EPA/530/SW-147
MAY 1975  c.i

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     An environmental protection publication in the solid waste management
series (SW-147).  Mention of commercial  products does not constitute
endorsement by the U.S.  Government.   Lditing and technical content of
this report were accomplished by the Resource Recovery Division of the
Office of Solid Waste Management Programs.


     Single copies of the publication are available from Solid Waste
Management Information Materials Distribution, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Cincinnati, Ohio  45268.
                   U
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                  A SOLID WASTE ESTT'ATION PROCEDURE:

                        MATERIAL FLOWS APPROACH
by Fred L. Smith, Jr.*
                       Introduction and Background

     Those who formulate policy for managing the Nation's solid waste
need to know how much of it there is and what it consists of.   This
paper will estimate the quantity of household and commercial  solid waste
for 1971 by material and product source.  The methodology for achieving
this estimate is based on production and marketing statistics for both
products and materials.  The data and assumptions used to obtain these
results are shown in appendices.

     There are two ways to estimate waste quantities and compositions.
The first, an output approach, is to examine or measure the solid waste
(discard stream).  The second, an input approach, iL to analyze the flow
of materials and products produced and consumed.  Most existing estimates
of solid waste quantities and composition were obtained through the
former approach:  by weighing and separating refuse at the disposal
site.  Estimates based on production and marketing data are less common.+
     *Mr. Smith is an operations research analyst with the Resource
Recovery Division, Office of Solid Waste Management Programs (OSWMP),
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
     +This is not the first such effort.  The Midwest Research Institute
(MRI) pioneered in estimating waste from material flow data in a series
of OSWMP funded reports:  The Role of Packaging in Solid Waste Management:
(1969); The Role of Nonpackaging Paper in Solid Waste Management,^
(1971); Salvage Markets for Materials in Solid Wastes,^ (1972).  Resource
Planning Associates, Inc. used an approach similar to that presented in
this paper in their report, Potential Economic Value of the Municipal
Solid Waste Stream,4 (1972), prepared for the National Center for
Resource Recovery.  Two contracts performed for EPA by the URS Research
Company conceptualized perhaps the most sophisticated production-oriented
estimation approach:  Methods of Predicting Solid Waste Characteristics,5
(1971); A Plapning Model for the Prediction of Residential and Commercial
Solid Wastes.6 (1972).

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     The results of a sampling approach are generally specific  to the
time and place of the sample and,  thus, cannot readily be  extrapolated.
Also, since solid waste is generated by numerous  household and  commercial
sources (apartment buildings, single family homes,  drug stores,   super-
markets, etc.), a representative sample of all such sources would have
to be very large.  Most sampling has been restricted to residential
waste and provides little information on non-residential municipal
waste.

     In principle, a material flow approach, based  on production  and
marketing statistics, avoids many of these problems.  Attention  is  given
to the material and product categories involved in  solid waste  rather
than to the sources of solid waste.  Since production and  marketing
statistics are regularly collected and published, subsequent estimates
require far less effort once the initial methodology has been developed.

     A disadvantage of a material  flow approach is  that you may  leave
out or incorrectly estimate a waste category, such  as lawn waste, that
does not pass through the production sector.  The two approaches  applied
in tandem can be used to cross-check each other and should yield  a  more
accurate representation of the waste stream.
                          Definition and Scope

     "Solid waste" refers to everything from the tailings of mine
operations to discarded cans.  Indeed, solid waste can be defined as:
all non-gaseous, non-liquid by-products of production and consumption
that, at the time and place of discard, have no economic value.   Solid
waste thus includes agricultural  and forestry residue, animal  manure,  as
well as fly ash, rejected output, slag, and sludge generated in  refining,
production, and converting operations.  Solid waste also includes the
dredging spoils generated in waterway maintenance, the debris  from
construction and demolition operations, and the sludge produced  in water
and waste treatment operations.  Many of these wastes are thought to be
large, but data are very limited and widely scattered.

     The paper estimates the fraction of solid waste that is most
noticeable to the public and that poses the most immediate problem to
municipalities:  the household and commercial fraction.  (The commercial
fraction here refers to the waste generated by institutions, business
establishments, and other offices.)  The following categories are excluded
from this discussion:  (1) industrial processing waste; (2) construction
or demolition waste; (3) street sweepings (except littered product-type
waste); (4) heavy or bulky tree and landscape waste (other than  lawn-
trimming waste accepted in ordinary collection); (5) automobile  waste
(except tires); (6) sewage sludge.

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     Since our concern here is with the waste generated by the household
and commercial fraction, we will consider the following product end-use
categories:  newspapers, books, and magazines; containers and packaging;
major household appliances; furniture and furnishings;  clothing and
footwear; other household and commercial products.   All materials  used
in one or more of these product categories will  be  examined.   These
include paper, glass, aluminum, iron and steel,  other nonferrous metals,
plastics, rubber and leather, textiles, and wood.   The  waste  generation
estimates are cross-classified by both material  and product category.
Additional categories—food waste, yard waste, and  miscellaneous inorganics-
are also included in the household/commercial waste stream and will be
discussed later.
                               METHODOLOGY
     The methodology used in making these waste generation estimates is
a hybrid one in which the production, or material, flow approach is used
to estimate the non-food product solid waste.  Food, yard, and miscel-
laneous non-product wastes are estimated from these results, as well as
from data on waste composition.  A final adjustment to these estimates
is needed to account for the variability introduced by moisture.
                        Product Haste Categories

     The material flow approach requires one to first consider the total
production of each raw material and then to systematically trace each
material through the production system to its final use in one or more
of the product categories, which appear in residential or commercial
solid waste.  The precise steps in this process differ according to the
particular material and product category under consideration.*  However,
in general, an attempt was made to carry out the following steps:

     (1)  Production data were obtained for each selected material
          and were adjusted for imports and exports in order to obtain
          estimates of apparent domestic "consumption".  These statistics
          are generally reported as apparent bulk consumption e.g.,
          millions of tons of steel, thousands of board feet of lumber,
          etc;

     (2)  Apparent consumption of each material was then allotted to
          each product category e.g., steel consumed in major appliances
          and wood consumed in packaging;
     *A complete treatment of each basic material is presented in the
Appendices.

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     (3)  The raw material  quantities for each product category  were
          reduced to include processing losses, and the resulting
          estimates were adjusted for imports and exports to obtain
          estimates of the apparent consumption of the finished  products;

     (4)  The estimated quantities of materials consumed in  each product
          category were then adjusted to include any losses  in use or
          diversions from the solid waste stream to obtain an estimate
          of potential solid waste;*

     (5)  A time-lag between consumption and discard was introduced
          where appropriate to account for the durability of various
          finished products (e.g. furniture and appliances);

     (6)  For each product material category, potential solid waste was
          adjusted to account for the quantity of material recovered
          through recycling;

     (7)  The resulting final waste disposal estimates for each  material
          and product category were then summed to obtain net product-
          related solid waste generation.

