January 1985
 THE VERTICAL REDISTRIBUTION OF A POLLUTANT TRACER
           DUE TO CUMULUS CONVECTION
  ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES RESEARCH LABORATORY
    OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
   U.S.  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA 27711

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  THE VERTICAL REDISTRIBUTION OF A POLLUTANT TRACER
            DUE TO CUMULUS CONVECTION
                       by
       John A. Ritter and Donald Stedman
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic  Science
          The University of Michigan
           Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109
     Cooperative Agreement CR807485-01  and 02
                Project Officer

               Jason K.S.  Ching
     Meteorology and Assessment Division
   Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory
 Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
   ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES RESEARCH LABORATORY
     OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
    U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
 RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA 27711

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                NOTICE
The information in this document has been
funded partly by the United States
Environmental Protection Agency under
Cooperative Agrements CR807485-01 and -02
to The University of Michigan.  It has been
subject to the Agency's peer and administrative
review, and it has been approved for publication
as an EPA document.

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                               ABSTRACT


          THE VERTICAL REDISTRIBUTION OF A POLLUTANT TRACER
                      DUE TO CUMULUS CONVECTION

                                  by

                          John Andrew Ritter
     This study presents a formalism that incorporates the physi-

cal processes responsible for the vertical redistribution of a

conservative pollutant tracer due to a convective cloud field and

demonstrates that the cloud venting process should not be neglected

in regional-scale modeling.

     Two modeling approaches are presented which, although both are

based on the framework common to the works of Ogura and Cho (1973)

and Johnson (1975), differ in the manner in which the cloud field is

forced.  In the first approach (herein called the implicit model),

which is adapted from Johnson (1975), the vertical cloud development is

limited by the satellite observed value, but the cloud forcing is

determined solely from synoptic-scale heat and moisture budgets.  In

the second approach (herein called the explicit model), the vertical

development is similarly limited, but the forcing functions are

obtained in a unique way by explicitly incorporating the vertical

distribution of cumulus cloud cover, thereby dynamically incorporating

the influences of subsynoptic-scale phenomena.  By comparing the

results of the implicit and explicit models, we may gain some insight

into the importance of subsynoptic-scale phenomena in determining the

vertical pollutant transport due to cumulus convection.


                                i i i

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     The two models give internally consistent results for varying




conditions and give similar results for the total convective upward



mass flux (Mu).  The manner in which the upward mass flux ia appor-




tioned to the various cloud classes, however, differs for the two




models and is shown to affect the vertical profile of detralnment




for a conservative tracer.  This is seen as a consequence of the




vertical profile of forcing functions used in the respective models.




Although the explicit model gave more reasonable profiles, the abso-




lute values stemming from this model must be viewed with caution




due to the sensitivity of the model to its required input.  The




implicit model, on the other hand, whose forcing functions are devoid




of subsynoptic-scale effects, demonstrated an acceptable sensitivity




to its input parameters if the data are prepared judiciously.



     This study has provided two methods by which satellite data can




be used to incorporate the subscale effects of cumulus clouds into



regional transport models.  It has also been shown that regardless of




the method chosen, the concentration increase in the cloud-layer due to



the venting action of cumulus clouds can be as, if not more important



than, the in-situ produciton of some species and should therefore not



be neglected in regional-scale transport models for scenerios




involving convective cloud fields.
                             iv

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                          TABLE OF CONTENTS
Abstract	iii
List of Tables	vt
List of Illustrations	vii
Acknowledgements	xti
Chapter
      1.  Introduction	1
      2.  The Parameterization of Convective Cloud Venting	15
          2.1  Model Perspective	15
          2.2  Data Preparation	36
               a)  Synoptic-scale analysis	36
               b)  Surface analysis	55
               c)  Satellite data	58
               d)  Other data fields	66
          2.3  The Entraining Plume Model	66
          2.4  Determination of the Convective-scale Forcing
               from Synoptic-scale Variables	76
          2.5  Determination of the Convective-scale Forcing
               from a *Bulk' Perspective	80
          2.6  Determination of the Convective Cloud Mass Flux..91
      3.  Model  Evaluation and Intercomparison	98
      4.  Sensitivity Analysis	123
      5.  Summary and Conclusions	13T
Bibliography	136
Appendices	143

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                             LIST OF TABLES
Table 3-1.
Table 4-1.
Table 4-2.
Table


Table


Table
      Basic characteristics of the cloud field for each
      grid cell chosen for an evaluation of the models
      presented.  Units of heat flux are W m"~2
      (ex:  explicit model; im:  implicit model)	
                                                                   .99
      Sensitivity analysis of the explicit model to the
      selection of the lower limit of integration in
      Equation (52)	.	124

      Sensitivity analysis of the explicit model to the
      selection of the approximate minimum bound for the
      determination of cloud half-lives	125
4-3.  Sensitivity analysis of the explicit model to the
      selection of AH/Z^	126
4-4.  Sensitivity analysis of the implicit model to the
      profiles of QR, Qj, Q2> 3X/3p and q^	
                                                            ,127
4-5.  A budget analysis for the terms comprising Q^ and
      0.2 as given by Equations (41) and (42) respectively.
      The data are taken from that of case #1 at 700 and
      800mb.  Units:  °K day"1	128
                              VI

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                        LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS
Figure 1-1.     The vertical distribution of mixed layer air due
                to the diurnal oscillation of the mixed layer
                height is illustrated.  Parcels transported to
                the upper region of the mixed layer may become
                trapped at that level due to the termination of
                positive heat flux.  Parcels in this region are
                transported by different mechanisms at night than
                those in the nocturnal boundary layer....	3

Figure 1-2.     A depiction of the cloud venting process is shown.
                A cloud-base mass flux, %, enters the cloud from
                the mixed layer.  Cloud layer air enters the
                sides of the cloud by the entrainment process.
                Clouds detrain at their respective cloud tops.
                The total upward mass flux from the clouds
                induces a subsidence in the between cloud
                environment ultimately injecting cloud layer
                air into the mixed layer	5

Figure 2.1-1.   The Regional Oxidant Model domain with the network
                of 60 by 42 grid cells is shown*  The dimensions
                of each grid cell are 1/4° longitude by 1/6°
                latitude	17

Figure 2.1-2.   Summer Experiment study area with individual 1/4°
                longitude by 1/6° latitude grid cells indicated....18

Figure 2.1-3.   Box diagram showing the basic components of the
                modeling approaches used in this study	21

Figure 2.1-4.   Satellite photograph of the Summer Experiment
                study area for 2331$ 7/22/81	23

Figure 2.1-5.   The distribution of clouds in a hypothetical grid
                cell is illustrated.  The dot(s) or circle(s)
                represent hypothetical updrafts for the clouds
                shown.	.....24

Figure 2.1-6.   The model used in this study depicts a real cloud
                field by:
                (a)  choosing a distribution of cloud updrafts to
                     represent the ensemble of clouds present,
                     and by
                (b)  combining the updraft elements of the same
                     height class  (shown in part (a) of this
                     figure) while conserving the total updraft
                     area	.25

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Figure 2.1-7.   Model derived entrainment rates are assigned on
                the basis of cloud-top height,  implying that
                taller clouds have entrained less and therefore
                have retained more of their buoyancy than shorter
                clouds have	27

Figure 2.1-8.   UV-DIAL depiction of pollutant stratification
                in the cloud layer	29

Figure 2.1-9.   A schematic solution of the integral equation used
                to determine the cloud-base mass flux is presented.
                On the left side is a model cloud field (analogous
                to that in Figure 2.1-6'(b).  On the right side is
                the vertical profile of the forcing terms	33

Figure 2.2-1.   The spatial distribution of the rawinsonde obser-
                vation sites used in the analysis of the Summer
                Experiment observational program, July 1981 is
                shown above.  The enclosed region represents the
                study area	38

Figure 2.2-2.   The computational grid domain used for the
                synoptic-scale analysis of the rawinsonde data
                is shown above.  The enclosed region represents
                the study area	39

Figure 2.2-3.   A schematic depiction of how the first derivative
                of a feature with a wavelength X could be
                misrepresented by not having grid points located
                1/4 X apart.  A '+' indicates where additional
                grid points should be* located	40

Figure 2.2-4.   Objectively analyzed 500 mb geopotential heights
                (gpm) for OOZ 7/23/81	43

Figure 2.2-5.   Objectively analyzed 500 mb temperature (K) for
                OOZ 7/23/81	44

Figure 2.2-6.   Objectively analyzed 500 mb specific humidity
                (x 10 g/kg) for OOZ 7/23/81	45

Figure 2.2-7.   A schematic representation of a situation in
                which the interpolation of the horizontal compon-
                ents of the wind field do not yield the same
                results as the interpolation of the wind speed
                (see text for discussion)........	46

Figure 2.2-8.   Synoptic-scale relative vorticity fields
                (x 106 s"1) at 500 mb for OOZ 7/23/81:
                (a)  from initial u and v component interpolation,
                (b)  from the interpolated centroid point values
                     of £  and
                         Viii

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                (c)  from the final wind field determined from
                     Equation (9)	49

Figure 2.2-9.   Synoptic-scale divergence fields (x 106 s""1) at
                500 mb for OOZ 7/23/81:
                (a)  from initial u and v component interpolation,
                (b)  from the interpolated centroid point values
                     of 6, and
                (c)  from the final wind field determined from
                     Equation (9N	50

Figure 2.2-10.  Wind field (kt) at 500 mb for OOZ 7/23/81:
                (a)  from initial u and v component interpolation,
                (b)  from the Schaefer-Doswell variational
                     technique.	51

Figure 2.2-11.  Vertical velocity field (mb hr"1) at 500 mb for
                OOZ 7/23/81	54

Figure 2.2-12.  The spatial distribution of surface meteorological
                observation sites used in the analysis of the
                Summer Experiment observational program,
                July 1981	56

Figure 2.2-13.  The computational grid domain used for the surface
                meteorological data is shown above.  The enclosed
                region represents the study area	57

Figure 2.2-14.  Surface observations of
                (a)  temperature (K), and
                (b)  dew-point temperature (K)
                for OOZ 7/23/81	59
Figure 2.2-15.
Figure 2.2-16.
Figure 2.3-1.
An illustration of the process by which the fre-
quency distribution of cumulus cloud-top heights
is used to give the vertical distribution of
fractional cumulus cloud cover:
(a)  profile of IR pixel data obtained from
     satellite observations;
(b)  the corresponding profile of cumulus cloud
     coverage via a regression analysis between
     observed IR pixel data and fractional cumulus
     cloud cover observed from the satellite
     visible imagery; and
(c)  final normalized cloud cover distribution	63

Regression curve showing the relationship between
the IR pixel count and the area of cumulus
coverage.	65

A vertical profile of the normalized mass flux
distribution of n(XjL,p), for a typical cloud
class	69

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Figure 2.3-2.

Figure 2.5-1.
Figure 3-1.
Figure 3-2.
Figure 3-3.
Figure 3-4,
Figure 3-5.
Figure 3-6.
Figure 3-7.
Example of model derived entrainment rates
An illustration of the entrainment zone which
exists between the mixed layer and the more
stable cloud layer above is shown.  H2
represents the highest level to which mixed
layer air can penetrate.  HI marks the highest
level at which most of the air can be identified
as mixed layer air. . . ..... ......
                                                                   83
(a)
     fractional cumulus cloud coverage as a
     function of pressure as determined from
     satellite data, and
     model derived entrainment rates as a
     function of cloud class
for cell (5,20) at 20Z (case #1)	
                (b)
                                                                  100
(a)
     fractional cumulus cloud coverage as a
     function of pressure as determined from
     satellite data, and
     model derived entrainment rates as a
     function of cloud class
for cell (7,20) at 20Z (case #2)	
                (b)
                                                                  101
(a)
     fractional cumulus cloud coverage as a
     function of pressure as determined from
     satellite data, and
     model derived entrainment rates as a
     function of cloud class
for cell (12,16) at 20Z (case #3)..	
                (b)
                                                                  ,102
Vertical mass flux distribution for
(a)  explicit model, and
(b)  implicit model
at 20Z (case #1)	
                                                                  ,105
Cloud-base mass flux distribution mg(p) for
(a)  explicit model, and
(b)  implicit model
at 20Z (case #1)	
                                                                  ,106
Concentration increase in the cloud layer of a
conservative tracer assuming a mixing ratio of
60 ppbv in the mixed layer and 40 ppbv in the
cloud layer for
(a)  explicit model, and
(b)  implicit model
at 20Z (case //I).	
                                                                  ,108
Vertical mass flux distribution for
(a)  explicit model, and
(b)  implicit model
at 20Z  (case #2)	
                                                                  ,110

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Figure 3-8.     Cloud-base mass flux distribution mjj(p) for
                (a)  explicit model, and
                (b)  implicit model
                at 20Z (case #2)	112

Figure 3-9.     Concentration increase for the same conditions
                of Figure 3-6 for
                (a)  explicit model, and
                (b)  implicit model
                at 20Z (case #2)	113

Figure 3-10.    Vertical mass flux distribution for
                (a)  explicit model, and
                (b)  implicit model
                at 20Z (case #3)	115

Figure 3-11.    Cloud-base mass flux distribution mg(p) for
                (a)  explicit model, and
                (b)  implicit model
                at 20Z (case #3)	116

Figure 3-12.    Concentration increase for the same conditions
                of Figure 3-6 for
                (a)  explicit model, and
                (b)  implicit model
                at 20Z (case #3)	118

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                          ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

     The work presented in this report is the culmination of the efforts of
several people, all to whom I am gratefully indebted.  This research topic
was suggested to me by Dr. Jason Ching.  I am grateful to him for the many
fruitful discussions we have had and for the continued support for my work
that he has shown.  The enthusiasm, energy and personal interest exuded by
my major advisor, Dr. Donald Stedman, did much to help me over numerous research
and academic hurdles in the past several years.  His friendship and example
as a scientist has influenced me greatly during this, period.  I have benefited
greatly from  the insightful suggestions given to me by Dr. Francis Binkoski.
Mr. 0. Russell Bullock was extremely helpful in providing a firm base from which
to start.  The technical support of Adrian Busse, Dale Coventry, and Jim Regan
has been invaluable.  Administrative responsibilities were admirably fulfilled
by Bobbi Walunas.
     I would also Tike to thank the Meteorology and Assessment Division of
EPA for providing me with the environment and computer resources necessary
for the completion of this work which was funded by EPA under Cooperative
Agreements CR807485-01 and -02.
                                  xn

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                              CHAPTER 1



                             INTRODUCTION



    In recent years there has been an increasing awareness and concern

over the fate of pollutants that are emitted as a result of normal

human activity and their resulting impact on the air quality and ulti-
       ,                                    •
mately on the quality of human life for those who reside in the wake

of the pollutant plume.  Several studies have shown that pollutants

are capable of being transported over long distances.  Spicer et^ al.

(1977) along with White et ajL. (1976) have shown that urban pollutant

plumes can be identified up to 250 km from their sources.  Wolff et

al. (1977) have similarly shown enhanced ozone concentrations along

the 'northeast corridor1 extending from Washington, B.C., to Boston,

Mass.   The long—range transport of ozone under high pressure condi-

tions has also been addressed by Samson and Ragland (1977).  With the

advent of faster computers and the knowledge gained from previous

studies, the level of complexity of the numerical models used to study

the transport and transformation processes of pollutants has increased

tremendously (Rodhe and Crutzen, 1981; Baboolal et_ al., 1981; Eliassen

£t_al., 1982; Lamb, 1983).  Johnson (1983) reviews several different

modeling approaches used today in the study of the long-range trans-

port and transformation of pollutants.

    The horizontal transport of pollutants has been the focal point of

many of the current transport models.  However, pollutants are also

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                                  2




subject to vertical dispersion above the mixed layer due to several




mechanisms.  Figure 1-1 illustrates the vertical redistribution of




mixed-layer pollutants as a result of the diurnal oscillation of the



mixed-layer height (Carson, 1973; Manins, 1982).  We see from the




figure that pollutants emitted into the mixed layer during the period




of strong daytime convection become well-mixed throughout the layer.




However, as the surface-heat flux subsides in the late afternoon, the




pollutants located in the upper region of the layer remain there as




the mixed-layer height collapses.  Eventually, a nocturnal inversion




is established which separates the now aged mixed layer, above the




nocturnal inversion base, from the surface layer.  The pollutants in



the inversion layer, which were of mixed layer origin, are now free to




be advected independently of the transport occurring in the surface




layer (Zeman, 1979).




    Another mechanism by which pollutants can be vertically dispersed



is through the action of convective clouds.  The role that such clouds




play in influencing the transport and transformation of pollutants has



received increasing attention in the past few years.  Emmitt (1978)



has traced the mixed-layer thermals associated with convective clouds




from just above the cloud base to the surface.  This indicates that




pollutants emitted in the surface layer are able to be transported




vertically into the cloud layer as a result of these 'cloud roots'.




This upward transport of mixed-layer air causes a compensating amount




of cloud layer air, deficient in pollutant load, to return to the



mixed layer thereby diluting the mixed-layer concentrations.  As a




result of this process, the mixed-layer height, another important




variable in transport models, is modulated.  These processes are

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         Mixed layer top
                     I
                    SR
T
 N
T
 ss
Figure 1-1.  The vertical distribution of mixed layer air due to
             the diurnal oscillation of the mixed layer height
             is illustrated.   Parcels transported to the upper
             region of the mixed layer may become trapped at that
             level due to the termination of positive heat flux.
             Parcels in this  region are transported by different
             mechanisms at night than those in the nocturnal
             boundary layer.

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                                  4




illustrated in Figure 1-2, where n^ indicates the upward mass flux




(in units of mass area"* time""1 ) entering through the cloud bases and




where M represents the downward compensating mass flux of cloud-




layer air.  Other studies have shown how the presence of clouds can




modify the thermodynamic structure of the subcloud layer (Deardorff,



1975; Betts, 1976; Seguin and Garstang, 1976; Johnson, 1976).  Con-




vective clouds have long been known to redistribute heat and moisture




(Riehl and Malkus, 1958, 1961; Ooyama, 1964; Charney and Eliassen,




1964; Kuo, 1965; Yanai et_al., 1973; Arakawa and Schubert, 1974;




Johnson, 1976).  However, to date, the field of air pollution meteor-




ology has been virtually silent about the influence these clouds may



have in vertically redistributing pollutants.  The proper treatment




of this process must be incorporated into long-range transport models




if the results are to be considered credible.




    As a result of the growing concern for a more realistic depiction




of the physical processes involved in long-range transport, the U.S.




Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has initiated the Northeast



Corridor Regional Modeling Project (NECRMP).  The focal point of this




project is the development of the Regional Oxidant Model (ROM), a




regional-scale Eulerian transport and photochemistry model (Lamb,



1983).  In order to initialize and validate this model, several field




studies have been undertaken, the results of which are summarized by




Clarke ejt ad. (1983).  The results of these observational programs




have given even more evidence of the importance of convective clouds




in venting pollutants from the mixed layer (Vaughan et al., 1982).  An




especially interesting observation was made by Greenhut e_t_ a!U (1983).




They observed peak ozone concentrations of 130 ppb over Philadelphia's

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                m
                                                        m
                 u
                                                         u
Figure 1-2.
A depiction of the cloud venting process is shown.
A cloud-base mass flux, m , enters the cloud from
the mixed layer.  Cloud layer air enters the sides
of the cloud by the entrainment process.  Clouds
detrain at their respective cloud tops.  The total
upward mass flux from the clouds induces a subsi-
dence in the between cloud environment ultimately
injecting cloud layer air into the mixed layer.

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                                  6




urban area, whereas to the southeast and northwest values of 90 ppb




were observed.  In addition, in a cloud penetration by an aircraft




they estimated that the flux of ozone in the updraft was two orders




of magnitude larger than the turbulent eddy flux.  These observations




indicate that turbulent diffusion alone is inadequate to account for




the redistribution of pollutants due to the presence of a convective




cloud field and that the effects of the updrafts that are associated




with these clouds must be incorporated into pollutant transport




models..




    Until the recent studies of Chatfield (1982) and Gidel (1983), the




process of cloud venting was either ignored or a bulk eddy-diffusion




constant was assumed (Chameides and Stedman, 1977; Liu, 1977).




Chatfield used transition probabilities to parameterize the effects of




cloud transport on various sulfur species in the tropics, while Gidel




used an approach similar to the one proposed in this work.  Although




both of these works reached the important conclusion that an increas-




ing specie mixing ratio with height in the free troposphere can be



explained by the venting action of cumulus clouds, both works used



an assumed distribution of vertical mass transport due to clouds.




In the present work the distribution of cloud-base mass flux used to



describe the vertical redistribution of a conservative tracer will




not be assumed a priori, but will be determined by the model.




    Parameterization techniques for determining how clouds influence,




and are forced by, the large-scale thennodynamic fields have come




through a long evolution.  A brief history of this evolution will now




be given so that a better perspective of this complex problem can be




obtained.

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                                  7




    The depth to which clouds may penetrate depends on the environmen-




tal profiles of temperature, moisture, and wind shear.  Methods used



to determine the extent of growth vary.  Two fundamental, approaches,




however, are the parcel method and the slice method.  In the parcel




method, a parcel of cloud air is assumed to follow the moist adiabat




upwards on an adiabatic diagram.  The intersection of this moist




adiabat and the line representing the environmental lapse rate defines




the cloud top.  In the slice method, Bjerknes (1938) allowed compen-




sating, unsaturated downward motion to match the saturated ascent of




the cloud parcel by applying the continuity equation as a constraint.




This induced motion acts to dry and warm the environment by adiabatic




compression, thereby altering the environment by increasing the sta-




bility of the cloud layer.  In addition, the subsidence field acts to




retard the growth of the mixed layer (Johnson, 1978; Pielke, 1974).




