EPA450/4-84-990
                                                                        PROTECTION
                                                                          AGENCY


                            ESTIMATION OF THE PUBLIC  HEALTH            DALLAS, TEXAS


                       RISK FROM EXPOSURE TO GASOLINE  VAPOR VIA THE        LIBRARY

                               GASOLINE MARKETING SYSTEM
                                     A Staff Paper
                                  Submitted for Review
                              to the Science Advisory Board
                                         by the

                      Office of Health and Environmental  Assessment
                      Office of Air Quality Planning  and Standards
                            Environmental Protection  Agency
                                       June 1984

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

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                                              2-7
                                              2-7
                                              2-10

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                                              3-1
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                                              3-2
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                                              4-1

                                              4-1
                                              4-2
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                                              4-4
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                                              4-7

                                              5-1

                                              5-1
                                              5-1
                                              5-2

                                              5-16

                                              5-18

                                              5-25
SECTION
TITLE OF SECTION

1.0 INTRODUCTION
2.0 BACKGROUND
2.1
2.1.1
2.1.2
2.1.3
2.1.3.1
2.1.3.2
2.1.3.3
2.2
3.0 DECISIONS
3.1
3.2
3.2.1
3.2.2
3.2.2.1
3.2.2.2

4.0 ANALYSIS
4.1
4.1.1
4.1.1.1
4.1.1.2
4.1.1.3
4.1.1.4
4.1.2
4.1.2.1
4.1.2.2
The Gasoline Marketing Industry
Industry Structure
Emission Sources
Options for Emission Control
Stage I Controls
Stage II Controls
Onboard Controls
Regulatory History
FACING EPA
Health Basis for Regulation
Control Strategy Decisions
Actions to Reduce Ozone Precursors












Actions to Reduce Risks from Gasoline Vapor Exposure
Regulation of Automobile Refueling
Regulation of Bulk Terminals, Bulk Plants, and
Stations
OF THE GASOLINE MARKETING INDUSTRY
Exposure/Risk Analysis
Selection of Suspect Agents for Evaluation
Benzene
Unleaded Gasoline
Ethyl ene Dichloride (EDO
Ethyl en e Di bromide (EDB)

Service








Assessment of Exposure and Estimated Cancer Incidence
Location and Distribution of Plants
Self-Service Exposure


5.0 EVALUATION OF THE CARCINOGENICITY OF UNLEADED GASOLINE
5.1
5.2
5.2.1 '

5.2.2

5.2.3

5.2.4

Introduction
Animal Studies
Lifetime Inhalation Bioassay in Rats and Mice
(American Petroleum Institute 1983)
90-Day Inhalation Exposure Study with Gasoline
Vapor in Rats and Monkeys (MacFarland 1983)






Renal Toxicity of Gasoline and Related Petroleum
Naphtha in Male Rats (Haider et al . 1983)
Renal Effects of Decalin in General Laboratory
Mammalian Species (Alden et al . 1983)



           ii

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                            TABLE OF CONTENTS

SECTION                     TITLE OF SECTION                            PAGE
    5.2.5        Toxicity of Synthetic  Fuels  and  Mixed                   5-26
                   Distillates in Laboratory  Animals
                   (MacNaughton and Uddin 1983)
    5.2.5.1      Studies with RJ-5 Synthetic  Fuel                        5-26
    5.2.5.2      Studies with JP-10 Synthetic Fuel                       5-28
    5.2.5.3      Studies with JP-4 Mixed Distillate                     5-29
    5.2.5.4      Studies with JP-5                                      5-30
    5.2.6        Influence of Benzene on the  Renal  Carcinogenic          5-31
                   Effects of Unleaded  Gasoline Vapor in Male  Rats
    5.2.7        Conclusions of the UAREP Report  (1983) on               5-33
                   Toxicological  Interpretation of
                   Hydrocarbon-induced  Kidney Lesions
    5.2.7.1      Assessment of the API  Chronic Inhalation Study          5-33
                   with Unleaded Gasoline Vapor in  Rats and Mice
    5.2.7.2      Interpretation of the  Toxicological Carcinogenic        5-35
                   Findings in the Carcinogenicity  Study with
                   Unleaded Gasoline by UAREP
    5.2.7.3      Review of Human Kidney Lesions                          5-36
    5.2.7.4      Species and Sex Comparison of the  Kidney                5-38
    5.2.7.5      Rodent Kidneys and Other Hydrocarbons                   5-39
    5.2.7.6      Old-Rat Nephropathy                                    5-40
    5.2.7.7      Comparative Nephrotoxicity and Nephrocarcinogenicity    5-41
    5.2.7.8      Significance to Humans of the Chronic  Inhalation        5-42
                   Study with Unleaded  Gasoline Vapor in Rats  and Mice
    5.2.8        Summary of Animal  Studies                              5-43
    5.3          Epedemiologic Studies  of Petroleum Workers              5-44
    5.3.1        Thomas et al. (1980)                                    5-44
    5.3.2        Thomas et al. (1982)                                    5-47
    5.3.3        Rushton and Alderson (1982)                             5-48
    5.3.4        Summary of Epidemiologic Studies                        5-50
    5.4          Quantitative Risk Estimation                           5-51
    5.4.1        Procedures for the Determination of Unit Risk          5-54
    5.4.1.1      Low-Dose Extrapolation Model                            5-54
    5.4.1.2      Selection of Data                                      5-56
    5.4.1.3      Calculation of Human Equivalent  Dosages                 5-57
    5.4.1.3.1    Oral                                                    5-58
    5.4.1.3.2    Inhalation                                             5-60
    5.4.1.3.2.1   Case 1                                                 5-60
    5.4.1.3.2.2   Case 2                                                 5-61
    5.4.1.4      Calculation of the Unit Risk from  Animal                5-62
                   Studi es
    5.4.1.4.1    Adjustments for Less Than Lifespan                     5-63
                   Duration of Experiment
    5.4.2        Lifetime Risk Estimates                                5-63
    5.4.2.1      Data Available for Risk Estimation                     5-63
    5.4.2.2      Choice of Low-Dose Extrapolation Models                 5-64
    5.4.2.3      Calculation of Unit Risk (Risk at  1 ppm)                5-66
    5.4.2.4      Comparison of Risk Estimates by  Different               5-67
                   Low-Dose Extrapolation Models
                                      m

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SECTION
         TABLE OF CONTENTS

         TITLE OF SECTION
PAGE
     5.4.2.5       Uncertainties of Quantitative Risk
                     Assessment
     5.4.2.5.1     Uncertainties Associated with Potency
                     Estimates
     5.4.2.5.2     Uncertainties Associated with the Use  of
                     Potency Estimates to Predict Individual
                     Risks in Real-Life Exposure Patterns
     5.4.2.6       Cancer Risk Attributable to Benzene
                      Content in Gasoline Vapor
     5.4.3         Summary of Quantitative Risk Estimation
     5.5           Summary and Conclusions
     5.5.1         Summary
     5.5.1.1       Qualitative
     5.5.1.1.1     Animal  Studies
     5.5.1.1.2     Epidemiologic Studies
     5.5.1.2       Quantitative
     5.5.2         Conclusions

6.0  ISSUES TO BE ADDRESSED BY THE SCIENCE ADVISORY  BOARD
     6.1
     6.2

APPENDICES
Quality of Evidence
Quantitative Risk Assessment
      Appendix A,  API  Inhalation Study
      Appendix B,  Comparison Among Different Extrapolation  Models
      Appendix C,  Carcinogenic Potency of Benzene
      Appendix D,  References
                                                     5-71

                                                     5-71

                                                     5-72


                                                     5-73

                                                     5-77
                                                     5-77
                                                     5-77
                                                     5-77
                                                     5-77
                                                     5-79
                                                     5-80
                                                     5-81
6-1
6-2
                                                     A-l
                                                     B-l
                                                     C-l
                                                     D-l

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                                 LIST OF  TABLES

TABLE                             TABLE TITLE                      PAGE

2-1           Estimated Gasoline Vapor Emissions  in  1982             2-9

4-1           Unit Risk Factor Summary                              4-3

4-2           Lifetime Exposure Estimates for  Emission  Sources       4-6
                Considered in Risk Analysis

5-1           Physicochemical  Characteristics  of  the Test            5-3
                Materi al

5-2           Formulation of Unleaded Gasoline                      5-4

5-3           Inhalation Exposure Concentrations  for a               5-5
                Carcinogenicity Study on  Unleaded Gasoline
                Vapor in Fischer 344 Rats and  B6C3F1 Mice

5-4           Body Weight Trends in a Carcinogenicity Study of       5-7
                Unleaded Gasoline Vapor in Fischer 344  Rats

5-5           Body Weight Trends in a Carcinogenicity Study of       5-8
                Unleaded Gasoline Vapor in B6C3F1 Mice

5-6           Effect of Chronic Exposure  of  Unleaded Gasoline        5-9
                Vapor on Kidney Weights and  Kidney/Body Weight
                Ratios in Male Fischer 344 Rats

5-7           Kidney Tumor Incidence in Male Fischer 344 Rats        5-12
                from Chronic Exposure to  Unleaded Gasoline Vapor

5-8           Individual  Data on Mineralization of the  Renal         5-13
                Pelvis and Kidney Tumors  in  Male  and Female
                Fischer 344 Rats Exposed  to  Unleaded Gasoline
                Vapor

5-9           Hepatocellular Tumor Incidence in Female  B6C3F1        5-15
                Mice from Chronic Exposure to  Unleaded  Gasoline
                Vapor

5-10          Design of the 90-Day Inhalation  Exposure  Study         5-17

5-11          Summary of the Composition  and Boiling Ranges of       5-19
                the Test Materials

5-12          Nephrotoxic Effects in Rats Following  a 21-Day         5-20
                Inhalation Exposure to Light Straight-Run
                Naphtha

5-13          Nephrotoxic Effects in Rats Following  a 21-Day         5-2D
                Inhalation Exposure to Light Catalytic  Cracked
                Naphtha

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                                 LIST OF  TABLES

TABLE                             TABLE TITLE                      PAGE
5-14          Nephrotoxic Effects in Rats Followina  a  21-Day        5-21
                Inhalation Exposure to Light Catalytic Reformed
                Naphtha

5-15          Nephrotoxic Effects in Rats Following  a  21-Day        5-21
                Inhalation Exposure to Heavy Catalytic Reformed
                Naphtha

5-16          Nephrotoxic Effects in Rats Following  a  21-Day        5-22
                Inhalation Exposure to Full-Range Alkylate
                Naphtha

5-17          Nephrotoxic Effects in Male Rats  Following  a          5-22
                21-Day Inhalation Exposure to Full-Range
                Naphtha

5-18          Nephrotoxic Effects in Rats Following  a  21-Day        5-23
                Inhalation Exposure to Polymerization  Naphtha

5-19          Nephrotoxic Effects in Rats Following  a  21-Day        5-23
                Inhalation Exposure to an Unleaded Gasoline
                Blend

5-20          Nephrotoxic Effects in Rats Following  a  90-Day        5-24
                Inhalation Exposure to an Unleaded Gasoline
                Blend

5-21          Biological  Testing of Decalin,  a  Prototype            5-25
                Volatile Hydrocarbon

5-22          Description of Fuel  Inhalation Exposures             5-27

5-23          Incidence Rates of Total  Kidney Tumors in Male        5-65
                Fischer 344 Rats Exposed  to  Unleaded Gasoline
                Vapor

5-24          Incidence Rates of Hepatocellular Tumors in          5-65
                Female Mice (B6C3F1) Exposed to Gasoline  Vapor

5-25          Estimates of Carcinogenic Potency Due  to Exposure     5-67
                to 1 ppm of Unleaded Gasoline Vapor

5-26          95% Upper Bound (and Maximum Likelihood)             5-68
                Estimation of Lifetime Risk  at  Various
                Dose Levels, Using Three  Different Low-Dose
                Extrapolation Models
                                       vi

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                                 LIST OF  TABLES

TABLE                             TABLE TITLE                      PAGE


5-27          Estimates of Carcinogenic Potency  of Benzene         5-74
                (Risk at 1 ppm)

  1           Specifications of  Unleaded  Motor Gasoline            A-27

  2           Design of Study                                     A-28

  3           Chromatograph of Operating  Conditions                A-29

  4           Termination Times  for Animal  Groups                  A-30

  5           Tissues Selected for Weighing                       A-31

  6           Tissues Prepared for Microscopic Examination         A-32

  7           Primary Renal  Neoplasms in  Rats                      A-33

  1A          Formulation of Unleaded Gasoline                     A-38

  2A          Specifications of  Light Catalytic  Cracked Naptha     A-39

  3A          Specifications of  Heavy Catalytic  Cracked Naptha     A-40

  4A          Specifications of  Light Catalytic  Reformed Naptha    A-41

  5A          Specifications of  Light Alkylate Naptha              A-42

  6A          Detailed Composition of Gasoline                     A-43

  7A          Identification of  Major Contributors                 A-44

B-l           Maximum Likelihood Estimates  of the Parameters       B-2
                for the Three Extrapolation Models Based on
                Three Data Sets  in API Unleaded  Gasoline Study

C-l           Incidence of Zymbal  Gland Carcinomas in Female       C-l
                Sprague-Dawley Rats Administered Benzene by
                Gavage

C-2           Incidence of Hematopoietic  Neoplasma in C57BL        C-3
                Male Mice Exposed by Inhalation

C-3           Incidence of Zymbal  Gland Carcinomas in Male         C-3
                Rats (F344)  Administered  Benzene by Gavage

C-4           Incidence of Zymbal  Gland Carcinomas in Female       C-4
                Rats (F344)  Administered  Benzene by Gavage


                                      vii

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                                LIST  OF  FIGURES

FIGURE                            FIGURE TITLE                         PAGE

2-1                  Gasoline Marketing  in  the U.S.                     2-2

2-2                  Bulk Plant Vapor Balance System                    2-5

2-3                  Service Station  Vapor  Balance System               2-6

2-4                  Onboard Controls                                  2-8

  1                  Schematic Diagram of Vapor Generation and          A-34
                       Exposure System

  2                  Histologic Appearance  of a Renal Casrcinoma        A-35
                       Composed of Epithelial cells arranged in a
                       Tubulo-acinar  Pattern.
                                      vin

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1.0  INTRODUCTION

     The Environmental  Protection  Agency  is  conducting  a  regulatory  analysis

of the gasoline marketing system to  determine whether the emissions  of

gasoline vapor or specific constituents of gasoline  vapor warrant  control

to protect public health.  EPA's analysis also evaluates  available options for

the control  of emissions from the gasoline marketing system, and the impacts

of such controls.  The background  for the gasoline marketing industry and

the regulatory history of emission standards that currently control  gasoline

vapor emissions are discussed in Section  2 of this paper.  The decisions

facing the Agency and the analytical  approach used in this analysis  are

described in Sections 3 and 4, respectively.

     To aid in determining the extent to  which regulation may be warranted,

EPA has estimated the potential  public health risks  posed by gasoline

vapors emitted from bulk storage facilities, delivery trucks, service

station storage tanks, and from motor vehicle tanks  during refueling.

The risk assessment focuses on the potential  cancer  risks associated with

gasoline vapor and three gasoline  cemponents: benzene,  ethylene dibromide

(EDB), and ethylene dichloride (EDO, substances for which EPA's Carcinogen

Assessment Group (CAG) has derived carcinogenic risk factors.  The assessment

estimates cancer risks for exposed populations residing near gasoline

storage facilities and service stations,  and as a result  of exposure during

self-service refueling of motor vehicles.  The results  of this analysis are

expected to be released in July 1984.

     Based on the preliminary results of  this analysis, the cancer risks

estimated from use of the gasoline vapor  risk factor dominate the  risks

attributable to the three constitutent substances (benzene, EDB, and EDO.
                                                                    *
The gasoline vapor risk factor is  derived from a chronic  inhalation  study
                                   1-1

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in two rodent species,  sponsored  by  the American  Petroleum  Institute  (API).
This study was forwarded to EPA as  a "draft final  report" in March 1982 and
as a final report in early 1984.  At the request  of  EPA's Office of Mobile
Sources, CAG evaluated  the results  of the API  study  and  developed a human
carcinogenic risk factor.   The review by CAG of the  health  literature
pertinent to the issue  of the carcinogenicity  of  gasoline vapor and the
derivation of unit risk factors by  CAG are presented  in  Section 5.
     The final report of the inhalation study  performed  by  International
Research and Development Corporation for API consists of six volumes.
One copy of the complete six volume set has been  forwarded  to the chairman
of the Science Advisory Board.  In  addition, a paper  summarizing the  results
of the API inhalation study are included within this  paper  (Appendix  A).
Because of the importance of the API study in  EPA's  gasoline marketing
analysis, EPA requests  that the Science Advisory  board provide peer review
of this unpublished work as well  as  the CAG's  evaluation of the implications
of this research for human exposure to gasoline vapor.  In  addition,  EPA
requests that the Science Advisory  Board address  the  issues listed in
Section 6 of this paper.
                                   1-2

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2.0  BACKGROUND
     2.1  The Gasoline Marketing Industry
     In 1982, about 103 billion gallons  of motor  vehicle  gasoline were
distributed in the U.S.  An extensive network  of  storage,  transportation,
and dispensing facilities were used by refiners,  marketers, distributors
and dealers to deliver an average 280 million  gallons  of  gasoline each day
to ultimate consumers.  Gasoline produced  at domestic  refineries or that is
imported (about 3%) is distributed by ship, barge,  or  pipeline to the
gasoline distribution system of bulk terminals, bulk plants,  tanker trucks,
and service stations.  The diagram in Figure 2-1  shows the path of motor
vehicle gasoline distribution through these facilities.
          2.1.1  Industry Structure
     Bulk terminals typically receive most of  the motor vehicle gasoline
delivered by ships, barges, or pipelines.   About  1500  bulk terminals in
current use store gasoline in large above-ground  storage  tanks.  Separate
tanks are used for each type of petroleum  product distributed (e.g., three
grades of gasoline).  Typical bulk terminals have 4 to 5  tanks and larger
terminals have more tanks that may be spaced over several  acres.  From
these bulk terminals, gasoline is loaded into  large tank  trucks that make
deliveries to local distributors operating bulk plants or  directly to
service stations.  Gasoline is delivered to a  national  network of 15,000
bulk plants operating smaller above-ground storage  tanks.  The gasoline is
distributed from these plants by smaller trucks to  businesses, institutions,
or dealers operating retail outlets.
                                   2-1

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FI6URE 2-1 GASOLINE MARKETING  IN THE U.S.
  Imported
  Gasoline
                            Barge
                           Pipeline
                           Tanker
Imported
   or
Domestic
 Crude
                                        Wholesale
                                        Distribution
                                        Level
                    Conroercial,
                       Rural
 Consumer
            Storage

            Transport
                         2-2

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     About 210,000 retail  outlets such  as  service stations  or  convenience
stores are currently dispensing gasoline to the public.   A  roughly  equal
number of outlets exist for dispensing  gasoline in a wide range  of  governmental
and private business uses.  Government  owned outlets fuel Federal,  State
and local passenger vehicles,  trucks, buses,  and military vehicles.   Business
outlets include auto rental, utility, taxi, delivery, and commercial  trucking
operations.
          2.1.2  Emission  Sources
     Emission of gasoline  vapor occurs  at  each  distribution facility  in the
gasoline marketing chain.   From the time gasoline is received  by a  bulk
terminal (e.g., from a pipeline)  until  delivered to the  ultimate consumer
through a network of bulk  storage tanks, gasoline delivery  trucks,  and
service stations, gasoline vapor is expelled to the atmosphere each time a
transfer occurs.  Displacement of saturated gasoline vapor  from  tanks during
these gasoline liquid transfers is the  primary  source of gasoline vapor
emissions.  However, the evaporation of gasoline through tank  pressure
equalization vents is also a significant contributor to  gasoline vapor
emissions from very large  storage tanks at bulk terminals.
          2.1.3  Options for Emission Control
     Control methods for containment of gasoline vapors  are available and
are currently being used at many  facilities.  Equipment  designed to contain
and recover gasoline vapors as they are expelled from storage  tanks or tank
trucks being filled are designated by EPA  as "Stage I" control systems.
Stage I systems provide for the recovery of gasoline vapors from the  vessel
being filled into the vessel from which the liquid gasoline is being
discharged (i.e., from the service station underground storage tanks  to the
gasoline tank delivery truck,  from the  truck  to the bulk plant,  and via
                                   2-3

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tank truck, to the bulk terminal  where they  are liquified  by  refrigeration
and compression equipment and returned to storage).   Stage II  control
systems complete the chain of custody of gasoline vapor emissions  by
recovering gasoline vapor displaced from an  automobile's fuel  tank during
filling and returning these vapors to the service stations' underground
storage tanks.  In addition to Stage I and Stage II  controls,  gasoline
vapor emissions from very large storage tanks at bulk terminals  can be
controlled by use of a floating roof tank system.  With this  tank  design,
the tank roof is not fixed to the walls at the top of the  vessel,  but is
supported by pontoons floating on the surface of the gasoline pool. Unlike
a fixed-roof tank where a large amount of gasoline vapor may  exist above
the level of liquid gasoline in the tank and may be expelled  as  the tank is
filled, the floating roof moves with the liquid level  and  does not create a
large vapor space as the tank is emptied.
               2.1.3.1  Stage I Controls
     Stage I control systems at bulk terminals and bulk plants collect and
recover gasoline vapors from empty, returning tank trucks  as  they  are
refilled with gasoline from the storage tanks (Figure 2-2).   These systems
are now in place at about 2/3 of the bulk terminals  and at about half of
the bulk plants in operation in the U.S.  Floating roof storage  tanks
are also generally in use at those bulk terminals where Stage  I  controls
have been applied.
     Stage I controls are also in use at roughly half of U.S.  service
stations (Figure 2-3).  Stage I controls at  service stations  contain the
gasoline vapors within the station's underground storage tanks for transfer
to empty gasoline tank trucks returning to the bulk  terminal  or  bulk plant.
                                   2-4

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               2.1.3.2  Stage II  Controls

     In addition to underground storage tanks,  the other source  of  gasoline

vapor emissions at service stations (420,000 in use nationally)  results

from the uncontrolled venting of displaced vapors from the motor vehicles

fuel tank during filling.   With the prevalent use of self-service pumps,

relatively high exposures  of a large segment of the population to gasoline

vapors results from motor  vehicle refueling operations.   About 70 percent

of all gasoline used by the public is dispensed by self-service  pumps.

Stage II controls which recover the vapors from vehicle tanks to service

station storage tanks (Figure 2-3) are currently used at about 38,000 service

stations nationally (less  than 10 percent) located primarily in  California

and in the District of Columbia.

               2.1.3.3  Onboard Controls

     A feasible alternative for recovery of Stage II emissions displaced

from motor vehicle fuel tanks during refueling  consists of the use  of

vapor control  system designed into new model  automobile and light duty trucks.

The onboard system includes a sealed fill  pipe  and carbon canister  that

adsorbs displaced vapors during filling and purges them to the carburetor for

combustion during operation (Figure 2-4).   Use  of onboard carbon canisters

for control of evaporative emissions of gasoline vapors has been required

on all new automobile production  since 1971.   Enlargement of this canister

would be necessary to accomodate an increased recovery of gasoline  vapor

during motor vehicle refueling.

     A summary of the sources and amounts  of annual  gasoline vapor  emissions

are shown in Table 2-1. These emission estimates reflect the influence of

Stage I and Stage II controls that are currently being applied by EPA and
                                                                    »
State regulations.
                                   2-7

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                     FIGURE 2-4 ONBOARD CONTROLS
          CARBURETOR
                                                GASOLINE
                                 GASOLINE TANK   NOZZLE
                            GASOLINE
                             VAPORS
 PURGE     CARBON
CONTROL   CANISTER   SEPARATOR
     FILL PIPE  MODIFICATIONS
     TRAP DOOR
                                                   SPOUT
               LEAD
                               2-8

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Table 2-1.  ESTIMATED GASOLINE VAPOR EMISSIONS  IN  1982
    Facility                      Annual  Emissions^3)
                                     (Mg/year)
    Bulk Terminals

     -  Storage tanks                  52,000

     -  Truck loading                 140,000


   Bulk Plants                        208,000


   Service Stations

     -  Storage tanks                 222,000

     -  Motor vehicle refueling        407,000
   Total  National                    1,029,000
     Emissions
  Emission estimates assume controls  required  by  current
  EPA and State standards  are in  place.
                          2-9

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     2.2  Regulatory History
     The gasoline marketing industry  has  come  under  regulatory  scrutiny by
EPA in several  contexts.   Volatile organic  compound  (VOC)  emissions,
including gasoline vapors, participate in atmospheric  photochemical  reactions
that produce ozone and other constituents of "smog."   Emissions  of  gasoline
vapor are also  of concern to EPA due  to the potential  health  risks  of
exposure to certain gasoline constituents (benzene,  ethylene  dibromide and
ethylene dichloride) and  due to exposure  to gasoline vapor itself.   EPA
listed benzene  as a hazardous air pollutant in June  1977  and  uses of EDB as
a citrus and grain fumigant have been curtailed.   In addition,  a number of
regulatory actions have been taken by EPA and  the States  to control  gasoline
vapors for the  purpose of reducing atmospheric ozone.
     Because National  Ambient Air Quality Standards  (NAAQS) for  ozone have not
been attained in all air  quality control  regions  of  the U.S., States are
developing additional  regulations to  control  volatile  organic compounds to
attain these standards.   Control  of gasoline vapors  has been  incorporated
in some State plans since 1974 in ozone non-attainment areas.
     In addition to State plans for attainment of the  ozone NAAQS,  EPA has
issued Federal  New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) that require controls
for new, modified, or reconstructed storage tanks.   EPA issued these standards
in June of 1973 for bulk  gasoline storage tanks with a capacity  over 40,000
gallons.  Bulk  terminal or bulk plant storage  tanks  affected  by  these
standards are required to have floating roofs  or  a vapor  recovery system.
     EPA has acted to require additional  control  of  gasoline  vapor  emissions
by bulk terminals.  NSPS  were proposed in December of  1980 and were promulgated
in August 1983.  This action required Stage I  controls for all new, modified
or reconstructed storage  tanks nationally regardless of ozone NAAQS attainment
                                   2-10

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status.  The standards also require control  of tank  truck  gasoline vapor
displacement emissions when filled from loading racks servicing  these
storage tanks.
     Although the gasoline marketing industry  has frequently  been  considered
by EPA as a candidate for regulation on the basis of its photochemical
reactivity and ozone formation contribution, and on  the basis of its  benzene
content, the Agency has not addressed the need for the regulation  of  this
industry on the basis of the carcinogenic potential  of gasoline  vapor itself.
The questions raised by the recent API study concerning the carcinogenic!ty
of unleaded gasoline vapor and the known health effects of gasoline constituents,
including benzene, have stimulated the public  debate on this  issue and led
advocacy groups to press EPA for a regulatory  determination.
     On July 14, 1983, The Environmental Defense Fund (EOF) and  the National
Resources Defense Council (NRDC) filed a citizen suit to compel  EPA to
either take final  action on benzene emission source  categories or  find that
benzene clearly is not a hazardous pollutant pursuant to section 112  of the
Clean Air Act.  NRDC v. EPA (D.D.C).  The plaintiffs  requested that the
court require EPA to promulgate standards on the categories for  which
proposals had been made, propose an emission standard for  coke oven by-product
plants, and propose standards for benzene emissions  from the  gasoline
marketing system and "chemical manufacturing plants".  On  January  27, 1984,
the Court ordered EPA to publish in the Federal  Register,  by  May 23,  1984,
its final action on the source categories for  which  proposals had  been made
(maleic anhydride and EB/S process vents, benzene storage  vessels,  and
benzene fugitive sources), and to propose action for coke  oven by-product
recovery plants.  The court did not issue an order concerning chemical
manufacturing or gasoline marketing.  In response to this  suit,  EPA announced
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on May 23, 1984 final  standards for benzene fugitive emissions,  proposed
standards for coke oven by-product recovery plants,  and also acted  to
withdraw previously proposed standards for benzene storage vessels,  and
maleic anhydride and ethylbenzene/styrene process vents.
     A regulatory analysis of the gasoline marketing industry cateogry  is
now being completed and a notice of availability of  the background  document
will soon be published in the Federal  Register.   No  decision has been made
at this time to regulate the gasoline marketing  industry  under section  112
(hazardous air pollutants)  of the Clean Air Act.
     In addition to risk to human health resulting from the benzene content
of gasoline, additional animal  studies provided  to EPA by the American
Petroleum Institute in 1982 seem to indicate that constituents other than
benzene alone in gasoline vapor may have health  related impacts.  Thus  there
are three environmental impacts that may contibute to a decision to further
regulate gasoline marketing sources:  gasoline vapor contributions  to photo-
chemical smog (ozone), benzene related health risks, and  additional  gasoline
constituent health risks.  All  of these potential  environmental  impacts and
other factors relating to the implementation and costs of controls  must be
evaluated by EPA to reach a decision on an appropriate regulatory strategy.
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3.0  DECISIONS FACING EPA
     3.1  Health Basis for Regulation
     The impact on public health will be a key factor in EPA's decision
on what further controls (if any) may be warranted for the gasoline marketing
industry.  Before a decision can be reached with respect to additional
control of gasoline marketing emissions, the health basis for any action
selected must be determined.
     Gasoline vapor emissions are precursors to ozone formation and on  this
basis alone EPA could consider action to control  gasoline marketing operations.
However, actions under these authorities may affect only ozone non-attainment
areas and exposure to gasoline marketing emissions would not be reduced for a
significant portion of the U. S. population.  Thus, controls implemented  by
EPA to control ozone formation in the atmosphere may not be an adequate
strategy if a significant health risk from exposure to gasoline marketing
emissions is found to exist.
     EPA has prepared an analysis of the health risks of exposure to
gasoline vapor from the gasoline marketing system, the regulatory control
alternatives, and associated costs.   The document containing this analysis
is expected to be released in July 1984.  A description of the risk analysis
methodology is presented in Section  4 of this paper.
     3.2  Control  Strategy Decisions
     In considering the impacts of emissions from the gasoline marketing
system and reaching a decision on the additional  controls (if any)  that may
be warranted, EPA has authority under several  sections of the Clean Air Act
(CAA)  by which gasoline vapor emissions  could potentially be further regu-
lated.  Each authority was granted to address specific risks or categories
of sources.  Pollutants for which National  Ambient Air Quality Standards

