EPA-450/4-74-003
July 1974
(OAQPS No. 1.2-022)
      GUIDELINES FOR AIR QUALITY
MAINTENANCE PLANNING AND  ANALYSIS
                 VOLUME 3:
           CONTROL  STRATEGIES
         U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
            Office of Air and Vi aste Manaement
         Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
         Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
   Tf • f,-i*»\ «^« 1 1

-------

-------
                                      EPA-450/4-74-003

                                    (OAQPS No. 1.2-022)
      GUIDELINES FOR AIR  QUALITY

MAINTENANCE PLANNING AND ANALYSIS

                   VOLUME 3:

            CONTROL STRATEGIES
                 U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                 Office of Air and Waste Management
              Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
                 Research Triangle Park, N. C. 27711

                         July 1974

-------
This report is issued by the Environmental Protection Agency to report
technical data of interest to a limited number of readers.  Copies are
available free of charge to Federal employees, current contractors and
grantees, and nonprofit organizations, as supplies permit, from the
Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Environmental Protection
Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, or at a nominal
cost from the National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal
Road, Springfield, Virginia 22151.
This report was furnished to the Environmental Protection Agency by
the Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, N. C., and
PEDCo-Environmental Specialists, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio, in fulfill-
ment of Task Order No. 1, Contract Number 68-02-1386.  The contents
are reproduced herein as received from the contractor.  Prior to final
preparation the report underwent extensive review and editing by the
Environmental Protection Agency and other concerned organizations.
The contents reflect current Agency thinking and will  form the basis
for promulgation of official policy in Requirements for Preparation.
Adoption, and Submittal  of Implementation Plans (40 CFR Part 51).
                    Publication No.  EPA-450/4-74-003
                     (OAQPS Guideline No.  1.2-022)

-------
                                FOREWORD
     This document is the third in  a series comprising Guidelines
for Air Quality Maintenance Planning and Analysis.   The intent of
the series is to provide State and local agencies with information
and guidance for the preparation of Air Quality Maintenance Plans
required under 40 CFR 51.  The volumes in this series are:

     Volume 1:   Designation of Air Quality Maintenance Areas
     Volume 2:   Plan Preparation

     Volume 3:   Control Strategies
     Volume 4:   Land Use and Transportation Considerations

     Volume 5:   Case Studies in Plan Development
     Volume 6:   Overview of Air Quality Maintenance Area Analysis
     Volume 7:   Projecting County Emissions
     Volume 8:   Computer-Assisted Area Source Emissions Gn'dding
                 Procedure
     Volume 9:   Evaluating Indirect Sources
     Volume 10:  Reviewing New Stationary Sources
     Volume 11:  Air Quality Monitoring and Data Analysis
     Volume 12:  Applying Atmospheric Simulation Models to Air
                 Quality Maintenance Areas

     Additional volumes may be issued.


     All references to 40 CFR Part 51 in this document are to the
regulations as amended through July 1974.
                                   m

-------
                            TABLE OF CONTENTS

CHAPTER                                                            PAGE


           Foreword                                                 ^ n- n-

           List of Figures                                          v
           List of Tables     ,                                      V1-

    I      INTRODUCTION                      ,                       I_l

           A.    General                                             I_l
           B.    Types of Maintenance Measures Available             1-3
   II      LAND USE AND PLANNING MEASURES                          II-l

           A.    Emission Allocation Procedures                      II-l
           B.    Regional  Development Planning                      11-15
           C.    Emission Density Zoning                            11-26
           D.    Zoning Approvals and Other Indirect Regulatory     11-39
                Controls
           E.    Transportation Controls                            11-57
           F.    Emission Charges                                   11-77
           G.    Transfer of Emission Source Location               11-82
           H.    Indirect Source Review                             11-88
           I.    Environmental  Impact Statements (EIS's)            11-98
  III      EMISSION CONTROL MEASURES                              HI_1

           A.    New Source  Performance Standards                   III-l
           B.    Revision  of Existing SIP  Control  Measures          III-9
           C.    Phaseout or Prohibition of Emission Sources        111-12
           D.    Fuel  Conversion                                   111-17
           E.    Energy Conservation  and Utilization               111-22
           F.    Combination of Emission Sources                   111-29
           G.    Special  Operating  Conditions                       111-44
           H.    Stack Height Regulations                           111-51
           I.    Control  of  Fugitive  Dust  Sources                   111-56
   IV       INTERRELATIONSHIPS  AMONG  MEASURES                        IV-1
                                   IV

-------
                    /        LIST OF FIGURES
Figure No.
 III-l    Schematic representation showing applicability of NSPS            III-8
         to construction and modification

-------
                               LIST OF TABLES


Table No.

   1-1   Air quality maintenance measures

  II-l   Summary of selected land-use management measures that may
         affect maintenance of air quality standards

  II-2   Transportation control measures                                  11-60

  II-3   Examples of existing transportation controls to                  11-63
         reduce traffic congestion

  II-4   Transportation control measures proposed in promulgated plans    11-64

  II-5   Estimated emissions reductions from the inspection/              11-68
         maintenance program in New Jersey

  II-6   Estimated motor vehicle emission reductions from individual       11-75
         transportation controls

  II-7   Indirect sources requiring approval                              11-91

  II-8   Required information for indirect source review                  11-93
         under February 25, 1974 regulations

  II-9   EPA rating systems for project impact and EIS adequacy           11-102

 III-l   Status of standards of performance for selected                 III-4
         source categories (NSPS)

 III-2   Regulations adopted to prohibit or phase out specific           111-14
         sources of emissions

 III-3   Frequency distribution of measured SO? concentrations before    111-47
         and after implementation of supplementary control  systems
         at Paradise steam plant

 III-4   Smelter monitor I-hour S02 concentrations for three             111-47
         selected time periods

  IV-1   Interrelationships among maintenance measures                    IV-2
                                       VI

-------
                   Chapter I:   INTRODUCTION

A.   GENERAL
     The purpose of this report is to describe several  alternate admin-
istrative and technical programs for the maintenance of air quality
standards in designated Air Quality Maintenance Areas (AQMA's).  Indi-
vidual programs that act to maintain air quality standards, either
through the prevention or reduction of emissions or the spatial and
temporal redistribution of emissions, are termed maintenance measures.
The maintenance measures described herein are shown in table 1-1.
Groups of one or more compatible maintenance measures that are expected
to provide the total necessary control of emissions in an AQMA are
referred to in this report as  maintenance strategies.
Volume 2 of this quideline series, Plan Preparation, recommends
that a two-stage procedure be  used in selecting the preferred group of
maintenance measures for an AQMA:  screening of all potential measures
for those that are feasible and compatible, followed by selection based
on socioeconomic evaluations.   It is anticipated that the information
in this report will be useful  primarily for the initial stage, in iden-
tifying and screening measures for applicability in a particular AQMA.
     The description of each of the 18 measures covered is organized into
the following topics:
     •  A brief definition of the measure
     •  Current applications (case histories)
     •  Recommendations for implementing the measure
     •  Conditions of applicability, interactions with other
        measures, potential conflicts with other community
        development plans, and practical limitations
     •  Estimates of potential effectiveness
     Some of the measures have not been used previously by control
agencies or planners to improve air quality.  Only limited experience
                             1-1

-------
Table  1-1.  Air quality maintenance measures
LAND USE AND PLANNING MEASURES
     •  Emission Allocation Procedures
     •  Regional Development Planning
     •  Emission Density Zoning
     •  Zoning Approvals and Other Indirect Regulatory Controls
     •  Transportation Controls
     •  Emission Charges
     •  Transfer of Emission Source Location
     •  Indirect Source Review
     •  Environmental Impact Statements
EMISSION CONTROL MEASURES
     •  New Source Performance Standards
     •  Revision of Existing SIP Control Measures
     •  Phaseout or Prohibition of Emission Sources
     •  Fuel Conversion
     •  Energy Conservation and Utilization
     •  Combination of Emission Sources
     •  Special Operating Conditions
     •  Stack Height Regulations
     •  Control of Fugitive Dust Sources


in the application of other measures is available.  In contrast, appli-
cations of some measures have been so varied that an entire document
could be written on each one.  Therefore, with the exception of the
case history data, the information presented is necessarily general.
Analyses and conclusions drawn from the case histories usually have
not been stated directly.  However, these conclusions have formed part
of the basis for recommendations on implementation of the measure and
are also a factor in the estimates of potential effectiveness.
          The report discusses three measures that are already in effect
in all  AQMA's regardless of maintenance plan provisions—indirect source
review, Environmental Impact Statements (EIS's), and Federal New Source Perfor-
                              1-2

-------
mance Standards (NSPS).   It is important that the capabilities  of these
measures for maintenance be known and considered in the preparation of
Air Quality Maintenance  Plans (AQMP's).
     Three other tools available under the Clean Air Act that may serve
to mitigate the impact of general growth are discussed within other
sections—the requirement in 40 CFR 51.18 that each State Implementation
Plan (SIP) have procedures to review, and if necessary prevent, the con-
struction or modification of stationary sources at any location that would
result in interference with the attainment or maintenance of a national
standard; emission standards for new motor vehicles promulgated under
section 202 of the Act;  and requirements in section 110, that the
Administrator call for revision of inadequate SIP's whenever ambient air
quality monitoring or other information indicates the necessity.
B.   TYPES OF MAINTENANCE MEASURES AVAILABLE
     In theory, air quality maintenance measures are to be implemented
to keep air quality better than or equal to the National Air Quality
Ambient Standards (NAAQS).  Ideally, the measures would affect primarily
the growth component of AQMA emissions, both from new sources and from
increases in activity levels at existing sources, by controlling the
amount, timing, and/or location of new emissions.  Based on this concept,
maintenance measures could also be characterized as moderate, long-term
actions that are capable of offsetting the growth in regional emissions
that would occur without some comprehensive plan, and that act to reduce
emissions at about the same rate at which the new emissions begin.
Therefore, preferred measures should emphasize management and preventive
aspects of air pollution control.  However, if pollutant concentrations
are at or above the NAAQS at the time the AQMP is to be implemented,
measures that provide for additional emission reductions by existing sources
must be included in the maintenance strategy (or a separate attainment plan
must be submitted).
     Unlike provisions in the control strategies of the SIP's, mainte-
nance measures must be implemented prior to the time that excessive
emissions would otherwise occur.  Because of this prior implementation,
they are particularly sensitive to planning projections used in the
development of maintenance plans.  NAAQS may never be exceeded in one
                              1-3

-------
part of an AQMA just because projected growth  or emission  sources
do not materialize.  On the other hand, maintenance measures  may fail
in their objective even though they are properly implemented, due  to
incorrect estimates of the rate,  location, or  amount of projected
growth, or to the impact of projected additional emissions on air
quality.
     Identification of specific measures that  have the characteristics
described above is a difficult task.   The 18 measures presented are
thought to include the major approaches to air quality maintenance.
However, the example types of applications discussed under each measure
may include only a few of the many possible applications.   Those invol-
ved in the development of a maintenance strategy are encouraged to seek
additional measures or applications that may be specific to the AQMA.
     These measures have been divided into two classes--land-use and
planning measures and emission control measures—based on  some distin-
quishing characteristics that were observed among different measures.
Since this classification is somewhat arbitrary, a few of  the measures
have characteristics of both of the classes.
     Land-use and planning measures,  as the name implies,  are primarily
involved with planning for future regional air quality.   They are  con-
cerned mainly with new emission sources.  As such, they usually have  an
indirect or inactive effect on emissions from  any specific source.
Important land-use and planning measures are discussed in  chapter  II.
     In contrast, emission control measures are technological or opera-
tional changes that most often affect existing sources (NSPS are a
notable exception).  The result is a  reduced quantity of emissions, a
reduced impact of emissions on ground-level air quality, or a temporal
redistribution of emissions.  Emissions control measures tend to have a
direct, active effect on emissions from individual sources and, hence,
their impact can be quantified much better than that of land-use and
planning measures.  Emission control  measures  are discussed in chapter III.
     No order of priority or hierarchy of these measures appears appropriate,
except that an SIP revision (more stringent controls on existing sources)
is to be considered prior to the evaluation of maintenance measures.
The observation is made that most of the land-use and planning measures
                              1-4

-------
(except indirect source review and EIS's)  represent comprehensive
approaches to air quality maintenance, while the emission control
measures generally apply only to specific  source categories.   There-
fore, the emission control measures may be implemented within the
framework of different land-use and planning measures, and may be the
specific actions taken to effect emission  reductions that are needed
under a land-use and planning measure.  However, individual or groups
of emission control measures can also provide for maintenance inde-
pendently of any land-use and planning measure.
                              1-5

-------

-------
               Chapter II:  LAND USE AND PLANNING MEASURES

A.   EMISSION ALLOCATION PROCEDURES
     1.   Definition of the Measure
          Emission allocation is a maintenance measure that requires
emissions of pollutants be limited to prescribed levels within an
airshed, air basin, AQMA, or portion thereof.  On the regional level, a
relationship is established between the assimilative capacity of the
ambient air in the region and the amount of emissions within the region
that would not violate air quality standards.  The emission allocation
procedure would probably be administered by an agency or several agencies
having cognizance over air pollution or land use.  A special entity having
representation of air pollution agencies and land-use planning and control
agencies and created for administering emission allocation procedures is
also a viable alternative.
     The procedure may be applied to all pollutants and to both existing
and new point, line, and area sources.  Although related to emission
density zoning, emission allocation should be viewed as a much more
generalized technique concerned with regional air pollution problems
that focuses on the comprehensive land-use plan as the basic document
from which future levels of air quality are estimated.  In contrast,
while applicable to all land uses, emission density zoning is a more
specific technique most applicable to controlling stationary source
pollutants in localities having heavy concentrations of industry.
     The purpose of emission allocation is to utilize land-use-based
measures to control the air pollution potential of comprehensive land-
use plans within an AQMA or some other defined region.  The land-use
plans, therefore, need to be viewed as an accurate representation of the
future development that can be expected in the region.  The land-use
plans, associated transportation plans, and the enrission/actors thus
assume key positions in estimating future levels of air quality.
                                 II-l

-------
     2.   Historical  Review of the Measure
          a.   Current Application of the Measure.   Emission allocation
procedures are not currently being utilized by any  air pollution  control
or land-use planning  agency in the United States.   There are no current
zoning or planning regulations containing emission  limits based on a
regional definition of assimilative capacity.   There is a bill  in the
California Assembly (S.B.  1543), however, that would mandate the  applica-
tion of this procedure in  the 11 air basins in the  State of California.
     The concept of emission allocation procedures  is that there  should
be established some relationship between total air  pollutant emissions
in a region and the assimilative capacity of the ambient air in the
region, and that this relationship can be projected into the future to
establish the total amount of emissions that can be allowed at  some
future point in time. A principal  assumption is made that there is a
direct relationship between urban growth and increasing levels  of air
pollution.  Thus, if  future areas and levels of land development  in a
region can be predicted, the type of air quality maintenance strategy
that would be necessary to ensure that air quality  standards will  not be
violated could be determined.  The comprehensive land-use plan  provides
this prediction of future  development.
     The recognition  of the importance of land-use  planning as  a  tech-
nique for air quality improvement led the California legislature
in 1972 to direct the California Air Resources Board (ARE) to prepare a
report on proposed guidelines for the preparation of an air pollution
control element in city and county general plans.   In response  to this
mandate, the ARB let  a contract to the consulting firm of Livingston and
Blayney to prepare such a  report in cooperation with the ARB staff.
However, as the study progressed in early 1973, it  became apparent that
air quality management could be effectively integrated with land-use and
transportation planning only on an air-basin-wide scale.  Accordingly,
the procedures that the consultant recommended would vest responsibility
in regional agencies  for allocating air pollutant emissions limits
within each air basin of the State.
     However, for States maintaining centralized control over air pollu-
tion control activities, responsibility could be vested in the  State
agency and the program administered from that level in cooperation with
local and regional agencies.

                                  11-2

-------
          b.   Effectiveness of the Measure in Current Applications.
Since the emission allocation procedures have not been applied to date
in the State of California, it is impossible at this time to determine
the effectiveness of the measure.  The potential effectiveness of the
measure is discussed later in this section.
     3.   Implementation
          a.   Procedure.  Emissions allocation could be established
and implemented in several different ways, depending on the types and
levels of government involved.  One generalized procedure is described
here; it is emphasized that the agencies recommended for participation
are just for this example procedure.
     Six steps are proposed to integrate air quality goals into the
land-use and transportation planning process under the emission
allocation procedures.
               1)   Compile detailed inventories of air pollution emis-
sions in planning subareas of an AQMA or air basin.  Emission data must
be obtained for each planning subarea and not disaggregated from county
or AQMA totals.
               2)   Designate maximum emissions allowable in each
planning subarea to achieve and maintain air quality standards, based on
an analysis of present air quality and the assimilative capacity of the
air to absorb pollutants and still maintain air quality standards.
               3)   Estimate planning subarea emissions likely to be
generated by sources indicated in land-use and transportation plans for
designated future time periods and compare these emissions with the
allowable emission limits.
               4)   Evaluate and revise land-use and transportation
plans so that prescribed emissions limits would not be exceeded.
               5)   Adopt and implement land-use and transportation
plans, emission controls, and other measures that are prepared to meet
air quality goals and standards.
               6)    Monitor public and private development through a
refined environmental  impact assessment process in which emissions
projected directly or indirectly from proposed projects are accounted
for in EIS's.
                                 II-3

-------
     The key to this process  is  the  concept of allocating  air  pollutant
emissions within an AQMA.   As long as  plans and projects conform to  pre-
scribed emission limits,  air  quality standards should  be maintained.   An
appeal process would permit deviation  from prescribed  limits where
technical information is  available to  demonstrate that air quality
standards will not be exceeded by the  proposed deviation.
     The responsible agency in the AQMA would compile  the  planning sub-
areas' emissions inventories  and then  designate the emissions  limits for
each planning subarea.  Planning agencies would make emissions projections
based on their plans to meet  prescribed emission limits.   Transportation
planning agencies likewise would make projections of the  emissions that
would be generated by their proposed plans and would revise them accord-
ingly.  A significant amount  of interaction between the agencies in-
volved would be necessary before all plans throughout an  AQMA or air
basin met the prescribed emissions  limits.  If and when the allowable
limit is reached, some equitable procedure must be developed to permit
additional growth and development.   Hopefully, this will  not occur until
later, in or after the 1975-1985 period covered by the AQMP.   By that
time  improved control technology and experience gained during the
implementation of the AQMP should permit revision of the  plan to ac-
commodate additional growth while maintaining NAAQS.
     Appeals to exceed emissions limits would be decided by the State or
designated regional agency, if such responsibility has been so designated.
Once  the plans have been approved by this agency, the responsibility
for implementing them would probably rest at  the level of cities and
counties.  However, the designated regional agency would continue to
monitor  development to ensure that emission limits would not be violated.
The State agency would retain the overall responsibility for monitoring
the program and intervening where necessary to ensure compliance with
established procedures and criteria.
      While  the emission  allocation  process  has  been designed  to utilize
 existing land-use  and transportation  plans,  air  quality standards,  and
 emission inventories,  the  procedures  can also utilize new land-use  and
 transportation plans  developed  specifically with air  quality  objectives
 in mind.  In  such  a case the AQMP could consist  of a  program  to develop
                                   II-4

-------
a comprehensive plan plus a series of emission reduction measures for the
initial  portion of the 10-year period.  Upon completion of the comprehensive
land-use plan, the State would develop an appropriate long-range AQMP
incorporating emission allocation procedures.   The State, in the
submission of the AQMP, must demonstrate the capability to develop a
mechanism for the creation of a comprehensive plan that recognizes the
requirement for the maintenance of air quality.
     The first step is to compile an emissions inventory for areas
within the air basin for a base year.  Planning subareas would best be
chosen to conform as much as possible to the boundaries of political
subdivisions, census tracts, and existing planning areas.  They also
would have to be of small enough size to permit definition of specific
areas with air quality maintenance problems.
     Given the emissions  inventory and air  quality data  obtained  by
monitoring in the planning  subarea and the  air basin for the  base year,
the maximum  allowable  emissions  that  should meet air quality  standards
in each  subarea can be set.  Two  possible options for  the designation of
maximum  emissions allowable  in a  planning subarea can  be considered.
Either the dispersion  or  proportional model can be used  to  estimate  the
control  requirements  in each planning subarea.  The dispersion model  is
preferred  if sufficient data are  available  for its validation.
Furthermore, proposed  regulations for supplementary control systems
indicate that EPA is  going  to require dispersion models  to  evaluate
particulate  and SOY strategies unless it can  be demonstrated  that such
                  A
models are not appropriate.
     To  designate the  maximum allowable emissions for  other than
photochemically reactive  pollutants  in each planning subarea, the
relationship for each  pollutant  category Em in the planning subarea  to
the allowable emissions  in  an air basin according to the implementation  plan
would be the same relationship obtaining for  the emissions  in a  planning
subarea  base year to  the  emissions  in an air  basin base  year.  This
allocation can be expressed as follows:
E  allowable in planning  subarea      E  planning subarea base year
 E   allowable  in  air  basin  accord-     E   air  basin  base year
 m   ing  to implementation plan
 where Em refers  to emissions for each pollutant category.

                                  II-5

-------
      In a planning subarea,  80 tons  of sulfur dioxide  per day  might
 be emitted in 1970, and the  basinwide  proportional  growth that could
 still  maintain the air quality standard for  sulfur  dioxide might be 25
 percent.   In  this  case, the  emissions  of sulfur  dioxide  allowable  in the
 subarea would be  100 tons  of S0?  per day.
      If a dispersion model is  validated and  accepted by  the air pollution
 control  and land-use planning  agencies, the  air  basin  emissions alloca-
 tions  for pollutants may conform  to  the model's  projection for
 achieving and maintaining  air  quality  standards.  With such a  model, it
 is anticipated that it would not  be  necessary  to reduce  emissions  in all
 planning  subareas  in the basin  as drastically  as required  in the subarea
 with  the  worst air in order  to  meet  air quality  standards, because the
 transport of  pollutants from one  subarea  to  another could  be simulated.
      Implementation of emission allocation procedures  requires a coor-
 dinated effort at  all  levels of government,  State to local.  The specific
 requirements  of emission allocation  procedures must be considered  in the
 development of the  management and organizational structure required for
 implementation  of  the  AQMP.  The exact  structure will be dictated by
 local  requirements.
     Because  land-use,  transportation,  and emission control plans are
 regional  in nature,  there may be merit  in the State's retaining
 responsibility  for  their preparation and promulgation.   Such an approach
 would minimize  the  problems that can result from locally developed plans
 designed  to attain  diverse and sometimes competing goals.  In  any event,
 the State must  retain ultimate responsibility for ensuring that regional
 and local plans are compatible and promulgate State-developed  plans if
 necessary to resolve local  level conflicts.
     A description of the proposed operation  of emission  allocation
 procedures  in the State of California provides insights into the func-
 tions and organizational structure that may be used  for implementation
of this measure.  It must be  borne in mind that,  in  California, land-
use, transportation, and air  quality planning responsibilities  are
decentralized using the nesting approach whereby  the State prescribes
general requirements with successively  more specific requirements  being
developed at lower levels.  While  the specific organizational and
                                 II-6

-------
responsibility structure may not be completely applicable for other
States, the functions being carried out at the regional and local levels
must be performed by some agency, whether or not responsibilities are
delegated to activities below the State level.
     The following agencies are involved in the California plan for
operationalizing emission allocation procedures:
     Air Resources Board (ARB).  The State air pollution control agency.
     Basin-wide Air Pollution Control Coordinating Councils (BCC).
     Regional agencies responsible for preparing and implementing
     basin-wide air pollution control plans.  BCC's are composed of
     groups of county air pollution control districts.
     Local Agency Formation Commission (LAFCO).  A commission that
     usually operates at the county level charged with the responsi-
     bility of determining maximum service areas and service capacities.
     City and county governments.
     Air Pollution Control Districts.  A county or multicounty agency.
     Regional Transportation Planning Agencies.
     Governor's Office of Planning and Research.
The duties to be carried out by these organizations are as follows:
               1) The Air Resources Board shall:
     •  Establish emission limits for each pollutant for each basin
by July 1975.
     •  Provide emission factors that relate quantity  and type of
pollutants to land-use and transportation plans.
     .  Review and approve methodology utilized by air-basin-wide
agencies  in  allocating emissions limits to planning subareas.
     •  Provide technical support to other agencies.
     Upon  passage of legislation, the program shall be activated  in
the Sacramento, San Joaquin, San Francisco, San Diego, and South  Coast
Air Basins.  The ARB shall monitor general plans in the other air basins
of  the  State.  At its discretion, it may activate the  program in  other
basins  or  portions of other  basins of the State where  it determines  that
achievement  and maintenance  of air quality goals may be endangered by
projected  growth and development.
               2)  The Basin-wide Air Pollution Control Coordinating
Councils  (the designated regional agencies in this case) shall:
      •  Subdivide the air basin for the purpose of establishing emissions
limits.
                                  II-7

-------
      •  Adopt emissions limits stating the quantity of pollutants in
each  pollutant category that can be emitted in the air in each sub-
division of the air basin by December 31, 1975.  The totals for all
areas shall not exceed ARB limits established for the air basin.
      •  Review the emissions limits periodically and adopt amendments
when  new data indicate that a different quantity of pollutants should be
allocated.
      •  Require a current, detailed emissions inventory and periodic
updating.
      •  Provide technical assistance to cities, counties, Councils of
Government, and regional transportation planning agencies on the
preparation of general plans and transportation plans that would conform
to emissions limits, and on the utilization of emissions allocations and
emissions limits in evaluating the air quality impact of proposed projects
in environmental impact reports.
     •  Define projects likely to have a significant impact on air
quality.
     •  Review environmental  impact reports prepared for projects with
potentially significant air quality impacts and for major growth-
inducing projects.
     •  Review within 90 days of receipt, city and county general
plans, regional  land-use plans, and regional  transportation plans in
accord with procedures and methodology prescribed  by the Air Resources
Board, and approve plans that are judged to maintain projected emissions
from planned land uses and transportation facilities within emissions
limits allocated to the basin subdivisions.
        Establish procedures  for BCC review of applications to the
LAFCO* to annex  or incorporate territory, or to create special  districts
or expand their  service areas or functions,  for potential  impact on air
quality, and notify each local  agency formation commission of any expected
violations of air quality goals likely to result directly or indirectly
from application approval.
*LAFCO's are required by Assembly Bill  237 (1972) to undertake studies of
existing governmental agencies, including dependent special  districts, in
order to determine maximum service areas and service capacities.   They
usually operate at the county level.
                                 II-8

-------
                3)  Cities and counties shall:
        Determine that projected air pollution emissions, directly or
indirectly generated by land uses designated in the land-use element and
by transportation facilities designated in the circulation element, do
not exceed the allowable emissions allocated to the city or county and
air basin subdivision by the BCC or equivalent agency.
        Submit the general plan to the BCC for review for consistency
with air pollution emissions limits by December 31, 1976.
     •  After the receipt of the allocation of emissions limits pre-
scribed by the BCC, submit to the BCC for review the adopted general
plan and a projection of the quantity of emissions in each pollutant
category resulting from the plan's proposals.
     •   After receiving a notice of disapproval of the plan for
failure to meet emissions limits, submit a revised plan and projection
of emissions  to the BCC for review.
     •   Modify the objectives, criteria, and procedures adopted for
evaluation of projects and preparation of environmental impact reports
to include procedures for the projection of air pollutant emissions,
directly or indirectly generated by proposed projects, and for the
evaluation of emissions with reference to emissions limits allocated to
air basin subdivisions within the jurisdiction of the city or county by
the BCC.
               4)  Local  Agency Formation Commissions (LAFCO)
shall:
        Prior to the approval of an application for annexation, in-
corporation or the creation of a special district, or the expansion of a
special district's territory or functions, consider the effect of the
proposed action on air quality and on the emissions limits allocated by
the BCC to the air basin subdivision affected by the application.
     •   Require that the project conform with the emissions limits
assigned to the air basin subdivision in which the project would be
located, as well as with city or county general and specific plans.
               5)  Air Pollution Control Districts shall:
     •   Revise their orders, rules, and regulations to be consistent
with the allocation of emissions limits prescribed by the BCC, partic-
                                  II-9

-------
ularly those regulations regarding complex sources aimed at preventing
the construction or operation of facilities that either directly or
indirectly would cause emissions allocations to be exceeded.
      •  Require the developer of any project of the type defined as
major growth inducing or likely to have a significant impact on air
quality by the BCC to obtain a permit from the air pollution control
district.
      •  Issue no permit for the construction, alteration, or operation
of any project for which projected emissions would exceed the limits
allocated to the air basin subdivision or city or county.
               6)  Regional Transportation Planning Agencies
shall:
      •  Determine that the regional plan is consistent with the
allocation of emissions limits prescribed for the air basin.
     •  Provide a report of projected emissions from the transportation
system proposed in the plan in the EIS now required.
     •  Not adopt a regional  transportation plan until  receipt of a
statement of approval  from the BCC, certifying that the emissions pro-
jected from the proposed transportation system do not exceed the limits
allocated to the air basin or its subdivisions.
               7)  Office of Planning and Research shall:
      •  Prepare in conjunction with the ARB and the Council on
Intergovernmental Relations a handbook of technical guidelines
and administrative procedures for reviewing and projecting emis-
sions from proposed projects, for reducing emissions in existing and
proposed developments, and for preparing plans that maintain emissions
within allocations of emissions limits.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.  Following the earlier
discussion, prerequisite conditions of applicability are as follows:
               1)   The availability of a current emissions inventory
and land-use data.  This land-use data would be for current land use and
for expected future development.
               2)   The availability of sufficient resources to develop
the emissions rates and to administer the regulations over time.
                                  11-10

-------
               3)   The availability of sufficient monitoring data
either to calculate the emissions ceiling of the proportional model  or
to calibrate the dispersion model.
               4)   A well-developed land-use and transportation plan-
ning capability on the part of municipal  and county or regional  govern-
ment.
               5)   Appropriate enabling  legislation.
     If all these data and capabilities are present or can be assembled,
an emissions allocation procedure can be  used for any  combination of
emissions sources, and within a wide range of administrative structures.
This measure offers a broad, flexible approach that is directed  spec-
ifically at maintenance of air quality standards, and  would be
applicable in most AQMA's.  The primary limitations on the use of
emissions allocation result from its large, continuing administrative
staffing requirements and its need for extensive interagency
cooperation.
          c.   Interactions with Other Measures.  In general,
emission allocation procedures may be thought of as a  framework  within
which other measures can be applied.  This measure does not provide  the
actual emission reductions and is therefore dependent  on the existence
of other measures to provide reductions shown to be needed in particular
subareas.  However, it does provide control over the admittance  of new
sources into subareas that are either approaching or are at their
emissions allocation.
     The procedures would be a supplement to source control regulations
and could be administered in concert with them.  Used  together,  they
would be particularly valuable in avoiding "hot spots," areas where
large sources cluster and technological source controls are not  adequate
to avoid local violations of air quality standards.
     Emissions allocation procedures can also provide  an overall structure
in which other administrative measures, such as emission density zoning,
indirect source review, or transportation control plans, can function.
The interaction with emission density zoning is discussed in the section
on that measure.   In California, the proposed maintenance plan utilizes
both indirect source regulation and State-required environmental impact
assessments as integral parts of their emissions allocations procedure.
                                  11-11

-------
          d-   Potential Conflicts and Negative Impacts.   California's
experience in conceptualizing the procedures and organization to oper-
ational ize emission allocation procedures indicates some  potential
problem areas that must be considered in the development  of similar
procedures by other States.  The major difficulty with the program  as
initially conceived was that it would mean that no growth or development
would be allowed in the Los Angeles air basin over the short-term,  at
least until the automobile becomes a much cleaner means of transportation
or major reductions in existing stationary sources are obtainable.   The
Air Resources Board chose instead to modify the program and to reserve
the right to designate emissions limits for each air basin.  The air-
basin-wide agencies would be required only to allocate the designated
emissions to planning subareas within each basin.   They would not have
to determine whether Federal and State air quality standards would  be
achieved and maintained.  The ARB was in effect saying that the Clean
Air Act left them no flexibility to avoid imposing intolerable burdens
on the population of Los Angeles.  They would rather see  somewhat less
stringent standards and higher emissions limits set for Los Angeles
without the margin of safety inherent in the Federal air  quality stan-
dards.
     Although it is commonly agreed that the Los Angeles  situation  is
rather unique in the United States, this example demonstrates that
emission allocation is subject to some implementation problems for  cases
in which emissions are at or above the allocation  limits.   Clearly, it
can lead to urban growth limitations in severe cases.  Alternately, a  time
schedule for reducing emissions to the allocated levels may be included in
the proposed allocation procedure.
     This measure does not provide a clear breakpoint or  transition from
the implementation plan strategy for attaining the air quality standards
to the maintenance plan strategy for maintaining them thereafter.   This
is probably an advantage of the measure for air pollution  control
agencies, but it does open an emissions allocation plan to unjust criticism
of not being able to maintain standards, when the  problem actually  is
that the implementation plan was inadequate in originally  achieving the
standards.
                                 11-12

-------
     Another conflict centers on the  transportation  interface.  As with
emissions density zoning, spatially defined emission rates might  force
more spread development, resulting in an  increase  in vehicle miles
travelled.  Lower densities would inhibit the use  of mass transit, thus
compounding the problem.  This is a speculative  point,  however, and
needs documentation.  It does, however, suggest  that regional  land-use
and transportation plans providing for a  limit on  trip  generation are
required.
          e.   Practical Limitations.  Practical limitations  include:
               1)   The assignment of powers over  land-use  to  a  regional
or State agency.  Municipalities will feel that  they have  lost some
control over land-use decisions to an agency removed from  direct  popular
control.
               2)   The possibility  the  regional  agency will  make land-
use decisions ignoring other important social needs.  Comprehensive
planning agencies will argue that "the tail is wagging  the  dog"  in
regional land-use planning, since air pollution  control should be just
one of the factors that influence regional land-use decisions.
               3)   The difficulty of defining an  air shed  or  air basin.
With a significant amount of "background" drifting into the region,  the
emission limitations would be subject to  an error  factor.   Clearly,  the
strategy is best designed for well-defined air basins as is the  case in
California.  Operational difficulties would be greater in  the  Northeast,
for example.
               4)   The lack of an adequate institutional  structure  to
deal with emissions rights.  Economists contend  that clean  air has an
economic value and can therefore be assigned a market price.   The
maximum allowable emissions would represent the  supply of  air  rights for
a region, the price of which would be determined by the demand.   The
supply of air rights would remain fixed,  so that an increase in  demand
would cause an increase in the price  of the assimilative capacity of the
air.  Conceptually, the air pollution agency could develop a market
mechanism allowing for the transfer of the rights  to highest bidder. A
new source could also "buy" emission  rights from an existing source  who
would then be required to commensurably reduce its emissions.   The
concept of "highest and best use" common  in land-use law would apply,
                                 11-13

-------
with price as the decision criterion.  It is unclear what effect such a
mechanism would have in terms of land value and locational patterns in
urban  regions, but the impact would probably be significant.
     4.    Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
           a-   Ability of Measure to Maintain Standards.  Emission
allocation should not be viewed as a one-time procedure.  Continued
monitoring and recalculation of the relation of emissions to assimilative
capacity would be necessary.  The logic of assigning a set quantity of
emissions  to each planning subarea would seem to encourage a refinement
of  the initial, rather crude allocation procedures.  Ideally, roll back
and modeling approaches should be combined to minimize error.  The land-
use-based emission factors would have to be reevaluated periodically to
incorporate any changes in emission rates resulting from improved
technology, fuel changes, etc.
     As a technical procedure, emission allocation is a powerful  tool.
Politically, the problem of strict adherence to allocations  would be the
major  difficulty.  Retention of control at the State level would mitigate
this political difficulty.   States have all  powers and only permit local
government to take such actions as the state legislature sees fit.  The
problem is not completely eliminated and may even be magnified because
State  legislators represent local  areas and act to serve local  interests.
As  with land-use planning,  the pressure to grant variances or increase
allocations would be strong.   A project review/environmental impact
statement process would have to be conducted on a fairly detailed level in
order  to guarantee that allocations  would not be exceeded.
          b.    Relative  Efficiency.   Among the variety of maintenance
measures, emission allocation is an  extremely efficient approach to
maintain acceptable levels  of air quality.   A direct relationship is
established between emissions and ambient air quality levels.  Its major
problem is that,  although the logic  is simple, the implementation of
the procedures becomes  a rather sophisticated process.   Multiple levels
of government are involved,  and interaction  between air pollution
control officers  and land-use and transportation planners and controllers
must be close and continuing.   In  practice,  the procedures would require
well-trained  professionals  at various  levels  of government.
                                 11-14

-------
B.    REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING
     1.    Definition of Measure
     Although technology-oriented control  measures  can  go  a  long  way
toward reducing air pollution levels,  there is  no assurance  that  they
will produce full  compliance and continued maintenance  of  air quality
standards.  It is  therefore necessary  that air  quality  considerations  be
made an integral part of the regional  planning  process, and  that  con-
straints on development be shown in regional  plans  if they are indicated
to be necessary to maintain standards.  Regional  development policies  by
themselves may have a significant effect on the location of  pollutant
emission sources and on the exposure of the populace to them.
     From a practical standpoint, it must be recognized that regional
plans, as well as community master plans, rarely carry any legal  en-
forceability.  They normally constitute a statement of the goals  and
aspirations of a region or community.   In addition, generalized land-use
objectives may be expressed in the form of a map commonly called  the
comprehensive plan or the master plan.  Because they lack enforceability,
comprehensive plans are dependent on measures such  as zoning and  other
land-use ordinances for their implementation.
     Notwithstanding, a comprehensive plan is a necessity if implemen-
tation measures are to be coordinated for the attainment of long-term
land-use and environmental objectives.
     Four principal elements of regional planning can be used to assist
in  maintaining air quality:  a) regional form, b) open space planning,
c)  stationary source location, and d) transportation planning.  Trans-
portation planning is discussed in Chapter II, Section E.
     2.   Historical Review
          a.    Current Applications.  A survey recently sponsored by EPA
investigated the degree  to which  regional and town  planning  agencies
incorporate  specific air  quality  considerations  into the planning
process  (ref.  1).  The recognition of air quality as an important input
or  constraint  to the formulation  of regional plans  is  far from uniform.
The survey  found that only  36  percent of  those agencies responsible for
land-use  planning  explicitly consider air quality  implications.  Only 33
percent  of  the  agencies  responsible for transportation planning  give
explicit  consideration  to air  quality.  The  significance of  these find-
                                   11-15

-------
ings is summarized well in the survey report (ref.  1):
     These figures are important because planning traditionally has had
     its greatest impact in land-use and transportation, and ...  these
     two activities have important causal links to air quality.  There-
     fore, it is in these areas that planning could make a significant
     contribution to the task of controlling air pollution; or, on  the
     other hand, it could cause significant problems through neglect.
          b.   Current Effectiveness.  As indicated by the preceding
survey results, air quality is infrequently included as a criterion in
arriving at regional development decisions.  Even those agencies
that consider air quality rarely do so in a quantitative manner. There
may be goals for clean air but rarely are there tools for evaluating the
implications of alternative development proposals on air quality.
     Thus, an objective observer would be forced to conclude that the
consideration of air quality in regional  planning has been largely
ineffective.
          c.   The Vermont State Land-Use Plan.  To control unplannned
development and to protect State interests, State land-use plans have
been implemented in Vermont, Maine, and Hawaii.  Because the three
States were similar in their approach, only one will be discussed here--
the Vermont plan.
               1)   Background.  Spurred  by the problems some towns were
experiencing as the result of large second home and ski resort develop-
ments, in 1969 Governor Dean C. Davis formed a  Commission on Environ-
mental Control to study the problems resulting  from unplanned and rapid
growth in Vermont (ref. 2).   The Commission recommended that the leg-
islature immediately adopt a statewide system of land-use planning  and
development regulation.  The 1970 General Assembly  accepted the Commission's
recommendations and enacted Act 250 to establish a  statewide process for
dealing with land-use and environmental  problems and the public service
costs resulting from development.
     Act 250 did two things.  First, it established a system for re-
viewing applications for major subdivisions and developments across the
State.  District Environmental  Commissions, composed of citizens appointed
by the Governor, were established to review applications for development
for compliance with 10 criteria.   Nearly  all  significant development
falls under the Act 250 review process (ref.  3).
                                  11-16

