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          United SutM      Scfenc* Advfeory         EPA-SAB-EEC-92-020
          Environmental      Beard (A-101)          JUTM 1992
          Protection Agency

    xvEPA AN SAB REPORT: REVIEW

          OF EXPLOSIVES AND

          FLAMMABLES CRITERIA
          REVIEW OF THE OFFICE OF
          SOLID WASTE AND EMERGENCY
          RESPONSE/CEPPO ISSUES ON
          CRITERIA FOR EXPLOSIVES AND
          FLAMMABLES FOR SARA TITLE III

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                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                        WASHINGTON, D.C. 20460


                                            June 18,  1992
                                                                            OFFICE OF
                                                                         THE ADMINISTRATOR
            EPA-SAB-EEC-92-020

            Honorable William K. Reilly
            Administrator
            U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
            401 M Street, S.W.
            Washington, D.C. 20460
                             Subject:     Science Advisory Board Review of the Proposed
                                         Explosives and Flammables Criteria
            Dear Mr. Reilly:
                  The Science Advisory Board (SAB) is pleased to submit its report on the
            review of the proposed explosives and flammables criteria which were developed in
            response to an August 27, 1990 Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM)
            (40 CFR Part 355) pursuant to provisions of the 1986 Superfund Amendments and
            Reauthorization Act (SARA), Title III, Section 302. The Explosives and Flammables
            Criteria Subcommittee (EFCS) of the SAB's Environmental Engineering Committee
            (EEC) met on May 29-30, 1991 to review four major documents, (Technical
            Background Document for Explosives; Technical Background Document for
            Flammables; 62 Public Comments in Response to the ANPRM; and Issues Related
            to ANPRM on Explosives and Flammables;) consider technical arguments, and offer
            advice to assist the Agency in  resolving issues raised in public comments made in
            response to the ANPRM and by its preparers, the Chemical Emergency
            Preparedness and Prevention Office (CEPPO) and Office of Toxic Substances  (OTS)
            staff.

                  The SAB compliments the CEPPO and OTS staff and commends the Agency
            for undertaking efforts to examine means to ensure adequate protection  of the
            public from harm when explosives and flammables are present. This is a
            particularly complex area that is confounded, among other considerations, by a need
            to reconcile statutorily mandated public awareness of potential emergency situations
            due to the presence of extremely hazardous substances (EHSs) with potential  local
            community resource limitations that relate to planning activities that are necessarily
            triggered by EHS notifications.
                                                                     Printed on Recycled Paper

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                   General comments of the EFCS lie in three areas; data quality and modeling,
             regulatory efficiency, and the coordination of regulatory activity.  The first item is
             scientific and technical in character while the second two commingle science and
             policy (and, for that matter, risk management).  The SAB usually avoids policy
             comments, but the view of the SAB in this instance is that this issue is one in
             which the nexus between technical issues and regulatory policy is realized and is a
             critical link.  It must be established whether guidance  and/or regulations  that are to
             be developed, are in fact reasonably likely to ensure a  substantial and efficient
             reduction in any significant potential  for harm or whether to the contrary,
             regulatory policies are likely to be ineffective or not optimal, for example, overly
             conservative and unnecessarily burdensome.  Regulatory review on a continuing
             basis is warranted.  As data and models are improved, the scientific merits  (or not)
             of regulatory activity are more readily established, and a better degree of confidence
             in technical aspects of regulatory decisions can be assured. Based on the EFCS
             review, supplemented by discussions of the EEC and the SAB Executive Committee,
             the SAB makes the following recommendations.

                   In regard to explosives and flammables issues: The Agency should undertake
             further data base enhancement, reliability analyses  of information, modeling
             upgrades and validation, regulatory efficiency analyses, and inter-agency
             harmonization of regulatory activity in this area. The EFCS cautions against use of
             the Automated Resource for Chemical Hazard Incident Evaluation (ARCHIE) or any
             other model absent additional considerations for the involved scenario.  For
             example, data should be collected to allow careful model validation regarding
             factors such as delayed ignition effects, vapor cloud mhomogeneities, finite
             evaporation rates, multicomponent effects, ejected materials effects, pre-ignition
             upwind movement of vapor clouds, and confinement effects.  This should  not be
             accomplished by intercomparisons of models.  Rather, this should be accomplished
             by comparison of model predictions against realistic (actual) event scenarios. These
             validation procedures are necessary in order to enable  identification  of model
             limitations and the extent  to which consequences associated with complex event
             scenarios might be reliably predicted.   Further, in establishing  appropriate hazard
             criteria for modeling, the worst credible case which uses realistic conditions should
             be used for decision-making; account  should be taken of instances where hazard
             conditions may be associated with delayed ignition effects, scenario mhomogeneities,
             confinement  effects, etc.  The EFCS cautions that the  use of the  100-meter fenceline
             distance in the analysis of potential for harm to the community may not be an
             appropriate basis for analysis in all instances. It is recommended that the Agency
             consider this matter further.

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                   In regard to explosives only: Commercial barricades placed in the near-field
             are not relevant in most instances in addressing the consequences of far-field blast
             overpressures.  If the Agency decides to list explosives as extremely hazardous
             substances (EHSs), low explosives should be examined with reference to the Alcohol,
             Tobacco and Firearms (ATF) Table of Distances.  However, in cases of high degree
             of confinement of low explosives, fragmentation and other effects may be more of
             an issue than thermal radiation effects.  Use of separate ATF Tables of Distances
             for high and low explosives is suggested. The Agency may wish to consider
             whether there is some merit to exploring potential incidence geometry effects,  e.g.,
             on buildings, in the impacted area, or whether such considerations are sufficiently
             taken account of implicitly through use of the  Tables of Distances.  Threshold
             Planning Quantities (TPQ) for explosives may be inferred by reference to the ATF
             Tables of Distances for Explosives. Consequence analysis modeling for explosives
             should be based on more representative examples of commercial explosives.
             Consistency of this approach with the United Nations (UN) classification scheme
             should be established.

                   Further, in regard to specific explosive materials: the EFCS recommends
             against listing of fireworks taken as a whole.  Any special cases that warrant
             further consideration should be identified and carefully examined.  Coordination of
             classification schemes among agencies is recommended.  Except in certain instances
             and  involving amounts  greater than some limiting quantity, the EFCS does not
             consider wet nitrocellulose to pose significant potential for harm.  In addition,
             detonation of black powder is considered to be rare and  likely to occur only under
             some very  specific conditions. The Agency could explore the nature of any specific
             instances in which potential  harm from wet nitrocellulose or black powder might
             prove or has been proven to be significant.

                   In regard to flammables: If flammables are listed at all under SARA Title III,
             Section 302, listing should be categorical. Individual listings of a large number of
             flammables could pose a significant regulatory burden  and detract from other
             technical objectives aimed at mitigation, prevention and control  of inherently toxic
             substances. When considering potential hazards posed by flammables in quantities
             less  than 10,000 pounds, the Agency should examine the nature and ramifications of
             case-specific exposures,  e.g., differences between potential effects upon the
             community taken as a whole and upon emergency response teams. In regard to
             flammable gases and very volatile flammable liquids as a special category of
             flammables, the EFCS recommends that further evaluations based on analyses  of
             any  special hazards posed by these substances  for quantities less than 10,000
             pounds should be undertaken, e.g., in relation to cloud inhomogeneities, delayed
             ignition effects, etc. On the  matter of whether or not  to list flammables as EHSs at
             all, prior to additional regulatory activity, further consideration  of technical and

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           regulatory impact issues is advised, and should include additional examination of
           exposure scenario modeling, the utility of the historical information base, the nature
           of impacts to affected communities in potential exposure scenarios, regulatory
           efficiency, and inter-agency harmonization of regulatory activity, especially as relates
           to classification schemes. Agency staff is encouraged to continue to explore means
           to ensure an optimal balance between listing objectives and community resource
           limitations and protection requirements.

                  The SAB appreciates this opportunity to conduct this scientific review and
           looks forward to receiving your response to the scientific  advice transmitted herein.

                                                      Sincerely,
            Raynrond C. Loehr, Chair            Richard A. Conway, Chair
            Executive Committee                 Environmental Engineering Committee
            Science Advisory Board              Science Advisory Board
                                                Walter M. Shaub, Chair
                                                Explosives and Flammables Criteria
                                                  Subcommittee
                                                Science Advisory Board

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                                              NOTICE
            This report has been written as a part of the activities of the Science Advisory
            Board, a public advisory group  providing extramural scientific information and
            advice to the Administrator and other officials of the Environmental Protection
            Agency.  The Board is structured to provide a balanced, expert  assessment of
            scientific matters related to problems facing the Agency.  This report has not been
            reviewed for approval by the Agency; hence, the comments of this report do not
            necessarily represent the views and policies of the Environmental Protection
            Agency or of other federal  agencies.  Any mention of trade names or commercial
            products does not constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.

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                                           ABSTRACT

                 The Explosives and Flammables Criteria Subcommittee (EFCS) of the
           Environmental Engineering Committee (EEC) of the EPA Science Advisory Board
           (SAB) has prepared a report on the Agency's explosives and flammables  criteria
           which were developed in response to an August 27,  1990 Advanced Notice of
           Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) (40 CFR Part 355)  pursuant to provisions of the
           1986 Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act (SARA) Title III, Section
           302. The EFCS met on May 29 and 30,  1991 and reviewed nine issues raised by
           over 60 commenters in the ANPRM.

                 The issues examined by the EFCS pertaining  to explosives deal with
           whether explosives (low and/or high explosives)  should be listed individually or
           categorically, setting the appropriate Threshold Planning Quantities (TPQ) for the
           explosives, examining the appropriate  overpressures  and tables of distances for
           explosives, whether fireworks should be  listed or excluded, and specific comments
           in the technical background documents such as the appropriateness of the United
           Nations  (UN) classification schemes, appropriateness of the  consequence  analyses,
           and specific objections to use of the Automated Resource for Chemical Hazard
           Incident Evaluation (ARCHIE) model  as a means to evaluate potential exposure
           scenarios.

                 The issues examined by the EFCS pertaining  to flammables deal with
           whether there are significant hazards  posed to the community in quantities less
           than 10,000 pounds, whether flammables should be listed  categorically or
           individually, whether specific flammable  gases and very volatile flammable liquids
           should be treated as a special category of flammables, the appropriateness of the
           consequence analysis for flammables, the appropriate hazard criteria and  scenarios
           to use for modeling, and specific comments in the technical background document
           for flammables, such as use of the 100-meter fenceline distance and other factors
           to be used in the analysis.
            Kev Words: Explosives, flammables, extremely hazardous substances, community
            right-to-know, community planning, emergency response.
                                                 u

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                               AND FLAMMABLES CRITERIA SUBCOMMITTEE
                         ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING COMMITTEE
                                             of the
                                  SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD
           CHAIRMAN
           Dr. Walter M. Shaub, The Corporation On Resource Recovery and the
            Environment (CORRE), Washington, DC

           VICE CHAIR

           Dr. Wm. Randall Seeker, Energy and Environmental Research Corp., Irvine, CA

           MEMBERS & CONSULTANTS

           Mr. Robert Benedetto, National Fire Protection Association, Quincy, MA

           Mr. David V. Eberhardt, Rohm & Haas Co., Bristol, PA

           Dr. Chester Grelecki, Hazards Research Corporation, Mount Arlington, NJ

           Dr. Walter B. Howard, St. Louis, MO

           Dr. Fred Lercari, Governor's Office of Emergency Services, Hazardous Materials
            Division,  Sacramento, CA

           Dr. Marvin D. McKinley, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL

           Dr. Dennis E. Wade, Monsanto Co., St. Louis, MO

           Federal Liaisons

           Mr. Daniel E. Crowley, Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, Washington, DC

           Mr. Glenn Gardner, OSHA, Directorate of Safety Standards, Washington, DC

           Dr. Richard Mainiero, U.S. Bureau of Mines, Pittsburgh Research Center,
            Pittsburgh, PA

           Dr. Jerry M. Ward, U.S. Department of Defense Explosives Safety Board,
            Alexandria, VA
                                               111

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          Science Advisory Board Staff

          Dr. K. Jack Kooyoomjian, Designated Federal Official.