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(NAAQS) have been established (criteria pollutants)  may be regulated
through several  mechanisms.  Authority under CAA section 110 provides  for
attainment of NAAQS through a program of State standards development for
new and existing stationary sources.   CAA section 111  provides  authority
for establishment of Federal  standards for new stationary sources,  and
Title II of the CAA provides  authority for EPA to require installation of
controls by manufacturers on  new motor vehicles.   For  pollutants  to which
no NAAQS applies and for which EPA determines a health risk of  mortality or
serious illness would result  (a hazardous pollutant) CAA section  112 provides
for Federal regulation of new and existing sources of  emissions.
     Thus, to a degree, the magnitude of the public  health risk posed  by
gasoline marketing emissions  may influence the selection of control  strategies
for gasoline marketing emission sources.
          3.2.1   Actions to Reduce Ozone Precursors
     With NAAQS attainment programs,  control  is applied only in specific
areas of the U.S. to provide  an effective air quality  improvement strategy
at minimum cost.  Previous actions by EPA to control gasoline marketing
emissions from existing sources have  focused on specific regions  of the
U.S. where attainment of the  ozone NAAQS has been and  continues to  be  a
problem.  To assist States in attainment of the ozone  NAAQS, EPA  has
prepared and published Control  Technique Guideline (CTG)  documents  for
every sector of the gasoline  marketing system with the exception  of
automobile refueling.  EPA has also taken action  to  control  new bulk
terminals under CAA section 111  as part of an overall  strategy to reduce
VOC emissions.  Thus, many existing bulk terminals,  bulk plants,  and service
station storage tanks primarily in ozone non-attainment areas and all
storage tanks and loading racks for newly constructed  bulk terminals in  all
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areas of the U.S.   are currently  required  to  install  Stage  I  gasoline  vapor
recovery systems.   However,  gasoline vapor recovery  during  automobile
refueling remains  largely uncontrolled.  Stage  II  recovery  systems  have
been applied only  in California and the District of  Columbia.
     Should the potential risk to human health  resulting  from exposure to
gasoline vapor or  its constituents be determined to  be a  significant hazard,
a more widespread  systan of  controls for the  gasoline marketing  industry
would be a logical consideration.  Since many of the current  regulations in
effect are based on a strategy for ozone attainment,  many areas  of  the
U.S. remain uncontrolled with respect to existing  gasoline  marketing sources
because they either do not have an ozone attainment  problem or because
control  of VOC emissions from stationary sources other than gasoline marketing
have been adequate to attain the ozone NAAQS.
          3.2.2  Actions to  Reduce Risks from Gasoline Vapor  Exposure
     A hazardous pollutant designation for gasoline  vapor or  a decision
to pursue regulation of the  gasoline marketing  system on  the  basis  of  a
gasoline constituent such as benzene would impose  a  requirement  upon EPA to
reduce exposure for a broader spectrum of  the U.S. population than  would
be provided by a program to  control ozone. The outcome of  listing  under
section 112 would  be regulations for those source  categories  found  to  pose
significant health risks,
               3.2.2.1  Regulation of Automobile Refueling
     EPA could decide that a national program of gasoline marketing vapor
emission reductions should include the automobile  refueling operation  since
these emissions are currently uncontrolled in all  but two areas  of  the
U.S., and a large  segment of the population is  exposed to relatively high
concentrations of  vapor during self-service gasoline pump use.  Two methods
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(Stage II and Onboard)  are available for control  of  gasoline vapor  emissions
from fuel tanks.  Either of these methods would greatly reduce gasoline
vapor emissions during  refueling.   However,  these approaches would  produce
different costs and emission results over time.
     Stage II control  systems could be retrofitted at the nations's service
stations within a relatively short time span (e.g.,  in 3 years).  This
action would provide more immediate reductions in gasoline vapor  emissions.
However, the Stage II  nozzles and hoses for  gasoline pumps would  receive
constant use and would  be subject to being torn,  crushed,  or otherwise
degraded.  The experience in California has  been  that a continuing  program
of inspection is needed to maintain the effectiveness of Stage II control
systems.  As a result,  the annual  average control  efficiency of Stage II is
estimated to be less than with vehicles using on-board controls.
     On-board control  systems could be designed into new automobiles and
other light-duty vehicles.  Even though the  controls would be installed
only on new vehicles and would not provide as much control  as Stage II
during the first several  years of implementation,  the efficiency of the
controls is likely to be better over time than Stage II.  In comparision to
Stage II, on-board controls would provide about one-half as much  emission
reduction after the fourth model  year, about the  same amount by the ninth
model year, and superior emission reductions in subsequent years.
               3.2.2.2   Regulation of Bulk Terminals, Bulk Plants,  and
                        Service Stations
     If gasoline vapors or its constituents  are determined to impose a
significant health risk on the public, a national  program for implementation
of Stage I vapor recovery systems at bulk terminals, bulk  plants, and
service stations would  also be evaluated. Regulatory requirement for-
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Stage I control  systems now in effect in  ozone non-attainment  areas could be
extended by section 112 standards to all  gasoline marketing  facilities  in
the U.S.  Currently,  about one-third of bulk  terminals  and about one-half
of bulk plants and service stations remain  uncontrolled.  These uncontrolled
facilities could attain a 90 percent or greater reduction in their losses
of gasoline vapor emissions by implementing Stage I  controls.
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4.0 ANALYSIS OF THE GASOLINE MARKETING INDUSTRY
     To provide a basis for any regulatory action  that may  be warranted
and to evaluate potential  control  strategies,  EPA  has  performed  an  analysis
of the gasoline marketing industry.   The analysis  includes  an estimate of
the national incidence of cancer expected to  result  from  the public's
exposure to gasoline vapors from all  segments  of the gasoline marketing
industry.  These national  incidence  estimates  were developed for the current
level  of gasoline vapor emission control  applied by  the industry and at
alternative levels of control  that could be applied.   The analysis  evaluates
the emission control  efficiency, costs,  and cost-effectiveness of alternative
gasoline vapor emission control strategies.
   4.1  Exposure/Risk Analysis
     Several animal studies of cancer risk resulting from exposure  to
gasoline vapor and three of its constituents,  benzene,  ethylene  dibromide
(EDB), and ethylene dichloride (EDO  have been reported.  Human  epidemiological
studies of benzene exposure are also  available.  From  these studies, EPA
has derived unit risk factors  for gasoline vapor and those  constituents
currently identified as potential  cancer risks (i.e.,  benzene, EDB, and
EDO.   Together with other information on the  exposed  population and exposure
concentration levels for each  emission source, EPA has  estimated national
cancer incidence resulting from gasoline vapor emissions  from the gasoline
marketing system.  Incidence estimates were developed  assuming no change in
the current level of emission  control  in all  segments  of  the gasoline
marketing distribution system, and as a  result of  application of additional
controls on specific segments  of the  industry.  An explanation of the
approach taken to derive these estimates are contained  in the following
sections.  The results of the risk and incidence analyses are describjed
in a document scheduled for release by EPA in  July 1984.
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          4.1.1   Selection of Suspect  Agents  for  Evaluation
     Gasoline is a complex mixture of  over 200  hydrocarbons with the
paraffinic and aromatic compounds  constituting  the largest fraction.
Aromatics including benzene and toluene are about 20  to  35 percent of the
total gasoline mixture by volume.   The majority of these aromatics are alkyl-
benzene compounds; pure benzene accounts for  0.2  to 4.0  percent of the total
gasoline mixture based on 1977 analyses of gasoline produced by several
refiners.  The average benzene concentration  was  found to be 1.3 percent.
     In addition to benzene,  leaded gasoline  contains ethylene dibromide
(EDB) and ethylene dichloride (EDO which are used as lead scavengers.  To
improve octane ratings, gasoline contains a large number of hydrocarbons that
have been cracked, reformed,  or otherwise chemically  altered.  At present,
quantitative cancer risk factors are available  for only  three consist!'tuents
of gasoline vapor (i.e., benzene,  EDB, and EDO.   A more recent study, conducted
for the American Petroleum Institute,  suggests  that gasoline vapor may be a
potential human carcinogen.  The maximum lifetime risks  associated with
gasoline vapor exposure, based on  a preliminary analysis, were much greater
than those attributable to the three constituents for which unit risk
factors were available.  For this  reason, EPA selected gasoline vapor in
addition to benzene, EDB, and EDC  for  the risk  assessment analysis.  The
basis for these selections is described for each  substance in the following
sections and a summation of the unit risks values are shown in Table 4-1.
               4.1.1.1  Benzene.  An association  between benzene exposure and
leukemia has been documented in several  human studies of occupationally
exposed populations.  Benzene has  also been found to be  carcinogenic in
both rats and mice by gavage and inhalation routes of exposure.  The benzene
unit risk factor (the risk of cancer resulting  from a 70 year lifetime of
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                          TABLE 4-1.   UNIT RISK  FACTOR  SUMMARY
                    Unit Risk
                (probability of
Pollutant       cancer given lifetime
                 exposure to 1  ppm)
                       Health Effects
                          Summary
                               Comments
Gasoline Vapor

  Plausible Upper Limit:b

    Rat studies      3.5  x 10~3
    Mice studies     2.1  x 10'3

  Maximum Likelihood Estimates:

    Rat studies      2.0  x 10~3
    Mice studies     1.4  x 10-3
Benzene0
Ethylene
  Oibromide
Ethylene
  Oichloride
2.2 x 10-2
4.2 x 10-1
2.8 x 10-2
                  Kidney tumors in rats,
                  liver tumors in mice.
Human evidence of
leukemoginicity
Zymbal  gland tumor
in rats; lymphoid
and other cancers
in mice.
Evidence of carci-
nogenicity in animals
by inhalation and
gavage.  Rats:  nasal
tumors; Mice:  liver
tumors.

Evidence of carcino-
genicity in animals.
Rats:  Circulatory
system, forestomach,
and glands; Mice:
liver, lung, glands,
and uterus.
                         Gasoline test samples
                         in the animal  studies
                         were completely volat-
                         ilized, therefore may
                         not be completely repre-
                         sentative of ambient
                         gasoline vapor exposures.
EPA:  listed as a hazardous
air pollutant, emission
standards proposed.
IARC&:  sufficient evidence
to support a causal associ-
ation between exposure
and cancer.

EPA:  suspect human
carcinogen; recent
restrictions on
pesticidal  uses.
EPA:  suspect human
carcinogen.  Draft
health assessment
document released
for review March 1984.
a Unit risk factor is in terms  of the probability  of  a cancer incidence (occurrence)
  in a single individual  for a  70-year lifetime  of exposure to 1 ppm of pollutant.

b 95% confidence interval.

c Derived from human epidemological  data;  not  the  same factor shown in Table 5-27 based
    on animal  data.
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exposure to a unit concentration)  was derived  from  the average  of  three
occupational  studies,  assuming a linear dose-response function.  A unit
factor risk derived from the animal  data is  very  close to  the value derived
from the human studies thereby indicating a  similar dose-response  relationship.
               4.1.1.2  Unleaded Gasoline.   The evidence of  carcinogenicity
comes primarily from the American Petroleum  Institute chronic inhalation
study of unleaded gasoline vapor in  rats and mice.   The unit risk  estimates
for each species based on a linear non-threshold  dose extrapolation were
derived from this study.  Although API studied unleaded gasoline,  other
gasoline grades (e.g., leaded gasoline) are  expected to have as much
carcinogenic potency.   A detailed discussion of the study  results  and
the risk factor derivation is presented in Section  5 of this paper.
               4.1.1.3  Ethylene Pi chloride  (EDC).   No human evidence  of
carcinogenicity is available.  The animal  evidence  consists  of  positive
responses at several  sites in male rats and  mice  via gavage.  The  unit risk
for EDC inhalation was estimated by  two separate  methods:   (1)  a direct
estimation based on the EDC gavage study,  assuming  that the  absorption rate
by inhalation is one-third of that by the oral  route;  and  (2) an indirect
estimation from the EDB inhalation study.  The potencies calculated from
both approaches are similar.
               4.1.1.4  Ethylene Dibromide (EDB).   No human  evidence of
carcinogenicity is available.  The animal  evidence  consists  of  positive
reponses in mice, in both inhalation and gavage bioassays, as well  as  nasal
cavity tumors in rats  following inhalation exposure.  The  unit  risk was
obtained from the rat inhalation experiment  using the linear dose-response
extrapolation procedure.
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          4.1.2  Assessment of Exposure  and  Estimated Cancer  Incjdenee
     This section briefly outlines the methodology  and  assumptions used to
estimate the concentrations of benzene,  EDB,  EDC, and gasoline vapors from
each source category to which the nation's population as  a  whole (and to
which selected individuals subject to high exposures) would be expected to
be exposed as well  as their associated health risks.  Estimates of gasoline
vapor exposure were made for each of the source categories  of emissions in
the gasoline marketing industry (see Table 4-2).  These estimates were
developed for uncontrolled and controlled emission  rates.   A  national mix
of uncontrolled and controlled rates were used to determine current  exposure
levels according to the number of emission sources  that had controls in
operation in 1982.   Estimates of incidence due to EDB,  EDC, and gasoline
vapor were projected for the years 1986  through 2020 in proportion to the
total or leaded (for EDB and EDC) gasoline throughput for the source category.
               4.1.2.1  Location and Distribution of Plants
     Since there are about 1,500 bulk terminals, 15,000 bulk  plants, and
420,000 service stations in the United States handling  gasoline, limited
resources would not allow modeling each  plant individually, even if data
were available regarding exact location  and  throughput.   Model plants
(four for bulk terminals, four for bulk  plants, and five  for  service stations)
for a range of representative gasoline throughputs  were used  to estimate
exposures nationwide.
     In order to calculate exposure to emissions in specific  locations (and
the resultant risk) from bulk terminals  and  plants, assumptions were made
concerning their geographical  distribution.   The fundamental assumption was
that facilities were located in proportion to the gasoline  throughput for
an area.  For example, the largest model  plants would be  located in large
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          TABLE  4-2.   LIFETIME  EXPOSURE  ESTIMATES  FOR  EMISSION  SOURCES
                        CONSIDERED  IN  RISK  ANALYSIS  (a)
SOURCE CATEGORY
Bulk Terminals
- loading racks (b)
- storage tanks
- vapor processors
Bulk Plants
- loading racks (b)
- storage tanks
Service Stations (c)
- underground storage tanks
- automobile refueling (d)
Self-Service (fi)
- automobile refueling
UNCONTROLLED CONTROLLED
(ppm) (ppm)
1.41 0.18



0.073 0.015


0.026 0.003


0.029 0.003 (f)

(a)  The HEM model  was used to estimate  community  exposure  for  bulk terminals,
    bulk plants,  and  service stations for  the highest  exposed  population.  Actual
    measurements  of exposure by  service station attendants were used  for
    self-service  estimates.   The self-service estimates  are based on  the average
    of all  the attendant exposure measurements; not  the  maximum exposures.

(b)  The exposure  estimates are based on emissions  from displacement of gasoline
    vapors  from the tank trucks.   Loading  racks are  used to fill the  tank trucks.

lc)  Exposure is estimated for communities  nearby  service stations.

(d)  Exposure estimates include vehicle  fuel  tank  emissions displaced  from fill pipe
    and emissions from spillage  in the  vicinity of the gasoline pumps.

(g)  Exposure estimates for individuals  engaged in  self-service from emissions
    displaced from the vehicle's  fuel tank through the fill pipe.
                                                                     *
(f)  Exposure varies from 0.001 to 0.004 ppm depending  on the control  system applied,
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urban areas where throughput (and population  density)  were  highest.   Further,
each model  plant type in each source category (bulk  terminals  and  bulk
plants) was distributed over a range of ten urban  area sizes.  The largest
terminals,  for instance, were assumed to be located  in cities  ranging in
size from New York City to Des Moines,  Iowa;  the smallest terminals were
assumed to  be located in cities ranging in size from Spokane to  Effingham,
Illinois.  Estimates were also made of  the extent  of existing  control at
these terminals.  Most of those in the  large  cities  (likely to be  ozone
nonattainment areas) are currently controlled with proportionately fewer
facilities  controlled in the less densely populated  areas.
     In a  similar fashion,  model  service stations were allocated  to  35
localities  (multi-county metropolitan areas or single counties), grouped
by seven population size ranges.   The model plants were selected to be
representative of the total  national  service  station distribution.  The
localities  and seven population size ranges were selected to be  representa-
tive of the total national population distribution.
     Amient concentrations,  exposure, and incidence  for bulk terminals,
bulk plants, and service stations were  calculated  using the SHEAR  version
of the EPA  Human Exposure Model  (HEM).   The HEM is a model  capable of
estimating  ambient concentrations and population exposure due  to emissions
from sources located at any  specific point in the  continguous  United  States.
               4.1.2.2  Self-Service Exposure.   As with calculation of
incidence due to community exposure,  calculation of  incidence  due  to  self-
service exposure involves estimates for the unit risk  factor,  the  concen-
trations to which people are exposed, the length of  time they  are  exposed
to the concentrations, and the number of people exposed.  The  same unit risk
factors were used for self service exposure as  for commmmunity exposure.
The concentrations to which  people are  exposed were  estimated  based on a
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study conducted by API  in which  benzene and  gasoline  vapor concentrations
in the region of the faces of persons filling  tanks were measured.
     Concentrations for the other pollutants (i.e., EDB and EDO were
calculated using the ratio of the emissions  of those  pollutants to benzene
emissions.  The length  of exposure during  filling was calculated using a
pumping rate of 8 gallons per minute, or 1.25  minutes per 10  gallons.  It
was assumed that 70 percent of gasoline consumption is purchased through
self-service.  Calculation of self-service user exposure assumes that
someone is exposed to the concentrations measured for benzene and gasoline
vapors (and prorated for the other pollutants) for 1.25 minutes for each 10
gallons purchased.  Since the linear dose-response model is the basis for
the unit risk factor, any exposure (no matter  how small) is assumed to
result in some risk of  cancer.  The risks  across the  exposed  population is
summed to determine the total cancer incidence expected.  For self service,
wherein some person is  always pumping fuel,  the total annual  incidence is
directly proportional to annual  self service gasoline throughput.  Thus,
knowing the throughput, pumping  rate, and  pollutant concentration, total
annual incidence was calculated.
     "Lifetime risk due to high  exposure"  was  calculated using the same
assumptions for exposure as were used for  the  incidence calculations.  These
include the assumptions for the  concentration  in the  person's face during
tank filling (based on  API measurements) and the length of time for a tank
filling (1.25 minutes per 10 gallons)  However,  total gasoline consumption
is not a relevant variable for this calculation. Rather it is important to
know how much of their  lifetime  individuals  experiencing high exposures may
spend filling their tank at self-service stations.  The EPA predicted that
                                                                    *•
people with high exposures (e.g., outside  salesmen) could purchase 40 gallons
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of gasoline per week from such  stations  (i.e.,  5 minutes of  exposure per
week while the vehicle is refueled)  for  50  years of  their  life.
     The estimates of risk,  in  terms of  individual lifetime  risk  from high
exposure and aggregate incidence,  are applicable to  the public in the
vicintiy of gasoline marketing  sources and  those persons that refuel their
vehicles at self-service pumps.  This analysis  did not examine the  risk
to workers from occupational  exposure (e.g.,  terminal workers and service
station attendants).  The lifetime risk  from  high exposure for these
workers is probably substantially  higher than for the general public.
In addition, the estimates of aggregate  incidence would be higher if such
worker populations were included in  the  analysis.  Of course, any controls
to reduce gasoline marketing emissions would  reduce  exposure for workers
as well as for the general  public.
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5.0  EVALUATION OF THE CARCINOGENICITY  OF UNLEADED  GASOLINE
     5.1  Introduction
     The International Research and Development Corporation  (IRDC)  has
recently conducted an inhalation study  of unleaded  gasoline  vapor  in  Fischer
344 rats and B6C3F1 mice.   The study was conducted  at the request  of  the
American Petroleum Institute (API)  to determine the carcinogenicity of
inhaled gasoline vapor.  Preliminary results of this study were forwarded
to EPA on March 3, 1982 and a draft report (Appendix A)  was  forwarded later
on February 24, 1983.
     Results of the study  have been accepted for publication in the Journal
of the American College of Toxicology.   This Section contains  a review  by
EPA's Carcinogen Assessment Group (CAG) of the draft IRDC report and  other
studies related to the health impact of gasoline vapor or its  constituents.
     5.2  Animal Studies
     An evaluation of the likelihood that unleaded  gasoline  is a human
carcinogen and a basis for estimating its possible  public health impact,
including a potency evaluation in relation to other carcinogens, is presented
in this section.  The evaluation of carcinogenicity depends  heavily on  animal
bioassays and epidemiologic evidence.  However, other factors,  including
mutagenicity, metabolism (particularly  in relation  to interaction  with  DNA),
and pharmacokinetic behavior have an important bearing on both the qualitative
and the quantitative assessment of  carcinogenicity.   This chapter  presents an
evaluation of the animal bioassays  and  relevant toxicity studies,  the human
epidemiologic evidence, the quantitative aspects of assessment,  and finally,
a summary and conclusions  dealing with  all  of the relevant aspects of the
carcinogenicity of unleaded gasoline.
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          5.2.1  Lifetime Inhalation Bioassay in  Rats and Mice (International
                 Research and Development Corporation 1983)'
     The following is a review of a final  report  of  an unpublished  study  on
the carcinogenicity of unleaded gasoline vapor in Fischer 344 rats  and  B6C3F1
mice.  The study was completed by the International  Research  and  Development
Corporation (IRDC) for the American Petroleum Institute (API) in  1983.  A
report of this study has been accepted for publication (MacFarland  et al.  1984).
     The physicochemical  properties and the formulation of unleaded gasoline
test sample, as described by the sponsor,  are presented in Tables 5-1 and 5-2.
The unleaded gasoline used in the API inhalation  study was blended  specifically
for the experiment.  The test gasoline contained  no  EDB or EDC (as  does leaded
gasoline).  The benzene content of the test gasoline was 2.0  percent.  In
comparison to commercial  unleaded gasoline the test  gasoline  contained  a  higher
proportion of benzene (average percentage in commercial  gasoline  was 1.3  in
1977) and of heavy catalytic cracked naptha (HCCN).   Six fractions  of the
gasoline blend (HCCN) has been evaluated seperately  in animal  inhalation
tests.  Five of the gasoline fractions induced renal  lesions.   The  HCCN
fraction was the only fraction for which no renal  effects were noted (see
section 5.2.3).
     Exposures in the API animal  inhalation study of the total  gasoline vapor
were conducted in 16-m3 glass and stainless steel  chambers.   Humidity and
temperature within the chambers were approximately 55% and 25°C,  respectively.
Gasoline vapor was generated by metering liquid through a heated  vaporization
column; the vapor was carried by dry nitrogen to  the inlet port of  the  chamber,
where the vapor was diluted with filtered  air at  a flow rate  of 910 to  1,900
L/min to achieve the desired atmospheric concentrations.
     Exposure concentrations are given in  Table 5-3.   Actual  concentrations,
measured by gas chromatography, and nominal  concentrations approximated
desired concentrations rather closely.
                                     5-2

-------
      The same  protocol  was  used  for  the  study  in  rats and mice.  Rats and mice
 were about 6 weeks  old  when the  study  began.   Initial body weights were: male
 rats, 95 to 129  g;  female rats,  79 to  105  g; male mice, 14 to 26 g; female mice,
 12 to 20 g. Animals  were randomly assigned  to exposure groups according to
 body weight.   Three treatment groups,  each composed of 100 males and 100 females,
 were exposed to  measured levels  of 67, 292,  or 2,056 ppm of gasoline vapor.
 An untreated group  of 100 males  and  100  females was exposed to filtered chamber
 air only.  Animals  were exposed  6 hours/day, 5 days/week until final sacrifice
 at 107 weeks  (male  rats and male mice),  109  weeks (female rats), and 113 weeks
      TABLE 5-1.   PHYSICOCHEMICAL  CHARACTERISTICS* OF THE TEST MATERIAL
                                  (IRDC  1982)
Research octane no.
Motor octane no.
(R+M)/2
Reid vapor pressure, Ibs.
Distillation, ASTM 0-86
IBP, °F
10% evap., °F
50% evap., °F
90% evap., °F
End point, °F
API gravity
Gum, ASTM D381, mg/gal
Sulfur, ppm
Phosphorus, g/gal
Lead, g/gal
Stability, hours
HC analysis, ASTM D1319
Aromatics, vol . %
Olefins, vol . %
Saturates, vol . %
Benzene content, vol . %
92.0
84.1
88.1
9.5

93
116
216
340
428
60.6
1
97
<0.005
<0.05
24+

26.1
8.4
66.5
2.0
aAll  of the above information was  supplied  by  the  sponsor, the American
 Petroleum Institute.
                                      5-3

-------
                  TABLE 5-2.  FORMULATION OF UNLEADED GASOLINE
Generic stream9                       CAS number                 Volume %
Light catalytic cracked naphtha
Heavy catalytic cracked naphtha
Light catalytic reformed naphtha
Light alkylate naphtha
Benzene added to bring to 2%
Butane added to increase Reid vap
64741-55-5
64741-54-5
64741-63-5
64751-66-8

or pressure
7.6
44.5
21.3
22.0
0.8
3.8
Plus:  Antioxidant    5 lbs/1,000 bbl
       Metal  Deactivator  5 lbs/1,000  bbl
aToxic Substance Control  Act (TSCA)  PL 94-469:   Candidate List of  Chemical
 Substances, Addendum 1,  Generic Terms Covering Petroleum Refinery Processed
 Streams, January 1978.
(female mice).  Ten males and 10 females per group were sacrificed  at 3,  6,  12,
and 18 months.
     Animals were observed -daily,  and body weights were recorded  monthly  for
the first 17 months and biweekly thereafter.  Hematology was  evaluated for
seven males and seven females per  group at 18 and 24 months.   Serum from  seven
males and seven females per group  was biochemically analyzed  at 3,  6,  12, 18,
and 24 months.  Ten animals from each dose/sex group were killed  after 3, 6, 12,
and 18 months of exposure to provide for periodic histopathologic evaluation.
     Survivors, interim sacrificed animals,  and decedents were necropsied,
and tissues, organs, and tumors were examined microscopically.  Major  organs
were weighed.
                                     5-4

-------
     TABLE 5-3.   INHALATION EXPOSURE CONCENTRATIONS  FOR  A  CARCINOGEN1CITY
              STUDY ON UNLEADED GASOLINE VAPOR IN  FISCHER  344  RATS
                                AND B6C3F1  MICE
                                 (IRDC 1982)
Exposure
group
Low
Mid
High
Desired
concentration
(ppm)
50
275
1,500
Nomi nal
concentration3
(ppm)
129
596
2,963
Actual
concentration3
(ppm)
49.7
273
1,501
3The actual  concentration data have not been  corrected  for  the  "nitrogen
 effect" on instrument calibration.  Furthermore,  an  error  in chamber  airflow
 rate calibrations was reported which increased  the actual  airflow  rate to
 approximately twice the assumed flow rate.   If  the corrections discussed in
 the study report are applied, the most probable nominal  and actual
 concentrations were as follows:
                               Nominal                 Actual
            Exposure        concentration           concentration
             group             (ppm)                    (ppm)
             Low                  72                    67

             Mid                 310                   292

             High              1,713                 2,056
                                     5-5

