United States Environmental Protection Agency Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory Research Triangle Park NC 27711 Research and Development EPA-600/S7-84-059 June 1984 &EPA Project Summary Methodology for Development of an Independent Combustion Source NOX Inventory: And Its Application to 150 Counties in the Northeastern United States Michael F. Szabo and Paul W. Spaite This study was performed to demon- strate a new methodology for develop- ing a combustion source fuel use and emissions inventory. The demonstra- tion area encompassed 150 counties within a 200-mi (320-km) radius of the Adirondack Mountains in New York State, believed to be representative of the Northeastern U.S. A complete combustion inventory of nitrogen oxides (NOX) emissions was developed for the 150 counties. All sectors (residential, commercial, trans- portation, utility, and industrial) were included. In the industrial sector, the methodology entailed: (1) identifying all major combustion processes and associated equipment, and (2) develop- ing NO. emission factors. This approach produced a list of 28 facilities and 73 processes, believed to include all signif- icant combustion sources in the 150- county study area. An approach was also developed for treating all fuel con- sumption not accounted for by installa- tions that include major combustion processes. The latter block of fuel con- sumption was translated into "resi- dual" industrial area source NO« emis- sions. As intended, the project demonstrated fully the essential elements of a meth- odology that would allow development of county-by-county NOX inventory for all fuel burning in all or any part of the U.S., without resorting to user surveys or inventories based on such surveys. The data base it establishes also can be used to calculate other combustion- related emissions. Although the procedures of this methodology were not fully optimized in this study, they are straightforward, well documented, and easily modified as new data are uncovered. Study results showed that area sources account for 92 percent of the fuel consumption (excluding utilities) and 64 percent of NO* emissions (including utilities) in the study area. Transportation is the dominant contri- butor. Boilers are the dominant point sources of NOX emissions, and residual oil accounts for 52 percent of the industrial boiler fuel burned in this area. This Pro/act Summary was developed by EPA's Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory, Research Triangle Park, NC, to announce key findings of the research project that is fully docu- mented in a separate report of the same title (see Project Report ordering information at back). Introduction By the late 1960s, the most significant sources of major air pollutants such as NOX and sulfur oxides (SO*) had been identified and put in some perspective; however, no data bank contained inform- ation on the size, location, type and amount of pollution, and other impact factors for all major air pollution sources. ------- In the late 1960s and early 1970s, work began on developing a comprehensive inventory. The Clean Air Act of 1970 gave impetus to this effort, resulting in EPA's establishment of the National Emissions Data System (NEDS), a data bank contain- ing information on pollutant discharges from all types of area and point sources. Most of the data in this computerized data base are generated by state agencies. Data quality is a function of the resources available to the states for collection of information from facilities that generate pollution. Although the imput data are screened to some extent, the accuracy of the various data has not been well defined. Some users believe that data for certain components (e.g., utilities, and iron and steel plants) are well documented; whereas, data for other smaller compo- nents (e.g., foundries and industrial boilers) are not. Asa result, in the past several years the need for better and more comprehensive regional and local inventories has been considered in several quarters. For example, the data base for industrial and commercial boilers is thought to be inadequate in light of the pollution problem they are now believed to present. This study was performed to demon- strate another methodology for develop- ing a combustion source and emissions inventory. The approach was novel in that is was not based primarily on field investigation or survey data. Instead, fuel use information and industrial statistics published by government and industry groups were used to identify fuel- consuming facilities and to estimate their emissions of NOX. It was hoped that the project would show the feasibility of an inventory that was neither subject to the errors inherent in those based on surveys, nor as costly as those involving field verification. A study area encompassing 150 counties within a 200-mi (320-km) radius of the Adirondack Mountains in New York State (Figure 1) was chosen to demon- strate this approach to developing a com- bustion source fuel use and emissions in- ventory. General