United States
                  Environmental Protection
                  Agency
Industrial Environmental
Research Laboratory
Research Triangle Park NC 27711
                  Research and Development
EPA-600/S7-84-059 June 1984
&EPA        Project  Summary
                  Methodology  for
                  Development of  an  Independent
                  Combustion  Source NOX
                  Inventory:  And  Its Application  to
                  150 Counties  in the Northeastern
                  United  States
                  Michael F. Szabo and Paul W. Spaite
                    This study was performed to demon-
                   strate a new methodology for develop-
                   ing a combustion source fuel use and
                   emissions inventory. The demonstra-
                   tion area encompassed 150 counties
                   within a 200-mi (320-km) radius of the
                   Adirondack Mountains in New  York
                   State, believed to be representative of
                   the Northeastern U.S.
                    A complete combustion inventory of
                   nitrogen oxides (NOX) emissions was
                   developed for the 150 counties. All
                   sectors (residential, commercial, trans-
                   portation, utility, and industrial) were
                   included. In the industrial sector, the
                   methodology entailed: (1) identifying
                   all major combustion processes and
                   associated equipment, and (2) develop-
                   ing NO. emission factors. This approach
                   produced a list of 28 facilities and 73
                   processes, believed to include all signif-
                   icant combustion sources in the 150-
                   county  study area. An approach was
                   also developed for treating all fuel con-
                   sumption not accounted for by installa-
                   tions that include major combustion
                   processes. The latter block of fuel con-
                   sumption was translated into "resi-
                   dual" industrial area source NO« emis-
                   sions.
                    As intended, the project demonstrated
                   fully the essential elements of a meth-
                   odology that would allow development
                   of county-by-county NOX inventory for
                   all fuel burning in all or any part of the
                   U.S., without resorting to user surveys
                   or inventories based on such surveys.
The data base it establishes also can be
used to calculate other combustion-
related emissions.
  Although the procedures of this
methodology were not fully optimized
in this study, they are straightforward,
well documented, and easily modified
as new data are uncovered.
  Study results showed that area
sources account for 92 percent of the
fuel consumption (excluding  utilities)
and 64 percent of  NO* emissions
(including utilities) in the study area.
Transportation is the dominant contri-
butor. Boilers are the  dominant point
sources of NOX emissions, and residual
oil accounts for 52 percent of the
industrial boiler fuel burned in this area.
  This Pro/act Summary was developed
by EPA's Industrial Environmental
Research Laboratory, Research Triangle
Park, NC, to announce key findings of
the research project that is fully docu-
mented in a separate report of the same
title (see Project Report ordering
information at back).


Introduction
  By the late 1960s, the most significant
sources of major air pollutants such as
NOX and sulfur oxides (SO*) had been
identified and put in some perspective;
however, no data bank contained inform-
ation on the size, location, type and
amount of pollution,  and other impact
factors for all major air pollution sources.

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  In the late 1960s and early 1970s, work
began  on developing  a  comprehensive
inventory. The Clean Air Act of 1970 gave
impetus to this effort, resulting in EPA's
establishment of the National Emissions
Data System (NEDS), a data bank contain-
ing information on pollutant discharges
from all types of area and point sources.
Most of the data in this computerized data
base are generated by  state  agencies.
Data quality is a function of the resources
available  to  the states for collection  of
information from facilities that generate
pollution. Although the  imput data are
screened to some extent, the accuracy of
the  various data  has  not been well
defined. Some users believe that data for
certain components (e.g., utilities, and
iron and steel plants) are well documented;
whereas, data  for other smaller compo-
nents  (e.g., foundries  and industrial
boilers) are not.
  Asa  result, in the past several years the
need for better and more comprehensive
regional and local inventories has been
considered  in several  quarters. For
example,  the data base for industrial and
commercial  boilers  is  thought  to be
inadequate in light  of the  pollution
problem they are now believed to present.
  This  study was performed to demon-
strate another  methodology for develop-
ing a combustion source and  emissions
inventory. The approach was novel in that
is was not based primarily on field
investigation or survey data. Instead, fuel
use  information and industrial statistics
published by government and industry
groups were  used  to  identify  fuel-
consuming facilities and to estimate their
emissions of NOX. It was hoped that the
project would show the  feasibility of an
inventory that was neither subject to the
errors inherent  in  those  based  on
surveys, nor as costly as those involving
field verification.
  A  study  area  encompassing 150
counties within a 200-mi (320-km) radius
of the Adirondack Mountains in New York
State (Figure 1) was  chosen to demon-
strate this approach to developing a com-
bustion source fuel use and emissions in-
ventory.

