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-------
                            SUMMARY REPORT
                                  FOR
                            TWO YEAR PERIOD
                         June 1976 - July 1978

                                  OF

                    AN EXPERIMENTAL STUDY OF LAKE
                     LOADING BY AEROSOL TRANSPORT
              AND DEPOSITION IN THE LAKE MICHIGAN BASIN
Principal Investigator:
Grant:

Project Officer:
II. Sievering, Professor of Engineering Sciences
College of Environmental and Applied Sciences
Governors State University
Park Forest South, IL  60k66
312/53^-5000 x2H98

#R00530101

J. Regan, Chief
Air Surveillance Branch
Region V
U. S. Environmental Protection Agency
Chicago, IL
                            August 1, 1978

-------
PREFACE




     This Gummury of the first two years'  data from the Lake Michigan Aerosol




Loading study should be viewed as just that - a summary.   We have confirmed




the presented data base to be a quality one unfettered by contamination or




instrument calibration errors.  However, the large size of the  data base has




allowed us to only recently begin a detailed interpretation.  It is for this




reason that the present reporting is but a summary.  The Interpretation sec-




tion must be considered preliminary.  At this writing only two  of some fifteen




or more scientific articles have been submitted for publication.  Not only a




thoroughgoing interpretation on our part but also a thorough critique by the




scientific community are, thus, still wanting.




     Because much of the data has not yet been analyzed only a  small portion




appears in this document.  The oft referenced Appendix I computer printout of




the complete data base is available at cost from the Principal  Investigator




upon approval from the U. S. EPA.  The one other major data base not part of




the computer printout is the NCAR air data.  Because this data  base is still  in




the raw interpretation phase it will be several months before the mesometeoro-




logical analysis is available.




     We are indebted to many, many people who supported this effort.  Mehul




Dave' and Donald Dolske, full-time research associates, are most prominent in




this regard.   GRU students Mike Eason, Jil Forst, Vic Jensen, Pat McCoy, Rich




Rupert, Nell Sutton and Keith Walther all contributed "flesh and bone" as well




as Brainpower.   Grant secretaries Rebecca Borter and Elaine Sherman are espec-




iai±y acknowledged for their dedication in spite of the chaos presented to them.




To rj caff of the U.S. EPA, especially Bob Bowden and Jerry Regan, we are most




graceful.  To Capt. McLain and his crew of the R/V Simons - thanks for bringing

-------
us through those storms, for without you, we couldn't "be writing this report.

Finally, we thank the National Center for Atmospheric Research staff, especially

Paul Spyers-Duran and Pete Orurn for their assistance.

     This work was done under U.S. EPA Grant #R00530101.  I gladly accept full

responsibility for this document.  Any errors of omission or commission are

my responsibility.
August, 19T8                                           H. S.
                                                       Park Forest South, 111.

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 INTRODUCTION

     As  recognized in  the  original  proposal  for this grant project the
 need for meteorological and ambient  air  data  over  and on the Great Lakes
 is self evident  upon  reviewing model predictions of atmospheric loading
 to these lakes  (Winchester,  1971,  Skibin, 1973, Gatz, 1975, Sievering, 1976,
 and Eisenreich,  1977)-  Specifically, the transport processes as a func-
 tion of climatology and,  even more importantly, the deposition of low
 lying -  hereafter, referred to  as surface  layer - ambient air constituents
 to Great Lakes water  bodies  is essential before any model calculations
 can be  considered credible.  The measurement  of wet deposition as a func-
 tion of over-lake rain climatology is being considered by other researchers
 (Bolsenga,  197^  and Murphy,  1976).   The  measurement of dry deposition to
 large lakes,especially of aerosols,  has  been  largely neglected.  A major
 purpose of  this  work  is to determine the dry  deposition of surface layer
 aerosol to  Lake  Michigan  as  a function of aerosol  size and of surface lay-
 er meteorology.   This surface layer  meteorology or micrometeorology should
 be measured under sufficiently varying conditions  to identify a microclim-
 atology for aerosol dry deposition.   This is  so because of the much greater
 potential for Great Lakes loading  in an  unstable surface layer - i.e.,
 when the air temperature,  Ta, is less than  the water surface temperature,
 Ts.   Further, Sehmel  and  Hodgson (197*0  found that for aerosol deposition
 to a water  surface_ in_ a wind tunnel  the  rate  of deposition or deposition

velocity, V~d,  of 2 pm aerosols  was  several times that  for 0.2 ym aerosols
(see Figure  l).   A second purpose of this work is  to  determine  trace  metal
and nutrient concentrations at  representative  locations  on  Lake Michigan
to enable flux estimates.   That  is,
     Flux (F)  =  Concentration (C^)  x  Deposition  Rate
                where  F  is in ug/sq.  meter/second

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                                  -2-




    Cj_ is the concentration of constituent i in ug/cubic meter and




    V, is the deposition velocity in meters/second




    Once having calculated these fluxes an overall loading in Tons/Year




can be determined if a micro-and mesoclimatology for over lake waters is




available.  Determination of the microclimatology has been identified as




a part of the first purpose of this work.  An additional  third purpose




requires that a meso-climatology for the Lake Michigan Basin  be deter-




mined.  In essence this meso-climatology identifies constituent concen-




tration as a function of location and time of year.  No fully adequate




way of doing this is available, primarily due to the extremely large




spatial and temporal data base required.  The approach used here is the




intense collection of data during preselected periods of time.  This




data is then used to generate forward and back-trajectories at the meso-




scale.  With these trajectories in hand concentration variations on the




lake-spatially and temporally-can be estimated and then combined with




deposition velocities as a function of climatology to arrive at overall




loadings.




    ri'o accomplish the three major purposes identified above a rather exten-




sive sampling program is required.   First, meteorological and aerosol




sar~ling instruments were used aboard the R/V Simons at a midlake location-




s':"".")' and U2°OC' - for approximately fifteen 2U hour sampling days during




-.; nl to September 1977.  These same instruments have been located at a




^io./  cf Chicago nearshore location  since May 1978.  Second, aerosol samples




collected on low trace metal and nutrient concentration filters have been




analyzed by inductively coupled argon plasma. (ICAP) emission spectroscopy

-------
                                  -3-




at the U.G.EPA's Central Regional Laboratory.  The filters each carry




only a three to six hour aerosol sample so that each filter set is




obtained within a restricted micrometeorological regime.  Because of




this sampling requirement some trace metal filter concentrations are




below 1CA? detection limits.




    A third major sampling developed a mesometeorological data base for




trajectory analyses.  In addition to obtaining National Weather Service




and Coast Guard meteorological data during midlake and nearshore sampling




an intense mesometeorological and aerosol concentration data base was




generated through aircraft overflights in June and September of 1977 and




May of 1978.  This data has been supplied by the National Center for




Atmospheric Research C^ueeri Air Aircraft through an NSF supporting grant




of nearly $100,000.




    The next section of this summary report reviews  the data base so




far collected and explains the intermediate stage of analysis which com-




puter interpretation has afforded.  To better appreciate this interpreta-




tion a brief review of the diabatic drag coefficient approach to the V^




calculation is warranted.  A more complete description is found in the




original proposal narrative.




    Usinpr the eddy view of atmospheric turbulence and assuming the sur-




face layer over Lake Michigan to be a layer of constant mean aerosol




f^ux (i.e., that the average rate at which'material moves up and down is




a -rr.-tant with height  within the surface layer)  an expression for that




f'^'.x Is given "by
                    =  o           .     „

-------
                                  -k-

    where F. is the mean flux of constituent A

                  p is the density of air
                  a" is the mean concentration of A at some reference
                    ht. within the surface layer (in this case 5 m)
                 aQ is the mean concentration of A at the air/water
                    interface
                 DD is the diabatic drag coefficient
                 na is the mean wind speed at the reference ht.
                 TT^, is the flow speed of the air/water interface

    The method of obtaining CDD values is quite involved and is  detailed

in the Appendix of the original proposal.  Suffice it to say that CLp

is determined from micrometeorological measurements of the air tempera-

ture, air/water interface temperature and of the surface layer wind

speed.  The mean wind speed, mean air concentration of a constituent and

flow speed of the air/water interface are readily obtained.  It is only

regarding the air/water interface concentration of the constituent of

interest that approximating assumptions need to be made.  One appromi-

nation not invalid during unstable air sampling is that aQ - 0.   This

approximation is suspect for stable air sampling and clearly invalid when

surface rr.icrolayers with high trace metal concentrations are present.  The

assumption that ao = 0 will first be made in the computer interpreta-

tion phase and then scrutinized in the section headed Interpretation.

