EPA-450/4-75-001
January 1975
(OAQPS NO. 1.2-028)
      GUIDELINES  FOR  AIR QUALITY
MAINTENANCE PLANNING AND ANALYSIS
                  VOLUME 9 :
     EVALUATING  INDIRECT SOURCES
         U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
            Office of Air ami Waste Management
         Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
         Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711

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                                  EPA-450/4-75-001
                                (OAQPS NO. 1.2-028)
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|     GUIDELINES FOR AIR  QUALITY
MAINTENANCE PLANNING AND ANALYSIS
-                VOLUME 9 :
     EVALUATING INDIRECT SOURCES

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               ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
I              Off ice of Air and Waste Management
           Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
           Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
«                   January 1975

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                         OAQPS GUIDELINES SERIES


This report Is one of the guidelines series of reports issued by the           ™
Environmental  Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards (OAQPS), to provide information on air quality maintenance           fl
to state and local air pollution control  agencies.   Copies are avail-          |
able free of charge to Federal employees, current contractors, grantees,
and nonprofit organizations, as supplies  permit, from the Air Pollution        «
Technical Information Center, Environmental Protection Agency, Research        •
Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, or at a nominal  cost from the
National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal  Road, Springfield,
Virginia 22161.
Mention of trade names or commercial  products does not constitute
endorsement or recommendation for use.                                          •


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                                                                               I
                  Publication No. EPA-450/4-75-001                             _
                    (OAQPS Guideline No. 1.2-028)                              •


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                              FOREWORD
                                                       Guidelines for Air
     This document is the ninth in a series comprising 	
Quality Maintenance Planning and Analysis.   The intent of the series is
                                                                   the
                                                                   51.
                                                                        to
provide State and local agencies with information and guidance for
preparation of Air Quality Maintenance Plans required under 40 CFR
The volumes in this series are:
Volume 1: Designation of Air Quality Maintenance Areas
Volume 2:
Volume 3:
Volume 4:
Volume 5:
Volume 6:
Volume 7:
Volume 8:
Volume 9:
Volume 10:
Volume 11:
Volume 12:
Volume 13:
Additional
Plan Preparation
Control Strategies
Land Use and Transportation Consideration
Case Studies in Plan Development
Overview of Air Quality Maintenance Area Analysis
Projecting County Emissions
Computer-Assisted Area Source Emissions Griddincj
Procedure
Evaluating Indirect Sources
Reviewing New Stationary Sources
Air Quality Monitoring and Data Analysis
Applying Atmospheric Simulation Models to Air
Quality Maintenance Areas
Allocating Projected Emissions to Sub-County Areas
volumes may be issued.
     All references to 40 CFR Part 51 in this document are to the regulations
as amended through July 1974.

     These guidelines are intended to provide a screening technique for
evaluating proposed indirect sources.  If a more detailed analysis is
warranted or desired, it is suggested that the appendices to the guide-
lines be consulted.  This document supersedes "Interim Guidelines for
the Review of the Impact of Indirect Sources on Ambient Air Quality"
(July 1974).  The information in this volume is being published at this
time primarily to assist those persons having responsibility for estimat-
ing roadside carbon monoxide (CO) concentrations as the result of require-
ments imposed by environmental  impact statement analysis and review and
analysis for air quality maintenance plans.  Further, this document is
believed to represent a substantial  improvement over the interim
guidelines.

     It is anticipated that the guidance in this document will be very
similar to guidelines which will be proposed in the Federal Register
concerning the CO review suggested by Indirect Source and Parking
Management Regulations.  The proposed guidelines will appear in the
Federal  Register prior to the effective date of the regulations (currently
July 1,  1975).The proposal will then be subject to further change upon
receipt and evaluation of comments from the public prior to publication
in the Federal Register in final form.  In the event of inconsistencies
between  the guidance in this document (EPA-450/4-75-001) and that published
in the Federal Register in proposed  and final  form, the guidance in the
Federal  Register should take precedence.

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                        PREFACE

These indirect source technical review Guidelines have been
I
            prepared in response to two regulations recently promulgated or
M          proposed by the U. S. Environmental  Protection Agency (EPA).  First,
            the guidelines may be used as one possible means for estimating the
•          impact of a proposed source on ambient air quality pursuant to regu-
            Ilations for the "Review of Indirect  Sources" (40 CFR 52.22(b)) promul-
                                  1
            gated on July 9, 1974.     Although the guidelines contain some
M          discussion concerning estimation of  emissions of hydrocarbons
            and oxides of nitrogen, the major thrust is directed toward the review
 ™          of a proposed facility's impact on ambient concentrations of carbon
 •j         monoxide (CO).  The present analytical capability for simulating the
            complex interrelationships among hydrocarbons, oxides of nitrogen,
            oxidants, ambient aerosols, humidity and sunlight does not permit
            presentation in a general  guideline  document of a detailed, quantitative
 •         technique for evaluating the impact  of an individual  source on ambient
 •         concentrations of photochemical pollutants.  In areas where the
            validity of a photochemical dispersion model has been demonstrated,
 •         the use of such a model to evaluate  the impact of major highway
            systems or large regional  airports is encouraged.  Frequently,
 ^         however, such models will  not be available and it will be necessary to
 l|         rely on less precise approaches for  protecting the public against adverse
            levels of oxidants, nitrogen oxides  and hydrocarbons.  Although methods
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of analysis may be less detailed than is desirable for photochemical             •
pollutants, such approaches as are available may nevertheless indicate
the degree of control needed for broad-scale management of air quality.          £
Regulations concerning the "Maintenance of National  Ambient Air Quality
Standards" (40 CFR 51.12), proposed by EPA on June 18, 1973,3 address the       •
need for management of regional  air resources.   A series of guideline           •
         4-16                                                                   *•
documents     have been published describing intergovernmental  coordina-
tion, land use and transportation planning and  analytical  techniques            •
needed to support development of an effective regional  air quality main-
tenance plan.  Indirect source review, as presented in  these guidelines,        »
may be thought of as a tactic to be employed within a comprehensive air         V
quality maintenance plan.  These indirect source review guidelines serve
as Volume 9 of the previously referenced Air Quality Maintenance Planning      •
and Analysis Guidelines.  In addition to the development of techniques for
evaluation of air quality maintenance plans, there are  two additional          •
means whereby the impact of proposed facilities on regional hydrocarbon,       •
nitrogen oxide and oxidant problems may be estimated.  The first is
                                                        2                      •
presented in the proposed parking management regulations  in which             •
qualitative means for assessing a proposed parking facility's impact
on vehicle miles traveled (VMT) are presented.   The second means               •
addresses problems presented by highway systems in meeting photochemical       •
oxidant and nitrogen dioxide standards using existing predictive models.
     The indirect source review guidelines described in this volume are        •
organized as follows.  A screening procedure for estimating peak CO concen-
trations associated with identified traffic design and operating variables     •

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          is first presented.   These  estimates  are  then  compared with  the  National
                                                                              o
_        Ambient Air Quality  Standards  (NAAQS)  for carbon monoxide  of 40  mg/m
•                                                       o
m        (35 ppm) for 1-hour  averaging  times and 10 mg/m (9  ppm) for 8-hour
•        averaging times.   If the  results  indicate there may  be difficulty  in
          meeting the 1-  or 8-hour  NAAQS for CO, this is  not necessarily grounds
          for denial  of a  permit for  construction  of  the  source.  The  screening
 —        technique is  intended  to  be conservative so that  situations  in which a
          potential problem may  exist can  be  identified.  Should  such  a problem
 tt        be indicated, the options for redesign of the facility  and reapplication
          of the screening procedure, or for  a more complete analysis  should  be
          offered.   It  is  not  necessary to refer to any of  the appendices to  the
 _        guidelines  unless:
 ™             1.   Specified key determinants of emissions  are not adequately
 •        provided;
               2.   The  assumptions  which were made in developing  the screening
          procedure are  clearly  not  applicable; or
 —            3.   There is  a  desire on  the  part of  the applicant or review
 ™       agency to perform  a  more complete  analysis.
 •            Appendices  A  through  G to the guidelines present more complete metho-
          dologies  which can be  used to  estimate emissions from each of seven types
 •       of indirect  source.  For the most  part, it should only be necessary to
          refer to  the single  appendix which is applicable for the source category
          being reviewed to  estimate emissions.  The exception to this is Appendix
 •       A  which may  be used  in estimating  emissions from access roads, arterial
          streets and  at intersections in  the vicinity of other types of indirect
 •       sources.
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    There  are  several types of indirect sources mentioned in the                •
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indirect source review regulations   (i.e.,  industrial  and  entertainment
facilities, office and government buildings  and  apartment  and  condominium
buildings)  which are not specifically discussed  in  Appendices  A-G.   The
procedures  for estimating traffic volume demand  for each of  these
resemble the one in Appendix E  for parking  facilities  where  annual               I
average daily traffic is a function of the  facility's  size.   If  traffic
is more or  less continuous, the method in Appendix  E for estimating              •
emission factors, running times and queue lengths may  be used.   If the           m
facility is an event-oriented one (e.g., entertainment facility,
industrial  facility with shift  work), the guidance  in  Appendix D (sports         •
complexes)  may be used to estimate running  times, emission factors and
emissions.   Appendix H presents more detailed procedures which might            •
be employed in estimating the impact of the source  on  air  quality.               •
Appendix I  is a partial compilation of previous  monitoring studies in
the vicinity of indirect sources.  The purpose of Appendix I is  to               •
provide applicants and reviewers with potential  additional sources of
information.
                               VI11
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                         TABLE OF CONTENTS


                                                                    Page
       List of Figures                                                xi

       List of Tables                                                xii

       List of Abbreviations and Symbols                            xiii

1.0    Introduction                                                    1

2.0    Rationale for a Screening Procedure                             2

3.0    Definitions                                                     5

4.0    Screening Procedure for Reviewing the Impact of a Proposed
       Indirect Source on Ambient Concentrations of CO                14

  4.1  Impact of Traffic on Nearby 1-hr CO Concentrations             15

    4.1.1   Freely Flowing Traffic                                     15
    4.1.2  Traffic at Signalized Intersections                         16
    4.1.3  Traffic at Tollbooths and Unsignalized Intersections       18
    4.1.4  Estimating Representative Concentrations on Sidewalks       19

  4.2  Impact of Traffic on Nearby 8-hr CO Concentrations             20

  4.3  Estimation of Background CO Concentrations                     32

    4.3.1   Seasonal  Adjustment of Observed Concentrations             34
    4.3.2  Interpretation and Use of Monitoring  Data at Proximate
           and Representative Sites                                   36
    4.3.3  Estimating the Impact of Remote Sources  within a
           Proposed Parking Lot                                      38

  4.4  The Effect of Varying Automotive Operating Factors            39

    4.4.1   Fraction  of Vehicles Operating  from a Cold -Start           39
    4.4.2   The Effect of Automotive Emission Control  Programs         41
    4.4.3   Consideration of Other Factors  Affecting Local
           Vehicle Operating Conditions                              43

  4.5  Special Considerations for Event-Oriented Facilities           44

  4.6  Illustrative  Examples of the Application  of  the
       Screening Procedure in Indirect  Source Review                 45

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  4.7  Summary of the Screening Procedure                             74       ||
5.0    Economic and Design Considerations                             79
  5.1  Data Acquisition and Application Costs                         80       ™
  5.2  Time-Related Costs                                             80       •
  5.3  Design Changes                                                 81
6.0    Assumptions Used in the Screening Procedure                    85       I
  6.1  Meteorological Assumptions                                     86
  6.2  Emission Assumptions                                           92       •
  6.3  Traffic Assumptions                                            97       •
  6.4  Assumptions Used in Evaluating Background Concentrations      103
7.0    References                                                    104       I
Appendix A.  Methods for Estimating Emissions from Highways          A-i
Appendix B.  Method for Estimating Ground Traffic Emissions                    •
             from Airports                                           B-i
Appendix C.  Methods for Estimating Emissions in Vicinity                      |
             of Regional Shopping Centers                            C-i
Appendix D.  Methods for Estimating Emissions in Vicinity                      I
             of Sports Complexes                                     D-i
Appendix E.  Method for Estimating Emissions in Vicinity                       I
             of Municipal Parking Lots                               E-i       ™
Appendix F.  Method for Estimating Emissions at Amusement                      •
             Parks                                                   F-i       J
Appendix G.  Method for Estimating Emissions at Recreational                   —
             Areas                                                   G-i       •
Appendix H.  Use of Dispersion Models to Estimate Air Quality
             in Vicinity of an Indirect Source                       H-i       A
Appendix I.  Compilation of Indirect Source Monitoring Studies       I-i
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                               LIST OF FIGURES

Figure                                                                  Page

  1.   Key Locations in the Review of a Hypothetical  Indirect Source      21

  2.   Volume Demand-Capacity Ratio in a Freeway or Expressway
       Lane vs. CO Concentration Impact at a Perpendicular
       Distance of 10 Meters                                              22

  3.   Volume Demand-Capacity Ratio in a Lane on a Major Street
       vs. CO Concentration Impact at a Perpendicular Distance
       of 10 Meters                                                       23

  4.   Volume Demand-Capacity Ratio in a Lane Within  an Indirect
       Source vs.  CO Concentration Impact at a Perpendicular Distance
       of 10 Meters                                                       24

  5.   Relative Concentration of CO vs. Perpendicular Distance from
       a Traffic Lane with Freely Flowing Traffic                         25

  6.   Maximum Impact of Traffic in an Approach Lane  Upstream
       from a Signalized Intersection at a Receptor Site Located
       at a Perpendicular Distance of 10 Meters                           26

  7.   Maximum Impact of Traffic in a Lane Downstream from an
       Intersection at a Receptor Site Located a Perpendicular
       Distance of 10 Meters Away                                         27

  8.   Relative Concentration of CO vs. Perpendicular Distance
       from a Traffic Lane Near a Signalized Intersection                 28

  9.   Impact of Traffic Upstream from a Non-Signalized
       Intersection on CO Concentrations at a Receptor Site
       Located a Perpendicular Distance of 10 Meters  Away                 29

  10.   Relative Concentration of CO vs. Perpendicular Distance
       from a Traffic Lane Near an Unsignalized Intersection              30

  11.   Summary of the Indirect Source Screening Procedure                 75
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                            LIST OF TABLES
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Table                                                                   Page

  1.    COLD START  CORRECTION  FACTORS AT VARIOUS AMBIENT TEMPERATURES       40        •

  2.    CORRECTION  FACTORS  REFLECTING EMISSION  CONTROL  PROGRAMS
       IN  DIFFERENT  AREAS                                                  42        •

  3.    ASSUMED OPERATING SPEEDS,  LEVELS OF  SERVICE AND
       DEMAND-CAPACITY  RATIOS FOR MAJOR STREETS AND                                  -
       CORRESPONDING EMISSION FACTORS  FOR FREE FLOW                                  •
       CONDITIONS                                                          99        *

  4.    ASSUMED OPERATING SPEEDS,  LEVELS OF  SERVICE AND                              |
       DEMAND-CAPACITY  RATIOS FOR URBAN EXPRESSWAYS AND                              •
       CORRESPONDING EMISSION FACTORS  FOR FREE FLOW
       CONDITIONS                                                         100        •

  5.    ASSUMED OPERATING SPEEDS AND DEMAND-CAPACITY RATIOS
       FOR TRAFFIC LANES WITHIN INDIRECT SOURCES  AND                                 m
       CORRESPONDING EMISSION FACTORS  FOR FREE FLOW CONDITIONS            101        •
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                           LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND SYMBOLS
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             c       Traffic  capacity,  vehicles/hour
           c..       Traffic  capacity at approach  (or road segment)  i, lane j,
             J       vehicles/hour
            c1       Unimpeded  capacity at a  signalized  intersection,
                    vehicles/hour of green time
            cf       Correction factor  reflecting  emission control programs,
                    dimensionless
           CPH       Number of  signal cycles  in an hour
•        c(s)       Speed correction factor  to be applied to emission factors
            Cy       Cycle length or the amount of time  required for a traffic
                    signal to  complete all of its phases, sec.
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             D       Spacing  between the tailpipes of successive vehicles, m
            EF       Emission factor, gm/min-veh
            ef       Emission factor, gm/mi-veh
             G       The  amount  of time a traffic signal is green during one
                    signal cycle for a specified intersection approach, sec.
 •       G/Cy      Green time to signal cycle ratio, dimensionless
             K      Cold start correction factor, dimensionless
 •          L      Length of a queue of vehicles, m
I            If      Local factor, the ratio between local  CO emission factor and
                    the national average factors, dimensionless
 —          m      Meters
 ™       m/sec     Meters per second
              o
          mg/m      Milligrams per cubic meter
            mph     Miles per hour
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  p     Persistence factor used to account for  variations  in
        meteorological  conditions  over 8 hour periods,  dimensionless
ppm     Parts per million, units of concentration                             •
q..     Emission intensity for road segment (gate)  i,  lane j,
  ^     gm/sec-m                                                            ^
  S     Vehicle speed,  mph                                                  ™
  t     Ambient temperature,  °F                                             •
 T.     Time required to accommodate all vehicles wishing  to use
  1     gate i at an event-oriented indirect source,  hours                  •
v..     Traffic volume demand at road segment (approach) i, lane  j,
 1J     veh/hr
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V .      Traffic volume wishing to use gate i  at an  event-oriented
  1      source, vehicles
v/c     Volume demand-capacity ratio, dimensionless                         Q
vph     Vehicles per hour                                                   M
  x     Concentration, ppm
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m      1.0   INTRODUCTION
             An indirect source is defined as a facility, building, structure
•      or installation which attracts or may attract mobile source activity
        that  results in emissions of a pollutant for which there is a national
m      standard.
m           A complete analysis of such a facility requires a two-tiered
        examination of a source's impact.  The first tier is regional in scope,
•      and requires a determination of consistency with applicable air quality
        maintenance plans and transportation control plans.  Provisions in
•      "Parking Management Regulations," which require proposed parking
m      facilities in designated parking management areas to reduce vehicle miles
        traveled (VMT) or to at least minimize increases in VMT, are intended
                                                                          2
        measures to achieve these goals are enumerated in the regulations.
•      to address regional problems posed by parking facilities.  Specific
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        Guidelines for the review of the impact of highways and highway systems
        on ambient oxidant and nitrogen dioxide concentrations are also being
        prepared.  In addition to identifying procedures for estimating the
 •     regional impact of such sources, this latter set of guidelines is
        intended to identify where within the institutionalized Continuing,
 •     Comprehensive and Cooperative ("3-C") transportation planning process
 •     such a review (required under 23 USC 109(j)) would best be placed.
             The second tier of analysis is a microscale one requiring a
 •     determination of the impact of a proposed source on ambient air quality
        at sensitive locations, usually within 1/4 mile of the proposed site.
 •     Because of the nature of the criteria pollutants emitted by motor
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vehicles, most efforts in the second tier of analysis  are  directed at        V
reviewing the proposed source's impact on ambient carbon monoxide (CO)
concentrations.  The guidelines described herein are  primarily intended      I
to assist indirect source review agencies, applicants  and  consultants
in estimating the impact of a proposed facility on air quality in its        ™
vicinity.  More explicitly, the purposes  of this document  are fourfold:       •
     1.  To provide means for estimating  whether a proposed
indirect source may threaten the National Ambient Air  Quality                **
Standards (NAAQS) for CO;                                                    |
     2.  To provide means whereby the efficacy of good traffic
engineering practice in meeting CO standards can be evaluated;               •
     3.  To provide a simple screening procedure for  review  of
a source's impact on ambient CO concentrations which  can be                   •*
applied expeditiously, but which can give reasonable  assurance               •
that sources which pass the procedure will not threaten the  NAAQS
for CO; and                                                                 •
     4.  To provide assistance in estimating the gross hydrocarbon
and nitrogen oxide emissions attributable to an individual source
so that this information may be used, as  needed, in other  guideline         •
documents.                                                                  ™
2.0  RATIONALE FOR A SCREENING PROCEDURE                                     •
     Since indirect source review or parking management review
requirements may be applicable to a large number of proposed sources,       I
it is highly desirable that a reviewing agency's limited resources for
assessing the impact of an indirect source on ambient  CO be  directed        *
toward those sources most likely to threaten NAAQS.  Furthermore,           •
where a threat to the CO standards is not likely, it  is desirable to
conduct the indirect source review for CO as expeditiously as possible       J
so as to minimize costs of review and delay to the applicant.  For
these reasons, a conservative screening procedure is  presented in           •
these guidelines.  When no problem in meeting the standards  is found        •
                                 2
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  •        using this procedure, it may be used as a basis for granting permission
            to construct.  If a potential problem is identified, the option for
  •        doing a more complete analysis should be presented to the applicant.
                 Monitoring observations in the vicinity of indirect sources have
  •        indicated that the highest concentrations of CO occur in the vicinity of
            •access roads, at nearby intersection approaches or near entrance/exit
                  "I O p"|
            gates.  "    Therefore, the CO impact analysis for indirect sources
  •         focuses on relationships between air quality and traffic design and
            operating parameters on access roads, at nearby intersection approaches
 •         and at exit/entrance gates.  There are three key traffic determinants
 1|         of emission levels on portions of roadways and/or traffic lanes which
            are not near intersections.  These are:
 •              1.  Volume demand;
                 2.  Volume demand to capacity ratio;
 •              3.  The type of the roadway being examined.
 fl         Volume demand is important, because it provides an estimate of the
            source's impact on traffic demand on access roads.  When there is  little
 I         congestion, volume demand is the most important traffic indicator  of
            emissions.  Volume demand to capacity ratio (v/c) is crucial,  because
 •         it provides an indicator of congestion.  Highly congested traffic
 •          conditions result in increased vehicle running times and lower operating
            speeds (resulting in closer spacing between vehicles).   The spacing
 •          between vehicles which is required to service a given volume demand is,
            in turn, a prime indicator of emission intensity generated by  vehicles
 •          using each traffic lane.   Frequently, it may be difficult to project or
 •          measure traffic volume demand for each traffic lane.   If it is not
            possible to obtain estimates of traffic volume demand (and therefore,
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volume demand-capacity ratios)  by lane,  estimates  of through  traffic            •
volume demand in each direction would have to suffice.   Unless  there
                                                                               I
were indications to the contrary, through traffic in each direction
would then be apportioned equally among the through lanes in each
                                   22                                          8
direction.  Empirical  relationships   between volume to capacity ratio          J0
and operating speeds,  under free-flow conditions, depend on  the                 ^
functional type of the roadway and average highway speed or  the  posted
speed limit, whichever is less.                                                 8
     The following traffic parameters are key determinants of emissions
at signalized intersections:                                                    8
     1.   Volume demand;                                                         g.
     2.   Green time to signal  cycle ratio;   '
     3.   Signal cycle  length;                                                    8
     4.   Unimpeded intersection approach capacity.
     Green time to signal cycle ratio (G/Cy) is the key determinant             8
of the capacity of an  intersection approach to  accommodate traffic              g
volume demand.  The average length of queues forming at the  intersection
is directly proportional to the proportion of time that a signal cycle           I
is not green, (i.e., (1-G/Cy)).   Signal cycle length is also a
determinant of queuing at an intersection approach.  The shorter the            8
signal  cycle length, the shorter the average queue length occurring             .
at the intersection approach when the light is  red.  However, the               *
shorter the cycle length, the more frequently queuing is likely  to              8
occur at an intersection approach.  Thus, the impact of signal cycle
length on ambient CO concentrations at a selected receptor depends on           8
the proximity of the receptor site of interest to the intersection
                                4
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          being  reviewed.  Unimpeded  intersection approach capacity is the
          amount of  traffic  which  could  be  accommodated by  the approach per
 I       hour of green  time.   This  is always  greater  than  the actual approach
          capacity.   Unimpeded  intersection approach capacity is  needed to
 •       estimate green time to signal  cycle  ratios for  each intersection
 •       approach when  the  signal is a  traffic-actuated  one.  Methods of
          estimating unimpeded  capacity  and its  use in the  estimation of
 •       green time to  signal  cycle ratios are  illustrated in Appendix A.
          Suffice it to  say  at  this  point that if  the  reviewer wants to use
 m       a  proper G/Cy  ratio in estimating the  impact of traffic on ambient
 •       CO concentrations  in  the vicinity of an  intersection with a traffic-
          actuated signal, unimpeded intersection  approach  capacity must be known
 •       for each approach  and the  procedure  outlined in Appendix A may be followed
          to estimate appropriate  G/Cy.  The alternative  is  to use the more conser-
 •       vative assumptions about G/Cy  to  be  described in  the screening procedure.
 •            Finally,  at unsignalized  intersections or  at  tollbooths, such
          as those found at  exits  to municipal or  airport parking lots, the
 •        two key determinants  of  emissions are:
               1.  Volume demand,  and
 •             2.  Volume demand to  capacity ratio.
 •        3.0  DEFINITIONS
               The following definitions apply to  the  identified  key determinants
•        of emissions and in the  derivation of  the screening procedure for
          relating traffic on roadways and  at  intersections  to nearby ambient
CO concentrations.
                                   5

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                                                                                 I
     Volume Demand—the average number  of  vehicles wanting  to  pass a              _
given point in each lane during a  1-hour or  8-hour period.  This                  ™
parameter is expressed in vehicles per  hour  (vph) unless otherwise                •
stated.  For an 8-hour period,  volume demand is  expressed in vehicles
per hour by obtaining the average  hourly demand  during  the  peak 8-hour            p
period of interest.  The terms  volume demand and demand are used  synony-          H
mously throughout the indirect  source review guidelines.                          *
     Design Speed-- a speed selected for purposes of  design and                   tt
correlation of those features of a roadway such  as curvature,  super-
elevation, sight distance and type of access upon which the safe  operation        f
of vehicles is dependent.                                                        _,
     Average Highway Speed—the weighted average of the design speeds             *
within a highway section, when  each subsection within the section is              •
considered to have an individual design speed.
     Posted Speed Limit—maximum lawful operating speed allowable                £
for vehicles utilizing the traffic lanes of  interest.                            —
     Capacity—the maximum possible number of vehicles  which has  a                *
reasonable expectation of passing  a given  point  in each lane during a             •
given time period under prevailing roadway and traffic  conditions
consistent with the definition  of  Level of Service E.  Capacity on a              |
major urban street could typically vary from 550-1200 vph/lane assuming            _
that intersection approach capacities provided the limiting factor on             *
the street's capacity.  On urban expressways and freeways capacity                •
may typically vary from 1300-2000  vph/lane,  assuming  the  terrain  is
reasonably level.  Estimated capacities not  within these  ranges are               Q
                                                                                  I
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  •
 I
         not necessarily incorrect if unusual conditions regarding grade, truck
         or bus use, lane width, lateral clearance and/or signalization prevail.
 V            Level of Service—a qualitative measure of the effect of a number
         of factors including speed and travel time, traffic interruptions,
 |       freedom to maneuver, safety, driving comfort and convenience and operating
 M       costs.  For traffic which is not in the immediate vicinity of inter-
         sections, level of service is defined by the type of road, operating
 W       speed and volume-capacity ratio.  At Level of Service E, volume demand
         to capacity ratios often exceed 0.8 and can approach 1.0.  Traffic
|       flow is unstable and there can be stoppages of momentary duration.
_       The ranges of operating speeds and volume to capacity ratios corresponding
*       to various designated levels of service depend on the type of the roadway
I       to which the designation is being applied.
              At signalized intersection approaches, levels of service are
 I
I
I
I
         defined by load factors.  A load factor is the ratio of the total
         number of green traffic signal intervals that are fully utilized
 *        by  traffic during the peak hour to the total number of green intervals
 I        during that same period.  The following relationships exist between
                                                                        22
          levels of service at intersection approaches and Load Factors.
               Load Factor      Level of Service     Description
_                 0                  A              Free Flow
"                £0.1                B              Stable Flow
•                ^0.3                C              Stable Flow
                 <0.7                D              Approaching Unstable Flow
                 <1.00               E              Unstable Flow

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between volume-capacity ratio and vehicle operating  speeds  have  been

                                        22
                                                                             I

     Peak Hour Factor—A ratio of the volume demand occurring during         •

the peak hour to the maximum rate of flow during a given time period

(e.g., 5 min.) within the peak hour, expanded to a full  hour.                I

     Operating Speed—Highest speed at which a driver can travel  on

a roadway under favorable weather conditions and under prevailing            •

traffic conditions without exceeding safe speed as determined by              •

average highway speed and/or posted speed limits.

     Types of Roadways—Under conditions which are consistent with           •

the maximum level of service possible for the prevailing volume-

capacity ratio and vehicle operating speed, empirical relationships          •



developed for certain types of roadways.'"'"  These  roadways include:

     (a)  Expressways—a divided arterial  for through traffic                •
with full or partial control of access and generally with grade
separations at major intersections.

     (b)  Freeways—an expressway with full control  of access.                •

     (c)  Major street—an arterial highway with intersections                •
at grade and direct access to abutting property, and on  which                |
geometric design and traffic control measures are  used to
expedite the safe movement of through traffic.                               g

Three other types of roadways may frequently be of interest in  the           *

review of an indirect source.  These are:                                     I

     (d)  Downtown streets—these are different from the category
of "major streets," described above, in that they  carry  a sub-                •
stantial portion of circulatory rather than through traffic; heavy           g
pedestrian traffic may increase the restrictiveness of intersections
on through capacity and intersections are likely to be more closely          —
spaced.  Because the characteristics of each intersection exert               •
such a dominant influence on traffic in each upstream segment of  a           *
downtown street, it is suggested that the analysis of an indirect
source's impact on traffic and air quality at a downtown street be           •
directed at appropriate signalized intersections.                             m
                                                                              I

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     (e)  Local street—a street primarily for access  to  residence,
business or other abutting property.   It is suggested  that such
analysis as may be required in the vicinity of such  streets be
directed at the signalized or unsignalized intersections, as
appropriate.

     (f)  Traffic lanes within indirect sources other  than highways.

     Vehicle Spacing—Average tailpipe-to-tailpipe distance between

vehicles needed to accommodate a given volume demand at a given

operating speed.

     Emission Factor—Amount of CO emitted by a single vehicle per

unit of time.

     Distance—Unless there is specific reference to the  contrary,

distance refers to the perpendicular  distance between  a receptor  and

the nearest edge of a traffic lane.

     Phase—A term used at signalized intersections  to denote the instruc-

tions given to traffic at each intersection approach at any specified  time.

There are usually at least three phases at an intersection—red,  green and

amber.  At intersections where there  are turn signals  or  where identical

phases do not occur for vehicles traveling in opposite directions (e.g.

"delayed green") the number of phases is greater than  three.

     Cycle Length—The amount of time required for all phases of  a traffic

signal to occur once.  Cycle lengths  at fixed-time signals usually vary

between 60-120 seconds.  The range at traffic actuated signals is con-
*        siderably larger, usually varying from 60-180 seconds.
     Unimpeded Capacity—The maximum number of vehicles  that  could

be accommodated by a signalized intersection approach  if the  signal

were always green for that approach.   For  each traffic lane,  this

parameter is expressed in vehicles  per hour of green time,  and  is

                                   9

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                                                                               I
always greater than the actual  intersection  approach  capacity  per  lane.         •
Typical values may range from 1100-1700  vehicles/lane/hr.  of green  time.
     Green Time to Signal  Cycle Ratio—The  fraction of  the time  that  a          •
traffic light is green at a specified  intersection approach.
     Upstream--Traffic which has not yet passed  a specified location            •
(e.g., an intersection) is said to be  upstream from that  location.              M
Traffic already having passed by the location is downstream traffic.
     Intersection Leg--0n a 4-way intersection (for example) each               •
of the roads leading to and from the intersection is  called a  leg  to  that
intersection.  An intersection  approach  is  that  portion of an  intersection      |
leg which is upstream from the  intersection.                                    «
     Operation Modes—A description of the  manner in  which a vehicle  is
being operated.  Generally there are four modes  of operation:  accelera-        •
tion, deceleration, cruising and idling. Modal  emissions  refer  to
emission factors for CO which are appropriate for each  distinctive  mode         |
of operation.                                                                  M
     Cold Start—If a vehicle has not  been  run for a  period of time
(i.e., cold soak period),  when  it is restarted and for  a  short period          I
thereafter, it runs less efficiently than it  does after the engine  has
warmed up.  This lower engine efficiency results in higher emissions            |
of CO.  At indirect sources where vehicles  are likely to  sit for                »
substantial periods of time, the cold  start problem may significantly
affect CO emissions in the vicinity of a source. The extent of  the             V
impact of cold starting vehicles depends on a number  of factors
including length of the cold soak period, ambient temperature  and                |
engine size.                                                                    •
                               10
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 I
 I
 I           Receptor Site--A location where it is of interest to estimate
         ambient CO concentrations.  In general terms, analysis should center
 •       on reasonable locations in the vicinity of that portion of the traffic
 •       network (e.g., parking lot, access roads, intersections) where the
         combined impact of the proposed source and other traffic is likely to
         result in the highest traffic demand and/or most traffic congestion.
 _       Definition of "reasonable" depends on the legal interpretation of the
 "       word "ambient."  "Ambient" is interpreted as meaning that portion of
         the atmosphere, external to buildings, to which the general public has
               23
         access.    The primary standards for CO imply that reasonable sites
         are required to be in locations to which the general public (note:
 —       not necessarily any specific individual) has access.  The recommended
 ™       procedure for selecting such sites is through joint review by
 •       the reviewing agency and applicant of maps and plans of the
         area and facility which are required as part of the indirect
 I       source or parking management application.  To clarify what
 _       might generally be regarded as reasonable or unreasonable receptor
 •       sites, a few examples are cited below.  It should be strongly
 •       emphasized that these examples only suggest what is generally
         expected to be the case.  If the review of a specific application
 J       reveals that a site which may ordinarily be unreasonable is, in fact,
 _       reasonable in a specific case (or vice versa) then, of course, the
•       specific ruling would supersede this general guidance.
•           a.  Examples of Reasonable Receptor Sites
                 (1)  All sidewalks where the general public has access on a
•       more or less continuous basis are reasonable receptor sites;
I
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                                                                              I


         (2)   A vacant lot in  which  a  neighboring  facility  is planned          |
and in whose  vicinity the  general  public  (including employees if the
neighboring facility is not being  built for  the  prime  purpose of               _
traffic control) would have access continuously  is a reasonable                •
receptor site;                                                                •

         (3)   Portions of  a parking  lot to which pedestrians have access       •
continuously  are reasonable receptor sites;                                    •

         (4)   The vicinity of  parking  lot's  entrances  and exits is  a           •
reasonable receptor site,  providing  there is an  area nearby, such as a         J|
public sidewalk, residences or structures (e.g.  an auto  service center
at a shopping center) where the general public is  likely to have               —
continuous access;                                                            •

         (5)   The property lines of  all residences, hospitals, rest
homes, schools, playgrounds, and the entrances and air intakes to all          •
other buildings are reasonable receptor sites.                                 •

     b.  Examples of Unreasonable  Receptor Sites                              •

         (1)  Median strips on  roadways;
         (2)  Locations within  the  right-of-way on  limited access highways;     _
         (3)  Within intersections  or on crosswalks at  intersections;           •
         (4)  Tunnel approaches;                                               •
         (5)  Within toll booths;
         (6)  Portions of parking lots  where  the  general  public is              •
             not likely to have access continuously.                           •

     One further aspect of the "reasonable receptor site" problem remains      •

to be discussed.  That is, where within a sidewalk, occupied lot,

vacant lot, etc. should the receptor site be assumed.  Generally,              •

reasonable receptor sites  would be located as follows:

         (1)   Occupied lot—nearest  edge  of  the  subarea  within the             •
lot where the general public has continuous  access.   If  this cannot
be determined, use the lot's property  line which is nearest to the             •
traffic lanes being reviewed.                                                  £

         (2)   Vacant lot—same as  occupied  lot.                                —

         (3)   Sidewalks—sidewalks present a problem  in  that the general       •
public is unlikely to occupy a relatively small  portion  of  the walkway
continuously.  Nevertheless, the general  public  does  have access to the       •
sidewalk as a whole on a continuous  basis.   This suggests that  it  is          •
appropriate to consider the sidewalk as  a whole  as a  reasonable receptor

                                                                              I

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I
         site.  This further implies  that one should estimate  representative  CO
         concentrations prevailing at nose height  over the  sidewalk  during  the
         worst 1- and 8-hour periods.  The sketch  shown below  illustrates a
         sidewalk in which the Y direction is the  direction perpendicular to
         curbside and the X direction is the direction parallel  to the  curb.
                              	Q.	SIDEWALK
                                                      M:URB
                      ROADWAY
I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

              Since the diminution  of CO concentration  with  distance  from  the
•       curb is approximately linear over  distances which sidewalks  are generally
         found from roadways  (see Figures 5,  8  and  10 in  Section  4.1),  it  should
•       generally be sufficient to choose  the  sidewalk's centerline  as the
•       location at which  to estimate CO concentrations.  In order to  estimate
         representative concentrations at the sidewalk, it is also necessary
•       to average estimated concentrations  along  the  sidewalk's centerline
         (i.e., in the "X"  direction).  In  general, this  longitudinal averaging
|       would be done for  each block (i.e.,  including  2  intersections  and a
«       mid-block section).   This  cannot be  a  hard and fast rule, however, since
         it depends on a walkway's  configuration.   For  example, a walkway  from
•       a facility to a parking lot may not  traverse what is ordinarily thought
         of as a block.  The  longitudinal averaging procedure is  further described
         in Section 4.1.4 and illustrated by  Example 11 in Section 4.6.
                                         13

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                                                                             I
4.0  SCREENING PROCEDURE FOR REVIEWING THE IMPACT OF  A PROPOSED               I
     INDIRECT SOURCE ON AMBIENT CONCENTRATIONS  OF CO                          •
     Ambient concentrations  of carbon  monoxide  may be regarded as  the         V
sum of two components:
     (1)  Concentrations attributable  to  traffic  in the immediate             £
vicinity of the receptor site, and                                           —
     (2)  Background concentrations  attributable  to more remote  sources       ™
of CO which may or may  not be related  to  the operation of the proposed        f|
source.
                                                                             I
The screening procedure assumes, on the basis  of several  monitoring
                                                                         _
                                                                         "
                          18 21
studies conducted for EPA,  ~   that the greatest potential  threat
to ambient air quality standards for CO occurs  at locations  where the
first component is relatively important.   Consequently,  the  screening        •
technique focuses on three such locations:
     (1)  The vicinity of traffic lanes accommodating freely                 £
flowing traffic;                                                             —
     (2)  The vicinity of signalized intersections;                           "
     (3)  The vicinity of non-signalized intersections or tollbooths.        •
These locations are illustrated for a hypothetical  parking lot in
Figure 1.  The screening procedure is developed in  the following manner.      £
First, curves for estimating the impact of nearby traffic on ambient
concentrations of CO over 1-hour sampling times are  presented for            •
each of the three types of locations depicted in Figure 1.  Second,           •
procedures for estimating the impact of this traffic on 8-hour ambient
CO concentrations are described.  Next, manners of estimating the            •
background component of the ambient concentration are presented.

                               14


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 I
 •        Fourth, consideration of vehicle operating factors such as fraction of
          cold starts, and applicability of Federal emission standards is
          discussed.  Fifth, a calculative procedure appropriate for estimating
 •        the impact of event-oriented sources is presented.  Sixth, examples
          using Figure 1, the various curves, and techniques developed in the
 •        first five sections are presented to better illustrate the screening
          procedure.  Finally, the screening procedure is summarized.
 •             4.1  Impact of Traffic on Nearby 1-hour CO Concentrations
 •               4.1.1  Freely Flowing Traffic
                        There are four types of roadways near which the impact
 •        of freely flowing traffic on nearby ambient CO concentrations may be of
          interest.  These are freeways, expressways, midblock sections of major
 •        streets and traffic lanes within indirect sources other than highways.
 •        Figures 2, 3 and 4 estimate the impact of traffic volume demand,
          capacity and demand-capacity ratio on ambient CO concentrations averaged
 •        over a 1-hour sampling time at a receptor located a perpendicular
          distance of 10 meters from the edge of a traffic lane.  Identification
 •        of a lane's traffic capacity and demand-capacity ratio defines the
 •        lane's traffic volume demand as well.  For example, in Figure 2, if
          the lane capacity is 2000 vph and the demand-capacity ratio is 0.6, the
 I        volume demand is 1200 vph and the resulting impact of traffic in the
          lane on 1-hour CO concentrations of a receptor located a perpendicular
m        distance of 10 meters away is 3.8 ppm.   Figure 5 depicts the relation-
•        ship between the maximum impact of a traffic lane on ambient CO
          concentrations and the perpendicular distance between a traffic lane
I
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                                                                            I
and the selected receptor site.   By using Figure  5  and  the  appropriate       I
one of Figures 2-4, it is possible to  estimate  the  maximum  impact  of  a
roadway with any specified number of lanes having any specified  width.       |
This procedure is illustrated in Example 1 in Section 4.6.                   M
       4.1.2  Traffic at Signalized Intersections
              Figures 6, 7 and 8 are used in  the  screening  procedure         V
to estimate the impact of traffic at signalized intersections.   Figure
6 is used to determine the maximum impact of  traffic  in a lane upstream     |
from the signal on ambient CO concentrations  at a receptor  site  10          «
meters away.  The impact depicted in Figure 6 arises  from the traffic
cruising by the intersection approach  during  the  green  phase of  the          V
signal, accelerating and decelerating  traffic when  the  light is  red or
shortly after it turns to green, and idling traffic occurring during  the     |
red phase of the signal.  It is  apparent from Figure  6  that the  green       ^
time to signal cycle ratio (G/Cy) exerts an important influence  on
nearby ambient CO levels.  This  ratio  is a constant at  fixed-time            V
signals and should be readily obtainable.  At traffic actuated signals
however, G/Cy depends not only on the  traffic demand  for the intersection    {
approach to which the screening  technique is  being  applied, but  upon         _
the demand at all the other approaches as we'll.  A  method for estimating     ™
green time to signal cycle ratios at traffic  actuated signals is            •
presented in Appendix A.  For purposes of the screening procedure,
however, unless there is specific information to  the  contrary, a G/Cy       g
of 0.6 should be assumed for the approach having  the  highest demand          —
on a major street.  A green time to signal cycle ratio  of 0.5  is probably    *
                                                                             I
                                 16
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•       more appropriate for approaches on local  streets or for exits leading
         from indirect source parking lots.  The rationale for these assumptions
•       is presented in Section 6.3.  Note that it would be possible to simulate
•       the maximum impact of a left-hand turn lane with a left-hand signal  by
         assuming a low G/Cy ratio (e.g., 0.2) prevails for the left signal.
•       The demand used in such a procedure would be the number of vehicles
         wanting to turn left.
•                      In analyzing the maximum impact of a leg to an inter-
•       section, it is also necessary to estimate the effect of traffic on the
         leg, moving in the opposite direction, which is downstream from (i.e.,
•       has already passed) the signal.  Figure 7 is used for this purpose.
         The curve which should be used on Figure 7 is determined by the vehicle
I       operating speed at midblock.  Table 4 in Section 6.3 provides an indicator
•       of how operating speed may vary with volume to capacity ratios on major
         streets.  If it is not feasible to determine volume-capacity ratio at
•       midblock, use a speed of 15 mph for city streets and indirect sources,
         and 30 mph for major streets.
I                      Figure 8 depicts the sensitivity of the impacts estimated

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                                                                                 I
traffic on a leg of a signalized intersection having  any  designated               •
number of lanes of any width.   The use of Figures  6-8 to  perform such
an analysis is illustrated in  Example 2 in Section 4.6.                           I
        4,1.3  Traffic at Tollbooths and Unsignalized Intersections
               Figures 9, 7 and 10 are used in the screening  procedure            •
to estimate the impact of traffic at non-signalized intersections and             •
in the vicinity of tollbooths.   Figure 9 identifies relationships between
volume demand, capacity and volume demand-capacity ratio  and  the impact           1
of traffic in a lane upstream  from a non-signalized intersection or
toll booth on CO concentrations  at a distance of 10 meters from the edge           "
of the lane.  Figure 9 compares the impacts of two operating  conditions           •
in such a lane.  At low demand-capacity ratios, congestion is minimized
and the problem posed by queues of vehicles forming at unsignalized               |
exits/entrances to an indirect  source or at unsignalized  intersections
is minimal.  Under such circumstances, the impact  on  CO concentrations            •
at nearby receptors is directly proportional to volume demand passing             •
the receptor.  As the demand-capacity ratio increases, queue  formation
is likely to exert an increasingly important impact on nearby ambient             I
CO concentrations.  The solid  "free-flow curves" in Figure 9  depict
the range of volume demand-capacity ratios for which  the  volume demand            •
per se may exert the most important influence on nearby ambient CO               •
concentrations.  For demand-capacity ratios exceeding the ratio at
which the appropriate free-flow curve intersects the  queuing  curve,               •
queuing at an intersection or  exit/entrance may exert the maximum impact
on nearby ambient CO concentrations, and the queuing  curve should be             •
used to estimate the impact at  nearby receptors.                                 •
                                                                                 I

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1

• Figure 7 is used to estimate
_ the opposite di
™ toll booth under

the impact of traffic in
rection which is downstream from the intersection or
review. Figure 10, when combined with Figures 9 and 7,
• enables the reviewer to estimate the impact
any width at a receptor site located up to
of any number of lanes of
100 meters away. This pro-
| cedure is illustrated in Example 3 in Section 4.6.
4.1.4
Estimating Representative Concentrations on Sidewalks
• The suggested screening procedure for estimating represen-
• tative concentrations on sidewalks is to estimate the average concentra-
tion along the sidewalk's centerline at breathing height. Where feasible,
I average concentrations should be determined for each sidewalk on each
block which is of interest. Average concentrations along the sidewalk's
• centerline can be estimated by determining
concentrations along a sidewalk's
• centerline for each zone of the sidewalk using guidance in Sections 4.1.1-
4.1.3 as appropriate. For a typical block, there would be three zones
• (2 intersections, 1 midblock) as shown in the sketch below.
1
1 INTERSECTION
1
1
1 ^
1
1
1

MIDBLOCK
— 	 	
01 02
ONE1 ZONE 2


19


INTERSECTION

03
ZONE 3
*m-, --m-f X*J ~^M_
^ -^* — Ao ^




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             (cone),  (X, )  +  (conc)9  (X0) +  (conc)Q  (XQ)
(cone)     =   _    '     ,            . __
UoncVep                   (X1  +  X2  +  X3)
                                                                               I
               For the case pictured in the sketch,  the representative         I
concentration along the sidewalk centerline would be determined  using
the following expression.                                                       "

                                                                               m

The size of the respective zones (i.e., X,, X^ and X,,)  would  be                 m
determined using Equations (7)  and (8)  in Section 6.1  to determine             •
the size of zones dominated by  signalized and non-signalized  inter-
sections respectively.  The remaining portion of the block would be            •
assumed to be dominated by midblock traffic conditions.  This pro-
cedure is illustrated with Example 11 in Section 4.6.                           •
      4.2  Impact of Traffic on Nearby 8-hour CO Concentrations                 •
           Two adjustments must be made to the procedures described
in Section 4.1 in order to adapt the screening procedure for  estimating        •
the impact of traffic on nearby 8-hour concentrations of CO.
           1.  Volume demand appropriate for the peak 8^-hour  use period        •
must be used.  This demand would be obtained by estimating the mean            »
hourly volume demand during the 8-hour period of interest.  In all cases
the peak 8-hour volume demand would be less than the peak 1-hour volume        I
demand.
           2.  Account must be  taken of the lack of persistence of the         m
unfavorable meteorological conditions which were assumed in deriving           M
Figures 2-10.  The following procedure is suggested for deriving a
persistence factor to account for meteorological variations occurring          I
over an 8-hour sampling period.
                                                                               I
                                 20
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                                       Figure  2
         VOLUME DEMAND - CAPACITY RATIO IN A FREEWAY OR EXPRESSWAY LANE VERSUS CO

              CONCENTRATION IMPACT AT A PERPENDICULAR DISTANCE OF 10 METERS
   35



   30
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          0.2
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                          VOLUME DEMAND TO CAPACITY RATIO (v/c)

                                         22

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                         Figure 3

VOLUME DEMAND - CAPACITY RATIO IN A LANE ON A MAJOR STREET VERSUS CO
  CONCENTRATION IMPACT AT A PERPENDICULAR DISTANCE OF 10 METERS
              VOLUME DEMAND TO CAPACITY RATIO (v/c)

                             23

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                               Figure 4

   VOLUME DEMAND - CAPACITY RATIO IN A LANE WITHIN AN INDIRECT SOURCE VERSUS CO
         CONCENTRATION IMPACT AT A PERPENDICULAR DISTANCE OF 10 METERS
0.1
0.2
                       VOLUME DEMAND TO CAPACITY RATIO (v/c)
                                 24

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                                   Figure 6


   MAXIMUM IMPACT OF TRAFFIC IN AN APPROACH LANE UPSTREAM FROM A SIGNALIZED
INTERSECTION AT A RECEPTOR SITE LOCATED AT A PERPENDICULAR DISTANCE OF 10 METERS
   35

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 =>
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 o

 CL-
IO

 9

 8


 7


 6
   1.5
             200      400      600      800      1000     1200

                            TRAFFIC DEMAND PER LANE, vph

                                    26
                                                            1400
1600
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                                    Figure 7


       MAXIMUM IMPACT OF TRAFFIC IN A LANE DOWNSTREAM FROM AN INTERSECTION
       AT A RECEPTOR SITE LOCATED A PERPENDICULAR DISTANCE OF 10 METERS AWAY
 E
V)
2
o
UJ
u
2
O
u
o
u
GC
            200     400
600
800      1000     1200      1400     1600
                         TRAFFIC DEMAND PER LANE,vph

                                      27

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                                                      28
      <
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                                                                                                         oc
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                             Figure  9

IMPACT OF TRAFFIC UPSTREAM FROM A NON-SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION ON CO CONCENTRATIONS

      AT A RECEPTOR SITE LOCATED A PERPENDICULAR DISTANCE OF 10 METERS AWAY
                    VOLUME DEMAND TO CAPACITY RATIO (v/c)

                               29

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'NOIl\/HlN33N003AUViaH

        30
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•                      (a)  Select an existing indirect source or roadway
          confiauration  similar  to ones which are likely to be proposed and which
•        is  located  in  an area  where wind variability is likely to be representa-
•        tive (e.o.,  an existing source located in a street canyon where channeling
          may occur woulo not be suitable unless a proposed source were also to
I        be  located  in  such a site).
                         (b) Monitor hourly traffic at the main gate for the
•        selected existing  source or on the existing roadway, wind speed and
•        direction at the site  and ambient CO concentrations within 50 m of the
          selected gate  or roadway.
•                       (c)  For each day, note the highest measured 1-hour
          CO  concentration occurring with wind speeds less than 2 m/sec.  Note
          the traffic  demand measured in both directions at the gate or on the
          road during  this period.
                         (d)  For each day, note the highest 8-hour running
•        averane CO  concentration at the existing source during hours of operation,
          along with  the average hourly traffic volume occurring in both directions
•        at  the selected gate during this period.  If a roadway is selected,
•        follow the  same procedure, but limit observations to those times of day
          ir  which the proposed  source will be operating.
•                       (e)  For each day, the persistence factor, p, can be
          estimated using Equation (1).

                            (Max. "-hour averaae concentration)
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                                                                   VM       0)
                             ,Max. 1-hour concentration with v/indi
                             speed < 2 m/sec}                    1

                                        31

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                                                                                I
     where p = 1- to 8-hour persistence factor,  dimension!ess                    I

          V, = traffic volume demand in both directions  during  the
               hour in which hiqhest CO concentrations were  observed,  vph        •

          V0 - average hourly traffic volume demand  in both  directions
               during the 8-hour period in  which the highest 8-hour              •
               running average CO concentration  is observed, vph                 |

               (f)  Choose the highest observed  persistence  factor               M

and multiply it by the estimates obtained using  Figures  2-10 to
                                                                                I
estimate the maximum 8-hour impact at the  selected  receptor.

               Using a procedure similar  to  the one outlined  above,

a maximum persistence factor of "0.6" was  observed  during  an  EPA-

sponsored monitoring study at an indirect  source.     If it is                   •

irfeasible to derive a persistence factor, or until such time as  the             *

appropriate data become available, a value of "0.6" may be assumed.              B

               Derivation and use of a meteorological  persistence  factor

to estimate 8-hour concentrations of CO are  illustrated in Example 4             |

in Section 4.6.                                                                 «

     4.3  Estimation of Background CO Concentrations

          Sections 4.1 and 4.2 have discussed means whereby the                 I

impact of traffic on nearby ambient CO concentrations  can  be  assessed.

It is likely that the most severe threat  to  National Ambient  Air                 |

Quality Standards (NAAQS) for CO will occur  where  this impact is                 •

great.  However, merely estimating the impact of nearby traffic

may not be sufficient to determine whether the standards are  threatened.        I

Even though the background concentration  may frequently be very much

less than the impact of nearby traffic on  ambient  CO concentrations,             |

the background component should be included  in order to compare                 •

estimated ambient concentrations of CO with  the NAAQS.  Occasionally,            ™
                                32
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when a source is to be located in a rural  area and there are no

reasonable receptor sites at the downwind  edge of the proposed parking

                                                  24
lot, a natural background of 1 ppm may be  assumed.    More often,

however, use of natural background levels  may not be sufficient.

Several approaches for estimating background concentrations are

described in Appendix H.  The two preferable methods for estimating

background levels would be:

          (1)  Note the second highest 1-  and 8-hour CO concentrations
observed, during hours in which the proposed indirect source would
operate, at a continuously operated monitoring site over the past
year which is situated near the site of the proposed source or at
a similarly situated existing source and adjust these observations
to account for the effect National emission control programs will
have after the proposed source's first year of operation; or

          (2)  Use the results of a calibrated meso-scale diffusion
model to estimate high representative 1- and 8-hour concentrations
likely to occur during hours in which the  proposed source would operate,

Unfortunately, frequently the necessary information may not be

available to take advantage of either of these two approaches.

Unless the data are already available or the modeling exercise has

already been completed, both approaches require more effort than  is

appropriate for the indirect source screening procedure.  Indeed,

the indirect source regulations  imply that, an applicant may be

required to monitor ambient CO concentrations for no longer than

14 deys.  In cases where it is not possible to use one of the two

above procedures, it may frequently be necessary for the applicant

to monitor ambient CO concentrations for e  limited period.   The

remaining portion of this section assumes  that such is the case,  and

discusses how the collected data night be  interpreted and used to

estimate ambient backoround concentrations.

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                                                                             I
          4.3.1   Seasonal  Adjustnierit of ObseryedJIoncejitnati ons              _
                 Since an  applicant nay only be required to monitor          ™
ambient CO levels for at most 14 days,  there is a  strong likelihood          •
that the highest 1- and 8-hour background concentrations occurring
during a source's operating hours will  not be observed.   To compen-          J
sate for this, the observed data should be seasonally adjusted.  Two         _
possible methods for adjusting observations are described below.              •
Other methods may be just  as satisfactory or even  preferable if they         •
are more suited  to the available data.   The first  method described
requires the presence of a continuous nionitorinn station which has           •
been operating somewhere within the regional area  of interest for
a year.  The second method is less satisfactory, but does not require        •
the presence of  a historical monitoring site.                                B
                 Method 1--Use of Historical Data
                 (1)  Hote the highest 1- and 3-hour CO concentrations        I
observed at the applicant's monitoring site during the times of day
in which the proposed source would be operating.
                 (2)  Note the highest observed 1- and 8-hour concen-         •
trations during the source's operating hours at the historical  site
most closely corresponding to the site of the applicant's monitor             •
during the 1& day monitoring period.                                           •
                 (3)  Mote the hinhest observed 1- and 8-hour concen-         •
trations at the historical site over  the past year during the source's        I
operating hours.
                      Apply Equation  (2) to estimate the seasonally           •
                      nrpntratinn .                                            •
adjusted background concentration.
                                 34
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              /Max. observed 1-hr cone A    /Max. obs. 1-hr. cone.   \
               @ applicant's site           @ historical site duringj
              I during source operating I    I source operating hours  I
             _\hours	/    \in past year	j_   (2)
          xb      /Max. observed 1-hr. cone.  @ historical
                   site during source operating hours
                  1 during the 14-day period


                 (5)  The seasonally adjusted 8-hour background concen-
tration would be obtained by substituting 8-hour concentrations for
1-hour concentrations in Equation (2).

If hourly data are not readily available at the historical  site, steps

(2)-(3) and Equation (2) would have to be altered as follows:

                 (2a)  Note the highest observed 1- and 8-hour concen-
trations at the historical  site most closely  corresponding  to the
site of the applicant's monitor during the 14 day monitoring period.

                 (3a)  Note the highest observed 1- and 8-hour concen-
trations at the historical  site over the past year.

                 (4a)  Apply Equation (2a) to estimate the  seasonally
adjusted background concentration.
              [Max. obs.  1-hr.  cone.     \   I  Max.  obs.  1-hr.
              l@ applicant's site during   I  cone.  P historical  site.
             _\source operating hrs.     /    \during  past year	/  (2a)
          xb        /Max.  obs.  1-hr.  cone.  @ historicalX
                    (site  during 14-day period         )
The use of historical  data to estimate  background  concentrations  is

illustrated further by Example 5 in  Section  4.6.
                                 35

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                 Method 2--Use of Pollution Potential
                                 36
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                 (1)   Note highest 1- and 3-hour CO concentrations
observed at. the aoplicant's nonitoring site during the times of day
in which the proposed source would be operating.                                  •

                 (2)   Note the x/0 value in the appropriate part of
the United States from the Figures 42-45 in AP-101   which correspond             •
to the tine of year ir which the monitoring is undertaken by the                  •
applicant.

                 (3)   Note the maximum x/Q value for the appropriate              •
area of the country from Figures 42-45.   Use the value for the larger             •
city to emphasize seasonal differences.