General Approach
  This  study's  approach to residential,
commercial, and transportation sectors
was straightforward in that these sectors
were treated as traditional area sources
(mobile or small and  widely  dispersed,
such as  automobiles and residential
furnaces), and an accepted methodology
was used to compute energy consumption
on a county-by-county basis. Because it is
LAKE ERIE
                                                              SLAND
         200 mi. (320 km)
Figure 1.    The 150-county study area (shaded).
already extensively documented, the
utility sector also presented few problems.
The  industrial sector, which has tradi-
tionally been the most difficult to assess,
was  systematically analyzed to provide a
better overall  perspective of the combus-
tion  sources in that sector.
  For the residential and commercial
sectors, it was assumed that fuel use was
proportional to population, and the sector
fuel consumption for individual states was
prorated to individual counties. County
fuel  use data were then converted to NOX
emissions, using emisson factors devel-
oped from analyzing fuel burning practices
in the sector.
  The transportation sector includes
liquid fuels used  in motor vehicles and
natural gas used in pipeline transport of
fuel. The combustors involved in pipeline
transport (internal combustion engines
and  gas turbines) were not broken down
to the county level, however. Consumption
of liquid  fuels was assumed  to be
proportional to the number of registered
motor vehicles in the individual counties.
Emission factors were derived by ana lysis
of information on emissions from various
types of motor vehicles, and area NOX
emissions were estimated by county.
  Because the type and amount of fuel
used, types and locations of combustors,
etc., are well documented for the utility
sector,  demonstration  of  the  ability to
generate county-by-county emission
inventories for this sector was deemed
unnecessary for this study.
  The industrial  sector presented the
biggest challenge. Prior to this study, this
sector  had never been systematically
investigated to identify major combustion
sources. Because this sector uses fuel in
major direct-fired processes, large indus-
trial boilers, and a wide variety of smaller
combustors (e.g.,  stationary internal
combustion engines, gas turbines, ovens,
and dryers), a more complex approach
was required.
  The analysis of industrial sector NOX
emissions began  with a systemat
evaluation of specific blocks of fu
burning that make  up the total  fo

