price Trends, 1963-1978                      36
  111-10         Hardboard Demand and Price Forecast                             38
  111-11         Pro-Forma Income Statement Wet Process Hardboard Plants          38
  IV-1          Insulation Board and Wet Process Hardboard Current
                Method of Water Effluent Disposal                                39
  IV-2          Model Plant Treatment Options                                   40
  IV-3          Cost of Compliance for Plants Impacted by Revised
                Effluent Regulations                                             41
  IV-4          Model Plants for New Source Performance Standards
                Insulation Board and Wet Process Hardboard                        42
  IV-5          Cost of Compliance New Insulation Board and Wet
                Process Hardboard Mills                                          43
  V-1           Revenue Required to Recover the Cost of Complying with
                Revised Regulations for Hardboard Plants                           46
  V-2           Distribution of Hardboard Capacity Impacted Vs.
                Non-impacted Plants Option 3                                     47
  V-3           Cost of New Hardboard Capacity New Mill Versus
                Incremental Expansion                                           52

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                                LIST OF FIGURES

Figure No.                                                                   Page

  11-1           Insulation Board Production, 1969-1976                          11
  II-2           Insulation Board Demand, 1976-1982                            13
  111-1           Hardboard Consumption and Construction Expenditures,
                1964-1978                                                    30
  III-2          Total Hardboard Demand, 1976-1984                            31
  V-1           Post-Compliance Profitability with No Price Increase
                (1976 Cost Structure)                                          49
  V-2           Investment Required for Compliance with Revised Effluent
                Regulations Compared with Plant Cash Flow                      50
                                        vu

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                       I.   EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


A.  SCOPE OF WORK
     The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is required by Section 301 (d) of the
Clean Water Act to review and revise, if necessary, effluent limitations promulgated pursuant to
Sections 301, 304, and 306 within five years of promulgation of these  regulations. This study
presents an economic impact analysis of alternative pollution control  technologies for the in-
sulation board and wet process hardboard subcategories of the timber products industry. It
characterizes each industry subsegment; summarizes alternative technologies and their related
costs of compliance,* and analyzes and discusses the anticipated economic impact on those
plants that would require investments to be in compliance with alternative regulation options.
The EPA assisted in the analysis by surveying the board products industry through a Financial
308 Letter.

     The study does not address the costs and economic impacts that might or might not be
incurred as a result of other environmental or other federal regulations, such as EPA solid waste
regulations, EPA air pollution regulations, EPA pesticide regulations or Occupational Safety and
Health Administration regulations.

B.  INDUSTRY CHARACTERIZATION
1.  Insulation Board
     The insulation  board industry  comprises establishments engaged in the production of
structural and decorative fiberboard products constructed from inter-felted ligno-cellulosic fibers
and having a density of less than 31 pounds per cubic foot.

     Twelve companies, one of which is privately held, operate the 17 insulation board plants in
the United States. Eleven of these companies are large, diversified corporations: five have major
interests in forest products, and six have major interests in other building products. Two of the
companies have more than one insulation board plant.

     The basic operating technology of the industry is very similar to the fourdrinier paper
process and has not changed  substantially since its inception.  Ten of the seventeen plants are
located in the South, with the remainder in Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and
Oregon. Plant capacities range from 54 million to 400 million square feet, Vz" basis, but stated
capacities can vary according to the product mix. Plant locations are evenly distributed among
rural, suburban, and urban areas. Seven of the seventeen plants can also manufacture hardboard.

     Insulation board products are primarily used in the construction industry as building board,
insulating roof deck, roof insulation, ceiling tile, lay-in-panels, sheathing and sound deadening
board. Between 1965 and 1976, U.S. production has fluctuated between 3 billion square feet, Vz"
basis, and  3.9 billion square feet. The value of shipments in 1976,  was estimated at $275
million.
'Derived from Revised Technical Review of Best Available Technology, Best Demonstrated Technology and Best
 Demonstrated Technology and Pretreatment Technology for the Timber Products Point Source Category, as prepared
 for the Environmental Protection Agency by Environmental Science & Engineering, Inc.

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     However, insulation  board is threatened by substitute  products  and/or technologies in
many  of  its applications. Thus,  in contrast  to  an  average  annual growth  rate of 1.6%
from 1965 to 1976, Arthur D.  Little, Inc., forecasts a decline  at  an average annual rate of
5% into the 1980's.

     Since 1960, the  industry  has  become more concentrated:  currently four  companies
(Celotex, Armstrong Cork, Weyerhaeuser, and  United States Gypsum) operate 56% of U.S.
capacity.  As insulation  board  is capital intensive  compared to  other  solid wood prod-
ucts  and requires a secure  wood source, there are significant barriers to the entry of new
firms.

     Since 1965,  price changes  in insulation board have been moderate compared to price
changes of other wood products with  which  it competes.  The  median value of after-tax
profitability is about 3% of sales, with a range from zero to 7%.

2. Wet Process Hard board
     The wet process hardboard industry comprises establishments producing hardboard in
densities generally ranging from 31 to 65 pounds per cubic foot from inter-felted wood fiber, using
a wet forming and either a wet or dry pressing process.

     There are 15 producers operating 28 wet and dry process  plants in the United States. The
industry is composed of 3 private firms and several large corporations. Of the 15 hardboard
producers, 7 operate more than one hardboard plant. Wet process plants represent 16 of the 28
facilities and are operated by 11 producers; 4 of these producers operate  more than one wet
process plant.

     As with the insulation board industry, hardboard mills frequently are integrated back to
raw materials sources as owners of woodlands and the larger publicly owned companies also
operate captive  distribution  systems  that handle  a  portion  of their output. The  remaining
producers sell their products through independent wholesalers or through the captive distribution
systems of other companies.

     Hardboard  products  serve four general markets; interior  paneling, exterior siding, indus-
trial, and do-it-yourself. Most of the mills have associated fabricating facilities to produce a wide
variety of finished products.

     Imports have ranged from 4.6% to 15.6% of domestic  consumption during the  1970's.
Volumes vary, depending on the level of U.S. demand, and tend to fill a market need at the lower-
value end. In 1978, shipments from domestic plants totaled 7.7 billion square feet, reflecting an
average annual growth rate of 7.9% since 1964. During the same period, domestic consumption
has grown at 7.5% per year, totaling an estimated 8.7 billion square feet,  1/8" basis, in 1978.

     While wet process hardboard plants generally compete in the market against the output of
dry process mills, the latter use minimal amounts of process water and are closed systems. Wet
process mills are those operations that use a pulping process that requires large amounts of water
and a wet mat forming system similar to  the paper process.

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     A typical wet process plant produces about 230  million square feet, 1/8"  basis,  with
individual plant capacities ranging from 52 to 1850 MMSF. Of the 16 wet process plants in the
United States, 8 were constructed before 1958 and 2 since 1968. No new wet hardboard plants
have come on stream since 1971; however, several locations have added substantial capacity.
While Arthur D. Little, Inc., forecasts future growth in demand at about 3% per year, it is highly
likely that capacity additions to meet this increased demand will come in the form of incremental
expansion at existing facilities or perhaps through the conversion of under-utilized insulation
board capacity.

     The five largest firms (Masonite, Abitibi, Weyerhaeuser, Boise-Cascade, and Superwood)
operate more than 70% of total hardboard and wet process hardboard capacity. As with insulation
board,  there are significant barriers  to the entry of new firms, including its capital intensity,
market structure, need for a fiber source, and the required sales effort.

     In 1976, the  median,  after-tax profit for a 200-million-square-foot wet  process hardboard
plant was about 7%; the industry range was from 1% to 13%.

C.  CURRENT EFFLUENT STATUS AND COST OF COMPLIANCE
     Two of the plants producing only insulation board discharge into navigable waters, whereas
five discharge into municipal sewers and five have no process water discharge. Of the eleven wet
process hardboard plants, nine discharge into navigable  waters, one discharges into municipal
sewers  and one has  no  discharge.  Of the five  plants producing both insulation board and
hardboard three discharge  into navigable water, one into a municipal  system, and one has no
discharge. Thus many plants have pollution control equipment in place and, for several plants,
current treatment will be sufficient to meet revised effluent guidelines. However, seven plants
producing wet process hardboard may be required to install new equipment to meet the revised
regulations. An eighth plant is in the  process of installing a pretreatment system.

     Investment costs under the two control options defined by the Environmental Protection
Agency for wet process hardboard range from $183,000 to $7.4 million, depending on the size of
the facility and the control option defined (Table 1-1). Annual operating costs range from $51,000
to $2.3 million.

     A candidate new source performance standard for insulation board and wet process hard-
board plants calls for zero discharge. The total investment required also varies by plant size and
process type, and ranges from $2.9 million to $5.5 million for insulation board, and from $2.0
million to $5.1 million for  wet process hardboard. Land requirements  for an S2S wet process
hardboard are up to 720 acres.

D.  ECONOMIC IMPACT OF COMPLIANCE WITH REGULATIONS
     An analysis of economic  impact of the revised water effluent regulation options was per-
formed for each of the seven affected plants. The price increase required to recover the cost of
compliance varies widely among the wet process hardboard plants but, in general, Option 1 will
produce a lower impact upon costs than would Option 2. (Table 1-2).

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                                       TABLE 1-1

                           COST OF COMPLIANCE FOR PLANTS
                     IMPACTED BY REVISED EFFLUENT REGULATIONS
                                          ($000)
                                             Investment
        Option 1

        Plant 2002
        Plant 2003
        Plant 2004
          Total Option 1

        Option 2

        Plant 2001
        Plant 2002
        Plant 2003
        Plant 2004
        Plant 2007
        Plant 2012
        Plant 2099

          Total Option 2
Type of
Product

  S1S
  S2S
  S1S
  SIS
  S1S
  S2S
  S1S
  S1S
  S1S
  S1S
 Total

  285
 7,266
 1.320
 8,871
 6,856
 1,105
 7,436
 2,938
   183
   599
 1,228

20,345
Land

  5
 40
105
150
188
 46
 40
300
  0
  0
 30
604
  Other
Investment

    280
  7,226
  1,215
  8,721
  6,668
  1,059
  7,396
  2,638
    183
    599
  1,198

 19,741
Operating
  Costs

     51
  2,219
    179
  2,449
    796
    107
  2,300
    274
    101
    173
    107

  3,858
       Source:  Environmental Science and Engineering, Inc.

     Hardboard, on average, is expected to be in tight supply over the next five to ten years with
demand expected to grow annually at approximately 2% per year. To satisfy this demand, new
capacity will be necessary. The minimum price necessary to support new capacity is over $100 per
thousand square feet. This  price is over 30% higher than the 1977 price and is higher than any
price increase computed  in Table 1-2 for the affected plants as being necessary to recover cost
increases and maintain profitability.

     Profitability of wet process hardboard  plants impacted by revised regulations will be
reduced in the absence  of price increases and all  but one plant will cover cash costs and
depreciation, assuming that the 1976 operating results are representative of cost conditions likely
to prevail in 1984.  To the  extent that price  increases to support new capacity outstrip cost
increases for the affected plants,  the reduction in profitability occasioned by the regulation will
be mitigated.

     The EPA is proposing  Option 2 as the Best Conventional Pollutant Control Technology for
wet process hardboard. Under Option 2, two plants have capital requirements of less than 100% of
cash flow, two plants have  investment requirements of 100% to 200% of annual cash flow and
three plants have investment requirements of 200% to 350% of cash flow.

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                                        TABLE 1-2

                      REVENUE REQUIRED TO RECOVER THE COST OF
            COMPLYING WITH REVISED REGULATIONS FOR HARDBOARD PLANTS
        Plant Type/Code
      (1)
     1976
Revenue ($000)
                                                      Recovery of Compliance Cost
            Required
        A Revenue $/MSF
              % A 1977
                Price
        Option 1
        Plant 2002
        Rant 2003
        Plant 2004
        Plant 2013*

        Option 2
        Plant 2001
        Plant 2002
        Plant 2003
        Plant 2004
        Plant 2007
        Plant 2012^
        Plant 2013*
        Plant 2099
    20,000
  >30,000
     8,400
    20,400


  >30,000
    20,000
  >30,000
     8,400
     9,600
  >30,000
    20,400
     5,500
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
78
 0.80
 9.93
 6.60
 6.10
 3.96
 2.60
10.23
13.40
 1.75
 0.30
 6.10
 8.30
 1
13
 9
 8
 5
 4
13
17
 2
 0
 8
11
       *This plant is in the process of installing a pollution control system, and those specific
         costs were used in the analysis.
       **The average price for wet process hardboard for 1976.
      Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.
     Had Option 1 been selected, four fewer plants would have been affected and the required
price increase to recover cost would have been slightly lower.

     The number and size of insulation board plants will be unaffected by the proposed regu-
lations. However, one hardboard plant, 2003, may close as a result of Option 1 or 2 because of the
large capital  requirements and the  reduction  in plant profitability.  If this plant closes
approximately 300 jobs will be affected with attendant impacts on community employment.

     New hardboard capacity probably will be built at existing plants rather than at greenfield
sites and will not be influenced significantly by revised new source regulations.

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           II.  INDUSTRY CHARACTERIZATION  —
                         INSULATION BOARD

A. INDUSTRY DEFINITION
    The insulation board industry ( a subset of the building board industry, SIC 2261) comprises
establishments engaged  in the production of structural  and decorative fiberboard products
constructed from inter-felted ligno-cellulosic fibers and having a density of less than 31 pounds
per cubic foot.

B. TYPES OF FIRM
1. Size of Firms
    Twelve companies, one of which is privately held, operate the 17 insulation board plants in
the United States (Table II-l). Eleven of these companies are large diversified corporations, five
have major interests in forest products and six have major interests in other building products.
There  are only two multi-plant companies; Celotex, the largest producer, operates four plants
and U.S. Gypsum operates three.
                                     TABLE 11-1

                  SALES BY INSULATION BOARD MANUFACTURERS, 1977
                                     ($ million)

                                           Total             Insulation
                     Company             Corporate            Board1

              Abitibi Paper Co., Ltd.             880                12
              Armstrong Cork                  981                31
              Boise Cascade                  2316                16
              Celotex/Jim Walter2            525/1422              59
              Flintkote                       587                16
              Georgia Pacific                  3675                16
              Huebert Fiberboard                 2                 2
              Kaiser Gypsum                   212                12
              National Gypsum                 748                15
              Temple/Time Inc.             340/1038              17
              U.S. Gypsum                   1177                21
              Weyerhaeuser                   3283                23

              1. At 80% of capacity and $97/MSF, 1/2".
              2. Fiscal year ended August 31.
              Source:  Dun and Bradstreet Directory, 1978, Directory of Corporate
                     Affiliates, 1978.

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     The percentage of sales revenues contributed to each company by insulation board products
varies considerably from company to company (Table II-l). Although they may hold sizeable
insulation board capacity, most of the companies are involved in many other businesses and do
not have significant capital committed to the industry relative to their total business. Annual
sales of the 12 companies, including sales from other operations such as lumber, plywood, and
non-wood products, range from $2 million to more than $3.6 billion (Table II-l).

2.  Integration/Diversification
     The major forest products firms are normally fully integrated backward to timber ownership
or control and forward to distribution systems. Insulation board is usually manufactured to take
advantage of the volumes of locally  available waste from other  wood  products mills and to
broaden the company's product line.

     Four of the forest products firms  (Abitibi, Boise Cascade, Georgia Pacific, and Weyerhaeu-
ser)  have major capital  interests in various segments of the paper industry  as well as a full
spectrum  of building products. Temple Industries, a subsidiary of Time, Inc., produces a wide
range of solid wood products.

     Five of the building products firms involved in the insulation board industry (U.S. Gypsum,
National, Kaiser Gypsum, Flintkote  and Celotex, a division of Jim Walter  Corporation) are
highly diversified into both residential and nonresidential building materials. Armstrong Cork
has major interests in  both residential and commercial interior finishing materials, including
floor coverings,  wall coverings,  and furniture. The  general building products firms produce
insulation board to complement their product lines. While these firms are characterized by well-
developed captive distribution systems, they generally are not integrated  backward to timber
control. The  remaining company, Huebert Fiberboard, is privately held and insulation board
apparently constitutes its major business.