     In order to use this methodology for any specific material, such as
paper or aluminum, extensive data must be available from either  govern-
mental  or industrial sources.  Moreover, the estimator must  be familiar
with the reporting conventions and production stages of that industry.
For most materials, there are several processing and distribution  steps
between bulk raw material production and final goods consumption.   Even
when data are available for each stage of production, only a fraction of
the tonnage involved at any stage of processing may be reported, or the
level of detail may make it difficult to distinguish consumption by
product category.  Moreover,  the units of measurement and categories
used at one stage are often difficult to reconcile with those used at
the next.  For example, to trace the amount of wood consumed in  making
plywood boxes, one finds the data reported successively in board feet of
timber, square feet of plywood, and finally, thousands of boxes.  Given
such problems, tracing material flows requires that the estimator  be
familiar with both the materials and the products involved.

     Our lack of detailed working knowledge of some of the materials
under consideration (e.g. nonferrous metals and plastics) and our
inability to locate a comprehensive set of production and material flow
statistics for some commodities (e.g. glass and leather) forced  us
sometimes to stray from our methodology.  Indeed, for certain materials,
our actual estimation procedure resembled the assembly of a  jigsaw or
crossword puzzle more than the logical tracing-out of material flows,
     *Examples of such adjustments are the exclusion of toilet tissue
which is discarded as sewage and of cigarette paper which is dissipated
in use.

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as described above.  The details of our actual  calculations  for each
material are described in the appropriate Appendix.

     The upper portion of Table 1 ("as generated" column)  summarizes  the
results of these material flow calculations and provides a breakdown  by
material and product end-use.  Non-food product waste was  estimated at
77.1 million tons in 1971.  These results will  be discussed  in a subsequent
section of this paper.


           Food, Yard, and Other Miscellaneous  Inorganic Waste

     As mentioned earlier, the household and commercial  waste stream  is
not restricted to product-type waste.  Food waste, yard  waste, and
miscellaneous inorganics (largely dirt and stones) also  constitute
important waste fractions.  This waste is not readily estimated by means
of a material flow analysis  , and, thus, necessitates an indirect
estimation approach:  the compositions of collected solid  waste samples.
Such an approach poses difficulties.  We must rely on physical samples
of the solid waste stream, which are limited in terms of the number of
sources included.  Moreover, such samples vary  widely in their results.
Interpreting and comparing the samples is difficult due  to the failure
of most sampling studies to report whose waste  was sampled (e.g. residential,
commercial/ manufacturing, commercial/retail ing) and what  the moisture
content of each waste component was.  Also, the material or  product
categories used for reporting the waste composition vary from study to
study.. Finally, most samples fail to account for major  compositional
differences by region and season.

     A composition study prepared by Niessen and Chansky was judged to
suffer least from the limitations described above.''  Their work compared
a large number of composition studies and attempted to aggregate them in
order to represent the "average municipal solid waste composition" for a
number of representative situations.  Their figures were the basis for
calculations of food and yard waste (Table 2).   As shown,  food, yard,
and miscellaneous inorganics are estimated to represent  respectively
18.7, 20.4, and 1.6 percent of the residential  and commercial municipal
post-consumer solid waste stream.

     Our product waste estimate of 77.1 million tons includes major
appliances, furniture, and tires.  However, it  is likely that the Niessen
and Chansky results excluded such bulky waste.   No precise information
exists on the product content of the waste streams they  considered, and
a sofa or a refrigerator would introduce a large element of  variability
into any reasonably size sampling efforts.  Therefore, before proceeding
to estimate the remaining fraction of municipal post-consumer waste,  we
reduced the 77.1-million-ton estimate to exclude bulky waste.  Bulky

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 waste  is  assumed  to  include:  major household appliances  (2.1 million
 tons);  furniture  and furnishings  (3.2 million tons); rubber tires  (1.7
 million tons)  (Table 1).   These exclusions amount to  7.0 million  tons
 and  result  in  an  estimate  of-70.1 million tons for  "non-bulky" product
 waste,  which  represents  59.3  percent of  the  total municipal post-consumer
 waste  stream  according to  the Niessen and Chansky study.

     Using  this procedure, we estimate 22.0  million tons  of food waste, 24.1
 million tons  of yard waste, and 1.8 million  tons of miscellaneous  inorganic
 waste.  (These statistics  are shown in the lower portion  of Table  1.)


                           Moisture Adjustments

     An additional  refinement was the adjustment of the moisture levels
 in the  various waste stream components to reflect the moisture transfer
 occurring during  storage and  collection.  For example, paper  is discarded
 on an  air-dry basis  of about  7 percent moisture, but will generally be
 measured  in composition  surveys after it has become a part of mixed
 refuse  and  has gained moisture.   Niessen and Chansky have estimated both
'the  "as-discarded"  and "as-disposed" moisture content of  each category
 (Table  3).    Using  these figures, the "as-disposed" results shown  in the
 right-hand  columns  of Table 1 were calculated.  These composition  percentages
 correspond  more closely  to those  typically reported in the literature.


                           DISCUSSION OF  RESULTS
           The total  annual  waste  generation  estimate  of  125 million  tons
 per year in 1971  amounts  to 3.3 pounds  per person  per day, assuming  a
 1971 population of 207 million.   This per capita rate is  significantly
 lower than the widely-quoted 190  million tons  per  year or 5.3  pounds per
 person per day result that  was assumed  to hold in  1967.   This  result was
 estimated from the 1968 National  Survey of Community  Solid Waste  Practices.
 Almost two-thirds of this difference  is directly explained by  the fact
 that the National Survey  included some  industrial, demolition,  construction,
 and municipal waste types which are excluded from  tne present  estimates.
 The National  Survey may also have overestimated the household  and commercial
 components of the National  solid  waste  stream.  In this  regard, it
 should be noted that, instead of  using  systematic  measurements, the
 National Survey results were principally based on  the estimates of
 collected tonnage which were prepared by local  solid  waste agencies.*
      *The difference between various waste generation estimates has been
analyzed and discussed in the following report:  Smith, F.A.   Comparative
estimates of post-consumer solid waste.  Environmental Protection Publication
SW-148.  Washington, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1975.  18 p.

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                             TABLE  3
       ASSUMED  PERCENTAGES MOISTURE  CONTENT   OF MATERIALS
                      IN  MUNICIPAL  SOLID WASTE*
                        "As  Discarded"
                        "As Disposed"
 Paper
 Glass
 Metals
 Plastics
 Rubber  and
   Leather
 Textiles
 Wood
 Food
 Yard
 Miscellaneous
 7.0
  0
  0
 2.0
 2.0

 7.0
15.0
70.0
50.0
 2.0
23.1
 3.0
 5.5
13.0
13.0

,20.0
15.0
63.0
34.0
 4.0
 Weighted  Average
 0.27
 0.27
     *Niessen, W. R., and S. H. Chansky.  The nature of refuse.
In Proceedings; 1970 National Incinerator Conference, Cincinnati,
Ray 17-20, 1970.  New York, American Society of Mechanical
Engineers,  p.14.

