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The Biological Services Program was established within the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
to supply scientific  information  and methodologies on key environmental  issues that
impact fish  and wildlife resources and their supporting ecosystems. The mission of the
program is as follows:
     • To strengthen the Fish and Wildlife Service in its role  as  a primary  source of
        information on national fish  and wildlfe  resources, particularly in respect to
        environmental impact assessment.
     •  To  gather, analyze, and  present  information that will aid  decisionmakers in
        the identification and  resolution  of problems associated with major changes in
        land and water  use.
     •  To  provide  better  ecological  information  and evaluation for  Department of
        the  Interior  development programs,  such as tho*e relating to energy  deve-
        lopment.
     Information  developed by  the  Biological Services Program  is intended  for  use
in the  planning and decisionmaking  process  to  prevent or minimize  the impact of
development on fish and wildlife. Research activities and technical assistance services are
based on anaysis of the issues, a  determination of the decisionmakers involved and their
information needs, and an evaluation of the state of the art to identify information gaps
and determine priorities. This is a strategy that will ensure that the products produced
and disseminated are timely and useful.
     Projects have been initiated  in the following areas: coal extraction and  conver-
sion;  power plants; geothermal,  mineral, and oil-shale development;  water resource
analysis, including stream  alterations  and western water  allocation;  coastal  ecosys-
tems  and  Outer  Continental  Shelf  development; and  systems  inventory, including
National Wetland Inventory, habitat classification and analysis, and  information transfer.
     The  Biological Services Program  consists  of the Office of Biological  Services in
Washington, D.C., which is responsible for overall planning and management; National
Teams, which provide the Program's central scientific and technical expertise and arrange
for contracting biological services studies  with  states, universities, consulting firms,  and
others; Regional Staff, who provide a link to problems at the operating level; and staff at
certain Fish and  Wildlife  Service research  facilities,  who conduct in-house research
studies.

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                                                               FWS/OBS-78/69
                                                                September 1978
               A CONCEPTUAL ECOLOGICAL MODEL

                      FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY
                                by
                         Katherine A. Green
                    11801 Rockville Pike, No. 802
                     Rockville, Maryland 20852
                    Order Number-SFWB 144807
                  Project Officer-David A. Flemer
                     Coastal Ecosystems Project
                     Office of Biological Services
                      Fish and Wildlife Service
                      Washington, D.C. 22022
This study was conducted in cooperation with the Chesapeake Bay Pro-
            gram, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
                      j*    Performed for
                      CoaStai Ecosystems Project
                     Office of Biological Services
                       Fish and Wildlife Service
                   U.S. Department of the Interior

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                          DISCLAIMER
The  opinions, findings,  conclusions,  or recommendations  expressed in
this report are those of the author,  and  do not necessarily reflect the
views of the Office of Biological Services, Fish  and Wildlife Service,
U.S.  Department  of the Interior,  or the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency; nor does mention of trade names or commercial products con-
stitute endorsement or recommendation for use by the Federal Govern-
ment.

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                               EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A conceptual model for the Chesapeake Bay ecosystem (wetlands, tributaries, and bay-
proper) has been developed as an interrelated series of diagrams showing carbon and nutri-
ent pathways. Information was based on an analysis of local literature and discussions with
scientists who are studying the Bay. The ecological functions that produce the resources of
commercial and recreational fisheries, habitat for migratory birds and other wildlife, waste
disposal, and aesthetic water quality are indicated. Physical (light, turbidity, mixing, trans-
port, sedimentation) and chemical (sediment-water interactions, presence of pollutants)
aspects of the environment  modify the rates of biological processes  (primary production,
nutrient regeneration, larval survival).

    Marshes and other wetlands export carbon as detritus into the Bay system. They also trap
nutrients, and release them gradually. Their natural buffering capacity can be, at times, ex-
ceeded by excessive nutrient loading from sewage or fertilizers.

    Natural nutrients and detritus as well as pollutants such as trace metals, refined hydro-
carbons, herbicides, and pesticides enter the Bay  system through river flow and  overland
runoff.

    In the Bay and tributaries, primary producers are phytoplankton, seagrasses, and benthic
algae. Plankton dynamics facilitate nutrient regeneration, as  do sediment  chemistry and
benthic organisms.  Plankton, benthos, and marsh organisms provide food for fin-  and shell-
fishes of commercial importance.

    A detailed ecosystem model combining the wetlands, plankton, seagrasses, other ben-
thos, and fish  trophic dynamics submodels  shows the importance of material transfer and
interactions between subsystems. In hierarchical research designs, there is  a tendency to
focus on  interactions within  subsystems. Exchanges between subsystems should also be
studied. Quantitative data and estimates of flows on a Bay-wide, annual basis are needed.

    In relating  observed changes  in the  system, such as  the decline of submerged aquatic
vegetation or reduction in oyster spatfall, to water quality, the ecosystem context is useful
in indicating possible causal mechanics and pathways. Potential indicators of water quality
and ecosystem health are distribution and abundance of seagrasses, chlorophyll a,  dissolved
oxygen, water transparency, blue crab abundance,  larval setting, and concentrations of pol-
lutants in the tissues of commercial fin- and shellfishes, plankton,  and forage  fishes.

    To provide information on the relative  importance of various biological processes  for
water-quality maintenance, and the relative magnitude of different pollutant impacts on the
Bay, quantitative estimates of the flows in the conceptual models should be made.
                                        in

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                                      PREFACE

   The Chesapeake Bay Program  of the U.S. Environmental Protection  Agency  (EPA)
has as a principal  objective  the  development of a Chesapeake  Bay Water Quality Manage-
ment Plan. A major problem for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) and other agen-
cies  that are responsible for the living resources in the Bay has been the significant decline
in the submerged  aquatic vegetation (SAV).  It is hypothesized that the reduction in abun-
dance and distribution of SAV is  the result of changes in water quality.

   Through  an interagency  agreement, FWS and EPA are cooperating to develop informa-
tion  concerning the  ecology and value of SAV  in the Chesapeake Bay. To serve as a base
of reference, A Conceptual  Ecological Model for Chesapeake Bay was  devised to indicate
the major components of the ecosystem and to illustrate their interrelationships. Funding
to support this report was provided by Region 3,  Chesapeake Bay Program, EPA, through the
coordinating efforts of the Office of Biological Services, FWS.

   Any suggestions or questions  regarding this publication should be directed to:

                         Information Transfer Specialist
                         National Coastal Ecosystems Team
                         U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
                         National Space Technology Laboratories
                         NSTL  Station, Miss. 39529

   This report should be cited as follows:

   Green, K. A. 1978.  A conceptual ecological model  for Chesapeake  Bay. U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, Biological Services Program. FWS/OBS-78/69.  22 pp.
                                             IV

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                               ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

    I wish to thank R. Ulanowicz, D. Heinle, R. Morgan, W. Boynton, M. Kemp, C. Steven-
son, and L. E. Cronin from the Center for Environmental and Estuarine Studies, University
of Maryland; L. Bongers, T. Polgar, A. Lippson, and L. Moran from Martin-Marietta; J. Taft
and L. Brush from the Chesapeake Bay Institute, Johns Hopkins University; D. Flemer from
the Office of Biological Services; D. Correll, Chesapeake Bay Center, Smithsonian Institu-
tion; R. Wetzel, K. Webb, R.  Orth, D. Boesch, M. Lynch, R. Harris, D. Haven, J. Merriner,
and D. Markle from the Virginia Institute of Marine Science. All have generously provided
information  and ideas for the  development of this conceptual model of the Chesapeake Bay.
Insights are attributable to them; errors are my own.

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                 A CONCEPTUAL ECOLOGICAL MODEL FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY

                                       Katherine A. Green1
               INTRODUCTION
PURPOSE
    The main objective of this project was the  de-
velopment of a conceptual model of the Chesapeake
Bay ecosystem.  The  model  indicates carbon and
nutrient pathways in the Bay.
    The Chesapeake  Bay and  adjacent wetlands
provide habitat for  migratory birds and other wild-
life, maintain  an  aesthetically  pleasing  environ-
ment,  and  support recreational and commercial
fisheries. Resources  are affected by biological inter-
actions and  the physical and chemical processes of
Bay waters,  as well  as by water quality and the  im-
pacts of human activities.
    For planning research to support management
decisions  on renewable resources, Chesapeake Bay
should be viewed as an estuarine ecosystem. Such a
broad  perspective is  practical using  a conceptual
model  to  indicate  interrelationships among  re-
sources and habitats. Within the ecosystem context,
key processes and  potential  indicator species can
be identified.
    A conceptual model, as an explicit statement
of the  functioning of Bay ecosystem, will provide a
biologically  realistic  context for  considering  the
ramifications of changes in water quality.
    The information used to develop the concep-
tual model  comes  mainly  from discussions with
scientists  currently doing  research  on  the Bay.
(Questions asked in interviews are listed in appen-
dix A). Some references are given, but the author's
principal  role was  synthetic, that is,  combining
ideas and  information from various sojdxes into a
conceptualization of the ecosystem gestalt. Previous
models of the  Bay ecosystem  have  been implicit
mental concepts. This report presents  a concrete
i
  11801 Rockville Pike, No. 802, Rockville, Md. 20852.
ecosystem concept to  facilitate the objective ex-
amination of assumptions.
    The project represents only 8 weeks of work
for interviews  and writing. The model is general
and simplified  for any  given  area of research. Its
utility lies  in  its holistic  perspective,  placing the
relationships among systems components into the
ecosystem context.
    This  model, while necesarily limited in scope,
is a starting point for an ecosystem  perspective on
the Bay, and should serve as a basis for discussion
on systems structure and relationships.
    The conceptual model  is structured as a set of
box-and-arrow  diagrams. Boxes  represent system
components; arrows  represent flows between com-
ponents   or  compartments.  Components  repre-
sented are  carbon  (C), nitrogen (N), and phos-
phorus (P), but the  same basic structure could be
used for energy units.
PHILOSOPHY
    An ecosystem is a system open in at least one
property, and in which at least one entity is living
(Dale  1970). Ecosystem behavior is regulated by
feedback  loops, time lags,  and external  physical
factors (King and Paulik  1967). More generally, an
ecosystem consists of organisms  including plants,
herbivores, carnivores, and decomposers, with asso-
ciated  abiotic resources used by  those organisms,
all located within a definable geographic area and
interrelated through a food  web.  It is an open sys-
tem, with radiant energy entering  from, and matter
and energy lost to,  the surrounding environment.
Energy  is dissipated within  an  ecosystem,  but
nutrients are recycled (Green 1975).
    A model should  simplify the real system, while
preserving  essential features (Levins  1966). Ecolo-
gical theory looks upon ecosystems as hierarchical
systems that can be subdivided for  analysis, with
                                                1