          Mrs. Diana L. Pozun, Staff Secretary.

          Mrs. Marcia K. Jolty, Staff Secretary.

          Dr. Donald G. Barnes, Director
                Science Advisory Board (A-101)
                U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
               401 M Street, S.W.
               Washington, DC 20460

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                                  TABLE OF CONTENTS
         1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
         2. INTRODUCTION  	   7
               2.1   Background	   7
               2.2   Process	   9

         3.  GENERAL COMMENTS	   11
               3.1   Data Quality and Modeling	   11
               3.2   Regulatory Efficiency	   13
               3.3   Coordination of Regulatory Activity	   17

         4. COMMENTS SPECIFIC TO PUBLIC RESPONSE TO ANPRM	   20
               4.1   Issues Related to Explosives	   20
               4.2   Issues Related to Flammables	   26
         APPENDK A -   The Charge to the Subcommittee
         APPENDK B -   Acronyms/Terms
         APPENDIX C -   A Listing of Briefings and Handouts Presented to the SAB's
                         EFCS on May 29 and 30, 1991
          APPENDIX D -   Resource Material and References Cited
          DISTRIBUTION LIST

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                                     1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

                 On May 29th and 30th, 1991, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's
            Science Advisory Board, Explosives and Flammables Criteria Subcommittee (EFCS)
            members, consultants and federal liaisons from four Federal agencies (Note: The
            DOT Federal Liaison was invited, but was unable to participate.) met to conduct a
            review to evaluate criteria and technical issues for explosives and flammables as
            extremely hazardous substances (EHSs) under SARA Title III.  The EFCS
            reviewed four major documents, considered technical arguments presented, and
            considered possible resolution of several technical issues raised hi public comments.

                  The EFCS commends Agency staff for the extensive effort that has been
            undertaken in considering the matter of listing (or not listing) explosives and
            flammables as EHSs.  This is a particularly complex area that is confounded,
            among other considerations, by a need to reconcile statutorily mandated public
            awareness of potential emergency situations due to the presence of EHSs with
            potential local community resource limitations that relate to planning activities
            that are necessarily triggered by EHS notifications.

                   The contemplated regulatory development by Agency staff apparently is
            predicated on an assumption that under Title III Section 302, risk of event
            occurrence is assumed to be 1.0 and therefore (hi relation to regulatory  activity) it
            is merely a consequence analysis (i.e., analysis of potential impacts which may be
            realized when an event occurs - probability of risk of event occurrence is set to
            unity) that is necessary for proper regulation.  EFCS members are concerned that
            this approach (in which probability of event occurrence is neglected), given
            potential local community resource limitations, and probably will not optimally
            serve local community protection objectives.

                  It is evident that Agency staff use a presumed probability  of unity for event
            occurrence merely as a model assumption hi order to examine event consequence.
            Agency staff recognize that in actuality a consequence analysis need not assume
            that the probability is unity, it need only suppose that the event has occurred,
            whatever its probability of occurrence may be.

                  However, if, following consequence analysis, probability analysis is not
            addressed in some complementary context, local communities could be tasked to
            undertake a difficult planning exercise. At  a minimum, consensus concerning a
            description of necessary infrastructure that underlies probabilistic risk analysis for
            realistic event scenarios ought to be available in order to develop harmony, reduce
            inefficiencies, and minimize confusion in the planning process.  The model
            assumption that probability is unity for purposes of consequence analysis without

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           subsequently readdressing probability characteristics of realistic event scenarios
           could thrust upon LEPCs, as part of the emergency planning process, the need to
           conduct and communicate the results of locally devised probabilistic risk analyses.

                 It is doubtful that with such a bottom-up approach, applied nationally, that
           efficiency or reliability of the planning process could generally ensue absent
           consensual harmonization of this issue. There does not appear to be persuasive
           evidence that LEPCs  are prepared to undertake this task. To the contrary,
           deficiencies in capabilities appear evident.  Consequently, assurance of optimization
           of public protection objectives should not be presumed by the Agency staff.

                 Procedurally, Agency staff constructs criteria which relate to the
           acceptability of potential consequences of event occurrence, and against these
           criteria (and possibly  certain other policy considerations such as potential impacts
           due to projected costs associated with regulatory compliance) then makes
           judgement in relation to the necessity to list certain explosives or flammables as
           EHSs.  Further, it appears that contemplated regulatory development is predicated
           on an assumption by  Agency staff that  the statute within which this regulatory
           activity works does not provide for regulating the methods of handling of
           explosives or any other hazardous compounds.

                 In regard to this contemplated regulatory activity, some of the technical
           issues examined by the EFCS appear closely, perhaps inextricably, associated with
           regulatory policy considerations.  For example, the issue of who should conduct a
           risk assessment and who should conduct a consequence analysis of a potential
           emergency situation appears to substantially define the nature and breadth of
           responsibilities under the Community Right-to-Know Act.  An additional example
           associated with regulatory policy considerations is the non-scientific issue raised by
           the public at the EEC's March 4 and 5, 1992 meeting.  This issue concerns
           releasing  information pursuant to SARA Title III Community Right-to-Know
           specifically pertaining to release of information concerning the exact location of
           explosives (or flammables) that could reach the hands of terrorists and criminals.
           The EFCS and the EEC did not address these concerns, but notes that the
           Program Office staff  has been provided with this information and is now aware of
           the issue.

                  From a technical perspective, a regulatory approach focus that concentrates
           on  the matter of listing of EHSs per se, does not appear to fully address the scope
           of technical issues of concern.  Because EHS notifications will trigger Local
           Emergency Planning  Committee (LEPC) planning activities, contemplated
           regulatory activity can  have a potentially significant impact upon local community
           resource allocations and the uniformity and reliability of the technical nature of

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             the decision-making infrastructure that is brought to bear on the local community
             planning process.

                   Great care must be exercised in the conduct of regulatory development
             exercises which address the listing of explosives and flammables as EHSs, or a
             non-optimal regulatory burden may transfer to the local community.  For example,
             if thousands of explosives and flammables were individually listed as EHSs, LEPCs
             may be faced with (and possibly ill-prepared for) a regulatorily imposed necessity
             to perform and communicate  the results of thousands of risk analyses, many of
             which may merely address low probability, low consequence event scenarios.
             Agency staff is strongly encouraged to continue to explore means to ensure an
             optimal balance between listing objectives and community resource limitations and
             protection requirements.

                   In addition to the above comments, the Subcommittee recommends that
             further exploration of several technical issues be undertaken by the Agency as
             follows:

             1.    Accident/incident data base enhancement and reliability analysis should be
                   undertaken. The data  base of information concerning explosives and
                   flammables incidents must be unproved. [NB This recommendation is
                   further supported by correspondence received from Agency staff, which
                   indicates that  further database enhancements to include information on the
                   location, time, weather, amount, release conditions, or chemicals involved in
                   accidents would be very useful for modeling purposes.]

             2.    Harmonization of regulatory  activity, especially inter-Agency coordination to
                   establish a common frame of reference for categorization and
                   characterization of explosives and flammables, and analysis of their potential
                   or actual behavior in accident scenarios should be pursued further.  In
                   planning for potential emergencies, local communities may become confused
                   by a multitude of regulatory initiatives.

             3.    There appears to be a  need to make a more case-specific distinction between
                   the community taken as a whole and the emergency respondent In regard
                   to regulatory development, as a matter of policy, the Agency apparently
                   takes the view that use of a 100-meter fenceline distance serves to
                   differentiate a potential community catastrophe for purposes of triggering
                   community planning activities, versus other potential concerns for on-site
                   workers and first responders, for whom other planning activities may be
                   invoked.

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             4.     In regard to both explosives and flammables issues:  The EFCS cautions
                   against use of the ARCHIE (or any other) consequence model absent additional
                   considerations for the involved scenarios;  data should be collected to allow
                   careful model validation regarding factors such as delayed ignition effects,
                   vapor cloud inhomogeneities, finite evaporation rates, multicomponent effects,
                   ejected materials effects, pre-ignition upwind movement of vapor clouds, and
                   confinement effects.  While not a subject brought up or discussed by the EFCS
                   members, consultants and Federal liaisons, but based on discussions by the
                   EEC at their March 4 and 5, 1992 meeting with the Agency and the public,
                   the  EEC makes the point that many of these factors could be of significant
                   importance for site-specific situations, and if they are present they must be
                   adequately dealt with both in the site-specific situation and the general
                   analysis of hazards necessary to categorize materials as EHS.  The Agency
                   should assess these complexities not only for consideration of whether to rank
                   but also to provide LEPCs guidance on conducting site-specific hazards analysis
                   that will be required if the explosives and flammables  are ranked.  The more
                   complete analysis must use validated models.  This validation should not be
                   accomplished by intercomparisons of models. Rather,  this should be
                   accomplished by comparison of model predictions against realistic (actual)
                   event scenarios.  These validation procedures are necessary in order to enable
                   identification of model limitations and the extent to which consequences
                   associated with complex event scenarios might be reliably predicted.

             5.     Further, in establishing appropriate hazard criteria for the above modeling, the
                   worst credible case which uses realistic conditions should be used for decision-
                   making; account should be taken of instances where hazard conditions may be
                   associated with delayed ignition effects, scenario inhomogeneities, confinement
                   effects, etc.  The EFCS cautions that  the use of the 100-meter fenceline
                   distance in the analysis of potential for harm to the community may not be an
                   appropriate basis for analysis in all instances.  It is recommended that Agency
                   staff consider this matter further.

             6.     In regard to explosives, commercial barricades placed in the near-field are not
                   relevant in most instances in addressing the consequences of far-field blast
                   overpressures. If Agency staff decide to list explosives as EHSs, low explosives
                   should be examined with reference to the Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (ATF)
                   Table of Distances.  However, in cases of high degree of confinement of low
                   explosives, fragmentation and other effects may be more of an issue than
                   thermal radiation  effects. Use of separate ATF Tables of Distances for high
                   and low explosives is suggested.  Agency staff may wish to consider whether
                   there is some merit to exploring potential incidence geometry effects, e.g., on
                   buildings, in the impacted area, or whether such considerations are sufficiently

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                  implicitly taken account of through use of the Tables of Distances.  Threshold
                  Planning Quantities (TPQs) for explosives may be inferred by reference to the
                  ATF Tables of Distances for Explosives.  Consequence analysis modeling for
                  explosives should be based on more representative examples of commercial
                  explosives.  Consistency between this approach and the United Nations (UN)
                  classification scheme should be established.

            7.    Further, in regard to specific explosive materials: the EFCS recommends
                  against listing of fireworks taken as a whole.  Any special cases that warrant
                  further consideration should be identified and carefully examined.

            8.    Coordination of classification schemes for explosives among agencies is
                  recommended. Except in certain instances and involving amounts greater than
                  some limiting quantity, the EFCS does not consider wet nitrocellulose to pose
                  significant potential for harm.  In addition, detonation of black powder is
                  considered to be rare and likely to occur only under some very specific
                  conditions.  Incidents involving black powder have been documented by the
                  United States Department of Defense Explosives Safety Board (DODESB).
                  Agency staff could explore the nature of any specific instances in which
                  potential harm from wet nitrocellulose or black powder might (or has) proven
                  significant.

