United States
                   Environmental Protection
                   Agency
Air and Energy Engineering
Research Laboratory
Research Triangle Park NC 27711
                   Research and Development
EPA/600/S7-85/051 Jan. 1986
c/EPA         Project  Summary
                   Size  Specific Particulate
                   Emission  Factors for  Industrial
                   and  Rural  Roads:  Source
                   Category  Report

                   Chatten Cowherd, Jr. and Phillip J. Englehart
                     Over the past few years traffic-
                   generated dust emissions from un-
                   paved and paved industrial roads have
                   become recognized as a significant
                   source of atmospheric particulate emis-
                   sions, especially within industries in-
                   volved in the mining and processing of
                   mineral aggregates. Although a consid-
                   erable amount of field testing of indus-
                   trial roads has been performed, most
                   studies have focused on total sus-
                   pended particulate (TSP) emissions, be-
                   cause the current air quality standards
                   for particulate matter are based on TSP.
                   Only recently, in anticipation of an air
                   quality standard for particulate matter
                   based on particle size, has the empha-
                   sis shifted to the development of size-
                   specific emission factors.
                     This study was undertaken to derive
                   size-specific particulate emission fac-
                   tors for industrial paved and unpaved
                   roads and for rural unpaved roads from
                   the existing field testing data base. Re-
                   gression analysis is used to develop
                   predictive emission factor equations
                   which relate emission quantities to
                   road and traffic parameters.  Separate
                   equations are developed for each road
                   type and for the following aerodynamic
                   particle size fractions: § 15, § io, and
                   £ 2.5 nm. Finally,  recommendations
                   are made for inclusion of the resulting
                   emission factors in the EPA document,
                   Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission
                   Factors, AP-42.
                     This Project Summary was devel-
                   oped by EPA's Air and Energy Engineer-
                   ing Research Laboratory, Research Tri-
angle Park, NC, to announce key
findings of the research project that is
fully documented in a separate report
of the same title Isee Project Report or-
dering information at back).
Introduction
  Over the past few years traffic-
generated dust emissions from un-
paved and paved industrial roads have
become recognized as a significant
source of atmospheric particulate emis-
sions, especially within industries in-
volved in the mining and processing of
mineral aggregates.  Typically, road
dust emissions exceed emissions from
other open dust sources associated
with the transfer and storage of  aggre-
gate materials. Therefore, the quantifi-
cation of industrial road dust emissions
is necessary to the development of ef-
fective strategies for the attainment and
maintenance of the national ambient air
quality standards (NAAQS) for particu-
late matter.
  Although a  considerable amount of
field testing of  industrial roads has been
performed, most studies have focused
on total suspended particulate (TSP)
emissions, because the current NAAQS
for particulate matter are based on TSP.
Those studies  have produced emission
factors that are poorly defined with re-
gard to particle size. Although the high-
volume sampler, which is the reference
device for measurement of TSP concen-
tration, has a  very broad capture effi-

-------
ciency curve, TSP is generally recog-
nized as consisting of particles smaller
than 30 n,m in aerodynamic diameter.
  Only recently,  in anticipation  of a
NAAQS for paniculate matter based on
particle size, has the emphasis shifted to
the development  of size-specific emis-
sion factors. The following particle size
fractions have been of interest  in these
recent studies:
      IP = Inhalable participate matter
          consisting of particles equal
          to or smaller than 15 (im in
          aerodynamic diameter,
  PM-10 = Paniculate matter consisting
          of particles equal to or
          smaller than  10 ^.m in aero-
          dynamic diameter, and
      FP = Fine paniculate matter con-
          sisting of panicles equal to
          or smaller than 2.5 |xm in
          aerodynamic diameter.
In practice, these particle size fractions
have been determined in the field using
inertial sizing devices characterized by
calibrated values of 50% cutoff diameter
(Da,).

