United States Environmental Protection Agency Environmental Research Laboratory Athens GA 30613 Research and Development EPA-600/S3-82-027 Sept. 1982 Project Summary Conservation Tillage and Conventional Tillage: A Comparative Assessment Pierre Crosson The objective of this study was to reach a judgment of the amount of U.S. cropland likelyto be insome form of conservation tillage in 2010. The future spread of conservation tillage will be conditioned primarily by farmers' perceptions of its economic advantages relative to conventional tillage and by society's perceptions of its advantages and disadvantages with respect to the environment. Accordingly, the study first considers the economics of conservation tillage relative to conventional tillage, exam- ining differences between the two technologies in the quantities of resources used and in yields. The conclusion is that conservation tillage typically uses less of certain resources and more of others, but that on balance it requires 5 to 10 percent less expenditure per acre than conven- tional tillage. Yield differences vary widely, depending fundamentally on soil characteristics and climate, but on well-drained soils in the Corn Belt, Southeast, and much of the Northern and Southern Plains where weeds can be controlled by herbicides, yields with conservation tillage are fully competitive with yields of conven- tional tillage. The conclusion is that the economic advantages of conser- vation tillage could induce farmers to adopt it on 50 to 60 percent of the Nation's cropland by 2010. A little less than 25 percent of cropland was in conservation tillage in 1979. This Project Summary was devel- oped by EPA's Environmental Re- search Laboratory, Athens. GA, to announce key findings of the research project that is fully documented in a separate report of the same title (see Project Report ordering information at back). Introduction Prospective growth m agricultural production and crop yields indicates that over the next three decades the demand for cropland in the United States could increase by 60 to 70 mill ion acres. The present supply of cropland is fully used so the additional acres would have to come from land now in pasture, forest and range. Much of this land is subject to high erosion hazard. Convert- ing it to crops will greatly increase erosion and consequent damages to water quality and to the productivity of the land unless protective measures are taken. Except on level land, the amount of erosion from an acre of cropland is greatly influenced by the kind of tillage technologies farmers employ. Tillage that completely inverts the soil and buries all crop residue generally will leave the land much more exposed to the erosive forces of wind and water than tillage that turns the soil less and leaves much crop residue on the surface. The latter kind of technology is called conservation tillage to distinguish it from conventional tillage. Conserve- ------- tion tillage covers a variety of tillage practices, but they all have three features in common: (1) they use some instrument other than the moldboard plow to prepare the seed bed; (2) they leave enough crop residue on the soil surface to significantly reduce erosion; and (3) they rely less on cultivation and more on herbicides to control weeds than conventional tillage. The distin- guishing characteristics of conservation tillage and conventional tillage are shown in Table 1. The magnitude of the erosion hazard the nation will face overthe next several decades will be much influenced by the extent to which farmers adopt conser- vation tillage. The rate of adoption will be determined fundamentally by the economic advantages of conservation tillage relative to conventional tillage and by public policies, which may favor or impede adoption. Policies favoring adoption may be developed because of the advantages of conservation tillage in reducing erosion. Policies impeding adoption may come into play if it appears that the greater reliance of conservation tillage on herbicides threatens unacceptable environmental damage. This study investigates the compara- tive economics and environmental impacts of conservation tillage and conventional tillage to reach a judgment about the spread of conservation tillage over the next three decades. Economics of Conservation Tillage and Conventional Tillage Quantities of Resources Conservation tillage evidently has some economic advantages over con- ventional tillage. This is indicated by its spread since the mid-1960s (Table 2), a period in which policies to encourage conservation tillage went little if any beyond exhortation by the Soil Conser- vation Service (SCS) and various state conservation agencies. On a per acre basis conservation tillage requires less pre-harvest labor and less fuel than conventional tillage. A farmer who opts 100 percent for conservation tillage also will have lower machinery investment costs, but the extent of this advantage is obscure because many farmers will want to retain the capacity for conventional tillage also. The savings in labor and fuel occur because the farmer makes fewer passes over the field with his tractor for land Table 1. Distinguishing Characteristics of Conservation Til/age and Conventional Til/age Tillage System Characteristic Tillage instrument Crop residue on soil surface Weed control Conservation Not the moldboard plow Enough to significantly reduce erosion Primarily herbicides, but may a/so cultivate Conventional Moldboard plow Little or none Mechanical cultivation more important than with conservation til/age, but herbicides typically used also Table2. Land in Conservation Tillage in the U.S. (millions acres) 1965 1973 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979* USDA 6.6 29.5 35.8 39.2 