United States
      Environmental Protection
      Agency
Region 3
Sixth and Walnut Streets
Philadelphia, PA 19106
903R83100
                                         September 1983
              CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM:
              FINDINGS AND
              RECOMMENDATIONS
     £EPA
TD
225
.C54
C57
copy 3

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CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM:
  FINDINGS AND
    RECOMMENDATIONS

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11	
     ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
        Many individuals and institutions have been involved in
     the Chesapeake Bay Program effort It would be virtually
     impossible to acknowledge all of them and their unique
     contributions. However, the following institutions are
     gratefully acknowledged for their cooperation, active sup-
     port, and sustained interest in the Chesapeake Bay
     Program:

     Chesapeake Bay Foundation
     Chesapeake Research Consortium
     Citizens Program for Chesapeake Bay
     District of Columbia Department of
        Environmental Services
     Maryland Department of Health and
        Mental Hygiene
     Maryland Department of Natural Resources
     Pennsylvania Department of
        Environmental Resources
     Susquehanna River Basin Commission
     Virginia Council on the Environment
     Virginia State Water Control Board

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CONTENTS
                                                                                          Ill
 Introduction.
1
   History of the Bay Program	  1
   The Research Phase	  1
   Characterizing the Bay	  2
   Managing the Bay	  3

The Chesapeake Bay  System	  5

   General  Description	  5

   The Bay's Ecological Processes	  7
     Geological Composition	  7
     Water and Sediments	  8
     Key Biological Communities	10
     Food Production and Consumption	12

   Population and  Land Use Trends	14
     Population Trends	14
     Increased Urbanization	15
     Changes in Agricultural Activities	15
     Loss of Wetlands	16

   Summary	17

The State of the Bay	19

   Introduction	19

   Summary of Scientific Findings	21
     Trends in Living Resources	21
     Water and Sediment Quality Trends	22
     Relationships between Living Resources
       and Water  Sediment Quality	24
   Nutrients	24
     Nutrients and the Living Resources	24
     Sources of Nutrients	25
     Nutrient Loadings	29
   Toxic Compounds	31
     Toxic Compounds and Living Resources	31
     Sources of Toxic Compounds	33
     Loadings of Toxic Compounds	33
   Summary	34

A Framework for Action	35

   Introduction	35
   Monitoring and Research	35
   Monitoring and  Research Recommendations	37
   Nutrients	37
   Bay-wide Nutrient  Recommendations	39
   Toxic Compounds	42
   Bay-wide Toxicant  Recommendations	44
   Bay Management	47

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IV

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FOREWORD
   The water and related land resources of Chesapeake
Bay serve over 12 million people in five states. The beauty
and richness of the region have been well known since the
area was first settled by the Susquehannock and other In-
dians. Although Chesapeake Bay is still enjoyed today, 400
years later, the estuary and its resources are pressured from
growth  and development.  The future will bring additional
stresses  as population continues to grow and the region
seeks the expanded economic base needed to provide a de-
cent standard of living for all of its citizens. It is hoped
that the needs of the future will be met and the quality of
the Bay preserved. But first, the Bay ecosystem must be
understood; then patterns  of growth  must respect the
capabilities of the Bay's system to assimilate human
pressures and, finally, areas and resources which are par-
ticularly vulnerable must be ardently protected through
controlling pollution.
   This report provides an overview  of the major research
findings and range of pollution controls recommended by
the Environmental Protection Agency's Chesapeake Bay
Program (CBP), in accordance with P.L. 94-116 passed by
the 94th Congress on October 17, 1975. The report sum-
marizes three main phases of the program: research on
nutrient enrichment, toxic substances, and submerged
aquatic  vegetation; a characterization of the Bay's water
quality  and resources; and a management framework for
ameliorating current pollution problems and preserving the
future quality of Chesapeake Bay. Chapter 1 of the report
provides a brief education on the ecological processes  gov-
erning the Bay and the complex ways that animals, plants,
and humans make  use of the ecosystem. In the second
chapter, the state of the ecosystem and the sources of pollu-
tants are described. The final chapter recommends and
specifies actions or  approaches which appear to be most
necessary and effective to improve and maintain the well-
being of this ecosystem.

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VI	
        While the Chesapeake Bay Program significantly ad-
     vanced the technical understanding of the nation's largest
     and most productive estuary,  it  also promoted a unique
     regional  management ethic. This ethic was encouraged by
     the Chesapeake Bay Program  Management Committee
     which guided the Program's efforts over the years. The
     committee, representing the EPA, the state governments,
     and the citizens of the area, has been a unique example of
     regional  cooperation.  The Chesapeake Bay Program hopes
     that the  findings and  recommendations presented in this
     report will encourage a continued commitment by both the
     governments and the people of the Chesapeake Bay region.
                          Greene Jones
                          Chairman,
                          Chesapeake Bay Program
                            Management Committee
                                       V. .
                          Virginia K. Tippie
                          Director,
                          Chesapeake Bay Program

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INTRODUCTION
HISTORY OF THE BAY PROGRAM

   Concern for the well-being of Chesapeake Bay and its
tributaries prompted Congress to direct the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency to conduct a five-year
study of the Bay's water quality and resources, and to
develop management strategies to preserve the Bay's quality
(P.L. 94-116). A technical program was set up in 1976 to
identify and study the major environmental problems in
Chesapeake Bay. Concurrently, a study on environmental
management was established to determine available
management mechanisms on the Bay and develop alter-
native controls.  In 1981, the technical program ended, and
during 1982 and 1983 the GBP analyzed and integrated
their findings, leading to conclusions and recommendations
for actions needed to preserve  the environmental  quality of
the Bay.
THE RESEARCH PHASE

   Numerous studies existed in 1976 documenting the
negative effects of pollution. However, an absence of scien-
tific documentation and analysis existed on several serious
problems which were disturbing leaders and citizens
throughout the Bay region — namely, a trend of disappear-
ing Bay grasses (submerged aquatic vegetation) and of
declining fish landings among certain species.  Arguments
centered on questions of whether the losses of fish and  Bay
grasses were cyclic or permanent occurrences, and due to
natural or human causes.
   State personnel from Maryland and Virginia,  the scien-
tific community, and citizens from around the Bay iden-
tified  10 primary water quality problems  of the Bay, and
suggested methods needed to investigate them. These 10
problems were:
   •  Wetlands alteration
   •  Shoreline erosion

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    •  Effects of boating and shipping on
      water quality
    •  Hydrologic modification
    •  Fisheries modification
    •  Sellfish bed closures
    •  Accumulation of toxic substances
    •  Dredging and dredged material disposal
    •  Nutrient enrichment
    •  Decline of submerged aquatic vegetation
Three critical areas were chosen from the 10 for intensive
investigation — nutrient enrichment, toxic substances, and
the decline of submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV).
   State and GBP staffs, together with EPA personnel,
wrote plans of action and asked interested scientists to res-
pond with suggestions and  proposals for researching the
three problem areas. Nearly 40 research projects, grants,
and cooperative  agreements were funded. Many of the
studies were conducted by  major scientific research institu-
tions in the Chesapeake Bay region. These investigations
have greatly increased the understanding of sources of
pollutants, their  transport and fate within the estuary, as
well as impacts on a major ecosystem component, SAV.
Products

   Approximately 40 final research and survey reports pre-
sent the methodology, findings, and recommendations of
the GBP's scientific studies; these are available through the
National Technical Information Service and in the libraries
of the management agencies and principal research institu-
tions of the region. In addition, the CBP has produced
several major summary documents: Chesapeake Bay: In-
troduction to an Ecosystem explains some of the important
components and interactions within the Bay ecosystem;
Chesapeake Bay Program  Technical Studies: A Synthesis
pulls together all available research from the three study
areas in one volume which is structured to  address the
questions pertinent to managers. These research findings
contributed to the second  phase of the program, the
characterization effort.
CHARACTERIZING THE BAY

   The second phase of the CBP concentrated on determin-
ing trends in the Bay's water quality and the health of its
resources. The goal of this phase was to provide an infor-
mation base for evaluating human impacts on the
ecosystem and a framework for guiding management
options.

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   As in the research phase, a diverse group of people,
from scientists to citizens, helped the GBP formulate an ap-
proach for this characterization. For ease of comparison
and organization, the Bay was divided into segments based
on natural factors such as circulation patterns and salinity.
To characterize how water quality has changed  over time,
the CBP looked at levels of nutrients, dissolved oxygen,
organic compounds, and heavy metals in those segments
over the past 30 years. Available data was assessed for
phytoplankton, submerged aquatic vegetation, benthic
animals (including shellfish), and finfish. In some areas, it
was possible to analyze both water quality and resource
trends over a hundred years. For nearly two years, CBP
staff collected present and historical  data from institutions
and agencies throughout the Bay region.  The Program's
data base is one of the largest on any single estuary.
   After trends were established for  most segments of the
Bay, potential relationships between water and sediment
quality, and resources were examined. Several positive cor-
relations were found, indicating that there may  be cause-
and-effect relationships between certain trends in water
quality and the abundance of resources. These relationships
point to specific management needs, such as  pollution con-
trols in particularly sensitive areas, and to future monitor-
ing strategies.
Products

   The major product of the second phase is Chesapeake
Bay: A Profile of Environmental Change. This report
presents the current state of the Bay and trends in its water
quality and resources. It also suggests possible causes of
some of the changes observed and thereby provides a useful
management tool. An important non-technical product of
this characterization effort is the public concern for the Bay
that  it has  generated.
MANAGING THE BAY

   The technical studies and Bay-wide characterization
provided a foundation for determining appropriate manage-
ment strategies, the third and final phase of the CBP.
Several steps were involved in developing management op-
tions for Chesapeake Bay. One was to examine the effec-
tiveness of current control programs for present and future
situations. To this end, predictive models were developed to
evaluate the effectiveness of various pollution controls.
Another step in the  management phase involved setting up

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monitoring strategies. These strategies can enhance the
ability to distinguish natural from human-influenced
events, provide a framework for future research, and fill in
the gaps in the present base of knowledge. In a final step
in the management process, the  GBP recommended institu-
tional arrangements for implementing results of the Pro-
gram and directing future management of Chesapeake Bay.
   Developing and implementing a comprehensive manage-
ment plan for Chesapeake Bay is a public choice process.
Therefore, the GBP, together with the Citizen's Program
for the Chesapeake Bay (CPCB), established a Resource
User's Management Team comprised of users of the Bay,
and a Water Quality Management Team comprised of state
managers who influence Bay activities. Throughout the
management process, the Citizen's Program and these teams
have reviewed findings and conclusions and have been in-
volved in developing strategies. These teams were an in-
valuable component of the CBP, particularly in guiding the
Program's third phase. Their help exemplifies the kind of
participation and cooperation necessary for effective im-
plementation of any environmental management plan.
Products

   The major product from the third Program phase is
Chesapeake Bay: A Framework for Action. This report
presents a framework for the actions that need to be taken
by users to restore and maintain the ecological integrity of
Chesapeake Bay. Additional products of this phase include
predictive models and a comprehensive data management
system. Lastly, the third program phase encouraged a
regional management approach which will guide the future
of the Bay.