-------
                                      -5-
1    DESCRIPTION OF THE DATA

         The first two years  of  work  have  shown that  our  field  study of midlake

    aerosol characterization  and deposition,  and  the  consequent  application of

    the data to trace  metal and  nutrient loading  estimations has been successful.

    The 19TT field program was supported by access to the R/V Simons as a mid-

    lake sampling platform, CRL's  analysis of filter  samples for trace metals

    and nutrients, and National  Center  for Atmospheric Research  (NCAR) air-

    craft overflights  for spatially distributed aerosol and mesometeorological

    data.  The  following section of this report is a  description of the 1977

    data base.   Appendix A contains copies of all major computer printout com-

    ponents of  the data.

         The raw data  collected  on board the  R/V  Simons,  manually calculated

    parameters,   and results  of  chemical analyses from CRL have all been entered

    on  permanent GSU computer system  files.   Additionally, copies of the data

    files are kept on  magnetic tape cassettes  at  GSU  as a safeguard against

    possible loss of data due to system failures.  All of the computer data

    files nave  been manually  edited and verified  to ensure conformity to the

    original raw data.   A series of twenty-five FORTRAN IV programs has been

    written to  process  the field data into a  readable intermediate data base,

    presented in Appendix A and  split into eight  major divisions:

         A.   I'icrometeorology
         •3.   Trace Metal  Concentrations in the Atmosphere
         C.   'Irace Metal  Mass Flux
         D.   Total Aerosol Mass  Flux
         r..   Phosphorus,  Nitrate,  and Sulfate Atmospheric Concentrations
         F.   rno3phorus ,  i.itrate,  and Sulfate Mass Flux
         C..   Trace Metal  Concentrations in Lake Water

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                                   -6-




Each of these eight divisions is described below.  The description




relates the raw data elements used in processing to the final printed




results shown in the various tables.






A_- __  Micrometeorology




     The first section in this division contains micrometeorological data




for each of the filter set sampling periods.  The mean, standard deviation,




and number of measurements in each set are shown for water surface tempera-




ture (Ts), air temperature (Ta), and wind speed (U ).   Ts is measured by a




downward looking infrared sensor, while Ta and Ua are measured at the five




meter sampling height with standard meteorological instruments.  Mean sur-




face water current speed (Us) is also shown for each set.




     These data enter into the calculation of the diabatic drag coefficient




(C,^r; which is "at the heart" of this experiment.  The critical parameters




for this calculation are shown (mean and standard deviation included) on




•che _cwer part of each page.  They are (T& - TS ) , the temperature difference




between the air at 5 meters and the surface, and (U& - Us), the difference




in speed letween the air et 5 meters and the surface of the lake.  The




stability parameters), a function of wind speed and (Ta -  Ts), identifies




the extent to which loading to the lake is affected by micrometeorology.




r,esu_i.ts uf the C^j calculation were obtained manually but are now displayed




in ^eoticr; la.




     The ~- -, values are shown as a mean result with a minimum and maximum




val^e whicn represents one standard deviation extremes.  To additionally




characterize micrometeorological conditions averaged across a filter set




period, the local Richardson number (Rj)  was calculated.   R.  is a measure




of the tendency for turbulence initiated in the surface layer to be self-

-------
                                   -7-



sustaining.  Lastly, the deposition velocity (V.) f°r each filter set




is shown.  This value is based on the mean Cn~ for each set.




     From this micrometeorological data, it is possible to exclude from




further flux calculations certain filter sets.  Using the criteria that




(Ua - Us) should be greater than 2.0 m/s for the CTJTN theory to be reliable,




and that R^ should be less than 0.25 (an empirical critical value, above




which turbulence may be suppressed), sets 10010, 10020, 100^0, 20080, 20120,




30210 must be excluded.  For these sets, and during stable air summer season




periods with (Ua - Us) ^2.0 m/s or R.r > 0.25, an assumption that no




deposition takes place is made and is certainly conservative.  Climatolo-




gically this situation occurs no more than 2.5% in March, k% in April and




May,  1+. 5% in June, 5-5/<> in July, 6.0% in August, 3.5% in September, and




3.0/0  in October and probably not at all in November through February




(NOAA SSMO, 1975)




     Section 2 of the micrometeorology printout contains the means on, and




standard deviation in, wind direction data for each filter set.  Also printed




are barometric pressure data for the sampling periods.  An assumption under-




lying the application of CDD theory requires the wind direction to be fairly




steady.   No strictly quantitative definition of this steadiness is available,




however.   Here, a value of 30° to U0° standard deviation about the mean




defines  "unsteady" wind field conditions.  Thus, two filter sets, 20150 and




^03^0, must be excluded, in addition to the six above.




     Although not  strictly part of the microscale data base, an additional




consideration for  CQQ theory application is that relatively constant meteorol-




ogy prevails for at least 5 km upwind of the sampling location during stable




air conditions.  (2 km or even 1 km suffices during unstable periods.)  When-

-------
                                  -8-




ever macroscale fronts appeared on southern Lake Michigan, the related




filter set was excluded.  This eliminates sets 30220 and U0310.  In summary,




then,of the 56 total filter sets collected, ten must be excluded from flux




calculations (and four were blanks), leaving k2 sets which warrant appli-




cation of the CDD theory and trajectory analysis.






A' .   Mesometeorology arid Tr_aJectpry__Analysi_s




     Though not part of the computerized data base, National Weather Service,




Coast Guard, and City of Chicago meteorological data were plotted on bi-hourly




soutnern Lake Michigan maps along with the shipboard data at 8T°00' and




U2°00'.  This data base, along with calculated geostrophic wind vectors at




four points over the southern portion of the Lake, allowed self-consistent




air parcel streamlines to be drawn on each bi-hourly map—except for the May




outing, when iriesometeorological conditions were too complex.  Forward tra-




jectories, initiated from Midway Airport, temporally linked the individual




map;-,.  Air parcel trend lines—both spatial (streamlines) and temporal




(forward trajectories)—are thus available to relate aerosol and aerosol




constituent concentrations at the midlake sampling point to source regions.




An example is shown in Figure 2.




     An alternative method for source identification is the use of back-




trajectories.  In principle a more accurate approach than forward trajec-




tories (simply because the trajectory is initiated at the sampling point),




cr.e  .ick of meteorological data near to the sampling point (ship) forced




trie  ase of the ship wind vector for most of the mesoscale trajectory (i.e.,




to shore).  An example back-trajectory is shown in Figure 3.  Macroscale




oacK-trajectories based upon the model of Heffter and Taylor (1975) were




also plotted by EPA Research Triangle Park.

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                                   -9-




     During the June and September 1977 and May 1978 outings, an NCAR




j4ueen_AjLr aircraft collected mesometeorological and vertical sounding




data to enable mesometeorological analysis and improved back trajectories.




These data have been received (see example midlake sounding Figure ^) and




will be used over the coming months.  Plans for vertical soundings to be




taken on board the Siinons throughout the field program failed because the




Contel Corp. Metrosonde purchased for this purpose never functioned pro-




perly.  Emphasis may have to be placed on the June and September 1977 and




May 1978 sampling periods for which the NCAR Queen Air gave a full comple-




ment of mesometeorological data.






B.   Trace Metal Concentration and Enrichment Factors
     Trace metal concentration data is specified within each set by stage




of each filter set.  Figure 5 displays the collection efficiency of each




stage using Misco filter media for ambient lake aerosol.  It is clear that




the 1 ym ana larger aerosol usually referred to as primary aerosol—is




most efficiently collected by the first stage, with the remainder of the




primary aerosol collected by the second stage.  The third stage or backup




filter most efficiently collects the 0.7 ym and smaller aerosol—referred




to as the secondary aerosol.  The trace metal concentration data as a




function of stage therefore carry a physical significance.  That is, the




first stage data, identify that mass portion of the trace metal under con-




siaeratlon which is related to primary (d >_ 1.0 urn) aerosol while the back-




up stage specifies the mass portion related to secondary (d <^ 0.7 Jim)




aerosol.  I\iote that al]  these trace metal concentrations have been blank




corrected by subtracting the mean metal concentration of eight blank Misco

-------
                                  -10-


filters taken through all handling procedures except that no ambient air

was drawn through them   (Bee Table 1 for blank filter concentrations).

     Section three of Appendix A, then, contains the trace metal concentra-

tion data as measured at midlake.  The top portion of each page gives the

"run time" for each set.  This is the time in minutes over which the

filters were exposed at Ho cfm to the ambient air.  Also given are the

results of three supportive measurements:  Condensation Nuclei Counter,

Integrating Nephelometer, and Total Mass Monitor data (where available

from the University of Wisconsin).