-------
     Exposure to unleaded gasoline vapor  did  not  affect  survival.  All groups
of rats and female mice had greater than  50%  survival  for the entire study, and
survival  for all groups of male mice was  greater  than  50% for at least 95 weeks.
     Body weight trends are given in Tables 5-4 and  5-5.  Modest reduction of
weight gain was found in male and female  rats and male mice in the high-dose
groups.  No effect of gasoline vapor on weight gain  in female mice was observed.
     Organ weights (absolute and organ/body)  did  not appear to be affected by
treatment with gasoline vapor, with the exception of significant (P < 0.05)
increases in kidney weights and kidney/body weight ratios in high-dose male
rats, as shown in Table 5-6.
     At the 3-month interim sacrifice,  dose-related  nonneoplastic histopathologic
changes were observed in the male rats.   These consisted of cortical multifocal
renal tubular basophilia, protein casts,  and  chronic interstitial inflammation.
The basophilia was present in epithelial  cells of renal  tubules.  The protein-
aceous tubular casts occurred within dilated  renal tubules and were commonly
located at the corticomedullary junction.  The incidence was 70 and 100% in
mid- and high-dose males, respectively.   Chronic  interstitial inflammatory foci
with a predominantly lymphoid cell  type were  observed  at 20 and 70% incidence
in mid- and high-dose males; respectively.  In addition, renal congestion and
very small foci of renal cortical  mineralization  were  noted in several rats.
     In animals dying in the 3- to 6-month interval  or sacrificed at 6 months,
the nonneoplastic renal changes in male rats  described above were again evident.
The incidence of tubular basophilia was 0, 40, 100,  and  100% in control, low-,
mid-, and high-dose male rats, respectively.   Proteinaceous casts were observed
in 27% of the control male rats, 80% of the mid-dose male rats, and 100%
of the high-dose male rats.  The incidence of chronic  interstitial inflammation
was 18, 20, 100, and 100% in control, low-, mid-, and  high-dose male rats,
respectively.  Mineralization in a radial pattern within the renal pelvis, with
                                     5-6

-------
          TABLE 5-4.  BODY WEIGHT TRENDS IN A CARCINOGENICITY STUDY OF
                  UNLEADED GASOLINE VAPOR IN FISCHER 344 RATS
                            (adapted from IRDC 1982)
Study week
Males
0
13
26
52
78
106
Females
0
13
26
52
78
108
Control

112 + 8
306 ~ 18
348 +" 19
409 + 27
401 + 31
416 +_ 29

93 + 6
173 ~ 11
209 + 12
250 ~ 18
264 T 19
288 ~ 35
Mean body
67 ppm

113 + 8
316 + 15b
361 T 19b
412 ~ 27
406 + 41
403 + 44

93 + 6
186 + lib
210 T 11
256 + 163
274 + 19a
282 + 31
weight + S.D. (grams)
292 ppm

113 + 9
312 + 16a
350 + 20
398 + 24a
393 +~ 20
388 _+ 33

92 + 6
177 + 12a
201 + 12b
249 ~ 18
263 + 21
289 +" 48
2,056 ppm

112 + 8
290 ~ 18b
340 + 16b
376 T 20b
376 + 25b
364 +_ 32

92 + 6
173 ~ 9
192 + IQb
225 + 13b
246 + 16b
255 T 27
aStatistically different from control  group at P _< 0.05.
bstatistically different from control  group at P < 0.01.
                                      5-7

-------
           TABLE 5-5.  BODY WEIGHT TRENDS IN A CARCINOGENICITY STUDY OF
                     UNLEADED GASOLINE VAPOR IN B6C3F1 MICE
                            (adapted from IRDC 1982)
Study week
control
Mean body weight + S.D. (grams)

67 ppm          292 ppm     -    2,056 ppm
Males
0
13
26
52
78
102
Females
0
13
26
52
78
112

22 + 2
30 + 2
33+2
38 + 4
38 + 4
39 7 4

18 + 2
25 + 1
28 + 1
31 + 3
35 + 3
34+3

21 + 2
29 + 2
32 + 29
36 + 3b
37 + 4
37 + 5

18 + 2
25 + 1
28 + 2
32 + 4
35+5
35 + 4

22 + 2
31 + 2b
32 + 2a
35 + 3b
37 + 39
38 7 3

18 + 2
26 + 19
28 + 1
30 7 2
34 + 3b
34 + 3

22 + 2
31 + 2
34 + 2a
35 T 3b
35 +" 3b
35 + 3

18 + 2
26 T lb
29 + 2
30 T 29
32 + 3*>
32 + 3
^Statistically different from control group at P <^ 0.05.
bStatistically different from control group at P <_ 0.01.
                                      5-8

-------


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material  located within tubules  or the collecting  ducts of  the renal pelvis,
was observed in 20% of the high-dose males.
     At the 12-month interim sacrifice,  the  occurrence of proteinaceous casts
in the kidneys of male rats was  nearly equal  in  all  groups: 20, 30, 30, and
30% in control, low-, mid-, and  high-dose male rats,  respectively.
Mineralization in the renal pelvis occurred  in 20% of the mid-dose male rats
and in 80% of the high-dose male rats.   Progressive glomerulonephrosis was
diagnosed in one high-dose male  rat.  Another new  finding was karyomegaly
(very large nuclei within renal  tubular epithelial  cells) in male rats.
     The complexity of nonneoplastic morphologic alterations observed in the
kidneys of all rats, especially  males,  increased after 18 months of exposure.
Progressive glomerulonephrosis occurred with higher incidence than previously.
The lesion was characterized by  atrophied or sclerosed glomeruli, dilated renal
tubules containing proteinaceous casts,  tubular  damage with regeneration or
scarring, and the presence of foci of chronic inflammatory cells.  The incidence
of glomerulonephrosis in male rats was 20% in controls, 30% in the mid-dose
group, and 20% in the high-dose  group;  the incidence in female rats was slightly
lower.  Proteinaceous casts in the kidneys of male rats were noted in 50, 50, 40,
and 60% of control, low-, mid-,  and high-dose male rats, respectively.
Mineralization in the renal pelvis was seen  in 20% of the mid-dose and 80% of
the high-dose male rats.  Renal  congestion was commonly seen, and karyomegaly
was again noted in male rats. A benign renal cortical adenoma was diagnosed in
a high-dose male rat.  Mononuclear cell  leukemia was diagnosed in the kidney of a
female rat that died during the  12- to 18-month  interval.
     At the final sacrifice, nearly all  male rats  exhibited progressive
glomerulonephrosis.  The incidence rates were 100, 95, 97, and 100% in control,
low-, mid-, and high-dose male rats, respectively.   A slightly lower rate
                                      5-10

-------
of occurrence was seen in female rats.   Mineralization  in  the  renal  pelvis
occurred in 0, 5, 63, and 91% of the control,  low-,  mid-,  and  high-dose males, re-
spectively.  Karyomegaly was observed occasionally  in the  male rats.   One mid-
dose male rat had renal  tubular epithelial  hyperplasia  at  termination.  The
lesion was characterized by the presence of a  large  dilated  tubule  containing
a cystic lumen lined by epithelial  cells.   Renal  cysts,  epithelial  cell
pigmentation, hydronephrosis, chronic interstitial  inflammation, congestion,
cortical and pelvic mineralization  in female rats,  and  necrosis were among the
nonneoplastic lesions observed in the 18-month to terminal sacrifice period.
     Pathologic examination of the  rats revealed  a  small incidence  of renal
tumors in each treated group of male rats (Table  5-7).   The  first of these
tumors was detected at the 18-month interim kill.  Renal carcinomas were found in
each treated group of male rats, with those in high-dose males being significantly
(P < 0.05) increased compared to controls (Table  5-7).   A  statistical  test for
linear trend was significant at the 0.05 level.   Renal  carcinomas generally
consisted of epithelial  cells in a  tubular or  acinar pattern in the cortex, and
renal adenomas mainly included small  masses of epithelial  cells forming tubular
or papillary structures in the cortex.   Renal  sarcomas  consisted primarily of
spindle cells in a more pelvic location.  The  following  percentages of final
sacrificed male rats had mineralization of the renal pelvis:   control, 0%;
low-dose, 5%; mid-dose,  63%; high-dose, 91%.   Mineralization of the renal pelvis
was not found in each kidney with a tumor (Table  5-8);  hence,  mineralization of
the renal pelvis does not appear to have been  a requirement  in the  etiology of
kidney tumor formation in rats exposed to unleaded  gasoline  vapor.
     Spontaneous kidney tumor formation is rare in male  Fischer 344 rats; for
example, Goodman et al.  (1979) reported a historical control incidence of one
kidney adenoma (0.05%),  two kidney  adenocarcinomas  (0.11%),  and three* benign
                                      5-11

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suggest that a maximum tolerated dose was  approached;  however, mineralization

in the kidney indicates that exposure to unleaded  gasoline  vapor  produced

toxicity in this organ in each treated group of male  rats.   Applying  the

International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC)  classification approach  for

carcinogens, the Carcinogen Assessment Group concludes that these studies

furnish sufficient evidence for the carcinogenicity of unleaded gasoline vapor

in animals under the conditions of the bioassay.
        TABLE 5-9.   HEPATOCELLULAR TUMOR INCIDENCE  IN  FEMALE  B6C3F1  MICE
                FROM CHRONIC EXPOSURE TO UNLEADED GASOLINE  VAPOR
                                  (IRDC 1982)
Hepatocellular
tumor type
0 (control)
Exposure group (ppm gasoline vapor)

  67          292         2,056
Adenoma
Carcinoma
Adenoma and carcinoma
combined
1/lOOa
7/100
8/100
4/100
6/100
10/100
3/100
9/100
12/100
7/100
20/lOOb.c
27/10Qb,C
aNumber with tumor/number examined.
bStatistically significant (P < 0.01)  increase compared  to  control  group.
cThe 100 animals in each denominator in this table includes 40  animals  sacrificed
 at 3, 6, 12, and 18 months and decedents and survivors  in  the  remaining 60 ani-
 mals which were allowed to survive for the duration of  the study.   If  the 40
 interim sacrificed animals are excluded from each denominator  to  allow replace-
 ment of the 100 total  animals with the 60 animals allowed  to survive for the
 duration of the study, the statistically significant differences  shown in this
 table remain significant at P < 0.01.
                                      5-15

-------
          5.2.2  90-Day Inhalation Exposure Study  With  Gasoline  Vapor  In
                 Rats and Monkeys (MacFarland 1983)
     A 90-day inhalation exposure study of  the toxicity of  unleaded  gasoline
vapor in Sprague-Dawley rats and squirrel monkeys  was performed  as a pre-
chronic test in preparation for the carcinogenicity  study with unleaded
gasoline in rats and mice.  In the 90-day  study,  rats and monkeys were exposed
6 hours/day, 5 days/week for 13 weeks to vapors of an unleaded EPA reference
gasoline and a leaded commercial gasoline,  as shown  in  Table  5-10.   The hydro-
carbon composition of the two gasolines was similar, but the  unleaded  gasoline
contained 5 mg/gallon of lead and the leaded gasoline contained  1.94 g/gallon of
lead.  The animals were examined for mortality, body weight,  food consumption,
toxic signs, hematological changes, urinary changes, tissue lead levels, and
pathology.  Pulmonary function tests and cortical  flash-evoked response tests
were also done on the monkeys.
     Some female monkeys in Groups III and  V showed  emesis.   Body weights in
male rats in Groups II and IV were significantly  greater at termination.
Female rats in Group III had increased reticulocyte  counts, and  some rats in
Group V had increases in hematocrit and mean corpuscular volume, and decreases
in white cell count and mean corpuscular hemoglobin  concentration.
     Male monkeys in Groups III and V had an increased  minute volume.  Female
monkeys in Group III had a reduced respiratory rate, and female  monkeys in
Group V had a decreased tidal volume at termination.
     Liver weights were increased in male rats in  Groups II and  IV and
decreased in Group V female rats.  Kidney weights  were  increased in  Group IV
female rats and Group V male monkeys.  Thyroid weights  were" increased  in male
monkeys in Groups II and III.  Heart/body weights  were  decreased in  male rats
                                     5-16

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 in Groups IV  and  V,  and  brain weights were decreased in male rats in Groups
 II and III.   Group V female  rats  had decreases  in liver/body and adrenal/body
 weights.
      The initial  pathological examinations showed no treatment-related effects.
 Histopathologic reexamination of  tissue  sections showed subtle but discernible
 changes in kidneys of Group  III male rats.   These changes were described as
 an increase in the incidence and  severity of regenerative epithelium, and
 proteinaceous material  in dilated tubules was found.

          TABLE 5-10.  DESIGN OF THE 90-DAY INHALATION EXPOSURE STUDY
Number3 and Species of Animals
Concentration
group
I. Control
II. Unleaded gasoline
III. Unleaded gasoline
IV. Leaded gasoline
V. Leaded gasoline
Rats
40
40
40
40
40
Monkeys
8
8
8
8
8
Dose (ppm)
0
384
1,552
103
374
aEqually divided as to sex.
                                      5-17

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          5.2.3  Renal  Toxicity  of Gasoline  and  Related Petroleum Naphtha In
                 Male Rats (Haider et al.  1983)
     The renal  effects of subchronic  inhalation  exposure  of male and  female
Sprague-Dawley  rats to vapors of unleaded  gasoline  and related petroleum
naphthas described in Table 5-11 have been reported by C.  A.  Haider,  T. M. Warne,
and N. S. Hartoum at the Workshop on  the Kidney  Effects of Hydrocarbons, held
in Boston, MA,  on July 18-20, 1983.  The results of this  study are presented
in Tables 5-12  through 5-20.   This study is  especially pertinent to the
unleaded gasoline carcinogenicity study  in that  it  gives  an indication as to
which fractions in unleaded gasoline  can produce kidney toxicity.
     Exposure of male and female Sprague-Dawley  rats to unleaded gasoline for
21 days induced mild tubular degenerative  and regenerative changes with
increases in hyalin droplets in  the renal  cortex in males.  Corticomedul lary
tubular dilatation and necrosis  were  found in one high-dose male rat.
     A 90-day exposure to unleaded gasoline  resulted in a  treatment-related
incidence of tubular dilatation  and necrosis at  the corticomedullary  junction
in male rats, along with a dose-related  severity.   The persistence of these
lesions during  a 4-week recovery period  suggests an irreversible effect.
     Similar 21-day exposures of rats to full-range alkylate  naphtha,
polymerization  naphtha, light catalytic  reformed naptha,  and  light straight-
run naphtha induced renal  lesions in  males similar  to those obtained with
unleaded gasoline treatment.   Milder  renal  lesions  were found in males exposed
to light catalytic cracked naphtha.  No  renal  effects were noted with exposure
to heavy catalytic reformed naphtha.
     The results of these studies suggest  that paraffin and alkene fractions
are effective as renal  toxicants and  that  aromatics are relatively non-toxic.
The unleaded gasoline blend included  some  of the naphtha materials tested in
                                     5-18

-------
       this study,  and  although  the unleaded  gasoline  composition  is  proprietary,
       it was mentioned that it  contained  22% full-range alkylate  naphtha,  a  fraction
       which could  be a significant factor in renal  toxicity  induced  by  unleaded
       gasoline exposure.
                 TABLE 5-11.   SUMMARY  OF  THE  COMPOSITION  AND  BOILING  RANGES
                                   OF  THE TEST MATERIALS
Composition (%)
Material
Light straight-run naphtha
Light catalytic-cracked naphtha
Light catalytic-reformed naphtha
Heavy catalytic-reformed naphtha
Full -range alkylate naphtha
Polymerization naphtha
Unleaded gasoline blend
Paraffins3
96
39
67
7
98
8
45b
Olefins
0
32
2
0
2
92
12b
Aroma tics
4
29
31
93
0
<1
43b
Boiling range (°F)
IQ% bp
71
174
137
290
124
205
112
90% bp
222
346
230
364
315
353
326
alncludes cyclo-, normal,  and branched.
bEstimated.
                                            5-19

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     TABLE 5-12.   NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN RATS FOLLOWING A 21-DAY  INHALATION
                     EXPOSURE TO LIGHT STRAIGHT-RUN NAPHTHA
        Group and                                   Incidence^
    concentrations3                               ftF
    Environmental  control                         0/10        0/10

    Sham control                                  0/10        0/10

    1.50 mg/L (395 ppm)                           0/10        0/10

    5.13 mg/L (1349 ppm)                          0/10        0/10

    14.56 mg/L (3829 ppm)                         3/10        0/10


Analytical  time-weighted  average in mg/L (ppm).
^Incidence of tubular dilation and necrosis at corticomedullary  junction,
     TABLE 5-13.  NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN RATS FOLLOWING A 21-DAY  INHALATION
                     EXPOSURE TO LIGHT CATALYTIC CRACKED NAPHTHA
     Group and
   concentrations3                                 Effects
  Sham control

  0.20 mg/L (43 ppm)
                                             Evidence of  early
  2.04 mg/L (434 ppm)                         degenerative changes  in
                                             kidneys of treated  male  rats.
 13.06 mg/L (2,777 ppm)
  Analytical  time weighted average in mg/L (ppm).
                                      5-20

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    TABLE 5-14.   NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN RATS FOLLOWING A 21-DAY  INHALATION
                    EXPOSURE TO LIGHT CATALYTIC REFORMED NAPHTHA
           Group and                               Incidenceb
         concentrations3
                                                  M         F
Environmental  control                             0/10      0/10

Sham control                                      0/10      0/10

2.00 mg/L (544 ppm)                               0/10      0/10

5.85 mg/L (1,591 ppm)                             1/10      0/10

20.30 mg/L (5,522 ppm)                            3/10      0/10
aAnalytical  time weighted average in mg/L (ppm).
blncidence of tubular dilation and necrosis at corticomedullary  junction.
    TABLE 5-15.  NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN RATS FOLLOWING A 21-DAY  INHALATION
                    EXPOSURE TO HEAVY CATALYTIC REFORMED NAPHTHA
           Group and                               Incidence**
concentrations
Environmental control
Sham control
1.03 mg/L (215 ppm)
2.81 mg/L (587 ppm)
10.20 mg/L (2132 ppm)
M
0/10
NEC
NE
0/10
0/10
F
0/10
NE
NE
0/10
0/10
Analytical  time weighted average in mg/L (ppm).
blncidence of tubular dilation and necrosis at cortico-medullary  junction.
CNE = Not examined.   Pathology was not done due to lack  of  adverse effects
 at higher concentrations.
                                     5-21

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         TABLE 5-16.  NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN RATS FOLLOWING A 21-DAY INHALATION
                         EXPOSURE TO FULL-RANGE ALKYLATE NAPHTHA
      Group and                                           Incidence^3
    concentrations^
	M	F

Environmental control                                    0/10     0/10

Sham control                                             0/10     0/10

1.54 mg/L (345 ppm)                                      10/10    0/10

4.92 mg/L (1,104 ppm)                                    10/10    0/10

15.31 mg/L (3,434 ppm)                                   10/10    0/10


Analytical time weighted average in mg/L (ppm).
^Incidence of tubular dilation and necrosis at cortico-medullary junction
       TABLE 5-17.  NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN MALE RATS FOLLOWING A REPEAT 21-DAY
                       INHALATION EXPOSURE TO FULL-RANGE ALKYLATE NAPHTHA
      Group and                                  Incidence^ in males
   concentrations3
Sham control                                               0/40

0.015 mg/L  (3 ppm)                                         0/20

0.152 mg/L  (34 ppm)                                        4/10

1.538 mg/L  (345 ppm)                                      11/20
Analytical time-weighted average in mg/L (ppm).
Incidence of tubular dilation and necrosis at corticomedullary junction.
                                     5-22

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    TABLE 5-18.  NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN RATS FOLLOWING A 21-DAY INHALATION
                    EXPOSURE TO POLYMERIZATION NAPHTHA
        Group and
      concentrations3
 Incidence*5
                                                     M
Environmental  control

Sham control

1.04 mg/L (215 ppm)

3.05 mg/L (632 ppm)

9.89 mg/L (2,049 ppm)
0/10

0/10

0/10

2/10

4/10
0/10

0/10

0/10

0/10

0/10
^Analytical time-weighted average in mg/L (ppm).
bIncidence of tubular dilation and necrosis at corticomedullary junction,
         TABLE 5-19.  NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN RATS FOLLOWING A 21-DAY
                         INHALATION EXPOSURE TO AN UNLEADED GASOLINE BLEND
       Group and
    concentrations3
      Incidence'3
                                                          M
Environmental  control

Sham control

0.11 mg/L (29 ppm)

1.58 mg/L (416 ppm)

12.61 mg/L (3,316 ppm)
     0/10

     0/10

     0/10

     0/10

     1/10
     0/10

     0/10

     0/10

     0/10

     0/10
Analytical  time-weighted average in mg/L (ppm).
blncidence of tubular dilation and necrosis at corticomedullary junction.
                                     5-23

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         TABLE 5-20.   NEPHROTOXIC EFFECTS IN RATS FOLLOWING A 90-DAY
                         INHALATION EXPOSURE TO AN UNLEADED GASOLINE  BLEND
                                                 Incidence15
Group and
concentration^
Environmental control
Sham control
0.15 mg/L (40 ppm)
1.44 mg/L (379 ppm)
14.70 mg/L (3,866 ppm)
Terminal
M
0/10
0/10
1/10
7/10
5/10
sacrifice
F
0/10
0/10
0/10
0/10
0/10
Four-week
M
0/10
0/10
1/10
5/10
4/10
recovery
F
0/10
0/10
0/10
0/10
0/10
Analytical  time-weighted average in mg/L  (ppm).
blncidence of tubular dilation and necrosis at cortico-medullary junction.
                                     5-24

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          5.2.4  Renal  Effects of Decat in  in  Several  Laboratory Mammalian
                 Species (ATden et al.  1983)

    A comparison of the renal  effects  in various  laboratory mammalian  species

exposed to decalin, a prototype volatile hydrocarbon,  was  discussed  in "The

Pathogenesis of the Nephrotoxicity of  Volatile  Hydrocarbons in the Male Rat,"

by Carl L. Alden, R. L. Kanerva, G. Ridder,  and L.  C.  Stone,  at the  Workshop

on the Kidney Effects of Hydrocarbons,  held  in  Boston,  MA, on July 18-20,

1983.  One of the observations presented was  that a 91-day inhalation  exposure

to 5 ppm and 50 ppm decalin induced renal  toxicity  in  male Fischer 344 rats

and not in females, male or female mice, male or  female dogs, and male or

female guinea pigs (Table 5-21).  The  observed  renal  effects  in male rats

included hyalin droplets in the cytoplasm  of  proximal  convoluted tubular

epithelial cells, granular casts at the junction  of the inner and outer band

of the outer zone of the medulla, and  augmented chronic glomerulonephropathy.

These droplets consist of an alpha2U globulin,  a  protein synthesized in the male

rat liver under the control  of testosterone  and endogenous corticosterone.

They occur spontaneously in sexually mature male  rats  but  not in castrated

males, in female rats,  or in humans.


 TABLE 5-21.  BIOLOGICAL TESTING OF DECALIN,  A  PROTOTYPE VOLATILE HYDROCARBON



Species tested                Renal  injury                 Reference


Rat (male/female)                 +/-                   AFAMRL-TR-79-121
                                                    (Wright-Patterson  AFB)

Mice (female)

Dog (male/female)                 -/-

Guinea pig (male/female)          -/-                   AFMRL-TR-78-55
                                                    (Wright-Patterson  AFB)
                                                                    »
Mice (male)                         -                   Dr. Logan Stone
                                                    (personal communication)
                                     5-? s

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          5.2.5  Toxicity of Synthetic  Fuels  and Mixed Distillates  In Laboratory
                 Animals (MacNaughton and  Uddin 19337
     Toxicity studies on mixed distillates and synthetic  fuels  in experimental
animals have been or are being done by  the United  States  Air Force, and
preliminary results of these studies were  reported by M.G. MacNaughton and
D.E. Uddin at the Workshop on the Kidney Effects of  Hydrocarbons, held in
Boston, MA, on July 18-20, 1983.   The studies are  summarized below.  The
design of the experiments, in which the agents were  given by inhalation, is
shown in Table 5-22.  Beagle dogs,  Fischer 344 rats,  Golden Syrian  hamsters,
and C57BL/6 mice were used.
               5.2.5.1  Studies with RJ-5  Synthetic  Fuel
     RJ-5 fuel consists of hydrogenated dimers of  norbornadiene with a vapor
pressure of 1.3 kPa at 103°C.
    Results of the studies with a one-year exposure  to 30 mg/m3 and 150 mg/m3
were as follows:
1.  Decreased body weight gain in rats  and dogs, with possible appetite suppression.
2.  Acute lung inflammation and some bronchopneumonia in  rats and dogs
    sacrificed immediately after  6  months  of  treatment.
3.  After a 1-year holding period,  there was  a 25% incidence of alveolargenic
    carcinomas in CF-1 mice (the  strain shown in the workshop proceedings),
    a strain predisposed to this  tumor  type.
    The results of the studies in which dogs, mice,  hamsters, and rats were exposed
to 30 or 150 mg/m3 for 1 year followed  by  a 1-year holding period were as follows:
1.  Decreased body weight gain in exposed  male rats  and male hamsters throughout
    the study.  Increased body weight gain in exposed rats during treatment
    was reversed during the post-treatment period.
                                     5-26

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             TABLE 5-22.   DESCRIPTION OF FUEL INHALATION EXPOSURES
Fuel
Exposure
(months)
Concentration
(mg/m3)
Sped esa
End date
Synthetic

  JP-10
  RJ-5
  RJ-5

Mixed Distillate
12,  intb
 6,  contc
12,  int
  560
  155
30, 150
D,R,M/F,H
D,R,M/F,M
D,R,M/F,H
*D (dogs); R (rats); M (monkeys);   M/F (mice,  female);  H  (hamsters)
^Intermittent (6 hours/day,  excluding weekends and holidays).
cContinuous.
dShale.
Completed
Completed
Compl eted
JP-4
JP-4
JP-4
JP-5
JP-5 (S)d
JP-7
JP-8
JP-TS
DFM
DFM(S)
8,
3,
12,
3,
3,
12,
3,
12,
3,
3,
int
cont
int
cont
cont
int
cont
int
cont
cont
2,500,
500,
500,
150
250,
150,
500,
200,
50,
50,
5
1
1



1
1


,000
,000
,000
750
750
750
,000
,000
300
300
D,
D,
R,
D.
D,
R.
R,
R.
R.
R,
,R,M,M/F
,R,M/F
,M/F
,R,M/F
,R,M/F
,M/F
,M/F
,M/F
,M/F
,M/F
Compl
Dec.
Jul.
Compl
Compl
Dec.
Jul.
Dec.
Compl
Compl
eted
1983
1984
eted
eted
1985
1985
1985
eted
eted
                                     5-27

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2.  Decreased (P <  0.05)  kidney/body  weights  in  exposed  female  rats.
3.  Four (7%) renal cell  adenomas and five (8%)  renal  cell  carcinomas  in  high-
    dose male rats; one (2%)  renal  cell  carcinoma  in  a low-dose male rat.   No
    renal cell  carcinomas were seen in controls.
4.  Other kidney lesions  in exposed male rats were:
Incidence
Lesion
Renal medullary
mineralization
Moderate pelvic
urothelial hyperplasia
Hyalin droplets
Cortical cysts
5.2.5.2 Studies
150 mg/m3
57/62 (92%)
58%
18%
24%
with JP-10 Synthetic
30 mg/m3
2/59 (3%)
7%
19%
2%
Fuel
Control
0%
2%
2%
0%

     JP-10 fuel  is a bicyclic,  bridged compound;  exotetrahydrodi(cyclopentadiene),
with a vapor pressure of 1.87 kPa.
     Results of  the studies with a  1-year exposure  at  562 mg/m3 followed by a
1-year recovery  period were:
1.  Slight weight loss in exposed rats and hamsters.
2.  Hepatocellular vacuolization in 50% of the control  and  75% of  the  exposed
    female mice.
3.  Nine renal  cell  carcinomas  in treated male rats compared to one  in contols;
    poorly differentiated malignant neoplasms  in  one control and one treated
    male rat.
4.  Other renal  effects in male rats were:
                                     5-28

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      Lesion
                                                          Incidence
 Treated
  Control
Augmented renal
  tubule degeneration
  compatible with old-
  rat nephropathy
Medullary mineral deposits
  (mineralized cell  debris)
Papillary hyperplasia of
  renal  pelvic epithelium
43/49 (87%)
  100%
26/49 (53%)
32/49 (65%)
  2/49 (4%)
5.  No toxic lesions in female mice.
6.  Adrenal  cortical adenomas and carcinomas  were found  in  27%  of  the  control
    and 28% of the treated male hamsters;  however,  adrenal  zona glomerulosa
    adenomas and adrenal  zona glomerulosa  hyperplasia  were  found in  14% and
    72% of treated male hamsters, respectively,  and 5% and  45%  of  control male
    hamsters, respectively.
               5.2.5.3  Studies with  JP-4  Mixed  Distillate
     JP-4 mixed distillate has characteristics similar to gasoline and has a
vapor pressure of 13 kPa.  JP-4 represents 85% of the  turbine fuel used by
the Department of Defense.
    Results of studies with an 8-month intermittent exposure to 2,500  and
5,000 mg/m3 (containing 80 mg/m^ benzene)  were:
1.  Increased organ and organ/body weights for kidney, liver, spleen,  and
    lung in exposed male rats.
2.  A 27% incidence of bronchitis in  exposed  rats.
3.  A transient increase in red blood cell  fragility in  female  dogs.
                                     5-29

