1 i ,
vvEPA
                                United States
                                Environmental Protection
                                Agency
                                Environmental Research
                                Laboratory
                                Duluth MN 55804
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                                Research and Development
                                 EPA-600/S3-82-072  Oct. 1982
Project  Summary
                                Impact of a  Once Through
                                Cooling  System  on the
                                Yellow Perch Stock in the
                                Western  Basin  of Lake Erie
                                A. L. Jensen and T. A. Hamilton
                                  Conventional stock assessment
                                models have been applied to determine
                                the impact of entrainment and im-
                                pingement at the Monroe Power Plant
                                on the yellow perch stock of the
                                western basin of Lake Erie. First the
                                surplus production model was applied.
                                Biological  parameters of  the  model
                                were estimated from commercial
                                catch and effort data, and entrainment
                                and impingement coefficients  were
                                estimated from power plant data. The
                                model was used to estimate stock
                                biomass, egg production,  and larvae
                                production; the proportions entrained
                                and impinged were then  estimated.
                                The impact of water withdrawal on the
                                equilibrium standing stock and maxi-
                                mum sustainable yield  from the
                                fishery were estimated and the impacts
                                of increased water withdrawal were
                                simulated.
                                  An analytical model was also applied.
                                Parameters of the analytical  model
                                were estimated using  power plant
                                data, biological data available in the
                                literature, and commercial catch data.
                                The model was used to estimate the
                                age structure and  biomass of the
                                perch stock and to estimate the
                                impact of the power plant on abun-
                                dance of the impingeable stock and
                                biomass of the exploited stock. The
                                level of impact was examined under a
                                range of mortality conditions. The two
                                models are much different in terms of
                                mathematical structure  and in terms
                                of the data applied for estimation of
                                parameters but give similar estimates
                                of impact of about a 1% to 3%
                                reduction in the size of the exploited
                                stock.
                                  This Project Summary was devel-
                                oped by EPA's Environmental Research
                                Laboratory, Duluth, MN, to announce
                                key findings of the research project
                                that is fully documented in a separate
                                report of the same title (see Project
                                Report ordering information at back).

                                Introduction
                                  The Monroe Power Plant isa four-unit
                                3150 megawatt, coal-fired plant located
                                on the western shore of Lake Erie. The
                                plant uses once through cooling, and
                                has a pumping capacity of 0.29 x 1010
                                mVyr. Its maximum requirement is
                                about  85 mVsec. The yellow perch
                                (Perca flavesences), a highly valued
                                sport and commercial fish, is one of the
                                most frequently entrained and impinged
                                fish at the power plant.
                                  For  assessment of  the impact of
                                entrainment and impingement on the
                                yellow perch stock of western Lake Erie,
                                at the  Monroe Plant, two conventional
                                fishery assessment models were applied.
                                The  surplus production model, which
                                uses commercial catch and effort data
                                to estimate model parameters, was
                                applied. The fitted model was used to
                                estimate stock size and the number of
                                eggs and larvae produced. It was also
                                used to determine the proportion of the
                                                                    US GOVERNMENTPRINTINCIOFFICE 1982-559-017/0855

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     standing stock impinged and the propor-
     tion of larvae entrained andtodetermine
     the impact of entrainment and impinge-
     ment on  the standing  stock.  The
     maximum  sustainable  yield  was then
     determined. The impact of  increased
     water withdrawals  on  the biomass of
     the stock  and  maximum sustainable
     yield was estimated.
       An analytical or dynamic pool model
     was also applied. Biological  data from
     the literature and power plant data were
     used  to  estimate  parameters.  The
     impact on total population  size and
     fishable biomass were  assessed under
     a range of natural and fishing mortality
     conditions.
       Over the twelve-month period an
     estimated  total  of 861,000  fish were
     impinged, of which  14.2% were yellow
     perch.  During this period, 21,392,301
     larvae were entrained, of which approx-
     imately 23% were yellow perch. During
     the same period, 13,083,131 eggs were
     entrained at Monroe. Only 0.7% of the
     eggs were yellow perch, but 77% of the
     eggs were not identified. Assuming that
     the same relative amount (0.7%) of the
     unidentified eggs were yellow perch,
     the total percent of yellow perch eggs
     entrained was 2.9%.
       The  impact which an additional
     mortality source, such as a power plant,
     exerts on the fishable biomass and the
     population size is a function of natural
     and fishing mortality. Four cases were
     examined that  represented  different
     possible combinations of natural and
     fishing mortality rates. This provided an
     assessment of a wide range of impacts
     on the yellow perch population size and
     biomass. These  cases  ranged from an
     adult population  experiencing low
     levels of both fishing and natural mortal-
         ity to one experiencing high levels of
         both variables.
         Conclusions and
         Recommendations
           The Monroe  Power  Plant has a
         relatively small impact on the yellow
         perch population in the western basin of
         Lake  Erie. The maximum reduction in
         fishable biomass of 1.75% occurs with a
         low natural mortality and a high fishing
         mortality, the conditions' which might be
         most representative of the actual
         conditions in the lake.
           The two assessment models, though
         based on entirely different data for
         parameter estimation, yielded similar
         predicted impact. The surplus production
model gave the reduction in biomass at
full pumping capacity as 3.08% while
the dynamic pool gave 1% to 3.5%.
  Since the two models gave similar
predicted impacts, the criterion used to
select between them would be the ease
of application.  All  of the  surplus
production model parameters except
eggs  per  unit biomass and  egg and
larvae mortality can  be estimated
objectively from catch and effort data. If
a  large  amount of such  data are
available, the surplus production model
is most easily applied.
  Application of the two models together
gives  nearly independent estimates of
impact,  and enables assessment  of
impacts with some confidence.
            A. L Jensen and T. A. Hamilton are with the School of Natural Resources,
              University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Ml 48109.
            Nelson Thomas is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
            The complete report, entitled "Impact of a Once Through Cooling System on the
              Yellow Perch Stock in the Western Basin of Lake Erie," (Order No. PB 82-240
              284; Cost: $10.50, subject to change) will be available only from:
                    National Technical Information Service
                    5285 Port Royal Road
                    Springfield, VA22161
                    Telephone: 703-487-4650
            The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
                    Large Lakes Research Station
                    Environmental Research Laboratory—Duluth
                    U.S. Envirpruriental Protection Agency
                    Grosselle*MI48138
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Center for Environmental Research
Information
Cincinnati OH 45268
              Postage and
              Fees Paid
              Environmental
              Protection
              Agency
              EPA 335
Official Business
Penalty for Private Use $300
            *
                                           AGENCY

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