------- The United States spends more than $4.5 billion annually on solid waste management—and more than 80 percent of that goes for collection. An effi- cient collection system is thus crucial to the overall success of a solid waste management system. Cutting col- lection costs can be approached in a number of ways. Wastes could be eliminated before they require col- lection, or wastes difficult or expen- sive to collect might be replaced by those which are not. Manpower re- quirements could be reduced or better collection vehicles developed. Still another approach is operations research models, which can be helpful in planning and managing any col- lection system. It is relatively easy to apply such models to systems with well-defined objectives and restrictions and readily measured effectiveness. A fleet of laundry trucks, for example, must be routed so that the customer is satisfied with the frequency of service and costs are kept to a minimum. In applying operations research models to systems like those collecting solid waste, however, many stumbling blocks are encountered. The objectives of a solid waste collection system may be vague and difficult to express. Restrictions (especially the political and social) may be difficult to measure. The political implications of who controls a system and who pays for which service may mean that a seemingly efficient scheme is thrown out. Since large amounts of money may already have been invested in the system, the operations research analyst must often work around the blunders of the past. But the biggest problem in analyzing solid waste collection is in measuring its effectiveness. Frequency ------- of collection, types of wastes col- lected, locations from which wastes are collected, and general customer satisfaction—all are involved, but it is almost impossible to evaluate them in concrete terms. All this does not mean that opera- tions research models and tools should not be applied to solid waste pro- blems. But as with all models, they must be used carefully with an appre- ciation of the factors that the models cannot consider directly. A model does not replace a decision maker, it helps him. But it helps him only if he continues to use his own judgment and does not follow the model blindly. Decision makers may get some help from a study by David H. Marks and Jon C. Liebman of Johns Hopkins University's Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering. Work- ing under a research grant from the solid waste management program of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, they developed a number of solid waste collection models. The first involves determining the location of intermediate stations where solid wastes can be transferred from col- lection vehicles to vehicles (such as large trucks or trains) more suited to long-haul transportation to disposal sites. The second model analyzes the best way of routing the wastes to the transfer facility, assuming first that all wastes are collected together, then that a number of different kinds are collected separately. The third model concerns scheduling routes for in- dividual trucks. The Hopkins engineers then applied one of the models to the solid waste collection system of nearby Baltimore, Maryland. They concluded that the models, although limited to part of the ------- «> •x*. "•*." / • ~v*-< pr- . w** ^CiT ------- location of transfer stations total collection system, can still pro- vide a great deal of insight into the system. Application of operations research to those parts of the col- lection system amenable to such analysis can, they feel, yield a wealth of information to the decision maker charged with planning and managing a large-scale solid waste collection system. The fundamental questions regarding transfer stations involve their desirabil- ity, number, location, and capacity, as well as the specific functions they should perform. The answers involve a trade-off between the cost of building the station and the cost of trans- portation. Two points are clear: • This is a general problem of locat- ing facilities, so that other studies may provide valuable information. • Assuming that facility and trans- portation costs can be defined, it is possible that the problem can be defined in mathematical terms. A literature search revealed that mathematical procedures had indeed been formulated, particularly for the large-scale "flow of goods," in which the concern is with selecting paths over which materials move between collection areas and central facilities. When the materials flow from the facility to supply demand in the sur- rounding regions, it is called a "ware- housing" problem; when they flow from the surrounding regions to a central producing facility, it is a "plant location" problem. In either case, the transporting vehicles are assumed to be smaller than the quantity of material to be transported, so the vehicle does not have to be routed to pick up a full ------- load; this assumption simplifies the mathematical procedures. Operations research analysts work- ing on this problem have faced two basic questions: • Is demand spread, uniformly or otherwise, continuously across the entire area to be served, or is it located at discrete points? • Is the number of potential facility sites infinite, or is it limited? If both demand and potential sites are assumed to be infinite, the pro- blem becomes very difficult to solve. Fortunately, there is not an infinite number of sites in a city where solid waste facilities can be