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complexity  derived from  successional addition of
organizational states (King and  Paulik 1967). But
an ecosystem is more  than a collection of subsys-
tems. Present modeling research  is focusing on the
linkages among systems components. The coupling
structure has been  demonstrated to be important
to overall system behavior (Walsh  1975,  Lane and
Levins 1977).
    Throughout this report  it is assumed that the
Chesapeake  Bay, adjacent wetlands, and tributaries
comprise  a  single ecosystem. Subsystems can be
identified and studied, but a holistic perspective is
necessary to understand the responses of the Bay
system to changes in water quality.


 CONCEPTUAL MODEL  OF THE BAY SYSTEM

OVERVIEW
    The  Chesapeake Bay  system  as  defined  here
includes the Wetlands, the  Bay  proper,  and its
tributaries.  It can  be  considered  a single system
from an ecological point  of view. Few species are
found throughout  the system;  their distributions
vary with salinity, depth,  and time of year. But the
web of  species interactions  does span the whole
system,  and includes  opportunistic  feeding, the
movement of fish from one end of the Bay to the
other,  and  the  large-scale  impacts of  human
activities.
    The Bay system can be viewed as a mechanism
for turning  oak leaves  into bluefish, or as an enor-
mous nutrient-cycling system, or  as  a menhaden-
blue crab community, or as a nursery ground for
Bay and Atlantic fisheries. Each of these perspec-
tives is appropriate for some purpose, and all share
the concept of the entire Bay  as  a single system.
    Exchanges of material and energy between the
Bay system  and its air, land, and water environ-
ments are indicated in figure 1.  Sunlight is the ma-
jor energy  input,  but winds and tides also add
energy to the system. Water enters  the system from
groundwater,  rainfall,  land runoff, and tides, but
the biggest input is river flow. Water is lost through
tides,  evaporation, and  flow   into  the  Atlantic
Ocean.  Natural nutrients and  detritus eojer the
system from river flow and land runoff. Pollutants
are introduced from rivers,  runoff, pleasure boats
and ship traffic, and sewage and industrial effluents.
Chemical nutrients can be  lost to the deep  sedi-
ments or exported  to Atlantic waters. Organic car-
bon  exchanges occur  through migration of birds
and  other wildlife, movements of adult and larval
fishes between the Bay and the Atlantic, and remo-
val by commercial and recreational fishing. Possibly
the biggest single carbon loss from the living com-
ponents of the system  is the CO2 loss through res-
piration. The gasses CO2, O2, and N2 are exchanged
with the atmosphere.
    Losses of carbon and nutrients through respira-
tion, to the sediments, and by export to the Atlan-
tic will not be indicated on more detailed ecosys-
tems diagrams, to keep them as simple as possible.
However, such losses should be taken into consi-
deration in  any  carbon or nutrient budgets based
on the conceptual diagrams.
    Driving the Bay system are inputs of light, nut-
rients, and  carbon (a  measure  of organic  matter
derived from photosynthesis). Carbon sources vary
throughout  the system. Detritus of external origin
is  the main  source in the upper reaches of the estu-
ary and tributaries. Marsh plants and "seagrasses"
(used here loosely as a term for submerged aquatic
vegetation) fix carbon  in some shallow areas; most
of it enters the system as detritus.  In the  deeper
parts of the estuary, carbon is fixed in situ by phy-
toplankton,  as  well  as being  transported from
shallower areas.  A large part of the carbon fixed in
the system goes through detrital pathways and sup-
ports an abundant shallow benthic community that
turns over rapidly. Nutrients from drainage are ab-
sorbed in the marshes  and the shallows, and are re-
cycled there and in deeper waters by the activities
of microplankton and microbenthos.
    Zooplankton in  the Bay  are  eaten by cteno-
phores, Atlantic menhaden (Brevoortia patronus),
and  other fishes, and  have abundant algal food
sources on which to graze. Plankton support men-
haden  and other forage fishes, which in turn sup-
port commercial and recreational fisheries  as well
as unexploited fish groups. Most of the fishes are
transient, spending only part of their life cycle  or
part of the year in the Bay system. Atlantic conti-
nental-shelf fisheries are partially supported by the
Bay. The benthic communities support a large pop-
ulation of blue  crabs (Callinectes sapidus), which
are effective predators as well as scavengers. Oysters
and  clams,  also  commercially  important,  derive
most of their nutrition from water-column sources.
    This broad overview of  the biology of the Bay
system (fig. 2)  provides  a framework  for more
detailed discussions of its ecological dynamics.

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Figure 2. Major processes in a general conceptual model of the Chesapeake Bay system.

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RESOURCES OF THE BAY

    The Chesapeake Bay  provides a variety  of re-
sources.  The  most  obvious  are commercial and
recreational fisheries for clams, oysters, blue crabs,
menhaden,  striped  bass  (Morone saxatilis)  and
other species. Other resources are habitat for wild-
life  and  migratory birds, waste treatment, and
water of quality that is suitable for recreation.
    Each  of  these  resources is  dependent on the
ecological functions of the Bay system. One objec-
tive of these conceptual model diagrams is to indi-
cate the  supporting biology for the  various re-
sources. Many ecological processes involve loops or
cycles  within the  system, which are vulnerable to
disturbance at any point.

WETLANDS

    The  wetlands considered part of  the Chesa-
peake  Bay system  are tidal  mudflats and marshes
that experience tidal flushing (fig.  3). Most wet-
lands are above mean low water, but some  emer-
gent wetlands extend to shallow (2 m) depths.
    Marshes can be divided  into several types on
the basis of plant communities. Through their func-
tion as sediment traps and nutrient absorbers, mar-
shes play a role in maintaining water quality of the
Bay.  Fresh-  and brackish-water mixed vegetative
marsh  communities, salt marsh cordgrass communi-
ties, and arrow-arum/pickerel weed  communities
are the most valuable marsh  types in terms of pro-
duction, habitat, and erosion buffering (Silberhorn
etal. 1974).
    Some marshes provide a spawning area for fish-
es, and marsh invertebrates serve as fish food  (Wass
and Wright 1969).
    Marshes also provide  food and habitat for mi-
gratory waterfowl, resident  birds, and other wild-
life  (Wass  and Wright  1969).  Migratory geese,
whistling swans, and ducks use adjacent farmlands,
as well as the marsh, as food sources during part of
the  year (L. E.  Cronin, pers.  comm.). Herons,
egrets, and ibises nesting  in the marshes are impor-
tant consumers of fish  and  crustaceans.  Gulls,
during the winter, and terns, during the summer, eat
fin- and shellfish in the marshes (R. Andrew, pers.
comm.)
    By feeding  in farmlands and defecating in the
marsh, birds may import carbon and nutrients. The
magnitude of such imports is not known. Birds also
export some material when they leave the marshes
to migrate. Results from studies of the role of birds
in other ecosystems  suggest that the quantity of
carbon  and  nutrients cycled by migratory birds
during feeding and elimination within the system is
much greater than that of material imported to or
exported from the system.
    Mammals  which use the marsh habitat include
nutria   (Myocastor  coypus),  muskrat   (Ondatra
zibethica),  mink  (Mustela vison),  and raccoon
(Procyon lotor) (Wass and Wright 1969).
    Marshes with  sufficient tidal flushing export
some of their annual carbon production to the Bay
(R. Wetzel, pers. comm. based on salt marsh model
research). Most export occurs in the winter, by ice
scouring and tidal  flushing when standing dead
material is  greatest  (Heinle  et  al. 1976). Poorly
flooded marshes may  not exchange  any carbon
with the estuary on the Patuxent River, although
dissolved nitrogen and phosphorus are exported to
the estuary (Heinle  and Flemer 1976). After Teal
(1962), it has been  widely assumed  that marshes
enhance the productivity  of estuaries by exporting
much of the carbon produced. While it is probable
that there is a net export of carbon from marshes
along the Chesapeake, there  is still  disagreement
among  scientists  as  to the role of marshes as con-
tributors to Bay production.
    Another  unresolved aspect of the relationship
between the  estuary and  adjacent marshes is  nu-
trient  exchange.  Marshes  trap  nutrients (both
natural  and pollutants) from tributaries and upland
drainage (Silberhorn et al. 1974). Nutrients can be
temporarily  stored  in  the marshes,  and released
gradually  to  the Bay.  The buffering capacity of
marshes is, however, limited and can be lost if large
nutrient inputs from sewage effluent saturate  the
marsh (R. Wetzel, pers. comm.).
    Organic  and  inorganic  nutrients  also  enter
marshes from the Bay. Nutrient exchange between
marshes and  Bay waters  involves changes  in  the
chemical forms of  N and  P,  superimposed on a
probable  net export of  N  and  P to the  Bay
(Axelrad 1974). The role of marshes in nutrient ex-
change  is  debated among  scientists  and requires
further research.
    The primary  producers in coastal wetlands are
marsh plants with attached periphyton and benthic
algae (fig. 3). Species vary with the type of marsh
or  mudflat.  Most  marsh  plants enter the marsh