C. PRODUCT DESCRIPTION

1.  Types of Products
     Insulation board is known in the  marketplace under many different names, i.e., fiberboard,
sheathing board, backer board, or asphalt board. Insulation board products can be divided into
seven major categories, as follows:

     •  Building Board  — a general-purpose product for interior construction.
     •  Insulating Roof Deck  — a three-in-one  component  which provides roof  deck,
         insulation, and a finished interior ceiling surface. Insulation  board sheets  are
         laminated together with waterproof adhesives.
     •  Roof Insulation  — insulation board designed for use on flat roof decks.
     •   Ceiling Tile — insulation board embossed and decorated for interior use. It is also
         valued for acoustical qualities.
     •  Lay-in-Panel  — a finished tile board used in suspended ceilings.
     •  Sheathing —  a board used in exterior construction because of its insulative and
         noise control qualities, its bracing strength, and its low price.
     •   Sound Deadening Insulation Board — a special product designed to control noise
         levels in buildings.

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     The American Society for Testing and Materials, American National Standards Institute,
U.S. National Bureau of Standards, and other agencies set standard specifications for these and
other product categories.

2.  Market Size and Future Growth
     Since 1965, total U.S. production, as reported by the Bureau of the Census, has fluctuated
between a low of 1.16 million tons (3.0 billion square feet, Vfc" basis) in 1970 to a high of 1.55
million tons (3.9 billion square feet) in 1973 (Table II-2). In 1971 and 1972, the insulation board
industry seemed to be slowly losing its market and steadily becoming more unprofitable as plants
continued to close. Six plants had closed since 1960 and operations at two more plants were
severely cut back in 1977. Since 1975, per capita consumption of insulation  board has fluctuated
between 11.3 and 13.5 pounds per person although total U.S. production in 1976 was still below
the 1973 peak (Table II-2). While the future trend for insulation board demand is a declining one,
the current (1978)  high levels of housing construction  and the demand for  insulation have
stabilized production levels.
                                         TABLE 11-2

                       PRODUCTION OF INSULATION BOARD, 1965-1976
              Year

              1965
              1966
              1967
              1968
              1969
              1970
              1971
              1972
              1973
              1974
              1975
              1976
  Total1
(000 tons)

  1258
  1155
  1176
  1133
  1352
  1219
  1446
  1529
  1547
  1295
  1240
  1450
Production
Per Capita
(pounds)
12.9
11.7
11.8
11.3
13.3
11.9
14.0
14.6
14.7
12.2
11.7
13.5
Per $ Billion of
New Construction2
(000 tons)
15.9
14.5
15.1
13.8
16.4
15.5
16.9
16.6
16.6
16.2
17.9
19.8
              1. Annual growth rate 1.6%.
              2. Constant 1967 do liars.
              Note: Government import/export data are unreliable. The volumes are generally
                   offsetting and less than 2.5% of sales; therefore, the data are not shown.
              Source: "The Demand and Price Situation-for Forest Products, 1976-1977"
                     USDA, Forest Service Miscellaneous Publication 1357.

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      Trade directories indicate that 64% of the world's insulation board capacity is in the United
 States. Government data on insulation board imports and exports are unreliable; the volumes are
 small and offsetting; therefore, the data are not shown. However, according to U.S. Forest Service
 data, imports have generally been less than 2.5% of domestic production.

      Interior products account for 309p of the total production (on a '/2-inch basis) and are mainly
 prefinished building board and ceiling tile (Figure II-l).* Exterior products, principally sheathing
 board and roof insulation  board, represent 58%  of production. The  remaining  12%  includes
 insulation board used in industrial applications, principally trailer (mobile home) board.

      The largest interior products market has traditionally been nonacoustical ceiling tile and
 lay-in panels. This market has dropped from 530 million square feet in 1972 to 321 million square
 feet in 1976, largely as a result of the inclusion of stricter flame spread  requirements in building
 codes. The product, which had been widely used in nonresidential construction, is now limited to
 the residential  repair and remodeling market. Improvements in some fire resistance qualities
 have helped the acoustical tile market grow from 172 million square feet to 201 million square feet
 over the 1972-1976 period and have kept regular  tile products from losing even  more of their
 market. Over the same period, sound-deadening board has suffered heavy market losses, with
 volume slipping from  114 million square feet to 46 million square feet. The future of the interior
 products markets is highly dependent on the ability of the manufacturers to develop a better fire
 resistant board. Arthur D.  Little forecasts that  the interior products market will  decline 5-6%
 annually through 1982.

      The  largest of the exterior products markets is sheathing. In this application, insulation
 board is frequently used as a backup to brick veneer. Over the period from 1972 to 1976 sheathing
 volume decreased from 1,608 million square  feet to 1,368 million square feet; however, 1972
 insulation board sheathing production was the highest in the past nine years. The availability of
 price-competitive products and the fact that many building codes permit exterior wood sidings to
 provide rack**resistance, previously provided by plywood sheathing or brick,  are  forcing a
 cutback in the insulation board sheathing market.  Also, insulation board sheathing products
 have an R-value of approximately 2.64 (°F ft2. Btu/inch), which is considerably lower than that of
 most true insulation products like fiberglass and foams. Furthermore,  the sheathing panels are
 usually '-> inch thick, with a resulting R-value of only 1.32, which is less than what is being
 required in energy conserving construction.

      Gypsum sheathing is insulation board's chief competitor in the sheathing market. The 1977-
 1978 housing boom, however, has caused a shortage of gypsum, thus resulting in more insulation
 board being used than would otherwise have been  the case.  Gypsum is a good example of a
 preferred cost-competitive product. New products such as foil-backed structural foams are also
 competing in  the sheathing market. On the other hand, roof insulation  board has made a
 recovery, with  production going from a nine-year low of 261  million square feet in 1972 to 549
 million square  feet in 1976. As a result,  over  the  1972-1976 period, the total exterior products
 market volume has increased 1.69c. The exterior product demand will weaken as  housing con-
 struction slows and as capacity comes on-stream from competing products (approximately 10
 * For a more detailed breakdown, see Appendix A.
** Racking strength — the ability of the structural unit to withstand shear and bending stresses resulting from various
  building loads.

                                             10

-------
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1800

1600

1400

1200

1000

 800

 600

 400


 200
                                 Housing Starts
                                      v\
                                                      Total Production
                                                if
                                                ill
Exterior
Products
                                                                        Interior
                                                                        Products
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-------
plywood mills and at least two foam panel plants are under construction).  In view of these
downward pressures on demand, Arthur D. Little forecasts the exterior products market to drop
by 2.5-3.0 percent annually through 1982.

     The industrial market for insulation board has declined from a nine-year high of 718 million
square feet in 1972 to 418 million square feet in 1976. Most of this loss is attributable to a decline
of 243 million square feet over the 1972-1976 period in the trailer board market, which was largely
a result of flame spread requirements in mobile homes. The use of insulation board for expansion
joint strips has also declined dramatically. Arthur D. Little estimates that the industrial market
will decrease 7-8% annually through 1982.

     The insulation board industry is  indirectly affected by the level of hardboard imports;
should the hardboard demand growth require more domestic capacity, some insulation board
capacity can  be converted to produce hardboard. A conversion from hardboard to insulation
board capacity, although it  is not likely, may also occur during periods of weak demand for
hardboard.

     Most insulation board is used in remodeling or new construction; therefore, the demand for
it is cyclical. To minimize the influence of cyclicality, various historic growth  rates were calcu-
lated, based on data in Table A-l, using a least squares time  trend line. Over the 1969-1976
period, the market for exterior insulation board products grew at 0.74% per year, while interior
and industrial products grew at an annual rate of 0.55% and -1.6%, respectively, and the average
annual growth rate for total production was 0.35%. At the same time, the economy in general has
experienced real growth of about 3.0% per year, thus confirming our discussion about insulation
board losing  market share to competitive products for a long time.  The factors which have
contributed to the current favorable supply/demand balance for insulation board in 1977-78 are
temporary; the strong housing market combined with the shortage of gypisum sheathing will not
persist. Further competition from competing products will become more intense. In view of these
considerations, the aggregated market for insulation board is projected to decline at an average
rate of 5% annually through  1982 (Figure II-2). However, because of the cyclicality of construc-
tion, this market  will reflect the same short periods of growth and construction typical of most
building materials.

D.  PLANT  CHARACTERISTICS OF THE EXISTING INDUSTRY
1. Process Technology
     The  basic operating technology of the industry is very similar  to the fourdrinier paper
process and has not changed substantially since its inception. A cylinder  screen type  of mat
forming system is also used.  Some technical improvements have been made in the fiber refining
stage of the production process.

     Technical changes in the product also have had a significant impact on the industry and
have been market-driven. These have resulted in production process modifications.

2. Size of Plants
     Existing plant capacities, on a  '/2 inch-thick basis, range from 54 million to 400 million
square feet (Table II-3). The mix of structural and tile products at  a given mill can  have a
substantial impact on the stated mill capacity figures. For example, because of trim losses and
                                          12

-------
   3800



   3600



   3400



C  3200
I  3000
LL
0)

   2800
c

I  2600
   2400



   2200
   2000
                     I
                                  I
      1976          1977          1978


        Source:  Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.
1979
1980
1981
1982
                   FIGURE 11-2   INSULATION BOARD DEMAND, 1976-1982
                                           13

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                                       TABLE 11-3

               INSULATION BOARD PLANTS IN THE UNITED STATES, 1977
   Company
Abitibi
Armstrong Cork
Boise Cascade
Celotex
Celotex
Celotex
Celotex
Flintkote
Georgia Pacific

Huebert Fiberboard
Kaiser Gypsum
National Gypsum
Temple Industries
U.S. Gypsum
U.S. Gypsum
U.S. Gypsum
Weyerhaeuser
   Total
     Location
Blountstown, FL3
Macon, GA
International Falls, MN
Dubuque, IA
Marrero, LA4
L'Anse, Ml 3
Sunbury, PA3
Meridian, MS
Jarratt, VA*

Boonville, MO
St. Helens, OR
Mobile, AL
Diboll,TX
Lisbon Falls, ME
Pilot Rock, OR3
Greenville, MS
Broken Bow (Craig), OK
  Annual1
  Capacity
(MMSF-1/2")
     150
     4002
     210
     737


     200
     210

      50
     150
     192
     220

     271

     300
    Other
   Products
Manufactured
  Hardboard
  Hardboard
    (1978)
  Hardboard
  Hardboard
 (all facilities)

  Hardboard
                                3090
1. These are approximate capacities as they depend upon product mix.  Figures quoted are for mills
   operating 24 hours/day, 6-2/3 days/week, 50 weeks/year.
2. Understated due to heavy tile production. If operated as a sheathing mill, capacity would increase 20%.
3. No effluent.
4. Not considered in this analysis.
Sources:  1976 Directory of the Forest Products Industry, American Board Products Association,
         and Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.
                                          14

-------
product configuration, a mill that produces interlocking ceiling tile will produce 20% less board
than an identical mill producing sheathing. Plants producing prefinished building board and lay-
in ceiling tile will also have trim losses considerably in excess of identical sheathing mills.

3. Age Distribution
     Age is a factor in overall plant efficiency. Twelve of the plants are more than 20 years old
and all but one are more than 10 years old (Table II-4).*

                                        TABLE 11-4

                                  AGE DISTRIBUTION OF
                                INSULATION BOARD PLANTS


                        Age (Years)                   Number of Plants

                           0-19                             5
                          20-29                             5
                          30+                              J_
                            Total                          17
                       Source: EPA Financial 308 Letter.

4.  Location
     Ten of the 17 plants  are located in the South and the remainder are in Maine, Michigan,
Minnesota, Pennsylvania,  and Oregon. This distribution developed because of the availability of
wood fiber close to the market and insignificant competition for wood resources in the South at
the time the plants were constructed. The sites are evenly distributed between rural, suburban,
and urban areas.

     Wood resources that are owned or controlled under long-term contracts typically supply 30-
50f;< of the plants' raw fiber needs. The remainder of each plant's fiber requirement is made up by
open  market purchases. Four of the mills are part of multi-plant forest products production
complexes and derive a substantial portion of their fiber requirements from the waste of other
operations.

5.  Employment
     The 1972 Census of Manufactures indicates that the industry supported 6,100 employees on
a payroll of $59 million. Most of the plants operate with over 200 employees (Table II-5); however,
compared to the more basic wood products, such as lumber and plywood production, it is one of
the less labor-intensive segments of the industry.

E.  CHARACTERISTICS OF  NEW PLANTS
     In  the past nine years, only one new insulation board plant has opened. Since  1960, six
plants have shut down. In 1976 and 1977, two large plants announced major cutbacks in their
*The Celotex plant in Marrero is excluded from this analysis because it does not use wood fiber as a raw material but is
 included in the discussion in order to present a complete picture of the industry.


                                          15

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                                       TABLE 11-5

                                EMPLOYMENT LEVEL OF
                               INSULATION BOARD PLANTS


                       Number of Employees           Number of Plants

                              0-199                       5
                             200-299                       5
                             300-399                       3
                             400+                         _4_
                             Total                       17


                       Source: EPA Financial 308 Letter.

operations. In 1978, Georgia Pacific was expected to add hardboard siding capacity in Jarratt,
Virginia, to its  insulation board and will operate both production lines. No companies have
announced any intentions, plans, or desires to build additional insulation board capacity.

F. COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE
1. Market Structure
     Since 1960, when 23 insulation  board plants were operated by 17 firms, the industry has
become more concentrated. Currently, the top three firms control 47% of industry capacity and
the top five firms control 63fp (Table II-6).  As product demand declines and plants close or
convert to other products, the industry is expected to become even more1 concentrated.
                                       TABLE 11-6

                                 CONCENTRATION IN THE
                               INSULATION BOARD INDUSTRY

                         Firm                         % Capacity

                       Celotex                             24
                       Armstrong Cork                       13
                       Weyerhaeuser                        10
                       U.S. Gypsum                         9
                       Temple                              7
                       All Others (7)                       J37^
                         Total                            100
                       Sources:  American Board Products Association,
                               and Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.
                                         16

-------
2.  Pricing Mechanism
     The economic justification for construction of insulation board plants was based on the use
of waste from other forest products mills as the basic raw material supply. Initially, this raw
material was very inexpensive; but, since 1972, increased competition for wood chips and rising
energy, labor and pollution control costs have increased insulation board costs (Table II-7).

                                          TABLE 11-7

               PRICES OF SELECTED INSULATION BOARD PRODUCTS1,1965-1978
                                 (dollars per thousand square feet)


                                                       Roof
                                  1/2-Inch2          Insulation3
              Year                Sheathing            Board           Ceiling Tile4

              1965                   37.09              63.78             83.05
              1966                   36.45              65.15             83.75
              1967                   36.01              65.02             87.24
              1968                   38.17              64.17             91.78
              1969                   40.73              65.15             97.88
              1970                   36.91              67.16             103.38
              1971                   37.78              66.06             109.14
              1972                   42.06              66.19             112.28
              1973                   44.98              67.56             113.32
              1974                   49.23              84.59             117.16
              1975                   50.20             100.13             121.87
              1976                   58.31             107.80             130.42
              1977                   66.05              N/A               N/A
              1978 (March)            74.87              N/A               N/A


              1. f.o.b. mill, with freight allowed to destination.
              2. Standard density, 1/2" x 2' x 8' to 4' x 9', with asphalt impregnation or
                water-resistant coating, manufacturer to wholesaler.
              3. 1" x 2' x 4', asphalt treated, manufacturer to roofing contractor.
              4. 1/2" x 1' x V, 1 x 2', or 1 x 3', factory-painted plain surface, beveled edges,
                manufacturer to wholesaler or retailer.
              Source:  U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

     Insulation board prices are usually quoted on a dollar per thousand square feet basis, f.o.b.
shipping point, with full freight allowed to the destination. Between 1965 and 1976, insulation
board sheathing prices increased 57%, including a 30% increase since 1973. Since 1965, the price
of ceiling tile has also increased 57%, but the increase since 1973 has been only 15%. Ceiling tile
prices reflect the higher value-added manufacturing steps and are more than double the price of
sheathing; therefore,  while the  percentage  increases for the 1965-1976 period  are  equal, the
absolute dollar price  increases for ceiling tile  are more  than double  the  price increases for
sheathing.
                                             17

-------
     The major pricing constraint for insulation board is created by price levels of substitute
products rather than intra-industry competition. The price comparisons must be made on the
basis of performance value, not unit  costs. The triple role of insulation board as a structural,
decorative, and insulation product makes price comparisons particularly difficult. To illustrate,
the March  1977  price of '/2-inch insulation board sheathing was $58.71 per thousand square feet,
while the price of  'A-inch plywood sheathing was $190. On this basis,  the insulation board
appears to be a better value. However, in use, a siding material  must be applied over the
sheathing.  An alternative wall construction is to use fiber glass insulation  and a plywood or
hard board siding product that provides the strength of the sheathing, a finished outside wall, and
a better R-value for the complete wall. The construction costs of the fiber glass/siding wall are less
than  a sheathing/siding wall  and the higher-quality insulation will result in lower long-term
heating costs. Ultimately,  what appeared to be  a major price advantage for insulation board
becomes insignificant. Gypsum sheathing has been very competitive with insulation board on a
price/utility basis for years and has established itself as the preferred sheathing material in many
areas. Structural foams are also beginning to appear on the market and will also compete strongly
with insulation board on the basis of performance value.