     A brief explanation of the filter set numbering system here will make

the trace metal data in Section 3 . much more readable.  All samples taken

during a given set have a five-digit number, which encodes the following

information:

     set number:  A 3 C D_ E

         A — first digit corresponds to the outing number, where

                                   1 = April 1977
                                   2 = May 1977
                                   3 = June 1977
                                   1+ = August 1977
                                   5 = September 1977
       BCJ — three digit sequential sampling period number,
                                   000 - 056 for 56 sets completed in 1977
         E — last digit corresponds to type of sample.  These additional
              key values for the last digit will be explained when first
              used in each section of Appendix A.

     The results of ICAP analysis were blank-corrected, Yttrium-normalized,

ana run time compensated, resulting in the values shown in Section 3 in

uni~3 cf yg of metal per cubic meter of air.   There are four rows of data

for ea.cn filter set:

         AnCDl = first  stage collected aerosol
         ABCD2 = second stage collected aerosol
         ABCD3 = backup filter collected aerosol
         TOTAL = arithmetic sum of all stages

-------
                                  -11-
These four rows of concentration data appear in IT columns, one for each
metal analyzed for by ICAP.  These concentration data form a second critical
part of the data base required for performing lake loading calculations by
the CDD method.  Too little data were obtained by ICAP analysis for Na, Cd,
Co, Ni, and V to be meaningfully used in further statistical calculations.
This was due to the relatively short average run time (2^0 minutes) for
the filters which caused very low concentration elements to fall below the
ICAP detection limits (L,) .  In the case of Na, a very high L^ applied
from September 1977 onward effectively negated earlier reported Na results.
This came about because, in an effort to be self-consistent despite changing
ICAP Lj values, the highest L, used during the April to September 1977
period was applied to the whole period.  This resulted in some of the blank
samples being essentially based on high L(j values .  Immediately following
the data for set 50560, the original data from CRL's ICAP analyses is in-
cluded in the print.
     From the chemical characterization viewpoint the concentration data
can be looked at aggregated as an overall average for each metal.  This
compilation is given in Table 2.
     A common term used to describe the relative contribution to trace
metal mass in aerosol of a particular metal is the enrichment factor (EF).
THIS factor is defined as a ratio of concentrations:
             c _i:: air_of metal x
             c in air of standard metal
             c in crustal rock of
             c in crustal rock of standard metal
     Typical standard metals are Al , Fe, Na , and Ti .   The most consistent
and reliable results for EF were obtained by using Al as the standard.   In

-------
                                  -12-




Table 3, overall average EF numbers show the extent to which certain




aerosol components are increased in relative concentration over that




which could be expected if all cf that aerosol component were crustal-




derived.




     It is immediately apparent from these EF data that Fb, Zn, and Cu




are extremely enriched in low lying air over the lake.







     Lastly, another type of information that can be gleaned from the con-




centration data is the percentage of each metal's concentration associated




with primary and secondary aerosol.  In Table 3, note that the percentage




of each metal's mass collected on the second stage filter is not identi-




fied with either primary or secondary aerosol.  This is because the second




stage acts to improve distinctness in primary/secondary aerosol between




the first stage and backup, but does not itself represent either of these




aerosol size classes clearly (see Figure 5)-






~ •   Trace Metal_Mass _Flux




     The data in this section are calculated from the equation:




         Flu* = Vd . CiJ




where C'-p is the concentration of metal i on filter state j.  Note that




this calculation assumes that V^ is not a function of particle size and




tnat the concentration of aerosol metal at the air/water interface is




very small compared to the air side concentration.  More will be said




about these two assumptions at the conclusion of the next section.  The




^ata shown in the computer printout is of value principally in comparing




loading rates ir. one set to those in another particular set.  Of more




importance and impact are the values shown in Table 5-  .Each of the




columns in Table 5 represents the results of a method of estimating a




flux from the ctata obtained in the 1977 field program.

-------
                                  -13-
     First, the overall average method takes the mean V^ for all non-




exciuaed filter sets (0.69 + 0.51 cm/s) and products this by the mean




of all data on each metal.  This flux is then converted to an annual




loading by an overall time-area factor, Ft&.  F^a is the product of the




area (of the surface to which deposition is occurring) and the time




(during which deposition occurs).  The area here is 2.9 x 10^ m^ for




the southern basin of Lake Michigan, and time is 0.85 year.  Fifteen




percent of the time on average across a year, trace or more precipita-




tion occurs over the lake (f.ievering, 1976).  Thus, 0.85 year is the




fraction of time when dry deposition can occur.




     Second, it is possible to group filter sets together by simi-




larities in meteorological conditions.  Wind speed "bins", defined by




ranges of wind speeds in meters/second as follows:  0 - 2.2, 2.3 - 3-55




3.6 - 5.2, 5.3 - 8.5, and 8.5+» were set up.  Filter sets with average




wind speeds falling into these bins were grouped together, and actual V,




values for the bins were then determined. Using  climatological data




(i-iOAA SSMO, 19T5)5 ?ta ^or eac^ ^in could be determined.  The loadings




for these bins were summed up to give an annual  loading, which was further




normalized to the 0.85 year dry deposition period.  The results of this




calculation are shown in the second column of Table 5-




     Third, exactly as the wind speed bin calculation was done, filter




sets were grouped together by temperature stability, (Ta - Ts)  or AT.




riinb for this parameter, in units of °C, were set up as follows:




     AT <_ 0.9, -0.9 to +0.8, 1.0 to 2.7, 2.8 to  +8.1, and >8.2+.




This calculation results in the lowest annual loading totals of any of the




three estimation methods given in Table  5-

-------
                                 -Ih-




D.   Aerosol MassFlux




     The data in this section are sampling set totals of particle number




counts, obtained from the Active Scattering Aerosol Spectrometer (ASAS).




The ASAS counts aerosol particles in 15 size channels in each of four




size ranges, i.e., a total of 60 size channels covering the overall range




0.09 - 3-53 pm diameter.  Table 5 is a complete listing of the geometric




mean size aerosol counted in each channel.  The mean flux printout in




Appendix A. not only gives the total counts in each of the 60 channels




for each sampling set, but also expresses a total flux in ng - m~2 sec~l«




     The actual particle counts make up the bulk of the table.  However,




it is important to note that these counts must be normalized to unit




time with the accumulation time shown in the upper right part of the table,




This is due to the elimination of certain portions of the data when actual




number counts exceeded the memory capacity of the data accululation




system of the ASAS.  Thus, the total counts shown represent different




total times during which the ASAS was "looking1' at a given size range.




     A mass flux for the total counts in each size range is given at the




bottom of each page.  At the left top, two non-overlap total ASAS fluxes




are given.   As can be seen in Table 6, there is some duplication of




counts in several channels toward the ends of adjacent ASAS size ranges.




These overlaps can be excluded in two ways:  by excluding the higher size




ran^e overlap portion (labelled >), or by excluding the lower size range




portions (labelled <).   The total number counts generate mass flux re-




sults for total aerosol in the 0.09 - 3.53 vm range by the following equa-




tion, which is an application of the C   theory:

-------
                                  -15-
         where                          p^ = mean aerosol density,
                                              assumed here =1.5 S/cm
                                            = diabatic drag coefficient
                                            = total number count
                                            = wind speed at 5 rc, minus
                                        ___    lake surface current
                                       F Y"  = volume of particle at
                                              mean radius of size range
                                       | /      for which En  was calculated
                                       v/5  = sampling volume per second of
                                              ASAS, a constant of 0.28 cm3 s"1
                                             : total accumulation time
                                              in seconds for the size range
                                              being considered

     An important consideration in characterizing midlake aerosols is a

description of the particle size distribution.  For the 0.09 to 3.53jum

diameter particles "seen" by the ASAS, this distribution is best visualized

by a plot of An/log Ar versus r (see Figure 6 for plots of monthly averages).


i,•   Phosphorus , Nitrate, and Sulfate Concentration Data

     Concentration data for total inorganic Phosphorus, Nitrate/Nitrite,

and Sulfate (hereafter P-N-S) is reported as a function of filter set and

stage of each filter set.  As was done with trace metal data in section B,

it is possible to relate the portion of P-N-S filter concentrations to be

blank corrected by subtracting the concentrations reported for filters

taken through each step of the procedure except ambient air sampling.

     Table 7 gives the mean concentration data of P-N-S observed during

the April through September 1977 field program.   It is significant that

all of these potentially nutrient-available species are strongly associated

with secondary aerosol (d <_0.7 vim).  The  secondary aerosol,  having a higher

surface-t-o-vulume ratio, may tend to make  the aerosol forms of P-N-S more

soluble and therefore more available to the lake biota.   Also, in the form

of secondary aerosol, atmospheric transformation reactions  are more likely

to affect  the concentration and forms in which Phosphorus,  Nitrogen, and

-------
                                   -16-

 Sulfur are to be found.

