United States Environmental Protection Agency Air and Energy Engineering Research Laboratory Research Triangle Park NC 2771 Research and Development EPA/600/S7-89/008 Dec. 1989 v>EPA Project Summary Reranking of Area Sources in Light of Seasonal/Regional Emission Factors and State/Local Needs Sharon L. Kersteter The Clean Air Act deadline for attaining the national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS) for ozone was the end of 1987. The failure of 68 U.S. metropolitan areas to attain the ozone standard by December 31,1987 was one of the major environmental issues of 1988. Ozone is photo- chemically produced in the atmos- phere when volatile organic com- pounds (VOCs) are mixed with nitrogen oxides (NOX) and carbon monoxide (CO) in the presence of sunlight To develop and implement an effective ozone control strategy, information must be compiled and reviewed on the sources of these precursor pollutants. Although substantial emission con- trols have been placed on many stationary point and mobile sources and significant improvements have been made, the ozone standard has not been attained in many metro- politan areas. Many area sources have not yet had any controls applied even though they are known to be a substantial source of VOC emissions. To determine the area source cate- gories on which to place emission controls, area sources must be evalu- ated to identify those categories where controls can be both effective and feasible. Regional and seasonal patterns of emissions should also be investigated, as these characteristics can influence the effectiveness of the emission controls. This project has been designed to provide a better understanding of area sources and their emissions, to prioritize their importance as VOC emitters, and to identify sources for which better emission estimation methodologies are needed. The specific goals of this task are as follows: 1. prioritize area sources, identifying both seasonal and regional emis- sion dependencies; 2. prioritize solvent categories for future work, seasonally and regionally, using tonnages; 3. identify factors affecting the vari- ability of each area source cate- gory; and 4. document inventory assumptions and seasonal/regional factors and discuss reliability, pointing out the weakest and most important assumptions. This Project Summary was devel- oped by EPA's Air and Energy Engi- neering Research Laboratory, Re- search Triangle Park, NC, to announce key findings of the research project that is fully documented in a separate report of the same title (see Project Report ordering information at back). Introduction The goals listed above are designed to build upon one another so that an improved procedure and/or test case for estimating emissions from a given area source category can be developed. The work outlined below (and discussed in greater detail in the full report) leads up to that point. ------- Area Source Prioritization Area sources are ranked from highest emissions contributors to lowest for EPA Regions 1, 2, 6, and 9 on both an annual and seasonal basis (summer, or ozone season, emissions). Two sets of seasonal factors, one from the National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP) methodology and one from the Regional Oxidant Modeling for Northeast Transport (ROMNET) process, are used. Rankings are compared within states and between states and regions. Annual and summer emissions for Region 9 are shown in Figures 1 and 2, respectively. The National Emissions Data System (NEDS) Evaporative Loss—Solvents Pur- chased category (SCC 053) is disaggre- gated into the NAPAP solvent categories 078 through 101 and reported by State and Regional totals for EPA Regions 1, 2, 6, and 9. The solvent categories are identified in Table 1. These categories are ranked from high to low with respect to annual emissions and are reranked in light of seasonal variations using ROMNET and NAPAP seasonal adjustment factors. Data for Region 9 are shown in Table 2 and in Figures 3 and 4. Table 1. NAPAP Area Source Solvent Categories SCC Category Description 078 Degreasing 079 Dry Cleaning 080 Graphic Arts/Printing 081 Rubber and Plastics Manufacturing 082 Architectural Coatings 083 Auto