&EFA
                                  United States
                                  Environmental Protection
                                  Agency
                                  Robert S. Kerr Environmental
                                  Research Laboratory
                                  Ada OK 74820
                                 Research and Development
                                  EPA-600/S2-82-077  Feb. 1983
Project Summary
                                 Optimizing Salinity  Control
                                 Strategies  for the  Upper
                                 Colorado  River  Basin

                                 Robert G. Evans, Wynn R. Walker, and Gaylord V. Skogerboe
                                   Salinity is the most serious water
                                 quality problem in the Colorado River
                                 Basin. Its impact, felt largely in the
                                 Lower Basin, is acute because that
                                 basin is approaching conditions of full
                                 development and utilization of  all
                                 available water resources. Current
                                 estimates indicate that each mg/l-
                                 increase  in salinity concentration at
                                 Imperial .Dam results in $450,000
                                 annual damages. To offset salinity
                                 caused by development of the basin's
                                 vast energy supplies, and to allow the
                                 seven Colorado River Basin states to
                                 fully utilize their allocation of Colorado
                                 River water, it is necessary to formu-
                                 late cost-effective salinity control
                                 strategies for the basin.
                                   A simple multi-level nonlinear opti-
                                 mization procedure was utilized to
                                 formulate the most cost-effective
                                 array of salinity control strategies for
                                 the Upper Colorado River Basin. The
                                 incremental cost-effectiveness meth-
                                 odology  qualitatively  indicates the
                                 location and type of alternatives to be
                                 implemented in a least-cost basin-
                                 wide salinity control program. The
                                 results also qualitatively indicate the
                                 anticipated  salt  load reduction and
                                 anticipated  annual costs of each
                                 increment of salinity reduction for any
                                 preselected level of  control. The
                                 analysis  was limited to projects
                                 designated in PL 93-320 (Colorado
                                 River Basin Salinity Control Act, June
                                 24, 1974). Costs and salinity contri-
                                 butions associated with various alter-
                                 natives were generated using January.
                                 1980 estimated conditions.
                                   Cost-effectiveness functions were
                                  developed for each of the major canals
                                  and laterals, the aggregate laterals
                                  under each canal, and an array of on-
                                  farm improvements for  each agri-
                                  cultural project area. Similarfunctions
                                  also were developed for point sources
                                  such as Paradox Valley,  Glenwood-
                                  Dotsero Springs and Crystal Geyser.
                                  Collection and desalination of agricul-
                                  tural return flows were also considered.
                                   Marginal cost analysis based on
                                  current damage estimates indicates
                                  that the optimal cost-effective salinity
                                  control program in the Upper Basin
                                  would cost about $30 million annually
                                  and remove about 1.2 million mega-
                                  grams of salt per year (one megagram
                                  is equal to one metric ton).  In addition,
                                  it was concluded that maintenance of
                                  the 1972 salinity concentration levels
                                  at Imperial Dam cannot be cost-
                                  effectively achieved and perhaps
                                  should be allowed to rise over the
                                  1972 figure by as much as 180 mg/l.
                                   Optimal salinity control programs
                                  are presented for the individual alter-
                                  natives, for individual areas  or projects.
                                  for the states of Colorado, Utah and
                                  Wyoming, as well as for  the Upper
                                  Colorado River Basin. Sensitivity
                                  analysis showed that very large errors
                                  in costs and component salt loading
                                  would have to be evident  to change
                                  the optimal salinity control strategy.
                                   This Project Summary was devel-
                                  oped by EPA's Roberts. Kerr Environ-
                                  mental Research Laboratory, Ada.
                                  OK, to announce key findings of the
                                  research  project that is fully docu-

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mented in  a separate report of the
same title (see Project Report ordering
information at back).