-------
                2)    Criteria.   Before granting a permit, the district
 commission  must find that  the development meets the following 10 criteria
 (ref.  4):
     a)   Will  not  result  in undue water or air pollution;
     b)   Has sufficient water  available;
     c)   Will  not  cause unreasonable burden on an existing water supply;
     d)   Will  not  cause unreasonable soil erosion or reduction in the
          capacity  of the  land  to hold water so that a dangerous or
          unhealthy condition may result;
     e)   Will  not  cause unreasonable highway congestion or unsafe
          conditions  with  respect to use of the highways existing or
          proposed;
     f)   Will  not  cause an unreasonable burden on the ability of a
          municipality to  provide educational services;
     g)   Will  not  place an unreasonable burden on the ability of the
          local  governments to  provide municipal or governmental services;
     h)   Will  not  have an undue adverse effect on the scenic or natural
          beauty of  the area, aesthetics, historic sites, or rare and
          irreplaceable natural areas;
     i)   Is in conformance with the duly adopted development plan,
          land-use  plan or land capability plan; and
     j)   Is in conformance with any duly adopted local or regional
          plan.
     A permit may not be denied solely for the reasons set forth in e,
f, and g above, but reasonable conditions and requirements may be attached
to alleviate the burdens created.
     In addition to the District Environmental  Commissions, Act 250
established an Environmental  Board,  also composed of citizens appointed
by the Governor, to hear appeals from the decisions of the District
Environmental Commissions and to promulgate rules and regulations  to
administer the Act.
     Because the criteria of  Act 250 were general  and could not  accom-
plish all  of the purposes of  Act 250, the legislature also directed the
Environmental Board  to adopt  a  series of three  land-use and development
plans.   In addition, it was provided that the  State plans  were  to  be
further implemented  at the  local level by authorized  land-use controls
such as subdivision  regulations  and  zoning.
                                  11-17

-------
               3)    Interim Land  Capability  Plan.  The first plan man-
dated by Act 250 was the interim  land  capability plan, which was basi-
cally a statewide  inventory of:   present  land  uses;  physical limitations
on development (e.g., steep slopes,  shallow  depth  to bedrock); potential
for agriculture, forestry,  or mineral  extraction;  and unique or fragile
areas, such as high elevations or wetlands.  The interim  land capability
plan was adopted by the Environmental  Board  and approved  by the Governor
in March, 1972.
               4)    Capability and Development Plan. The second plan
called for by Act  250 was the capability  and development  plan, which was
enacted by the General Assembly in 1973.   The  capability  and development
plan was to be consistent with the interim land capability plan and to
promote a coordinated, efficient and economic  development of the State.
The capability and development plan  establishes policies  and criteria
designed to:
     a)   Minimize the adverse impact of  development on  lands with  high
          potential for agriculture, forestry, or  mineral extraction or
          with significant natural,  recreational,  scenic, or other
          resource value;
     b)   Protect the public from having  to assume an unreasonable  or
          or unscheduled burden in providing facilities  and  services to
          support scattered development;  and
     c)   Safeguard the public investment in utilities,  facilities
          building, and lands.
     The policies in the capability and development plan were  adopted  to
provide guidance in preparing the State land-use  plan and town  and
regional plans.
               5)   The Land-use Plan.  The final  and most important
plan mandated  by Act 250 was the land-use plan, which failed to pass  the
1974  legislative session,  but will likely be enacted next year (ref.  5).
The  land-use plan is to be based on the capability and development  plan.
It  is  to consist of a map  and statements of present and prospective land
uses,  which determine  in broad categories the proper use of lands in  the
State  whether  for forestry,  recreation, agriculture, or urban purposes.
In  drawing  up  the State land-use plan, consideration is to be given to
duly  adopted  regional  and  town plans, capital  programs, and municipal
bylaws pertaining to  land-use.   However, once adopted, the State land-
use plan and  the capability  and  development plan are to  be implemented
at  the local  level  by  authorized  land-use controls,  such as subdivision
regulations and zoning.
                                   11-18

-------
                6)   The Effectiveness of Act 250 (ref. 6).  Although Act
 250  has  brought development close to a halt in some areas, this is
 relatively uncommon.   In a study of the early period of the Act's
 administration, it was concluded that Act 250 had no significant impact
 on the rate of  development and that most of the apparent slowing effect
 was  attributable to the general state of the economy.
      Examination of the permits processed by the District Commissions
 during the first 3 years of Act 250 indicate that only about 3 percent
 were  denied.  Although the Division of Protection is empowered to en-
 force the rules of the District Commissions, it has undertaken very few
 legal actions,  preferring to use the threat of such sanctions to obtain
 compliance.  The enforcement of the act is aimed much more at inducing
 compliance rather than punishing noncompliance.  In considering appli-
 cations  for projects in which air pollution was an issue, the District
 Commissions have been quite free in imposing conditions on permit
 acceptance.
      There can  be little doubt as to the potential  effectiveness of
 State land-use  plans such as Vermont's Act 250 in controlling the air
 quality  impacts of new development.  It could well  serve as an example
 of a  control measure that more progressive States might adopt as part of
 the AQMP's.
      3.   Implementation
          a.   Mechanics of Incorporating Air Quality into the Regional
 Planning Process.   To incorporate air quality considerations  and con-
 straints into the regional  planning process, existing regional  and
 community comprehensive plans must be scrutinized to determine their
 future compliance with air quality standards.   Perhaps the best process
 for doing this is the use of environmental  simulation models.   If the
 analyses show that existing plans would result in future problems main-
 taining air quality standards,  alternative plans  should also  be inves-
 tigated to determine those  more acceptable on the basis of regional  air
 quality.
               A recommended methodology for considering air  quality in
 the planning process  is presented in  Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance
Planning  and Analysis,  Volume 4.  Land  Use  and  Transportation  Considerations.
                                  11-19

-------
     Conceptually, the air quality  simulation  process  is  very
straightforward.   Basic requirements  consist of  the  location of
emission sources  and their emission rates,  along with  a method to
relate emissions  to pollutant concentrations.  Ultimately,  it is the
concentration of  pollutants in the  air that is of  vital interest.
     In spite of  this conceptual  simplicity, the air quality modeling
process is extremely complex.  Using  the future  land-use  plan as a  base,
estimates must be made of the magnitude of  area  and  point source emis-
sions throughout  the urbanized area.   This  in  itself is a highly complex
task, since estimates must be made  of the specific emission character-
istics of developments that show up on long-range  plans defined in
rather broad categories.  In addition, estimates of  future  control
technologies must be made.  The output of the  stationary  source emis-
sions model should be a display of  the location  and  emission rates  of
all significant area and point sources in the  metropolitan  area, for
each pollutant of interest.
     Based on the future land-use plan and  the future  transportation
network, estimates must be made of  the line source emissions from  the
transportation system.  Since the emission  rate  of mobile sources  is
generally dependent on traffic flow rates,  operating speeds, and trip
origin-destination characteristics, the modeling of  mobile  source  emis-
sions is necessarily a complex task.   It typically involves going
through the complete transportation modeling  process of  trip generation,
trip distributions, modal split, and traffic  assignment  to  determine on
a link-by-link basis the traffic flow rate  and operating  speeds.
Because of the importance of cold-start and hot-soak emissions,  trip-end
information (i.e., the origins and  destinations  in each  zone)  should  be
utilized as well.  Once the transportation  system  operating character-
istics have been determined, emission factors  must be  applied  to  arrive
at mobile source emissions.  Most of this transportation simulation is
required in the 3-C planning process.
     As complex as the foregoing procedures are, they  are only the
beginning. The stationary and mobile source pollutants identified  in  the
emission modeling process must be input to  appropriate atmospheric
dispersion models to translate raw emissions  data  to the  parameter of
                                  11-20

-------
real interest—concentrations  of pollutants  throughout  the  region.
Because the emission and diffusion characteristics  of pollutants  differ,
separate dispersion models must be exercised for each pollutant  of  interest.
Particularly complex is the modeling of the  photochemical  oxidant formation,
since it involves the interaction of hydrocarbon and nitrogen  oxide
emissions, their mixing in the atmosphere, and solar energy.
     Although the environmental simulation process  is very costly and
highly complex, it does provide a framework  for evaluating alternative
long-range development plans.   It permits the identification  of  subareas
with unacceptable air quality, making it possible to prescribe remedies
in the form of rearranging land uses.  The  simulation  should  ideally be
an iterative process until an acceptable arrangement of future land uses
is achieved.  Perhaps the most realistic means of minimizing  the high
cost of simulation would be to include an environmental simulation
element in the 5-year regional planning update cycle.
     The following sections present techniques that can be employed to
improve regional plans to bring them in compliance with ambient air
quality standards.
          b.   Regional Form.  Studies have  been performed in several
urban areas to relate air quality to regional development patterns.  In
a study of the Hartford, Conn, region (ref.  7), it was  determined that a
developed area elongated in a direction perpendicular to the prevailing
winds would produce a much smaller area of unacceptable air quality than
the  long-range development plan in force at the time.   However, the
elongated development pattern did enlarge the area of questionable air
quality.
     A similar study in Chicago (ref. 8) indicated the desirability of
concentrating development in relatively high density corridors bordered
by  green space.  The presence of green areas adjacent to sources of
pollution has been  singled out as an important  land-use factor in
pollution reduction  (ref. 9).  A good example of this concept is the so-
called  "Wedges and  Corridors"  Plan for Metropolitan Washington, D.C.
     Several studies have focused on the mobile source contribution to
air pollution and  the relative desirability of  various urban forms.
                                  11-21

-------
Another study performed of Hartford (ref. 10) estimated an increase in
average trip length of 22 percent for an urban form with a single major
center over a form with balanced subcenters.   However, due to the
relative importance of trip-end emissions in  comparison to running
emissions, the air quality impact of trip-length reductions would be
much less than 22 percent.
     A similar study of Montgomery and Prince George's Counties,  Md.,
found significant differences in pollutant production for various land-
use and transportation network assumptions (ref. 11).
     The importance of creating subregions with a balance of residential
and employment opportunities has long been recognized by planners as a
method of reducing travel requirements.   Encouraging balanced subregions
can potentially reduce running emissions significantly, although  having
little effect on cold-start and hot-soak emissions.
     While a pattern of dense corridors  or balanced subregions can
apparently reduce overall urban area emissions, their effect on pollutant
concentrations is not so clear.  All other things being constant, lower
population densities will generally improve ambient air quality.   Lower
densities imply a dispersion of people,  commercial/industrial  areas, and
automobiles over a larger area, resulting in  lower concentrations.  However,
as residential density decreases, trip length as well as trip generation  can
be expected to increase and the viability of  mass transit is threatened.
     With the current state of knowledge, it  is difficult to generalize
about the relative importance of reduced emissions of corridor or
satellite city configurations compared with the dispersing ability of
low density development.  Important considerations in this tradeoff
include prevailing meteorological conditions, as well as the existing
socioeconomic and transportation system  characteristics of the region.
     With this dichotomy unresolved, a reasonable compromise is likely
to be the alternating high density-low density radial corridors ex-
emplified by Chicago's "Finger Plan" and Washington's "Wedges and
Corridors."
          c.   Open Space Planning.  The use  of open spaces to act as  a
buffer between incompatible land uses has been a long-recognized  tech-
                                  11-22

-------
nique of community planners.   The ability of buffer zones  to reduce  the
impact of air pollution is primarily related to distance  (ref.  6).
Although there are benefits to be derived from trees and  vegetation, the
primary benefit results from the decrease in concentration as distance
from the pollution sources increases.
     The use of buffer strips along high volume highways  has been a
particularly effective means of dealing with traffic noise and air
pollution.  Three types of benefits from roadway buffer zones have been
identified (ref. 6):
               1)    Because development is prohibited adjacent to the
roadway, there are no street canyons to concentrate pollutants, thereby
improving dispersion of mobile source pollutants;
               2)   Buffer zones help to reduce human exposure to high
pollution levels;
               3)   The presence of vegetation can further filter
undesirable emissions.
     Perhaps more important than the ability of green spaces to absorb
certain pollutants are their beneficial microclimatological effects.
Because much of the radiation is transformed into evaporative energy,
the temperature over vegetated surfaces on sunny summer days may be 10
to 14 degrees cooler than over barren soil (ref. 6).  This temperature
differential reduces dust formation.  Due to foliage transpiration,
vegetated areas tend to have higher humidity than barren areas, also
resulting in less dust formation and in more rapid settling of suspended
particulates.  Another significant effect of wooded areas is their wind-
reducing character.
     A variety of open space systems has been proposed based on their
dilution potential  (ref. 9).  One analyst has suggested alternating rows
of development and open spaces perpendicular to the prevailing wind
direction.  In general, however, the distribution of wind directions is
quite variable and it is not effective to arrange land use based on
prevailing wind direction.
     Probably the best use of regional open space patterns is the
creation of alternating development corridors and open space wedges
radiating from the city center.
                                  11-23

-------
           d.    Stationary Source  Location.  Topics  related to stationary
 source  location are  dealt with at considerable detail  in other sections
 of  this  document.  Therefore, this section will be  brief and related
 specifically  to their consideration  in the regional planning process.
      In  the development of comprehensive plans, large  new stationary
 sources, notable heavy industry and  power plants, should be planned for
 areas that can  accommodate the additional emissions without exceeding air
 quality  standards.   Since new industrial sites are  usually quite restricted
 by  the availability  of utilities  (rail connections, power, cooling water,
 etc.), the possible  selection usually is from a few readily definable
 alternatives.   Careful placement  of  industrial development can greatly
 reduce the impact of stationary source pollution on the community.  To
 properly assess the  location aspects of stationary  source planning, the
 planning agency should also consider local climatology, topography, and
 meteorology.  Consideration also  should be given to the location of new
 major employment centers close to population concentrations to minimize
 travel and thereby reduce automotive emissions.
     Because considerations other than air quality often prevail, it may
 be  impractical to locate industry so as to minimize the impact of air
 pollutant emissions.   In these cases, the impact of stationary source
 emissions can be reduced by controlling the development around the sources
 to ensure maintenance of air quality standards.  When possible,  buffer
 areas can be created  around heavy polluters to discourage residential  and
 commercial  development.   By controlling the development around sources in
a manner that gives proper consideration to air quality, the exposure to
 pollutants  can be significantly reduced.   However, NAAQS must be maintained
 in the buffer areas if they are accessible to the general  public.
     Particular care  should be taken in the siting of land uses  sensi-
 tive to air quality.   Among these sensitive receptors are schools,
active recreation areas,  housing  for the elderly,  and medical  facilities.
 Because the users of  these facilities are more susceptible to respira-
tory difficulties than the general populace,  special care should be
taken in their placement.
          e.    The  Need  for a Regional  Approach.   While there are air
quality benefits to be derived from local  planning efforts,  it is
imperative  that the overall  guidance be provided  by a plan with  a
regional  perspective.

                                  11-24

-------
     In their report to the California  Air Resources  Board,  Livingston
and Blayney cited several  problems  with the use  of local  planning  to
achieve air quality objectives  (ref.  12):
               1)   Oxidant is  an area-wide pollutant,  the product of a
photochemical reaction between  hydrocarbons and  nitrogen  oxides.
               2)   The impact  of local land-use plans  on local  air
quality cannot be gaged by a local  effort  because the proportion of
local pollutants originating elsewhere  in  the  air basin cannot  be
determined by local planning agencies.
               3)   The impact  of local land-use plans  on air quality in
other portions of the same basin cannot be determined without a regional
approach.
               4)   The impact  of local land-use plans  on traffic
volumes cannot be evaluated without regional multimodal traffic models.
               5)   Local  efforts cannot improve local  air quality
without comparable efforts basinwide.
     In addition to these  technical problems,  three administrative
problems were identified that would make implementation of locally
prepared air pollution control  measures difficult.
               1)   No effective administrative  structure exists to
resolve interjurisdictional conflicts.
               2)   Lack of a unified approach between  local air quality
control measures and regional transportation plans could  result in the
violation of air quality standards.
               3)   Where there is  insufficient  coordination between
local planning agencies and local agency formation commissions, there
may not be adequate analysis of the air quality  impacts of proposed
incorporations, annexations, special  district  formations, or expansion  of
special district areas.
     As pointed out by Livingston and Blayney, these obstacles  would
seriously impair the effectiveness  of air quality plans drawn up at the
                                  11-25

-------
local level.  Although local plans may be vital elements of a region-
wide plan, the overall responsibility for a metropolitan area air
quality maintenance plan must be at the regional or State level.
     4.   Effectiveness of Regional Plans in Maintaining Air Quality
          Long-term regional planning can be an important element of air
quality maintenance plans.  The form of regional development can sig-
nificantly affect the distribution of pollutants in the region.  Open
spaces can be used as buffer zones to encourage diffusion and reduce
exposure.  Controls can be exercised over stationary source placement
and the land uses around stationary sources.  Regional environmental
simulation models can be used to evaluate future land-use proposals.
     While these potentials exist, plans must be drawn up at the regional
or State level, and they must be implemented forcefully if any of the
potentials are to be realized.  At the State level, the Vermont Land Use
Plan offers considerable promise as a framework for ensuring air quality
considerations in the long-range planning process.

C.   EMISSION DENSITY ZONING
     1.   Definition of Measure
          There is some variation in the description of emission density
zoning in the literature.  In this document, emission density zoning is
defined as a regulation that requires emissions of a pollutant to be
limited to prescribed levels within defined spatial areas.  A limit is
established in terms of an amount of emissions per area per time period,
such as pounds of particulates per acre per year.  Such a limitation may be
administered by an air pollution control agency in conjunction with
planners and zoning administrators.
     Emission density zoning may be applied to existing and new sources.
For example, it may be estimated that a heavy industrial zone could
contain only those plants that would emit no more than 3 tons of total
suspended particulates per square mile of lot size per day.  A light
industrial  zone might have a ceiling of no more than 1 ton per square
mile per day.   So also commercial, institutional, and residential areas
might have limits established.
     The purpose of such a spatially defined emission limitation tech-
nique would be:   a) to ensure that concentrations of pollutant emis-
                                 11-26

-------
sions in a small  area ("hot spots")  would  be avoided,  and   b)  to  main-
tain local and regional  air quality  at prescribed  levels.
     Emission density zoning could probably only be  administered  for
stationary source emissions, so the  measure is  most  applicable for
sulfur oxides and particulate pollutants.   There is  no conceptual reason
why emission density zoning could not be applied to  other  pollutants,
such as carbon monoxide, hydrocarbons, or  oxides of  nitrogen,  for the
portion of total  emissions produced  by stationary  sources.   For example,
the emissions of hydrocarbons from petroleum refining  and  storage might
be regulated through emission density zoning.   Rather, the  problem  is an
operational one, centering on how the emission  rates would  be  set.  The
determination of how to  set emission limits will be  discussed  subse-
quently in this section.
     Emission density zoning forms a framework  favorable to implemen-
tation of another conceptual measure—the  use of pollution  or  emission
rights which are available in a predetermined fixed  supply  related  to
land area and transferable from one  landowner to another.   The total
emission rights for a property would be equal to its area  times the
allowable emission rate  per unit area under the emission density  zoning
regulations.  In order to prevent the extreme concentration of emission
rights at a few sources, the rights  would  probably only be  transferable
to adjacent properties or within a land-use area comprising a  single
zone.
     2.   Historical Review of the Measure
          a.   Current Applications  of the Measure.  Emission  density
zoning is not presently  being utilized by  air pollution or planning
agencies in the strict sense discussed above (ref. 13)\ There is no
current situation in which a comprehensive set  of  emission  density
zoning regulations containing emission limits per  unit area per time
period is actually being administered.  However, there are  two examples,
Jefferson County (which  includes Louisville), Ky., and  Cook County,  111.,
in which an emission density approach has  been  tried (ref.  14).
     In order to promote the maintenance of air quality in  Jefferson
County, the Air Pollution Control Board developed  a  technique  that
places an overall ceiling per unit area on the  maximum tolerable  emis-
sions consistent with air quality objectives.   Both  existing and
                                 11-27

-------
 new  growth  is  incorporated within a common framework of emission esti-
 mation.  The Board developed an emission density framework which states
 that any new or modified stationary source will be allowed to locate
 only if the emissions generated by the source, when added to the sum of
 emissions from all point sources within a 1-mile radius of the proposed
 or modified source, do not exceed 4,000 tons per year of particulates or
 8,000 tons  per year of sulfur dioxide.  If it is anticipated that either
 of these annual emission densities would be exceeded, the required
 permit for construction would be denied.  A permit denial can be re-
 scinded if the applicant demonstrates to the satisfaction of the Board
 that the new source would not prevent the continued maintenance of
 NAAQS.
      The determination of the amount of annual allowable emissions was
 made through use of the widely available Air Quality Display Model
 (AQDM).  A set of emission rates was run through AQDM, with the 1-mile
 radius circle  translated into a square of corresponding size, and the
 emissions treated as an area source.  It was determined that 4,000 tons
 per  year of particulates and 8,000 tons per year of sulfur dioxide were
 the  maximum amounts that could be emitted from the square without violat-
 ing  air quality standards.
      Clearly,  the Jefferson County example is not emission density
 zoning in the  formal sense.  The case is interesting, however, as an
 attempt to apply emission limits that are tied to a spatially defined
 area.  While the regulation does not prescribe allowable emission
 densities per  unit time for fixed land areas or provide specific emis-
 sion  limitations for new sources, it achieves much the same purpose as
 emission density zoning.
     The other area of interest is Cook County, 111.   The Cook County
 Environmental  Control  Department had emission density zoning regulations
 from  1963 until 1972.   They were subsequently replaced by a process
weight rate approach.   The old regulations divided the county into three
 zones, based on zoning ordinance designations.  Each zone had its own
 emission limits, in terms of pounds per acre of lot area per hour, with
adjustments for tall stack heights.
                                 11-28

-------
     The Cook County example is  emission  density  zoning,  in  that  the
permit to construct and operate  was  tied  to  the meeting of emission
regulations that were stated in  terms  of  pounds per  acre  per hour.  The
regulations were administered by the Environmental Control Department.
As such, the ordinance was not directly tied to the  planners or zoning
administrators.
     Both the Jefferson County and Cook County cases illustrate the
emission density zoning principle, in  that both sets of regulations
relate emissions to land area.  Cook County, however, actually imple-
mented an emission density zoning ordinance, while Jefferson County
utilizes an emission density ordinance that  aggregates all sources
within a defined spatial area.
          b.   Effectiveness of  the Measure.  An  indication  of the
measure's effectiveness is evident in  the decision by the Cook County
Department of Environmental Control  to replace its emission  density
zoning ordinance with a point source emission limitation  ordinance.
Basically, the emission density  zoning ordinance  favored  the larger  and
wealthier industries, that could more  easily afford  to buy additional
land if they exceeded allowable  emission  levels with their existing
acreage.  Because the regulation discriminated against smaller indus-
tries, equity considerations were probably the major reason  that  Cook
County rejected emission density zoning in favor  of  conventional  source
emission regulation.
     The Jefferson County emission density ordinance, developed in  1972,
is still too new for an analysis of its effectiveness. Emmission
density zoning regulations have  not yet been applied in  a sufficient
number of cases to make a firm judgment as to their  potential utilization
as air quality maintenance measures.
     3.   Implementation
          a.   Measure Implementation. The purposes of  emission  density
zoning are twofold:  1) the avoidance of  "hot spots" from highly  con-
centrated groups of polluters, and 2)  the maintenance of  air quality
standards.   The Jefferson County, Ky., case discussed earlier is  an
attempt to avoid "hot spots" and thereby  ensure acceptable levels of air
quality.
                                  11-29

-------
     Emission density zoning can be implemented  in  two  different ways:
1) point source regulations can be maintained  and emission density
regulations adopted to cover only new or modified point sources, or  2)
a set of emission density regulations can be used to  replace  point
source controls.  The probability of discarding  point source  emission
regulations is relatively low for most situations.  Therefore,  the
subsequent discussion focuses on utilizing emission density zoning as  a
supplement to point source regulations.
     Basically, the use of emission density zoning  would involve the
following steps:
               1)  The determination of the emission  rates, specified  in
amount per area per time period, that would maintain  air quality at
acceptable levels.
               2)  The development of regulations that  encompass the
emission rates established and that require each new  or modified source
to submit lot size data along with emission .estimates.
               3)  The structuring of a feedback mechanism that would
periodically assess air quality maintenance and, if necessary,  alter the
spatially defined emission rates.  The existence of this feedback
mechanism would require that the regulations contain  a  systematic
procedure for changing emission rates.
     The first step, determination of allowable  emission rates, is the
key to emission density zoning.  The determination  of emission  rates
involves the following steps:
               1)  The selection of land-use categories for which
emission rates would be specified in the emission density zoning reg-
ulations.
               2)  The determination of the amount  of land in the
different categories that would be expected to emit at  no more  than the
specified emission rates.
               3)  The calculation of the emission  rates that would not
violate air quality standards, by means of a proportional or  atmospheric
dispersion model.
                                  11-30

-------
     The selection of land-use categories is a necessary first step to
establishing emission density zoning regulations.  In the work done to
date, industrial control has been the prime objective of emission
density zoning regulations.  Industry has typically been divided into
two classes, light and heavy.  The light industrial classification has
included SIC two-digit classes 20-25 and 34-39, while heavy industry has
included SIC 26-33 (ref. 15).  In some instances, other land-use cate-
gories have been added, such as commercial and residential (ref. 16).
Because emission density zoning regulations have been for stationary
sources of particulates and sulfur dioxide, the emphasis on industrial
land use is to be expected.
     Theoretically, emission density regulations could encompass the
full spectrum of land-use categories found in metropolitan areas.
Allowable emission rates could be determined for all the different land-
use categories.  However, the practical effects of establishing spa-
tially defined emission rates for residential land uses could be to
discourage higher density residential areas.  The discouragement of
higher residential densities through emission density zoning regulations
may be counter to the planning and zoning objectives of the study area.
     The second element in estimating the allowable emission rates in
the regulations is determination of  the amount of land assigned to the
different categories.  Argonne National Laboratory has run an atmos-
pheric dispersion model estimating the air quality in the Chicago
region (ref. 17).  In one case, the model was run for total suspended
particulates using current land-use and emission rates adjusted to meet
Federal ambient air standards.  It was estimated that heavy industry
could emit 3.3 tons per day per square mile and light industry 0.85 ton
per day per square mile.  When the model was rerun with currently zoned
land, the allowable emission levels dropped to 2.5 tons per day per
square mile for heavy industry and 0.55 ton per day per square mile for
light industry.
                                  11-31

-------
      Since  land zoned heavy or light industrial includes a larger portion
of  the  study area than land presently in use, these results are under-
standable.   Assuming that the air shed has a fixed assimilative capacity
for a given set of meteorological conditions, there is a trade-off in
the emission density zoning maintenance measure between allowable emis-
sion  rates  and the amount of land in the different land-use categories.
     Thus,  the specification of maximum emission rates by land use must
consider the amount of available and classified land in each category.
Assuming that point source regulations would be maintained for both new
and modified sources when emission density regulations are introduced,
the spatially defined emission rates would be applicable only to new or
modified sources.   As such, emission density zoning would act as a
second check on the contribution of the polluter to air quality degra-
dation.
     Determination of the amount of land to be included in each category
should consider the amount of land currently in use by category and the
amount currently zoned for each use.   All  existing sources would be
allowed to emit at levels controlled by point source regulations,  pro-
viding that they did not subsequently dispose of plant property and,  in
doing so, exceed emission density limits.   The land available for
development in the different land-use categories would be the difference
between current land-use area and current  zoned land area.
     An atmospheric dispersion model  could  then be run with the existing
sources emitting at rates controlled  by point source regulations,  and
the land available for development emitting at spatially defined rates.
In this way, alternative emission rates  for the different land uses
could be tested.   The rates  developed would ensure that air quality
would be maintained with development according to current zoning.   Of
course, other estimates of future growth could be used besides the
zoning map.  The general  development plan  of the study area is also a
possibility, as is the use of urban development simulation models.
     The final  step in determining the  allowable emission rates is  their
actual calculation.   Either an atmospheric  dispersion  or proportional
model is most suitable, although  the  Hanna  model or others may also be
                                 11-32

-------
employed.*  The proportional  model  assumes that increases or decreases
in pollutant emission density over an air basin result in a directly
proportional change in the ambient concentrations of pollutant in that
area (ref. 18).  The proportional model does not simulate the transport
or diffusion of the pollutant, and as such is the crudest and simplest
technique to employ.
     To use the proportional  model, the maximum density of allowable
emissions would be determined from existing air quality data, the air
quality standard, and existing emission densities.  The difference
between this emissions ceiling and the expected future contribution of
present sources would be the  amount available for spatially defined
emissions from new sources or modifications.
     The basic relationships  are as follows:
                    ETOT = EEXS + EEDZ
                            n
                    EEDZ =  ?  Ai Ri + ENS
where:
     ETOT =    Total allowable emissions of pollutant in study area.
     EEXS =    Estimated future emissions of pollutant by existing
               sources.
     EEDZ -    Estimated future emissions  of the pollutant from sources
               to be controlled by emission density zoning regulations.
     A.   =    Area of land in land-use class i.
     R.   =    Emission rate per area per time period for land-use
               class i.
     ENC  =    Estimated emissions of pollutant from new sources not
               regulated by emission density zoning.
*Dispersion modeling is preferred over proportional modeling.  The latter
 should by used only when sufficient data is not available to use a
 dispersion model.
                                 11-33

-------
     This specification of basic relationships illustrates how emission
rates could be calculated.  Given an assumed distribution of land uses,
the rates would be chosen so that the total  amount emitted does not
exceed a preset limit, EEQZ.  An infinite set of alternative emission
rate combinations is possible if more than one land-use category is
involved.  The rates would have to be chosen through an analytic or
simulation model.  In the simulation approach, alternative sets of
emission rates would be tried, and the one that is most reasonable in
terms of some defined objective, such as reducing economic disruption,
would be selected.  In the analytic approach, mathematical programming
could be used, provided that some criteria are established and that a
satisfactory objective function is developed (ref. 19).
     If an atmospheric dispersion model is utilized, determination of
allowable emission rates would be based on maintenance of air quality
standards as calculated at specified receptor points.   All existing
polluters would be treated as point sources and assumed to emit at
future controlled levels.  Emission rates would be established by treat-
ing the spatial distribution of expected future sources as area sources.
Given a current emissions inventory and an estimate of future develop-
ment, alternative emission rates for the different land uses could be
entered in the model.  With appropriate criteria for evaluation, the
simulation of alternative sets of rates could produce one set superior
to the others tested.
     Emission density zoning requires more than the determination of
emission rates by land use.  Regulations would have to be developed to
administer and enforce these spatially defined rates for the selected
land uses.  Specification of maximum emissions per area per time period
would be made for new sources located in each land-use zone with pos-
sible allowances for the effect of stack height (see ch. Ill, sec. H,
Stack Height Regulations).  In no case will  credit be given for stack
heights above good engineering practice.
     Proposed new sources would need to comply with multiple emission
requirements and supply information which could be used to determine
emission rates.  Therefore, a permit system would be a necessary com-
ponent of an emissions density zoning measure.  The permit system would
also facilitate coordination between the enforcement and planning agencies
in administering the regulation.

                                  11-34

-------
     Since point source regulations would also be enforced on the new
installations (see ch.  Ill, sec. A, New Source Performance Standards), the
emission density zoning regulations would be a second checkpoint on new
development.  The regulations would have to specify that violation of
either point source or emission density zoning requirements would be
grounds for permit denial.
     The procedure for granting any variances to the emission density
zoning regulations would have to be carefully devised.   Variances would
easily disrupt implementation of this measure and seriously hamper
maintenance of air quality.  One possible means of providing for vari-
ances is the use of emission rights, through which an industry unable to
meet the emission density zoning regulations could buy the rights to
more emissions from neighboring landowners rather than purchase more
land (ref. 20).
     Finally, the development of emission density zoning regulations
should include a feedback mechanism to allow changes in the emission
rates.  At any point in time, the rates set are a direct function of
expected future development.  Through continuous monitoring of the
development of the study area, an information base could be developed to
determine if the emission rates should change.
     Since the emission rates apply only to new or modified sources, the
actual development pattern for the area becomes the basis for the
changing of the emission rates.  With this kind of feedback mechanism
built into the regulations, air quality maintenance is assured.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.  As previously discussed,
emission density zoning can most effectively be used for control of
stationary source emissions in industrial areas.  Implementation would
be aided if land uses were in separate, clearly defined zones—indus-
trial, residential, commercial, and institutional—and future land use
would also be assigned to well-defined areas.
     Because of the extensive problems associated with emissions from
existing sources in a complete conversion from individual source emis-
sion regulations to an emission density zoning approach, the latter
measure is most often proposed as an overlying or secondary provision
that would be used in addition to source emission regulations.  As such,
                                  11-35

-------
its impact on air quality maintenance is  limited to restrictions  on  new
or modified sources.   Alternately,  emission density requirements  for existing
sources could be phased-in over a long period of time.
          c.   Interactions with Other Measures.  The primary inter-
actions of emission density zoning  are with point source controls,
including stack height regulations  and NSPS.  Utilizing emission  density
zoning while maintaining point source regulations raises the question of
how to handle the alternatives that may face an applicant for a permit
to construct and operate.  He may be denied a permit if the emission
levels are too high under either or both  of the two sets of regulations.
Should the applicant not meet the point source regulations, certain
changes could be made in the plant  structure in order to ensure com-
pliance.  These changes in facility or operations would be required
regardless of whether the emission  density zoning regulations were
violated.
     However, if only the emission  density zoning regulations were
violated, the applicant would be faced with a set of alternative  choices.
First, the amount of emissions generated  could be reduced through control
equipment or process changes similar to those required by point source
regulations.  Second, the amount of land  owned by the applicant could be
increased in size.  Third, the emission rights to other parcels in  the
land-use zone could be purchased, if this were acceptable under the
regulations.
     Beyond the already described interactions between point source
controls and emission density zoning regulations, there is a further
relationship between emission density zoning and emissions allocation
procedures  (described in sec. A, above, Emissions Allocation). Basi-
cally, emissions allocation procedures set emission lids for subareas of
the AQMA but do not specify how these subareas should maintain emissions
below the ceiling.  It would be feasible  for an AQMA to utilize emis-
sions allocation techniques for subareas, and then have emissions within
each subarea controlled by individual emission density zoning requirements.
          d.   Potential Conflicts  and Negative Impacts.  The spatial
component of emission density zoning does suggest that its use would
relate to community development objectives and plans.  In particular,
the use of  emission density zoning tends  to spread development to the
extent that an industry would need to purchase enough surrounding acreage

                                 11-36

-------
to meet the spatially defined standard.   Lack of experience in implementing
density zoning precludes any quantitative estimate of its  impact on
sprawl.  Clearly, the potential disadvantages of lower density develop-
ment must be balanced against the elimination of the "hot  spot" problem
and long-term maintenance of air quality.
     Emission density zoning is best suited to industrial  land uses.   If
this maintenance measure is restricted to industrial land  use only, then
the impact on total community development, in terms of restructuring
densities of population and jobs, is minimal.  A small impact in dis-
persing employment centers might occur in certain land-intensive, highly
polluting industries.
     The potential negative environmental impacts of emission density
zoning center on the transportation and land-use interface.  If spa-
tially defined emission rates force more dispersed development, an
increase in vehicle miles can be expected.   Increased transportation
source emissions is not a necessary and direct consequence of emission
density zoning; much would depend on the actual locational decisions
made as a result of emission density zoning  regulations.  However, the
potential interaction should be taken into account.
          e.   Practical Limitations.  There are two major political  and
social limitations on emission density zoning:  1) the ramifications of
its spatial component on individual and  group perceptions of steps
necessary to maintain air quality, and   2) the interactions between
land-use planners  and air pollution control  specialists.  Should citizens
object to or not understand  an enforced  relationship between air pollu-
tion and land area, administration of the emission density zoning  reg-
ulations would be  difficult.   For example, emission density zoning has
already been criticized as  favoring the  large polluter over the  small
one because  large  firms have more access  to  capital to buy any necessary
additional  land.
     Under many  circumstances, emission  density zoning may not be
perceived as  inequitable.   The concept of emissions limitations  per  unit
land area as  a feasible means  of maintaining air quality  standards may
gain public  and  industrial  support  in areas  where  no  apparent  conflicts
with community development  goals are apparent.  Unlike emission  allo-
cation procedures, in which the maintenance  of  air quality  is  left to
                                  11-37

-------
 local  option  in  terras of who pollutes and how much, emission density
 zoning offers a  predetermined, explicit set of regulations.
      In addition to potential problems with citizen understanding,
 emission density zoning may be limited by the interactions between
 planner and air  pollution specialist.  While the enforcement of the
 emission density zoning regulations would probably be under the control
 of an  air pollution control agency, zoning and regional development
 planning would probably be the responsibility of the planners and zoning
 administrators.  The development and enforcement of emission density
 regulations would be difficult unless appropriate administrative link-
 ages are established.  In particular, the calculation of emission rates
 is dependent  on  a reasonably detailed estimate of future development.
 Thus,  communication between planners and air pollution specialists must
 be established on a continuing basis in order to ensure that the appro-
 priate  estimates of future growth are used.
     Economic limitations on the application of emission density zoning
 are primarily related to the additional  costs imposed on the sources
 beyond  those  required by point source regulations.  These costs could be
 in the  form of buying additional  antipollution equipment or changing
 processes, buying additional  land, or perhaps purchasing emission rights
 from others.  Argonne National  Laboratory compared the cost of point
 source  control and emission density zoning (without simultaneous source
 emission  limitations) for Chicago, and determined that costs were
 approximately equal (ref. 21).   Extrapolating from this example, it
 could be argued that in most cases the additional cost of emission
 density  zoning over point source regulations would be minimal.   However,
 in heavily developed AQMA's large polluters  that are land-intensive may
 be seriously affected and may incur great additional  costs.  This result
may not  be unreasonable from an air quality maintenance perspective.
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure  Effectiveness
          a.   Ability of Measure to Maintain Standards.   Emission
density zoning is designed specifically  to maintain  air quality stand-
ards throughout a regional  area  such as  an AQMA.   Within  the limits  of
accuracy of the emissions data  and modeling  procedures used in  estab-
lishing its allowable emission  rates,  this measure should be totally
effective in maintaining the  standards  either by itself or when used as
                                  11-38

-------
a second emission limitation requirement in  conjunction  with  conventional
source emission regulations on stationary sources.
     The measure requires some monitoring and feedback mechanism to
provide for adjusting the allowable emission rates  based on measured  air
quality data during subsequent periods,  as the new  sources are added  to
the zones.  With the flexibility of such a feedback,  any inaccuracies in
the original emission rate development procedure can  be  corrected, and
air quality maintenance can be ensured.
          b.   Relative Efficiency.  Emission density zoning  is only  one
of a number of maintenance measures that can be applied  separately or in
combination in AQMA's.  As previously discussed, emission density zoning
can be used in conjunction with point source regulations and  could be a
companion measure to emissions allocation procedures.  In the framework
constructed in this section, emission density zoning  has no substitutes
and hence cannot be directly compared with other measures.   If, however,
the option of using emission density zoning in place  of  point source
regulations is considered, then the previously noted  work at  Argonne
National Laboratory is pertinent.  Their studies concluded that point
source regulations and emission density zoning have similar costs and total
emission reductions.
     Emission density zoning and the emission density ordinance of
Jefferson County, Ky., may also be compared.  Both  approaches are
directed to the "hot spot" problem.  If the "hot spot" is isolated and
general air quality in the AQMA is not approaching  the standards, either
measure should be capable of maintaining standards.  It  is not clear
that the Jefferson County ordinance would ensure air  quality  maintenance
in the long run under present emission ceilings.