            9.    In regard to flammables: If flammables are listed at all under SARA Title III,
                  Section 302, listing should be categorical.  Individual listings of a large number
                  of flammables could pose a significant regulatory burden and detract from
                  other technical objectives aimed at mitigation, prevention and control  of
                  inherently toxic substances.

             10.   When considering potential hazards posed by flammables in quantities less
                  than 10,000 pounds, Agency staff should examine the nature and ramifications
                  of case specific exposures, e.g., differences between potential effects upon the
                  community taken as a whole and emergency response teams. In regard to
                  flammable gases and very volatile flammable liquids as a special category of
                  flammables, the EFCS recommends that further evaluations based on analyses
                  of any special hazards posed by these substances for quantities less than
                  10,000 pounds should be undertaken, e.g., in relation to cloud inhomogeneities,
                  delayed ignition effects,  etc.

             11.   On  the matter of whether or not to list flammables as EHSs at all, prior to
                  additional regulatory activity, further consideration of technical and regulatory
                  impact issues is advised. This should include additional examination of
                  exposure scenario modeling, the utility of the historical information base, the

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                   nature of impacts to affected communities in potential exposure scenarios,
                   regulatory efficiency, and inter-agency harmonization of regulatory activity,
                   especially as relates to classification schemes.

                   The SAB is pleased to have been asked to review this important issue and
             thanks the Agency staff, regulated community participants, and other Federal
             agencies for their participation and cooperation.
                                                      6

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                                        2. INTRODUCTION

            2.1    Background

                The 1986 Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act (SARA) Title III,
            Section 302 lists 360 substances on the Extremely Hazardous Substance (EHS) list
            that trigger emergency planning by local emergency planning committees (LEPCs)
            across the United States.  These substances were all selected based on their potential
            to cause lethality in accidentally exposed persons due to inherent toxic properties.
            SARA also includes, however, a provision to list  explosive and flammable substances
            at the option of the EPA Administrator.  The Office of Solid Waste and Emergency
            Response (OSWER) and Office of Toxic Substances  (OTS) have jointly prepared an
            Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) to address explosives and
            fiammables in the context that they may be listed, with OSWER as the regulation
            development lead and  OTS providing  technical support.

                The ANPRM (55 Federal Register 35012-35021) solicited comments on the
            proposal to list commercial explosives, to not list fiammables, and to defer decisions
            on non-commercial explosives and reactives until a more complete strategy could be
            developed for these difficult-to-evaluate substances.  Further, the EPA requested the
            Science Advisory Board (SAB) to consider technical  arguments presented in the:

                  a) Technical Background Document for Explosives (TBD-E);

                  b) Technical Background Document for Flammables (TBD-F);

                  c) 62 Public Comments in Response to the ANPRM: and

                  d) Issues Related to ANPRM on Explosives and Flammables.

            In the EPA's request to the SAB (see Appendix A, as well as Appendix I as an
            attachment to Appendix A), the Office of Toxic Substances (OTS) requested that the
            SAB consider technical arguments in the above listed documents, and especially to
            consider possible resolution of the nine technical issues raised in the public comments
            (see especially Appendix I as an attachment to Appendix A, which identifies five (5)
            issues for explosives and four (4) issues for flammables).

                On May 29th and 30th, 1991, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's
            Science Advisory Board, Explosives  and Flammables Criteria Subcommittee (EFCS),
            gathered in Washington, D.C. to conduct a review of the Agency's technical issues
            relating to explosives and flammables  criteria.  The  EFCS consisted of SAB members,

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            consultants and Federal liaisons from the concerned Federal agencies. (Note: The
            DOT representatives were invited, but were unable to participate). The EFCS
            reviewed the four documents, considered technical arguments presented, and
            considered possible resolution of several technical issues raised in public comments.

                Specifically, as identified and explained by Agency staff (refer to the technical
            document: Issues Related to ANPRM on Explosives and Flammablea). the EFCS
            considered the following technical issues raised in public comments:

                  Issues related to explosives:

                  1. Low explosives:
                      1.1 Whether EPA should list low explosives as extremely
                          hazardous substances (EHSs)
                      1.2 Whether EPA should set threshold planning quantities
                          (TPQs) for low explosives based on a Table of Distances for high
                          explosives or low explosives.
                      1.3 Whether EPA should list fireworks as EHSs

                  2. Listing explosives by category or individually

                  3. Consequence analysis for explosives:
                      3.1 Appropriate overpressure level for analysis
                      3.2 Other methodologies

                  4. Appropriate TPQs for explosives

                  5. Specific comments on the TBD-E:
                      5.1 Objections to examples of explosives used for
                            consequence analysis
                      5.2 Comments on tests cited in the TBD-E
                      5.3 Objections to the use of the ARCHIE model
                      5.4 Effect of barricades and commercial magazines on blast
                            overpressure levels
                      5.5 Whether wet nitrocellulose should be listed aa an EHS
                      5.6 Whether black powder detonates
                      5.7 Definition of gunpowder
                      5.8 Other comments

                   Issues related to flammables:

                   6. Consequence analysis for flammables:

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                      6.1 Appropriate hazard criteria to use for modeling
                      6.2 Appropriate modeling scenarios
                      6.3 Methodology

                  7. Listing of flammables as a category

                  8. Specific comments on the TBD-F:
                      8.1 Hazards posed by flammables in quantities less than
                           10,000 pounds
                      8.2 Flammable gases and very volatile flammable liquids as
                           special category of flammables
                      8.3 Use of 100-meter fenceline distance in analysis
                      8.4 Other factors that should be considered in analysis.

            The response of the  EFCS which is developed in this report consists of general
            comments and comments specific to the public's response to technical issues in the
            ANPRM.  In addition, in regard to the issue of whether or not to list flammables or
            explosives at all as EHSs (i.e., to list or not, regardless whether by substance or
            category), the EFCS members decided to provide technical guidance to Agency staff
            on the merit of the collective expertise of the Subcommittee.  This report expresses a
            composite representation of Subcommittee member views.

            2.2   Process

                In constructing this report, the EFCS proceeded according to a methodology
            designed to ultimately establish a consensus report. The effort has accomplished a
            harmonization of views, i.e., a consensus that a composite representation of member
            views has been developed.

                First, a meeting was held, as described in part in the discussion presented above.
            At the time of this meeting the EFCS heard presentations from EPA Chemical
            Emergency Preparedness and Prevention Office (CEPPO) staff and EPA OTS staff on
            the scientific rationale supporting the TBD-E and TBD-F.  The EFCS then heard
            public comments on  the issues before the Subcommittee. The EFCS members
            discussed issues among themselves and with Agency staff who were present at the
            meeting.  EFCS member discussions concerning the individual technical issues raised
            in public comments (noted above), were led by members assigned together  with a
            submatrix of technical experts chosen from among the EFCS membership.  Each
            group [leader/submatrix] examined a specific public comment technical issue and then
            reported to the entire Subcommittee for further discussions, preliminary group
            findings and opinions at the time of the May 29th and 30th, 1991 meeting.

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                These discussions led to a series of summarization exercises held during the time
            of the meeting in which a preliminary delineation of general views of the EFCS
            members was established. Further, a preliminary delineation of group
            [leader/submatrix] findings and opinions was established for each public comment
            technical issue. Agency staff present at the May 29th and 30th meeting were then
            apprised of the preliminary findings and opinions of the EFCS.

                The task then before the EFCS at  the conclusion of the  meeting was to construct
            a report for the EPA Administrator in  response to the charge to the EFCS, as
            described above in this report.  This report, which has undergone multiple reviews by
            EFCS members and extensive revision, represents the product of the report
            development exercises that were undertaken subsequent to the May 29th and 30th ,
            1991 meeting, to  synthesize EFCS member views. Taken as a whole, this report
            presents a composite representation of  EFCS member views on the issues put before
            the Subcommittee and on the issues which the EFCS chose to examine.
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                                      3.  GENERAL COMMENTS

                   General comments of the EFCS can be categorically grouped as follows: data
             quality and modeling, regulatory efficiency, and coordination of regulatory activity.
             These comments are infrastructural in nature, i.e., they address general underlying
             issues that relate to listing of explosives and flammables as EHSs.

                   These comments indicate how the Subcommittee attempted to view the
             complex interrelationship between technical and regulatory policy issues.  The
             Subcommittee generally felt that for purposes of its examination  of public comment
             issues, a clear separation of technical and regulatory policy considerations was
             difficult to achieve in view of the complex  issue of regulatory burden optimization
             that could potentially arise in carrying out the intent of the  statute.  The following
             sections indicate EFCS views of these general areas.

             3.1   Data Quality and Modeling

                 It appears that the data (on accidents  caused by explosives and flammables) used
             to exercise models and support Agency staff regulatory development are largely of
             limited utility and of uncertain reliability.  This situation must be improved.  To
             some degree, either desired data appear to be missing, or it is unclear to what extent
             data have been validated.   This significant lack of available and reliable data is
             considered both by the EFCS and Agency staff to be an impediment to decision
             making efforts.  For example, Agency staff has noted that background data in
             support of regulations or guidance are insufficient for intended development purposes,
             absent other regulatory support activities, e.g., modeling efforts.  Thus, Agency staff
             has identified a need to accomplish further data base development. It appears that
             both Agency staff and the EFCS recommend that continuing efforts should be
             undertaken to improve the quality, reliability and utility of support documentation in
             regard to  data which detail explosives and flammables incidents.

                   Agency staff should further examine the availability of current data.  For
             example: insurance companies as well as regulatory agencies  in other countries such
             as the United Kingdom should be fruitful areas; commercial data bases are also
             available in Europe; and the DODESB has a file containing data  on over 2,400
             incidents  involving ammunition and explosives accidents which are available for
             Agency staff to review.  [NB Further searching is currently being undertaken by
             Agency staff to determine to what extent accident histories exist which can be
             helpful.]
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                 While Agency staff modeling exercises are commendable, absent model validation,
             it is not apparent whether models exercised can reliably and realistically address
             explosives and flammables behavior (e.g., delayed ignition effects, vapor cloud
             inhomogeneities,  effects due to the physical state of ejected material such as gaseous
             versus aerosol droplet ejection, pre-ignition upwind movement of vapor clouds,
             confinement effects, etc.).

                   The EFCS cautions against use of the ARCHIE (or any other) model absent
             additional considerations.  For example, it should be established through careful
             model validation  procedures whether factors such as delayed ignition effects, vapor
             cloud inhomogeneities, finite evaporation rates, multicomponent effects, ejected
             materials  effects, pre-ignition upwind movement of vapor clouds, confinement effects,
             etc. are reliably and appropriately addressed.  This should not be accomplished by
             intercomparisons of models.  Rather, this should be accomplished by comparison of
             model predictions against realistic (actual) event scenarios.  In  this latter respect,
             reliable data are  critically needed.

                   These validation procedures are necessary in order to enable identification of
             model limitations and the extent to which consequences associated with complex
             event scenarios might be reliably predicted.  Further, in establishing appropriate
             hazard criteria for modeling, the worst credible case  which uses realistic  conditions
             should be used for decision-making; account should be taken of instances where
             hazard conditions may be associated with delayed ignition effects, scenario
             inhomogeneities, confinement effects, etc.  In sum, additional efforts are advisable to
             expand understanding of the practical limitations for use of models to  evaluate the
             nature of community exposure in explosives and flammables release incidents.

