United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Environmental Monitoring
Laboratory
Las Vegas NV 89114       "'
Research and Development
EPA-600/S3-81-001 Feb. 1981
Project Summary
Modifications  of  Models
Predicting    Trophic   State    of
Lakes:  Adjustment  of  Models
to  Account  for  the  Biological
Manifestations  of Nutrients

S. C. Hern, V. W. Lambou, L R. Williams, and W. D. Taylor
  The  strong relationship between
total phosphorus and phytoplankton
biomass in  lakes has been clearly
confirmed by researchers. What is
now needed to predict algal biomass
for  making  better management
decisions for individual  lakes is a
quantitative  understanding of  the
range in biomass (as measured by
chlorophyll a) per unit of phosphorus.
This range extends over several orders
of magnitude.
  To  determine the environmental
factors affecting the response of
phytoplankton chlorophyll a to total
phosphorus concentration, collected
data  from  757 U.S. lakes  were
analyzed showing that light
attenuation  from interferences not
related to  chlorophyll a  can
dramatically affect  the quantity of
phytoplankton biomass in  many U.S.
lakes. The  ratio of biologically
available phosphorus to nitrogen is, in
some cases, an important factor in
determining  the amount of
chlorophyll a produced per unit of
phosphorus present.
  This report presents methods to
modify nutrient ambient- and loading-
models that predict the trophic state
of lakes to:

  1.  change the trophic classifica-
     tion based on an ambient total
     phosphorus level to one based
     on  the biological  manifesta-
     tion of nutrients as measured by
     chlorophyll a.

  2.  allow  determination  of  the
     critical  levels of phosphorus
     that will Jesuit in unacceptable
     levels of chlorophyll a. and

  3.  account for  the  unique
     characteristics of a lake that
     affect  the amount of chloro-
     phyll a produced per unit of
     phosphorus.

  If chlorophyll a is used as the trophic
classification  criterion rather  than
total  phosphorus, many  U.S. lakes
would be classified  lower, i.e.,  less
eutrophic.
  This Project Summary  was
developed by EPA's Environmental
Monitoring Systems Laboratory, Las
Vegas. NV, to announce key findings
of the research  project that is fully
documented in a separate report of the
same title (see Project Report ordering
information at back).


Introduction
  Phosphorus  supply is considered to
be the primary determinant of algal
community biomass and production in
most  temperate  zone  lakes.

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Researchers clearly confirm the strong
correlation between total phosphorus
and  phytoplankton  biomass  (as
measured by  chlorophyll  a).  What  is
presently  needed  to  predict  algal
biomass for management decisions on
individual  lakes  is   a   quantitative
understanding of the range in biomass
(chlorophyll a) per unit of phosphorus;
this range  extends  over orders  of
magnitude.

  Existing models predict ambient total
phosphorus  lake concentration from
tributary  phosphorus  loading  data.
These  and similar models are  widely
used to indicate the degree of eutrophy
of  lakes  and  to  evaluate  the
environmental   effects  of   ambient
phosphorus   levels   m   lakes  and,
accordingly, to make  decisions about
lake management. For example, they
can be used to manipulate ambienttotal
phosphorus concentration to produce a
desired environmental effect. All these
models  use   levels  of  10  and  20
micrograms  per  liter    of  ambient
phosphorus  concentrations  to  divide
lakes  into  three  standard  trophic
classifications—oligotrophic,  mesotro-
phic, and eutrophic—on the assumption
that the relationship of phytoplankton
biomass to phosphorus is the same for
all  lakes.