     Note that in Appendix A., the sample identification key for the

 P-N-S samples is as follows:

         ABCD6    - 1st stage collected (primary aerosol)
         ABCDT    - 2nd stage collected aerosol
         ABCD8    - backup collected (secondary aerosol)
         ABCD0    - Total c of all stages


F.   Phosphorus_,^j'iitrateJ, and Sulfate Mass Flux

     Using the same method by which trace metal fluxes and annual loadings

were calculated in section C. , similar results are shown for the P-N-S

data.  In Appendix A., the sample set derived results are shown.  Table 8

is a listing of annual P-N-S loadings by overall average and micrometeor-

ological data groupings, similar to Table 5 for trace metals.  The rela-

tive importance of atmospheric route loadings of P-N-S are shown in Table 9

by comparison to water shed input and wet deposition.  However, the ultimate

importance for these nutrient species may be of a more subtle and insidious

nature.   Due to the critical roles of these nutrients in the lake ecosystem,

any source of input of P-N-S will have direct effects.

G.   Trace Metal Concentration in Lake Water

     Two tables of trace metal concentration data are presented in Appendix A.

Tne first table contains the results of ICAP analysis of bulk water, i.e.

composite samples of water taken a 3, 5, and 7 meter depths.  The second table,

where the sample identification number is ABODUO, contains results for sur-

war,er samples, taken with a surface microlayer screen sampler  (Elzerman, 1976).

All of the water data is intended in this study to enter into the interface

aerosol metal concentration term of the  CDI) - derived flux equations .  How-

ever, inadequacy of current theoretical  models for transfer mechanisms of

-------
                                  -17-
aerosol across the air/water interface has forced this term to be assumed as




small compared to the air side concentration.  This assumption vill be dis-




cussed in detail in the Interpretation section.  Table 10 is a comparison of




the mean concentrations of several metals in surface versus bulk lake water




for the  5BCDH series of samples.  These data clearly suggest a trend towards




surface microlayer enrichment for many metals.

-------
                                      -18-





II  INTERPRETATION



      A.   Concentrations



          Since the  flux  is  a product  of  specie concentration and deposition velo-



    city,  the  interpretation section is divided into Concentration, Deposition



    Velocity, and  Consequences.




          The  average midlake aerosol  concentration was  found to be ^5 i 10 ug/m-^.



    About  10 to 20%  of this  midlake aerosol is trace metal contributed with sulfate



    and nitrate/nitrite each contributing another 20% or more.  A comparison of aero-



    sol mass concentration  (M) with integrating nephelometer optical scattering



    (bscat) signals  suggests that  a linear regression with strong correlation exists



    over Lake  Michigan.   The equation  is



                                b     =  0.298 + 0.0138M                        (l)
                                  S C 9. U



    with an r  = 0.97.  A  strong linear correlation has been found by other researchers



    in urban environments (CharIson, et.aL (1969), Kretzschmar  (1975)), but the slope



    of equation (l)  is much  less than  urban related correlations.  This linear regres-



    sion equation and the high correlation between bscat and M  suggest that fewer



    large  aerosol may contribute to midlake mass concentration  than in urban environ-



    ments.  If one assumes the aerosol density to be constant with aerosol size,



    then n.ass  is proportional to aerosol  size.  One can then expect less variability



    in aerosol mass  as measured by the integrating nephelometer for midlake aerosol.



    This Is an important  reason for the correlation coefficient of the above




    equation to be 0.97.



          7r.e  log-log plot of Af.AS aerosol counts (see Figure 6) confirms the IN



    ;ata In suggesting that  nidlake aerosol concentration may be dominated by second-



    ary aerosol.  A  best  fit straight line to such log-log plots results in a slope



    of -2  to -3 for  urban polluted and rural continental air.  Marine air and upper

-------
                                      -19-





level air often exhibit slopes of -3 to -k.  The fact that the average slope for




the 1977 field program is -3.25 is strong confirmation that the midlake aerosol




is depleted of primary aerosol.  Further resolution of the data base gives




slopes of -2.3, -3.1*, -3.3 and -3.8 for May, June, August and September data




respectively.  The stable air of the May Outing forces many of the secondary




aerosol to remain above the thermal internal boundary layer (described later)




while increasing the number of primary aerosol by suppressing dispersion within




the surface layer.  Except in this strongly stable air the slope of the log-log




plots support the conclusion that secondary aerosol predominate the midlake




aerosol.




      This conclusion explains the predominance of trace metal on the backup




filter even for metals such as Fe and Zn (see Table ^).  If the concentration




of metals is dominated by that portion associated with the secondary aerosol




one might conjecture that much of these metal concentrations in the atmospheric




surface layer at midlake is man derived.  Lake derived contributions would tend




to be associated with large aerosols (Duce, 1976 and Maclntyre, 197M-  By using




average crustal rock trace metal concentrations for rock most prevalent in the




Great Lakes  basin (Wedepohl, 1971) and the average bulk water trace metal con-




centrations measured during the 1977 field program the percent of each trace metal




that is derived can be estimated.  Using Al again as the reference metal in air




and Mg as the reference metal in Lake Michigan waters, the resulting estimates




are shown in Table 11.  That 90% and more (99.9% of Pb) of several metal midlake




concentrations are neither crustal nor lake derived is quite dramatic.  One is




tempted to relabel "unexplained" as "anthropogenic".  However, one should not




rule out the possibility that large lake-derived aerosols may fractionate in air




to create snail aerosol with metal concentrations no longer representative of




their relative concentrations in lake water (Duce, 1976).

-------
                                   -20-


      Correlation coefficients using filter set average concentrations of

 metals, P, NO^ and micrometeorological data are shown in Table 12.  Any cor-

 relation coefficient 0.7 or greater is circled.  Almost no correlation of

 micromet data with metal P or NCU  data is found, whereas inter metal and NCU

 correlation is quite prevalent.  The correlation of P with other data is

 present but usually not with high  correlation. The generally negative correla-

 tion between wind speed and other variables indicates lower midlake concentra-

 tions with higher wind speeds.  However, the small magnitude suggests very

 little dependence on this factor.  The high correlation of NOo with AT sup-

 ports the notion that in situ chemical generation of NOo is significant.

      The correlation coefficient matrix of Table 12 does not well identify

 groups of factors that may be co-related.  Factor analysis is a statistical

 technique which can give additional information by using linear combinations of

 the factors in the correlation coefficient matrix.  A preliminary use of fac-

 tor analysis has identified the following elemental groups:

      Group 1 - Cu, Fe, Mn, Mo, Pb, Zn and Mass
      Group 2 - Ca, Mg, Al, Ba, Fe, Mn and Ti
      Group 3 - Ti, P and S0|
      Group k - NO-j, S0£ and AT

      The first group is clearly the secondary aerosol metals.  Note that mass

 is correlated with these metals.  The second group is the primary "soil

 derived" aerosol.  Pollutant and lake-derived source contributions may, however,

 contribute to this group.  Group 3 may be a lake-derived source and group U is

 clearly the chemically (in air) generated aerosol.  Of the 9Q% or more "unex-

plained" elements in Table 11 only Ti is not part of Group 1.  This grouping

by factor analysis is strong evidence that, except for Ti, the lake-derived

 large aerosol fractionation is not a contributor to the otherwise anthropogenic

source of tr.e metals Cu, Pb , Zn,  Mn, Mo and Fe.

-------
                                  -21-
     Another fruitful way to view the metal concentrations is through the




use of scattei-nliagrams (Rshn, 1976).  Quite characteristic patterns appear




when the enrichment factor for a metal of interest is plotted versus the




concentration of the reference metal - in this case Al.  An example is shown




in Figure 7, the scatter-diagram of Pb versus Al.  Note that data collected in




April 1977 is also plotted here even though it was not used in loading cal-




culations.  This scatter^diagram is not significantly different from that found




in other literature.  The area within the dashed line is where the bulk of




other reported Pb enrichment factor data resides.  Data points "below the dashed




line   are not uncommon and indicate cases in which the Pb concentration is




about equally contributed to by primary and secondary aerosols.  Data points




to the upper left of the dashed line are rare.  A goodly number of June,




August and September data points appear in this area.  This is strong evi-




dence that the primary aerosol containing ^0% or more of the atmospheric Al




concentration is depleted before the midlake sampling point.  In addition,




relatively little Pb has been depleted.  Thus, a very large Pb enrichment




factor with a low Al concentration results.