Introduction

  The primary water quality problem in
the Colorado River Basin is salinity. This
problem tends to be so dominant that it
overshadows most other water quality
considerations.  Fortunately, the salt
pollution of the Colorado River by either
man-made or natural depletions and/or
discharges  is not  a  general  health
hazard. Salinity is basically an economic
problem in which a progressive build-up
in concentration  toward  the lower
reaches  causes a reduction of the
water's utility to urban and agricultural
users.  The annual  total salt burden is
about 10 million megagrams (Mgm).
  Concentrations  of  salinity in the
Colorado River range from  less than
50  mg/l in the  high  mountain head-
waters to  more than  850  mg/l  at
Imperial  Dam. Further deterioration of
Colorado River quality is expected as a
result of both water and energy resource
development. This deterioration will
occur even if salinity reduction measures
are instituted, although it would then
occur at a slower  rate.  If  no salinity
control measures are developed, salinity
increases at  Imperial Dam will range
from 1,150 mg/l to 1,340 mg/l by the
year 2000.
  To date, all salinity control planning
has been oriented toward reducing the
salt  load  of  the Colorado  River;  the
economics of control have not been of
overriding  concern.  Development of
cost-effective  programs,  or  design  of
construction projects with benefit-cost
ratios greater than one, has not had a
high priority; although control costs
have been compared  to  estimated
annual damages at Imperial Dam. The
argument presented in favor of the non-
economic approach is that Congress (PL
93-320) mandated certain projects
(Figure 1) and that these projects would
include specific construction items such
as canal linings. However, since that
legislation  was passed, the results of
numerous investigations have become
available which permit the formulation
of cost-effective salinity control projects.
  The  purpose of  Public Law 93-320
was to  mitigate  salinity increases
caused by the individual Colorado River
Basin states in developing their respec-
tive allowances of water from the
Colorado River.  Title  II  of  PL 93-320
(Section  207) specifically  states that
"nothing in this title shall be construed
to alter,  amend, repeal, modify, inter-
pret,  or  be  in conflict with the provi-
sions of the Colorado River Compact (45
Stat., 1957), the Upper Colorado River
Basin Compact (63 Stat., 31).. ./'orany
other compact or agreement and/or any
project which  allocates  the Colorado
River as  to quantity.
  PL 93-320, Title II directs the Secre-
tary of the Interior to investigate, plan
and implement a salinity control program
in the Upper Colorado River Basin. The
legislation  specifically names several
                           projects for construction  and further
                           study. The projects in the Upper Colorado
                           River Basin are summarized in Table 1.
                             According  to a U.S.  Government
                           Accounting Office (GAO) Report  in
                           1979,  it  is doubtful that  the Salinity
                           Control Program as defined in PL 93-
                           320 will reduce the salt in the Colorado
                           River as  much as predicted.  Further-
                           more,  at least six of  the seventeen
                           projects are questionable economically.
                           For example. Crystal Geyser  and Las
                           Vegas Wash,  as formulated, have very
 * Authorized Water Development Projects1
 A Authorized for Construction Water Quality
     Improvement Project, Title II
 A Water Quality Improvement Project   \  {Wyoming
     Under Investigation, Title II         i
   Water Quality Improvement Project,   '
•"-^ Transmountain Diversions

 'Does not include developments existing
  Prior to Authorization of Colorado River
  Storage Project
                                                                       PUEBLO. DENVER
                                                                       AURORA AND
                                                                         iRAOOSPGS
                                                                         IESTAKE

                                                                      RYINOPAN
                                                                      ARKANSAS

                                                                     I DEPENDENCE PASS
     Nevada
     SOUTMERI
     NEVADA WATE1
     50 0
Scale
 100   200 250 kilometers
                                       United States
                                             Mexico
Figure 1.    The Colorado River Basin and salinity control projects designated by PL
             93-320.

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 high  costs  and will  have a  "minor
 impact in reducing the river's salinity..."
 However, the GAO analysis only exam-
 ined  the projects in aggregate  as
 formulated by the  U.S. Department of
 the Interior, and did not address the fact
 that individual components of a salinity
 control project may indeed be very cost-
 effective while a total program may not
 be economically viable. They  did not
 consider that perhaps only selected
 portions of various salinity control
 projects should be constructed, which
 research has shown to be the case.
  The  primary questions left unan-
swered by PL 93-320 are  the extent of
salinity control programs  construction
and the degree of effort to be expended
in pursuit of the goals of this legislation.
For example, without regard to benefits
and costs, the Water and Power Re-
sources Service (WPRS) presents data
illustrated in Figure 2 that indicate the
difficulty of maintaining the mandated
1972 salinity levels at Imperial Dam.
Preliminary  analyses have clearly
shown that several  of the projects noted
in PL 93-320 have benefit-cost ratios
much less than one, based on  annual
damages  of $450,000 per mg/l in-
crease at Imperial Dam.

