United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Hazardous Waste Engineering
Research Laboratory
Cincinnati OH 45268
                              '/.^
Research and Development
EPA/600/S2-86/097 Jan. 1987
Project  Summary
Precision  and  Reliability  of
Laboratory  Permeability
Measurements
John Bryant and Andrew Bodocsi
  In this study, a limited set of labora-
tory test data on clay liner permeabili-
ties was gathered to create a data bank
suitable for a preliminary statistical
analysis. The methods used to collect,
organize and analyze the data are
brifely described.
  In the main part of the study, the find-
ings from the data analysis are pre-
sented. In the analysis, consideration
was given to the degree of variability
found in replicated permeability tests,
the question of  sample equilibration
with water and chemicals, and the ef-
fect of the magnitude of gradient on
permeability. Permeability  test results
using flexible-wall and fixed-wall per-
meameters were also compared. Con-
sideration was also given to the effects
of parameters of sample preparation,
such as the molding water content,
which may be strongly related to per-
meability, and the amount of variability
of permeabilities  that may  be found in
location-to-location sampling from
within a source of liner material. In ad-
dition, the statistical aspects of the de-
sign and analysis of permeability exper-
iments were discussed and alternate
test protocols were suggested.
  This Project Summary  was devel-
oped by EPA's Hazardous Waste Engi-
neering Research Laboratory, Cincin-
nati, OH, to announce key findings of
the research project that is fully docu-
mented in a separate report of the same
title (see Project Report ordering infor-
mation at back.)

Introduction
  Clay liners and clay caps are impor-
tant components of hazardous waste
disposal facilities. In engineering prac-
tice the permeability of proposed clay
liner material is customarily determined
in  geotechnical engineering laborato-
ries, usually using water as the perme-
ant. A few years ago, (1981) however, it
became evident that certain chemical
leachates  have pronounced effects  on
clay liner permeabilities. Since then, the
Land Pollution Control Division, Con-
tainment  Branch, of the Hazardous
Waste Engineering Research Labora-
tory of the U.S. EPA has sponsored ex-
tensive research on the permeabilities
of  clay liner materials with hazardous
chemicals and leachates.
 The investigations  revealed that cer-
tain chemicals may  indeed have dra-
matic effects on compacted clays. How-
ever, considerable variability was
observed in the equilibrium permeabili-
ties from the various laboratories and
individual researchers. There may  be
several reasons for this. Some investi-
gators used rigid-wall permeameters,
while others used flexible-wall perme-
ameters.  Further sources of variability
may have been the varying percentages
of molding water contents, the individ-
ual testing techniques used, the meth-
ods of deairing the samples and the de-
gree of water-saturation achieved
before the introduction of chemicals,
the type and concentration of chemicals
used, and  the various driving gradients
applied to the test specimens.
 Having  access to a considerable
quantity of accumulated data on clay
liner permeabilities, the Hazardous
Waste Engineering Research Labora-
tory was interested in establishing the
overall reliability of the laboratory
measurements of clay liner permeabili-
ties and their variability. For this pur-

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pose, the present study was undertaken
with the following objectives:
 a.  To collect available historic data on
    permeability measurements from
    both public and private sources and
    to identify the test methods  and
    parameters used.
 b.  To analyze the collected data in
    order to determine the degree of
    variability likely to be found among
    the results of permeability tests and
    to identify sources of errors in the
    testing procedures and estimate
    their significance.
 c.  To make  recommendations to en-
    hance the applicability of statistical
    methods to the analysis of future
    clay liner permeability tests.

Methods and  Procedures

Data Collection and
Organization

  Permeability data were collected from
laboratories that were active either in
research or design of clay liners. They
were selected based  on established
contacts, past and on-going research,
data availability and publications. These
included three EPA contract sources,
one government laboratory, and  two
private consulting firms.
  The typical permeability data re-
ceived contained information  on the
clays, testing methods, types of perme-
ameters, types of chemicals, etc. used,
and a tabulation of permeability versus
flow data for  each test. The data were
organized by filling out a "Permeability
Test Specifications Sheet" and  a "Clay
Type Sheet" for each test and clay, re-
spectively, and  attaching them to the
corresponding permeability test data
sheets.