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                                                               LIGHT
                    MARSH PLANTS
                    & EPIPHYTES
                   MIGRATORY
                   & RESIDENT
                   BIROS
                    OTHER
                    WILDLIFE
                                                      CRUSTACEANS
                                                      SMALL FISHES
                                                      BENTHOS
                                                      (SMALL CONSUMERS)
BENTHIC
ALGAE
                                                                 BAY PROPER
                                                                 BAY FISHES
                                                                                 |    BAY PROPER
                                                                                      BAY PROPER
                                Figure 3. Conceptual model of wetlands.
food web  through the  detrital pathway, and de-
composers are consumed by  crabs and other ben-
thic  crustaceans, bivalves,  mollusks, and small
fishes. In any particular marsh, the small (in physi-
cal size) marsh consumer box will be dominated by
one particular species  (R. Wetzel, pers. comm.),
e.g., fiddler crabs, insects, or small fishes. However,
the dominant consumer member  of the compart-
ment will vary with the type of marsh and perhaps
with the time  of year. Small consumers of marsh
detritus and benthic algae play a role in any marsh
food  web.  In  turn, these  small marsh consumers
support  fishes  which  enter from the Bay during
high water, birds, and other wildlife.
    Material  enters the Bay  system  with  runoff
over lands which are not classified  as  wetlands.
This flow appears in figure  2 as drainage to the Bay
(organic and  inorganic N, P, and C). Runoff intro-
duces a variety of substances  into the Bay. Pollu-
                              tants include herbicides and pesticides from agri-
                              cultural  land, and  toxic substances impregnating
                              wooden  bulkheads,  as well as natural (as opposed
                              to man-induced) nutrients and  detrital  material.
                                  River  flow  brings natural  nutrients,  trace
                              metals, and detritus, as well as chlorine and nutrient
                              loads from partially treated sewage, effluents from
                              power plants, and chemicals from industrial activi-
                              ties, into the Bay system. Trace  metals and petrol-
                              eum hydrocarbons  are  introduced  from shipping
                              traffic, Baltimore Harbor, and storm-sewer runoff.
                                 I found no estimates of the  relative inputs of
                              natural and  pollutant materials  from rivers, land
                              runoff, pleasure and commercial boats, and Balti-
                              more Harbor. Some work along this line  has been
                              done at Chesapeake Bay Institute at Johns Hopkins
                              University. Point sources such as sewage treatment
                              plants  are monitored (A. J. Lippson, pers. comm.,
                              Potomac  River survey).  Nonpoint sources such as

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land runoff are much more difficult to measure or
estimate.
    Pollutants have reached all parts of the Chesa-
peake Bay system (L. E. Cronin, pers. comm.).

BAY AND TRIBUTARIES
    Those parts of the Bay system that are perma-
nently  under  water  exhibit  a  marked salinity
gradient from fresh water in the more landward
locations of the estuary to approximately 30 o/oo
salinity at the mouth of the Bay. At any given loca-
tion in  this partially mixed estuary, salinity is high-
est in the summer and fall when river runoff is low,
and lowest in the winter and spring when rainfall
and runoff  are  high. Pritchard (1968)  provides a
general description of water movement in the Bay.
Storms can  produce  abrupt changes  in salinity
distribution.
    The salinity regime affects the distribution of
species from plankton to benthos to fishes. An eco-
logical structure appropriate  to any salinity region
within the  Bay is  illustrated  in figure 2. However,
species  composition inside the boxes varies with
salinity and season; for example, net zooplankton
species are dominated by copepods: Eurytemora in
fresh and  brackish water,  and  Acartia  in  more
saline  water.  Net phytoplankton dominants vary
from blue-green algae in fresh water to diatoms in
more saline waters. The distribution of fish species
(eggs,  larvae, juveniles, and adults)  depends  upon
the salinity  regime as  well  as the  time of  year.
Species of benthic infauna and epifauna vary with
salinity; oysters and clams are found in the middle
salinity regions of the Bay (Lippson 1973).
    A second gradient in the Bay system  is that of
depth.  Community  structure changes from  emer-
gent wetlands to shallows to deeper waters.
    The upper  Bay  derives most of  its carbon
from allochthonous  sources;  particulate organic
carbon is transported  into the system by the Sus-
quehanna River. Only about 10 percent of new car-
bon is derived from primary  production in situ; in
contrast, most new carbon  in the middle Bay is
fixed by phytoplankton and relatively little  is  im-
ported  from upstream (Biggs  and Flemer 1972).
Total annual carbon inputs to the whole Bay from
river  transport, marshes,  seagrasses,  and phyto-
plankton production   are estimated  roughly  in
appendix  B. Phytoplankton  carbon production
appears to be the most important, followed by that
of marshes and  seagrasses, and then by river  trans-
port.  Inputs  from land runoff have not been esti-
mated.
    Primary producers  in  emergent wetlands  are
marsh plants, epiphytes, and benthic algae. Most of
this carbon enters  the food web by  the detrital
pathway.  Shallow  regions  receive  carbon  from
three  sources: transport  of detrital  material from
marshes and  rivers; production by seagrasses; and
production by phytoplankton. In  waters too deep
for seagrass growth, phytoplankton production in
situ  and  transportation from upstream  are  the
carbon sources.
    Much  of  the  biological activity in  the Bay oc-
curs in the shoal or shallow waters that  are most di-
rectly  influenced by  runoff from the  land. Sedi-
ment-trap areas may  remove sediments, nutrients,
and toxic materials from the water column in shal-
low waters, preventing much of that material from
reaching deeper waters.
PLANKTON
    Figure  2 was originally planned to distinguish
shallow and deeper water communities in the Bay.
However, for plankton and some nekton, the dis-
tinction  is  not clear. Plankton  species have not
been  found to vary from shallow to deeper water
(Heinle, pers. comm.), although they do vary with
salinity (Lippson 1973). The  following discussion
of  the  plankton community  applies   to  all Bay
waters (fig. 4).
    In Chesapeake  Bay,  phytoplankton  standing
stock is  apparently limited by availability of P in
the spring and inorganic N in the summer (Taft and
Taylor 1976). In the winter, biomass is limited by
light or temperature (Taft, pers. comm.). Sediment-
water interactions in oxygenated and anoxic waters,
as  well as regeneration by organisms, determine
abundance and chemical form of available P and N
in the system.
    Primary production  rates  may be  determined
by nutrient regeneration rates. While total nutrients
place an upper limit on standing stock during the
summer, turnover rates may be as rapid as every 2
days (Heinle, pers. comm.). It is possible that sum-
mer primary  production  is limited only by the
physiological capabilities of plant cells (Taft, pers.
comm.).  Nannoplankton  (plant cells less than 10
microns in diameter) contribute at least two-thirds
of  total  primary production  on  an annual basis
(Van Valkenburg and Flemer 1974).
                                                6

-------
                            LIGHT
                                                                                          FISHES
                                                                                          CTENOPHORES
                                                                                          & JELLYFISH
                                                                 NET ZOOPLANKTON
                                                                 COPEPODS
 NETPHYTOPLANKTON
 DIATOMS
                                 OYSTERS
                                 & CLAMS
                                                                MICROZOOPLANKTON
                                                                ROTIFERS
                                                                TINTINNIDS
NANNO PHYTOPLANKTON
OINOFLAGELLATES
                                                                                           BENTHIC
                                                                                           FILTER
                                                                                           FEEDERS
     DISSOLVED
     INORGANIC
     N, P, & C
                                                                    BACTERIA
                                                                    FUNGI
                                                                    PROTOZOA
                      '    DISSOLVED
                           ORGANIC
                     *\    N, P, & C
                              \
                          BENTHIC
                          DECOMPOSERS
                          MICROFAUNA
                                               OYSTERS
                                               & CLAMS
                 Figure 4.  Conceptual model of plankton and nutrient interactions.
    Zooplankton also can be considered in two size
classes, the larger or net zooplankton such as cope-
pods, and smaller or microzooplankton such as tin-
tinnids and  rotifers. In the upper Patuxent River,
zooplankton must consume detritus because plant
production in situ is not sufficient to support them
(Heinle and Flemer  1975);in the middle Bay, larger
zooplankton eat only about 10 percent of daily net
primary  production (Heinle, pers.  comm.). What
happens  to  the rest of the production? Figure 4
shows one possible  microzooplankton-dissolved in-
organic N, P, C-nannoplankton loop whose mecha-
nism for consumption and rapid regeneration of nu-
trients in the euphotic zone would  facilitate rapid
turnover  of  the plankton community, but its exis-
tence has not  been  demonstrated  (Heinle, pers
comm.).
    Zooplankton tend to maximize living material in
the diet, and can eat bacteria (Heinle, pers. comm.).
Bacteria  and protozoa can  take  up inorganic  (as
well as organic) N  and P, and may be competing
                             with phytoplankton  for  nutrients  (Webb,  pers.
                             comm.). Bacteria and fungi can break down cellu-
                             lose and chitin,  the main components of detritus
                             (Webb, pers. comm.).
                                Plankton must be  viewed in the context of or-
                             ganic and inorganic nutrient dynamics. Nutrients are
                             affected not only by plankton, but also by excretion
                             by larger  organisms,  absorption and regeneration
                             through chemical processes in sediments, regenera-
                             tion by biological processes in  the euphotic zone
                             and benthos, and by physical transport. There are
                             still many questions about nutrient dynamics in the
                             Bay system, and figure 4 should be regarded as ex-
                             pressing present  hypotheses. Plankton are usually
                             viewed as  the starting point of a food web, but
                             they are one step in a  nutrient-cycling loop that in-
                             volves the whole  Bay system.
                                One other aspect of plankton  and nutrient dy-
                             namics involves  tidal  exchange of water between
                             the Atlantic Ocean and the Chesapeake Bay at the
                             Bay mouth. Studies of the  tidal exchange are under