Aggregate Salinity Control
Programs

  To date, analyses have not been made
of salinity control projects in which the
most cost-effective strategies and
alternatives for implementation in an
areawide or basin-wide program were
identified. The preceding discussion
illustrated the areawide approach, and
the following discussion demonstrates
the next optimized level of the analysis,
which  is  a  basin-wide cost-effective
salinity control program.
  The  most  cost-effective salinity
control program for the Upper Colorado
River  Basin is presented  in Figures 3
and 4. Figure 3 lists the results of this
basin-wide level  of optimized salinity
control by alternative, and Figure 4
indicates the  individual state projects
included in PL 93-320. Figure 3 shows,
on-farm  improvements  and lateral
lining constitute  the largest portion of
the program. The  state  of Colorado
contains the  largest and the most
designated salinity  control projects, as
seen in Figure 4.
  If each state was required to control
its own salinity increases, only Colorado
and Utah could do so in a cost-effective
manner. It is doubtful if Wyoming could
reduce the salinity by, at most, another
 25 mg/l from the Blacks Fork and other
 irrigated areas. Therefore, Wyoming
 would probably have to resort to large-
 scale desalination  of the river and/or
 the point sources  to achieve its goal.
 This would be extremely expensive with
 a downstream damage reduction/cost
 ratio much less than one.
   New Mexico is actually expected to
 overdraw  its Colorado River water
                                     allocation by 1985. However, agricul-
                                     tural salinity control,  or a  large scale
                                     collector-desalination system, would be
                                     very costly to implement for widely
                                     dispersed  areas with relatively low
                                     salinity contributions.
                                       Figure 5 presents the optimal cost-
                                     effective  basin-wide salinity control
                                     alternatives plotted under the  Water
                                     and Power Resources Service forecast
Table 1.    Summary of Salt Loading Attributed to the  Various Sources and the
           Estimated Attainable Salinity Control Levels  for Total Programs of
           Projects Designated by PL 93-320 in the Upper Colorado River Basin

                                                               Estimated
                                               Salt Load         mg/l
                                               Reduction       Reduction
                                                 Mgm      at Imperial Dam
      Source
    Total Salt
Load Contribution
      Mgm
AGRICULTURAL CONTROL PROJECTS
Grand Valley                   630,000
Lower Gunnison                800,000
  Uncompahgre Valley           350,000
Uintah Basin                   395,000
Price -San Rafael Drainage       210,000
Dirty De vil River                  52,000
McElmo Creek                   85,000
Big Sandy River                 125,000

POINT SOURCE CONTROL PROJECTS

Paradox Valley                  180,000
Glenwood-Dotsero Springs       400,000
Meeker Dome                    29,500
Crystal Geyser                    2,720
                                             372,000
                                             570,000
                                             220,000'
                                             182.000
                                              50,000
                                              24,000
                                              50,000
                                              81,000
                                             163,000
                                             214,300
                                              29,500
                                               2,720
                                      43
                                      65
                                      25.3
                                      21
                                       7.3
                                       2.8
                                       6.0
                                       9.3
                                      18.7
                                      25.0
                                       3.4
                                       0.3
                                                               202.90
'Canal and Lateral Lining Only (USDI, WPRS. 1980c).

^1300r
| 120°
Q
•2
I//00
CQ
X
  7000
   300
I
800-
   700
                                          Curve A
                ____
                 1 9 72 Salinity Standard at
                       Imperial Dam
                                                43 Development Projects
                                                without Salinity Control

                                                Curve A + 4 Authorized
                                                Salinity Control Projects
                                                (Reduction of 575,300
                                                Mgm)

                                                Curve B+13 Salinity Con-
                                                trol Projects under Study
                                                (Reduction of 1,710.000
                                                Mgm)

                                           	(Need Reduction of
                                                2,570,000 Mgm)
                   1980
                                             2000
                                    2000+
Figure 2.
                     1990
                      Year
Salinity increase at Imperial Dam projected by the Water and Power
Resources Service (USDI, BR,  1979d).

