United States Environmental Protection Agency Atmospheric Sciences x Research Laboratory •»• Research Triangle Park NC 2771C Research and Development EPA/600/S3-86/048 Dec. 1986 11 v Project Summary Urban Aerosol Modeling: Incorporation of an S02 Photochemical Oxidation Module in AROSOL J. R. Brock Current developments of the urban scale K-theory aerosol model termed AROSOL are described. Major modifications include introduction of sulfate aerosol conversion schemes based on the empirical model due to Meagher as well as the Carbon Bond Mechanism. Modules have been developed for including the aerosol dynamical processes such as nucleation, condensation/evaporation and coagula- tion. This will permit modeling of the ur- ban aerosol composition distributions, now that supercomputers are widely available. Concurrently, a version of AROSOL is being ported to the IBM PC- RT, a relatively inexpensive workstation, so that the code will be generally available in a user friendly form. This Project Summary was developed by EPA's Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory, Research Triangle Park, NC, to announce key findings of the research pro- ject that is fully documented in a separate report of the same title (see Project Report ordering information at the back). Introduction The adverse effects of urban air pollu- tion are well known: increased incidence of respiratory diseases, reduced visibility, economic loss, and inadvertent weather modification, to name a few. The urban aerosol plays an important role in these adverse effects. An understanding of this role requires, among other factors, knowl- edge of the aerosol dynamical processes shaping the aerosol size and composition distributions. These dynamical processes include advection, dispersion, deposition, primary and secondary source input, nucleation, condensation/evaporation, and coagulation. Models for the particle size and composition distributions reflecting these dynamical processes will ultimately be necessary for development of realistic aerosol air quality regulations and control strategies. For example, the deposition pattern of particles in the lung is a func- tion of the particle size distribution. Ab- sorption and scattering of light by the am- bient aerosol is a complex function of the composition distribution. Many of the chemical species making up the urban aer- osol are produced through the interaction of complex chemical processes and the ambient aerosol, the details of which vary with particle size and composition. There- fore, the effects of pollutant emissions reduction and control are likely to be non- linear in character and will require the detailed knowledge cited. This project has been concerned with development of urban aerosol models which include the dynamical processes shaping the aerosol size and composition distributions. The first part of this work has involved evaluation of data bases and a K-theory model, termed AROSOL, for the super-and sub-micrometer aerosol mass concentration. Recent work has been devoted to development of computer modules for accurate description of the coagulation and condensation/evaporation processes for single component aerosols. Current work has proceeded along several lines. The data bases from the EPA Phila- delphia Aerosol Field Study (PAFS) have been evaluated and corrected for evalua- tion of AROSOL for sulfate aerosol model- ing. Modules have been developed for in- ------- elusion in AROSOL which account for chemical conversion, nucleation, and con- densation, evaporation, and coagulation as a step in the extension of AROSOL to multicomponent aerosols. Work has been done on coupling the nucleation and con- densation/evaporation processes to a suit- able oxidant mechanism for sulfate forma- tion. A parallel development is the deriva- tion of a more highly parameterized model from AROSOL, suitable for assessments, which will run on a relatively inexpensive computer workstation such as the IBM PC-RT. Model Description AROSOL is an urban scale K-theory model for the ambient atmospheric aero- sol. It has been previously used in a number of studies including modeling total aerosol mass concentration in Maricopa County, Arizona and super- and sub- micrometer aerosol mass concentration in St. Louis, Missouri using the Regional Air Pollution Study (RAPS) data base. This model has been under continuous develop- ment. The extension of the model to in- clude secondary sulfate aerosol sources and aerosol dynamics is described in this Project Summary. First, the modules of AROSOL are listed. These modules are briefly described, including the recent work on inclusion of multicomponent aerosol dynamics and oxidant chemistry for the gas phase conversion of S02 to sulfate. AROSOL is arranged with a number of options for inclusion of meteorological data ranging from a single measurement of wind speed and direction to time series of data on wind speed and direction and atmospheric stability. At present, the model includes no numerical meteoro- logical driver. The structure of AROSOL is best indi- cated by the schematic diagram shown below. As indicated, data input includes emis- sions inventory data and meteorological data. Emissions inventory data are entered from tape or other data storage media. Meteorological data may be entered ex- ternally from data storage media or, in the case of limited meteorological data, may be entered internally through data state- ments. The model has provision for infer- ring complete wind field and stability con- ditions over a study area for a range of data availability, from measurements at a single point to complete time series at multiple points. Results from AROSOL simulations may be