United States
                  Environmental Protection
                  Agency	
Office of Health and
Environmental Assessment
Washington, D.C. 20460
                  Research and Development
EPA/600/S9-87/013  August 1988
SEPA         Project  Summary
                  Report of the  EPA
                  Workshop  on the
                  Development  of  Risk
                  Assessment Methodologies  for
                  Tumor Promoters
                  Jan Connery
                   At a workshop sponsored by the
                 EPA Office of Research and Devel-
                 opment in February 1987, thirteen
                 expert panelists  discussed research
                 needed to support the development
                 of risk assessment methodologies
                 for tumor promoters. The panelists
                 exchanged  current  data on
                 promotion, identified data gaps, and
                 formulated general and specific
                 research  recommendations. Avail-
                 able  data suggest that there are
                 probably at least three stages of
                 carcinogenesis - initiation, promo-
                 tion and progression - and that there
                 are agents that  are associated pre-
                 dominantly with these three stages.
                   The panelists agreed that the
                 mechanism of  promotion is not
                 currently understood, and they sug-
                 gest  that there may be  several
                 different  mechanisms of promotion.
                 Available data  suggest that  pro-
                 motion is substantially different from
                 initiation  and that traditional risk as-
                 sessment models for carcinogens
                 are not appropriate for promoters.
                 The panelists agreed that not enough
                 data are currently available to assess
                 the  risks of  promoters  and  that
                 substantial research is needed in
                 several areas,  including: mech-
                 anisms of initiation, promotion and
                 progression; the  behavior of
                 promoters  in humans, especially
                 epidemiological  studies;  develop-
                 ment and validation of statistical
models for  initiation/promotion
systems; the  behavior of promoters
in organs other than the skin and the
liver,  interspectes differences in
promotion; expansion of the chemical
data base for known and potential
promoters; synergism  among pro-
moters; and development validation
of in  vitro screening  models for
known experiment promoters.
  Trt/s  Project  Summary was
developed by  EPA's Office of Health
and Environmental Assessment,
Washington, DC, to announce key
findings of the research project that is
fully documented in a separate report
of the same title (see Project Report
ordering information at back).


Introduction
  In recent years,  there  has been a
growing recognition that risk assessment
of tumor promoters  is important but  is
precluded by a lack of data. In 1982, the
U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency
(EPA) Office of Toxic Substances held a
workshop to examine how information on
promoter activity  could be incorporated
into  risk assessment. Participants agreed
that  such  information  should  be
incorporated into  risk assessment but
could not offer  the Agency guidance on
how to do  this.  Recently, both the
Science Advisory  Board in its review of
perchloroethylene  and the EPA Office of
Pesticides and  Toxic Substances' panel

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on dioxin recommended that  the  EPA
consider integrating promotional  activity
into the traditional risk assessment.
   With regard to promoters, the  current
EPA Guidelines for  Carcinogen  Risk
Assessment state:

 Agents that are positive in long-term animal
 experiments and also  show evidence  of
 promoting  or cocarcinogenic activity  in
 specialized  tests  should  be  considered as
 complete carcinogens  unless  there  is
 evidence to the contrary  because it is,  at
 present,  difficult to  determine  whether an
 agent  is only a promoting or cocarcinogenic
 agent. Agents that show positive results  in
 special tests for irritation,  promotion  or
 cocarcinogenicity and no indication or tumor
 response in well  conducted and  well
 designed long-term  animals  studies  should
 be dealt with on an individual basis.

   While this approach was not felt to  be
wholly  satisfactory,  there was not enough
consensus to develop an  alternative
approach in terms  of either a qualitative
judgment of how likely an agent is to  be
a  promoter, or,  quantitatively, of how
great a cancer  risk  a promoter  might
pose for given levels of exposure.
   As  a  first  step   towards  risk
assessment for  tumor  promoters, the
EPA  Office of  Research  and  De-
velopment convened  a workshop  on
"Development  of  Risk  Assessment
Methodologies for Tumor Promoters"  on
February  3-5,  1987, in  Bethesda,
Maryland. The  workshop provided  an
opportunity for expert scientists to pool
their knowledge  and set research goals
to  improve the scientific bases for risk
assessment of promoters. The group was
asked  not to address specific chemicals,
but rather to identify research concerning
promoters as a class of substances, and
to  prioritize this research according  to its
impact  and  utility  for  risk assessment.
The  workshop was chaired by Dr. Roy
Albert  (University of Cincinnati Medical
Center), Dr. Robert Langenbach (National
Institute  of  Environmental Health
Science), and  Dr. William Farland  (EPA
Carcinogen Assessment Group).
   The full report is based solely on the
workshop  discussion  and  panelist
comments.  As  such,  it reflects the
opinions and data of a limited number of
participants exchanged  over a  brief
period of time  and therefore  does  not
provide a comprehensive treatment of
the various subject areas. The amount of
information provided on a particular topic
in  the report does not indicate its relative
importance, and there may be important
aspects of tumor promotion  that  are  not
touched on in the report.
Discussion