                 (4)   Use Equation (3) to seasonally adjust observed              |
backgrouna concentrations.
                                                                                  I
               Max. obs. 1- or 8-hr, conc.l  /  Maximum x/Q from!
               n applicant's site during       AP-101
             _ \source operating hours	/	\	/

           D         (x/0 fron AP-101 during time of year]                        •
                     Vin which monitoring is performed  /                        |


Method 2 is illustrated further by Example 5 in Section 4.6.                      |

          4.3.2  Interpretation of Monitoring Data at

                 Proximate and Representative Sites                               |

                 A monitoring site's location may frequently be deter-            _

mined by practical constraints such as availability of electrical power           ™

and security.  The resulting location of an ambient monitoring site affects       •

the manner in which the screening procedure is  applied.  In general, there

are two types of sites, representative sites and proximate sites.  A              |

proximate site is one where the monitor is within 100 meters of the traffic       _

lanes to which the screening procedure is being applied.  As such,                •
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          these data may already reflect a significant contribution from the
 |       traffic lanes being evaluated.  Indiscriminate application of the
 _       approaches suggested in Section 4.1  may result in  the traffic lanes'
 ™       impact being counted twice.   Thus,  it is suggested that if the only
 •       feasible sites are proximate ones,  hourly traffic  volumes on the
          nearby roadway be monitored  as well.   It would then be possible to
          "calibrate" the curves in Section 4.1  so that the  estimated and
 _        observed concentrations agree for the observed level  of traffic.
 ™        Next, the maximum increase in traffic attributable to the new source
 •        and/or seasonal  differences  in other  traffic using the road should
          be added to the observed traffic and  the incremental  iirpact should
          be estimated using the "calibrated"  curves.   The above procedure  is
 _        illustrated more completely  by Example 6 in  Section 4.6.
 ™                         The advantage of using data obtained from a proximate
 •        site is that such data may be used  to  help estimate 8-hour persistence
          factors as described in Section 4.2.   There  are several  disadvantages,
 I        however.   First, additional  traffic  data may be required.
 _        Second, if there are several  different types of critical  locetions
 ™        (e.  g., at midblock, at signalized  intersections,  at  non-signalized
 •        intersections),  only the curves appropriate  for the type  of location

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near which the monitoring site is  located may be  "calibrated."   Third,
the computations required to use proximate data  in the  screening pro-           I
cedure are more complex.   On balance it is suggested that representa-
tive sites be used to obtain air quality data whenever  possible.               •
                 A representative  site is one located at least  100              •
meters from major traffic lanes.  The concentrations observed at such
sites are not likely to be dominated by traffic  in the  lanes  being              |
evaluated with the screening procedure.  The use  of seasonally  adjusted
maximum background concentrations  from representative sites  is  straight-       •
forward.   The 1- and 8-hour background values thus obtained  are simply          •
added to the impact attributable to nearby traffic.  This is  illustrated
in Section 4.6 with Example 7.                                                 I
          4.3.3  Estimating the Impact of Remote  Sources within a
                 Proposed Parking  Lot                                          |
                 When a receptor site is located  within or at the              _
downwind edge of a proposed parking lot, the impact of  emissions which          ™
may take place within the lot, but not in the immediate vicinity of            9
the receptor site. should be accounted for.  This  can be done in two
ways.  First, the monitoring site selected to estimate  background              |
concentrations could be located in the vicinity  of an existing  lot              _
which is similar to the one which is proposed.  Background data obtained       ™
at such a site would inherently account for parking  lot  emissions.   If
                                 38
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•      the first approach is not feasible, a second approach would be to add
        an arbitrary increment to the background concentration to account for
I      the proposed lot.  Limited data suggest that increments of 5 ppm and
        12 ppm would be conservative values to add to the 1- and 8-hour background
                                    20
        concentrations respectively.    Estimating background concentrations in
•      the vicinity of proposed parking lots is illustrated in Example 7 in
        Section 4.6.
|           4.4  The Effect of Varying Automotive Operating Factors
•                The curves depicted in Figures 2-10 are appropriate for a
        national average mix of model year vehicles for calender year 1975.
•      This mix is composed of 88 percent automobiles and 12 percent light-duty
        trucks.  Twenty percent of this national mix is assumed to be operating
I      from cold starts with ambient temperatures ranging from 68°F to 86°F.
•      If the mixture of vehicles in the area of interest has different charac-
        teristics than those upon which Figures 2-10 are based, the estimates
•      obtained using Sections 4.1 and 4.2 must be corrected.  This section
        discusses correction factors needed to account for four such differences:
|      fraction of cold starts, differing ambient temperatures, effect of auto-
«      motive emission control programs, and the effect of local  factors
        altering the vehicle mix.
I                4.4.1  Fraction of Vehicles Operating from a Cold Start
                         Table 1 presents a series of "cold start-cold temperature
|      correction factors" which should be applied if the reviewer has reason
M      to believe the assumption of 20 percent cold starts is inappropriate
        for the site being reviewed and/or temperatures outside the range of
I      68°-86°F are appropriate.  Cold start-cold temperature correction
        factors should only be applied to the estimated 1- and 8-hour impact of
•                                       39

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            Table  1.   COLD  START  CORRECTION  FACTORS AT

                        VARIOUS AMBIENT TEMPERATURES*
Percent of \
Cold-Operating \ Ambient Cold Cool
Vehicles \ Temperature (?0°F) (50°F)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
SO
.6 .8
1.2 1.1
1.7 1.3
2.2 1.6
2.3 1.8
3.3 2.1
3.R 2.3
5,3 2.6
4.9 2.8
90 5.4 3.1
100
59 33
*These correction factors are appropriate for cold start-cold te
emissions for vehicles which are not equipped with catalysts.
factors for catalytical ly equipped vehicle^may be estimated us
appropriate table in Supplement 5 to AP-42 and comparing the

Warm
(75°F)
.7
.9
1.0
1.1
1 .3
1.4
l.h
1 .7
1.8
1 .9
2.0
nperatm
Emissior
ing the
result
with the 55 gm/mi factor assumed in  Section
                               40
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nearby traffic.  The estimated background concentration would already

reflect the fraction of vehicles operating from cold start.   If the cold

soak period for a vehicle exceeds 4 hours and the vehicle passes in

the vicinity of the receptor point of interest within 4 minutes, emissions

from that vehicle may be appreciably greater than those from a warmed-up

vehicle.  The basis for the correction factors in Table 1 are discussed

more fully in Secti'on 6.2.

          4.4.2  The Effect of Automotive Emission Control  Programs

                 Table 2 presents correction factors to reflect the

application of emission control programs.  Emission control  programs

are categorized in three ways: control programs applied in low altitude

areas, control programs applied in California (reflecting more stringent

emission standards for a limited time) and control programs  applied in

high altitude areas.

                 The correction factors in Table 2 were obtained by

taking the ratio of a CO emission factor for the calender year of

interest to that for 1975 for a vehicle mix composed of 88 percent

automobiles and 12 percent light-duty trucks and rounding to the nearest

tenth.  Emission factors for each calender year were estimated using

                                             26
guidance in Chapter 3, Supplement 5 to AP-42.    The national adjustment

factors in Table 2 assume a CO emission standard of 15 gm/mi applies for

1975, 1976 and 1977 model vehicles and the statutory standard of 3.4

gm/mi applies thereafter.  The California factors reflect the California

interim standards through 1977.

                 The correction factors in Table 2 may be applied

directly to the impact of nearby traffic estimated in Sections 4.1  and

4.2.  Equation (4) should be used to apply the correction factors in

Table 2 to estimated background concentrations.


                                 41

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        TABLE 2.   CORRECTION  FACTORS  REFLECTING  EMISSION
               CONTROL  PROGRAMS  IN  DIFFERENT  AREAS
I
{ear
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
Low
Altitude
1.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
"i
u
9
8
7
5
4
Hi
Alti
1
1
1
1
1
0
gh
tude
.8
.6
.4
.2
.0
.8
Cal i form' a
1 .
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0
8
8
6
5
4
                                 42
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      These correction  factors  reflect  the  imposition  of interim              •
federal  CO emission standards  (for the  low  altitude  and  high  altitude         •
areas) through model  year 1977  and the  statutory  standard thereafter.
for California, the CO  correction  factors  reflect the  California
interim standards through the  1977 model year and the  statutory standards     •
thereafter.  Should amendments  to  the Clean Air Act  proposed  in March         •
1975 become law, correction  factors for 1978 and  later years  may  be
altered.   In the event  Congress  amends  the  Clean  Air Act, this table          •
should be altered accordingly.   This  may be done  using Supplement 5           •
to AP-4226
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                               year of interest
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                  (cf)
                  ^CTJbackground

_      Example 8  in Section 4.6 illustrates the application of cold start
        and  emission control correction factors in the screening procedure.

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*      factors reflecting considerations other than cold start, cold temperature,
•      altitude and control programs (e.g., prevailing local mixes of vehicles,
        driving cycles, steep grades), these should be substituted for the
g      emission factors used in deriving the curves in Section 4.1.  If such
_      a procedure is followed, the estimates obtained using the curves should
™      be multiplied by a "local factor" as determined with Equation (5).
          4.4.3  Consideration of Other Factors Affecting Local

                 Vehicle Operating Conditions

                 The emission factors  which were used in deriving

the curves in Figures 2, 3, 4 and 9 are based on average trip  emission

factors for national average mix of vehicles (by model  year) composed

of 88 percent autos and 12 percent light-duty trucks  and metropolitan
                                                                    27
area driving cycles as described by the 1975 Federal  Test Procedure.

Figures 6 and 7 are based on observed  traffic at a  signalized  inter-
        21
section.    Whenever data are available concerning  local  emission
               (local  emission  factor  for  one year  after  the
          -,.p _  proposed  source begins  operation)	       (5)
               Tnational  average trip  emission  factor~fo"F
                one year  after  the  proposed  source  begins
                operation)
                                 43

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          jLl JL?J1§"*derations _for Events-Oriented Fjacjji ties
     In defining volume demand, it is  assumed that demands  during
                                                                               I

                                                                               I

a 1-hour period are evenly spread out over the hour (i.e.,  peak hour
factor - 1).   This assumption may not be valid for event-oriented              •
facilities.  A prominent example of such a facility is a sports stadium.
The peak impact on CO concentrations is likely to occur shortly after          I
the event's conclusion when everybody tries to leave at once.   Obser-          •
                                   1°                                          •
vations in the vicinity of stadiums " neve indicated periods of extreme
congestion for a fraction of an hour after the event with practically          •
no traffic toward the end of the hour.  Accordingly, the following
procedure is  suggested to determine whether key design and  operating           •
parameters are sufficient to avoid the threat to the 1-hour CO NA.AQS           •
in the vicinity of event-oriented indirect sources.
          (a)  For Signal izgd or Non-Signalized Exits from the Parking Lot     •
               1.  Obtain estimates of the traffic volume (V, vehicles)

               2.  Estimate time required to accommodate all  vehicles          •
wishing to use each qate:

                                                                               I
          T, , j                                               (6)
where M'. = traffic volume wishing to use gate i, vehicles
      c. = maximum capacity of gate (=(# of lanes)(average lane
           capacity)), veh/hr
      T. = time required to accommodate all vehicles wishing to
                          44
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                use gate i, hr
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•                     3.  Assume the volume demand is equal to the capacity
         (i.e.,  v/c = 1) for T and is zero for the remaining portion of the
         hour.
_                     4.  Obtain concentration from the appropriate ones of
™       Figures 6-10 assuming the demand equals the capacity.  Multiply the
•       sum of  the lane contributions by "T" and add background concentrations.
                  ( b )  For Nearby Intersections and at Midblock Sections
                       Unless the unused capacity of the road is very much
_       greater than that of the exit from the source, follow the same pro-
™       cedure  outlined above using the appropriate ones of Figures 2-10,
•       only in step 3 assume the volume demand is equal to that generated by
         traffic which is not related to the source during the remainder of
        the hour.  If the unused capacity of the access road greatly exceeds
        the exit capacity, analyze the roadway as would be done for a non-event
•      source.  Analysis of an event-oriented source is illustrated with
fl      Example 9 in. Section 4.6.
             4 . 6  Illustrative Examples of the Application of the Screening
•                Procedure in Indirect Source Review
                  The purpose of this section is to provide numerical examples
•      to better illustrate the screening procedure described in Sections
•      4.1 - 4.5.  Nine examples, describing different facets of the screen-
        ing procedure, are applied to the hypothetical source pictured in
•      Figure 1.  A tenth example, synthesizing the various features of the
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screening procedure,  is then presented.   Finally,  an  eleventh  example       ™

is presented to illustrate the procedure for estimating  representative      1|

concentrations along  sidewalk center! ines should  receptors  of  this

nature be of interest for the source under review.                          I

     Example 1                                                             _

     (a)  Purpose.  The purpose of this  example  is  to  illustrate  the         ™
use of Figures 2-5  to estimate the impact of freely flowing traffic
on ambient 1-hour CO  concentrations at  nearby receptor  sites.
                                                                           •
     (b)  Problem.  Suppose a receptor point is  located a  perpen-
dicular distance of 17 meters from a mid-block location of a
major street (e.g., location 1,  Figure 1).   Further,  the receptor
is north of the street.  Highest estimated  traffic  demand
occurring on the road during hours in which the  source is  operating
is estimated to be 2400 vph.  This demand results  from existing             •
traffic and the projected demand attributable to the  proposed  source.       ™
During the hour of interest 60?;'  of the traffic is  assumed  to  be
traveling west.  Capacity of the lanes at mid-block is estimated           •
as 1000 vph/lane.   There are 4 lanes and each lane  is assumed  to           I
be 4 meters wide.   What is the maximum impact of the  estimated
traffic on ambient 1-hour CO concentrations at the  specified                M
receptor point?                                                            V

     ( c )  Solution.

          (1)  Estimate the demand per lane by noting that the total        •
demand is 2400 vph.  Since 60% of this traffic is  traveling west,
the demand in lanes (1) and (2)  is:                                        •
Similarly, the demand in lanes (3) and (4) is:
          v = (.40) (2400) (1/2)  = 480 vph/lane                            •


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          (2)  Estimate the demand-capacity ratio  for  each  lane  -

For lanes (1) and (2) v/c - 720/1000 =  .72

For lanes (3) and (4) v/c = 480/1000 =  .48

          (3)  Since location 1  is near a  midblock location of a major  street,
Figures 3 and 5 are applicable.   From Figure 3,  note that  if each  lane
were 10 m from the receptor, the following impacts would be estimated:

          >.-, = 4.6 npm

          X0 = 4.6 ppm

          ~>3 = 2.4 ppm

          \. - 2.4 ppm

          (4)  However, the nearest lane,  lane 1,  is 17 meters from
the receptor.  Since each lane is 4 meters wide,  lane  (2)  is 21  meters
from the receptor; lane (3) is 25 meters and lane  (4)  is 29 meters
from the receptor.  This information, together with the calculations
in step (3) above, is used in Figure 5  to  estimate the impact of the
street on the receptor at location 1 in Figure i.

          From Figure 5, note that at a 17 meter  distance  the
impact of a lane of traffic is 0.75 that at 10 meters. Similarly
at 21 meters, 25 meters and 29 meters,  the impact  is .66,  .60 and
•55 of the 10 meter impact respectively.

          Therefore,

          >1 = (.75) (4.6) = 3.5

          x2 = (.66) (4.6) = 3.0

          ,x3 = (.60) (2.A) = 1.4

          X4 = (.55) (2.A) = 1.3
          Total  impact of the street =  9.2  ~  9  ppm
           e 2
     (a)  Purpose.   The purpose of this  example  is  to  illustrate
the use of Figures  6-8 to estimate the maximum impact  of traffic
at a leg of a signalized intersection on ambient  1-hour  CO  concen-
trations at a nearby receptor point.
                                 47

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                                                                               I
     (b)  Problem.   A receptor point of interest  is  located  20  m  north          m
of the east leg of  the signalized intersection  pictured  at location             |
2 in Figure 1.   Traffic demand in lanes (1)  and (2)  is 720 vph/lane.
Traffic demand  in lanes (3)  and (4)  is  480 vph/lane.  The east  leg              _
of the intersection has 4 lanes and  each lane is  4 meters wide.   The            •
signal at location  2 is a traffic-actuated one.  What is the maximum            *
impact of the estimated traffic on ambient 1-hour CO concentrations
at the designated receptor?                                                     •

     (c)  Solution.

          (1)  Since the signal is a traffic actuated one and there is          I
no information  given concerning demands at the  intersection's other
legs, assume G/Cy for the east leg's through traffic is  0.6  as  sug-             _
gested in Section 4.1.2.                                                       •

          (2)  Lanes (1) and (2) constitute  the intersection approach
and hence are upstream from  the intersection.   Enter the abscissa  in            •
Figure 6 at a demand of 720  vph/lane and note the intersection  with the         |
G/Cy =0.6 curve.

          From  Figure 6,                                                       •

          x-, =  10.4 ppm

          Xp =  10.4 ppm                                                        •

          (3)  Lanes (3) and (4) are downstream from the intersection,          •
so Figure 7 must be used.  Since the east leg is  on  a major  street, and         j§
v/c - .48 use Table 3 to assume a cruise speed  of 30 mph will be  attained.
Entering the abscissa at 480 vph, note  that                                     M

          X3 =  2.5  porn

          X4 -  2.5  ppm                                                         •

          (4)  The  estimates in steps (2) and (3) would  be appro-
priate if the distance between the receptor  and each lane were  10              •
meters.  However, lanes (1)  - (4) are 20, 24, 28  and 32  meters                  |
respectively from the receptor site.  Thus Figure 8  must be  used
to adjust the estimates obtained in  steps (2) and (3).   The                     »
"upstream curve" applies for lanes (1)  and (2)  since they are                  •
upstream from the intersection.  The "downstream  curve"  applies                —
for lanes (3) and (4).  Combining the information obtained  from
steps (2) and (3) with that  in Figure 8, note that:                             I
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          X] - (.59) (10.4)  -  6.1

          X2 = (.49) (10. a)  =  5.1


          X3 = (.54) (2.5)   =  1.4
             = (.48) (2.5)   =  1.

          Total impact of the intersection leg  =  13.8    14  ppm
     Example 3

     (a)  Purpose.  The purpose of this  example is  to  illustrate  the
use of Figures 9, 7 and 10 to estimate the maximum  impact of traffic
at a leg of a non-signalized intersection  on ambient  1-hour  CO  con-
centrations at nearby receptor points.

     (b)  Prob J epi_.  A receptor point is  located 15  meters
from the leg of an intersection cf the major exit/entrance and  a
ring road within an indirect source parring lot as  shown  at  location
3 in Figure 1.  If the capacity of the 2-lane intersection leg  is
300 vph/lane and the estimated demand using the leg is  250 vph  in
each direction,  what is the impact of this traffic  on  ambient 1-hour
CO concentrations at the receptor point.   Each lane is  estimated  to
be 3 meters wide.

     ( c )  Sojution.

          (1)  Referring to location 3 in  Figure 1, traffic  in  lane  (5)
is upstream from the intersection and traffic in lane  (6) is downstream.
Therefore, Figures 9 and 10 must be used  for lane (5)  and Figures  7 and
10 for lane (6) .

          (2)  The demand-capacity ratio  for lane (5)  is:
                 -,
          v/c -      = .83
          From Figure 9,  the impact of lane  (5)  on  a  receptor  10
meters from the lane would be:

          X5 = 14.5 ppm

(Note from Figure 9 that  if v/c  had been  less  than  0.38,  the c  =  300
voh curve would have determined  lane (5)'s  impact on  the  ambient
CO concentration at the receptor point.)
                                49

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          (3)  Using the 15 mph cruise curve in  Figure  7,  as  sug-
gested in Section 4.1.2, xg = 2.6 ppm.

          (4)  Since the receptor is 15 meters from lane  (5)  and
18 meters from lane (6), Figure 10 is needed.  The  "upstream  curve"
in Figure 10 applies for lane (5), while the "downstream  curve" is
appropriate for lane (6).   Combining the information in steps (2)
and (3) with that in Figure 10,

          X5 = (.75) (14.5) = 10.9

          X6 = (.74) (2.6)   =  1.9
          Total impact of the intersection leg  =  12.8  ~  13  ppm
     Example 4

     (a)  Purpose.  The purpose of this  example  is  to  illustrate  the
derivation and use of meteorological  persistence factors  in  esti-
mating the impact of nearby traffic on 8-hour ambient  CO  concentra-
tions at the receptor points described in  Examples  1-3.

     (b)  Problem.  Peak 8-hour traffic  demand on the  major  street
depicted at locations 1 and 2 in Figure  1  is  estimated to be 2000
vph.  Traffic is assumed to be split 50-50 in each  direction.   Peak
traffic demand on lanes (5) and (6) within the proposed parking lot
is estimated to be 200 vph/lane for an 8-hour period.   During a two
week air quality monitoring study conducted by the  applicant at
a proximate site (Site A) 25 m north of  lane  (1), a maximum  1-hour CO
concentration of 8 ppm is observed during  hours  in  which  the source
would operate.  The corresponding traffic  flow observed during  this
hour was 1000 vph in each direction.   The  maximum 8-hour  concentration
observed including operating hours was 3 ppm. Eight-hour traffic
demand during this period was observed to  be  1600 vph, with  800 vph
in each direction.  The terrain and buildings at locations 1  and  2
are similar in size and shape.  However, location 3 is considerably
more level and open.  What is the impact of nearby  traffic on 8-hour
ambient CO concentrations at receptor points  Rl, R2 and R3 in Figure  1?

     (c)  Solution.

          (1)  Estimate the peak 8-hour  traffic  demand in traffic
lanes (1) - (6).
                                50
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v]  =

                            ---— - 500 vph and v/c - 0.5
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                               Total 1-hour  impact 9 Rl =6.5 ppm
|                         Point R.2:
                           From Figure 6,
                           X-j = 7.4 ppm; x2  = 7-4 ppm
                           From Figure 7,
                           X, - 2.6 ppm; x#  = 2.6 ppm
                           Adjustina these values for the appropriate receptor
            distance with Fiaure 8,
                                             51
                       v2 = 500 vph        and v/c = 0.5

                       v? = 500 vph        and v/c - 0.5

                       v4 = 500 vph        and v/c = C.5

                       VR = 200 von        and v/c = .67

                       v6 = 200 vph        and v/c = .67

                       (2)  Estimate 1-hour concentrations at each receptor point,
             using the 8-hour demands.

                            Point Rl :
                            From the c  - 1000 vph curve in Figure 3,

                            ;vl  = 2.5 ppm
                            y~  - 2.5 opm
                            y_  = 2.5 ppm
                            ;/d  = 2.5 ppm

                            Since lane  (1)  is 17 meters from Rl  and lanes (2)  - (4'
             are 21,  25 and 29  meters  away  respectively, Figure  5 is used to show

                                :<1  = (.75)  (2.5) = 1.9

                                >2  = (.67)  (2.5) = 1.7

                                X3  = (.60)  (2.5) = 1.5

                                x/,  - (.b5)  (2.5) = 1.4

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                                                               I
       =  (.59)  (7.4)  =  4.4                                      •
       =  (.49)  (7.4)  =  3.6
       =  (.54)  (2.6)  =  1.4                                      I
       =  (.49)  (2.6)  =  1.3
    Total  1-hour  impact  ?  R2  =  10.7  ppm
P     8 ppm   \1600 vphy
Point Rl :

x - (6.5)  (0.5)  - 3.3 ~ 3  ppm
                                                               |
               Point R3:
               From Figures  9  and  10,  xc  =  4.6

               From Figures  7  and  10,  Xc  =  1-3
                                       Q                                       ^^m


               Total 1-hour  impact @ R3  =  6.4  ppm                             •

          (3)   Estimate 8-hour meteorological persistence factor.

               Point Rl:                                                       |
               Using Equation  (1)  at location 1, where Monitoring Site
A is located,                                                                  _

                        3m~| ^2000 vph^                          /^          |


               D = .47  ~  .5                                                  •

               Point R2:
               Since variation in  traffic volume on  the  east  leg of            •
the intersection is likely to  be  similar  to that at  location  1 and the         |
location's aerodynamic characteristics are  similar,  use  a persistence
factor of p =  0.5 at location  2 in Figure 1  as  well.                           _

               Point R3:                                                       •
               Since there have been no traffic observations  at a
similar but existing source  and the roughness characteristics are              •
different at location 3 than they  are  elsewhere in Figure 1,  assume            I
a meteorological persistence factor of 0.6  as suggested  in  Section 4.2.

          (4)   Apply meteorological  persistence factors  to  estimated           £
1-hour impacts to estimate the 3-hour  impacts at the selected receptor
points.                                                                        _
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               Point R2:

               X = (10.7) (0.5) = 5.4 - 5 ppm

               Point R3:

               x = (6.4) (0.6)  = 3.8 - 4 ppm
     Example 5

     (a)  Purpose.  The purpose of this example is  to illustrate the
manner in which background concentrations of CO observed near the pro-
posed site during a limited period can be seasonally adjusted and used
to estimate maximum background concentrations appropriate for use in
the screening procedure.  The example is subdivided into three parts.
The first part assumes there is a historical monitoring site for CO
operating and that hourly data are available.  Part 2 assumes that
only maximum 1- and 8-hour values are available at  the historical  site.
Part 3 assumes that there are no data available from a historical
station.

     Part 1
     (b)  Problem.   Monitoring Site B,  at location  3  in  Figure  1,  is
situated at least 100 meters from any major road, and is operated  for
a 14 day period.  Monitoring Site C (not shown in Figure 1)  is  a CO
monitoring station which is maintained  independently  and has been
operating for a year.  During the 14 day period in  which Station B is
operating, the maximum 1- and 8-hour CO concentrations observed at
this site during hours in which the proposed site would  operate are
4 ppm and 2 ppm respectively.  At Site  C the maximum  1-  and  8-hour
concentrations observed during the proposed source's  operating  hours
are 16 opm and 4 ppm respectively.  During the past year the maximum
1- and 8-hour concentrations observed at Site C during the source's
operating hours are 24 ppm and 6 ppm respectively.  What background
concentrations should be assumed for the source in  the screening
procedure?

     (c)  Solution.

          (1)  Estimate 1-hour background concentration  with Equation
(2).

          Using Equation (2),


             -(4 ppm)
                                53

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     (2)   Estimate 8-hour background  concentration  with  Equation            •
                                                                           *
(2) in Section 4.3.1 .

             = (2 ppn)  (6 PPir.)
                       (4           ppn'
     (b)  Problem.   Suppose only maximum 1- and 8-hour concentration            |
data are readily available from the historical  monitoring site.   These
data indicate the following for Site C:                                          _

          Maximum 1-hour CO concentration during 14  day period is 27 ppm.
          Maximum 8-hour CO concentration during 14  day period is 7  ppm.
          Maximum 1-hour CO concentration during past year is  31  ppm.            ff
     Maximum 8-hour CO concentration  during  past  year is  12  ppm.

(c)  Solution.   Use Equation (2a)  in  Section 4.3.1.

     1-hour

          Xb =  (4 ppm) (Ir-SSr)  =  4-6 "  5 PPm         (2a)

     8-hcur

          Xb =  (2 ppm) (^HS  =  3.4~3 pom         (2b)

Part 3
          1-hour
                    /„    \  /600 SBC/ITU „ r
                  = (4 ppm)  (400 sec/m)   6

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     (b)  Problem.  Suppose Site C, does not exist.   Assume, for illus-
trative purposes, the proposed source is located in north central                .
North Carolina and the monitoring data at Site B were obtained during           •
the spring.                                                                     *
     (c)  Solution.                                                             B
                                       25                                       "
          Note from Figure 43 in AP-101    that the upper tenth percentile

^— in central North Carolina in spring is estimated as about 400 sec/m.          I
Q
Also note from Figure 45 that the worst  season in terms_pf pollution            _
potential in this part of the country is autumn, where x_ ~ 600 sec/m.          •

          (2)  Use Equation (3) in Section 4.3.1 to estimate 1- and
8-hour background concentrations.                                               £
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          8-hour
                       PP-")             • ^ PP"
     Example 6

     (a)  Purpose.  The purpose of this example is to illustrate how
air quality data obtained at proximate monitoring sites (i.e. within
100 meters of the roadway being evaluated) may be used in the screening
procedure to "calibrate" the curves in Figures 2-10 and to estimate
maximum 1- and 8-hour ambient concentrations using the screening procedure.

     (b)  Problem.  Suppose the only available air quality data available
are from monitoring Point A, the proximate monitoring site described in
Example 4.  Pertinent data are as follows:

          - Point A is located 25 meters from the street being examined
            (Example 4) ;
          - Maximum 1-hour CO concentration observed during the proposed
            source's monitoring hours is 8 ppm (Example 4);
          - Maximum 8-hour CO concentration observed during the proposed
            source's monitoring hours is 3 ppm (Example 4);
          - Maximum expected 1-hour traffic demand occurring on the
            major street during operating hours after the source is built
            is v, = v2 = 720 vph and v, = v, = 480 vph (Example 1);

          - Maximum expected 8-hour traffic demand occurring on the
            major street during operating hours after the source is
            built is v, = v~ - v, = v» = 500 vph (Example 4):

          - 1-hour traffic demand corresponding to the highest observed
            1-hour CO concentration during source operating hours  was

            V1 = V2 = V3 = V4 ~ ^ VP^ (ExamPle 4);
          - 8-hour traffic demand corresponding to the highest observed
            8-hour CO concentration during source operating hours  was
            vl = V2 ~ V3 ~ V4 = 40° vph Example 4).

How can the CO data collected at proximate Site A be used to estimate
maximum 1- and 8-hour ambient CO concentrations occurring at receptor
site Rl in Figure 1?

     (c)  Solution.

          (1)   Seasonally-adjust the monitoring data.

               From Part 1  of Example 5 and the maximum 1- and 8-
hour CO concentrations of 8 ppm and 3 ppm observed at Site A;
               1-hour:   xb = (8 ppm)  (-)  = 12 ppm          (2)
                                 55

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               8-hour:   xb = (3 ppm)  (-»)  = 4.5 ppm            (2)
               
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                         X2  -  ^-fJ  [-33]  L4J



                                     .50-,  rl
                         <„ =  (4-5) [^] [i] = 1.
  •                      *3  -  v-.-y  175-3-j  L4


  |                      *.  •<'•*>[;&*. i..

  —                 (3)   Estimate  the  "calibrated" contribution of each lane at
          a 10 meter distance  using  Figure  5.

  I
                        1-hour



                        xl =  (^W} = 5'6


                        xz =  (TS^) ^ 5.6


                           -  '2'8^ = 5.6



                                   - 5.6
                               <4O'

                        S-hour
                               .60
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                         I-q.    ' .^D'

                    (4)   Mote  the  incremental change in the impact of traffic
          in each lane at the  10 meter distance resulting from the difference
 •        between observed v/c's and the maximum projected v/c's.

                         1-hour

I                         For lanes  (1) and  (2), projected v/c =  .72 while observed
          v/c = .5.
                                   = 2.2
          v/c = .
                         For  lanes  (3) and  (4), projected v/c = .48 while observed
                        Using the "calibration" version of Figure  3>
                        AXl = Ax2 = [4.6 - 2.5] (^f)  = 4.7
                            = Ax4 = [2.5 - 2.5] ()  =   0
                                          57

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              8-hour


v/c = 0.4.
              8-hour
              X-, = 2.2 + 0.2 = 2.4


              X2 = 2.2 + 0.2 - 2.4
              X4 = 2.2 + 0.2 = 2.4
                                58
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For lanes (1) - (4), projected v/c = 0.5, while observed      I
              Using the "calibration" version of Figure 3,                   •

              AX-,  = AX, = AXo = AX? = [2.5 - 2.0] [0.5] (|4)  = 0.2
                I      *T     C.     3                      £ . I

                                                                             I
              The  "0.5" in the above equation is the meteorological
persistence factor estimated in Example 4.  This should be used,             •
since Figure 3 is  applicable for 1-hour concentrations.  It  was not          •
necessary to use the persistence factor in Steps (2) and (3)  because
the derived values were based on 8-hour observations.                         •

         (5)  Combine the information in Steps (3)  and (4) to  estimate
the projected maximum concentrations attributable to each lane at a          _
10 meter distance  from each lane.                                             •

              1-hour

              X-, = 5.6 + 4.7 = 10.3                                          *


              X2 - 5.6 + 4.7 = 10.3                                          §


              X3 - 5.6 +   0 =  5.6                                          •

              X4 = 5.6 +   0 =  5.6
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 3 = 2.2 + 0.2 - 2.4

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         (6)  Use Figure 5 and the information in Step (5) to esti-
mate the projected maximum 1- and 8-hour concentrations at receptor
Rl, located 17 meters from the nearest lane.

              1-hour

              x-, - (.75) (10.3) =  7.7


              X2 = (.66) (10.3) =  6.8


              X3 = (.60) (5.6)  =  3.4


              X4 = (.55) (5.6)  -  3.1
                            Sum = 21.0

              Therefore, the estimated peak 1-hour ambient concentra-
tion at receptor point Rl during th proposed source's operating hours
is 21 ppm.

              8-hour

              X] = (.75) (2.4)  =  1.8


              X2 = (.66) (2.4)  =  1.6


              X3 = (.60) (2.4)  --  1.4


              x, - (.55) (2.4)  =  1.3
                            Sum =  6.1

              Therefore, the estimated  peak 1-hour ambient concentra
tion at receptor site Rl including the  source's operating hours is
20 ppm, and the estimated peak 8-hour ambient concentration is 6 ppm.
     Example 7

     (a)  Purpose.   The purpose of this example is  to illustrate the
use of observed background concentrations  at representative monitoring
sites in the screening procedure to estimate peak projected 1- and 8-
hour ambient CO concentrations at selected receptor points.   The example
is divided into two parts.  The first part concerns receptors which are
not located within  or immediately downwind from a proposed parking lot.
The second part deals with a receptor point located within a proposed
parking lot.

                                59

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     (b)  Problem.   After a  joint  review between  the  applicant  and
reviewing agency, three sensitive  receptor  points are selected.   These         _
are pictured as Rl,  R2 and R3 in Figure 1.   After seasonally  adjusting         •
background concentrations at representative monitoring Site B (as shown        •
in Example 5),  the  maximum background concentrations  appropriate  for
locations 1, 2  and  3 in Figure 1 are estimated  to be  6 ppm for  1-hcur          •
concentrations, and  3 ppm for 8-hour concentrations.   How can this             |
information be  used  in the screening procedure  to estimate maximum  1-
and 8-hour CO concentrations at receptor sites  Rl,  R2 and R3?                 JM

     (c)  Solution.
               Parti-- Receptors  Rl  and R2
                                60
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          (1)  Recall  the maximum projected impacts  estimated  from
previous examples.                                                              •


               At Rl


               For 1-hour, x = 9.2 ppm        (Example  1)                       I


               For 8-hour, x ~ 3.3 ppm        (Example  4)


          (2)  Therefore, the maximum estimated ambient CO concentration        •
at Rl is:

               For 1-hr:   x = 9.2 + 6 = 15.2 ~ 15 ppm                          I


               For 8-hr:   x = 3.3 + 3 =  6.3 ~  6 ppm                          _


               At R2                                                            *

          (1)  For 1-hour, x = 13.8 ppm       (Example  2)                       •

               For 8-hour, x =  5.4 ppm       (Example  4)

          (2)  Therefore, the maximum estimated ambient CO concentration        |
at R2 is:

               For 1-hr:   x = 13.8 + 6 = 19.8 ~ 20 ppm                          I


               For 8-hr:   x =  5.4 + 3 =  8.4 ~  8 ppm


               Part 2--Receptor R3                                             •

          (1)  Recall  the maximum projected impacts  estimated  from              •
previous examples.                                                             |
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               For 1-hour, x = 12.8 ppm       (Example 3)

               For 8-hour, x =  3.8 ppm       (Example 4)

          (2)  Since it was not feasible to monitor background air
quality within an existing source's parking lot in this example, add
incremental impacts of 5 ppm and 2 ppm to the seasonally-adjusted
1- and 8-hour background concentrations.

               For 1 hour:  Xk = 6 + 5 = 11 ppm

               For 8 hour:  Xk = 3 + 2 =  5 ppm

          (3)  Therefore, the maximum estimated CO concentration at
R3 is:

               For 1-hr:  x = 12.8 + 11 = 23.8 -  24 ppm


               For 8-hr:  x =  3-8 +  5 =  8-8 '   9 ppm




     Example 8
     (a)  Purpose.  The purpose of this example is to show how the
effect of CO emission factors differing from those assumed in  Figures
2, 3, 4, 6, 7 and 9 is accounted for in the screening procedure.   The
example is divided into two parts.  The first part deals  specifically
with the impact of national emission control programs by  assuming  that
the emission factors for 1975, used in deriving Figures 2-4, 6,  7  and 9
are not appropriate.  The second part shows how the effect of  differing
local conditions can be accounted for.

          Part 1
     (b)  Problem.   The indirect source pictured in  Figure  1  is
scheduled to beoin  operation in 1976.   What are the  estimated maximum
1- and 8-hour ambient CO concentrations which  are of interest at
receptor points Rl, R2 and R3?

     (c)  Solution.

          (1)  Since the source begins  operation in  1976  and  the  time
of interest is 1  year after the source  begins  operation  (i.e.,  it is
assumed that the source will not be entirely operational  immediately),
the critical time is 1977.

          (2)  From the second column  in Table 2 in  Section 4.4.2,
the appropriate correction factor reflecting the status of  emission
control programs in 1977 is 0.8.
                                61

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          (3)   Tabulate  the  information  in  Example  7 as  shown below:
1
1 Sampling; Component
Point Time , Impact of Nearby Traffic
Rl 1-
8-
i
R2 : i-
! 3-
R3 1-
8-
j
hr. , 9.2
hr. 3.3
l
hr. 13.8
hr. j 5.4
hr. 12.8
hr. 3.8
Background
6
3
6
3
11
5
Estimated
Max. Cone.
15.2
6.3
19.8
8.4
23.8
8.8
          (4)   Since ambient CO  concentrations  are  almost  entirely
attributable to automotive emissions,  both  the  background  and  nearby
components can be multiplied by  0.8.

               Therefore,  in 1977

               At Rl

               For 1-hr

               For 8-hr

               At R2
                          x  =  (15.2)  (.8)  =  12.2

                          x  =  (6.3)  (.8)   =   5.0
                          x = (19.8)  (.8)  = 15.8

                          x - (8.4)  (.8)   =  6.7
12 ppm

 5 ppm




16 ppm

 7 ppm
                          x = (23.8)  (.8)  = 19.0 ~  19 ppm

                          x - (8.8) (.8)   =  7.0 ~   7 ppm
               For 1-hr:

               For 8-hr:

               At R3

               For 1-hr1

               For 8-hr:

          Part 2

     (b)  Problem.  Suppose the  peak  demand  at  the  source  described  in
Part 1  occurs during a time of year when  the ambient  temperature may
be 20°F.  Suppose further it is  assumed  that the  vehicles  traveling
on the  major street (e.g.,  at locations  1  and 2 in  Figure  1)  are all
sufficiently warmed up so that the  percent of cold  starts  is  zero.
What are the maximum 1- and 8-hour  ambient CO concentrations  at
receptors Rl, R2 and R3 during hours  in  which the proposed source
will operate?

                                 62
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     (c)  Solution.

          (1)  Refer to the table presented in Part 1.   Note that the
background concentrations are based on observed air quality data.
Thus, the background component is unaffected by assumptions concerning
percentage of cold starts and altitude.   Therefore, the background
component is only affected by the effect of emission controls,  while
the impact of nearby traffic is affected by local  emission  peculiar-
ities in addition to control programs.

          (2)  Note from Table 1  in Section 4.4.1, the  cold start-cold
temperature correction factor to be applied to the impact of nearby
traffic at receptors Rl and R2 is 0.6, and the cold temperature correc-
tion factor at receptor R3 is 1.7.

          (3)  Therefore, in 1977,  with  the assumptions which have been
made about the percentage of cold starts and cold  ambient temperatures,

               At Rl
               For 1-hr:   x = (9.2)  (.8)  (.6)  + (6)  (.8)     =   9.2  ~   9  ppm


               For 8-hr:   x = (3.3)  (.8)  (.6)  + (3)  (.8)     =   4.0  -   4  ppm


               At R2


               For 1-hr:   x = (13.8)  (.8)  (.6)  + (6)  (.3)    =  11.4  ~  11  ppm


               For 8-hr:   x = (5.4)  (.8)  (.6)  + (6)  (.8)     =   7.4  ~   7  ppm


               At R3


               For 1-hr:   x = (12.8)  (.8)  (1.7) + (11)  (.8)  =  26.2  -  26  ppm

               For 8-hr:   x = (3.8)  (.8)  (1.7)  + (5)  (.8)    =   9.2  ~  _9


          Note:  No correction factor for  percentage  cold  starts  is
used at location 3 (i.e.,  20 percent  of the vehicles  are assumed  to
ooerate from cold starts).
                                 63

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                                                                                 I

     Example 9                                                                   •

     (a)  Purpose.   The purpose of this  example is  to  illustrate  the
application of the  screening procedure to estimate  the maximum ambient
1-hour CO concentration likely in the vicinity of a proposed event-               •
oriented indirect source.                                                         B

     (b)  Problem.   Suppose the source pictured in  Figure  1  is to be              •
a sports stadium operating in 1976.   Seasonally-adjusted  1-hour back-             |
ground concentrations are  assumed to be  6 ppm at receptors Rl  and R2,
using one of the approaches described in Example 5.  The  following               «
estimates are made  regarding the traffic volume generated  by the  source:          I
          Lane (1):   V ]  = 220 vehicles

          Lane (2):   v'   = 220 vehicles
                                                                                 I

          Lane (3),  lane (4):   V  3 =  V  4  =  0 vehicles                             •

          Lane (5)  V 5 = 200 vehicles

          Lane (6)  V g = 0 vehicles                                              I

          Assume 50 percent of the vehicles are  operating  under  cold  start
conditions by the time location 3 is  reached and 0  percent are operating          •
under cold start conditions at locations  1  and 2.   Assume  existing  demand         •
on lanes (1) - (4)  is 500 vph/lane.  Assume the  ambient  temperature
during the period of peak demand  is about 50°F.                                   •

     (c)  Solution.


                                                                                 I
               At Rl
          (1)  Estimate impact without source.   Note that  without  the
source, v/c - 0.5 for lanes (1) - (4).  Thus  from Figure 3,  the  impac
of each of these lanes on a receptor 10 meters  from each is  2.5  ppm.
          (2)  Estimate unused capacity.   Since existing  volume is                •
500 vph in each lane, and the capacity in each lane is  1000 vph,                  |
unused capacity is 500 vph/lane.

          (3)  Estimate the time  required for vehicles  exiting  from              •
the source and using lanes (1) and (2) to be accommodated.   Use
Equation (6).

                                                                                 I
          For each lane; T =    -  = 0.44 hours                   (6)
          (4)  Therefore for lanes (1)  and (2)  assume v/c = 1  for 0.44            •
hour and v/c = 0.5 for 0.56 hour.   For  lanes (3)  and (4), v/c  = 0.5              |
for the entire hour.

               Thus, using Figure 3 for a 10 meter distance,                     I



                                                                                 I
                                64

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 I                      X-,  =  (6.2)  (.75) = 4.7

 I

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I


I
                    For lanes (1) - (2) x = (2.5) (.56) + (10.9) (.44) = 6.2 ppm


                    (5)  Using Figure 5 to estimate the impact at Rl,



                         xl

                         X2 = (6.2) (.66) = 4.1


                         X3 = (2.5) (.60) = 1.5


                         X4 = (2.5) (.55) = 1.4
I


I


I


I


I


1


I


I

_                  (2)  Therefore, unused capacity at the approach (i.e. lanes
•         (1) and (2)) is 500 vph/lane.
                                         oon
                    (3)  Therefore, T = (^j-) = 0.44 hours                 (6)

I                       Note that if the intersection approach capacity were
           less than 1000 vph/lane, the proportion of the hour (T) in which demand
           equals or exceeds capacity would be greater.
                         Total  impact of nearby traffic at Rl = 11.7 ppm


                     (6)  Apply  cold start-cold temperature correction factor.


                         From Table 1, K = 0.8


                         Therefore,


                         Total  impact @ Rl =  (0.8)  (11.7) = 9.4


                     (7)  Add background concentration and apply correction factor
           to  reflect  the status of emission control programs in 1976 to estimate

           maximum  1-hour ambient CO concentration expected at the receptor.


                         xh = 6 ppm, and the  appropriate correction factor is 0.9
           (from Table 2).


                         Therefore, at Rl:


                         x = (9.4 + 6) (0.9)  = 13.9 ~ 14 ppm


                         At R2


                     (1)  Assume, for simplicity, that the intersection approach
           capacity  is identical to mid-block  capacity 1000 vph/lane.
                                          65

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     X2  =  10-7

     X,  =   2.7

        -    .7

     Using Figure 8  to estimate the  impact at R2,
               Total  impact @ R2 = (14.4)  (.8)  = 11.5

          (7)  Thus the maximum 1-hour CO  concentration at receptor
R2 in 1976 is estimated as:

               X = (11.5 + 6) (0.9)  - 15.8 ~  16 ppm

               At R3
is 300 vph.

          (2)  This step is not necessary at location 3, because all
of the traffic in lane (5) is assumed to be generated by the proposed
source.
                                66
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          (4)  For lanes (1)  and (2)  assume v =  1000  vph  for  0.44  hr.            I
and is 500 vph for 0.56 hr.   Assume v =  500 vph  the entire  hour  for              "
lanes (3) and (4).

          (5)  Using Figure  6 to estimate the impact  of lanes (1)                •
and (2)  at a 10 meter distance,  and Figure 7 to  estimate  the  impact
of lanes (3) and (4) at a 10  m distance,                                         •

               X]  = (.44) (15) + (.56)  (7 A) = 1C. 7                              *
               X4 -   .                                                          I
                                                                                •

               X-,  = (10.7)  (.58)  = 6.2                                          *

               X2  = (10.7)  (.50)  - 5.4                                          |

               x3  = (2.7)  (.54)  = 1.5

               xd  = (2.7)  (.48)  = 1.3                                          I
               Total  impact of nearby traffic at P.2 = 14.4  ppm                  •

          (6)  Applying the apprpriate cold start correction  factor,
                                                                      I

                                                                      I

(1)   From  Example  3,  note  that  the  capacity  cf  lane  (5)                •
 3)   T = ()  =  0.67  hours                             (6)


                                                                      I
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          (4)  For lane (5), v/c = 1  for .67 hour and is 0 for the
remainder of the hour.  For lane (6), v = 0 for the entire hour.


          (5)  Using Figures 9 and 10 to estimate the impact of traffic
in lane (5) at receptor R3,

               X5 = (34) (.67) (.74)  = 16.9


          (6)  Note from Table 1, Section 4.4.1 that the cold start
correction factor, K for 50% cold starts is 2.1.


               Thus, xc = (2.1) (16.9) - 35.5
                      J

          (7)  Combining the approaches illustrated in Example 5  with the
knowledge that traffic at location 3  is only present for .67 of an hour,


               xb = 6 + (5) (.67) = 9.3


               Thus, x = (35.5 + 9.3) (0.9) = 40.3 ~ 40 ppm
     Example 10

     (a)  Purpose.  The purpose of this example is  to synthesize  the
points illustrated in the previous nine examples so that the  estimation
techniques which have been described may be presented in the  order in
which they may frequently be applied in the screening procedure.

     (b)  Problem.  Figure 1 depicts a non-event source  scheduled to
begin operation in 1976.   The source is in a low altitude area  outside
of California.  It is of interest to estimate maximum 1- and  8-hour
ambient CO concentrations at points Rl, R2 and R3 during hours  in which
the source will operate.   The table on the following page tabulates
pertinent information needed to apply the screening approach.   This
table consolidates information presented in the problem  statements
of Examples 1, 3, 4, 5 and 8.

     (c)  Solution.

          (1)   Estimate seasonally-adjusted background concentrations
using the information in columns (2) - (7).
                                  TJ6)      ^-^^

               For 8-hr:   x     (2)  (6)     ,  nnm
                           b8     [4T~~    ^EHL

               (See Example 5 for details.)

          (2)  Estimate 1-hr impact  of  nearby traffic  at  points  Rl,
R2 and R3 using information in columns  (8),  (9), (10)  and (12).
                                 67

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I
•                      At Rl from Figures 3 and 5,
                        X-, = (.75) (4.6) = 3.5
|                      X2 = (.66) (4.6) = 3.0
                        X3 = (.60) (2.4) = 1.4
I                      X4 = (.55) (2.4) = 1.3
                                  IY      = 9 2 DDm
                                   1—nr.   	'-'•—
                        (See Example 1 for details)
I                      At R2 from Figures 6, 7 and 8
                        X-, = (.58) (10.4) = 6.0
I                      X2 = (.49) (10.4) = 5.1
•                      X3 = (-53) (2.5)  = 1.3
                        X4 = (-48) (2.5)  = 1.2
•                                xl-hr.  = '  '   ppm
                        (See Example 2 for details)
I                      At R3 from Figures 9,  7  and 10
•                      X5 = (-75) (14.5)  = 10.9
                        X6 - (.74) (2.6)   =  1.9
|                                 xl-hr.  = 12-8 PPm
                        (See Example 3 for details)
•                 (3)   Estimate  8-hour meteorological  persistence  factor  using
         information  in  columns  (13) - (16).
•                      _  _ r3-,  ,2000^ =  Q>5  for points  R]  an(j  R2>        (1)
_                      Note  that  information  in  columns  (13)  -  (16)  may  fre-
•       quently not be  available.   In  such  cases,  a  persistence  factor of  0.6
~       may be assumed.   A persistence factor of 0.6 is  assumed  for  point  R3.
•                      (See  Example 4  for details)

I
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                                         69

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                                                                                I

          (4)   Estimate 8-hr impact  of  nearby  traffic  at  point  Rl,               •
R2 and R3 using information  in  columns  (8),  (9),  (11)  and (12),                  •
and Figures 3,  5,  6,  7, 8,  9, and  10.

               At  Rl :   x-,  =  (-75)  (2.5)  =  1.9                                    I

                       X2  =  (.66)  (2.5)  =  1.7

                       X3  =  (.60)  (2.5)  -  1.5                                    I

                       X4  =  (.55)  (2.5)  =  1.4                                    -

                                Xl.hr-  =  6.5

                       XQ  hr = t-5'  (6-5)  =  3.3j3pm                            I
                        o - r 11 .	                            •
               At  R2:   x-,  =  (-58)  (7.4)  =  4.3

                       X2  =  (.49)  (7.4)  =  3.6                                    I

                       X3  =  (.53)  (2.6)  =  1.4                                    |

                       X4  =  (.48)  (2.6)  =  1.2                                    "
                       Xg_hr_  =  (10.5)  (.5)  =  5.3  ppm

               At R3:   x5 = (.75)  (6.1)  = 4.6                                    |

                       X6 = (.74)  (2.1)  = 1.6                                    -

                                 xl-hr.  = 6<2
                       Xs_hr  =  (6.2)  (0.6)  =  3.7  ppm                            •

                       (See Example 4  for details)

          (5)  Estimate the maximum 1-hour and 8-hour  ambient  CO                 I
concentrations occurring at point Rl,  R2 and R3 taking into  consideration
cold temperature-cold  start and  emission control correction  factors.   Mote       •
that a correction factor for 1977 is  used since this  is the  first  year          •
after the source starts operation.

               Using the information  in  columns (1),(17),  (18) and (19), the     I
maximum 1- and 8-hour  ambient concentrations at Rl,  R2 and R3  are                •
estimated as follows:
                                 70
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               At R1:
                      X]_hr = (9.2) (.8) (.6) + (6)  (.8)  -  9.2 ~  9 ppm

                      X8_hr = (3.3) (.8) (.6) + (3)  (.8)  =  4.0 ~  4 ppm



               At R2:
                      X]_hr - (13.6) (.8) (.6) + (6)  (.8) = 11.3 ~ 11 ppm


                      x8-hr = (5'3) (>8) ('6) + (3)  ('8)  =  4'9 ~  5 PPm


               At R3:
                      X-,_hr = (12-8) (.8) (1.7) + (11)  (.8) = 26.2 - 26 ppm


                      x8-hr = (3'7) ('8) (1'7) + (5)  (>8) =  9'° ~

                      (See Examples 7 and 8 for details.)
     Example 11

     (a)  Purpose.  The purpose of this example is to illustrate how the
screening procedure can be extended to estimate a representative CO
concentration along a sidewalk centerline.

     (b)  Problem.  Suppose it is of interest to estimate the worst
representative CO concentration at breathing height along a sidewalk's
centerline which is 5 meters from curbside.   The sidewalk is adjacent
to a 2-lane road over a block which is 300  meters long (see sketch on
the following page).  The intersection at one end of the block (inter-
section 1) is signalized with G/Cy = 0.6 and a cycle length of 120
seconds.  The other intersection (intersection 2) is non-signalized,
with a STOP sign serving as the means of traffic control.  Assume each
lane is 5 m wide.  The following traffic data are given:


          V7 = 1000 vph

          vg =  400 vph

Non-signalized intersection capacity = 500  vph.

          Assume midblock capacity is controlled by the intersection
capacities so that

          c7 ~ 1200 vph

          Cg ~  500 vph

What is the representative impact of the adjacent roadway on CO concen-
trations along the sidewalk centerline?


                                 71

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                   ROADWAY
                                         CURB
fc 	 « 	
R4 R5 5m
o ^
INTERSECTION
1
ZONE
«V| ^^

^~s
MIDBLOCK
ZONE
^ X? 1
inn m

	 (
R6
r*\
f~-

W
INTERSECTION
2
ZONE
"•c X3 ^»-


     (c)   Solution.

          (1)   Divide  block  into  three  zones.

               Zone  1  =  signalized  intersection zone.

               Zone  2  -  midblock  zone.

               Zone  3  =  unsignalized  intersection zone.

          (2)   Use Equation  (7),  Section  6.1  to estimate  size of  zone  1.
X]  =
                                      =  107  meters
(7)
          (3)   Use Equation  (8),  Section  6.1  to  estimate  size  of  zone  3.

                       ,2
                    (400'
                    [500
 3    [500 (500 - 400)
                       8 = 26 meters
(8)
               Estimate midblock zone  size.

               X2 = 300 - 107  - 26 =  167  meters

               (Note that as congestion becomes  greater,  the  block
becomes increasingly dominated by the  intersection  zones.)
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          (5)   Estimate maximum concentrations  in  each  zone.

               (a)   For R4:

                    X7 = 15  ppm                   (From Figure 6)

                    X8 = (2.5)  (1.22)  -  3.1  ppm   (From 25 mph curve
                                                   Figures 7 and 8)
Therefore,
                              =  18.1  ppm
               (b)   For R5_:

                    X7 = 9.4 ppm                  (From  Figure 3)

                    xg = (2.5)  (1.22)  =  3.1  ppm    (From  Figures  3 and  5)



               Therefore, XDC = 12.5  ppm



               (c)   For R6_:

                    X7 - 2.5 ppm                  (From  Figure 7)

                    X8 - (12.5)0.22)  =  15.3 ppm   (From  Figures  9 and  10)
Therefore,
                              =  17.8  ppm
          (6)   Estimate weighted  average  of  zonal  concentrations.
                       (18.1)007)  +  (12.5)(167) +  (17.8)(26)
               xRep                      300
xRep
                             15  ppm
          The analysis  can  be  extended  to  estimate 8-hour concentra-
tions.  The procedure would be to  reidentify  the zones estimated in
steps (l)-(4) above using  the  hourly  average  traffic  demands for the
8-hour period of interest.   Next,  procedures  outlined in Section 4.2
and illustrated in Example  4 may be used to estimate  the maximum CO
impacts in each zone.  Finally, the weighted  average  of the zonal
impacts is estimated as in  step  (6) above.

                               73

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                                                                                I
     4.7  Summary of the Screening Procedure                                     •
          Figure 11  is a flow chart illustrating  the screening  pro-
cedure for the review of the impact of a  proposed indirect  source  on             I
ambient carbon monoxide concentrations.   The  screening  technique                 •
proceeds as follows:
          1.   Obtain and review information received from the applicant          I
concerning projected 1- and 8-hour traffic demands  and  capacities  at
locations in  the vicinity of identified  key receptor points.                     |
          2.   Assuming there is no continuously operating representa-            •
tive CO monitoring site in the vicinity  of the  proposed source, obtain
background concentration data from the applicant.                                •
          3.   Seasonally adjust background data as  described in Section
4.3.1 and in  Example 5, Section 4.6.   If  the  background monitoring site          |
is within 100 meters of a major existing  road being evaluated,  proceed in        M
"calibrating" the curves in Figures 2-10  and  estimating 1-hour  and (for
non-event sources) 8-hour ambient CO concentrations as  described in Section      I
4.3.2 and in  Example 6 in Section 4.6.  Preferably, however, the
background data should be obtained at a  representative  site at  least             |
100 meters from any major existing road.   If  this is the case,  proceed           •
as described  in the remaining steps.
          4.   Estimate the impact of nearby traffic lanes on 1-hour              I
CO concentrations at selected receptor points.  Estimates are made
using Figures 2-10 as described in Section 4.1  and  in Examples  1-3              |
in Section 4.6.  If the source is an event-oriented one, such as a
                                 74
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                                                                            77

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                                                                                I
sports stadium, revise the analysis  as  described  in  Section  4.5  and
as shown in Example 9 in Section 4.6.                                            m
                                                                                I
          5.   If the source is  not an  event-oriented one,  derive
an 8-hour meteorological persistence factor.   Use this  factor  with               •
the projected 8-hour traffic demands,  and apply Figures 2-10 to
estimate the  impact of nearby traffic  on ambient  8-hour CO concen-               |
trations at the selected receptor points.  This procedure  is described           _
in Example 5  in Section 4.6.                                                    *
          6.   Apply cold temperature-cold start and  altitude correction          •
factors (obtained from Tables 1  and  2)  to the estimated impacts  of nearby
traffic, as needed.  Apply a correction factor reflecting  the  status             I
of emission control programs (as appropriate) to  both the  estimated              _
impact of nearby traffic and the seasonally-adjusted observed  background        •
concentration.  This procedure  is described in Section  4.4 and in                •
Example 8 in  Section 4.6.
          7.   Add the estimated impact of nearby  traffic to  the                  I
estimated background concentration to  obtain  estimated  1-  and  8-hour
ambient CO concentrations at all receptor points  of  interest.   This              •
procedure is  described in Section 4.4  and in  Examples 7, 9 and 10                •
in Section 4.6.
          8.   If the conservative screening procedure indicates  the              •
National Ambient Air Quality Standards will be met at all  selected
receptor points, it may be assumed that the proposed source  will not             •
pose a threat to the ambient CO standards.  If the NAAQS is  exceeded            •
at one or more of the selected receptor points, the  applicability  of
                                                                               i

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I
I
        the assumptions used in deriving the screening procedure should  be
        reviewed.  These assumptions are described in Section  6.0.   Depending
 _      on the outcome of this review,
 •                    (1)  The source could be redesigned  in  some manner and
 •      the screening procedure could be reapplied,  or
                      (2)  A detailed modeling analysis,  using meteorological,
 m      emission and traffic assumptions specifically applicable for the
        source under consideration, could be initiated.
 •      5.0  ECONOMIC AND DESIGN CONSIDERATIONS
             There are three types of costs associated with indirect source
        review.  These are:
             (1)  Cost of data acquisition and application preparation;
             (2)  Time-related costs, and
 H           (3)  Cost of design changes necessitated by  indirect source
 •      review.
        Information concerning each of  these costs has been compiled in  a
I
 I
 I
 I
                                                    OQ
        regulations which has been prepared for EPA.     It  is  strongly
•      report on the economic and land use impact of the indirect source
I
I
        recommended that indirect source reviewing  agencies  become  familiar
        with the contents of this report and the insight it  provides  concerning
        basic concepts and principles  governing  the real  estate  development
 •     industry.
                                       79

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                                                                               I
     5.1  Data Acquisition and Application  Costs                                •
          The following estimates  are provided so  that reviewer  and
applicant alike may have an indication of the scope  of effort                   •
envisioned for various levels of analysis.                                      •
              Effort                              Approximate Cost
1.  Obtaining traffic data not already available,                               I
    filling out the application form and applying                               ™
    the screening procedure described in Section
    4.0 without air quality monitoring data.              $3000.                 V
2.  Obtaining and reducing 14 days of air quality
    monitoring data collected at one site.                $6000.                 •
3.  Performing a complete modeling analysis
    including the costs of monitoring meteoro-                                 _
    logical, air quality and traffic data at                                    •
    several locations, and computer costs                                      •
    required to use observed data  in an atmos-
    pheric dispersion model.28                           $35,000-$50,000.      I
     5.2  Time-Related Costs
          These costs accrue from  the delay and uncertainty which may          •
be introduced by regulatory programs or other factors such as  bad              •
weather, labor problems or shortages of key construction materials.
Time-related costs can, in some cases, greatly exceed even the costs           •
of a complete modeling analysis.  For example, in  six case studies
                                        90                                     •
examined in the previously cited report,   estimated time-related             •
costs associated with an assumed three month  delay in construction            •
for large projects (i.e., $25-125  million)  exceeded  the cost of  a
complete modeling analysis by an order of magnitude.  Of particular           •
importance is the developer's own  capital ("front-end money")  which
                                                                              I
must be invested before a loan can be secured from a  savings  and
                                80
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•         loan institution.  The ease with which such a loan can be obtained
           (so that the developer's money can be reinvested)  depends upon,
•         among other things, amount and length of uncertainty associated  with
           indirect source review.  Degree of uncertainty is  particularly
•         crucial during times when credit is "tight."  Time-related costs
•         are further aggravated by inflation, high interest rates once a
           loan is secured and shortages in building materials resulting in
•         less flexibility in delivery dates.  It should be  readily apparent,
           from the brief preceding discussion, why it is essential to minimize
•         delays occasioned by the processing of indirect source review appli-
•F         cations.  To minimize such delays, indirect source reviewing agencies
           should make every effort to develop close working  relationships  with
•         other agencies (e.g., State and local highway departments) which may
           become involved in the review procedure.
 •              5.3  Design Changes
 •                   The costs associated with changes in design necessitated
           by analysis of a proposed source's impact on ambient air quality
 •         depends on:  (1) the degree of the problem identified in the analysis,
           and (2) the measures selected to eliminate the unacceptable impact
 I         on air quality.  Obviously, the first consideration is highly variable,
 •i         resulting in costs ranging from zero all the way up to prohibitive
           levels which would make the project infeasible.  Essentially, design
 I         changes involve measures reducing or redistributing traffic demand
           during critical periods, or measures increasing the capacity of  the
 •         proposed facility or surrounding road network to accommodate traffic.