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    Results of studies with a 90-day  continuous  exposure  to 500 and 1,000
mg/m3 with a 19-month holding period  were:
1.  Increases in serum globulin and total  protein  and  BUN in  low-dose and high-
    dose dogs.
2.  Decreased body weight gain in exposed  male and female rats during treatment.
3.  Centrilobular hepatocellular fatty change in 88% of the low-dose and 89% of
    the high-dose female mice.
4.  Kidneys of all exposed male rats  contained hyalin  droplets in the proximal
    tubular epithelium, and focal  dilatation  of  renal  tubules near-the
    corticomedullary junction with plugging by cellular debris was found in 96%
    of the low-dose and 100% of the high-dose male rats.
    Results of studies with a 1-year  exposure to 500 and  1000 mg/m3 were:
1.  Decreases in body weight and in kidney and liver weights  in high- and low-
    dose male rats.
2.  Decreases in spleen and kidney weights in low  dose female rats.
3.  Histopathological  examination of  tissues  is  ongoing.
               5.2.5.4  Studies with  JP-5
    JP-5 mixed distillate is the other major  turbine engine fuel besides
JP-4.  Results of studies with a 90-day continuous exposure of dogs, rats,
and mice to 150 and 750 mg/m3 and a 19 month  post-exposure period were:
1.  Decreased body weight in exposed  male  rats.
2.  Increased BUN and serum creatinine in male and female high-dose rats.
3.  Mild, diffuse fatty change with small  vacuoles in  hepatocytes of 3% of
    the control, 73% of the low-dose,  and 24% of the high-dose mice.
    "Foamy" hepatocellular cytoplasmic vacuoles  were found in 18% of the control,
    15% of the low-dose, and 44% of the high-dose  female  mice.
                                     5-30

-------
4.  Male rats sacrificed at the end of the 90-day  exposure period  had  dilated
    renal tubules filled with granular necrotic debris at the cortico-
    medullary junction.
5.  By 19 months post-treatment, old-rat nephropathy  was evident in  96%,
    96%, and 84% of the high dose, low dose, and control males,  respectively.
    Old-rat nephropathy was more severe in treated males.   Renal  medullary
    tubular mineralization was found in 82% of the high-dose, 59%  of the  low-
    dose, and none of the control male rats.  A dose-related focal hyperplasia
    of the renal pelvis was reported.
     In summary, chronic exposure to RJ-5 and JP-10 synthetic fuels  induces
a common pattern of nephrotoxicity leading to renal carcinomas.   Similar
studies with JP-4 and JP-5 show the same preneoplastic lesions,  but  histo-
pathological analysis is currently incomplete and  no  information is  available
about neoplastic response.
          5.2.6  Influence of Benzene on the Renal  Carcinogenic  Effects of
                 Unleaded Gasoline Vapor in Male Ra"t?
     According to an October 1983 draft report of  a bioassay of  benzene by
the National Toxicology Program (NTP 1983) in which Fischer 344  rats and
B6C3F1 mice were tested, several organ sites in mice  and rats had  benzene
induced carcinomas.  These included Zymbal gland and  oral  cavity carcinomas
in male and female rats; skin carcinomas in male rats; Zymbal  gland, prepugial
gland and lung carcinomas in male mice and mammary, ling,  and hepatocellular
carcinomas in female mice.
     Data from the NTP report are discussed in section 5.4.2.6 and Appendix B,
and from the Maltoni et al. experiment are discussed  here.  In these experiments,
male and female Sprague-Dawley rats were either dosed with 50 or 250 mg/kg of
benzene by gavage 5 days/week for 52 weeks, exposed by inhalation  4  to 7

                                     5-31

-------
hours/day to 200 ppm benzene for 15 weeks or to 200-300 ppm benzene for 104
weeks, or dosed with 500 mg/kg of benzene by gavage 4-5 days/week  for 104
weeks.  Animals in these studies were allowed to survive until  spontaneous
death before pathological  examination.   Treated animals were compared with
controls.
     In the study in which rats were dosed with 50 and 250 mg/kg of benzene,
there was a dose-related increase in mortality.  Dose-related increases in
Zymbal gland carcinomas, "haemolymphoreticular" neoplasms, and  mammary
carcinomas were reported.   Two carcinomas of the oral  cavity, one  subcuta-
neous angiosarcoma, and one hepatoma were also found in treated animals.
     No carcinogenic effect from 15 weeks exposure of 200 ppm benzene was
observed.  Exposure to 200-300 ppm benzene for 104 weeks increased mortality,
and Zymbal gland carcinomas and hepatomas were attributed to treatment in
this study.
     Gavage treatment with 500 mg/kg of benzene decreased body  weight and
induced hematological effects.  Zymbal  gland carcinomas and carcinomas of
the oral cavity were concluded to be treatment-related.
     None of the tumor types attributed to benzene treatment in the studies
by Maltoni et al. (1982) and NTP (1983) were found as treatment related
effects in the carcinogenicity study with unleaded gasoline vapor  (104-week
exposure) in male Fischer 344 rats.  Conversely, the kidney tumors in male
Fischer 344 rats in the study with unleaded gasoline vapor were not a
treatment-related effect in the studies of Maltoni et al. (1982) in
Sprague-Dawley rats.  Nonneoplastic renal lesions of similar morphology have
been found in male Sprague-Dawley rats  and male Fischer 344 rats exposed  to
unleaded gasoline blend as well  as other hydrocarbons in toxicity  studies
                                     5-32

-------
with inhalation exposure.   Renal  toxicity was not indicated  in  the Maltoni  et
al. (1982) report.  Taking all  of this evidence together,  it would appear
that the kidney has not yet been shown to be a target organ  for benzene
carcinogen!city in male rats.  Furthermore,  the benzene level compared  to other
ingredients in unleaded gasoline, which was  completely volatilized in the
carcinogenicity study, was relatively low at 2%, and comparison with similar
toxic and carcinogenic effects induced in the kidneys of male rats by other
hydrocarbons, including mixed distillates, synthetic fuels,  and other hydro-
carbons without benzene, indicates that the  hydrocarbon nature  of  unleaded
gasoline was pivotal in the induction of renal carcinomas  in male  Fischer 344
rats.  Snyder et al. (1980) found an increased number of hematopoietic  neoplasms
in male C57BL mice exposed to benzene, but there was no indication of renal
neoplasia from exposure to benzene in this study.
          5.2.7  Conclusions of the UAREP Report (1983) on Toxicological
                 Interpretation of Hydrocarbon-Induced Kidney Lesions
     An analysis of the toxicology and carcinogenicity of  unleaded gasoline
and other hydrocarbons, issued by the Universities Associated for  Research
and Education in Pathology, Inc. (UAREP) was published in  December, 1983.
This section summarizes the review and interpretation of the data  presented
in that document.
             5.2.7.1  Asessment of the API Chronic Inhalation Study with
                      Unleaded Gasoline Vapor in Rats and  Mice
    1.  There were significant increases in  renal adenoma  and carcinoma inci-
        dence in male Fischer 344 rats and in hepatocellular adenoma and carci-
        noma incidence in female B6C3F1 mice exposed to unleaded gasoline vapor.
        The bioassay was well designed and conducted, and  there were several
        independent examinations of the kidney slides.
                                     5-33

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2.  Male Rat Kidney Lesions in Exposed Groups
    a.  Three-month findings:   Focal  degeneration  in  the proximal  tubules,
        hyalin droplets in the proximal  tubules, granular casts  at the
        junction between the inner and outer stripes  of  the  outer  medulla,
        some evidence of regeneration.  The lesions seemed dose-related,
        with the greatest prominence in the high-dose group.
    b.  Findings by 12 months:  Karyomegaly, probably in the ?3  segment
        of the proximal tubules.  Old-rat nephropathy, in treated  as
        well as control rats,  shown as atrophy  of  the PI segment of the
        proximal tubule with basement membrane  thickening, mesangial
        thickening in the glomeruli,  interstitial  fibrosis with  chronic
        inflammation, and periodic acid-Schiff  (PAS)-positive  tubular
        colloid casts in the distal  nephron. Calcium hydroxyapatite
        deposition in the papilla was evident in the  exposed groups.
    c.  Findings after 12 months:   Areas of hyperplasia.   Progression of
        the severity of old rat nephropathy, which was greater in  the
        treated groups than in controls, as well as preneoplastic  and
        neoplastic lesions.
    d.  Findings at 18 months:  Renal  adenoma in one  rat.
    e.  Findings at 24 months  (final  sacrifice):   Renal  adenomas and
        carcinomas in treated  rats.
3.  Liver Pathology in Female  Mice
         No treatment-related  lesions were found between 3 and 18  months.
    It could not be determined whether preneoplastic  lesions preceded the
    liver tumors.  Acute effects,  such as fatty metamorphosis  from
    exposure of mice to other  hydrocarbons, were neither reported  nor
    looked for in the carcinogenic!"ty study with unleaded gasoline.
                                 5-34

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           5.2.7.2   Interpretation  of  the Toxicological Carcinogenic
                    findings  In  the Carcinogem'city  Study with Unleaded
                    Gasoline  by  UAREP
1.   Male Rat Kidney - Nonneoplastic Lesions
         Signs of acute and chronic renal toxicity were evident.  There
    was some necrosis, but more  often  there was cell degeneration and/or
    blebbing with release of  cell debris forming casts between the pars
    recta (?3 segment) and the thin limb.  The kidney lesions in exposed
    male rats were unique in  that they were unlike those induced by known
    nephrotoxins such as mercuric chloride, halogenated hydrocarbons, or
    nitrilotriacetic acid.
         The mechanism of gasoline-induced nephrotoxicity is obscure.  There
    was no uniform necrosis in the  P$  segment, and many lesions were found
    in the PI and ?2 segments.  It  is  currently not  possible to accurately
    characterize the nature and  location of the toxic lesions in male rat
    kidneys in this study.
         The toxic  kidney lesions were clearly distinguishable from old-rat
    nephropathy, which in the latter involved the whole kidney and showed
    atrophy of the PI segment of the proximal tubule and glomerular
    sclerosis.  However, exposure to unleaded gasoline vapor augmented
    the severity of old-rat nephropathy.
         The most striking chronic  nonneoplastic lesion in exposed rats was
    severe mineralization of  the tubules in the papilla.  The deposits  were
    characterized as calcium  hydroxyapatite.  The etiology behind the mine-
    ralization is uncertain,  but it was hypothesized that chronic damage in
    the proximal tubule and higher  segments in the nephron leads to
    phospholipid vesicle-induced calcification.  The observed calcification
                                5-35

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    pattern is unique to hydrocarbon  exposures,  and  chronic  exposure of
    male rats to JP-10 synthetic  missile fuel  has  also  induced minerali-
    zation in the kidney.
2.  Male Rat Kidney - Preneoplastic and  Neoplastic Lesions
         The neoplastic process resulting from treatment  of  male rats
    with unleaded gasoline resembles  that induced  by several other  renal
    carcinogens: karyomegaly,  probably in the  P$ segment, followed  by
    hyperplasia, followed by adenomas that were often cystic, and carci-
    nomas.  These preneoplastic and neoplastic lesions  were  found in
    association with the increased severity of old-rat  nephropathy, but
    it was not possible to characterize  their  precise location, nature,
    or progression.  It was not possible to establish the influence of
    old-rat nephropathy on these  lesions,  and  the  mechanism  for the
    induction of these preneoplastic  and neoplastic  lesions  is unknown.
3.  Liver Lesions in Female Mice
         Acute toxicity or preneoplastic lesions were not found in  the livers
    of female mice, according  to  the  carcinogenicity study report;  however,
    hematoxylin and eos-in staining is not sensitive  for the  detection of
    preneoplastic lesions.  Acute toxicity studies with other hydrocarbons
    in mice have revealed fatty metamorphosis  in the liver.  The neoplasms
    in livers of female mice exposed  to  unleaded gasoline vapor resembled
    mouse liver neoplasms found in other studies,  but such neoplasms are
    often phenotypically similar  regardless of etiology.
           5.2.7.3  Review of  Human Kidney Lesions
1.  Acute - There are no thorough studies on human kidney lesions from
    acute exposure to hydrocarbons.   Case reports  indicating structural
                                 5-36

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    and functional  changes  in the kidney  show  the main  lesions  as variants
    of an immume complex type of glomerular  nephritis,  a  type of lesion
    that has not been found in rodents.   The mechanism  of  acute toxicity in
    the case reports is difficult to pinpoint  because of  confounding factors.
2.  Chronic - There is no persuasive evidence  that  human  exposure to gasoline
    is associated with renal  cancer.  There  is no evidence for  the calcification
    of papilla or calculi  in the bladder  or  kidney  from human exposure to
    gasoline.  Human renal  adenocarcinomas are morphologically  similar to
    those found in male rats chronically  exposed to unleaded gasoline
    vapor, as well  as to well-characterized  models  of rodent renal neoplasia
    induced by chemical  carcinogens.  However,  renal adenocarcinomas
    develop in human kidneys that are normal except for a  putative increase
    in hyperplasia and adenomas, whereas  adenocarcinomas  in the kidneys
    of rats chronically exposed to unleaded  gasoline vapor occurred with
    a background of chronic,  and often severe,  renal disease.   An apparent
    increase in the incidence of adenomas and  carcinomas  in the kidneys
    of dialysis patients is the only possible  equivalent  to adenocarcinoma
    induction in rats.  This possible similarity between  humans and rats
    needs to be further investigated,  but it is consistent with the view
    that any type of chronic renal  injury, e.g., old-rat  nephropathy, can
    possibly act as a promoter and/or cocarcinogen  in the  induction of
    renal neoplasia.
          Human renal cancer can occur along with chronic  interstitial
    nephritis, e.g., chronic analgesic nephropathy.  This  type  of cancer
    arises in the renal  pelvic epithelium to yield  transitional cell
    carcinomas totally different in location and structure from the
    lesions seen in the chronic rat study with unleaded gasoline.
                                 5-37

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               5.2.7.4  Species  and  Sex  Comparison of the Kidney
     Renal  morphology has been most  thoroughly  studied  in the  rat, rabbit, and
dog.  There has been no detailed ultrastructural  study  in the  mouse kidney.  A
detailed ultrastructural  study has been  done with renal  biopsies from 10 human
males who were screened for renal  dysfunction.
     The human kidney is multilobular, without  the distinct zonation caused
by the alignment of nephrons in  the  unilobar rodent kidney.  The rodent kidney
has a long loop of Henle and long papillae to allow extensive  concentration of
urine.  The human kidney has nothing like  the outer stripe of  the outer medulla
in the rodent kidney, which contains the pars recta (?3 segment) of the proximal
tubule and the ascending limb of the loop  of Henle.  The human kidney has an
ultrastructurally simple proximal  tubule in contrast to the kidney of the rat,
mouse, and rabbit.  No morphological  differences  between the kidneys of male
and female humans have been described.
     The size and number of lysosomes in the PI,  ?2, and ?3 segments in the
male rat kidney are larger than  in the female rat kidney.  This may be correlated
with the unique production of alpha-2-microglobulin and resorption of this
protein in the proximal  tubule in the male rat  kidney.   Endoplasmic reticulum
and microbodies are more prominent in female than in male rat  kidneys, which
may indicate a difference between them in  metabolic capacity.  Castration and
hypophysectomy of male rats decreases the  differences in the proximal tubule,
particularly lysosomes,  between  male and female rat kidneys.
     Hyalin droplets in the PI and P£ segments  have been found in kidneys
of male rats exposed to hydrocarbons other than unleaded gasoline vapor,
e.g., decalin.  These droplets consist mainly of  protein, including alpha
                                     5-38

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2-microglobulin,  within the phagolysosomal  system  of  the male  rat  kidney.
In the male rat kidney it is presumed that, with no evidence of  acute
glomerular lesions, these droplets represent accumulations  of  endogenous
proteins that are produced in the male rat liver and  resorbed  by the kidney,
to be phagocytized by lysosomes.   Protein accumulation  by the  kidney could  be
due to increased  synthesis and uptake and/or decreased  degradation.  The
mechanism of hydrocarbon nephrotoxicity is presently  unclear.  Exposure
to decalin produces hyalin droplets in male but not in  female  rats,  and
these droplets have been observed to disappear quickly  after cessation of
treatment with decalin.  However, it is not known  whether chronic  lysosomal
overload can produce cell injury  in rat kidney proximal  tubules.
     Less is known about renal mixed function oxidase (MFO)  than about liver
MFO.  There are marked species, strain, and sex differences  in the metabolic
capability of the rodent kidney.   There are potentially  significant  quantita-
tive and, to a lesser degree, qualitative differences in renal MFO components
and activity among species.  In all species studied thus far,  MFO  activity
has been localized in the proximal  tubule and usually in the ?2  and/or P£
segments.  Little data exist on MFO in the human kidney.  Metabolites from
other organs can  possibly go to the kidney to produce toxicity in  vivo.
Specific studies  on renal MFO and unleaded gasoline toxicity are lacking, but
there is some evidence that renal MFO may play a role in the renal toxicity
of other hydrocarbons.
               5.2.7.5  Rodent Kidneys and Other Hydrocarbons
     The only hydrocarbon fuel other than unleaded gasoline  that has been
tested in a chronic rodent bioassay is the synthetic  missile fuel  JP-10.
Exposure to JP-10 was found to induce renal carcinomas  in male Fischer 344  rats.
                                      5-39

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     Most solvents and hydrocarbons  have  induced  similar  acutely toxic
                                           4


lesions in the rodent kidney;  however,  no specific mechanism of action



has been determined,  nor has an ultrastructural analysis  been done.



     Paraffin and isoparaffin  fractions have been found to  be more acutely



toxic in rodent kidneys than are other  fractions  of  petroleum products.



     The mutagenicity of unleaded gasoline has  been  reported as negative.



However, in the in vitro assays,  only S-9 fractions  from  rat liver were



used, which may not relate to  other  organs:  also, there may have been a



problem with the volatility and solubility of the gasoline  in these assays.



     None of the tested hydrocarbons has  produced a  uniform necrosis in



the pars recta epithelium, as  is commonly seen  in the  rodent kidney with



other renal toxins, such as mercuric chloride.



     Acute lesions in the rodent kidney from hydrocarbon  exposure have



been characterized as hyalin droplet accumulations,  focal areas of



degeneration and necrosis, epithelial regeneration,  and granular casts in



the corticomedullary  junction.



               5.2.7.6  Old-Rat Nephropathy



     Old-rat nephropathy is characterized by interstitial fibrosis, thickening



of tubular basement membranes,  interstitial  chronic  inflammation, vascular



thickening in interlobular and  afferent arterioles,  glomerular hyalinization,



and tubular atrophy,  especially in the  PI segment of the  proximal tubule.



     In the unleaded  gasoline  carcinogenicity bioassay, increased numbers of



mitoses, hyperplasia, karyomegaly, and  other preneoplastic  lesions were not



seen in control rats.



     Old-rat nephropathy may start at an  early  age.  Old  females show a



lesser degree of nephropathy than males.   The severity of old-rat nephropathy

                                                                      »

varies among strains.




                                    5-40

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     Old-rat nephropathy was morphologically different from preneoplastic
lesions in the API carcinogenic!ty study of unleaded gasoline vapor.   However,
a possible etiologic relationship between old-rat nephropathy and  toxic  lesions
from exposure to unleaded gasoline vapor cannot be ruled out.
     In humans, chronic renal disease has been associated with renal  adeno-
carcinoma only in kidney dialysis patients.  Lesions in the kidneys of these
patients are morphologically similar to those seen in male rats in the chronic
unleaded gasoline vapor study, as well  as in other rodent studies  with hydro-
carbons.  No control human group has been studied along with the dialysis
patients.
     Old-rat nephropathy resembles focal and segmental  glomerulosclerosis
in human disease and, to a lesser extent, arteriolar and arterial  nephro-
sclerosis in aging humans.  Several  patients with renal  carcinoma  following
dialysis had renal failure secondary to nephrosclerosis, and one of these
patients had multiple calculi in the kidney.
     Studies with the liver indicate a greater ability of younger  than of
older rats to metabolize carcinogens;  however, a similar comparison with
the kidney still needs to be explored.
               5.2.7.7  Comparative Nephrotoxicity and Nephrocarcinogenicity
     Species, strain, and sex differences in response to nephrotoxins  are
clearly evident.  Many chemical  classes of nephrotoxins induce similar morphological
effects, and most nephrotoxic chlorinated hydrocarbons affect primarily  the
?3Vsegment of the proximal tubule, which is apparantly lacking in  humans.
However, few agents have well-character!" zed mechanisms of acute and chronic
renal toxicity.  Some chlorinated hydrocarbons, e.g., chloroform,  have chronic,
carcinogenic effects that do not always correspond to acute effects in terms
of target organ response.
                                      5-41

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     Chloroform induces a selective and uniform degeneration  and  necrosis
of proximal  tubule epithelial  cells, with the effect being  greatest  in  areas
with the greatest MFO activity,  as supported by studies  in  rats and  dogs.
Similar patterns of proximal  tubule degeneration from exposure to chloroform
have been observed in these two  species.
     There is evidence that similarity of morphological  endpoints does  not
necessarily indicate similarity  between mechanisms.    For example, nitriloacetic
acid may act as a promoter in the induction of renal  adenocarcinomas in rats,
but the renal adenocarcinomas induced by this agent  are  morphologically similar
to those observed in rats in the chronic unleaded gasoline  vapor  study.  Acute,
but not chronic, renal lesions from mercuric chloride treatment are  unlike
those induced by exposure to hydrocarbons.  Mercuric chloride, as well  as
chlorinated hydrocarbons, initially induces selected necrosis in  the renal  ?3
segment, and with higher doses also induces progressive  necrosis  in  the PI and
?2 segments.
               5.2.7.8  Significance to Humans of the Chronic Inhalation
                        Study with Unleaded Gasoline Vapor  in Rats and  Mice
1.  The relationship between old-rat nephropathy and renal  neoplasia in
    the chronic unleaded gasoline study is presently uncertain.   Although
    renal neoplasia in male rats exposed to unleaded gasoline does not
    appear to stem from basophilic cells in the old-age  renal  lesions,  a
    role of the old-age lesions  in the etiology of renal  neoplasia pre-
    sently cannot be ruled out.   In humans, chronic  renal disease has been
    associated with an increased incidence of renal  cancer.
2.  No statistically significant association between renal  epithelial neo-
    plasia and environmental  agents, except for cigarette smoke,  has been
    found in humans.  Tumors of  the renal pelvis in  humans  have been
                                                                    *
    associated with exposure to  environmental agents.
                                     5-42

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3.  Anatomical  and physiological  differences  between  rat  and human kidneys
    may contribute to differences in  renal  responses  to environmental agents,
    including unleaded gasoline.   This  issue  needs  further  study.
          5.2.8  Summary of Animal  Studies
     A lifetime inhalation bioassay of  unleaded  gasoline  in Fischer  344 rats and
B6C3F1 mice induced a statistically significant  incidence (6/100) of renal
carcinomas in the kidney cortex  of male rats  and a  larger,  also statistically
significant incidence (20/100) of hepatocellular carcinomas in female mice.
Female rats and male mice had no significant  treatment-related induction of
tumors at any organ site.  The incidence of renal tumors  was statistically
significant at the highest dose  tested  (2,056 ppm)  but not  at the two lower
doses (292 ppm and 67 ppm).   In  mice  the incidence  of liver carcinomas
alone and adenoma and carcinoma  combined was  also statistically significant in
the highest but not the two lower dose  groups.   Moderate  decrements  in body-
weight gain in the high-dose groups indicate  that the maximum tolerated dose
was reached.  Glomerulonephrosis occurred in  nearly all male rats, and
mineralization of the pelvis was correlated with dose.  However, there was no
correlation between animals with tumors and those with mineralization.
     The acute and subchrooic renal toxicity  of  decalin,  a  volatile  hydrocarbon
of the same general type as those contained in gasoline,  is confined to male
rats and does not occur in female rats  or in  mice,  dogs,  or guinea pigs.  In
a series of 21-day inhalation exposures of  male  rats  to a variety of chemical
fractions of gasoline, renal  toxicity was correlated  with the paraffin components
and not with the aromatic compounds in  the  mixture.   The  same pattern of
renal toxicity as well as a positive  renal  tumor response occurs in  response
to chronic inhalation of two synthetic  fuels  (RJ-5  and JP-10).  Chronic
inhaltion studies with the jet fuels  used by  the Air  Force  and Navy  (JP-4 and
                                     5-43

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JP-5) have shown the same nephrotoxic lesions,  but no statements  can  be  made
about the carcinoma response until  histopathological  analysis has been completed.
The renal toxicity pattern observed with exposure to  hydrocarbon  mixtures,
involving protein accumulation in renal  tubules,  is clearly different than
the kidney lesions occurring spontaneously in old rats,  and occurs in males
of both Fischer 344 and Spraque-Dawley strains, but not  in  females of these
strains or in mice or monkeys.
     Mutagenesis tests of unleaded  gasoline have  been carried out in  Salmonella,
yeast, mouse lymphoma in vivo cytogenetics, and mouse dominant lethal systems.
Various gasoline feedstocks have been tested in mouse lymphoma and i^n vivo
cytogenetics assays.  The results of most of these assays have not met the
criteria for positive responses. A detailed examination of their adequacy is
in process.
     5.3  Epidemiologic Studies of  Petroleum Workers
     Animal studies involving mice  and rats have  indicated  that unleaded gas-
oline exposure may increase the risk of  cancer, especially  kidney and liver
cancers, in humans.  The purpose of this section  is to review the epidemio-
logic literature in order to determine whether there  is  any epidemiologic
evidence suggested by the animal findings.  Three epidemiologic studies  have
been reviewed:  two published [Thomas et al. (1980, 1982)]  and one unpublished
[Rushton and Alderson (1982)].
          5.3.1  Thomas et al. (1980)
     Death records of individuals,  who at the time of death were  active  members
of the Oil, Chemical, and Atomic Workers International Union (OCAW),  were
reviewed for specific causes of death by the Environmental  Epidemiology  Branch
of the National Cancer Institute (Thomas et al. 1980).   The study group
                                     5-44

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consisted of 3,105 males whose deaths  were reported  to  the OCAW  Internatioal
Headquarters by Union locals in Texas  between  1947 and  1977 and  for  whom
death certificates were obtained.   Death  certificates were not available  for
10% of the reported deaths.   Approximately 40% of the decedents  were less
than 50 years of age at death.  Also,  40% of the decedents were  union members
for less than 10 years.
     The individual plants in which members had worked  were classified into
one of five major categories according to major processes.   The  most interes-
ting and the one for which approximately  70% of the  deaths were  classified
was the petroleum refinery and petrochemical plant category.  In the discus-
sion presented here, the results will  be  restricted  to  this category.
     Proportionate mortality ratios (PMRs), adjusted for  age and calendar
time using the United States general population, were computed and tested for
statistical significance.
     The PMR for all cancer deaths  (1.26)  was  significantly elevated for
whites (P < 0.01) but not for blacks (P > 0.05).  Also, the relative frequency
for arteriosclerotic heart disease  deaths was  elevated  significantly for both
racial groups (P < 0.01).  However, the relative frequencies for respiratory
and digestive disease deaths were quite a bit  lower  than  expected for whites
and blacks.  Both races had significantly elevated (P < 0.01) PMRs for
non-motor vehicle accidents, whereas the  PMR for motor  vehicle accidents was
significantly greater for whites only.
     With regard to the relative frequencies of cause-specific cancer deaths,
greater than expected frequencies  (P < 0.05) were observed for cancers of
the digestive organs and peritoneum, respiratory system,  and skin for whites.
     The PMRs for cancer of the stomach (2.69) and kidney (2.14) were signi-
ficantly elevated (P < 0.05) only  for  white males who joined the union 20 or
                                    5-45

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more years prior to death.   Black males whose lengths of  union  membership  were
either less than 10 years or 10 or more years experienced significantly
greater than expected frequencies (PMRs of 2.42 and  2.80, respectively) of
stomach cancer deaths.
     These results provide very weak  evidence for the carcinogem'city  of
gasoline vapors because of the following study limitations.   The  underlying
cause of death was unable to be determined for 10% or approximately  350 of
the total number of deaths.  This underreporting of  the causes  of death could
heavily influence the cause-specific  mortality frequencies,  especially if  the
underreporting were occurring for a small  number of  causes of death.
     A serious problem is inherent in the usefulness of PMRs.   If the  study
group has a lower mortality rate than the comparison group for  all causes  of
death, PRMs represent inflated estimates of cause-specific risks.  Furthermore,
excesses for one or more causes will  automatically force  others to be  in
deficit.
     This study has the obvious limitation of resricting  its investigation
to active members of the union, thereby excluding union members who  retired
or left the union for other, reasons as well  as excluding  non-union members.
The results of this study,  therefore, may overrepresent diseases  with  very
low survival rates and underrepresent diseases which tend to occur in
retirees.
     No exposure information regarding mesured levels of  gasoline vapor is
given.  Furthermore, the question has to be raised as to  whether  this  study
actually investigates the risk of leaded gasoline exposure or health in
contrast to unleaded gasoline exposure.  This study  examined the  mortality
experience of active OCAW members between 1947 and 1977.   The advent .of
unleaded gasoline use did not take place until  the late 1970s.
                                     5-46

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     Along with the problem of determining  the exact  agent  to which  the study
population was exposed, there is a question with  regard  to  the  adequacy of the
latency period.  A surrogate measure of  latency is  length of union membership.
Approximately 40% and 25% of the decedents  were OCAW  members for  less  than 10
years and more than 20 years, respectively.   Thus,  for a significantly large
proportion of the study population, the  period between first exposure  and
death was less than the generally accepted  average  latency  period of 10 to
30 years for environmentally induced cancers.
          5.3.2  Thomas et a!. (1982)
     For three of the refineries included in their  earlier  study, Thomas et
al. (1982) examined the cause-specific mortality  experience of  an expanded
group of union members.  The number of male deaths  from  the original study
of these three refineries was 1,161.  This  number was expanded  to include
1,194 retiree deaths and 154 additional  active union  member deaths.  In the
earlier study, reported deaths were for  the period  between  1947 and  1977.
The period of observation for the present study was extended through 1979.
Thus, 2,509 active and retired members of the OCAW  were  available for  analysis
in the present study.  As with the earlier  study, death  certificates were
unable to be located for 8% of the reported deaths.  However, no  information
was given regarding length of union membership.
     The PMR for stomach cancer was significantly elevated  (P < 0.05)  for
whites (1.41) and nonwhites (1.96).  The relative frequencies of  deaths
attributable to cancer of the pancreas (1.42), prostate  (1.46), brain  (2.28),
and hematopoietic and lymphatic system (1.72), [including leukemia (1.89) for
whites only] were significantly greater  than expected (P <  0.05).  Although
the PMR (1.51) for kidney cancer was elevated  for white  males,  it was  not
                                                                    *
statistically significant (P > 0.05).
                                     5-47

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     There were differences in mortality  patterns  for white males  among active

and retired union members.   Significant relative excesses  {P < 0.05) of stomach,

pancreatic, and brain cancer deaths were seen  among active members.