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 industrial combustion. The major blocks
 of fuel combustion are well defined and
 documented  in  the literature,  which
 served as a source of the analysis.
  The combustion hardware was more
 clearly defined  by systematic  analyses
 that divided all industrial fuel burning into
 that burned by identifiable "major point
 sources" (estimated by fuel consumption
 of at least 100 x 109 Btu (or kJ /yr) and
 that  consumed by area sources. This
 classic approach, consistent with the
 NEDS treatment, allows direct  compari-
 sons  to  be  made despite using  an
 independent approach.
  Because no previous study defined the
 total population of point sources, a search
 based on all the "industries" (defined for
 the manufacturing sector in the Census
 of Manufacturers) was undertaken as an
 important  part of the  industrial fuel
 analysis.  As a first step, the Standard
 Industrial Classification (SIC) code indus-
 tries represented by 4-digit codes in the
 Census data bank were screened  to
 eliminate all those with a total annual
 fuel use of less than 100 x 109 Btu/estab-
 lishment. It was assumed that  this limit
 would prevent  overlooking any major
 direct-fired point sources in the industries
 with low average annual fuel consump-
 tion. The industries  eliminated by this
 formula were reviewed  to determine if
 this was a correct assumption.
  At the beginning of the analysis of the
 industrial sector, a decision  also was
 made not to include industries in which
 fuel  consumption could be attributed
 principally to boilers or foundries. Because
 of their numbers and widely varying sizes,
 these  were to  be the subject of an
 independent  analysis.  Industries that
 involved assembly line work where space
 heat requirements were high were also
 excluded. Together, these two screening
 criteria reduced  the total number  of
 industries for further investigation from
 450 to 114.
  The final  group of 114 industries were
 investigated to  identify direct-fired
 processes that  were  considered to be
 major point sources (because of fuel use
 estimated to be over 100 x 109 Btu/yr), to
 identify the establishments where these
 direct-fired processes were employed,
 and to estimate the amount of fuel used
 and the resulting NOX emissions.
   In the end, a list of 28 types of facilities
 employing  73 types  of  processes was
 developed for the 150-county study area
 (Table 1). These processes, together with
 foundries and  industrial boilers, are
^believed to present the most complete
 Hefinition of the  population  of fuel-
*consuming  industrial processes that had
 been developed up to the time the list was
 completed.*
   Analysis of industrial boilers with heat
 input of >250 x 106 Btu/h was based on
 existing data bases such as NEDS, the
 U.S. Department of  Energy's (DOE's)
 Major  Fuel Burning Installation (MFBI)
 survey, and PEDCo in-house data accu-
 mulated during  plant visits  connected
 with DOE projects.
   After the major industrial point sources
 and the large boilerst, had been identified,
 the sum of the fuel consumption for these
 point sources was subtracted from the
 total industrial fuel consumption reported
 by the Department of Energy. The balance
 of the industrial energy consumption was
 then treated in  a manner similar to that
 used for the residential, commercial, and
 transportation sectors. Fuel consumption
 and NOX emission estimates were then
 generated for the following  categories:
   Area sources
                        Point sources
 Residential sector
 Commercial sector
 Transportation sector
 Industrial nonpomt sources
Industrial boilers
Electric utilities
Direct-fired processes
 Applying the Methodology to
 the Study Area
   The  methodology was applied to the
 study area in four steps:
  1) Identification and location of major
     point sources.
  2) Development  of fuel consumption
     estimates for major point sources.
  3) Development  of fuel consumption
     estimates for area sources.
  4) Determination of emission  factors
     and calculation of emissions for point
     and area sources.
   Although the study area represents a
 limited fraction of  the total country, the
 results produced are of interest beyond
 their usefulness in  demonstrating  the
 methodology. In general,  the  identified
 direct-fired sources and boilers accounted
 for  a surprisingly  small percentage of
 total industrial  fuel consumption  (30
 percent in the study area). Thus, "residual"
 industrial energy  usage (classified as
 area source  consumption) is sizable,
 ranking third in  the categories of emis-
 sions (behind transportation and electric
 utilities) for the study area.
'Work subsequent to that reported here has
 expanded the group of establishments to 45 and the
 group of processes to 100. For the most part, these
 processes are very close to the estimated fuel con-
 sumption limit of 100 x 109 Btu.
tOnly 25-MW or larger boilers were considered in
 this study;  however, given sufficient resources,
 boilers in the 10- to 25-MW range probably could
 be inventoried with reasonable  accuracy by this
 same approach.
  When comparing the  results of this
study,  remember that utility emissions
are included in the NOX totals, but utility
fuel  consumption is not part of the fuel
total. Study results  showed that area
sources are the major contributors to NO*
emission in the study area. These sources
accounted  for 64 percent  of total  NO*
emissions (excluding utilities). Transpor-
tation was the dominant contributor (48
percent), but the combined total for the
residential  and commercial sectors was
significant (about  10 percent). Area
sources also accounted for 92 percent of
the fuel consumed in this study area
(excluding utilities).
  Among industrial point sources, boilers
were the  dominant  emitter  of  NOX
emissions,  and residual oil accounted for
52 percent of the industrial  boiler fuel
use.
  Table 2  summarizes point and area
source NO* emissions in the study area.
Table 3  compares  the results  of  this
methodology with NEDS data covering
the same area.
                   Conclusions
                     The methodology  for  developing a
                   major point source combustion population
                   (i.e.,  the use  of Standard  Industrial
                   Classification Codes)  was judged to be
                   successful. The resulting  list  of 28
                   facilities and 73 processes is believed to
                   include  combustion  sources of  any
                   consequence in the 150-county area.
                     The straightforward well-documented
                   methodologies  developed for calculating
                   plant production, direct-fired  fuel con-
                   sumption, and NOX emissions do not rely
                   primarily on  survey  data  from state
                   agencies. Although these procedures
                   were not optimized in this study, they can
                   be  easily  modified as  new  data  are
                   uncovered.
                     In  contrast,  the  procedures used to
                   calculate industrial  boiler fuel consump-
                   tion and NOX emissions rely  heavily on
                   NEDS and other completed studies.
                   Although these sources could be used to
                   identify boilers smaller than the 25-MW
                   equivalent  used for this study, the data
                   base  for industrial boilers is generally
                   weaker than that  for other  important
                   stationary sources,  a  situation that  will
                   prevail until a well-conceived survey of
                   the existing boiler population is conducted.
                     The methodology for calculating "resi-
                   dual" industrial fuel consuming sources
                   and NO* emissions needs more work. If a
                   study included  individual states in their
                   entirety, data from the State Energy Data
                   Base and the Census of Manufacturers
                   could be combined to provide a  better