 I

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Alterations in traffic demand and/or capacity could be  effected
threat to CO standards.
          5.3.1   Traffic Demand Determinants
                                82
                                                                            I
by changing certain operating procedures (e.g.,  providing  for
traffic supervision during peak use periods,  altering direction  of          •
flow, etc.) or design features at the source  or  in  its vicinity.
There are a number of ways in which design and/or operating  changes          m
could be made.  The following is a list and description of some              •
important determinants of traffic demand and  capacity which  might
be altered in order to improve traffic  flow and  thereby  reduce  the           I
                                                                            I
                 Existing and future through  traffic  demand  on  roadways     m
adjacent to or within an indirect source are  determined  by two  factors:
                 (a)  The existing future area  wide arterial  and/or        •
expressway system, and
                 (b)  The potential  for activity growth  in the  vicinity     I
of the site.                                                               •
Traffic demand generated directly by the source itself is  dependent
upon the following design and operational parameters:                      •
                 (a)  Size and nature of attractions  (e. g.,  tenant mix
for shopping centers, type of activities offered at recreational  areas,     |
etc.);                                                                     m
                 (b)  Operation of the source (e. g., opening times,
special event days, time and scheduling of special  activities such         •
as sales or sporting events, employee working schedules);
                                                                           I
                                                                           1
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I
M                        (c)   Split of transportation modes  (e. g., bus, rail,
         pedestrian,  automobile,  etc.).
I       The  traffic  distribution to the  source and using any single nearby
         roadway  is determined  by:
|                        (a)   Geographical  location of the source with respect
»       to trade area  population and area road network;
                          (b)   Predominating levels of service on the roadways
I       comprising the road net;
                          (c)   Number and design of entrances serving the source.
•                5.3.2   Traffic Capacity Determinants
«                        Traffic capacity at entrance/exit gates and at
*       at-grade intersections may be altered by changing one or several of
         the  following  factors:
                          (a)   Intersection Geometries
                               (1 )  Turning radii .
A                             (2)  Number of lanes.
™                             (3)  Lane widths.
fl                             (4)  Presence of turning lanes.
                               (5)  Storage distances for turning lanes.
                              (6)  Presence of parked vehicles.
m                            (7)  Lateral clearance.
•                            (3)  Grade.
•                            (9)  One-way or two-way streets.
I
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                                 84
I
•
                 (b)   Traffic Controls
                      (1)   Type of control  (e.g.,  traffic  signal,             •
stop sign, yield sign, policeman,  etc.).
                      (2)   Operation  cf controls.   These considerations       I
include signal  phasing,  green tine to signal  cycle ratio,  signal cycle
length, signal  actuation progression  (i.e.,  how  well  successive  signals       •
are coordinated) and  presence of right- and/or  left-turn signals.             a
                 (c)   Nature of Traffic Demand
                      (1)   Number  of  trucks.                                  •
                      (2)   Number  of  buses .
                      (3)   Number  of  turning  vehicles  (left  and  right)        •
vs. number of through vehicles.                                              m
                      (4)   Surging effects  (peak hour  factors, land
factors) and their impact  on congestion on  successive  road segments.          •
                 (d)   Environmental Factors
                      (1)   Population in  area (i.e.,  is area urban,           •
rural , etc?) .                                                                m,
                      (2)   Location  (central  business  district,  fringe
area, outlying  business  district,  residential,  rural).                        •
                 ( e )   Entrance/Exit Gate  Controls
                      (1)   Manual  vs. automated  issuance of  parking           |
tickets (with or without parking gate controls).                             M
                      (2)   Manual  vs. full  or semi-automated collection
of parking fees at exit  gates.                                               M
                                                                             I

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I
                             (3)   Self-service  vs. attendant method of parking
ft       operation.
•                        (f)  ^ehj^cle^Moyerent/ClrcuTatjon Inside Indirect Sources
                               (1)  Type  of  narking facility (i.e., short term,
•       long  tern, nix  of both,  etc.).
                               (2)  Internal  functional efficiency of parking
         facility  (i.e.,  circulation  pattern, one- vs. two-way movement, parking
•       stall  sizes  and  layout,  directional  and informational signing, pre- vs.
         exit-cashiering,  etc.).
ft       6.C   ASSUMPTIONS  USED  IN THE SCREENING PROCEDURE
              In order to  develop the reasonably simple methodology relating
ft       traffic demand,  capacity and demand-capacity ratios to CO concentrations,
.       it has been  necessary  to sacrifice  flexibility in evaluating a source's
™       impact by making  a number of assumptions.  These assumptions are enumer-
•       ated  in this section.  Since it  is  necessary that the screening procedure
         provides  reasonable assurance that  the NAAQS are protected, most of the
I       assumptions  are  conservative ones.   In cases where it is relatively easy
_       to adapt  the procedure presented in  Section 4.0 to different assumptions,
ft       this  is so indicated.  Where different assumptions may not be so readily
ft       incorporated in  the screening procedure, it may be necessary to refer to
         Appendix  H and  the appropriate one(s) of Appendices A-G to estimate the
         impact of a  proposed source  on ambient air duality.
 I
 ft                                     85
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                                              I
                                              I
     6.1   Meteorological  Assumptions
          A.   Wind speed--A steady wind speed  of 1 m/sec was  assumed            fl
in deriving Figures 2-10.  Estimates  of 1-hour CO concentrations  can
be adapted for different  wind speeds  by dividing the  concentration              I
obtained  with the figures by the wind speed.   For example,  if a                 —
1-hour concentration of 10 ppm were estimated  and the wind  speed  were           ™
2 m/sec,  the 1-hour concentration estimate  would be  revised to 5  ppm.           •
The adaptation of the screening procedure to account  for wind speeds
exceeding 2 m/sec can only be extended to 8-hour concentrations  if  a            •
persistence factor is derived specifically  for observations occurring
near the  proposed source  site.  These observations must reflect                 •
variations between observed 1- and 8-hour CO concentrations which occur        •
when the  wind speed during the hour in which the peak 1-hour concen-
tration is observed corresponds closely to  that assumed in  the metho-           •
dology.  Since persistence is not independent  of wind speed,  the
arbitrary value of "0.6"  cannot be used unless verified directly  by            •
observation for higher 1-hour average wind  speeds near the  site.                •
          B.  Wind direction—A wind  direction making an  angle of 10°
with the roadway was assumed in deriving the  free-flow curves in                •
Figures 2, 3, 4, 7 and 9.  For a long line  source of pollution,  this wind
angle is  believed to be among those resulting  in highest  concentrations        •
at nearby receptors.  The curves in Figure  6  and the queuing curve              •
in Figure 9 are the result of a series of analyses of concentrations
 occurring with different wind angles.  This  approach was  necessi-              V
tated, because the impact of queues at intersections occurs over a
86
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1
™ relatively short distance and is best represented by a finite line
• source. Therefore, "edge effects," resulting in the dilution of
emissions in the finite line source with relatively clean air, can play
• an important role in determining CO concentrations at receptors located
^ near a roadway. The importance of edge effects depends on the length
™ of the queue and the downwind travel distance between the roadway and
• the receptor point. The downwind travel distance, in turn, depends on
the wind angle and perpendicular distance between the roadway and
• receptor point. For a given perpendicular distance, the smaller the
wind angle, the greater the travel distance. This concept is sketched
• below for receptor points located a perpendicular distance of 20 m
• from the road, wind angles of 10° and 90° and a queue length of "L."
ff CASE (A) 0 = 10°
• 10°
I^~~~T~^~~~"~*^-
\ * L ^
\ '
I< f
' <
20m ~~~~2 |p- 	
1C] *10 / "~~ """"-—- C\
u 4 ^J
Rb 7 Ra
Iy (MAX. IMPACT
DOWNWIND TRAVEL OCCURS HERE)
DISTANCE IS 11 5m
1
1
CASE (B) 0 = 90°
J
90° 1
•* I •»
i >
] 1
; /^|-^ — DOWNWIND TRAVEL
' /90°JL DISTANCE IS 20m
Rb Ra
(MAX. IMPACT
OCCURS HERE)

1

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          L =
                 v
               c(c-v)
(8)
downwind travel distances.  For greater downwind travel distances,
the edge effects become so great that the impact of the queue is negligible
                                88
                                                                                 I
                                                                                 I
An adaptation of the "Red Time Formula" was used in estimating the
average queue length resulting during the red phase at signalized                |
              21
intersections.                                                                   _

              i/(i_ R/rv'in                                                        ft
              Lv \ i   / ~*.y /                                          / °7 \              ^B
            = 	*	                                       [ I j              •
                 CPH                                                             "
   where  L = queue length, meters;                                              •
          v = traffic demand, vph;
       G/Cy = green time to signal cycle ratio, dimensionless;                   |
          D = spacing between successive vehicle tailpipes in the                **
              queue, assumed to be 8 m/veh;                                      •
        CPH = number of signal cycles per hour.
An adaptation of a formula from classical queuing theory was used                •
                                 29
for non-signalized intersections.                                                W
|
                                                                                 I
  where   c = capacity, vph, and the other symbols are as defined
              for Equation (7).                                                   •
Equations (7) and (8) indicate that for low demand-capacity ratios
and demands, the average queue length (L) is short.  Under such                  •
circumstances, edge effects become important even with very short
               I
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            Thus, there is a trade-off between the (a) high concentrations
•          resulting with small wind angles but having relatively great edae
            effects, and  (b) low concentrations accompanying large wind angles
|          but having relatively minor edge effects.  In order to provide a
£          conservative  evaluation of the impact of queues (represented as finite
            line sources), a wind angle of 90° was assumed for queue lengths of
V          25 meters or  less, and a series of wind angles decreasinc from 20°
            to 10° were assumed for increasing queue lengths greater than 25
jf          meters.
                       C.  Atmospheric Stability--Pasqui11-Gifford Stability-
            Class 0 is assumed in the line source model (HIMAY)   used to
            derive the curves in Figures 2-10.  « value of 1.5 meters is
            used for the  initial vertical plume speed parameter (r  ) in HIHAY.
            Assumption of the Class D Pasquill-Gifford stability class as a
            v/orst case was made because the indirect source-parking management
            review programs are likely to focus on urbanized areas.  Increased
            atmospheric turbulence, attributable to a greater degree of surface
            roughness and increased convective turbulence in such areas, are
            likely to make plurne spread predictions based on Pasquill-Gifford
            stability classifications (which are based on observations in open
            country) overly conservative.  A dispersion study conducted in
            St. Louis"  indicated that for downwind distances ranging from
            about 1000-10,000 meters, observed plume spread occurring at night
 I
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 II

 I
 •
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                                                                            I

with meteorological conditions indicative of Class E and F stability        •
in rural areas corresponded approximately with that estimated using         •
Pasquill-Gifford Stability Class D stability.   The previously
                31                                                          •
referenced study'  indicated a tendency for the Pasquill-Gifford            •
plume spread curves to become increasingly conservative as
downwind travel distances decreased.   Therefore, in general, an             m
assumption of Pasquill-Gifford Stability Class D is believed to be          m
conservative for most areas in which  indirect source review will
occur.  It should be emphasized, however, that after appropriate            •
data are reviewed for a proposed site by a trained meteorologist,
more or less stable conditions than Pasquill-Gifford Class D may            |
be appropriate.
               The value of a   =1.5 meters, used in the EPA
street with trees or either side   have indicated  greater vertical
D!lime spread immediately downwind from a highway which may be
generated by vehicular motion (at the expressway) or by surface
roughness (at the residential street).  This implies in some cases,
larger a  values may be appropriate in the immediate vicinity of
                                90
                                                                           1
HI HAY model, is representative of the lower range of values observed       •
                         30
from a limited data base. v   Subsequent studies conducted in the
                         3'                                                1
vicinity of an expressway " and in the vicinity of a residential           p
                                                                           ^
                                                                           I
roadways than are currently used in the HIWAY Gaussian  line source         _
model.  On the other hand, however, the a   value used  in HIWAY            *
does have an empirical  basis, and the model  was able to simulate           fl|

                                                                           I
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1
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 _

 •

 •



1




 •
I
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CO concentrations observed in the vicinity of a suburban intersection
           *""" T
quite well/   The data which have been reported to date are not

believed sufficient to warrant revising the assumption about

o7  in the HIWAY model.  On the basis of the limited data available

at the present time, however, there are indications that the assump-

tion of a   =1.5 meters is conservative.

           n.  Persistence of Constant. Meteorological  Condi_tjo£rs_--


The relationships between traffic and nearby CO concentrations depicted

in Figures 2-10 are based on the assumption that the unfavorable

meteoroloqical conditions described above  will  persist for at least

an hour during periods in which the source will be utilized at peak

levels.  The persistence factor which should be used in estimating

8-hour concentrations is an acknowledgment that such conditions are

not likely to persist for 8 hours.  The figure  ''0.6,"  which is

suggested for use if it is infeasible to derive a  persistence

factor reflecting local meteorological  variability, is an empirical

                                    20
factor based on a limited data base.     The value  was  derived by

noting the ratio of 8-hour to 1-hour maximum concentrations at a

receptor in the vicinity of the major entrance/exit qate to a

regional  shopping center on days in which  the hourly average wind

speed accompanying the maximum observed 1-hour  concentration was


less than 2 m/sec.   Next, the corresponding traffic volume flow

rates (in veh/hr) were recorded for the selected 8-hour and 1-hour
                                          91

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          S-. = vehicle operating speeds at gate (road segment)  i,




                lane j , mph




       (EF).  . = speed-dependent CO emission factor for vehicles
           ' J
                                 92
                                                                                I
periods and factored out.   After account was taken of differences               V



in traffic demand, the resulting ratio between the 8- and 1-hour



maximum CO concentrations  at the exit gate was assumed to be                   |



attributable to meteorological  changes over the 8-hour period.                  _



The largest observed ratio was  about "0.6."                                    *



     6.2  Emission Assumptions                                                  •



          A.  Free-flow Line Source Emission Intensity—Equation (9)



was used to estimate emission intensity for an infinitely long  line            £



source of freely flowing traffic (used in deriving the "free-flow"              —



curves in Figures 2-4 and  9).                                                  ™
    where q.. = line source emission intensity at exit gate (road              m



                segment) i, lane j, gm/sec-m



          v.. = traffic volume demand at gate (road segment)  i,                 V



                lane j , vph
I
                operating at S . ^ in lane j at gate (road segment) i,           V



                gm/min-veh



(1.036 x 10~") = conversion factor from —4-2 — r- to gm/sec-m                     •
                                        mi n-m i


          B.  Line Source Emission Intensity Arising from Queues               •»
              ------  - _ ------               |



              1 .  S i g n a 11 zed I n t e r j> e c ti p r^ Ap proa c h e s .  The metho-



dology used at these locations is similar to that used in Reference 21.        •
1


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I
_       Emissions arising from queues are regarded as the sum of three components:
"       a component attributable to cruising vehicles, a component resulting from
I       accelerating and decelerating vehicles, and a component resulting from
         idling vehicles.  The first component is assumed to occur over an infi-
J[       nitely long line source.  The second and third components are manifested
—       over a finite line source whose length is estimated using Equation (7).
*       Equation (9) is used to estimate the emission intensity which would result
•       if all vehicles comprising the traffic demand were cruising past the inter-
         section at a given intersection approach speed.   Appropriate intersection
||       approach speeds were estimated using empirical relationships between mid-
_       block volume-capacity ratios and vehicle operating speeds on major
•               22
•       streets.    Midblock capacity was assumed to be  (2000)(G/Cy)(# of Lanes).
•       The second and third components are regarded as  "excess emissions"
         occurring over the finite queue length as a result of acceleration/
£       deceleration and idling.  The intensity of the acceleration/deceleration
_       component is:

m                      q..
(EFTij
                               5Q
 ^               where q. .  = line source emission  intensity gm/sec-in;
                          D  = spacing between  successive  vehicle tailpipes,
 •                           assumed to be Sm/veh;
                     (EF). .  = average emission factor  for an accelerating  and
                         I'J
                              decelerating vehicle  over the  estimated queue
 «                           length, gm/min-veh;
                       G/Cy  = green time to signal  cycle  ratio,  dimensionless:
                         IcrT = conversion factor from min~ to sec~  .
                         ou
 1
           93

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                                                                               I
The intensity cf the idling component is:
                     (0.5) (EF)^ (1 - G/Cy)                                   |
               qij = ~~COD                                 ^]1'
      v/here (EF).^ = the CO emission factor for idling vehicles,               •
                ' •->                                                             ^B
                     Qp'/min-veh
              C/Cy = green tine to signal cycle ratio, dirrensionless           •
                 D = spacinq between successive vehicle tailpipes,             m
                     assumed to be Grp/veh


               0.5 = constant denoting that the average vehicle ir             «
                     the queue is only there for 1/2 the signal's
                     red phase, dimensionless.                                 IV
              '-•  ^'on-Signalized Intersection Approach.  The queuing
curve in Figure 9 was obtained by assuming that, on the average over           |
the entire period of interest, the average queue length rray be estimated       .
using Fouaticn (8).   The intensity of this finite line source is:

                      (EF)iJ                                                   *
               qij =  "^                                      02)         f
      where (EF)^ = sveraqe trip emission factor for vehicle speeds           |
                     about 0 rr.ph: gn/min-veh.                                  ^
                  The other terms are as defined in Equation (11).
Note that (EF).. in Equation (12) is not the sane as the idle emission         V
              1J                        "                                       •
factor used in Equation (11).  The emission factor in Equation (12) is
rrcre appropriate for stop-and-start traffic likely to be found ir, very         |
congested locations or  unstreen' fron a toll booth or1 "STOP" sign.
                                 94
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I
                    C.   Emission  Factor  Assumptions—The  CO  emission  factors
          assumed  in deriving  Figures  2-4,  9  and  10  were  obtained  by  using  the
          emission factor  information  for a national  average mix of vehicles
          (by  model  year)  derived from Supplement Number  5 to AP-42 for  the
                                                                                  n C
          calender year  1975 and  speed correction factors  from  the same  reference.
          It  is  assumed  that 20 percent  of  these  vehicles  are operating  from  a
          cold start and approximately 88 percent of the  vehicle mileage is
 ^        attributable to  light-duty vehicles and 12 percent is the result  of
 ™        light-duty trucks.   Emission factors  in the correct units (gm/min-veh)
 0        were obtained  using  Equation (13).
 I
      rr - (ef) (c(s)) (vehicle speed)                      (13)
      -'  ~           60
where ef = composite emission factor for calendar year 1975,
 •                       qm/mi-veh
                   c(s)  =  sneed  correction  factor  from  Supplement  Number  5
 I                       to  AP-42,  dimension!ess
          vehicle speed  -  miles/hour
 •                  EF  =  emission factor,  gn/rnin-veh
 •                1/60  =  conversion factor from hr~  to min"
                        The emission factors  obtained using  Equation  (13) appear
 •       in  Tables 3-5  in Section 6.3.   Emission  factors  (gm/min-veh)  for
          vehicle speeds less than 5 mph  were estimated by extrapolating  a
 ™       curve plotting EF vs.  vehicle  speed.  The emission factor corres-
 •       por.dinq to an  average  trip speed  of 0 mph using  this  procedure  was
          20  gm/min-veh.   This factor was assuned  ir deriving the  queuing curve
 V       in  Figure  9.
 I
 I
                            95

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96
                                                I
                                                I
              The emission factors used in derivino Figures 6 and 7

wore estimated using the Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis              A
      34                                                                         •
Model.  '  Combinations of vehicle operating modes used in the model
                                               1
were similar to observed traffic in the vicinity of a signalized
             21
intersection.    Since the Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis

Model assumes that there are no vehicles operating from a cold start,           ft

a correction factor was applied to the estimates obtained with the              ^

model to reflect an assumption of 20 percent cold starts.  This was done

so that all the curves in Section 4.1 reflect consistent assumptions            ft

about the percentage of cold starts.  The ambient temperature was

assumed, to range from 68°F-86°F in deriving the curves in Section 4.1.           |

              Correction factors for cold starts and cold temperatures,         «

appearing in Table 1, were obtained using procedures outlined in
                             26                                                 «
Supplement Number 5 to AP-42.    These procedures are, in turn, based           •
                 Or oc                                                          ^^
on published data'  '"  reflecting the impact of differing ambient

temperatures on emissions from cold and warmed-up vehicles using the            f
                            27
1975 Federal Test Procedure.    A cold soak period of 4 hours is                ^

suggested as a guide to ascertain whether cold operation of vehicles            *
               oc                                                               i^^
is significant.    Data concerning this question are not extensive at           •
                    "D "7 O O                                                       ^^^
present.  Other data'   '   indicate that increased CO emissions attributable

to cold starting vehicles in cold temperatures essentially all occur            J

within the first 4 minutes of operation.                                        ^

              The correction factors for national emission control              *

programs and altitude were obtained by first estimating CO emission             ft
                                                                                I
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I
•      factors for a typical nationwide mix (by model year) of vehicles for
        a mix in Denver and for a mix in California for each of the indicated
•      calendar years.  These factors were obtained by following the procedures
                                                    OC
•      recommended in Supplement Number 5 to AP-42.    The emission factors
        thus obtained were divided by the factor 55 gm/mi-veh, considered
•      appropriate for a national average mix of vehicles in 1975 (composed
        of 88 percent light-duty vehicles and 12 percent light-duty trucks)
•      to obtain the correction factors in Table 2.
m            6.3  Traffic Assumptions
                   In estimating the emissions from free-flowing traffic, it is
V      necessary to assume values for representative vehicle operating speeds.
        Relationships between volume-capacity ratios and operating speeds on
•      various types of roadways with specified average highway speeds can be
                                                                                22
m      estimated from the Highway Research Board's 1965 Highway Capacity Manual
        providing it is assumed that traffic on the roadway is being accommodated
•      at the maximum level of service consistent with the indicated v/c ratio.
        This procedure was followed in derivina Fiqure 2 for freeways and
                                              I"
        expressways and Fiqure 3 for major streets.  Actual observations of
•      speed-volume relationships for a qiven road under review would, of
        course, be preferable.  For the free-flow curves, it was assumed that
•      demand-capacity ratios were identical with volu_m_e-capacity ratios.
        This assumption implies that, 'aider free-flow conditions, traffic i_s_
•      moving at the maximum level of service consistent with the specified
        volume-capacity ratio.  Thus, it is possible to estimate operating
I
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                                          97

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           It is not possible to relate operating  speeds  to  volume-
capacity ratios for traffic lanes within indirect  sources with  the given
                                                                 20
state of the art.   It has been noted at a regional  shopping  center    that
                                                                                I
                                                                                I
speed on a roadway given the demand-capacity ratio.   The  combinations
of operating speeds and demand-capacity ratios used  for arterial  streets         |
and expressways, along with the corresponding levels of service  and CO          —
emission factors, appear in Tables 3 and 4.                                      ™
                                                                                •
vehicle speeds average from 11-15 mph with little congestion.   These             ^
average speeds included time spent stopping at signalized exit/entrance         ™
gates.  Since it was reasonably consistent with observations,  a speed            •
of 15 mph was assumed in deriving the free-flow curves  in Figure 4.
The resulting CO emission factor used in deriving the free-flow curves           J
in Figure 4 is presented in Table 5.                                             _
           In deriving and using Figures 6-8 to estimate  the  impact              •
of traffic at signalized intersections,  assumptions  concerning the               •
green time to signal cycle ratio, signal cycle length and approach
speeds have been made.  If detailed information concerning the green             I
time to signal cycle ratio and the degree of signal  progression between
successive signals is not known but it is known that the  approach is             ™
on a major street, a G/Cy = 0.6 is suggested for use.  The rationale for        •
this is that the indirect source review will focus on times and locations
where projected traffic demand is greatest.  A traffic-actuated signal           •
apportions green time according to traffic demand; so it  is reasonable
to assume that more green time will be available to  the intersection             »

                                98
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 _
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 I
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 I
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I
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I
          Table 3.  ASSUMED OPERATING SPEEDS, LEVELS OF SERVICE AND DEMAND-CAPACITY


                         RATIOS FOR "1AJOR STREETS AND CORRESPONDING EMISSION

                             FACTORS FOR FREE FLOW CONDITIONS
 •       Assumed     Demand-      Level     CO emission
          operating   capacity       of      factor,
          speed(mph)  ratio        Service   qm/min-veh           Description
30
25
20
15

15

<_ 0.60
0.70
0.80
C. 90

1.00

A
B
C
D

E

17.2
17.6
18.1
18.6

18.6

Completely free flow
Stable flow (slight delay)
Stable flow (acceptable delay)
Approaching unstable flow
(tolerable delay)
Unstable flow (congestion,
intolerable delay)
99

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Table 4. ASSUMED OPERATING SPEEDS, LEVELS OF SERVICE AND DEMAND-CAPACITY
RATIOS FOR URBAN EXPRESSWAYS* AND CORRESPONDING EMISSION
FACTORS FOR FREE FLOW CONDITIONS

Assumed Demand-
operating capacity
speed (MPH) ratio
57 0.1
55 0.2
53 0.3
50 0.4
47 0.5

45 0.6
42 0.7

40 0.8
37 0.9
30 1.0
*
Average highway speed







Level CO Emission
of factor
Service gm/min-veh
A 16.0
A 16.0
A 16.1
A 16.2
B 16.3

C 16.3
C 16.4

C 16.5
D 16.6
E 17.2

assumed to be 60 mph




100




Description
Completely free flow
Completely free flow
Completely free flow
Completely free flow
Stable flow (upper
speed range)
Stable flow
Stable flow

Stable flow
Approaching unstable flow
Unstable flow








1
1
1
I
I

1
1

1



1



1

1

1
1
1
1
1

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 I
 I        Table 5.   ASSUMED OPERATING  SPEEDS AND  DEMAND-CAPACITY  RATIOS FOR
 -                      TRAFFIC  LANES  WITHIN INDIRECT SOURCES AND
 "                          CORRESPONDING  EMISSION  FACTORS FOR
fl
                                  FREE  FLOW  CONDITIONS
           Assumed                         Demand-             CO  Emission
           operating                        capacity            factor,
           speed (mph)                      ratio               gm/min-veh
 •           15                            0-1.0                18.6
 I
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                                         101

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                                                                              I
leg having the heaviest demand.   For  a  major  street,  it  is  unlikely
that the intersecting road will  have  as great a  demand as the  approach         J|
being reviewed.   In addition,  any kind  of coordinated signal progression       «
among signals with fixed cycles  would exert the  same  impact on queue
lengths and emissions as an increased G/Cy (i.e.,  fewer  vehicles  would         V
arrive during the red phase).  A more conservative G/Cy  ratio  of  0.5
is suggested for an approach on  a local street or  at  an  exit to an             |
indirect source.  In such cases  it is possible that the  traffic demand         _
on the intersecting road (which  could be a major street) may be as             *
great as that on the local street or  exit lanes, even during hours             W
of peak demand on the smaller streets,  and well -coordinated signal
progression may be less likely.                                                 p
           For most demands, a signal cycle length of 120 seconds was          _
used in deriving the curves in Figure 6.  This number represents  a
value at the upper range of signal  cycle  lengths  found  at  fixed-time
signals, and about in the middle  of the range  commonly  found  at  traffic-
                                   39
actuated signals on arterial  roads. "   Near the  highest volume theo-
retically possible for a signalized intersection  (estimated by multi-
plying a nominal lane capacity of 2000 vph  by  the green time  to  signal
cycle ratio), a cycle length  of 180 seconds was  assumed.   This value  is
representative of the upper range of cycle  lengths for  traffic-actuated
signals.  Longer-than-average cycle lengths were  used,  because they are
                                                 22
most likely to occur with higher  traffic  demands.    In addition,  the
impact of queuing appears to  be greater with longer cycle  lengths.
           A third assumption concerning  approach speed is needed  if
it is not feasible to determine volume-capacity  ratio at midblock.  The
suggestion to use 30 mph for major streets  is  based on  speed  limitations
                                 102
                                                                               tt
                                                                               I

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 I
          which may frequently prevail on such streets and the wide range of v/c
          ratio for which this speed is assumed in Table 3.  The suggestion to
          assume a cruising speed of 15 mph for traffic lanes within indirect sources
                                                                                   20
          is made on the basis of observations made within a major shopping center.
 I            6.4  Assumptions Used in Evaluating Background Concentrations
                    Background concentrations of CO are the result of:
 P                 (1)  General urban background levels of CO, and
 _.                 (2)  Increases in general urban background levels due to
 *       vehicular activity in and around the indirect source but not in the
 V       immediate vicinity of the receptor.
                    The value of "5 ppm" suggested in Section 4.3.3 for adding
          to the maximum observed 1-hour CO concentration at the site of a
          proposed source was obtained by comparing observed 1-hour CO values
          at monitoring sites near the upwind edge of a regional shopping center's
 ^H                                                                 9fl
 ft        parking lot with those near the downwind e.dge of the lot.    The com-
          parisons were confined to periods in which the wind speed was less than
 p        2 m/sec and to stations which were located within the parking lot but
 —        not in the vicinity of entrance/exit gates.  The value "5 ppm" is
 *        representative of the larger differences observed between upwind and
 •        downwind sites, and is assumed to represent the impact of emissions
          within the parking lot.  The "2 ppm" value to be added to the observed
          8-hour maximum concentration was obtained by multiplying the "5 ppm"
          1-hour value by a meteorological persistence factor of 0.6 and by a
          ratio of peak 8-hour traffic demand to peak 1-hour traffic demand of
•        0.67.  The basis for the "0.6" persistence factor has been described
          in Section 6.1.  The "0.67" value is based on a report prepared for
                                                                                 I4Q
          EPA on traffic characteristics in and around regional shopping centers.
                                          103

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                                                                               I
7.0  REFERENCES
(1)  40 CFR 52; "Approval  and Promulgation of Implementation  Plans:             •
Review of Indirect Sources"; Federal  Register; (July 9,  1974),  p.  25292.        •
(2)  40 CFR 52; "Approval  and Promulgation of Implementation  Plans:
Proposed Amendments to Parking Management Regulations";  Federal                 •
Register; (August 22, 1974); p. 30440.
(3)  40 CFR 51; "Preparation, Adoption,  and Submittal  of Implementation         0
Plans:  Maintenance of National Ambient  Air Quality Standards";                 •
Federal Register; (June 18, 1973),  p.  15834.
(4)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste  Management, Office  of Air  Quality       V
Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for  Air Quality Maintenance  Planning
and Analysis, Volume 1:  Designation  of  Air Quality Maintenance  Areas"          |
EPA-450/4-74-001, (September 1974); Air  Pollution  Technical  Information         _
Center, Research Triangle  Park, N.  C.  27711.                                   *
(5)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste  Management, Office  of Air               •
Quality Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance
Planning and Analysis, Volume 2:  Plan  Preparation"; EPA-450/4-74-002;          J
(July 1974); Air Pollution Technical  Information Center, Research               _
Triangle Park, N. C.  27711.                                                   •
(6)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste  Management, Office  of Air               V
Quality Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance
Planning and Analysis, Volume 3:  Control  Strategies"; EPA-450/4-003;           |
(July 1974); Air Pollution Technical  Information Center, Research               ^
Triangle Park, N.C.  27711.                                                    "
                                                                               I
                               104
                                                                                I
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 I
 •       (7)   U.S.   EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management, Office of Air Quality
          Planning and Standards;  "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
          and Analysis, Volume 4:  Land Use and Transportation Considerations";
 •       EPA-450/4-74-004;  (August 1974); Air Pollution Technical Information
 •       Center,  Research Triangle Park, N. C.  27711.
 •       (8)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management, Office of Air Quality
          Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
 £       and Analysis, Volume 5:  Case Studies in Plan Development";
 m       EPA-450/4-74-006;  (In preparation); Air Pollution Technical Information
 •       Center,  Research Triangle Park, N. C.  27711.
 •       (9) U.S.   EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management, Office of Air Quality
          Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
 •       and Analysis, Volume 6:  Overview of Air Quality Maintenance Area
          Analysis"; EPA-450/4-74-007; (September 1974); Air Pollution Technical
 •       Information Center, Research Triangle Park, N. C. 27711.
 •       (10)   U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management, Office of Air Quality
          Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
 •       and Analysis, Volume 7:  Projecting County Emissions"; EPA-450/4-74-008;
          (September 1974);  Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Research
 •       Triangle Park, N.  C. 27711.  .
 m       (11)   U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management, Office of Air Quality
          Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
 •        and Analysis, Volume 8:  Computer-Assisted Area Source Emissions
          Gridding Procedure"; EPA-450/4-74-009; (September 1974); Air Pollution
 m        Technical  Information Center, Research Triangle Park, N. C. 27711.
 •                                     105

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                                                                                I
(12)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management,  Office of Air Quality      §
Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
and Analysis, Volume 9:  Evaluating Indirect Sources";  EPA-450/4-75-Q01;         •
(January 1975); Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Research            •
Triangle Park, N.  C. 27711.
(13)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management,  Office of Air Quality      I
Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
and Analysis, Volume 10:   Reviewing New Stationary Sources";                     •
EPA-450/4-74-011;  (September 1974); Air Pollution  Technical  Information          •
Center, Research Triangle Park, N. C.  27711.
(14)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management,  Office of Air Quality      I
Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
and Analysis, Volume 11:   Air Quality  Monitoring and  Data  Analysis";             •
EPA-450/4-74-012;  (September 1974); Air Pollution  Technical  Information          •
Center, Research Triangle Park, N. C.  27711.
(15)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management,  Office of Air Quality      I
Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
and Analysis, Volume 12:   Applying Atmospheric  Simulation  Models                 •
to Air Quality Maintenance Areas"; EPA-450/4-74-013;  (September 1974).           mm
Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Research  Triangle  Park,
N. C. 27711.                                                                    f
(16)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management,  Office of Air
Quality Planning and Standards, Volume 13:   Allocating  Projected  Emissions       |
to Sub-county Areas";  EPA-450/4-74-014; (In preparation);                        mm
Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Research  Triangle  Park,
N. C. 27711.                                                                    •
                               106
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I
         (17)   "Assessment of Photochemical  Oxidant  and  Nitrogen  Dioxide
         Ambient Concentrations  from  3-C  Plans"; Volume  1  - Guidance Manual
•       (January 1975);  Volume  2  - Technical  Backup  Document  (April 1975);
         Under preparation  for U.S.   EPA,  OAQPS, Strategies and Air Standards
•       Division,  Research Triangle  Park,  N.C.  27711.
»       (18)   U.S.   EPA, Quality  Assurance and Environmental  Monitoring Laboratory,
         "Carbon Monoxide Measurements  in  Vicinity  of Shopping Centers";
I       EPA-450/3-74-048;  (April  1973):  Air Pollution Technical  Information
         Center, Research Triangle Park,  N.  C. 27711.
         (19)   Bach,  W.  D., B. W.  Crissman,  C. E. Decker,  J. W. linear, P. P.
         Rasberry and J.  B. Tommerdahl;  "Carbon Monoxide Measurements in the
         Vicinity of  Sports Stadiums";  EPA-450/3-74-049; (July 1973); U.S.  EPA,
fl       Air Pollution Technical  Information Center,  Research  Triangle Park,
         N.  C. 27711.
         (20)   Patterson, R. M., R. M.  Bradway, G.  A.  Gordon,  R.  G. Orner,
_       R.  W. Cass and  F.A. Record;  "Validation Study of  an Approach
*       for Evaluating  the Impact of a  Shopping Center on Ambient Carbon Monoxide
         Concentrations"; EPA-450/3-74-059;  (August 1974); U.S. EPA, Air Pollution
         Technical  Information Center,  Research Triangle Park, iM. C. 27711.
         (21)   Patterson, R. M.  and F.  A.  Record; "Monitoring  and Analysis of
_       Carbon Monoxide  and Traffic  Characteristics  at Oakbrook"; EPA-450/3-74-058;
™       (November  1974); U.S.   EPA,  Air  Pollution  Technical Information Center,
•       Research Triangle  Park, H. C.  27711.
         (22)   Highway Research  Board;  "Highway Capacity Manual 1965"; Special
§       Report 87; NAS-NRC; Washington,  D.C.  (1965).

•                                        107

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                                                                            I
(23)  40 CFR 50.1 (e); "National  Primary and Secondary Air Quality          E
Standards:  Definitions"; Federal  Register 36;  (November 25,  1971);
p. 22384.                                                                   |
(24)  U.S.  DHEW; Public Health Service, National  Air Pollution             .
Control Administration; "Air Quality Criteria for  Carbon Monoxide";
NAPCA Publication Number AP-62; (March 1970): Washington, D.  C.             •
(25)  U.S.  EPA Office of Air Programs; "Mixing Heights, Wind
Speeds and Potential for Urban Air Pollution Throughout the Contiguous       £
United States"; Office of Air Programs Publication Number AP-101;            _
(January 1972); Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Research        ™
Triangle Park, [I. C. 27711.                                                  •
(26)  U.S.  EPA, "Compilation of Air Pollutant  Emission Factors";
Publication Number AP-42; Supplement #5 to the  Second Edition;               |
(In Press.); Air Pollution Technical  Information Center,  Research            —
Triangle Park, N. C. 27711.                                                  •
(27)  40 CFR 85; "1975 Federal Test Procedure," Federal Register 36,        •
No. 128; (July 2, 1971).
(28)  U.S.  EPA, Office of Planning and Evaluation; "Report on  the          |
Economic and Land Use Impact of Regulations to  Review New Indirect
Sources of Air Pollution Prior to Construction";  To be available            ™
through the National Technical Information Service, Springfield,            •
Virginia, 22161.
(29)  Hillier, F. S. and G.  J. Lieberman; Introduction to Operations        |
Research; Holden-Day, Inc.;  San Francisco, California (1967), Chapter
10.
                               108
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I
         (30)   Zimmerman, J. R. and R. S. Thompson; "User's Guide for
«       HIWAY:  A  Highway Air Pollution Model"; Environmental Monitoring
"       Series  EPA-650/4-008; National Environmental Research Center, U.S.
•       EPA,  Research Triangle Park, N.C.  27711; (In preparation).
         (31)   McElroy, J.L. and F. Pooler, Jr.; "St. Louis Dispersion
Q       Study Volume II--Analysis"; NAPCA Publication Number AP-53;
—       (December  1968); U.S.  EPA, Air Pollution Technical Information
*       Center, Research Triangle Park, N. C. 27711.
•       (32)   Clarke, J. F. and K. F. Zeller; "Tracer Study of Dispersion
         from  a  Highway"; Paper presented at the Symposium of Atmospheric
J[       Diffusion  and Air Pollution; American Meteorological Society;
_       (September 9-13, 1974); Santa Barbara, California.
*       (33)   Smith, J. H., W. B. Johnson, F. L. Ludwig, R. E. Inman, L. A. Cavanagh
•       and L.  Sal as; Air Quality Impact Study for Proposed Highway Widening Near
         Ojai ;  Part 1-A; Chapter V, "Microscale Tracer Experiment"; Report prepared
         for State  of California Dept. of Transportation and the Federal Highway
         Administration, SRI Project 2852, Contract J-7290; (July 1974).
         (34)   Kunselman, P., H. T. McAdams, C. J. Domke and M. Williams;
•       "Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal Analysis Model"; EPA-460/3-74-005;
         (January 1974); National Technical Information Service; Springfield,
I       Virginia 22161.
         (35)   Williams, M. E., J. T. White, L. A. Platte and C. J. Domke;
•       "Automobile Exhaust Emission Surveillance—Analysis of the FY 72 Program";
•       EPA-460/2-74-001 ; (February 1974); National  Technical Information Service;
         Springfield, Virginia  22161.
I
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(36)  Ashby, H.  A.,  R.  C.  Stahman,  B.  H.  Eccleston and R. W. Hum;               —
"Vehicle Emissions—Summer to  Winter";  Paper  Number  741053  Presented             *
at the SAE Automobile Engineering Meeting,  Toronto,  Canada;                      II
(October 21-25,  1974);  Society of Automotive  Engineers,  Inc.;
400 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, Pa.   15096.                                  J
(37)  Miles, D.  L.  and  M.  F. Homfeld;  "The  Effect of Ambient Temperature         _
on Exhaust Emissions of Cars with Experimental  Emission  Controls";               *
Paper Number 741052  Presented  at the SAE  Automobile  Engineering Meeting,         •
Toronto, Canada; (October  21-25, 1974); Society of Automotive  Engineers,
Inc.; 400 Commonwealth  Drive,  Warrendale, Pa.   15096.                            B
(38)  Grinberg,  L.  and  L.  Morgan;  "Effect of  Temperature on Exhaust              _
Emissions"; Paper Number 740527 Presented at  the SAE Combined  Commercial         •
Vehicles and Fuels  and  Lubricants meetings; Chicago, Illinois;  (June  17-21,      •
1974); Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc.;  Two Pennsylvania  Plaza,
New York, New York  10001.                                                      £
(39)  Johnson, B. C.; Barton-Aschman Associates, Inc.; Chicago,
Illinois  60626.  Personal communication.                                       •
(40)  Thayer, S. D.  and K. Axetell, Jr.;  "Vehicle Behavior  in  and                •
Around Complex Sources  and Related  Complex Source Characteristics
Volume I—Shopping Centers"; EPA-450/3-74-003-a; National  Technical             •
Information Service, Springfield, Virginia  22161.


                                                                                I

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APPENDIX A.  METHODS FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS FROM HIGHWAYS
This appendix is intended to provide guidance concerning a
more detailed analysis of proposed indirect sources should
this be necessary or desirable pursuant to 40 CFR 52.22(b).
The materials contained herein are offered as suggestions.
Alternate analytical approaches for evaluating the impact
of a proposed source may be used if it can be demonstrated
that they are more applicable to the source under review.
         U. S. Environmental Protection Aaency
      Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
         Research Triangle Park, N. C.  27711

                       January 1975
                         A-i

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                                     APPENDIX A.


                   METHODS FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS FROM HIGHWAYS



              The purpose of this Appendix is to  assist air pollution control

         agencies or developers in estimating CO, HC, and NO  emissions resulting
•

         from the use of a new or improved highway.   In accordance with Federal

•       regulations on indirect sources,  the estimated emissions may then be used

         as a basis for determining whether construction and operation of one or

|       more sections of the highway is consistent with the applicable SIP require-

_       ments (macro-analysis).  In addition, the estimated emissions may be used

         to assess the impact of the highway and its access roads on ambient CO

tt       concentrations in the immediate vicinity of the right-of-way (micro-analysis)

         It should be acknowledged from the outset that there is a wealth of
         information concerning the operation, design and environmental  impact of

         highways which has been published by the Federal Highway Administration
*       and professional  journals in the field of traffic engineering.   Some of these


B       references are documented in the section on supplemental  references.  It


         should also be pointed out that there are a great many potential  environ-


|       mental impacts other than air quality attendant with the  construction or


_       improvement of a  highway.  These are discussed in some detail  in  EPA's


~       "Guidelines for Review of Environmental  Impact Statements, Volume 1, Highway
                   o
W       Projects."   The  analysis herein has the more limited objectives  of relating


         key highway design and operating variables to emissions.   Estimated
         emissions may then, ultimately, be related to air quality using procedures

         similar to those outlined in Appendix H.
                                      A-l

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                                                                                    I
     This appendix presents Procedures for estimating emissions for macro-          _
and micro-analyses of a hiahway's impact on air duality in sections AI  and          •
All.  These summaries are then followed by discussions of how the information       •
needed to implement the procedures might best be obtained.
     "Macro-analysis" addresses the impact of the source on emissions over          •
                                                   2
areas which are usually thought of as at least 1  km .   "Micro-analysis"
     4.  Obtain HC and NO  emission factors (ef)  for the appropriate year
                         X
                                                                                    I
                                                                                    I
pertains to estimating CO emissions so that the distribution of CO concen-
trations in the immediate vicinity of the roadway nay be estimated.  Such an
analysis is primarily of interest in determinina peak CO concentrations to
which people are likely to be exposed.                                              •
AI.   Procedure for Fstimating Emissions from Highways for Macro Analysis
     1.   Obtain the design and operating parameters indicated in Table ^1           m
from the applicant.  Consider each direction separately, and divide the             •
highway into segments as determined by access roads or changes in design.
     2.   Determine whether Eq. (AA) or (A5) is appropriate to estimate              I
emissions.   If Eq. (A5) is acceptable proceed as indicated below.  If Fc.
                                                                        °>           I
(A4) must be used, follow the procedures in Supplement Number 5 to AP-42"           •
to estimate emission factors for light and heavy-duty vehicles separately.          •
Correct for cold start percentages differing from 20C= and for ambient
                                                                      4             •
temperatures, differing from those used in the Federal Test Procedure,              •
using factors presented in Section 4.4 of the screening procedure or
                                                     3                              I
techniques presented in Supplement Number 5 to AP-^2.                               •
     3.   Obtain segment lengths (d,) from plans.
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from Table A3.
     5.  Obtain traffic volume demand (v.)  for each road segment durino


                               A-2
                                                                                   I

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usina  Fo.  (A7).   Obtain  averane fraffic volume demand for each road


seonent,  usir.a  Fo.  C*-9] .


     f .   If rnass  transit  has  not been considered, replace the volume

Demands obtained  in  Eos.  ("7)  or (A9) vn'th those obtained vn'th Fas.


(f-°) or C\9a).

     7.   I-F the caoacitv  r,f each, road secn'ent (c.} is rot orcy'd^, :-'se


Fq.  (A10)  arc Tables  A5  and ^F, to estimate (c,. ^ .   Thpn use Fi auras AZ',
                                               i

/\?%  AU or  ^5  to estirrate  the  averane cperatir.n sr,eeH in each son^ent


oiven  the  averaae  h.ichwav soeed and v./c..

     °.  Mse  the  oneratincj  speeri to estimate the sceec correction factor


(c(s).) obtained  usinc Table  3.1.2-ba in ^uonlepent Number 5 to AP-^2."
     9.  Calculate  the  total  HC  and '.'0 ,  emissions ^ron the ^io'^wey
                                       A

usino Equations  C\5)  or (AA).


    lr.  Co'TioarP1  the  emissions  estimated usinr1 steos 1-3 uith the erissions


Vv'hich would occur if  the  hiahway were not built, in order to estimate the


net ir'oact of" the hinhway on  total  en-issions.


AIT.  Procedure  for F. sti>ating  Cr'is sions *gr Micro Analysis of a
      1.  Estimate traffic  den:and  for each "•ane i in ^oad seonent i usiric

Fqs. (A12) cr  (Al'i).   If  necessary,  adjust the der'and for the impact o^

irass transit usina Fns. (A1O  or  (A15).   Apportion derand aronr lanes

based on local conditions,  rakinq  sure that Fa. ("2; is satisfied.

     ':.  If the analysis  dees  not  concern an at-nra'Je intersection,

estimate capacity of the  road  secrr>ent usinn Fa. (Alri) anr the lane capacities

usino Fa. (A16).  Check that Fq.  (A3) is  satisfied.   I£ not, adjust the

lane capacities so that Fq.  (A3)  is  satisfied.

     3.  Oeterrine volume to capacity ratios (v.,./c.,. )  for «-v.cu lane.


                                 A- 3

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                                                                                     I
      f.   piiven the type of road and  the  average  hiqhway speed,  use  the



appropriate one of Fiaures A2-A5 to estimate  operatinq  speeds  (S..)  for               •



each lane.                                                                            •



      5.   Use Figure A6 to estimate the  speed-corrected emission factor



(FF).. for each lane.   For years other than 1975,  adjust this  emission                I



factor usina Equation (M7).   Correct for cold  start and ambient temperatures



usino Section ^.4 in the screeninn orocedure  or Supplement Number 5  to  AP-42.         •



If local  emission factor data  are available,  multiply the factor thus obtained        •



by an appropriate local correction factor.



     6.   Use Equation (All) to estimate  the line  source emission intensity           •



(q) for each lane of traffic.



      7.   For at-orade sionalized intersections,  use information concerning          |



signal cycle lennths and green time to signal  cycle ratio to estimate queue          •



lennths with Fq. (A18).  Consider emissions over  the nueue to  be the sum of



emissions resultina from freely flowing  traffic and excess emissions.   Else-         I



where emissions are attributable to freely flowing traffic.   Calculate  excess



emissions using Eq. (A19).  Alternatively, use  the information in Tables             |



A°.-A12 directly tc estimate appropriate  emissions and queue length.                   «



      ft.   For non-siqnal ized intersections, estimate average queue



length usinc Fq. (/^20).  Use Eq. (A21) to estimate the  emission  intensity            •



over the queue at the intersection approach.   Estimate  the distance  over



which vehicles may accelerate  and decelerate using Fq.  (A22).   The                   |



emission intensity over this distance is  estimated usinq Eq. (A23).                   ^



Use FQ. (All) to estimate emission intensity elsewhere.



£. 111.  Identification of Key design and  Operating Variables                          •



       ^ny methodology annearina in a set of Federal guidelines  must



necessarily be oeneral in scone.  Therefore,  these guidelines should                 |
                                                                                     I

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I       serve the Purpose of identifying highway design and operating variables
         to which emissions are most sensitive.  Determination of the values of
•       key design, and operating variables is heavily dependent on local
•       conditions.  Therefore, it is necessary that these parameters be assessed
         on a case-by-case basis by personnel  familiar with traffic engineering
I       concepts.  Once values for the key variables are estimated, they can be
         related to emissions using the methodology described herein.
•            Table Al  presents key variables  which ideally should be supplied by the
•       developer or appropriate highway department for the analysis to proceed.  Road
         segments may be conveniently defined  as the portions of roads between adjacent
•       exits/entrances.   In analyzing the impact of a highway on air quality, it is
         desirable to divide the highway into  seoments, because the traffic volume
•       demand and the nature of the traffic  (i.e. number of trucks, etc.) are likely
•       to chanae from segment to segment.  Such chanaes, in addition to imposing
         varying demands on the capacities needed to avoid congestion (arid the
•       resulting higher emissions), may actually affect the capacity itself.  For
         example, if one segment has more truck traffic than another, its capacity
•       will he less,  all  other factors beina equal.  Traffic capacity per lane per
•       road segment is ?  key (lesion parameter, because it provides a means for
         determining when  traffic volume demands will result in congestion thereby
•       causino high emissions.  Design speed is primarily of importance in
         determining speeds (and therefore emission factors) undpr various volume
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demand-to-capacity ratios.   Vehicle speed and volume ^emand-to-capacity retics
determine the level  of service  occurring en a road.  pinht-of~way is of
      Level  of service is the degree of operational  freedor  available
on the highway.

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     Table Al .   KTY PIGI-'HAY OFSIH!; AMD OPERATING VARIAPLFS


                FPP FSTIMATING VEHICULAR Ef''Ir,S
V_a riable

Traffic Capacity per lane per
Road Seqment (including
mercie lanes).
        Remarks

A road segment is ordinarily that portion
of a highway between adiacent entrance/ey'ts.
Capacity is consistent with Level of ^ervice F
Desinn Speed
This variable \vculd ordinarily be the
posted speed limit,
Rinht-of-Wav and Median width
Number of Lanes per Road Segment
Access Roa^ Capacity per Lane     Consistent with Level  of Service F
Number of Lanes per Access
Road (For key access roads)
and number of merge lanes
A key access road wou^d ordinarily be one
in which traffic volume demand approaches
access road capacity.
Annual Average Daily Traffic
(AADT) for each seament
Even more desirable would he the AADT per
lane per segment if the demand is exnected
to be substantially different for different
lanes in a seament.
Seasonal, Meekly and Diurnal
Use Patterns
Estimated Peak 1-hour, 8-hour
Traffic Volume Demand per
Road Segment
Vehicle Mixes Utilizing
Segments
For example, age mixes and proportions of
light, medium and heavy-duty vehicles.
                                A-6
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Table Al (continued)
Variable

Plans or Blueprints of the
Highway, its Route and Access
Roads
     Remarks

Needed to identify road sepments for each
direction.
Average Highway Speed
Weighted average of design
speeds within a highway segment
Green time to Signal
Cycle Ratio
Used in estimating capacity at
intersections
Cycle Length
The sum of time a traffic signal soends
in each phase of the signal  cycle.
Useful in estimating gueue lengths
upstream from intersections
Location of the road segment
evaluated
Central  business district, fringe
areas, outlying business district,
residential, rural  areas
                                A-7

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                                                                                 I
interest in selecting sensitive receptor sites.   Ordinarily, such a              M

site would not occur within the right-of-way.   Number of lanes per road

segment is important to know in applying a line  source diffusion model  to        I

estimate CO concentrations in the vicinity of  the highway.   In addition,

number of lanes per segment is one of several  determinants  of the segment's      |

capacity and would be needed to estimate capacity if estimates of this            «

parameter were not directly available.  Number of lanes and capacities

for access roads are imoortant, because the oeak impact of  a major high-         |

way may occur at sensitive receptors in the vicinity of on- or off-ramps.

The three operational parameters (AADT, use rate patterns and peak demands)      |

are important for two reasons:                                                   .

     1.  As an estimate of the sheer numbers of  vehicles using road segments.     *

     2.  As an indicator (along with capacity) of whether congestion is          V

likely.

The vehicle mix utilizing each segment is a determinant of  the appro-            |

priate emission factor per segment as well as  the segment's capacity.            _

AIV.  Scope of Analysis and Basic Concepts                                       ™

      Table A2 summarizes the types of analyses  reguired for highway             fl

projects of various sizes.

      Table A2.  TYPES OF ANALYSES REQUIRED FOR  HIGHWAY PROJECTS                 |
                                                                                 I
                     Macro and Micro           Only Micro Analysis in
                    Analysis Required             SMSA's Required                M
Construction of                                                                  •
a new Highway    Anticipated AADT* >_ 50,000    Anticipated AADT >_ 20,000         ™

Modification of                                                                  I
an existing      Anticipated Increase in       Anticipated Increase              •
Highway          AADT >_ 25,000                 in AADT >_ 10,000

*Annual Average Daily Traffic, vehicles/day                                      |


                                A-8                                              |

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•             Figure Al is a schematic drawing of one segment of one direction of
         an 8-lane highway.  In Figure Al, the v's represent volume demand
m       (vph).  The first numerical subscript refers to the road segment, while
•       the  second numerical subscript refers to the lane within the segment.  The
         first lane is defined as the outside lane.  The letter subscripts are
•       interpreted as follows:  "x" stands for exiting traffic; "e" stands for
         entering traffic, and "t" stands for through traffic.  The "d's" in Figure
•       Al represent the length of a given road segment.  For any road segment, the
•       traffic volume demand is given by Eq. (Al).
               v     = v. T ,   +v.    -v.                              (Al)
                i ,t     i-l,t     i,e    i ,x                            ^   '
•       Thus  for road segment 1 in Figure Al,
-             vlt = vot+vle - vlx                                      (Ala)
*       Also,  for any road segment, the traffic volume demand is the sum
B       of the demands in all the lanes.
                    m
              v.. = £  v. .
               'it "V-, vijt                                             (A2)
•       or, as applied to Figure Al,
              vlt = vllt + V12t + V13t + 14t                            (A2a)
m       The traffic volume demand can be determined for a segment if a
•       direct estimate is provided by the developer or if estimates for all
         preceding exit and entrance demands are known and an estimate of the
•       traffic volume demand entering the area of interest (i.e. v .) is
         provided.  It would be most convenient if the traffic volume demands were
I                                        A-9

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•      approximately the sane for each lane,  i'nfortunately, this frequently
        may not he the case.  For example in Figure Al,  if lane 4 were desianated
•      as a mass transit (bus) lane and lane 1  were used primarily by exit and
•      entrance traffic, there mioht be an appreciable  difference in traffic
        volume demand among lanes.  Hiven the information which is usually
•      available however, it may only he possible to identify traffic flow by
        direction.  Information about the amount of traffic enterina and
•      exitino (or turninq on arterial roads) may be used as a basis for more
•      refined apportionments in each direction if such information is available.
        Making reference once again to Fioure Al,  with similar notation, the
•      following definitions and relationships  apply with respect to capacity.
I
"
        "c-." is the capacity of lane j in segment i.
             °it ~~=] CiJt                                             (A3)
        or for Fiqure Al ,

             clt = cllt +  C12t +C13t +C14t
8      Capacity is  determined  by  a  number  of  factors, many of which  can only
        be determined  upon  examination  of plans  including  information  about
g      such considerations  as  volume demands  and  capacities on  succeedina road
—      seoments,  demands and capacities on access  roads,  and presence of
™      turning  or exit/entrance lanes.  In addition  to  determinants  of capacity
•      which can  only be determined upon study  of  detailed plans,  there are
        several  determinants whose effects  can be  gauged on a more  general
P      basis.   These  include such operating and design  parameters  as  lane
        width,  lateral  clearance,  percentage of  trucks utilizing the  hiahway,
        desiqn  speed and grade.
                                       A-ll
•

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                                                                                   I
AV.  Estimating Emissions for Macro Analysis
     With the basic concepts, definitions and relationships presented              •
in Figure Al and Equations (AT) - (A3) in rnind, the procedure described            •
below may be used to derive emissions from the proposed new or improved
highway.   Emissions may be estimated using Equation (A4).                           I
                                                                                   •
                                               . )(ef)    (c(s)).  (N.)   (A4)          I
                                                                                   I
        ."  ldv  V
        1=0                              1=0
where
     (ef), .  = emission factor from light-duty vehicles (including 88" auto-
               mobiles and 12% light-duty trucks), operating at an average         •
               speed of 19.6 mph during the calendar year of interest,             •
               gm/mi-veh.
     c(s).,  = speed correction factor to emission factors applicable to           I
               road segment i for light-duty vehicles (use information
               Number 5 to AP-42 ).  Assume the relationships for model
               compiled in Tables 3.1.2-6a and 3.1.2-6b in Supplement

                                                                                   I
               year 1972 hold for later models as well.
         v-  = volume demand for light-duty vehicles,  vph.                         •
         d-  = length of segment i,  mi.
    (ef),jnu  = emission factor from  heavy-duty vehicles (trucks, buses)             •
        nUV
               gm/veh-mi.                                                           •
     c(s).,   = speed correction factor  for heavy-duty  vehicles.   Unless
               information is available to the contrary, use the same              •
               speed correction factors as for light-duty vehicles.
         N-  = volume demand for heavy-duty vehicles,  vph.                         •
          n  = number of road segments  in the area of  interest.                     •
          Q  =\ejriission rate from all road segments, qm/hr.
                                 A-12

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              If the projected vehicle nix for the highway appears to be dominated
         by light-duty vehicles, Eq.  (A4)  can be simplified as expressed in

•       Equation (A5).