However, among retired members, the PMRs  were  significantly elevated for

prostrate cancer, Hodgkin's disease, multiple  myeloma,  and leukemia deaths.

     The limitations of this study are similar to  those already noted in

relation to the earlier study.  There are serious  concerns regarding the loss

of individuals due to the unavailability  of death  certificates, lack of expo-

sure information, and the inherent validity of PMRs.

          5.3.3  Rushton and Alderson (1982)

     Rushton and Alderson (1982),  in an unpublished report, presented the results

of a retrospective cohort mortality study of workers at distribution centers

from three oil companies in Great  Britain.   This study  was funded  by 23 oil

companies in Great Britain, and was coordinated by the  Institute of Petroleum.

The study population consisted of  men employed for at least one year between

January 1, 1950 and December 31, 1975.  The comparison  population  used was

the entire male population of England and Wales.

     A total of 762 distribution centers  contributed 23,358 men to the study

population.  Ninety-nine percent of the population was  followed sucessfully

to determine their vital status as of December 31, 1975.   The study population

accounted for 397,568.60 person-years, with an average  follow-up period of

17.1 years.

     The number of deaths of the study population  was decidedly lower than

that of the comparison population  both from all causes  (3,925 observed, 4,632

expected) and from all neoplasms (1,002 observed,  1,157 expected).

     These deficits may in part reflect the "healthy worker" effect.  However,
                                                                      *
consideration must also be given for the  criteria  of inclusion of  participants
                                     5-48

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into the study.  Although a feasibility study suggested that a  minimum  of  10
years of employment should be required for admittance into the  study  population,
it was decided to reduce this requirement to one year in order  to  increase the
number of people in the study.  Although this action  did, in fact,  increase the
study population by one and one-half,  it undoubtedly  contributed to an  over-
estimation of the expected numbers of  deaths, causing the observed  number
of deaths to be in deficit.
     With regard to cancer of the kidneys and suprarenals,  there were slightly
more deaths than expected (23 observed, 19.05 expected).   However,  among
drivers the 12 deaths observed were significantly larger (P < 0.05) than the
7.03 deaths to be expected.  It also should be noted  that all but  two of the
drivers had started work before 1940 and had over 20  years of service.
     It is indeed unfortunate, given the size and scope of this epidemio-
logic survey, that this report prepared by Rushton and Alderson is  best
characterized as superficial, anecdotal, and generally incomplete.  For
example, years of employment are parenthetically discussed in the  authors'
explanation for the selection criteria of workers into the study.   No accom-
panying tables are presented.  It can  only be inferred that 36% of  the  study
population had under 10 years of employment.  Virtually no other information
regarding years of employment and, hence, latency period can be gleaned from
this document, with the exception of an occasional  reference in the discussion
of the mortality from a few diseases.
     Pertinent information regarding measured levels  of gasoline vapor  at  the
762 distribution centers is missing.  Also missing is exposure  data for the
various occupational  categories at these centers.   Specifically, to what
extent and amount were the drivers subject to gasoline vapors?  Did the drivers
of gasoline tank trucks assist in the  unloading of gasoline into tanks?'
                                     5-49

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Furthermore, what constitutes a distribution center?   The background material
is at best incomplete in this report.
          5.3.4  Summary of Epidemiologic  Studies
     Three epidemiologic studies of workers  exposed  to petroleum  products
including gasoline and cancer have been reviewed:  two  published [Thomas  et
al. (1980, 1982)] and one unpublished  [Rushton and Alderson  (1982)].
     Thomas et al . (1980, 1982) reported on  two studies in which  the death
records of men who worked in oil refineries  and petrochemical  plants were
reviewed for specific causes of death.   The  1980 paper examined the records
of workers who at the time of death were active members of the Oil Chemical
and Atomic Workers International Union  (OCAW).   The  1982 paper was expanded
to include retired members of the OCAW  at  the time of  death.   Proportionate
Mortality Ratios (PMRs) adjusted for age and calendar  time using  the United
States general population were computed.
     The 1980 study showed that the PMRs for kidney  and stomach cancers  were
significantly increased (P < 0.05) for  white males who joined  the union  20 or
more years prior to death.  However, black males whose lengths of union  mem-
bership were less than 10 years, as well as  those  whose union  membership were
10 or more years, experienced significantly  greater  than expected frequencies
of stomach cancer deaths.  As indicated in the 1982  paper, there  were dif-
ferences in mortality patterns for white males among both active  and retired
union members.  Significant relative excesses (P < 0.05) of  stomach, pancreatic,
and brain cancer deaths were seen among active members.   However, among
retired members, the PMRs were significantly elevated  for prostate cancer,
Hodgkin's disease, multiple myeloma, and leukemia  deaths.
     Rushton and Alderson (1982) presented the results of a  retrospective
                                                                         »
cohort mortality study of male workers  at  distribution centers from three
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oil  companies in Great Britain.   The notable  result was  that  among drivers
there were 12 kidney cancer deaths which were significantly in  excess
(P < 0.05) compared to the 7.03 expected number of deaths.
     All  three studies suffer from insufficient documentation of  exposure and
employment histories and questionable applicability for  determining the carcino-
genicity of unleaded gasoline.   The studies by Thomas  et al.  (1980, 1982)
present inadequate definitions  of the study populations  and methodologies.
Moreover, the limitations inherent in proportionate mortality ratios (PMRs)
are in themselves sufficient to cast doubt on the results of  these studies.
PMRs reflect inflated estimates of mortality  if the study group has a lower
mortality rate than the comparison group for  all causes  of death.  Also,
excesses for one or more causes may automatically lead to a deficit in others.
Because of its incomplete nature, the study by Rushton and Alderson (1982) is
judged to be inadequate.
     5.4  Quantitative Risk Estimation
     This quantitative section  deals with the estimation of cancer risk due
to exposure to unleaded gasoline vapor.   The  unit risk is defined here as the
lifetime incremental  cancer risk from exposure to 1 ppm  of gasoline vapor in
air.  Uncertainties about the risk estimate and the possible  role of benzene
content in gasoline vapor are also addressed  in this section.
     The risk estimate for gasoline vapor represents an  extrapolation below
the dose range of experimental  data.   There is currently no solid scientific
basis for any mathematical  extrapolation model  that relates exposure to cancer
risk at the extremely low concentrations,  including the  unit  concentration
given above, that must be dealt with in  evaluating environmental hazards.  For
practical reasons the correspondingly low levels of risk cannot be measured
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directly either by animal  experiments  or by  epidemiologic  studies.  Low-dose
extrapolation must, therefore,  be based on  current  understanding of the mechanisms
of carcinogenesis.  At the present time the dominant  view  of  the carcinogenic
process involves the concept that most cancer-causing agents  also cause irrever-
sible damage to DMA.  This position is based in  part  on  the fact that  a very
large proportion of agents that cause  cancer are also mutagenic.  There is
reason to expect that the quanta!  response  that  is  characteristic of mutagenesis
is associated with a linear non-threshold dose-response  relationship.  Indeed,
there is substantial evidence from mutagenicity  studies  with  both ionizing
radiation and a wide variety of chemicals that this type of dose-response model
is the appropriate one to use.   This is particularly  true  at  the lower end of
the dose-response curve;  at high doses, there can be  an  upward curvature,
probably reflecting the effects of multistage processes  on the mutagenic response.
The linear non-threshold  dose-response relationship is also consistent with the
relatively few epidemiologic studies of cancer responses to specific agents
that contain enough information to make the evaluation possible (e.g., radiation-
induced leukemia, breast  and thyroid cancer, skin cancer induced by arsenic in
drinking water, liver cancer induced by aflatoxins  in the  diet).  Some supporting
evidence also exists from animal  experiments (e.g., the  initiation stage of the
two-stage carcinogenesis  model  in rat  liver and  mouse skin).
     Because its scientific basis, although  limited,  is  the best of any of the
current mathematical extrapolation models,  the non-threshold  model which is
linear at low doses, has  been adopted  by CAG as  the primary basis for  risk
extrapolation to low levels of the dose-response relationship.  The risk estimates
made with such a model should be regarded as conservative, representing the
most plausible upper limit for the risk (i.e., the  true  risk  is not likely to
                                                                    *
be higher than the estimate, but it could be lower).
                                      5-52

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     For several  reasons,  the unit risk  estimate based  on  animal  bioassays  is
only an approximate indication of the absolute risk  in  populations  exposed  to
known carcinogen concentrations.   First,  there are important  species  differences
in uptake, metabolism, and organ  distribution of carcinogens,  as  well  as  species
differences in target site susceptibility,  immunological responses, hormone
function, dietary factors, and disease.   Second, the concept  of equivalent
doses for humans compared  to animals  on  a mg/surface area  basis is  virtually
without experimental  verification as  regards carcinogenic  response.   Finally,
human populations are variable with respect to genetic  constitution and diet,
living environment, activity patterns, and  other cultural  factors.
     The unit risk estimate can give  a rough indication of the relative potency
of a given agent as compared with other  carcinogens.  Such estimates  are, of
course, more reliable when the comparisons  are based on studies in  which  the
test species, strain, sex, and routes of exposure are similar.
     The quantitative aspect of carcinogen  risk assessment is  addressed here
because of its possible value in  the  regulatory decision-making process,  e.g.,
in setting regulatory priorities, evaluating the adequacy  of  technology-based
controls, etc.  However, the imprecision of presently available technology  for
estimating cancer risks to humans at  low levels of exposure should  be recognized.
At best, the linear extrapolation model  used here provides a  rough  but plausible
estimate of the upper limit of risk from exposure to a  unit concentration of
gasoline vapor (i. e., with this  model it is not likely that  the  true risk
would be much more than the estimated risk, but it could be considerably  lower).
     The risk estimates in this paper relate only to exposure  to  gasoline
vapor.  Risks related to the entire range of compounds  that may be  present  in
air are not estimated here.
                                      5-53

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          5.4.1  Procedures for the Determination of Unit Risk
               5.4.1.1  Low-Dose Extrapolation Model
     The mathematical  formulation chosen  to  describe the linear nonthreshold
dose-response relationship at low doses  is the linearized multistage model.
This model employs enough arbitrary constants to be able to fit almost any
monotonically increasing dose-response data, and it incorporates a procedure
for estimating the largest possible linear slope (in the 95% confidence limit
sense) at low extrapolated doses that is  consistent with the data at all dose
levels of the experiment.
     Let P(d) represent the lifetime risk (probability) of cancer at dose d.
The multistage model  has the form:

               P(d) =  1 - exp L-(q0 + q^ +  q-^2 + ...+ qkdk)]
where
                          qi  >_ 0,  i  = 0,  1,  2, .... k
Equivalently,

                   Pt(d) = 1  - exp  [-(q^ +  q2d2 + ... + qkdk)]
where
                              P (d)  = P(d) - P(0)
                               t       1 -  P(0)
is the extra risk over background  rate in the animal  control group at dose d.
     The point estimate of the coefficients  qi, i = 0, 1, 2, ..., k, and
consequently, the extra risk  function, Pt(d), at any given dose d, is
calculated by maximizing the  likelihood function of the data.
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     The maximum likelihood  estimate  and the 95% upper confidence limit of the
extra risk,  Pt(d),  are calculated  by  using  the computer program, GLOBAL79,
developed by Crump  and Watson (1979).   At low doses, upper 95% confidence
limits on the extra risk and lower 95%  confidence limits on the dose producing
a given risk are determined  from a 95%  upper confidence limit, q^, on parameter
qj_.  Whenever qi >  0,  at low doses the  extra risk PtU) has approximately the
form Pt(d) = q£ x d.   Therefore, q^ x d is  a 95% upper confidence limit on the
extra risk and R/q^ is a 95% lower confidence limit on the dose, producing an
extra risk of R.  Let  LQ be  the maximum value of the log-likelihood function.
The upper-limit q*  is  calculated by increasing q^ to a value q* such that when
the log-likelihood  is  remaximized  subject to this fixed value q* for the linear
coefficient, the resulting maximum value of the log-likelihood LI satisfies the
equation:
                             2 (Lo -  LI) =  2.70554

where 2.70554 is the cumulative 90% point of the chi-square distribution with
one degree of freedom, which corresponds to a 95% upper-limit (one-sided).  This
approach of computing  the upper confidence  limit for the extra risk ?t(d) is an
improvement on the  Crump et  al. (1977)  model.  The upper confidence limit for
the extra risk calculated at low doses  is always linear.  This is conceptually
consistent with the linear nonthreshold concept discussed earlier.  The slope,
q*, is taken as an  upper-bound of  the potency of the chemical  in inducing
cancer at low doses.
     In fitting the dose-response  model, the number of terms in the polynomial
is chosen equal to  (h-1), where h  is  the number of dose groups in the experiment,
including the control  group.
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     Whenever the multistage model  does not fit the data sufficiently well, data
at the highest dose is deleted and the model  is refit to the rest of the data.
This is continued until an acceptable fit to the data is obtained.  To determine
whether or not a fit is acceptable, the chi -square statistic
                               2 m
is calculated where N^ is the number of animals in the ith dose group, X^ is
the number of animals in the i™ dose group with a tumor response, P.,-  is the
probability of a response in the itn dose group estimated by fitting the
multistage model to the data, and h is the number of remaining groups.  The
fit is determined to be unacceptable whenever X2 is larger than the cumulative
99% point of the chi-square distribution with f degrees of freedom, where f
equals the number of dose groups minus the number of non-zero multistage co-
efficients.
               5.4.1.2  Selection of Data
     For some chemicals, several studies in different animal species,  strains,
and sexes, each run at several  doses and different routes of exposure, are
available.  A choice must be made as to which of the data sets from several
studies to use in the model.  It may also be appropriate to correct for metabolism
differences between species and for absorption factors via different routes of
administration.  The procedures used in evaluating these data are consistent
with the approach of making a maximum-likely risk estimate.  They are  as follows:
     1.  The tumor incidence data are separated according to organ sites or
tumor types.  The set of data (i.e., dose and tumor incidence) used in the
model is the set where the incidence is statistically significantly higher
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than the control  for at least one test  dose  level and/or where the tumor
incidence rate shows a statistically  significant  trend with  respect to dose
level.  The data set that gives  the highest  estimate  of the  lifetime car-
cinogenic risk, q*,  is selected  in most cases.  However, efforts are made to
exclude data sets that produce spuriously  high  risk estimates because of a
small number of animals.  That is, if two  sets  of data show  a similar dose-
response relationship, and one has a  very  small sample size, the set of data
having the larger sample size is selected  for calculating the carcinogenic
potency.
     2.  If there are two or more data  sets  of  comparable size that are
identical with respect to species, strain, sex, and tumor sites, the geometric
mean of q*, estimated from each  of these data sets, is used  for risk assessment.
The geometric mean of numbers AI,  A2, ..., Am is  defined as

                            (A  x A  x  ... x
     3.  If two or more significant  tumor  sites are observed in the same study,
and if the data are available,  the number  of  animals with at least one of the
specific tumor sites under consideration is used as incidence data in the model
               5.4.1.3  Calculation  of  Human  Equivalent Dosages
     Following the suggestion  of  Mantel and Schneiderman (1975), it is assumed
that mg/surface area/day is an  equivalent  dose between species.  Since, to a
close approximation, the surface  area is proportional to the two-thirds power
of the weight, as would be the case  for a  perfect sphere, the exposure in
mg/day per two-thirds power of  the weight  is  also considered to be equivalent
exposure.  In an animal  experiment,  this equivalent dose is computed in the
following manner:
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Let
     Le = duration of experiment
     le = duration of exposure
     m = average dose per day in mg during administration of the agent (i.e.,
         during le), and
     W = average weight of the experimental  animal
Then, the lifetime exposure is:
                                           2/3
                                     Le x W
                    5.4.1.3.1  Oral.
     Often exposures are not given in units of mg/day, and it becomes necessary
to convert the given exposures into mg/day.  Similarly, in drinking water
studies, exposure is expressed as ppm in the water.   For example, in most
feeding studies exposure is given in terms of ppm in the diet.  In these cases,
the exposure in mg/day is:
                                m = ppm x F x r
where ppm is parts per million of the carcinogenic agent in the diet or water,
F is the weight of the food or water consumed per day in kg, and r is the
absorption fraction.  In the absence of any data to  the contrary, r is assumed
to be equal to one.  For a uniform diet, the weight  of the food consumed is
proportional to the calories required, which in turn is proportional to the
surface area, or two- thirds power of the weight.  Water demands are also
assumed to be proportional to the surface area, so that
                               m  « ppm x W    x r
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or
                                  rW
As a result, ppm in the diet or water is often assumed to be an equivalent
exposure between species.  However, this is not justified for the present
study, since the ratio of calories to food weight is very different in the
diet of man as compared to laboratory animals, primarily due to differences
in the moisture content of the foods eaten.  For the same reason, the amount
of drinking water required by each species also differs.  It is therefore
necessary to use an empirically-derived factor, f = F/W, which is the
fraction of an organism's body weight that is consumed per day as food,
expressed as follows:

                                            Fraction of body
                                           weight consumed as
                    Species        W        ffood      ^water
                      Man        70         0.028       0.029
                      Rats        0.35      0.05        0.078
                      Mice        0.03      0.13        0.17
Thus, when the exposure is given as a certain dietary or water concentration in
ppm, the exposure in mg/W2/3 is

                   m   = ppm x F = ppm x f x W = ppm x f x W1/3
                 rWZ/3   ~
When exposure is given in terms of mg/kg/day = m/Wr = s,  the conversion is
simply
                                     = s x W1/3.
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                    5.4.1.3.2   Inhalation.
     When exposure is via inhalation,  the calculation  of dose can be considered
for two cases where 1)  the carcinogenic  agent  is  either a  completely water-soluble
gas or an aerosol  and is absorbed proportionally  to  the amount  of air breathed
in, and 2) where the carcinogen is a poorly  water-soluble  gas which reaches an
equilibrium between the air breathed and the body compartments.  After  equilibrium
is reached, the rate of absorption of  these  agents is  expected  to be proportional
to the metabolic rate,  which in turn is  proportional to the  rate of oxygen
consumption, which in turn is  a function of  surface  area.
                         5.4.1.3.2.1  Case 1
     Agents that are in the form of particulate matter or  virtually completely
absorbed gases, such as sulfur dioxide,  can  reasonably be  expected to be absorbed
proportionally to the breathing rate.  In this case  the exposure in mg/day may
be expressed as:
                                 m = I x v x r
where I = inhalation rate per  day in m3,  v = mg/m3 of  the  agent in air, and
r = the absorption fraction.
     The inhalation rates, I,  for various species can  be calculated from the
observations of the Federation of American Societies for Experimental Biology
{FASEB 1974) that 25 g  mice breathe 34.5  liters/day  and 113  g rats breathe 105
liters/day.  For mice and rats of other  weights,  W (in kilograms), the  surface
area proportionality can be used to find breathing rates in  m3/day as follows:
                    For mice,  I = 0.0345  (W/0.025)2/3  m3/day
                    For rats,  I = 0.105  (W/0.113)2/3 m3/day

For humans, the value of 30 m3/day* is adopted as a  standard breathing  rate
(International  Commission on Radiological  Protection 1977).  The equivalent
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exposure in mg/W2/3 for these agents  can  be  derived from the air intake data
in a way analogous to the food intake data.  The  empirical factors  for the air
intake per kg per day, i  = I/W, based upon the previously  stated relationships,
are tabulated as follows:
                    Species            W           i =  I/W
Man
Rats
Mice
70
0.35
0.03
0.29
0.64
1.3
Therefore, for particulates or completely  absorbed  gases, the equivalent
exposure in mg/W2/3 is
                        d =   ro  =  Ivr   =  iWvr =  -jwl/3vr
                           ^273
     In the absence of experimental  information or  a  sound theoretical argument
to the contrary,  the fraction absorbed,  r,  is  assumed to be the same for all
species.
                         5.4.1.3.2.2  Case  2
     The dose in  mg/day of partially soluble vapors is proportional to the 02
consumption, which in turn is proportional  to  W2/3  and is also proportional to
the solubility of the gas in body  fluids, which can be expressed as an absorption
coefficient, r, for the gas.  Therefore, expressing the 02 consumption as 02 =
k W2/3, where k is a constant independent of species, it follows that:
                            m =  k  W2/3 x v  x r
or
                            d =    rc    =  kvr
                                w2/3
     Trom "Recommendation of the  International Commission on Radiological
Protection," page 9.  The average  breathing rate  is 10? cm3 per 8-hoor workday
and 2 x 107 cm3 in 24 hours.
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As with Case 1,  in the absence of  experimental  information  or  a  sound theoretical
argument to the contrary,  the absorption fraction,  r,  is  assumed to  be  the same
for all species.  Therefore,  for these substances  a certain concentration in
ppm or ug/m3 in experimental  animals  is equivalent  to  the same concentration
in humans.  This is supported by the  observation that  the minimum alveolar
concentration necessary to produce a  given "stage"  of  anesthesia is  similar
in man and animals (Dripps et al.  1977).  When  the  animals  are exposed  via
the oral route and human exposure is  via inhalation or vice versa, the
assumption is made, unless there is pharmacokinetic evidence to  the  contrary,
that absorption is equal by either exposure route.
               5.4.1.4  Calculation of the Unit Risk from Animal  Studies
     The risk associated with d mg/kg2/3/day is obtained  from  GLOBAL79  and, for
most cases of interest to risk assessment, can  be  adequately approximated by
P(d) = 1 - exp (-q*d).  A "unit risk" in units  X is simply  the risk  corresponding
to an exposure of X = 1.  This value  is estimated  simply  by finding  the number
of mg/kg2/3/day that corresponds to one unit of X,  and substituting  this value
into the above relationship.   Thus, for example, if X  is  in units of ug/m3 in
the air, then for case 1,  d = 0.29 x  701-/3 x 10~3 mg/kg2/3/day,  and  for case 2,
d = 1, when ug/m3 is the unit used to compute parameters  in animal experiments.
     If exposures are given in terms  of ppm in  air,  the following calculation
may be used:
                     1 ppm =  1.2 x molecular weight (gas) mg/m3
                                   molecular weight (air)
Note that an equivalent method of  calculating unit  risk would  be to  use mg/kg
for the animal exposures,  and then to increase  the  jth polynomial coefficient
by an amount:
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                        (Wh/Vj/3  J  =  i,  2,  ...,  k,
and to use mg/kg equivalents for the unit risk  values.
                    5.4.1.4.1  Adjustments  for  Less Than  Lifespan Duration
                               of Experiment
     If the duration of experiment Le  is less than  the  natural lifespan of the
test animal L, the slope qf, or more generally  the  exponent g(d), is  increased
by multiplying a factor (l_/l_e)3.  We assume that  if the average dose  d is
continued, the age specific rate of cancer  will continue  to increase  as a constant
function of the background rate.  The  age-specific  rates  for  humans increase at
least by the third power of the age and  often by  a  considerably higher power,
as demonstrated by Doll (1971).  Thus, it is  expected that the cumulative tumor
rate would increase by at least the third power of  age.   Using this fact, it is
assumed that the slope qf, or more generally  the  exponent g(d), would also
increase by at least the third power of  age.  As  a  result, if the slope q^
[or g(d)] is calculated at age Le, it  is expected that  if the experiment had
been continued for the full  lifespan L at the given average exposure, the slope
qf [or g(d)] would have been increased by at  least  (L/Le)3.
     This adjustment is conceptually consistent with the  proportional hazard
model proposed by Cox (1972) and the time-to-tumor  model  considered by Daffer et
al. (1980), where the probabiity of cancer  by age t and at dose d is  given by
                        P(d,t) = 1 - exp[-f(t)  x  g(d)].
          5.4.2  Lifetime Risk Estimates
               5.4.2.1  Data Available for  Risk Estimation
     The chronic inhalation study of unleaded gasoline  vapor conducted by the
International  Research and Development Corporation  (IRDC  1983) and sponsored by
the American Petroleum Institute (API) is the only  study  that can be  used to
derive the carcinogenic potency of unleaded gasoline vapor.  Tables 5-23 and
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5-24 present dose-response data used  in  these  calculations.  The data in Table
5-23 were taken from Tables 21  and 22 of Volume  5  of  the API report.  The data
in Table 5-24 were taken from Tables  23  and  24 of  Volume 6 of the API report.
All of the tumors reported in Tables  5-23 and  5-24 were observed after 18
months of study.   One kidney tumor that  was  observed  in the 40 animals sacrificed
before 18 months in the highest dose  group is  not  included in Table 5-23.
               5.4.2.2  Choices of Low-Dose  Extrapolation Models
     In addition to the multistage model  currently used by the CAG for low-dose
extrapolation, estimates of risk from exposure to  gasoline vapor were also
determined using two other models (the probit  and  the Wei bull models).  These
models cover almost the entire  spectrum  of risk  estimates that could be generated
from existing mathematical  extrapolation models.   These models are generally
statistical  in character, and are not derived  from biological arguments, except
for the multistage model, which has been used  to support the somatic mutation
hypothesis of carcinogenesis (Armitage and Doll  1954, Whittemore 1978, Whittemore
and Keller 1978.)  The main difference among these models is the rate at which
the response function, P(d), approaches  zero or P(0)  as dose, d, decreases.  For
instance, the probit model  would usually predict a smaller risk at low doses than
the multistage model because of the difference of  the decreasing rate in the
low-dose region.   However,  it should  be  noted  that one could always artificially
give the multistage model the same (or even  greater)  rate of decrease as the
probit model by making some dose transformation and/or by assuming that some of
the parameters in the multistage model are zero.   This, of course, is not
reasonable without knowing, a priori,  what the carcinogenic process for the
agent is.  Although the multistage model  appears to be the most reasonable or
at least the most general model  to use,  the  maximum likelihood estimate generated
                                                                         *
from this model does not help to determine the shape  of the dose-response curve
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TABLE 5-23.  INCIDENCE RATES OF TOTAL  KIDNEY  TUMORS  IN  MALE  FISCHER  344 RATS
                       EXPOSED TO UNLEADED GASOLINE  VAPOR
           (International  Research and Development Corporation  1983)
Experimental dose (ppm)
0
67
292
2056&
Standardized
lifetime dose (ppm)a
0
11.96
52.14
367.14
Incidence
0/49
2/59
5/56
5/45
rate

(3.4%)
(8.9%)
(11.1%)
aThe dose in ppm is assumed to be equivalent between  humans  and  animals.  Since
 the doses were given only 6 hours/day  and  5 days/week,  the  lifetime dose is
 calculated by multiplying the factor (5  x  7)  x  (6/24) to  each of the experimental
 doses.
bThe data from this group is not used in  calculation.
 TABLE 5-24.  INCIDENCE RATES OF HEPATOCELLULAR  TUMORS  IN FEMALE MICE (B6C3FL)
                       EXPOSED TO UNLEADED GASOLINE  VAPOR
           (International  Research and  Development Corporation 1983)
Experimental
dose (ppm)
0
67
292
2056
Standardized
lifetime dose (ppm)