located; rather, there is a finite and very small number based on available land, zoning, con- centrations of people, and the location of existing structures. Demand does tend to cluster, and in most cases it is reasonable to subdivide a region into areas with demand centered at a point. The problem then is to determine on which of the potential sites the facili- ties should be built and which demand areas each facility should serve. The objective is to minimize the total cost—that is, the cost of transporting the wastes and of building the facilities. Marks and Liebman found that the problem in solid waste management had added dimensions over a simple warehousing or plant location pro- blem. Earlier work had placed no restric- tions on the flow of materials through the facilities, when in fact transfer facilities do have capacities, which must be observed in models. Further- more, since the wastes might be processed at the station (sorted, com- pacted, or incinerated, for example) a ------- minimum through-put may be neces- sary to keep the process operating. Two transportation costs are in- volved, since the facilities are inter- mediate points between where the wastes are generated and where they are disposed. Thus, Marks and Liebman were seeking to solve a special problem, which they called "the capacitated trans-shipment facility location pro- blem," They solved it by means of a network flow algorithm combined with a branch-and-bound technique. The model that they developed, when programmed for the computer, could handle a very large and complex solid waste collection system and find the best solution quickly. A short solution time is very important, since the value of models is their ability to make repeated runs and determine the effects of changing various conditions in the system. other models The other models developed in the study were not so successful. The second model considers the best way for wastes to flow through the net- work when the transfer sites have been chosen; again, the small-scale routing of individual coHection vehicles is ignored. Marks and Liebman con- sidered two cases of routing a fleet of vehicles between points in the net- work. In one case, all wastes were collected together. In the other, a number were collected separately. Residential, industrial, and construc- tion wastes, salvageable materials, ashes, leaves, and even Christmas trees are sometimes collected separately. Although the model can find solutions quickly, the size of the networks is so small that it can't be used on solid waste collection systems. ------- network with potential transfer stations Locating stations where solid wastes will be trans- ferred from collection trucks to long-haul vehicles is essentially a problem of large-scale flow of goods in which the goal is to minimize the distances trav- eled in the network of collection areas, transfer sta- tions, and disposal areas. This simplified example considers just two collection areas, three transfer station sites, and two disposal points. The actual Baltimore analysis considered 40 collection areas, 7 transfer station sites, and 1 disposal point. ------- The third model assigns collection stops to individual trucks. Many public and private agencies share this problem of scheduling vehicles to and from given locations, so it has received a great deal of attention from operations research analysts. Vehicle scheduling problems can be classified according to a number of criteria, including: • Is demand discrete or continuous? • Is it uniform or nonuniform? Discrete demand implies demand is located at specific points of a network, with travel between the points taking place along arcs. An example is routing petroleum products to service stations. Continuous demand is illustrated by snow plowing; this is also an example of uniform demand, while service stations are a case of nonuniform demand. Marks and Liebman classified solid waste collection as discrete but uni- form demand, and stated the problem in the form of the well-known "travel- ing salesman" problem. The salesman's route calls for him to visit all required cities once and return to the starting point, while traveling the minimum distance. The size and complexity of solid waste collection systems require many "salemen," and this multiroute problem has not been studied in great detail. Marks and Liebman were able to develop a solution method for the multiroute problem, although it is not yet practical in the solid waste col- lection context. The reason is that the total number of "cities" (representing households or block-faces) which can be handled in reasonable computer time is quite small. In test cases, 12-city problems took 30 seconds on ------- an IBM 7094 computer, while 16-city problems took as much as 2 minutes. This exponential relationship between problem size and computer time would make practical-sized collection systems impossible to solve using the present model. Others working with vehicle sched- uling models have encountered the same difficulty, and Marks and Liebman believe that, in the interest of solving real-world problems, it might be profitable to stop pursuing the mathematics through to completion to determine the best solution. Rather, the emphasis should shift to using a set of rules that ensures finding a good solution. To date, no one has investi- gated the difference between a good solution and the best solution in vehicle routing to determine if the search for the best is worthwhile. Meanwhile, comparisons of alternative solutions