                 Leaving aside the issue of regulatory activity, proper equipment inspection and
             maintenance programs, along with the development and implementation of effective
             operational systems with appropriate training, should prove essential to significantly
             reduce potential  for harm.  The practice of anticipating and preventing potential
             accidents before they occur will always be preferable as a first course of action
             compared to reacting to and controlling accidents once they are underway or have
             already occurred. Notwithstanding the reliability of individual  data, taken as a
             whole, data that are available appear to indicate that documented events frequently
             involve either operational or equipment failure or are associated with transportation
             incidents.  Diligence to ensure the efficient and effective conduct of equipment
             inspection and maintenance programs and the development and implementation of
             effective operational systems with appropriate training appears warranted.

                  Periodic review of data requirements is recommended. Information needs
             relative to understanding the nature, causes or probability and  impact  of explosive or
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            flammable incidents and appropriate methodology for reporting data, should be
            clearly established and continually reviewed to ensure that necessary data
            requirements can be anticipated and satisfied.  In the  future, careful examination of
            reliable and harmonized data may enable opportunities to prevent undesirable
            incidents.  Information requirements in support of contemplated regulatory activity
            should be clearly established, and methods should be developed to ensure that the
            data collected are reliable.  For example, in relation to the issue of whether or not to
            list commercial explosives, analyses should be based to the maximum extent
            practicable  on data and experiences related to actual commercial explosives.

            3.2   Regulatory Efficiency

                  It appears that contemplated regulatory development is predicated on an
            assumption by Agency staff that under Title III Section 302, risk of event occurrence
            is assumed to be  1.0 and therefore (in relation to regulatory activity) it is merely a
            consequence analysis (analysis of potential impacts which may be realized if an event
            occurs - probability of risk of event occurrence is set to unity) that is necessary for
            proper regulation. In other words, for regulatory development purposes, unit
            probability of event occurrence must be assumed, and event consequence, not risk of
            event occurrence, must be evaluated in making listing decisions.  EFCS members are
            concerned that this approach (in which probability of event occurrence is neglected),
            given potential local community resource limitations, may not optimally serve local
            community protection objectives.

                  It is  evident that Agency staff use a presumed probability  of unity for event
            occurrence  merely as a model assumption in order to examine event consequence.
            Agency staff recognize that in actuality a consequence analysis need not assume that
            the probability is unity; it need only suppose that the event has occurred, whatever
            its probability of occurrence may be.

                  However, if, following consequence analysis, probability analysis is not
            addressed in some complementary context, local communities  could be tasked to
            undertake a difficult planning exercise. At a minimum, consensus concerning a
            description of necessary infrastructure that underlies probabilistic risk analysis for
            realistic event scenarios ought to be available in order to  develop harmony, reduce
            inefficiencies, and minimize confusion in the planning process. The  model
            assumption that probability is unity for purposes of  consequence  analysis without
            subsequently readdressing probability characteristics of realistic event scenarios could
            thrust upon LEPCs, as part of the emergency planning process, the need to conduct
            and communicate the results of locally devised probabilistic risk analyses.
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                   It is doubtful that with such a bottom-up approach applied nationally, that
             efficiency or reliability of the planning process could generally ensue absent
             consensual harmonization of this issue. There does not appear to be persuasive
             evidence that LEPCs are prepared to undertake this task.  To the contrary,
             deficiencies in capabilities appear evident.  Consequently, assurance of optimization of
             public protection objectives should not  be presumed by the Agency staff.

                   Procedurally, Agency staff assumes that the probability of an adverse event
             occurring when (candidate) EHSs are present is unit probability, constructs criteria
             which relate to the acceptability (or not) of potential consequences of event
             occurrence, and against these criteria (and  possibly certain other policy considerations
             such as potential impacts due to projected costs  associated with  regulatory
             compliance), then makes judgement in  relation to the necessity to list or not list
             certain explosives or flammables as EHSs.  Further, it appears that contemplated
             regulatory development is predicated on an assumption by Agency staff that the
             statute within which this regulatory activity works does not provide for regulating
             the methods of handling of explosives or any other hazardous compounds.

                   In regard to this contemplated regulatory activity, some of the technical issues
             examined by the EFCS appear closely,  perhaps inextricably, associated with
             regulatory policy considerations.  For example, the issue of who should conduct a risk
             assessment and who should conduct a  consequence analysis of a potential emergency
             situation appears to substantially define the nature and breadth of responsibilities
             under the Community Right-to-Know-Act.

                   From a technical perspective, a regulatory approach focus that concentrates on
             the matter of listing of EHSs per se, does not appear to fully address the scope of
             technical issues of concern.  Because EHS notifications will trigger Local Emergency
             Planning Committee (LEPC) planning  activities, contemplated regulatory activity can
             have a potentially significant impact upon local community resource  allocations and
             the uniformity and reliability of the technical nature of the decision-making
             infrastructure that is brought to bear on the local community planning process.

                 Certainly, the public should know  about the presence,  nature and behavior of any
             EHSs which may pose significant harm to  the community. Carefully performed
             analyses should strive to ensure that reliable knowledge that can serve this need is
             readily available and transferred to the public in a timely manner. As data and
             models become more demonstrably reliable and validated, together with expert
             judgement, it should be possible on an ongoing basis to construct improved guidance
             and/or regulations that serve to quantify and where necessary, ensure appropriate
             reduction of any unacceptable potential for harm to a community or to emergency
             responders in circumstances in which explosives and flammables are present.
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                It must be established whether guidance and/or regulations that are to be
            developed, are in fact reasonably likely to ensure a substantial and efficient reduction
            in any significant potential for harm  or whether to the contrary, regulatory policies
            are  likely to be ineffective or not optimal, for example, overly conservative and
            unnecessarily burdensome.  Regulatory review on a continuing basis is warranted.
            Here is  an example of an instance in which the nexus between technical issues and
            regulatory policy is realized and is a  critical link. As data and models are improved,
            the  scientific merits (or not) of regulatory activity are more  readily established, and a
            better degree of confidence in technical aspects of regulatory decisions can be assured.

                  Regulatory efficiency analysis must be undertaken.  How effective is any
            proposed regulation or elements thereof actually likely to be in reducing potential
            adverse public impacts?  Will LEPCs  be faced with (and possibly ill-prepared for) a
            regulatorily imposed necessity to perform and communicate the results of thousands
            of risk analyses, many of which may  merely address  low probability, low consequence
            event scenarios?

                  Consider the example of non-optimal, overly conservative policies.  While well-
            intended, in view of potential community resource limitations, these may ultimately
            be less protective of a local community (or less likely to satisfy community concerns
            and objectives) than regulatory policies based on best (reliable and validated)
            estimates of potential for harm.  In this regard the foregoing discussions of the
            previous section that address data quality and modeling, especially model validation,
            are relevant.  Scarce community resources and effort wasted on planning for
            reduction or mitigation of comparatively insignificant, low probability, harmful
            exposure scenarios  may hamper the ability of society to  plan ways to reduce or
            mitigate other higher probability scenarios that may  pose more substantial potential
            for  harm to human health and the environment. [NB For  example, consider that  if
            explosives and flammables were required to be listed separately, a composite of
            various current lists of explosives and flammables indicates more than 3,000
            individual listings are possible.  By comparison, there are about 360 chemicals
            currently listed as EHSs on the basis of toxicity. Consequently, the potential to
            dilute the ability of the public to focus on chemicals regulated according to toxicity
            may arise if many individual explosives and flammables  are added to the current
            EHS list. An argument could be made that if listed, a categorical basis, such as the
            U.N. Classification  scheme, may be more appropriate than individual listings.]

                  Thus, great care must be exercised in the conduct of regulatory development
            exercises which address the listing of explosives and flammables as EHSs, or a non-
            optimal regulatory  burden may transfer to the local  community.  As previously
            suggested, if thousands of explosives  and flammables were individually listed as
            EHSs, LEPCs may be faced with (and possibly ill-prepared for) a regulatorily imposed
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            necessity to perform and communicate the results of thousands of risk analyses,
            many of which may merely address low probability, low consequence event scenarios.
            Agency staff is strongly encouraged to continue to explore means to ensure an
            optimal balance between listing objectives and community resource limitations and
            protection requirements.

                  Further, note that one of the things that listings do is to implicitly or
            otherwise make an initial,  short communication to  various people of various technical
            skills backgrounds - both  specialists and nonspecialists - about the risks associated
            with the items listed.  It follows that it is very important that this initial
            communication be as  clear as possible.  Agency staff may wish to engage specialists
            in risk perception and communication to assist them in their further deliberations.
            This could also be helpful  in interagency harmonization.

                  In sum, in view of a need for regulatory policies to efficiently enable mitigation
            of any substantial and unacceptable potential for harm, the EFCS,  in addition to
            concerns about data quality and model validity, was concerned that Agency staff
            should closely examine the issue of whether  listing of  too many substances as SARA
            Title III, Section 302 EHSs might confound emergency planning exercises and dilute
            local community efforts aimed  at first and foremost anticipating, preventing, and
            mitigating the most potentially serious (e.g.,  highest probability, greatest consequence)
            community exposure scenarios.

                  Further, to ensure adequate and efficient protection of the public, inclusive of
            the community taken as a whole,  as well as  emergency responders, it should prove
            useful to distinguish between the  protection  requirements of different affected groups
            of individuals. For example, the behavior and knowledge requirements of on-the-
            scene emergency responders in the event of an emergency exposure incident involving
            explosives or flammables is likely to be significantly different from  the behavior and
            knowledge requirements of the community taken as a  whole. [NB Although
            acknowledging the arbitrariness of a  100-meter fenceline distance, as a matter of
            policy, the Agency takes the view that use of a 100-meter fenceline distance serves to
            differentiate between a potential community catastrophe for purposes of triggering
            community planning  activities, and other potential  concerns for on-site  workers and
            first responders, for whom other planning activities may be invoked.]

                   The behavior and knowledge requirements of personnel who are  working with
             explosives and flammables are likely to be significantly different from those
             requirements for the community as a whole. In an emergency incident, the
             community as a whole needs to have information or receive a simple, easily
             understood message that can ensure immediate movement out of harm's way.  On
             the other hand, emergency responders may require highly detailed  information that
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            can ensure maximal protection and safety in responding to an emergency incident as
            it develops.  Irrespective of the issue of choice of appropriate guidance and/or
            regulatory mechanisms for notification of the public, common sense dictates that
            appropriate notification of storage of explosives should be made to local  planning
            authorities and emergency response personnel.  Note that the ramifications of some
            discussions which follow in this report may be different in impact depending upon
            whether or not a distinction is made between the community taken as a whole and
            emergency responders.

            3.3   Coordination of Regulatory Activity

                In response to various legislative initiatives concerned with public protection and
            fostering proper public knowledge  of opportunities to prevent or mitigate substantial,
            potentially harmful exposures, various governmental agencies, e.g., EPA, OSHA,
            BuMines, DOD, DOT, ATF, etc., have taken on regulatory and guidance
            responsibilities within their respective areas of authority.  These responsibilities
            include, but are not limited to timely construction, collection, transfer, and
            dissemination of knowledge concerning potential for harm which may ensue from the
            presence of explosives or flammables.  It appears  that, at present,  different  regulatory
            bodies with authority in different operating areas utilize differing  criteria and
            schemes to classify explosives and  flammables.

                  Further, note that one of the things that listings do is to implicitly or
            otherwise make an initial, short communication to various people  of various technical
            skills backgrounds - both specialists and nonspecialists -  about the risks associated
            with the items listed. It follows that it is very important  that this initial
            communication be as clear as possible.  Agency staff may wish to engage specialists
            in risk perception and communication to assist them in their further deliberations.
            This could also be helpful in inter-agency harmonization.

