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       The United States spends more
       than $4.5 billion  annually on
       solid  waste management—and
       more than 80 percent of that
       goes for  collection.  An  effi-
cient collection  system is thus crucial
to the overall success of a solid waste
management  system.  Cutting  col-
lection  costs can be  approached in  a
number  of  ways.  Wastes could be
eliminated  before  they  require col-
lection, or  wastes difficult or expen-
sive  to  collect might  be replaced by
those which are not.  Manpower re-
quirements could be reduced or better
collection vehicles developed.
   Still  another  approach is operations
research models, which can be helpful
in  planning and  managing  any col-
lection  system.  It is relatively easy to
apply  such models to  systems  with
well-defined objectives and restrictions
and  readily measured  effectiveness.  A
fleet of  laundry  trucks, for example,
must be  routed so that the customer is
satisfied  with the frequency of service
and costs are kept to a minimum.
   In   applying  operations  research
models to systems like those collecting
solid waste, however, many stumbling
blocks are encountered. The objectives
of a solid waste collection system may
be  vague  and  difficult  to  express.
Restrictions  (especially  the political
and   social)  may  be  difficult to
measure. The  political implications of
who controls  a system  and who pays
for which  service  may  mean that  a
seemingly efficient scheme is thrown
out. Since  large amounts of  money
may already have been invested in the
system, the operations research analyst
must  often  work around the blunders
of the past. But the biggest problem in
analyzing solid waste collection  is in
measuring its effectiveness. Frequency

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of  collection,  types  of wastes  col-
lected, locations  from  which wastes
are collected,  and  general  customer
satisfaction—all are  involved, but it is
almost impossible to evaluate them in
concrete terms.
   All this does not mean that opera-
tions research models and tools should
not be  applied  to solid waste pro-
blems. But as with all  models,  they
must be used carefully  with an appre-
ciation of the factors that the models
cannot consider directly.  A  model
does  not  replace a  decision maker, it
helps him. But it helps  him  only  if he
continues to use his own judgment and
does not follow the model blindly.
   Decision makers may get  some help
from a study by David  H. Marks and
Jon C.  Liebman  of Johns Hopkins
University's Department of Geography
and Environmental  Engineering. Work-
ing under a research grant  from the
solid  waste management program  of
the  U.S.  Environmental  Protection
Agency,  they  developed a  number  of
solid waste collection models. The first
involves  determining the location  of
intermediate  stations   where  solid
wastes can  be transferred  from col-
lection vehicles to  vehicles  (such  as
large trucks or trains)  more suited  to
long-haul  transportation  to disposal
sites.  The second  model analyzes the
best way of routing the wastes to the
transfer facility, assuming first that  all
wastes are  collected  together, then
that a number of different kinds are
collected separately. The third model
concerns   scheduling routes  for   in-
dividual trucks.
   The Hopkins engineers then applied
one of the models to the solid waste
collection system of nearby Baltimore,
Maryland.  They  concluded that the
models, although limited to part of the

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              location  of
transfer  stations
total collection  system, can still pro-
vide  a  great deal  of  insight  into the
system.   Application   of   operations
research  to  those  parts of  the col-
lection  system   amenable  to  such
analysis can, they feel, yield  a wealth
of information to the decision maker
charged with planning and managing a
large-scale  solid  waste  collection
system.

The  fundamental  questions regarding
transfer stations involve their desirabil-
ity, number, location, and capacity, as
well  as  the  specific functions  they
should perform. The answers  involve a
trade-off between the cost of building
the  station  and the  cost of  trans-
portation. Two points are clear:

•  This is a general problem  of locat-
   ing  facilities, so that other studies
   may provide valuable information.
•  Assuming that facility  and trans-
   portation costs can be defined, it is
   possible that  the  problem can be
   defined in mathematical terms.

   A  literature search revealed that
mathematical procedures had indeed
been formulated,  particularly for the
large-scale "flow of goods,"  in which
the concern  is with  selecting paths
over which  materials  move  between
collection areas and central facilities.
When  the  materials  flow from  the
facility to supply demand  in the sur-
rounding regions,  it  is called  a "ware-
housing"  problem;  when  they flow
from  the surrounding regions  to  a
central producing facility, it is a "plant
location" problem. In either  case, the
transporting vehicles are assumed to be
smaller than the quantity of material
to be  transported, so the vehicle does
not have to be routed to pick up a full

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load; this assumption simplifies the
mathematical procedures.
   Operations research analysts work-
ing on  this problem have faced  two
basic questions:
•  Is demand  spread, uniformly or
   otherwise, continuously across the
   entire  area  to be  served, or is  it
   located at discrete points?
•  Is the  number of potential facility
   sites infinite, or is it limited?