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     Based on the "as-generated" estimates presented in  Table  1,  several
pertinent characteristics of post-consumer solid waste can be  inferred.
First, 80 percent of the waste stream is organic (including synthetics),
and 20 percent inorganic (9.7 percent glass,  9.5 percent metals,  1.4  percent
miscellaneous inorganics).  Second, of the material  fractions  recoverable
as materials (recyclable), only the paper, glass, and ferrous  fractions
comprise more than 8 percent of the total  municipal  post-consumer waste
stream.  The other individual recyclable materials,  taken together,
comprise less than 4 percent of the total.  Third, about 25 percent of
the total weight of municipal post-consumer solid waste  is moisture,
which originates principally in the food and  yard waste  fractions.

     According to present estimates based on  percentage  composition
studies, about 80 percent of "as-generated" solid waste  is derived from
market-product sources (as opposed to yard-and garden-type waste).  If
we exclude food waste, product waste still accounts  for  about  60  percent
of the waste generation.  Also, roughly 80 percent of the weight  of
typical raw municipal refuse is composed of combustible  materials.

     Container and packaging materials currently contribute about one-
third of total post-consumer waste, 42 percent of total  product-derived
waste, and 54 percent of non-food product waste.  The container and
packaging fraction currently accounts for about 72 percent of  the total
mineral (combined glass and metals) fraction.  In terms  of individual
materials, this source category contributes well over 90 percent  of  the
glass, 75 percent of the aluminum, and at least 45 to 55 percent  of each
of the ferrous metal, paper, and plastic fractions of the municipal
post-consumer waste stream.  Consumer durable goods, including household
appliances, furniture, recreational equipment and the like, account for
about 10 to 12 percent of total waste.  Newspapers,  books and  magazines
account for about 8 percent.
                                   10

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                               REFERENCES
1.   Darnay, A., and W.  E.  Franklin.   The  role  of  packaging  in solid
      management, 1966  to  1976.   Public Health Service  Publication
      No.  1855.  Washington,  U.S.  Government Printing Office, 1969.  205 p.

2.   Franklin, W. E., and A.  Darnay.   The  role  of  nonpackaging paper  in
      solid waste management, 1966 to 1976.  Public  Health  Service
      Publication No.  2040.   Washington,  U.S.  Government  Printing Office,
      1971.  76 p.

3.   Darnay, A., and W.  E.  Franklin.   Salvage markets for  materials in
      solid wastes.  Environmental  Protection  Publication SW-29c.
      Washington, U.S.  Government Printing Office, 1972.  187 p.

4.   Resource Planning  Associates, Inc.  Potential economic  value of
      the municipal solid  waste  stream.   Washington, National Center
      for Resource Recovery,  Inc.,  September 1972.   19  p.

5.   Boyd,  G. B., and M.  B.  Hawkins.   Methods of predicting  solid waste
      characteristics.   Environmental  Protection  Publication,SW-23c.
      Washington, U.S.  Government Printing Office, 1971.  28 p.

6.   Black, R. H., R. R.  Fiedler, M.  B. Hawkins, and  P.  0. Strom.
      A planning model  for the prediction of residential  and commercial
      solid wastes; final  report.   San Mateo,  California, Urs Research
      Company, 1972.  46 p.,  app.

7.   Niessen, W. R. and  S.  H.  Chansky.  The nature of refuse.  Jn_
      Proceedings; 1970 National Incinerator Conference,  Cincinnati,
      May 17-20, 1970.   New York,  American Society of Mechanical
      Engineers,  p. 1-24.

8.   Black, R. J., A. J.  Muhich,  A.  J.  Klee, H. L. Hickman,  Jr., and
      R.  D. Vaughan.  The  national  solid  wastes survey; an  interim report.
      [Cincinnati], U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare,
      1968.  53 p.
                                   11

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                        APPENDICES A-I
     These appendices present detailed calculations for
the waste generation estimates for each material  category.
                              12

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                               APPENDIX A


                                Aluminum

     Since aluminum discards by product category had already been esti-
mated in a previous report for EPAj material flow tracing for aluminum
from production through product end-use was not conducted by EPA (except
for containers).

     The end-use data obtained from this report are summarized in
Table A-l along with EPA extrapolations.  Separate data on aluminum
consumed in the container and packaging area were obtained from the
Aluminum Association (Table A-2).

     In total,  .8 million tons of aluminum are in the household and
commercial waste stream.  The quantities of aluminum discarded from each
end-use are as follows:  packaging and containers, .6 million tons;
major appliances, .2 million tons.  These are the results reported in
Tables A-l and A-2.
                                   13

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                        TABLE A-2

       ALUMINUM CONTAINER AND PACKAGING WASTE - 1971
                        (000 Tons)
       Shipments to Container                   758
         and Packaging Market*

       Converting losses @ 0.15+                114
       Net consumer purchases                   664
         and discards
     *Aluminum statistical review, 1971.  New York,
Aluminum Association.
     +EPA estimate.
                            15

-------
                    REFERENCE FOR APPENDIX A
Battelle Memorial  Institute, Columbus Laboratories.   A study to
  identify opportunities for increased solid waste utilization.
  v.2.  Aluminum report,  v.3.   Copper report,   v.4.   Lead report.
  v.5.  Zinc report,  v.6.  Nickel  and stainless steel report.
  v.7.  Precious metals report.   Environmental  Protection Publication
  SW-40d.2.  U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency, 1972.   608 p.
  (Distributed by National Technical  Information Service,
  Springfield, Va., as PB-212 730.)
                               16

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                               APPENDIX B


                                 Glass

     Glass consumption is divided into the major categories shown in
Table B-l.  The categories likely to enter the household and municipal
solid waste stream include containers, table and houseware glass, and
electronic glassware.  A fraction of flat glass also enters through
normal breakage.

     Statistics on glass consumed for containers are generally measured
after fabrication.  Thus, the only loss would be from breakage in transit,
and this is assumed to be negligible.  Time series for container glass
consumption are presented in the Glass Container Manufacturer's Institute
(GCMI) Annual Reports.  No production series for flat and pressed/blown
glass categories were found.

     Consumption and discards of container glass is estimated at 11.1 million
tons for 1971.'  Although no source of data for the flat and pressed/
blown glass categories was available, a previous EPA report estimated that
glass waste from these categories in 1967 was 1.0 million tons.2>-P- 71~^
For lack of better data, this figure was used as a base.  No expansion  for
.growth was considered, although the actual 1971 waste is probably somewhat
higher.  Total glass waste is estimated at 12.1 million tons, of which
container and packaging consume 11.1 million tons with other products
consuming the remaining 1.0 million tons.
                                   17

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                              TABLE B-l

                    GLASS CONSUMPTION CATEGORIES
           Category
            Uses
Containers

Pressed and Blown

  Table & Houseware, Decorative
  Electronic Glassware
  Insulation Glass

Flat Glass

  Window Glass
  Float Glass
  Laminated Glass
Soft drinks, beer, food
Dishes
Light bulbs
Appliance & House Insulation
Windows
Windows
Automobile Glass
                                  18

-------
                        REFERENCES FOR APPENDIX  B
1.