-------
way at Virginia Institute of Marine Science. The
relative magnitudes of inputs and losses are not yet
known,  but some nutrient losses  are  probable.
    The zooplankton  compartments of the concep-
tual Bay model also contain icthyoplankton and
larvae of benthic organisms. Any animal feeding on
zooplankton can  also consume  larval fishes and
benthos, thus playing a role in regulation of those
populations.   All  larval fishes  are  zooplankton
feeders, and may be a very significant factor in the
trophic dynamics of the Bay system.
 BENTHOS

    Benthic organisms are important  in the flow
dynamics of C, N, and O  in the Bay (D. Boesch,
pers. comm.).
    Eelgrass (Zostera)  communities cover much of
the shallow bottom from mean low water to about
2 m depth in the upper mesohaline and polyhaline
areas of the Bay (Orth 1975). Other seagrass spe-
cies, generally more abundant on the eastern shore
where  there  are  wide  shallow  areas,  include
Potamogeton and Vallisneria in fresh and brackish
water, and Ruppia  in  middle and higher salinities
(Lippson 1973).
    Seagrasses (fig. 5) provide structure and habitat
for  epiphytic plants  and a  diverse epifauna of
amphipods,  isopods,  barnacles,  tunicates, poly-
chaetes, and gastropods  (Marsh   1973,  1976).
Macrofauna consume about 55 percent of the net
production of eelgrass, phytoplankton, and benthic
algae of a Zostera community, with the rest avail-
able  to  bacteria,  microfauna,   and  meiofauna
(Thayer et al. 1975). There is little grazing pressure
on  the leaf  blades (Zieman 1975,  Marsh 1970),
which enter the food chain as detritus. Benthic in-
fauna  densities are higher in Zostera communities
than any other benthic habitat in  Chesapeake Bay
since the grass stabilizes the sediments (Orth 1973).
Seagrass communities  also provide protection  for
larval and juvenile fishes and blue crabs in soft and
peeler  stages, as well as  food for  fishes, crabs,
shrimps, and water  birds. Fishes associated with
eelgrass  [e.g., anchovies (Anchoa  spp.) in summer,
spot  (Leiostomus zanthurus)  and sihersides
(Antherinidae)  in winter]  feed on detritus, plank-
tonic copepods, and epifaunal crustaceans, deriving
about half of their nutrition from the seagrass com-
munity (Adams 1976a, b, c).
    The  cownose ray  (Rhinoptera bonasus) tends
to uproot seagrasses as it  grubs  for  benthic  or-
ganisms (Orth 1975).
   Oyster reefs constitute another type of benthic
community (Larsen  1974).  Oysters  feed  on dino-
flagellates and  detritus, and possibly bacteria and
lipids; clams feed on coarser particles (D. Haven,
pers.  comm.). Oysters, clams, and  other filter
feeders  remove  sediments  and detritus from the
water column much  faster  than possible  through
sinking alone. Fecal pellets make the material avail-
able  to benthic grazers. Biodeposits on the sedi-
ment  surface are enriched by bacteria, and turned
over  by  sediment mixers, such  as shrimp and
worms (D. Haven, pers. comm.).
  Benthic organisms also are present in sandy and
muddy  bottoms  without  seagrasses  or oyster-reef
structure  (see fig. 6). Standing stocks are  lower,
but turnover may be very rapid. Exclosure studies
indicate that blue crabs and some demersal  fishes
are voracious  predators, and may  control benthic
standing stocks on unprotected  bottoms (Boesch et
al.  1976,  Virnstein  1976). Benthic populations
may  also be  partly  controlled by  predation  on
planktonic reproductive stages  during the  summer.
A bimodal spring and fall  setting  pattern is com-
mon,  with  setting  reduced during  the  summer
when predation by ctenophores and fishes on zoo-
plankton is highest (D. Boesch,  pers. comm.).
  The distinction between shallow and deep parts
of the bay  is more  obvious for benthos. Benthic
communities are  characterized  by  surface and sus-
pension feeders in shallower waters, and deposit
feeders in deeper waters. Predation on infauna may
be the most important  controlling factor  for shal-
low populations, and competitive  interference is a
controlling factor in deeper waters.  Species also tend
to  be  associated  with sediment type; shallow
sediments are usually sand, and deeper sediments
are usually mud. In the  deep channels experiencing
anoxic conditions due to stratification of the water
column, benthos are depauperate (D. Boesch, pers.
comm.). Presumably, low oxygen conditions also
exclude  fish  and other  mobile  organisms from
some of the deeper waters  of  the Bay during the
summer (Haefner 1971).

  Biological and  chemical  processes in the sedi-
ments are thought to be important in regulating
the abundance and chemical form of N  and P in
the water column. More research is necessary  to
elucidate  the mechanisms as well as the magnitude
of these processes (K. Webb, pers. comm.).

-------
                 LIGHT
                                                                FISHES
                                                                     FISHES
                                                                     WATER COLUMN
                                                                     DETRITUS
     BENTHIC
     EPIFAUNA
     &INFAUNA
           LIGHT
           FISHES
           COWNOSE RAYS
           CRABS
           SHRIMPS
                   Figure 5. Conceptual model of seagrass communities.
                                      LIGHT
     INORGANIC
     N, P, ft C
                                                     i
DISSOLVED
ORGANIC
N, P, & C
COLUMN     COLUMN
                                                 SEAGR ASSES
                                                 BENTHIC ALGAE
BACTERIA
OYSTERS
& CLAMS
UINUFLAGELLATES
/


BENTHIC
DETRITUS
i 1
IVNOSE MAN
YS
i


r
MEIO-&
MICROFAUNA


^-^^

^^**
II
N
i

COLUMN
DETRITUS
& BACTERIA
t \ >
CRUSTACEANS
POLYCHAETES
TUBE WORMS
SHRIMPS
I 1
(ORGANIC FISHES
. P, &C
1


FISHES
, i
.UE CRABS
i I
FISHES MAN
                                   i
                   DISSOLVED
                   ORGANIC
                   N, P, & C
INORGANIC
N, P. & C
               Figure 6.  Conceptual model of other benthic communities.

-------
NEKTON

  Ctenophores  and jellyfish are  a nuisance to
swimmers in the Bay, and can be extremely abun-
dant in certain  areas in the summer time. Their
abundance is controlled by salinity, temperature,
and possible  unidentified factors,  as well as the
breaking up of their tissues by high wave activity in
the fall and winter.  They are a  major predator of
zooplankton, but  arc apparently  a  dead end in
terms of trophic dynamics; they are not known to
provide a major food source for any other group.
    The fish community of the Bay can be consid-
ered to be dominated by the Atlantic menhaden
which  as  an  adult consumes phytoplankton, and
during the larvae stages, consumes zooplankton. In
fresh waters, the menhaden are replaced by other
clupeid fishes. In the diagram of major Bay proces-
ses  (fig. 1), fishes are considered in two groups, At-
lantic menhaden and all others. This indicates the
importance of menhaden in grazing on the phyto-
plankton and in providing food resources for other
fishes.  Menhaden also support  a large commercial
fishery and are the main resource removed from the
Bay in terms of fishery yield. Removal of menhaden
is also removal of fish food;  menhaden feed other
populations of commercial and recreational fishes in
the Bay.
    The dominance of fishes by menhaden is pre-
sented as a simplifying perspective on the fish com-
munity. Some Bay scientists disagree with this view.
    There are approximately  200  fish species in
Chesapeake Bay. Figure 7 shows a generalized troph-
ic dynamics model of this diverse fauna (Hildebrand
and Schroeder 1928, Bigelow and Schroeder 1953,
Reintjes 1969,Markleand Grant  1970). Adult men-
haden and anchovies, and all fish larvae are primarily
plankton feeders. At various times of the year, how-
ever, the larvae of most of the fish species in the Bay
will be included among the  plankton. Some fishes
such as bluefish (Pomatomus saltatrix), weakfishes
(Cynoscion spp.),  and striped bass  are piscivorous.
Bluefish are particularly voracious predators, feed-
ing on the juveniles and adults  of all other fishes
found  in the Bay. There is a middle group  of omni-
vores,  such as eels and  Atlantic  croaker (Micropo-
gon undulatus), whose diets may include the plank-
tonic crustaceans  (copepods, amphipods, and my-
sids); benthic crustaceans such as crabs or shrimps;
bivalves; small forage fishes  such as killifishes (Cy-
prinodontidae);  mummichog (Fundulus heterocli-
tus);  silversides,  anchovies,  and  menhaden; and
benthic fauna from  marshes. They may also feed
on  the epifauna and epiphytes of  seagrass com-
munities.
    A diagram of food-web dynamics for Bay fishes
is very difficult to construct. To attempt accuracy
only produces a diagram which is too complex to
be  useful,  with  arrows from every box to every
other  box,  or with  dozens of  boxes. In devel-
oping figure 7, fishes were grouped by major food
habits. A  different set of simplifying assumptions
would produce a different diagram of fish  trophic
dynamics. Common names in the compartments in-
dicate  adults or late juveniles. Larval fishes are all
plankton  eaters. Production  of larvae contributes
to Bay zooplankton, which includes icthyoplank-
ton. Larvae in the Bay system  are  indicated by
broken arrows; spawning may occur in the Bay or
outside the Bay mouth, with larvae then  coming
into the Bay.
    As a broad overview, Chesapeake Bay supports
resident and migratory  fishes, with planktivorous,
omnivorous, and piscivorous feeding habits. Men-
haden, striped bass, and anchovies can be found in
the Bay year round even though they may not nec-
essarily spend their entire life cycle  there. Men-
haden are most  abundant in the spring and sum-
mer.  Other small forage fish  such as killifishes,
mummichog, silversides, hogchoker (Trinectes ma-
culatus] and gobies (Gobiidae) are found  in the
shallow waters, among seagrasses, or feeding out of
the marshes throughout the year. In the spring (ap-
proximately March),  adult fishes migrate into the
Bay from the Atlantic. The  anadromous alosines,
or shad and river herring, migrate to fresh water to
spawn, and  feed as they return to sea. White perch
(Morone americana)  and  striped  bass, which are
resident in  the Bay, migrate into  fresher water to
spawn. This wave  is followed by a migration of the
sciaenids,  or croaker, drum, weakfish,  and spot,
entering the Bay  to  feed after spawning in near-
shore shelf waters  of the Atlantic. Then their larvae
also enter the Bay. Bluefish spawn in the ocean and
enter the Bay only for feeding. Bluefish are  a major
fish predator  as well as an important recreational
fish. They can be  found up to the fresh water limits
in the Bay  system, although they are more abun-
dant in waters of  higher salinity. In the fall the mi-
gration process  is reversed as  many of the fishes
                                                10