     A second scattepdiagram is presented in Figure 8 - that for Ti.  Most




researchers have reported a trend toward constant enrichment factor.  The




data of Figure 8 suggests instead a trend toward constant concentration.




This would indicate that a relatively constant source of Ti is present at




midlake.   Either the lake is indeed a source for Ti or despite all precau-




tions the Simons effluent may have been a contaminant source.  That the




lake is a source for Ti is also supported by the factor analysis results and




the ciata of Table ^.  Fully hO% of the Ti concentration at midlake is asso-




ciated with the  primary aerosol.   This portion of the Ti concentration is

-------
likely to be lake-derived as against contaminant derived.  Other scattepdia-




grams riot shown give additionally useful interpretation.  One particular




example is the scatteinliagram for Mg which substantiates the very strong




source the lake is for mid-Lake Michigan Mg concentrations.  The use of Mg




as our lake source reference metal is, therefore, substantiated.




     The preceding discussion of trace metal and P, N, S specie as well as




mass and number concentration is incomplete without an understanding of the




mesometeorology surrounding the concentration data base.  As pointed out in




the Introduction the concentration data must be viewed as a function of loca-




tion and time of year.  Though some of this mesoclimatological view can be




obtained from the previous discussion it is the trajectory analyses at the




mesoscale that can best generate mesoclimatology data needed for a good under-




standing of spatia] and temporal variability in concentration.  Some prelim-




inary analysis will be reviewed here.




     A first useful parameter for mesoclimatology is the so called dispersion




factor, the product of the mixing height and mean wind speed.  Edwards and




Wheat (1973) have shown this dispersion factor to be well correlated with




atmospheric lead concentrations in Denver.  A correlation between monthly




mean dispersion factors across a H2-month period concludes that variability




in the dispersion factor alone accounts for 69% of the variability in the lead




concentrations.  Monthly mean mixed layer wind speeds would have given a




better correlation.  Still better would be to use emission factors producted




by the inverse of the dispersion factor.




     , ;;ta for the southern basin of Lake Michigan may not suffice to determine




emission factors (although this will be scrutinized).   However a four year




record of j_ow icvel  soundings at Midway Airport does allow the determination

-------
                                  -23-
of mean mixed layer winds and of the mean mixed layer height.   Use of the

mean mixed layer winds makes their extrapolation to the southern "basin much

more acceptable.  By the two major periods over Lake Michigan  (i.e.,  warm

season - May through October and cold season - November through April) the

mixed layer heights are 1^00 m in the warm season and 850 m in the cold

season.  The mean mixed layer winds are 6.8 m/s in the warm season and 7.8 m/s

in the cold season.  Thus, the dispersion factor is 9520 in the warm  season and

6630 in the cold season.  Concentrations of metals such as Pb  are then propor-

tional to the inverse of the dispersion factor.  This level of disaggregation is,

of course, not sufficient to specify a concentration mesoclimatology  for the

southern  basin of Lake Michigan.  One could disaggregate by month although the

concentration climatology is more likely to be dependent upon  air mass type. An

analysis of the Midway soundings by air mass type tentatively  has concluded:

     Warm Season - 30% continental polar, 1500 m MLH
                   35% maritime tropical, 1275 m MLH
                   25% uncertain, 1150 m MLH

     Cold Season - 15% continental arctic, 1000 m MLH
                   25% maritime polar, 900 m MLH
                   10% maritime tropical, 875 m MLH
                   25% uncertain, 775 m MLH

     10% of the warm season and 25% of the cold season air masses can be

designated washout air masses due to precipitation of 0.01" or more.

     Clearly, further consideration will have to be made of the meteorological

data oase in the nouihern basin of Lake Michigan. In particular, soundings at

Midway rr.ust be compared to those taken over Lake Michigan by the NCAR aircraft

to outain a mesociimatology of the dispersion factor.  Analysis such  as

the foregoing should eventually lead to a statement on the concentration

climatology over Lake Michigan.

-------
  B. Deposition Velocity




     Use of the diabatic drag coefficient theory has given a grand average V-,




encountered during the 1977 field program of 0.8 +_ 0.5 cm/sec.  Extreme




values were 0.09 an(i 1.66 cm/sec.  Means for the May, June, August and September




Outings were 0.22 +_ O.I1!, 0.28 +_ 0.17, 0.89 +_ 0.31 and 1.12 +_ O.UO respectively.




This V^ is obtained by first determining a neutral drag coefficient for the




wind speed regime in which one sampled  (See Figure 9).   Then a ratio of dia-




batic to neutral drag coefficient is obtained for the temperature stability




regime present during sampling (See Figure 10).  As already pointed out, the dia-




batic drag coefficient approach should give good results except when (ua - us)




$2 m/s or the local Richardson number, R^, is greater than 0.25.  At these




values surface drag and surface layer turbulence have been suppressed to the




point that a laminar sublayer may develop at the air/water interface.   Once




this phenomenon occurs there is likely to be little or no deposition occurring.




Only a few such cases appear in the 1977 data base.




     The mean V^ by Outing (0.22, 0.28, 0.89 and 1.12) compare favorably with




other data found.  Sehmel and Sutter (197^) found values of 0.01 cm/s  and larger




for deposition of particles of density 1.5 gm/cm  depositing on a water surface




in a wind tunnel.  However, a strong dependence on surface roughness was found.




Cawse (197^) found V  of 0.1 cm/s and larger for a filter surface exposed




to ambient air.  The real environment surface of Lake Michigan not only affords




substantial roughness compared to a wind tunnel having a water surface but




also may afford other and more efficient mechanisms for deposition than a filter




surface exposed to ambient air.  In particular,  a recent study by Stulov, et.




al.  (,.978) considers the efficiency of collision of aerosols with water surfaces.




It vis- shown that :it a clean water surface all collisions are effective

-------
                                  -25-
and lead to aerosol transfer into the water medium.  However, when aerosols



collide with other aerosols previously deposited on the water surface they



usually rebound.  Thu;-> a V  of 0.2 up to 1.0 cm/s and larger is certainly



feasible.



     The work by Stulov also addresses the assumption that a  =0.  It was



noted in the Introduction that this assumption was made for all calculations



in the Description of Data section.  Mass flux calculations using the ASAS



number concentration data can safely assume a  =0 for the surface of Lake
                                             o


Michigan rarely affords a significant probability for aerosol-aerosol colli-



sions.  Possibly when the laminar sublayer is present aerosol may collide



with aerosol instead of the water surface itself.  However, in these instances



V  has already been assumed to be zero.  Further support for the appropriate-



ness of a  =0 is given by the work of Meszaros (1977).  She has found that



90% of summer continental aerosol not unlike that seen over Lake Michigan and



in the size range 0.02 ^ r < 100 jam is water-soluble and 50% or more is water-



soluble in winter months.



     regarding specie specific fluxes the a  =0 assumption is more difficult



to accept.  However, the combination of arguments applied to metal concentra-



tions earlier also applies here.  The Table 11. result suggesting 1.0% or less



of Pb, Zn, Ou, Mn, Fe and Ti and only 2% of Mo midlake concentrations are lake-



derivea is  a strong indicator that the air/water interface concentrations



of these metals are generally far less than that measured at the 5m height.



The tentative grouping of metals by factor analysis supports the notion that



these metals, except for the anomalous case of Ti, are not lake-derived des-



pite the possible fractionation of large lake-derived aerosol into less than



1 jim aiameter  aerosol.  More importantly, the work of Stulov (1978) and of

-------
                                  -26-
Meszaros (1977) suggest a near 100% efficiency of collision and better



than 50% water solubility of aerosols throughout the year.   Thus,  the number



concentration of aerosol and mass concentration of non-volatile, non-reactive



elemental species should change across the air/water interface.  Of course,



the exception to this rule is when the laminar sublayer prevails and greatly



reduces the probability of collision between aerosol and the lake  surface.



     Under the assumption of a smooth continuum of concentration the profile



method of measuring V  (call it V  ) may be applied.  The principle behind



this method requires that measurements of the concentration of interest be



made at two heights.  If the instrumentation used does, in fact, discrimi-



nate between the concentrations at the two heights, call them H for high



position and L for low, then a mean profile method deposition velocity, V



is determined by:                   _    _


                                    CH ~ CT

                                    	—
                where u  is the wind speed at the standard 5 m height.



