United States Environmental Protection Agency Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory Research Triangle Park NC 27711 Research and Development EPA/600/S3-87/023 Aug. 1987 SERA Project Summary Estimating Inaccessible Source Strengths Using Tracer Techniques: A Sensitivity Analysis Joseph A. Catalano Estimation of the strength of inac- cessible sources of effluent is a difficult problem. A method using a line source of tracer material emitted along the outer boundary of the area source has been proposed in the literature. The present work uses model calculations to analyze the sensitivity of that method to several factors. The most important of these factors are atmospheric sta- bility, wind direction, and horizontal separation and height differences between the tracer and the effluent sources. This Project Summary was dew/oped by EPA'* Atmospheric Sciences Re- search Laboratory, Research Triangle Park, NC, to announce key findings of the research project that It fully docu- mented In a separate report of (he same title (see Project Report ordering In- formation at back). Introduction A major problem facing agencies charged with enforcement of emissions controls for fugitive emissions is the estimate of the strength of an inaccessible source. Usually such sources may be treated as area sources even though they are in reality a collection of random point sources. For a variety of reasons, such sources are often inaccessible. How then, does one estimate the strength of such a source? Ludwig, Listen, and Salas (Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 17, No. 11 PP 2167-2172, 1983) showed how this might be done using tracer techniques. If a line source of known strength were to be placed immediately downwind of the area source, and measurements made of the concentration of both the effluent from the area source and of the tracer, then an estimate can be made relatively easily of the unknown area source strength. The present work is an attempt to ascertain the sensitivity of the approach to several factors. These are: • Configuration of the Tracer Source • Size of the Area Source • Relative Positions of the Tracer and Area Sources • Differences in Release Heights for Tracer and Effluent • Wind Velocity • Atmospheric Stability Rather than do a model exercise ex- clusively, the method chosen to estimate the sensitivity involved the use of the data collected by Ludwig et al. After screening the data for appropriate cases, the authors chose a particular data set and did all of the analysis in that context. Results The sensitivity analysis showed that the method of Ludwig et al. is sensitive to some of the chosen factors and not to others. For example, in the actual field realization of the method, a moving point source (a vehicle) was used rather than a true line source. The sensitivity of the method to this procedure was tested by using a Gaussian puff model to represent the moving point source and comparing the results with those from a calculation using a true line source. This comparison yielded little difference in correlation with the measured concentrations. This test used 1, 4, 8, and 16 trips per hour to simulate the moving vehicle with little discernable difference in the final cor- relations. Thus, the analysis shows that a ------- line source can be approximated by a moving point source, and the frequency of the trips made by the moving source does not seem to be important. Further, the study also showed that using the EPA model PAL-DS (Point Area Line Source model with Deposition and Sedimenta- tion), very little difference was found between concentrations emitted from a line and an area source beyond about 1 km from the source. Beyond about 3 km, the difference in modeled concentrations between these source types and a point source was also very small. This analysis was done for stability class E, with a 1.8 m/s wind. Since the size of the area source is not always known, the effect of this size on the estimate of the source strength was examined for a range of sizes from 5000 to 129,600 sq.m. When the, size of the area source exceeded 25,000 sq. m., the method was no longer very sensitive to the size of the area source. The distance between the tracer line source and the area source of effluent was found to have a small effect upon the estimated strength of the area source. In general the farther the line source was from the area source in the direction of the samplers, the smaller the estimate of the source strength. The farther the line source was on the side away from the samplers, the larger the source strength. Thus, the effect seemed to be that the farther the line source was from the samplers, the larger the source strength estimate. As might be expected the effect of wind direction had a major effect on estimates of the source strengths. When the wind was outside the range of plus or minus 10 degrees, the estimates of the source strength were too large. Wind speed showed some effect with the estimates of strength increasing with increasing speed. The effect of atmospheric stability is very large. When the stability was changed from category E, the estimates of source strength increased as the atmosphere became more unstable. The method was originally recommended to be used under stable conditions with light but continuous winds. Conclusions This sensitivity study showed that the method of Ludwig, Listen, and Salas, is quite sensitive to atmospheric stability and should only be used as originally recommended, that is, during stable con- ditions. The method is also sensitive to several other factors. In addition to an obvious sensitivity to wind direction, the method is sensitive to wind speed and a difference in release heights between the tracer and the effluent. Representation of the moving tracer source by a fixed line source is completely justified when the averaging time for the sampling is long enough. Since the effluent con- centrations are likely to be low, long sampling times will be necessary to achieve reliable observations of these concentrations. Thus, using a moving point source to approximate a line source is acceptable. Finally, it seems that a field experiment with a known area source emission rate would be a very valuable test of the method. Joseph A. Catalano is with Aerocomp, Inc., Costa Mesa. CA 92626. Francis S. Binkowski is the EPA Project Officer (see below). The complete report entitled "Estimating Inaccessible Source Strengths Using Tracer Techniques: A Sensitivity Analysis," (Order No. PB 87-199 683/AS; Cost: $13.95. subject to change) will be available only from: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Telephone: 703-487-4650 The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at: Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 United States Environmental Protection Agencv Center for Environmental Research Information Cincinnati OH 45268 Official Business Penalty for Private Use S300 EPA/600/S3-87/023 OC00529 PS U S CltVI* PROtECTIQM CHICAGO It- 6060* ------- |