displayed in various forms including tabular data, isopleth plots, and full three dimensional plots. Modules are available for analysis of simulation results and measurement data including statistical analysis options for model evaluation as recommended by EPA as well as spectral analysis. New analytical modules will be included as available. The various rate modules of AROSOL are indicated in the diagram above. The Eulerian grid consists of horizontal x,y UTM coordinates and a vertical sigma, s, coordinate for simulation of complex ter- rain. The horizontal grid is usually em- ployed with a variable mesh with highest density in the regions of large sources. Usually, no more than the order of 14 ver- tical levels of variable thickness are em- ployed. Time splitting is used based on the process. The steps are ordered as first, ad- vection, then diffusion, and finally the aer- osol dynamical and chemical processes. The x,y boundary conditions are speci- fied depending on whether the wind is flowing into or out of the modeling region. For wind flowing out of the modeling region a constant flux condition in x,y is imposed. For wind flowing into the mod- eling region, the appropriate pollutant variable must be imposed; these values must be set from background assumptions or actual upstream measurements. The boundary condition at the surface is dis- cussed below under the section on dry de- position. The upper level boundary condi- tion is usually specified by a zero flux con- dition at the mixing height which is speci- fied from field data. It is possible to allow for entrainment through the upper bound- ary but this must be done empirically. The rate modules indicated in the dia- gram above will now be discussed in order. Rate Modules Advection The advection term in the conservation equation is evaluated numerically using the iterated upstream finite difference scheme proposed by Smolarkiewicz. This scheme is used because it maintains the conservation and positiveness of trans- ported conservative species reasonably well. The scheme is also relatively fast compared to other methods with similar conservation properties. In addition the scheme is local in that the advective time change at a point is determined by the concentrations and velocities at a small number of neighboring points. Dispersion The vertical and horizontal diffusivity terms are handled by orthogonal colloca- tion on finite elements. This scheme has been found to provide reasonable ac- curacy and efficiency in dispersion simula- tions. It is widely recognized that the eddy diffusivities are not fluid properties but are functions of the dynamical state of the at- mosphere. Therefore the eddy diffusivities are empirical constructs which must be specified for various atmospheric states. Empirical parameterizations of horizontal and vertical diffusivities for stable, neutral and unstable conditions are employed. Dry deposition At the surface, the boundary condition is specified by parameterizations of depo- sition velocities. For gases, surface resis- tances are scaled from field data for S02. For submicrometer and supermicrometer particles the most recent empirical param- eterizations are used. Chemistry AROSOL offers two options in the calculation of the homogeneous gas phase conversion of S02 to sulfate. One of these is an empirical first-order decay model due to Meagher. The other is a com- plex photochemical mechanism known as the carbon bond mechanism (CBM), suit- ably modified for sulfate conversion. The empirical model of Meagher (EMM) is based on field measurements. Its sim- plicity and computational efficiency make it appealing for first-order estimates of sul- fate formation rates when the amount of reliable input data is limited. EMM is based loosely on the diurnal and annual variation in clear-sky solar intensity. The basic assumption is that the rate constant for sulfate conversion can be separated into a constant value and a component that is allowed to vary diurnally and annually. The parameters in the rate equation are derived from measurements from a number of field studies of sulfate conversion. The carbon bond mechanism (CBM) ap- proach appears to be an attractive method for modeling atmospheric organic chemis- try and therefore, suitably modified, ap- pears to be useful in modeling sulfate con- version. For the CBM, organic species are grouped according to type and number of carbon bonds in the molecule irrespective of the particular chemical species in which the bond is found. The structural classes have been determined through the use of structural reactivity analysis. The carbon bond mechanism has sev- eral advantages over other lumped mech- anisms. To name a few, it conserves car- bon atoms, it has a narrow range of reac- tivities for a group of lumped species, and the reactivity of the organic mixture changes in a natural way. The mechanism ------- follows the reactions of the lumped species. The rate constants for these species are obtained by averaging the rate constants for the individual species that comprise the lumped identity. The reactiv- ity of an organic mixture changes accord- ing to the concentrations of the different bond types in the carbon mechanism. CBM uses a hierarchy of chemical species in which each species involved in oxidant formation is assigned a hierarchical level on the basis of the number of systems in which it occurs. AROSOL includes CBM- IV, which is a condensed version of the larger CBM-X scheme. This condensed version is suitable for use in a computa- tionally demanding model such as AROSOL in an urban or regional area. On the urban scale the problem of the correla- tion terms in a turbulent reacting system is now