2.
Glass containers; 1972/73.
  Institute, 1973.
Washington, Glass Container Manufacturers
Darnay, A., and W.  E.  Franklin.   Salvage markets  for materials  in
  solid wastes.  Environmental  Protection Publication SW-29c.
  Washington, U.S.  Government Printing Office,  1972.  Figure  21.
  Approximate glass industry material  flows,  1967.
                                   19

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                               APPENDIX C


                         Iron and Steel Products

     Since most iron and steel products have long  lifetimes,  the used
production statistics to estimate the amount of ferrous  material that
will be discarded annually poses a major problem.   Therefore, an esti-
mate of waste for any one year requires that the  lifetime of  each major
product category using ferrous material be estimated and that production
data for past years corresponding to that lifetime be obtained.

     Another chronic problem is that production statistics are collected
at the bulk commodity shipment point.  Thus, consumption of iron and
steel has to be adjusted to account for the loss  of scrap from fabricating
and conversion operations.  One special problem,  unique  in the steel
industry, is that much bulk production is reported as "consumed" by
distribution centers which receive steel in various shapes and forms and
then retail it to miscellaneous small metal-working establishments.  The
end-use as well as the nature of the waste problem cannot be  determined
without a detailed study of the markets served.  To our  knowledge,
no such study has been performed.

     For these reasons, the waste estimates in our analysis are not
based on the extensive annual series reported by  the American Iron and
Steel Institute in their Annual Statistical Report.  Rather,  we relied
on a Battelle Memorial Institute report prepared  for EPA, which attempted
to estimate the quantity of ferrous materials that entered the waste
stream in 1970.'

     Portions of this data are reproduced in Table C-l.   It is assumed
that the steel categories most likely to be found in the residential and
commercial solid waste stream are consumer durables and  containers.  For
lack of better data, it is also assumed that 1.9  million tons of miscel-
laneous ferrous waste finds its way into this solid waste stream (Table
C-l).  Thus, a rough estimate of total residential and commercial ferrous
solid waste from non-automotive sources in 1971 is 11.4  million tons
(Table C-l).  It is assumed that no iron and steel castings are included
in household and commercial solid waste.

     More complete data were available for the packaging waste category,
and an improved waste estimate for this category was possible.  Using
shipments by steel mills as an approximation for consumption by the con-
tainer industry, the situation is shown in Table C-2.  It is assumed
that only a small portion of packaging materials other than cans and
closures enters the household and commercial waste stream.  (These
adjustments are shown in the table.)  The resulting 5.4  million tons is
our packaging waste figure.

                                   20

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-------
                                   TABLE C-2

                        FERROUS PACKAGING WASTE  - 1971
                                  (000 Tons)

Cans and Closures
Barrels* Drums and
Shipments*
5808
732
Less Converting
LOSS+
5111
644
Less Diverting
Fraction^
5111
129
  Shipping Pails

All Other                     672                 591                   118


  TOTALS                     7212                6346                  5358
     *Annual statistical report, 1971.   Washington, American Iron and Steel
Institute, 1972.  p.26.
     +Converting losses are assumed to  be 12 percent of bulk consumption.
     $A11 cans and closures are assumed to enter the designated waste stream;
however, only 20 percent of the other categories are assumed to do so.
                                        22

-------
     Ferrous waste, attributable to major household appliances (1.7
million tons), was calculated from data presented in a National Industrial
Pollution Control Council report.2  (This figure is reported separately
in the body of this report.)

     A residual category of ferrous waste, referred to as "other"
waste, was calculated by subtracting the 1.7 million tons of waste of
major household appliances from the consumer durables category in Table
C-l and then adding this figure to the miscellaneous category in this
table.

     To conclude, the residential and commercial ferrous waste figures
are as follows:  total ferrous waste equals 10.6 million tons, which can
be broken down into containers and packaging (5.4 million tons); major
household appliances (1.7 million tons); other products (3.5 million
tons).
                                   23

-------
                        REFERENCES FOR APPENDIX  C
1.   Regan, W.  J., R.  W.  James,  and  T.  J.  McLeer.   Identification
      of opportunities for increased recycling  of  ferrous  solid waste.
      Environmental  Protection  Agency, 1972.  391  p.   (Distributed  by
      National Technical  Information Service, Springfield, Va., as
      PB-213 577.)

2.   'National Industrial  Pollution Control  Council.   The  disposal  of
      major appliances.   Washington, U.S.  Government Printing  Office,
      June 1971.  22 p.
                                   24

-------
                               APPENDIX D


                            Nonferrous Metals

     Nonferrous metals represent a broad range of materials used in our
economy.  However, with the exception of aluminum, most of these metals
are found in only trace quantities in the household and commercial  waste
stream.  Since aluminum is reported separately, the nonferrous category
represents our estimates of the remaining material.  Copper and lead are
assumed to represent the bulk of these materials.

     Instead of tracing material flows, we obtained data on copper  from
a previous report for EPA by the Battelle Memorial Institute.1  (The
resulting data are shown in Table D-l.)  Total copper waste is estimated
at 200 thousand tons, of which approximately 100 thousand tons are  dis-
carded in major appliances/

     Direct estimates were available for the tin and lead consumed  in
tin can manufacture (containers and packaging), which resulted in a .1-
million-ton contribution.   The total nonferrous estimate was then
arbitrarily increased by .1 million tons in order to reflect other
nonferrous metals likely to be found in solid waste.

     These figures are reported in the body of this report as follows:

          Total Nonferrous Haste             400 Thousand Tons

          Containers and Packaging           100 thousand tons
          Major Household Appliances         100 thousand tons
          Other Products                     200 thousand tons
                                   25

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    -------
                            REFERENCES FOR APPENDIX D
    
    
    1.  Battelle Memorial Institute.   Columbus Laboratories.   A study to
          identify opportunities for increased solid waste utilization.
          v.2.  Aluminum report,  v.3.  Copper report,   v.4.   Lead report.
          v.5.  Zinc report,  v.6.  Nickel and stainless steel report.
          v.7.  Precious metals report.  Environmental  Protection Publication
          SW-40d.2.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1972.   608 p.
          (Distributed by National Technical  Information Service,
          Springfield, Va., as PB-212 730.)
    
    2.  National ludustrial Pollution Control  Council.   The disposal  of
          major appliances.  Washington, U.S.  Government Printing Office,
          June 1971.  22 p.
    
    3.  Hill, G. A.  Steel can study; an interim report on resource recovery
          and conservation opportunities for  the ferrous fraction of the
          municipal solid waste stream.  [Washington],  U.S. Environmental
          Protection Agency, Office of Solid  Waste Management Programs,
          Resource Recovery Division, June 1973.  83 p., app.  (Unpublished
          report.)
                                       27
    

    -------
                                   APPENDIX E
         Table E-l summarizes the calculations used to estimate paper waste.
    It is important to note that building paper and board are excluded from
    these calculations.*  Column 1  shows "Apparent Consumption," that is,
    production adjusted for imports and exports.   (These statistics  are
    reported by the American Paper InstituteJ)
    
         The categories used in Table E-l are those conventionally used to
    report bulk paper and board statistics.   Containerboard+ is equal to the
    sum of unbleached kraft linerboard, semi-chemical  paperboard, and
    combination shipping board.  "Other virgin board"  is a residual  category
    and equals total virgin board less linerboard, semi-chemical medium,
    and bleached packaging and converting board.   "Other Combination Board"
    is also a residual category and equals combination board less combination
    bending board and combination shipping board.
    