                  In
              0=z   (d  )(ef)(c(s})   (Vl)                              (A5)
                 i=o               i

         where

—           ef = average emission factor  for the calendar year of interest,

™                gm/mi-veh.

•        c(s), = speed  correction factor.

             v. = volume demand (all  vehicles on road segment i),  vph.

         If the mix of model  years is typical, Tables A3 may be used  to  estimate

—       emission factors (ef)  for various  calendar years.   If the projected  traffic

*       mix for a hiohway indicates  that  this simplified procedure is net  appro-
                                                                  o
•       priate, Supplement Number 5  to AP-42 should be  consulted.    The resulting

         emission factors would then  be used  in Equation (A4).   For illustrative
         purposes,  the subsequent analysis  assumes  that  the  simplifying  assumptions

—       are reasonable and that Equation  (A5)  may  be  used.

™            Eq.  (A5) could be simplified  still  further provided  the  operatinq

fl       conditions and mix of traffic  which  would  utilize the  new or  modified

         highway are not sianificantly  different  from  that usino the existing

P       configuration of roads.  Instead,  "equivalent vehicle  miles traveled

_       (EVMT)" may be estimated using Eq.  (A6)  and compared with the EVMT
which is estimated for the case in which the highway is not built.


     EVMT =l   (d.) (c(s).)(v.)                             (Af)
           i=o
                               A-13

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Table A3.   COMPOSITE  EMISSION  FACTORS BY  CALENDAR  YEAR  ASSUMING
     88  PERCENT LDV TRAVEL  AND  12 PERCENT  LOT  TRAVEL (NO HDV)

                           I oji__AHJJ_yrV_. 'ion-California

                               PoTJutrtnt,
Cj lender -Year
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
Calendar-Year
1975
1976
1977
1 978
1979
1980
CO
55.0
48.2
42.0
35.8
29.9
24.1
High Altitude
Pollutant
CO
97.2
86.4
77.3
6C.9
56.0
45.6
HC1
5.3
4.8
4.3
3.8
3.2
2.8
, Non-Cali
, gn/ini
HC1
7.1
6.5
5.8
5.2
4.5
3.8
HC!
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.1
1.8
fornia
3.0
2.8
2.7
2.6
2.4
2.3
NOX
4.0
4.0
3.8
3.4
3.0
2.6
3.0
3.2
3.2
3.0
2.7
2.4
California
Calendar-Year
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1930
*
Pollutant
co.
53.9
44.9
41 .4
33.8
28.5
23.3

, cim/mi
HC1
5.2
4.7
4.2
3.6
3.1
2.7
	 1 _ .. .1 _ J, L .-
HC2
2.2
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.1
1.8
._.._i. j, i 	 i r\
3.8
3.6
3.4
3.1
2.6
2.4

           Reflects interim emission  standards through  the 1977 model year and
      statutory standards  thereafter.   If amendments  to  the Clean Air Act proposed
      in  March 1975 hecore law, Appendix D in Suoplenient 5 to AP-42 should be used
      to  derive new factors for 1978 and later years.


           Excludes evaporative and crnnkcase hydrocarbons.  Speed correction
      factors apply.

           o
           Evaporative and crankcase  hydrocarbons.  Speed correction factors
      do  not apply.                   /\_]
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                 A.   Length  of  Road  Segments  (d.)
 •                  This  parameter  would  be  determined directly from the plans
 •         provided  by  the  developer.   Each  direction would be considered
            separately in  dividing the  road into segments.
 I              B-   Emission Factors  (ef)
 I
         Emission factors for the appropriate year  should be  obtained
                            3
from Table A3 or from AP-42.    These factors  are appropriate  for
 •         "average"  trip  speeds, and  reflect the combination of acceleration,
            deceleration  and  constant-speed traveling used in the 1975 Federal
                           14
            Test  Procedure.    If  information were available about the likely pro-
            portions of time  to be spent  in different operational modes (e.g.
 •         acceleration, deceleration, constant speed), a more satisfactory
 •         procedure  would be to combine emission factors for each mode in accordance
            with  each  mode's  relative importance to obtain average trip emission
 •         factors.
                 C.  Traffic  Volume Demand  (v.)
 •                 The  traffic  volume demand estimate which should be used in
 •         Eqs.  (A5)  or  (A4) depends upon  the applicable standard for the
            pollutant  of  concern.  In any case however, projected traffic volume
 •          demand  should reflect diverted  and induced traffic as well as possible.
            Diverted traffic  is the result  of trips which are diverted from other
 '          road(s) to the  new or modified  highway.  For example, the presence of
 •          the highway might make it much  more convenient to utilize shopping
            center  A rather than  shopping center B which is located in a different
 •          area.   The result is  an increase in traffic along the route caused by
                                           A-15


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                                                                                I
people formerly using different routes  to arrive at shoppinq  center             •
B.  Induced traffic is caused by attractions  building  up  along  the  route
of the highway and nenerating trips.   The amounts of diverted and induced       •
traffic depends entirely on local  conditions, so that  only qualitative
suggestions for their determination can be provided here.   The  economic-        m
demographic determinants of traffic demand enumerated  in  Section  5.0            •
in "Guidelines for the Review of the  Impact of Indirect Sources on
Ambient Air duality" should be checked  for relevance.   Land use and             •
other maps plotting census information  may orovide additional insight
in estimating diverted and induced demand.                                      •
             1.  H£                                                             •
                 Total non-methane hydrocarbons are primarily of
interest, because they appear to be precursors of oxidants.  Therefore,          •
in estimating hydrocarbon emissions from highways, one is  indirectly
assessing the effect of a highway's presence on oxidant concentrations.          •
The standard for hydrocarbons is for 3  hours which must be met  between          •
the hours of 6 A.M. - 9 A.M. in areas where there is difficulty in
meeting the oxidant standard.  Hence, one period in which the traffic            •
volume Hemand nay be of interest is the peak one occurring during
6-9 A.M. at times of the year in which  photochemical oxidant formation          •
has been observed as a oroblem.  The traffic demand during such periods          •
may be determined as follows for use in Equation (A5).
                                                                                I

                                 A-16                                           I

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•                            (a)  Start with  the estimated annual average daily
          traffic  (AADT),  veh/day.
•                            (b)  Multiply AADT by  the peak  seasonal  adjustment
•j        factor during which  oxidants are a  problem  to  qet  peak  seasonal average
          daily traffic.   Peak seasonal adjustment  factors depend on  the area  of
•        the  country  in which the road is located  and whether  the  highway  is
          urban or  rural.   Estimates  of seasonal variations  in  traffic  should  also
|        be required  from the applicant.
•                            (c)  Multiply peak seasonal average  daily  traffic
          by a factor  denoting the use of the highway during 6-9  A.M. on the
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•        busiest  day of  the week.   If  this  information  is  not available  from
                                               56
          the  developer,  it has  been estimated   '   that  for urban  highways,  the
•        Friday morning  6-9 A.M. period  is  likely  to  be busiest.  The  fraction
•        which traffic utilizing the highway during this period constitutes of
          the  average daily traffic  during the  season  of peak daily  use has  been
•        estimated as shown in  Table A4.
                            Table A4.   PEAK USE FACTORS
         Type  of  Road             Peak 6-9 A.M. Use Daily Traffic  in  Peaj< Season

™       Urban freeways                               .22
•       Suburban freeways                            .20
         Urban arterials                             .20
         Rural arterials                             .17

                                         A-17

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     Summarizing steps (a) - (c), the traffic volume demand during                •
6-9 A.M. may be estimated using Eq. (A7).
          (AADT). ; Seasonal Adjustment;! (6-9 A.M. traffic)	i
          	NDemand Factor	/I (daily traffic during peak season}-^       «
     Vl '                              3                          (A7)    "       I
where                                                                             «
 (AADT). = annual average daily traffic estimated for road segment
           i, veh/day                                                             I
     1/3 = conversion factor from (3-hr) to (1-hr)
                                                                                  I
      v. = vph
If mass transit use is not already implicitly accounted for in the
estimates of v- should be adjusted as shown in Eq.  (A8).
     v  - FO
     vi - Eq>      - TTJJiVo)   3
where
segments.
                                                                                  I
       T = the number of mass transit passengers during the peak                  ™
           6-9 A.M. period                                                        •
       P = the fraction of passengers who would normally use a
           private auto were the mass transit facilities not available            J
   (avo) = the average number of passengers per auto                              —
      B. = the number of mass transit buses using road segment i                  *
           during the peak 6-9 A.M. period.                                       •
               2.   N02

                   Since the standard for NCL is an annual one, AADT              •
may be used directly to estimate mean traffic volume demand for road              •
                                                                                   I
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                     |(AADT)i
               vi   =-lT~                                             (A9)
 flj       where 1/24  -  conversion  factor  from  veh/day  to  vph
          Similarly,  if mass  transit  is not  accounted  for in  the  estimate of
 •       v.,  use  Eq.  (A9a)  to  obtain  an  adjusted traffic volume  demand.
                                          B
 •            Vi  = Fq' (A9)  -  -(24)(avo)  + 24"                             (A9a)
 ™       where
 •            T = average number  of mass transit passengers  during a day
               P = fraction  of  passengers normally using  a private auto
 •           B. = average daily number of mass transit buses using road
                   segment i, veh/day
 ™        (avo) = average number  of passengers per auto
 •       Equations (A9) and  (A9a) may also  be used to estimate average annual
          daily HC emissions  if this is to be  used as a criterion for whether
          or not a proposed  highway or highway system  is  acceptable.
               D.   Speed Correction Factors  (c (s),)
                   The  speed  correction factor used in Eq. (A5) is determined by
 •        the  average operating speed on  road  segment  i.  This speed, in turn,
          is a  function of the  highway design  speed and the ratio between the volume
 I        demand and  the capacity  for segment  i (v./c. ratio).  Thus, to determine
 _        the  appropriate speed correction factor and speed,  it is first necessary
 •        to estimate the capacity of road segment i (c.).  As indicated earlier,
 •        under some circumstances capacity  can be largely determined by the design
          of succeeding road  segments or exit/entrance ramps.  If these designs are
 •        inadequate, they may  have a predominant effect  on the capacities of pre-
 _        ceding segments.  However, since the general traffic engineering practice
•        appears  to be to design a highway  to accommodate the traffic demand at
•                                      A-19

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                                                                                 I
the 30th highest hour maintaining a level  of service of "D" or better            I



at the segment with the lowest capacity,  the possibility of back-



ups from successive segments occurring during the peak 6-9 A.M.                   |



period or during the average day can be ignored.   If the information is          M



not available directly from the developer, capacity of segment i  can be



estimated using Tables A5 and A6 and Equation (AID).                             I



     c. = 2000 M. W. T.                                              (A10)
       I          III                                                          ^^H


where                                                                            |



     M. = number of lanes (one direction)   segment i                             •



     W.j = adjustment for lane width and lateral  clearance,



          obtained from Table A5                                                 I



     T. = truck-bus adjustment factor (which includes an adjustment



          for grade) obtained from Table  A6.                                     |



If capacity is likely to alter appreciably from lane to lane,  a  separate         «



analysis would have to be done for each lane.  Once capacity for segment



i is known, v./c. ratio can be determined.                                       •



         The relationship between volume-capacity ratio and operating speed



for freely flowing traffic depends on the type of roadway beinq  considered        |



and the average highway speed or posted speed limit. Figures A2-A5 depict        •



these relationships for expressways, multi-lane rural highways,  two-lane



rural highways, and urban and suburban arterial  streets.   Relationships         •



shown in Figures A2-A5 are empirical ones based on observations  over



several years in a number of locations.  However, if a specific  relation-        |



ship between volume-capacity ratio and operating speed has been  developed
                                                  I
      A separate analysis should be conducted for each direction.                 •





                                                                                  I
A-20

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Table AS.  co;':M:;rn crim or  LANF.  IIIDTH A::J RESTRICTED LATERAL
CLE/ RANGE
DISTANCE I
IRAfflC I AN!
TO Olr.lKl'C
(n)

• N CAPACITY
AND E XI' RES'

IDGE
I ION

;:.;.• SERVICE v. :.u;:;.s OF uiviDLO
>'.,Y.YS -HTM UNINTERRUPTED FLON
AHJUS1MINT IACIOR," 1C, IC'T. LANE WIDTH AND LATIKAL

0!'S1
ON
12-1T
LAM-S


TCTION ON ON'r SIDI OF
--DHilCIION ROADSVAV
1I-FT
1 ANI5
10-n 9-rr
LANli LA.SLS

ORST RUCTION'S ON IX)
; , .. L . . ,' \ l ^
CI I. \KANCF

TM SIDLS OF
ONl-niitlCTION KOAWVAY
12-fT 11-FT 10
LAM5 LANLS LA
-FT 9-tT
Nf.S LANLS
(a) 4-LANL DIMDID FKUWAY, ONE DikrcnoN OF TRAVEL
6
4
2
0




1.00
0.99
0.97
0.90
0.97
0.96
0.94
0 87
0.91 0 SI
0.90 0 80
0 88 0 79
0.82 0.73
1.00 0.97 0.
0.98 0.95 0
0.94 0.91 0.
0.81 0.79 0
91 0.81
c'9 0.79
86 0.76
74 0.66
(!>} 6- AND 8-l.AM DIVHMD I'lurv.'AY, O-;i. DmrrnoN OF TRAML
6
4
2
0




1.00
0.99
0.97
0.94
0.96
0.95
0 93
0.91
0 89 0 78
0 88 0 77
0.87 0 76
0.85 0.74
.TO 0.96 0.
0 98 0.94 0.
0 96 0.92 0
0 91 0.87 0.
89 0.78
87 0.77
85 0.75
81 0.70
• Some adjustments for capacity nnd .nil levels of service.
Fable A6. AVERAGE GENERALIZED ADJUSTMENT FACTORS FOR TRUCKS
FREEWAYS AND EXPRESSWAYS, OVER EXTENDED btCTION LENGTHS2
PERCENTAGE OF
TRUCKS, PT
on
FACTOR, T, FOR ALL LEVELS OF SFRVICE


TRUCKS, PT
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
12
14
16
18
20
LEVEL TERRAIN
0.99
0.98
0.97
0.96
0.95
0.94
0.93
0.93
0.92
0.91
0.89
0.88
0.86
0.85
0.83
ROLLING TEKRA1N
0.97
0.94
0.92
0.89
0.87
0.85
0.83
0.81
0.79
0.77
0.74
0.70
0.6S
0.65
0.63
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN
0.93
0.88
0.83
0.78
0.74
0.70
0.67
0.6-1
0.61
0.59
0.54
0.51
0.47
0.44
0.42
                        A-21

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                                                                                 I
for a road under review, it should be used instead.   Use of Figures
A2 - A5 to obtain vehicle operating speed is illustrated by this                 •
short example.  A 6-lane urban freeway with a design speed of 60 mph is          •
proposed.  The volume to capacity ratio for segment  i is 0.6.  What is
the operating speed?  Since an urban expressway is of interest, Fiqure           •
A2 is used to obtain an average operating speed of about 45 mph.
Therefore, the speed correction factor for the pollutant of interest             I
which corresponds to a speed of 45 mph would be derived from Table 3.1.2-6a      •
                                3                                                I
in Supplement Number 5 to AP-42.
     For HC's; c(s). = 0.59     (Mote that this factor applies to exhaust        I
                                 pmi<:<:irmc nf huHv^nrarhnnc nnlu ^                H
                                 emissions of hydrocarbons only.)
     For NO ;  c(s).  =1.20
           x      i
The upper curves should always be used in Figs.  A2 - A5 to estimate
operating speed unless v./c.  > 1.  In this case  service level  F (forced          I
                        i   i  —                                                   ^*
flow stop and start traffic)  should be assumed and speed cannot be               —
determined.  Occurrence of level  F in the macro  analysis would mean              *
a traffic jam lasting at least 3 hours is likely to occur.  This should          •
be grounds for redesign of the highway.
AVI.  Estimating Emissions for Micro Analysis                                    |
      Micro analysis of roadways is needed to determine the impact               _
of traffic on nearby 1-hour and 8-hour ambient concentrations  of CO.             ™
For such a purpose, two considerations are necessary.  First the levels          •
of concentration at sensitive receptors attributable to freely flowing
traffic on the most heavily used road segment of an expressway or at             |
mid-block locations on major streets may be of interest.  Second,                _
concentrations occurring in the vicinity of signalized or unsignalized           •
at-grade intersections may be critical.                                          •

                                A-22
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 APPROX.J
            0
       NO.OF

BASIC
                                                                                             1.0 PHF
INDEPENDENT
   LEVEL
    OF
 SERVICE   .
 RANGES   H
JES
4
6
8

. «i r. E V/U C9IIU C rfr


« 	 E 	 . — »
	 	 C -£—•-,- 	 D 	 -H 	 E 	 ••
••-c 	 ••)< ' D — »!«•— — 1 	 E 	 ••
• 	 A 	 ••« 	 B 	 »- 	 ^ 	 C— j 	 «"l-
4— c-^«-D±TL — -

' 	 A 	 	 -» 	 	 B 	 * ;— c~~ciir6~T



	 D— ^|- — E 	 »•
-E- 	 L-=T^C

•$— D-|L— E— »•




1.00
0.91
0.83
0.77
0,91
0.83
0.77
1.00
0.91
0,33
0.77

   i i vj *Ji •_ i \ e— ,  il\_ilULi\-'iiv>llllu/O I^/^^LVVL^V^II v I \j i u 1.1 ^y '-J I I v_l i^r f^i l^ I U I II I VJ J f-* V-. W VJ .

   freeways and expressways, under uninterrupted flow conditions.
                                                                                             . on
                                         A-23

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                                            HIGHWAY CAPACITY
      T   70
       A
       B
            60
       C  x 50
          Q.
          LU

       D  £ 40
APPROX.
            20
            10
                                            -B-
                     0.1      0.2      0.3     0.4     0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8     0.9      10
                                                 V/C RATIO
•	D-
    BASIC
INDEPENDENT
   LEVEL  _*.
     OF
  SERVICE
  RANGES

   Figure A3. Relationships between v/c ratio and operating speed, in one direction of travel, on
   multilane rural highways, under uninterrupted flow conditions.
                                      A-24
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1
1
1


-in
i i"
-|- 60
i i
— 1
- 50
i c!
• -j-B 40
D co
1 1
APPROX.
1
1
I
r|
oc
LU
Q.
o
20
10
n



.«.••• i«^^^»i»^__-
^
^x





IOC
m





% WlTu
^90%^
«**!*
^-20%_






























%^^0
^^^






	


	 U7° 	 	 "^^==^11





_____ (— - —
tcONTROLLING 0<1 °












^
S"
*+
^r
Vj\£^^"^
""
.2 0

3 0
_ LEVEL

4 0

5 0

6 0

7 0

8 0
^*^
^
»













.9 1.0
V/C RATIO
• I OF
• SERVICE
RANGES
1 Figure A4. Relationships between v/c ratio and operating speed, overall for both directions of
travel, on two-lane rural highways with average highway speed of 50 mph, under uninterrupted
flow
1
1
1
1


1
conditions.




















A-25



















































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1
1
1
1
60
£ 50
a"
UJ
UJ
5; 40
	 i
A ^
DC
h- •in
i =1
t <
DC
P LLJ
^t-o 20
D uj
j > 10
F <
I ,
LEVEL
OF
SERVICE
Figure A5. Ty
of travel, on ur
HIGHWAY CAPACITY _
_ 1
1
•
CURVE 1 - UNINTERRUPTED FLOW OR GOOD PROGRESSION
35MPHSPEEnillWIT •

CURVE II -PERFECT PROGRESSION- ""^v •
30 MPH SPEED " -^^ ^
^ — ' 9
^^-^ 1
I 	 1 .. — |— L-^-f— --"<
— — — i 	 1- • r i •
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 •
V/C RATIO | | i i I
An R >J« P • L n >J« F r
^ •*- Q - t ^ L> p 1^ LI ' 1 * L • |
1 1 1 1 ••
pical relationships between v/c ratio and average overall travel speed, in one direction •
ban and suburban arterial streets.
1
1
1
1
A-26 •
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               A.  Concentrations Attributable to Freely Flowing Traffic
                   A line source dispersion model may be used to estimate
         concentrations in the vicinity of a roadway accommodating such traffic.
•       Since line source models are capable of distinguishing conditions among
         traffic lanes and variations among lanes may alter predictions, it
•       would be preferable to do a lane-by-lane analysis for emissions.  In
•       doing so, the relationships expressed in Equations (A2) and (A3) should
         be recalled.
I

I

         The basic equation for obtaining line source emission rates by
•       lane is:
                        q.. = (1.036 x 10~5) (EF)..  (v../S..)            (All)
                          IJ                       J    * J   ' (.J
         where

                              segment i,  gm/sec-m
•                   (EF).. = speed corrected emission factor, am/min-veh
                              for vehicles in lane j of segment i
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                               m
                        Vit  Yi vijt                                  (A2)
                        Cit       cijt                                  (A3)
                        q.. = line source emission rate in lane j  for road
                        v.. = traffic volume demand in lane j,  segment  i,  vph
                        S.. = vehicle operating speed in lane j  segment i,  mi/hr.
                         ' J
             (1.036 x 10" ) = conversion factor from ^~p to
                                         A-27

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                                                                                  I
               1.  Traffic Volume Demand Per Lane (v^)                            I

                   The total  traffic volume demand of road segment i

can be estimated for 1 and 8-hour periods by beqinnina with (AADT) .                I

and rrulti plying by peak seasonal  adjustment factors.   Since CO is the             _

pollutant of concern, whether or  not photochemical reactions are                  ™

prevalent need no longer be a factor in choosina the  maximum seasonal             V

adjustment factor.  The peak seasonal average daily traffic rate would

then be multiplied by the peak weekly 1-hour (8 hour) adjustment factor.          g

Thus,                                                                             ..
v.  = (AADT).  /Seasonal  Adjustment^/Fraction Peak 1-hr Demand is \

                                                                                1
              .                                       -
                ioemand Factor      A of Peak Seasonal Daily Demand/ (/no\
  or
        (AADT). [Seasonal Adjustment) (Fraction Peak 8-hr Demand is j              •
        	1 \Demand Factor	Mof Peak Seasonal Daily Demand/              •
                                    8                 "               (A13)

  where v. - traffic volume demand for road segment i, vph.                       |

If the information concerning diurnal and weekly variations in traffic            «

patterns is insufficient to use Eqs. (C12) or (A13), information

                                      5                                           •
contained in a report prepared for EPA  may be used to derive EQS.                •

(A12a) and (A13a).


  v. = (.094)  /Seasonal Adjustment] (AADT).                                       •
   1           VDemand Factor      '                                  (A12a)

       (.50)   /Seasonal Adjustment] (AADT).                                       I
  v. =         \Demand Factor	/	
   1                      8(A13a)


If seasonal changes are not known, it is suggested that the factors

presented in Table A7 be used in Equations (A12a) or  (A13a).                      •


                                5-28                                              _




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            Table A7.  SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT DEMAND FACTOR
'\U3cation
AADT \.
< 20,000
20,000 - 50,000
> 50,000
Urban
1-hr.
1.70
1.38
1.06
8-hr.
1.40
1.30
1.20
Rural
1-hr.
1.70
*
*
8-hr.
1.68
1.68
1.40
*Assume each lane accommodates 2000 vehicles per hour and v.  = (number

of lanes) (2000).

If the v- calculated with Equations (A12)  and (A13)  did not take account

of mass transit, the volume demand would have to be  adjusted  using

Equations (A14) and (A15).
vi=
v-Eq.  (A13)  -
                                                                     (A14)
                                 B,
                                                                     (A15)
where P = fraction of passengers normally using a private auto where
          mass transit is not available

  favo) = averaae number of passengers per auto

     B. = number of mass transit buses using road segment i  during  the
          selected 1- or 8-hour period

      T = number of passengers utilizing buses during  the selected  1-
          or 8-hour period

v. would then be apportioned among the lanes in segment  i  in accord-

ance with such locally determined considerations as  presence of bus

lanes and volume demand at nearby exits and entrances.   Care should be

taken that Eq. (A2) is satisfied in apportioning traffic demand for

segment i lanes.

                               A -29

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   24
   22
   20
   18
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of
o
   14
co
co
   10
    T
                            T
                  10     15      20     25     30      35

                                     VEHICLE SPEED, mph
40
45
50
55
60
       Figure A6. Composite emission factors for carbon monoxide for calendar year 1975.
                                      A-30
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                              2 .   Operating  Speed  Per  Lane  ( S . . )
                                  Operating  speed  nay  be  estimated by  v. ./c-- ratio
•
        and the average highway speed.  It can usually be assumed that the
•
        could be estimated using Eq.  (A16).
•
               average  highway  speed  is  the  same  for all  lanes.  The c.. for each  lane
                    c...  =  2,000  W...  T...                                             (A16)
               The  values  of  c..  calculated with  Eq.  (A16)  should be checked with
                              U
               Eq.  (A3)  to make  sure  c.  is not  exceeded.   If the capacity of the
      I       segment  is  less than the  sum of  the  lane capacities, the capacity of
               the  lane  adjacent  to a lateral obstruction  should be reduced.  Once
        v-./c. . is known for each lane, S.. may be estimated using the appro-
        priate one of Figures A2 - A5.
                       3.  Speed Adjusted Emission Factor (EF). -
       •                          Figure A6  plots CO emission factors as a function
               of  operating  speed  for  a vehicle mix of  light-duty vehicles (composed of
       •       88% cars  and  12%  light  trucks) during 1975.  Once the operating speed has
I               been determined,  (EF).. may be obtained  from Figure A6.  If some year
                                    J
               other than  1975 is  of interest, the appropriate CO emission factor may
       •       be  estimated  using  Eq.  (A17).
              where
                    (EF)    is  the emission factor for the year of interest;
       —            (EF)75  ^s t'1e  ^975 emission factor obtained from Figure A6;
       *            (ef)  is  the value of the CO emission factor found in Tables A3
       •                 for the year of interest.
                                                A-31
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      "55" is the CO emission factor for an average trip with a  1975
mix of vehicles.  It should be noted that the emission  factor in Fig-
national average mix of model  years is inappropriate,  local  emission
factors, reflecting a more appropriate mix can be  derived  by following
                                             3                       ~
procedures outlined in Supplement 5 of AP-42.    If the assumption  of
                                                                              I
                                                                              I
ure A6 corresponding to 0 mph is indicative of stop-and-start traffic         _
rather than idling.  The emission factors obtained using Figure A6 and        ™
Eq. (A17) are appropriate for a national  average mix of light-duty            fl
vehicles in which 20 percent of the vehicles are operating  from cold
starts and driving cycles are similar to  that used in the 1975 Federal        |
               4
Test Procedure.   Ambient temperatures are assumed to range from 68-86°F.      _
Such assumptions may not be appropriate for an individual  location.   If a      '
                                                                              •
20 percent cold starts or of ambient temperatures of 68-86°F is                _
inappropriate, derived emission factors can be corrected using  Equation        ™
(3.1.2-2) and Tables 3.1.2-7 or 3.1.2-8 in Supplement 5 to AP-42.3  This       •
procedure was followed in deriving the correction factors for CO emission
in Section 4.4.1  of the Indirect Source Guidelines.   If the driving cycle     |
(i.e., the mix of vehicle operating modes) at a location is not  well           _
                                                            4                 •
represented by that used in the 1975 Federal  Test Procedure,  the EPA         m
Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis Model,   may be used  to            •
estimate emissions resulting from any sequence of operating modes.
This procedure was followed for signalized intersections in deriving          •
the curves for signalized intersections in Section 4.1.
                                                                             I
                                 A-32                                        •
                                                                             1

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I
•                 B.   Concentrations  in the Vicinity  of At-Grade  Intersection
                       Equations (A12)  and (A13)  may be  of use  in  estimating
•       traffic volume demand at intersections.   However, estimating  resulting
         emissions at  an approach or at approaches  to  intersections  is  more
•       complicated than it is fcr freely flowing  traffic.   Two major  types  of
•       intersection  approaches are of interest:   signalized and  non-signalized.
         A signalized  intersection is  distinctive in that queuing  may  occur at
m       discrete time intervals (i.e., during  the  red phase  of the  signal) and
         traffic may be freely flowing  much of  the  rest  of the  time.   A non-
I
         signalized  intersection  approach  (e.g., one having a STOP sign), however,
         is  likely  to  experience  queuing at  irregular  intervals.
                       One  approach which  has  been  suggested   fcr estimating
•       emissions  at  signalized  intersections  is to consider emissions at each
         intersection  approach  to  be  the sum of two components.  The first com-
••       ponent  consists  of emissions which  would occur  if there were no impedence
A       to  traffic  flow  caused by the  light.   These emissions are estimated
         using  Equation (All).  The second component is  that attributable "excess
•       emissions"  occurring at  each approach  to an intersection ever a finite
         distance defined by the  average queue  length  accumulating during the red
•       phase  of the  signal.   Excess emissions occur  for three reasons:
•                         (1)  As a  result  of  higher  emission factors attributable
         to  accelerating  vehicles;
•                         (2)  As a  result  of  vehicles  staying in the approach
         longer  (i.e.,  when idling during  the  red phase) than is the case under
•       free-flow  conditions;  and
I                                      A-33

I

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                                                                                  I
                  (3)   As a result of closer spacing  between  idling                •
vehicles than would occur with freely flowing traffic.
              The first step in estimating "excess  emissions" is  to                II
estimate the average queue length accumulating during the  red phase  of
the signal,  equation  (A18) provides a means for doing  this.                       |
                         1
                        i J
     L.. =              i                                            (A18)
       J        CPH
where                                                                             •

     L. . = average queue length of vehicles  accumulating  at  approach i,            fl
       ^   lane j during the red phase of a  traffic signal,  m                     |
     v.. - traffic volume demand at intersection approach i, lane j, vph          .

 (G/C ). = green time to signal cycle ratio  at approach  i, dimensionless          *
       D =
           vehicles,  m
     CPH = number of  signal  cycles  per hour,  hr~
       D = spacing (tailpipe-to-tailpipe)  between consecutive  queuing             ft
                                                                                 •
                                                                                 •
              Calculation of queue length using Equation  (A18)  is
straightforward at an intersection where the traffic signal  is  a  fixed-          •
time one.  However, the use of Equation (A18) is more complicated  for a
traffic actuated signal.   This is because the G/C  ratio  and signal               I
cycle length vary depending upon the traffic demand and the  distribution         •
of demand among the approaches to the intersection.  Detailed discussions
                                                                    8  12  13
having traffic actuated signals are available in several  references.  '    '
on how to estimate G/C  ratios  for the approaches  to  intersections                •

                                                                                 I
                                                                                 I
The following discussion briefly outlines the procedure which can be
used for relatively simple signalized intersections.   The discussion is
followed by a short numerical example.

                               A-34                                               §
                                                                                 I

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I
•                       (1)  Estimate the capacity (consistent with Level  of
        Service E) for each intersection approach as if the intersection did
        not exist.  This can be done using Equation (AID)  and Tables A5 and A6
        as appropriate.
•                       (2)  Estimate volume demand-capacity ratios (v/c)' for
•      each approach, using the capacities estimated in Step (1).
                         (3)  Note the intersection leg having the  highest (v/c)1
•      ratio for each phase of the traffic signal.
                                                   i
                         (4)  Add the highest (v/c) 's for each phase of the
•      signal.  Add "0.1" to the total  to account for the time that the signal
•      is amber.  The sum is the (v/c)'  for the intersection.
                         (5)  If the (v/c)' determined in  the previous step is
•      less than "1," the intersection  is able to accommodate traffic at the
        specified Level of Service (i.e., Level  of Service E) or better.
•                       (6)  Apportion  the difference between "1"  and the
•      intersection's (v/c)' (estimated  in Step 4) among  each phase at the
        intersection in proportion to the maximum (v/c)' estimated  for that
•      phase to determine how the excess G/C  is apportioned among phases.
                         (7)  Add the results of Steps (3) and (6).  The sum
*•      is the computed G/C  for each approach to an  intersection having a
•      traffic actuated signal.
        This seven-step procedure is illustrated for  the intersection sketched
•      on the following page.

•                                     A-35

I

I

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Example.   For four 1-lane approaches  to  an  intersection  having  a  two-

phase cycle, what is the G/C  for each  approach  given  the  volume  demands

shown in  the sketch?  Assume the unimpeded  capacity  is 2000  vph/lane.




         N          Leg (1)
VA = 1100 vph
         /D = 500 vph'V-

                Leg (4)
                        Phase I:   Green light
                        for approaches L) and b,

          Leg (2)

          .  ) VB = 400 vph
                                       Leg  (3)


                                  = 700 vph
                        Phase II:   Green
                        light for  approaches
                        A and C.
              (1)  cft = CB = cc - CD = 2000 vph

              (2)  (v/c)'A = 1100/2000 = 0.55

                   (v/c)'   = 400/2000  = 0.20
                         D

                   (v/c)'c = 700/2000 = 0.35

                   (v/c)'D = 500/2000 = 0.25

              (3)  For Phase I, the highest (v/c)'  is (v/c)'D = 0.25

                   For Phase II, the highest (v/c)'  is (v/c)'A = 0.55

              (4)  Therefore, (v/c)' for the intersection is 0.25 +

                   0.55 + 0.1 = 0.90.  The l!0.1" is  used to account

                   for the time during which the signal  is amber.

            (5-6)  For Phase I, excess G/C  = ( ^  55)(1-.90) = .03

                   For Phase II, excess G/C  = ( £1 55)(1-.90) = .07

              (7)  Therefore, for approaches A and C,

                   (G/C )TT = 0.55 +  .07 = 0.62 and
                       y ii                	

                   for approaches B and D,

                   (G/C )j = 0.25 +  .03 = 0.28

                               A-36
 I
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1
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1

After the
(A18) can



green time to signal cycle ratio has been estimated, Equation
be
used to estimate queue lengths occurring at each approach
to the intersection. The excess emission intensity to be
the queue

Equation

qij
applied for
length L,. • in lane j at approach i may be estimated using

' j

(A19).



(EF).. 1-G/C 0.5(EF)'.. (1-G/C .
\ ij/ y i + TJ y i
60D 60D

(A19)
~~ J
where q..
= 1
ine source emission intensity to be applied over a queue
length, L.., in lane j at intersection approach i, gm/sec-m;
' J
(EF)
i J
1
60
D
= average emission factor for acceleration and decelerating
vehicles over the estimated queue length, gm/min-veh;
-1 -1
= conversion factor from min to sec ;
= spacing between successive vehicle tailpipes i
n the queue,
assumed to be 8 m/veh;
0.5

= constant denoting that the average vehicle in


only there for 1/2 of the signal's red phase,
the queue is

dimensionless;
(EF)'.. = emission factor for idling vehicles in the queue, gm/min-veh;
G/C
y
intensity

= green time to signal cycle ratio at approach i
, dimensionless
Tables A8 - A12 depict queue lengths, excess emission
over the queue length and emission intensity resulting from


freely flowing vehicles at approach speeds of 15, 20, 25,
respectively.

30 and 35 mph
For lanes which are downstream from intersections,
ordinarily the emission intensity associated with freely flowing traffic
1



1
should suffice. The emission intensity values in Tables A8 - A12 are
appropriate for a 1975 national average mix of light-duty







A-37

vehicles, 20%




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Table A8 (continued). EFFECT ON SOURCE STRENGTH OF SIGNAL CYCLE LENGTH, TRAFFIC DEMAND, GREEN TIME, AND APPROACH SPEED -- APPROACH SPEED 15 mph
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A-39

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Table A9. EFFECT ON SOURCE STRENGTH OF SIGNAL CYCLE LENGTH, TRAFFIC DEMAND, GREEN TIME, AND APPROACH SPEED -- APPROACH SPEED: 20 raph
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A-47

-------
of which are assumed to be operating  from a  cold  start  in  ambient
information is obtained.
                               A-48
                                                                              I
temperatures ranging from 68°-86°F.   For different years,  vehicle mixes,
percentages of cold starts,  procedures  similar  to those  described in           •
Section 4.4 should be followed to derive correction  factors  which can  be
                                                                              ^^
                                                                             1
applied to the emission intensities appearing in Tables  A8 -  A12.
For ambient temperature ranges outside of the range for  which Tables
A8 - A12 apply, Section 4.4 or Supplement Number 5 to  AP-42 should  be
used to derive correction factors as needed.   Referring  to Tables              I
A8 - A12, the column labeled SCL is the signal  cycle length in
seconds.  TD is the traffic demand in hundreds  of vehicles per hour           •
(i.e., TD = 2 is equivalent to 200 vph).   QLNTH is the average queue           •
length forming during the red phase, in meters.  FLSI  is the  "finite
line source intensity" attributable to idling,  accelerating and decel-         •
erating vehicles (gm/sec-m) and is applied only over the queue length.
ILSI is the infinite line source emission intensity attributed to cruising     M
vehicles, gm/sec-m.  The ILSI is applied over the queue  length as well  as      •
upstream and downstream from the queue.  To illustrate the use of
Tables A8 - A12, the emission intensities and queue lengths appro-             •
priate for the intersection legs sketched on  page A36  will be obtained.
Assume, for illustrative purposes, that the approach speed for each           m
of the intersection approaches is 25 mph and  the signal  cycle length
is 100 seconds.  Note that for approaches A and C, G/C  = 0.62, and
for approaches B and D, G/C  = 0.28.  Since the approach speeds are all        •
assumed to be 25 mph, Table A10 applies.   From Table A10, the following
                                                                             I
                                                                             I

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                                          A-49

-------


1
The information obtained from Table AID may be interpolated to estimate
queue lengths and emission intensities for each Ten of the intersection fl
shown below.


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A-50
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-------
I
•                      Frequently,  it  should be sufficient to use the traffic
          parameters  in  Tables A.8  -  A12 most, closely corresponding to those which
•        are  observed.  Thus, in  the above example,
                        For Approach A, G/C  =  .6, V = 1200 vph, L - 106.7 IP, the
•        emission  intensity over  the finite queue = Q, + Qp = .0207 gm/sec-m, and
I
          the emission intensity elsewhere in the lane (Q0) = .0086 gm/sec-m.
                        For Approach B, G/C  = .3, V = 400 vph, L = 62.2 m, the
I        emission  intensity  over the  finite queue = Q, + 0- =  .0161 + 0029 =
          .0190  gm/sec-m, and the emission  intensity elsewhere  in the lane  (O^) =
                       For Approach C, G/C  =  .6, V = 800 vph, L = 71.1 m, the
          .C029 qm/sec-ni.

I
          emission intensity over the finite queue = Q,  + Q~ - .0116 + .0057 =
•        .0174 gm/sec-m, and the emission intensity elsewhere in the lane (Q-)  =
          .0057 gm/sec-m.
1                      For Approach D, G/C  = .3, V = 600 vph, L = 93.3 m,
•        emission intensity over the finite queue = Q,  + Go = .0168 + .0043 =
          .0211 qm/sec-m, and the emission intensity elsewhere in the lane (Qp)  =
•        .0043 gm/sec-m.
                        The foregoing discussion of estimating emissions at  signalized
B        intersections has ignored the impact of good signal  progression by assum-
•        ing that vehicles are equally likely to arrive at an intersection  during
          red and green phases.  Good signal progression, however, could result  in
•        a greater proportion of vehicles arriving during the green phase than
          would otherwise occur.  In such a case, the excess emissions due to
•        idling and acceleration/deceleration would be  less,  and would occur over a

                                            A-51
I

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                                                                                I
shorter queue length.   To illustrate the impact such signal  progression          —
would have, suppose the traffic signals upstream from approaches  A-D            ™
in the previous example were coordinated in such a way that  80 percent          jl
of the traffic arriving at the intersection does so when  the light is
green.  Considering only Approach A, this means that 20 percent of the          Q
1200 vph arrive during the red and amber phases rather than  the 40              _
percent which would occur if traffic arrived uniformly and G/C  were            *
0.6.  Hence, from Equation (A18) the queue length L would be                    A
         L = V-^V^uuMuy  = 53 m                                  (A18)         g
where the "0.2" is substituted for (1-G/C ).   In other words,  this  is
equivalent to setting G/C  equal to 0.8 with  uncoordinated signals.               I
Therefore, one can account for good signal  progression in estimating the
infinite and finite line source emission intensities by using  the information    •
for G/C  = 0.8 in Table A10.  Thus, the emission intensity over the  53 meter     •
                                                                                 I
queue would become Q, + Q? - .0078 + .0086  =  0164 gm/sec-m and the  emission
intensity elsewhere would be .0086 gm/sec-m.                                      •
              The procedure for estimating  emissions at non-signalized inter-
sections differs from that at signalized intersections, because queuing may      m
occur continuously.  Further, traffic is more likely characterized  by            •
stopping and starting motions as traffic moves up position by  position in
the queue.  The average length of a queue accumulating during  an entire          •
hour (i.e., not just during the red phase of  a traffic signal) nay  be
                                                   9                             •
obtained from queueing theory using Equation  (A20).                              m

               c.. (c.. -v..,  J                                   (A20)
                                                                                 I
                               A-52

-------
 I
 I
I
I
           where L.. = everage queue length in lane j at approach i, m;
                 v.. = traffic volume demand in lane j, approach i, vph;
 •              c.. = approach capacity for lane j at approach i, vph;
                   D = spacing assumed between vehicle tailpipes, m/veh.
 I        Emission intensity over the queue length is given by Equation (A21).

 I
                    qi:j = (EFJ.../60D                                          (A21)
           where (EF).. = emission factor for stop-and-start traffic having an average
 •                       speed approaching 0 mph, gm/min-veh
                      D = spacing between the tailpipes of vehicles in the queue,
 •                       in/veh
 •                1/60 = conversion from min~  to sec"
                    q.. = emission intensity in lane j  at approach i, gm/sec-n.
                     ' J
 •        The impact of accelerating and decelerating  vehicles would occur over
           a distance immediately downstream and upstream from the queue respec-
 •        tively.  This existence may be estimated using Equation (A22).
•              ^.. ....   l(Fina1  Velocity)2  -  (Initial  Velocity)^
                Distance =
•         where Distance is  in  meters.
                 The velocity terms  are  in m/sec.
                                                  12
                 The acceleration  term is  in  m/sec .
           Emission intensity over the distance  obtained  with  Equation  (A22)
9         may be approximated using Equation (A23).

I
                                                                              (A22)
                    q...  = (1.036 x 10"5)  WJ..  V.../S...                        (A23)
           where
                 (EF") • .  =  the average  emission  factor  for  a  vehicle  accelerating
                          (decelerating)  between  initial and final velocities
                          designated  in  Equation  (A22),  gm/min-veh
                                          A-53

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         v. •  = traffic volume demand,  vph
         S..  = approach speed x 1/2,  mi/hr
                                A-54
I
I
The value of TEFL- could be obtained by using the  Automobile Exhaust        V
                              10
Emission Modal Analysis Model.     If it is not feasible to use the
modal model, average trip speed emission factors  similar to those  used
in Equation (All) would have to suffice.  This would result in under-        ^
estimating emission intensity just downstream from  the intersection           ™
approach.  Equation (All) may be used to estimate emission intensity          •
at all other locations on the roadway.
                                                                              I
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 I
                                      REFERENCES

         (1)  40 CFR 52; "Approval  and Promulgation of Implementation Plans--
 Q      Review of Indirect Sources"; Federal  Register; (July 9,  1974);
 _      p. 25292.
 *      (2)  U.S. EPA; Office of Federal  Activities; Guidelines  for Review
 flf      of Environmental Impact Statements, Volume 1, Highway Projects;
         (September 1973).
 0      (3)  U.S. EPA; "Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors"
 m      Publication No. AP-42 (Second Edition) U.S. EPA, OAWP, OAQPS,
 *      Research Triangle Park, N.C.  27711 (Supplement No.  5, In Press).
 •      (4)  40CFR 85; "1975 Federal Test Procedure"; Federal Register; 36_;
         No. 128; (July 2, 1971).
         (5)  Thayer, S. C. and J.  D. Cook; "Vehicle Behavior in  and Around
 _      Complex Sources and Related Complex Source Characteristics:  Volume  6-
 "      Major Highways"; FPA-450/3-74-003-f ;  National Technical  Information
 •      Service, Springfield, Va.  22161.  (November 1973.)
         (6)  Tittemore, L. H., M.  R. Birdsall, D.  M. Hill and R.  H. Hammond,
         "An Analysis of Urban Area Travel  by Time of Day," Report Mo.
•       FH-11-7519, U.S. DOT, FHA, Office of Planning, Wash., D.  C.  (1972).
™       (7)  Mr. Robert Probst, Federal  Highway Administration,  Personal
•       Communication.
         (8)  Highway Research Board.   "Highway Capacity Manual  1965";  Special
|       Report 87; NAS-NRC; Washington,  D. C.; (1965).
I
I
I
A-55

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                                                                           I
(9)  Hillier, F.  S.  and G.  J.  Lieberman;  Introduction  to Operations         _
Research; Hoi den-Day, Inc., San  Francisco,  Ca.;  Ch.  10;  (1967).             •
(10)  Kunselman,  P., H. T.  McAdams,  C.  J.  Domke  and  M. Williams;            •
Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis  Model;  EPA-46Q/3-74-005;
January 1974); National Technical  Information  Service, Springfield,         Jj
Va. 22161.                                                                 —
(11)  Patterson,  R.  M.  and  F.  A. Record;  "Monitoring and Analysis  of        •
Traffic Characteristics at  Oakbrook";  EPA-450/3-74-058;  (Nov.  1974);        •
National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Va.  22161.
(12)  Leisch, J.  E.; "Capacity Analysis Techniques for Design  of            I
Signalized Intersections";  Public Roads 34, Nos.  9,  10 (Aug. &
Oct. 1967).                                                                •
(13)  Traffic Institute, Northwestern  University;  "Capacity Analysis        •
Procedures for Signalized Intersections"  Publication No. 3900.
(14)  Ashby, H. S.,  R.  C. Stahman, B.  H.  Eccleston,  R. W.  Hum;             J
"Vehicle Emissions-Summer to Winter";  Paper No.  741053 Presented at
the Society of Automatic Engineers Automobile  Engineering  Meeting;         •
Toronto, Canada;   (October 21-25, 1974); Society  of Automotive               •
Engineers, Inc.,  400 Commonwealth Drive,  Warrendale, Pa.   15096.
(15)  Williams, M. E.,  J. T. White, L.  A.  Platte and C.  J. Domke;           I
"Automobile  Fxhaust Emission Surveillance -- Analysis  of the FY72
Program";  EPA 460/2-74-001; (February  1974); National  Technical             •
Information  Service, Springfield, Va.   22161.                               •
                                A-56
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 I
_

I
                               SUPPLEMENTAL REFERENCES
          (1 )   Traffic  Information Requirements for Estimates of Highway  Impact
 I       on Air  Quality. Air Quality Manual Vol.  Ill, FHWA-RD-72-35.  Prepared
          for  Federal Highway Administration, Office of Research, Washington, D.C,
 I       (2)   Lynch, Kevin, 1962.  Site  Planning.  The M.I.T. Press,
 mt       Massachusetts  Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusette.
          (3)   Benioff,  Barry and Ahmad Moghaddas.  February 1970,  "Stopped
 •       Vehicle Spacing on Freeways," Traffic Engineering.
          (4)   Automobile Exhaust Emission Surveillance.  May 1973.  Prepared
 |       for  Environmental Protection Agency by Calspan Corporation.
 _       PB-220-755.
          (5)   U.  S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Public Roads, Highway
 I       Statistics, GPO, Washington, D. C.
          (6)   May,  D.  A., "Traffic Characteristics and Phenomena on High
 |       Density Controlled Access Facilities."   Traffic Engineering, 31:
 -       No.  6,  11-19,  56 (March 1961).
          (7)   Keefer,  L. E., "The Relation Between Speed and Volume on Urban
 V       Streets,"  Quality of Urban Traffic Service Committee Report, HRB,
          37th Ann.  Meeting (1958) (unpubl.).
          (8)   Webb, G.  M. and K. Moskowitz, "California Freeway Capacity
          Study--1956."  Proc. HRB, 36:   587-642 (1957).
          (9)   Edit, L.  C., R. S. Foote,  R. Herman, and R. Rothery, "Analysis
V        of Single-Lane Traffic Flow."   Traffic Engineering, 33:   No. 4, 21-27
          (January 1963).
I
                                         A-57

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     APPENDIX B.  METHOD  FOR ESTIMATING GROUND TRAFFIC

                  EMISSIONS FROM AIRPORTS
This appendix is intended to provide guidance concerning a
more detailed analysis of proposed indirect sources should
this be necessary or desirable pursuant to 40 CFR 52.22(b),
The materials contained herein are offered as suggestions.
Alternate analytical approaches for evaluating the impact
of a proposed source may be used if it can be demonstrated
that they are more applicable to the source under review.
         U.  S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
      Office of Air Quality Planning  and Standards
         Research Triangle Park,  N.  C.   27711

                       January 1975

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 I
                                      APPENDIX B.
               METHOD  FOR  ESTIMATING GROUND TRAFFIC  EMISSIONS  FROM AIRPORTS

              The purpose  of this  Appendix is  to  provide  a means  -For  estimating
 I      emissions from ground traffic at airports which  handle  primarily  commercial
 M      carrier-tyoe  operations.   It  has been estimated  that within  the  next 10
         years, 112 new airports of this  nature are  likely to built.   Consequently,
 I      the development of major  new  airports to handle  commercial carriers  is  a
         relatively rare event, and it is likely  that  a detailed  environmental
         impact statement  would be reauired to accompany  the development of each
 _      such airport.   Aroonne National  Laboratory, under contract to the Fnviron-
 *      mental Protection Agency, is  preparing a methodology for assessina the
 •      many impacts  arising from development of a  new or larger airport.  The
         air pollution  impact is discussed in  detail in /"PTD 1470.    The accomoany-
         ina analysis  is intended  to provide sugoestions  for fulfilling the more
 _      limited ooal  of estimating emissions  of  pollutants -from  nround traffic
 *      which can ultimately be used  to  assess the  impact of the airport  on  air
 tt      Quality.   The  methodology for estimating emissions from  ground traffic  at
         airports  is summarized in Section PI.  The  remainino sections provide
         suggestions  for  implementing  the methodolcny  in Section FI.
 _       BI.   Summary of  the  Methodolory for  Estimating Fmissions Associated
              with  Airports
 •            A.  Macro-Analysis
                 1.  Obtain  the parameters indicated  as essential from Table Dl.
 I
I
I
B-l

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                                                                                   I
                      2                                                            I
         2.   Use AP-42  to obtain  emissions  from relevant  stationary  sources.       |



         3.   Use Table B2 to estimate appropriate emission factors  for  light-       M



duty vehicles in 1975.  Use Equations (B3)  - (E5) for  emission  factors  for



other years.   Correct for cold starts-cold  temperatures  and altitude  using          I

                                                                            c       B

guidance in  Section 4.4 of the screening  procedure or  Supplement  5  to AP-42.



         4.   Estimate traffic demands.                                              |



             a.   If trip data are  available  from the developer,  use                «



Equations (B7) - (B12).                                                            *



             b.   If trip data are  not available but population  data are,            •



use Equations (B13), (B13a), (B14),  (B17) -  (B19) to estimate ADT and then



use Equations (B7)  - (E12).                                                        J



             c.   If neither trip nor population data are available, use            _



aircraft operation  data.  Use Table  B4,  (B17)  - (B22), (B13),  (B13a)  and            •



(B14) to estimate ADT.  Then use Equations  (B7) - (B12)  to estimate traffic         •



demands of interest.



         5.   Estimate running times.                                               •



             a.   Running time within the  airport.  Use Equation  (B24) to            _



estimate a typical  running time after using  Equations  (B24), (B25)  and              *



(B27) - (B31) (for  non-signalized  intersections) or (B32)  (for  signalized          •



intersections) to determine running  times for  vehicles going through  each



entrance/exit gate  and base running  time.  Estimate average running time            •



with Equation (B33).



             b.   Impact of the airport on emissions within 3 miles  of the          •



airport.                                                                           I



             Estimate typical vehicle speed  and travel distance based on



design information  on planned and  existing  access roads  and the                    I
                                 B-2
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         distribution of volume demand over each road segment.  Follow the pro-


_       cedure outlined in the macro-analysis section of Appendix A.


™                6.  Estimate emissions using Equation (Bl) plus emissions from


•       stationary sources.


              B.  Micro -Ana lysis


•                Refer to the micro-analysis section in Appendix A to estimate


         the  impact of freely flowing and/or queuing traffic on nearby CO


•       concentrations.  The procedure is as follows:


•                1.  Estimate traffic demand for each lane j in road segment i


         using Equations (A12) or (A13).  If necessary, adjust the demand for the


•       impact of mass transit using Equations (A14) or (A15).  Apportion demand


         among lanes, making sure that Equation (A2) is satisfied.


•                2.  If the analysis does not concern an at-grade intersection,


•       estimate capacity of the road segment using Equation (AID) and the lane


         capacities using Equation (A16).  Check that Equation (A3) is satisfied.


•       If not, adjust the lane capacities so that Equation (A3) is satisfied.


                  3.  Determine volume to capacity ratios (v-./c--) for each lane.
^H                                                           ' J  ' J

•       Given the type of road and the average highway speed, use the appropriate


•       one  of Figures A2-A5 to estimate vehicle operating speeds in each lane.


                  4.  Use Figure A6 to estimate the speed corrected 1975 emission


•       factor for each lane.  For years other than 1975, adjust this factor with


         Equation (A17).  Use guidance in Section 4.4 of the screening procedure or
I
Supplement 5 to AP-42  to correct for cold starts  and ambient temperatures,


as needed.
                  5.  Use Equation (All) to estimate the line source emission


•       intensity of freely flowing traffic.





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         6.  For at-grade signalized intersections, use information               •
concerning signal cycle lengths and green time to signal  cycle ratios
to estimate queue lengths with Equation (A18).  Consider emissions to             |
be the sum of those from freely flowing traffic and excess  emissions              —
occurring over the queue length.   Estimate emissions from freely flowing          ™
traffic using Equation (All), and excess emissions using Equation (A19).          •
Alternatively, use the information in Tables A8-A12 directly to estimate
appropriate emissions and queue lengths.                                          I
         7.  For non-signalized intersections, estimate the average               _
queue length using Equation (A20).  Use Equation (A21)  to estimate the            ™
emission intensity over the queue at the intersection approach.  Estimate         •
the distance over which vehicles  may accelerate and decelerate using
Equation (A22).  The emission intensity over this distance  is obtained            I
using Equation (A23).  Use Equation (All) to estimate emission intensity
elsewhere.                                                                        •
BII.  Key Operating and Design Variables                                          •
      In a report prepared for EPA , one of three sets  of airport utiliza-
tion parameters is considered to  be an essential prerequisite for estimating      I
emissions from ground traffic associated with airport activities.  The
preferable set would be trip data.  If these data are not available, then         •
data concerning airport population or aircraft operations would have to           •
serve as the starting point for deriving trip data and  ultimately emission
data.  In any case, certain airport design information  should be required         •
from developers.  This design information should include a  schematic
                                 B-4
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          layout of the airport with  approximate  dimensions  indicated,  the  number of
 •        public parking spaces available,  number of parkinp lot  oates,  nate capaci-
          ties,  terminal curb frontaar and  frontage road  capacity.   Table BI sumna-
 •        rizes  needed  parameters  which should  be supplied.   Referrino  to Table HI,
 •        parameters in oroup ID as well  as a complete  set of group  IA  or B or C
          parameters are essential.   It would be  desirable to have the  information
 I        specified in  group II "useful"  parameters for the  individual  airport
          planned.   However, if this  information  is not available, estimates can
 |        be obtained from the data Gathered for  EPA for  13  major airports.   If the
 •j        planned airports would not  cater  primarily to commercial carrier  operations,
          certain of the ''useful parameters" in Table PI  would become essential
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since the approximations in this appendix are based on observations at
airports servicing primarily commercial carrier operations.
     A.  Emissions from Stationary Sources
         1.   Hacro-Analj/'sis
             For the 'area-wide analysis" required in the Federal reaula-
     4 .
•        tions   it  is  only  necessary  to  estimate  total  emissions  arising  from  airport
          related activities.   In  this  type  of  analysis,  one  need  not  be overly
          concerned  with  the spatial distribution  of  emissions.  Since CO,  photo-
chemical oxidants and T!0  are of most concern, emissions of CO, total
                        A
hydrocarbons and P!0  are of nrime interest.  The only two types of stationary
                   /\
I        sources,  associated with airports, which  may  be  significant,  are  combustion
          sources and  refuse incinerators.  Estimates  should  be  made  of the tons
          (coal  or  refuse), gallons  (oil) or cubic  feet  (gas)  of material likely  to
                                           B-5

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                                                                                   I
be consumed in a year.  This estimate can be made using degree-day data            •
and the anticipated size of facilities.  Annual emissions of CO, HC
emission factors presented in tables in Chapters 1 and 2 of AP-42.2
and NO  from these sources may then be estimated using the appropriate            I
                                                                                  I
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Since stationary source emissions associated with the airport are likely
to be small compared with those from mobile sources, daily emissions from
combustion sources could be estimated by dividing the annual  amount of
fuel consumed by days in the heating season.  Daily refuse consumption             I
would simply be the annual figure divided by days in the year.  Similarly,
unless better information is available, uniform emission rates throughout          |
the day would probably suffice.                                                    «
         2.  Micro-Analysis
             A more detailed look at stationary sources of CO may be required      •
in the micro-analysis for peak CO concentrations.  Procedures for estimating
maximum ground-level concentrations resulting from elevated point sources of       |
emissions are presented in Volume 10 to the Guidelines for Air Quality
                                 5
Maintenance Planning and Analysis .
Bill.  Emissions from Mobile Sources
                                 P-6
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     A.  Macro-Analysis
         The major impact of the airport on air ouality will arise from
mobile sources.  Equation (Bl) is used to estimate the emissions from
mobile sources.
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Table Bl . COMMERCIAL AIRPORT PARAMETERS
ANALYSIS

I. Essential Parameters
Parameters
A. Trip Data
--ADT
B. Passenger/Employee/Visitor
--Average Daily Airport
Population
--Estimated Fraction of
Passengers on Through
Flights or Transferring
Planes
NEEDED FOR AIR QUALITY IMPACT

Remarks
Average daily trip generation
rate, where a "trip" is a one-
way trip to or from the airport.
A round trip would be 2 "trips."
Parameters
Includes passengers, visitors
employees.
This parameter could vary
markedly depending on airport
location.
-- Fraction of Passengers
Accommodated by Mass Transit
-- Number of Buses
C. Aircraft Operations
--Annual Number of LTD
Cycles
--Estimated Passenger
Seats per LTD Cycle
--Number of Airport
Employees
F'-7

One LTD cycle is one landing
plus one takeoff.
This depends on the mix of
commercial aircraft classes.
This parameter is needed because
there is no clear-cut relation-
ship between employees and
aircraft operations discernible.