D.   ZONING APPROVALS AND OTHER INDIRECT REGULATORY CONTROLS
     1.   Definition of Measure
          As mentioned in the section on regional plans, they can be
only as effective as their implementation.  While the comprehensive  plan
may be useful in enumerating a region's goals and aspirations, as well
as in identifying desirable future land development characteristics  from
an air quality maintenance standpoint, it is meaningless unless the  plan
is adhered to in the day-to-day decisions of municipal governments,
                                  11-39

-------
which over the long term determine the shape of future growth.  This
section discusses techniques for plan implementation, identifies short-
comings in the implementation process, and also examines some of the
more innovative approaches to land-use management across the country.
     The land-use management techniques described in this section are
primarily concerned with the larger issues of controlling and directing
urban growth and only indirectly with the long-term maintenance of air
quality.  Nonetheless, they do have significant implications for air
quality and should therefore be considered in the development of AQMP's.
These techniques include:
     •  Zoning
     •  Subdivision regulations
     •  Capital facility ordinances
     •  Development timing controls
     •  Moratoria
     •  Transferable development rights
     •  Tax policy
     •  Capital improvement programming
     •  Critical environmental area control
     •  A-95 review process
     The implementation measures discussed can be used to channel growth
into areas that can contain it, while discouraging growth in already
overburdened areas.  Because the land-use management measures act primarily
to restrict growth, they are not feasible techniques for AQMA wide
application.  It is assumed that an accurate picture of existing and
anticipated conditions exists.  Only if this is the case can the agency
know where within the AQMA to discourage and where to channel develop-
ment.
     2.   Historical  Review
          Many of the planning implementation measures cited above have
received widespread use by community agencies.  Zoning and subdivision
regulations are found in the overwhelming majority of local  jurisdic-
tions.  Capital facility ordinances, development timing controls, and
building moratoria are not uncommon.  Transferable development rights,
in the form proposed, are a theoretical land-use management system
without any historical record.
                                  11-40

-------
     In spite of the widespread use of land management regulations,  the
incorporation of air quality considerations into them is  far from a
standard practice.   A survey of local, regional, and State planning
agencies indicated  that only 41 percent of the agencies with responsi-
bilities in land-use zoning make air quality a consideration (ref.  22).
Only 13 percent of  the subdivision regulations and 15 percent of capital
improvement programs consider air quality..  Forty-five percent of the
agencies performing the A-95 review function reported giving consider-
ation to air quality.  Even when consideration is given to air quality,
it normally is in a very qualitative manner.
     As will be detailed in the following sections, the effectiveness of
traditional land management regulations in achieving community land-use
objectives is highly dubious.  Their current effectiveness in promoting
air quality objectives is even more tenuous.
     3.   The Implementation of Land-use Management Techniques
          a.   Zoning
               1)   Background.  Zoning is probably the most widely  used
method of implementing community land-use objectives.  The basis of  most
present day zoning  ordinances is the U.S. Department of Commerce 1924
Standard Zoning Enabling Act (SZEA), which defines zoning as the divi-
sion of a municipality into districts, and the regulation within those
districts of (ref.  23):
     •  The height and bulk of buildings and other structures;
     •  The area of a lot that may be occupied and the size
        of required open spaces;
     •  The density of population;
     •  The use of buildings and land for trade, industry,
        residence,  or other purposes.
     The primary purpose of zoning is to ensure that land uses are
properly situated in relation to each other, and that adequate space is
provided for each land use.  It allows the control of development
density so that property can be adequately serviced by public facil-
ities.
     The legal basis of zoning lies in the police power of the State to
enact legislation protecting the public health, safety, and general
welfare of its citizens.  Although the power to zone lies in the State
                                  11-41

-------
legislatures, this power is usually delegated to the local  communities.
     Unfortunately, most cities adopted zoning ordinances before formal
comprehensive plans existed.   Subsequently, with the studied development
of regional or community comprehensive plans, there have been many conflicts
between land uses specified in area comprehensive plans and in zoning
ordinances.  Zoning ordinances can be effective in dealing  with regional
problems like air quality only to the extent that they are  in conformance
with regional comprehensive plans that are themselves consistent with air
quality objectives.
               2)   The zoning ordinance.   The zoning ordinance normally
consists of a land-use map that defines the boundaries of various land-
use districts, together with  descriptions  of the regulations attendant
to each district.  Major land-use types normally provided for include
residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental.  These major use
types are normally subdivided into more specific classifications.  For
example, residential may be specified as single family, townhouse, and
apartment.  Commercial districts may be subdivided into shopping and
office uses.  Industrial classifications may be disaggregated into a
wide range of types.  Zoning  ordinances normally include regulations on
lot sizes, yard sizes, and the height and  bulk of structures, and off-
street parking and loading.
     Taken collectively, the  regulations normally contained in zoning
regulations could significantly affect long-term air quality.  The
relative distribution of residential, commercial, industrial, and other
zoning districts greatly affects the location of stationary and
area pollution sources.  The  densities inherent in building size reg-
ulations are an obvious factor in the emission rates of air pollutants.
The travel requirements attendant to various land-use configurations
have a major impact on the generation of mobile source emissions.
               3)   Conventional zoning regulations with particular
potential for reducing air pollution.  As  noted above, the  general
melange of zoning controls can have a significant effect on long-term
air quality maintenance.  However, certain elements of zoning practice
may exert particularly effective influences on air quality.  They are
discussed in this section.
                    a)   Development intensity regulations.  Many of the
                                  11-42

-------
regulations contained in zoning ordinances are directed at controlling
development density, be it residential, commercial, or industrial.
     Residential districts commonly include minimum lot sizes and maxi-
mum dwelling units per acre.  Many communities have tried to preserve
their rural character by zoning major tracts as large lot zones, often
in the one to five acre range.  Similarly, population densities are
often controlled in multifamily residential areas by specifying a maxi-
mum number of units per area.  Zoning requirements may also specify
minimum setback regulations, i.e., distance from street line to build-
ing, and the percentage of a lot that may be occupied by structures.
These types of regulations on the density and siting characteristics of
residential units can influence air quality in the community.  Popu-
lation density limitations affect the concentration of pollutants from
space heating and trip-end related mobile source emissions.  However,
their effect on regional emissions is not so clear, since they may
encourage longer trips, additional trip-making and discourage the use
of mass transit.  They also have an undeniable impact on the direction
of urban growth, since large lot zoning and other density regulations will
alter the development economics.  Regulations concerned with the siting of
structures, e.g., height limitations, setback requirements, etc., can be
used to encourage adequate dispersion of pollutants.  The major objec-
tion to this class of regulations on residential  development is their
regressive impact on housing opportunities.  As more constraints are
placed on the development of residential land uses, housing may be
beyond the reach of all but the affluent.
                    b)   Parking requirements at new developments.  Charac-
teristically, zoning ordinances have required the provision of
off-street parking facilities in commercial and industrial  developments.
The line of reasoning was that developers should be required to provide
for the vehicle storage demands of the users of the development.  While
parking availability is clearly of considerable benefit to the building
tenants and users, there is an emerging contrary philosophy.   The
availability of convenient off-street parking encourages trip-making by
private automobile.   In cities with extensive coverage by public trans-
portation systems, it may be appropriate to discourage the development of
off-street parking,  thereby increasing the relative attractiveness of
public transit systems.

                                  11-43

-------
                    c)   Planned unit development.   Increasingly,  zoning
regulations are giving special  treatment to the developers  of large-
scale projects, under planned unit development ordinances.   Most  planned
unit developments involve the construction of a variety of  housing
types, including apartments, townhouses, and single-family  units  on a
single tract of land.  Some projects  involve the planning and construc-
tion of a complete community, including business districts  and indus-
trial plants.
     Typically, the developer is required to meet overall density re-
quirements and open space requirements.  However, he may be given  con-
siderable latitude in the location and design of dwelling units within
the tract.  Houses may be clustered together on smaller lots, with the
land savings used for common green areas.
     Planned unit developments  offer  considerable potential  for improv-
ing air quality.  By their provision  of extensive green space, they
promote dispersion of pollutants.  More significant, however, is  the
potential for reduction in trip lengths and the reduced need
for automotive travel.
                    d)   Transient (dual) zoning.  A recent proposal  by
Murray Mantel 1 has called for the establishment of so-called transient
zoning:  to cover all areas of a community that might otherwise be left
unzoned (ref. 24).
     It is argued that zoning decisions not in accord with  master plans
are much more likely to occur in relatively undeveloped areas that are
in an unzoned category, sometimes indicated on zoning maps  as "Agri-
cultural Use" or "General Use".  When the owner of a parcel  in an un-
zoned area decides to develop his land, it is likely that the request
for new zoning will be in the property owner's best interest, but not
necessarily in the community's best interest.  Because the  legislative
body rarely has a studied position on the best use of the parcel  from a
community point of view, it usually bows to the wishes of the applicant,
particularly if he is an influential  member of the community.  The poor
precedents become the basis for court decisions, thus making it
difficult to establish enlightened planning procedures.
     To overcome this vulnerability of unzoned land to be zoned to
accomodate a higher density development than may be proper  for the
                                 11-44

-------
community good, it is suggested that a thoroughly studied "complete"
zoning of the community in accordance with the comprehensive plan  could
be enacted.  Because zoning is in force for the entire community,  it
is much less likely that "spot" zoning will  occur, and there is  a  strong
reinforcement of the concept that all rezoning should be in  the  public
interest.  Mantell recognizes certain shortcomings with "complete" zoning:
     •  It is difficult to plan too far in the future; therefore land  that
is many years away from development may be zoned in a manner that  future
developments would show to be detrimental.
     •  Landowners without development intentions would object to  the
higher taxables resulting from having their land rezoned to  higher
valued uses unless the concept of basing tax rates on present actual
use (described below) is used.
      •  There would be objections to complete zoning by those who prefer  to
operate from the vacuum of an "unzoned" category where there are greater
possibilities of pressuring early rezoning to a high profit  category.
     To overcome the major objections to complete zoning, Mantell
proposes "transient" zoning which would be applied to all areas  that
might otherwise be unzoned.  Transient zoning could be a prefix  to all
normal zoning categories in the community.  The transient zoning applied
to a particular tract would be subject to public hearings.   The  owner
could request (without further public hearings) at anytime a change from
"unzoned" to the ultimate use designated by the transient zoning,  which
would then become permanent.  Taxes could be maintained as under an
unzoned category, until developed, at which time the property could be
revalued.
     Transient zoning, as proposed by Mantell, is not directly related
to air quality maintenance.  Nonetheless, by encouraging orderly,  con-
trolled growth, transient zoning could be an important element in  the
land-use planner's efforts to control the long-range development patterns
in the community and indirectly its air quality.
               4)   Zoning ordinance administration.  The day-to-day
enforcement of the zoning ordinance is normally carried out  by a
zoning officer.  Nearly all zoning ordinances provide for the review
board to hear appeals on the zoning officer's decisions, and to  grant
relief from literal enforcement of the ordinance in certain  hardship
cases.

                                  11-45

-------
     Unfortunately, in many communities zoning ordinances  have  been
rendered ineffective by poor enforcement, by improper use  of special
exception, by an overwillingness to grant variances  and special
use permits, and by the tendency of the legislative  body to adopt
unwise amendments based on the applications of individual  property owners.
Economic and political pressures have long led to abuses of variance  and
special exception procedures.   In many communities,  zoning ordinances
are distinguished by their nonenforcement.
     A candid evaluation of the administration of zoning ordinances was
recently made by a prominent member of a Northern Virginia county's
Board of Supervisors (ref. 25):
     It is not realistic to assume, nor to expect, that
     officials serving on these zoning boards are always
     going to rule with wisdom and the highest motivations.
     The outcome of a zoning case is often determined, not
     by objective, critical analysis of data, but by such
     irrelevant factors as the ambitions of a public official,
     personality clashes with the decision-making body, or
     even the time of day.
As pointed out by Mantel! (ref. 24):
     All too often planning and zoning each go their own way,
     and the monthly meetings of the legislative body results
     in zoning changes and variances which are not in accord
     with the comprehensive master plan.  The monthly meetings
     represent an ad hoc planning process which very quickly
     makes the original comprehensive master plan largely
     ineffective.
          b.   Subdivision Regulations.  Subdivision regulations  are
locally adopted laws controlling the conversion of undeveloped  land into
building sites.  They normally apply only when an existing tract  is
subdivided into two or more lots.  Subdivision regulations govern the
layout and design of new developments to ensure their compliance  with
the community plans for the area.  This provision often includes  require-
ments for the reservation of major street rights-of-way, parks,  schools,
recreation areas, and other public facilities planned for  the future.
There may be a set of requirements designed to ensure that the  proposed
subdivision will be coordinated with adjacent developments with respect
to street connections, utility lines, drainage facilities, and  perhaps
open space reservations.
                                  11-46

-------
     In addition to regulating the design of a subdivision  and requiring
the dedication or reservation of land for certain purposes,  most sub-
division regulations require the developer to construct or  install
certain improvements, often including streets, gutters, sidewalks,  storm
sewers, sanitary sewers, water systems, and other utilities.
     Although it is difficult to draw any direct correlation between
subdivision regulations and air quality, certain indirect benefits  can
be identified.  Because it ensures a rational street system properly
tied in with the community system, subdivision regulation may indirectly
improve traffic flow and thereby reduce mobile source emissions.  Per-
haps more significant, subdivision ordinances, by virtue of their
regulatory nature on developers, may in small measure reduce the rate  of
development.
     When compared to other air quality maintenance techniques, sub-
division regulation must objectively be considered of negligible impact.
          c.   Capital Facility Ordinances.  Because of the rapid growth
of many suburban jurisdictions, the need for capital-intensive facil-
ities is increasing beyond the ability of the communities to pay for
them.  Rapid population influxes require additional schools, sewage
treatment capacity, fire stations, and the entire array of  municipal
services.  Because of the need for capital-intensive facilities, which
require large fiscal outlays today, tax rates have characteristically
been increased to the dismay of long-time residents.
     An excellent example of this problem is provided by Sterling Park,
Va., a large-scale development in rural Loudon County, currently at the
fringe of the sprawling Washington, D.C., metropolitan area.  The
economic impact of Sterling Park was tabulated by the Virginia Farm
Bureau Federation in a 1970 study which found that even though the
10,000 people then in Sterling Park paid $448,000 in property taxes,
the  cost of  providing public services  to them amounted to $2,400,000
annually.  The difference was paid by  the remaining 27,000 citizens of
the  county  (ref. 26).
                                  11-47

-------
     In an effort to control  the public costs of urban development,
Loudon County enacted a new article as part of its zoning ordinance.
Article 12 requires developers to pay for the public facilities  to serve
the residents of their new developments.   Other Northern Virginia
counties are developing formulas that would require developers  to  pay
for at least the major part of the public facility costs.
     Montgomery County, Md.,  recently adopted an Adequate Public Facil-
ities Ordinance, which requires that public facilities adequate  to
support and service a proposed development must be existing or  programmed
for construction within a defined time period before the Planning  Board
can grant approval of a Preliminary Subdivision Plan.   The necessary
public facilities and services include: public bus, rail, or other form
of mass transportation, and/or roads adequate to carry the anticipated
traffic generated by the proposed development; public  sewer and  water
service, or private community systems meeting State and county  stan-
dards; schools; police stations; firehouses; and health clinics.
     The potential impact of capital facility ordinances is quite
significant.  By making the developer bear the full costs of his de-
velopment or by requiring adequate public facilities to be in place,
much of the speculative appeal of real estate development is reduced.
Notably, in Loudon County a proposed 12,000 unit development was dis-
couraged by the enactment of Article 12.   Similarly, the requirements of
Montgomery County's Adequate  Public Facilities Ordinance permits planners
to exert real influence over the location and size of  new development.
The ability of these ordinances to plan for long-term  air quality
maintenance in undeniable.
     A significant objection  to these ordinances is their effect on
housing costs.  Since any costs to the developer are ultimately  passed
on to the home buyer, the ability of low- and moderate-income persons to
purchase homes may be seriously impaired.  This objection is a  real
concern which must be weighed against environmental gains.
          d.   Development Timing Controls.
               1)   Petaluma, California.  In an effort to control  rapid
urbanization as a suburb of San Francisco, Petaluma, Calif., adopted  a
                                 11-48

-------
Residential Development Control  System in 1972 (ref.  27).   The system
applied to all residential  development except small-scale  building,
such as subdivisions with four or fewer lots, four or fewer multiple-
dwelling units on a single lot,  or a single family residential unit  on a
single existing lot.  The system established a 17-member Evaluation
Board comprised of a mix of planners, councilmen, businessmen, school
board members, and citizens at large.
     Annual quotas were established on a geographic basis  based on the
actual number of single- and multiple-family units called  for in the
General Plan.  Residential  developers were required to apply to the
Board for a residential allotment.  The Board reviewed all  requests  for
each geographic area and published a listing based on the  conformity of
each development with a set of public facility and design  criteria that
included the capacity of existing public services to supply the needs of
the development.  The board then presented its evaluation  to the city
council, which had the power to  award development allotments.  In
practice the system limited growth to 500 units per year,  and it ap-
peared that Petaluma was well on the way to controlling growth.
     Then on January 17, 1974, a U.S. District Court ruled that the
Petaluma law infringed on the constitutional right to travel.  The
ruling stated that "no city may  regulate its population growth numer-
ically so as to preclude residents from any other area from travelling
into the region (ref. 28)."
               2)   Ramapo, New  York.  The Town of Ramapo  in Rockland
County, N.Y., was the focus of considerable national  attention when, in
1969, the town amended its zoning ordinance to prevent the development
of land for new housing unless the developer of such housing received a
"special permit", regardless of  the existing residential  zoning of his
land (ref. 29).  The permit is granted only if the land to be developed
is located in an area of the town that will be served by a minimum level
of certain community facilities.
     Installation of these facilities is scheduled in accordance with
the town's Capital Improvements  Program (CIP).   The CIP covers the
                                  11-49

-------
provision of sewerage, drainage, parks and recreation areas,  roads,  and
firehouses.  Permits are granted only if the land qualifies for enough
points computed on the basis of values assigned by the proximity to  the
proposed development of the five capital improvement items cited above.
The town adopted a capital budget for a future 6-year period  for the
development of these facilities.  To govern beyond the initial  6-year
period, the town adopted a capital  plan for years 7 through 18  which
established two priorities:  facilities to be provided in years 7
through 12 and those to be provided in years 13 through 18.  The town
allows the owners of property with deferred development potential to
apply for a tax reduction, in recognition of its reduced development
value.
     If the developer agrees to provide any of the facilities himself,
he may advance the time of development if he then earns the required
points for a special permit.
     Since the development timing approach represents a powerful land-
use control measure, it can be effective as a tool in guiding the loca-
tion and intensity of future growth.  Its major drawback is the poten-
tially regressive effect on the housing market.
          e.   Moratoria.   Many communities, faced with sudden  large
increases in in-migration, have enacted various moratoria on  sewer
connections, water connections, or building permits to enable the formu-
lation of plans for accommodating growth in an orderly and rational
manner.
     Petaluma, Calif., prior to enacting its residential Development
Control System, imposed a  freeze on development, rezoning, and  annex-
ation that lasted more than a year.  The purpose of the freeze  was to
postpone major land-use decisions until basic goals and policies could
be set (ref. 27).
     Several jurisdictions in Metropolitan Washington have instituted
moratoria of one form or another.  Fairfax County, Va., in January 1974
passed an "interim development ordinance" which banned the construction
of all subdivisions, townhouses, and apartment and industrial complexes
not already approved by the county, for a period of 18 months (ref.  30).
The purpose of the building ban was to halt growth while the  county  pre-
pared a Planning and Land-Use System (PLUS), a complete overhaul of  the
                                 11-50

-------
county's land-use laws and procedures, including a new master plan, a
total rezoning of the county, and a 15 to 20 year program for the con-
struction of public facilities.  The effectiveness of the Fairfax County
ordinance is dubious, as 54,000 homes and apartments could be built
during the ban because they received prior county approval (ref.  30).
Because of this lead time required for the ordinance to become effec-
tive, any slowing of the growth rate will probably occur after the 18-
month ordinance has expired.
     Neighboring Prince William County, Va., had a moratorium imposed on
new sewer connections in a major sanitary district by the State Water
Control Board between September 1972 and August 1973.  Again, because of
the connections already approved, there was little noticeable effect on
the county growth rate.  Whatever effect there is may be evidenced in
the future, but it has not been immediately apparent.  Similar moratoria
imposed in Montgomery and Prince George's County, Md., have met with
similar outcomes.
     In summary, the effectiveness of temporary moratoria in controlling
growth is unclear.  While moratoria must be viewed at best as temporary
holding actions, their effectiveness is not evident.
          f.   Transferable Development Rights.  A comparatively new
approach to land-use planning is the replacement of existing zoning
administration with a system of Transferable Development Rights (TDR).
Advocates of TDR systems point to the failure of current zoning practice
to implement community land-use plans and objectives.  As one environ-
mental newsletter has stated (ref. 31):
     ...many Americans, whether they live in a city row house
     or suburban split level, have come to distrust the zoning
     process.  By and large, it hasn't resulted in well-planned
     communities—and if you doubt that, look around you.  It
     has not guaranteed the owner of a half-acre suburban para-
     dise that he won't see a high-rise blossom behind his back
     yard fence, nor the city dweller that traffic-generating
     commercial uses won't be permitted to congest his streets.
An objective observer can hardly argue with this conclusion.   The same
source goes on to say that:
          Zoning has not done the job because there is money
     to be made—big money—in getting land zoned for the
     "highest and best" economic use.   County boards and
     commissions are notoriously susceptible to the persua-
                                  11-51

-------
     sive powers  of attorneys  promising  big-revenue  develop-
     ments that turn out to be more  burden  than  benefit to
     tax-paying homeowners.
     In an advocacy document on TDR  prepared by  Fairfax County Super-
visor Audrey Moore, the basic  principles of TDR  are  spelled  out (ref.
25):
          Separation of land and use of  land for purposes of regulation.
          Equal compensation for all landowners  for  development poten-
tial  of a plan at no cost to the public.
          Taxation of property by use, while keeping to the  standard of
fair market value for assessment purposes.
          Provision for purchase of  land for public  facilities at
minimum cost.
          Elimination of lengthy procedures involved in government
approval of development.
          Provision of an economic mechanism for total  approach to
population distribution.
     The basic objectives of TDR could be accomplished through the
following procedures:
          The community would adopt a comprehensive master plan that
would establish the total number of residents projected to live in an
area and the total number of commercial/industrial needs projected for
that area.
          The community would determine how many development rights are
required for each  kind of  residential and commercial/industrial develop-
ment.   Public facility use, farm use, conservation and recreation use,
and utility  lines  would require no  rights.
          The  government would assign each  property owner of record his
rights  in direct  proportion to the  number of acres of  land owned, sub-
tracting any development that may exist or  development rights  considered
by the  community  to  have been vested.
          To  initiate  development,  the  landowner would file transferable
rights  equal  to what is  required for  that  development  with his site plan
or subdivision plan.
      On assignment to  particular parcels of their share  of development
rights, those rights would be made  freely  transferable from one parcel
                                  11-52

-------
to another.  In order to build, the developer must not only  buy a  parcel
of land, but also must purchase enough development rights.
     When rights are sold or transferred for development,  the land they
were assigned to becomes open space at no cost to local government.
     The political difficulties in implementing a TDR system are con-
siderable, and it is unlikely that ft could be enacted in  the near
future.  Nonetheless, its potential for removing land-use  planning
decisions from the ad hoc process characteristic of zoning administra-
tion merits serious attention.  Perhaps in the next decade,  TDR may find
its way into the land-use planning tools available for controlling urban
growth and improving long-term air quality.
          g.   Tax Policy.  The potential impact of tax policy on shap-
ing future growth can be significant.  Two concepts are particularly
noteworthy:  1) Vermont's capital gains tax, and  2) the deferral  of
real estate taxes while land is used for low intensity purposes.
     Vermont, in addition to the provisions of Act 250, has enacted a tax
reform program which includes a relatively high capital gains tax on
land development.   The tax rate is inversely related  to the duration of
the land holding.  Thus, the buying of tracts for short-term subdivision
and resale is particularly discouraged.  While it is impossible to
quantify the impact of this legislation, it clearly exerts some braking
effect on  rapid development, which in turn has an indirect effect on air
quality maintenance.
     Another commonly used tax policy is the taxation  of agricultural or
undeveloped land  based on its  use, rather  than on market value.  Thus,
the farmer who chooses to continue farming a tract that is well placed
and zoned  for development would be taxed not on  the value of the land as
a development site but rather  on  its  agricultural use.  An additional
development disincentive can  be provided by deferring  the difference
between  the tax on use and the tax on market value until the time of
development.  Thus,  a developer would be further  discouraged by the
cumulative tax  deferrals that he  would  have  to  incur  in order  to  de-
velop.   These  tax reduction  and deferral policies provide some incentive
for the landowner to continue using  his land  for  low  intensity purposes.
 Further, the  deferral  scheme  actively discourages development.
                                   11-53

-------
     Because they can provide an incentive for low intensity land-use,
tax policies can have a significant impact on air quality maintenance
planning.
          h.   Capital Improvements Programming.   As mentioned in previ-
ous sections, certain jurisdictions are including the availability of
capital facilities as an important criterion in evaluating development
proposals.  Development timing controls, adequate public facility ordi-
nances, and other local policies make capital improvement availability a
condition of development.
     While these measures make capital improvements a direct factor in
development decisions, capital improvement programs can drastically
shape development even in the absence of the more powerful ordinances.
As summarized by Croke, et al. (ref. 32):
     Public land development or public works has  great effect on
     shaping and directing urban growth through construction of
     transportation systems, public institutions  (e.g. state
     colleges and hospitals), and utilities.  In  the past, public
     works have usually been constructed in response to development
     or market pressures; recent years have brought an increasing
     awareness of the impact of public investment decision on estab-
     lishing an infrastructure for private decisions.  The role of
     a new highway or sewer system in influencing development direc-
     tion has clearly been recognized, although not fully utilized.
          i.   Critical Environmental Areas.  Many communities have
adopted Critical Environmental Area (CEA) Plans,  designed to preserve
environmentally sensitive tracts from incompatible development.  The
State of Virginia provides an example of criteria for use in identifying
CEA's (ref. 33):
          An area that has unusual natural or manmade features worthy
of protection by State or local  governments.  The features may include
historic sites, special wildlife habitats, areas  possessing unique
geological or physical characteristics, and areas well suited for future
park development.
          A natural area that is critical to an ecological system.
Areas might include flood plains, tracts with severe topography, or low
wetlands.
          Certain natural, scenic, or historic areas that are presently
endangered because of the activities of man.
                                  11-54

-------
          An area appropriate for public use through future  acquisition
by State or local agencies.
          An area that can be considered to contain a primary State
resource, including wildlife, minerals,  and agricultrual  production.
     While preservation of air quality has  not been considered as  a
justification for designating critical environmental  areas,  there  would
appear to be sound reasons for doing so.  The second and  third criteria
listed above would be particularly appropriate for air quality consider-
ations.  It is unlikely that designating critical  environmental  areas
could affect regional air quality unless such designations were of
substantial area.  However,  as a tool  in controlling "hot spots",  this
process may be appropriate.
     In Virginia, development is not prohibited in CEA's  but higher
standards are applied to ensure compliance  with the intentions of  the
CEA system.
          j.   The A-95 Review Process.   A  previous section  presented
the need for a regional approach to plan development.  Pollution does
not respect geographic boundaries.  The impact of locally generated
pollutants is not confined to the area in which they are  produced.  One
community has little control over the development policies of adjacent
communities.  Because of the potentially conflicting air  quality goals
of neighboring communities,  a need exists to mediate interjurisdictional
conflicts.
     In the absence of a regional authority, local communities acting  in
their own self-interest can easily subvert the goals and  objectives of
regional growth policies and regional  AQMP's.  It has become apparent
that in many metropolitan areas, neighboring jurisdictions are vying
with each other to determine which one can  make itself least attractive
to new residents, while actively seeking light industry for  its tax
benefits.  The result has been inequity between jurisdictions.  Thus,
one municipality may attract a great deal of light industry  and at the
same time effectively discourage residential development  to  serve  the
employees of the industry.  The result is that neighboring jurisdictions
must carry the financial burden of providing residential  services, while
being unable to reap the high taxables of Industry.  A notable attempt
                                  11-55

-------
to correct this disparity has been undertaken by the Metropolitan Council
of the Twin Cities.  In 1971 the Minnesota legislature passed a law
requiring each local government in the Twin Cities region to contribute
40 percent of the net growth of commercial and industrial property tax
valuations to the Council for redistribution to various local govern-
mental units according to population and need (ref. 32).
     The logical agency to review local planning decisions for compli-
ance with regional plans is the regional A-95 review agency.  The Office
of Management and Budget (OMB) Circular No. A-95 provides the structure
for implementing sections of three acts:  Title IV of the Inter-govern-
mental Cooperation Act of 1968, section 204 of the Demonstration Cities
and Metropolitan Development Policy Act of 1966, and section 102(2)(C)
of the National Environmental Policy Act (ref. 34).  The common goal  of
these sections is to ensure the coordination of Federal programs and
projects with State, regional, and local programs.  State clearinghouses
have been established in every State, as well as in most metropolitan
areas, to administer the provisions of the A-95 Circular.  Perhaps the
most significant accomplishment of the A-95 process has been the estab-
lishment of a structure for interjurisdictional cooperation and compre-
hensive planning.  Unfortunately, all too often the member governments
tend to view the clearinghouse role not as influencing regional policy, but
rather as a communication forum and an insurance device for the con-
tinued flow of Federal funds to local governments (ref. 35).
     Although the A-95 process has established a structure for consid-
ering air quality maintenance at the regional level, because only
federally funded projects are subject to review, many large-scale pro-
jects with significant air quality implications escape review.
     The need for regional review of local planning decisions for con-
formity with regional plans is great.  The political problems involved
in so doing are also great.
     4-   The Effectiveness of Land-use Management Techniques in
          Maintaining Air Quality
          The effectiveness of land-use management techniques in achiev-
ing community land-use objectives has been unimpressive.  Since air
quality considerations are at best secondary considerations fn land-use
                                  11-56

-------
management, with few exceptions, the effectiveness of these techniques
in maintaining air quality has been marginal.   The anticipated useful-
ness of individual techniques for air quality maintenance is summarized
in Table II-l.
     In spite of this rather dismal record, the prognosis offers hope.
The new environmental ethic which has emerged in recent years has
encouraged the strengthening of land-use management techniques.  Capital
facility ordinances, development timing controls, and building moratoria
have all been developed in recognition of the failure of traditional
zoning controls.  The use of capital improvements programming to direct
future growth is now being recognized.  The A-95 review process offers  a
potential framework for regional consideration of air quality.  The
Vermont Land-use Plan, discussed in a previous section, provides a model
for the statewide or AQMA-scale consideration of air quality impacts  of
development.
     While land-use management as an air quality maintenance measure  has
been relatively ineffective in the past, its potential  is considerable.
Under the aegis of a regional or statewide land-use plan with enforce-
ability, the various community ordinances can have an impact on long-
term air quality.  However, without a regional review function, it is
doubtful whether these ordinances could be effectively implemented.

E.   TRANSPORTATION CONTROLS
     1.   Description of Transportation Controls
          "Transportation controls" is the generic term applied to a  diverse
group of measures that, either directly or indirectly, can potentially
reduce emissions from motor vehicles by one of two broad approaches:
     •  Reduce the pollutant emission rate per vehicle-mile of travel
(VMT), or
     •  Reduce the total number of VMT.
Although certain stationary source control measures, such as service
station vapor control, are considered transportation controls within  the
context of the strategies submitted in implementation plans, only those
measures associated with reducing motor vehicle emissions are described
here.
                                  11-57

-------
                            Table 11-1.  Summary of selected land-use management measures that may

                                          affect maintenance of air quality standards
en
oo
Measure
Zoning


Subdivision
regulations



Capital
facilities
ordinances


Development
timing con-
trols
Moratoria


Transfer
development
or pollution
rights


Tax
policy


Capital
improvements
programming
Critical
environmental
areas

A-95
review
process


Purpose of
Measure
To control develop-
ment of a city or
county
To ensure subdivi-
sion is compatible
areas and provide
for necessary
facilities
Requires develop-
ers to include
parks, schools.
etc. , in develop-
ment costs
Set quotas for
new developments

Temporary pro-
hibition of new
development
Each parcel of
land is allocated
a pollution right
which can be used
or sold by the
owner
of development
at a desired
level
To control loca-
tion of new
developments
To protect areas
from significant
deterioration of
air quality
To ensure cooper-
ation between
adjoining
political juris-
dictions
Examples of
current applications
Nationwide


Nationwide



Loudon County , Va .
Montgomery County ,
Md .


Petaluma, Calif.
Ramapo , N . Y .

Fairfax County, Va.
Prince William
County, Va.
None








Nationwide


Virginia



Minneapolis-
St. Paul , Minn.



Method of
implementation
Local ordinances


Local ordinances



Local ordinances




Local ordinances


Local ordinances


Local ordinances





State law


Provision of public
funds by local or
state government
Local ordinances
State laws


Designate regional
coordinating
agency


Effectiveness in maintain-
ing air qua 1 i ty
Controls density of development
but may not have significant
effect on air quality
Minimal effect on air quality,
rational street system may



Higher costs may reduce buyer
demand and inhibit growth of
new sources of emissions


Direct effect on air quality
by reduction of growth of new
sources
Because of the temporary nature,
may have no long-term effect on
air quality
The emission allocation can be
set to the level required to
maintain air quality standard



Direct effect on air quality
by restricting growth of new
sources

May not control growth in total
emissions but can control where
new sources are located
Measure can be used to maintain
air quality in selected por-
tions of AQMA

Can be used to protect against
hot spots created by poor dis-
tribution of sources


Sources and
pollutants affected
Stationary sources —
TSP, S02, HC, NOX

None significantly



Automotive and
stationary sources —
all pollutants


Automotive and
stationary sources —
all pollutants
None significantly


Stationary sources —
TSP, SO,, HC, NO




Stationary sources-—
TSP, S02, HC, NO


Automotive and
stationary sources —
all pollutants
Automotive and
stationary sources —
all pollutants

Automotive and
stationary sources —
all pollutants



-------
     Many of the transportation controls that have been proposed or
implemented are listed in table II-2.  This tabulation is not meant to
be all inclusive.  Because of the wide range of available measures,  a
plan for control of automotive emissions may be tailored or designed
specifically for problem areas within an AQMA, whether they are ex-
tensive or extremely localized.  However, measures designed to reduce
oxidant concentrations must be areawide.  Proper selection from these numerous
measures can minimize the social and economic impacts that are inev-
itably linked to all transportation controls.
     It should be noted that gasoline rationing is currently considered
to be infeasible and that it can be assumed that existing transportation
control plans based primarily on gasoline rationing will not result in
attainment of NAAQS.
     Transportation control plans were initially developed to attain
standards over the relatively short-term range of 2 to 5 years, and
employed measures aimed at reducing both emission rate and VMT.  However,
for maintenance of standards over the longer range, measures that reduce
the emission rates from in-use vehicles will become less effective unless
new control or vehicle-power-technology breakthroughs occur, because
measures such as retrofit and gaseous fuel  conversion will be inappli-
cable to post-1975 model year vehicles.  As a result, transportation
control strategies needed for maintenance will have to rely heavily on
measures that reduce VMT.  An inspection/maintenance (I/M) program is an
important control measure because not only is it capable of achieving
large emission reductions (8-12 percent CO and HC), but also it helps
ensure that the emission reductions claimed for the Federal Motor Vehicle
Control Program are in fact achieved.  An I/M program will assist the
State or local government in implementing an effective antitampering
program and can help ensure that owners of vehicles subject to recall
under Section 207(c) of the Clean Air Act have the required work done
prior to the periodic inspection.  The Clean Air Act specifically
anticipates that I/M programs will  be included in the implementation
plans of those regions that have automobile-related air quality problems.
     Many of the measures designed to reduce VMT have already been
employed by traffic agencies for the purpose of eliminating undesirable
congestion in high traffic density areas.  It is important that trans-
                                  11-59

-------
           Table 11-2.  Transportation  control  measures
Measures to reduce emission rates
      Measures to reduce VMT
Federal Motor Vehicle Control  Program
        (FMVCP)
Retrofit devices
  Vacuum spark advance disconnect with
    low idle
  Air bleed to intake system
  Oxidation catalysts
Inspecti on/mai ntenance

Gaseous fuel conversion

Traffic flow improvements
  Better highway and interchange design
  Signal progression
  One-way streets
  Reversible lanes
  Driver advisories
  Loading regulations
  Staggered work hours
Traffic restrictions
  Street closings
  Traffic-free zones
  Partial traffic restriction
  Limited access zones
  Idling restrictions
  Gasoline rationing
Traffic restraints
  Parking bans
  Parking supply management
  Parking surcharges
  Road use or entry charges
  Priority treatment for
    carpools
  Increased gasoline taxes
  Increased vehicle registration
    fees
  Bikeways
Traffic avoidance
  Restricted road building
  Urban area bypasses
  Control of urban development;
    e.g., strategic planning
    and planned unit development
  Four-day work week
Mass transit improvement
  Rapid rail
  Community rail
  Improved bus service
  Reduced mass transit fares
  Express bus lanes
Employee mass transit incentives
                                    11-60

-------
portation control  measures have obvious accompanying  benefits such as
reduced congestion, time and money savings  to' commuters,  better public
transportation services, or energy savings, because experience has shown
that significant restrictions of personal mobility are not likely to be
accepted solely to improve air quality.  The public reacts negatively  to
imposed limitations on travel because many  have immediate and substantial
impact on life style, whereas air quality maintenance usually has only
long-term, intangible benefits.
     It should be emphasized that not all VMT reduction measures result
in limits on personal mobility or loss of individual  freedom of choice.
There are three general means of limiting traffic:  restriction, re-
straint, and avoidance.  Traffic restrictions include all methods of
preventing traffic by physical obstruction  or act of law, thus repre-
senting direct impairment of mobility.  Traffic restraints are methods
designed to influence travel choices, such  as parking charges or free
bus service.  They, too, limit mobility, but without affecting individual
freedom of choice.  Traffic avoidance aims  neither to prevent nor to
dissuade people from fulfilling travel desires, but rather to avoid the
birth of the desires in the first place.  Traffic avoidance appears to
be the most desirable long-range approach to VMT reduction.  Because
traffic avoidance measures deal with trip purposes and the relative
locations of homes to trip destination points, they overlap considerably
with land-use planning activities.
     The most promising transportation control for producing lasting
reductions in automobile use is probably improved mass transit.  In the
major urban areas where long-range transportation controls will be
needed to maintain standards, only about 14 percent of work trips are
now handled by mass transit  (ref. 36).  Cities that provide high quality
mass transit have demonstrated that this mode of travel can attract much
higher levels of ridership, particularly if auto use is comparatively
difficult or expensive.
     2.   Historical Review of Transportation Controls
          a.   Current Applications.  As mentioned previously, numerous
kinds of transportation controls have been  employed for the purpose of
relieving congestion or improving traffic flow.  In some instances, air
quality data taken before and after the implementation of these controls
                                  11-61

-------
 have documented air quality improvement that accrued as a secondary
 benefit.  Selected examples of these existing transportation controls
 are listed  in table II-3.
     Transportation control plans designed to produce specific air
 pollutant emission reductions have been adopted for 30 AQCR's,
 by the responsible State air pollution control agencies and/or EPA.
 Although the control measures were proposed to achieve the
 air quality standards by mid-1975 or within 2 years thereafter in cases
 where an extension was granted by the Administrator, very few of the
 proposed measures had been implemented by mid-1974.  Part of the delib-
 eration in carrying out these transportation control plans can be
 attributed to the need to evaluate medium- and long-term impacts of
 existing gasoline shortages, higher prices, and energy conservation
 programs on travel patterns before initiating further travel restric-
 tions and restraints.   Another reason for the delays in implementing
 transportation controls has unquestionably been the extensive opposition
 to these plans by affected interest groups and citizens (ref. 37).
     Transportation control measures most often proposed in the pro-
mulgated plans are summarized in table II-4.   The numbers presented in
 this table are intended only to show the relative prevalence of the
measures and may not reflect recent revisions in various transportation
control  plans.
     There are few examples of measures already in progress.  Three are
described below:  the inspection/maintenance program for the State of New
Jersey,  free bus service in downtown Seattle, and the exclusive bus/carpool
lane on  1-95 in the Washington,  D.C.,  area.
     The State of New  Jersey in  July 1972  initiated an  idle mode  test for
CO and HC emissions, using nondispersive infrared analyzers as  part
of the required annual  automobile safety inspection (ref.  38).   However,
compliance was voluntary until  February 1974  in  order to provide  a
period of familiarization and  training.  The  test is conducted  statewide
at all  34 of the State-operated  inspection stations with a  total  of 68
inspection lanes.   The  cost of performing  the emissions  and safety  test
(not including program  administration),  approximately $2.00 per vehicle,
                                 11-62

-------
Table II-3.  Examples of existing transportation controls
              to reduce traffic congestion
 Transportation control
Cities presently employing this control
 Traffic-free zones
    (refs.  39, 40)
 Partial  traffic restric-
 tion by erecting physical
 barriers to subdivide the
 center city (ref.  41)

 Partial  traffic restric-
 tion by erecting physical
 barriers to subdivide the
 center city (ref.  41)
 Idling restrictions (ref.  42)

 Parking ban in central
 city (ref.  39)

 Parking supply management
    (ref. 39)

 Improved mass transit
 service (refs. 42, 43)

 Reduced mass transit fares
    (ref. 43)

 Exclusive bus/carpool
 lanes (ref. 40)
 Entry tolls  and permits
 for center city (ref.  39)

 Urban area bypasses

 Staggered work  hours
    (refs.  39, 42)
Over 100 worldwide cities, including
Tokyo, Vienna, Essen, Leeds, The Hague,
Oldenburg, Munich, Athens, Bologna,
Brussels, Florence, Ravenna, Rouen,
Rome, and Verona

Approximately 24 U.S. cities, including
New York City (temporary), Atchison,
Fresno, Kalamazoo, Miami Beach,
Minneapolis, and Providence

Bremen, Goteborg, Bologna, Liverpool
Stockholm

Marseilles
Bologna, Newcastle, Hamburg, The Hague,
London, and Glasgow

Seattle, Atlanta
Atlanta, St. Louis
Metropolitan New York (Long Island
Expressway, 1-495 in New Jersey),
Boston (Southeast Freeway), Washington,
D.C. (1-95), San Francisco (Bay Bridge
toll booths)

London
Most major U.S. cities

New York, Munich, Cologne, Bonn
                          11-63

-------
      Table 11-4.   Transportation  control  measures  proposed
                             in  promulgated  plans
Transportation control
Inspection/maintenance
Traffic flow improvements
Catalytic retrofit
Other retrofit
Parking restrictions
Pricing policies
Mass transit improvements
Additional stationary source
controls
VMT reduction
Motor vehicle exclusion areas
Gaseous fuel conversion
Carpool locator
Gasoline limitations
Motorcycle restrictions
Idling limitations
Selective vehicle exclusion
Employer mass transit incentives
No. of
State plans
15
7
6
9
6
5
10
11
4
2
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
No. of
EPA plans
25
18
15
13
24
3
8
24
4
2
0
6
11
7
1
9
10
Total no.
of plans*
31
24
16
21
28
8
13
30
8
4
2
9
n
7
1
10
10
*In some AQCR's, the State and EPA have proposed separate or differing
   controls of the same type.   These numbers  are intended only to show
   the relative prevalence of the measures and may not reflect recent
   revisions in various transportation control plans.