   At the workshop the panelists agreed
that available data suggest that there are
probably  at least  three  stages  of
carcinogenesis - initiation, promotion and
progression - and that there are agents
that are associated predominantly with
these  three  stages.  Initiation  was
described  as a sudden change probably
involving DMA  that is  irreversible over a
long period of  time. There is a growing
body of data suggesting that the initiation
stage is relatively  common and involves
nonspecific damage  to DNA.  There is
also evidence  that  there  may  be  a
spectrum  of initiated  cells that vary in
their degrees of initiation and thus in
their  susceptibility  to promotion.
Promotion was defined as "the reversible
selective clonal expansion  of  initiated
cells and the reversible alteration of gene
expression."  A  list  of criteria for
chemicals  that  can only promote was
developed. Progression was defined by a
majority of panelists  as "an  irreversible
change in  DNA towards malignancy."
   The  panelists  agreed  that  the
mechanism of promotion is not currently
understood, and  they  suggested that
there  may  be   several  different
mechanisms of promotion. Available data
suggest that promotion is substantially
different from initiation and that traditional
risk assessment models for carcinogens
are not appropriate for promoters.
   Promoters  appear to show  more
extreme differences in species and strain
responses  than  carcinogens.  The
panelists agreed that much  more  work
needs to  be done to understand these
differences from a  mechanistic stand-
point. Epidemiological studies should be
conducted  to obtain  human  data, and
existing epidemiological data  on pro-
motion  should be  examined  as  a
potential source of information on human
promoters. Although no  agents  have
been  unequivocally classified as human
promoters, data  indicate that several
chemicals may be  working  as  human
promoters.
   Available data suggest that promotion
is reversible in the  liver and  skin, but
currently there  are not enough data to
ascertain  whether  reversibility  is  char-
acteristic of all promoters in all systems.
There was concern  that there  may  be
synergism among  promoters.  Research
is needed  to study this phenomenon and
to identify the kinds of promoters that are
likely to interact.
   There  is a  need  to develop  and
validate statistical models for promotion
and to develop data  to test the models.
The two-stage  birth-death-mutation
model, developed  by  Moolgavkar,
Venzon and Knudson, was discussed at
the workshop. The panelists agreed that
it appears to provide a  good theoretical
framework  from which to propose and
interpret studies  on  promotion.  Various
approaches to validating the model were
discussed,  including  an initiation/promo-
tion/initiation protocol  using  multiple
doses of both the initiating and promoting
agents.
   The panelists agreed that not enough
data are currently available to assess the
risks of promoters and that substantial
research is needed in  several  areas.
including:

•  Mechanisms of initiation, promotion
   and progression, particularly data on
   dose-response and  frequency of
   response.
•  The behavior of promoters in humans.
   Epidemiological studies of promoters
   in humans  are a high priority  The
   panelists  suggested several  pop-
   ulations for epidemiological studies.
•  Development  and   validation of
   statistical models  for  initiation/  pro-
   motion systems.
•  The behavior of promoters  in organs
   other than the skin and the liver.
•  Interspecies differences in promotion.
•  Expansion of the chemical data base
   for known and potential promoters
   The  panelists offered several  sug-
   gestions of chemicals to study.
•  Synergism among promoters.
•  Development and validation of in vitro
   screening   models  for   known
   experimental promoters.  If successful.
   the in vitro approach should expedite
   the selection of chemicals for in vivo
   study.

   The full report summarizes the dis-
cussion at the workshop. The first day of
discussion focused on current knowledge
of promotion.  Panelists  exchanged data
and identified data gaps. On the second
and third  days,  general and specific
research needs were identified.
   The full report is organized  into 13
sections that reflect the  major  themes of
discussion  at the  workshop. Each sec-
tion has been  synthesized  from  many
different parts  of the  discussion that
pertain to the topic. A list of  the panelists
and observers can be found in Appendix
A. The  agenda is provided  in Appendix
B,  and  premeeting comments  prepared
by  the  panelists can  be  found  ir
Appendix C.

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  Jan Cannery is with the Eastern Research Group, Inc., Arlington, MA 02174
  Hugh L Spitzer is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
  The complete report, entitled "Report of the EPA Workshop on the Development
        of Risk Assessment Methodologies for Tumor Promoters," (Order No. PB
        88-230 743/AS;  Cost: $25.95, subject to change)  will be available only
        from:
           National Technical Information Service
           5285 Port Royal Road
           Springfield,  VA 22161
           Telephone:  703-487-4650
  The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
           Office of Health and Environmental Assessment
           U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
           Washington, D.C. 20460
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Center for Environmental Research
Information
Cincinnati OH 45268
Official Business
Penalty for Private Use $300

EPA/600/S9-87/013

          0000329   PS
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