  This study was undertaken to derive
size-specific particulate emission fac-
tors for industrial paved and unpaved
roads and for rural unpaved roads  from
the existing field  testing data  base. In
addition, recommendations are made
for inclusion  of the resulting emission
factors in the EPA document, Compila-
tion of Air Pollutant Emission  Factors,
AP-42.
Data Review
  Besides an emissions test report on
western surface coal mines released in
November 1981, the literature search
identified two  additional  reports di-
rected to size specific emission factors
for road dust emissions. The first report
(dated August 1982) dealt  with paved
and unpaved roads in the iron and steel
industry, and the second (dated Decem-
ber 1982) presented size specific  emis-
sion factors for paved and unpaved
roads in several industries (asphalt and
concrete  batching,  copper smelting,
sand and gravel processing, and  stone
quarrying and processing) and for rural
unpaved  roads. The reliability of  the
particle size data  presented in  these
three reports is judged to be substan-
tially  better than the data presented in
earlier reports for  the following rea-
sons:
   1.  Measurement of particle size dis-
     tribution was an essential part of
    the exposure profiling strategies
    used to quantify emissions  in
    these studies.
  2. Particle size distribution was mea-
    sured simultaneously at more than
    one height in the road dust plume.
  3. Inertial sizing devices were used to
    obtain  direct measurements  of
    aerodynamic particle size distribu-
    tion.
Table 1 identifies the AP-42 source cate-
gories covered by the three test reports.

Multiple Regression Analysis
  In deriving recommended AP-42 par-
ticulate emission factors  for industrial
paved and unpaved roads, the first step
is to determine if size-specific emission
factors correlated with source parame-
ters and if these correlations crossed  in-
dustry lines. Such correlations would
lead to predictive emission factor equa-
tions  of greater reliability than  single-
valued mean  emission factors. Step-
wise Multiple Linear Regression (MLR)
is the basic method used to  evaluate
source parameters for possible use  as
correction factors in a predictive emis-
sion factor equation for a  specific parti-
cle size fraction.
  The independent variables evaluated
initially as possible correction factors
are silt content (%), silt loading  (g/m2),
total  loading  (g/m2), average vehicle
speed (km/hr), average vehicle weight
(Mg), and average number of vehicle
wheels. Silt denotes that portion  of
loose surface  dust that  passes a 200
mesh screen during standard  dry siev-
ing.

Unpaved Roads
  All  three test reports contained data
sets for the development  of IP and PM-
10 emission factor equations for un-
paved industrial roads. These data sets
are combined  for the purpose of devel-
oping predictive emission factor equa-
tions.
  Analysis of the residuals from regres-
sion indicates that the equations per-
form reasonably well for much of the
data base, but that  they do not ade-
quately account for emissions variabil-
ity in the surface mining  industry. The
equations tend to significantly overpre-
dict emissions from mine roads. This is
thought to be due to the high degree of
compaction of mine roads which are de-
signed to handle heavy mine vehicles.
In support of this reasoning, the silt
loadings on the test mine  roads are
much lower than the loadings found in
other industries. Based on the above
considerations, the decision is made to
exclude the surface mining data set
from the data base.
  The non-mining data base (26 tests) is
used to develop several different forms
of predictive emission factor equations.
A model which includes silt loading and
traffic-related parameters is found to ac-
count  for the highest percentage of
emission factor variability.  The result-
ing equations have precision factors of
1.60 and 1.64 for the IP and PM-10 emis-
sions, respectively. The precision factor
is defined such that the 68% confidence
interval for a predicted value (P) extends
from P/f to Pf. The precision factor is
determined  by exponentiating the
standard deviation of  the differences
(standard error of the estimate) be-
tween the natural logarithms of the pre-
dicted  and actual emission factors. The
precision factor is interpreted as a mea-
sure of the "average" error in predicting
emissions from the  regression equa-
tion. In addition, a non-parametric anal-
ysis of the residuals from the MLR indi-
cates that the equations  do not  show
any systematic predictive bias with re-
spect to industry category.
  Alternative equations are developed
retaining the same form as the current
AP-42 equation but with adjustments to
both the coefficient and the exponents
of the correction terms based on regres-
sion analysis  against  the study  data
Table 1.
AP-42
Section No.
7.3
7.5
8.1
8.10
8.19
8.20
8.24
1 1.2. 1
11.2.6
Primary Test Reports by AP-42 Section Number
Industrial source category
Copper smelting
Iron and steel production
Asphaltic concrete plants
Concrete batching
Sand and gravel processing
Stone quarrying and processing
Western surface coal mining
Unpaved roads
Paved roads
Test report
date
12/82
8/82
12/82
12/82
12/82
12/82
11/81
All three
8/82, 12/82