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curve of salinity increase  at Imperial
Dam. As can be seen, almost all of the
salinity control projects except agricul-
tural desalination should be  imple-
mented by  1985.  Fortunately,  the
salinity increases have not followed this
curve and are presently at a somewhat
lower level than the 879 mg/l  annual
average which occurred-in 1972. This
has  been due partially to delayed
construction of projects, delayed energy
resources development,  and some
relatively high runoff years. The 1980
average annual value is estimated to be
802 mg/l. However, present indications
are that the projected rapid increases
have been offset at most by about 10
years, and that all of the cost-effective
projects should be on-line at the latest
by 1995. In other words, it is expected
that the  salinity concentration at
Imperial Dam will again reach the 1972
levels by 1985.
  If the January, 1980 damage cost of
$450,000/mg/l at Imperial  Dam is
accepted as  a true cost, then  it is
possible to assess the damage costs of
increased salinity concentrations due to
delaying construction of the salinity
control program. For example, using the
1985 salinity levels from Figure 5(210
mg/l increase) for comparison, and if
only one-fourth of the necessary salinity
control is constructed at that time, then
the annual costs of the delay are about
$71  million. Correspondingly,  if only
one-third is complete, the delay cost is
about $63.3 million annually. This also
assumes that  the  1972 level  of 879
mg/l should be maintained.

Conclusions
   1. The conceptual model,  simple
      nonlinear optimization and the
      resulting array of cost-effective
      salinity control strategies for the
      Upper Basin represent and illus-
      trate the use of an  easily used
      environmental quality planning
      tool.
   2. Cost-effective salinity control
      strategies to compensate for new
      resource development or water
      transfers into or out  of the basin
      which affect salinity can be easily
      developed and evaluated.
   3. As new  data become available or
      changes in political  attitudes or
      directives may dictate, the opti-
      mal salinity control strategies
      can be  easily and  continually
      updated and re-evaluated.
   4. The  methodology  and  results
      indicate with a fair degree of
      O
      Q
      I
100


 90

 80

 70

 60

 50

 40
          30-i-


          20

          10

           0
 5
 I

I

I
 c
o
   1
11
.5   ^J
                              CO
                             -J
             $45O.^pg/jrig/l_atJmperial D,
                        \/ Glenwood Dotsero Springs
                                         Paradox By-Pass
                                            Canal Lining
                                      Sublette Flats, Wyoming-*
                                          Lateral Linings	
                                        On-Farm Improvements
                                       1200
                                        1600
                                                            -t-
                                        2000
                                       2400    2800
                           Salt Load Reduction, Mgm x 10-3
      Figure 3.    Optimal Upper Colorado River Basin salinity control by alternatives.

        110r
           400
                              800      1200     1600     2000

                               Salt Load Reduction, Mgm x 10-3
                                                 2400    2800
       Figure 4.    Optimal Upper Colorado River Basin salinity control program delineated
                   by state.
4