     In the past, commercial structures have used large quantities of insulation board for ceiling
tile, lay-in  panels, and roof deck insulation. But fire code restrictions have severely cut back the
use of the material in these applications. The insulation board roof decking  has also met with
strong competition from perlite and  rigid fiber glass boards. Until  a fire-retardant insulation
board ceiling tile is on the market and widely accepted in building codes, the  price of insulation
will not stimulate demand, and plastic or mineral board substitutes will dominate the non-
residential market.

3.  Price Elasticity of Demand
     Changes in the  price of insulation board from 1965 to 1976 have been moderate compared to
those of lumber, plywood, and other wood products with which it competes (Table II-8). While
the 1976 wholesale price index (WPI) for insulation board products was 160.8 (1967=100), the
WPI for all construction products had risen to 187.7. But the general inflation index was at 159.0;
thus, insulation board prices have kept pace with general inflation and thus have experienced no
real price increases. There are several factors that contribute to this situation.

     First, the recent cost-price relationship based on improved plant efficiency and resulting
lower costs may have allowed the industry to maintain its accepted level of profitability without
increasing prices. However, given the recent history of wood costs, competition  for fiber, and costs
of finishing materials, this relationship is not likely to continue to be a major factor.

     Second, the industry may have absorbed the impact of lower margins per unit by increasing
production volumes with added shifts and small incremental investments to increase existing
plant capacities. The closure of six plants since 1960 while production continued to increase
slightly is an indication that this has happened in the remaining plants. This course of action at a
facility could,  depending on  volume-price relationships, result in  level rates  of return as a
consequence of lower per unit margins on greater volumes.

     Finally, there is a market-price  relationship. Insulation board may have to keep down its
prices to meet competition from substitute products such as gypsum and maintain its market
shares. While there  is probably some cross-elasticity of demand between insulation board and
competing products, price is not the principal reason for utilizing insulation board.

                                            18

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4.  Barriers to Entry of New Firms
     Insulation board is capital intensive compared with the production of other solid wood
products such as plywood and lumber. Other than capital requirements, the significant barriers
are securing a  wood source and, depending  on the product line, the scale  of the required
marketing effort. Tile products would require a larger sales effort than sheathing because of the
proprietary nature of the product.

5.  Other  Regulatory Factors
     A result of government timber policy restricting the harvest of federal timber on the West
Coast would be to lower supplies and push up prices of lumber and plywood. This would probably
result in increasing demand for fiberboard and would allow substantial price increases. An easing
of government timber policy that would allow a higher level of removals from West Coast forests,
which is equally likely at this time, would have the opposite effect.

G.  FINANCIAL  PROFILE
     Plant  sales vary directly with production (Table II-9). However, plant book values differ for
plants of similar size because of plant age and other factors.

     While the distribution of manufacturing cost differs by size of plant, there appear to be
significant differences in relative costs due to other factors. A number of insulation board plants
appear to be operating at a loss, and operating margins overall are small compared with those of
hardboard plants. The outlook for insulation board demand indicates that the financial condition
of some insulation  board plants will worsen as capacity utilization rates fall. Insulation board
plants are also likely to shut down or convert to other products in the face of falling demand.
                                          20

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                                 TABLE 11-9

                            FINANCIAL PROFILES
        PRO-FORMA INCOME STATEMENT INSULATION BOARD PLANTS

                  Sales (1976)     $8,500,000 (range $3-30 Million)
                  Capacity        125 Million Square Feet
                  Capacity Base   1/2"
Pro-Forma Cost of Manufacture

Sales

Cost of Goods Sold
   Labor
   Materials
   Depreciation
   Other Expenses

Total Cost of Goods Sold

Gross Margin

Selling General & Administrative

Interest

Profit Before Tax

Profit After Tax

Plant Book Value
                                      Median Value
   100
    25
    35
     4
    20

    84

    16

    10
     6

     3

$7,000,000
                      Range of Values
        100
       15-31
       30-50
        2-8
        2-44
        8-24

        7-18



      <0-13

      <0-7

$500,000-$25,000,000
Source:  EPA Financial 308 Letter. Excludes plants producing both insulation board and
        hardboard.
                                      21

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            III.  INDUSTRY CHARACTERIZATION  —
                   WET PROCESS HARDBOARD

A.  INDUSTRY DEFINITION
     Wet process mills are only one segment of the hardboard production capacity. The in-
dustry* is composed of three segments: wet, wet-dry and dry processes, that serve the same
markets with similar products and are largely operated by the same companies. Inherent differen-
ces in physical product characteristics developed by each process, however, make some products
better suited to some application.

     The wet process hardboard  industry comprises  establishments producing hardboard in
densities generally between 31 and 65 pounds per cubic foot from inter-felted wood fiber using a
wet forming and either a wet or dry pressing process (known respectively as wet-wet and wet-dry).
The dry process segment of the industry uses a dry forming and dry pressing process to manufac-
ture hardboard.

B.  TYPES OF FIRMS
1.  Size of Firm
     There are  15 producers operating 28 wet and dry process plants (Table III-l). The industry is
composed  of three  private firms and several large corporations. Seven of the  15 hardboard
producers  operate more than one hardboard plant. Wet process plants represent 16 of the 28
facilities and are operated by 11 producers, four of which operate more than one  wet process
plant.

     The larger corporations in the wet process board industry are Masonite, Abitibi, Champion
International, Weyerhaeuser, and U.S. Gypsum. The largest private company, Superwood, is the
fourth-ranked producer in  the industry whereas the two remaining private firms are among the
smallest producers.

     Total annual sales for companies  in the wet process segment of the hardboard industry,
including sales  from operations such as lumber, plywood, paper, chemicals, and others, range
from $25 million to more than $3.6 billion (Table III-2). The importance of a  particular plant to
each firm varies with each case.

2.  Ownership/Integration/Product Diversification
     Of the 12  wet  process hardboard mills, 8 are  owned by publicly held corporations; the 4
remaining mills are owned  by 3 private companies.

     Frequently, as owners of woodlands the public corporations are integrated back to raw
material sources, which typically supply 35-45% of their raw material needs. The private com-
panies are also likely to own some  woodlands but, unlike the public companies, they do not
typically derive as large a percentage of their wood requirements from these sources.
  Standard Industrial Classification 2499, "Wood Products Not Elsewhere Classified," includes, among other in-
  dustries, medium-density fiberboard, wet process hardboard, and dry process hardboard. SIC data do not dis-
  tinguish among these three industries.


                                        23

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                                    TABLE 111-1

                    HARDBOARD PRODUCTION CAPACITY, 1977
                           (million square feet — 1/8" basis)
   Company

Abitibi2
Abitibi
Evans Products
Forest Fiber
Mason ite
Mason ite
Superior Fiber
Superwood
Superwood
Champion International
Abitibi2
Boise Cascade
Temple
Weyerhaeuser
U.S. Gypsum
U.S. Gypsum
U.S. Gypsum
WET-WET PLANTS1

    Location

  Alpena, Ml
  Roaring River, NC
  Corvallis, OR
  Forest Grove, OR
  Laurel, MS
  Ukiah, CA
  Superior, Wl
  Duluth, MN
  N. Little Rock, AK
  Dee, OR


WET-DRY PLANTS2

  Alpena, Ml
  International Falls, MN
  Diboll, TX
  Craig, OK
  Danville, VA
  Pilot Rock, OR
  Greenville, MS

      Total - Wet Process
                                                         Subtotal
Annual Capacity

       200
       315
       110
       114
      1850
       560
       158
       380
       130
        76
      3893
       329
       700
       244
       175
       230
        86
       155
                                                         Subtotal
      1919
      5812
Boise Cascade
Celotex
Champion International
Champion International
Georgia Pacific
Georgia Pacific
Louisiana Pacific
Ma son ite
Publishers Forest Prods.
Superwood
Weyerhaeuser
Weyerhaeuser
   DRY PLANTS3

  Phillips, Wl
  Paris, TIM
  Catawba, SC
  Lebanon, OR
  Conway, NC
  Coos Bay, OR
  Oroville, CA
  Towanda, PA
  Anacortes, WA
  Bemidji, MN
  Doswell, VA
  Klamath Falls, OR
       Total Dry Process Capacity
       Total Hardboard Capaticy
        80
       195
       225
       107
       265
       201
       150
       490
        52
        90
       315
       290
      2460
      8272
1. The Masonite mills and the Abitibi mill in Alpena, Ml, use combinations of the wet-wet and
   wet-dry processes.
2. There are wet-wet and wet-dry operations at this location.
3. Does not include medium-density fiberboard (MDF) plants because it is a different product
   used in different applications.


Sources:  1976 Directory of the Forest Products Industry, American Board Products Association,
         and Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.
                                       24

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                                        TABLE 111-2

                                 1977 HARDBOARD SALES
                                    (all producers, $MM)
     Company
Abitibi Paper Co. Ltd.
Boise Cascade
Celotex/Jim Walter1
Champion International
Evans Products
Forest Fiber
Georgia Pacific
Louisiana Pacific
Masonite1
Publishers/Times Mirror Co.
Superior Fiber/Carlson Companies
Superwood
Temple/Time Inc.
U.S. Gypsum
Weyerhaeuser
  Total
Corporate
  Sales*
   800
  2316
525/1422
  3127
   941
  N/A
  3675
   794
   445
 NA/976
 NA/650
  N/A
340/1038
  1177
  3283
 Total**
Hardboard
   Sales
    72
    66
    17
    34
     9
     9
    40
    13
   247
     5
    13

    21
    40
    66
Wet Process**
  Hardboard
    Sales
      72
      60

       7
       9
       9
     206

      13
      44
      21
      40
      15
1. Fiscal year ends August 31.
Sources:   *Dun and Bradstreet Directory, 1978, Directory of Corporate Affiliations, 1978.
         **Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates, based upon an operating rate of 100% and the prices for 1977
           shown in Table III-9.

     Six of the parent companies operate captive distribution systems that handle a portion of
their output. The remaining producers sell their products through independent wholesalers or
through the captive distribution systems of other companies.

     In addition to hardboard products, all of the parent companies are involved in the produc-
tion and distribution  of  a  wide range of other wood  products — both competing and non-
competing  — and various building materials. Many hardboard operations are parts of forest
products complexes that may produce various combinations of lumber, plywood, particleboard,
fiberboard, pulp, and/or paper.  The parent  companies  generally have a strong orientation to-
wards forest products (five are involved in the paper industry) and may produce other building
materials such as gypsum board. Three of the firms are significantly diversified beyond building
materials businesses.
                                            25

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C.  PRODUCT DESCRIPTION
1. Types of Hard board Products
     Hardboard products can be divided into  four classes on the  basis of water resistance,
modulus of rupture, and tensile strength. The four classes, listed in order of decreasing strength
properties, are as follows:

                   (1) tempered
                   (2) standard
                   (3) service-tempered
                   (4) service

     Hardboard products serve four general markets: interior paneling, exterior siding, industrial
and do-it-yourself. Most of the mills have associated fabricating facilities for prefinished pan-
eling, panel stock, siding, perforated board, embossed, and/or cut-to-size products.

     Hardboard serves a  very wide range  of end uses involving about 800 different sets of
specifications. Marketing efforts have usually been aimed at displacing traditional products such
as gypsum, plaster, stucco, and plywood in specific applications. Hardboard is challenging and
being challenged by these products and others in various markets and applications.

     Interior paneling  may be manufactured  from any of the four classes of hardboard in
thicknesses of '/s to Vi inch. Panels up to 5 feet wide or 12 feet long are available. Hardboard was
used as the substrate in about 20%  to 40% of the interior paneling sold in 1973, with its  major
competition being  inexpensive lauan  plywood,  domestic hardwood plywood, and thin par-
ticleboard. It is used for both wood-grain prints and tileboard panels. The surface of the panel
may be embossed to provide a surface texture or pattern before a finish is applied. The hardboard
manufacturer may produce and sell prefinished paneling, unfinished paneling stock, or both.

     Siding is manufactured specifically for  exterior use. Lap siding is manufactured in  thick-
nesses of :1/s  inch and greater, widths from 4 to 12 inches, and lengths up to 16 feet in two-foot
increments. Panel siding is fabricated in sheets 4 feet wide, 4 to 12 feet long and usually Vi inch
thick  or thicker. Hardboard was introduced to  the siding market in the late 1940's and now
competes  against  PVC,  aluminum, brick,  stucco, plywood,  and  other wood  siding  mate-
rials.Textures simulating  most other siding materials,  as well as improved finishes, have in-
creased hardboard's market share in residential siding and will probably  continue to do so.
Hardboard siding is now also gaining market share in mobile home applications and Arthur D.
Little expects this trend to continue.

     The industrial market for hardboard encompasses a very wide range of end-user and OEM
(original equipment manufacturer) applications, including: displays, furniture, transportation,
electronics, interior construction, factory equipment, and toys. The  list of actual and possible
uses is extremely diversified. Most  industrial markets  require the hardboard manufacturer to
meet a unique set of specifications pertaining to board characteristics and/or fabrication require-
ments. The industrial market is so diversified that competition from substitute products in any
one segment has only minimal impact on the overall hardboard industry. However, companies
that concentrate on only a few markets can be impacted.
                                           26

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2. Market Size and Future Growth
     Recent economic trends have been generally favorable to the industry (Table III-3). Per
capita  consumption has increased about 4.0% annually since  1964. Shipments from domestic
plants  totalled 7.7 billion square feet in 1978, reflecting an average annual growth rate of 7.9%
since 1964. The industry slowdown in 1974 and 1975 was followed by a strong recovery in 1976 that
continued into 1979.
                                      TABLE 111-3

             SHIPMENTS, IMPORTS, AND APPARENT CONSUMPTION, 1964-1978
                              (million square feet - 1/8" basis)

                                                    Apparent               Imports as a
            U.S. Shipments          Imports          Consumption           % of Consumption

1964            2689                471               3160                   14.9
1965            2921                572               3493                   16.4
1966            3083                443               3526                   12.6
1967            3038                426               3464                   12.3
1968            3710                648               4358                   14.9
1969            4247                708               4955                   14.3
1970            4384                457               4841                    9.4
1971            5225                634               5859                   10.8
1972            5798               1070               6868                   15.6
1973            6050               1039               7089                   14.7
1974            5654                750               6404                   11.7
1975            5681                277               5958                    4.6
1976            6485                494               6979                    7.1
1977            7714                627               8341                    7.5
1978            7843                920               8763                   10.5

Source: American Board Products Association.
     Reliable data on exports are unavailable but exports are believed to be less than 2% of
 domestic  production. In contrast, imports of hardboard have been up to 16.4% of domestic
 consumption. Although producers in developing countries generally enjoy lower costs and no
 entry duties, imports are very sensitive to economic conditions in the United States. Imports
 suffered a severe market share setback in 1975-1976 and are only beginning to recover; in 1975,
 imports were only 4.6% of consumption (Table III-3). The quality of imports appears to be
 generally  adequate to satisfy the lower end of the hardboard market; it is believed that U.S.
 domestic producers are frequently the purchasers of foreign hardboard in order to satisfy domes-
 tic demand during periods of rapid demand growth. At those times, domestic suppliers generally
 prefer to upgrade the quality of product they supply in order to improve average margins.
                                         27

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     Brazil is by far the largest source of hardboard imported by the United States; the U.S.S.R.,
Sweden,  and Canada are  also significant, with Poland, Romania, Korea and other countries
selling hardboard in U.S. markets in varying quantities. Brazil, Argentina, Romania and Korea
are among the developing countries that now face no U.S. tariffs. Most other countries, except the
U.S.S.R. (30%), pay a 7.5% ad valorem duty for imports into the United States.  The United
States will remain a net importer of hardboard, despite the declining trend in imports, due to the
relatively low cost of hardboard purchased from foreign sources.

