United States Environmental Protection Agency . Atmospheric Sciences ^ \ Research Laboratory -x Research Triangle Park NC 2771 1 ," - Research and Development EPA/600/S3-87/014 June 1987 &EPA Project Summary A Surrogate Species Chemical Reaction Mechanism for Urban-Scale Air Quality Simulation Models Frederick W. Lurmann, William P. L Carter, and Lori A. Coyner During the second year of a two-year program, a surrogate species chemical mechanism was refined, evaluated, and adapted for use in air quality simulation (AQS) models. The purpose of the pro- gram was to develop an improved chemical mechanism for use in the AQS models that are used to develop ozone control strategies. The updated chemical reaction mech- anism was evaluated against data from 491 environmental chamber experi- ments conducted in indoor and outdoor facilities. The results of the evaluation indicate the mechanism's predictions are qualitatively and quantitatively con- sistent with the data from a large num- ber of single organic-NOx and multi- organic NOX experiments. The mechanism was adapted for use in the single-cell and multi-cell AQS models. Guidelines were developed for using the mechanism. These include procedures for assignment or individ- ual organic species to the chemical classes in the mechanism and default organic speciation profiles. Sensitivity analysis was performed to identify the AQS model inputs that strongly influ- ence predicted volatile organic com- pound (VOC) control requirements. This Project Summary was devel- oped by EPA's Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory, Research Triangle Park, NC, to announce key findings of the research project that is fully docu- mented in two separate volumes of the same title (see Project Report ordering information at back). Introduction Atmospheric simulation models are essential planning tools for the develop- ment of emission control strategies for regions that presently exceed the ambi- ent air quality standard for ozone. The models are used to estimate the emis- sion control requirements needed to prevent exceedances of the air quality standards in the future. One of the most important components in air quality simulation (AQS) models is the chemi- cal mechanism that describes the for- mation of ozone from volatile organic compounds (VOC) and nitrogen oxides (NOX). As part of a coordinated research program to develop reliable ozone con- trol strategies, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency sponsored this re- search study to develop and test an im- proved chemical mechanism. Many chemical mechanisms have been developed in the last 10 years for simulating ozone formation from VOC and NOX. All of the mechanisms in- tended for atmospheric applications in- corporate approximations and conden- sations of species and reactions because it is currently impossible to ex- plicitly include reactions for the hun- dreds of organic compounds present in ambient air. Several approaches are available for lumping the organic spe- cies into a manageable number of chemical classes in the mechanisms. The approach adopted in this study was to use the surrogate species approxima- tion where the explicit chemistry of se- lected compounds is used to represent ------- the chemistry of all similar compounds. For example, reactions for propene and trans-2-butene are used as surrogates for the reactions of terminally double- bonded and internally double-bonded alkenes. Provided the mechanism is for- mulated with a sufficient number of sur- rogate species (-10), the surrogate spe- cies approach is quite capable of representing the majority of organic species present in urban air. The surrogate species approach has several advantages over other schemes such as the carbon bond lumping ap- proach. Surrogate species mechanisms can easily be updated and expanded since the reactions for each surrogate species are independent of other parts of the mechanism. Also, since whole molecules rather than lumped bond groups are used in the surrogate mech- anism, they are not reliant on the as- sumption that different parts of the molecules react independently. Prior to this study, surrogate species chemical mechanisms had been sub- jected to only limited testing against en- vironmental chamber data. A key pur- pose of this study was to extensively test the predictive abilities of the surro- gate species mechanism against cham- ber data for a broad range of conditions. Testing of the New Mechanism The new mechanism was tested against data from 491 experiments. The experiments were carried out in four dif- ferent environmental chambers: the University of North Carolina's (UNC) 150,000-liter dual outdoor chamber, the Statewide Air Pollution Research Cen- ter's (SAPRC) 50,000-liter outdoor Teflon chamber (OTC), SAPRC's 6,400- liter indoor