47.5 51.7 55.0 %of Harvested Cropland 23 9.3 10.8 11.8 14.1 15.6 16.1 /v No-Till] NA 4.9 6.5 7.5 7.3 7.1 7.6 :o-i in i-armer Minimum Till\ NA 39.1 49.7 52.1 62.7 67.7 71.6 Total NA 44.0 56.2 59.6 70.0 74.8 79.2 %of Harvested Cropland NA 13.9 17.0 18.0 20.7 22.6 23.2 *Preliminary. tDefined as "where only the intermediate seed zone is prepared. Up to 25 percent of surface area could be worked. Could be no-till, till-plant, chisel plant rotary strip tillage, etc. Includes many forms of conservation tillage and mulch tillage." Obviously the numbers in this column reflect tillage practices other than no-till. ^.Definedas "limited tillage," but where the total field surface is still worked by tillage equipment. preparation and cultivation to control weeds. The saving in machinery is because a less powerful, therefore less expensive, tractor can handle the more shallow tillage characteristic of conser- vation tillage. The savings in labor, fuel and machin- ery (if any) vary widely among farmers depending upon local circumstances. Roughly, however, the saving in pre- harvest labor is on the order of 50 percent. No-till, an extreme form of conservation tillage, saves 3to4gallons of diesel fuel per acre and other forms of conservation tillage save 1 to 3 gallons. The machinery investment saving, assuming 100 percent adoption of conservation tillage, is about $5 per acre. Some of the literature on tillage technologies suggests that losses of nitrogen fertilizer are higher with conservation tillage than with conven- tional tillage so that more is required to achieve a given yield. Other parts of the literature dispute this, however. In this study it is assumed that per acre amounts of fertilizer used with the two •technologies are the same. The literature suggests that conser- vation tillage requires more skilled management than conventional tillage. A number of reasons typically are given: fewer passes over the field mean fewer opportunities to correct previous mis- takes in plowing and planting; the surface residue makes it more difficult to get good seed placement, requiring extra care in this crucial operation; weed, insect and disease problems likely will be more complex, requiring more knowledge of the properties of a wider variety of pesticides and of howto apply them, or of crop rotations and disease and insect resistant varieties as substitutes for pesticides; more know- ledge of machinery characteristics and more care in machinery operation and maintenance. The requirement for more skilled management with conservation tillage is real enough, but it is doubtful that this adds significantly to the costs of the technology. The history of American ------- agriculture since the end of World War II indicates that American farmers can quickly learn to manage new technolo- gies when it is in their economic interest to do so. Acquiring the management skills needed for successful conservation tillage would require some investment by farmers of time and perhaps financial resources, but amortized over time the skills would be employed, their cost almost surely would be small. Conservation tillage typically requires more pesticides per acre than conven- tional tillage. The crop residue left on the soil surface provides an environment favorable to insects and diseases, and herbicides to a large extent substitute for cultivation to control weeds. The requirement for more herbicides is more clearly demonstrated than that for more insecticides and fungicides. Most of the insecticides applied to conservation tilled land is land corn. The quantity of insecticides used on corn increased 50 percent from 1 971 to 1976, a period in which conservation tillage in corn was spreading rapidly. However, the amount of insecticide applied per acre of corn land receiving treatment declined. Although conservation tillage does increase the threat of disease, the favored treatment is use of disease- resistant varieties rather than more fungicides. There are three reasons why conser- vation tillage typically requires more herbicides than conventional tillage. One is the substitution effect. If control of weeds by tillage is reduced then a compensatory increase in herbicides is necessary to maintain the same level of control. There also is an efficiency effect. Some of the herbicide gets tied up by the crop residue so more is required to do the job. Finally, there is an environmental effect. The surface residue typically reduces evaporation of water, resulting in more moist soil. This favors germination and growth of weeds. On balance, the lower requirements of conservation tillage for labor, fuel and machinery more than offset the greater requirement for pesticides. The effect on costs is not clear, but by a rough estimate, per acre costs of conservation tillage, exclusive of land, are 5 to 10 percent less than costs of conventional tillage. If there were no differences in yields between the two tillage systems then these cost differences would imply rapid substitution of conservation tillage for conventional tillage. Indeed substitution is implied even with lower yields for conservation tillage so long as the difference is not more than 5 to 10 percent. Obviously the yield performance of the two technologies must be considered. Yields It is important to distinguish between the short-term (one or two years) and long-term (decades) yield effects of tillage technologies. Over the long term the lower rates of erosion associated with conservation tillage can give it a decisive yield advantage relative to conventional tillage. Whether this occurs depends upon (1) the differential advantage of conservation tillage in reducing erosion; (2) the amount of topsoil and the nature of the underlying parent material; and (3) the relation of