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THE CHESAPEAKE BAY  SYSTEM
GENERAL DESCRIPTION

   Chesapeake Bay is the largest estuary in the United
States and biologically,  one of the most productive systems
in the world. It is part  of an interconnected system which
includes a portion of  the Atlantic Ocean and rivers draining
parts of New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland,
Delaware, and Virginia. The main Bay and all of its tidal
tributaries compose the Chesapeake Bay system as that
term is employed in this document.
   The Bay proper is approximately 200 miles long and
ranges in width from about four miles near Annapolis,
Maryland to 30 miles at its widest point near  the mouth of
the Potomac. The water surface of the Bay proper encom-
passes more than 2,500 square miles. That figure nearly
doubles when its tributaries are included. However, the
Bay is a relatively shallow body of water, averaging 28 feet
in depth, making it very sensitive to temperature and wind.
   The Bay draws from an enormous 64,000 square-mile
drainage basin. Of the more than 150 rivers, creeks, and
streams flowing through portions of six states  and the
District of Columbia, and contributing freshwater to the
Bay, 50 are considered  major tributaries. Eight of these
fifty rivers contribute about 90 percent of the freshwater
contained in the Bay  main-stem: they are the Susquehanna,
Patuxent, Potomac, Rappahannock, York, James, Choptank
Rivers and the West  Chesapeake Drainage Area.  The Sus-
quehanna is by far the  largest river in the  basin, discharg-
ing approximately 50 percent of the freshwater that reaches
the Bay.  In addition, it has the highest freshwater dis-
charge rate of any river on the East Coast of  the United
States —a mean annual rate of 40,000 cubic feet per se-
cond. These eight major tributaries and the ocean shape
the circulation and salinity characteristics of the estuary.
Thus, the way in which land is used and managed  within
each of the river basins largely determines the volume and
chemical properties of the freshwater discharged  to the
Bay.

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6
                                                         1. Susquehanna
                                                         2. Eastern Shore
                                                         3. West Chesapeake
                                                         4. Patuxent
                                                         5. Potomac
                                                         6. Rappahannock
                                                         7. York
                                                         8. James
        The major drainage basins of
        the Chesapeake Ba\ system.

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                                                                                             _7
THE BAY'S ECOLOGICAL PROCESSES

   Natural processes have subjected the Chesapeake
ecosystem to unending modifications. In the Chesapeake's
long history, beginning when sea level changes started to
form it about 15,000 years ago, humans have only recently
emerged  as leading actors in this reshaping process. Follow-
ing is a brief overview of the Bay ecological processes and
characteristics. This information helps to show how natural
and human actions continuously initiate chains of events
that can  alter the condition of the Bay's environment. This
description is divided into four major areas: geological com-
position;  water and sediments; key biological communities;
and food production and consumption.
Geological Composition

   In geological terms, the Chesapeake is very young.  If
the entire geological calendar from the earliest fossil forma-
tions were equated to one year, the Bay would be less  than
one minute old. The birth of Chesapeake Bay followed the
most recent retreat of glaciers that once covered the North
American continent during the final part of the Pleistocene
epoch (which began one million years ago). The melting
glacial ice resulted in a corresponding rise in sea level that
submerged coastal areas,  including the Susquehanna River
Valley and many of  the river's tributaries. The complex of
drowned river-beds now forms the basin of Chesapeake Bay
and its tributaries.
   The Bay proper  lies within the Atlantic Coastal Plain, a
relatively flat, low land area with a maximum present
elevation of about 300 feet above sea level. The Coastal
Plain extends from the edge of the continental shelf on the
east to a fall line that ranges from 15 to 90 miles west of
               Appalachian Province
Piedmont
Province
                                                            Coastal Plain Province

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8
   the Bay. The fall line forms the boundary between the
   Piedmont Plateau and the coastal plain. Waterfalls and
   rapids clearly mark this line where the elevation sharply in-
   creases because of erosion of the soft sediments of the
   coastal plain. Cities such  as Fredericksburg and Richmond,
   Virginia; Baltimore, Maryland; and Washington, D.C.
   have developed along this fall line for reasons that include
   the limits of navigability, the abundance of freshwater, and
   the water power potential of the falls .»nd rapids.
      The Chesapeake's shoreline has undergone constant
   modification by erosion, and by the transport and deposi-
   tion of sediments. Areas of strong relief, like peninsulas and
   headlands, are eroded and smoothed by currents, tides, and
   storms, and the  materials are deposited in other  areas of
   the Bay. Sediments carried by a river are left on the floor
   of the Bay and major tributaries, depositing mud and silt.
   Grasses and other plants colonize and stabilize the
   sediments, developing marshes. Build-up of land in the
   marshes causes the area to eventually become part of the
   shoreline.
      The forces of erosion and sedimentation are continually
   reshaping the Bay. For example, erosion caused a histori-
   cally swift submersion of  Sharp's Island which was, in col-
   onial times, a rich plantation of six  hundred acres situated
   off the Eastern Shore. Mooring piles foi sailing ships are
   visible at Joppatowne, Maryland, more than a mile from
   open water today, demonstrating the rapidity with which
   sediments can fill an  estuary like the Gunpowder River.
   Water and Sediments

       Of all bodies of water, estuarine systems offer the
   greatest diversity in water composition. Freshwater mixing
   with salt water creates unique chemical and physical en-
   vironments, each of which supports different communities
   of organisms particularly suited to that type of water.
       Temperature, salinity, and circulation are three very
   important physical characteristics which affect the location
   and stability of Bay environments. Fluctuations in water
   temperature affect the rates of chemical and  biochemical
   reactions within the water, which in turn influence pro-
   cesses such as phytoplankton growth. Salinity refers to the
   concentration of dissolved salts in the water.  Because sea
   water enters the Bay through its mouth, the salinity is
   highest at that point and gradually diminishes toward  the
   northern end of the estuary. Salinity levels are also
   graduated vertically and horizontally; that is, deeper water
   and the waters on the eastern side of the estuary are saltier.
   This characteristic distribution is due to differences in  the
   density of fresh and salt water, and the effects of circula-

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                                                                                                9
 River
                                                              Ocean
 i

Fresh Water
                                                                             > Lighted
                                                                                Zone
                                      Bottom


tion and fresh-water inflow.  These salinity gradations and
the water circulation play enormously important roles in
the distribution and well-being of various organisms living
in the Bay. The movement of water transports plankton,
eggs and juveniles of fishes, shellfish larvae, sediments,
minerals, nutrients, and other chemicals.
    The waters of the Chesapeake are a complex chemical
mixture, containing dissolved organic and inorganic
materials, including dissolved gases, nutrients,  and a vari-
ety of other chemicals.
    Dissolved Oxygen —Among the chemical constituents
most important to the Bay is dissolved oxygen which is
essential for animals inhabiting the Bay. Oxygen is trans-
ferred from the atmosphere into the surface waters by the
aerating action of the wind and by adsorption. It is also
added at or near the surface as a by-product of plant
photosynthesis. As a result, floating and rooted aquatic
plants increase dissolved oxygen levels. Because the ex-
istence of plants also depends on the availability of light,
the oxygen-producing processes occur only near the surface
or in shallow waters. Due to the natural variations in tem-
perature and salinity throughout the year, the concentra-
tion of dissolved oxygen tends to diminish in deeper areas
of the Bay and tributaries in the summer  and then increase
in the fall.
    Nitrogen and Phosphorus — The plant nutrients,
nitrogen and phosphorus,  are also key constituents in the
Bay's system. In addition to being supplied by natural pro-
cesses, they enter the Bay in  significant quantities through
discharges from sewage treatment plants,  food  processing
industries, and in runoff from agricultural land, urban
areas, and forests. Nitrogen plays  a principal role in pro-
ducing plant and animal tissue.  Phosphorus is essential to
                                                                   Freshwater and saltwater
                                                                   mix in the Bay creating a
                                                                      unique environment.

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10
   cellular growth and the reproduction of phytoplankton and
   bacteria. Just as fertilizer aids the growth of agricultural
   crops, both nitrogen and phosphorus are vital to the
   growth of plants within the Bay. Too much nutrients,
   however, can lead to an over-abundance of phytoplankton,
   creating dense populations, or blooms,  of plant cells. These
   blooms become a nuisance because oxygen is used up as
   they decompose. This can lead to anoxic conditions, mean-
   ing that the affected water area becomes devoid of oxygen
   and, therefore, of life.
      Sediments — Suspended in  the waters of  the Chesapeake
   are huge quantities of particulate matter composed of both
   organic and inorganic materials, including  detritus, living
   plankton, and suspended sediments. Individual sediment
   particles have a large surface area, and many molecules
   easily adsorb,  or attach, to them. As a result, suspended
   sediments act as chemical sweeps by adsorbing  metals,
   nutrients, oils, organic chemicals, and other potentially tox-
   ic compounds. For this  reason, areas of high sediment
   deposition can possess high concentrations of long-lasting
   toxicants. Accumulation of sediments can cause other
   undesirable consequences. Settling of sediments on the bot-
   tom can fill in channels and other waterways; bottom
   dwelling plants and animals (benthos) can be smothered;
   and, when the sediments are suspended, the water becomes
   turbid and thus decreases the amount of light available for
   plant growth.
   Key Biological Communities

       The Chesapeake provides critical types of habitat for
   various stages of animal and  plant life and serves as a sup-
   plier of seafood to humans. More than 2,700 species of
   plants and animals inhabit the Chesapeake and its
   shoreline. All depend on the  Bay and their fellow in-
   habitants for food and shelter. Each, in turn, contributes to
   the continued life  of the entire Chesapeake ecosystem. Five
   major communities that interact closely are the marshes,
   submerged aquatic vegetation communities, bottom
   residents (benthos), the floaters (plankton), and swimmers
   (nekton). Each community makes use of particular  habitats
   within the Bay.
       Marshes —Marshes, or wetlands, form a natural boun-
   dary between land and water. Most wetlands consist of
   moist vegetated areas kept wet by runoff, ground-water
   seepage, adjacent  streams, and the Bay's tides. These types
   of wetlands usually have bountiful supplies of nutrients and
   are among the most  productive areas known for plant
   growth. The abundance of food and shelter offered by the