Data Base Limitations
  It was known at the initiation of the
project that the data base resulting from
the data collection effort would be lim-
ited in certain respects:
 a.  Data sources were identified based
    on the knowledge that they pos-
    sessed relevant and available data
    on permeability testing. The se-
    lected  sources were  in no sense
    chosen randomly from any pool of
    available sources.
 b.  For many of the tests obtained from
    private sources, concomitant infor-
    mation concerning the preparation
    of specimens and the physical char-
    acteristics of the clay  soils was not
    as complete as would be desired.
    Also, there was virtually no repli-
    cation of tests from within  the
    same samples, and all private
    source tests used only water as a
    permeant.
  c. The data received from  EPA con-
    tract sources was highly project
    specific in the sense  that re-
    searchers in general used different
    types of equipment and test meth-
    ods, investigated different clay-
    chemical combinations, and in
    some cases, no  replications of
    tests on specific clay-permeant
    combinations were conducted.
  d. Criteria for test termination varied
    considerably, sometimes making
    the assignment of a terminal per-
    meability rather subjective. Often,
    tests were terminated prior to the
    point in  time where equilibrium
    was clearly established. This led to
    extreme complications in attempt-
    ing to reasonably quantify the de-
    gree of variation between tests.
  e. As a general rule, precise informa-
    tion on the level at which tests
    were replicated was not  available.
    In most cases it was not known if
    replicate specimens were pre-
    pared from a  single moisturized
    batch of clay soil, or from sepa-
    rately moisturized batches. In no
    case were tests systematically
    replicated at both the within and
    between-batch levels, as  would be
    required for a rigorous analysis of
    the components of variance in test
    results to be attributed to the oper-
    ations of moisturization, com-
    paction and testing.
  f. In general, there appeared to be
    little conscious effort to randomize
    experimentation  with regard to
    either the assignment of experi-
    mental material to treatments or
    time sequence of testing.


Statistical Analysis Methods
  All computations performed in the
analyses described in the report were
performed at  the University  of Cincin-
nati, Cincinnati, Ohio  on either an
Amdahl 470 V/7A or an IBM 3081D com-
puter. Data transformations and sum-
marizations were accomplished by use
of SAS arithmetic capabilities,  built-in
functions or data summarization proce-
dures. All statistical analyses performed
or discussed in the report are available
through SAS procedures or in the
BMDP statistical software computer
programs, with  the exception of those
proposed for the confirmation of equi-
librium of permeability tests.

Data Analysis Results and
Conclusions
  In the main part of the study, analyses
of the variability among the results of
laboratory permeability tests were
made and the factors which appeared to
contribute to that variability were inves-
tigated. The highlights of the results and
the  most  important  conclusions
reached are:
  a.  Given that the  permeability test
     samples have achieved equi-
     librium, the variability of perme-
     ability test results using standard
     aqueous  leachate, standardized
     compaction,  and samples pre-
     pared  from a uniformly moistur-
     ized batch of homogeneous  clay
     soil appears to be reasonably
     small relative to other sources of
     error. The variability of tests using
     chemicals as  permeants differed
     substantially, with some clay-
     chemical combinations yielding
     variability  characteristics com-
     parable  to water permeation,
     while others resulted  in extreme
     inconsistency.
  b.  Certain series of tests in the col-
     lected data indicated  that, ever
     with water as the permeant liquid,
     reaching  liquid flow equilibrium
     may be somewhat more difficult tc
     establish than  is commonly be
     lieved. Furthermore, the error in  £
     permeability determination whicr
     may be caused  by premature ter
     mination  may not be small in com
     parison to the variability of the ini
     tial permeabilities of replicatec
     tests. This implies that the lengtf
     of testing time commonly found ir
     private sector tests in the collecte(
     data may be insufficient. Because
     the measured permeability of  <
     test often undergoes a prolonget
     period  of transitory behavior be
     fore leveling off at an  equilibriun
     value, deciding when a test has ex
     hibited stable permeability lorn
     enough  to conclude  that equi
     librium has been achieved is no
     straightforward.
  c. The permeability of a  soil sampl
     is extremely  sensitive to th
     parameters of its  preparatior
     such as the molding water center
     at which  it  is compacted. This ap
     pears to be true not only for wate
     as permeant but for chemical pei

