United States      Office of Air Quality       EPA-450/3-86-012
Environmental Protection  Planning and Standards      October 1986
Agency        Research Triangle Park NC 27711
Air
Primary Aluminum:
Statistical Analysis
of Potline
Fluoride  Emissions
and Alternate
Sampling
Frequency

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 •'r-
•- i
r
                                        EPA-450/3-86-012
                Primary Aluminum:
         Statistical Analysis of Potline
       Fluoride Emissions and Alternate
               Sampling Frequency
                 Emission Standards and Engineering Division
                    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                    Region 5, Library (PL-12J)
                    77 West Jackson Boulevard, 12th Floor
                    Chicago, IL  60604-3590
                 U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                      Office of Air and Radiation
                 Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
                    Research Triangle Park, NC 27711

                         October 1986

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                                              DISCLAIMER

This report has been reviewed by the Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, and approved for publication as received from the Radian Corporation. Approval does not signify that the
contents necessarily reflect the views and policies of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, nor does mention of
trade names or commercial products constitute endorsement or recommendation for use. Copies of this report are
available from the National Technical Information Services, 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield, Virginia 22161.

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                              TABLE  OF  CONTENTS

 Section                                                                paqe

 1.0   INTRODUCTION ..........................    j.j

      1.1   PURPOSE ...............                          ]_!
      1.2   OVERVIEW OF TECHNICAL APPROACH  .........  '.            1-2
      1.3   REPORT OVERVIEW ....................  .'      ^3

 2.0   SUMMARY  ............................    2-1

      2.1   BACKGROUND INFORMATION  ..........                    2-1
      2.2   OVERVIEW OF THE DATA ANALYSIS .........  '.'.'.'.'.'.    2-4

           2.2.1  Approach ......................    2-4
           2.2.2  Data Analysis Results and Conclusions  .......    2-6

      2.3   EMISSIONS MODEL ..........                            2 8
      2.4   PROBABILITY-OF-AN-EXCEEDANCE GRAPH AND ITS USE  !!*'*'    2-9
      2.5   CONTROL CHART MONITORING ......                          o 12
      2.6   REGULATORY PROCEDURES OVERVIEW  ..... ! ........    2-16
      2.7   ADDITIONAL MONITORING TECHNIQUES .....    .......    2-17
      2.8   EMISSION MODELS NOT FITTING ALUMAX MODEL ..'.'.'.'.'.'.'.    2-18

 3.0   DATA  ANALYSIS .........................    3_i

      3.1   ROOF MONITOR DATA ...........                        3.1
      3.2   DRY SCRUBBER DATA ...........   .........    3 15
      3.3   DATA DISTRIBUTION ..........     .........    3 J6
      3.4   TIME SERIES ANALYSIS .......       .........    3 25
      3.5   COVARIANCE OF THE ROOF MONITOR AND DRY SCRUBBER.' .'.'*'*   3-25
      3.6   CHOICE OF DATA BASE ..................  ] [    3_28

 4.0   PROPOSED EMISSIONS MODEL ....................   4_j

      4.1   EMISSIONS MODEL AND PROBABILITY-OF-AN-EXCEEDANCE RELATION    4-1
      4.2   PROBABILITY-OF-AN-EXCEEDANCE GRAPH AND REQUIREMENTS FOR
           ITS USE ........................       4.3
5.0  CONTROL CHART MONITORING
     5.1  CONTROL CHART THEORY ...........                   5.1
     5.2  CONTROL CHART FOR REGULATORY USE ..... .'  .......   5.5
     5.3  ALUMAX CONTROL CHARTS ............      .....   5.7
     5.4  DERIVATION OF ALUMAX CONTROL CHARTS .....  '.'.'.'.'''   5-13
     5.5  REGULATORY USE OF ALUMAX CONTROL CHARTS ........  '.  '.   5-17

6.0  REGULATORY PROCEDURES .....................   6_j

7.0  REFERENCES ...........................   7_}

                                      i

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                        TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued)
Section
APPENDICES
A    DATA TABLES	      A_!
B    CONTROL CHART PARAMETERS 	  B_j
C    HYPOTHESIS TESTING 	  c_j
D    SUMMARY OF PRIMARY ALUMINUM PLANT PERFORMANCE	D-l
                                    ii

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                               LIST OF TABLES
2-1  Example Criteria For Reduced Performance Test Schedule .....  2-11

3-1  Summary Statistics For Roof Monitors ............      3.7
3-2  Summary Statistics For Each Roof Monitor .........  ,  .  .  3.9
3-3  Roof Monitor Paired Comparisons ........... ...      3-14
3-4  Summary Statistics For Dry Scrubbers ........  '.'.'.'.''  3-16
3-5  Summary Statistics For Each Dry Scrubber ........  .  .  .  .  3-17
3-6  Kolmogorov D Test For Goodness of Fit ......  .......  3-24
3-7  Variances and Covariances of Roof Monitor and Dry Scrubber
     Emissions ...........................  3.27

4-1  Probability of An Exceedance, ALUMAX Potroom Group .......  4-6

5-1  Emissions Data for ALUMAX Potroom Group 101G/161W, LB F/T Al     5-8
5-2  Emissions Data for ALUMAX Potroom Group 101H/161E, LB F/T Al '.  '  5-9
5-3  Emissions Data for ALUMAX Potroom Group 103G/162W, LB F/T Al*    5-10
5-4  Emissions Data for ALUMAX Potroom Group 103H/162E, LB F/T Al     5-11
5-5  Potroom Group Warning Limits, ALUMAX Data ...........  5-14

6-1  Example Criteria For Reduced Performance Test Schedule .....  6-2
                                     iii

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                               LIST OF FIGURES

Figure                                                                 _
   	                                                                 Page
2-1   Schematic Plant  Layout	                    2  2
2-2   Probability of an Exceedance. ...'.'.]	2"in
2-3   X Control Chart  For ALUMAX Potroom Group 1016/isiw	2~n
2-4   Sx Control Chart For ALUMAX Potroom Group  101G/161W  '.'.'.'.'.'.  2-14

3-1   ALUMAX Monthly Average Emissions, Roof Monitor 101G              3.3
3-2   ALUMAX Monthly Average Emissions, Roof Monitor 101H      '        34
3-3   ALUMAX Monthly Average Emissions, Roof Monitor 103G      '        35
3-4   ALUMAX Monthly Average Emissions, Roof Monitor 103H  . 	  3-5
3-5   Roof Monitor Annual Average, Potline 101.             	  3  in
3-6   Roof Monitor Annual Average of Monthly Standard Deviations!
      Pot! me 101	                      3  ,,
3-7   Roof Monitor Annual Average, Potline 103'.  . .	310
3-8   Roof Monitor Annual Average of Monthly Standard Deviation
      Potline 103	        '       3_13
3-9a  Normal Probability Plot of Roof Monitor Monthly Means '.           3.19
      Detrended Normal  Probability Plot of Roof Monitor Monthly Means  3-19
      Normal Probability Plot of Roof Monitor Monthly Means            3  20
3-10b Detrended Normal  Probability Plot of Roof Monitor Monthly Means  3-20
3-11  Monthly Mean Values of the Four Roof Monitors, Ib F/T Al         3  21
3-12  Logarithm of the Monthly Means of the Four Roof Monitors'.'.'.' 3-22

4-1   Probability of an Exceedance	4.4

5-1   Control  Charts for X and s	                         5  2
5-2   Monthly Mean Emissions for ALUMAX Potroom Group ioiG/ieiW     '  5-4
5-3   X Control  Chart for ALUMAX Potroom Group 101G/161W With  Respect
      Standards  X  and  o	                               5  15
5-4   S  Control  Chart  f8r ALUMAX Potroom Group ioiG/161W,'with '  '  '
      Rispect  to Standards X  and o ...                               =  1fi
                            o      o      	o-io
                                     IV

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                               1.0  INTRODUCTION

 1.1  PURPOSE
      Radian Corporation provided engineering support services to the
 U.  S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Emission Standards and
 Engineering Division (ESED) in the evaluation of total fluoride emissions
 data from the Mount Holly Plant of ALUMAX of South Carolina, a primary
 aluminum reduction plant.  Work was performed under EPA Contract
 Number 68-02-3816, ESED Project No. 85/11.  Emissions of fluorides from the
 potroom groups at the ALUMAX plant are at levels well below the standard.
 Performance data were evaluated to establish a basis for reducing the
 frequency of required performance tests.  The ALUMAX plant analysis may be
 applicable to other primary aluminum plants in the industry performing well
 below the standard.  (See Summary of Primary Aluminum Plant Performance in
 Appendix D).  The ALUMAX study therefore was documented in this report in a -
 fashion that facilitates similar studies potentially to be conducted by
 State and local  regulatory groups on other plants.
      The evaluation of test data was limited to emissions from potroom
 groups at prebake plants.   The standard  for primary aluminum reduction
 plants (40 CFR Part 60,  Subpart S)  limits emissions of total  fluorides (F)
 from potroom groups at prebake plants to 1.9 Ib/ton of aluminum produced
 (Ib F/T Al).  The potroom group limit applies  to the combined emission rates
 from the primary control  device,  a  dry scrubber installed on  the  exhaust  gas
 stream from the  pots,  and  from the  miscellaneous fugitive losses  vented from
 the  potroom enclosure  through  roof  monitors.  At ALUMAX,  monthly  performance
 tests  are required  on  the  roof monitors.   The primary  control  devices  were
 exempted from  the monthly  testing requirements  consistent with  the
 provisions  of  the standard  [40 CFR  60.195(b)],  and  instead  are  subject  to an
 annual  performance  test schedule.
     If  a less frequent monitoring  schedule  for  the roof monitor emissions
 is to be  established for a plant with performance well below  the standard,
 some assurance must exist that the  probability of exceeding the standard  '
under the less frequent testing schedule remains at an acceptable level.  In
addition, quantitative criteria must be established as the basis for
decisions to approve less frequent test schedules.  This report addresses
these concerns.
                                    1-1

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 1.2   OVERVIEW  OF  TECHNICAL APPROACH
      The  following  tasks were  undertaken to  address  the  concerns  that  a  less
 frequent  monitoring schedule pose:

      •     Task 1  -  Analyze the ALUMAX emission data  from dry  scrubbers and
           roof monitors to characterize emissions data so that  a  model could
           be developed to predict emissions  from the potroom  groups  and  the
           entire  plant as a function of time.
      •     Task 2  -  Prepare control charts based on ALUMAX data  1) to
           establish objective  criteria for measuring "performance,"  2) to
           detect  emission performance changes, and 3) to monitor  operating
           performance in between performance tests.
      •     Task 3  -  Using the emission-versus-time model developed in Task 1,
           prepare a graph of the probability of an exceedance,  P(Ex), as a
           function  of the overall mean emission rate, X, and  standard
           deviation  of the mean, S-.  The probability of an exceedance graph
           may  be used by a regulatory authority as the quantitative basis
           for  approving a less frequent performance test schedule, assuming
           that  the  emission performance of the potroom group, or the plant
           does  not  change.
     •     Task  4 -  Prepare a report 1)  summarizing the results of the study
           of the ALUMAX data and 2) outlining how a regulatory agency might
           qualify a primary aluminum potroom group for a reduced performance
           test  schedule,  3)  how changes in  overall  emission  levels could be
          detected on a reduced performance test schedule,  and 4)  how the
           regulatory agency might be assured that the emission levels do not
          change between  performance tests.

     Tasks 1 and 3 provide the  quantitative criteria for making the decision
to qualify a potroom group for  a reduced  performance test schedule.   Task 2
offers the means to detect changes in overall emission levels with the use
of control charts using performance test  results.   The most  serious problem
a regulatory agency faces  in  granting a reduced performance  test schedule is
the uncertainty that exists  that plant  operating procedures  affecting
                                    1-2

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 emissions  may  become  lax  in  between  required  performance  tests.   Task  4
 addresses  this risk by  suggesting  the  use of  a control chart which monitors
 plant  performance  continuously, whether or not the plant  or potroom group  is
 on a reduced performance  test  schedule.

 1.3  REPORT OVERVIEW
     Section 2  summarizes the  overall  approach to characterizing  the ALUMAX
 emissions data  and gives  the results,  recommendations, and conclusions of
 the data analysis  (Task 1) and the model development  (Task 3).  Section 2
 also summarizes the control chart parameter results and summarizes the
 recommendations on their  use (Task 2).
     Section 3 gives the details of the analysis of the ALUMAX data
 (Task  1).
     Section 4 contains the emission model development results, and gives
 the procedure for constructing the Probability of Exceedance versus X and S-
 chart  (Task 3).                                                            X
     Section 5 outlines the theoretical basis of control  chart theory and
develops its application to monitoring the ALUMAX potroom groups  (Task 4).
     Section 6 overviews the procedure of how a primary aluminum potroom
group may be qualified for reduced frequency scheduling.   It then outlines
how a regulatory agency may detect any overall change in  emission levels,
and how assurance can  be given that the potroom group emissions are not
changing in between performance tests.
     Section 7 lists  the references cited  in  this study.
                                   1-3

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                                 2.0  SUMMARY

      This section summarizes the data analysis approach and results of the
 study of fluorides emissions from the ALUMAX primary aluminum reduction
 plant.  To aid understanding of the analysis, the production process, points
 of emission, and the data set are discussed briefly in the background
 information, Section 2.1.  Section 2.2 presents an overview of the data
 analysis approach as well as some results and conclusions.  Section 2.3
 summarizes the results of the development of an emissions X versus time model.
 Section 2.4 discusses the Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph derived with the
 model  and its use to qualify a potroom group for reduced frequency performance
 tests.  Section 2.5  summarizes the concepts and results of control  chart
 monitoring applied to a primary aluminum plant  and Section 2.6 outlines
 regulatory procedures as they apply to  reduced  performance test schedules in
 primary aluminum plants.  Section  2.7 discusses additional  monitoring
 techniques that give the regulatory authority additional  assurance  that the
 potroom group emissions  are  not changing in between  performance tests  on  a
 reduced test  schedule.   Section 2.8 briefly summarizes  the development of an
 emissions  model  and  regulatory  procedures  for a potroom group  that  does  not
 fit  the ALUMAX model.

 2.1  BACKGROUND INFORMATION
     The ALUMAX plant contains  four  potroom groups,  as  illustrated
 schematically in  Figure  2-1.  A potline  is  a  long  line  of  pots  in which
 aluminum is reduced  from bauxite.  Aluminum reduction in an  individual pot is
 a batch  process.  However, individual pots  are  charged  on  a  regular,
 alternating schedule and  the  potline as  a whole  is presumed  to  be a
 continuous process from  an emissions standpoint.  The reasonableness of this
 presumption is more apparent when the monthly period of the  sampling
 schedule is considered.  Any model of emissions versus time  is based on the
 presumption that the emissions from the process can be considered continuous
and that periodic testing (e.g., monthly) provides a reasonable
approximation of emissions during the interval between tests.

                                      2-1

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              "»N      Hoof Monitor 103H,



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                                             I
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                                          Dry Sorubbor
                                              ieai
                                             I
  Potroom Group
   Potroom Group
  Figure 2-1. Schematic Plant Layout.
                     2-2

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      During the reduction process, the pots are enclosed and exhausted through
 a manifold system to a dry scrubber primary control  system.  Exhaust gas leaks
 and other fugitive emissions escape through a ventilation vent in the roof of
 each building referred to as a roof monitor.  Emissions testing is required on
 the primary control  device and on the roof monitors.   A potroom group includes
 those pots vented to a common primary control device.   As illustrated in
 Figure 2-1, the pots in a potline are segregated into  two potroom groups.   The
 concentration of pollutants exiting the roof monitor  for a potroom group is
 determined at a single location in the roof vent.   Flow or velocity is
 determined at several  locations and averaged to calculate the total loss from
 the roof monitor.
      Emissions data  are reported by the plant for  the  roof monitor and primary
 control  device for each potroom.  The summation of these emission rates is
 compared to the 1.9  Ib F/T Al standard to determine compliance.   For the ALUMAX
 plant,  data were reported for the following emission points and  intervals
 (emission unit numbers refer to Figure 2-1):
 Potroom Group  Roof Monitor 101G
                Dry  Scrubber 161W
 Potroom Group  Roof Monitor 101H
                Dry  Scrubber 161E
 Potroom Group  Roof Monitor 103G
                Dry  Scrubber 162W
 Potroom Group  Roof Monitor 103H
                Dry  Scrubber 162E
                                         Consecutive  Monthly
                                            Observations
56
17
56
17
54
15
54
15
                    Annual
                 Observations
2

2

2

2
Both monthly and annual observations were submitted for the dry scrubbers
because about a third of the way through the 4-year period for which data
were submitted, the sampling frequency changed from one test per month to
one test per year.
                                      2-3

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2.2  OVERVIEW OF THE DATA ANALYSIS
2.2.1  Approach
     In order to develop an emissions model from the ALUMAX data, it was
necessary to characterize the data and to answer certain key questions, which
were:

     •    Should the roof monitor monthly emissions be averaged on a plantwide
          basis, or should the roof monitor monthly mean emissions be
          considered separately for each roof monitor?
     •    Should the dry scrubber monthly emissions be averaged on a plantwide
          basis, or should the dry scrubber emissions be considered separately
          for each dry scrubber?
     •    Should the potroom group monthly emissions be averaged on a
          plantwide basis, or should the potroom group emissions be considered
          separately for each potroom group?
     Additional questions that remained were:
     t    What was the frequency distribution  of the data—normal,
          lognormal, or another distribution?
     •    Was there any relationship (i.e., correlation)  between roof monitor
          emissions and dry scrubber emissions in the same potroom group?
     •    Were the roof monitor monthly mean emissions data and dry scrubber
          emissions data autocorrelated?

     The purpose of the data analysis described below was to answer all the
above questions, or to provide the basis for making reasonable assumptions
that would be consistent with the ALUMAX emissions data base as a whole.  It
was necessary to assume, for example, that the dry scrubber emissions data
were not autocorrelated because there was an insufficient number of
consecutive months' data to test each dry scrubber separately for
autocorrelation of the monthly mean emissions.  This assumption was shown to
be consistent with the roof monitor monthly mean emissions data, which were
not autocorrelated.

                                      2-4

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     The data analysis may be outlined as follows (where appropriate,  specific
references to the detailed discussion sections are provided):

     •    Monthly means were computed and verified for each roof monitor and
          dry scrubber separately.   (Section 3)
     •    Statistics were calculated for monthly means and the monthly
          standard deviations (of the daily performance test readings  for each
          month) of the roof monitor emissions for all four roof monitor
          combined--maximum, minimum, mean, standard deviation, range,
          skewness and kurtosis.  (Table 3-1)
     t    The same statistics were calculated for each roof monitor
          separately.  (Table 3-2)
     •    Statistics were calculated for monthly means and the monthly
          standard deviations (of the daily performance test readings  for each
          month) of the dry scrubber emissions for all four dry scrubbers
          combined—maximum, minimum, standard deviation, range, skewness and
          kurtosis.  (Table 3-4)
     t    The same statistics were calculated for each dry scrubber
          separately.  (Table 3-5)
     •    The means of the roof monitor and dry scrubbers monthly mean
          emissions were tested for equality between roof monitors and between
          dry scrubbers.  (Tables A-4, A-5, and 3-3)
     •    A plot was made of cumulative normal probability distribution of the
          monthly mean roof monitor emissions and their deviation from the
          expected value to show graphically how well  the combined roof
          monitor emissions data fit a normal distribution.  (Figures  3-9a and
          3-9b)
     •    A plot was made of cumulative probability of the logarithm of the
          monthly mean roof monitor emissions and their deviations from the
          expected value to show graphically how the combined  dry scrubber
          emissions fit a lognormal  distribution.  (Figures 3-10a and  3-10b)
                                      2-5

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           The Kolmogorov D statistic was calculated for the combined roof
           monitor monthly mean emissions data and for each roof monitor
           separately so as to test the goodness-of-fit for the data compared
           to the normal  and to the lognormal  probability distributions.
           (Table 3-6)
           The autocorrelation function and  the  partial  autocorrelation
           function were  calculated for each roof  monitor monthly mean
           emissions data set.   These were used  to characterize the
           autocorrelation  structure  of the  roof monitor  monthly mean
           emissions.   (Tables  A-9  through A-12)
           Covariance matrices  were calculated for roof monitor and  dry
           scrubber monthly  mean emissions in the  same potroom  group.
           Correlation  coefficients were  calculated  from  each covariance matrix
           to  determine if  a correlation  exists  between the emissions from the
           roof monitor and  the dry scrubber in  the  same  potroom  group.
           Correlation  coefficients were  also calculated  by regressing monthly
           mean roof monitor data on  monthly mean  dry scrubber  data.  Plots of
           roof monitor monthly mean  emissions versus dry scrubber monthly mean
           emissions gave visual interpretations of correlation.   (Section 3.5)
2-2-2  Data Analysis Results and
     Overall mean roof monitor emissions, X", were 0.809 Ib fluoride per ton of
aluminum (Ib F/T Al) with a mean standard deviation of monthly means, S-,
equal to 0.0174 Ib F/T Al .  The dry scrubber overall mean emissions, X *'were
equal to 0.07443 Ib F/T Al with a mean standard deviation, S-, equal to
0.050 Ib F/T Al.  There were sufficient differences between the overall means
for each roof monitor and dry scrubber to justify treating each dry scrubber
and roof monitor separately rather than using pooled values for the emissions
model.  The monthly mean emissions for roof monitors ranged from 0.750 to
0.870 Ib F/T Al.  The monthly mean emissions for dry scrubbers ranged from
0.046 to 0.101 Ib F/T Al .
                                      2-6

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     The graphical and statistical tests (Kolmogorov D statistics) showed that
the monthly mean roof monitor emissions fit a normal distribution better than
they fit a lognormal distribution.  A normal distribution was therefore
selected as appropriate to characterize the probability distribution of the
ALUMAX monthly mean roof monitor data.  The dry scrubber monthly mean emission
data showed no evidence in their skewness and kurtosis values to indicate that
their distribution was other than normal.  It was assumed that the dry
scrubber mean monthly emissions data were normally distributed.
     The autocorrelation functions and partial autocorrelation functions of
the roof monitor monthly mean emissions data indicated that there was
insignificant autocorrelation structure.  This lead to the conclusion that the
roof monitor monthly mean emissions were independent (of time), random
variables.
     The correlation coefficients showed that there was no significant
correlation between the roof monitor monthly mean emissions and the dry
scrubber monthly mean emissions in the same potroom group.  This result
supports the assumption that the emissions variables within a potroom group
were independent of one another.
     Because the monthly mean emissions data for each roof monitor were found
to follow a normal distribution, and because no autocorrelation behavior was
found, the same model could be used for each potroom group.  The facts that
the monthly mean emissions from each roof monitor and each dry scrubber were
significantly different from one another suggest that the monthly mean
emissions should be calculated separately for each potroom group.  Because
insignificant correlation was found between the roof monitor and dry scrubber
emissions within a potroom group, the roof monitor monthly mean emissions
(Xj), and the dry scrubber monthly mean emissions (X2) could be considered to
be independent of one another, which affects the form of the model for the
potroom group monthly mean emissions.
     For the potroom groups, Section 4 postulates the total emission rate to
be the sum of the roof monitor emissions and the dry scrubber emissions.  The
monthly variances for the potroom group are the sums of the variances of the
monthly roof monitor emissions and the dry scrubber emissions.  For the ALUMAX
potroom groups, overall monthly means ranged from 0.8070 to 0.9618 Ib F/T AT.
Standard deviations ranged from 0.1340 to 0.2114 Ib F/T Al.
                                      2-7

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     The conclusions reached in analyzing the data were:

     •    The roof monitor monthly mean emissions were normally distributed,
          random variables;
     •    There were significant differences between the monthly mean
          emissions for the individual roof monitors;
     t    There were significant differences between the monthly mean
          emissions for the individual dry scrubbers; and
     •    The monthly mean roof monitor emissions and the monthly mean dry
          scrubber emissions in the same potroom group showed insignificant
          correlation.

2.3  EMISSIONS MODEL
     An emissions model was developed so that it could be possible to predict
for a potroom group the probability of an exceedance during normal operating
conditions.  The probability of an exceedance is related to measurable
operating parameters, the overall monthly mean emission rate and the standard
deviation of the test measurements used to calculate the monthly means.  Such
a Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph provides a regulatory authority with
quantitative criteria for selecting which potroom group qualifies for a
reduced frequent performance test schedule, and for choosing a performance
test frequency.
     The lack of autocorrelation of the ALUMAX roof monitor emissions data,
and the determination that the data were normally distributed, simplified the
preparation of the Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph.  The initial design
proposed for this study included the possibility that the monthly mean
emissions data might have been autocorrelated.  If that had been the case, the
Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph would have had to be developed through
computer simulations.  Because the emissions were not autocorrelated, and
                                      2-8

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because the distribution  followed a normal Gaussian curve, the probability  of
an exceedance was calculated analytically from readily available tables  for
the normal probability distribution.
     The emissions model  (developed in Section 4.0) for the ALUMAX data  was
that of a normally distributed random variable with a known mean and  variance
for each potroom group.   In a potroom group, the total monthly mean emissions
are the sum of the dry scrubber emissions and the roof monitor emissions; the
variance of the monthly mean emissions is equal to the sum of the variances of
the dry scrubber emissions and the roof monitor emissions.
     The emissions model  developed for the ALUMAX potroom groups is given in
Equations 2-1 and 2-2.

                                                                       (2-1)
Variables X and S- are the monthly means and standard deviations,
respectively, of emissions from the potroom groups.  Variables subscripted 1,
refer to the roof monitor emissions while those subscripted 2 refer to the dry
scrubber emission rates.

2.4  PROBABILITY-OF-AN-EXCEEDANCE GRAPH AND ITS USE
     The Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph is given in Figure 2-2.  It was
developed based on the emissions model and statistics (see Section 4) to
provide a regulatory authority with a basis for qualifying a potroom group for
a reduced frequency sampling schedule.  It applies to plants whose emissions
are normally distributed random variables (i.e., not autocorrelated) .
     The plot shows the probability of exceedance, P (Ex), on the ordinate and
the monthly mean emission rate, X, on the absissca.  Curves are given for
several values of the standard deviation of monthly mean emission rates, S-.
Horizontal lines designating one expected exceedance per year and one in ten
years also are shown on the figure.  Once a potroom group has sufficient data
(48 consecutive months of monitoring data) to determine that their monthly
mean emission rates are not autocorrelated, and that their monthly mean
                                      2-9

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      .001.1
41

U
01

U
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o


5K
•a

•8
M
ft.
    .000001
   .0000001
     .0001
     .00001
               0.7
0.9        1.1       1.3        1.5        1.7


     X,  Monthly Mean Emissions, Ib F/T Al
    Figure 2-2.   Probability of an Exceedance.



                                         2-10

-------
emissions are normally distributed, it can be located on the graph by its
overall monthly mean emission rate, X, and standard deviation, S-.  Its
location on the Figure 2-2 determines the Probability-of-an-Exceedance for the
potroom group.  An example shown in the figure is that of ALUMAX potroom group
103H/162E.  Its probability of exceedance is about 0.000002 or about one
exceedance in over 10 thousand years.  The other potroom groups at ALUMAX have
a lower probability of exceedance.  This information, along with a table such
as that in Table 2-1 may be used by a regulatory agency to qualify a potroom
group for a reduced performance test schedule.
     The regulatory authority must make the selection of which regions of the
graph qualify for various performance test intervals.  Table 2-1 is given as
an example of the criteria that may be used.  ALUMAX, potroom group 103H/162E
for instance would qualify for a 12-month monitoring schedule using these
criteria.  It must be stressed, however, that the decision about monitoring
schedules are the purview of the regulating authority and must be made based
on their judgment.  The Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph serves only as a
tool for distinguishing aluminum plant performance levels quantitatively .

      TABLE 2-1.  EXAMPLE CRITERIA FOR REDUCED PERFORMANCE TEST SCHEDULE
                                                               Example
     Probability of                                          Performance
  an Exceedance, P(Ex)                                      Test Schedule3

         P(Ex) > 0.001                                         one/month
0.0001 < P(Ex) < 0.001b                                        one/quarter
0.00001 < P(Ex) < 0.0001C                                      one/6 months
          P(Ex) < 0.00001                                      one/12 months

Selection of the performance test schedule is the purview of the regulatory
 authority.
 P = 0.001, signifies that the probability of an exceedance is 1 in 1,000
 measurements on a monthly schedule, or once every 83.33 years because of
 random variation.
CP = 0.0001, signifies that the probability of an exceedance is 1 in 10,000
 measurements on a monthly schedule, or once every 833.33 years because of
 random variation.
                                     2-11

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 2.5   CONTROL  CHART MONITORING
      Once  a potroom group has qualified for reduced performance test
 scheduling, the  regulatory agency must be able to identify emission test
 results higher than the overall average caused by random variation, from those
 caused by  changes in the overall emissions level.  The control chart methods
 proposed in this study are well suited to make that distinction.
      Control  charts monitoring performance test results are based on past
 performance and  ongoing results.  Each performance test averages three daily
 readings of Ib F/T Al for a monthly mean emission value, X; a standard
 deviation  of  the three readings is also determined.  Separate control charts
 plot  X and $x values for each performance test.  For the ALUMAX potroom
 groups, X  and $x were found to be random variables.  For each successive
 performance test, random variation is exhibited, but knowing the overall
 means, X and $x, it is possible to set limits on the expected variations,
 assuming no changes occur in the overall potroom group average emissions or
 their variability.  Control charts can identify either warning limits or
 control limits (or both).  Warning limits are usually set at the mean value +
 2-sigma, or two standard deviations above and below the mean.   Control  Limits
 are generally set at the mean value + 3-sigma, or the three standard
deviations above and below the overall limits.  Warning limits cover about 95%
of the monthly means and standard deviations; control  limits cover about 99%
of the monthly means and standard deviations during normal  random behavior of
the process.
     Results  of periodic performance tests,  whether monthly,  quarterly,
semi-annually, or annually,  are located on their respective control  chart
immediately following the test.   If the points fall  outside the control  limits
of the control charts,  the process,  or operation is considered "out of
control",  and management,  operating personnel, and the regulatory agency are
signaled that something other than random variation is causing the emissions
to be larger (or smaller)  than normally expected.
     Figures  2-3 and 2-4 give an X-control  chart and an $x control  chart
respectively for ALUMAX potroom group containing Roof Monitor 101G and Dry
Scrubber 161W.  Shown on the charts are horizontal lines for the overall
means, the central  lines,  and the upper and lower warning limits,  UWL and LWL,

                                     2-12

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ti-z
'MI91/9IOI dn(U9 uiocuiod XVWnitf -ioj 1^43
                              '£-3

-------

Figure 2-4.  S  Control Chart For ALUMAX Potroom Group 101G/161W.
                                     2-14

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respectively.  The latter limits are set at 2-sigmas (i.e., standard
deviations) above and below the central lines.  The means + 2-sigmas for a
normally distributed variables should include, on the average, about
95 percent of the individual X or S  readings.  Only one datum in 20, on the
average, should fall outside UWL or LWL by random variation only.  If there is
a change in operating procedure, or equipment failure,  that affects emissions,
whether increased or decreased, it will be detected on  the control charts by
one or more consecutive points falling outside the warning limits.
     Figure 2-3 shows several monthly means above or below the warning
limits—January 1982, September 1982, February 1983, April 1983, June 1983,
August 1983, October 1984, and December 1984.  Figure 2-2 shows five monthly
standard deviations above the upper warning limit, and  none below the lower
warning limit.  These are above the average expected number (which would be
about 3 for each graph) of "violations" of UWL and LWL, but the graphs show
both the X and S  chart to recover quickly, i.e., there are not two
                A
consecutive months for which the monthly means or standard deviations are
above or below UWL and LWL.  The control charts demonstrate random behavior
and no overall increasing or decreasing trends.  The X chart  (Figure 2-3)
shows data from December 1981 through August 1982, nine consecutive months,
below the central line.  Whenever more than seven consecutive points are
(1) increasing, (2) decreasing, (3) above the central line, or (4) below the
central line, a "run" has occurred and the process is said to be  "out of
control."  The system is seen to exhibit random behavior afterwards, so that
the early out-of-control condition may relate to plant startup causes.  Aside
from the early excursion into an out-of-control condition in the  X chart, both
Figures 2-3 and 2-4 show a process that is "in control."
     Control charts for the other potroom groups at ALUMAX could  be plotted
and would resemble those in Figures 2-3 and 2-4.  The key parameters for
establishing these charts are the mean, standard deviation, the central line,
UWL, and LWL for emissions from each group.  From these the warning and
control limits are constructed.  Table 5-5 lists these  key parameters for
possible use at ALUMAX.
     An important feature of the use of control charts  is that an
out-of-control situation generally does not mean that the NSPS emission level
(1.9 Ib F/T Al) has been exceeded.  It indicates that the emissions have
                                     2-15

-------
 exceeded  the  range  expected  by  random variation based on the past  history  of
 the plant operating procedures  and emission levels.  An out-of-control
 situation, or a  situation  in which the warning limits have been exceeded may
 require recertification by the  regulatory agency for a reduced performance
 test schedule.   Possible regulatory provisions such as this are summarized  in
 Section 2.6 below and are fully developed in Sections 5 and 6.