During tne 1977 field program measurement of Vn  was attempted for aerosols,
                                              dp


and effectively for at least the metals Pb, Zn, Cu, Mn, Fe and Mo, by use



of ASAS number concentration data at H = 6 . 5 m and L = 3.7 m. Preliminary



analysis of the profile data showed over half of the data had to be discarded



    iioe the ship was not sufficiently close to being a fixed platform.
Th Is ,  Despite the fact that V   means for 30 minutes and more were sought
                             dp


after.  '.h*1 ship's rise and fall with wave action caused the CTT and c
                                                              n      L


values to fall within one standard deviation of each other.   Only nine pro-



fi±e measurements gave statistically significant c   - c  .   However, the
                                                  n    L


nine remaining cases do give substantial insight into the question of  a £f

-------
                                  -27-
     One case haa uc = h.l m/s and  (T  - T  ) = 2.0° C.  Using Figures  9
                   _p                 £1    S


and 10, C   = 1.16 X 10   .   This then gives a Vd = 0.58 cm/s.  By using the



number concentration data of the ASAS in the above equation the  following



V,  were calculated:
 dp


                        V   = 1.09  cm/s     0.75 urn < D < 3.5 Jim
                         dp                                   "^


                        V     0.36  crn/s     0.25 < D < 0.75 jam



                        V.  - 0.62  cm/s     0.10 urn < D < 0.25 jam
                         dp                                    ^


     Consideration of the nine profile case studies suggest:




                           V     V   (0.75< D< 3.5
                        -L V -,    v",   (0.25 < D < 0.75 jam') < 7,
                        10  d     dp                         d





                        A V,    V,   (0.10 < D < 0.25 Jjm) < V,
                        10  a     dp                  ^      d




     The deposition velocity seems, indeed, to vary with aerosol size but not



as strongly as Sehrael and Hodgson (197M suggest.  However, the conclusions



from these profile measurements must be considered quite tentative.



     Until, further profile measurements are made a tentative conclusion



regarding a.  ±
-------
                                  -28-
     Filter sets were grouped together according to averaged micrometeoro-



logical condition:; for the time the sets were taken.  Two parameters were used,



each in a separate aggregation scheme:  temperature stability (T  - T ),
                                                                s.    s


and mean wind speed (u).  An at least ten-year-long record of synoptic condi-



tions over the lake (NOAA SSMO, 19T5) was used to determine the April to



September frequency of occurrence (F  ) for given values of each parameter.



"Bins" were set up to correspond with reported ranges of values for (T  - T )
                                                                      a    s


and u? and the filter sets were then sorted into these "bins".



     The (T  - T ) bins are based directly on values and ranges for air/sea
           a    s


temperature difference reported in the climatological history.  Thus, calcu-



lating an annual F  was a matter of arithmetically summing the monthly-mean



values.  It should be noted here that the historical data reports air/water



temperature difference  whereas   the micrometeorological data of this



work is for air/surface temperature difference.  T , in this work, was
                                                  o


measured by a downward looking infrared sensor and represents a true sur-



face temperature.  During periods of intense insolation, and particularly



in the presence of organic surface films, T  may be somewhat higher than
                                           o


the water temperature.  The result is a possible bias in the F  for the



(T  - T ) bins towards more stable conditions.  This bias would lead to
  a    s


lower estimates for total annual loadings, because F  will be larger for



the stable bins, which have lower average deposition velocities.  Table 13A



shows the li-ita for the ('1\  - T^) bins.  Each bin is identified by a range



of v,i'ties J'or (T_  -'!'_),  C.  The next row is the F  values corresponding



to Jiimatological  data (NOAA SSMO, 1975).  The number of actual sets in each



bin is given, and an average V , cm/s for those sets is shown in the last



row.  For each metal,  mean concentrations, c, for each bin were found, and

-------
annual loadings were calculated from this equation:



     Bin Loading = V , • I1'  •  c •  A •  k
                    d   o

                                                              2
                 where:  A = area of southern basin = 2.9X10 m

                         k = constant to correct units



     Finally, the five bin loadings  in metric tons/yr. were summed to give



an annual loading for the 0.8l year  the F  values for April to September



represent.  The result was normalized to 0.85 year loadings to compare with



other dry deposition calculations of this work.   The normalization of the



(T  - T ) bin loadings tends to further bias the results toward a least-likely
  as


total annual loading; as can be seen from Table  ISA, our data is unstable-



case deficient.  There is a six-fold increase in Vn from the most to least
                                                  d


stable bin, and more unstable (T  -  T <0) data would likely result in a bin
                                cL    S


with a still higher V  .  Bin loading from that  unstable data would substan-



tially increase the annual loading total.



     Table 13B shows thr u bins, similar to the  (T  - T )  bins discussed above.
                                                  a    s


Bin .1. jadings and annual lake loadings were calculated in the same manner



as for the temperature stability result.  In the case of climatological data



for u, the Historical record was not reported in units or ranges conveniently



compatible with our own data.  By calculating annual F  values for the
                                                      o


reported ranges, and plotting cumulative F  versus u, it was possible to



interpolate F  values for the "bins" used in this work.  The u bins are
             o


basea very closely on the Beaufort wind scale increments.   Note that again,



                 I1^) result, our data is severe  (high u) condition deficient,



and leaas to a least-likely  total annual loading.  If more high wind data



were available, a. higher V  bin would result and increase  the final sum



loading substantially.

-------
  C. Consequences




     Given the data generated and interpretation to date some discussion




of the consequences of the present results is certainly warranted.  Though




no person on the grant project team is in a position to assess these impacts




we hope others may do so.  There are a few literature sources which may help




the reader in this assessment.




     At first thought a diffuse area source of toxic metals depositing on




the lake's surface might be thought of less damaging to the lake ecosystem.




However, several Great Lakes biological researchers have suggested (in private




communiques)that lower organisms in the near surface waters or in the sedi-




ment may ingest significant amounts of trace metals such as Pb due to the




atmospheric source.  Bioaccumulation may then result in toxic levels of these




metals in edible fish.




     Pb is a most important candidate for investigation regarding atmospheric




inputs.  The enrichment factor of over 3300 and essentially zero concentration




contribution  from other than anthropogenic sources make it the most lethal -




potentially - of the elements analyzed in this data base.   Patterson, et. al.




(1976) finu a small Pb flux to the oceans.  Yet ecosystem impacts are noted.




They also point out the selective food chain transport of Pb between albacore




and riCtruen.  Maclntyre (197^) identifies  a major ecosystem impact when the




laminar sublayer is present.   Under this  condition of greatly reduced transport,




airnorne metals rna.y collect in a surface  microlayer with enrichment factors




greater i.hau  10000.




     T'u accumulation in freshwater fishes is a strong function of lake chemistry




(Torrey, 1976).   For example, Merlini  and Pozzi (1977) studied the accumulation

-------
                                  -31-






of Pb by an edible freshwater fish at pH 7.5 and pH 6.0.   Although the sites




of lead concentration were not altered,  the fish concentrated almost three




times more Pb at the lower pH than at the higher pH.   Whether the Pb remains




in particulate form or dissolves is certainly another significant factor.




Each of the metals have unique pathways  into edible freshwater fish.  With




the sharp increase in coal utilization for energy production the next decades ,




the impact of atmospheric trace metals on Great Lakes waters will surely




increase.




     The impact of nutrients input to the lake via the atmospheric route may




be more direct than the impact of metals.  In a phosphorus-limited ecosystem,




an addition of that nutrient in small particle or soluble form will cause an




immediate response by the primary producers.  Moreover, in areas of the lake




far removed from nutrient sources other  than the atmosphere, the availability




and relative concentrations of nutrient  materials may differ from that of near




shore regions.  The implications for the diversity in and abundance of aquatic




biota are not well known.  It is hoped that atmospheric loading impacts will be




increasingly addressed in the literature.

-------
                                       -32-
III  FUTURE WORK



          Review of the present  data base suggests  at  least  three  areas  for



     improvement:



          1.  more unstable surface layer data and  nearshore concentration

              measurements



          2.  more and better measurements of V.
                                               d



          3.  the development of trajectory analysis programs and  a meso-

              climatology for aerosol transport



          The comparison of the  1977 field program  micrometeorology with Lake



     Michigan's southern basin climatology has shown the  need to obtain  data in



     high wind speeds (u > 10 m/s)  and late fall  or winter months  (T  -  T  < -2  C).
                                                                    3,    S


     Such data will be very difficult to obtain at  midlake but may be  reasonable



     at a nearshore fixed platform.  For this reason and  to  characterize the near-



     shore aerosol concentrations the 1978 field  program  is  taking place at a



     City of Chicago water intake crib 2 miles offshore.  This sampling  should



     create a data base to address  the first area for  improvement.



