&EPA United States Environmental Protection Agency Municipal Environmental Research Laboratory Cincinnati OH 45268 Research and Development EPA-600/S2-80-178 Feb. 1981 Project Summary The Cost of Alternative Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD) Sludge Disposal Regulations A Technical Cost Analysis for the Utility Industry Howard L. Rishel - i ' '• •'•;vyr:r:;;; i-Yoic-cHon Agoncy * ;"• ry t t To meet the sulfur dioxide emission limits of the Clean Air Act, some utilities have turned to flue gas desulfurization (FGD). Its acceptance by the industry and the various sludge treatment and disposal options available to the industry are described in this report. Current Federal and state regulations affecting FGD sludge disposal are discussed and placed in a conceptual framework from which regulatory scenarios are developed. These scenarios were applied to the current (1980) and projected (1985) FGD capacity to estimate what changes, if any, current utility operations would need to achieve compliance. Using the best available cost data base for these disposal alternatives, region-specific cost estimates were developed for 10 model power plants for each of 5 disposal options. Applying each regulatory scenario, the cost impact on the utility industry was then estimated for the 50 different situations. This Project Summary was devel- oped by EPA's Municipal Environ- mental Research Laboratory, Cincin- nati. OH, to announce key findings of -, .':orn Street >;s 60504 the research project that is fully docu- mented in a separate report of the same title (see Project Report order- ing information at back). Introduction The Clean Air Act and its amendments have prompted the widespread implementation of wet flue gas desulfurization (FGD) systems by utilities in an effort to meet sulfur dioxide emission limitations. This trend has been further enhanced by the current U.S. energy policy favoring the use of native coal reserves. The end result is a projected substantial increase in FGD implementation in the United States through 1985. With the use of the predominant available FGD technologies, large volumes of by-product sludges requiring disposal are generated. These sludges have been and will continue to be disposed of to land, either to ponds as a slurry or to landfills as a dry material. Ponding is currently the most common method of FGD sludge disposal. Sludge ponds are typically lined with in situ soils, although synthetic and imported natural liners (particularly clay) have begun to find application. Disposing of ------- treated, or dewatered, or both types of sludge to landfill is rapidly gaining favor and should account for a majority of new sludge disposal capacity by the early 1 980's. FGD sludge landfills are currently used to dispose of mechanically dewatered sludge, dewatered sludge mixed with dry ash, and chemically stabilized sludge. The data base established thus far for FGD sludge indicates a need to regulate its disposal, primarily because of the potential for ground water contamin- ation and land degradation (waste instability) resulting from the disposal of large volumes of this material to land. To date, the states, typically state solid waste and water quality agencies in a site-specific permitting process, have regulated FGD sludge disposal. The purpose of this project was to review the cost to utilities of various approaches to regulating FGD sludge disposal. These regulatory scenarios are structured to demonstrate the incremental cost of increasingly stringent technical requirements and are not intended to parallel any proposed EPA regulations for FGD sludge disposal. The Regulation of FGD Sludge Disposal Current Federal laws that may affect future regulation of FGD sludge disposal include the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) of 1976 (PL 94-580), the amendments of 1977, the Marine Protection, Research, and Sanctuaries Act of 1 972 (PL 92-532), the Federal Water Pollu- tion Control Act of 1972 (PL 92-500), and the Federal Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act of 1977 (PL 95- 87) The disposal of FGD sludge is specifically addressed only in RCRA. The impact of Federal FGD sludge disposal regulations on the utility industry would depend on the severity of the regulation. Recent research and current regulatory practice indicate that ground water protection and the prevention of permanent land degradation are the principal environ- mental concerns when disposing of FGD sludge. The degree of protection that is necessary will be specific to each proposed disposal site. To assess the cost impact of a range of regulatory approaches, a set of five regulatory scenarios was developed. Beginning with Scenario No 1, each scenario represents an increasingly stringent regulation based on (1) added protection of ground water and (2) added sludge stability to improve the potential for site reclamation, or (3) a universal requirement for sludge treatment and disposal regardless of site-specific factors. The five regulatory scenarios considered are as follows: No. 1. Federal Advisory--State Legislation and Enforcement: Simple permitting, stabiliza- tion not required and not commonly used. No. 2. Federal Advisory--State Legislation and Enforcement: Site-specific evaluation with stabilization sometimes required. No. 3: General Federal Legislation-- State Enforcement: Physical stabilization required; no ponding No. 4- Comprehensive Federal Legislation — State Enforce- ment upon Approval: Chem- ical stabilization required in urban areas. No. 5: Comprehensive Federal Legislation and Enforcement-- No State Involvement: Chem- ical stabilization universally required; specifications given for the stabilization technique. Developments of Model Power Plants and Associated Sludge Disposal Costs An accurate assessment of the cost effect of each scenario on the utility industry required knowledge of the cost of each disposal alternative to each FGD-equipped plant An approximation of these cost effects was developed using a set of 10 model plants, representing three geographic regions, four coal types, and urban and rural locations. For each model plant, capital cost, annual operating cost, and lifetime revenue requirements were estimated for each of six disposal options: 1. Unlined ponding 2. Clay-lined ponding 3. Dry (dewater) and landfill 4 Dravo 5. IUCS 6 Dry (dewater), mix, and landfill Each of the coal-fired utility genera- ting plants projected to be on line by 1980 and by 1985 was then assigned to one of the 10 model plant categories to produce an approximate industry profile of waste generating capacity. The pro- file was subjected to each regulatory scenario to estimate