 2.6  REGULATORY  PROCEDURES OVERVIEW
     The ALUMAX model may be used for any potroom group whose monthly mean
 emissions are normally distributed, random variables.  The latter  implies that
 the monthly mean emissions are not autocorrelated.  Initial qualification of a
 potroom group for a reduced performance test schedule requires a minimum of 48
 consecutive months of performance testing to verify 1)  that the monthly mean
 emissions are not autocorrelated, and 2) they fit a normal  Gaussian frequency
 distribution.  If both criteria are met, the regulatory authority may decide
 on a performance test schedule based on their past performance.  An example
 set of quantitative criteria that might be used to qualify a potroom group for
 reduced monitoring frequency is offered in Table 2-1.  The probability of an
 exceedance value for a potroom group may be determined in Figure 2-2 as a
 function of X, the overall  monthly mean emissions,  and S-, the standard
 deviation of the monthly mean emissions, determined from the 48 months of
 testing.
     During the period of the reduced performance test schedule,  the potroom
 group should maintain two control charts, X and S , for performance test
 results.  Initially, the control chart parameters are based on the data
 gathered during the 48 months of operation needed to qualify the potroom group
 for reduced performance test schedule.   Central  lines and upper and lower
warning limits are identified for each chart according  to the methods
described in Section 5 and Appendix B.
     Whenever the performance test gives results outside the warning limits on
 any of the control  charts,  appropriate action must be taken by the plant
operating personnel.  The action recommended is  to look for any cause in the
plant that may have contributed to the result's  lying outside the warning
limits, and to perform an additional  performance test the next month.  The

                                     2-16

-------
purpose of these actions is for the regulatory agency (and the plant operating
personnel) to be able to make a judgement as to whether the violation of the
warning limit was caused by random variation or whether the overall plant
operating emission level has changed.  Procedures are outlined in Sections 5
and 6 for making such a judgement with a known probability (usually 95 percent
probability) of making the correct judgement.
     If the conclusion is reached based on a series of monthly performance
tests that the overall emission level of the potroom group has either
increased or decreased from the initial operating levels, the potroom group
must be recertified for the appropriate performance test schedule, using the
Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph Figure 2-2 and Table 2-1, and new control
chart parameters derived.

2.7  ADDITIONAL MONITORING TECHNIQUES
     The inherent weakness in monitoring fluoride emissions with the
techniques outlined above is that the regulatory authority must assume that
there is no change in operating or maintenance procedures that affect emission
rates in between performance tests.  If the potroom group is on an annual
performance test schedule, there is a risk that the overall emission level  may
have changed, or even that the standard may have been exceeded for several
months without detection.
     To help prevent such occurrences, it is suggested that maintenance
practices that reduce emissions be monitored on a daily or weekly basis.
Control chart theory as described for use with emission test data, may be used
with maintenance practices as well.  At least one additional plant operating
parameter should be monitored with control  charts on a continuing basis before
and after the potroom groups are given a reduced frequency performance test
schedule.  The additional parameter can be one or more of the normal routine
operating practices that are carried out.  For example,  ALUMAX inspects each
potline weekly to determine how many panels on each pot are damaged or
improperly fitted and need replacing, or tightened in place.  In addition,  the
vent hoods over each pot are inspected daily to verify that they are correctly
in place, and they have not been left retracted too long after an anode has
                                ?o
been replaced.   Records are kept   each week of the number of panels and the

                                     2-17

-------
 number of  hoods  that  need  adjustment or maintenance.  The results of  these
 panel and  hood inspection  reports give indications of the operating efficiency
 and performance  of the plant operating personnel.  The number of loose  and
 ill-fitting  panels and hoods also relates to fluoride emissions levels.
     Past  history of  hood  and panel inspections at ALUMAX or another  plant
 could be used to develop X and $x charts for each potroom with their
 appropriate  warning or control limits.  Violations of the limits on the hood
 and panel  inspection  control charts could indicate a change in normal
 operating  and maintenance practices at the plant which could affect emissions.
 For regulatory purposes, such additional control charts could be required to
 be used weekly to monitor ongoing operating and maintenance performances.  Any
 violation  of the control limits on these surrogate monitoring parameters could
 trigger additional performance tests in between the regularly scheduled
 performance  tests to  verify whether or not the potroom group is still in
 control  from the standpoint of their emissions level  and its variability.
     Such  a  regulatory requirement would give added assurance to the
 regulatory authority  that the potroom group emissions are not changing in
 between  regularly scheduled performance tests.   The additional  cost to the
 plant would  be much smaller than the savings gained on performance test cost
 on a reduced frequency schedule.

 2.8  EMISSION MODELS NOT FITTING ALUMAX MODEL
     Recapitulating the essential  features of the ALUMAX model  are:  1) the
 potroom group mean monthly emissions are normally distributed,  2)  the potroom
group monthly mean emissions are random variables,  and 3) the roof monitor and
dry scrubber emissions are independent of one another.  Should a potroom
group's  data not fit all  of these three requirements, some adjustments to the
ALUMAX model  should be made,  before a new potroom group should be  qualified
for reduced performance testing by the methods  recommended in earlier sections
of this  report.
     The simplest adjustment to make would be if the  roof monitor  monthly mean
emissions and the dry scrubber emissions displayed covariance.   This would
require  adding a covariance term to Equation 2-2.   The equation for variance
 (standard deviation squared)  for the potroom group would then read

                                     2-18

-------
               $x - $xl + $x2 + 2r Sxl Sx2'                         (2-3)

where r - the correlation coefficient of Xj and X2, and S-, is the standard
deviation of Xj and S-2 is the standard deviation of JL.
     The last term in Equation 2-3 accounts for the covariance of the  roof
monitor and dry scrubber monthly means.
     One S- has been calculated for a new potroom group from Equation  2-3, it
may be used with X, the overall mean, Figure 2-1, and Table 2-1, by the
regulatory authority to qualify the potroom group for a reduced performance
test schedule as indicated above.  No adjustment of the control chart
parameters is required from the control chart procedures detailed in Sections
5 and 6, and Appendix B because of the covariance of the roof monitor  and dry
scrubber emissions.
     If the potroom group emissions are not normally distributed, then a new
Probability-of-Exceedance graph is needed to replace Figure 2-2 (and 4-1).  If
the emissions are lognormally distributed, tabulations are available for that
distribution.  Other non-normal distributions may require a computer
simulation in order to calculate the probabilities for X and S-, so that a new
Probability-of-Exceedance graph can be constructed for qualifying the  potroom
group.
     Finally, if there is an autocorrelation structure to the data, i.e., the
potroom group monthly mean emissions are not random variables, then a  new
Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph (Figure 2-2) will be required.
Autocorrelation complicates the model to the point that the best way to
calculate the probability of an exceedance for a given X" and S-, is through
computer simulation.  No change would be required in the control chart
procedures outlined above or in Section 5 because of the autocorrelation
structure of the data.
     As a result of the analysis of the ALUMAX data, it is not thought likely,
however, that monthly mean emissions from a potroom group in a primary
aluminum plant would not meet the requirements needed to use the ALUMAX model
developed in this study.
                                     2-19

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                              3.0   DATA ANALYSIS

      The  analysis  of the  ALUMAX emission  data  is  discussed  in  this  section.
 Section 3.1  examines the  roof monitor  data  to  define  the  overall  means,
 standard  deviations  and other statistics  for each roof monitor separately
 and  for all  four monitors combined.  Annual monthly averages for  each  roof
 monitor are  plotted  to discern trends  and differences between  monitors.
 Section 3.2  examines the  dry  scrubber  data  in  a similar manner, except that
 after April  1982 only annual  performance  tests were reported for  1983  and
 1984.  The purpose of the analysis of  the dry  scrubber data was to  determine
 if there  were  significant differences  in  the operating characteristics
 (means, standard deviations,  etc.) between  dry scrubbers.
      Section 3.3 addresses the question of  the choice of  the data
 distribution to be used in the model.   It is necessary to determine whether
 the  emission data  are normally distributed, lognormally distributed, or
 follow some  other  frequency distribution.   Because the roof monitor data
 account for  about  90 percent  of the total emissions,  the  frequency
 distribution of the  roof  monitor emissions  will be used to develop  the
 model.  There  are  insufficient dry scrubber data  to test  adequately various
 frequency distributions for goodness-of-fit, therefore the dry scrubber
 emissions will be  assumed to  be normally  distributed.
      Section 3.4 explores the time series character of the data,  looking
 particularly for autocorrelation behavior.  Because th NSPS emission limit
 for  potroom  groups in primary aluminum plants is  based on the  sum of the
 emissions from roof  monitors  and dry scrubbers, the covariance of the
 monthly means for  these emission points was investigated.  The covariance of
 these two parameters  is analyzed and reported in  Section 3.5.
     Finally in Section 3.6 the character of the emissions from the ALUMAX
 plant is  summarized  and a  choice is made of how the data are to be treated
 in the proposed model.

3.1   ROOF MONITOR DATA
     The data base used in this study was  obtained from the Mount  Holly
                                  10                                 J
plant of ALUMAX of South  Carolina.  '    These data  are  provided  in  Tables A-l
                                      3-1

-------
 and  A-2  in  the  Appendix.   The  roof monitor data  are  shown  in  Figures  3-1
 through  3-4 for Roof  Monitors  1016,  101H, 103G,  and  103H,  respectively.   The
 data appear to  be  similar  in their average emission  levels, variability,  and
 sequential  behavior.
      Table  3-1  gives  summary statistics for all  four of the ALUMAX roof
 monitor  data grouped  together.  The  variable labeled "XBAR" is the monthly
 mean value  of three daily  determinations (occasionally only two daily
 readings were available for a  specific month).  Variable "SX" is the
 standard deviation of the  two  or three daily emissions for a given month.
 Both these  emission variables  carry  units of pound(s) of fluoride emissions
 per  ton of  aluminum produced.
      Statistics shown in Table 3-1 are the number of cases, the minimum, the
 maximum, the range, the mean, the standard deviation, the skewness, and the
 kurtosis.   Positive skewness measures a frequency distribution which
 exhibits a  "tail" to the right of the most frequent value which is longer
 than  the tail to the left of the most frequent value.  A lognonnal
 distribution for example would have a positive skewness,  usually greater
 than  2.0.  An approximately normal  distribution would have a skewness near
 zero.  Kurtosis, or the coefficient of kurtosis,  measures the peakedness of
 a distribution.   For a normal distribution the kurtosis has a value of 3.0.
 If the kurtosis exceeds 3,  the distribution  has longer tails than a normal
 distribution with the same variance;  if the  kurtosis is less than three, the
 distribution is more peaked than the normal  distribution  with the same
 variance.  For a lognormal  distribution9 the kurtosis is  a function of the
 standard deviation^ , the kurtosis ranges from 0.0 to 6.235 X 1027 as a
 ranges from 0 to 4.0.   A lognormal  distribution having a  standard deviation,
 equal 0.150 would have a kurtosis of 0.372;  if a equals 1.0 the kurtosis
would equal  110.94.
     While the skewness and kurtosis  statistics are,  in themselves,
 insufficient to test the data for normality,  or lognormality,  they can give
 such  information as:
      1.  Does the set approximate normal  (or lognormal) behavior?
     2.  Do two or more data samples  appear  to be approximately from the
         same population?
     3.  Are the data  skewed to the right  or to the left?
                                      3-2

-------
                                                EMI55K+IS - LBS FLUORIDE/TON ALUMINUM
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-------
ALUMAX MONTHLY AVERAGE EMIS-: .jf--
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Figure 3-2.   ALUMAX Monthly Average Emissions,  Roof Monitor 101H
                                3-4

-------
   ALL'1 MAX  MONTHLY  AVERAGE  EMI
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Figure 3-3.  ALUMAX Monthly Average Emissions, Roof Monitor 103G
                        3-5

-------
M
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Figure 3-4.  ALUMAX Monthly Average Emissions, Roof Monitor 103H

                        3-6

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TABLE 3-1.  SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR ROOF MONITORS
                      XBAR
SX
N of Cases
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Dev
Skewness
Kurtosis
220
0.33330
1.31330
0.98000
0.80938
0.17414
0.01942
0.21706
220
0.01530
0.52920
0.51390
0.14361
0.08298
1.03680
1.82004
                       3-7

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      Table  3-2  shows  statistics, computed for each roof monitor  separately.
 Roof  monitor  overall  means  range from 0.750 to 0.870 of pound  fluoride  per
 ton of  aluminum produced  (Ib  F/T AT) while the standard deviation mean  values
 range from  0.121 to 0.165 Ib  F/T Al.
      Further  detail is given  in Table A-3 in the Appendix, Section 6.0,  in
 which the ALUMAX roof monitor data  are further subdivided by roof monitor by
 year.   These  results  are summarized in Figures 3-5 through 3-8.  Figure  3-5
 shows roof  monitor annual averages  for Roof Monitors 101G and  101H, both of
 which are in  the same building at the Mount Holly plant.  The  overall means
 (from Table 3-2) are  also shown on the figures.   Note that the annual means
 for RM101H  are  significantly larger than those for RM101G.  The overall mean
 for RM101H  is about 14 percent higher than that of RM101G.  The annual means
 of the monthly  standard deviations for RM101G and 101H are shown in
 Figure 3-6.  No apparent trend is clear,  although the overall mean standard
 deviation for RM101H  is about 24 percent higher than the overall  mean for
 RM101G.
      Figure 3-7 shows roof monitor annual averages for RM103G and RM103H.
 Figure 3-8  shows the annual  averages of the monthly standard deviations.  The
 overall  means for RM103H are larger than the overall  means for RM103G (again
 about 14 percent for the overall  monthly means,  and 28 percent for the
 standard deviations).   The annual  averages for RM103H are again all  greater
 than the annual averages for RM103G for both the emissions and the standard
 deviations.
     To determine if there was a significant difference between the means of
 the roof monitors,  a one way analysis of variance was performed with
monitors as treatments.  The results are given in Table A-4 of the Appendix
 and show that there is a significant difference  between the mean values of
 the monitors, at less than the 0.001 level  of significance (i.e., >99.9%
probability).  The overall means of the roof monitor emissions were tested
by the least significant difference method,  or Isd method, to determine
which means differed from each other.3  The calculations are given in Table
A-5 in the Appendix and are summarized in Table  3-3.   The table also shows a
schematic plant layout for the Mount Holly Plant of ALUMAX,  showing the
relative locations  of the roof monitors and dry  scrubbers.  The paired
difference table shows differences  of the overall  monitor means and
                                      3-8

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                      TABLE 3-2.  SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR EACH ROOF MONITOR




THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR: RM$a = 101G        THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR: RMS =  101H




         TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:  56                          TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:  56

N of Cases
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Dev
Skewness
Kurtosis
XBAR
56
0.43940
1.15330
0.71400
0.76001
0.14596
0.26243
0.01560
SX
56
0.01970
0.31190
0.29220
0.13281
0.07367
0.95984
0.20925

N of Cases
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Dev
Skewness
Kurtosis
XBAR
56
0.56600
1.28500
0.71900
0.86961
0.86961
0.51151
0.60766'
SX
56
0.01990
0.32600
0.30610
0.16486
0.16486
0.40070
-0.71778
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR: RMS = 103G



         TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:  54
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR: RMS = 10.?K



         TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:  54

N of Cases
Mini mum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Dev
Skewness
Kurtosis
XBAR
54
0.33330
1.13000
0.79670
0.74987
0.020989
0.02584
-0.60669
SX
54
0.01530
0.44030
0.42500
0.12129
0.08647
1.24572
2.02579

N of Cases
Mini mum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Dev
Skewness
Kurtosis
XBAR
54
0.37000
1.31330
0.94330
0.85761
0.19465
-0.14520
0.47816
SX
54
0.03540
0.52920
0.49380
0.15511
0.08325
1.75156
6.06089

 *RM$ = 101G is the designation for ALUMAX Roof Monitor  101G.
                                     3-9

-------
Figure 3-5.   Roof Monitor Annual  Average,  Potline 101
                          3-10

-------
Figure 3-6.  Roof Monitor Annual  Average of Monthly Standard Deviations,
             Potline 101.
                                   3-11

-------
                                                MOMv rat
                                                       9.741?
Figure 3-7.   Roof Monitor Annual  Averages,  Potline 103
                          3-12

-------
Figure 3-8.
Roof Monitor Annual Averages of Monthly Standard Deviations
Potline 103.
                                   3-13

-------
             TABLE 3-3.  ROOF  MONITOR PAIRED COMPARISONS
               • oot Hooltor 101
                                 Moot Monitor lOIMv


1

1



N^X' PA<

Dry >oruk»or


Pot
|
lint




lino







	 -_,
L_ 	 ^_




oa


I

1





0



\
I
1
I
ry Serukhor
I
1
1
1
/
                 Potrooin Orono          Potroom droup

               Hoof Monitor 10»ON     *«•« Monitor 103H


1

1



^ Pot

Dry ••rifekor
i«aw


Pot
I I
Ino 1
1
1
1
1
1
1
11*4
	 ^F —
oa ^
I ,
Or
r

104
                                                 1I2I
                 Polrooa Or»«»
                                   Polroom Or»«»
              ROOF MONITOR PAIRED COMPARISONS
                  Paired Difference Table

101 G
101 H
103 G
103H
0.09760**
0.01200
0.10774**
103G
0.01014
0.11974**

101H
0.10960**


The Table  is  read as follows:

0.10774  is the difference between the mean emissions from Roof
Monitors 103H and 103G.  The double asterisk  indicates those
differences that are highly significant, i.e.,  the level of
significance  is less than 0.01  (probability >0.99).
                            3-14

-------
indicates which differences are significantly different from zero and which
are not.  The difference comparisons can be verified qualitatively by
reviewing the emission levels indicated in Figures 3-5 and 3-7.
     The results of these analyses suggest that the roof monitors should be
treated separately in the modeling phase of this study rather than attempting
to pool the data of all four monitors.

3.2  DRY SCRUBBER DATA
     Table 3-4 give summary statistics for all four dry scrubbers combined.
Note that the overall mean XBAR for the dry scrubber is less than one-tenth
that of the overall mean XBAR for the roof monitors.  The mean standard
deviation of the dry scrubber emissions data is about one-fifth that of the
roof monitor data.  The overall dry scrubber mean is 0.07443 Ib F/T Al
and the mean standard deviation is 0.02856 Ib F/T Al.  The data do not appear
to exhibit a consistent or significant skewness, and the kurtosis is near that
of a normal distribution (= 3.0 for the normal distribution).
     Table 3-5 gives statistics for each dry scrubber.  The means range from
0.046 to 0.101 Ib F/T Al, and the standard deviations calculated from the
daily emissions used for the monthly means range from 0.015 to 0.034 Ib F/T
Al.

      The paired difference table for dry scrubbers is shown below:
                            Paired Difference Table
162E
0.01319
0.05421**
0.03531*
162W
0.02212
0.01840
161E
0.04102*
      161W
      161E
      162W
The Table is read as follows:
     0.05421 is the difference in the overall mean emissions for dry
     scrubbers 161E and 162E.  The double asterisk indicates the difference
     to be highly significant at the 0.01 level (probability >99%).
     The single asterisk denotes a significance level at least 0.05
     (probability >95% but <99%).  No asterisk accompanying a difference
     indicates the difference is not significantly different from zero.

                                     3-15

-------
     The analysis of variance which is reported in Table A-6 in the appendix
indicates that there is a highly significant difference (P-0.004) in the mean
emissions between dry scrubbers.  Table A-7 gives calculations to show which
dry scrubbers differ.

3.3  DATA DISTRIBUTION
     A key consideration in developing a model  for predicting emissions from
potroom groups in primary aluminum plants is to determine the frequency
distribution of the data.   ALUMAX has asserted  that they believe the
emissions data to follow a lognormal distribution.
     The analysis given below for the roof monitors indicates that the roof
monitor data follow a normal distribution rather than a lognormal
distribution.  Much continuous emission data are lognormally distributed,
              TABLE 3-4.  SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR DRY SCRUBBERS
                                    XBAR
N of Cases
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Dev
Skewness
Kurtosis
72
0.01500
0.26270
0.24770
0.07443
0.05017
1.50491
2.36320
72
0.00150
0.18870
0.18720
0.02856
0.03559
2.24836
5.57309
                                    3-16

-------
                     TABLE 3-5.  SUMMARY STATISTICS FOR EACH DRY SCRUBBER
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR: DS$a = 161E



         TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:  19

N of Cases
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Dev
Skewness
Kurtosls
XBAR
19
0.01500
0.08200
0.06700
0.04634
0.02208
0.19063
-1.22424
SX
19
0.01500
0.06580
0.06430
0.01488
0.01843
2.19785
3.46346
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR: DS$= 161W



      TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:  19

N of Cases
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Oev
Skewness
Kurtosls
XBAR
19
0.01870
0.26270
0.24400
0.08736
0.06443
1.33261
1.17746
SX
19
0.00170
0.18870
0.18700
0.04161
0.04815
1.66006
2.51859
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR: DS$ = 162E



         TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:  17
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR: DS$ - 1621V



         TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:  17

N of Cases
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Oev
Skewness
Kurtosls
XBAR
17
0.03800
0.21970
0.18170
0.10055
0.05059
0.72971
-0.15357
SX
17
0.00300
0.14240
0.13940
0.03396
0.03747
1.75293
2.40400

N of Cases
Minimum
Maximum
Range
Mean
Standard Oev
Skewness
Kurtosls
XBAR
17
0.02070
0.16100
0.14030
0.06524
0.03797
1.18821
0.59005
SX
17
0.00450
0.10580
0.10130
0.02385
0.02731
2.05867
3.25029

aDS$ * 161E  1s the designation for ALUMAX Dry Scrubber 161E.
                                         3-17

-------
 however the ALUMAX data are monthly  averages  of  two  or  three  consecutive  days'
 testing.   The analyses  given below indicate the  roof monitor  data  to  be
 approximately normally  distributed.
      Figure 3-9a  is a probability plot  of  all the  roof  monitor data combined.
 The  ordinate is the expected normal  value  of  that  observation for  the  standard
 normal  distribution, with  a mean of  0 and  variance of 1, and  the abscissa  is
 the  monthly mean,  XBAR.   If the data are from a  normal  distribution, the
 plotted values will  lie  on  a straight line.   In  Figure  3-9a,  at an expected
 value of zero the  XBAR  value is seen to be about 0.8.   On a cumulative scale,
 the  zero on the ordinate of the diagram represents 50 percent of the distribu-
 tion, which is the median.   The upper plot therefore shows that approximately
 50 percent  of the  XBAR values are less than 0.8  Ib F/T  Al.  Table 3-1 gave the
 overall mean  X" - 0.80938.   For a normal distribution the mean and the median
 are  coincident and occur at  the most frequent value, or for a cumulative
 distribution  they  occur  at  the 50 percent probability level.  Asterisks on the
 plot  indicate that one datum occurs  at the point plotted while the numbers 2
 through 9  indicate the number of data occurring  at the  indicated point.
     An additional  plot  of  the data  which graphically tests the hypothesis of
 normality  is  given in Figure 3-9b.   The detrended normal probability plot
 shows the differences between the expected normal values and the standardized
 value of the  observation.   Note that the vast majority  of the monthly mean
 emissions data hover around  zero (±0.2).  If the data follow a normal  proba-
 bility  distribution exactly,  all the points would be plotted at "DEVIATION
 FROM EXPECTED VALUE" equal  to zero.
     Figure 3-10a  plots  the  roof monitor mean monthly emission data on the
 same scale  after having  transformed XBAR to the logarithm (base e), LXBAR.  If
 the data followed  a lognormal distribution, the curve would be linear.  A
 concave upward trend is  visually apparent in Figure 3-10a.   The deviation from
 the expected  value for LXBAR  (Figure 3-10b) and shows much more curvature.
 These graphical tools are evidence that the mean  monthly roof monitoring data
 are normally  distributed.
     Figures  3-11  and 3-12 show stem-and-leaf plots5 of  XBAR and  LXBAR,
 respectively.  The plots are essentially frequency histograms  rotated  90°
clockwise from the usual frequency diagrams.   The value  of a stem-and-leaf
display is  that actual  numerical  values  (to two significant  digits  past the
                                     3-18

-------
I-   -1
Q.
X
    •2


    -3
                                                           3**
                                                       22*3*
                                                   543*
                                               S5344
                                             399
                                         *976
                                       699
                   679
               2674
           #28 2
        **43
   *2 **
      0.2        0.4        0.6        0.8        1.0        1.2         1.4
                                        XBAR

       Figure 3-9a.  Normal  Probability Plot of Roof Monitor Monthly Means
Q.
X
   0.4
   0.2
   0.0
  -0.2
S-0.4
Q-O.6 •*•
  -0.8
      0.2
   *
 # *       *
   *   *2*23*6
                   953*4*2
           *  53994  353*3*   **
                            *  3  *
    #675                    ***
          2 *2 3   57959974
0.4
0.6
0.8
 XBAR
1.0
1.2
1.4
    Figure  3-9b.  Detrended Normal  Probability  Plot of Roof Monitor Monthly Means

                                     3-19

-------
     3 +•
 a.
 x
    -1
-
     3 .+
       — *•-
     -1.5
                                                                *
                                                                *
                                                            *   *
                                                              23
                                                            234
                                                         553
                                                       757
                                                      99
                                                    99
                                                399*
                                               >99
                                       #279
                                    »372
                               **33*
                          *2  **
                        **
                  -1.0
-0.5
 LXBAR
0.0
0.5
       Figure 3-10a.  Normal Probability Plot of Roof Monitor Monthly Means
   1.5 -t-
LU
   1.0
a.
2 0.5
i
   0.0
 °-0.5
                              *2
                             **
                              *                            3*   *
                               2***                  34524
                                  22223            959* *2     *
                                     *43     3**9993
                                        27999993
      •1.5

         Figure  3-10b.
                  -l.o
-0.5
 LXBAR
                                                         0.0
                                                                     0.
                   Detrended Normal  Probability  Plot of Room Monitor
                   Monthly Means
                                     3-20

-------
                STEM-AND-LEAF PLOT OF VARIABLE:           XBAR

              SMALLEST VALUE AT TOP OF PLOT IS:           0.333

                             3   37
                      ***OUTSIDE VALUES***
                             4   12233
                             4   89
                             5   013334
                             5   556688999
                             6   000003334
                             6   566666778888899
                             7 H 0000000011112223333334444
                             7   5555667777777888999
                             8 M 000000001112222222223444444
                             8   5555666667777778888999999
                             9 H 000000011222334
                             9   55557777777889
                            10   000122334
                            10   558
                            11   00011223
                            11   58
                      ***OUTSIDE VALUES***
                            12   89
                            13   1
Figure 3-11.  Monthly Mean Values of the Four Roof Monitors, Ib F/T AT


                                 3-21

-------
                STEM-AND-LEAF PLOT OF VARIABLE:         LXBAR

              SMALLEST VALUE AT TOP OF PLOT IS:        -1.099

                            -10   9
                             -9   9
                             -8   96632
                        ***OUTSIDE VALUES***
                             -7   2
                             -6   985
                             -6   3221
                             -5   9976
                             -5   442111000
                             -4   9555
                             -4   32110000
                             -3 H 9887777655555
                             -3   4444333221111110
                             -2 M 99988887766666555
                             -2   44332222221111100
                             -1   9999999997777766666555
                             -1 H 4443333332222111110000
                             -0   9999988877665
                             -0   4443332222221
                              0   000011234
                              0   5589
                              1   00111224
                              1   6
                              2
                              2   557
Figure 3-12.  Logarithm of the Monthly Means of the Four Roof Monitors


                                 3-22

-------
decimal) are given in the display.  The "stems" are the numbers in the
vertical column (3 through 13) representing XBAR from (0.3 to 1.3).  The
leaves are the numbers on the right of the empty space next to the stems and
represent the actual XBAR values.  For example in the first row at the top of
the plot "3  37" means that the smallest XBAR - 0.33 and the next larger
value of XBAR = 0.37.
     The locations of the median  (M) and the hinges (H) are indicated by the
M or H's in the area between the stem and leaves.  The median splits the
sorted or ordered data in half, and the hinges split each half once more.  M
is printed on the line which includes the actual value of the median, i.e.,
the median lies between 0.80 and 0.84.  H is printed on the stems containing
the hinges.  The "H-Spread" is the difference between the values of the two
hinges.  The "inner fences" are defined as follows:
     lower fence - lower hinge -  (1.5 X H-Spread)
     upper fence = upper hinge +  (1.5 X H-Spread)
Any values outside the inner fences are printed on separate lines and
separated from the inner values by a line of text: ***OUTSIDE VALUES***.
     Figure 3-11 shows the XBAR values to be approximately symmetrically
distributed about the median (or mean) value M.  Figure 3-12 shows the
logarithm of XBAR (LXBAR) to be skewed (a longer tail...) to the top or the
small values of LXBAR.  A lognormal distribution is skewed toward the larger
values of LXBAR which is opposite to the skew of Figure 3-12.  These figures
provide additional evidence that the normal distribution represents the roof
monitor average monthly emission data better than the lognormal distribution.
     Finally, XBAR and LXBAR were tested for goodness of fit using the
Kolmogorov D statistic.   The results of the test are given in Table 3-6 for
the combined data and by roof monitor and indicate that for Roof Monitors
101G, 101H, and 103G, there is no significant difference between the normal
and lognormal distributions.  For Roof Monitor 103H and the combined data,
however, the test indicates there is a significant difference between the
sample  and hypothesized distribution for the lognormal distribution.  The
computer printouts of the Kolmogorov D statistic tests are given in the
Appendix, Table A-8.  Table 3-6 also shows that for the combined roof monitor
data the Kolmogorov D test suggests that the overall roof monitor emissions
                                     3-23

-------
            TABLE 3-6.  KOLMOGOROV Da TEST FOR GOODNESS OF FITb
Roof Monitor XBARC
Combined Data n.s.
101G n.s.
101H n.s.
103G n.s.
103H n.s.
LXBARd
s.
n.s.
n.s.
n.s.
s.
 D is calculated as the maximum absolute difference between the hypothesized
cumulative distribution and the sample cumulative distribution over all  data
points.


 n.s. - indicates the Kolmogorov D statistic is not significantly large  to
        warrant rejection of the null  hypothesis, H  at a 0.05 significance
        level.                                     °


   s. - indicates D statistic to be significantly large; i.e., can reject
        HQ at a 0.05 significance level.


CHQ:  XBAR data fits a normal distribution.


 HQ:  LXBAR data fits a normal distribution.
                                    3-24

-------
data fit a normal distribution but do not fit a lognormal distribution.  The
conclusion drawn from the analyses given here is that the roof monitor data
fit a normal frequency distribution as well as or better than a lognormal
distribution.

3.4  TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
     To investigate the autocorrelation structure of the roof monitor data,
the autocorrelation functions (ACF) and the partial autocorrelation (PACF)
         4 7
functions '  were calculated and given in Tables A-9 through A-12 in the
Appendix.  Tables A-10 and A-ll show that the emissions data exhibit no
significant autocorrelation structure, whereas Tables A-9 and A-12 indicate a
very weak autocorrelation structure--the first order autocorrelation
coefficients, p,, equal 0.333 and 0.282, for roof monitors 101G and 103H,
respectively.  These values for the four roof monitors are so low as to
indicate that a  random model would be appropriate, i.e., no autocorrelation
structure should be incorporated into the model.  The autocorrelation
functions and partial autocorrelation functions were also calculated for the
monthly standard deviations.  The plots of ACF and PACF  for the monthly
standard deviations which are given in Tables A-13 through A-16 in the
Appendix show no autocorrelation whatsoever and suggest  that the standard
deviations are independent of time.
     As indicated earlier, there were an insufficient number of consecutive
readings of the  dry scrubber emission data to do a meaningful time series
analysis.  A minimum number of about 50 is recommended.   It will therefore
be assumed that  the dry scrubber emissions data are independent of time, and
normally distributed.  The fact that the roof monitor data were found not be
autocorrelated adds credence to this assumption.