If this process were allowed to continue, the convection could actu-




ally be cut off in'that the subsidence field may cause the mixed-




layer height to decrease until the moisture supply is no longer



sufficient to sustain the cloud field.  Therefore, in order for the




convection to be maintained, a forcing mechanism must exist that will



counteract the effects of stabilizing subsidence motion.  Several such



such mechanisms exist.  Over land, the diurnal heating of the surface




layer, topographical influences, and land-sea breeze convergence




zones are typical examples of these mechanisms.  Over oceanic regions,




however, the convergence of moist-air provides the major impetus for




cloud growth.  Bjerknes (1938) also found that the greatest efficiency




of convection was attained when the area of the rising air was only a




small percentage of the total area.  This is an important point, the

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                                   8




 relevance of which will  be  discussed  in  this work.   The  inclusion




 of synoptic-scale  vertical  motion  into this framework was  done  by




 Cressraan (1946), thereby allowing  the dynamics  of  the environment to




 Influence cloud development.




     A major weakness  of the  slice method is that  no provision  has




 been made for  the  entrainment of environmental  air into  the  cloud




 •parcel.   It has been observed,  for example  (Warner,  1955;  Squires,




 1958),  that the water  content in nonprecipitating  cumulus  clouds  can




 3*ot be approximated by the  mixed-layer water-vapor mixing  ratio,




 hence  implying the existence  of the entrainment process.   Stommel




 (1947,  1951) envisioned  the entrainment  process in terms of  a. turbu-




 lent stream or Tjet? moving through a nonturbulent environment.   In




 his studies, he determined  the rate of entrainment from  profiles  of




 temperature and specific humidity  taken  both inside and  outside of




 curauli.   Due to the continual entrainment of outside air,  the mass



 flux within the jet was  shown to increase with  height.   Scorer  and




 Lodlam (1953)  introduced the  'bubble1 or thermal model for convection.




"This model, most applicable to small  cumuli, models the  rising  element



 as a puff of air that  expands as if it were contained in a conelike



 container with the vertex at  the originating point of the  thermal.




 Unlike the plume or jet  approach of Stommel, entrainment in  this  model




 occurs at the  leading  face  of the  bubble.   Squires and Turner  (1962)




 furthered the  development of  the entraining plume  or 'jet' proposed




 by Stommel by  employing  the results of Morton  (1957) who found  that




 the inflow velocity from a  quiescent  environment is proportional  to




 the upward 'jet* velocity.  The thermodynamical treatment  of Squires




 and Turner was built on  a firmer physical basis than previous efforts

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                                  9




and yielded results of in-cloud properties that were reasonably con-




sistent with the available observational data.  The latter two mixing



models (plume or jet and bubble) have served as the basis for convec-




tion models up to the present.  As would be expected, each method has




strengths and weaknesses.  As for the plume model, any mixing at the




top, or leading face of the plume, is neglected.  It is also assumed




that the plume detrains into the environment only at the cloud top.




The bubble theory, on the other hand, is incapable of treating rising




thermals from a steady source, either below or within the bubble




itself.




    The previous discussion has dealt only with a single cloud ele-




ment.  However, if conditions present are conducive to cloud growth,



as a result of any of the aforementioned mechanisms, a population, or




ensemble, of clouds instead of a single cloud will actually be formed.




The relationship, however, between such a convective cloud population




and the larger synoptic field is a complex one that is not yet fully




understood.  Riehl and Malkus (1958, 1961) made some of the first




advances in understanding this relationship.  Their work showed that




the transport of sensible heat and water vapor by cumulus clouds in




the tropics is important in maintaining the energy budget of the



tropical atmosphere.  Efforts to parameterize this relationship could




be categorized into three basic approaches:  convective adjustment,




boundary-layer convergence, and moisture convergence through an entire




air column.  A complete review of these methods is provided by Bates




(1972) and will be briefly described here.




    In the convective adjustment technique (Manabe and Strickler,



1964) the conditional instability of a layer is removed in such a way

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                                  10




that the total energy is conserved.  Realizing that the tropical



boundary layer has a high moisture content relative to the air above,




Ooyama (1964), along with Charney and Eliassen (1964), related the




convergence of moisture in the boundary layer to the growth rate for




tropical cyclones.  Charney and Eliassen named this process the




Conditional Instability of the Second Kind (CISK).   This was an impor-




tant development since in this process the synoptic-scale features




actually cooperate with a population of cumulus clouds, in that the




cumulus clouds provide the heat which aids the growth of the synoptic-




scale waves while the synoptic-scale feature supplies the moisture



that maintains the cumulus clouds.  Kuo (1965) parameterized the




growth of tropical cyclones in terms of the net moisture convergence




integrated over an entire column of the atmosphere and added to this



the evaporation from the sea surface.




    Ooyama (1971) was the first to introduce the concept of an ensem-




ble, or spectrum of cloud sizes.  The ensemble was defined in terms



of a dispatcher function which gives the rate of generation of



bubbles from the surface layer.  The issue of a cloud spectrum was




again addressed by Arakawa and Schubert (1974).  They pointed out



that the parameterization scheme used by Ooyama (1971) was not closed




since the exact nature of the dispatcher function was not known.




They closed the parameterization problem by explicitly linking the




characteristics of a cumulus ensemble to the large-scale fields of




temperature, moisture and radiative cooling.  Their results showed




that cumulus detrainment cooled and moistened the environment while



the cumulus induced subsidence caused large-scale warming and drying.




The cloud ensemble they employed was divided into cloud classes based

-------
                                  11




on the fractional rate of mass entrainment, which was uniquely de-




scribed for each cloud class.  The budgets of moist static energy,




mass and total water content were then determined for each cloud




class.  The cloud-base mass flux was subsequently determined by the




solution of these budget equations subject to the environmental




profile of moist static energy and the forcing resulting from the




large-scale fields of temperature, moisture and radiative cooling.




Their method was designed to be used in the U.C.L.A. general circu-




lation model and was prognostic in nature.  The control of the cloud




field in the temporal sense was accomplished by defining a cloud work




function which is a measure of the kinetic energy generation for each




cloud class.  The required assumptions were that each cloud class be




in a  'quasi-equilibrium* with the large-scale forcing and that the



region under consideration is small in comparison to the large-scale,




but large enough to contain a statistically representative sample of




the cloud population.




    Ogura and Cho (1973) and Nitta (1975) have used the Arakawa-




Schubert theory in a diagnostic sense to determine how, for different



situations, the cumulus field interacted with, and was determined by,



the large-scale budgets of heat and moisture.  Cho and Ogura (1974)




applied this same approach to yet another tropical data set and found




that deep and shallow cumulus clouds were controlled by separate mech-



anisms.  Lewis (1975) tested the diagnostic model described above on




a situation involving a prefrontal squall line.  He compared the ob-




served frequency of tall clouds (from a WSR-57 radar) and total area




covered, to that obtained from the model with favorable results.




Johnson (1975, 1976) incorporated convective-scale downdrafts into

-------
                                  12




the diagnostic approach of Ogura and Cho (1973) and found that the




magnitude of the downdraft mass flux in the lower troposphere was




between one-quarter and one-half that of the updraft mass flux.  He




concluded that neglecting the contribution of convective-scale down-




drafts to the net mass flux budget in precipitating cases could result




in an excessively warm and dry lower troposphere.  Johnson (1977)




incorporated lateral detrainment into his diagnostic model, following



the results of Fraedrich (1976) who found that lateral detrainment




and not cloud top detrainment was the dominant detrainment mechanism.




Johnson found that the inclusion of this process may decrease the net



cumulus mass flux by 15% - 20%.  Johnson (1980) further modified the




diagnostic model to include the effects of mesoscale downdrafts.




    As the above discussion indicates, the formalism of the Arakawa-




Schubert approach has proven to be flexible in regard to the inclusion




of additional mechanisms that may provide a more realistic depiction




of the actual interaction between the convective and large-scale



fields.  It should be noted that neither the Arakawa-Schubert scheme




nor its diagnostic counter-part require any empirical or observed



cloud data as input.  This can be very advantageous when working



with, for example, a data set that is zonally averaged or when only




rawinsonde data are available.  There are however, two major problems




that are encountered when this approach is applied to a mid-latitude




situation on a regional scale with a grid spacing of « 20 km on a




side.  The first problem is the assumption that each grid cell con-




tains a representative sample of the cumulus population.  This may



be easily violated if only a few cumulonimbus clouds (with a radius




of approximately 5 km) are present in the cell.  Secondly, the

-------
                                  13




connection between the large-scale and convective-scale motions, as




defined by the synoptic-scale rawinsonde data, precludes the ability




of the model to be influenced by forces or phenomena tha^t have spatial




scales smaller than that of the rawinsonde separation distance or time




scales shorter than the 12 hours between rawinsonde observations.




Examples of these phenomena would be land-sea breeze circulations



(Pielke, 1974), orographic influences (Orville, 1968), mesoscale con-




vergence patterns (Fritsch and Maddox, 1981a,b; Chen and Orville,




1980), or inhomogeneities caused by differing land use patterns. •




     In regard to the first problem mentioned above, it will be




pointed out later in this work that the limitations of this problem




may be mitigated if a frequency distribution of cumulus cloud top



heights is available to augment the input data.  It will also be




shown that the limitations inherent to the second problem mentioned




above can be avoided if the same frequency distribution is used to




directly force the cloud field; although in this case, some of the




calculations are sensitive to parameters that may be difficult to




determine in an operational sense.




     The process of cloud venting is a very complex one due to the



spatial distribution, temporal nature, and subgrid-scale nature of




these clouds.  This study presents a formalism, based on the diag-




nostic counterpart of the Arakawa-Schubert scheme, that incorporates



the physical processes responsible for the vertical redistribution




of a conservative pollutant tracer due to a convective cloud field




and demonstrates that the cloud venting process should not be neglec-




ted in regional-scale modeling.

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                                  14




     The following chapter describes the parameterization techniques




utilized in this study, as a well as a description of the various




data bases employed and how they were determined.  The results of the



modeling approaches used are described in Chapter 3.  A sensitivity




analysis is provided in Chapter 4, while Chapter 5 presents a summary




of the findings of this study.

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                               CHAPTER 2




            THE PARAMETERIZATION OF CONVECTIVE CLOUD VENTING





                         2.1 Model Perspective




    This section will give a broad overview of the modeling approaches


employed herein.  The overview will include a discussion on the goal


and motivation for this study, as well as an outline of some of the


problems encountered and assumptions inherent to the approaches taken.


The mathematical formalization for these approaches will be presented


in detail in Sections 2.3 - 2.6.  The preparation and description of


the data bases used in this study are outlined in Section 2.2.


    The goal of this study is to determine the impact that cumulus


clouds have on venting a conservative tracer from the subcloud layer
         x

and to investigate the subsequent redistribution of the tracer in the


vertical.  Two modeling approaches are presented which, although both


are based on the framework common to the works of Yanai et_ al*, (1973,


1976), Ogura and Cho (1973), Arakawa and Schubert (1974), Nitta (1975)


and Johnson (1975, 1977), differ in the manner in which the cloud


field is forced.  The first approach (called an implicit model) is


adapted from Johnson (1975) wherein the cloud forcing functions are


determined from the synoptic-scale heat and moisture budgets as


determined from rawinsonde and radiative cooling data.  Realizing


that clouds may also be forced from subsynpotic-scale phenomena, an



                                 15

-------
                                  16



alternative model (called an explicit model) was developed to




provide a formalism in which satellite data can be used in a unique




way to determine the cloud forcing functions for use in the above



framework.  By comparing the results of the implicit and explicit




models, we may gain some insight into the importance of subsynoptic-




scale phenomena, which have not been dynamically included into the




implicit model, in determining the cloud-top detrainment of a conser-




vative pollutant that has been vented from the subcloud layer.




    The motivation for this effort was to develop a formalism that




could be integrated into EPA's ROM (Lamb, 1983) which would account




for the influence that a convective cloud field has on subcloud layer




pollutant levels.  Since the ROM will be used to study the transfor-




mation and transport of pollutants across the northeast quadrant of




the U.S., an assessment of the Influence that such a cloud field may




have on the subcloud pollutant levels would be of great value.  The




related study area for the ROM is shown in Figure 2.1-1.  The model



domain is comprised of a network of 60 by 42 grid cells.  The dimen-




sions of each grid cell are 1/4° longitude by 1/6° latitude.  It is



this scale on which the calculations of cloud-base mass flux will be



made.  Since the ROM is not yet fully operational, the models pre-



sented in this report will be applied to the region associated with




the Summer Experiment study conducted jointly by the National Aero-




nautics and Space Administration (NASA) and the EPA during July 1981.




Figure 2.1-2 illustrates the Summer Experiment study area.  The




dimensions of the grid cells have been chosen to match those of the




ROM in order to facilitate the subsequent adaptation of the models




described in this report into said model.

-------
17
                                                      at
                                                      m
                                                      0)
                                                      o   •
                                                          ,

                                                      •"0
                                                      i
                                                      •P  Qn
                                                      0)  C
                                                      C  O
                                                      JSO
                                                      4J  '
                                                      •H  <1)


                                                      =  '
                                                      •H  H
                                                      «  •-!
                                                      g  0)
                                                         •o
                                                      rH -H
                                                      O  M
                                                      •O  O»
                                                      -M  (Q
                                                      C  (U
                                                      n)
                                                      TJ <4-l

                                                      X  °
                                                      O  n

                                                      •2  °
                                                      flj -rt
                                                      d  m
                                                      o  c
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                                                       I
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-------
18
                                                         I
                                                         •U
                                                         •o -a
                                                         c  
-------
                                  19




    If an account is to be made of the vertical transport of pollu-



tants due to convective clouds, one must not only incorporate the




appropriate physics of the process, but one must also require that




the real cloud field, as determined from satellite imagery, be ade-



quately depicted by the model cloud field.  This is one example of




an instance where an actual process or situation has to be approxi-




mated by a numerical idealization of the same.  As is the case in



any modeling approach, many assumptions will have to be made in the




course of this work.  Some of the assumptions, however crude they may




seem to be, are actually at the state-of-the-art and only underscore



the need for more observational programs so that these assumptions




can be refined.




    The basic tool used for this study (for both the implicit and



explicit approaches) is the one-dimensional steady-state entraining




plume model (Simpson, 1971; Stommel, 1947), realizing that questions




still exist as to its usefulness (Warner, 1970).  This approach has



been used by several authors (Yanai e_t^ aJL., 1973; Arakawa and




Schubert, 1974; Ogura and Cho, 1973; Nitta, 1975; Johnson, 1975,




1977) to determine the redistribution of heat and moisture due to



cumulus ensembles.  These authors related the convective-scale up-




draft flux of moist static energy to the cloud forcing functions




determined from the synoptic-scale heat, moisture and radiation bud-



gets.  The updraft flux of moist static energy was then parameterized




in terms of the cloud-base mass flux via the one-dimensional steady-




state entraining plume theory.  Therefore, once the cloud forcing



terms (the synoptic-scale heat, moisture and radiation budgets) were




known the cloud-base mass flux was determined.  This approach, common

-------
                                  20

to the above mentioned authors, is adapted in this work for the

implicit model.  The computer code used for the implicit model is an

adaptation of the code that has been graciously provided by Johnson.

The explicit model, however, although it follows the same basic

framework as the implicit approach, employs available satellite data

in a unique way to determine the forcing terms that the implicit

model obtains from the synoptic-scale heat, moisture and radiation

budgets.

    Once the input data field has been prepared, the process of which

is by no means trivial (and is discussed at length in Section 2.2),

the determination of the cloud-base mass flux of a conservative tracer

and its subsequent redistribution in the vertical can be divided into

the following three parts and is illustrated in Figure 2.1-3:


         (1)  The determination of the allowable cloud classes;

         (2)  The specification of the cloud forcing terms; and

         (3)  The parametric link between parts (1) and (2) such that
              the cloud-base mass flux for each cloud class can be
              determined.


The first objective is then, given that clouds do exist in a region,

to determine the allowable cloud types, as deemed admissible by the

vertical profile of environmental moist static energy (h), which is

defined by:



                        h = cpT + gz +Lq                         (1)



where cp is the specific heat of constant pressure, g is the gravita-

tional constant, z is the geopotential height, L is the latent heat

-------
21
                                                 f
                                                 4J
                                                 (0

                                                 CO
                                                 T»
                                                 A
o
p
<
5
Ul
X
o
(0
— J
UJ
o
o
2
UJ
a I
CO 3
s °-
0<0«
__i uJ Z
-J co —
< v>l£
U4 ^ <•
5og
U4 O 2
2 ^ L|J
— 0 Q
IdJ-
UJ ...
t- i*i
UJ 1C
0 H-
                                                  CD


                                                  CO


                                                 I
                                                  
-------
                                  22




of condensation and "  represents the environmental average over the




grid cell at a specific height of the particular variable in question



(in this case, temperature (T) and specific humidity (q)).  At this




point it is valuable to note the differences between the actual cloud




field and the cloud field perceived by the model(s).  Figure 2.1-4



shows a satellite picture taken at 2331Z on July 22, 1981 which




encompasses the Summer Experiment area*   The distribution of clouds




and their respective updrafts in a hypothetical grid cell is illu-




strated in Figure 2.1-5.  Owing to the random and subgrid scale




nature of the cloud distribution, the models parameterize the clouds




in terms of cloud updraft categories*  Assuming that there is no




overshoot of the updraft above its equilibrium level, the height of




the updrafts can be given by the cloud-height distribution, as shown




in Figure 2.1-6(a).  The model further simplifies the picture by




combining updraft elements of the same height while conserving the




total updraft area.  The transition from Figure 2.1-6(a) to 2.1-6(b)




illustrates this point.  The determination of the allowable height



classes depicted in Figure 2.1-6(a), from the model's perspective,



is accomplished by applying the principles of conservation of mass



and energy to a steady-state entraining plume, making the assumptions



that the updraft radius is constant with height and that neighboring




updrafts do not interact with each other.  Section 2.3 describes in




detail the resulting relationship between the updraft mass flux, the




initial or cloud-base mass flux, and the rate at which environmental




air is entrained into the updraft.  Such a relationship allows a




direct determination of the desired updraft mass flux for each cloud




class if the cloud class has an entrainment rate that is uniquely

-------
                           23
I
H
V

3

-------
               0
                      o
Figure 2.1-5.
The distribution of clouds in a hypothetical
grid cell is shown.  The dot(s) or circle(s)
represent hypothetical updrafts for the clouds
shown.

-------
                           25
(a)
                n
(b)
    ..mi.
 Figure 2.1-6.
The model used in this study depicts a real cloud field
by:  (a)  choosing a distribution of cloud updrafts to
represent the ensemble of clouds present, and by
(b)  combining the updraft elements of the same height
class (shown in part (a) of this figure) while con-
serving the total updraft area.

-------
                                   26
                   i



ascribed to it.  As described in Section 2.3, the process of deter-




mining the cloud-height categories explicitly assigns a unique




entrainment rate to each cloud class.  Figure 2.1-7 illustrates that




the entrainment rates, denoted by Xi, ascribed to the cloud classes




should show a negative correlation with cloud depth.  This is reason-




able since a cloud that has attained a greater height has entrained




drier environmental air at a slower rate and hence has retained its




buoyancy.  However, since the profiles of T and q, and hence h, are




interpolated from rawinsonde observation sites that may be on the




order of 200 km away, it is not expected that the resulting profiles




will reflect the influence that the cumulus field has had on the




environment.  Situations should therefore be expected to occur in




which the calculated values of Xi will increase with cloud-top




height for a short distance instead of decreasing as would normally




be expected.  If in these cases, the satellite data indicate that




clouds do exist in the grid cell of interest, it is assumed that a




situation of conditional stability, indicated by dh*/dp > 0,




exists locally over the depth of the cloud field, where h* is the



saturated environmental moist static energy defined by,








                     h* = c T + gz + Lq*                          (2)








and where Tj* is the saturated environmental specific humidity. In




these situations X^ is assumed to decrease linearly with pressure so




that \± decreases with increasing cloud top height throughout the




cloud layer.

-------
                            27
w

Figure 2.1-7.
              Model derived entrainment rates  are assigned
              on the basis  of cloud-top height,  implying
              that taller clouds have  entrained  less  and
              therefore  have retained  more  of  their buoyancy
              than shorter  clouds have.

-------
                                  28




    An interesting feature in the approach of assigning a unique



entrainment rate to each cloud class,  which is based on cloud-top




height, and assuming that clouds detrain only at their cloud tops,




is that the pollutant concentrations at any level are, neglecting



any local sources or sinks, the result of the convective venting of




a particular cloud class*  A distinct layering of pollutants would




therefore be expected.  Such an occurence is evident in Figure 2.1-8.




This figure shows a time-height cross section of aerosol concentra-




tions as measured by NASA's UV-DIAL system which has been tuned to




measure atmospheric aerosols (Browell £t_ aJL., 1983).  The three



segments shown the figure represent results taken along different




portions of the chosen flight path.  The latitude and longitude,




time, and vertical coordinate (in meters) are respectively indicated



along the bottom, top, and side of each segment.  Higher aerosol con-




centrations are indicated by the darker areas.  The stratification of




the aerosol layers is most evident in. the top segment.  At the time



of 920 we see a mixed layer with moderate aerosol content extending



up to ~500 m.  Lower aerosol concentrations are present in the layer




extending from 500 - 1000 m.  The data indicate that significantly



higher aerosol concentrations are found between 1000 and 1800 m,




above which the values decrease only slightly.  The origin of these




aerosols is unclear, but the venting of aerosols from the mixed layer



by convective clouds and their subsequent stratification is a pos-




sible explanation.