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Table 1.    List of Major Fuel-Consuming Facilities and Processes
      Facility*
      Process'
                                              Facility
                                    Process
Petroleum refineries
Petrochemical plants
Industrial organic
 chemical plants
Industrial inorganic
  chemical plants
Atmospheric distillation
Vacuum distillation
Thermal operation
Catalytic cracking
Catalytic reforming
Hydrocracking
Hydrorefining
Alky lat ion
Aromatic manufacturing
Ammonia (steam hydrocarbon
  reforming)
Benzene, toluene, xylene
Butadiene (naphtha cracking)
Carbon black (oil furnace
  process)
Ethanol (naphtha cracking)
Ethylene/propy/ene (naphtha
  cracking)
Methanol (low pressure)

Dimethyl terephthalate
  (Dynamit Nobel)
Styrene
  (Monsanto)
Borax (drying)
Lithium hydroxide (calcina-
  tion)
Sodium carbonate (mono-
  hydrate)
                                                                            Diatomite plants

                                                                            Mineral wool plants

                                                                            Integrated iron and
                                                                              steel plants
Mini and midi iron
  and steel plants

Iron foundries

Copper smelters and
  refineries
Lead smelters and
   refineries
                                                                            Zinc smelters and
                                                                              refineries
Drying/calcination

Melting

Sintering
Coking
Steelmaking
Melting
Slabbing/blooming
Melting
Slabbing/blooming

Melting

Smelting
Roasting
Cathode melting
Arsenic oxide (roasting)

Sintering
Smelting
Softening
Desilverizing
Debismuthing

Refining
Roasting
Sintering
Electrothermic reduction
Secondary materials pre-
  paration
Phosphate rock and basic
fertilizer plants






Pulp mills

Gypsum plants

Lime plants
Brick and tile plants

Lightweight aggregate
plants

Cement plants

Container glass plants
Flat glass plants
Pressed and blown glass
plants
Potash (calcination)
Potash (drying)
Potash (leaching)
Sodium phosphate (fusion/
calcination)
Sodium phosphate (crystalli-
zation/drying)

Kraft

Dry ing/ calcination

Calcination
Firing

Expansion


Wet and dry

Melting
Melting
Melting



Titanium smelters




Tin smelters

Magnesium smelters

Aluminum smelters

Copper smelters and
refineries


Lead smelters

Aluminum sheet.
plate, and foil plants





Chlorination
Reduction
Leaching
Drying

Smelting

Calcination

Sweating
Smelting
Sweating
Smelting
Refining

Smelting

Melting
Heat treating



 "The order in which facilities and processes are listed reflects the authors' logical grouping of the industries, with respect to their relation to each other.
 perspective of the residual component of
 industrial fuel consumption.
   The methodology  reported here is
 flexible and easily modified. This strength
 has already been demonsrated in that the
 methodology  has  been further refined
 since this project was concluded.