          "he second area may be more difficult to  address.   However,  the  profile



     method has already given better data at the  crib's permanent  platform sampling



     site.  Several studies of the  mass  transfer  coefficient from  liquid to air



     (Cohen, et. al., 1978, Duce, et. al., 19779  Brtko and Kabel,  1976)  may result



     in an accurate statement of the a  correction  to  earlier flux calculations.
                                      o


          Lastly and most difficult will be the determination of concentration var-



     iability both spatially and temporally.  Some  consideration was given to  this



     q^ues^ion at the conclusion  of  section II A.  Section I  A1  described the forward



     and back trajectory analyses being  plotted on  southern  Lake Michigan  maps.



     The manual plotting of back trajectories (example, Figure 3) will allow the



     designation of 95% confidence,  three-dimensional  source regions from  which  the

-------
                                  -33-






aerosol sampled at midlake originated.  If emissions data is available




for the designated source region one can then calculate the product of




emission factor arid the inverse of the dispersion factor for each filter set.




A determination can then be made as to whether the variability in midlake




concentration is highly correlated with this product.   If so, computerized




back trajectories using the NCAR aircraft and NOAA SSMO data bases will be




used to attempt developing a mesoclimatology for the southern basin of Lake




Michigan.  This mesoclimatology will be relatively easier to define for cold




season conditions.  During the warm season the development of thermal internal




boundary layers and lake breezes makes the situation much more complicated.




However, with the goal being a mesoclimatology for concentration variability




on a temporal and spatial basis the task may be feasible if not reasonable.

-------
REFERENCES
Bolsenga, S. N.:  19TH, private communication, Great Lakes Environmental
  Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Brtko, W. J. and Kabel, R. L.:  191 6, Water , Air and Soil Pollution, 6_, 71.

Cawse, P. A., I9lh:  A Survey of Trace Elements in the U.K., 1972-73.
  U. K. At. Energy Auth. Rep. AERE-R7669 .  Hanvall, 95 pp.
Charlson, R. J., Ahlquist, N. C. and Selvidge, H. :   1969, Jour . of Air Pollut,
  Control Assoc. , 10, 937.

Cohen, Y., Cocchio, W. and MacKay, D.:  1978, Environ. Sci. and Tech., 12,
  553.

Duce, R. A.;  Sea-Air Exchange Study, SEAREX, Univ. of Rhode Island,
  Kingston, R. I.

Duce, R. A., et . al.:  1976, Trace Metals in the Marine Atmosphere, in
  Marine Pollutant Transfer, Toronto; Heath, 77.

Edwards, II. W. and Wheat, II . G. :   1978, Environ. Sci. and Tech. , IP, 687.

Eisenreich, S. J., Enrolling, P. J. and Beeton, A. M. :   1977»  931.

Maclntyre, F. :  197^, Chemical Fractionation and Sea-Surface Microlayer
  Processes in The Sea, _5_, Marine Chemistry, New York:  Wiley,
Mer.ini, K. and Pozzi, G.:  1977, Environ. Pollut . , 12, 167.

Mesaaros, A.:   1977, Atmos. Environ. , 11, 1075

Murphy, T. J.  and Doskey, P. V.:   1976, «J. Great Lakes Res , , 2, 60.

-------
                                 -35-
NOAA: 1975, uummary of Synoptic Meteorological Obervations  for  Great  Lakes
  Areas, Vol. _3, Lake Michigan.  National Oceanic and Atmospheric  Adminis-
  tration, National Climatic Center, Asheville, N.  C.

Patterson, C., et. al.:  1976, Transport of Pollutant Lead  to the  Oceans
  and Within Ocean Ecosystems, in Marine Pollutant  Transfer, Toronto;
  Heath, 23.

Rahn, K.: 1976, The Chemical Composition of the Atmospheric Aerosol,  Grad.
  School of Oceanography, Univ. of Rhode Island, Kingston, R. I.,  265 pp.

Sehmel, G. A. and W. II. Hodgson:  1971!, "Predicted  Dry Deposition  Veloci-
  ties," in Atmosphere-Surface Exchange of Particulate and  Gaseous Pollu-
  tants - 197^ Symposium.  Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory,  Richland,
  Wash., pp. 399-^22.

Sehmel, G. A. and Sutter, S. I,.:  197*+, J_. Rech. Atmo s., III, 911.

Shepherd, J. G. :  19'fH, Atmospheric Environment, _8_, 69.

Sievering, H.:  1976, Water, Air and Soil Pollution, _5_>  309.

Skibin, D.:  1973, Water, Air and Soil Pollution, _2,

Steen,  B.:  1977, Atmospheric Environment, 11, 623.

Stuiov, L. D., Murashkevich, F. I. and Fuchs, N. :   1978, J_. Aerosol Sci.,
  Q  1
  s_1 -L •

Torrey, M.:  1976, Chemistry of Lake Michigan, Vol. 3 of Environmental
  Status of the Lake Michigan Region, ANL/ES-140, Argonne Natl.  Labs.,
  Argonne, 111.

Wedepohl:  1971, Geochem. Acta, 10, 999.

Winchester, J. W. and Nifong, G. D.:  1971, Water, Air and Soil Pollution
  I, 50.                                                                 '

-------
                                      -36-
Metal                           Blank                        Typical Sample
                          Backup     Cascade                Backup     Cascade
  Ca
  Me
  Al
   ii
  3a
  Cu
  ve
   In
   io
  Fb
  Ti
  Zn
Table 1.   ri'race Metal Concentrations for Typical Sample Filter and Blank Misco
          Cellulose Filters, yg/1 in 25 ml ICAP Sample
6150
565
285
5605
12
25
850
30
28
130
^5
190
1970
220
125
3725
5
10
370
10
10
55
20
100
6875
1315
1110
6990
25
100
2810
160
55
1605
75
725
11250
1320
875
3070
35
70
1820
80
10
200
45
245

-------
                       -37-
H umber of Gets
   C > L
Metal
30
1+7
51
33
33
1+3
1+5
46
20
50
         Ca
         Mg
         Al
          B
         3a
         Cu
         Fe
         Mn
         Mo
         Pb
         Ti
         Zn
                               1st Stage c       Backup c
                             (Primary Aerosol)  (Secondary Aerosol)
                                                           Total  c
                                                          (1st,  2nd  and
                                                          Backup  stages )
.67
.125
.07
.121+
.003
.001
.130
.007
.000
.006
.001+
.008
.06
.065
.072
.120
.002
.006
.170
.011
.002
.127
.003
.01+6
1.03
.253
.201
.352
.007
.016
.1+06
.022
.003
.153
.009
.072
Table 2.   1977 Overall Average Trace Metal Concentrations,
                        yg/cu. m

-------
                           -38-
Trace Metal                   EF                   "Background"
                         (Al =1.0)         Marine Aerosol EF (Duce, 1976)
    Fb                     3380                        180
    Zn                      520                         22
    Cu                      lU5                         11
    Kn                        9
    MS                       11                          2
    Ca                        8
    Fe                      U.5                          1
    Sa                      2.5
     B                        7
    Ti                      1.5
    Mo                      1.3
Table 3.   Overall Average Enrichment Factors for 1977 Aerosol Metal Samples

-------
                                   -39-
Element       Percent Primary          Percent Second Stage        Percent Secondary
               (d > 1.0 ym)                                         (d < o.7
  Ca
  Me
  Al
   B
  Ba
  Cu
  Fe
  Mn
  Mo
  Pb
  Ti
  Zn
65
50
35
35
1*3
8
32
29
7
1+
1+0
11
29
2U
29
31
28
56
26
22
13
13
31
26
6
26
36
31+
29
36
1+2
1*9
80
83
29
63
Table i..  Elemental Association with Primary/Secondary Aerosol at Midlake.

-------
                                   -1*0-
                     Overall Average          Wind Speed          AT Bin
  Element             Loading, T/yr.        Loading, T/yr.    Loading, T/yr.
Pb
Zn
Cu
Mn
Mg
Ca
Fe
Ba
B
Ti
Mo
825
390
86
120
1365
5550
2190
38
1895
^9
16
710
3^0
39
89
1030
33^0
1650
27
1955
57
12
U65
230
35
59
815
2050
1090
16
1386
H5
8
Table 5-  Estimated Annual Dry Deposition Loadings of Southern Lake Michigan
          Basin

-------
                                -Ul-
                                     Size Range Number
Channel

  1
  2
  3
  U
  5
  6
  7
  8
  9
 10
 11
 12
 13
 1U
 15
0
.763
.960
1.157
1.353
1.550
1.7k6
l.9l*3
2.139
2.335
2.531
2.727
2.923
3.112
3.286
3.1*50
1
.335
.365
.395
.1*25
.1*55
.1*85
.515
.51*5
• 575
.605
.635
.663
.692
.721
.750
2
.182
.198
.211*
.230
.21*6
.262
.278
.291*
.310
.326
.31*2
.358
.37^
.390
.1*06
3
.098
.113
.121*
.131*
.11*2
.11*9
.156
.163
.170
.176
.183
.190
.198
.206
.216
Table 6.  Geometric Mean Aerosol Diameter (urn)  of ASAS  Counting  Channels

-------
                           -H2-

Specie
total P
NO'
sok~2
T'o'KT ^ -7
Primary
c
5
726
208
i r>77 na+ o /
Aerosol
(?)
(16)
(12)
( k)

2nd
c
8
1061+
336
P AT R p^r
Stage
(%)
(21+)
(18)
( 6)

Secondary
c
20
1+158
1+872
_3
Aerosol
(?)
(60)
(70)
(90)

Total c

32.1+
59^8
51+16

Association, per cent.