   If both demand and potential sites
are  assumed to  be  infinite, the  pro-
blem becomes  very  difficult to solve.
Fortunately, there is  not an  infinite
number of sites  in a city where solid
waste facilities can be located; rather,
there is a finite and very small number
based  on available land,  zoning, con-
centrations of people, and the location
of  existing  structures. Demand does
tend to cluster, and  in most  cases it is
reasonable to subdivide  a  region into
areas with demand centered at a point.
The problem then is to  determine on
which  of  the potential sites the facili-
ties should be built and which demand
areas each facility  should  serve. The
objective  is  to  minimize  the total
cost—that is, the cost of transporting
the  wastes   and  of   building  the
facilities.
   Marks and Liebman found that the
problem  in solid waste management
had  added dimensions over  a simple
warehousing  or  plant   location  pro-
blem.
   Earlier work had placed no restric-
tions on the flow of materials through
the  facilities,  when  in  fact transfer
facilities  do  have  capacities, which
must be observed in models. Further-
more,   since  the  wastes   might  be
processed at the station  (sorted, com-
pacted, or incinerated, for example) a

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minimum  through-put may be neces-
sary to keep the process operating.
   Two  transportation  costs  are  in-
volved,  since  the facilities are  inter-
mediate points  between  where the
wastes are  generated and where they
are disposed.
   Thus, Marks  and  Liebman  were
seeking  to solve a  special problem,
which  they called  "the capacitated
trans-shipment facility  location pro-
blem," They solved  it by means of a
network flow   algorithm  combined
with a branch-and-bound technique.
   The  model that they  developed,
when  programmed for the computer,
could  handle a very large and complex
solid waste collection system and find
the best solution  quickly.  A  short
solution time is  very important, since
the value of models is their ability to
make  repeated runs and determine the
effects of  changing various conditions
in the system.
other models

The  other models  developed  in the
study  were  not so  successful. The
second model considers the best way
for wastes to flow through the net-
work when the transfer sites have been
chosen; again, the small-scale  routing
of  individual coHection  vehicles   is
ignored.   Marks   and  Liebman  con-
sidered two  cases of routing a fleet of
vehicles  between points in the net-
work.  In one case, all wastes  were
collected  together.  In  the other,  a
number  were   collected   separately.
Residential,  industrial, and construc-
tion   wastes,  salvageable  materials,
ashes, leaves, and even Christmas trees
are  sometimes  collected   separately.
Although the model can find solutions
quickly, the size  of the networks is so
small that it can't  be used on  solid
waste collection systems.

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network with

potential transfer

stations

Locating stations where solid wastes will be trans-
ferred from collection trucks to long-haul vehicles
is essentially a problem of large-scale flow of goods
in which the goal is to minimize the distances trav-
eled in the network of collection areas, transfer sta-
tions, and disposal areas. This simplified example
considers just two collection areas, three transfer
station sites, and two disposal points. The actual
Baltimore analysis considered 40 collection areas,
7 transfer station sites, and 1 disposal point.

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   The third model assigns collection
stops to individual trucks. Many public
and private agencies share this problem
of scheduling vehicles  to  and  from
given locations,  so it has  received a
great deal of attention from operations
research  analysts.  Vehicle  scheduling
problems can be classified according to
a number of criteria, including:

•  Is demand discrete or continuous?
•  Is it uniform or nonuniform?
   Discrete demand implies demand is
located at specific points of a network,
with travel between the points taking
place along arcs. An example is routing
petroleum products to service stations.
Continuous  demand is  illustrated by
snow plowing; this is also an example
of  uniform  demand,   while  service
stations  are  a case of nonuniform
demand.
   Marks and Liebman classified solid
waste  collection  as  discrete but uni-
form demand, and stated the problem
in the  form of the well-known "travel-
ing salesman" problem. The salesman's
route calls for him to visit all required
cities once and return to the starting
point,  while  traveling  the minimum
distance. The size and  complexity of
solid waste collection  systems require
many  "salemen," and  this multiroute
problem has not been studied in great
detail.  Marks  and Liebman were able
to develop a solution  method for the
multiroute problem, although it is not
yet  practical  in  the solid waste col-
lection context. The reason is that the
total number of "cities" (representing
households or block-faces) which can
be  handled  in  reasonable computer
time  is  quite small.  In  test   cases,
12-city problems  took 30  seconds on

