United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Atmospheric Sciences Research
Laboratory
Research Triangle Park NC 27711
Research and Development
EPA/600/S3-85/064  Nov. 1985
Project  Summary
Green River Air Quality  Model
Development:  VALMET—A
Valley Air  Pollution  Model
C. D. Whiteman and K. J. Allwine
  Pacific Northwest Laboratory has
developed an air quality model for
application in valleys as part of the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
.Green River Ambient Model Assess-
ment program. The purpose of the
program is to provide air quality assess-
ment tools applicable in the Green River
Oil Shale Formation  region of western
Colorado, eastern Utah, and southern
Wyoming. This region has the potential
for large-scale  growth  because vast
energy resources, especially  oil shale,
are located in the region.
  Following  a  thorough analysis of
meteorological data obtained from deep
valleys of western Colorado, a modular
air pollution model has been developed
to simulate the transport and diffusion
of pollutants released from an elevated
point source in a well-defined mountain
valley during the nighttime and morning
transition periods. This initial version of
the model, named VALMET, operates
on a valley cross section at an arbitrary
distance down-valley from a continuous
point source. The  model  has  been
constructed to  include parameteriza-
tions of  the major physical processes
that  act to disperse pollution during
these time periods.
  This Project Summary was developed
by EPA's Atmospheric Sciences Re-
search Laboratory, Research Triangle
Park, NC, to announce key findings of
the research project  that is fully docu-
mented in a separate report of the same
title (see Project Report ordering infor-
mation at back).

Introduction
  This report documents an air quality
model that  was developed to predict
concentrations of nonreactive pollutants
arising from elevated continuous point
sources that emit pollutants within well-
defined deep mountain valleys. The mod-
el, termed VALMET, is intended to sim-
ulate the effects on pollutant transport
and diffusion  of various meteorological
processes that are thought to result in
worst-case pollutant concentrations. The
model is run for situations when pollut-
ants are  carried in locally  developed
circulations within a valley when these
circulations are "decoupled" from pre-
vailing circulations above the valley. The
primary physical processes included in
the model follow:


Nocturnal Simulation:

• transport by down-valley drainage
   flows,
• plume channeling within the valley,
• enhanced horizontal and vertical dif-
   fusion due to topography,
• plume reflections off valley floor and
   sidewalls,
• pollutant diffusion out the top of the
   valley, and
• dilution of the plume due to clean air
   inflow from tributaries.

Post-Sunrise Simulation
During Temperature Inversion
Breakup Period:

• convective boundary layer growth,
• plume subsidence in the valley inver-
   sion,
• fumigation  into  growing convective
   boundary layers, and

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 • transport  and diffusion  in  upslope
   flows over the sidewalls.

Overview
  The model, while including a variety of
meteorological  processes, is  highly pa-
rameterized so that it is simple in concept
and  easy to  run. It is composed of 13
modules,  or  subroutines,  arranged  in
such a way that an improved understand-
ing  of  individual valley  meteorological
'phenomena can be easily incorporated in
future versions of the model. The modules
within the model can be replaced by data
if they are available. Thus, the model can
be used in one of two modes. It can be
used in  a "screening" mode to calculate
pollutant concentrations  within  a valley
when little site-specific data are available,
or it can be "calibrated" with site-specific
data so that it can be used as a site-
specific model.
  The two-dimensional model was de-
veloped  primarily to predict pollutant
concentrations on the valley floor and
sidewalls on a valley cross section an
arbitrary  distance down-valley  from  a
pollutant source during the post-sunrise
temperature  inversion breakup period.  It
 is necessary, however, to know the air
 pollution concentration within the valley
cross section at sunrise, as an initial
condition for the post-sunrise simulation.
The  model is therefore comprised of two
 parts—a nighttime  part  to predict con-
 centrations on the valley cross section at
 sunrise, and the  daytime part which
 predicts concentraions on the valley floor
 and  sidewalls  during the post-sunrise
temperature  inversion breakup period.
The temperature inversion breakup period
 has  been identified by previous inves-
 tigators as a period when diurnal fumiga-
tions can produce  high pollutant con-
 centrations in valleys.
  The nighttime simulation, which  is
 applied during the steady-state period
 after valley temperature inversions and
 drainage  wind  systems  have  become
 established,  uses a modified valley-fol-
 lowing  Gaussian  plume algorithm to
 calculate air pollution concentrations for
 points on the valley floor and sidewalls. A
 plume rise formulation is used  to sim-
 ulate the initial rise of a pollutant plume
 at the  stack due  to momentum  and
 buoyancy of the effluent. Pasquill-Gifford
 diffusion coefficients are modified to
 accountfor enhanced  nocturnal diffusion
 caused by rough terrain. The Gaussian
 plume is also modified to allow for dilution
 of the  plume during its down-valley
 transport caused by clean airflowing into
the plume from  valley tributaries or by
converging downslope drainage flows.
An integral constraint on pollutant mass
is applied to ensure that pollutant mass is
conserved during the plume's transport
down the valley and within any valley
cross section down-valley from the emis-
sion source, except for pollution diffusion
out the top of the valley.
  The daytime simulation uses numerical
techniques that simulate the fumigation
of the nocturnal plume onto the valley
floor and sidewalls as a convective bound-
ary layer grows upwards from the heated
valley surfaqes and as subsiding motions
occur over the valley center after sunrise.
The rate of growth of convective boundary
layers and subsidence within the valley
temperature inversion are simulated us-
ing the bulk  thermodynamic model of
Whiteman and  McKee. This model is
driven by sensible heat flux, estimated as
a fraction of the solar radiation  using a
highly  parameterized surface  energy
budget.  The effects of such factors as
snow cover, soil moisture, cloud cover, or
surface albedo are not explicitly included
in the model but can be incorporated into
the model  in the  future through an
expanded  energy budget  module.  The
shape of the topographic cross section of
the valley is  explicitly included in  the
model through the valley floor width and
sidewall inclination  angles at the valley
cross section of  interest. The retarding
effect on temperature inversion breakup
and pollution dispersion due to warm air
advection  above the inversion  is  also
included in the model. Fumigated pollut-
ants are transported from the valley cross
section  in upslope  flows  that  develop
within  the  convective boundary layers
over the slopes.  Pollutants are diffused
through model grid elements during this
transport up the slopes in the growing
convective boundary layer. Pollutant con-
centrations decay exponentially within
individual grid  elements  high  on  the
sidewall as they are dropped from  the
simulation as the inversion top subsides
below them.