     Capacity utilization declined significantly in 1972 because of a 30% increase in capacity in
that year, and again in 1974/1975 as a result of market conditions and a conversion of insulation
board  capacity  to hardboard production (Table  III-4). Demand strengthened in 1976 and the
industry  has operated at 83-94% of capacity since. Precise data on 1977/1978 are unavailable but
the industry is believed to have operated at rates of 85% to 95%.

                                       TABLE 111-4

               CAPACITY UTILIZATION BY HARDBOARD INDUSTRY, 1967-1978
                               (million square feet - 1/8" basis)


                                                                   Capacity
                            Annual                U.S.             Utilization
                            Capacity            Shipments               (%)

             1967            4555                3038                 67
             1968            4648                3710                 80
             1969            5019                4247                 85
             1970            5335                4384                 82
             1971            6000                5225                 87
             1972            7753                5798                 75
             1973            7916                6050                 76
             1974            8723                5654                 65
             1975            8348                5681                 68
             1976            7771                6485                 83
             1977            8272                7714                 93
             1978            8284                7843                 95
            Source: American Board Product  Association.
     Historically, losses in one market have been offset to a greater or lesser extent by gains in
 another. For example, hardboard continues to lose automotive markets; the technological trend
 toward light automobiles has resulted in the use of lightweight plastics in applications where
 hardboard was formerly dominant. On the other hand, the minimal quantities of petrochemical
 adhesives and relatively low energy intensity  required in hardboard manufacture protect the

                                          28

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industry from what could be a severely negative impact of increased resin costs increases in the
cost of plastics, and other siding products such as brick and have helped to stimulate demand for
hardboard siding.

     Roughly 60% of hardboard is used  directly in construction or is affected by construction
demand, while most of the remainder is used in industrial applications. Shipments of hardboard
follow the construction industry trends but the volatility of hardboard shipments is dampened
somewhat by its industrial market  (Figure III-l). Analysis of 1964-1978 shipments and  con-
sumption using a least squares linear-time trend results in annual growth rates of 7.9% and 7.4%
respectively. Growth rates in the 1972-1978 period for shipments and consumption were 5.2% and
4.2%, respectively, because of an industry slowdown in 1974 and 1975. The slower growth rates for
consumption are a result of fluctuations in the level of imports.

     The consumption growth rates indicate that hardboard's share of the construction materials
market has increased. The economy in general experienced a growth rate of about 3.0% per year
for the period, and construction since 1973 has remained below 1973 constant dollar levels. This
market share growth trend can be expected to continue, and long-term growth in consumption
will average up to 2.0% annually through 1984, with short-term trends following the construction
cycle (Figure ni-2).

D.  PLANT CHARACTERISTICS OF THE EXISTING INDUSTRY
1.  Process Technology
     Wet process operations use a pulping process that requires large amounts of water and a wet
mat forming system similar in some respects to the fourdrinier paper forming process. In wet-wet
mills, the wet mat is pressed between a flat hot platen and a rigid screen that will allow steam to
escape from the board. The board produced in this manner is called an SIS or screen back board.
In wet-dry mills,  the mat is dried before pressing so it can be pressed between two flat hot platens,
producing a board with a smooth  surface on  both sides  (S2S). In dry process mills, the mat is
formed from dry  fibers in an air inter-felting process. The dry mat is pressed between two flat hot
platens, thus producing an S2S board. One mill uses a dry-wet process in which the mat is dry
formed, as described above, then water is added and it is pressed between a flat hot platen and a
screen, producing an SIS  board. Insulation board capacity may, in certain cases, be converted to
produce selected grades of wet process hardboard (and vice versa).

     Process developments in wet process hardboard have been limited and  slow, although the
industry has had major product developments such as exterior siding and deep embossing. As a
result of design changes in caul plates used in wet pressing operations, wet-wet mills can produce
an S2S hardboard with minimal sanding, allowing them to compete in S2S markets against wet-
dry and dry-dry mills.

     Developments that hold potential for lower costs are important to this industry because of
the product substitution possible in most markets;  likewise, adverse cost developments are of
equal significance. The full impact of energy  costs, for example, on pulping processes (e.g., the
explosion process) may affect hardboard's cost effectiveness relative to substitute products in the
future.

     There are no foreseeable technical process developments that will have a major impact on
the hardboard industry. The technology of the wet process hardboard industry generally has

                                         29

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                                                   30

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  10,000
   9,500
   9,000
   8,500
   8,000

-------
remained static since the development of dry process mills  eliminated many of the water
pollution problems facing the  industry. Dry  process technology is competitive with the wet
process mills to the extent that it makes possible the manufacturing of hardboard which usually
competes with the products of the wet process mills without incurring water pollution abatement
costs. This advantage is partially offset by air pollution control expenditures that will be required
for dry process mills. It is, of course, theoretically possible to convert a wet process mill to a dry
process mill; however, the capital costs involved would make the operation both uneconomic and
uncompetitive; thus, conversion  to dry  processes is an unlikely response  to revised effluent
regulations.

2. Size/Age/Location
     A typical wet process plant produces 230 million square  feet  (MMSF-'/a inch) annually,
while individual plant capacities range from 52 to 1850 MMSF (Table HI-1). Although the largest
plant is also the oldest (Masonite started operations in Laurel, Mississippi, in 1926), the older
plants tend to be smaller.

     Prior to 1948, only three hardboard plants were in operation in the  United States and they
all used a wet process (Table III-5).  Of the ten plants built in the 1948-1957 period, five were wet
process mills. The next decade brought six wet and four dry process mills. Since 1968, two wet
process mills have been built (both in 1971) while three dry process mills have started production.
Prior to 1978 there were sixteen wet process mills (including seven wet-wet, six wet-dry, and three
operations using both processes) and twelve dry process mills in the United States. A thirteenth
mill  was due to start up late in  1978. Additions to  existing mills  did not necessarily use the same
process; three mills are actually a combination of wet forming and both  dry and wet press lines.
This gives these mills additional flexibility to meet market demands by  producing either SIS or
S2S  hardboard. Most of the older plants have been continually expanded and modernized so age
is not a valid indication of efficiency,

                                        TABLE  111-5

                                     DISTRIBUTION OF
                            HARDBOARD PLANTS BY PLANT AGE

                                                        Number of Plants
                     Year of Start-Up                     Wet*      Dry**

                     Prior to 1948                          3         0

                     1948-1957                             5         5

                     1968 to 1977                          6         4

                     1968 to present                        2         3

                         Total                           16        12


                  Sources:     *EPA Financial 308 Letter. Does not include Jarratt, Va.
                            * "Industry data.
                                           32

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     The first two plants were constructed in Mississippi and used roundwood as their fiber
source. Later expansion of the industry in the North Central states depended on inexpensive
hardwoods, while  mills in the Pacific states used wastes from softwood lumber and plywood
operations as fiber sources. The fact that hardboard mills are evenly spread throughout these
regions is indicative of the wide range of wood species being used in hardboard and the signifi-
cance of low-cost fiber to the producer. Most of the plants are located on rural sites but several are
in urban and suburban areas.

3. Employment
     Most plants  employ between 100 and 300 workers and staff (Table III-6).  Employment
figures for each mill depend upon the size and product mix of the facility.

                                     TABLE 111-6

                                   EMPLOYMENT IN
                           WET PROCESS HARDBOARD PLANTS

                   Number of Employees               Number of Plants

                           0-199                            8

                         200-399                            5

                         400+                              _3

                             Total                           16

E.  CHARACTERISTICS OF NEW CAPACITY
1.  Recent Capacity Additions
     No new wet hardboard plants have come on-stream since 1971;  however, several locations
have added substantial capacity. In addition to large capacity expansions in 1972, Masonite
completed a 175-MMSF expansion of its wet process plant in Ukiah, California, in 1977. Abitibi
also  completed small expansions of  the Alpena and Roaring River facilities. The  100-MMSF
addition to the Weyerhaeuser plant  in Doswell, Virginia, was the  only dry process expansion.
Boise Cascade diverted some of the insulation board capacity at International Falls, Minnesota,
to add 100 MMSF to its hardboard capacity. At least five plants added incremental volumes to
their siding production capacity.

     Announced plans for capacity additions in 1979 include construction of a 66-MMSF, 7/16-
inch, wet process  hardboard  siding mill at Georgia Pacific's insulation board plant in Jarratt,
Virginia. Temple Industries has also announced a $21 million addition to its wet process facility
to produce hardboard siding. No further information has been made public about these projects
or any others.

2. Process Economics of New Capacity
     It is extremely unlikely that anyone would build a wet process S2S mill. Capacity addition
would most likely take the form of incremental expansion of existing facilities or perhaps  the
conversion of insulation board capacity. However, process economic models were constructed for
Greenfield expansion, conversion of an insulation board plant and incremental expansion  (Table
III-7).
                                          33

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                                      TABLE 111-7

            PROCESS ECONOMICS OF NEW WET PROCESS HARDBOARD CAPACITY

                                    S1S            Con version of
                               Greenfield Mill     Insulation Board Mill    Incremental Expansion
  Design Production (MMSF, 1/8")       293                 234                   117
  Capital Investment ($ million)           50                25-28                  15-20
  Operating Cost ($ million)
    Labor                            10.2                 9.0                    3.7
    Wood                             4.2                 3.4                    1.7
    Other Materials                     4.2                 3.4                    1.7
    Energy                            3.6                 3.2                    1.3
    Other Costs                        2.0                 1.6                    0.8
                                     24.2               20.6                    9.2
  Operating Cost/MSF, 1/8"  ($)          82.59              88.03                 78.63
  Investment/MSF, 1/8" ($)             170.65              113.70                149.57

  Source: Arthur 0. Little, Inc., estimates. See Appendix A, Table A-2 for assumptions underlying costs.


     The parameters of any expansion or conversion are extremely variable and unique to  every
case. Thus the capital investment and the operating cost for each of the wet process hardboard
expansion methods shown in Table III-7 are not applicable to any specific situation. Incremental
operating costs per thousand square feet,  1/8" basis, are  lowest for capacity added through
incremental expansion, followed by that for a Greenfield mill and insulation board plant con-
version. Investment costs per thousand square feet are highest for a Greenfield plant and lowest
for an insulation board plant conversion.

F.  COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE
1.  Market Structure
     The five  largest firms control 70.5% of the  total hardboard production capacity. Masonite
Corporation, by far the largest firm in the industry, controls 35.1% of the total hardboard
capacity and  41.5% of  the wet process hardboard capacity  (Table  I1I-8). Wet process  mills
represent 70.3% of the total U.S. hardboard capacity.

2.  Pricing Mechanism
     The ability of the industry to pass increases in production costs for tempered hardboard on
to the marketplace is of major importance in considering the question of whether or not  hard-
board producers will  be able to continue operations with the burden of additional pollution
control costs.

     Prices  are quoted on a  dollars  per thousand  square feet basis  and are usually based on
standard units and sizes. Prices  are generally f.o.b. mill with full rail freight allowed to the
destination. Due to the wide range of end uses, prices, and customer categories, hardboard prices
are  set at a number of levels, depending on the class of trade of the purchaser. Frequently specific
hardboard prices involve a complicated schedule of discounts and extras dependent upon the size
of the load, packaging, style of the product, degree of fabrication, quality, etc.


                                           34

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             Firm

             Masonite
             Abitibi
             Weyerhaeuser
             Boise Cascade
             Superwood
             U.S. Gypsum
             Champion
             Temple
             Superior Fiber
             Evans
             Forest Fiber
             Total
                                       TABLE 111-8
                            HARDBOARD INDUSTRY CAPACITY
  Percent of
Total Capacity

     35.1
     10.2
      9.4
      8.5
      7.3
      5.7
      4.9
      2.9
      1.9
      1.3
      1.4
     88.61
Wet Process
Percent of
Capacity
41.5
14.5
3.0
12.0
8.8
8.1
1.3
4.2
2.7
1.9
2.0
Percent of Firm's
Hardboard Capacity
83.1
100.0
22.4
89.7
85.0
100.0
18.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
81.72
             1.  Four other firms are operating only dry process mills.
             2.  Average

             Source: American Board Products Association.

     The largest producer does exert some control over product design trends, frequency of price
changes, and price leadership. As explained earlier, the industry serves as a very wide range of
end uses requiring an estimated 800 different sets of specifications; this makes direct competition
between manufacturers selling to the industrial market not only uncommon but unlikely to occur
in the future. Hardboard marketing efforts have  traditionally been  aimed at displacing such
entrenched products as lumber and plywood in specific applications using pricing as an incentive;
now, hardboard is challenging and being challenged by plastics and metals for various appli-
cations. Consequently, a major pricing factor is the possibility of substitution of competitive
materials by and for hardboard. Price competition can be a factor in sales to retail yards handling
large volumes of hardboard.

3.  Price Elasticity of Demand
     Price changes in hardboard from 1967 to 1976 (Table III-9) have  been far less frequent and
quite moderate compared with price changes of lumber, plywood, and  other products with which
it competes. While the wholesale price index for construction materials in 1976 was 187.7, the
wholesale price index for tempered hardboard was only 131.4. Furthermore, the GNP deflator for
1976 was 1.59 of the  1967 level, which shows that hardboard prices  have failed to keep pace with
general economic conditions. There are several factors that contribute  to this situation.

     First, costs of production have not increased as rapidly as general  inflation, which may have
allowed the industry to maintain its accepted level of profitability without increasing prices. This
situation will probably not continue given  the likely real increases in  wood costs and increased
competition for fiber. However, the costs of producing substitute materials are likely to increase
even faster than hardboard production costs.
                                            35

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                                       TABLE 111-9

                    TEMPERED HARDBOARD PRICE TRENDS, 1963-1978
                                    Percent Increase      Price2
             Year         Price1     Over Previous Year     Index

             1963        61.956            -           103.8
             1964        61.001             1.6          102.2
             1965        60.941            0.1          102.1
             1966        60.822            (.2)          101.9
             1967        59.688           (1.9)          100.0
             1968        58.633           (1.8)           98.3
             1969        59.969           2.3           99.8
             1970        61.001             1.7          102.2
             1971         60.345           (1.1)          101.1
             1972        61.001             1.1          102.2
             1973        62.792           2.9          105.2
             1974        70.432           12.5          118.0
             1975        70.253           0.3          117.0
             1976        78.430           11.6          131.4
             1977         85.175           8.6          142.7
             1978i        93.95             10.3          157.4
    All
Construction
  Materials
 Price Index

     93.6
     94.7
     95.8
     98.8
    100.0
    105.6
    111.9
    112.5
    119.5
    126.6
    138.5
    160.9
    174.0
    187.7
    204.9
    228.2
             1. Manufacturers' price to jobber or wholesaler delivered to destination or
               f.o.b. mill with freight allowed, $/MSF, 1/8" basis.
             2. 1967 = 100

             Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wholesale
                    Price Indices.

     Second, the incremental additions in 1976,  1977 and 1978 suggest that the industry may
have absorbed the anticipated impact of lower margins per unit by adding shifts. This course of
action would result in stabilized rates of return as a consequence of lower per unit margins on
greater volumes produced at any individual facility.

     Finally, there is a market-price relationship. Hardboard producers may have to keep their
prices  down to meet competition from substitute products and maintain market shares. Price
apparently varies somewhat independently  of consumption and in different magnitudes, as
shown in the random pattern of price-consumption correlations. Obviously, demand is not totally
price inelastic, but for real price increases of 1-2% there is no adverse impact on overall demand.