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Table Bl (Continued)

         D.  Design Parameters

             --Number of Public Parking Spaces

             --Number of Gates

             --Gate Capacities

             --Gate Traffic Control  Characteristics

             --Number of Employee Parking Spaces

             --Terminal Curb Frontage

             --Terminal Frontage Road Capacity

             --Plans and/or Blueprints
Remarks
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 For example, green time to signal
 cycle ratios and signal cycle   •
 lengths                         |
To provide a schematic
picture of access roads,
traffic lanes, and the
dimensions of the com-
plex.
    11.   Useful Parameters

         --Peak Daily Airport Population

         --Peak and Average Daily Passenger
           Population

         --Peak and Average Daily Visitor
           Population

         --Vehicles/Airport Population

         --Peak and Average Daily
           Employee Population

         --Peak and Average Daily
           Vehicle Population

         --Percent Peak 1-hr, and 8-hr.
           Vehicle Trips of Peak Daily Trips

         --Percent Peak 1-hr, and 8-hr. Employee
           Trips of Peak Daily Trips

         --Percent Peak 1-hr, and 8-hr. Passenger
           and Visitor Trips of Peak Daily Trips

         --Percent Vehicle Trips from 6-9 A.M.
           of Peak Daily Vehicles Trips

         --Peak Daily, Hourly and 8-hr. LTO's

         —LTO's from 6-9 A.M. on Peak Day

         —Typical Percent of Aircraft
           Seating Capacity Filled
                                  c-e
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Table Bl  (Continued)

    II.   Useful  Parameters  (Continued)              Remarks

         —Vehicles/Ho

         --Peak  Daily Trip  Rate

         --Peak  Hourly Trip Rate

         —Peak  8-hr. Trip  Rate

         --Peak  Trip  Rate  (6-9 A.M.)

         —Peak  Trip  Rate  (6 P.M.-6 A.M.)

         --Yearly Trip Rate

         --Base  Running Time at Airport   Typical running time by a
                                         vehicle with no congestion.

         --Average Speed on Airport       Outside of the airport but with-
           Access Roads                  in  three miles of the boundary.
                                B-9

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0,, =
          (EF)(V)(RT)
            216,000
                       Airport
                                        K-l
                                    (dk) (ef) (C(S)k) (Vk)
(Bl)
     Q,. = emissions from mobile sources gm/sec

     EF = emission factor gm/veh-min

      V = traffic demand, vph

     RT = typical vehicle running time, sec

      M = total  number of road segments within area of interest

     d.  = length of road segment k, mi

     ef = emission factor for appropriate year and pollutant, gm/veh-mi

          (obtained from Table A3, Appendix A or if the assumptions in

          Table  A3 are inappropriate, from Supplement 5 to AP-42 )

(C(S),) = speed  correction factor (from Supplement 5 to AP-42 )

   (V. ) = traffic demand on road segment k resulting from airport

          traffic plus other traffic, vph
   j—QQQ- = conversion factor from *i  ,— to gm/sec
     1
   3600
= conversion factor from hr~  to sec"
The first term in Equation (Bl) estimates emissions within the bounds of

the airport, while the second term covers emissions outside of the airport

but within a 3-mile radius of the property line.
                                 B-10
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 I                1.   Calculation of Emission Factors (EF)
                       Since the designated area of interest with regard to estima-
 '       ting airport-related emissions is anywhere within  3 miles of the airport,
 •       a variety of emission factors may be needed to account for different
          operation speeds.   For example, speeds near 0 mph  may be assumed in the
 •       parking lots while somewhat higher speeds would be expected to occur on
          access roads.  In  Table B2, the emission factors were obtained using
 •       Table A3, speed correction factors derived from Tables 3.1.2-6a and
 •       3.1.2-6b in  Supplement 5 to AP-42  and Equation (B2).

 -                    EF =  (cf)(ef)(Speed)/60                                 (B2)

               where   EF =  emission factor, gm/min-veh
 •                    cf =  the speed correction factor
 •                    ef =  the emission factor in gm/mi-veh and
                  "Speed" =  the assumed vehicle operating speed, mph.
 •        If the projected mix of vehicles utilizing the airport has an important share
          of heavy-duty vehicles (e.g., buses), or is unusual  in some other respect,
 •        Supplement 5 to AP-42  should be used to derive a  more appropriate factor.
 •        The resulting value would be substituted for "EF"  in Equation (B2) and  for
          the "Table A3 value" in Equations (B3) - (B5).   This procedure assumes  the
 I        variation of heavy-duty emission factors with speed is similar to that  for
          light-duty vehicles.  The preceding discussion has assumed that 20% of  the
I        vehicles are operating from cold starts  and that the area is relatively near
•        sea level.   Further the effect of ambient temperature (T) on emissions  may
          introduce an additional correction factor.   This is  of particular importance
I        for CO, and  the discussion in Section 4.4 concerning CO correction factors
          should be referred to.  The effect of ambient temperature on HC and NO
                                                                               |X
          emissions can probably be ignored.   The  data concerning NO  emissions vs.
                                                                    /\

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        Table B2.   AVERAGE EMISSION FACTORS FOR HIGHWAY VEHICLES*

\
Pollutant
CO
Speed
\(mph)
0
20.0
5 10
19.5 19.0
20
18.0
30
17.2
40
16.5
45
16.4
HC's
(exhaust + crankcase
and evaporation)+

NOX

(as N02)
              2.24    2.47    2.80    2.99    3.22    3.38
               .36
.69   1.33   2.16   3.09   3.60
*Numbers are in gm/min-veh for a 1975 national  average mix by model year of
 light-duty vehicles (88% cars, 12?^ light trucks).

+Non-exhaust HC emissions do not vary with vehicle speed.
If some year other than 1975 is of interest, emission factors for that

year may be obtained as shown in Equations (B3) - (E5).


                    /Table A3 Value      \
     For CO:  EF =
If or  Year  of  Interest/
 	55
   /Table B2 Value for\       (B3)
   \Speed of Interest /
   For HC's:  EF =
/Table  A3  Value       \
\for  Year  of  Interest/
        7.7
   /Table B2 Value for
   \Speed of Interest
                                                                       (B4)
    For NO :   EF =
          X
/Table A3  Value
yfor Yearof Interest/
        4.0
   /Table B2 Value for\       (B5)
   \Speed of Interest )
                                P-12
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          ambient temperatures  are  ambiguous,  while  HC  (as a  precursor of oxidants)
 _        is  chiefly of  interest  at relatively high ambient temperatures.  If ambient
 ™        temperatures exceeding  100°F were  common, it may be  necessary to introduce
 •        a  correction factor for HC emissions.    Supplement 5  to AP-42  contains a
          more complete  discussion  of how  HC emissions vary with temperature.   It
 I        should  also be pointed  out that  if it  is determined  that extra emissions
 _        attributable to cold  starts and  cold temperatures only occur for a relatively
 *        short time (e.g.,  4 minutes),  higher emission  factors should be used  only
 •        until a typical  vehicle becomes  warm.
                   2. Calculation  of Traffic Demand  (V)
 •                    There are  three basic approaches  which  can be taken to
 _        estimate ground traffic demand generated by the airport's presence.
 •                    a.  Trip Data
 •                        First, and most preferable, one can work directly with
          expected trip  generation  rates provided  by  the developer.  This type  of
 •        information could  take  2  forms.  Ideally, the  trip generation estimates
          would correspond to the periods  of interest specified by applicable air
 •        quality standards.  On  the Federal level, this would mean:
 •                        (1)  For carbon monoxide:
                               The peak hourly  trip  generation rate;
 •                             the peak 8-hour  trip  generation rate.
                          (2)  For hydrocarbons and  photochemical oxidants:
•                             Peak trip  generation  rate from 6 A.M. to 9 A.M.;
                               peak daily trip  generation rate.
                           (3)   For  NO  :
                                     X
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I                              Annual  average  daily  trip  generation  rate.
I
                                          B-13

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                 Estimates of this sort may be difficult to obtain,
however.   Annual  averaoe daily trio Generation estimates may be all              I
that are possible.   If this is the case, data comniled ^or EPA3 for
                                R-14
                                                                                 I
                                                                                 I
a sample of airports would he used to infer trip neneration rates for
appropriate periods.  Equations (B7) - (B12) provide means for estimation
trip generation rates for various periods of time.  Equations (B7) - (B12)
were derived usino Tables 12 and 16 in reference 3, information about the        I
relative numbers of nassenoers, visitors and employees on neak and
average days and the assumption that employees and visitors'  trips are           •
two-way.                                                                         •
                 Peak Daily Trip Pate, POT = .05^ /ynj                (B7)
                 Peak Hourly Trin Rate = .07° POT = .11? APT         (BR)        I
                 Peak P-f'our Trip Rate = ."PI POT = .003 APT         (B9)
                 Peak Trip Rate = .o/<0 PDT = .050 />ni                (BIO)       I
                 (6-9 A.:1.)
                 Peak Trin Pate = .0?q RDT = .n?r. ^rrr                (Bill       I
                 (£ P.M. - * -V.)
                 Yearly Trir -ate - .043 APT                         (Bl?)       I
The annronriate units for the le^t-hand sides of Eauations (R7) - (PI?)
are in vehicles per hour (vnh).  ACT in Equations (P7) -  (Dl9) is the            •
annual average dailv trip rate, trips/day.                                       •
                 k•  Airport Population nata
                     In some instances, a dpveloner ma.*/ only have airport        •
population estimates rather than direct estimates ahout trip neneration
rates.  Airport populations are divided into 3 distinct catennries:              •

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          nassenners, visitors and employees.  Obviously, if there is
          information available about peak an^ tvnical numbers "'"or ^ach cateoorv,
•        this should be useH.  Otherwise, the information in Tablo P3, vhich has
          beon compiled from a sannle of 1" naior airoorts, '-'ill havp to suffice
I        for estimating neak and tvnical numbers of nessonnprs, visitors and
•        employees present.

I
                    Table  B3.  ESTIMATES OF  PEAK AND  TYPICAL  NUMBERS
I                             OF  PASSENGERS, VISITORS AND  EMPLOYEES

I        -
•                             Fraction of a Typical  Day's  Airport  Population
                                 Passengers         Visitors         Employees
•        Typical  Day                 .45                .33              .22
          Peak Day                   .60                .52              .23

•                         Estimation of traffic volume from population data proceeds
          as follows.   First, the number of passengers, visitors  and employees  on
•        peak and typical  days are computed  by multiplying  a  typical  day's  airport
          population by the appropriate factors in  Table  B3.   The  second step is to
          estimate the number of vehicles used by  nassenoers, visitors  and employees.
•        For passenpers,  this number is nreat.lv  dependent on the-  fraction of nassen-
          qers simply transferrinn planes or on  a  throuoh-flioht.   These oassengers
I        do not generate  any oround traffic at  all.  This fraction varies nreatly
•                                       P-15

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depending on the location of the airport.   It is essential  that the               •
developer provide an estimate of the fraction of throuqh or transferring
passengers in order for the control  anency to successfully  relate airnort         I
population to vehicle population.   Once the faction of transferrinci
and through passenqers is known, Equation  (R13) may be used to estimate           |
the number of vehicles used by passengers  and visitors.                           «

         (Veh)   = .75 (total passenoprs ner day) H-T)              (B13)        I
              pv                    •                                              g

   where (Veh)   is the number of vehicles used ner day bv                         |
              P  passenqers and visitors:
              T is the fraction of through and transferring nassenqers:           •
              The parameter (Ven)    can be adjusted to reflect increased
              use of mass transit by aonlyino Equation (P13a).                    •

                                                                                  I

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     where     b = fraction of nassenners  usino pass transit
               P = number of buses running durino nerio--1 of interest              •

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Next, average daily traffic  (AnT) can be estimated from the information
present in Table B3, Equations  (P13) and  (Bid).  In estimatino ART, .it            I

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         (Veh)DV  =  .75  [(total  nassenoers)  (1-b)]  (1-T)  +  F           (P13a)
          (Veh)E =  .82  (rumher of  Employees  Present  ner  Hav
is necessary to apportion O'eh)    amono  nassenoers who nark their

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          vehicles  and those who are dronoed off or nicked un by visitors.  From
 •       Table P<3,  the total  nunber of nasseneers orininatino or terninatinq
          their flinhts at the airnort on an averane dav is:

 •                F - .45 (Total  Avr.  POD.) (1-T)                             (P15)

 I       total  number of visitors is:

 I                V - .33 (Total  Ave.  Ron.)                                   (Rlf.)

          Thus,  the  fraction of vehicles  driver by visitors of the total  nunber
 •       of  vehicles  driver, by passengers  and  visitors  is:
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                    v    ".33  + ."5
and the fraction driven bv nassenrers is-
F  = -ij ^'-! ;                                               fPTQl
     .33 + .*F (1-T)                                         l  ' ''
          r,
          If  the  assmpticr  is n'ade  that  vehicles  driven  hv visitors anH ennloyees
         n>ake  2  trips  per  day  (one  corinn,  one  ooina)  anc^  vehicles  Driver bv
•       passenoers nake 1  trip/day,  then  the averane  cailv traffic is niven by
         Equation  (HI0).

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         APT = 2Fv(Veh)Dv + Fp(Veh)DV + ?(Veh)E                      (B19)
         Daily LTO Cycles = ^.nual LTO r^rcTes                        (B20)
airport.  Table BA presents different classes of aircraft and the mean
of mixes observed at & lame airnorts .
                                                                                  I
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The results of Ecuation (HI 9) can now be used in Fcuations (R7) - (R12)           I
to estimate traffic volumes  for annronriate oeriods of interest.
                 c .  Aircraft Operation Pata                                      •
                     The third and least nreferable approach for estimating       •
traffic volume is to use aircraft operation data to estimate nround
traffic demand generated by nassenoers and visitors tonether with                 •
employee data.  As v/ith the other two approaches, if the develoner is
able to nrovice reliable estimates o£ the various 'useful parameters" in
Table Bl , these should be used directly rather than derived usinn infor-
mation based on EPA's limited sample of airnorts.  Startinn v/ith the
annual number of LT^ cycles  (1 Landinn + 1 Takeoff Operation), the                 •
averane daily number of LT^ cycles would simnlv be:
                                                                                  I
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The other ream'red parameter, passenrer seats ner LTO cycle, can be                •
estimated by anticinat.inn the 'mix11 of aircraft likely to be usino the
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             Table  B4.   AIRCRAFT CLASSES AND THEIR OBSERVED

                        UTILIZATION AT FOUR LARGE AIRPORTS

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Aircraft
SST
Jumbo Jet
Long-Range Jet
Medium- Range Jet
Turbo-Prop
Business Jet
Piston Engine Utility
Seating
Capacity
136
490
129
116
61
10
1
% of LTO's
at Airport (1969)


38%
49%
13%



                 In the absence of no re specific data ^ron the developer,

Table B'1 is used to estinate a tynical  runner of passeraer seats ner

aircraft of about 115.  This is equivalent to ?30 nassenner seats per

LT^ cycle.  To estinate the number of nassenners ner LTO cycle, data

provided by the developer on -Fraction of seatino canacitv utilization

v;nuld be useful.  If this information is unavailable, information
                3
compiled for FPA  indicates that in 197H approximately 47'' of seats

were filled.  Hence, one should use Equation (B,?l) or (!•??) to esti>ato

the number of passenners per [J^ cycle.
                                n-19

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                                                                                I
                         Passenqer           Fraction of                         I
         P/LTC)   ,  =    Seats Per           Seating                 (B21)       •
              cycie      LTO Cycle           Utilized
                                                                                 I
     where P/LTO cvc-]e "is the number of passengers per LTD cycle.                 •
Using data compiled for FPA , Equation (B21) becoires
                                                                                 I
         P/LTO = (230)(.47) = 108                                    (B22)
                                                                                 I
Combining the results of Equations (B13), (B14), (B17), (B18), (B19)             _
and (B20), one pets:                                                             "

                                                                                 I
         ADT = .75 (Daily LTO Cycles) (P/LTO Cycles) (1-T)[F  + 2F ]
                                                            p     V   (B?3)      •
                   + 1.64 (Number of Employees)                                  '

                                                                                 I
Once the average daily traffic volume is obtained from Equation (B23),           •
Eouations (B7) - (B12) can be used to estimate traffic demand for
the appropriate period of interest.                                              I
         3.  Calculation of Punning Time(RT)
             Total running time is the sum of running time associated            |
with two types of traffic.  The first is the amount of time a vehicle's          •
engine runs within the boundaries of the airport.  The second is the
amount of time it takes a vehicle to reach a distance of greater than            I
                                                                                 ^^»

                                                                                 |
                                                       •
3 miles ( the distance cited in the Federal regulations  from the
airport bounds).
                                B-20                                             |

                                                                                 I

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                                  pT
                      RT  =
I
•                   Running time within the airport bounds is the  sum  of  the
        "base runninn time" plus any additional tine required to enter  or  leave
I      a parking lot caused by conoestion.

I

I
                     Referrinq to Equation  (R2^)»  "BR.T" is the base runninq
•      time required for a vehicle to arrive, enter, move to a parkinq space,
        park, unpark, move to an exit lane, exit and depart from an airport
•      parking lot.  The base runninq time can be estimated by studyina the
•      physical configuration of the proposed airport and its parkinq  lots.
        An example of the procedure v.'hich mi'qht be follov/ed in cstimatirq  base
m      runninq time from the airport's physical configuration and  applicable
        traffic regulations is illustrated  in Equations (p?Fa) - (P25h).
                             Distance between entrance and nearest
        Base Approach Tine , ^                    L                      (R?5a)
         n,™  r^^,,™ T,-      Number  of  entrance  lanes  at, nain  nate
         Rase  Entrance Time  =
|


I
                              (Main  entrance  rate  capacity,  veh/sec

        Base Mov-ent In Tin,e -  1 •5  &^


•      Base Parking Time = 5-10  sec

•      Base Unparking Time = 5-10  sec                                        (D25e

•                                       B-21


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                                                                                    I



                                                                                    I
                                      i o r^ r*^n  (**i  IOT ^*o *~A ^ "i ^ f^ v n  r ^                ^^^
                                    	 	_ ._._ _"*_,_"_   	.	 ._ '^/ 	 ^  ,  .'_*_.. m^.     f Q t) C -p j
                                     'sneed  linit in 1pt)               '"""  •

                                                                                    I
*ase fxit Tire = ^
                 (am exit  rate  canacit'',
                                  lanes  at na-jp rate)
                                                                                    |
                       "'istancp  hetvepp riaip pxit -pd ^earpst
Pase >naptups Ti                      access
                                                                       r



            (D25f) •+
                     ^  ip  rnuatTOP  Cn?/1^  -is thp nean extra mrninn
                                  sneed lirit, P/SPC                   ''" ''''       •





                                                                                    I




                                                                                    I




                                                                                    I
scent in f-.xit or entrance  oueues.   ler each nor-s"1 nnanze^  oxit/ertrapce           '"•


oate, i, runninc tisne  snept  in  a  ruoue is estimate'"' usinn ?,r  rpnation              •

                    TO                                                               m
fror nueuinn theorv




                                  ,        *                                        §
              ^: }  =:    __             _    ; v./c_.  ^   _PD             ,P07/

                                                                                    I



              (PT0)1. =  runninri  tire snort in pupun at natc- i,  rpc                   •


                 v. =  enterinn  or  pyitirn traffic volure •"•enand


                       at natp  i ,  veh/hr.                                           •
                 c- =



                       . . .



traffic volume denand  durinn  the  tire neried cf irtpr^st  is  apportionpd           •



anona nates.  Tf this  ?stiratp  ^'s unavailablp fron ^pvoloners,  r>uations
_____________
*A separate analvsis  is  r.ppded  ^or enteripn and
                                                                                    I


                                                                                    I


                                                                                    I

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 I
 I
 m        (P28) or (B29) should be used to estimate the traffic volume demand at
 •        gate i.

                        Iv [-Capacity of acc£ss road i       ->
                   vi ~ v Lz (Capacity of all access roads)J

 "        Or, if there are 2 or rrore pates exiting onto the same access road
 •        (or if access road capacity is unknown),

                   vi = V r\-                                              (B29)
                          all i1
I
          It should be noted from Aquation (P30) that as v. approaches c.,
•        (RT ). becomes very large.  The following suggestions are therefore
          made.
                   (RTQ). = 3GOO(20/Ci), .95 < v./c. <_ 1                        (B30)
                                                     v./c. > 1                  (B31)
 I

 I                                r        (v.-c.
                    (RTQ). = 3600   20/Ci + -f—2-

                        Ecuation (B31) assumes the length of the line e.t
 •         exit/entrance is small at the beginning of the time period of interest.
 •         If this assumption were not valid, Eouation (B31) should be altered as
           shown in Equation (B31a).
I
                                           P-23


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                                                                                  I
                                                                                  I
           (RT ).  * We.  * (averare 0"eug length )_  .   u_/c  >,         (B3)a)    «
                                                                                  l
  Excess  runninn time  spent enterinq  or  exitinq  from a  narkino  lot  Kith
  sionalized exit/entrances  ray be estimated  usinq  Fauation  (B32).                 •
                                               vc
 v/here                                                                            •
          (P.T ). = excess runninn tine snent exitinn or enterinn at
                   exit/entrance i,  sec j                                         J
              Cv = siqnel  cycle length, sec                                       _
              c'  - uninneded  capacity at ?  sionalized  intersection                 *
                   apnroach,  vph                                                   B
              o  = amount  of  oreer. tire per sional  c.vcle  ^or  the
                   intersection annroach  O-P interest,  sec                          £
           G/C^   ~  opppr, ti>e to  sinnal  cycle  ratio, dir^nsionless                 —
              v  =  traffic derand at  the  intersection  approach of                  ™
                   interest, vnh.                                                  M
                                                           11                     "
Equation (P32) is adanted fron concents exnrossed hv  "pvell   cen-
cerninc tipps spent by vehicles at approaches to r,inpalizrd intersections.        I
The averaoe runninr tine s^ent in nneues in Fquation  fP°M is ^irmly


                                                                                  1
                                R-?4

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               all.
vhere I = the total number of exit and entrance rates.

     ^'-  Micro-Analysis

         If it is of interest, to estimate neak TO concentrations in the

vicinity of exits/entrances to narMno lots,  in the vjcim'tv o* Access

roads or at nearbv intersection snnrr.ac^r?,  it is essential  that emission

estimates from traffic ir traffic lanes Treated near by the  receptor of

interest be estimated.  Tvo situations are nf oeneral  interest:  the case

where traffic flows freely by the recentnr;  and the case where  ououes

form in the vicinity of the receotor.   At traffic lanes within  or adjacent

to the airport parkino lot, the impact of freely flowiro and/or oueuinq

vehicles on C^ concentrations in the vicinity of the lanes  should be added

to CO concentration estimates obtained usinn  an area source  me^el  relation

the source's size and emission dersitv to Cn  concentrations, and aeneral

background levels.  More details concernina  this orocedure  are  nresented

in Appendix K.  The first terr in Fouation (PI) may be  Hivided  by th°

area of the narkinn lot to obtain an estimate of emission density, as

shown in Couation (P34).
         n = imivKfli.                                            (B3M
              ^16,000 A                                              l    J
                                B-25

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                                                                               I
where 0 = emission density, gm/sec-m                                           m
      A = parking lot area, m
All other terms are as defined for Equation (Bl).                               •
         The discussion in Appendix A concerning micrcscale impact             •
analysis may be used to estimate the impact of freely flowing or queuing
traffic on nearby CO concentrations.  Equation (All)  is used to estimate        •
emissions from freely flowing traffic.  If traffic in the vicinity of a
signalized intersection is of interest, excess emissions over a finite          I
queue (obtained using Eauations (A18) and (A19)) are  added to emissions         m
estimated for an infinite line source of freely flowing traffic with
Equation (All).  Emissions at a non-signalized intersection may be              •
approximated with Equations (A20)  - (A23) and with Eouation (All).
     C.  Emissions Outside the Airport but within a Three-Mile Radius           •
         of the Airport Boundary                                                m
         Since there is a need to  estimate the aggregate impact of
airport-related emissions in the vicinity of the airport, a methodology         •
is suggested for doing so.  Emissions covered by the  methodology relate
only to those generated by vehicular traffic going to and from the               |
airport.  Other emissions, such as those oenerated by stationary sources         m
like motels and service industries, are not considered in this treatment.
Specific treatment of the impact of such facilities or of traffic related        •
to them which is not directly dependent on the airport is not possible

result of the dependence of subsequent development on existing land use          M

                                B-26                                              •

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  ™      patterns in the airport's vicinity, future land use plans and the
  •      availability of appropriate services located elsewhere.
                   In estimating vehicular emissions outside the airport boundaries,
  •      the traffic volume assumed should be the same as that estimated within
          the airport for the period of interest.   This traffic volume should then
  •      be apportioned among roads comprising the road network within 3 miles
  M      of the airport.  Traffic volume not related to the airport but using
          network should be estimated using the methodology described in the
  fl      macro-analysis section of Appendix A.  The traffic volume to and from the
          airport during periods of interest should be superimposed upon these
  u      estimates to obtain total traffic volume demand on each road segment,
  *      (V,).  The resulting volume demand should then be used, in conjunction
          with the segment's capacity (C.) to estimate average operating speeds
  •       and speed adjusted emission factors for  each road segment, as described
          in Appendix A.  The resulting emissions  obtained from Equation (81)
 1
should be compared with those which would result without the presence
of the airport in order to assess the net impact of the airport on
CO, HC and NO  emissions.
             A
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                                                                                  I
                             REFERENCES                                           •

(1)  Norco, J.E., R.R. Cirillo, I.E.  Baldwin and J.W.  Gudenas;  "An  Air            |
Pollution Impact Methodology for Airports and Attendant Land Use--Phase  I";        —
APTD 1470 (January 1973).                                                          •
(2)  Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors,  EPA Publication               •
No. AP-42 (Second Edition), (April  1973).
(3)  Thayer, S.D.; "Vehicle Behavior  in and Around Complex  Sources  and            |
Related Complex Source Characteristics:  Volume I--Airports"; EPA-450/3-           m
74-OQ3-b;(August 1973); National Technical  Information Service,  Springfield,        "
Virginia 22161.                                                                    V
(4)  40CFR52; "Approval and Promulgation of Implementation  Plans:   Review
of Indirect Sources";  Federal  Register; (July 9, 1974);  P.25292.                    |
(5)  U.S. EPA, Office  of Air and Waste Management, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality  Maintenance  Planning           •
and Analysis, Volume 10: Reviewing  New Stationary Sources";  EPA-450/4-74-011;       jf
(September 1974); Air  Pollution Technical Information  Center, Research
Triangle Park, N.C.  27711.                                                        |
(6)  U.S. EPA; "Compilation of Air  Pollutant Emission  Factors";
Publication Number AP-42;  Supplement  5 to the Second Edition; (In Press             •
1975); Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Research Triangle                A
Park, ;i. C. 27711.
(7)  Williams, M.E., J.T.  White, L.A.  Platte and C.J.  Domke; "Automobile            f
Exhaust Emission Surveillance—Analysis of the FY 72 Program";  EPA-460/2-
74-00]; (February 1974); National  Technical  Information Service; Springfield,        •
Virginia  22161.
                                 B-28
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  •      (8)  40CFR85:  "1975 Federal  Test Procedure";  Federal  Register  36 No.  128;
          (July 2, 1971).
         (9)   Ashby,  H.A.,  R.C.  Stahman,  B.H.  Eccleston, R.W. Hum; "Vehicle
         Emissions—Summer  to  Winter";  Paper No. 741053, presented at the Society
 •       of Automotive Engineers Automobile Engineering Meeting, Toronto, Canada
 •       (October 21-25,  1974);  Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc.; 400
         Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale,  Pa.   15096.
 •       (10)   Hillier, F.S. and G.J. Lieberman; Introduction to Operations Research;
         Holden-Day,  Inc.;  (1967);  Ch.  10.
m       (11)   Newell, G.F.; "Approximate Methods for Queues with Application to the
         Fixed Cycle  Traffic Light"; S. I. A.  M. Review; 7 No. 2;(1965).
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     APPENDIX C.  METHODS FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS IN VICINITY

                  OF REGIONAL SHOPPING CENTERS
This appendix is intended to nrovide ruidance concerning a rore
detailed analysis of proposed indirect sources should this he
necessary or desirable pursuant to 40 (TR F2.22(h).   The pateria^s
contained herein are offered as suoqestions.Alternate analytical
approaches for evaluatinp the impact of a proposed source nay be
used if it can he demonstrated that they are  rore applicable to the
source under review.
                 I'.  S.  Fnvironmental  Protection Poency
             Office  of /*ir duality Plannina end Standards
             Research Triangle Park,  f'orth Carolina  27711
                          January 197E
                              C-i

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                                     APPENDIX C.
                    METHODS FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS IN VICINITY
                             OF REGIONAL SHOPPING CENTERS

              The purpose of this Appendix is to provide a means for assisting
  I"
         air pollution control agencies, applicants and consultants to estimate
 •      CO emissions in the immediate vicinity of a regional  shopping center.
         A regional shopping center is thought of as one having more than 300,000
 •      square feet of gross leasible floor space and characterized by at least
         one or two major department stores.  The major difference between
 d      regional and community or neighborhood shopping centers, other than
 M      size, is tenant mix.  Generally, the tenant mix at the smaller shopping
         centers results in shorter visits and, therefore, smaller accumulations
 V      of vehicles within the parking lots.  If it is possible to obtain an
         estimate of average daily trip generation rates and diurnal and
 |       seasonal usage patterns for a proposed community or neighborhood
 M       shopping center, the methodology described in Appendix C could be
         applied to these smaller centers as well.  If it is necessary to
f         estimate HC and NO  emissions at the shopping center, emission factors
                           x
         should be obtained for these pollutants as described  in Appendix B.
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                                                                               I
If such a macro-analysis is performed,  it is  essential  that  any                •
reduction in vehicle miles traveled,  arising  from the use of the  large
regional center at the expense of a number of smaller centers,  be              m
accounted for.   This consideration is particularly crucial  for  shopping        m
centers, which  are among the most competitive of the indirect sources
considered in the Federal  Regulations.                                          •
     Section CI of this Appendix summarizes one means which  could be
used to estimate total CO  emissions arising from the operation  cf a            •
regional shopping center.   A methodology for  estimating CO emissions           ur
in the vicinity of locations likely to  experience peak CO concentrations
(e.g. exit/entrance gates, traffic lanes at nearby intersections) is           V
also presented.  The remaining portions of the Appendix discuss how
the procedures  described in Section CI  might  best be implemented.              flj
CI.  Procedure  for Estimating Emissions in the Vicinity of Regional            •«
     Shopping Centers
     1.  Obtain design and operating  parameters indicated as essential         •
in Table CI.  If possible  obtain estimates for the other parameters
which are indicated as important in Table CI.                                  |
     2.  Estimate appropriate emission  factors using modal  emission            _
model applicable for shopping centers.   If this is not possible,  use           *
Figure CI and,  if necessary, Equation (C4).  Correct for cold start-cold       M
temperature emissions using Section 4.4 in the screening procedure or
Supplement 5 to AP-42.  If the vehicle  mix is substantially different          |
from that assumed in deriving Figure CI , review Supplement 5 to AP-42          —
and derive appropriate average trip emission  factors.                          *
                                                                               I
                                 C-2
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 I
 •             3.  Estimate volume demand at the shopping center using (a) the
          developer's estimates; or  (b) Eqs. (C5a) and (C5b); or (c) Eqs. (C6a),
 I        (C6b),  (C6c) and (C6d).
 K             4.  if it  is necessary, adjust traffic volume demand to consider
          increased  use of mass transit, using Eqs. (C6e) and (C6f).
 ||             5.  Estimate Base Running Time using expressions similar to
          (C7a)  -  (C7g).
               6.   (a)   If the lot is unsupervised and the accumulation of
          vehicles  in the parking lot exceeds 80 percent of the parking capacity,
          use Table C3 to estimate a correction factor depicting the increase
          in running time attributable to the difficulty in finding and maneuvering
          into  a  parking space.
                   (b)   If the lot is supervised, use an expression similar to
— ,        (C8)  to estimate the increase in running time when the lot is completely
™        utilized.
n             7.   Use Eqs.  (CIO) and (Cll) or (C12) and (C13) to estimate entering
          and exiting traffic demands at each entering and exit gate.
£             8.   Use Eqs.  (C9) or (C14) or (C15) to estimate running time spent
          in queues at each  exit and entrance gate not having a traffic signal.
•        For signalized exits or entrances use Eq. (C16) to estimate delays
•        spent in  exit  or entrance queues.  Then use Eq. (C17) to estimate
          average running time spent in queues for all entrance and exit gates.
•             9.   Use Eq. (C18) to estimate running time associated with a
          typical one-way trip at an unsupervised parking lot.  If the lot is
w        supervised, use Eq. (C19) instead.
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                                                                                I
     10.  Use Eq. (Cl) to estimate total  emissions  at and in  the  vicinity       •
of the shopping center which are attributable to the  shopping center.
Use Eq. (C2) to estimate emission density at the shopping center.                Jj
     11.  If point sources of CO are significant, use guidance in  Vol-           —
ume 10 of "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning and Analysis"         ™
discussing stationary sources.  Add these emissions to those  estimated           B
for mobile sources.
     12.  Refer to the micro-analysis section in Appendix A to estimate          £
the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing traffic on nearby CO  con-            —.
centrations.  The procedure is as follows:                                       ™
          a.  Estimate traffic demand for each lane j in  road segment  i          1|
using Eqs. (A12) or (A13).  If necessary, adjust the  demand for the
impact of mass transit using Eqs. (A14)  or (A15).  Apportion  demand              p
among lanes, making sure that Eq. (A2) is satisfied.
          b.  If the analysis does not concern an at-grade intersection,         •
estimate capacity of road segment using  Eq. (A10) and the lane capacities       IV
using Eq. (A16).  Check that Eq. (A3) is  satisfied.  If not,  adjust  the
lane capacities so that Eq. (A3) is satisfied.                                  £
          c.  Determine volume to capacity ratios (v../c..) for each
                                                    I J  I J                      ^^|
lane.  Given the type of road and the average highway speed,  use  the            •
appropriate one of Figs. A2 - A5 to estimate vehicle  operating speeds            •
in each lane.
          d.  Use Fig. A6 to estimate the speed corrected 1975 emission          M
factor for each lane.  For years other than 1975, adjust this factor
                                                                                I
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•       with Equation (A17).  Use Section 4.4 of the screening procedure or Supple-
         ment 5 to AP-42 to correct for cold starts and ambient temperatures, as
•       needed.
m                 e.  Use Eq. (All) to estimate the line source emission intensity
         of freely flowing traffic.
•                 f.  For at-grade signalized intersections, use information
         concerning signal cycle lengths and green time to signal cycle ratios
•       to estimate queue lengths with Eq. (A18).  Consider emissions over the
•«       queue length to be the sum of those from freely flowing traffic and excess
         emissions.  Elsewhere, emissions are attributable to freely flowing
•       traffic.  Estimate emissions from freely flowing traffic using Eq. (All),
         and excess emissions using Eq. (A19).  Alternatively, use the information
W       in Tables A8-A12 directly to estimate appropriate emissions and queue
j»       lengths.
                   g.  For nonsignalized intersections, estimate the average
IB       queue length using Eq. (A20).  Use Eq. (A21) to estimate the emission
         intensity over the queue at the intersection approach.  Estimate the
|       distance over which vehicles may accelerate and decelerate using
*m       Eq. (A22).  The emission intensity over this distance is obtained
         using Eq. (A23).  Use Eq. (All) to estimate emission intensity elsewhere.
I       CII.  Identification of Key Design and Operating Variables
               Table Cl identifies key design and operating parameters which
|       should be supplied by developers of shopping centers.  Also listed in
—       Table Cl are a number of optional  parameters which should be obtained
'       if possible.
I             Physical configuration of the shopping center provides an indi-
         cation of size, arrangement of vehicles within the center and a means
                                           C-5

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                                                                                I
for estimating the amount of running time required for a  vehicle to             B
enter the parking lot, move to a parking space,  park,  unpark,  move to
an exit and exit.  Number and capacity of exit/entrance gates  are crucial        J|
parameters since highest CO concentrations are likely  to  occur in the           _
vicinity of the gates.  If the volume demand at  a  gate begins  to approach
the gate's capacity, extensive queuing is likely.   The result  is likely         9
to be a large increase in vehicle running times  leading in turn, to
greater emissions.  Configuration and lane capacities  of  access roads           jj
are important, because they may influence the demand at exit/entrance           _.
gates and provide a determinant of gate capacity.   In  addition, access
road capacity, and the approach capacity at nearby intersections on             1|
access roads are prime considerations in determining whether CO levels
will be high at the intersection as the result of  extra traffic generated        £
by the shopping center.  Gross leasible floor space and tenant mix pro-         ^
vide an indication of average trip duration and  the number of  parking           ™
spaces needed to accommodate demand and avoid congestion.  Average              •
daily trip generation rate, demand on access roads, peak  demands,
seasonal and diurnal demand patterns and distribution  of traffic among          |
gates determine the volume of traffic utilizing  the source and passing
key locations during any time of interest.  When this  information is            ™
combined with capacity information, the amount of  congestion can be             •
estimated by volume demand-capacity ratios.  Average vehicle occupancy
and mass transit usage are important in relating number of customers            p
to number of vehicles at the center.
                                C-6
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                    Table Cl .   KEY DESIGN AND OPERATING PARAMETERS FOR

                               REGIONAL SHOPPING CENTERS
                               I.   Essential  Parameters
        Parameters
                                                           Remarks
        A.   Design  Parameters

        Plans  or  Blueprints  of
        the  Shopping  Center  and
        Surroundings

        Number and  Capacity  of Exit/
        Entrance  Gates

        Access Road Configurations and
        Capacities  (by  lane  preferably)

        Nearby Intersection  Approach
        Capacities

        Gross  Leasible  Floor Space and
        Tenant Mix

        B.   Operating Parameters

        Seasonal  and  Diurnal Trip
        Generation  Rate Patterns and
        Use  Patterns  on Access Roads

        Angle  of  Parking
       Average Daily Trip Generation
       Rate
       Traffic Volurre Demand on
       Access Roads
       Average Visitor Vehicle
       Occupancy
Should include such features as
traffic lane locations, number of
lanes at gates, design of gate
approaches and design intersection
approaches on access roads.
Affects time needed to park arid
unpark vehicle.

Number of one-way trips per day.  A
trip to and from a shopping center
represents two trips by this definition
and thus counts each vehicle twice.

Denand is the sum of traffic which is
independent of the shopping center
and shopping center traffic which has
been properly apportioned among the
roads on the surrounding road net.
                                        C-7

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Table Cl . KEY DESIGN

AND OPERATING PARAMETERS FOR
1
1
REGIONAL SHOPPING CENTERS (Cont'd)




I. Essential Parameters
Parameters


Fraction of Visitors Using
Mass Transit

Number of Buses Arriving and
Departing from the Center
During Peak Daily 1- and 8-
Hour Use Periods
Green Time to Signal Cycle
Ratio to Each Approach at
Nearby Intersections
Number of Traffic Signal
Cycles per Hour at Each
Intersection

II. Additional
A. Design Parameters

Number of Available Parking
Spaces to Visitors

B. Operating Parameters
Peak 1-Hour and 8-Hour
Trip Generation Rates
Highest 1-and 8-Hour Trip
Generation Rates Occurring
During Periods when Non-shopping
Center Traffic is Greatest

Distribution of Traffic
Among Gates
Distribution of Operation Modes
Remarks









Needed to estimate approach capacities
and queue lengths at approaches during
the red phase of a signal.
Needed to estimate queue lengths at
intersection approaches during
the red phase of a signal.

Useful Parameters










Includes information about numbers of
left- and right-hand turns.
Useful in obtaining good estimates
1
m

1







1

1
Vft



t




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t
(i.e., acceleration, deceleration, for emission factors.
etc.) for a Typical Vehicle
Visiting a Shopping Center

c




-8





1

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 I
 fl       CIII.   Estimating  Emissions  in  the  Vicinity  of  a  Regional  Shopping  Center
                Two  types of  analyses  are  desirable in estimating emissions  in  the
 j§       vicinity  of a  regional  shopping center:   (1)  Total  emission  rate attri-
 _.       butable to  vehicles  and stationary  sources should be estimated;  (2)
 *       emissions in the vicinity  of  the  most  congested exits/entrances, and
 I       emissions in the vicinity  of  nearby intersections should be estimated.
                A.   Total Emission  Rate.   Total emission rate is of importance
 £       for  two reasons:
 _                  (1)  To provide a  means  (together with possible reduction
 ™       of visits to competing  shopping centers or stores) for relating  the
 •       construction of the  shopping  center with  emission density  limitations
         which may be imposed by land  use  or air quality maintenance plans, and
 £                  (2)  To provide a  means  for estimating the emission density
 ^       at the  shopping center  and its  resulting  impact on background (or
 *       representative) concentrations  of CO.
f                Volume  10 of  the "Guidelines  for Air Ouality  Maintenance  Planning
                     1
         and  Analysis"  should be consulted  if  stationary  sources of CO will be
 P       significant at the proposed shopping center.  Equation (Cl) may  be used
 ^       to estimate total emission rate from vehicles visiting a shopping center.
                n    -  (FF)(V)(RT)                                        ,m
 _              gtot    216,000                                         ^LU
                If-Q. .  is divided  by  the  area of  the shopping center and its
 •       surroundinq parking  lot, the  center's emission  density may be estimated.
I
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- (EF)(V)(RT)
~   216,OOOA
                    C-2

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where
                                        2
       Q    = emission density, gm/sec-m
                                                                                I
                                                                                I
       0,  ₯ = total  emission rate, gm/sec                                       •
        L (j i~>                                                                     ^^w
       EF   - emission factor, gm/min-veh                                       _
       V    = Traffic volume demand, veh/hr                                     ™
       RT   = Typical vehicle running time for !  trip during the period         •
              interest, sec                                                     1
       A    = Area occupied by the shopping center and its parking lot, m'"      y.
"1/216,000" is a conversion factor from ?.'" ^  to gm/sec.
       1.   Estima tiP,CJ_ Em ssio_n_Factors (EF)                                     •
           Probably the most accurate estimates of CO emission factors
at shopping centers could be obtained if typical driving cycles (i.e.,          £
amounts of time and sequence of acceleration, deceleration, steady speed        m
modes of travel) were known for shopping centers.  A typical driving
cycle could then be simulated using the EPA Automobile Exhaust Emission         ff
                    2
Modal Analysis Model  to obtain average trip emission factors for
shopping centers.  This approach has been followed in characterizing            ft
emissions at signalized intersections in Appendix A.  Unfortunately,            ~
there is not yet sufficient data available to use this technique else-
where within a shopping center.  In the meantime, use of the average trip       W
                                                   3
emission factors contained in Supplement 5 to AP-42  may have to suffice.
Figure Cl was obtained using the 1975 Federal Test Procedure emission           |
factor for CO presented in Table A3 in Appendix A for a 1975 mix of             ^
light-duty vehicles (88% cars, 12% light trucks) at sea level and               *
                                            f\
Tables 3.1.2-6a and b in Supplement 5, AP-42  to obtain appropriate speed       K

                                C-10                                            fl

                                                                                t

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           correction  factors  (C(S)).   Note  that  the  emission  factor  at  0 mph
           represents  a  factor for stopping-and-starting  traffic,  rather than
           idling.
                      If the mix  of vehicles  at the shopping center were not
           predominantly composed of light-duty vehicles  and/or  the national average
           mix of model  years  assumed  in  deriving Figure  Cl were not  appropriate,
_         Figure Cl could  not be used and it would be  necessary to refer to
•                             3
™         Supplement  5  to  AP-42   to derive  emission  factors for the  appropriate
W         mix of vehicles  utilizing the  shopping center.  The curve  in  Figure  Cl
           is  also  based on the assumption that 20 percent of  the  vehicles are
M         operating from cold starts  under  ambient temperatures ranging from
—         68°F-86°F at  a location near sea  level.  If  the assumptions concerning
™         percentage  of cold  starts and  ambient  temperature used  in  deriving an
•         emission factor  are not appropriate, correction factors can be obtained
           using  Equation  (3.1.2-2) and Tables  3.1.2-7 or 3.1.2-8  in Supplement 5
                    3
           to  AP-42.    This  procedure was followed  in deriving the correction
I
           factors  for CO emissions appearing in Section 4.4.1 of the screening
•         procedure.
Ife                   It should be pointed out that if it is determined that
           extra emissions attributable to cold starts and cold temperatures only
I         occur for a relatively short time (e.g., 4 minutes), higher emission
           factors  should be used only until a typical vehicle becomes warm.
I
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   24
   22
   20
   18
   16
cc
o
   14
Z
O
to  17
GO  **•
   10
    T
             T
                  10     15      20     25     30     35     40     45

                                     VEHICLE SPEED, mph
50     55
60
       Figure C1. Composite emission factors for carbon monoxide for calendar year 1975.
                                         C-12
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  •                 Equation (C4) should be used to estimate CO emission factors
          for vehicle mixes during years other than 1975.
  ™            FF = [calculated 1975]  /ef\
                th   [Emission Factod  \55/                                (C4)
I
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          where
                ef  = CO emission factor obtained from Table A3 in Appendix A3
                      for the year of interest, gm/mi-veh
 I
 _            "55" = CO emission factor for 1975 obtained from Table A3,
 M                   gm/mi-veh
                  2.  Estimation of Traffic Volume Demand (V)
 •                   There are three ways in which this  parameter may be  estimated.
 »       These are listed in descending order of preference.
                      a.  Use peak 1-hour and 8-hour trip generation rates
 •       (vehicles per hour) provided by the developer as the result of a bonafide
          study of the locale.   Alternatively, if traffic on the surrounding  road
 •       net is the prime consideration, periods in which the sum of shopping
 m       center traffic and other traffic is greatest would be of most interest.
          In locations where there is substantial traffic not  related to the
 •       shopping center, the  highest demand on the surrounding roads (attribut-
          able in part to the shopping center) may not occur when demand generated
 I       by the shopping center is greatest.  It has been suggested that  for such
 m       cases peak hourly traffic demands appropriate for 1- and 8-hour  periods
          on the day having the tenth highest daily demand be  used.    Such a
 •        procedure would avoid holidays and Saturdays in December when unrelated
          traffic may be light.
I
                                            C-13

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1
b. Use expected average daily trip generation rate provided •
by developer together with seasonal and diurnal usage patterns applicable
for similar existing shopping centers in the area to estimate peak 1-
and 8-hour traffic volume demand. This procedure is illustrated in
Equations (C5a) and (C5b).
(1 ) For 1-hour:

Peak Hour Demand at Existing \
V - (ADT) / Peak Seasona1 Demand! Nearby Similar Facilities
( M Adjustment Factor 1 Peak Seasonal Daily Demand©
' ' Existing Nearby Similar Facilities
where \ /
\
ADT = Average daily trip generation rate, vehicles/day
V = Traffic volume demand, vph
(2) For 8 hours:
Peak 8-hr. Demand at Existing
(ADT) Pea'< Seasonal Demand\ Nearby Similar Facilities
Adjustment Factor Peak Seasonal Daily Demand at
„ ' Existing Nearby Similar Facilities
V " 8
3. If data from nearby existing facilities are unavailable,
estimate peak 1-hour and 8-hour traffic volume demand from data com-
piled for EPA from a limited sample of regional shopping centers.
a. Weekday Peak Hour Volume: V = .16 ADT

This is assumed to occur from 8-9 p.m. within 12
o
shopping days of Christmas.
b. Weekday Peak 8-hour Volume: V - .12 ADT
1





(C5a) •
*



1

jm*


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(C6a) -
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•
1
(C6b)
j^h.
This is assumed to occur from 1-9 p.m. within 12 shopping |
o
days of Christmas.

C-14



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                     c.
                Saturday Peak Hour Volume:  V = .24 ACT             (C6c)

                This is assumed to occur from 3-4 p.m. the Saturday
                 O
before Christmas.

            d.  Saturday Peak 8-hour Volume:  V = .16 ADT           (C6d)

                This is assumed to occur from 10 a.PI. to 6 p.m.  the

Saturday before Christmas.    "V" in Equations (C6a)  - (C6d) is in vph.

        Table C2 is presented to provide an indication of ranges of

Average Daily Trip Generation Rates likely to be estimated for various

sizes of regional shopping  centers.

        If it were of interest to note the impact of increasing  the

use of mass transit at the  shopping center above the usage already

inherently included in the  developer's estimate of Average Daily Trip

Generation Rates, it would  be necessary to adjust the estimated  volume

demand.  The adjusted volume demand could be estimated as shown  in

Eq. (C6e) for one hour periods.
         where
                 V  = traffic volume demand adjusted for increased use of
•                    mass transit, veh/hr.

                 T  = number of mass transit passengers  during the 1-hour
—                    period of interest

*               P  - fraction of passengers who would ordinarily use a private
                      auto were the mass transit facilities  not available
                 avo  -  average  number  of  passengers  per  auto

                  B   -  increase in  number of  buses during  the  hour due  to
                       increased use of mass  transit,  veh/hr.
                                          C-15

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Table C2.  TRIP GENERATION DATA FROM THE COG* REPORT, AND SUGGESTED

   VALUES FOR USE, AS A FUNCTION OF REGIONAL SHOPPING CENTER SIZE


Center Size
1000's sq. ft.
300-399
400-499
400-599
700-900
1,000-1,500
Total


Number
of
Centers
11
3
10
4
2
30
II

From
Median
40
30
40
36
28

Average
(per
the COG
Mean
40
34
38
36
28

Day" Tri
1000 sq
Report
Range
16-62
38-42
18-58
18-52
26-30

p Generati
. ft. per
on Rates
day)
Suggested
Median
40
40
40
36
30

Mean
40
38
38
36
30


for Use
Range
20-60
20-60
20-60
20-50
20-30

 *Washington Metropolitan Council of Governments
                              C-16
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_        Equation (C6f) would apply for 8-hour periods.
t

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                  V' = V ' ISTT^bT
M        where
                  T = number of passengers utilizing mass transit during
H                    8-hour period -of interest
                  R = increase in number of buses during 8-hour period,
"                    veh/8-hour
W               3.  Calculation of Running Time (RT)
                     The running time (RT) for a typical  vehicle is  the sum of the
•        time it takes to approach, enter, move in, park,  unpark, move out,  exit
          and depart from the source's parking lot during periods with  little
9        congestion, plus any extra time resulting from congestion  of  the  facility
•        during peak usage periods.  The time required  during  periods  of  little
          congestion is referred to as the base running  time  (BRT) and  ideally
I        should be provided by the developer.  If this  estimate is  not available,
          it should be obtained by studying the facility's  physical  configuration.
w        An example of the procedure used in  determining BRT is depicted  by  the
•        following expressions:
                                       (Distance between  Entrance and Nearest
|                 Base Approach  Time IpS^/H^.^)^' "'        '"^
                   Base Entrance  Time "
•                 ——-  ••"-   (Main  Entrance  Gate" Capacity","  veFTsec"
                                       (Distance  from  Center  of  Lot to  Main
|              Base Movement-ln  Time  ^^^uretMcy^ffic  Lanes, m)  (C7c)
                            (Speed Limit in  Let,  m/sec)
Base Stop, Base Start Time ~5-10 sec each depended on  angle  of        (C7d)
                            parking and  lane width
                               C-17

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                                                                                   I
                              (Distance from Center of Lot  to  Main                  H
      Ra,-p MnvPfTiPnt-nut TimP -Exit Measured  Along  Traffic Lanes,  m)      (C7e)
      Base Movement-uut lime  (Speed  Limit in Lot, m/sec)                           -
                                            1                           (C7f)
              Base Exit Time ~(Main exit gate capacfty, veh/sec)
                              (Distance between  Main Exit and  Nearest              •
         Base Departure Time -Intersection on the  Access Road, m)	   (C7g)
                h              (posted speed  limit, m/sec)                           •
            Typical Base Running Times observed  at a limited number  of
shopping centers in the Washington, D. C.  area indicated a  Base Running            I
•
•
Time of about 270 sees.   In a study conducted for EPA at a regional
               9
shopping center  Pase Running Times (running time in and running time
out) averaging about 220 sees,  were observed.                                      •
            As a rule, the components of running time most affected  by
congestion are the movement-in, exit and entrance modes.  In the case              •
of unsupervised parking (e.g. shopping centers), increases in movement-
in time results from cars searching for the few remaining parking spaces.           •
Table C3 presents a series of correction factors which should be applied           •
to shopping centers and parking lots of various sizes when the accumu-
lation of vehicles in the lots  begins to approach or exceed the parking            •
lot capacity.  Table C3 is based on information contained in reference 8.
Accumulation of vehicles in the lot should be estimated from diurnal                •
                                               9
use patterns.  Limited data which are available  indicate that running             £
time begins to increase appreciably when the lot is more than 80 percent
occupied.  It is, therefore, suggested that Table C3 be applied during             II

                                 C-10                                              I

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          Table C3.  GUIDELINES FOR ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF PARKING
                     CAPACITY EXCEEDENCE ON BASE RUNNING TIME
   (1)
Gross
Leasible
Fl.  Space
103  Ft2


300 - 399
400 - 499
   (2)
Parking
Spaces Per
1000 ft. of
Gr. L. Fl. Sp.


 < 4
>_ 4,  < 6


1 6, _< 8


> 8



< 4


>_ 4, < 6


I 6> f 8
500 - 599    < 4
             > 4, < 6


             > 6, < 3


             > 8
        (3)

Ave. Daily Arrivals*
Per 1000 Ft2 of Floor
Space Per Day which
Correction Factor is
Needed	


16  arrivals/1000 Ft2-
day

23
25


Correction Factor
not needed

16


23


25


Correction Factor
not needed

16


23


25


Correction Factor
not needed
       (4)
Correction Factor
(CF) Needed to
Compute Overall
Traffic Density

of = (V *  .20  PC**,
                                                                   V

                                                              ,V + .10 PC
                                                              v    V

                                                              ,V + .05 PC
                                                                   V

                                                                   1
      V + .20 PC,
          V      '
                                                              ,V + .10 PCN
                                                              (     V     )

                                                              fV + .05 P^
                                                              1     V     >

                                                                   i
                                                 f\l + .20 P^
                                                 1     V     >

                                                 ,V + .10 PC,
                                                 {     V     '

                                                 /V + .05 PCs
                                C-19

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   Table  C3.  GUIDELINES FOR ASSESSING THE  IMPACT OF PARKING
             CAPACITY EXCEEDENCE ON BASE RUNNING TIME  (Cont'd)
(1)
Gross
Leasible
Fl . Space
103 Ft2
600 - 899


> 900



(2)
Parking
Spaces Per
1000 ft. of
Gr. L. Fl. Sp.
< 4
> 4, < 6
L 6 > < 8
> 8

< 4
>_ 4, < 6
> 8

(3)
Ave. Daily Arrivals*
Per 1000 Ft2 of Floor
Space Per Day which
Correction Factor is
Needed
14
20
21
Correction Factor
not needed
n
13
13
Correction Factor
not needed
(4)

Correction Factor
(CF) Needed to
Compute Overall
Traffic Density
,V + .20 PC
1 V
,V + .10 PC
1 V
,V + .05 PC
( V
1

,V + .20 PC
( V
/V + .10 PC
,V + .10 PC
( V
1

)


-)
)


 * Daily arrivals = (1/2)  (Average Daily Trip Generation Rate)

** PC = parking lot capacity -- the number of parking spaces
        in the shopping center lot

    V = number of vehicles to be accommodated during the hour
        of interest
                         C-20
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•       periods in which the accumulation of vehicles in the parking lots

         exceeds 80 percent of the lot's parking capacity and there is no super-

•       vision of parking.  If parking is supervised, additional  running time

         spent in the movement-in mode would occur only if the accumulation of

9       vehicles in the lot exceeded the parking capacity.   Extra time would

•       then be required to move to an auxiliary lot.  This additional running

         time, AV.J, would be estimated using an expression similar to expression

1       (C8).
1
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       tist.  from Center of Main       IDist.  between  Main  Lot
       ot to Main Lot Exit	/   \Exit & Aux.  Lot  Entrance/
"MI   (Posted Main Lot Speed Limit)    (Posted Speed  Limit)
                         |[Dist. between Aux. Lot)
                         \Entrance and Center   /                                 ( C8 )
                          (Posted Speed Limit)
_       where

™             Distances are measured along traffic lanes in meters

fl             Posted speed limits are in m/sec
                   = increase in movement-in, time resulting from exceedence
m                   of the main parking lot's capacity, sec

                     Increased running times occur in the exit or entrance modes

•       when volume demand approaches gate capacity.  When this happens queues

         form at the exit (entrance) thereby increasing running times.   The

•       increase in running time for each lane of traffic at a gate, i, having

         no traffic signal may be estimated from queuing theory using Equation
•       (C9).10
                            v.
                           (-	), Vi/   < .95                                 (C9)
                            ci -vi      ci -
                                           C-21

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                                                                                 I
      where RT   = time spent in queue, sec
                                                                                 I
            c.   = entrance or exit capacity of gate i  (obtained from
                   developer) veh/hr*
            v.   = traffic volume demand entering or leaving at gate i,          •
             1     veh/hr                         ~~
The parameter "v.." is obtained by apportioning entering and leaving traffic      £
among gates and lanes.  Ideally the apportionment of entering and exiting        «
traffic should be provided by the developer, and should reflect the
orientation of the shopping center with respect to the  population center.        V
However, if the apportionment is not provided, it may be estimated in one
of the following ways:                                                           |
                (a)  According to access road capacities.                         —
      r  _ i-c-i  (capacity of access road to gate i)                     (CIO)
       i   L J  (capacity of all access roads)•
      where
            E. = traffic entering gate i during the  1-  or 8-hour                 •
                 period of interest, veh/hr                                      •
                 total entering traffic duri
                 period of interest, veh/hr
            „  _ r-w-i (capacity of access road to gate i)               (Cll)   •   ft
             i ~ L J (capacity of all access roads)•
E  = total  entering traffic during the 1- or 8-hour                  •
      where
            X. = traffic exiting rate from gate i  during the 1- or               J|
                 8-hour period of interest, veh/hr
            X  = total exiting traffic rate during the 1- or 8-hour              •
                 period of interest, veh/hr                                      ™
                                                                                 I
*NOTE:  The demand and capacity terms in Eqs.  (C9), (C14)  and (C15)
pertain to the demand and capacity upstream from a constriction (e.g.,
an intersection or toll booth).  For example,  if traffic were entering
a lot by making a left turn from an access road, the volume of traffic
turning left and the capacity of the access road to accommodate this
traffic at Level of Service E should be used in the equations.
                                C-22
                                                                     I

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                           (b)   If  access  road  capacities are  unknown, or  if more
 I        than  one  gate  empties  onto  the  same  access  road,  traffic  can  be
           apportioned  according  to gate capacities.
                F  - fEl  (Entrance  capacity of  Gate  i)                           (C12)
                i ~ L  J  (Entrance  capacity of  all Gates)
            ,_ .  y  = ry-i  (Exit capacity of Gate i)                               (C13)
            ana  A..    LAJ  (Exl-t capacity of all  Gates)
 •        To estimate  time  spent in exit  queues, v. is set  equal to X.  and
 •        Equation  (C9)  is  used.   A similar procedure may be  followed for entrance
           queues if E. is apportioned directionally on the  access road, and the
 I        entering  traffic  volume  from each direction is set  equal  to v..  For
           entering  traffic, the  excess running time spent entering would  be the
 •        mean  value of  the excess running time spent entering entrance i from
 •        the various  directions on the access  road.  If the  entering or  exiting
           traffic at a gate is estimated  to be  greater than 95 percent of the gate's
 •        exiting or entering capacity, the excess running  time spent in queues
           should be approximated using Equation (C14).