-------
       NET
       PHYTOPLANKTON
             NET
             ZOOPLANKTON
             i
          MENHADEN
          LARVAL FISHES
          ANCHOVIES
          SHAD
        S ALEWIFE
         MARSH
         CONSUMERS
         KILLIFISHES
         SILVERSIDES
         MUMMICHOG
         GOBIES
         HOGCHOKER
                      t
            WHITE PERCH
            EELS
            WINTER FLOUNDER
            CATFISHES
          S- ATLANTIC CROAKER
S BLUEFISH
  STRIPED BASS
& WEAKFISHES
S SPOT
S DRUM
                              BENTHIC
                              CRUSTACEANS
                              POLYCHAETES
                              BIVALVES
                                                                                   BLUE
                                                                                   CRABS
         SEAGRASS
         EPIFAUNA
S MARCH TO NOVEMBER IN SYSTEM
                                              LARVAL FORMS
                                  Figure 7. Trophic dynamics of fish.
leave  the Bay for the ocean (Cronin and Mansueti
1971).
    Dominant fish  fauna of the  Bay, in  terms of
biomass  present  and food  consumed or material
flow, are  the  Atlantic  menhaden,  the  sciaenids,
and the bluefish (Merriner, pers. comm.).
    Fishes  feed on plankton and other fishes in the
water column, on bivalves,  mollusks, crustaceans,
polychaetes and  other  benthic organisms,  on the
epifauna and epiflora of seagrass communities, and
on  consumers in the marsh. Thus all portions of
the Bay  are important  for  the feeding ecology of
fishes. While  spatial variations are not indicated in
figures 2  and 7, they  may  be very  important in
terms of overall fish population dynamics because
of the need for suitable spawning areas. Different
areas  of the Bay are crucial for different fishes, but
every part  of the Bay serves as a spawning aiea for
some species.
    The bottle-nosed dolphin (Tursiops truncatus),
which consumes fishes,  is found in the Bay. Other
dolphins, porpoises, and the smaller toothed whales
are rarely recorded (Wass 1972).
                          Migratory waterbirds feed in open water. Diving
                      ducks such as scaup (Aythya  spp.) or canvasback
                      (Aythya valisineria]  feed primarily  on mollusks;
                      scoters (Melanitta  spp.), oldsquaw (Clangula hy-
                      cmalis),  goldeneyes (Bucephala  spp.), and ruddy
                      ducks (Oxyura jamaicensis] eat crustaceans. Loons
                      (Gavia spp.), mergansers, (Mergus spp.) and nesting
                      ospreys (Pandion haliaetus) feed on fish. Fin- and
                      shellfishes  are  consumed by gulls (Laridae) in the
                      winter and terns in the summer (R. Andrew,  pers.
                      comm.).

                      DETAILED BAY MODEL
                          To  integrate the wetlands, plankton  and nu-
                      trients, seagrass community, other benthos, and fish
                      trophic dynamics submodels (fig. 3 through 7) into
                      one model more detailed than  the system overview
                      in figure 2, the connectivity matrix of figure 8 was
                      constructed. This matrix model contains the  same
                      information as a combined box and arrow diagram,
                      but in a different format. With a little practice, the
                      matrix  format is easier to read than  the diagrams.
                          Compartments   in  the  connectivity  matrix
                                                11

-------


WETLANDS
WATER COLUMN
o
a;
z
GO

Z
S
z
o
z

S
O
tL
TO
1 PLANTS & EPIPHYTES
2 BENTHIC ALGAE
3 SMALL CONSUMERS
4 BIRDS
5 OTHER WILDLIFE
E DETRITUS
7 DECOMPOSERS
8 ORGANIC N, P, 8 C
9 INORGANIC N, P, & C
10 NET PHYTOPLANKTON
11 NANNOPLANKTON
2 NET ZOOPLANKTON
3 MICROZOOPLANKTON
4 CTENOPHORES & JELLYFISH
5 WATERBIRDS
6 MENHADEN, LARVAL FISH ETC
7 KILLIFISH, ETC
18 CROAKER. ETC
19 BLUEFISH. ETC
20 DETRITUS
21 BACTERIA. PROTOZOA
22 ORGANIC N, P, & C
23 INORGANIC N. P, & C
24 DISSOLVED OXYGEN
25 SEA GRASSES
26 EPIPHYTES
27 BENTHIC ALGAE
28 EPIFAUNA
29 INFAUNA
30 OYSTERS & CLAMS
31 BLUE CRABS
32 CRUSTACEANS. ETC
33 DETRITUS
34 MEIO- & MICROFAUNA
35 POLLUTANTS
36 RIVER DRAINAGE
37 LAND RUNOFF
38 ATMOSPHERE
39 ATLANTIC OCEAN
40 DEEP SEDIMENTS
41 MAN
WETLANDS
1 PLANTS 8 EPIPHYTES




•
•
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2 BENTHIC ALGAE



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3 SMALL CONSUMERS




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7 DECOMPOSERS



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9 INORGANIC N, P, 8 C

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z
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6 MENHADEN, LARVAL FISH, ETC


















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1 BACTERIA, PROTOZOA













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•









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•



•













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•

•




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28 EPIFAUNA
















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29 INFAUNA

















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30 OYSTERS 8 CLAMS








































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•
•
•




















•
32 CRUSTACEANS. ETC

















•
•
•










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•








33 DETRITUS






























•


•







34 MEIO- & MICROFAUNA































•










35 POLLUTANTS


•
•



































•

ENVIRONMENT
36 RIVER DRAINAGE





•

•
•










•

•












•






u.
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=3
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•










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   Figure 8. Connectivity matrix for a detailed conceptual model of the Chesapeake Bay ecosystem.
model are plants and epiphytes, benthic algae, small
consumers, birds,  other  wildlife, detritus, decom-
posers, and organic and  inorganic N, P, and  C for
wetlands; net phytoplankton, nannoplankton, net
zooplankton,  microzooplankton, ctenophores and
jellyfish, water birds, menhaden  and fish larvae,
killifishes, etc., croaker, etc., bluefish, etc., detritus,
bacteria  and protozoa, organic and inorganic N, P,
and C, and dissolved  oxygen for the water column;
seagrasses, epiphytes,  benthic algae, epifauna, ajid
infauna  for seagrass communities; and oysters and
clams, blue crabs, crustaceans,  etc.,  detritus, and
meio- and micro fauna for benthos; pollutants are
also part of the system. The environmental elements
are river drainage, land runoff, atmosphere, Atlantic
Ocean, deep sediments, and man.
   Each  compartment appears as a heading  for
one column in the matrix. Cells  of the matrix in-
dicate  material flow  between compartments. For
example, the element in row 12 (net zooplankton)
and column 10 (net phytoplankton) indicates flow
from  net  phytoplankton  to  net  zooplankton, or
grazing  on  phytoplankton by zooplankton. Pro-
cesses covered by  elements of the matrix include
grazing, predation, respiration and mineralization
of nutrients (from animals  to  inorganic N, P,
                                               12

-------
and C), heterotrophy (from organic N, P, and C to
plants),  migration  (between  fishes and  Atlantic
Ocean),  waterborne inputs of detritus, nutrients,
and  pollutants,  gas  exchange between water and
the atmosphere, chemical exchanges between  sedi-
ments and the water column, etc. Empty  cells rep-
resent exchanges that do not or are not known  to
occur.
   The  matrix  format shows interactions  within
and  between  the submodels  for  wetlands, water
column, and benthos. In a hierarchical study ap-
proach  to  the Bay,  with research focused on sub-
systems, connections  between  the system  under
study and other parts of the Bay ecosystem  should
also be addressed.
    For any compartment, elements in its row in-
dicate the inputs to  it, and elements in its column
list its losses. The diagram  does not show the rela-
tive magnitudes  of such inputs and losses.  Informa-
tion on magnitudes will  be useful in  assigning
priorities for research  and  environmental  con-
cerns.