Source:  State Air Pollution Implementation Plan Progress Report,
         January 1 to June 30, 1973.  U.S. Environmental  Protection
         Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina.   Publication
         EPA-450/2-73-005.  September 1973.
                            11-64

-------
is covered in the annual vehicle registration fee.   Allowable emission
rates were originally set to provide for a 10 percent failure rate of
tested vehicles, which were then required to obtain maintenance and be
retested.  Later air quality data indicated that more stringent trans-
portation controls would be required to achieve the air quality stan-
dards in two portions of the State, so the vehicle  emission standards
are scheduled to be reduced to levels that should result in a 20 percent
rejection rate after July 1, 1974, and finally to a 30 percent failure
rate.
     During the first evaluation of the inspection  program, a sampling
of vehicles that failed the idle mode emissions test had average repair
costs of $22.50 (ref. 44).   In an economic analysis, part of this cost
should be attributed to routine maintenance that would have been per-
formed in the absence of the maintenance requirement.
     The Metro Transit of Seattle began offering free bus service in a
105-block downtown section of the city in September 1973.  Because the
free rides are all on portions of existing bus routes that pass through
this designated area, no additional equipment or operation costs are
required to provide the service.  In fact, this new program replaces a
downtown 10-cents-per-ride shuttle bus system that  was operated at a
deficit by Metro; consequently, with a $64,000 1-year subsidy from the
City of Seattle, the service is not a financial burden to Metro.
     The incentives to start such a program were primarily to ease
traffic congestion and to reduce pollutant emissions in the critical
center city area.  The 5,400 daily bus trips through the area now carry
an estimated 11,000 downtown riders, almost twice the former 6,000
shuttle bus riders.  With ridership still increasing, the free service
has the potential to decrease downtown auto traffic by almost 20 percent
during the daytime.hours,  based on an origin/destination survey of the
area (ref. 45).  Favorable publicity from this program is also credited
with recent increases in patronage on the entire Metro Transit system.
     The exclusive bus/carpool land on 1-95 (Shirley Highway) in the
Northern Virginia suburbs of the Washington, D.C.,  area was designed and
constructed under an Urban Mass Transit Administration (UMTA) demon-
stration grant in 1970, and was originally to be discontinued after 2
                                  11-65

-------
years as  that segment of  1-95 was widened and modified.  After the
opening of  the exclusive  bus lane, counts on this corridor showed a
modal shift during peak traffic periods from 27 percent transit riders
in June 1970 to over 40 percent in June 1972.  After the UMTA grant
expired,  efforts to convert the bus lane into a reversible lane open to
all traffic were strongly opposed by bus commuters and other citizen
groups.   The reversible center lane was retained for exclusive bus use,
partially due to the need of the transportation control plan for the
AQCR to demonstrate substantial reductions in VMT.
     As a result of gasoline shortages during the simmer months of 1973,
the bus lane was also opened to cars with four or more occupants to
encourage carpooling.  A $250 fine for illegal  use of the lane was
imposed ($1,000 for a second violation) and the requirement for minimum
number of riders was strictly enforced.  The most recent counts available
for January 1974, show that the single bus/carpool lane carried 11,117
persons during the morning peak period while the other four inbound
lanes carried a total of 11,841 persons.   The breakdown by mode was 43
percent bus, 6 percent carpool, and 51 percent private car; average auto
occupancies for the two road sections were  4.94 and 1.15,  respectively.
Travel  times averaged 23 minutes less for the linehaul  portion of the
trip on the bus/carpool  lane in the morning, and 20 minutes less in the
evening.  These advantages make door-to-door travel  time and convenience
of a bus or carpool comparable  to that of a private car for commuters in
this corridor.
          b.   Effectiveness of the Measure in  Current Applications.
Existing transportation controls have widely varying impacts on emis-
sions and air quality, due in part to the broad range of different
controls that fall  into this category.   Differences  in effectiveness  of
individual transportation controls are even more pronounced if impact is
measured on a regional scale,  because some  of the actions,  such as
inspection/maintenance or retrofit,  result  in emission reductions
throughout a metropolitan area, while many  others have a significant
impact only in a single area or corridor of the region.   The measures
with a localized effect  must produce  air  quality  improvements  specifically  in
areas where air quality maintenance is a problem if their full  effective-
ness is to be achieved.
                                 11-66

-------
      The  New  Jersey  inspection/maintenance program recorded  impressive
 average reductions on vehicles after their initial servicing: about 60
 percent for CO and 57 percent for HC (ref. 44).  However, these values
 apply only to the portion of vehicles serviced (10 percent failure
 rate), and to the initial inspection/maintenance cycle; it does not
 consider  degradation in emission rates that occur after the  servicing,
 which diminishes its effect.  The potential reduction in years following
 the initial servicing is lower because the cars are not as much out of
 adjustment.   Potential reduction also decreases in succeeding years due
 to the replacement of older cars having higher emission rates with new,
 controlled vehicles.  Therefore, the total emission reductions in
 regional  CO and HC emissions claimed by New Jersey and EPA for the
 statewide inspection/maintenance program in the years 1972 to 1977 are
 not applicable to future periods for which maintenance controls may be
 needed.  The  percentaae reductions in regional motor vehicle emissions,
 as shown  in table II-5  may remain fairly constant in future years.
 Accurate estimates of effectiveness of inspection/maintenance programs
 should be based on calculations that include the following factors (ref.44):
          Total vehicles in the AQMA in the year of interest
          Distribution of vehicle population by age
          Average annual mileage for each age class
          Emission factor by age class  in the year of interest
          Emissions without an inspection/maintenance program
          Fractional  reductions in emissions after servicing, by
          age class
          Deterioration rate between inspections,  by age class
          Anticipated failure rate.
     The other two existing transportation controls described above both
 have  traffic  impacts  in only a portion  of their metropolitan areas.  They also
 have the common characteristic of reducing emissions  by a combination of
 reductions in VMT and increases in average speed,  plus the non-air-
 pollution-related benefit of reduced traffic congestion.
     The free bus service tn Seattle has  not been  in  operation long
 enough to accurately  assess its impact  on VMT or  air  pollution levels.
According to the origin/destination  survey data for downtown Seattle,
 this action may divert a substantial  percentage, up to 20 percent,  of
                                 11-67

-------
                         Table I1-5.   Estimated emissions reductions from the
                              inspection/maintenance program in New Jersey
Estimated by
New Jersey Bureau
of Air Pollution Control


U.S. EPA

Projection
year
1974
1975
1977
1975
1977
Assumed
inspection
failure, %
10
20
30
45
45
Regional reductions Regional reductions
in motor vehicle in total emissions
emissions
CO
3
6
8
10
10
HC
6
8
10
11
11
CO
NA
3
4
NA
4 to 6
HC
NA
2
2
5
4
NA = Data were not available.

-------
daytime auto trips in the center city area where the highest traffic
densities and CO concentrations occur, thus reducing maximum 8-hour CO
measurements.
     The exclusive bus/carpool  lane on 1-95 in Washington, D.C.,  is
reducing the number of vehicle  trips into the city and back by about
3,500 per day, or about 33 percent of total traffic volume on that portion
of 1-95 and 10 percent of total traffic volume in that
corridor during the peak traffic periods (ref. 46).  The impact of these
trip diversions on local air quality should be proportional to the
traffic reductions, or possibly even greater because of increased
average speeds with less traffic.  This program definitely proves the
potential for mass transit and  carpooling to attract a far greater share
of suburban commuters.
     3.   Implementation of Transportation Controls
          a.   Procedure.  It may be assumed that control  agencies and
motorists in AQMA's that might  implement transportation controls  as a
maintenance strategy would already be somewhat familiar with them.
Transportation controls for air quality maintenance probably will
be used only in some of the 38  metropolitan areas that already have
transportation control plans to achieve air quality standards. This is
because areawide reductions in  emissions projected through 1985 as a
result of the Federal Motor Vehicle Control Program (FMVCP) should
exceed the growth in emissions  due to increased VMT even in the fastest
growing metropolitan areas.  Hence, if an AQMA has not exceeded air
quality standards for motor-vehicle-related pollutants in  1975 or prior
years, it is unlikely that it will do so between 1975 and  1985.  Also,
any new localized violations of the CO standards should be prevented at
least in part by the indirect source review procedure.
     Once the need for transportation controls to maintain air quality has
been established, the extent of the area projected to exceed the  standards
without a maintenance plan should be determined.  If only  a localized area
is affected, controls different from those needed for areawide emission
reductions should be considered.  For instance, traffic flow improvements
or vehicle rerouting can be very effective in abating localized problems.
     Specific measures should then be reviewed in consultation with
regional and local transportation planners, and possibly the public, to
                                 II-69

-------
select those most appropriate for more thorough investigation  or pre-
liminary design and costing studies.   In most respects,  the selection  of
appropriate transportation controls is synonymous with selection of
maintenance measures for the comprehensive maintenance strategy, since
the transportation control "measure"  is actually a diverse group of
controls for the motor vehicle emission category that could be con-
sidered individually as maintenance measures.
     Retrofit, inspection/maintenance, and gaseous fuel  conversion
maintenance measures probably would be designed by air pollution control
agencies.  For measures other than these three, the design of  the actual
traffic control system should be given over to transportation  planners,
with the agency responsible for the AQMP providing only  such input
constraints as the percent reduction  in emissions or VMT needed, the
area over which the controls should act, and the time frame for
initiating the controls.  This transfer of the design functions should
minimize several major problems encountered in developing the  original
transportation control plans (ref. 47):
     •   Transportation controls in conflict with regional transportation
planning and local development goals,
        Inadequate evaluation of mobility limitations resulting from
the controls,
     •   Statements of broad control objectives without adequate con-
sideration of implementation problems or times.
     After the design phase, it may be appropriate to also delegate
implementation of the provisions directly to another agency, such as a
State department of transportation or highways.  Since the responsibility
for a State-submitted AQMP rests ultimately with the Governor, assign-
ment of plan implementation to a State or local agency other than the
one that directed its development is  certainly feasible.
     The generally long lead time available before the need for trans-
portation maintenance measures provides the opportunity for incorporat-
ing revisions or modifications into the transportation and land-use planning
process.  It also allows for greater use of more acceptable and less disruptiv
measures, such as expanded mass transit service and planned unit
development.
     Detailed implementation steps for specific transportation controls
                                 11-70

-------
are too voluminous to be included here.   The Strategies  and  Air Stan-
dards Division has prepared and published documents  describing retrofit,
inspection/maintenance, and parking controls.   Additional  documents  will
be developed and published as required.   Previously  published transportation
control plan resource documents should be used until  such  time as new  ones
become available.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.   Transportation  controls
include a whole spectrum of methods to reduce motor  vehicle  emissions.
As such, this maintenance measure is considerably more flexible in
application than other measures and can be utilized  in some  form for any
case in which air quality standards are exceeded primarily due to motor
vehicle emissions.
     The conditions most favorable to application of specific trans-
portation controls are described in several  publications (ref. 39, 41,
42) and in the EPA documents mentioned above.  However,  transportation
controls should not be prescribed primarily because  of their applicability
from an air pollution control standpoint, but rather based on their accept-
ability as modifications to the urban transportation system.  Therefore,
the criteria for applicability are that the proposed measure does indeed
reduce motor vehicle emissions in the area of concern and  that it can  be
integrated into the urban transportation system with minimal adverse effects,
          c.   Interaction With Other Measures.  Transportation controls
interact with other measures having an impact on motor vehicle emis-
sions.  In particular, transportation controls are affected by the
indirect source review process and by energy conservation measures for
gasoline.  Indirect source review generally precludes the need to other-
wise consider carbon monoxide concentrations at the very localized,
individual-facility level in transportation control  plans.  Instead,
these  plans can address air quality maintenance for the entire areas or
corridors for which standards are projected to be exceeded.   The review
procedure and the control plan do not have any potential conflicts or
overlapping, since indirect source review is concerned with the traffic-
inducing facilities and the transportation controls concentrate almost
exclusively on regulation of the traffic.
     Most programs to reduce motor vehicle emissions through gasoline
conservation would also reduce VMT.  However, the reductions from fuel
conservation measures could not be confined to primary areas of impact
as they could with transportation controls.  In effect, a regulatory

                                  11-71

-------
 gasoline  conservation program could be thought of as one transportation
 control that  could  be applied with others to obtain the required reduction
 in motor  vehicle emissions.
      Regional development plans or control measures that encourage
 dispersed development tend to increase VMT and motor vehicle emissions
 and are therefore counterproductive to transportation controls.  Urban
 sprawl also increases dependence on the automobile and decreases the
 potential for expanded use of mass transit, one of the most desirable
 methods of reducing VMT.
          d-   Potential Conflicts Uith Community Development Plans.
 Since transportation is one of the most important factors in urban
 development,  controls on transportation have tremendous potential impact
 on all aspects of community development, with those that seriously
 reduce mobility being in conflict with many community plans and ob-
 jectives.  In evaluating possible transportation controls,  these impacts
 on a city's economy, population growth, employment, and location of new
 development should be considered carefully.   If proposed construction of
 a single  urban highway link warrants a comprehensive impact assessment
 under the NEPA requirements for EIS's, a transportation control plan for
 an entire urban area deserves, comparatively, a multiyear major study of
 its potential impact on community development.
     Transportation controls are probably most compatible with community
 development if they are implemented gradually over an  extended period of
 time, and if they are incorporated into the decisionmaking  process for
 transportation system improvements.   Urban transportation systems are
 always imperfect;  they are continously being evaluated  and  upgraded to
meet changing mobility needs.
     The increasing use of motor vehicles for transportation is creating
many problems other than air pollution:  disproportionate consumption of
petroleum fuel supplies, noise,  traffic congestion,  accelerated en-
croachment of development around cities into former rural and agricultural
areas, and injuries and deaths from automobile  accidents.   These other
problems deserve equal  attention in determining changes in  the trans-
portation system,  and certainly  controls  imposed  to  reduce  air pollution
emissions should not intensify any of these  problems.   For  example, a
regulation requiring nighttime deliveries by trucks  may reduce peak
traffic period emissions significantly,  but  if  the measure  is projected

                                  11-72

-------
to cause unacceptable increases in nighttime noise levels  in  residential
areas near major delivery points, it should not be implemented.   Most
transportation controls also produce Improvements in these other auto-
mobile-related problems.
     Because transportation controls deal  with mobile sources, they can
result in the high air pollution levels being displaced rather than
eliminated.  The closing of some streets in the center of Rome caused
worse traffic jams near the bloakades than had previously been experienced
in the cordoned area (ref.  39).  The evaluation of potential  controls
for specific areas should include a check on resulting traffic changes
in other parts of the AQMA.
          e.   Practical Limitations.
               1)   Social acceptability.   This discussion of transportation
controls has emphasized throughout that the public will not accept
reduced mobility, which would significantly alter their daily life
styles, in exchange for the intangible benefits of maintaining air
quality standards.  The best means of gaining public support is to
provide a positive alternative to the present condition, such as im-
proved  mass transit service or a comprehensive traffic flow improvement
plan for the downtown area that includes restrictions on vehicle entry
during certain periods.  These improvements in the urban transportation
network that simultaneously act to reduce motor vehicle emissions should
be developed under the auspices of transportation planners with the
cooperation of air quality specialists.
     Another means of obtaining public support for traffic restrictions
or restraints is  to emphasize  the accompanying benefits of the controls,
such as reduced congestion, time or money savings to commuters, better
public transportation services, or energy savings.
               2)   Economic feasibility.   All of the  transportation
controls listed in table  II-2  have been shown to be economically feasible
in advantageous applications.  Obviously, retrofit of  all motor vehicles
in an AQMA would  not be feasible, but  retrofit of just pre-1968 vehicles
might be.   Cost-effectiveness  of the different controls also  varies
widely, depending on specific  applications  and characteristics of  the
urban area.
     Some  new rapid transit alternatives  are  economically  prohibitive  as
transportation  system  improvements,  so they obviously  are  not feasible air
                                  11-73

-------
 quality maintenance measures. For example, underground rail systems such as
 San  Francisco's BART or Washington, D.C.'s Metro probably could not be
 initiated  in other cities at current construction costs and escalation
 rates.  The Urban Mass Transit Administration is now seeking innovative
 mass  transit designs rather than encouraging new underground rail systems.
      Any strategy that proposes to use fiscal restraints and disincentives
 to reduce  auto travel also risks being opposed or rescinded because of
 its discriminatory effects on the mobility of low-income groups.  Many
 of the proposals for fiscal restraints, e.g., gasoline taxes or higher
 auto  registration fees, have been accompanied by plans to reduce or
 rebate these costs for low-income individuals to minimize the regressive
 characteristics of such measures.  However, the scaled charges or rebate
 plans make implementation of these controls much more complex and
 possibly impracticable.
           4.   Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
               a.   Ability of Measure to Maintain Standards.  This
 measure consists of a diverse group of controls, many of which can be
 applied concurrently.  Thus, a proper mix of these controls should be
 capable of maintaining air quality standards for most conceivable growth
 patterns in an AQMA.  The only circumstance under which transportation
 controls may not have the capability of maintaining standards without
 the simultaneous application of other measures is the instance of a
 large percentage of the CO, HC, or NO  emissions coming from nonautomotive
                                     X
 sources.   In this situation, even restrictive transportation controls
 may not offset increases in stationary source or other nonautomotive
 emissions.
     Transportation controls promulgated in, implementation plans are
 projected to reduce CO and HC emissions in particular areas of several
 AQCR's by as much as 50 percent, although these reductions are yet to be
 demonstrated.   The estimated impacts of several  of the individual con-
 trols are summarized in table II-6.   In a few instances, these estimates
 may overstate the potential reductions attainable with these controls in
 the 1975 to 1985 period, due to the  much lower emission rates of post-
 1975 motor vehicles and to reductions that may already have been obtained
through transportation  controls.
                                 11-74

-------
     Table II-6.   Estimated  motor vehicle  emission  reductions
              from individual  transportation  controls.
 Time to
implement
Transportation
   control
 Estimated  reductions  in
 motor  vehicle  emissions,
 percent
 Short term
 2-5 years
Inspection/
maintenance

Retrofit
 4  to  15  (ref.  48)
                                           10 to 60 for those vehicles
                                           retrofitted (ref.  48)
                      Gaseous fuel  systems Less than 15

                      Traffic flow         Less than 20 in area affected
                      techniques
 Medium term,
 5-10 years
Bypassing through
traffic

Improvements in
public transportation

Motor vehicle
restraints
Less than 5


Less than 5


5 to 25 in area affected
  Long term
  10-20 years
 Work  schedule change  Less  than  3

 Control  of urban      Not estimated
 development
  Source:   Institute of  Public Administration, Teknekron,  Inc.,  and
           TRW,  Inc.   Evaluating Transportation  Controls to  Reduce
           Motor Vehicle Emissions  in Major Metropolitan Areas.
           Environmental  Protection  Agency,   Research Triangle  Park,
           North Carolina.   Publication  No. APTD-1364.  November, 1972,
                                  11-75

-------
      Estimates  of emission reductions from transportation controls can
 be  calculated more accurately with data specific to the AQMA, using
 procedures  described  in appendixes A through G of EPA's publication
 APTD-1364,  Evaluating Transportation Controls to Reduce Motor Vehicle
 Emissions in Major Metropolitan Areas.  Controls for which estimating
 procedures  are  described are:
      •  Retrofit
      •  Gaseous fuel conversion
      *  Traffic flow techniques
      •  Public  transportation improvements
      •  Motor vehicle restraints
      In the 1975 to 1985 period, average motor vehicle emissions will be
 reduced by  55 to 65 percent by the FMVCP without maintenance plans.
 Therefore,  the need for transportation controls to maintain standards
 that  have already been achieved should be limited to isolated problem
 areas (rather than AQMA-wide).   Cities that required large emission
 reductions by transportation control  plans to initially achieve the
 standards may need to retain many of their regionwide transportation controls
 throughout the 10-year maintenance period.
          b.   Relative Efficiency When Compared With Other Measures.,
Transportation controls encompass all  the measures used to control  motor
vehicle emissions, so there are no alternatives to this measure if the
problem is strictly motor vehicle related.  However, if the standards
are projected to be exceeded in an area as a  result of both motor
vehicle and stationary source emissions, then a comparison of measures
is pertinent.   For implementation plans, transportation controls generally
were to be considered only after all  feasible stationary source controls
had been employed.   This  priority does  not persist in developing main-
tenance plans,  and the decision should  instead be based on a comparison
of cost-effectiveness and social  impacts of the alternatives, as de-
scribed in volume  2.    Transportation  controls have  the advantage of
being considerably more flexible than  stationary source controls with
respect to the  geographical  areas  over  which  they are to be applicable.
                                 11-76

-------
F.   EMISSION CHARGES
     1.   Definition
          Two types of emission charges have been suggested from time to
time as control measures for air pollution.  One is a charge on each
point source, proportional to its emissions, that would be set at a rate
related to the type of emission, the type of damages attributable to
that pollutant, and the concentration of that pollutant in the ambient
air of the AQCR.  The other is a tax on the emitters of a pollutant,
either at a flat rate for the entire nation or a rate adjusted for each
AQCR.
     Both types of charges are designed to internalize the external
costs of pollution,  that is, to place an economic burden on the in-
dividual or firm responsible for the emissions that will  make the cost
of pollution a part of the cost of doing business or of consuming goods.
It is argued that the disposal of the residuals of combustion, indus-
trial production processes, and consumption, such as automobile oper-
ation, imposes a cost on the general public but is free to the pollution
source.  Therefore, to provide an economic incentive for control, these
costs must be allocated to the pollutant sources, who then will find it
economical to control emissions and who will, in turn, include these
costs in prices to be paid by the beneficiaries of production rather
than by the general public.
     Effluent charges on the sources of water pollution can be charged
in proportion to the cost of water treatment downstream from the source.
This procedure obviously does not apply to air pollution emissions.  Air
pollution emission charges might be set at rates that are above the cost
of control and thus induce polluters to reduce emissions.  Because 100
percent control is not possible for most sources of pollutant emissions,
any such system of charges will tend to ration the remaining emissions
to those sources for which control  costs are highest or available con-
trol technology is least effective.
     At least in principle, emission charges could be set by an air
pollution control  agency for each source of each pollutant, individ-
ually, within an AQMA.   If such a system were based on real estimates of
the social costs attributable to emissions, the least cost of control,
or other optimizing criteria, it could conceivably provide a highly
                                 11-77

-------
 flexible  set  of economic incentives for the achievement of an optimal
 emission  pattern.  However, such criteria measurements are not readily
 available to  policy makers and the more likely prospect is that such a
 system would  be considered discriminatory, arbitrary, or capricious and
 hence unconstitutional.  It might also be used as a means of requiring
 best available technology that in turn might well not approach optimum
 in  other  senses.  Given the administrative and legal problems of such a
 system and the lack of effective criteria for application, the remainder
 of  this section will be addressed to the more likely control measure of
 taxation.
     2.   Historical Review of Measure
          Historically, taxation has been one of the means used by
 government to control the behavior of individuals and businesses.   The
 use of taxation as a means of controlling pollution has been widely
 discussed in  current economic literature.  (See, for example, ref. 49.
 This article  presents a good summary and evaluation of the economic
 theory of externalities and the theoretical  applicability of taxes
 to control pollution.)  A tax on sulfur emissions has been proposed
 in Congress, but has not received serious attention as yet.   One
 variation of a tax on sulfur emissions was the subject of a recent
 study performed for EPA (ref.  50)  As  a control  measure, taxation  is
yet to be tested in practice.
     3.    Implementation
          a.    Procedure.   A tax could be applied to emissions of  any of
 the pollutants now subject to standards.   The tax could be either  a
statewide flat rate tax or graduated at different rates for classes
of sources or geographical  areas.  Whatever  the  form, however, the
general  effect is  assumed  to be to induce controls at a level  such
that the incremental  cost  of removing  the last unit of pollutant
emission from the  gasses released to the  atmosphere equals the tax
rate.   Thus,  controls  are  applied at that level  where the combined cost
of the  control system and  tax  is  least.   Tax  payments continue
to be made on the  uncontrolled emissions.
     This  statement of the  way an emissions  tax  would work is, of
                                  11-78

-------
course, an oversimplification.  An electric power company might well
find, for example, that the cost of controlling sulfur oxides emissions
did not vary continuously over the entire range of possible control
rates.  Instead, there may only be a small  number of possible control
techniques at very different control efficiencies and costs.   The
control cost functions may consist of very large steps.   As a result,
large shifts in the rate of tax on sulfur emissions might not induce  a
change in company behavior until the level  is reached that causes the
company to move from one step to another on the cost function.   Pro-
ducers would also have to base their control  decisions on other factors
as well as the cost function.  The time over which investment would  be
amortized could be an important consideration.   The possibility that  new
and more economical technology might soon be available could  cause a
firm to pay the tax while deferring investment  in control equipment.
Other factors also influence business decisions, but the effect of a  tax
may still be approximated by the cost minimization concept given above.
     If the reaction of all sources of a pollutant to a  tax could be
specified in advance, the tax could be set at a level that would
achieve any desired emission level possible with current technology.
In fact, comprehensive control cost functions cannot be  specified
with accuracy at this time and the noncost factors in business decisions
are not amenable to advance estimation.  However, if a desired level
of total emissions can be specified, it is theoretically possible
to apply a tax on a trial and error basis,  adjusting the rate until  the
desired result is achieved.
     A procedure that would take out at least a part of  the uncertainty
as to the reaction of all sources of a pollutant to a tax is  one that
specifies a level of control which must be  met  and a decreasing tax  if
emissions are below the level resulting from the control.  The specified
level of control should be selected based on the overall air  quality
requirements of the area and an analysis of the control  cost  function.
If the control cost functions consist of discrete steps, the  minimum
control should be at one of the step levels.
     In the development of an emission charge procedure, special  considera-
tion must be given to those industries having little or  no competition.
For example, power plants usually are allowed a specified percent profit
                                 11-79

-------
by the Public Utilities Commission.   In such a case management may choose
to ignore pollution control, pay the emission charge,  and pass on  the
increased cost to the consumer.   Providing the requisite legal authority
can be obtained, such a situation may be avoided by a  sliding  profit
margin based on emissions.   Similar  considerations  apply to other  sources
that may have no competition within  their trading area.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.   Emission  charges  can  be
applied to any point source and  pollutant within the AQMA.   Its greatest
applicability is for pollutants  and  sources  having  a wide range of
potential control techniques; e.g.,  sulfur oxides and  particulates.
           c.   Interaction With Other Measures.  A tax  could  be used in
place of emission standards to achieve a predetermined level of pollution
in the ambient air, e.g., to achieve the NAAQS.   It is more probable, however,
that a tax would be used to reinforce the effect of emission regulations
such as those promulgated in the SIP's.  Taxes could conceivably be used in
conjunction with other control measures as well.  For  example, tax rates
could be varied by zones when emission density zoning  is employed, or a
high tax rate on emissions  of one pollutant  might be used to discourage
the location of additional  firms emitting that pollutant.
          d.    Potential Conflicts With Community Development  Plans.
Because  emission charges would  be normally  imposed by the political
jurisdiction  responsible for  the preparation and implementation of
community development plans,  any potential  conflicts can be resolved
during the  development  phase.   Should  conditions warrant the  application
of emission  tax or  charge  to  only selected  portions of  the AQMA, close
coordination  with the community development plans is essential so  that
the  impact  of the tax on growth and  development  is consistent with  the
desired  growth and  development  patterns.
      Emission tax or charge  provides a source of revenue that could be
used  in  the  community development process.   However, air quality main-
tenance  considerations  should be the deciding,  if not only, factor  in
the decision  to impose  a tax  or charge on emissions.
          e.    Practical Limitations.   The  apparent advantage of  using
taxation as  a control measure is that it provides for different behavior
by firms with different processes, control  costs, or size of  operations.
                                  II-80

-------
By making the degree of control to be achieved by each source econom-
ically determined, the tax approach permits those with high control
costs to apply less control than those for which control  is more eco-
nomical and small producers to control at different efficiencies than
large ones.  In principle, therefore, taxation provides a control
measure that should provide a much closer approach to an  economical
allocation of resources than arbitrary emission standards, while pro-
viding equivalent areawide ambient air quality.
     There are, however, a number of other aspects of taxation as  a
control measure that should be considered:
               1)   The method of control is not specified.  It may, for
example, be desirable to require a stationary combustion source to
control emissions by the use of stack-cleaning devices rather than by
fuel switching, even if the latter were more economical.
               2)   If a tax is paid on the uncontrolled emissions,  this
increases the cost of achieving that level of control induced by the
tax.  Some tax will be paid by each source in each instance.
               3)   If tax rates are set initially by trial and error
and  if they are subject to change from time to time, this  introduces a
degree of uncertainty into business decisions that may, at least
partially, defeat the intent of the measure.  A firm will  not undertake
investment in costly control equipment without reasonable  assurance that
it will be acceptable over a reasonable period of time.  The wrong
investment could  lock it  into  a control level that would later require
it to  pay very high taxes.  There would be a  tendency to hold back on
control investment to see where the  tax will  be set during the trial and
error  period.  But if that occurs, the successive approximation process
cannot reach the  appropriate level.
               4)   A question arises as to the appropriate use of the
revenue generated.  This  is a  problem quite apart from the control
measure itself.
               5)   Enforcement of a  tax measure  poses much the same
monitoring problems as  does the application of  standards,  plus  the
administration and enforcement problems  of  the  tax  itself.
                                  11-81

-------
               6)   Another question is that of constitutionality.   Any
tax measure will have to meet the standards for nondiscrimination and
reasonableness.  The question of constitutionality is not presently
pertinent but will arise when any specific proposal is put forth.
               7)   It appears likely that taxes could be levied at the
State level to control air pollution.  However, it is not clear whether
the rate of tax can be varied from region to region.   Taxes levied by
the authority administering a single AQMA would almost certainly require
enabling legislation from the State government and, perhaps, change in
the State constitution.
     4.   Evaluation of Control  Measure Effectiveness
          a.   Ability of Measure to Maintain Standards.   Emission
charges in themselves do not result in the maintenance of NAAQS.  They
are used with other control measures and contribute through such mea-
sures to the maintenance of standards by providing economic incentives
to predetermined levels of control.
          b.   Relative Efficiency Compared to Other Measures.   An
evaluation of the relative efficiency of emission charges cannot be made
because they are not used to the exclusion of other measures but rather in
a supplementary role.

G.   TRANSFER OF EMISSION SOURCE LOCATION
     1.   Definition of Control  Measure
          The transfer of emission source location measure involves
the optimum use of terrain, meteorology, and geography of an AQMA from
an air pollution viewpoint.  The influence of a given emission  source
upon the air quality of an area  varies with its location.  This control
measure is one that explicitly considers source location  and urges
relocation for minimum air quality impact upon all new construction or
expansion.
     While this measure has the  potential of being effective when
applied to all source categories, it is especially applicable to power
plants.  However, because judicious  relocation could  result in  a sig-
nificant improvement in local  air quality within an AQMA, all source
categories should be considered  as potential  candidates for this mea-
sure.
                                  II-82

-------
      2.   Historical Review
           a.   Current Applications of the Control  Measure.   This mea-
sure has often been used in power plant siting.  A contemporary example
of the measure is the construction of major power plants — including the
world's largest coal-fired generators--!'n the remote areas of the
Southwest that will ultimately supply 60 percent of their output to
Southern California, hundreds of miles removed (ref. 51).
The electrical output of power plants can be transported long distances
with only modest losses.  In certain instances, as in the Southwest,  the
measure moves the plant closer to the source of fuel so that  the
transportation cost of moving fuel is reduced.
     While the control measure could apply to other industries as well,
the number of attractive applications is probably limited by the added
transportation costs for employees, raw materials, and plant output.
Consequently, this measure has not been used extensively outside of the
power industry.
          b.   Effectiveness of the Control Measure in Current
Applications.  Experience in the current application of this measure is
not adequate to enable an evaluation of its effectiveness.  It
is emphasized that the implementation of this measure is not primarily
for the purpose of emission reduction, but rather spatial
redistribution and better use of atmospheric assimilative capacity.
However, NSPS may also cause lower emissions from the replacement
source.
     3.   Implementation
          a.   Procedures.  Because this control measure is primarily a
power industry measure, it is most easily implemented by incorporation
into the growth plans of this industry.  To a large degree, this has
already taken place.  Siting of power plants is a well-studied and much-
discussed subject.  Air quality impact statements are now mandatory for
virtually all building permit applications for new power generating
facilities.
     Although there is considerable authority and practice in the reg-
ulation of new source admission within a controlled area, the relocation
or removal of an existing source is not clearly defined as a  possible
control measure.  Air pollution statutes in some jurisdictions
authorize the control board to issue abatement orders which could result
                                11-83

-------
in court injunctions.  These actions, however, have been used to force
compliance with emission standards by application of accepted pollution
control devices.  Sources may be relocated indirectly by excluding
specific source types from certain areas or by setting emission limits
so low that they are unattainable.
     Transfer of emission source location probably will  come about as
obsolete or uneconomical facilities are replaced.  While the permit and
review procedures for new and modified sources could serve as a mech-
anism for forcing transfer of emission sources through disapproval of
the request for permission for construction or modification, special
legal provisions should be established for power plant siting.
     Some States, e.g., Ohio and Maryland, have enacted power plant
siting legislation.  A description of the Ohio legislation is presented,
not as an example to be  followed,  but as a description of one State's
approach.  Other legislation, such as Maryland's, should be studied
prior to developing such a system in States where none currently exist.
Ohio has enacted power plant siting legislation that can serve as a
model.  The Ohio law established a Power Siting Commission composed of the
Chairman of the Public Utilities Commission, the Director of Environ-
mental Protection, the Director of Health, the Director of Development,
and a public member, an engineer to be appointed by the Governor.
     Prior to construction of a major facility, defined  as one having a
design or actual capacity of 50 MW or more, a certificate must be
obtained from the Power Siting Commission.  Certificates are obtained
by filing an application containing the following information:
     •  Description and location of the facility,
     •  Summary of any studies of the environmental  impact of the
        facility;
     •  Need for the facility,
     •  Reasons why the proposed location is best suited for the
        facility,
     •  How the facility fits into the applicant's 10-year forecast of
        loads, resources, and prospective sites, and
     •  Other information considered relevant by the applicant or the
        Commission.
                                 11-84

-------
     The application, which must be filed not less than 2 years,  nor
more than 5 years prior to planned construction,  is subject to public
hearing within 60 to 90 days of receipt.   Following the public hearing,
the Power Siting Commission grants or denies the  certificate after
evaluating the effect on the environment using its own adopted rules and
criteria.  One of the criteria is that the proposed facility represents
the minimum adverse environmental impact, considering the state of
available technology and the nature and economics of the various al-
ternatives.
     The certificate is conditional upon the facility being in com-
pliance with the applicable regulations governing air quality.  The
certificate applies to the initial 2 years of operation during which time
the facility is subject to the enforcement and monitoring powers of the
Director of Environmental Protection.  If it is determined during the
initial period that the facility  is unable to operate within compliance
of air quality laws and regulations, a conditional permit to operate may
be issued.
     Lead times for power plant construction now exceeds 10 years (ref.
52) so that the measure,  implemented in this manner, demands foresight
in planning in order to achieve maximum effectiveness.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.  This  control measure is
highly specialized  in  that the specific criteria of applicability vary
from one  industry to another.  The  relocation should not result  in  costs
appreciably more than  operation  at  the original  site plus  the  cost  of
improved  control equipment  required  to equivilantly reduce  emissions.
Capital  costs, other than those  involved  with land acquisition,  should
be  essentially  the  same  regardless  of the actual  new  plant  location.
 If  the  relocation makes  the  plant output  less expensive,  no further
justification  is required.   Such an  ideal condition does  not normally
exist  except  in  the power generating industry.
      For electric  power  generation,  certain relocations  can make the
output cheaper,  such  as  when the power  plant is  relocated  near the  mouth
of  a  coal  mine.  Coal  shipping and ash  disposal  costs  are  greatly reduced
 and electric  power  transmission  costs  are not greatly increased  once
 the power lines are installed.
                                   II-85

-------
      Power plants do not have to  be  relocated  to  remote  land  areas.
 Alternatives are possible,  including offshore  sites.   Offshore  sites  are
 attractive for both fossil  fuel and  nuclear  fueled  power plants  (refs.  53,  54)
 This form of relocation, while limited  primarily  to coastal areas  (rivers,
 inland lakes, or bays might also  be  suitable for  certain inland  sites),
 seems likely to be a significant  form of  this  control  measure in the
 future as land sites everywhere become  less  available.
      Relocation to remote land sites is more and  more  being viewed as
 an inadequate, inappropriate shift of air  pollution burden.   Somewhat
 more pallatable is the offshore site but even  here  EIS's  will be carefully
 reviewed  and, most likely,  excessive emissions  (non-state-of-the-art)
 will  be disapproved regardless of location.
      The  previously cited examples of relocation  involve  transfer of the
 site outside the area that  might be  included in an AQMA.  The measure
 also has  applicability to relocation  of sources within an AQMA to clean
 up "hot spots"  or prevent undue clustering that could result  in  "hot
 spots".   In  these cases,  the  air quality situation must be analyzed to ensure
 the  ability  of the area  in  which relocation will  take place to assimilate
 the  increased emissions.
           c.    Interactions  With Other Control Measures.  Transfer of
 emission  source location occurs in the course  of  implementing other
 control measures and consequently can become part of them.  For  example,
 if a  community adopts  district heating as  a  control measure,  the net effect
 is to relocate  a multitude  of individual space heating sources into one
 centralized  source.   This combination of sources  is therefore a  relocation
 as well.  Or,  when  an  industry decides to  upgrade an existing operation,
 it is  often  advantageous  to move to a new  site as part of the plan.
       In  conjunction with an  emission allocation  plan, relocation may
 be one of the measures used to reduce total emissions in a problem subarea.
           d.    Potential Conflicts With Other Community Development
 Plans and Potential Negative  Environmental Effects.   The major short-
 coming of this control measure is  that of itself it does not permanently
 reduce air pollution emissions within the AQMA unless the new site is
outside the AQMA boundaries.   It can, however,  result in maximum uti-
 lization of the assimilative capacity of the  atmosphere by spatial
redistribution of emissions.   In  such a  case, however,  the analysis must
consider the impact of relocation  on  the new  area.  Determination must
                                 11-86

-------
be made of the impact of this move on the air quality in the new area
and whether such action would require designation as an AQMA and
preparation of an AQMP.  Only when coupled with other control measures
will a net global gain in air quality result.
          e.   Practical Limitations
               1)   Social acceptability.  Public acceptability of this
strategy is marginal.  Small minority groups can block or slow down
proposed relocations and are doing so with increasing frequency.  The
EIS's accompanying applications for building permits are now being
regularly challenged.  EPA's acceptance of certain EIS's is also being
challenged in the courts.
     These objections apply to a lesser extent to offshore relocations
but this concept is still new and untried so that significant opposition
has not yet had a chance to coalesce.  As portent of things to come, the
Florida Audubon Society and the Natural Resources Defense Council are
already asking for AEC rulings that could halt the New Jersey floating
nuclear plant program.
               2)   Economic feasibility.  Economic feasibility is a
prerequisite for any serious control measure, including transfer of
emission source location.  Both land sites and offshore sites possess
sufficient advantages for power plant relocation to be economically
attractive.  When moved nearer their sources of fuel, land sited power
plants become less expensive to operate.  Coal becomes cheaper because
of reduced transportation costs; ash disposal is simplified and less
expensive.  Offshore sites have obvious cooling advantages in addition
to safety, esthetic, and environmental advantages.
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
          a.   Ability of Control Measure to Maintain Standards.  This
control measure is limited in both effectiveness and applicability.  One
limitation arises from the long lead time required for implementation.
A relocation of any type requires advance planning.  In the case of
power plants, the required lead time is now approaching 14 years, which
is beyond the time frame covered by the AQMP.  Nuclear power plants designed
to be on stream by 1985 must already be well along in their site search
in 1974.
                                  11-87

-------
          b.   Relative Efficiency When Compared to Other Measures.   The
efficiency with which this control measure operates depends on whose
viewpoint is considered.  The resident of downtown Los Angeles will  find
the measure very efficient in reducing his local power plant emissions.
For the Four Corners resident, however, it is undesirable.  This con-
flict of interests will limit the use of this control  measure.
     Offshore applications, particularly on the East Coast where pre-
vailing winds sweep emissions out to sea, have the advantage of not
grossly disadvantaging local citizenry in the vicinity of the relocated
plant.  As the international aspects of air pollution  become more
important, the import of emissions on Europe may effect the decision to
construct an offshore plant.