Teflon chamber (ITC), and SAPRC's 5,800-liter evacuable indoor chamber (EC). Procedures were devel- oped to represent the light intensities and spectral distributions in the differ- ent chambers. Appropriate methods were also developed to characterize the major chamber effects, such as NOX off- gassing, ozone deposition, and the chamber free radical sources in a con- sistent manner for all four chambers. The types and number of environ- mental chamber experiments used in the testing program are listed in Table 1. The N0x-air, NOx-CO-air, and n-butane NOX runs were used to test the inor- ganic chemistry and refine the chamber characterization procedures. Single or- ganic compound-NOx experiments were employed to test the reactions for Table 1. Summary of Environmental Chamber Runs Used for Mechanism Evaluation Number of Runs* Type of Environmental Chamber Run EC ITC OTC UNC Total Characterization Single Organic-NOx Known Mixtures Auto Exhaust Dynamic Injection Totals NOx-air and NOx-Co-air Oxygenates Ethene Propene Butenes Toluene Other Aromatics n-Butane C5+ Simple Mixtures Surrogate Mixtures Catalyst and Noncatalyst Simple Mixtures 10 14 10 37 71 7 6 15 6 13 7 14 6 22 11 1 2 7 5 2 13 5 8 45 2 5 62 117 102 80 15 6 22 5 5 4 7 6 18 33 25 9 192 25 14 49 16 20 24 27 20 40 151 25 9 491 *UNC = UNC outdoor chamber, EC = SAPRC evacuable indoor chamber, ITC = SAPRC indoor Teflon chamber, OTC = SAPRC outdoor Teflon chamber. each of the organic precursor species included in the mechanism. Experi- ments with organic mixtures were used to test the predictive ability of the mech- anism for conditions representative of the real atmosphere. These ranged from simple mixtures like propene/n- butane to complex mixtures including more than 15 compounds and automo- bile exhaust. The average bias and error in the mechanism's predictions for maximum ozone concentrations are listed in Table 2. The evaluation data indicate the mechanism underpredicts ozone yields in carbonyl-NOx experiments by 5% on the average. The average error in the maximum ozone predictions is ±25% for carbonyl-NOx systems. Mechanism performance for formaldehyde is better than for higher aldehydes and ketones. The performance data show that the mechanism overpredicts ozone yields in alkene-NOx experiments by 3% on the average. The average error in the maximum ozone predictions is ±21% for these systems. Mechanism perform- ance for ethene and propene is signifi- cantly better than that for butenes. The evaluation data indicate the mechanism overpredicts ozone yields in aromatic-NOx experiments by 1% on the average. The average error in the maximum ozone predictions is ±21% for aromatic-NOx systems. The mecha- nism tends to overpredict ozone yields in benzene and toluene-NOx systems and underpredict ozone yields in m- xylene, o-xylene, and mesitylene-NOx systems on the average. This level of performance on aromatic runs is surprisingly good considering that the aromatic mechanism is highly parame- terized and that the identity and subse- quent chemistry of half or more of the aromatic photooxidation products are unknown. The evaluation results for alkane-NOx simulations are not satisfactory. The mechanism's maximum ozone predic- tions show large errors (±69% on the average) and a bias toward overpredic- tion. The poor mechanism performance for alkane-NO,, runs is due to uncer- tainty in the alkane chemistry, espe- cially for the C6+ alkanes, and uncer- tainty in the chamber radical source strength. Alkanes are less reactive than the other compounds employed in the testing program, and simulations of alkane-NOx experiments are extremely sensitive to the assumed chamber radi- cal source strength. Because of the un- certainty and variability of the chamber radical source, the alkane mechanism cannot be evaluated without ambiguity using chamber data. The mechanism's performance simu- lating mixtures of organic compounds is good. Overall, the mechanism pre- dicted the- maximum ozone in 225 mix- ture experiments with an average bias \ ------- of +4% and an average error of ±24%. The predicted rates of NOX oxidation and timing of the ozone maximum also have little bias and less than 30% error. The mechanism's performance for sim- ple mixtures was not quite as good as its performance for the surrogate mix- tures and auto exhaust. However, over- all these results show the mechanism is qualitatively and quantitatively consis- tent with the chamber data. Good per- formance in testing against organic mixture experiments is important be- cause the mechanism will primarily be used to simulate mixtures in atmos- pheric modeling. Adaptation of the Mechanism Condensed versions of the mecha- nism employed in the testing program were developed for use in AQS models. Mechanisms were developed for use in single-cell models that can