-------

Specie
total P
NO'
BO,,-"
Overall Average
Dry Loading
170
32000
29000
Wind Speed
Bin Calculation
160
22500
20500
AT Bin
Calculation
100
20500
18500
Table 8.  P-N-S Annual Loadings by Atmospheric Dry Deposition.

-------
Specie
Ca
Mg
Al
Cu
Fe
Mn
Pb
Ti
Zn

total P
  NCrr
Loadings ,  10"kg/yr
                   Dry Deposition
                                  ,
                     Precipitation
                                                       (2)
Run-Off
                                                 (3)
2050
815
575
35
1090
59
H65
^5
230
100
20500
18500


560
20
950
53
88
59
52
1°00(1+)

U90000
13^000
13000
lltO/cV
U50(5)
250
100
100
18°(5)
U500(u)

Table 9-  Annual Loading of Lake Michigan Comparison of Several Loading Routes,

1.   This Work - Southern Basin only, 1977-

2.   Gatz, 2nd  ICMSE Conf. on G.L.,  1975-

3.   Wincnester & Nifong, W,A,SP, 1,  50+, 1975-

U.   Murphy & Doskey, EPA - 600/3-75-005, 1975-

5.   Bobbins, 2nd ICMSE Conf. on G. L.,  1975.

-------
Metal                Surface Sample         Bulk Sample          Ratio
                     Concentration, yg/1    Concentration, yg/1  Surface/Bulk
Ca
Mg
 B
Ba
Co
Cu
Fe
Mn
Mo
Pb
Ti
Zn
30928
8872
55
10
1
1*
37
1
3
8
3
20
29806
8589
68
10
-
3
2k
—
3
6
3
16
l.OU
1.04
.81
1.0

1.33
1.5l»

1.0
1.33
1.0
1.25
Table 10.  Comparison of Trace Metal Mean Concentrations in Surface  and  Bulk
           Water Samples (September, 1977 samples).

-------
                                  -U6-
Element

   Al
   Mg
   Ca
   Fe
   Mn
   Mo
   TL
   Cu
   Zn
   Pb
           Average
           Crustal
           Conc(ppm)*

             T8300
             13900
             28700
             35000
               690
               1.0
               I  °
                30
                60
                15
Average
Bulk Water
Cone(ppb)**

    37.5
    8728
   29900
    H6.3
     2.6
     3.3
     2.4
     it.8
    17.7
     7.5
                                        Percent
                                        Crustal
100
 1U
  7

8.1
0.1

0.3
0.2
Percent
Lake Derived
     0
    86
    73
    O.U
    0.3
    2.0
    0.7
    O.U
    0.7
    0.1
 Percent
"Unexplained"
  0
  0
 20
75-6
91.6
97.9
99
99.7
99.1
99.9
       3
*  Wedepohl  (1971)
** 19 H' grand average of more than
                                      bulk water samples
 able II.   Percentage of Trace Metals  Identified as  Crustal,  Lake  Derived
           and "Unexplained"

-------
                  —1  £73  O
                    ^  ^  a?
                       I



                      OG
 I

Fo
                -t
                On
                                      ui
                                          cn
                                   y s
                                                                         8
m
    *
                              CD (go) cn
              —1
                      cn
                  i— •  CD
                          CD
                       i
                      Fo
Correlation Coefficients among metal, P, NO   , WS  and Temp  using


h2 Filter Sets' Data.

-------
                                         -US-
Range of (T^ - T ), °C     < -0.9     -0.8 to +0.9    1.0 to 2.1    2.8 to 8.1    > 8.2
           ct    S


F , fraction of year*        0.26         0.09           0.05          0.22        0.19



Number of sets, this bin      8            IT             9             35



V  cm/s                      I.Oh          .95            .^8           .21         .15
Table ISA.  Temperature Stability Bins of Filter Set Data
Range of u, m/s            <  2.2      2.3 to 3.5     3.6 to 5.2    5.3 to 8.5    > 8.6



F   fraction of year*       O.OU          O.l6           0.15          0.29        0.2U




dumber of sets, this bin     h             7              9            19           ^




V"._, cm/s                     .03           .20            .UU           .98         I.^
 i^l.








.u.-iie ^3B.  Wind Speed Bins of Filter Set Data

-------
                    Deposition Velocity, Vp,cm/sec
                                                  p
                                                  b
   p
   b
0
a.
O
3
5  o
o  '-,
o
5'
3
              b
              0
                      Ma
                     U!<
                     i
                      13


                  V\l
                  Cl
                                                   X
                               X
                                   * <
                                   /
                                  /

                                                 <
                             \
                                    O
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                                                                       X
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                                                          s


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                                                                       X

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 X


X
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                                                                 3"
                                                                    0) <
                                                                    Q.»

                                                                    |8
                                                                    w ?:
                                                                 O  o'
                                                                 3  3
   Figure J.  Tlieoretical Aerosol Deposition to a Water Surface as a

              Function of Aerosol Size.  Note the experimental data
              points (x) measured by Sehmel and Sutter (l^jh) for
              particles of density 1.5 gm cm
              surface in a wind tunnel.
                                            -3
                                               depositing   on  a water

-------
                                                                                                                                        VO
                                                                                                                                         H

                                                                                                                                        CO
                                                                                                                                           in
                                                                                                                                           \
                                                                                                                                           2:
           \

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 M    -H
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-------

-------

-------
Figure U. Example Midlake Sounding
                           9/56/30
12. «  12.6  12.8  13.0  13.2  13.d  13.6  13.8  W.O  W.2
                                       W.6  1«I.S

-------
             .Percentage of Ambient Aerosol Collected (%)
Figure 5.   Aerosol  Collection Efficiency of Misco Filter  Sierra
            //I, //3 and  Backup Cascade Combination.

-------
     10
     10
      10
IO
 E
 o
 o>
 o
     10
     10
     10

      0.01





      Figure 6a.
                                     MAY 17-20,1977
                                     AVERAGE
                           SLOPE•-
      O.I
1.0
10.0
               r,jim

Plot of ASAS counts  for May Outing.

-------
ro

'£
 o
 o>
 o
       0.01
        Figure  6b.
Plot of ASAS  counts for June Outing.

-------
ro
 o
 o»
 O
                                     AUGUST 14-19, 1977
                                     AVERAGE SLOPE*

                                     WITH r*6.97
      0.01
                                          10.0
      Figure 6c,
Plot of ASAS counts for August Outing.

-------
10


 o
 o>
 o
                                         AVERAG

                                         WITH r*
       Figure 6d.
Plot of ASAS counts for  September Outing.

-------
   10000
J>C

o
o:
o
i
LU
^
X
O
QC

LJ
    3000
    1000
     300
     IOO
      30
       10
Mid Li
Mass
Heavil;
by Se
Aeros<






GRAN
COEF
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D AVERAGE
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ENTRATIOIV
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Pb and A
= 0.67
V41 Q29
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'

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D27
24
n
Mid Lake
About Eqi
by Primary
&TION

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326 D*15 (
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20 «14


Aerosol Mqss Cone.
ally Contributed to
and Secondary




I.O
                3.0
                        IO.O
30.0
IOO.
300.
                                                   IOOO.
                        ALUMINUM,  ng/m4
                                         O APRIL I977   D AUGUST I977
                                         • MAYI977    v SEPTEMBER I977
                                         • JUNE I977
        Figure  7-
                    Scatter-dlagram for Pb.

-------
   100
o
o
    10
o
UJ



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F
    1.0
   O.I





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GRAND
COEFF1
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AVERAGE
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uggests £
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PredomlnaTe. A sec
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•14



      LO
             3.0
10.0    30.0
100.    300.
1000.
                      ALUMINUM,  ng/nrr
      'igure
                 Scatter-diagram for Ti.

-------
                    Neutral Drag Coefficient CD(5m)
                               o
                               o
o
o
NJ
ft

3
—


3


3
     10
     o
     Figure  9.    Neutral Drag Coefficient at 5 m Height

-------
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-------