H.   INDIRECT SOURCE REVIEW
     1.   Definition of Control Measure
     Indirect source review, in contract with most of  the other mainte-
nance control measures, is an integral, not an optional, part of every
AQMP.
     The types of new or modified sources that are to  be reviewed for
approval under this measure are cited in the regulation for maintenance
of national standards, 40 CFR 52.22.  The sources subject to review
include, but are not limited to, the following:
     •  Highways and roads;
     •  Parking facilities;
        Retail, commercial, and industrial facilities;
     •  Recreation, amusement, sports, and entertainment
        facilities;
     •  Airports;
     •  Office and government buildings;
     •  Apartment and condominium buildings;
        Education facilities.
The above sources include most public and large commercial building
projects.
     The review procedure is limited, however, to developments above
certain sizes, which are also stated in regulation 40  CFR 52.22 (b)(2).
These size thresholds are specified in terms of daily  traffic volumes
                                 11-88

-------
for highways, annual  aircraft operations for airports,  and number of
parking spaces for most other facilities.   Indirect sources smaller than
the threshold sizes are assumed to be evaluated and controlled as part
of overall growth by other maintenance strategies.
     The indirect source review procedures apply only to the automobile-
related pollutants.  The intent of this review procedure is to ensure
good traffic design so that motor vehicle emissions in the vicinity of
the indirect source are minimized.  With few exceptions, the review
should not result in a limitation on the size of the facility or influ-
ence its location.
     Emission reductions are achieved through disapproval of deficient
initial development plans, by requiring that modifications be made to
the internal or access traffic handling facilities to improve projected
traffic flow.  The reviewing agency is not obligated to recommend the
design modifications or improvements that should be made.
     2.   Historical Review of the Measure
          a.   Current Application.  The concept of a systematic procedure
for the review of proposed new indirect sources was first  presented by
EPA in the April 18, 1973, proposed guidelines to  the States  for prep-
aration of approvable  indirect source  review measures  (ref. 55).   Final
guidelines were  promulgated on June 18, 1973  (ref. 56), and the  States
were given until August 15, 1973, to  submit procedures  in  accordance
with the  guidelines for approval.  No  States were  able  to  respond  within
this strenuous time frame, and only eight States and territories sub-
mitted procedures  prior to the proposal of  Federal regulations  for
indirect  source  review.*  Since  the  public  did  not have adequate oppor-
tunity  to comment  on these eight plans, no  State-submitted procedures
could  be  approved.
     Subsequently,  the Administrator  proposed  Federal  regulations  for
review of indirect sources on  October 30,  1973 (ref.  57),  to  be appli-
cable  in  the States  that  submitted  nothing  or whose  plans  could not be
approved.   The  final  regulations were promulgated  on  February 25,  1974
 (ref.  58),  but  are to  be  applicable  to indirect sources that  start
 construction after December  31,  1974.   These  regulations are  currently
 *Alabama,  Florida,  Guam,  Puerto  Rico,  Maine,  New York,  Oregon,  and
  Washington.
                                  11-89

-------
undergoing study and will be revised in the near future.  Therefore,
this administrative review procedure has no past history of employment
that can be cited as a case study.
     Of the first eight plans submitted, only the Florida and Guam plans
were fully approved at the time that the Federal regulations were promul-
gated.  The Florida system for review and approval/disapproval of appli-
cation to construct an indirect source was implemented as of December 15,
1973.  Procedures were integrated into the existing permit system of the
Florida Department of Pollution Control, and specially designed application
forms (with instructions for completion) are currently used for two source
categories: highway projects and nonhighway projects.
     At the onset of this program, State personnel  conducted instructional
seminars in several areas to acquaint developers with  the review pro-
cedure and the regulatory requirements.  Additionally, the agency has
prepared checklists for use by its field office personnel in reviewing
applications in an effort to ensure uniform processing.   In the first 2
months of implementation, the agency received approximately 25 permit
applications dealing with indirect sources.  Of these, the 12 that
completed review were all approved as submitted.
          b.   Effectiveness of the Measure in Current Applications.
This control measure does not have a record of past application.
     3.    Implementation
          a.   Procedure.  The review procedure must be established and
operated, at a minimum, in accordance with the general guidelines pub-
lished on June 18, 1973, and under one of two possible sets of more
detailed procedures:
               1) Those described in an approved plan  for review sub-
mitted by a State or
               2) Those promulgated in 40 CFR 52.22 on February 25,
1974, to be implemented by EPA or an agency to which it has delegated
the responsibility for conducting indirect source review. Since it is
anticipated that the latter set of procedures will  be  more widely used,
it is briefly described below.  It is expected that these regulations may
undergo revision.
     The owner or operator of any proposed new indirect source subject
to the regulations (see table II-7) must submit an  application for
approval to EPA or its designated agency prior to construction, by a

                                  11-90

-------
                                          Table  11-7.   Indirect sources requiring approval
              Location
   Sources
Minimum size for review of impact of
carbon monoxide air quality standards
Minimum size for review  of impact
on photochemical  oxidant and
nitrogen oxides air quality standards
            Urban area
              (SMSA)
i
10
             Nonurban area
New roads and
  highways

Modified roads
  and highways

New airports
Modified airports
Other indirect
  sources, new

Other indirect
  sources, modified

Airports

Other indirect
  sources, new

Other indirect
  sources, modified
                                                        20,000 vehicles per day (average)
  10,000 vehicles per day over
    existing traffic (average)

  50,000 operations or 1.6 million
    passengers per year

  50,000 operations per year
    increase over existing level,
    or increase of 1.6 million
    passengers per year

  Parking for 1,000 cars or more
   Parking  for 500 cars or more
     over existing number

   Same  as  in urban areas

   Parking  for 2,000 cars of more
                                                        Parking for 1,000 cars or more
                                                          over existing number
 50,000 vehicles per day (average)


 25,000 vehicles per day over
   existing traffic (average)

 50,000 operations or 1.6 million
   passengers per year

 50,000 operations per year
   increase over existing level,
   or increase of 1.6 million
   passengers per year

 No analysis required


 No analysis required


 Same as  in urban areas

 No analysis required


 No analysis required
             Source:  40 CFR 52.22 (b)  (2),  (February 25, 1974).

-------
means prescribed by the  Administrator.  Information that
must be included in or attached to the application is listed in table
II-8; other information more specific to the type of facility may also
be requested at the time of application.  It is anticipated that, when
the specifics of the review procedure are established, the list of
required information, as shown in table 11-8, will be expanded.  For
example, the design capacity of proposed highway sections will probably
be required data.
     According to the regulations, the reviewing agency must then ful-
fill the following:
               1) Notify the applicant within 20 days of any deficiency
in the information submitted;
               2) Make a preliminary determination within 30 days
whether the indirect source should be approved, conditionally approved,
or disapproved;
               3) Make a copy of information submitted and the agency's
evaluation available for public inspection;
               4) Notify the public and specified cognizant agencies of
the opportunity for written comment within an additional 30-day period;
               5) Make a final determination after considering the
comments received; and
               6) Notify the applicant in writing of the approval,
conditional approval, or disapproval, with the reasons for the decision
stated.
     Determination of approvability is to be based on:
               1) No interference with the applicable control strategy, if
the source is to be located in an AQCR with a transportation control
plan;
               2) No violation of the carbon monoxide NAAQS (also the
photochemical oxidant and nitrogen dioxide NAAQS for proposed major
highways and airports), or no delay in attainment of the applicable
standards if the date specified for attainment has not been reached.
Specific procedures to be used in these determinations are delin-
eated in vol. 9, guideline series, Evaluating Indirect Sources.
     Further description of the review process may be found by referring
directly to the regulation, 40 CFR 52.22.  The minimum procedures for
implementing this control measure are prescribed by regulation.  There-

                                  11-92

-------
Table II-8.   Required information for  indirect source  review
 Indirect source type
            Required information
 All  except highways
 Ai rports
 Highway sections
 1.   Name  and address of applicant.
 2.   Map showing location of the site.
 3.   Description of proposed use, hours
     of operation, types of activities.
 4.   Site  plan showing buildings, parking
     areas,  and points of auto ingress
     and egress.
 5.   Identification of access roa'ds and
     intersections.
 6.   Estimate of present average daily
     traffic volumes  (ADT), peaking
     characteristics, and levels of
     service on access roads and inter-
     sections .
 7.   Estimate of average daily vehicle
     trips and peaking character!st-ics
     associated with  the source  (for  its
     first full year  of operation).
 8.   Estimate of maximum number  of vehicle
     trips within 1-hour and 8-hour
     periods.
 9.   Estimate of ADT, peaking character-
     istics', and levels of service on
     access  roads and intersections
     aft«r source is  operational.
10.   Availability of  existing and  pro-
     jected  mass transit service at the
     site.
11.   Any  additional information  necessary
     to determine air quality impact,
     including measured air quality data
     prior to construction.

     In addition to the above,
 1.   Estimate of average and maximum  air-
     craft operations per day by aircraft
     type  for first,  fifth, and  tenth year
     of operation.
 2.   Description of other development ex-
     pected  to  occur  within three  miles of
     airport.
 3.   Expected passenger loadings.

 1.   Average and maximum traffic volumes
     for  1,  8,  and 24-hour periods within
     10 years of completion.
 2.   Estimate of vehicle speeds  for
     average and maximum traffic volumes.
 3.   Maps  showing  location of the  highway
     section.
 4.   Description of general features  of
     the  highway section and  right of way.
 5.   A copy  of  any environmental impact
     statement  prepared for the  highway
     section.
 Source:  40 CFR 52.22  (b)  (3),  (February 25, 1974).
                                  11-93

-------
 fore, development of most procedures by the designated agency is not
 necessary.  A major procedure to be formulated is that of coordination
 between  the agency performing indirect source review and the agency
 responsible for carrying out the AQMP.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.  This control measure is a
 part of  every AQMP, regardless of whether the plan is needed
 for control of any of the "automotive" pollutants.  Thus, a discussion
 of conditions under which this review procedure could be applied ef-
 fectively is not relevant.
          c.   Interaction with Other Measures.  In the preamble to the
 June 18, 1973, promulgation, the Administrator acknowledged that in-
 direct source review, while "a necessary addition" to an overall strategy
 for ensuring maintenance, could be considered only an additional tactic
 in such  strategy, "because source-by-source analysis is not an adequate
 means of evaluating, on a regional scale, the air quality impact of
 growth and development...".  Its primary purpose was stated to be to
 ensure "that the national standards will not be violated in the vicinity
 of a major new facility".
     However, its role may be extended beyond that if it is used to
 provide  a source-by-source check on the consistency of major proposed
 public and commercial projects with a regional land-use plan that has
 previously been demonstrated to be capable of maintaining air quality
 standards.  In this capacity, indirect source review would serve as an
 enforcement mechanism in conjunction with a prior planning process.
     The authority for this extension of the role of indirect source
 review is included in the provision that a proposed indirect source can
 only be  approved if it "will not cause a violation of the control
 strategy of any applicable state implementation plan".  Applicable
 portions of the land-use plan would need to be adopted as part of the
maintenance plan.   This combination of measures would not provide a
means of correction if violations of the standard occur after the
 indirect source has been approved and constructed.
     Indirect source review could be used in a similar manner in con-
junction with a transportation control  strategy to assist in its imple-
mentation.
                                 11-94

-------
     The relationship between the indirect source review procedure  and
an EIS as required by the National  Environmental  Policy Act should  also
be noted.  An EIS would not be required of all  facilities qualifying as
indirect sources, but would in general  provide  a  more detailed analysis
of air quality impact if it is conducted.   Section 52.22 specifically
states that any EIS for the source should  accompany the application, and
that information included in the EIS need  not be  provided separately in
the application.  This implies that, if judged  to adequately answer all
the points in the review process, the EIS  evaluation may replace the
standard analysis.  However, the reviewing agency must still follow the
six-step approval/disapproval procedure outlined  above.  This is par-
ticularly important because the EIS is only one factor in deciding
whether a proposed project should be controlled,  and air quality con-
siderations may not dictate the final decision.
          d.   Potential Conflicts With Community Development Plans.
The indirect source review could have the effect  of limiting the size
and/or density of commercial and municipal developments that are reached
primarily by automobile.  This could, in turn,  result in a greater
dispersion of trip-generation points and more and longer trips.  In
contrast, many area development plans favor clustering of these develop-
ments to encourage multiple-purpose trips and to  enhance the feasibility
of mass transit systems.  To the extent that staged development of these
traffic centers precludes the large-scale use of mass transit during
intermediate stages of development, the indirect source review procedure
may act to discourage plans that might be beneficial on a regional  scale
or on a long-range basis.
     This potential conflict emphasizes the desirability of performing
the review within the context of insuring compatibility of individual
facilities with an areawide plan that has been found consistent with air
quality maintenance.  With a higher degree of planning and coordination
for proposed cluster developments, any dispersive impact resulting from
this review can be minimized.
          e.   Practical Limitations.
               1)   Social acceptability.  Because the review procedure
has primary involvement only by the developer and the reviewing agency,
general public awareness of this control measure will probably be quite
                                  11-95

-------
limited.  The review process does provide for comments  by the public,  so
it offers a channel for participation for those who feel  that they  would
be strongly affected by the proposed indirect source or by the results
of the review.
     Although the primary intent of this control  measure is to minimize
air pollution emissions through better traffic engineering design,  it
appears that the secondary benefit of reduced traffic congestion would
have a favorable impact on most persons.  Any increased on-site costs  of
the improved traffic flow would probably be borne indirectly by users  of
the facility, the same persons who would benefit most.   Modifications  to
access roads or added signalization, on the other hand, would usually  be
financed through general tax funds.
     Most criticism of the review process prior to promulgation of  the
Federal regulation was voiced by developers.  Their comments are sum-
marized  in  the  preamble to the final promulgation  (ref. 57) and are
considered  in the  final version of the  regulation.
                2)  Economic feasibility.  The costs arising from actions
taken  to obtain approval under the indirect source review process appear
to  be  quite  minimal. Any additional cost to the developer to optimize
the traffic  and parking facilities, sufficient to reduce the impact of
the source  upon air quality, may not represent a true air pollution
control  cost.   A direct benefit to the  patrons of the source may result
in  the form  of  both time and fuel savings.
     Data necessary to determine the air quality impact of the indirect
source,  as  described in table II-7, should be readily available to the
developer.   Therefore, the added cost of submitting such data to the reviewing
agency normally should not impose any significant financial burden upon
the developer.  Possible exceptions would be in cases where the applicant
either is required to obtain and submit measured air quality data at the
proposed site or chooses to perform atmospheric dispersion model analyses
prior  to submitting the application.
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
          a.   Ability of Strategy to Maintain Standards.  The effec-
tiveness of  indirect source review in maintaining NAAQS's should be
judged on two different scales of analysis—a microscale and a AQMA
scale.   If  this separation is accepted as a valid, logical distinction,
effectiveness can  be adequately discussed in solely qualitative terms
without  resorting  to any quantitative methodology.

                                 11-96

-------
     On a microscale,  indirect source review alone  should  be  effective
in preventing the carbon monoxide standards  from  being  exceeded  as  a
result of motor vehicle emissions.   This  comprehensive  control is  limited
only by the ability of the review procedure  to accurately  predict
traffic volumes, traffic behavioral  characteristics,  and resulting
maximum CO concentrations associated with the proposed  indirect  source.
     With a few modifications, the procedure as it  exists  now could also
be used to effectively control maximum short-term concentrations of
hydrocarbons and nitrogen oxides on a microscale, if this  were of  value.
However, both of these are reactive pollutant groups, and  the short-term
"standard" for hydrocarbons is only for use as a guide  to  levels con-
sistent with maintenance of the oxidant standard.  Therefore, limitations
on HC and NO  levels in the immediate vicinity of their emission would
probably not have any quantifiable effect on maintenance of NAAQS's
within an AQMA.  Only the aggregate effect of emission  reductions  at
many different locations during time periods prior to the  measurement of
peak ambient concentrations can be expected to reduce these maximum
concentrations.
      On the AQMA scale, the indirect source review process is not capable
of significantly controlling total emissions of automotive pollutants.
Its  resultant effect on CO levels is best described as  peak-shaving;
i.e.,  it acts to limit concentrations in potential  "hot spots",  or
isolated areas of high traffic density, but probably has no measurable
impact on  CO emissions or ambient concentrations in most parts of the
AQMA.
       The  major  shortcoming of the review procedure  in maintaining the CO
standards  on an  AQMA scale is that it cannot consider traffic increases
resulting  from  an area's population growth  that may  occur at indirect
sources  that were in existence prior to  1975.  For example,  a new
residential area may generate sufficient traffic on  an existing highway
connecting it  to a  large employment center  to  result in the  CO  standards
being  exceeded.  However,  unless the highway  is  modified, it would not
be subject to  the indirect source review procedure.
       Only two  types of  indirect sources are  to  be reviewed  for their impact
                                   11-97

-------
on regional oxidant and nitrogen oxides concentrations:  airports (50,000
or more operations/year or 1,600,000 passengers/year) and major highways
(more than 50,000 vehicles/day on an existing one).  EPA-recommended
review procedures are forthcoming, so it is not yet possible to
determine what effect this review will have on maintenance for these
two pollutants.
          b.   Relative Efficiency When Compared to Other Measures.  By
the very nature of its evolution, the indirect source review procedure
is intended to be an important part of air quality maintenance within an
AQMA.  It serves as a check for air quality maintenance on a very
localized scale.  As one component of the AQMP, it may also be struc-
tured to serve as an implementation or enforcement mechanism to ensure
that individual projects are consistent with some broader maintenance or
development program that has been established in the plan.
     The review procedure does not offer a prior constraint on planning
because of its postplanning,  preconstruction position.  Moreover, the
procedure is not capable of evaluating air quality impacts of proposed
or projected growth on a regional scale.  Therefore, it appears that
indirect source review is a necessary, but not sufficient, measure in
areas where an AQMP is needed.  In developing an AQMP, no credit should
be given for pollutant emission or ambient concentration reductions due
to the existence of the indirect source controls.
I.   ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT STATEMENTS (EIS's)
     1.   Definition of Control  Measure
          Section 102(2)(C) of the National  Environmental  Policy Act
(NEPA) of 1969 requires all Federal  agencies  to submit an  EIS to the
Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ)  prior  to taking major actions
that may significantly affect the human environment.   Furthermore,  the
act requires that an EIS be prepared in consultation  with  those Federal
agencies that have jurisdiction by law or special  expertise with respect
to any environmental impact involved.   In general, the provisions of
NEPA apply to projects that are administered  or funded by  the Federal
Government; an EIS must accompany a proposal  for action through the
existing agency review process.
                                 11-98

-------
     Although NEPA does not explicitly state that a project's effect on
air quality is to be discussed in an EIS,  both CEQ guidelines (ref.  59)
and agency regulations for the preparation of EIS's stipulate that air
quality impacts are to be considered.   Probably the most significant air
pollution emission sources requiring EIS's are proposed Federal  or
federally assisted highways and airports,  and power plants.
     In addition to Federal environmental  legislation,  17 States and the
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico have legislatively adopted  or administra-
tively promulgated policies and provisions similar to NEPA (ref. 60).
While most of the jurisdictions make use of an EIS in one way or another,
the applicability and scope of the EIS requirement varies.
     2.   Historical Review of the Control Measure
          a.   Current Application.   From January 1, 1970,  the date  NEPA
became effective, through December 31, 1973, 4,783 EIS's were filed  with
CEQ.  Of these, 2,012 were for highways and roads, 371  were for air-
ports, and 44 were for power plants  (ref.  61).
     Guidelines for the preparation  of EIS's issued by  CEQ in 1971
directed each Federal agency to establish its own formal procedures  for
complying with NEPA.  These guidelines and, in turn, Federal  agency
regulations have had to be revised periodically to implement various
Federal court decisions relating to  NEPA.   Almost all of the approxi-
mately 220 NEPA cases reported between January 1970 and September 1973
focused on some aspect of the EIS (ref. 62).  The courts generally have
assumed responsibility for interpreting and enforcing procedures set
forth in sec. 102(2)(C), including:   1) its applicability (i.e., whether
an action is major, Federal, and significantly affects  the environment
and therefore requires an EIS);  2)  the scope and depth of information
necessary in an EIS, including the extent to which alternatives must be
discussed; and  3) how information in  an EIS must be considered in
making a final decision.
      Some courts have specifically discussed the need  for air quality
assessment in an EIS.  For example,  in the case of Keith vs.  Volpe.  July
7, 1972, a California District Court halted work on the 17-mile Century
Freeway (1-105) in Los Angeles County  until an EIS was  prepared and
considered in accordance with the requirements of NEPA  and the California
Environmental Quality Act.  Among other things, the court declared that
                                  11-99

-------
the EIS should examine, with as  much precision  as  possible,  the  impact
of the proposed freeway on air quality in the Los  Angeles  basin.   In
evaluating the air quality impact, the court said  the EIS  should consider
the effect of wind and weather on the dispersal  of pollutants
as well as the effect of other sources of pollution and the  extent to
which the freeway would draw more automobiles  into the southern  Los
Angeles basin (ref. 63).
          b.   Effectiveness of  the Measure in  Current Applications.
The sole purpose of an EIS is to alert decision makers and the general
public to the environmental risks involved in major Federal  actions.   If
the final EIS indicates that there are adverse environmental effects,
including air quality  impacts, associated with what is considered to be
the best alternative action, decision makers must evaluate whether the
adverse environmental  effects outweigh the benefits of proceeding with
the projects.  NEPA, however, does not provide veto power over the
decision that is finally made.
      3.   Implementation
          a.   Procedures.  An EIS must  include the following:
               1)  A detailed description of the proposed project,
including information  and  technical data adequate to permit a careful
assessment  of the  environmental  impact.
               2)  Discussion of the  probable impact on the environment.
               3)  Any adverse  effects that cannot  be  avoided.
               4)  Alternatives  to  the proposed action that might  avoid
some  or all  of the adverse environmental  impacts,  including an  analysis
of the cost and  environmental impacts of each alternative.
               5)  An  assessment of the  cumulative,  long-term use  of the
environment versus the environment's  long-term  productivity.
               6)  Any irreversible or irretrievable commitments  of
 resources that might result from the action that  would curtail  bene-
 ficial use  of the environment.
      The preparation of an EIS  involves  a two-step process.   First,  a
 draft statement is prepared that draws together all the data  needed  to
 inform Federal  officials and the general public about the environmental
 effects of a proposed project and of possible  alternative actions.  The
 draft statement is circulated for comment to Federal, State,  and local
 environmental agencies and to the general public, who have a  minimum of
 45 days to review and comment on the draft statement.
                                  11-100

-------
     After all  comments made during  the  review  process  (and  at  the
public hearing  if one is held)  are received,  the  EIS  is  prepared  in
final form.  The final  EIS must incorporate all comments and objectives
raised on the draft and indicate how significant  issues  have been re-
solved.  Once a final EIS is completed,  it must be  filed with CEQ and
made available to the public and those agencies that  reviewed the draft
statement.
     Section 309 of the Clean Air Act, as amended,  requires  that  the
Administrator of EPA comment in writing on the  possible environmental
impacts (i.e., air, noise, water, solid waste)  of all proposed  Federal
actions to which sec. 102(2)(C) of NEPA applies.   After his  review,  the
Administrator has to make his comments public.   If he finds  a proposal
environmentally unsatisfactory, he has to publish this finding  and  refer
the matter to CEQ (ref. 64).
     Except for highly controversial projects,  most highway and airport
EIS's  are  reviewed by EPA Regional Offices.   The  most important
consideration in any EPA air quality review is  whether or not the
project adversely affects the attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS.
Such a determination depends, to  a great extent,  upon the adequacy of
the  EIS and the ability  of  the  reviewer to assess the significance of
the material presented.
      EPA  Order  1640.1,  Review of  Federal Action  Impacting the  Environ-
ment,  established  separate  rating systems for  project  impact and EIS
adequacy.  These systems, which are  used  in  reviewing draft  EIS's,  are
described in table  II-9.
           b.    Applicability.   According  to CEQ  guidelines,  major
 Federal  actions include but are not  limited  to:
                1)    Recommendations  or  favorable reports relating to
 legislation  and appropriations;
                2)  New and continuing projects  and  program activities:
 directly undertaken by Federal  agencies;  supported in  whole or in part
 through  Federal contracts,  grants,  subsidies,  loans, or other  forms of
 funding  assistance; involving a Federal  lease, permit,  license,  cer-
 tificate or other entitlement for use;  the making, modification, or
 establishment of regulations, rules, procedures, and policy (ref.  59).
                                  11-101

-------
      Table  II-9.
      EPA  rating  systems  for project impact
           and  EIS adequacy
Rating
area
Rating
Definition
Environmental
Impact of the
    Action
      LO
   (Lack of
  Objections)

      ER
(Environmental
 Reservations)
                       EU
                (Environmentally
                 Unsatisfactory)
EPA has no objections to the proposed  action
as described in the draft EIS; or suggests  only
minor changes in the proposed action.

EPA has reservations concerning the environ-
mental effects of certain aspects of the  proposed
action.  EPA believes that further study  of sug-
gested alternatives or modifications is required
and has asked the originating Federal  agency  to
reassess these aspects.

EPA believes that the proposed action  is  unsatis-
factory because of its potentially harmful  effect
on the environment.  Furthermore, the  Agency
believes that the potential  safeguards that might
be utilized may not adequately protect the  environ-
ment from hazards arising from this action.   The
Agency recommends that alternatives to the  action
be analyzed further (including the possibility of
no action at all).
Adequacy of        Category  1      The draft EIS adequately sets forth the environ-
  tne EIS          (Adequate)      mental impact of the proposed project or action
                                  as well as alternatives reasonably available to
                                  the project or action.

                   Category  2      EPA believes that the draft EIS does not contain
                 (Insufficient     sufficient information to assess fully the envi-
                  Information)     ronmental impact of the proposed project or action.
                                  However, from the information submitted, the Agency
                                  is able to make a preliminary determination of the
                                  impact on the environment.   EPA has requested that
                                  the originator provide the information that was
                                  not included in the draft statement.

                   Category  3      EPA believes that the draft EIS does not adequately
                  (Inadequate)     assess the environmental  impact of the proposed
                                  project or action, or that the EIS inadequately
                                  analyzes reasonably available alternatives.  The
                                  Agency has requested more information and analysis
                                  concerning the potential  environmental hazards and
                                  has asked that substantial  revision be made to the
                                  EIS.

                                  If a draft EIS is assigned a Category 3, no
                                  rating will  be made of the project or action,
                                  since a basis does not generally exist on which
                                  to make such a determination.
                                   11-102

-------
      Each Federal agency is responsible for identifying whether the
 actions  it seeks to undertake are major and significantly affect the
 environment.  CEQ guidelines state that the words "major" and "sig-
 nificantly" are intended to imply thresholds of importance and impact
 that  must be met before a statement  is required.  CEQ has directed that
 each  agency review the typical classes of actions it undertakes and
 develop  specific criteria and methods for identifying actions likely to
 require  EIS's.
      As  noted earlier, the applicability of the EIS requirements at the
 State level varies.  Most State  provisions follow NEPA's lead and limit
 applicability to "agencies of the State."  Among the exceptions are the
 California Environmental Quality Act, which outlines specific responsib-
 ilities  for local governments, and Washington's Environmental Policy
 Act,  which applies to all branches of State government, including State
 agencies, municipal and public corporations, and counties.  North
 Carolina authorizes local governments to require an EIS from any public
 or private developer of a "major development project" (ref. 65).
      In  defining major, environmentally significant actions, State EIS
 provisions generally parallel Federal requirements.  However, there are
 exceptions.  For example, the courts have extended California's EIS
 requirements to private activities requiring public permission; Indiana's
 law explicitly excludes licensing activities; and North Carolina limits
 its EIS  requirements to "actions involving expenditures of public moneys
 for projects and programs significantly affecting the quality of the
 environment."
          c.    Interaction with Other Measures.  The EIS interacts with
 three other control measures in maintaining air quality standards:
 regional development planning, indirect source review,  and control of
 construction activities.
     While regional development planning can provide a general  guide to
 the siting and location of various types of development, it cannot
 predict  if air quality standards will be exceeded by an individual
 project.  In  addition to assessing whether or not a proposed project is
 compatible with an adopted regional  plan,  an EIS can identify localized
 air pollution problems associated with a project that could interfere
with the maintenance of air quality standards.
                                 11-103

-------
     If an EIS is prepared for an  action  subject to  indirect  source
review, it should accompany the application  for approval  through  the  review
process and may substitute for the standard  analysis outlined in  40 CFR
52.22.
     An EIS is one of the few measures that  assesses impacts  on air quality
during the construction phase of a project;  in  addition,  an agency preparing
an EIS must indicate what steps will  be taken during construction to
minimize those impacts.
          d.   Potential  Conflicts with Community Development Plans.
CEQ guidelines require that an EIS discuss the  relationship of a  pro-
posed project to approved or proposed Federal,  State and  local land-use
plans, policies, and controls for  the project area.   If a conflict or
inconsistency exists, the EIS should  describe the extent  to which the
project has been reconciled with the  plan.  If  full  reconcilation has not
been achieved, the EIS must discuss why the  sponsoring  agency has
decided to proceed with the project.
          e.   Practical  Limitations.
               1)   Social acceptability. Public participation as early
as possible in the EIS process is  encouraged by CEQ. Some agencies have
actually sponsored extensive community participation programs throughout
the environmental assessment phase of a project in order  to ensure that
major community concerns are addressed in an EIS.  As a minimum,  a draft
EIS must be made available to the  public, which has  at  least  45 days  to
comment.  Responses to substantive comments  received on a draft state-
ment must be incorporated into the final  EIS.   In general, public re-
action to the EIS process appears  to  depend  upon whether  an  individual
approves or disapproves of a project.  Those who approve  often see the
EIS process as an unnecessary delay,  while those who disapprove welcome
the EIS as a means of alerting decision makers  to the specific social,
economic, and environmental problems  associated with a  proposed project.
               2)   Economic feasibility. The  preparation of an  EIS
does not represent a true air pollution control cost since air quality
impact is only one of many environmental  aspects examined in  an EIS.
The detail provided in an EIS, and hence the cost of preparation, should
be commensurate with the extent and expected impact of  the proposed project
and with the amount of information required  at  a particular
decisionmaking level.  Generally,  the sponsoring Federal  agency assumes

                                11-104

-------
the cost of an EIS for a project under its  jurisdiction.
     4.   Evaluation of Control  Measure
          a.   Ability of Measure to Maintain  Standards.   The  EIS  alone
would not be effective in maintaining air quality standards.   First,  the
EIS requirement is not comprehensive enough, particularly  in those
States that have not enacted "little NEPA's."   Because  of  the  limited
applicability of NEPA, major air pollution  sources such as large-scale,
privately funded industrial, commercial,  and recreational  facilities  are
not subject to the EIS requirement.
     Second, air quality considerations do  not necessarily dictate the
final decision on a project.  Although decision makers  are required to
consider the environmental impacts of a proposed action—including
whether or not it is in conformance with  a  State's air  pollution control
implementation plan—they are permitted to  balance these impacts against
the project's economic and technical benefits  before  making a  final
decision.
     It should be noted, however, that as Federal  guidelines and reg-
ulations for the preparation of EIS's are refined over  time and as
coordination among agencies improves, mitigation of any serious environ-
mental impacts associated with a project  is likely to be accomplished
early in the planning process.
          b.   Relative Efficiency Compared to Other  Measures.  An EIS
air quality analysis relates the impact of  proposed new emission sources
to the applicable air quality standards;  thus, it provides a direct
check for maintenance of the standards.  However,  the review process
does not apply to all new sources, nor even to entire source categories.
Therefore, it is not a sufficient measure for  maintenance  by itself.   It
is difficult to assign an efficiency to the EIS when  it is employed in
conjunction with other measures, since its  efficiency depends  to a great
extent on the scope of its applicability; i.e., whether a  State has an
environmental policy act in effect to supplement Federal environmental
legislation.
                                11-105

-------
                          REFERENCES
 1.    Argonne National  Laboratory  and  American  Society of  Planning
           Officials.   Interagency Cooperation  in  Comprehensive Urban
           Planning and Air Quality Maintenance, Chicago,  March 1974.


 2.    Vermont State Planning Office.   Vermont's Land  Use Plan and
           Act 250, Montpelier,  January  1974.


 3.    State of Vermont, State Permit Procedure  Guide.  Land  Development
           and Subdivision, Montpelier,  September  4,  1973.


 4.    Vermont General  Assembly,  (H 417)  Act  No. 250 of the Acts of  1970.

 5.    Telephone conversation with  Richard  Valentinetti, Air  Pollution
           Control  Officer, March  26,  1974.

 6.    Rutgers University,  Center for Urban Policy  Research,  The
           Contribution of Urban Planning  to Air Quality,  New Brunswick
           N.J., February  1973.

 7.    J.E.  Yocum, D.A.  Chisholm, and F.G.  Collins.  Air Pollution Study
           of the Capital  Region.   Capital Region  Planning Agency,  Hartford,
           Conn., December 1967.

 8.    Northeastern Illinois Planning Commission.   Managing the Air
           Resources in Northeastern Illinois,  Technical Report Number 6,
           August 1967.

 9.    Alan  M. Voorhees & Associates.   A  Guide for  Reducing Air Pollution
           through Urban Planning.  Environmental  Protection Agency, Office
           of Air Programs, December 1971.

10.    Alan  M. Voorhees, C.  F. Barnes,  and  F. E. Coleman.   Traffic
           Patterns ajid Land-Use Alternatives.  Highway Research Board,
           Washington, D.C., January 1962.

11.    Alan  M. Voorhees & Associates.   A  Transportation Study for
           Montgomery and  Prince George's  Counties, Maryland.The  Maryland
           National Capital Park and Planning Commission,  June 1970.

12.    Livingston and Blayney.  Guidelines  for Relating Air Pollution
           Control  to Land Use and Transportation  Planning,  San Francisco,
           July 1973.

13.    Air Pollutant Emissions Related  to Land Area: A Basis  for a
           Preventative Air Pollution  Control Program.Durham, N.C.:
           National Air Pollution  Control  Administration,  U.S. Department
           of Health, Education  and Welfare, 1968.
                                 11-106

-------
14.   The Jefferson County ordinance  is  discussed  in  unpublished  documents.
          The Cook County ordinance  is  best  described  in  A.S.  Kennedy,  et al .
          An Economic Comparison  of  Point-Source  Controls and  Emission  Density
          Zoning for Air Quality  Management. Vol.  Ill,  Air Pollution/Land Use
          Planning Project.   Argonne,  111.:   Argonne National  Laboratory, 1973.

15.   A.  S.  Kennedy et al .  Selected  Land Use Control Policies  for  Air
          Quality Management.  Vol .  1 .   Air  Pollution/Land Use Planning
          Project.  Argonne, 111.:   Argonne  National Laboratory, 1973.

16.   B.  H.  Willis and J. R.  Mahoney.   "Planning for  Air Quality."
          Paper presented at American  Institute of Planners Annual  Meeting,
          Boston, 1972.

17.   Kennedy et al .  An  Economic  Comparison.

18.   Federal Register 36, 15490.

19.   E.  J.  Croke and J.  J. Roberts.   "Air Resource Management  and
          Regional Planning."  Bulletin of the Atomic  Scientists,  February
          1971, pp. 8-12.

20.   Croke and Roberts.   "Air Resource Management."

21.   Kennedy et al .  An  Economic  Comparison, pp.  42-46.

22.   Argonne National Laboratory  and American Society  of Planning  Offi-
          cials.  Interagency Cooperation in Comprehensive Urban Planning and
          Air Quality Maintenance.   Chicago, March 1974.

23.   William I. Goodman  (ed.) and Eric C. Freund (assoc.  ed.).  Principles
          and Practice of Urban Planning.  International  City  Managers' Asso-
          ciations.  Washington,  D.C., 1968.

24.   Murray I. Mantel 1.   "Transient  (Dual) Zoning."  Journal of the
          Urban Planning and Development Division. ASCE 100, No. UP1  (March
          ___
25.  Audrey Moore.  Transferable Development Rights, An Idea Whose Time
          Has Come.  Fairfax County, Va., February 16, 1974.

26.  Central Atlantic Environmental News Vol. II, No. 9 (September 1972),
          Washington, D.C.

27.  William C. McGivern.  "Putting a Speed Limit on Growth," Planning,
          The American Society of Planning Officials, 38, No. 10 (November
          1972).

28.  Rasa Gustaitis.  "California Ruling Hits Cities' Growth Plans."
          The Washington Post, February 11, 1974.
                                11-107

-------
29.  Herbert M.  Franklin.   Controlling  Urban  Growth-But  For Whom?  The
          Potomac Institute,  Inc.,  Washington,  D.C.,  March 1973.

30.  Judy Nicol.  "Fairfax Official  Shocked at  Statistics on  New
          Homes.""  The Washington  Post.  February  2,  1974.

31.  "Development Rights:   Alternative  to Chaos?"   Central Atlantic
          Environment News Vol.  Ill,  No.  1  (January 1973).

32.  E. J.  Croke, K.  G. Croke, A. S.  Kennedy, and  L.  J.  Hoover.  The
          Relationship Between Land-Use and Environmental Protection.
     A    Argonne National Laboratory,  Argonne,  111.,  1972.

33.  Prince William County Planning Office, Environmental Management
          Plan,  Woodbridge, Va.,  1974.

34.  Rutgers University.   The Contribution of Urban Planning  to Air
          Quality.  New Brunswick,  N.J.,  February  1973.

35.  Melvin B. Mogul of.  Governing  Metropolitan  Areas.   The Urban
          Institute,  Washington,  D.C.,  1971.

36.  J. Holmes et al.   The Clean  Air  Act  and  Transportation Controls:
          An EPA White Paper. Environmental  Protection  Agency, Office of
          Air and Water Programs.   Washington,  D.C.,  August 1973.

37.  Congressional Record, 5-4528.   March 27, 1974.

38.  New Jersey  Department of Environmental Protection,  Bureau of Air
          Pollution Control.  Motor Vehicle Tune-up at  Idle—The New
          Jersey REPAIR Project.  Trenton, N.J.,  1971.

39.  Organization for Economic Co-operation and  Development.  Environ-
          mental Implications of  Options  in Urban  Mobility, Paris, France,
          September 1973.

40.  Environmental Protection Agency, Office  of Air and  Water Programs,
          Research Triangle Park, N.C., unpublished data, February 1974.

41.  J. M.  Thomson, Methods of Traffic  Limitation  in  Urban Areas.
          Working Paper No. 3, Organization for Economic Co-operation and
          Development, Paris, France, September 1972.

42.  Alan M. Voorhees and  Associates, et  al.  A Guide for Reducing
          Automotive  Air Pollution, Environmental  Protection  Agency, Research
          Triangle Park,  N.C., November 1971.

43.  Metropolitan Atlanta  Rapid Transit Authority.  The  Effect of Fare
          Reduction on Transit Ridership  in the  Atlanta  Region.  Summary
          Report Number 1, Analysis of  Transit  Passenger Data.  Atlanta, Ga.,
          October 1973.
                                11-108

-------
44.  S. I. Schwartz.  "Reducing Air Pollution by Automobile Inspection
          and Maintenance:  A Program Analysis."  Journal  Air Pollution
          Control Association 23 (October 1973):845.

45.  W. Wong.  "Seattle's Free Buses Revitalize Downtown Area; They Save
          Gas, Cut Traffic, and Spread Goodwill."  Hall  Street Journal.
          February 12, 1974.

46.  Washington, D.C., Council of Governments.   Unpublished data,
          February 1974.

47.  Senate Subcommittee on Environmental Pollution.   Unpublished trans-
          cript of hearings.  Riverside, Calif., November 15, 1973; Los
          Angeles, Calif., March 15, 1974.

48.  U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency.   Regulations  on Preparation
          of Implementation Plans.  Title 40, Part 51, Appendix N.

49.  William J. Baumol.   "On Taxation and the Control  of Externalities."
          American Economic Review. June 1972,  pp. 307-322.

50.  Tayler H. Bingham et al.   A Projection of the Effectiveness and
          Costs of a National  Tax on Sulfur Emissions.  Research
          Triangle Institute,  for Environmental Protection Agency,
          November 1973.

51.  C. 0. Hodge, "Lost Horizons in the Desert West."  Technology Review
          75, No. 5, March/April 1973, p. 8ff

52.  W. W. Lowe, "Creating Power Plants:  The Costs of Controlling
          Technology." Technology Review 74. No. 3 (January 1972):  22-30.

53.  R. G. Salter, A Floating Power Platform Concept for the West
          Coast. The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica,  Calif. AD 766  864.

54.  L. J. Carter. "Floating Nuclear Plants:  Power from the Assembly
          Line." Science 183 (15 March 1974): 1063-1065.

55.  Federal Register 38, 9599.

56.  Federal Register 38. 15834.

57.  Federal Register 38, 29893.

58.  Federal Register 39, 7270.

59.  Council on Environmental  Quality.  "Preparation  of  Environmental
          Impact Statements-Guidelines."  Federal Register 38, No.  147
          (August 1, 1973).