                In some instances there apparently is overlap of objectives and consequences of
            regulatory activity, e.g., in regard to classification schemes for explosives and
            flammables.  In other instances there are apparently regulatory  deficiencies, e.g.,
            regarding what to and how best to communicate information to  the public.  Based
            upon correspondence received from Agency staff, on the matter of potential
            regulatory overlap, Agency staff considers that except as statutorily mandated by the
            Community Right-to-Know Act, no specific  reporting requirement currently exists
            that would routinely inform local communities of potential hazards of explosives and
            flammables in a timely fashion.  [NB Organizations such as the  National Fire
            Protection Association (NFPA) and the International Fire  Code Institute  (IFCD have
            considered the issue  of community notification and have included requirements that
            address this issue in their respective standards/codes. For example, Agency  staff
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            should note and consider the utility of NFPA 495, Explosive Material Code, 1990
            edition, which states in paragraph 2-1.2, "The local fire department and other local
            emergency response agencies shall be notified of the location of all magazines and
            shall be notified of any changes in location." This requirement has been incorporated
            into many state and local regulations.]

                  Presently, explosives and flammables regulatory issues are addressed at inter-
            agency meetings on a case-by-case basis as the need arises.  It appears that federal
            agencies have not currently fully harmonized views concerning the nature of
            regulatory overlaps, deficiencies and  other matters, although progress is being made
            in these areas.  If not resolved, this discordance may not best achieve the goal of
            establishing appropriate and adequate public protection and planning requirements.
            Further coordination of activities among federal agencies prior to notification of
            proposed rulemaking appears warranted.  Coordination activities should seek, both in
            regard to planning and reporting purposes, to harmonize activity in order to
            minimize duplication of effort (explosives and flammables are presently listed
            according to numerous schemes).   Especially in regard to planning activities that will
            be triggered by EHS notifications, such coordination should seek to ensure the timely
            and unambiguous communication of needed information to the local community and
            emergency responders.  It is essential to avoid promulgation of conflicting or
            inefficient regulations and optimize the regulatory burden on regulated communities.

                  Differences among agencies concerning issues such as how to establish
            criteria for analysis of harm, how to list or classify explosives and flammables, or
            how to interrelate  lists and classification schemes that have been developed by
            different  agencies may confound and cause to be inefficient, public protection
            objectives and local community planning efforts.

                   [NB In regard to coordination of listing schemes for planning and
            emergency response purposes, according to one observer of this issue:

                   The nation's fire fighters, volunteer and paid alike, are invariably the ones
                   to  respond to an emergency. If a fire officer  is told, "The stuff that's burning
                   is  a Class IB flammable liquidr, he knows what to expect.  If he is told,
                   "The stuff that's burning is hexamethyl burlapr, how well do you think he'll
                   understand the problem he's faced with?]

                   Such inefficiency and confusion can cause and has caused uncertainties
             regarding how and.whether to list or not list explosives and flammables
             categorically  or individually. The issue of listing (or not listing) by Agency staff of
             explosives or flammables aside, in regard to federal agency activity in general,
             categorization of explosives and flammables should be harmonized among agencies.
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            Agencies have been and should further act together to examine and consider the
            merits of establishing a common reference basis for classification purposes. If
            listed, these materials should be  categorized and referenced according to the
            United Nations (UN) classification scheme. The UN classification scheme can
            provide a common frame of reference against which to calibrate other classification
            schemes, regardless whether explosives or flammables are considered in listing
            schemes categorically or individually.

                  An additional example associated with regulatory policy considerations is the
            non-scientific issue raised to the  EEC by the public at the EEC's March 4 and 5,
            1992 meeting.  This issue concerns releasing information pursuant to SARA Title
            III Community-Right-to-Know specifically pertaining to release of information
            regarding the exact location of explosives (and flammables) that could reach the
            hands of terrorists and criminals.  The EFCS and the EEC did not address these
            concerns, but notes that the Program Office staff have been provided with this
            information and is now aware of the issue.
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               4. COMMENTS SPECIFIC TO PUBLIC RESPONSE TO ANPRM
                  NOTE: The following EFCS remarks on specific technical issues should not
            be construed to constitute EFCS endorsement (or lack of endorsement) of the
            listing of explosives and flammables as EHSs. The view of the EFCS is that the
            issue of whether or not to list explosives or flammables transcends purely technical
            considerations and necessarily involves policy determinations that are not within
            the purview of the Subcommittee.

                In the charge to the Subcommittee, the EFCS was asked by Agency staff to
            examine specific technical issues raised by commenters to the ANPRM, and to
            consider possible resolution of some or all of the issues raised.   Public comment
            issues were indicated in technical documents  provided to the EFCS by Agency
            staff.  Specific technical issues raised in public comments that  were examined are
            listed earlier hi this report (for full details refer to documents  entitled:  "62 Public
            Comments in response to the ANPRM":  and Issues Related to ANPRM on
            Explosives and Flammables).  The following discussion is a composite
            representation of EFCS views concerning public comment issues.

            4.1   Issues Related to Explosives

                ISSUE 1.1 - Whether EPA should list low explosives aa extremely hazardous
            substances  (EHSs):  The EFCS suggests that if explosives are  listed,  low explosives
            should be examined for listing purposes. The United Nations  classification
            scheme, rather than the somewhat vague concept, "low explosive," may be useful as
            a principal frame of reference.  The "ATF Tables  of Distances" can be used as one
            reference point in development of guidance.   However, in cases of high degree of
            confinement, fragmentation may be more of an issue than thermal radiation
            effects. [NB  According to correspondence received from Agency staff, if low
            explosives are modeled on the ATF Table of Distances for low  explosives (thermal
            radiation) then it would take over 100,000 IDS to  have significant adverse effects at
            100-meters. Therefore, if low explosives were to be listed, it would have to be
            based  on additional factors, such as confinement.  According to correspondence
            received from Agency staff, the statute that this regulatory activity works within
            does not provide for regulating the methods of handling of explosives or any other
            compounds.]

                 ISSUE 1.2 - Whether EPA should set threshold planning quantities  (TPQs)
            for low explosives based on a Table of Distances for high explosives or low
            explosives:  The EFCS recommends the use of the "ATF Table of Distances for
            Low Explosives." However, it is further suggested that consistency between this

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             approach and that which could follow from employment of the United Nations
             classification scheme should be harmonized.  This consistency may foster increased
             clarity and efficiency of evaluations.

                 ISSUE 1.3 - Whether EPA should list fireworks as EHSs:  The EFCS does not
             consider that fireworks, taken as a whole, should be listed as EHSs.  However, in
             some specific instances, the EFCS suggests that some fireworks, in view of
             historical information, should be considered as comparable to low  explosives in
             potential to cause harm.  [N.B. Some regulations presently treat some fireworks in
             such a manner.  According to one scheme presently in use, special fireworks are
             listed, but not common fireworks.]  Therefore, the EFCS suggests that in regard
             to Agency staff activity, these cases should be identified and  treated accordingly,
             consistent with a harmonization of classification schemes among regulatory
             authorities.  [NB According to correspondence received from  Agency staff, the
             statute within which this regulatory activity works does not  provide for regulating
             the  methods of handling of explosives or any other hazardous compounds.]

                 ISSUE 2 - Listing explosives by category or individually: If explosives are
             listed, they should be listed by  category following the United Nations scheme of
             classification.  The use of the United Nations scheme is consistent with
             harmonization objectives.  [NB In correspondence received from Agency staff, use
             of the UN Classification scheme for explosives is suggested.]  The categorical
             rather than individual listing of explosives is warranted, as this can ensure
             triggering of SARA Title III Section 302 objectives without overwhelming the EHS
             list  with a substantial number of individually identified explosives, a circumstance
             that poses the potential to distract public attention from consideration of
             opportunities to mitigate unacceptable potential for harm associated with  toxic
             substances.  The EFCS notes that some explosives are already listed individually
             in view of the inherent substantial toxicity of certain of these substances.
             Further, note that one of the things that listings do  is to implicitly or otherwise
             make an initial, short communication to various people of various  technical skills
             backgrounds - both specialists  and nonspecialists - about the risks associated with
             the items listed.  It follows that it is very important that this initial
             communication be as clear as possible.  Agency staff may wish to engage
             specialists in risk perception and communication to assist them in their further
             deliberations.  This could also be helpful in inter-agency harmonization

                 ISSUE 3.1 - Appropriate overpressure level for analysis:  The  choice of an
             appropriate overpressure is implicitly established if the "ATF Table of Distances
             for  High Explosives" is used for evaluation of High Explosives and Blasting Agents
             and if the "ATF Table of Distances for Low Explosives" is used for evaluation of
             Low Explosives.  [NB Agency staff suggest that to simply use the  Table would
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             mean using an overpressure as low as 0.4 psi, which is felt to be overly
             conservative for the purpose of this regulation. The current situation appears to
             be that there is a range of views concerning damage potential that should be
             harmonized.]  It is further suggested that in evaluating the potential for harmful
             effects, incidence geometry should be examined.  For example, ensuing
             consequences associated with an "appropriate overpressure level" established
             assuming a side-on incidence overpressure should be distinguished from ensuing
             consequences associated with establishment of a reflected incidence overpressure.
             [NB One observer suggests that ATF distances are tagged to side-on overpressures
             (which have a corresponding reflected overpressure.)] Further, the dynamics of a
             release event warrant consideration, e.g., the duration of the overpressure pulse.
             [NB The ATF Table of Distances does not explicitly  take into account incidence
             geometry. Consideration of impulse or incidence geometry effects would have to
             be studied separately when making an analysis of individual building/structural
             response.] Reflection and refraction characteristics of waves in site-specific or case-
             specific event scenarios are important factors.  For example, detonation or shock
             waves, reflecting back along their incident paths, reach much higher peak
             pressures than do the incident waves.

                  ISSUE 3.2 - Other methodologies Ffor analyzing potential hazards of
             explosives]:  The EFCS  suggests that employment of the United Nations
             classification scheme as  a common frame of reference, in concert with the "ATF
             Tables of Distances" should prove useful in assessing and harmonizing evaluations
             of potential hazards of explosives.  [NB  Apparently, Agency staff agree that inter-
             agency harmonization should exist, assumes that this has been achieved and
             further suggests use of the United Nations classification scheme for explosives.
             The EFCS felt that further efforts in this area are advisable.]

                  ISSUE 4 - Appropriate TPQs for explosives:  If explosives are listed, a basis
             for establishment of threshold planning  quantities (TPQs) is implicit in use of the
             "ATF Tables of Distances for Explosives." Further,  in assessing TPQ
             requirements, the EFCS suggests that benefits may be  realized through a program
             of continually updated information evaluations that,  for example, may derive from
              future improvements in the data base used by Agency staff [this is discussed
              further in the  general comments section above] and from conduct of several case
              studies, i.e., a careful and detailed examination of the historical nature of incidents
              that have occurred  at facilities or other  locations adversely impacted by the
              presence of explosives.  [NB Significant  lack of available and reliable data is
              considered both by  the EFCS and Agency staff to be an impediment to decision-
              making efforts.  For example, Agency staff has noted that background data in
              support of regulations or guidance are insufficient for intended development
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            purposes, absent other regulatory support activities, e.g., modeling efforts. Thus,
            Agency staff has identified a need to accomplish further data base development.]