  The output from the nighttime simula-
tion includes the steady-state pollutant
concentration at valley floor and sidewall
grid elements on the valley cross section
of interest. The fraction of plume mass
that has diffused out the top of the valley
during the plume's travel is also an output
of the model. Since an analytical formula
describes  the  concentrations within a
valley cross section, cross  valley  and
vertical profiles of pollutant concentration
can be calculated and plotted. The plume
centerline concentration is an output of
the model.
  The  primary output of the  daytime
simulation  is the maximum  1-  and 3-h
average pollutant concentrations in each
of the model grid elements on the valley
floor and sidewalls. The time-varying 5-
min average concentrations  for each of
the grid elements between sunrise and
the time of inversion destruction is also
an  output of the model.  In  addition to
these primary outputs, intermediate mod-
el outputs come from individual modules
in the program. The local standard time of
sunrise,  the  duration  of the  daylight
period, and the solar flux on a horizontal
surface at solar noon come from the solar
module. The convective boundary layer
height and  inversion top height  as  a
function of time come from the temper-
ature inversion breakup module.
  Twenty-seven input  parameters are
necessary to drive the model. These input
parameters include the date, site location,
topographic characteristics of the  valley
cross section, temperature inversion char-
acteristics at sunrise, emission and stack
characteristics,  down-valley  wind
speed(s), atmospheric stability, grid ele-
ment  length,  and  sensible  heat flux
parameters. If  known, the rate of  warm
air  advection  above the  valley can  be
input. The necessary model inputs can be
obtained from  topographic maps,  engi-
neering information on  the pollutant
source, and one or more seasonal meteor-
ological data collection campaigns  in the
valley of interest using  tethered balloon
data collection systems and/or doppler
acoustic sounders.

Conclusions and
Recommendations
  The model shows promise for use as a
planning tool and eventually as a regu-
latory tool. Further development, testing,
and tracer evaluation of the model will be
necessary before sufficient  confidence
can be gained to justify the model's use in
a regulatory setting. The priorities for
further  development and testing  are
provided in  the report. Testing of the
model's sensitivity to input parameters
and an initial evaluation of the model with
tracer experiment data  are high priority
tasks. These tests will, no doubt, result in
future modifications to the initial version
of the model.
  The authors stress that the  model's
ultimate utility in addressing  and provid-
ing solutions  to potential air pollution
problems in mountain valleys will depend
on the further evaluation of the model. To

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have confidence in model predictions, it is
necessaryto test the model against actual
air pollution data. Several parameters in
the model (A0,  k,  cry, and  CTZ) are, at
present, poorly understood for mountain
valleys due to a  dearth of experimental
data, and theoretical research should be
focused on the need for information on
both turbulent diffusion and valley energy
budget studies. The use of full physics
models may help in providing some of the
a nswers necessary to i mprove the present
model.

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     C. David Whiteman and K. Jerry Allwine are with Battelle. Pacific Northwest
       Laboratory, Rich/and. WA 99532.
     Alan H. Hubor is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
     The complete report, entitled "Green  River Air Quality Model Development
       VALMET—A Valley Air Pollution Model," (Order No. PB 86-104 106/AS; Cost:
       $16.95, subject to change) will be available only from:
            National Technical Information Service
            5285 Port Royal Road
            Springfield, VA 22161
            Telephone: 703-487-4650
     The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
            Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory
            U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
            Research  Triangle Park, NC 27711
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Center for Environmental Research
Information
Cincinnati OH 45268
Official Business
Penalty for Private Use $300

EPA/600/S3-85/064
         0000329    PS


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