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                                                                                              11
marsh plants results in valuable habitat for other members
of the Bay community.  A host of invertebrates, for exam-
ple, feed on decomposed plant material and, in turn, pro-
vide food for many species of higher animals. Many game
birds,  animals, and furbearers depend on wetlands for food
and shelter, as do the young of commercially important fish
and shellfish.
   Submerged Aquatic  Vegetation — Ten major species of
Bay grasses are found in the Chesapeake Bay. They are col-
lectively termed submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV). Most
cannot withstand excessive drying and must live with their
leaves at or below the surface of the water. They are also
found only in shallow waters where light reaches the bot-
tom. Like the marsh grasses, the different species are
generally distributed according to salinity. These sub-
merged grasses are important links in the Bay's food chain.
They serve as protective cover and food to a diverse com-
munity of organisms.  For example, many species of in-
vertebrates feed on decaying grasses and then, in turn, pro-
vide food for small blue crabs,  striped bass, perch,  and
other small inhabitants  of the Bay. Wading birds such as
herons often feed on small fish  which shelter in the SAV
beds. Another important ecological function of the  Bay
grasses is their ability to slow down water velocities, caus-
ing particulate matter to settle  at the base of their  stems;
this makes water clearer in the SAV zones. Finally, like
marsh grasses, Bay grasses  act as nutrient buffers, taking up
nitrogen and phosphorus and releasing them  later in the
season when the plants  decay.
   Benthic organisms — The organisms that live on  and in
the bottom of the Bay outside of the marshes and grass
beds form a complex assemblage of communities, primarily
composed of invertebrate animals. Commonly termed ben-
thos, they are usually described in terms of the animal
components,  although plant and bacterial groups are
crucial parts of the ecosystem as well. Again, salinity and
sediment type help dictate the distribution and specific
kinds of benthos residing in the Bay.
   Some benthic organisms are commercially important,
such as clams, oysters, and blue crabs, and are widely
distributed. Salinity determines the locale of hard-shell and
soft-shell clams, the former requiring highly saline  waters
and the latter being able to thrive in lower salinity. Certain
benthic predators, diseases, and parasites of oysters are
unable to tolerate lower salinities so they are far less a
problem in upper Bay areas than they are in the lower
Bay.
   Plankton — The tiny  organisms that float and drift with
the water's movements are the plankton of the Bay. This
community includes phytoplankton, zooplankton, bacteria,

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12
   and jellyfish. Phytoplankton are microscopic, one-celled
   plants which often occur in colonies known as algae.
   Zooplankton, are the microscopic animals of the Bay. The
   bacteria are essentially the undertakers or decomposers —
   they break down dead matter,  particularly plants. The
   jellyfish include sea nettles, and comb jellies.
      In general,  the phytoplankton and zooplankton of the
   Bay provide the major food source for the larger organisms
   of the Bay. Like all plants, the phytoplankton require light
   and, therefore, are found near  the surface. They include
   diatoms, dinoflagellates,  golden algae, green algae, and
   blue-green algae. Most of the zooplankton are copepods, a
   particular type of crustacean that is only about a milli-
   meter long. Also, the tiny larvae of benthic animals and
   fish are considered to be zooplankton. The zooplankton
   feed on the phytoplankton and, in turn, they may be con-
   sumed by larger organisms.
      Nekton —Nekton, including  fish,  certain crustaceans,
   squid, and other invertebrates,  are the swimmers of the
   Bay. The  approximately  200 species of fish living in the
   Bay are classified as either permanent residents or
   migratory. The residents tend to be smaller in size, and are
   therefore less capable of  negotiating the distances often
   covered by the larger migratory species. The resident fish
   include killifishes, anchovies, and silversides.
      The migratory fish fall into  two categories: those who
   spawn in the Bay or its tributaries,  and those whq^spawn
   on the ocean shelf. The members of the Bay-spawning
   category migrate varying distances to spawn in freshwater.
   For example, yellow and white perch travel quite short
   distances from  their residence areas in 1:he slightly salty
   (brackish) water of the Bay to freshwater areas in the up-
   per parts. Striped bass also spawn in low salinity areas. On
   the other hand, shad and herring fit the definition of
   anadromous fish more completely; they travel from the
   ocean to freshwater to spawn, and return to the ocean to
   feed.  Other migratory  fish use the Bay strictly for feeding
   and they spawn in the lower Bay or on the ocean shelf.
   Croakers, drum, menhaden, weakfish, bluefish, and spot
   fall into this group. Menhaden, which Feed on plankton,
   occupy the Bay and nearby coastal  waters in particularly
   great abundance and, in fact, support a major commercial
   fishery.
   Food Production and Consumption

      The Food Web — The production of the Chesapeake's
   important species of fish and plants depends on the produc-
   tion  of plant biomass in the Bay. The animals, plants, and

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                                                    13
                  SECONDARY
                  CONSUMERS
                 Fish, Invertebrates
                 and their Larvae
  DETRITUS FEEDERS AND
DECOMPOSER COMMUNITY
                            Phytoplankton
microbes of the Bay
are connected by a
complex network of
feeding interactions,
called the food web.
   Direct and indirect link-
ages make up the food web.
Typically,  the direct food
web encompasses several princi-
pal linkages. For example, a
predominant feeding pattern in
the open waters of the Bay starts
with phytoplankton converting sunlight
and nutrients into living tissue. They,
in turn, are eaten by copepods, members of
the zoo-plankton community. The copepods are then
swallowed by anchovies or other small fish, which are later
eaten by bluefish. The indirect (detritus) pathway leads
from dead organic matter to benthic animals or decom-
posers such as bacteria, and then to higher animals.  Food
webs dependent on marsh and Bay-grass production are
largely dominated by this pathway.
   Several important ecological processes characterize these
food-web patterns.  For one,  energy flows through an eco-
system via  the food web. In the process of photosynthesis,
energy from the sun is used by plants to produce organic
matter.  Phytoplankton, SAV, and marsh plants are  thus the
primary producers of the Bay's food web, and constitute
the lowest  trophic level. Energy and materials are then
transferred from plants *.o consumers at higher trophic
levels. Because energy is lost at each transfer, relatively  few
animals are supportable at the highest trophic level. For in-
stance, massive amounts of plant production are required
to support  the various trophic levels that eventually support
the top carnivores such as the striped bass or bluefish. Car-
nivores consume many times their weight in food during
                                                  Benthic
                                                Invertebrates
                                    Simplified food web for
                                         Chesapeake Bay,
                                      illustrating important
                                 communities and pathways.

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14
   their lifetime. If this food contains a toxic chemical, even
   in small amounts, the fish or animal may be exposed over
   time to large amounts of the chemical.  Heavy metals and
   organic chemicals can be concentrated and stored in tissues
   of the animal.  As a result, the body may contain a much
   higher concentration of the chemical than did its food. This
   phenomenon is called biological magnification. It can have
   serious implications when the animal is used as food by
   humans.
   POPULATION AND LAND-USE TRENDS

      For over 300 years the Bay region has been used to sup-
   port a number of regional requirements and economic
   needs. Its beauty, richness, and other values have attracted
   people since the early colonial days. Today over 12.7
   million people live in the region, and virtually every type
   of economic activity and land usage is found within the
   basin. Forestry uses occupy large areas of the  Piedmont.
   Agriculture dominates many portions of the soil-rich coastal
   plain. Poultry, seafood,  and vegetable processing are im-
   portant industries on the Eastern Shore, while animal
   husbandry and agricultural processing activities take place
   throughout the Chesapeake Bay basin area. Industrial
   facilities  for steelmaking and shipbuilding, leather tanning,
   plastics and resin manufacturing, paper manufacturing,
   and chemical production are located on the major tribu-
   taries. As the population continues to increase, the land-use
   patterns  and the economic activities of the region will
   change.
   Population Trends

      Basin-wide, the population grew by 4.2 million between
   1950 and 1980 and is expected to grow an additional 1.9
   million, to a total of 14.6 million by 2000. Although the
   largest increases in population (1.4 million) will occur in
   the three largest basins, the Susquehanna, Potomac, and
   James Rivers,  the highest rates of increase between 1980
   and 2000 are expected  in the York (43 percent), Rappahan-
   nock (40 percent), and Patuxent (27 percent) River basins.
   More people living in the drainage basin could place addi-
   tional stress on the Chesapeake because of increasing
   freshwater withdrawal and larger amounts of wastes
   (sewage, urban runoff, construction activity, intensified
   agricultural activities, additional industrial activity, etc.)
   which the Bay will have to assimilate unless necessary ac-
   tions are taken.
              Population growth in the
              Chesapeake Bay drainage
           basin, 1950-2000 (projected).
    Total  Population of
     Chesapeake Bay
                                                                 Millions
-15
-10
-5
      1950    1980     2000

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	                     	15

 Increased Urbanization

    The steady trend of population growth in the Bay
 region  has had major impacts on the land use.  During the
 last thirty years, conversion to residential, urban, and
 suburban areas has taken place at an increasingly rapid
 rate. Although less than 15 percent of the land in the
 watershed is utilized for these purposes, it represents an  in-
 crease of 182 percent since 1950. The conversion of land to
 residential areas has been  concentrated in areas surrounding
 existing development. In particular,  the West Chesapeake
 and Patuxent River basins have had  dramatic increases in
 urban and residential development, losing cropland,
 pasture, and forest  area, and gaining rapidly rising popula-
 tions between 1950 and 1980. For example, in  the Patuxent
 River basin, the percent of developed land has risen from
 approximately three percent in 1950 to over 35 percent in
 1980. These physical changes in the  uses of land, coupled
 with changing perceptions of the Bay, have had a signifi-
 cant impact on the system  and the ways humans have tried
 to manage it.


 Changes in Agricultural Activities

    In the eight major basins, cropland has decreased by an
 average of 24 percent over the last 30 years.  At the same
 time, agriculture in the watershed has shifted from a labor-
 intensive to a capital-intensive activity.  More specifically,
 three major changes in agricultural activity have increas-
 ingly emerged in the region over the past thirty years: a
 growing number of farmers have adopted low tillage or
 conservation practices; agricultural land is being farmed
 more intensively; and the  size of the average farm has in-
 creased due to a steady consolidation of land. These chang-
 ing practices  are affecting the Bay.
    Conversion to Conservation-Tillage Practices —
 Conservation-tillage is economically  advantageous to the
 farmer for it  decreases energy consumption and therefore,
 costs. However,  it can increase the use of herbicides and
 pesticides. Conservation-tillage also reduces soil erosion
 and, therefore,  decreases the runoff  of sediments and
 nutrients.
    Intensification of Agricultural Activity — The intensifica-
 tion of agricultural activity requires  the use of  increased
 fertilizer, pesticide, and herbicide inputs. In  addition,
 newer  technologies  used to increase the  efficiency and speed
 of soil  preparation, crop maintenance, and harvesting have
 led to abandonment of many of the  basic conservation
 techniques.