                ISSUE 5.1 - Objections to examples of explosives used for consequence
            analysis:  The EFCS recommends that as the proposed objective of contemplated
            Agency staff guidance and/or regulatory activity is to regulate or guide emergency
            planners in regard to the management of commercial explosives, it makes sense
            that examples utilized in analyses should be commercial explosives.  Further, the
            EFCS notes that the explosives actually selected for analysis, as described in the
            TBD-E, are not commonly considered to be examples of readily available
            commercial explosives. This circumstance is inconsistent with the observation that
            commercial explosives should be considered.  There is some concern that  the public
            may become confused, i.e., may perceive the  example cases to be representative of
            commercial explosives. Therefore, the EFCS recommends that examples that are
            properly representative of commercial explosives should be analyzed. [NB In
            correspondence received from Agency staff, there is agreement with this
            observation, and more representative examples of commercial explosives will be
            analyzed.]

                ISSUE 5.2 - Comments on tests cited in the TBD-E;  In view of and  on
            consideration of public comments, the EFCS recommends that further examination
            of tests cited should prove useful in order to clarify limitations of tests. With a
            view toward harmonization of information content, it is further recommended that
            test results should be considered in the perspective of the United Nations
            explosives classification scheme [and possibly other comparable schemes].   Further,
            employment of TNT equivalency tests may prove useful in refining analyses of
            explosives effects and in assessing the corresponding equivalency of blast
            overpressures.

                ISSUE 5.3 - Objections to the use of the ARCHIE model:  The ARCHIE
            (Automated Resource for Chemical Hazard Incident Evaluation) computer program
            is based on the scaling law and was developed for and is used widely by FEMA,
            DOT, and EPA to provide emergency planning personnel with the tools necessary
            to assess the vapor dispersion, fire and explosion impacts associated with
            hazardous materials accidents.  Contained within the program are several methods
            for evaluating the  consequences of an explosion,  depending on the type of material
            involved.  [NB According to correspondence received from Agency staff, results of
            comparisons among ARCHIE, the scaling law and the Table of Distances show
            good agreement between the methods.]  As with all such models, ARCHIE is an
            approximation that is not expected to be exact in all situations.  Common sense
            dictates that to the extent practicable, these  departures from exactness, these
            approximations, these differences from reality, must be identified, must be
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            understood, and their effects must be known and must be accepted. The EFCS
            cautions against use of the ARCHIE (or any other) model absent additional
            considerations.  For example, it should be established through careful model
            validation procedures whether factors such as delayed ignition effects, vapor cloud
            inhomogeneities, finite evaporation rates, multicomponent effects, ejected materials
            effects, pre-ignition upwind movement of vapor clouds, confinement effects, etc.  are
            reliably and appropriately addressed.  This should not be accomplished  by
            intercomparisons of models.  Rather, this should be accomplished by comparison of
            model predictions against realistic (actual) event scenarios.  These validation
            procedures are  necessary hi order to enable identification of model  limitations and
            the extent to which consequences associated with complex event scenarios  might
            be reliably predicted. Further, in establishing appropriate hazard criteria for
            modeling, the worst credible case which uses realistic conditions should be used for
            decision-making; account should be taken of instances where hazard conditions
            may be associated  with delayed ignition effects, scenario  inhomogeneities,
            confinement effects, etc. [NB According to correspondence received  from Agency
            staff, to discard the ARCHIE Model would be tantamount to a recall or public
            discrediting of the method involving over 3,500 LEPCs and  other private sector
            groups as well as two other Federal Agencies that sponsored its development.
            This observation notwithstanding, in the context of the validation exercise
            suggested, it does not appear at present that Agency staff have presented an
            acceptable analysis of the appropriateness of the ARCHIE model relative to what
            would ensue as a result of an actual release incident.  It is also not apparent
            whether models used are appropriately conservative judged against  actual event
            scenarios.  Again, note the critical need for  reliable actual event data. In sum,
            validation of models is lacking, leaving open to question  whether use of, e.g., the
            ARCHIE model is  appropriate for regulatory purposes or in reliably identifying
            potential damage or injury "absent additional considerations".  In other  words, the
            ARCHIE model must be used with caution.]

                ISSUE 5.4 - Effect of barricades and commercial magazines on  blast
            Overpressure levels:  From the point of view of assessing potential  for harm to a
            community (far-field), consideration of barricades and commercial magazines in the
            near-field close to  the point of origin is not relevant in most instances and does
            not address blast overpressures.  The location of the point of origin of an explosive
            incident is likely to be so removed from the point of impact, [e.g., of blast wave
            overpressure in the vicinity of a community] that probably only far-field
            overpressure blast wave effects are likely to be realized.  Predominantly, effects
            realized in the far-field are insensitive to the presence of barricades, etc. in the
            near-field of the point of origin of the explosion. Barricades do not stop nor do
            they completely absorb pressure waves.  They merely deflect the wave as it travels
            through the  atmosphere.  A very short distance downfield of the barricade the
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            pressure wave will be present and will continue to move in all directions. As this
            propagating wave moves downfleld it will impact buildings, humans, etc. in its
            path.  Being dynamic the impact will be both side-on and reflected overpressures.
            Reflection and refraction characteristics of waves in site-specific or case-specific
            event scenarios are important factors.  For example, detonation or shock waves,
            reflecting back along their incident paths, reach much higher peak pressures than
            do the incident waves.  The EFCS is concerned with the secondary consequences
            of the collapse of a building on its occupants as a result of this overpressure.
            Concern about building collapse should be a major consideration in defining
            hazards associated with either explosives or flammables. In this context, near-field
            barricades are not relevant, although they may offer some shrapnel protection.

                 ISSUE 5.5 -  Whether wet nitrocellulose should be listed as an EHS: Except
            in certain specific instances and involving amounts greater than some limiting
            quantity,  the EFCS does not consider wet  nitrocellulose to pose significant
            potential  for harm.  A further  resolution of the nature of circumstances or of
            limiting amounts of material for potentially harmful conditions to be likely to
            occur is suggested. Agency staff may wish  to seek additional information in order
            to determine the nature of any specific instances in which potential harm from
            wet nitrocellulose might (or has) prove(n) to be significant.  [NB The DOD Liaison
            to the SAB's EFCS offers the following opinion:  wet nitrocellulose  is hazard
            classified in the UN scheme by the DOT and should not be singled  out for special
            consideration by  the  EPA.  Packaged wet nitrocellulose  is either in Class 1
            (explosives) or not based on water content.]

                 ISSUE 5.6 -  Whether black powder detonates:  Detonation of black powder is
            considered by the EFCS to be extremely rare and likely to occur only under some
            specific conditions. However, black powder is very sensitive to friction, heat, and
            impact, and  may react violently when not handled properly. [NB Incidents
            involving black powder have been documented  by the DODESBj.  A further
            resolution of the nature of circumstances or of limiting amounts of material for
            potentially harmful conditions to be likely  to occur is suggested.  Agency staff may
            wish to seek additional information in order to determine the nature of specific
            instances in  which potential harm from black powder might (or has) prove(n) to
            be significant.

                 ISSUE 5.7 -  Definition of gunpowder:   The EFCS observes that the definition
            of gunpowder is  very 'loose" in practice, and according to one member of the
            Subcommittee, usually refers to smokeless  powder.  A suggestion for resolution of
            this issue, is to not use the term "gunpowder",  selecting instead to establish a
            meaning  that would cause the  understanding of "gunpowder" to be consistent with
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             implications inherent in the meaning of the categorization, "low explosive" or in an
             analogous manner, to United Nations classification, UN 1.3.

                 ISSUE 5.8 - Other comments: No discussion concerning other related public
             comments was undertaken by the EFCS as a whole.

             4.2   Issues Related to Flammables

                 ISSUE 6.1 - Appropriate hazard criteria to use for modeling:  Taken as a
             whole, the EFCS recommends that the hazard criteria used for modeling should be
             more realistic  and case-specific, i.e., should consider the nature (duration of event,
             intensity,  geometry, etc.) of potential exposure scenarios.  Thus, there is some
             concern, for instance, in regard to the following considerations:

                 a)    Use of a somewhat subjective 1.0 psi overpressure in all instances, for
                       example, specific geometries and incidence of overpressure waves can
                       have an influence on analysis of the outcome.  The current situation
                       appears to be that there is a range of views concerning damage potential
                       that should be harmonized.

                 b)    The observation that the nominal assumption of effects based on one-
                       half of the lower flammability limit (LFL) as a limiting value for an
                       incident to occur, does not realistically account for development and
                       propagation of reactive behavior, e.g., in a vapor cloud.  Fuel/oxidant
                       distributions in a vapor cloud can be very irregular, and the
                       distributions are dynamic.

                 c)    The suggestion that the heat flux to an exposed object  should be
                       considered in terms of the intensity and duration of an exposure event.
                       In regard  to this latter issue, the nominally selected event parameters
                       (12.5 kilowatt per square meter exposure for 30 seconds) are unlikely in
                       most instances to be realized when a BLEVE (Boiling Liquid Expanding
                       Vapor  Explosion) occurs.  [NB Apparently, vapor cloud explosions and
                       BLEVEs involving less than 10,000 pounds of flammable material have
                       historically done little if any damage outside plant boundaries.  In
                       regard to  BLEVEs, it is questionable whether if one were close enough
                       for  serious thermal burns one would survive the missile and
                       overpressure effects.]

              Modeling of potential hazards should involve considerations which extend beyond
              the primary (e.g., effect of overpressure on the human body) hazards to include
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            considerations of secondary hazards such as the potential for collapse of a building
            on the occupants.

                ISSUE 6.2 - Appropriate modeling scenarios: Worst credible case analyses
            should be the basis for decision-making.  Selected exposure scenarios and events
            should be representative not only of the possibility that harm may occur, but
            further, in view of limitations of local community resources and capabilities,  should
            enable opportunities for a reasonable quantification of the probability for events to
            actually occur. In other words, regulatory activity should provide an
            understanding of and be responsive to differences between the possibility of an
            event taking place and the probability that an event may actually take place.  [NB
            According to correspondence received from Agency staff,  under Title" III Section
            302, risk  is assumed to be 1.0 and therefore it is merely  a hazard analysis that is
            necessary for proper regulation, the objective being simply to inform the
            community (irrespective of community resources) of the location of hazards for
            assistance in the construction of their emergency plans.  This approach appears to
            pass responsibility for risk assessment and risk communication on to the LEPCs.
            The EFCS members are concerned that while Agency staff may interpret the
            Community Right-to-Know-Act to impart statutory authority to take this course of
            action, it  may leave the LEPCs faced with tasks they are ill-prepared to address.]

                ISSUE 6.3 -  Methodology:  The EFCS considers that continual progress has
            occurred in understanding of and access to methods that can be employed to
            ascertain  probable consequences of credible exposure scenarios. Further, this
            progress has been manifested in the scientific and engineering journal literature
            and is accessible.  In light of these observations, the EFCS recommends that
            Agency staff should consider undertaking further examination of the possibilities
            for utilization of other available methodologies.  This effort may afford
            opportunities to enhance assessments of potential for harm to the public when
            explosives and flammables are present.

                 ISSUE 7 - Listing of flammables as a category: The issue aside of whether or
            not to list flammables in the first place, the EFCS observes that individual listing
            of flammables could impose a non-optimal regulatory burden upon emergency
            planners  and others that may become unwieldy and detract from  other technical
            objectives, e.g., the anticipation, prevention, control, and mitigation of effects  of
            substances that are regulated due to inherent toxicity. [NB For example, consider
            that if explosives and flammables were required to be listed separately, a
            composite of various  current lists of explosives and flammables indicates more
            than 3,000 individual listings are possible.  By comparison, there are about 360
            chemicals currently listed as EHSs on the basis of toxicity. Consequently, the
            potential  to dilute the ability of the public to focus on chemicals regulated
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             according to toxicity may arise if many individual explosives and flammables are
             added to the current EHS list. An argument could be made that if listed, a
             categorical basis, such as the U.N. Classification scheme, may be more appropriate
             than individual listings.] This matter is a significant concern and appears to
             relate to the administrative rather than technical nature of the regulatory process.
             However, in view,  for example, of:

                   a)    regulatory  impact uncertainties on LEPC planning activities;
                   b)    the prospect that harmonization of explosives and flammables
                         categorical classification schemes appears possible;  and
                   c)    the possibility that public access to information is not necessarily
                         limited by  categorical listing schemes in view of public options to
                         request additional information.