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an IBM 7094 computer, while 16-city
problems took  as much as 2 minutes.
This exponential relationship between
problem  size  and   computer  time
would make practical-sized  collection
systems impossible to solve using the
present model.
   Others working with vehicle sched-
uling  models  have  encountered the
same   difficulty,  and   Marks  and
Liebman believe that, in the interest of
solving  real-world  problems, it might
be  profitable  to  stop  pursuing the
mathematics through to completion to
determine  the  best  solution.  Rather,
the emphasis should shift to using a set
of rules that ensures finding a good
solution. To date, no one has investi-
gated the difference between a good
solution and   the  best   solution  in
vehicle  routing  to  determine  if the
search  for  the best  is  worthwhile.
Meanwhile, comparisons of alternative
solutions based on procedures seeking
a good solution should be viewed with
caution.
   Vehicle  scheduling models might
also  be  improved   if demand  were
thought of as being  continuously dis-
tributed along the arcs of a network,
according to Marks and Liebman. This
is  the so-called  "Chinese postman"
problem,  which  can  be  remarkably
easy and quick to solve. The problem
is to find  a continuous route for one
vehicle that travels all arcs  while travel-
ing the minimum distance. The Johns
Hopkins   investigators  believe  it  is
possible to extend these techniques to
more  than one vehicle  and  develop
practical computer programs that can
ensure finding  good solutions to the
problems of routing a fleet of collec-
tion vehicles.

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        ANALYSIS  OF  BALTIMORE'S
SOLID   WASTE  COLLECTION  SYSTEM
Using  the transfer facility location
model, Marks and Liebman turned to
analyzing Baltimore's solid waste col-
lection system. Baltimore is a good
example of a large city with extensive
investment in a public system. In fiscal
year 1971, the  city  budgeted $7.4
million to collect and dispose of mixed
municipal  wastes.  Baltimore  was  a
good  choice for  another reason:  a
great deal of data has been collected
on operation of the system.
   The Hopkins  study,  which consi-
dered  only the  short-range  picture,
asked these main questions:
•  Are transfer stations feasible within
   the city? If so, where should they
   be  located? What size should they
   be?
•  What are the  costs and effects of
  increasing collections from two to
  three times a week?
• Under what conditions and at what
  price  would  rail  haul  become a
  feasible alternative for the city?

  Subordinate to these questions, but
still  of great  interest, are three addi-
tional questions:
• How  sensitive  are the  solutions
  found to changes in conditions and
  cost estimates?
• What are the effects of political and
  aesthetic  restrictions that might
  force  a change from the solution
  suggested  by economic  and engi-
  neering  considerations  to  one
  perhaps more acceptable  to  seg-
  ments of the community?
• Are  there  advantages  to  cooper-

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the  study area
   ation  between governmental units
   within a region where such cooper-
   ation does not now exist?

Marks and Liebman chose as the study
area  Baltimore's  Northwestern  Div-
ision, one of  the  city's five  autono-
mous districts. It is inhabited by about
225,000 people. It can be subdivided
into  40 census tracts for which exact
population,   location,  number   of
household units, and housing unit den-
sity are known. The density is impor-
tant  because it gives some indication
of the speed  of collection. In the study
area, significantly greater weight can
be collected  each  hour in  neighbor-
hoods  having  more than 10  housing
units per acre than in those having less
than  10.
   The   speed  of  collection  also
depends on  the number of days since
the last  collection.  Mixed refuse  is
picked  up  twice weekly  from resi-
dential and noncommercial sites in the
study area. The collection in the early
part of the  week is generally larger
since  it picks up  four  days  of solid
waste  accumulation. Normally,  the
crews for the larger collections consist
of a driver  plus three laborers; there
are two laborers  for the smaller col-
lections.
   As   transfer   sites,   Marks  and
Liebman  chose   seven   possibilities.
Five,  including one  for rail haul, are
within  the   Northwestern  Division.
Four  are already  publicly owned. As
a disposal site, they picked the Pulaski
incinerator, the newest of Baltimore's
two  incinerators.   It is  closer to the
study  area,   and   its unit  costs are
somewhat  lower  than  Baltimore's
older  incinerator.  Wastes would move
to the incinerator via 75-cubic yard
tractor  trailers with a  capacity  of
35,000 pounds. Not all wastes, how-
ever, would  go to  transfer stations.  It
would be more economical for areas
close  to the  incinerator to  send their
wastes there directly. For rail haul, the
wastes would go  to abandoned  coal