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16
                       1950
1980
                                                                                       Q
      Consolidation of Agricultural Land — Consolidation of
   agricultural land refers to a pattern of fewer and larger
   farms and more absentee owners, including corporations,
   who lease the land to tenants. Tenants have few incentives
   to reduce soil erosion and chemical loss, especially when
   there are high initial costs and slow pay-backs.
     Land-use patterns in the
    Chesapeake Bay drainage
       basin, 195()"and 1980.
   Loss of Wetlands

      Today, Chesapeake Bay is edged by 498,000 acres of
   wetlands. Although statistics vary widely regarding the
   trends of wetlands loss, research indicates:, for example,
   that several thousand acres of Bay wetlands were destroyed
   each year during the 1960's. Increased Federal, state, and
   local regulation, as well as public and private conservancy
   efforts, seem to have slowed down the loss of tidal wetlands
   to approximately 50 acres  per year. However, important
   non-tidal wetlands still have relatively little protection.
   Losses are  attributable to various  forms of wetlands modifi-
   cation. For example, agriculture drainage is a principal
   cause of wetlands loss in Maryland; channelization projects
   (particularly for agriculture) play a dominant role in
   destroying wetlands in Virginia. In addition,  residential
   development, industrial projects, expansion and develop-
   ment of marinas,  and dredge-and-fill activities have also
   caused the continuing decrease in wetlands in the Bay area.

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	17

 SUMMARY

    The physical and ecological processes of the Bay make it
 a complex support system for many forms of life. Diverse
 habitats are sustained, exchanging materials and com-
 plementing one another's resources. The existence of the
 two major food webs —direct (plankton-based) and indirect
 (detritus-based) — promotes overall stability. If one pathway
 falters, resources can be used from the other. Some
 organisms are even able to switch food sources. However,
 while complex food webs provide a degree of resiliency,
 they, alone, cannot restore and maintain high levels of
 desirable biological productivity in the Bay.
    It is also evident that the population growth  and
 changes in land use within the drainage basin are stressing
 the Bay's ecological health. Population growth and urban
 development have  caused increases in municipal wastewater
 discharges and concentrations of industrial processes and
 their effluents in certain areas. Changes in agricultural
 practices  and other human activities also contribute to the
 problems of the Bay. Forecasts predict that the increase in
 population will continue. Because the Bay's ecological "per-
 formance" is highly subject to the intervention of humans
 as well as to natural forces,  the manner in which human
 activities  are managed in the upcoming years will deter-
 mine to a great extent the degree to which the Bay's en-
 vironment can be maintained or improved.
    The chapter that follows gives an account of the ways
 in which  the Bay is degrading and describes the  sources
 and loadings that are contributing to its problems.

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	19
 THE  STATE  OF THE BAY
 INTRODUCTION
     "The Bay is an organic whole.  If one part is
     damaged, all parts are affected. It is of little use
     to study one link in an environmental chain
     without relating it to the whole. If the Chesa-
     peake Bay is to survive, it must be addressed as
     an entity, as a total system without duplication
     and without omission."
                  Charles McC. Mathias
                  United States Senator,
                  Maryland
    The Chesapeake Bay Program utilized all available
 scientific analyses to assess the Bay as an 'organic whole.'
 Research findings were integrated on a continuous basis to
 further the understanding of the Bay as a total system. The
 Program's  scientific investigations, in conjunction with
 other studies, essentially documented that the Bay has
 dramatically changed in the last century; this change has
 accelerated in the last  thirty years. Increasing population
 growth over  time has resulted in major land-use  changes,
 large increases of municipal waste water, and other out-
 comes which, in  turn,  have caused substantial increases in
 the amounts  of pollutant loads entering the Bay.  For many
 years, these activities had a relatively minor impact on the
 Bay's aesthetic beauty  and productivity. Understandably,
 many people believed that the Bay had an unlimited
 capacity to assimilate human wastes. This belief  was only
 questioned when dramatic changes in resources were
 observed and concerned citizenry asked why. As  a result of
 CBP research, it  is now known that contaminants entering
 the Bay are not readily flushed out into the ocean but,
 because of the unique circulation pattern in  the Bay, they
 accumulate within the estuary. Over time, this process has
 gradually changed the nature of the Bay.

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                                                                                             21
SUMMARY OF SCIENTIFIC FINDINGS

Trends in Living Resources

  The major changes documented by the Bay Program
follow:
    •  In the upper Bay, an increasing number of blue-
      green algal or  dinoflagellate blooms has been observ-
      ed in recent years. In fact, cell counts have increased
      approximately 250-fold since the  1950's. In contrast,
      the algal populations in the upper Potomac River
      have recently become more diverse, with  the massive
      blue-green  algal blooms generally disappearing since
      nutrient controls were imposed in the 1960's and
      early 1970's in this segment of the Bay watershed.
    •  Since the late 1960's, submerged  aquatic vegetation
      has declined in abundance and diversity throughout
      the Bay.  The decline is most dramatic in  the upper
      Bay and western shore tributaries. An analysis over
      time indicates  that the loss has moved progressively
      down-stream, and that present populations are mostly
      limited to the lower  estuary.
    •  Landings of freshwater-spawning fish such as shad
      and alewife have decreased. Striped bass landings,
      after increasing through the 1930's  and 1940's, have
      also decreased,  especially since 1973. Harvests of
      marine-spawning fish such as menhaden and bluefish
      have generally remained stable or increased. The in-
      creased yield of marine spawners and decreased yield
      of freshwater spawners represent  a  major shift in the
      Bay's fishery. Over the 100 year period from  1880 to
      1980, marine spawners accounted for 75 percent of
      the fishery; during the interval from  1971 to 1980,
      they accounted for 96 percent.
    •  Oyster harvests have also decreased Bay-wide. Oyster
      spat set has declined significantly in the past 10 years
      as compared to previous years, particularly in the up-
      per Bay and western shore tributaries and some
      Eastern Shore tributaries such as  the Chester River.
      The decline in oyster harvest has  been somewhat off-
      set by recent increases in the harvest of blue crabs
      which may be due to increased fishing effort. As a
      result, the Bay-wide  landings of shellfish have not
      changed greatly over the last twenty years.  However,
      overall shellfish harvest for the western shore has de-
      creased significantly  during this period.
    20,000 r-
    15,000
    10,000
 f-  5,000
                       Shad
       1880   1900  1920  1940  1960   1980
                   Year
  600,000




§ 400,000
0.
O
tJ
O 200,000
              Menhaden
       1880   1900  1920  1940  1960   1980
                   Year
 100
 90
 80
| 70
8 60
050
c
I 40
I 30
 20
 10
  0
      Blue crabs
  1880   1895  1910  1925  1940  1955  1970 1982
                 Y€iar
 120
 110
 100
«90

I80
07°
S 60
o
J50
 40

 30
 20
          Shucked oyster meat
 101	
 1880
               1925  1940  1955  1970 1982
                 Year

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99	
£t£t                                     ~

   Water and Sediment Quality Trends

       •  Increasing levels of nutrients are entering many parts
         of the Bay: the  upper reaches of almost all the
         tributaries are highly enriched with nutrients; lower
         portions of the tributaries and eastern embayments
         have moderate concentrations of nutrients; and the
         lower Bay does  not appear to be enriched. Data
         covering 1950 to 1980 indicate that, in most areas,
         water quality is degrading, partially because increas-
         ing levels of nutrients are entering the waters.  Only
         in the Patapsco, Potomac, and James Rivers (and
         some smaller areas) is there improvement in water
         quality; this is evidently largely due to pollution con-
         trol efforts in those areas.
       •  The amount of  water in the  main part of the Bay
         which has low or  no  dissolved oxygen has increased
         about fifteen-fold between 1950 and 1980. Currently,
         from May through September in an area reaching
         from the Annapolis Bay  Bridge to the Rappahannock
         River, much of  the water deeper than 40 feet has no
         oxygen and, therefore, is devoid of life. The dissolved
         oxygen levels in the Bay have been affected by
         nutrient enrichment.  The excessive loads of nutrients
         which enter the Bay  stimulate the growth of undesir-
         able large algal blooms.  As the algae die and settle to
         the bottom,  they decay and consume the  oxygen that
         is crucial for Bay  organisms such as crabs, oysters,
         and finfish. Although these processes occur naturally
         in an estuarine  system, they  appear to have become
         far more severe in the Bay in recent years as nutrient
         inputs have increased.
       •  High concentrations of toxic organic compounds are
         in the bottom sediments of the main Bay near known
         sources such as  industrial facilities, river mouths, and
         areas of maximum turbidity. Highest concentrations
         were found in the Patapsco and Elizabeth Rivers
         where several sediment samples contained concentra-
         tions exceeding  100 parts per million.  These general
         patterns suggest that many of these toxic  substances
         adsorb to  suspended  sediment and then accumulate in
         areas dominated by fine-grained sediments. Benthic
         organisms located in  such areas tend to accumulate
         the organic compounds in their tissues.
       •  Many areas  of the Bay have metal concentrations in
         the water column and sediment that are significantly
         higher than  natural (background) levels. In fact,
         many violations of water quality criteria were noted.
         Also, Bay sediments in the upper Potomac,  upper
         James, small sections of  the Rappahannock and York

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                                                                                	 23
       Low enrichment
       High enrichment
        Limited
        data
The Bay is enriched
with nutrients.