60.  Nicholas C. Yost.  "NEPA's Progeny:  State Environmental  Policy
          Acts."  Environmental Law Reporter III No.  8 (August 1973).
                                11-109

-------
61.  Council of Environmental  Quality.   "Summary of 102 Statements
          Filed with the CEQ Through 12/31/73."   102 Monitor 3 No. 12
          (January 1974).

62.  Council on Environmental  Quality.   "NEPA and the Courts."  102
          Monitor 3 No.  9 (October 1973).

63.  Keith vs.  Volpe. No.  72-355-HP (C.  D.  Calif., July 7,  1972).

64.  Section 309, Clean  Air Amendments  of 1970,  P. L.  91-604
          (December 31,  1970).

65.  Council on Environmental  Quality.   "More States Enact  Environmental
          Impact Statement Requirements."   102 Monitor 2 No.  4 (May 1972)
                                11-110

-------
                 Chapter III:  EMISSION CONTROL MEASURES

A.   NEW SOURCE PERFORMANCE STANDARDS
     1.   Definition of Control Measure
          This measure encompasses two distinct programs that have
the common characteristic of requiring stringent controls on new sources:
Federal New Source Performance Standards (NSPS), and State and local
requirements for lower allowable emissions for new or modified sources
than for existing ones.
          a.   Federal Programs.  A New Source Performance Standard (NSPS)
is defined in the Clean Air Act as "a standard for emission limitation
achievable through the application of the best system of emission reduction
which (taking into account the cost of achieving such reduction) the
Administrator determines has been adequately demonstrated (ref.  1).
Responsibility for development, implementation, and enforcement of the
Federally promulgated NSPS rests with EPA.  Authority for implementation
and enforcement may be delegated to the States upon submission and approval
by the Administrator of adequate procedures for these purposes.   NSPS are
applicable only to new or modified sources in specific stationary source
categories proposed and promulgated by EPA.  The procedure requires
testing of the source after startup to determine compliance.
     The NSPS generally provide more restrictive controls than the SIP
regulations for existing sources, thereby ensuring minimal impact from
new sources in the specified categories.  Another aspect of this
measure's air quality maintenance action is the reduction in emissions
that results from obsolete sources being modified or replaced by comparable
new ones that are subject to the lower allowable emission rates  of the
NSPS.  As more source categories are included under the provisions of the
NSPS, this measure will increase in scope and effectiveness in minimizing
emissions.
     Upon promulgation, the emission limitations of the NSPS are manda-
tory on all subsequent new or modified sources.  Therefore, this measure
                                III-l

-------
is present in all areas independent of AQMP provisions and should be
considered as an integral component of all AQMP's.
     While NSPS may be developed for hazardous air pollutants and des-
ignated pollutants, the discussion in this section is limited to the
applicability of NSPS to the criteria pollutants.  NSPS controls may be
expressed as process weight, concentrations, or operating parameters.
          b.   State Programs.  Under the Federal program, NSPS are
adopted according to nationwide priority, which may not be the same as
that required for any specific AQMA.  Nothing in the Federal regulations
precludes the States from prescribing lower allowable emissions
limitations on new sources in categories not covered by Federal NSPS.
This would permit the tailoring of a program specific to the AQMA.  Should
Federal NSPS be subsequently developed and promulgated, the State-
developed emission limitations would continue to be applicable if they
are at least as stringent as the NSPS.  If the State-developed emission
limitations are less stringent, the NSPS requirements would take
precedence.
     State regulations usually have provisions for review of new sources
prior to construction, and call for disapproval if the applicable emission
regulations or NAAQS would be violated.   A State or local regulation with
more stringent emission limitations on new or modified sources would be
implemented through this review procedure.  As with Federal NSPS,
State-imposed emission limitations on new and modified sources are based
on demonstrated best available control technology considered in the light
of social and economic feasibility.
     2.   Historical Review of the Measure
          As previously mentioned, most SIP's contain provisions for
more stringent controls on new or modified sources than on sources in
existence at the time the SIP's were prepared.  Because it would be
patently impossible to describe the history of State generated and
implemented NSPS, discussion in this paragraph is limited to the
Federal NSPS.
          a.   Current Application.  The promulgation of NSPS serves
as one regulatory path to ensure the application of best technology in
the control of emissions from new and modified sources.  NSPS are not
intended to be the sole regulatory path for reducing emissions of these
                                 III-2

-------
pollutants, but rather to be a control  mechanism in  the  overall  strategy
of air pollution control  and maintenance.
     The Congress directed that the Administrator publish,  within 90
days after enactment of the Clean Air Act  amendments of  1970,  a  list of
categories of stationary sources.  This list,  subject to periodic re-
view, was to include a category of sources "if he determines  it  may
contribute significantly to air pollution  which causes or contributes to
the endangerment of public health or welfare (ref. 1)."   The  initial
listing of stationary sources for which NSPS were proposed  in  August
1971 and promulgated in December of the same year covered five source
categories:  fossil-fuel-fired steam generators, municipal  incinerators,
cement plants, nitric acid plants, and sulfuric acid plants.   A  second
list proposed in June 1973 and promulgated in March  1974 covered asphalt
concrete plants, petroleum refineries, petroleum storage, secondary lead
smelters and refineries, secondary brass and bronze  refining  facilities,
iron and steel mills, and sewage treatment plants.  Table III-l  summa-
rizes the source categories currently covered by NSPS.  In  addition,
NSPS for primary copper, zinc, and lead smelters are nearing  completion.
These NSPS cover S0? emissions from all three primary smelters and particu-
lates from zinc and lead.
          b.   Effectiveness of the Measure in Current Applications.
Evaluation of the effectiveness of NSPS in current applications  involves
the evaluation of the impact of a single source within an area through
individual source review.  While such an evaluation  may  be possible, its
accuracy is limited because in the current state-of-the-art,  "ana-
lytical tools that can be used with confidence to predict the air quality
impact of a single source are not now available (ref. 2)."
     3.   Implementation
          Implementation of State NSPS is accomplished through the new
and modified source review procedures specified in the SIP.  The discussion
that follows covers the implementation of Federally promulgated NSPS.
          a.   Procedures.  NSPS are automatically implemented without
action on the part of the States.  The owner/operator of a facility
falling within the purview of NSPS must provide EPA with:
     •  Notification of the anticipated date of initial  startup.
     •  Notification of the actual date of startup.
                                  III-3

-------
Table III-l.  Status of standards of performance for selected source categories  (NSPS)
Control equipment
Source Affected facility Pollutant Opacity expected to meet
Regulation performance standard
Steam generators Coal- and oil-fired boilers Partlculates / Precipitator (coal)
(> 250 million Btu/hr) Coal- and oil-fired boilers SO Scrubber or low-S fuel
Coal- , oil- , and gas-fired NO Combustion modification
boilers x
Municipal Incinerators Incinerator Particulates / Precipitator
(> 50 tons per day)
Portland cement plants Kiln, clinker cooler Particulates / Precipitator or fabric
filter
Nitric acid plants Process equipment NOX / Catalytic decomposition
Sulfuric acid plants Process equipment S0x Dual absorption acid
plant
Acid mist / Fiber mist eliminator
Asphalt concrete plants Process equipment Particulates / Cyclone and fabric
filter or venturi
scrubber
Petroleum refineries Process gas combustion SOX H2S scrubbing units
Catalytic regenerator Particulates / Precipitator
CO Waste heat boiler
Petroleum storage Gasoline, crude oil, and Hydrocarbons Conservation vent,
distillate storage tanks floating roof, or
> 65,000 gal capacity vapor recovery systems
Secondary lead smelters Blast and reverberatory Particulates / Fabric filter or high
and refineries furnaces energy scrubber
Secondary brass and Reverberatory furnaces Particulates / Fabric filter
bronze refining
facilities
Iron and steel mills Basic oxygen furnace Particulates / Furnace hooded to high
energy scrubber or
precipitator
Sewage treatment plants Sludge incinerators Particulates / Venturi scrubber
Sources: Based on Table 1, in Gary D. McCutchen. New Source Performance Standards — Present and
Future. Paper presented at the Fourth Annual Industrial Air Pollution Control Conference, Knoxville.
Tenn., March 28-29, 1974.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Programs. Background Information for Proposed
New Source Performance Standards: Steam Generators, Portland Cement Plants, Nitric Acid Plants,
Sulfuric Acid Plants, Technical Report APTD-07-1, Research Triangle Park, N.C., August 1971.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Programs. Background Information for Proposed
New Source Performance Standards: Asphalt Concrete Plants, Petroleum Refineries, Storage Vessels,
Secondary Lead Smelters and Refiners, Brass or Bronze Ingot Production Plants, Iron and Steel Plants,
Sewage Treatment Plants, Vol. 1, Main Text. Technical Report APTD-1352a, Research Triangle Park, N.C.,
June 1973.
Overall collec-
tion efficiency
required, %
98
70-90
65-90

95

99.3-99.7

93
96

98.5
99.7


99+
93
99.5
80


97+

98.7


99.8


99.6











Status of
performance
standard
Promulgated 12/71
"
ii

.i

„

"
"

"
Promulgated 3/8/74


"
11
"
..


.1

ii


n


"












-------
In addition, the owner/operator shall provide EPA, within 60 days after
achieving the maximum production rate but not later than 180 days after
initial startup, reports of performance tests conducted in the manner and
by the method prescribed in the NSPS regulations.  A 10-day notice of the
proposed performance tests is required to permit EPA an opportunity to
observe such tests.  In addition to the performance tests asso-
ciated with startup, EPA under section 114 of the Clean Air Act can
require such additional tests as are deemed necessary to ensure com-
pliance with the NSPS.
     Under provisions of section lll(d) of the Clean Air Act, States may
develop and submit to EPA procedures for the implementation and enforce-
ment of NSPS for new sources located in the State (except hew sources
owned or operated by the United States).  If a State's procedure is
found to be adequate, authority to implement and enforce NSPS can be
delegated to the State.
     Upon the publication of NSPS, States may adopt regulations that are
equal to or more stringent as the NSPS.  This revision to State regulations
is accomplished through existing procedures within the State.  Unless the
States have been delegated procedures to implement and enforce NSPS, the
owner/operator is still required to comply with the Federal requirement and
submit reports to EPA,  in addition to the requirements that may be
imposed by the States.   This course of action by the States is con-
sidered less desirable than the development of an EPA-approvable pro-
cedure for implementation and enforcement of NSPS and subsequent dele-
gation of authority.  The requirement for dual report submission may
constitute a hardship on the owner/operator and may result in differing
interpretation of regulations and test results.
     Regardless of the methods by which NSPS are implemented, local
review and enforcement are accomplished through the mechanisms estab-
lished by the SIP.   Requests for permission to construct a new source or
modify an existing one are processed through the same system as sources
not covered by NSPS.  Surveillance and enforcement procedures are the
same whether or not the source is covered by NSPS.  In essence, NSPS
simply supplant State regulatory requirements for selected sources
unless existing State emission limitations are more stringent than NSPS.
                                 III-5

-------
          b.   Applicability.   NSPS are applicable to any new stationary
source, the construction or modification of which is commenced after the
publication of the NSPS regulations.  Promulgation of NSPS does not
abrogate the requirements for the review of new and modified sources as
required by 40 CFR 51.18.  If the cognizant State or local agency
determines that the construction or modification will interfere with the
maintenance of a NAAQS, permit to construct or modify must be denied even
if the construction or modification plans provide for the emission control
required by NSPS.
     Existing SIP requirements in some States may be more stringent than
those imposed by NSPS.  In these cases, the more stringent State re-
quirements must be met by new and modified sources.
          c.   Interaction with Other Measures.  Because NSPS are
applicable to construction or modification of specific sources, they are
implemented without specific interaction with other maintenance measures.
     NSPS can, however, be used as the implementing mechanism for other
control measures.  For example, NSPS may be used to phase out inef-
ficient domestic oil furnaces or unmonitored on-site incinerators by
specifying emission limitations on new and replacement units.  NSPS may
also be used to implement the combination of emission source measures by
requiring emission controls on new and modified sources that can only be
met by consolidation of numerous small emitters into a larger source.
          d.   Potential Conflicts with Community Development Plans.
NSPS will not result in conflicts with community development plans.
NSPS are implemented after a decision has been made to construct a new
source or modify an existing source.  It must be assumed that the AQMP
will contain provisions to ensure that such decisions are made within
the context of the community development plan.  Thus, NSPS can be con-
sidered to be not only consistent with such plans, but also complement-
ary thereto.  The application of NSPS to sources within an AQMA can
result in overall emission reductions that would permit the growth
envisioned in the community development plan.
          e.   Practical Limitations.
               1)   Social acceptability.  No problems are envisioned
with the social acceptability of NSPS.  Most States currently specify
more stringent controls for new and modified plants.  This action has
                                  III-6

-------
generally been accepted.  NSPS merely extends more stringent standards
on new and modified plants to require the best available control tech-
nology.  A public information program, especially for NSPS covering
ubiquitous sources, should contribute to acceptance by the public by
informing them of the need for and contribution that NSPS can make to
their welfare through a cleaner environment.  Public information pro-
grams are not uniquely applicable to NSPS, but are revelant to all
maintenance measures.
               2)   Economic feasibility.  Economic considerations play
an important role in the development of NSPS.  In the detailed study
that precedes the promulgation of NSPS, control technologies are eval-
uated with respect to cost and effectiveness  by analyses of field data
obtained from well-controlled plants.  Cost-effectiveness analysis, an
integral part of the NSPS development, considers not only the direct  costs
of control equipment, but also the benefits  that may occur from higher
production efficiency and value of byproducts from the control  system,
taking  into consideration the cost of achieving such reduction.
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure
          NSPS  impact on  air quality  by controlling emissions from new
and modified  sources.   New and modified sources are brought  on  stream to
replace obsolete facilities  or to provide  additional production capacity
to meet increased  demands.   The applicability of  NSPS  to  construction
and modification is  shown schematically  in figure  III-l.  The additional
control  potential  of NSPS for all emissions, however,  must consider
other  factors  such as  the portion of  growth  requirements  that can  be
 satisfied  from present  unused capacity  and the  obsolescence  and re-
 placement  rates of existing  facilities.   Such  a  comparison  can  be
expressed mathematically.  The following  equations can be used  to  determine
the  impact of NSPS on emission rates  (ref.  3).  The equation is not appli-
cable  when E   is lower  than  E^.

       Emission  reduction  by        _     ,,/,:     r  \  /R  ,  r\
     application of NSPS (tons)     "     Mts "  V  v      '

where  K =  Normal fractional  utilization  of existing capacity, assumed
           constant during time  interval
      ES =  Allowable  emissions under  SIP,  tons  per unit capacity

                                  III-7

-------
                                                INDUSTRY PRODUCTIVE  CAPACITY
00
                           o>
                           -a
                           •a
                           o -n
REPLACEMENT OF OBSOLETE

       FACILITIES
                                                                    ADDITION OF PRODUCTIVE

                                                                          CAPACITY
                                                      CAPACITY REGULATED BY NSPS

-------
      E  = Allowable emissions  under NSPS,  tons  per  unit  capacity
       B = Production capacity  from construction or  modification
           to replace obsolete  plants
       C = Production capacity  from construction or  modification  to
           meet increased demands
where for compound growth, B =  A[(l + Pb)   - 1]
                           C =  A[(l + Pj  - 1]
where for simple growth,   B =  AiPb
                           C =  AiPc
                           A =  1975 capacity
                          P.  =  Annual obsolescence rate
                           b
                          P  =  Annual growth rate
                           i =  Elapsed time, years
     For those sources not covered by NSPS, States have the option
of imposing more stringent controls on new and modified sources than are
currently prescribed in the SIP.   In such a case, the methodology for
evaluating the effectiveness of NSPS as described above is applicable.
The  term E   is redefined as the allowable emissions in tons per unit ca-
pacity, under the more stringent SIP controls.   In determining the
appropriate  E  , States must balance  the economic impacts of prescribing
overly  restrictive  control with the  current state-of-the-art of control
technology.

B.    REVISION  OF  EXISTING  SIP  CONTROL  MEASURES
      1.    Definition of  Measure
           An early  step  in the development of the AQMP is  the  determina-
 tion of whether more stringent emission  limitations on existing  sources
 would be adequate to maintain  air  quality.   If  more stringent  emission
 limitations  alone would be sufficient, an  AQMP  is  not required.   Amendment
 of pertinent existing State regulations  and demonstration  that the revised
 control measures  would result  in the maintenance of air quality is suf-
 ficient to satisfy the air quality maintenance  requirements.   Such
 limitations  would be all that  would be required in the AQMP.
      Should more stringent controls not be technically or economically
 feasible and/or should such an analysis indicate that these measures would
 not, by themselves, provide the control  required to maintain NAAQS during
                                  III-9

-------
 the period  1975  through  1985,  a more  comprehensive  AQMP would  be  required.
 Revision  of the  existing SIP emission limitations then becomes  one measure
 among  many  that  should be considered  in  the  development of  an  appropriate
 overall maintenance  strategy.  The  extent  to which  such a measure could  be
 implemented would  depend on the existing level of control and  the types  of
 emission  sources present in the area.
     2.   Historical  Review of the  Measure
          a-   Current Application.   This  measure has been  applied in
 numerous  States, in  the  development and  revision of SIP control strat-
 egies  or  by EPA  promulgation of standards  for those AQCR's  for  which the
 SIP, as submitted  by  the State, was inadequate for  the attainment and
 maintenance of NAAQS.
          b.   Effectiveness of the Measure  in Current Applications.
 Evaluation  of the  effectiveness of  this  measure in  current  applications
 will have to wait  until  1975 or 1977,  the  target dates for  attainment of
 NAAQS.  However, some estimate of further  reduction in emissions  can be
 obtained  by examining the degree of control  required to meet current
 emission  regulations.  For example, if control efficiencies in  the range of 90-
 95  percent  are currently required to  achieve standards for  suspended
 particulates, additional  reduction  of emissions could be achieved by requiring
 controls  in the range of 96-98 percent.  If  required controls are already
 very stringent, for example, in the 96-99  percent range., then further re-
 duction may be more difficult  and expensive  to achieve.
     3.   Implementation
          a.   Procedure.  Procedures for revising SIP control   require-
 ments are described in the various  SIP's.  Under the assumption that
 emission reductions are  not needed  immediately to maintain standards, it
 may be appropriate to provide a period of 5 to 10 years for sources in
 compliance with existing regulations to come into compliance with the
 new, stricter regulations.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.  This maintenance measure is
 applicable to 1)  sources currently  under control  but for which  additional
 control is feasible, and 2) sources currently uncontrolled.
          c.   Interactions With  Other Control  Measures.   Because this
measure is applied to selected sources, it is implemented  and enforced
without specific  interaction with  other maintenance  measures.   For sta-
                                 111-10

-------
tionary sources, the emission controls specified by this  measure are
superseded for new and modified sources upon  the promulgation  of NSPS
requiring more stringent control  and,  conversely, supersede NSPS control
requirements that are less stringent.
          d.   Potential Conflicts With Community Development  Plans.
The imposition of more stringent SIP controls has the potential  of
conflicting with community development plans.  For example, the  impo-
sition of more stringent SIP controls  could curtail growth or  even drive  an
industry out of an area, while community development objectives  may
include the encouragement of growth in the same industry.
          e.   Practical Limitations.
               1)   Social acceptability.   The imposition of more stringent
controls on sources currently under control will probably meet
considerable opposition.  Sources that have instituted control programs
or have either installed or contracted for the installation of control
equipment will most likely object to being given a "moving target"
insofar as control requirements are concerned.  Furthermore, industry
can be expected to object to being required to spend funds for additional
control when the expected reductions in emissions are to  accommodate
projected growth, especially if the growth represents competition.
     Because the social acceptability of this measure is  relatively low,
its inclusion in the maintenance strategy should be carefully  considered.
     The imposition of controls on all new or modified that are more
stringent than controls on existing sources can, however, be more
easily achieved.
               2)   Economic feasibility.   Economic feasibility of this
control measure can be determined by an analysis of the impact on classes
of sources.  In general, the cost per unit reduction of emissions will  be
higher than the cost under the existing control requirements.   However,
these added costs do provide large percentage reductions  in the remaining
emissions since only a small increase in control efficiency, e.g., 98 to
99 percent, will cut remaining emissions drastically, (increasing from
98 to 99 percent represents a 50 percent reduction in emissions).
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure
          Potential emission reductions from this control measure can be
                                 III-ll

-------
evaluated by the following formula:

          Potential reduction = (E  - E )C

          where E  = Emission allowances under the existing control
                     requirements
                E^ = Emission allowances under the more stringent
                     requirements
                C  = Source capacity affected by more stringent require-
                     ments during the time frame under consideration

These data should be readily available in the air pollution control
agency having jurisdiction over the area in which the sources are
located.

C.   PHASEOUT OR PROHIBITION OF EMISSION SOURCES
     1.   Definition of Control Measure
          Phaseout of emission sources is a measure whereby certain
emission sources are eliminated by prohibiting their incorporation into
new construction or by prohibiting operation of existing sources.
Those sources already in use are not affected until obsolescence requires
replacement or the prohibition date arrives, at which time they become
subject to the provisions of this measure.  Phaseout of existing
emission sources can occur as the result of a business decision, as a
result of mandatory prohibition by a specified date, or as a result of
the imposition of stringent performance specifications on emission sources,
     Outright prohibition of pollution sources is exemplified by rules
57 and 58 of the Los Angeles County Pollution Control District banning
open firing of refuse and the use of single chamber incinerators.
     To be successful, acceptable alternative equipment or services
must be available for whatever is to be phased out.  It is desirable
that these alternatives be cost competitive in addition to offering
reduced pollutant emissions.
     Two desirable applications of this control measure are the phaseout
of inefficient types of domestic oil-fired furnaces and the elimination
of on-site incinerators.  In an AQMA where greater emission reductions
                                 111-12

-------
are needed to accommodate expected growth, an extreme application would
be the prohibition of new coal- or oil-fired space heating units in a
specified area where maintenance action is required.
     2.   Historical Review of the Measure
          a.   Current Application.  Regulations to prohibit or phase out
specific types of sources of air contaminant emissions have been adopted
by some air pollution control agencies.  Most States  have, in one form or
another, prohibitions against open burning.  Examples of such regulations
are presented in table III-2.
     The Federal Motor Vehicle Control  Program is a recent example wherein
specific emission control performance is required on  new automobiles to
control emissions from mobile sources.   As the nationwide vehicle fleet
ages, older vehicles become obsolete and are replaced by new vehicles
incorporating the emission control equipment.
          b.   Effectiveness of the Measure in Current Applications.  The
effectiveness of this measure toward the maintenance  of air quality is
dependent upon the number of sources that will be eliminated and the
spatial distribution of such sources.  For a specific AQMA the effec-
tiveness can be determined by adjusting the emissions inventory and sub-
sequent dispersion model.
     3.   Implementation
          a.   Procedure.  The phaseout control  measure is a
measure implemented by law but differing from immediate prohibition of
equipment or technology by allowing a reasonable time lag between en-
actment and complete prohibition.  This time lag is normally incorpo-
rated into the measure by restrictions  to new products, thereby using
the mean life of the existing product as a transition period.  Alter-
natively, the measure could specify a transition period, in which both
new and old equipments are satisfactory, to terminate at a given date
after which only the preferred product  is legal.
     Specifically for oil-fired furnaces, particulate and NO  emission
                                                            /\
reduction can be achieved by improved burner design,  turbulence control,
staged injection of fuel, tangential firing, etc.  If adequate per-
formance standards are imposed on new units with prototype testing
before they are approved for sale, manufacturers can  apply known tech-
nology and develop additional design techniques  to achieve much better
performance than presently observed.

                                 111-13

-------
Table III-2.  Examples of regulations adopted to prohibit or phase out specific  sources  of emissions
State
Arizona
Connecticut
Maryland
Massachusetts
Minnesota
New Jersey
New York
Regulations
Tucson Regulation Governing Street
Improvement; August 22, 1972
19-13-615
43P05 Sec. 0603
0605
0605
Boston Reg. 4.3.1
4.3.1
5.1
6.3.1
6.3.2
6.4
APC 7
Chapter 11, 2.1
Chapter 2, 2.1
New York City 1403.2-4.03
1403.2-11.05
General Content
All new roads must be paved
Single chamber incinerators, new flue-fed
incinerators prohibited
Prohibits on-site incinerators, with few
exceptions
New post-January 1971 installations using
residual fuel oil in boilers of <5 x 106 BTU/hr
capacity prohibited
New post-January 1971 installations using
solid fuel in boilers of <250 x 10b BTU/hr
capacity prohibited
Number 5 fuel oil prohibited in all fuel burning
equipment of <4.5 x 106 BTU/hr capacity
Number 6 fuel oil and bituminous coal prohibited
in fuel burning equipment of <9 x 10° BTU/hr
capacity
Application of asbestos fiber to any structure
prohibited
Dry sandblasting prohibited
Wet sandblasting prohibited, except with
written permission
Spray-coating with minerals prohibited, except
with written permission
Multiple chamber incinerators only can be used to
burn refuse
Single chamber flue-fed incinerators prohibited
Open burning for salvage operations prohibited
Installation of new refuse burning equipment
except municipal and pathological prohibited
Use of fuel burning equipment using
bituminous coal without control apparatus
prohibited (99.5% particulate control
required)

-------
          b.    Conditions of Applicability.   Phaseout measures  are
appropriate for forcing shifts toward desired technology or
equipment when more direct or drastic action is impractical.  These
conditions frequently exist when large amounts of capital  investment are
involved or when the equipment is pervasive  throughout society  so that
changes can only be made gradually without causing unacceptable dis-
ruption or hardship.
     When tied to the standard replacement cycle, the added loss in
capital caused by phaseout is zero; all capital is fully amortized.  The
replacement equipment, however, may be more expensive.
     Phaseout is only appropriate when an equivalent, less polluting
alternative technique exists for carrying out a particular function or
service in society.  It offers a minimum cost transition procedure with
little disruption of normal operations.  It is most appropriate for
maintaining already achieved air quality standards in that major,
drastic steps would not normally be required.
     The two example applications of phaseout fulfill these criteria.
Emissions from domestic oil burners of inefficient design are excessive;
many modern designs have much lower emission rates, but are not any more
expensive than alternative new heating units.  The effectiveness of the
measure also depends on the deterioration rate of the replacement.  A
low maintenance oil burner should be designed and built for perhaps a 15-
year operation within specified performance limits.   EPA is presently
funding development projects for such equipment.  The replacement equipment
does not have to be specified in the regulation, and  probably should not
be unless it is mandatory that a particular replacement technology be
employed.  However, unless proven alternatives do exist, any phaseout
regulation will probably encounter considerable opposition.
     Similar comments are valid for  the phaseout of on-site inciner-
ators.  They can be eliminated from  new construction  by law.  Their
function can be handled  by conventional community garbage/trash  collec-
tion and disposal  services,  possibly including use of refuse compactors
in some buildings.
                                 111-15

-------
          c.   Potential Conflicts.   Agreement as to when phaseout of a
specific source is desirable will  not be universal.   The optimum tech-
nology may not be as debatable as  the evaluation of the desirability or
need to take steps to switch to it.   The economic value of any given
phaseout is difficult to quantify  when key benefits center around
improved air quality.
     The most important negative environmental impact is the time lag
inherent in this control measure.   Phaseout does not have immediate
impact on the maintenance of air quality.   Rather, it is a long-range
control measure that with proper planning  yields long-term benefits in
air quality.
          d.   Practical Limitations
               1)   Social acceptability.   Well-conceived timed replace-
ment programs have always been well  received by the public, who readily
perceive these actions as progress.   Public hearings on proposed phase-
outs and careful presentation of the impact on air quality will continue
to be requisite for public acceptance and  the enactment of appropriate
regulations.
     The current petroleum shortage makes  phaseout of oil burners socially
acceptable.  Reserving fuel oil for uses other than space heating would
be accepted by society today as a  desirable long-term goal from an energy
allocation viewpoint.  Obviously,  an alternate source of heat must be pro-
vided for, such as natural gas, electricity, or gas made from coal.
               2)   Economic feasibility.   A major attraction of this
measure is that it makes otherwise uneconomic modifications and tran-
sitions economically feasible.  One simply does not scrap all automobiles
without emission controls.  By phasing out such vehicles, the same result
is eventually accomplished.  The phaseout now underway in the automobile
industry causes no disruption to the consumer.  Similarly with oil
burners and on-site incinerators,  a timely phaseout will be economically
acceptable and will prevent more drastic measures from being needed later.
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
          a.   Ability of Measure to Maintain Standards.  The impacts of
phaseout and prohibition are dependent on the percentage contribution of
emissions from the affected source category and the emission rate of the
equipment that replaces the obsolete or prohibited equipment.  For
                                111-16

-------
example, a source category that contributes  5  percent of emissions may
be totally eliminated by phaseout of equipment over a 10-year  period  and
replaced by other sources that contribute only 1  percent of base-year
emissions.  In this case, the measure would  cause a 4 percent  reduction
in total emissions.  Generally, these will be  area source categories, so
their impact on air quality may be even greater than their relative
contribution to total emissions in a problem area.
     Due to the attrition period normally associated with this mea-
sure, its full effect would be spaced over the phaseout period.   This
long-term, continuing emission reduction is  consistent with the intent
and needs of maintenance measures.
          b.   Relative Efficiency When Compared to Other Measures.   If
the measure is capable of providing a significant part, or all of,  the
necessary emission reductions to offset projected growth according  to
emission inventory calculations, it should certainly be considered  in
the evaluation process.  Identification of candidate source categories
for phaseout or prohibition should be on a local  basis.

D.   FUEL CONVERSION
     1.   Definition of Measure
          The discussion in this section is  limited to processes whereby
one fuel is converted to another form that has a lower pollutant emis-
sion rate per Btu.  Fuel switching by individual  sources, the  ultimate
result on a regional level of increased availability of cleaner fuels
from fuel conversion processes, is described in Ch. Ill Section E,
Energy Conservation and Utilization.  Processes in which fuels are
converted directly to thermal, electrical, or kinetic energy are not
considered here.  Some of the conversion processes currently of in-
terest—most of which involve coal conversion—are:
     •   Coal gasification
     •   Coal liquefaction
     •   Coal desulfurization
     •   Oil desulfurization
Additional processes may become prominent within the initial 10-year  air
quality maintenance planning period or thereafter.
                                  111-17

-------
     Most of the fuel conversion plants to be built in the United States
will probably be located outside AQMA's.  Therefore, the fuel conversion
process itself is not really an air quality maintenance measure within
the jurisdiction of the AQMA, although the maintenance area will benefit
by using the converted fuel.  In effect, a remote fuel conversion process
will enable an AQMA to benefit from fuel substitution measures.
     It is likely that the coal and oil companies will be the owners of
most fuel conversion plants that may be built, but present coal con-
sumers such as electric utilities may build the plants to ensure a clean
fuel supply for themselves.  It is also possible that some other sector
of private industry will invest in such plants.
     For power plants, fuel conversion serves mainly as an alternative
to flue gas desulfurization.  It was recently reported (ref.  4) that
about 30 percent of projected coal-fired generating capacity will need
flue gas desulfurization systems by 1980 to meet emission standards.
Since coal conversion plants will probably not be available commercially
on a significant scale before 1985, timing requirements alone will
probably dictate much more widespread use of flue gas desulfurization
techniques than fuel conversion.
     2.   Historical Review of the Measure
          a.    Current Application.  At the present time, fuel con-
version processes are being employed commercially to a limited extent,
especially in Europe.  Some of the approaches that are presently being
considered and the status of development for each approach are discussed
briefly below.
               1)   Coal gasification.  Two modes are under consider-
ation at the present time; low Btu gas for utility use and high Btu gas
to supplement natural gas for pipeline use.
     Commercial coal gasification processes such as the Lurgi and
Koppers processes for the production of low Btu gas are available, but
no such plant has been constructed in this country to produce gas for
electric utility use.  Because of the loss of sensible heat necessary
for gas cleaning, overall thermal efficiency for a single-cycle plant is
20 to 25 percent lower than for a conventional coal-fired plant.  How-
ever, if the thermal content of the gas is recovered and if a combination
                                111-18

-------
cycle utilizing a steam turbine and a gas turbine is employed, it may be
possible to obtain 20 to 50 percent more electric power from a ton of
coal than in a conventional coal-fired power plant.   At the present
time, certain technological problems remain.  High temperature gas
cleaning methods and reliable high temperature gas turbines must be
further developed (ref. 5).  In addition, lead times on the order of 5
years are required to design and construct a gasification plant after a
large supply of coal is committed for use.  The effects of such a plant
could not begin to be realized within an AQMA until  the early 1980's
even if coal gasification commitments were made immediately.  It is
estimated that gas costs would be on the order of $1.00 to $1.80 per million
Btu's (ref. 5).  This relatively high cost seems to make the process
unattractive; however, costs of other competitive fuels are also rising
rapidly.
     High Btu gas production to supplement pipeline nature gas can
affect air quality maintenance in an AQMA only insofar as the gas supply
in the area could not otherwise be sustained or increased.  It does not
appear likely that such gas will be available in sufficient quantity to
permit switching from other fuels until  after 1985.   At best, the  •
substitute gas may prevent additional industrial switching to dirtier
fuels.  Present estimated high Btu gas costs range from $1.00 to $2.00
per million Btu's.  El Paso Natural Gas  Co. has a $270 million plant
under construction in New Mexico, due for completion in 1976, so the
process may be considered to be commercially available.
               2)   Coal liquefaction.  Processes are now on a pilot or
laboratory scale only.  It is not expected that technology will be
available for commercial use before 1980 and will not make a significant
impact on the availability of clean fuel until after 1985.
               3)   Coal desulfurization.  Coal cleaning methods are
available and are widely used to reduce  the sulfur content of coal.
Potential results vary considerably with coal characteristics.  For
example, a coal washability study by EPA (ref. 6) indicated that a group
of coals ranging between 0.6 and 4.4 percent sulfur could be cleaned to
obtain sulfur reductions between 4.5 and 68.1 percent.  Btu yields
ranged from 91.3 to 99.6 percent of that for the unwashed coal.
                                 111-19

-------
About 3 percent of the heat content of the coal  would be lost in the
washing process.  Coal cleaning costs, not including value of cost lost
in washing, were between $1.00 and $2.00 per ton.   In general, it is not
feasible to clean coal having less than 1  percent  sulfur.   Cleaning also
reduces fly ash emissions for a given furnace and  electrostatic precipitator.
     Deep cleaning methods for coal are now in the pilot plant stage of
development.  One process produces solvent-refined coal  either in
liquid or solid form.  It is estimated that the process  can yield low
sulfur fuel at a cost of 81tf per million Btu (ref. 5).   Commercial
technology is expected to be available sometime after 1980.
          b.   Effect of the Measure in Current Applications.  Since the
various fuel conversion techniques are generally not in  commercial use,
the effectiveness of the techniques cannot be determined.   The potential
effectiveness of fuel conversion on AQMA air quality is  discussed later
in this section.
     3.   Implementation
          a.   Procedure.  Fuel conversion measures generally cannot be
implemented on a local level by.a control  agency.   Stringent regulatory
requirements on allowable fuel characteristics or emission rates may
lead indirectly to the practice, but it still must be justifiable
economically in comparison with the use of acceptable natural fuels or
emission control systems before it would be undertaken.   Thus, an AQMA
may be able to take credit for the increased availability of cleaner
fuels resulting from a fuel conversion facility, but those responsible
for air quality maintenance cannot influence that availability signif-
icantly without major subsidization.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.  This measure has its maximum
potential in areas where the consumption of coal and heavy fuel oils is
high, and where fuel combustion emissions from area sources are signifi-
cant.  However, since the measure will not be available for several years,
applicability is also limited to areas where the control measure  is not
needed in the near future.
          c.    Interaction With Other Measures.  The effect of this
measure in  relation  to other maintenance measures is to provide a  larger
supply of clean-burning  fuels to an AQMA at prices competitive with
                                 111-20

-------
existing supplies.  Therefore, negative interactions are not expected.
Some administrative measures, such as emission density zoning, may be
assisted by the availability of synthetic clean fuels from fuel conversion.
          d.   Potential Conflicts With Community Development Plans.
Fuel conversion would act to supplement clean fuel supplies, so it is
not expected to conflict with community development plans.  This measure
would be implemented by the companies and utilities who must plan for
and provide the fuels, so their operations would not be adversely
affected.
          e.   Practical Limitations.
               1)   Social acceptability.  Overall public reaction is
expected to be favorable since these processes provide a new supply of
fuels that are presently being rapidly depleted.  Negative aspects would
probably be relative to the locations of the conversion facilities,
which in this discussion are assumed to be outside the AQMA.
               2)   Economic feasibility.  Cost estimates show that
these processes are not currently economically competitive with naturally
occurring gaseous fuels.  However, increasing fuel prices will alter the
situation in the future, especially as natural gas and oil prices increase.
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
          a.   Ability to Maintain Standards.  This measure has a low
potential for maintaining standards for two reasons:
     •   The planning and control agencies have no power to require
fuel conversion, nor to specify the amount or type of clean fuels to be
produced; also,
     •   If a supply of converted fuel is made available in a metro-
politan area, mechanisms may not be readily available to allocate this
cleaner fuel to areas within an AQMA where it would be of most benefit
for air quality maintenance.  This is because the distributor, presumably
the natural gas utility in this case, has established procedures and
criteria for accepting new customers and installations.  The addition
of customer location to the list of criteria would require active partici-
pation  of the utility in the maintenance effort and approval of the
appropriate State regulatory commission.  Even if these two requirements
were fulfilled, the allocation scheme still may be subject to challenge
by rejected applicants.
                                111-21

-------
     Coal cleaning will  probably find only limited additional  appli-
cations because washed coals are not capable of meeting S02 emission
regulations in many jurisdictions.   For example, Ohio regulations re-
quire emission rates of 1.0 to 3.2  lb/106 Btu of S02 after 1978 for
combustion sources greater than one million Btu/hour input, limits
generally unattainable with just coal washing.
          b.   Relative Efficiency  of the Measure.  Based on the non-
availability of fuel conversion processes on a significant scale within
the initial 10-year planning period, fuel conversion cannot be relied upon
to provide clean fuel in this time  frame.  The longer term applications
of these processes are, however, almost unlimited, especially in view of
the recent increased emphasis on fuels research.
     Fuel conversion, as industrial process, may have direct
impact on air quality within an AQMA.  Economics normally dictates that
the conversion process take place at the source of coal, oil shale, or
other new material.  The buildup associated with the plant and the
plan itself may generate emissions that could threaten NAAQS in areas
where present air quality is much better than secondary standards.
Many of  these remote areas  have been AQMA proposed as Natural Resource
Development Areas in the AQMA designation process.