Approach This study's approach to residential, commercial, and transportation sectors was straightforward in that these sectors were treated as traditional area sources (mobile or small and widely dispersed, such as automobiles and residential furnaces), and an accepted methodology was used to compute energy consumption on a county-by-county basis. Because it is LAKE ERIE SLAND 200 mi. (320 km) Figure 1. The 150-county study area (shaded). already extensively documented, the utility sector also presented few problems. The industrial sector, which has tradi- tionally been the most difficult to assess, was systematically analyzed to provide a better overall perspective of the combus- tion sources in that sector. For the residential and commercial sectors, it was assumed that fuel use was proportional to population, and the sector fuel consumption for individual states was prorated to individual counties. County fuel use data were then converted to NOX emissions, using emisson factors devel- oped from analyzing fuel burning practices in the sector. The transportation sector includes liquid fuels used in motor vehicles and natural gas used in pipeline transport of fuel. The combustors involved in pipeline transport (internal combustion engines and gas turbines) were not broken down to the county level, however. Consumption of liquid fuels was assumed to be proportional to the number of registered motor vehicles in the individual counties. Emission factors were derived by ana lysis of information on emissions from various types of motor vehicles, and area NOX emissions were estimated by county. Because the type and amount of fuel used, types and locations of combustors, etc., are well documented for the utility sector, demonstration of the ability to generate county-by-county emission inventories for this sector was deemed unnecessary for this study. The industrial sector presented the biggest challenge. Prior to this study, this sector had never been systematically investigated to identify major combustion sources. Because this sector uses fuel in major direct-fired processes, large indus- trial boilers, and a wide variety of smaller combustors (e.g., stationary internal combustion engines, gas turbines, ovens, and dryers), a more complex approach was required. The analysis of industrial sector NOX emissions began with a systemat evaluation of specific blocks of fu burning that make up the total fo ------- industrial combustion. The major blocks of fuel combustion are well defined and documented in the literature, which served as a source of the analysis. The combustion hardware was more clearly defined by systematic analyses that divided all industrial fuel burning into that burned by identifiable "major point sources" (estimated by fuel consumption of at least 100 x 109 Btu (or kJ /yr) and that consumed by area sources. This classic approach, consistent with the NEDS treatment, allows direct compari- sons to be made despite using an independent approach. Because no previous study defined the total population of point sources, a search based on all the "industries" (defined for the manufacturing sector in the Census of Manufacturers) was undertaken as an important part of the industrial fuel analysis. As a first step, the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code indus- tries represented by 4-digit codes in the Census data bank were screened to eliminate all those with a total annual fuel use of less than 100 x 109 Btu/estab- lishment. It was assumed that this limit would prevent overlooking any major direct-fired point sources in the industries with low average annual fuel consump- tion. The industries eliminated by this formula were reviewed to determine if this was a correct assumption. At the beginning of the analysis of the industrial sector, a decision also was made not to include industries in which fuel consumption could be attributed principally to boilers or foundries. Because of their numbers and widely varying sizes, these were to be the subject of an independent analysis. Industries that involved assembly line work where space heat requirements were high were also excluded. Together, these two screening criteria reduced the total number of industries for further investigation from 450 to 114. The final group of 114 industries were investigated to identify direct-fired processes that were considered to be major point sources (because of fuel use estimated to be over 100 x 109 Btu/yr), to identify the establishments where these direct-fired processes were employed, and to estimate the amount of fuel used and the resulting NOX emissions. In the end, a list of 28 types of facilities employing 73 types of processes was developed for the 150-county study area (Table 1). These processes, together with foundries and industrial boilers, are ^believed to present the most complete Hefinition of the population of fuel- *consuming industrial processes that had been developed up to the time the list was completed.