     The ability of hardboard manufacturers to pass  on the additional costs of pollution abate-
ment depends  on the amounts involved. Any increase in costs will result in higher levels of
competition  from substitute products and a more cautious approach to the commitment of
capital for capacity expansions. Decreases in market share, if  they occur, would  be slow in
industrial applications, because products would have to be redesigned, and quickly for construc-
tion applications.
                                           36

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     A price scenario for wet process hardboard was developed to gauge the ability of hardboard
producers to recover higher costs through higher prices. The demand forecast through 1984 was
combined with announced capacity expansion commitments and an Arthur D. Little forecast of
additional capacity that might be added in 1982 through 1984 (Table 111-10). Potential real price
increases were estimated based upon the estimated operating rate of U.S. plants and the volume
of imports necessary to satisfy U.S. demand. Current price levels and the high rate of overall
inflation indicate that producers will suffer a real price decline in 1979 of 6% and that they will
not fully recover until 1981. By 1984, real price increases on the order of 20% are likely, most of
that occurring in 1984.

4.  Barriers to Entry of New Firms
     Compared to other solid wood products mills, hardboard is a capital intensive industry. The
most significant barriers to the entry of new firms, however, are the concentration of the market,
the magnitude of the sales effort required, and the development of a secure fiber source. A new
company would have to develop new markets or "buy" market share from competitiors; given the
recognition of the existing  producers in the marketplace, it could be a costly and difficult task at
best. A new producer has  the alternative of selling through the existing producers' distribution
systems, as is done in the case of other wood products, but this would be undesirable for both
production and marketing reasons.

5.  Other Regulatory Factors
     A result of government policy restricting the cut of federal timber on the West Coast will be
to push prices of lumber and plywood upward, thereby relieving some pressure against hardboard
price increases. An easing of government timber policy that would allow a higher level of removals
from West Coast forests, which is equally likely, would have the opposite effect.

G. FINANCIAL PROFILE
     While wet process hardboard sales (Table ffl-ll) vary directly with production, plant book
values will differ for plants of similar size, primarily because of age of plant.

     There was no observable difference in the distribution of the pro-forma costs of production
for wet process hardboard (Table III-ll) between  plants that may be required to undertake
expenditures for water pollution regulations and plants that will be in compliance. Differences in
the distribution of costs arise in  part from plant size differences and plant location (local cost)
factors.
                                          37

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                                  TABLE 111-10

                  HARDBOARD DEMAND AND PRICE FORECAST

                                                        MMF2 1/8"    % Change In
          U.S.          U.S.      Operating                Apparent       Real Price
        Capacity     Shipments     Rate       Imports   Consumption     MSF, 1/8"

1978     8284          7843         95          920        8763           2
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
8340
8760
8935
8935
8955
8975
7692
8322
8666
8455
8686
8705
92
95
97
95
97
97
627
478
533
445
694
1094
8319
8800
9200
8900
9380
9800
-6
2
6
2
6
10
Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.
                                  TABLE 111-11


                        PRO-FORMA INCOME STATEMENT
                       WET PROCESS HARDBOARD PLANTS
     1976Sales                       $16,000,000  (range $6,000,000->$120,000,000)
     1976 Capacity                    200 Million square feet
     Capacity Base                     1 /8"

     Pro-Forma Cost of Manufacture      Median Value            Range

     Sales                                100%                100%
     Cost of Goods Sold
        Labor                              20                 15-50
        Materials                           30                 19-50
        Depreciation                         5                  2-5
        Other Expenses                      20                  5-28
     Total Cost of Goods Sold                75_
     Gross Margin                          25                 15-36
     Selling, General & Administrative         1_1_                 7-25
     Interest                                                  0-4
     Profit Before Tax                      14                  8-24
     Prof it After Tax                        7                  1-13
     Plant Book Value                   10,000,000      900,000 >$40,000,000

     Source: Derived from the EPA Financial 308 Letter.
                                        38

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               IV.  COST OF COMPLIANCE WITH
        REVISED WATER EFFLUENT REGULATIONS
A. INTRODUCTION
    The purpose of this chapter is to describe the current water effluent method of disposal used
by insulation board and wet process hardboard plants, and to summarize the cost of compliance
developed by the technical contractor. These data were used to estimate the economic impact of
the revised water effluent regulations  described in Chapter V. Also described are the control
options for new sources and their associated costs of compliance.

B. CURRENT EFFLUENT STATUS
    Plants producing both insulation board and wet process hardboard are classified according
to the predominant product volume and are referred to throughout as "combination" plants.

    Of the eleven wet process hardboard plants, most (nine) discharge into navigable water, one
discharges into  municipal sewers and one recycles its process wastewater (Table IV-1). The
insulation board plants are distributed across all categories: two discharge into navigable water,
five discharge into municipal sewers, two dispose of their effluent on site (e.g., spray irrigation)
and two recycle their process wastewater. Of the five combination plants, three discharge into
navigable water, one into a municipal sewer and one has no discharge.

                                   TABLE IV-1

                 INSULATION BOARD AND WET PROCESS HARDBOARD
                  CURRENT METHOD OF WATER EFFLUENT DISPOSAL
   Current Water
   Effluent Disposal

   Navigable Water
   Municipal Sewer
   No-Discharge

   Total
Insulation Board
Number of
Plants %
2
5
4
11
Only

Total
18
45
37
100
    Wet Process
  Hardboard Only1
Number of
  Plants
                                                                Combination
    9
    1
   jL
   11
% Total

  66
  17
  17
Number of
  Plants

    3
    1
    1
% Total

  60
  20
  20
            100
                     100
   'Counting Abitibi's Alpena, Michigan operation as one plant.
   Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency


C.  POLLUTION CONTROL OPTIONS FOR EXISTING PLANTS
1. Cost Models
     Many plants have pollution control equipment in place and their current treatment will be
sufficient for several of them to meet revised effluent guidelines. However, seven plants producing
wet process hardboard alone may be required to install new  equipment to meet revised water
effluent regulations and an eighth is currently in the process of installing a new pretreatment
system.
                                        39

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     Since so few plants in  the  wet process hardboard sector need to undertake compliance
activities, the technical contractor generated costs of compliance for each impacted plant. The
cost estimation method was  to use one or more of the  plants that have higher levels of water
effluent treatment in place as models. The cost of installing the model treatment process was
then estimated for impacted plants. Table IV-2 depicts the relationship between the pollution
control options and model  treatment plant. The  plant indicated as a "special case" has a
pollution control system in the process of construction, which may or may not be similar to the
model treatment plants.
                                         TABLE IV-2
                             MODEL PLANT TREATMENT OPTIONS
           Impacted Plant

           Wet Process Hardboard
              Option 1 -S1S/S2S
              Option 2 -S1S
              Option 2 - S2S
           Plant 2001
           Plant 2002
           Plant 2003
           Plant 2004
           Plant 2007
           Plant 2012
           Plant 2013
           Plant 2099
Model Treatment
     Plant
     2099
     2006
     2010
                                                        Current
                                                        Discharge
                                                         Method
              Proposed
              Discharge
              Method
 Special Case
Direct
Direct
Direct
Direct
Direct
Direct
Indirect
Direct
Direct
Direct
Direct
Direct
Di rect
Direct
Pretreatment
Di rect
            Source: Environmental Science and Engineering, Inc.
      The wet process hardboard control options represent different degrees of stringency. Option
 1, modelled on plant 2099, calls for a screen, first settling basin, an aerated lagoon, and second
 settling basin. Option 2, for SIS modelled on plant 2006,  consists of two consecutive aerated
 lagoons followed by a settling basin.  Option 2, for S2S modelled  on plant  2010, consists of a
 screen, an equalization basin, a primary clarifier, activated sludge removal, a secondary clarifier,
 an aerated lagoon and a faculative lagoon; in addition, prior to disposal the sludge is processed
 through an aerobic digestor, a sludge thickener and a vacuum filter.

 2. Costs of Compliance
      The  differences  among the control option  costs for wet  process  hardboard plants are
 significant, apparently because of differences in the size of facilities  (Table IV-3). Plant 2013 is in
 the process of installing a pollution control system. Under the less stringent EPA option, three
 plants (2002, 2003 and 2004) would be impacted. Under Option 2, four plants would be added to
 the list of impacted plants whereas plant 2006 would be added to the list under Option 3.
                                           40

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                                    TABLE IV-3

                          COST OF COMPLIANCE FOR PLANTS
                   IMPACTED BY REVISED EFFLUENT REGULATIONS
                                       ($000)
                                    Investment

Option 1
Plant 2002
Plant 2003
Plant 2004
Total Option 1
Option 2
Plant 2001
Plant 2002
Plant 2003
Plant 2004
Plant 2007
Plant 201 2
Plant 2099
Type of
Product
S1S
S2S
S1S


S1S
S1S
S2S
S1S
S1S
S1S
S1S

Total
285
7,266
1,320
8,871

6,856
1,105
7,436
2,938
183
599
1,228

Land
5
40
105
150

188
46
40
300
—
-
30
Other
Investment
280
7,226
1,215
8,721

6,668
1,059
7,356
2,638
183
599
1,198
Operating
Costs
51
2,219
179
2,449

796
107
2,300
274
101
173
107
                                                                   Acres of Land

                                                                        .5
                                                                        4.0
                                                                       10.5
                                                                       18.8
                                                                       4.6
                                                                       4.0
                                                                       30.0
                                                                       0
                                                                       0
                                                                       3.0
      Total Option 2
20,345    604
19,741
3,858
    Source: Environmental Science and Engineering, Inc.


D.  POLLUTION CONTROL OPTIONS FOR NEW SOURCES
1.  Cost Models
    A candidate new source performance standard for insulation board and wet process hard-
board plants calls for zero discharge. The control technology, is the same for mechanical refining
insulation board and thermo-mechanical insulation board (that for SIS wet process hardboard
and S2S wet process hardboard is similar), and consists of the following steps:
        Screening;
        Neutralization;
        Nutrient Addition;
        Aerated lagoon (two aerated lagoons for hardboard);
        Faculative lagoon; and
        Spray irrigation.
     The characteristics of the model insulation board and hardboard plants are shown in Table
IV-4.

2. Costs of Compliance
     The costs of compliance for new insulation board and wet process hardboards plants are
summarized in Table IV-5.
                                        41

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                                          TABLE IV-4
                 MODEL PLANTS FOR NEW SOURCE PERFORMANCE STANDARDS
                      INSULATION BOARD AND WET PROCESS HARDBOARD
Plant Type
                              Wastewater     Raw BOD     Raw TSS
                         _      Flow       Wasteload    Wasteload
(tons/day)    (MMSF/yr., 1/8")  (000 gal./day)    (Ibs/day)     (Ibs/day)
Design Production
Mechanical Refining
   Insulation Board
     Plant 1                      250
     Plant 2                      600

Thermo-mechanical Refining
   Insulation Board
     Plant 1                      200
     Plant 2                      400
                 264
                 635
                 212
                 425
                            0.5
                            1.2
                            0.5
                            1.0
            7,510
           18,000
           22,400
           44,800
             9,170
            22,000
             6,410
             12,800
S1S
   Wet Process Hardboard
     Plant 1
     Plant 2
   100
   300
            106
            318
0.3
0.8
 7,710
23,100
3,040
9,110
S2S
  Wet Process Hardboard
     Rant 1
  250
           264
1.5
32,500
7,510
Source: Environmental Science and Engineering, Inc.
                                            42

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                             TABLE IV-5

                       COST OF COMPLIANCE
                   NEW INSULATION BOARD AND
                 WET PROCESS HARDBOARD MILLS
Plant Type

Mechanical Refining
   Insulation Board
     Plant 1
     Plant 2
Thermo-mechanical Refining
   Insulation Board
     Plant 1
     Plant 2
S1S
   Wet Process Hardboard
     Plant 1
     Plant 2
S2S
   Wet Process Hardboard
     Plant 1
  Total      Operating
Investment      Cost
  2,336
  4,044
  2,862
  5,491
   1,953
   2,915
  5,075
  543
  964
  951
1,985
 516
 684
1,393
           Acres of Land
             Required
270
630
270
631
159
437
792
Source:  Environmental Science and Engineering, Inc.
                                 43

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          V.  ECONOMIC IMPACT OF COMPLIANCE
   WITH REVISED WATER EFFLUENT REGULATIONS

A. INTRODUCTION
    The cost of compliance estimates generated by the technical contractor (Chapter IV) were
combined with plant financial profiles and economic characteristics of the industry (Chapter III)
to produce an estimate of the economic impact of revised water effluent regulations on the
insulation board and wet process hardboard sectors of the timber industry.

    Because there are so few plants in the insulation board and wet process hardboard sectors,
and only seven wet process hardboard plants must incur  costs to comply with revised water
effluent regulations, an analysis of economic impact was performed for each affected plant.
    The potential economic impacts discussed in this chapter include:
       price increases, and demand shifts;
       financial considerations;
       plant closure;
       capacity expansion;
       market structure;
       employment and community impacts.

B.  PRICE INCREASES
1. Level
    The price increase required to recover the cost of compliance varies widely among wet
process hardboard  plants  (Table V-l). For the wet process hardboard plants,  Option 1 will
produce a lower impact upon price than Option 2. Because plant 2013 is currently in the process
of installing a pollution control system, its required revenue is the same under all options.

    Plants 2002, 2003 and 2004 are required to make expenditures for pollution control under
both options. For plant 2002 the required price increases to recover the cost of Option 1 is about
one percent of the 1977 aggregate average price of hardboard, while its required price increase to
recover costs for Option 2 is equivalent to 4%. For plant 2004 the required price increase to recover
costs for Option  2 technology is twice as  high as Option 1. For plant 2003, the required price
increase is about the same under both options.

    The differences in required price increase from plant  to plant for a given model treatment
can be explained by  a combination of in-place treatment,  production scale and/or special
circumstances.

    The relative difference between Option 1 and Option 2 also differs from plant to plant. This
reflects the differences in control equipment in place from plant to plant.
                                       45

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                                       TABLE V-1

                           REVENUE REQUIRED TO RECOVER
                 THE COST OF COMPLYING WITH REVISED REGULATIONS
                               FOR HARDBOARD PLANTS
       Plant Type/Code

       Option 1
       Plant 2002
       Plant 2003
       Plant 2004
       Plant 2013*

       Option 2
       Plant 2001
       Plant 2002
       Plant 2003
       Plant 2004
       PI ant 2007
       Plant 2012
       Plant 2099
      (1)
     1976
Revenue ($000)
    20,000
  >30,000
     8,400
    20,400
  >30,000
    20,000
  >30,000
     8,400
     9,600
  >30,000
     5,500
 1976
Price**
$/MSF
  78
  78
  78
  78
  78
  78
  78
  78
  78
  78
  78
                                                     Recovery of Compliance Cost
    Required
A Revenue $/MSF
      0.80
      9.93
      6.60
      6.10
      4.02
      2.60
      10.23
      13.40
      1.75
      0.30
      8.30
% A 1977
  Price
    1
   14
    9
    8
    5
    4
   14
   18
    2
    0
   11
        *This plant is in the process of installing a pollution control system, and those specific
        costs were used in the analysis.
       **The average price for wet process hardboard for 1976.

      Source:  Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.
2. Obtainability
     In evaluating economic impact, in addition to the long-term price increases that are
necessary to recover the cost of compliance with revised water effluent regulations, it is important
to determine if and when price increases can be obtained.

     The first step in evaluating whether price  increases can be obtained was to compare the
productive capacity in plants that are required to make expenditures for revised regulations with
those that are not. Comparing the capacity of plants impacted by Option 2 with that of plants
currently in compliance, one finds that wet process hardboard  plants impacted by revised
regulations represent 55% of the 1976 total hardboard (wet and dry) capacity and 56% of the total
1976 production (Table V-2). The total hardboard segments had an operating rate of 83% in 1976
                                           46

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                                      TABLE V-2

                       DISTRIBUTION OF HARDBOARD CAPACITY
                         IMPACTED VS. NON-IMPACTED PLANTS
                                       OPTION 2
 Wet Process
 Impacted Plants (8)
 Plants in Compliance (8)1

    Total Wet Process (16)

 Dry Process (12)

    Total Hardboard
                                 1976
                               Capacity
                            (1/8"-MMSF)
4,307
1,004

5,311

2,460
7,771
            %of
            Total
 55
 11
 68
100
             1976 Production

         1/8" - MMSF   % Total
3,643
  701
4,344

2,141

6,485
 56
 11
 67

 33_

100
                       1976
                      Capacity
                     Utilization
85
70
82

8_7_

83
 1.  Includes two combination plants.