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MOUSING UNITS

PER ACRE



| | LESS THAN 10




| I MORE THAN1O
                         location of
                         proposed transfer sites
                         and present incinerator sites,
                         Baltimore, Maryland

-------
mines in western Pennsylvania.
   In all, 60 computer runs were made
on the facilities location model. Using
the IBM 7094, these runs took a total
of 45 minutes of computer time—or
about $375  at  commercial  rates.  A
number  of factors and conditions were
varied in the runs. Stations of various
sizes were assumed at  the  potential
sites.  Collection  frequencies of two
and  three times  weekly  were  con-
sidered.  Haul distances to final dis-
posal, waste loads, and collection rates
were varied.
   One  of the  runs duplicated the
present system, which was to serve as a
benchmark   against which  changes
must be evaluated. This system of two
collections a week in the study area
costs  $12,666 per  week, based  on
1965 cost figures; this covers the costs
of collecting  1,428 tons of wastes and
transporting  them to the incinerator,
plus incineration  costs. Systems using
transfer  stations have two additional
 costs—those of the station itself and of
 transferring  the  wastes  from   the
 station.
   The run on the present system also
 served to  check  the  validity  of  the
 model. Using 1960 population figures,
 the   model  reported  the  present
 system's annual cost at $688,632, or
 4.5  percent below the $722,000  the
 city reported for the year 1965. Since
 the study area is gaining in population,
 the  model  estimates  would be  ex-
 pected  to  be lower than the actual
 1965 expenditures.

feasibility  of

transfer  stations
 A  series  of  computer   runs  was
 carried  out  with different capacity
 transfer  stations  to  determine  if
 stations  lower  the  cost of  the solid
 waste collection system. In every case
 they  did. The savings is 7 percent of

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17000
                                 M:
                                         (B)
   larger transfer
   stations are
   more economical
   to operate
15000
                  600       900      1200

              TRANSFER STATION CAPACITY IN TONS PER WEEK
1500

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the present cost  and would be  ex-
pected to increase in the future as the
system expands. The dollar difference
between the transfer  and  nontransfer
solution  is a rough measure  of  how
much  money  should be  invested  in
stations.
   The model indicated that one trans-
fer  station  should  be  built in  the
Northwestern Division. Site B is usual-
ly  the best site, even when conditions
in  the system are changed drastically.
If  for some reason, B  could not be
used, site C, then  A, could be selected
at little extra charge.
   The  size of the transfer  stations
considered varied  from  600 to 1500
tons per  week.  For  the  smaller sta-
tions, site A, or A and C as alterna-
tives, were  chosen.  For the larger
stations, B was chosen. In all cases, the
model assigns some wastes directly to
disposal  without  transfer. Both  the
1200- and 1500-ton stations were used
at  less than capacity, with about 40
percent of the wastes going directly to
disposal. The  total  system cost stays
about  the  same  once the  station
reaches a capacity of 900 tons. The
1,500 ton size, therefore, was picked as
the best size, since, at no extra cost, it
allows for the large loads arriving early
in  the week, as well  as  for future
growth of the system.

increasing
collection
to three times
weekly
The  extra costs  involved  in  increas-
ing collection frequency to three times
per week were studied in a number of
computer  runs.   For  the   present
system, the cost would increase by 4.6
percent. There are,  however, several
assumptions buried  in the  calculation