Body Repair 084 Motor Vehicle Manufacture 085 Paper Coating 086 Fabricated Metals 087 Machinery Manufacturing 088 Furniture Manufacturing 089 Flat Wood Products 090 Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 091 Electrical Equipment Manufacturing 092 Shipbuilding and Repair 093 Miscellaneous Surface Coating 095 Miscellaneous Solvent Use Validity of Results NEDS/NAPAP-generated emission esti- mates for four counties in Texas are compared to estimates generated in an Fuel Combustion- Pesidential-Wood (8.3%) Evaporative Loss- Solvents Purchased (49.7%) Figure 1. Percent of nonmobile area source categories —Region 9. emissions trends analysis for the same four counties using EPA ozone precursor methodologies. The "top-down" proced- ures used by NEDS/NAPAP are com- pared with the "bottom-up" EPA ozone precursor procedures for the categories where the emissions estimates differed significantly. Rankings using NAPAP seasonal (summer) adjustment factors are com- pared to rankings using ROMNET sea- sonal adjustment factors. ROMNET sea- sonal adjustment factors have been developed for the following categories: pleasure boating/ gasoline vessels (SCC 052); gasoline service stations (SCC 054); trade paints/ architectural surface coatings (SCC 082); pesticides (SCC 094); bulk gas terminals (SCC 103); and hazardous waste treatment, storage, and disposal facilities (SCC 109). These factors are substituted for NAPAP sea- sonal adjustment factors (where appropriate) and emissions are recal- culated for the area source categories affected. The solvent categories are reranked using the ROMNET factors to identify their effects. The bases for the development of the NAPAP and ROMNET seasonal adjust- ment factors are reviewed and com- pared. Several "bottom-up" methodolo- gies, are discussed. Evaluation of Three Area Source Solvent Categories The identification and discussion of the basis for the NAPAP solvent allocation methodology and emission estimates for three NAPAP solvent categories, (SCC 082-Architectural Coatings, SCC 093- Miscellaneous Surface Coatings, and SCC 095—Miscellaneous Solvent Use) are outlined. The original algorithm used in the NAPAP methodology and recent updates to the methodology are dis- cussed. Conclusions and Recommendations • Among States and Regions, the ranking of area source categories based on annual emissions consis-( tently shows the evaporative loss categories (Solvents Purchased and ------- .—^Fuel Combustion-Residential-Wood (1.2%) Evaporative Loss- Gasoline Marketed (12 8%) Evaporative Loss- Solvents Purchased (60.4%) Figure 2. Percent of summer emissions for top nonmobile area source categories—Region 9. Gasoline Marketed) and Residential Wood Combustion to be the top three categories. Adjustment for the ozone season results in a drop in the ranking of Residential Wood Combustion, however, the evaporative loss cate- gories still show the highest rankings overall. Further breakdown of the Solvents Purchased category shows that Misc- ellaneous Solvent Use and Miscellan- eous Surface Coatings rank first and second, respectively, for most states and regions covered in this study. These rankings remain the same for both annual and ozone season emis- sions. In fact, seasonal adjustments to the annual emissions result in almost no change in the rankings of solvent categories for all states and regions. Comparisons of different methodol- ogies used to estimate emissions from certain area sources show that results of the different methodologies can vary drastically. In general, the use of local data to estimate emissions through "bottom-up" meth- odologies provides more accurate and reliable data than the use of State or national data allocated to the county or local area ("top-down" methodol- ogies). "Bottom-up" methodologies, however, often require greater re- sources, both in terms of time and money, than "top-down" method- ologies. Use of seasonal adjustment factors shows changes in ranking from the annual rankings of some categories. While actual tonnages may differ, use of two different groups of seasonal adjustment factors, NAPAP and ROMNET, result in the same seasonal rankings in almost all cases. The availability of additional