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24
         Rivers, and the upper mid-Bay had high levels of
         metal contamination. The most contaminated
         sediments — with concentrations greater than 100
         times natural background levels- are in the in-
         dustrialized Patapsco and Elizabeth Rivers.
   Relationships between Living Resource;; and
   Water Sediment Quality

      In summary, valued resources of the Bay are declining.
   This trend parallels an increase in nutrients and toxicants
   throughout the Bay. A geographic characterization and
   analysis of segments of the Bay suggests a relationship be-
   tween the resources, and the water and sediment quality.
   In areas of the Bay afflicted  by high concentrations of
   nutrients and toxicants such as Baltimore Harbor and the
   Elizabeth River, there is no submerged aquatic vegetation.
   In fact, only a few hardy organisms can survive in this
   hostile environment. On the  other hand, in certain areas of
   the Eastern  Shore where the nutrient and toxicant concen-
   trations are  still fairly low, submerged aquatic vegetation
   still grows, and crabs, oysters, and finfish are plentiful.
      Although the circumstantial evidence appears to be
   compelling,  the GBP cannot  definitively link the trends
   seen in the resources to  the Bay's deteriorating water qual-
   ity. There are other factors affecting the abundance of the
   grasses and fish, including over-fishing, climatic trends,  and
   physical alterations of the Bay associated with dredging  and
   filling. It is  quite probable that there is no 'single bullet,'
   but rather a myriad of ecological stresses. However, it is
   clearly estalished that nutrient loadings have substantially
   increased, that massive  quantities of todcants have entered
   this sytem, and that the unchecked increases of these
   pollutants threatens important resources.
   NUTRIENTS

   Nutrients and the Living Resources

      The increase in nutrients and the corresponding
   decrease in dissolved oxygen are affecting the living
   resources of the Bay. Conceptually,  one would expect to see
   a positive relationship between nutrients and Bay produc-
   tivity. As these nutrients (which are essentially fertilizer) in-
   crease, one would expect to see an increase in plant pro-
   duction and, as a result, an increase in fish harvests.
   However, if too many nutrients are  added, the excessive
   growth of undesirable weed-like plants such as blue-green

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                                                                                               25
                                     Nitrogen
Phosphorus
              " °-<''-''.> •" • -'' '''•' °' ;  ''  *
                                                                   Bloom   „ ;
   Loss of
 Spawning
and Nursery
  Grounds
                                     Surface Growth
                                       on Leaves
algae is encouraged. This prevents the growth of desirable
plants such as submerged aquatic vegetation. Chesapeake
Bay Program findings suggest that this situation is occurr-
ing in the Bay. Areas of the Bay that have relatively low
nutrient concentrations, such  as the eastern embayments,
have  abundant submerged aquatic vegetation; however,
areas of the Bay that have high nutrient concentrations,
such as the upper Bay, have very little vegetation.
    There is also a similar, but not as precise, relationship
between nutrients and Bay fisheries.  Fish that spawn in  the
freshwater, nutrient-enriched  upper sections of the
tributaries are decreasing.  Also, oysters and other commer-
cial shellfish that live all their life on the Bay bottom are
reduced in abundance, possibly in part due to the elimina-
tion of their habitat by low dissolved oxygen. Although the
decline  in desirable resources  cannot be  definitively linked
to the increase in nutrients, there is sufficient evidence to
recommend corrective actions in controlling nutrient
discharges to the Bay.
                       Nutrients affect the
                     ecology of the Bay in
                            many ways.
Sources of Nutrients

   The Bay Program examined in detail the sources of
nutrients entering the Bay, and the relative contributions of
different types of sources. In addition,  an  assessment was

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26
           Dissolved oxygen levels
           in Chesapeake Bay

           in 1950

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                                                                                                       27
Dissolved oxygen levels
in Chesapeake Bay

in 1980

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28
  made of changing land-use activities, such as the inten-
  sification of agricultural activities and urbanization, which
  have strong implications for the levels of pollutants going
  into the Bay. For example, as the population continues to
  increase in and around the metropolitan areas  of the Bay,
  the volume of municipal effluent will  also increase propor-
  tionately. If current projections prove true, and, if present
  treatment practices continue, the volume of municipal ef-
  fluent generated  and discharged is expected to  increase 36
  percent by the year 2000.
      Special attention was also given to assessing the relative
  importance of point versus nonpoint sources in various sec-
  tions of the Bay watershed as a basis for targetting manage-
  ment and control strategies. For example, the nutrient in-
  put from the Susquehanna River basin is principally from
  nonpoint sources, particularly from agricultural lands; in
  contrast the input into the West Chesapeake Bay basin
  (which is composed of several rivers, including the
  Patapsco, Back, and Gunpowder basins) is dominated by
  point sources, particularly municipal sewage treatment
  plants.  A strategy for nutrient reduction in each of these
  basins would logically focus on  controlling the dominant
  sources. Below is a more detailed summary of  the varia-
  tions in the sources of nutrients entering the Bay.
      Point Sources — Point sources are concentrated waste
  streams discharged to a water-body through a  discrete pipe
  or ditch. Although there may be daily or seasonal fluctua-
  tions in flow, they are essentially  continuous, daily
  discharges which occur throughout the year. The signifi-
  cance of point sources increases during the summer and
  other periods of low rainfall because the dilution  of effluent
  by receiving water is reduced.  Conversely, their relative
  significance decreases during periods of wet weather when
  rainfall, runoff, and nonpoint loading*; increase. Examples
  of point sources include discharges from industrial produc-
  tion facilities and discharges from publicly owned treat-
  ment works (POTWs). The CBP data base contains an in-
  ventory of over 5,000 industrial and municipal point
  sources located within the Chesapeake Bay drainage  area.
      Nonpoint Sources — Nonpoint sources of nutrients in-
  clude runoff from forests,  farmland,  residential and com-
  mercially developed lands, ground-water flow, and at-
  mospheric deposition on land and water. Within the major
  river basins discharging to Chesapeake Bay, changes in
  population, land use, and land management are occurring
  which alter storm-water runoff quality and the rate of
   discharge. These changes  affect the si2;e and nature of non-
  point source loadings to the Bay.  The diffuse nature of
   nonpoint sources render them difficult both to quantify and
   control. In addition, nonpoint source loads are largely
  determined by unpredictable rainfall patterns.  In wet

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                                                                                               29
Phosphorus
   Dry Year
                                      Wet Year
                  Average Year
    12,084,000lbs
                    13,758,000lbs
  Nitrogen
                                     23,810,000 Ibs
                                      Wet Year
            I Point Sources
                                     263,273,000 Ibs
I	|Non-
I	I point Sources
                     Relative contribution of
                     point and non-point
                     sources of nutrients in
                     wet, dry and average years.
years, nonpoint source loads are generally very high and in
dry years, low.  The nonpoint source runoff from cropland
contributes the largest share of the nonpoint source nutrient
load to the Bay. Although a minor contributor to the Bay-
wide nutrient load, urban runoff causes localized water
quality problems.
Nutrient Loadings

   The Chesapeake Bay Program estimated present (1980)
and future (2000) nutrient loadings delivered to the Bay
from throughout its drainage basin. The fractions of
nutrient loadings originating from point sources and non-
point sources (agricultural and urban runoff) were also
determined. In general, the nitrogen entering Bay waters is
contributed primarily by  nonpoint sources which are
dominated by cropland runoff loadings. Point sources, on
the other hand, and especially sewage treatment plants, are
the major source of phosphorus  to Chesapeake Bay. It is
important to note again that point source nutrient
discharges tend to be more dominant in dry years than in
wet years. In contrast, nonpoint sources which enter water-
ways primarily in stormwater runoff contribute a greater
share of total nutrient loadings during wet  years.
   Basin-wide Nutrient Loadings — Basin-wide, point
sources  contribute about 33 percent of the total nitrogen

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30
   load to the Bay. However, point sources contribute a larger
   share of the phosphorus load, averaging 61 percent.  Non-
   point sources contribute the difference in the nitrogen and
   phosphorus loads, making up 67 and 39 percent of the total
   loads, respectively. Most of the nitrogen entering Chesa-
   peake Bay waters has been transported from watersheds
   throughout the Bay basin;  phosphorus loadings originate
   mostly from sources adjacent to the Bay (below the fall
   line).
      The three largest tributaries  of the Bay,  the Susque-
   hanna, Potomac, and James  Rivers, carry most of the
   nitrogen (78 percent) and phosphorus (70 percent) loads
   that enter the tidal waters of Chesapeake Bay. Although
   the West Chesapeake basin,  centered near Baltimore, is not
   a large land area compared to other basins, it contributes
   significant amounts of nutrients to  the Bay.  The Eastern
   Shore, and the Patuxent, Rappahannock, and York River
   basins contribute the smallest portion of the Bay-wide
   nutrient loads.
      Nutrient Loadings by Major River Basin — To link
   loadings of nutrients with specific areas where nutrient and
   dissolved oxygen concentrations  potentially limit aquatic
   resources, it is necessary to understand  the relative con-
   tributions of point and nonpoint sources by major river
   basin. It is also  necessary to  determine  inputs  in dry,
   average, and wet years. Only then can decisions be made
   on the best course of action to reduce nutrients contributing
   to a certain problem.
      Analysis by a computerized model demonstrates that
   point source loads of phosphorus exceed the nonpoint
   source loads from the Potomac and James River basins in
   almost all rainfall conditions. In contrast, the nonpoint
   sources contribute most of the phosphorus from the Sus-
   quehanna River basin under all conditions.  This finding
   reflects the fact that the James and Potomac River basins
   contain major population centers which contribute large
   point source loadings to tidal waters, unlike the more rural
   Susquehanna basin. It is not surprising that in the urban-
   ized Patuxent and West Chesapeake basins, the phosphorus
   loadings from point sources exceed those from nonpoint
   sources, and in  the largely rural Eastern Shore, and Rap-
   pahannock and York River basins,  nonpoint contributions
   are always the dominant source of phosphorus.
      Nitrogen loadings from the major river basins  are more
   often dominated by nonpoint sources than are phosphorus
   loadings. In the Susquehanna, nonpoint sources provide
   most of the nitrogen under all conditions. In the Potomac
   River basin the nonpoint sources of nitrogen dominate
   under all hydrologic conditions. Most of the nitrogen load
   in the James River comes from point sources,  however,
   nonpoint sources become important in  a wet year. Point
Importance of point or non-point
sources for phosphorus in the major
drainage basins.
Phosphorus
    Point source dominated
   jNon-point source dominated

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                                                                                              31
source loads of nitrogen always exceed nonpoint sources in
the West Chesapeake; however, in the Patuxent River
basin, point sources of nitrogen are only dominant under
dry conditions. Loadings of nitrogen from the Eastern
Shore, and the Rappahannock and York River basins origi-
nate primarily from nonpoint sources, as do those of
phosphorus.
TOXIC COMPOUNDS
Toxic Compounds and Living Resources

    Toxic compounds are affecting the Bay's resources
especially in urbanized areas. These compounds include
metals such as cadmium, copper, and lead; organic chem-
icals such as PCBs, Kepone,  and DDT; and other chemicals
like chlorine. Low concentrations of these toxic compounds
have little effect on organisms. However, increasingly
higher concentrations of toxic compounds can cause re-
duced hatching and survival, gross effects such as lesions or
fin erosion in fish, and eventually the mortality of an entire
population.  Toxicants can affect the ecosystem by eliminat-
ing sensitive species, and producing communities dominated
by a few pollution-tolerant forms. In localized areas of the
Bay, the CBP has found evidence of such toxic stress.
    Chesapeake Bay Program research has shown a relation-
ship between the levels of toxic  compounds found in the
sediments in certain areas,  and the survival of individual
organisms and the resulting health of the ecosystem.
Bioassay studies of a small amphipod that lives in the bot-
tom sediments of the Bay indicate that its chance of sur-
vival significantly decreases  when it is exposed to polluted
Bay sediments. When the amphipods were exposed to "un-
contaminated" Bay sediment that had natural levels of
metals and organic substances, they all survived.  However,
when the amphipods were exposed to highly contaminated
sediments from the inner harbors of the Patapsco and
Elizabeth Rivers, they all died.  Moderately contaminated
sediments produced intermediate levels of mortality.
    The fact that this particular  organism could not live in
these highly contaminated sediments suggests that other
organisms cannot live in such conditions.  Studies of these
areas confirm this theory. Those areas of the Patapsco
River that have highly toxic sediments support only a few
types of organisms — primarily worms (low diversity); areas
that are not as contaminated have many different
organisms, including crabs, clams, oysters, and amphipods.
These findings reinforce the need for careful control of
toxic compounds.
                  Reduction of diversity of
                 benthic communities along
               a gradient of toxic pollutants
                     in Baltimore Harbor.
       Baltimore City
         P2
Patapsco
River
        | Low diversity

         Moderate diversity

         High diversity

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32
          Metals
                 Low contamination
                 High contamination

                 No data
          Sediments contaminated with toxic compounds
          are found in many areas of the Bay.