    The second part of determining the cloud-base mass flux distribu-



tion is the quantification of the cloud forcing functions.  In the




formulation of Johnson (1975) and others who have used this framework

-------
                                          29
 u*
 E
 x
 u
 a
 «*
 a
 ae
 Ui
 
                                                                                              •M
                                                                                              !*t

-------
                                  30




the forcing functions are determined solely by the synoptic-scale




heat, moisture and radiation budgets.  In most of the applications of




this approach, the influence of subsynoptic-scale phenomena on the




resulting calculations was not a matter of critical importance since




the main problem being addressed was the interaction between the con-




vective and synotpic scales.  In these cases the regions of interest




were mainly over tropical ocean areas where topographical and diurnal




perturbations could be considered to be minimal (Yanai e_t^ al., 1973;




Ogura and Cho, 1973; Nitta, 1975).  The cloud forcing functions used




for these studies were obtained from rawinsonde data (with an average



spacing of 400-500 km) that had been filtered in space and time to




remove small-scale variations in the data.  Johnson (1976) applied




his model to both a semi-tropical and a tropical region.  The rawin-




sonde data for the latter case were obtained from Reed and Recker




(1971), who determined the average structure of a tropical wave



resulting from a 'composite* of eighteen tropical disturbances.




Lewis (1975), however, applied the model of Ogura and Cho (1973) to




a raid—latitude continental region, wherein the average rawinsonde



spacing was ~85 km, thereby incorporating many subsynoptic-scale




features into the input data.  In an operational mode for mid-




latitude situations, the resolution of the standard rawinsonde




observations is much less.  As a result, the phenomena associated




with meso-scale cyclogenesis, land-sea breeze convergence zones,




local radiative inhomogeneities, and topographical influences are



difficult, if not impossible to resolve from the observations made




twice daily from the standard rawinsonde observational network.




This issue will be addressed again in Section 2.2 in relation to

-------
                                  31




the minimum resolvable wave feature allowed by the rawinsonde net-



work.  Therefore, by determining the cloud forcing functions from




rawinsonde data alone, as described in Section 2.4, clouds formed by




other mechanisms, such as those mentioned above, will be unaccounted



for.  It is therefore conceivable that even though clouds are observed




in a region or grid cell, the synoptic-scale data may have inadequate




resolution for the determination of the forcing functions.  Con-



versely, subsynoptic-scale phenomena may be suppressing cloud activity




that the synoptic-scale rawinsonde data indicate should exist.  In




such a situation, a model based on rawinsonde data without the addi-



tional information provided by satellite data would fail.




    A formalism for determining the cloud forcing functions from




satellite data is presented in Section 2.5.  In principle, this



method would then bridge the spectral gap by allowing the satellite




observed cloud field, which is the result of numerous forcing mech-




anisms on all scales, to determine the forcing of the cloud field.



This has a distinct advantage over the previous method in that the




actual forcing mechanisms do not need to be identified and therefore,




the determination of their individual corresponding parametric forms



can be avoided.  Another problem that is avoided is that of the




sensitivity of the synoptic-scale heat and moisture budgets to 3ui/3p




since, as shown in Section 2.4, it is multiplied by the environmental



static energy, which is generally a large number.  However, this




approach has the limitation that the computations are sensitive to a




few parameters that may be difficult to obtain in an operational




sense.  These problems will be discussed further in Chapter 4.

-------
                                  32




    The approach described in Section 2.5 to determine the  convective




 forcing functions in light of the digital visible and infrared  satel-




 lite imagery is centered around earlier works by Kuo (1965,  1974).




 In his work he determined the area of a cumulus cloud by  proposing  a



 relationship between the half-life of the cloud, the moisture required




 to form the cloud, and the net moisture convergence supplied by the




 large-scale flow and ground evaporation.  Here, we invert this  process



 and solve for the effective net moisture convergence using  a vertical




 distribution of cumulus cover determined from satellite data.   This




 quantity is labeled the  'bulk1 forcing term in Section 2.5  and  re-



 places the standard forcing terms that have been previously  mentioned.




 It is termed a 'bulk1 forcing terra since the individual forcing




 terms are unknown.  This method utilizes several critical assumptions



 which are outlined in Section 2.5.




    The third and final step in determining the cloud-base mass flux




 of a conservative tracer is presented in Section 2.6 wherein the the-



 oretical formulation that connects the steady-state entraining  plume



/•model, utilized in the first step, with the forcing terms,  determined




 by either Section 2.4 or 2.5, is given.  Briefly stated,  Section 2.6



 determines a parametric form of the vertical flux divergence of moist




 static energy, which is shown in Section 2.4 to be related  to the




 cloud forcing terms.  This parameterization is done in terms of the




 updraft mass flux and results in an integral equation that  is




 solved for the cloud-base mass flux distribution, given the  cloud




 forcing terms as a function of height.  The solution of this integral



 equation is illustrated in Figure 2.1-9.  The figure shows  that if




 one starts the solution from the top of the cloud field,  meaning

-------
33
                                   §



































I €^4
Lc



















































o






•< •























H
«W
n 
w
•o o
O rH
•POO)
•H rH
•a «H -H
0)  -H -u
4)
ll_ +J (IJ CD
C T3 -H
•H -H
CQ a)
fl) *T3
_C 4J «H
43 IM to
V
m »M i *
II r\ r4
LU O >C

C £ -H
O -P M
Q 4-> c a)
Of-l -p
0
(0 • C
•o o
o 
-------
                                  34


that the cloud-base mass flux for the tallest cloud category is


determined first, the amount of forcing supplied at the maximum


cloud-top level is totally assigned to the tallest cloud class.  The


updraft mass flux for this cloud class is then determined such that


the forcing present at the cloud top is satisfied.  Once this is


accomplished, the updraft mass flux at any level within this cloud


class can be determined via the 1-D entraining plume model.  The


process is then repeated for the second highest cloud class.   Now,


the forcing supplied at the cloud top level for this cloud class must

                                                           •
be partitioned between it and the cloud class just considered.  Since


it has already been determined how much  'forcing* was required for


the previous cloud class, the remainder is left to force the present


cloud class.  This process is continued until the cloud-base mass flux


for the shortest cloud class is determined, thus giving the spectral


distribution of cloud-base mass flux according to cloud class.


    As a result of either the implicit or explicit formulation, the


cloud distribution depicted in Figure 2.l-6(b) is solved for such that


the cloud forcing functions are satisfied at all levels in the model


atmosphere.  The resulting cloud-base mass flux for each cloud class


is defined as:
                        m (X) - -o(X)u (X)                        (3)
                         B            8
where X is the entrainment rate that is uniquely ascribed to each


cloud class, a is the fractional updraft area and o>  is the updraft
                                                   B

vertical velocity at the cloud base for the X*   cloud class.  Note

-------
                                  35


that in solving for m  (X), from Equation  (3) we see that without
                     B

additional information on oj we are unable to determine the updraft


area that the model has required to satisfy the cloud forcing func-


tions.  Therefore, only the product of a and u, namely m , is
                                                        B

determined as a function of cloud class.  However, due to the unique


nature of the satellite data set used in this study, it will be


shown in Section 2.5 that this data can be cast into the form shown


in Figure 2.1-6(b), which can then be used to determine a(X) and


subsequently, with the aid of Equation (3), u (X).
                                             B

    Before leaving this section, one additional concept needs to be


mentioned, namely that of conservation of mass within each grid cell,


which can be expressed as:




                         M = -w" - Mu + Md + M                     (4)




where M is the grid cell averaged net mass flux and is taken to be the


negative of the observed vertical motion field (so that an upward mass


-flux is positive), My is the integral of the updraft mass flux over


*11 cloud categories and M is the residual, between-cloud compen-


sating miss flux.  Since the application of this model will be limited


to cases where the clouds are nonprecipitating, the value of M^,


the convective scale downdraft mass flux, is set equal to zero.  The


units in Equation (4) have those appropriate for mass flux when


divided by the gravitational constant g, which is omitted for clarity.


    Results of the model are discussed in Chapter 3 for a few isolated


cells in the Summer Experiment region.  A sensitivity analysis of the


-model is given in Chapter 4, wherein the most crucial parameters for

-------
                                  36




the model's operation are identified.   When interpreting the results




of this model, one must be aware of the approximations that have been




made*  For example, even though satellite data may have been used to




bridge the spectral gap in the forcing functions,  the grid averaged




profile of moist static energy is still derived from rawinsonde data.




In addition, the entraining plume theory that is employed in this




effort may not be strictly applicable to small clouds.  In view of




these assumptions, a formalism for obtaining reasonable estimates for




the cloud-base mass flux and the subsequent vertical redistribution




of a conservative tracer is obtained.








                        2.2  Data Preparation






    The models described in Sections 2.3 through 2.6 require the




specification of several different environmental parameters.  The




three major data bases required to determine these parameters are:



(a)  synoptic or large-scale meteorological data (determined from




rawinsonde observations); (b)  surface meteorological data and




(c)  statistics of the hourly observed cloud field determined from



satellite data.  The following three subsections will describe the




methods used to prepare these data bases for use in the cloud venting




models described in this report.  Subsection .(d) will list the remain-



ing data fields that have been used as input.






(a)  Synoptic-scale analysis




    The synoptic-scale analysis is based upon the twice-daily rawin-




sonde observations that encompass the study region in both space




and time.  These data were obtained on magnetic tape from the data

-------
                                  37



archives of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).



Figure 2.2-1 shows the study region in relation to the spatial distri-



bution of the 29 rawinsonde observation sites used for this study.



The data field thus obtained, was truncated at 500 mb and spatially



interpolated (the process of which will be explained later in this



subsection) to the computational grid domain shown in Figure 2.2-2



with the vertical resolution of the data choosen to be 25 mb for



temperature (T) and specific humidity (q) and 50 mb for the hori-



zontal wind components (u and v).  Since the average spacing between
                                                           •


rawinsonde sites is « 400 km, the minimum resolvable feature from



from this data set has a wavelength of * 800 km.  In order to



adequately depict such features in the .computational domain, the



spacing of the grid points should therefore represent that of the



rawinsonde network.  However, since the first derivatives of the



synoptic-scale variables will be required in several instances, a



grid spacing of » 400 km would not be adequate.



    Figure 2.2-3 illustrates this problem showing a typical stream-



line, which by definition, is everywhere parallel to the wind field.



From this figure we see that unless the grid spacing is taken to be



1/4 of the minimum resolvable wavelength, the spatial derivatives of



the scalar quantity represented by the wave would be inaccurate.



Therefore, the computational grid was chosen to have a grid spacing



of  * 200 km or 2° in latitude and 2.5° in longitude.  As shown in



Figure 2.2-2,  this grid extends from 348N latitude to 41°N latitude



and from 71°W longitude to 86°W longitude.  Since the ensuing compu-



tations are sensitive to not only the scalar field values, but also



to their first derivatives, it is appropriate to use an interpolation

-------
38
                                         en
                                       «J
                                      4J CO
                                      3 JQ >i

                                      5 0>§
                                      ^ -P 4J
                                      •P C (Q
                                      (0 Q>
                                      •H e 
-------
39
                                                         a

                                                        1
                                                         m   9
                                                        •H  4J
                                                         CQ   m
                                                             n
                                                         0) -P
                                                        •-I  C
                                                         «)  
                                                         I   h
                                                         O  A
                                                         C  O
                                                         >cH
                                                         0)  O>
                                                             0)
                                                         0  M
                                                             U
                                                         •a  c
                                                         a)  a>
                                                         m
                                                         3  0)
                                                         •82
                                                         H  O
                                                          (0  £
                                                          C  CO
                                                          O
                                                         •H  01
                                                         -P  -rH
                                                          «
                                                         •P  (0
                                                          3  JJ
                                                          8
                                                             a)
                                                             •a
                                                          a)  c
                                                         J3  O
                                                         t<  to
                                                         CM


                                                          0)
                                                          H


                                                          I
                                                         •H

-------
                              40
Figure 2.2-3.  A schematic depiction of how the first derivative
     of a feature with a wavelength X could be misrepresented by
     not having grid points located 1/4 \ apart.   A '+' indicates
     where additional grid points should be located.

-------
                                  41

method that will filter out small scale variations.  Such a method

has been developed by Barnes (1964, 1973) and has been employed by

Bullock (1983) for use in EPA's ROM.  The present study will use an

adaptation of Bullock's work to obtain the spatially interpolated

scalar fields that are required.

    In his work, Bullock compared the results obtained from using

several different forms for the weighting function required in

spatial interpolation schemes.   Bullock noted that in cases such as

the one under consideration for this study, where a significant

portion of the computational domain is over the ocean (a data sparse

region), a 'hybrid1 approach was appropriate.  In this approach, a
                                                              (
tangent-plane approximation is first utilized to determine an initial

grid of the scalar field under consideration by extending the gradi-

ents of the data field beyond the coastline.  This is accomplished

by obtaining a tangent plane for each random data point such that a

least-squares approximation is satisfied for the nearest N data

points.  The initial grid point values are then determined from the

nearest N random data points, whose tangent planes are extrapolated

to the grid point in question by employing the weighting function

given by:

                       WT - U-(
where D^ is the distance from the grid point to the i   random data

point and D^JJ is the distance to the furthest random point used.

    The result of the first phase of the 'hybrid' approach is the

generation of a uniform distribution of initial data points.  This

is a requirement for the proper operation of the second part of the

-------
                                  42




 fhybrid' approach which utilizes a scale-dependent filtering technique




developed by Barnes (196A, 1973) to obtain the final scalar field.




The weighting function derived by Barnes has the form:






                           WB - exp(-D2/4C)                       (6)






where the value of C is dependent on the wavelengths of the features




that are to be filtered out of the analysis.  The value of C used in



this study filters all waves < 800 km.  Barnes also showed that the




amplitude of all waves will be reduced somewhat by this gridding pro-




cedure, but that the amplitude can, for the most part be restored by



applying a correction pass to the resulting data field.  The tech-




nique involves applying the same weighting function (Equation (6))




to the residuals between the initial and resultant data fields, and



then adding this result to the previously obtained grid point value.




    It should be noted that due to the smoothing nature of the




tangent-plane approximation, its application to a data field impli-



citly filters features of unkown wavelengths out of the system prior



to the application of the scale-dependent filtering technique of




Barnes.  This can be seen by the lack of any scale dependent parameter



in the weighting function given by Equation (5).  For this reason,



as noted by Bullock (1983), until an analytical relationship between




the number of points used to determine the tangent-planes, the number



of tangent-planes used to determine the grid point values and the




resultant scale-filtering can be found, the value of N must be sub-




jectively chosen for the particular situation of interest.



    The  'hybrid1 scheme employed by Bullock works well for objectively




interpolating a scalar field.  Figures 2.2-4, 2.2-5 and 2.2-6 show

-------
43
                                                      ,-f
                                                      00
                                                      O
                                                      O
                                                       I
                                                       •H
                                                       0)
                                                       A
                                                       r+
                                                       10
                                                       •H
                                                       -U

                                                       •O
                                                        (U
                                                        N
                                                        I
                                                        01
                                                         •
                                                        M

                                                        0)
                                                        H

                                                        &
                                                        •H

-------
44
                                      #19*
                                                   CD

                                                   CO
                                                   01
                                                   N
                                                   O
                                                   O
                                                   B
                                                    s
                                                    S
                                                    O
                                                    O
                                                    in
                                                    cu
                                                    N
                                                    (0
4J
U
IV
•O
                                                    in
                                                     i
                                                    CM

                                                     
-------
45
                                                     s
                                                     O
                                                     o
                                                    o
                                                    H


                                                     X
                                                    -H
                                                     O
                                                     
-------
                                  46

the respective fields of geopotential height (gpm), temperature

(K), and specific humidity (g/kg) at 500 ob for OOZ on July 23, 1981

using this approach.  However, as pointed out by Schaefer and Doswell

(1979) the horizontal interpolation of a vector quantity such as the

observed wind field presents a problem.  The following example,

which is taken from their paper illustrates the situation.  Consider

the two wind observation sites shown in Figure 2.2-7 that lie on an

east-west line.
                                 M                 B
    Figure 2.2-7  A schematic representation of a situation in which
        the interpolation of the horizontal components of the wind
        field do not yield the same results as the interpolation of
        the wind speed (see text for discussion).
The observation at point A shows that the wind is from the west at

10 m/s and that at point B is from the south at 10 m/s.  Interpolating

the wind speed and the wind direction separately to point M gives the

value of 10 m/s from the southwest.  However, when the individual u

and v components are interpolated to the point M, the wind direction

is still from the southwest, but the magnitude is now 7.07 m/s.  Thus,

an ambiguity exists in the interpolation of a vector field.  The

approach adopted by Bullock to solve this problem, which was subse-

quently utilized for this study, followed the method outlined by

Schaefer and Doswell (1979).  In their paper, they partitioned the

-------
                                  47


velocity field into irrotational and nondivergent parts according to


the Helmholtz theorem:
                                                                  (7)
where x *s tne velocity potential (irrotational part), ifi is the


stream-function (nondivergent part) and V  is the horizontal gradient
                                         h

operator.  The fields of relative vorticity (5) and divergence (6)


are related to tf> and x in the following way:
                         " 5  and  V2^ - 5                        (8)
                      h             h
The velocity field can therefore be determined from Equation (7) by


solving Equation (8) for a distribution of x an) will play in deter-


mining the boundary conditions, as several authors have done in the


past, Schaefer and Doswell (1979) allowed the boundary conditions to


be determined by an initial spatial interpolation of the u and v wind


field components.  The 'hybrid' method, which has been previously


described, was used for this purpose.  Briefly, the method of solu-


tion used by Schaefer and Doswell is a variational analysis technique


in which the vorticity and divergence of the final wind field is


constrained to match the given field of relative vorticity (5) and


divergence (5 ) while the difference between the initial wind field,

-------
                                  48


obtained from the component interpolation, and the final wind field


is also minimized.  The expression given by Schaefer and Doswell for


the final wind field is then:
                 V » V0 + (VX + k x VX )/2                        (9)
                             2  -     1


where Vo is the initial wind field and X    are the Lagrange multi-
                                        1,2

pliers given by:
                     72X - 2(c - k • 7 x VQ)                     (10)
and
                           2(5 - V •  V0)                         (11)
where ? and 6 are the given relative vorticity and divergence fields.


These fields are determined, following Bullock (1983), by the methods


developed by Bellamy (1949) and Endlich and Clark (1963), in which


point values of relative vorticity and divergence are determined for


the centroids of triangles formed by rawinsonde observation sites,


assuming that the wind varies linearly over the triangular region.


Figures 2.2-8(a), (b) and (c) show the synoptic-scale 500 mb rela-


tive vorticity field (x 106 s-1) for OOZ 7/23/81 obtained from:


(a)  the initial u and v component interpolation; (b)  the interpo-


lated centroid point values of 5; and (c)  from the final wind field


determined from Equation (9).  Figures 2.2-9(a), (b), and (c) show the


corresponding synoptic-scale 500 mb divergence values (x 10$ s~^).


Figures 2.2-10(a) and (b) show the corresponding wind fields from

-------
                                  49
                                   *•**
                                          (a)
r •
t — 5 — f-
3
• 11 a
*
>
_j— » .JO
*"** l\ l\
}
\\/l 1
V
»
M 23 JO 3* * «
\\V^kT
JO
^
Figure 2.2-8.
Synoptic-scale relative vorticity  fields  (x 10  s  )  at
500 mb for OOZ 7/23/81:   (a)   from initial u and v com-
ponent interpolation,  (b)  from the interpolated
centroid point values  of  £, and  (c)   from the final
wind field determined  from Equation (9).

-------
                                  50
                                        (a)
                          (b)
                                  •«*•
                                        (C)
Figure 2.2-9.
Synoptic-scale divergence fields  (x 10   s  )  at
500 mb for OOZ 7/23/81:   (a)   from initial u and
v component interpolation,  (b)  from the inter-
polated centroid point values  of  <5,  and (c)   from
the final wind field determined from Equation (9).

-------
                                  51
(a)
 (b)
                      *
                \
                                            %
 Figure  2.2-10.
Wind field  (kt) at 500 mb for OOZ  7/23/81:
(a)  from initial u and v component  interpolation,
(b)  from the Schaefer-Doswell variational
     technique.

-------
                                  52


(a)  the initial u and v component interpolation and (b)  those


resulting from the Schaefer-Doswell variational analysis scheme.


We note that although the wind field does not appear to have changed


by much, the relative vorticity and divergence fields shown in


Figures 2.2-8(a) and 2.2-9(a) have been altered to have more of the


characteristics of the 'measured' relative vorticity and divergence


fields shown in Figures 2.2-8(b) and 2.2-9(b).


    The determination of the synoptic-scale horizontal wind field by


the method described above will now enable a reliable determination


of the synoptic-scale vertical velocity to be made.  We integrate


the continuity equation (expressed in pressure coordinates),
                       7 • V + 3oj_ - 0                            (12)
                        h      3n
to obtain,
                           Ps
                   u(p) - /  (7 • V)ave dp                       (13)
                         P
where (V « V)ave is the layer averaged divergence and ps is assumed


to be 1000 mb, where it is assumed that o>(ps) m 0.  An attempt to


account for the influence that topography may have on the vertical


motion field was met with several difficulties.  Since topographical


influences are subsynoptic-scale phenomena, this influence would


have been filtered out of the analysis due to the scale-dependent


filtering technique used in the spatial interpolation.  In addition,


we see from Equation (13) that since the computed vertical velocity


field is determined solely from the layer averaged divergence field,

-------
                                   53

which, in turn is determined from the synoptic-scale relative vorti-

city and divergence fields, a relationship between the induced

vertical velocity due to topography and the existing synoptic-scale

vorticity and divergence fields in three dimensions is required.