         The scrap losses shown in Column 2  were  obtained from estimates
    made by the Midwest Research Institute as well as  an industry spokesman
    (Table E-2).  These converting losses are deducted, and the resulting
    final consumption is regrouped in Column 3.
    
         Column 4 indicates the estimated fraction of  each use category that
    either:  (1) is dissipated in use, such  ais sand paper; (2) does  not enter
    the solid waste stream, such as toilet tissue; (3) is stored permanently,
    such as archive material.  The diversion estimates are based on  a report
    for EPA by Midwest Research Institute.2   (Since the MRI estimates include
    both permanent and temporary diversions, the  quantity diverted was revised
    downward for this report diverted was revised  downward for this  report
    to reflect only permanent diversions.)  In principle, one should
    account for the fact that some paper products  are  discarded several years
    after production.  However, since most paper  products have relatively
    short-use lives, this time-lag adjustment was  neglected in this  report.
    
         Column 5 summarizes the amount of paper  to be discarded.  The data
    is again regrouped to allow use of MRI estimates of the fraction of each
    grade consumed in the household.3  (The figures used are shown in
    Table E-3.)
         *Their exclusion is based on the fact that these products rarely
    enter the household/commercial waste stream.
         +Containerboard is often referred to as  corrugated board.  The two
    terms are used interchangeably in this report.
                                      28
    

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    -------
                           TABLE  E-2
    
    
              ESTIMATED LOSi. FACTORS BY  PAPER GRADE
    Paper Grade                       Estimated Converting
      K                                   Loss Factor
    Newsprint*"
    Printing & Converted
    Writing & Related*
    Bleached Bristol*
    Packaging & Converting*
    Special Industrial*
    Tissue*
    Containerboard
    Folding Boxboard*
    Other Boxboard>
    .025
    ..150
    .050
    .100
    .050
    .100
    .050
    .120
    .190
    .150
         *Personal  communication.  W. Franklin, Midwest
    Research Institute,  to F.  L. Smith, Jr., Office  of
    Solid Waste Management Programs.
         +Personal  communication.  W. Driscell, American
    Paper Solid Waste  Management Programs.
              estimates.
                             30
    

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                                 TABLE E-3
    
                         SOURCE OF DISCARDED PAPER*
    
    
    
    Newsprint
    Printing and Publishing
    Converting and Packaging
    Sanitary
    Bags
    Corrugated Containers
    Other Board Packaging
    Household
    (Percent)
    95
    63
    38
    61
    76
    8
    72
    Non-Household
    (Percent)
    5
    27
    62
    39
    24
    92
    28
         *Darnay, A., and W. E. Franklin.  Salvage markets for materials
    in solid wastes.  Environmental Protection Publication SW-29c.
    Washington, U.S. Government Printing Office, 1972.  187 p.
         Note:  The categories used in Table E-3 differ slightly from
    those used in Table E-l, column 5.  In particular, "Converting
    and Packaging" and "Bags" are combined in Table E-l; household  and
    non-household uses are each assumed to consume one-half of the
    combined tonnage.
                                     31
    

    -------
         To obtain the amount of paper recovered from this waste stream, it
    was assumed that the recovery rate observed in 1970 (12,021 of 53.325
    million tons or 22.4 percent) still holds in 1971.  MRI estimates that
    the split between industrial (i.e. converting) and post-consumer waste
    is 39:61.4  Total consumption in 1971 was 53.18 million tons and, using
    the assumption above, 22.4 percent, or 12.125 million tons, of this
    paper is recovered.  Using the 61:39 split, 4.729 million tons* is
    assumed recovered from industrial waste and 7.396 million tons from
    post-consumer waste.
    
         The post-consumer recovery figure of 7.396 million tons is distributed
    between the three major post-consumer wastepaper types, in the proportions
    recorded in another report by MRI.°  Post-consumer A-aste recovery is
    broken down as follows:  newsprint, 30.2 percent; pulp substitutes and
    high grades, 9.0 percent; mixed paper, 25.6 percent.  Applying these
    percentages to the total post-consumer waste figure of 7.395 million
    tons results in 2.603 million tons of recovered containerboard and 2.559
    million tons of recovered mixed and high grades.
    
         Recovered newi- is assumed to be recovered solely from household
    sources (Column 4 of Table E-l).  Recovered corrugated is assumed to be
    recovered solely from non-household sources (Column 1C of Table E-l).
    Both mixed arid high grades ctre also assumed to be recovered solely from
    non-household sources.  The paper categories from which the latter two
    grades are recovered are assumed to be:  printing and related; packaging
    and converting; other' boxboard.  Recovery from these categories is
    assumed to be proportional to their production.  Since mixed and high
    grades together account for 34.6 percent of the 7.396 million tons of
    post-consume1" waste recovered, a total of 2.559 million tons is assumed
    recovered from these categories.  The resulting allocations are shown in
    Table E-4 ^nd are indicated in Columns 7 and 10 of Tab'le E-l.  Columns 8
    and 11 then indicate the residual waste by source.
    
         To obtain a better understanding of the product categories under
    which paper waste may be classified, paper was broken down into three
    end-use categories:  packaging; magazines and newspapers; other.  Table
    E-5 shows the resulting breakdown.  The grade categories are those used
    in Column 5 of Table E-l.
    
         To obtain the amount of paper initially discarded from any one of
    these end-use categories, the post-consumer waste that is recovered must
    be added to these figures.  Similarly, to obtain total bulk consumption
    by end-use, converting waste must be included.  For example, using the
    information shown in Table E-l and using ratios where appropriate, one
    finds that total discarded packaging paper equals 24.3 million tons and
    apparent consumption of packaging paper was 27.7 million tons.
         *Since total converting waste is estimated at 5.424 million tons in
    Column 2, our estimate of the industrial waste recovery rate is 87
    percent.
    
                                       32
    

    -------
                                 TABLE E-4
    
                       ALLOCATED WASTEPAPER RECOVERY"
                                (000 Tons)
    
    
    Printing & Related
    Packaging &
    Converting
    Other Boxboard
    TOTAL
    Production
    Tonnage
    3422
    2310
    2183
    7915
    Percent
    43
    29
    28
    100
    Allocated Recovery
    1100
    742
    717
    2559
    *See text for source.
                                     33
    

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                                      TABLE E-5
    
                         PAPER IN THE WASTE STREAM BY SOURCE
                                        1971
                                     (000 Tons)
    Category
    
    Newsprint
    Printing & Writing
    Packaging Paper
    Special Industrial
    Tissue Paper*
    Containerboard
    Other Board
    TOTAL
    Waste
    Quanti ty*
    7480
    8148
    3878
    179
    2398
    9965
    7081
    39129
    Packaging
    
    « _
    748+
    3878
    —
    240
    9965
    5535
    20412
    Magazines &
    Newspapers
    7480
    2815*
    —
    —
    —
    —
    —
    10295
    
    Other
    ..
    4549
    —
    179
    2158
    --
    1:5465
    8432
         *This column is the sum of columns  8  and  11   from Table  E-l.
    