             It appears reasonable to suggest that if flammables are listed at all under SARA
             Title III, Section 302, then such listing should initially be by way of some
             harmonized, categorical classification scheme, rather than by individual listings
             (such a scheme may not necessarily be inclusive of all flammable substances -
             again possibility versus probability  of harmful events should be examined).  The
             EFCS suggests that Agency staff could consider these  comments and  explore
             further how these observations relate to community and emergency responder
             protection objectives.     Further, note that one of the things that listings do is to
             implicitly or otherwise make an initial, short communication to various people of
             various technical skills  backgrounds - both specialists and nonspecialists --  about
             the risks associated with the items listed.  It follows that it is very important that
             this initial communication be as clear as possible.  Agency staff may wish to
             engage  specialists  in risk perception and communication to assist them in their
             further deliberations. This could also be helpful in inter-agency harmonization.
                   ISSUE 8.1 - HflZflr^s posed bv flammables in quantities less than 10.000
             pounds:  The EFCS opined that except for certain materials under specific
             conditions and exposure scenarios, flammables do not usually appear to pose a
             substantial hazard to the public when present in amounts under 10,000 pounds.
             [NB Again, a significant regulatory burden may ensue.  For example, 10,000 pounds
             of home heating oil  or diesel fuel  corresponds roughly to about 1,100 gallons of fuel.
             This is not an uncommon size for home heating oil tanks in some parts of the
             country.  The NFPA 31-1987  Standard for the Installation of Oil Burning
             Equipment, specifically allows two 660 gallon tanks for fuel oil storage in the
             basement of a  building, including  residences.] The EFCS recommends, therefore,
             that Agency staff should undertake additional examinations to establish further the
             nature and ramifications of case-specific instances.  Further, note discussions [and
             ramifications] which appear above in the general comments section,  concerning
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            distinctions between special groups, e.g., emergency response teams, and the
            community taken as a whole.

                 ISSUE 8.2 - Flammable gases and very volatile flammable liquids as special
            category of flammables:  The EFCS suggests that any contemplated special
            categorization of flammable gases, very volatile liquids, or other liquids that might
            be heated significantly above their flash point  as a special category of flammables,
            should be evaluated based on a reliable analysis of any special hazards posed by
            these flammables for quantities less than 10,000 pounds. A major concern with
            flammables in terms of community protection objectives is with vapor clouds.  This
            requires not only that the material be flammable, but that it also be capable of
            producing relatively stable mixtures in air that are within the flammable
            concentration range or that at least part of the mixtures are within the flammable
            range.  A range of properties, flash point, boiling point or vapor pressure, molecular
            weight, and diffusivity define the capability to form vapor clouds which may be of
            concern.  Identification of these properties may enable specification of a class of
            flammables of concern.  Alternatively, absent such an identification, some
            consideration of individual materials may be warranted.  [NB Some flammables
            have never been known to form dangerous vapor clouds. Further, while some
            materials may be eliminated from consideration based on flash point, they are
            capable of forming vapor clouds that may warrant concern when they are handled
            at elevated temperatures and/or pressures.  To identify these as a class will take
            some evolution.  In addition, some materials that are not classed as flammables
            within the Agency staff definition are capable of BLEVEing under some conditions
            which may warrant examination. In sum, further discussion and thought is
            warranted.]

                 ISSUE 8.3 - Use of 100-meter fenceline distance in analysis:
            As has been indicated in the foregoing discussions, exposure scenarios and the
             potential for community harm can be and in fact are case-specific.  In some
             situations the selected fenceline distance  may not be conservative and has the
             potential for leading to  erroneous conclusions.  Thus, the assumption of a 100-meter
             fenceline may not be an appropriate basis for analysis in all instances.  Therefore,
             the EFCS recommends that Agency staff should further seek to determine whether
             more case specificity should be  incorporated into analyses.  This determination
             should fully address historic data and incorporate validated modeling procedures
             that reflect current knowledge and advances.

                   If models are shown by validation  exercises to be inexact, conservative models
             should be used.  {NB As a matter of current policy, the Agency takes the view that
             use of a 100-meter fenceline distance serves to differentiate a potential community
             catastrophe for purposes of triggering community planning activities, versus other
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            potential concerns for on-site workers and first responders, for whom other
            planning activities may be invoked.  The Agency recognizes that the distance is
            arbitrary but cites previous regulatory precedent for use of this distance. As
            indicated by an Agency official, in reality, fenceline distances are "all over the
            map."]  It appears that there is no technical or scientific basis that supports use in
            all instances of the 100-meter fenceline  criterion or that this quantity is
            conservative in all instances - a potential  for erroneous conclusions in regard to
            public safety may arise  [NB Albeit an example  that addresses military explosives,
            the following approach is instructive: In the Department of Defense, explosive safety
            distances  for different types of exposures  are determined by the quantities and
            classes of explosives in the maximum credible event (MCE).  Distances are based on
            airblast, fragment, debris, firebrand, thermal, and groundshock effects from
            explosions.  The MCE, e.g., from  a hypothesized accidental explosion or fire, is the
            worst single event that is likely to occur from a given quantity and disposition of
            material.  The event must be realistic with a reasonable probability of occurrence,
            considering the explosion propagation, burning rate characteristics, and physical
            protection given in the items involved.  The MCE evaluated on this basis may then
            be used as a basis for effects calculations  and causality predictions.]

                 ISSUE 8.4 - Other factors that should be considered in analysis:  The EFCS
            suggests that further examination of available literature should indicate other
            factors that could be considered, at a minimum, in case-specific analyses. For
            example, it is known that delayed vapor cloud explosions can occur, that containers
            containing flammable substances  can "rocket", etc.  These factors should be
            identified, and included, where appropriate,  in analyses of  the potential for
            community harm.

                 ISSUE 9 - Should flammables be listed as EHS or not, and whv or whv not?
            In regard to the issue of whether or not to list flammables or explosives at all as
            EHSs (i.e., to list or not, regardless whether by substance  or category), the EFCS
            members decided to provide technical guidance to Agency staff on the merit of the
            collective expertise of the Subcommittee.  These comments may be beneficial in view
            of potentially non-optimal regulatory impacts that may be  realized if a large number
            of flammables are listed.  Based on these discussions, the EFCS suggests that:

                   a)     Major technical considerations should be more thoroughly examined
                         and addressed before Agency staff act to make a determination
                         concerning this issue.  This includes, but is not limited to, a need to
                         continue to more thoroughly develop and or reliably evaluate any
                         information indicative of likely consequences of and the nature of
                         impacts beyond the local point of origin of adverse flammable release
                         events involving less than  10,000 pounds of flammable material.  [N.B.
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                    The EFCS members discussed among themselves whether there was
                    historical evidence that could lead to substantial concerns regarding the
                    presence of properly managed flammables in amounts less than 10,000
                    pounds.  With respect to concerns regarding properly managed
                    materials, the EFCS felt that within the limits of knowledge brought
                    forth by the discussions which were carried out by Subcommittee
                    members, significant evidence that could justify regulatory concern was
                    not evident]. Some current concerns regarding deficiencies hi analyses
                    that have been carried out are noted in the text of this report;

              b)    In seeking to make any determination whether or not to list
                    flammables, Agency staff should carefully seek to understand who is
                    affected by the presence of flammable materials in amounts less than
                    10,000 pounds, i.e., Agency staff should discriminate  among on-site
                    personnel, emergency responders, and the community in general.
                    Given this discrimination, Agency staff should further establish the
                    nature of any benefits or consequences  to these groups from
                    contemplated regulatory action;

              c)    Analogous to Agency staff concerns, the EFCS indicates strong concern
                    regarding potential non-optimal regulatory impacts upon affected
                    parties if flammables are listed.  In  view  of perceived, potentially large
                    and burdensome regulatory requirements that may seriously affect the
                    efficiency of local community response capabilities, the EFCS asserts
                    that Agency staff should establish clearly what complexities may ensue
                    from contemplated regulatory action and  whether such complexities are
                    likely to be a hindrance to rather than  a  benefit to public protection
                    objectives; and

              d)    Lastly, a harmonization of classification schemes (as  discussed in this
                    report) among all federal, state and local  governing or regulatory
                    bodies having responsibilities in this area should be achieved.  The
                    EFCS considers that absent realization of this objective, regulatory
                    requirement of the nature contemplated (i.e., listing of flammables)
                    may lead to confusion and duplication of  efforts which could be
                    seriously counterproductive in regard to public protection objectives.
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         ' APPENDIX A - THE CHARGE TO THE SUBCOMMITTEE
                                                               FEB 081991
          Project Title:
               Review of Explosion and Flammability Hazard Issues

          Client Office:
               Office of Toxic Substances (OTS)
               Contact:  Dr. Paul S. Tobin (202) 382-3736

          Background:
               The 1986  Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act  (SARA)
          Title III,  Section 302 lists 360 substances that trigger
          emergency planning by local emergency planning committees across
          the U.S.  These substances were all selected based on their
          potential to cause lethality in accidentally exposed persons due
          to inherent toxic properties.   SARA also includes,  however, a
          provision to list explosive and flammable substances at the
          option of the  EPA Administrator.  OSWER (Office of Solid Waste
          and Emergency  Response)  and OTS have jointly prepared an Advanced
          Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) to address explosives and
          flammables,  with OSWER as the regulation development lead and OTS
          providing technical support.  The  ANPRM solicited comments on the
          proposal to list commercial explosives,  to not list flammables,
          since analyses  showed lower concern for quantities  under 10,000
          Ibs (above which amount reportable information is available under
          Sections 311 and 312 of the Act),  and to defer decisions on non-
          commercial explosives and reactives until a more complete
          strategy could be developed for these difficult to  evaluate
          substances.   The SAB is being requested to consider technical
          arguments presented in the 1)  ANPRM,  2)  Technical Support
          Document for Explosives,  3)  Technical Support Document for
          Flammables,  and 4)  62 Public Comments,  from which nine major
          technical comments have been summarized to facilitate the SAB's
          efforts (Please see Appendix I;  Please note that a  complete
          package of information on each issue is now being prepared for
          the SAB that will abstract commentor and technical  support
          information and, model equations that relate to each of the nine
          issues).  The  Proposed Rule is being scheduled for  completion
          sometime between July and October.  Non-commercial  explosives and
          reactives are  not a major concern  for now,  but any  comments
          addressing these substances would, of course/  be welcome.

          Tentative Char ere:
               The SAB/EEC is requested to review the four documents listed
          above and especially to consider possible resolution of the nine
          technical issues raised in the public comments.   All documents
          are planned to be supplied to  SAB/EEC by the Executive Secretary.

          Tentative Location and Schedule:
               Washington,  D.C. in March,  1991.