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 Table 2.    Summary of Point and Area Source NO* Emissions in the 150-County Study Area (103 short tons or 9.1 x 10s kg f
                                   Area Sources                     Point sources

                                                                                                    /VO, total
Traditional
                                  Industrial
State
Connecticut
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New York
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Study area total
(D
Transpor-
tation
71,7
118.7
21.3
161.9
274.9
117.4
20.2
15.1
801.2
(2)
Residen-
tial
8.3
13.6
1.8
12.2
31.8
8.8
2.6
1.3
80.4
13)
Commer-
cial
3.9
10.9
0.4
16.5
42.7
4.6
1.2
0.3
80.5
(4)
Industrial
residual
13.0
8.8
0.7
9.4
12.2
51.7
1.6
1.1
98.5
(51
Boilers
1.2
1.1
0.4
2.6
34.2
4.3
0.1
0
43.9
(6)
Direct
fired
1.3
0.8
1.1
9.3
16.3
23.6
0.2
0
52.6
(7)
Electric
utility
33.4
78.3
12.2
55.4
191.9
124.5
2.1
0.1
497.9
Industrial
4, 5, and 6
15.5
10.7°
2.2
21.3C
62.T6
79.6s
1.9
1.1
195.0
Area 1. 2.
3, and 4
96.9
152.0
24.2
200.0
361.6
182.5
25.6
17.8
1060.6
Point 5,
6. and 7
35.9
80.2
13.7
67.3
242.4
152.4
2.4
0.1
594.4
State
total
132.8
232.2
37.9
267.3
6O4.O
334.9
28.0
17.9
1655.0
 'Based on 1978 data.
 hValue is 97 percent of 1978 state total based on the population of the counties included in the analysis.
 cVafue is 84 percent of 1978 state total based on the population of the counties included in the analysis.
 "Value is 97 percent of 1978 state total based on the population of the counties included in the analysis.
 'Value is 33 percent of 1978 state total based on the population of the counties included in the analysis.


Table 3.    Comparison of NO* Emissions Estimates for the ISO-County Study Area with 1980
          NEDS" Values

                                           /VO« estimates. 103 tons (9.1 x 105 kgl/yr
Emission source
Mobile source fuel combustion
Highway vehicles
Stationary source fuel combustion
Electric generation
Industrial (boilers and residual sources)
Residential/ commercial/ institutional
Industrial processes and combustion
Chemicals
Petroleum refining
Metals
Mineral products
Wood products
Other
Mobile source subtotal
Stationary source subtotal
Total
1980 NEDS values

894.1

423.7
194.2
168.6
24.8
(3.36)
(3.07)
(2.69)
(11.65)
(0.25)
(3.81)
894.1 (52.4%)
811.3(47.6%)
1705.4
This study

801.2

497.9
142.4
160.9
52.6
(0.3)
(5.1)
(26.4)
(19.4)
(1.3)
(0.0)
801.2(48.4%)
853.8(51.6%)
1655.0
8 EPA's National Emissions Data System.
  M. F. Szabo is with PEDCo Environmental, Inc., Cincinnati, OH 45246; and P. W.
    Spaite is with Paul W. Spaite Co., Cincinnati, OH 45213.
  Joshua S. Bo wen is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
  The complete report, entitled "Methodology for Development of an Independent
    Combustion Source /VO« Inventory: And Its Application to 150 Counties in the
    Northeastern United States." (Order No. PB 84 189 943; Cost: $ 19.00, subject
    to change) will be  available only from:
          National Technical Information Service
          5285 Port Royal Road
          Springfield.  VA 22161
          Telephone:  703-487-4650
  The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
          Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
          U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
          Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
                                                                                              6USGPO: 1984-759-102/10609

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Environmental Protection                 Information
Agency                                 Cincinnati OH 45268
Official Business
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