under study. Aerosol dynamics The term aerosol dynamics in the pres- ent context refers to the processes of nu- cleation, condensation, evaporation, and coagulation. These processes alter the size and composition distributions of the ambient atmospheric aerosol. There are two limits in the approach to modeling secondary aerosol formation in the atmos- phere. An illustration will serve to make these limiting approaches clear. For the case of sulfate conversion, most current regional models regard sulfate as essentially another chemical species and take no account of its distribution in size and composition; in this approach, termed here the lumped aerosol model (LAM), sul- fate is emitted from primary sources, cre- ated by atmospheric reactions, advects and disperses, and undergoes deposition processes in an analogous manner to gas- eous species. The deficiencies of the LAM approach can be illustrated by a few ex- amples. Deposition processes for sulfate particles are size and possibly composition dependent; therefore, in order to be gen- erally applicable, empirical formulations of such deposition rates must erroneously assume a universal distribution of sulfate. In addition, in LAM the distinction be- tween condensation and nucleation pro- cesses is ignored. Also if heterogeneous conversion processes are neglected, the rate of formation of sulfate mass must be assumed to equal the rate of production by gas phase chemical reaction; this as- sumption may be valid for sulfate, but would not be expected to be valid for more volatile components such as nitrates and some of the organic fractions. In this case, LAM would not be a useful approach. At the other extreme from LAM is the model that deals with particle size and composition distributions and attempts to account for all the aerosol dynamics pro- cesses — an approach termed here the aerosol dynamics model (ADM). This may be styled as an ab initio approach, which at least in principle is not required to in- voke any empirical rate information. In ad- dition to very accurate numerical tech- niques for the aerosol dynamical proces- ses, available as modules, computationally efficient moment techniques have been developed and are also available as modules. AROSOL has the option of invoking either the LAM or ADM. The LAM option would be suitable for some assessment purposes, where, for example, sulfate mass concentration would be the only interest. It is one of the aims of this pro- ject to compare the LAM and ADM op- tions in urban simulations with AROSOL. This is now possible with the University of Texas CRAY-XMP. Recommendations With increasing speed and memory of computers, it is feasible to carry out evalu- ation studies of models such as AROSOL for the aerosol size and composition distributions. As a first step, planning of field studies should be carried out for obtaining the needed field data, including emissions inventory and measurements of either the aerosol distributions or their moments. The moment of a distribution is the integral, over the range of the size parameter, of the product of the distribu- tion and some power of the size param- eter. For example, the first moment of a mass distribution of particles would be the total mass concentration of particles. Plan- ning of such field studies implies that suitable measurement systems would be available. Therefore, while development of AROSOL continues, a parallel program for development of experimental systems for large area measurements of • ambient aerosol size and composition distributions, or their moments, would be desirable. Modern developments in laser spectros- copy and remote sensing may make it feasible to carry out field studies at relatively low cost that would gather information on gas concentrations and aerosol distributions on spatial scales commensurate with the urban scale simu- lation grids (typically, now from 0.1kmx0.1km to 1kmx1km). Point source measurements are always subject to local spatial and temporal fluctuations (of atmospheric, process and anthropogenic origins) that cannot be included in any reasonable manner in numerical simula- tions. Even from a regulatory standpoint, the always restricted number of point measurement stations are well known to be subject to anomalous local effects which can lead to ineffective and costly regulatory actions. The Gaussian plume model, although widely employed today for regulatory pur- poses throughout the United States, has well recognized and serious deficiencies. A substantial advance over the Gaussian plume model is afforded by the conserva- tion equation with first-order closure— the K-theory model. For both aerosol and gas- eous species modeling, it is recommended that K-theory models be developed that would run with reasonable efficiency on newly available and relatively inexpensive work stations such as the IBM PC-RT. Cur- rent activity in this project includes port- ing AROSOL to the IBM PC-RT. ------- J. R. Brock is with the University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712. H. M. Barnes is the EPA Project Officer (see below). The complete report, entitled "Urban Aerosol Modeling: Incorporation of an SOz Photochemical Oxidation Module in A ROSOL," (Order No. PB 86-239 829/A S; Cost: $9.95, subject to change) will be available only from: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Telephone: 703-487-4650 The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at: Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park. NC 27711 United States Environmental Protection Agency Center for Environmental Research Information Cincinnati OH 45268 Official Business Penalty for Private Use S300 EPA/600/S3-86/048 0000329 60604 ------- |