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    meants as well. Minor variations in
    these parameters can cause
    changes in permeability which
    may be large relative to the accu-
    racy of the test itself.
 d.  Several series of tests on which
    data have been provided appear to
    indicate that the gradient at which
    tests are run may have an effect on
    the resulting permeabilities in
    both  rigid-wall and flexible-wall
    tests, the magnitude of which in
    some cases appears to be practi-
    cally significant.  Such a phe-
    nomenon could be caused by fac-
    tors whose effects are opposite in
    nature. That is, increased gradient
    could cause sample consolidation
    in flexible-wall  permeameters
    leading to decreased permeability,
   which appears to have occurred in
   several series of tests discussed in
   this study. In tests of chemical per-
   meants in  rigid-wall permeame-
   ters, on the other hand, there are
   data that suggest  that higher gra-
   dients  may promote channel  for-
   mation and increased permeabil-
   ity.
 e. Other variations in testing meth-
   ods may be expected to affect test
   results as well. In one series of
   tests on  a  bentonite clay, using
   xylene as the permeant and rigid-
   wall permeameters, the initial per-
   meabilities in  nonsaturated tests
   were four  orders of magnitude
   greater than those found in corre-
   sponding tests which were presat-
   urated by  permeation of .01N
   CaS04 prior to addition of  the
   xylene. Even after two  or more
   pore volumes of flow, the perme-
   abilities of  the presaturated tests
   had not reached the level of  the
   nonsaturated tests.
 f. There were almost  no within-lab
   comparisons of flexible-wall and
   rigid-wall permeability tests with
   concentrated chemical permeants
   in the data sets. The data that were
   available, together with between-
   lab comparisons under admittedly
   dissimilar conditions, suggest that
   often quantitatively different  re-
   sults may be obtained by the two
   methods. They also suggest that
   flexible-wall test behavior may be
   somewhat less erratic in testing
   certain chemicals.
g. It is important to assess the degree
   of  uncertainty of permeability  de-
   terminations due to the nature of
     the test itself. It is equally impor-
     tant to estimate the variability of
     permeabilities that might occur in
     location-to-location sampling
     from within a proposed source of
     liner material in order to judge the
     amount of sampling required to
     ascertain the acceptability of the
     soil within the source. Limited data
     from the  private  sector suggest
     that permeabilities  of  samples
     taken  from various positions
     within a site exhibit far more vari-
     ability than do the replicate  tests
     on uniform clays  observed in the
     research setting,  even when the
     samples are relatively homoge-
     neous with respect to Unified Soil
     Classification, Atterberg limits and
     grain size information. Although it
     seems  reasonable to ascribe this
     variability in large part to location-
     to-location heterogeneity of the
     soil, for a  number of reasons dis-
     cussed in the study this factor can-
     not be completely  separated in the
     data from variability which has
     been caused by  differences in
     sample preparation and testing.

Experimental Plans for
Permeability Studies and
Statistical Methods for the
Analysis of Data
  A number of experimental plans were
discussed in the study which may be of
use in proposed laboratory  research
studies designed to compare the effect
of various factors on permeability tests.
It is not suggested that a single protocol
is appropriate for all  studies which
might  be proposed, since the best ap-
proach in  a particular situation is
specific to the research  objectives of in-
terest,  and also is a function of the de-
gree to which the experimenter is capa-
ble of controlling  such  extraneous
factors as soil  heterogeneity, molding
water  content and compactive effort.
The study describes the basic features
of the  potentially  useful plans to com-
pare their relative strengths and weak-
nesses, and to illustrate the concepts of
randomization, replication  and block-
ing. The features of completely random-
ized design, randomized complete block
design, factorial experiments,  random-
ized incomplete block design and split-
plot designs  were discussed. In addi-
tion, the construction  of analysis  of
variance  tables for the  various experi-
mental plans was  discussed. Also,
methods for the determination of  ade-
quate replication of experiments were
given, and diagnostic checks of analysis
assumptions were outlined.
  Generally, the information presented
is directed toward the non-statistician
who is involved in the development of
experimental plans. However,  it was
suggested that an experienced statisti-
cian should be consulted as  required,
both during the experimental  planning
phase  of  the project and during the
statistical analysis of the data.
Permeability Tests of Proposed
Borrow Material
  In this section of the study, general
considerations concerning the  design of
a testing program for the evaluation of
borrow material, which is under consid-
eration for use in the construction of a
liner, were discussed. In such a case the
major goal of the investigation is the
estimation of the permeability of the
soil within the proposed site in order to
determine whether it will meet specified
performance criteria.
  One consideration is that the soil con-
tained within the proposed site may ex-
hibit a good deal of heterogeneity in  its
chemical and physical properties. This
may lead  to considerable variation  in
permeability so that an estimate of the
average permeability throughout the
site may not be very relevant in judging
its overall acceptability. That is, a source
whose average permeability might be
considered to  be  acceptably small for
use as liner material might nevertheless
contain a significant amount of material
having substandard permeability char-
acteristics. For this reason,  it is  sug-
gested that the site  be partitioned into
smaller sub-sites, which will be referred
to as "cells", in such a way that the char-
acteristics of the soil found within any
one cell are reasonably uniform.  This
could be done based on a preliminary
determination of characteristics such as
Atterberg  limits, grain size distribution
and water content-density  relation-
ships. Such cells should not be made up
of noncontiguous parts, should include
a single soil layer, and at a minimum
should contain soils having the same
Unified Soil Classification.
  Once the site has been stratified into
cells, replicated permeability  tests can
be made on samples drawn from differ-
ent  locations within each cell. This will
allow an estimation of the permeability
of the soil within each cell, which may
be used to determine which,  if any, of
the  cells are not suitable for use as liner
material.