          MODEL INTERPRETATION
WATER QUALITY AND ECOLOGICAL
CONCERNS
   The Chesapeake  Bay estuary is a very dynamic
environment  in  which organisms must continually
cope with changing conditions. Many researchers
are concerned that human activities such as increas-
ing sediment loads from land development; nutrient
loads from sewage disposal;  herbicides and pesti-
cides from agriculture; other toxic chemicals from
industrial effluents; refined  petroleum hydrocar-
bons from pleasure  boating,  commercial shipping,
or runoff from storm sewers (oil changes, etc.)  may
be altering the Bay environment too rapidly. If the
limits of organisms to adapt or adjust to environ-
mental  change are  exceeded, then the ecological
structure of the  system could change, with the loss
of desirable species and introduction or increase  of
undesirable ones. The Bay system is self-cleaning
to some extent,  but if its capacity to recover is ex-
ceeded, water quality will continue to  deteriorate.
   The shallow  waters of the Bay system  are most
likely to be affected by pollutants from river flow,
land runoff, or sewage and industrial effluents. The
sediment-trap  function of some shallow waters also
serves to keep pollutants  in  the  shallower areas.
But shallows are regions of the greatest biological
activity and concentration of biomass, and so are
most affected by pollutants. Pollutants are here de-
fined as materials introduced into the system, as a
result  of human activities, that are excessive  or
harmful to the system.
    Toxic  substances  that have entered the Bay
system  can be  found  in  the  water column,  the
sediments, and  the  biota.  Material-flow pathways
in the Bay model indicate  potential routes for bio-
accumulation of toxic materials and concentration
up the food chain.  Physical transport processes af-
fect the distribution of toxic  materials and their
availability  to  biota.  Chemical  processes in  the
sediments  and  water  column  also influence  the
availability of such materials.
    An example of  a system response to changing
environment is the  recent decline of seagrass com-
munities.  The present decrease  in abundance may
be within the range of normal variation for the sys-
tem; one  of the problems in evaluating observable
changes is the tremendous natural (i.e. undisturbed)
variability of the Chesapeake Bay system. It  is dif-
ficult to attribute the changes  in the seagrasses to
man-related causes  when large population fluctua-
tions have been  observed  historically. Within the
model framework, however, are pathways that may
contribute to the decline.  First, some researchers
argue that nutrient loading (from sewage inputs and
land runoff of fertilizers) has increased the phyto-
plankton standing crop, which has in turn increased
turbidity and reduced the light available for seagrass
growth. A second   hypothesis  is that  herbicides
from land runoff may be responsible for killing sea-
grasses.  Current research indicates that there  are
toxic concentrations of herbicides  in  the Bay (D.
Corrcll, pers. comm.).
    Another observed change is the great reduction
in oyster spatfall since Hurricane Agnes.  The  cause
is unknown. Model  processes and pathways that af-
fect plankton or benthic community conditions are
possibilities.
    Aspects of water quality affecting the ecology
of  the Bay include water  transparency, dissolved
oxygen concentration, chemical forms and concen-
trations of N and P, presence  and concentrations
of trace  metals  and toxic chemicals, rates of bio-
logical activities such as plant  growth or nutrient
regeneration, and abundance of desirable or unde-
sirable species. Each aspect is affected by biological,
                                                13

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chemical, and  physical processes within the Bay
system. In interpreting the model for  the ecosys-
tem, remember that where directions of flow are in-
dicated by arrows, the rates along those pathways
depend on the environmental  parameters  of tem-
perature,  light, nutrient  or pollutant concentra-
tions, mixing, water and sediment chemistry, trans-
port, and salinity and oxygen  distribution, as well
as on the abundance of the  donor and  receiver
compartments  for each flow.
    The fishery, estuarine habitats, waste treatment,
and  recreational  resources of  the Bay  system are
supported by its underlying ecology as indicated in
the conceptual models for the system.
    Fishes appear as larvae and  as adults in the con-
ceptual model. Production of fishes sufficient for a
commercial or recreational fishery requires suitable
habitat for  spawning, survival  of some  larvae
through  juvenile  stages to  adult  and recruitment
size, and availability offish food. For species spawn-
ing inside the Bay,  suitable unpolluted habitats are
required.  The  model  indicates fish food  require-
ments as well.  Nutrient concentrations  affect phy-
toplankton  and other plant growth, which in turn
provides food  for the zooplankton and epifaunal
and  infaunal benthic communities supporting for-
age fishes, which  are then fed upon by fish of com-
mercial importance. Many components of the food
web are necessary  to sustain  the fishery. Larval
fishes  in the plankton are especially vulnerable to
pollution or other  changes in  water quality. Even
though the  biomass represented  by larvae  is low,
they are essential to  the continuation of the fishery.
Fish habitats are more difficult  to  pull from the
model, since each species uses a  different part of the
Bay, and spatial relationships are not indicated.
    The  Bay  system  functions naturally in waste
treatment, as indicated by the  nutrient uptake and
regeneration cycles, the role of decomposers in the
water column  and benthos, and sediment  chem-
istry. Loops need emphasis, since cycles for nutrient
import, regeneration, and export involve the whole
food web, as well as chemical and physical processes.
Toxic substances that interfere  with organisms,
particularly plants  and decomposers, interrupt the
nutrient cycle  and hence the self-cleaning action of
the system.  The conceptual models indicate :he nu-
trient cycles and the presence  of pollutants as po-
tential rate modifiers.  Nutrient inputs from river
drainage and land runoff are also indicated in the
model. Sewage disposal, if input rates are too great,
may overload the system with nutrient concentra-
tions  higher  than biological turnover  rates  can
handle.
    The maintenance of habitat for fishes, birds, and
other wildlife is indicated indirectly by the concep-
tual models.  Food supply and the ecological mech-
anisms for its continuance are indicated. Species di-
versity, and the abundance of desirable species for
different habitats are indicated only indirectly. With
sufficient pollution stress, the structure of the food
web might change, so that the one presented in the
models no longer applies.
    To be suitable for recreational purposes,  water
should be clear, have a pleasant smell, be free of
weeds or stinging jellyfish; in short, be aesthetically
pleasing. It is the ecology of the whole system that
produces  these qualities; the entire system needs to
be healthy to maintain them. Plants, nutrients,  and
decomposers affect water chemistry. Biological as
well as physical processes  control the abundance of
weeds or jellyfish. Spawning  habitat,  acceptable
conditions for larval development, food availability,
and predation pressure (including commercial fish-
ing) influence recreational fisheries.
    It is the healthy function of the whole Bay eco-
system, not just  single  parts of it, that allows the
Bay to provide  abundant resources.

INDICATORS

    The  conceptual model  provides a perspective
on  the role of the following potential indicators of
water quality in the Chesapeake Bay  ecosystem.
    Seagrasses.  Seagrasses, present in some of  the
shallow areas of the Bay, occupy both sediment
and the water column; they can  respond to condi-
tions  in  both.  Abundance and distribution of  sea-
grass communities may reflect herbicide concentra-
tions, water transparency, and other  factors.
    Chlorophyll a. Chlorophyll a concentration is
proportional to phytoplankton standing stock, but
not turnover rate. It  can be measured throughout
the year in the upper few meters of the whole  sys-
tem for comparison of conditions over  space  and
time.   It  is  related   to  nutrient abundance  and
possibly  with herbicides or other toxic pollutants.
Dissolved Oxygen. Dissolved oxygen distributions
are affected  by biological processes (increased by
plant  production, decreased by animal respiration
and decomposition)  and physical ones  (exchange
with the atmosphere, mixing and vertical stratifica-
                                                 14

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tion of the water column). It can be measured at
all  depths in the  system,  and provides another
parameter for comparison in space and time.
    Transparency. Water transparency is easily mea-
sured by  Sccchi disc. It  indicates  both sediment
loading and biological contributions to turbidity.
    Blue crabs. Because blue crabs require different
habitats during various parts of their life cycle, from
the water at the Bay mouth to the tributaries, they
can integrate information for the whole Bay sys-
tem. Abundance may be  affected by climate and
fishing pressure, as  well as water quality, and there
may be wide natural variations in abundance. Con-
sideration of additional system information will be
necessary  to interpret changes in abundance.
    Larval forms. Larval forms are potentially good
indicators  of pollution  levels  because larvae  are
much  more  sensitive  to  pollutants  than adults.
Forms that eventually settle on the bottom, such
as oyster spat, are the easiest to measure.
    Pollutant concentrations in tissues.  Concentra-
tions  of pollutants in the  tissues  of commercial
fishes and shellfishes can provide indications of bio-
accumulation in the  benthic and pelagic environ-
ments. Concentrations in forage  fishes  and plank-
ton, while a little more difficult to  analyze, would
provide earlier indications of dangerous accumula-
tions that could eventually be passed to commercial
species.