 Source:  Derived from Financial 308 Letter and Table III-4.

while the impacted plants operated at 85% of capacity. However, wet process and other hard-
board plants have enjoyed higher operating rates from 1976 to 1978 than in the past.

     Under Option 1 only four plants are impacted and the impacted plants represent 16% of
hardboard capacity.

     While current operating rates are important, future growth in demand and capacity expan-
sion will indicate the probable supply/demand balance at the time the plants are required to
make the pollution control investments. As previously discussed (Chapter HI) hardboard demand
will continue to grow at an average rate of 2% a year, while fluctuating with the business cycle for
the construction industry. Insulation board, on the other hand, is a product in long-term decline.
By  1984, demand for insulation board will be 65% of the 1976 level and, if all  plants were in
operation, the industry operating rate would be at about 60%. The demand for hardboard will be
about 40%  higher in 1984 than in 1976 and an 1100-1200 MMSF of additional capacity will be
required to meet the demand.

     It is not contemplated that any Greenfield plants  will be constructed to add to hardboard
capacity. The probable method of expansion  is incremental increases in capacity at existing
plants and conversion of insulation board  capacity to hardboard capacity. (Coincidentally, the
increased hardboard capacity required  by 1984 is about the same in MMSF as the excess
insulation board capacity that will exist by then (1,200 MMSF), although only a small proportion
of this capacity can practically be converted to hardboard.) The total cost of production and
derived selling prices based upon  long-run total cost  indicate that the price of hardboard  must
rise to a level substantially higher than the levels indicated in Table V-l to support new capacity
(Section V-F).
                                           47

-------
     Since hardboard is expected to be in tight supply on average over the next five to ten years,
and the cost of new capacity cannot be supported by current market prices, then eventually prices
can be expected to cover the increased costs of existing hardboard producers.

     The increases in hardboard price (measured in 1976 dollars) under Options 1 and 2 will not
generally be sufficient to negate its competitive advantage over other products. However, even
when demand is price inelastic, some reductions in demand can occur. Under Option 2, while the
cost of hardboard will still be lower than that of some substitutes, the required price increases will
be large enough so that there could be some decline in product demand. However, these price
increases will not reduce demand sufficiently to prevent the addition of new capacity.

C.  FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS
     When an industry can recover cost  increases through price increases without impacting
demand, the economic impact is less severe than it would otherwise be. However, plants may
suffer adverse economic impact if price increases lag cost increases and if companies are unable to
finance the compliance investment.

     The  profitability of wet process hardboard plants impacted by revised regulations was
analyzed as if price increases  did not occur (Figure V-l). In general, plant profitability will be
reduced, but a  plant will  still cover its cash costs and depreciation, assuming that  the 1976
operating results are representative of cost conditions likely to prevail in 1984. However, one plant
would incur a loss under these assumptions.

     Most of the insulation board and wet process hardboard plants are parts of larger corpora-
tions which generate cash flow in excess of the required pollution control investment and which
also have some ability to generate external funds. However, a parent company might be reluctant
to divert funds from other operations to hardboard plants. For this reason and the fact that a few
plants are part of smaller corporations, it is advisable to examine the relationship between plant
cash flow and the required compliance investment.

     For the impacted plants not now installing a pollution control system, the investment re-
quired for revised effluent regulations was divided by cash flow (Figure V-2). For wet process
hardboard plants, the investment associated with Option 1  ranges up to 300% of 1976 cash flow,
while the investment associated with Option 2 could reach 330% of cash flow.

     The impacted wet process hardboard plants will eventually recover the costs of compliance
through higher prices which will probably also provide  a sufficient rate of return on investment.
However, the installation  of  pollution control  equipment  will cause a  cash drain from other
operations.

D.  PLANT CLOSURE
     The evaluation of whether a plant will close down as a result of pollution control regulation
(or any other event) is at best an imprecise estimate based upon an external view of plant's
situation. Of necessity, the evaluation is  based upon financial criteria without knowledge and
consideration of a corporation's policies and goals. To illustrate, a corporation may decide to close
or sell an apparently profitable plant if the plant's business does not meet its long-term objec-
tives. On the other hand, to retain control over the source of supply, a corporation may elect to
invest in and operate a marginal plant which provides  a source of equipment or materials for its
other operations.
                                          48

-------
22.0
20.0
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
 8.0
 6.0
 4.0
 2.0
 0.0
T
Current
Profitability
Before Tax
                                                               Post-Compliance
                                                               Profitability
                                                               Before Tax
           Option 1
                           Option 2
                                  Wet Process Hardboard
     Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.

     FIGURE V-1   POST-COMPLIANCE PROFITABILITY WITH NO PRICE INCREASE
                   (1976 COST STRUCTURE)
                                         49

-------
  400 i-
  300
o
3
to
c
200
  100
                Option 1
                                           Option 2
                         Wet Process Hardboard

      Source:  Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.

FIGURE V-2   INVESTMENT REQUIRED FOR COMPLIANCE WITH REVISED EFFLUENT
             REGULATIONS COMPARED WITH PLANT CASH FLOW
                                  50

-------
     Under Options 1 and 2 one plant may close rather than invest in the pollution control
equipment. This may occur because profitability in the absence of price increases will be severly
reduced and the investment is over 300% of 1976 cash flow. However, these data do not reflect the
anticipated real price increases that will occur by 1984 for hardboard which will allow the plant to
maintain profitable operations.

E.  CAPACITY EXPANSION
     The discussion of the hardboard and insulation board industry segments (Chapters II and
III) indicated that no Greenfield mills are likely to be built for either of the two product types.
Insulation board demand is facing a long-term decline and significant excess capacity by the
1980's; therefore, no new capacity will be built.

     Capacity expansion for hardboard will most likely occur through incremental expansion of
existing hardboard mills and secondarily from conversion of insulation board capacity. This is
primarily attributable to the high cost of new capacity compared with current market prices.
While this relationship would be exacerbated by pollution control costs, they are of secondary
importance.

     Under a total recycle option, the required increment to cover pollution control costs for a
new source does not differ from that of a conversion and expansion (Table V-3). However, for a
new facility the baseline plant cost translates into a higher, long-term required price-per-ton.

     All the expansion methods shown in Table  V-3  require a  higher product price than the
current average market prices, suggesting that capacity increases will lag demand growth enough
so that market price will rise to cover the costs of new capacity. The average 1978 market price
was $93.95 per MSF; real prices must rise by 25% to support an incremental expansion by the
lowest-cost method. This increase is greater than that required by impacted hardboard plants to
recover costs of pollution control costs under all of the options studied.

F.  MARKET STRUCTURE
     The number and size of future insulation  board  plants will be unaffected  by revised
regulations because the new source performance standards do not affect economies of scale. The
one plant that may close has about  6% of industry capacity and its closure will not affect the
number of participants in the industry. Any new capacity probably will be built at existing plants
and will not be influenced significantly by revised regulations.

G.  EMPLOYMENT AND COMMUNITY IMPACTS
     As noted above, one plant may close rather than invest in additional controls.  If so
approximately 300 jobs would be directly affected. In addition, since this plant is not located near
major employment centers, secondary community impacts could occur with decreases in the
economic activity in the surrounding area.
                                          51

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                                       TABLE V-3

                        COST OF NEW HARDBOARD CAPACITY
                     NEW MILL VERSUS INCREMENTAL EXPANSION
                                         $1978
1.  New Plant

   Baseline Plant
   Water Effluent Control
Capacity
 MMSF

  293
Incremental
Investment
  ($000)

  57,000
   2,915
 Annual
Operating
  Costs
  ($000)

 24,200
    684
2.  Conversion of
   Insulation Board Plant
   Baseline Conversion Cost            234
   Water Effluent Central
     (Option 2)1                    -
3.  Incremental Expansion
   Baseline Expansion                 117
   Water Effluent Control
     (Option 2)1
1.  Based on range for similar size plants.

Source: Arthur D. Little, Inc., estimates.
                 27,000
                   20,440
                 17,500
                    8,370
Long-Run
  Price
($/MSF)

   136
     5
   141
                  117

                  2-14

                119-131


                  106

                  2-14

                108-120
                                           52

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                  VI.  LIMITATIONS OF ANALYSIS

     The economic impact of revised water effluent guidelines upon the wet process hardboard
industry may differ fron the analysis in this economic impact assessment, depending upon:

     1. EPA regulations which affect waste disposal,
     2. Future growth in demand, and
     3. Unknown factors related to impacted plants.

     Item (1) was beyond the scope of the Technical Contractor's and the Economic Contractor's
work. Items (2) and (3) are limitations in every analysis of this type but their influence on the
results of a study varies from case to case and thus requires discussion.

A.  ERA'S REGULATIONS AFFECTING WASTE DISPOSAL
     Subtitle C of the Solid Waste Disposal Act, as amended by the Resource Conservation and
Recovery Act of 1976 (RCRA), creates a  regulatory framework to control hazardous wastes.
Section 3004 addresses standards for owners and operators of hazardous waste treatment, storage
and disposal facilities. The regulation impacts the analysis of alternative control options because
it specifies the technical and monitoring  requirements for each disposal  method, as well as
restrictions on disposal of waste by method. These, in turn, may limit the application of some of
the control options studied, or result in higher costs for an alternative than have been indicated
by the technical contractor in this report. Further, insulation board  and wet process hardboard
preserving plants which dispose of water effluent on-site may be impacted, in that the current
method of disposal may no longer be environmentally adequate.

     The application of the pollution control options studies in this report will be affected by
RCRA regulations. The  lagoons associated with enhanced biological treatment will be considered
as methods of hazardous waste disposal or storage, and thus plants will be required to monitor
groundwater and surface water as well as to install leachate collection and monitoring systems.

     A leachate collection and monitoring system is not included  in the cost of compliance.
Assuming that an aerated lagoon is similar in size to small land-fills (5,OOOM3/year),  then the
incremental compliance cost per plant could be as follows:

                   Initial Investment:         $129,000
                   Annual Operating Costs:    $ 42,200

     Other monitoring equipment is required for groundwater and surface water testing. The cost
of analysis for groundwater and surface  water samples would be on the order of $60,000 per year.

     Another source of additional cost is related to sludge disposal. Consideration of whether or
not the sludge and effluent of wet process hardboard plants were hazardous wastes was beyond
the scope of the technical contractor's  report,1 although it was discussed. The costs of sludge
disposal are expected to double or triple as a result of Section 3004.2 Therefore, that component of
the technical contractor's operating cost (amounting to about 3% of operating costs) will be two to
three times as high, but it will not change the results of the economic impact assessment.
                                         53

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B.  FUTURE GROWTH IN DEMAND
    If the  construction and housing market growth inherent in the forecast of wet process
hardboard growth does not materialize, then the impacted plants will have difficulty in recov-
ering costs  of compliance.  However, the Arthur  D.  Little forecast is  generally regarded as
conservative relative to other forecasts and thus this should not present a problem.

C.  UNKNOWN FACTORS
    The analysis of economic impact was  based upon  1976 production  and sales data and
individual plants may not track industry trends. This could affect the ability of individual plants
to increase price.
                                         54

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                              REFERENCES

1. Revised Technical Review of Best Available Technology, Best Demonstrated Technology and
  Pretreatment Technology for the Timber Products Point Source Category, report to the U.S.
  Environmental Protection  Agency by Environmental Science and Engineering, Project No.
  78-052, September 1,1978.

2. Integrated Economic Impact Assessment of Hazardous Waste  Management Regulations
  (Regulatory Analysis Supplement), Preliminary Draft Report prepared for the Office of Solid
  Waste Programs, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, October, 1978.
                                       55

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                              BIBLIOGRAPHY

Current Industrial Reports, M26A, U.S. Department of Commerce.

"The Demand and Price Situation for Forest Products, 1976-1977," Forest Service Miscellaneous
Publication 1356, U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Directory of Corporate Affiliates, Dun & Bradstreet, New York, 1978.

Directory of the Forest Products Industry, American Board Products Association, 1976.

Revised Technical Review of Best Available Technology, Best Demonstrated Technology and
Pretreatment Technology for the Timber Products Point Source Category, report to the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, by Environmental Science and Engineering, Project No. 78-
052, September 1, 1978.

Survey of Current Business, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce.

Wholesale Price Indexes, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor.
                                         57

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   APPENDIX A



SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
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                                                       62

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                                  TABLE A-2

                          DERIVATION OF UNIT COST
                  WET PROCESS HARDBOARD NEW CAPACITY
LABOR HOURS

     1. Greenfield Mill
                                           Manhours/Ton
             Logging                           2.72
             Manufacture                      14.72
             Transportation                     2.08

                                             19.52

     2.  Conversion of Insulation Board to Hard board
          Increase manhours by 10%: 21.42 manhours/incremental ton

     3.  Incremental Expansion
          Decrease manhours by 10%: 17.57 manhours/incremental ton
ENERGY REQUIREMENTS
     1.  Greenfield Mill
                                                  Million Btu's
             Gross Manufacturing Requirements          21.551
             Energy Generated from Residue               .797
                                                    20.754
     2.  Conversion of Insulation Board to Hardboard
          Increase Btu's by 10%: 22.829 million Btu's

     3.  Incremental Expansion
          Decrease Btu's by 10%:  18.679 million Btu's

WOOD REQUIREMENTS
     300 tons of chips/day =    107 MBF/day
                           0.84 MSF/day
                                     63

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       APPENDIX B



EPA FINANCIAL 308 SURVEY
           65

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                    TABLE B-1

    RESPONSES TO EPA FINANCIAL 308 SURVEY


       Questionnaires Mailed to 18 Companies:
            19 Wet Process Hardboard Mills
            16 Insulation Board Mills

       Response Rate:  100%

       Applicable Responses Were Received For:

        11 Wet Process Hardboard Only Mills*
        11 Insulation Board Only Mills
         5 Combination Mills

* Counting Abitibi's Alpena, Michigan operation as one mill.
                         67

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                INSTRUCTIONS AND DEFINITIONS RELATING TO
                              INSULATION BOARD

 I.  This survey must  be  completed by  each manufacturing facility  that manufactures
    insulation board.

 2.  A questionnaire for each insulation board plant has been sent to the corporate address.
    This may or may  not  be a plant site.  All questions on a survey form refer to one parti-
    cular insulation board plant site only  and a separate  questionnaire must be completed
    for  each. Questionnaires were mailed  to corporate offices because much of the infor-
    mation resides there and typically corporate  involvement is required for response to
    materials of this kind.

 3.  Please submit one completed questionnaire for each plant in the enclosed, pre-addressed
    envelope by November 30, 1977.

 4.  All  questions contained in this survey are intended to obtain  information about your
    manufacturing operations and activities as they pertain to insulation hoard manufacture
    only. Other plant operations should not be considered in determining your responses
    unless a question specifically instructs  you to do so.

 5.  A list of definitions of terms  used in the survey has been provided to assist  you in
    understanding the questions asked and to insure your  interpretation of terms is the
    same as that  of the persons who developed  the survey. Please read  these definitions
    prior to completing any questions and refer  to them as often as necessary to assure
    accuracy in the completion of your  response. Defined  terms appear in italics in the
    questionnaire.

 6.  All  questions should be answered by checking  the appropriate box or boxes. Those
    questions requiring a written response should  be answered by  printing or typing in the
    appropriate space.

 7.  Attempt to answer all questions. Where appropriate, answers should be provided for
    the most recent fiscal year. If you cannot provide a full response 1o a question, answer
    as much of it as you can. If a question is not relevant to your plant operation  or the
    information requested is not obtainable, please provide an explanation. If clarification
    or supplementation of any response is necessary, please attach a separate sheet. If you
    do  not know the  answer to a question,  write "don't  know" or "DK". If a value is
    zero, write in zero (0).

 8.  If you have difficulty understanding or answering any question, please call Stephen
    Mermelstein, 202-755-6906.

 9.  Please retain  a copy of your completed survey, since it may be necessary to contact
    you in the future to verify your responses.

10.  Definitions appear on the reverse of this page.
                                       68

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                                                DEFINITIONS
Accumulated  Depreciation—Total  depreciation  to  date
   or  the  difference between original book  value and
   current book value.