* Analysis of industrial boilers with heat input of >250 x 106 Btu/h was based on existing data bases such as NEDS, the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) Major Fuel Burning Installation (MFBI) survey, and PEDCo in-house data accu- mulated during plant visits connected with DOE projects. After the major industrial point sources and the large boilerst, had been identified, the sum of the fuel consumption for these point sources was subtracted from the total industrial fuel consumption reported by the Department of Energy. The balance of the industrial energy consumption was then treated in a manner similar to that used for the residential, commercial, and transportation sectors. Fuel consumption and NOX emission estimates were then generated for the following categories: Area sources Point sources Residential sector Commercial sector Transportation sector Industrial nonpomt sources Industrial boilers Electric utilities Direct-fired processes Applying the Methodology to the Study Area The methodology was applied to the study area in four steps: 1) Identification and location of major point sources. 2) Development of fuel consumption estimates for major point sources. 3) Development of fuel consumption estimates for area sources. 4) Determination of emission factors and calculation of emissions for point and area sources. Although the study area represents a limited fraction of the total country, the results produced are of interest beyond their usefulness in demonstrating the methodology. In general, the identified direct-fired sources and boilers accounted for a surprisingly small percentage of total industrial fuel consumption (30 percent in the study area). Thus, "residual" industrial energy usage (classified as area source consumption) is sizable, ranking third in the categories of emis- sions (behind transportation and electric utilities) for the study area. 'Work subsequent to that reported here has expanded the group of establishments to 45 and the group of processes to 100. For the most part, these processes are very close to the estimated fuel con- sumption limit of 100 x 109 Btu. tOnly 25-MW or larger boilers were considered in this study; however, given sufficient resources, boilers in the 10- to 25-MW range probably could be inventoried with reasonable accuracy by this same approach. When comparing the results of this study, remember that utility emissions are included in the NOX totals, but utility fuel consumption is not part of the fuel total. Study results showed that area sources are the major contributors to NO* emission in the study area. These sources accounted for 64 percent of total NO* emissions (excluding utilities). Transpor- tation was the dominant contributor (48 percent), but the combined total for the residential and commercial sectors was significant (about 10 percent). Area sources also accounted for 92 percent of the fuel consumed in this study area (excluding utilities). Among industrial point sources, boilers were the dominant emitter of NOX emissions, and residual oil accounted for 52 percent of the industrial boiler fuel use. Table 2 summarizes point and area source NO* emissions in the study area. Table 3 compares the results of this methodology with NEDS data covering the same area. Conclusions The methodology for developing a major point source combustion population (i.e., the use of Standard Industrial Classification Codes) was judged to be successful. The resulting list of 28 facilities and 73 processes is believed to include combustion sources of any consequence in the 150-county area. The straightforward well-documented methodologies developed for calculating plant production, direct-fired fuel con- sumption, and NOX emissions do not rely primarily on survey data from state agencies. Although these procedures were not optimized in this study, they can be easily modified as new data are uncovered. In contrast, the procedures used to calculate industrial boiler fuel consump- tion and NOX emissions rely heavily on NEDS and other completed studies. Although these sources could be used to identify boilers smaller than the 25-MW equivalent used for this study, the data base for industrial boilers is generally weaker than that for other important stationary sources, a situation that will prevail until a well-conceived survey of the existing boiler population is conducted. The methodology for calculating "resi- dual" industrial fuel consuming sources and NO* emissions needs more work. If a study included individual states in their entirety, data from the State Energy Data Base and the Census of Manufacturers could be combined to provide a better ------- Table 1. List of Major Fuel-Consuming Facilities and Processes Facility* Process' Facility Process Petroleum refineries Petrochemical plants Industrial organic chemical plants Industrial inorganic chemical plants Atmospheric distillation Vacuum distillation Thermal operation Catalytic cracking Catalytic reforming Hydrocracking Hydrorefining Alky lat ion Aromatic manufacturing Ammonia (steam hydrocarbon reforming) Benzene, toluene, xylene