changes in the amount of topsoil to changes in yield over time. Depending upon these three condi- tions, the effect of the erosion factor in the choice of tillage technologies is either neutral or it favors conservation tillage It can never favor conventional tillage. Consequently, where conserva- tion tillage confers a short-term yield advantage farmers will always choose that technology (given its cost advantage depicted in the previous section). Even where short-term yields of conservation tillage are less, however, farmers may yet choose that technology over conven- tional tillage if the erosion advantage of conservation tillage is sufficiently strong. The advantage of conservation tillage will be (1) the greater annual yield difference between conservation and conventional tillage as determined by the three factors listed above; (2) the higher cost to the farmer of substituting fertilizer or other inputs for the lost soil; (3) the longer length of time over which the yield differences matter to the farmer; (4) the higher the farmer expects future crop prices to be relative to current prices; and (5) the lower rate of discount the farmer applies to future earnings. It is likely that real fertilizer prices will rise over the next several decades (factor (2) above). Other things the same, this would strengthen the long-term yield advantage of conservation tillage over conventional tillage. Little is known however, about the effect of erosion on yields, about the length of the farmer's time horizon, his expectations about future crop prices or his rate of discount. Consequently, the only confident state- ment we can make is one already made above: since conservation tillage never produces more erosion than conventional tillage and typically produces much less, the erosion effect on yields can never be to the disadvantage of conservation tillage. At worst it will be neutral, and it must often be positive, although without much additional research we cannot identify the specific situations in which this would be true or estimate the strength of the advantage. The question of the long-term yield effects of erosion would be moot if conservation tillage had a clear short- term yield advantage over conventional tillage. In fact, short-term yield differ- ences vary widely from place to place and time to time, with conservation tillage yields sometimes higher and sometimes lower. Some generalizations are warranted, however. Conservation tillage generally conserves soil moisture. This conveys a yield advantage in semi- arid areas and wherever soils are droughty. It is a disadvantage, however, on poorly drained soils, primarily because excessive moisture m these soils fosters plant diseases. Because of the surface residue soil temperature in the spring generally is lower with conservation tillage, and this may delay seed germination and seedling emergence, a disadvantage where growing seasons are short, as in the northern tier of states. Finally, conservation tillage is at a distinct disadvantage wherever weeds cannot be adequately controlled with herbicides. Perennial weeds in particular may become troublesome because cultivation generally gives better control of these weeds than herbicides. Indeed, a theme running through the literature is that conservation tillage should not be tried wherever perennial weeds flourish. Summary on Economics Resource costs with conservation tillage are 5 to 10 percent less than costs of conventional tillage. On well drained soils in regions where the growing season is not too short and weeds can be adequately controlled with herbicides, yields with conservation tillage are comparable to yields with conventional tillage. These conditions are widely enough met that, with present technologies and practices, conservation tillage should prove eco- nomical on 50 to 60 percent of the Nation's cropland. ------- Environmental Impacts of Conservation Tillage and Conventional Tillage The objective of the discussion is to reach judgments about differences between the two technologies with respect to environmental damages from erosion and from pollution by pesticides and fertilizers. Erosion By weight, eroded soil is by far the biggest polluter of surface water in the United States. It may impair recreational values, harm fish, and when it settles shorten the useful life of reservoirs and clog harbors, requiring expensive dredging operations to clear it away. Erosion also will eventually reduce the productivity of the land, the amount of the reduction depending upon the depth of topsoil, the rate of erosion, nature of the underlying material, climate, and other factors. The produc- tivity effects of erosion may be masked for long periods by technological advance, particularly the use of fertilizers to replace naturally occurring nutrients carried away by erosion. Erosion-induced losses of productivity do not necessarily impose social costs. Only those losses which impinge on society's interest in maintaining the productivity of the land are counted. Society's interest does not necessarily require zero losses. If future demands on the land are expected to increase little and technological advance to be rapid, then productivity losses because of erosion may be more than compen- sated by technology. At present in the United States, however, the prospect is for substantial increase in demand for products of the land and the pace of technological advance shows signs of faltering. In these circumstances, prudence suggests that the effects of erosion on productivity may give cause for social concern. On land that is not level, conservation tillage reduces erosion 50 to 90 percent compared with conventional tillage. Conservation tillage thus has strong advantages with respect to both water