Annual Cost  of Pollution Control and Other Environ-
mental  Regulations—Depreciation  charges  for pollution
   control equipment or for plant and equipment modi-
   fications  required  by  regulations.  Operating costs
   include the cost of maintenance and operating labor,
   supplies, fuel, and electricity required to operate the
   equipment related to the regulation.

Depreciation—Annual book depreciation of assets at this
   plant.  Do  not include  any Timberland Depletion in
   this figure.

Direct Wages, Salaries and Related-Payroll costs (salaries,
   wages,  unemployment  insurance,  PICA  and  other
   related costs) of direct labor (production employees)
   engaged  in  the  manufacture  of  insulation board.

Fixed  Assets-Capital assets, plant site land, and equip-
   ment are all categories of fixed assets. The book values
   or  value net  to depreciation or depletion  should  be
   shown. Do not include any Timberland  in this figure.

Gross Fixed Assets-Original book value of Fixed Assets.

Insulation  Board-A  generic term  for a  homogeneous
   panel made from lignocellulosic fibers (usually wood
   or cane) characterized by an integral bond produced
   by  inter-felting of the fibers, to which other materials
   may have been added during manufacture to  improve
   certain  properties, but  which has not  been  consoli-
   dated under heat and  pressure as  a separate  stage in
   manufacture,  said board having a density of less than
   31  lb/ft3  (specific gravity 0.50) but having a density
   of more than 10 lb/ft3 (specific gravity 0.16).

Materials  Cost-Logs, wood, chips, chemicals  and other
   supplies used in the production of insulation board.

Navigable Waters-Waters of the United States, including
   ocean, rivers, streams, etc. (surface water).

NPDES (National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System)
Permit-A permit issued by  EPA  or  an approved  state
   program to point sources which discharge to public
   waters allowing the discharge of wastewater under
   certain stated conditions.

Operating Margin-Earnings before interest, taxes, general
   and administrative expense.

OSHA-The  Occupational Safety and Health  Admin-
   istration.
Other Income (Expense)-Income (expense) not directly
   or indirectly associated with wet process hardboard
   manufacture.

Payback Period—The number  of years it takes for  an
   investment to repay itself.

Process  Wastewater-Any used water which results from
   or has had contact  with  the manufacturing process,
   including  any water for which there is a reasonable
   possibility of  contamination  from  the  insulation
   board  manufacturing process or  from raw  material-
   intermediate  product-final  product,  storage,  trans-
   portation,  handling, processing   or   cleaning. For
   purposes of this survey, cooling water, sanitary waste-
   water,  store  water  and  boiler blowdown  are not
   considered process wastewater if they have no contact
   with the process.

Production Workers-Direct and indirect labor associated
   with and  attributable to wood treating at this plant.

Profit After  Tax—If this is a single-plant company, the
   net profit remaining after Federal Income taxes. If a
   multi-plant company, calculate an approximate profit
   after tax  by using the aggregate corporate tax rate.

Profit Before Tax-Sales  less all costs, except Federal
   Income taxes.

Return  on  Investment-The  average  annual  increased
   revenue (or decreased cost) on an original investment,
   usually calculated by a discounted cash flow method,
   expressed  as a  percentage of original  investment.

Sales-Sales, f.o.b. plant, net of discounts,  and returns. If
   the plant is a cost center, estimate the approximate
   market value (f.o.b. plant)  of the products produced in
   the most recent fiscal year.

Selling,  General and Administrative Cost—Salaries, wages
   and  related labor  costs not directly associated with
   production activity; state and local taxes; insurance
   and expenses allocated from parent.

Total Assets-Fixed Assets, inventories, receivables, cash
   securities, et cetera.

Total Liabilities-Long-term  debt, accounts and notes
   payable, deferred taxes, et  cetera.

Unusual   Production   Costs—Any   plant   characteristic
   that  causes unusual  costs  should be described as well
   as the  impact upon operations. For example, if the
   plant is  in a remote  location, freight costs to the
   nearest market may be higher than those  of other
   plants competing in the market.
                                                      69

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                              308 QUESTIONNAIRE
                              INSULATION BOARD
i.    Name of Plant
ii.   Address of Plant
                   Street
                   City                   State                    Zip

iii.   Name of Respondent*	  Title	

iv.   Address of Respondent	
                          Street           City             State         Zip

v.   Telephone No. of Respondent	
                                  Area Code            Number

vi.   Parent Company	
vii.   Is this plant engaged in the manufacture of insulation board?

     Yes   D      Continue with Questionnaire
     No    D      Do not fill out the questionnaire but return after completing this
                   page, through Question vii.

viii.  To assert your claim of confidentiality, please check off the box corresponding to the
     questions that in the company's opinion require confidential treatment.
1 D 5
2 D 6
3D 7
4 D 8
NOTE: Upon receip
the questionnaire so
D 9 D
D 10 D
D 11 D
D 12 D
13 D
14 D
15 D
18 D
19 D
20 D
21 D
22 D
t by EPA, this page will be separated from the remainder of
that data processing and use is conducted on a coded basis.
For Use by EPA
Tndft Number




'Person to be contacted in case of questions.
                                           70

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                                    308 QUESTIONNAIRE
                                    INSULATION BOARD
                                                     Company Code 	
                                                     (For EPA Use)
A.   GENERAL INFORMATION
1.   Is this insulation board (IB) plant a stand-alone operation or part of a multi-plant complex?
     Stand-Alone   D    Multi-plant Complex   D
     If part of a multi-plant complex, approximately what percentage  of total complex sales revenue was
     represented by insulation board in the fiscal year ending 1976?	%
2.   Is this plant at an urban, suburban or rural location? 	
     Urban   O      Suburban  D     Rural   D
3.   What year did the plant begin operation?	
B.   SALES AND PRODUCT MIX
4.   What were total sales for this insulation board (IB) plant during 1976?
        Under
     $8 Million     $8-12 Million     $13-20 Million    $21-28 Million    Over $28 Million
         D             D               D              D                D
5.   Which of the following product types were produced at this IB plant during 1976?
Insulation Board
a.
b.
c.
Structural
Decorative
Other
Produced
At Plant

D
D
D
Approximate Percent of Sales
<10

D
D
D
10-30

D
D
a
31-50

D
D
D
51-70

D
a
a
71-90

a
n
a
>90

a
a
a
6.   Are any changes (other than  normal business fluctuations) planned over the next five years in IB
     production process or product mix?
     Yes  D    No  D   (If no, go to Part C)
     If yes, please describe: 	
                                           71

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C.   PLANT CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION
 7.  Annual Capacity: The amount of thousands of square feet of insulation board which could have been
     produced in this plant during 1976 if the IB plant was operated fully 6-2/3 days/week, 24 hours/day,
     (350 days or 8400 hours/yr.)-
                                             Thousands of Square Feet


Insulation
Board
(1/2" Basis)

< 100,000
D

300,001-
350,000
100,000-
150,000
n

350,001-
400,000
150,001-
200,000
D

400,001-
450,000
200,001-
250,000
D

450,001-
500,000
250,001-
300,000
D


> 500,000
n n n n n
 8.   Actual Production in 1976: The amount of thousands of square feet of insulation board which were
      produced in this IB plant during 1976:
      Insulation Board (1/2" basis)
. thousands of square feet
9.


10.



11.
Did this IB plant have any unusual downtime during 1976, e.g., labor strikes, accidents, et cetera?
Number of Weeks of Unusual Downtime
No D (Go to 10)
Yes D
<1
D
Average number of employees during

Production Workers
Other Employees
a . Typical number o f p
<25
n
n
1-2
D
1976:
26-50
D
D
3-4
D

51-75
D
D
5-6
D

76-100
D
D
7-8
D

101-150
n
n
>8
D

>150
D
D
iroduction days per week:
           1-4  D     5  D     6  D     7  D
      b.    Please state number of weeks at each shift level (the total should add to 52 weeks)
           No. of Weeks
      (1)   	     at 0 shifts (shut down or no insulation board production)
      (2)   	     at 1 shift
      (3)   	     at 2 shifts
      (4)   	     at 3 shifts
      (5)   	     at 4 shifts
           52 weeks   Total [(1) + (2) + (3) + (4) + (5)]
                                              72

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D.  REVENUES AND EXPENSES

12. Income Statement

    Please check the box which most closely approximates your costs as a percentage of sales. (Use an
    approximate allocation of data are available at the plant level.)
                                                   Approximate Percent of Sales
    a.   Direct Wages, Salaries
        and Related
    b.  Materials (logs, wood,
        other materials,
        inventory charges)
    c.   Depreciation
    d.  Other Plant Expenses
        (Including rent, fuel
        and energy)
    e.   Operating Margin
    f.   Selling, General and
        Administration
        (Including allocation
        from Parent)
    g.   Interest Expense

    h.   Other Income (Expense)


    i.   Profit Before Tax


    j.   Taxes


    k.   Profit After Tax
< 16
D
<40.0
D
< 1
D
< 1
D
< 10
D
< 8
D
0
D
D
< 3
D
<1
D
<2
D
16-20
D
41-45
D
1-2
D
1-2
D
10.0-20.0
D
8-10
D
1-2
D
D
3-9
D
2-3
D
2-4
D
21-25
D
46-50
D
3-4
D
3-4
D
26-30
D
51-55
D
4-5
D
4-5
D
21.0-25.0
D
11-13
D
34
D
D
10^12
D
4-5
D
5-10
D



5-6
D
D
13-15
D
6-7
D
11-15
D
31-35
D
56-60
D
6-7
D
6-7
D
25.1-30.0
D
>14
D
7-8
D
D
16-17
D
8-9
D
>15
D
>35
D
>60
D
> 7
D
> 7
D
>30
D


>8
n
D
>17
D
>9
D


                                              73

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13. How representative is 1976 profit before tax compared to the 1971-1975 period:
    Much Better than Average          D
    Better than Average                D
    About the Same                   D
    Worse than Average                D
    Much Worse than Average          D

14. What  Depreciation Method is used?
                                                            Equipment            Buildings
    a.   Book Basis: Straight-Line                                D                   D
                    Double-declining Balance                     D                   D
                    Sum of Year's Digits                         D                   D
                    Other:	        D                   D
                           (Please Specify)
    b.   Tax Basis:   Straight Line                                D                   D
                    Double-declining Balance                     D                   D
                    Sum of Year's Digits                         D                   D
                    Other:	        D                   D
                           (Please Specify)
    c.   Pollution Control Expenditures:
                    Accelerated Over 5 Years                     D                   D
                    Same as Other Equipment                    D                   D
15. Annual Cost of Pollution Control and other Regulations Affecting Insulation Board Production Process
    and Costs at this IB Plant:
                                                   Don't                    Fiscal Year Ending
                                                   Know    None      ~ 1976           1977*
    a.   Direct Costs
        (1) Water Pollution Regulations:
            (a) Annual Operating Costs**            D       D
            (b) Annual Depreciation Charges**       D       D
            (c) Obligations to Municipalities          D       D
        (2) Air Pollution Regulations:
            (a) Annual Operating Costs              D       O
            (b) Annual Depreciation Charges         D       D
 •Please estimate the 1977 value if unknown at this time.
* "Include the cost associated with shared facilities, including Industrial Waste Recovery Systems.
                                             74

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          (3)  Solid Waste Disposal (Total,
              including waste water sludge
              and wood waste):

              (a)  Annual Operating Costs
              (b)  Annual Depreciation Charges

          (4)  Other Regulations Affecting Pro-
              duction Processes and Produc-
              tion Costs (Please Specify):	
                                                Don't
                                                Know
   D

   D
   D
                            Fiscal Year Ending
None



  D

  D
  D
                        1976
1977*
              (a)  Annual Operating Costs           D
              (b)  Annual Depreciation Charges      D

      b.   Indirect Costs (e.g., environ-
          mental research, consultants,
          litigation)                                D

16.   How does this plant discharge of process waste water"!

      a.   Discharge into navigable water
      b.   Discharge into municipal sewer
      c.   Disposed on plant site
      d.   Disposed off plant site
      e.   Process waste is recycled (no discharge)
      f.   Other   D    Please specify 	
            D
            D
            D
            D
            D
            D
            D
17a.  If you do not discharge process waste water into a municipal sewer, do you have the option to
      connect?

      Yes  D      No   D     Don't Know    D

      b.   If you do have the option to connect to a municipal sewer, what is the initial capital invest-
          ment cost?
          $
Don't Know   D
      c.   If you discharge  any wood treating process waste water into a sewer system, on  what basis
          are your sewer charges made?

          Flat annual fee            D
          Gallon of effluent         D
          Other   D   Please specify	
•Please estimate the 1977 value if unknown at this time.
                                                75

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     d.  If you discharge into a municipal sewer, what were your total sewer charges in 1976?

         $	

     e.  If you  discharge process waste water  into navigable waters,  do you have an NPDES permit"!

         Yes  D       No  D     Don't Know D

     f.  Do you own or have available for purchase about one acre of land at or adjacent to this facility
         that could be used for an effluent treatment system?

         Yes  D      No  D

         If yes, what is the current market value per acre?   $	

18.  Unusual Production Costs

     Are there any circumstances peculiar to this plant which result in unusual production costs (other
     than unusual downtime described in Q. 9)?

     Yes   D        No   D

     If Yes, please describe:	
19.  Distribution of Corporate Assets and Liabilities

     a.  What was the value of the company's total assets at the end
         of the 1976 fiscal year?                                            $

     b.  What was the value of the company's total liabilities and net
         worth at the end of the 1976 fiscal year (accounts payable,
         debt due within the year, etc.)?                                     $

     c.  What was the value of debt maturing in one year?                    $
     d.  What was the corporation's debt/equity ratio?                       	: 1

20   Value of Assets for this Insulation Board Plant

     a.  Gross Fixed Assets: Original Cost (Book Value) of plant
         and equipment dedicated to insulation board                        $  	
     b.   Accumulated depreciation

     c.   Net Fixed Assets (Gross Fixed Assets less cumulative
          depreciation = Current Book Value)

     d.   Total Assets: Net Fixed Assets, Cash Receivables,
          inventory, other costs)
                                              76

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21.  Capital Investment Criteria for IB Plant

     a.  What basis is used to evaluate the IB plant's profitability (return on investment)"!

         D  Total Assets (As above, 20.d) less current liabilities

         D  Book Value of Net Fixed Assets (As above, 20.c)

         D  Replacement Cost

         D  Salvage Value

         D  Other (Specify)

     b.  What is the target internal pre-tax rate of return on capital required for investment in this plant?
         	% At what ROI would you consider closing the plant?	%

     c.  If rate  of return  criteria are  not used, what is the  required payback period for investment?
         	Years or      D  Useful life.  At what payback period would you consider clos-
         ing the plant?	Years
22.  Capital Investment for IB Plant (including capitalized maintenance)
                                (1)

                               Total
                            Investment
     Planned 1977

     Total Actual 1972-76
      (2)
Plant Capitalized
 Maintenance of
Major Expansion
   (3)
 Water
Pollution
 Control
        (4)
Other  Environmental
Regulation Impacting
Production  Processes
                                              77

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                INSTRUCTIONS AND DEFINITIONS RELATING TO
                          WET PROCESS HARDBOARD

 1.  This survey must be  completed by each  manufacturing  facility that manufactures
    hardboard by the wet process.

 2.  A  questionnaire for  each  hardboard plant has  been sent to the corporate address.
    This may or may not be a plant site. All questions on a survey form refer to one parti-
    cular hardboard plant site only and a separate questionnaire must be completed for
    each. Questionnaires were mailed to corporate offices because much of the information
    resides there and typically  corporate involvement is required for response to materials
    of this kind.

 3.  Please submit one completed questionnaire for each plant in the enclosed, pre-addressed
    enveloped by November 30, 1977.

 4.  All questions contained in  this survey are intended to obtain information about your
    manufacturing  operations  and activities as they pertain  to wet process hardboard
    manufacture  only. Other plant operations should not be considered  in determining
    your responses unless a question specifically instructs you to do so.

 5.  A  list of definitions of terms used in the  survey has been  provided to assist you in
    understanding the questions asked and to  insure your interpretation  of terms is the
    same as that of the persons who  developed the survey. Please read these definitions
    prior to completing any questions and refer to  them as often as necessary to assure
    accuracy in the completion of your response. Defined terms appear in italics in the
    questionnaire.