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	33

 Sources of Toxic Compounds

    Toxic materials enter the Bay from a variety of sources,
 including industrial effluents and other point sources,
 runoff from urban areas and agricultural lands, at-
 mospheric inputs,  and disposal of contaminated dredge
 spoil. Except for long-range atmospheric deposition,  the
 primary sources are located within  the basin.
    Point Sources — Industrial facilities and sewage treat-
 ment plants discharge a variety of metals and synthetic
 organic compounds. Chlorine and chlorinated organics are
 also common constituents of effluent from industries,
 POTWs, and power plants. The GBP analyzed the effluent
 from 20 industries and eight POTWs; over 75 percent of
 the facilities had toxic substances in the effluent. Point
 sources of toxics appear to be most  significant in in-
 dustrialized areas  such as Baltimore and Norfolk.
    Nonpoint Sources —The three major tributaries to
 Chesapeake Bay, the Susquehanna, Potomac, and James
 Rivers, deliver metals and organic compounds from urban
 and agricultural lands. In addition, deposits of air pollution
 are delivered directly to Bay waters and also indirectly
 through urban runoff. One example is automobiles which
 contribute large amounts of lead from gasoline. Another
 important nonpoint source is shore  erosion which con-
 tributes significant amounts of iron and other metals to the
 Bay. Also, maritime ships and leisure and work boats occa-
 sionally leak or spill petroleum and are regularly treated
 with copper-based anti-fouling paints. The toxicants
 associated with maritime activities  reach their  highest levels
 in harbors and marinas where these activities are most con-
 centrated  and  natural flushing is low.


 Loadings of Toxic Compounds

    The  Chesapeake Bay Program estimated metal loadings
 delivered to the Bay from the entire drainage basin.
 Although the CBP was unable to quantify the  loadings of
 organic  compounds to the Bay, it is probable that the
 relative  contribution of different sources would be similar
 to that estimated  for metals. In general, the  Susquehanna,
 Potomac,  and  James Rivers are major  sources of toxicants
 entering the tidal  Bay. Effluent from industries and  sewage
 treatment plants located directly on the Bay  are  also impor-
 tant. In urbanized areas such as Baltimore; Washington,
 D.C.; and Hampton Roads,  urban  runoff can contribute
 significant loadings of toxicants.
    Organic Compounds — The CBP detected  over 300
 organic compounds in the water and sediments of the Bay;
 up to 480 organic compounds were detected in Baltimore
 Harbor. Most of the compounds identified were toxic. The

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34
   mean concentrations of all organic compounds detected
   were typically in hundreds of parts per million. Priority
   pollutants were detected in all areas sampled and about
   half were found in concentrations greater than 50 parts  per
   billion. In general, the compounds observed showed a trend
   of high concentrations adjacent to  urbanized areas such  as
   Baltimore and Hampton Roads. High  concentrations are
   also found in the Susquehanna Flats. In the southern Bay,
   high concentrations exist near river mouths.
       Although the CBP is unable to  quantify the loadings of
   organic compounds,  the fact that high concentrations of
   many of  these compounds were detected in analyses of ef-
   fluents from industries and  sewage treatment plants sug-
   gests that the major  source  of toxic loadings is point
   sources. Furthermore, in several instances,  the CBP was
   able to link the compounds with specific industrial sources.
   It is essential that the release of such compounds be
   substantially reduced and that Bay sediments and point
   source effluents be thoroughly monitored.
       Metals —The James, Potomac, and Susquehanna River
   systems are by far the major transport mechanisms for each
   metal examined by the CBP.  Collectively, they account  for
   69 percent of the cadmium, 72 percent of the chromium,
   69 percent of the copper, 80 percent of the iron, 51 percent
   of the lead,  and 54 percent of the  zinc discharged to the
   Bay system.  The other principal source of each metal is: for
   cadmium, industry  (13 percent); for chromium and iron,
   shore erosion (13 percent and 18 percent, respectively); for
   copper, industrial and municipal point sources (21 percent);
   for lead, urban runoff (19 percent); and for zinc, at-
   mospheric deposition (31 percent).
   SUMMARY

       The Chesapeake Bay Program's research has
   documented the serious impact of the nutrients and toxic
   chemicals released from point and nonpoint sources on the
   Bay's water and sediment quality and on the vitality and
   abundance of its living resouces. Moreover, forecasts in-
   dicate that the sources of these pollutants will continue to
   grow in number and change in nature,  resulting in cor-
   responding increases in the levels of the pollutants entering
   the Bay. The  present state of the Bay and the forecast for
   the future provide the basis for the recommendations set
   forth in the following chapter. It is essential that we act
   now to control and alter human activities and practices on
   land if we are to halt the deterioration  of the Bay and the
   subsequent losses of animal  and plant life they produce.
   High levels of toxic organic
   compounds are found near
industrialized areas of the Bay.

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	__^	35
 A FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION
 INTRODUCTION

    Chesapeake Bay Program findings clearly indicate that
 the Bay is an ecosystem with increasing pollution burdens
 and declines in desired resources.  It is also evident that ac-
 tions throughout the Bay's watershed affect the water
 quality of the rivers flowing into the Bay. Degradation of
 the Bay's  water  and sediment quality can, in turn, affect
 the living resources. Thus, effective management of the
 Chesapeake Bay must be based on an understanding of,
 and an ability to control both point and nonpoint sources
 of pollution throughout the Chesapeake Bay basin. To
 achieve this objective, it is essential that the states and
 Federal government work closely  together to develop spe-
 cific management plans to reduce the flow of pollutants
 into the Bay, and to restore and maintain the Bay's ecologi-
 cal integrity. In the text that follows, specific recommenda-
 tions are outlined for monitoring and research, control of
 nutrients, reduction in toxic compounds, and management
 of the environmental quality of the Bay system.
 MONITORING AND RESEARCH

    The relationships observed between the water quality
 and resource trends enabled the GBP to begin to identify
 cause-and-effect. For example, Bay-wide, the areas ex-
 periencing significant losses of SAV had high concentrations
 of nutrients in the water column. The high levels of
 nutrients evidently enhance phytoplankton growth and
 epiphytic fouling of plants, thus reducing the light reaching
 SAV to below critical levels. However, it is also probable
 that high levels of sediment-induced turbidity and herbi-
 cides contributed to the SAV problem in localized areas. In
 another analysis, the reduced diversity and abundance of
 benthic organisms in urbanized areas was related to toxic
 contamination of the sediments. Low dissolved oxygen in
 the summertime also appears to be a major factor limiting

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36
   the benthic population, particularly in the upper and mid-
   Bay.  The increase in the volume of water with low dis-
   solved oxygen is attributed to increased algal production
   and decay triggered by nutrient enrichment. Lastly,
   nutrient enrichment and increased levels of toxicants
   occurred in major spawning and nursery areas for
   anadromous fish, as well as in areas experiencing reduced
   oyster spat. This information was utili2;ed to develop a
   preliminary Environmental Quality Classification Scheme
   (EQCS) that related water quality criteria to resource-use
   attainability.
      The characterization of the Bay, and the attempt to link
   water quality trends  to living resource trends, has made
   science useful to managers and citizens. This retrospective
   approach is imperfect though, because large gaps in the
   data base and necessary assumptions limit our  ability to
   make strong scientific causal inferences. We have correla-
   tions, not proof. We also do not know with certainty to
   what extent levels of pollution must be reduced to achieve
   a quality of water that can support resource objectives.
   Mathematical  models, which will someday enable us to ar-
   rive at these answers, have not yet been perfected for the
   complex Chesapeake estuary. Based on these significant
   gaps in our understanding, some would argue that proof of
   the urgency for action is incomplete.  However, the
   evidence of increased pollution loads, accumulation and
   retention of toxicants in the system, and declines of valued
   resources are compelling reasons for prompt and effective
   correction. Nonetheless, whatever  actions are taken, we
   must bear in mind that our ability to  assess the effec-
   tiveness of control programs and redirect our efforts will
   depend on the adequacy of our monitoring and research
   efforts.
                Pollutants enter the Bay
                from many sources.

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	37

 MONITORING AND RESEARCH RECOMMENDATIONS

 OBJECTIVE:
     To ACQUIRE INFORMATION TO REFINE THE GBP EN-
     VIRONMENTAL QUALITY CLASSIFICATION  SCHEME AND
     TO DEVELOP STATE WATER QUALITY STANDARDS BASED
     ON RESOURCE-USE ATTAINABILITY.
     The states and Federal governments, through the
     Management Committee, should design and implement
     a coordinated program of Bay-wide monitoring and
     research by July 1, 1984.
     This program should include the following components:
    • A baseline (descriptive and analytical) long-term
      monitoring program;
    • A coordinated and sustained, interpretive program of
      monitoring and research to improve the understand-
      ing of relationships between water and sediment
      quality, and living resources; and
    • A research effort to identify important resource
      habitats and guide their preservation and restoration.
 NUTRIENTS

    Nutrients enter the Bay from point sources, such as
 sewage treatment plants, and from nonpoint sources, such
 as agricultural and urban runoff. In general, the nitrogen
 entering Bay waters is contributed primarily by nonpoint
 sources, which are dominated by cropland runoff loadings.
 Point sources on the other hand, and especially sewage
 treatment plants,  are the major source of phosphorus to
 Chesapeake Bay. It is important to note that in dry years,
 point source nutrient discharges tend to be more dominant
 than in wet years. In contrast, nonpoint sources, which
 enter waterways primarily in stormwater  runoff, contribute
 a greater share of total nutrient loadings during wet years.
 Also, different river basins tend to be dominated by dif-
 ferent sources and, therefore, require different control
 strategies. For example, nutrient loadings in the Susque-
 hanna River are primarily associated with nonpoint
 sources, although  nutrient loadings to the James River are
 primarily attributed to point sources. The major findings
 and information regarding nutrient sources, loadings, and
 control programs are summarized below:
    • The Susquehanna, Potomac, and James Rivers are
      major sources of nutrients to the Bay. They con-
      tribute,  respectively, 40, 24, and 14 percent of the
      nitrogen and 21, 21, and 28 percent of the
      phosphorus in an average year.

