United States
                   Environmental Protection
                   Agency
                              .
 Atmospheric Sciences           ^ \
 Research Laboratory            -x
 Research Triangle Park NC 2771 1   ,"
-
                   Research and Development
 EPA/600/S3-87/014 June 1987
&EPA         Project Summary
                   A  Surrogate  Species  Chemical
                   Reaction  Mechanism for
                   Urban-Scale  Air  Quality
                   Simulation   Models

                   Frederick W. Lurmann, William P. L Carter, and Lori A. Coyner
                     During the second year of a two-year
                   program, a surrogate species chemical
                   mechanism was refined, evaluated, and
                   adapted for use in air quality simulation
                   (AQS) models. The purpose of the pro-
                   gram was to develop an improved
                   chemical mechanism for use in the AQS
                   models that are used to develop ozone
                   control strategies.
                     The updated chemical reaction mech-
                   anism was evaluated against data from
                   491  environmental chamber experi-
                   ments conducted in indoor and outdoor
                   facilities. The results of the evaluation
                   indicate the mechanism's predictions
                   are qualitatively and quantitatively con-
                   sistent with the data from a large num-
                   ber of single organic-NOx and multi-
                   organic NOX experiments.
                     The mechanism was adapted for use
                   in the single-cell and multi-cell AQS
                   models. Guidelines were developed for
                   using the mechanism. These include
                   procedures for assignment or individ-
                   ual organic species to the chemical
                   classes in the mechanism and default
                   organic speciation profiles. Sensitivity
                   analysis was performed to identify the
                   AQS model inputs that strongly influ-
                   ence predicted volatile organic com-
                   pound (VOC) control requirements.
                     This Project Summary was  devel-
                   oped by EPA's Atmospheric Sciences
                   Research Laboratory, Research Triangle
                   Park, NC, to announce key findings of
                   the research project that is fully docu-
                   mented in two separate volumes of the
                   same title (see Project Report ordering
                   information at back).
 Introduction
  Atmospheric simulation models are
 essential planning tools for the develop-
 ment of emission control strategies for
 regions that presently exceed the ambi-
 ent air quality standard for ozone. The
 models are used to estimate the emis-
 sion control requirements  needed to
 prevent exceedances of the air quality
 standards in the future. One of the most
 important components in air quality
 simulation (AQS) models is the chemi-
 cal mechanism that describes the for-
 mation of ozone from volatile organic
 compounds (VOC) and nitrogen oxides
 (NOX). As part of a coordinated research
 program to develop reliable ozone con-
 trol strategies, the  U.S. Environmental
 Protection Agency sponsored this re-
 search study to develop and test an im-
 proved chemical mechanism.
  Many chemical  mechanisms  have
 been developed in the last 10 years for
 simulating ozone formation from VOC
 and NOX. All of the mechanisms in-
 tended for atmospheric applications in-
 corporate approximations and conden-
 sations of species and reactions
 because it is currently impossible to ex-
 plicitly include reactions for the hun-
 dreds of organic compounds present in
 ambient air. Several approaches are
 available for lumping the organic spe-
 cies into a manageable number of
 chemical classes in the mechanisms.
 The approach adopted in this study was
 to use the surrogate species approxima-
 tion where the explicit chemistry of se-
 lected compounds is used to represent

-------
the chemistry of all similar compounds.
For example, reactions for propene and
trans-2-butene  are used as surrogates
for the reactions  of terminally double-
bonded and internally double-bonded
alkenes. Provided the mechanism is for-
mulated with a sufficient number of sur-
rogate species (-10), the surrogate spe-
cies approach is  quite capable of
representing the majority of organic
species present in urban air.
  The surrogate species approach has
several advantages over other schemes
such as the carbon bond lumping ap-
proach. Surrogate species mechanisms
can easily  be updated and expanded
since  the reactions for each surrogate
species are independent of other parts
of the mechanism. Also, since whole
molecules  rather than lumped bond
groups are used in the surrogate mech-
anism, they are not reliant on the as-
sumption that different parts of the
molecules react independently.
  Prior to this study, surrogate species
chemical mechanisms had been sub-
jected to only limited testing against en-
vironmental chamber data. A key pur-
pose  of this study  was to  extensively
test the predictive abilities of the surro-
gate species mechanism against cham-
ber data for a broad range of conditions.

Testing of the New Mechanism
  The new mechanism was tested
against data from 491 experiments. The
experiments were carried out in four dif-
ferent environmental chambers:  the
University of North  Carolina's (UNC)
150,000-liter dual outdoor chamber, the
Statewide Air Pollution Research Cen-
ter's (SAPRC) 50,000-liter outdoor
Teflon chamber (OTC), SAPRC's 6,400-
liter indoor Teflon  chamber (ITC), and
SAPRC's 5,800-liter evacuable indoor
chamber (EC). Procedures were devel-
oped to represent  the light intensities
and spectral distributions in the differ-
ent chambers. Appropriate methods
were also developed to characterize the
major chamber effects, such as NOX off-
gassing, ozone deposition, and the
chamber free radical sources in a con-
sistent manner for all four chambers.
   The types and number of environ-
 mental chamber experiments used in
the testing program are listed in Table 1.
The N0x-air, NOx-CO-air, and n-butane
 NOX  runs  were  used to test the inor-
 ganic chemistry and refine the chamber
 characterization  procedures.  Single or-
 ganic compound-NOx experiments
 were employed to test the reactions for
Table 1.   Summary of Environmental Chamber Runs Used for Mechanism Evaluation