3.5  COVARIANCE OF THE ROOF MONITOR AND DRY SCRUBBER DATA
     The analysis given above all point toward a random, time independent
model which will be discussed in Section 4 below.  Because the primary
aluminum NSPS specifies 1.9 Ib F/T Al as the maximum emission rate of
fluoride from a  potroom group, it is necessary to add the roof monitor
emissions to the dry scrubber emissions in order to obtain the emissions from
the potroom group.
                                     3-25

-------
     The sum of the monthly means of the roof monitor emissions and the
monthly means of the corresponding dry scrubbers will be defined as:

          X - Xj + X2,                                                  (3.!)
     where:
          X  = monthly mean emissions from a potroom group.
          Xj = monthly mean emissions from the roof monitor of the potroom
               group, and
          X2 * monthly mean emissions from the dry scrubber of the potroom
               group.
The estimate of the variance of the sum of the variables is:


           S'x ' $2xl + S2x2 + 2 r Sxl Sx2                               (3-2)
      where,

            2
           S -  = the estimate of the variance of x,

            2
           S -j  - the estimate of the variance of x,,
            2
           S x2  * the estimate of tne variance of x-,
           r    = the correlation coefficient of Xj and  JL,  and
           r S-j S-2 = the covariance between x,  and  x2.
      The purpose of this section is to determine if  there  exists  a
 significant correlation between the monthly mean roof monitor emissions  and
 the monthly mean dry scrubber emissions.   If there is insignificant
 correlation,  the covariance term in the calculation  of  the variance  of the
 total  monthly emissions will  be assumed equal  to zero.
      The calculations of the covariance matrices for roof monitor and  dry
 scrubber emissions in the same potroom group are given  in Table A-21 of  the
 Appendix.   The roof monitor variances,  the  dry scrubber  variances, their
 covariances,  and the coefficients  of correlation are listed  in Table 3-7.
 The data show that the covariance  of the  Roof Monitor 103H-Dry Scrubber  162E
                                     3-26

-------
TABLE 3-7.  VARIANCES AND COVARIANCES OF ROOM MONITOR AND DRY SCRUBBER EMISSIONS


Roof Monitor
Dry Scrubber
Pair
RM101G-DS161W
RM101H-DS161E
w RM103G-DS162W
i
™ RM103H-DS162E
ar = Sxl x2 / 
Variance
of X2,
2
Sx2
0.004151
0.000487
0.001442
0.002560

Covariance
of X1 X2,

Sxlx2
0.000675
0.000143
0.000278
0.004384

Coefficient3
of
Correlation,

r
0.06777
0.03909
0.04677
0.47375b


Number
of
Observations
19
19
17
17

 the value of r = 0.47375 is not significantly different   from zero based  on 15
 degrees of freedom

-------
 pair  is  apparently much  larger than the covariance of the other roof
 monitor-dry  scrubber pairs.  However, a statistical test of significance
 indicates  that  the coefficient of correlation for the Roof Monitor 103H-Dry
 Scrubber 162E pair is not significantly different from zero.
      The determination that none of the correlation coefficients between the
 roof  monitor-dry scrubber pairs within a potroom group is significantly
 different  from  zero supports the assumption, but does not guarantee, that
 within a potroom group the roof monitor - dry scrubber emissions are
 independent  of  one another.

 3.6   CHOICE  OF  DATA BASE
      To  summarize the results of the studies given in Sections 3.1 through
 3.5,  the following conclusions may be drawn:

      •    There is a significant difference between means of monthly roof
          monitor data.
      •    There is a significant difference between the means of monthly
          standard deviations of the roof monitor data.
      •    There is a significant difference between the means of the dry
          scrubber emissions.
      t    There is a significant difference between the monthly means and
          standard deviations of potroom groups.
      •    The roof monitor monthly means are normally distributed.
      •    The roof monitor monthly means and monthly standard deviations are
          independent of time.
      •    There is no significant correlation between the means of the
          roof monitors  and the dry scrubbers in  the same potroom group.

      In view of the results reported above it is  recommended that the proposed
model  simulate the potroom group emissions for each pair of roof monitors and
dry scrubbers separately.
                                     3-28

-------
                        4.0  PROPOSED EMISSIONS MODEL

     The data analysis results from Task 1 (see Section 3) indicate that the
probability of exceedance (of a 1.9 standard) for the Alumax plant can be
determined analytically as a function of X and S- for each potroom group.
                                                ^
An analytical determination of the probability of exceedance is appropriate
for the following reasons:

     1.   The monthly average emissions from the potroom groups exhibit
          insignificant autocorrelation; and
     2.   The monthly average emissions from the potroom groups are normally
          distributed.

4.1  EMISSIONS MODEL AND PROBABILITY-OF-AN-EXCEEDANCE RELATION
     The probability graph is independent of the potroom group and depends
only on the data's not being autocorrelated and their having a normal
distribution.  The emissions model for the ALUMAX data is developed below,
and the derivation and construction of the Probability-of-an-Exceedance
graph is explained.  The use of the Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph in
regulatory procedures is explained in Sections 5 and 6.
     The proposed statistical methodology for determining the probability of
exceedance vs. X and S- for each potroom group is based on the emission
characteristics derived for the ALUMAX data,  as follows:
     1.   Assume monthly average emissions from roof monitors,  denoted by
          Xj, are normally distributed.
     2.   Assume monthly average emissions from the dry scrubbers, denoted
          X2 are normally distributed.
     3.   Assume Xj and X^ are independently distributed.  Therefore,
          monthly mean emissions from a potroom group, X - X, + 5L, will  be
          normally distributed with mean,
               X - Xj + X2                                            (4-1)
                                     4-1

-------
 and variance,

      c2    -2   .  C2
      * x ~ 5 xl + b x2                                      (4-2)

 where:
      X    = monthly mean emissions from a potroom group,
      Xj   = monthly mean emissions from the roof monitor(s)  of the
             potroom group,
      X2   = monthly mean emissions from the dry scrubber(s)  of the
             potroom group,
      X    = overall  mean of the  monthly mean emissions  from  a  potroom
             group,
       2
      S -   = estimate of the variance  of the monthly mean  emissions from
             a potroom group,
       2
      S -j  = estimate of the variance  of the monthly roof  monitor  mean
             emission over a period of time,  and
      S -2  = estimate of the variance  of the monthly means emission of
             the dry  scrubber emissions  over the  same period  of  time  as
             SV
4.     The  probability  (Pr)  that  a  monthly average total emission  value,
       X,   will exceed  the standard of 1.9 Ib/ton aluminum can be
       calculated as  follows:


           Pr  (X > 1.9) » Pr
                                           ax
          Prf(Z) > 1=1^
where;      ^
     X  - monthly mean emission value from a potroom group
     u- » the true mean of the monthly mean emissions from a
          potroom group
                                4-2

-------
          a-  =  the  true  standard deviation  of  the monthly mean  emissions
           J\
                from a  potroom group
          Z   »  the  standard  normal random variable
          X   =  overall mean  of monthly mean emissions  from  a potroom group;
                an estimate of
          S-  =  the  standard  deviation of the monthly mean emissions from  a
                potroom group; an estimate of a-.
                                               A
     The probability of  Z greater than any  value, can  be determined from  a
table for the cumulative normal distribution function.8  Probabilities may
be calculated for any  value  of X and S- with the method described above.
                                      ^
     For example, suppose the overall mean, X  of a hypothetical potroom
group Y is 1.3, with S-  = 0.2.  Then graphically the normal distribution  can
be depicted as  follows:
     The probability of  any  monthly mean emission exceeding the 1.9 standard
would be calculated as follows:

     Pr (X >  1.9) = Pr (Z >  ((1.9-1.3J/0.2))
     Pr (Z >  3) - 0.0013.

     The probability value,  0.0013, is found in a table which provides the
probability of  Z being greater than any value  between  0 and 4.99.  (Some
tables may provide  probabilities of Z being less than  any value between
-4.99 and 0.  The probabilities are equivalent as a result of the
symmetrical properties of the normal  distribution.)

4.2  PROBABILITY-OF-AN-EXCEEDANCE GRAPH AND REQUIREMENTS FOR ITS USE
     After the  probabilities have been calculated over an appropriate range
of X and S- values, they can be plotted as in  Figure 4-1.  The abscissa
represents the  various X values, while the ordinate expresses the
probability of  a random  exceedance of the standard for any month.  Each
curve on the graph represents the various S- values as they relate to the X
                                           A
values and the  probabilities of exceedance.   In other words for a certain
pair of values, X and S-, 1) find X on the abscissa,  2) follow a straight
line up from the abscissa to where it intersects the appropriate curve for
the S- value and 3) follow a horizontal  line from that point of intersection
to the ordinate to find the probability of an exceedance.
                                     4-3

-------
0


1
•O
41
01


A


s
      .0001.=
«w           s=
•a

•8
 Vi
p-
     .00001
    .000001
   .0000001
                0.7
0.9        1.1       1.3         1.5        1.7


     X,  Monthly Mean Emissions, Ib F/T Al
    Figure  4-1.   Probability of an Exceedance


                                          4-4

-------
     Two horizontal lines are drawn on Figure 4-1 and labeled "ONE
EXCEEDANCE IN 10 YEARS," and "ONE EXCEEDANCE IN ONE YEAR."  The location of
these lines is calculated as follows.  In 10 years there would be 120
chances for an exceedance based on a monthly sampling schedule.  The
probability"of one exceedance in 10 years is 1 divided by 120, or 0.008333
which is the level for the line labeled "ONE EXCEEDANCE IN TEN YEARS."  For
the line labeled "ONE EXCEEDANCE IN ONE YEAR," the probability is 1 divided
by 12, or 0.0833.
     The X and S- values for the potroom groups of the AlUMAX plant are
                A
presented in Table 4-1 along with the normal Z variate and probability of an
exceedance P(Ex).
     The location of the potroom groups for the ALUMAX plant is well below
the probability of the ONE EXCEEDANCE IN 10 YEARS line.  In fact, only
potroom group 103H/162E has a probability that can be found in the range of
most cumulative normal probability tables.  Its probability of exceedance of
the standard for any month is 1.8 x 10" .  Potroom Gr.oup 103H/162E is
plotted on Figure 4-1.  The remaining three potroom groups have a
probability of exceedance less that 1X10  .  This means that by random
variation alone, at the ALUMAX plant one might expect that there would be no
more than one exceedance per 100,000 years.  It should be emphasized that
Figure 4-1 accounts for random variation only.  Figure 4-1 is not valid if:

     •    There  is equipment failure at the plant;
     •    The plant operating conditions and procedures change; or
     t    There  is a change in the regular maintenance and cleanup routines.
     The following requirements must be fulfilled before using Figure 4-1 to
provide probabilities of exceedance for a given potroom group's data:
     1.   A sufficient number of monthly observations must be available, no
          less than three years to identify the distributional properties
          and no less than four years to identify the existence of any auto
          correlation structure.  The analysis of the ALUMAX data has lead
          to the belief that perhaps random monthly mean observations would
          not exhibit significant autocorrelation structure for the same
          type primary aluminum potroom group as the ALUMAX facility.

                                     4-5

-------
 TABLE 4-1.   PROBABILITY OF AN EXCEEDANCE,  ALUMAX POTROOM GROUP.
POTROOM
GROUP
101G/161W
101H/161E
103G/162W
103H/162E

X
0.8473
0.9162
0.8070
0.9618
— •
Sx
0.1520
0.1340
0.2114
0.2024

Z
6.926
7.342
5.170
4.635

P(Ex)

-------
                         5.0  CONTROL CHART MONITORING

      The control  chart is the method proposed to monitor plant operating
 performance,  especially during periods of reduced performance test
 frequency,  to determine changes in plant operations which may affect
 emission levels.   Control chart theory and its application to the ALUMAX
 aluminum plant data are the subject of this section.  Limitations of the
 regulatory  use of the performance test control charts will also be
 discussed,  and a  possible method to overcome those limitations is proposed.

 5.1   CONTROL  CHART THEORY
      Knowledge of the behavior of chance variations is the foundation on
 which control-chart analysis rests.   If a group of data is studied and its
 variation conforms to a statistical  pattern that might reasonably be
 produced by chance causes,  then it is assumed that no special  assignable
 causes are  present.   The conditions  which produce this variation  are said to
 be  "in control,"  or "under  control."  They are under control  in the  sense
 that,  if chance causes alone are at  work,  then the amount and  character  of
 the  variation  may be predicted,  and  it is not possible to trace the
 variation of  a specific instance to  a particular cause.   On the other hand,
 if the variations in the data do not conform to  a pattern that  might
 reasonably  be  produced by chance causes,  then is  is  concluded  that one or
 more  assignable causes are  at work.   In  this  case,  the  conditions  producing
 the variation  are said to be  "out  of control."
     An  example of control  charts  is  given  in  Figure  5-1.  Set  numbers given
 in the  figure  refer  to sets of five  machined  product  specimens  each  which
were milled in  two groups, Group  I and Group  II.  Two control  charts  are
shown, one for  the average value, X, of a critical dimension on the
specimens for each set, and the other for their standard deviation,  S.
Central lines for each chart  are shown as well as the upper control  limits,
UCL,  and lower control limits, LCL.  The upper and lower
                                    5-1

-------
                       1
           —Y-
                       "X

trA4&-
'_. j__i__a - 4~£ . f- i
                                   /2 -
           ;    ^gf Mi
          _ r_i_i. - -t
     Figure 5-1.  Control Charts for % and s


                  5-2

-------
control limits are set at the 3-sigma limits above and below the  central
line, and are based on the variability of the specimens  in each set number
and on the number of specimens per set.  If an average,  X, or  standard
deviation, S, falls outside the control limits, the milling process is out
of control.  Sets 3 and 5 for Group  I, and Sets 6, 8, and 9 are seen to be
outside the control limits, so the manufacturing process for Groups I and II
are both out of control.  In addition to the fact that the points fall
outside the control limits on the X  chart, the pattern of the  averages for
each group of sets does not exhibit  random variation.  For each group the
averages begin high and then successively decrease to an out-of-control
condition and then rise again.  This pattern is a second indication of an
out-of-control process.  Examination of the S control chart for the same
data groups, gives no indication that the standard deviation (the
variability) is out-of-control.  While the X control chart in  this example
shows an out-of-control condition, it does not indicate the cause of the
condition.  P.ersons familiar with the manufacturing process -- a milling
process in this case -- would have to examine the entire procedure to make a
judgement on an assignable cause for the condition.
     An example of a control chart for a primary aluminum potroom group is
given in Figure 5-2 for the ALUMAX Potroom Group containing Roof Monitor
101G and Dry Scrubber 161W.  Figure  5-2 is the X chart for monthly mean
emissions for the potroom group, plotted as a function of time.  Each month,
three measurements are taken and the average of those measurements is
plotted on the figure.  An S control chart, plotting the standard deviations
of the three measurements each month versus time may also be prepared, but
is not given here.  The overall mean emission is plotted as the central line
at about 0.849 Ib F/T Al.  Upper and lower control limits, UCL and LCL,
respectively are plotted at 1.140 and 0.554 Ib F/T Al.  Figure 5-2 shows
out-of-control points to have occurred in January 1981 and August 1982.  The
system recovered in each case by having the succeeding month's X fall  within
the control limits.  Comparing Figures 5-1 and 5-2 emphasizes the random
nature of the monthly mean emission which is clearly seen in the increasing
and decreasing values of X in succeeding months as seen in Figure 5-2.
There is one additional out-of-control  criterion to be seen in Figure  5-2.
                                    5-3

-------
Figure 5-2.  Monthly Mean Emissions for ALUMAX Potroom Group 101G/161W.
                                    5-4

-------
 Nine consecutive points from December 1981  through  August  1982  lie below the
 central  line.   Whenever seven or more points  lie  above or  below the central
 line,  an out-of-control  condition exist  for any control  chart.
      As  indicated in  the previous example,  an out-of-control  condition
 generally indicates that there is an  assignable cause,  or  an  identifiable
 reason,  for the condition.   No direct indication  is given  by  the control
 chart  what the  reason is for the process' being out-of-control.   The plant
 management and  operating personnel will  need  to examine  every step of the
 day-to-day operation  to discover the  assignable cause.   Notice  that the
 out-of-control  condition in  August 1983  indicated potroom  group  emissions
 about  1.24 Ib F/T Al,  still  well  below the  emission limit  of  1.9 Ib F/T  AT.
 Thus  an  out-of-control  condition does not necessarily  mean the  potroom group
 is  exceeding the emission limit.
     The  type of control chart described above is useful for  monitoring  the
 performance of  a process to  determine when  the process is  in  control.  For
 purposes  of regulatory monitoring a process,  especially during periods of
 reduced  performance a second type of  control  chart, described below in
 Section  5.2, is  ideally  suited.

 5.2  CONTROL CHART FOR REGULATORY USE
     As described  in more detail  in Section 6, when a potroom group  is
 petitioning for  a reduced performance  test  schedule, it presents a  history
 of emission performance  for  a  period  of at  least 48 consecutive months of
 sampling.  If the data analysis  shows  no autocorrelation, and the data are
 normally distributed then an overall  mean,  X,  and the standard deviation  of
 the monthly means, S-, and the  standard deviation of the monthly means,  So,
 are calculated to locate the potroom groups on Figure 4-1.   Depending on  the
 zone the potroom group is located in,   the regulatory authority may  qualify
 the potroom group for a  less-frequent-than-monthly performance test schedule.
     On the less frequent performance  test schedule, e.g. annual frequency,
 the regulatory agency needs to be sure that if an overall change occurs  in
the emission level of the potroom group,  that  change is detected as soon  as
possible.
                                    5-5

-------
      The control  charts best suited for regulatory use are one in which
 there is control  with respect to given standards,  X  and 
-------
5.3  ALUMAX CONTROL CHARTS
     Emissions data for potroom groups of the Mount Holly plant of ALUMAX of
South Carolina, provide the basis for control charts.  These data are listed
in Tables 5-1 through 5-4.  Potroom Group 101G/161W was designated as the
potroom group which contained Roof Monitor 101G and Dry Scrubber 161W.  XBAR
values in the table record the monthly mean emissions.  For roof monitors
the data were provided for each month from January 1981 (or March 1981)
through August 1985.
     For the dry scrubbers, monthly readings were given through about
May 1985, and thereafter, only annually.  For example, Table 5-1 shows
values of XBAR for Dry Scrubber 161W derived from measured values from
January 1981 through May 1982, then constant values of 0.0862 Ib F/T Al are
shown from June 1982 through August 1983.  The value for September 1983 is
derived from measured emission values.  From October 1983 through
September 1984, another constant value of 0.0889 is recorded.  For
October 1984, the value 0.0603 is the measured value for 1984, followed by
the constant values of 0.0874 from November 1984 through August 1985.
Consistent with regulatory requirements, measured monthly mean dry scrubber
emission values were terminated after May 1982.  Thereafter, only annual
measurements were taken -- September for 1983 and October for 1984.  For
purposes of constructing the control charts for the potroom group emissions
for the months for which dry scrubber readings were not taken, the overall
dry scrubber average values up to that time were used.
     Thus for the months from June 1982 through August 1983, 0.0862 was
assumed to be the emission from Dry Scrubber 161W and was the calculated
average emission for the data from January 1981 through May 1982.  For the
period from October 1983 through September 1984, 0.0889 was assumed to be
the emission from Dry Scrubber 161W, and was the mean of dry scrubber
emission data from January 1981 through May 1982 plus September 1983.
Similarly, the value 0.0874 for the period from November 1984 through
August 1985 was the mean of the measured Dry Scrubber 161W values from
January 1981 through May 1982, plus September 1983 and October 1984.
                                    5-7

-------
Roof Dry Potroom
Monitor Scrubber Group
101-G 161-W 101G/161W
Date
01/81
02/81
03/81
04/81
05/81
06/81
07/81
08/81
09/81
10/81
11/81
12/81
01/82
02/82
03/82
04/82
05/82
06/82
07/82
08/82
09/82
10/82
11/82
12/82
01/83
02/83
03/83
04/83
05/83
06/83
07/83
08/83
09/83
10/83
11/83
12/83
01/84
02/84
03/84
04/84
05/84
06/84
07/84
08/84
09/84
10/84
11/84
12/84
01/85
02/85
03/85
04/85
05/85
06/85
07/85
08/85
Average
XBAR
0.6053
0.7167
0.7370
0.8010
0.8473
1.0200
1.0100
0.8267
0.7267
0.8867
0.9060
0.7320
0.4393
0.5170
0.7700
0.7033
0.6867
0.7467
0.6333
0.7167
0.9700
0.7667
0.6467
0.8500
0.6833
0.4833
0.7000
0.5500
0.8200
1.0300
0.8467
1.1533
0.7967
0.9533
0.8433
0.6600
0.8000
0.7700
0.8267
0.8600
0.7000
0.6967
0.6700
0.9033
0.7333
0.9900
0.7767
0.5367
0.5967
0.7733
0.6100
0.5967
0.6367
0.7167
0.6650
0.9203

XBAR
0.0580
0.0200
0.0853
0.0187
0.1523
0.2627
0.0727
0.0737
0.0873
0.0553
0.0500
0.0410
0.0753
0.2033
0.0210
0.0517
0.1363
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.0862
0.1350
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0889
0.0603
0.0874
0.0874
0.0874
0.0874
0.0874
0.0874
0.0874
0.0874
0.0874
0.0874

XBAR
0.6633
0.7367
0.8223
0.8197
0.9996
1.2827
1.0827
0.9004
0.8140
0.9420
0.9560
0.7730
0.5146
0.7203
0.7910
0.7550
0.8230
0.8329
0.7195
0.8029
1.0562-
0.8529
0.7329
0.9362
0.7695
0.5695
0.7862
0.6362
0.9062
1.1162
0.9329
1.2395
0.9317
1.0422
0.9322
0.7489
0.8889
0.8589
0.9156
0.9489
0.7889
0.7856
0.7589
0.9922
0.8222
1.0503
0.8641
0.6241
0.6841
0.3607
0.6974
0.6841
0.7241
0.8041
0.7524
1.0077
0.8473
Roof Dry Potroom Potroom
Monitor Scrubber Group Group
101-G 161-W 101G/161W 101G/161W
STO DEV STD DEV VARIANCE
0.1924
0.0646
0.0545
0.2296
0.1562
0.1453
0.0872
0.0814
0.0902
0.0907
0.1975
0.2533
0.1513
0.0197
0.2425
0.0945
0.0651
0.1553
0.1692
0.1861
0.1114
0.1155
0.1001
0.1442
0.1193
0.0929
0.1054
0.1345
0.0700
0.2706
0.0451
0.1234
0.1662
0.3027
0.1234
0.3119
0.0964
0.1082
0.1069
0.1114'
0.1127
0.0751
0.1480
0.3073
0.1266
0.0624
0.0351
0.0551
0.1102
0.2991
0.0608
0.1041
0.2219
0.1595
0.0358
0.0676

0.0485 0.03937001
0.0017 0.00417605
0.1037 0.01372394
0.0032 0.05272640
0.1887 0.06000613
0.0931 0.02977970
0.0337 0.00873953
0.0064 0.00666692
0.0186 0.00848200
0.0274 0.00897725
0.0107 0.03912074
0.0053 0.06418898
0.0192 0.02326033
0.0604 0.00403625
0.0026 0.05881301
0.0110 0.00905125
0.0667 0.00868690
0.0634 0.02813765
0.0634 0.03264820
0.0634 0.03865277
0.0634 0.01642952
0.0634 0.01735981
0.0634 0.01403957
0.0634 0.02481320
0.0634 0.01825205
0.0634 0.01264997
0.0634 0.01512872
0.0634 0.02210981
0.0634 0.00891956
0.0634 0.07724392
0.0634 0.00605357
0.0634 0.01924712
0.0780 0.03370644
0.0643 0.09576178
0.0643 0.01936205
0.0643 0.10141610
0.0643 0.01342745
0.0643 0.01584173
0.0643 0.01556210
0.0643 0.01654445
0.0643 0.01683578
0.0643 0.00977450
0.0643 0.02603849
0.0643 0.09856778
0.0643 0.02016205
0.0117 0.00403065
0.0627 0.00516330
0.0627 0.00696730
0.0627 0.01607533
0.0627 0.09339210
0.0627 0.00762793
0.0627 0.01476810
0.0627 0.05317090
0.0627 0.02937154
0.0627 0.00521293
0.0627 0.00850105

STD DEV
0.19841
0.06462
0.11713
0.22962
0.24495
0.17256
0.09349
0.08165
0.09209
0.09475
0.19778
0.25334
0.15251
0.06353
0.24251
0.09514
0.09320
0.16774
0.18068
0.19659
0.12816
0.13174
0.11849
0.15752
0.13510
0.11246
0.12299
0.14868
0.09443
0.27792
0.07780
0.13873
0.18359
0.30943
0.13915
0.31844
0.11586
0.12585
0.12474
0.12863
0.12975
0.09886
0.16136
0.31395
0.14198
0.06348
0.07185
0.08346
0.12678
0.30559
0.08734
0.12151
0.23059
0.17139
0.07220
0.09219
0.14990
TABLE 5-1.  EMISSIONS DATA FOR ALUMAX POTROOM GROUP 101G/161W, LB F/T Al
                                    5-8

-------

Date
01/81
02/81
03/81
04/81
05/81
06/81
07/81
08/81
09/81
10/81
11/81
12/81
01/82
02/82
03/82
04/82
05/82
06/82
07/82
08/82
09/82
10/82
11/82
12/82
01/83
02/83
03/83
04/83
05/83
06/83
07/83
08/83
09/83
10/83
11/83
12/83
01/84
02/84
03/84
04/84
05/84
06/84
07/84
08/84
09/84
10/84
11/84
12/84
01/85
02/85
03/85
04/85
05/85
06/85
07/85
08/85
Average
Roof
Monitor
101-H
X8AR
0.6740
1.2850
0.8500
0.9740
0.7500
1.1333
0.8933
0.6833
0.8700
0.9133
0.8007
0.8070
0.5660
1.0337
0.9200
0.8500
0.7867
0.7833
0.8067
0.8200
1.1033
0.9367
0.7700
0.8833
0.7833
0.8533
0.7200
0.6867
0.9500
0.9067
0.9800
1.0433
0.8233
0.8167
0.8900
0.8367
0.8933
0.8200
0.8033
0.8767
0.7633
0.8400
0.7467
1.0067
0.7900
0.9700
1.0033
0.9733
1.0567
0.7033
0.3600
0.7000
1.0467
0.9277
1.0253
0.7073

Dry F
Scrubber C
161-E ]
XBAR
0.0200
0.0350
0.0173
0.0333
0.9820
0.0737
0.0623
0.0810
0.0703
0.0417
0.0367
0.0697
0.0187
0.0397
0.0150
0.0303
0.0430
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0453
0.0537
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0457
0.0570
0.0463
0.0463
0.0463
0.0463
0.0463
0.0463
0.0463
0.0463
0.0874
0.0463

'otroom
!roup
L01H/161E
XBAR
0.6940
1.3200
0.8673
1.0073
0.8320
1.2070
0.9556
0.7643
0.9403
0.9550
0.8374
0.8767
0.5847
1.0734
0.9350
0.8803
0.8297
0.8286
0.8520
0.8653
1.1486
0.9820
0.8153
0.9286
0.8286
0.8986
0.7653
0.7320
0.9953
0.9520
1.0253
1.0886
0.8770
0.8624
0.9357
0.8824
0.9390
0.8657
0.8490
0.9224
0.8090
0.8857
0.7924
1.0524
0.8357
1.0270
1.0496
1.0196
1 . 1030
0.7496
0.9063
0.7463
1.0930
0.9740
1.1127
0.7536
0.9162
Roof
Monitor
101-H
STD OEV
0.1216
0.3234
0.1036
0.1785
0.3219
0.1601
0.2223
0.1069
0.1808
0.1115
0.1398
0.1236
0.0666
0.0199
0.2778
0.0436
0.1222
0.1582
0.2098
0.0265
0.1168
0.1380
0.1323
0.1357
0.1350
0.1401
0.2931
0.0950
0.1908
0.1115
0.0520
0.1850
0.1102
0.1537
0.0624
0.1041
0.2003
0.3260
0.1429
0.2970
0.1701
0.2338
0.0569
0.1060
0.2718
0.2600
0.1518
0.2775
0.3252
0.2710
0.2651
0.1311
0.1595
0.1300
0.2400
0.0405

Dry Potroom
Scrubber Group
161-E 101H/161E
STD DEV VARIANCE
0.0035 0.01479881
0.0122 0.10473640
0.0031 0.01074257
0.0153 0.03209634
0.0641 0.10772842
0.0178 0.02594885
0.0102 0.04952133
0.0225 0.01193386
0.0078 0.03274948
0.0047 0.01245434
0.0095 0.01963429
0.0101 0.01537897
0.0015 0.00443781
0.0074 0.00045077
0.0020 0.07717684
0.0076 0.00195872
0.0095 0.01502309
0.0187 0.02537693
0.0187 0.04436573
0.0187 0.00105194
0.0187 0.01399193
0.0187 0.01939369
0.0187 0.01785298
0.0187 0.01876418
0.0187 0.01857469
0.0187 0.01997770
0.0187 0.08625730
0.0187 0.00937469
0.0187 0.03675433
0.0187 0.01278194
0.0187 0.00305369
0.0187 0.03457469
0.0081 0.01220965
0.0182 0.02395493
0.0182 0.00422500
0.0182 0.01116805
0.0182 0.04045133
0.0182 0.10660724
0.0182 0.02075165
0.0182 0.08854024
0.0182 0.02926525
0.0182 0.05499368
0.0182 0.00356885
0.0182 0.01156724
0.0182 0.07420648
0.0658 0.07192964
0.0233 0.02358613
0.0233 0.07754914
0.0233 0.10629793
0.0233 0.07398389
0.0233 0.07082090
0.0233 0.01773010
0.0233 0.02598314
0.0233 0.01744289
0.0233 0.05814289
0.0233 0.00218314

Potroom
Group
101H/161E
STD DEV
0.12165
0.32361
0.10364
0.17915
0.32821
0.16108
0.22252
0.10924
0.18095
0.11160
0.14011
0.12400
0.06661
0.02123
0.27781
0.04425
0.12256
0.15929
0.21064
0.03243
0.11828
0.13924
0.13361
0.13696
0.13628
0.14133
0.29369
0.09682
0.19170
0.11305
0.05526
0.18594
0.11049
0.15477
0.06500
0.10568
0.20113
0.32650
0.14404
0.29757
0.17108
0.23452
0.05974
0.10754
0.27242
0.26817
0.15356
0.27848
0.32601
0.27201
0.26612
0.13314
0.16118
0.13207
0.24113
0.04672
0.16628
TABLE 5-2.  EMISSIONS DATA FOR ALUMAX POTROOM GROUP 101H/161E, LB F/T AT.
                                    5-9

-------
Roof Dry Potroom
Monitor Scrubber Group
103-G 162-W 103G/162W
Date
03/81
04/81
05/81
06/81
07/81
08/81
09/81
10/81
11/81
12/81
01/82
02/82
03/82
04/82
05/82
06/82
07/82
08/82
09/82
10/82
11/82
12/82
01/83
02/83
03/83
04/83
05/83
06/83
07/83
08/83
09/83
10/83
11/83
12/83
01/84
02/84
03/84
04/84
05/84
06/84
07/84
08/84
09/84
10/84
11/84
12/84
01/85
02/85
03/85
04/85
05/85
06/85
07/85
08/85
Average
XBAR
0.5430
0.9405
0.5933
0.5800
0.5800
0.7067
0.8620
0.7590
0.7953
0.0280
0.6323
0.7483
0.3333
0.7500
0.9200
0.9000
0.6567
0.8100
0.5033
0.9067
0.7333
0.4967
0.5367
1.0033
0.5633
0.7067
0.4333
1.1200
0.8433
1.1167
0.6000
0.8000
0.9300
0.8867
0.7300
0.5500
0.7033
0.9267
0.8167
0.9533
0.9533
0.7300
0.6667
0.6033
0.6633
0.9800
0.4100
0.7167
0.7300
0.6367
1.1300
0.9067
0.9410
0.9237

XBAR
0.0207
0.0560
0.0910
0.1610
0.0657
0.0590
0.0797
0.1263
0.0493
0.0410
0.1137
0.0450
0.0290
0.0430
0.0493
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0678
0.0473
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0665
0.0450
0.0652
0.0652
0.0652
0.0652
0.0652
0.0652
0.06S2
0.0652
0.0652
0.0652

XBAR
0.5637
0.9965
0.6843
0.7410
0.6457
0.7657
0.9417
0.8853
0.8446
0.0690
0.7460
0.7933
0.3623
0.7930
0.9693
0.9678 .
0.7245
0.8778
0.5711
0.9745
0.8011
0.5645
0.6045
1.0711
0.6311
0.7745
0.5011
1,1878
0.9111
1.1845
0.6678
0.8473
0.9965
0.9532
0.7965
0.6165
0.7698
0.9932
0.8832
1.0198
1.0198
0.7965
0.7332
0.6483
0.7285
1.0452
0.4752
0.7819
0.7952
0.7019
1.1952
0.9719
1.0062
0.9889
0.8070
Roof Dry Potroom Potroom
Monitor Scrubber Group Group
103-G 162-W 103G/162W 103G/162W
STO DEV STD OEV VARIANCE
0.0459
0.0771
0.2219
0.0721
0.0954
0.2434
0.1231
0.1919
0.0979
0.0115
0.1429
0.2008
0.0551
0.0900
0.0500
0.4403
0.0252
0.1442
0.0252
0.3179
0.0306
0.1537
0.2434
0.2318
0.0551
0.0950
0.0153
0.0819
0.1701
0.2914
0.1229
0.0700
0.0173
0.1815
0.1179
0.0200
0.0723
0.1804
0.1833
0.0231
0.1419
0.0173
0.0666
0.1412
0.1531
0.0436
0.1493
0.1050
0.1113
0.2194
0.0854
0.0493
0.0358
0.0510

0.0045 0.00212706
0.0390 0.00746541
0.0148 0.04945865
0.0746 0.01076357
0.0163 0.00936685
0.0098 0.05933960
0.0204 0.01556977
0.1058 0.04801925
0.0059 0.00961922
0.0053 0.00016034
0.0359 0.02170922
0.0066 0.04036420
0.0060 0.00307201
0.0166 0.00837556
0.0093 0.00258649
0.0376 0.19527785
0.0376 0.00204880
0.0376 0.02220740
0.0376 0.00204880
0.0376 0.10247417
0.0376 0.00235012
0.0376 0.02503745
0.0376 0.06065732
0.0376 0.05514500
0.0376 0.00444.977
0.0376 0.01043876
0.0376 0.00164785
0.0376 0.00812137
0.0376 0.03034777
0.0376 0.08632772
0.0376 0.01651817
0.0123 0.00505129
0.0365 0.00163154
0.0365 0.03427450
0.0365 0.01523266
0.0365 0.00173225
0.0365 0.00655954
0.0365 0.03387641
0.0365 0.03493114
0.0365 0.00186586
0.0365 0.02146786
0.0365 0.00163154
0.0365 0.00576781
0.0161 0.02019665
0.0356 0.02470697
0.0356 0.00316832
0.0356 0.02355785
0.0356 0.01229236
0.0356 0.01365505
0.0356 0.04940372
0.0356 0.00856052
0.0356 0.00369785
0.0356 0.00254900
0.0356 0.00386836

STD DEV
0.04612
0.08639
0.22239
0.10374
0.09678
0.24358
0.12478
0.21912
0.09807
0.01266
0.14734
0.20090
0.05542
0.09151
0.05085
0.44188
0.04526
0.14903
0.04526
0.32010
0.04848
0.15823
0.24630
0.23482
0.06671
0.10216
0.04059
0.09012
0.17420
0.29381
0.12851
0.07106
0.04039
0.18512
0.12341
0.04161
0.08099
0.18404
0.18689
0.04319
0.14651
0.04039
0.07594
0.14211
0.15717
0.05628
0.15347
0.11086
0.11685
0.22226
0.09252
0.06080
0.05048
0.06219
0.12647
TABLE 5-3.  EMISSIONS DATA FOR ALUMAX POTROOM GROUP 103-G/162W, LB F/T AT
                                    5-10

-------
Roof Dry Potroom
Monitor Scrubber Group
103-H 162-E 103H/162E
Date
03/81
04/81
05/81
06/81
07/81
08/81
09/81
10/81
11/81
12/81
01/82
02/82
03/82
04/82
05/82
06/82
07/82
08/82
09/82
10/82
11/82
12/82
01/83
02/83
03/83
04/83
05/83
06/83
07/83
08/83
09/83
10/83
11/83
12/83
01/84
02/84
03/84
04/84
05/84
06/84
07/84
08/84
09/84
10/84
11/84
12/84
01/85
02/85
03/85
04/85
05/85
06/85
07/85
08/85
Average
XBAR •
1.1287
0.8043
1.2900
1.0867
1.0567
0.8400
1.1057
0.6680
0.9750
0.8937
0.8230
0.8710
0.6033
0.7733
0.8967
0.8700
1.1833
1.1167
1.0200
0.7100
0.9033
0.4200
0.3700
0.8700
1.1067
0.8200
0.8933
0.8600
0.9733
0.7500
0.9067
0.6867
0.6667
0.7700
0.6900
0.5967
0.8633
0.9700
0.9167
0.8233
0.8867
1.3133
0.8700
0.7467
0.8233
0.7067
0.4200
0.6367
0.9300
0.7933
0.9033
0.9520
0.9345
0.9217

XBAR
0.0797
0.0380
0.1653
0.1623
0.1000
0.2197
0.1420
0.1240
0.1150
0.0480
0.0600
0.1017
0.0497
0.0687
0.1143
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.1059
0.0443
0.1020
0.1020
0.1020
0.1020
0.1020
0.1020
0.1020
0.1020
0.1020
0.1020
0.0767
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006
0.1006

XBAR
1.2084
0.8423
1.4553
1.2490
1.1567
1.0597
1.2477
0.7920
1.0900
0.9417
0.8830
0.9727
0.6530
0.8420
1.0110
0.9759
1.2892
1.2226
1.1259
0.8159
1.0092
0.5259
0.4759
0.9759
1.2126
0.9259
0.9992
0.9659
1.0792
0.8559
1.0126
0.7310
0.7687
0.8720
0.7920
0.6987
0.9653
1.0720
1.0187
0.9253
0.9887
1.4153
0.9467
0.8473
0.9239
0.8073
0.5206
0.7373
1.0306
0.8939
1.0039
1.0526
1.0351
1.0223
0.9618
Roof Dry
Monitor Scrubber
103-H 162-E
STD
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
DEV STD
1382
1816
1493
0404
0551
0400
2626
0354
1202
2619
2066
2195
1250
0862
1935
1758
2183
2150
1562
1345
2021
1709
1249
1931
5292
0866
1457
0800
1595
0964
0473
1266
0513
1952
1136
1531
2458
3516
1626
1250
0643
1401
1803
2060
1739
1210
0794
0902
1819
0833
0.1767
0.
0.
1911
2072
0.1045


0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
DEV
0649
0040
0352
0470
0078
1424
0985
0201
0229
0030
0092
0341
0092
0127
0327
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0524
0047
0508
0508
0508
0508
0508
0508
0508
0508
0508
0508
0290
0498
0498
0498
0498
0498
0498
0.0498
0.0498
0.
0.
0.