  However, the  use and incorporation
of  phosphorus   into  phytoplankton
biomass vanes significantly from lake to
lake.  The  efficiency  of  use  of
phosphorus is largely dependent on the
availability of light, sufficient supply  of
other   nutrients,  and  biological
availability of the various phosphorus
species.
  The use of these models to predict
phytoplankton  biomass from  actual or
potential phosphorus concentrations  in
individual bodies of water could lead to
faulty  management  decisions  if  the
factors affecting the use of phosphorus
are not taken  into consideration. This
study evaluates the factors affecting the
relationship of phytoplankton biomass
to phosphorus levels and shows how to
modify  models predicting the  trophic
state of lakes to take these factors into
account. The data base used to evaluate
the factors  was derived from data
collected in  the National  Eutrophica-
tion Survey during the spring, summer
and fall  of 1972 through 1975,  and
involved 757  of the  lakes  surveyed
throughout  the 48  conterminous
States.
Conclusions
  Previous workers have established a
strong relationship between CHLA (a
measure of phytoplankton biomass) and
total phosphorus in lakes. They report
an  extremely  high   log-log  product
moment correlation coefficient ranging
from 0.85 to 0.98 between chlorophyll a
and  total  phosphorus in  lakes.  The
implication of these  findings  is that
phosphorus is the element that controls
algal biomass. However, we believe that
the relationship between chlorophyll a
and total phosphorus described by these
workers represents the situation under
nearly  ideal  conditions,  i.e., without
major interferences.
  In this study of 757 U.S.  lakes, a log-
log  product   moment   correlation
coefficient  of  only 0.60  was  found
between  chlorophyll  a  and   total
phosphorus, and the response ratio (i.e.,
the amount of chlorophyll a produced
per unit of total phosphorus) was found
to vary  greatly. It  therefore appeared
that  many U.S. lakes do not  reach
maximum  production  of chlorophyll a
because of interference factors.
  Interference factors that may prevent
phytoplankton   chlorophyll  a   from
achieving  maximum   theoretical
concentrations  based  upon ambient
total phosphorus levels in a lake include
availability of light, limitation of growth
factors  other  than total  phosphorus
components, domination of the aquatic
flora by vascular  plants  rather than
phytoplankton, short  hydraulic  reten-
tion  time, and the presence of toxic
substances.   We  found  that   light
attenuation  from  non-chlorophyll  a
related  interferences can dramatically
affect the  quantity of phytoplankton
biomass present in  lakes In some cases
the  ratio  of  biologically  available
phosphorus to nitrogen is an important
factor in determining the amount of
chlorophyll a produced per unit of total
phosphorus, while  temperature  is not
an important factor.
  Most  of  the trophic  classification
schemes for lakes  use nutrient  levels
rather than the biological manifestation
of nutrients as measured by chlorophyll a
as the  basis  of classification.  When
classified on the basis of chlorophyll a
rather than total phosphorus, 25 per-
cent of the 757 lakes used  in the study
were classified lower, i.e., less  eutro-
phic. If,  in fact, the large population of
lakes used  in this study is representa-
tive of conditions throughout the U.S.,
and if the manifestations of nutrients
rather  than their absolute  concentra-
tions   are  the  primary criteria  for
beneficial water use,  many communi-
ties could be spared the burden of costly
nutrient-removal  programs suggested
by phosphorus-based trophic classifica-
tions.
  This  study  developed methods  to
modify loading and ambient modelsthat
predict the trophic state of lakes to (1)
change the trophic classification based
on an ambient total phosphorus level to
one  based  on  the  biological
manifestation of nutrients measured by
chlorophyll a; (2) determine  the critical
levels  of total phosphorus which will
result  in an  unacceptable  level  of
chlorophyll a so that the level of total
phosphorus can  be  manipulated  to
achieve  the  desired  use  of  a given
waterbody;  and (3)  account for the
unique characteristics of a lake  that
affect  the  amount of  chlorophyll  a
produced per unit of total phosphorus.

Recommendations
  The  commonly  used  ambient  and
loading models predict the trophic state
of a lake from total phosphorus levels
and assume that all lakes will respond in
the same manner to a given ambient
total   phosphorus  concentration.
Because   non-chlorophyll  a  light
interferences and other interferences in
many U.S.  lakes significantly decrease
the amount of chlorphyll a produced per
unit  of total  phosphorus,  and since
excessive  algal  growth  or  other
manifestations of nutrients are  more
important  from  a  water  quality
standpoint than a trophic classification
based  on an  arbitrary  ambient total
phosphorus level, we  recommend that
ambient and loading models predicting
trophic state be adjusted to account for
the amount of chlorophyll a produced
per unit of total phosphorus m a lake.

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The EPA authors S. C. Hem, V. W. Lambou, L. R. Williams, and W. D. Taylor
  arere with the Environmental Monitoring Systems Laboratory, Las Vegas,
  NV89114.
V. W. Lambou is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
The complete report, entitled "Modifications of Models Predicting Trophic State
  of Lakes: Adjustment of Models to Account for the Biological Manifestations of
  Nutrients." (Order No. PB 81-144 362; Cost: $6.50, subject to change) will be
  available only from:
       National Technical Information Service
       5285 Port Royal Road
       Springfield,  VA 22161
       Telephone: 703-487-4650
The EPA Project Officer can be  contacted at:
       Environmental Monitoring Systems Laboratory
       U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
       P.O. Box 15027
       Las  Vegas, NV89114
                                                                                 • U* GOVERNMENT PMNTTNO OfnCE; f»1 -757-064/OZ58

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