based on procedures seeking a good solution should be viewed with caution. Vehicle scheduling models might also be improved if demand were thought of as being continuously dis- tributed along the arcs of a network, according to Marks and Liebman. This is the so-called "Chinese postman" problem, which can be remarkably easy and quick to solve. The problem is to find a continuous route for one vehicle that travels all arcs while travel- ing the minimum distance. The Johns Hopkins investigators believe it is possible to extend these techniques to more than one vehicle and develop practical computer programs that can ensure finding good solutions to the problems of routing a fleet of collec- tion vehicles. ------- ------- ANALYSIS OF BALTIMORE'S SOLID WASTE COLLECTION SYSTEM Using the transfer facility location model, Marks and Liebman turned to analyzing Baltimore's solid waste col- lection system. Baltimore is a good example of a large city with extensive investment in a public system. In fiscal year 1971, the city budgeted $7.4 million to collect and dispose of mixed municipal wastes. Baltimore was a good choice for another reason: a great deal of data has been collected on operation of the system. The Hopkins study, which consi- dered only the short-range picture, asked these main questions: • Are transfer stations feasible within the city? If so, where should they be located? What size should they be? • What are the costs and effects of increasing collections from two to three times a week? • Under what conditions and at what price would rail haul become a feasible alternative for the city? Subordinate to these questions, but still of great interest, are three addi- tional questions: • How sensitive are the solutions found to changes in conditions and cost estimates? • What are the effects of political and aesthetic restrictions that might force a change from the solution suggested by economic and engi- neering considerations to one perhaps more acceptable to seg- ments of the community? • Are there advantages to cooper- ------- the study area ation between governmental units within a region where such cooper- ation does not now exist? Marks and Liebman chose as the study area Baltimore's Northwestern Div- ision, one of the city's five autono- mous districts. It is inhabited by about 225,000 people. It can be subdivided into 40 census tracts for which exact population, location, number of household units, and housing unit den- sity are known. The density is impor- tant because it gives some indication of the speed of collection. In the study area, significantly greater weight can be collected each hour in neighbor- hoods having more than 10 housing units per acre than in those having less than 10. The speed of collection also depends on the number of days since the last collection. Mixed refuse is picked up twice weekly from resi- dential and noncommercial sites in the study area. The collection in the early part of the week is generally larger since it picks up four days of solid waste accumulation. Normally, the crews for the larger collections consist of a driver plus three laborers; there are two laborers for the smaller col- lections. As transfer sites, Marks and Liebman chose seven possibilities. Five, including one for rail haul, are within the Northwestern Division. Four are already publicly owned. As a disposal site, they picked the Pulaski incinerator, the newest of Baltimore's two incinerators. It is closer to the study area, and its unit costs are somewhat lower than Baltimore's older incinerator. Wastes would move to the incinerator via 75-cubic yard tractor trailers with a capacity of 35,000 pounds. Not all wastes, how- ever, would go to transfer stations. It would be more economical for areas close to the incinerator to send their wastes there directly. For rail haul, the wastes would go to abandoned coal ------- MOUSING UNITS PER ACRE | | LESS THAN 10 | I MORE THAN1O location of proposed transfer sites and present incinerator sites, Baltimore, Maryland ------- mines in western Pennsylvania. In all, 60 computer runs were made on the facilities location model. Using the IBM 7094, these runs took a total of 45 minutes of computer time—or about $375 at commercial rates. A number of factors and conditions were varied in the runs. Stations of various sizes were assumed at the potential sites. Collection frequencies of two and three times weekly were con- sidered. Haul distances to final dis- posal, waste loads, and collection rates were varied. One of the runs duplicated the present system, which was to serve as a benchmark against which changes must be evaluated. This system of two collections a week in the study area costs $12,666 per week, based on 1965 cost figures; this covers the costs of collecting 1,428 tons of wastes and transporting them to the incinerator, plus incineration costs. Systems using transfer stations have two additional costs—those of the station itself and of transferring the wastes from the station. The run on the present system also served to check the validity of the model. Using 1960 population figures, the model reported the present system's annual cost at $688,632, or 4.5 percent below the $722,000 the city reported for the year 1965. Since the study area is gaining in population, the model estimates would be ex- pected to be lower than the actual 1965 expenditures. feasibility of transfer stations A series of computer runs was carried out with different capacity transfer stations to determine if stations lower the