11.96
52.14
367.14
Carci noma/adenoma
incidence rate
8/57 (14.0%)
10/52 (19.2%)
13/57 (22.8%)
28/56 (50.0%)
Carcinoma
incidence rate
7/57 (12.3%)
6/52 (11.5%)
9/57 (15.8%)
20/56 (35.7%)
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beyond experimental  exposure levels.   Furthermore, maximum likelihood estimates
at low doses extrapolated beyond  experimental  doses could be unstable depending
on the amount of the lowest experimental  dose;  the upper-bound estimates from
the multistage model  at low doses are relatively more  stable than maximum
likelihood estimates.   The upper-bound estimate can be taken as a plausible
estimate at low doses  if the true dose-response curve  is actually linear. The
upper-bound estimate means that the risks are  not likely to be higher, but
could be lower if the  compound has a  concave upward dose-response curve or a
threshold at low doses.  Because  the  estimated  risk is a probability conditional
to the assumption that an animal  carcinogen is  also a  human carcinogen, the
actual risk could range from a value  near zero  to an upper-bound estimate.
               5.4.2.3  Calculation of Unit Risk (Risk at 1 ppm)
     In the calculation of unit risk,  ppm in air is assumed to be equivalent
between animals and humans.  The  data from the highest dose group in Table 5-23
is excluded in the calculation because the model dose  not fit well if these data
are included (See 5.4.1.1 above).  Furthermore, the data seem to indicate the
toxic effect in the highest dose  group because  only two-thirds of the animals
survived beyond 18 months.  Using the tumor incidence  data and the corresponding
lifetime dose presented in Tables 5-23 and 5-24, the cancer risks at 1 ppm are
calculated using the multistage model.  The results are presented in Table
5-25.  Both the 95% upperbound estimate and the maximum likelihood estimate
are given.  Because the maximum likelihood estimate of the linear component in
the multistage model  is not zero, the upper-bound estimate is only about two
times the corresponding point estimate.   The cancer risk estimates in Table
5-25 can be used to represent the carcinogenic  potency of unleaded gasoline
vapor.  The kidney data in rats and the combined hepatocellular adenoma/carcinoma
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data in mice are closely  similar,  spanning a  range from 2.1 x 10*3 to 3.5 x 10-3,
This range represents one measure  of uncertainty  in  the upper limit of potency,
the lower limit being zero potency.
       TABLE 5-25.  ESTIMATES OF CARCINOGENIC  POTENCY DUE TO EXPOSURE TO
                        1  PPM OF UNLEADED  GASOLINE  VAPOR
                           q* 95% upper-bound               Maximum
Data base                   1   estimate              likelihood estimate
(1) Kidney tumor in
 male rats                      3.5  x 10'3                 2.0 x 10-3
(2) Hepatocelluar carcinoma/
 adenoma in female mice         2.1  x 10-3                 1.4 x 10-3
Hepatocellular
 carcinoma in
 female mice                    1.4  x 10-3                 8.5 x 10-4
Geometric mean of (1) and (2)    2.7  x 1Q-3                 1.7 x 10-3
               5.4.2.4  Comparison of Risk  Estimates by Different Low-dose
                        Extrapolation Models
     For comparison, the probit and the Weibull models are also used to calculate
cancer risks at various dose levels.  The calculated results are presented in
Table 5-26.  The maximum likelihood estimates  of  the parameters in each model
are presented in Appendix B.  The results shown in Table  5-26 indicate that all
three of the models predict comparable risks  (within an order of magnitude) at
                                      5-67

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1 ppm, but the difference becomes  greater  as  the dose becomes smaller.  For
instance, on the basis of hepatoceulular tumors, the miltistage model predicts
a much higher risk than that predicted  by  the probit model at a dose level of
0.001 ppm.  This observation is not surprising, since the tangent (slope) of
the probit curve approaches zero as dose approaches zero, while the slope of
the multistage curve is linear at low doses.  The  risks predicted by the Wei bull
model on the basis of kidney tumors and hepatocellular carcinoma/adenoma are
higher on the entire exposure range (0.001  ppm to  1.0 ppm) than the multistage
model because the Weibul  model  shows a  sub-linear  dose-response relationship
which is not considered biologically plausible (see section 5.4).  For this reason,
low-dose linearity has intuitive appeal.   For example, the incidence of hepatocellular
tumors at the lowest experimental  dose  (11.96 ppm) is 10/52, and the incidence
in controls (0 ppm) is 8/57.  In the absence  of knowledge as to the shape of
the dose-response relationship below the lowest experimental dose level, the
only reasonable method of estimating cancer potency without having the possibility
of seriously underestimating the true risk is to use linear extrapolation.
That is, the slope (potency) is calculated by:
                     (10/52 - 8/57)/11.96  = 4.3 x  10-3/ppm
This crude estimate is about threefold  greater than the maximum likelihood
estimate (1.44 x 10-3/ppm) calculated from the multistage model which utilizes
all the data points, including the lowest  data point used in the above calculation.
     If one assumes that the dose-response curve is concave upward at low doses,
the risk calculated by the low-dose linear model can be considered an upper-
bound estimate of the true risk; it is  the only plausible estimate that does
not have the potential for underestimating the true risk on the basis of the
                                     5-69

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data given.   Any more precise estimate would  require  either  further  assumptions
about the shape of the dose-response curve or biological  knowledge of the
mechanism of carcinogenic action.
     In comparing the models in Table 5-26, note that the multistage model
has higher maximum likelihood estimates than  the probit model  for all doses
lower than 0.01 ppm.  This result  is attributed  to  the low dose linearity
characteristic of the multistage model's prediction of the dose-response
relationship.  In fact, the multistage model  produces a linear relationship
over the entire range of exposure  estimates  (0.001  ppm to 1.0  ppm) that would
be produced by emissions of controlled and uncontrolled gasoline vapors.
Based on its low dose linearity characteristic,  the multistage model is selected
as the model EPA should rely upon  to estimate risk  of exposure to gasoline
vapor because it provides conservative estimates at low doses  (i. e., below
0.01 ppm) and an adequately conservative approximation of risk at higher doses.
At higher dose levels in the range of ambient exposure levels  that would result
from continued release of uncontrolled gasoline  vapor emissions (i.e., between
0.01 ppm and 1.0 ppm), the multistage and probit models produce approximately
the same maximum likelihood risk estimates (within  the error band of these
models estimates).  Although the multistage model maximum likelihood risk
estimates are about one-half of the probit model  estimates at  dose levels of
0.05 ppm to 1.0 ppm, this result is not considered  to be  a significant factor
given the inherent uncertainties in developing risk estimates.  In fact, the
maximum likelihood risk estimates  of each model  being within a factor of 2 of
one another is considered good agreement.
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               5.4.2.5   Uncertainties of Quantitative Risk Assessment
                    5.4.2.5.1   Uncertainties Associated with Potency Estimates
     It is well  known that different models, all of which might fit well with a
given set of data over  the experimental dose range, might nevertheless predict
drastically different responses at  low doses.  Gasoline vapor data are no
exception.  As shown in Table  5-26, the multistage model predicts much higher
risk than the probit model  at  0.001 ppm, on the  basis of liver tumor incidence.
The risk estimate at low doses for  unleaded gasoline vapor is calculated by
using the linearized multistage model, which is  linear at low doses.  The
potency estimate derived from  such  a model has been considered an upper-bound
estimate on the assumption that the shape  of the dose-response curve is upwardly
concave at low dose levels. The carcinogenic potency, qf, as derived from the
multistage model, represents the 95% upper-bound confidence estimate, reflecting
only the statistical variability of the response data.
     The low-dose risk  estimate derived from animal data must further be extra-
polated to humans.   There are  many  factors that  must be considered in extrapo-
lating risk from animals to humans.  Included among these factors are differ-
ences between humans and animals with respect to life span, body size, genetic
variability, and pharmacokinetic effects such as metabolism and excretion
patterns.  In assessing the risks of gasoline vapor, it was assumed that ppm
in air will induce the  same tumor response in humans as in animals.  It is
questionable, however,  whether this simple assumption is capable of accounting
for all the differences between humans and the animals that were used in the
gasoline experiment of  the IRDC (1983).
     An important but often neglected factor in  risk assessment is the weight
of the evidence that gasoline  vapor is carcinogenic to humans.  The risk
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estimate derived from animal  data gives  only  a  conditional  probability of cancer
on the assumption that the agent is carcinogenic  to  humans.
                    5.4.2.5.2  Uncertainties  Associated with  the Use of Potency
                               "Estimates to Predict  Individual  Risks in Real-life
                               Exposure  Patterns'
     The carcinogenic potency estimate for unleaded  gasoline  can be used to
predict the human cancer risk from continuous gasoline exposure, subject to the
uncertainties previously discussed.  The actual human exposure  to  gasoline
vapor, however, is likely to be only a few minutes per week.  The  questions
then arise as to whether this exposure can be averaged over the entire week
in order to arrive at a continuous exposure estimate, and whether  overestimation
or underestimation of the risk of intermittent  doses would  result  from such
averaging.  The available data for analogous  situations indicate that either of
the two possibilities may be true.  In studying factors modulating the
carcinogenici ty of benzidine, Vesselinovitch  et al.  (1975)  demonstrated that
twice-weekly administration of benzidine by stomach  intubation  was less effective
in inducing liver and harden an gland tumors  but  more effective in inducing
lung adenomas than the continuous (daily) feeding of equivalent doses.
     Another example which may or may not be  relevant to the  case  of gasoline
vapor exposure are the studies of low-linear  energy  transfer  (LET) radiation.
After reviewing all the data on radiation-induced genetic and tumorigenic
effects in plants, "simple" biological systems, animals, and  humans, the National
Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements  (NCRP 1980)  concluded that,
for a given total dose, the high-dose rate exposure  is more effective than the
low-dose rate exposure in producing the response  and that the difference in
response between the two exposure patterns diminishes as the  total dose decreases.
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The applicability of this observation  to  the  human  exposure to gasoline vapor
is not known.  If one assumes that the gasoline vapor  has  the same dose-rate
effect as the low-LET radiation exposure,  then  the  use of  averaging dose would
not overestimate the risk and would give  a close approximation to the true
risk when the exposure level  is small.  In this discussion, it is assumed that
the dose-response relationship obtained previously  predicts accurately the true
risk when the dose is continuous.
     In general, three possible situations can  occur in estimating cancer risk
due to gasoline vapor exposure in  the  real-life situation  when the averaging
dose is used:
     1.  The real-life (intermittent)  exposure  pattern and the continuous
(averaging dose) exposure patterns are equally  effective.  In this case the
risk estimate is unbiased.
     2.  The real-life exposure pattern is more effective  than the continuous
exposure pattern.  In this case, the risk is  underestimated when the dose is
averaged.
     3.  The real-life exposure pattern is less effective  than the continuous
exposure pattern.  In this case, the risk is  overestimated when the dose is
averaged.
     Not enough is known about the mechanism  of action to  state which possibility
is the most likely or to know the  magnitude of  either  the  overestimation or
the underestimation.
               5.4.2.6  Cancer Risk Attributable to Benzene Content in Gasoline
                        Vapor
     To estimate the cancer risk which  could  be quantitatively attributable
to the benzene content in gasoline vapor,  the following assumptions are made:
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     1.  Tumor response due to benzene  content  in  gasoline vapor is additive.
That is, benzene does not act synergistically or antagonistically with other
chemical compounds in the gasoline vapor complex mixture.
     2.  Tumor responses due to benzene exposure need  not be site-specific
among different species or strains.   This assumption is made for the purpose of
quantitative analysis, but may not be valid  from a biological point of view.
     3.  Part per million (ppm) in air  is assumed  to be equally effective in
inducing tumors among different species.
     4.  The absorption rate for rats is similar irrespective of the route
of exposure (gavage or inhalation).
     Table 5-27 summarizes the cancer risk of benzene  at 1 ppm.  Both 95% upper-
bound and maximum likelihood (point)  estimates  are presented.  Details on the
data and calculations are presented  in  Appendix C.  It should be noted that the
potencies presented in Table 5-27 are to be  used solely for determining the frac-
tion of tumor response in the gasoline  vapor study that is attributable to
benzene content, and should not be construed as the CAG's estimates of the
carcinogenic potency of benzene in humans.   The fraction of the unleaded gaso-
line tumor response attributable to  benzene  content can be expressed as:
                AR = potency (benzene)  x 0.02/potency  (gasoline)
where 0.02 is the reported benzene content.  Since both gasoline and benzene
potency estimates calculated on the basis of different data sets are comparable,
it is appropriate to use the geometric  means presented respectively in Table 5-25
and Table 5-27 to calculate AR.
                                      5-74

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               TABLE 5-27.   ESTIMATES OF THE  CARCINOGENIC  POTENCY
                           OF BENZENE (RISK AT 1  PPM)
Data base
Female ratsa
Male ratsb
Female rats*5
Male micec
Geometric mean
Upper-bound
estimate
1.3 x 10-2
7.9 x 10-3
1.3 x 10-2
1.4 x 10-2
1.2 x 10-2
Maximum likelihood
estimate
8.0 x 10-3
5.2 x 10-3
8.7 x 10-3
6.9 x 10-3
7.1 x 10-3
aZymbal  gland carcinoma (gavage);  Mai torn'  et al.  (1982).
bZymbal  gland carcinoma (gavage);  NTP  (1983).
cHematopoietic neoplasms (inhalation);  Snyder et  al.  (1980).
                                      5-75

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When upper bound estimates are used:
                    AR = 1.2 x 10-2 x 0.02/2.7  x  10-3  =  Q.Q9

When maximum likelihood estimates are used:

                    AR = 7.1 x 10-3 x 0.02/1.7  x  10-3  =  Q.08

     These calculations indicate that from the  quantitative viewpoint  alone,
the benzene content accounts for less than 10%  of the  tumor responses  observed
in the IRDC (1983) unleaded gasoline study.
     Another way to determine the quantitative  benzene contribution  to the
tumor response is to calculate the expected  increase of  tumor-bearing  animals
and compare it with the corresponding observed  response  (after  adjusting  for
the background rate) at each of the two lowest  experimental doses  in which
toxic effects were not observed.  These calculations (not  shown here)  also
indicate that about 10% of responses to gasoline  could be  due to benzene  content.
One of the main uncertainties associated with the conclusion made  above is the
assumption that the risk due to benzene is additive  to that of  gasoline vapor.
There is no evidence to support or deny this assumption.   However, it  can be
shown that, under the multistage theory of carcinogenic!"ty, if  two carcinogens
act on different stages of carcinogenesis, a multiplicative effect will result.
There is abundant evidence that a carcinogen or a non-carcinogen could modify
(enhance or inhibit) the carcinogenic action of another  compound.  Since  gasoline
vapor contains more than one chemical  compound, such interactive effects  are
likely.  Further research is needed to identify which  compound  (e.g.,  benzene)
or fraction of compounds is responsible for the carcinogenic effect.
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          5.4.3  Summary  of Quantitative Risk  Estimation
     Data from the API  study on kidney  tumors  in  male  rats  and  liver  adenomas
and carcinomas in female  mice were used to  derive an estimate of  the  incremental
upper-limit unit risk due to continuous human  exposure to 1  ppm of  unleaded
gasoline.  Since the animals breathed the complete mixture  under  laboratory
conditions, whereas humans are expected to  breathe only the more  volatile
components of the mixture, the estimates are uncertain.  The estimates from
the mouse and rat data  are similar:  2.1 x  10-3  (ppm)-l from mouse  data and
3.5 x 10-3 (ppm)"1 from rat data.
     The presence of 2% benzene in the  unleaded  gasoline mixture  could
theoretically contribute  to the response, although the mouse liver  and rat
kidney have not been target organs in animal experiments with benzene.  Based
on those experiments, it  is estimated that  the contribution  of  benzene to the
response observed in the  API unleaded gasoline studies could be on  the order
of 10%.  However, there is no qualitative evidence that benzene actually
is contributing to the  response.
     5.5  Summary and Conclusions
          5.5.1  Summary
               5.5.1.1  Qualitative
                    5.5.1.1.1  Animal Studies
     A lifetime inhalation bioassay  of  unleaded gasoline in  Fischer 344 rats
and B6C3F1 mice has induced a statistically significant incidence (6/100) of
renal carcinomas in the kidney cortex of male  rats and a larger,  also statistically
significant,  incidence  (20/100)  of hepatocellular carcinomas in female mice.
Female rats and male mice had no significant treatment-related  induction of
tumors at any organ site.  The incidence of renal  tumors was statistically
significant at the highest dose tested  (2,056  ppm) but not  at the two.lower
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doses (292 ppm and 67 ppm).    In  mice,  the incidence  of liver carcinomas alone
and adenoma and carcinoma combined,  was also  statistically significant in the
highest but not the two lower dose groups.  Moderate  decrements  in the body
weight gain in the high-dose groups  indicate  that  the maximum tolerated dose
was reached.  Glomerulonephrosis  occurred  in  nearly all of the male rats, and
mineralization of the pelvis was  correlated with dose.  However, there was no
correlation between animals  with  tumors and those  with mineralization.
     The acute and subchronic renal  toxicity  of decalin,  a volatile hydrocarbon
of the same general type as  those in gasoline, is  confined to male rats and
does not occur in female rats or  in  mice,  dogs or  guinea  pigs.   In a series of
21-day inhalation exposures  of male  rats to a variety of  chemical fractions of
gasoline, renal toxicity was correlated with  the paraffin components and not
with the aromatic compounds  in the mixture.   The same pattern of renal toxicity,
as well as a positive renal  tumor response, occurred  in response to chronic
inhalation of two synthetic  fuels (RJ-5 and JP-10).   Chronic inhalation studies
with the jet fuels used by the Air Force and  Navy  (JP-4 and JP-5) have shown
the same nephrotoxic lesions, but no statements can be made about the carcinoma
response until histopathological  analyses  are completed.  The renal toxicity
pattern observed with exposure to hydrocarbon mixtures involving protein accumu-
lation in renal tubules, is  clearly  different than the kidney lesions occurring
spontaneously in old rats,  and occurs in males of  both Fischer 344 and Sprague-Dawley
strains but not in females of these  strains or in  mice or monkeys.  Mutagenesis
tests of unleaded gasoline have been carried  out in Salmonella, yeast, mouse
lymphoma in vivo cytogenetics and mouse dominant lethal systems.  Various gasoline
feedstocks have been tested  in mouse lymphoma and  in  vivo cytogenetics assays.
The results of most of these assays  have not  met the  criteria for positive
responses.  A detailed examination of their adequacy  is in process.  -
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                    5.5.1.1.2  Epidemlologic Studies
     Three epidemiologic studies of workers exposed to petroleum products
including gasoline have been reviewed:   two published [Thomas et al.,  (1980,
1982)1 and one unpublished [Rushton and Alderson (1982)].
     Thomas et al. (1980, 1982) reported on two studies in which the  death
records of male individuals who worked in oil  refineries and petrochemical
plants were reviewed for specific causes of death.  The 1980 paper examined the
records of workers who at the time of death were active members of the Oil
Chemical and Atomic Workers International Union (OCAW).  The 1982 paper was
expanded to include retired members of the OCAW at the time of death.
Proportionate Mortality Ratios (PMR) adjusted for age and calendar time using
the United States general population were computed.  The 1980 study  showed that
the PMRs for kidney and stomach cancers were significantly increased  (P < 0.05)
for white males who joined the union 20 or more years prior to death.   However,
black males whose lengths of union-membership were less than 10 years, as well
as those whose union membership we>e 10 or more years, experienced significantly
greater than expected frequencies of stomach cancer deaths.  As indicated in
the 1982 paper, there were differences in mortality patterns for white males
among both active and retired union members.  Significant relative excesses
(P < 0.05) of stomach, pancreatic, and brain cancer deaths were seen  among
active members.  However, among retired members, the PMRs were significantly
elevated for prostate cancer, Hodgkin's disease, multiple myeloma, and leukemia
deaths.
     Rushton and Alderson (1982) presented the results of a retrospective cohort
mortality study of male workers at distribution centers from three oil companies
in Great Britain.   The notable result was that there were 12 kidney cancer
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deaths among drivers,  which represented  a  significant  excess  (P  < 0.05) in
comparison with the 7.03 expected number of deaths.
     The studies by Thomas et al. (1980, 1982)  present problems  in  their
definitions of the study population and  in their methodology.  The  limitations
inherent in proportionate mortality ratios (PMRs)  are  sufficient to cast doubt
on the results of these studies.   PMRs reflect  inflated estimates of mortality
if the study group has a lower mortality rate than the comparison group for
all causes of death.  Also, excesses for one or more causes may  automatically
lead to a deficit in others.
     Because of the incomplete nature of the study by  Rushton  and Alderson
(1982), it is judged to be inadequate.   All  three studies  suffer from insufficient
documentation of exposure and employment histories and questionable applicability
for assessing the carcinogenicity of unleaded gasoline.
               5.5.1.2  Quantitative
     Data from the API study  on kidney tumors in male  rats and liver adenomas
and carcinomas in female mice were used  to derive an estimate  of the incremental
upper-limit unit risk  due to  continuous  human exposure to  1 ppm  of unleaded
gasoline.  Since the animals  breathed the  complete mixture under laboratory
conditions, whereas humans are expected  to breathe only  the more volatile
components of the mixture, the estimates are uncertain.  The estimate from the
mouse and rat data are similar:  2.1 x 10-3 (ppm)-l from mouse data and 3.5 x 10-3
(ppm)'1 in rat data.
     The presence of 2% benzene in the unleaded gasoline mixture could
theoretically contribute to the response,  although the mouse liver and rat
kidney have not been the target organs in  animal  experiments with benzene.
Based on those experiments, it is estimated that the contribution of benzene to
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the response observed in the API  unleaded  gasoline  studies could be on the
order of 10%.  However,  there is  no qualitative  evidence  that benzene actually
is contributing to the response.
          5.5.2  Conclusions
     The occurrence of a small  but definite  kidney  tumor  response in male
rats and a significant hepatocellular response in female  mice furnish sufficient
evidence, using the criteria of the International Agency  for Research on Cancer
(IARC), for the carcinogen!city of unleaded  gasoline  in animals.  The similar
pattern of response in rats  to the synthetic fuels  RP-5 and JP-10, and the renal
toxicity observed in chronic bioassays with  JP-4 and  JP-5, support the findings
with unleaded gasoline,  indicating that some agent  or combination of agents
common to these mixtures is  responsible for  the  observed  effects.
     The scattered reports of kidney cancer  in workers exposed to gasoline-
related compounds hint that  some  effect may  be occurring  in humans, but the
evidence is judged to be too poor to justify anything but a classification of
inadequate under the IARC criteria for epidemic!ogic  evidence.  Therefore,
unleaded gasoline should be  placed in IARC category 2B, meaning that unleaded
gasoline is a probable human carcinogen.
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6.0  ISSUES TO BE ADDRESSED BY THE SCIENCE ADVISORY  BOARD
     Before EPA can evaluate the risk gasoline vapor emissions  may  pose
to human health, EPA needs the Science Advisory Board's  advice  on  the
soundness of the scientific studies performed by the American Petroleum
Institute and other relevant studies discussed in section  5.0.   Advice
is also needed on methdology for deriving unit risk  factors  from these
studies.  It would be especially helpful  if the Science  Advisory Board
would also address the following questions:
     6.1  Quality of Evidence
          1.  Do you see any defect in the design or conduct of the animal
studies that would cause you to seriously question the results?
          2.  Do you agree with our conclusion that  the  test gasoline is
an animal carcinogen?
          3.  Does the available evidence permit any conclusion on  the
likelihood that gasoline vapor is carcinogenic in humans?
              a.  does the available human evidence  support  the API  animal
                  results?
              b.  is the difference in the composition of  the test  gasoline
                  compared to ordinary gasoline a serious  drawback  to the
                  relevancy of the animal  studies for estimating human  risks?
              c.  does the fact that the  studies used completely volatilized
                  gasoline rather than the mixture of higher volatiles
                  characteristic of partial  evaporation  represent a  serious
                  drawback to the interpretation of  the  results for  human
                  exposure?
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          4.   Does the SAB agree with  the  explanation given for the absence
of benzene-like carcinogenic  response  in the  API  studies?  Were any factors
overlooked?  Is the assumption  that  the risks from benzene and gasoline vapor
are additive valid for the purposes  of analysis?
     6.2  Quantitative Risk Assessment
          1.   Given the need  for quantitative estimates of gasoline vapor
health risks, does EPA's methodology for the  derivation of the unit risk
factors constitute a reasonable approach?
              a.  is there reason  to believe  that the use of a linear model for
                  dose/response extrapolation is  inappropriate in this case?
              b.  is it reasonable to  combine malignant and benign tumors in
                  extrapolating cancer risks  from the animal data?
          2.   Are the rat and mouse  strains used  in the API studies equally
applicable as the basis for risk extrapolation to humans?
          3.   Does the lifetime exposure regimen  characteristic of the
animal bioassays seriously compromise  the  use of  these studies in estimating
risks for human populations intermittently exposed to gasoline vapor (e.g.
self-service refueling)?
          4.  Are the uncertainties in  the  gasoline vapor unit risk factors
adequately described?
                                     6-2

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     APPENDIX A






     SUMMARY OF





API INHALATION STUDY

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                      A CHRONIC INHALATION STUDY

                     WITH UNLEADED GASOLINE VAPOR
          H.N. MacFarland,1 C.E. Ulrich,2 C.E.  Holdsworth,3

            D.N. Kitchen,4 W.H. Halliwell,5 and S.C. Blum6
   Gulf Life Sciences Center, 260 Kappa Drive, Pittsburgh, PA  15238,
   to whom reprint requests should be addressed.
2
   International Research and Development Corporation, Mattawan,  MI

   American Petroleum Institute, Washington, D.C.
4
   Biolabs, Inc., Las Cruces, NM

5  Westpath, Inc., Ft. Collins, CO

   Exxon Research and Engineering Co., Linden, NJ
                       Accepted for Publication
                by the Journal of American Toxicology
                              March 1984
                             A-l

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                               ABSTRACT
         A chronic inhalation study  of  unleaded gasoline vapor  was
conducted  in mice  and  rats.   The  gasoline  employed was typical  of
gasoline used in the U.S. and  contained 2 percent benzene.  Groups of
both  sexes of B6C3Fj mice and Fischer 344 rats were exposed  to three
concentrations of vapor, 67, 292, and 2056 ppm.  Exposures were for 6
hours  per  day,  5 days per week, for  periods ranging  from 103  to  113
weeks.  Interim sacrifices were conducted at  3, 6,  12, and 18 months.
Laboratory studies,  including hematological  and biochemical  deter-
minations,  were  performed on  rats  at  the interim sacrifices  and  at
termination.     Histopathological  studies  were  conducted   on both
species at every interval.

         No  consistent  compound-related  changes  were  seen in pharma-
cotoxic  signs,  mortality,  hematological or  biochemical  indices  in
either species.  Significant  depression  of body  weight  gain  was seen
in  both sexes of rats and male mice  exposed to  the  highest  level  of
gasoline vapor.   On  gross  necropsy,  a  compound-related increase  in
liver  nodules and masses was  seen in female  mice exposed to  the high
level.