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           APPENDIX A - THE CHARGE TO THE SUBCOMMITTEE (cont)
                        Appendix I. Nine Public Comment  Issues

          Explosives

          1.   Low Explosives
               o    Listing/exclusion of  low explosives
               o    Setting  TPQ's  for low explosives based on Table of
                    Distances  for  high explosives or low
                    explosives
               o    Listing/exclusion of  fireworks

          2.   Listing  explosives  by  category or  individually

          3.   Consequence analysis for explosives
               o    Appropriate  overpressure level for analysis
               o    Other methodologies

          4.   Appropriate TPQs  for explosives

          5.   Specific comments on technical background document for
               explosives
               o    Objections to  examples of explosives used for
                    consequence  analysis
               o    Comments on  tests cited in technical background
                    document
               o    Objections to  use of  ARCHIE model

          Flammables

          6.   Hazards  to the  community of flammable chemicals

               o    Hazards  posed  by  flammables in quantities less than
                    10,000 Ibs
               o    Flammable  gases and very volatile flammable liquids
                    as  a special category of flammables

          7.   Consequence analysis for flammables
               o    Appropriate  level of  consequence to consider
               o    Appropriate  hazard criteria to use for modeling
               o    Appropriate  modeling  scenarios

          8.   Listing  of  flammables  as a category.

          9.   Specific comments on technical background document for
               flammables

               o    Use of  100-meter  fenceline distance in analysis
               o    Othe^  factors  that should be  considered in  analysis
                                         A-2

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                                APPENDIX B - ACRONYMS/TERMS

            AHEDB    -Acute Hazardous Events Data Base
            ANPRM    -Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
            ARCHIE    -Automated Resource for Chemical Hazard Incident Evaluation
            ATF       -Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms
            BLEVE     -Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion
            BuMINES   -United States Bureau of Mines
            CEPPO     -Chemical Emergency Preparedness and Prevention Office
                          EPA/OSWER)
            CHMIRS    -California Hazardous Material Incident Reporting System
            CORRE    -The Corporation on Resource Recovery and the Environment
            DODESB   -United States Department of Defense Explosives Safety Board
            DOD       -Department of Defense
            DOT       -Department of Transportation
            EEC       -Environmental Engineering Committee (SAB/EPA)
            EPA       -United States Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA, or
                          "The Agency")
            EFCS      -Explosives and Flammables Criteria Subcommittee (EEC/SAB/EPA)
            EHS       -Extremely Hazardous Substance
            FEMA     -Federal Emergency Management Agency
            IFCI       -International  Fire Code Institute
            LEPC      -Local Emergency Planning Committee
            LFL       -Lower Flammability Limit
            MCE       -Maximum Credible Event
            NB        -Note well ("Note Bene")
            NFPA     -National Fire Protection Association
            OSHA     -Occupational  Safety and Health Administration
            OSWER    -Office of Solid Waste and Emergency Response
            OTS       -Office of Toxic Substances (EPA)
            psi        -Pounds per square inch
            RMPP     -Risk Management and Prevention Program
            SAB       -Science Advisory Board (EPA)
            SARA      -Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act
            SERC      -State Emergency Response Committee
            TBD-E     -Technical Background Document for Explosives
            TBD-F     -Technical Background Document for Flammables
            TNT       -Trinitrotoluene
            TPQ       -Threshold Planning Quantity
            UN        -United Nations
                                               B-l

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                 APPENDIX C - A LISTING OF BRIEFINGS AND HANDOUTS
                             PRESENTED TO THE SAB's EFCS ON MAY 29 and 30, 1991

                 1)    California,  Governor's Office of Emergency Services, Chemical
                       Emergency Planning and Response Commission, Exposure Committee,
                       48 Chemicals Recommended for Further Investigation, A Fact Sheet
                       Provided to the SAB's EFCS by Dr. Frederick A. Lercari of the State
                       of California Governor's Office of Emergency Services, dated
                       November  1, 1990

                 2)    California,  Governor's Office of Emergency Services, Hazardous
                       Material Division, booklet entitled "Hazardous Material Emergency
                       Planning and Community Right-to-Know, A Comparison of California
                       and Federal Requirements,", Revised April 1991

                 3)    California,  Governor's Office of Emergency Services, Hazardous
                       Material Division, entitled "Hazardous Material Incidents, January -
                       December,  1989," A Summary of Data Collected through the
                       California Hazardous Material Incident  Reporting System
                       (CHMIRS), February 1991

                 4)    California,  Governor's office of Emergency Services, Hazardous
                       Material Division, booklet prepared by Dr. Frederick A. Lercari,
                       Principal Author, entitled State of California, Guidance for the
                       Preparation of a Risk Management and Prevention Program (RMPP),
                       dated November 1989

                  6)    Hercules Incorporated, Oral Testimony of R.E. Athey and C.C.
                       Gardner before the U.S. Department of labor, Occupational Safety
                       and Health Administration  on Proposed Rulemaking, Process Safety
                       management of Highly Hazardous Chemicals, 29 CFR 1910.119,
                       Public hearing Beginning Tuesday, February 26, 1991

                  7)    IME  Comment Package: Letter of Transmittal with Issues and
                       Attachments by the Institute, of Makers of Explosives to Mr. James
                       Makris, Director of the Chemical Emergency Preparedness and
                       Prevention Office USEPA, dated March 7, 1991. The same package
                       was provided on May 20, 1991 to Dr. K. Jack Kooyoomjian, SAB Staff
                       on May 20, 1991 from Thomas P. Dowling, Manager of Technical
                       Services of the IME and contains the following:
                                                   Cl

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             7A)   Comments from the American Mining Congress to  the    Superfund
                   Docket Clerk on Docket No. 300PQ, dated November 30, 1990

             7B)   Comments of the American Petroleum Institute to the Superfund Docket
                   Clerk on Docket No. 300PQ, dated October 26, 1990

             7C)   Comments of the American Pyrotechnics Association  to the Superfund
                   Docket Clerk on Docket No. 300PQ, dated December  3, 1990

             7D)   Comments of the Associated  General  Contractors of America to the
                   Superfund Docket Clerk on Docket No. 300PQ, dated November 30,
                   1990

             7E)   Comments of the Institute of Makers  of Explosives to the Superfund
                   Docket Clerk on Docket No. 300PQ, dated November 26, 1990

             7F)   Comments of the International Association of Geophysical  Contractors
                   to the Superfund Docket Clerk on Docket No. 300PQ, dated October 26,
                   1990

             7G)  Comments by the National Coal Association to the  Superfund Docket
                   Clerk on Docket No. 300PQ, dated   November 30, 1990

             7H)  Comments of the National Stone Association to the Superfund Docket
                   Clerk on Docket No. 300PQ, dated   November 26, 1990

             8)    US EPA Briefing by Dr. Paul Anastas of the Office of Toxic  Substances,
                   Untitled,  but with  the first  page  entitled "Background on Current
                   Scheme,"  (for listing of Explosives by  Category or Individually), May,
                   1991

             9)    US EPA Briefing by Ms. Gail Froiman of the Office of Toxic  Substances,
                   entitled "Consequences of Accidents Involving Commercial Explosives,"
                   dated May 29, 1991

              10)   US EPA Briefing by Mr. John P. Ferris of the Chemical   Emergency
                   Preparedness and Prevention Office  , entitled  "Regulatory Requirement
                   to the EHS List, Emergency Planning and Community Right-to-Know
                   Act (SARA Title III)," May 1991
                                               C-2

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                  11)    US  EPA Briefing by  Nahn  T.  Nguyen, Office of Toxic Substances,
                        entitled  "Consequences of Accidents Involving Flammable  Gases and
                        Liquids," dated May 30, 1991

                  12)    US EPA Briefing by Dr. Roger Garrett, Office of Toxic    Substances,
                        entitled   "History,   also  "Legislative  Mandates  for  Implementing
                        Emergency Response Planning,"  May 1991

                  13)    US EPA Briefing, by Dr. Paul Tobin of the Office of Toxic Substances,
                        Untitled, Dealing  with SARA  Title  III Planning Steps and Plan
                        Requirements, Purpose of Hazard Analysis, Steps of a Hazards Analysis,
                        Hazard  Identification,  Purpose  of Vulnerability Analysis,  Likelihood
                        Factors  in the Consequence  Analysis for Toxics and  Explosives, May
                        1991

                  14)    US  EPA, SARA Title III Fact Sheet entitled "Emergency Planning and
                        Community Right-to-Know," Revised February 1990 December 3, 1990
                                                    C-3

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                 APPENDIX D - RESOURCE MATERIAL AND REFERENCES CITED
                  1)    ANPRM on Extremely Hazardous Substances, Federal Register. Vol. 55,
                       No. 166, August 27, 1990, pages 35012-35021

                  2)    California,   Governor's  Office   of  Emergency  Services,   Chemical
                       Emergency Planning and Response Commission, Exposure Committee,
                       48 Chemicals Recommended for Further Investigation, A Fact Sheet
                       Provided to the SAB's EFCS by Dr. Frederick A. Lercari of the State of
                       California Governor's Office of Emergency Services, dated  November 1,
                       1990

                  3)    California, Governor's Office of Emergency Services, Hazardous Material
                       Division, booklet entitled "Hazardous Material Emergency Planning and
                       Community  Right-to-Know, A Comparison of California  and Federal
                       Requirements,", Revised April 1991

                  4)    California, Governor's Office of Emergency Services, Hazardous Material
                       Division, entitled  "Hazardous  Material Incidents, January - December,
                       1989," A Summary of Data Collected through the California Hazardous
                       Material Incident  Reporting System (CHMIRS), February  1991

                  5)    California, Governor's office of Emergency Services, Hazardous Material
                       Division, booklet prepared by Dr. Frederick A. Lercari, Principal Author,
                       entitled State of  California, Guidance for the Preparation of a  Risk
                       Management and  Prevention Program (RMPP), dated November 1989

                  6)    USEPA Booklet entitled "Chemicals in Your Community, A  Guide to the
                       Emergency  Planning  and Community Right-to-Know  Act," dated
                       September 1988

                  7)    USEPA Draft Comment Response Summary  Document entitled "Issues
                       Related  to  ANPRM  on  Explosives  and  Flammablea for   SAB
                       Consideration," draft dated March 14, 1991

                  8)    USEPA  Draft  Report,entitled  "Categorization  and  Summary of
                       Comments Received on Advance  Notice of Proposed Rulemaking Under
                       Section 302 of the Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act of
                       986, August 27, 1990," draft dated February  1,  1991
                                                  D-l

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                 9)    USEPA  Draft  Technical Background  Document  entitled
                       "Consequences of Accidents  Involving Commercial  Explosives," draft
                       dated July 5, 1990 (Also referred to as TBD-E)

                 10)   USEPA  Draft  Technical Background  Document  entitled
                       "Consequences of Accidents Involving Flammable Gases and  Liquids,"
                       draft dated July 5, 1990 (Also referred to as TBD-F)

                 11)   USEPA, Science Advisory Board, Resolution on Use of    Mathematical
                       Models by EPA for Regulatory Assessment and Decision-Making, EPA-
                       SAB-EEC-89-012, January 1989
                                                   D-2

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                                           DISTRIBUTION LIST
                  Deputy Administrator
                  Assistant Administrators
                  EPA Regional Administrators
                  EPA Laboratory Directors

                  Deputy Assistant  Administrator for Office of Solid Waste  and Emergency
                  Response (OSWER)
                       Director, Chemical Emergency Preparedness and Prevention Office

                  Deputy Assistant Administrator for Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxic
                  Substances
                       Director, Office of Program Management and  Evaluation

                  EPA Headquarters Library
                  EPA Regional Libraries
                  EPA Laboratory Libraries

                  National Fire Protection Association

                  U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms
                  U.S. Bureau of Mines
                  U.S. Department of Defense Explosives Safety Board
                  U.S. Department of Transportation, Office of Hazardous Materials Safety
                  U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration

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