0498
0498
0498

Potroom Potroom
Group Group
103H/162E 103H/162E
VARIANCE
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
02331125
03299456
02352953
00384116
00309685
02187776
07866101
00165717
01497245
06860061
04276820
04934306
01570964
00759173
03851154
03365140
05040065
04897076
02714420
02083601
04359017
03195257
01834577
04003337
28279840
01024532
02397425
00914576
02818601
01203872
00498305
01604965
00521233
04068368
01548560
02602025
06299828
12620320
02901940
01820564
00671513
02220865
03334909
04491604
03272125
01712104
00878440
0.01061608
0.03556765
0.00941893
0.03370293
0.03899925
0.04541188
0.01340029


STD DEV
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.15268
.18164
.15338
.06197
.05564
.14791
.28046
.04070
.12235
.26192
.20680
.22212
.12534
.08712
.19624
.18343
.22449
.22128
.16475
.14435
.20879
.17874
.13544
.20008
.53179
.10121
.15483
.09563
.16788
.10972
.07058
.12669
.07219
.20169
.12444
.16129
.25100
.35526
.17035
.13492
.08195
. 14903
.18261
.21192
. 18088
.13085
.09372
.10303
.18858
.09705
.18358
.19748
.21309
.11576
.16512
TABLE 5-4.  EMISSIONS DATA FOR ALUMAX POTROOM GROUP 103H/162E, LB F/T Al
                                    5-11

-------
     As  indicated  in the model proposed in Section 4, the monthly mean
 potroom  group emissions, X, equal the sum of the roof monitor emissions X,
 and the  dry  scrubber emissions.  That is:
     Similar procedures were employed to estimate the monthly standard
deviations of the dry scrubbers for those months for which performance tests
were not conducted.  In this case, however, variances were averaged, from
which standard deviations were calculated.  For example, the standard
deviation, 0.0634, used for the period from June 1982 through August 1983,
was calculated from the mean variance calculated for the months from
January 1981 through May 1982.  That is:

S6/82 = f^l/Sl + $22/81 + $23/81 + "' + s24/82 + s25/82>/17l1/2'    ^
S6/82-8/83 = °'0634 * [(0-04352 + 0.00172 + 0.10372 + 0.00322 + ...  +
                            0.01102 + 0.00672)/17]1/2.                 (5.3)
For the period from October 1983 through September 1984:

S-     = ^     + $2
 10/83-9/84 =     l/Sl + $2/81 +
     S10/83-9/84 = °'0643 lb F/T A1-                                   (5-4)
From November 1984 through August 1985:
Sll/84-9/84 ' [
-------
           o
Where     S .    = the potroom group monthly variance estimate for month i,
           2
          S ,.  = the roof monitor monthly variance estimate for month i,
            11    and
           2
          S 2.j   = the dry scrubber monthly variance estimate for month i.

For example for January 1981, it can be seen from the first row of numerals
in Table 5-1,

          S^.   = (0.1924)2,                                         (5-7)

          S22-   = (0.0485)2, and                                     (5-8)

          S21/8] = 0.03937001, or                                     (5-9)

          Sl/81  = °-1984 1b F/T Al.                                  (5-10)
                            •
     The monthly mean value of standard deviations, S , is seen from
                                                     A
Table 5-1 to be 0.1499 Ib F/T Al, while the overall monthly means from the
potroom group, X, is 0.8473 Ib F/T Al.  X and S"  for the other ALUMAX
                                               J\
potroom groups are given in Tables 5-4 through 5-6.
     Table 5-5 shows the results of the calculation of the upper and lower
warning limits.  Details of the calculations are given in Appendix B, and
are based on the methods used by the ASTM  .  Figures 5-3 and 5-4 show the X
and S  control charts for ALUMAX Potroom Group 101G/161W, including Roof
     ^
Monitor 101G and Dry Scrubber 161W.  Control charts for the other ALUMAX
potroom group are not included, but will be similar to Figure 5-4 and 5-5,
using the data of Table 5-5 for their construction.

5.4  DERIVATION OF ALUMAX CONTROL CHARTS
     A control chart would be required for X and S  for each potroom group.
                                                  ^
Thus for the ALUMAX plant,  eight control charts would be needed, two for
each potroom.   Each month for which sampling is done, the monthly mean X.,
and the standard deviation of the three daily readings,  S .  are calculated.
                                                         ^ 1
                                    5-13

-------
                             TABLE 5-5.  POTROOM GROUP WARNING LIMITS, ALUMAX DATA
Pot room Group
101G/161W
101H/161E
103G/162W
103H/162E
aL1m1ts are based
X1 and sx1.

Central
Line, X
o
0.8473
0.9162
0.8070
0.9618
on a monthly sample
X Charta
UWL
1.043
1.133
0.972
1.177
size of 3, I.e.*

LWL
•
0.652
0.700
0.642
0.747
three dally

Central
Line, 0QC
0.1499
0.1663
0.1265
0.1651
readings per month
Sx Chart3
UWL
0.272
0.302
0.229
0.299
to calculate

LWL
0
0
0
0

 Standard central line, X  = X, overall  mean of monthly means for ALUMAX  data.
cStandard Deviation, ao  = s  for ALUMAX data.

-------
C3
i—t
o
 VI
 a.
 O
 O
 O   .0
 J-   fc>
 O  T3
a.   c
            m
            •— «
       O    i
     -o
 o  -o
     oo
^=   o
o  ••->
 o   o
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4->   O.
 c   w
 O   d)
<_>  a:

IX
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 I
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 0)
 s_
 3
 cn

-------
                         91-S
                      0      0
                      • j> pus  )
'MI91/9IOI

-------
 Their  values  could  either  be  plotted  on  the  X  and  $x  chart  or  numerically
 compared  with the UWL  and  LWL values  in  Table  5-7.   If  LWL  < X.  <  UWL  for
 the  X  chart,  and  if LWL  <  Sx1  <  UWL for  the  S  chart,  then the  process  is in
 control.   Graphically,  if  X.  and Sx1  fall  between  UWL and LWL, the
 indications are the process  is in control.   Should  any  of the  inequalities
 cited  above not be  true,  i.e.,  should X.  or  S  j  fall  outside the warning
 limits, then  action is  appropriate.   An  example  of  regulatory  actions  that
 might  be  taken is given  in the next section.

 5.5  REGULATORY USE OF ALUMAX CONTROL CHARTS
     The  regulatory action taken if the  monthly  Xi  and  S  .  fall  outside the
 warning limits should  relate  to  the risk involved.  For example, the risk of
 an exceedance, or the  risk of any process  change (or  emission  change)  going
 undetected, is inversely proportional  to  the frequency  of performance
 testing.   A yearly  schedule of performance testing  results  in  a  higher risk
 of an  undetected emission  level  change than  a  quarterly schedule of testing.
     The  example that  follows  assumes  an  annual  performance test schedule.
 It uses corrective  action  having  stringent requirements and guidelines.
 This was  intentionally done to err on the side of being overly cautious so
 as not to  permit any potential change  in overall emission level  to be
 unchallenged  and unverified.  As  the  regulatory  procedure gains  more
 experience, then the periodic review of the procedures  that are  recommended,
 might relax some of the requirements of quarterly performance test schedule
 compared to the requirements of an annual schedule.  Such a relaxation would
 be consistent with the fact that the risk of an undetermined change on a
 quarterly performance test schedule is less than the risk for an annual
 schedule.
     The most important control chart criterion to  monitor,  from the
regulatory standpoint,  is the Upper Warning Limit,  UWL,  on the  X control
chart.   If the overall  emission level  of the potroom group is increasing,
the most likely indication would be the violation of the UWL on the X
control chart.  Showed  X. for any month be greater  than  UWL  on  the X chart,
                                    5-17

-------
 additional  action must  be  taken  immediately to determine  if the violation  is
 caused  by  random variation, or by an overall  increase  in  emission  levels
 greater than  XQ.  The method  for making this  judgement  is given in the
 example below.
     On the otherhand,  if  X.  is less than LWL on the X  chart, or if a
 monthly standard deviation, Sxi lies outside  the warning  limits of the
 Sx chart,  then that occurrence too should be  treated as a potential change
 in maintenance or operational practice which may indicate a change in
 emissions.  Unexpectedly low  levels of X^ e.g., below  LWL, may indicate a
 sampling problem which  is  giving a falsely low measurement.
     Values of Sx1 greater than UWL on the $x chart may indicate a
 larger-than-expected daily fluctuation in the fluoride emissions,  or it may
 indicate a careless analytical technique,  or even an error in the
 calculation of the results.  Similarly, lower-than-usual values of S .  may
 indicate invalid sampling  or analysis techniques.  In short,  any violations
 of the warning limits on the X chart or the $x chart should be investigated
 as a potential change in operating or maintenance procedures  in the potroom
group.
     In the discussion that follows,  the logic of the regulatory actions
will  be outlined as briefly as possible.   The  mathematical formulas on  which
the logic and the decisions are based are  given  in  detail  in  Appendix  C,
HYPOTHESIS TESTING.
     To give an example of the regulatory  action  that may  be  taken,  the
following set of conditions are assumed:

     1.    Potroom Group 1016/161W has requested  an  annual  performance  test
          schedule  based on their previous performance schedule  of  3  samples
          per month  and 56 months of testing.
     2.    Potroom Group 101G/161W is  permitted to go on an annual sampling
          and performance test schedule based  on  the location  of the potroom
          group in  Figure 4-1  and %  - 0.8473,  and S- - 0.1520  Ib F/T Al.
     3.    Warning Limits and Central  Lines in  units  of Ib  F/T  Al have been
          established  as follows:
                                    5-18

-------
                            Warning Limits                Central  Lines
                          UWL            LWL           ~J
          X chart        1.043          0.652          0.847
          Sx chart       0.302          0.000           ---          0.1499

So long as the potroom group can demonstrate control, annual sampling and
performance tests can continue.  To demonstrate control, both the annual
means (of three consecutive daily readings) X. and the standard deviations
of the three readings, $xi must fall within the established warning limits.
That is, an exceedance or violation of the control limits occurs when any of
the following inequalities is untrue.

          0.652 < X.  < 1.043, and
          0.0   < Sx. < 0.302.

If any one of the four limits is violated, certain actions are required.
From the regulatory standpoint, the most critical  limit is the upper warning
limit on X.,  1.043.  If X.  > 1.043, the overall level of emissions for the
potroom group may have increased,  which may invalidate the basis for
granting a reduced sampling schedule.
     The discussion that follows focuses on j^.  Discussions on S  follow
the discussion dealing with Xi exceedances of the control  limits.

      1.  Let X be the first annual mean potroom group emission rate,
          Ib  F/T Al that gives X.  > 1.043.
      2.  Whenever X. > 1.043, the potroom group will be required to sample
          the following month, calling the mean for the following month JL.
      3.  After X2 has been determined, three possibilities exist.
          a.    X2 > 1.043
          b.    X2 < 1.043,  but [(Xj + X2)/2]  < 1.043
          c.    X2 < 1.043,  but [(Xj + X2)/2]  > 1.043
      4.  If  3(a)  occurs,  then the potroom group is required to do
          performance tests monthly for the next six months,  determining Xv
          w    w    *»   .1     .  .—,                                           -J
           4*   5'
                                    5-19

-------
  5.   If 3(b) occurs, the potroom group may return to annual  sampling
      and  performance tests.
  6.   If 3(c) occurs, sampling will be required a third month
      consecutively giving X3.
  7.   Three possibilities exist, after sampling the third consecutive
      month,
      a.   X3 > 1.043
      b.   X3 < 1.043 and [(Xj + X2 + fy/3] < 1.043, or
      c.   X3 < 1.043 and [(Xj + X2 + X3)/3J > 1.043
  8.   If 7(a) occurs, then sampling will be required for the next
      5 months, giving X4, XB, Xg, X?, and Xg.
  9.   If 7(b) occurs, then the potroom group may return to an Annual
      sampling schedule.
10.   If 7(c) occurs, then sampling will be required for the next
      5 months, giving X4, Xg, Xg, X7, and Xg.
11.   If 3(a), 7(a), or 7(c) occurs, a total of 8 months of consecutive
      testing will have accurred.  Based on these eight months of
      testing, a revaluation of the overall operating level, i.e., the
      8-month mean, will be done to decide whether the 8-month mean is
      significantly larger than the initial mean,  XQ,  upon which the
      reduced performance test is based.  The decision will  be based on
      the outcome of an hypothesis test on the means  (XQ and the 8-month
     mean, X,)  described in Appendix C.
12.   If the hypothesis test indicates that no change  has occurred in
     the emissions level,  then the potroom group  may  return to
     annual  sampling.
13.   If the hypothesis test causes the decision  to  be made  that an
      increased emissions level has occurred,  then a  revaluation of
     whether the potroom group still  qualifies for  reduced  sampling
     schedule by relocating Xj and S-j on Figure  4-1  and see'if the
     potroom group still qualifies for reduced sampling.
14.   If the potroom group no longer qualifies for annual  sampling, then
      it must return to the  appropriate sampling  and  analysis schedule
     as determined by  the regulatory agency,  e.g.,  see Table 2-1.
                               5-20

-------
     15.  If the potroom group still qualifies for annual sampling according
          to the guidelines set by the Regulatory Authority in Figure 4-1,
          then new values of XQ, 
-------
      5.   If five consecutive annual readings fall below the central line,
           Xo, (and at the same time greater than LWL) the action items of'
           Step 1 should be done:
           •    check all analytical instruments for leaks,
           t    check all calculations for error, and
           •    Recalibrate the instruments before the next  performance test.
      6.   If six consecutive annual readings fall below the central  line
           (and at the same time greater than LWL), Xo return to monthly
           sampling for the next 5 months,  obtaining X4,  Xg,  X7, and  Xg (also
           the corresponding standard deviations).
      7.   Proceed as in Steps 3 and 4.

 The  probability  of a run of five to six values  of X.  less than  the central
 value on  the X chart is very small,  but the  possibility  cannot  be discounted
 completely or ignored.
      For  the Sx  control  chart,  there is no possibility of having less  than
 Sx1=0.0,  since Sx-  is defined  as  the positive root  of  (  ? (X. - X)2/(n-l))1/2
 If SX1  >  UWL (=0.302  for the  example used here),  there is an'obvious
 instability  in the  daily emissions measurements  for the  given month.  The
 instability  may  be  occurring because  of (a) random variation; (b) change in
 operating  procedures causing highly  variable emissions measurements;
 (c) change in  sampling  and analysis  precision, perhaps faulty equipment; or
 (d) an error  in the calculation of results.  If the problem results from (a)
or (d), the only response needed is to correct any known error.   Should (b)
or (c) be the cause of Sx1 > 0.302, corrective measures should focus on
answering the question,  "What change in sampling analysis,  or operating,
procedures have occurred?", and taking the appropriate steps to  correct'the
problem.
     A reasonable regulatory course of action for the standard deviation
readings,  similar to that used for X., is outlined below:

      1.  Let Sxl be the first annual standard deviation  of  the  three daily
          measurements in a given month that  exceeds UWL.
                                    5-22

-------
      2.   If Sxl > 0.302, then the  potroom group will  be  required  to  do  a
           performance test the next month.
      3.   After $x2 has been determined, three possibilities exist:
           (a)  Sx2 > 0.302,
           (b)  Sx2 < 0.302, but  [(Sxl + Sx2)/2] > 0.302,  and
           (c)  Sx2 < 0.302, but  [(Sxl + Sx2)/2] < 0.302.
      4.   If 3(a) or 3(b) occurs, the potroom group should continue monthly
           performance tests for  the next six months, determining S ,, S  .,
          Sx5' Sx6' Sx7' an(* ^x8*  Proceed
      5.  If 3(c) occurs, the potroom group may return to annual sampling.
      6.  Redetermine X for the latest eight readings.  Test the hypothesis
          that the true mean of the last 8 is greater than the true mean of
          the original 56 data points (Appendix C) .
      7.  If the test indicates that X for the last eight data has
          increased, then recalculate X and S- and recheck the eligibility
                                             A
          of the potroom group for annual sampling from Figure 4-1.
      8.  If the potroom group using the new X and S- qualifies for annual
          sampling, recalculate XQ, a0, UWL, and LWL for the potroom group
          and return to annual sampling using the revised control chart
          parameters.
      9.  If the test given in Step 6 indicates that no change has occurred
          in the overall monthly mean emissions, then return to annual
          sampling using the original control chart parameters.
     10.  If the potroom group using the new X and S- does not qualify (in
          Step 8) for annual sampling, then it shall return to the
          appropriate sampling and per performance test schedule based on
          Figure 4-1 and Table 2-1.

     Should X^ and S^ exceed their respective limits simultaneously,  the
procedures outlined for the X parameters should take precedence.

5.6  LIMITATIONS OF REGULATORY USE OF CONTROL CHART
     The basic assumption of control  chart theory is that the sampling
interval is  frequent enough to characterize the process,  and that little
                                    5-23

-------
 process  change  occurs  between  sampling  periods.  Currently,  the  NSPS
 for  primary  aluminum plants  requires monthly performance testing.  A  reduced
 performance  test  schedule could be  set  for quarterly sampling, semi-annual,
 annual,  or other  sampling intervals.  The longer interval between
 performance  tests, the  slower  would be  the detectable response to any
 systematic or overall change in emission levels and the lower the level of
 assurance that  changes  in emissions performance are detected by  the reduced
 monitoring frequency.   Furthermore, during periods between
 performance  tests the regulatory authority must take on faith that plant
 operations and  emission rates  remain constant.   The presumption that plant
 operations remain constant between tests is the basic limitation of the X
 and Sx control  chart procedure for sanctioning  reduced monitoring frequency.
     Control  chart theory, however, can be applied again in a different
manner to offset this limitation and help ensure compliance with the NSPS.
The premise  is  to track and chart parameters other than the performance test
data during the periods between tests as a surrogate monitoring method.
Fortunately,  various routine maintenance procedures and operational
practices done  by primary aluminum plant personnel  are ongoing and occur on
each shift,  daily, or on some other regular periodic interval.   Listed below
are some routine procedures  and daily occurrences  that can  be related to the
plant operating performance  and to the fluoride emissions.

     •    The number of loose vent covers on the aluminum cell  housings each
          day;
     •    The number of bent vent  covers;
     •    The number of gaskets changed per day (or per week);
     •    The number of cells showing  buildup of electrolytic cell  minerals
          on  the top edge of cell;
     •    The number of locations  per  day requiring clean up of  electrolyte
          cell  materials'from the  potroom floor;
     t    The pounds  of electrolyte spilled  and swept  up  from the floor per
          day;  and
     t    The time it takes  to  change  each  anode.
     t    The number  of days  required  between baghouse  filter replacement.
                                    5-24

-------
      Some  of these  are  measurable  parameters  that  could  be  "monitored"
 between  performance tests.
      There are  many other daily  routine  tasks  not  listed above  that  need  to
 be done  to keep the plant operating  efficiently  and  "in  control."
 Documentation and quantification of  a defined  set  of these  tasks during the
 period of  monthly sampling would permit  the construction of a control chart
 that  would relate to operating and maintenance performance  of the  plant.
      When  the potroom group qualifies for reduced  performance test
 scheduling,  the operating/maintenance control chart  would continue to be
 maintained on the same  periodic schedule it operated  on  before  the potroom
 group, qualified  for reduced performance testing.   Any change in the
 operating  performance would be detected in this control  chart,  and could
 signal a possible out-of-control condition which affects the emissions
 level.  The operating/maintenance control chart could serve as  a surrogate
 performance monitoring  tool, and with experience and the appropriate data
 could be related to fluoride emission rates (Ib F/T Al).  Out-of-control
 conditions with  the operating/maintenance control  charts would  trigger an
 increased  performance test frequency in much the same way as did the X and
 S- control  charts described in the previous section.
     The specific operating/maintenance parameters to be monitored would be
 determined by evaluating plant operations on a case-by-case basis.   The
 concept,  however, is described here for those regulatory authorities that
would require assurance that plant operations have not changed between test
 periods.
                                    5-25

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                         6.0  REGULATORY PROCEDURES

     This section outlines the steps that are recommended and the data that
are required to qualify a potroom group in a primary aluminum plant for a
reduced frequency performance test schedule.  Quantitative criteria are
offered for making the decision as to which potroom groups are qualified for
a reduced frequency performance test schedule,  and what the frequency of
testing should be.  Suggestions are given for regulatory procedures while
the potroom group is on a reduced frequency performance test schedule.
     Step 1.   Assemble at least four years of consecutive monthly results
               of emission rates, Ib F/T Al, from roof monitors in potroom
               groups.  Four years of dry scrubber emission rates are also
               needed, on whatever periodic schedules have been specified by
               the appropriate regulatory agency.  It is assumed that each
               monthly performance test measurement on the roof monitor or
               dry scrubber includes three separate daily measurements from
               which the monthly means and standard deviations may be
               determined.
     Step 2.   Determine if there is a significant covariance of the
               roof monitor and dry scrubber emissions.  If the covariance
               is insignificant, Equation 4-2 may be used to determine the
               monthly standard deviation for the potroom group, otherwise a
               covariance term must be added as in Equation 3-2.  Equation
               4-1 may be used to determine the monthly mean emissions for
               the potroom group.
     Step 3.   Determine if the potroom group monthly mean emissions are
               autocorrelated.  If they are not significantly autocorrelated,
               Figure 4-1 and a table such as Table 6-1, may be used to
               qualify the potroom group for a  reduced schedule performance
               test.   If there is significant autocorrelation a new Prob-
               ability-of-an-Exceedance graph must be derived.
                                    6-1

-------
     TABLE  6-1.   EXAMPLE CRITERIA FOR REDUCED PERFORMANCE TEST SCHEDULE
                                                                Example

 Probability of an                                            Performance



   Exceedance' P                                             Test Schedule3
         P > °-001                                            one/month




0.0001 < P < O.OOl"                                           one/quarter





0.00001  P< 0.0001C                                          one/6 months



         P <0-00001                                           one/12 months


a
 authority1.°f ^ performance test schedule is the preview of the regulatory



 P - 0.001 means that one exceedance would be expected with every 1,000
 measurements or about 83.3 years, on the original  monthly performance test
 schedule assuming only random variation.                   performance test


 P = 0.0001 means that one exceedance would be expected with every 10 000


                              833-33
                                   6-2

-------
Step  4.   Determine  the  overall monthly mean  and monthly  standard
          deviation  for  the  potroom group  for the entire  time  period
          available  in Step  1.

Step  5.   Determine  the  frequency distribution of the roof monitor
          data.   If  the  frequency distribution is normally distributed,
          and there  is no significant autocorrelation to  the data, the
          Probability-of-an-Exceedance graph  (Figure 4-1) developed for
          this study may be  used; otherwise a new Probability-of-an-
          Exceedance graph must be developed.

Step 6.   Determine probability of an exceedance from Figure 4-1.  This
          assumes that they  are normally distributed random variables.

Step 7.   Regulatory authority selects appropriate performance test
          schedule from Probability of Exceedance for potroom group
          determined in Step 6.  Example criteria for a reduced
          performance test schedule are given in Table 6-1.

Step 8.   Construct performance test X and SY control charts and follow
                                            A
          a monitoring protocol determined by the regulatory authority.
          A protocol  for monitoring control charts on a reduced
          performance test schedule is suggested in Section  6.

Step 9.   Construct surrogate parameter X and Sx control  chart  to
          monitor operating performance while on reduced  performance
          test schedule.   The surrogate parameter is a routine
          measurement or housekeeping  procedure that is done routinely
          by operating personnel  whether or not the  potroom  groups  is
          on reduced  performance  test  schedule.   See Section 2  for  the
          details.
                               6-3

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                                 7.0  REFERENCES

 1.    "Four Year Statistical Analysis," ALUMAX of  South  Carolina  (1985).

 2.    Daniels, M., ALUMAX  of South Carolina,  letter to Robert McCalister  [sic],
      dated September  19,  1985.

 3.    Steel, Robert G.D. and James H. Torrie, "Principles  and Procedures  of
      Statistics," 2nd. ed.  McGraw-Hill Book Company.   New York  (1979).

 4.    Pankratz, A., "Forecasting  With Univariate Box  - Jenkins Models.
      Concepts and Cases," John Wiley & Sons, New  York (1983).

 5.    Tukey, John W.,  "Exploratory Data Analysis," Addison-Wesley  Publishing
      Company, Reading, MA (1977).

 6.    Charavarti, I.M., R.G. Laha, and J. Roy, "Handbook of Methods of Applied
      Statistics, Volume I.  Techniques of Computation, Descriptive Methods,
      and Statistical  Inference," John Wiley  & Sons,  Inc., New York (1967).

 7.    Anderson, T.W.,  "The Statistical Analysis of Time Series," John Wiley &
      Sons, New York (1971).

8.   Hald, A., "Statistical  Tables and Formulas," John Wiley & Sons,  Inc.,
      London (1952).

9.   Aitchison,  J.,  and J.A.C. Brown, "The Lognormal  Distribution,"
     Cambridge University Press,  Cambridge (1957).

10.   "ASTM Manual  on Presentation of Data and Control Chart Analysis,"
     ASTM Special  Technical  Publication 15D., American Society  for Testing
     and Materials,  Philadelphia, PA  19103  (1976).
                                      7-1

-------
 11.   Duncan,  Acheson J.,  "Quality Control  and Industrial  Statistics,"
      3rd Edition,  Richard D.  Irwin,  Inc.,  Homewood,  Illinois (1965).

 12.   Hastings,  N.A.J.,  and J.B.  Peacock,  "Statistical  Distributions,"
      John Wiley &  Sons,  New York (1975).

 13.   Hald,  A.,  "Statistical  Theory with  Engineering  Applications,"
      John Wiley &  Sons,  Inc.,  New York (1952).

 14.   Snedecor,  George W.,  and  William  G. Cochran,  "Statistical  Methods,"
      7th  ed., The  Iowa State University Press, Ames.  (1980).

 15.   SAS® Institute, Inc.,  "SAS/ETS® User's Guide,"  Version  5 Edition,
      Gary,  NC:   SAS® Institute,  Inc. (1984).

 16.   Letter from R. C. Dickie, ALUMAX, to Jack R.  Farmer, U. S.  EPA,
      August 27,  1985, Attachment  entitled "Emission  Test Results,
      Potline 1  & 2, October 1984.

 17.   Letter from Hurtis L. Givens, Alcan Aluminum  to Eric Noble, U.  S.
      EPA, undated  (received 6/28/85).  Attachment  entitled "Potline
      Roof Emissions, Total Fluorides."

 18.   Letter from Hurtis L. Givens, Alcan Aluminum  to Eric Noble, U.  S.
      EPA, undated  (received 11/20/85).  Attachment entitled  "NSPS Total
      F Emissions Data."

 19.   Letter from Robert E. Hurt, Noranda Aluminum  to Eric Noble, U.  S.
      EPA, August 14, 1985.  Attachments entitled "Table I.   Summary  of
     Results Fluoride Emissions for 39B System" and "Table I.  Summary
     of Results  Potroom Group III Fluroide Emissions."