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38
       •  Runoff from cropland and other nonpoint sources are
         the major sources of nitrogen to the nutrient enriched
         areas in the Bay. Nonpoint sources contribute 67 per-
         cent, whereas point sources contribute 33 percent, of
         the total nitrogen load to the Bay in an average year.
       •  Point sources, such as sewage treatment plants, are
         the dominant source of phosphorus to the nutrient-
         enriched areas of the Bay. Point sources contribute 61
         percent, whereas nonpoint sources contribute 39 per-
         cent, of the total phosphorus load to the Bay in an
         average year.
       •  Agricultural runoff control strategies, such as conser-
         vation tillage, best management practices, and
         animal manure waste management, can effectively
         reduce nutrient loadings from areas dominated by
         agricultural nonpoint  sources (e.g., the Susquehanna
         River basin).
       •  Urban runoff control efforts have been shown to be
         effective in reducing  nutrient loadings to  small
         tributaries located in the Baltimore, D.C., and
         Hampton Roads areas.
       •  Point source controls, such  as restrictions  on nutrient
         discharges from municipal sewage treatment plants or
         limitations on phosphate in detergents, can effectively
         reduce nutrient loadings to those areas where point
         sources are significant (e.g., the James and Patuxent
         River basins).
       •  Point and nonpoint source controls in combination
         achieve consistent reductions in pollutant loadings
         during varying rainfall conditions in all basins.
       The Federal government and  the states have a variety
   of control programs for point  and nonpoint sources to
   reduce loadings to the Bay. However, GBP research has
   shown that many areas of the Bay are over-enriched with
   nutrients and that the Bay acts as a sink,  essentially trap-
   ping and recycling nutrients through the system. Additional
   actions designed to reduce  the nutrient  loads to the Bay
   will ultimately be beneficial. In response to these findings,
   the states are already taking bold nt;w initiatives, as well  as
   providing additional funding for  proven old ideas. For ex-
   ample, Maryland is attempting to provide state dollars to
   pay for phosphorus and nitrogen removal at selected
   sewage treatment plants which are not  eligible for Federal
   funding. Virginia has already established  an innovative new
   incentive program for farmers, paying them from the state
   coffers for removing from production buffer strips along
   waterways.  Pennsylvania is initiating a pilot manure
   management program that  may decrease nutrient loadings
   to the lower Susquehanna.  These  are vigorous first steps
   toward achievement of sustained improvement, still, there
   is much more that needs to be done.

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	39

 BAY-WIDE NUTRIENT RECOMMENDATIONS

 OBJECTIVE:
     To REDUCE POINT AND NONPOINT SOURCE NUTRIENT
     LOADINGS TO ATTAIN NUTRIENT AND DISSOLVED OXY-
     GEN CONCENTRATIONS NECESSARY TO SUPPORT THE
     LIVING RESOURCES OF THE BAY.

 General Recommendations

  1. The states* and the EPA, through the Management
     Committee, should utilize the existing water quality
     management process to develop a basin-wide plan by
     July 1, 1984 that includes implementation schedules, to
     control nutrients from point and nonpoint sources.

  2. The states and the EPA, through the Management
     Committee, should continue the development of a Bay-
     wide water quality model to  refine the ability  to assess
     potential water quality  benefits of simulated nutrient
     control alternatives.  This model should be continuously
     updated with new information on point source
     discharges, land use activities, water quality, etc.

 Point Source Recommendations

  3. The States and the EPA should consider CBP findings
     when updating or issuing NPDES permits for all point
     sources discharging directly to Chesapeake Bay and its
     tributaries. Furthermore, the States should  enforce
     NPDES permit limitations.

  4. Technical data from CBP findings should be considered
     when evaluating funding proposals for POTWs under
     the EPA's Advanced Treatment Policy.

  5. The States of Maryland, Virginia,  and the District of
     Columbia should consider by July  1, 1984,  as one of
     several control alternatives, a policy to limit phosphate
     in detergents to 0.5 percent by weight, in light of the
     immediate phosphorus reductions which would be
     achieved.

  6. The following administrative procedures should be
     reviewed for action by January 1,  1985, by the States,
     counties, and/or municipalities:
     '  To increase POTW efficiency, improve operator
 *The states refers to those states within the Chesapeake Bay
 drainage basin.

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40
         training programs, and provide or encourage incen-
         tives for better job performance, such as increased
         salaries, promotions, bonuses, job recognition, etc.
         The states should consider CBP findings when rank-
         ing construction grant projects.
         Accelerate the development and administration of
         state and local pre-treatment programs.
         Continue to evaluate and utilize innovative and
         alternative nutrient removal approaches.
         Improve sampling and inspection of point source
         discharges.
         Develop plans to ensure long-term operation and
         maintenance of small, privately-owned sewage treat-
         ment facilities.
         Institute educational campaigns to conserve water to
         reduce the need for POTW expansion as population
         in the Chesapeake Bay basin increases.
   Nonpoint Source Recommendations

    7. The states and the EPA, through the Management
       Committee, should develop a detailed nonpoint source
       control implementation program, by July 1, 1984, as
       part of the proposed basin-wide water quality manage-
       ment plan.
      Initial efforts should  concentrate on establishing
   strategies to accelerate the application of best management
   practices in priority sub-basins to reduce existing nonpoint
   source nutrient loadings. Long-term strategies should seek
   to maintain or further reduce nutrient loads from other
   sub-basins to help restore Chesapeake Bay water quality.
      The implementation  program should not be limited to
   traditional approaches toward soil and water conservation;
   an intensified commitment of resources for educational,
   technical, and financial  assistance is warranted and may re-
   quire innovative administration of available  resources.
   Long-term funding must be assured at the outset of the im-
   plementation program, and a detailed plan to track accom-
   plishments, including water quality improvement, should
   be developed by the states through the Management Com-
   mittee. The framework for this program should include the
   following stages:
   Stage 1 -
        A program that emphasizes increased education,
        technical  assistance, and cost-sharing, as well as
        other financial incentives, should be in  place by
        July 1,  1985 in priority sub-basins (i.e., those
        determined through nonpoint source modeling to

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                                                                                             41
     be significant contributors of nutrients to iden-
     tified problem areas of the Bay). Full implemen-
     tation of the stage 1 abatement program should
     occur by July 1, 1988.
Stage 2-
     The Stage 1 program should be expanded to in-
     termediate priority sub-basins based on additional
     basin-wide nonpoint source modeling and Bay-
     wide water quality modeling assessments that
     should determine both the need for additional
     nonpoint source nutrient reductions and the addi-
     tional sub-basins to be targetted for nonpoint
     source control.
Stage 3 -
     Provide  the necessary educational,  technical, and
     financial assistance to maintain or  improve the
     level of  soil and water resource protection
     throughout the Chesapeake Bay basin. Soil con-
     servation districts should establish annual conser-
     vation goals and report annually on accomplish-
     ments and technical, financial, educational, and
     research needs.
   Concurrently with stages  1 through 3, the states and the
EPA, through the Management Committee and  the agri-
cultural research community, should initiate research to
evaluate the  effectiveness of BMPs in reducing the loss of
soluble nutrients from farmland, to improve soil-testing
procedures to refine recommended fertilizer application
rates (especially with respect to nitrogen), and to explore a
range of financial incentives, disincentives, or other
measures that would accelerate the BMP-adoption process.
Regulatory alternatives should be evaluated and, where
necessary, implemented if the above approaches do not
achieve the needed nutrient reductions.

  8.  The USD A and  the EPA, in consultation with the
    Management Committee, should strengthen and coor-
    dinate their efforts to reduce agricultural nonpoint
    source pollution to improve water quality in
    Chesapeake Bay.
   Specifically, an agreement that establishes a  cooperative
commitment  to work toward the goal of improved water
quality in Chesapeake Bay and its tributaries should be
developed. The agreement should outline ways  that pro-
grams  could  be targetted to reduce loadings of a) nutrients
(from soil, fertilizer, and animal wastes), b) sediment, c)
agricultural chemicals, and d) bacteria from animal wastes.
Also, the agreement should encourage the tar getting of EPA
and  USDA technical assistance and computer modeling per-
sonnel to Chesapeake Bay priority sub-basins.

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42
    9. Federal agencies, states, and counties should develop
      incentive policies by July 1, 1984 that encourage
      farmers to implement BMPs.
     Policies that could be considered include: incentives to
  maintain sensitive or marginal  farmland out of production,
  such as the USDA Paymefit-in-Kind Program or other
  similar state  or local efforts; cross-compliance; changes in
  the Internal Revenue Code, or state and local tax structures
  that will encourage  landowner investment in BMPs or
  discourage the lack of adequate BMPs; the establishment of
  Federal, state, or local agricultural conservation trust funds
  for additional cost-share, education, or technical assistance
  resources; user fees;  dedicated taxes; or expanded im-
  plementation funding.

   10. The states, counties, and municipalities located in sub-
      basins adjacent  to tidal-fresh and e&tuarine segments of
      Chesapeake Bay and its tributaries should implement
      fully and enforce existing urban stormwater runoff con-
      trol programs.
     Although nonpoint source loadings of nutrients from ur-
  ban land were not found to contribute to overall nutrient
  loads, unnecessary loadings of nutrients, sediment, heavy
  metals, and other pollutants from urbanized or developing
  watersheds should be avoided because of their potential im-
  pact on living resources  in isolated or sensitive reaches of
  the Bay. In addition, stormwater management programs
  should place equal emphasis on control techniques for runoff
  quality and runoff quantity; they should also either establish
  owner-developer responsibility  for long-term maintenance of
  urban stormwater BMPs or else include innovative finance
  mechanisms to pay for long-term BMP maintenance.