         The  most  interesting observations  were made  on histopath-
ological examination of the rats' tissues and,  of these, pathological
changes in the  kidneys were  the most  striking.  Renal  carcinomas  or
sarcomas,  in the cortex  or near the  renal  poles,  were seen  in  the
male  rats at all dose  levels, with  some evidence of  a  dose-response
relationship.  One  female rat in the  intermediate dose group  exhib-
ited  a renal sarcoma.   Two mice had renal  tumors, considered  to  be
spontaneous  neoplasms.    Mention is  made of  new studies that have
been prompted by the present findings.
                            A-2

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INTRODUCTION
         Although  gasoline,  a fuel  for  the internal combustion en-
gine, has been manufactured and used for several decades, no chronic
investigation  of  its toxicological  properties  has been undertaken.
To  rectify  this  gap  in  our  knowledge,   the American  Petroleum
Institute began in  the  early 1970s to  sponsor a  program  of longer
term studies.   A 90-day  inhalation investigation  with  leaded and
unleaded gasoline in rats and monkeys was completed in 1976 and  later
a paper was written for publication (Kuna  and  Ulrich, 1983).  During
the  long  hiatus between  the original  90-day   study report  and the
later  paper of Kuna and Ulrich,  a careful  re-evaluation  of the
study's kidney tissues was undertaken for toxic  signs consistent with
those being observed for other hydrocarbon  solvents.  Upon reexamina-
tion by pathologists familiar with nephrotoxic  lesions,  subtle regen-
erative changes were discovered in the renal tubules.   These minimal
changes were seen only in male rats.
         Shortly  after  the completion  of the  90-day study  in  1976,
but  before  re-evaluation  of the  kidney  slides  from that.study, the
present  chronic  study was  begun  in rats and mice   .  The  study
protocol  was  adapted  from that  recommended by the National  Cancer
Institute   (NCI)(1976).   Unleaded  gasoline  was   utilized   in  an
inhalation  investigation in which exposures were continued for 24 to
26 months.
         Nephrotoxic lesions were  seen  in  the chronic study.   An
unexpected  finding was  primary  renal neoplasms  in  male  rats  near or
at termination of the study.  Both nephrotoxic  and  nephrocarcjnogenic
findings in male  rats  have stimulated further exploratory programs
now  in  progress.
                               A-3

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MATERIALS AND METHODS
     Gasoline Sample
         The  unleaded automotive  motor  fuel  (gasoline) used  in  the
study was prepared to conform with the specifictions of unleaded gas-
oline  in use in the  United  States in 1976, as determined by  a road
octane survey (DuPont Road Octane Survey, Summer 1976).  At  the time
the  gasoline was  blended  for the study, benzene  concentrations  in
U.S. gasolines averaged  about  1  percent  with  a  maximum approaching 2
percent;  therefore,  benzene  content of the gasoline was  adjusted  to
the  upper limit of U.S. gasolines.   The specifications are  shown  in
Table  1, but  more detailed  information  on chemical  composition  is
provided in Appendix 1.
                               Table 1
     Animals
         Fischer  344 albino  rats and  B6C3F^  mice,  each  species
equally divided as to sex, were utilized.  After a 2-week quarantine
period  just  prior  to initiation of exposures, weight  ranges were  as
fol1ows:
                     Rats, male        95-129 g.
                     Rats, female      79-105 g.
                     Mice, male        14—26 g.
                     Mice, female      12—20 g.
         At  this time, both  mice and  rats were  approximately 6 weeks
of age.  They were provided with  Purina* Laboratory Chow* #5001-up to
                            A /I

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week 38;  thereafter Purina* Laboratory Chow* #5002 was used.  Tap
water  and  chow were  available ad  libitum  except during  the actual
exposures.
     Design
         From larger groups of a  given species and sex, only animals
which  appeared  healthy were selected.   They  were further restricted
as  to  weight  range,  using only  those rats,  both sexes,  and female
mice whose weights were  within +1.5 standard  deviations of the group
mean;  +1.6  standard deviations was permitted for the male mice.  The
animals were assigned at random, with 100 animals of each species and
sex,  i.e., a total of 400  per chamber in each  group,  in  the design
shown  in Table 2.
                               Table 2
          Interim  sacrifices of 10  randomly selected  animals  of each
species and  sex were performed at 3, 6, 12, and 18 months.
     Chamber Operations
          Exposures were  conducted  in  16  nr  stainless  steel  and glass
exposure chambers (Fig.  1),   designed by  Leong  (Leong,  1976;  Drew,
1978).  the supply air  was filtered  and controlled  for temperature
and humidity, and flow  rates  between 900 and 1900 liters per minute,
depending on the  desired chamber concentrations, were established by
the main  exhaust  pump.  Temperature  and humidity were  measured each
day at the  start of exposure  and at 1, 3, and 5  hours.  Gasoline was
delivered from  a liquid  metering pump to  a  heated  counteccurrent
                              A-5

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vaporization column and completely volatilized.  Dry nitrogen  at  5-6
liters  per  minute was used  to carry the  vapor  into  the main  inlet
pipe of the chamber.   The exposure pattern  was 6  hours  per day,  5
days  per week, for periods which  ranged  from 103  to 113 weeks.  The
target concentrations  of gasoline were 50,  275, and  1500  ppm.
     Cheaical Analysis
         Nominal    concentrations    were    determined    daily    and
calculations of concentration  in  ppm were  made by using weight loss
data  and  assuming an average molecular weight of  108  for  the
gasoline.
         Analytical concentrations were determined  by drawing  samples
from  the chambers into  a gas  chromatograph   equipped with  a  flame
ionization detector.   The operating  conditions for  the chromatograph
are shown in Table 3.
                               Table 3
These conditions resulted in the appearance of a single  peak  for  the
complex  hydrocarbon  mixture,  thereby  facilitating   expression   of
results  as total  hydrocarbon  concentration.
         Standard curves for  calibration were  prepared  by injecting a
known volume  of  liquid  gasoline into  a 25-liter  Saran   bag  filled
with  nitrogen.  It was found,  after  the experiment had  been  in pro-
gress  for 24 weeks, that  the  gas  chromatograph responded differently
to  gasoline standards  prepared in nitrogen  as  compared to  chamber
samples of  gasoline  vapor in  air.   The magnitude of the correction
                                 A-6

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factor  to  be  applied  for  each  of the  three concentrations  under
investigation was determined;  it  varied  nonlinearly depending on the
absolute concentration.  This showed that  the target concentrations
of 50,  275,  and 1500 ppm had  been, in  fact, 67, 292,  and  2056 ppm,
with standard deviations of +3.1; 11.0,  and 110.4,  respectively, and
the study was continued at these concentrations.
     Biological Estimations
         Animals were observed twice  daily  for  signs  of  toxicity,
behavioral  changes,  general appearance,  and deaths.  Each animal was
individually  examined for clinical signs and  palpable  tissue masses
once  a  month.  Individual body weights were recorded monthly for the
first 17 months and biweekly thereafter.
         Serum  biochemical  determinations  were  performed  on  seven
male  and seven female  rats randomly selected  from  each group at the
interim sacrifices (3, 6, 12,  and 18 months) and at  termination.  The
rats were  fasted  overnight, blood  withdrawn  from the orbital sinus,
and the  following enzyme  activities determined as  recommended by NCI
(1976):  alkaline  phosphatase,   glutamic   oxalacetic  transaminase,
glutamic pyruvic  transaminase, ornithine  carbamyl   transferase,  and
isocitrate dehydrogenase.
         Hematologic  evaluations  were  conducted  at  the  18-month
interim and terminal  sacrifice on the  same  rats used for biochemical
                            A-7

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determinations  at  those time points.   The  fallowing variables were
measured:   hemoglobin,  hematocrit,  erythrocyte  count,  total  and
differential  leucocyte count,  platelet count,  reticulocyte count,
mean  corpuscular  volume,   mean  corpuscular   hemoglobin,  and  mean
corpuscular hemoglobin concentration.
         Gross and microscopic examinations  of  tissues were performed
on animals  dying during study,  those  obtained  at the interim sacri-
fice  periods,  and those  sacrificed  at  termination.   A  40  percent
survivability  criterion was used to  terminate  each group;  this
resulted in the termination  times shown  in Table  4.
                               Table 4
         At  the 3, 6,  and  12 month  interim sacrifies,  ten rats and
ten  mice  of each sex  were  asphyxiated with  carbon dioxide,  and  a
complete necropsy  was performed.   At  the 18-month interim sacrifice
and  at termination,  animals were sacrificed by  sodium pentobarbital
anesthesia  and exsanguinated.  The trachea and lungs were removed at
maximum  inspiration  and examined while  inflated and deflated.   The
contents  of the abdominal, thoracic, and cranial  cavities  were
examined in  situ and after dissection.
         After  trimming of   fat  and  connective  tissue,  the  tissues
listed in  Table 5 were weighed.
                               Table 5
         The tissues  listed  in Table 6  were fixed in phosphate-buff-
ered neutral formalin; hematoxylin and eosin  stained  paraffin sec-
tions were prepared for microscopic examination.
                           A-8

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                               Table 6
     Statistical Procedures
         Body  weight,  hematologic, and  serum biochemical  data  were
tested for homogeneity of variance (Steel and Torrie, 1960), followed
by a parametric analysis of variance.   When a significant F-ratio was
obtained,  individual  group  comparisons were  performed,  utilizing
student's t-test when variances were heterogeneous and Dunnett's test
(1964) when homogeneous.
         In some cases where the number of animals was small  and the
variances heterogeneous, the nonparametric multiple-group test of
Kruskal-Wallis  was  applied  and  where appropriate,  individual  group
comparisons were made with the Mann-Whitney U test (Siege!, 1956).
         Data  from  male rats were.analyzed  for mortality,  all  renal
tumors,  malignant tumors, and renal  adenomas, carcinomas and undif-
ferentiated tumors  combined, using procedures outlined  in  Thomas et
al.  (1977).   Life  table curves  were computed  and tested  for  homo-
geneity  by  both approximate and exact methods.    A  pair-wise  compar-
ison  of groups was  made.   In addition, each datum  set  was examined
for linear trend  in  the proportions,  using  both unadjusted  and  time-
adjusted tests.  The  exact test for trend  and approximate test for
homogeneity and departure  from  trend  were  performed.   Differences in
pairs of proportions were examined.
                           A-9

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RESULTS
     Chamber Conditions
         As  indicated  above, the  actual  concentrations  of  gasoline
vapor  in the chambers (67, 292, 2056 ppm) were higher than the orig-
inally  planned  target concentrations  (50,  275,  1500 ppm),  but  when
the  calibration  discrepancy  was  recognized,  it  was  decided  to
continue the animal exposures at these higher concentrations  through-
out the study.
         The  temperatures  and humidities in the  four  chambers +_S.D.
ranged  from  24  +_1.4  to  26  +1.3C,  and  52   +9.5  to  56  +7.2,
respectively.
     General Aniaal Observations
         Some minor signs were noted  intermittently  in  the  study,
including ocular discharge and apparent irritation in all four groups
of  rats.   In mice,  a  significant  number  of animals  developed alope-
cia,  ranging in  size  from a small restricted area  to  a generalized
hair  loss over  as  much  as two-thirds  of the  animals'   bodies.   The
alopecia was seen  in all  groups,  including controls,  with  approx-
imately equal incidence.
         No  significant  differences  in  spontaneous  death rate  were
seen  in female rats and mice.  Male control rats, Group I, exhibited
a  significantly  higher  death  rate  after  week  80  than  any  of  the
exposed groups.  The  male rats in Groups II,  67  ppm,  had a partic-
                               A-10

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ularly  low  spontaneous death rate.   The following  significant  dif-
ferences were noted in male mice: Groups II  and III, 67  and  292  ppm,
had  a  higher death rate  than  controls,  but  the Group IV male mice,
2056 ppm, exhibited a lower death rate when compared  to controls.
         Some  statistically  significant  depressions  in  body weight
were encountered.  Male rats in Group IV  had  significantly lower  body
weights than controls  from  Week  13  to termination.    Female  rats  in
Group IV showed  a  similar  depression  which was  significant from  Week
26  to  the end of the study.  Male mice in Group IV exhibited a lower
body weight than controls; the differences were  significant from  Week
66  to  termination.   In addition changes were noted  in  relative  {in
relation to body weight) and absolute organ weights in rats.   The
kidney  weights  of  male rats of  Group IV were  elevated, both abso-
lutely  and  relatively,  from  the  3-month  interim  sacrifice through  to
termination.   At termination, the  relative  kidney weights   of Group
III male rats and Group IV female rats were also elevated.  There was
a dose-related  relative increase  in  the  testes  and ovaries of Groups
III  and IV  rats,  and a slight depression in absolute heart  weights
was noted in Group IV males and females.
         In  mice,  statistically  significant  alterations  in organ
weights were  noted  sporadically throughout  the  study,  but  none  of
these  changes showed  consistent trends,  and  thus  they were not
considered  to  be exposure  related.   Neither kidney nor liver weights
were remarkable.

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     Clinical Observations
         The  usual  slight variability  in  the various  hematological
indices  was noted during the course of the study,  but not considered
to be related to the gasoline exposure.
         The  evaluated   biochemical   variables  were   unremarkable
throughout  the  study.    The  serum ornithine  carbamyl  transferase
values were  judged  unreliable  because  of methodological  problems  and
were discounted.
     Pathological Findings - Mice
         The microscopic examination of tissues from  the  mice  showed
a  large variety  of neoplastic and nonneoplastic changes  throughout
the  study which were not dose-related and were seen  in  both control
and treated groups.  In the 18-month to final  sacrifice period  and at
final sacrifice, the female mice of Group  IV  exhibited an increased
incidence  of hepatocellular tumors.   The incidence  for all  groups
during  the  18-month to  final  sacrifice time period was 45, 36,  45,
and  44  percent  in male mice,  and  14,  19,  21, and 48 percent  in  the
female mice, Groups I-IV, respectively.
         There  was some indication of a trend in the female mice in
Groups  I,  II,  and  III;  however, the high incidence, 48  percent,  in
the  Group IV females was considered to be  related  to  the exposure to
gasoline.
         The tumors were of  two  types.  Hepatocellular  adenomas were
usually small and  less  than 1 cm in diameter.  They were  generally
spherical,  did  not contain  distinct  sinusoids  or portal areas,  and
were  composed of hepatocytes that were usually larger than those of

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the  surrounding  parenchyma.   The  juncture of  the  tumor  with  the
surrounding  parenchyma  was  distinct,  and there was  usually  evidence
of  compression of the  surrounding  hepatocytes.   The  hepatocellular
carcinomas were characterized by great variability of cell  size,  some
containing large nuclei.  The border  of the tumor with the  surround-
ing  hepatocytes  was  indistinct  with  evidence  of   invasion  of  the
surrounding  parenchyma.   The pattern  of growth  varied and  included
trabecular and solid  patterns with areas of necrosis  or hemorrhage.
         Several   of  the  hepatocellular  carcinomas  in  mice metas-
tasized to the lungs.   In the final  sacrifice,  tumors in 7  percent
of  the male mice in  Group III and 2 percent in Group IV metastasized
to  the  lungs.   No hepatocellular  carcinomas  in  the final  sacrifice
female mice metastasized to the lungs.  In the  moribund male  mice  and
those that died on test, tumors in 20  percent in  Group  I metastasized
to  the  lungs.    In the  moribund female  mice and those that died on
test,  tumors in  6 percent  in Group I,  10 percent  in Group  III,  and
7 percent in Group IV metastasized to  the lungs.
         Two female  mice in  Group  IV  exhibited renal  tumors.    One
mouse,  killed  at  final  sacrifice,  had a papillary cystic adenoma of
the cortex.   This adenoma  consisted  of a  cystic  space  into which
projected  small  papillae  composed of  cells  morphologicaly similar to
renal  tubular epithelium.   There was no  evidence  of  peripheral
invasion; it had distinct and discrete morphologic limits.  The other
mouse, which  died during  the  18-month to  final  sacrifice period,
                              A-13

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exhibited  bilateral  renal   tubular adenocarcinomas.    These  tumors
replaced large portions of each  kidney  and  contained  large coalescing
areas of necrosis and hemorrhage.
     Pathological Findings - Rats
         At the  3-month interim sacrifice, dose-related  histopathol-
ogical  changes were  observed  in the male  rats.   These  consisted  of
cortical  multifocal  renal   tubular basophilia,  protein  casts,  and
chronic interstitial  inflammation.  The basophilia was  characterized
by  the presence  of  renal  tubules  containing  basophilic  epithelial
cells.  The proteinaceous tubular  casts occurred  within  dilated renal
tubules and were  commonly  located at the  corticomedullary  junction.
The  incidence was 70  and  100  percent in Groups  III  and  IV,  respec-
tively.   Chronic interstitial  inflammatory foci  with a  predominantly
lymphoid  cell type were  observed  at 20 and  70  percent  incidence  in
Groups  III  and IV, respectively.   In  addition,  renal congestion  and
very small foci of renal cortical mineralization were  noted in  several
rats.
         In animals dying in the 3-  to 6-month  interval  or sacrificed
at 6 months, the renal changes  in male rats  described  above were again
evident.   The incidence of tubular basophilia was 0,  40,  100,  and  100
percent in  Groups I  to IV, respectively.   Proteinaceous casts were
observed  in  27 percent of  the  rats of Group  I,  80 percent in  Group
III,  and 100  percent in Group  IV.   The incidence of chronic intersti-
tial  inflammation was 18, 20,  100, and 100  percent in Groups-I to  IV,
respectively.   Mineralization  in  a radial pattern  within the  renal
                              A-14

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pelvis, with material  located  within  tubules or the collecting ducts
of the  renal  pelves,  was  observed  in  20 percent of the males in Group
IV.
         At the 12-month  interim  sacrifice, the occurrence of protein-
o^v.ous  casts  in the  kidneys  of male rats  was  nearly equal  in  all
groups,  20, 30, 30, and 30 percent in  Groups I  to IV, respectively.
Mineralization in  the renal pelvis occurred  in 20 percent of the male
rats  of Group III  and in  80 percent in  Group IV.  Progressive glomer-
ulonephrosis was diagnosed in  one male rat  from Group IV.  Another new
finding was karyomegaly, very  large  nuclei within  renal tubular
epithelial cells in male  rats.
         The  complexity  of morphologic alterations observed  in  the
kidneys of  all  rats,  especially  males, increased after  18  months of
exposure.    Progressive  glomerulonephrosis  occurred  in  higher inci-
dence than  previously.   The  lesion was characterized  by atrophied or
sclerosed  glomeruli,  dilated   renal tubules  containing proteinaceous
casts,  tubular  damage with regeneration or scarring, and the presence
of  foci  of chronic inflammatory  cells.  The incidence of glomerulo-
nephrosis  in male rats was 20 percent in Group  I, 30 percent in Group
III,  and 20 percent  in  Group IV;  the incidence in female  rats  was
lightly lower.  Proteinaceous  casts in kidneys of male  rats were noted
in 50,  50, 40, and  60 percent  in  Groups   I to  IV,  respectively.
Mineralization  in the renal pelvis  was seen in 20 percent of Group III
and  80 percent of Group IV male rats.  Renal congestion was.commonly
seen and karyomegaly was  again  noted in  male rats.   A benign renal
                             A-15

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cortical  adenoma was diagnosed in a  Group  IV male rat.  Mononuclear
cell  leukemia was diagnosed in the kidney  of a female rat that died
during the 12- to 18-month interval.
         At  the final  sacrifice,  nearly  all male  rats  exhibited
progressive glomerulonephrosis.   The  incidence rates were 100, 95, 97,
and  100  percent in  Groups  I  to IV,  respectively.   A slightly lower
rate  of occurrence  was  seen  in female rats.   Mineralization in the
renal  pelvis occurred in 5, 63,  and  91  percent of  the  males in Groups
II, III, and  IV,  respectively.  Karyomegaly was observed occasionally
in the male rats.  One male rat  in  Group III had renal  tubular epithe-
lial hyperplasia at termination.   The lesion was characterized by the
presence of a large dilated tubule containing a cystic lumen  lined by
epithelial  cells.   Renal cysts, epithelial  cell pigmentation, hydro-
nephrosis, chronic interstitial  inflammation,  congestion, cortical and
pelvic mineralization in  female rats, and  necrosis  were  among  the
nonneoplastic  lesions observed  in  the 18-month to terminal sacrifice
period.
         Of  great interest were primary renal neoplasms diagnosed at
termination or in those  rats which  died  after 18  months.   The total
number of these primary renal  tumors was  14,  with  zero, one,  six, and
seven  in Groups I to  IV, respectively, as  shown in  Table 7.
                                Table 7
         All but one of these primary renal  neoplasms  occurredJn male
rats  making the occurrence in males three adenomas, nine carcinomas,
                                  A-1S

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and  one sarcoma.  The neoplasm in the female was  a  renal  sarcoma or a
mixed  malignant tumor.
         The  renal  adenomas  were characterized  by the  presence  of
cuboidal  to columnar epithelial cells,  generarfy located  in the
cortex, which formed tubular or papillary structures.  The masses were
small, circumscribed, and the mitotic index was  low.
         The  renal  carcinomas varied in cellular morphology but gen-
erally contained epithelial  cells  arranged  in a  tubular  or acinar
pattern.   Cellular pleomorphism,  cellular anaplasia,  central hemor-
rhage and/or necrosis was  common.   The mitotic index varied but was
generally moderate to  high.   The  histologic  appearance varied greatly
within  some individual  neoplasms  and contained  well-formed  to  ill-
defined tubules.  Other areas contained cells arranged in  solid sheets
with little  structural  arrangement   and  a  scanty  connective tissue
stroma.  Figure 2  is  a  photomicrograph of a typical renal carcinoma
obtained from a Group IV  male rat at  termination.
         Histologically,  the  renal  sarcomas displayed  a  variety  of
cell types.  The  predominant type was a  spindle cell,  commonly seen
invading the edge of the  lesion  and  infiltrating  between normal renal
tubules.   Other areas contained  more solid  sheets  of  spindle cells
arranged  in a whorl-like  pattern.   Some  areas within  the neoplasms
were very anaplastic and  pleomorphic  in nature.
         The  renal  adenomas and carcinomas were  generally located" in
the  cortex, but  several were  located near the renal poles.   The
                                A-17

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sarcomas had a central  or pelvic anatomic  location.
         After 12 months, both sexes of rats exhibited a mild, multi-
focal,  pulmonary inflammatory response characterized by an accumula-
tion  of alveolar macrophages in the alveolar  spaces  of the  lungs.  At
termination, the incidence of these aggregates of macrophages was 19,
5,  43,  and  38  percent in males,  and  40, 46, 34, and  67  percent in
females, in Groups I to IV,  respectively.
DISCUSSION
         Rats exhibited  ocular  discharge  and  appeared to be suscept-
ible  to the  irritant  effects of the airborne gasoline vapor.   Death
rates in male rats  exhibited  some  differences among  groups  throughout
the  study,  but  none of  these were  considered  to be  related  to the
exposure.   The depression in body weights seen in both sexes of rats
exposed to the high concentration, Group  IV, is  regarded as  a toxic
stress effect of the gasoline exposure.   Increases in kidney weights,
both  absolute and  relative,  were noted particularly  in the male rats
in  the  intermediate and  high dose groups.   There was  also a  slight
increase in  the  relative weights of  gonads  in  these groups.   These
changes in  gonad  weight  may be,  in part,  a  reflection  of decreased
body weights.  The hematological and biochemical  findings in rats were
unremarkable.
         The nephrotoxic changes seen at the  3-month and 6-month
interim sacrifices  are  in  accord with  the  observations  of several
investigators.   Carpenter et  al.  (1975  a,  b;  1977)  reported  renal
tubular   regenerative   changes   and   dilated   tubules    containing
                            A-18

-------
eosinophilic   debris   at  the   corticomedullary   junction  in  male
Harlan-Wistar  rats  exposed  to  the vapors  of Stoddard  solvent,  60
solvent,  and  High  Naphthenic  solvent,  all  derived  from  petroleum.
These studies were performed  under contract  for the American  Petroleum
Institute,  as  were the  90-day  inhalation  studies  in  Sprague-Dawley
rats and  squirrel monkeys with  leaded and unleaded gasolines reported
to  API  in  1976  and  subsequently written  for publication by Kuna and
Ulrich  (1983).   An  initial  reading  of  the  slides of  the  kidney
sections   from  this   latter   investigation  revealed   no   remarkable
observations  but, after  a careful  reexamination some  years   later,
subtle  changes  were  detected  in the male rats exposed  to  a high
concentration  (approx.  1500  ppm)  of unleaded  gasoline  vapor.   These
consisted of an increase in the incidence and severity of  regenerative
epithelial  changes,  and  dilated  tubules   containing   proteinaceous
material  were  observed.   Other  investigators have also noted  similar
alterations  following  -administration of certain  petroleum  solvents.
Other  characteristics  of the  early  nephropathy in  the present study
included interstitial  inflammatory focal  reactions and a  progressive
cortical  mineralization.  At the 12-month point,  there was a decrease
and  equalization  in the  incidence of proteinaceous casts,  increase in
mineralization,  and  occurrence  of karyomegaly in the  renal  tubular
epithelial  cells  of male rats.
          The  further  progression of  the  early  nephropathy  becomes
increasingly obscured  by  the  advent of "old rat  nephropathy,* a pro-
gressive glomerulonephrosis.    This  condition  was first diagnosed in
                             A-19

-------
one male rat In the high concentration group  at  the  12-month interim
sacrifice.    By  18 months,  20 to  30  percent  of  the male  rats  were
affected and  the incidence  in the females  was  only  slightly  lower.
However,  the mineralization  in  the renal  pelves and karyomegaly  in
male  rats,  seen prior to the onset of old rat  nephropathy, were still
readily distinguishable at 18 months.   At  termination, essentially all
male  rats and nearly all female  rats  exhibited old  rat  nephropathy.
The  incidence of pelvic mineralization was  increased  and  karyomegaly
was observed occasionally in the male rats.
         It  should  be  noted  that, in  the  second  year,  two  disease
processes seemed to be  occurring  in parallel,  the old rat  nephropathy
and  a number of preneoplastic changes that appeared not  to be concom-
itants  of  old rat  nephropathy.   These changes included  karyomegaly,
hyperplasia, and an early benign neoplasm.
         The  surprising finding at termination was the primary  renal
neoplasms,  13 of which were  diagnosed in  the  male rats with evidence
of  a dose relationship, and  one  sarcoma  seen  in  a female  rat  in  the
intermediate  dose  group.   The spontaneous incidence  of primary  renal
tumors in the Fischer 344 rat 1s extremely low in both sexes (Coleman
et al. 1977; Goodman et al. 1979).  It must, therefore, be  concluded
that  the dose-related  incidence  of such  tumors  in male rats  in  the
present study is  to  be ascribed to the  exposure  to  wholly vaporized
gasoline.
         The  nonneoplastic pulmonary inflammatory  response, seen after
12 months and at a slightly higher  incidence in female rats, may be
                              A-20

-------
related  to the slight irritant effect  of  the gasoline vapor.   It  is
interesting to note  that  no evidence of the  progressive  focal  inter-
stitial  fibrosis reported by Lykke and Stewart (1978)  was  found in  the
present  study.  These authors exposed rats  to 100 ppm  of the vapors  of
a leaded gasoline for periods ranging from  6 to 12 weeks.
         In mice, alopecia was a  frequent  occurrence  during the expo-
sure  phase, but was seen  in  all  groups, including  controls;  thus,  it
does not appear to be related to the gasoline exposure.   No remarkable
changes  in death rate or organ weights were seen in the  mice.
         The  pathological finding of interest in  the  mice was  an
increased  incidence  of hepatocellular tumors,  noted in  the females  in
the period  from  the 18-month sacrifice to  termination.   These tumors
are commonly seen in mice and have a significant spontaneous incidence
which is higher in males (Tarone et al., 1981).  Whether  the exposure
promoted  the  appearance of  additional  tumors or even  initiated them
cannot  be  determined  from  the  present  study.   In  some cases,  metas-
tasis to the lungs and kidneys were noted.
         The  most  important  findings  in  this  chronic  study  are the
early and  progressive renal  tubular disease  seen  in  male rats in the
first  year,  the   advent   and     enhanced   development   of  old  rat
nephropathy in  the  second year with a parallel  appearance of certain
preneoplastic  changes,  and  the   final appearance of  primary  renal
neoplasms  in  the  male rats.   The hypothesis has been advanced that
there may be causal  connections  between the  early nephropath/ies and
the late appearance  of renal  neoplasms, with the preneoplastic changes
                               A-21

-------
In the  second year as  a  possible link.   New  studies  are planned to
explore this question.
         In  analyzing the results of this  study,  attention has been
directed  to the  gasoline, which  is a complex mixture  of several
hundred hydrocarbons  (See Appendix  1).   There are five main classes:
n-alkanes,  isoalkanes, cycloalkanes,  alkenes,  and  aromatics.   Some
evidence  is  beginning  to accrue  which  suggests  that  the  renotoxic
effect of whole gasoline may be largely  due to  the presence  of one or
two  of the main types of hydrocarbons.   In  particular,  the isoalkanes
are suspect (Cockrell  et al.  1983; Pitts  et  al.  1983).   Studies are in
progress  to  examine  the relative  activity of  the five  hydrocarbon
classes and individual molecular species.
         Finally, the relevance of the results  of this study  to man is
under  active  investigation.   Collectively,  epidemiological studies of
populations that  are  exposed  to gasoline  in occupational situations
has  not  revealed  any  statistically  significant  increase  in  renal
carcinoma although slight increases have  been detected in  some studies
(Hanis et al. 1979; Hanis et al. 1982).   It should be  noted that, in
real-life situations where  gasoline  vapors  are released, the vapors
tend  to be  richer in  the low-boiling constituents.  Analyses of such
atmospheres reveal total  hydrocarbon concentrations  generally  less
than 60 ppm for approximately two minutes (0.28  ppm based  on  an 8-hour
Time Weighted Average).
                                  A-22

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
         A number of investigators  have contributed to various aspects
                                                   .v
of  this  study: its design, performance and evaluation.  We wish
especially  to  thank Drs. B.K.J. Leong, W.R.  Richter,  J.F.  Hardesty,
and  Mr.  N.K. Snyder for  their  assistance.   Drs. R.N. Roth  and C.A.
Lapin,  along with Drs. S.C. Lewis and O.K.  Baldwin,  Ms.  B.K. Hoover,
and Messrs. R.M. Siconolfi and R.C. Anderson, were particularly active
in the quality  assurance  review  and  evaluation of  the  detailed  final
report of the study.
                                 A-?.?