                RTn. =  3600  \^\                  .95  < v./c. £  1               (C14)
I
           If v./c.  > 1,
RT .  = 3600
                            20
                            c.
                                ,
                                               V./C.J  >  1                       (C15)
                  M-         ^i
V         Excess  running time spent entering  or exiting  from a  parking  lot with
           signalized exit/entrances may be estimated  using  Equation  (C16).
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q'i


(C,)(c')(l - G/C )2 1800 vC 2 /ricx
y y + y (^ i°j
2 (c1 - v) c'G(c'G - vC )
J i
where (RT ). = excess running time spent entering or exiting
q at entrance/exit i, sec


C = signal cycle length, sec
c1 = unimpeded capacity at a signalized intersection
approach, vph
G = amount of green time per signal cycle for the inter-
section approach of interest, sec
G/C = green time to signal cycle ratio, dimensionless
y

v = traffic demand at the intersection approach of
'
interest, vph
1
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u^b.
Equation (CIS) is adapted from concepts expressed by Newell con- |
cerning delay times spent by vehicles at approaches to signalized

intersections.



Throughout the shopping center, average excess running



1
time spent in entering and exiting queues is given by Equation (C17).


1
Z RT . H
RTq - all.
I
where I = total


qi (C17)

number of exit and entrance gates
Equation (CIS) should be used to estimate running time

for a typical vehicle-trip during the 1- or 8-hour period of interest
if the parking
nT Dr\
Kl = -jr
is not supervised.
r ~i r • • — i
^ + \(rf UPRT entering traffic j + py (ciB]
L~ «J L.^0 Uu 1 Ui clTT I C 1 C]
•

1



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                        C-24
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  •                        If parking is  supervised,  Equation  (C19)  should be
            used instead.
                    |RT _ BRT       Pentering traffic!   ^                     (C19)
                    K1 " "T"+ AMI  Ltotal  traffic  J   R1q
            where
                    AMI  = 0 if lot is  not full
            It is necessary to divide the Base Running  Time  by  "2"  in  Equations
 »         (C18) and (C19) since each trip  is a  one-way  trip.   Thus,  in  determ-
 •         ining average daily trip generation rate, each vehicle  is  counted
            twice.   Since the Base Running Time refers  to the total  time  required
 I         to enter and leave a shopping center, it should  be  divided by "2."
                    B.   Estimating Peak Impacts Within  or Near  the  Parking  Lot
 •         or on Access Roads Removed from  the Lot.
 •                     Peak concentrations  of CO are likely to occur  in  the
            vicinity of exit/entrances to the  lot,  near access  roads or at  nearby
 I         intersections.   Traffic at such  locations may be characterized  as line
            sources  of  pollution.   Two situations are of  interest:   the case where
            traffic  flows freely by the receptor; and the case  where queues form in
 •         the  vicinity of the receptor.  At  traffic lanes  within  or  adjacent to
            the  parking lot, the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing  vehicles
 •         on CO concentrations in the vicinity  of the lanes should be added to
            estimates obtained using an area source model relating  the source's
 m         upwind dimension and emission density to CO concentrations and  general
 •         background  levels.   More details concerning this procedure are  pre-
            sented in Appendix H.   Equation  (C2)  is used  to  estimate the  appro-
•          priate  emission  density.
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                                                                                I
                                                                     (C2)
            The discussion in Appendix A concerning microscale impact
analysis may be used to estimate the impact of freely flowing and/or             •
queuing traffic on nearby CO concentrations.  Equation (All) is used             •
to estimate the impact of freely flowing traffic.   If traffic at a
signalized intersection is of interest, excess emissions over a finite           •
queue (obtained using Equations (A18)  and (A19))  are added to emissions
estimated for a line source of freely flowing traffic with Equation              fl
(All).  Emissions near a nonsignalized intersection may be approximated          m
with Equations (A20) - (A23) and with Equation (All).
CIV.  Qualitative Guidelines                                                     1
      In addition to the quantitative evaluation  procedures developed
above, the review of shopping centers as complex  emission sources should         •
also include the following considerations which are not presently                •
reducible to quantitative terms:
      1.  Main entrance/exitways should preferably be on a highly visible        •
local secondary street that feeds into the nearest arterial, so that the
transition from highway driving to parking lot driving and vice versa            m
is not too abrupt.                                                               m
      2.  Any left turn movement across traffic flow that is used by a
significant number of the shopping center patrons is a potentially               •
large congestion point and emission problem.
      3.  At centers with multiple entrance/exits, the vehicles will             •
generally tend to distribute themselves among the available gates to             M
minimize their running times.  However, if unbalanced gate use does

                                 C-26                                            •
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 _      occur,  it may be reduced by stationing personnel in the parking area
 *      to divert outgoing traffic from the overburdened exit or by the use
 •      of traffic  information signs.
               4.  Personnel  (including police) may also be effectively used to
 g      speed traffic flow during periods of highest congestion.
 ^            5.  Prior provision for overflow parking in a temporary or remote
 •      lot may be  an appropriate requirement for centers with anticipated
 flj      marginal parking capacities.
               6.  The design of curbed entrances and exit "streets" within the
 •      parking lot  (but separate from the parking areas) may reduce the inter-
 m      ference of  exit queues with in-lot movement and move congestion points
 •      away from the gates  to a more desirable (or controllable) location in
 •      the lot.

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                            REFERENCES
(1)  U.S. EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management,  Office of Air Quality         9
Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning         •
and Analysis, Volume 10:  Reviewing New Stationary  Sources"; EPA-450/
4-74-011 (Sept. 1974); Air Pollution Technical  Information Center,  Research      I
Triangle Park, N.  C. 27711.
(2)  Kunselman, P., H. T. McAdams, C. J. Domke  and  M.  Williams;                  •
"Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal Analysis Model"; EPA-460/3-74-005              •
(January 1974); National Technical Information  Service,  Springfield,
Va.  22161.                                                                      |
(3)  Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors, EPA  Publication
No. AP-42 (Supplement 5 to the Second Edition); (In Press).                      •
(4)  40 CFR 85; "1975 Federal Test Procedure";  Federal Register 36,              •
No. 128 (July 2, 1971).
(5)  Williams, M.  E., J. T.  White, L. A. Platte and C. J. Domke;                 I
"Automobile Exhaust Emission Surveillance -- Analysis  of the FY 72
Program"; EPA-460/2-74-001 (February 1974); National Technical                    I
Information Service; Springfield, Va.  22161.                                    •
(6)  Ashby, H. A., R. C. Stahman, B. H. Eccleston and  R.  W. Hum;
"Vehicle Emissions - Summer to Winter"; Paper No. 741053 presented                I
at the Society of Automotive Engineers Automobile Engineering Meeting;
Toronto, Canada (October 21-25, 1974); Society  of Automotive Engineers,           I
Inc., 400 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, Pa.  15096.                             •
(7)  Clear, D. R.  and M. G.  Dolan; Barton-Aschman Assoc., Washington,
D. C.; personal communication.                                                   •

                                 C-28                                            I

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  I

  *        (8)  Thayer, S. C. and K. Axetell; "Vehicle Behavior in and Around
  •        Complex  Sources and Related Complex Source Characteristics: Volume I -
           Shopping Centers"; EPA-450/3-74-003a (August 1973); National Technical
  £        Information Service, Springfield, Va.  22161.
  —        (9)  Patterson, R. M., R. M. Broadway, G. A. Gordon, R. G. Orner,
  "        R. W.  Cass and F. A. Record; "Validation Study of an Approach for Eval-
 •        uating the Impact of a Shopping Center on Ambient Carbon Monoxide
           Concentrations"; EPA-450/3-74-Q59; U.S. EPA, Air Pollution Technical
 £        Information Center, Research Triangle  Park, N. C. 27711.
 _        (10)   Hillier, F. S. and Lieberman, G. J.; Introduction to Operations
           Research; Holden-Day,  Inc., San Francisco, California  (1967); Chapter 10.
 •        (11)   Newell, G. F.; "Approximate Methods for Queues with Application
           to the Fixed Cycle Traffic Light"; S.  I. A. M. Review;  7_  No. 2
 |        (1965).

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                                                                                  I

Additional Data Sources                                                           •

Books and Reports

Baker, Geoffrey, and Bruno Funaro.  Shopping Centers - Design and Operation.       •
  Reinhold Publishing Corporation, Progressive Architecture Library.
  New York City.

Baker, Geoffrey, and Bruno Funaro.  Parking.  Reinhold Publishing Corp-           •
  oration, Progressive Architecture Library. New York City.

Barton-Aschman Associates, Inc., "Traffic Planning for Shopping Centers"          |
  School of Design and Construction, ICSC University of Shopping Centers;
  Chicago, Illinois (February 1973).                                              «•

Lynch, Keven.  Site Planning.  The M.I.T. Press, Massachusetts Institute
  of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Gruen, Victor, and Larry Smith.  Shopping Towns U.S.A. - the Planning of          •
  Shopping Centers.  Reinhold Publishing Corporation, Progressive
  Architecture Library.  New York City.                                            •

Institute of Traffic Engineers Technical Committee 5-DD Draft Report,
  "Shopping Center Access," (1974).                                               •

Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments, National Capital Region
  Transportation Planning Board.  Traffic Characteristics of Shopping             —
  Centers - A Review of Existing Data.   Technical  Report No. 3, July               •
  1970.                                                                           •

Urban Land Institute.  Planning Requirements for Shopping Centers - A             •
  Survey.  Technical Bulletin 53.  Research sponsored by the Research             p
  Foundation of the International Council of Shopping Centers.

Automotive Environmental Systems, Inc.   A Study of Emissions from Light           I
  Duty Vehicles in Six Cities.  EPA Document No. APTD-1497.  March 1973.          *

Maryland Bureau of Air Quality Control.   Method for Estimating Light  Duty         V
  Vehicle Emission on a Sub-Regional Basis.  Report BAQC-TM 73-107.               •
  April 1973.

U. S. Environmental Protection Agency.   Compilation of Air Pollutant               |
  Emission Factors (Second Edition).  EPA Publication No. AP-42.
  April 1973.                                                                     -

Architectural Record.  Building Types Study 432:  Shopping Malls in               *
  Suburbia.  Vol. 151, No. 3.  March 1972.

Zoning Ordinances for Various Communities.                                         m

Washingtonian Magazine.  Supermalls!  August 1973, pp. 58-63.                     •
                               C-30
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   APPENDIX D.  METHODS FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS IN VICINITY

                OF SPORTS COMPLEXES
This appendix is intended to provide guidance concerning a
more detailed analysis of proposed indirect sources should
this be necessary or desirable pursuant to 40 CFR 52.22(b).
The materials contained herein are offered as suggestions.
Alternate analytical approaches for evaluating the impact
of a proposed source may be used if it can be demonstrated
that they are more applicable to the source under review.
         U. S. Environmental  Protection Agency
      Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
         Research Triangle Park, N.  C.   27711

                       January 1975
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                                      APPENDIX D.
  §                   METHODS  FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS  IN  VICINITY
  .                                OF SPORTS COMPLEXES

  •           The purpose of this Appendix is to provide a means for assisting
         air pollution control agencies  or developers in estimating vehicular
  £      emissions associated  with the operation of a sports  complex.   If
  _      stationary sources are of significance, Volume 10 of the "Guidelines
 •      for Air Quality Maintenance Planning and  Analysis'   should be  referred
 •      to.  Emissions estimated using  the guidance in this  appendix may then
         be used to estimate the impact  of the complex  on  nearby ambient  CO
 |      concentrations.  The  methodology proposed in Appendix D is based
                                                    2
 —      largely on information contained in a report   prepared for EPA under
 •      contract concerning vehicle behavior in and around sports  stadiums,
 •      and upon observations made during a monitoring study  of traffic and
         ambient CO concentrations conducted for EPA in the vicinity of major
 •      league baseball stadiums.  The  general  approach of the proposed  metho-
         dology is to require  prospective developers to submit certain  essential
 •      information.  A second body of  information is  designated as optional.
 •      It would be preferable to have  a complete set  of  optional  information
         supplied by the developer as well.   If  this is not possible, however,
 I       data compiled for EPA  for a limited sample of sports stadiums can be
         substituted.  The methodology for estimating emissions is  necessarily


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general.  Therefore, the developer should be encouraged to perform           |
a detailed analysis of the impact of the proposed facility using             —
data and methods which are specifically suited for the case under            ™
review.  If it is necessary to estimate HC and NO  emissions at              •
the sports complex, emission factors should be obtained for these
pollutants as described in Appendix B.  Since it is very unlikely            I
that the sports complex (functioning as a sports complex) will
attract traffic from 6-9 A.M., the impact of the complex on NO             •
                                                                /\
emissions may be of greatest interest.  There is, of course, the             •
possibility that the stadium lots could be used for commuter lots
(e.g., Shea Stadium in Mew York City) during periods in which HC             I
emissions are of interest.  In such cases however, the traffic  may
lose its "event-oriented" attributes associated with large sporting          »
or entertainment events, and the methodology presented in Appendix           •
E on parking lots would be more appropriate.
     Section DI of this Appendix summarizes the methodology for              I
estimating total CO emissions resulting from the operation of the
complex, emissions which occur in traffic lanes, in the vicinity of          m
congested exit or entrance gates and at nearby intersection approaches.       •
The remaining portions of the Appendix discuss how the methodology
presented in Section DI might be implemented.                                •
DI.  Procedure for Estimating Emissions Resulting from the Operation
     of a Sports Complex                                                     I
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•             1.   Obtain  estimates  for  the  key  design  and  operating  parameters
          indicated in Table Dl .
|             2.   Consider automobiles  and  buses  separately.   Estimate  appro-
•        priate emission  factors  from modal  operation  patterns at  sports  com-
          plexes.   If this is not  possible,  use  Fig.  Dl  (and  Equation (D4)  if
I        necessary)  to estimate automobile  emission  factors.   Apply  appropriate
          correction  factors for altitude, temperature  and  percentage of cold starts
I        using Section 4.4 of the Screening Procedure  or Supplement  5 to  AP-42.
m        Use Supplement 5 (Sections 3.1.4.3 and 3.1.5)  to  estimate appropriate
          emission factors for diesel  and gasoline-powered  buses (in  gm/veh-mi).
I        Convert to  appropriate units (gm/min-veh) using Fig.  Dl and Eq.  (D5).
               3.   If volume (i.e.,  not  volume demand)  of automobiles using parking
|        lots is  not provided, estimate it  using  Eq.  (D6).   If volume of  buses
«        using parking lots is not  provided, assume  it is  the  same as the number
          of parking  spaces allotted for buses.
I             4.   It is assumed that  essentially  all  traffic arrives at the
          complex within an hour of  the  scheduled  start and leaves  within  an hour
|        after the event's conclusion.  Therefore, divide  the  auto and  bus traffic
•        volumes  by  one hour to obtain  auto and bus  traffic  volume demand in vph.
               5.   It is assumed that  maximum emissions  occur in the  hour  following
fl|        an event's  conclusion.   Thus,  running  time  is  the amount  of time it takes
          to unpark,  move  out, exit  and  depart from the  facility.   Estimate unpark
|        and movement-out time using  the source's physical configuration  and
_        operating procedures.  If  stall parking  is  used (e.g.  with  buses), estimate
™        unparking and movement-out time with Table  D2.  Traffic demand in the
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                                                                                 I
remaining running time calculations is assumed to occur entirely within          I
the parking lot emptying time.   If traffic distribution through the exit
gates is about uniform, use Eq.  (D7a)  or (D8)  - (D8b)  to estimate running        |
time spent in exit queues upstream from unsignalized intersections.  For         _
signalized intersections use Eq.  (D7a) or (D9).  If traffic is  not evenly        *
distributed, use Eq.  (DID)  or Eqs.  (Dll) or (D12) to estimate running            •
time in queues at each gate and  then use Eq.  (D13) to  obtain average
running time spent in queues.                                                    J
     6.  Combine stadium bus and auto  traffic  with unrelated traffic             _
and apportion the total among access roads. Use demand-capacity ratios          *
vs. speed relationships depicted in Appendix A to estimate operating             •
speeds on road segments.  Departure running time is estimated using
Eq. (D15).                                                                       |
     7.  Obtain total running time required for leaving, using  Eq. (DIG)         _
and combine this with estimates  for volume demand and  emission  factors           •
in Eqs. (Dl) and (D2) to estimate total peak  1-hour emission rate and            •
emission density.  This emission density applies for the amount of time
required for traffic to dissipate.   The remainder of the time the                I
emission density is zero.
     8.  If the impact of entering traffic at  the beginning of  an event          •
is of interest, volume demand and emission factors are obtained as               •
before.  Running time is the sum of the time  spent in  the arrival,
entering and movement-in and parking modes.  Assume arriving vehicles            I
are, unlike departing vehicles,  evenly spread  out over the hour.  Using
this assumption, use Eq. (D15) to estimate arrival mode running time.            B
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•        Equations  (D8),  (D9), or  (Dll),  (D12), or  (D21) should be used in
          estimating entrance mode  running times.  Use Eq.  (D22) to estimate
£        movement-in and  parking times.   Total entrance running time is given
_        by Eq.  (D23).  Use the total  entrance running time along with volume
™        demands for autos and buses and  emission factors  to estimate total emission
•        rate and emission density with Eqs.  (Dl) and (D2).
               9. Refer to the Micro Analysis section in Appendix A to estimate
I        the impact of freely flowing  and/or queuing traffic on nearby CO con-
          centrations.  The procedure is as  follows:
•                a.  Estimate traffic demand for each lane j in road segment i
•        using Eqs.  (A12) or  (A13).  If necessary,  adjust  the demand for the
          impact  of  mass transit using  Eqs.  (A14) or (A15).  Apportion demand
I        among lanes, making sure  that Eq.  (A2) is  satisfied.
                  b.  If  the analysis  does  not concern an  at-grade intersection,
'        estimate capacity of the  road segment using Eq. (A10) and the lane
•        capacities using Eq. (A16).   Check that Eq. (A3)  is satisfied.  If not,
          adjust  the lane  capacities so that Eq. (A3) is satisfied.
                  Ic.  Determine volume to capacity  ratios  (v. ./c-.) for each
                                                             I J   * J
          lane.   Given the type of  road and  the average highway speed, use the
•        appropriate one  of Figs.  A2 - A5 to estimate vehicle operating speeds
•        in each lane.
                  d.  Use Fig. A6  to estimate the speed corrected 1975 emission
•        factor  for each  lane.  For years other than 1975, adjust this factor
          with Equation (A17).  Correct for  cold starts and ambient temperatures
•        as needed,  using Section  4.4  of  the Screening Procedure or Supplement 5
          to AP-42.
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         e.  Use Eq.  (All) to estimate the line source emission
intensity of freely flowing traffic.                                            •
         f.  For at-grade signalized  intersections, use information
concerning signal cycle lengths and green time to signal  cycle ratios          Q
to estimate queue lengths with Eq.  (A18).  Consider emissions over the         _
queue length to be the sum of those from freely flowing traffic and            •
excess emissions.  Emissions elsewhere are attributable to freely              •
flowing traffic.  Estimate emissions  from freely flowing traffic using
Eq. (All), and excess emissions using Eq. (A19).  Alternatively, use           |
the information in Tables A8-A12 directly to estimate appropriate
emissions and queue lengths.                                                   ™
         g.  For non-signalized intersections, estimate the average            •
queue length using Eq. (A20).  Use  Eq. (A21) to estimate the emission
intensity over the queue at the intersection approach.  Estimate the           I
distance over which vehicles may accelerate and decelerate using
Eq. (A22).  The emission intensity  over this distance is obtained              •
using Eq. (A23).  Use Eq. (All) to  estimate emission intensity elsewhere.      •
DII.  Identification of Key Design  and Operating Variables
      Table Dl presents the essential and desirable parameters which           I
the developer should supply the control agency so that emissions
associated with the operation of the  sports complex may be estimated.          •

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• Table Dl . SPORTS COMPLEX PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS

-




I. Essential Parameters
•Parameters

•Seating capacity

1 Average attendance




Available parking spaces
1





1
•


Number and capacity of parking
lot gates



_ Surrounding street con-
• figurations, capacity and speed
* limits (within 2 km of stadium)
•Estimated traffic volume on nearby
streets not related to
stadium activities
• Number of parking spaces
allotted for buses
1
1
1
Remarks

Assumed to be equivalent to peak
attendance
Possible sources of information for this
parameter include market surveys con-
ducted for new teams or previous
experience of established teams moving
to new areas
This parameter should be broken up
into 3 subtotals :
a. Spaces available in off-street
stadium operated parking lots

b. Spaces in other off-street public
and private parking lots
c. On-street spaces available within
3/4 km and within 1 km of the stadium
property

This information should be contained on a
set of plans or blueprints provided by
the developer which present a schematic
picture of access roads, complex dimensions
and configuration

ii ii n M

This information should be solicited
from local and State Highway Depts .

Should be available from parking lot
design




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Table Dl (continued). SPORTS COMPLEX PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR
ESTIMATING EMISSIONS

I. Essential
Parameters

Stadium emptying time
Plans or blueprints of the
stadium, parking lots and
surrounding access roads
Green time to signal
cycle ratio for each
intersection
Number of signal cycles
per hour at each intersection
II. Desirable
Percent of spectators arriving
by automobile
Average vehicle occupancy
Number of buses
Estimated order of preference
for parking facilities
Vehicle spacing in queues
Distribution of operation modes
(i.e. acceleration, deceleration,
etc.) for a typical vehicle
visiting a sports complex

Parameters
Remarks

Time after end of an event by which
all spectators have reached their
parking spaces
Needed to prorate demand among gates
and access roads and as an indicator
of the complex's size
Needed to estimate traffic capacity
at each intersection approach and to
estimate queue lengths resulting at
each approach
Needed to estimate queue lengths at
intersection approaches.
Parameters

Obtain estimate from local transit
authority or bus companies
This is the developers' estimate of
the order in which the 3 types of
parking facilities are utilized by
spectators
Tail pipe-to-tail pipe distance
Useful in obtaining estimates for
emission factors
D-8


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 •     Dili.  Estimation of Emissions in the Vicinity of Sports Complexes
             Since the usage of sports complexes occurs at discrete times as
 •     dictated by the sporting event, traffic is characterized by very heavy
 •     demand over relatively short periods and little demand the rest of the
        time.  Consequently, the capacity of nearby (e.g., within 2 km of the
 I     stadium property) roads and intersections may be exceeded.  Thus, the
        possibility exists that the worst impact of the sports stadium on CO
 I     concentrations may occur relatively far away from the stadium.  This
 •     possibility means that two separate analyses may be needed:
                 1.  An analysis in the immediate vicinity of the stadium, taking
 I     account of emissions within the parking lot and queues at the most
        congested sections of the parking lot.
 •              2.  An analysis of nearby access roads and intersection approaches
 •     to determine points at which traffic volume demand approaches or exceeds
        road capacity.
 I                  A.  Emissions in the Immediate Vicinity of the Stadium
                         (i.e. Parking Lots)
 •                      1.  Total Emission Rate and Emission Density
 •                           These variables are of interest for two reasons:
                             (a) to provide a means for relating construction of
 •      the sports complex with emission limitations which may be imposed by
        land use or air quality maintenance plans;
 8                           (b) to provide a means for estimating the emission
 m      density at the sports complex and the resulting impact on background
        (or representative) concentrations of CO.
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Equations (Dl) and (D2) may be used to estimate total emission rate
and emission density for the stadium and its surrounding parking lots.
         Q'
         Q
                           autos
                                           buses
          Q = E(EF)(V)(RT)] autos + [(EF)(V)(RT)] buses               (D2)
                             216,OOOA
RT = average running time, sec
 A = contiguous area of the stadium and its surrounding
                   2
                                                                                 I
                                                                                 —
                                                                                 I
where    Q1 = emission rate, gm/sec                                              •
                                        p                                        •
          Q = emission density, gm/sec-nr
         EF = emission factor, gm/min-veh                                        I
          V = traffic volume demand, veh/hr.
                                                                                 I
              parking lots, nf
  1/216,000 = conversion factor from jffi^hr  to 9m/sec                           I
The separate terms in Eqs. (Dl) and (D2) for buses are probably needed
since there is often a large number of buses at events, and frequently
these may be separated into segments of the lots reserved for buses.             I
If traffic generated by the source takes less than an hour to dissipate
from the source after an event's conclusion, Equations (Dl) and (D2)             |
would only apply for that portion of the hour.  The rest of the time,            •
the emissions would be zero.                                                     *
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                       B.  Determination of Emission Factors(EF)
 0                        (1)  Automobiles
 —                             Probably the most accurate estimates for emission
 *      factors at a sports complex would be obtained if typical  driving
 •      cycles (i.e. amounts of time and sequences spent in acceleration,
         deceleration and steady speed modes of travel) were known for sports
 p      complexes.  A typical driving cycle could then be simulated using the
                                                             4
 —      EPA Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal Analysis Model  to obtain average
 •      trip emission factors which are explicit for sports complexes.   This
 •      approach has been followed in characterizing emissions at signalized
         intersections in Appendix A.  Unfortunately, there is not yet sufficient
 |      data concerning vehicle operating characteristics at sports stadiums to
 —      implement this technique elsewhere within a sports complex.  Thus, infor-
 •      nation appearing in Supplement 5 to AP-42  which reflects emission factors
 •      obtained using the 1975 Federal Test Procedure  (FTP) will have to suffice.
         Figure Dl was obtained using the 1975 FTP emission factors for  CO for
 Jj      a national average mix of light-duty vehicles for calendar year 1975 and
 _       speed correction factors obtained from Tables 3.1.2-6a and b in Supple-
 "       ment 5.  The mix upon which Figure Dl is based is composed of 88 percent
 •       cars and 12 percent light-duty trucks.  The curve in Figure Dl  is also
         based on the assumption that 20 percent of the vehicle emissions occur
 •       from vehicles operating from cold starts with ambient temperatures
         ranging from 68°F - 86°F at a location near sea level.  If the  assumption
 ™       concerning altitude, percentage of cold starts and ambient temperature

                                          D-ll
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   24
   22
   20
   18
   16
oc
o
o  14
co  12
co  ''
   10
    T
             T
                  10      15      20     25     30     35     40     45
                                    VEHICLE SPEED, mph
50      55
60
       Figure D1. Composite emission factors for carbon monoxide for calendar year 1975.
                                        D-12
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 •        used in deriving an emission factor are not appropriate, correction
          factors may be derived using guidance presented in Section 4.4 of the
 •        screening procedure or Supplement 5 to AP-42.  It should be pointed out
 •        that if it is determined that extra emissions attributable to cold starts
          and cold temperatures only occur for a relatively short time (e.g.,
 I        4 minutes), higher emission factors should be used only until a typical
          vehicle becomes warm.  The emission factors obtained for 1975 with
 •        Figure Dl can be adjusted for other years by using Equation (D4).

 •                 EF   (Corrected Value from Fig. Dl)  (ef)                /D4\
                                     3 3
 I        where ef = the emission factor for the year of interest obtained
                     from Table A3, Appendix A, gm/mi-veh
 I            "55" = the emission factor in Table 3.1.1-1 which is applicable
 •                   for 1975, gm/mi-veh
                           (2)  Buses
 •                              In the absence of modal emission data for buses
                                                                                  5
          at sports complexes, Sections 3.1.4.3 and 3.1.5 in Supplement 5 to AP-42
 •        may be used to provide emission factors (in gm/mi) for heavy-duty gasoline
 •        and diesel-powered vehicles respectively.  There is no differentiation
          with respect to model year for diesel emissions.  It should suffice for
 •        the purpose of this analysis to assume average emission factors suitable
          for the 1970-73 model years.  Once the appropriate emission factors for
 I        gasoline and diesel-powered buses are estimated from AP-42, a bus emission
 •        factor suitable for use in Eqs. (Dl) and (D2) can be calculated using
 ™        Equation (D5).
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          (Fig. Dl Value) (#Gas.  Buses)(ef)n + (#Diesel  Buses)(ef).               I
     FF =  _ - _ , _ , _    9      _ d.J    (D5)
     tr                     (Total  #  of Buses )(ef)                      {   '
where (ef)  is the estimated emission factor for heavy duty gasoline
            powered vehicles as  determined from Section 3.1.4.3 in               |
            Supplement 5 to AP-42,  gm/mi-veh                                     •
and (ef). is the estimated emission factor for heavy duty diesel
            powered vehicles as  determined from Section 3.1.5 in                  I
            Supplement 5 to AP-42,  gm/mi-veh
    (ef) is the emission factor  for light duty vehicles (gm/mi-veh),             |
                                                               5
         estimated from Table A3 or from Supplement 5 to AP-42.                  _
It is assumed in Equation (D5) that the variation of heavy duty vehicle          *
CO emission factors with speed is similar to those for light duty vehicles.      •
              C.  Determination  of Traffic Volume Demand (V)
                  (1)  Automobiles                                                |
                       Total volume of automobiles utilizing parking             —
facilities in the vicinity of the stadium may be estimated using  Eq. (D6).       *



where V = number of autos using parking facilities, vehicles                     —
       A = attendance.  For peak use periods this can be considered               •
           equal to seating capacity                                              •
       P = percent of spectators arriving by auto
     avo = average vehicle occupancy for automobiles                              |
                                D-14                                              I

                                                                                  I
y =                                                     (D6)
       avo                                               v   '

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•                        The  attendance  term  (A)  should  be  estimated  from  the
         stadium  seating  capacity.   This  parameter should be required  from  the
I       developer.  The  percent  of  spectators  arriving by auto  (P)  and  the
_       average  vehicle  occupancy terms  (avo)  in  Eq.  (D6) should,  ideally, be
™       provided by the  developer on  the basis of the local  situation and
•       practices.  If this is not  possible however,  most commonly  accepted
         design values are that 88%  of the spectators  come by car with an
p       average  vehicle  occupancy of  3.5 persons/auto for football  and  2.5
—       persons/auto for baseball. ^  For events other than  football and
•       baseball  games and for facilities other than  outdoor stadiums,  the
•       developer should be required  to  provide documented  estimates  of the
         percent  of spectators arriving by automobile  and the average  vehicle
J|       occupancy.
                          Automobile traffic volume, as determined  by  Eq. (D6),
•       is  the sum of vehicles parked in the  stadium  lots,  on nearby  streets
•       and in privately operated lots.   Parking  capacities for each  type  of
         facility within  1  km  of  the stadium site  should  be  obtained from the
•       developer in order to estimate localized  high levels of CO.   In addition,
         an  order of parking preference should  be  indicated.   Unless otherwise
•       indicated, the order  of  preference should be:   stadium lots, on-street
                                                  p
•       parking  and privately owned parking lots.   Under such  an  order of
         preference, it should be assumed that  the stadium lots  fill up  first,
•       followed by the  on-street parking spaces  and  finally by privately-
         operated lots, until  the total traffic accommodated is  equal  to V.
         For purposes of  assessing peak impacts on CO  concentrations at  exits or
I                                       0-15
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                                                                                 I
entrances or within parking lots, only analyses of off-street parking            I
facilities are needed.  On-street parking will  be assessed in evaluating
the impact of the sports facility's operation on nearby access roads             |
and at intersections.                                                            —
                 To convert traffic volume to traffic volume demand              ™
for use in Eqs. (Dl) or (D2) it is assumed that essentially all  traffic          •
will arrive or depart from the lots within an hour's time.  Thus,  even
if traffic persists for less than an hour at a somewhat higher flow              •
rate, the net effect will  be the same in terms of emissions, providing           _
the actual lot emptying and filling times are used in computing typical          •
automobile running times.                                                         •
             (2)  Buses
                 Estimates for the number of buses (B) expected at an            J
event should be obtained from the developer or promoter.  If this  estimate
cannot be obtained directly, it could be made from the number of parking         •
spaces allotted for buses.  It seems reasonable to assume that the most          •
heavily attended events would be the ones at which the number of buses
would approach the parking capacity for buses.  Once the number of buses         I
is determined, the same rationale as was applied for autos should  be
used to obtain the bus volume demand (veh/hr) for use in Eqs. (Dl)               •
and (D2).                                                                        •
             D.  Determination of Running Times (RT)
                 In the procedure described below for estimating running         I
time, it is assumed that automobiles and buses park in separate lots or
sections of lots, and do not use the same exit/entrance gates.  Conse-           •
quently, separate analyses are performed for automobiles and buses.  If          •
                                D-16
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•        these  assumptions were  not  true,  the  average  running  times for autos
          and  buses  would  be  the  same, and  the  total vehicular  volume  using
I        off-street parking  (i.e. V +  B)  should  be used  in the methodologies
          described  below  for estimating running times  spent in the exit and
•        entrance modes.   In any case,  it  is probably  advisable to consider
•        total  vehicular  volume  in estimating  running  times in the arrival
          and  departure modes on  access  roads.
•                        (1) Automobiles
                              Since it is assumed  the peak 1-hour  impact of a
•        sports complex occurs shortly  after an event's conclusion, the running
•        time which should be used in Equations (Dl) and  (D2)  is  the  time it
          takes  an automobile to  unpark, move out  to an exit queue, exit and
          lots  running  times  in  the unpark and movement-out modes  (RT)   should
•        depart.  Unless there is evidence to the contrary, for conventional
I
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          be  assumed as being  the distance measured along traffic lanes from the
          center of the lot to the main exit divided by a vehicle speed charac-
                                         *
          teristies of level of service E.   Running times in the unpark and
I        movement-out modes may be substantially longer for lots with "stall
          parking" (i.e. where each vehicle does not have free access to an exit
|        lane).  Table D2 expresses typical waiting times before vehicles parked
                                                             2
«        in  such a manner can gain free access to exit lanes.   Waiting times
          are not synonymous with running times, however, since some people may
I        wait  in their cars with the engine off.
         and 6.75 m/sec  (15 mph) for major streets.
                                         D-17
•       *This speed is approximately 2.25 m/sec (5 mph) for downtown streets

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        Table D2.  RUNNING TIMES FOR EXIT FROM PARKING STALLS
(1)
Ave. cars/stall
2
3
4
5
6
7
(2)
Ave
4
8
10
12
14
15
. waiting time, sec
.98
.28
.74
.60
.10
.3
(S
(S
(S
(S
(S
(S
.E
.E
.E
.E
.E
.E
.T.) +
.T.)
• T.)
.T.)
• T.)
.T.)
(3)
. Assumed
4
8
10
12
14
15
(RT) running time, sec
.98
.28
.74
.60
.10
.3
(S
(S
(S
(S
(S
(S
.E
.E
.E
.E
.E
.E
.T.)
.T.)
.T.)
• T.)
•T.)
-T.)
(F)
(F)
(F)
(F)
(F)
(F)
+S.E.T. = stadium emptying time, a design figure provided by the

          developer for the number of minutes after the end of an event

          it takes all spectators to reach their vehicles.
       In Column (3) Table D2, "F" is the fraction  of waitinp time spent

  with the enaine runninp.

       Averaqe runninp time in the exit mode can  be estimated usinn

  Eouation (D7a).
                  (auto traffic in lot)   	 	    -S.E.T.
                  (# of auto exit lanes)  Uve.  capacity  per  lane)	
                                 D-18
(D7)
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            or
                         (auto traffic in lot)  	i	     -S.E.T.
                         (# of auto exit lanes) (ave.  capacity per lane)
•
          where TTT  = average running time spent in exit mode,  sec
               "60" = conversion factor from min.  to sec.
 |            "1/2" = factor to obtain average running time in  exit mode
 —            ave. capacity per lane = vehicles/min.
 •           S.E.T. = stadium emptying time, min.
 •        The first term within the square brackets in EQ.  (D7a)  represents  the
          parking lot emptying time (P.L.E.T.).   As the Stadium Fmptying Time
 J        approaches the Parking Lot Emptying Time, Fq. (D7a) becomes  unsatis-
 _        factory.  If IT  is estimated to be less than 30  sec.  using  EC.  (D7a)
 •        (as might happen for sparsely-attended events), PLET-SET  < 1 min.  and
 •        it is assumed that the condition of random arrivals at  the exit queues
          is met.  In such cases,  average  running  time snent in  exit aueues  at
          non-signalized intersections may be estimated using Eo. (D8) - (D8b).
                                                                               (D8)
          or
•             FT0  =  1200/C,  .95  <  v/c  <_ 1                                      (D8a)
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•                                       0-19

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or
     RT  = 1200/C + 3600 [££) ,  v/c > 1                              (D8b)
       M                 \^C /       ~~
v
(l^)(cr)(l-E792
2(F - 7)
1800 7TT 2
c"1 £(c"' (

>-vrj
where ET  = average excess running time spent in queues,  sec
I
I
where c = total exit capacity = (# of exit lanes)  (ave.  exit lane capacity),    I
                                                              veh/mi n.
      v = traffic volume demand (not the same as  V),  veh/min.                   |
   "60" = conversion factor from min. to sec  in Eq.  (D8).   In  Eq. (D8b),        _
          "3600" is the number of seconds in  the  period  in which  demand        •
          exceeds capacity.                                                    •
If Equation (D7a) cannot be used and the exits have  traffic signals,
excess running time spent in queues upstream  from  signalized intersections      |
should be estimated.  For such cases, Equation (D9)  may  be used instead        _
of Equation (D8).11                                                            •

                                                                               I
                                                                       (D9)
 I
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       r  = average signal cycle length at each exit,  sec
                                                                                I
       c1 = mean unimpeded capacity for each of the exits,  vph                  m
        £" = mean amount of green time per signal  cycle for  each exit gate       •
     S7T  = mean green time to signal cycle ratio at each exit
        7 = mean traffic demand at each exit, vph.
                                                                                I
                               D-20
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         In deriving Equations (D7a), (D8) and (D9), it was assumed

that traffic is approximately evenly distributed among exit gates.

Frequently this assumption may be invalid.  It would be necessary to

apportion traffic among the exit gates and apply Equations (DIG),

(Dll) or (D12) as appropriate for each exit gate i.
     RT   - in   (auto traffic at Gate i)
       qi "     jj# of auto exit lanes at i)
                                        (ave.  lane capacity;
                                      "1-S.E.T.

                                      II
                                                                       (D10)
or
     «<„
,  v./c.  <_ .95
or
     RT . = 1200/c., .95 < v./c.  < 1
RT .  + 1200/ci  + 3600
              :.-  >  1
where
       c.
       v.
       gate capacity at i,  veh/min.

       traffic demand through  gate i,  veh/min.
               (Cy)(c')(l-G/Cy)
                                   1800  v  C
                   2(c'-v)
                                   c'G(c'G-vCy)
                               D-21
                                                                 (Dll)
                                                                (Dlla)
                                                                     (Dllb)
                                                                     (D12)

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          'TOT
              = 60
                    V + B + V
(P.L.E.T.)
                                                (D14)
where VTQT = total demand from all stadium traffic, veh/hr
                               D-22
                                                                                 I
where the terms are as defined for Equation (D9), except that they               I
are explicit for exit (approach) i.  Average running time spent in
queues would then be:                                                            m
            s  RT                                                                •
               • Q                                                               ^H
     RTq = a1\1                                                     (D13)
                                                                                 I
         Running time in the departure mode ((RT)n) can be estimated
                                                                                 I
by apportioning total stadium traffic onto the network of access roads           •
and determining the resulting demand to capacity ratios on the road              •
segments between the sports complexes and the nearest intersections.
Traffic which is unrelated to the stadium should be included in the              I
estimate of traffic volume demand on these road segments.
         The total stadium traffic volume is the sum of off-street and           |
on-street parking.  This total stadium volume is converted to volume             •
demand (for the purpose of estimating running time only) by using
Equation (D14).                                                                  •

                                                                                 I
                                                                                 I
        V = autos using off street parking, veh                                 |
         B = buses present, veh                                                  _
       V  = autos using on-street parking, veh                                  •
       "60" = conversion factor from min"  to hr"                                 •
  P.L.E.T. = parking lot emptying time, min.
                                                                                 I
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 •       "^TOl" 1S t'ien aPPort1'onecl among access roads and added to the
         non-stadium traffic on each road segment to obtain an estimate of the
 I       traffic volume demand for that road segment.  This segment's total
 •       demand is divided by its capacity in the appropriate direction to
         obtain a demand-capacity ratio.  Operating speed can then be estimated
•       using the appropriate one of Figures A2-A5 in Appendix A.  If the demand-
         capacity ratio exceeds "1", assume an operating speed of 5 mph (2.25
         m/sec).  The average amount of running time spent in the departure
         mode is thus:

  I
  I                          " TspeeS^
                    (RT)D =  *H-|	                                         (D15)

  mm        where (RT)D = sec
                    d. = distance along road segment i to the nearest intersection, m
  I           (speed). = average operating speed on road segment i, m/sec
                     I = total number of road segments immediately adjacent to
 |                      sports complex
 mm        Total running time for use in estimating the 1-hr, impact of a sports
           complex is given in Eq. (D16).
 I

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 •                                        D-23
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                  x = (RT'mo + RTq + ^D                                  
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where
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     (RT)  = running time required to move to an exit queue line,
         X                                                                       ^^
             exit and depart, sec.                                               |
                 (2)  Buses                                                      _
                     The procedure for estimating bus running times              •
when buses are segregated from autos is exactly the same as for autos            •
except that in the movement out and exit modes, only buses are considered.
As indicated above, both autos and buses may have to be considered in            ||
the departure mode.  (RT)mo 1>s estimated the same way as for autos,              _
except that the fraction "F" in Table D2 may be different to reflect             •
different operating procedures for buses.  Eqs. (D7) - (D13) may be              •
applied to estimate RT  if one considers bus traffic, bus exit lanes
                      q
and bus exit lane capacities.  Equations (D14) - (D16) should be                  •
applied as is to estimate bus departure and total running times.
             E.  Entrance Running Times                                           •
                 If it is of interest to estimate vehicle running times           •
during entrance modes, identical values of "EF" and "V" should be used
in Equations (Dl) and (D2) as were used in estimating exit emissions.             J
Vehicle arrivals are likely to be considerably more spread out than
                         3                                                         I
departures.  Observations  have indicated however, that under most                 •
circumstances essentially all spectators arrive within an hour before              •
the start of an event.  Hence, arrivals are apportioned over a
1-hour period.  Arrival time is the sum of time spent in the arrival,              •
entrance, movement-in and parking modes.
                               D-24                                                •

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                            (1)  Arrival Mode
                                Equation (015) should be used to estimate running
 I        time spent in the arrival mode (RT)..  The total volume demand from
           all stadium traffic, which must be apportioned among access roads and
 I        added to traffic unrelated to the stadium using these roads, should be
 m       . estimated using Eq. (D17) rather than (D14).

 |                 VTQT = V + B + V0                                         (D17)

 |                         (2)  Entrance Mode
 •                             Running time in the entrance mode at an unsignalized
           entrance is calculated using equations (D8)  or (Dll) if v/c is less
 •        than .95.  If .95 < v/c <_ 1., Eqs.  (D8a) or  (Dlla) should be used.  If
           the entrances are signalized, Equations (D9) or (D12) should be used
 |        instead to estimate excess running  time spent in entrance queues.  If
 •        v/c exceeds 1, then the entrances are operating at full  capacity for
           the entire hour and vehicles will be entering the lot for more than an
 I        hour.   The amount of time for the lot to fill is given by Eq.  (D18).
                I.  _ (auto traffic vol.)
                    T3 n-F an-t-n on-f-vanro
                    (#  of auto  entrance  lanes) (Capacity  per  auto  entrance  lane)

           where  auto traffic volume  is  the  number  of  vehicles  ultimately  entering
I         the  lot  (maximum  = lot  capacity)
                                                                                 (D18)
                capacity is  in veh./min
                t is in minutes.
                                          D-25

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                                                                                I
Since it is assumed that no vehicles arrive after the event begins,             _
the maximum length of the queue occurs at the beginning of the event
(i.e. at the end of the hour preceding the event) and is estimated              •
using Eq. (D19).
                                                                                1
         M - t-60                                                    (D19)
         M = ——                                                               _
              c
Since the minimum queue length which occurs is zero and this occurs              •
at the beginning of the hour preceding the event and constantly
builds up to "M," the average queue length is:                                   I

         M = M/2 = SOjv^c)
Therefore, the typical  running time for vehicles  in  an  entrance  queue            ™
                                                                                •
may be estimated using Eq. (D21).
         RT = 360MV-C)                                             (D21)
                                                                                 *
where RT  is in seconds
      3600 is the number of sees, in which demand exceeds capacity.              •
                 (3)  Movement-in and Parking Modes
                     Supervised parking is assumed, and (RT)MT may be            |
estimated using Eq.  (D22).                                                       _

                               D-26                                              |

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  I
I                         foist,  along traffic lanes  from entrance to)
                /RT\   _ V the center of the lot,  m _ /
                k UMI "         (Speed limit in lot,  m/sec)
  I
           The procedures outlined by Eqs.  (D8), (D9), (Dll),  (D18)  -  (D22)  may
  |       be repeated for autos and buses  if there  are separate  bus lots.   The
  •       running time used in  Equations (Dl) and (D2) to estimate  entrance
           emissions is given in Eq. (D23).
  I
                    (RT)E = (RT)A + RTq + (RT)MI                                (D23)

  _        DIV.   Estimating Peak Impacts Within or Near the Parking  Lot or on
                 Access Roads Removed from  the Lot
  8              Peak concentrations of CO  are likely  to occur in the  vicinity  of
           exit/entrances to the lot, near  access  roads or at  nearby intersections.
 |        Traffic at such locations may be characterized as line sources of pollu-
 _        tion.   Two situations are of interest:  the  case where  traffic flows
           freely by the receptor; and the  case where  queues form in the vicinity
 I         of the receptor.  At  traffic lanes within or adjacent  to  the parking
           lot,  the impact of freely flowing and/or  queuing vehicles on CO concen-
           trations in the vicinity of the  lanes should be added  to  estimates
 _         obtained using an area source model relating the source's upwind  dimen-
 ™         sion  and emission density to CO  concentrations and  general  background
 •         levels.  More details concerning  this procedure are presented in
           Appendix H.  Equation (D22) is used to  estimate the appropriate
           emission density.
•                                        D-27

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     Q =
f(EF)(V)(RT)1          REF)(y)(RT)1
L 216,000 A J _     l_216,000 A J
                          cars     - — ."-> " -•   buses
(T)        (D-22)
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where T = hours required for traffic to clear out after an event.              I
          If T > 1, it is set equal to "1."
     The discussion in Appendix A concerning microscale impact analysis       I
may be used to estimate the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing           •
traffic on nearby CO concentrations.  Equation (All) is used to estimate
the impact of freely flowing traffic.  If traffic at a signalized  inter-      I
section is of interest, excess emissions over a finite queue (obtained
using Equations (A18) and (A19)) are added to emissions estimated  for a       |
line source of freely flowing traffic with Equation (All).  Emissions         v
near a non-signalized intersection may be approximated with Equations
(A20) - (A23) and with Equation (All).                                        •
DV.  Qualitative Design Guidelines
     In addition to the quantitative procedure for estimating automo-         |
tive emissions in the vicinity of sports complexes, there are several         •
qualitative guidelines which, if observed, should lessen congestion
and therefore emissions.                                                      I
     1.  Efforts should be made to schedule events so that beginnings
and endings do not coincide with periods which ordinarily have heavy          |
traffic in the vicinity of the complex.                                        _
     2.  Conflicts between large numbers of pedestrians and traffic,           ™
both concentrated in the same time frame and in the area of the complex        •
                               D-28
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  I

          can cause substantial  increases  in  vehicle  running  times.  The inter-
  I      ruption of traffic flow can  be minimized  by extensive use of grade
          separations—bridges,  ramps,  underpasses—and by close-in curb
  |      frontage for high volume discharge  and  pickup of passengers.
  g           3.  Temporary traffic controls,  particularly reverse-flow one-way
          streets, can be very effective for  increasing access route capacities
  I      in the vicinity of the sports complex.  These traffic controls may be
          particularly important for complexes  that are located in built-up
  I       downtown areas  where lanes cannot be  added  to existing streets.
  _            4.  The developer should provide plans for expected traffic circu-
  ™       lation patterns around the stadium.   These  should be checked for no
  I       left turn movements across traffic; right turns in  and out for garage
          or parking lot  traffic; maximum  use of  one-way and  divided streets,
          and two-lane exits from parking  lots  onto streets.
  _            5.  Traffic information  signs  should be prominently displayed to
  •       improve traffic movement.
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                             REFERENCES                                           I

 (1)  U.S. EPA, Office of Air and Waste Management, Office of Air Quality          I
 Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning           •
 and Analysis, Volume 10: Reviewing New Stationary Sources"; EPA-450/4-74-011;
 (Sept. 1974); Air Pollution Technical  Information Center, Research Triangle        I
 Park, N. C. 27711.
 (2)  Thayer, S.D. and K. Axetell, Jr.; "Vehicle Behavior in and Around             I
 Complex Sources and Related Complex Source Characteristics; Volume III-            •
 Sports Stadiums"; EPA-450/3-74-003-C;  National  Technical  Information
 Service, Springfield, Va.   22161.                                                  •
 (3)  Bach, W.D., B.W. Crissman, C.E. Decker, J.W. Menear, P.P.  Rasberry,
 and J.B. Tommerdahl; "Carbon Monoxide  Measurements in the Vicinity of              I
 Sports Stadiums"; EPA-450/3-74-049; (July 1973); U.S. EPA, Air  Pollution           .
 Technical Information Center, Research Triangle Park, N.  C. 27711.
 (4)  Kunselman, P., H.T. McAdams, C.J. Domke and M.  Williams;  "Automobile            I
 Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis Model"; EPA-460/3-74-005; (January 1974);
 National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Va.  22161.                      |
 (5)  Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors.  EPA Publication No.              _
AP-42 (Second Edition); (Supplement #5, In Press).                                  *
 (6)  40 CFR 85; "1975 Federal Test Procedure";  Federal  Register 36, No 128;          •
 (July 2, 1971).
 (7)  Williams, M.E., J.T.  White, L.A.  Platte and C.J. Domke;  "Automobile            |
 Exhaust Emission Surveillance—Ana lysis of the  FY 72 Program";  EPA-460/2-             _
 74-001; (February 1974); National Technical  Information Service,  Springfield,
Virginia  22161.
                                 D-30
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 I

         (8)  Ashby, H.A., R.C.  Stahman,  B.H.  Eccleston  and  R.W.  Hum;  "Vehicle
 I      Emissions--Summer to Winter";  Paper No.  741053  presented at  the  SAE
         Automobile Engineering  Meeting;  Toronto, Canada (Oct.  21-25,  1974);
 |      Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc.; 400  Commonwealth  Drive,
 •      Warrendale, Pa.   15096.
         (9)  Highway Research Board;  Special  Report 87; Highway  Capacity Manual
 I      1965, National  Academy  of Sciences  -  National Research Council,  Washington,
         D.C.; (1965).
 |      (10) Hillier,  F.S.  and  G.J.  Lieberman; Introduction to Operations Research;
 _      Holden-Day, Inc.; San Francisco, Ca.  (1967); Ch.  10.
 ™      (11) Newell, G.F.;  "Approximate  Methods  for Queues  with  Application  to the
 •      Fixed Cycle Traffic Light";  SIAM Review  7 No. 2;  (1965).

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    APPENDIX E.   METHOD FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS IN VICINITY

                 OF MUNICIPAL PARKING LOTS
This appendix is intended to provide guidance concerning a
more detailed analysis of proposed indirect sources should
this be necessary or desirable pursuant to 40 CFR 52.22(b).
The materials contained herein are offered as suggestions.
Alternate analytical approaches for evaluating the impact
of a proposed source may be used if it can be demonstrated
that they are more applicable to the source under review.
            U. S. Environmental  Protection Agency
        Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
            Research Triangle Park, N. C.   27711
                        January 1975
                            E-i

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 I
 •                                    APPENDIX E.
                       METHOD FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS IN VICINITY
 §                             OF  MUNICIPAL  PARKING  LOTS

 •           The purpose of this appendix is to provide a means  for assisting
         air pollution control  agencies or developers to estimate vehicular
 •      emissions resulting from the operation of  parking facilities.   The
 m      estimated emissions will subsequently be used to estimate ambient CO
         concentrations in the  vicinity of the parking facility.   The methodology
 •      proposed herein is largely based on  information contained in a  report
         for EPA concerning vehicle behavior  in and around parking facilities
 B      and its relationship to readily identifiable design characteristics
 •      in the parking facility.   Appendix  E first presents in  Section El a
         procedure which may be used to estimate emissions from a parking lot.
 I       The remaining sections in  the appendix describe how the  procedure
         identified might be implemented.
 I       El.  Procedure for Estimating Emissions in the Vicinity  of a Municipal
 •            Parking Lot
              1.  Obtain estimates  for the key design and operating parameters
 •       indicated in Table El.
              2.  Estimate appropriate emission factors for the parking  lot by
I       noting driving cycle patterns and applying EPA's  Automobile Exhaust

I

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                                                                               I
Emission Modal Analysis Model.   If this is impractical, assume the             •
driving cycle used in the 1975  Federal  Test Procedure applies, and
use Fig. El and, if necessary,  Eq. (E2) to estimate a CO emission              •
factor.  Correction factors for cold ambient temperatures,  altitude            •
and percentages of vehicles operating from cold starts may  be estimated
using guidance in Section 4.4 of the screening procedure or Supplement 5       •
to AP-42.
     3.  Use Eqs. (E4) and (E5), or (E7) and (E7a), plus Eq.  (E6) to           I
estimate traffic volume demand  for the  period of interest.                      m
     4.  Estimate base running  time from the source's physical con-
figuration and operating policies, as illustrated in expressions               I
(E8a)-(E8g).  Use Eqs. (E14a) and (E14b) or (E16a)  and E16b)  to
apportion exit and entrance traffic among the source's gates.  Use             •
Eq. (E10), (Ell), or (E12) to estimate  excess running time  spent in            •
each exit and entrance queue at self-parking facilities having
unsignalized gates.  If a facility's gates have traffic signals, use           I
Eq. (E13) for this purpose.  Use Eq. (E16c) to estimate average excess
running time spent in queues at self-parking facilities. Usually              I
there is no excess running time in queues for attendant-operated               •
facilities.  Use Eq. (E9) to estimate running time.
     5.  Estimate emission density using Eq. (El).                               •
     6.  Refer to the microanalysis section in Appendix A to estimate
the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing traffic on nearby CO con-           |
centrations.  The procedure is  as follows:                                      •

                                                                                I

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 I
 V                a.  Estimate traffic demand for each lane j in road segment i
          using Eqs. (AT 2) or (A13).  If necessary, adjust the demand for the
 |       impact of mass transit using Eqs. (A14) or (A15).  Apportion demand
 _       among lanes, making sure that Eq. (A2) is satisfied.
 ™                b.  If the analysis does not concern an at-grade intersection,
 V       estimate capacity of the road segment using Eq. (A10) and the lane
          capacities using Eq. (A16).  Check that Eq. (A3) is satisfied.  If not,
 |       adjust the lane capacities so that Eq. (A3) is satisfied.
 _                c.  Determine volume to capacity ratios (v../c..) for each
 •       lane.  Given the type of road and the average highway speed, use the
 •       appropriate one of Figs, A2-A5 to estimate vehicle operating speeds
          in each lane.
                   d.  Use Fig. A6 to estimate the speed corrected 1975 emission
 —        factor for each lane.  For years other than 1975, adjust this factor
 ™        with Equation (A17).  Use Eq. (A17a) to correct for cold starts and
 •        ambient temperature, as needed.
                   e.  Use Eq. (All) to estimate the line source emission intensity
 J        of freely flowing traffic.
                   f.  For at-grade signalized intersections, use information
 *        concerning signal cycle lengths  and green time to signal cycle ratios
 •        to estimate queue lengths with Eq. (A18).  Consider emissions over the
          queue length to be the sum of those from freely flowing traffic and
          excess emissions.  Elsewhere, emissions are attributable to freely
          flowing traffic.  Estimate emissions from freely flowing traffic using
 •        Eq. (All), and excess emissions  using Eq. (A19).  Alternatively, use
 •        the information in Tables A8-A12 directly to estimate appropriate emis-
          sions and queue lengths.
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                                                                    I
g.  For non-signalized intersections,  estimate the average
                        E-4
                                                                    I
queue length using Eq. (A20).  Use Eq. (A21) to estimate the emission
intensity over the queue at the intersection approach.   Estimate the          •
distances over which vehicles may accelerate and decelerate using
Eq. (A22).  The emission intensity over this distance is obtained             •
using Eq. (A23).  Use Eq. (All) to estimate emission intensity else-
where.
EII.  Key Design and Operating Parameters                                     I
      The general  approach of this methodology is to require pro-
spective developers to furnish certain essential information.  A              •
second set of information is identified as desirable if available.             •
If a developer is  unable to provide this second body of optional
information, data  compiled for a limited number of parking facilities         •
in a report prepared for EPA  or estimation techniques  described in
this appendix will have to suffice.  The methodology for estimating           1
emissions and, ultimately, air quality is necessarily general.                M
Therefore, the developer should be encouraged to use data and methods
which are specifically applicable for the area and peculiar to the             M
facility under consideration.
     Table El presents information which should be provided by a              |
developer in order to estimate emissions from a parking facility.             •
The parking space capacity parameter in Table El is of greater impor-         *
tance for parking  facilities than for other types of indirect sources,        B
because the amount of traffic using the facility is more dependent  on
this parameter than is the case with other indirect sources.  This             |
                                                                              I
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  •      dependence arises because, unlike other indirect sources, the parking
         facility is not the object of a trip.  Rather, it serves to accom-
         modate traffic wanting to visit nearby attractions.   Consequently,
         assuming there is a need for a parking facility, the peak amount of
 •      traffic utilizing it is largely determined by its parking space
 •      capacity.*  The type of facility (garage or open lot) is primarily
         of interest in relating emissions to ambient CO concentrations.  For
 I      indirect source—parking management review only outdoor concentrations
         are of interest.  The type of parking utilized is of importance in
 •      estimating typical vehicle running times.  Generally, running times
 •      are diminished with attendant-parking.  The physical layout and exit
         capacities are of importance in apportioning emissions about the
 •      facility and in determining running times when vehicle use rates
         approach exit/entrance capacity.  The type of area in which the
 B      facility is located to a large extent determines the diurnal pattern
 •      of use rates and enables a more informed estimate of 1 and 8-hour peak
         use rates to be made.   Direct estimates of peak 1-hour and 8-hour
 fl      rates and base running times are also highly desirable.   Data con-
         cerning the surrounding road network are of interest in determining
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         whether the lot's  presence is  enough  to  cause  the  impact at nearby
         intersections  to become intolerable.
•       *This would not necessarily  be  true  however,  if  the  lot was a multi-
™       purpose one, such as  a  sports stadium  parking lot which was also used
         to park commuting traffic.   In  such  cases,  a  more direct estimate of
         peak traffic volume demand would  be  needed.
                                           E-5

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     Table 1.  PARKING FACILITY PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR AIR QUALITY

               IMPACT ANALYSIS
 I.  Essential Parameters

     Parameter

Parking Space Capacity

Type of Facility

Type of Parking

Number and capacity of
exits/entrances, physical
size and layout as determined
from plans or blueprints
Type of area in which
facility is located
       Remarks



Garage or open lot

Attendant or self parking

Available from plans for the facility
denoting the configuration of entrance/
exits and access roads.  In the case
of attendant-operated facilities
capacity is determined by the number
of attendants on duty.