Such a relationship is, at best, unclear and therefore, the impact

of topographical features on the vertical velocity field, as

influenced by changes in the synoptic-scale relative vorticity and

divergence fields, will be left as an area of future research.

Figure 2.2-11 shows the computed vertical velocity field (mb hr~*)

at 500 mb for OOZ 7/23/81.  Comparing this figure with the satellite

photograph for this same time, shown in Figure 2.1-3, we see a general

agreement between areas of upward motion (negative in the pressure

coordinate system) and cloudiness.  It should be noted that although

considerable effort was made to determine gridded field of various

parameters over the ocean area, the reliability of these values

becomes increasingly questionable with increasing distance from the

coastline.

    Thus, by using a scale-dependent filtering technique for the

interpolation of a scalar field and a variational analysis approach

for the spatial interpolation of the wind field, a reasonable depic-

tion of the synoptic-scale fields required for the execution of the

model can be obtained.  Once these variables are determined for the

computational grid shown in Figure 2.2-2, they are linearly interpo-

lated in time over the twelve hours between rawinsonde observations,
           (
having the result of ignoring the diurnal variation of the meteoro-

logical field.  This is a problem that needs to be addressed in

future works, but for the purpose of this effort, will be ignored.

-------
54
                                                     
-------
                                  55




Once the temporal interpolation is done, the values are subsequently



interpolated to the center of the cells shown in Figure 2.1-2 using




an overlapping polynomial technique following Bullock (1983).




Vertical profiles of temperature, specific humidity, and wind data




are thus obtained for each grid cell.  These profiles are then used




to define 'the environment' for each cell for both the implicit and




explicit approaches.  The vertical distribution of cloud forcing




functions required for the implicit approach used in this study is




based on combining these profiles with the radiational cooling profile




as described in Section 2.4.






(b)  Surface analysis




    As in the case of the rawinsonde data used for the synoptic-scale



analysis, the surface meterological data employed in this study were




also obtained from NCAR.  Figure 2.2-12 shows the spatial distri-




bution of the surface observation sites used in this study.  Since




the density of the surface observational network does not exhibit a




discontinuity similar to that found in the synoptic-scale case, the




'hybrid' approach was not necessary and a straight-forward application



of Barnes' technique, described in the previous subsection, was used.




Figure 2.2-13 shows the computational grid that the surface data was




thus interpolated to.  Since the first derivatives of the resulting




scalar fields were not required, the grid spacing shown in Figure




2,2-13 approximated the average station spacing of 110 km or 1.0°




latitude by 1.25° longitude.  The scalar fields of temperature and




dew-point temperature were then interpolated, using the method of




overlapping polynomials, to the center of the grid cells shown in

-------
                                  56
f        3
                                       *•
                                       Ik
                  $
                  h
                                        5
K

fc
Figure 2.2-12.
     The spatial distribution of surface meteorological
     observation sites used in the analysis of the
     Summer Experiment observational program, July 1981.

-------
                                   57
            Ik
     N40.
-------
                                  58




Figure 2.1-2.  The resulting temperature and dew-point temperature




analyses for OOZ 7/23/81 are shown in Figures 2.2-14(a) and (b).




Since the data available from NCAR were archived at 3 hr intervals,




an interpolation in time was required.  This was done with a standard




cubic spline routine.






(c)  Satellite data




     Cloud statistics  for this study were provided by scientists at




Colorado State University (CSU) working under a contract from the U.S.



EPA.  The digital satellite data used in this study were obtained




obtained from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite




(GOES) and were made available by the Environmental Data Information



Service of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration




(NOAA/EDIS).  This information was then processed through CSU's Inter-




active Research Imaging System (IRIS) to give the total cloud cover,



cumulus cloud cover, average cumulus height and frequency distribu-




tion of cumulus heights for each grid cell in the region of interest




(shown in Figure 2.1-2).



     The IRIS method employed by the CSU scientists is bispectral in




nature since it uses both visible and infrared (IR) information to de-




termine the desired parameters (Reynolds and Vender Haar, 1977).  This



is accomplished in basically three steps.  First, a cloud classifica-




tion is done by combining the visible and IR data into a color-coded




display that is shown on a video monitor.  A subjective determination



is then made to distinguish between areas of cirrus and cumulus




clouds.  Finally, the determination of the cloud-top temperatures is




made.  The information from the IR channel (centered at 11.5 urn)

-------
                              59
(a)
(b)
                SM  298     297  299 2*4      294 2WM6
Figure 2.2-14
            Surface observations  of (a)   temperature  (K) ,
            (b)   dew-point temperature (K) for OOZ
            7/23/81.

-------
                                  60




would, by itself, give only a coarse estimation of the cloud-top




temperature.  This is because many cumulus clouds are much smaller




than the 4 x 8 km resolution of an IR picture element (pixel) and




a straight-forward determination of the cloud-top temperature would




therefore bias the result towards the apparent warmer values of the




background surface temperatures.  In order to avoid this problem




the IRIS bases the cloud-top temperature calculation on the observed




temperature (as sensed by the IR instrument), the background surface




temperature (as determined from the minimum observed temperature in



the region), and the fractional cloud cover (determined from the




visible channel) in the following way (Behunek et_ ai. , 1983):
                         " (To - (1 - A)TB)/A                    (14)
Where TQ-J is the desired cloud- top temperature, TQ is the observed




temperature, Tg is the background temperature and A is the fractional




cloud cover determined from the visible channel (the resolution of



which is approximately 2 km^).  Cloud-top temperatures are determined




in this way until 2000 EDT.  After this time the data from the visible



channel becomes hard to interpret leaving the IR channel as the only



source of information.  The final step in the process is that of




transforming the determined cloud-top temperatures into cloud-top




heights.  This was done by obtaining rawinsonde information for




stations within and surrounding the area of interest and interpolating




in space and time to each cell of the region.  Employing the resulting




temperature profile, the distribution of cloud-top temperatures were




translated into cloud-top heights.

-------
                                  61




     There are several factors which can introduce error into the




above analysis.  The mere determination of the existence of clouds




is subject to the horizontal resolution of the visible imagery,




implying that clouds on the scale of cumulus humilis or thin cirrus




clouds would not be detected.  The determination of the cloud-top




height would be affected by atmospheric water-vapor emission, response




time of the IR instrument, interference by multilayered clouds and




errors in the rawinsonde data.  The determination of the cloud loca-




tion is influenced by the viewing angle since the sub-satellite




point is at 75°W, 0°N.




     The effect of water-vapor emittance DTyy was considered to be




small since most of the water vapor resides in the subcloud layer.




Additionally, since the background temperature used in determining the




cloud-top temperature was satellite derived, it implicitly includes




the water-vapor emission as opposed to using surface-based temperature




observations.  The response time of the IR instrument can induce an




error of 1 to 5°C, DT^gg, depending on the actual cloud-top and back-




ground temperatures and the configuration of the cloud field.  Due to




the large size of the IR pixel an obscuring cloud field may, at times,




be present.  This situation has the potential for introducing large




errors into the calculation of T^j.  It was therefore decided that TQ-J-




would not be determined for any pixel in which cumulus clouds com-




prised less than 70% of the total cloud field.  The differential




thermal radiative heat loss between that of the cloud and its immed-




iate environment, DTgq, was assumed to be small (Pitts e_t^ aL., 1975),




which enabled TQ-J to be adequately represented by the environmental




temperature at the same height.  Other significant errors may include

-------
                                  62


    , representing the error in the horizontal interpolation of the


RAOB data, and DTyi, the error in the vertical interpolation of CCT«


     The CSU scientists gave the following values to the above men-


tioned errors (Behunek et^ aL. , 1983):


                              DTEq    -0.5°C
                                      -0.5°C
                                      +2.0°C

                              DTHR    I1-000
                              DTVI    +1.0°C


The maximum error in determing TQ-J would therefore be 4-3. 0°C, which,


using a lapse rate of 6.5°C/km yields an error of 462 m or 1514 ft.


     It is the frequency distribution of cumulus cloud-top heights


that makes this data set unique.  These data, as received from CSU,


are given in terms of IR pixels for each 500 ft layer from 500 to


20,000 ft for each grid cell shown in Figure 2.1-2.  This information


is then transformed into a cloud-cover distribution as a function of


height.  It is done in the following manner and is illustrated in
                                *                                •

Figures 2.2-15(a), (b) and (c).  The satellite data are received in


the form shown in Figure 2. 2-1 5 (a).  It is first assumed that, start-


ing with the maximum cumulus cloud top, which is represented by the


highest non-zero 500 ft layer, each succeeding non-zero layer below


this point represents an increase in the cumulus cloud cover.  The


total number of IR pixels observed for each grid cell shown in Figure


2. 1-2 is then determined by integrating the pixel count over all of


the 500 ft vertical vertical layers for each cell.  A regression


analysis is then applied to the data pair of the total pixel count


for each grid cell and the corresponding fractional cumulus cloud


cover observed in the visible wavelength region.  This analysis


was done for all of the grid cells for which satellite data were

-------
                                   63
 (a)
      IR pixel profile
1 (eld top)
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0
0
1 (eld base)
                                Top view of the accumulated 1R pixel coverage
                                                             highest pixel
                                                             lowest pixel
 (c)
             .o
              E
             N.^

             Ul
      CO
      V)
      UJ
      Of.
      a.
                  MO
           700
                  BOO
                  900
                  IQOOl . I .  I
\
                    0.  .1   O.  J  .4  A  .6  .7  .8  .9


                   FRACTIONAL CUMULUS COVERAGE
Figure 2.2-15.
         An  illustration of the process  by which the
         frequency distribution of cumulus cloud-top
         heights is used to give the vertical distri-
         bution of fractional cumulus cloud cover:


          (a)   profile of IR pixel data obtained from
               satellite observations,
          (b)   the corresponding profile  of cumulus
               cloud coverage via a regression analysis
               between observed IR pixel  data and fractional
               cumulus cloud cover observed from the satel-
               lite visible imagery, and
          (c)   final normalized cloud cover distribution.

-------
                                  64




available.  In order to guard against a bias that may be introduced




by the large number of grid cells in which there were zero 1R pixels




detected at any level, the data were grouped according to pixel count




before the regression analysis was done.  Figure 2.2-16 shows




the data used for this analysis and the resulting regression curve.




The figure is, according to the author's knowledge, a unique repre-




sentation of satellite data and will itself serve as a source of




future research.  The equation of this curve which was then used to




relate the number of IR pixels at a given height to the cumulus area




coverage was determined to be:








                 A - 12.719 + 6.28927N- + 0.685818N2              (15)








where N is the number of pixels and A is the resulting area coverage




of cumulus clouds.  The correlation coefficient for this analysis was




0.99.  This relationship was then applied to the vertical IR pixel




profile for each cell to give the vertical distribution of cumulus



cloud cover shown in Figure 2.2-15(b).  This profile was subsequently




•normalized to ensure a correspondence between the cloud cover obtained



from the IR pixel data and that which was observed from the satel-




lite's visible imagery.  The result of this process is shown in Figure




2.2-15(c).  The vertical distribution of cloud forcing functions re-




quired for the explicit approach used in this study is based on this




profile, as determined for each grid cell, and will be discussed




further in Section 2.5.

-------
65
                                                                    00
                                                                >-<   n)
                                                                3   U
                                                                O   3)

                                                                C   O
                                                                o   o
                                                                iH
                                                                n   n
                                                                m   3
                                                                a>   ^i
                                                                M   2
                                                                oo S
                                                                a)   y
                                                                &   o
                                                                SO
                                                                t—«


                                                                Cvl
                                                                  •

                                                                CM


                                                                 0)
                                                                 H


                                                                 00

-------
                                  66




(d)  Other data fields




     The vertical distribution of radiative heating rates used in




this study were taken from the tabulated values of Dopplick (1970)




that correspond to the latitude and month of the study.  The vertical




profile of liquid water content was taken from Johnson (1975).




Topographical data, used in the determination of the cloud-base




height, were acquired from the data archives of NCAR.








                   2.3  The Entraining Plume Model






     As indicated in Section 2.1, the first step in determining the




cloud-base mass flux of a conservative tracer is to determine the




cloud classes that are allowable, given the environmental profiles




of temperature and moisture.  This section will present the mathe-




matical formalization of this selection process based on the




conservation principles of mass and energy in a steady-state entrain-




ing plume.



     We begin by assuming that the cloud field can be partitioned into



cloud classes, represented by the assumed height of their respective




updrafts, as shown in Figures 2.1-6(a) and (b).  We further assume




that each class can be uniquely represented by a positive constant




which is chosen to be the fractional rate of mass entrainment X given




by
                                         Xi                      (16)
                  mu(Xi,z)
where Xj is the fractional rate of mass entrainment for the i   cloud

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                                  67


class and m^Xi^dX is the updraft mass flux attributed to the cloud

class with entrainment rate \± such that Xj_ - dX/2 < \± < \± + dX/2.

It is assumed that the cloud field can be adequately described by a

continuum of entrainment rates.  Equation (16) therefore relates the


updraft mass flux to the entrainment rate for the i*^ cloud class.  It


is important to realize that although the value of \i is expected to

vary according to the height of the cloud class as shown in Figure

2,1-7, we see from Equation (16), that Xj[ is assumed to be independent


of height for any individual cloud class.  The actual determination

of Xi for each cloud class will be presented later in this section.
                                                    !
For now however, the properties of an individual updraft will be

discussed.

     In this study we require not only the updraft mass flux at the

cloud base, but also its distribution as a function of height above


cloud base.  To determine the vertical distribution of nty we perform

a transformation to the pressure coordinate system by applying the

hydrostatic relationship to Equation (16) to obtain,




                         l_pli<\i,p) = -X-tH                       (17)
where the scale height H » RTv/g (with R being the gas constant and Tv

being the virtual temperature).  The updraft mass flux in the

cloud class is then found by integrating Equation (17),
              P                      P
             /  3jln mu(Xi,p)dp - - /  X-jH dp                    (18)
                3P                 P    p

-------
                                  68

or
                                     P
                              exp[- /  X
-------
                           69
     500
     600
-Q
 E
      700
Ld
o:
      800
LJ
o:
CL
      900
     1000
        0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
             NORMALIZED  MASS  FLUX
  Figure 2.3-1.  A vertical profile of the normalized

               mass flux distribution of n(A.,p),

               for a typical cloud class.  X

-------
                                  70


where





                         hu = cpTu + gz + Lqu                    (23)




is the moist static energy within the updraft plume and h is the


environmental moist static energy given by Equation (1).  Equation


(22) can be viewed as an energy conservation relationship for the


updraft plume.  It is this relationship, in conjunction with the


appropriate boundary conditions for hu that will enable us to assign


a unique entrainment rate X^ to each cloud class.  Solving Equation


(22) for h,;, using Equation (21) we get,
                                   - J  nttj^XjHh dp]
                    n(X±,p)          p           p               (24)
                       1              B
which gives the moist static energy within the updraft plume


at any pressure level between the cloud base (denoted by pg) and


cloud top for the itn cloud class which is uniquely described by


X^ . Therefore, once the cloud-top and cloud-base values of hu


have been determined, Equation (24) can be solved recursively


for Xj[.  Several different assumptions have been made in previous


works regarding the determination of these boundary conditions.


Yanai et^al. (1973) and Ogura and Cho (1973) made the assumption


that the cloud and environmental temperatures were the same at the


cloud top and cloud bottom while Nltta (1975) assumed that the


virtual temperature difference, neglecting the influence of liquid


water, between the environmental and cloud air was negligible at the

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                                  71




two boundaries.  Johnson (1975) compared the results obtained from




assuming these different boundary conditions on the resulting mass



flux distribution with those obtained by explicitly including the




effects of liquid water on the cloud buoyancy.  He found that more




reasonable results were obtained when the virtual temperature calcu-




lations accounted for the presence of liquid water.  We will employ




Johnson's approach here with the following arguments reflecting his




work.




     Therefore, the cloud top is defined as the point at which,
                   608qu(Xi,p) - q4(p)l - T(p)[l + .608q(p)]     (25)
where q^ is the liquid water mixing ratio.  With the assumptions




regarding the cloud-top and cloud-base temperatures made, the evalu-




ation of the moist static energy at these two levels can now be made.




     Neglecting the pressure difference between the cloud and its




environment we can use a Taylor's series to expand about the satura-




tion point to obtain an expression for the updraft specific humidity





-------
                                  72
                   Tu - T s J__J_ (hu- h*)                      (27)
and
where
                         Y s L_ r3l*S -                           (29)

                             °P  3T  P
Using






                       q* =     .622e                            (30)

                             (P - .378es)



where es is the saturation vapor pressure,  and the Clausius-Clapeyron



equation, the following expression for y  can be obtained,
               Y H Lr3q i   =       .622L2e,P                     (31)
following Johnson (1975), Equations (25),  (27) and (28) can be com-



bined to give the following expression for the cloud-top moist static



energy








               *                   *
         hu = n  - LU(1 +y)f.608(q  - q) - q.l

                                                                 (32)

-------
                                  73

where
                                 s c«T                            (33)
Note that the value given for ^ in Equation (32) is independent of

X£ since we have assumed that only one class of clouds detrains, or

has its cloud tops, at any given level.

     This relationship, in conjunction with Equation (24) enables one

to solve for the entrainment rate X that is to be ascribed to each

cloud class, given that the environment is conditionally unstable and

therefore will permit clouds to occur.  The procedure is as follows:
     1.  assuming q^ » 0 at cloud base, use Equation (32) to determine
         the cloud base moist static energy hu(p ).
                                                B
     2.  move up an increment Ap from the cloud base, taken to be 5 mb
         in this study, and calculate the cloud-top moist static
         energy hu(p])) from Equation (32) where pp indicates the
         detrainment level (cloud-top- level)

     3.  iteratively solve the following equation for \:
         VPD) " —L— IW + /    nCXi.p^Hh dp] - o
                  "&i>P )        p             p                 (34)
                        D          o

     4.  repeat steps 2 and 3 until the top of the model atmosphere is
         is reached or at least until the maximum cloud top height is
         reached.
In actual practice, there were instances where the zeros of Equation

(34) were nonexistent.  In those cases, the value of X was chosen to

correspond to the minimum of the equation.

     Upon completion of steps 1-4 one will necessarily have obtained

the distribution of Xj[(p) which is the vertical profile of the

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                                    74




 entrainment rates  a.s  a function of  assumed cloud-top  pressures.




 This,  therefore  completes  the  first phase  of  the  task of  solving for




 the cloud-base pollutant flux  distribution.   Figure 2.3-2 illustrates




 a profile of X^Cp) thus obtained.   By  defining  the  cloud  field in




 terms  of cloud classes, each of which  has  had a unique entrainment




 rate ascribed  to it,  one is  able to explicitly  link the cloud-base




 pollutant flux due to a particular  cloud class  to the increase in




 the concentration  of  a conservative tracer occuring at its detrain-




 nent height, i.e.  cloud top.   If this  air  parcel  is followed in a



 Lagrangian sense,  only those clouds that have cloud tops  at the




 altitude of the  air parcel will contribute to the parcel's increase




 in pollutant concentration.




     Using the  same conservation principle  for a conservative tracer




 as was used for  moist static energy in Equation (22), a determination




 of the in-cloud  concentration  of the particular tracer can be deter-



 mined  from an  equation analogous to Equation  (24) with a  variable




 representing the tracer mixing ratio replacing  the  terms  for the




~«pdraft moist  static  energy, h^. Such a relationship for the in-cloud



 tracer concentration  does  have the  short-coming of  neglecting any




 sources and sinks  for the  tracer that  may  be  present in the cloud.




 Tflthin the guidelines of constructing  an operational module for use




 in * regional  oxidant transport model, it  was assumed that the impact




 that such processes would  have on the  regional  scale  ozone distri-




 bution would be  small.

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                         75
         500
          600
    .Q

     E
          700
    LJ
    to
    Ld
          800
          900
         1000
\
                XD(p)  (km'1)
Figure 2.3-2.  Example of model derived entrainment rates

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                                  76

              2.4  Determination of the Convective-scale
                Forcing from Synoptic-scale Variables


     Having obtained a continuum of allowable cloud classes via the

methodology outlined in Section 2.3, we now proceed to determine the

cloud forcing functions required for the implicit approach used in

this study.  As noted in Section 2.1 and illustrated in Figure 2.1-3,

the determination of the forcing functions constitutes the second

step in the process of determining the cloud-base mass flux distri-

bution for a convective cloud field.  As mentioned in Section 2.1,

the determination of the cloud forcing terms from synoptic-scale

variables will be devoid of subsynoptic-scale features.  A formalism

designed to fill in this spectral gap is presented in Section 2.5,

where the cloud forcing terms are determined from satellite data.

     The convection associated with a cumulus cloud field is the

result of many forces, but they are usually only parameterized in

terms of the 'apparent heat source', 'apparent moisture sink', and

radiative cooling.  Of these forcing mechanisms, the 'apparent heat

source* and 'apparent moisture sink' are deduced in terms of the

environmental budgets of heat and moisture as the following analysis

will show.