   11. The States of Maryland and Virginia and local govern-
      ments should  consider strengthening wetland protection
      laws to include non-tidal wetlands because of their
      value as nutrient buffers and living resource habitat.
   TOXIC COMPOUNDS

      Toxic compounds enter the Bay from point sources,
   such as industrial facilities and sewage treatment plants,
   and from nonpoint sources such as urban runoff, dredged
   material disposal, and atmospheric deposition. The three
   major tributaries to the Chesapeake, the Susquehanna,
   Potomac, and James Rivers, are the major sources of metals
   and organic compounds to the Bay. Industrial facilities and
   sewage treatment plants discharging directly to the Bay are
   signficant sources of cadmium, copper and organic com-

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                                                                                             43
pounds. Urban runoff is an important source of lead, and
atmospheric deposition is an important source of zinc to the
Bay. The toxic problem is most severe in industrialized
areas such as Baltimore and Norfolk, where the water and
sediments have high metal concentrations and many
organic compounds. The major findings regarding the toxic
compound sources and controls are summarized below:
    • The James, Potomac, and Susquehanna Rivers are the
      major sources of metals to the Bay. Collectively, they
      account for 69 percent of the cadmium, 72  percent of
      the chromium, 69 percent of the copper, 80 percent
      of the iron, 51 percent of the lead, and 54 percent of
      the zinc discharged to the Bay system.
    • Over 300 organic compounds were detected in the
      water and sediments of the Bay;  up to 480 organic
      compounds were detected in Baltimore Harbor. Most
      of the compounds detected  are toxic and many are
      priority pollutants.
    • An analysis of effluent from 20 industries and 8
      publicly owned treatment works  revealed that over
      75 percent of the facilities had toxic substances in  the
      effluent, principally metals, chlorine, and chlorinated
      organic compounds.
    • Point source control programs resulted  in significant
      reductions in metal loadings between 1970 and  1980
      to areas such as Baltimore Harbor. However, these
      programs focus only on the 129 EPA priority
      pollutants. Large quantities of metals and organic
      pollutants continue to enter the Bay system.
    • Nonpoint source control  efforts, such as urban runoff
      controls, integrated pest  management, and the
      regulation of dredge spoil disposal, have probably
      resulted in reduced loadings of toxic compounds to
      the Bay.
    • Toxic pollution control tools, and information
      developed by the GBP, such as the toxicity index, the
      toxicity testing protocol,  and the  effluent and sedi-
      ment fingerprinting procedure, will help managers
      address the toxic substance  problem.
    The Federal government and the states have made
significant advances in the control of toxic substances.
However, alarmingly high levels of toxic compounds are
still found in certain "hot spot" areas of the Bay. It is also
disconcerting that present regulatory monitoring efforts
would not detect an illegally discharged or dumped bioac-
cumulative compound which exceeded  chronic toxicity
levels.  This would suggest that a  Kepone-type incident as
occurred in the James River in 1975 could easily occur
again.  Such  a possibility is frightening in light of the fact
that toxic materials tend to adsorb to sediment and remain
trapped in the Bay. They are often recycled throughout the

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44
   system, causing repeated damage, until they are eventually
   buried by the accumulation of clean sediment. These find-
   ings suggest that current permitting, monitoring, and en-
   forcement programs do not sufficiently control toxic
   loadings to the Bay.
   BAY-WIDE TOXICANT RECOMMENDATIONS

   OBJECTIVE:
        CONTROL AND MONITOR POINT AND NONPOINT
        SOURCES OF TOXIC MATERIALS TO MITIGATE THE
        POTENTIAL OR DEMONSTRATED IMPACT OF TOXICANTS
        ON THE LIVING RESOURCES OF THE BAY
   General Recommendations

     1. The States and the EPA, through the Management
       Committee, should utilize the existing water quality
       management process to develop a basin-wide plan, that
       includes implementation schedules, to control toxicants
       from point and nonpoint sources by July 1, 1984.
   Point Source Recommendations

     2. The States, through the NPDES permit and general en-
       forcement authority program, should use biological and
       chemical analyses of industrial and municipal effluents
       to identify and control toxic discharges to the Bay and
       its tributaries.
      Biomonitoring and chemical analyses (GC/MS "finger-
   print") of effluents can be used to identify toxic discharges
   and to assess potential impacts on receiving waters. Initial
   focus should be on all major discharges,  facilities known  or
   thought to be releasing priority pollutants,  and POTWs
   receiving industrial wastes. In developing this protocol, the
   States should follow EPA policy and recommendations  .
   Priority areas for implementation should be the Patapsco,
   Elizabeth, and James Rivers, to be expanded to other areas
   as appropriate. All effluent biological and chemical data
   will be stored in EPA's Permit Compliance System (PCS),
   as well as in the CBP data base. Monitoring of effluents
   should be coordinated with the Bay-wide monitoring plan;
   this includes analysis of toxicant levels in sediments, water
   column, and in tissues of finfish and shellfish.

     3. The states and the EPA, through the Management
       Committee, should utilize Chesapeake  Bay Program

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                             	45

findings in developing or revising water quality criteria
and RtnnAnrds inr tnri.r.nnt.K.
    and standards for toxicants.
   Initial priority should be given to pollutants identified
as highly toxic and prevalent in the Bay, specifically
chlorine, cadmium, copper, zinc, nickel, chromium, lead
and, in tributaries, atrazine and linuron. Numerical criteria
should be developed when needed and incorporated into
state water quality standards as soon as feasible. Site-
specific criteria that are  developed should be based on
biological and chemical characteristics of individual receiv-
ing waters according to EPA guidelines and appropriate
estuarine research.

  4. The states should base NPDES permits on the EPA ef-
    fluent guidelines or revised state water quality stan-
    dards,  whichever are more stringent. Furthermore, the
    states should enforce all toxicant limitations in NPDES
    permits.

   The EPA should maintain its current schedule for prom-
ulgating best available technology (BAT) effluent
guidelines. To facilitate the writing of permits, the EPA
should continue to transfer knowledge and expertise
developed during the effluent guideline process to the
states.  The states should  also consider increasing the
number of training programs for permit writers.

  5. Pre-treatment control programs should be strengthened
    where needed to reduce the discharge of hazardous and
    toxic materials.
   The pre-treatment program in various basins has con-
tributed to reductions of toxicants in  some municipal
discharges, but the GBP  has found that, as a group, treat-
ment plants continue to be major contributors of heavy
metals, organic compounds, and other toxicants, including
chlorine. Current EPA regulations require pre-treatment
programs to be developed by July 1,  1983. Municipal
dischargers who have not submitted  their program should
do so as soon as possible. The EPA and the states should
enforce these programs.

  6. Chlorine control strategies should be implemented (or
    continued, where now in place)  in areas of critical
    resource importance. Strategies should focus on the
    reduction or elimination of chlorination, use of alter-
    native biocides, and  the reduction of the impact of
    effluents.
   Major areas of emphasis would include fresh or brackish
fish spawning and nursery areas, and shellfish spawning
areas. Maryland and Virginia have already begun to reduce

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46
   chlorine residuals, evaluate site-specific effects of chlorine,
   and consider environmental effects in siting and permitting
   of dischargers.
   Nonpoint Source Recommendations

     7. The EPA, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, and the
       States should utilize CBP program findings and other
       new information in developing permit conditions for
       dredge-and-fill and 404 permits
      Information  developed (or assembled) by the
   Chesapeake Bay Program includes: a measure of  the
   relative enrichment of sediments by six metals, concentra-
   tions of organic  materials in  surface sediments, shoaling
   and erosion patterns,  distribution of sediment types, loca-
   tion of submerged aquatic vegetation beds, shellfish beds,
   fish spawning and nursery areas, and relationships between
   habitat quality and living resources.

     8. A Bay-wide effort should be made to ensure  proper
       handling and application techniques of pesticides and
       herbicides, particularly in light of the potential increase
       in use of these materials in low-till farming practices.
      Innovative strategies, such as integrated pest manage-
   ment  (IPM) and reduction and timing  of application  have
   proven to be successful in the Bay area.  The States should
   encourage the use of these reduction strategies, support
   runoff and erosion control programs, demonstration proj-
   ects, and monitor the fate and effects of those substances
   on the Bay's aquatic environment.

     9. Research, monitoring programs, and control  strategies
       to reduce urban runoff should be continued and
       strengthened by the localities which are most directly
       affected.
      The states and urban areas should develop and imple-
   ment  plans  which identify urban management strategies to
   protect water quality in those areas where urban runoff
   controls  provide the most effective results.

    10. The States and the EPA  should evaluate the  magnitude
       and effects of other sources of toxicants,  including at-
       mospheric deposition, acid precipitation,  contaminated
       ground-water, acid mine drainage, hazardous waste
       disposal and storage sites, accidental spills, and anti-
       fouling paints.
      As information becomes available,  it should be factored
   into control and permit processes, etc. For example, models

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indicate that 30 to 40 percent of the atmospheric emissions
generated within the Bay area are deposited there.  The
GBP has estimated potentially significant inputs of  metals
from acid mine drainage and anti-fouling paints, par-
ticularly in tributaries. Many of these toxicant sources are
currently being investigated by Federal and state agencies.
                                                                                             47
BAY MANAGEMENT

   To effectively manage the Bay, both its variability and
its unity must be recognized. The Bay's water quality needs
vary from region to region as do the controls necessary to
support specific regional resource-use objectives. The in-
dustrialized Patapsco  and Elizabeth Rivers have a very dif-
ferent water quality problem than do the Choptank or
Rappahannock Rivers. Also, the desired and actual use of
these areas varies significantly (i.e., industrial versus
agriculture and fishing). It is apparent that our control
strategies must be targetted by geographic area. The GBP
report, A Framework for Action describes the different
areas of the Bay and recommends actions to address their
specific regional needs.  The Bay is a complex interactive
ecosystem and actions taken in any part of the watersehed
may result in water quality degradation and impacts on
aquatic resources downstream.  For this reason, it is essen-
tial that a Bay-wide management mechanism with appro-
priate representation coordinate the respective activities of
the Federal and state planning and regulatory agenices.
Therefore,  it is recommended that the CBP Management
Committee be maintained and  expanded to provide a coor-
dinating mechanism to ensure that actions are taken to
reduce the flow of pollutants into the Bay, and to restore
and maintain the Bay's ecological integrity.
   The Management Committee's specific responsibilities
should include:
   •  Coordinating the implementation of the Chesapeake
      Bay Program's recommendations;
   •  Developing a comprehensive basin-wide water quality
      planning process in conjunction with ongoing plan-
      ning efforts;
   •  Investigating new regional approaches to water qual-
      ity management, including creative financing
      mechanisms;
   •  Resolving regional conflicts regarding water quality
      issues; and
   •  Reviewing related ongoing Bay research efforts and
      recommmending additional research needs.
    It is hoped that the needs of the future can be met and
the quality of the Bay preserved.  It is apparent that some
o

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48
   governmental change, long-term commitments, and money
   are necessary. There will be no quick-fix for the
   Chesapeake's problems.  We will need to continue to study
   and to monitor, but while we do that, we will also need to
   focus concerted remedial action on some of the most severe
   problems in the system.  Above all, we will need to con-
   tinue the dialogue among the states and among the users of
   the Bay. The new spirit of  cooperation and awareness
   generated by the Chesapeake Bay Program has brought us
   to the point of believing that we can manage the Bay for
   the benefit of all.

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