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that should be kept in mind. First, the
routes would  have to be redesigned to
ensure  that the  trucks are close  to
capacity before they go to the transfer
or disposal points. The  average truck
load  for  two  times  a week is  9,000
pounds.  Since less  waste would  be
collected from each  stop on the three
times a  week schedule,  the  truck
would have to service more stops to
get  a  complete  load.  Should  the
average truck  load for  three times a
week drop, by 10 percent for example,
because  routes are  no  longer  of the
best design, the added cost would rise
to 8  percent; a 25 percent drop in load
would mean a 14 percent difference in
cost.
   Time is another factor that must be
watched  in  designing  routes.  Many
systems forbid overtime, which  means
trucks return  at a given time regardless
of the load collected. Because travel
times are longer with three collections
a week, the time a route takes must be
watched  carefully.  A  good routing
model  could help in designing routes
properly.
   The second  assumption is that the
weekly  waste   load   is  the   same,
whether the load is picked up in two
collections or three. Studies in Chicago
indicate that  waste  loads  increased
from  30 to 50 percent when col-
lections were increased from once to
twice  a week.  In several of  the Balti-
more  runs  waste loads were assumed
to increase; the  results indicate that
the cost difference is very sensitive to
increased loads,  so  the question  of
waste  load  should be  studied  before
collection frequency is increased.

The present haul distance  from  the
Northwestern Division to the Pulaski
incinerator  averages 8  miles  one way.
This distance will probably increase as
the city expands, since the tendency is
to move waste disposal farther out to
avoid  complaints from nearby com-
increasing
haul distances

-------
munities; also, it becomes increasingly
difficult to find  enough  suitable sites
near the city.
   Computer runs were made assuming
haul distances of 10, 12, 14,  and  16
miles,  with  and  without  transfer
stations.  With rail  haul  the  distance
was assumed  to be  200 miles. The
results indicate that as haul  distance
increases, both  transfer and rail haul
become more  attractive.
   With twice-a-week collection, rail
haul costs  become competitive with
the present system at 11.5 miles; with
transfer stations rail  haul  becomes
competitive when distances reach 22.5
miles.
   Under present conditions, rail haul
is  not an  attractive  alternative.  It
would  cost $18,791 a week, or 12.8
percent more  than the present system
and 19.7 percent more than the pres-
ent system  would  cost if  it  used
transfer.
sensitivity  to

other (actors
Other computer runs were  made to
show how  sensitive the system is to
some additional factors:
   Waste Loads. As waste  loads  in-
crease, total system costs increase pro-
portionately. B  was always  the  best
site in the test cases. Even when waste
loads almost doubled, a second station
at a different site was not the cheapest
answer,  unless  the capacity  was  re-
stricted to 600 tons per week.
   Speed of Transfer   Vehicle.  The
large tractor trailers carrying  wastes
from transfer station to disposal would
travel at  16 miles  per hour,  the same
average speed collection vehicles now
make. If speed  could be increased to
30 miles per hour, costs would drop
by 7.5 percent. Such an increase seems
unlikely, however.

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 19000
ui
ui


a
UI
 18000
- 17000
2
UJ
> 16000
  15000
                             2 COLLECTIONS PER WEEK
use of transfer
stations reduces
solid waste
management costs
       8  10  12  14  16  18  20  22  24  26  28  30


             AVERAGE ONE-WAY HAUL DISTANCE IN MILES

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political,  aesthetic,
            and regional
              restrictions
  Collection  Rates.   Increasing  or
decreasing  the  collection rate by  10
percent leads to a 5 percent change in
total system cost. Thus, care should be
taken in estimating these  rates. Fur-
ther, inexpensive time-saving  devices
or changes in  work rules should  be
investigated.
  Station  Cost. Fixed  costs  of the
stations were increased from 25 to 100
percent. At about 75 percent, transfer
stations are no  longer feasible, but  up
to that  point  the same station was
chosen every time.

Limitations sometimes  develop that
preclude use of what appears to be the
best  alternative. For example, a site
suitable for a solid waste facility might
be better  used as  a  school site. The
surrounding  neighborhood   might
strongly  oppose a solid waste facility.
Or cooperation between political sub-
divisions  might be impossible. Two
computer  runs in  which  site B was
excluded from consideration showed
that using site A would add only $60
to the total system cost. Thus, the
decision maker may have considerable
leeway  in  choosing  between  alter-
natives when he must  also  consider
intangible  criteria.  The  model  also
helps the decision maker put a dollar
value  on these criteria.  If  the  first
alternative  costs $100,000  and the
second  $150,000,  are  intangibles
worth $50,000 to the community?
   Regionalization  was considered  in
the study  by  dividing  the North-
western  Division   into   two  non-
cooperating  regions.   The  northern
regions were to use only transfer sites
A,D, and E; the southern areas only
sites B,C, and F. In this case, transfer
is still feasible, but just barely. Marks
and Liebman believe that analysis of
the entire Baltimore area would show
even greater advantages to the use of
transfer stations than those shown  in
the Northwestern Division.