         +The figure is the 13.5 percent of the Printing Paper portion of
    Printing and Writing.  This percentage was derived from data shown in
    Table 4, Role of Nonpackaging Paper.
    
         *Th1s figure is 56 percent of all non-packaging printing paper.
    The percent is derived from Table 10 of Role of Nonpackaging Paper.
         *
          All non-sanitary tissue is classified as packaging paper.
    
         xThis figure is 9 percent of all  board as indicated in Table 4,
    Role of Nonpackaging Paper.
                                         34
    

    -------
                            REFERENCES FOR APPENDIX  E
    1.  The statistics of paper.   New York,  American  Paper  Institute,  1972.
          Table XXVII.  (This is  Bureau of Census-based data  and  is  not
          readily compatible with similar production, import, and export
          data reported in Tables II, IV, and V  in the main body  of  The
          Statistics of Paper.)
    
    2.  Franklin, W. E., and A. Darnay.  The role of  nonpackaging paper in
          solid waste management, 1966 to 1976.   Public Health Service
          Publication No. 2040.  Washington, U.S Government Printing Office,
          1971.  76 p.
    
    3..  Midwest Research Institute.   Unpublished data.  More  recent  and
          detailed results are shortly to be published as a result of  present
          contract work.  The MRI data assigned  each  paper  grade  to  a  final
          use area after the recovered fraction  of that grade had been
          deducted; however, the  same data is used to allocate grade here
          before recovery.
    
    4.  Darnay, A., and W. E. Franklin.  Salvage markets for  materials
          in solid wastes.'  Environmental Protection  Publication  SW-29c.
          Washington, U.S. Government Printing Office, 1972.   187 p.
    
    5.  Franklin, W. E.  Paper recycling—the art of  the possible, 1970-1985.
          New York, American Paper Institute, 1973.   181 p.
                                      35
    

    -------
                                   APPENDIX F
    
    
                                    Plastics
    
         Plastics are one of the more difficult materials to trace since
    numerous producers manufacture numerous grades of plastic resins, the
    bulk form of plastics.   Statistics are maintained for only the more
    important resins:  low density polyethylene, high density polyethylene,
    polystryrene, polyvinyl chloride, and polypropylene.   These "big-five"
    polymers are estimated to comprise 67 percent of all  plastics.1'  P- III-5/
    Estimates of the quantities of these polymers that are to be discarded
    in various end-use categories are given in a report by Arthur D.  Little
    for EPA.   Table F-l  summarizes this information, excluding those end-use
    categories not included in household and commercial solid waste.   The
    excluded categories include transportation, construction and agricultural
    film, construction plastics, and wire and cable.  Unfortunately,  there
    are no data on end-use consumption for these categories.
    
         Estimating the breakdown by source of plastic household-commercial
    waste allows the comparison of estimates with those reported in composition
    studies.  An illustration of such a cross-check is the finding by
    Staudiqger that packaging comprised 76 percent of all household plastic
    waste.   The corresponding percentage shown in Table  F-l is 60 percent.
    
         Table F-l estimates were for the base year 1970; these were  adjusted
    for the year 1971.  Moreover, the data were regrouped to show the product
    categories used in the body of the report.  These calculations are shown
    in Table F-2.  The results are that total plastic waste is 4.300  million
    tons, of which containers and packaging are 2.500 million tons, major
    appliances are 100 thousand tons, furniture and furnishings are 100 thousand
    tons, clothing and footwear are 200 thousand tons, and other products are
    1.500 million tons.
                                       36
    

    -------
                                          TABLE F-l
    
                       "BIG-FIVE" PLASTICS IN THE WASTE STREAM - 1970
    
    Product Groups
    Estimated
    Waste*
    (000 tons)
    
    
    
    Packaging*
    Rigid
    Flexible
    Consumer Durables
    Appliances
    Furniture
    Other*
    Clothing
    Apparel
    Footwear
    
    (1)
    Biq~Five
    1,963
    1,079
    883
    528
    50
    30
    448
    68
    23
    45
    
    (2)
    Total
    2,930
    1,610
    1,318
    788
    75
    45
    669
    101
    34
    67
    Estimated
    Household
    Percentage+
    (3)
    
    90
    90
    
    
    
    90
    
    
    100
    
    Household
    Waste
    (000 tons)
    
    (4)
    Big-Five
    1,767
    971
    795
    
    
    475
    
    
    68
    
    
    (5)
    Total
    2,637
    1,449
    1,187
    
    
    709
    
    
    101
    
    Novelties, Disposables
       50
       75
    60
    30
    45
           TOTAL
    2,609
    3,894
                 2,340     3,493
       ,  *Milgrom, J.  Incentives for recycling and reuse of plastics.  Environmental
    Protection Agency, 1972.  Tables 36, 39.  (Distributed by National Technical Information
    Service, Springfield, Va., as PB-214 045.)
         +EPA estimate.
         ^Milgrom, Incentives for recycling and reuse of plastics, Table 42.
         *This category includes housewares, toys, sporting goods, luggage, and records.
         Note:  The total waste columns 2 and 5 are obtained by assuming that all other
    plastics are consumed in the same proportion as are the "big-five."  Thus, columns
    2 and 5 are simply columns 1 and 4 divided by .67.
                                               37
    

    -------
                                          TABLE F-2
    
                                    TOTAL PLASTIC WASTES
                                        (000 tons)
    Product Groups
      "Big-Five"
    Thermo Plastics
        (1970)
    Expand for
    Thermosets
    and Coatings
    Expand to 1971
    Packaging
    Major Appliances
    Furniture
    Apparel & Footwear
    Other
    TOTAL
    TOTAL, Non-packaging
    1,963
    25
    30
    68
    523
    2,608
    696
    x 1.14*
    x 2.59*
    x 2.59*
    x 2.59*
    x 2.59*
    x 1.49+
    x 2.59+
    = 2,224
    65
    78
    = 176
    = 1,355
    = 3,897
    = 1,670
    1.12*
    r
    1.11*
    1.19*
    1.05*
    1.10*
    __
    —
    2,491
    72
    93
    185
    1,491
    4,332
    1,841
         *Midwest Research Institute.  Plastic packaging.  (Unpublished note.)  It stated
    that the "big-five" represent 88 percent of all  packaging plastics:  If88=1.14.
         +The "b$g-five" represent 67 percent of all  plastic;  17.67=1.49 (Milgrom,
    Incentives for recycling and reuse of plastics,  p.III-57).
         tThese factors were obtained by subtracting  the packaging figure in column 3
    (2,224) from the total-plastics-consumed figure  of 3,897 and then calculating the
    expansion factor required to balance the nonpackaging categories.
         *EPA estimates.
                                             38
    

    -------
                            REFERENCES FOR APPENDIX F
    1.  Milgrom, J.   Incentives for recycling and reuse of plastics.
          Environmental  Protection Publication SW-41c.   U.S.  Environmental
          Protection Agency, 1972.  316 p.   (Distributed by National
          Technical  Information Service, Springfield, Va., as PB-214  045.)
    