     Another important point of this section is the demonstration of

how the motion on the convective scale is influenced by the proper-

ties of the larger synoptic-scale.  The pioneeering efforts of Ooyama

(1964) and Charney and Eliassen (1964) made great strides in the quest

to understand the interactions between the synoptic and convective

scales.  They introduced the concept of Conditional Instability of the

Second Kind (CISK) which describes how the cumulus and synoptic-scale

-------
                                  77


motions actually cooperate*  In this process, the cumulus clouds


provide the heat which aids the growth of the synoptic-scale waves


while the synoptic-scale feature supplies the moisture that maintains


the cumulus clouds.  It has since been well established that the net.


effect of an ensemble of cumulus clouds is to cool and moisten the


environment through detrainment of cloud air and to warm and dry the


environment through subsidence induced motions (Betts, 1973a,b;


Ooyama, 1971).  It has therefore been the goal of cumulus parameteri-


zation to determine not how an individual cumulus cloud modifies the


environment, but how an ensemble or group of such clouds influences


the large-scale features.  The derivation in this section will show


how the synoptic-scale budgets of heat and moisture, combined with


radiational cooling are related to the vertical flux divergence of


the convective-scale moist static energy and follows the approach


taken by Arakawa and Schubert (1974), Ogura and Cho (1973) and


Johnson (1975).


     Ignoring the effects of ice phase latent heat release, the heat


budget for a parcel of air can be expressed in terms of the net rates


of condensational heating (c), evaporational cooling (e) and radiative


heating (QR) in the following way:
                      Ds_ - L(c-e) + QR                           (35)
                      Dt
where the dry static energy, s = CpT + gz, L is the latent heat of


condensation, and D/Dt is the total derivative operator defined as
                      IL = L- + Y*vh + "L.
                      Dt   8t           3p

-------
                                  78

Using specific humidity (q) as the variable, the moisture budget can

similarly be written as:
                      Dq_ - -c + e                                 (36)
                      Dt
Expanding the total derivative in (35), for example,
               Ds_ - 3_s + V.VfcS + u3_s - L(c-e) + QR                (37)
               Dt   3t   "        3
and using the continuity equation,


                          V-V + at.) » 0                           (38)
                            "   3P


Equation (37) becomes,
                IB + 7h-(Vs) = a_(us) - L(c-e) + QR              (39)
                3t       "     3p
applying the Reynold's averaging technique by substituting


          U"U+U'", V^V + V^jW^W+u", 8=3+ S"
          m   •*   «»•»   w   
-------
                                  79



assuming that Vh'(Y's') « 3(to's')/3p we get:
        = 3_s_ + Vh- (V s) + 3_(u s) - L(c-e) + QR - 3_(u)'s- )       (41)
          3t       "      3p                      3p
for the heat budget and similarly:
     Q2 5 -L[3_£ + Vh»(V q) + 3_(u q)] - L(c-e) + I3_(
             3t       "      3p                   3p
for the moisture budget, where QI and Q£ are respectively termed the


'apparent heat source1 and 'apparent moisture sink* and gives a mea-


sure of the heating and moisture depletion that a cumulus cloud field


has on the large-scale environment.  These quantities are determined


using the methods described in Section 2.2.  Since the moist static


energy is defined by h = s + Lq, Equations (41) and (42) may be


combined to give:
     Ql - Q2 - QR = ill + ?h' ^ h) + 2—(u h) * -§_
                    3t       "      3p         3p
     The parameterization and interpretation of the r.h.s. of


Equation (43), which represents the vertical flux divergence of moist


static energy due to convective scale motion, forms the basis for


calculating the cloud-base mass flux.   This quantity can then be


used to determine the vertical redistribution of a conservative


tracer.  The parameterization of the r.h.s. of Equation (43) is


described in Section 2.6.

-------
                                          80


              Rewriting  equation  (43),  following Johnson  (1975) we  define
                                      PB
                       F(p) =   -  1  J  (Qi - Q2 - QR) dp                 (44)

                                    "
        which  results  in:
r
                              F(pB) =  (-lVhO)B                         (45)

                                        g
        which  is  the  total convective heat flux, sensible plus  latent,  at


        cloud  base.   From the meaning of Qj, Q2 and QR we can conceptually  see


        then that F(pg) is the summation of the cloud forcing terms,  appearing


        In  the integrand in Equation (44), over the depth of the  cloud  field.


        This term will be derived from another framework in Section 2.5 and


        will form the basis of a new approach in determining the  cloud-base


        mass flux*



                      2.5  Determination of the Convective-scale
                          Forcing from a  'Bulk' Perspective



             Section  2.4 showed how the convective-scale 'apparent  heat


        source1 and  'apparent moisture sink' terms are deduced  from the


        synoptic-scale budgets of heat and moisture.  These terms,  along with


        the radiative heating rate, have been used by many researchers  to


        determine the convective cloud-base mass flux once the  magnitude of


        these  large-scale forcing mechanisms have been determined.   Although


        this approach has been shown to give reliable results when  applied


        to  tropical regions (Yanai e_t^ aJL, 1973; Arakawa and Schubert,  1974;


        Johnson,  1975, 1977), it encounters several problems when applied to

-------
                                   81




a mid-latitude situation in an operational sense, some of which were



mentioned in Section 2.1.  As illustrated in Figure 2.1-3, this




section proposes an alternative formalism for determining the




convective-scale forcing that employs the use of visible and infrared



satellite imagery.  This approach has been labeled as the explicit




method in Section 2.1.




     The method described in this section centers around earlier works




by Kuo (1965, 1974).  In his works he obtained the area of a cumulus




cloud by proposing a relationship between the half-life of the cloud,




the moisture needed to form the cloud and the net moisture convergence




as determined from synoptic-scale variables and ground evaporation.




In this work Kuo's process has been inverted to determine the effec-




tive net moisture convergence based on a vertical distribution of



cumulus cloud cover determined from satellite observations.




     We begin by realizing that what the satellite observes includes




not only those clouds that are actively venting pollutants from"the




mixed layer, but also those that have passed their development stage




and are dissipating.  In order to differentiate between these cloud




types, we employ the concepts developed by Stull (personal communi-



cation) and Deardorff et al. (1980) to determine the active updraft




area for each grid cell.  As depicted in Figure 2.1-5, the fractional




area covered by these updrafts is quite small.



   .  The relationship between the updraft area and the total cloud




area appears to be a very complex one.  Zipser and LeMone (1980)




found that cumulonimbus updrafts may occupy 15 - 18% of the total




cloud area.  It is expected, however, that although the ratio of




updraft area to cloud area may vary substantially, the coverage of

-------
                                   82




 updrafts  in  relation  to  the  larger scale may  be  only  a few percent




 (Bjerknes, 1938; Zipser  and  LeMone, 1980).  It is  this small number




 that must be determined  if satellite  data are to be explicitly used




 In obtaining cloud-base  mass fluxes.




      Once the total updraft  area  is determined,  the ratio of updraft




 area to total cloud area, as determined by  the satellite's visible




 imagery,  is  obtained.  Upon  assuming  that this ratio  is independent




 of cloud  class one is  able to determine the spectral  distribution of




 updraft area by multiplying  the vertical profile of cumulus coverage




 by this ratio. This  distribution,  along with a  specification of the




 half-life and the moisture requirement for  each  cloud class is then



 utilized  in  determining  the  effective net moisture convergence which




 is used as the forcing function for the explicit method.




      The  approach we will follow  in this section to obtain a value for




 the updraft  area will  parallel that of Stull  (personal communication).




 Inherent  to  this approach is the  recognition  of  the existence of an




-entrainment  zone, the  concept of  which was  developed  by Deardorff et



 al. (1980),  and is illustrated in Figure 2.5-1.




      The  entrainment  zone is bounded  on the top  by height H£ which




 .marks the highest level  to which  mixed-layer  thermals can penetrate.



 In the absence of clouds, mixed-layer air will not penetrate above




 this level.   The bottom  of this zone  is bounded  by HJ which represents




 the highest  level at which most of the air  can be  identified as mixed-




 layer air.   The averaged height of the local  mixed-layer top, Z^, is




 assumed to be located near the middle of this zone of thickness




 AH «• H£ - Hj.  The occurence of clouds, which we assume form at



 the 'top1 of the mixed layer, is  then dependent  on whether or not

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                              83
Figure 2.5-1.
An illustration of the entrainment zone which
exists between the mixed layer and the more
stable cloud layer above is shown.  H  repre-
sents the highest level to which mixed layer
air can penetrate.  H? marks the highest level
at which most of the air can be identified as
mixed layer air.

-------
                                   84


the local Lifting Condensation Level (LCL) lies within the entrainment


zone.  The location of the LCL was determined from the following


equation:





                        ZLCL 2 B(T-Td)sfc + Zsfc                 (46)





where B » 120 m, (T~T(j)sfc is the surface dew— point depression and


Z8fc is the terrain height.  It was determined that an explicit


determination of the local mixed-layer height was outside the scope
                            i  .

of this work, however, for the purpose of executing the present


model, it was assumed that:
                                   zLCL
which is a reasonable assumption for a well-established, steady-state


booundary layer.  Once the local mixing height has been located by


Equation (47), the thickness of the entrainment zone AH is obtained


following Stull (personal communication).  In his work, he obtained


the following relationship between Z± and AH from the results of


Deardorf f et_ al. (1980):





                       A. - 0.19 + 1.07 9 w%                     (48)
where 0 is the mixed-layer potential temperature, A9 is the potential


temperature jump between the mixed layer and the overlying stable


layer, g is the gravitational constant and w* is the free convection


scaling velocity.  Stull states that values of AH/Z^ normally range
                                                   /

-------
                                  85

from 0.20 to 0.25, realizing that in certain situations, a value of

0.5 may be attained.  Physically, this means that the depth of the

entrainment zone ranges from 20% to 25% of the mixed-layer depth.

This is in stark contrast to previous studies in which the transition

zone between the mixed layer and cloud layer is assumed to be infin-

itely thin (Ogura et_ al. , 1977; Arakawa and Schubert, 1974).  Due to

the lack of better data Stull let


                           AH « 0.23                             (49)
                           Zi

Since boundary-layer mechanics are not explicitly incorporated in this

effort, the value of 0.23 will likewise be assumed.  Therefore, given

the value of Z^ from Equation (47), AH- can be determined from Equation

(49).  The location of HI and H£ are then determined by assuming that

the locally averaged mixed-layer height (Z.^) is located at the center

of AH.

     As mentioned earlier in this section, the existence of clouds is

dependent on the location of the LCL relative to the entrainment zone.

Due to the transitory nature of Z^ in space and time, given that the

LCL does lie within AH, the fractional coverage of cumulus clouds can

therefore best be described in a statistical sense.  Stull utilized

this premise by deriving a Gaussian probability density distribution

function G(z), which appeared to fit the data of Deardorff et al.

(1980), such that the probability of finding the local Z± within the

entrainment zone AH, over a specified local domain can be expressed

as:
                       1 -  /  G(5)d$                            (50)
                           Hi

-------
                                  86

which means that one is certain to find the local mixed-layer top

within the entrainment zone.  The probability of finding mixed-layer

air at height z would then (following Stull) be:
                            z           H2
               P(z) = 1 -  /  G(c)d£ =  /  G(£)dC                 (51)
Therefore, the probability of finding clouds within the entrainment

zone would be:
                                  H2
                                  /   G(5)d5                     (52)
                                 ZLCL
Stull interpreted the value of o resulting from this equation to give

the fractional coverage of cumulus clouds.  However, since the tracing

fluid used by Deardorff et_ aJL. (1980) in his tank experiment was an

inert substance which lacked the capability of releasing latent heat

as water vapor would, we take the meaning of a to be representative

of the updraft area instead of total cloud area.  The value of o thus

obtained can therefore be interpreted as the fractional area coverage

of convective updrafts associated with forced and active cumulus

convection.  Forced clouds are those clouds that have not reached

their Level of Free Convection (LFC) and are merely negatively buoyant

remnants of boundary layer thermals.  They can be identified in the

atmosphere as cumulus humilis.  Active clouds are those that have

reached their LFC and have therefore become positively buoyant due

to the release of latent heat.

-------
                                   87

     The probability density distribution function in Equation (52)

has been found to have the form of (Stull, personal communication):
               G(z) - 2.42 exp[-18(z - z1 + AH/8)2]              (53)
                      AH                AH2
I have found that the application of Equations (52) and (53) for

determining the fractional coverage of cumulus updrafts was very

sensitive to the value given to the lower limit of Integration in

Equation (52).  This is undoubtedly a result of the Inability to

calculate Z^ and ZLQL explicitly from a boundary-layer model, in view

of the vertical resolution of the model and the smoothed nature of the

input data.  However, reasonable and consistent results were obtained

by setting the lower limit of the integral to the value of Z corres-

ponding to 5 mb above the LCL.  This limit may, after all, be

reasonable since this distance could correspond to the difference

between LFC and LCL heights, implying that only active clouds are

considered.  This would be consistent with the satellite data since

it Is incapable of resolving forced clouds (those on the cumulus

humilis scale), the cloud tops of which should be within the range

of 5-10 mb above cloud base.  The sensitivity of Equation (52) to

the lower limit of the integral will be discussed in Chapter 4.

     The ratio of total fractional updraft area, as given by Equation

(52), to the total cloud area, is then:



                          e - oYC                                (54)

-------
                                  88

where  C  is  the  total observed cumulus cloud cover at cloud base as

determined  from the satellite's visible imagery.  Assuming that this

ratio  is constant  for all cloud classes, the fractional cloud updraft

area for each cloud class can then be determined by:




                    0(p) -e[c(p) - c(p - Ap)]                    (55)




where  c(p)  represents the satellite observed cloud cover at each  5 mb

level  (via  Section 2. 2c).

    Since the result of Section 2.3 was a unique distribution of  en-

trainment rates as a function of pressure, there exists within the

domain of X(p)  a unique value of p for" every Xj such that the follow-

ing one-to-one  mapping occurs:
                                                                 (56)
 thereby giving the fractional updraft area as a function of entrain-

 ment  rate  (or cloud class) from:




                          o(Xi) - e'(Xi)                         (57)




 The spectral distribution of the fractional cloud updraft area is then
^
 related to the total fractional updraft area by,




                          a -  / a(Xi)dX                         (58)

-------
                                  89

    As mentioned in the beginning of this section, in order to invert

Kuo's scheme, other parameters besides the spectral distribution of

cloud updraft area must be determined in order to make the parameteri-

zation of the 'bulk' forcing term complete.   We now determine the

amount of moisture needed (FC(X^)) to form the updraft cross-sectional

area oCX^) of a cloud in the ith cloud class.  The moisture require-

ment can be divided into two terms.  The first term represents the

moisture needed to produce the expected temperature differential

between the cloud updraft and the environmental temperature at that

level, caused by latent heat release; while the second term gives the

increase in moisture content in the cloud column over that in the

environment, as shown in the following equation:
                        I  / B[%(Tu - T) + qu - ql dp           (59)
                        8 PT   L
where p-j and pg are respectively the cloud-top and cloud-base pres-

sures and Tu and qu are determined from Equations (27) and (28).  The

following functional form was assumed for T(X^), the half-life of clouds

in the ifch cloud class:


               T(Xi) - [TMN + ((Xn - X1)/Xn)TMX] 2q/q*           (60)


where TMN and TMX are set to 15 and 30 minutes respectively and Xn is the

entrainment rate of the lowest cloud class.  This ascribes half-lives of

15 and 45 minutes to clouds with respective entrainment rates of Xj_=Xn and

Xi*0 and relative humidities of 50% at .5(pjj - pf)i»  The computation of

 T(X) is set to limit X < 3.5 and q/q  > 0.10.  This scheme, although

-------
                                   90




apparently arbitrary, gives values that are within a factor of 2 or 3




of observed values (Lopez, 1977; Kitchen and Caughey, 1981).




     The following relationship, essentially identical to that pro-




posed by Kuo, will now be solved for the effective net moisture




convergence (Ff^) required for each cloud class:
                                                                 (61)
which states that during the half-life T(\^), the amount of moisture



Tf(X^) must be provided for the fractional updraft area a(X^) correspond-



ing to the 1'h cloud class.  Since the above computation employs a



diagnostic determination of the cloud field from satellite data, the



value of Tf(Xj^) thus obtained represents an effective 'bulk1 forcing



term due not only to the advection of moisture which could have been



calculated on the synoptic scale, but also implicitly includes the



integrated effect of every force that was occuring at the time of the



satellite observation.  Since the clouds that the satellite detected



are the combination of forces that span the entire spectral scale,



they do not therefore need to be individually named nor explicitly



parameterized for, only the effective 'bulk1 forcing term need be



determined.  The remaining problem is then how to distribute this



'bulk' forcing term in the vertical.  From Equation (44) we saw that



F(p) was the integrated effect of Qj - Q2 - QR over the depth of the



cloud field.  This could now be considered analogous to the meaning




of






                      rf -  / rf(xi)dx                           (62)

-------
                                   91




where Tf is the integrated effect of the net moisture convergence




over all cloud classes.  This quantity is then vertically distributed



according to the vertical distribution of cumulus cloud cover, such




that the forcing and cloud cover at any level are directly propor-




tional to each other.








         2.6  Determination of the Convective Cloud Mass Flux
     Having obtained the function XD(P) from Section 2.3 and the




convectlve-scale forcing terms from Sections 2.4 or 2.5, we are now




ready to determine the parameterization for the convective-scale




vertical flux divergence for moist static energy in terms of the




cloud-base mass flux using the model of the steady-state entraining



plume discussed in Section 2.3.  The result of this section will be




an integral equation which must then be subsequently solved for the




cloud-base mass fluxes as a function of cloud class.



     It is assumed that the fractional area covered by cumulus up-




drafts is « 1.  With o(X)dX defined as the fractional area occupied




by updrafts with entrainment rates such that X - dX/2 < X < X + dX/2,



the grid-scale average of any variable a can then, following Johnson



(1975), be written as:
               o(p) - /    au(X,p)au(X)dX + (1 - au)a            (63)
where a  and a are the values of a in the updraft and the environ-




ment, respectively, and where,

-------
                                  92
                               XD(P)
                              /    ou(X)dX                       (64)
                             0
is the total cumulus updraft area at pressure level p.  Using Equation


(63), the large-scale dry static energy and specific humidity can be


expressed as,
and
or as,
and
                      B « 0su + (1 - a)s                         (65)
                      q » cqu + (1 - a)q                         (66)
                      s -o(su - s) + s                          (67)
Now since a « 1, (s  - s) < s and (q  - q) < q, we can make


the approximations,
                      s S s   and   q 2 q                        (69)





which indicate that the normally observed rawinsonde data can give a


good approximation to the values of s and q in the cloud environment.


With these approximations we can determine the vertical convective


flux of, for example, specific humidity in the following way:

-------
                                  93
            	   __   XD(p)
            qto-qw38/    qu(X,p)u>u(X,p)ou(X)dX + (l-au)qu
                       0
                                                                 (70)
                               0u(X)u>u(X,p)dX + (1 - au)u]
                         u


            XD(P)
          - /    au(X)«u(X,p)[qu(X,p) - q]dX
           0


Employing Leibnitz's rule in obtaining the vertical flux divergence

we get,
                XD(P)
                /    Ou(X)3_>u(X,p)(qu(X,p) - q)]dX             (71)
               0          3p
                Ou(XD)u>u(XD,p)[qu(XD,p) - q]dX
                                            dp
A similar equation can be obtained for the vertical flux divergence of

dry static energy.  It is interesting to note at this point in the

derivation that since mu(XD,p)dX represents the mass flux from those

clouds whose entrainment rate is such that XD ~ dX/2 < XD < XD + dX/2,

the last term in Equation (71) is therefore recognizable and the de-

trainment of water vapor into the environment from clouds with tops

as pressure p.  A physical explanation for the first term will be

delayed until a few more substitutions can be made.

     Desiring a relationship between the specific humidity in the

updraft and that in the environment that involves the mass flux, we

turn to the conservation equation for water vapor in the updraft

-------
                                  94

realizing that its form will be similar to that of Equation (22) for

moist static energy.  We therefore have,
          3p                    3p


where the condensation rate,  c,  is a sink of water vapor in the

updraft.  Equation (72) can be rewritten as,
                                          p)                     (73)
               3p                3p


Using this relationship and the definition mu(X,p) = ~o(X)u(X,p)»  we

get,
         	    XD(p)
      3_(q'(o')=J    [^(X.p)!! - c(X,p)]dX -              '     (74)
      3p        0             9p
Now, since
                mu(XD,p)dXJX[qu(XD,p) - q]
                        dp
                      c(p) = /    c(X,p)dX                       (75)
                            0
we obtain,
                            c(p) + 6(p)[qu(XD,p) - q]            (76)
      dp               dp
where

-------
                                  95
                      S(p) = n»u(XD,p)dXji                         (77)
                                     dp
The large-scale water vapor conservation Equation (42) can therefore

be written as,
                      + eu + 5 [qu(AD,P> - q ]                     (78)
Equation (78) indicates that the apparent moisture sink due to the

action of cumulus clouds can be accounted for in terms of the environ-

mental sinking Mu3q/3p which compensates the updraft cumulus flux

and is reduced by the detrainment of water vapor 6(qu - q) and the

evaporation of liquid water from updrafts.

     As mentioned earlier, a similar derivation can be done for the

vertical flux divergence of dry static energy, s.  The result of which

is,
             - QR = -M^£ - Leu + 6 [s (XD,p) - s]                (79)
                       3P
The interpretation of Equation (79) is very similar to that of

Equation (78) in that the apparent heat source, less the radiative

heating term, is due to the sinking which is compensating for the

cumulus updraft mass flux, the detrainment of s from cloud tops and

is reduced by evaporational cooling from the liquid water detrained

from the updrafts.

