United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Air and Energy Engineering
Research Laboratory
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
Research and Development
EPA/600/S8-88/078 July 1988
&EPA Project Summary
Revision of the Industrial
Combustion Emissions
Model to a Base Year of 1980
Tim Hogan
The Industrial Combustion
Emissions (ICE) Model is one of four
stationary source emission and
control cost forecasting models
developed by EPA's Air and Energy
Engineering Research Laboratory for
the National Acid Precipitation
Assessment Program. The ICE Model
projects air pollution emissions
(sulfur dioxide (SO2), particulate
matter (PM), nitrogen oxides (NOX)
and sulfates), costs and fuel mix for
industrial fossil-fuel-fired (natural
gas, distillate and residual fuel
oil.and coal) boilers by state and
year (1980 baseline, 1985, 1990, 1995,
2000, 2010, 2020, and 2030).
The ICE Model was originally
developed from a data base of
industrial boilers and fuel
consumption in 1974. This report
describes the development of an
updated 1980 base year fuel
consumption and air pollution
emissions estimates data base by
state. These 1980 base year data
have been incorporated into ICE
Model Versions 4.0, 5.0, and 6.0.
The ICE Model (Version 6.0) is
available for remote terminal access
and operation at EPA's National
Computer Center (NCC). A
transcription of the model is also
available on magnetic tape from the
National Technical Information
Service (NTIS).
This Project Summary was
developed by EPA's Air and Energy
Engineering Research Laboratory,
Research Triangle Park, NC, to
announce key findings of the research
project that is fully documented in a
separate report of the same title (see
Project Report ordering information at
back).
Summary
The following data elements are included
in the ICE Model base year data file:
• State
• Industry group (one of seven)
• Fuel type (natural gas, distillate or
residual fuel oil, or coal)
• Boiler size class (million Btu/hr, one
of eight categories)
• Annual capacity utilization rate (one
of five categories)
• Annual fossil fuel consumption
• Pollution control equipment
• Air Quality Control Region (AQCR)
• State Implementation Plan (SIP) air
emission limits by pollutant (SO2,
PM, NOX) and fuel type (residual
fuel oil, coal)
• Controlled emission rates for SC>2,
sulfates, PM, and NOX (which are a
function of the fuel type, fuel-firing
method, pollution control
equipment, and regulation).
The aggregate 1980 ICE Model base
year estimates for the contiguous States
and the District of Columbia are:
• 1.454 x 106 metric tons (1.603 x
106 short tons) of 803 emissions
• 0.691 x 106 metric tons (0.762 x 1Q6
short tons) of NOX emissions
• 2.7 GJ (2,534 x 1Q9 Btu) of natural
gas consumption
• 0.3 GJ (317 x 109 Btu) of distillate
fuel oil consumption
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• 1.1 GJ (1,017 x 109 Btu) of residual
fuel oil consumption
• 1.0 GJ (954 x 109 Btu) of coal
consumption
Tim Hogan is with Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc.. Arlington, VA 22209.
Larry G. Jones is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
The complete report, entitled "Revision of the Industrial Combustion Emissions
Model to a Base Year of 1980," (Order No. PB 88-211 941/AS; Cost:
$12.95, subject to change) will be available only from:
National Technical Information Service
5285 Port Royal Road
Springfield, VA 22161
Telephone: 703-487-4650
The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
Air and Energy Engineering Research Laboratory
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Research Triangle Park, NC27711
United States Center for Environmental Research
Environmental Protection Information
Agency Cincinnati OH 45268
Official Business
Penalty for Private Use $300
EPA/600/S8-88/078
0000329 PS
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