ROMNET seasonal adjustment factors may cause minor differences in seasonal rankings, compared to the NAPAP rankings. A review ol NEDS/NAPAP source methodologies and comparison with bottom-up methodologies could be used by state and local inventorying agencies. These would include identi- fication and resolution of variations in the emission estimates between these two inventory sources. Feasible and effective control measures to reduce emissions can not be applied effec- tively to the area source categories if the estimated emissions from the categories are misrepresented by either overestimation or underesti- mation. The Miscellaneous Solvent Use cate- gory (SCC 095), especially the Commercial/Consumer Solvent Use portion of this category, requires fur- ther disaggregation, with emphasis on how the solvents are apportioned to the various subcategories and on what can be done to improve this process. For maximum value, NAPAP meth- odology for the 1990 NAPAP inven- tory should be updated periodically. ------- Table 2. Top Area Source Categories-Region 9 Arizona California oiaie > - Ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Total Area Source VOC (Excluding Hwy. Mobile Hwy. Mobile Sources Total State Area Source Ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Total Area Source VOC (Excluding Hwy. Mobile Hwy. Mobile Sources Source Category % (Tons') Evap. Loss Solv. Purch. 50,901 Evap. Loss Gas Mkted 14,618 Fuel Comb. Res. Wood 14,486 Managed Burning 8,645 Gas Off Hwy. Veh. 6,058 Res. On-Site Incn. 5,329 Cutback Asphalt 5,280 123,934 Sources) 88,700 VOC 212,634 Nevada Source Category % (Tons') Evap. Loss Solv. Purch. 13,741 Fuel Comb. Res. Wood 6,652 Evap Loss Gas Mkted 4,682 Railroad Locomotives 1,815 Gas Off Hwy. Veh. 1,748 Cutback Asphalt 1,606 Vessels — Gasoline 1,481 37,932 Sources) 32,808 Nonhwy VOC 41.1 11.8 11.7 7.0 4.9 4.3 4.3 (85.0) 100.0 - - Nonhwy VOC 36.2 17.5 12.3 4.8 4.6 4.2 3.9 (83.6) 100.0 - Total State Area Source VOC 70,740 - % Total Area Source VOC 23.9 6.9 6.8 4.1 2.8 2.5 2.5 (49.5) 58.3 41.7 100.0 % Total Area Source VOC 19.4 9.4 6.6 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.1 (44.8) 53.6 46.4 100.0 Source Category % (Tons) Evap. Loss Solv. Purch. 526,525 Evap. Loss Gas Mkted 107,951 Fuel Comb. Res. Wood 77,013 Res. On-Site Incn. 59,899 Gas Off Hwy. Veh. 54,905 Forest Wildfires 42,541 Vessels-Gasoline 26,934 1,026,855 666,314 1,693,169 Region Source Category % (Tons) Evap. Loss Solv. Purch. 591,167 Evap. Loss Gas Mkted 127,251 Fuel Comb. Res. Wood 98,151 Res. On-Site Incn. 66,694 Gas Off Hwy. Veh. 62,710 Forest Wildfires 44,014 Vessels — Gasoline 32,750 1.188,722 787,823 1,976,545 Nonhwy VOC 51.3 10.5 7.5 5.8 5.3 4.1 2.6 (87.2) 100.0 - - IX Nonhwy VOC 49.7 10.7 8.3 5.6 5.3 3.7 2.8 (86.0) 100.0 - — % Total Area Source VOC 31.1 6.4 4.5 3.5 3.2 2.5 1.6 (52.9) 60.6 39.4 100.0 % Total Area Source VOC 29.9 6.4 50 3.4 3.2 2.2 1.7 (51.7) 60.1 39.9 100.0 "1 ton = 0.907 tonne ------- Miscellaneous Solvent Use (36.2%) Degreasing (8 4%) Auto Body (9.5%) Miscellaneous Surface Coating (11.6%) Architectural Coatings (10.0%) Figure 3. Solvent category emissions—Region 9. ------- Flat Wood Products (0.3%) Motor Vehicle Manufacturing (0.3%) Electrical Equipment Mfg. (0.4%) • Other Transportation Equipment (0.2%) Shipbuilding and Repair (0.1%) Figure 4. Solvent "others" category emissions—Region 9. U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1989/748-012/ ------- Sharon L Kersteter is with Alliance Technologies Corp., Chapel Hill, NC 27514. Michael Kosusko is the EPA Project Officer (see below). The complete report, entitled "Reranking of Area Sources in Light of Seasonal/Regional Emission Factors and State/Local Needs," (Order No. PB 90- 110 115/AS; Cost: $23.00, subject to change) will be available only from: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Telephone: 703-487-4650 The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at: Air and Energy Engineering Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 United States Environmental Protection Agency Center for Environmental Research Information Cincinnati OH 45268 Official Business Penalty for Private Use $300 EPA/600/S7-89/008 pSSfBCTIOi ------- |