                                                 Number of Runs*

    Type of Environmental Chamber Run
                   EC
      ITC
      OTC
      UNC
      Total
Characterization
Single Organic-NOx
Known Mixtures


Auto Exhaust


Dynamic Injection

Totals
NOx-air and
NOx-Co-air

Oxygenates
Ethene
Propene
Butenes
Toluene
Other Aromatics
n-Butane
C5+

Simple Mixtures
Surrogate Mixtures

Catalyst and
Noncatalyst

Simple Mixtures
10     14     10
                                                              37      71
 7
 6
15
 6
13
 7
14
 6

22
11
 1
 2
 7
 5
 2
13
 5
 8
45
 2

 5
62
                   117
      102
       80
15
 6
22
 5
 5
 4
 7
 6

18
33

25
         9

       192
 25
 14
 49
 16
 20
 24
 27
 20

 40
151

 25
         9

       491
*UNC = UNC outdoor chamber, EC = SAPRC evacuable indoor chamber,
 ITC = SAPRC indoor Teflon chamber, OTC = SAPRC outdoor Teflon chamber.
 each of the organic precursor species
 included in the mechanism. Experi-
 ments with organic mixtures were used
 to test the predictive ability of the mech-
 anism for conditions representative of
 the real atmosphere. These ranged
 from  simple mixtures like propene/n-
 butane to complex mixtures including
 more than 15 compounds and automo-
 bile exhaust.
  The average bias  and error in the
 mechanism's predictions for maximum
 ozone concentrations are listed in Table
 2. The  evaluation data  indicate the
 mechanism underpredicts ozone yields
 in carbonyl-NOx experiments by 5% on
 the average. The average error in the
 maximum  ozone predictions is ±25%
 for carbonyl-NOx systems. Mechanism
 performance for formaldehyde is better
 than for higher aldehydes and ketones.
   The performance data show that the
 mechanism overpredicts ozone yields
 in alkene-NOx experiments by 3% on
 the average. The average error in the
 maximum  ozone predictions is ±21%
 for these systems. Mechanism perform-
 ance for ethene and propene is signifi-
 cantly better than that for butenes.
   The evaluation data  indicate the
 mechanism overpredicts ozone yields
 in aromatic-NOx experiments by 1% on
 the average. The average error in the
 maximum  ozone predictions is ±21%
 for aromatic-NOx systems. The mecha-
 nism tends to overpredict ozone yields
                 in  benzene and toluene-NOx systems
                 and underpredict ozone yields in m-
                 xylene, o-xylene, and mesitylene-NOx
                 systems on the average. This level of
                 performance on aromatic runs is
                 surprisingly good considering that the
                 aromatic mechanism is highly parame-
                 terized and that the identity and subse-
                 quent chemistry of half or more of the
                 aromatic  photooxidation products are
                 unknown.
                   The evaluation results for alkane-NOx
                 simulations  are  not satisfactory. The
                 mechanism's maximum ozone  predic-
                 tions show large errors (±69% on the
                 average) and a bias toward overpredic-
                 tion. The poor mechanism performance
                 for alkane-NO,, runs  is due to uncer-
                 tainty in  the alkane chemistry, espe-
                 cially  for the C6+ alkanes, and uncer-
                 tainty in  the chamber  radical  source
                 strength. Alkanes are less reactive than
                 the other compounds employed in the
                 testing program, and simulations of
                 alkane-NOx experiments are extremely
                 sensitive to the assumed chamber radi-
                 cal source strength. Because  of the un-
                 certainty and variability of the chamber
                 radical source, the alkane mechanism
                 cannot be evaluated without ambiguity
                 using chamber data.
                    The mechanism's performance simu-
                 lating mixtures of organic compounds
                 is good.  Overall, the mechanism pre-
                 dicted the- maximum ozone in 225 mix-
                 ture experiments with an average bias \

-------
of +4% and an average error of ±24%.
The predicted rates of NOX  oxidation
and timing of the ozone maximum also
have little bias and less than 30% error.
The mechanism's performance for sim-
ple mixtures was not quite as good as
its performance for the surrogate mix-
tures and auto exhaust. However, over-
all these results show the mechanism is
qualitatively and quantitatively consis-
tent with the  chamber data. Good per-
formance in  testing against organic
mixture experiments is important be-
cause the mechanism will primarily be
used to simulate mixtures in  atmos-
pheric modeling.