-------
                                  96

     Combining these last two equations, we get the following rela-

tionship between the large-scale heat and moisture budgets and the

vertical flux divergence of moist static energy due to cumulus up-

drafts:
             - Q2 - QR » 5 lhu(XD,p) - h] - M^h_                  (80)
                                             3P
which states that the large-scale budget of moist static energy is

determined by radiative heating, the environmental sinking in response

to the cumulus updraft mass flux and the detralnemnt of moist static

energy from cloud tops.  Writing Equation (80) in its expanded form

we have,
                                                                 <81>
                                    dp

                         .  XD(P)
                        «h  /    mB(X)nu(X,p)dX
                        3  0
This is a Volterra integral equation of the second kind.  The unknown

variable mg(X), is the function that is required in order to determine

the total cloud-base mass flux of a conservative tracer and, with the

aid of Equation (76), the vertical redistribution of the tracer that

is vented from the boundary layer and deposited into the cloud layer

can now be determined.

     The solution of Equation (81) is illustrated in Figure 2.1-8.  In

this figure it is shown that, as a result of assuming that only one

cloud class is detraining at any given level (from Section 2.3) and

that a total cloud forcing can be assigned at each level (from Section

-------
                                  97




2.4 or 2.5), the solution for the cloud-base mass flux as a function




of cloud class is accomplished by solving the above equation  'from the



top down1.

-------
                              CHAPTER 3


                 MODEL EVALUATION AND INTERCOM?ARISON


    Two models have been described in Che previous chapter.  The first

is an adaptation for this work of the model developed by Johnson

(1975).  The second is an approach that uses the formulation of Kuo

(1965, 1974) to determine the environmental forcing of a cumulus en-

semble based on a unique usage of satellite data.  These two models
                                     i
have been respectively called the implicit (im) and explicit (ex)

models in that the first model implicitly assumes a cloud field as a

result of conditional instability in the environment and the second

model explicitly incorporates satellite data into the calculations.

These two models will be evaluated using a real data base which has

also been described in the previous chapter.  Three cells in the

Summer Experiment study area have been chosen for this purpose and

represent situations of weak, moderate and strong convection for a

nonprecipitating scenario.  Several graphs will be shown for each

of the three cases.  In each graph, the values along the ordinate

(pressure) are given at the detrainment level (cloud-top height) for

each cloud class under consideration, remembering from Section 2.3

that these levels were determined on the basis of the fractional

rate of mass entrainment.  Table 3-1 lists some of the basic charac-

teristics of the cloud field.  It should be noted at this point that

the code provided by Johnson was executed using data that he had


                                  98

-------
                                  99

provided to ensure that it was functioning properly before any mod*

ification to the code was attempted*



                               Table 3-1
                                                               total
                                                            cloud-base
case #  total cloud   cum. cloud   max. ht.   updraft area   heat flux
        cov. (frac.)  cov. (frac.)  (msl)        (frac.)     (ex) (im)
1
2
3
.574
.720
.331
.476
.533
.331
6000
2800
2200
.0107
.0099
.0072
264 107
204 202
166 66
Table 3-1.  Basic characteristics of the cloud field for each grid
            cell chosen for an evaluation of the models presented.
            Units of heat flux are W m~*2 (ex: explicit model; im:
            implicit model).
    Figures 3-1, 3-2 and 3-3 illustrate the cumulus cloud cover profile

(obtained from satellite data) along with the model derived entrainment

rates for each cloud class for the three cases under consideration.'

The figures indicate that the model derived entrainment rates for the

shortest cloud class are approximately the same for all three cases.

The lack of spatial variability in these entrainment rates may illus-

trate a shortcomming in the model, which may be attributable to a lack

of adequate spatial resolution in the synoptic-scale rawinsonde data.

Since the entrainment rate profiles shown in these figures are incor-

porated into the formulation of both the explicit and implicit methods

(see Figure 2.1-3), errors made in the determination of Xj)(p) will

therefore be embedded into both methods.  A more crucial determina-

tion, however, is dXp/dp, which, as one can see from Equation (81), is

required to solve for the cloud base mass flux mB(X).  From Figures

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101











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-------
                                 103




3-1, 3-2 and 3-3 we see that dXD/dp for case #3 (Figure 3-3) is sig-




nificantly less than that for the same relative portion of the Xp(p)




profile for cases 1 and 2.  Since the solution of the Volterra equa-




tion (Equation 81) is sensitive to small dXj)/dp in the region near




the detrainment level (cloud top) of the lowest few cloud classes, a




lower limit of 0.0002 km   mb   for dX^/dp was therefore imposed on




the system, thus preventing excessively large values of mass flux




from being computed.  A possible modification to the present formula-




tion that would mitigate the problems outlined above will be mentioned




later in this chapter.




    The rationale for placing the profile of fractional cumulus cover-




age next to the profile of Xp(p) is that the information contained in




the calculated Xjj(p) profile concerning cloud-top heights should be a




reflection of the information given in the observed profile of the




fractional cumulus coverage.  Remembering that (1)  the values shown




in, for example, Figure 3-l(b) are chosen at equal values of AX, and




(2) the meaning of Xj)(p) (cloud-top detrainment pressure level), the




regions where dA^/dp becomes large should imply that the detrainment



levels (cloud-tops) of several cloud classes are calculated to be




grouped near the same pressure level.  Such a level exists between




700-725 mb in Figure 3-1(b).  This calculated 'leveling-off' of the




cloud-top heights is reflected in the observed profile of fractional




cumulus coverage between 700-725 mb in Figure 3-1(a) and lends a degree




of credibility to the model's depiction of the atmosphere, at least for




deeper clouds.  This relationship is again seen in Figure 3-2 where




dXp/dp is nearly constant throughout the cloud layer as is the change



in fractional cumulus cloud cover with pressure.  It is diffucult to

-------
                                 104

determine if this relationship is illustrated by the data shown in

Figure 3-3, which represents a shallow nonprecipitating convective

scenario, due to the resolution problem outlined above.

    Employing the solution of Equation (81) for mg(X) and Equations

(20) and (21), the total convective upward mass flux that penetrates

level p is given by,
                             X(p)
                          - /    mu(X,p)dX                      (82)
                            X - 0
    Figure 3-4 shows the resulting profile of Mu (the vertical mass

flux distribution) for the explicit and implicit models as applied to

case #1.  Mass conservation within the cell is then obeyed by deter-

mining the induced environmental motion (M) that is compensating

the updraft mass flux Mu from Equation (4) given M, which is obtained

from Equations (12) and (13).  One can see from the figure that the

values from the two models are approximately equal at the top and

bottom of the curve, with the explicit model having larger values at

the intermediate levels.  The difference in the shape of the profiles

of M  and M between the explicit and implicit models is a result of

their respective forcing functions which stem from an observed cumulus

cloud profile (for the explicit method) or from synoptic-scale rawin-

sonde data (for the implicit method).

    Figure 3-5 shows the cloud-base mass flux distribution, mg(p),

resulting from the two models (for case #1) and is determined by,
                               mB(X)dXD/dp                     (83)


The graph of mg(p)dp gives the cloud-base mass flux for clouds that

-------
                                  105
 (a)
    MO
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      -12  -10   -8-6-4-2
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                        MASS FLUX (mb. hr"1)
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» ENVIRONMENTAL MASS FLUX (B)
<> LARGE-SCALE MASS FLUX (M)
< 	
+ + +
i i i i i i I I i I i
      -12   -10   -8-6-4-2
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                        MASS  FLUX (mb. hr'1)
    Figure 3-4.  Vertical mass flux distribution  for
                 (a)  explicit model, and  (b)   implicit
                 model at 20Z (case //I).

-------
                    106
     (a)
.a
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Figure 3-5.  Cloud-base mass flux distribution
           mjj(p) for (a)  explicit model, and
           (b)  implicit  model at 20Z (case #1),

-------
                                 107




detrain at a level p such that p + dp>p>p- dp.  Therefore, from




this graph, we are able to visualize the relative contribution to the




total cloud-base mass flux from cloud classes that detrain at the var-



ious levels.  From Figure 3-5(a) we see a feature between 775 and 700




mb that seems to correspond to the feature found at the same level in




the fractional cumulus coverage shown in Figure 3-1(a).  This is to be




expected since the forcing functions used for the explicit model, de-




rived in Section 2.5, are based on cumulus coverage.  The implicit




model, on the other hand, shows a sharp decrease in the mass flux con-




tribution for clouds whose detrainment levels are between 800-735 mb,




while the contribution from clouds whose tops are above 735 mb is rel-




atively constant.  The sharp decrease'below 800 mb is dubious for




several reasons:  (1) the sensitivity of the solution of Equation (81)




to dXp/dp in the region of the detrainment levels for the lowest few




cloud classes; (2) the sensitivity of mB(p) to d\j)/dp (via Equation




83); and (3) the lack of spatial variability in the forcing functions




for shallow clouds which would allow for boundary layer influences.




The effects of (1) and (2) counteract each other since a variation



of d\D/dp has opposite influences on the magnitudes of mg(X) (via



Equation 81) and mg(p) (via Equation 83) although the effect of




dAp/dp on mB(X) near cloud base may be greater than linear, whereas




the influence of dXj)/dp on mg(p) is linear at all levels.




    Figure 3-6 shows the important result of cloud venting.  In this




process, air of mixed-layer origin is vented from the mixed layer and




is subsequently deposited, or detrained, into the cloud layer.  An




increase in the cloud-layer concentration of the pollutant therefore




ensues.  For the purposes of these calculations a nonreactive pollu-

-------
                                108
(a)
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                                       4- CLOUD DCTRAINMCNT
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                                                     "1
                  CONCENTRATION INCREASE (ppbv hr")
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                  CONCENTRATION INCREASE  (ppbv hr"1)
 Figure  3-6.  Concentration increase in the  cloud  layer of a
             conservative tracer assuming a mixing  ratio of
             60 ppbv in the mixed layer and 40  ppbv in the
             cloud layer for (a)  explicit  model, and
             (b)  implicit model at 20Z (case //I).

-------
                                 109




tant tracer is assumed that experiences no production or loss during




the transport.  The detrainment of the tracer into the cloud envi-




ronment is given by,






                   DTR(P> - $(p)[TRuU,p) - TR]                (84)






where 6(p) is given by Equation (77) and the in-cloud tracer concen-




tration (a function of cloud class and pressure) is determined from




Equation (24) with TRU substituted for hu.  A value of 60 ppbv is




assumed for the concentration of the tracer in the subcloud layer,




while 40 ppbv is assumed to be the cloud layer value*




    Lenschow et al. (1981), inferred the in-situ production rate of




ozone to be approximately 5 ppb hr~* from an ozone budget analysis of




the boundary layer.  While theoretical studies (Fishman et_ al», 1979)


                                             —2           —1
give production rates of approximately 2 x 10   ppbv 0^ hr   for the




free troposphere.  Therefore, if we consider the conservative tracer




to be ozone, the effects of cloud venting could be much more signifi-




cant that in-situ production and cannot therefore be ignored in trans-




port models that are applied to sceneries where convective venting



is possible.



    Figure 3-7 shows the vertical mass flux distribution for case #2.




We see that the peak value is slightly lower than that for case #1,



shown in Figure 3-4.  From Table 3-1 we see that (1) the maximum




height is 3100 m less than that in case #1 and (2), the total and




cumulus cloud coverage is slightly larger than that for case #1, and




(3) the updraft area for case #2 is only slightly less than that for




case #1.  Since from Equation (61) we see that, for the explicit




model, the forcing is directly proportional to the calculated updraft

-------
                                    110
(a)
JO

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                                            4- TOTAL UPWARD MASS FLUX (Mo)


                                            x ENVIRONMENTAL MASS FLUX (0)


                                            O LARGE-SCALE MASS FLUX (M)
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                          MASS FLUX (mb.  hr")
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     TOO
     900
    IflOQl  I  I  I
                       1  1  1   1  1   1
                                            4- TOTAL UPWARD MASS FLUX (Mu)


                                            x ENVIRONMENTAL MASS FLUX (ty


                                            O LARGE-SCALE MASS FLUX (M)
                                         I   I  1   I  1   1   I  I   i  i   I
      -12   -10   -8-6-4-20
                          MASS  FLUX (mb.  hr"1)
                                                 4    6    8    10    12
    Figure 3-7.  Vertical mass  flux distribution  for

                  (a)   explicit  model, and (b)  implicit

                  model at 20Z  (case //2).

-------
                                 Ill




area, we might not expect to see a great difference between the peak



values of the vertical mass flux for these two cases for the explicit




model.  In fact, the results from the implicit model, whose forcing




functions are calculated independently from those for the explicit




model, show a similar reduction in the peak value of Mu from case #1




(Figure 3-4b) and case #2 (Figure 3-7b).  Note also that the heat




flux value for both the implicit and explicit models in case #2




show a decrease from that in case #1.  This should be expected due




to the decrease in the maximum cloud height and updraft area.




    Figure 3-8 shows the cloud-base mass flux distribution for case




#2.  The maximum value in Figure 3-8(a) is only slightly smaller than




that of case $1 due again to a smaller updraft area, which, for the




explicit model, implies that the forcing would be smaller.  The maxi-




mum value for the implicit model, shown in Figure 3-8(b), is also less




than that in 3-5(b) due to less forcing from the observed synoptic-




scale data.  The sharp decrease below 800 mb in Figure 3-8(b) is simi-




lar to that in Figure 3-5(b), hence the previous discussion of this




feature applies in this case as well.



    The concentration increase of the tracer pollutant for case #2 is



shown in Figure 3-9.  We see that, as in the case of Figure 3-8, th3




maximum values for the explicit model are slightly less than those



corresponding to case #1 since the cloud-top level detrainment is




based on the cloud-base mass flux, which in Figure 3-8 has been shown




to be slightly less than the corresponding values for case #1.  In the




same manner, the concentration increase for Figure 3-9(b) (implicit)




is less than that for case #1 since the forcing from the synoptic-




scale is less.

-------
                              112
ww
a)
600
JQ
E
*-x TOO
Ul
Of.
V)
UJ
Of.
OL
too
1000



_
X
+


-
. 1,1,1,1,1,
                        t    2    J
                      mB(p) (day" )
&   6
            (b)
                  900
                  600
                  700
              UJ
              a:
              3
              V)
              W
              UJ
              oc
              a.
                  900
                 1000
                      mB(p) (day"1)
Figure 3-8,  Cloud-base mass  flux distribution mjj(p) for

             (a)  explicit model,  and (b)  implicit model

             at 20Z  (case //2).

-------
                            113
MW
(a)
600
v^ 700
Ul
 MO
en "^
Ul
or
a.
900
1000
••
500
(b)
600
JD
v-* TOO
PRESSURE
§
900
1000
••


-


-

i • i i i i i ,
+ CLOUD OETRAINMENT



Nt
•X

1 . 1 . 1 . 1 .
5-4-3-2-1012345
CONCENTRATION INCREASE (ppbv hr~1)
•
-
•
-
i . r . i . i .
•f CLOUD DETRAINMENT


+ + + * : H
I . I . I , I
S -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 45
              CONCENTRATION  INCREASE  (ppbv hr'1)
Figure 3-9.  Concentration increase  for the same conditions  of
            Figure 3-6 for (a)   explicit model, and
            (b)  implicit model at  20Z (case //2).

-------
                                  114




    Figure 3-10 shows the vertical mass flux distribution for case #3.




We see from Table 3-1 that the cumulus cloud coverage, maximum cloud-




top height, updraft area and heat flux (for both the implicit and




explicit models) is the least of all three cases, hence it is not




surprising that Mu, calculated from both the implicit and explicit




methods, is also the least of all three cases.  An Interesting




feature is shown in Figure 3-10(b) in that the vertical updraft mass




flux increases slightly in magnitude from 830-810 mb in the implicit




model.  From the meaning of Mu (Equation 82) one would expect that Mu




would always increase with increasing pressure.  However, if the




contribution to the updraft mass flux for clouds with detrainment




levels below a certain pressure is small, then the total upward mass




flux (Mu) in this region will vary according to n(X,p), which is




given by Equation (20).  This however, is an explanation of how the




model has treated the given input data.  The question of whether or




not the forcing functions, as determined from the input data, have




adequately accounted for all of the physical processes influencing



the cloud field at this shallow level remains unanswered and will be




the subject of a future work.



    In comparing the results of Figure 3-11 with those of Figure 3-8




(for case #2) and Figure 3-5 (for case #1) we see that as in the case




of determining Mu for case #3 (Figure 3-10) the values of mjj(p) shown




in Figure 3-11 are the least of all three cases.  The sharp decrease




in mg(p) below the maximum value in Figure 3-ll(b) for the implicit



model is more striking than the corresponding decreases in Figures




3-5(b) and 3-8(b) and is a result of much lower values for the syn-




optic-scale forcing at this location.  As previously mentioned,

-------
                                     115
(a)
 .O


 +~S

 UJ
 eg
 13
 V)
 I/)
 Ul
 OH
 a.
     500
     600
     700
     800
      900
     lOOO
                                            + TOTAL UPWARD MASS FLUX (Mu)

                                            x ENVIRONMENTAL MASS FLUX (B{|

                                            Q URGE-SCALE MASS FLUX (15)
             t  I   I  I  I  I  I   l_ I   _L    I   I  I  I   I  I   I  I  I   I  I
       -12   -10   -8   -6   -4    -2
                                                                 10    12
                           MASS FLUX (mb. hr"1)
      500
(b)
JQ

 E
»«x

Ul

3
 Ul
 cc
 0.
      600
      700
                                            + TOTAL UPWARD MASS FLUX (M0)

                                            x ENVIRONMENTAL MASS FLUX (H)

                                            O URGE-SCALE MASS FLUX (M)
                               x
                               x
     900
     IOOQl   I  I   I   I  I   I  I   I   I  I   I  I   I   I  I   I  I  I   I  I   I   I  I

       -12   -10    -8-6-4-20     2     4     6     8     10    12
                           MASS  FLUX (mb,  hrTT)
    Figure 3-10.   Vertical mass flux  distribution for  (a)   explicit

                    model, and  (b)  implicit model at 20Z  (case #3).

-------
                              116
            (a)
            JO


            v-*

            Ul
            ui
            Q£
            a.
            (b)
            JQ

            £

            Ul
            a:

            to

            ui
            ce
            a.
600
700
800
too
1000
500
600
700
800
900
1000
(
-
-
4-
4>
.1.1.1,1.1.
0 I 2 3 4 5 <
mB(p) (day'1)
-
-
+
.1.1.1.1.1.
> 1 2 3 4 5 6
                                -v
Figure 3-11.  Cloud-base  mass flux distribution mg(p)  for

              (a)  explicit  model, and (b)  implicit model

              at 20Z  (case  #3).

-------
                                  117




the forcing functions for the implicit model at this level of the



cloud depth are somewhat dubious.  The results from the explicit




model (Figure 3-1la) however, indicate the same close relationship to



the cloud cover distribution as seen for cases til and #2.




    Figure 3-12 shows the concentration increase (ppbv hr~"*) as a




function of pressure over the depth of the cumulus cloud field for




case #3 (weak convection).  We again see that the greatest concentra-




tion increase for the explicit model (Figure 3-12a) is associated




with the shallowest clouds and decreases with decreasing pressure in




proportion to the decrease in cumulus cloud cover shown in Figure




3-12(b).  The now familiar feature of a sharp decrease just below




the maximum value is again evident, resulting from the previously




mentioned ambiguities in the dXp/dp profile and the forcing functions




at these levels.




    From the Figures 3-5, 3-8 and 3-11 we see that the value of dXp/dp




at lower levels can have a substantial influence on the resulting




values of mg(p) and hence the detrainment values.  This implies that




a careful selection of X is required.  However, the values of X for



at least the shallowest clouds may be difficult to determine accurately



since 1.)  the profile of temperature and moisture are spatially inter-



polated from rawinsonde data and hence do not reflect the influence




that cumulus clouds have had on the environment between observations,




and 2.)  the entraining plume model for shallow clouds may not be




adequate since it only allows detrainment at the cloud top.  In regards




to the first point, progress may be made if it is accepted that the




correlations between Figures 3-1(a) and (b), 3-2(a) and (b), and 3-3(a)




and (b) mentioned earlier are more than fortuitous, in which case, a

-------
                                 118
  (a)
  .0

  E
  UJ


  Q.

600
700
800
900
tooo

-
.• "
-
! . 1 . 1 . 1 •
+ CLOUD DETRAINMENT


X
4-
I . I . i . i
-5-4-3-2-1 0 t 2 3 4 9
                                                      -1'
                   CONCENTRATION INCREASE  (ppbv hr"1)
      500
  (b)
  JO

. E
  x_x

  UJ
  o:
  ui
  oc
  a.
      600
 700
      800
      900
toooL.
  -s
             -4    -3    -2    -1
                                         4- CLOUD DETRAINMENT
                   CONCENTRATION INCREASE  (ppbv hr'1)
                                                        •  5
     Figure 3-12.  Concentration increase for the same  conditions  of

                  Figure 3-6 for (a)  explicit model,  and

                  (b)  implicit model at 20Z (case #3).

-------
                                  119

future work may try to employ the profile of cumulus cloud cover in

determining the various X^ and hence dXp/dp.  Such an advance would

greatly enhance the ability of either the explicit or implicit model to

reflect subgrid-scale variations.  The problem raised by the second

point above problem may be alleviated somewhat by incorporating side

detrainment into the calculations at least for shallow clouds.