20.  Dickie, R.  C.  in a memorandum to Robert A. McAllister,  dated January 29,
     1986 "Hood Inspection Summary,"
                                      7-2

-------
APPENDIX A



DATA TABLES
      A-l

-------
                    Table A-l.  ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                     101-G  ROOF MONITOR RESULTS 1981
DATE
LOG
TEST*
                            P  F LB   G F LB    T F LB
                                             ACFM
                                              SCFM
'/. ISO
81/01/12
81/01/13
81/01/14
31/02/02
81/02/03
81/02/04
81/03/09}
81/03/101
81/03/li)
81/03/30
81/03/31
81/04/OJ^
"81/05/lTt
81/05/1 2\
81/0.5/13J
81/06/08
81/06/09
81/06/10
81/07/07\
81/07/081
81/07/09-1
31/08/10
81/08/11
81/08/12
81/09/28
81/09/29
81/09/30
31/10/05
81/10/06
81/10/07
31/1 1/09
31/1 1/10
81/1 1/1 1
81/1 1/30
81/12/01
81/12/03
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101 -G
006
007
008
012
013
014
203
205
207
232
233
234
244
246
248
262
264
267
272
274
277
294
296
298
312
313
314
315
313
320
333
338
340
341
343
347
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.548
.526
.232
.497
.247
.406
.425
.428
.395
.639
.364
.330
.510
.510
.520
.478
.642
.510
.480
.520
.510
.330
.430
.370
.470
.320
.280
.540
.260
.480
.328
.369
.616
.540
.335
,226
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.198
.134
.156
.168
.445
.384
.329
.353
.281
.426
.326
.268
.340
.506
.230
.372
.386
.650
.570
.550
.400
.410
.490
.400
.350
.400
.360
.450
.560
.420
.422
.471
.512
.429
.427
,239
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
.75
-------
                                    Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
I
CO
                DATE
                                      101-H ROOF MONITOR RESULTS  1981
LOG
TEST**
                                            P F LB
                          G  F LB   T F LB
                                                                         ACFM
                                              SCFM
X ISO
81/01/19
81/01/20
81/02/17
31/02/18
81/02/19
81/03/09
81/03/10
81/03/11
81/04/06
81/04/07
81/04/08
81/05/1 1
81/05/12
81/a5/13
81/06/08
81/06/09
81/06/10
81/07/07
81/07/08
81/07/09
81/08/10
81/08/1 1
81/08/12
81/08/31
81/09/01
81/09/02
81/10/05
81/10/06
81/10/07
81/1 1/09
81/1 1/10
81/1 1/1 1
81/1 1/30
8! -' ', 2/0!
31/12/02
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101 -H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
i 0 1 -H
101-H
016
017
019
020
021
204
206
208
235
236
237
245
247
249
263
265
266
273
275
276
295
297
299
301
303
304
316
317
319
334
336
339
342
344
346
0.374
0.404
1 .087
0.654
0.369
0.416
0.464
0.609
0.772
0.459
0.538
0.600
0.240
0.480
0.730
0.410
0.640
0.660
0.420
0.335
0.340
0.350
0.250
0.550
0.400
0.630
0.400
0.340
0.460
0.352
0.279
0.305
0.352
0 . 564
0.394
0.214
0.350
0.569
0.450
0.760
0.342
0.371
0.359
0.406
0.419
0.326
0.500
0.210
0.230
0.410
0.560
0.650
0.490
0.340
0.420
0.410
0.390
0.310
0.340
0.280
0.410
0.430
0.530
0.580
0.579
0.374
0.513
0.323
0.356
0.432
0.538
0.760
1 .656
1 .063
1 .136
0.764
0.835
0.963
1 .130
0.878
0.364
1.090
0.450
0.710,
1 .140
0.970
1 .290
1 . 150
0.760
0.770
0.750
0.740
0.560
0.890
0 .680
1 .040
0.330
0.370
1 .040
,: .?3i
0.653
0.313
0.675
0.920
0.826
1 ,454
1 ,839
2,078
2,198
2,242
1 ,354
1 ,455
1 ,464
1 ,577
1 ,361
1 ,789
1 ,791
1 ,753
1 ,733
2,249
2,106
2,179
1 ,748
1 ,322
1 ,563
1 ,311
1 ,289
1 ,385
2,172
2,040
1 ,776
1 ,514
1 ,425
1 ,626
1 ,599
1 ,548
1 ,608
2,260
2,269
2,160
1 ,472
1 ,850
2,081
2,206
2,187
1 ,379
1 ,462
1 ,463
1 ,551
1 ,371
1 ,786
1 ,708
1 ,694
1 ,676
2,140
1 ,931
1 ,995
1 ,656
1,727
1 ,462
1 ,260
1 ,216
1 ,285
2,042
1 ,944
1 ,697
1 ,450
1 ,343
1 ,545
1 ,505
1 ,508
1 , 493
2,253
2,202
2,092
85.9
111.3
103.9
103.8
99.7
100.0
95.9
93.3
99.0
99.4
101 .3
104.2
103.3
94.3
102.7
105.0
102.0
103. 9
99.8
102.7
113.7
113.7
1 13.6
104.0
107.2
104.3
112.5
107.3
105.6
108.9
111.9
103.6
103.0
109.0
107. 1

-------
                      Table  A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                      103-6 ROOF MONITOR RESULTS  1981
DATE
LOG
                   TEST**
P F LB    6 F LB   T F  LB   ACFM
                                                                  SCFM
                                                              y.  iso
81/03/02
81/03/03
81/03/04
81/04/13
31/04/14
81/05/26
81/05/27
81/05/33 	 -
81/06/01
81/06/02
81/06/03
81/07/27
81/07/28
81/08/03
81/08/04
81/08/05
31/09/08
81/09/09
81/09/10
81/10/12
81/10/13
81/10/14
81/11/02
81/1 1/03
31/1 1/04
81/12/07
31/12/08
fll /I ?/fi9
103-6
103-G
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-6
103-G
103-G
103-6
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G

200
201
202
238
239
251
252
254
256
258
260
282
235
287
288
290
292
306
303
310
321
323
325
327
329
331
343
350
352
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
£
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
c
.327
.333
.348
.525
.599
.430
.350
.200
.270
.310
.290
.350
.260
.350
.630
.280
.406
.458
.341
.276
.405
= 299
.332
.294
.257
.248
.225
.305
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
p_.
U •
CK
0.
0.
0.
0.
0,
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
163
230
224
361
406
410
180
220
380
190
310
240
220
310
340
380
390""
545
445
343
573
380
541
535
428
212
299
305
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
o
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.490V
.5681
.571'
.386
.995
.840
.530
.410
.640
.500
.600
.590
.480
.670
.970
.660
.48tl
T79A
.004 \
.786
.620
.978
.679
.872
.829
.635
.460
.524
.609
1 ,945
1 ,700
1,878
1,592
1 ,890
2,082
2,157
1 ,818
1 ,450
1 ,977
1 ,820
1 ,585
1 ,489
1 ,454
1 ,640
1 ,692
1 ,553
1 ,560
1 ,470
1 ,460
1 ,787
1 ,758
1 ,765
1 ,912
1 ,919
5,250
i
1 ,745
1 ,779
1,744
1 ,918
1 ,697
1 ,360
1 ,568
1 ,853
1 ,938
2,048
1 ,728
,391
,371
,736
,505
,409
,382
1 ,533
1 ,606
1 .453
1 ,465
I .380
1 ,392
1 ,718
1 ,705
1 ,715
1 ,355
1 .845
5,035
i ,736
1 ,71 7
1 ,740
100.2
98.7
98.3
102.2
105.7
117.3
109.3
105.3
108.6
104.1
105.2
93.3
104.3
1 12.7
1 14.6
106.3
112.3
108. 1
109.5
105.6
103.4
101 .1
111.0
109.5
104.6
1 14.4
102.3
102. 1
109. 1
                                               £>.<<+ O

-------
                                     Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                                     103-H ROOF  MONITOR RESULTS 1981
                DATE
LOG
TEST*
P F LB
G F LB    T F LB
ACFM
SCFM
V. ISO
3=
I
cn
81/02/23^
81/02/24
81/02/25,
81/04/20
81/04/21
31/04/22
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
81/05/261 103-H
81/05/27 103-H
31/05/28J 103-H
81/06/01 103-H
81/06/02 103-H
81/06/03 103-H
31/07/27 103-H
81/07/28 103-H
81/07/29 103-H
31/03/03 103-H
31/03/04 103-H
31/03/05 103-H
81/09/08 103-H
31/09/09 103-H
81/09/10 i 103-H
81/1 O/O^
81/10/13
81/10/1*
31/11/0^
31/1 1/04>
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
31/12/07] 103-H
31/12/03 103-H
81/12/097 103-H
022
023
024
241
242
243
250
253
255
257
259
261
283
284
236
289
291
293
307
309
31 1
322
324
326
330
332
349
351
353
0
0
0
0
.
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.913
.383
.646
.673
- • ->
.330
.950
.720
.660
.500
.520
.620
.460
.630
.500
.370
.340
.330
.447
.638
.431
.409
.281
.372
.372
.512.
.496
.539
.494
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
u
0
0
0
.342
.267
.335
.335
.322
.359
.460
.410
.690
.620
.520
.470
.650
.420
.500
.430
.530
.450
.667
.726
.407
.299
.357
.237
.518
.547
.244
.606
.251
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
.260
.150
.980
.014
.703
.696
.400
.120
.350
.130
.050
.080
.110
.060
.000
.300
.830
.340
.1 14
.364
.839
.707
.638
.659
.888
.060
.739
.196
.746
2,067
2,134
1 ,930
1 ,651
1 ,635
1 ,237
2,521
2,429
2,378
1 ,324
2,016
1 ,905
1 ,573
1 ,664
1 ,563
1 ,586
1 ,547
1 ,518
1 ,416
1 ,464
1 ,377
l-,667
1 ,694
1 ,566
1 ,799
2,034
2,387
2,284
2,309
2,039
2,152
1 ,924
1 ,574
1 ,673
1 ,266
2,412
2,303
2.224
1 ,719
,913
,792
,469
,574
,466
,506
1 ,440
1 ,452
1 ,323
1 ,369
1,315
1 .603
1 ,648
1 ,519
1 ,735
1 ,951
2,336
2,262
2,325
99.3
105.0
105.6
101 .9
99.5
102.3
98.6
103.4
100.8
103.3
115.5
104.9
107.7
98.8
107.6
114.6
109.6
105.4
105.9
100.2
92.8
101 .5
101 .4
96.2
115.9
1 18.7
89.4
104.7
98.6

-------
                     Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                       101-G ROOF MONITOR RESULTS  1982
DATE
i_OC
                             P F LB
G F LB    T F LB
                                              ACFM
SCFM
'/. ISO
82/01/11
82/01/12
82/01/13
32/02/01
82/02/02
32/0 2/0 3
82/03/08
32/03/09
82/03/10
82/04/05
82/04/04
82/04/07
82/04/26
32/04/27
82/04/28
82/06/01
82/06/02
82/0 A/0 3
32/07/19
82/07/20
82/07/21
32/08/09
82/08/10
32/08/1 1
32/09/14
32/09/15
82/09/16
32/09/27
32/09/28
82/09/29
82/11/08
32/11/09
32/11/10
32/12/06
32/12/07
.ri -o / fl 1 X 7s O
101-G
101-G
101-G
101 -G
101-G
101-G
101 -G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101 -G
10 1 -G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101 -6
.1 ri i _ r.
360
362
364
366
368
370
384
386
388
401
403
405
419
421
423
425
427
429
437
439
441
461
463
465
479
431
483
491
493
495
509
511
513
515
517
«=; i o
0.192
0.373
0.180
0.271
0.297
0.220
0.170
0.560
0.590
0.370
0.370
0.400
0.330
0 . 240
0.450
0.270
0.290
0.350
0.240
0.210
0.320
0.130
0.210
0.350
0.330
0.380
0.470
0.380
0.380
0.450
0.180
0.240
0.320
0.310
0.450
":• 3 AH
0.144
0.240
0.189
0.223
0.217
0.319
0.320
0.350
0.330
0.440
0.260
0.270
0.370
0.380
0.300
0.360
0.420
0 .530
0.350
0.2-?:
0.490
0.350
0.530
0.530
0 .560
0.480
0 . 620
0.320
0.320
0.520
0.430
0.330
0.450
0.420
0.570
n . 4<=>Q
0 . 336"
0.613
0.362-
0 . 499\
0.514
o.ssa
0 . 490n
0.910
0.910-
0.810
0.630
0.670,
0.69(1
0.620
0.750.
0 . 620
0.700
0.920
0.59ff
o . 4>'C
0.820-
0.520
0.740
0.890J
0 . 950~
0.370
1 .090-
0.70CT
0.700
0.97a
0.610"
0.570
0.76Qj
0.73(3
I nQ!0
0 -810
1,446
1 ,918
1 ,889
,986
,726
,935
2,668
2,672
2,575
\ 2,236
2,277
J 2,251
2,531
2,656
2,560
2,145
2,146
2,080
1 ,358
1 ,363
1 ,382
1 ,390
1,916
2,352
1 2,374
2,305
/ 2,325
2,277
2,283
2,310
2,622
2,441
2,493
2,268
2,236
2.094
1 ,491
1 ,910
1 ,902
1 ,974
1 ,741
1 ,926
2,661
2,726
2,569
2,177
2,202
2,247
2,533
2,559
2.455
2,054
1 ,991
2,023
1 ,723
1 ,799
1 ,732
1 ,762
1 ,787
2,163
2,213
2, 131
2,166
2,175
2,193
2,194
2.640
2,413
2,477
2,194
2,185
2,061
102.8
108.1
101 .6
101 .4
102.2
105.2
94.8
101 .7
105.9
105.3
109.7
101 .7
105. 1
103.2
108. 1
10S. 1
110.6
106.5
1 10.6
109.9
110.4
109. 1
98.5
109. 1
104.8
101 ,7
100.7
101 . 1
100.5
102.4
96.6
95.9
95.0
99.o
100 .2
103.0

-------
                         Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
DATE
LOG
   101-H  ROOF MONITOR  RESULTS 1982




TEST M    P F LB   Q F  LB   T F LB   ACFM
                                                                  SCFM
                                                               '/. ISO
82/01/11
82/01/12
82/01/13
82/02/01
82/02/02
82/02/03
82/03/08
82/03/09
82/03/10 .
82/04/05
82/04/06
82/04/07
82/04/26
82/04/27
82/04/28
82/06/01
82/06/02
82/06/03
82/07/19
82/07/20
82/07/21
82/08/09
82/08/10
82708/1 1
82/09/14
82/09/15
82/09/16
82/09/27
82/09/28
82/09/29
82/1 1/08
82/1 1/09
82/1 1/10
82/12/06
82/12/07
32/«. 2/Q8
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101 -H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101 -H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
,1 0 1 -M
361
363
365
367
36?
371
385
387
389
402
404
406
420
422
424
426
428
430
438
440
442
462
464
466
480
482
484
492
494
496
510
512
514
516
518
520
0.422
0.327
0.263
0.558
0.625
0.756
0.270
0.650
0.780
0.400
0.420
0.530
0.270
0.380
0.450
0.230
0.370
0.330
0.300
0.370
0.520
0.380
0.360
0.400
0.460
0.410
0.370
0.330
0.460
0.520
0.420
0.350
0.310
0.320
0.450
0.380
0.192
0.163
0.331
0.469
0.431
0.262
0.320
0.400
0.320
0.380
0.460
0.340
0.420
0.380
0.460
0.390
0.450
0.330
0 .260
0.600
0.360
0.430
0.440
0.450
0.780
0.590
0.710
0.400
0.530
0 . 5'30
0.500
0.320
0.410
0.490
0.590
0.420
0.614
0.490
0.594
1.027
1 .056
1 .013
0.600
1 .060
1 .100
0.800
0.880
0.870
0.680
0.760
0.920
0.610
0.820
0.750
0.570
0.970
0.880
0.810
0.800
0.850
1 .230
1 .000
1 .080
0.780
0.990
1 .040
0.920
0.670
0.720
0.310
1 .040
0.800
2,098
2,416
2,342
2,342
2,103
2,050
2,591
2,562
2,568
2,242
2,211
2,270
2,272
2,277
2,288
2,220
2,250
2 , 254
2,296
2,322
2,348
1,848
1 ,836
1 ,955
2,350
2,327
2,359
2,348
1 ,952
2,140
2,225
2,025
1 ,993
1 .323
2,101
2,085
2,138
2,478
2,357
2,305
2,097
2,033
2,610
2,591
2,581
2,188
2,201
2,260
2,200
2,136
2,258
2,163
2,096
2,088
2,186
2,1 15
2,183
1 ,743
1 ,743
1 ,836
2,221
2,200
2,181
2,241
1 ,840
2,022
2,196
1 ,984
1 ,955
1 ,751
2,058
2,074
101 .7
98.3
100.1
115.5
114.4
103.8
97 k 2
97.5
101 .9
107.6
106.3
106.4
108.4
106.2
108.1
111.2
1 10.5
110.3
100.0
103.5
96.4
95.5
95.8
95. 1
104.7
101 .6
105.3
108.5
109.2
108.3
103.1
103.3
105.8
106.9
104.8
105.7

-------
                                     Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                                    103-G  ROOF MONITOR  RESULTS 1982
             DATE
LOG
TEST *
P F LB
G F LB   T F LB
ACFM
SCFM
'/. ISO
I
CO
32/01/04
82/01/05
J2/01/06
J2/02/08
82/02/09
32/02/10
J2/03/01
82/03/02
82/03/03
J2/04/12
32/04/13
82/04/14
J2/04/20
)2/04/21
82/04/22
92/06/14
12/06/15
32/06/16
82/07/26
J2/07/27
12/07/28
82/08/02
12/08/03
12/08/04
82/09/20
82/09/21
12/09/22
J2/10/04
82/10/05
J2/10/06
(2/11/01
82/11/02
92/11/03
J2/ 12/20
d2/ 12/21
• 3 1 , 1 O -"> O ,
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
i riQ—r;
354
356
358
372
374
376
378
380
382
407
409
411
413
415
417
431
433
435
443
445
447
449
451
453
485
487
489
497
499
501
503
505
507
521
523
=••:><=;
0.293
0.352
0.379
0.303
0.324
0.598
0.150
0.130
0.160
0.390
0.320
0.290
0.350
0.560
0.370
0.280
0.480
0.230
0.280
0.340
0.310
0.230
0.300
0.310
0.310
0.240
0.220
0.350
0.430
0.560
0.380
0.380
0.340
0.270
0 . \ 60
n ^ j£.ft
0.238
0.218
0.417
0.321
0.317
0.382
0.170
0.150
0.230
0.360
0.520
0.370
0.520
0.410
0.560
0.450
0.920
0.290
0.350
0.320
0.370
0.420
0.550
0.620
0.180
0 . 290
0.260
0.420
0.250
0.700
0.380
0.320
0.400
0.290
0. 160
n '^iin
0.532
0.569
0.796
0.624
0.641
0.980
0.330
0.280
0.390
0.750
0.840
0.660
0.870
0.970
0.920
0.730
1 .400
0.570
0.630
0.660
0.680
0.650
0.850
0.930
0.500
0.530
0.480
0.770
0.680
1 .270
0.760
0.690
0.740
0.570
0 . 320
n . xnn
1 ,974
1 ,950
1 ,994
2,113
2,121
2,165
1 ,341
1 ,303
1 ,317
2,387
2,254
2,253
2,361
2,503
2,525
1 ,902
2,058
2,337
2,045
2,154
2,158
2,150
2,091
2,136
2,047
2,087
2,112
2,004
2,005
1 ,953
1 ,916
1 ,896
1 ,924
1 ,358
1 ,900
1 . R33 <
I ,912.0
1 ,936.0
1 ,929.0
2,117.0
2,043.0
2,131 .0
1 ,349.0
1 ,307.0
1 ,301 .0
2,303.0
2,275.0
2,141 .0
2,368.0
2,445.0
2,553.0
1 ,789.0
1 ,912.0
2,176.0
1 ,926.0
2,006.0
2,031 .0
2,006.0
1 ,961 .0
1 ,997.0
1 ,908.0
2,011 .0
2,035.0
1 ,894.0
1 ,893.0
1 ,332.0
1 ,827.0
1 ,302.0
I ,827.0
1 ,889.0
1 ,869.0
\ .337 . 0.
107.9
104.2
107.9
106.0
107.4
109.5
109.2
109.0
1 10.9
101 . 1
106.3
106.4
103.8
101 .4
100.6
1 10.3
109.1
103.4
110.7
106.4
104.7
109.5
110.0
109.4
103.5
104.6
98.6
103.9
100.1
106.6
106.4
104.6
103.1
106.9
104.7
i n ? . P.

-------

3'SJ I
E'ZOT
I *6T I
P'901
T*80T
T*80T
6*SOT
0*80T
8* TOT
S'SOT
0'30T
S'pOI
9*801
Z*60I
Z*60T
Z'OTT
8*30T
3*£OT
6*£OT
8*pH
T*90T
6* L6
3*.30T
0*90T
T*£OT
S'60I
9*9TT
OS I X

136' I
888' T
P98' T
£68* T
9S6* T
9£6* T
3p6* T
036* T
0^3*3
908*3
STS*3
093*3
8£3'3
p96* T
~S.fr 1*2
8Fl'3
383*3
T00'3
/160'3
*
2££* I
TZT'3
690*2
ZET'2
OSO'3
WdOS

OE6 ' I
Z T 6 ' 1
OE8' T
6TO'3
3SO*3
3£0*3
EfrO'3
EEO*3
93fr*3
699 'Z
996 ' 3
131*3
j _
t* w C- '-'
938 '3
303*3
691*3
ISO* 3
090 ' 3
/19fr* T
88S* T
3£I*3
690*3
E9T'3
S60'3
OP 1*2
WdD*

Or3* 0
08S*0
0/19*0
030* T
030* T
09£'0
038*0
OSZ'O
003* T
036 '0
OP6'0
006*0
03 T' T
066 '0
03p' T
000* T
0^9*0
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08Z*0
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089*0
0/16*0
0£8*0
oez*o
009*0
08p" 0
606*0
690* T
£89*0
38/1*0
ZrO* T
81 d i

OS I ' C
083 '0
033*0
OEE'O
0^9 '0
0^ '0
OOE'O
OSS'O
098*0
08S*0
OOS'O
OS9*0
038*0
OSP'O
06S*0
n T & • n
028 0
03S'0
03E*0
OOS'O
09S*0
09E*0
06E*0
Op£*0
O^p'O
OOE'O
3£E*0
3p£*0
163*0
22t7*0
9TE*0
T££*0
81 d 9
,~ ~f. .V a ^
Uc- » >-
OG'£ ' '
-------
                    Table A-l.  ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                       101-Q ROOF MONITOR  RESULTS 1983
DATE
LOG
                   TEST  *
P F LB    G F LB   T F  LB
                                                         ACFM
                                                      SCFM
7. ISO
83/01/10
83/01/1 1
83/01/12
83/02/07
83/02/08
83/02/09
83/02/28
83/03/01
83/03/02
83/03/28
83/03/29
83/03/30
83/05/02
83/05/03
83/05/04
83/06/06
83/06/07
83/06/08
83/07/11
83/07/12
83/07/13
o1?.-' 03/0 8
W *• <' W W^ » W
83/08/09
33/08/10
83/09/12
83/09/13
83/09/14
83/10/10
83/10/1 1
83/10/12
83/11/07
83/11/08
83/i 1/09
33/1 1/28
Q Q X 1 'i s?9
101-G
101-G
101-6
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
. 501 -G
001
003
005
025
027
029
035
037
039
051
053
056
073
075
077
085
087
039
107
109
111
117
119
121
144
146
143
167
169
171
193
195
197
205
207
0.23
0.43
0.44
0.38
0.28
0.19
0.40
0.32
0.26
0.19
0.16
0.29
0.32
0.35
0.38
0.31
0.43
0.51
0.34
0.30
0.43
0.42
0.60
0,23
0.31
0.42
0.37
0.35
0.33
0.31
0.33
0.27
0.43
3.231
0.31
0.34
0.29
0.21
0.16
0.23
0.41
0.37
0.34
0.32
0.29
0.41
0.58
0.44
0.39
0.69
0.34
0.30
0.46
0.55
0.45
0.63
0.70
0.39
0.51
0.53
0.63
0.87
0.66
0.43
,0.66
0.54
0.59
Q.26
0.55\
0.78
0.72J
0.59^
0.44
0.4Z
o.aij
0.691
0.6QJ
0.511
0.44
0.70.
0.90
0.79
0.77J
1 .01
0.77
1.31J
G.80\
0.35
0.89
1.12"
1 .05
1 .29.
0.621
0.82
0.95;
0 .63
1 .23
1 .00.
0.74
0.98j
0.8L
i .02
0,419
1 ,792
2,456
2,454
1 ,515
1 ,604
1,599
1 ,758
1 ,777
2,069
2,134
1 ,671
1 ,921
2,057
2,090
2,457
1 ,978
1 ,993
1,972
1 ,951
1 ,805
1 ,742
2,122
2,284
2,031
1 ,921
1 ,948
__ 1,985
1 ,939
1 ,828
2,290
2,348
' 1,671
1 ,704
\ 1,937
1,956
1 ,749
2,403
2,428
1,526
1,628
1 ,622
1,745
1 ,733
2,030
2,080
1 ,653
1 ,905
1 ,943
1 ,964
2,376
1 ,348
1 ,861
1 ,357
1 ,815
1 ,674
1 .607
1 ,992
2,085
1 ,351
1 ,774
1 ,803
1 , 367
1 ,841
1 ,708
2,120
2,314
1 ,605
1 ,653
1 ,850
I ,935
101 .5
98.9
98.1
102.0
103.5
102.6
107.7
106.0
101 .8
90 .6
99.3
105.3
105.7
103.4
95.3
99.4
101.2
102.7
97.9
100. 1'
107.2
110.0
99.5
123.3
96.4
105. 1
93. 1
109.9
1 17.0
102.7
93.0
1 10.4
111.2
109.0
ioc .5

-------
                     Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                      101-H ROOF  MONITOR RESULTS 1983
DATE
LOG
                   TEST
                 P F LB   G  F  LB   T F LB
                                                         ACFM
SCFM
Y. ISO
83/01/10
83/01/11
83/01/12
83/02/07
83/02/08
83/02/09
83/02/28
83/03/01
83/03/02
83/03/28
83/03/29
83/03/30
83/05/02
83/05/03
83/05/04
83/06/06
83/06/07
33/06/08
83/07/11
83/07/12
83/07/13
83/08/08
83/08/09
33/08/10
83/09/12
83/09/13
83/09/14
83/ 10/10
83/10/11
83/10/12
83/11/07
83/1 1/08
83/1 1/09
83/1 1/2B
83/0 ' /29
W *^/ ft d s *~ f
01 / 1 1 /QO
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
. 101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
i c :, -'-
i n 1 -w
002
004
006
026
028
030
036
038
040
052
054
055
074
076
078
086
083
090
108
110
112
113
120
122
145
147
149
163
170
172
194
196
198
206
208
? \ n
0.30
0.34
0.41
0.25
0.37
0.38
0.21
0.35
0.30
0.31
0.32
0.25
0.34
0.33
0.46
0.26
0.32
0.27
0.34
0.25
0.25
0.31
0.35
0.40
0.24
0.25
0.33
0.22
0.29
0.36
0.32
0.24
0.13
0.28
Q .45
Q .39
0.35
0.58
0.37
0.56
0.37
0.63
Q.28
0.70
0.32
0.46
0.36
0.34
0.71
0.40
0.61
0.69
0.66
0.51
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.51
0.81
0.75
0.53
0.50
0.62
0.42
0.60
0.56
0.50
0.67
0.76
0.43
0.41
0 .53
0.65
0.92
0.78
0.81
0.74
1 .01
0.49
1 .05
0.62
0.78
0.69
0.59
1 .05
0.73
1 .07
0.95
0.99
0.73
1 .04
0.95
0.95
0.83
1 .16
1 .14
0.77
0.75
0.95
0.64
0.89
0.92
0.82
0.91
0.94
0.72
0.87
0.92
1 ,874
1 ,915
1 ,930
1,781
2,213
2,151
1,978
1,977
1 ,996
1 ,892
1 ,900
1 ,814
1 ,990
2,146
2,426
1 ,664
1 ,915
1 ,922
2,007
1 ,732
1 ,732
2,048
2,176
2,056
1 ,846
1 ,974
1 ,934
1 ,312
1 ,357
2,055
1 ,744
1 ,782
1 ,803
1 ,652
1 ,782
1 ,859
1 ,848
1 ,881
1 ,921
1 ,736
2,207
2,125
1 ,971
1 ,924
1 ,920
1 ,324
1 ,898
1,794
1 ,894
2,017
2,320
1 ,531
1 ,787
1 ,793
1 ,851
1,588
1 ,588
1 ,374
2,011
1 ,931
1 ,681
1 ,834
1 ,804
1 ,729
1 ,282
1 ,902
1 ,717
1 ,674
1 ,724
1 ,544
1 ,724
1 ,313
104.6
103.2
104.9
103.2
97. Q
105.1
103.1
107.0
99.4
98.3
97.2
100.1
108.3
107.8
100.3
107.2
103.0
100.3
1 10.3
112.9
112.9
107.4
100.7
103.3
107.0
103.4
99.4
101 .1
118.5
102.5
104.8
102. 1
95.9
98.9
105.0
101.5

-------
                                      Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                                          103-G ROOF MONITOR RESULTS 1983
i
i—>
INJ
                   DATE
LOC
TEST #
P F LB
G F LB    T F LB
                                                                             ACFM
                                                       SCFM
'/. ISO
83/01/17
83/01/18
83/01/19
83/01/31
83/02/01
83/02/02
83/03/08
83/03/09
83/03/10
83/04/04
83/04/05
83/04/06
83/04/25
83/04/26
83/04/27
83/06/13
83/06/14
83/06/15
83/07/05
83/07/06
83/07/07
83/08/15
83/08/16
33/03/17
83/09/06
83/09/07
83/09/08
83/10/17
83/10/18
83/10/19
83/10/31
83/11/01
83/11/02
33/12/05
83/12/06
:3": ••• \ -?/n7 .
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
"< H3-R
007
009
Oil
019
021
023
041
043
045
057
059
061
067
069
071
091
093
095
103
105
101
123
125
127
138
140
142
173
175
177
187
139
191
21 1
213
2 i 5
0.16
0.29
0.42 •
0.50
0.59
0.41
0.28
0.27
0.33
0.35
0.33
0.24
0.20
0.21
0.23
0.49
0.57
0.58
0.48
0.33
0.53
0.30
0.56
0.88
0.23
0.21
0.30
0.37
0.28
0.31
0.40
0.39
0.36
0.41
0 ,49
0 .35
0.16
0.21
0.37
0.47
0.66
0.38
0.32
0.32
0.17
0.36
0.47
0.37
0.23
0.2.
0.21
0.65
0.62
0.45
0.37
0.34
0.43
0.49
0.65
0.47
0.33
0.30
0.44
0.50
0.45
0.49
0.51
0.57
0.56
0.55
0.53
0 .32
0.32
0.49
0.80
0.97
1 .25
0.79
0.60
0.59
0.50
0.71
0.80
0.61
0.43
0.42
0.45
1 .14
1 .19
1 .03
0.85
0.67
1 .01
0.79
1 .21
1 .35
0.55
0.51
0.74
0.37
>. (tfTs^p.
0.30
0.92
0.95
0.92
0.96
1 .02
0,63
1 ,147
1 ,834
1 ,754
1 ,968
2,073
2,074
1 ,841
2,032
2,048
2,030
2,398
2,542
1 ,557
1 ,656
1 ,597
1 ,863
1 ,946
1 ,991
1 ,823
1 ,795
1 ,333
1 ,823
1 ,820
1 ,736
1,796
1,317
1 ,783
1 ,985
731 ,989
1 ,991
2,008
2,209
2,133
2,207
2,243
2.. 0 1 4
1 ,144
1 ,854
1 ,789
1 ,926
2,016
1,957
1 ,763
1 ,934
2,047
2,024
2,355
2,484
1 ,508
1 ,612
1 ,543
1 ,769
1 ,361
1 ,379
1 ,686
1 , 687
1 ,694
1 ,725
1 .758
1 ,647
1 ,667
1 ,679
1 .658
1 ,916
1 ,897
1 ,895
1 ,990
2, 143
2,074
2,129
2,123 .
. 2,003
103.3
100.6
95.0
104.6
104.2
102.4
108.1
98.6
100.7
101 .5
107.1
104.7
102.3
101 .4
104.7
103.3
96.4
103.2
106.5
104.2
103.2
95.0
90.6
107.7
102.5
102,2
96.6
104.5
94.3
103.3
102.1
98.0
100.3
101.9
105.5
96.4

-------
                                         Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                                          103-H ROOF  MONITOR RESULTS 1983
                   DATE
LOG
TEST
P F LB
G F LB
                                                                    T F LB
                                              ACFM
SCFM
'/. ISO
CO
83/01/17
33/01/13
83/01/19
83/01/31
83/02/01
83/02/02
83/03/08
83/03/09
83/03/10
83/04/04
83/04/05
33/04/06
83/04/25
33/04/26
£3/04/27
33/06/13
33/06/14
83/06/15
83/07/05
33/07/06
33/07/07
33/08/15
33/08/16
33/08/17
83/09/06
S 3/0 9/0 7
33/09/03
33/10/17
83/10/13
33/10/19
83/10/31
33/1 1/01
33/11/02
33/12/05
83/12/06
83/1 2/^7
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
1Q3-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
008
010
012
020
022
024
042
044
046
053
060
062
068
070
072
092
094
096
104
106
102
124
126
123
139
141
143
174
176
173
133
190
192
212
214
216
0.15
0.34
0.17
0.27
0.47
0.36
1 .13
0.56
0.31
0.31
0.28
0.32
0.33
0.41
0.46
0.30
0.47
0.35
0.51
0.46
0.40
0.26
0.31
0.25
0.30
0.30
0.35
0.17
0.35
0.33
0.31
0.33
0.24
0.27
0.33
0.30
0.13
0.17
0.10
0.56
0.60
0.34
0.54
0.47
0.32
0.32
0.49
0.45
0.40
0.53
0.55
0.48
0.47
0.51
1 0.57
0.59
0.40
0.42
0.55
0.46
0.59
0 .57
C .61
0.33
0.46
0.33
0.40
0.35
0.37
0.43
0.64
0 .29
0.33
0.51
0.27
0.33
1 .03
0.70
1 .67
1 .03
0.62
0.62
0.77
0.77
0.73
0.94
1 .01
0.78
0 .94
0 . 36
1 .03
1 .05
0.79
0.63
0.36
0.71
0.39
0 .37
C .96
0.55
0.30
0.71
0 .71
0.68
0.61
0.76
0 .97
0.53
1 ,152
1 ,834
1 .617
1 ,890
2,043
2,034
2,424
2,406
2,421
2,421
2,710
2,679
2,434
2,191
2,061
2,261
2,211
"•> 1 i c
«. , i i -•
2,046
2,090
1 , 937
2,032
2,215
2,265
2,010
2,074
2,036
1 ,915
2, 161
1 ,330
2,048
1 ,919
1 ,936
1 ,63i
1 ,580
1 ,736
1 ,148
1 ,364
1 ,676
1 ,332
1 ,954
1 ,971
2,312
2,256
2,361
2,361
2,610
2,527
2,342
2,085
1 , 970
2,149
2,063
1 ,967 .
1 ,391
1 , 922
1 ,816
1,912
2,077
2,111
1 . 33?
1 ,335
1 .930
1 ,333
2,063
1 ,795
1 ,994
1 ,866
1 ,336
1 ,607
1 , 530
1,71 9
135.6
94.0
92.3
103.9
104.4
100.2
108.8
99.9
98.6
98.6
100.3
97.2
104.1
108.3
103.4
99.5
105.7
1 10.0
105.3
109.3
120.0
109.9
91 .7
98.2
106.8
100.6
102.6
107.5
95.9
106.2
101 .3
103.5
107.7
104.4
107.3
94.0