    2.  Staudinger,  J.  J.  P.  Disposal  of plastics waste and  litter.   S.C.I
          Monograph  No.  35.   London, Society of Chemical Industry,  1970.
          100 p.
                                      39
    

    -------
                                   APPENDIX G
    
    
                                     Rubber
    
         Two approaches were used to estimate the rubber fraction in the
    household/commercial waste stream.   The first relied on 1968 data
    presented by Petti grew and Ronninger in a report, Rubber Reuse and
    Recycling.'   The details of their calculation are indicated in
    Table G-l.  The second approach relied on several additional data
    sources and is detailed in Table G-2.
    
         The first method yields a total post-consumer rubber waste estimate
    of 3.75 million tons, while the second yields 2.70 million tons.
    The methods are very close on tire  rubber, assuming 80 percent by
    weight of a tire is rubber.  The main  difference is in non-tire rubber
    where the estimates are 1.04 and 2.15  million tons.  Part of the
    difference is the result of product category definitions; part is the
    inclusion of non-rubber components  in  shoes and other goods.
    
         In our judgement, the best compromise is a rubber figure of 3.3 mil-
    lion tons, composed of 1.7 million  tons tire rubber and 1.6 million tons
    non-tire rubber (including tire tubes).
                                       40
    

    -------
                                   TABLE  6-1
    
                       1968  RUBBER  POST-CONSUMER WASTE*
    
                                 (000  tons)
    
    
    
              Tire  production  less  wear allowance           3000
    
              Tire  tonnage diverted from  waste +            jjQOO_
    
    
              Net tire  discards                             2000
    
    
              Rubber  discarded in tirest                   1600
    
              Other rubber waste                            2^50_
    
    
              Total waste                                   3750
         *Pettigrew, R. J., F. H. Roninger, W. J. Markiewicz, and
    M. J. Gransky.  Rubber reuse and solid waste management.  [Public
    Health Service Publication No. 2124.]  Washington, U.S. Government
    Printing Office, 1971.  pt.l.
         +Most diversions are for retread purposes; minor portions
    are used for reclaim, dock bumpers, etc.
         ^The exact rubber content of tires varies but is assumed here
    at 80 percent.
                                      41
    

    -------
                                    TABLE G-2
    
                           RUBBER POST-CO,JSl'/ER WASTE
    
                                   (000 tons)
                                          Tire and Tire   Non-Tire
                                             Products     Products    Total
    U.S. Rubber Consumption, 1969
      New plus reclaimed*
    
    Converting losse: "*"
    
      Tires, @ .03
    
      Other products 0 .05
    
    
    
    
    Diversions from Waste Stream*
    
      Tire tread wear
    
      Reclaimer use
    
      Retreading *
    
      Tire-Splitting
    
      Diversion for other reuse
        (@ 1% of tires)
    
    
        Total Diversions
    
        Post-Consumer Waste Rubber
     2100
    
    
    
    
     - 63
    
    
    
    
     2037
    
    
    
     215
    
     135
    
    
    
      13
    
      21
    
    
    
     384
    
    7653"
    1097
    3197
              -118
    - 55
    1042      3079
    1042      2695
           *Total  consumption from Rubber Manufacturers Associc tier.,
      Rubber Industry Facts, Table 18, p. 20.   "Jet imports are neglected
      although, in fact,  tire imports substantially exceed experts.
      Allocated between tires and non-tire products on basis of percentages
      from Table 22,  p. 20.
           +Based  on  Gordian Associates unpublished data,  and:  Pettigrew
      and Ronninger,  Rubber  Reuse and Solid V'aste Manancrer.t.
           ^Values in this  list based on W. J.  Markiewizc  and '1.  J. Grarsky,
      "Waste Rubber and Its  Reuse:   iyt>y" 4.n Kuooer Keuse  ana M;MU \.d±^
      Management.
            This assumes  that retreading involves no net diversion since
      retreading supplies a  quantity of tires  that were not counted as
      part of consumption in the first line.
                                         42
    

    -------
                            REFERENCE FOR APPENDIX  G
    1.   Pettigrew, R.  J., F.  H.  Roninger,  W.  J.  Markiewicz,  and M.  J. Gransky,
          Rubber reuse and solid waste management,   pt.1-2.   [Public Health
          Service Publication No. 2124.]   Washington,  U.S. Government
          Printing Office, 1971.  120 p.
                                       43
    

    -------
                                   APPENDIX H
    
    
                                    Textiles
    
         No general statistical series on textile use were found during
    this study.  However, two recycling studies contained data on textile
    waste. '2  The report by Midwest Research Institute stated that total
    end-use consumption of textiles in 1968 was 4.83 million tons while
    bulk consumption was 5.67 million tons.3, Table 47, p.70-2; Table 48, p.  79-3
    This implies a factor of 15 percent for converting loss and this
    figure is used throughout Table H-l to convert bulk production into final
    consumption statistics.  Much discarded clothing is also recovered for
    reuse in rags.  Although no accurate data are available on this subject,
    Midwest Research Institute did estimate that from .8 to 1.8 million tons
    of old clothes are recovered annually.1' P- '5  In this report, one
    million tons of old clothes are assumed to be recovered from the waste
    stream.
    
         Production data for three end-use categories—apparel, home furnish-
    ings, and miscellaneous—were obtained from a Battelle Memorial Institute
    report. ' P- 24'  The time-lag between production and discard for Apparel
    and the Miscellaneous category is assumed to be five years.  Home furnish-
    ings are assumed to last ten years.  It is estimated that only 80 percent
    of the Miscellaneous category becomes household waste.
    
         The waste estimates based on these assumptions are summarized in
    Table H-l.  The data sources permitted waste to be estimated for the
    year 1970; these results are expanded to represent 1971 textile waste.
                                       44
    

    -------
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    -------
                        REFERENCES FOR APPENDIX H
    Darnay, A., and W.  E.  Franklin.   Salvage markets  for materials  in
      solid wastes.  Environmental  Protection Publication SW-29c.
      Washington, U.S.  Government Printing Office,  1972.  Ch.  VIII.
    
    Battelle Memorial  Institute, Columbus Laboratories.   A study to
      identify opportunities for increased solid waste utilization.
      v.9.  Textile report.  Environmental Protection Publication SW-40d.3.
      U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1972.  p. 241-339.
      (Distributed by National  Technical  Information  Service,
      Springfield, Va., as PB-212 731.)
                                   46
    

    -------
                                   APPENDIX I
                                     Wood
    
         The Forest Service has developed an excellent time series for wood
    consumed in a variety of end-use categories.'  The 1970 consumption data
    are shown in Table 1-1.  Table 1-2 estimates the likelihood that each
    category will enter several designated waste streams.  It is important to
    note that several wood-use categories (e.g. railroad ties) enter none of
    these waste streams.  In this report, wood waste entering the household
    and commercial solid waste stream is estimated as that produced by the
    following use categories:  Household Furniture, Commercial and Industrial
    Furniture, Consumer Goods, and all Shipping categories.
    