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The Pulaski incinerator was designated as the dis-
posal site in the study of Baltimore's solid waste
collection system. It was chosen over the City's
other incinerator because it is closer to the study
area and its unit costs are lower

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For several years Denver, Colorado used this trans-
 fer station in its solid waste management system.
 Packer truck (upper left) transfers its load to the
      trailer (bottom right) for the 12-mile trip to
       Lowry Air Base Bombing Range. Station is
                         now temporarily closed

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The location model developed in the
Hopkins study may be  used by  any
community  to  evaluate  alternative
sites for transfer stations. Data needed
would include:
•  Location of each potential site
•  Location of each collection area
•  Population density  of  each  col-
   lection area
•  Waste generation rate of each  col-
   lection area
•  Costs of vehicles, labor, and facil-
   ities
•  Location of each disposal facility
The  model  requires a  medium-sized
computer to run studies of any large
city. Present computer codes are writ-
ten in Fortran  IV for an IBM 7094
computer (32K  memory),  although it
is  likely that a 16K machine could be
used if the program were modified.
   Obviously, there are some simplifi-
cations in a model such as this one.
Since the model only chooses between
alternatives,  it  may  reasonably  be
assumed that the details left out would
affect each alternative equally, so that
the relative choice would still remain
the same. However,  the  costs estim-
ated by the model may be in error
because  these details are lacking. A
simulation model developed  earlier by
the Hopkins group can  be used to
examine  in more  detail  the  cost of
operation of a particular alternative
selected  by the location  model.  The
simulation model requires much more
data, however,  and is likely to need
some program modification  to reflect
accurately the  conditions in  a given
city. The development and use of  this
model are reported  in Mathematical
Modeling of Solid Waste Collection
Policies.
application
to other solid
waste systems

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Baltimore Data Used in Mathematical Model
The mathematical model calculates as many as five separate costs for each of 40 subregions to arrive
at total cost for the various solid waste collection systems proposed for Baltimore's Northwestern Division.
Figures represent Baltimore costs in 1965-66.
COLLECTION COSTS
equipment costs
labor costs
waste loads
$4.40 per hour for 20-cubic-yard vehicle
$20 per day for drivers, $18 for laborers; assuming 6
hours are spent productively yields hourly rates of
$3.33 for drivers, $3.00 for laborers
1 .95 pounds per person per day
COSTS OF TRANSPORTING WASTES
TO TRANSFER STATION OR DISPOSAL POINT
equipment and
labor costs
distances traveled
vehicle speed
vehicle load
same as above
calculated for each subregion
16 miles per hour
9,000 pounds
TRANSFER STATION COSTS
land costs
$40,000 for below 200 tons per day capacity, plus
$200 per additional ton. Yearly cost is based on
interest on investment; land is assumed not to de-
preciate; no taxes are lost, since most sites are
publicly owned
labor costs three men at $20 per day each for station of less
than 200 tons per day; four men for greater capacity
capital costs of $125,000 for below 100 tons per day capacity, plus
structures $500 per additional ton. Yearly cost has been pro-
duced through discounting, assuming 30-year life and
10 percent interest rate
maximum daily 306 tons per day
load
COSTS OF TRANSPORTING WASTES
FROM TRANSFER STATION TO DISPOSAL
equipment costs $1 1 .00 per hour for 75-cubic-yard tractor trailer
labor costs $3.33 per hour for driver
distances traveled calculated for each subregion
vehicle load 35,000 pounds
Rail haul transport and disposal costs are calculated together at $5.40 per ton,
the price Philadelphia was to pay for shipping and disposal in abandoned coal
mines in western Pennsylvania
DISPOSAL COSTS
$2.80 per ton at Pulaski incinerator
                                                                                  yo571
U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1972  O-468-193

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