cost of the solid waste collection system. In every case they did. The savings is 7 percent of ------- 17000 M: (B) larger transfer stations are more economical to operate 15000 600 900 1200 TRANSFER STATION CAPACITY IN TONS PER WEEK 1500 ------- the present cost and would be ex- pected to increase in the future as the system expands. The dollar difference between the transfer and nontransfer solution is a rough measure of how much money should be invested in stations. The model indicated that one trans- fer station should be built in the Northwestern Division. Site B is usual- ly the best site, even when conditions in the system are changed drastically. If for some reason, B could not be used, site C, then A, could be selected at little extra charge. The size of the transfer stations considered varied from 600 to 1500 tons per week. For the smaller sta- tions, site A, or A and C as alterna- tives, were chosen. For the larger stations, B was chosen. In all cases, the model assigns some wastes directly to disposal without transfer. Both the 1200- and 1500-ton stations were used at less than capacity, with about 40 percent of the wastes going directly to disposal. The total system cost stays about the same once the station reaches a capacity of 900 tons. The 1,500 ton size, therefore, was picked as the best size, since, at no extra cost, it allows for the large loads arriving early in the week, as well as for future growth of the system. increasing collection to three times weekly The extra costs involved in increas- ing collection frequency to three times per week were studied in a number of computer runs. For the present system, the cost would increase by 4.6 percent. There are, however, several assumptions buried in the calculation ------- that should be kept in mind. First, the routes would have to be redesigned to ensure that the trucks are close to capacity before they go to the transfer or disposal points. The average truck load for two times a week is 9,000 pounds. Since less waste would be collected from each stop on the three times a week schedule, the truck would have to service more stops to get a complete load. Should the average truck load for three times a week drop, by 10 percent for example, because routes are no longer of the best design, the added cost would rise to 8 percent; a 25 percent drop in load would mean a 14 percent difference in cost. Time is another factor that must be watched in designing routes. Many systems forbid overtime, which means trucks return at a given time regardless of the load collected. Because travel times are longer with three collections a week, the time a route takes must be watched carefully. A good routing model could help in designing routes properly. The second assumption is that the weekly waste load is the same, whether the load is picked up in two collections or three. Studies in Chicago indicate that waste loads increased from 30 to 50 percent when col- lections were increased from once to twice a week. In several of the Balti- more runs waste loads were assumed to increase; the results indicate that the cost difference is very sensitive to increased loads, so the question of waste load should be studied before collection frequency is increased. The present haul distance from the Northwestern Division to the Pulaski incinerator averages 8 miles one way. This distance will probably increase as the city expands, since the tendency is to move waste disposal farther out to avoid complaints from nearby com- increasing haul distances ------- munities; also, it becomes increasingly difficult to find enough suitable sites near the city. Computer runs were made assuming haul distances of 10, 12, 14, and 16 miles, with and without transfer stations. With rail haul the distance was assumed to be 200 miles. The results indicate that as haul distance increases, both transfer and rail haul become more attractive. With twice-a-week collection, rail haul costs become competitive with the present system at 11.5 miles; with transfer stations rail haul becomes competitive when distances reach 22.5 miles. Under present conditions, rail haul is not an attractive alternative. It would cost $18,791 a week, or 12.8 percent more than the present system and 19.7 percent more than the pres- ent system would cost if it used transfer. sensitivity to other (actors Other computer runs were made to show how sensitive the system is to some additional factors: Waste Loads. As waste loads in- crease, total system costs increase pro- portionately. B was always the best site in the test cases. Even when waste loads almost doubled, a second station at a different site was not the cheapest answer, unless the capacity was re- stricted to 600 tons per week. Speed of Transfer Vehicle. The large tractor trailers carrying wastes from transfer station to disposal would travel at 16 miles per hour, the same average speed collection vehicles now make. If speed could be increased to 30 miles per hour, costs would drop by 7.5 percent. Such an increase seems unlikely, however. ------- 19000 ui ui a UI 18000 - 17000 2 UJ > 16000 15000 2 COLLECTIONS PER WEEK use of transfer stations reduces solid waste management costs 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 AVERAGE ONE-WAY HAUL DISTANCE IN MILES ------- political, aesthetic, and regional restrictions Collection Rates. Increasing or decreasing the collection rate by 10 percent leads to a 5 percent change in total system cost. Thus, care should be taken in estimating these rates. Fur- ther, inexpensive