-------
base. The alternative equations, which
incorporate road surface silt percentage
rather than  silt  loading, are found to
have nearly the same predictive reliabil-
ity (precision factors of 1.81 and 1.76 for
IP and PM-10, respectively).
  For the IP and PM-10 particle size frac-
tions, the equations incorporating silt
percentage are recommended over the
equations using silt loading, primarily
because of the much greater amount of
information  available on the expected
range of percent silt for industrial roads.
To provide a comparable amount of in-
formation for the silt loading parameter,
it would be necessary to perform a con-
siderable amount of additional  road
surface characterization work. For the
FP size fraction,  the  recommended
model incorporates silt  content and is
also the most accurate model.
  The  recommended unpaved road
equations for all three particle size frac-
tions follows a single functional form:
where:

 E = emission factor; i.e., the quantity of particu-
    late emissions from an unpaved road per ve-
    hicle kilometer of travel, kg/VKT
 s = silt content of road surface material, %
 S - mean vehicle speed, km/hr
 W = mean vehicle weight, Mg
 w = mean number of wheels
 p = number of days with at least 0.254 mm 10.01
    in.) of precipitation per year

The particle size multiplier (k) in Eq. (1)
is found to vary with aerodynamic parti-
cle size range as follows:

      Aerodynamic Particle Size
         Multiplier for Eq. (1)
§15
§10
§2.5 u,m
    0.50
  0.36
  0.095
  Equation (1) is assigned a quality rat-
ing of A for  application within the
ranges of source conditions that were
tested in developing the equations, as
follows: silt content, 4 to 35%; mean ve-
hicle weight, 2 to 49 Mg; mean vehicle
speed, 8 to 64 km/hr; mean number of
wheels, 4 to 17. Also, to retain the qual-
ity rating of the equation applied to a
specific unpaved road, it would be nec-
essary that reliable correction  parame-
ter values be determined for the specific
road in question.
Paved Roads
  Two data sets were available for the
development of paved road IP and PM-
10 emission factor equations. These in-
clude test data (21 tests) collected  for
the following industries: iron and steel
production, copper smelting, concrete
batching, and sand and gravel process-
ing. The independent variables consid-
ered initially as possible correction fac-
tors are the same as those  in  the
unpaved roads analyses.
  Prior to the analysis, it is recognized
that the measured correction factors
would probably not account for a sub-
stantial portion of the variability in IP
and PM-10 emissions. One of the major
reasons for this is that any direct contri-
bution of paniculate from  vehicle un-
derbodies, exposed haulage loads (i.e.,
aggregate materials), or vehicle exhaust
is not parameterized by the available
correction factors. Similarly, the influ-
ence of emissions from unpaved shoul-
ders generated by the wakes of large
vehicles is not considered in the correc-
tion parameters. Because of the lower
magnitude of  paved road  emissions
compared to  those from  unpaved
roads, the influence of these sources
would be potentially greater in  paved
road emission factors. Previously pub-
lished equations  for  paved road
emissions used augmentation or judg-
ment factors  in an attempt to partially
account for  the influence  of these
sources.
  Based on analysis of the data set, the
decision is made to partition the paved
road data base into two subsets: Subset
1 includes tests for relatively heavily
loaded roads traveled by predominantly
light-duty vehicles (i.e., mean vehicle
weight <4  Mg); and Subset 2 includes
tests for roads with generally moderate
surface loadings and vehicle mixes that
can be considered more typical of  in-
dustrial facilities  (i.e., mean vehicle
weight ~ 16 Mg). The mean emission
factors (IP and PM-10) for Subset 1 are
less than 50% of those of Subset 2.
  The correlation matrix based on Sub-
set 2  shows a reasonably strong rela-
tionship between roadway surface load-
ings and emissions. The emission factor
equations predict the data Subset 2 with
precision factors of 1.59 and 1.64 for IP
and PM-10 emissions, respectively.
  An alternative, consisting of the exist-
ing AP-42 emission factor equation with
adjustments to the original  coefficient
to approximate IP and PM-10 emission
factors, does not acceptably predict the
                                                                 new emission factor data base. The rela-
                                                                 tively poor performance  of the scaled
                                                                 AP-42 equation is attributed largely to
                                                                 two factors:  first, the proportionality
                                                                 constants are based on limited particle
                                                                 sizing information; and second  (and
                                                                 more important), the  range of source
                                                                 conditions that provided the basis for
                                                                 the AP-42 equation  is much smaller
                                                                 than that of the new data base.
                                                                   The recommended paved road equa-
                                                                 tions for all three particle size fractions
                                                                 follows a single functional form:
                                                                                                  (2)
                                                                 where
                                                                    E = emission factor; i.e., the quantity
                                                                       of paniculate emissions from a
                                                                       paved road per vehicle-kilometer
                                                                       of travel, kg/VKT
                                                                   sL = road surface silt loading, g/m2