E.   ENERGY CONSERVATION AND UTILIZATION
     1.    Definition of Control Measure
           Optimum use of fuel and energy resources to reduce air pollution
emissions  encompasses both  energy conservation and the redistribution of
currently  available  fuels to combustion  sources.  Conservation measures
are aimed  at  the  reduction  of energy demands  through more efficient  use
of energy,  as for example,  better  insulation  of buildings to reduce
thermal  losses.   A  reduction in energy requirements will decrease  the
quantity of fuels used by combustion sources, thereby  reducing the
emissions  of  pollutants to  the  atmosphere.  A fuels  redistribution
policy  is  not intended to reduce the total  quantity  of fuel used  by
combustion sources,  but rather  to  reduce the  pollutant emissions  directly
through the use of  emission control  devices.  This  can be  accomplished
through the use of  incentives whereby  those combustion sources for which
                                 111-22

-------
control  devices are readily available are encouraged  to  use  so-called
dirty fuels.   Clean fuels are directed to those sources  for  which  control
devices are either not available or are economically  impractical.
     Specific measures which may be considered in the development  of an
overall  energy utilization measure are listed below.   This  list should
not be considered to be exhaustive, as additional measures may be
appropriate for a specific AQMA.
     Energy Conservation Measures
     •  Revision of building codes to reduce thermal  loss
     •  Reduction of heating and cooling requirements
     •  Greater use of multiple family structures
     •  Energy conservation in industrial processes
     •  Revised scheduling of industrial activities
     •  Vehicle use restraints
     •  Fuel consumption restrictions on new vehicles
     Fuels Redistribution Measures
     •  Incentives to change fuel type
     •  Prohibition of specific fuels
     2.   Historical Review
          a.   Current Applications.  Energy utilization measures have
had only minor consideration in the development  of strategies for achieving
and maintaining air quality  standards.   Prior  to the energy
crisis, the  proposed method  of meeting emission  regulations for many
large combustion  sources was a  switch to low sulfur fuel oil or natural
gas.  Many control agencies  even  adopted regulations prohibiting the  use
of fuels with  sulfur content in excess of specified values.  For ex-
ample,  the District of Columbia Air Quality Control Regulation Section
8, par. 2-704  prohibits  the  burning of fuel oil  having  greater than one
percent sulfur by weight.  After  July  1, 1975,  the D. C. regulation will
reduce  the allowable sulfur  content  in fuel oil  to 0.5  percent.   Because
of the  energy  crisis,  there  is  some  doubt as  to  the  feasibility of
enforcing  this regulation  upon  users  of  large  quantities of fuel.
      Energy  conservation measures have come  into sharp  focus as the full
 impact  of  the  energy  crisis  has been  realized.   In this context,  con-
 servation  has  meaning  as a means  of  satisfying energy requirements  in
 the  face of  reduced fuel  supplies.   The  Nation has been asked  to  reduce
                                 111-23

-------
 its  fuel  usage  through  lower indoor temperatures during the heating
 season  and  higher temperatures during the summer months when air con-
 ditioners are being used.  Additionally, the public has been requested
 to reduce the consumption of electricity, especially for ornamental
 lighting.   The  higher costs of energy are forcing industrial users to
 search  for  production methods with lower energy requirements and to
 evaluate  the economics  of reclaiming energy presently being wasted.
 Finally,  by law, drivers of motor vehicles have been required to reduce
 driving speeds  as a means of conserving fuel.
     Prior  to the energy crisis, a proposal to practice energy con-
 servation as a  means of maintaining air quality standards would have
 been viewed with disfavor by the public.  As a result of recent sen-
 sitivity, the public reaction to conservation should be much more
 favorable.  It  is now apparent that the quality of life need not be
 adversely affected when energy demands are lowered.
          b.    Effectiveness of the Measure.  Because energy utilization
 measures  have not been  adopted by control agencies, there is little
 information upon which  effectiveness can be evaluated.   There is some
 limited information available regarding the effectiveness of some of the
 individual  measures previously identified (refs. 7-10).
     *  Revision of building codes to reduce thermal  loss.   At the
 present time some electric utilities provide rate incentives for elec-
 trically heated homes that comply with recommended thermal  insulation
 requirements.   The National  Conference of States on Building Codes and
 Standards has recently drafted a model code emphasizing construction
 that results in reduced energy consumption throughout the life of the
 building.  At least one prototype office building has been  constructed
 to demonstrate a 20 percent reduction in energy consumption in com-
 parison with typical  modern buildings.
     •   Reduction of heating and cooling requirements.   Information
made available by the Federal  Energy Office indicates a  3 to 6 percent
 savings in  heating fuel  requirements for each one degree of reduction in
 indoor temperature during the winter months.   Similarly, a  one degree
 increase in temperature during the summer months will  result in approxi-
mately a 4 percent savings of electricity for air conditioning.
                                111-24

-------
The inclusion of energy conservation measures, such as insulation and storm
windows, as mandatory measures in building walls would result in a
reduction of energy required heating and cooling.  These measures could
be made applicable to existing structures by requiring their application
during major modification of the structure.
     •  Greater use of multiple family structures.   The goal of many
Americans has always been to own their own individual  home.  From a
standpoint of energy conservation, this type of construction is least
efficient due to the thermal loss from all four walls, the floor and
roof.  The use of housing structures with common walls reduces energy
requirements by approximately 5 percent for dwellings with a single
common wall and up to 40 percent for comparable-sized housing units in
large apartment buildings.  The enactment of a preferred personal
property tax for multiple family structures is one incentive for greater
use of this mode of housing.
     •  Energy conservation in industrial processes.  Many energy
conservation and recovery techniques for industry are described in the
following section, "Combination of Emission Sources,"  as applications of
total energy systems.
     •  Revised scheduling of industrial activities.  Electrical power
generating facilities are designed to meet the demand for electricity as
it occurs.  In many areas, there are generating plants used for base
load and others used for peak loads.  In some instances, the peak load
plants are older units that have been consigned to such duty because of
their higher pollutant emission characteristics.  Peak load plants are
often in the core area while baseload plants are in isolated areas.  It
may be possible to reduce some of the peak load requirement by scheduling
industrial operations with large electrical demands at off  peak hours,
thereby reducing emissions in urban areas.  The net effect  upon air
quality resulting from such actions must be determined on a case-by-case
basis.
      •  Vehicle use restraints.  The net reduction in vehicular emis-
sions resulting from various use restraints are discussed  in chapter II,
section E,"Transportation Controls."
      •  Fuel consumption restrictions on new vehicles.  Minimum gasoline
mileage requirements for new motor vehicles on cursory examination appear
                                 111-25

-------
to provide an additional reduction in average vehicle emission rates
beyond the FMVCP, due to the combustion of less gasoline per mile of
travel.  However, the Federal certification test results for the 1974
model year vehicles, published in 39 CFR 7663, indicate that vehicles
that are more efficient in gasoline usage do not produce significantly
lower emissions of hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide, or oxides of nitrogen
than vehicles with high gasoline consumption rates.  Therefore, it is
doubtful whether this particular energy conservation program will have
corresponding emissions reductions.
     •   Incentives to change fuel types.  Conceptually, it should be
possible to provide an incentive of some type to encourage some fuel
combustion sources to change fuels.  Ideally, the plan would be to burn
dirty fuels in large sources for which control hardware is feasible.
This, in turn, would allow the smaller and more numerous sources to burn
clean fuels.   The incentive, in the form of a tax break, would then help
to offset the added cost of control hardware.  Because of contractual
arrangements  with fuel suppliers and the tremendous costs that would be
entailed in establishing meaningful incentives, in many cases it is not
advisable for State and local pollution control agencies to become involved
with this problem.  The application of stringent emission limitations on
small sources could provide an incentive for use of clean fuel by making
it less costly than the installation of emission control equipment.
Conversely, the selective application of a tax on clean fuel used in large
units would provide an incentive for the use of emission controls, thereby
releasing the cleaner fuel  for use elsewhere.
     •  Prohibition of specific fuels.  The prohibition of specific
fuels is now a part of some control agency regulations.  The effective-
ness of such regulations must be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.
Dispersion modeling and rollback methods can be used to determine air
quality resulting from changing emissions of point and area sources.
     3.   Implementation
          In this period of rising fuel costs, which will certainly persist
into the foreseeable future, the control agency can expect great assistance
from the populace for an energy utilization policy.  In the short run,
energy conservation through reduced heating and cooling demands can be
                                 111-26

-------
nurtured by an active public relations campaign.   A program designed  to
keep the public aware of the savings in fuel  cost by the proper control
of indoor temperatures should suffice.  Compulsory energy conservation
programs for air quality maintenance have not yet been proposed.
     The implementation of energy utilization measures beyond that described in
the preceding paragraph requires the air pollution control  agency to
depend heavily upon other governmental and official planning agencies.
Revision of building codes obviously requires an effort upon the Build-
ing Inspection group to modify existing codes.  A move toward the con-
struction of multiple family structures with common walls requires
cooperation with community planners, builders' associations, and real
estate brokers associations.  To effect revisions of industrial activ-
ities requires the support of Trade Associations, Chamber of Commerce,
Electric Utility Companies, and the affected industries.
          a.   Conditions of Applicability.  Energy utilization measures
should be directly applicable to any AQMA.  Certainly,  the driving force,
especially  relative  to conservation, will be from  the users of  energy
who are being  required to pay continually increasing costs for  energy.
          b.   Interactions with Other Measures.   This  measure  does not
have a significant interaction with most other maintenance measures.
The one exception being  that the concept of greater use of multiple-
family units must be incorporated  into community development plans.
           c.   Potential Conflicts with Community  Development  Plans.
Energy utilization measures are not clearly  in the domain of a  single
regulatory  agency.   It is not clear that such measures  will  be  regulated
by a single authority in the future.   On the assumption that energy
utilization measures will be controlled by more  than  one jurisdictional
body, it  is inevitable that conflicting aims of  these bodies will  create
regulatory  difficulties.  On a  national level, it  is  obvious that  the
aims of the Environmental Protection  Agency,  the  Federal Energy Office,
the Department of Agriculture,  the  Labor Department,  and other departments
have interests that  would affect energy utilization policies in dif-
ferent ways.   On a regional level,  diverse counterpart  agencies will
also have particular self-serving  interests  that may  not be  entirely
compatible.
                                 111-27

-------
           d.   Practical Limitations.
               1)  Social Acceptability.  A commitment to energy conservation
efforts will probably be received well by the general public.  Such a policy
will tend  to hold costs down and will impose no particular burden on the
general public as long as the policy does not result in a deterioration
of the quality of life.
     Voluntary commitments to energy conservation by the public will
probably also be received well, as long as the commitments do not
significantly affect the living conditions to which an individual is
accustomed.  The least acceptable strategies will probably be those that
commit the public to an austerity measure on a regulatory basis, but
such strategies will likely be the ones that yield the greatest benefit.
               2)   Economic Feasibility.  These activities must be evaluated
on a case-by-case basis.  Some approaches may be adopted voluntarily
because the approaches are feasible.  Others may be nearly impossible to
implement  because they are inherently uneconomic, and because the
environmental returns cannot be predicted with sufficient reliability to
justify economic investment that might be necessary.
     4.    Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
          a.   Ability of Measure to Maintain Standards.  The activities
that may be viable in this measure will  each probably have small capa-
bilities in themselves.  It is, therefore, doubtful  that the measure can
generally be used by itself to maintain standards.  In most successful
applications, several measures will  have to be used collectively.
     The ability of enery conservation measures to reduce emissions is
dependent on the specific nature of the measure.  However, the following
general model can be used to estimate the emission potential  of energy
utilization measures.
          For Fuel  Redistribution Measures
          Potential  Emission Reduction = [E   - E.][Btu]
                                           a     D
          Where:
               Efl =  Controlled emission  rate per 10  Btu heat input
                    under existing conditions
               Eb =  Controlled emission  rate per 10  Btu heat input
                    under changed conditions
              Btu =  Energy requirements  (10  Btu)  for the time frame
                    under consideration

                                111-28

-------
          For Energy Conservation Measures
          Potential  Emission Reduction = E[Btua - Btub]
          Where
               E = Controlled emission rate per 10  Btu
            Btu  = Energy requirements (10  Btu) under existing
               a
                   conditions for time frame under consideration
            Btu,  = Energy requirements (10  Btu) under control
                   measure for the time frame under consideration
     Data available within the State can serve as a source of infor-
mation for determining emission rates.  Design specifications may also
provide such information.  Should these sources not be adequate, emission
rates can be estimated using data in AP-42 and actual or expected ef-
ficiency of the control equipment.
     For fuel redistribution measures, total energy requirements can be
obtained from NEDS, local fuel consumption records, or from the facility
itself.  For energy conservation measures existing, total energy re-
quirements can be obtained from the sources listed above.  Engineering
estimates can generate the energy requirements under the energy re-
distribution measures.
          b.   The various activities within this measure may be cost-
effective in terms of pollution control.  The magnitude of the reduction
will be dependent on the contribution to the total emission inventory
by the source categories to which this measure is applied.
F.   COMBINATION OF EMISSION SOURCES
     1.   Definition
          The underlying assumption of the combination of emission sources
(CES) measure is that it may be beneficial from an air pollution view-
point to combine a large number of small  uncontrolled emission sources
into one large, well-regulated, and well-monitored emission source,
emitting from a taller stack.  Such combinations not only result in
better emission control but also simplify enforcement as well.  Com-
bination of emission sources may produce  an economic advantage because
of the increased efficiency that usually  results from economies of
scale.  As a part of sound air quality management, however, it must
result in a net emissions reduction of pollutants into the atmosphere.

                                 111-29

-------
     Two applications of this measure are emphasized in this section:
a) district heating, and  b) district incineration.  These applications
are complementary in that the facility used to provide one service may
also provide the other; e.g., a district power plant can be built that
furnishes heat, hot water, and electricity to a neighborhood and at the
same time uses the solid waste of that neighborhood as part of the fuel
charge to generate these consumable energies.  This combination of
emission sources involves dissimilar types of sources (power generation
emissions and solid waste disposal emissions).  A more conventional com-
bination of sources involves the replacement of a large number of
similar sources by a single source of the same generic type.  This plan
is less attractive when applied to home heating, as will become evident.
It is not until the properties of a total energy power plant combination
are considered that the air pollution advantages of this measure become
compelling.
     As might be expected, the optimum strategy often depends upon
independent assumptions.  For example, if natural gas is assumed to be
readily available to meet the requirements for most urban residential/
commercial growth, the concept of district heating is not nearly as
attractive as if coal must play a significant role.  A brief discussion
of existing residential/commercial sources puts the problem in a re-
alistic perspective.
     In 1970, stationary combustion accounted for significant fractions
of total particulates («*25 percent), sulfur oxides («80 percent), and
nitrogen oxides (~45 percent).  Carbon monoxide (»0.06 percent) and
hydrocarbons H-6 percent) emissions from stationary combustion sources
were relatively insignificant as a fraction of nationwide totals (ref. n)
Reducing the carbon monoxide or total  hydrocarbon output from station-
ary sources would have very small  impact on total  air quality.
Consequently, any strategy for reducing emissions from stationary
sources must pay off in improved air quality with respect to partic-
ulates, SCL or NO .
          c.      x
     Particulate emissions from stationary sources are classified
according to fuel type (coal, oil, or gas) and source category (electric
utility, industrial, or residential/commercial).  The CES measure
applies primarily to the residential/commercial source of emissions,
since electric utilities and industrial  sources already consist of
                                 111-30

-------
large, centralized power stations.   Further combinations  or central-
ization of these sources are not the objectives  of this measure,  al-
though such combinations may be economically very attractive as well  as
beneficial to air quality.   It is primarily the  combination of various
fossil fuel combustion sources in the residential/commercial sector that
will be emphasized.
     Particulate emissions  from the residential/commercial  sector con-
stitute about 8 percent of  the nationwide particulate emissions.   Of this
small fraction, coal  contributes about 59 percent (oil,  29  percent; gas,
12 percent) but, at the same time, furnishes only about  3.5 percent of  the
total energy needs of the residential/commercial sector  (oil, 44  per-
cent; gas, 52.5 percent)(ref. 12).  Clearly, coal is a dirty fuel and gas
is a clean fuel.  Replacing all coal burners with natural gas would be  a
most effective measure for  reducing particulate  emissions from sta-
tionary sources.
     In 1970, the total energy generated by stationary sources was
approximately 3.45 x 10   Btu's.  Coal accounted for only about a fourth
of this energy but about 93 percent of the particulate emissions.  Re-
placing all coal combustion processes with natural gas combustion would
have reduced total particulate emissions in 1970 to about 617,000 tons,
or less than 10 percent of their actual value.  If all stationary combustion
processes used only natural gas (replace both coal and oil  with natural
gas), the total particulates emitted in 1970 by  stationary sources would
have been about 334,000 tons or about 5 percent  of what they actually
were.  A more effective control measure is hard  to imagine.  But it is
also hard to imagine a measure less likely to be implemented.
     Natural gas  is  growing  less plentiful  in comparison with the  de-
mand.  Gas suppliers are now  declining to  accept  new  customers in
certain parts of  the country.   Utilities are  switching from either
natural gas or oil to  coal.   Fuel  availability  dictates  such  conver-
sions, but these  switches may have an  adverse effect  on  air quality,
unless accompanied by  suitable  process control.
     Comparison of S09  and NO  emissions from the  three  fuel  sources
                     £        A
also shows coal to be  the greatest polluter.    It  is  not likely  that air
quality would be  improved by  replacing domestic  natural  gas-fired
furnaces with centralized coal-burning power  plants.  Indeed, quite  the
                                111-31

-------
reverse is true.   Even with  the  best controlled  combustion  processes  and
state-of-the-art  effluent scrubbing, the total emissions  would  be  in-
creased by such a change in  equipment.
     Switching from a large  number of individual  residential  gas
furnaces to a single source  of power, burning  that  same gas,  does  not
produce a significant change in  SCL or particulates emitted,  while the
NO  would be increased by up to  an order of magnitude  because of  the
  A
higher temperatures employed in  the larger combustion  unit.
     The same general conclusions  apply to replacing individual oil
furnaces by either a central  or  coal-fired power station  or a central
oil-fired station.  Simply combining a large number of small, individual
residence space heaters into one large, centralized district  furnace  is
not necessarily an attractive measure based upon simple combustion/
pollutant considerations.  This  conclusion can be changed,  however, if
the combination of sources is such as to improve the overall  efficiency
of fuel utilization.  This concept, called total  energy utilization,
reduces air pollution by tetter  utilizing the  energy content  of fuels so
that less total fuel has to  be combusted.  Consider the utilization of
waste heat during the generation of electirc power.  Most power plants
generating electricity from fossil fuels do so at an efficiency of about
30 percent—typically 30 percent of the energy content of the combusted
fuels leaves the  generating  station as kilowatthours.  One  large  source
of lost energy is waste heat discharged into the atmosphere or  cooling
water.  In the total energy concept, a significant  portion  of this waste
heat is used to heat the water and living spaces of the same  community
that uses the electricity.
     This total energy concept is  the application of the  measure  that
appears most promising for the district heating/cooling of  residential/
commercial areas  and is the version of source  combination recommended
here.  Similar CES measures  apply to many industrial situations but
these are too varied and specialized to be considered in  any  detail.
     A conventional electric utility operates  at an efficiency  of up  to
39.2 percent (this efficiency is the highest reported, being  attributed
to Marshall Unit  No. 3 of Duke Power Company,  Marshall,  N.C., ref. 10).
Nevertheless, when transmission losses are also  included, the net energy
delivered to the  customer corresponds to 36,400  Btu's equivalent  elec-
trical energy for 100,000 Btu's of fuel consumed.
                                111-32

-------
     In the total energy system, the power plant is located in the
neighborhood that utilizes its output and delivers both electricity and
steam, the latter being used for both space heating/cooling and hot
water heating.  This double duty achieves an impressive gain in ef-
ficiency of fuel utilization as represented by the 77 percent efficiency
estimate.  The waste heat from power generation, if fully utilized, is
even now more than sufficient to heat every home in America (ref. 14).
     This maintenance measure achieves an impressive gain in efficiency
by moving the power plant into the neighborhood so that normally wasted
heat can be substituted for individual home space and water heating and
cooling.  At the same time, air quality considerations dictate that the
fuel used to fire the neighborhood power plant have low emissions.  The
reduction in air pollution comes about not because of greatly reduced
emitted pollutants per unit quantity of fossil fuel consumed but pri-
marily because of the reduced total fuel requirements of the neighborhood
which in turn corresponds to reduced total  pollutants.
     Another very desirable feature of a total energy power plant is
design of the combustion chamber so that it can accept at least part of
the solid waste of the community as part of its fuel charge.
     2.   Current Applications
          The CES measure is becoming more popular because it conserves
energy, reduces costs, and reduces total emissions.  Numerous illus-
trations of CES in practice now exist.  They range in size and scope
from industrial applications involving one or two companies to large
area residential applications involving a large number of apartment
dwellings or even a whole city.  Some examples of each are reviewed in
this section.
     Perhaps the simplest implementation of the CES measure is the
relatively common industrial application in which an extraction turbine,
used to generate plant electricity, is also used to furnish low pressure
steam for in-plant use.   High pressure steam is generated in a boiler
which drives the turbine.  Low pressure steam is bled off or extracted
and circulated through the plant distribution system for use in indus-
trial processes or space heating.
     This measure is widely used in industry and has evolved into coop-
erative ventures between separate companies such as a steam user and an
                                 111-33

-------
electric utility.  By locating the separately owned and operated steam
generating and steam-using facilities adjacent to each other, the waste
of one industry becomes an input to the other.
     The economic benefits that occur from a total energy facility can
be illustrated by comparing the overall fuel use efficiency of such a
plant with that of a conventional steam-electrical plant.  Standard Oil
of Kentucky operates a steam generating plant at Pascagoula, Miss.,
which in addition to providing electricity to the Mississippi power grid
also supplies steam to the refinery.  Overall efficiency, in terms of
utilization of energy input, is 61.5 percent.  This is compared with the
Gulfport plant of Mississippi Power Company which has an overall
efficiency of 27.6 percent operating in the conventional mode.
     Many examples of similar utility-industry partnerships exist, but
many more industrial opportunities could be developed to take advantage
of this largely wasted energy source.  Any industrial process using high
temperatures is a potential candidate for the CES measure.
     A technique still being developed by the power generating industry
is the use of a combined gas turbine/steam turbine generator in which the
exhaust gas of the former serves as the primary or sole heat source for the
latter.  Conventional steam generators use fossil fuel to generate steam
which in turn drives a turbine to generate electricity.  In a gas tur-
bine, the expanding, burning fuel serves as the primary driving fluid
for the turbine (lilce a jet aircraft engine).  The exhaust gases of the
gas turbine exit at very high temperatures and can be used to heat water
for steam.  This two-stage combination Cboth the gas turbine and the
steam turbine generate electricity) operates at efficiencies exceeding
50 percent, a significant  improvement over either one alone.
     In most potential applications of waste heat, the temperature of
the exhaust fluid from a generator that is most useful in industrial or
even residential/commercial applications is not that which corresponds
to the most efficient power plant operation.  Steam or hot water gen-
erally must be drawn off at a higher exhaust temperature than would be
chosen for highest generating efficiency alone.
     Use of power plant heat in district heating of residential/com-
mercial living space is also currently operative.  Consolidated Edison
                                111-34

-------
supplies Manhattan with a peak of about 3,000 MW of heat, a major
portion of which is obtained from extraction and back-pressure turbines.
Hospitals, university complexes, and military/government installations
have employed central/ district heating concepts for years.
     The total energy concept to be described here as an optimal CES
measure is an updated version of centralized district heating for the
residential/commercial user.  As the name implies, total energy plants
furnish all required energy to their customers.  The prime justifica-
tion for such a scheme is still economic, but there are significant
secondary advantages, including reduced air pollution.
     Union Electric Company in St. Louis now consumes 300 tons of solid
waste per day with which it generates 12.5 MW (ref. 15).  This facility
has been in operation since May 1972.  The process mixes residential
solid wastes with pulverized coal to generate electricity.  The only
refuse processing is the removal of magnetic metals and the pulverizing
of the remainder in a hammermill.  The milled refuse has a heat content
of roughly 5,000 Btu's/lb., about 40 percent that of good quality bitu-
minous coal.
     The combination of solid waste fuel with a district heating/cooling
power plant should be in operation in Nashville, Tenn., in early 1974.
This project is designed to provide central heating and air conditioning
to 27 office buildings in downtown Nashville and has the capability to
service 16 more buildings should initial results warrant expansion.
     Tokyo plans disposal facilities that will  use garbage to provide
heat and hot water for homes near the incinerating facility.   Paris now
operates steam-electric plants with an annual charge of 1,600,000 tons
of garbage.  Both electricity and steam are thereby generated in in-
cinerators equipped with pollution controls.
     On the industrial front, Goodyear Tire and Rubber has developed a
boiler that utilizes old tires for fuel.
     The advantages of using solid waste as a direct fuel  are that two
significant emission sources can be controlled  in one facility, and refuse
is a low sulfur fuel.   Solid waste disposal is  a major source of air
pollution.   By incinerating it in a we11-monitored power plant, its
emissions can be limited, and at the same time  the total fresh fuel
requirements of the community can be reduced.  The total energy version
                                111-35

-------
of CES is economically advantageous not only in fuel  costs but also in
reducing the disposal costs of solid wastes.  Transportation of solid
waste to distant disposal points is costly.   Using it on-site or in the
neighborhood in which it is generated greatly reduces these moving costs
and reduces emissions that would result from the transportation of solid
waste to remote disposal areas.
     3.   Implementation
          a.   Procedure.  The CES measure is primarily a feature to be
incorporated into new urban development.  Since heat  distribution re-
quires the installation of either buried or  overhead  high-pressure
plumbing as well as compatibility with fixtures in the individual resi-
dence, retrofitting existing neighborhoods is prohibitive.  For new
construction, however, it is quite easy to incorporate the plumbing and
compatible fixtures into each residence or separate structure as it is being
built.  The necessary outside plumbing can be installed along with conven-
tional water and sewer service.   In certain  areas the existence of a
district power plant may be planned as a future facility, but all new
construction could be required to incorporate the necessary tap-on lines
and compatible distributing equipment.  For  the time  period prior to the
availability of central power, the space heating/cooling requirements
can be met by the conventional gas or electric equipment now used in
individual residences.
     Coal-fired power generators should be restricted to remote sites.
Again, the waste heat should be  used in conjunction with industrial
processes that are also located  remotely.  A very acceptable arrangement
would be to locate the coal-fired generator  at the mouth of a coal mine
and utilize the byproduct heat as process  energy for  coal gasification--
the production of synthetic gas  which can  be piped to urban areas for
use in total energy power plants.
     A guiding rule for the CES  measure is that no future power gen-
erating equipment should be constructed without either utilizing its
"waste" heat or justifying its failure to  do so.
          b.   Criteria for Applicability.  The conditions under which
this measure are applicable can  be very broad; it can apply to all new
residential/commercial development or it can be restricted to only
certain types of new construction.  It is  clearly well suited for
                                111-36

-------
densely populated urban areas being developed.  It has been used in
Vasteras, Sweden, to supply the needs of 90 percent of the city's
120,000 people and has "blessed the town with 'Sweden's purest city
air'" (ref. 16).  This particular installation is oil-fired and employs
high temperature hot water for transporting home heat.  Return hot water
is 55° to 70°C, sufficiently warm to melt the ice and snow from the
center of the city's main streets.   This system, operating in a cold
climate, produces cleaner air than  the individual coal- and oil-heating
systems it replaces at a lower cost to the subscribers.
     It is also applicable to urban developments in temperate or warm
climates, for the steam generated can be used to power absorption-type
cooling equipment, thereby providing centralized space heating/cooling
on a year-round basis.
     Housing developments under the design of one builder can easily
adopt this measure.  Smaller developments under multiple sponsorship can
be combined into one power plant district by municipal planners, much
like present city sewage and water  services are planned.
     The measure applies to industrial users who are already highly
motivated to reduce operating costs and at the same time already possess
the authority and technology to incorporate the CES measure into the
design of new facilities.
     The CES measure can also be implemented in the design of individual
homes.  The waste heat from the furnace flue could be used to preheat
the charging water for the hot water heater, or the exhaust from the
clothes dryer or dishwasher could be used to heat and humidify the home
during the winter, etc.  This approach could serve as a secondary
strategy for rural or remotely located dwellings, which may be judged to
be too far away for direct heat transfer and inappropriate for all-
electric service.  The common strain unifying all these examples is the
combination of emission sources by  designing one piece of equipment to
do the job now performed by two or  more.   The desired result is less
total energy required and, hence, less emitted pollutants.
     All CES measures have the common advantage of reducing total  fuel
consumption.  This end result, which is highly desirable with respect to
energy conservation, produces less  net emissions of pollutants simply
because less fuel is burned.
                                111-37

-------
     No specific numbers are yet available to show that  a  given  density
of living space per unit area of land is  necessary to justify  a  certain
size total energy power plant.   Quite likely, some form  of this  strategy
applies to all  new construction.  New construction of all  forms  should
be reviewed with the CES measure in mind.
          c.   Interaction with Other Measures.   The  CES measure that
removes fossil  fuel combustion  from the individual  residential unit  and
replaces it with a community plant is either compatible  or complementary
with most other strategies discussed in this planning document.   CES
provides a well-controlled source of combustion  for home heating with
minimum air pollution.
     Typical interactions of the CES measure with other  measures dis-
cussed in this  guideline document are:
               1)   Transfer of emission  source  locations.   A  primary
example of this measure is the  shifting of power plants  from central
locations in the midst  of populated urban  areas  to more  remote sites sup-
porting few other emission sources.  For  purposes of  using off-gases of
power plants as a source of steam for space heating or water heating,
transfer of emission source locations would be counter to  many CES
applications unless it  were feasible to locate industries  that could use
the waste heat  in the neighborhood of the  power  plant.  However, such
location of a labor intensive industry could result in an  increase of
emissions from  the housing and  service facilities that would be  attracted
to the area.
               2)   Phaseout of specified  sources.  Two  specific sources
that are candidates for phaseout are on-site refuse incinerators and
inefficient oil burners.  The CES measure  is compatible  with both.   Not
only would inefficient  oil burners be replaced by an  efficient heating
plant but all home heaters, inefficient or otherwise, that depend upon
fossil fuel combustion  would be phased out.  The replacement of  many
small individual heating units  by a single large capacity  unit operated
and maintained  by heating professionals is the heart  of  the CES  measure.
     Extending  the function of the combustion chamber to serve as a
central refuse  incinerator for the same area is  a bonus, if and  when
implemented.  On-site incinerators would  be replaced  by  a  well-con-
trol led municipal-type  incinerator.  The  CES measure  can therefore act
                                 111-38

-------
as a phaseout measure as well.
               3)   Stack height regulations.   The CES measure facil-
itates implementation of a stack height regulation.   The stack height,
plus a definition of the minimum acceptable effluent scrubbing and
monitoring, become part of the centralized power plant plan.   Not only
will a large number of small furnace discharges be replaced by a single,
well-processed effluent but the height of the emission source can be
much greater than would be practical for the many small sources re-
placed.
               4)   Energy conservation and utilization.  The CES
measure recommended here really is an energy conservation measure.  CES
works  primarily  because it reduces total fuel needs—conserves energy—
by  combining many separate energy conversion units  into a single, more
capable and versatile unit that can do the jobs of  all units  replaced at
lower  fuel cost.
           d.   Potential Conflicts with Other Community Development
Plans  and  Potential Negative Environmental  Impacts.   The CES  measure
reinforces present  trends toward urbanization of  the  population.
Adoption of  the  CES measure could make population dispersal more  dif-
ficult and costly,  although not prohibitively so.   An effective  CES
measure would influence growth  patterns  in  addition to centralizing
 population.   Those  areas  most attractive  for new  building would  be  those
 already incorporated  into a master  plan  for total energy plant location.
      Central  power  plants with  tall  stacks  are  difficult to  make into
 esthetically appealing  structures.   In a  few cases, the tall  stack  can  be
 inside a  tall building  and  thus not be unsightly.  In high  density  areas,
 where their justification is  greatest, the real  estate they would occupy
 would be  expensive.  Present  zoning ordinances  may  prohibit the building
 of power plants  in  many areas where they would be needed to implement  the
 CES measure.
           e.   Practical Limitations
                1)   Social  acceptability.  Social acceptability of CES
 is probably good, although some objection to "losing control" of a vital
 home  comfort feature such as  heating might be  voiced.  This loss of
 control is not real, fo/ individual control of unit or even room heat
 could be maintained.  The subscriber would buy heat from the central
                                  111-39

-------
 plant much like electricity or  natural  gas  is metered  into  a  home.
 Eventually,  subscribers  would realize  that  there  is  considerable ad-
 vantage in turning  over  all  maintenance and operating  responsibility  to
 the facility's  engineering  staff.
      The overall  impact  of  the  CES measure  upon the  community's life-
 style is minimal.   CES favors closely  grouped high rise multiunit
 dwellings,  a  residential  form that has  been growing  in popularity.
                2)    Economic feasibility.   When implemented at the
 community planning  stage, the CES measure would almost always prove
 economically  advantageous.   The costs of the services and utilities
 received (space heating/cooling, hot water, electricity) invariably
 prove to be less  than if delivered by the conventional means.  Indeed,
 the major impetus for this  type of plan  in  the past  has been reduced
 costs,  and, more  recently,  energy conservation.   Reduced air pollution
 comes as a bonus.
      While no record can  be  found of an economic  or  technological
 failure of communities or residential units adopting a CES measure, all
 these published accounts  reflect careful planning under optimum cir-
 cumstances.   Often, these well-publicized projects have been publicly
 funded  as demonstration models, and the size of the  community and its
 location have been  carefully selected as near ideal  settings for suc-
 cessful  operation.  Before compelling all new construction to follow
 this  measure, experience  in  less ideal or marginally suitable locations
 should  be considered.
      Widely dispersed, rural settings are not appropriate customers for
 processed energy other than electricity.  The question then arises as
to the economic feasibility of supplying all remotely located consumers
with electricity for home heating/cool ing,  hot water and  cooking;  that
is, should all homes outside the steam or hot water range of a cen-
tralized energy plant (that this range is not well defined compounds the
problem) be required to be totally  electric homes?  Should rural  homes
just be declared beyond the scope of the CES measure and  ignored?
     A key piece of information  for resolving these questions is  the
economic feasibility of electric home heating.   If electric heating were
as efficient and economical  as direct steam heating, fewer problems would
exist.  The CES measure could be implemented on  a  100 percent basis for
                                 111-40

-------
all new residential construction, urban or rural.   Growth patterns would
have to be anticipated or controlled so that a market always existed for
the waste heat accompanying electric power generation, but the chief
decision would be to size the power plant and the range of its steam or
high temperature hot water lines.  The technical/economic decision would
be simply one of determining the range at which energy is more eco-
nomically transmitted as steam than as electricity.
     Electric home heating at present uses about twice as much fossil
fuel as do direct heating methods such as gas or oil furnaces in which
combustion takes place on site.  The relatively low efficiency (30
percent) for converting Btu's of fuel into Btu's of electricity at a
typical utility power plant accounts for most of the higher fuel  re-
quirements.  Consequently, energy conservationists criticize  the  growth
of total electric  homes on this  basis.  If,  however, much of  the  waste
heat used in generating electricity can be recovered  in  a useful  in-
dustrial, commercial, or  residential application,  the  penalty for
electric heating is  greatly reduced or eliminated.   In addition,  electri-
 cally  heated homes usually can be better insulated and sealed up than a
combustion  heated  home, which  requires ventilation for the  combustion
process (this  advantage also applies  to  all  total  energy homes).   The
superior  insulation  reduces the cost  penalty of an all-electric  home.
 In most cost comparisons  between electrically heated homes  and  oil-
 heated homes,  the  energy  required to  deliver the  oil  to  the home is
 neglected.   Transportation costs for  providing a  home with  oil  are
 eliminated  in the  electrically heated residence (as in a gas-heated
 residence).
      And, finally, the totally electric home is compatible with the
 nuclear age in which low cost  electricity will be generally available.
 In this sense, the all-electric home  will help smooth the transition
 from the fossil fuel age to the nuclear age.  The compatibility of
 electric home heating with all types  of fuel and power sources is a
 distinct advantage for future  community growth.
      The availability of improved and more reliable heat pumps may
 influence the energy/cost balance and is already accelerating the
 popularity of total  electric homes.  Heat pumps are single units that
 can both heat and cool space.   They transfer heat from one location  to
                                 111-41

-------
another and the direction of heat transfer is reversible.
     Heat pumps are powered by either heat (vapor absorption) or by
electricity (vapor compression).  They are compatible with the CES
measure, and provide a convenient, point-of-use equipment suitable for
both heating and cooling in either the steam-heated zone or the elec-
trically heated zone of a CES area.  They are more economical than
electrical resistance heating and comparable in energy demands to direct
heating with gas or oil (ref. 17).
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
          The CES measure is most effective for urban areas with high
heat volume requirements per unit land area.  Consequently, if, as
predicted, 90 percent of the population lives in urban areas by the year
2000, the CES measure becomes increasingly relevant in the 1975-1985
period.  It can be implemented only in new construction and therefore
requires a long lead time to achieve full impact.
          a-   Ability of Measure to Maintain Standards.   The effective-
ness of the CES measure can be determined by a comparison of total  fuel
requirements for the combined system versus the conventional facilities
to be supplanted, assuming that the same fuel is used in  both cases.
The CES alternative can then receive further credit for air quality
improvement due to:
     •   A lower emission rate per unit of fuel burned;
     •   More efficient control  equipment; and/or
     •   Taller stack height and higher exit velocity.
     Data already available from those communities or installations now
employing some form of CES measure show greater than 60 percent efficiency
of fuel utilization, compared to 25 to 40 percent  for conventional
systems and an average of 25 percent reduction in  costs.   Data to show
air quality improvement are not generally available, but  the reduced
fuel requirements clearly correspond to reduced total  emissions.
     The net emission reduction that can result from implementation of
CES can be determined from the  following formula:

                    Net reduction = N H (E  -  ces)
                                          S   K
                                111-42

-------
where
        N = Number of individual units to be replaced by a central
            system during the time frame under consideration
        H = Average capacity of individual units
       E  = Controlled emissions from the average size individual
            unit expressed as tons of pollutants per unit capacity
     E    = Controlled emissions from the central system expressed
            as tons of pollutant per unit capacity
        K = Factor representing transmission losses
Potential sources of input information are:
        N - Growth pattern from land-use planning agencies
            Population projections
            State planning data
        H - Manufacturers' design data
            Fuel consumption data for district heating
     E    - Manufacturers' design data
      l*c. o
            EPA publications
        K - City and County engineers
            Consulting engineers
            Industry
     The CES measure has the desirable advantage of reducing a large
number of uncontrolled and largely uncontrollable sources to a man-
ageable number of sources under much better control and direction.  It
can be applied to virtually all new fuel combustion sources, so it is a
feasible measure for at least three pollutants and can be quite ef-
fective in growth areas where maintenance of any standard is endangered
by fuel combustion sources.  Also, the measure can be employed specif-
ically in those areas within the AQMA where air quality maintenance is
most difficult (hot spots).
     The CES measure offers the opportunity for community growth at
minimum additional pollution load and lends itself to easy monitoring
and control.
          b.   Relative Efficiency Compared to Other Measures.  One
alternative measure to CES is to upgrade the reliability of home-sized
fossil-fuel-burning equipment.   Like the auto industry, manufacturers
could be compelled to guarantee a minimum life of unattended operation
                                111-43

-------
 during which  time  emissions  are  not  permitted  to exceed certain levels.
 Equipment would  be inspected before  leaving  the factory and possibly
 spot checked  periodically  after  being  in  service.
      The  CES  measure  recommended here  is  easier and  less expensive to
 implement.  Because of  the anticipated  higher  efficiency of fuel uti-
 lization, less total  pollutants  would  be  emitted than with an alter-
 native measure such as  outlined  above.
      CES  is almost entirely  limited  to  new and modified sources, so it
 affects the growth component of  regional  emissions rather than requiring
 additional control  of existing sources.   While this  is normally an
 advantage for maintenance  measures,  it  does  limit the regional impact of
 a  control measure  to  only  a  portion  of  the total emissions.