Butadiene (naphtha cracking) Carbon black (oil furnace process) Ethanol (naphtha cracking) Ethylene/propy/ene (naphtha cracking) Methanol (low pressure) Dimethyl terephthalate (Dynamit Nobel) Styrene (Monsanto) Borax (drying) Lithium hydroxide (calcina- tion) Sodium carbonate (mono- hydrate) Diatomite plants Mineral wool plants Integrated iron and steel plants Mini and midi iron and steel plants Iron foundries Copper smelters and refineries Lead smelters and refineries Zinc smelters and refineries Drying/calcination Melting Sintering Coking Steelmaking Melting Slabbing/blooming Melting Slabbing/blooming Melting Smelting Roasting Cathode melting Arsenic oxide (roasting) Sintering Smelting Softening Desilverizing Debismuthing Refining Roasting Sintering Electrothermic reduction Secondary materials pre- paration Phosphate rock and basic fertilizer plants Pulp mills Gypsum plants Lime plants Brick and tile plants Lightweight aggregate plants Cement plants Container glass plants Flat glass plants Pressed and blown glass plants Potash (calcination) Potash (drying) Potash (leaching) Sodium phosphate (fusion/ calcination) Sodium phosphate (crystalli- zation/drying) Kraft Dry ing/ calcination Calcination Firing Expansion Wet and dry Melting Melting Melting Titanium smelters Tin smelters Magnesium smelters Aluminum smelters Copper smelters and refineries Lead smelters Aluminum sheet. plate, and foil plants Chlorination Reduction Leaching Drying Smelting Calcination Sweating Smelting Sweating Smelting Refining Smelting Melting Heat treating "The order in which facilities and processes are listed reflects the authors' logical grouping of the industries, with respect to their relation to each other. perspective of the residual component of industrial fuel consumption. The methodology reported here is flexible and easily modified. This strength has already been demonsrated in that the methodology has been further refined since this project was concluded. ------- Table 2. Summary of Point and Area Source NO* Emissions in the 150-County Study Area (103 short tons or 9.1 x 10s kg f Area Sources Point sources /VO, total Traditional Industrial State Connecticut Massachusetts New Hampshire New Jersey New York Pennsylvania Rhode Island Vermont Study area total (D Transpor- tation 71,7 118.7 21.3 161.9 274.9 117.4 20.2 15.1 801.2 (2) Residen- tial 8.3 13.6 1.8 12.2 31.8 8.8 2.6 1.3 80.4 13) Commer- cial 3.9 10.9 0.4 16.5 42.7 4.6 1.2 0.3 80.5 (4) Industrial residual 13.0 8.8 0.7 9.4 12.2 51.7 1.6 1.1 98.5 (51 Boilers 1.2 1.1 0.4 2.6 34.2 4.3 0.1 0 43.9 (6) Direct fired 1.3 0.8 1.1 9.3 16.3 23.6 0.2 0 52.6 (7) Electric utility 33.4 78.3 12.2 55.4 191.9 124.5 2.1 0.1 497.9 Industrial 4, 5, and 6 15.5 10.7° 2.2 21.3C 62.T6 79.6s 1.9 1.1 195.0 Area 1. 2. 3, and 4 96.9 152.0 24.2 200.0 361.6 182.5 25.6 17.8 1060.6 Point 5, 6. and 7 35.9 80.2 13.7 67.3 242.4 152.4 2.4 0.1 594.4 State total 132.8 232.2 37.9 267.3 6O4.O 334.9 28.0 17.9 1655.0 'Based on 1978 data. hValue is 97 percent of 1978 state total based on the population of the counties included in the analysis. cVafue is 84 percent of 1978 state total based on the population of the counties included in the analysis. "Value is 97 percent of 1978 state total based on the population of the counties included in the analysis. 'Value is 33 percent of 1978 state total based on the population of the counties included in the analysis. Table 3. Comparison of NO* Emissions Estimates for the ISO-County Study Area with 1980 NEDS" Values /VO« estimates. 103 tons (9.1 x 105 kgl/yr Emission source Mobile source fuel combustion Highway vehicles Stationary source fuel combustion Electric generation Industrial (boilers and residual sources) Residential/ commercial/ institutional Industrial processes and combustion Chemicals Petroleum refining Metals Mineral products Wood products Other Mobile source subtotal Stationary source subtotal Total 1980 NEDS values 894.1 423.7 194.2 168.6 24.8 (3.36) (3.07) (2.69) (11.65) (0.25) (3.81) 894.1 (52.4%) 811.3(47.6%) 1705.4 This study 801.2 497.9 142.4 160.9 52.6 (0.3) (5.1) (26.4) (19.4) (1.3) (0.0) 801.2(48.4%) 853.8(51.6%) 1655.0 8 EPA's National Emissions Data System. M. F. Szabo is with PEDCo Environmental, Inc., Cincinnati, OH 45246; and P. W. Spaite is with Paul W. Spaite Co., Cincinnati, OH 45213. Joshua S. Bo wen is the EPA Project Officer (see below). The complete report, entitled "Methodology for Development of an Independent Combustion Source /VO« Inventory: And Its Application to 150 Counties in the Northeastern United States." (Order No. PB 84 189 943; Cost: $ 19.00, subject to change) will be available only from: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield. VA 22161 Telephone: 703-487-4650 The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at: Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 6USGPO: 1984-759-102/10609 ------- United Slates Center for Environmental Research Environmental Protection Information Agency Cincinnati OH 45268 Official Business Penalty for Private Use $300 ------- |