Adaptation of the Mechanism
  Condensed versions of the mecha-
nism employed in the testing program
were developed for use in AQS models.
Mechanisms were developed for use in
single-cell models that can  accommo-
date large  chemical mechanisms and
for use in multi-cell models that require
fairly small  chemical mechanisms. Very
little mechanism condensation was  re-
quired for the mechanism designed  for
use in  single-cell  models such as the
021PM AQS model. Significant mecha-
nism condensation assumptions were
implemented in the mechanism de-
signed for use in the multi-cell models
such as the Urban Airshed Model.
  Predictions from the condensed ver-
sions of the mechanism were compared
to predictions of  the detailed mecha-
nism for a range  of mixtures and
NMOC/NOX ratios. The results showed
the single-cell model mechanism's pre-
dictions are almost identical (i.e., within
±2%) to the detailed mechanism's pre-
dictions for all of the key species. Pre-
dictions from  the  multi-cell  model
mechanism agree with those from the
detailed mechanism within ±10% for all
key species.
  Information on speciation of organics
for the classes in  the  mechanism was
developed.  First, a master list showing
the assignment if individual organic
compounds to organic classes  in the
mechanism was compiled. The uncer-
tainty of each assignment was ranked,
based on whether or not the surrogate
species employed for the assigned class
could represent the reactivity of the in-
dividual species well. Second, ambient
speciated NMOC data collected at the
ground and above the mixed layer in
the mornings in urban areas were ana-
lyzed. A default NMOC composition
I profile for emissions and ambient con-
centrations near the surface were devel-
Table 2.    Average Model Performance
          for Maximum Ozone
    Run Type
Bias (%)  Error (%)
Formaldehyde
Acetaldehyde
Other Carbonyls
All Carbonyls

Ethene
Propene
Butanes
All Alkenes
 -1
-26
 +4
 +2
 +3
 +4
     -5
     +3
19
26
44
18
18
34
    25
    21
Butane            +31        67
Branched Alkanes    +34        49
Long-chain Alkanes   +83        84
All Alkanes              +46       69
Benzene
Toluene
Xylenes
Mesitylene
All Aromatics
 +3
+ 77
 -9
-77
 5
24
16
21
     + 1
               19
All Single HC Runs       +12       33

Simple Mixtures     +10        35

Mini Surrogates     +10        22

Full Surrogates       +3        23

Auto Exhaust       -11        15

All HC Mixtures          +4       24

All Run Average          +7       28

"Positive bias indicates model overpredic-
 tion.
oped from ambient data collected in 25
cities  using a consistent measurement
and speciation protocol. A default com-
position profile for NMOC aloft  was
compiled from aircraft data collected
upwind of four cities. These default pro-
files can be used in atmospheric model-
ing applications where site-specific data
are not available.
  Sensitivity analysis was carried out
using the updated chemical mechanism
in the OZIPM AQS model. The sensitiv-
ity analysis was designed to identify the
input parameter that most strongly  in-
fluences the  NMOC control require-
ments in EKMA analyses. Almost all of
the sensitivity runs were  performed at
several NMOC/NOX ratios and dilution
rates since the sensitivity of the model
to parameter variations is known to  de-
pend on these parameters. The results
of the  analysis confirmed the impor-
tance of the following  input parame-
ters:
  • NMOC/NOX ratio
  • NMOC  composition
  • Post-8  a.m. emission rates along
    the trajectory
  • Future changes in NOX emission
    rates
  • Ozone  and NMOC  concentrations
    aloft
  Other relatively important parameters
include the mixing height, radiation,
and initial PAN  concentrations. The re-
sults of the sensitivity analysis are in-
tended to help air quality planners prior-
itize efforts for obtaining input data for
the photochemical models used to  de-
velop control strategies.
  A set of sample problems and instruc-
tions for implementing both versions of
the mechanism in AQS models were de-
veloped. These will allow users of  the
mechanism to ensure the mechanism is
properly implemented.
  Frederick W. Lurmann and Lori A. Coyner are with ERT, A Resource Engineering
    Co., Inc., NewburyPark. CA 91320.
  William P. L. Carter is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
  The complete report, consists of two volumes,  entitled "A Surrogate Species
    Chemical Reaction Mechanism for Urban-Scale Air Quality  Simulation
    Models:"
    "Volume I. Adaptation of the Mechanism," (Order No. PB 87-180 592/AS;
    Cost: $24.95)
    "Volume II. Guidelines for Using the Mechanism," (Order No.  PB 87-180
    600'/AS; Cost: $18.95)
  The above reports will be available only from: (costs subject to change)
          National Technical Information Service
          5285 Port Royal Road
          Springfield, VA 22161
          Telephone: 703-487-4650
  The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
          Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory
          U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
          Research Triangle Park, NC 27711

-------
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Center for Environmental Research
Information
Cincinnati OH 45268
   J'JNl.''8/   j ^v.rp
;           ' • - • -'• ~ 0  ?
          .- -    ,  ,„ u .i,
 ' s. ; i * - rv <•  -  ' ''
Official Business
Penalty for Private Use S300

EPA/600/S3-87/014
              0000329   PS
              U S EHVIR PROTECTION AGENCY
              REGION 5  LIBRARY
              Z30 S  DEARBORN STREET
              CHICAGO              IL  60604
                                                         l.li..li,,,,l!,,ll,.. .lul.ii.it

-------