 G.    SPECIAL  OPERATING  CONDITIONS
      1.    Definition  of Measure
          The measures  described in  this paragraph can be used to reduce
 emissions from sources  on  an  intermittent basis or to minimize emissions
 under  atypical conditions  in order to maintain air quality standards
 that otherwise might  be exceeded for relatively short periods of time.
 Two principal types of  activities are discussed:   a)  supplementary
 control systems and b)  procedures applicable to malfunction,  startup,
 and shutdown operations.
     A supplementary  control  system  is a system "whereby the  rate of
 emissions from a source is curtailed when meteorological  conditions
 conducive to high ground-level pollutant concentrations  exist or are
 anticipated"  (ref.   18).  A typical application would  be  a coal-fired
 power  plant that can  reduce its load during adverse meteorological
 conditions so that unsatisfactory ambient S02 levels  do  not result.
     Specific operating procedures frequently must be followed in  order
 to minimize the pollutant emissions from particular industrial sources
during periods of startup or shutdown and when malfunction  of process  or
pollution control equipment occurs.  With respect to  new sources,  the
Federal law provides that under these conditions,  industrial  processes
will be considered  to be in compliance on the basis of most recent  com-
pliance tests, as long as opacity regulations are not violated during
atypical operating  conditions.  However, the  process  may not  be eligible
                                111-44

-------
for such consideration in cases where an upset condition can be shown to
be an avoidable situation.  This provision is clearly indicated by the
EPA definition given for "malfunction":
           'Malfunction1  means any sudden and unavoidable
          failure of air pollution control equipment or
          process equipment or of a process to operate in
          a normal or usual manner.  Failures that are caused
          entirely or in part by poor maintenance, careless
          operation, or any other preventable equipment
          breakdown shall not be considered malfunctions
          (ref. 19).
     A specific reporting procedure to be used in conjunction with mal-
function operations, applicable to new industrial sources, is included
in 40 CFR, part 60, "Standards of Performance for New Stationary Sources".
It appears that a procedure requiring all reasonable means to minimize
emissions during startup, malfunction, and shutdown of existing sources
would be appropriate on a State level as a maintenance measure.
     2.   Historical Review of the Measure
          a.    Current Applications.   Supplementary control systems
function to curtail emission sources  on a temporary basis, so that air
quality levels remain satisfactory under adverse meteorological condi-
tions.  Useful applications are probably limited to specific isolated
industrial S02 sources, such as coal-fired power plants and nonferrous
smelters.  Enforcement is not feasible in areas where there are multiple
sources of a given pollutant.
     The Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) has undertaken to limit S02
emissions from several power plants by reducing generating load and/or
burning low sulfur coal during adverse plume dispersion periods (ref.
20).  At the Paradise steam plant, early tests determined that the
addition of a third unit, at full-load operation, would cause the 3-hour
standard for S02 to be exceeded during certain meteorological condi-
tions.  Three methods of noncontiguous SOp emissions control were tried.
Plans using low sulfur coal and the addition of lime to the coal  prior
to conveying the coal to the bunkers  were discarded in favor of plant
generating load reduction.
     Nine meteorological  and plume dispersion criteria were established
to determine the critical atmospheric conditions that cause high S02
levels.  When all  nine criteria are met, as determined by on-site measure-
                                111-45

-------
ment, generating reductions are determined and initiated.   The only
limitation on the system is that reductions that would cause power
system instability cannot be made.  The frequency distributions of
measured S02 concentrations before and after the implementation of this
supplementary control system are given in table III-3.
     A supplementary control system for SCL is also being  used at a
copper smelter in the State of Washington.  The Puget Sound Air Pollution
Control Authority reported that at one monitoring station  near the
smelter the frequency of 1-hour S02 concentrations exceeding 0.25 and
0.5 ppm has dropped significantly since initiation of the  supplementary
control system (ref. 18).  Seven other monitoring stations in operation
since 1971 showed similar declines.  The frequency of SOp  levels exceed-
ing 0.25 and 0.5 ppm are given in table III-4.
     Proper maintenance and operating procedures have been established
for many industrial operations.  When maintenance procedures are not
followed, it is likely that excessive emissions will  result, especially
during periods of startup, shutdown, or malfunction.
     For example, maintenance requirements for coke ovens  are partic-
ularly severe.  If coke-side and push-side doors are  not cleaned prop-
erly, the doors will not seal.  Smoke will then be emitted from the oven
throughout a large portion of the coking cycle.  If flues  become plugged,
"green pushes" may result in a substantial increase in particulate
emission rates.
     Since maintenance of air quality is highly dependent  on adherence
to proper maintenance policies and operating procedures, it seems proper
that the local agencies should require industries to  demonstrate the
adoption and use of such policies.  New sources are required by Federal
law to file quarterly reports of all periods of excess emissions due to
startup, shutdown, malfunction, or other causes.  The report must also
include an indication of corrective measures that are taken and of pre-
ventive measures adopted.  Owners and operators are required to use
acceptable operating and maintenance procedures.  Such use may be
determined by Federal authorities on the basis of monitoring results,
opacity observations, review of operating and maintenance  procedures,
inspections, and other information.  An equivalent State or local reg-
ulation, applicable to all sources, would be useful.
                                111-46

-------
Table III-3.  Frequency distribution of measured SOp concentrations
  before and after implementation of supplementary control  systems
                      at Paradise steam plant
3-hr average S02
concentration distribution


0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0


3-hr
average
S02 cone.
range
(ppm)
0
.01-0.10
.11-0.20
.21-0.30
.31-0.40
.41-0.50
.51-0.60*
.61-0.70*
.71-0.80*

*Above
Frequency

Before After
(1/1/68- (9/19/69
9/19/69) 6/25/71
51 ,097 55
10,574 9
443
102
37
16
7
2
1

air quality limits
,961
,363
275
59
28
10
2
0
0


Source: T. L. Montgomery, J. M
"Controlling Ambient S00." Journal



Table

Before
After
After
<-.
I I 1-4. Smelter monitor 1
for three selected
Year
control 1969
control 1972
control 1/73-
5/73
24-hr average S02
concentration distribution
24-h
avera'
S02 co
rang<
) (ppm
0
0.001-0
0.021-0
0.041-0
0.061-0
0.081-0
0,101-0
0.121-0
0.141-0
0.161-0

r Frequency
nc- Before After
e (1/1/68- (9/19/69-
) 9/19/69) 6/25/71)
3,064 3,752
.02 4,248 4,043
.04 400 305
.06 92 73
.08 24 19
.10 14 9
.12 6 3
.14 4 2
.16* 7 0
.18* 1 0

. Leavitt, T. L. Crawford, and F. E. Gartrell.
of Metals, June 1973.
-hour SOg concentrations
time periods
Greater than
0.25 ppm



102
7
1
Greater than
0.5 ppm
25
1
0
                            111-47

-------
          b.  Effectiveness of the Measure in Current Applications.
 Supplementary control systems can be used effectively only under the
 particular restrictive conditions that are cited in part 3(b), below.
 The measure can be very effective in reducing ground level concentrations
 if properly designed and administered.  In the TVA power plant example
 cited above, State regulations require that a maximum 3-hour S(L
 concentration of 0.5 ppm shall not be exceeded more than once per year
 at any point.  In the year before controls were initiated, 10 excessive
 levels occurred within the data network (table III-3).   After the controls
 were initiated, the 0.5 ppm standard was exceeded only two times.  Further-
 more, the two readings occurred at separate sampling stations.
     For the copper smelter discussed above, the supplementary control
 system reduced the number of incidents when,1-hour ground level concen-
 trations exceeded 0.5 ppm from 25 in 1969 to 1 in 1972 (table III-4).
 The primary ambient standard for S02 in the State of Washington pre-
 scribes that levels exceeding 0.4 ppm (1 hour) shall not be exceeded
 more than once per year; therefore, it is not readily apparent from
 table III-4 whether the supplementary control system was successful in
 maintaining the State air quality standards.
     The effectiveness of a procedure applicable to malfunction, start-
 up, and shutdown operations cannot be determined readily.  It is likely
 that such a measure in itself would not contribute significantly to the
 maintenance of long-term air quality standards.
     3.    Implementation
          a.    Procedure.   A proposed revision to regulation 40 CFR 51
 permits selective use of supplementary control systems  as a temporary
means of attaining and maintaining NAAQS only in cases  where permanent
 production curtailment, shutdown, or delays in attainment of NAAQS are
 the only alternatives.   Sources meeting the criteria set forth in part
 3(b)  below would probably be issued an operating permit with
 specific operating restrictions attached.   Special  provisions may have
 to be made to issue such permits on a case-by-case basis.
     Regulation 40 CFR 60 provides that each source allow performance
 tests to be made on the facility.   These performance tests, along with
opacity tests,  are the basis for determining whether good maintenance and
operating procedures  are being followed.   Review of operating and
                                111-48

-------
maintenance procedures and on-site inspections  are also used as  checks.
In addition, the source must, at the end of each calendar quarter,
report emissions measured or estimated to be greater than those  allow-
able under standards applicable during performance tests.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.  Criteria for use of supple-
mentary control systems are as follows (ref. 18):
     •   Each candidate source must demonstrate  that adequate constant
emission reduction techniques are not available to attain and maintain
NAAQS.
     •   Techniques that are available must be applied to permanently
reduce emissions to the maximum extent practicable prior to application
of supplementary control systems.
     •   A dispersion model must be used to estimate the maximum  air
quality concentrations that are expected after application of the control
strategy, unless application is shown to be inappropriate.
     •   The owner or operator must be willing and able to accept full
legal responsibilities for maintaining the NAAQS throughout the  area in
which emissions from that source significantly influence ambient air quality.
     •   Each source must support and participate in an appropriate
research, development, engineering, and demonstration program to ensure
that the supplementary control system can be replaced by constant emis-
sion limitation techniques as soon as possible.
     It is estimated that fewer than 50 coal-fired electric generating
plants would qualify under these criteria (ref. 18).
     Because allowable emissions and associated air quality are  tied to
specific meteorological conditions, the regulation requires that
a source must be isolated from other sources to qualify for this type of
control.  This requirement for enforceability precludes the use  of
supplementary control systems to control HC and NO  emissions, which are
                                                  A
emitted by mobile sources.  Supplementary control systems to control CO
and particulate emissions are also precluded because good constant
emission reduction techniques for these pollutants are available.
     Federal regulations regarding emissions during startup, shutdown,
and malfunction presently pertain only to new sources.  The adoption of
local regulations could extend this to include existing sources.
                                111-49

-------
          c.   Interaction With Other Measures.   Stack height regula-
tions may restrict the use of supplementary control  systems  since tall
stacks, up to good engineering practice, may be  required in  order to
avoid high ground level concentrations.   Zoning  approvals may affect
whether a source can accept a long-term responsibility for maintaining
NAAQS.  This is a necessary condition for the use of supplementary
control systems.
          d.   Potential Conflicts With Community Development Plans.
Because supplementary control systems can be used only in a  few isolated
areas, there is little foreseeable conflict with other community devel-
opment plans.  Any negative environmental impacts are probably regarded
to be less severe than the available alternatives, which include cur-
tailment, shutdown, or delays in attainment of NAAQS.
     Startup, shutdown, and malfunction procedures are not likely to
conflict with community development plans or to  produce negative environ-
mental impacts.
          d.   Practical Limitations
               1)   Social acceptability.  Due to the restrictive
requirements for use of supplementary control systems, including
isolation from other sources and acceptance by the owner/operator of
complete responsibility for maintenance of air quality standards, this
measure is expected to have only limited applications.  Therefore,
the public should not be greatly affected nor widely aware of the
measure.  The interim nature of supplementary control systems and their
inherent flexibility both tend to negate the possibility that this measure
could prevent other development within the area  of influence of the source.
               2)   Economic feasibility.  Supplementary control systems
generally would be inexpensive relative to the costs of conventional
control equipment (if such constant emission control techniques were
available), so they may be economically attractive for eligible sources.
One important economic consideration in the selection of a supplementary
control system for maintenance is that it does not provide a long-term
solution, and must be replaced when feasible constant control techniques
are demonstrated to be available.
     Special startup, shutdown, and malfunction procedures probably
represent small additional costs of operating a process, and they may
                                 111-50

-------
 be required only at infrequent intervals.  However, if the procedures are
 are not justified by lower repair costs or longer equipment life, and if
 they do cause an increased cost of production, it is unlikely that they
 will be implemented unless they are required.  By requesting the sources
 to submit maintenance and operating procedures for approval, rather than
 specifying certain procedures, the sources may develop procedures that
 have low costs and still are effective.
     Both of these measures require extensive surveillance efforts by
 control agencies for enforcement.
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
          a.  Ability of Measure to Maintain Standards.  Supplementary
 control systems are desired specifically to maintain air quality stan-
 dards, but it is doubtful that they could ever be employed in an AQMA
 because of the requirements that they can only be applied if a single
 source in an area is emitting the pollutant.
     The procedures covering startup, shutdown, and malfunction con-
 ditions will probably not ensure that air quality standards can be
 maintained in a given AQMA for an extended period of time.  If defin-
 itive maintenance and operating procedures are not adopted, source
 emissions will tend to increase as control and process equipment dete-
 riorate with age.
          b.   Relative Efficiency Compared to Other Measures.   Supple-
 mentary control systems can be used only in instances where constant
 emission controls are not feasible for attaining or maintaining SCL air
 quality standards.   Furthermore, the systems are to be used only until
 other measures become available.   Therefore, a discussion of relative
 efficiency is not appropriate for supplementary control  systems.   En-
 forced adherence to prescribed operating and maintenance procedures can
 be effective in maintaining minimum emission rates during all  operating
 conditions.

 H.   STACK HEIGHT REGULATIONS
     1.    Definition of Measure
          The use of tall  stacks  as  a  maintenance measure is  intended to
 be applied in addition  to,  rather than in  lieu of, stationary  source
emission regulations.   It is  recognized that, even though all  sources
                                111-51

-------
may be operating in compliance with allowable emission  rates,  it  may  be
necessary to effect a further reduction of ground-level  concentrations
of air pollutants as growth in the AQMA results in increased emissions.
The use of a tall stack to decrease ground level  pollutant concentra-
tions is based on the following fact:
     Under any given set of meteorological conditions,  the
     ground-level concentrations of a  gaseous pollutant emitted
     at a constant rate into the atmosphere will  become smaller
     as the effective height of emission of the pollutant into
     the air is increased (ref. 21).
     Increasing the height of stacks can:
          a.   Reduce the frequency of occurrence of high ground-level
concentrations that are experienced with shorter stacks under the
following meteorological circumstances:
     1)  Neutral stability, high wind  situations,
     2)  Inversion break-up situations, if the stack is sufficiently
high for the plume to penetrate the simple radiation inversion caused by
noctural cooling of  the earth's surface,  or
     3)  Looping situations, where the taller stack may enable slightly
greater dilution.
          b.   Reduce the frequency of occurrence of high ground-level
concentrations due to the plume being engulfed in wakes, eddies, and
aerodynamic downwash associated with the facility, nearby structures, and
terrain features.
     Increasing the  height of  stacks cannot:
          c.   Reduce the frequency of occurence of high ground-level
concentrations that  are experienced with  shorter stacks under the following
meteorological conditions:
     1)  Limited mixing situations, or
     2)  Inversion break-up situations, when the plume does not pene-
trate  a ground-based inversion or  during  an  inversion aloft.
          d.   Reduce the peak short-term concentrations beyond 5-6 miles
from the source.
          e.   Reduce the amount of pollution  emitted.
     Based  on  these  facts,  it  is considered  good engineering practice to
construct a stack  sufficiently tall to:
          f.   Minimize the effects of  the plume being entrapped by
wakes, eddies, and aerodynamic downwash  at any facility whose emissions
                                 111-52

-------
 are great enough to threaten air quality standards when such conditions
 exist, or
           g.   Minimize the threat to air quality standards during
 neutral stability, high wind conditions.
      Emission regulations that have been adopted take into account the
 use of stack heights based upon good engineering practice.
      While tall stacks can be effective in the maintenance of acceptable
 air quality on a localized basis in an AQMA, tall  stacks do distribute
 emissions over larger areas.   If acceptable air quality is not being
 attained in these more distant areas, emissions from tall  stacks  can  add
 to the existing pollutant burden.
      2.    Historical  Review of the Measure
           a-    Current Application.   In 1966,  the  Air Pollution Standards
 Committee of the ASME developed its  first  standard;  APS-1, Recommended
 Guide  for the Control  of Dust Emission-Combustion  for Indirect Heat
 Exchangers.   Following the development of  the  second edition  of APS-1
 (November 1968),  the  committee produced ASME Standards  APS-2.  Recom-
 mended Guide  for the  Control  of Emissions  of Oxides  of  Sulfur
 Combustion  of Indirect Heat Exchangers  in  January  1970.  The  procedures
 in the APS  documents  enable one to estimate  the  amount  of  each pollutant
 that may  be emitted from a stack and/or the  height of a  stack  required
 for any given-sized unit for  specified  maximum ground-level concen- •
 trations.
     EPA  has  recognized  that  increasing  the  height of stacks plays a
 useful but limited role  in attainment and maintenance of NAAQS.  Since
 1960, there has been a pronounced trend  toward increasing the height
 of  stacks.  Simultaneously, there has been a trend toward substantially
 greater emissions at single locations.  The principal application  of
 extremely tall stacks has been for large oil- or coal-fired
 electrical generating boilers and major ore smelting operations.
     Increasing stack heights beyond that judged to be good engineering
 practice is not an acceptable control measure except in very limited
 instances.  The exceptions are presented in Vol.  38,  No. 178,  Federal
Re9ister.  September 14, 1973,  pp.  25697-25703.   An  extension of a  stack
to a height exceeding  good engineering practice may be a part  of a
control  measure to achieve air quality standards  if:  (1) the source is
isolated,  i.e., a source that  accepts responsibility  for all ambient

                                111-53

-------
S02 found in its vicinity,  and  (2)  action  to  increase  the stack height
is taken in conjunction with the  development  and  operation of a supple-
mentary control  system.
     Increasing stack heights may be an  acceptable  maintenance measure
to decrease the effect upon ground-level  pollutant  concentrations  of
sources already in compliance with emission regulations.   It must  be
considered, however, that tall  stacks have the effect  of  spreading
pollutant emissions over a much larger area.
          b.   Effectiveness of the Measure in Current Applications.
The effectiveness of increased  stack height in reducing ground  level
concentrations of sulfur oxides and particulates can be determined
through the use of atmospheric  dispersion models (ref. 22).   It is
generally agreed that  the accuracy of pollutant concentrations  deter-
mined  by dispersion models  is within a factor of about 2.
     There  are environmental insults, as yet unidentified, that may make
it undesirable to use  tall  stacks.  The effects of atmospheric loading
of pollutants, particularly of sulfur oxides, are as yet unknown.   In
particular, the  impact of  sulfur oxides on the formation of suspended
sulfates,  acid  rainfall, acidification of  soil and water, visibility
reduction,  changes  in  the  colloidal  stability of clouds and changes in
the transmission  of radiant energy through the atmosphere have not been
determined.  For these reasons,  in addition  to the  implications of the
Clean  Air  Act,  emissions  reduction,  rather than  the use  of tall stacks,
 is the preferred method of reducing the ground-level  impact of emis-
 sions.
      3.   Implementation
           a.    Procedure.   The use of tall  stacks  as  a maintenance
 measure may be implemented by  modification of existing emission reg-
 ulations to include minimum stack height requirements.  It must be
 emphasized again, however, that the use of tall  stacks as  a maintenance
 measure is not the same as the use of tall stacks  as  a condition  to
 obtain a variance for compliance with emission regulations.
            b.   Conditions of Applicability.   The use  of  minimum stack
 height requirements to maintain acceptable ambient air quality is applicable
 to all point sources  provided that:
                                  111-54

-------
               1)    Sources are in compliance with  existing  emission
regulations, and
               2)    Further constant emission reduction methods  are not
available to individual sources.
When NAAQS can only be attained by utilization of a tall  stack,  the
height of which is constrained by good engineering  practice, it is
advisable that its use be accompanied by an approved supplementary
control system.
          c.   interaction With Other Measures.  Where this measure is
applied it will have an additive effect on assisting interaction with
the following maintenance measures:
         Emission  allocation,
         Emission  density  zoning,
         Emission  charges,
         More  restrictive  source  limitations  and NSPS, and
         Combination  of emission  sources.
          d.    Potential Conflicts  With Community  Development Plans.
 Due to obstacle height limitations  imposed by FAA  requirements, the
 presence of tall  stacks will  restrict certain areas  from airport  develop-
 ment.   Additionally,  most  State Power Plant  Siting Commissions would  have
 to approve  a stack height  extension.
          e.    Practical Limitations.   In a  ruling handed down February
 8, 1974, the U.S.  Court of Appeals  for the Fifth Circuit disapproved
 two pertinent  provisions of the Georgia implementation plan, including
 its variance provision and its  reliance on dispersion  techniques  rather
 than  emission  regulations.  The Court held that  emission reduction tech-
 niques are  clearly the preferred  control methods under the  Clean  Air
 Act,  and  that "other  measures"  referred to in section  110(a)(2)(B),  such
 as dispersion techniques,  are allowed only if emission reduction  techniques
 sufficient  to meet the national ambient air  quality  standards  are
 unavailable or unfeasible. The Court held that  Georgia's  reliance on a
 tall  stack  control technology  was untenable under the act.
      4.   Evaluation  of  Control Measure Effectiveness
           a.   Ability to  Maintain Standards.  In  specific cases  the
 ability of a tall stack  to maintain acceptable levels  of currently
                                 111-55

-------
established standards has been demonstrated.  Requirements for minimum
stack heights as a maintenance measure should be based on the demonstra-
tion of reduced spatial and temporal impact of the dispersed emissions
using acceptable diffusion modeling techniques.
          b.   Relative Efficiency of the Measure.  Use of tall stacks
will reduce ground-level pollutant concentrations on a localized basis.
Stacks up to the height of good engineering practice are acceptable in
all cases.
     Provided that a source is sufficiently isolated and that its emissions
are sizeable (greater than 1,000 tons per year), increasing the height
beyond good engineering practice to dilute emissions can be as efficient
as engineering limitations on height will permit.  As previously noted,
the acquired ground-level control  effectiveness of the stack must be
guaranteed by a concurrent supplementary control system.  This supplementary
control system is a procedure to limit the rate of pollutant emission
when meteorological conditions conducive to ground-level concentrations in
excess of national standards exist or are anticipated.
     Construction of tall stacks does not require materials or skills in
short supply and can usually be accomplished in months rather than
years.  Obviously, its total effectiveness is limited by the number of
source applications in any AQMA.  However, if and when ambient standards
are set for materials such as sulfates or fine particulates, tall stacks
will only serve to compound the environmental insult.

I.   CONTROL OF FUGITIVE DUST SOURCES
     1.   Definition of Measure
          Construction activity is the most significant fugitive dust
source in most AQMA's.  The primary construction sources are highway,
residential, commercial, and industrial  construction projects.  In
addition, fugitive dust emissions  from unpaved roads and agricultural
activities indigenous to the arid  and semiarid areas of the Great Plains,
Far West, and Southwest, can have  a considerable effect on the air
quality of AQMA's in these regions.  Other fugitive dust sources, such
as material  storage piles and unpaved parking lots, may have a localized
impact on air quality but rarely are widespread enough to affect AQMA air
quality.   Total suspended particulates is the only pollutant resulting
                                111-56

-------
from fugitive dust sources.
     Several  methods have been employed to reduce the dust emissions
from construction sites, including those listed below (ref. 23).   Expected
average control  efficiencies are shown in parentheses.
     •   Watering (50%)
     •   Chemical stabilization of completed cuts and fills (80%)
     •   Treatment of temporary access and haul  roads on or adjacent to
        site (50%)
     •   Minimal  exposure periods for active construction areas (50%).
While these measures have relatively low control efficiencies compared
to other particulate controls, they are proven  techniques that
can be enforced as regulatory requirements.  Rigorous control of con-
struction activities and other fugitive dust sources provide emission
reductions from a source category that is presently controlled through
nuisance provisions.  Hence, it can be considered as a maintenance measure,
     Control  measures to reduce the particulate emissions from agri-
cultural sources consist of the same measures presently employed for
conservation of topsoil from erosion.  These measures consist of:
     •   Continuous cropping (25%)
     •   Limited irrigation of fallow fields (20%)
     •   Windbreaks (5%)
     •   Interrow plantings of grain on widely spaced row crops (15%)
     •   Stubble, crop residue, or mulch left on fields after harvest
        for wind protection (10%)
     •   Spray-on chemical stabilization  (40%)
     Fugitive dust emissions from unpaved roads have been controlled by:
     •   Paving and right-of-way improvement (85%)
        Surface treatment with penetration chemicals (50%)
     •   Soil stabilization chemicals worked into the roadbed  (50%)
     •   Speed control  (10 to 40%).
     2.   Historical Review of Control Measure
          a.   Current Applications.  Several local and State control
agencies, including Pima and Maricopa Counties  in Arizona, have passed
regulations requiring permits to construct on a property.  The permit
applications must state the dust control method to  be used, and it  is
subject to revocation for failure to implement  the  control.
                                111-57

-------
     The State of Colorado requires that a control plan be submitted by
any construction source if a visible plume is observed at the property
line or if a plume of greater than 20 percent opacity is observed at any
point on the site for more than one minute duration.  The control plan
must contain one of the "recognized control methods" endorsed by the
agency.
     The State of Nevada has specifications written into State construc-
tion contracts requiring stabilization of all completed cuts and fills.
Most states have had regulations for dust control on highway projects as
an integral part of their highway construction standards for some time.
EPA has conferred extensively with the U.S. Department of Agriculture in
attempting to develop enforceable means of reducing the contribution of
agricultural dust emissions in arid areas.  However, the only recom-
mendation to date is a program of education in soil conservation and
dust control methods.   The State of Colorado's Air Pollution Control
Division has excluded agricultural sources from its fugitive dust con-
trol regulations.
          b.   Effectiveness in Current Applications.   Isolation of the
impact of stringent dust control regulations on both regional and
localized particulate concentrations is difficult because of the many
fugitive dust sources in most of the areas where these controls have
been implemented.
     Based on emissions data, construction may account for up to 10
percent of particulate emissions in metropolitan areas (ref. 23); con-
sequently, a comprehensive control regulation could reduce emissions by
as much as 5 percent.
     3.   Implementation
          a.   Procedure.   Most of the measures to reduce air pollution in
highway construction or building construction could be controlled by
additional provisions to construction specifications and building codes or
by air pollution control regulation.  Several agencies have passed
regulations requiring permits to construct on a site.   In order to obtain
and keep a permit, the contractor must have an approved plan to control
dust.  This is an enforcement aid, since the permit can be revoked if a
dust problem is observed on the site.
                                111-58

-------
     Use of the permit system could be extended to provide another con-
trol technique—minimal exposure of barren areas.   Part of an approved
plan for large sites would provide for grading and other earth-moving
work on portions of the site followed by treatment of the finished por-
tion prior to opening a new section to clearing and regrading.   Long-
duration development of large tracts could also be effectively regulated
to prevent windblown dust problems.  Any permit program requiring
minimal exposure periods should require submittal  of detailed plans and
schedules.  Subsequent field inspections by enforcement personnel would
be essential to ensure adherence to the plans.
     Implementation of control measures for unpaved roads would require
coordination with highway departments and provision of funds to pave or
otherwise upgrade unpaved road surfaces.  One effective measure in rapid
growth areas is to prohibit the construction of new unpaved roads.
          b.   Conditions of Applicability.  Fugitive dust control
measures are applicable whenever the particulate emissions from these
sources contribute significantly to the total particulate concentration
of an AQMA.
          c.   Interaction With Other Measures.  The temporary and
intermittent nature of most fugitive dust sources would cause these
sources to  interfere with some of  the approaches to air quality main-
tenance such as emission allocation or emission density zoning.
Therefore,  control of  this often-ignored  source category could make
these approaches more  workable.
          d.   Potential Conflicts and Negative Impacts.  Implementation
and enforcement of fugitive dust control  measures necessarily involve
the interaction of air pollution control  agencies with such groups as
highway departments, building departments, highway patrols  (for  speed
control on  unpaved roads), and the Department of Agriculture.  For this
reason, whenever the activities and goals of  these cooperating organiza-
tions are divergent from those of  the air pollution control agency,  a
potential conflict is  created.  For example,  rigorous  dust  control mea-
sures on  a  highway construction project might cause construction  delays
and subsequent failure to meet deadlines.
          e.   Practical Limitations.
               1)   Social acceptability.  Social  acceptability  to con-
                                 111-59

-------
struction activity control  measures would be favorable,  since  the  re-
sulting decrease in airborne dust from these projects would be tangible
evidence of improved conditions to the surrounding populace.
     Acceptance of the unpaved road dust control  measures  would be
mixed.  Reaction to a decrease in road dust would be good; however,  the
inconvenience to the motorist of the control measures, e.g.,  speed
control and detours, would certainly cause a negative reaction.  Keeping the
public educated on the advantages of such control measures greatly enhances
their acceptability.
               2)   Economic feasability.  Cost data for most  fugitive
dust controls are presented in ref. 23.  In general, the cost  of dust
control programs on construction sites is a very small portion of total
construction costs and can be included in those costs.  However, because
of the extent of unpaved roads and agricultural activities, the total
costs to control emissions from these categories may make  these in-
feasible.
     4.   Evaluation of Control Measure Effectiveness
          The effectiveness of the measure is dependent  on the percent
contribution from fugitive dust emissions in the AQMA projected emission
inventory.  Specific construction sources and their locations  change
with time.  Since new development is occurring in the AQMA (by defini-
tion), emissions from these sources should continue, even
though they are continually changing in location.  The problem of
construction activities in a "hot spot" causing the standards  to be
exceeded would be minimized by other measures of the maintenance strategy
that would discourage further permanent development in that area.   If it
is denoted as a problem area, special dust control requirements might be
placed on construction activities.

                               REFERENCES
 1.  The Clean Air Act, Section 111(b)(l)(A).
 2.  "Review of New Sources and Modifications  (Preamble)."  Federal
     Register 38, No. 116 (June 18, 1973).
 3.  G. W. Walsh.  Priorities for Development of Standards of Perform-
     ance (Draft).  Environmental Protection Agency, Durham, N.C.,
     November 13, 1972.
                                 111-60

-------
 4.   Report of the  Hearing  Panel, National Public Hearings on Power
     Plant Compliance with  Sulfur Oxide Air Pollution Regulations,
     October 18,  1973 -  November 2,  1973, submitted to Environmental
     Protection Agency,  January 1974.

 5.   Coal  Conversion Processes. PEDCo.

 6.   Edward A.  Zawadzki.  EPA  Region IV, Coal Cleaning Study.  March
     1974.

 7.   C.  A. Berg.   "Energy Conservation through  Effective Utilization."
     Science 181.  No. 7  (July  1973):  128-138

 8.   J.  C. Moyers.  The  Value  of Thermal Insulation in Residential
     Construction:  Economics  and Conservation  of Energy.  Oak Ridge
     National  Laboratory, Report ORNL-NSF-EP-9.Oak Ridge, Tenn.,
     December 1971.

 9.   D.  P. Gregory.  A  Techno-Economic Study of the Cost-Effectiveness
     of Methods of Conserving  the Use of Energy.  Institute of Gas
     Technology,  Chicago, 111., 1971.

10.   P.  R. Achenbach, et al.   A Feasibility Study of Total Energy
     Systems for  Breakthrough  Housing Sites.  National Bureau of
     Standards Report 10 402,  Appendix A, Washington, D.C., August
     1971.

11.   C.  D. Stahl,  quoted in Electronic News, February 4, 1974, p. 32.

12.   E.  Vandergrift.  Particulate Pollutant System Study.  Vol.  III.
     Handbook of  Emission Properties, Environmental Protection Agency,
     CPA 22-69-104 CPB  203  5221, May 1971.

13.   Joint Hearings Before  Certain  Subcommittees of the Committees  on
     Government Operations  and Science and Astronautics, House of
     Representatives,  "Conservation and  Efficient Use of Energy  (Part
     4)" 93rd Congress,  1st session, July  12, 1973, p. 1858-61.

14.   H.  Perry and H. Berkson.  "Must Fossil Fuels Pollute?"  Technology
     Review 74. No. 2  (December 1971): 34-43.

15.   Joint Hearings Before  Certain  Subcommittees.   "Conservation."   Part
     3,  July 11, 1973,  p.  904.

16.   Joint Hearings Before  Certain  Subcommittees, Part 3,  p. 907.

17.   S.  L. Jacobs.  "More Homes are Using  Electric  Heating;  Claim that
     It Wastes Energy  Is Disputed."  Wall  Street Journal,  February  14,
     1974, p. 1816.

18.   Title 40. Code of  Federal Regulations, Part 51, The Use of  Supple-
     mentary Control Systems and  Implementation of  Secondary Standards.
     September 14, 1973.
                                ni-61

-------
19.  Title 40, Code of Federal  Regulations,  Part  60, Standards of Per-
     formance for New Stationary  Sources,  November  14,  1973.

20.  T.  L. Montgomery, J.  M.  Leavitt,  T. L.  Crawford, and F. E. Gartrell
     "Controlling Ambient  SO,,."   Journal of  Metals, June 1973.

21.  Tall  Stacks, Various  Atmospheric  Phenomena,  and Related Aspects.
     NAPCA Publication No.  APTD 69-12, Arlington, Va.,  May  1969.

22.  Workbook of Atmospheric  Dispersion  Estimates.  PHS  Publication No.
     999-AP-26, Cincinnati, Ohio  1969,(Revised).

23.  PEDCo-Environmental.   Investigation of  Fugitive Dust—Sources,
     Emissions and Control.  Contract  No.  68-02-0044 Task Order No. 9,
     for Environmental Protection Agency,  Cincinnati, Ohio, May 1973.
                                111-62

-------
              Chapter IV:  INTERRELATIONSHIPS AMONG  MEASURES

     Many of the measures proposed for maintaining air  quality  standards
are not completely independent of one another, but have either  beneficial
or detrimental effects if they are implemented concurrently.   It  is
important that these interactions be recognized when maintenance  strate-
gies are being formulated so that, if combinations of measures  are neces-
sary, those that are compatible can be supported and those that are  not
can be avoided.
     The most significant interrelationships, for each measure were des-
cribed in some detail in chapters II and III.  The purpose of this
chapter is to present a more systematic procedure for assessing inter-
actions.  This procedure (ref. 1) utilizes a matrix  of  all the  measures
under consideration, as shown in table IV-1.  Four symbols are  used  to
qualitatively describe the different relationships, that may exist
between two measures:
     A—The measures assist each other either by facilitating imple-
        mentation or by increasing their combined effectiveness.
     C--The measures are complementary; they act on  different sources
        or in a different manner to mutually produce combined improve-
        ments.  One measure may be a component or instrument of the
        other.
     I--The measures are independent of each other;  neither will
        enhance nor deter the effectiveness of the other.
     0~The measures have some overlapping in their  emission reduction
        or location objectives, are competitive, may preempt each
        other, or be otherwise incompatible.
Theoretically, two measures could also be counterproductive to  each,  other.
However, none of the maintenance measures were observed to have this
relationship, so it has been omitted.
     The interrelationship between emission allocation  and emission
density zoning is an example of how one measure can  assist in the
                               IV-1

-------
                                              Table  IV-1.   Interrelationships  among  maintenance measures
f
K3

EMISSION ALLOCATION
Z
Z
0.
i
3
Q
z
o
ID
Z
z
o
t-
o
o
£
LJJ
ZONING APPROVALS 8 OTHER
INDIRECT REGULATORY CONTROLS
0
o:
i
tj
Z
o
l-
o:
O
Q.
Q;
EMISSION CHARGES
TRANSFER OF EMISSION SOURCE
LOCATIONS
INDIRECT SOURCE REVIEW
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
STATEMENTS
NEW SOURCE PERFORMANCE
STANDARDS
MORE RESTRICTIVE SOURCE
EMISSIONS LIMITATIONS
PHASE-OUT OR PROHIBITION OF
SPECIFIED SOURCE CATEGORIES
FUEL CONVERSION
Q
3
O
1-
ar
LJ
z o
o —
"s
Is
z t-
UJ 3
Z
t-J
LAND-USE AND PLANNING MEASURES
EMISSION ALLOCATION
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING
EMISSION DENSITY ZONING
ZONING APPROVALS & OTHER INDIRECT
REGULATORY CONTROLS
TRANSPORTATION CONTROLS
EMISSION CHARGES
TRANSFER OF EMISSION SOURCE
	 LOCATIONS
INDIRECT SOURCE REVIEW
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
STATEMENTS

c,o
A
0
c,i
0
A
C, 1
1
C.O

C.O
A
C,0
0
c
c
A
A
c,o

0
1
0
A
1
1
0
A
0

1
0
c
1
1
C,l
C.O
1
1

c
1
A
C
0
0
0
0
c

0
1
1
A
C
A
C
1
0



C,l
c
1
1
A
1
1

A

A
1

c
1

A

C
c
c
1
1
1
1
1
1
c,o
c
c
1
1
0
c
1
1
C
c
c
1
1
1
c
1
1
A
C
A
1
1
1
1
1
1
c
c
c
1
1
1
1
1
1
c
A
C
1

1
C


Z
o
1-
H
i
Z
i
o
(_»
UJ
Q.
t/3

U
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
STACK HEIGHT REGULATIONS

C
1
c
1
1
c
1
1
1
CONTROL OF FUGITIVE
DUST SOURCES

C
1
c
1
1
1
1
1
A
EMISSION CONTROL MEASURES
NEH SOURCE PERFORMANCE
STANDARDS
MORE RESTRICTIVE SOURCE EMISSION
LIMITATIONS
PHASE-OUT OR PROHIBITION OF
SPECIFIED SOURCE CATEGORIES
FUEL CONVERSION
ENERGY CONSERVATION AND
	 UTILIZATION 	
COMBINATION OF EMISSION SOURCES
SPECIAL OPERATING CONDITIONS
STACK HEIGHT REGULATIONS
CONTROL OF FUGITIVE DUST SOURCES
C
c,o
c
A
C
C
0
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
A
1
1
1
AAC
c
c
A
C
C
0
C
C

1
1
1


1


1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
c
1

C
C

1
C
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1



1
1


1
A
*
1
1
1
1
c
1
c
1
1

c
1
1
1
1
c
1
1
c

1
1
c
1
1
1
1
1
1

C
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
c

A
1
1
1
c
1
c

A


C
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

c
1
c
c
1
1
1
c
c

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

                                                 LEGEND:   A - MEASURES THAT ASSIST EACH OTHER IN MAINTAINING AIR QUALITY,
                                                         C - MEASURES THAT ARE COMPLEMENTARY IN MAINTAINING AIR QUALITY,
                                                         I - MEASURES THAT ARE INDEPENDENT OF EACH OTHER IN MAINTAINING AIR QUALITY,
                                                         0 - MEASURES THAT MAY OVERLAP OR PREEMPT EACH OTHER IN MAINTAINING AIR QUALITY,

-------
the implementation of another.   Emission allocation  prescribes  the  total
allowable emissions in an area.   Emission density zoning  provides  a means
of implementation by distributing the allowable emissions throughout the
area on the basis of land use.   More restrictive source emission regula-
tions and stack height regulations are examples of complementary measures,
Implementation of the first results in a reduction of emissions, the
second in a spatial distribution of the reduced emissions.  An  example
of measures that are independent of each other is found in the  combina-
tion of Environmental Impact Statements (EIS's) and New Source  Perfor-
mance Standards (NSPS).  The EIS's are applicable during the planning
and preplanning stages, NSPS to the construction and implementation.
Zoning approval and emission changes are examples of measures that may
overlap or preempt each other.   Zoning restrictions could prohibit the
construction or modification of a source that, if built, would  produce
emissions subject to emission charges.
     This approach to evaluation of interactions involves some  sub-
jective categorizations, but it provides a simple method of organizing
the evaluation results for grouping of the measures.  Some of the
measures are so broad in scope and may interact in such complex manners
that a single descriptive categorization may not be adequate.  For
example, a regional  land-use plan could encourage high-density corridor
developments in an urban area to increase mass transit usage and reduce
VMT.   In one AQMA, this may be interpreted as  assisting transportation
controls in maintaining standards, while in another it may be considered
overlapping.  The analysis of interrelationships should be made specif-
ically for each AQMA  based on local  conditions.  The results may be
different from those  shown in table  IV-1.  In  general, the same inter-
actions will exist regardless of whether the two measures are being
used for control  of  the same pollutant or for  two different pollutants.
     Although the  following conclusion is not  evident  from the  results
of the matrix analysis, most of the  land-use and planning measures
(except  the review procedures) represent comprehensive approaches  to  air
quality  maintenance  and, as such,  are mutually exclusive  alternatives.
The generalization can also be made  that most  of the emission control
measures can  usually be  implemented  within the framework  of different
                               IV-3

-------
land-use and planning measures,  and may be the  specific  actions  taken  to

effect emission reductions that  are needed under a land-use  and  planning

measure.
     In cases where implementation of a single  maintenance measure

involves several  actions, e.g.,  transportation  controls,  an  analogous

matrix for intrameasure relationships should be developed, so  that  these

are adequately considered in designating the actual  actions  to be

implemented.  The intrameasure interactions are highly dependent on

local conditions, both in determining which individual controls  are

applicable and what the impacts  are among them.
                                REFERENCES
1.   The procedure was adapted from a procedure for evaluating
     interrelationships between energy reduction actions  presented
     in a draft report entitled Guidelines to Reduce Energy Con-
     sumption Through Transportation Actions, prepared for U.S.
     Department of Transportation, Washington, D.C., by Alan M.
     Voorhees and Associates, March 29, 1974.
                                IV-4

-------
                                  TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                           (Please read Instructions on tlic reverse before completing)
1  REPORT NO.
  EPA-450/4-74-003
                                                          3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION-NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
  Guidelines  for Air Quality Maintenance Planning  and
  Analysis, Volume 3, Control Strategies
                                                         5. REPORT DATE
                                                          July  1974
                                                         6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7 AUTHOR(S)
                                                          8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
  Environmental  Studies Center
                                                          10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
  Research Triangle Institute
  Research Triangle Park, N. C. 27709
  PEDCo Environmental  Specialists, Cincinnati,  Ohio 45246
                                                         11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
                                                           68-02-1386  Task No.  1
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
  U.  S.  Environmental Protection Agency
  Office of Air and Waste Management
  Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
  Research Triangle Park, N. C. 27711	
                                                         13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                                           Final
                                                         14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
  Part  of  a  12 Volume series.
16. ABSTRACT
       This  report describes 18 different measures  that have been used or proposed
  for  use  in maintaining air quality standards  in  regional  areas.  For each measure,
  information has been assembled on current  applications (case histories),
  recommendations for implementing the measure,  estimates of potential effectiveness;
  and  conditions under which the measure is  most applicable.  Many of the measures
                        land-use or regional  planning,  and  are concerned primarily
                                  These include:   emission  allocation procedures,
                                 emission density  zoning, zoning approvals,
  transportation controls, emission charges,  transfer of emission source location,
  indirect source review, and environmental  impact  statements.  Other measures
  are  technological  in nature:   new source performance  standards, more stringent
  control  of existing sources,  phaseout or prohibition  of emission sources, fuel
  conversion, energy conservation and utilization,  combination of emission sources,
  special  operating  conditions, stack height  regulations, and control of fugitive
  dust sources
reviewed
with new
regional
are based on
sources of emissions.
development planning,
17.
                               KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
                                             b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS  C. COSATI Field/Group
 Regional Planning
 Urban Planning
 Land Use Zoning
 Air Pollution Control  Equipment
 Atmosphere Contamination Control
 Air Pollution
                                            Air Quality Maintenance
                                              Plans
                                            Air Quality Maintenance
                                              Measures
                                            Land Use Controls for  Air
                                              Quality Maintenance
                                              "'ssion Co.ntrpls for  Air
                                                 • I ".
                                                                    13-B
                                              imiss:
                                               Qua
                                              19. SECl
                                           y Maint.pnanrp
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT

     Unlimited
                                            19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report)
                                              Unclassified
                                                              21. NO. OF PAGES

                                                                 188
                                              20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)
                                               Unclassified
                                                                        22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
                                           V-l

-------