                                                                 The panicle  size multiplier (k) is found
                                                                 to vary with  aerodynamic size range as
                                                                 follows:

                                                                       Aerodynamic Panicle Size
                                                                          Multiplier for Eq. (2)
                                                                 515
                                                                 S10
                            S2.5
                                                                   0.28
                                                                   0.22
                              0.081
  Equation (2) is assigned a quality rat-
ing of A for application within the range
of source conditions that were tested in
developing the equation as follows:  silt
loading, 2 to 240 g/m2; and mean vehi-
cle weight, 6 to 42 Mg. Also, to retain the
quality ratings of Eq. (2) applied to a
specific industrial paved road, it would
be necessary that  reliable  correction
parameter values for the specific road in
question be determined.
  For roads that are traveled  by pre-
dominantly light-duty traffic, the single-
value emission factors represented  by
the geometric means for Subset 1,
should provide reasonable upper limits
for IP and PM-10 emissions, as follows:

    Emission Factors for Light-Duty
  Vehicles on  Heavily Loaded Roads
                                                                  §15
                                                                             §10 \im
                                                                 0.12 kg/VKT
                                                                           0.093 kg/VKT
                                                                 These emission factors are assigned a
                                                                 quality rating of B for application within
                                                                 the range of source conditions that were

-------
    tested in developing the factors, as fol-
    lows: silt loading, 15 to 400 g/m2; and
    mean vehicle weight, <4 Mg (<4 tons).

    Proposed AP-42 Sections
      This  report also contains  the pro-
    posed revisions to the AP-42 sections
    for unpaved roads (Section 11.2.1) and
    for industrial  paved roads  (Section
    11.2.6), respectively. Updates  for these
    sections were recently included in Sup-
    plement 14 to AP-42. To the extent pos-
    sible, the format used in Supplement 14
    is retained for the purpose of incorpo-
    rating the size-specific particulate emis-
    sion factors developed in this docu-
    ment.
      With  regard to unpaved road emis-
    sion factors for western surface coal
    mining, it 43 recommended that the new
    AP-42  Section 8.24 be used without
    modification. That section already con-
    tained predictive emission factor equa-
    tions for specified particle size  fractions.
          C. Cowherd, Jr. and P. J. Englehart are with Midwest Research Institute, Kansas
            City, MO 64110.
          Dale L. Harmon is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
          The complete report, entitled "Size Specific Particulate Emission Factors for
            Industrial and Rural Roads: Source Category Report," (Order No. PB 86-122
            61 I/AS; Cost: $11.95, subject to change) will be available only from:
                 National Technical Information Service
                 5285 Port Royal Road
                 Springfield, VA 22161
                 Telephone: 703-487-4650
          The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
                 Air and Energy Engineering Research Laboratory
                 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                 Research Triangle Park, NC27711
                                                                                                U.S.OFFiClAUvAi:
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Center for Environmental Research
Information
Cincinnati OH 45268
, i- n i K or
MSI •"• 35
         PGR
Official Business
Penalty for Private Use $300

EPA/600/S7-85/051
          0000329   PS

          U  S  ENVIR  PROTECTION  AGENCY
          REGION  5  LIBRARY
          230  S OEAtBORN  STREET
          CHICAGO               It    60604

-------