-------
                                     Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                                      101-G ROOF MONITOR RESULTS 1984
I
I—«
^
                 DATE
LOG
TEST**
P F LB
G F LB    T F LB
ACFM
SCFM
ISO
34/01/09
34/01/10
84/01/11
84/02/06
84/02/07
84/02/08
84/02/27
84/02/28
84/02/29
84/04/09
84/04/10
34/04/11
84/04/30
34/05/01
84/05/02
34/06/11
84/06/12
34/06/13
84/07/02
34/07/03
84/07/04
34/08/13
84/08/14
34/08/15
84/09/04
34/09/05
84/09/06
34/10/15
84/10/17

84/10/29
84/10/30
34/10/31
34/12/10
84/12/1 1,
3 4/1 2. '-12
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
1 0 1 -G
101-G
101-G
101-G

101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
! 0 1 -G
\ o :, -3
218
220
222
243
247
249
251
253
255
269
271
273
275
277
279
237
239
291
306
308
310
324
326
328
330
332
334
353
355
357
371
373
375
399
401
403
0.28
0.21
0.39
0.46
0 .36
0.43
0.50
0.45
0.35
0.55
0.39
0 .46
0.25
0.30
0.40
0.40
0.43
0.24
0.22
0.23
0 .20
0.62
0.33
0.39
0.35
0 .37
0 .3?
0 .53
0 .45
0 .40
0 .39
0 .36
0 .33
0 .18
0 .33
0 -27
0.59
0.48
0.45
0.41
0.29
0,37
0.43
0.41
0.36
0.43
0.36
0.38
0.39
• 0.33
0.43
0.34
0.31
0.37
0 .62
0.34
0.40
0.62
0.29
0 .47
0.27
0.49
0.32
0.50
0.56
0.53
0.41
0.42
0.42
0 .30
0 .26
e - 23
0.8?
0.69
0.34
0.86
0.65
0 .80,
0.92
0.35
0.71.
0.98
0.76
0.34
2,000
1 ,933
2,290
2,137
1 ,945
1 ,777
1 ,997
2,136
1 ,616
1 ,786
2,244
1 ,689
0.64\ 1,896
0.631
0.83
0.74
0.74
0.61
0.84
0.57
0 .60,
1 .23
0.62
— Q . 36,
0.6l
0.87
0.71
1 .04
1 .01
0.92
2,009
1 ,741
1 .980
1 ,953
1 ,359
2,077
2,092
2,130
2,037
2,073
2,004
2,047
2,153
2,177
2.273
2.040
2', 136
0.31"] 2,23C
0.73 2,075
0.74J 2,078
0 . 43n
0.59
G . 5*
1 ,415
1 ,461
1 ,389
*
1 ,955
1 ,894
2,267
2,130
1 , 966
1 ,790
1,930
2,111
1 ,622
1 ,723
2,210
1 ,644
1 .787
1 ,926
1 ,645
1 .852
1 ,312
1 ,723
1 ,940
2,004
1 ,972
1 ,876
1 .398
1 ,345
1.911
2,038
2,069
2,157
1 .924
2,004
2,077
1 ,974
1 , 968
1 ,386
1 , 429
1 ,861
97.5
109.0
36.2
93.2
93.2
101 .3
109.1
101 .2
103.5
106.8
97.3
104.5
103. 1
100.0
105.3
101 .9
102.7
112.5
108.7
109.5
103.8
107.3
107.1
107.6
1 14.9
99.8
100.7
102.4
1 10 .4
106.9
107.4
105.3
108.2
104.7
105.3
99. 1

-------
                     Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                      101-H ROOF MONITOR RESULTS  1984
DATE
LOG
TEST*
P F LB
G F LB    T F LB
                                                         ACFM
                                                      SCFM
                                                       7. ISO
84/01/09
34/01/10
34/01/11'
84/02/06
84/02/07
84/02/08
84/02/27
84/02/28
84/02/29
84/04/09
84/04/10
34/04/11
84/04/30
34/05/01
34/05/02
34/06/1 1
34/06/12
34/06/13
84/07/02
84/07/03
84/07/04
34/03/13
34/03/14
34/08/15
34/09/04
84/09/05
34/09/06
34/10/15
84/10/17

84/10/29
84/10/30
34/10/31
34/12/10
&&/?.?./'. 1
S <•-.-' '" ' 2
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
1 3 1 -ri
101-H
101-H
101-H

101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
* 0 A -H
; 7 . -k'
219
221
223
246
248
250
252
254
256
270
272
274
276
273
280
288
290
292
307
309
311
325
327
329
331
333
335
354
356
358
372
374
376
400
402
4Qd
0.29
0.25
0.47
0.73
0.38
0.25
0.22
0.43
0.43
0.34
0.40
0.26
0.28
0.34
0.22
0.27
0 .66
0.29
0.30
0.21
0.28
0.42
0.41
0.50
0.37
0.46
0.25
0.37
0.48
0.32
0.30
0.39
0.42
0.30
0 .41
0,60
0.46
0.57
0.65
0.43
0.40
0.26
0.47
0.53
0.34
0.44
0.31
0.38
0.43
0.59
0.37
0.42
0.45
0.42
0.39
0.53
0.53
0.49
0.58
0.62
0.48
0.56
0.24
0.74
0.65
0.34
0.73
0.45
0.72
0.42
0.52
0.67
0.74
0.32
1.12
1 .16
0.79
0.51
0.68
0.96
0.77
0.78
1 .21
0.64
0.77
0.93
0.59
0.70
1.11
0.71
0.70\
0.73
0.81-1
0.9H
0.99
1.12)
0.82)
1 .02
0 . 49J
1 .11)
1 .13
0 . 67j
1 .03"
0.34
1 .14,
0.72
0 .93
' O"7
A . £* r '
1 ,647
1 ,421
1 ,730
1 ,347
1 ,745
1 ,629
1 ,628
1 ,574
2,030
1 ,303
2,063
t ,752
1 ,797
1 ,361
1 ,319
1 ,734
1 .949
2,025
1 ,739
1 , 769
1 ,757
2,133
1 ,931
2.234
2,077
2,147
2, 195
1 ,998
1 ,781
1 ,39^
1 , 995
2,023
2 . 349
1 ,477
i , 688
1 ,948
1 .616
1 ,371
1 ,672
1 ,319
1 .763
1 ,650
1 ,571
1 ,554
2,027
1 ,746
2,017
1 ,725
1 ,732
1 ,749
1 ,764
1 ,642
1 ,377
1 ,908
1 ,656
1 ,637
1 ,632
• 1 ,947
1 .794
2,034
1 ,917
2,103
2,036
1 ,397
1 ,668
1 ,776
"\ 1 , 852
! 1,391
J 2,210
1 1 , 425
1 1 , 635
j 1,901
84. 1
113.5
93.5
117.4
104.5
95.3
103.4
105.7
95.2
113.3
100.4
108.0
109.3
93.1
103.4
102.3
106.4
99.0
102.6
102.9
107.1
99.9
106.3
101 .6
102.6
111.4
105.7
109.1
110.2
109.4
105.3
99.9
100.3
102.3
1 12.3
104.3

-------
                    Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.



                     103-6 ROOF MONITOR RESULTS  1984
DATE
LOG
TEST**
P F LB    G F LB
                                               T F LB
ACFM
SCFM
'/. ISO
84/01/16
84/01/17
84/01/18
84/01/30
84/01/31
84/02/01
84/03/05
84/03/06
84/03/07
84/04/02
84/04/03
84/04/04
84/05/14
84/05/15
84/05/16
34/06/05
84/06/06
34/06/07
84/07/16
84/07/17
84/07/18
84/08/07
84/08/08
84/03/09
84/09/10
34/09/1 1
34/09/12
34/10/01
34/10/02
84/10/03
84/11/05
84/1 1/06
84/11/07
34/12/03
34/12/04
34/12/05
103-Q
103-Q
103-0
103-0
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
224
226
228
233
235
237
257
259
261
263
265
267
281
233
235
293
295
297
312
314
316
313
320
322
336
333
340
347
349
351
377
379
331
393
39=
397
0.25
0.34
0.24
0.28
0.25
0.25
0.37
0.34
0.33
0.50
0.47
0.34
0.23
0.43
0.45
0.42
0.42
0.50
0.41
0.52
0.40
0.37
0.34
0.29
0.24
0.33
0.29
0.45
0.33
0.26
0.15
0.32
0.47
0.50
J .44
0 .411
0.33
0.52
0.46
0.29
0.23
0.30
0.39
0.23
0.43
0.44
0.63
0.40
0.37
0.46
0.51
0 .51
0.52
0.48
0.39
0.46
0.63
0.34
0.40
0.45
G.47
0.37
0.30
0.31
0.23
0.23
0.34
0.43
0.26
0.52
.
0 .59
0.63
0.36
0.70
0.57
0.53
0.55
0.75
0.62
0.74
0.94
1 .10
0.74
0.61
0.38
0.96
0.94
0.94
0.98
0.30
0.98
1 .08
0.71
0.74
0.74
0.71
0.70
0 .59
0.76
0.56
0.49
0.49
0.73
0.72
1 .01
0 . 93
1 .00
1 ,603
1 ,456
2,024
1 ,683
1,733
1,573
1 ,460
1 ,504
1 ,574
2,195
2,026
1 ,711
1 ,723
2,039
1 .634
1 ,915
2,029
1 ,974
2,189
2,032
2,073
1 , 942
1 ,696
1 ,776
2,175
2,402
2,344
2,727
2,228
2.344
2,292
2,076
2,240
2,303
2,367
1 ,997
1 ,581
1 ,445
1 ,977
1 ,666
1 ,757
1 ,598
1 ,383
1 ,414
1 ,539
2,162
1 ,956
1 ,620
1 ,607
1 ,91 1
1 ,634
1 ,762
1 ,873
1 ,861 ...
2,025
1 ,966
1 ,923
1 ,792
1 ,571
1 ,622
2,028
2,234
2,170
2,624
2,171
2.231
2,209
2,029
2,228
2,241
2.339
1 , ?*3
105.1
102.8
108.0
104.2
93.9
95.5
107.8
113.9
101 .1
95.5
105.2
103.4
105.4
96.7
103.7
103.1
91 .5
100.3
99.9
101 .9
101 .0
99.1
107.5
102.1
103.3
107.9
102.3
105.2
108.6
102.3
98.1
109.1
103.7
105.3
102.1
106. 1

-------
                   Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
DATE
LOG
  103-H  ROOF MONITOR  RESULTS 1984




TEST**    P F LB   G  F  LB   T F LB    ACFM
                                                                 3CFM
                                                              '/.  ISO
34/01/16
84/01/17
84/0 1/rB
84/01/30
84/01/31
84/02/01
84/03/05
84/03/06
84/03/07
84/04/02
84/04/03
84/04/04
34/05/14^
84/05/15
84/05/16J
34/06/05]
84/06/06
34/06/OTj
84/07/16
34/07/17
34/07/18
84/08/07
34/03/08
34/08/09
34/09/10
34/09/1 1
84/09/12
34/10/01
84/10/02
34/10/03
84/1 1/05
34/1 1/06
84/1 1/07
34/12/03
84/12/04
84/12/05
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
225
227
229
234
236
238
258
260
262
264
266
263
282
234
286
294
296
298
313
315
317
319
321
323
337
339
341
348
350
352
373
330
382
394
396
398
0.33
0.27
0.43
0.31
0.24
0.21
0.26
0.33
0.50
0.31
0.23
0.54
C.52
0.47
.0.39
0.37
0.38
0.21
0.36
0.36
0.38
0.49
0.33
0.41
0 .30
0.43
0.35
0.46
0 .28
0.27
0.49
0.41
0.42
0 .23
0 .37
0 .37
0.30
0.34
0.39
0.46
0.30
0.27
0.37
0.51
0.62
0.40
0.55
0.32
0.53
0.39
0.39
0.53
0.50
0.46
0.50
0.60
0.46
0.96
0.94
0.76
0.37
0.59
0.57
0.52
0.38
0.32
0 .53
0.28
0.34
0.57
0.38
0 .20
0.64
0.61
0.82
0.77
0.54
0.48
0.63
0.84
1 .12
0.71
0.33
1 .37
1.10
0.36
0.79
0 .91
0.38
0 .63
0.36
0.96
0.84
1 .45
1 .32
1 .17
0.67
1 .02
0.92
0.98
0.67
0.59
1 .02
0 .69
0.76
0.30
0.75
0 .57
1 ,491
1 ,543
1 ,465
1 ,502
1 ,470
1 ,231
1 ,964
1 ,913
1 ,388
1 ,893
1 ,787
1 ,356
2,046
1 ,396
1 ,733
2,006
2,161
1 ,634
1 , 975
2,111
1 ,872
2,160
1 ,358
1 ,393
2,238
2 , 349
2,253
2_415
2,322
2,307
2,031
2, 123
2,243
2,374
2,480
1 , 633
1 ,478
1 ,513
1 ,424
1 ,459
1 ,453
1 ,242
1 ,882
1 ,313
1 ,873
1 ,355
1 ,749
1 ,749
1 ,930
1 ,751
1 ,761
1 ,398
1 ,996
1 ,5i4
1 ,826
1,919
1 ,729
1 , 972
1 ,632
1 ,708
2,035
2,205
2,051
2,301
2,250
2,214
1 ,923
2,063
2,231
2,305
2,454
1 , 532
99.8
1 10 .0
105.3
106. 1
1 13.1
112. 1
100.6
95.9
105.5
93.0
102.6
100 .0
102.3
93.0
103.3
107
92.2
109. 6
113.1
111.6
111.9
98.9
101 . 1
95.3
110.0
113.0
105.6
107.7
111.6
105.5
100 .3
103.2
99.0
104.3
107.9
106.9

-------
             DATE
                                    Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
LOG
     101-G  ROOF MONITOR RESULTS 1985


TEST**    P  F LB   G F LB   T  F LB    ACFM
                                                                                SCFM
                       ISC
85/01/07
35/01/08
35/01/09
35/02/11
85/0 2/ 12
35/02/13
35/03/04
85/03/05
85/03/06
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
405
407
409
426
428
430
435
437
439
0.420
0.450
0.250
0.370
0.410
0.140
0.203
0.209
0.378
0.2500
0.2000
0.2200
0.6700
0.4300
0.3100
0.3580
0.3720
0.3000
0.670
0.650
0.470
1 .040
0.830
0.450
0.566
0.530
0.679
1 ,567.0
1 ,543.0
1 ,548.0
1 ,320.0
1 ,474.0
1 ,440.0
2,251 .0
1 ,556.0
1 ,607.8
1 ,545.0
1 ,525.0
1 ,536.0
1 ,763.0
1 ,450.0
1 ,420.0
2,165.0
1 ,485.0
1 ,581 .7
103.4
106.0
107.0
106.6
1 12.7
105.9
104.2
112.7
109.0
I
I—>
CO
             DATE
LOG
                                    101-H ROOF MONITOR RESULTS  1985
TEST**
                                        P F LB
                         G F LS
                           T F  LB
ACFM
SCFM
Y. ISO
85/01/07
35/01/08
85/01/09
85/02/11
85/02/12
85/02/13
35/03/04
85/03/05
85/03/06
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
406
408
410
427
429
431
436
433
440
0.370
0.540
0.700
0.370
0.160
0.090
0.582
0.303
0.377
0.400
0.460
0.710
0.360
0.300
0.330
0.510
0.612
0.193
0.770
0.990
1 .410
0.730
0.960
0.420
1 .093
0.920
0.570
1 ,484.0
1 , 857 . 0
1 ,817.0
976.0
1 ,564.0
1 ,387.0
1 ,655.0
1 ,511 .6
1 ,946.1
1 ,436.0
1 ,311 .0
1 ,788.0
955.0
1 ,529.0
1 ,363.0
1 ,603.0
1 ,433.2
1 ,921 .5
100.2
104.3
94.8
102.4
106.3
105.5
109.2
103.2
107.6

-------
DATE
 .oc
 Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.









   103-G ROOF MONITOR RESULTS 1935




TEST**    P F LB   G F LB   T  F LB   ACFM
SCFM
                                                                          ISO
85/01/14
35/01/15
85/01/16
85/02/04
85/02/05
85/02/06
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
411
413
415
420
422
424
0.16
0.17
0.27
0.41
0.20
0.23
0.14
0. 13
0.32
0.42
0.41
0.49
0 .30
0.35
0.58
0.82
0.61
0.72
1 ,630
1 ,532
1 ,361
2,304
2,049
2,077
1 ,602
1 ,563
1 ,354
2,277
2,030
1 ,983
103.2
103.1
107.5
102.3
103.6
108.3
DATE
LOC
  103-H  ROOF  MONITOR RESULTS  1985




TESTS    P  F LB   G F LB   T F  LB    ACFM
SCFM
ISO
35/01/14
85/01/15
85/01/16
85/02/04
85/02/05
35/02/06
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
412
414
416
421
423
425
0.25
0.23
0.15
0.41
0.26
0.22
0.19
0.26
0.13
0.33
0 .37
0.33
0.45
0.43
0.33
0.73
0.63
0.55
1 ,079
1 ,265
1 ,202
2,430
1 ,526
1 ,463
1 ,065
1 ,254
1 ,209
2,451
1 ,531
1 ,435
103.4
106.3
94.0
100.1
112.3
103.4

-------
                                     Table A-l. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                                      101-G  ROOF MONITOR  RESULTS  1985
                 DATE
LOG
TEST**
P F LB
G F LB    T F LB
ACFM
SCFM
V. ISO
ro
o
85/01/07
85/01/08
85/01/09
85/02/11
85/02/12
85/02/13
85/03/04
85/03/05
85/03/06
85/04/16
85/04/17
85/04/18
85/05/06
85/05/07
85/05/08
85/06/10
85/06/11
85/06/12
85/07/08
85/07/09
85/07/10
85/08/12
85/08/13
85/08/14
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
101-G
405
407
409
426
428
430
435
437
439
455
457
459
461
463
465
485
487
489
497
499
501
515
517
519
0.420
0.450
0.250
0.370
0.410
0.140
0.210
0.210
0 . 38 C
0.270
0.290
0.240
0.320
0.430
0.190
0.200
0.540
0.300
0.284
0.311
0.343
0.636
0.385
0.426
0.250
0.200
0.220
0.670
0.430
0.310
0.360
0.370
0.300
0.210
0.390
0.390
0.380
0.390
0.200
0.410
0.360
0.340
0.419
0.321
0.316
0.314
0.459
0.542
0.670
0.650
0.470
1 .040
0.830
0.450
0.570
0 .580
0 .680.
0.480
0.680
0.630
0.700
0.820
0.390
0 .610
0.900
0.640
0.703
0.632
0.660
0 . 950
0.843
0.968
1 ,567
1 ,543
1 ,548
1 ,820
1 ,474
1 ,440
2,251
1 ,556
1 ,607
1 ,537
1 ,644
1 ,404
1 ,754
2,088
1 ,902
,735
,515
,543
,629
,420
1 ,521
1 ,795
2,283
2,231
1 ,545
1 ,525
1 ,536
1 ,763
1 ,450
1 ,420
2,165
1 ,485
1 ,581
1 ,472
1 ,572
1 , 354
1 ,680
1 ,972
1 ,809
1 ,591
1 ,405
1 ,438
1 ,513
1 ,307
1 , -533
1 ,666
2, 138
2,093
108.4
106.0
107.0
106.6
112.7
105.9
104.2
112.7
109.0
104.7
101 .2
103. 1
103.2
101 .7
106.2
1 15.4
111.6
105.8
107.0
99.1
102.3
96.9
96.6
96.0

-------
                                      Table A-l.  ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
                                    101-H  ROOF MONITOR  RESULTS 1985
I
ro
              DATE
LOG
TEST**
P F L8
G F LB    T F LB
                                                                        ACFM
                                                      SCFM
                                                       y.  iso
85/01/07
85/01/08
85/01/09
85/02/1 1
85/02/12
85/02/13
85/03/04
85/03/05
85/03/06
85/04/16
85/04/17
85/04/18
85/05/06
85/05/07
85/05/08
85/06/24
85/06/25
85/06/26
85/07/08
85/07/09
85/07/10
85/08/12
85/08/13
85/08/14
101-H
101 -H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
101-H
406
408
410
427
429
431
436
438
440
456
458
460
462
464
466
491
493
495
498
500
502
516
518
520
0.370
0.540
0.700
0.370
0.160
0.090
0.580
0.310
0.380
0.400
0.260
0.240
0.340
0.550
0.460
0.428
0.338
0.436
0.631
0.483
0.31 1
0.331
0.275
0.363
0.400
0 .460
0.710
0.360
0.800
0.330
0.510
0.610
0.190
0.450
0.430
0.340
0.530
0.630
0.640
0.584
0.440
0.556
0.643
0.523
0.484
0.420
0.425
0.307
0.770
0 . 990
1 .410
0.730
0.960
0.420
1 .090
0.920
0.570
0.840
0 .680
0.580
0.870
1 .180
1 .090
1 .012
0.778
0.993
1 .274
1 .007
0.795
0.751
0.700
0.671
1 ,484
1 , 357
1 ,817
976
1 ,564
1 ,387
1 ,655
1 ,511
1 ,946
1 ,664
1 ,488
1 ,628
1 ,695
2,225
2,096
2,280
2,019
1 ,847
2,290
2,193
1 ,948
1 ,944
1 ,858
1 ,936
1 ,436
1 ,81 1
1 ,738
955
1 ,529
1 ,363
1 ,603
1 ,438
1 ,921
1 ,572
1 ,419
1 ,573
1 ,604
2,072
1 ,995
2,116
1 ,893
1 ,696
2,104
2,000
1 ,760
1 ,784
1 ,713
1 ,788
100.2
104.3
94 . 8
102.4
106.8
105.5
109.2
108.2
107.6
111.2
111.0
115.1
110.8
111.9
112.7
99.8
109.9
106.5
107.4
110.6
114.8
102.0
102.8
106.0

-------
                                   Table A-l.  ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
ro
ro
           DATE
                                103-G  ROOF MONITOR  RESULTS 1985
LOG
                              TEST*
                P F LB
                                                G F  LB   T F LB
                                             ACFM
SCFM
'/. ISO
85/01/14
85/01/15
85/01/16
85/02/04
85/02/05
85/02/06
85/03/11
85/03/12
85/03/13
85/04/01
85/04/02
85/04/03
85/05/13
85/05/14
85/05/15
85/06/03
85/06/04
85/06/05
85/07/15
85/07/16
85/08/05
85/08/06
85/08/07
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
103-G
411
413
415
420
422
424
441
443
445
449
451
453
467
469
471
479
481
483
503
505
509
511
513
0. 160
0.170
0.270
0.410
0.200
0.230
0.460
0.270
0.290
0.360
0.400
0.260
0.690
0.600
0.470
0.370
0.460
0.440
0.408
0.298
0.436
0.629
0.350
0.140
0.180
0.320
0.420
0.410
0.490
0.380
0.480
0.320
0.150
0.490
0.260
0.520
0.440
0.670
0.550
0.480
0.410
0.446
0.730
0.437
0.346
0.573
0.300
0.350
0.580
0.820
0.610
0.720
0.830
0.750
0.610
0.510
0.890
0.510
1 .210
1 .040
1 .140
0.930
0.940
0.850
0.854
1 .028
0.873
0.975
0.923
1 ,630
1 ,532
1 ,361
2,304
2,049
2,077
1 ,975
1 ,707
1 ,625
1,582
1 ,508
1 ,633
1,737
1,956
2,424
2,023
1 ,963
2,176
1,559
1 ,624
1 ,656
1 ,837
2,054
1 ,602
1 ,563
1 ,354
2,277
2,030
1 ,983
1 ,940
1 ,635
1 ,580
1 ,538
1 ,481
1 ,603
1 ,625
1 ,819
2,257
1 ,846
1 ,791
2,007
1 ,440
1 ,491
1 ,565
1 ,726
i ,918
103.2
108.1
107.5
102.3
103.6
108.8
94.9
109.3
98.4
108.8
89.9
105.3
106.0
97.3
98.5
107.7
110.1
106.3
112.8
105.2
101 .3
102.6
iOG.3

-------
                                   Table A-Il. ALUMAX ROOF MONITOR DATA.
CO
             DATE
                                  103-H ROOF MONITOR RESULTS  1985
LOG
TEST*
                                         P F LB    G  F LB   T F  LB
                                             ACFM
                                               SCFM
'/. ISO
85/01/14
85/01/15
85/01/16
85/02/04
85/02/05
85/02/04
85/03/11
85/03/12
85/03/13
85/04/01
85/04/02
85/04/03
85/05/13
85/05/14
85/05/15
85/06/24
85/06/25
85/06/26
85/07/15
85/07/16
85/08/05
85/08/06
85/08/07
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
103-H
I03-H
103-H
103-H
412
414
416
421
423
425
442
444
446
450
452
454
468
470
472
492
494
496
504
506
510
512
514
0.250
0.230
0.150
0.410
0.260
0.220
0.510
-0 .490
0.510
0.390
0.330
0.440
0.140
0.430
0.440
0.501
0.323
0.355
0.220
0.520
0.454
0 .432
0 .340
0.1900
0.2600
0.1800
0.3300
0.3700
0.3300
0.3100
0.6500
0.3300
0.4400
0.3700
0.4200
0.5600
0.5600
0.5800
0.6150
0.4190
0.6440
0.5680
0.5611
0.4290
0.5600
0.5020
0.450
0.480
0 .330
0.730
0 . 530
0.550
0.820
1 .140
0.830
0.820
0.700
0.860
0.700
0.990
1 .020
1.116
0.742
0.998
0.788
1 .081
0.883
1 .040
0.842
1 ,079
1 ,265
1 ,202
2,430
1 ,526
1 ,468
1 ,803
1 ,646
1 ,576
1 ,695
2,523
1 ,513
2,252
2,222
2,208
2,440
1 ,924
1 ,790
2,144
2,234
2,348
2,210
2,242
1 ,065
1 ,254
1 ,209
2,451
1 ,531
1 ,435
1 ,761
1 ,552
1 ,520
1 ,677
2,550
1 ,480
2,104
2,054
2.046
2,257
1 ,762
1 ,622
1 ,964
2,042
2, 198
2,063
2,070
103.4
106.3
94.0
100 . 1
112:8
103.4
95.3
104. 1
96 . 4
104.0
98.0
106.2
104.5
102.8
111.2
96.7
102.0
97.4
96.2
108.4
102.4
98.5
104.0

-------
TABLE
        EMISSIONS  SUMMARY 161 EAST.
DATE
81/01/19
81/01/20
81/02/17
81/03/10
81/03/11
81/04/06
81/05/12
81/05/13
81/06/08
81/07/07
81/07/08
81/08/11
81/08/12
81/09/01
81/09/02
81/10/05
81/10/06
81/11/10
81/12/01
81/12/02
82/01/12
82/01/13
82/02/03
LOCATION
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E
TEST**
015
016
017
020
021
022
007
008
009
013
014
015
040
041
042
065
066
067
092
093
094
119
120
121
135
137
138
154
156
157
180
178
179
191
192
193
219
220
221
225
226
227
AL/P/D
2,932.7
2,932.7
2,935.0
2,913.4
2.913.4
2,913.4
2,920.0
2,924.3
2,924.3
2,952.8
2,952.8
2,952.8
2,876.4
2,840.9
2,840.9
2,957.1
2,957.1
2,957.1
2,980.8
2,980.8
2,980.2
2,863.6
2,863.6
2,360 .0
2.860.2
2.828.5
2,822.5
2,869.0
2,870.4
2,870.4
2,882.9
2,882.9
2,882.9
3,046.6
3,045.3
3,045.3
3,018.0
3,018.1
3,015.8
3,036.1
3,036.1
3,038.0
7. ISO

106.4
101.3
107.1
98.8
105.3
97.1
94.7
94.1
99.4
96.7
104.1
104.4
105.6
91 .5
103.3
112.4
98.2
103.2
98.6
108.7
94.0
102.3
92.4
93.8
114.6
97.9
115.9
82.7
105.7
87.0
96.1
100.7
102.2
100.9
98.3
101.2
98.5
96.4
105.4
T F LB/T
0.0181
0.024/
0 . 0 1 8J
0.029]
0.027
0.04£
0.014]
0.020|
0.018J
0.030"
0.057
0.020
0.035"
0.155
0.056J
0.093"
0.058
0.07Q,
0.074A
0.058]
O.OS5J
0. 107^
0.067J
0 .06?]
0.079n
0.063
0.064^j
0.047]
0.0381
0.040J
0.026]
0.044
0.040J
0.07ll
0.079
0.059J
0.017
0.020
O.Oli
0.0481
0.034
0.037..

-------
TABLE A-2.  DRY SCRUBBER
EMISSIONS SUMMARY 161  EAST.
DATE
82/03/09
82/03/10
82/04/06
82/04/07

82/04/27
82/04/28
83/09/22

83/09/23
84/10/08
84/10/09
84/10/12


LOCATI
161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E

161-E
161-E
161-E

161-E
161-E
161-E
161-E


ON TEST**
243
244
246
257
258
259
275
276
277
158
159
160
365
366
367
AVERAGE :
COUNT: 57
AL/P/D
2,968.8
2,968.8
2,962.7
3,029.0
3,030.4
3,030.4
2,997.9
2,997.9
3,000.5
3,050.4
3,050.4
3,055.8
3,097.2
3,091 .5
3,094.1
2,958.2

X ISO
101 .7
96.8
100.8
100.1
108.3
101 .1
117.4
108.4
105.7
106.8
103.4
102.6
108.4
110.1
116.1
101 .9

T F LB/T
0.013^
0.015
0.01?J
0.032"
0 .022
0 .037,
0.04«Tl
0.049
0.032J
0.06H
0 .045
0.055-
0.020"^
0.018
0.1 33J
0.046

                 A-25

-------
TABLE A-2.
DRY 3c£u#
EMISSIONS SUMMARY 161  WEST.
DATE
81/01/12\
)
81/01/1§X
8 1/0 2/0 2^
81/02/03J

81/03/09


81/03/31

81/04/OJ
81/05/11


81/06/09


81/07/08
81/07/09

81/08/10


81/08/31


81/10/07

81/10/08
81/11/09


81/11/30


82/01/11


82/02/01



LOCATION
161-W

161-W
161-W
161-W

161-W


161-W

161-W
161-W


161-W


161-W
161-W

161-W


161-W


161-W

161-W
161-W


161-W


161-W


161-W



TEST*
009
010
Oil
023
024
025
005
006
004
010
Oil
012
037
038
039
068
069
070
095
096
097
116
117
118
132
133
134
158
159
160
177
175
176
188
189
190
216
217
218
222
223
224

AL/P/D
2,929.4
2,994.4
2,911 .8
2,985.8
2,982.9
2,982.9
2,917.8
2,917.8
2,917.3
2,956.5
2,956.5
2,956.5
2,864.8
2,864.8
2 , 864 . 8
2,980.0
2,980.0
2,980.0
2,980.8
2,975.5
2,975.5
2,874.8
2,874.8
2,874.8
2,828.3
2,828.3
2,828.3
2,870.2
2,870.2
2,877.9
2,887.3
2,887.3
2,887.3
3,048.9
3,048.9
3,048.9
3,017.4
3,017.4
3,017.4
3,032.1
3,032.1
3,032.1
A-26
y. iso



90.4
107.8
94.8
100.4
105.1
101 .0
108.8
102.3
96.4
93.9
102.6
100.7
101 .7
100.7
94.1
114.5
109.4
110.0
105.2
112.7
102.6
107.3
89.8
89.4
112.5
99.5
99.0
86.6
98.1
87.9
104.9
102.7
96.1
91 .8
91 .5
100.9
91 .0
103.7
91 .3

T F LB/T
0.028s)
0.032
0.1147
0.021\
0.018
0.021J
0.2051
0.023
0.028,
0.021]
0.020 1
0.015/
0.052~1
0.370
0.035^
0 . 364"
0.181
0.243-
0.035")
0.100
0.083>
0.070^
0.081
0.070-
0.070
0.107
0.085_
0.087]
0.039
0.040
0.057]
0.039
0.06pJ
0.047"1
0.039
0.037
0.058
0.096
0.072
0.273
0.172
0.165


-------
                      Table A-2. DRY SCRUBBER
                     EMISSIONS SUMMARY  161 WEST.