    Johnson (1977) estimated that for the cases he studied, incorpora-

ting the affect of side detrainment into the calculations, reduced the

overall mass flux by 152 - 20%, while shifting the cloud base mass

flux distribution to give more influence to the taller clouds and less

to the shallower ones.  Since the inclusion of the process of side

detrainment slightly increases the instability of the solution

(Johnson, personal communication), it was decided that in order to

adequately evaluate the model's performance, such instabilities

should be avoided at this time.  Hence, the inclusion of this process

is left for a future task.  Even if this factor was to be taken into

account, we can see from Figures 3-6, 3-9 and 3-12 that a significant

amount of pollutant can be vented from the boundary layer by convec-

tive clouds.
                                                                  •
    We have also seen that, especially for the implicit model in case

#3, the large-scale forcing functions may not be adequate to determine

the cloud field and its characteristics.  This problem may be over-

come, however, by determining an analogous  *Q' term for clouds due

to boundary layer forcing and superimposing this onto the profile of

Ql~ Q£~ QR«  It should be noted at this point that although the forcing

functions used in the implicit model are devoid of subsynoptic-scale

influences, the final model results are not.  As mentioned in the

-------
                                  120




discussion of Equation (34) the maximum observed cloud-top height for




each grid cell is used to limit the maximum vertical extent attained by




the model derived cloud field for that cell.  In this way, sub-grid



scale influences are introduced into the formulation of the implicit




model.  This variation can be seen from the results of the implicit




model for the three cases considered in this chapter and is such that




the total upward mass flux, Mu, is directly proportional to the verti-




cal development of the cloud field.




    The explicit model presented in this work, offers an additional




degree of freedom over the implicit model in that for the hypothetical




situation of 2 cases with equal vertical development, the larger value




of Mu would be associated with the case having the larger computed




updraft area.  This additional degree of freedom may, however, be a




mixed blessing since the manner in which the updraft area is calculated




from the data of Deardorff et_ ai. (1980) is not only a sensitive calcu-




lation, as the results of the next chapter will show, but it is at




best a first approximation to a very complicated process.  To think



that the equation giving a is universal in time and space may be




naive.  It is interesting to note that the calculated values of a are



well within the expected range of only a 'few* percent of the total




area (Johnson, 1975; Zipser and LeMone, 1980).  A further refinement of




this parameterization may be possible as results from the BLX83 study




(Stull, personal communication) become available.




    As in the problems mentioned above, in regards to the Implicit




model, the Inability of the rawinsonde data to resolve the effects




that a convective cloud field has on the environmental temperature




and moisture fields in both space and time may cause the calculated

-------
                                  121




value of rc(X^) (Equation 59) to be inaccurate.  This is because the




temperature and moisture differences between the updraft and environ-




ment are used in the calculation of Fc(Xj[).  In addition, the



methodology for determining the updraft temperature and moisture is




determined from the entraining plume theory, which, as previously




mentioned, may be inadequate for small clouds.  Other uncertainties




also exist.  The equation for the half-life of each cloud class is




highly empirical and if in error, it will probably give slightly high




values.  The assumption that the ratio of updraft area to total cumulus




coverage is not a function of cloud class (Equation 54) may also place




severe restrictions on the explicit model's ability to accurately




simulate the physical process of cloud venting.  However, until observa-




tional data can be obtained to either verify or refute this assumption,




It is felt that it is a' reasonable first approximation.  An additional




limitation of the explicit model is that caused by a high stratus or




cirrus deck that may obscure any lower level convective clouds.  As




stated in Section 2.2c, if less than 70% of the existing cloud field




was not cumulus, the frequency distribution of cloud top heights could



not be obtained.  However, for the situations on which the explicit




formulation was tested in this study, it performed quite well.




    In addition to the above mentioned problems, there is the concern




that the grid area over which the variables are averaged (mentioned on




page 78) may not be large enough to contain a statistically represent-




ative sample of the cumulus population.  This would be most likely in




cases where cumulonimbus clouds were present.  However, with the




availability of the cumulus cloud cover as a function of height, one




can proceed in the following way:  1.)  combine enough adjacent grid

-------
                                  122




cells so that the assumption of a representative sample is satisfied;




2«)  do the calculations for this enlarged grid cell;  3.)  using the




cumulus cloud-cover distribution for each cell, within the enlarged




cell, the fraction of the total mass flux from any one of the 'sub-




cells' can then be determined using the cloud-cover distribution,




since the cloud-base mass flux is given in terms of cloud classes




which, in turn, are classified according to cloud-top height.




Therefore, with the aid of the vertical distribution of cumulus




coverage, the computations can Include as many cells as necessary to




satisfy the stated condition after which, the partitioning of the




total cloud flux into each cell can be done.




    In view of the ambiguities surrounding the determination of the




updraft area for use in the explicit model, a direct and quantitative




comparison between the absolute values obtained for the explicit and




implicit models is not possible at this time.  Although the shape of




the mass flux profiles for the explicit model do tend to have a better



intuitive feel about them, since they are related to the cloud cover



distribution, a final judgement must be waived until the uncertainties




mentioned above can be resolved from additional observational programs.



The results shown here, however, do indicate a good degree of internal




consistency within each model in that more mass flux is obtained for




larger cloud fields in both models.




    In spite of the uncertainties that do exist in regard to the models




utilized in this study, the results shown here indicate that satellite




data can be used to close the  'spectral gap' that is present when only




rawinsonde data is used.  The final results of any such model however,




await an evaluation comparing the model results with observed data.

-------
                              CHAPTER 4


                         SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS


     The results of the two cloud venting models, tested on three case

scenarios were discussed in the previous chapter.  The sensitivity of

these models to some of their input variables will be examined in this

chapter.  This will be accomplished by adjusting the normally assumed

value of several parameters, whose specification appears to be the

most critical to the model's operation.  A comparison of the subse-

quent model results will then be made to those normally obtained.

     The first parameter choosen is the lower limit of the integral in

Equation (52) as it applies to the explicit model.  This equation was

used to obtain the fractional area coverage of updraft and is repeated

here:
                                 H2
                     " P " /   G(Od£                     (56)
                                ZLCL
As discussed in Section 2.5, the actual value of the lower limit used

was set above the LCL since we were interested in the updraft area

due to active clouds, instead of the sum of both active and forced

clouds.  However, the actual value of distance above the LCL choosen

could not be explicitly calculated due to the lack of vertical reso-

lution in the model and the lack of adequate boundary conditions.

The value of 5 mb was chosen based on the assumptions that all


                                 123

-------
                                  124

forced clouds would be contained within, this distance from the cloud

base and that the satellite data probably could not resolve clouds

with a vertical extent any smaller than this so that the contribution

of their updraft area to the total should be neglected.

     Test runs of the model were done to see how sensitive the model

calculations were to the actual determination of this value.  The

data in Table 4-1 shows how a change in the lower limit of integration

of Equation (52) affects the determination of the fractional updraft

area, heat flux and total upward mass flux (Mu).



                               Table 4-1


integration
limit
mb.
above LCL
0.0
5.0
10.0


fractional
updraft area


.2288
.0671
.0120
total
cloud-base
heat flux
W m~2


849.
249.
45.


MU
mb. hr~*


33.7
9.9
1.8
    Table 4-1.  Sensitivity analysis of the explicit model to the
                selection of the lower limit of integration in
                Equation (52).
    It is therefore evident that the operation of the explicit model

is very sensitive to the specifications of the lower limit.  Such a

sensitivity may pose a severe limitation as to the applicability of

this model in an operational sense.

    Another parameter pertaining to the explicit model that was chosen

for analysis was the parameter TMN involved in the calculation of the

cloud's half-life appearing in Equation (60).  This parameter gives an

-------
                                  125

approximate minimum bound for the calculation (depending on the

environmental conditions) the value of which was adjusted from 15

to 10 min for the purposes of this analysis.  Table 4-2 shows the

results of the explicit model for this, test case.



                               Table 4-2
                                 total
                               cloud-base
          LMN                   heat flux                   Mu
          min                     W m~2                  mb. hr""*

           15                      249.                     9.9
           10                      285.                    11.3
    Table 4-2.  Sensitivity analysis of the explicit model to the
                selection of the approximate minimum bound for the
                determination of cloud half-lives.
    As shown in Table 4-2, the results of the explicit model are not

highly sensitive to the value of LMN in that a decrease of LMN of 33%

resulted in an increase of only ~14% for Mu.  An increase in Mu for a

decrease in LMN should be expected since this implies a faster genera-

tion rate for the clouds, hence more mass will be vented from the

subcloud layer in a given time.

    Table 4-3 illustrates the sensitivity of the explicit model to a

variation in AH/Z^.  The results of this analysis indicate that for a

constant Z^, as AH decreases (increases), Mu decreases (increases).

For a 20% reduction in AH/Z^, from a mid-range value of 0.25, Mu

decreases by 29%; whereas a 20% increase in AH/Z^ results in a 24%

increase in Mu.  This is within acceptable limits.  The data from

Tables 4-1 and 4-3 therefore indicate that the explicit model is much

-------
                                  126

more sensitive to the selection of the lower limit of integration for

Equation (52) than to the depth of AH.



                              Table 4-3

AH/Zi
^
0.20
0.25
0.30

fractional
updraft area
.0536
.0753
.0931
Total
cloud-base
heat flux
199.
279.
346.

MU
mb hr~l
7.89
11.09
13.72
    Table 4-3.  Sensitivity analysis of the explicit model to the
                selection of AH/Z^.
    The final parameter tested that is strictly applicable to the ex-

plicit model was the cloud cover distribution used to determine the

cloud forcing functions.  It was found that an increase of 10% in the

cloud cover distribution at all levels produced an Increse in Mu of

10%.  This is to be expected since the cloud forcing for the explicit

model is directly proportional to the fractional cloud cover as shown

in Equation (61).

    The sensitivity of the results from the implicit model to errors

in the rawlnsonde data was expolored.  The test was accomplished by

shifting the rawinsonde data observed for a station within the study

area by -10 mb at all levels.  Although this created a large pertur-

bation on the system, the gridding procedures used in this work, which

have been described in Section 2.2, were quite effective in smoothing

the field.  The resulting value of Mu from this test was only ~37%

less than that obtained in an unperturbated state.  This is an ex-

tremely moderate change in Mu in view of the large perturbation that

-------
                                  127

was placed on the system.  The results of this test would seem to indi-

cate that the effects of small errors present in the rawinsonde data

would be minimized as a result of the data preparation techniques

employed in this study.

    Table 4-4 presents the results of altering the vertical profile of

several parameters important to the implicit model by the amount indi-

cated.  The data for the unperturbated or standard case are taken from

a randomly chosen cell in the domain.



                               Table 4-4

variable

QR
Qi
Q2
dXD/dp
qj.

% altered

-10%
10%
10%
10% -
10%
Mu
1
mb hr-1
(standard)
9.425
9.425
9.425
9.425
9.42S
Mu
mb hr"1
(perturbed)
9.293
9.588
10.073
8.449
9.655

% change
inMu
-1.4
1.7
6.9
10.4
2.4
    Table 4-4.  Sensitivity analysis of the implicit model to the
                profiles of QR, Qi, 0.2, dXp/dp and q^.
    Of the parameters tested, Table 4-4 shows that the operation of

the model is most sensitive to the profile of dXo/dp.  This sensitivity

was also mentioned in Chapter 3 in regard to the determination of

the cloud-top detrainment of a conservative tracer.  Due to these

analyses, care should therefore be taken when determining d\D/dp so

that a smooth profile is obtained.  Table 4-4 shows that the next

most sensitive parameter in the calculation is the determination of

Q2, which was defined in Section 2.4 to be the 'apparent moisture

sink1 of moisture from the large scale due to cumulus clouds.

-------
                                 128

However, the relative sensitivities of Q2, QI and QR shown in Table 4-4

are actually only valid for the environmental conditions existing at

the time and location for which the model was run and should not,

therefore be taken to be universal*  The larger sensitivity to Q£

should therefore be interpreted to mean that for this particular

location, 0.2 dominated Q} and QR as a cloud forcing term.  The re-

maining parameter mentioned in Table 4-4 is the liquid-water mixing

ratio q£.  Although q& is important in determining cloud-top height

of a given cloud class (Johnson, 1975), the model's operation is

apparently more sensitive to other parameters.

    A budget analysis showing the relative magnitude of the terms

comprising Qj and 0,2 given by Equations (41) and (42) respectively,

is presented in Table 4-5.  By examining this budget equation we may

be able to determine which, if any terms could be neglected.



                              Table 4-5
mb     3s  s(V»V)   V»Vs   s3(J     a>3s    3q  q(V«V)  V«Vq
       3t      "            3p      3p    3t      "           3p    3p

700  -.68   87.62   0.85  -89.71  -2.36  5.59  -2.92  -7.11  2.97 -3.82
800 -1.71   98.53   3.27  -80.90  -0.25 -2.63  -6.13  -7.58  5.05  0.16
    Table 4-5.  A budget analysis for the terms comprising QI and 0.2
                as given by Equations (41) and (42) respectively.
                The data are taken from that of case #1 at 700 and
                800 mb.  Units: °K day""1.
    In order to obtain the large-scale forcing, as given in Equation

(43), we subtract 0.2 from Qj.  As evidenced by the 700 mb data in Table

4-5, the result would be a small difference between two large numbers,

with the difference of 1.01 being on the order of the smallest entry in

-------
                                 129




Table 4-5 for that level.  This would be an unsatisfactory situation




if it were not for the fact that the two terms with the largest mag-



nitudes (opposite in sign) are related by the continuity equation






                         Vh.y + 3u-0                          (12)








such that the magnitude of one term influences the magnitude of the




other.  The data from Table 4-5 indicate that Qj - 0.2 for 800 mb is




much larger than that for the 700 mb level.  However, in view of the




small values of Qj - 0.2 near the top of the cloud field, it is




suggested that none of the terms in the above budget analysis be




neglected.




    Another observation that should be made at this point is the im-




portance of the term s3u/3p in determining the value of Qj.  Since




the dry static energy (s) is a large number (~300), care must be




taken to obtain a smooth profile of 3u/3p, otherwise erratic values




of Qi will result.



    As mentioned in Section 2.2a, the values for 3s/3t and 3q/3t were




the result of a linear interpolation in time.  In view of the fact



that the magnitude of these terms can at times be comparable to the




total forcing (Q]^ - Q2 ~ QR)> future research efforts may need to



incorporate a more accurate determination of these local time deriva-




tives.




    Johnson (1975) found that radiative cooling played a larger role




in accurately determining flux quantities in the tropics than in the




sub-tropics.  However, for the scenarios studied in this work, the




convective activity was much less than that observed in Johnson's




(1975) sub-tropical case study.  As a result, there were many instances

-------
                                 130




where the role of radiative cooling could not be considered to be




insignificant, especially for shallow cloud fields.  In such instances




the profile of radiative cooling rates used in this work is admittedly



a crude approximation.  Pollutant mass flux computations in these




cases may be in error by a factor of 2-3«  Future research efforts




focusing on scenarios with similar convective patterns as those




examined in this work should involve a determination of the radiative




cooling profile that is influenced by the existing cloud cover.




    The sensitivity of the explicit and implicit models to various




parameters has been discussed in this chapter.  It was determined




that the explicit model, as it is presently configured, is probably




too sensitive to its input parameters -to be employed as an operational




model.  The sensitivity of the implicit model to its various input




parameters however, does seem to be acceptable if care is exercised




in determining the gridded fields required as input and in determining




the vertical derivatives of X and u>.• More sophisticated methods of



determining the local time derivatives of the dry static energy and




specific humidity should be explored in future works, as well as



efficient methods for determining radiative cooling rates based on




observed cloud cover instead of using a universal profile.

-------
                              CHAPTER 5






                       SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS






    Two models have been described that present a formalism for




assessing the role that a convective cloud field has on the vertical




redistribution of pollutant species vented from the boundary layer.




The first model, adapted from Johnson (1975), implicitly assumes the




existence of a cloud field If the atmosphere is conditionally unstable




and derives the forcing functions for the cloud field solely from




synoptic-scale rawinsonde data and tabulated radiational cooling




data.  This model has been labeled the 'implicit' approach in this




work.  The second model uses the vertical distribution of cumulus




cloud cover, as determined from satellite data, to determine the




cloud forcing functions, thereby explicitly incorporating features




•of the existing cloud field into the model calculations in a dynamic




way.  This model has therefore been labeled the 'explicit' approach




in this work.  Both models assume that the cloud field can be parti-




tioned into cloud classes based on cloud-top height and that each




cloud class can be appropriately described by a characteristic updraft




uniquely identified by an entralnment rate.  It was also assumed




that the model of an entraining plume was able to adequately depict




the updraft characteristics of each cloud class.  The cloud-base




mass flux for each cloud class was then determined by solving a




Volterra integral equation which connects the convective-scale






                                 131

-------
                                 132

fluxes for each cloud class with the large-scale forcing function

profile that is provided.   Therefore,  the two models described and

evaluated in this report differ only in the manner in which the cloud

forcing functions were derived.  The major accomplishments and pro-

blems encountered in this work will now be discussed, as well as a

view towards future research needs.

    Prior to this work there had been no model available to determine

the vertical redistribution of a pollutant tracer due to cumulus con-

vection for use in an operational regional-scale model.  This work
                                                         •
presents a formalism for providing two such models.  This formalism,

embodied in the explicit and implicit approaches, can be seen as a

tool which has led to a better understanding of the complex problem of

cloud venting.  Especially helpful was the use of satellite data in

the depiction of subsynoptic scale phenomena and how this phenomena

influences cloud-base pollutant flux calculations as determined by

the explicit model which is unique to this study.  The subsynoptic

scale phenomena, which was not incorporated in the forcing functions

for the implicit model, appeared to be reflected in the more realistic

shape of the cloud-top detrainment profiles, shown in Chapter 3, for

the explicit model, since the cloud forcing was assumed to be propor-

tional to the cumulus cloud cover.  However, the actual amount of

pollutant detrained from the clouds was difficult to obtain with any

certainty due to the sensitivities involved.  The implicit model on

the other hand, appeared to be much more reliable than the explicit

model and may contain the flexibility needed to incorporate subsyn-

optic-scale influences into its formalism as part of future research

efforts.

-------
                                133




    The results of the sensitivity analysis presented in Chapter 4




of this work indicated that the operational use of the explicit model



proposed in this work is dependent on future research efforts in at




least three areas.  First, further study on the concept of an entrain-




ment zone to see how the distribution function given in Equation




(53) varies in space and time is needed.  The effects of the stabil-




ity of the overlying layer on this distribution function for various




conditions also needs to be determined more precisely.  Secondly,




more observations on the life-time of cumulus clouds, especially




In relationship to the rate of entralnment and the environmental




moisture content need to be made.  Finally, observations of the ratio




of updraft area to total cumulus area need to be made for varying cloud




sizes and for various times in their life cycle.




     It was Indicated by the results shown in Chapter 3 that the con-




tribution of the cloud-base mass flux due to shallow clouds may be




over-estimated as a result of the assumption that clouds detrain only




at their cloud tops.  This follows directly from the entraining plume




theory.  A better depiction of the cloud-base mass flux may be obtained



In future works by incorporating side detrainment at least for the



shallower clouds.  It has also been suggested in Chapter 3 that the



profile of fractional cumulus coverage may be able to be used to det-




ermine dXo/dp and hence invoke a stronger influence of subsynoptic




scale effects, via satellite data, on the results of either model.




     Although the two models considered in this report differ in the




manner in which they determine the cloud scale forcing, both rely on




temperature and moisture data that has been interpolated spatially




and temporally from rawinsonde data.  This implies that the effects

-------
                                 134




that the cumulus cloud field has had on the environment between obser-




vations (in both a spatial and temporal sense) is implicitly neglected




in the computations.  Future works along this line may need to incor-




porate actual temperature and moisture profiles as determined from



satellite observations.




     In spite of the abovementioned areas that need future research,




this study has provided two methods by which satellite data can be used




to incorporate the subscale effects of cumulus clouds into regional-




scale transport models.  In what has been called the implicit approach,




the vertical cloud development is limited by the satellite observed




value, but the cloud forcing is determined solely from synoptic-scale




rawinsonde data.  In the second, or explicit approach, the vertical




development is similarly limited, but the satellite data is dynamically




Incorporated into the determination of the cloud forcing functions.




The two models give internally consistent results for varying condi-




tions and give similar results for the total convective upward mass




flux (MU).  The manner in which the upward mass flux is apportioned



to the various cloud classes, however, differs for the two models




and is shown to affect the vertical profile of detrainment for a



conservative tracer.  This is seen as a consequence of the vertical




profile of forcing functions used in the respective models.  For the




examples shown in this study, the explicit model gave more reasonable




looking profiles since the forcing functions were related to the




observed profile of cumulus cloud cover.  The close agreement mentioned




above for the calculated Mu values between the two approaches must,




however, be viewed with caution.  Until further observational data




are made available, which will enable the uncertainties inherent in

-------
                                 135




this approach to be better known, the sensitivity of this model to




Its required input may preclude it from being used in an operational



manner.  It has also been shown that regardless of the method chosen,




the concentration increase in the cloud-layer due to the venting action




of cumulus clouds can be as, if not more important than the in-situ




production of some species and should therefore not be neglected in




regional-scale transport models for sceneries involving convective




cloud fields.

-------
 BIBLIOGRAPHY
136

-------
                           137
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                            140


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**&
*ec
    , a-*0 3>
  *. ^V^>f>
«^*' «.*-.^f"   e<^
  ^T^C-^5' -
        j«» i^.»   \>."
 •i^j

  a^6^' ^ ^S0.< £

  V5" c.^>^V
      c,e<\ a5\<
                    Oi "

-------
 /*£'' *. r*^ ^/' C5 ^iX/ ,




«^^0;^^;,v,  ^

-------

-------

-------
                            141
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-------
                             142
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-------
APPENDICIES
 143

-------
                            144
                          LIST OF APPENDICES






  I.   A list and brief description of the files needed to




      process the required data and perform the necessary




      cloud-flux computations	 145






 II.   Flow diagram of the cloud-base pollutant flux program




      network	146






III.   Flow diagram of the cloud-base pollutant flux module....... 147






 IV.   Cross-reference listing of file specifications used in



      Appendix II and their corresponding file names, showing




      what routine created them, and where they are subsequently




      referenced	...............'	••••151






  V.   Listing and description of each file specified in



      Appendix IV	 .15*3

-------
                            145
                              APPENDIX I
A list and brief description of the files needed to process the required
data and perform the necessary cloud-flux computations.
Program file                         Function

   UAMET         This program takes normally obtainable RAOB data
                 (in the 'NERDS' format), produces objectively
                 analyzed fields of the variables on each of several
                 pressure surfaces and interpolates the data in time.
           •
   INVERT        This program takes the objectively analyzed fields,
                 on the various pressure surfaces, as determined by
                 UAMET, and changes the data structure so that profiles
                 for each variable are obtained for each small-scale
                 grid cell for each hour of the data.