quality and productivity. Fertilizer Excessive amounts of nitrates in ground and surface water may harm people and animals who drink the water and nitrates and phosphorus can stimulate plant growth in surface waters, leading to accelerated eutrophi- cation. Most of the nitrogen and phosphorus lost from farmers' fields is carried by eroded soil. However, the soil nitrogen is mineralized very slowly and so contributes little to the nutrient enrich- ment of the receiving waters. Much of the phosphorus carried by eroded soil also is not available to support plant growth. For these reasons, the advantage of conservation tillage in reducing erosion does not convey a proportional advantage in reducing nutrient lossesto water bodies. Indeed, it may convey no advantage at all. The nitrate concentration in run-off water generally is higher with conserva- tion tillage because the technology does not incorporate fertilizers as deeply as conventional tillage and nutrients are leached from the surface residues. The amount of runoff is less with conserva- tion tillage, however, so the increased concentration of nitrates does not necessarily mean greater loss of nitrates. Leaching of nitrates to groundwater typically is greater with conservation tillage than with conventional tillage. However, there is little basis for generalizing about the differences between the two technologies with respect to delivery of nutrients to surface waters. Pesticides Most pesticides show a strong affinity for soil. Consequently, pesticide concen- trations in eroded soil are usually higher than in the associated runoff. Some of the most commonly used pesticides, with high toxicity to aquatic life — trifluralin, endrin, and toxaphene — are so tightly bound to the soil that a reduction in erosion reduces the amounts of these materials leaving the farmer's field. This is true also of the herbicide, paraquat. For other less insoluble pesticides the bulk of losses are in runoff, even though the concentration of these materials in sediment is higher than in runoff. The reason is that water, by weight, is much the greater part of water plus soil. For these more soluble pesticides tillage practices which reduce erosion but not runoff will not signifi- cantly reduce pesticide losses. However, as noted earlier, conservation tillage typically reduces runoff as well as erosion. Apart from these effects on water quality, the fact that conservation tillage typically uses more herbicides per acre than conventional tillage raises the possibility of a difference in environ- mental impact. Herbicide drift sometimes damages neighboring crops, and it is plausible to believe that the risk of this is greater with conservation tillage simply because more herbicides are applied. Research on the effects of herbicides on soil microorganisms indicates that populations may be reduced immediately after application, but they recover quickly and no permanent damage is done to important functions, e.g. biological fixation of nitrogen. However, not all possible avenues of damage to soil microorganisms by prolonged use of herbicides have been explored. Additional research to explore these avenues is needed. Herbicides generally have low toxicity to humans. A number are under suspi- cion of being carcinogenic or mutagenic, but the evidence is quite inconclusive. On balance the greater reliance of conservation tillage on herbicides probably makes the technology a greater threat to the environment than conventional tillage, so far as pesticide damage is concerned. The extent of the increased threat is not known, but present evidence suggests it is not large. The Future Spread of Conservation Tillage The economic advantages of conser- vation tillage indicate that it could eventually occupy 50 to 60 percent of the Nation's cropland. Public policy could either increase or decrease that percentage. If erosion is perceived to be a major threat to water quality and productivity of the land, then policies likely will be adopted to encourage the spread of conservation tillage beyond where economics alone would take it. If the increased use of herbicides, however, seems to pose a greater environmental threat than erosion, policies to impede the spread of conservation tillage would be likely. If the demand for cropland increases 60 to 70 million acres by 2010, as present trends in crop demand and yields imply, erosion likely will emerge as a major national concern. Unless research demonstrates that greatly increased use of herbicides would impose an even greater environmental threat than erosion, policies likely will be adopted to encourage the spread of conservation tillage. In the absence of more incriminating evidence against herbicides than now is available, the conclusion that 50 to 60 percent of cropland eventually could be in conser- vation tillage probably is conservative. ------- Pierre Crosson is with Resources for the Future, Washington, DC 20036. G. W. Bailey is the EPA Project Officer (see below). The complete report, entitled "Conservation Tillage and Conventional Tillage: A Comparative Assessment," (Order No. PB 82-249 160; Cost: $10.50, subject to change) will be available only from: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Telephone: 703-487-4650 The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at: Environmental Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protect/on Agency Athens, GA 30613 •&U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1982/559-092/0506 ------- United States Environmental Protection Agency Center for Environmental Research Information Cincinnati OH 45268 Postage and Fees Paid Environmental Protection Agency EPA 335 Official Business Penalty for Private Use $300 ENVIR2PROT£CTION CHICAGO IL 60604 ------- |