time-saving devices or changes in work rules should be investigated. Station Cost. Fixed costs of the stations were increased from 25 to 100 percent. At about 75 percent, transfer stations are no longer feasible, but up to that point the same station was chosen every time. Limitations sometimes develop that preclude use of what appears to be the best alternative. For example, a site suitable for a solid waste facility might be better used as a school site. The surrounding neighborhood might strongly oppose a solid waste facility. Or cooperation between political sub- divisions might be impossible. Two computer runs in which site B was excluded from consideration showed that using site A would add only $60 to the total system cost. Thus, the decision maker may have considerable leeway in choosing between alter- natives when he must also consider intangible criteria. The model also helps the decision maker put a dollar value on these criteria. If the first alternative costs $100,000 and the second $150,000, are intangibles worth $50,000 to the community? Regionalization was considered in the study by dividing the North- western Division into two non- cooperating regions. The northern regions were to use only transfer sites A,D, and E; the southern areas only sites B,C, and F. In this case, transfer is still feasible, but just barely. Marks and Liebman believe that analysis of the entire Baltimore area would show even greater advantages to the use of transfer stations than those shown in the Northwestern Division. ------- The Pulaski incinerator was designated as the dis- posal site in the study of Baltimore's solid waste collection system. It was chosen over the City's other incinerator because it is closer to the study area and its unit costs are lower ------- For several years Denver, Colorado used this trans- fer station in its solid waste management system. Packer truck (upper left) transfers its load to the trailer (bottom right) for the 12-mile trip to Lowry Air Base Bombing Range. Station is now temporarily closed ------- The location model developed in the Hopkins study may be used by any community to evaluate alternative sites for transfer stations. Data needed would include: • Location of each potential site • Location of each collection area • Population density of each col- lection area • Waste generation rate of each col- lection area • Costs of vehicles, labor, and facil- ities • Location of each disposal facility The model requires a medium-sized computer to run studies of any large city. Present computer codes are writ- ten in Fortran IV for an IBM 7094 computer (32K memory), although it is likely that a 16K machine could be used if the program were modified. Obviously, there are some simplifi- cations in a model such as this one. Since the model only chooses between alternatives, it may reasonably be assumed that the details left out would affect each alternative equally, so that the relative choice would still remain the same. However, the costs estim- ated by the model may be in error because these details are lacking. A simulation model developed earlier by the Hopkins group can be used to examine in more detail the cost of operation of a particular alternative selected by the location model. The simulation model requires much more data, however, and is likely to need some program modification to reflect accurately the conditions in a given city. The development and use of this model are reported in Mathematical Modeling of Solid Waste Collection Policies. application to other solid waste systems ------- Baltimore Data Used in Mathematical Model The mathematical model calculates as many as five separate costs for each of 40 subregions to arrive at total cost for the various solid waste collection systems proposed for Baltimore's Northwestern Division. Figures represent Baltimore costs in 1965-66. COLLECTION COSTS equipment costs labor costs waste loads $4.40 per hour for 20-cubic-yard vehicle $20 per day for drivers, $18 for laborers; assuming 6 hours are spent productively yields hourly rates of $3.33 for drivers, $3.00 for laborers 1 .95 pounds per person per day COSTS OF TRANSPORTING WASTES TO TRANSFER STATION OR DISPOSAL POINT equipment and labor costs distances traveled vehicle speed vehicle load same as above calculated for each subregion 16 miles per hour 9,000 pounds TRANSFER STATION COSTS land costs $40,000 for below 200 tons per day capacity, plus $200 per additional ton. Yearly cost is based on interest on investment; land is assumed not to de- preciate; no taxes are lost, since most sites are publicly owned labor costs three men at $20 per day each for station of less than 200 tons per day; four men for greater capacity capital costs of $125,000 for below 100 tons per day capacity, plus structures $500 per additional ton. Yearly cost has been pro- duced through discounting, assuming 30-year life and 10 percent interest rate maximum daily 306 tons per day load COSTS OF TRANSPORTING WASTES FROM TRANSFER STATION TO DISPOSAL equipment costs $1 1 .00 per hour for 75-cubic-yard tractor trailer labor costs $3.33 per hour for driver distances traveled calculated for each subregion vehicle load 35,000 pounds Rail haul transport and disposal costs are calculated together at $5.40 per ton, the price Philadelphia was to pay for shipping and disposal in abandoned coal mines in western Pennsylvania DISPOSAL COSTS $2.80 per ton at Pulaski incinerator yo571 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1972 O-468-193 ------- |