  DATE        LOCATION      TEST*     AL/P/D       X  I SO     T F LB/T
82/03/08      161-W         240        2,931.7       88.8        0.020
                            241        2,931.7       98.2        0.024
                            242        2,931.7      114.4        0.019

82/04/05      161-W         254        3,026.6      104.1        0.041
                            255        3,026.6      105.2        0.051
                            256        3,026.6      113.3        0.063

82/04/26      161-W         272        2,996.1      112.2        0.086
                            273        2,996.1      104.0        0.212
                            274        2,996.1      109.5        0.111

83/09/20      161-W         155        3,055.7      106.0        0.225
                            156        3,055.7      119.2        0.093

33/09/21      161-W         157        3,054.9      110.9        0.087
84/10/22      161-W         368        3,096.1      103.2        0.050
                            369        3,096.1      107.0        0.073
                            370        3,096.1      112.1        0.058
                    AVERAGE:           2,962.7     101.9        0.087
                    COUNT:      57
                                     A-27

-------
            TABLE A-2.  D/ZY
                     EMISSIONS SUMMARY 142 EAST.
  DATE

81/02/23



81/04/20



81/05/26



81/04/02
81/06/03
81/07/28
81/07/29
81/08/04
81/08/11
81/09/09
81/09/10
81/10/14
81/10/15
81/11/04
81/11/05
81/12/08
81/12/09
82/01/04
82/02/09
82/03/02
82/03/03
82/04/13
82/04/14
LOCATION
162-E
162-E
162-E
142-E
162-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
162-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
142-E
162-E
TEST*
AL/P/D
X ISO
T F LB/T
025
023
024
019
020
021
053
054
055
042
043
044
107
108
109
110
111
112
142
143
144
144
145
144
172
173
174
197
198
199
213
214
215
231
232
233
237
238
239
243
264
265
2,990.8
2,990.8
2,990.8
2,920.9
2,920.9
2,920.9
2 , 957 . 9
2,957.9
2,957.9
2,971 .2
2,971 .2
2,971 .2
3,001 .7
3,001 .7
3,001 .6
2,997.1
2,997.1
2,997.1
2,838.5
2.844.2
2,844.2
3,012.0
3,012.2
3,012.2
2,946.6
2,946.6
2,945.7
3,026.8
3,026.8
3,023.2
2,936.4
2 , 996 . 4
2,996.4
2,987.4
2,987.4
2,987.4
2,956.7
2,956.7
2,960.8
3,017.9
3,022.2
3,022.2
A-28
102.0
103.4
102.9
104.7
97.9
101 .0
100.8
100.3
101 .0
110.1
106.9
109.3
108.1
103.9
107.5
114.3
108.3
96.6
108.3
100.9
98.1
96.8
95.5
99.4
90.0
100.9
91 .3
100.1
102.4
101 .8
97.1
99.3
96.5
101 .2
101 .8
100.2
109.6
97.2
102.6
108.5
101 .6
112.9
0.024
0.151
0.064
0.042
0.038
0.034
0.181
0.125
0.190
0.214"
0.151
0.122
0.109T
0.096
0.095J
0.3^8"
0.207
0.084"
0.210
0.209
0.187
0.1451
0.122
0.105.
0.140
0.095
0.110
o.osT
0.048
0.045.
0.052
0.058
0.070
0.030
0.084
0.141
0.0391
0.055
0.055_>
0.083
0.064
0.05?

-------
                      TABLE A-2.
                     EMISSIONS
                 DRY SCRUBBER
                 SUMMARY  162  EAST.
  DATE
82/04/21
83/10/23
83/10/26
84/09/17
84/09/18
84/09/19
LOCATION
162-E
162-E
162-E
162-E
162-E
TEST*

269
270
271

182
183

134
359
360
361
                                      AL/P/D
                                     X ISO
2,998.9
2,998.9
2,997.5
3,070.3
3,070.3
3,075.8
3,077.5
3,080.4
3,085.1
104.7
113.4
104.5
108.6
110.8
109.4
110.3
107.1
113.4
T F LB/T

   0.145
   0.080
   0.118

   0.0481
   0.046

   0.032J
   0.106
   0.076
   0.048
                    AVERAGE:
                    COUNT:
                  51
                         2,985.8
                       103.4
                                                                0.104
                                     A-29

-------
       TABLE A-2.
                    EMISSIONS SUMMARY  162  WEST.
DATE        LOCATION
TEST**
AL/P/D
X ISO
T F LB/T
81/03/02
81/04/13
81/05/27
81/03/28
81/06/01
81/07/27
81/08/03
81/09/08
81/10/12
81/11/02
81/11/03
81/12/07
82/01/04
82/01/03
32/02/08
82/03/01
82/04/12
162-W
162-U
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-U
162-W
162-W
162-W
002
003
001
016
017
018
056
057
058
101
102
103
104
105
106
114
115
113
139
140
141
161
162
163
168
170
169
194
195
196
210
211
212
228
229
230
234
235
236
260
261
262
2,955.5
2,955.5
2,955.5
2,904.7
2,904.7
2,899.2
3,003.9
3,016.9
3,016.9
2,981 .7
2,981 .7
2,981 .7
3,004.4
3,004.4
3,004.4
2,995.0
2,991 .5
2,995.0
2,841 .7
2,841 .7
2,841.7
3,013.7
3,013.7
3,013.7
2,949.6
2,948.1
2,949.6
3,027.2
3,027.2
3,027.2
2,934.8
2,994.3
2,994.8
2,987.6
2,987.6
2,987.6
3,958.2
2,958.2
2,958.2
3,014.3
3,014.3
3,014.3
A-30
101 .4
102.1
101 .3
112.0
107.2
1 10.0
105.6
91 .8
100.9
106.9
110.0
104.7
107.4
98.2
109.7
104.8
93.8
103.9
106.6
90.6
100.8
90.8
97.6
90.4
96.5
90.0
96.7
102.3
101 .9
93.0
102.4
90.9
101 .4
86.3
98.4
99.7
106.0
101 .3
104.9
111.0
100.8
108.3'
0.021
0.016
0.025
0.033
0.034
0.101
0.084^
0.081
o . 108J
0.113
0.247
0.123
0.053
0.084
0.060
0.056
0.031
0.070
0.103
0.071
0.065
0.248
0.075
0.056
0.056
0.045
0.047
0.017
0.040
0.027
0.120
0.146
0.075
0.039
0.052
0.044
0.029
0.035
0.023
0.036
0.062
0.031

-------
                     TABLE A-2.  DRY SCRUBBER
                     EMISSIONS SUMMARY  162 WEST.
  DATE
82/04/20
83/10/24
84/09/24
84/09/25
84/09/27
LOCATION
162-U
162-W
162-W
162-W
162-W
TEST*

266
267
268

179
130
181

362
363
364
                                       AL/P/D
                                     7. ISO
2,997.5
2,997.5
2,997.5
3,071 .0
3,041 .0
3,071 .0
3,098.3
3,103.2
3,101 .5
104.8
95.3
112.6
1 10.0
104.3
112.0
109.9
112.2
114.0
T F LB/T

   0.043
   0.060
   0.045

   0.044
   0.061
   0.037

   0 .063
   0.040
   0 .032
                    AVERAGE:
                    COUNT:
                  51
                         3,006.4
                       102.2
                                                                0.065
                                     A-31

-------
     TABLE  A-3a.   ROOF MONITOR  1016  STATISTICS  BY  YEAR.
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*     >  101G
             YEAR

TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:
                              81.000
                      12
                           THE FOLLOWING  RESULTS ARE FOR:
                                          RM*    «  101G
                                       YEAR     -       84.000

                           TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:    12
                     XBAR
  N OF CASES
  MINIMUM
  MAXIMUM
  RANGE
  MEAN
  STANDARD DEV
  3KEWNESS
  KURTOSIS
      12
 0.60530
 1.02000
 0.41470
 0.81795
 0.12401
 0.18829
-0.72386
              SX

                  12
             0.05450
             0.25330
             0.19880
             0.13691
             0.06824
             0.40106
            -1.26730
                                                                    XBAR
                                                                                  SX
N OF CASES
MINIMUM
MAXIMUM
RANGE
MEAN
STANDARD DEV
SKEWNESS
KURTOSIS
12
0.53670
0.99000
0.45330
0.77195
0. 11849
-0.08179
-0.05152
12
0.03510
0.30730
0.27220
0. 11210
0.0693S
1.89794
3.46135
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS  ARE  FOR:
               RM*    •  101G
             YEAR

TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:
                              82.000
                      12
                          THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
                                         RM*    * 101G
                                       YEAR     *       35.000

                          TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:    3
  N OF CASES
  MINIMUM
  MAXIMUM
  RANGE
  MEAN
  STANDARD DEV
  SKEWNESS
  KURTOSIS
                     XBAR
      12
 0.43930
 0.97000
 0.53070
 0.70387
   14012
   10351
 0
-0
                      0.00133
  SX

      12
 0.01970
 0.24250
 0.22280
 0.12957
 0.05856
 0.01948
-0.12057
N OF CASES
MINIMUM
MAXIMUM
RANGE
MEAN
STANDARD DEV
SKEWNESS
KURTOSIS
XBAR

       3
 0.59670
 0.77330
 0.17660
 0.65943
 0.09878
 0.69615
-1.50000
                                                                                  SX
 0.06160
 0.29910
 0.23750
 0. 15697
 0.12547
 0.58963
-1.50000
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    - 101G
             YEAR     >       83.000
TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:
                      12
  N OF CASES
  MINIMUM
  MAXIMUM
  RANGE
  MEAN
  STANDARD DEV
  SKEWNESS
  KURTOSIS
XBAR

      12
 0.48330
 1.15330
 0.67OOO
 0.79333
 0.19334
 0.20463
-0.59513
              SX

                  12
             0.04510
             0.31190
             0.26680
             0. 15545
             0.09007
             0.79149
            -0.78111
                                         A-32

-------
         TABLE  A-3b  ROOF  MONITOR  101H STATISTICS  BY  YEAR.
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    -  101H
             YEAR

TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:
  N OF CASES
  MINIMUM
  MAXIMUM
  RANGE
  MEAN
  STANDARD DEV
  SKEWNESS
  KURTOSI3
                             81.000
12
                     XBAR
                                  SX
12
0.67400
1.28500
0.61100
0.88616
0.17799
0.97064
0.28560
12
0. 10360
0.32340
0.21980
0.17450
0.07781
1.08287
-0. 16844
                           THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
                                          RM*    « 101H
                                        YEAR     '       84.000
                            TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:
                              N  OF  CASES
                              MINIMUM
                              MAXIMUM
                              RANGE
                              MEAN
                              STANDARD DEV
                              SKEWNESS
                              KURTOSIS
12
XBAR
12
0.74670
1.00670
0.26000
0.87388
0.09457
0.20677
-1.42490

SX
12
0.05690
0.32600
0.26910
0.20784
0.08325
-0.30967
-1.01287
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    ' 101H
             YEAR

TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:
                              82.000
12
THE FOLLOWING  RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    '  101H
             YEAR     •       85.000

TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:     3
                     XBAR
                                   SX
N OF CASES
MINIMUM
MAXIMUM
RANGE
MEAN
STANDARD DEV
SKEWNESS
KURTOSIS
12
0.56600
1.10330
0.53730
0.85497
0. 13798
-0.13451
0.27422
12
0.01990
0.27780
0.25790
0.12062
0.07544
0.48347
-0.24193
                                                    N OP CASES
                                                    MINIMUM
                                                    MAXIMUM
                                                    RANGE
                                                    MEAN
                                                    STANDARD DEV
                                                    SKEWNESS
                                                    KURTOSIS
                                                                      XBAR
                                                  0.70330
                                                  1.05670
                                                  0.35340
                                                  0.87367
                                                  0. 17704
                                                  0.13077
                                                 -1.50000
                                  SX

                                       3
                                 0.26640
                                 0.32520
                                 0.05880
                                 0.28753
                                 0.03270
                                 0.69140
                                 -1.50000
 THE  FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    • 101H
             YEAR

 TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:
                              83.000
 12
                     XBAR
                                   SX
N OF CASES
MINIMUM
MAXIMUM
RANGE
MEAN
STANDARD DEV
SKEWNESS
KURTOSIS
12
0.68670
1.04330
0.35660
0.85750
0.10376
0.09260
-0.65552
12
0.. 05200
0.29310
0.24110
0. 13608
0.06526
1.03494
0.86419
                                         A-33

-------
         TABLE  A-3c. ROOF  MONITOR 103G STATISTICS BY YEAR.
THE FOLLOWING  RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    =  103G
             YEAR     »       81.000

TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:    10
THE FOLLOWING  RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    >  103G
             YEAR     >       83.000

TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:    2
                     XBAR
                                  SX
                                                                      XBAR
                                                                                   SX
  N OF CASES
  MINIMUM
  MAXIMUM
  RANGE
  MEAN
  STANDARD DEV
  SKEWNESS
  KURTOSIS
10
0.53100
0.94050
0.40950
0.68908
0. 14487
0.46481
•1.18160
10
0.04590
0.24340
0.19750
0. 12434
0.06942
0.71031
-1.03369
N OF CASES
MINIMUM
MAXIMUM
RANGE
MEAN
STANDARD DEV
SKEWNESS
KURTOSIS
2
0.41000
0.71670
0.30670
0.56335
0.21687
0.00000
-2.00000
2
0. 10510
0. 14930
0.04420
0. 12720
0.03125
0.00000
-2.00000
 THE  FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    - 103G
             YEAR     *       82.000

 TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:   12
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM*    = 103G
             YEAR

 TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:
                              84.000
                      12
                     XBAR
                                   SX
N OF CASES
MINIMUM
MAXIMUM
RANGE
MEAN
STANDARD DEV
SKEWNESS
KURTOSIS
12
0.33330
0.92000
0.58670
0.69922
0. 18343
-0.55016
-0.62370
12
0.02S20
0.44030
0.41510
0.13966
0.1 2858
1.22035
0.55509
                                                    N OF CASES
                                                    MINIMUM
                                                    MAXIMUM
                                                    RANGE
                                                    MEAN
                                                    STANDARD DEV
                                                    SKEWNESS
                                                    KURTOSIS
                     XBAR

                           12
                      0.55000
                      0.98000
                      0.43000
                      0.77305
                      0. 14888
                      0.15177
                     -1.36177
  SX

      12
 0.01730
 0. 18330
 0.16600
 0.09673
 0.06331
 0.02243
-1 .53934
 THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
                RM*    ' 103G
              YEAR     -       83.000
  TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:   12
                      XBAR
                                    SX
N OF CASES
MINIMUM
MAXIMUM
RANGE
MEAN
STANDARD DEV
SKEWNESS
KURTOSIS
12
0.43330
1 . 1 2000
0.68670
0.79500
0.22934
-0.04009
-1.20337
12
0.01530
0.29140
0.27610
0.13131
0.09154
0.34984
-1.11994
                                   A-34

-------
       TABLE A-3d   ROOF MONITOR  103H STATISTICS  BY  YEAR.
 THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
                RM«    « 103H
              If EAR     .       g (. 000

 TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:   10
                              THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR-
                                             RM«    » IQ3H
                                           YEAR

                              TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:    12
                                               84.000
                      XBAR
   N OF CASES
   MINIMUM
   MAXIMUM
   RANGE
   MEAN
   STANDARD DEV
   SKEWNESS
   KURTOSIS
                                    sx
10
0.66800
1.29000
0.62200
0.98488
0.18449
-0. 12938
-0.75163
10
0.03540
0.26260
0.22720
0. 12847
0.08746
0.41515
-I. 15534
                                N OF CASES
                                MINIMUM
                                MAXIMUM
                                RANGE
                                MEAN
                                STANDARD DEV
                                SKEWNESS
                                KURTOSIS
                                                                       XBAR
                                                                        1.32144
                                                                                     SX
12
0.59670
1 .31330
0.71660
0.85056
0.18036
1.23816
12
0.06430
0.35160
0.28730
0. 16978
0.07395
1. 15325
                                                                                   1.21949
 THE FOLLOWING  RESULTS ARE FOR:
                RM»    .  103H
             YEAR     *       82.000

 TOTAL  OBSERVATIONS:
  N OF CASES
  MINIMUM
  MAXIMUM
  RANGE
  MEAN
  STANDARD DEV
  SKEWNESS
  KURTOSIS
12
XBAR
12
0.42000
1.18330
0.76330
0.84922
0.21083
-0.35875
-0.16665

SX
12
0.08620
0.21950
0. 13330
0. 17530
0.04256
-0.77000
-0.47223
                             THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR-
                                            RM«    » 103H
                                          YEAR

                             TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:    2
                               N OF CASES
                               MINIMUM
                               MAXIMUM
                               RANGE
                               MEAN
                               STANDARD DEV
                               SKEWNESS
                               KURTOSIS
                                                                      XBAR
                                              85.000
                                                                                    SX
                                      0.42000
                                      0.63670
                                      0.21670
                                      0.52835
                                      0.15323
                                      0.00000
                                     -2.00000
      2
0.07940
0.09020
0.01080
0.08480
0.00764
0.00000
                                                                                 -2.00000
THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
               RM«    ' 103H
             YEAR     »      83.000

TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:    12
                     XBAR
  N OF CASES
  MINIMUM
  MAXIMUM
  RANGE
  MEAN
  STANDARD DEV
  SKEWNESS
  KURTOSIS
      12
 0.37000
 I.10670
 0.73670
 0.79778
 0.18536
-0.66855
 0.72182
 SX

     12
0.04730
0.52920
0.48190
0.15298
0.12826
2.26157
4.45037
                                     A-35

-------
              TABLE A-4. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE WITH  MONITORS AS  TREATMENTS.








              nNnLv'CJlS OF-  WimANCF  UTTH MUM I I MRS Air. IRRITMENIS.






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                                      AtlAl VtilB  Ur  VAR




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                         0.7/.?9/     3        o.'.M^iL           8.157-:      . OOO

-------
TABLE A-5.  COMPARISON OF ROOF MONITOR  ANNUAL  MEANS.
                                                  ***
  4.2
  4 '-3     Q,Q_I1OQ
                                                               /*.0*+
/QL&. -._.    £>i&?76O.x*-.

/0_3_G	-
                                     #*
                    jg f AP
                                     ^
                                                                               //
                                           A-37

-------
          TABLE A-6. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE WITH DRY SCRUBBERS  AS TREATMENT.
CO
oo
           ANALYSTS  (IF  VARIANCE  WITH DRV SCRUHBhR  AS  I RkAl MKI'll S.
           DEI1 VAR:
            XBAR
             N:     .'V     Mill  riPI.E  ft:   . 4LB     SQUARED  MUl.TTPl.E  R
SOURCE


DBCRUB
SUN-OF -SQUARES


        ') „')?. i:? 12


        M., i -i ,"-,10
AMALYS IS  OF VAR IAIMCE


DF   ME AM-SQUARE-        F" -RATIO


  •'.       o. Ol O•
-------
       TABLE  A-7.  LEAST SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE - DRY SCRUBBER  MEANS.
                            J.
                            3    »
/hi
                         -fr
        » 68
 4 -!    a
 a -z.    o
 4-3    o.
 3      @ •
J • -     o
»7-'
                                                                           *•*•
                                                                           if-
17/7

      (o aj)  =^/-^fe /g.ooi-x,? fa)
                 r      s?
                                          a.
               O
                              a .
**
                                  3-01
                                          A-39

-------
TABLE A-8a. ROOF MONITOR DATA KOLMOGOROV D STATISTIC.
UNIVARIATE
VARIABLE^XBAR
                   MOMENTS










1
o
N
MEAN
STD DEV
SKEMNESS
USS
CV
T:MEAN-O
SON RANK
NUM "- 0
D: NORMAL


220
0.809367
0.174152
0.0195071
150.759
21 .517
68.9334
12155
220
0.0317748


SUM MCTS
SUM
VARIANCE
KURTCIS1S
CSS
STD MEAN
PROB> 1 f 1
PROB>ISI

PROB>D


220
178.061
0.0303288
0,249447
6.642
0.0117413
0.0001
0.0001

>0.15


  QUANT ILES
100% MAX
75% Q3
50% MLH
25% C4i
0% KIN
RANGE
Q3-Q1
MODE
1 .3133
O.Vli
0,81335
0,700B1?5
0.3333
0.98
0,219175
0.7167
99%
95%
90%
10%
5%
1%
1 .28895
1.1161?
1 .02477
0.1393A4
0.5177
0.3784
 V«KintiLt-LXBAR
                    MOMENTS
N
MEAN
STD DEV
3KEWNES5
USS
CV
T:MEAN^-O
SGN RANK
NUM -- 0
DI NORMAL
220
-0.236448
0.230251
-0.781481
23.9101
-97.3789
-15.2316
-10853
220
0.0644181
SUM WG1S
SUM
VARIANCE
KUKTOSIS
CSS
STD MEAN
PROB> 1 1 1
PROB>ISI

PROB>D
220
-52.0187
0.05301'J4
i .18344
11.6104
0,0155235
0.0001
0.0001

0.024
                                                           100% MAX  0,272543
                                                            75% «3 -0,0833836
                                                            50% MFD -0.206602
                                                            25% UJ  -0,3515499
                                                             0% MIN  -1,09871
                                                            RANGE
                                                            03-01
                                                            MODE
  1.37126
 0,272118
-0,333098
                  99%
                  95%
                  90%
                  10%
                   5%
                   1%
 0,253827
 0,109928
 0,024467
- 0,521484
-0,658376
-0,972695

-------
TABLE A-8b.  ROOF MONITOR 101G.  KOLMOGOROV D   STATISTIC.
HON-101G

UNIVARIATE

VARIABLE^LXBAR
                   MOMENTS
N
MEAN
STD DEV
SKEWNESS
USS
CV
TIMEAN--0
SON RANK
NUM "= 0
D: NORMAL
MON^IOIG
56
-0.292971
0.19607
-0.320428
6.92101
-66.9248
-11.1817
-779
56
0.0599727

SUM WGTS
SUM
VARIANCE
KURTOS1S
CSS
STD MEAN
PROB>MI
PROU>ISI

PROB>U

56
-16.4064
0.0384436
0,270236
2.1144
0,026201
0.0001
0.0001

>0.15

UNIVARIATE
VAR1ABLE-XBAR
MOMENTS
N
MEAN
STD DEV
SKEWNESS
USS
CV
TJMEAN^O
SGN RANK
NUM "=-- 0
D*. NORMAL
56
0.759979
0.145988
0.26947
33.516
19.2095
38.9564
798
56
0.06253'J1
SUM WG1S
SUM
VARIANCE
KURTOSIS
CSS
STD MEAN
PROB>I 1 1
PRUBXSI

PROB>D
56
42.5588
0.0213125
0, 130776
1.17219
0.0195085
0.0001
0.0001

>0.15
100% MAX
 7'JX. 03
 50% MED
 25% 01
  0% MIN

 RANGE
 G3-G1
 MODE
   GUANI1LLS(DEF=

 0, 142627
 0, 165878
 -0,29863
 0,406096
-0,822573

   0.9652
 0,240218
•0.333098
                                                          100% MAX
                                                           75% 03
                                                           50% MED
                                                           25% 01
                                                            0% MIN

                                                           RANGE
                                                           03-01
                                                           MODE
             j,1533
            0,84715
            0,74185
            0,66625
             0,4393

              0.714
             0.1809
             0.7167
99%
95%
90%
10%
 5%
 1%
                                                                                           0,112627
                                                                                           0.021266
                                                                                         -0.02-13368
                                                                                           -0,54079
                                                                                          -0.669823
                                                                                          -0,822573
                 M>

                  99%
                  95%
                  90%
                  10%
                   5%
                   1%
          1.1533
          1.0215
           0.976
         0.58269
        0,511945
          0.4393

-------
TABLE A-8c. ROOF MONITOR 101H.  KOLMOGOROV D STATISTIC.
MOK'^IOIH

UNIVARIATE

VARIABLE-XBAR
                   MOMENTS
N
MEAN
STD DEV
SKEMNESS
USS
CV
TtMEAN^O
SGN RANK
NUM "~ 0
D: NORMAL
MON^IOIH
UNIVARIA
56
0.869611
0.132073
0.525695
43.3079
15.1876
49.2726
798
56
0.0716823

TE
SUM WGTS
SUM
VARIANCE
KURTOSIS
CSS
STD MEAN
PROBXTI
PROBXSI

PROB>D


56
48.6982
0,0174432
0,780922
0.959377
0,017649
0.0001
0,0001

>0.15


VARIABLE^LXBAR
MOMENTS
N
MEAN
STD DEV
SKEMNESS
USS
CV
T J MEAN~0
SGN RANK
NUM "- 0
Dt NORMAL
56
-0.150875
0.isJ0734
0.00353465
2.52437
-99.9065
-7.49032
-667
56
0.0535399
SUM WGTS
SUM
VARIANCE
KURTOSIS
CSS
STD MEAN
PROB> 1 1 1
PROB> 1 S 1

PROB>U
56
-8,44898
0.022/206
0,431585
1 .24963
0,0201426
0.0001
0.0001

>0.15
            QUANTILESUiEh": 4)
100% MAX
75% 03
50% MKH
25% «1
0% MIN

RANGE
G3-Q1
MODE
1 . 285
0.9615
0,85165
0,784i5
0.566

0.719
0.18085
0.7833
99%
95%
90%
10%
5%
1%



1.285
1.1078
1 .04432
0.70231
0,681905
0.566



100%
 75%
 50%
 25%
  0%
                                                                MAX  0,2'J0759
                                                                UK -0,0356677
                                                                MFLi -0, 1601J81
                                                                Oi  -0, 243157
                                                                MIN -0,569161
                                                            RANGE
                                                            03-Q1
                                                            MODE
            0.81992
          0,207489
          -0,24424
4)

99%
95%
90%
10%
 5%
 1%
 0,250759
  0, 10233
0,0433648
-0,353383
-0,382877
-0,569161

-------
TABLE A-8d.  ROOF MONITOR 103G '  KOLMOGOROV D STATISTIC,
UNIVARIATE
VARIABLE-XBAR
                   MOMENTS
N
MEAN
STD DEV
SKEMNESS
U5S
CV
T:MEAN^O
SGN RANK
NUM "" o
D:NURMAL
54
0.749867
0.186611
0.0265797
32.2099
24.8859
29.5286
742.5
54
0.0857499
SUM MtilS
SUM
VARIANCE
KURTOSIS
CSS
STD MEAN
PROB> 1 T 1
F'ROUXSI

PRO If > II
54
40.492B
0.0348237
-0.546949
1.B4566
0.0253945
0.0001
0.0001

>0.15
                                                          QUANTILES(DEK>4>
100% MAX
75% 03
50% MED
25% Dl
0% MIN

RANGE
03-U1
MODE
1 .13
0,910025
0,73165
0.598325
0,3333

0.7967
0.3117
0.73
99%
95%
90%
10%
5%
1%



1.13
1 .11752
0.96665
0.51715
0,427475
0.3333



MONM03G

UNIVARIATE

VARIABLE^LXBAR
N
MEAN
STD DEV
SKEUNESS
USS
CV
T:MEAN=-O
SGN RANK
NUM "« 0
D:NORMAL
                   MOMENTS
       54
-0.320701
 0.265456
-0.599186
  9.28858
 -82.7736
 -8.87779
   -695.5
       54
0.0897283
SUM HGTS
SUM
VARIANCE
KURTUSIS
CSS
STD MEfcN
PROB>ITI
PRDBXSI

PRU6>D
       54
 -17,3178
0.0704667
 0,223004
  3.73473
0.0361239
   0.0001
   0.0001

    : o. 15
                                                                     GUANflLESUiEF  4)
00% MAX
75% Q3 -
50% MED
25% Oi
0% MIN
RANGE
03-Q1
MODE
0, 127218
0,0943031
-0,312456
-0, 513633
- i ,09871
1 .22093
0.41933
-0.314711
99%
95%
90%
10%
 5%
 1%
  0, 122218
  0,111116
-0.0340146
 -0,6'J9/81
 -0.850143
  -1,09871

-------
T/b'.E /,-6e.  P.OOF MONITOR 103H KOLMOGOROV D STATISTIC.
UNIUARIATE
                   MOMENTS

MEAN
STD DEV
SKEUNESS
USS
ru
L* V
T:MEAN-O
SON RANK
NUM "~ 0
DJ NORMAL
54
0.857611
0. 194649
-0.149388
41 .7249
22.6967
32.3768
742.5
54
0.0880425
SUM HUTS
SUM
VARIANCE
KUR10SIS
CSS
STD MEAN
PROBXTI
PROBXSI

PROB>D
54
46.311
0.0378884
0.64548
2.00808
0.0264884
0.0001
0.0001

> 0 . 1 5
                                                                     OUANTILESUiEF-4)
                                                         100% MAX
                                                          752 03
                                                          50% MEU
                                                          25% Qi
                                                           0% KIN

                                                          RANGE
                                                          Q3-Q1
                                                          MOPE
                              1,3133
                              0.9565
                                0.87
                            0, '/4 0025
                                0.37

                              0.9433
                            0,216475
                                0.87
                          99%
                          95%
                          90%
                          10%
                           5%
                           1%
 1,3133
1.20997
 1,1117
   0.62
   0.42
   0.37
 UNIVARIATE

 VARIABLE=--LXBAR
                    MOMENTS

MEAN
STD DEV
SKEHNESS
nee
U 9 w
cv
TtMEAN^O
SON RANK
NUM "- 0
Dt NORMAL
54
-0.182323
0.252576
-1.14209
5.17616
-138.532
-5.30453
-554.5
54
0.12845
SUM WGTS
SUM
VARIANCE
KURTOSIS
CSS
STD MEAN
PROBXTI
PROBXSI
PRUB>V
54
-9.84544
0.0637945
2,27079
3,38111
0,0343712
0.0001
0.0001
0.024
                                                                      QUANTILES(DEF-4>
100% MAX  0,272543
 75% B3 -0,0445075
 50% MED -0.139262
 25% Ri  -0,30ii9!j
  0% MIN -0.994252
                                                           RANGE
                                                           03-01
                                                           MODE
                               1.2668
                             0,256687
                            -0.139262
  NOTE?  SAS INSTITUTE. SAS CIRCLE.  BOX
8000, CARY, N.C,  27511-8000
                                                                                     99%
                                                                                     95%
                                                                                     90%
                                                                                     10%
                                                                                      5%
                                                                                      1%
                                                    0,272543
                                                     0.18989
                                                     0.10588
                                                    -0,478399
                                                    -0.86/501
                                                    -0,994252

-------
TABLE A-S AUTOCORRELATION AND PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTIONS  FOR ROOF MONITOR.
        ' 101G
             ALUMAX  DATA FOR ROOF MONITOR  101-G.
 PLOT OF     XBAR
 NUMBER OF CASES =   56
 MEAN OF SERIES =        0.760
 STANDARD DEVIATION  OF  SERIES

 PLOT OF AUTOCORRELATIONS
0.145
LAG
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
CORR
.333
.132
.077
-.107
-.080
-. 144
-.231
-. 183
-.075
.079
-.014
.101
.023
.096
-.014
SE -1.0 - . 8
. 134
. 148
.150
.150
.152
.153
.155
.161
.165
.165
. 166
.166
.167
.167
.168
-.6 -.4 -.2

<
<
( ***
< ***
< ****
<******
< *****
< **
<
< *
(

\
< *
0 .2 .4 .6 .81.0
*****)***
**** )
** )

)
)
)
)
)
** )
)
*** )
* )
*** )
)
PLOT OF     XBAR
NUMBER OF CASES =   56
MEAN OF SERIES =        0.760
STANDARD DEVIATION  OF  SERIES =       0.145

PLOT OF PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATIONS

LAG   CORR     SE   -1.0  -. 8  -.6  -.4  -.2
                                                 .0
               .2
.4
.6
.8  1 .0
i
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
.333
.024
.029
-. 161
-.004
-.115
-.150
-.078
.034
.124
-.125
.101
-. 102
. 122
-.186
. 134
.134
. 134
.134
.134
. 134
. 134
.134
. 134
.134
.134
.134
.134
. 134
.134
< ;*****>***
< !*
< !*
(*****!
( *!
< *** ;
( ****!
< **:
< :*
( !****
( ****!
< :***
< ***:
( :****
<*****:
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
                                       A-45

-------
TABLE A-10. AUTOCORRELATION AND PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTIONS FOR ROOF
         'MONITOR  IOIH.
              ALUMAX DATA FOR ROOF MONITOR  101-H.

     XBAR  COPIED FROM SYSTAT FILE INTO  ACTIVE WORK AREA
 PLOT OF      XBAR
 NUMBER OF  CASES =  56
 MEAN OF SERIES =       0.870
 STANDARD DEVIATION OF SERIES
                                     0. 131
 PLOT OF  AUTOCORRELATIONS
 LAG    CORR
1 -
2
3 -
4
5 -
6 -
7 -
8
9 -
10
11 -
12
13 -
14 -
15
>PACF
.161
.063
.232
.068
.005
.136
.001
.021
.053
.006
.051
.064
.113
.018
.179
XBAR
SE -1.0 - . 8

134
137
138
144
145
145
147
147 .
147
148
148
148
148
150
150
-.6 -.4 -.2 .0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1.