RESEARCH NEEDS
    One problem in assessing the impact of  man's
activities on the Bay as a system is lack of adequate
information  on  how  the  Bay system operates, on
both  short-term and  long-term  time  scales. Short-
term  information requirements involve  such mat-
ters as feeding  habits, spawning habits, relation-
ships  of  species  to  toxic  substances,  migration
patterns,  fishing patterns, and so forth. The long-
term  natural variation in population sizes is more
difficult to handle, but the information is impor-
tant. Since the Bay is a very dynamic system,  it  is
difficult  to  distinguish  between  the  biological
responses to human activities and the undisturbed
or "normal" changes which are long-term cyclic or
successional  phenomena due to the nature of the
Bay as an estuary. Spatial scales are also important.
Most studies are quite localized, and extrapolation
of  their results over the  whole Bay, a  very large
system, presents serious problems in interpretation
and impact assessment.
   Thus one important aspect of research in the
Bay  is large-scale,  long-term  work.  Parameters
which  will provide effective monitoring of water
quality and ecosystem conditions need to be identi-
fied. Some possible indicators have been discussed.
   There is also a need for ecosystem-level studies
in the Bay.  While a great  deal of information  is
available on  Bay  ecology, it  is  still difficult  to
answer definitively such questions as (1) the rela-
tive impact of marsh  detritus, upland detritus, sea-
grass production, and phytoplankton production in
driving the system; (2) the relative importance of
physical processes such as climate, temperature, ice
regime, or sediment loading; (3) the importance of
biological processes such  as reproduction and pre-
dation; or of human  impact such  as the effects of
toxic  substances  on  commercially important spe-
cies in the Bay, or on populations which are impor-
tant in their  food  chains;  or (4) the relative impor-
tance of water column and benthic processes in re-
generation  of nutrients, which are crucial to the
overall productivity of the system. These questions
are pertinent to management decisions as  to habi-
tat that must be protected, processes to be moni-
tored,  and  the important aspects  of water quality
and their long-term  economic effects. Answering
these  questions may be an ambitious undertaking,
but coordination among  investigators would  con-
tribute toward providing answers.
   In  the  conceptual model  for the Chesapeake
Bay  ecosystem,  (figs. 1 through 8), about 40 key
system components  are identified by the compart-
ments  or boxes of the diagrams. Their interactions
(arrows)  and interrelationships are indicated.  Phy-
sical and chemical processes that affect the biology
of the system are identified. The relationships of
several system processes to water quality have  been
discussed. This conceptualization of the system can
be debated,  compartments  redefined, and new in-
teractions included. As understanding of Bay  ecol-
ogy increases, the diagrams will be modified. The
conceptualization   reflects  current   hypotheses
about Bay ecology.
    Even at this simple level of resolution, the rela-
tive  magnitudes  (or  importance)  of the various
flows on a Bay-wide, annual basis are not known.
Compartment sizes or biomass measured in carbon
units can be  estimated easily for only a few of the
compartments. One  approach  to research about
                                                15

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water quality of the Bay is to take this or a similar
general conceptualization of the system and esti-
mate magnitudes (at least relative magnitudes) of
the  flows. It will  not be easy. An example of the
kind of information and calculations required  is
given in appendix B, a rough attempt to quantify
carbon fixed in the Bay system by marsh plants,
seagrasses,  and  phytoplankton,  and to compare
that quantity  to carbon  imported by rivers. Rela-
tive flow  information  can be useful for manage-
ment. The largest inputs to primary production are
most important to  protect. The largest point or
nonpoint sources of pollutants are the most impor-
tant  to  regulate. The nutrient regeneration path-
ways having the highest turnover  rate should  be
measured  accurately so  that the waste-treatment
capacity of  the system can be  calculated. The eco-
system context provides  a perspective on the rela-
tive importance of various management  problems,
if quantitative information can be obtained.
    In  a  hierarchical approach  to the Bay  ecosys-
tem,  such  as  currently  taken,  subsystems are
studied.  Practicality dictates some  subdivision of
the ecosystem for study purposes, and a communi-
ty approach (seagrasses,  plankton,  fishes,  etc.) is
workable.  It is important to include information
about exchanges between the particular communi-
ty under study and the rest of the system (seagrass
export  of detrital  carbon, consumption  of zoo-
plankton  by fishes, proportions of phytoplankton
production consumed by various grazers) as well as
interactions within  the subsystem itself. Quantita-
tive  information, with  seasonal and spatial varia-
tions or year to year variations, is most useful.

    Whenever quantitative  estimates of  any  of  the
model compartments or flows are made for any part
of the Bay system, an attempt should also be made
to extrapolate the estimates to the whole Bay for a
year. If such an extrapolation cannot be made,  the
information  necessary  to  complete  it  should be
identified. If an extrapolation  is made, the underly-
ing assumptions on spatial  and temporal variations
should be defined.
    The  attempt  to quantify standing stocks and
annual total  flows for the conceptualized Bay sys-
tem may eventually lead to development of a simu-
lation  of Bay ecology. In the meantime,  it provides
a meana  for  examining a  variety  of assumptions
about  dynamics  of subsystems in  the  context  of
the whole ecosystem.
    A list of specific research  questions  of concern
to scientists interviewed for this project is presented
in appendix C.
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    munities. Trans. Am. Fish Soc. 105:514-519.

Adams, S. M. 1976b. The ecology of eelgrass, Zostera mari-
    na (L.), fish communities I. Structural analysis. J. Exp.
    Mar.  Biol. Ecol. 22:292.

Adams, S. M. 1976c. The ecology of eelgrass, Zostera ma-
    rina(L.) fish communities II. Functional analysis. J.
    Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol. 22:292-311.

Axelrad,  D. M. 1974. Nutrient flux through the salt marsh
    ecosystem. Ph. D. Dissertation. William and Mary Uni-
    versity. 134 pp.

Bigelow,  H. B., and W. C. Schroeder. 1953. Fishes of  the
    Gulf of Maine. U.S. Fish and Wildl. Serv., Fish. Bull.  53.
    577pp.

Biggs,  R. B., and D. A. Flemer. 1972. The flux of paniculate
    carbon in an estuary. Mar. Biol. 12:11-17.
Boesch, D. F., M. L. Wass, and R. W. Virnstein. 1976. The
    dynamics of estuarine benthic communities. Pages 177-
    196 in  L. E. Cronin, ed. Estuarine processes. Vol. I.
    Academic Press, New York.
Cronin, L. E., and A. J. Mansueti. 1971. The biology of an
    estuary. Pages 14-39 in A symposium on the biological
    significance of estuaries. Sport Fishing Institute, Wash-
    ington, D.C.

Dale, M. B.  1970. Systems analysis and ecology. Ecol. 51:
    1-16.
Green, K. A. 1975.  A simulation of the pelagic ecosystem
    of the Ross Sea, Antarctica: a time varying compart-
    mental model. Ph. D. Dissertation. Texas A&M Univer-
    sity. 187 pp.

Haefner, P. A., Jr. 1971. Avoidance of anoxic conditions by
    sand shrimp, Crangon septemspinosa Say. Chesapeake
    Sci.  12:50-51.
                                                  16

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Heinle, D. R., andD. A. Flemer. 1975. Carbon requirements
    of a population of the estuarine copepod Eurytemora
    affinis. Mar. Biol. 31:235-247.

Heinle, D. R., and D. A.  Flemer.  1976. Flows of materials
    between poorly  flooded tidal marshes and an estuary.
    Mar. Biol. 35:359-373.

Heinle, D. R., D. A. Flemer, I. F. Ustach, and R. A. Murtagh.
    1976.  Contributions  of tidaly wetlands  to  estuarine
    food chains. University  of Maryland  Water Resources
    Research Center TR 29.  34 pp.

Hildebrand,  S. F., and W. C.  Schroeder. 1928. Fishes of the
    Chesapeake  Bay. Bull. U.S. Bur. Fish. 43. 388 pp.

King, C. F,., and G. J. Paulick.  1967. Dynamic models and
    the simulation of ecological systems. J. Theor. Biol. 16:
    251-267.

Lane, P., and  R. Levins.  1977. The dynamics of aquatic
    systems. 2.  The effects  of  nutrient  enrichment on
    model  plankton  communities.   Limnol.  Oceanogr.
    22:454-471.

Larsen, P. F. 1974. Quantitative studies of the macrofauna
    associated  with  the mesohaline  oyster  reefs of  the
    James  River, Virginia. Ph.D.  Dissertation. William and
    Mary University. 182 pp.

Levins, R. 1966. The  strategy of model building in popula-
    tion biology. Am. Scient. 54:421-431.

Lippson, A.  I.  1973. The Chesapeake Bay in Maryland:  An
    atlas of natural resources. Johns Hopkins  University
    Press, Baltimore. 54 pp.

Mann, K. H.   1973.   Seaweeds:  their  productivity  and
    strategy for growth. Science 182:975-981.

Markle, D. F.,  and G. C. Grant. 1970. The summer food
    habits   of  young-of-the-year  striped  bass  in  three
    Virginia rivers. Chesapeake Sci. 11:50-54.

Marsh, G. A. 1970. A seasonal study of Zostera epibiota in
    the York River,  Virginia.  Ph.D.  Dissertation. William
    and Mary University. 156 pp.

Marsh, G. A. 1973. The  Zostera  epifaunal community in
    the York River, Virginia. Chesapeake Sci. 14:87-97.

Marsh, G. A. 1976. Ecology  of the gastropod epifauna of
    eelgrass in a Virginia estuary. Chesapeake  Sci. 17:182-
    187.