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  1200

I
•2

I"00
I
e/ooo
Q
   300
               WPFtS Forecast
               Curve A \
                               Desalination
Canal Linings •
                        Glenwood Dotsero Springs
                           Paradox By-Pass
                                       Lateral Linings
                                                      ^•Sublette Flats.
                                                            Wyoming
                                            On-Farm Improvements
                                   879 mg/l
         1972  1975
       1980
 1985
Year
1990
1995
2000
Figure 5.    Cost-effective implementation strategy for optimal level of salinity
             control alternatives in the Upper Colorado River Basin.
      certainty the priority and magni-
      tude of control for  each alter-
      native, for each area, and for the
      basin-wide PL 93-320 salinity
      control program.
   5.  Some degree of on-farm improve-
      ments and  lateral linings  are
      cost-effective in  every  agricul-
      tural area examined in the Upper
      Basin. However, this work must
      be  accompanied  by greatly in-
      creased technical assistance to
      the growers by the implementing
      agency and/or extension  per-
      sonnel. These programs are the
      most cost-effective,  and better
      information and/or data are not
      likely to affect their implemen-
      tation as a salinity control mea-
      sure.
   6.  All  lining  of  the laterals and 58
      percent of the on-farm improve-
      ments (cutback irrigation) in the
      Grand Valley should be construc-
      ted  before  lining any of the
      Government  Highline Canal. In
      fact,  some on-farm  and lateral
      linings  should be done in all
      agricultural  areas before canal
      lining is initiated.
   7.  At current damage estimates of
      $450,0007mg/l at Imperial Dam,
      only  about 57 percent of the
      canals in the Grand Valley should
      be  lined. The Grand Valley has
      the most canals to be lined of any
      area at this level of damages.
   8.  Most of the on-farm,  lateral
      lining, and the very small canal
                          (actually  smaller than  many
                          laterals) lining salinity control
                          program should  be  constructed
                          in the Lower Gunnison area
                          before canal linings are initiated.
                       9. Programs  in the  Uintah  Basin,
                          Price-San  Rafael Rivers, Muddy
                          Creeks, and McElmo Creek will
                          basically consist  of on-farm and
                          lateral linings with very little
                          canal lining.
                      10. The use  of canals for winter
                          livestock water causes substan-
                          tial salt  loading from several
                          areas  in  the  basin  and contri-
                          butes numerous problems of
                          local waterlogging and soil sali-
                          nation.
                      11. The barrier well network  and
                          Sublette Flat evaporation area as
                          proposed  by  the USDA, Soil
                          Conservation Service,  and mini-
                          mal on-farm improvements are
                          the most  cost-effective salinity
                          program for the Big Sandy area in
                          Wyoming.  The "buy-out" alter-
                          native as proposed by some local
                          landowners was evaluated and
                          found not cost-effective.
                      12. Collection  and reverse osmosis
                          desalination of agricultural return
                          flows  should be  included as a
                          viable salinity control alternative
                          in all irrigated areas. However, at
                          current estimates of downstream
                          damages, desalination would not
                          be implemented.
                      13. The by-pass alternative for the
                          Paradox Valley was evaluated
      and  found  to  be more cost-
      effective than the proposed Radi-
      um evaporation pond alternative.
      This  was primarily due to the
      greatly increased costs of evapo-
      ration ponds.
  14. The proposed desalination of the
      Glenwood-Dotsero Springs  in
      Colorado was evaluated in detail
      as part  of  this study.  It  was
      concluded that the most econom-
      ical  alternative was  a  primary
      reverse osmosis plant followed
      by a  much  smaller  secondary
      multi-stage flash distillation  unit.
      However, at current average
      damage estimates, this project is
      marginally feasible.
  15. The  use of  average costs per
      mg/l of treatment is  misleading
      and  should  not be used in the
      delineation or phasing of salinity
      control projects.
  16. At current average damage  esti-
      mates, it is cost-effective to treat
      only  about 48 to 50 percent of the
      total  attainable salt load reduc-
      tion from the projects designated
      in PL 93-320.
  17. All of this analysis points to the
      fact  that the arbitrary target  of
      maintaining  1972 salinity levels
      at Imperial Dam cannot be cost-
      effectively attained. In fact, these
      results  indicate that the target
      level should be increased  to
      about  1,030 or 1,040  mg/l  or
      more.
  18. Present trends  indicate  that all
      of the  cost-effective  salinity
      control programs should be on-
      line  no  later  than  1995.  The
      increased damage costs due  to
      delayed  construction of these
      projects can be  substantial.
  19. Sensitivity analysis of the  data
      and  the  optimization procedure
      indicate that substantial  error in
      costs and the respective salt load
      contributions of the individual
      alternatives  would have to occur
      to change the  optimal  order  of
      implementation of a  basin-wide
      salinity control program.


Recommendations

   1. Desired levels of salinity control
      must  be determined and imple-
      mented as soon  as possible since
      they  will  dictate  the type  and
      extent of  many of the  alterna-
      tives. This is especially true for
      on-farm improvements.