For example, central shopping district,
entertainment district, fringe areas
serving commuters, etc.
Diurnal Use Rate Patterns

Traffic Volume Demand on Access
Roads and its Diurnal Variation

Access Road Capacities

Number of Parking Attendants
Employed

Green time to signal Cycle Ratio   Needed to estimate approach capacities
at Nearby Intersection Approaches  at intersections and to estimate queue
                                   lenqths when the siqnal is rert.
Number of Signal Cycles per Hour
Needed to estimate queue lenqths
durinq red siqnal phases.
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1

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1


Table 1 (continued) PARKING FACILITY PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR



AIR QUALITY IMPACT ANALYSIS


II. Desirable Parameters, if Available
Parameter
Peak Use Rate
Base Running Time







EIII. Estimation of
Remarks
Vehicles/hour
Sec,
This is a function of parking
space configuration (e.g.
90°, 45°, etc.) and whether
the facility uses self-or
attendant-parking, and physical
configuration.

Emissions from Parking Facilities
The approach taken in estimating the peak impact of parking
facility emissions on
estimates obtained wi
of sources passing in

ambient CO concentrations is to superimpose
th a line source model (to denote contributions
the immediate vicinity of the receptor) upon

those obtained with an area source model (denoting emissions arising
from overall activity
necessary to express






within the facility). Consequently, it is
emissions in two ways:




E-7


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     (1)  As emission density to denote overall  activity generated              •
by the indirect source, and
     (2)  As a line source of emissions, such as those which  might              •
be found in the vicinity of exit or entrance queues,  on access  roads             •
or at nearby intersection approaches.
     A.  Emission Density Calculations                                          I
         Equation (El) expresses the technique used to estimate area
source emission density.                                                        •
    where
                                      ?
                                                                                 •
                                                                                 *
         Q = emission density, gm/sec-m
       EF = average emission factor gm/min-veh                                   |
        V = traffic volume demand veh/hr
       RT = average running time spent per trip* within  the  facility             •
            during any given period of time,  sec
                                   2                                            I
        A = area of the facility, m                                             •
1/216,000 = conversion factor from    f! to  gm/sec.
                                                                                 •

         Total emission rate for the parking lot could be estimated
using Equation (El a)                                                             |
     where
         Q = gm/sec                                                               I
         Equation (El a) may be of particular use for estimating emissions         •
from parking garages where emissions are released through a vent.
*0ne vehicle visiting the parking lot makes 2 trips—one coming, one going
                                E-fl
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1
1
1
124,
24
Inn
22
m 20
118
1
1
I16
1"
oc
0
t- ,/l
12
1
CO 19
C/3 1*
• §
1
1
• u
1
•
11
0
1
1
1
1
1

— 	

• 	
^ •- 	




— 	

	 	
*\ —
r 1
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 6
VEHICLE SPEED, mph
Figure E1 . Composite emission factors for carbon monoxide for calendar year 1975.
E-9

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  •             The emission factors previously derived are appropriate for
            national mixes of model years with a certain percentage (20%) of
            vehicles assumed to be operating from cold starts near sea level
  _         with ambient temperatures ranging from 68°-86°F.  If local conditions
  "         are different from these assumptions, it may be necessary to multiply
  •         the emission factors obtained using the procedures outlined above by
            a local correction factor.  If the assumptions concerning altitude,
            percentage of cold starts and ambient temperature used in deriving
 _         an emission factor are not appropriate, Section 4.4 of the screening
 •         procedure or Supplement 5 to AP-42 may be used to derive an appropriate
 •         correction factor.
                 It should be pointed out that if it is determined that extra
            emissions attributable to cold starts and cold temperatures only
 _         occur for a relatively short time (e.g., 4 minutes), higher emission
 ™         factors should be used only until a typical vehicle becomes warm.
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                                                                                I
         2.  Determination of Traffic Volume Demand (V)                          •
             Parking facilities are distinctive from other types of
indirect sources in that they do not provide a source of attraction             |
per se.  The traffic volume demand or use rate is dependent on two              _
factors:                                                                        •
             (1)  The number of parking spaces (i.e. parking space              •
capacity available in the facility), and
             (2)  The demographic and functional characteristics of             |
the area served by the parking facility.                                        _
In the absence of indications to the contrary, it may be assumed that           *
during periods of peak use, the parking facility is used to capacity.           •
Hence, the peak number of vehicles running during any period of interest
is directly proportional to the facility's parking space capacity.              J
The rationale behind this assumption is that the parking facility is
a business which is being run for the express (rather than incidental)           •
purpose of accommodating vehicles.  Given the costs of land and operating       •
costs in most areas likely to be of interest, it seems reasonable to
assume that a developer of a parking facility would make every effort            I
not to design a facility which is never utilized to capacity.  Conversely
however, it would be a relatively easy matter to indicate when the               •
facility is full and hence avoid the problem of having more vehicles than        •
can be accommodated milling around looking for parking spaces.
             The demographic-functional characteristics of the area              •
surrounding the parking facility determines the diurnal  pattern (and
hence the peak 1-hour and 8-hour volume demands) of the parking                  •

                                                                                 I
                                  E-12
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 •       facility use rate.  For example, the peak one-hour volume
         demand for a facility serving primarily commuting traffic might
 B       represent a very high percentage of the facility's parking space
 •       capacity, while the use rate averaged over an 8-hour period might
         be considerably lower.  On the other hand, a parking facility
 •       located in a downtown commercial district used primarily for shopping
         might have a fairly steady use rate in which the 1- and 8-hour peak
 B       use rates agreed closely.  The percentage of the facility's parking
 •       capacity that these use rates represented would depend on the type
         of shopping done and the length of stay it engendered.
 •                    There are two procedures which might be used to estimate
         peak use rates for a proposed parking facility if the developer has
 B       not provided an estimate for these or if one wishes to check the esti-
 •       mate which is provided by the developer.  The most preferable way
         would be to:
 •                        a.  Observe use rates  at a nearby facility serving
         the same or similar area.
 B                        b.  Express these observed use rates as  a function
 •       of the existing parking facility's parking space capacity as shown in
         Eq. (E4)  or Eq. (E5) for 1- and 8-hour  sampling times respectively.
 B                   _ (peak use rate, veh/hr)                             /F4x
                   u ~ (parking space capacity)                            v  '
I
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vu =
|                v,, = relative use rate,  hr
      8
1/8   z   (use rate, veh/hr)
,     ^	 I                      (E5)
(parking  space capacity)
                               peak contiguous
                               8-hr,  period
I
 u
                        E-13

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                                                                               I
                 c.  Combine the estimates obtained with Eqs. (E4)             I
or (E5) with the proposed facility's parking space capacity to esti-
mate the peak 1-hour and/or 8-hour traffic volume demand in Eq. (E6).          I

         V = vu (parking space capacity)                         (E6)          I
     where
         V = peak traffic volume demand, veh/hr.                               •
If there are no existing parking facilities in the vicinity of the pro-        •
posed one, or if data concerning diurnal use rate patterns are unavail-
able, an alternate technique for estimating peak 1-hour and 8-hour             I
traffic volume demand would proceed as follows:
                 a.  Obtain hourly traffic flow rates on roads nearby          B
the proposed facility from the local highway department or from traffic        •
counts.
                 b.  Determine the total traffic flow on these roads           •
during the operating hours of the proposed facility.
                 c.  Use Eqs. (E7) or (E7a) to determine the peak 1-           •
or 8-hour relative use (flow) rates, hr.
            - (Peak hourly traffic flow rate, veh/hr)
   = v --- ••--•"'•X
   ~ " I hourly fl
        the proposed facility's operation, veh)
                   8
              1/8  z   (Hourly traffic flow rate, veh/hr)
                  t=l
vu =
     L '-
        facility's operation, veh)
              z (hourly flow rates during hours of proposec
(E7a)
                                                                      I
              z (hourly flow rates_during the hours of           vu''          •
                                                                      I
                                                          J)eak                •
                                                           contiguous
                                                           8-hour period       •


                                  E-14                                         "
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                  (d)  Use Eq. (E6) to estimate peak 1-hour and/or

8-hour traffic volume demands.

The first technique for estimating peak 1- and 8-hour traffic flow

rates is illustrated using example data contained in Fig. 8 of a

report prepared for EPA on vehicle behavior in and around parking

lots1.

             Table E2 presents the pertinent data on diurnal  use

rate patterns for the garage cited in the example.  It is assumed

that the parking space capacity for the facility illustrated  in the

following example is 700 vehicles.

               Table E2.  EXAMPLE DIURNAL USE RATE PATTERNS

Time of
Day
0800
0900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
Use Rate +
(Veh/hr)
17
62
147
240
242
260
297
266
283
223
131
14
Relative Use
Rate, (hr"1)
.024
.089
.21
.34
.35
.37
.42*
.38
.40
.32
.19
.02
Running Average
8-hr. Relative
Use Rate, (hr"1)
.003
.014
.040"
.083
.13
.17
.23
.27
.32
.35*_








.35
.31
+ = use rate is assumed to be the sum of vehicle entrances and exits
    during the hour.

* = peak 1- and 8-hour relative use rates.
                                E-15

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                                                                               I
             If a new garage with a parking space capacity of 500              _
spaces is planned nearby to serve the same type of clientele, then             *
Eq. (6) may be used to estimate peak 1- and 8-hour traffic volume              •
demands.
     For 1 hour:                                                               £
         V = (.42)(500) = 210 vehicles/hr.                       (E6)           _
     For 8 hours:                                                              ^
         V = (.35)(500) = 175 vehicles/hr.                       (E6)           •
         3.  Determination of Average Vehicle Running Times (RT)
             Traffic movement in a parking facility has  been charac-            J
terized by eight operational modes (approach, entrance,  movement-in,            —
stop, start, movement-out, exit, departure).   Associated with each             ™
parking facility, there is a characteristic vehicle running time  which         •
occurs when there is little or no congestion.  This parameter is  called
the "Base Running Time," and it would be highly desirable for the              |
developer to provide the control agency with an estimate of Base  Running        _
Time (BRT).  Base Running Time may be estimated from a plan of the              •
proposed facility indicating dimensions, parking space orientation,              •
exit/entrance configurations, and from knowledge of traffic control
devices, probable driving patterns and operational customs.  An example         J
of the procedure used in deriving base running time from the source's
physical configuration and operating policies is illustrated by                 ^
expressions (E8a)-(E8g).                                                        •

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/Distance between entrance and nearest\
Ecrc ADoroach Time - ^intersection on the access road, m /
Base approacn nme (posted speed liniit> mysecj


Base tntrance nme ^n entrance gate capacity, veh/sec)
/
[Distance from center of lot to main
Ea-c Movement in Time ~ \ent™nce measured along traffic lanes
Base movement in nme (speed I1m1t in ^ m/$ec)
Base Stop, Base Start Time ~ 5-10 sec each depending on angle
parking lane width
(Distance from center of lot to main
Ea-c Movement out Time ~ ™easured alon^ traffic lanes, m
Base movement out nme (speed I1m1t 1p ^ m/secj
1

a (main exit gate capacity, veh/sec)

[Distance between main exit and nearest)
Ecrc Departure Time ~ Intersection on the access road, m /
Base ueparture nme (postec| speed ll-n,1-t| m/sec)
BRT - (E8a) + (E8b) + (E8c) + (E8d) + (E8e) + (E8f) + (E8g)

(E8a)

(E8b)


/rn_\

°f (E8d)
exit)
' /r-n


(E8f)


(E8g)

Table E3 presents typical values for BRT observed for a limited number
of parking garages.

Table E3. EXAMPLE BASE RUNNING TIMES FOR PARKING GARAGES


Type of Operation Base Running Time, sec

Attendant-operated 200
Self-parking 250


E-17












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     The longer BRT's associated with self-parking are attributed to
and entrances during the peak 1-hour and 8-hour use periods, and
                                 E-18
                                                                              I
vehicles idling longer near exits and entrances while picking up the
parking ticket or paying the bill.                                            •
     In calculating emission density, it is critically important that
running time be properly coordinated with traffic volume demand.  For         •
example, the peak volume demand (V) previously calculated includes            •
vehicles both arriving and leaving.  Hence a single vehicle is,  in
effect, counted twice—once when it arrives, once when it leaves.              I
Therefore, if one were to use the total  Base Running Time in conjunc-
                                                                              I
tion with the previously derived peak volume demand,  emissions would
be overestimated.  Since BRT's appear to be approximately evenly
divided among arriving and departing modes,  it is  recommended that
one-half the BRT be used in computing running times for parking               I
facilities.
             a.  Running Times at Self -Parking Facilities                     I
                 For any period of interest, total  running time for           •
self-parking facilities may be expressed as the sum of the Base
Running Time plus the average of any increased delay  occurring as  the         I
result of congestion at exits/entrances.
                                                                 (E9)
                                                                              '
     where RT and BRT are expressed in seconds,  and TTT  is  the
average excess running time spent in exit and entrance queues, sec.
The average excess running time spent in entrance/exit queues  (RT )
depends on how the traffic volume demand is apportioned among  exits             I
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upon the individual exit and entrance gate capacities. The excess
running time spent in an exit queue at unsignalized exit
gate j with
an exit traffic volume demand of X. is given by Eq. (E10), (Ell),
J
or (E12).
— —
nT _ 3600 Xj , X,/C.. < .95

Q J U • L • *" A •
j j j
DT 3600 /20\ .95 > X./C, < 1
RT« " y '
\ *
_ 3600 20 (XT ' CJ>
RTqj - C7 2C.
J J
where



(E10)

(Ell)


(E12)



C. = capacity of the exit to accommodate vehicles, veh/hr.
J
X. = traffic demand using exit j, veh/hr.
3600 = conversion factor from hr. to sec.


Excess running time spent entering or exiting from a parking lot with
Q
signalized exit/entrances may be estimated using Equation (E12) .
9 O
, x (CJ (c') (1-G/C.r 1800 v C /
/PJ \ _ y y ^ y
\ qL 2(c' - v) c1 G(c'G - vCJ
L
where

(E13)
j


/RT_\ = excess running time spent entering or exiting
\ /j at entrance/exit j, sec i
C = signal cycle length, sec.
*/

c1 = unimpeded capacity at a signalized intersection
approach, vph

E-19






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                                                                         I
    G = amount of green time per signal cycle for the inter-             I
        section approach of interest, sec.                               •
             section approach of interest, sec.
         G/C  = green time to signal cycle ratio, dimensionless.              •
         v = traffic demand at the intersection approach of interest,
             vph.                                                             _
Ideally, it would be desirable if the apportionment of traffic volume
demand for various gates were provided by the developer as the result         I
of traffic projections made in designing the facility.  If such
information is not available, one of two methods could be used to             |
apportion traffic through various gates.  The most preferable method          «
would be to apportion gate use according to access road capacity.
Thus for gate j                                                               •
         x  = P v [capacity of access road j      ~j             ,F1A v        m
          j    j  |_z (capacity of all access roads )J             vtina;        •

                                                                              I
         e. = fraction exit traffic is of the total  traffic passing            I
          J   through gate j.                                                  m
Conversely, the entering traffic passing through gate j can be estimated       •
using Eq. (E14b).
where
    X. = exit traffic flow through gate j, veh/hr.
     J
         M. = (1-e.) V
          J       J
                        capacity of access road j
z (capacity of access roaosj
                                          (E14b)
     where
         M. = entrance traffic flow through gate j,  veh/hr.
          J
                                 E-?Q
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  I
  •                        Equations (E10)  - (E12)  or (E13)  may be used to esti-
           mate excess running time associated with  entrance  queues as well.   If
  I       such a procedure is followed, each M.  is  apportioned directionally on
  M       the access road, and the entering traffic from each direction is set
           equal to v..  This v. value is then substituted for X.  in Eqs.  (E10) -
                     J         J                                J
  I       (E12) or for v in Eq. (E13).   The excess  running time spent entering
           entrance j would be the mean value of  the excess running time spent
  |        entering entrance j from each direction on the access road.
  M                         Since it is  not  very  likely that  incoming and outgoing
           traffic will be evenly divided during  a peak use period, values for "e."
  f        in Equations (E14) are likely to  be greater than "0.7"  or less  than "0.3."
           At parking lots serving event-oriented attractions  (such as the theatre
 |        district), at the conclusion  of the event the fraction  of exiting
 •        traffic is likely to approach "1" while entering traffic would  be
           insignificant.   The fraction  e. should be determined by observing
 I
           entrance and exit counts at nearby existing facilities and using Eq.  (El 5)
                       =  (exits/hr)                                        (E15)
                     J        V
 I                   J         "j
 «              where
                    V.  =  traffic  volume  demand  using  gate j
                     J    (exits and  entrances), veh/hr.
•         If it is  not possible  to  obtain  data for nearby existing facilities  ,
•         an "e." value  of 0.8 (or  0.2)  should be used  for  facilities which will
           not be located near event-oriented attractions or attractions exhibiting
•         a  distinctively skewed diurnal use pattern (e.g.  commuter lots).  For
I                                           E-21
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all other facilities, "e."  should  be  assumed  to be 1.0 (or 0).  If

there are two or more gates onto the  same access road or if traffic

capacity data are unavailable for  the access  roads, traffic volume

demand should be apportioned according to gate capacities.  Thus,
    XJ • ej

                      c.
                                                                (E16a)
     where c. = exit gate capacity,  veh/sec
            J
     and M. = (1-e.)  V
          J       J
                         G.
                   £  G.
                                                           (E16b)
where G .
       J
     Thus,
                entrance gate  capacity  (obtained by averaging the
                capacity for right  and  left turns from the access
                road).
    "V
                all  entrance
                and  exit queues
                                                                (E16c)
     where J = number of exit  gates + entrance gates*

             b.   Running Times  at Attendant-Operated Facilities

                 It is very unlikely that total running time per trip

will increase substantially over BRT at attendant-operated lots.  This
                                 2
is a result of people simply leaving their vehicles at the lot to be
*If one gate has exit and entrance  lanes,  it counts as 2 gates.
                                E-22
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         I
         •       parked later by the attendant or waiting at the cashier window for
                  the attendant to deliver their car.  In neither case, is the vehicle
         I       likely to be found in a queue with its engine running.  An exception
                  to this may occur if the facility's reservoir capacity (i.e. the max.
         •       allowable backlog of cars which can be left within the facility with-
         •       out being parked) is exceeded by the peak arrival rate.  In such a
                  case some vehicles may be idling in queues waiting to get into the
         •        facility.  Thus, for attendant-operated facilities, the reservoir
                  capacity should be checked to insure that it would exceed the pro-
         •        jected backlog of vehicles under the estimated peak arrival rate.
         •        This check can be performed using Eq. (El 7) and Fig. E2.

         •                 P = ^                                               (E17>
                       where P = the parking storage rate, vehicles/hr.
        I                   N = the number of attendants on duty
                             T = the average time (minutes) required by an
                                 attendant to park a vehicle
                           Q
                  Figure E2  depicts the reservoir capacity needed when the parking
                  storage rate is less than or approaching the arrival rate.   The peak
        •         arrival rate will  always be less than the peak use rate (which counts
                  both entering and leaving traffic).  How much less is a function of
        jj         the demographic and functional  characteristics of the area  in which
        _         the facility is to be located.   The fraction the peak arrival rate
        ™         is of the peak use rate (1-e.)  can best be estimated by observing
                                              J
        •         counts of entering and leaving  traffic at nearby existing facilities
                  similar to the manner in the preferred method for estimating diurnal
I
                  usage patterns described earlier.  If this is impractical, in the
                                                    E-23

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absence of indications  to  the  contrary, peak arrival rate should be

set equal to peak use rate for facilities located near event-oriented

attractions or diurnally-skewed attractions.  For all other facili-

ties the arrival rate should be assumed to be 0.8 times the use rate.

Unless the reservoir capacity  is inadequate to accommodate the peak

arrival rate [as determined by Eq.  (E17) and Fig. E2], vehicle

running times for attendant-operated lots should be assumed equal

to the Base Running Time values divided by "2."  In the rate cases

when reservoir capacity is exceeded, runn. ,g time per vehicle should

be estimated using Eq.  (E17a).
= BRT
                   + 3600
["(
(Peak
                                           Rate) -

                                     (E17a)
     where P = parking  storage  rate,  veh/hr.
      "3600" = number of  seconds  in which storage rate is exceeded
               during an  hour.
                                  sToi:A.r.F RATE — 1.10 ARRIVAL RATE
                 0  20  10  GO   80   100 120  140  100  180  200  220 240

                    AVERAGE NUMBER OK CARS ARRIVING DURING PEAK HOUR
                          Figure £2. RESERVOIR SPACE
                                  E-24
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               IB.  Estimating Peak Impacts Within or Near the Parking Lot
                   or on Access Roads Removed from the Lot
                   Peak concentrations of CO are likely to occur in the vicinity
   •      of exit/entrances to the lot, near access roads or at nearby inter-
   •      sections.  Traffic at such locations may be characterized as line
          sources of pollution.  Two situations are of interest:  the case where
  •      traffic flows freely by the receptor; and the case where queues form
          in the vicinity of the receptor.  At traffic lanes within or adjacent
  •      to an open parking lot, the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing
  •      vehicles on CO concentrations in the vicinity of the lanes should be
          added to estimates obtained using an area source model relating the
  I      source's upwind dimension and emission density to CO concentrations
          and general background levels.  More details concerning this procedure
  •       are presented in Appendix H.  Equation (El) is used to estimate the
  •       appropriate emission density.
                   n _ (EF) 00 (RT)                                      ,m
  •                M "   216,000 A                                        ^  '
               The discussion in Appendix A concerning microscale impact analysis
 I       may be used to estimate the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing
 •       traffic on nearby CO concentrations.  Equation (All) is used to esti-
          mate the impact of freely flowing traffic.  If traffic at a signalized
 I       intersection is of interest, excess emissions over a finite queue
          [obtained using Equations (A18) and (A19)] are added to emissions
 •        estimated for line sources of freely flowing traffic with Eq. (All).
 •        Emissions near a non-signalized intersection may be approximated with
          Equations (A20)-(A23) and with Equation (All).
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                             REFERENCES                                    "
(1) Thayer, S. D., "Vehicle Behavior in and Around Complex  Sources          Ij
and Related Complex Source Characteristics:  Volume IV  -  Parking
Facilities;" EPA-450/3-74-003 d.   (October 1973);  National  Technical        |
Information Service, Springfield,  Va.  22161.                                _
(2) Kunselman, P., H. T.  McAdams,  C. J. Domke and  M.  Williams;              ™
"Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis Model;"  EPA-460/3-74-005;      •
(January 1974); National  Technical  Information Service, Springfield,
Va. 22161.                                                                 §
(3) "Compilation of Air Pollutant  Emission Factors,"  EPA  Publication        —
No. AP-42 (Second Edition) Supplement 5; (In Press).                        •
(4) 40 CFR 85; "1975 Federal Test  Procedures;" Federal  Register 36,         •
No. 128; (July 2, 1971).
(5) Williams, M. E., J. T. White,  L. A. Platte,  and C.  J. Domke;             §
"Automobile Exhause Emission Surveillance—Analysis of  the  FY 72             _
Program;" EPA-460/2-74-001; (February 1974);  National Technical              •
Information Service; Springfield,  Va.  22161.                                 •
(6) Ashby, H. A., R. C. Stahman, B.  H.  Eccleston,  and R.  W.  Hum;
"Vehicle Emissions--Summer to Winter;"  Paper No. 741053 presented            |
at the SAE Automobile Engineering  Meeting; Toronto, Canada;  (Oct. 21-        _
25, 1974); Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc.;  400 Commonwealth           *
Drive, Warrendale, Pa.  15096.                                               •
(7) Hillier, F. S. and G. J. Lieberman, Introduction  to Operations
Research, Holden-Day, Inc.; San Francisco, Calif.; (1967);  Ch. 10.           J
(8)  Newell, G. F.; "Approximate Methods for Queues with  Application
to the Fixed Cycle Traffic Light;"  SIAM Review 7 No.  2; (1965).               •
(9)  The Eno Foundation for Highway Traffic Control,  "Parking," (1957);       •
Saugatuck, Ct.
                               E-26

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APPENDIX F.  METHOD FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS AT AMUSEMENT PARKS
     This appendix is intended to provide guidance concerning
     a mora detailed analysis of proposed indirect sources
     should this be necessary or desirable pursuant to
     40 CFR 52.22(b).  The materials contained herein are
     offered as suggestions.   Alternate analytical approaches
     for evaluating the impact of a proposed source may be
     used if it can be demonstrated that they are more appli-
     cable to the source under review.
             U.  S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
         Office  of  Air Quality Planning and Standards
             Research Triangle Park,  N.C.   27711
                         January 1975
                             F-i

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 I

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                                        APPENDIX F.
 |                  METHOD FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS AT AMUSEMENT PARKS

 I           The purpose of this appendix is to provide a means for assisting
         air pollution control agencies or developers to estimate vehicular
 I      emissions associated with the operation of an amusement park.  Generally,
 •      there are two types of amusement parks in operation—the "theme" type
         (e.g., Disneyland) with shows and exhibits, and the "traditional" type
 I      with rides and games only (e.g., Coney Island) .   Since the "theme"
         park represents a substantial development which is a relatively rare
 |      event, a more complete environmental impact analysis would appear
 M      warranted.  The analysis herein has the more limited objective of
         estimating emissions using design and operating parameters known to
 I      the developer.  The estimated emissions will subsequently be used to
         estimate the impact of the amusement park on ambient air quality in the
 |      immediate vicinity of the park.
 M            Section FI of this appendix summarizes a methodology which could
         be used to estimate total CO emissions arising from the operation of an
 I       amusement park, and to estimate CO emissions in the vicinity of locations
         likely to experience peak CO concentrations (e.g., exit/entrance gates,
 |       traffic lanes, nearby intersection approaches).  The remaining portions
•        of the appendix discuss how the methodology described in Section FI
*        might best be implemented.
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                                                                              I
FI.  Procedure for Estimating Emissions in the Vicinity of an Amuse-          •
     ment Park
     1.  Obtain estimates for the design and operating parameters             I
included in Table Fl.
     2.  Estimate emission factors (EF) for vehicles utilizing the            •
amusement park based  on the appropriate driving cycle for vehicles            •
utilizing amusement parks.  If this is not practical use Fig. Fl  (and
Eq. (F2), if necessary) to estimate the appropriate emission factor           I
for automobiles.  For buses, use Sections 3.1.4.3 and 3.1.5 to estimate
emission factors for  gasoline and diesel-powered vehicles.  Use Eq. (F3)      •
to estimate a composite emission factor for buses.  If appropriate local      •
data concerning the nature of operation and the mix of local vehicles
are available, multiply the emission factor by a local correction factor.      I
Use guidance in Section 4.4 of the screening procedure or Supplement 5
to AP-42 to derive correction factors for differing percentages of cold        •
starting vehicles, ambient temperatures and altitudes.                         •
     3.  Use Eqs. (F6) and (F7) so that Eq. (F5) may be used to esti-
mate the traffic volume demand (V) at the amusement park during the            I
period of interest.
     4.  Estimate Base Running Time (BRT) using expressions similar to         •
(F8a)-(F8g) and Eq. (F9).                                                      •
     5.  During periods in which the main parking lot(s) are full,
extra running time required to move to auxiliary overflow lots should          I
be estimated using Eq. (F10).
                               F-2
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  I
              6.  Apportion exiting and entering traffic among exit and entrance
  _      gates using Eqs. (F12) and (F13), or (F14) and (F15).  If the informa-
  ™      tion required to use (F12)-(F15) is not available, use Eqs. (F17) and
  •      (F18) or (F19) and (F20).
              7.  Use Eq. (F10) or Eq. (F20) or Eq. (F21) to estimate the excess
         running time spent in queues at each exit and entrance gate not having
  _      a traffic signal.  Use Eq. (F23) to estimate excess running time at
  •      signalized entrance/exits.  Use Eq. (F24) to estimate average excess
  •      running time spent in queues.
              8.  Estimate running time (RT) in Eq. (F25) using the information
         obtained from Eqs. (F9)s (F10) and (F24).
              9.  Estimate emission density in the amusement park's traffic
         lots using Eq. (Fl).
 •           10.  Refer to the microanalysis section in Appendix A to estimate
         the impact of freely flowing and/or queueing traffic on nearby CO
 |      concentrations.  The procedure is as follows:
 B                a.  Estimate traffic demand for each lane j in road segment i
 •      using Eqs. (A12) or (A13).  If necessary, adjust the demand for the
 •      impact of mass transit using Eqs. (A14) or (A15).  Apportion demand
         among lanes, making sure that Eq. (A2) is satisfied.
 |                b.  If the analysis does not concern an at-grade intersection,
         estimate capacity of the road segment using Eq. (A10) and the lane
 •       capacities using Eq. (A16).   Check that Eq. (A3) is satisfied.  If not,
 •       adjust the lane capacities so that Eq. (A3) is satisfied.

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                                                                              I

          c.  Determine volume to capacity ratios (v../c..)  for each          |
                                                    I J   I J
lane.  Given the type of road and the average highway speed, use the          «
appropriate one of Figs. A2-A5 to estimate vehicle operating speeds           ™
in each lane.                                                                 •
          d.  Use Fig. A6 to estimate the speed corrected 1975 emission
factor for each lane.  For years other than 1975, adjust this factor          |
with Equation (A17).  Use Section 4.4 of the screening  procedure or           _
Supplement 5 of AP-42 to correct for cold starts and ambient temperature,     ™
as needed.                                                                    •
          e.  Use Eq. (All) to estimate the line source emission intensity
of freely flowing traffic.                                                    J
          f.  For at-grade signalized intersections, use information          _
concerning signal cycle lengths and green time to signal cycle ratios         *
to estimate queue lengths with Eq. (A18).  Consider emissions over the         •
queue length to be the sum of those from freely flowing traffic and
excess emissions.  Elsewhere, emissions are attributable to  freely             |
flowing traffic.  Estimate emissions from freely flowing traffic using         —
Eq. (All), and excess emissions using Eq. (A19).  Alternatively, use           ™
the information in Tables A8-A12 directly to estimate appropriate emis-        •
sions and queue lengths.
          g.  For non-signalized intersections, estimate the average           g
queue length using Eq. (A20).  Use Eq. (A21) to estimate the emission          _
intensity over the queue at the intersection approach.   Estimate the           •
distances over which vehicles may accelerate and decelerate  using Eq.          •
(A22).  The emission intensity over this distance is obtained using
Eq. (A23).  Use Eq.  (All) to estimate emission intensity elsewhere.            |
                              F-4
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          FII.  Identification of Key Design and Operating Variables
               Two key elements in the design of an amusement park become evident
 •        in assessing the park's impact on emissions  :
 •                  (1)  The entrance capacity must be sufficient to  handle park
          arrival  rates without creating long entrance queues,  and
 |                  (2)  The number of parking spaces  must be sufficient  to accom-
 _        modate the peak accumulation of vehicles  in  the lots  or_ an  efficient
 •        operational  means should be used to route excess traffic to overflow
 •        parking  areas.
          The approach taken in this appendix is to identify certain  essential
 •        amusement park design and operating parameters  which  must be supplied
 _        by the prospective developer.   A second body of information is  speci-
 •        fied as  highly desirable, and should be provided by the developer if
 •        possible.  If it is not possible for the  developer to provide the
          optional  information, the appropriate parameters are  estimated  using
 I        information  compiled for a number of existing amusement parks  or by
          making best  judgment estimates given the  parameters which the developer
 •        may supply.   The essential  and desirable  parameters are then used to
 •        estimate peak traffic volume demand and accompanying  running times
          for typical  vehicles.  This information,  when combined with information
 I        concerning emission factors, enables estimates  of vehicular emissions
          to be made.
 •             Table Fl  presents the essential  and  highly desirable parameters
 •        which should be provided by developers.   Referring to Table Fl,  "peak

I
                                            F-5
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                                                                             I
capacity" would be synonymous with peak total daily attendance.               J
Anticipated diurnal arrival and departure patterns are critical  in
determining the number of vehicles running in a park's lots during the       •
peak 1- and 8-hour use periods.  Available parking spaces and gate           •
capacities are extremely important in determining how congested  a
lot is likely to become with  peak use rates.   Percent of  crowd likely         I
to arrive by automobile and number of buses likely to be  present are
important parameters in that they enable better estimates of peak            •
traffic volume demand to be made, given crowd projections.  Average          •
vehicle occupancy is a highly desirable parameter because it provides
a means for estimating traffic volume from crowd projections.  Ratio         I
of people in the park to total daily  admission  ticket sales is  also
desirable because it facilitates an estimate of peak occupancy in the         •
parking lot.  Base Running Time is of importance because  it is needed          •
to estimate typical emission levels with little congestion, while the
excess time required to move to auxiliary lots may be of  interest             I
during periods of peak use.  Distribution of traffic demand among
exit/entrance gates and access roads is essential to know in order to          I
determine whether congestion is likely to occur at these  key locations.        •

                                                                              I

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                                  F-6
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            TABLE Fl.  AMUSEMENT PARK PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR

                       AIR QUALITY IMPACT ANALYSIS
    I.  Essential Parameters

        Parameter

Peak Capacity
Anticipated Diurnal Arrival
and Departure Patterns
Available Visitor and
Employee Parking Spaces

Physical Layout and Dimensions
of the Amusement Park
Number of Employees and Percent
of Employees Arriving by
Automobile

Number of Buses Expected and
Fraction of Visitors Using
Mass Transit

Gate Capacities
Traffic Volume Demand and
Capacities for Access Roads
and at Intersection Approaches

Green Time to Signal Cycle Ratio
at Nearby Intersection Approaches
Number of Signal Cycles Per Hour
at Each Nearby Intersection
              Remarks

Maximum number of visitors that can
be accommodated with the existing
park configuration

Fraction that entering and leaving
vehicles comprise of the total daily
arrivals during each hour of the
park's operation on days with anti-
cipated capacity crowds
Needed to help estimate running times
and identify locations with heaviest
congestion
Number of vehicles which can be
accommodated through each entrance
(exit) per unit time

Needed to determine the impact of
the park at nearby approaches
Needed to estimate intersection
approach capacities and queue lengths
on approaches during the red phase

Needed to estimate queue lengths on
each intersection during the"red
phase for each approach
                                 F-7

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      Table FT (Continued).  AMUSEMENT PARK PARAMETERS NEEDED

                             FOR AIR QUALITY IMPACT ANALYSIS
  II.  Highly Desirable Parameters

       Parameter

Base Running Time (BRT)
Average Vehicle Occupancy
Estimated Ratio of People in
the Park at the Most Crowded
Time of Day to Total Daily
Admission Ticket Sales

Estimated Time Required for
Vehicles to Move to Auxiliary
Lots when the Parking Capacity
in the Main Lot is Exceeded

Distribution of Vehicles
through Exit/Entrance Gates
            Remarks

Total time a typical vehicle is
likely to spend with the engine
on while arriving and leaving the
park during periods with little or
no congestion

The average number of visitors
expected per vehicle during periods
with capacity crowds
                                  F-8
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I
        Fill.  Estimating Emissions in the Vicinity of an Amusement Park
 I
              Two types of analyses are necessary in estimating vehicular
 •      emissions likely to occur as a result of the operation of a  proposed
         amusement park.   First, CO emission density attributable to  vehicles
 •      utilizing the source and significant stationary source emissions
 •      should be estimated.  Second, emission rates in the  immediate  vicinity
         of locations which are most likely to become congested (e.g. traffic
 •      lanes leading to exit/entrances and intersection approaches) should be
         estimated.
 •           A.   Emission Density
 •               Estimates of total  emissions and emission density are impor-
         tant because they:
 I               (1)  Provide means  for relating the operation of the  amusement
         park to  emission density limitations which may  be proposed as  a  part of
 m      land use plans or air quality maintenance plans,  and
 •                (2)  Provide means  for estimating the  impact  of the amusement
         park on  representative concentrations of CO at  the site of the amusement
 I       park.
         Equation (Fl) may be used to estimate emission  density at the  amusement
 I       park's parking lots:

                      [(EF)(V)(RT)]autos +  [(EF)(B)(RT)]buses
•                w                   216,000 A

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RT = running time spent in a typical  trip* in the lot,  sec
                                         2
                                                                             I
     where EF = emission factor, gm/min-veh                                  I
            V = auto traffic volume demand, veh/hr
            B = bus traffic volume demand, veh/hr                            •

            A = area occupied by the parking lots, m^
            Q = emission density, gm/sec-m                                   I
    1/216,000 = conversion factor from flm"s[-c to qm/sec.
                                       min-nr                                •
Specific account of emissions from buses may be desirable in Eq.  (Fl),       I
because the emission factors for buses could be appreciably different        •
from those for autos.   In addition, if separate parking facilities are
provided for buses, the running time for buses may be quite different        I
than that for autos.  Finally, an explicit term for buses would facili-
tate analysis of the effect that providing increased mass transit would      •
have on emissions.                                                           •
         1.  Estimating Emission Factors
             (a)  Automobiles                                                I
                  Probably the most accurate estimates of CO emission
factors at amusement parks could be obtained if typical driving cycles       I
(i.e. sequence and amounts of time spent in acceleration, deceleration       •
and steady speed modes of travel) could be estimated explicitly for
amusement parks.  Such a driving cycle could then be simulated with          I
                                                      2
EPA's Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal Analysis Model  to obtain
average trip emission factors for amusement parks.  This  approach has         I

*1 trip is a one-way visit to the park.  A typical vehicle makes  2
trips—one coming, one going.
                                   F-10
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•       been followed  in characterizing emissions at signalized intersections
         in Appendix A.  Unfortunately, the data to implement such a technique
         elsewhere within an amusement park are not available.  Consequently,
         use of CO emission factors based on the 1975 Federal Test Procedure
         (FTP)  may have to suffice.  Figure Fl was obtained using the FTP
•       emission factor for CO presented in Table A3 of Appendix A for a
         1975 mix of light-duty vehicles (88 percent cars, 12 percent light
 I
         trucks) and Tables 3.1.2-6a and b in Supplement 5 of AP-42 to obtain
 _       appropriate speed correction factors (c(s)).  Equation (F2) should
 •       be used to estimate emission factors for vehicle mixes of automobiles
 •       during years other than 1975.

                  IFF   femission factor     1  /ef\                       (F2)
                     ~ [obtained from Fig. F1J  \35/

              where ef = CO emission factor obtained from Table A3 for the
                         year of interest, gm/mi-veh
 I                "55" = CO emission factor for 1975 obtained from Table A3,
 ™                       gm/mi-veh
 •                     (b)  Buses
                            Sections 3.1.4.3 and 3.1.5 in Supplement 5 to AP-423
         provide emission factors (gm/mi-veh)  for heavy-duty gasoline and diesel-
—       powered vehicles respectively.   Once the appropriate emission factor
I
m       for gasoline and diesel -powered buses is estimated from AP-42, a bus
•       CO emission factor with units suitable for use in Eq.  (Fl) can be
         calculated using Eq.  (F3).                   .
                                             I # gas.           #diesel-
I
I
              EF =
                  emission factor obtained
                  from Fig. Fl	
                            (ef)
                                              powered  (ef)   +  powered   (ef) .
                                             \ buses /      "   \  buses   /
buses '    .  „   \ buses
     (total  # of buses)
(F3)
                                       F-ll

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   24r
   22
   20
   18
i"
o
o  14
CO
CO
   10
    T
                   T
                 10     15      20     25     30      35     40

                                  VEHICLE SPEED, mph
45
50      55
60
      Figure F1. Composite emission factors for carbon monoxide for calendar year 1975.
                                   F-12


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I              where (ef)  = the estimated emission  factor for heavy-duty  gasoline-
                          ^   powered vehicles  as  determined from Section 3.1.4.3
                              in Supplement 5 to AP-42,  gm/mi-veh,
                      (ef)d = the estimated emission factor for heavy duty diesel
                              powered vehicles  as  determined from Section  3.1.5  in
•                            Supplement 5 to AP-42, gm/mi-veh,
                       (ef) = emission factor for  light-duty vehicles (gm/mi-veh)
•                            estimated from Table A3 or from Supplement 5 to  AP-42.
           The use of Figure Fl  and Equations (F2) and (F3) implies  a number of
•         assumptions about the mix of vehicles,  percentage of cold starts, altitude
           factors, ambient temperature, etc.  These assumptions are documented  in
I         Appendix A.  If local data are available which indicate these assumptions
•         are not applicable, the emission factor obtained should be multiplied by
           a local correction factor.  If the assumptions concerning altitude,
•         percentage of cold starts and ambient temperature used in deriving  an
           emission factor are not appropriate, guidance in Section  4.4 of the
•         screening procedure or Supplement 5  to  AP-42 may be used  to derive  a
•         correction factor to  the estimates.   It should be pointed out that
           if it is determined that extra emissions attributable to  cold starts  and
•         cold temperatures only occur for a relatively short time  (e.g., 4 minutes),
           higher emission factors should be used  only until  a typical vehicle
•         becomes warm.
•                  2.  Estimating Traffic Volume  Demand (V)
                        For any  number of hours t, the traffic volume demand can
•         be estimated using Eq.  (F5).

I

I

I                                        F-13
      (P)(O(G)           (FJ(E)(PE)
V =
         (avo)                 (avo)
(F5)

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                                                                                 I


     where P = fraction of the crowd arriving by automobile                      I

           cL = fraction that entering and leaving vehicles comprise
                during time period "t" of the total daily vehicle                •
                arrivals                                                         |

           G = estimated peak total daily admission tickets sold (i.e.           B
               equal to peak capacity parameter in Table Fl)                     I

           avo = average automobile occupancy for visitors

           (avo)  = average vehicle occupancy, employees                         I
           B = number of buses arriving and leaving during the period
               of interest
                                                                                 I

           F.  = average hourly fraction of employees  arriving  and                —
                leaving during time period t,  estimated fronTdiurnal              •
                arrival-departure patterns for employees                         •

           V = traffic volume demand,  vph                                        •

           E = number of park employees

           PE = fraction of employees  arriving by auto                           |

Estimates of the parameters "G,"  "B,"  "E," "P," and "PE" must  be supplied        .

by the developer and would be used directly in Eq.  (F5).  The  parameters          ™

"dt" and "Ft" are derivable from  the estimates of diurnal  arrival  and            •

departure patterns required from  the developer, as  shown by Eqs. (F6)
and (F7).
              (# of arrivals + # of departures )t

         dt = (# of arrivals on the peak day)(t)
or
                                                                                 I
              /fraction of totaf\       /fraction of totaT\
              Vdaily arrivals   1   +  I daily departures  J  .                      •
         dt = -	2—£-—:	L±    (F6b)             §


     where t is the number of hours in time period t,  hr.                        I




                                  F-14


                                                                                 I

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 I
 I       Unless there are explicit indications to the contrary, d! should be
1          assumed equal to d, .
                   F  - (# of. employee arrivals + # of employee departures )+
 •                rt "               (# of employees) (t)                  l
 _       Average visitor vehicle occupancy (avo) is a highly desirable para-
 *       meter for the developer to provide.  However, if this is not possible,
 •       past observations   have indicated a range of about 3.2-4.0 persons/
          vehicle with a mean of 3.6.  Therefore, in the absence of better infor-
I
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          nation, a value of "3.6" should be assumed for avo.  Unless there are
 _        indications to the contrary, the average vehicle occupancy for employees
 •        (avo)  may be assumed as "1.3."
 •                     For consistency, the diurnal arrival and departure patterns
          provided by the developer should be checked against the ratio of people
 J        in the park at the most crowded time to total daily admission ticket
 _        sales (R).  While the anticipated diurnal arrival and departure patterns
 •
are required information, it is recognized that they may be somewhat
difficult to estimate.  The information in Table F2 is based on obser-
vations at existing amusement parks ,  and is provided as a guide.   As
a last resort, in the absence of better information the values for
"dt" in Table F2 may be used.
         Table F2.  DIURNAL USE PATTERN PARAMETERS OBSERVED
                    FOR EXISTING AMUSEMENT PARKS

Time Period, t
1 hour
8 hours

d
.25
.15
F-15
R
.85
.73


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                                                                                I
         3.  Estimating Average Trip Running  Time  (RT)                           I
             Eight vehicular operational modes  have been identified
as contributing to total  vehicle  running  time1.  These are:
                                                                                I
             (a)   Approach Mode—Time  vehicle  spends  running on access           _
roads (usually on park property)  during which  traffic movement is strongly
affected by vehicles entering  or  leaving  the park;                               •
             (b)   Entrance Mode—Waiting  and service  time at the ticket
gate or entranceway to the parking  lot;                                          |
             (c)   Movement In  Mode—Driving time  to the designated               —
parking space;                                                                  •
             (d)   Stop Mode—Parking time;                                       •
             (e)   Start Mode—Time  required for egress from parking
space;                                                                          |
             (f)   Movement Out Mode—Driving time from parking space             _
to preferred exit;                                                              •
             (g)   Exit Mode—Time required to  move through exitway;              •
             (h)   Departure Mode—Driving time along  immediate access
road during which movement continues to be influenced by traffic from            |
the amusement park.                                                             _
             The  total running time for a typical vehicle is the sum             ™
of the time spent in the 8 modes  during periods with  little congestion,          •
plus any extra time resulting  from  congestion  of  the  facility during
peak usage periods.  The time  required during  periods of little con-             |
gestion is referred to as the  Base  Running Time  (BRT) and ideally
should be provided by the developer.   If  this  estimate is not available,         •

                                                                                I
                                                                                I

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•       it can be obtained by studying the facility's physical  configuration
         and proposed operating procedures.  An example of the method  used  in
|       estimating BRT is depicted by the following expressions:
Distance between entrance and  nearest;
•
•            Base Approach T1.e -                                  "
              Base Entrance Time - (nia1-n entrance gate capacity,  veh/sec)     (F8b)
•                                    [Distance from center  of  lot
                                      1 to main entrance measured
|            Base MovenKnt-.n T1,e -

I            Base Stop, Base Start Time ~ 5-10 sec  each depended on angle    (F8d)
                                           of parking and lane  width

•                                     (Distance from center of lot to main
I            ^se Movement-Out Time - )g^'          ' """

•            Base Ex1t T1me ' (main exU gate rapacity, veh/sec)             (F8f>
                                    /
                                     •Distance between main exit and nearest
              Base Departure Time -                            l"°ad- "
         BRT ~ (F8a)  + (F8b)  + (F8c)  + (F8d) +  (F8e) +  (F8f) +  (F8g)         (F9)
                      Since both entering  and leaving traffic are counted in
         estimating peak traffic volume demand,  use of  the total BRT to esti-
         mate running time would result in an inappropriately high estimate.
         In most cases the value which can be used would simply be BRT/2.  This
I
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                                                                              I
assumes that, with little or no congestion, running time is about             «
equally divided between entering modes (modes a-d)  and leaving modes
(modes e-h).  If the developer's estimates for base running times in          I
each mode indicate that this simplifying assumption is inappropriate,
it would be necessary to perform separate emission  calculations for           |
entering and leaving traffic.  This analysis would  be performed               «
similarly to the methods described in this appendix, except that only
that portion of the peak volume demand which was due to entering              I
traffic would be associated with running times in modes (a-d) and
only that portion of peak volume demand flow rate attributable to             |
leaving traffic would be associated with running times in modes (e-h).         ^
             Running times for 3 of the 8 operating modes may be              *
appreciably affected by congestion.  The three modes are:  the                V
movement-in, entrance and exit modes.  Time spent in the movement-in
mode is increased if the main lot is full and the arriving visitors           £
are forced to drive to an auxiliary parking area.  This extra
                                                                              I
movement-in time, A..,, is one of the "desirable parameters" called
for in Table Fl.  If it is unavailable from the developer, it should          •
be estimated using the physical plan and dimensions of the park's area
provided by the developer.  Unless the physical plan makes it inappro-        |
priate, Eq. (F10) could be used as a guidepost for estimating AMI.            —

                                                                              I
                                                                              I
                                 F-18                                         I

                                                                              I

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 I
 —
 •
 *
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                    I Dist. from center of mai                                  .
                    1 lot to main lot exit     I      Dist.  between main lot exit
                    \along traffic lanes, m   /    \and aux. lot entrance, m
               Til   (posted main lot speed          (posted speed limit, m/sec}
                     limit, m/sec)
                                                                              /
 I
                               Dist.  between auxiliary lot
                               entrance and center of the
                               lot measured along traffic
                               \1anes, m                   /                /F1Qv
                               (posted aux. lot speed limit, m/sec)        v   '
•
                        +
 _
 m
               where AM* is in seconds.
          If the main parking lot is  not full,  AMJ  is  assumed  to  be  zero.   Whether
 •        or not the main lot is full,  can be determined  by  examining  the  diurnal
          arrival -departure patterns  provided by  the developer, the  resulting
          peak traffic demands on a peak day and the number of parking spaces
          in the main lot.
                       Increased running  times  also  occur when  the  exiting  traffic
          volume demand approaches  exit gate capacity  and/or  entering  traffic
          volume demand approaches  entering  gate  capacities.  When  this  happens
I        queues form at the exit (entrance)  thereby increasing  running  times.
M        The increase in running time for each lane of  traffic  at  gate  i  can
          usually be obtained for nonsignalized intersections or toll booths
          from queuing theory using Equation (Fll)   *
          *Separate analysis  should  be  performed  for  entering  and exiting traffic.
                                            F-19

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                                                                                I
     where RT .  = time spent in the exit or entrance queue at gate i, sec       «
           c.. = capacity of gate i (obtained from developer) veh/hr             ™
           v. = traffic volume demand at gate i, veh/hr                         M
The parameter "v." is obtained by apportioning the entering or exiting
traffic volume demand among entering or exit gates.  Ideally, the appor-        |
tionment of entering and exiting traffic should be provided by the              A
developer, and should be based on the orientation of the amusement              *
park with respect to population centers.  Entering traffic should be            •
apportioned directionally on the access road, and the traffic in
each direction should be set equal to "v.. ."  The excess running time            |
spent entering entrance i would be the mean value of the excess time            —
                                                                                I
spent in each direction on the access road.  If the apportionment is            •
not provided, two procedures are suggested.                                     •
             (a)  Apportion exiting and entering traffic according to
access road capacities.
and
         p    rn R Capacity of access road to gate i)~]
         fci " LtJ [(capacity of all  access roads)     _J
     where E. = traffic entering demand at gate i  during the one                 V
                or eight hour period of interest,  veh/hr.                         •
           E = total entering traffic demand during the one or                   m
               eight hour period of  interest, veh/hr.                             J
                                                                                 —
                                                                                 1
         Y  = rvl R Capacity of access road to gate i)  ;          rpn^
          i   LAJ [(capacity of all  access roads)     J          {    '           .
     where X. = traffic exit demand  from gate i during  the 1- or
                8-hour period of interest, veh/hr.                               •
           X = total traffic exit demand during the 1-  or 8-hour
               period of interest, veh/hr.
                                  F-20
                                                                                 I

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I
M                   (b)  If access road capacities are unknown, or if more
        than one gate empties onto the same access road, traffic can be appor-
        tioned according to gate capacities.
•               F    TFI REntrance capacity of gate i)   "]             /F,.v
•               ti ' LtJ [.(entrance capacity of all  gates)J             *MH;
        and
                 Y  _ rv-i [TExit capacity of gate i)   "1                 /F1r\
                 Ai   LAJ (Jexlt capacity of all gates)J                 ^r'3;
™      It should be noted that for any period of interest,  the traffic volume
•      demand (V) is:
                 V = X + E                                               (F16)
•      and at any gate i,
                 V. = X. + E.                                            (F16a)
I
                     If it is not possible to estimate exiting and entering
compiled for EPA .   In examining diurnal  arrival  and departure rates
        traffic directly, estimates may be obtained from a limited data base
M
        for existing amusement parks comprising the EPA data base, it has been
I      noted that the peak hourly demand (as determined by arrivals and
        departures) always occurs during periods in which traffic flow is
        either totally dominated by arrivals or by departures.   Similarly, for
        8-hour periods in which peak average hourly demand generated by
        visitors was observed, one mode outnumbered the other by a ratio of
        about 3:1.  On the basis of these observations, for one hour periods
        in which peak demand occurs, all visitor traffic is assumed to be
        either exiting or entering.  Similarly, for an 8-hour sampling period

•                                        F-21

I

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     For 1-hour peaks:
            * lu     t
         V  =  V "
              |
          i      " 3600(avo)

 (Capacity of access road i)
I (capacity of all  access roads)
         V, = .75
                                         I (Capacity of access road i)
                   TT-      v           .   i yidpdciT.y OT access road i;    i  /cio\
                    8 " 3600(avo)  I      ((capacity of all access roadsj1  {   '
                                'ej      [^
or
     For 8-hour peaks:
                                                                                   I
in which peak traffic volume demand occurs, it is assumed that 75% of the          I
demand generated by visitors is trying to exit or enter.  Thus, in the
case of parks with more than one exit/entrance for peak 1-hour periods,            |
the total peak traffic volume demand must be apportioned among the                 «
exit (or entrance) gates.  For 8-hour sampling periods, 75% of the
average hourly demand (over the 8-hour period) should be apportioned               V
among the entrances (exits), and the remaining 25% among the exits (or
entrances).  The use of these assumptions is illustrated for 1- and                |
8-hour sampling periods in Eqs. (F17)-(F20), where V. is the volume                •
demand through gate i in veh/hr.                                                   ™
                                                                                   •
     For 8-hour peaks:

                                   I      lfPar»a/-*T4-»/ r\-F a/*r*«r-r v*/\arl •? A    !   .   _    ^*
     For 1-hour peaks:                                                             I
         v  - !v   !Ftl(E) .   I  I (Capacity of gate i)  "1        (n^             m
          i ~    " 3600(avo)   I  | (capacity of all gates) :        ^ri '             •
              •—            EJ                           !                          ••
         u  -  ?«;  !V    _-_       j   (Capacity of gate i)
         vi ~ >/0  ;V8 " 3600UVO)  :  ^capacity of all gates) ;                     m
     where VQ is the average hourly traffic volume demand during the
                                                                                   •
8-hour period of interest, veh/hr.  The other terms in Eqs. (F17)-(F20)            |
are as defined for Eq. (F5).
                                  F-22
                                                                                   I
                                                                                   g

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If vi/ci  > 1,
RTq. = 3600
                                ..  -  .
                                \ c /*     ,   v./ci  > 1            (F22)
 I
 •       Equations  (F17)  -  (F20) assume employees park  in a separate  lot which
         does  not become  congested during periods of peak use.   If separate  lots
 •       are not provided,  then the term in the left-hand square brackets  in
         Eqs.  (F17)  -  (F20) would simply be "V" or  "Vg."  If the entering  or
 I       exiting traffic  at a nonsignalized gate is estimated to be greater  than
 •       95% of the  gate's  entering or exit capacity, the excess running time
         spent in queues  should be estimated  using  Equation (F21) or  Equation  (F22)

 •               RTq. =  3600(20/c.),  .95 < vi/ci < 1                      (F21)

 I


 •            where  "3600"  is the number of seconds in  the one-hour period in which
         the demand  exceeds the capacity, and the other terms are as  defined for
 I       Equation (Fll).
 •                    Excess running time spend entering or exiting from a
         parking lot with signalized exit/entrances may be estimated  using Equa-
 •       tion  (F23)8 rather than (Fll) or (F21).

                  |!RTq ,  =  i     2 (c1 - v)      +  c'G (c'G -
                  \  / j    i	
                                                                     i
m            where
                 RT   = excess running time spent entering or  exiting at
_                  q  i   entrance/exit i, sec
•               C  = signal cycle length, sec
                  ij
                 Ic1 = unimpeded capacity at a signalized intersection
                      approach, veh/hr

•                                        F-23

I
                                           1800 vC..2              (F23)

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G = amount of green time per signal cycle for the inter-
section approach of interest; sec
G/CV = green time to signal cycle ratios, dimensionless
v = traffic demand at the intersection approach of
interest, veh/hr.
If v = c1, use Equation (F22) instead.
1
•
•
1

|
•
Equation (F22) assumes that the hour of interest is the first 9
in which demand exceeds capacity at gate i. If this were not the case,
it would be necessary to go back to the first hour in which the entrance |
(or exit) demand (v.) at gate i exceeded gate i's entrance (or exit)
1
capacity and compute the queue buildup during each succeeding hour until ~
the period of interest, t, is reached. For example, if demand first •
exceeded capacity 2 hours prior to the period of interest, average excess
running time would be estimated by Eq. (F22a).

""" [(v-c.) + (vrc.) + (v.-c.) ]
RT., = 3600 20/c.. + t~2 t"1 t
H ' ' ' " o ~ " "
u- t. ci
1


(F22a) m
I
The average excess running time spent by vehicles in entrance —

and exit queues at the amusement park is estimated by Eq. (F24)
i? • %
TST _ a 1 1 i /p0

q I
where I = the total number of exit and entrance gates.