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Methods to Confirm
Equilibrium of Research
Permeability Tests
  Because  the measured permeability
of a test often undergoes a prolonged
period of transitory behavior before lev-
eling off at an equilibrium value, decid-
ing when the test has exhibited stable
permeability long enough to conclude
that equilibrium has been achieved is
not straightforward. Development  of
objective criteria, which may be useful
in confirming the experimenter's judg-
ment in this decision, is a topic which
deserves considerable attention  in  fu-
ture permeability research. In this sec-
tion of the study, two approaches were
described which are currently under in-
vestigation. The first is an adaptation of
a test for trend originally proposed by
Mann, which has been heuristically
modified for use as a test termination
rule. The second approach is based on a
Bayesian analysis in which the posterior
probability that  equilibrium  has been
achieved is updated after each new ob-
servation, until this posterior probabil-
ity first falls below a specified bound.
  In the authors' opinion, the proposed
methods represent reasonable ap-
proaches to the  test equilibrium  prob-
lem which  are deserving  of additional
consideration and  empirical testing.
The methods described will probably be
of practical value only in  situations
where permeability tests approach their
equilibrium levels in a relatively contin-
uous manner. They are not intended to
be able to predict the behavior of tests
which are  subject to sudden break-
throughs leading to episodic increases
in permeability.

Recommendations
  Based on the analysis results and con-
clusions reached, the following recom-
mendations are made:
  a. In comparative tests on chemical
     permeants,  the use of identically
     prepared and concurrently run
     water control  tests is recom-
     mended in  order to reduce ambi-
     guity  in distinguishing between
     the effects of equilibration and
     chemical.
  b. In some situations in which chemi-
     cal permeants have strong effects
     on the clay samples and lead  to
     crack  formation and channeling,
     which in turn lead to massive in-
     creases in conductivity, it may be
     that the concept of specimen equi-
     libration is less useful than meas-
   ures based on the notion of time to
   failure. If this is the case, then
   there is a  need for the develop-
   ment of practically meaningful fail-
   ure criteria for use in research
   studies.
c. The permeability  of some  soil
   samples is very  sensitive to the
   conditions of their preparation,
   such as molding water content
   and compaction effort. Therefore,
   methods of statistical experimen-
   tal design, such as  randomization
   and blocking, should be applied in
   comparative permeability re-
   search experiments to control the
   effects of the above factors.
d. The sensitivity of permeability to
   factors such as molding water con-
   tent and compaction effort also in-
   dicates  a need for research which
   would estimate the  bounds within
   which these factors can be main-
   tained during the actual construc-
   tion of a liner. If these factors vary
   substantially during liner construc-
   tion, the results of tests performed
   only at their target values may give
   little indication of the future  per-
   formance of the liner.
e. It was observed in the limited data
   from the private sector that perme-
   abilities of samples from various
   locations within a site  exhibit far
   more variability than do replicate
   tests  on uniform clays in the re-
   search  laboratory. Although  it is
   reasonable to attribute  most of
   this variability to the location-to-
   location heterogeneity  of the soil
   deposit, this cannot be completely
   separated from the variability
   caused  by sample preparation and
   testing.  Additional research in this
   area is indicated.
f. Since deciding when a permeabil-
   ity test has achieved equilibrium is
   not straightforward, the develop-
   ment of objective criteria,  which
   may be useful in confirming the
   experimenter's judgment in  this
   decision, is a topic which deserves
   considerable  attention in future
   permeability research. Two
   approaches under  consideration
   as decribed in the study, need fur-
   ther investigation.

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    John  Bryant and Andrew Bodocsi are  with the University  of Cincinnati,
      Cincinnati, OH 45221.
    Jonathan G. Herrmann is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
    The complete  report,  entitled "Precision and Reliability of Laboratory
      Permeability Measurements," (Order No. PB 87-113 791/AS; Cost: $18.95,
      subject to change) will be available only from:
            National Technical Information Service
            5285 Port Royal Road
            Springfield, VA 22161
            Telephone: 703-487-4650
    The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
            Hazardous Waste Engineering Research Laboratory
            U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
            Cincinnati, OH 45268
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Center for Environmental Research
Information
Cincinnati OH 45268
US-OFRCIALMAt
Official Business
Penalty for Private Use $300

EPA/600/S2-86/097
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