         To estimate the waste tonnages for each of these categories,
    production data from The Outlook for Timber were used.   These data
    seem to be available only for the years 1945, 1960, 1965, and 1970.
    Considering the expected lifetimes of the products in each major category:
    1960 production data were used for Furniture; 1970 data were used for
    Shipping; 1965 data were used for Consumer Goods, and other categories.
    
         These statistics are for bulk consumption rather than for wood
    actually embodied in the finished product.  The data were adjusted for
    converting losses, using information shown in Table 1-3.  To convert
    wood use into weight terms, the factors shown in Table 1-4 were used.
    Since the weights for hardwood and softWood products differ, the fraction
    of hardwood and softwood lumber and plywood used in each category were
    estimated.  These are shown in Table 1-5.  The resulting tonnages are
    summarized in Table 1-6.  Contributions by each wood type are reported
    separately and then summarized in the right-hand column.
    
         Wood used in the Shipping end-use category was handled somewhat
    differently in order to reflect our belief that much wood packing and
    shipping materials are used solely in industrial applications.  The
    work sheets used for the adjusted waste from the shipping category are
    shown in Tables 1-7 and 1-8.  These readjustments indicate our estimates
    of the fraction of shipping materials likely to be discarded from industrial
    rather than household/commercial  uses.  Table 1-9 finally summarizes the
    wood estimates and adjusts them to the 1971 base year.
                                       47
    

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    Residential Housing
    
    Residential Upkeep
    
    Other Construction
    
     Commercial
     Non-Commercial
     Utilities
     Highway
     Other
    
    Manufacturing
    
     Household furniture
     Commercial/Institutional
       Furniture
     Consumer Goods
     Commercial,  Industrial,
       & Machinery
     Other
    
    Shipping
     Containers
     Pallets
     Dunnage
    Railroad Construction
     Ties
     Other
    Other
          TABLE  1-3
    
    CONVERSION LOSS FACTOR*
    
    
          Lumber Products
    
                 NE
    
                 NE
    
                 NE
                 .6
    
                 .6
                 .6
    
                 .3
                 .3
    
                 .25
                 NE
                 NE
    Panel  Products
    
         HE
    
         NE
    
         NE
                                        .10
         .10
       '   NE
          NE
    NE - Not estimated.
                T.f U.S. Forest Service.
         +Not estimated separated.
                    Unpublished data.
                                    50
    

    -------
                         TABLE 1-4
    
      HARDWOOD/SOFTWOOD RATIOS BY END-USE CATEGORY*
    
    Sector
    Manufacturing
    Household Furniture
    Comm/Ind Furniture
    Consumer Goods
    Commercial
    Other
    Shipping
    Containers
    Pallets
    Dunnage
    Lumber
    Percentages
    HW SW
    +
    82
    82
    49
    55
    51
    +
    40
    58
    53
    +
    18
    18
    51
    45
    49
    +
    60
    42
    47
    Plywood
    Percentages
    HW SW
    + +
    69 31
    69 31
    74 26
    86 14
    24 76
    33 67
    + +
    + +
    +
    
    *Gill, T.t U.S. Forest Service,  Unpublished data.
    +Not separately estimated.
                          51
    

    -------
                                TABLE  1-5
                         WEIGHT CONVERSION UNITS*
    Lumber
         One Softwood Board Foot-dressed  =  1.92 pounds
         One Hardwood Board Foot-rough    =  3.34 pounds
    Panel Products
         Plywood (3/8" basis)
              Softwood - One Square Foot =1.07 pounds
              Hardwood - One Square Foot =1.31 pounds
         Building Board
              Hardboard  (1/8" basis) - One Square Foot          =  .679  pounds.
              Insulating board (1/2" basis) - One Square Foot    =  .766  pounds.
              Particle board (3/4" basis) - One Square Foot      =  2.95  pounds.
         *Gill, T., and J. Micklewright, U.S. Forest Service,
    Unpublished data.
                                   52
    

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    -------
                                   TABLE  1-7
    
    
    
                    WOOD  USED  IN SHIPPING  APPLICATIONS, 1970*
    
    
    
    Containers
    Lumber (bd. ft.)
    Veneer & Plywood (sq.
    Hardboard (sq. ft.)
    Pallets
    Lumber (bd. ft.)
    Plywood (sq. ft.)
    Hardboard (sq. ft.)
    .Dunnage
    Lumber (bd. ft.)
    Plywood (sq. ft.)
    Hardboard (sq. ft.)
    Total
    Quantity
    (Units as
    Noted)
    
    1755
    ft.) 437
    26
    
    3150
    140
    28
    
    820
    14
    4
    Wood
    Tonnage
    ,(000
    tons)
    
    2183
    251
    9
    
    4321
    80
    9
    
    1096
    8
    1
    Hardwood Softwood
    Quantity Tonnage Quantity Tonnage
    (Units as (000 (Units as (000
    Noted) tons) Noted) tons)
    
    702 1172 1053 1011
    144 94 293 157
    — — — —
    
    1827 3051 1323 1270
    46 30 94 50
    — — — —
    
    435 726 385 370
    53 9 .005
    — — — —
    
    
    *The quantity data is from Table 1-1.  Tonnages are calculated from Table 1-5,
                                        54
    

    -------
                                        TABLE  i_$
    
                     Adjusted Household/Commercial  Wood Waste*
    
                                    (000  tons)
    
    Category Total
    Wood
    Consumed
    Containers
    Lumber 2183
    
    Panel Products 260
    Pallets
    Lumber 4321
    
    Panel Products 89
    Dunnage
    Lumber 1096
    
    Panel Products 9
    Pass-
    Through
    Factor
    
    .75
    
    .90
    
    .75
    
    .90
    
    .75
    
    .90
    Total
    Wood
    Waste
    
    1637
    
    234
    
    3241
    
    81
    
    822
    
    8
    Estimated Household/
    Fraction Commercial
    in Solid Waste Solid Waste
    
    ]
    ( .5 936
    )
    
    1
    > .2 664
    )
    
    1
    > .2 166
    )
         *Total wood consumed from Table 1-7.  Pass-through factor from Table 1-3.
    The fractions in the solid waste stream are EPA estimates.
                                            55
    

    -------
                                    TABLE 1-9
    
                                  FINAL WASTE*
    
                                   (000 tons)
    
    
    Containers & Packaging
    Furniture & Furnishing
    (Household & Other)
    Other
    (Consumer Goods)
    1970
    1766
    2252
    442
    Expansion
    Factor
    1.03
    1.05
    1.03
    1971
    1819
    2320
    455
         *1970 estimates from Table 1-8.  Expansion factors estimated by EPA.
                            REFERENCE  FOR  APPENDIX  I
    1.   U.S.  Forest Service.   The outlook  for timber  in  the  United  States.
          December 1972.   (Draft report; now available as  Forest  Resource
          Report No. 20.   Washington,  U.S.  Government Printing  Office,
          October 1973.   367  p.)
                                                                    pall66
    
    
                                       56
    

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