.
t
Equation (F25) can now be used to estimate average running time spent ^

by a vehicle on 1 trip to or from the amusement park.
PT = BRT + A... /entering trafficN . — ,„


1
F-24
                                                 I

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  I
  I                    The  BRT  is divided  by  "2," because each trip is a
            one-way trip.  Thus,  in determining average daily trip generation rate
  •        (from which volume demand  is derived), each vehicle is counted twice.
  •        Since the BRT refers  to the total time required to enter and leave an
            amusement park, it should  be divided by "2."
  I            B.  Estimating Peak Impacts Within or Near the Parking Lot or
            on Access Roads Removed from the Lot
  |                 Peak concentrations of CO are likely to occur in the vicinity
  M         of exit/entrances to  the parking lot, near access roads or at nearby
            intersections.  Traffic at such locations may be characterized as line
 I         sources of pollution.  Two situations are of interest:  the case when
            traffic flows freely  by the receptor; and the case where queues form
 •         in the vicinity of the receptor.  At traffic lanes within or adjacent
 M         to the parking lot, the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing vehicles
            on CO concentrations  in the vicinity of the lanes should be added to
 1         estimates obtained using an area source model relating the source's
            upwind dimension and  emission density to CO concentrations, and general
 •         background levels.  More details concerning this procedure are presented
 f         in Appendix H.  Equation (Fl) is used to estimate the appropriate
            emission density.
I                  n   "EF) 'V) (RT)]auto + "EF' <»>
                    g                 216j000 A
•              The discussion in Appendix A concerning microscale impact analysis
           may be used to estimate the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing
I         traffic on nearby CO concentrations.  Equation (All) is used to estimate
i

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                                                                               I
the impact of freely flowing traffic.  If traffic at a signalized              •
intersection is of interest, excess emissions over a finite queue
[obtained using Equations (A18) and (A19)] are added to emissions esti-        •
mated for line sources of freely flowing traffic with Eouation (All).
Emissions near a non-signalized intersection may be approximated               I
with Equations (A20) - (A23) and with Equation (All).                          •
FIV.  Qualitative Guidelines
      Consideration of the following unquantified principles in the            •
design and review of amusement parks should be of help in diminishing
the impact of the park on air quality.                                         •
          1.  Since the layouts of amusement parks can usually be modi-        ••
fied comparatively easily to accommodate larger crowds or to alleviate
traffic problems, the amount of space available for expansion or modi-         •
fications should be checked.  Specifically, the ease with which parking
capacity and access roads could be expanded should be reviewed.                •
          2.  The appropriate and adequate use of signs and markers to          m
direct motorists throughout the vehicular areas of the park is important,
since many of the guests are tourists visiting the facility for the first       •
time.
          3.  The developer should demonstrate an effort to optimize            •
traffic circulation patterns in the park by such methods as:                    <•
              No left turn movements across the main access roads
              Maximum use of one-way and divided streets                         •
              Markings that separate parking lot entrance lanes from
              through traffic lanes, where appropriate                           •
              Prohibition of on-street parking within the park.
                                  F-26
                                                                                 I

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  I
                    4.  In addition to the employees normally assigned to park-
  •      ing and traffic control, the park's security personnel should be
          available to assist in these areas during peak periods.

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F-28
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                              REFERENCES                                           .
(1)  Axetell, K., Jr.  and Thayer,  S.  D.;  "Vehicle  Behavior  In and Around
Complex Sources and Related Complex Source  Characteristics:  Volume V--            tt
Amusement Parks;" EPA-450/3-74-003e;  (Nov.  1973);  National  Technical
Information Service; Springfield,  Va.   22161.                                      |
(2)  Kunselman, P., H. T. McAdams, C.  J.  Domke  and M.  Williams;  "Auto-             _
mobile Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis Model;"  EPA-460/3-74-005;  (January          ™
1974); National Technical Information Service,  Springfield, Va.  22161.             •
(3)  "Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors;"  EPA Publication
No. AP-42; (Second Edition); Supplement Number  5;  (In  Press).1-                     |
(4)  40 CFR 85; "1975 Federal  Test Procedure;"  Federal  Register  36, No. 128;
(July 2, 1971).
(5)  Williams, M. E., J. T. White, L.  A.  Platte, and C.  J.  Domke;  "Auto-           •
mobile Exhaust Emission Surveillance—Analysis  of  the  FY 72 Program;"
EPA-460/2-74-001; (February 1974); National Technical  Information  Service;          £
Springfield, Va. 22161.                                                            _
(6)  Ashby, H. A., R. C. Stahman,  B.  H. Eccleston  and  R. W. Hum;                   •
"Vehicle Emissions—Summer to Winter;" Paper No. 741053 presented  at                •
the SAE Automobile Engineering Meeting; Toronto, Canada; (Oct. 21-25,  1974);
Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc., 400  Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale,          p
Pa. 15096.
(7)  Hillier, F. S. and Lieberman, G. J.; Introduction to Operations                ™
Research; Holden-Day, Inc.; San Francisco,  Calif.; (1967);  Ch. 10.                  •
(8)  Newell, G. F.; "Approximate Methods for Queues with Application  to
the Fixed Cycle Traffic Light;" SIAM Review 7 No.  2;  (1965).                        |
                                                                                    I
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       APPENDIX G.  METHOD FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS

                    AT RECREATIONAL AREAS
This appendix is intended to provide guidance concerning a
more detailed analysis of proposed indirect sources should
this be necessary or desirable pursuant to 40 CFR 52.22(b).
The materials contained herein are offered as suggestions.
Alternate analytical approaches for evaluating the impact of
a proposed source may be used if it can be demonstrated that
they are more applicable to the source under review.
             U. S. Environmental  Protection Agency
          Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
             Research Triangle Park, N.C.  27711
                         January 1975
                            G-i

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I
                                        APPENDIX G.
                  METHOD  FOR ESTIMATING EMISSIONS AT  RECREATIONAL AREAS
 I

 I

 I

 •           The purpose of this Appendix is to provide a means for assisting
 •      air pollution control agencies, planning agencies or developers to
         estimate vehicular emissions occurring during the operation of a
 •      recreational area.  Recreational areas are extremely varied in type,
         purpose, size, administrative control source and degree of patronage.
 *      The analysis in this Appendix is specifically addressed toward National
 •      and State parks.  However, the Appendix may be of use in identifying
         a methodology which may be adaptable to other types of recreational
 •      areas as well.
              Section GI of this Appendix summarizes a methodology which could
 •      be used to estimate CO emissions occurring within and in the vicinity
 •      of a recreational area's parking facilities.  A procedure for estimating
         emissions from traffic lanes in access roads, at nearby intersection
 •       approaches and at exit/entrance gates is also summarized.  The remaining
         portions of the Appendix discuss how the methodology described in
•       Section GI might best be implemented.
m       GI.  Procedure for Estimating Emissions in the Vicinity of a Recreational
              Area's Parki ng Faci1i ti es
•            1.  Obtain estimates for the key design and operating parameters
         identified in Table GI.
                                            6-1

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                                                                                 I
     2.  If available, apply data concerning observed driving cycles at
existing recreational area parking facilities in the EPA Automobile Exhaust      "
Emission Modal Analysis Model to obtain average trip automobile emission         •
factors (EF) for automobiles utilizing the recreational  facility.  If this
approach is not feasible, use Figure Gl and Eq. (G2) if necessary to obtain      •
an automobile emission factor for CO.  Use Sections 3.1.4.3 and 3.1.5 of
Supplement 5 to AP-42 and Eq. (G3) to obtain appropriate emission factors        •
for buses.  Use Section 3.1.4.3 of Supplement 5 to AP-42, and Eq. (64)           m
to estimate CO emission factors for heavy-duty campers (EF) if there are
likely to be significant numbers of these vehicles utilizing the area.           •
If appropriate local data concerning the nature of operation and the mix
of local vehicles are available, multiply the emission factor by a local         •
correction factor.  Guidance in Section 4.4 of the screening procedure           •
and in Supplement 5 to AP-42 may be used to derive correction factors
for differing percentages of cold starting vehicles, ambient tempera-            I
tures and altitudes.
     3.  Quantify diurnal daily use patterns using Eqs.  (G7a) or (G7b).          •
and use these in Eq. (66) to estimate the traffic volume demand (V).             «
     4.  Estimate base running time (BRT) from the parking area's physical
configuration and the recreational area's operating policy using expressions     I
similar to (G8a) - (68g) and Eq. (69).
     5.  If the parking lot is full, estimate the amount of extra running        |
time to move to an overflow lot using Eq. (G10).                                 •
     6.  Apportion entering and exiting traffic among entrances and exits
using Eqs. (G12) and (613) or (614) and (615).  Estimate the excess running      I
time spent in queues at each exit and entrance not having a traffic signal
using Eqs. (611) or (617) or (618).  Use Eq. (619) to estimate excess            |
                                  6-2
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•       running time at exits/entrances having traffic signals.   Estimate averages
         excess running time spent in  entrance/exit  queues  using  Eq.  (G20).
I            7.   Estimate average running  time per  trip  (RT)  using Eq.  (G21).
              8.   Use Eq.  (Gl)  to  estimate  the  emission density at a  recreational
•       area's parking lots.
•            9.   Refer to the  microanalysis  section in Appendix  A to estimate  the
         impact of freely  flowing  and/or queuing traffic  on  nearby CO concentrations,
•       The procedure is  as follows:
                  a.   Estimate  traffic demand for each  lane  j  in  road segment i
•       using Eqs.  (A12)  or (A13).   If necessary, adjust the  demand  for  the impact
•       of mass  transit using  Eqs.  (A14) or  (A15).   Apportion demand among lanes,
         making sure  that  Eq.  (A2) is  satisfied.
•                b.   If the analysis  does  not  concern  an at-grade intersection,
         estimate capacity of the  road segment  using Eq.  (AID) and the lane
m
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         capacities  using Eq.  (A16).   Check  that  Eq.  (A3)  is  satisfied.   If  not,
         adjust the  lane capacities  so that  Eq.  (A3)  is  satisified.
                  c.   Determine volume to  capacity  ratios  (v../c..)  for each
                                                            I o   1 j
•       lane.   Given the  type of road  and  the  average  highway  speed,  use  the
         appropriate one of Figures  A2-A5 to  estimate vehicle operating  speeds  in
•       each lane.
gt                d.   Use  Fig.  A6 to estimate the  speed corrected  1975 emission
         factor for  each lane.   For  years other than 1975, adjust  this factor with
•       Equation (A17).  Use  guidance  in Section  4.4 of the screening procedure
         or in  Supplement  5 to AP-42 to correct for cold starts and ambient
•       temperature, as needed.
                                       G-3

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         e.  Use Eq.  (All)  to estimate the line source emission               |
intensity of freely flowing traffic.                                           _
         f.  For at-grade signalized  intersections,  use information           *
concerning signal cycle lengths and green time to signal  cycle ratios,         V
to estimate queue lengths with Eq.  (A18).  Consider  emissions  over the
queue length to be the sum of those from freely flowing traffic and           |
excess emissions.  Use emissions attributable to freely flowing               ^
traffic elsewhere.  Estimate emissions from freely flowing traffic            "
using Eq. (All), and excess emissions using Eq. (A19).  Alternatively,         •
use the information in Tables A8-A12  directly to estimate appropriate
emissions and queue lengths.                                                  J
         g.  For non-signalized intersections, estimate the average queue     _
length using Eq. (A20).  Use Eq. (A21) to estimate the emission intensity     ™
over the queue at the intersection approach.  Estimate the distance over      •
which vehicles may accelerate and decelerate using Eq. (A22).   The emission
intensity over this distance is obtained using Eq. (A23).  Use Eq. (All)      £
to estimate emission intensity elsewhere.                                      ^
Gil.  Identification of Key Design and Operating Variables                     •
     Recreational area design and operating parameters are delineated          •
into 2 categories:  those essential to estimating emissions, and those
highly desirable, both to be provided by the developer.  If the developer      •
cannot provide the highly desirable parameters, "best estimates" have
been provided.  These parameters are used to estimate vehicle running          •
times and peak traffic demand which,  in conjunction with vehicle emission      •
factors, are used to estimate vehicular emissions.
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                               G-4
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     Two key elements in the design of a recreational area become evident

in assessing the area's impact on emissions:

     1.  The entrance capacity must be sufficient to handle peak arrival

rates without creating long entrance queues, and

     2.  The number of parking spaces must be sufficient to accomodate the

peak accumulation of vehicles in the lots or_ an efficient operational means

should be used to route access traffic to overflow parking areas.

     Table Gl presents the essential and highly desirable recreational area

parameters which the developer or future administrator should provide.

Table Gl.  RECREATIONAL AREA PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR AIR QUALITY IMPACT ANALYSIS
                        I.  Essential Parameters
       Parameters
             Remarks
Peak Capacity
Anticipated diurnal arrival
and departure patterns
Available visitor parking
spaces

Physical layout and dimensions
of the recreational area's
parking facilities

Percent of crowd arriving
by automobile

Number of buses expected
Maximum number of visitors that can be
accommodated with the existing park
facilities

Percent of total arrivals anticipated
for entering and leaving vehicles during
each hour of the park's operation on
days with anticipated capacity crowds
Needed to help estimate running times
and identify locations with heaviest
congestion
                                   6-5

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Table Gl (continued) RECREATIONAL
AIR QUALITY


Parameters

Number of camper type vehicles
expected
Gate capacities


Green time to signal cycle ratio
at nearby intersection approaches

Number of signal cycles per hour
at each nearby intersection


Traffic volume demand and
capacities for access roads and
at nearby intersection approaches









AREA PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR
IMPACT ANALYSIS


Remarks


Number of vehicles which can be
accommodated through each entrance
(exit) per unit time
Needed to estimate intersection
approach capacities and queue lengths
on approaches during the red phase
Needed to estimate queue lengths on
each approach to each intersection
during the red phase for each approach

Needed to estimate the recreational
area's impact at nearby intersection
approaches






G-6

1
1


1
1



1

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Table Gl (continued)  RECREATIONAL AREA PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR

                      AIR QUALITY IMPACT ANALYSIS
      Parameters
           Remarks
                    II.  Highly Desirable Parameters
Base running time (BRT)
Average vehicle occupancy
Estimated ratio of people in
the park at the most crowded
time of the day total daily
attendance

Estimated time required for
vehicles to move to
auxiliary lots when the parking
capacity in the main lot is
exceeded

Distribution of vehicles
through exit/entrance gates
Total time a typical vehicle is
likely to spend with the engine
on while arriving and leaving the
park during periods with little
or no congestion

The average number of visitors
expected per vehicle during
periods with capacity crowds
     Referring to Table Gl, peak capacity provides an indicator of the

maximum number of vehicles likely to utilize the area's parking lots

during a day.  Anticipated diurnal  arrival and departure patterns are

critical in determining the number of vehicles running in a park's lot

                                   G-7

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                                                                                   I
during the peak 1- and 8-hour use periods.   Available parking spaces  and           •
gate capacities are extremely important in  determining how congested  a  lot
is likely to become with peak use rates.   Percent of crowd likely to  arrive        I
by automobile, number of camper type vehicles, and number of buses likely
to be present are important parameters in that they enable better estimates        •
of peak traffic volume demand to be made, given crowd projections. Average        •
vehicle occupancy is a highly desirable parameter because it provides a
means for estimating traffic volume from crowd projections.   Ratio of              I
people in the park to total daily attendance is also desirable because
it facilitates an estimate of peak occupancy in the parking lot.   Base              •
running time is of importance because it is needed to estimate typical              •
emission levels with little congestion, while the excess time required  to
move to auxiliary lots may be of interest during periods of peak  use.              •
Distribution of traffic volume demand among exit/entrance gates and access
roads is needed in estimating whether congestion is likely to occur at              m
these key locations.                                                               m
GUI.  Estimating Emissions in the Vicinity of a Recreational Area's
       Parking Facilities                                                          •
     Two types of analyses are necessary in estimating vehicular  emissions
in and around a recreational area's parking facilities.  First CO emission         m
density attributable to vehicles utilizing the recreational  area's parking         ^
facilities plus emission rates for significant stationary sources (using
          2
Analysis")  should be estimated.   Second,  vehicular emission rates
                                   6-8
Volume 10 of the "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning and              V
                                                                                   I
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 •    resulting in traffic  lanes  in  locations most  susceptible  to  congestion
      (i.e.  at exit/entrances  or  intersection approaches)  should be  estimated.
 •              A.  Emission Density
 •                  For parking lot  (area  source) activity,  the emission  density
      (Q)  is given by:
 *      =                       [(EF)(V)(RT)]buses
fl
 _                                        216,000 A
      where EF = emission  factor,  gm/min-veh,
 I           V = traffic  volume  demand,  veh/hr,
            RT = running  time  spent  in a typical trip*  entering or  leaving
 I               the lot,  sec,
                                    2
I             A = parking  lot area, m
                                           2
             Q = emission  density, gm/sec-m
                    Specific  account of emissions  from  buses and  campers may  be
      desirable in Eq.  (Gl),  if  large proportions  of  these  vehicles  use the area,
I    because emission  factors for  buses and  campers  may  be appreciably different
.    than for autos.   In  addition,  if separate  parking facilities are provided
*    for buses or large campers, running times  for these vehicles may be  dif-
•    ferent than  for autos.
                    1 .  Estimating  Emission Factors
|                      (a)  Automobiles
_                            Probably the most accurate estimate of CO emission
™    factors at recreational areas  could be  obtained if  typical  driving cycles

I    -
           *A trip is a one-way  visit to the  recreational area.   A typical vehicle
•    makes two trips — one coming,  one going.
*                                       6-9
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EPA's Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis Model   to obtain average
                                                                                  I
(i.e. sequence and amounts of time spent in acceleration,  deceleration and        •
steady speed modes of travel) could be estimated explicitly for recreational
area parking facilities.   Such a driving cycle could then  be simulated with       I
                                                                                  I
                                                                                  I
trip emission factors for recreational  area parking facilities.   This
approach has been followed in characterizing emissions  at signalized
intersections in Appendix A.   Unfortunately, the data  to implement such a
technique elsewhere at a recreational  facility may be  difficult  to obtain.         •
Consequently, use of CO emission factors based on the  1975 Federal  Test
Procedure (FTP)  for typical  national  mixes of model years is  proposed as         •
an alternative.  Figure Gl was obtained using the FTP  trip emission
factor for CO presented in Tables A3, Appendix A for 1975 mix of light-
duty vehicles (88 percent autos, 12 percent light trucks) and Tables               •
3.1.2-6a and b of Supplement 5 to AP-42 to obtain appropriate speed
correction factor (c(s)).  Note that emissions corresponding to 0 mph              •
are indicative of stop-and-start traffic rather than idle.  Equation (G2)          •
should be used to estimate emission factors for vehicle mixes during
years other than 1975.                                                             I

           [emission factor obtained!  (ef\                         [r_0\           I
     r-r _   emission Tactor uutdineu   I<=T\                         lro\
     EF "  L      from Fig. Gl      J  \tt)                         ^
where ef = CO emission factor obtained from Table A3, Appendix A                   •
           for the year of interest, gm/mi-veh
    "55" = CO emission factor for 1975 from Table A3, gm/mi-veh                    |
      EF = emission factor, gm-min-veh.                                            «

                               G-10                                                •

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   24r
   22
   20
   18
   16
cc
o
u  14
   10
   T
                           T
                 10     15      20     25     30     35

                                   VEHICLE SPEED, mph
40
45
50
55
60
      Figure G1. Composite emission factors for carbon monoxide for calendar year 1975.
                                        G-11

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             (b)  Buses
     / Emission factor
                           \
     i cm i 55 IUM i ciouur        i
FF -  obtained from Fig. Gl
             (ef)/
                             (# gas,  buses)  (ef)    + (#  diesel  buses)  (ef)
                             (Total  # of tuses)
where (ef)  = the estimated emission factor for heavy-duty gasoline-
                              6-12
                                                                               I
                  Sections 3.1.4.3 and 3.1.5 in Supplement 5 to AP-42
provide emission factors (in gm/mi-veh) for heavy-duty gasoline and            I
diesel-powered vehicles respectively.  Once the appropriate emission
factor for gasoline and diesel-powered buses is estimated from AP-42,          I
a bus CO emission factor with units suitable for use in Eq. (Gl) can           •
be calculated using Eq. (63).
I
                                                                        (63)    I

              powered vehicles  as  determined from Section  3.1.4.3 in
              Supplement 5,  AP-42, gm/mi-veh,                                  •
      (ef) .  = the estimated  emission factor for heavy-duty diesel-
              powered vehicles  as  determined from Section  3.1.5 in             m
              Supplement 5 to AP-42, gm/mi-veh,                                m
       (ef)  = emission factor for  light-duty vehicles, estimated from
              Table A3, gm/mi-veh.                                             •
             (c)  Camper-type Vehicles
                  EPA is presently investigating the effect of trailers        m
on automobile emissions.  Until this study is complete, automobiles pulling    «
camper trailers and camper trucks  (pick-ups mounted with camper shells and
accompanying equipment) should  be  assumed to have the same emission factor     •
as automobiles without trailers.  Vehicles such as Winnebagos and other
"houses on wheels" weighing  more than 6000 Ib. (gross vehicle weight),         |
however, are heavy-duty vehicles and should be considered as heavy-duty        •
gasoline-powered vehicles if found in significant numbers.
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Emission factor obtained
	from Fig. Gl
                                       (ef)g                        (G4)

where (ef)  = estimated emission factor gasoline-powered heavy-duty
 I
                             The  camper  trailer  emission  factor  in  the  proper  units
 B         is given by:

 i

                     y
 M                       vehicles from Section 3.1.4.3  in  Supplement  5  to AP-42,
                         gm/mi-veh.
 •                (ef) =  emission factor for  light-duty vehicles  (gm/mi-veh) estimated
                         from Table A3,  gm/mi-veh.
 |                           In equations  (G2),  (G3) and  (G4) the effect of speed
 £         on emissions is  assumed the same for  all types  of vehicles.  Although
 ™         the emission factor obtained  from  Fig. Gl and the (ef) in  Equations  (G2)-
 I         (G4) are not themselves applicable to all types of vehicles, under  the
           above assumption,  the  ratio of  these  two emission factors  is the same for
 |         all  vehicle types.  The procedure  described  above makes  a  number of
 _         assumptions about  the  mix of  vehicles, percentage of cold  starts, altitude
 *         factors, etc.  These assumptions are  documented in Appendix A.  If  local
 •         data are available which indicate  these assumptions are  not applicable,
           the emission factor obtained  should be multiplied by a local correction
 jj         factor.   If the  assumptions concerning altitude, percentage of cold  starts
 _         and  ambient temperatures used in deriving an emission factor are not appro-
 ™         priate,  guidance in Section 4.4 of the screening procedure or in Supple-
•         ment 5 to AP-42  may be used to derive a correction factor  to the estimates.
           It should be pointed out that if it is determined that extra emissions
P         attributable to  cold starts and cold  temperatures only occur for a
 —         relatively short time  (e.g., 4 minutes), higher emission factors should
™         be used  only until a typical vehicle  becomes warm.
•                                       G-13

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             2.  Estimating Traffic Volume Demand (V)                           I
                 For any number of hours, the traffic  volume demand
can be estimated using Equation (G6).                                           |

            (P)(dt)(G)                                                         1
     V=      (avo)      +d'tB                                   
where P = fraction of the crowd arriving by automobile                         I
     d. = average hourly fraction of total daily automobile and
                                                                               •
          camper arrivals and departures occurring during time period "t"      |
    d'.  = ave. hourly fraction of total  daily heavy duty vehicle               B
                                                                               I
          arrivals and departures occurring during time period "t"
      6 = estimated peak total daily admission tickets sold (i.e.,             I
          equal to peak capacity parameter in Table Gl )
    avo = average automobile occupancy for visitors                            Q
      V = traffic volume demand, veh/hr                                        ^
      B = heavy duty traffic demand, veh/hr                                    ™
Estimates of the parameters "G," "B," and "P" must be supplied by the          •
developer and would be used directly in Eq. (G6).  The parameter "d." is
derivable from the estimates of diurnal  arrival and departure patterns         p
required from the developer, as shown by Eqs. (G7a) and (G7b).                 _
     d  =
          (# of arrivals + # of departures).
      t   (# of arrivals on the peak day) (t)                                  .
or                                                                             ™
          (Fraction of total + (Fraction of total                              I
      .     daily arrivals).     daily departures).
     dt = 	£__.	^                (G7b)
where t = number of hours in time period t, hr.
                                  G-14                                         I

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           Unless  there  are  explicit  indications  to  the  contract,  d  .  can  be  assumed
I         equal to  d..  Average  visitor  vehicle  occupancy  (avo)  is  a  highly  desirable
           parameter for the developer  to provide.   However,  if this is  not possible,
"         past  observations   have indicated  typical  automobile  occupancy of about
•         3.5 persons/vehicle.   Therefore,  in  the absence  of better information,  a
           value of  "3.5"  should  be assumed  for (avo).
•                          While the anticipated diurnal arrival  and  departure
           patterns  are  required  information,  it  is  recognized that  they may  be
•         somewhat  difficult to  estimate.   The information in Table G2  is based

           guide.  In the  absence of  better  information  the values for "d." in
•         Table G2  may  be used.
           on observations at existing recreational areas,  and is provided as a
                    Table  G2.   DIURNAL  USE  PATTERN  PARAMETERS OBSERVED  FOR
                               EXISTING RECREATIONAL AREAS
                                                       	t_
                             1  hour                      .18
                             8  hours                     .16
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             3.   Estimating Average Trip Running  Time  (RT)
                 Eight vehicular operational  modes  have  been  identified  as        •
contributing to  total  vehicle running  time.   These  are:
                 (a)   Approach Mode—Time vehicle spends running  on  access        I
road (usually on park  property) during which  traffic movement is  strongly         •
affected by vehicles  entering or leaving the  area's parking facilities;
                 (b)   Entrance Mode—Waiting  and  service time at  the gate         I
or entranceway to the  parking lot;
                 (c)   Movement-In Mode—Driving time to  the designated            |
parking space;                                                                   •
                 (d)   Stop Mode—Parking time;                                    *
                 (e)   Start Mode—Time required for egress from parking  space;    I
                 (f)   Movement-Out Mode—Driving  time  from parking space to
preferred exit;                                                                   |
                 (g)   Exit Mode—Time  required  to move through exitway;           «
                 (h)   Departure Mode—Driving time  along immediate access          *
road during which movement continues to be influenced  by traffic  from the          I
recreational area's parking facilities.
                 The total running time for a typical  vehicle is  the sum of        |
the time spent in the 8 modes during periods  with little congestion, plus          _
any extra time resulting from congestion of the facility during peak usage         •
periods.  The time required during periods of little congestion is referred        •
to as the base running time (BRT) and ideally should be  provided  by  the
developer.  If this estimate is not available,  it can  be obtained by              |
                                   6-16
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       studying the facility's physical  configuration and proposed operating
 •     policies.  An example of the procedure  used in estimating BRT is depicted
 •     by the following expressions.
                                    (Distance  between entrance and nearest
 |             Base Approach Time - $«£%% lUt! m/sec) """' "'            «*•>
I
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 I             Base Entrance Time -  (Hajn  Entrance gate capacity, veh/sec)          (G8b)
 •                                  (Distance from center of lot to main entrance)
            Base Movement-ln Time -             °V            '" " -  
 I
 •     Base Stop, Base Start Time -  j^0^ wa^hdepended on angle of parking      (68d)

                                     (Distance from center of lot to main exit)
 |          Base Movement-Out T1me - (^^'mH^ ?ffM"' "' -     (G8e)


                    Base Exit Time - ;Ham exit gate^apacHy. veh/sec)              (G8f)
 m                                   (Distance between main exit and nearest
               Base Departure Time - (^"d"^ °?mu! ^1) r°ad' "'           ^

•     BRT ~ (68a) + (G8b)  + (G8c) + (68d) + (68e) + (68f) + (68g)                  (G9)
                        Since both entering and leaving traffic are counted
I
in estimating  peak  traffic volume demand, use of the total  BRT  to
estimate running  time would result in an inappropriately high estimate.
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In most cases the value which can be used would simply be BRT/2.   This
assumes that, with little or no congestion, running time is about equally          |
divided between entering modes (modes a-d) and leaving modes (modes e-h).          •
If the developer's estimates for base running times in each mode  indicate
that this simplifying assumption is inappropriate,  it would be necessary           •
to perform separate emission calculations for entering and leaving traffic.
This analysis would be performed similarly to the methods described in this         |
Appendix, except that only that portion of the peak volume demand which was         —
due to entering traffic would be associated with running times in modes (a-d)      ™
and only that portion of peak volume demand attributable to leaving traffic         •
would be associated with running times in modes (e-h).
                  Running times for 3 of the 8 operating modes may be appre-       |
ciably affected by congestion.  The three modes are:  the movement in,             _
entrance and exit modes.  Time spent in the movement-in mode is increased          "
if the main lot is full and the arriving visitors are forced to drive to an         •
auxiliary parking area.  This extra movement-in time, /V.T, is one of the
"desirable parameters" called for in Table 61.  If it is unavailable from          J
the developer, it should be estimated using the physical plan and
dimensions of the park's parking area provided by the developer.   Unless           •
the physical plan makes it inappropriate, Eq. (610) could be used as a             •
guidepost for estimating A..J.


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                                   6-18                                             •

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I             /Dist.  from  center of main    ^            .                            v
             Hot to main lot  exit measured)           /Dist. between main lot exit  ]
             \a1ong  traffic  lanes, m)      /	  +  jand auxiliary lot^entrance, m/
m      MI    (posted main lot speed limit, m/sec)      (posted speed limit, m/sec)
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                                 /Dist. between auxiliary lot entranceN
                                 ( and center of the lot measured       /
                                 \?1°n9 traffic lanes, m              /           (G10)
                                  (posted auxiliary lot speed limit, m/sec)       *    '
       where AMI  is  in  seconds.
M     If the main  parking  lot is not full, AM, is assumed to be zero.   Whether
       or not the main  lot  is full, can be determined by examining the  diurnal
I     arrival -departure  patterns provided by the developer, the resulting peak
       traffic demands  on a peak day and the number of parking spaces in the
|     main  lot.
•                     Increased running times may also occur when the exiting
       traffic volume demand approaches the gate's exit capacity and/or entering
I     traffic volume demand at a gate approaches the access road's capacity
       to accommodate  right and left turns, or a gate's entrance capacity, whichever
       applies.   When  this happens queues form at the exit (entrance) thereby
       increasing running times.  The increase in running time for each
•
       lane  of  traffic at gate i is obtained for a non-signalized exit/entrance
I     from  queuing theory by Equation (Gil) .*
            RTQT =r-   <'  ii<  -95
             qi    C      C  - v
           *Separate analysis should be performed for entering and exiting traffic.
                                        G-19

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                                                                                  I
where RT .  = time spent in the exit or entrance queue at gate i, sec              —
        c..  = exit or entrance capacity of gate i (obtained from                   •
             developer) veh/hr                                                    •
        v.j  = exit or entrance traffic volume demand at gate i, veh/hr
For exiting traffic, the parameter "v.." is obtained by apportioning the           |
exiting traffic volume demand among exit gates.  Ideally, the apportionment
of exiting traffic should be provided by the developer and should be              •
based on the orientation of the recreational area with respect to                 •
population centers.  Entering traffic should be apportioned directionally
on the access road, and the traffic in each direction should be set               I
equal to the "v." in Eq. (Gil).  The excess running time spent entering
entrance i  would be the mean value of the excess time spent in each               •
direction on the access road.  If the apportionment is not provided,              •
two apportioning procedures are suggested below.
                 (a)  Apportion exiting and entering traffic according to         I
access road capacities.

     r  _ r-r-i   (capacity of access road to gate i)                 in?}         M
     111   LtJ   (capacity of all  access roads)                      Vbl^;         •
where E. = traffic entering demand at gate i during the 1- or 8-hr.
           period of interest, veh/hr                                             I
       E = total traffic entering demand during the 1- or 8-hr.
           period of interest, veh/hr                                             8
and                                                                               •
     Y    ry-i   (capacity of all  access roads to gate i)             (n^
     Ai   LAJ   (capacity of all  access roads)Vb|j;
                                   G-20                                           I

                                                                                  I

                                                                                  I

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1
1

1



1

1
1
•
1



1

1



1

1
1
1

1
1


where X. = traffic exit demand from gate i during the 1- or 8-hr.
period of interest, veh/hr.
X = total traffic exit demand during the 1- or 8-hr.
interest, veh/hr.


period of


(b) If access road capacities are unknown, or if more
than one gate empties onto the same access road, apportion
according to gate capacities.

E - FEl (entrance capacity of gate i)
i (entrance capacities of all gates)
and
Y _ rv-i (exit capacity of gate i)
i L' J (exit capacity of all gates)
It should be noted that the traffic volume demand is:

V = X + E

If the entering or exiting traffic demand at a
is estimated to be greater than 95% of the gate's entrance
capacity, the excess running time spent in queues should be

using Eq. (G17) or Eq. (G18).

RT . = 3600 (20/c.)
qi 1


6-21


traffic


(G14)

(G15)


(G16)

gate
or exit
estimated



(G17)







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 If v./c. > 1,
Equation (G19)9 rather than (Gil) or (G17).
              (C ) (c1) (1-G/C )2     1800 v C}
                                                                              I
                                                                              I
         RTq.  = 3600  20/c.  +  g^  i                             (618)          -
where "3600" is the number of seconds in the 1-hr, period in which the        I
demand exceeds the capacity (sec), and the other terms are as defined
for Equation (Gil).                                                           J
             Excess running time spent entering or exiting from a             .
                                                                              •
parking lot with signalized exit/entrances  may  be  estimated  using
                                                                              I
                                                                 (G19)         |
       q  .          2 (c1 - v)        c1 G (c1 G - v C )
     where  RT    = excess running time spent entering or exiting             •
              q i   at entrance/exit i, sec                                   •
           Cy = signal cycle length, sec                                      •
           c1 = unimpeded capacity at a signalized intersection
                approach of interest, veh/hr                                  w
           G = amount of green time per signal cycle for the inter-
               section approach of interest, sec
           G/C  = green time to signal cycle ratio, dimensionless             •
           v = traffic demand at the intersection approach of                 •
               interest, veh/hr.                                              |
 If v = c1, use Equation (618) instead.                                        M
             Equation (G18) assumes that the hour of interest is the
 first in which demand exceeds capacity at gate i.  If this were not the       I

                                                                              I
                                 G-22                                         -


                                                                              I

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 I
 •      case, it would be necessary to go back to the first hour in which the
         entrance (or exit) demand (v.) at aate i  exceeded aate i's entrance
                                     i
 I      (or exit) capacity and compute the queue  building during each suc-
         ceeding hour until the period  of interest, t, is reached.   For example,
 m      if demand first exceeded capacity 2 hours prior to the period of
 •      interest, average excess running time would be estimated by Equation
         (G18a).
 I
I
I
                                 j(v.-c.)    + (vrc.)    + (v,-c.
                                    '    +• 9      '   ' * 1     '   ' +1
             RT  . = 3600 20/c. + 1=	^	5—	^	£ i     (G18a)
               M '        1	  !                    i                 --
        The average excess running time spent by vehicles in entrance and exit
I      queues at the recreational areas's parking facilities is estimated by
        Equation (G20).
I                      z  _ RTqi
                 ^q = 3lLj	                                       (G20)

        where I = the total number of entrance + exit gates.
•                   Equation (G21) can now be used to estimate average running
        time spent by a vehicle on one trip to or from the recreational area.
                 RT   BRT        [entering traffic
                 KI - -j- -i- AMI  [total traffic
                                                                         (G21 )
I
                      The  base running  time (BRT)  is  divided  by "2,"  because
•       each  trip is  a one-way trip.   Thus,  in  determining average daily trip
•       generation rate (from which  volume demand is derived), each  vehicle
         is  counted twice.   Since BRT refers  to  the total  time required  to enter
I       and leave a recreational  area's  parking lot, it  should be divided by "2."
                                          G-23

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                                                                             I
         B.  Estimating Peak Impacts Within or Near the Parking              I
Lot or on Access Roads Removed from the Lot
             Peak concentrations of CO are likely to occur in the            J
vicinity of exit/entrances to the lot, near access roads or at nearby        _
intersections.  Traffic at such locations may be characterized as line       "
sources of pollution.  Two situations are of interest:  the case where       •
traffic flows freely by the receptor; and the case where queues form
in the vicinity of the receptor.  At traffic lanes within or adjacent        Jj
to the parking lot, the impact of freely flowing and/or queuing              _
vehicles on CO concentrations in the vicinity of the lanes should be         ™
added to estimates obtained using an area source model relating the          •
source's upwind dimension and emission density to CO concentrations
and general background levels.  More details concerning this procedure       p
are presented in Appendix H.  Equation (Gl) is used to estimate the          —
appropriate emission density.                                                ™
          [(EF)(V)(RT)]autos + [(EF)(V)(RT)]buses * [(EF)(V)(RT)campers      |
     y -                         216,000 Am
             The discussion in Appendix A concerning microscale impact       I
analysis may be used to estimate the impact of freely flowing and/or
queuing traffic on nearby CO concentrations.  Equation (All) is used          p
to estimate the impact of freely flowing traffic.  If traffic at a            «
signalized intersection is of interest, excess emissions over a finite
queue [obtained using Equations (A18) and (A19)] are added to emissions       I
estimated for line sources of freely flowing traffic with Equation (All).
Emissions near a non-signalized intersection may be approximated with         |
Equations (A20) - (A23) and with Equation (All).
                                 G-24
I
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 I
 •       GIV>  Qualitative Guidelines
               Consideration of the following unquantified principles in the
 I       design and review of recreational areas should be of help in diminish-
         ing the impact of the park on air quality.
 I             1.  Since the layouts of recreational areas can sometimes be
 •       modified to accommodate larger crowds or to alleviate traffic problems,
         the amount of space available for expansion or modifications should be
 I       checked.  Specifically, the ease with which parking capacity and access
         roads could be expanded should be reviewed.
 |             2.  The appropriate and adequate use of signs and markers to direct
 •       motorists throughout the vehicular areas of the park is important, since
         many of the guests may be tourists visiting the facility for the first
 I       time.
              3.  The developer should demonstrate an effort to optimize traffic
 |       circulation patterns in the park by such methods as:
 •                 No left turn movements across the main access roads,
                   Maximum use of one-way and divided streets,
                   •Markings that separate parking lot entrance lanes from through
         traffic lanes, where appropriate, and
 •                 Prohibition of on-street parking within the park.
               4.  During peak traffic periods, employees should be assigned to
 •       parking and traffic control.

 I

 I

 I                                          G-25

I

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                                                                                I
                              REFERENCES
(1)  Axetell, K., Jr.  and Thayer,  S.  D.;  "Vehicle  Behavior  In and Around
Complex Sources and Related Complex Source  Characteristics:  Volume V--          I
Amusement Parks;" EPA-450/3-74-003e;  (Nov.  1973);  National  Technical
Information Service; Springfield,  Va.  22161.                                     8
(2)  U. S. EPA, Office of Air and  Waste Management, Office  of Air Quality        •
Planning and Standards; "Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning
and Analysis, Volume 10;  Reviewing New Stationary  Sources;"  EPA-450/4-74-011;    •
(September 1974); Air Pollution Technical  Information  Center, Research
Triangle Park, N. C. 27711.                                                     I
(3)  Kunselman, P., H. T. McAdams, C.  J.  Domke  and M.  Williams; "Auto-           •
mobile Exhaust Emission Modal  Analysis Model;"  EPA-46Q/3-74-005; (January
1974); National Technical Information  Service,  Springfield,  Va.  22161.          I
(4)  "Compilation of Air  Pollutant Emission Factors;"  EPA Publication
No. AP-42; (Second Edition); Supplement 5;  (In  Press).                           •
(5)  40 CFR 85; "1975 Federal  Test Procedure;"  Federal Register 36.              •
No. 128; (July 2, 1971).
(6)  Williams, M. E.,  J.  T. White, L.  A.  Platte, and C. J.  Domke; "Auto-         I
mobile Exhaust Emission Surveillance—Analysis  of  the  FY 72  Program;"
EPA-460/2-74-Q01; (February 1974); National Technical  Information Service;       •
Springfield,  Va. 22161.                                                         •
(7)  Ashby, H. A. R. C. Stahman, B. H. Eccleston and R. W.  Hum; "Vehicle
Emissions—Summer to Winter;" Paper No. 741053  presented at  the SAE Auto-        I
mobile Engineering Meeting, Toronto,  Canada; (October  21-25, 1974);
Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc., 400  Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale,       •
Pa. 15096.                                                                      •
                                  G-26
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   I
   •         (8)   Hillier,  F.  S.  and  G. J. Lieberman;  Introduction to Operations
             Research;  Hoi den-Day,  Inc.;  San Francisco, Ca.; (1967); Ch. 10.
   I         (9)   Newell, G. F.;  "Approximate Methods  for Queues with Application
             to the Fixed Cycle Traffic Light;" SIAM Review 7, No. 2; (1965).
   •         (10)   Highway  Research Board; Special Report 87; Highway Capacity
  •         Manual  1965; National Academy of Sciences—National Research Council;
             Washington, D.C.; (1965).
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                                             G-27
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   APPENDIX H.   USE OF DISPERSION MODELS TO ESTIMATE AIR QUALITY

                IN VICINITY OF AN INDIRECT SOURCE
This appendix is intended to provide guidance concerning a more
detailed analysis of proposed indirect sources should this be
necessary or desirable pursuant to 40 CFR 52.22(b).   The materials
contained herein are offered as suggestions.Alternate analytical
approaches for evaluating the impact of a proposed  source may be used
if it can be demonstrated that they are more  applicable to the source
under review.
               U. S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
          Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
          Research Triangle Park, North Carolina  27711
                          January 1975
                               H-i

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I
•
                                     APPENDIX H.
                    USE OF DISPERSION MODELS TO ESTIMATE AIR QUALITY
  I                        IN  VICINITY OF AN  INDIRECT SOURCE

  •           The purpose of this appendix is to provide guidance for estimating
          the impact of a proposed indirect source on air quality.  The informa-
          tion contained in Appendix H would be needed if the assumptions under-
  _      lying the screening procedure presented in the main section of the
  ™      guidelines were invalid, or if a more complete analysis of a proposed
  •      source's impact on air quality is desired.  The methods suggested
          herein are not necessarily the only means by which air quality in the
          vicinity of a proposed indirect source could be assessed.  Alternate
  _       techniques could be used if shown to be appropriate for the source
  ™       under review.
  •            There are two types of estimates which are relevant in assessing
          the impact of a proposed indirect source on air quality.  Of greatest
          interest is the estimate of peak concentrations in locations where
 _       there is a possibility of the general public being exposed for
 ™       periods greater than or equal to those specified by the primary stand-
 •       ards.  Also of importance is the impact the source would exert on air
          quality trends, and on non-deterioration requirements.  Assessment of
          these latter impacts are best done by estimating the effect of the source
 _        on representative air quality.  Thus, peak concentrations are those
 •        which represent the highest concentrations to which the general public
 •        is likely to be exposed for 1- or 8-hour periods in the vicinity of the
          source.  Representative concentrations are measures of characteristic
I
I

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                                                                              I
concentrations at the site of the indirect source, and provide a              •
means for assessing the source's impact on air quality over larger
areas.                                                                        J
     This appendix presents methods which could be used to estimate the       _
impact of an indirect source on peak and representative air quality.           ™
The curves contained herein are intended to illustrate the sensitivity        •
of the proposed estimation techniques to various meteorological  assump-
tions.  Although specific models (i.e., HIWAY and an Area Source              J
Model) are used in these illustrations, other roadway or parking lot
models could be used in a modeling analysis of a proposed source if           "
they are appropriately suited for the source under review.   If a              •
decision is made to use a modeling approach rather than rely on  the
screening procedure presented in the Guidelines, it is imperative             •
that the meteorological assumptions used in the analysis be appro-
priately tailored for use at the proposed site.  Ideally, this would           •
include an analysis of data from a nearby observation station, and,            •
in some instances, specific measurements at the site of the proposed
indirect source or at similarly situated sources.                               •
HI.  Estimation of Peak Concentrations
     Estimating peak concentrations in the vicinity of an indirect             •
source is primarily of interest to determine whether the public                 •
is likely to be exposed to carbon monoxide concentrations exceeding
those specified in the primary standards.  This implies that models            I
capable of estimating one and/or eight hour average concentrations
of CO must be used.  The other Type II pollutants  are chiefly of               •
                               H-2                                              I

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  I
  _       interest because they serve as precursors of oxidants.  Since it is
  •       suspected that the chemical reactions forming oxidants require some
           •time and mixing in the atmosphere, estimates of hydrocarbon and NO
                                                                            X
           emissions and the ensuing representative concentrations are of more
  J       interest for these pollutants.
               Peak CO concentrations in the vicinity of an indirect source are
  •       the result of:
  •           1.  General urban background CO concentrations;
               2.  Concentrations attributable to emissions from traffic related
  I        to the source that does not occur within major traffic lanes in the
           immediate vicinity of the receptor location (e.g., within 100 meters
  •        in the case of major traffic lanes);
  •            3.  Concentrations resulting from CO emissions from vehicles
           utilizing nearby major traffic lanes (within 100 m of the receptor).
  I            A.  Estimating General Urban Background Concentrations
                   There are four approaches which could be used to estimate
 ^        background concentrations at the site of the proposed indirect source.
 •        The first approach requires representative air quality data at the
           site of the proposed source.  The second requires emission data and
 •         representative air quality data but not necessarily at the site of
           the source.  The third approach requires representative air quality
 "         data or emission data, but not both.  Finally, the fourth approach
 •         addresses the case where no emission or representative air quality
           data are available.  These approaches are discussed in descending
 •         order of preference.
I
I
H-3

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                                                                           I
         1.   Use of Air Quality Monitoring Data at Nearby
Representative Monitoring Sites
             A site should be considered "representative" if it            I
fulfills the criteria set forth in "Guidance for Air Quality Monitoring
Network Design and Instrument Siting."   Such a site may be either at      |
ground or rooftop level, should be greater than 50 feet from the nearest   «
street curb and be greater than 100 meters from any major thoroughfare.
Presence of a representative monitoring site operating for a year in       •
the immediate vicinity of the source's intended location is probably
the most reliable method for estimating background concentrations          |
because it inherently takes account of the area's meteorological           _
characteristics and existing source configurations.  The monitoring        *
data may be used to estimate background concentrations during times        I
of day in which peak use rates are anticipated.  Concentrations
observed during periods with poorest atmospheric dilution which occur      |
during the source's proposed operating hours may also be considered        _
to determine whether a greater threat could be posed to the standards      ™
by the source during such periods despite the fact that the vehicle        •
use rate may be less than peak during such periods.
             Unfortunately there may not be many instances in which         |
a CO monitor is so fortuitously located.  If the project is a major         _
one requiring the preparation of an environmental impact statement,         ™
it would be highly desirable to obtain monitoring measurements at
                                                      2
each prospective site for a period of at least 90 days  to use as a
means for evaluating the potential impact on air quality attendant
                               H-4
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  I
         with each  alternative site.  More frequently, however, the duration
         of  the monitoring will be limited by the maximum requirements of the
         indirect source  regulations  (paragraph 52.22 (b)(3)(i), (b)(3)(iii)(e)
                          o
 •      and (b)(3)(iv)).   If possible, historical data from existing representa-
         tive monitoring  sites should be used as a basis for selecting the time
 I      of  year in which background concentrations of CO are likely to be
         highest.  Monitoring at the site of the proposed source should occur
 ^      during such a period.  If data are obtained for a limited period
 •      during a time of year in which ambient CO levels are likely to be low,
         the data should  be "seasonally adjusted," as described in Section 4.3.1
 I      of  the Guidelines, or by some other reasonable approach.  If it is not
         feasible to obtain representative air duality data at the site of a
 "      proposed source, it may be necessary to use one of the methods described
 •      below for estimating background concentrations.
                  2.  Use of Calibrated Meso-fodels
 I                   In  this discussion, the term "meso-model" refers to an
         atmospheric dispersion model which can be applied to estimate repre-
 •       sentative CO concentration patterns about a city.   Such models may be
 •       used if:
                      (a)  A sufficient emission inventory exists to assign
 I       emission densities to designated subdivisions within an urban area, and
                      (b)  Representative air quality data exist, but not
 I       necessarily at the site of a proposed indirect source.
 •       In  order to use a meso-model it is usually necessary to superimpose
         a grid over a city and assign emission intensities to each grid square.
I       Alternatively, the receptor site can be regarded as the center of a
_                                       H-5

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a line source model  (e.g., HIWAY)    would be needed to  depict the  road's
sampling periods given the meso-model  estimates.   Prior to
*AvaiTable on EPA's UNAMAP Time Sharing System
                                                                              I
                                                                              I
                                                                              I
large circle.  The circle is then divided into a number of sectors
which are in turn divided into a series of segments.   Emission intensi-
ties are assigned to each segment within each sector.   In terms of
convenience of application, meso-models can be divided into two cate-         I
gories:  complex models and simple models.  Examples  of complex models
include APRAC-1A,4* Climatological Dispersion Model5* (COM) and the           I
Air Quality Display Model.   Complex models enable one to estimate the        •
effects of area, point and line sources simultaneously.  Examples of
                                            78                       9       •
simple models include ones proposed by Hanna '  and Gifford and Hanna.        •
Simple models are primarily suitable for area sources.  It would be
necessary to superimpose the estimates of a point source model over           |
the resulting estimates if point sources are of importance.  Simple           •
point source models which may be used include three which are avail-
               10*                                                            •
able on UNAMAP.     Fortunately, in many cases the contributions of           •
point sources to representative concentrations of CO may be negligible.
Similarly, if a roadway existed in the immediate vicinity of a receptor,      |

impact.  In the case of CO, the background concentrations of greatest         ™
interest are ones appropriate for sampling times of 8- and 1-hour             •
duration.  The estimates obtained by some of the models cited may
not be appropriate for these sampling times (particularly for the             |
8-hour period).  Statistical techniques developed by Larsen  ~                 _
may be used to obtain estimates of concentrations for appropriate              ™
                                                                               I
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                               H-6
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  I
  I         application of the statistical  transformations,  the model  estimates
            should be calibrated so that they agree as  closely as  possible with
  |         representative air quality data.
  •                  3.  Estimating Background Concentrations  with Inadequate
            Emission or Air Quality Data
  I                      Use of directly applicable air quality data or  the use
            of calibrated meso-models to estimate general  background concentrations
  |         should be made whenever possible.   However, if the CO  emission inventory
  «         is inadequate to use a meso-model  and/or there are no  representative
 ™         air quality data available in the vicinity  of  the  site or  elsewhere,
 •         it may be necessary to estimate background  concentrations  by one of
            the other techniques described  herein.
 I                      (a)  Lack of Sufficient Emission  Data to  Use  Calibrated
 .         Meso-Models
                              (1)   Availability of Representative  Air  Quality
 •         Data at Several  Sites
                                   Background CO concentrations may be estimated
            at the location of interest by  interpolating among the observed or
 _          estimated 1- and 8-hour background concentrations  at sites where
 *          representative CO data are available.   Any  monitoring  site which does
 I          not meet the criteria   for a representative site should not  be included
            in this interpolation.
                              (2)   Availability of Air  Quality Data from One
 •          Central City Site not  Located at  Streetsjde
 *                                 It is assumed that the  highest  background
 •          levels for CO occur at central  city sites.   A  central  city site is

i

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                                                                               I
one located in a central business district, not necessarily at the             I
geographical center of the city.  If the only air quality data
available are from one such site, a possible means for estimating              »
background CO concentrations elsewhere is to assume the concentration          •
diminishes from the maximum level at city center in accordance with
Equation (HI).*                                                                I
                                                                               -
xr = xc exp
where xr = representative CO background concentration at a site
           located "r" km from the central  city site
      x  = observed CO concentration at a central  city site not
       \f
                                                                          I
           located within 50 feet of a roadway                                  I
       r = distance between site of proposed source and the
           central city monitoring site, km                                     •
       R = size of central business district, km                                •
If Eq. (HI) yields a value of XR less than 1 ppm, set XR = 1  ppm.
             (b)  Lack of Representative Air Quality Data with                  I
which to Calibrate Meso-Models
                  If the emission inventory is sufficiently detailed            I
to allow emission densities to be designated for subdivisions within            •
the area of interest, but there are no representative air quality
data (e. g., all CO monitors measure streetside concentrations), meso-          •
models which have been calibrated for other urban areas may be used
to estimate background concentrations at the site of the proposed               I
source.  Such models would be applied using the emission data compiled          •
for the city in which the source is to be located.
                                                                                I
*Eq. (HI) Ts conceptually similar to a technique presented in reference
7 for estimating concentrations in outlying areas.  The same assumptions
and limitations apply.                                                          •
                               H-8

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•
 I
 •                4.   Use of Representative Air Quality Data  from  Other  Cities
                       If there are no representative  air quality data  for  the
 •       city in which the source is  to be located  and  the  emission  inventory
 •       is inadequate to enable use  of a  meso-model, "typical" representative
          CO concentrations obtained in other cities should  be used to  estimate
 •       background concentration.  If a choice of  cities from which to  obtain
          estimates of background concentrations is  available, data should  be
 •       taken from the city with transportation patterns and meteorological
I          conditions most closely approximating  those  for the  city  in which
                                                                         15
          the proposed source is to be located.   Publication Number AP-101
 I        may provide assistance in identifying  cities with  similar pollution
          potentials.
 •             B.  Concentrations Attributable to Emissions  Generated by
 •        the Source which Do not Occur in  Major Traffic Lanes within 100 Meters
          Of a Selected Receptor Site
 •                 An  area source model  is  suggested for use in estimating
          concentrations at a selected receptor  which  are attributable  to
 I        emissions generated by the source but  not  occurring  in traffic  lanes
 m        within 100 meters of the receptor.   Relationships  among emission
          density, source size and the impact upon background  concentrations
•        of CO can be derived by integrating the equation for an infinitely
          long line source   in the upwind  (x) direction as  shown in  Equations
|        (H2) providing the source and receptor heights are not identical
          (WO).
I
                 = 2g [exp (-1/2 (h/axb)2)]                               (R2a)
                        u ax
                                         H-9

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                                                                             I
assuming wind speed (u) and the line source emission intensity (q)            _
are constant with respect to x,                                              •
                                                                             I
                                                 x              (H2b)

                                                                (H2c)
          '

q o
or
f vn/n -
r. xu/4
/2if
JFT
v2i

V '
f 1
0
- ' b
i o ax

lexp (-l/2(h/axb) )]
k
axb



dx

                                                                             I
where
     x = estimated concentration at a selected receptor,  gm/m
     u = wind speed, m/sec
                                                                             I
     f = conversion factor from gm/m  to ppm
                                                                             I
                                2
  Q = emission density, gm/sec-m
  h = difference in elevation between source and receptor,  m              •
 x' = distance between the receptor and the upwind edge of  the
      indirect source, m                                                  •
  x = upwind distance, m
a,b = constants which depend on atmospheric stability conditions           I
      In a Gaussian model, a, ~ ax
                                                                             I
     q = line source emission intensity, gm/sec-m.                             •
As a result of Equation (H2c) it is possible to derive a table in
which f.xu/Q values are matched against corresponding x1 values under a       •
set of assumed stability conditions and for a specified difference in
elevation between source and receptor.  If one knows the value of             •
f.xu/Q for a given source size (x1) and selects a given value of              •
f.x (e.g., 1 ppm) which is of interest, it is possible to derive the
corresponding emission density and to plot an isoconcentration line           •
                               H-10                                           •

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 I
 I        on  a  graph  relating  the  upwind dimension to emission density for any
          given wind  speed.  This  procedure was followed in deriving Figures
 I        H1A-E,  H2A-E,  H3A-E  and  H4A-E for a wind speed of 1 m/sec.  The
 •        ordinate  on these  figures represents the distance between the upwind
          edge  of the area source  and the selected receptor site.  A similar
 I        procedure could be followed to estimate the impact of source-related
          concentrations under atmospheric stability conditions which may be
 •        peculiarly  suited  for  the site of a proposed source.
                   Figures H1A-3 are applicable for McElroy-Pooler stability
          classes A-E   with an  assumed wind speed of 1 m/sec.  These stability
 I        classifications are  believed to be generally suitable for urban areas.
          Table HI  presents  coefficients assumed for the Pasquill-Gifford and
 •        McElroy-Pooler stability classes.  McElroy-Pooler stability classi-
 •        fi cations have also  been assumed in deriving Figures H2A-E.  In
          addition, Figures  H2A-E  assume mechanical turbulence resulting from
I
                                                           18
          initial  vertical dispersion of CO as large as 10m.    Such curves
•       the source configuration and/or the motion of vehicles results in an
I
I
          illustrate  the  impact of a  large initial dispersion of CO emissions,
          and might be  particularly appropriate in areas nearby large buildings
          or in  street  canyons.  Figures H3A-E depict relationships occurring
•        with the more familiar Pasquill-Gifford stability classifications.
          Finally, Figures H4A-E combine the large initial vertical dispersion
•        assumption  with the Pasquill-Gifford stability classifications.  The
•        key point to  emphasize in using models to estimate the impact of an
          indirect source on air quality in its vicinity is to take as explicit
I                                     H-ll
I

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1
1
Table HI. STABILITY PARAMETER COEFFICIENTS FOR •
THE VERTICAL PLUME SPREAD PARAMETER


b
cr, = ax
z
Pasquill-Gifford*
Class a b

A .038 1.28

B .139 .947
C .112 .910
D .086 .865


E .082 .816

McElroy-Pooler*
Class a b

A .07 1.28

B .12 1.14
C .23 .97
D .50 .77


E 1.35 .51


1


1
1
1

1
1
1
1
I

1
*Wherever the coefficients vary with distance, values appropriate I
for the first 500 meters downwind from a source are used in Table HI. •
1
H-12 1
1

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1.   Determination of Emission Factors
                                                                             I
                                                                             I
             Probably the most accurate estimates  of emission  factors          •
for vehicles at parking lots could be obtained if  typical  driving
cycles (i.e. amounts of time and sequences  spent in  acceleration,  decel-       I
eration and steady speed modes of travel) could be estimated for the
parking lot.  A typical driving cycle could then be  simulated  using  the        |
EPA Automobile Exhaust Emission Modal Analysis Model   to  obtain  average        ^
trip emission factors which were explicit for the  parking lot.   This          *
approach has been followed in characterizing emissions at signalized          •
intersections in Appendix A.  If vehicle operating data are insufficient
at parking lots to take this approach elsewhere in a parking lot,  the          |
CO emission factors which are based on the  1975 Federal Test                  _
Procedure (FTP)  may have to suffice.  Figure El was derived using            *
the 1975 FTP trip emission factor for CO presented in Table A3 of              •
Appendix A for a 1975 mix of light-duty vehicles (consisting of 88
percent cars and 12 percent light trucks) and Tables 3.1.2-6a  and  b            |
(Supplement 5 ) to obtain appropriate speed correction factors                _
[c(s)].  Note that emission factor corresponding to  0 mph is char-            ™
acteristic of stop-and-start traffic rather than idling.   Emission            •
factors for other years should be computed  as shown  in Eq. (E2).
         EF = (Value from Fig. El) [ef/55]                     (E2)            |
     where                                                                    —
         ef = the emission factor (gm/mi-veh) for  the year of                  *
              interest as indicated in Table A3, Appendix A.                  •
         55 = the emission factor for a 1975 mix of  light-duty
              vehicles (88% cars, 12% light trucks), gm/mi-veh.                 |
                               E-10
                                                                      I

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