   SFCMET        This program takes normally obtainable surface meteor-
                 ological data and performs an objective analysis to
                 obtain grid point values of the parameters of interest
                 over the grid.  The data is then interpolated in time
                 and space to obtain a small-scale gridded field for
                 each variable for each hour.

   SATPGH        This program assimilates the cloud data provided by
                 CSU for each small-scale grid cell, obtains the cloud-
                 base height for each grid cell for each hour of data,
                 and determines the vertical profile of cumulus cloud
                 coverage.

   CLDVENT       This program obtains several parameters related to the
                 convective updraft mass flux, occurring in a given grid
                 cell, based on the presence of a cumulus cloud field
                 in the cell and the state of the environment as defined
                 from the objectively analyzed fields, using either the
                 the implicit or explicit models.  For a description of
                 the output fields see the description of files (Appendix
                 V, files 37-48).

-------
CM  ^
            146
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                          147
                           APPENDIX III
       Flow diagram of the cloud-base pollutant flux module
INPUT:  hour and
grid cell(s) of
interest (unit 5)
INPUT:  2-dim cloud
data (CU,C14,C16)
INPUT:  surface
meteorology (S12)
INPUT:  topography
     (unit 3)
set 1*0, N=number of
grid cells to examine
                                         Routine:  CLDVENT.DRIVER
                                                               (explicit)
  INPUT:  cu eld cover
  profile (C15)

-------
                             148
       INPUT!   T,q,z
       (E11,E12,E13)
     interpolate T,q,z
     to 5 mb intervals
  determine the pressure
levels corresponding to eld
  base, eld top and 500 mb
       (IB,IMX,INT)
            JL
   (determine h profile
         MIETURNj
  [determine eld-base h (eqn 32) |

                 1
         set K - IB + LCTI
                                            determine  eld-top  h at
                                               level K (eqn 32)
  determine entrainment rate for
elds with tops at level K (eqn 34)
                 I
            |K • K
       N
                                            determine the number of
                                           eld classes to be used for
                                                    K < IMX
                                          store the entrainment rate
                                           and eld-top presure level
                                             for each cloud class
                                                   (RETURNj

-------
                             149
INPUT:  vertical vel.,
      Q1,Q2 (Qll)
determine hu for each eld class
           (eqn 24)
interpolate u,Ql,Q2,QR
  to 5 mb intervals
determine the ratio of updraft
   area to total eld cover
           (eqn 54)
determine the vertical
derivatives of h,X and
 tracer concentration
   determine the fractional
updraft area for each eld class
           (eqn 55)
  determine the total
 updraft area (eqn 52)
               1
  determine the half-life for
    each eld class (eqn 60)
                                                        1
                                         determine the moisture required
                                           for a eld in each eld class s
                                                    (eqn 59)
                                                        I
                                         determine the bulk forcing term
                                           as a function of eld class
                                                    (eqn 61)
                                         determine the total integrated
                                             bulk forcing (eqn 62)
                                           weight the forcing at each
                                          level according to the cu eld
                                                      cover

-------
                             150
    determine the eld-base
      heat flux (eqn 44)
    solve for the spectral
   distribution of eld-base
      mass flux (eqn 81)
     determine the induced
environmental mass flux (eqn 4)
   determine the detrainment
 of ozone from each eld class
determine the net mass exchange
  rate of ozone at each level
            RETURN J
    determine the eld-base
          heat flux
    solve for the spectral
   distribution of eld-base
          mass flux
     determine the induced
environmental mass flux (eqn 4)
   determine the detrainment
 of ozone from each eld class
determine the net mass exchange
  rate of ozone at each level  !
           (RETURN)

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                           151
                             APPENDIX IV
Cross-reference listing of file specifications used in Appendix II and
their corresponding file names, showing what routine created them, and
where they are subsequently referenced.
 Unit # or File
 Specification
File Name
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.
37.
38.
UNIT 2
UNIT 3
UNIT 4
UNIT 5
UNIT 8
UNIT 19
UNIT 20
UNIT 21
UNIT 22
UNIT 23
All
A12
A13
A14
A15
A16
A17
A18
A19
A20
A21
A22
A23
A24
Ell
E12
E13
Qll
Sll
S12
S13
Gil
C12
C14
C15
C16
Fll
Fll
                     SEXP1HRLY
                     CELLTOPO
                     SITESEXP1
                   'CARD READER1
                     SEXP1SFCOBS
                     CLDFREQPIX
                     CLDCOVER-TOT
                     CLDCOVER-CUM
                     CUM-AVEHGT
                     CUM-PKHGT
                     LSZSEXP1
                     LSTSEXP1
                     LSPTSEXP1
                     LSTDSEXP1
                     LSQSEXP1
                     LSUSEXP1
                     LSVSEXP1
                     LSWSEXP1
                     SEXP1DIVORT
                     LSAVSESEXP1
                     LSAVQSEXP1
                     LSQ1SEXP1
                     LSQ2SEXP1
                     UTILITYl
                     SSTSEXP1
                     SSQSEXP1
                     SSZSEXP1
                     SSWQ1Q2SEXP1
                     SEXP1SFCLG
                     SEXP1SFC
                     SEXP1SFCLGHR
                     SEXP1CSUCLDS

                     SEXP1CSUPIX
                     SEXP1TOTPIX

                     SEXP1CUMCOVD
                     SEXP1CLDBHTS
                     FLUXPARAMIMP
                     FLUXPARAMEXP
Created in
 Routine

    -t
    -t
    -t
    .t
    _t
    _t
    _t
    .t
   "_t
    .t
  UAMET
               INVERT
               SFCMET.SFCGRD
               SFCMET.INTERP
                     H

               SATPGM.CSUCLD

               SATPGM.CSUPIX
               SATPGM.CUDIST
               SATPGM.LCL
               CLDVENT
Used in Routine(s)
                               UAMET
                               SATPGM.LCL,CLDVENT
                               UAMET
                               UAMET
                               SFCMET.SFCGRD
                               SATPGM.CSUPIX
                               SATPGM.CSUCLD
UAMET,INVERT
  m     n

  H

  H

  "  ,INVERT
  M

  M

  "  .INVERT
  •t

  M

  M

  "  ,INVERT
  N     tfl
     >
  M

CLDVENT
                  SFCMET.INTERP
                  SATPGM.LCL,CLDVENT

                  SATPGM.PIXCOR,SATPGM.
                  CUDIST,CLDVENT
                  SATPGM.CUDIST
                  SATPGM.PIXCOR,SATPGM.
                  CUD1ST,CLDVENT
                  CLDVENT
                  SATPGM.CSUPIX,CLDVENT

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                            152
39.
40.
41.
42.
43.
44.
45.
46.
47.
48.
49.
F12
F12
F13
F13
F14
F14
Pll
Pll
P12
P12
REGRS
                     MBOFPIMP
                     MBOFPEXP
                     03BUDIMP
                     03BUDEXP
                     MFBUDIMP
                     MFBUDEXP
                     CBPLIMP
                     CBPLEXP
                     CSTATSIMP
                     CSTATSEXP
CLDVENT
*      These files are assumed to be supplied by the user.

REGR*  This is not an actual file, but is the output displayed on a
       CRT.  The required regression coefficients are to be read from
       the display and inserted into routine SATPGM.CUDIST via a
       data statement.

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                             153
                              APPENDIX V
    Listing and description of  each file  specified in Appendix IV
     File Name

 1.   SEXP1HRLY



 2.   CELLTOPO



 3.   SITESEXPl



 4.   'CARD READER1

 5.   SEXP1SFCOBS



 6.   CLDFREQPIX
 7.   CLDCOVER-TOT


 8.   CLDCOVER-CUM


 9.   CUM-AVEHGT


10.   CUM-PKHGT


11.   LSZSEXP1
                 Description

Hourly RAOB data from 7/21/81 12Z through 7/23/81
12Z for stations within the lat-lon boundaries of
45° - 25° N, 91° - 60° W in NEROS format.

Grid averaged topography (M) for each grid cell in
the lat-lon region of 38° - 34° N, 81° - 76° W.
Each cell has the dimensions of 1/6° lat X 1/4° Ion.

Station ID, lat, Ion and altitude (m) for each RAOB
station in the space-time window described in
SEXP1HRLY.

Hour (GMT) and grid cell(s) of interest.

Surface meteorological data from 7/22/81 12Z through
7/23/81 6Z for stations within the lat-lon boundaries
of 39° - 33° N, 82.5° - 75° W.

Frequency distribution of cloud-top heights as given
by IR pixel data for 1200 LSI through 2300 LSI for
each grid cell (1/6° lat X 1/4° Ion) within the
region of 38° - 34° N, 81° - 76° W.  The pixel data
are given at 500 ft intervals.

Fractional cloud cover of all clouds for each grid
cell, time window given in CLDFREQPIX.

Fractional cloud cover of cumulus clouds, for each
grid cell, for the space-time window in CLDFREQPIX.

Average cumulus height, for each grid cell, for the
space-time window given in CLDFREQPIX.

Peak cumulus height, for each grid cell, for the
space-time window given in CLDFREQPIX.

Hourly geopotential height data (m) for each of the
large-scale (synoptic) grid points, at 25 mb intervals
from 500 - 1000 mb, from 7/22/81 12Z through 7/23/81
12Z, for the region bounded by 41° - 31° N, 86° -
71° W.  Each grid cell has the dimensions of 2.0° lat
X 2.5° Ion.

-------
                            154
12.  LSTSEXP1
13.  LSPTSEXP1
14.  LSTDSEXP1
15.  LSQSEXP1
16.  LSUSEXP1
17.  LSVSEXP1
18.  LSWSEXP1
19.  SEXP1DIVORT
20.  LSAVSESEXP1
21.  LSAVQSEXP1
Hourly temperature data (K°) for each grid cell as
defined in the pressure-space-time window specified
in LSZSEXP1.

Hourly isentropic analysis data for the 315 K
surface for the space-time window specified in
LSZSEXP1.  For each hour,  the following informa-
tion given for each grid points  pressure (mb),  -
specific humidity (g/kg),  u-corap of wind (m/s)s
v-comp of wind (m/s), Montgomery stream function (J/g>

Hourly dew-point temperature data (k) for each
grid cell as defined in the pressure-space-time
window specified in LSZSEXPl.

Hourly specific humidity data (g/kg) for each grid
cell as defined in the pressure-space-time window
specified in LSZSEXPl.

Hourly data for the u-comp of wind (m/s), for each
grid cell as defined in the space-time window
specified in LSZSEXPl, with 50 mb intervals from
500 mb to 1000 nrb.

Hourly data for the v-comp of wind (m/s) for each
grid cell as defined in the pressure-space-time
window specified in LSUSEXP1.

Hourly data for large-scale environmental vertical
velocity (mb/hr) for each grid cell as defined in
the pressure-space-time window specified in LSUSEXPl.

Hourly vorticity and divergence data (1/s) for the
space-time window specified in LSUSEXPl.  At each
50 mb level from 500 mb to 1000 mb, 3 sets of
vorticity and divergence data are given for the
large-scale grid points.  The first set is derived
from the initial u and v gridded wind component
data.  The second set is derived from the Bel2.amy
triangle technique.  The third set is derived from
the final u and v gridded data resulting from the
Schaefer-Doswell analysis.

Hourly, layer-averaged static energy data (J/g)
for each grid cell as defined in the pressure-
space-time window specified in LSUSEXPl.

Hourly, layer-averaged specific humidity data  (g/kg)
for each grid cell as defined in the pressure-
space-time window specified in LSUSEXPl.

-------
                            155
22.  LSQ1SEXP1
23.  LSQ2SEXP1
24.  UTILITY1


25.  SSTSEXP1
26.  SSQSEXP1
27.  SSZSEXP1
28.  SSWQ1Q2SEXP1
29.  SEXP1SFCLG
30.  SEXP1SFC
31.  SEXP1SFCLGHR
Hourly data for each component of the large-scale
dry static energy budget (deg/day) for each grid
cell as defined in the pressure-space-time window
in LSUSEXP1.

Hourly data for each component of the large-scale
moisture budget (deg/day) for each grid cell as
defined in the pressure-space-time window in
LSUSEXP1.

Working file to facilitate the computations of Ql
and Q2.

Hourly profiles of temperature data (K) for each
of the small-scale grid cells from 7/22/81 12Z
through 7/23/81 12Z for the region bounded by
38° - 34° N, 81° - 76° W.  Each grid cell has the
dimensions of 1/6° lat X 1/4° Ion.  Data are given at
25 mb intervals from 500 pb to 1000 mb.

Hourly profiles of specific humidity data (g/kg)
for each grid cell as defined in the pressure-space-
time window specified in SSTSEXP1.

Hourly profiles of geopotential height data (m) for
each grid cell as defined in the pressure-space-time
window specified in SSTSEXP1.

Hourly data for the large-scale environmental vertical
velocity (mb/hr), Ql, and Q2 (deg/day) are given at
50 mb intervals from 500 mb to 1000 mb for each grid
cell as defined in the space-time window specified in
SSTSEXP1.

Gridded 3-hourly surface data for each grid cell for
7/22/81 12Z through 7/23/81 6Z for the region bounded
by 38° - 34° N, 81° - 76° W.  The grid cells have
the dimensions of 1.0° lat X 1.25° Ion.  The data at
each time level are:  sea level press  (mb), station
press  (mb), u-comp of wind (m/s), v-comp of wind
(m/s), temp (K), dew-point temp (K).

Hourly surface data for each grid cell for 7/22/81
12Z through 7/23/81 6Z for the region bounded by
38° -  34° N, 81° - 76° W.  The grid cells have the
dimensions of 1/6° lat X 1/4° Ion.  The data component
given  for each hour are the same as in SEXP1SFCLG.

Hourly surface data for each grid cell as defined in t
space-time window specified in SEXP1SFCLG.  The data
components given for each hour are the same as in
SEXP1SFCLG.

-------
                            156
32.  SEXP1CSUCLDS
33.  SEXP1CSUPIX


34.  SEXP1TOTPIX



35.  SEXP1CUMCOVD
36.  SEXP1CLDBHTS


37.  FLUXPARAMIMP
38.  FLUXPARAMEXP
39.  MBOFPIMP
40.  MBOFPEXP
Hourly cloud data for ech grid cell from 1200 LSI
through 2300 LST on 7/22/81 within the lat-lon
region of 38° - 34° N, 81° - 76° W.  Each cell has
the dimensions of 1/6° lat X 1/4° Ion.  The four
data fields, for each hour, from the files CLDCOVER
-TOT, CLDCOVER-CUM, CUM-AVEHGT, and CUM-PKHGT have
been assimilated into this one direct access file.

This is a direct acces file containing the data of
CLDFREQPIX.

Hourly, vertically integrated IR pixel counts for eacl
grid cell as defined in the space-time window of
SEXP1CSUCLDS.

Hourly profiles of the fractional cumulus cloud
coverage for each grid cell as defined in the
space-time window of SEXP1CSUCLDS.  The data are
given at 500 ft intervals.

Houly cloud-base heights (msl) for each grid cell
as defined in the space-time window of SEXP1CSUCLDS.

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the implicit
version of CLDVENT for any grid cell from 1200 LST
through  2300 LST on 7/22/81 within the bounds of
38* - 34° N, 81° - 76° W.  The grid cells have dimen-
sions of 1/6° lat X 1/4° Ion.  For each cloud class
determinned from the model 7 components are given:
(1) cloud-base mass flux as a function of entrainment
rate (mb-km/day).  (2) entrainment rate interval
(I/km).  (3) entrainment rate (I/km).  (4) normalized
mass flux.  (5) the derivative of the entrainment rat<
profile with respect to pressure at the cloud top
(1/km-mb).  (6) incloud ozone concentrations at the
cloud top  (ppbv).  (7) no data given for implicit
model for this component.

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the explicit
version of CLDVENT.  The dta structure is identical
to that of FLUXPARAMIMP with the exception for componi
(7):  fractional coverage of updraft area.

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the implicit
version of CLDVENT for any grid cell in the space-
time window as defined in FLUXPARAMIMP.  For each
cloud class 2 components are given:   (1) cloud-top
pressure (mb).  (2) cloud-base mass flux as a functioi
of cloud-top pressure (I/day).

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the explicit
version of CLDVENT.  The data structure is identical
to that of MBOFPIMP.

-------
                            157
41.  03BUDIMP
42.  03BUDEXP
43.  MFBUDIMP
44.  MFBUDEXP
45.  CBPLIHP
46.  CBPLEXP
47.  CSTATSIMP
48.  CSTATSEXP
Hourly grid cell averaged output from the implicit
version of CLDVENT for any grid cell in the space-
time window as defined in FLUXPARAMIMP.  For each
cloud class 4 components are given:  (1) cloud-top
pressure (mb).  (2) cloud-top detrainment rate of
ozone (ppbv/hr).  (3) vertical net mass exchange
rate of ozone (yg ozone/hr) at the cloud-top pressure.
(4) Induced environmental transport of ozone, at the
cloud-top pressure, caused by the upward mass flux
(ppbv/hr).

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the explicit
version of CLDVENT.  The data structure is identical
to that of 03BUDIMP.

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the implicit
version of CLDVENT for any grid cell in the space-
time window as defined in FLUXPARAMIMP.  For each
cloud class 4 components are given:  (1) cloud-top
pressure (mb).  (2) total upward convective mass
flux at the cloud-top pressure (mb/hr).  (3) induced
environmental mass flux at the cloud-top pressure,
caused by the upward mass flux (mb/hr).  (4) large-
scale (synoptic mass flux (mb/hr) at the cloud-top
pressure (as determined from RAOB data).

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the explicit
version of CLDVENT.  The data structure is identical
to that of MFBUDIMP.

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the implicit
version of CLDVENT for any grid cell in the space-
time window as defined in FLUXPARAMIMP.  The value of
the total net ozone exchange rate at cloud base (yg
ozone/hr) is given.

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the explicit
version of CLDVENT.  The data structure is identical
to that of CBPLIMP.

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the implicit
version of CLDVENT for any grid cell in the space-
time window as defined in FLUXPARAMIMP.  For each
hour, 3 data fields are given:  (1) Convective cloud-
base heat flux (W/m^).  (2) no data given for the
implicit model.  (3) total fractional updraft area.

Hourly, grid cell averaged output from the explicit
version of CLDVENT.  The data structure is identical
to that of CSTATSIMP with the exception of component
(2):  ratio of updraft area to total cloud cover.

-------
                                  TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                           (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing}
1. REPORT NO.
                             2.
                                                          3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION>NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE

 THE  VERTICAL  REDISTRIBUTION OF A POLLUTANT TRACER
 DUE  TO  CUMULUS CONVECTION
             5. REPORT DATE
               12/84  (Approved)
             6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)

       John  A.  Ritter  and Donald H. Stedman
                                                          8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
  University  of Michigan
  Department  of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
  Ann  Arbor,  Michigan  48109
                                                          10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
               CDWA1A/02-  0651  (FY-85)
             11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
                                                            CA CR807485
12. SPONSORING AGENCY_NAME AND ADDRESS.
  Atmospheric Sciences Research  Laboratory—RTF, NC
  Office of Research and Development
  U.S. Environmental Protection  Agency
  Research Triangle Park. North  Carolina  27711
             13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
               Final	(1980-84)
             14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
                 EPA/600/09
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT
       Mathematical formalisms that incorporate the physical processes responsible
  for the vertical redistribution of a conservative pollutant tracer due to  a
  convective cloud field are presented.  Two modeling approaches are presented
  differing in the manner in which the cloud fields are forced.  In the first or
  implicit approach, the vertical cloud development is limited by the satellite
  observed value, and cloud forcing is determined  from synoptic-scale heat and
  moisture budgets.  In the explicit approach,  the vertical development is similarly
  limited, but the forcing functions are obtained  by explicitly incorporating the
  vertical distribution of cumulus cloud cover, thereby dynamically incorporating the
  influences of sub-synoptic scale phenomena.   The two approaches give internally
  consistent results and give similar results  for  the convective mass flux.  The manner
  in  which the upward mass flus is apportioned  to  the various cloud classes, however,
  differs as consequence of the different  vertical  profile of forcing functions  used.
  The explicit model gave more reasonable  profiles but the predictions are highly
  sensitive to input conditions.  The impl icit model, was somewhat less sensitive to
  its input parameters if the data are prepared judiciously.  This study shows that the
  concentration increase in the cloud-layer  due to the venting action of cumulus clouds
  can be as, if not more important than, the in-situ production and this process should
  therefore be incorporated in regional-scale  transport models.	
17.
                               KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                 DESCRIPTORS
b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS  C.  COSATI Field/Group
13. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
                                             19. SECURITY CLASS (ThisReport)

                                               IINr.l ASSTFTFH	
                                                                        21. NO. OF PAGES
       RELEASE  TO PUBLIC
20. SECURITY CLASS (Thispage)
  UNCLASSIFIED
                                                                        22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)

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