how each utility would shift from its preferred disposal option to its remaining least-cost dis- posal option under the revised regula- tory scenario. In this manner, the cost effect of each utility and to the industry as a whole were estimated as the incremental cost of complying with each successive degree of regulation. It should be emphasized that this approach includes only plants that will be either on line by mid-1980 or those that will be on line by mid-1985. Al- though cost impacts were estimated for the entire remaining life span of each of these plants, a declining operating scenario was used in which annual generation decreases over the life span of each plant. Thus, the plants in the 1980 group included substantially more retrofit situations than those for the predominantly younger, 1985 group of plants. The result of this shift in group, composition is a substantial increase in] total remaining lifetime generation^ even though coal-fired generating^ capacity is expected to increase only moderately between 1980 and 1985. Utility Industry Response to Regulatory Scenarios In the absence of additional regula- tory constraints (Scenario No. 1), the utility industry from a post-1980 per- spective will be committed to spending close to $2.6 billion (1980 dollars), and from a post-1985 perspective over $3.1 billion (1980 dollars), for FGD sludge disposal. Scenarios No. 2through Bare expected to add from $18 to $972 million to those future revenue commit- ments for the post-1980 estimate and from $35 million to $2.32 billion for the post-1985 estimate. This relatively modest increase in future revenue com- mitments is due to two factors: (1) older plants using high-technology retrofits will be 5 years older by 1985, so that their post-1985 revenue commitments will be substantially reduced; and (2) new plants coming on line by 1985 will have their entire useful life ahead of them; they will be situated on cheaper, rural land, and will have selected the cheaper, nonretrofit disposal options as4 part of their original designs. J ------- I The post-1980 to post-1985 shift to newer plants (combined with an abso- lute increase in future coal-fired generation) allows the average cost per kilowatt hour (in terms of 1980 dollars) to decrease The result is that the average future (1980 dollars) to the consumer for FGS sludge disposal is expected to range from 1.017 mills (Scenario No. 1)to1 400 mills (Scenario No. 5) per kilowatt hour after 1980, and from 0759 (Scenario No 1) to 1.321 (Scenario No. 5) mills per kilowatt hour after 1985. It should be re-emphasized that these cost estimates do not include plants coming on line after 1985. Key Conclusions In general, more stringent disposal regulation resulted in (1) lower per unit capital requirements than those for cur- rent disposal practices and (2) high life- time revenue requirements as a result of higher operating costs (labor and raw materials in particular). The industry profile for 1980 shows that in most cases sludge ponding is more prevalent in the western U.S. than in the eastern U.S because of more favorable site-specific conditions The cost effect of more stringent regulatory scenarios (particularly the universal stabilization requirement) in the West was proportionately greater than it was for the Midwest or East. and remaining plant life span were not allowed to influence this choice, as they would in practice. Another topic of interest is the impor- tant interrelationship between sludge disposal costs, electricity rate sched- ules, subsequent changes in electricity demand, and the ultimate distribution (by customer type) of FGD sludge disposal costs Sludge disposal costs may be lagged over time and have differ- ential impacts on various classes of customers Moreover, demand elasticity may vary by customer class Should EPA choose to regulate FGD sludge disposal specifically on a national scale, the above-mentioned interrelationship will be addressed as part of the economic impact analysis. The other general area that deserves additional study is the rapid evolution of FGD sludge disposal technology in response to the changing regulatory climate and its resulting cost impact on the utility industry Specific areas that could be enhanced in an update of this study include: • Second-generation FGD sludge disposal technologies • Trends in FGD • Updated forecasts of FGD imple- mentation • Long-range utility power genera- tion trends • Impact of RCRA and Mine Safety and Health Act (MSHA) on FGD sludge management Consideration of the above-named technical and institutional changes, combined with a more exact analysis of disposal economics, would provide a solid foundation for the economic impact analysis required in conjunction with impending new Federal regula- tions for FGD sludge disposal t Recommendations Research recommendations resulting from this study may be categorized into two general areas. (1) incorporating the diversity of local utility conditions into the analysis, and (2) updating the current data base to reflect changes in the regulatory climate and the evolution of FGD technologies. With regard to the first area, the conceptual nature of this study required the use of many simplifying assump- tions. As a result, important local or plant-specific cost factors were not accounted for that could significantly affect the costs projected in this study In addition to addressing these factors on a local rather than a regional basis, any subsequent research embracing these plant-by-plant variations should also consider the effects that current sludge disposal capital investments and remaining plant lives have on the selec- tion of either a sludge disposal method or a compliance strategy for sulfur oxide control In this study, sunk capital costs Howard L Ft/she/ is with SCS Engineers, Long Beach, CA 90807. Donald E. Banning and Oscar W. Albrecht are the EPA Project Officers (see be low] The complete report, entitled "The Cost of Alternative Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD) Sludge Disposal Regulations," {Order No. PB 81 -118 895; Cost: $ 12.50, subject to change) will be available only from- National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Telephone: 703-487-4650 The EPA Project Officers can be contacted at: Municipal Environmental Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Cincinnati, OH 45268 ------- < United States Environmental Protection Agency Center for Environmental Research Information Cincinnati OH 45268 Postage and Fees Paid Environmental Protection Agency EPA 335 Official Business Penalty for Private Use $300 r ~i L J U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1981—757-064/026 ------- |