 6.  All questions should be answered by checking the appropriate box or boxes. Those
    questions requiring a written response should be answered  by printing or typing in the
    appropriate space.

 7.  Attempt to answer  all questions.  Where appropriate, answers should be provided for
    the most recent fiscal year. If you cannot provide a full response to a question, answer
    as much of it as you can. If a question is not relevant to your plant operation or the
    information requested is not obtainable, please provide an  explanation. If clarification
    or supplementation of any response is necessary, please attach a separate sheet. If you
    do not  know the answer to a question, write "don't know" or "DK". If a value is
    zero, write in zero (0).

 8.  If you have difficulty understanding or answering any question, please call Stephen
    Mermelstein, 202-755-6906.

 9.  Please retain a copy of your completed survey, since it may be necessary to contact
    you in the future to verify your responses.

10.  Definitions appear on the reverse of this page.
                                         78

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                                                DEFINITIONS
Accumulated  Depreciation-Total depreciation to  date
   or  the  difference between original book  value and
   current book value.

Annual Cost  of Pollution Control and  Other Environ-
mental Regulations-Depreciation  charges  for pollution
   control equipment or for plant and equipment modi-
   fications  required  by  regulations.  Operating  costs
   include the cost of maintenance and  operating labor,
   supplies, fuel, and electricity required to operate the
   equipment related to the regulation.

Depreciation-Annual book depreciation  of assets at this
   plant. Do  not include any Timberland Depletion in
   this figure.

Direct Wages, Salaries and Related-Payroll costs (salaries,
   wages,  unemployment  insurance,  PICA  and  other
   related  costs) of direct labor (production employees)
   engaged in the manufacture of wet process hardboard.

Fixed  Assets-Capital assets, plant site land,  and equip-
   ment are all categories of fixed assets. The book values
   or  value net  to depreciation or depletion  should be
   shown. Do not include any Timberland in this figure.

Gross Fixed Assets-Original book value of Fixed Assets.

Hardboard-A generic term  for  a panel manufactured
   primarily   from  inter-felted   lignoceUulodc  fibers
   (usually wood), consolidated under heat and pressure
   in  a  hot-press to a  density  of 31  lb/ft3 (specific
   gravity 0.50) or greater, and to which other materials
   may have been added during manufacture to improve
   certain properties.

Materials Cost-Logs, wood,  chips, chemicals and  other
   supplies used in the production of wet process hard-
   board.

NPDES (National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System)
Permh-A  permit issued by  EPA or  an approved state
   program to point sources which discharge to public
   waters allowing the discharge of wastewater under
   certain stated conditions.

Navigable Waters-Waters of the United States including
   ocean, rivers, streams, etc. (surface water).

Operating Margin-Earnings before interest, taxes, general
   and administrative expense.

OSHA-The Occupational  Safety and Health Admin-
   istration.
Other Income (Expense)-Income  (expense) not directly
   or indirectly associated with wet process hardboard
   manufacture.

Payback Period-The number  of  years it takes for  an
   investment to repay itself.

Process Wastewater-Any used  water which results from
   or has  had contact  with  the manufacturing process,
   including any water for which there is a reasonable
   possibility of contamination from the wet process
   hardboard manufacturing process or from raw material-
   intermediate product-final product, storage,  transpor-
   tation,  handling, processing  or cleaning. For purposes
   of this  survey,  cooling  water, sanitary wastewater,
   store water and boiler blowdown are not considered
   process  wastewater  if  they have  no  contact with
   the process.

Production Workers-Direct and indirect  labor  engaged
   in and  attributable to the production of wet process
   hardboard at this plant.

Profit After Tax-If this is a single-plant company,  the
   net profit remaining after Federal Income taxes. If a
   multi-plant company, calculate  an approximate profit
   after  tax by  using the  aggregate corporate  tax rate.

Profit Before Tax-Sales less  all  costs, except Federal
   Income taxes.

Return on Investment-The average annual revenue  (or
   decreased cost) on  an  original investment, usually
   calculated by a discounted cash flow method.

Sales-Sales, f.o.b. plant, net of discounts,  and returns. If
   the plant is a cost center, estimate the approximate
   market  value (f.o.b. plant) of the products produced in
   the most recent fiscal year  expressed as a percent of
   the original investment.

Selling, General and Administrative Cost-Salaries, wages
   and related labor  costs not directly associated with
   production activity;  state and  local taxes; insurance
   and expenses allocated from parent.

Total Assets-Fixed Assets, inventories, receivables, cash
   securities, et cetera.

Total  Liabilities-Long-term  debt, accounts and notes
   payable, deferred taxes, et cetera.

Unusual  Production  Costs-Any   plant   characteristic
   that causes unusual costs should be described as well
   as the impact upon  operations. For example, if the
   plant  is in a  remote location, freight  costs to the
   nearest  market may be higher than those of other
   plants competing in the market.
                                                     79

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                              308 QUESTIONNAIRE
                          WET PROCESS HARDBOARD
i.    Name of Plant
ii.   Address of Plant.
                   Street
                   City

iii.   Name of Respondent*.
                      State
                                         Zip
                                    Title.
iv.   Address of Respondent
                         Street

v.   Telephone No. of Respondent


vi.  Parent Company	
                      City
                                  State
                                     Zip
               Area Code
                               Number
vii.  Is this plant engaged in the manufacture of insulation board?

     Yes   D      Continue with Questionnaire
     No    D      Do not fill out  the questionnaire but return after completing this
                   page through Question vii.

viii.  To assert your claim of confidentiality, please check off the box corresponding to the
     questions that in the company's opinion require confidential treatment.
     i    a
     2    a
     3    a
     4    a
5
6
7
8
D
D
D
a
 9
10
11
12
a
a
a
a
13
14
15
18
a
a
a
a
19
20
21
22
a
a
a
D
     NOTE:  Upon receipt by EPA, this page will be separated from the remainder of
     the questionnaire so that data processing and use is conducted on a coded basis.
                                 For Use by EPA

                          Code Number 	
"Person to be contacted in case of questions.
                                      81

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                                    308 QUESTIONNAIRE
                                WET PROCESS HARDBOARD
                                                        Company Code
                                                        (For EPA Use)
A.   GENERAL INFORMATION
1.    Is this wet process hardboard (WPH) plant a stand-alone operation or part of a multi-plant complex?
     Stand-Alone    D     Multi-plant Complex    D
     If part of a complex, approximately what percentage  of total sales at this complex was from wet
     process hardboard in the 1976 fiscal year?	%
2.    Is this plant at an urban, suburban or rural location?
     Urban   D     Suburban D     Rural  D
3. What year did the plant begin operat
B. SALES AND PRODUCT MIX
4. What were total sales (net f.o.b.) for
Under $5 Million $5-10 Million
ion?





this wet process hardboard (WPH) plant during 1976?
More than
$1 1-20 Million $21-30 Million $30 Million
D D D D
5. Which of the following product types were produced at this WPH plant during
S1S Products
a. Siding
b. Panelling
c. Industrial Board
d. Other SIS
S2S Products
e. Siding
d. Panelling
g. Industrial Board
h. Other S2S
Produced
At Plant
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
1976?
a
Approximate Percent of Sales
<10
a
a
a
D
a
n
n
a
10-30
a
a
a
a
D
a
n
a
31-50
n
a
D
D
a
a
D
a
51-70
a
D
a
n
D
a
a
n
70-90
n
a
a
n
a
a
n
a
>90
a
a
n
n
a
a
n
n
6.   Are any changes (other than normal business fluctuations) planned over the next five years in pro-
     duction process or product mix at this WPH plant?
     Yes   D      No  D      (If no, go to Part C)
     If yes, please describe	
                                             82

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C.   PLANT CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION
 7.  Annual Capacity:  The amount of thousands of square feet of the product which could have been
     produced in this plant during 1976 if the plant was operated fully 6-2/3 days/week, 24 hours/day
     (350 days or 8400 hours/yr.).
                                            Thousands of Square Feet
Wet Process
Hardboard
(1/8" Basis)
< 100,000
D
300,001-
350,000
100,000-
150,000
D
350,001-
400,000
150,001-
200,000
D
400,001-
450,000
200,001-
250,000
D
450,001-
500,000
250,001-
300,000
D
> 500,000
D D D D D
 8.  Actual Production in 1976: The amount of thousands of square  feet of the product which were
     produced in this plant during 1976:
     Wet Process Hardboard (1/8" basis)
No   D
                 (Go to 10)
     Yes   D
     Average number of e


     Production Workers
     Other Employees
5 any unusual downtime during 1976, e.g., labor strikes, accidents, etc
Number of Weeks of Unusual Downtime
<1
n
^ees during
<25
D
D
1-2
D
1976:
26-50
D
D
3-4
D

51-75
D
D
5-6
D

76-100
D
D
7-8
D

101-150
D
D
>8
D

>150
D
D
 11.  a.  Typical number of production days per week:
         1-4  D     5D      6D      7  D
     b.  Please state number of weeks at each shift level (the total should add to 52 weeks):
         No. of Weeks
     (1) 	
     (2) 	
     (3) 	
                      at 0 shifts (shut down or no wet process hardboard production)
                      at 1 shift
                      at 2 shifts
     (4)
     (5)
                      at 3 shifts
                      at 4 shifts
         52 Weeks   Total [(1) + (2) + (3) + (4) + (5)]
                                              83

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D.  REVENUES AND EXPENSES

12. Income Statement

    Please check the box which most closely approximates your costs as a percentage of sales. (Use an
    approximate allocation if data are unavailable at the plant level.)

                                       This WPH Plant's Cost as an Approximate Percent of Sales
    a.   Direct Wages, Salaries
        and Related
    b.  Materials (logs, wood,
        other materials plus
        inventory charges)
    c.   Depreciation
    d.  Other Plant Expenses
        (Including rent, fuel
        and energy)
    e.   Operating Margin
    f.   Setting General and
        Admin. (Including
        Allocation from
        Parent)
    g.   Interest Expense

    h.   Other Income (expense)


    i.   Profit Before Tax


    j.   Taxes


    k.   Profit After Tax
<16
D
<20
D
<1
D
<1
D
<30
n
<5
D
0
D
D
<10
n
<4
D
<4
D
17-19
n
21-27
n
1-2
D
1-2
D
31-35
n
6-7
n
1-2
D
n
11-14
D
5-6
n
5-6
n
20-23
D
28-33
D
3-4
D
3-4
D
36-40
D
8-10
D
3-4
D
D
15-19
D
7-9
D
7-9
n
24-26
n
34-40
n
4-5
D
4-5
n
41-45
D
11-12
D
5-6
n
D
19-24
n
10-12
D
10-12
D
27-29
n
41-47
D
6-7
n
5-6
D
46-50
D
13-15
D
>6
n
n
25-30
D
13-15
D
13-15
D
>29
D
>47
n
>7
D
>7
D
>50
D
>15
D









                                              84

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13. How representative is 1976 profit before tax compared to the 1971-1975 period:
    Much Better than Average          D
    Better than Average                D
    About the Same                   D
    Worse than Average                D
    Much Worse than Average          D

14. What depreciation method is used?
                                                            Equipment            Buildings
    a.  Book Basis:  Straight-Line                                D                   D
                     Double-declining Balance                    D                   D
                     Sum of Year's Digits                         D                   D
                     Other:	        D                   D
                           (Please Specify)
    b.  Tax Basis:    Straight Line                                D                   D
                     Double-declining Balance                    D                   D
                     Sum of Year's Digits                         D                   D
                     Other:	        D                   D
                           (Please Specify)
    c.  Pollution Control Expenditures:
                     Accelerated Over 5 Years                    D                   D
                     Same as Other Equipment/Bldgs.             D                   D
15. Annual Cost of  Pollution Control and other Regulations  Affecting WPH Production Process and
    Production at this Plant:
                                                   Don't                    Fiscal Year Ending
                                                   Know    None         1976           1977"
    a.  Direct Costs
        (1) Water Pollution Regulations:
            (a) Annual Operating Costs**            D       D         	      	
            (b) Annual Depreciation Charges**       D       D         	      	
            (c) Obligations to municipalities         D       D         	      	
        (2)  Air Pollution Regulations:
             (a)  Annual Operating Costs              D       D
             (b)  Annual Depreciation Charges         D       D
 •Please estimate 1977 expenditures if they are not known.
"Include the cost associated with shared facilities, including Industrial Waste Recovery Systems.
                                                 85

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                                                Don't
                                                Know
                                                       Fiscal Year Ending
                                      None
                                       1976
1977*
         (3) Solid Waste Disposal (Total,
             including waste water sludge
             and wood waste):

             (a) Annual Operating Costs
             (b) Annual Depreciation Charges

         (4) Other Regulations Affecting Pro-
             duction Processes and Produc-
             tion Costs (Please Specify):	
                               D

                               D
                               D
                           D

                           D
                           D
             (a) Annual Operating Costs
             (b) Annual Depreciation Charges

     b.  Indirect/Overhead Costs (Environ-
         mental research, consulting fees,
         litigation, etc.)
                               D
                               D
                               D
16.  How does this plant dispose of process waste water!

     a.  Discharge into navigable water
     b.  Discharge into municipal sewer
     c.  Disposed on plant site
     d.  Disposed off plant site
     e.  Process waste water is recycled (no discharge)
     f.  Other   D   Please specify	
                           n
                           D
                           D


                           D
                           D
                           D
                           D
                           D
17.a If you  do not discharge process waste water into a municipal sewer, do you have the option to
     connect?
     Yes  D
No  D
Don't Know   D
     b.  If you do have the option to connect to a municipal sewer, what is the initial capital invest-
         ment cost?

         $	                Don't Know   D
     c.   If you  discharge any process waste water into a  sewer system, on what basis are your sewer
          charges made?

          Flat annual fee            D
          Gallon of effluent         D
          Other   D    Please specify	
*Please estimate the 1977 value if unknown at this time.
                                                86

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     d.  If you discharge into a municipal sewer, what were your total sewer charges in 1976?

         $	

     e.  If you  discharge process waste  water into navigable waters, do you have  an NPDES Permit1*.

         Yes  D       No  D     Don't Know D

     f.  Do you own or have available for purchase about one acre of land at or adjacent to this facility
         that could be used for an effluent treatment system?

         Yes  D       No  D

         If yes, what is the current market value per acre?    $	

18.  Unusual Production Costs

     Are there any circumstances peculiar to this plant which result in unusual  production costs (other
     than unusual downtime described in Q. 9)?

     Yes   D       No  D

     If Yes, please describe:	
19.  Distribution of Corporate Assets and Liabilities

     a.  What is the value of the corporation's total accounts receivable?    $

     b.  What is the value of the corporation's total current liabilities
         (accounts payable, debt due within the year, etc.)?                $

     c.  What is the value of debt maturing in the current fiscal year?       $
     d.  What is the corporate debt/equity ratio?                          	: 1

20.  Value of Assets (Wet Process Hardboard Plant):

     a.  Gross Fixed Assets:  Original Cost (Book Value) of plant
         equipment dedicated to wet process hardboard                  $	
     b.   Accumulated depreciation

     c.   Net Fixed Assets (Gross Fixed Assets less cumulative
          depreciation-Current Book Value)                             $

     d.   Total Assets: Net Fixed Assets, Cash Receivables,
          inventory, other costs)                                        $
                                                87

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21.  Capital Investment Criteria for WPH Plant

     a.  What basis is used to evaluate the plant's profitability (return on investment)?

         D  Net Assets (Total Assets, as above in 20.d, less Current Liabilities)

         D  Book Value of Net Fixed Assets (as above in 20.c)

         D  Replacement Cost

         D  Salvage Value

         D  Other (Specify)	
     b.  What is the target internal pre-tax rate of return on capital required for investment in this plant?
         	%  At what ROI would you consider closing the plant?	%

     c.  If rate of return  criteria are not used,  what is the required payback period for investment?
         	Years or    D  Useful life

22.  Capital Investment for WPH Plant (including capitalized maintenance)

                                (1)               (2)              (3)                (4)
                                           Plant Capitalized      Water       Other  Environmental
                               Total        Maintenance of      Pollution     Regulation Impacting
                             Investment     Major Expansion      Control      Production  Processes
      Planned 1977

      Total Actual 1972-76
                                                 88

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