(*****; )
< ;** )
(*****! )
< : ** )
( *! )
< ****'. >
< *; )
< :* )
< **: )
< :* )
< **! )
< ! ** )
< ***: )
< *: )
( ! ***** )
  PLOT OF     XBAR
  NUMBER OF CASES *   56
  MEAN OF SERIES =
  STANDARD DEVIATION  OF
                        0.870
                       SERIES
0.131
  PLOT OF PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATIONS
LAG   CORR
                  SE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
-.161
.038
-.222
-.002
.021
-.201
-.037
.030
-.144
-.020
-.039
-.035
-.122
-.082
.173
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
.134
. 134
.134
-1.0 -.8 -.6 -.4 -.2
+ _-.._4.. --- + ---- + 	 +----+
<*****:
( !
(*****!
< *:
< :
<*****:
< *!
(i
•
< ****!
< *:
< *!
< *!
( ****!
< ***!
0 .2
)
* )
)
)
* )
)
)
* )
)
)
)
)
)
)
.4 .6 .8
+_„--+----+-














( !*****)
                                      A-46

-------
TABLE A-11. AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTION AND PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTION
          FOR ROOF MONITOR 103G.
             ALUMAX DATA FOR ROOF  MONITOR 103-G.

     XBAR COPIED FROM SYSTAT FILE  INTO ACTIVE WORK AREA
 PLOT OF     XBAR
 NUMBER OF CASES =  54
 MEAN OF SERIES =       0.739
 STANDARD DEVIATION OF SERIES

 PLOT OF AUTOCORRELATIONS
 LAG   CORR
0.208
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
-. 119
.018
-.065
-.076
.029
.032
-.172
.082
-.002
.035
-.128
.097
.129
.128
-.156
SE -1.0 -.8 -.6
136
138
138
139
139
139
140
143
144
144
145
147
148
150
152
-.4 -.2
( ***
(
< **
( **
<
(
(*****
(
( *
(
( ****
<
(
<
( ****
0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1.0

* )
\
\
* )
* )
)
*** )
>
* )
)
*** )
**** )
**** )
)
PLOT OF     XBAR
NUMBER OF CASES =   54
MEAN OF SERIES =        0.739
STANDARD DEVIATION  OF  SERIES =

PLOT OF PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATIONS

LAG   CORR     SE   -1.0  -.8  -.6
                                       0.208
-.4  -.2
                                                 .0
.2
                    .4
.6
.8  1 .0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
-.119
.003
-.063
-.093
.010
.034
-.181
.038
.024
.014
-.154
.095
.180
.118
-.151
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
                                              ***:
                                                 i
                                                 i
                                               **:
                                              ***!
                                           :*****!
                                             ****:
           : *
           !*
           i
           i
           *
           !*
           :*
                                                 ! ***  >
                                                 :*****)
                                                 i ***
                                             ****:
                                      A-47

-------
TABLE A-12. AUTOCORRELATION AND PARTIAL  AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTION FOR
          ROOF MONITOR  103H.
             ALUMAX DATA FOR  ROOF MONITOR 103-H.


     XBAR COPIED FROM SYSTAT  FILE INTO ACTIVE WORK AREA
 PLOT OF     XBAR
 NUMBER OF CASES =  54
 MEAN OF SERIES =        0.858
 STANDARD DEVIATION OF SERIES
                                      0. 193
 PLOT OF AUTOCORRELATIONS
LAG
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
CORR
.282
.129
.038
-.049
-.387
-.198
-.081
-.024
-.021
. 125
.130
.163
.182
.251
.019
SE -1.0 -.8 -.6 -.4 -.2
.136 <
.146 <
.149 <
.149 ( **
. 149 ***(******
. 167 < *****
.171 • < ***
.172 < *
.172 < *
. 172 <
.173 <
.175 <
.178 <
.181 <
. 188 <
0 .2
*****)**
**** )
* )
)

\
)
)
)
**** )
**** )
***** )
***** )
*******
*
.4 .6 .8 1 .<













)
)
PLOT OF     XBAR
NUMBER OF CASES =   54
MEAN OF SERIES =        0.858
STANDARD DEVIATION  OF  SERIES =


PLOT OF PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATIONS


LAG   CORR     SE   -1.0  -.8  -.6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
.282
.054
-.013
-.069
-.391
.003
.054
.033
-.028
-.017
.039
.136
.149
.186
-.103
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
.136
                                       0. 193
                                      -.4   -.2    .0   .2   .4
                                     ._+	+	-+	+	+--

                                           <      J*****)**
 .6
•+-•
                                                  **
                                           <    **:
                                       ****<*****:
                                                 :*
                                                 ! **
                                                 !*
                                                *:
                                                *:
                                                 !*
                                                 ! ****
                                                 ; ****
                                                 :*****)
                                              ***;      )
                                                      >
                                                      )
                                                      )
                                                      )
                                                      >
                                                      )
                                                      >
                                                      )
                                                      >
                                                      )
                                                      >
                                                      )
                                      A-48

-------
TABLE A-13  AUTOCORRELATION AND PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTION
          FOR THE STANDARD DEVIATION OF MONTHLY MEANS FOR
          ROOF MONITOR 101G.
             ALUMAX DATA FOR  ROOF MONITOR 101-G.
 THE VARIABLE IS THE STANDARD DEVIATION OF THE MONTHLY  READINGS.

       SX COPIED FROM SYSTAT FILE INTO ACTIVE WORK AREA
PLOT OF       SX
NUMBER OF CASES =   56
MEAN OF SERIES =        0.133
STANDARD DEVIATION  OF  SERIES

PLOT OF AUTOCORRELATIONS

LAG   CORR     SE   -1.0  -.8
 1
 2
 3
 4
 5
 6
 7
 8
 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
PLOT OF       SX
NUMBER OF CASES =  56
MEAN OF SERIES =        0.133
STANDARD DEVIATION OF SERIES =

PLOT OF PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATIONS

LAG   CORR     SE  -1.0  -. 8  -. 6
                                       0.073
                              -.6   -.4  -.2
.061
.171
.115
.003
.189
.101
.044
. 101
.061
.057
.079
.182
.210
.207
.034
. 134
.134
.138
. 140
. 140
.144
. 145
.146
.147
.147
.148
.149
.152
.158
.162
                                      .4  -.2    .0    .2    .4

                                          <   **!      )
                                          
-------
TABLE  A-14. AUTOCORRELATION AND  PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTION FOR THE STANDARD
           DEVIATION OF MONTHLY MEANS FOR ROOF MONITOR 101H.
               ALUMAX  DATA  FOR FOCF  MONITOR  l-.-l-H.
 PLOT OF        'iX
 NUMBER OF  CASES =   56
 MEAN OF  SERIES =
 STANDARD DEVIATION OF
         O
                          165
                       SERIES
                         0. 082
  PLOT OF  AUTOCORRELATION'S
  i.AG   CORR
3E
                              -.3  -.6
                                                                       .6
1
/•^
,J|
4
5
6
7
9
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
. 0 1 0
. 183
.118
. 142
-.046
-.043
- . 0^3
. Ill
- . O03
. 129
. 057
-. 003
. 150
-. 146
-.070
. 134
.134
. 133
. 1 40
. 142
. 143
. 143
. 144
. 145
. 145
. 148
. 143
. 143
. 151
. 153
                                                   •**
                                                   *••*•
                                                  #**
                                                       *     )
                                                       ###*•*)
                                                       ***  )
                                                       **•*

                                                       ****
                                                       #»•

                                                       #•***
   PLOT  OF        SX
   NUMBER OF CASES -
   MEAN  OF SERIES =
   STANDARD DEVIATION
                     OF SERIES ~
                           -.032
   PLOT  OF PARTIAL. AUTOCORRELATIONS
L AG
          CORR
1
*-,
-;
4
5
fi
-~T
a
9
10
1 1
12
13
14
15
. 0 1 0
.133
. 119
. 114
- . 090
-.111
-.114
. 145
. 089
. 151
. 038
— . 1 35
. O75
•-. 133
."»""* "7
~" * ' / /
. 1 34
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
. 134
- .3 - . a - . 4 - .
(
•
<>
^
<
i^
,,
.
(
.;
(
2 . '.' ..2 - 4 .6
i * '
*.* + +* i
\ *• »-f- >
! !-•** )
** •• ! )
*»» ' )
«••*•»•! >
:•**-•*• >
! »*•*
; **•** '•
: *
                                         A-50
                                                  *••**•*-!
                                                           „ -j
                                                           -h —

-------
TABLE  A-15. AUTOCORRELATION AID PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTION FOR THE STANDARD
           DEVIATION OF MONTHLY  MEANS FOR ROOF MONITOR 103G.
                      DATA FOR  I" OOF MONITOR  103-6
SX  IS  THE STANDARD DEVIATION  OF THE  DAILV READINGS EACH

       SX COPIED FROM  SYSTAT FILE INTO  ACTIVE  WORI-  AREA

PLOT  OF        bX
NUMBER OF CASES =  54
MEAN  OF SERIES =        0.121
STANDARD DEVIATION OF SERIES  =       0.036

PLOT  OF AUTOCOPRELAF[ONS

LAG   CORR      SE  -1.0   -.3
                                                               MONTH.
                                                                .4
1
2
-•;
4
5
6
-7
3
q>
10
11
12
13
I j.
15
-.221
-.076
— ~'29
.267
-. 163
. 110
__ /"> ~7 ^T
. 19.->
- ,. O4O
. 115
-. 125
- . 003
._ _ t'lJQ
. 173
.015
. 136
. 143
. 143
. 150
. 15S
. L \'3 «1
. 1*3
. 164
. lea
. Io8
. 1 69
. 171
. 17!
. 1 72
. 175
                                            (#**•***

                                            ,,  *.*.».**

                                                  **
                                                      *•*•##•**)
                                                      *•*•*
 PLOT  OF        SX
 NUMBER OF CA'BES -  54
 MEAN  CF -lEPiu? =   _    -.'.121
 ,3rANDARO GE'.-'CATION OF  "ERIE3  =

 f'LOT  OF PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATIONS
LAG

1
2
-
4
er(
6
-7
a
9
10
1 1
12
13
14
15
CORR

- . 221
-. 132
-.296
. 140
-.151
. 049
. 0 L 6
. 123
. 136
. Io3
. 059
-.'D36
-.054
. 065
. 073
iE -1.0 -.3 -.6 -.4 -.2
^ 	 + 	 < 	 H 	 -i 	 -t
.136 (*****!
.136 •: *^**
.136 **<***##
. 176 <
.1-0 < ***•*
. 1 76 ''
.136 <
.136 <
. 1 36
. 136 '-
.136 <
. 136 '- *
. 13o '; **
:;': A-5i ;
•I- .2 .4 .6
	 1- 	 	 H 	 -1 	
'
,'
i
* •»• )- * ;
,'
••* ;
* >
*«••*•** )
*-*** }
»•»-***;
** ,'
>
't
** )
                                                                                i. o

-------
TABLE  A-16   AUTOCORRELATION AND PARTIAL AUTOCORRELATION  OF FUNCTION FOR THE
            STANDARD DEVIATION OF MONTHLY MEANS FOR ROOF MONITOR 103H .
                 MA*  L'ATA  FOR ROOF" MONITOR K'3-H.


 3X  IS THE -STANDARD DEVIATION OF  THE DAILY READINGS  EACH

       SX  COPIED  TROM SvSTAT FILE INTO  ACTIVE  WORK. AREA
                                                                MONTH.
PLOT  OF        3X
NUMBER OF CASfIS -   54
MFAN  OF SERIE3 --        '•'• '-^
STANDARD DEVIATION  ''F SCRIED --

PLOT  OF AUTOCORRELATIONS

LAG    COPR      ':!--   -• 1 - '1    • <*
                                           0.032
1
2
-;
4
5
6
—
n
9
!. 0
1 1
i 2
1 -
14
i *"'
. 035
-.023
-.117
. OO6
•-. 063
-. 142
- . • J I 2
--.. 037
. 0 1 4
. 035
-. 151
— f~i~i"i
. 20'J
. -1/92
. 1.24
. 136
. 137
. 177
. 13?
. i ':."•
. I 40
. 143
. 1 4 :••
1 42
i 4^
,. 1 4.'
., J. 4 <3
„ i 4 /
. Ll'2
. 153
a -.4 -.2
i
( *•
i, *•**
(
( **
0 -2
»•*# )
)
)
)
I
.4 .6





                                                  «••*-*•
                                                      , *#*•»   )
  PLOT  OF        3X
  NUMBER  OF Ctt'3C.3 =  ^'f-
  MErtN  OF C'-;R:E" -        -.155
  STANDARD C-CV [AT [Q") Or   JIRIE3  =
PLOT  Of r'Ai

LAG    C'JRK'
                               .8
                                     - . a
                                                                  .4
1
-v
-
4
5
-,
7
3
9
.10
1 I
12
1 3
14
. OC5
-.036
-.112
(.-f .— i cr
-.074
- . 1 4fc
.013
- . 064
- . 0 1 3
-. 092
-. 130
-.030
. 190
' . 005
. 136
. 136
. 136
1 ""** **-%
•( "T »
. I3o
. 136
. L36
. 13-D
, I. 3v3
. 136
. i 36
. 136
. I3o
                                                  •**•*«•
                                                      *
                                                    ***
                                                    +*••*•
                                          A-52
                                                        !*•****»

                                                        #*#   >

-------
TABLE A-17  STATISTICS FOR DAILY ROOF MONITOR READINGS.
               TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:   655
       N OF CASES
       MINIMUM
       MAXIMUM
       RANGE
       MEAN
       STANDARD DEV
       SKEWNESS
       KURTOSIS
    655
0.24000
1.67000
1.43000
0.30860
0.22068
0.34915
0.34027
                           A-53

-------
TABLE  A-18.  STATISTICS  FOR  DAILY READINGS  BY  ROOM  MONITORS.
                      THE FOLLOWING RESULTS  ARE  FOR:
                                     RM*     =  [QIC

                      TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:   168
                        N OF CASES
                        MINIMUM
                        MAXIMUM
                        RANGE
                        MEAN
                        STANDARD DEV
                        SKEWNESS
                        KURTOSIS
     168
 0.33600
 1.31000
 0.97400
 0.76042
 0.19158
 0.30920
-0.03543
                      THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE  FOR:
                                     RM*    -  101H

                      TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:   168
                        N OF CASES
                        MINIMUM
                        MAXIMUM
                        RANGE
                        MEAN
                        STANDARD DEV
                        SKEWNESS
                        KURTOSIS
     168
 0.42000
 1.65600
 1.23600
 0.87027
 0.19946
 0.41516
 0.60178
                      THE FOLLOWING RESULTS  ARE  FOR:
                                     RM*     >  103G

                      TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:   160
                        N OF CASES
                        MINIMUM
                        MAXIMUM
                        RANGE
                        MEAN
                        STANDARD DEV
                        SKEWNESS
                        KURTOSIS
     160
 0.28000
 I.40000
 1.12000
 0.74748
 0.22181
 0.33714
-0. 11291
                      THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE FOR:
                                     RM*    '  103H

                      TOTAL OBSERVATIONS:   159
                        N OF CASES
                        MINIMUM
                        MAXIMUM
                        RANGE
                        MEAN
                        STANDARD DEV
                        SKEWNESS
                        KURTOSIS
     159
 0.24000
 1.67000
 1.43000
 0.85586
 0.24225
 0.32794
 0.43047
                                   A-54

-------
TABLE  A-19.  REGRESSION  ON POTLINE 101  ROOF MONITORS AND  DRY SCRUBBERS.
              THIS  IS A DEGRESSION  ON  RM101S AND D5I61W.
              DEP  VAR:     APAR       N:    19    rtULTIPLE  ':   . •>„3    SL'LAKEC  .-";;. T!.'
              ADJUSTED  R

                VARIABLE

              CONSTANT
                03XBAR
l-'l-R  '

CQEFFtCIEMT
                           '  DF, WHFRE  M=  19,  ADD DF=

                            '3TD. ERFOR    STD.  CQEF.
                 SOURCE    ::UM-OF-'=OIJAPC5    DF
               PESIDUAL
                               1
                              17
                       113 OF VARIANCE

                       >'iN- SQUARE       F-RATIQ     P

                        '.''.'"019^4          . o/a   .73.
              THIS IS M KCGRESSION LIiN RMlOiH AMD  D3161E.
              CEP VAP:     XE--.P       N:   19     MULTIPLE R:   .07^     SJUAPED ^
              ADJUSTED P

                VARIABLE

              CQNSTANT
                D3XDAR
             1- <1-R .. »-(N-l) /DF,  WHERE N=  19, AND  DF=  17:

             COEFFICCENT    3TD.  ERROR   3TD. COEF.  TCLEPANCE
                0.359275
                •:•. 277209
                0.092767
                1.316276
                                                          0.079124
                                            ANALYSIS  OF  VARIANCE

                 SOURCE   "UJM-QF-SajMRES   DF  MEAN-SQUARE

                                             1
REGRESS IOr
RE3ICUAL
                                            r
                       0. C'00754
                       0.029979
                                                                       "'26
                                                  A-55

-------
TABLE A-20.  REGRESSION  ON POTLINE  103 ROOF MONITORS  AND DRY SCRUBBERS.
           THIS  IS A FF6KESSIQN ON RMlOTG AND DS162W.


                                               MULTIPLE R:   -047    SOUAKSD ^TIFLE -   • <>-
           OEP  VAR:     -E|AR
            ADJUSTEO R  =  ^l-.N-n.                                          ^              ^
                                                                                   ,      --•    -
                                      RE M=   17,  AND DF=   I"*:   •'-'"-


              COEFFICIENT   3TO.  ERROR    3TD.  CQEF.  TOLERANCE


                     7rM - -      ,-> .'79643      0.000000    .            3'.'l-3
CONSTANT        "•"'.', "^      i'oA'l ~'l      0.046736   1 . 0'"":".'O       -IJ
  DSXBAR        '"'• ''•-':-:i4 '
                                             riAl-VSIS  OF VARIANCE
                SOURCE   SUM-OF-50MARE3   OF  MEAN-SQUARE

                                  . . - -,&,      i      i "i. (''O0856
              REGRESSION       '-•':';';7^    .s      ,'-,.,"-,26076
              RESIDUAL         "•  ''I'*-'    l"      '  '
                                                                                P
                                                            0-7    - 3T,9
              THIS  IS  A REGRESSION ON RM107H AND DS162E.



              Dep.,HR,     XPAR       N=    17     MULTIPLE P,   -474     3CU^ED -ULT IPLE R:   .2*



              ADJUSTED R"-  l-.l-9")*'N-l)/DF, WHERE  N=  17,  AND  '" ^   1^5:   • i"

                 •'ftRIABLE    COEFFICIENT    3TD. ERROR     3TD. COEF.  "CL.EFANCE      F
                                -  -, — -i-  i->       i ,-iQIOpi.     M . ('l)(l'< '   .
               CONSTANT         ,j.7.._'.>o8       - -^  «=     ;   ;^      ..-„-,,-„.!..
                 DSXBAR         1.712671      O.J—O".      ).*./—   i.-



                                              ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE


                  c.OURCE   SUM-OF-SOU^rES   DF   MEAN-SQUARE


                pcer-ESSIDN       -.120174      1      ^ .^^J
                RESIDUAL         '.415171     15      O.<->-^.
-------
      TABLE  A-21. COVARIANCE MATRIES FOR  ROOF MONITORS AND  DRY SCRUBBERS.
f>
cn
     THIS IS THE CORRELATION  MATRIX FDR RMHHG-DS161 W.         rHI5 IS ,HE cOVARIANCE  MATRIX FDR RMK>3H~DS1O
1 1 . OOi )675    0 . 004 151
     NUMBER OF  OBStRVATIONS:
                                     CCK'ARIANCE MATRIX
  XBAR
DSXBAR
                                                                                      XBAR      UE

                                                                                      O. '173458
                                     MUMBE:R OF OBSERVATIOMS:   i?
     THIS  IS  THE CORRELATION MATRIX FOR R
     COVAKIANCE MATRIX
                           XBAR
            XBAR
          DSXBAR
    NUMBER OF OBSERVAriON^:
                                        XBAR
             0 . ' -•'» '0487
                                      THIS  IS THE ITOVARIANCE MATRIX  FUR RM1O3G-DS161 W.


                                      rOVAftIANCE MA f FI X
   XBAR
DSXBAR
XBAR

0.O24500
O.OO027S
                                                                                                 DSXBAR
                                                                NUMBER OF UFc-iERVAT(ONii:    17

-------
FIGURE A-l.  PROBABILITY  PLOT OF DAILY  ROOF MONITOR READINGS.
           THIS  IS A PLOT OP  THE DAILY EMISSIONS  C=QM  THE  ALUMAX  DATA.

                                        NOfcMAL PROBABILITY PLOT
           EXPECTED
           VALUE
                      -4
            OEVIATTOM
            PPQM
            EXPECTED
            VALUE
                                                            636 35*
                                                         9999
                                                      9909
                                               9999
                                         '7999
                                       796
                                  _'*
                                    DETRENDED rJGRMAL PPOBABILITV PLOT
                    -1.0
                                         ?  59999999999939^^96
                                     ^* 4999953
                                      379
                                                                  *43 *
                                        0.5
                                                                      1.5
                                                 A-58

-------
FIGURE  A-2.  PROBABILITY  PLOT OF THE LOGARITHM OF THE  DAILY  ROOF MONITOR READINGS.
        THIS
IS A PLOT OF THE  LOGARITHM OF THE ALUfAX  FOf.F MONITOR



  THe LOGARITHM OF  THE PATLY .vnNITOF  .-£AD1,NRO IS l.Cv .

                                             Fl.CT
       EXPECTI-:D
       VHl 'J:-;
                                                                  154
                                                   7909
                    - 1 .
                                  :-,£-]- e:{rr,j pen NORMAL PR
                                                                f-l.or
                                                                 59364
                                                                9
                                                               -93
                                                       LJX
                                               A-59

-------
 FIGURE A-3a.  PLOT OF RM  101G EMISSIONS VS.  DS162W EMISSIONS.
                                      W
PLOT  OF RM101G  EMISSIONS  VS. DS162£  EMISSIONS.
               —t--
          1.0
          0.8  +
          0.6
          0.4
0.00
        *
        *
        #   *  *
                       0.05
	1—
 0. 10
0. 15
DSXBAR
0.20
0.
FIGURE A-3b  PLOT OF RM 101H EMISSIONS VS DS161E EMISSIONS
PLOT OF RM101H  EMISSIONS  VS.  DS161E  EMISSIONS.

    XBAR

          1.4 +


          1.2


          1.0
          0.8
          O.6 -i-
          0.4 +
          0.:
            0.00
             0.02
                                   #    *
                                                              *
                                                              *
     O.O4         0.06
            DSXBAR
                    0.08
                                          A-60

-------
FIGURE A-4a.  PLOT OF RM 103G EMISSIONS VS DS161W EMISSIONS.

PLOT OF  RM103G EMISSIONS VS.DS1A1W.
    XBAR
          1.0
          0.8
          0.6
          0.4
          0.2  «•
     **
    **   *
     *
            0.00
   0.05
      0. 10
      DSXBAR
                                                              0. 15
                                                    0.2(.
 FIGURE A-4b  PLOT OF RM  103H EMISSIONS VS DS162E EMISSIONS

 PLOT OF RM103H EMISSIONS VS. DS  162E EMISSIONS.

     XBAR

           1.4 -i-
           1.2
           l.O
           0.8
           0.6
                             #      *     *   *
                          *    *
                                  *
             o.oo
0.05
0.10         0.15
       DSXBAR
                                                                 0.20
                                                    0.25
                                        A-61

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                                  APPENDIX B
                           CONTROL CHART PARAMETERS

Factors for computing control limits:10
     All of the factors are functions of n only.  Integer variable n is the
number of samples that are taken per measurement.  The constant 2 or 3 results
from whether the 2-sigma limits or the 3-sigma limits are used.  The 2-sigma
limits are used with the upper and lower warning limits; the 3-sigma limits
are used to calculate the upper and lower control limits.

          c
                 n-1

          - 3-sigma limits _                          2-sioma limits
          A  • 3/Vn~                                   A4  - 2/VrT
          A
 3

B3 - l-(3/C4)(l-C2)1/2
B4=l-(3/C4)(l-C2)1/2
                                              g
          B5 - C4-3(1-C)                              B
          B6 - C4-3(1-C42)1/2
For n = 3
0!  = 1.0  ,  (-1/2)!= (*)1/2
            C4 = (1/2)1/7/0!  = 0.88623
                                     B-l

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          TABLE B-l.  CONTROL CHART FACTORS FOR SAMPLE SIZE OF THREE

A
A3
B3
B4
85
B6
3-siqma limits
= 3//3 = 1.732
= 3/(C4/3) = 1.954
= 0
= 2.568
= 0
= 2.276
2-siqma limits
A4
A5
B7
B8
B9
B10
= 2//3 = 1.1547
= 2/(C4/3) = 1.3i
= 0
= 2.045
= 0
= 1.813
          Note that B3, BS, B7, and Bg calculate <0 by formulas
          given above, however B3, BS, B7, and Bg are always >0.

Calculations of Control Limits

Central Lines
     For a potroom group the central lines of the X and s  chart are
calculated as follows:
     (a) For samples of equal size
          X  = (Xj + X2 - X3 + ... + Xk)/k                            (1)
          sx = (Sj +s2 + s3 + ...  + sk)/k,                            (2)
where     ^ = the monthly mean potroom group emission for month i, Ib F/T AT,
          s.. = the monthly standard deviation of three daily readings, Ib F/T
               AT.
          k  = the total  number of months for which emissions data are
               available.

     (b)  For samples of unequal  size the central lines are calculated as
          follows:
          X" = (nj Xj + n2X2 + n3*3 + ...  + nX)/(n+n  + ... + n),  (3)


                   l + n2S2 + "• + nksk)/(nl + "2 + "3 +••• + nk),   (4)
where     ni = the number of samples (daily readings) taken for month i.

                                     B-2

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Control Limits
(a) Upper and lower control limits  - No Standard Given.

     For X Chart
     UCL = X + A3 sx
     LCL = X - A, sv
                
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Warning Limits Calculation

     Central lines
     X Chart, XQ   = X for potroom group
     $x Chart, aQ  - §x for potroom group

Table B-2 gives the overall means, X, of the monthly mean emission rates for
the ALUMAX potroom groups in Ib F/T aluminum, and the mean of the monthly
standard deviations, ix.  For each potroom group the number of monthly
observations, n, was three.

                  TABLE B-2.  ALUMAX DATA FOR POTROOM GROUPS
Potroom Group
101G/161W
101H/161E
103G/162W
103H/162E
X
0.8473
0.9162
0.8070
0.9618
~sx
0.1499
0.1663
0.1265
0.1651
n
3
3
3
3
     Table B-3 shows the results of the calculation of upper and lower warning
limits for the ALUMAX potroom groups.  The warning limits were based on the
constants for the 2-sigma control chart factors given in the equations above,
and in Table 1.  The upper and lower control  limits were not calculated (with
respect given standards, XQ and aQ  because they will not be used for
regulatory monitoring.  The warning limits are to be used because their use
would generally signal a process or maintenance procedure change before the
upper and lower control limits would.
                                     B-4

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             TABLE B-3.   POTROOM GROUP WARNING LIMITS, ALUMAX  DATA
= __.= s;_3; = = =


 X Chart3
                                                                 Chart

Potroom Group
101G/161W
101H/161E
103G/162W
103H/162E
Central .
Line, XQb
0.8473
0.9162
0.8070
0.9618

UWL
1.043
1.133
0.972
1.177

LWL
0.652
0.700
0.642
0.747
Central
Line, 
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                                 APPENDIX C
                             HYPOTHESIS TESTING

      In hypothesis testing the null hypothesis defines what test is being
conducted.  The hypothesis always relates to true values, or population
values.  The test statistic is a calculated value used to test the
hypothesis.  The test statistic uses sample parameters, as contrasted to
population parameters.
      For example, the true mean (of a population) is generally symbolized as
u, whereas the mean of a sample is symbolized as X.
      In the hypothesis test needed in the application used for this report,
the hypothesis to be tested is:

                              H  • u,  > u ,
                               0    1     0

where UQ is the true mean value of the monthly mean emissions used to
qualify a potroom group for a less frequent  performance test schedule, and
Uj is the true mean of a set of emission measurements (8 in the examples in
this  study) taken after the upper warning limits have been violated on the X
control chart for a given potroom group.  The judgement that needs to be
made  is whether the overall emissions  level  (the true population mean, ju.)
has increased from the original level  JLI .
      In making a decision based on a hypothesis test, two types of mistakes
are possible.

     a.   the decision can be made that the  hypothesis is correct,  when in
          fact it is not; and
     b.   the decision can be made that the  hypothesis is incorrect, when in
          fact it is true.
                                    C-l

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The test is constructed to minimize the probability of making the second
type error, at what is taken as  ,  the level of significance.  For most
cases,  is taken as 0.05, indicating a 5 percent probability of making an
error of type b above.  That is, there would be only a 5 percent error that
the hypothesis is rejected when in fact it is correct.  The hypothesis test
is outlined below:

Hypothesis:                   HQ :  Uj > UQ
Test Statistic:
                      - (Xj - X0) / [sp
                     - 1) Sj2 * (n0 - 1) s2Q)
                         with df = (PJ + nQ - 2)

Critical Values:              ^,0.95'

If t > tdf 0>g5, then accept HQ, otherwise reject H .   Critical  value
*df 0.95 1s student's t statistic, one-tailed at  the 0.05 level  of
significance with df degrees of freedom.

Example:
     Table 5-3 gives the 56 values of Xj (XBAR)  on which X  is based for
Potroom Group 101G/161W.

                              XQ = X = 0.8473
                              S- = Sn = 0.1520
                               A    0
As given in Appendix D, UWL for the X chart = 1.043.  Suppose the following
consecutive monthly mean performance tests were conducted:
                              Xj = 1.0496
                              X2 = 0.9224
                              X3 = 0.8090
                                    C-2

-------
                              X4 = 0.8857
                              X5 = 1.0524
                              Xg = 0.8357
                              X7 = 1.0270
                              Xg = 0.9063
For the last 8 monthly mean emissions:
                    Xj = the mean of X,, X^, X.,,  ..., Xg,  and
                    Sj = the standard deviation
                    r^ - 8
Therefore, Xj = 0.9360
           Sj = 0.0960
           nj - 8

The question, is "Has the true mean emission level from which the last
8 samples were taken changed from the original level where X  = 0.8473,
SQ = 0.1520, and nQ = 56?"
Therefore, test the hypothesis:

                              Hn :  u.  > u
                               0   '1    '0
Test Statistic:
                    t = (0.9360 - 0.8473) / [s   ^1/56 + 1/8],
               sp = [((55(0.1520)2 + 7(0.0960)2) / (56 + 8-2)]1/2
                              s  = 0.14675
                              t = 1.5992
                              df = 62
                              ^2,0.95 '
                                    C-3

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Because t is less than tg2)(h95,  the null  hypothesis,  HQ must be rejected.
That is to say, that there is not a significant difference between 0.9360
and 0.8473 at the 5 percent level of significance.   The conclusion that must
be reached is that from the data  we have collected,  we can not say that the
overall mean has increased for the last 8 runs.
                                   C-4

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                                             APPENDIX D
                            SUMMARY OF PRIMARY ALUMINUM PLANT PERFORMANCE

TABLE  D-l. TOTAL FLUORIDE EMISSIONS FROM POTROOMS SUBJECT TO NSPS

Plant
Code
A
B
C
D
E
Plant
Type
CWPBa
CWPB
CWPB
CWPB
vssb
Number
Monthly
Tests
51
48
34
16
22
Measured Emissions
Ib F/T Al
M1n.
0.55
0.42
0.67
0.71
0.88
Max.
1.30
1.31
3.48
1.49
3.11
Avg.
0.89
0.86
1.27
1.04
1.49
NSPS
Limit
Ib F/T Al
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
2.0
Number of
Exceedances References
0 16
0 16
3C 17,18
0 19
3d 20
aCWPB - Plant uses center-worked prebake pots.
bVSS - Plant uses vertical stud Soderbrg pots.
cTwo failures occurred In same month, one on retest.
 Specific reason for failures not reported.  Plant conducts one test run/line each month,
 so each reported test is the average for all three lines.

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TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
(Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO. 2.
EPA-450/3-86-012
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE Primary Aluminum NSPS :
Statistical Analysis of Potline Fluoride Emissions
and Alternate Sampling Frequency
7. AUTHOR(S)
&. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Environmental Protection Agency
^ Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
DAA for Air Quality Planning and Standards
Office of Air and Radiation
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
5. REPORT DATE
October 1986
6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPOR T '-, ..
10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
68-02-3816
13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVE==. "
Final
14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
EPA 200/84
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT
      Statistical analyses  were performed on 4 years of fluoride  emissions data
 from a primary aluminum reduction plant.  These analyses were used to develop
 formulae and procedures for use by regulatory agencies in determining alternate
 sampling frequencies  for secondary (roof monitor) emissions testing on a case-
 by-case basis.  Monitoring procedures for ensuring compliance even with a reduced
 test frequency are also addressed.
17. KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
a. DESCRIPTORS
Air pollution
Aluminum industry
Fluorides
Standards of performance
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
Unlimited
b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN CiMD^D TERMS
Air Pollution control
19. SECURITY ClAS-/77iu Report)
Unclassified
20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)
Unclassified
c. COSATI Field/Group
13B
21. NO. OF PAGES
172
C2. PrilCE
EPA Form 2220-1 (R«v. 4-77)   PREVIOUS EDITION is oeso .ETE

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