Orth, R. J.   1973. Benthic  infauna of  eelgrass,  Zostera
    marina, beds. Chesapeake Sci. 14:258-269.
Orth, R. J. 1975. Destruction of eelgrass, Zostera marina,
    by  the cownose ray, Rhinoptera bonasus, in the Chesa-
    peake Bay. Chesapeake Sci. 16:205-208.

Pritchard, D. W.  1968.  Chemistry  and  physical  ocean-
    ography of the bay. Pages 49-74 in Proceedings of the
    Governor's Conference  on Chesapeake  Bay. State of
    Maryland, Annapolis.

Reintjes.J. W.  1969. Synopsis of biological data on the
    Atlantic menhaden, Brevoortia tyrannus. FAO Species
    Synopsis 42. USDI Circular 230.
Silberhorn, G. M.,   G. M. Dawes,   and   T. A. Barnard, Jr.
    1974. Coastal wetlands of Virginia.  Interim report 3.
    Virginia  Institute of Marine  Science special report in
    applied marine science and ocean engineering 46.
Taft.J.  L., and W.R.Taylor. 1976.  Phosphorus distribu-
    tion in the  Chesapeake Bay. Chesapeake Sci. 17:67-73.

Teal.J. J. 1962. Energy flow in the salt marsh ecosystem of
    Georgia. Ecology 43:614-624.

Thayer, G. W.,  S.M.Adams, and   M. W. LaCroix.  1975.
    Structural  and functional aspects of a recently estab-
    lished  Zostera  marina   community.  Pages 518-540
    in  L. E. Cronin,  ed. Estuarine research. Vol. I.  Aca-
    demic Press, New York.
Van Valkenburg, S. D.,  and  D. A. Flemer. 1974. The distri-
    bution  and productivity of  nannoplankton in a tem-
    perate  estuarine  area.  Estuarine  Coastal Mar.  Sci.
    2:311-322.
Virnstein, R. W. 1976. The effects of predation by epiben-
    thic crabs and fishes on  benthic infauna in Chesapeake
    Bay.  Ph.D. Dissertation. William and Mary University.
    87pp.
Walsh, J. J.  1975. Utility of systems models: a considera-
    tion of some possible feedback  loops of the Peruvian
    upwelling ecosystem. Pages  617-632 in  L. E. Cronin,
    ed.  Estuarine research.  Vol. I.  Academic  Press,  New
    York.
Wass, M. L.  and T.D.Wright. 1969. Coastal wetlands of
    Virginia. Interim report. Virginia Institute of Marine
    Science special report in applied marine science and
    ocean engineering 10.
Wass, M. L. 1972. A checklist of the  biota of lower Chesa-
    peake Bay. Virginia Institute of  Marine Science special
    scientific report 65. 290 pp.
Zieman,J. C. 1975. Quantitative and dynamic aspects of
    the ecology of  turtle grass, Thalassia testudinum. Pages
    541-562 in L. E. Cronin, ed. Estuarine research. Vol. I.
    Academic Press, New York.
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                                           APPENDIX A

                             QUESTIONS ASKED OF BAY SCIENTISTS


 1.  What is the relative importance  of macrophytes and phytoplankton  in total  primary production?

 2.  What proportion of primary production  goes  through the herbivore food chain, and what pro-
    portion through detritus?

 3.  What is the role of detrital feeding in the ecosystem?

 4.  Why is the estuary productive?

 5.  What are critical pollution problems, and impacts?

 6.  What are the main stresses on living resources (harvest, habitat, etc.)?

 7.  What research is needed on the  Bay system?

 8.  What is the role of jellyfish and ctenophores in the system?

 9.  How do seasonal variations in salinity, temperature,  or other physical parameters affect the biology of
    the system?

10.  How do shallow areas compare with the deeper open bay for primary and secondary productivity, bio-
    logical activity, resource availability, pollution stress?

11.  What are the most important inputs and outputs for each compartment? What are turnover rates?

12.  What are the relative importance of physical and biological controls on population sizes and energy and
    carbon flow rates?

13.  What controls biological population sizes?

14.  Identify critical habitat types. What are the requirements for their maintenance?

15.  What are inputs to and outputs from the system by migratory populations?

16.  How does Bay ecology vary spatially? (e.g., shallows vs. deeper waters, upper vs. lower Bay.)

17.  What are  food resources, competitors, predators, and parasites  for commercially harvested species?

18.  What are  the greatest threats to commercial anSi sport fisheries,  habitats, and aesthetic values of the
    Bay?

19.  What are the greatest threats to water quality?


                                                   18

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20.  What are potential indicators of water quality, ecosystem health?

21.  What has been the impact of power plants on tributaries?

22.  What is the impact of pesticides and herbicides on the Bay?

23.  What is the impact of commercial shipping, other sources of petroleum hydrocarbons?

24.  Arc relevant studies on particular questions available from other estuaries?

25.  What processes are most important  to nutrient regeneration?

26.  Are C, N, and P flows all in the same direction?

27.  What is the significance of migratory and resident birds on biological populations, nutrient and carbon
     flow?

28.  What historical changes can be perceived in the Bay? Last 10 years? Last 300 years?
                                                   19

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                                      APPENDIX B

                PRELIMINARY PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY CALCULATIONS


Carbon input calculations here are intended as an example of information required to quantify the
conceptual Bay model. Results are not considered to be realistic.

Annual marsh carbon production

            300,OOOA(4000m2/A) (337.5g/m2/yr)=4X10ng/yr=400,000 ton/yr

Marsh area and productivity from  discussion with R. Wetzel.

Seagrass annual production

           21,OOOA(4,OOOm2/A) (l,750g/m2/yr)=1.47X1011g/yr=147,000 ton/yr

Productivity estimate from Mann  (1973) for Nova Scotia. Acreage estimate, roughly 7,000 acres for
the western  shore at present (R. Orth, reluctant estimate), and assuming 14,000 acres for eastern
shore.

Phytoplankton annual production

Estimated in situ carbon production  for the Maryland  portion of the Bay, 282,000 ton/yr (Biggs
and Flemer  1972). Assuming  the same rate and similar area  for the Virginia portion,  total phyto-
plankton carbon production is roughly 600,000 ton/yr.

River input of carbon

POC (participate organic  carbon) input from the  Susquehanna River, which is 85 percent of river
flow into the Bay, is 84,000 ton/yr (Biggs and Flemer 1972).  Assuming the same input rate for other
rivers, total river carbon input is 100,000 ton/yr.

Summary

Carbon sources for the Bay system, and annual totals over the whole Bay:

            Phytoplankton	600,000 ton/yr.
            Marshes	400,000 ton/yr.
            Seagrasses	147,000 ton/yr.
            River input	100,000 ton/yr.
                                          20

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                                        APPENDIX C

                 RESEARCH PROBLEMS IDENTIFIED BY BAY SCIENTISTS


 1.  Relate commercial harvest of menhaden to that of other species.

 2.  What is the sustainable yield for Bay fisheries, and where should it be cropped?

 3. More information is  needed about fish food  species,  Atlantic menhaden, anchovies, penaeid
    shrimp, mysids.

 4.  What eats hogchokers?

 5.  What are the food web pathways for phytoplankton production if zooplankton only consume
     10% of daily net production?

 6.  What is the Bay nutrient budget, including benthic regeneration?

 7.  How are changes in nutrient inputs and primary productivity transferred up the food chain?

 8.  What are food chain consequence of species changes in phytoplankton?

 9.  What will happen to the ecosystem if nutrient loading is (is not) cleaned up?

10.  What is the N vs. P limitation for primary production—seasonal and spatial variations?

11.  What are the effects of land-use policies on the Bay?

12.  What are the nutrient  uptake kinetics in the estuary, or how can productivity be kept down?

13.  What is the abundance and distribution of benthic organisms and plankton?

14.  Better fisheries monitoring data is needed, both of commercial and recreational catch.

15.  What are the synergistic effects of pollutants?

16.  Large-scale regional studies are needed rather than very localized studies in the Bay.

17. What is the impact of agricultural pesticides and herbicides?

18.  Generally more quantitative work is needed.

19. What are the impacts of PCBs, toxins?
                                              21

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20,  How do benthos serve as indicators of Bay health?

21.  What is natural variability in Bay populations vs. impacts of human activities?

22.  More studies are needed about the Bay edges, where biological activity and control are.

23.  What is the role of mudflats in Bay ecology?

24.  Mass balance studies of marsh/estuary exchanges arc needed.

25.  Develop a conceptual model to focus on systems level information.

26.  What is the value of benthos as support for other resources, and as a pollution reservoir?

27.  Emphasize control of populations and processes.

28.  What are the relative values of different bottom types?

29.  Information is needed on utilization of shallows, where it isn't deep enough for trawl samples.

30.  What eats bacteria?

31.  Studies of anaerobic processes and nutrient regeneration  are needed.

32.  What  are the  chemical and  biological interactions  between  water column  and benthos  and
     sediments?

33.  Recent  and widely distributed chemical data is needed.

34.  More coordination among institutes and research programs is needed.

35.  Research  the  basic biology  of  eelgrass—physical, chemical  environment,  recruitment,  cul-
     turing.

36.  What is the importance of seagrasses to the Bay system—protection and food for shrimp,
     crabs, fish, etc.

37.  Bioassay the effects of pollutants and herbicides.

38.  What has caused the decline in setting of oysters and other larvae?

39.  What are the environmental cues for fish migration?

40.  Quantitative information for food webs is needed.
                                                22

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