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2. Because on-farm improvements
   and  lateral linings are cost-
   effective  in  all of  the  irrigated
   areas examined in this analysis,
   the list of areas included in PL
   93-320 should be expanded.
   These basic on-farm improve-
   ments should be implemented in
   all of the agricultural areas as the
   initial most cost-effective salinity
   control program.
3. The  Soil  Conservation  Service,
   the Extension  Service  and the
   other technical agencies involved
   in salinity control should make a
   long-term  commitment of ade-
   quate technical assistance to the
   growers.  The  on-going work
   in the Grand Valley clearly indi-
   cates the  need for  this type of
   program. Recruiting and training
   personnel for this type of activity
   will be necessary.
4. On-farm improvement and lateral
   lining programs consistent with
   selected  levels  of  basin-wide
   salinity control should be started
   as soon as possible in all of the
   irrigated areas.
5. The  Sublette  Flats  evaporation
   area and a  network of barrier
   wells and  a minimal  on-farm
   improvement program should be
   initiated as the total  salinity
   control  program  for  the  Big
   Sandy area in Wyoming.
6. The use of canals and laterals for
   winter livestock water should be
   eliminated, if dependable alter-
   native water supplies  such as
   rural water districts or ground-
   water could be developed.
7. Design and  construction of the
   by-pass alternative for the Para-
   dox Valley salt  source should
   begin as soon as possible. In
   addition, it may be necessary to
   construct a series of small wells
   to intercept some of the ground-
   water inflow to the salt dome-
   brine interface.
8. A salinity damage  function is
   presently being developed under
   contract to the Water and Power
   Resources Service. When this
   information becomes available,
   the feasibility of maintaining the
   1972 salinity concentration levels
   at  Imperial  Dam should be re-
   evaluated.
9. Results of  this analysis indicate
   the advisability of implementing
   the identified most cost-effective
   salinity control program regard-
    less of where or which state the
    salinity increases occurred. Colo-
    rado  will contain the  major
    programs, and these projects will
    serve  to counterbalance salinity
    increases in  other areas,  Physi-
    cally, Wyoming would not be able
    to  control its own salinity in-
    creases.
10. The scope of the LowerGunnison
    project should be  expanded  by
    the Water and Power Resources
    Service to include all of the
    irrigated lands in the area, and
    not be  restricted  to only the
    Uncompahgre Project lands. The
    canal  and lateral lining  program
    proposed by  the WPRS  is not
    cost-effective and should  be re-
    evaluated. The possibilities for
    gravity-powered sprinkler sys-
    tems  and closed conduit canal
    and lateral linings  in the North
    Fork of the Gunnison River should
    be  examined.
11.  There is a definite need to obtain
    a better data base for several of
    the areas,  especially  McElmo
    Creek in southwestern Colorado.
    The groundwater base flows in
    the Lower  Gunnison,  McElmo
    Creek  and the  Uintah  Basin
    require  further effort. Seepage
    rate data for canals and laterals
    in project  areas are  lacking.
    These data should be collected to
    define the  most cost-effective
    incremental canal and lateral
    lining programs for each area.
12.  Studies should be initiated in the
    Price-San Rafael,  Uintah, McElmo
    and  Lower Gunnison areas to
    determine  the relative magni-
    tude of  the natural salt contri-
    bution  for  each  irrigated  area.
    This information  would be  nec-
    essary to delineate  the more
    exact cost-effectiveness func-
    tions prior to undertaking a
    construction program.
Robert G. Evans is with Washington State University, Prosser, WA 99350; Wynn
  R. Walker is with Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322; and Gaylord V.
  Skogerboe is with Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523.
James P. Law, Jr., is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
The complete report, entitled "Optimizing Salinity Control Strategies for the Upper
  Colorado River Basin," (Order No. PB 83-136 143; Cost: $19.00, subject to
  change) will be available only from:
        National Technical Information Service
        5285 Port Royal Road
        Springfield, VA 22161
        Telephone: 703-487-4650
The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
        Robert S. Kerr Environmental Research Laboratory
        U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
        P.O. Box 1198
        Ada, OK 74820

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Environmental Protection
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Information
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