accommo- date large chemical mechanisms and for use in multi-cell models that require fairly small chemical mechanisms. Very little mechanism condensation was re- quired for the mechanism designed for use in single-cell models such as the 021PM AQS model. Significant mecha- nism condensation assumptions were implemented in the mechanism de- signed for use in the multi-cell models such as the Urban Airshed Model. Predictions from the condensed ver- sions of the mechanism were compared to predictions of the detailed mecha- nism for a range of mixtures and NMOC/NOX ratios. The results showed the single-cell model mechanism's pre- dictions are almost identical (i.e., within ±2%) to the detailed mechanism's pre- dictions for all of the key species. Pre- dictions from the multi-cell model mechanism agree with those from the detailed mechanism within ±10% for all key species. Information on speciation of organics for the classes in the mechanism was developed. First, a master list showing the assignment if individual organic compounds to organic classes in the mechanism was compiled. The uncer- tainty of each assignment was ranked, based on whether or not the surrogate species employed for the assigned class could represent the reactivity of the in- dividual species well. Second, ambient speciated NMOC data collected at the ground and above the mixed layer in the mornings in urban areas were ana- lyzed. A default NMOC composition I profile for emissions and ambient con- centrations near the surface were devel- Table 2. Average Model Performance for Maximum Ozone Run Type Bias (%) Error (%) Formaldehyde Acetaldehyde Other Carbonyls All Carbonyls Ethene Propene Butanes All Alkenes -1 -26 +4 +2 +3 +4 -5 +3 19 26 44 18 18 34 25 21 Butane +31 67 Branched Alkanes +34 49 Long-chain Alkanes +83 84 All Alkanes +46 69 Benzene Toluene Xylenes Mesitylene All Aromatics +3 + 77 -9 -77 5 24 16 21 + 1 19 All Single HC Runs +12 33 Simple Mixtures +10 35 Mini Surrogates +10 22 Full Surrogates +3 23 Auto Exhaust -11 15 All HC Mixtures +4 24 All Run Average +7 28 "Positive bias indicates model overpredic- tion. oped from ambient data collected in 25 cities using a consistent measurement and speciation protocol. A default com- position profile for NMOC aloft was compiled from aircraft data collected upwind of four cities. These default pro- files can be used in atmospheric model- ing applications where site-specific data are not available. Sensitivity analysis was carried out using the updated chemical mechanism in the OZIPM AQS model. The sensitiv- ity analysis was designed to identify the input parameter that most strongly in- fluences the NMOC control require- ments in EKMA analyses. Almost all of the sensitivity runs were performed at several NMOC/NOX ratios and dilution rates since the sensitivity of the model to parameter variations is known to de- pend on these parameters. The results of the analysis confirmed the impor- tance of the following input parame- ters: • NMOC/NOX ratio • NMOC composition • Post-8 a.m. emission rates along the trajectory • Future changes in NOX emission rates • Ozone and NMOC concentrations aloft Other relatively important parameters include the mixing height, radiation, and initial PAN concentrations. The re- sults of the sensitivity analysis are in- tended to help air quality planners prior- itize efforts for obtaining input data for the photochemical models used to de- velop control strategies. A set of sample problems and instruc- tions for implementing both versions of the mechanism in AQS models were de- veloped. These will allow users of the mechanism to ensure the mechanism is properly implemented. Frederick W. Lurmann and Lori A. Coyner are with ERT, A Resource Engineering Co., Inc., NewburyPark. CA 91320. William P. L. Carter is the EPA Project Officer (see below). The complete report, consists of two volumes, entitled "A Surrogate Species Chemical Reaction Mechanism for Urban-Scale Air Quality Simulation Models:" "Volume I. Adaptation of the Mechanism," (Order No. PB 87-180 592/AS; Cost: $24.95) "Volume II. Guidelines for Using the Mechanism," (Order No. PB 87-180 600'/AS; Cost: $18.95) The above reports will be available only from: (costs subject to change) National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Telephone: 703-487-4650 The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at: Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 ------- United States Environmental Protection Agency Center for Environmental Research Information Cincinnati OH 45268 J'JNl.''8/ j ^v.rp ; ' • - • -'• ~ 0 ? .- - , ,„ u .i, ' s. ; i * - rv <• - ' '' Official Business Penalty for Private Use S300 EPA/600/S3-87/014 0000329 PS U S EHVIR PROTECTION AGENCY REGION 5 LIBRARY Z30 S DEARBORN STREET CHICAGO IL 60604 l.li..li,,,,l!,,ll,.. .lul.ii.it ------- |