-------
REFERENCES
Carpenter, C.P., Kinkead, E.R., Geary, D.L.,  Jr., Sullivan,  L.J.,  and
         King, J.M.  (1975 a).   Petroleum Hydrocarbon Toxicity Studies.
         III.   Animal  and Human Response  to  Vapors  of  Stoddard
         Solvent.   Tox.  Appl.  Pharmacol.  32_, 282-297.
Carpenter, C.P., Kinkead, E.R., Geary, D.L.,  Jr., Sullivan,  L.J.,  and
         King, J.M.  (l!>75 b).   Petroleum Hydrocarbon Toxicity Studies.
         VI.   Animal  and Human  Response  to  Vapors of  "60  Solvent."
         Tox. Appl.  Pharmacol.  34. 374-394.
Carpenter,  C.P.,  Geary,  D.L., Jr.,  Myers,  R.C.,  Nachreiner,  D.J.,
         Sullivan, L.J., and King, J.M. (1977).   Petroleum Hydrocarbon
         Toxicity Studies.  XV.   Animal  Response to Vapors  of  "High
         Naphthenic Solvent."   Tox. Appl. Pharmacol. • 41_, 251-260.
Cockrell, B.Y., Iverson, W.O., and Phillips,  R.D. (1983).  Anatomical
         Kidney Changes in Rats Following Inhalation Exposure  to
         C10"^ll Jsoparaffinic Solvent.  The Toxicologist 3_,  25.
Coleman, G.L., Barthold, S.W.,  Osbaldiston, G.W.,  Foster,  S.J.,  and
         Jonas, A.M.  (1977).    Pathological  Changes During  Aging  in
         Barrier-Reared Fischer 344 Male Rats.   J.  Gerontol. 32.
         258-278.
Drew, R.T.,  editor (1978).   Proceedings,  Workshop  on Inhalation
         Chamber  Technology.    Brookhaven  National Laboratory,  U.S.
         Department   of   Energy,   U.S.    Department   of   Commerce,
         Springfield, Virginia.  PP.  14, 15.
                                 A-24

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Dunnett,  C.W.  (1964).   New  Tables  for Multiple  Comparisons with  a
         Control.  Biometrics 2£, 482-491.
DuPont Road Octane Survey, Summer 1976.
Goodman, D.6., Ward, J.M., Squire, R.A., Chu,  K.C.,  and  Linhart,  M.S.
          (1979).  Neoplastic  and  Nonneoplastic  Lesions in Aging F 344
         Rats.  Tox. Appl. Pharmacol. 48, 237-248.
Ham's, N.M., Stavraky, K.M., and Fowler, J.L. (1979). Cancer Mortality
         in Oil Refinery Workers.  J. Occup. Med. 21., 167-174.
Hani's,  N.M.,  Holmes, T.M., Shellenberger,  L.G.,  and Jones,  K.E.
          (1982).  Epidemiological Study of Refinery and Chemical Plant
         Workers.  J. Occup. Med. 24, 203-212.
Kuna, R.A. and Ulrich, C.E. (1983).  Subchronic Inhalation Toxicity of
         Two Motor Fuels.  J. Amer. Coll. Toxicol.  (in press).
Leong,   B.K.J.  (1976).     Proceedings,  7th   Annual  Conference  on
          Environmental  Toxicology.    National  Technical Information
         Service, Springfield, Virginia,  pp. 141-149.
Lykke,   A.W.J.  and   Stewart,  B.W.   (1978).    Fibrosing   Alveolitis
          (Pulmonary  Interstitial  Fibrosis)  Evoked   by  Experimental
          Inhalation of Gasoline Vapors.  Experientia  J54_,  498.
National  Cancer Institute (NCI)   (1976).    Guidelines for  Carcinogen
          Bioassay in Small Rodents.  DHEW Pub.  f(NIH) 76-801.
Pitts,  L.L.,  Bruner, R.H.,  D'Addario, A.P., and Uddin, D.E.  (1983).
          Induction   of   Renal  Lesions  Following  Oral  Dosing   with
          Hydrocarbon Fuels.   The Toxcologist 3^» 70.
Siegel,  S.    Nonparametric  Statistics for  the Behavioral   Sciences.
          McGraw-Hill Book Co., Inc., New York (1956).
                              A-25

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Steel,  R.G.D.  and  Torrie,  J.H.    Principles  and  Procedures  of
         Statistics.   McGraw-Hill  Book Co.,  Inc.,  New York  (1960).
Tarone,  R.E., Chu, K.C.,  and  Ward,  J.H.  (1981).   Variability in  the
         Rates  of Some Common  Naturally  Occurring  Tumors in  Fischer
         344 Rats and  (C57BL/6N X C3H/HeN)Fj  (BSCSFj)  Mice.   J. Nat.
         Cancer Inst. 6£,  1175-1181.
Thomas,  D.G.,  Breslow,  N.,  and Gart,  J.J.   (1977).    Trend   and
         Homogeneity  Analyses  of Proportions  and  Life  Table Data.
         Computer Biomed.  Res.  _lp_, 373-381.
                                A-26

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                               Table  1
             SPECIFICATIONS OF UNLEADED MOTOR  GASOLINE
Research Octane No.
Motor Octane No.
(R+M)/2

Reid Vapor Pressure,  Ibs.
Distillation, ASTM D-86
     IBP
      5
     10
     20
     30
     40
     50
     60
     70
     80
     90
     95
     EP
     Recovery

     10% Evap., °F
     50% Evap., °F
     90% Evap., °F

API Gravity
Gum, ASTM  D381, mg/gal
Sulfur, ppm
Phosphorus, g/gal
Lead, g/gal
Stability, hrs

HC Analysis, ASTM D1319
     Aromatics
     Olefins
     Saturate

Benzene Content
  Sample
  Used in
  Study

 92.0
 84.1
 88.1

  9-5

 93
105
116
138
164
190
216
238
256
294
340
388
428
 97%

112
211
331

 60.6
  1
 97
 <0.005
 <0.05
 24+
 26.1 Vol. %
  8.4 Vol. %
 65.5 Vol. %

  2.0%
 Unleaded
Commercial
 Average*

    92.1
    83.6
    87.9

     9.9

    92

   124
   220



   332

   412
    59.3
     1
    27%
     7%
    66%

     1.0%'
 * DuPont  Road  Octane  Survey,  Summer  1976


**" Average benzene  content  typical  of U.S.  gasolines,
                                A-27

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                        Table 2


                    DESIGN OF STUDY


                                              Target
Group            Designation               Concentration

 1        Chamber Control                        0 ppm

 II      Low Concentration                     50 ppm

 111     Intermediate Concentration           275 ppm

 IV      High Concentration                  1500 ppm
                       A-28

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                    Table 3

      CHROMATOGRAPH OPERATING CONDITIONS
Gas Chromatograph:
Detector:
Co 1 umn:
Sample Loop Size:
Co1umn Temp.:
Detector Temp.:
Injector Temp.:
Air Flowrate:
N2 Flowrate:
H2 Flowrate:
Range:
Attenuation:
Chart Speed:
Varian 2400
Flame lonization
5' x 1/8 inch O.D.
Stainless Steel
1.5* OV-101 on 100/120
Mesh Chromosorb GHP
5 cc
200° C
270° C
250° C
300 ml/min
60 ml/min
30 ml/min
1C'"
1024 for 1500 ppm
8 for 275 ppm
64 for 50 ppm
2.5 cm/min for 1500 ppm
0.25 cm/min for 275
2.5 cm/min for 50 ppm
                   A-29

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              Table V



TERMINATION TIMES FOR ANIMAL GROUPS

Group
No.
1



II



III



IV



103 weeks
10? weeks

Species/ No.
Sex at
Rat-M
Rat-F
Mouse-M
Mouse-F
Rat-M
Rat-F
Mouse-M
Mouse-F
Rat-M
Rat-F
Mouse-M
Mouse-F
Rat-M
Rat-F
Mouse-M
Mouse-F
• 23.9 months
« 2k. 7 months

of Animals
Initiation
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
109 weeks
1 1 3 weeks
Duration of
Exposure
(Weeks)
107
109
107
113
107
109
103
113
107
109
103
113
107
109
107
113
- 25.2 months
» 26. 1 months
                  A-30

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                  Table 5


       TISSUES SELECTED FOR WEIGHING



brain          thyroid/parathyroid complex

                      **
heart          kidneys

                        *
liver          pituitary

                                **
test is         lung with trachea

       *               *
ovaries        adrenals
  Tissues weighed after fixation
  Tissues weighed in toto, prior to dissection
                   A-31

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                               Table 6
            TISSUES PREPARED FOR MICROSCOPIC EXAMINATION

                            Both Species*
 gross lesions and tissue masses
   (and regional lymph. noJes,  if
   possible)
 blood smear  (as required by the
   pathologist)
 mandibular lymph node
 salivary gland
 sternebrae,  femur, or vertebrae
   including  marrow
 thyroids
 parathyroids
 jejunum
 colon
 liver
 gallbladder  (mice)
 prostate
 testes
 ovaries
 lungs and
 larynx
mainstream bronchi
nasal cavity
heart
esophagus
stomach
uterus
brain (three sections, including
  frontal cortex and basal ganglia,
  parietal cortex and thalamus,
  and cerebellum and pons)
thymus
trachea
pancreas
spleen
kidneys
adrenals
urinary bladder
pituitary
spinal cord
eyes
                              Rats Only
           optic nerve
           Harder!an gland
           Zymba1 g1 and
           oral mucous membrane
           duodenum
           ileum
           cecum
           mammary gland
                          mesenteric lymph node
                          skeletal muscle
                          sciatic nerve
                          skin
                          epididymides
                          seminal vesicles
                          cervix
                          Fallopian tubes
                          head
*As recommended by NCI. 1976.
                               A-32

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                               Table  7






                  PRIMARY RENAL NEOPLASMS  IN RATS
Test Group



    I



    II



    ill
    IV
Neoplasm
None
Carcinoma
Adenoma
Ca re i noma
Sarcoma
Carcinoma
*
Adenoma
Number of
Males
0
1
2
2
I
6
1
Neoplasms
Fema 1 es
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
  Occurred  in male  rat at  18 months.
                             A-33

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                                                              o
                                                              o.
                                                              to
                                                                   (A
                                                                   >•
                                                              m
                                                             ~    «
                                                             o    u
                                                                   3
                                                              O    «»
                                                             ~    O
                                                              JJ    Q.
                                                              ra    x
                                                              e   uj
                                                                  u
                                                                  CO
                                                                  0)
                                                                  3



                                                                  X
                                                                  IU
A-34

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Figure 2


Histologic appearance of a renal carcinoma composed of epithelial
                                                             »

cells arranged in a tubulo-acSnar pattern.  Note cellular

pleomorphism and anaplasia.
                           A-35

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                 APPENDIX 1 - COMPOSITION Ot- GASOLINE






           The specifications used to define petroleum products such



as gasoline are directed towards performance characteristics, usually




stated in terms of physical properties;  little attempt is made to



determine detailed chemical composition, as can be seen in the data




of Table 1 in the text.  The gasoline used  in the present study was




formulated by blending four refinery streams, as shown in Table 1A.




                             Table 1A




           The antioxidant consisted of  76  percent 2,6-di-tertiary




butylphenol, with the remainder about equal parts of 2-tertiary




butylphenol and 2,4,6-tri-tertiary butylphenol.  The metal de-



activator was a 50 percent solution of N, N'-disalicy?idene-1,2-



diaminopropane in commercial xylene.  The concentration of 5 Ibs/



1000 bbl corresponds to approximately 20 ppm w/w or 1*» ppm w/v.



           Like gasoline, the four refinery streams in Table 1A are



specified  largely by physical parameters, with only minimal chemical



compositional information, as shown in Tables 2A, 3A, ^A, and 5A.




                     Tables 2A, 3A, *»A,  5A



           The most detailed compositional  information available on



the unleaded gasoline employed  in this study, based on gas chroma-




tographic  and mass spectrometric analyses,  covers 151 compounds out




of over  5*»2 that are possible.  These data  are provided in Table 6A.



                                Table 6A
                                  A-36

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           The specific individual compounds  identified as major



contributors in Table 6A are listed  in Table  7A.




                             Table 7A



           It should be noted that about 75 percent of the gasoime is



comprised of 42 of the compounds determined.  In Table 1A, benzene



adjustment to approach 2 percent Is  indicated, based on an infrared



analytical method.  However, when the more precise gas chromatographic-



mass spectrometric analytical procedure was used to obtain the results



shown in Table 6A, the benzene content was estimated to be 1.69



percent.  More recent re-analyses of the gasoline by an improved



method indicates that the actual benzene content was 1.80 to 1.96



percent, a satisfactory approximation to 2 percent.



           We thank Richard W. King of Sun Tech, Inc., for providing



the detailed information on the chemical composition of the gasoline.
                             A-37

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                             Table  1A
                 Formulation of Unleaded Gasoline
Generic Stream
Light Catalytic Cracked Naphtha
Heavy Catalytic Cracked Naphtha
Light Catalytic Reformed Naphtha
Light Alky late Naphtha
Benzene added to bring to 2%
Butane added to increase Reid
CAS Number
6W-55-5
6W-5*-4
6A741-63-5
6k 751 -66-8

Vapor Pressure
Volume %
7.6
Mi. 5
21.3
22.0
0.8
3.8
plus:

     Antloxidant                             5  lbs/1000 bbl

     Metal Deactivator                       5  lbs/1000 bbl
1  Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA) PL 3k-k6$:  Candidate List of
  Chemical Substances, Addendum I, Generic Terms Covering Petroleum
  Refinery Processed Streams, January 1978.
                               A-38

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                             Table 2A


         Specifications of Light Catalytic Cracked Naphtha
          A complex combination of hydrocarbons produced by the
distillation of products from a catalytic cracking process.  It
consists of hydrocarbons having carbon numbers predominately in the
range of C4 through C11 and boiling  in the range of approximately -20
degrees C to 190 degrees C  (-4 to 374 degrees F).  It contains a
relatively large proportion of unsaturated hydrocarbons.

                                                  Range of
                 Tests                          Company Data*

      Gravity, degrees API                          50-75
      Sulfur, weight %                            0.02-0.3
      Nitrogen, ppm                                 10-50
      Reid Vapor Pressure,  psia                      2-12

      Distillation (ASTH D-86), °F
          IBP                                       80-125
          10*                                      103-160
          50%                                      152-265
          30%                                      235-408
          35%                                      240-430
          EP                                       295-460

      Paraffins, %                                  21-44
      Olefins, %                                    15-68.5
      Napthenes, %                                  10-16
      Aromatics, %                                   6-28
      Saturates, %
Jk
  Based on data submitted by  11 companies.
                               A-39

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                             Table 3A


         Spec If1 cations of Heavy Catalytic Cracked Naphtha
          A complex combination of hydrocarbons produced by a distillation
of products from a catalytic cracking process.  It consists of hydro-
carbons having carbon numbers predominantly  in the range of C* through
C|2 and boiling In the range of approximately 65°C to 230° C  (148°F
to 446°F).  It contains a relatively large proportion of unsaturated
hydrocarbons.
                                       Range of
             Tests                   Company Data*

      Gravity, °API                   36   - 4?.1
      Sulfur, wt. %                    0.08-  0.3
      Nitrogen, ppm                   21   -110
      Reid Vapor Pressure,  psia        0.3 -  4.1
      Distillation, °F
         (ASTM D-86 Equiv.)
          IBP                         118   -275
          }0%                         245   -33,3
          50*                         324   -372
          30%                         388   -412
          95%                         412   -422
          EP                          420   -450
      PONA, % by MS
      Paraffins                       22.8 - 32.7
      Olefins                          9-8 - 20.8
      Naphthenes                      10.6
      Aromatics                       45.0 - 56.6
      Saturates                       40.0

      Aniline Pt., °F                 64.0
      MON (Clear)                     77-6 - 81.3
      RON (Clear)                     85.0 - 90.8
   Based on  data  submitted by  6  companies.
                              A-40

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                             Table 4A


        Specifications of Light Catalytic Reformed Naphtha
          A complex combination of hydrocarbons produced from the
distillation of products from a catalytic reforming process.
It consists of hydrocarbons having carbon number predominantly In
the range of C§ through Cjj and boiling in the range of approximately
35 degrees C to 190 degrees C (95 to 374 degrees F).  It contains a
relatively large proportion of aromatic and branched chain hydrocarbons.
This stream may contain 10 vol.  % or more benzene.
                                          Range of
             Tests                      Company Data"

      Gravity, degrees API               40  - 59
      Sulfur, weight %
      Nitrogen, ppm
      Reid Vapor Pressure, psia           3-7- 11

      Distillation (ASTM D-86), °F
        IBP                              74  -149
        10%                             136  -225
        50%                             186  -299
        90%                             229  -360
        95%                             292  -381
        EP                              356  -J
      Paraffins, %                       28-55
      Olefins, %                          0  -  2.A
      Napthenes, %                        0.5-  4.4
      Aromatics, %                       30.9~ 69-9
      Saturates, %

      Benzene, vol. %                     0.6-3.97
  Based on data submitted by 9 companies.
                               A-41

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                             Table 5A
             Specifications of Light Alkylate Naphtha
          A complex combination of hydrocarbons produced by distillation
of the reaction products of isobutane with monoolefinic hydrocarbons
usually ranging in carbon numbers from Ci through Cj.  It consists
of predominantly branched chain saturated hydrocarbons having carbon
numbers predominantly in the range of Cj through C\Q and boiling in
the range of approximately 90°C to 160°C (194°F to 320°F).
           Tests

Gravity, °API
Sulfur, Wt. %
Nitrogen, ppm
Flash Pt., °F
Aniline Pt., °F
RVP, IDS.

Distillation, °F
(ASTM D-86)
   IBP
   10*
   50*
   90*
   95*
   EP

P, %
0, %
N, %
A, %
Saturates, *

RON (clear)
HON (clear)
                                            Range of
                                          Company Data
 70. A  -
  0.002-
  1.1
122
166
  4.2  -
                                         104
                                         154
                                         208
                                         235
                                                   0.01
                                                   6.9
       -120
       -175
       -230
       -300
                                         258    -335
 99+
  0.01  -
  1.0
  0.0  -
 98.5

 93.8  -
 90.5
                                                   0.5

                                                   1.0
                                                  95.2
                                                  92.5
  Based on data submitted by 3 companies.
                                 A-42

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            TabIt 6A
Detailed Composition of 6«toline
Compound Class
Alkanes
Isoalkanes






Total Isoalkanes
Cycloatkanes





Total Cycloalkancs
Alkenes





Total alkenes
•enzene
Alky benzenes





Total Al kyl benzenes
Indans/Tetratlns
Naphthalenes
Total Aromatic*

Alkanes
Isoalkanes
Cycloalkanes
Alkenes
Aromatic*
TOTAL

Carbon
Mo. Range
Cj thru C|Q
C4
C5
C6
C7
CB
°9
C|o thru C13
C* thru C)3
C5
- C6
C7
CB
°9
C!0 thru C13
Cj thru Cj3
C2
C3
C4
C5
c|
Cy thru Cu
C2 thru Cjj
C6
c?
CB
°9
CID
cj?
CI2
C* thru C|2
Cj thru 013
C,Q thru Cu
C^ thru Ci3

£3 thru C)0
Cit thru C)3
05 thru €13
Cj thru CJ2
C^ thru 013


No. of Isomers
Possible
8
1
2
4
8
17
3*
>75
>1*1
1
2
7
23
76
>76
»85
1
1
A
6
17
>128
><57
1
1
*
8
22
>22
»22
»36
targe
15
>51

8
>l«tl
>I85
»57
>51
>$42

Analyzed For
8
1
2
4
8
1*
22
"
51
1
2
7
16
23
•
*9
1
1
k
6
17
™
29
1
1
4
8
-
-
™
14
-
-
14
Summary
8
51
*9
29
14
151
A-43
Volume
« In Fuel
11.40
1.14
10.26
8.99
4.77
16.73
2.01
2.65
*6.55
0.15
1.05
1.03
0.7
-------
                             Table 7A


               Identification of Major  Contributors
Alkanes (3)

     n-butane
     n-pentane
     n-hexane
Isoalkanes (17)

     isobutane                      2,2,4-trimethylpentane
     Isopentane                     2,3,'ftrimethylpentane
     2-methylpentanc                2,3,3-trlmethylpentane
     3-methylpentane                2,2,3-trlmethylpentane
     2,3~dimethyl butane             2-methyloctane
     2-methylhexane                 3-methyloctane
     3-methylhexane                 4-methyloctane
     2,3-dimethylpentane            2,2,5-trimethylpentane
     2,A-dimethyl pentane
Cycloalkanes  (5)

     methylcyclohexane              cyclopentane
     l,cis, 3~dtmethylcyclopentane  methylcyclopentane
     1,trans, 3-dimethylcyclopentane
Alkenes  (8)

     propylene                       trans  pentene-2
     trans butene-2                  els  pentene-2
     cis butene-2                    2-methylpentene-1
     pentene-1                       2-methylpentene-2
Aromatics  (9)

     benzene                         p-xylene
     toluene                         1-methyl,  3-cthylbenzene
     ethylbenzene                    1-methyl,  k- ethyl benzene
     o-xylene                        1,2,4-trimethylbenzene
     m-xylene
                               A-44

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                                   APPENDIX B
                COMPARISON AMONG DIFFERENT EXTRAPOLATION MODELS

     Three models used for low-dose extrapolation, assuming the independent
background, are:


Multistage:            P(d) = 1 - exp [-(q^ + ... + qkdk)]


where q-j are non-negative parameters;
                                    A + B ln(d)
Probit:                     P(d) = ;    f(x) dx
where f(.) is the standard normal probability density function; and
Wei bull:               P(d) = 1 - exp [-
where b and k are non-negative parameters.
     The maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of the parameters in the multistage
model  is calculated by means of the program GLOBAL82, which was developed by
Howe and Crump (1982).  The MLE estimates of the parameters in the probit and
Weibull models are calculated by means of the program RISK81, which was
developed by Kovar and Krewski (1981).  Table B-l presents the MLE of parameters
in each of the four models.
                                      B-l

-------
         TABLE B-l.   MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATES OF  THE  PARAMETERS  FOR
             THE THREE EXTRAPOLATION MODELS BASED ON  THREE  DATA  SETS
                         IN API  UNLEADED GASOLINE STUDY
           (International  Research and Development Corporation 1983)

Data base
Kidney tumor
in male rats
Hepatocellular
carci noma/adenoma
in female mice
Mul ti stage
model
qx = 2.01 x ID'3
qp = 0
qj_ = 1.44 x 10'3
q2 = q3 = 0

Probit
model
A =
B =
A =
B =

-2.64
0.33
-3.29
0.52

b
k
b
k

Wei bull
model
= 6.42 x
= 0.68
= 5.15 x
= 0.78



io-3

10~3


Hepatocellular       qx  = 8.53 x 10'4         A  =  -3.98         b = 6.95 x  10~4
 carcinoma in        q2  = 3.83 x 10'8         B  =  0.57          k = 1.04
 female mice
                                   B-2

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                                   APPENDIX  C
                        CARCINOGENIC POTENCY OF  BENZENE
     The carcinogenic potencies calculated in  this  appendix are  to be used
only for determining the contribution of benzene content  to the  tumor response
observed in the unleaded gasoline vapor  bioassay.   In  this endeavor, it is not
necessary to consider the species conversion factor where the data from the
gavage study are used to estimate cancer risk  via the  inhalation route.
     Benzene has been shown to produce Zymbal  gland carcinoma in rats (Maltoni
et al. 1982 and NTP 1983)  and in male mice (NTP  1984)  and hematopoietic neoplasms
in male mice (Snyder et al. 1980).   These data are  used to calculate the
carcinogenic potency for benzene.   Preliminary calculation of the benzene
potency on the basis of the male mice data (not  presented here)  shows comparable
results.  A complete document on benzene risk  assessment, including human and
animal data, is currently being prepared by  the  CAG.   In  the present appendix,
only information relevant to the objectives  stated  above  is presented.  The
presentation has been kept as simple as  possible because  the time allocated to
this document is very limited.   Details  will be  provided  in the CAG risk assessment
document on benzene which is now in preparation.
     In estimating the relative potency  of benzene, the CAG has  utilized the
following equivalency ratio:

                         1 ppm of benzene =  3,250 ug/m3

     The volumetric breathing rate for a rat weighing  300 grams  is 0.2 m^/day
(see section 5.4.1.3.2.1).   For purposes of  convenience,  the body weight for
                                     C-l

-------
all of the rats used in the Maltoni  et al.  (1982)  and  the NTP  (1984) studies is
assumed to be 300 grams.
     Thus, 1 ppm of benzene in air is  calculated as being equivalent to

         3,250 ug/m3 x 0.2 m3/day  x  10-3 mg/Ug/0.30 kg = 2.17  mg/kg/day

     Tables C-l to C-4 present the tumor  incidence data that have been used
by the CAG to calculate the carcinogenic  potency of benzene.   The maximum
likelihood estimate of the parameters  in  the multistage model, and the 95%
upper-bound estimate,  q*,  of the linear component, are also presented at the
bottom of each table.
           TABLE C-l.   INCIDENCE  OF  ZYMBAL  GLAND CARCINOMAS IN FEMALE
               SPRAGUE-DAWLEY  RATS ADMINISTERED BENZENE BY GAVAGE
                             (Maltoni  et al.  1982)
          Experimental  dose
            (mg/kg/day)                           Response

                  0                                0/30
                 50                                2/30
                250        "                        8/32

Remarks:
1.  The number of animals  surviving  at  the 26th week are used for the denomi-
    nators.
2.  Animals  were treated by gavage 4 to 5 times a week for 52 weeks.  The
    lifetime dose is calculated  by d x  (4.5/7) x (52/104) = 0.32 d, where d
    is the experimental dose.
3.  The 95%  upper-bound estimate of  the linear component in the multistage model
    is qj =  5.97 x 10~3/mg/kg/day or, equivalently, q| = 1.29 x 10'2/ppm
    using the fact that 1  ppm  of benzene in  air is  equivalent to a dose of
    2.13 mg/kg/day.  The maximum likelihood  estimates of the parameters in the
    multistage model  are qi =  8.03 x 10-3/ppm, q2 = 0.
                                     C-2

-------
              TABLE  C-2.   INCIDENCE OF HEMATOPOIETIC NEOPLASMA IN
                     C57BL MALE  MICE  EXPOSED  BY  INHALATION
                              (Snyder et  al.  1980)
             Dose (ppm)                          Response


                 0                                2/40

               300                                8/40


Remarks:

1.  Mice  were exposed  by  inhalation  to  300 ppm of benzene 6 hours/day, 5 days/
    week  for 488 days, at which  time all  of  the benzene-treated animals died.

2.  Lifetime dose is calculated  as d =  300 x  (6/24) x (5/7) =  53.57 ppm.

3.  Because the lifespans of  the treated  animals were shorter than those of
    the controls, the  risk calculated from the data is further adjusted by
    multiplying by a factor of  (630/488)3, where 630 days are assumed to be
    the lifespan of the control  mice.   The carcinogenic potency of benzene is
    calculated to be q| = 1.4 x  10'Vppm.  The maximum likelihood estimate is
    q  =  6.9 x 10"3/ppm.
         TABLE C-3.   INCIDENCE  OF  ZYMBAL GLAND CARCINOMAS IN MALE RATS
                     (F344)  ADMINISTERED BENZENE BY 6AVAGE
                                   (NTP 1984)
          Dose (mg/kg/day)                        Response


                  0                                2/48

                 50                                6/50

                100                               10/50

                200                               17/50


Remarks:

1.  Benzene was administered  by  gavage  5 days/week for 103 weeks.
                                                                        »
2.  The lifetime dose is calculated  by  d x  (5/7), where d is the experimental
    dose.

                                     C-3

-------
3.  The carcinogenic potency of benzene is estimated to be:


                           q* = 3.64 x 10-3/mg/kg/day
or, equivalently,
                             q* = 7.90 x 10-3/ppm
The maximum likelihood estimates of parameters using  the multistage  model  are:


             ql = 5.16 x l(T3/ppm,  q2 = 5.56 x l(T6/(ppm)2,  q3 =  0
     TABLE C-4.  INCIDENCE OF ZYMBAL GLAND CARCINOMAS IN  FEMALE  RATS  (F344)
                         ADMINISTERED BENZENE BY  GAVAGE
                                   (NTP 1984)
               Dose (mg/kg/day)                     Response


                      0                              0/50

                     25                              5/50

                     50                              5/50

                    100                             14/49


Remarks:

1.  The study design is the same as that described  in Table B-3.

2.  The carcinogenic potency of  benzene is calculated as:

                           q* =  5.96 x 10-3/mg/kg/day

or, equivalently,

                              q* = 1.29 x 10-2/ppm


The maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters  in the  multistage model

are:

        qi = 8.68 x 10-3/ppm, q2 = 0 and q3 =  5.56  x  lO-7/(ppm)3.


                                      C-4

-------
                                   APPENDIX  0

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